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Speaker 1: This is Straight Fire with Jason McIntyre. What's up straight Fire, Fam,

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Speaker 1: It's me Jason McIntyre, Straight Fire for Friday, January fourteenth,

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Speaker 1: and Moore, do we have an NFL weekend for you?

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Speaker 1: They're calling a Super wild Card weekend. UM to Saturday, three, Sunday,

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Speaker 1: one Monday night. It doesn't get much better than that.

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Speaker 1: I know it's a holiday weekend, so everybody's got Monday

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Speaker 1: or many people have Monday off. It's just gonna be

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Speaker 1: wall to wall football. You gotta love it, um, And

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Speaker 1: we have a great guest to usher in the madness.

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Speaker 1: He's been in Vegas for about two decades. I think

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Speaker 1: you guys are gonna like his stuff. We break down

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Speaker 1: every single game. I decided at the end of the pod,

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Speaker 1: I will offer my bets that I've already got in,

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Speaker 1: at least the ones that I'm gonna reveal, like I've

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Speaker 1: got almost ten bets in so far for the weekend,

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Speaker 1: including props um. But we'll go through the games with

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Speaker 1: Dave shry Pan. He's got a podcast cast Cash Considerations.

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Speaker 1: He's worked on both sides of the counter, so he

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Speaker 1: knows his stuff. It's a pretty informative. UM. I think

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Speaker 1: you guys will like it real quick before we get

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Speaker 1: to Dave. The only story really I saw, And no,

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Speaker 1: I don't care that the Warriors got killed by the

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Speaker 1: Bucks or that the Grizzlies of one a million games

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Speaker 1: in a row. It's January at c n b A.

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Speaker 1: The firing of David Culley by the Houston Texans I

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Speaker 1: is moderately interesting. Now we all knew he was toast. Okay,

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Speaker 1: everybody knew that the Texans was gonna be impossible to

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Speaker 1: hire anybody with the Deshaun Watson saga. He wanted out.

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Speaker 1: Nobody wants the job when you don't have a quarterback.

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Speaker 1: The ownership is a mess. There was a whole front

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Speaker 1: office thing, the Bill O'Brien power. It was just ugly.

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Speaker 1: Nobody wanted that job. So what did they do? They

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Speaker 1: took a lifer David Culley, old school. I think he'd

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Speaker 1: worked in the industry for I don't know, maybe forty years.

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Speaker 1: I mean the guy was a position coach of some

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Speaker 1: kind for about thirty years in the league, and I

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Speaker 1: think he started out as a scout and like it's

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Speaker 1: been around the block. Guy at sixty four finally gets

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Speaker 1: a chance to be a head coach. This is important.

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Speaker 1: He signed a five year deal. They announced it as

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Speaker 1: a five year deal everywhere five year deal, So Cully coaches.

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Speaker 1: They go four and thirteen. You know, David's Mills was

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Speaker 1: all right. I mean four wins is I didn't think

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Speaker 1: it was a bad season at all. We knew they

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Speaker 1: were going to be terrible. They signed all veterans. They've

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Speaker 1: got like one of the oldest teams in the league.

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Speaker 1: I think every free agent they signed was over thirty.

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Speaker 1: It was like, what do you expect? And they're terrible,

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Speaker 1: But people thought, well, they're kind of competitive and like,

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Speaker 1: what are we doing anyway, You might as well keep Cully, right,

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Speaker 1: so they fire him on Thursday. It was either you know,

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Speaker 1: Cully or apparently the offensive coordinator. But it didn't really

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Speaker 1: matter because you know that that front office is a

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Speaker 1: total train wreck and it has been for a while.

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Speaker 1: It's uh, former New England guy Cassario running the show

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Speaker 1: and then they have that shadow advisor. It's just ugly okay,

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Speaker 1: but this is where it gets interesting. So Adam Schefter

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Speaker 1: comes out after Collie is fired. Remember five year deal,

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Speaker 1: and Adam Schefter says it was really only a two

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Speaker 1: year contract the final three years. Um, they don't oweh

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Speaker 1: money for it because it was basically a two year

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Speaker 1: deal with like options, okay, And that was like, oh

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Speaker 1: my gosh, wait a minute. So this guy sits on

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Speaker 1: a grenade for one year. He basically got a lame

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Speaker 1: duck contract, and nobody reported it. Remember at the Go

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Speaker 1: and Go look it up a year ago, Collie five

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Speaker 1: years to the Houston Texans. You're like, all right, cool,

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Speaker 1: even if they fire him or dust him after one

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Speaker 1: or two he gets they pay him out for five

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Speaker 1: and the guys set up for life. Hey man, you

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Speaker 1: worked a long time in the league. You sit on

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Speaker 1: this grenade. Congratulations. You know you're gonna get fired, but

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Speaker 1: you know we set you up to fail. But you're

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Speaker 1: getting a golden parachute. But then the Schefter thing was like, no,

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Speaker 1: he's basically getting it is basically a two year deal,

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Speaker 1: so they don't know him the final three years. So

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Speaker 1: then an hour later the NFL network comes in Tom Pelasaro,

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Speaker 1: who's been on here, and says not true without calling

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Speaker 1: out Schefter. Basically, they owe Cally the final three years

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Speaker 1: of his deal, which is seventeen million dollars and it's like, well, wait,

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Speaker 1: that's kind of important because now it's I don't feel

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Speaker 1: sorry for CALLI. They set him up to fail. But

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Speaker 1: guess what, goal see you you walk away with seventeen

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Speaker 1: million dollars? What's wrong with that? Set your family up

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Speaker 1: for life? That's generational wealth. Even after taxes and the agent,

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Speaker 1: you're still looking at nine million dollars. That's not generational wealth.

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Speaker 1: I mean a second, CALLI sixty five, His kids are

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Speaker 1: set up, His kids, kids are set up. Come on, now,

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Speaker 1: I nobody's playing the violin for this guy because he

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Speaker 1: did really have no chance to succeed. But so, I mean, ultimately,

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Speaker 1: you can't feel bad for him. I just found a

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Speaker 1: comical that a year ago they announced this guy got

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Speaker 1: a five year deal. Then schefter comes out and says, no,

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Speaker 1: no, no no, it's a two year deal. Like when you

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Speaker 1: hear two year deals. I come on, no chance for

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Speaker 1: this guy, none, And then you're hearing up they're paying

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Speaker 1: the final seven tea millions like NFL too ugly stuff.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's get to Dave Sharepan longtime Vegas got

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Speaker 1: to breakdown all six wild card games. Jason likes to

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Speaker 1: think he knows everything when it comes to sports. I

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Speaker 1: know what sports stands want, but for everything he doesn't,

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Speaker 1: he knows a guy who does. Let's just say I

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Speaker 1: know a guy who who knows a guy who knows

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Speaker 1: another guy. All right, let's welcome into straight fire a

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Speaker 1: guy obviously. Listen, you guys know it's NFL Playoffs's wild

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Speaker 1: Card weekend. Heavy gambling got new gambling sponsors here on

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Speaker 1: the podcast. We thought we'd bring in somebody front row

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Speaker 1: in Vegas for almost two decades now, Dave sherepan Cash

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Speaker 1: Considerations Podcast. Dave, I see you were in your Steelers hat.

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Speaker 1: How you feeling about your Steelers this weekend? All right, Jay, So,

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Speaker 1: first of all, pleasure to be here. I've been listening

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Speaker 1: into you for a long time from AFAR as well,

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Speaker 1: so thanks for having me. Second of all, I mean

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Speaker 1: we we talked about it real quick before we started.

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Speaker 1: Big Bend played it perfectly. I mean, no chance, you know,

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Speaker 1: we're just gonna show up, have some fun, see how

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Speaker 1: we do. I don't know about you, but that sounded

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Speaker 1: like a cover to me. I didn't think they had

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Speaker 1: a chance, you know, being a fan, and you know,

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Speaker 1: seeing what the books did. I mean they put this number.

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Speaker 1: This is one of the biggest numbers in the wild

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Speaker 1: card weekend history. Yeah. I don't think I've seen one bigger,

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Speaker 1: have you. I can't remember. If somebody's been asking I

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Speaker 1: want I gotta go back through and look. But um,

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Speaker 1: that was that sounded like code for we're going to

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Speaker 1: cover the spread. I don't know if we can win

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Speaker 1: the game. I love it spread. I have this in

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Speaker 1: my notes here, So home wild card favorites of ten

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Speaker 1: or more going back to nine eight no straight up,

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Speaker 1: eight no against the spread. So when the big favorites

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Speaker 1: are laying lumber in the playoffs, it's in the wild

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Speaker 1: card route. It's for a reason historically. Now, I know

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Speaker 1: that's a tiny sample size. Um. And obviously Pittsburgh has

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Speaker 1: the quote unquote revenge angle, uh Dave, But listen, they

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Speaker 1: were just it's just not a good matchup at fields

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Speaker 1: unless unless it's Tyree kill heal injury is something that

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Speaker 1: I'm not aware of. It's how are How's Pittsburgh gonna

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Speaker 1: score enough points to cover the spread? That's the issue

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Speaker 1: for me. I think that the defense can maybe hold

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Speaker 1: the Chiefs to what three touchdowns in the field goal,

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Speaker 1: but that means we gotta get thirteen. All right, and

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Speaker 1: now if the Chiefs get thirty one four touchdowns in

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Speaker 1: the field goal, I don't think the Steelers can cover. So,

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Speaker 1: I mean that's what it weighs. Steels are gonna win

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Speaker 1: a shootout. We know that. I mean, it may take

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Speaker 1: two or three games to score enough points to win

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Speaker 1: this game. But one game, big spread, Hey, they could

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Speaker 1: get blown out. I'm intrigued with the total in the game,

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Speaker 1: that forty six and a half. Yeah, so the spread

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Speaker 1: is gigantic and the total it's only the second highest

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Speaker 1: total of the week. So you know in the book

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Speaker 1: that tells me. I mean when it gets that close

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Speaker 1: where it's like three to four times the spread is

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Speaker 1: in the total that you look for that correlated parlay,

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Speaker 1: think dog and under favorite and over. So that's an

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Speaker 1: interesting I had not looked at that angle. It doesn't

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Speaker 1: appear the weather is going to be a factor. I

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Speaker 1: am curious though, Um, you know, Pittsburgh, what is this?

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Speaker 1: What is this and a half? Saying that the books

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Speaker 1: think that what they'll set the Chiefs team total of

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Speaker 1: what twenty seven and a half maybe twenty eight and

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Speaker 1: a half? Yeah, like thirteen is is or no, that's forty.

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Speaker 1: You're right, something seems off about that. It does, and

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Speaker 1: it's so you gotta look at that and think, all right,

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Speaker 1: did the Steelers really have a shot at winning the game?

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Speaker 1: Probably not. They have a shot of covering the spread.

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Speaker 1: Maybe does this? How does this game play out? The

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Speaker 1: Chiefs can win either way the game stays under or over.

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Speaker 1: The Steelers could only win one way? Is this if

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Speaker 1: the game stays under? So it's now kind of leaning under. Yeah.

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Speaker 1: I had some Steelers fans criticizing me because on the

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Speaker 1: pot I was like, listen, the Steelers team went through

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Speaker 1: a stretch where they had five straight games where they

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Speaker 1: did not get a touchdown in the first half. They

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Speaker 1: were the thirty first rated team in the league and

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Speaker 1: scoring in the first quarter. The only the team worst

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Speaker 1: was the New York Giants, and then the first half

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Speaker 1: they were also thirty feet and again the Giants for

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Speaker 1: thirty seconds. So what does that say about Mike Tomlin

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Speaker 1: preparing this team. I know he's a great raw rock guy,

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Speaker 1: and everybody loves Mike Tomlin is an underdog. I don't know, David,

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Speaker 1: is there some concern that maybe the preparations just not

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Speaker 1: there this year for the Steelers. I don't how do

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Speaker 1: you explain these first half woes with a veteran team.

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Speaker 1: First of all, welcome to the club. The Steeler fans

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Speaker 1: criticize everybody, all right, so now you're officially in. Second

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Speaker 1: of all, the play calling has been in question for

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Speaker 1: a little bit now, not just not just you know

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Speaker 1: um you know this offensive coordinator. It's been a couple

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Speaker 1: of different offensive coordinators. So they're really to throw the

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Speaker 1: guy under the bus before and now, I mean, they

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Speaker 1: just can't run the ball at the beginning, and they

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Speaker 1: run the ball and then they throw the bubble screen

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Speaker 1: and they punted. And then they run the ball, throw

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Speaker 1: the bubble screen and punted. It's almost like, we're gonna

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Speaker 1: do what we do in the first half. They can't

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Speaker 1: do it. Yet they get behind, and then second half

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Speaker 1: adjustments are made and they actually try to throw the

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Speaker 1: ball downfield. It's really strange, but it's a repeated pattern.

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Speaker 1: A couple of weeks ago, when they went to Kansas City,

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Speaker 1: they did the same thing. They were down twenty three,

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Speaker 1: nothing in the game was over. If they do that

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Speaker 1: this week, the same thing will happen. The game's gotta

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Speaker 1: be tired or within a field goal, I think, or

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Speaker 1: the Chiefs second half will be an auto play for me.

