WEBVTT - Rerun: TechStuff Looks Inside the Black Box

0:00:04.440 --> 0:00:12.400
<v Speaker 1>Welcome to Tech Stuff, a production from iHeartRadio. Hey there,

0:00:12.440 --> 0:00:16.840
<v Speaker 1>and welcome to tech Stuff. I'm your host, Jonathan Strickland.

0:00:16.880 --> 0:00:20.439
<v Speaker 1>I'm an executive producer with iHeartRadio and how the tech

0:00:20.480 --> 0:00:24.479
<v Speaker 1>are you? So? Originally I had a different plan for today.

0:00:24.840 --> 0:00:28.840
<v Speaker 1>I was getting work done on an episode that I

0:00:28.880 --> 0:00:31.480
<v Speaker 1>will still bring to you. It'll just probably be a

0:00:31.520 --> 0:00:35.000
<v Speaker 1>little while longer before I do it because as I

0:00:35.080 --> 0:00:40.920
<v Speaker 1>was working early on this episode, I developed an ocular migraine,

0:00:41.400 --> 0:00:44.080
<v Speaker 1>which has still affected me right now. For those who

0:00:44.120 --> 0:00:47.840
<v Speaker 1>are not familiar ocular migraines, you end up getting these

0:00:48.280 --> 0:00:50.520
<v Speaker 1>weird effects on your vision. I don't have any pain,

0:00:50.680 --> 0:00:55.040
<v Speaker 1>at least not yet, but I can't see very well.

0:00:55.120 --> 0:00:57.240
<v Speaker 1>So it took me a while to even open up

0:00:57.240 --> 0:01:00.480
<v Speaker 1>the recording software for me to be able to do

0:01:00.600 --> 0:01:04.320
<v Speaker 1>this bit. But yeah, I am not able to do

0:01:04.400 --> 0:01:07.000
<v Speaker 1>my work right now because I can't really see. But

0:01:07.120 --> 0:01:09.840
<v Speaker 1>these have happened before. They don't last that long. Usually

0:01:09.840 --> 0:01:13.199
<v Speaker 1>this one's a longer one, but they clear up pretty

0:01:13.680 --> 0:01:16.320
<v Speaker 1>much on their own, and most of the time I

0:01:16.360 --> 0:01:19.080
<v Speaker 1>don't get on migraine migraine with them, So here's hoping

0:01:19.120 --> 0:01:21.360
<v Speaker 1>that's the case today. But I didn't want to leave

0:01:21.400 --> 0:01:23.840
<v Speaker 1>you without an episode, so I thought it would bring

0:01:23.880 --> 0:01:26.559
<v Speaker 1>you this one that we published a few years back

0:01:26.959 --> 0:01:30.520
<v Speaker 1>in September of twenty twenty. It is called tech Stuff

0:01:30.600 --> 0:01:35.720
<v Speaker 1>Looks Inside the Black Box because I think this topic

0:01:35.760 --> 0:01:40.120
<v Speaker 1>in particular is incredibly relevant today, particularly when we are

0:01:40.240 --> 0:01:44.399
<v Speaker 1>talking about artificial intelligence. A lot of AI systems work

0:01:44.560 --> 0:01:47.720
<v Speaker 1>inside what we would call a black box, and so

0:01:48.400 --> 0:01:51.200
<v Speaker 1>I thought, why not bring that one back and have

0:01:51.240 --> 0:01:56.040
<v Speaker 1>that one rerun today while I get my vision under control.

0:01:56.360 --> 0:01:58.400
<v Speaker 1>I hope you're all well, and I'll chat with you

0:01:58.440 --> 0:02:02.440
<v Speaker 1>again at the of the episode. So this is tech

0:02:02.440 --> 0:02:09.280
<v Speaker 1>Stuff Looks Inside the Black Box from September second, twenty twenty. Today,

0:02:09.600 --> 0:02:11.760
<v Speaker 1>I thought it was a good time to take another

0:02:11.840 --> 0:02:15.919
<v Speaker 1>opportunity to chat about one of the subjects I really

0:02:16.280 --> 0:02:19.760
<v Speaker 1>hammer home in this series. And I don't make any

0:02:19.800 --> 0:02:24.400
<v Speaker 1>apologies for this. It's about critical thinking. So yeah, this

0:02:24.440 --> 0:02:29.120
<v Speaker 1>is another critical Thinking in Technology episode. Now, in these episodes,

0:02:29.360 --> 0:02:33.200
<v Speaker 1>I explain how taking time and really thinking through things

0:02:33.520 --> 0:02:36.880
<v Speaker 1>is important so that we make the most informed decisions

0:02:36.880 --> 0:02:40.800
<v Speaker 1>we can and so that we aren't either fooling ourselves

0:02:41.040 --> 0:02:44.400
<v Speaker 1>or you know, allowing someone else to fool us when

0:02:44.440 --> 0:02:47.600
<v Speaker 1>it comes to technology. Though, I'll tell you a secret.

0:02:47.880 --> 0:02:50.520
<v Speaker 1>Using these skills in all parts of your life is

0:02:50.520 --> 0:02:53.240
<v Speaker 1>a great idea because it can be really easy for

0:02:53.320 --> 0:02:56.160
<v Speaker 1>us to fall into patterns where we let ourselves believe

0:02:56.240 --> 0:03:00.839
<v Speaker 1>things just because it's convenient, or you know, it reaffirms

0:03:00.840 --> 0:03:04.280
<v Speaker 1>our biases, our prejudices, that kind of thing. So if

0:03:04.320 --> 0:03:09.040
<v Speaker 1>you use critical thinking beyond the realm of technology, I

0:03:09.080 --> 0:03:13.360
<v Speaker 1>ain't gonna be mad. Specifically, I wanted to talk about

0:03:13.400 --> 0:03:18.240
<v Speaker 1>a general category of issues in tech that some refer

0:03:18.320 --> 0:03:21.960
<v Speaker 1>to as the black box problem. Now, this is not

0:03:22.520 --> 0:03:27.160
<v Speaker 1>the same thing as the black box that's onboard your

0:03:27.200 --> 0:03:31.320
<v Speaker 1>typical airplane. In fact, i'll explain what that is first

0:03:31.360 --> 0:03:35.000
<v Speaker 1>because it's pretty simple, and then we can move on. First,

0:03:35.160 --> 0:03:39.880
<v Speaker 1>the black box inside airplanes is typically orange. So right

0:03:39.920 --> 0:03:42.440
<v Speaker 1>off the bat, we have a problem with nomenclature, right,

0:03:42.480 --> 0:03:47.160
<v Speaker 1>I mean, you had one job black box. Actually that's

0:03:47.600 --> 0:03:50.120
<v Speaker 1>not true. The black box has a very important job

0:03:50.160 --> 0:03:52.880
<v Speaker 1>and it requires a couple of things to work. But

0:03:53.080 --> 0:03:57.400
<v Speaker 1>the black box, which is orange, is all about maintaining

0:03:57.440 --> 0:04:01.080
<v Speaker 1>a record of an aircraft's activities in a housing capable

0:04:01.280 --> 0:04:06.720
<v Speaker 1>of withstanding tremendous punishment. Another name, or a more appropriate name,

0:04:06.760 --> 0:04:09.680
<v Speaker 1>really for this device for the black box is the

0:04:09.720 --> 0:04:14.120
<v Speaker 1>flight data recorder. Sensors in various parts of the plane

0:04:14.360 --> 0:04:18.360
<v Speaker 1>detect changes and then send data to the flight data recorder,

0:04:18.400 --> 0:04:23.800
<v Speaker 1>which you know, records them. If a pilot makes any

0:04:23.800 --> 0:04:27.520
<v Speaker 1>adjustments to any controls, whether it's the flight stick or

0:04:27.560 --> 0:04:30.240
<v Speaker 1>a knob, or a button or a switch or whatever,

0:04:30.600 --> 0:04:33.960
<v Speaker 1>the control not only does whatever it was intended to do,

0:04:34.240 --> 0:04:37.680
<v Speaker 1>assuming everything's in working order, but it also sends a

0:04:37.720 --> 0:04:41.279
<v Speaker 1>signal that is recorded on the flight recorder. So the

0:04:41.360 --> 0:04:43.920
<v Speaker 1>job of the flight recorder is to create as accurate

0:04:44.040 --> 0:04:48.120
<v Speaker 1>a representation of what went on with that aircraft as

0:04:48.320 --> 0:04:52.640
<v Speaker 1>is possible. The Federal Aviation Administration or FAA in the

0:04:52.720 --> 0:04:55.719
<v Speaker 1>United States, has a long list of parameters that the

0:04:55.760 --> 0:04:58.720
<v Speaker 1>flight recorder is supposed to keep track of, more than

0:04:58.839 --> 0:05:02.839
<v Speaker 1>eighty in fact, and these include not just the aircraft's systems,

0:05:02.880 --> 0:05:05.640
<v Speaker 1>but what was going on in the environment. So if

0:05:05.640 --> 0:05:08.680
<v Speaker 1>a pilot encounters a problem on a flight, or in

0:05:08.720 --> 0:05:12.120
<v Speaker 1>a worst case scenario, in the event of a crash,

0:05:12.360 --> 0:05:15.640
<v Speaker 1>the flight recorder represents an opportunity to find out what

0:05:16.240 --> 0:05:19.880
<v Speaker 1>actually went wrong. You know, was it a malfunction, was

0:05:19.920 --> 0:05:24.880
<v Speaker 1>it pilot error, was it weather? The crash survivable memory

0:05:24.960 --> 0:05:29.000
<v Speaker 1>units inside the heavy duty casing of the black box

0:05:29.040 --> 0:05:32.080
<v Speaker 1>are really meant to act as a lasting record, So

0:05:32.279 --> 0:05:36.080
<v Speaker 1>if the recorder is recoverable, it gives investigators a chance

0:05:36.120 --> 0:05:39.920
<v Speaker 1>to find out what happened. But, as I said, that's

0:05:40.080 --> 0:05:42.599
<v Speaker 1>not the black box I really wanted to talk about

0:05:42.640 --> 0:05:44.839
<v Speaker 1>for today's episode, so I'm not going to go into

0:05:44.839 --> 0:05:48.600
<v Speaker 1>any more detail about that. Now, you could argue that

0:05:48.800 --> 0:05:51.240
<v Speaker 1>the black box I want to talk about is sort

0:05:51.279 --> 0:05:55.240
<v Speaker 1>of the opposite of what we find in airplanes, because

0:05:55.320 --> 0:05:58.400
<v Speaker 1>in an airplane, the black box contains a record of

0:05:58.440 --> 0:06:01.640
<v Speaker 1>everything that has gone on, and it can help explain

0:06:01.760 --> 0:06:06.320
<v Speaker 1>why a certain outcome has happened. In technology in general,

0:06:06.640 --> 0:06:09.240
<v Speaker 1>we use the term black box to refer to a

0:06:09.440 --> 0:06:12.360
<v Speaker 1>system or technology where we know what goes into it

0:06:12.880 --> 0:06:15.840
<v Speaker 1>and we can see what comes out of it, but

0:06:15.880 --> 0:06:18.160
<v Speaker 1>we have no idea of what went on in the

0:06:18.200 --> 0:06:21.039
<v Speaker 1>middle of that process. We don't have a way to

0:06:21.160 --> 0:06:25.080
<v Speaker 1>understand the process by which the device takes input and

0:06:25.200 --> 0:06:29.800
<v Speaker 1>produces output. Now, in most cases, we're not talking about

0:06:29.839 --> 0:06:34.919
<v Speaker 1>an instance where literally nobody understands what's going on with

0:06:35.160 --> 0:06:38.960
<v Speaker 1>a device or a system. It's more like the creators

0:06:39.040 --> 0:06:43.120
<v Speaker 1>of whatever system we're talking about have purposefully made it

0:06:43.320 --> 0:06:47.640
<v Speaker 1>difficult or impossible for the average person to understand or

0:06:47.720 --> 0:06:51.200
<v Speaker 1>in some cases even see, what a technology is doing.

