1 00:00:01,200 --> 00:00:07,640 Speaker 1: The volume Colin Coward Podcast presented by FanDuel Sports Book. 2 00:00:07,720 --> 00:00:09,840 Speaker 1: No better place to bet the action than on FanDuel 3 00:00:09,880 --> 00:00:13,160 Speaker 1: Sports Book during the football season. There's a lot of reasons. 4 00:00:13,440 --> 00:00:17,439 Speaker 1: It's America's number one sports book. Incredibly easy to use, 5 00:00:18,000 --> 00:00:21,919 Speaker 1: super safe, totally secure, super fast payouts in as quick 6 00:00:21,960 --> 00:00:24,880 Speaker 1: as two hours. You're not going to get that anywhere. Also, 7 00:00:25,000 --> 00:00:28,840 Speaker 1: same game parlay bets, live betting. It's the best. Hey, 8 00:00:28,880 --> 00:00:31,760 Speaker 1: if you're new, just download the FanDuel Sports Book App. 9 00:00:31,800 --> 00:00:34,360 Speaker 1: I did it in fifteen seconds. Get started now sign up. 10 00:00:34,800 --> 00:00:37,320 Speaker 1: Please use the promo code Colin so they know we 11 00:00:37,360 --> 00:00:40,800 Speaker 1: sent you. Please use the promo code Colins c O 12 00:00:40,960 --> 00:00:51,919 Speaker 1: L I in FanDuel Sports Book App. Sign Up. This 13 00:00:52,120 --> 00:00:55,920 Speaker 1: is Prime Cuts, the best of the Colin Coward Podcast, 14 00:00:56,040 --> 00:01:00,760 Speaker 1: Birthday Boy, Joe Burrow, stop By, Beat the Buds, Preparing 15 00:01:00,800 --> 00:01:05,720 Speaker 1: for Tom Brady, Chad Millman, Action Network, Sharper Square Week 16 00:01:05,880 --> 00:01:15,160 Speaker 1: fourteen Best Bets. Get Smarter. You know something I talk 17 00:01:15,200 --> 00:01:18,880 Speaker 1: about pretty regularly on the show is I think football 18 00:01:18,920 --> 00:01:24,680 Speaker 1: is getting smarter and doesn't really matter what business you're in, 19 00:01:25,160 --> 00:01:28,200 Speaker 1: things change, right. You know, I'm in the cable TV 20 00:01:28,360 --> 00:01:32,399 Speaker 1: business and we have something called chord cutting, where a 21 00:01:32,400 --> 00:01:34,520 Speaker 1: lot of young people are just getting rid of their 22 00:01:34,520 --> 00:01:38,280 Speaker 1: cable and they're moving to streaming or YouTube TV, and 23 00:01:38,440 --> 00:01:43,520 Speaker 1: you have to adapt constantly. Even now among streaming companies, 24 00:01:43,520 --> 00:01:47,960 Speaker 1: you who lose your Netflix, your Disneys, they're losing billions 25 00:01:47,960 --> 00:01:51,440 Speaker 1: of dollars. Now. It's very, very hyper competitive, and people 26 00:01:51,480 --> 00:01:54,800 Speaker 1: are starting to say, my streaming bill costs more than 27 00:01:54,800 --> 00:01:57,240 Speaker 1: my cable bill, and I get more sports on cable. 28 00:01:58,520 --> 00:02:00,800 Speaker 1: And you know, I look at the l right now, 29 00:02:01,640 --> 00:02:03,520 Speaker 1: and how do you tell if you've got a really, 30 00:02:03,520 --> 00:02:08,520 Speaker 1: really great coach, because offense is obviously the key to 31 00:02:08,600 --> 00:02:12,280 Speaker 1: this thing. Seventy percent of coaches now head coaches are 32 00:02:12,320 --> 00:02:16,079 Speaker 1: offensive coaches, and they're having a lot more success than 33 00:02:16,200 --> 00:02:18,960 Speaker 1: defensive coaches. How do you know if you have a 34 00:02:19,000 --> 00:02:23,160 Speaker 1: great coach in the National Football League, My answer would 35 00:02:23,160 --> 00:02:28,280 Speaker 1: be when they make you think for an extended period 36 00:02:28,280 --> 00:02:33,480 Speaker 1: of time that an incredibly average player is really special. 37 00:02:34,600 --> 00:02:38,679 Speaker 1: And that's why I think Mike McDaniel of Miami may 38 00:02:38,720 --> 00:02:41,480 Speaker 1: be our next genius coach. He comes from the Kyle 39 00:02:41,520 --> 00:02:47,760 Speaker 1: Shanahan tree. That it is remarkable that Tua when he 40 00:02:47,840 --> 00:02:54,080 Speaker 1: has to play trailing against San Francisco, trailing against the Chargers, 41 00:02:54,720 --> 00:02:59,880 Speaker 1: with a fairly decent pass rush. Not only how ordinary 42 00:03:00,120 --> 00:03:05,240 Speaker 1: he looks, he looks like a third string quarterback. You 43 00:03:05,280 --> 00:03:09,600 Speaker 1: could argue he looks like a college quarterback, not physically 44 00:03:09,639 --> 00:03:13,040 Speaker 1: good enough to be in the NFL. I mean, I've 45 00:03:13,120 --> 00:03:16,440 Speaker 1: never heard of a quarterback starting a game like three 46 00:03:16,560 --> 00:03:20,880 Speaker 1: for seventeen. I've never heard of that from a backup. 47 00:03:21,720 --> 00:03:25,840 Speaker 1: But Mike McDaniel still has two A despite his last 48 00:03:25,840 --> 00:03:30,120 Speaker 1: two starts disasters, completing sixty six percent of his throws, 49 00:03:30,280 --> 00:03:32,560 Speaker 1: two hundred and seventy five yards a game, twenty two 50 00:03:32,600 --> 00:03:36,800 Speaker 1: tds and five picks. I mean, we think in New York, 51 00:03:37,040 --> 00:03:40,720 Speaker 1: Brian Dable is a really good coach. He took Josh 52 00:03:40,760 --> 00:03:45,280 Speaker 1: Allen to another level. Is this guy going to make 53 00:03:45,280 --> 00:03:50,040 Speaker 1: the league to an MVP level player? But even he 54 00:03:51,480 --> 00:03:56,760 Speaker 1: is limited with Daniel Jones after about six starts, Daniel 55 00:03:56,840 --> 00:04:00,640 Speaker 1: Jones has an absolute ceiling. When I look at the 56 00:04:00,680 --> 00:04:05,480 Speaker 1: Tuah story, it's really a Mike McDaniels story. Can you 57 00:04:05,560 --> 00:04:08,920 Speaker 1: imagine how good Miami would be with this coach if 58 00:04:08,920 --> 00:04:15,080 Speaker 1: they had Herbert Burrow. I mean, last two weeks, Tua 59 00:04:15,320 --> 00:04:22,440 Speaker 1: isn't an NFL quarterback, small and athletic, brittle, overwhelmed. We're 60 00:04:22,560 --> 00:04:25,800 Speaker 1: very lucky football is giving us. I think Lincoln Riley 61 00:04:25,839 --> 00:04:30,920 Speaker 1: at the college level, similarly, is just smarter than almost 62 00:04:30,960 --> 00:04:34,760 Speaker 1: anything we've ever seen offensively at the college level. And 63 00:04:34,839 --> 00:04:38,360 Speaker 1: where did Mike McDaniel come from San Francisco. Kyle Shanahan, 64 00:04:39,000 --> 00:04:41,800 Speaker 1: look at what he's doing with Brock Prudy. He got 65 00:04:41,800 --> 00:04:45,600 Speaker 1: Garoppolo to a Super Bowl. I like Jimmy more than 66 00:04:45,680 --> 00:04:48,400 Speaker 1: most people, but he has a clear ceiling. They don't 67 00:04:48,440 --> 00:04:51,680 Speaker 1: throw the ball up the sideline with Garoppolo. When you 68 00:04:51,680 --> 00:04:56,200 Speaker 1: look at Mike McDaniel and Kyle Shanahan, they're gonna humiliate 69 00:04:56,400 --> 00:05:00,760 Speaker 1: a lot of defensive coaches going forward. We have coaches 70 00:05:00,839 --> 00:05:05,159 Speaker 1: now who are completely next level, and a lot of 71 00:05:05,200 --> 00:05:07,239 Speaker 1: this is just due to safety. I mean Nick Saban 72 00:05:07,279 --> 00:05:10,120 Speaker 1: acknowledges now he can't keep people in the twenties. If 73 00:05:10,120 --> 00:05:13,240 Speaker 1: you have an NFL quarterback, Saban can't. College level can't. 74 00:05:14,480 --> 00:05:16,679 Speaker 1: But I look at this too, a Mike McDaniel's story, 75 00:05:16,720 --> 00:05:21,360 Speaker 1: and we have ourselves a borderline offensive genius in Miami. 