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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast.

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Speaker 2: PODA, All Right, here we go fifteen, twenty, twenty five,

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Speaker 2: thirty thirty five, forty forty five, fifty and the.

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Speaker 1: Kicks Black College Football World Stunners.

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Speaker 2: Oh my goodness, please stop over and bumble the latter.

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Speaker 1: Turn a tater on the.

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Speaker 2: Exode, j the lad a table off, the fail the night.

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Speaker 1: My god, it's not the size of the dog in

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Speaker 1: the fighting, it's the size of the fight in all

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Speaker 1: What's up the generation? Welcome to the Big Bets on

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Speaker 1: Campus Podcast presented by DraftKings. This is the Week eleven

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Speaker 1: college football betting preview. I'm stucky in joining me as

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Speaker 1: always my fellow BBOC co host Colin Wilson. A lot

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Speaker 1: to get to today. As always, we'll hit I don't know,

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Speaker 1: probably twenty twenty five games in total on the card,

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Speaker 1: including some Friday night games and of course the majority

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Speaker 1: of Saturday's action. Before we get started, a couple public

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Speaker 1: service announcements. If you use Twitter, make sure you check

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Speaker 1: out Playbook. It's a new betting bot from Action turn

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Speaker 1: just say just at Playbook, follow them on Twitter and

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Speaker 1: just at them if you see a bet you like,

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Speaker 1: Save you some time. We'll also have a quick slip

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Speaker 1: link in the video and podcast description where you can

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Speaker 1: find and tail some of the bets we discuss in

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Speaker 1: today's episode, or you can visit Action number dot com

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Speaker 1: slash bet now. I'm also the new clost to the

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Speaker 1: Favorites podcast, which is a term of the new lineup myself,

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Speaker 1: Kendrick Middleton, and Brandon Kravitz. Episodes Tuesday's, Thursday Sundays, bet Stories,

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Speaker 1: a lot of fun. A'll sened around the NFL. We've

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Speaker 1: hit a couple big parlays in a row. Want a show,

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Speaker 1: and then I talked through the NFL card in addition

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Speaker 1: to what I'm doing with Chris Raybaund on the Action

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Speaker 1: Howork podcast. Make sure you check that out and if

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Speaker 1: you have time right now, really appreciate if you leave

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Speaker 1: a five star review. Subscribe on Subscribed to Scripting the Drill,

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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus podcast is sponsored by DraftKings

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Speaker 1: up with DraftKings for three months of NBA League Pass

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Speaker 1: and three hundred dollars back in bonus bets. If your

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Speaker 1: bet wins, the crown is yours. Quick recap of matching,

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Speaker 1: Oh my god, I went zero to two and weekday

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Speaker 1: maction I had mine. Ohio plus three and a half

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Speaker 1: closes two and a half. I think right side the

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Speaker 1: entire game. They can't get in from the one. They

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Speaker 1: have a sack to end the game, there's a face mask.

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Speaker 1: Ohio scores a touchdown on a play that there was

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Speaker 1: about seven penalties on. Infuriating game.

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Speaker 2: I upgraded Miami in the Power ratings in downgrade, Ohio.

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Speaker 2: Despite the final.

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Speaker 1: Score, yeah, not covering three and a half. There was something.

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Speaker 1: And then I had Kent State plus three. You want

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Speaker 1: to talk about the right side didn't cover I mean

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Speaker 1: that box score. Ball State at two hundred and thirty

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Speaker 1: yards three point eight yards per play, Kent State five

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Speaker 1: yards per play, one to five on fourth down. They

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Speaker 1: had a fourth and one to end the game. Couldn't

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Speaker 1: get it. Ball State scores on a thirty on a

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Speaker 1: fourth down touchdown pass in the final minute to win

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Speaker 1: by four. Kent State went one to five on fourth down,

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Speaker 1: went for some reason went for it on fourth and

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Speaker 1: goal from the nine. Instead of kicking the field goal.

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Speaker 1: They made a field goal, but out a legal formation

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Speaker 1: missed the redo. Incredible. Ball State was dreadful. Ball State's

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Speaker 1: longest drive of the day fifty yards, so two losers

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Speaker 1: by a total of a point and a half. I

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Speaker 1: think got the right side. But that's what happens to

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Speaker 1: the mac. Some that officiating at the end of the

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Speaker 1: Ohio game was something, but that's whay it goes. Sometimes

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Speaker 1: college football just try to get the best number and

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Speaker 1: then hope for some calls and some bounces. Dabo has

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Speaker 1: been complaining about the refs about accountability, which I actually

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Speaker 1: agree with them on. That's acc reps. The lower you go,

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Speaker 1: I mean, go back to that kenisall Utep game, that

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Speaker 1: Ohio game. They missed three holes the offensive pass. The

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Speaker 1: lower you go, the worse it gets, YEP. So you

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Speaker 1: just got to live with that. Sometimes we're on to

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Speaker 1: the weekend. Let's dive right in.

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Speaker 2: I'm proud of you forgetting in though, because I said

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Speaker 2: live betting targets and they newhere got close.

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Speaker 1: You know Toledo that if you had Toledo, that was

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Speaker 1: the clear right side.

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Speaker 2: It hit fourteen and a half and I was like, well,

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Speaker 2: maybe a fourteen to pop live game was over.

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Speaker 1: Obviously was the clear right side. Day favorites been four

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Speaker 1: and out. But I did think Kent State and even

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Speaker 1: not being biased when I graded the games Kent State

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Speaker 1: and Miaueliowa the right sides. But that's the way the

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Speaker 1: cookie crumble sometimes. Let's get into these games. It's another

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Speaker 1: fabulous weekend of college football. Let's check out the marquee matchups.

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Speaker 2: We'll all end up bedding for Week eleven.

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Speaker 1: We'll do it more rapid fire. There's not like wow,

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Speaker 1: Banger games. So we'll try to get through as many

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Speaker 1: as we can of the marquee games on the slate.

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Speaker 1: Let's start a BYU at Texas Tech. BYU is a

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Speaker 1: ten and a half point dog total fifty two and

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Speaker 1: a half. I mean, look, it's been talked about a lot.

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Speaker 1: There's a reason that Texas Tech is a ten and

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Speaker 1: a half point favorite here at home against an eight

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Speaker 1: no BYU team that's ranked ahead of them BYU. Probably

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Speaker 1: should have lost to Arizona. Got a little fortunate against Utah.

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Speaker 1: I mean, the performance at Colorado wasn't even that impressive.

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Speaker 1: His team that's been pretty fortunate. I mean four to

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Speaker 1: ozho turnover wins. They've won the turn of about a

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Speaker 1: four to nothing against Iowa State, not win. He hasn't

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Speaker 1: even aged that great, So a bit of a fraud

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Speaker 1: to BYU and Texas Tech has has looked pretty dominant.

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Speaker 1: I was really impressed with that win. Taking care of

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Speaker 1: business in Manhattan last week. The offense just has so

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Speaker 1: much more juice with Baron Morton, although without Hammond he's

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Speaker 1: got to stay healthy. He's always an injury risk. And

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Speaker 1: then if he gets turger down to Mitch Griffiths the

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Speaker 1: wake forest transfer and then things could get a little diceier.

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Speaker 1: But when you start LJ, Martin will go for BYU,

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Speaker 1: which is important helps their rushing attack keeps him a

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Speaker 1: little bit more balanced. I think only has one leg,

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Speaker 1: but yeah, yeah, we'll see how healthy he is. But

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Speaker 1: if he can go, that would be helpful. At the

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Speaker 1: story of the game, where you have to start with

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Speaker 1: Tech is the defensive line. Their defensive Like why Georgia

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Speaker 1: and Alabama aren't as elite this year as usual is

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Speaker 1: their defensive lines aren't as elite as they usually are.

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Speaker 1: And you can look at the sack and the pressure numbers.

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Speaker 1: I mean, Georgia is third worst than sack rate. The

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Speaker 1: only two teams that are worse are air Force in

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Speaker 1: Georgia Southern because their front just isn't as elite as

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Speaker 1: we're used to seeing. You know who has an elite front,

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Speaker 1: it's Tech Texas. Tech has an elite sec caliber defensive front.

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Speaker 1: They went out in the portal, they paid for it.

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Speaker 1: They hit Rodriguez is also excellent linebackers. They're front seven.

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Speaker 2: David Bailey Romelo height ninety five pressures from the edge.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, menaces, So that's where it starts with Texas Tech,

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Speaker 1: and that's why I think they're the class. The offense

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Speaker 1: is good with Morton, but they're the class of the

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Speaker 1: Big twelve. Now, the secondary I think still has a

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Speaker 1: little bit more questions than Ken bare Ken bear Bachmeyer

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Speaker 1: have enough time in the pocket? Can he avoid making mistakes?

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Speaker 1: I think he might be a little overdue in that

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Speaker 1: department to make a few. At ten, I lean Tech here,

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Speaker 1: but I think it's pretty fairly priced. To what are

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Speaker 1: you seeing here, I.

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Speaker 2: Think it's extremely fairly priced. I make it eleven.

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Speaker 1: And you know, I had a heart that's around where

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Speaker 1: I am.

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Speaker 2: I wrote this up for action, and I had a

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Speaker 2: little bit of a hard time at the end. I

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Speaker 2: got all the data in there, and then I get

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Speaker 2: to the end, I'm like, this all points too, and

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Speaker 2: so I have to start with Byu and bear Bachmeyer,

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Speaker 2: and I kid about l J. Martin. He only having

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Speaker 2: one leg. It's an upper body injury that he suffered

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Speaker 2: in the first half against Iowa State, but he's going

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Speaker 2: to play and they're going to need him because it's

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Speaker 2: a zone read attack that's based upon the two of

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Speaker 2: them mesh running the ball, and without that you just

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Speaker 2: have bear Bachmeyer doing quarterback, you know, design run.

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Speaker 1: And their adapt running back isn't great. And then there's

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Speaker 1: there's also injuries behind him.

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Speaker 2: Well, they don't have the juice. The rest of the

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Speaker 2: running backs don't have the juice at LJ. Martin does.

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Speaker 2: So this is a heavy rush offense. I mean that

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Speaker 2: is what they take their pride and their sixth in

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Speaker 2: offensive quality drives, which means they're almost always in scoring position.

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Speaker 2: But if they don't have a healthy LJ. Martin, that

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Speaker 2: puts a big stump in it. Now that the passing,

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Speaker 2: I just don't expect anything out of BYU's passing. You

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Speaker 2: Tescas Texas is great. It is the best coverage unit

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Speaker 2: per PFF. Not to say that bear Bachmeyer can't pull

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Speaker 2: some rabbits out of a hat here, But I said,

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Speaker 2: Bailey and height ninety five pressures from the edge. They

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Speaker 2: Texas Tech went deep into the portal within with money

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Speaker 2: and they went and got you know, they got the

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Speaker 2: best defense that they could buy. Does I think I

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Speaker 2: think the question is is can those guys maintain pass

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Speaker 2: lane integrity?

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Speaker 1: Right?

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Speaker 2: We've seen edges get so far up the field. The

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Speaker 2: quarterbacks can take off up the gut. That is the

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Speaker 2: Bear Bachmeyer specialty is taking off up the gut. But

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Speaker 2: that might be the offense when you go to the

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Speaker 2: other side of the ball, Jay Hill, just that defense,

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Speaker 2: that Nickel defense just shuts down the pass. Their top

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Speaker 2: twenty five and success rate top twenty five and creating

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Speaker 2: contested catches. So you know, Baron Morton's only seen fifty

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Speaker 2: pressures this season, and BYU does not allow pressure. I'm sorry,

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Speaker 2: they do not apply pressure whatsoever. So they got to

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Speaker 2: do that the blitz, that's yeah, yeah, So both sides

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Speaker 2: of the ball here. I don't see Texas Tech Rush

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Speaker 2: offense moving the ball against BYU, and the BYU defense

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Speaker 2: thrives against the pass. I don't see BYU getting anything

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Speaker 2: done in the past, and the Bear heroics are going

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Speaker 2: to be needed for them to generate any scoring opportunities.

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Speaker 2: And by the way, Texas Tech dominates Zone RAAID at

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Speaker 2: sixty five percent success rate. Everything points to me that

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Speaker 2: these offenses are going to have major issues in the

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Speaker 2: first few series getting on track. I took the under.

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Speaker 2: I like the under, although I do projectives a little

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Speaker 2: bit higher. I don't know how these offenses get going

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Speaker 2: because they're running into the teeth of what the other

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Speaker 2: teams do best.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, my only pushback, don't I don't mind the under here.

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Speaker 1: My only pushback would be has like the BYU pass defense,

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Speaker 1: have they really been tested well?

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Speaker 2: They play so many guys back that they don't have

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Speaker 2: a pass rush because they don't rush, they don't send

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Speaker 2: extra stunts they play. You know, it's a nickel defense,

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Speaker 2: but they just create this shit. They don't want anybody

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Speaker 2: to get behind them, so they'll give up an eight

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Speaker 2: yard run.

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Speaker 1: Yeah no, but I'm just saying this will definitely be

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Speaker 1: the best passing attack. Like, Yeah, they've played. They played

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Speaker 1: West Virginia and Western have used the running quarterback. They

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Speaker 1: played Colorado, Stanford, Portland State ECU. I guess is a

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Speaker 1: decent passing attack, but they're a group of five caliber

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Speaker 1: in that game, what hous er you did throw for

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Speaker 1: three hundred? They just turned the ball over. Arizona has

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Speaker 1: a decent passing attack, and they did a pretty good

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Speaker 1: job against the FIA. It only threw for like two

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Speaker 1: hundred yards on forty five attempts. But Utah's they don't.

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Speaker 1: Utah doesn't really have the juice of receiver need, a

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Speaker 1: desire with State and I mean back through for three hundred.

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Speaker 1: But having set all that, I just the caliber of

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Speaker 1: competition from a passing talent standpoint hasn't been great. So

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Speaker 1: maybe you get some explosives from Tech as a result,

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Speaker 1: But I don't mind with your look.

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Speaker 2: That's where that's where the game gets decided because Texas

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Speaker 2: Tech can't run the ball the one hundred and twenty

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Speaker 2: fourth in line yards. They Jacoby Williams and Cameron Dicky

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Speaker 2: like three and a half yards after first contact.

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Speaker 1: There it's like an inefficient explosive like they Yes they

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Speaker 1: hunt for explosives, but it's not very efficient on a

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Speaker 1: down to down basis. But at ten Eileen Tech, but

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Speaker 1: I don't think there's any great value Texas A and

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Speaker 1: M at Missouri. Texas A and M is seven point favorite. Here,

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Speaker 1: you're going to get the third string quarterback for Missouri,

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Speaker 1: Mattie Zohlers. He looked okay against Vandy. I really don't

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Speaker 1: know what to expect here. So there's a couple angles

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Speaker 1: worth mentioning one. I mean, I guess the spot on

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Speaker 1: the surface favors Missouri, like you have Texas A and

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Speaker 1: M doesn't even really need this game Missouri, You're probably

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Speaker 1: going to get an all out effort against an undefeated

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Speaker 1: team at home coming off of a bye. I think

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Speaker 1: one of the keys of this game is what does

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Speaker 1: the script look like? Because Texas A and M probably

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Speaker 1: doesn't know what to anticipate, and Missouri has to get

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Speaker 1: off to a fast start here. This is just iddink.

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Speaker 1: Seven is the perfect number. This is just hard. What

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Speaker 1: are we going to get from Zolars Also, he's not

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Speaker 1: as good of a runner as Perbula, so that's gonna

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Speaker 1: hurt Hardy and the overall rushing attack. Additionally, on the

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Speaker 1: other side of the ball, one of the reasons that

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Speaker 1: tex SAANAM is so good this year's their offensive line

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Speaker 1: is one of the best in the country. Missouri's defense

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Speaker 1: is all about those stud edge rushers and generating pressure.

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Speaker 1: They're shaky on the back end, so if A and

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Speaker 1: M is able to pass protect and hold that pass

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Speaker 1: rushing check, there's gonna be opportunities for A and M

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Speaker 1: to hit some explosive passing players have done against almost everybody.

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Speaker 1: A and M has been a second half team all year,

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Speaker 1: so I could see a look at like Missouri first

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Speaker 1: half because they're gonna need to get off the fast start.

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Speaker 1: They're gonna need a good script here, But I also

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Speaker 1: could see it going downhill. It all comes down to Zolers, like,

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Speaker 1: is what's he going to look like? He does he

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Speaker 1: if it's a complete disaster. This is A and M

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Speaker 1: by twenty plus. If he can get off to a

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Speaker 1: fast start, the script is good. They can get a

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Speaker 1: lead going into the half. They can be feisty and

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Speaker 1: cover here and maybe even pull out the outright win Northfleet.

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Speaker 1: Their tight end also is questionable. Who's worth mentioning? It

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Speaker 1: is a tough game, sat at seven. I think if

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Speaker 1: I had to bet it, I guess I would take

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Speaker 1: A and M just because you don't know you're going

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Speaker 1: to give this quarterback. And I think, and but if

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Speaker 1: he goes down here, if he goes down with an injury,

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Speaker 1: I mean, you're you're talking walk on. There's there's h

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Speaker 1: Brett Brown. He's a walk on, Drew Lock's nephew. How

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Speaker 1: old are we Drew Lock's nephews? A walk on quarterback

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Speaker 1: on the team. Tommy Locke, uh so, But I think

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Speaker 1: Spot says Missouri. But a lot of uncertainty with the

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Speaker 1: quarterback situation, and A and M certainly can block Missouri,

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Speaker 1: which could present some problems for the back end on

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Speaker 1: the Tigers. What are you seeing here?

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Speaker 2: Wouldn't be the first time an SEC team went to

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Speaker 2: the intramural field to find a quarterback. H I know

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Speaker 2: Arkansas has done that before. I make the game four

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Speaker 2: and a half if Permula would have played.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, that's how what is it? I'm using three right

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Speaker 1: to drop off?

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Speaker 2: And I just you know, I watched the film of

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Speaker 2: his fortne I watched Owlers fourteen of twenty four, and

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Speaker 2: I mean I thought he looked for a four star.

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Speaker 2: He got it, he zipped it. It didn't look like

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Speaker 2: there were holes, he didn't look scared. Now he gets,

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Speaker 2: you know, a bunch of practice with the ones to

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Speaker 2: see what he can do here. So I'm not really

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Speaker 2: sure there's that big of a drop off because I

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Speaker 2: don't think.