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Speaker 1: So even more concerned from that first game. No Kelsey,

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Speaker 1: he was like OVID and then Hill was coming back

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Speaker 1: from COVID and he admitted after the game he was exhausted.

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Speaker 1: I think he had two catches on the opening drive

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Speaker 1: and nothing the rest of the game. So to smack

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Speaker 1: around Pittsburgh thirty six what was the six ten something

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Speaker 1: like that? Yeah, they got was the final to kill

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Speaker 1: them like that? Annihilation without Kelsey and Hill is a

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Speaker 1: little startling. Now. Obviously we just saw, you know, Georgia

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Speaker 1: get destroyed by Alabama and the SEC championship came and

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Speaker 1: came back to win. So there is that beat the

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Speaker 1: team twice tried in true narrative, which is out there,

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Speaker 1: and I know that a lot of those are gonna

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Speaker 1: be pushed this weekend. But what do you You give

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Speaker 1: Pittsburgh any chance and you're taking a little flyer on

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Speaker 1: the money line at all? No, No, I mean a lot.

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Speaker 1: Even I do that when my Jets are in the playoffs.

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Speaker 1: You know, every other decade, Listen, I've been in a

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Speaker 1: book for all these decades of people, you know, a

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Speaker 1: couple of decades. People you can bet with your heart,

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Speaker 1: but it's not really I mean it's fun, but you're

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Speaker 1: betting the Jets. I've taken bets on the Jets to

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Speaker 1: win the Super Bowl Jet for for two decades, like

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Speaker 1: people willingly handing me money, and so I want the

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Speaker 1: Jets to win the Super Bowl. I used to joke

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Speaker 1: with those people, and not just the Jets fans, but

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Speaker 1: I'd say, you notice is just for this season and

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Speaker 1: not your lifetime, which was always get a huge ticket counter.

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Speaker 1: But no, I think the Steelers. I think the Steelers

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Speaker 1: have a shot. It's a very small shot. I think

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Speaker 1: the Chiefs have to turn the ball over a couple

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Speaker 1: of times, and Mahomes has had a year where he's

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Speaker 1: turned the ball over. And the Steelers defense is playing

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Speaker 1: as good as anybody in the league right now. So

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Speaker 1: T J. Watt, you know, strip sack something. We hold

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Speaker 1: the Chiefs in the red zone to a couple of

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Speaker 1: field goals. No, that's fair, This game live going to

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Speaker 1: the fourth quarter. We got a life, that's all. Yeah. Um,

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Speaker 1: I guess we'll we'll. I'll let you pick the next game. Uh,

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Speaker 1: is there an upset that you see anywhere on the

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Speaker 1: board that you're kind of like, you know, I like

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Speaker 1: the dog here. It feels like the most popular underdogs

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Speaker 1: this weekend are, um, the San Francisco forty niners, and

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Speaker 1: then a lot of people seem to like the Raiders. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: so the early money will start up to the top

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Speaker 1: if you want, with the Raiders, because I'm here, but

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Speaker 1: the money came on the Raiders. The books set that

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Speaker 1: line a little bit high, um, you know, because when

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Speaker 1: they played here. So the unique thing about some of

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Speaker 1: these matchups or we have round two or around three,

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Speaker 1: so there's a little bit more information for the oddsmakers

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Speaker 1: and the books, like you know, to kind of set

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Speaker 1: a number. So Bengals favored at the Raiders in the

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Speaker 1: regular season, you flip the game, you put it in

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Speaker 1: Cincinnati and swings all the way to six and a half.

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Speaker 1: He closed since he minus one one and a half

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Speaker 1: in the first matchup, so seems like too much. And

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Speaker 1: people that I respect are on the Raiders. But the

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Speaker 1: game gotta play way differently than the first time, because

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Speaker 1: who wants to bet against Joe Burrow right now? Like

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Speaker 1: I don't know in that offense, and since he when

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Speaker 1: you look at that game. Do you see high scoring

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Speaker 1: or low scoring game? Yeah? I bet the first half

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Speaker 1: under twenty four and a half. Um, I don't see

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Speaker 1: this being a major high scoring game, but I'll point

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Speaker 1: this out. I think that first meeting Dave, I think

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Speaker 1: it was like was it. It was like a three

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Speaker 1: point game with like seven or eight minutes left, right,

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Speaker 1: maybe nine minutes left, and then car They kind of

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Speaker 1: impoloded there in the fourth. A couple of turnovers and

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Speaker 1: Bengals short fields. But you know there there are some

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Speaker 1: advantages for your raider. I don't want to say you, um,

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Speaker 1: but you know, like you can make a case that, hey,

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Speaker 1: they play that weird zone. I think three high is

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Speaker 1: there their deal and they're not gonna let Chase get

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Speaker 1: loose or not gonna give up any huge massive plays.

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Speaker 1: Um down the field to Chase and and Burrow has

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Speaker 1: struggled a bid against zone. He's torched. Man. You can't

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Speaker 1: blitz Borrow. Well, raiders don't blitz they got crossby. You know,

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Speaker 1: they got that defensive line. You can make a case.

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Speaker 1: I just it's just tough for me off that win

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Speaker 1: last week, that emotional win for them on a short

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Speaker 1: week to come act um I think they were on

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Speaker 1: the field, what eight plays, it's eighty nine plays or

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Speaker 1: something like that, felt like a game just ended yesterday. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: and and Joe Mixon now um fully healthy. You know

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Speaker 1: Bengals guys rested last week. It just I can see

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Speaker 1: a scenario where the Bengals just grind out a an

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Speaker 1: ugly or something. Yeah, I could, I could see that.

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Speaker 1: I mean, I think the Raiders are playing their best

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Speaker 1: football this season obviously right now. This four game winning streak,

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Speaker 1: the game against the Colts open my eyes to the

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Speaker 1: possibility that one this team could make the playoffs, but

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Speaker 1: two they could win a game with the right matchup.

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Speaker 1: Is this the right matchup? First time starting for Joe

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Speaker 1: Burrow in a playoff game. I mean, everything the Raiders

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Speaker 1: have gone through this season, all the adversity I mean

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Speaker 1: with you know, Gruden gotta go, the accident, the the

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Speaker 1: getting stuck in Cleveland an extra weekend because of the

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Speaker 1: COVID protocols, all this. They keep finding ways to in

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Speaker 1: games and they're doing it hanging around defensively and Derek

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Speaker 1: are not turning the ball over. If they do that, Jay,

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Speaker 1: they can win this game. I feel like this thing

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Speaker 1: is gonna be over though. If you like Since, you've

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Speaker 1: gotta like Over. But if you like Under, like you,

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Speaker 1: I think you've gotta like Raiders. So I'm feeling like

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Speaker 1: this one might be one of those kind of back

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Speaker 1: and forth affairs, not like the Chiefs and the Bengals game.

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Speaker 1: And since he ended up because they could trade touchdowns.

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Speaker 1: If the Raiders get into having to trade touch they're

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Speaker 1: in trouble. They're gonna get run up. What do you

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Speaker 1: make again, historically of when you see numbers like the

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Speaker 1: Raiders are four and o and overtime games this year

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Speaker 1: and there's seven and two in one possession games. When

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Speaker 1: you see that, is that an they got kind of lucky?

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Speaker 1: Red flag? Because you know the Bills I think are

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Speaker 1: oh and five in one possession games this year. Last

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Speaker 1: year I think they were six and one or something obscene,

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Speaker 1: And you just if I mean, I don't want to

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Speaker 1: pretend that we're at a let table and you know

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Speaker 1: there's been a run of black and it's gonna change eventually.

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Speaker 1: I'm not playing that card. But it does feel like

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Speaker 1: the Raiders have been fortunate a lot this year. Absolutely,

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Speaker 1: And sometimes I mean those things run in streaks, right,

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Speaker 1: they do seem to. I mean you kind of you

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Speaker 1: have to put yourself in those situations to have them

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Speaker 1: go your way. But you know, equated to like baseball,

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Speaker 1: I mean there's times where teams win one run games

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Speaker 1: more than they don't they end up in the playoffs,

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Speaker 1: and those times they don't, they come up just short. Well,

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Speaker 1: that's what happened for the Raiders, right. What that tells

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Speaker 1: me when you look at it like that for the

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Speaker 1: Bills this season is the Bills are probably a little

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Speaker 1: bit better than maybe perception may give them. So that's

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Speaker 1: the way you look at it. As far as like

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Speaker 1: odds making and looking at it in the book, you

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Speaker 1: dismiss that you don't really put that into play, but

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Speaker 1: you know that people may bet that stuff that way,

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Speaker 1: and that may give you a little inkling to shade

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Speaker 1: the number one way or the other. And what you

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Speaker 1: just said about the Bills maybe undervalued, I think this

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Speaker 1: line is criminally low. I don't know where you are

348
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Speaker 1: on Bills Patriots, but this is basically everyone just giving

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Speaker 1: Bill Bill Belichick a ton of respect because rookie quarterback

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Speaker 1: Matt Jones on the road in the playoffs. I don't

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Speaker 1: know if you check the weather report, but it looks

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Speaker 1: like it's gonna be zero or one degrees Saturday night

353
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Speaker 1: in Buffalo, and I just I can see Buffalo just

354
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Speaker 1: totally crushing this game. And when like twenty four to

355
00:18:28,480 --> 00:18:30,679
Speaker 1: nine or something, and it's not even really close, and

356
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Speaker 1: it's gonna be a boring game. This this Patriot's offense

357
00:18:33,400 --> 00:18:38,240
Speaker 1: is not attractive at all. It's not And going against

358
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Speaker 1: a rookie quarterback in his first NFL playoff game, especially

359
00:18:42,480 --> 00:18:44,879
Speaker 1: on the road, is an old. That's an old you know,

360
00:18:45,480 --> 00:18:48,440
Speaker 1: sharp guy, wise guy move or whatever like that. That

361
00:18:48,640 --> 00:18:52,760
Speaker 1: is a hidden thing that I think we're just kind

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Speaker 1: of dismissing a little bit when you're looking at this game.

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Speaker 1: I mean, all there, it's Belichick. That's all I hear.

364
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Speaker 1: I don't hear any credible argument for the Patriots other

365
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Speaker 1: than it's Belichick. But the Bills are built like they

366
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Speaker 1: play in a dome. They passed the ball. Josh Allen's

367
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Speaker 1: amazing quarterback when he can do what he did. They

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Speaker 1: don't run the ball. This game feels like it's gotta

369
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Speaker 1: be a running game. If they have wind again and

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Speaker 1: they have cold, are they gonna pass it around and

371
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Speaker 1: have Josh Allen running all around. I don't know that

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Speaker 1: maybe why And a lot of times, listen, Jay, these

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Speaker 1: guys that you know, I call them bad guys to

374
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Speaker 1: come in and bet the bags of money, the limit

375
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Speaker 1: players in the books. You know, they come in, they

376
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Speaker 1: bet the weather on Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, you know, and

377
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Speaker 1: if they think it's gonna be bad and the total

378
00:19:44,440 --> 00:19:46,720
Speaker 1: is gonna drop day of game, when everybody starts the

379
00:19:46,800 --> 00:19:49,119
Speaker 1: coverage and they showed the game and the wind is

380
00:19:49,119 --> 00:19:52,399
Speaker 1: blowing sideways, the snows dropping, and everybody runs to the

381
00:19:52,440 --> 00:19:54,640
Speaker 1: window or gets on their app goes under under under.

382
00:19:54,920 --> 00:19:57,440
Speaker 1: They already have a number that's gone. So that's why

383
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Speaker 1: they're betting that game under, and that's why they're taking

384
00:19:59,440 --> 00:20:04,080
Speaker 1: the dog. I'm with you, though, if it's if it's conditions, okay,

385
00:20:04,200 --> 00:20:08,240
Speaker 1: just cold. Buffalo's offense last time it was decent, put

386
00:20:08,280 --> 00:20:11,879
Speaker 1: up thirty one easy either I mean they didn't put yeah,

387
00:20:12,080 --> 00:20:16,600
Speaker 1: they didn't punt. And so now I think Buffalo's offense

388
00:20:16,640 --> 00:20:18,600
Speaker 1: is gonna be able to scored it. The whole game

389
00:20:18,680 --> 00:20:22,680
Speaker 1: is gonna come down to Mac Jones their offensive game plan.

390
00:20:22,920 --> 00:20:26,000
Speaker 1: He's going to have to make plays on third down

391
00:20:26,000 --> 00:20:30,120
Speaker 1: to keep drives going when pressured. He hasn't been able

392
00:20:30,160 --> 00:20:32,000
Speaker 1: to do that. This one could get away from the

393
00:20:32,040 --> 00:20:35,159
Speaker 1: Patriots quickly. I don't want to play weather guy. But

394
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Speaker 1: another game with weather Dave is this Tampa Philly game.

395
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Speaker 1: And I don't know if a lot of people have noticed,

396
00:20:40,200 --> 00:20:42,840
Speaker 1: because you know Tampa. Everybody's got relatives in Florida, right,

397
00:20:43,320 --> 00:20:46,080
Speaker 1: Tampa girl, Well it's great, great, all of a sudden

398
00:20:47,240 --> 00:20:50,000
Speaker 1: chance of thunderstorms twenty mile and our wins, you know,

399
00:20:50,080 --> 00:20:53,040
Speaker 1: like what twice? What's the key number is eighteen mile

400
00:20:53,280 --> 00:20:55,760
Speaker 1: right around there. But the weather does not look good.

