1 00:00:15,200 --> 00:00:17,760 Speaker 1: What's up, guys. How are you welcome to Logan Airport? Yep, 2 00:00:17,800 --> 00:00:20,400 Speaker 1: that's exactly where I'm recording the Daily Juice podcast here. 3 00:00:20,440 --> 00:00:22,120 Speaker 1: My name is Matt Parolchi Gus and following me across 4 00:00:22,120 --> 00:00:24,200 Speaker 1: all of my socials at Sports Talk Matt, and we 5 00:00:24,239 --> 00:00:27,600 Speaker 1: are back after an inconclusive Saturday. We are lucky to 6 00:00:27,640 --> 00:00:29,680 Speaker 1: be one and two as we head to the nightcap, 7 00:00:29,720 --> 00:00:31,880 Speaker 1: which is Game seven of the World Series, we will 8 00:00:31,920 --> 00:00:34,800 Speaker 1: obviously taking a look at what's happening here for Max 9 00:00:34,840 --> 00:00:36,840 Speaker 1: Schurz to go over one and a half earned runs. 10 00:00:36,840 --> 00:00:39,040 Speaker 1: If we get that to come in, it's pretty much 11 00:00:39,040 --> 00:00:41,239 Speaker 1: a flat day down a little bit here because of 12 00:00:41,280 --> 00:00:44,160 Speaker 1: the juice we paid with the Bruins in the Carolina Hurricanes. 13 00:00:44,159 --> 00:00:45,440 Speaker 1: That game was a two to one win for the 14 00:00:45,440 --> 00:00:48,040 Speaker 1: Boston Bruins. No goals in the first period, but no 15 00:00:48,120 --> 00:00:50,000 Speaker 1: goals even in the second period in that game. That 16 00:00:50,040 --> 00:00:52,240 Speaker 1: was a bit of an anomaly of a hockey game 17 00:00:52,280 --> 00:00:54,960 Speaker 1: coming up there. But Vandy and Texas and Texas that 18 00:00:55,000 --> 00:00:57,960 Speaker 1: game flew over. How about Diego Pavia. I laid the 19 00:00:57,960 --> 00:00:59,960 Speaker 1: three points with Texas and wound up getting a push. 20 00:01:00,200 --> 00:01:03,440 Speaker 1: That not great there for me on that game. All 21 00:01:03,520 --> 00:01:06,319 Speaker 1: one in one for that game. But hopefully we're looking 22 00:01:06,319 --> 00:01:08,720 Speaker 1: for a Max Surezer bat outing tonight at least to 23 00:01:08,720 --> 00:01:10,720 Speaker 1: give up a couple of runs to the lineup for 24 00:01:10,760 --> 00:01:12,399 Speaker 1: the Dodgers, and then let's see that the Dodgers can 25 00:01:12,440 --> 00:01:14,200 Speaker 1: wind up winning this. I told you that the Dodgers, 26 00:01:14,200 --> 00:01:16,160 Speaker 1: if you thought they were going to win Game six, 27 00:01:16,400 --> 00:01:18,479 Speaker 1: to bet them at plus two hundred because they went 28 00:01:18,520 --> 00:01:21,800 Speaker 1: off as mice one fifty favorites tonight with Otani on 29 00:01:21,840 --> 00:01:24,679 Speaker 1: the mound for Game seven, So we are tipping this 30 00:01:24,720 --> 00:01:27,720 Speaker 1: game at about eight o five in the East. I 31 00:01:27,760 --> 00:01:30,679 Speaker 1: will post this later tonight for us coming up for 32 00:01:30,840 --> 00:01:32,479 Speaker 1: this podcast, So just to heads up as. 33 00:01:32,360 --> 00:01:33,680 Speaker 2: To what we're doing here why. 34 00:01:33,760 --> 00:01:35,920 Speaker 1: I don't know what happened yesterday for us, but we 35 00:01:35,959 --> 00:01:38,160 Speaker 1: went one in three on Saturday or on Friday. Ron 36 00:01:38,160 --> 00:01:40,800 Speaker 1: There's hopefully not a one in three on Sunday, but 37 00:01:40,840 --> 00:01:43,840 Speaker 1: it's been one of those colder couple of stretches for 38 00:01:43,920 --> 00:01:46,279 Speaker 1: us here for the juice and those things tend to happen. 