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Speaker 1: I don't think his arm is a drop off, Like

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Speaker 1: Pabula didn't have an elite arm, and he wasn't like

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Speaker 1: ripping the world on He wasn't lighting torching the world

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Speaker 1: on fire with this Missouri passing attack. Might where it

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Speaker 1: could be a drop off was obviously Freshmans. You gotta

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Speaker 1: you don't know, But there is a rushing attack much

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Speaker 1: worse off and less efficient. Like this is big. Missouri's

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Speaker 1: kind of like a a service academy team, because I mean,

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Speaker 1: you look they were what are they averaging? They're averaging

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Speaker 1: twenty five more plays a game than their opponent. Like

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Speaker 1: that's insane. That's kind of how they play. But now

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Speaker 1: if you don't have a mobile quarterback, and Hardy has

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Speaker 1: kind of disappeared of late, but not having to worry

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Speaker 1: about the mobile quarterback, does that hurt Hardy? And then

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Speaker 1: it's easier to defend their run game, and then you're

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Speaker 1: down to the freshman having to throw more, which isn't

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Speaker 1: really Missouri's identity, So that I use three, which is

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Speaker 1: why I'm at like around seven, a little over seven.

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Speaker 2: So I think this actually does come down as all

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Speaker 2: as his arm. And the reason is I'm on Hardy.

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Speaker 2: He's been declining week after week. He finally gets some rest,

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Speaker 2: We'll see if he can come back with outside zone.

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Speaker 1: That's true.

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Speaker 2: The problem is Texas A and M if you look

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Speaker 2: in their run concepts on defense, as bad as they've

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Speaker 2: been in some areas on defense, they actually have a

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Speaker 2: fifty six percent success right against outside zone against teams

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Speaker 2: using twelve personnel. That's how Drink runs Hardy with outside

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Speaker 2: zone is with twelve personnel, and Texas A and M

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Speaker 2: is actually pretty good about that. The problem I have

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Speaker 2: with Texas A and M is this broken tackles. They're

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Speaker 2: just they're they're horrible at tackling. I mean, there are

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Speaker 2: one hundred and seventh and broken tackles allowed, and they're

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Speaker 2: dead last and defensive finishing drives. I can't take a

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Speaker 2: team and swallow points on the road when you're dead

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Speaker 2: last and defensive finishing drives. So that I love Texas

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Speaker 2: A and M, but you got to be able to

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Speaker 2: have a shootout. And I have a bigger problem on

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Speaker 2: the defensive side of the ball when it comes to Missouri.

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Speaker 2: I have a problem with Texas A and M's offense

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Speaker 2: and and lord knows, I'm the one that's been tooting

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Speaker 2: about tex AM's offense all season. And you got to

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Speaker 2: you gotta look at Marcel Reid hitting, Mario Kraber and

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Speaker 2: Casey concepts the own. Can somebody stop that? Zouri's d

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Speaker 2: is one of the best in havoc in the nation.

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Speaker 2: Top five tackles for Lost Galore and their edges Damian Wilson,

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Speaker 2: the second Zion Young have sixty three combined pressures. That's

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Speaker 2: that's great. But can they tackle in space? Yes? Per

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Speaker 2: Sports Info Solutions, they are fourth in broken tackles allowed.

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Speaker 2: That is key against Texas A and M. They don't

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Speaker 2: miss tackles and when they get them, they wrap them

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Speaker 2: up and take them down. You have to do that

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Speaker 2: against conceptsy O and Kravers. So I expect the Missouri

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Speaker 2: d to shove a few hurdles in front of this

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Speaker 2: high powered offense. I expect zolers to not be as

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Speaker 2: rattled as what we think. I don't think it's a

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Speaker 2: big drop off. I think four and a half five

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Speaker 2: is a good number, which means I've took in Missouri

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Speaker 2: on open. I might take him again at seven. Like

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Speaker 2: you said, Texas A and M may figure out a

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Speaker 2: different game plan at half and I can buy out

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Speaker 2: of that. But I'm taking Missouri into this game at kickoff.

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Speaker 1: And' also be worried about Missouri special teams. They don't

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Speaker 1: the kicking. Their special teams are bad. Text A and

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Speaker 1: them pretty good in that department. That is something to

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Speaker 1: get steps owner runs everything back. Yeah, Missouri's defensive line

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Speaker 1: has to show up here. They're going up against a

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Speaker 1: really good offensive line. That's that's that's what you have

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Speaker 1: to watch here, and you'll know early on if they're

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Speaker 1: able to make a dent because I'm not sure that

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Speaker 1: the Missouri the Missouri secondary has benefited from that defensive

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Speaker 1: line creating so much havoc and pressure. They're not able

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Speaker 1: to do that.

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Speaker 2: They helped get Jackson, Arnold bench and Hu Frees fired

384
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Speaker 2: Missouri's defensive line.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, I mean, look look at they did against

386
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Speaker 1: Alabama too, all cond of pressure. Uh, Oregon at Iowa.

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Speaker 1: It's a good one. Can't wait for this.

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Speaker 2: On. Did you put it on Iowa?

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Speaker 1: Yes, sir, sort of thought, Uh, you're joining me head

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Speaker 1: to head. Agree, let's go.

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Speaker 2: Let's go through this and maybe at the end I

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Speaker 2: might go against you.

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Speaker 1: Wow, I like Iowa. I make it four, so I'm

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Speaker 1: in at six or better. It's fine with me. I

395
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Speaker 1: probably should have waited. I'm had to prep for college.

396
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Speaker 1: I can't sit in front of the screen while I'm

397
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Speaker 1: doing all my work. I'm prepping for college of ball.

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Speaker 1: I saw six at six in previous weeks. I probably

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Speaker 1: would have waited. It might hit seven. I don't think

400
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Speaker 1: it does. If it does, it will get bought immediately. Yeah,

401
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Speaker 1: what's that.

402
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Speaker 2: I would even buy it at seven, like.

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Speaker 1: You're at six and a half. I can see some

404
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Speaker 1: sharper money coming in late set six. But here's this

405
00:19:13,680 --> 00:19:15,440
Speaker 1: comes down to, are you a believer in Oregon or

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Speaker 1: are you not? If you think Oregon's a top five

407
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Speaker 1: elite team, you might like Oregon on the number here.

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Speaker 2: I do not.

409
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Speaker 1: I didn't think that coming into the year. I was

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Speaker 1: willing to change my mind after the Penn State game.

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Speaker 1: Have we seen Penn State since? I mean, they don't

412
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Speaker 1: won a game in two months, so that I think

413
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Speaker 1: was more about State. I mean, the fact that Oregon

414
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Speaker 1: only scores seventeen points is pretty troubling. There are only

415
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Speaker 1: other game that's worth anything since then. I mean, they

416
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Speaker 1: played Rutgers and Oak State, the two worst Power four defenses.

417
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Speaker 1: The only other game worth anything was Indiana, and they

418
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Speaker 1: didn't look great. I didn't even look great against Wisconsin,

419
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Speaker 1: but both of these teams did play Indiana. I at home,

420
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Speaker 1: I had the ball with a chance to win. Oregon

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Speaker 1: did not, and they had the defensive touchdown. I just

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Speaker 1: I'm not a believer in this offense. Yet I'm not

423
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Speaker 1: a believer in Dante Mourriet. I need to see it

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Speaker 1: on a downtown basis, because you're going up against this

425
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Speaker 1: Phil Parker four to two, five zone heavy defense every year.

426
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Speaker 1: They're going to be one or two and explosives allow,

427
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Speaker 1: they're going to make you drive the field. I need

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Speaker 1: to see it from this Oregon offense and these young

429
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Speaker 1: freshmen who have kind of disappeared of late. You know,

430
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Speaker 1: outside of that Rutgers explosion, whenever they've played a defense

431
00:20:24,359 --> 00:20:27,600
Speaker 1: with a pulse, this offense has looked pretty predestinant. This

432
00:20:27,760 --> 00:20:30,040
Speaker 1: Iowa defense has figured it out. They're playing at an

433
00:20:30,040 --> 00:20:31,720
Speaker 1: elite level. I mean the fact that they shut down

434
00:20:31,880 --> 00:20:34,960
Speaker 1: They held Indiana to what thirteen points until the final

435
00:20:35,000 --> 00:20:35,680
Speaker 1: minute of the game.

436
00:20:37,720 --> 00:20:38,520
Speaker 2: Who else has done that?

437
00:20:38,920 --> 00:20:41,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, speaks volumes. This defense's top top five defense justin

438
00:20:42,040 --> 00:20:46,280
Speaker 1: per opponent. Offensively still limited. I mean this is a team.

439
00:20:46,320 --> 00:20:48,320
Speaker 1: They haven't thrown for three hundred yards and over seventy games,

440
00:20:48,359 --> 00:20:50,920
Speaker 1: which is insane. Their weapons on the outside aren't great,

441
00:20:50,920 --> 00:20:52,560
Speaker 1: but the offense is growing. They are able to run

442
00:20:52,600 --> 00:20:53,960
Speaker 1: the ball. They have a really good offensive line. I

443
00:20:53,960 --> 00:20:56,800
Speaker 1: think that's the best way to attack this Oregon defense

444
00:20:56,880 --> 00:21:00,199
Speaker 1: is on the ground and i will will do that year.

445
00:21:01,200 --> 00:21:03,639
Speaker 1: And this Oregon defense they're just not creating many negative plays.

446
00:21:04,920 --> 00:21:07,560
Speaker 1: They haven't been doing that in a month or so,

447
00:21:08,680 --> 00:21:10,920
Speaker 1: so I think Iowa will be able to play its

448
00:21:10,960 --> 00:21:12,439
Speaker 1: game here. And by the way, this total is down

449
00:21:12,480 --> 00:21:17,160
Speaker 1: to forty lowest Iowa lowest Oregon total over the past

450
00:21:17,200 --> 00:21:18,919
Speaker 1: twenty five years. I don't have any data before then,

451
00:21:19,520 --> 00:21:21,440
Speaker 1: but since at least two thousand. Crazy to see it

452
00:21:21,520 --> 00:21:22,639
Speaker 1: in Oregon total.

453
00:21:23,960 --> 00:21:27,760
Speaker 2: On an Iowa thirty eight ish like last year, No Oregon,

454
00:21:27,840 --> 00:21:28,679
Speaker 2: Oregon Oregon.

455
00:21:28,720 --> 00:21:30,680
Speaker 1: Okay, yeah, yeah, I mean there's been this am IIA

456
00:21:30,800 --> 00:21:35,160
Speaker 1: thirty three totals. But yeah, part of the reason weather

457
00:21:35,680 --> 00:21:39,680
Speaker 1: so me cold, windy, rainy. If it gets a little colder,

458
00:21:39,720 --> 00:21:41,880
Speaker 1: it could be some snow later in the game, which

459
00:21:41,880 --> 00:21:43,440
Speaker 1: would be fun. But I think it's just going to

460
00:21:43,480 --> 00:21:46,560
Speaker 1: be cold, windy and rainy. I think that the field

461
00:21:46,600 --> 00:21:49,560
Speaker 1: condition that favors Iowa and how they want to play,

462
00:21:49,680 --> 00:21:54,119
Speaker 1: limiting the speed of Oregon. But I just think i

463
00:21:54,200 --> 00:21:58,040
Speaker 1: will be able to control to control the ball, stay

464
00:21:58,040 --> 00:21:59,440
Speaker 1: ahead of the chains. They'll be able to run the

465
00:21:59,480 --> 00:22:02,640
Speaker 1: ball use Sinowski's legs, and I think their defense will

466
00:22:02,680 --> 00:22:05,040
Speaker 1: hold up, I just I need to see this from

467
00:22:05,119 --> 00:22:08,520
Speaker 1: Dante more. And then you throw in the weather, the conditions,

468
00:22:08,560 --> 00:22:13,840
Speaker 1: the home field, and then what's the big, the big, big,

469
00:22:13,880 --> 00:22:17,040
Speaker 1: big advantage that most people will forget to talk about

470
00:22:17,560 --> 00:22:22,000
Speaker 1: special teams? I mean, Oregon special teams are okay, not great.

471
00:22:22,200 --> 00:22:24,960
Speaker 1: Iowa's the best special teams in the country. There will

472
00:22:24,960 --> 00:22:26,560
Speaker 1: be a time when it's because I think it's gonna

473
00:22:26,560 --> 00:22:28,600
Speaker 1: be a lower scoring game ports at a premium. I

474
00:22:28,680 --> 00:22:31,440
Speaker 1: think that makes the dog even more intriguing. There will

475
00:22:31,440 --> 00:22:33,120
Speaker 1: be a time when you want to pull your hair out.

476
00:22:33,560 --> 00:22:35,720
Speaker 1: When it's fourth and two at the Oregon forty eight.

477
00:22:36,119 --> 00:22:39,600
Speaker 1: Iowa has the ball and they pun it, and most

478
00:22:39,720 --> 00:22:43,040
Speaker 1: for most teams it's the wrong decision. For Iowa it's

479
00:22:43,119 --> 00:22:46,120
Speaker 1: correct because most times they'll pin them at the one

480
00:22:46,920 --> 00:22:48,760
Speaker 1: and then they'll be a three and out or a safety,

481
00:22:48,880 --> 00:22:51,560
Speaker 1: or Oregon punts back the other way. Then Iowa returns

482
00:22:51,600 --> 00:22:53,560
Speaker 1: the punt forty yards for a touchdown, and then you're like,

483
00:22:53,640 --> 00:22:56,960
Speaker 1: what just happened? The field position, the kicking, the punting,

484
00:22:57,160 --> 00:23:00,800
Speaker 1: the returning all those hidden yards. That's how Iowa wins

485
00:23:00,840 --> 00:23:04,560
Speaker 1: these games. Kirk, I think is five and one straight

486
00:23:04,640 --> 00:23:08,040
Speaker 1: up in November over top ten teams. He is seven

487
00:23:08,080 --> 00:23:09,520
Speaker 1: and three against the spread. It's a home dog of

488
00:23:09,560 --> 00:23:12,280
Speaker 1: six or more, covering by an average of nine points

489
00:23:12,320 --> 00:23:14,639
Speaker 1: per game. I think he's pulled off three or four upsets,

490
00:23:14,680 --> 00:23:16,960
Speaker 1: lost a couple others by two points. I just think

491
00:23:17,000 --> 00:23:20,080
Speaker 1: this is a game where Iowa can play its game.

492
00:23:20,720 --> 00:23:23,120
Speaker 1: Twenty to seventeen Iowa.

493
00:23:24,400 --> 00:23:27,119
Speaker 2: So I had made it five and a half, and

494
00:23:27,160 --> 00:23:29,439
Speaker 2: when five and a half was out there, I wanted

495
00:23:29,480 --> 00:23:30,840
Speaker 2: to fire, but I didn't know which way it was

496
00:23:30,920 --> 00:23:33,359
Speaker 2: going to go. I wanted to fire on organ because

497
00:23:33,480 --> 00:23:36,640
Speaker 2: I would have said six or seven. I first, before

498
00:23:36,640 --> 00:23:39,600
Speaker 2: I get into this, I have this like hunch, this feeling,

499
00:23:39,720 --> 00:23:41,159
Speaker 2: and I want to go find a prop and bet it.

500
00:23:41,400 --> 00:23:43,720
Speaker 2: What number would you need for Dante Moore pick six?

501
00:23:43,760 --> 00:23:47,920
Speaker 2: Because I it just feels oh that's it feels so right,

502
00:23:48,080 --> 00:23:49,760
Speaker 2: does it it? It's coming?

503
00:23:49,840 --> 00:23:50,000
Speaker 1: Yeah?

504
00:23:50,000 --> 00:23:51,920
Speaker 2: I think it's if you if anybody out there is listed,

505
00:23:51,960 --> 00:23:53,199
Speaker 2: I'm gonna be searching all week, and if you can

506
00:23:53,240 --> 00:23:55,440
Speaker 2: fight a Dante more pick six, take it. I feel

507
00:23:55,480 --> 00:23:56,439
Speaker 2: like this is the one he.

508
00:23:56,440 --> 00:23:58,440
Speaker 1: Didn't even Iowa defense first touchdown.

509
00:23:59,440 --> 00:24:01,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, I would take that too. If you can find

510
00:24:01,600 --> 00:24:03,760
Speaker 2: that twenty to one or fifteen to one, that would

511
00:24:03,840 --> 00:24:09,640
Speaker 2: be galore listen because you have special teams in there too. Yeah. Yeah,

512
00:24:10,280 --> 00:24:12,399
Speaker 2: Dante Moore failed to record a TV pass or a

513
00:24:12,440 --> 00:24:15,000
Speaker 2: big time throw against Wisconsin. So I don't know what's

514
00:24:15,040 --> 00:24:18,720
Speaker 2: going on. What I do know is that Iowa is fantastic.

515
00:24:18,880 --> 00:24:24,960
Speaker 1: Hundred that's it. Oh No, that's any time like Iowa anytime.

516
00:24:25,600 --> 00:24:29,760
Speaker 1: The special teams six six, I mean, that's that's got

517
00:24:29,840 --> 00:24:31,920
Speaker 1: to be a bet, right, And then twenty two to

518
00:24:32,040 --> 00:24:37,960
Speaker 1: one first touchdown on any time a Oregon touchdown, you.

519
00:24:37,960 --> 00:24:39,720
Speaker 2: Put a quarter unit in you can win a unit

520
00:24:39,720 --> 00:24:40,080
Speaker 2: and a half.

521
00:24:41,160 --> 00:24:43,600
Speaker 1: That's fine. Got special teams in there too, like that's

522
00:24:43,640 --> 00:24:45,159
Speaker 1: what makes it even more valuable.

523
00:24:45,200 --> 00:24:47,240
Speaker 2: That's good. Okay. So look, I don't know what's going

524
00:24:47,240 --> 00:24:49,720
Speaker 2: on with Dante more, but he did not have a

525
00:24:49,760 --> 00:24:54,720
Speaker 2: good game against Wisconsin. More importantly, Iowa is fifteenth in coverage.

526
00:24:55,320 --> 00:24:57,880
Speaker 2: They are top thirty in contested catch. I just don't

527
00:24:57,880 --> 00:24:59,800
Speaker 2: think it's going to be a good day. Plus they

528
00:25:00,000 --> 00:25:02,400
Speaker 2: we don't miss tackles. So even if Dacorian Moore gets

529
00:25:02,440 --> 00:25:04,480
Speaker 2: it behind the line of scrimmage, I think you know

530
00:25:05,040 --> 00:25:06,920
Speaker 2: Organ's gonna have the only way Organ is going to

531
00:25:06,960 --> 00:25:10,120
Speaker 2: score here is if to Korian Moore is juking Iowa

532
00:25:10,200 --> 00:25:12,520
Speaker 2: defenders out of their shoes, not likely. But the other

533
00:25:12,960 --> 00:25:14,879
Speaker 2: aspect where I think Organ can move the ball and

534
00:25:14,920 --> 00:25:17,399
Speaker 2: why I like them is that Jordan Davison is up

535
00:25:17,440 --> 00:25:19,240
Speaker 2: to ten rushing tds on the season. He is the

536
00:25:19,320 --> 00:25:22,320
Speaker 2: key to this game. Iowa's mid fbs and success rate

537
00:25:22,359 --> 00:25:25,920
Speaker 2: allowed against the rush and in defensive lineyards that tells

538
00:25:26,000 --> 00:25:27,320
Speaker 2: me that Organ is going to be able to move

539
00:25:27,359 --> 00:25:29,000
Speaker 2: the ball on the ground. And they're forty one percent

540
00:25:29,080 --> 00:25:33,760
Speaker 2: success rate against man block concepts, which is how Davidson runs.