76 00:05:21,680 --> 00:05:29,000 Speaker 1: This coach is really really special. All right, it's Joe 77 00:05:29,040 --> 00:05:33,240 Speaker 1: Burrow our weekly visit. This is an embarrassing question. So 78 00:05:33,320 --> 00:05:35,520 Speaker 1: you finally beat the Browns. I should know this year 79 00:05:35,560 --> 00:05:38,440 Speaker 1: from Ohio. This is embarrassing. This is an embarrassing moment. 80 00:05:39,320 --> 00:05:41,640 Speaker 1: I've never asked you this. Did you grow up a 81 00:05:41,680 --> 00:05:46,040 Speaker 1: Browns or a Bengals fan? I wasn't really a fan 82 00:05:46,080 --> 00:05:48,040 Speaker 1: of the NFL grown up. I was more of a 83 00:05:48,080 --> 00:05:50,560 Speaker 1: college football fan. I didn't watch I like the I 84 00:05:50,600 --> 00:05:54,760 Speaker 1: like Drew Brees, I like the Saints, but I didn't 85 00:05:54,920 --> 00:05:56,240 Speaker 1: you know, I moved around a lot when I was 86 00:05:56,240 --> 00:05:59,320 Speaker 1: really little. Yeah, and my whole wife and my whole 87 00:05:59,360 --> 00:06:01,720 Speaker 1: family was just college football. Yeah, so I was more 88 00:06:01,720 --> 00:06:05,680 Speaker 1: of a Cornhusker fan. Yeah, you know. Urban Meyer told 89 00:06:05,680 --> 00:06:07,599 Speaker 1: me that one time before he took the Jags job. 90 00:06:07,960 --> 00:06:10,720 Speaker 1: He said, I watched film on Sunday. I don't even 91 00:06:10,800 --> 00:06:14,400 Speaker 1: watch the NFL. I warned him. I said, I'm not 92 00:06:14,440 --> 00:06:17,440 Speaker 1: sure if that's a thing you should make public, Urban, 93 00:06:17,600 --> 00:06:20,240 Speaker 1: before you take an NFL job. It's kind of a 94 00:06:20,240 --> 00:06:25,120 Speaker 1: complicated competitive league. So it was your twenty sixth birthday? 95 00:06:25,240 --> 00:06:30,560 Speaker 1: Is that today? It was Saturday? Okay? I think so? 96 00:06:31,000 --> 00:06:33,440 Speaker 1: Like in season? Did you even get cake or is 97 00:06:33,480 --> 00:06:37,920 Speaker 1: that some sort of sugar free zone thing? I got 98 00:06:37,960 --> 00:06:44,240 Speaker 1: a pumpkin pie. Pumpkin comes from the earth. It's healthy. Yeah, 99 00:06:44,360 --> 00:06:47,240 Speaker 1: there you go. That's what my wife says. If the 100 00:06:47,279 --> 00:06:50,280 Speaker 1: ship comes from my ground, you can eat it. Yeah. 101 00:06:51,839 --> 00:06:56,640 Speaker 1: So this was for whatever reason, mostly Myles Garrett. This 102 00:06:56,680 --> 00:07:01,200 Speaker 1: had been a really tough matchup a divisional rival Ohio. 103 00:07:02,120 --> 00:07:05,480 Speaker 1: This had just been you had a breakthrough moment. What 104 00:07:05,560 --> 00:07:09,960 Speaker 1: was it? Well, our defense played great the entire game. 105 00:07:10,000 --> 00:07:12,520 Speaker 1: We're able to get stops and get up the field 106 00:07:12,800 --> 00:07:14,680 Speaker 1: while we figured it out on offense. You know, the 107 00:07:14,680 --> 00:07:18,520 Speaker 1: first quarter was a struggle, but after that we started 108 00:07:18,560 --> 00:07:20,320 Speaker 1: to move the ball really well and move the ball 109 00:07:20,360 --> 00:07:23,120 Speaker 1: down the field and hit the explosive plays, and so 110 00:07:23,160 --> 00:07:25,760 Speaker 1: our defense really kept his in it until in our 111 00:07:25,800 --> 00:07:30,640 Speaker 1: offense started clicking, you're gonna face Brady this week? Does 112 00:07:30,640 --> 00:07:36,280 Speaker 1: it mean anything? Just the next game? Just the next game. 113 00:07:36,440 --> 00:07:40,840 Speaker 1: That's a tom answer. That is such a play. Well, 114 00:07:40,880 --> 00:07:43,960 Speaker 1: I think if you get if you get to you know, 115 00:07:44,080 --> 00:07:46,160 Speaker 1: something I was really focused on coming into the league 116 00:07:46,240 --> 00:07:48,360 Speaker 1: is if you get to like, oh I grew up 117 00:07:48,360 --> 00:07:51,720 Speaker 1: watching this guy or you know, I really liked him 118 00:07:51,760 --> 00:07:56,240 Speaker 1: growing up. I think you lose your competitive advantage when 119 00:07:56,240 --> 00:07:58,680 Speaker 1: you're out on the field, and so I really tried to, 120 00:07:59,320 --> 00:08:02,000 Speaker 1: you know, limit limit that when I was able to 121 00:08:02,000 --> 00:08:04,440 Speaker 1: come into the league, and I think it's it's served 122 00:08:04,520 --> 00:08:07,360 Speaker 1: me well. You think you just coming into the league, 123 00:08:07,480 --> 00:08:11,520 Speaker 1: you literally had made a decision. You're not going to 124 00:08:11,600 --> 00:08:15,920 Speaker 1: be a fan boy. Yeah yeah, And I'm a saving 125 00:08:15,960 --> 00:08:19,120 Speaker 1: of you know, people that play the game really well. 126 00:08:20,240 --> 00:08:23,960 Speaker 1: But as far as me personally, I think I can 127 00:08:24,880 --> 00:08:27,320 Speaker 1: stack myself up with just about any one of them. 128 00:08:28,000 --> 00:08:30,760 Speaker 1: So Zach Taylor, there's an article in The Athletic they 129 00:08:30,760 --> 00:08:36,120 Speaker 1: were talking about Zach took some of your LSU offense 130 00:08:36,320 --> 00:08:39,920 Speaker 1: and moved it to the Bengals. I mean, we're seeing 131 00:08:40,000 --> 00:08:45,560 Speaker 1: Russell Wilson struggle, new coach, new system. If if I 132 00:08:46,640 --> 00:08:49,920 Speaker 1: you know, I don't sit there and Peru's playbooks, but 133 00:08:50,000 --> 00:08:54,040 Speaker 1: if I said, okay, tell me two or three things 134 00:08:55,160 --> 00:08:57,240 Speaker 1: that if you could have them the rest of your 135 00:08:57,280 --> 00:09:04,760 Speaker 1: career offensively, that just make it easier. I have really 136 00:09:04,760 --> 00:09:09,200 Speaker 1: good players alongside me, guys like Jamar and TV and 137 00:09:09,280 --> 00:09:11,600 Speaker 