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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into the Wednesday morning edition of

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Speaker 2: the Daily Juice Podcast.

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Speaker 1: My name is Matt Parolt.

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Speaker 2: We're here every morning on bettingpros dot com, wherever you

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Speaker 2: get your audio pot your audio podcast excuse me, your

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Speaker 2: audio podcasts, and on YouTube as well with the video.

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Speaker 1: If you guys would like to use the bet.

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Speaker 2: MGM offer by now you know it ten bucks when

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Speaker 2: one hundred fty bucks an event. Use that promo code

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Speaker 2: Juice one fifty at betmgm dot com wherever bet MGMD

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Speaker 2: available bet MGM application as well, Juice one fifty. That's

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Speaker 2: how we get credit for you guys listening to the

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Speaker 2: Daily Juice podcast. I know a lot of you guys

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Speaker 2: are turning us back on. I'm getting all these dms

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Speaker 2: from people on Twitter and Instagram and in the Discord channel.

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Speaker 1: It's been a while, Matt. I've been you know, I've

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Speaker 1: been here.

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Speaker 2: I've you know, I've I've been around and I haven't

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Speaker 2: had a chance to really connect with you. And yeah, hi,

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Speaker 2: welcome back to the Daily Juice. It's football season. I

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Speaker 2: totally understand it, all right. So ohen won yesterday losing

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Speaker 2: day the Tampa Bay Rays came man like five six

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Speaker 2: inches from a bas is loaded probably bases clearing double

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Speaker 2: in the bottom of the ninth inning.

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Speaker 1: That would have won the game for us, unfortunately.

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Speaker 2: And I made the bet based upon the bullpen for

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Speaker 2: the Blue Jays blowing it, and they almost did it,

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Speaker 2: so unfortunately that not come in. Rays lose. Blue Jays

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Speaker 2: win oh and one half a unit down for the

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Speaker 2: day yesterday. Not a big deal, not really stressing about it.

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Speaker 2: But I'm not betting baseball today, okay. Just there's like

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Speaker 2: twelve games left in the regular season. I'm just gonna

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Speaker 2: wait for the playoffs, so I might get involved one

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Speaker 2: or two times. But today I'm gonna give you two

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Speaker 2: UFC bets and my first college football play of the weekend.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna get a little exotic and I'm gonna go

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Speaker 2: against what most people probably think is going to happen,

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Speaker 2: which I'm okay with. I'm gonna kind of, you know,

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Speaker 2: buck the trend a little bit here, go on my own,

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Speaker 2: go out on a limb and make some bold predictions

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Speaker 2: today with my money, and maybe it blows up my

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Speaker 2: face and maybe it all comes burning down, but why not,

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Speaker 2: let's go, Let's have some fun here.

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Speaker 1: I will be at.

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Speaker 2: UFC two sixty six at Timobile Arena on Saturday night,

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Speaker 2: so I will be there for Alexander Volganowski and Brian Ortega.

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Speaker 2: I'll tell you what I think about that fight coming up,

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Speaker 2: and also the robbery lawler fight taking on a Nick

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Speaker 2: Diez that is like what are we doing? Like why

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Speaker 2: is this guy fighting? So more on that here in

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Speaker 2: just one second, but just so you guys are aware

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Speaker 2: of what's going to be happening, It's going to be

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Speaker 2: a really crazy and wacko weekend for me and I

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Speaker 2: got all sorts of things going on. I've got people

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Speaker 2: coming into town this weekend. So like I may not

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Speaker 2: be on the Discord channel as much as I normally

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Speaker 2: would be, we will still do the Discord bet, we

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Speaker 2: will still do the Circa Million Conversation.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna beat at Circa.

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Speaker 2: I might actually do the Circa Million Conversation at Circa,

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Speaker 2: which could.

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Speaker 1: Be kind of interesting.

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Speaker 2: But I'm gonna be there and hanging out with David Barman,

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Speaker 2: who is this week's guest. By the way, on the

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Speaker 2: Sharp's Report, if you have not gone and listened to it,

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Speaker 2: please go and do so.

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Speaker 1: It's really cool. It's about all.