541
00:25:34,359 --> 00:25:37,760
Speaker 2: I like him over his forty yards rushing prop. The

542
00:25:37,880 --> 00:25:41,640
Speaker 2: Oregon de has series problems stopping the run. Gronowski Moulton.

543
00:25:41,760 --> 00:25:44,280
Speaker 2: This is this is a game made for them. Seven

544
00:25:44,320 --> 00:25:46,560
Speaker 2: point four yards per play against Penn State, five point

545
00:25:46,600 --> 00:25:50,359
Speaker 2: eight yards per play against Wisconsin. I mean, Iowa's offense

546
00:25:50,440 --> 00:25:51,960
Speaker 2: on the ground is really going. And by the way,

547
00:25:51,960 --> 00:25:54,920
Speaker 2: they've had twenty three runs over ten yards of this

548
00:25:55,000 --> 00:25:57,160
Speaker 2: season and this is all just happened within the last

549
00:25:57,200 --> 00:25:59,480
Speaker 2: couple of weeks. The question is can Iowa stay in

550
00:25:59,520 --> 00:26:03,040
Speaker 2: standard down? They are horrible in passing downs. If you

551
00:26:03,200 --> 00:26:05,560
Speaker 2: get them behind the chains Gronowski is one hundred and

552
00:26:05,600 --> 00:26:07,480
Speaker 2: twenty first inn on target rate. He's one of the

553
00:26:07,520 --> 00:26:10,879
Speaker 2: most inaccurate passers in all of FBS. Iowa has to

554
00:26:10,960 --> 00:26:12,919
Speaker 2: stay in standard downs and because of the way they

555
00:26:13,000 --> 00:26:15,399
Speaker 2: run the ball, because of what oregans d does against that,

556
00:26:16,040 --> 00:26:19,280
Speaker 2: I think they will. I think Iowa is going to

557
00:26:19,320 --> 00:26:22,600
Speaker 2: be in scoring position. They don't miss tackles in space.

558
00:26:23,960 --> 00:26:28,360
Speaker 2: Gronowski molten scoring position. Listen. I think this is set

559
00:26:28,440 --> 00:26:30,600
Speaker 2: up for me to be an over. I bet over

560
00:26:30,720 --> 00:26:32,359
Speaker 2: forty and a half in the app. I bet it

561
00:26:32,440 --> 00:26:35,679
Speaker 2: again today it got published on Action Network, and then

562
00:26:35,680 --> 00:26:37,440
Speaker 2: today it's blown up to forty one and a half

563
00:26:37,440 --> 00:26:39,159
Speaker 2: and forty two. If you have a forty one and

564
00:26:39,200 --> 00:26:40,880
Speaker 2: a half out there, take the juice down to minus

565
00:26:40,880 --> 00:26:42,680
Speaker 2: one twenty because forty one is one of the biggest keys.

566
00:26:42,880 --> 00:26:44,679
Speaker 2: If it's forty two, just swallow it. But I make

567
00:26:44,720 --> 00:26:46,600
Speaker 2: this thing all the way up to fifty. I think

568
00:26:46,640 --> 00:26:49,680
Speaker 2: special team touchdowns are in play. I think defensive touchdowns

569
00:26:49,680 --> 00:26:51,600
Speaker 2: are in play. I think Oregan's gonna be able to

570
00:26:51,640 --> 00:26:53,280
Speaker 2: move the ball on the ground get in a scoring position.

571
00:26:53,320 --> 00:26:55,160
Speaker 2: I think that Iowa offense is going to give Orgon

572
00:26:55,200 --> 00:26:58,040
Speaker 2: a lot of problems on the interior. So I see scoring.

573
00:26:58,200 --> 00:27:00,760
Speaker 2: I see scoring. More scoring than forty points is what

574
00:27:00,800 --> 00:27:01,800
Speaker 2: I see. So I like the over.

575
00:27:02,400 --> 00:27:05,959
Speaker 1: I will say these teams have three common opponents. Oregon

576
00:27:06,440 --> 00:27:09,880
Speaker 1: much more impressive against Rutgers than Iowa, but Iowa much

577
00:27:09,880 --> 00:27:13,800
Speaker 1: more impressive against Wisconsin. Yeah, and much more impressive against Indiana.

578
00:27:14,440 --> 00:27:16,200
Speaker 2: I think i was a different team last three weeks.

579
00:27:16,280 --> 00:27:19,800
Speaker 1: There. Offense is starting to come on Gonowski's I think healthier,

580
00:27:20,520 --> 00:27:23,800
Speaker 1: which is important, and settling into that offense. And then

581
00:27:23,840 --> 00:27:25,720
Speaker 1: and Phil Parker has that defense balling out. You know,

582
00:27:25,760 --> 00:27:27,080
Speaker 1: the special team's gonna sho up. So do you want

583
00:27:27,080 --> 00:27:27,720
Speaker 1: to go ahead to that or no?

584
00:27:28,320 --> 00:27:29,160
Speaker 2: Not at six and a half?

585
00:27:29,480 --> 00:27:30,240
Speaker 1: What about six?

586
00:27:30,480 --> 00:27:33,399
Speaker 2: Yeah? Six, that's a perfect number, I think. I think

587
00:27:33,440 --> 00:27:35,239
Speaker 2: Oregon wins by six is head on. So I'll take

588
00:27:35,280 --> 00:27:36,879
Speaker 2: that with you. I think we should put it on

589
00:27:36,960 --> 00:27:39,040
Speaker 2: the board that we agree there's a Dante more pick

590
00:27:39,119 --> 00:27:41,639
Speaker 2: six like like, I mean, you know, I don't know

591
00:27:41,800 --> 00:27:45,200
Speaker 2: that puts. I mean, I'll take a last for it,

592
00:27:45,280 --> 00:27:47,240
Speaker 2: but I mean I'm running with that this week.

593
00:27:47,280 --> 00:27:50,040
Speaker 1: All right, let's let's see if you have the cojones

594
00:27:50,080 --> 00:27:52,960
Speaker 1: that join me on this one. Oh boy, Penn State

595
00:27:53,520 --> 00:27:55,040
Speaker 1: plus four it is.

596
00:27:55,000 --> 00:27:56,720
Speaker 2: The first bet I put in. It went the other way.

597
00:27:56,960 --> 00:27:58,800
Speaker 1: Put it on the board. He's back down, it's getting hit.

598
00:27:59,040 --> 00:28:02,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, I was so upset when I went to fifteen.

599
00:28:03,119 --> 00:28:04,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, I got fourteen and a half to that's what

600
00:28:04,600 --> 00:28:05,879
Speaker 1: we'll put it in. Plus fourteen and a half. I

601
00:28:05,960 --> 00:28:08,720
Speaker 1: think it's some of the sharper shops that's coming down.

602
00:28:09,119 --> 00:28:10,320
Speaker 1: I'm going to see fourteen soon.

603
00:28:11,880 --> 00:28:12,640
Speaker 2: Let's hear your reasoning.

604
00:28:12,840 --> 00:28:14,480
Speaker 1: I got I got mine, all right, So I mean

605
00:28:14,520 --> 00:28:17,760
Speaker 1: basically number one this is this is a pure market play.

606
00:28:18,080 --> 00:28:21,480
Speaker 1: So I make this under two touchdowns. You too, and

607
00:28:22,320 --> 00:28:25,520
Speaker 1: the market told us last week. Let's just do some math.

608
00:28:25,920 --> 00:28:29,760
Speaker 1: Penn State closed seventeen at Ohio State. We'll call the

609
00:28:29,800 --> 00:28:31,320
Speaker 1: home fields for both of those teams three and a

610
00:28:31,320 --> 00:28:34,520
Speaker 1: half points. I'm a little higher, but I think that's

611
00:28:34,600 --> 00:28:38,760
Speaker 1: fair seven point swing from Columbus to Happy Valley. So

612
00:28:38,880 --> 00:28:43,000
Speaker 1: last week closing line is seventeen. Assumed Ohio State would

613
00:28:43,000 --> 00:28:46,280
Speaker 1: be a ten point favorite in Happy Valley. Well, you

614
00:28:46,360 --> 00:28:50,040
Speaker 1: have Ohio State dominated that game, second half dominated, So

615
00:28:50,160 --> 00:28:52,560
Speaker 1: we'll call it an adjustment went on. We'll call it

616
00:28:52,640 --> 00:28:56,560
Speaker 1: eleven and a half. Now Indiana is favored by over

617
00:28:56,640 --> 00:28:59,320
Speaker 1: two touchdowns. I have Ohio State at least a field

618
00:28:59,360 --> 00:29:01,720
Speaker 1: go better than the I have Indiana is the second

619
00:29:01,760 --> 00:29:03,000
Speaker 1: best team in the county by at least a field

620
00:29:03,000 --> 00:29:05,240
Speaker 1: goal as well. And if you disagree with that, the

621
00:29:05,360 --> 00:29:08,040
Speaker 1: market just opened the Big Ten Championship game. That projected

622
00:29:08,080 --> 00:29:09,280
Speaker 1: line is we'll have a State minus three and a

623
00:29:09,320 --> 00:29:12,960
Speaker 1: half minus one fifteen. Based on that logic, this, this

624
00:29:13,080 --> 00:29:14,240
Speaker 1: line is way out of whack. It should not be

625
00:29:14,280 --> 00:29:15,520
Speaker 1: over two touchdons and I don't think it should be

626
00:29:15,520 --> 00:29:17,520
Speaker 1: over two touchdowns. So I played it. I'm not afraid

627
00:29:17,520 --> 00:29:19,800
Speaker 1: to eate any team. I'm not afraid to bet on

628
00:29:20,000 --> 00:29:26,520
Speaker 1: any bad team. Uh before, Yeah, I've faded Signetti successfully.

629
00:29:26,680 --> 00:29:30,240
Speaker 1: I've also he's also cost me money, cost me money

630
00:29:30,320 --> 00:29:33,400
Speaker 1: last week, could again here. Never afraid to come say it.

631
00:29:34,280 --> 00:29:36,480
Speaker 1: We'll have a ton of voicemail callers. If we do great,

632
00:29:37,120 --> 00:29:39,080
Speaker 1: we'll face the music on Sunday and none of them

633
00:29:39,120 --> 00:29:42,120
Speaker 1: will call if Penn State covers. Also, I think this

634
00:29:42,240 --> 00:29:44,360
Speaker 1: is like Penn State super Bowl. This is it for them.

635
00:29:44,960 --> 00:29:46,760
Speaker 1: The whole season is washed, like there's nothing else to

636
00:29:46,800 --> 00:29:48,920
Speaker 1: play for. Now you can get upset the number two

637
00:29:48,960 --> 00:29:52,560
Speaker 1: team undefeated on the season. Penn State also has a

638
00:29:52,640 --> 00:29:55,480
Speaker 1: little bit of a run game, which Maryland had none of,

639
00:29:55,680 --> 00:29:57,400
Speaker 1: which that was one of the things I didn't like

640
00:29:57,440 --> 00:29:58,840
Speaker 1: that I mentioned last week. When you have a big

641
00:29:58,920 --> 00:30:01,280
Speaker 1: dog that that can't run the ball. Penn State's pass

642
00:30:01,320 --> 00:30:04,000
Speaker 1: defense is still pretty good. The run defense has fallen

643
00:30:04,000 --> 00:30:05,360
Speaker 1: off a cliff. I think that's just the loss of

644
00:30:05,480 --> 00:30:08,600
Speaker 1: ROAs So maybe that encourages Indiana to just run it more,

645
00:30:09,240 --> 00:30:13,400
Speaker 1: which would help. And Grunkemeier, I mean, he did look

646
00:30:13,400 --> 00:30:15,239
Speaker 1: a little better last week, and he's gonna get better

647
00:30:15,320 --> 00:30:17,920
Speaker 1: with more reps. This is a kid, did you talk

648
00:30:17,920 --> 00:30:20,720
Speaker 1: about it walking into the worst possible situation his first

649
00:30:20,800 --> 00:30:23,160
Speaker 1: two career starts the freshmen or at Iowa and at

650
00:30:23,240 --> 00:30:26,720
Speaker 1: Ohio State a top five D and the best D

651
00:30:27,080 --> 00:30:29,680
Speaker 1: in the country on the road. Now Indiana, I think

652
00:30:29,720 --> 00:30:32,400
Speaker 1: it's a top five D as well, but it's at home.

653
00:30:32,640 --> 00:30:34,040
Speaker 1: He has two games under his belt. I think he

654
00:30:34,040 --> 00:30:37,080
Speaker 1: should be a little bit more comfortable here. Indiana is

655
00:30:37,080 --> 00:30:40,480
Speaker 1: also not healthy. Like sarat who's an NFL receiver, he

656
00:30:40,560 --> 00:30:42,240
Speaker 1: has dealing with a hamstring injury. I don't know why

657
00:30:42,240 --> 00:30:44,640
Speaker 1: you would push him here. They're left guard, their star

658
00:30:44,760 --> 00:30:47,120
Speaker 1: left guard Drevens. He's not going to play Fisher, their

659
00:30:47,160 --> 00:30:49,000
Speaker 1: star linebacker. I think he's gonna play, but he's dealing

660
00:30:49,000 --> 00:30:51,160
Speaker 1: with an injury, right, I mean, Signety came out and

661
00:30:51,160 --> 00:30:53,400
Speaker 1: said they're banged up. Well, this is kind of what

662
00:30:53,480 --> 00:30:55,080
Speaker 1: happens when you try to beat everyone by fifty and

663
00:30:55,080 --> 00:30:57,640
Speaker 1: everyone's playing late into the game. Meanwhile, Ohio State is

664
00:30:57,840 --> 00:31:00,160
Speaker 1: taking the opposite approach, so we'll see if that ends

665
00:31:00,240 --> 00:31:02,440
Speaker 1: up hurting Indiana in the end. Hot State just going

666
00:31:02,520 --> 00:31:06,160
Speaker 1: super slow and they're kind of managing the season a

667
00:31:06,240 --> 00:31:10,800
Speaker 1: lot better than Indiana, so they're not even fully healthier.

668
00:31:11,040 --> 00:31:14,560
Speaker 1: Penn State pretty healthy going into this game. I just

669
00:31:14,600 --> 00:31:16,720
Speaker 1: think the numbers too high, the mark and mark I

670
00:31:16,720 --> 00:31:18,520
Speaker 1: mean just based on the market, based on my numbers,

671
00:31:18,560 --> 00:31:21,480
Speaker 1: what I've seen them last week. I'm rolling with Penn

672
00:31:21,520 --> 00:31:23,680
Speaker 1: State need fourteen and a half, need over two touchdowns,

673
00:31:23,840 --> 00:31:27,120
Speaker 1: But we're rolling with we are and don't have to

674
00:31:27,200 --> 00:31:28,800
Speaker 1: bet on James Franklin this time.

675
00:31:29,200 --> 00:31:32,280
Speaker 2: It's interesting psychology if Signetti has been putting up these

676
00:31:32,360 --> 00:31:34,560
Speaker 2: fifty Burgers to get to the number two spot in

677
00:31:34,600 --> 00:31:37,000
Speaker 2: the college Football Playoff ranking and then take his foot

678
00:31:37,040 --> 00:31:41,320
Speaker 2: off the gas, because essentially you're going up against Penn State,

679
00:31:41,640 --> 00:31:43,880
Speaker 2: who is a corpse a shell of what they used

680
00:31:43,920 --> 00:31:46,560
Speaker 2: to be Purdue in Wisconsin, and you should roll right

681
00:31:46,600 --> 00:31:49,160
Speaker 2: into that Big Ten championship game. So I'm wondering if

682
00:31:49,200 --> 00:31:51,400
Speaker 2: the foot comes off the pedal and we try to

683
00:31:51,400 --> 00:31:52,960
Speaker 2: get guys a little bit more healthy and just win.

684
00:31:52,960 --> 00:31:54,520
Speaker 1: Game, and that's what they're main concerned should be.

685
00:31:55,120 --> 00:31:57,640
Speaker 2: And I think Signetti's smart enough to realize that that

686
00:31:57,720 --> 00:32:01,920
Speaker 2: I've done enough Bobby Bowd nineteen eighties, score seventy points

687
00:32:01,920 --> 00:32:03,480
Speaker 2: so that I'm number one of the eight pe pole.

688
00:32:04,400 --> 00:32:06,040
Speaker 2: I think there's been enough of that, and now maybe

689
00:32:06,080 --> 00:32:07,680
Speaker 2: you take your foot off the gas. But if you

690
00:32:07,760 --> 00:32:09,440
Speaker 2: want to go x's and o's about why I think

691
00:32:09,480 --> 00:32:12,880
Speaker 2: Penn State's going to cover this game despite losing five straight.

692
00:32:12,880 --> 00:32:15,640
Speaker 2: They're running the ball pretty well. Allen and Singleton have

693
00:32:15,680 --> 00:32:18,520
Speaker 2: a tdpiece against Ohio State. Allan Biam's Keshon Allen by

694
00:32:18,560 --> 00:32:20,240
Speaker 2: himself had one hundred and forty four of yards against

695
00:32:20,280 --> 00:32:23,560
Speaker 2: Iowa with two tds and another ninety against Northwestern For

696
00:32:23,680 --> 00:32:25,640
Speaker 2: all of Indiana's stats stuffers, and they look like they

697
00:32:25,640 --> 00:32:28,000
Speaker 2: should advance to the national title. And how great they look.

698
00:32:28,320 --> 00:32:31,440
Speaker 2: Their defense is still thirtieth in lineyards defensive lineyards and

699
00:32:31,440 --> 00:32:35,000
Speaker 2: They're one hundred and twenty fourth against rush EPA teams

700
00:32:35,040 --> 00:32:37,160
Speaker 2: are getting a couple of big runs on them, and

701
00:32:37,520 --> 00:32:39,680
Speaker 2: that's what Penn State has been doing. The Penn Sate

702
00:32:39,760 --> 00:32:42,920
Speaker 2: defense has been dominated from a success rate perspective. It

703
00:32:43,000 --> 00:32:45,400
Speaker 2: got kind of ugly, especially in the second half. But

704
00:32:45,480 --> 00:32:48,000
Speaker 2: guess what their thirtieth and created can contest to catch.

705
00:32:48,520 --> 00:32:51,440
Speaker 1: And although it's still good at all, this talk.

706
00:32:51,320 --> 00:32:54,000
Speaker 2: Of Fernando Mendoza being the Heiser winner, and I get it.

707
00:32:54,080 --> 00:32:56,160
Speaker 2: It's like, you know, I've watched a couple of my

708
00:32:56,440 --> 00:32:58,560
Speaker 2: favorite shows early in the week. Here the dude that

709
00:32:58,640 --> 00:33:01,920
Speaker 2: does college football. Mendoz's the top of everyone's Heisman chart.