1: T and Joe Mixon and the offensive line that we have. 138 00:09:12,040 --> 00:09:14,599 Speaker 1: You know that that's what makes it the easiest. On 139 00:09:14,600 --> 00:09:18,200 Speaker 1: on quarterbacks, when you can go out there and I 140 00:09:18,280 --> 00:09:20,320 Speaker 1: know exactly what your guys are gonna do every play. 141 00:09:20,360 --> 00:09:23,319 Speaker 1: You know they're gonna play really, really hard, and then 142 00:09:23,360 --> 00:09:25,400 Speaker 1: you have, you know, some of the best guys in 143 00:09:25,440 --> 00:09:27,199 Speaker 1: the league on the outside to go make plays for you. 144 00:09:27,280 --> 00:09:30,240 Speaker 1: It makes my job easy. There was a moment last 145 00:09:30,240 --> 00:09:33,920 Speaker 1: week I thought it was really impressive where Baker Mayfield 146 00:09:33,960 --> 00:09:36,880 Speaker 1: was literally in Los Angeles forty eight hours and went 147 00:09:36,920 --> 00:09:41,240 Speaker 1: out and played pretty good football. And as good as 148 00:09:41,280 --> 00:09:44,000 Speaker 1: you are, you came off an injury the first couple 149 00:09:44,000 --> 00:09:48,760 Speaker 1: of weeks. It's just not right. It's hard. I said 150 00:09:48,800 --> 00:09:53,960 Speaker 1: on the air. It felt like a remarkable achievement. Did 151 00:09:54,000 --> 00:09:55,760 Speaker 1: you see it and what did you make of it? 152 00:09:57,000 --> 00:09:59,200 Speaker 1: I watched the first half of it, you know. Then 153 00:09:59,240 --> 00:10:00,760 Speaker 1: I got a little to tired and had to head 154 00:10:00,760 --> 00:10:05,880 Speaker 1: to sleep. But it's always you know that when somebody 155 00:10:05,920 --> 00:10:08,640 Speaker 1: gets on a new team very quickly and comes into 156 00:10:08,640 --> 00:10:12,600 Speaker 1: the game has to figure out how to operate. And 157 00:10:12,640 --> 00:10:15,040 Speaker 1: then when a backup, when when a starting quarterback gets 158 00:10:15,120 --> 00:10:17,520 Speaker 1: hurt in the middle of the game and a backup 159 00:10:17,520 --> 00:10:19,079 Speaker 1: has to go in and play really well. Those are 160 00:10:19,080 --> 00:10:23,040 Speaker 1: two very similar situations, I think, And whenever somebody can 161 00:10:23,080 --> 00:10:25,200 Speaker 1: go on and play really well in that kind of situation, 162 00:10:25,320 --> 00:10:27,640 Speaker 1: I have a lot of admiration for that because they, 163 00:10:27,800 --> 00:10:30,640 Speaker 1: you know, they're not getting the reps in practice. In 164 00:10:30,720 --> 00:10:33,760 Speaker 1: Baker's situation, he didn't get any reps with him. He 165 00:10:33,880 --> 00:10:38,679 Speaker 1: probably threw twenty five thirty balls to two Rams guys 166 00:10:38,760 --> 00:10:40,880 Speaker 1: when he got there and asked go out and play 167 00:10:40,920 --> 00:10:44,160 Speaker 1: like that. And on national TV. I had a lot 168 00:10:44,200 --> 00:10:47,439 Speaker 1: of respect for what he did. Our national TV games 169 00:10:47,440 --> 00:10:51,880 Speaker 1: different timeouts longer. Do you feel timeouts? Yeah, you feel 170 00:10:51,960 --> 00:10:54,400 Speaker 1: you got to keep yourself warm. There's a lot more 171 00:10:54,400 --> 00:10:57,600 Speaker 1: TV timeouts, keep yourself engaged. It just feels like a 172 00:10:57,640 --> 00:11:03,480 Speaker 1: longer game. The So now you're getting into a time 173 00:11:03,760 --> 00:11:07,800 Speaker 1: where you've played your best football. Now we're getting into December. 174 00:11:09,280 --> 00:11:14,520 Speaker 1: Everybody has tape on you, not all your teammates are healthy. 175 00:11:17,400 --> 00:11:23,960 Speaker 1: Compare first year mid December to now Compare last year. 176 00:11:24,240 --> 00:11:30,040 Speaker 1: Is it starting to feel bubble up like last year's role. Yeah, 177 00:11:30,080 --> 00:11:32,920 Speaker 1: we're starting to just know down the stretch. Last year, 178 00:11:32,920 --> 00:11:35,959 Speaker 1: we just found ways to win games. Wasn't always pretty 179 00:11:36,200 --> 00:11:41,679 Speaker 1: in some games we had high scoring affairs, but you know, 180 00:11:41,720 --> 00:11:43,760 Speaker 1: we just found ways to win games. And we're starting 181 00:11:43,760 --> 00:11:46,200 Speaker 1: to do that now. We're being able to win games 182 00:11:46,200 --> 00:11:48,240 Speaker 1: a lot of different ways, whether it's with our defense 183 00:11:48,320 --> 00:11:50,920 Speaker 1: and in our running game or throwing the football, scoring 184 00:11:50,920 --> 00:11:55,040 Speaker 1: a lot of points. We're just adapting to the situation 185 00:11:55,880 --> 00:11:59,600 Speaker 1: at hand very quickly on Sundays and figuring out ways 186 00:11:59,640 --> 00:12:03,040 Speaker 1: to to get it done. So this sounds odd, but 187 00:12:03,120 --> 00:12:06,760 Speaker 1: in the college game, Joe, you play in mostly the 188 00:12:06,800 --> 00:12:09,560 Speaker 1: same weather you played in the South, it was either 189 00:12:09,679 --> 00:12:13,200 Speaker 1: domed or warm. In the NFL, you can go from 190 00:12:13,240 --> 00:12:17,200 Speaker 1: Tampa one week to Foxborough next to Buffalo. Yeah, it 191 00:12:17,400 --> 00:12:22,959 Speaker 1: is different, right, that does it change for you? Yeah, 192 00:12:23,080 --> 00:12:27,120 Speaker 1: you have to play the game slightly slightly differently, whether 193 00:12:27,200 --> 00:12:30,840 Speaker 1: it's your your your operation on the sideline to keep 194 00:12:30,880 --> 00:12:33,360 Speaker 1: your body warm to be able to go out to 195 00:12:33,440 --> 00:12:38,120 Speaker 1: your job, or whether it's you know, maybe trying to 196 00:12:38,280 --> 00:12:41,400 Speaker 1: push a ball into a window that on a non 197 00:12:41,440 --> 00:12:43,880 Speaker 1: windy day you would try, but maybe if it's a 198 00:12:43,920 --> 00:12:46,400 Speaker 1: really windy, windy day, you might not try it. So 199 00:12:46,440 --> 00:12:49,440 Speaker 1: the weather does affect both how you play and your 200 00:12:49,960 --> 00:12:54,920 Speaker 1: operation throughout the week. So you guys have been a 201 00:12:55,040 --> 00:12:58,920 Speaker 1: very good second half team. It's funny how this season works. 202 00:12:58,960 --> 00:13:01,599 Speaker 1: Early in the year, you were getting third and elevens. 203 00:13:02,120 --> 00:13:04,760 Speaker 1: You were getting behind the chains. It was something that 204 00:13:04,800 --> 00:13:08,240 Speaker 1: was driving you crazy. You were trailing in games. You've 205 00:13:08,280 --> 00:13:11,920 Speaker 1: become a better starting team. You're also a very good 206 00:13:11,920 --> 00:13:18,280 Speaker 1: finishing team. Obviously, if it was simple, everybody would start quickly. 