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Speaker 1: The Action Network podcast is presented by a win Bet sportsbook,

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Speaker 1: our listeners. Bet one dollar on any team and win

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Speaker 2: That's right.

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Speaker 1: dollar on any team within your first ten days. If

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Speaker 1: that team scores a touchdown, you win one hundred dollars.

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Speaker 1: on the Action Network link in this episode description. Must

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Speaker 1: stop before you start gambling problem Call one eight hundred gambler.

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Speaker 3: All right, let's start the show. All right, here we

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Speaker 3: go fifteen twenty twenty five, thirty thirty five, twenty five

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Speaker 3: fifty Got the.

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Speaker 4: Chicks, Black College, suckball World stunner.

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Speaker 3: Oh my godness, he stumbled the football.

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Speaker 5: It's the lateral Generali Guala.

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Speaker 2: Came off the.

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Speaker 6: Day of the night, like god. It's not the side

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Speaker 6: of the dog in the fighting, it's the size of

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Speaker 6: the fight in the doll.

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Speaker 2: What's up the general nation? Welcome to the Big Bets

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Speaker 2: on Campus podcast presented by win Bet. This is your

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Speaker 2: Week eight college football betting recap. In Week nine look ahead,

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Speaker 2: I'm stuck in with me, as always is Colin Wilson.

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Speaker 2: Ready to talk about a losing Saturday. Always nice to

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Speaker 2: do well.

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Speaker 4: We say all the time that the three and eleven

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Speaker 4: days are coming. I mean from a record standpoint, it

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Speaker 4: was like eight and thirteen for me, but it was

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Speaker 4: like minor six units with all of those units being

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Speaker 4: attributed to like dumb shit happening in the last second,

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Speaker 4: Like what is Steve Dazio doing with his special teams?

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Speaker 4: What is going on with Fresno State football? What is

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Speaker 4: going on with Central Michigan football. I mean, these are

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Speaker 4: some really crushing I mean they just tear your entire

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Speaker 4: day apart. I mean, if you're wrong on UCLA and

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Speaker 4: you take a loss, fine, but some of these other shenanigans,

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Speaker 4: it's just like it just kills your day.

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Speaker 2: I end up losing day. I think I finished like

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Speaker 2: nine and eleven or ten and eleven, but that includes

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Speaker 2: the round robin pieces which splits, so I think I

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Speaker 2: was like six, seven and eight, So it's just middling down.

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Speaker 2: But you know, none of the breaks went for me.

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Speaker 2: But I didn't really deserve that. I mean, Tennessee deserved

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Speaker 2: to cover a million times over again. I mean, come on,

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Speaker 2: Josh heipe, how many fucking times that Tennessee team just

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Speaker 2: gonna find ways to not cover? At the end, it's

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Speaker 2: a seven point game in the fourth quarter, they'd punt,

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Speaker 2: They go for it on fourth down at their own

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Speaker 2: twenty with four minutes to go, and then Bamas scores.

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Speaker 2: And then they decided to punt on fourth down if

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Speaker 2: they're on twenty with three minutes to go, because now

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Speaker 2: they're outside the number. What a joke. But like the

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Speaker 2: two point conversion with like Nevada, Nevada went about West.

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Speaker 2: You got screwed by that, and then I wanted to

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Speaker 2: go to overtime. They can't get the two. Georgia Tech

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Speaker 2: decides to go for two when I'm plus seven, they

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Speaker 2: don't get the two. Didn't really deserve that.

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Speaker 4: Ref's taking ref's taking touchdowns off the board from taunting.

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Speaker 2: Oh my god, that was outrageous. But I think Overad

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Speaker 2: deserved a losing day. I'm still not. I feel like

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Speaker 2: I'm getting closer we'll see. There's still results that I'm

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Speaker 2: like every week, I'm like, what so the just the

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Speaker 2: oddness of last year. It's just trying to get these right.

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Speaker 2: I mean, there's the one thing that I know that

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Speaker 2: stinks is clumsy. By the way, New Mexico covered. They

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Speaker 2: went outright at Wyoming.

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Speaker 3: With a new quarterback who looked really good. It's in

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Speaker 3: the notes here I got.

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Speaker 2: So, well, let's not talk about that game with that

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Speaker 2: talking about how bad Wyoming's quarterback situations.