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Speaker 2: It's a lot on the Bad Beat segment on ESPN

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Speaker 2: on the starting of ESPN sports gambling content and where

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Speaker 2: ESPN is going in the future when it comes to

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Speaker 2: sports gambling content with ESPN Chalk So go search the

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Speaker 2: Sharp's Report where you get your podcasts. The video should

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Speaker 2: be out probably like Thursday or Friday. It normally takes

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Speaker 2: a couple of days to get the video fully chopped up,

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Speaker 2: edited up, and out on the YouTube channel for betting pros.

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Speaker 2: But the audio is out right now for David Barman

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Speaker 2: and I's conversation and he's coming here for the Dolphins

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Speaker 2: game against the Vikings.

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Speaker 1: He's a big sorry gets the Raiders, gets the Vikings?

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Speaker 1: Where to get that?

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Speaker 2: The Dolphins against the Raiders. He's a big Dolphin fan.

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Speaker 2: So he's coming out to watch the game. And so

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Speaker 2: we're gonna hang out and watch them college football together

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Speaker 2: on Saturday at CIRCA So I will be I don't

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Speaker 2: know what will be happening on Saturday. It's a very

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Speaker 2: busy day on Saturday watching football and then going to

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Speaker 2: the fights on Saturday night.

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Speaker 1: My wife is.

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Speaker 2: Already really angry at me for I'm not going to

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Speaker 2: be home at all on Saturday. But you know it

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Speaker 2: is what it is. So that's all happening coming up

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Speaker 2: today or this week. Rather, it's just a heads up

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Speaker 2: on what we're doing. Okay, So let's start with the

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Speaker 2: college football bet. Then i'll get to the two UFC plays.

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Speaker 2: This is a one unit bet.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 2: I have been adamant telling you guys. I've been on

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Speaker 2: my radio show. There's actually a promo running on our

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Speaker 2: network for me telling everybody, do not buy half a points.

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Speaker 1: Do not buy points in college football? So what do

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Speaker 1: I do?

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Speaker 2: I bought a half a point tonight. Okay, Oklahoma at

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Speaker 2: home against West Virginia. The line is sixteen and a half.

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Speaker 2: It opened up at nineteen and a half, all right.

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Speaker 2: I waited too long. I was watching it and I

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Speaker 2: was waiting, watching it and waiting, and it went to

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Speaker 2: sixteen and a half. And tonight I went to sixteen

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Speaker 2: and a half and I went, ah, crap, I gotta

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Speaker 2: get back to seventeen.

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Speaker 1: All right. So here is the bet.

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Speaker 2: Oklahoma is averaging forty six point three points per game,

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Speaker 2: Virginia's averaging thirty nine points per game. Both teams are

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Speaker 2: averaging seventeen points. Per game being given up the total

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Speaker 2: yardage forty seven point three to four hundred and twelve

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Speaker 2: total yards allowed three to nineteen point three to three

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Speaker 2: oh six point seven, six takeaways, six giveaways. Rather for

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Speaker 2: West Virginia two takeaways. They are upside down negative four

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Speaker 2: in the turnover margin. Two giveaways for Oklahoma, seven takeaways

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Speaker 2: for the Sooners. Here is my problem with Oklahoma, and

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Speaker 2: this game is either going to go spectacularly bad for us,

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Speaker 2: meaning Oklahoma wins this thing like forty five to ten

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Speaker 2: and we're totally dead, or this thing comes down to

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Speaker 2: the final possession and Oklahoma's trying to drive to win

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Speaker 2: the game.

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Speaker 1: It's one of the two, okay. And maybe we get

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Speaker 1: a back door.

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Speaker 2: Maybe it's like a thirty four to seventeen type game

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Speaker 2: and we get a back door push or a back

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Speaker 2: door cover. That's why sixteen and a half where it

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Speaker 2: is right now. DraftKings at sixteen and a half. Vegas

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Speaker 2: had books at sixteen and a half. I bought it

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Speaker 2: to seventeen at minus won twenty five odds, So not

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Speaker 2: that bad, okay. It's not like buying from three and

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Speaker 2: a half to three where it's one hundred, you know,

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Speaker 2: it's minus one forty or something like that. I just

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Speaker 2: think seventeen is a very important number, and so I

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Speaker 2: bought it to seventeen just in case, because the Sooners

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Speaker 2: have only covered one big spread so far this season,

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Speaker 2: and I'm just not confident in spent in a Ratlar.