207 00:13:19,679 --> 00:13:21,800 Speaker 1: So I'm not sure if I've asked you this, Do 208 00:13:21,920 --> 00:13:24,480 Speaker 1: you like to come into a game and have like 209 00:13:24,679 --> 00:13:28,160 Speaker 1: twelve scripted plays? Take take our listeners to this? Do 210 00:13:28,280 --> 00:13:32,640 Speaker 1: you come in and kind of know the first series 211 00:13:32,679 --> 00:13:39,160 Speaker 1: what you're going to run in order? Yeah, every team has, 212 00:13:39,920 --> 00:13:43,640 Speaker 1: I think it's usually ten to fifteen plays that are scripted, 213 00:13:45,040 --> 00:13:48,360 Speaker 1: and then you have your first third and short third 214 00:13:48,400 --> 00:13:50,520 Speaker 1: and medium third and long so you know you know 215 00:13:50,600 --> 00:13:53,239 Speaker 1: kind of what's going to come up in certain situations. 216 00:13:53,320 --> 00:13:55,800 Speaker 1: You have your first red zone calls that you like, 217 00:13:56,320 --> 00:13:58,640 Speaker 1: so when you get down there, you kind of know 218 00:13:58,720 --> 00:14:02,360 Speaker 1: what to expect as far as defense wise, play wise, 219 00:14:02,440 --> 00:14:04,880 Speaker 1: what you're going to see, and that's where that's where 220 00:14:04,880 --> 00:14:08,160 Speaker 1: the preparation comes in. Will you run those plays again 221 00:14:08,559 --> 00:14:12,920 Speaker 1: at a later moment in the game. Sometimes you do, 222 00:14:13,040 --> 00:14:16,120 Speaker 1: sometimes you don't. You know, some of them are are 223 00:14:16,200 --> 00:14:19,640 Speaker 1: one and duns and some of them are or bass 224 00:14:19,720 --> 00:14:22,360 Speaker 1: plays that you just run all the time. So it 225 00:14:22,400 --> 00:14:25,520 Speaker 1: just depends. Are you at a point now with Zach 226 00:14:26,720 --> 00:14:30,720 Speaker 1: take me to where you're in game? Communication is in 227 00:14:30,840 --> 00:14:35,720 Speaker 1: terms of I want to run this play now, you 228 00:14:35,760 --> 00:14:39,040 Speaker 1: know that kind of it kind of depends some games. 229 00:14:39,120 --> 00:14:42,120 Speaker 1: There's some a look that I see that you know, 230 00:14:42,160 --> 00:14:44,840 Speaker 1: I think a certain play would be really good against. 231 00:14:44,920 --> 00:14:48,360 Speaker 1: And I think what is great about Zach is that 232 00:14:48,400 --> 00:14:51,240 Speaker 1: he trusts me enough and trust what I'm seeing on 233 00:14:51,280 --> 00:14:54,400 Speaker 1: the field enough to you know, give that play a 234 00:14:54,400 --> 00:14:58,400 Speaker 1: shot or if it if he doesn't want to call it, 235 00:14:58,840 --> 00:15:03,080 Speaker 1: he you know, explains why and what situation maybe would 236 00:15:03,160 --> 00:15:06,600 Speaker 1: rather have that play. And so the communication between and 237 00:15:06,720 --> 00:15:10,320 Speaker 1: me and our coaches is exactly what you want as 238 00:15:10,320 --> 00:15:13,520 Speaker 1: a quarterback. It just gives you a lot of trust 239 00:15:13,560 --> 00:15:17,480 Speaker 1: that your coaching staff is, you know, doing all the 240 00:15:17,480 --> 00:15:21,200 Speaker 1: work that they can and will do to put you 241 00:15:21,240 --> 00:15:24,200 Speaker 1: in the best position to succeed. I've heard it said 242 00:15:24,240 --> 00:15:27,840 Speaker 1: that early a quarterback plays the game. Later he manipulates it. 243 00:15:28,080 --> 00:15:32,840 Speaker 1: Do you feel now you are more manipulating the game. Yeah, 244 00:15:32,880 --> 00:15:36,760 Speaker 1: that's when you start off. Every game pretty pretty similar. 245 00:15:36,840 --> 00:15:39,360 Speaker 1: You're trying to get a feel for you know, because 246 00:15:39,400 --> 00:15:42,680 Speaker 1: you can watch tape, but it's really different once you're 247 00:15:42,760 --> 00:15:46,600 Speaker 1: out there. So you're trying to get a feel for guys, speed, guys, 248 00:15:46,680 --> 00:15:50,240 Speaker 1: drop angles, leverage, you know, how much time you're gonna 249 00:15:50,240 --> 00:15:52,600 Speaker 1: have in the pocket, and all that kind of plays 250 00:15:52,640 --> 00:15:55,200 Speaker 1: into how you end up playing the game later on. 251 00:15:55,960 --> 00:16:00,280 Speaker 1: So this week Mahomes had a ridiculous play where looked 252 00:16:00,280 --> 00:16:03,840 Speaker 1: like he was throwing a grenade out of a foxhole. Yeah, 253 00:16:03,880 --> 00:16:06,480 Speaker 1: and I'm like, the hell was that? Do you think 254 00:16:06,520 --> 00:16:13,200 Speaker 1: he practiced that? Yeah, I'm sure he has at some point. 255 00:16:13,840 --> 00:16:17,320 Speaker 1: I'm sure he just didn't throw it out there. I'm 256 00:16:17,360 --> 00:16:20,720 Speaker 1: sure he practices a lot of that stuff that you 257 00:16:20,760 --> 00:16:24,360 Speaker 1: see on some days that really nobody else is doing. 258 00:16:26,040 --> 00:16:30,200 Speaker 1: Whether he's just like mess around and having fun in 259 00:16:30,920 --> 00:16:34,720 Speaker 1: before practice, I'm sure he tries all that stuff beforehand. 260 00:16:34,760 --> 00:16:37,200 Speaker 1: So you've done something at practice that you haven't done 261 00:16:37,200 --> 00:16:41,280 Speaker 1: in a game, right, Yeah? Yeah? Would? I think that's 262 00:16:41,320 --> 00:16:45,000 Speaker 1: how you grow as a players. You try things out 263 00:16:45,000 --> 00:16:49,160 Speaker 1: in practice that you think might work, and then you 264 00:16:49,160 --> 00:16:51,760 Speaker 1: find out, Okay, this needs a little more work before 265 00:16:51,760 --> 00:16:54,200 Speaker 1: I deploy it, or I'm feeling really comfortable in this 266 00:16:54,280 --> 00:16:57,480 Speaker 1: technique to go and deploy it in this situation on 267 00:16:57,960 --> 00:17:00,160 Speaker 1: game day. And so you practice all that stuff to 268 00:17:01,840 --> 00:17:04,159 Speaker 1: whatever situation you might be in, you can you can 269 00:17:04,200 --> 00:17:05,920 Speaker 1: pull it out if you need it. A couple of 270 00:17:05,960 --> 00:17:08,280 Speaker 1: weeks ago, you were pushed out of the pocket to 271 00:17:08,320 --> 00:17:10,639 Speaker 1: your left. I forget what game it was, and I 272 00:17:10,680 --> 00:17:14,280 Speaker 1: watched it and I thought, I wonder, and the defender 273 00:17:14,400 --> 00:17:17,359 Speaker 1: was on your hip, and I thought, I wonder if 274 00:17:17,440 --> 00:17:20,480 Speaker 1: Joe's ever considered just switching the ball to his left 275 00:17:20,480 --> 00:17:24,480 