710
00:33:02,440 --> 00:33:04,680
Speaker 2: He's forty third non target rate. I mean, he's not

711
00:33:05,040 --> 00:33:07,400
Speaker 2: the most accurate in college football. He's closer to the

712
00:33:07,440 --> 00:33:08,920
Speaker 2: middle of the pack than he is to the top

713
00:33:09,000 --> 00:33:11,520
Speaker 2: of the pack. So, you know, if you're gonna say

714
00:33:11,600 --> 00:33:14,560
Speaker 2: some negative things about Indiana, Mendoz is not as great

715
00:33:14,680 --> 00:33:16,960
Speaker 2: from his numbers from an accuracy perspective, and their rush

716
00:33:17,040 --> 00:33:18,960
Speaker 2: defense isn't as great as everybody thinks that it is.

717
00:33:19,000 --> 00:33:20,720
Speaker 2: And Penn State has been running ball pretty well. I

718
00:33:20,800 --> 00:33:22,720
Speaker 2: make it eleven and a half. I liked the fourteen,

719
00:33:23,120 --> 00:33:25,000
Speaker 2: fourteen and a half whatever, fourteen above.

720
00:33:24,880 --> 00:33:30,160
Speaker 1: It's on the board. Maybe Sigle run it out, Pad Vendoza, whatever,

721
00:33:30,320 --> 00:33:33,360
Speaker 1: will be my first sort of last losing bet. Moving

722
00:33:33,440 --> 00:33:38,360
Speaker 1: on Georgia at Mississippi State. Here's one where the market

723
00:33:38,840 --> 00:33:42,440
Speaker 1: disagrees with me and I don't care. I like Mississippi State.

724
00:33:42,480 --> 00:33:46,440
Speaker 1: Anything over a touchdown, I'll go ahead ahead of you. Okay, wow,

725
00:33:47,160 --> 00:33:49,720
Speaker 1: So I will say I say this every single week

726
00:33:50,120 --> 00:33:52,240
Speaker 1: because Georgia team is not elite. Now part of this

727
00:33:52,320 --> 00:33:54,000
Speaker 1: bet is I just wanted over a touchounds. I'm gonna

728
00:33:54,000 --> 00:33:56,160
Speaker 1: look to be Georgia alive and I will be doing that.

729
00:33:56,840 --> 00:34:00,720
Speaker 1: Georgia goes down until I see otherwise they come out flat.

730
00:34:01,280 --> 00:34:03,040
Speaker 1: And by the way, this is like a terrible spot.

731
00:34:03,040 --> 00:34:05,600
Speaker 1: They had that. Yeah, Texas Texas on deck, they had

732
00:34:05,640 --> 00:34:08,160
Speaker 1: the emotional come from behind win. Now they go to

733
00:34:08,200 --> 00:34:10,960
Speaker 1: Stark Vegas, Mississippi State with a chance to go to

734
00:34:11,040 --> 00:34:13,800
Speaker 1: a bowl. This is probably their best chance remaining. Be

735
00:34:14,080 --> 00:34:17,279
Speaker 1: huge for them after winning two games last year and

736
00:34:17,280 --> 00:34:20,920
Speaker 1: Missisippi State they've played with everybody, like who are they

737
00:34:21,000 --> 00:34:22,520
Speaker 1: not competed with besides Texas A and M. And that

738
00:34:22,560 --> 00:34:23,960
Speaker 1: game was seven to three at the end of the

739
00:34:24,000 --> 00:34:27,960
Speaker 1: third quarter. They lost. They should have beat Tennessee they

740
00:34:28,040 --> 00:34:32,560
Speaker 1: lost in overtime. Who else they should have beat Texas

741
00:34:32,800 --> 00:34:34,799
Speaker 1: up seventeen in the fourth quarter. There is a team

742
00:34:34,800 --> 00:34:36,480
Speaker 1: that they should have beat, Florida. They throw a pick

743
00:34:36,520 --> 00:34:38,640
Speaker 1: in field goal range. These two teams in the past

744
00:34:38,640 --> 00:34:41,080
Speaker 1: two weeks, they each went to Florida and they were

745
00:34:41,080 --> 00:34:45,799
Speaker 1: both coin flip games. Meanwhile, Georgia, I mean, how many

746
00:34:45,840 --> 00:34:48,080
Speaker 1: calls are they going to get every week? Benefit from calls?

747
00:34:48,160 --> 00:34:50,160
Speaker 1: Last week, benefit from calls against Auburn.

748
00:34:50,480 --> 00:34:51,320
Speaker 2: Kirby was clapping.

749
00:34:51,840 --> 00:34:54,640
Speaker 1: Easily should have lost against the easily could have lost

750
00:34:54,680 --> 00:34:56,520
Speaker 1: against Tennessee. Missfield wal like this team could have three

751
00:34:56,560 --> 00:34:59,759
Speaker 1: or four losses. They are not. Their defense is not

752
00:34:59,760 --> 00:35:02,200
Speaker 1: a lead. Their defense is far from a league. They

753
00:35:02,280 --> 00:35:05,120
Speaker 1: cannot generate pressure. They have issues on the back end

754
00:35:05,160 --> 00:35:08,440
Speaker 1: and zone coverage. Now, every year we saw Kirby Smart's

755
00:35:08,840 --> 00:35:12,719
Speaker 1: defenses dominate Josh Heipel offenses. Not this year carved up

756
00:35:13,280 --> 00:35:16,719
Speaker 1: by Joey Aguilar. Well, they're facing a similar offense here.

757
00:35:17,080 --> 00:35:19,960
Speaker 1: What's gonna change. Their zone coverages are all messed up.

758
00:35:20,000 --> 00:35:22,359
Speaker 1: On the back end, they can't get pressure. So if

759
00:35:22,400 --> 00:35:25,279
Speaker 1: Shapan's gonna have time, I think Missisi State's gonna move it.

760
00:35:25,800 --> 00:35:27,839
Speaker 1: I think they're gonna get a leader early, and then

761
00:35:27,840 --> 00:35:29,920
Speaker 1: I'll look to come in on Georgia Live. It's the

762
00:35:30,080 --> 00:35:33,000
Speaker 1: same exact formula, and one of these weeks Georgia is

763
00:35:33,080 --> 00:35:35,160
Speaker 1: not gonna get all of the calls. I also think

764
00:35:35,160 --> 00:35:37,080
Speaker 1: they missed Coleby Young and even last week in's Florida

765
00:35:37,160 --> 00:35:40,080
Speaker 1: lagway looked awful. Florida was missing all kinds of receivers.

766
00:35:40,160 --> 00:35:43,680
Speaker 1: Had more receivers get hurt, They get two horrible calls

767
00:35:43,719 --> 00:35:45,120
Speaker 1: that flip the game, and they still a chance to

768
00:35:45,160 --> 00:35:49,040
Speaker 1: win the game. Like this Georgia team, any week they

769
00:35:49,080 --> 00:35:50,600
Speaker 1: could lose, and by the way, to put numbers to it,

770
00:35:51,560 --> 00:35:53,600
Speaker 1: in the first quarter, in their six SETSTC games, they've

771
00:35:53,600 --> 00:35:56,560
Speaker 1: been outscored fifty two to seventeen if you remove the

772
00:35:56,680 --> 00:35:58,399
Speaker 1: Kentucky game, if you keep the Kentucky game in fifty

773
00:35:58,400 --> 00:36:02,360
Speaker 1: two to thirty one. In their fourth quarters, they've outscored

774
00:36:02,400 --> 00:36:05,600
Speaker 1: them forty eight to twenty three. It's almost a complete

775
00:36:05,600 --> 00:36:08,239
Speaker 1: one to eighty. It's the Kirby adjustments. Kirby has been

776
00:36:08,360 --> 00:36:12,160
Speaker 1: dragging this team. Stockton's played well too, but dragging this

777
00:36:12,280 --> 00:36:14,719
Speaker 1: team and this defense to Victory's the best team game

778
00:36:14,719 --> 00:36:19,160
Speaker 1: adjusted in the sport I did. Market thinks Georgia is

779
00:36:19,239 --> 00:36:21,600
Speaker 1: way better than I do. I'm happy to bet them

780
00:36:21,600 --> 00:36:24,360
Speaker 1: whenever I see above a touchdown, happy to bet against

781
00:36:24,360 --> 00:36:26,640
Speaker 1: them with an SEC team, especially in a good spot.

782
00:36:27,400 --> 00:36:28,880
Speaker 1: And I will look to come in on Georgia live.

783
00:36:28,920 --> 00:36:30,360
Speaker 1: Maybe this is the game Georgia comes down. They're up

784
00:36:30,360 --> 00:36:32,400
Speaker 1: fourteen nothing, but I think Misssippi State can move it

785
00:36:32,400 --> 00:36:35,600
Speaker 1: on them, and uh yeah, give me their dog.

786
00:36:35,800 --> 00:36:37,880
Speaker 2: I mean, I'll go ahead. I'll go aheadhead with you

787
00:36:38,000 --> 00:36:39,960
Speaker 2: on it. But in the app everyone should know I'm

788
00:36:39,960 --> 00:36:42,759
Speaker 2: gonna wait for Misissippi State to either take a lead

789
00:36:42,840 --> 00:36:44,239
Speaker 2: or have a tie ball game to get that number

790
00:36:44,280 --> 00:36:46,799
Speaker 2: BOEO of seven before I hit it for a pretty

791
00:36:46,880 --> 00:36:52,160
Speaker 2: quantifiable amount of cheddar. So look, first off, Kirby is

792
00:36:52,239 --> 00:36:54,759
Speaker 2: feeding this team all the motivation of the world. Will

793
00:36:54,760 --> 00:36:56,759
Speaker 2: being fifth in the College Football playoff rankings, you are

794
00:36:56,880 --> 00:36:58,799
Speaker 2: not a bye week team, You're not getting a buye

795
00:36:58,800 --> 00:37:01,719
Speaker 2: in the playoff. Huge motivator there, I've already heard it

796
00:37:01,800 --> 00:37:05,760
Speaker 2: been talked about. It's tough to ignore what the SEC

797
00:37:05,920 --> 00:37:09,080
Speaker 2: trenches have done to Mississippi State and four straight losses

798
00:37:09,160 --> 00:37:13,000
Speaker 2: before Arkansas gave them a game, right Tennessee, Texas A

799
00:37:13,040 --> 00:37:17,000
Speaker 2: and in Florida, Texas. They lost yards per play to

800
00:37:17,160 --> 00:37:19,959
Speaker 2: all of them, including Arkansas. Mississippi State is one hundred

801
00:37:19,960 --> 00:37:21,960
Speaker 2: and thirty fourth in defensive line yards one hundred and

802
00:37:21,960 --> 00:37:25,080
Speaker 2: twenty six and creating a pass rush. Georgia will have

803
00:37:25,200 --> 00:37:28,040
Speaker 2: a TD on every single possession that crosses the forty

804
00:37:28,080 --> 00:37:31,400
Speaker 2: yard line. They are an offensive finishing drives machine seventh

805
00:37:31,760 --> 00:37:34,000
Speaker 2: right now, it's stocked and just tucking the ball and

806
00:37:34,040 --> 00:37:36,680
Speaker 2: going at it. The way to attack Georgia is through

807
00:37:36,680 --> 00:37:40,680
Speaker 2: the air. And you know, Blake Shapin was shook up

808
00:37:40,680 --> 00:37:43,319
Speaker 2: a little bit against Arkansas, came out Camaro Taylor took

809
00:37:43,360 --> 00:37:45,400
Speaker 2: over for a little while. We'll see how healthy shaping is.

810
00:37:46,280 --> 00:37:48,800
Speaker 2: I think Fluff Bothwell is gonna have some real problems

811
00:37:49,080 --> 00:37:52,400
Speaker 2: getting out in space here. The big handicap why I

812
00:37:52,480 --> 00:37:55,960
Speaker 2: took Georgia against some other bigger teams like Tennessee is

813
00:37:55,960 --> 00:37:58,840
Speaker 2: because they're fifteenth and broken tackles allowed, Like they just

814
00:37:59,040 --> 00:38:02,120
Speaker 2: don't mistackle. They may allow you to have an explosive play,

815
00:38:02,200 --> 00:38:03,840
Speaker 2: but once they get to you, they don't let you go.

816
00:38:04,120 --> 00:38:07,160
Speaker 2: So I see a massive trench advantage for the Georgia

817
00:38:07,200 --> 00:38:10,719
Speaker 2: offensive line, and I don't see Missippi State able to

818
00:38:10,840 --> 00:38:13,839
Speaker 2: create extra yards after the catch or extra yards after

819
00:38:13,960 --> 00:38:16,719
Speaker 2: first touch. And I think this gets away from them,

820
00:38:16,760 --> 00:38:20,680
Speaker 2: and I know Kirby's feeding them. You are not a

821
00:38:20,760 --> 00:38:22,520
Speaker 2: college football playoff by league team.

822
00:38:23,080 --> 00:38:24,600
Speaker 1: That's still not going to give them a pass rush.

823
00:38:24,680 --> 00:38:26,840
Speaker 1: It's still not going to fix their coverage issues. I

824
00:38:26,880 --> 00:38:30,800
Speaker 1: mean Tennessee, we said, oh, Kirby always shuts down Tennessee.

825
00:38:30,880 --> 00:38:34,200
Speaker 1: Tennessee put a forty burger on them. They Tennessee could

826
00:38:34,239 --> 00:38:38,000
Speaker 1: never score more than seventeen. Like every week we see

827
00:38:38,120 --> 00:38:40,520
Speaker 1: this Georgia offense, like the old Miss thing they had

828
00:38:40,600 --> 00:38:44,320
Speaker 1: revenge from last year. They are getting blown out in

829
00:38:44,400 --> 00:38:47,280
Speaker 1: the first half of that game after kirk the biggest

830
00:38:47,360 --> 00:38:51,200
Speaker 1: loss of Kirby's career last year, Georgia comes out and

831
00:38:51,400 --> 00:38:55,799
Speaker 1: Ole Miss torches them. This Georgia defense is not it. Yeah,

832
00:38:56,239 --> 00:39:00,520
Speaker 1: isn't healthy. That changes the equation, Yeah, because Mario is

833
00:39:00,520 --> 00:39:01,120
Speaker 1: all on the ground.

834
00:39:01,600 --> 00:39:03,560
Speaker 2: To Mario looked good when he played against Arkansas, but

835
00:39:03,600 --> 00:39:05,680
Speaker 2: he's all on the ground shaping was He did come

836
00:39:05,719 --> 00:39:07,000
Speaker 2: back in the game, but he was pretty shure up

837
00:39:07,200 --> 00:39:08,560
Speaker 2: by the way. I just get this out of the

838
00:39:08,600 --> 00:39:10,880
Speaker 2: way I'm betting Texas against Sorgian. I might hit a

839
00:39:10,920 --> 00:39:11,560
Speaker 2: look ahead line.

840
00:39:11,719 --> 00:39:14,560
Speaker 1: We'll get to that next week. Auburn at Bandy This

841
00:39:14,760 --> 00:39:16,520
Speaker 1: is a tough stretch. Mandy six and a half point

842
00:39:16,560 --> 00:39:19,560
Speaker 1: favorite here, I'd lean under here. I mean Vanderbilt, Man,

843
00:39:19,760 --> 00:39:21,200
Speaker 1: they've gone Did.

844
00:39:21,120 --> 00:39:22,560
Speaker 2: You tweet me they were out of gas and then

845
00:39:22,560 --> 00:39:24,320
Speaker 2: they found a gas tank? Is that what happened?

846
00:39:24,360 --> 00:39:26,719
Speaker 1: I don't know how that happened, but they've gone with that.

847
00:39:26,960 --> 00:39:33,240
Speaker 1: They've gone Bama, but then then by LSU Missouri Texas.

848
00:39:34,160 --> 00:39:36,759
Speaker 1: Now before they're by they have Auburn. Auburn's defense. Can

849
00:39:36,880 --> 00:39:40,560
Speaker 1: ball coaching change here? One play caller? How much does

850
00:39:40,600 --> 00:39:43,200
Speaker 1: that do? Can they actually score? But the Auburn defense

851
00:39:43,960 --> 00:39:47,440
Speaker 1: is legit they I mean, anyone they go up against,

852
00:39:47,560 --> 00:39:49,759
Speaker 1: you're not going to get much on offensively, and this

853
00:39:49,840 --> 00:39:51,840
Speaker 1: Bandy offense has kind of hit a little bit of

854
00:39:51,920 --> 00:39:56,160
Speaker 1: snag of late. And can Auburn score enough? I don't know, Man,

855
00:39:56,200 --> 00:39:57,480
Speaker 1: He's not going to run the ball here, I'll tell

856
00:39:57,480 --> 00:39:59,000
Speaker 1: you that, But I don't know if I trust the

857
00:39:59,000 --> 00:40:01,359
Speaker 1: Auburn you can get a coaching bump, like the play calling,

858
00:40:01,480 --> 00:40:04,400
Speaker 1: having one guy in charge and maybe some new wrinkles.

859
00:40:04,800 --> 00:40:07,200
Speaker 1: We have seen that teams of the new coach. The

860
00:40:07,280 --> 00:40:09,520
Speaker 1: first game after that against FPS teams that year seven

861
00:40:09,560 --> 00:40:12,520
Speaker 1: and one against the spread. We saw the Florida last

862
00:40:12,520 --> 00:40:14,920
Speaker 1: week against Georgia. You see anything here?

863
00:40:15,640 --> 00:40:18,520
Speaker 2: I'm not sure dj Dirkin inspires me to play much better,

864
00:40:18,640 --> 00:40:20,920
Speaker 2: especially since he's just come out and said the tight

865
00:40:21,040 --> 00:40:23,879
Speaker 2: end coach who's calling the plays? Oh no, Derek Nicks

866
00:40:23,920 --> 00:40:26,000
Speaker 2: is calling the plays, And it's like we're not changing

867
00:40:26,040 --> 00:40:28,400
Speaker 2: anything whatsoever. Ashton Daniel is going to be QB one.

868
00:40:29,400 --> 00:40:31,919
Speaker 2: I think the side and the total are exactly where

869
00:40:32,400 --> 00:40:34,200
Speaker 2: they should be. But I do have a play in

870
00:40:34,280 --> 00:40:36,400
Speaker 2: this game. If you look at there, a couple of

871
00:40:36,440 --> 00:40:38,960
Speaker 2: notes you should know, like season long starter Connor Loo

872
00:40:39,080 --> 00:40:41,080
Speaker 2: the center was missing. They're taking their right tackle, Mason

873
00:40:41,160 --> 00:40:43,520
Speaker 2: Murphy moved him into center. He's been at center all week.