0:06:51.960 --> 0:06:55.719
<v Speaker 1>Sometimes it's intentional, sometimes it's not. So Maybe purposefully is

0:06:55.720 --> 0:07:00.000
<v Speaker 1>being a little strong there, but that's often how it unfolds.

0:07:00.040 --> 0:07:03.279
<v Speaker 1>Let's take a general example that has created issues with

0:07:03.360 --> 0:07:06.880
<v Speaker 1>a particular subsection of tech heads, and those would be

0:07:07.279 --> 0:07:09.800
<v Speaker 1>the gear heads, you know, the people who love to

0:07:09.840 --> 0:07:13.120
<v Speaker 1>work on vehicles like motorcycles and cars and trucks and

0:07:13.120 --> 0:07:16.880
<v Speaker 1>stuff in what you might think of as the good

0:07:16.960 --> 0:07:21.040
<v Speaker 1>old days, at least from the perspective of DIY technology.

0:07:21.240 --> 0:07:23.680
<v Speaker 1>There's plenty of other things that were wrong back then,

0:07:23.760 --> 0:07:28.440
<v Speaker 1>but in those terms, a car's systems were pretty darn accessible.

0:07:28.720 --> 0:07:31.760
<v Speaker 1>A motorist would need to spend time and effort to

0:07:31.880 --> 0:07:35.000
<v Speaker 1>learn how the car worked and what each component was

0:07:35.040 --> 0:07:38.559
<v Speaker 1>meant to do. But that was actually an achievable goal.

0:07:38.960 --> 0:07:41.800
<v Speaker 1>So with a bit of study and some hands on work,

0:07:41.840 --> 0:07:44.800
<v Speaker 1>you could suss out how an engine works. You know,

0:07:44.880 --> 0:07:48.360
<v Speaker 1>how spark plugs cause a little explosion by igniting a

0:07:48.400 --> 0:07:52.680
<v Speaker 1>mixture of fuel and air inside an engine's cylinders. How

0:07:52.720 --> 0:07:55.960
<v Speaker 1>that explosion would force out a piston which connects to

0:07:56.000 --> 0:07:59.040
<v Speaker 1>a crank shaft, and how that reciprocating motion of the

0:07:59.040 --> 0:08:02.320
<v Speaker 1>piston would translate into rotational motion of the crank shaft

0:08:02.600 --> 0:08:06.320
<v Speaker 1>that could then be transmitted ultimately to wheels through a transmission.

0:08:06.680 --> 0:08:10.320
<v Speaker 1>You could learn what the carburetor does, how the various

0:08:10.480 --> 0:08:13.080
<v Speaker 1>fans and belts work and what they do. You know

0:08:13.120 --> 0:08:15.400
<v Speaker 1>where the oil pan is and how to change out

0:08:15.400 --> 0:08:18.280
<v Speaker 1>oil and all that kind of stuff. What's more, you

0:08:18.280 --> 0:08:21.760
<v Speaker 1>can make repairs yourself. If you had the tools, the

0:08:21.840 --> 0:08:25.760
<v Speaker 1>replacement parts, and the knowledge and the time you could

0:08:25.800 --> 0:08:29.440
<v Speaker 1>swap out parts. You could customize your vehicle. You know,

0:08:29.480 --> 0:08:31.720
<v Speaker 1>I've known a lot of people who have taken on

0:08:31.920 --> 0:08:35.640
<v Speaker 1>cars as projects. They'll purchase an old junker and then

0:08:35.679 --> 0:08:39.080
<v Speaker 1>they will lovingly restore it to its former glory or

0:08:39.120 --> 0:08:42.640
<v Speaker 1>turn it into something truly transformational. And all of that

0:08:42.800 --> 0:08:47.760
<v Speaker 1>is possible because those old cars had really accessible systems.

0:08:48.120 --> 0:08:53.600
<v Speaker 1>They were relatively simple electro mechanical systems. Once you understood

0:08:53.600 --> 0:08:56.520
<v Speaker 1>how they worked, you could see how they worked or

0:08:56.559 --> 0:08:59.400
<v Speaker 1>how they were supposed to work, and you could understand

0:08:59.440 --> 0:09:03.439
<v Speaker 1>what was going on. Through that understanding, you could address

0:09:03.480 --> 0:09:07.120
<v Speaker 1>stuff when things weren't going well. And that's how cars

0:09:07.160 --> 0:09:10.680
<v Speaker 1>were for decades but that began to change in the

0:09:10.800 --> 0:09:16.640
<v Speaker 1>late nineteen sixties, but it really accelerated no pun intended

0:09:16.960 --> 0:09:22.119
<v Speaker 1>in the nineteen seventies. So what happened well in nineteen

0:09:22.320 --> 0:09:26.320
<v Speaker 1>sixty eight leading into nineteen sixty nine, Volkswagen introduced a

0:09:26.480 --> 0:09:30.320
<v Speaker 1>new standard feature for their Type three vehicle, which was

0:09:30.360 --> 0:09:34.000
<v Speaker 1>sometimes called the Volkswagen fifteen hundred or sixteen hundred, there

0:09:34.000 --> 0:09:36.960
<v Speaker 1>were a couple of names for it. These were family cars,

0:09:37.040 --> 0:09:40.679
<v Speaker 1>and Volkswagen's intent was to create a vehicle with a

0:09:40.679 --> 0:09:44.240
<v Speaker 1>bit more luggage and passenger space than their Type one,

0:09:44.640 --> 0:09:49.240
<v Speaker 1>which was also known as the Volkswagen Beetle. The feature

0:09:49.600 --> 0:09:51.520
<v Speaker 1>for these cars that I wanted to talk about was

0:09:51.559 --> 0:09:55.360
<v Speaker 1>an electronic fuel injection system that was controlled by a

0:09:55.400 --> 0:09:59.800
<v Speaker 1>computer chip, and the marketing for this particular feature said

0:09:59.800 --> 0:10:05.240
<v Speaker 1>that this quote electronic brain end quote was quote smarter

0:10:05.600 --> 0:10:08.800
<v Speaker 1>than a carburetor end quote. Now, the purpose of a

0:10:08.840 --> 0:10:12.680
<v Speaker 1>carburetor is to mix fuel with air at a ratio

0:10:12.800 --> 0:10:17.000
<v Speaker 1>that is suitable for combustion inside the engine cylinders. But

0:10:17.120 --> 0:10:20.680
<v Speaker 1>an engine doesn't need exactly the same ratio of fuel

0:10:20.679 --> 0:10:23.920
<v Speaker 1>to air from moment to moment. It actually varies as

0:10:23.960 --> 0:10:27.760
<v Speaker 1>a vehicle runs longer or it travels faster, or it

0:10:27.760 --> 0:10:30.959
<v Speaker 1>starts climbing a steep hill, or you know, lots of stuff.

0:10:31.080 --> 0:10:35.120
<v Speaker 1>The ratio changes somewhat, and the carburetor manages this with

0:10:35.679 --> 0:10:38.080
<v Speaker 1>a couple of valves, one called the choke and another

0:10:38.120 --> 0:10:41.599
<v Speaker 1>called the throttle, among other elements. But it's all mechanical,

0:10:41.880 --> 0:10:44.720
<v Speaker 1>and while it works, it's not as precise as an

0:10:44.760 --> 0:10:48.440
<v Speaker 1>electronic system could be. And that's where the Volkswagen system

0:10:48.520 --> 0:10:52.480
<v Speaker 1>came in. Volkswagen was pushing this as a more efficient

0:10:52.600 --> 0:10:56.280
<v Speaker 1>and useful component than a carburetor. It would prevent the

0:10:56.320 --> 0:10:59.640
<v Speaker 1>engine from being flooded with fuel and not enough air

0:10:59.760 --> 0:11:03.360
<v Speaker 1>for combustion. It would handle the transitions of fuel and

0:11:03.400 --> 0:11:07.680
<v Speaker 1>air mix ratios more quickly and precisely. It was the

0:11:07.720 --> 0:11:11.120
<v Speaker 1>start of something big, but were it not for some

0:11:11.320 --> 0:11:15.160
<v Speaker 1>other external factors, it might not have taken off the

0:11:15.160 --> 0:11:17.520
<v Speaker 1>way it did, or at least not as quickly as

0:11:17.559 --> 0:11:21.079
<v Speaker 1>it did. Those other factors, as I said, were external,

0:11:21.440 --> 0:11:25.280
<v Speaker 1>and there were a pair of doozies. One was a

0:11:25.360 --> 0:11:28.800
<v Speaker 1>growing concern that burning fossil fuels was having a negative

0:11:28.840 --> 0:11:32.280
<v Speaker 1>impact on the environment, which turned out to be absolutely

0:11:32.320 --> 0:11:36.840
<v Speaker 1>the case. Cities like Los Angeles, California, where getting around

0:11:36.880 --> 0:11:40.720
<v Speaker 1>pretty much requires having a car. We're dealing with some

0:11:41.040 --> 0:11:46.160
<v Speaker 1>really serious smog problems, and so organizations like the Environmental

0:11:46.200 --> 0:11:50.080
<v Speaker 1>Protection Agency in the United States began to draft requirements

0:11:50.120 --> 0:11:54.840
<v Speaker 1>to reduce car emissions that would mean that automotive companies

0:11:54.880 --> 0:11:58.520
<v Speaker 1>would have to create more efficient engine systems. The other

0:11:58.640 --> 0:12:02.000
<v Speaker 1>major factor that can atributed to this was the oil

0:12:02.080 --> 0:12:05.240
<v Speaker 1>crisis of the nineteen seventies, which I talked about not

0:12:05.360 --> 0:12:08.840
<v Speaker 1>long ago in a different Tech Stuff podcast. This was

0:12:08.920 --> 0:12:12.440
<v Speaker 1>a geopolitical problem that threw much of the world into

0:12:12.520 --> 0:12:16.559
<v Speaker 1>a scramble to curb fossil fuel consumption because the supply

0:12:17.120 --> 0:12:21.679
<v Speaker 1>was limited. The double whammy of environmental concerns and the

0:12:22.200 --> 0:12:25.640
<v Speaker 1>oil crisis forced a lot of car companies to rethink

0:12:26.120 --> 0:12:31.680
<v Speaker 1>their previous strategy, which was pretty much more power, make bigger,

0:12:31.760 --> 0:12:35.720
<v Speaker 1>much fast, go go go, go guzzle. That kind of

0:12:35.840 --> 0:12:38.319
<v Speaker 1>is how they were thinking back in the day. Turns

0:12:38.320 --> 0:12:41.319
<v Speaker 1>out that was an unsustainable option. And if you look back,

0:12:41.840 --> 0:12:45.880
<v Speaker 1>especially at American cars during the fifties and sixties, you

0:12:45.920 --> 0:12:49.920
<v Speaker 1>see that trend of the engines getting bigger and more powerful,

0:12:50.559 --> 0:12:54.559
<v Speaker 1>and that was just the way things were going until

0:12:54.640 --> 0:12:58.040
<v Speaker 1>we started to see these external changes come in and

0:12:58.200 --> 0:13:02.720
<v Speaker 1>so more car companies began to incorporate computer controlled fuel

0:13:02.760 --> 0:13:07.199
<v Speaker 1>injection systems. But this move also marked a move away

0:13:07.640 --> 0:13:10.840
<v Speaker 1>from the design that made it harder for the DIY

0:13:10.880 --> 0:13:14.840
<v Speaker 1>crowd to work on cars. Working on a damaged carburetor

0:13:15.120 --> 0:13:19.600
<v Speaker 1>was one thing, Dealing with a malfunctioning computer chip was another.