Speaker 1: hand and throwing it out of bounce. Have you we have? 276 00:17:24,880 --> 00:17:28,320 Speaker 1: We have practiced that before in case that situation does 277 00:17:28,359 --> 00:17:32,199 Speaker 1: come up. Wow. Yeah, so you ever, you never know 278 00:17:32,240 --> 00:17:35,320 Speaker 1: what you might need. I haven't needed to, but I've 279 00:17:35,359 --> 00:17:37,200 Speaker 1: practiced in case I do. So you can throw a 280 00:17:37,280 --> 00:17:41,600 Speaker 1: left handed spiral for some distance? No, I No, I 281 00:17:41,600 --> 00:17:44,199 Speaker 1: can get it out of bounds if you had a 282 00:17:44,200 --> 00:17:46,240 Speaker 1: hold of my right arm. But I'm not. I'm not 283 00:17:46,280 --> 00:17:48,439 Speaker 1: throwing a tan yard out or anything like that. So 284 00:17:48,560 --> 00:17:51,720 Speaker 1: you've said before, Um, you got compared to Batman last week. 285 00:17:51,760 --> 00:17:55,760 Speaker 1: You're a big superhero fan. So my only knock is 286 00:17:55,800 --> 00:17:59,720 Speaker 1: that it was mostly his gadgets. Um, he didn't have 287 00:17:59,720 --> 00:18:05,199 Speaker 1: a huge physique. You know, he was wealthy and he 288 00:18:05,320 --> 00:18:09,159 Speaker 1: had he was almost like a trust fun kid with 289 00:18:09,280 --> 00:18:12,480 Speaker 1: a bat signal. It was a lot of whereas I 290 00:18:12,520 --> 00:18:18,240 Speaker 1: always felt like everybody else had something speed, strength. But 291 00:18:18,280 --> 00:18:21,440 Speaker 1: there was a peculiar fascination with Batman because I thought 292 00:18:21,440 --> 00:18:25,439 Speaker 1: he was the funniest. He was kind of weird and funny, 293 00:18:25,480 --> 00:18:29,480 Speaker 1: and I kind of liked Batman. Of the superheroes. I've 294 00:18:29,520 --> 00:18:34,280 Speaker 1: had this discussion with my son, if you had this 295 00:18:34,359 --> 00:18:39,520 Speaker 1: is weird, But I've said, if you had one superhero trait, 296 00:18:40,520 --> 00:18:43,440 Speaker 1: what would it be? Now, A lot of people say, oh, 297 00:18:43,520 --> 00:18:47,280 Speaker 1: I'd be invisible, And I tell my son the problem 298 00:18:47,400 --> 00:18:50,560 Speaker 1: is you'd hear people talk about you and they would 299 00:18:50,560 --> 00:18:52,880 Speaker 1: say awful things and it would ruin your self esteem. 300 00:18:53,560 --> 00:18:55,600 Speaker 1: And then people say, well, what if you could fly? 301 00:18:55,880 --> 00:18:58,080 Speaker 1: And I say yeah, but if you could fly, then 302 00:18:58,119 --> 00:18:59,880 Speaker 1: you'd be the boy in the neighborhood that could fly, 303 00:19:00,560 --> 00:19:03,960 Speaker 1: and you'd be like weird and like you couldn't go out. 304 00:19:05,000 --> 00:19:11,639 Speaker 1: That's my reasoning. If I could give you one superhero quality, 305 00:19:12,040 --> 00:19:21,960 Speaker 1: what would it be? Teleportation? Explain, Well, wouldn't it If 306 00:19:21,960 --> 00:19:23,760 Speaker 1: you want to go to the grocery store, you just 307 00:19:25,240 --> 00:19:27,159 Speaker 1: pop up in the grocery store and grab your stuff 308 00:19:27,160 --> 00:19:30,520 Speaker 1: and then pop right back home. You want to go 309 00:19:30,520 --> 00:19:33,240 Speaker 1: on a cross country road trip, just pop over to 310 00:19:33,280 --> 00:19:36,600 Speaker 1: California real quick and then pop right back. See my 311 00:19:36,680 --> 00:19:39,639 Speaker 1: son talks about stuff like that. Do you do you 312 00:19:39,720 --> 00:19:43,720 Speaker 1: think that's a in your lifetime. Will you believe that 313 00:19:43,760 --> 00:19:48,960 Speaker 1: will happen? No? Okay, okay, because I'd be sick though. 314 00:19:49,400 --> 00:19:51,840 Speaker 1: It would be sick. I always when people say we 315 00:19:51,880 --> 00:19:55,119 Speaker 1: could live on Mars in our lifetime. My takeaway Zoway's 316 00:19:55,920 --> 00:19:58,080 Speaker 1: I don't like heights, Like why would I want to 317 00:19:58,080 --> 00:19:59,520 Speaker 1: go to mar I don't even like being another space 318 00:19:59,600 --> 00:20:03,359 Speaker 1: needle from Seattle, Like it's sick of I've got to 319 00:20:03,359 --> 00:20:07,000 Speaker 1: go up in space. It'd be pretty cool, you would, Yeah, 320 00:20:07,040 --> 00:20:11,760 Speaker 1: that'd be a really cool experience, all right. Finally, so 321 00:20:14,520 --> 00:20:18,000 Speaker 1: it is a weird time of the year where it 322 00:20:18,040 --> 00:20:20,320 Speaker 1: gets really intense, Like I'm watching the World Cup and 323 00:20:20,560 --> 00:20:24,560 Speaker 1: it's really intense, like I'm watching Mac Jones scream at 324 00:20:24,600 --> 00:20:29,760 Speaker 1: his coach, and football in December is like the weather socks. 325 00:20:29,800 --> 00:20:34,280 Speaker 1: Your teammates are hurt. Um can you get Can you 326 00:20:34,359 --> 00:20:37,440 Speaker 1: extract a little joy at this time of the year 327 00:20:37,560 --> 00:20:40,000 Speaker 1: or is it do you feel like, okay, this stuff 328 00:20:40,160 --> 00:20:45,440 Speaker 1: is this is do or die stuff? Yeah? Wins, wins 329 00:20:45,440 --> 00:20:48,680 Speaker 1: are still wins. You know those postgame locker rooms after 330 00:20:48,720 --> 00:20:51,639 Speaker 1: wins or why you play the game, and they're so incredible. 331 00:20:51,720 --> 00:20:54,960 Speaker 1: But also I think why we're so good as a 332 00:20:55,000 --> 00:20:57,240 Speaker 1: team is we know when to lock in, but we 333 00:20:57,280 --> 00:21:00,520 Speaker 1: also know when to have fun both on the field 334 00:21:00,560 --> 00:21:03,439 Speaker 1: and off. You know, I really enjoy going to practice 335 00:21:03,480 --> 00:21:06,080 Speaker 1: every day, and we know when we need to walk 336 00:21:06,160 --> 00:21:08,560 Speaker 1: in and get our work in, you know when team 337 00:21:08,600 --> 00:21:11,880 Speaker 1: periods and group install periods and stuff like that. But 338 00:21:12,480 --> 00:21:14,919 Speaker 1: you know, we also have a lot of fun in 339 00:21:15,200 --> 00:21:20,160 Speaker 1: stretching individual all that stuff, and so we we really 340 00:21:20,200 --> 00:21:22,280 Speaker 1: make it fun to come to work every day. Yeah, 341 00:21:22,280 --> 00:21:24,520 Speaker 1: when you fly into Tampa, say what do you do 342 00:21:24,560 --> 00:21:29,160 Speaker 1: on Saturday night? What does the team do? Um? We 343 00:21:29,440 --> 00:21:33,120 Speaker 1: usually watch college games in the in the dining room, 344 00:21:34,000 --> 00:21:37,760 Speaker 1: eat together. Some guys will find a restaurant the area 345 00:21:37,800 --> 00:21:39,199 Speaker 1: in order to take out and bring it back to 346 00:21:39,240 --> 00:21:42,479 Speaker 1: the hotel. Some guys will go to dinner and uh, 347 00:21:42,720 --> 00:21:47,760 Speaker 1: you know those are fun. Those are fun nights. Football 348 00:21:47,800 --> 00:21:51,120 Speaker 1: seasons underway. Now is the perfect time to download fan Duel, 349 00:21:51,160 --> 00:21:55,360 Speaker 1: America's number one sports book. Right now, new customers get 350 00:21:55,359 --> 00:21:59,000 Speaker 1: a no sweat first beat up to a thousand dollars. 