874
00:40:44,040 --> 00:40:48,120
Speaker 2: And then they've taken backup guard Zavian Miller and they

875
00:40:48,160 --> 00:40:49,759
Speaker 2: put him in at right tackle. So there is some

876
00:40:49,880 --> 00:40:51,759
Speaker 2: offensive line things that have changed for Auburn that you

877
00:40:51,760 --> 00:40:54,399
Speaker 2: should need to know about. But Daniels so far doesn't

878
00:40:54,440 --> 00:40:57,080
Speaker 2: have any big time throws or tds and this offense

879
00:40:57,120 --> 00:40:58,919
Speaker 2: has been dead last and pass epa so I don't

880
00:40:58,920 --> 00:41:00,720
Speaker 2: know what you're going to get out of this Auburn offense.

881
00:41:01,200 --> 00:41:02,960
Speaker 2: On the other side of the ball. Like Auburn's defense

882
00:41:03,000 --> 00:41:06,040
Speaker 2: has been top ten and everything stopping the run, high

883
00:41:06,120 --> 00:41:08,759
Speaker 2: success rate, things that Dandy wants to do, like man

884
00:41:08,920 --> 00:41:11,719
Speaker 2: counter from Pavia and outside zone from Alexander. They're able

885
00:41:11,760 --> 00:41:13,600
Speaker 2: to stop that all day, but where they fall apart

886
00:41:14,160 --> 00:41:16,080
Speaker 2: is against the pass or one hundred and eighteenth in

887
00:41:16,280 --> 00:41:19,560
Speaker 2: coverage grading. So earlier today in the action app, I

888
00:41:19,600 --> 00:41:23,240
Speaker 2: did put in a bet and I'm back on the train. Diego,

889
00:41:23,320 --> 00:41:26,000
Speaker 2: diego over two hundred and six and a half passing yards.

890
00:41:29,520 --> 00:41:31,960
Speaker 2: And it's actually pretty pretty easy for me to tell

891
00:41:32,000 --> 00:41:35,359
Speaker 2: you why Auburn's defense has given up more than two

892
00:41:35,440 --> 00:41:38,000
Speaker 2: hundred and six and a half passing yards to Tayling Green, Bopribula,

893
00:41:38,080 --> 00:41:40,319
Speaker 2: Gunner Stock and Marcel Reid in four of the last

894
00:41:40,400 --> 00:41:44,000
Speaker 2: five weeks. Who didn't get over that Mark Cutter Bowley

895
00:41:44,040 --> 00:41:46,160
Speaker 2: because Cutter Bowlie only threw the ball like ten times.

896
00:41:46,239 --> 00:41:49,720
Speaker 2: But I'm telling you, like I think, I think Pavia

897
00:41:49,760 --> 00:41:51,600
Speaker 2: passing the ball is the key to tearing up this

898
00:41:51,680 --> 00:41:53,600
Speaker 2: Auburn defense and it's going to happen all day because

899
00:41:53,600 --> 00:41:55,279
Speaker 2: he won't be able to run against them. So I

900
00:41:55,440 --> 00:41:56,440
Speaker 2: like Diego throwing.

901
00:41:56,280 --> 00:42:00,200
Speaker 1: Here, staying in the SEC. LSU at Alabama. This he's

902
00:42:00,280 --> 00:42:03,280
Speaker 1: hyped LSU game, LSU Alabama game. I can never remember

903
00:42:03,600 --> 00:42:06,000
Speaker 1: Alabama laying ten ten and a half here.

904
00:42:06,360 --> 00:42:07,560
Speaker 2: I think it came out of nine and a half

905
00:42:07,680 --> 00:42:08,279
Speaker 2: like an hour ago.

906
00:42:08,640 --> 00:42:10,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, I did see it get hit. I didn't know

907
00:42:10,160 --> 00:42:10,960
Speaker 1: if it came back up.

908
00:42:11,000 --> 00:42:12,800
Speaker 2: Draft Kings is at ten. It did go down to

909
00:42:12,880 --> 00:42:14,719
Speaker 2: nine and a half on DraftKings at eleven twenty two

910
00:42:14,800 --> 00:42:16,800
Speaker 2: and came back up an hour later. So maybe somebody

911
00:42:16,920 --> 00:42:18,200
Speaker 2: is shaping eight nine and a half.

912
00:42:18,560 --> 00:42:21,719
Speaker 1: It looks like ten I did. I played LSU small ten.

913
00:42:21,880 --> 00:42:25,160
Speaker 1: I need had ten. I'd still play small. I'm at

914
00:42:25,280 --> 00:42:28,880
Speaker 1: like eight year went weeks. It doesn't look like he's

915
00:42:28,880 --> 00:42:31,680
Speaker 1: gonna play, which sucks. I was counting on him playing

916
00:42:31,719 --> 00:42:35,279
Speaker 1: after the bye. That hurts. But again, like Georgia, I

917
00:42:35,280 --> 00:42:38,160
Speaker 1: think Alabama's overrated. Don't think they're illegallyite is a team

918
00:42:38,239 --> 00:42:40,000
Speaker 1: that give me go. Look at all the results, most

919
00:42:40,000 --> 00:42:42,160
Speaker 1: of them could have been went either way, like they

920
00:42:42,160 --> 00:42:44,359
Speaker 1: probably should have lost his at South Carolina, they got

921
00:42:44,400 --> 00:42:47,440
Speaker 1: blown out at Florida State, the Vandy game, was really close.

922
00:42:47,600 --> 00:42:49,759
Speaker 1: The Georgia game. Georgia had a chance to win that game,

923
00:42:50,239 --> 00:42:52,759
Speaker 1: the Tennessee game, the miss The Missouri game could have

924
00:42:52,800 --> 00:42:55,680
Speaker 1: went either way. They can't run the ball, they can't

925
00:42:55,680 --> 00:42:59,399
Speaker 1: stop the run, they can't generate pressure. Simpson's playing really well,

926
00:43:00,040 --> 00:43:02,879
Speaker 1: but this LSU defense is still elite. They can get

927
00:43:02,920 --> 00:43:06,600
Speaker 1: after you, and there's gonna be sacks. And Bama struggled

928
00:43:06,600 --> 00:43:08,400
Speaker 1: a bit against the Blitz. You know you're gonna get

929
00:43:08,440 --> 00:43:11,080
Speaker 1: that here. I think there's a real and here's the thing.

930
00:43:11,160 --> 00:43:14,320
Speaker 1: This is like my South Carolina handicap. The LSU offense

931
00:43:14,400 --> 00:43:17,520
Speaker 1: has been crippled by their offensive line every week. But

932
00:43:17,640 --> 00:43:21,759
Speaker 1: when you play Bama, that's okay. You should be able

933
00:43:21,760 --> 00:43:23,759
Speaker 1: to have some balance. They're not going to crush you.

934
00:43:24,000 --> 00:43:29,760
Speaker 1: They're not gonna just overwhelm. They're not gonna overwhelm Garrett Nutsmeyer.

935
00:43:29,880 --> 00:43:32,400
Speaker 1: And by the way, I think there's a real coaching

936
00:43:32,480 --> 00:43:35,839
Speaker 1: bump here. Everything I've heard and you just used common sense.

937
00:43:35,920 --> 00:43:38,960
Speaker 1: No one liked Kelly, it was toxic. I think it's

938
00:43:39,000 --> 00:43:42,279
Speaker 1: going to be a looser team. Nothing to lose here.

939
00:43:43,080 --> 00:43:45,640
Speaker 1: All the pressure on Alabama, and then I think you're

940
00:43:45,640 --> 00:43:48,160
Speaker 1: gonna see some real wrinkles. Think you're gonna see Van Buren.

941
00:43:48,880 --> 00:43:51,000
Speaker 1: We know that mobile quarterbacks can give Bama issues. I

942
00:43:51,000 --> 00:43:52,600
Speaker 1: think you're gonna see a bunch of packages for him.

943
00:43:53,200 --> 00:43:56,240
Speaker 1: So I think that the LSU offensive line won't completely

944
00:43:56,320 --> 00:43:59,080
Speaker 1: ruin the game for them, much like South Carolina, which

945
00:43:59,120 --> 00:44:02,839
Speaker 1: usually happens for them, but against Alabama, and I think

946
00:44:02,880 --> 00:44:04,319
Speaker 1: their defense can keep them in this game. I think

947
00:44:04,320 --> 00:44:06,600
Speaker 1: you get a Max affter from LSU now they're super Bowl.

948
00:44:06,640 --> 00:44:09,320
Speaker 1: I think the line is a bit too high. Tiger's small,

949
00:44:09,400 --> 00:44:09,839
Speaker 1: nothing big.

950
00:44:10,320 --> 00:44:11,800
Speaker 2: I wish I would have paid attention to some of

951
00:44:11,840 --> 00:44:13,640
Speaker 2: the moves Brian Kelly was doing when he first got there,

952
00:44:13,640 --> 00:44:15,560
Speaker 2: because he fired the strength and conditioning coach and have

953
00:44:15,600 --> 00:44:17,200
Speaker 2: been at LSU for twenty one years, and he got

954
00:44:17,280 --> 00:44:19,319
Speaker 2: rid of the secondary's coach who had produced a ton

955
00:44:19,400 --> 00:44:21,160
Speaker 2: of names that went into the NFL. Like that was

956
00:44:21,239 --> 00:44:24,480
Speaker 2: really the start of the downfall here. Interim coach Frank

957
00:44:24,800 --> 00:44:28,880
Speaker 2: Wilson is taking over. He said in his presser. I

958
00:44:28,960 --> 00:44:32,160
Speaker 2: am adopting the tactics of Pete Carroll. I want to

959
00:44:32,280 --> 00:44:35,319
Speaker 2: inject life and I want to have one heart beat.

960
00:44:35,600 --> 00:44:39,040
Speaker 2: He bangs a drum before every practice and it's so loud.

961
00:44:39,040 --> 00:44:41,360
Speaker 2: All the players can talk about is there's that drumming.

962
00:44:41,480 --> 00:44:43,400
Speaker 2: I mean, it's like this one heart beat thing is

963
00:44:43,440 --> 00:44:45,560
Speaker 2: some Houston nutshit, Like this is what I heard at

964
00:44:45,560 --> 00:44:48,239
Speaker 2: the end of Houston Nut's tenure at Arkansas. One heart beat.

965
00:44:48,880 --> 00:44:52,240
Speaker 2: He came out and said, Alex Atkins, the former FSU

966
00:44:52,320 --> 00:44:54,840
Speaker 2: offensive coiner and titands coach, is now the play caller.

967
00:44:55,600 --> 00:44:57,919
Speaker 2: Running the ball is the priority. How much he said

968
00:44:57,920 --> 00:45:00,719
Speaker 2: it twice? So for that reason and a loone. I

969
00:45:00,840 --> 00:45:03,080
Speaker 2: looked at the under. I'm still tweeting on the under.

970
00:45:03,600 --> 00:45:05,320
Speaker 2: It is dipping in the market forty nine and a

971
00:45:05,320 --> 00:45:08,000
Speaker 2: half down to forty nine. I think it's for that reason.

972
00:45:08,040 --> 00:45:09,320
Speaker 2: But look, Alabama has struggled.

973
00:45:09,320 --> 00:45:10,680
Speaker 1: Think that's why you're gonna see Van Buren.

974
00:45:11,200 --> 00:45:13,279
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, And I think Alabama has struggled to stop

975
00:45:13,320 --> 00:45:15,000
Speaker 2: the run. I mean ninety fifth in line yards and

976
00:45:15,000 --> 00:45:16,880
Speaker 2: one hundred ninth and stuff. Right, Van Buren is going

977
00:45:16,920 --> 00:45:19,520
Speaker 2: to be better for Caden durhaman for Harlan Barry, who

978
00:45:19,560 --> 00:45:21,880
Speaker 2: were both three point seven yards after first contact. It's

979
00:45:21,920 --> 00:45:24,920
Speaker 2: the offensive line that's outside the top one hundred some balance.

980
00:45:25,000 --> 00:45:26,759
Speaker 1: Finally, they've had no balance for two years.

981
00:45:27,000 --> 00:45:29,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, and listen, Ty Simpson is going to face an

982
00:45:29,120 --> 00:45:33,319
Speaker 2: elite secondary here sixteen PBUs six I in t's from

983
00:45:33,360 --> 00:45:35,920
Speaker 2: delaying Woodland Cooley Halsey.

984
00:45:36,120 --> 00:45:38,120
Speaker 1: And pressure is gonna be under pressure. If Fama can run,

985
00:45:38,160 --> 00:45:39,400
Speaker 1: it's gonna be non passing downs.

986
00:45:39,800 --> 00:45:42,719
Speaker 2: I don't think I see your case for LSU. I

987
00:45:42,880 --> 00:45:44,799
Speaker 2: like the underbetter Navy at Notre Dame.

988
00:45:45,200 --> 00:45:48,080
Speaker 1: Oh man, I mean you just might as well wait

989
00:45:48,120 --> 00:45:50,080
Speaker 1: if you want to fade Notre Dame, just wait until

990
00:45:50,120 --> 00:45:53,439
Speaker 1: game day. They take money every single week, like insane money.

991
00:45:54,239 --> 00:45:56,320
Speaker 1: They're up to a twenty six and a half twenty

992
00:45:56,400 --> 00:45:59,879
Speaker 1: seven at some places point favoritegainst. The Navy defense is drug.

993
00:46:00,400 --> 00:46:01,960
Speaker 1: It's hard to see how they get stopped.

994
00:46:03,080 --> 00:46:04,960
Speaker 2: With one of the lowest strength of schedules in the nation.

995
00:46:05,440 --> 00:46:08,359
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's hard to see. I mean the path through

996
00:46:08,360 --> 00:46:10,360
Speaker 1: it gets a service gat in catching over two touchdowns,

997
00:46:10,400 --> 00:46:12,400
Speaker 1: but sometimes the talent caps so wide, like this is

998
00:46:12,640 --> 00:46:14,759
Speaker 1: the last time you saw maybe play Notre Dame that

999
00:46:14,880 --> 00:46:18,000
Speaker 1: it's hard for them to overcome that. Now, maybe you

1000
00:46:18,040 --> 00:46:21,080
Speaker 1: had like a million turnovers that game, but which didn't help.

1001
00:46:21,160 --> 00:46:25,160
Speaker 1: This comes down to discover will come down to how

1002
00:46:26,000 --> 00:46:30,480
Speaker 1: many long drives can maybe sustain that's it good. Then

1003
00:46:31,160 --> 00:46:33,120
Speaker 1: if they can put together like two or three long drives,

1004
00:46:33,360 --> 00:46:35,840
Speaker 1: well that'll just shrink the game, limit the amount of possessions,

1005
00:46:35,840 --> 00:46:37,480
Speaker 1: and then it's Notre Dame zactly be able to cover

1006
00:46:37,560 --> 00:46:39,719
Speaker 1: twenty seven and a half. But if if they go

1007
00:46:39,880 --> 00:46:42,439
Speaker 1: three and out a bunch and then they're they're down

1008
00:46:42,480 --> 00:46:45,239
Speaker 1: twenty one nothing, then it's going to get ugly.

1009
00:46:45,840 --> 00:46:47,560
Speaker 2: Yeah. I mean, for me, this is a repeat of

1010
00:46:47,640 --> 00:46:49,000
Speaker 2: last year. I think this is the game that I

1011
00:46:49,040 --> 00:46:50,800
Speaker 2: said Notre Dame is going to post a fifty burger

1012
00:46:50,920 --> 00:46:53,279
Speaker 2: and then I think they got there pretty fast. The

1013
00:46:53,400 --> 00:46:55,759
Speaker 2: run concept of Navy with Blake Corbath and running back

1014
00:46:55,800 --> 00:46:59,160
Speaker 2: Alex Texa and then Heindrich and Chapman back there. Navy

1015
00:46:59,239 --> 00:47:02,000
Speaker 2: runs a heavy amount of twenty one personnel and everything

1016
00:47:02,080 --> 00:47:06,120
Speaker 2: they run, Notre Dame absolutely can defend counter pole lead,

1017
00:47:06,239 --> 00:47:10,520
Speaker 2: full back run. I mean, just considering the Navy strength

1018
00:47:10,560 --> 00:47:12,239
Speaker 2: of schedules one hundred and twenty ninth in the nation,

1019
00:47:12,920 --> 00:47:16,960
Speaker 2: Notre Dame has dominated power. They've dominated about three dozen

1020
00:47:17,080 --> 00:47:19,719
Speaker 2: poll leads with pulling guards, pulling tackles. They've dominated a

1021
00:47:19,760 --> 00:47:23,080
Speaker 2: seventy one per six success rate against counter they're fifty percent,

1022
00:47:23,200 --> 00:47:26,200
Speaker 2: So some Horvath counter made do something, but still Notre

1023
00:47:26,280 --> 00:47:28,279
Speaker 2: Dame's okay against that, and then Notre Dame sixty one

1024
00:47:28,280 --> 00:47:31,000
Speaker 2: percent against play action pass and that was the handicap

1025
00:47:31,080 --> 00:47:32,719
Speaker 2: last year about this, Are you going to get caught

1026
00:47:32,719 --> 00:47:34,840
Speaker 2: in the play action pass? Which is where Navy is

1027
00:47:34,920 --> 00:47:36,359
Speaker 2: going to want to get their big plays and Notre

1028
00:47:36,440 --> 00:47:37,920
Speaker 2: Dame didn't get caught last year and they're not going

1029
00:47:38,000 --> 00:47:42,080
Speaker 2: to get caught here. I cannot believe how bad the

1030
00:47:42,160 --> 00:47:45,839
Speaker 2: numbers are for Navy defending outside zee. That's Notre Dame's

1031
00:47:45,880 --> 00:47:48,160
Speaker 2: number one run concept. This is what happened last year.

1032
00:47:48,200 --> 00:47:50,759
Speaker 2: So the question is do you want and love at

1033
00:47:50,800 --> 00:47:53,080
Speaker 2: two plus touchdowns minus one sixty five or do you

1034
00:47:53,120 --> 00:47:57,000
Speaker 2: want to love three touchdowns at plus one eighty. That's

1035
00:47:57,040 --> 00:47:59,520
Speaker 2: kind of where I'm sitting here. I do Jenerian Price

1036
00:47:59,560 --> 00:48:01,840
Speaker 2: had a very up part game against Boston College. I

1037
00:48:01,920 --> 00:48:04,040
Speaker 2: think we I'm not gonna bet putting bets on him,

1038
00:48:04,120 --> 00:48:05,480
Speaker 2: Maybe keep an eye and see if he's okay, or

1039
00:48:05,520 --> 00:48:08,000
Speaker 2: maybe just kind of schedules working on him. So I

1040
00:48:08,080 --> 00:48:10,160
Speaker 2: do like Notre Dame team total over. I like Jeremiah

1041
00:48:10,160 --> 00:48:12,040
Speaker 2: Love at least two plus tds. I might throw a

1042
00:48:12,120 --> 00:48:15,239
Speaker 2: flyer on three plus tds because he also catches a

1043
00:48:15,320 --> 00:48:18,000
Speaker 2: ton of balls in the backfield. So that's where I'm at.