0:13:20.120 --> 0:13:22.960
<v Speaker 1>It didn't fall into the typical skill set of your

0:13:23.040 --> 0:13:27.200
<v Speaker 1>amateur mechanic, and of course we didn't stop computer controlled

0:13:27.240 --> 0:13:30.600
<v Speaker 1>fuel injection systems. Over time, we saw a lot more

0:13:30.600 --> 0:13:34.880
<v Speaker 1>automotive systems make the transition to computer control. Today, your

0:13:34.920 --> 0:13:39.120
<v Speaker 1>average car has computer systems that control the engine, the transmission,

0:13:39.240 --> 0:13:43.880
<v Speaker 1>the doors, entertainment system, the windows. And these systems are

0:13:44.200 --> 0:13:48.920
<v Speaker 1>all individual and they have a name. They're called electronic

0:13:49.080 --> 0:13:55.600
<v Speaker 1>control units or ECUs. Collectively, they form the controller area

0:13:55.720 --> 0:14:01.199
<v Speaker 1>network or can CAN. The connections themselves, the physical connections

0:14:01.280 --> 0:14:05.360
<v Speaker 1>are called the can bus bus, and that's really just

0:14:05.400 --> 0:14:07.440
<v Speaker 1>a way of saying these are the physical connectors that

0:14:07.520 --> 0:14:11.880
<v Speaker 1>allow data to pass from one ECU to another. And

0:14:12.320 --> 0:14:15.680
<v Speaker 1>there wasn't really like a central processing unit or anything.

0:14:15.679 --> 0:14:18.480
<v Speaker 1>There was no like central brain. It was more like

0:14:19.120 --> 0:14:24.400
<v Speaker 1>ECUs that depend upon one another would send relevant information

0:14:24.560 --> 0:14:29.080
<v Speaker 1>to each other and not to anything else, so you know,

0:14:29.160 --> 0:14:32.440
<v Speaker 1>if the door sensor is showing a door as open,

0:14:32.880 --> 0:14:36.400
<v Speaker 1>it can send an alert to other systems so that

0:14:36.400 --> 0:14:40.920
<v Speaker 1>that information is appropriately dealt with. Now, at the same

0:14:41.040 --> 0:14:45.680
<v Speaker 1>time that these individual systems were evolving, so too we

0:14:45.760 --> 0:14:49.240
<v Speaker 1>saw the rise of what would become the onboard diagnostic

0:14:49.360 --> 0:14:53.680
<v Speaker 1>system or OBD. And the OBD keeps an eye on

0:14:53.760 --> 0:14:57.040
<v Speaker 1>what's going on with the various systems in the car,

0:14:57.120 --> 0:15:01.200
<v Speaker 1>and it sends notifications to the driver via dashboard indicators

0:15:01.240 --> 0:15:05.640
<v Speaker 1>when something is outside normal operating parameters. So let's say

0:15:06.040 --> 0:15:10.200
<v Speaker 1>that this diagnosis computer picks up that there's something hinky

0:15:10.360 --> 0:15:13.400
<v Speaker 1>happening with the fuel air mixture and it activates that

0:15:13.480 --> 0:15:16.600
<v Speaker 1>pesky check engine light on the dashboard that gives you

0:15:16.720 --> 0:15:20.960
<v Speaker 1>next to no useful information. The problem is that these

0:15:21.080 --> 0:15:25.200
<v Speaker 1>days it can be challenging or sometimes impossible to figure

0:15:25.200 --> 0:15:28.400
<v Speaker 1>out exactly what caused that check engine light to come

0:15:28.440 --> 0:15:32.680
<v Speaker 1>on without the access to some special equipment and expertise.

0:15:33.160 --> 0:15:36.480
<v Speaker 1>The car systems have become so sophisticated that it could

0:15:36.480 --> 0:15:39.320
<v Speaker 1>be a challenge to figure out what exactly has gone awry.

0:15:40.080 --> 0:15:44.800
<v Speaker 1>Mechanics use devices called OBD scan tools, and these tools

0:15:44.840 --> 0:15:48.360
<v Speaker 1>connect to the computer on board a car, and then

0:15:48.400 --> 0:15:52.560
<v Speaker 1>the car provides an error code to the scanner. This,

0:15:52.600 --> 0:15:55.520
<v Speaker 1>by the way, took a long time to standardize because

0:15:55.520 --> 0:15:57.560
<v Speaker 1>you've got a lot of different car companies out there,

0:15:57.600 --> 0:16:01.320
<v Speaker 1>and obviously there was a need to move towards standardization

0:16:01.560 --> 0:16:04.800
<v Speaker 1>so that you didn't have to have fifty different scan

0:16:05.000 --> 0:16:08.400
<v Speaker 1>tools and fifty different code charts to deal with all

0:16:08.440 --> 0:16:11.600
<v Speaker 1>the different car companies. But the code corresponds to the

0:16:11.600 --> 0:16:15.680
<v Speaker 1>specific issue the OBD has detected. So not only do

0:16:15.760 --> 0:16:19.360
<v Speaker 1>you need a special piece of equipment to diagnose what

0:16:19.480 --> 0:16:21.680
<v Speaker 1>has gone wrong with the car, you also need to

0:16:21.760 --> 0:16:25.200
<v Speaker 1>know the codes, or else you haven't really learned anything.

0:16:25.520 --> 0:16:30.200
<v Speaker 1>If I get a eight digit code and I don't

0:16:30.200 --> 0:16:32.440
<v Speaker 1>know what that code refers to, then I'm not really

0:16:32.440 --> 0:16:34.840
<v Speaker 1>any better off than just looking at a check engine light.

0:16:35.440 --> 0:16:37.640
<v Speaker 1>On top of all of that, even if you know

0:16:37.720 --> 0:16:40.840
<v Speaker 1>what is wrong, you might not be able to easily

0:16:40.920 --> 0:16:43.680
<v Speaker 1>access the problem or fix it due to the level

0:16:43.720 --> 0:16:49.320
<v Speaker 1>of complexity, sophistication and computerization of vehicles. Not all cars

0:16:49.520 --> 0:16:53.360
<v Speaker 1>or motorcycles or whatever are equal. Obviously, some are a

0:16:53.400 --> 0:16:57.160
<v Speaker 1>bit easier to work on than others. Some require a

0:16:57.280 --> 0:17:00.440
<v Speaker 1>lot of specific care. Though. For example, if you're driving

0:17:00.480 --> 0:17:03.840
<v Speaker 1>a Tesla, chances are the amount of personal tinkering you're

0:17:03.840 --> 0:17:06.119
<v Speaker 1>going to do on your car is going to be

0:17:06.200 --> 0:17:10.280
<v Speaker 1>fairly limited. Now, I'm not saying it's impossible, just that

0:17:10.680 --> 0:17:14.840
<v Speaker 1>it's really challenging. So, in general, we've seen cars go

0:17:15.000 --> 0:17:18.679
<v Speaker 1>from a mechanical system or electro mechanical system that the

0:17:18.880 --> 0:17:22.480
<v Speaker 1>average person can understand and work on, to a group

0:17:22.520 --> 0:17:28.320
<v Speaker 1>of interconnected specialized computer systems that are increasingly difficult to access.

0:17:28.720 --> 0:17:32.320
<v Speaker 1>The cars have become a type of black box. This

0:17:32.359 --> 0:17:36.440
<v Speaker 1>can be extra frustrating for gear heads who have actually

0:17:36.640 --> 0:17:41.040
<v Speaker 1>an understanding of underlying mechanical issues that could cause problems.

0:17:41.040 --> 0:17:43.280
<v Speaker 1>They might even know how to solve an issue if

0:17:43.320 --> 0:17:46.960
<v Speaker 1>they can just get to it, but they are finding

0:17:47.040 --> 0:17:52.440
<v Speaker 1>themselves with fewer options in order to address underlying issues. Now,

0:17:52.520 --> 0:17:56.119
<v Speaker 1>cars are just one example of technologies that have moved

0:17:56.240 --> 0:18:01.359
<v Speaker 1>toward a black box like system. Lots of others. But

0:18:01.640 --> 0:18:04.080
<v Speaker 1>apart from making it harder to tinker with your tech,

0:18:04.440 --> 0:18:07.200
<v Speaker 1>what's the problem. But when we come back, I'll talk

0:18:07.240 --> 0:18:10.520
<v Speaker 1>about some of the pitfalls of turning tech into a

0:18:10.600 --> 0:18:23.160
<v Speaker 1>black box. But first let's take a quick break. We're back.