351 00:21:59,040 --> 00:22:03,480 Speaker 1: That's free bets back if your first bet doesn't win 352 00:22:03,800 --> 00:22:08,000 Speaker 1: the promo code. Zoa's Colin FanDuel has tons of betting options. 353 00:22:08,040 --> 00:22:11,440 Speaker 1: I like the same game Parlay bet a little win, 354 00:22:11,520 --> 00:22:15,200 Speaker 1: a lot. 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For six seven 373 00:23:07,680 --> 00:23:10,479 Speaker 1: three six nine in New York, Tennessee Redline eight nine 374 00:23:10,960 --> 00:23:12,840 Speaker 1: eight nine Tennessee visits one eight hundred Gambler Dot in 375 00:23:12,840 --> 00:23:21,600 Speaker 1: West Virginia. Let's welcome in Chad Millman's CCO Action Network. 376 00:23:21,640 --> 00:23:23,879 Speaker 1: All of our odds provided by a fan duel. So 377 00:23:23,920 --> 00:23:27,200 Speaker 1: it's a weird week. I've shifted some bets. I don't 378 00:23:27,240 --> 00:23:31,080 Speaker 1: like favorites much, but I'm gonna start with two because 379 00:23:31,119 --> 00:23:34,760 Speaker 1: I don't like him. Monday Night football. Everybody loves Baker Mayfield. 380 00:23:35,160 --> 00:23:38,280 Speaker 1: Packers get a little extra rest minus six and a half. 381 00:23:38,359 --> 00:23:41,320 Speaker 1: It's a much better team. Let's not kid ourselves. The 382 00:23:41,560 --> 00:23:46,760 Speaker 1: Rams aren't good. This feels like Packers by a touchdown. 383 00:23:46,880 --> 00:23:50,360 Speaker 1: Sharper square again. I tell you this one is really interesting. 384 00:23:50,920 --> 00:23:55,600 Speaker 1: Not a ton of activity on this game. In conversation. 385 00:23:55,800 --> 00:24:00,000 Speaker 1: From a sharp perspective, I think you're on the right 386 00:24:00,200 --> 00:24:04,680 Speaker 1: side at less than a touchdown. There's too much enthusiasm 387 00:24:04,760 --> 00:24:07,760 Speaker 1: from the market when you are looking at a Baker 388 00:24:07,840 --> 00:24:13,360 Speaker 1: Mayfield quarterback team. This is not a guy who wins games, right, 389 00:24:13,440 --> 00:24:17,399 Speaker 1: We've seen that over and over again. I think with 390 00:24:17,480 --> 00:24:21,120 Speaker 1: the Packers, obviously, there's a lot of trepidation here. But 391 00:24:22,480 --> 00:24:27,679 Speaker 1: like the numbers on this one, the Rams getting the 392 00:24:27,720 --> 00:24:31,720 Speaker 1: majority of the tickets and that's why you've seen it 393 00:24:32,119 --> 00:24:34,560 Speaker 1: come down a little bit. The money's heading in the 394 00:24:34,600 --> 00:24:37,600 Speaker 1: Packers direction. So if you can get him at six 395 00:24:37,640 --> 00:24:42,400 Speaker 1: and a half, I would take it. Here's another one. 396 00:24:42,760 --> 00:24:45,760 Speaker 1: I bet against the Jaguars earlier this year, off a 397 00:24:45,800 --> 00:24:48,479 Speaker 1: big win. They're a young team, they come home, they 398 00:24:49,000 --> 00:24:51,520 Speaker 1: see the Cowboys in their sites, off one of their 399 00:24:51,560 --> 00:24:56,720 Speaker 1: best games in a decade. Dallas humiliated belt one against Houston. 400 00:24:56,840 --> 00:25:00,480 Speaker 1: Cowboys are getting healthier. It's one of those middle numbers, 401 00:25:00,520 --> 00:25:03,880 Speaker 1: like a five. In that case, I just think Dallas 402 00:25:04,080 --> 00:25:08,720 Speaker 1: is a significantly better team. Sharper square. I'm taking the Cowboys. 403 00:25:08,800 --> 00:25:13,120 Speaker 1: Oh my god, you're living in the middle of the square, 404 00:25:13,840 --> 00:25:17,520 Speaker 1: like you don't even have any sort of room to 405 00:25:17,600 --> 00:25:21,760 Speaker 1: wiggle on this one. Trevor Lawrence past nine weeks, past 406 00:25:21,800 --> 00:25:27,119 Speaker 1: six weeks, Top two quarterback in the NFL according to 407 00:25:27,119 --> 00:25:31,720 Speaker 1: Pro Football Focus, ten touchdowns, zero picks. All these early 408 00:25:31,800 --> 00:25:35,440 Speaker 1: season issues he had in the red zone, throwing passes 409 00:25:35,480 --> 00:25:38,520 Speaker 1: that were too flat, didn't have any touch, not building 410 00:25:38,560 --> 00:25:41,960 Speaker 1: chemistry with Doug Peterson. They've been a very good team. 411 00:25:41,960 --> 00:25:44,960 Speaker 1: In the past few weeks, we've seen that, we've seen 412 00:25:45,000 --> 00:25:48,000 Speaker 1: them getting better. I'm not fazed by sort of the 413 00:25:48,080 --> 00:25:53,239 Speaker 1: blowout of the Titans on the road, especially against the 414 00:25:53,280 --> 00:25:57,120 Speaker 1: Cowboys pass rush. That is the strength of their defense, 415 00:25:57,720 --> 00:26:00,399 Speaker 1: but it's also the strength of the Jags offensive line. 416 00:26:00,920 --> 00:26:04,680 Speaker 1: They are fifth in protecting Trevor Lawrence against the pass 417 00:26:04,760 --> 00:26:08,840 Speaker 1: rush in the NFL. And the other thing I'll say 418 00:26:08,880 --> 00:26:13,160 Speaker 1: is that the Cowboys secondary, they are injured and that's 419 00:26:13,200 --> 00:26:15,440 Speaker 1: one of the reasons why they struggled against the Texans. 420 00:26:15,640 --> 00:26:19,159 Speaker 1: So Trevor Lawrence, who is becoming a better quarterback, is 421 00:26:19,200 --> 00:26:21,000 Speaker 1: going to have a good opportunity to light them up. 422 00:26:21,480 --> 00:26:24,200 Speaker 1: Most professional betters have this game power rated at three. 423 00:26:25,960 --> 00:26:29,080 Speaker 1: All right, let's go to the underdogs, Titans getting three 424 00:26:29,080 --> 00:26:33,400 Speaker 1: at the Chargers. Tennessee off a humiliating loss. Yes they're 425 00:26:33,480 --> 00:26:36,920 Speaker 1: banged up, but again, let's not go crazy with the Chargers. 