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Speaker 3: They scored this right after I put a bet in

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Speaker 3: on them already for Week nine.

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Speaker 2: Well, hopefully they just run the ball. But uh yeah,

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Speaker 2: New Mexico covered, Kansas covered. We got to talk. We'll

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Speaker 2: talk about that game. So the only two teams that

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Speaker 2: haven't covered in the country as we head into Halloween

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Speaker 2: weekend Missouri and Damo. Now I'm on TikTok whatever. That's

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Speaker 2: stupid things always tweet. All right, let's uh, we'll get

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Speaker 2: into we'll recap some of the biggest games. We'll talk

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Speaker 2: about it any weekday games and any spots to the

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Speaker 2: circle for next week. But we'll start off best call,

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Speaker 2: worst called bet regret and get that out of the

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Speaker 2: way now. Best call. I'm gonna say Illinois Penn State,

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Speaker 2: under which hit in nine overtimes by a touchdown, thank

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Speaker 2: you very much. I'm sitting there doing the math. How

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Speaker 2: is this under going to lose in thirteen overtimes with

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Speaker 2: two point conversions? Now neither team can get a two

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Speaker 2: point conversion? So I'm glad for the new rule. It's

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Speaker 2: kind of it's kind of you think of the new

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Speaker 2: it's kind.

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Speaker 3: Of I hate it.

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Speaker 2: I mean, you gotta flip back and forth like the

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Speaker 2: different fields.

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Speaker 4: It's like, I really appreciate everybody's opinion on these overtime rules,

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Speaker 4: but let me tell you, is somebody that has supports

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Speaker 4: a team that has had six overtimes, six overtimes and

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Speaker 4: seven overtimes and all those records that got broken yesterday

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Speaker 4: came against Arkansas.

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Speaker 3: I think it's bullshit. I think it's ridiculous. Now I

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Speaker 3: don't know what the answer is somewhere in between. It's like,

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Speaker 3: you don't line up in new field goals. I don't

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Speaker 3: think you adopt the NFL model. But that was sad.

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Speaker 4: That was like like you needed to take a horse

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Speaker 4: around a woodshed and put it out of its misery

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Speaker 4: and shoot it I mean and Sakowski like breaking his

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Speaker 4: wrist and it was just pathetic.

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Speaker 3: I mean like it was the most pathetic.

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Speaker 4: Two point conversions I've ever seen in mind. And I

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Speaker 4: thought it was just gonna go on forever. I thought

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Speaker 4: we could be in the hundredth overtime before did anybody

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Speaker 4: think about running the ball? Like I when is Dotson

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Speaker 4: gonna touch the ball? I mean, I couldn't believe how

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Speaker 4: bad it was. And I think, really the takeaway from

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Speaker 4: that game is Penn State losing like their star defensive

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Speaker 4: tackle like that allowed. I mean, Illinois had a great

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Speaker 4: day from the offensive line standpoint, but Lake, you know,

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Speaker 4: Penn State was down like their biggest player on the

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Speaker 4: inside interior.

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Speaker 3: So I the game was it was disgusting.

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Speaker 4: Now, if you want to give me Texas A and

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Speaker 4: M and LSU punching it in every time, that's a

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Speaker 4: great overtime.

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Speaker 3: But that was sad yesterday. That was gross.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, de Penn State offense was the problem too, not

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Speaker 2: being able to score in Illinois with Clifford starting. So

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Speaker 2: that was my best call. I mean, obviously it's a

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Speaker 2: little fluky because the way overtimes are now, but saying

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Speaker 2: that you hit an under an under forty six by

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Speaker 2: over a touchdown in nine overtimes. It's pretty damn cool.

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Speaker 2: My worst call had a bunch is I mean, I

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Speaker 2: guess I'll say Ucla, which obviously had a chance to

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Speaker 2: win late, but their backup had to come in and

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Speaker 2: threw a pick. They were just dominated, like even if

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Speaker 2: they came back and won. If you look at that

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Speaker 2: box score, Maryland an awful call. I hate, I'm done

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Speaker 2: with the turps, done, done with you, Maryland. And then

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Speaker 2: I mean, lots hack. They got crossed, but they they

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Speaker 2: mean they had the exact same number of yards. It

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Speaker 2: was just a fluky game. Sandy the State unders by

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Speaker 2: the way, I'll there that there's one of my better calls.