1044
00:48:18,200 --> 00:48:20,120
Speaker 1: Yeah, if this, I mean Notre Dame always takes money

1045
00:48:20,120 --> 00:48:21,879
Speaker 1: no matter what they like, cross his keys. I twenty

1046
00:48:21,920 --> 00:48:23,120
Speaker 1: eight and a half, I probably will take.

1047
00:48:23,440 --> 00:48:27,520
Speaker 2: Maybe you're still no, You're still not comfortable.

1048
00:48:27,800 --> 00:48:29,880
Speaker 1: I'm I wouldn't be comfortable. I have to twenty and

1049
00:48:29,960 --> 00:48:32,279
Speaker 1: a half. It's my service guy. Mean, we might get

1050
00:48:32,280 --> 00:48:34,120
Speaker 1: there based on what I've seen from the market. It

1051
00:48:34,200 --> 00:48:36,960
Speaker 1: also doesn't help that Notre Dame was super sloppy at PC.

1052
00:48:37,600 --> 00:48:41,000
Speaker 1: Freeman all have their attention and like the Notre Dame,

1053
00:48:41,120 --> 00:48:44,440
Speaker 1: Notre Dame needs to like their tenth probably gonna make it.

1054
00:48:44,520 --> 00:48:47,400
Speaker 1: But like there's people questioning their resume now and then

1055
00:48:47,520 --> 00:48:51,239
Speaker 1: like are they lost to Miami? That loss looks like

1056
00:48:51,320 --> 00:48:54,000
Speaker 1: their resume is. The resume is being held up by

1057
00:48:54,040 --> 00:48:57,479
Speaker 1: a home win over USC and then the close lost

1058
00:48:57,520 --> 00:49:00,240
Speaker 1: A and M But like the Miami loss looks worse.

1059
00:49:00,640 --> 00:49:03,920
Speaker 1: Boise is gonna look worse if Arkansas is the only

1060
00:49:03,960 --> 00:49:05,120
Speaker 1: win less SEC team.

1061
00:49:05,440 --> 00:49:07,880
Speaker 2: The pit keeps winning though, Yeah, that Pitt.

1062
00:49:08,360 --> 00:49:10,040
Speaker 1: Might save them because then they end this season with

1063
00:49:10,160 --> 00:49:13,800
Speaker 1: Syracuse and Stanford and there's no conference championship game, so

1064
00:49:14,480 --> 00:49:16,640
Speaker 1: Notre Dame might want to like style out in these

1065
00:49:16,680 --> 00:49:17,279
Speaker 1: next two weeks.

1066
00:49:18,360 --> 00:49:21,960
Speaker 2: Is for TV ratings. Notre Dame's not making the playoff

1067
00:49:21,960 --> 00:49:22,600
Speaker 2: with two losses.

1068
00:49:23,080 --> 00:49:27,279
Speaker 1: I'm it's possible, but it's not all right. Go ahead

1069
00:49:27,280 --> 00:49:28,520
Speaker 1: to head here, wake at Virginia.

1070
00:49:29,360 --> 00:49:30,840
Speaker 2: Why are you going against Virginia.

1071
00:49:31,000 --> 00:49:34,239
Speaker 1: I told you they're horrendous? Horrendous? Do you want to

1072
00:49:34,239 --> 00:49:34,880
Speaker 1: go ahead to add here?

1073
00:49:35,680 --> 00:49:36,920
Speaker 2: Yeah? I bet Virginia.

1074
00:49:36,920 --> 00:49:37,399
Speaker 1: I make it eight.

1075
00:49:37,440 --> 00:49:39,480
Speaker 2: I bet Virginia to start the week. It hasn't moved

1076
00:49:39,560 --> 00:49:41,560
Speaker 2: for me, but I don't care. I mean, that doesn't

1077
00:49:41,600 --> 00:49:42,879
Speaker 2: mean anything in a Virginia game.

1078
00:49:43,560 --> 00:49:48,399
Speaker 1: I mean, so these teams are, to me, number one,

1079
00:49:48,440 --> 00:49:50,919
Speaker 1: the best unit of the field v Wakes defense, which

1080
00:49:51,120 --> 00:49:53,120
Speaker 1: justin for opponent's been the top ten to fifteen unit.

1081
00:49:53,719 --> 00:49:56,680
Speaker 1: Last week they got towards by Florida Saves, a horrible spot.

1082
00:49:57,040 --> 00:49:58,239
Speaker 1: I think that had a lot to do with it.

1083
00:49:58,680 --> 00:50:00,400
Speaker 1: But they also couldn't run the ball. Can't run the

1084
00:50:00,400 --> 00:50:02,640
Speaker 1: ball in Florida State. I think this is a much

1085
00:50:02,680 --> 00:50:05,520
Speaker 1: better matchup. And by the way, Florida State is significantly

1086
00:50:05,560 --> 00:50:07,759
Speaker 1: better than Virginia. I mean, this Virginia team, they deep

1087
00:50:07,800 --> 00:50:09,560
Speaker 1: both these teams. This should be a five and three

1088
00:50:09,560 --> 00:50:11,960
Speaker 1: team versus a five and three team. Virginia has eight wins,

1089
00:50:12,000 --> 00:50:14,640
Speaker 1: they should have five. I mean you're talking if three

1090
00:50:14,719 --> 00:50:17,240
Speaker 1: overtime wins. They beat Louisville because the two defensive touchdowns

1091
00:50:17,280 --> 00:50:19,399
Speaker 1: in overtime, they got out gained by two hundred yards.

1092
00:50:19,560 --> 00:50:21,320
Speaker 1: They beat Washington State. They got out gain in that

1093
00:50:21,360 --> 00:50:24,160
Speaker 1: game on a walk off safety. They beat North Carolina

1094
00:50:24,200 --> 00:50:26,400
Speaker 1: by one and overtime got out gained by North Carolina.

1095
00:50:26,520 --> 00:50:29,080
Speaker 1: Lost Spot one by an inch because North Carolina didn't

1096
00:50:29,080 --> 00:50:31,319
Speaker 1: get there. Yes, they beat cal they deserve to win,

1097
00:50:31,480 --> 00:50:32,839
Speaker 1: but the only reason they won by more than three

1098
00:50:32,920 --> 00:50:35,399
Speaker 1: was the last second pick six. They beat Florida State

1099
00:50:35,480 --> 00:50:38,560
Speaker 1: got out by double in double overtime Alcine in that

1100
00:50:38,640 --> 00:50:41,760
Speaker 1: game as well. I mean, this team is a fraud,

1101
00:50:42,000 --> 00:50:44,000
Speaker 1: a joke. I don't even have in my top fifty

1102
00:50:44,160 --> 00:50:47,520
Speaker 1: of my power ratings. What can Waits defense is legit.

1103
00:50:48,160 --> 00:50:49,839
Speaker 1: They should be able to slow down this Virginia team,

1104
00:50:49,840 --> 00:50:52,400
Speaker 1: which has been solved. I mean this defense is I mean,

1105
00:50:52,480 --> 00:50:54,239
Speaker 1: this offense has not done much for a month and

1106
00:50:54,280 --> 00:50:56,920
Speaker 1: a half. Their defense you can run on them a bit. No,

1107
00:50:56,960 --> 00:50:58,279
Speaker 1: the run defense is better in the past tams, but

1108
00:50:58,280 --> 00:51:01,719
Speaker 1: you can hit pass explosives. That's all Wake does. Hunt

1109
00:51:01,800 --> 00:51:04,399
Speaker 1: pats explosives, and I think they can hit some here.

1110
00:51:04,800 --> 00:51:06,719
Speaker 1: Their defense will be the best unit on the field.

1111
00:51:06,880 --> 00:51:08,279
Speaker 1: There's not much difference than these teams.

1112
00:51:09,000 --> 00:51:12,120
Speaker 2: Wait at all stop, I'm serious, there is.

1113
00:51:12,480 --> 00:51:14,680
Speaker 1: I think these two teams are a difference in the

1114
00:51:14,760 --> 00:51:16,439
Speaker 1: same class four.

1115
00:51:16,800 --> 00:51:19,160
Speaker 2: There is a difference. Virginia has a horseshoe up their

1116
00:51:19,200 --> 00:51:19,799
Speaker 2: ass this year.

1117
00:51:19,920 --> 00:51:21,360
Speaker 1: That ends It ends.

1118
00:51:23,360 --> 00:51:26,640
Speaker 2: Unplugged. Robbie Ashford and DeMont Clayborne are all explosive plays.

1119
00:51:26,920 --> 00:51:29,000
Speaker 2: Wake Forest's offense is one hundred and twenty ninth in

1120
00:51:29,080 --> 00:51:31,239
Speaker 2: offensive finishing drives. You have to hope to God that

1121
00:51:31,280 --> 00:51:33,000
Speaker 2: you hit an explosive because the closer you get to

1122
00:51:33,040 --> 00:51:34,879
Speaker 2: the goal line, the less chance. Or is it Wake

1123
00:51:34,920 --> 00:51:37,960
Speaker 2: four two four plus Wake is fiftieth and creating a

1124
00:51:38,000 --> 00:51:41,200
Speaker 2: contested catch. Chandler Morris and his voodoo magic can handle that.

1125
00:51:41,280 --> 00:51:43,799
Speaker 2: He's only had two turnover worthy plays in the last

1126
00:51:43,880 --> 00:51:46,760
Speaker 2: four games. I'm telling you this Virginia team is covering.

1127
00:51:47,360 --> 00:51:50,080
Speaker 2: It could be some pitchy pitchy woo woo crap. I

1128
00:51:50,120 --> 00:51:53,120
Speaker 2: don't care what happens this weekend. Virginia is a team

1129
00:51:53,200 --> 00:51:53,840
Speaker 2: of destiny.

1130
00:51:54,120 --> 00:51:56,319
Speaker 1: Wake out right, by the way, and all those Virginia wins.

1131
00:51:56,400 --> 00:51:58,680
Speaker 1: I just mentioned those five wins that could have been losses.

1132
00:51:58,760 --> 00:52:01,239
Speaker 1: And I'm talking games against you and seen Washington State.

1133
00:52:01,800 --> 00:52:04,759
Speaker 1: Cal Virginia's also plus eight and turnover margin in that game.

1134
00:52:05,080 --> 00:52:05,520
Speaker 2: It ends.

1135
00:52:06,000 --> 00:52:09,400
Speaker 1: It ends Saturday where outright.

1136
00:52:09,320 --> 00:52:12,239
Speaker 2: Their opposite of Arkansas. They know how to win.

1137
00:52:12,920 --> 00:52:14,960
Speaker 1: They just played teams that know how to lose. Wake

1138
00:52:15,080 --> 00:52:18,359
Speaker 1: knows how to win. Clemson FSU. What happens here? Does

1139
00:52:18,400 --> 00:52:21,560
Speaker 1: Clemson's I think I think FSU's the better team right now.

1140
00:52:21,760 --> 00:52:24,839
Speaker 1: I think Clemson Dabbo's lost the defense. I mean, yeah,

1141
00:52:25,640 --> 00:52:27,200
Speaker 1: you saw him trying to yell at them and they.

1142
00:52:27,200 --> 00:52:28,799
Speaker 2: Were like, I've never seen that in his career.

1143
00:52:29,680 --> 00:52:31,680
Speaker 1: But then he was complaining about the refs. So does

1144
00:52:31,760 --> 00:52:34,000
Speaker 1: Clemson just get every call here? Because they did get

1145
00:52:34,040 --> 00:52:36,360
Speaker 1: cheffed last week? So I don't know what gives. I

1146
00:52:36,400 --> 00:52:38,040
Speaker 1: don't know lean FSU, you probably haven't be around.

1147
00:52:38,040 --> 00:52:39,919
Speaker 2: Floria State's getting pounded. It's going that way.

1148
00:52:41,000 --> 00:52:42,120
Speaker 1: I don't think Clemson's dead.

1149
00:52:42,440 --> 00:52:43,480
Speaker 2: I think they are too. I don't know how you

1150
00:52:43,520 --> 00:52:45,120
Speaker 2: can put money on them. I make it Florida State

1151
00:52:45,200 --> 00:52:46,960
Speaker 2: minus three. Yeah, I think you got I don't know.

1152
00:52:47,040 --> 00:52:48,200
Speaker 2: I'm playing Florida State.

1153
00:52:48,400 --> 00:52:51,560
Speaker 1: Quarterback situations worth monitoring Stanford going brown, Not that it

1154
00:52:51,640 --> 00:52:55,960
Speaker 1: matters FIGI who knows Colorado going with Juju Lewis That

1155
00:52:56,160 --> 00:52:59,680
Speaker 1: line is crazy, But I can't play Colorado. Scottie Fox

1156
00:53:00,840 --> 00:53:03,200
Speaker 1: and Klaada looks like a corpse. Can't play them. Going

1157
00:53:03,239 --> 00:53:05,480
Speaker 1: to Morgantown on the line might get to seven Wisconsin

1158
00:53:05,600 --> 00:53:07,600
Speaker 1: going with the freshman at quarterback. I don't know, but

1159
00:53:08,000 --> 00:53:10,360
Speaker 1: some quarterback news tomorrow. I'll mention some more on our

1160
00:53:10,400 --> 00:53:12,799
Speaker 1: live show ten thirty am Eastern on Saturday. By the way,

1161
00:53:12,840 --> 00:53:14,360
Speaker 1: the Action Network Gap. If you're a new year and

1162
00:53:14,400 --> 00:53:15,840
Speaker 1: you do not have it, you are missing out on

1163
00:53:15,880 --> 00:53:18,120
Speaker 1: the full BBOC vetting experience. Right now, get twenty dollars

1164
00:53:18,120 --> 00:53:20,239
Speaker 1: off an annual subscription of Action Pro Access and never

1165
00:53:20,320 --> 00:53:22,600
Speaker 1: miss a vent for myself, Colin Duck, the old Squad.

1166
00:53:22,920 --> 00:53:25,000
Speaker 1: Just go to Action Network dot com slash pro and

1167
00:53:25,160 --> 00:53:29,719
Speaker 1: use promo code BBOC twenty again. That's Action Network dot

1168
00:53:29,760 --> 00:53:33,520
Speaker 1: Com Slash Pro promo code BBOC twenty. All right, it's

1169
00:53:33,600 --> 00:53:37,160
Speaker 1: time for some trash. What's that smell?

1170
00:53:37,719 --> 00:53:42,440
Speaker 2: It stinks me? This trash The sweet sweet trash.

1171
00:53:43,400 --> 00:53:46,600
Speaker 1: The trash is a gold mine. Gold mind. Let's run

1172
00:53:46,640 --> 00:53:48,360
Speaker 1: through this. You want to go ahead to head right

1173
00:53:48,360 --> 00:53:50,359
Speaker 1: off the bat. You want to Nebraska there.

1174
00:53:50,880 --> 00:53:52,360
Speaker 2: UCLA is not winning this game.

1175
00:53:52,520 --> 00:53:55,080
Speaker 1: Okay, head to head. U SLA is winning this game

1176
00:53:55,480 --> 00:53:59,200
Speaker 1: for I'll give you many reasons. One the spot Nebraska

1177
00:53:59,280 --> 00:54:02,320
Speaker 1: traveling across country off a loss that ended their season,

1178
00:54:02,520 --> 00:54:04,279
Speaker 1: not going to the College fotball playoffs now. And by

1179
00:54:04,320 --> 00:54:06,960
Speaker 1: the way, these teams in the Big Ten that travel

1180
00:54:07,440 --> 00:54:09,840
Speaker 1: to the Central Times in the recent times im traveling

1181
00:54:10,160 --> 00:54:12,759
Speaker 1: to the West Coast or nine and fifteen against the

1182
00:54:12,800 --> 00:54:15,000
Speaker 1: spread be undcovered by about a field goal per game.

1183
00:54:15,080 --> 00:54:17,680
Speaker 1: Home field for these West Coast teams in this scenario

1184
00:54:17,760 --> 00:54:19,879
Speaker 1: is worth like four four and a half points. There's

1185
00:54:19,960 --> 00:54:21,759
Speaker 1: no Royola. Oh. By the way, UCA is coming off

1186
00:54:21,800 --> 00:54:23,440
Speaker 1: a bye. I think that's more important. Because of the

1187
00:54:23,520 --> 00:54:26,120
Speaker 1: new staff, which is a huge upgrade over the previous regime,

1188
00:54:26,320 --> 00:54:29,120
Speaker 1: you should see more wrinkles. Additionally, they should be able

1189
00:54:29,120 --> 00:54:31,319
Speaker 1: to run the ball here. Nebraska can't stop anyone from

1190
00:54:31,400 --> 00:54:34,880
Speaker 1: running the ball nobody. They also can't get pressure. They

1191
00:54:34,920 --> 00:54:38,320
Speaker 1: also can't stop the quarterback run game. Nico's leg should

1192
00:54:38,320 --> 00:54:41,799
Speaker 1: be huge here and on the other side, Rayola is out.

1193
00:54:42,000 --> 00:54:44,360
Speaker 1: I think he's worth seven plus points because did you

1194
00:54:44,440 --> 00:54:47,680
Speaker 1: watch the backup Latif last week? The whole offense designed

1195
00:54:47,719 --> 00:54:50,879
Speaker 1: around Rayola. Uc I can just stack the box here.

1196
00:54:51,120 --> 00:54:55,760
Speaker 1: There's tackle injuries for Nebraska UCLA all day. What a spot?

1197
00:54:55,800 --> 00:54:57,279
Speaker 1: Anything under a field goal is fine for me.

1198
00:54:57,840 --> 00:55:00,279
Speaker 2: David Johnson's gonna run like crazy, not.

1199
00:55:00,360 --> 00:55:01,400
Speaker 1: If you stacked the box.

1200
00:55:01,520 --> 00:55:04,160
Speaker 2: This kid can't throw the ball at UCLA is done

1201
00:55:04,320 --> 00:55:06,839
Speaker 2: exploding on runs jav and Thomas jalen Berger. They haven't

1202
00:55:06,840 --> 00:55:09,000
Speaker 2: produced a single explosive run the last two games against

1203
00:55:09,040 --> 00:55:11,719
Speaker 2: Maryland Indiana. I can forgive you for against Indiana, but

1204
00:55:11,840 --> 00:55:15,000
Speaker 2: come on, this UCLA magic is over. I got hot

1205
00:55:15,080 --> 00:55:16,640
Speaker 2: on that. It was like a ride at the club,

1206
00:55:16,719 --> 00:55:17,160
Speaker 2: and I'm out.

1207
00:55:19,280 --> 00:55:22,640
Speaker 1: UCLA out right well their favorite, so I hope uh

1208
00:55:23,320 --> 00:55:25,279
Speaker 1: UTEP do you want to agree on this one? Yeah?

1209
00:55:25,360 --> 00:55:26,720
Speaker 2: Yeah, I took UTEP really in a week.