39 00:01:46,400 --> 00:01:48,600 Speaker 1: Reminder that you can join Terrell Furman and myself coming 40 00:01:48,680 --> 00:01:52,480 Speaker 1: up tonight or sorry this morning on the live stream 41 00:01:52,480 --> 00:01:54,960 Speaker 1: on the Betting Crows YouTube channel for week number nine 42 00:01:54,960 --> 00:01:58,160 Speaker 1: of the NFL. Take you through all the games, picks, thoughts, 43 00:01:58,200 --> 00:02:01,440 Speaker 1: parlays and other bets to get into and give you 44 00:02:01,480 --> 00:02:03,960 Speaker 1: my favorite prop bets for the coming day today, So 45 00:02:04,080 --> 00:02:06,640 Speaker 1: we'll Terrail he'll give you his picks for today as well, 46 00:02:06,680 --> 00:02:08,680 Speaker 1: So looking forward to you guys joining us at noon 47 00:02:08,760 --> 00:02:12,560 Speaker 1: Eastern time nine am Pacific time on the Betting Pros 48 00:02:12,680 --> 00:02:15,280 Speaker 1: YouTube channel. You can also go and get a ton 49 00:02:15,320 --> 00:02:18,600 Speaker 1: of information on the Betting Pros app. Have you guys 50 00:02:18,639 --> 00:02:21,720 Speaker 1: gone and downloaded the Betting Pros app. It's free sportsbook 51 00:02:21,800 --> 00:02:24,919 Speaker 1: Sync automatically tracks your bets across all major sports books 52 00:02:24,919 --> 00:02:27,320 Speaker 1: in one spot. You can easily monitor your bet performance 53 00:02:27,360 --> 00:02:30,080 Speaker 1: by bet type and by sport, including game picks, props 54 00:02:30,080 --> 00:02:33,240 Speaker 1: and parlays. Great custom betting systems to find winning trends 55 00:02:33,480 --> 00:02:37,080 Speaker 1: and profitable opportunities. Plus, we have a special offer to 56 00:02:37,120 --> 00:02:39,560 Speaker 1: get Betting Pros Premium for six months. To claim the offer, 57 00:02:39,600 --> 00:02:42,160 Speaker 1: just heading over to bettingpros dot com slash premium. Make 58 00:02:42,160 --> 00:02:44,760 Speaker 1: it a positive partner sportsbook and go and place your 59 00:02:44,800 --> 00:02:46,840 Speaker 1: wager and you can get six months for free of 60 00:02:46,880 --> 00:02:50,000 Speaker 1: Betting Pros Premium. Download the Betting Pros app on iOS 61 00:02:50,040 --> 00:02:52,800 Speaker 1: androids coming, it is obviously for free. 62 00:02:52,880 --> 00:02:56,320 Speaker 2: Okay, right out of the top. Look at, I'm. 63 00:02:56,080 --> 00:02:59,600 Speaker 1: Going to just follow trends here. This is the ultimate 64 00:02:59,639 --> 00:03:01,000 Speaker 1: trend of the season. 65 00:03:01,040 --> 00:03:01,320 Speaker 2: Okay. 66 00:03:01,400 --> 00:03:04,359 Speaker 1: I have personally put over two units down on this bet. Okay, 67 00:03:05,000 --> 00:03:07,679 Speaker 1: the game involving the Ravens just synced it up for 68 00:03:07,800 --> 00:03:10,799 Speaker 1: me because of what they did to the Dolphins. It 69 00:03:10,840 --> 00:03:14,120 Speaker 1: is now if teams go off as an eight point 70 00:03:14,200 --> 00:03:18,440 Speaker 1: favorite the last twenty seven games, if you include the 71 00:03:18,480 --> 00:03:21,040 Speaker 1: Ravens game because the Ravens wound up closing it seven 72 00:03:21,080 --> 00:03:23,800 Speaker 1: and a half for eight to banging the book, the 73 00:03:23,880 --> 00:03:28,520 Speaker 1: last eight, sorry, twenty eight games where a team is 74 00:03:28,560 --> 00:03:31,280 Speaker 1: favored by eight points or more in the NFL, their 75 00:03:31,320 --> 00:03:36,280 Speaker 1: record is twenty seven and one straight up. Okay, twenty 76 00:03:36,360 --> 00:03:39,800 Speaker 1: seven and one straight up. For that reason, there are 77 00:03:39,840 --> 00:03:43,400 Speaker 1: four teams today that are favored by eighteen eight points 78 00:03:43,480 --> 00:03:45,760 Speaker 1: or more, and I am simply coming in and betting 79 00:03:45,760 --> 00:03:48,160 Speaker 1: on all four of them combined. It's a minus one 80 00:03:48,320 --> 00:03:52,680 Speaker 1: forty parlay. I'm not telling you it's great. Packers, Chargers, Rams, 81 00:03:52,920 --> 00:03:57,200 Speaker 1: Lions money line minus won forty at one point four 82 