401
00:20:55,880 --> 00:20:58,760
Speaker 1: And you know the Eagles love the slot, I mean

402
00:20:58,800 --> 00:21:00,920
Speaker 1: they all he do is run the footba Day, gonna

403
00:21:00,920 --> 00:21:03,720
Speaker 1: push you around in the trenches. Tampa beat up. I

404
00:21:03,720 --> 00:21:05,399
Speaker 1: I don't know, David. Again, it's tough for me to

405
00:21:05,440 --> 00:21:08,600
Speaker 1: pull the trigger on Philly given they haven't beaten anybody

406
00:21:08,640 --> 00:21:10,800
Speaker 1: this year, and really they haven't looked good in any

407
00:21:10,840 --> 00:21:14,400
Speaker 1: of those games against playoff teams. Um I think they're

408
00:21:14,440 --> 00:21:17,240
Speaker 1: owing six straight up and like one in five against

409
00:21:17,240 --> 00:21:19,240
Speaker 1: the spread against playoff teams. The one cover was a

410
00:21:19,359 --> 00:21:21,800
Speaker 1: luck box when Tampa just took a knee. Remember they

411
00:21:21,800 --> 00:21:22,879
Speaker 1: were on like the five. I think it was a

412
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Speaker 1: Thursday night game. It just took a knee there, like, yeah,

413
00:21:24,840 --> 00:21:30,119
Speaker 1: we're not gonna school. We could um again? Yeah, I

414
00:21:30,160 --> 00:21:31,640
Speaker 1: mean I think I was on the Eagles that night,

415
00:21:31,680 --> 00:21:34,720
Speaker 1: but I don't know, David. It's tough for me to

416
00:21:34,720 --> 00:21:37,720
Speaker 1: bet against Tom Brady, against a rookie coach, rookie quarterback.

417
00:21:38,040 --> 00:21:39,959
Speaker 1: But the weather kind of MUCKs this up a little bit,

418
00:21:39,960 --> 00:21:42,520
Speaker 1: does it not? This is this is great. This is

419
00:21:42,560 --> 00:21:44,480
Speaker 1: how you talk through a bet and you can talk

420
00:21:44,480 --> 00:21:48,000
Speaker 1: to yourself crazy. You can sit here and talk to

421
00:21:48,000 --> 00:21:51,040
Speaker 1: yourself crazy. I've done this at the counter with people

422
00:21:51,119 --> 00:21:55,199
Speaker 1: for years, in the book, wherever, on the phone. This

423
00:21:55,240 --> 00:21:57,960
Speaker 1: will be the books one of the biggest needs. Who's

424
00:21:57,960 --> 00:22:01,600
Speaker 1: gonna bet? Who's gonna bet Philly? Nobody? Because once you

425
00:22:01,880 --> 00:22:04,639
Speaker 1: kind of gotta do it, you get that uneasy feeling

426
00:22:04,640 --> 00:22:06,840
Speaker 1: in your stomach. It just doesn't feel right, Like, how

427
00:22:07,040 --> 00:22:09,520
Speaker 1: how are you actually gonna get there with this? How

428
00:22:09,600 --> 00:22:13,080
Speaker 1: can they actually win this game? Um? I think the

429
00:22:13,119 --> 00:22:14,720
Speaker 1: Eagles are gonna be able to run the ball. I

430
00:22:14,760 --> 00:22:16,600
Speaker 1: mean you all you hear is you can't run a ball.

431
00:22:16,600 --> 00:22:19,280
Speaker 1: A getst Tampa, you can't run a ball. I was

432
00:22:19,359 --> 00:22:23,240
Speaker 1: just gonna say, Jets fans would know you could run

433
00:22:23,240 --> 00:22:25,840
Speaker 1: the ball on Tampa Um. Now they did it in

434
00:22:25,840 --> 00:22:28,320
Speaker 1: New York. But I don't care where the game is played.

435
00:22:28,600 --> 00:22:31,080
Speaker 1: If we're playing in that weather, and that maybe, I

436
00:22:31,080 --> 00:22:35,880
Speaker 1: mean is a lot more than so. It's gonna rain.

437
00:22:36,280 --> 00:22:38,679
Speaker 1: And those of us that all have relatives in Florida, No,

438
00:22:39,160 --> 00:22:41,640
Speaker 1: it rains a lot in Florida. It's nice and it's

439
00:22:41,680 --> 00:22:45,200
Speaker 1: mild temperature sometimes, but it rains a lot. Rain would

440
00:22:45,240 --> 00:22:51,480
Speaker 1: be perfect for this game, for filling, not for Tampa Um.

441
00:22:52,040 --> 00:22:54,280
Speaker 1: I think it's a big ask for them to, you know,

442
00:22:54,320 --> 00:22:57,600
Speaker 1: think you're gonna go on the road and upset Tom Brady.

443
00:22:57,880 --> 00:23:02,600
Speaker 1: But man, Tampa's kind of a wounded animal, right. They

444
00:23:02,680 --> 00:23:05,000
Speaker 1: got a lot of beat up guys, a lot of

445
00:23:05,000 --> 00:23:07,840
Speaker 1: guys out of that lineup. I mean, I watched the

446
00:23:07,880 --> 00:23:10,879
Speaker 1: games just you know, number fifteen number. I don't know

447
00:23:10,880 --> 00:23:12,760
Speaker 1: who to any of these people, some of these receivers.

448
00:23:12,760 --> 00:23:14,919
Speaker 1: You're right, I don't know who they are. J Like,

449
00:23:15,119 --> 00:23:17,119
Speaker 1: I'm watching I watched the last couple of games. I'm like,

450
00:23:17,119 --> 00:23:19,600
Speaker 1: who's this guy? Gotta you know, Google search all just

451
00:23:19,720 --> 00:23:25,480
Speaker 1: find out who they are. I think the turnover it's

452
00:23:25,480 --> 00:23:29,400
Speaker 1: gonna be within the number right, and then they're gonna

453
00:23:29,480 --> 00:23:32,040
Speaker 1: have to hurt is gonna make a play to get

454
00:23:32,040 --> 00:23:34,439
Speaker 1: a cover. I don't know if they can win, but

455
00:23:34,480 --> 00:23:37,479
Speaker 1: I think they're live. It's it's Philly or pass for me,

456
00:23:37,640 --> 00:23:44,120
Speaker 1: sidewise total perfect number. These numbers are just I mean,

457
00:23:44,800 --> 00:23:48,400
Speaker 1: these numbers now in the NFL are the sharpest numbers

458
00:23:48,520 --> 00:23:51,399
Speaker 1: of the season. You gave us all the information I

459
00:23:51,480 --> 00:23:55,000
Speaker 1: used to say the odds making business is hard when

460
00:23:55,040 --> 00:23:57,040
Speaker 1: you don't know that, like wek a t you come

461
00:23:57,080 --> 00:23:59,720
Speaker 1: off off, you don't know who's playing, who's not, who's motivated,

462
00:23:59,720 --> 00:24:02,520
Speaker 1: who's thought. Now, at least thanks to sports gambling being

463
00:24:02,520 --> 00:24:06,080
Speaker 1: popular all over, everybody knows everybody's contracting sentence and you

464
00:24:06,119 --> 00:24:09,520
Speaker 1: can destroy it on player props. You get to this playoff,

465
00:24:09,640 --> 00:24:13,560
Speaker 1: it's every It's almost like a formula. Yeah, fort or

466
00:24:13,560 --> 00:24:17,040
Speaker 1: four or forty nine, three, fifty one, eight and a

467
00:24:17,080 --> 00:24:19,320
Speaker 1: half forty seven. I mean, the numbers are all pretty

468
00:24:19,320 --> 00:24:22,679
Speaker 1: say and you don't see no line movement because everybody's

469
00:24:22,760 --> 00:24:25,560
Speaker 1: kind of betting the same thing. And yeah, you bet

470
00:24:25,560 --> 00:24:28,199
Speaker 1: the dogs like I am curious when you hear the

471
00:24:28,200 --> 00:24:30,760
Speaker 1: book's biggest need is Eagles. Does that do anything to

472
00:24:30,800 --> 00:24:33,960
Speaker 1: your handicap, or is that to ten fifteen years ago

473
00:24:34,000 --> 00:24:35,919
Speaker 1: that kind of thing mattered. The market is just so

474
00:24:36,040 --> 00:24:39,200
Speaker 1: different now, or uh, some people have played that card,

475
00:24:39,680 --> 00:24:41,800
Speaker 1: some people play that card. Some people are gonna keep

476
00:24:41,840 --> 00:24:44,280
Speaker 1: playing that court. But what I know from sitting in

477
00:24:44,280 --> 00:24:48,520
Speaker 1: a book is my book may need the eagles. His

478
00:24:48,560 --> 00:24:50,840
Speaker 1: book may need eagles. His book may need you know,

479
00:24:50,960 --> 00:24:54,479
Speaker 1: Tampa to cover to teasers like like. So it's a

480
00:24:54,520 --> 00:24:58,520
Speaker 1: general statement and it applies globally, you know, but it

481
00:24:58,520 --> 00:25:01,680
Speaker 1: doesn't apply specific So I think we can fall into

482
00:25:01,680 --> 00:25:03,920
Speaker 1: that trap. Oh it's a public dog, it's a public dog,

483
00:25:04,080 --> 00:25:06,880
Speaker 1: or oh that's the book's biggest need, and you can

484
00:25:06,960 --> 00:25:09,919
Speaker 1: use the narratives for whatever you want. One of the

485
00:25:09,960 --> 00:25:13,160
Speaker 1: things I say on Twitter all the time is nobody

486
00:25:13,200 --> 00:25:16,520
Speaker 1: knows squaw dooche And I mean I used the other word,

487
00:25:16,880 --> 00:25:19,880
Speaker 1: but even the even the sharpest guys in the world,

488
00:25:19,920 --> 00:25:24,679
Speaker 1: I mean that does that include the house? Oh yeah,

489
00:25:24,680 --> 00:25:27,119
Speaker 1: that's the funniest thing. It's like, yeah, you know, I

490
00:25:27,160 --> 00:25:29,040
Speaker 1: don't know if you're in these season long contests, but

491
00:25:29,080 --> 00:25:31,480
Speaker 1: you know, I did the Circle and I another season

492
00:25:31,480 --> 00:25:34,200
Speaker 1: where I had a winning record. I was, but that's

493
00:25:34,200 --> 00:25:37,200
Speaker 1: not even close to winning any money because somebody gets

494
00:25:37,280 --> 00:25:39,639
Speaker 1: lucky as hell for three months and goes on a

495
00:25:39,680 --> 00:25:41,959
Speaker 1: heater and they win the contest. So unbelievable. I did

496
00:25:42,000 --> 00:25:43,960
Speaker 1: the west Gate. I've been doing it for years. I

497
00:25:44,000 --> 00:25:46,240
Speaker 1: didn't circle as well. I mean I did it for

498
00:25:46,240 --> 00:25:47,800
Speaker 1: other people, Like they asked me to put picks and

499
00:25:47,880 --> 00:25:49,479
Speaker 1: so it's kind of a proxy. But I help him

500
00:25:49,520 --> 00:25:52,680
Speaker 1: with the picks and we went fifty two and thirty eight.

501
00:25:53,200 --> 00:25:57,720
Speaker 1: I mean, I've got it doesn't mean nothing, it doesn't

502
00:25:57,720 --> 00:25:59,800
Speaker 1: mean nothing. It's it's not even close to the money.

503
00:26:00,040 --> 00:26:05,520
Speaker 1: It's frustrating, and it's real quick on the bucks. Um.

504
00:26:05,640 --> 00:26:07,679
Speaker 1: So again, I said this earlier this weekend. All these

505
00:26:07,680 --> 00:26:10,000
Speaker 1: people like who cares about Ronald Jones being doubtful? What

506
00:26:10,040 --> 00:26:12,320
Speaker 1: does that matter? Well, four nets coming off, I are

507
00:26:13,000 --> 00:26:16,119
Speaker 1: and Jones is the backup. And have you looked at

508
00:26:16,160 --> 00:26:18,560
Speaker 1: the bucks depth chart? If this is an inclement weather

509
00:26:18,600 --> 00:26:21,520
Speaker 1: game and Brady can't throw it enough, it's Keyshawn Vaughan,

510
00:26:21,640 --> 00:26:23,520
Speaker 1: who has looked decent. I think he's a kid out

511
00:26:23,560 --> 00:26:26,040
Speaker 1: somewhere out of the SEC. And then Levi on Bell,

512
00:26:26,160 --> 00:26:30,240
Speaker 1: who is absolutely washed. There's no way he's even a

513
00:26:30,240 --> 00:26:33,040
Speaker 1: ten or fifteen carry guy. So again, in an inclement

514
00:26:33,080 --> 00:26:36,800
Speaker 1: weather game with for Net coming off, I are we think.