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Speaker 2: And then Bet regret.

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Speaker 7: Every gambler knows that feeling.

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Speaker 3: Let's talk that regret.

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Speaker 2: The clubson under. We talked about that in the live shot.

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Speaker 2: I never ended up betting that or putting it in,

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Speaker 2: So that's fine. Best call, worst called that regret for.

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Speaker 3: You, Yeah, bet regrets probably going to be not putting

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Speaker 3: more money on Oregon State. That was a definitive win.

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Speaker 4: It was a Downspobbyes for Utah and you know they're

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Speaker 4: very much in this race and they're rushing attack.

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Speaker 3: If anybody can't handle the rush, they're just gonna run

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Speaker 3: right over them.

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Speaker 2: Did you see the block punt that I was I

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Speaker 2: was tweeting about. Yeah, yeah, I did, so two of

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Speaker 2: the same jersey numbers in there. So the guy gets

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Speaker 2: thrown out for targeting. If you didn't see this, Oregon

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Speaker 2: State is up for blocks a Utah punt and I

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Speaker 2: out all these like little things that just weren't breaking

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Speaker 2: my will day. Oregon State blocks a punt, I'm like, yeah,

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Speaker 2: let's go. They get it down with Utah ten note flag,

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Speaker 2: So I'm like, what are these PAC twelve rets cooking up?

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Speaker 8: Let's hear it.

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Speaker 3: For those PAC twelve referees, the.

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Speaker 2: First thing out of their mouth I hear is personal

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Speaker 2: foul Oregon State equipment foul. I said, what the two

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Speaker 2: players at the same jersey number on fifteen yard penalty

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Speaker 2: first down, which meant, now Utah is the ball in

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Speaker 2: Oregon State like at the Oregon State thirty. I was like,

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Speaker 2: what is going on now? Luckily they didn't score and

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Speaker 2: then Oregon State held on, but the Oregon State guy

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Speaker 2: got thrown out for targeting. So his replacement on the

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Speaker 2: punt block had the same jersey number. How these refs?

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Speaker 2: How do you catch that? By the way, I mean,

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Speaker 2: what do you counting every number and looking so that

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Speaker 2: could have been the biggest swing or the worst swing

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Speaker 2: ever lose on two of the same jersey numbers. But

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Speaker 2: I digress.

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Speaker 4: Scat well, I think best call I'll take, I'll put

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Speaker 4: two unders in there. We are on the BBC BBOC

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Speaker 4: Live Show. I took a lcu old miss under thought

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Speaker 4: of corral if the injury was enough. He only took

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Speaker 4: off for twelve times compared to thirty against Tennessee. I

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Speaker 4: think that limited mobility, that he had changed the scheme

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Speaker 4: and what I think he might still be hurt because

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Speaker 4: he was as most inaccurate as I've seen all So

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Speaker 4: I'm sure he'll get better and he'll be fine. But

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Speaker 4: that was one under and then the other one was

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Speaker 4: Notre Dame USC, and it's just typical USC.

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Speaker 3: Like I first off, I don't think they have any direction.

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Speaker 4: I think it's Caadon's lows just taking deep shots, which

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Speaker 4: isn't going to work against Notre Dame secondary. But coming

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Speaker 4: off of a bye is generally bad for an air raid,

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Speaker 4: So I was glad to get that Notre Dame usc

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Speaker 4: under in worst Call. It's not a podcast unless I

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Speaker 4: fully admit and turn in my degenerate card and say

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Speaker 4: that I was wrong about UMass and Walt Bell. It

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Speaker 4: was three to seven, I think through the first quarter,

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Speaker 4: and I was fist pumping as I drove over to

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Speaker 4: see some family in Arkansas to watch the UAPB game

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Speaker 4: after our live show, and I was fist pumping a

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Speaker 4: three to seven score, and then next thing, I look,

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Speaker 4: it's fifty to three.

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Speaker 2: So that was probably.

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Speaker 3: That was terrible.

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Speaker 2: It was terrible.

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Speaker 4: I don't know what's happened in UMass. They had something

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Speaker 4: going and then they you know, and now they have nothing.