0:18:23.400 --> 0:18:27.560
<v Speaker 1>So the card transformed from a purely electro mechanical technology

0:18:28.040 --> 0:18:31.720
<v Speaker 1>to one that increasingly relies on computer systems. But the

0:18:31.760 --> 0:18:35.840
<v Speaker 1>computer itself can also be something of a black box

0:18:35.880 --> 0:18:38.840
<v Speaker 1>for people now. In the very early days of the

0:18:38.960 --> 0:18:42.600
<v Speaker 1>personal computer, it was hobbyists who were ordering kits through

0:18:42.600 --> 0:18:46.600
<v Speaker 1>the mail and then building computers at home. Typically, these

0:18:46.640 --> 0:18:50.720
<v Speaker 1>hobbyists had a working understanding of how the computer systems operated,

0:18:50.920 --> 0:18:53.520
<v Speaker 1>you know, the actual way in which they would accept

0:18:53.600 --> 0:18:58.880
<v Speaker 1>inputs and process information and then produce outputs. Before high

0:18:58.960 --> 0:19:02.880
<v Speaker 1>level programming line languages, programmers also had to kind of

0:19:03.080 --> 0:19:05.879
<v Speaker 1>think like a computer in order to program them to

0:19:05.960 --> 0:19:10.560
<v Speaker 1>carry out functions. As computer languages became more high level,

0:19:11.000 --> 0:19:15.000
<v Speaker 1>meaning there was a layer of abstraction between the programmer

0:19:15.080 --> 0:19:17.520
<v Speaker 1>and the actual processes that were going on at the

0:19:17.560 --> 0:19:21.280
<v Speaker 1>hardware level of the computer, that connection began to get

0:19:21.320 --> 0:19:26.360
<v Speaker 1>more tenuous. Now, I'm not saying that programmers today don't

0:19:26.400 --> 0:19:29.760
<v Speaker 1>have a real understanding of how computers work, but rather

0:19:30.320 --> 0:19:36.120
<v Speaker 1>that this understanding is less critical because programming languages, computer engines,

0:19:36.160 --> 0:19:39.400
<v Speaker 1>app developer kits you know, software developer kits and so on,

0:19:39.760 --> 0:19:44.600
<v Speaker 1>provide a framework that reduces the amount of low level

0:19:44.640 --> 0:19:47.840
<v Speaker 1>work programmers need to do in order to build stuff

0:19:47.920 --> 0:19:51.280
<v Speaker 1>as software. For the average user, you know, someone who

0:19:51.400 --> 0:19:55.400
<v Speaker 1>isn't learned in the ways of computer science, computers are

0:19:55.720 --> 0:20:01.199
<v Speaker 1>pretty much black boxes. They work until they don't. You

0:20:01.200 --> 0:20:04.119
<v Speaker 1>push buttons on a keyboard, or you click on a mouse,

0:20:04.240 --> 0:20:06.560
<v Speaker 1>or you touch a screen, and you know, the computer

0:20:06.760 --> 0:20:10.679
<v Speaker 1>does the stuff how it does stuff like how it

0:20:10.760 --> 0:20:14.119
<v Speaker 1>detects a screen touch and then translates that into a

0:20:14.160 --> 0:20:17.919
<v Speaker 1>command that is then executed to produce a specific result.

0:20:18.480 --> 0:20:21.600
<v Speaker 1>You know, that's not important to us. We don't care

0:20:21.920 --> 0:20:24.520
<v Speaker 1>or need to know how that works in order to

0:20:24.680 --> 0:20:28.159
<v Speaker 1>enjoy the benefits of it. So for us, it's just

0:20:28.280 --> 0:20:31.440
<v Speaker 1>the way things are. You push that button and this

0:20:31.560 --> 0:20:34.919
<v Speaker 1>thing happens. It just does the black box of the

0:20:34.960 --> 0:20:39.440
<v Speaker 1>computer system, which can be a desktop, a laptop, tablet, smartphone,

0:20:39.520 --> 0:20:43.040
<v Speaker 1>video game console, you know whatever. It just takes care

0:20:43.400 --> 0:20:46.000
<v Speaker 1>of what we need it to do. That's not to

0:20:46.040 --> 0:20:50.200
<v Speaker 1>say a computer is impenetrably a black box. You can

0:20:50.440 --> 0:20:53.800
<v Speaker 1>learn how they work and how programming languages work and

0:20:53.840 --> 0:20:57.639
<v Speaker 1>so on. Computer science and programming classes are all built

0:20:57.680 --> 0:21:01.760
<v Speaker 1>around that. So while a computer system is effectively a

0:21:01.880 --> 0:21:05.719
<v Speaker 1>black box to the average user, it wasn't made that

0:21:05.800 --> 0:21:09.479
<v Speaker 1>way by design, and it can be addressed on a

0:21:09.520 --> 0:21:13.160
<v Speaker 1>case by case basis, depending on the time, the interest

0:21:13.400 --> 0:21:17.080
<v Speaker 1>of the individual computer user, and their dedication to learning.

0:21:17.240 --> 0:21:20.960
<v Speaker 1>But sometimes people will set out to make technologies with

0:21:21.040 --> 0:21:24.720
<v Speaker 1>the intent of them being black boxes from the get go.

0:21:25.240 --> 0:21:28.800
<v Speaker 1>These technologies are dependent in part or in whole on

0:21:29.040 --> 0:21:33.120
<v Speaker 1>obviuse skating how they work, in other words, by obscuring it.

0:21:33.560 --> 0:21:38.480
<v Speaker 1>Sometimes that's in an effort to protect an invention from copycats,

0:21:38.880 --> 0:21:40.919
<v Speaker 1>the whole idea being that if you come up with

0:21:41.000 --> 0:21:44.480
<v Speaker 1>something really clever, you don't want someone else to come

0:21:44.520 --> 0:21:47.760
<v Speaker 1>along lift that idea and do the same thing you

0:21:47.800 --> 0:21:50.720
<v Speaker 1>are doing, but selling it for less money or something.

0:21:51.240 --> 0:21:55.320
<v Speaker 1>But other times you might be hiding how something works

0:21:55.440 --> 0:21:59.480
<v Speaker 1>specifically with the intent to deceive. And now it's time

0:21:59.800 --> 0:22:04.000
<v Speaker 1>to look much further back than the nineteen sixties. It

0:22:04.080 --> 0:22:08.119
<v Speaker 1>was seventeen seventy in Europe. As the story goes, the

0:22:08.160 --> 0:22:11.480
<v Speaker 1>European world had seen a great deal of advancement in

0:22:11.560 --> 0:22:16.440
<v Speaker 1>mechanical clockwork devices. At that point. Clocks themselves, often powered

0:22:16.440 --> 0:22:20.600
<v Speaker 1>by winding a spring and keeping time using gears with

0:22:20.960 --> 0:22:24.239
<v Speaker 1>a reliable and consistent basis that was much better than

0:22:24.280 --> 0:22:28.800
<v Speaker 1>earlier methods, even allowed people the ability to carry a

0:22:28.960 --> 0:22:34.199
<v Speaker 1>time keeping device with them phenomenal. Based on similar principles,

0:22:34.480 --> 0:22:37.760
<v Speaker 1>various tinkerers had come up with toys and distractions that

0:22:37.920 --> 0:22:42.680
<v Speaker 1>also ran on clockwork, like gears and springs. Some of

0:22:42.720 --> 0:22:46.399
<v Speaker 1>these were quite elaborate, such as figures that appeared to

0:22:46.440 --> 0:22:52.040
<v Speaker 1>play musical instruments, and one of them was particularly impressive.

0:22:52.480 --> 0:22:56.040
<v Speaker 1>It appeared to be an automaton that could play expert

0:22:56.119 --> 0:23:00.840
<v Speaker 1>level chess. The figure, made out of wood, was dressed

0:23:00.920 --> 0:23:04.680
<v Speaker 1>in Turkish costume, leading to it being called the Turk,

0:23:04.960 --> 0:23:09.440
<v Speaker 1>or sometimes the mechanical Turk. If you were to sit

0:23:09.600 --> 0:23:13.800
<v Speaker 1>down to play against the Turk, you, as an opponent,

0:23:13.880 --> 0:23:16.560
<v Speaker 1>would move a piece, and then you would watch as

0:23:16.600 --> 0:23:19.800
<v Speaker 1>this mechanical figure would shift and move a piece of

0:23:19.840 --> 0:23:23.360
<v Speaker 1>its own in response. And the Turk was a pretty

0:23:23.440 --> 0:23:28.280
<v Speaker 1>good chess player. It frequently beat the opponent's at face.

0:23:28.400 --> 0:23:32.600
<v Speaker 1>Sometimes it would lose to particularly strong players, but it

0:23:32.680 --> 0:23:35.960
<v Speaker 1>held its own pretty darn well. The man behind this

0:23:36.080 --> 0:23:40.399
<v Speaker 1>invention was Wulfgan von Kimplin, who was in the service

0:23:40.440 --> 0:23:45.119
<v Speaker 1>of Maria Teresa, Impress of the Holy Roman Empire. He

0:23:45.160 --> 0:23:48.480
<v Speaker 1>had been invited to view a magician's performance in the court.

0:23:48.600 --> 0:23:52.520
<v Speaker 1>So the story goes and The Impress had invited him

0:23:52.560 --> 0:23:55.800
<v Speaker 1>specifically and afterwards asked him what he thought, and allegedly

0:23:56.119 --> 0:23:59.360
<v Speaker 1>he boasted he could create a much more compelling illusion

0:23:59.400 --> 0:24:02.760
<v Speaker 1>than anything this magician did. Now, according to the story,

0:24:02.960 --> 0:24:06.640
<v Speaker 1>the Empress essentially said, oh yeah, well, prove it, buster,

0:24:07.160 --> 0:24:09.760
<v Speaker 1>and he was given six months to do just that.

0:24:10.440 --> 0:24:13.080
<v Speaker 1>The turk was what he had to show for it

0:24:13.160 --> 0:24:17.920
<v Speaker 1>in six months time, and it reportedly went over like Gangbusters.

0:24:18.440 --> 0:24:22.000
<v Speaker 1>The wooden turk stood behind a cabinet, on top of

0:24:22.040 --> 0:24:26.399
<v Speaker 1>which was the chessboard, and Kempland would reportedly open the

0:24:26.440 --> 0:24:30.679
<v Speaker 1>cabinet doors and reveal some gears and mechanics to prove

0:24:30.960 --> 0:24:35.399
<v Speaker 1>that it was purely a mechanical system. In fact, the

0:24:35.480 --> 0:24:39.440
<v Speaker 1>gears were masking a hidden compartment behind them, in which

0:24:39.480 --> 0:24:44.399
<v Speaker 1>a human chess player was sitting inside, hunched over, keeping

0:24:44.480 --> 0:24:47.480
<v Speaker 1>track of a game, using a smaller chessboard in front

0:24:47.520 --> 0:24:51.320
<v Speaker 1>of him, and using various levers to move the turk's

0:24:51.440 --> 0:24:55.919
<v Speaker 1>limbs in response. Now, a lot of folks suspected that

0:24:56.119 --> 0:24:59.280
<v Speaker 1>something was up from the get go, but you know,

0:24:59.400 --> 0:25:02.600
<v Speaker 1>part of the fun of a magic trick is just

0:25:02.760 --> 0:25:07.040
<v Speaker 1>not knowing what's going on. Some folks try very hard

0:25:07.119 --> 0:25:10.080
<v Speaker 1>to figure out the process. I am not one of them.

0:25:10.480 --> 0:25:13.280
<v Speaker 1>Others are just happy to be entertained by a very

0:25:13.320 --> 0:25:16.760
<v Speaker 1>well performed trick. But in a way, the Turk was

0:25:16.880 --> 0:25:20.439
<v Speaker 1>a kind of black box. In fact, you could argue

0:25:20.440 --> 0:25:23.840
<v Speaker 1>that a lot of magic tricks pretty much fall into

0:25:23.880 --> 0:25:29.200
<v Speaker 1>the black box category. The process is purposefully hidden from

0:25:29.240 --> 0:25:31.840
<v Speaker 1>the viewer. If we could see what the magician was

0:25:31.880 --> 0:25:35.480
<v Speaker 1>doing from beginning to end, all the way through and

0:25:35.800 --> 0:25:40.240
<v Speaker 1>without any misdirection, then it wouldn't be magic. We might

0:25:40.520 --> 0:25:44.040
<v Speaker 1>admire the skill of the magician, how quickly they were

0:25:44.040 --> 0:25:49.119
<v Speaker 1>able to do things, but we wouldn't really consider it magical.