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Speaker 2: Spencer Ratler was supposed to be the front runner for

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Speaker 2: the Heisman. He hasn't looked good. He's looked like a

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Speaker 2: cocky dude who thought he was gonna walk into this award.

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Speaker 2: And man, you're talking about a team that just struggled

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Speaker 2: to score against Nebraska. Illinois did whatever the hell they

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Speaker 2: wanted to against Nebraska. And Illinois was at home, so

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Speaker 2: was Oklahoma. And what because of a rivalry or I mean,

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Speaker 2: Nebraska's defense is decent, I'll give you that, But spentn

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Speaker 2: Ratler hasn't looked good against Tulane, didn't look good against

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Speaker 2: Nebraska Western Carolina. Oh excuse me, I'm really gonna be

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Speaker 2: impressed by that win. I don't know how good this

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Speaker 2: Sooner team is. I'm being honest.

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Speaker 1: I think Ratler is totally overhyped.

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Speaker 2: There was a guy on my radio show who works

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Speaker 2: for twenty four to seven Sports and he thinks that

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Speaker 2: there's better quarterbacks on the bench at Oklahoma right now

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Speaker 2: than Spencer Rattler. And this guy is supposed to be

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Speaker 2: this you know, he's supposed to be the next first.

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Speaker 1: Round pick out of Oklahoma.

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Speaker 2: And everyone he's talking to, all the NFL scouts he's

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Speaker 2: talking to, are like, yeah, no, this is not the guy.

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Speaker 2: They're not in love with him. They don't love his arm,

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Speaker 2: they don't think he's that good of a quarterback. And

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Speaker 2: here we go with West Virginia coming in and they

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Speaker 2: got the win they had to get. They got the

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Speaker 2: win over Virginia Tech last weekend. They were lucky to

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Speaker 2: do it, but they got the win. They come into

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Speaker 2: this game with a ton of confidence and I totally

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Speaker 2: get that when you look at the bettings so far.

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Speaker 2: Historically on this game, it's been kind of wacko with

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Speaker 2: how much the points that are normally scored in this game.

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Speaker 2: You got Chris Fowler and Kirk Kirbstreet who are going

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Speaker 2: to be there. It's a night game in Norman. There's

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Speaker 2: just gonna be all sorts of crazy environment going into this.

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Speaker 2: West Virginia is five and three in Big Twelve Conference openers.

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Speaker 2: Oklahoma is eighteen and seven when opening up league play.

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Speaker 2: I don't think West Virginia is gonna win this game,

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Speaker 2: but I think West Virginia could have a drive late

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Speaker 2: in the fourth quarter where they could make this a game.

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Speaker 1: And I also think they could backdoor this.

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Speaker 2: I also think it's possible with seventeen points they could

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Speaker 2: backdoor this because I don't trust Oklahoma at all to

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Speaker 2: play four quarters. I think there is enough offensive weapons

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Speaker 2: with West Virginia to keep this thing close, and I

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Speaker 2: think their defense is somewhat opportunistic. I know that the

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Speaker 2: Sooner fans want a big number. They want to see

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Speaker 2: this and they want to see a complete blowout. But

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Speaker 2: I mean, yeah, they're undefeated. I understand that. But man,

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Speaker 2: Maryland did throw the ball all over them. VA Tek

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Speaker 2: did throw the ball all over them. But this is

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Speaker 2: a high scoring game, all right, and I think Rattler might,

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Speaker 2: you know, might be due to have a bad game

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Speaker 2: throwing the football. I just as I said, there's only

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Speaker 2: one of two ways this game really goes. It's probably

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Speaker 2: a complete like forty five to ten, or maybe it

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Speaker 2: comes all the way down to like a last second drive.