1210
00:55:26,920 --> 00:55:29,680
Speaker 1: UTEP plus one. Look. I think UTEP is one of

1211
00:55:29,719 --> 00:55:32,040
Speaker 1: the most undervalued teams in the country. Crazy to say,

1212
00:55:32,239 --> 00:55:35,640
Speaker 1: but their offense is way better with Locklear because Nelson

1213
00:55:35,719 --> 00:55:38,040
Speaker 1: is probably the worst quarterback of all time. They've started

1214
00:55:38,080 --> 00:55:39,920
Speaker 1: the show some life. Still a really bad offense, but

1215
00:55:39,960 --> 00:55:43,120
Speaker 1: their defense adjusted for opponent the only group of five

1216
00:55:43,200 --> 00:55:46,920
Speaker 1: defense EPA P playwise that's been better San Diego State.

1217
00:55:47,040 --> 00:55:50,319
Speaker 1: That's it. This UTEP defense is legit. They can slow

1218
00:55:50,360 --> 00:55:53,920
Speaker 1: down cam Cook If you do that, Camden Kreele is

1219
00:55:54,000 --> 00:55:55,560
Speaker 1: not beating you through the air. I mean this is

1220
00:55:55,680 --> 00:55:58,520
Speaker 1: zero big time throws on the year, one dimensional offense.

1221
00:55:58,800 --> 00:56:01,440
Speaker 1: This UTEP defense is legit. I think you get their

1222
00:56:01,440 --> 00:56:02,839
Speaker 1: best effort or they can still go to a bowl.

1223
00:56:03,000 --> 00:56:04,440
Speaker 1: And by the way, I think Kennessall is one of

1224
00:56:04,480 --> 00:56:06,200
Speaker 1: the two best teams in the conference. UTEPS should have

1225
00:56:06,200 --> 00:56:08,200
Speaker 1: beat them. I mean they gave up sixteen none offensive points.

1226
00:56:08,239 --> 00:56:13,360
Speaker 1: They were there's a criminal officiating crew and they outplayed

1227
00:56:13,600 --> 00:56:16,719
Speaker 1: Kennesaw on the field. And can we look at Jacksonville

1228
00:56:16,760 --> 00:56:19,839
Speaker 1: State please, Okay, I know they've had a good year.

1229
00:56:20,120 --> 00:56:23,960
Speaker 1: Here are their wins. Murray State Liberty when the Flames

1230
00:56:23,960 --> 00:56:25,759
Speaker 1: were a mess and by the way, Liberty out gained

1231
00:56:25,800 --> 00:56:29,400
Speaker 1: them five thirty four to four to three, ninety Middle

1232
00:56:29,480 --> 00:56:33,000
Speaker 1: Tennessee by three, they trailed multiple times in the fourth quarter,

1233
00:56:33,400 --> 00:56:36,239
Speaker 1: Sam Houston by two on a walk off fifty two

1234
00:56:36,320 --> 00:56:38,960
Speaker 1: yard field goal, also trailed in the fourth quarter, and

1235
00:56:39,040 --> 00:56:42,120
Speaker 1: then a Delaware team that is reeling by thirteen. They

1236
00:56:42,160 --> 00:56:44,160
Speaker 1: got gifted a twenty one nothing lead in that game.

1237
00:56:44,760 --> 00:56:49,000
Speaker 1: Those are their wins Murray State, Liberty, Middle Tennessee, Sam Houston,

1238
00:56:49,080 --> 00:56:50,880
Speaker 1: and Delaware. UTEP.

1239
00:56:51,400 --> 00:56:53,359
Speaker 2: Yeah, Delaware is starting to look worse and worse week

1240
00:56:53,400 --> 00:56:53,719
Speaker 2: by week.

1241
00:56:54,080 --> 00:56:57,000
Speaker 1: UTEP, I think, I mean that's they're still like FC

1242
00:56:57,320 --> 00:56:59,440
Speaker 1: like they don't have the roster to withstand like to

1243
00:56:59,520 --> 00:57:00,640
Speaker 1: you're starting them wear down.

1244
00:57:01,280 --> 00:57:04,920
Speaker 2: So Jacksonville State sixty seven percent rush rate and UTEP

1245
00:57:05,080 --> 00:57:08,360
Speaker 2: is extremely good against the rush. You also have to

1246
00:57:08,360 --> 00:57:10,560
Speaker 2: look at Jacksonville State on defense one hundred and eleventh

1247
00:57:10,560 --> 00:57:11,280
Speaker 2: in defensive finishing.

1248
00:57:11,280 --> 00:57:13,600
Speaker 1: Again, their defense is bad. Jacksville State sense, I like

1249
00:57:13,719 --> 00:57:16,720
Speaker 1: UTEP here. Jacksonville State huge game against Kennisol for first

1250
00:57:16,720 --> 00:57:18,880
Speaker 1: place next week. Could be caught teaking a tough spot

1251
00:57:19,560 --> 00:57:22,280
Speaker 1: Temple any seven year the Temple had, so I think

1252
00:57:22,320 --> 00:57:24,280
Speaker 1: it's a good by low spot on Temple. You're also

1253
00:57:24,320 --> 00:57:26,640
Speaker 1: making Army beat you buy more than a touchdown. Temple

1254
00:57:26,680 --> 00:57:29,640
Speaker 1: already saw the triple. They already played Navy. They should

1255
00:57:29,680 --> 00:57:34,200
Speaker 1: have beat Navy. A better offense than Army, and Army

1256
00:57:34,240 --> 00:57:36,920
Speaker 1: can't generate pressure, can't stop the pass. I expect a

1257
00:57:37,000 --> 00:57:41,520
Speaker 1: bounce back game from this Temple offense. And I mean,

1258
00:57:41,640 --> 00:57:44,640
Speaker 1: Simon's been great all year besides last week. Really just

1259
00:57:44,840 --> 00:57:47,400
Speaker 1: I think affected by the conditions and what happened in

1260
00:57:47,440 --> 00:57:50,880
Speaker 1: that game is Temple's defense. They were down three defensive

1261
00:57:50,920 --> 00:57:53,480
Speaker 1: starters in the secondary right off the bat. That's not

1262
00:57:53,600 --> 00:57:56,440
Speaker 1: good against ECU. I think they might get one or

1263
00:57:56,480 --> 00:57:59,160
Speaker 1: two or maybe all three back this week, but regardless,

1264
00:57:59,600 --> 00:58:01,560
Speaker 1: it won't be a huge deal against Army, not a

1265
00:58:01,640 --> 00:58:07,600
Speaker 1: passing team. Keeler, great coach, Temple going for Bowl eligibility.

1266
00:58:07,680 --> 00:58:10,360
Speaker 1: I expect to bounce back here. Simon still has twenty

1267
00:58:10,400 --> 00:58:13,400
Speaker 1: one touchdowns one interception on the season. Army can't generate

1268
00:58:13,440 --> 00:58:16,760
Speaker 1: pressure one hundred nineteenth bottom ten drop back success rate

1269
00:58:17,400 --> 00:58:21,720
Speaker 1: they can keep up already seen the triple. I like

1270
00:58:22,640 --> 00:58:23,120
Speaker 1: the als.

1271
00:58:23,400 --> 00:58:25,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm gonna join you on it right now. I

1272
00:58:25,240 --> 00:58:26,280
Speaker 2: make this game three and a half.

1273
00:58:26,640 --> 00:58:27,640
Speaker 1: Agree, Yeah.

1274
00:58:28,640 --> 00:58:32,240
Speaker 2: Offense eleventh in offensive finishing drives. They have more advantages

1275
00:58:32,400 --> 00:58:36,520
Speaker 2: offensively than what Army has offensively. And Temple's d's pretty bad,

1276
00:58:36,560 --> 00:58:38,600
Speaker 2: but you know it's if you're giving me a shootout,

1277
00:58:38,640 --> 00:58:40,040
Speaker 2: I'll take a TV or six and a half. But

1278
00:58:40,360 --> 00:58:43,720
Speaker 2: Temple has legit numbers on offense like thirty third and

1279
00:58:43,760 --> 00:58:45,760
Speaker 2: havoc allowed top thirty and passing success rate.

1280
00:58:45,800 --> 00:58:48,040
Speaker 1: I mean, there'll give me no pressure here, so finishing

1281
00:58:48,080 --> 00:58:50,840
Speaker 1: mon can do his thing. And for crazily enough, Monk

1282
00:58:50,920 --> 00:58:52,840
Speaker 1: in thirteen twenty two and one against Spreads at home

1283
00:58:52,880 --> 00:58:55,920
Speaker 1: favor Army, the sixth least profitable home team over the

1284
00:58:55,960 --> 00:58:58,720
Speaker 1: past twenty years. Pretty surprise. I was surprised to see that.

1285
00:58:59,520 --> 00:59:02,320
Speaker 1: But you think, obviously a team like Army not a

1286
00:59:02,400 --> 00:59:09,280
Speaker 1: great favorite BC red Bandana game, Baby rip Wells. Boston

1287
00:59:09,360 --> 00:59:12,920
Speaker 1: College undervalued right now? Why they're finally healthier. This is

1288
00:59:12,960 --> 00:59:15,480
Speaker 1: the most injury or avage team in the country for

1289
00:59:15,600 --> 00:59:17,560
Speaker 1: the first two months of the year. What have they

1290
00:59:17,600 --> 00:59:19,960
Speaker 1: done the last two weeks since they've been a lot healthier.

1291
00:59:20,520 --> 00:59:23,120
Speaker 1: They were down one possession to the Louisville and down

1292
00:59:23,160 --> 00:59:26,040
Speaker 1: one posession of Notre Dame in the fourth quarter SMU

1293
00:59:27,080 --> 00:59:30,480
Speaker 1: horrible spot. They won an overtime because Miami is undisciplined

1294
00:59:30,480 --> 00:59:33,320
Speaker 1: in Mario or Mario is gonna Mario on the road.

1295
00:59:35,400 --> 00:59:37,520
Speaker 2: Says Mario that game was over.

1296
00:59:37,680 --> 00:59:39,360
Speaker 1: If they don't get a personal foul and fourth and

1297
00:59:39,440 --> 00:59:43,760
Speaker 1: eight Jennings isn't healthy. They can't run the ball. They

1298
00:59:43,800 --> 00:59:46,480
Speaker 1: still can't defend the pass. BC can't run the ball,

1299
00:59:46,960 --> 00:59:49,200
Speaker 1: which is fine because you can't run it against SMU.

1300
00:59:50,120 --> 00:59:52,640
Speaker 1: Bill O'Brien be in his bag. Bc'll be ready early kick.

1301
00:59:52,680 --> 00:59:54,480
Speaker 1: We already saw what SMU did when they went to Wake.

1302
00:59:55,080 --> 00:59:59,160
Speaker 1: This is a horrible spot for SMU. BC max effort game,

1303
01:00:00,040 --> 01:00:01,480
Speaker 1: the Eagles catching double digits.

1304
01:00:02,120 --> 01:00:04,960
Speaker 2: No, no, I mean, you're right, it is head. No,

1305
01:00:05,200 --> 01:00:06,840
Speaker 2: I'm not going head to head. It is the spot.

1306
01:00:07,560 --> 01:00:10,080
Speaker 2: I don't back teams or just had their goalposts taken down,

1307
01:00:10,280 --> 01:00:13,040
Speaker 2: all right, and then throw it into the pond. But

1308
01:00:13,560 --> 01:00:15,320
Speaker 2: it's just too far, like it's already accounted for. It

1309
01:00:15,400 --> 01:00:16,920
Speaker 2: should be like twelve and a half thirteen, So.

1310
01:00:17,360 --> 01:00:19,160
Speaker 1: Nope, I think it should be nine and a half

1311
01:00:19,640 --> 01:00:22,120
Speaker 1: all right. I do really think BC's undervalued right now

1312
01:00:22,200 --> 01:00:26,800
Speaker 1: because of all the injury situations they dealt with Yukon Duke,

1313
01:00:27,440 --> 01:00:30,120
Speaker 1: So this game means nothing to Duke. By the way,

1314
01:00:30,160 --> 01:00:33,120
Speaker 1: we've got six percent win probability last week. Duke will

1315
01:00:33,120 --> 01:00:35,800
Speaker 1: beat itself whenever it wants. But here's the thing. Duke

1316
01:00:35,840 --> 01:00:40,080
Speaker 1: can't defend the pass at all, and that's what Yukon

1317
01:00:40,200 --> 01:00:43,080
Speaker 1: can do. I mean, this team they can't tackle. Also,

1318
01:00:43,240 --> 01:00:45,960
Speaker 1: the yards have their catch galre. That's Yukon's offense and

1319
01:00:46,040 --> 01:00:48,560
Speaker 1: the other side of the ball. Yukon's rundy's really bad,

1320
01:00:48,640 --> 01:00:50,160
Speaker 1: which is why I lost the Rice, which is why

1321
01:00:50,240 --> 01:00:52,240
Speaker 1: I almost lost the ball state. But their paste is

1322
01:00:52,320 --> 01:00:54,640
Speaker 1: much better and they can get pressure. Their defensive coordinator

1323
01:00:54,680 --> 01:00:56,760
Speaker 1: is really good, mixes up coverages really well. And this

1324
01:00:56,840 --> 01:00:59,200
Speaker 1: is a duke team that is just all pass. So

1325
01:00:59,680 --> 01:01:01,680
Speaker 1: I think horrible spot for Duke off the Clempson went.

1326
01:01:01,720 --> 01:01:03,320
Speaker 1: They have Virginia next week for a spot in the

1327
01:01:03,400 --> 01:01:06,520
Speaker 1: ACC title. Yukon almost beat them last week last year

1328
01:01:06,600 --> 01:01:08,840
Speaker 1: in Dorman If twenty six to twenty one is a

1329
01:01:08,920 --> 01:01:13,200
Speaker 1: huge game for Yukon. Moore junior Fannano. By the way,

1330
01:01:13,280 --> 01:01:16,040
Speaker 1: Faniano is twenty five touchdowns and no interceptions in the year.

1331
01:01:16,800 --> 01:01:20,000
Speaker 1: H insane. Yeah, I mean this game will go down

1332
01:01:20,000 --> 01:01:21,960
Speaker 1: to the wire. He's got four special teams are a

1333
01:01:22,000 --> 01:01:24,840
Speaker 1: disaster too, They'll they'll mess this up. They just dunk.

1334
01:01:24,920 --> 01:01:25,919
Speaker 1: Duke games are so dumb.

1335
01:01:26,480 --> 01:01:30,920
Speaker 2: Yukon is going to be uh a play on bowl team. Uh.

1336
01:01:31,040 --> 01:01:32,480
Speaker 2: I think it's interesting. I think there must have been

1337
01:01:32,480 --> 01:01:33,960
Speaker 2: a service release on Duke. I don't know why. I

1338
01:01:34,000 --> 01:01:35,080
Speaker 2: got down to eight and a half and kind of

1339
01:01:35,120 --> 01:01:35,560
Speaker 2: blown up.

1340
01:01:36,040 --> 01:01:38,360
Speaker 1: It's they go out by a couple of groups at

1341
01:01:38,360 --> 01:01:39,560
Speaker 1: eight and a half who thought it was too low.

1342
01:01:39,600 --> 01:01:41,080
Speaker 1: But what's that now? Is it nine and a half?

1343
01:01:41,240 --> 01:01:42,760
Speaker 2: Yeah? Why would you get it in the spot? That

1344
01:01:42,800 --> 01:01:44,800
Speaker 2: doesn't Why would you want even want to touch Duke

1345
01:01:44,840 --> 01:01:46,160
Speaker 2: in this spot? It doesn't make any sense.

1346
01:01:46,240 --> 01:01:48,400
Speaker 1: But just numbers, numbers players.

1347
01:01:48,560 --> 01:01:52,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, Yukon's passing numbers are legit on Finano fourteen big

1348
01:01:52,600 --> 01:01:55,040
Speaker 2: time throws to four turnover worthy plays like he is

1349
01:01:55,120 --> 01:01:57,840
Speaker 2: cool as a cucumber one point one percent turnover worthy play.

1350
01:01:58,200 --> 01:01:59,600
Speaker 1: Duke's secondary is a disaster.

1351
01:01:59,760 --> 01:01:59,920
Speaker 2: I know.

1352
01:02:00,000 --> 01:02:04,040
Speaker 1: Oh, I can't tackle either. Everything like they allow so

1353
01:02:04,120 --> 01:02:07,640
Speaker 1: much out of the catch. Here's some three EMU as

1354
01:02:07,680 --> 01:02:10,200
Speaker 1: a favorite. I think it's worth a look. PG. I

1355
01:02:10,240 --> 01:02:12,160
Speaker 1: think is dead. I mean they're getting arrested. I don't

1356
01:02:12,160 --> 01:02:16,479
Speaker 1: even know their quarterback is gonna be I think they're dead.

1357
01:02:16,800 --> 01:02:18,320
Speaker 1: I don't know if they have any healthy quarterbacks on

1358
01:02:18,360 --> 01:02:22,479
Speaker 1: the roster. ARC State it's too high against your Southern

1359
01:02:22,520 --> 01:02:25,760
Speaker 1: miss boys. I think they might win. Sorry, and this

1360
01:02:25,920 --> 01:02:27,520
Speaker 1: one's the ugliest of all. I don't know what you're

1361
01:02:27,520 --> 01:02:29,000
Speaker 1: gonna get from them. They've been off for two weeks.

1362
01:02:29,040 --> 01:02:31,400
Speaker 1: Georgia State, I mean, Coastal Caroline has been so much

1363
01:02:31,440 --> 01:02:33,760
Speaker 1: better with Kyllier. It's crazy the force from quarterback, but

1364
01:02:33,840 --> 01:02:36,040
Speaker 1: it's a different role. Now we're over seven. I think

1365
01:02:36,120 --> 01:02:37,160
Speaker 1: there's a value in Georgia State.

1366
01:02:37,560 --> 01:02:40,520
Speaker 2: So I'm gonna I'm not gonna go out and let's say,

1367
01:02:40,560 --> 01:02:41,920
Speaker 2: let's put this on the board. But for those who

1368
01:02:41,960 --> 01:02:43,400
Speaker 2: out there that have a forty to one on Southern

1369
01:02:43,440 --> 01:02:47,040
Speaker 2: miss Arkansas State is money wise and my round robin

1370
01:02:47,120 --> 01:02:48,600
Speaker 2: this week of seventeams by far.

1371
01:02:48,800 --> 01:02:51,880
Speaker 1: All right, that'll do it for trash. Let's go nowhere fast.

1372
01:02:53,960 --> 01:02:56,800
Speaker 1: You are about to enter a world unlike any you've

1373
01:02:56,840 --> 01:02:57,720
Speaker 1: ever seen before.

1374
01:02:58,560 --> 01:03:02,400
Speaker 2: We're the beautiful Google and the brave all Meat.

1375
01:03:18,240 --> 01:03:20,040
Speaker 1: San Diego State and Hawaii. It's a good one.