00:03:57,720 --> 00:04:00,800 Speaker 1: units down, I am jumping in with this. 83 00:04:01,880 --> 00:04:02,520 Speaker 2: Who beats me? 84 00:04:03,560 --> 00:04:08,320 Speaker 1: Who's losing today, the Chargers, the Rams, the Lions. Maybe 85 00:04:08,320 --> 00:04:10,320 Speaker 1: the Vikings beat the Lions and blow up two bets 86 00:04:10,320 --> 00:04:12,440 Speaker 1: for me, But I don't know that. That's the only 87 00:04:12,520 --> 00:04:15,160 Speaker 1: jinx I could see by putting on myself coming up 88 00:04:15,200 --> 00:04:17,640 Speaker 1: with that. That's a four leg money line parlay that 89 00:04:17,680 --> 00:04:19,479 Speaker 1: we pay minus one forty juice on? 90 00:04:19,600 --> 00:04:21,400 Speaker 2: Can you believe that? That is disgusting? 91 00:04:21,760 --> 00:04:24,159 Speaker 1: But I'm betting it anyway because you gave me twenty 92 00:04:24,200 --> 00:04:26,640 Speaker 1: seven and one on anything. I'm betting it, like straight 93 00:04:26,680 --> 00:04:30,440 Speaker 1: up betting it, Okay, until that kicks us off, Just 94 00:04:30,480 --> 00:04:33,679 Speaker 1: bet it. And it's not just like me betting it. 95 00:04:33,680 --> 00:04:36,080 Speaker 1: It's not just like the public betting. The professionals are 96 00:04:36,080 --> 00:04:38,960 Speaker 1: betting that too. That that's not just you know, that's 97 00:04:39,000 --> 00:04:41,839 Speaker 1: the pros who are also betting that. So don't just 98 00:04:41,880 --> 00:04:45,320 Speaker 1: completely dismiss that as like a complete square parlay. The 99 00:04:45,400 --> 00:04:48,400 Speaker 1: numbers are the numbers, okay, And it's just I get it. 100 00:04:48,400 --> 00:04:50,520 Speaker 1: It's one forty on a four leg money line parlay. 101 00:04:50,560 --> 00:04:52,880 Speaker 1: It's ridiculous. One team loses and all of a sudden 102 00:04:52,880 --> 00:04:56,160 Speaker 1: we're done. But just have it not be the Lions. 103 00:04:56,720 --> 00:04:58,680 Speaker 1: How about that we just make up for it on 104 00:04:58,720 --> 00:05:03,080 Speaker 1: the other side, of that, So eight points favorites are more. Okay, 105 00:05:03,200 --> 00:05:06,000 Speaker 1: four leg moneyline parlay. You guys know I never do this, 106 00:05:06,120 --> 00:05:08,440 Speaker 1: but I am doing this simply to follow a ridiculous 107 00:05:08,520 --> 00:05:11,360 Speaker 1: trend that I can't look. The Bruins and the Carolina Panthers. 108 00:05:11,440 --> 00:05:14,479 Speaker 1: We're both on huge first period over trends and that lost. Okay, 109 00:05:14,600 --> 00:05:16,919 Speaker 1: So like, don't tell me trends are automatic. They're not. 110 00:05:17,839 --> 00:05:20,599 Speaker 2: But for one point four units, go ahead. I have 111 00:05:20,680 --> 00:05:21,400 Speaker 2: bet more on that. 112 00:05:21,560 --> 00:05:23,880 Speaker 1: But you know, one point four units down to win 113 00:05:23,960 --> 00:05:26,240 Speaker 1: one unit, we're coming in. I'm betting that that's just 114 00:05:26,680 --> 00:05:29,840 Speaker 1: until further notice. I am betting that bet number two. 115 00:05:30,440 --> 00:05:32,800 Speaker 1: I'm done with the narrative that Mike Tomlin has a 116 00:05:32,839 --> 00:05:35,000 Speaker 1: defense and that Mike Tomlin's team's any good. 117 00:05:35,320 --> 00:05:37,119 Speaker 2: This is an eyeball test for me. Okay. 118 00:05:37,120 --> 00:05:38,919 Speaker 1: I don't think they're a very good football team. I 119 00:05:38,920 --> 00:05:41,599 Speaker 1: think as the year progresses, I think they're gonna get worse. 120 00:05:42,240 --> 00:05:44,520 Speaker 1: And I think this is against a team in the 121 00:05:44,560 --> 00:05:48,720 Speaker 1: Colts that Daniel Jones is just playing so well. Ridiculous 122 00:05:48,800 --> 00:05:52,880 Speaker 1: stat uncovered by the Action Network Daniel Jones and pressure. 