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Speaker 2: But I'm gonna take the seventeen points here. I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: take West Virginia plus seventeen to make this a game

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Speaker 2: because I don't like Spencer Rattler, and I don't know

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Speaker 2: how good this Oklahoma team really is. Maybe they put

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Speaker 2: it all together and maybe we get curb stamp tier

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Speaker 2: and I'm losing this bet. This one unit wagers out

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Speaker 2: the window. But as I said, I'm taking some bets.

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Speaker 2: I'm taking some chances. I'm making some proclamations here that

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Speaker 2: people may not like. You may not like it. You

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Speaker 2: can fade or follow if you want. You may not

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Speaker 2: like this bet. You may not like my UFC bets,

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Speaker 2: but this is where my money's going, all right, I'm

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Speaker 2: taking the seventeen points West Virginia plus seventeen on the

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Speaker 2: road at Norman for one full unit. Sixteen and a

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Speaker 2: half is available right now at DraftKings and other books

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Speaker 2: here in Vegas and whatnot. I bought it up to

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Speaker 2: seventeen just to be safe. I don't like buying half

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Speaker 2: of points. I don't like it. I don't like it.

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Speaker 2: I don't like it. Okay, you can rip me for

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Speaker 2: breaking my own rule. Say Matt not map. If they win,

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Speaker 2: you're giving up fifteen cents of value by doing this

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Speaker 2: when you didn't need it, because you're just saying, if

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Speaker 2: it does go your way, it's gonna be a close game.

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Speaker 1: Maybe.

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Speaker 2: But this is where maybe it's a backdoor opportunity for us,

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Speaker 2: or maybe it's a push opportunity for us. And I

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Speaker 2: think seventeen points is a lot of points. Okay, it's

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Speaker 2: a lot of points. Oklahoma'skeepable of doing it, we think,

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Speaker 2: are we sure?

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Speaker 1: I don't know how good Oklahoma is?

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Speaker 2: Seventeen points take it West Virginia plus seventeen on the

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Speaker 2: road at Norman, Oklahoma for one full unit.

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Speaker 1: We'll have a bunch more college foble bets obviously.

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Speaker 2: Going all right, let's talk about UFC two sixty six,

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Speaker 2: Volganovski against Ortega before we get to the main event.

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Speaker 2: Let's talk about a line that I simply don't understand.

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Speaker 2: Nick Diez and Robbie Lawler. The last time we saw

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Speaker 2: Nick Diaz fighting was a long time ago, more than

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Speaker 2: six years ago. He fought Anderson Silva in January of

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Speaker 2: twenty fifteen. That was the last time we saw Nick Diez.

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Speaker 2: I wasn't even really I was kind of covering the

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Speaker 2: UFC then, but like I was just moving to Vegas,

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Speaker 2: and I mean, man, this is a long time to

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Speaker 2: be out, and I mean a long time. He's thirty

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Speaker 2: eight years old, he brings a gigantic name. Nate and

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Speaker 2: Nick Diez. They are royalty with UFC fans. The crowd

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Speaker 2: is going to be behind Nick Diaz Robbie Lawler. I mean, look,

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Speaker 2: I'm not gonna sit here and say that Robbie Lawler

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Speaker 2: is this dude that Oh my gosh, he's twenty eight

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Speaker 2: and fifteen.

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Speaker 1: These dudes are both old, they're both in their late thirties.

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Speaker 1: Rob Lawler fought.

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Speaker 2: He's lost his last four fights, Okay, lost to Neil Magney,

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Speaker 2: lost to Colby Covington, lost to Ben Askron, lost to

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Speaker 2: Afiol Delsagno's. I mean, he's just been losing, losing and

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Speaker 2: losing and losing, and so the company gives him kind

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Speaker 2: of a farewell fight.

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Speaker 1: Okay, this is the farewell fight for Robbie Lawler.

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Speaker 2: He's lost five or six overall, great career, but this

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Speaker 2: is pretty this is pretty much it, right, I mean,

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Speaker 2: this is his last fight. It's time to go. Why

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Speaker 2: is Nick Diez minus one ten? The line opened up

259
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Speaker 2: at minus one twenty five for Robbie Lawler. It's now

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Speaker 2: minus one ten across the board as Nick d As

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Speaker 2: money has come in this I don't understand. I know

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Speaker 2: that Dominic Cruz oftentimes talks about there no such thing

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Speaker 2: as ring rust, right, how about six years retirement rust?