1376
01:03:20,320 --> 01:03:22,760
Speaker 2: Yeah. Yeah, it's not at midnight. It's actually at ten

1377
01:03:22,800 --> 01:03:24,960
Speaker 2: o'clock Central, so we actually be able to watch us

1378
01:03:24,960 --> 01:03:27,280
Speaker 2: and not fall asleep. Open fifty one Steam down a

1379
01:03:27,320 --> 01:03:30,760
Speaker 2: little bit? Really why he has no answer for Lucky

1380
01:03:30,800 --> 01:03:33,800
Speaker 2: Sutton on the ground. Donegal lead San Diego State with

1381
01:03:34,120 --> 01:03:36,560
Speaker 2: a rank of seventh and pass epiata. They are so

1382
01:03:36,800 --> 01:03:40,360
Speaker 2: explosive deep shots and Lucky Sutton running. I just don't

1383
01:03:40,360 --> 01:03:43,000
Speaker 2: see why on the defensive numbers that they have answering

1384
01:03:43,080 --> 01:03:45,240
Speaker 2: any of that. Then again, why he's going to try

1385
01:03:45,240 --> 01:03:46,920
Speaker 2: to pass against the San Diego State And that's all

1386
01:03:46,960 --> 01:03:48,520
Speaker 2: the why he does, right, It's all the Timmy wants

1387
01:03:48,520 --> 01:03:50,840
Speaker 2: to do is pass. San Diego State's coverage unit is

1388
01:03:50,880 --> 01:03:53,080
Speaker 2: second per PFF and they're number one in the nation

1389
01:03:53,200 --> 01:03:57,120
Speaker 2: in defensive passing success rate. I'm actually taking the under

1390
01:03:57,200 --> 01:03:59,680
Speaker 2: here because I'm not sure why he's going to contribute.

1391
01:04:00,320 --> 01:04:03,560
Speaker 2: So from a nowhere fast perspective, I like the under.

1392
01:04:03,840 --> 01:04:06,240
Speaker 1: Chris Johnson, one of the best corners in college football

1393
01:04:06,240 --> 01:04:07,959
Speaker 1: from San Diego State. That defense is legit.

1394
01:04:08,200 --> 01:04:09,680
Speaker 2: That's why are you gonna do? Start running the ball?

1395
01:04:09,720 --> 01:04:10,160
Speaker 2: They don't do that.

1396
01:04:11,080 --> 01:04:13,080
Speaker 1: Funny things happen on the island. All right, before we

1397
01:04:13,120 --> 01:04:15,080
Speaker 1: get out of here, let's go three and now. All right, uh,

1398
01:04:15,280 --> 01:04:16,680
Speaker 1: Friday night lights, that's.

1399
01:04:16,600 --> 01:04:19,200
Speaker 2: Here, gentlemen, clear eyes, full hearts.

1400
01:04:20,040 --> 01:04:22,800
Speaker 1: Let's go play some football. Houston at UCF.

1401
01:04:23,240 --> 01:04:24,400
Speaker 2: I make U c F a four and a half

1402
01:04:24,440 --> 01:04:25,120
Speaker 2: point favorite.

1403
01:04:25,320 --> 01:04:30,640
Speaker 1: That's crazy. Uh, I don't know what to expect here

1404
01:04:30,640 --> 01:04:34,800
Speaker 1: from Houston, like the dream Crusher last week, but Fritz

1405
01:04:34,880 --> 01:04:37,880
Speaker 1: is a really good coach. I expect and like what

1406
01:04:37,960 --> 01:04:40,280
Speaker 1: happened to u CF at Baylor. I know, I don't know.

1407
01:04:41,800 --> 01:04:42,680
Speaker 1: I lean under here.

1408
01:04:43,960 --> 01:04:46,000
Speaker 2: I I like the under in the USC Northwestern game.

1409
01:04:46,000 --> 01:04:48,240
Speaker 2: I'm not sure Northwestern is gonna score. I think USC

1410
01:04:48,360 --> 01:04:49,560
Speaker 2: team total over could be good.

1411
01:04:49,920 --> 01:04:52,480
Speaker 1: I have no feel there. I'm on market. Uh, we're

1412
01:04:52,600 --> 01:04:54,000
Speaker 1: you wanna go ahead to add two lane? Memphis?

1413
01:04:54,600 --> 01:04:56,960
Speaker 2: What the hell if somebody would like to enlighten me?

1414
01:04:57,000 --> 01:04:58,320
Speaker 2: Why the heck? Why the hell this thing's going the

1415
01:04:58,360 --> 01:05:00,520
Speaker 2: other way? We got some more Brendan Lewis like he's

1416
01:05:00,560 --> 01:05:03,520
Speaker 2: not gonna play crap floating out there, like you can't

1417
01:05:03,520 --> 01:05:05,640
Speaker 2: trust anything that comes out of Silverfields Camp. So I

1418
01:05:05,640 --> 01:05:06,720
Speaker 2: don't know why this number is.

1419
01:05:06,800 --> 01:05:07,760
Speaker 1: I don't think he's gonna play.

1420
01:05:08,040 --> 01:05:09,840
Speaker 2: That's the only reason why this is going down.

1421
01:05:10,280 --> 01:05:12,160
Speaker 1: I don't think he's gonna play. So I bet I

1422
01:05:12,280 --> 01:05:15,000
Speaker 1: bet two lane expecutively, just based.

1423
01:05:14,760 --> 01:05:16,880
Speaker 2: On you tell me why you think that.

1424
01:05:17,320 --> 01:05:20,320
Speaker 1: I don't know anything. I'm just reading tea leaves, reading things.

1425
01:05:21,520 --> 01:05:22,640
Speaker 2: How did he play last week?

1426
01:05:22,800 --> 01:05:25,840
Speaker 1: Also the market, someone I know what's going on in

1427
01:05:25,920 --> 01:05:26,760
Speaker 1: the someone knows.

1428
01:05:27,040 --> 01:05:29,280
Speaker 2: I'm getting a couple of tweets about it. I'm like listen.

1429
01:05:30,000 --> 01:05:32,600
Speaker 1: I think someone knows that he's out. But this happened

1430
01:05:32,640 --> 01:05:35,760
Speaker 1: with USF and then but he did get hurt again

1431
01:05:35,880 --> 01:05:38,960
Speaker 1: last week, and like they need him to move and

1432
01:05:39,040 --> 01:05:40,440
Speaker 1: their offense is build around him.

1433
01:05:40,800 --> 01:05:43,160
Speaker 2: Could they this because of the now they have the tiebreaker?

1434
01:05:43,200 --> 01:05:45,160
Speaker 2: Can they afford to lose this in the American standings?

1435
01:05:45,480 --> 01:05:45,520
Speaker 1: No?

1436
01:05:45,760 --> 01:05:48,320
Speaker 2: Okay, Well, North Texas is gonna win out there, and

1437
01:05:48,560 --> 01:05:50,920
Speaker 2: played like he wasn't gonna play against South Florida and

1438
01:05:51,000 --> 01:05:52,960
Speaker 2: then he played and I'm supposed to believe this move

1439
01:05:53,040 --> 01:05:53,960
Speaker 2: the other way, But like he.

1440
01:05:54,000 --> 01:05:55,920
Speaker 1: Got he really did get hurt again, and I don't

1441
01:05:55,960 --> 01:05:59,160
Speaker 1: think he's been practicing from a couple of things I read,

1442
01:05:59,240 --> 01:06:01,360
Speaker 1: so he could I don't out that's suspect the move

1443
01:06:01,400 --> 01:06:03,120
Speaker 1: I got. So I guess you want to stay away.

1444
01:06:02,920 --> 01:06:06,720
Speaker 2: For now, away, but here we go. Set your clocks

1445
01:06:06,720 --> 01:06:07,200
Speaker 2: and your fine.

1446
01:06:07,400 --> 01:06:10,640
Speaker 1: It's small if you saw them. Yeah, that's why I speculating.

1447
01:06:10,640 --> 01:06:12,320
Speaker 1: I also think you're gonna get to Lane's best effort

1448
01:06:12,400 --> 01:06:14,480
Speaker 1: here after they got embarrassed last week, and somewhere else.

1449
01:06:14,480 --> 01:06:15,720
Speaker 1: A good coach web I'm ready.

1450
01:06:16,400 --> 01:06:18,640
Speaker 2: A good defense of defendand zone read of Memphis.

1451
01:06:18,760 --> 01:06:21,400
Speaker 1: So a lot of Fluisism in there, all right, second

1452
01:06:21,400 --> 01:06:25,480
Speaker 1: out favorite overdog called the overdog parlay favorite favorite. I'll start,

1453
01:06:25,480 --> 01:06:28,000
Speaker 1: I'll TCU anything seven are better, but I think they

1454
01:06:28,320 --> 01:06:31,280
Speaker 1: they roll I with State Iowa. State's dead dog walking.

1455
01:06:32,120 --> 01:06:35,520
Speaker 1: They can't get pressure. Secondaries a mess. They're gonna get

1456
01:06:35,560 --> 01:06:37,120
Speaker 1: carved up here. Give me the frogs.

1457
01:06:37,480 --> 01:06:39,720
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm going Notre Dame. I think this is fifty burger.

1458
01:06:39,760 --> 01:06:41,520
Speaker 2: I think it's the same exact script from last year.

1459
01:06:41,880 --> 01:06:44,360
Speaker 2: They're tenth in the culturable playoff rankings. They need something

1460
01:06:44,440 --> 01:06:46,840
Speaker 2: that looks a little bit flashy, and what Navy has

1461
01:06:47,000 --> 01:06:49,480
Speaker 2: run concept both sides of the ball is bad news

1462
01:06:49,560 --> 01:06:52,080
Speaker 2: for Navy. So I think Notre Dame goes hard on this.

1463
01:06:52,200 --> 01:06:58,240
Speaker 1: All right underdog money line parlay. Turning good weekends in

1464
01:06:58,360 --> 01:07:02,800
Speaker 1: two great weekends, It's time for the money line parlay

1465
01:07:03,840 --> 01:07:06,840
Speaker 1: gone Kentucky. This is I don't know if Florida gets

1466
01:07:06,880 --> 01:07:10,520
Speaker 1: off the bus. I mean after the Georgia effort. By

1467
01:07:10,560 --> 01:07:13,040
Speaker 1: the way, they have games against who they got Tennessee,

1468
01:07:13,800 --> 01:07:17,120
Speaker 1: Oh Miss Florida State left. Now they go to Lexington.

1469
01:07:17,400 --> 01:07:20,240
Speaker 1: Nothing to play for Kentucky playing with a lot of

1470
01:07:20,280 --> 01:07:22,640
Speaker 1: confidence against the rival. They'll show up here. You don't

1471
01:07:22,640 --> 01:07:26,080
Speaker 1: have the coaching bump from last week. And then more importantly,

1472
01:07:26,360 --> 01:07:31,280
Speaker 1: who's Lagway throwing to. I told you about Eugene Wilson.

1473
01:07:32,120 --> 01:07:33,560
Speaker 1: He was the focal point of offense. I told you

1474
01:07:33,640 --> 01:07:36,760
Speaker 1: he was popping off over the bye. He's out Dallas Wilson,

1475
01:07:37,360 --> 01:07:41,040
Speaker 1: he's out Mizelle, Bernald Brown. They might be out again.

1476
01:07:41,360 --> 01:07:43,400
Speaker 1: Who's left? Start of it? They gotta throw the start

1477
01:07:43,400 --> 01:07:46,000
Speaker 1: event fifty times. Hopefully the rest is just called not

1478
01:07:46,120 --> 01:07:50,640
Speaker 1: a catch when they do every time. Who's left? I

1479
01:07:50,680 --> 01:07:53,920
Speaker 1: don't know Georgia. Also, Florida also can't get pressure at all,

1480
01:07:54,240 --> 01:07:56,720
Speaker 1: so Bowley will be comfortable. You also have to attack

1481
01:07:56,800 --> 01:07:59,040
Speaker 1: this Florida defense plays a lot of too high. You

1482
01:07:59,160 --> 01:08:01,520
Speaker 1: have to get your cards after the catch, short pass Fitts.

1483
01:08:01,520 --> 01:08:05,480
Speaker 1: That's Kentucky's offense. Kentucky's defense now that Lagway doesn't have

1484
01:08:05,520 --> 01:08:08,680
Speaker 1: any receivers, they're good against the run and this is

1485
01:08:08,720 --> 01:08:10,280
Speaker 1: just a bad spot. Cats win.

1486
01:08:10,760 --> 01:08:14,200
Speaker 2: Yeah for me, I'm gonna go. If your book will

1487
01:08:14,240 --> 01:08:17,439
Speaker 2: allow you to do this, mine's my books do. I'm

1488
01:08:17,439 --> 01:08:19,720
Speaker 2: gonna go. Wisconsin first half money line. It's sitting at

1489
01:08:19,800 --> 01:08:23,120
Speaker 2: plus two forty. I'm not sure what's going on with

1490
01:08:23,280 --> 01:08:26,960
Speaker 2: Washington when they travel. I'm not sure. Against Michigan seven

1491
01:08:27,000 --> 01:08:30,040
Speaker 2: points total, a touchdown the second quarter against Maryland, did

1492
01:08:30,120 --> 01:08:33,439
Speaker 2: not even score in the first half. Against Penn State

1493
01:08:33,640 --> 01:08:36,800
Speaker 2: in November of twenty four, no tds, and then i

1494
01:08:37,000 --> 01:08:41,640
Speaker 2: U Iowa Rutgers they scored sixteen, seventeen, and eighteen respectively.

1495
01:08:41,760 --> 01:08:43,840
Speaker 2: I don't know what's going on with this Washington team

1496
01:08:44,320 --> 01:08:47,360
Speaker 2: over a span of a two year sample. They cannot

1497
01:08:47,400 --> 01:08:52,040
Speaker 2: travel whatsoever. They're going into Wisconsin. Who's actually limiting Oregan,

1498
01:08:52,640 --> 01:08:54,880
Speaker 2: who's actually doing stuff defensively?

1499
01:08:55,240 --> 01:08:58,800
Speaker 1: I Wisconsin Shunton, you know Wisconsin Wisconsin limited or did

1500
01:08:58,840 --> 01:09:00,439
Speaker 1: you know they didn't limit Iowa.

1501
01:09:02,760 --> 01:09:05,599
Speaker 2: Well, yeah, I'm gonna say this, Washington takes a while

1502
01:09:05,640 --> 01:09:08,160
Speaker 2: to wake up. Give me Wisconsin first half money line

1503
01:09:08,240 --> 01:09:09,000
Speaker 2: plus two forty.

1504
01:09:09,200 --> 01:09:10,840
Speaker 1: I don't mind this because you also could see the

1505
01:09:10,840 --> 01:09:14,200
Speaker 1: freshman for Wisconsin, Carter Smith, the quarterback. Yeah, and there's

1506
01:09:14,200 --> 01:09:17,280
Speaker 1: some variants there and he might give them some juice.

1507
01:09:17,320 --> 01:09:19,080
Speaker 1: So that's always nice with the bigger money line. So

1508
01:09:19,160 --> 01:09:23,400
Speaker 1: we're going Kentucky and Wisconsin first half money line. By

1509
01:09:23,439 --> 01:09:26,719
Speaker 1: the way, voicemails nine to five to nine Bad Beat Recap.

1510
01:09:27,080 --> 01:09:29,479
Speaker 1: We'll have a recap show on Sunday be out Monday morning.

1511
01:09:29,520 --> 01:09:32,639
Speaker 1: We'll talk to the Weekday Slate as well. Agree Penn State, Yes,

1512
01:09:32,840 --> 01:09:36,800
Speaker 1: call about it, try about it, bitch at us U

1513
01:09:36,920 --> 01:09:39,559
Speaker 1: tep Yep, you're not gonna like any of these temple

1514
01:09:40,040 --> 01:09:44,599
Speaker 1: head to heads. I got Iowa, Conn's Oregon, I Missippi Stateias, Georgia.

1515
01:09:44,600 --> 01:09:47,799
Speaker 1: I have Wake, he has Virginia. For odds, I have Ucla,

1516
01:09:48,040 --> 01:09:51,240
Speaker 1: he has Nebraska. I mean up eight, five, sixteen, twelve,

1517
01:09:51,280 --> 01:09:52,400
Speaker 1: all time could make a dent.

1518
01:09:52,840 --> 01:09:54,560
Speaker 2: Are you? Are you going to show up Sunday of

1519
01:09:54,640 --> 01:09:56,479
Speaker 2: Virginia covers on some miraculous bs.

1520
01:09:56,920 --> 01:09:59,360
Speaker 1: Nope, giving the show on your own that I'll do

1521
01:09:59,439 --> 01:10:01,120
Speaker 1: it for us. Thanks to Gone for joining me. Thanks

1522
01:10:01,200 --> 01:10:03,040
Speaker 1: to our producer David on the back end. Most portly,

1523
01:10:03,080 --> 01:10:04,640
Speaker 1: thanks to Ally for tuning in. Also, if you want

1524
01:10:04,640 --> 01:10:05,880
Speaker 1: to tell some of the bets we discussed, look for

1525
01:10:05,920 --> 01:10:07,599
Speaker 1: the quick slip link in the video and podcast description

1526
01:10:07,640 --> 01:10:09,360
Speaker 1: of visit Action Work dot Com slash bet now thanks

1527
01:10:09,400 --> 01:10:12,479
Speaker 1: to DraftKings. Like I said, we'll be back Saturday ten,

1528
01:10:12,479 --> 01:10:14,559
Speaker 1: third am Eastern for the live show recap episode Monday,

1529
01:10:14,720 --> 01:10:16,040
Speaker 1: check out the group of five guys. If you haven't

1530
01:10:16,080 --> 01:10:17,639
Speaker 1: always do a good job, oh by the way we forgot,

1531
01:10:18,160 --> 01:10:20,719
Speaker 1: only for the ones, the true dods at Stay fcs

1532
01:10:20,840 --> 01:10:24,000
Speaker 1: or No Citadel catching fifty four. Yes you think Lane

1533
01:10:24,040 --> 01:10:26,160
Speaker 1: prepared for the triple option, No, sir.

1534
01:10:26,479 --> 01:10:27,599
Speaker 2: He didn't prepare for Wazoo.

1535
01:10:27,960 --> 01:10:31,720
Speaker 1: Didn't prepare for Wazoo Citadel Triple option catching fifty four.

1536
01:10:32,040 --> 01:10:33,680
Speaker 1: I don't care if they can't get any stops the

1537
01:10:33,840 --> 01:10:36,200
Speaker 1: hold of enough, that'll do it for us. See you

1538
01:10:36,280 --> 01:10:38,240
Speaker 1: back here at Saturday. We'll see you back here Monday.

1539
01:10:38,400 --> 01:10:41,160
Speaker 1: See you online on Saturday, Catch you all later. Cheers.

1540
01:10:41,360 --> 01:11:02,120
Speaker 2: Peace Out Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

1541
01:11:02,600 --> 01:11:05,360
Speaker 1: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

1542
01:11:05,680 --> 01:11:08,320
Speaker 1: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

1543
01:11:08,400 --> 01:11:09,160
Speaker 1: hundred Gambler