515
00:26:36,880 --> 00:26:38,840
Speaker 1: I don't know if he's practiced yet this week. I

516
00:26:38,840 --> 00:26:42,119
Speaker 1: haven't seen Ronald Jones hurt, doubtful, and now all of

517
00:26:42,200 --> 00:26:44,440
Speaker 1: a sudden, no godwin, no a b I mean, there

518
00:26:44,640 --> 00:26:47,080
Speaker 1: is a crazy scenario here where the Bucks lose this game,

519
00:26:47,680 --> 00:26:49,879
Speaker 1: for sure. I mean, and you can You're right. You

520
00:26:49,920 --> 00:26:52,200
Speaker 1: could talk yourself into that for every game. And I

521
00:26:52,200 --> 00:26:53,800
Speaker 1: don't know. David was gonna be a lawyer when I

522
00:26:53,800 --> 00:26:55,720
Speaker 1: was a kid, and one of my things is I

523
00:26:55,840 --> 00:26:58,120
Speaker 1: like to argue both sides so I know what they're

524
00:26:58,119 --> 00:27:00,080
Speaker 1: gonna say so I can come back at him with it.

525
00:27:00,640 --> 00:27:02,440
Speaker 1: And I think that's kind of helped me as a gambler.

526
00:27:02,480 --> 00:27:04,399
Speaker 1: But it hurts because I talked myself out of place.

527
00:27:04,480 --> 00:27:07,199
Speaker 1: Like one of my first bets this week was I

528
00:27:07,280 --> 00:27:10,240
Speaker 1: like Cowboys at three. Yeah, And then the next day

529
00:27:10,280 --> 00:27:11,840
Speaker 1: I'm thinking about, like, oh my gosh, what the hell

530
00:27:11,880 --> 00:27:15,040
Speaker 1: did I do? What I what I do? Fourners of

531
00:27:15,080 --> 00:27:17,760
Speaker 1: the side, And now three straight days, everybody, oh foy,

532
00:27:17,840 --> 00:27:21,520
Speaker 1: now it is your dangerous point, ninners of the team, Dave.

533
00:27:21,880 --> 00:27:24,040
Speaker 1: This this is probably what I should have stayed away from.

534
00:27:24,040 --> 00:27:26,840
Speaker 1: But I'm on Dallas on pot committed. You gotta sign

535
00:27:26,960 --> 00:27:29,840
Speaker 1: on this one or anything. So it's so funny because

536
00:27:29,880 --> 00:27:31,719
Speaker 1: I was gonna go to law school instead, I went

537
00:27:31,760 --> 00:27:34,000
Speaker 1: to Curas and ran an offshore sports book for a

538
00:27:34,000 --> 00:27:36,000
Speaker 1: couple of years. That's what I did. I was a

539
00:27:36,040 --> 00:27:39,000
Speaker 1: beautiful Oh yeah, I lived there for almost two years

540
00:27:39,040 --> 00:27:41,560
Speaker 1: and ran a book down there back in the late nineties,

541
00:27:41,600 --> 00:27:43,919
Speaker 1: and and and learned a lot about life. To be

542
00:27:43,960 --> 00:27:46,720
Speaker 1: perfectly honest, I got a PhD in bookmaking and no

543
00:27:46,720 --> 00:27:49,040
Speaker 1: odds making and all of this stuff. But I I

544
00:27:49,200 --> 00:27:54,120
Speaker 1: learned about life and whole different aspects. So this game

545
00:27:54,200 --> 00:27:58,720
Speaker 1: is a perfect microcosm for that Jay because you see

546
00:27:58,760 --> 00:28:00,879
Speaker 1: what Dallas is doing the US week of the season.

547
00:28:00,920 --> 00:28:03,879
Speaker 1: Why in the hell are they playing anybody in that

548
00:28:03,960 --> 00:28:08,000
Speaker 1: game against Philly. They're getting ready, they look good, and

549
00:28:09,800 --> 00:28:12,840
Speaker 1: the Niners are struggling in a game they have to

550
00:28:12,920 --> 00:28:17,600
Speaker 1: win to get in and then somehow win that game

551
00:28:17,640 --> 00:28:20,440
Speaker 1: against the ram stack to Matthew Stafford throwing a pick

552
00:28:20,520 --> 00:28:22,640
Speaker 1: to get us back in it. We gotta go and

553
00:28:22,640 --> 00:28:26,159
Speaker 1: win the game and overtime. And now this is the

554
00:28:26,200 --> 00:28:30,080
Speaker 1: public dog of the week, This one, this one would

555
00:28:30,080 --> 00:28:34,119
Speaker 1: have me a little bit nervous if because when the

556
00:28:34,200 --> 00:28:37,520
Speaker 1: spreads bigger, you're supposed to need to faith. You know,

557
00:28:37,720 --> 00:28:40,560
Speaker 1: in the book you need the dog pretty much every day,

558
00:28:40,600 --> 00:28:44,280
Speaker 1: but when you need the favorite in a game, the

559
00:28:44,320 --> 00:28:47,520
Speaker 1: books are gonna need the Cowboys. At this number, you

560
00:28:47,600 --> 00:28:50,080
Speaker 1: put up three and fifty one, it's perfect, it's easy.

561
00:28:50,440 --> 00:28:53,520
Speaker 1: What's the line? Dallas is at home three? What's the total?

562
00:28:54,760 --> 00:28:57,720
Speaker 1: I mean it's it's it's either forty seven or fifty

563
00:28:57,720 --> 00:28:59,800
Speaker 1: one in this game, and chose a little bit higher

564
00:28:59,840 --> 00:29:05,920
Speaker 1: one and it hasn't moved. So I'm with you in

565
00:29:06,000 --> 00:29:10,680
Speaker 1: that I feel like Dallas should win this football game.

566
00:29:11,680 --> 00:29:15,800
Speaker 1: And then I get worried if I have Dallas. If

567
00:29:15,880 --> 00:29:23,680
Speaker 1: McCarthy messages this apthologies, Yeah you got you got money

568
00:29:23,720 --> 00:29:28,280
Speaker 1: on this guy, land points. Are you nervous about that? Yeah?

569
00:29:28,280 --> 00:29:31,640
Speaker 1: I'm not a huge McCarthy guy. Uh. Dan Quinn against

570
00:29:31,680 --> 00:29:35,000
Speaker 1: his former guy on the Falcon staff, right, it was

571
00:29:35,080 --> 00:29:37,320
Speaker 1: dan Quinn and Shanahan that went to the Super Bowl

572
00:29:37,360 --> 00:29:40,520
Speaker 1: with the Falcons um and I know Shannahan's done a

573
00:29:40,520 --> 00:29:42,240
Speaker 1: great job of choking. My problem is I had some

574
00:29:42,320 --> 00:29:44,400
Speaker 1: futures bets on the Niners to win the Super Bowl.

575
00:29:44,560 --> 00:29:47,080
Speaker 1: From this Sason I love this team, but their secondaries

576
00:29:47,160 --> 00:29:51,479
Speaker 1: total garbage. I mean, you know we saw Tannehill exploit them.

577
00:29:51,600 --> 00:29:54,240
Speaker 1: Davis Mills a couple of weeks ago was throwing the

578
00:29:54,240 --> 00:29:58,560
Speaker 1: ball deep to Cooks. I think they he's done. He's

579
00:29:58,560 --> 00:30:01,000
Speaker 1: done pretty good. He has done pretty well. Yeah, I

580
00:30:01,000 --> 00:30:03,680
Speaker 1: mean this defense is bad. The only problem is no gallop.

581
00:30:04,040 --> 00:30:07,200
Speaker 1: So now it's Lamb and Cooper. Um. And you know,

582
00:30:07,280 --> 00:30:09,600
Speaker 1: Lamb's better as a slot I think, than outside, although

583
00:30:09,600 --> 00:30:12,720
Speaker 1: he's really good anywhere. I just this is the best

584
00:30:12,720 --> 00:30:15,600
Speaker 1: game to watch. But it's gonna be just close throughout. Right,

585
00:30:15,640 --> 00:30:17,959
Speaker 1: there's no way there's a blowout. No, I don't think

586
00:30:18,000 --> 00:30:22,000
Speaker 1: there's an edge in here. But I think this game

587
00:30:22,040 --> 00:30:25,400
Speaker 1: plays out to the over doesn't it like it does

588
00:30:25,520 --> 00:30:29,760
Speaker 1: feel like, Yeah, secondary is bad. Dallas defense a little

589
00:30:29,800 --> 00:30:33,840
Speaker 1: overrated and despite having some studs and right, I would

590
00:30:33,880 --> 00:30:39,400
Speaker 1: look at this is four somebody around that. No, that's

591
00:30:39,440 --> 00:30:43,160
Speaker 1: exactly what the numbers say it should be. So, um,

592
00:30:43,280 --> 00:30:45,760
Speaker 1: I can't wait to watch it. Yeah, that's a great

593
00:30:45,840 --> 00:30:48,360
Speaker 1: and it's a throwback you know to the nineties, young

594
00:30:48,640 --> 00:30:54,040
Speaker 1: Terrell Owens and exactly, and we get we get. Um,

595
00:30:54,160 --> 00:30:57,040
Speaker 1: do you think Dallas, if they win, has a shot

596
00:30:57,120 --> 00:31:00,600
Speaker 1: at advancing past the next game. You know, this is weird,

597
00:31:00,760 --> 00:31:03,640
Speaker 1: and I'm glad you brought that up. I don't spend

598
00:31:03,680 --> 00:31:06,280
Speaker 1: a lot of time wild Card weekend looking at who

599
00:31:06,480 --> 00:31:10,080
Speaker 1: would face who because of the whole like lowest seed plays,

600
00:31:10,120 --> 00:31:12,239
Speaker 1: the tight plays the top seed and all that. Like

601
00:31:12,480 --> 00:31:13,960
Speaker 1: I don't know who. I don't even know who Dallas

602
00:31:14,000 --> 00:31:18,320
Speaker 1: play next. Um, well they're the that's the four or

603
00:31:18,360 --> 00:31:20,720
Speaker 1: five matchup, is it not? Or no, that's the five,

604
00:31:20,920 --> 00:31:25,320
Speaker 1: that's the three six matchup, So they would go to

605
00:31:25,480 --> 00:31:27,880
Speaker 1: they would go to Tampa. If all the top seeds win,

606
00:31:27,960 --> 00:31:29,720
Speaker 1: the three goes to the two, so they would go

607
00:31:29,760 --> 00:31:34,440
Speaker 1: to Tampa. And I that Yeah, I think Dallas is

608
00:31:34,440 --> 00:31:38,600
Speaker 1: super Bowl worthy? Do you really? I had that passing game, man.

609
00:31:38,680 --> 00:31:40,480
Speaker 1: I just think they can hang with anybody in that

610
00:31:40,560 --> 00:31:44,400
Speaker 1: front four with Mica and Lawrence, I think they can

611
00:31:44,440 --> 00:31:46,959
Speaker 1: do some damage. Man. And they just gotta get by

612
00:31:46,960 --> 00:31:49,400
Speaker 1: the Niners. They gotta get by the Niners, and this

613
00:31:49,440 --> 00:31:52,600
Speaker 1: will be This would be an old school like tough

614
00:31:52,920 --> 00:31:59,880
Speaker 1: physical game where I think the they gotta run the ball.

615
00:32:00,080 --> 00:32:01,479
Speaker 1: Are they gonna be able to run the ball? Cow

616
00:32:01,600 --> 00:32:05,280
Speaker 1: was gonna be able to run the ball? Tyron Smith

617
00:32:05,320 --> 00:32:08,640
Speaker 1: is healthy the offensive. Fox Sports Radio has the best

618
00:32:08,720 --> 00:32:11,560
Speaker 1: sports talk lineup in the nation. Catch all of our

619
00:32:11,560 --> 00:32:15,080
Speaker 1: shows at Fox Sports Radio dot com and within the

620
00:32:15,080 --> 00:32:17,880
Speaker 1: I Heart Radio app. Search f s R to listen

621
00:32:17,960 --> 00:32:21,600
Speaker 1: live Rams Cardinals. This is the second game. I bet

622
00:32:21,880 --> 00:32:23,800
Speaker 1: I'm on the Rams here. I can't make a case

623
00:32:23,840 --> 00:32:26,760
Speaker 1: for the Cardinals. No, Hopkins, I don't care that J. J.

624
00:32:26,840 --> 00:32:28,800
Speaker 1: Watt's coming back. I don't know, Dave. Is there a

625
00:32:28,800 --> 00:32:31,480
Speaker 1: case for the Cards here? Yeah? The money came for

626
00:32:31,520 --> 00:32:34,280
Speaker 1: the Cards on the early number. I mean, because um,

627
00:32:34,680 --> 00:32:36,520
Speaker 1: this thing over four and a half and it was

628
00:32:36,600 --> 00:32:40,280
Speaker 1: all gone in some places that I you know, really

629
00:32:40,320 --> 00:32:43,080
Speaker 1: respective gone to three and a half off shore and stuff,

630
00:32:43,520 --> 00:32:46,920
Speaker 1: and I understand why. I remember, and this is round

631
00:32:47,000 --> 00:32:51,640
Speaker 1: three of this matchup. Arizona beat the Rams pretty handily

632
00:32:51,720 --> 00:32:54,600
Speaker 1: at the Rams, but they did had d hop They

633
00:32:54,600 --> 00:32:58,000
Speaker 1: had the full compliment of players and and and I

634
00:32:58,040 --> 00:33:01,360
Speaker 1: think Dave, Rams were coming off beating Tampa Tampa. Yeah.