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Speaker 2: How about opening up a cannabis company and videotaping on Instagram?

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Speaker 2: You blazing constantly, like constantly. I don't get this. This

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Speaker 2: is not Nate, this is Nick six years of being

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Speaker 2: away from active fighting. You might say, Robbie Lawler thirty

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Speaker 2: nine years old, Matt, and he's got you know, fifteen

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Speaker 2: losses and but.

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Speaker 1: What like, I just look like, what is going on?

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Speaker 2: I'm only laying minus one ten to get a dude

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Speaker 2: who's been active in the UFC, not entirely, you know,

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Speaker 2: way active, but way more active than he fought. Last

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Speaker 2: fought in August of twenty twenty. That was the last

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Speaker 2: time Robbi Lather fought Nick Diaz in twenty fifteen fought.

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Speaker 2: I don't know, man, I get it. The Diaz brothers

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Speaker 2: are just nuts. They're wacko, they're crazy. But I can't

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Speaker 2: bet money on Nick Diaz. What are you nuts? It's

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Speaker 2: only half a unit. It's minus one ten. I'm taking

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Speaker 2: Robbi Lawler on the money line. I don't get I mean,

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Speaker 2: it doesn't matter. I don't have to worry about submission.

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Speaker 2: I don't need to worry about finishing. I don't need

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Speaker 2: to worry about anything except on the cards. Just Robby

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Speaker 2: Laller win the fight. Okay, three round fight, Robby Lawler

285
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Speaker 2: win the fight. That's all I gotta worry about. Minus

286
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Speaker 2: one ten, half a unit. Robbie Laller beats Nick Diaz.

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Speaker 2: It seems too easy. Maybe I'm dead wrong. I'm not

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Speaker 2: awesome at betting UFC. You guys know this. I love

289
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Speaker 2: doing it, but I'm not awesome at betting the Picnics fights.

290
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Speaker 2: That's why I bet half units on the fights, because

291
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Speaker 2: I'm not great at it. But half unit Robbie Lawler

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Speaker 2: beats Nick Diaz at mie one ten. Now the main event,

293
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Speaker 2: let's talk about alejand Volganovski up against Brian or Tega

294
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Speaker 2: T City Man. There's a lot to talk about here

295
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Speaker 2: for this fight. Alexander Volganovski fought Max Holloway twice. The

296
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Speaker 2: second time I'm not so sure he won. Okay, Uh,

297
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Speaker 2: the judges.

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Speaker 1: M I don't know. I don't know.

299
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Speaker 2: The loss to Max Holloway for T City really did

300
00:14:58,120 --> 00:15:00,480
Speaker 2: derail things for him. He did bounce back and beat

301
00:15:00,520 --> 00:15:03,320
Speaker 2: Korean Zombie, which is pretty impressive. But the one thing

302
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Speaker 2: that is really interesting about this fight is that Brian

303
00:15:07,240 --> 00:15:11,000
Speaker 2: Ortega is really hit able. His numbers are not good

304
00:15:11,560 --> 00:15:15,080
Speaker 2: six point two to eight strikes absorbed per minute. That

305
00:15:15,120 --> 00:15:18,400
Speaker 2: cannot happen here against Alexander Olganofski. This fight will not

306
00:15:18,760 --> 00:15:20,800
Speaker 2: go the distance. He will lose this fight. He will

307
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Speaker 2: get knocked out. Okay, that will happen if he is

308
00:15:23,400 --> 00:15:25,920
Speaker 2: going to get hit like that, if he stands in

309
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Speaker 2: front of Oganovsky and just tries to trade, I don't know. Man,

310
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Speaker 2: Ortega's got more power, definitely has more power in this

311
00:15:33,720 --> 00:15:38,840
Speaker 2: weight class. He's got more power. But my goodness, Volganovsky

312
00:15:38,920 --> 00:15:41,400
Speaker 2: is a tough dude with those leg kicks. Is he

313
00:15:41,480 --> 00:15:45,480
Speaker 2: is a brawler. He is a former rugby player, like

314
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Speaker 2: we know, and he just takes punishment. He's really hard

315
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Speaker 2: to clean out and get out. Max Holloway couldn't do it.