426 00:26:37,000 --> 00:26:40,639 Speaker 1: Their defense set the tone against Miami. Titans have the 427 00:26:40,680 --> 00:26:44,120 Speaker 1: better defense, the better coach, the better run game consistently 428 00:26:44,160 --> 00:26:46,400 Speaker 1: can stop the run. I like Tennessee in the point 429 00:26:46,440 --> 00:26:50,000 Speaker 1: Sharper square total number game very sharp. If this gets 430 00:26:50,040 --> 00:26:52,200 Speaker 1: to two and a half, you're going to see people 431 00:26:52,200 --> 00:26:56,960 Speaker 1: come in on the Chargers right now at three majority 432 00:26:57,000 --> 00:26:59,960 Speaker 1: of the money coming in on the Titans. The Chargers 433 00:27:00,160 --> 00:27:03,280 Speaker 1: not a team that anybody wants to play. When they're favorites. 434 00:27:03,359 --> 00:27:07,560 Speaker 1: They are great as an underdog because their variants plays 435 00:27:07,680 --> 00:27:11,560 Speaker 1: to wide sort of disparities and what you can expect, 436 00:27:11,960 --> 00:27:14,560 Speaker 1: and they do things that allow you as a better 437 00:27:15,000 --> 00:27:18,560 Speaker 1: on an underdog Charger team to stay in the game. Meanwhile, 438 00:27:18,960 --> 00:27:22,640 Speaker 1: as favorites, they're just not very good. The Titans, however, 439 00:27:23,119 --> 00:27:26,520 Speaker 1: as underdogs with Mike Rabel, are very good. You've got 440 00:27:26,560 --> 00:27:30,240 Speaker 1: a coaching advantage with the Titans, You've got them in 441 00:27:30,280 --> 00:27:34,119 Speaker 1: a spot that favors them, and then with the Chargers 442 00:27:34,240 --> 00:27:36,520 Speaker 1: you kind of don't know what you're getting yet. Defensively, 443 00:27:36,600 --> 00:27:38,919 Speaker 1: Joey Bose is supposed to come back, but this has 444 00:27:38,960 --> 00:27:41,120 Speaker 1: been a team that is at a hard time as 445 00:27:41,119 --> 00:27:43,800 Speaker 1: a defense, so it's very hard to bet on them 446 00:27:43,800 --> 00:27:49,600 Speaker 1: as a favorite. Patriots Raiders I like New England comfortably. 447 00:27:50,320 --> 00:27:58,280 Speaker 1: I think although Belichick's former coaches do okay against him, 448 00:27:58,440 --> 00:28:03,400 Speaker 1: this sort of ball control offense by New England on 449 00:28:03,480 --> 00:28:07,800 Speaker 1: display against Arizona. I still think the Raiders are a 450 00:28:07,800 --> 00:28:13,000 Speaker 1: team that plays really hard, but there are some holes 451 00:28:13,040 --> 00:28:17,720 Speaker 1: they can't overcome. And Belichick, this is what he does. 452 00:28:18,720 --> 00:28:21,680 Speaker 1: If you've got holes, he'll find them. I think it's 453 00:28:21,680 --> 00:28:26,480 Speaker 1: a boring, quick game with a lot of run involved. 454 00:28:26,760 --> 00:28:29,600 Speaker 1: I'm talking eighty carries. But if it's a pick him 455 00:28:29,760 --> 00:28:33,360 Speaker 1: or close, which is where the numbers at Raiders minus one, 456 00:28:33,600 --> 00:28:37,200 Speaker 1: I take the Patriots to win. Here, Sharper square as 457 00:28:37,280 --> 00:28:41,520 Speaker 1: square as square gets. The wise guys love the Raiders 458 00:28:42,040 --> 00:28:47,320 Speaker 1: in this spot. The Patriots have terrible skill players on 459 00:28:47,480 --> 00:28:50,320 Speaker 1: offense as it is, and now the players that they 460 00:28:50,360 --> 00:28:55,720 Speaker 1: were depending on are injured Damian Harris, Remondre Stevenson, Devant 461 00:28:55,760 --> 00:28:59,600 Speaker 1: Day Parker. We don't know what we're getting in that group. 462 00:29:00,160 --> 00:29:02,920 Speaker 1: The wise guys make the Raiders two point favorites. So 463 00:29:02,960 --> 00:29:05,560 Speaker 1: when this game opened at Raiders plus one and a half, 464 00:29:06,120 --> 00:29:08,400 Speaker 1: the wise guys started hammering it. It's why the line 465 00:29:08,400 --> 00:29:11,240 Speaker 1: has moved in the direction that it has. It's a 466 00:29:11,280 --> 00:29:13,920 Speaker 1: team that, as you noted, still plays hard. They are 467 00:29:14,240 --> 00:29:17,560 Speaker 1: probably getting Hunter renfro and Darren wallerback. Both of them 468 00:29:17,600 --> 00:29:21,360 Speaker 1: practiced this week. They can still make the playoffs. They're 469 00:29:21,440 --> 00:29:25,760 Speaker 1: in every game the Raiders at home. They basically pick 470 00:29:26,000 --> 00:29:29,240 Speaker 1: a very short favorite by the time the game kicks off. 471 00:29:29,840 --> 00:29:34,000 Speaker 1: That's gonna be the Wise Guy said, Giants getting four 472 00:29:34,040 --> 00:29:36,600 Speaker 1: and a half against the Commanders. I had Taylor Heinekey 473 00:29:36,680 --> 00:29:38,800 Speaker 1: on my show today, but if you look at his numbers, 474 00:29:38,800 --> 00:29:42,600 Speaker 1: they're underwhelming. This is a Washington team that has more 475 00:29:42,640 --> 00:29:44,760 Speaker 1: talent than New York. Four and a half's a ton 476 00:29:44,760 --> 00:29:48,680 Speaker 1: of points. Daniel Jones playing for his career, I'm gonna 477 00:29:48,720 --> 00:29:53,120 Speaker 1: go with the points. Giants Division rival Sharper Square. Interesting game. 478 00:29:55,040 --> 00:29:57,960 Speaker 1: The sharp side is definitely the Giants. There's no reason 479 00:29:58,000 --> 00:30:00,880 Speaker 1: the Commanders should be four and a half point favorites. 480 00:30:01,120 --> 00:30:04,680 Speaker 1: They just played two weeks ago, while the Commanders are 481 00:30:04,680 --> 00:30:07,600 Speaker 1: on the by the Giants in that game, even though 482 00:30:07,600 --> 00:30:11,880 Speaker 1: it's a tie game, terribly ugly game. The Giants were 483 00:30:11,920 --> 00:30:14,320 Speaker 1: ahead by a touchdown for most of the second half 484 00:30:14,720 --> 00:30:17,880 Speaker 1: and they missed a game winning field goal. So now 485 00:30:18,200 --> 00:30:21,680 Speaker 1: there's automatically inflation when a team like the Giants is 486 00:30:21,680 --> 00:30:24,720 Speaker 1: coming off of a blowout loss. Right, So that's why 487 00:30:24,760 --> 00:30:27,160 Speaker 1: the number drifted up to four and a half. Nobody 488 00:30:27,200 --> 00:30:31,000 Speaker 1: saw the Commanders played terribly last week. They didn't play. Meanwhile, 489 00:30:31,360 --> 00:30:34,160 Speaker 1: team's coming off a blowout the past twenty years. So 490 00:30:34,240 --> 00:30:37,040 Speaker 1: the Giants in this spot, they're covering at a fifty 491 00:30:37,040 --> 00:30:41,320 Speaker 1: five percent clip. This is Washington's biggest spread of the 492 00:30:41,360 --> 00:30:45,440 Speaker 1: season against a team that was beating them two weeks ago. 493 00:30:46,200 --> 00:30:49,200 Speaker 1: It's the sharp side. But I will tell you I've 494 00:30:49,240 --> 00:30:52,200 Speaker 1: had a couple guys say to me they love the 495 00:30:52,240 --> 00:30:55,120 Speaker 1: Commanders that are professional betters. We talked about this on 496 00:30:55,120 --> 00:30:58,960 Speaker 1: the favorite pot today. I'm not saying you're wrong. I'm 497 00:30:59,000 --> 00:31:04,000 Speaker 1: just saying it's not always a consensus, So be wary. 498 00:31:05,880 --> 00:31:10,720 Speaker 1: Bears plus nine extra rest Philadelphia coming off a dominating win. 499 00:31:11,080 --> 00:31:14,760 Speaker 1: I always pull back. The world likes right now the Eagles. 