0:25:49.840 --> 0:25:53.040
<v Speaker 1>So the output is dependent upon people not knowing the

0:25:53.080 --> 0:25:57.280
<v Speaker 1>process the inputs went through. Now that's not to say

0:25:57.280 --> 0:25:59.600
<v Speaker 1>that you can't appreciate a really good magic trick even

0:25:59.600 --> 0:26:01.600
<v Speaker 1>if you know how it's done. One of the best

0:26:01.600 --> 0:26:04.800
<v Speaker 1>examples I know of is pen and Teller. They did

0:26:04.920 --> 0:26:09.720
<v Speaker 1>a phenomenal version of the cups and balls routine where

0:26:09.760 --> 0:26:14.560
<v Speaker 1>they used clear plastic cups and balls of aluminum foil

0:26:14.720 --> 0:26:19.280
<v Speaker 1>to demonstrate how cups and balls works, and you can

0:26:19.320 --> 0:26:22.359
<v Speaker 1>watch the entire time, and even being able to see

0:26:22.359 --> 0:26:25.160
<v Speaker 1>through the cups and see the moves they're being made.

0:26:25.760 --> 0:26:29.919
<v Speaker 1>Teller does them with such skill that it is truly phenomenal.

0:26:30.000 --> 0:26:33.120
<v Speaker 1>It doesn't hurt that Pen is spouting off a lot

0:26:33.160 --> 0:26:36.480
<v Speaker 1>of nonsense at the same time and misdirecting even as

0:26:36.480 --> 0:26:39.800
<v Speaker 1>you're watching what's going on. I highly recommend you check

0:26:39.840 --> 0:26:42.240
<v Speaker 1>it out on YouTube. Look for Pen and Teller cups

0:26:42.240 --> 0:26:46.920
<v Speaker 1>and balls. You won't be disappointed. Now. The Turk, as

0:26:47.080 --> 0:26:50.199
<v Speaker 1>far as I can tell, was always intended to be

0:26:50.600 --> 0:26:55.199
<v Speaker 1>an entertainment, not necessarily something that was specifically meant to

0:26:55.280 --> 0:26:59.840
<v Speaker 1>perpetuate some sort of hoax. You wouldn't call a stagement

0:27:00.440 --> 0:27:03.520
<v Speaker 1>a huckster or a con man or anything like that.

0:27:03.920 --> 0:27:09.119
<v Speaker 1>Their occupation is dependent upon misdirection and making impossible acts

0:27:09.200 --> 0:27:14.160
<v Speaker 1>seem like they really happened, but always or nearly always

0:27:14.320 --> 0:27:17.840
<v Speaker 1>with the implication that it's all an illusion or a

0:27:17.920 --> 0:27:21.240
<v Speaker 1>trick of some sort. But not everyone is quite so

0:27:21.320 --> 0:27:24.439
<v Speaker 1>forthcoming about the fact that the thing they are doing

0:27:24.560 --> 0:27:28.200
<v Speaker 1>is done through trickery. For the scam artist, the black

0:27:28.240 --> 0:27:33.919
<v Speaker 1>box creates an incredible opportunity. As technological complexity outpaces the

0:27:34.000 --> 0:27:39.199
<v Speaker 1>average person's understanding, the scam artists can create fake gadgets

0:27:39.240 --> 0:27:42.879
<v Speaker 1>and devices that they claim can do certain things and

0:27:42.920 --> 0:27:46.240
<v Speaker 1>then count upon the ignorance of the average person to

0:27:46.400 --> 0:27:49.840
<v Speaker 1>get away with it. Typically, the go to scam is

0:27:49.880 --> 0:27:53.159
<v Speaker 1>to convince people with money to pour investments into the

0:27:53.359 --> 0:27:57.399
<v Speaker 1>hoax technology in an effort to fund whatever the next

0:27:57.440 --> 0:28:00.159
<v Speaker 1>phase of development is supposed to be, whether that's to

0:28:00.280 --> 0:28:04.360
<v Speaker 1>bring a prototype into a production model or to refine

0:28:04.400 --> 0:28:07.639
<v Speaker 1>a design or whatever. But the end result is pretty

0:28:07.680 --> 0:28:11.119
<v Speaker 1>much the same across the board. The con artist tries

0:28:11.160 --> 0:28:14.160
<v Speaker 1>to wheedle out as much money from their marks as

0:28:14.200 --> 0:28:17.520
<v Speaker 1>they can before they pull up stakes and skip town,

0:28:18.200 --> 0:28:21.880
<v Speaker 1>or they find some way to shift focus or punt

0:28:21.920 --> 0:28:26.159
<v Speaker 1>any promises on delivering results further into the future, like

0:28:26.440 --> 0:28:30.240
<v Speaker 1>that's a future me problem kind of approach. Once in

0:28:30.280 --> 0:28:33.320
<v Speaker 1>a blue moon, you might find someone who is just

0:28:33.440 --> 0:28:36.199
<v Speaker 1>hoping to make enough time to come up with a

0:28:36.240 --> 0:28:39.600
<v Speaker 1>way to do their hoax for realsies, or at least

0:28:39.800 --> 0:28:42.960
<v Speaker 1>to simulate it close enough so that people are satisfied.

0:28:43.760 --> 0:28:50.840
<v Speaker 1>That typically doesn't work out so well, Fairness, I'll get

0:28:50.880 --> 0:28:54.720
<v Speaker 1>back to that. So let's talk about some examples of

0:28:54.760 --> 0:28:59.320
<v Speaker 1>outright scams that leaned heavily on the black box concept,

0:28:59.440 --> 0:29:03.520
<v Speaker 1>whether by having their supposed and actual operating mechanisms hidden

0:29:04.240 --> 0:29:07.120
<v Speaker 1>or by obscuring how they really worked with a lot

0:29:07.120 --> 0:29:12.240
<v Speaker 1>of nonsensical claims and technobabble. One historical scam artist was

0:29:12.280 --> 0:29:15.960
<v Speaker 1>a guy named Charles Redheffer who claimed to have built

0:29:15.960 --> 0:29:20.040
<v Speaker 1>a perpetual motion machine. If he had managed to do

0:29:20.120 --> 0:29:22.560
<v Speaker 1>such a thing, it would have been a true feat,

0:29:22.880 --> 0:29:25.640
<v Speaker 1>as it would break the laws of physics as we

0:29:25.880 --> 0:29:29.720
<v Speaker 1>understand them. So let's go over why that is just

0:29:29.920 --> 0:29:34.240
<v Speaker 1>pretty quickly. For perpetual motion to work, and thus for

0:29:34.400 --> 0:29:38.080
<v Speaker 1>free energy in general to work, a machine would need

0:29:38.120 --> 0:29:42.040
<v Speaker 1>to be able to operate with absolutely no energy loss,

0:29:42.200 --> 0:29:45.280
<v Speaker 1>and for free energy, it would have to generate that

0:29:45.480 --> 0:29:50.040
<v Speaker 1>energy in some way. A perpetual motion machine, once set

0:29:50.080 --> 0:29:54.680
<v Speaker 1>into motion, would never stop moving unless someone or something

0:29:55.160 --> 0:29:58.680
<v Speaker 1>specifically intervened, But if it were left to its own devices,

0:29:59.120 --> 0:30:02.600
<v Speaker 1>it would continue to do whatever it was doing until

0:30:02.640 --> 0:30:06.520
<v Speaker 1>the last syllable of recorded time. To borrow a phrase

0:30:06.560 --> 0:30:09.400
<v Speaker 1>from the Bard. Now, if we look at our understanding

0:30:09.480 --> 0:30:12.760
<v Speaker 1>of thermodynamics, we'll see that doing this in the real

0:30:12.800 --> 0:30:16.520
<v Speaker 1>world is impossible, or at least it would go against

0:30:16.760 --> 0:30:21.120
<v Speaker 1>fundamental ways that we understand regarding how our universe works.

0:30:21.760 --> 0:30:25.760
<v Speaker 1>The first law of thermodynamics says that energy is neither

0:30:25.960 --> 0:30:31.760
<v Speaker 1>created nor destroyed. Energy can, however, be converted from one

0:30:31.840 --> 0:30:36.160
<v Speaker 1>form into another. So if you hold a water balloon

0:30:36.320 --> 0:30:39.680
<v Speaker 1>over the head of a close personal friend, let's say

0:30:40.120 --> 0:30:43.480
<v Speaker 1>it's ben boleen of stuff they don't want you to know.

0:30:44.080 --> 0:30:47.880
<v Speaker 1>The water balloon has a certain amount of potential energy.

0:30:48.280 --> 0:30:51.200
<v Speaker 1>If you let go of the balloon, that potential energy

0:30:51.280 --> 0:30:55.240
<v Speaker 1>converts into kinetic energy, the energy of movement. You didn't

0:30:55.320 --> 0:31:00.600
<v Speaker 1>create or destroy energy here, it just changed forms. So

0:31:01.160 --> 0:31:03.760
<v Speaker 1>if you have what you claim to be a perpetual

0:31:03.800 --> 0:31:07.479
<v Speaker 1>motion machine and you set it in motion, the energy

0:31:07.600 --> 0:31:12.280
<v Speaker 1>you gave that machine at that initial point should sustain

0:31:12.320 --> 0:31:15.960
<v Speaker 1>it forever, and it would never have that initial energy

0:31:16.160 --> 0:31:19.400
<v Speaker 1>change form into some other type of energy that could

0:31:19.400 --> 0:31:22.920
<v Speaker 1>then escape the system and show a net energy loss

0:31:23.480 --> 0:31:26.360
<v Speaker 1>for the system itself. Remember, the energy is not being destroyed,

0:31:26.720 --> 0:31:30.240
<v Speaker 1>but it can be lost in another form. This means

0:31:30.320 --> 0:31:33.400
<v Speaker 1>that such a machine could not have any parts that

0:31:33.720 --> 0:31:37.080
<v Speaker 1>had any contact with one another, which would make it

0:31:37.240 --> 0:31:41.040
<v Speaker 1>a really strange machine. And that's because friction would be

0:31:41.080 --> 0:31:44.400
<v Speaker 1>a constant means for energy to convert from one form

0:31:44.640 --> 0:31:47.960
<v Speaker 1>to another form, in this case, kinetic energy the energy

0:31:47.960 --> 0:31:52.920
<v Speaker 1>of movement into heat. Friction is the resistance surfaces have

0:31:53.120 --> 0:31:57.200
<v Speaker 1>regarding moving against each other. So if the machine has

0:31:57.280 --> 0:31:59.840
<v Speaker 1>any moving parts at all, those parts will be in

0:32:00.040 --> 0:32:04.160
<v Speaker 1>countering friction, which means some of that moving energy will

0:32:04.160 --> 0:32:07.480
<v Speaker 1>be converted to heat and thus escape the system. So

0:32:07.560 --> 0:32:11.080
<v Speaker 1>the overall system of the machine itself will have a

0:32:11.160 --> 0:32:14.240
<v Speaker 1>net loss of energy. There will be less energy to

0:32:14.320 --> 0:32:18.080
<v Speaker 1>keep it going, which means gradually it will slow down

0:32:18.200 --> 0:32:21.640
<v Speaker 1>and ultimately just stop. As a result, it might take

0:32:21.680 --> 0:32:24.840
<v Speaker 1>a long time if the machine is particularly well designed,

0:32:24.840 --> 0:32:28.400
<v Speaker 1>but it will eventually happen. You would need some form

0:32:28.520 --> 0:32:32.320
<v Speaker 1>of energy input to keep things going on occasion, kind

0:32:32.320 --> 0:32:35.560
<v Speaker 1>of like a little push. Imagine that you've got a

0:32:36.720 --> 0:32:39.240
<v Speaker 1>swing like a rope with a tire at the end

0:32:39.280 --> 0:32:41.400
<v Speaker 1>of it. No one's in it right now. You would

0:32:41.440 --> 0:32:43.680
<v Speaker 1>have to give that tire a little push every now

0:32:43.720 --> 0:32:46.520
<v Speaker 1>and then to keep it swinging, otherwise it will eventually stop.