123 00:05:52,880 --> 00:05:55,960 Speaker 1: This season, he has dropped back ninety two times under pressure. 124 00:05:56,000 --> 00:05:59,800 Speaker 1: He has completed sixty one point six percent of those completions, 125 00:05:59,800 --> 00:06:02,640 Speaker 1: that second in the NFL only to Dak Prescott, but 126 00:06:02,760 --> 00:06:06,279 Speaker 1: he has zero turnover worthy plays in those ninety two 127 00:06:06,440 --> 00:06:10,400 Speaker 1: drop backs under pressure. The next closest quarterback in dropbacks 128 00:06:10,640 --> 00:06:14,400 Speaker 1: with turnovers or a turnover worthy play under pressure is 129 00:06:14,520 --> 00:06:17,560 Speaker 1: Joe Burrow, and he hasn't played since Week two of 130 00:06:17,600 --> 00:06:21,640 Speaker 1: the NFL this season. Daniel Jones has thrown six touchdowns 131 00:06:21,680 --> 00:06:25,320 Speaker 1: and has no picks under pressure. That's the game. If 132 00:06:25,440 --> 00:06:28,560 Speaker 1: Daniel Jones does not throw interceptions against this defense for 133 00:06:28,600 --> 00:06:31,360 Speaker 1: the Steelers, I don't believe they can win this football game. 134 00:06:31,560 --> 00:06:33,840 Speaker 1: I like the defense a lot for this Colts team. 135 00:06:34,040 --> 00:06:37,080 Speaker 1: They're my number one team in football. In my power rankings, 136 00:06:37,080 --> 00:06:39,880 Speaker 1: I have the Colts at number one. They're seven to one, 137 00:06:40,120 --> 00:06:42,680 Speaker 1: and until further notice, you can take all the Mike 138 00:06:42,760 --> 00:06:48,000 Speaker 1: Tomlin bounce back spots home underdog underdogs in consecutive weeks 139 00:06:48,000 --> 00:06:50,839 Speaker 1: for just the third time ever going back to twenty 140 00:06:50,920 --> 00:06:54,599 Speaker 1: four to twenty It happened two times, or in Week sixteen, 141 00:06:54,680 --> 00:06:57,599 Speaker 1: seventeen and twenty four, and Week one and two in 142 00:06:57,680 --> 00:07:01,279 Speaker 1: twenty three. In the two previous inst Tomlin covered at 143 00:07:01,360 --> 00:07:03,880 Speaker 1: least one of those games. But you know what, forget it. 144 00:07:04,360 --> 00:07:07,279 Speaker 1: I'm not buying it. Okay, I'm just not I'm not 145 00:07:07,320 --> 00:07:10,040 Speaker 1: buying it. Mike Tomlin as a straight up dog in 146 00:07:10,040 --> 00:07:13,120 Speaker 1: the last twenty years is nineteen and fourteen straight up. 147 00:07:13,560 --> 00:07:16,080 Speaker 1: Tomlin coming off the loss is sixty one and forty 148 00:07:16,120 --> 00:07:19,160 Speaker 1: seven straight up. As the coach of the Steelers mismatch, 149 00:07:19,320 --> 00:07:21,679 Speaker 1: I think the culture a better football team. Jonathan Taylor 150 00:07:21,720 --> 00:07:24,520 Speaker 1: and company. They run the ball, they win, they cover. 151 00:07:24,760 --> 00:07:28,600 Speaker 1: Give me the Colts minus three here coming up for today. 152 00:07:29,360 --> 00:07:33,160 Speaker 1: I made mention of the Lions. Look the Lions lose 153 00:07:33,200 --> 00:07:35,080 Speaker 1: this game to the Vikings. I'm in deep trouble because 154 00:07:35,120 --> 00:07:37,000 Speaker 1: I'm going to tease this eight and a half down 155 00:07:37,280 --> 00:07:39,360 Speaker 1: to two and a half and take the Lions. I 156 00:07:39,360 --> 00:07:41,480 Speaker 1: think everyone's going to be doing this. But I think 157 00:07:41,480 --> 00:07:43,440 Speaker 1: when you look at this Lions team and look at 158 00:07:43,480 --> 00:07:46,800 Speaker 1: the Vikings team JJ McCarthy, I think this is all blowout. 159 00:07:47,000 --> 00:07:50,120 Speaker 1: I think the Lions absolutely kill the Vikings today and 160 00:07:50,160 --> 00:07:51,440 Speaker 1: again it's divisional games. 