500 00:31:15,440 --> 00:31:18,680 Speaker 1: I think they're in a position they could rest. Players 501 00:31:18,800 --> 00:31:23,920 Speaker 1: getting healthy, Chicago again, people playing for their jobs, people 502 00:31:23,960 --> 00:31:27,760 Speaker 1: putting stuff on tape, young offensive line. I like the 503 00:31:27,800 --> 00:31:30,320 Speaker 1: Bears on the point here to keep it reasonably close 504 00:31:30,400 --> 00:31:33,320 Speaker 1: sharper square to ly sharp. And remember we talked about 505 00:31:33,320 --> 00:31:37,480 Speaker 1: this two weeks ago. The Rams eight and a half 506 00:31:37,480 --> 00:31:44,360 Speaker 1: point underdogs against Seattle. Last week the Broncos nine point underdogs. 507 00:31:45,720 --> 00:31:50,840 Speaker 1: The Broncos nine point underdogs against the Chiefs. Same similar 508 00:31:50,880 --> 00:31:54,720 Speaker 1: scenario here the Bears plus nine against a high flying 509 00:31:55,360 --> 00:31:59,200 Speaker 1: Eagles team. Huge amount of money on the Bears. This 510 00:31:59,280 --> 00:32:01,880 Speaker 1: is exactly this side that the professionals want to be on. 511 00:32:02,200 --> 00:32:04,800 Speaker 1: A reminder, and I said this last week because it's 512 00:32:04,840 --> 00:32:08,760 Speaker 1: still relevant, even more relevant when you get teams winning 513 00:32:09,160 --> 00:32:11,600 Speaker 1: at a sixty five percent clip over the course of 514 00:32:11,640 --> 00:32:14,360 Speaker 1: the year playing against really bad teams like the Bears. 515 00:32:14,360 --> 00:32:16,880 Speaker 1: And that's the delta we're talking about between the Eagles 516 00:32:16,880 --> 00:32:19,160 Speaker 1: and the Bears. This week, the Dogs are covering in 517 00:32:19,240 --> 00:32:22,800 Speaker 1: nearly sixty percent. So that's what happens when you get 518 00:32:22,880 --> 00:32:25,160 Speaker 1: late in the year. You get inflation on these teams 519 00:32:25,200 --> 00:32:28,880 Speaker 1: that are really good. All right, we always close with 520 00:32:28,960 --> 00:32:32,320 Speaker 1: a game I could be talked into. I think Buffalo 521 00:32:32,400 --> 00:32:36,160 Speaker 1: and bad weather could destroy the Dolphins. What say you, 522 00:32:36,480 --> 00:32:39,480 Speaker 1: Sharper Square, tell me the side. I agree with you. 523 00:32:40,800 --> 00:32:44,040 Speaker 1: The number has moved to seven. But there's not a 524 00:32:44,040 --> 00:32:46,960 Speaker 1: ton of wise guy activity on this game because people 525 00:32:47,000 --> 00:32:49,720 Speaker 1: are waiting to see how bad the weather really is. 526 00:32:49,800 --> 00:32:52,320 Speaker 1: And I'll be honest with you, the side they're probably 527 00:32:52,360 --> 00:32:56,520 Speaker 1: going to play in this game is the over in totals, 528 00:32:56,520 --> 00:32:59,760 Speaker 1: not necessarily taking the Bills minus seven. I think they 529 00:33:00,200 --> 00:33:03,320 Speaker 1: the Bills because the Bills when they do win, they 530 00:33:03,360 --> 00:33:05,720 Speaker 1: tend to cover big. And I think and We talked 531 00:33:05,720 --> 00:33:07,640 Speaker 1: about this a few weeks ago. If you were going 532 00:33:07,680 --> 00:33:09,680 Speaker 1: to fade any team down the stretch, it was going 533 00:33:09,760 --> 00:33:12,960 Speaker 1: to be Miami who three weeks ago they had come 534 00:33:13,000 --> 00:33:18,200 Speaker 1: off six straight really easy games at home or indoors, 535 00:33:18,280 --> 00:33:19,800 Speaker 1: and they were heading into the end of the year 536 00:33:20,040 --> 00:33:21,880 Speaker 1: where they were going to be on the road in 537 00:33:21,920 --> 00:33:26,920 Speaker 1: really tough spots, including this game. So wise guys probably 538 00:33:26,960 --> 00:33:30,320 Speaker 1: will bet the Bills minus seven, but they love the 539 00:33:30,360 --> 00:33:34,040 Speaker 1: over in this game because the snow tends to play 540 00:33:34,080 --> 00:33:42,320 Speaker 1: to the offensive strength. Finally, a game I missed, Colts Vikings. 541 00:33:42,400 --> 00:33:45,920 Speaker 1: How do we not talk about Colts Vikings? Oh God, 542 00:33:46,440 --> 00:33:50,600 Speaker 1: come on, come on. This is a great bounce back 543 00:33:50,720 --> 00:33:56,080 Speaker 1: spot for the Colts. They when they've gotten killed this year, 544 00:33:57,360 --> 00:34:00,840 Speaker 1: as they did two weeks ago, they've come back in one. 545 00:34:01,600 --> 00:34:08,120 Speaker 1: Minnesota's defense is terrible, forced two punts against the Lions 546 00:34:08,840 --> 00:34:12,640 Speaker 1: the week before, they gave up nearly five hundred yards 547 00:34:12,680 --> 00:34:16,239 Speaker 1: to the Jets. The Colts are actually outgaining their opponents. 548 00:34:16,760 --> 00:34:21,080 Speaker 1: Minnesota is getting outgained by its opponents in our luck 549 00:34:21,160 --> 00:34:23,680 Speaker 1: rankings that we do on Action network dot com, which 550 00:34:23,719 --> 00:34:29,359 Speaker 1: basically are the best way to measure expected regression. So 551 00:34:29,400 --> 00:34:33,520 Speaker 1: a team that is playing way outside of itself and 552 00:34:33,640 --> 00:34:36,120 Speaker 1: is expected to come back down to earth. A team 553 00:34:36,160 --> 00:34:39,359 Speaker 1: playing a little bit below expectations shouldn't be playing better. 554 00:34:40,640 --> 00:34:42,960 Speaker 1: There's the biggest delta of the week in this game, 555 00:34:44,000 --> 00:35:00,799 Speaker 1: take the Colts. Every wise guy has taken the Colts 556 00:35:00,840 --> 00:35:07,880 Speaker 1: the volume. Make sure to check out The Draymond Green Show. 557 00:35:08,280 --> 00:35:10,640 Speaker 1: I brought Draymond Green into the volume because one of 558 00:35:10,640 --> 00:35:14,720 Speaker 1: the more entertaining voices in sports. Unique perspective understands behind 559 00:35:14,760 --> 00:35:18,240 Speaker 1: the rope. Also chops up with guests like Gary Peyton, 560 00:35:18,400 --> 00:35:22,160 Speaker 1: Zach Levine, Tracy McGrady. Make sure download The Draymond Green 561 00:35:22,160 --> 00:35:27,000 Speaker 1: Show wherever you get your podcasts, only on the Volume 562 00:35:27,719 --> 00:35:28,720 Speaker 1: podcast Network.