635
00:33:01,480 --> 00:33:03,560
Speaker 1: Remember Tampa had won the Super Bowl and there are

636
00:33:03,600 --> 00:33:07,400
Speaker 1: they gonna go and defeated and the right. Yeah, So

637
00:33:09,000 --> 00:33:12,120
Speaker 1: I think the Rams are super Bowl worthy. I thought

638
00:33:12,240 --> 00:33:15,960
Speaker 1: that before the season, and then I watched Matthew Stafford

639
00:33:15,960 --> 00:33:19,320
Speaker 1: throw a crucial pick every single and the team have

640
00:33:19,520 --> 00:33:23,040
Speaker 1: to recover from it and it drives me crazy. So

641
00:33:24,000 --> 00:33:28,120
Speaker 1: I'm with you here. I like the rams too. The

642
00:33:28,240 --> 00:33:33,080
Speaker 1: numbers coming down. Um, I heard a great stat on

643
00:33:33,080 --> 00:33:36,680
Speaker 1: one another shows that I do where Um the sixth

644
00:33:36,760 --> 00:33:40,440
Speaker 1: seed has beaten the three seed outright, like I don't know,

645
00:33:40,760 --> 00:33:45,040
Speaker 1: at a very high percentage over the last five years. Overall,

646
00:33:45,360 --> 00:33:49,240
Speaker 1: this is the game that is the tough one for

647
00:33:49,440 --> 00:33:53,680
Speaker 1: the home favorite. I don't know how this game plays out.

648
00:33:53,840 --> 00:33:58,080
Speaker 1: The NFL moved a game to Monday night. These guys

649
00:33:58,080 --> 00:34:01,000
Speaker 1: are gonna know exactly who on who lost. I don't

650
00:34:01,000 --> 00:34:04,200
Speaker 1: think that factors into the handicap, but I think it

651
00:34:04,360 --> 00:34:08,080
Speaker 1: factors into people's handicap because now we'll get to watch

652
00:34:08,280 --> 00:34:13,160
Speaker 1: all the other five games, and this is singled out

653
00:34:13,239 --> 00:34:16,600
Speaker 1: autumn Monday night in prime time. It's gonna be massive

654
00:34:16,640 --> 00:34:19,520
Speaker 1: hand over the books. So genius moved by the NFL

655
00:34:20,000 --> 00:34:22,480
Speaker 1: because it doesn't get watched in the shuffle on the weekend.

656
00:34:22,880 --> 00:34:26,440
Speaker 1: M I like the j I'm with you. Let me

657
00:34:26,480 --> 00:34:28,719
Speaker 1: ask you, what what do you do? Historically when one

658
00:34:28,760 --> 00:34:32,880
Speaker 1: coach has absolutely dominated another, one McVeigh I believe is

659
00:34:33,000 --> 00:34:35,960
Speaker 1: eight and one or nine and one straight up against

660
00:34:36,000 --> 00:34:39,480
Speaker 1: Arizona and Kingsbury. Um, it's just been a blood bath

661
00:34:39,480 --> 00:34:42,440
Speaker 1: when they meet. And you know you mentioned the extra day,

662
00:34:42,440 --> 00:34:44,759
Speaker 1: and I just thought, like, boy, Cliff, Kingsbury's gotta think

663
00:34:44,760 --> 00:34:48,640
Speaker 1: about getting owned by McVeigh for an extra day. He

664
00:34:48,760 --> 00:34:52,080
Speaker 1: just gotta let that marinate. Like Kingsbury first playoff game,

665
00:34:52,120 --> 00:34:55,160
Speaker 1: Kyler Murray first playoff game. I care more about that

666
00:34:55,600 --> 00:34:57,879
Speaker 1: than I do. Matt Stafford has never won a playoff game.

667
00:34:57,960 --> 00:35:00,319
Speaker 1: I know Stafford has been terrible down the stretch. I mean,

668
00:35:00,800 --> 00:35:04,239
Speaker 1: you know, we're getting close to I think he played

669
00:35:04,239 --> 00:35:06,840
Speaker 1: in two or three in Detroit and they were always underdogs.

670
00:35:07,239 --> 00:35:10,799
Speaker 1: Was it too I think I think they were always dogs. No, no,

671
00:35:10,880 --> 00:35:14,440
Speaker 1: not many. But he's he's I like Stafford, so I

672
00:35:14,600 --> 00:35:17,560
Speaker 1: defend him, probably too too much. I know he historically

673
00:35:17,560 --> 00:35:20,360
Speaker 1: has been a joke artist against good teams, but I

674
00:35:20,400 --> 00:35:22,680
Speaker 1: don't know, Dave. The other concern with the Rams is

675
00:35:23,120 --> 00:35:25,840
Speaker 1: how close are we to if Stafford throws an early

676
00:35:25,880 --> 00:35:27,880
Speaker 1: pick six he led the league in pick sixes or

677
00:35:27,880 --> 00:35:30,600
Speaker 1: tied with Lawrence or whatever. How close are we to

678
00:35:30,719 --> 00:35:34,360
Speaker 1: Odell Beckham leading some kind of mutiny on the sideline,

679
00:35:34,400 --> 00:35:36,640
Speaker 1: Like I came here and you can't get it. Like

680
00:35:36,760 --> 00:35:38,680
Speaker 1: he's done this everywhere, right, he did it with the Giants,

681
00:35:38,840 --> 00:35:41,799
Speaker 1: he did it with Baker Mayfield, and like it's you know,

682
00:35:42,040 --> 00:35:44,160
Speaker 1: Stafford's gotta be a little fragile the way he ended

683
00:35:44,160 --> 00:35:47,279
Speaker 1: the season, right, a little bit. I know he's a vet,

684
00:35:47,320 --> 00:35:50,520
Speaker 1: but I don't know. I mean, I I really I'm

685
00:35:50,600 --> 00:35:52,440
Speaker 1: rooting for this Rams team. Like you know, I live

686
00:35:52,440 --> 00:35:54,960
Speaker 1: out here in l A now, Dave and and everybody's

687
00:35:55,000 --> 00:35:56,920
Speaker 1: kind of adopted the Rams and their fun. And we'd

688
00:35:56,960 --> 00:36:00,319
Speaker 1: like the Chargers too, but it's like Rams could at home.

689
00:36:00,360 --> 00:36:02,279
Speaker 1: It's so fine. Come on, we gotta root for that.

690
00:36:02,800 --> 00:36:05,560
Speaker 1: It only happened first time ever last year when Tampa

691
00:36:05,640 --> 00:36:08,759
Speaker 1: got to the home stadium. So the Rams have a

692
00:36:08,760 --> 00:36:14,040
Speaker 1: little bit of extra pressure on them, and uh, we

693
00:36:14,120 --> 00:36:16,480
Speaker 1: gotta count on. I don't think you'll get the mutany

694
00:36:16,520 --> 00:36:18,640
Speaker 1: on a sideline, but I think you'll get the Hey man,

695
00:36:18,719 --> 00:36:22,439
Speaker 1: let's go, let's get the The defense is gonna win

696
00:36:22,520 --> 00:36:24,759
Speaker 1: this game. Now, we're worried about J J. Walk coming

697
00:36:24,760 --> 00:36:28,120
Speaker 1: back for the Cardinals. That's a big one. But I

698
00:36:28,160 --> 00:36:34,319
Speaker 1: think no Hopkins for them really hurts that offense. And

699
00:36:34,360 --> 00:36:38,200
Speaker 1: I think that puts the pressure on them when they

700
00:36:38,239 --> 00:36:40,879
Speaker 1: get down. I've been worried about the Rams coming back.

701
00:36:40,880 --> 00:36:42,759
Speaker 1: I ain't worried about the Rams playing with a lead.

702
00:36:42,960 --> 00:36:46,680
Speaker 1: I'm good either way. I'm worried about the Cardinals coming

703
00:36:46,719 --> 00:36:50,160
Speaker 1: back from a deficit. I don't know if you really

704
00:36:50,239 --> 00:36:54,439
Speaker 1: force them to become one dimensional. Force Murray into as

705
00:36:54,440 --> 00:36:56,720
Speaker 1: long as they can contain him, and he's not able

706
00:36:56,760 --> 00:36:59,279
Speaker 1: to get around the end and get first downs with

707
00:36:59,440 --> 00:37:04,040
Speaker 1: his leg, you force him into that situation. Donald pressure.

708
00:37:05,320 --> 00:37:07,759
Speaker 1: I mean, they ain't stopping Cooper Cup. Nobody's been able

709
00:37:07,800 --> 00:37:12,520
Speaker 1: to do it. To score. Secondary on the Arizona is

710
00:37:12,520 --> 00:37:15,120
Speaker 1: not very good. Um. But the last question, what about

711
00:37:15,120 --> 00:37:17,480
Speaker 1: the secondary on the Rams. I saw that they signed

712
00:37:17,760 --> 00:37:19,880
Speaker 1: Eric Weddle. What is that he's been out of the

713
00:37:19,920 --> 00:37:21,640
Speaker 1: league for two years? Is he is this guy gonna

714
00:37:21,640 --> 00:37:24,440
Speaker 1: have to play real, real minutes? Like I know, there

715
00:37:24,480 --> 00:37:28,440
Speaker 1: aren't many threats in the Arizonas like Christian Kirk maybe deep, um,

716
00:37:28,480 --> 00:37:31,480
Speaker 1: but like, are you gonna play a dude he's been

717
00:37:31,480 --> 00:37:34,319
Speaker 1: out of football for two years? I would love to know.

718
00:37:35,000 --> 00:37:38,279
Speaker 1: I asked that question to my co host on my

719
00:37:38,400 --> 00:37:41,239
Speaker 1: podcast it's called Boston Versus. But he said that to me,

720
00:37:41,280 --> 00:37:44,439
Speaker 1: I said, what has what open doing? I'm a dad,

721
00:37:44,680 --> 00:37:47,560
Speaker 1: I got three kids, I coached them. I'm on the field.

722
00:37:47,560 --> 00:37:50,160
Speaker 1: I try to stay active. But like, what was he

723
00:37:50,239 --> 00:37:53,680
Speaker 1: doing for? He hasn't played since two thousand nineteen. That

724
00:37:53,840 --> 00:37:57,960
Speaker 1: was like pre COVID, Right, Yeah, you know, hey cold Wettle,

725
00:37:58,200 --> 00:38:01,520
Speaker 1: we ain't got nobody to play safety. See what he's doing? Ye,

726
00:38:01,800 --> 00:38:03,840
Speaker 1: he answers the phone and said, I'll be there on Sunday,

727
00:38:03,880 --> 00:38:06,200
Speaker 1: but you know what times practice tomorrow. I'll make sure

728
00:38:06,200 --> 00:38:08,759
Speaker 1: I get there, like, and he's gonna play like that

729
00:38:08,880 --> 00:38:11,279
Speaker 1: is concerning to me. They called a guy that's been

730
00:38:11,320 --> 00:38:13,600
Speaker 1: out of the league for two years. Hick. I'm trying

731
00:38:13,640 --> 00:38:17,920
Speaker 1: to think, um, defensive coordinator has totally was totally different

732
00:38:18,000 --> 00:38:20,279
Speaker 1: back then, wasn't it the Uh the old guy? Um

733
00:38:20,840 --> 00:38:24,320
Speaker 1: went to the Super Bowl? Um, the old guy. Uh.

734
00:38:26,600 --> 00:38:31,400
Speaker 1: I think he coached the Cowboys. Uh, he coached the Broncos. Um,

735
00:38:31,440 --> 00:38:35,400
Speaker 1: and then he came up with a great defensive coordinator. Yes,

736
00:38:35,760 --> 00:38:38,440
Speaker 1: I mean, it's like a totally different defensive world. Phillips

737
00:38:38,400 --> 00:38:41,080
Speaker 1: did didn't, isn't it. Yeah, that's gotta be tough. In

738
00:38:41,160 --> 00:38:43,600
Speaker 1: like five days to Jim Eric Weddle in the game, plan,

739
00:38:44,280 --> 00:38:49,200
Speaker 1: no idea how this works. Butt and a half. Jason,

740
00:38:49,239 --> 00:38:51,840
Speaker 1: do you think over or under when you think this

741
00:38:51,880 --> 00:38:54,279
Speaker 1: game on Monday? I mean, third meeting between teams and

742
00:38:54,320 --> 00:38:58,680
Speaker 1: familiarities pretty good. I would lean under, but the opportunity

743
00:38:58,719 --> 00:39:01,480
Speaker 1: for defensive touchdowns with Kyler running for his life and

744
00:39:01,520 --> 00:39:05,160
Speaker 1: fumbling Stafford pick six, So probably staying away from that total. Yeah,

745
00:39:05,239 --> 00:39:08,040
Speaker 1: it's a hard total. But I like over over, and

746
00:39:08,080 --> 00:39:11,680
Speaker 1: I like and I'm with you thinking favorite. So I'm

747
00:39:11,719 --> 00:39:16,200
Speaker 1: thinking rams and over rams. Get at least thirty one

748
00:39:16,400 --> 00:39:19,160
Speaker 1: four touchdowns in the field goal maybe three two field

749
00:39:19,160 --> 00:39:22,279
Speaker 1: goals and three touchdowns twenty seven minimum, and that gives

750
00:39:22,360 --> 00:39:25,959
Speaker 1: us enough to you know, get the Cardinals. They're close. Game.