161 00:07:51,560 --> 00:07:52,560 Speaker 2: Got to be careful with this. 162 00:07:52,640 --> 00:07:56,240 Speaker 1: But Jared goff in its excuse me, in his career 163 00:07:56,880 --> 00:07:59,560 Speaker 1: it's seven and three straight up against the Vikings. 164 00:08:00,120 --> 00:08:01,360 Speaker 2: Goff plays the Vikings. 165 00:08:01,400 --> 00:08:03,880 Speaker 1: As the quarterback of the Lions, he's eight no ats, 166 00:08:04,320 --> 00:08:07,360 Speaker 1: eight you know, ats against the Vikings. That's the best 167 00:08:07,440 --> 00:08:10,560 Speaker 1: mark of any quarterback against the mc north against Minnesota 168 00:08:10,640 --> 00:08:14,480 Speaker 1: in the last twenty years. He eats this team alive. 169 00:08:15,120 --> 00:08:18,480 Speaker 1: The total is low, guys, it's under fifty. When the 170 00:08:18,520 --> 00:08:21,680 Speaker 1: total drop below fifty. Here they're eighteen and eight to 171 00:08:21,720 --> 00:08:23,960 Speaker 1: the over. So you want to take an overplay go 172 00:08:24,080 --> 00:08:26,600 Speaker 1: right ahead, but maybe the blitz gets home. Maybe the 173 00:08:26,640 --> 00:08:29,960 Speaker 1: Lions offensive lines didn't play very well. But their defense 174 00:08:29,960 --> 00:08:35,320 Speaker 1: against JJ McCarthy, they are fifth in rushing and they 175 00:08:35,360 --> 00:08:38,520 Speaker 1: are tenth in sacks. I mean, they just get after 176 00:08:38,559 --> 00:08:41,440 Speaker 1: the quarterback. They don't let you run the football on them. 177 00:08:41,720 --> 00:08:43,600 Speaker 1: And what do the Vikings have to do. They have 178 00:08:43,640 --> 00:08:46,199 Speaker 1: to run the football with J. McCarthy and they've got 179 00:08:46,200 --> 00:08:48,520 Speaker 1: to get him some time. And if they can't do that. 180 00:08:48,640 --> 00:08:52,000 Speaker 1: JJ McCarthy just does not play well under pressure at all. 181 00:08:52,240 --> 00:08:55,080 Speaker 1: On extended prep time, Jared Goff is twenty one eleven 182 00:08:55,120 --> 00:08:58,160 Speaker 1: and two ats, including fourteen to four and one straight 183 00:08:58,240 --> 00:09:00,640 Speaker 1: up and fifteen and four ats with Tis the Lions 184 00:09:00,880 --> 00:09:03,160 Speaker 1: covering the spread by an average of six point four 185 00:09:03,200 --> 00:09:06,760 Speaker 1: points per game. Lions have scored eighty eight points off 186 00:09:06,800 --> 00:09:09,760 Speaker 1: their regular season buy over the last two seasons. You 187 00:09:09,800 --> 00:09:13,640 Speaker 1: want team total Lions over, you can bet that. I'm 188 00:09:13,640 --> 00:09:15,959 Speaker 1: just gonna go hit money line Lions as part of 189 00:09:16,000 --> 00:09:18,520 Speaker 1: the four leg money line parlay and pull it down 190 00:09:18,559 --> 00:09:20,760 Speaker 1: to two and a half for the Lions. What am 191 00:09:20,760 --> 00:09:23,480 Speaker 1: I doing on the other side? The Patriots? Look it. 192 00:09:23,960 --> 00:09:26,080 Speaker 1: I can't wait to get on with Terrell because he's 193 00:09:26,320 --> 00:09:28,480 Speaker 1: spitting all these stats about how the Lions. How a 194 00:09:28,520 --> 00:09:30,360 Speaker 1: me talking about how the Falcons are gonna go into 195 00:09:30,360 --> 00:09:33,920 Speaker 1: Foxborough and somehow push the Patriots look they might cover. 196 00:09:34,160 --> 00:09:36,800 Speaker 2: And it's a big mite. Okay, it's a big, big. 197 00:09:36,679 --> 00:09:39,600 Speaker 1: Mic and everyone's waiting for the fraud sign to come 198 00:09:39,600 --> 00:09:40,880 Speaker 1: out in Foxborough. 199 00:09:40,960 --> 00:09:42,439 Speaker 2: The Patriots aren't this good? 200 00:09:42,800 --> 00:09:46,080 Speaker 1: Okay, I'm sorry, I'm I'm gonna watch my eyes and 201 00:09:46,080 --> 00:09:48,760 Speaker 1: I'm gonna watch who's the better quarterback right now, Michael 202 00:09:48,800 --> 00:09:52,720 Speaker 1: Pennix Junior or Drake May. The Patriots are at home 203 00:09:52,840 --> 00:09:56,559 Speaker 1: against a dome team from Atlanta who cannot beat the Patriots. 