316
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Speaker 2: But I just have a sneaking suspicion that this is

317
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Speaker 2: Brian Ortega's time. Now I may have something on the

318
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Speaker 2: total on this fight a little bit later on having

319
00:16:00,200 --> 00:16:02,240
Speaker 2: me in my mind yet about this, But the books

320
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Speaker 2: are kind of telegraphing a little bit that they don't

321
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Speaker 2: think this goes to the cards. Okay, the way that

322
00:16:06,440 --> 00:16:09,960
Speaker 2: they're juicing up the under four and a half rounds

323
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Speaker 2: is that they kind of think this thing does not

324
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Speaker 2: go to the cards. I think Volganovsky's best chance of

325
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Speaker 2: winning this fight is to go to the cards. But

326
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Speaker 2: I think Ortega's got the real potential to stop this fight,

327
00:16:22,400 --> 00:16:26,040
Speaker 2: to stop with his jiu jitsu, getting Volganovski on the ground,

328
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Speaker 2: out wrestling him, getting him down, and Maullingham. I think

329
00:16:30,040 --> 00:16:32,480
Speaker 2: that that's the way to beat this guy. I don't

330
00:16:32,520 --> 00:16:35,040
Speaker 2: think you can stand and bang with Volganovsky.

331
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Speaker 1: I really don't.

332
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Speaker 2: He's an incredibly strong guy at this weight class in

333
00:16:39,680 --> 00:16:43,080
Speaker 2: the featherweight division. He's really difficult to take down. His

334
00:16:43,160 --> 00:16:47,760
Speaker 2: takedown defense is really, really good. He's a guy who

335
00:16:47,960 --> 00:16:51,120
Speaker 2: seventy two percent takedown defense. Not easy to get to

336
00:16:51,120 --> 00:16:53,480
Speaker 2: get him down. But I think they're gonna have to

337
00:16:53,520 --> 00:16:55,320
Speaker 2: get him down. I think this is where the fight's

338
00:16:55,320 --> 00:16:57,240
Speaker 2: got to go. If you're going to see a win

339
00:16:57,360 --> 00:17:01,560
Speaker 2: here for t City. Now, a lot of people are

340
00:17:01,600 --> 00:17:05,120
Speaker 2: taking the champ okay, and I understand it. You're gonna

341
00:17:05,160 --> 00:17:08,240
Speaker 2: lay minus one sixty one seventy one seventy five somewhere

342
00:17:08,280 --> 00:17:08,720
Speaker 2: on there.

343
00:17:09,880 --> 00:17:13,280
Speaker 1: If we see in the first round, if.

344
00:17:13,160 --> 00:17:16,960
Speaker 2: We see T City just standing there and trading with Volganovsky,

345
00:17:16,960 --> 00:17:20,800
Speaker 2: I'm gonna be really concerned because, again, Volganovsky is a

346
00:17:20,840 --> 00:17:23,240
Speaker 2: hard headed guy. He's tough to knock out. He's tough

347
00:17:23,280 --> 00:17:25,480
Speaker 2: to get, you know, to get out of there or tag.

348
00:17:25,560 --> 00:17:28,639
Speaker 2: It takes too many hits. He's way too hittable. So

349
00:17:29,119 --> 00:17:32,600
Speaker 2: to me, that's my number one concern is that you

350
00:17:32,640 --> 00:17:35,120
Speaker 2: don't want to see him absorbing a bunch of punches

351
00:17:35,320 --> 00:17:39,640
Speaker 2: early in this fight against Volganovsky. I would be very

352
00:17:39,640 --> 00:17:42,680
Speaker 2: curious to see what Volganovsky does if a takedown happens.

353
00:17:42,720 --> 00:17:45,240
Speaker 2: But I think that's or Tega's key to victory here.

354
00:17:46,119 --> 00:17:48,280
Speaker 2: But I also think that there's a chance the fight

355
00:17:48,359 --> 00:17:50,560
Speaker 2: could go to the distance and maybe we see the

356
00:17:50,600 --> 00:17:51,720
Speaker 2: best of T City.