751
00:39:26,080 --> 00:39:30,000
Speaker 1: Fun weekend, dude. Thanks, good luck with your Steelers. Yeah,

752
00:39:30,160 --> 00:39:32,480
Speaker 1: you know, I I think you're gonna need it. By

753
00:39:32,480 --> 00:39:34,200
Speaker 1: the way, who do you want a quarterback when Big

754
00:39:34,239 --> 00:39:38,960
Speaker 1: Ben leeds in, you know, like six days? I mean, obviously,

755
00:39:39,800 --> 00:39:42,200
Speaker 1: I don't want to think about it because I'd like to,

756
00:39:42,880 --> 00:39:46,360
Speaker 1: you know, party to continue. It's been fun. Saying goodbye

757
00:39:46,600 --> 00:39:49,080
Speaker 1: at home against Cleveland was one of the coolest moments

758
00:39:49,080 --> 00:39:51,440
Speaker 1: for Steeler fans in a while. Then they go win

759
00:39:51,480 --> 00:39:54,960
Speaker 1: a game. Thank you again Jacksonville for beating the Colts

760
00:39:55,000 --> 00:39:58,719
Speaker 1: to allow this party to continue. And now who do

761
00:39:58,760 --> 00:40:01,000
Speaker 1: I want to be the quarter back? I haven't thought

762
00:40:01,040 --> 00:40:03,000
Speaker 1: about it obviously. The Steelers haven't thought about it because

763
00:40:03,000 --> 00:40:06,520
Speaker 1: it got Mason Rudolph and no other real plans. There's

764
00:40:06,520 --> 00:40:09,839
Speaker 1: no I'll make a bake of a state dinner bed

765
00:40:09,880 --> 00:40:11,839
Speaker 1: if you want. There's no way Mason Rudolph is starting

766
00:40:11,880 --> 00:40:15,000
Speaker 1: week one next year. No shot. Now, come on, you

767
00:40:15,120 --> 00:40:17,359
Speaker 1: see we've seen him for doing a half years, haven't

768
00:40:17,400 --> 00:40:20,640
Speaker 1: we as a backup? Oh well, I'm not saying um

769
00:40:21,000 --> 00:40:23,680
Speaker 1: right now he should start. But what are they gonna do?

770
00:40:23,760 --> 00:40:28,000
Speaker 1: Go shign Aaron Rodgers, Steelers do. Jimmy Garoppolo has got

771
00:40:28,000 --> 00:40:32,040
Speaker 1: to be the guy, right, Jimmy Gee and Black and Gold? No,

772
00:40:32,680 --> 00:40:38,160
Speaker 1: I love it, okay? No, I mean if the Dolphins

773
00:40:38,200 --> 00:40:42,000
Speaker 1: go for Um Watson, who is gonna have to find

774
00:40:42,000 --> 00:40:45,320
Speaker 1: a home somewhere right? I don't know that too is

775
00:40:45,360 --> 00:40:48,520
Speaker 1: not as attractive. I need it. I need a mother.

776
00:40:48,880 --> 00:40:50,600
Speaker 1: I need somebody that's gonna come to the a f

777
00:40:50,680 --> 00:40:53,680
Speaker 1: C North and be ready to go battle with Joe Burrow.

778
00:40:54,160 --> 00:40:56,399
Speaker 1: I got to go to Baltimore, like I don't guys,

779
00:40:56,400 --> 00:40:58,920
Speaker 1: if Steelers are so spoiled, right, you guys have had

780
00:40:58,920 --> 00:41:03,000
Speaker 1: a franchise quarterback for two decades, okay forever. You don't

781
00:41:03,000 --> 00:41:04,800
Speaker 1: know what it's like to be life as a Jets

782
00:41:04,800 --> 00:41:07,239
Speaker 1: fan where you got nobody. Every year you go out

783
00:41:07,440 --> 00:41:09,560
Speaker 1: and it's like, how long is Sam Donald gonna last?

784
00:41:09,680 --> 00:41:11,880
Speaker 1: I were old enough to remember when the Jets had

785
00:41:11,880 --> 00:41:14,640
Speaker 1: a quarterback and the Steelers didn't. Richard Todd back in

786
00:41:14,719 --> 00:41:18,279
Speaker 1: the day, and you know one of those guys the

787
00:41:18,320 --> 00:41:22,200
Speaker 1: bridge from Bradshaw to whomever. After we went through some

788
00:41:22,239 --> 00:41:25,320
Speaker 1: Cliff Stout, Mark Malone years, then it went to Tommy

789
00:41:25,360 --> 00:41:29,440
Speaker 1: Maddox and you know Cordell Stewart that you know last years.

790
00:41:29,920 --> 00:41:32,000
Speaker 1: So we did a bunch of stuff before we got

791
00:41:32,000 --> 00:41:33,960
Speaker 1: to Ben. But I mean, it took a decade at

792
00:41:34,000 --> 00:41:37,520
Speaker 1: least to find a guy. So I'm a little worried

793
00:41:37,520 --> 00:41:39,799
Speaker 1: that the Steelers could turn into the Patriots the year

794
00:41:39,840 --> 00:41:42,560
Speaker 1: in between the Mac and the Brady, and we may

795
00:41:42,600 --> 00:41:45,200
Speaker 1: be hooking the guy for the Patriot, Cam Newton last year.

796
00:41:45,600 --> 00:41:49,799
Speaker 1: You want Cam, Cam's not. I mean, I love Cam,

797
00:41:51,080 --> 00:41:53,839
Speaker 1: he he ain't gonna fly. You could probably get Drew

798
00:41:53,880 --> 00:41:56,040
Speaker 1: lock in there. I don't think the Brock, I don't

799
00:41:56,080 --> 00:41:58,920
Speaker 1: think what are you doing? Sorry? Sorry, hey, listen, it

800
00:41:58,920 --> 00:42:02,480
Speaker 1: could be bleak if you don't get Jimmy g I

801
00:42:02,480 --> 00:42:04,560
Speaker 1: don't really options. Well, maybe I'll have you back Dave

802
00:42:04,600 --> 00:42:06,960
Speaker 1: when they're getting closed. All right, all right, man, Hey,

803
00:42:06,960 --> 00:42:09,080
Speaker 1: thanks a lot, great luck this weekend. Thanks for taking

804
00:42:09,080 --> 00:42:12,880
Speaker 1: the time. Thanks. Fox Sports Radio has the best sports

805
00:42:12,920 --> 00:42:15,720
Speaker 1: talk lineup in the nation. Catch all of our shows

806
00:42:15,760 --> 00:42:19,000
Speaker 1: at Fox Sports Radio dot com and within the I

807
00:42:19,080 --> 00:42:22,040
Speaker 1: Heart Radio app search f s R to listen live.

808
00:42:24,239 --> 00:42:27,080
Speaker 1: The only thing better than sitting on your couch watching

809
00:42:27,080 --> 00:42:31,320
Speaker 1: the game. He's making money while you do it. Here's

810
00:42:31,360 --> 00:42:36,000
Speaker 1: your best beat, great great stuff from Dave. We agree

811
00:42:36,000 --> 00:42:41,080
Speaker 1: on a lot on wild Card weekend. I'm not gonna,

812
00:42:41,200 --> 00:42:43,239
Speaker 1: you know, sit here and give you guys all the

813
00:42:43,360 --> 00:42:48,400
Speaker 1: trends for underdogs on wild Card weekend. But historically underdogs

814
00:42:48,400 --> 00:42:51,040
Speaker 1: have played well. Uh. You know. It's interesting because if

815
00:42:51,080 --> 00:42:53,080
Speaker 1: you listen to the podcast all season, you knew that

816
00:42:53,160 --> 00:42:56,480
Speaker 1: during the week you're grinding away looking for colonels of

817
00:42:56,520 --> 00:42:59,440
Speaker 1: information that maybe people aren't finding on obscure games in

818
00:42:59,480 --> 00:43:02,880
Speaker 1: the NFL um and just seeing what you can turn up.

819
00:43:02,920 --> 00:43:06,120
Speaker 1: The market is far less efficient when there are what

820
00:43:06,360 --> 00:43:09,799
Speaker 1: fifteen games, So I was, I guess sixteen games early

821
00:43:09,840 --> 00:43:12,279
Speaker 1: in the season. Then with the bye weeks, there's fourteen. Like,

822
00:43:12,400 --> 00:43:14,440
Speaker 1: that's a lot of games. They gotta break down and

823
00:43:14,480 --> 00:43:16,759
Speaker 1: they don't want to miss anything, and that's where you

824
00:43:16,800 --> 00:43:19,640
Speaker 1: can miss injuries and small matchups that you don't think

825
00:43:19,680 --> 00:43:22,000
Speaker 1: matter but really are a big deal, and you can

826
00:43:22,040 --> 00:43:24,000
Speaker 1: find that edge. It's a lot tougher when there's only

827
00:43:24,040 --> 00:43:28,000
Speaker 1: six games. These lines are super tight. They've barely moved,

828
00:43:28,120 --> 00:43:31,319
Speaker 1: with the exception of Bengals Raiders UM. By the way,

829
00:43:31,360 --> 00:43:33,359
Speaker 1: I don't totally agree with that move. I mean, yes,

830
00:43:33,440 --> 00:43:36,200
Speaker 1: I understand that the Raiders can make a case UM

831
00:43:36,520 --> 00:43:39,440
Speaker 1: and there you know some of the things as in

832
00:43:39,520 --> 00:43:42,440
Speaker 1: like the Raiders zone should be able to slow burrow

833
00:43:42,680 --> 00:43:45,760
Speaker 1: the past or I should get to Burrow without blitzing,

834
00:43:45,760 --> 00:43:48,479
Speaker 1: which is key, and yeah, the Raiders can hang around.

835
00:43:48,520 --> 00:43:50,960
Speaker 1: I just can't get over the fact that there are

836
00:43:51,000 --> 00:43:52,920
Speaker 1: four no in overtime games in seven and two in

837
00:43:52,960 --> 00:43:55,920
Speaker 1: one possession games. And if you look at their last

838
00:43:56,440 --> 00:43:58,719
Speaker 1: I guess four games of the season, it was like

839
00:43:59,239 --> 00:44:01,920
Speaker 1: a grind. All of them close games down to the

840
00:44:01,920 --> 00:44:04,359
Speaker 1: final few minutes and they had to win, like all

841
00:44:04,400 --> 00:44:08,480
Speaker 1: of them to get to the playoffs, that's exhausting, and

842
00:44:08,480 --> 00:44:10,240
Speaker 1: then to be on the field for eight eight plays

843
00:44:10,239 --> 00:44:12,759
Speaker 1: against the Chargers and then on a short week have

844
00:44:12,800 --> 00:44:14,520
Speaker 1: to fly. And yeah, I know some of that's baked

845
00:44:14,520 --> 00:44:16,839
Speaker 1: into the line. I get it, and I'm sure it's

846
00:44:16,840 --> 00:44:18,480
Speaker 1: baked in the line. And you guys have I don't

847
00:44:18,480 --> 00:44:20,200
Speaker 1: know if you've heard this elsewhere, but if you look

848
00:44:20,200 --> 00:44:21,960
Speaker 1: at the Bengal schedule, they have not left the state

849
00:44:21,960 --> 00:44:25,400
Speaker 1: of Ohio since I think it was the week before Christmas.

850
00:44:26,040 --> 00:44:28,360
Speaker 1: So now you're talking about one team that's been sitting

851
00:44:28,560 --> 00:44:32,200
Speaker 1: essentially at home, uh for a month, and another one

852
00:44:32,239 --> 00:44:36,800
Speaker 1: that's been criss crossing the country um and playing super close,

853
00:44:36,840 --> 00:44:39,919
Speaker 1: exhausting games. Bengals are rested all their stars last week.