0:32:47.040 --> 0:32:50.320
<v Speaker 1>But that means you wouldn't have a perpetual motion machine.

0:32:50.520 --> 0:32:54.520
<v Speaker 1>There are other factors that similarly make perpetual motion impossible.

0:32:54.640 --> 0:32:57.360
<v Speaker 1>If the machine makes any sort of sound, than some

0:32:57.640 --> 0:33:00.680
<v Speaker 1>of the energy of operation is going in to creating

0:33:00.680 --> 0:33:04.520
<v Speaker 1>the vibrations that make sound. Sound itself is energy. It's

0:33:04.600 --> 0:33:07.520
<v Speaker 1>kinetic energy, so that would mean the machine as a

0:33:07.560 --> 0:33:11.720
<v Speaker 1>whole would be losing energy through that sound. A machine

0:33:11.760 --> 0:33:15.360
<v Speaker 1>operating inside an atmosphere has to overcome the friction of

0:33:15.480 --> 0:33:19.400
<v Speaker 1>moving through air, and the list goes on. Moreover, if

0:33:19.440 --> 0:33:23.440
<v Speaker 1>we could build a perpetual motion machine, we'd be able

0:33:23.480 --> 0:33:26.920
<v Speaker 1>to harness it for energy, but only up to whatever

0:33:27.080 --> 0:33:30.480
<v Speaker 1>the starting initial energy was to get it moving in

0:33:30.520 --> 0:33:34.920
<v Speaker 1>the first place. Because again, energy cannot be created. We

0:33:35.000 --> 0:33:37.959
<v Speaker 1>can build devices that can harness other forms of energy

0:33:38.000 --> 0:33:41.600
<v Speaker 1>and convert that energy into say electricity, but these are

0:33:41.640 --> 0:33:46.080
<v Speaker 1>not perpetual motion or free energy machines. These machines are

0:33:46.120 --> 0:33:50.280
<v Speaker 1>just collecting and converting energy that's already in the system

0:33:50.440 --> 0:33:55.520
<v Speaker 1>or already present, so they're not making anything. Redheffer, however,

0:33:55.680 --> 0:33:58.560
<v Speaker 1>claimed to have built a perpetual motion machine that could

0:33:58.560 --> 0:34:02.880
<v Speaker 1>potentially serve as a free energy generator. Now, if true,

0:34:03.320 --> 0:34:07.200
<v Speaker 1>this would have been an astonishing discovery. Not only would

0:34:07.200 --> 0:34:10.160
<v Speaker 1>our understanding of the universe be proven to be wrong,

0:34:10.880 --> 0:34:15.080
<v Speaker 1>but we would also have access to an inexhaustible supply

0:34:15.320 --> 0:34:19.400
<v Speaker 1>of energy. Redheffer showed off what he said was a

0:34:19.440 --> 0:34:23.000
<v Speaker 1>working model of his design in Philadelphia, and he was

0:34:23.080 --> 0:34:26.160
<v Speaker 1>asking for money to fund the construction of a larger,

0:34:26.360 --> 0:34:31.520
<v Speaker 1>practical version of his design. A group of inspectors from

0:34:31.560 --> 0:34:35.000
<v Speaker 1>the city came out to check out how this thing worked,

0:34:35.520 --> 0:34:38.680
<v Speaker 1>and they noticed something hinky was going on. Even though

0:34:38.719 --> 0:34:42.360
<v Speaker 1>Redheifer was doing his best to run interference and prevent

0:34:42.400 --> 0:34:45.320
<v Speaker 1>anyone from getting too close a look at the machine,

0:34:46.000 --> 0:34:49.719
<v Speaker 1>the gears of the device, which was supposedly powering a

0:34:49.880 --> 0:34:53.560
<v Speaker 1>second machine, were worn down in such a way that

0:34:53.719 --> 0:34:56.280
<v Speaker 1>it was pretty clear that it was actually the second

0:34:56.320 --> 0:34:59.160
<v Speaker 1>machine that was providing the energy to turn the quote

0:34:59.239 --> 0:35:03.720
<v Speaker 1>unquote per petual motion machine, not the other way around.

0:35:03.880 --> 0:35:05.840
<v Speaker 1>So if we were talking about cars, this would be

0:35:05.920 --> 0:35:10.040
<v Speaker 1>like discovering that the wheels turning were causing the pistons

0:35:10.040 --> 0:35:14.239
<v Speaker 1>of the engine to reciprocate in their cylinders. It's going

0:35:14.280 --> 0:35:17.560
<v Speaker 1>the opposite way. So the investigators then hired a local

0:35:17.600 --> 0:35:22.640
<v Speaker 1>engineer named Azaiah Lukens to build a similar device, using

0:35:22.680 --> 0:35:26.000
<v Speaker 1>a secondary machine to provide power to what would be

0:35:26.120 --> 0:35:30.040
<v Speaker 1>the perpetual motion type machine, and then they showed it

0:35:30.160 --> 0:35:33.120
<v Speaker 1>to Redheifer, who saw that the jig was up and

0:35:33.200 --> 0:35:35.640
<v Speaker 1>he hoofed it out of town to New York City.

0:35:36.239 --> 0:35:40.120
<v Speaker 1>He tried to pull essentially the same scam there, this

0:35:40.239 --> 0:35:43.319
<v Speaker 1>time using a machine that was secretly powered by a

0:35:43.560 --> 0:35:47.919
<v Speaker 1>hand crank in a secret room on the other side

0:35:47.920 --> 0:35:51.440
<v Speaker 1>of the wall. Technically, it was just a feller sitting

0:35:51.480 --> 0:35:54.120
<v Speaker 1>there with a hand crank in one hand and a

0:35:54.160 --> 0:35:58.080
<v Speaker 1>sandwich in the other, providing the work to turn this machine.

0:35:58.520 --> 0:36:03.399
<v Speaker 1>Robert Fulton, an engineer of great renown, exposed the whole

0:36:03.440 --> 0:36:06.520
<v Speaker 1>device as a fraud when he pulled apart some boards

0:36:06.560 --> 0:36:09.400
<v Speaker 1>on the wall and revealed the man sitting there cranking

0:36:09.400 --> 0:36:13.600
<v Speaker 1>away and Red Heifer fled again. Records of what happened

0:36:13.600 --> 0:36:16.239
<v Speaker 1>next are sketchy. It seems he might have tried to

0:36:16.280 --> 0:36:20.040
<v Speaker 1>pull the saying Dangs scheme in Philadelphia again a bit later,

0:36:20.560 --> 0:36:24.320
<v Speaker 1>but he disappeared from the historical record after reportedly refusing

0:36:24.360 --> 0:36:28.360
<v Speaker 1>to demonstrate his new device. When we come back, i'll

0:36:28.520 --> 0:36:32.560
<v Speaker 1>compare this to what I mentioned before a farahnose before

0:36:32.640 --> 0:36:36.560
<v Speaker 1>we chat about other concerns regarding the black box problem.

0:36:36.560 --> 0:36:49.879
<v Speaker 1>But first let's take another quick break. Okay, So THEARRHNOS

0:36:50.600 --> 0:36:54.560
<v Speaker 1>this is the biomedical technology company that was founded by

0:36:54.600 --> 0:36:58.759
<v Speaker 1>Elizabeth Holmes, and she is currently awaiting a trial on

0:36:59.320 --> 0:37:03.200
<v Speaker 1>charges of federal fraud in the United States. The trial

0:37:03.280 --> 0:37:06.480
<v Speaker 1>was supposed to begin in August twenty twenty, but has

0:37:06.520 --> 0:37:11.680
<v Speaker 1>since been delayed until twenty twenty one due to COVID nineteen. Now,

0:37:11.800 --> 0:37:17.080
<v Speaker 1>the pitch for Therahnose was really really alluring. What if

0:37:17.400 --> 0:37:21.280
<v Speaker 1>engineers could make a machine capable of testing a single

0:37:21.400 --> 0:37:25.799
<v Speaker 1>droplet of blood for more than one hundred possible illnesses

0:37:25.960 --> 0:37:29.920
<v Speaker 1>and conditions, So rather than going through multiple blood draws

0:37:29.960 --> 0:37:33.040
<v Speaker 1>and tests to try and figure out what's wrong, you

0:37:33.080 --> 0:37:36.080
<v Speaker 1>could get an answer based off one little pinprick within

0:37:36.120 --> 0:37:39.279
<v Speaker 1>a couple of hours. Maybe you would even be able

0:37:39.320 --> 0:37:42.600
<v Speaker 1>to buy a Theoroughnose machine for your home, kind of

0:37:42.640 --> 0:37:45.080
<v Speaker 1>like a desktop printer, and that would allow you to

0:37:45.080 --> 0:37:48.680
<v Speaker 1>do a quick blood test at a moment's notice. Maybe

0:37:48.680 --> 0:37:50.719
<v Speaker 1>you would get a heads up about something you should

0:37:50.760 --> 0:37:53.840
<v Speaker 1>talk to your doctor about, preventing tragedy. In the process,

0:37:54.400 --> 0:37:56.800
<v Speaker 1>you might learn that with some changes in your lifestyle,

0:37:56.840 --> 0:38:00.360
<v Speaker 1>you could improve your overall health or stave off various illness.