357
00:17:51,840 --> 00:17:55,040
Speaker 1: It's his time, all right, it's his time to win this.

358
00:17:55,440 --> 00:17:58,920
Speaker 2: Volganovsky had two big fights against Max Holloway. This dude

359
00:17:58,960 --> 00:18:01,320
Speaker 2: has been on what a twent fight win streak. It's

360
00:18:01,359 --> 00:18:04,000
Speaker 2: insane what this dude has done. He's twenty two to one.

361
00:18:04,840 --> 00:18:07,400
Speaker 2: Average fight time is fifteen oh nine because of how

362
00:18:07,400 --> 00:18:10,600
Speaker 2: many championship fights this guy has had now with Jose

363
00:18:10,640 --> 00:18:14,760
Speaker 2: Aldo and Max Holloway. But the company has been waiting

364
00:18:14,960 --> 00:18:17,800
Speaker 2: for Brian or Tega and has been waiting this dude.

365
00:18:17,880 --> 00:18:20,840
Speaker 2: T City has been a fan favorite for a long time.

366
00:18:21,040 --> 00:18:24,920
Speaker 2: Tiamobile Arena is going to be absolutely behind Brian Ortega to.

367
00:18:24,920 --> 00:18:25,480
Speaker 1: Win this thing.

368
00:18:25,720 --> 00:18:27,639
Speaker 2: That's not to say that Volganovki can't win, all right,

369
00:18:27,720 --> 00:18:29,240
Speaker 2: I'm not trying to disrespect the guy at all.

370
00:18:29,280 --> 00:18:30,240
Speaker 1: He's been tremendous.

371
00:18:30,920 --> 00:18:32,960
Speaker 2: But I'm gonna take the plus money here at plus

372
00:18:33,040 --> 00:18:37,080
Speaker 2: one fifty five Brian Ortega to win the featherweight title,

373
00:18:37,840 --> 00:18:41,320
Speaker 2: rocking atmosphere. These guys, you know, fights have been happening

374
00:18:41,359 --> 00:18:44,560
Speaker 2: without any crowds or any emotion. I think it just

375
00:18:44,640 --> 00:18:47,960
Speaker 2: bleeds in here. He's such a fan favorite. I think

376
00:18:48,000 --> 00:18:51,399
Speaker 2: Brian T City or Tega gets his hand raised and

377
00:18:51,440 --> 00:18:53,199
Speaker 2: I'm going to take the plus one fifty five on

378
00:18:53,240 --> 00:18:57,320
Speaker 2: the money line here for a changing and new featherweight

379
00:18:57,440 --> 00:19:01,119
Speaker 2: champion and Brian T City Ortega at plus one fifty

380
00:19:01,119 --> 00:19:03,560
Speaker 2: five at Circa you can get that shop around, find

381
00:19:03,600 --> 00:19:05,520
Speaker 2: some value there. But I just think there's value on

382
00:19:05,760 --> 00:19:08,719
Speaker 2: Ortega at plus one fifty five. Again, I may have

383
00:19:08,760 --> 00:19:10,439
Speaker 2: more on this fight a little bit later on, but

384
00:19:11,000 --> 00:19:13,240
Speaker 2: I'm going to this fight. I can't wait to watch it.

385
00:19:13,280 --> 00:19:15,880
Speaker 2: I can't wait to be there at Temobile Lorena and

386
00:19:16,280 --> 00:19:19,000
Speaker 2: man like, this is going to be a ton of fun. Now,

387
00:19:19,000 --> 00:19:22,040
Speaker 2: there are other title fights here. In Chef Tenko's fight,

388
00:19:22,320 --> 00:19:24,240
Speaker 2: we'll get in that a little bit later on. I

389
00:19:24,320 --> 00:19:27,679
Speaker 2: may have something on Valentina, but Lauren Murphy is just

390
00:19:27,720 --> 00:19:31,200
Speaker 2: in trouble, like anybody against Valentina is in trouble. I mean,

391
00:19:31,200 --> 00:19:33,159
Speaker 2: she is just so good at this division that the

392
00:19:33,200 --> 00:19:36,120
Speaker 2: flyweight division. It's like good luck trying to beat her.