204 00:09:57,000 --> 00:09:59,480 Speaker 1: They cannot beat the Patriots. It goes back further than 205 00:09:59,520 --> 00:10:01,520 Speaker 1: twenty eight to three. By the way, this is not 206 00:10:01,600 --> 00:10:05,080 Speaker 1: just like one or two games they have dominated, and 207 00:10:05,120 --> 00:10:08,199 Speaker 1: I mean they have dominated the Falcons, and they're going 208 00:10:08,240 --> 00:10:11,840 Speaker 1: into Foxborough after the Falcons got blown out at home. 209 00:10:12,360 --> 00:10:14,840 Speaker 1: Teams after a losing as a favorite of seven points 210 00:10:14,920 --> 00:10:19,160 Speaker 1: or more are covering at a fifty eight percent clip. So 211 00:10:19,240 --> 00:10:21,440 Speaker 1: maybe there's a little bit of a bounce back spot here. 212 00:10:21,480 --> 00:10:23,520 Speaker 1: But I'm not gonna worry about the points bread at 213 00:10:23,520 --> 00:10:25,760 Speaker 1: five and a half or six. I'm just pulling the 214 00:10:25,760 --> 00:10:29,480 Speaker 1: Patriots down to a money line half a point. Patriots 215 00:10:29,800 --> 00:10:33,280 Speaker 1: catching a half a point here. Look, Bijon Robinson is 216 00:10:33,280 --> 00:10:35,520 Speaker 1: not going to run the ball. Bjon Robinson might get 217 00:10:35,520 --> 00:10:37,320 Speaker 1: some action in the passing game here. He might be 218 00:10:37,320 --> 00:10:39,280 Speaker 1: able to dink and duck and make some plays. I 219 00:10:39,280 --> 00:10:42,120 Speaker 1: don't think the Patriots beat the Falcons as badly as 220 00:10:42,120 --> 00:10:44,720 Speaker 1: the Dolphins did. But did you see the dumpster fire 221 00:10:44,800 --> 00:10:47,200 Speaker 1: of the Dolphins on Thursday night? Did you see that 222 00:10:47,240 --> 00:10:50,080 Speaker 1: football team? And now that team and again it Mike 223 00:10:50,160 --> 00:10:52,560 Speaker 1: McDaniel was a horrible coach when it comes to off 224 00:10:52,600 --> 00:10:55,160 Speaker 1: short weeks. But you're telling me that this team is 225 00:10:55,200 --> 00:10:58,400 Speaker 1: gonna somehow rally and go on the road to Foxborough, 226 00:10:58,600 --> 00:11:01,000 Speaker 1: where you've got a defense waiting for you. In a 227 00:11:01,040 --> 00:11:03,520 Speaker 1: Mike Vrabel team that's coaching about the team going week 228 00:11:03,559 --> 00:11:05,920 Speaker 1: to week and not getting too far ahead of themselves. 229 00:11:06,400 --> 00:11:09,360 Speaker 1: Huge opportunity with the Chiefs playing the Bills. If the 230 00:11:09,400 --> 00:11:12,400 Speaker 1: Bills lose that football game, Patriots win this game, they're 231 00:11:12,440 --> 00:11:14,199 Speaker 1: seven and two and they'll have a game and a 232 00:11:14,200 --> 00:11:17,200 Speaker 1: half lead on the Bills in the AFC East. 233 00:11:17,280 --> 00:11:19,319 Speaker 2: This is a much bigger game than people are thinking. 234 00:11:19,360 --> 00:11:21,400 Speaker 1: And I can tell you right here in Patriotville where 235 00:11:21,400 --> 00:11:24,640 Speaker 1: I'm sitting in Boston, there's a lot of excitement for 236 00:11:24,679 --> 00:11:26,800 Speaker 1: what this Patriots team is doing, and a loss to 237 00:11:26,840 --> 00:11:30,920 Speaker 1: the Falcons would really cool things down dramatically for the Patriots. 238 00:11:31,520 --> 00:11:34,520 Speaker 1: Give me culture, give me the better head coaching matchup, 239 00:11:34,640 --> 00:11:37,000 Speaker 1: give me the better quarterback, give me the better defense. 