0:38:01.200 --> 0:38:05.840
<v Speaker 1>It would democratize medicine, giving the average person more control

0:38:05.960 --> 0:38:09.120
<v Speaker 1>and knowledge about their own health and giving them a

0:38:09.160 --> 0:38:14.560
<v Speaker 1>better starter point for conversations with their doctors. And yeah,

0:38:14.880 --> 0:38:19.080
<v Speaker 1>that's a great goal. It's a fantastic sales pitch, and

0:38:19.280 --> 0:38:23.920
<v Speaker 1>it did get Holmes and Therphnos a lot of interested

0:38:24.000 --> 0:38:26.880
<v Speaker 1>investors who really wanted to tap into this because not

0:38:26.920 --> 0:38:30.800
<v Speaker 1>only is it something that you would want for yourself,

0:38:30.880 --> 0:38:34.680
<v Speaker 1>you could easily see that if this is possible, that

0:38:34.800 --> 0:38:37.160
<v Speaker 1>business is going to be like the next Apple, It'll

0:38:37.200 --> 0:38:41.640
<v Speaker 1>become a trillion dollar company. Something that powerful would undoubtedly

0:38:41.920 --> 0:38:46.960
<v Speaker 1>become a powerhouse. Now I've done full episodes about Bharrahnos

0:38:47.040 --> 0:38:50.600
<v Speaker 1>and how it fell apart because spoiler alert, that's exactly

0:38:50.600 --> 0:38:55.520
<v Speaker 1>what happened. The technology just didn't work. But I think

0:38:55.560 --> 0:38:58.480
<v Speaker 1>a lot of what happened with Bharaphnos was largely dependent

0:38:58.560 --> 0:39:03.919
<v Speaker 1>upon naivete ignorance, and wishful thinking. Our technology can do

0:39:04.000 --> 0:39:07.399
<v Speaker 1>some pretty astounding stuff, right, I mean if you had

0:39:07.400 --> 0:39:10.480
<v Speaker 1>told me in two thousand that by the end of

0:39:10.480 --> 0:39:13.880
<v Speaker 1>the decade I would be carrying around a device capable

0:39:13.920 --> 0:39:17.120
<v Speaker 1>of really harnessing the power of the Internet in my

0:39:17.280 --> 0:39:19.920
<v Speaker 1>pocket and I would have access to it all the time,

0:39:20.600 --> 0:39:23.799
<v Speaker 1>I would have thought you were bonkers. So if technology

0:39:23.800 --> 0:39:27.040
<v Speaker 1>can do incredible things like that, why can't it do

0:39:27.120 --> 0:39:31.960
<v Speaker 1>something equally incredible with blood tests? The idea is that, well,

0:39:32.080 --> 0:39:35.400
<v Speaker 1>we're already seeing this amazing stuff happen. Why isn't this

0:39:35.440 --> 0:39:39.440
<v Speaker 1>other amazing thing possible? And that is dangerous thinking. It

0:39:39.520 --> 0:39:44.000
<v Speaker 1>equates all technological advances and developments, and that's just not

0:39:44.320 --> 0:39:49.680
<v Speaker 1>how reality works. Moore's law, the observation that generally speaking,

0:39:50.120 --> 0:39:54.880
<v Speaker 1>computational power doubles every two years, has really helped fuel

0:39:55.040 --> 0:40:00.239
<v Speaker 1>a misunderstanding about technology in general. We extend that same

0:40:00.520 --> 0:40:04.279
<v Speaker 1>crazy growth to all sorts of fields and technology when

0:40:04.320 --> 0:40:07.520
<v Speaker 1>that doesn't actually apply, and it gives us the motivation

0:40:07.640 --> 0:40:12.680
<v Speaker 1>to fool ourselves into thinking that the impossible is actually possible.

0:40:13.440 --> 0:40:17.319
<v Speaker 1>That I think is what happened with Pharrhos. Now. I'm

0:40:17.320 --> 0:40:22.120
<v Speaker 1>not saying Holmes set out to deceive people. I don't

0:40:22.160 --> 0:40:26.719
<v Speaker 1>know what she really believed was possible, but based on

0:40:26.840 --> 0:40:30.480
<v Speaker 1>what I've read and seen and listened to, to me, it

0:40:30.560 --> 0:40:33.280
<v Speaker 1>sounds like she figured there was at least a decent

0:40:33.440 --> 0:40:37.640
<v Speaker 1>chance her vision would become possible. And so a lot

0:40:37.640 --> 0:40:41.840
<v Speaker 1>of Therahnosa's activities, in my personal opinion, appear to have

0:40:41.920 --> 0:40:45.600
<v Speaker 1>been meant to stall for time while engineers were working

0:40:45.640 --> 0:40:49.120
<v Speaker 1>on very hard problems to make the blood testing device

0:40:49.239 --> 0:40:53.319
<v Speaker 1>work as intended. The further into the process, the more

0:40:53.440 --> 0:40:55.840
<v Speaker 1>the company had to spin wheels to make it seem

0:40:55.880 --> 0:40:58.960
<v Speaker 1>like it was making more progress than it actually was.

0:40:59.560 --> 0:41:02.319
<v Speaker 1>The company had raised an enormous amount of money from

0:41:02.360 --> 0:41:05.759
<v Speaker 1>the investors, so they were beholden to them. They had

0:41:05.800 --> 0:41:09.280
<v Speaker 1>also secured agreements with drug store chains to provide services

0:41:09.320 --> 0:41:13.040
<v Speaker 1>to customers, so they needed to perform a service. It

0:41:13.239 --> 0:41:16.320
<v Speaker 1>had to show progress, even if behind the scenes things

0:41:16.360 --> 0:41:19.640
<v Speaker 1>had actually stalled out. On top of that, you also

0:41:19.719 --> 0:41:24.719
<v Speaker 1>have the reports of executives like Holmes herself living the

0:41:24.800 --> 0:41:29.840
<v Speaker 1>high life and really enjoying incredible benefits of wealth because

0:41:29.840 --> 0:41:33.160
<v Speaker 1>of the enormous investment into the company, so that plays

0:41:33.200 --> 0:41:38.160
<v Speaker 1>a part too. Sharrhnos's operations were effectively a black box

0:41:38.200 --> 0:41:41.000
<v Speaker 1>to the outside world. It was meant to misdirect and

0:41:41.120 --> 0:41:44.480
<v Speaker 1>give the implication that things were working fine behind the scenes,

0:41:45.000 --> 0:41:47.239
<v Speaker 1>while the people who were actually there were trying to

0:41:47.320 --> 0:41:51.000
<v Speaker 1>keep up the illusion while simultaneously attempting to solve what

0:41:51.040 --> 0:41:55.239
<v Speaker 1>appeared to be impossible problems. At some point, based on

0:41:55.320 --> 0:41:59.160
<v Speaker 1>how things unfolded, I would say that executives that Sharrhnos

0:41:59.239 --> 0:42:03.520
<v Speaker 1>appeared to be perpetrating a scam, not just you know,

0:42:04.120 --> 0:42:07.800
<v Speaker 1>trying to maintain an illusion while getting things to work.

0:42:08.080 --> 0:42:12.040
<v Speaker 1>They were actively scamming people. In my opinion, maybe they

0:42:12.040 --> 0:42:14.879
<v Speaker 1>were still holding out hope that it would ultimately work out,

0:42:15.239 --> 0:42:17.920
<v Speaker 1>but that doesn't change that it was a classic case

0:42:18.000 --> 0:42:20.760
<v Speaker 1>of smoke and mirrors to hide what was really happening,

0:42:20.960 --> 0:42:25.400
<v Speaker 1>such as using existing blood testing technology from other companies

0:42:25.719 --> 0:42:28.800
<v Speaker 1>in order to run tests while claiming that the results

0:42:28.800 --> 0:42:32.840
<v Speaker 1>were coming from actual therenose devices. But again, this is

0:42:32.880 --> 0:42:35.319
<v Speaker 1>all my own opinion based on what I've seen and

0:42:35.440 --> 0:42:38.320
<v Speaker 1>read about the subject. A court we'll have to determine

0:42:38.320 --> 0:42:42.120
<v Speaker 1>whether or not Holmes and others actually committed fraud. A

0:42:42.160 --> 0:42:44.839
<v Speaker 1>lot of the technology we rely upon in our day

0:42:44.880 --> 0:42:48.960
<v Speaker 1>to day lives is complicated stuff, and there are limited

0:42:49.000 --> 0:42:51.160
<v Speaker 1>hours in the day, and it's a bit much task

0:42:51.200 --> 0:42:53.799
<v Speaker 1>anyone to become an expert on all things tech to

0:42:53.840 --> 0:42:56.560
<v Speaker 1>figure out exactly how they work. Tech is also becoming

0:42:56.600 --> 0:42:59.400
<v Speaker 1>more and more specialized, so you might become an expert

0:42:59.440 --> 0:43:03.280
<v Speaker 1>in one area of technology and be completely ignorant of another.

0:43:03.560 --> 0:43:06.760
<v Speaker 1>That's not unusual because it takes a lot of time

0:43:06.800 --> 0:43:09.759
<v Speaker 1>to become an expert at specific areas of tech. These days,

0:43:09.760 --> 0:43:13.799
<v Speaker 1>they've become so specialized. But by overlooking the how we

0:43:13.880 --> 0:43:18.080
<v Speaker 1>can make ourselves vulnerable to bad actors out there when

0:43:18.080 --> 0:43:21.920
<v Speaker 1>it comes to technology. Maybe they are actively trying to

0:43:21.920 --> 0:43:24.640
<v Speaker 1>pull the wool over our eyes, or maybe they're just

0:43:24.960 --> 0:43:29.000
<v Speaker 1>simply misguided and they misunderstand how stuff works. But either way,

0:43:29.360 --> 0:43:33.320
<v Speaker 1>our own ignorance of how tech does and what it does,

0:43:33.480 --> 0:43:36.719
<v Speaker 1>and the limitations that we all face based on the

0:43:36.760 --> 0:43:40.040
<v Speaker 1>fundamental laws of the universe as we understand them, that

0:43:40.120 --> 0:43:44.600
<v Speaker 1>all makes us potential marks or targets. That's where critical

0:43:44.640 --> 0:43:48.240
<v Speaker 1>thinking comes in and plays a part. Knowing to ask

0:43:48.520 --> 0:43:52.680
<v Speaker 1>questions and to critically examine the answers, and to ask

0:43:52.800 --> 0:43:56.160
<v Speaker 1>follow up questions, and to not accept claims at face

0:43:56.280 --> 0:43:59.640
<v Speaker 1>value are all important traits. Now, we do have to

0:43:59.680 --> 0:44:03.600
<v Speaker 1>be care not to go so far as to embrace denialism.

0:44:03.920 --> 0:44:07.680
<v Speaker 1>If we are confronted with compelling evidence that supports a claim,

0:44:08.120 --> 0:44:11.160
<v Speaker 1>we need to be ready to accept that claim. I'm

0:44:11.160 --> 0:44:13.160
<v Speaker 1>not advocating for you guys to just go out there

0:44:13.200 --> 0:44:16.520
<v Speaker 1>and say that any and every claim is just bogus.

0:44:16.600 --> 0:44:20.040
<v Speaker 1>That's not the point. I'll close this out by talking

0:44:20.040 --> 0:44:23.560
<v Speaker 1>about something we're seeing unfold in real time around us,

0:44:24.120 --> 0:44:27.799
<v Speaker 1>and that involves machine learning and AI systems. Now, if

0:44:27.800 --> 0:44:30.720
<v Speaker 1>you follow the circles that report on this kind of stuff,

0:44:31.080 --> 0:44:35.359
<v Speaker 1>you will occasionally see calls for transparency. Those calls are

0:44:35.400 --> 0:44:39.120
<v Speaker 1>to urge people who are designing these machine learning systems

0:44:39.160 --> 0:44:43.080
<v Speaker 1>and AI systems to show their work as it were,

0:44:43.239 --> 0:44:46.719
<v Speaker 1>and to have the systems themselves show their work. It's

0:44:46.760 --> 0:44:48.880
<v Speaker 1>not enough to create a system that can perform a

0:44:48.920 --> 0:44:52.759
<v Speaker 1>task like image recognition and then give us results. We

0:44:52.880 --> 0:44:56.400
<v Speaker 1>need to know how the system came to those conclusions

0:44:56.440 --> 0:44:59.560
<v Speaker 1>that it produced. We need this in order to check

0:44:59.560 --> 0:45:05.320
<v Speaker 1>for stuff biases, which is a serious issue in artificial intelligence. Honestly,

0:45:05.360 --> 0:45:08.520
<v Speaker 1>it's a really big problem for tech in general, but

0:45:08.640 --> 0:45:12.240
<v Speaker 1>we're really seeing it play out rather spectacularly in AI.