854
00:44:40,520 --> 00:44:42,280
Speaker 1: I mean, I can I know it's gonna be close

855
00:44:42,280 --> 00:44:44,239
Speaker 1: and tight, and I did bet the under twenty four

856
00:44:44,239 --> 00:44:47,160
Speaker 1: in the first half. UM. I expect both teams to

857
00:44:47,200 --> 00:44:49,560
Speaker 1: come out like boxers, you know, the whole analogy of

858
00:44:49,560 --> 00:44:52,560
Speaker 1: feeling the other opponent out. Two coaches who don't want

859
00:44:52,560 --> 00:44:56,319
Speaker 1: to screw up and cost themselves the game early, two

860
00:44:56,440 --> 00:44:59,919
Speaker 1: first time playoff quarterbacks. It's gonna be close to the vest,

861
00:45:00,280 --> 00:45:03,880
Speaker 1: like you enter a big poker tournament, and you're not

862
00:45:03,960 --> 00:45:07,040
Speaker 1: coming out going big early, going for the haymaker. You

863
00:45:07,040 --> 00:45:09,480
Speaker 1: don't do that. I mean you want to boom bust early. No,

864
00:45:09,640 --> 00:45:12,040
Speaker 1: you want to muck a bunch. You guys have all

865
00:45:12,080 --> 00:45:14,759
Speaker 1: seen rounders. Come on you hang the strategy. It's so

866
00:45:14,920 --> 00:45:18,680
Speaker 1: different than a snowball fight or a Royal rumble if

867
00:45:18,680 --> 00:45:21,920
Speaker 1: you ever did those back in the day, um, or

868
00:45:21,960 --> 00:45:24,160
Speaker 1: even a game like Hunger Games and which I just

869
00:45:24,200 --> 00:45:28,080
Speaker 1: watched with my kids this week, um, dodgeball. You know,

870
00:45:28,360 --> 00:45:31,120
Speaker 1: hang back, lay low, don't make yourself a target, don't

871
00:45:31,160 --> 00:45:33,799
Speaker 1: goat trying to kiet everybody, and guess what, you have

872
00:45:33,800 --> 00:45:36,120
Speaker 1: a better chance of being the last guy standing. So

873
00:45:36,239 --> 00:45:39,080
Speaker 1: if you are the Raiders, you're gonna grind Josh Jacobs,

874
00:45:39,080 --> 00:45:40,919
Speaker 1: you're gonna go Darren Waller, You're gonna go a little

875
00:45:40,960 --> 00:45:44,200
Speaker 1: hunter Rentfall. You're not doing anything crazy. You're playing your

876
00:45:44,200 --> 00:45:46,280
Speaker 1: base defense. And I think this is a low scoring

877
00:45:46,280 --> 00:45:48,759
Speaker 1: game under twenty four in the first half. I do

878
00:45:48,920 --> 00:45:52,840
Speaker 1: ultimately think the Bengals pull away. Um. I don't know

879
00:45:52,880 --> 00:45:55,280
Speaker 1: how much this matters, but if you look at Derek

880
00:45:55,360 --> 00:45:59,719
Speaker 1: Carr's history, this was a guy who is from California,

881
00:45:59,840 --> 00:46:02,319
Speaker 1: and he went to college at Fresno, and then he

882
00:46:02,360 --> 00:46:05,160
Speaker 1: went to the Oakland Raiders, and then he went to

883
00:46:05,200 --> 00:46:07,120
Speaker 1: the Las Vegas Raiders, and he plays in a dome.

884
00:46:07,160 --> 00:46:10,000
Speaker 1: And now you've got that guy who's basically spent his

885
00:46:10,120 --> 00:46:13,000
Speaker 1: entire career playing warm weather football going to Cincinnati where

886
00:46:13,000 --> 00:46:15,280
Speaker 1: it's gonna be in the twenties and it's gonna be hostile,

887
00:46:15,280 --> 00:46:16,920
Speaker 1: they call it. You remember when it was the jungle

888
00:46:17,600 --> 00:46:20,120
Speaker 1: with um. I don't think it was the jungle with

889
00:46:20,600 --> 00:46:24,520
Speaker 1: Ojo Sinko and t J. Jos Manzada and Carson Palmer.

890
00:46:24,560 --> 00:46:27,280
Speaker 1: I think it was a jungle with like um Icky

891
00:46:27,600 --> 00:46:31,360
Speaker 1: Icky Woods and James Brooks at those Bengals teams of

892
00:46:31,440 --> 00:46:33,120
Speaker 1: way way back. I kind of liked this. I think

893
00:46:33,120 --> 00:46:37,400
Speaker 1: it was early nineties, late eighties maybe. Um yeah. I

894
00:46:37,400 --> 00:46:39,439
Speaker 1: think the Bengals pull away and when I I didn't

895
00:46:39,440 --> 00:46:41,600
Speaker 1: bet their side, I just bet the under first half.

896
00:46:42,120 --> 00:46:45,080
Speaker 1: I do have a prop. I'll give you guys. If

897
00:46:45,160 --> 00:46:49,239
Speaker 1: you look at the way the Raiders play defense, They're

898
00:46:49,280 --> 00:46:51,560
Speaker 1: not gonna let Jamaar Chase beat him on the bombs,

899
00:46:51,920 --> 00:46:54,680
Speaker 1: you know, Baltimore Casey. They're gonna leave their corners on

900
00:46:54,719 --> 00:46:56,920
Speaker 1: islands and Jamar Chase is gonna win those one on

901
00:46:56,920 --> 00:46:59,960
Speaker 1: one matchups. Raiders aren't gonna do that. They're gonna play

902
00:47:00,080 --> 00:47:03,640
Speaker 1: their zone. And if you looked at the first meeting, Chase,

903
00:47:03,680 --> 00:47:06,640
Speaker 1: I think only at three catches for like thirty five yards.

904
00:47:07,360 --> 00:47:09,760
Speaker 1: And who was the big guy was Tyler Boyd finding

905
00:47:09,840 --> 00:47:13,280
Speaker 1: spots in the zone. Tyler Boyd really solid slot receiver.

906
00:47:13,960 --> 00:47:15,800
Speaker 1: Uh nearly wanted me a Fantasy title a couple of

907
00:47:15,880 --> 00:47:18,480
Speaker 1: years ago, that's how good he was. He's just getting

908
00:47:18,480 --> 00:47:20,359
Speaker 1: into the spots in the zone and Burrow hit him.

909
00:47:20,400 --> 00:47:22,719
Speaker 1: And I think whatever props you can get on Tyler Boyd,

910
00:47:22,719 --> 00:47:25,719
Speaker 1: those those will cash over. UM. I also want to

911
00:47:25,719 --> 00:47:31,640
Speaker 1: bring up the Max Crosby stuff because Max Crosby annihilated

912
00:47:32,120 --> 00:47:35,200
Speaker 1: Storm Norton, the porn Star, the right tackle of the

913
00:47:35,320 --> 00:47:39,000
Speaker 1: Chargers and everybody's out. Max Crosby's gonna kill the backup

914
00:47:39,400 --> 00:47:45,120
Speaker 1: right tackle, uh of the of the Bengals because Riley

915
00:47:45,160 --> 00:47:48,480
Speaker 1: Reef is out. And it's funny I decided to look

916
00:47:48,520 --> 00:47:51,040
Speaker 1: into this. So Crosby obviously has had a great season,

917
00:47:51,120 --> 00:47:55,640
Speaker 1: led the league in pressures, but but they've played four

918
00:47:55,719 --> 00:47:58,960
Speaker 1: overtime games this season. Obviously one was last week in

919
00:47:59,080 --> 00:48:02,040
Speaker 1: the other three. Crosby the most snaps he played all season,

920
00:48:02,080 --> 00:48:08,120
Speaker 1: with sixty six. The week after each of the overtime games,

921
00:48:08,680 --> 00:48:11,720
Speaker 1: his numbers, you know, first of all, no sacks, and

922
00:48:12,080 --> 00:48:15,400
Speaker 1: his numbers were down in each of those games, exhausted possibly,

923
00:48:15,920 --> 00:48:20,040
Speaker 1: So what happens now when on a short week he

924
00:48:20,120 --> 00:48:24,600
Speaker 1: had far more snaps than ever before this season and

925
00:48:24,719 --> 00:48:27,080
Speaker 1: he's got to travel, And I mean, I know he's

926
00:48:27,080 --> 00:48:28,919
Speaker 1: a he's a stud, he's an All pro for sure,

927
00:48:29,239 --> 00:48:30,960
Speaker 1: and he's going against a back up. But the kid

928
00:48:31,000 --> 00:48:35,480
Speaker 1: Prince who's going against Um, he was really bad in

929
00:48:35,480 --> 00:48:37,000
Speaker 1: his first game. You know, I think he's a six

930
00:48:37,120 --> 00:48:39,920
Speaker 1: rounder out of Ohio State, and he was bad against

931
00:48:39,920 --> 00:48:43,400
Speaker 1: BOTHA When Rife Riley refront down Um, Prince came in,

932
00:48:43,440 --> 00:48:46,440
Speaker 1: Bosa's sacked Burrow twice. Is a bad game for the

933
00:48:46,560 --> 00:48:51,280
Speaker 1: for the young guy. Since then, Baltimore Casey and Cleveland

934
00:48:51,360 --> 00:48:53,279
Speaker 1: Prince did not give up a sack. He's been better,

935
00:48:53,840 --> 00:48:57,239
Speaker 1: so I and if Crossby's not getting there number they

936
00:48:57,320 --> 00:49:01,680
Speaker 1: lost a nose tackle. Uh feel on philon Um he

937
00:49:01,800 --> 00:49:05,200
Speaker 1: got carded off against the Chargers. Like if they don't

938
00:49:05,200 --> 00:49:08,359
Speaker 1: get that push up front, I think Burrow can have

939
00:49:08,400 --> 00:49:10,560
Speaker 1: some success and I think mixing will be all right.

940
00:49:10,600 --> 00:49:13,560
Speaker 1: So I'm gonna go ahead. I'll put scores on these, okay,

941
00:49:13,600 --> 00:49:21,600
Speaker 1: just for you, I will go twenty four sixteen Bengals. Um,

942
00:49:21,680 --> 00:49:25,480
Speaker 1: I'll write these down just for kicks. Um. But the

943
00:49:25,520 --> 00:49:28,439
Speaker 1: actionable bet would be first half under for sure. UM.

944
00:49:28,719 --> 00:49:33,600
Speaker 1: Let's see what the next game is, uh, second game? Oh,

945
00:49:33,640 --> 00:49:36,920
Speaker 1: the night game Buffalo and New England. I think I

946
00:49:36,960 --> 00:49:41,120
Speaker 1: said what I like, what I really like to Dave earlier. Um,

947
00:49:41,120 --> 00:49:44,279
Speaker 1: and I'm on the bills here full game. I don't

948
00:49:44,320 --> 00:49:46,759
Speaker 1: know why people are betting the over. I guess the

949
00:49:46,840 --> 00:49:49,440
Speaker 1: defenses people think are a little bit overrated given the

950
00:49:49,480 --> 00:49:52,919
Speaker 1: opponent's face this year. UM. But I just I don't

951
00:49:52,920 --> 00:49:55,520
Speaker 1: have any belief that Mac Jones can come from behind

952
00:49:55,600 --> 00:50:02,000
Speaker 1: and win an aerial battle in frigid, frig did Buffalo. Um,

953
00:50:02,239 --> 00:50:06,320
Speaker 1: zero degrees is expected to kick off. I just I

954
00:50:06,320 --> 00:50:08,400
Speaker 1: don't see this getting to forty four. To me, this

955
00:50:08,480 --> 00:50:12,840
Speaker 1: is like a ten bills. I'll put that down bills,

956
00:50:12,880 --> 00:50:15,759
Speaker 1: so I would lean to the under. Um. Although it

957
00:50:15,800 --> 00:50:18,239
Speaker 1: looks like the over has been hit, I just I

958
00:50:18,280 --> 00:50:22,080
Speaker 1: don't see that Game three is the potential weather game. Now,

959
00:50:22,120 --> 00:50:24,840
Speaker 1: this could change because you know these Florida weather games

960
00:50:24,920 --> 00:50:30,160
Speaker 1: dramatically change. Um, but if I have to pick one upset,

961
00:50:32,120 --> 00:50:35,440
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go with Uh. I don't really like taking this,

962
00:50:35,480 --> 00:50:38,080
Speaker 1: but I'm gonna go the upset. I would take his Eagles.

963
00:50:38,120 --> 00:50:39,839
Speaker 1: I would only put a little bit on the money line.

964
00:50:39,840 --> 00:50:42,040
Speaker 1: I'm not taking them getting the getting it in a half.

965
00:50:42,080 --> 00:50:44,640
Speaker 1: Because we know the Bucks kill people at home. This

966
00:50:44,719 --> 00:50:46,359
Speaker 1: feels like the Eagles will have a chance to pull

967
00:50:46,360 --> 00:50:50,680
Speaker 1: the upset or the Bucks run away with it. Um.

968
00:50:50,800 --> 00:50:54,880
Speaker 1: I just I can't really explain why I think the

969
00:50:54,920 --> 00:50:58,759
Speaker 1: Eagles could win other than whether makes Rex havoc on

970
00:50:58,800 --> 00:51:02,080
Speaker 1: the Bucks passing game. Uh. The Eagles are able to

971
00:51:02,160 --> 00:51:05,560
Speaker 1: run behind their awesome offensive line. Bucks run defense has

972
00:51:05,600 --> 00:51:08,440
Speaker 1: been a little spotty lately, and I do think there

973
00:51:08,520 --> 00:51:12,239
Speaker 1: is something too. When you hear narratives out there that

974
00:51:12,360 --> 00:51:15,640
Speaker 1: everybody and their mom is saying on TV, radio, podcast,

975
00:51:15,680 --> 00:51:19,759
Speaker 1: social media, that's when stuff like when it's all out

976
00:51:19,760 --> 00:51:22,120
Speaker 1: there in the ether, that's when it's over. You know

977
00:51:22,200 --> 00:51:24,160
Speaker 1: that stuff is useless. And all I hear is you

978
00:51:24,160 --> 00:51:28,919
Speaker 1: can't run on Tampa and I just I look at

979
00:51:29,280 --> 00:51:31,279
Speaker 1: recent weeks where I think I said it. The Jets

980
00:51:31,360 --> 00:51:33,080
Speaker 1: ran for a Buck fifty. I said it to a Dave.