240 00:11:37,600 --> 00:11:40,800 Speaker 1: I'm going in here, Patriots. Tease it down for the 241 00:11:40,840 --> 00:11:43,959 Speaker 1: Patriots here. Down to plus five or even does a 242 00:11:44,000 --> 00:11:46,520 Speaker 1: pick them take the Pats to win the game. Lions 243 00:11:46,559 --> 00:11:49,280 Speaker 1: minus two and a half, Patriots out of half a 244 00:11:49,320 --> 00:11:51,600 Speaker 1: point or a pick them to win the game here 245 00:11:51,640 --> 00:11:53,679 Speaker 1: at home. Don't worry about the spread, just get the 246 00:11:53,720 --> 00:11:56,600 Speaker 1: Patriots to win the game. It's time now for the 247 00:11:56,679 --> 00:12:00,000 Speaker 1: hard rock bet of the day, and this is for 248 00:12:00,200 --> 00:12:03,920 Speaker 1: our guy Andrew Erickson, who puts out a tremendous primer 249 00:12:04,000 --> 00:12:06,679 Speaker 1: every single week for the NFL. If you weren't reading 250 00:12:06,679 --> 00:12:09,080 Speaker 1: it on the Betting Pros website or the Betting Pros app, 251 00:12:09,120 --> 00:12:11,240 Speaker 1: you absolutely should do that. He gives us some great stats, 252 00:12:11,440 --> 00:12:13,440 Speaker 1: give us some great information. And this is one bet 253 00:12:13,440 --> 00:12:14,920 Speaker 1: that I'm going to trail him on and I like 254 00:12:14,960 --> 00:12:17,600 Speaker 1: it a lot. It's the Buffalo Bills to come in 255 00:12:17,640 --> 00:12:20,560 Speaker 1: here over twenty six and a half team total points 256 00:12:20,600 --> 00:12:24,200 Speaker 1: tonight for the Bills laying one ling mice one oh 257 00:12:24,200 --> 00:12:27,280 Speaker 1: eight against the Chiefs, and I think when you look 258 00:12:27,280 --> 00:12:30,920 Speaker 1: at the offense here for this Buffalo Bills team coming 259 00:12:30,960 --> 00:12:34,400 Speaker 1: off a bye, they have played really, really well off 260 00:12:34,400 --> 00:12:38,800 Speaker 1: of a buy facing top defenses. Jared Josh Allen has 261 00:12:38,840 --> 00:12:42,240 Speaker 1: done it, allowing fewer than twenty points per game twenty 262 00:12:42,280 --> 00:12:44,640 Speaker 1: eight times during his career. In the regular season, Allen 263 00:12:44,720 --> 00:12:48,000 Speaker 1: is twenty three and five straight up in those games. 264 00:12:48,120 --> 00:12:51,320 Speaker 1: He's twenty two to five and one ATS on those games, 265 00:12:51,360 --> 00:12:53,920 Speaker 1: and including a sixteen to four and one ATS mark 266 00:12:54,080 --> 00:12:56,440 Speaker 1: when his opponents are over five hundred straight up on 267 00:12:56,480 --> 00:12:58,840 Speaker 1: the season when the spread is four points are less 268 00:12:58,840 --> 00:13:01,600 Speaker 1: than those twenty eight games Allen and the Bills are 269 00:13:01,679 --> 00:13:05,280 Speaker 1: fifteen and one straight up and fifteen in one ATS 270 00:13:05,320 --> 00:13:08,640 Speaker 1: in those games coming off a buye, he's averaging twenty 271 00:13:08,679 --> 00:13:12,680 Speaker 1: eight points per game and nine to zero off the buy. 272 00:13:13,000 --> 00:13:14,920 Speaker 1: You want the Bills to win this game, they need 273 00:13:15,000 --> 00:13:17,360 Speaker 1: to score twenty seven or more points in my mind, 274 00:13:17,400 --> 00:13:20,800 Speaker 1: because that's my number for the case Chiefs. I think 275 00:13:20,840 --> 00:13:22,640 Speaker 1: Casey is gonna be able to run the ball even 276 00:13:22,679 --> 00:13:25,200 Speaker 1: without some injuries. But Checko and company having some issues 277 00:13:25,200 --> 00:13:27,319 Speaker 1: with the running game here. I think we're gonna see 278 00:13:27,360 --> 00:13:29,120 Speaker 1: a lot of offense in this football game. I don't 279 00:13:29,160 --> 00:13:32,000 Speaker 1: mind the overplay, but I prefer to jump in with 280 00:13:32,120 --> 00:13:35,120 Speaker 1: the Bills and just have the Buffalo