393
00:19:36,200 --> 00:19:38,960
Speaker 2: So we'll probably figure something out, but there's no real

394
00:19:39,160 --> 00:19:41,159
Speaker 2: I mean, at the moment, the value just is kind

395
00:19:41,160 --> 00:19:43,400
Speaker 2: of sucked out of this fight. But I probably will

396
00:19:43,400 --> 00:19:46,560
Speaker 2: have something else on this fight, and then I also

397
00:19:46,840 --> 00:19:50,240
Speaker 2: may have something here for some of the undercard fights.

398
00:19:50,280 --> 00:19:53,160
Speaker 2: There are some decent fights on this card overall. It's

399
00:19:53,200 --> 00:19:57,000
Speaker 2: a good pay per view card overall. Some decent women's

400
00:19:57,000 --> 00:19:58,960
Speaker 2: fights that are on this Two title fights, like I

401
00:19:59,000 --> 00:20:02,159
Speaker 2: mentioned with Cheff Tenko and Volganovsky defending their belts. So

402
00:20:02,560 --> 00:20:05,920
Speaker 2: for the first two bets here, we're taking Ortega at

403
00:20:05,920 --> 00:20:09,520
Speaker 2: plus one fifty five money line and Robbie Lawler money

404
00:20:09,520 --> 00:20:13,160
Speaker 2: line minus one ten half a unit on both those wagers,

405
00:20:13,480 --> 00:20:16,960
Speaker 2: and we're taking plus seventeen for West Virginia on the

406
00:20:17,040 --> 00:20:20,760
Speaker 2: road at Oklahoma to keep this game within three scores.

407
00:20:21,119 --> 00:20:23,919
Speaker 2: Maybe we get a back door cover. I mean, as

408
00:20:23,960 --> 00:20:26,000
Speaker 2: I said, we could see this game coming down to

409
00:20:26,040 --> 00:20:27,919
Speaker 2: the wire, or maybe it's like a forty five to

410
00:20:27,920 --> 00:20:31,120
Speaker 2: ten blowout in Oklahoma just kills West Virginia. I'm going

411
00:20:31,160 --> 00:20:34,600
Speaker 2: with the prior, with a hard fought game that West

412
00:20:34,680 --> 00:20:37,640
Speaker 2: Virginia is in and maybe putting a scare into Oklahoma.

413
00:20:38,040 --> 00:20:40,080
Speaker 2: I'm taking the seventeen points and maybe we get a

414
00:20:40,080 --> 00:20:42,199
Speaker 2: backdoor cover if I'm dead wrong about that, and maybe

415
00:20:42,320 --> 00:20:45,000
Speaker 2: West Virginia comes in and gets us a plus seventeen.

416
00:20:45,040 --> 00:20:47,000
Speaker 2: It's a lot of points in a Big twelve football game.

417
00:20:47,040 --> 00:20:49,640
Speaker 2: Given the Oklahoma has not looked great in West Virginia

418
00:20:49,640 --> 00:20:51,920
Speaker 2: can score, they can't stop anybody. You want to bet

419
00:20:51,960 --> 00:20:54,119
Speaker 2: the over, don't hate to play on the over either. Here,

420
00:20:54,160 --> 00:20:57,680
Speaker 2: by the way, on this game, I'm just you guys,

421
00:20:57,680 --> 00:20:59,359
Speaker 2: how I feel about totals Right now, I'm trying to

422
00:20:59,400 --> 00:21:02,000
Speaker 2: stay away from wedding totals and just talking about the

423
00:21:02,080 --> 00:21:06,600
Speaker 2: sides in Oklahoma plus sorry, West Virginia plus seventeen at Oklahoma.

424
00:21:06,680 --> 00:21:09,440
Speaker 2: Mine's Matt Parolt's follow me on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt.

425
00:21:09,480 --> 00:21:11,800
Speaker 2: Each and every morning, it's the Daily Juice podcast right

426
00:21:11,800 --> 00:21:13,840
Speaker 2: here on Bettingpros dot com. I always being brought to

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00:21:13,880 --> 00:21:15,120
Speaker 2: you by bet MGM