981
00:51:33,600 --> 00:51:36,600
Speaker 1: It's like, what if the Eagles can run and they

982
00:51:36,600 --> 00:51:38,440
Speaker 1: can control the clock. I know they were. They were

983
00:51:38,480 --> 00:51:42,200
Speaker 1: destroyed in that first meeting. Um, they had like, and

984
00:51:42,239 --> 00:51:44,279
Speaker 1: by destroyed, I mean it was like seven. It might

985
00:51:44,320 --> 00:51:47,480
Speaker 1: have been twenty and nothing. But they had like seventy

986
00:51:47,480 --> 00:51:49,200
Speaker 1: three yards in the first, seventy five yards in the

987
00:51:49,200 --> 00:51:52,200
Speaker 1: first half something like that. They couldn't move to football now,

988
00:51:52,280 --> 00:51:56,239
Speaker 1: Jalen hurts it was early, UM, and Brady had a

989
00:51:56,280 --> 00:52:00,120
Speaker 1: ton of success. He just dominated them. Um. It just

990
00:52:00,280 --> 00:52:03,000
Speaker 1: feels like the weather is the best thing that can

991
00:52:03,040 --> 00:52:05,960
Speaker 1: help the Eagles. I will add this, Um if you

992
00:52:06,120 --> 00:52:08,520
Speaker 1: read and again, you're still reading all the beat reporters,

993
00:52:08,520 --> 00:52:11,520
Speaker 1: even though it's not the regular season. But there's a

994
00:52:11,560 --> 00:52:16,360
Speaker 1: sentiment among some of the Eagles reporters that Philly knew,

995
00:52:16,400 --> 00:52:21,160
Speaker 1: almost knew, it was locked in to Tampa right there.

996
00:52:21,200 --> 00:52:25,400
Speaker 1: I think they had like a chance to face um

997
00:52:25,480 --> 00:52:32,040
Speaker 1: the Bucks, and they rested everybody. You could argue behind

998
00:52:32,080 --> 00:52:36,960
Speaker 1: the scenes, was Philly preparing for Tampa for two weeks

999
00:52:38,640 --> 00:52:41,279
Speaker 1: and they've already faced them. I know that they've been

1000
00:52:41,320 --> 00:52:44,960
Speaker 1: lit up by good quarterbacks. Herbert killed him Mahomes dak Um.

1001
00:52:45,880 --> 00:52:48,239
Speaker 1: I think I think car really beat up on him

1002
00:52:48,280 --> 00:52:50,080
Speaker 1: in Vegas. And I remember because I was on the Eagles.

1003
00:52:51,680 --> 00:52:53,640
Speaker 1: Brady doesn't have the weapons. The one guy that, the

1004
00:52:53,719 --> 00:52:55,680
Speaker 1: one prop guy. I'm looking at his Gronk. He did

1005
00:52:55,719 --> 00:53:00,319
Speaker 1: not play in the earlier meeting. Um, and those are

1006
00:53:00,360 --> 00:53:02,520
Speaker 1: one of the worst teams in the league defending linebacker

1007
00:53:02,680 --> 00:53:05,719
Speaker 1: defending tight ends. With their linebackers, they've given up more

1008
00:53:05,760 --> 00:53:08,360
Speaker 1: touchdowns tight ends than anyone in the league. And I

1009
00:53:08,400 --> 00:53:11,680
Speaker 1: know this because I during one of my strategies in

1010
00:53:11,719 --> 00:53:15,399
Speaker 1: fantasy this season was I'm not gonna draft a tight

1011
00:53:15,520 --> 00:53:17,080
Speaker 1: end early unless i can get like one of the

1012
00:53:17,120 --> 00:53:19,760
Speaker 1: great ones, and then I'll just trade in out every week.

1013
00:53:20,160 --> 00:53:22,160
Speaker 1: And I would look at the teams that are worst

1014
00:53:22,280 --> 00:53:25,960
Speaker 1: against the tight ends, and the Eagles got killed by him.

1015
00:53:26,040 --> 00:53:29,040
Speaker 1: Dalton Shultz a couple of touchdowns, Foster Moreau filling in

1016
00:53:29,040 --> 00:53:31,880
Speaker 1: for Darren Waller touchdowns Like Eagles just got torched by

1017
00:53:31,880 --> 00:53:35,160
Speaker 1: tight ends. Gronk is gonna dominate, So I will be

1018
00:53:35,239 --> 00:53:37,080
Speaker 1: hitting Gronk props as soon as they come out on

1019
00:53:37,120 --> 00:53:43,239
Speaker 1: this one. Um, rain rains, shine, uh, whend Gronk is

1020
00:53:43,239 --> 00:53:46,360
Speaker 1: gonna get his you know, that. UM, I'm not touching

1021
00:53:46,400 --> 00:53:49,840
Speaker 1: the total, but uh, I you know I I'll be

1022
00:53:49,880 --> 00:53:53,480
Speaker 1: teasing the Buccaneers down. But I do think I will

1023
00:53:53,520 --> 00:53:55,200
Speaker 1: have some on the money line for the Eagles. I

1024
00:53:55,239 --> 00:53:58,320
Speaker 1: think there is a tiny chance of an upset. UM.

1025
00:53:58,440 --> 00:54:00,480
Speaker 1: Nobody seems to be giving Philly a chance, and I

1026
00:54:00,640 --> 00:54:03,000
Speaker 1: that's when I like to back teams. San fran Dallas

1027
00:54:03,080 --> 00:54:06,080
Speaker 1: is by far the toughest game. I told you guys

1028
00:54:06,200 --> 00:54:09,839
Speaker 1: multiple times I bet sorry Dallas early in the week.

1029
00:54:10,840 --> 00:54:14,520
Speaker 1: I don't have much else UM on this guy, and

1030
00:54:14,560 --> 00:54:18,920
Speaker 1: not touching the total, I think it probably goes over. UM.

1031
00:54:18,960 --> 00:54:20,719
Speaker 1: The big one today will be what happens with Trent

1032
00:54:20,760 --> 00:54:27,640
Speaker 1: Williams and practice. UM. If he's out, that's really really

1033
00:54:27,640 --> 00:54:31,800
Speaker 1: bad news for UM San France because Jimmy Garoppolo is

1034
00:54:31,840 --> 00:54:34,880
Speaker 1: one of the worst quarterbacks under pressure Pro Football Focus

1035
00:54:35,760 --> 00:54:40,000
Speaker 1: they break all this down, damn choking up UM here

1036
00:54:40,040 --> 00:54:44,479
Speaker 1: this morning. UM, Jimmy Garoppolo I believe as the third

1037
00:54:44,520 --> 00:54:48,240
Speaker 1: worst turnover third most turnover worthy plays of any quarterback

1038
00:54:48,360 --> 00:54:52,640
Speaker 1: under pressure. It's like he's just not kind of crumbles.

1039
00:54:52,719 --> 00:54:57,720
Speaker 1: And if he's down his left tackle Trent Williams against

1040
00:54:57,760 --> 00:55:02,239
Speaker 1: the Dallas front, that rank No. Number four in pressure rate,

1041
00:55:02,600 --> 00:55:06,839
Speaker 1: Michael Parsons, DeMarcus Lawrence. This is can be a very

1042
00:55:06,920 --> 00:55:10,560
Speaker 1: nasty group. Randy Gregory. I think there's a scenario where

1043
00:55:10,600 --> 00:55:13,759
Speaker 1: Jimmy g kind of spits the bit in his final game.

1044
00:55:13,760 --> 00:55:15,799
Speaker 1: Maybe as a Niner. We all thought the Rams game

1045
00:55:15,840 --> 00:55:20,280
Speaker 1: could have been his final one. So I'm gonna take Dallas.

1046
00:55:20,400 --> 00:55:27,960
Speaker 1: I will go Dallas thirty one, San fran seven. Oh,

1047
00:55:28,040 --> 00:55:33,560
Speaker 1: I forgot to give a score for Eagles bucks. Um,

1048
00:55:33,719 --> 00:55:37,759
Speaker 1: let's go Eagles just for because I'm gonna put some

1049
00:55:37,800 --> 00:55:41,399
Speaker 1: of the money line. Um and uh so, yeah, I'll

1050
00:55:41,400 --> 00:55:47,880
Speaker 1: take I'll take uh Dallas in a close one. Um.

1051
00:55:48,080 --> 00:55:50,160
Speaker 1: If you're looking for a prop guy, and I said

1052
00:55:50,160 --> 00:55:53,320
Speaker 1: this on the Fox Gambling Show on Thursday, George Kittle

1053
00:55:53,360 --> 00:55:55,280
Speaker 1: is the guy you're looking for. I mean Layton vander

1054
00:55:55,360 --> 00:55:57,200
Speaker 1: esh has no chance against him in the middle of

1055
00:55:57,200 --> 00:55:59,839
Speaker 1: the field. They don't put Michael Parsons in coverage because

1056
00:55:59,840 --> 00:56:02,640
Speaker 1: he can't cover anybody. Um, he can get to the passenger,

1057
00:56:02,760 --> 00:56:06,000
Speaker 1: that's sure as ship for sure. Um, he can't cover anybody.

1058
00:56:06,000 --> 00:56:09,480
Speaker 1: And I don't like the safeties um against Kittle because

1059
00:56:09,520 --> 00:56:11,960
Speaker 1: they gotta worry about Deebo Samuel and the yak I

1060
00:56:12,000 --> 00:56:15,040
Speaker 1: saw on what was that? What? I go to the

1061
00:56:15,040 --> 00:56:18,600
Speaker 1: website that checks all the um pressure rates and they

1062
00:56:18,640 --> 00:56:21,360
Speaker 1: track yak. Y'red after the catch, Cowboys, You've given up

1063
00:56:21,360 --> 00:56:24,000
Speaker 1: the fifth most YAK in the league when you're facing

1064
00:56:24,040 --> 00:56:26,719
Speaker 1: Deebo Samuel. That's not good. I know that's a lot

1065
00:56:26,760 --> 00:56:30,800
Speaker 1: of the points to bad news for UM for Dallas,

1066
00:56:30,840 --> 00:56:33,640
Speaker 1: but I'm still gonna commit to them. Casey Pittsburgh will

1067
00:56:33,640 --> 00:56:36,879
Speaker 1: be short. Um. If you listen to the interview with Dave,

1068
00:56:37,280 --> 00:56:42,480
Speaker 1: you know I'm on Casey. First half by seven uh,

1069
00:56:42,480 --> 00:56:45,839
Speaker 1: it's a juice seven. Now by kickoff it might even

1070
00:56:45,920 --> 00:56:47,799
Speaker 1: hit seven and a half. You can't even get to juice.

1071
00:56:47,840 --> 00:56:49,360
Speaker 1: But I don't hate seven and a half either. This

1072
00:56:49,440 --> 00:56:53,279
Speaker 1: could be thirteen three uh at half, but fourteen three

1073
00:56:53,440 --> 00:56:56,440
Speaker 1: Kansas City is That's the one side I cannot go

1074
00:56:56,520 --> 00:56:59,520
Speaker 1: against that. I know the books need Pittsburgh badly, but

1075
00:56:59,600 --> 00:57:01,759
Speaker 1: just why ching Ben Crater in the second half of

1076
00:57:01,800 --> 00:57:04,320
Speaker 1: the season last year the second half of the season

1077
00:57:04,320 --> 00:57:07,160
Speaker 1: this year? I don't. I don't see a scenario or

1078
00:57:07,160 --> 00:57:11,399
Speaker 1: we're Pittsburgh's in this. I will go thirty to ten

1079
00:57:12,239 --> 00:57:17,280
Speaker 1: k C and then on Monday, should we save Rams Cardinals. Yeah,

1080
00:57:17,320 --> 00:57:20,040
Speaker 1: let's save Rams Cardinals from Monday. Um. Who knows. I

1081
00:57:20,080 --> 00:57:21,560
Speaker 1: could take a beating or I could win a ton

1082
00:57:21,600 --> 00:57:24,080
Speaker 1: of money this weekend and then roll it all into

1083
00:57:24,120 --> 00:57:27,720
Speaker 1: the Rams. Who I like a lot. But let's see

1084
00:57:27,720 --> 00:57:30,520
Speaker 1: how the underdogs do. Um. Remember underdogs have owned wild

1085
00:57:30,520 --> 00:57:35,760
Speaker 1: Card Weekend in recent years. Um. I just man, I'm

1086
00:57:35,760 --> 00:57:39,280
Speaker 1: excited about these games. Obviously, I'll be on social media

1087
00:57:39,320 --> 00:57:41,640
Speaker 1: during the games. I hope you guys enjoy them. Stay warm.

1088
00:57:41,720 --> 00:57:44,560
Speaker 1: If you were in the northern part of the country,

1089
00:57:44,560 --> 00:57:48,160
Speaker 1: Holy cow, it looks frigid. I don't envy anybody in Buffalo,

1090
00:57:48,240 --> 00:57:50,360
Speaker 1: but keep your shirt on when you're jumping through those

1091
00:57:50,400 --> 00:57:55,200
Speaker 1: tables WWF style, yes, WWF. Al right, guys, enjoy the weekend.

1092
00:57:55,200 --> 00:57:55,960
Speaker 1: I'll talk to you Monday.