Bills go ahead 281 00:13:35,480 --> 00:13:36,520 Speaker 1: and score here. 282 00:13:36,760 --> 00:13:38,280 Speaker 2: And it's only mins one to wait. It's you got 283 00:13:38,320 --> 00:13:39,120 Speaker 2: good price on that. 284 00:13:39,400 --> 00:13:41,240 Speaker 1: Get that minds want to wait on the Buffalo Bills 285 00:13:41,480 --> 00:13:43,160 Speaker 1: to go ahead and score over twenty six and a 286 00:13:43,200 --> 00:13:47,560 Speaker 1: half points for our hard Rock Bet of the Day. 287 00:13:47,760 --> 00:13:51,280 Speaker 1: Hard Rock Bet is the putting sponsor of this podcast. 288 00:13:51,360 --> 00:13:53,880 Speaker 1: It's a golden time of the year, not just pro football, 289 00:13:53,920 --> 00:13:56,599 Speaker 1: but the NBA is rocking, college football, college hoops is 290 00:13:56,600 --> 00:13:59,000 Speaker 1: around the corner, and hockey is all going on here. 291 00:13:59,400 --> 00:14:01,439 Speaker 1: There is ton there's ton thing to bet on. If 292 00:14:01,440 --> 00:14:03,600 Speaker 1: you haven't tried the first bet yet on hard Rock Bet, 293 00:14:03,640 --> 00:14:05,439 Speaker 1: you should do so. Still time for you to get 294 00:14:05,440 --> 00:14:07,680 Speaker 1: one hundred three dollars in bonus bets. If you win, 295 00:14:07,760 --> 00:14:09,319 Speaker 1: just place a five dollars bet and not hit to 296 00:14:09,320 --> 00:14:11,840 Speaker 1: get your winnings plus one hundred and fifty dollars in 297 00:14:11,960 --> 00:14:14,920 Speaker 1: bonus bets. Hard Rock Bet sports book app is legal. 298 00:14:15,000 --> 00:14:17,679 Speaker 1: It's the only legal sports book wherever you're in Florida, 299 00:14:17,720 --> 00:14:22,120 Speaker 1: but it's also in Arizona, Ohio, New Jersey, Indiana, Tennessee, Virginia, Illinois, 300 00:14:22,120 --> 00:14:22,800 Speaker 1: and Colorado. 301 00:14:23,160 --> 00:14:24,160 Speaker 2: More states coming soon. 302 00:14:24,360 --> 00:14:26,840 Speaker 1: Plus, hard Rock Bet offers promos every single day, so 303 00:14:26,840 --> 00:14:28,600 Speaker 1: when you're listening, just open the. 304 00:14:28,560 --> 00:14:31,040 Speaker 2: App and check out what you've got. 305 00:14:31,080 --> 00:14:33,680 Speaker 1: Any day of the week, download the hard Rock Bet 306 00:14:33,720 --> 00:14:36,320 Speaker 1: app and make your first deposits. 307 00:14:36,400 --> 00:14:37,520 Speaker 2: My name is Matt Parreltz. 308 00:14:37,640 --> 00:14:39,840 Speaker 1: Reminder that we are going to be live at noon 309 00:14:39,840 --> 00:14:44,480 Speaker 1: Eastern nine am Pacific time for the live stream on 310 00:14:44,520 --> 00:14:48,760 Speaker 1: the Betting Pros YouTube channel. Our place for today Packers Chargers, Rams, 311 00:14:48,800 --> 00:14:52,120 Speaker 1: Lions money line parlay at minus one forty. The Colts 312 00:14:52,120 --> 00:14:54,480 Speaker 1: minus three on the road against the Steelers at minus 313 00:14:54,520 --> 00:14:57,920 Speaker 1: one ten Lions minus two and a half Patriots plus 314 00:14:57,960 --> 00:15:01,000 Speaker 1: five plus a half a point rather teasing for our 315 00:15:01,040 --> 00:15:02,960 Speaker 1: teaser of the week, and the hard rock bet of 316 00:15:03,000 --> 00:15:05,920 Speaker 1: the day is the Bills team total over twenty six 317 00:15:06,280 --> 00:15:10,080 Speaker 1: and a half for their game against the KC Chiefs. 318 00:15:10,200 --> 00:15:12,120 Speaker 1: Talk to you guys, coming up in a couple of hours. 319 00:15:12,240 --> 00:15:14,000 Speaker 1: My name is Matt Parogi. Guys can follow me across 320 00:15:14,040 --> 00:15:16,560 Speaker 1: all my socials at Sports Doc Matt each and every morning, 321 00:15:16,640 --> 00:15:17,760 Speaker 1: even live from the airport. 322 00:15:18,080 --> 00:15:19,640 Speaker 2: It is the Daily Juice podcast.