0:45:12.680 --> 0:45:15.720
<v Speaker 1>Now i'll give you an example that I've already alluded to,

0:45:16.280 --> 0:45:21.640
<v Speaker 1>facial recognition technology. The US National Institute of Standards and

0:45:21.680 --> 0:45:27.120
<v Speaker 1>Technology conducted an investigation in twenty nineteen into facial recognition technologies,

0:45:27.680 --> 0:45:31.560
<v Speaker 1>and it found that algorithms were pretty darn good at

0:45:31.560 --> 0:45:36.680
<v Speaker 1>identifying Caucasian faces, but if they were analyzing a black

0:45:37.000 --> 0:45:41.680
<v Speaker 1>or an Asian face, they were far less accurate, sometimes

0:45:42.040 --> 0:45:47.040
<v Speaker 1>one hundred times more likely to falsely identify somebody based

0:45:47.120 --> 0:45:52.480
<v Speaker 1>on an image. The worst error rates involved identifying Native Americans,

0:45:52.840 --> 0:45:55.600
<v Speaker 1>so let's let that sink in, because when we talk

0:45:55.600 --> 0:45:59.839
<v Speaker 1>about issues like systemic racism, we sometimes forget about how

0:45:59.880 --> 0:46:03.520
<v Speaker 1>that can manifest in ways that aren't as intuitive or

0:46:03.640 --> 0:46:08.239
<v Speaker 1>obvious as the really overt stuff. We live in a

0:46:08.280 --> 0:46:12.360
<v Speaker 1>world that has cameras all over the place. Surveillance is

0:46:12.400 --> 0:46:14.840
<v Speaker 1>a real thing that's going on all the time. Police

0:46:14.880 --> 0:46:19.360
<v Speaker 1>and other law enforcement agencies rely heavily on facial recognition

0:46:19.440 --> 0:46:24.000
<v Speaker 1>algorithms to identify suspects and to search for people of interest.

0:46:24.480 --> 0:46:28.000
<v Speaker 1>And if those algorithms have a low rate of reliability

0:46:28.080 --> 0:46:32.560
<v Speaker 1>for different ethnicities, a disproportionate number of people who have

0:46:32.760 --> 0:46:36.720
<v Speaker 1>no connection to any investigation are going to be singled

0:46:36.719 --> 0:46:41.360
<v Speaker 1>out by mistake by these algorithms. Lives can be disrupted,

0:46:41.520 --> 0:46:46.360
<v Speaker 1>careers can be ruined, relationships hurt all because a computer

0:46:46.440 --> 0:46:51.839
<v Speaker 1>program can't tell the difference between two different faces. That

0:46:52.280 --> 0:46:55.360
<v Speaker 1>is a serious problem, and it points to a couple

0:46:55.400 --> 0:46:58.319
<v Speaker 1>of things. One of the big ones is a lack

0:46:58.360 --> 0:47:01.600
<v Speaker 1>of diversity on the design inside of things. We've seen

0:47:01.640 --> 0:47:03.600
<v Speaker 1>this with tech for a long time. There is a

0:47:04.400 --> 0:47:08.560
<v Speaker 1>really critical diversity issue going on with technology. The people

0:47:08.600 --> 0:47:12.279
<v Speaker 1>who are building algorithms and training machine learning systems are

0:47:12.400 --> 0:47:14.880
<v Speaker 1>largely failing to do so in a way that can

0:47:14.920 --> 0:47:21.040
<v Speaker 1>be equally applicable across different ethnicities. Meanwhile, organizations like the

0:47:21.040 --> 0:47:25.080
<v Speaker 1>American Civil Liberties Union are calling upon law enforcement agencies

0:47:25.120 --> 0:47:29.919
<v Speaker 1>to stop relying on technology like this, entirely, pointing out

0:47:29.920 --> 0:47:34.279
<v Speaker 1>that the potential for harm to befall innocent people outweighs

0:47:34.320 --> 0:47:38.640
<v Speaker 1>the benefits of using the tech to catch criminals. A

0:47:38.800 --> 0:47:43.160
<v Speaker 1>machine learning system trained to do something like identify people

0:47:43.320 --> 0:47:47.680
<v Speaker 1>based on their faces needs to be transparent so that

0:47:47.960 --> 0:47:51.840
<v Speaker 1>when a bias becomes evident, engineers can go back to

0:47:51.920 --> 0:47:54.520
<v Speaker 1>the machine learning system and look and see where it

0:47:54.560 --> 0:47:57.799
<v Speaker 1>went wrong, and then train it to eliminate the bias.

0:47:58.239 --> 0:48:01.920
<v Speaker 1>Without transparency, it can be hard or impossible to figure

0:48:01.920 --> 0:48:06.000
<v Speaker 1>out exactly where things are going wrong within the system. Meanwhile,

0:48:06.480 --> 0:48:11.120
<v Speaker 1>real people in the real world are suffering the consequences. Now,

0:48:11.200 --> 0:48:13.799
<v Speaker 1>if we extend this outward and we look into a

0:48:13.840 --> 0:48:17.520
<v Speaker 1>future where artificial intelligence is undoubtedly going to play a

0:48:17.640 --> 0:48:20.879
<v Speaker 1>critical part in our day to day experiences, we see

0:48:20.880 --> 0:48:24.400
<v Speaker 1>how we need to avoid these black box situations. We

0:48:24.480 --> 0:48:28.280
<v Speaker 1>need to understand why a system will generate a particular

0:48:28.320 --> 0:48:31.799
<v Speaker 1>output given specific inputs. We've got to be able to

0:48:31.960 --> 0:48:34.120
<v Speaker 1>check the systems to be certain they are coming to

0:48:34.160 --> 0:48:39.960
<v Speaker 1>the right conclusions. Artificial intelligence has enormous potential to augment

0:48:40.080 --> 0:48:43.320
<v Speaker 1>how we go about everything from running errands to performing

0:48:43.360 --> 0:48:46.480
<v Speaker 1>our jobs, but we need to be certain that the

0:48:46.480 --> 0:48:51.400
<v Speaker 1>guidance we receive is dependable, that's the right course of action,

0:48:52.080 --> 0:48:55.240
<v Speaker 1>and so I hope this episode has really driven home

0:48:55.400 --> 0:48:58.319
<v Speaker 1>how it's important for us to hold technology up to

0:48:58.400 --> 0:49:02.640
<v Speaker 1>a critical view. It's not that technology is inherently good

0:49:03.239 --> 0:49:07.080
<v Speaker 1>or bad, or that people are specifically acting in an

0:49:07.120 --> 0:49:11.840
<v Speaker 1>ethical or unethical way, but rather that without using critical thinking,

0:49:11.840 --> 0:49:15.640
<v Speaker 1>we can't be certain if what we're relying upon is

0:49:15.840 --> 0:49:20.480
<v Speaker 1>actually reliable or not. I also urge, as always that

0:49:20.560 --> 0:49:24.440
<v Speaker 1>we pair compassion with critical thinking. I think there's a

0:49:24.560 --> 0:49:28.560
<v Speaker 1>tendency for us to kind of assign blame and intent

0:49:28.880 --> 0:49:32.880
<v Speaker 1>when things go wrong, and sometimes that is appropriate, but

0:49:32.960 --> 0:49:36.960
<v Speaker 1>I would argue that we shouldn't jump to that conclusion

0:49:37.080 --> 0:49:40.840
<v Speaker 1>right off the bat. Sometimes people just make bad choices,

0:49:41.160 --> 0:49:44.560
<v Speaker 1>or they are misinterpreting things, but they don't have any

0:49:44.719 --> 0:49:48.200
<v Speaker 1>intent to mislead. So while I do advocate that we

0:49:48.360 --> 0:49:53.040
<v Speaker 1>use critical thinking as much as possible, let's be decent,

0:49:53.280 --> 0:49:56.760
<v Speaker 1>nice human beings whenever we do that if it turns

0:49:56.760 --> 0:50:01.000
<v Speaker 1>out someone is truly being unethical and trying to deceive others,

0:50:01.480 --> 0:50:04.840
<v Speaker 1>that's obviously a different story. But before you know for sure,

0:50:05.640 --> 0:50:09.880
<v Speaker 1>I say, we employ that compassion and hopefully we are

0:50:09.920 --> 0:50:13.839
<v Speaker 1>able to solve these problems before they have these real

0:50:13.840 --> 0:50:19.360
<v Speaker 1>world impacts, because the consequences of those are dramatic and

0:50:19.480 --> 0:50:24.200
<v Speaker 1>terrible and avoidable if we use critical thinking. I hope

0:50:24.200 --> 0:50:27.000
<v Speaker 1>you enjoyed that rerun episode from just a few years ago.

0:50:28.360 --> 0:50:33.319
<v Speaker 1>Boy seems like a real, totally different era because that

0:50:33.440 --> 0:50:38.400
<v Speaker 1>was obviously several months into the COVID nineteen pandemic when

0:50:38.600 --> 0:50:41.239
<v Speaker 1>lots of us were still on lockdown and stuff. Very

0:50:41.280 --> 0:50:45.600
<v Speaker 1>different time from today. But yeah, as I said, black boxes,

0:50:45.719 --> 0:50:49.960
<v Speaker 1>it's still very much an ongoing topic in tech, particularly

0:50:50.040 --> 0:50:52.319
<v Speaker 1>in the field of artificial intelligence, but not just that.

0:50:53.160 --> 0:50:55.920
<v Speaker 1>We see it in the right to repair movement as well,

0:50:56.280 --> 0:51:00.880
<v Speaker 1>as advocates argue that companies can't, of few skate the

0:51:00.920 --> 0:51:04.560
<v Speaker 1>workings of their products so that it makes it impossible

0:51:04.560 --> 0:51:06.240
<v Speaker 1>for you to do any kind of maintenance or repair

0:51:06.280 --> 0:51:11.239
<v Speaker 1>on them yourself or with an independent operation that can

0:51:11.280 --> 0:51:13.319
<v Speaker 1>do it for maybe less than what it would cost

0:51:13.360 --> 0:51:17.480
<v Speaker 1>you to take it to A quote unquote official repair site.

0:51:17.800 --> 0:51:21.120
<v Speaker 1>So yeah, black Box is still very much a thing,

0:51:21.280 --> 0:51:25.239
<v Speaker 1>still very much an ongoing concern in the field of technology,

0:51:25.280 --> 0:51:28.440
<v Speaker 1>and I'm sure we'll end up talking about it again

0:51:28.480 --> 0:51:32.520
<v Speaker 1>and again as the various artificial intelligence stories continue to unfold.

0:51:32.960 --> 0:51:36.120
<v Speaker 1>I hope you are all well, and I will talk

0:51:36.120 --> 0:51:46.400
<v Speaker 1>to you again really soon. Tech Stuff is an iHeartRadio production.

0:51:46.680 --> 0:51:51.719
<v Speaker 1>For more podcasts from iHeartRadio, visit the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts,

0:51:51.840 --> 0:51:57.440
<v Speaker 1>or wherever you listen to your favorite shows.