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Speaker 4: As far as worst call goes, I can't we can't

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Speaker 4: really call Army a worst call. Christian Anderson gets hurt

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Speaker 4: at the end of the first quarter, so I can't say,

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Speaker 4: you know, losing that game is a bad call. Cincinnati

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Speaker 4: and Navy kicked five different field goals. I can't say

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Speaker 4: taking over there is a bad call when you know,

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Speaker 4: I don't know what Navy in this.

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Speaker 3: They have no clue how to go up tempo in anything.

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Speaker 3: Worst call.

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Speaker 4: I don't know Maryland, I took Maryland against Minnesota. They

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Speaker 4: actually had some decent stats against the rush defense, and Minnesota.

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Speaker 3: Just plowed throw them, ran over like it was nothing.

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Speaker 4: I don't know what is this Maryland team is impossible

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Speaker 4: to figure out, and I know that they're on offense.

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Speaker 4: It's just all explosive plays and no success rate. And

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Speaker 4: you shouldn't be relying on that to cover games. But man,

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Speaker 4: when Maryland, when Maryland does explosive plays, like you want

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Speaker 4: to bet on them, like they they make you love

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Speaker 4: them and then they break your heart.

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Speaker 2: Let's move on to the voice spells here, bad beats,

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Speaker 2: back doors and miracle covers.

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Speaker 9: However you're feeling, we want to hear from you.

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Speaker 2: You have reached the voicemail box of.

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Speaker 3: Podcast. Leave a message after the bleep.

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Speaker 6: I can't believe I'm calling you guys on Thursday Friday night.

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Speaker 6: At least like work lives good Martin Florida.

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Speaker 10: You love it.

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Speaker 6: Listen really quickly. If you've lost twelve games in a row,

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Speaker 6: how small is your if you aren't able to go

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Speaker 6: for it on fourth and one?

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Speaker 2: No?

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Speaker 6: No, no, like really though, Like you're a coach of

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Speaker 6: a bunch of young men and you're gonna look them

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Speaker 6: in the eyes of the locker room and say I

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Speaker 6: have the smallest in the world. I'm a coward and

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Speaker 6: just trace. Yeah, we're talking about the UNLB head coach.

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Speaker 6: It's dotless. It's truly unbelievable. And then the way he

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Speaker 6: uses timeouts at the end. If he has that one

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Speaker 6: time out, you run a draw on thirty two instead

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Speaker 6: of letting you know, quarterback die. But again, when you

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Speaker 6: don't have a pier, you make bad decisions. I can't

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Speaker 6: believe again Thursday night College. So it's real. Good bye,

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Speaker 6: Yeah I had.

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Speaker 2: I had UNLB. There not a fun loss. You miss

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Speaker 2: a field field goal blocked instead of the six, touched

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Speaker 2: down to get outside the number, take the first lead

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Speaker 2: of the game, and then you and the gets in

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Speaker 2: the game at the ten yard line. That was fun.

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Speaker 4: They were up seventeen three at one point they I

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Speaker 4: mean the Rebels were leading twenty to thirteen heading into

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Speaker 4: the fourth quarter and then they ended up losing by seven.

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Speaker 4: I mean they had a ten play drive by UNLV

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Speaker 4: to the fourth and twenty two, they missed the field

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Speaker 4: goal and San Jose State has a fifty yard run

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Speaker 4: to the fifteen and fumbled by Isaiah Holiness that they

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Speaker 4: actually recovered and then Nick Nash did the rest.

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Speaker 3: It was a really sick turn for the cover.

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Speaker 4: I was going to play that game with you, and

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Speaker 4: I saw the I retweeted out like an hour before

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Speaker 4: the game. The Brumfield wasn't on the field getting ready.

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Speaker 4: So I mean, I'm just off UNLV till Brumfield.

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Speaker 3: Comes back, maybe this week.

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Speaker 4: I mean we've been day to day for a while now,

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Speaker 4: so you know, once Bromfield's back, we're back on the revs.

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Speaker 2: It could easily when that game they've been close. Yeah.

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Speaker 8: I cannot think of a worst life than being a

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Speaker 8: Tennessee fan. I imagine betting Tennessee every game and then

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Speaker 8: looking amazing to cover every game and then blowing it.

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Speaker 9: How are you in the fourth quarter with a chance to.

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Speaker 8: Win the game, down seven the ball and you blow

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Speaker 8: a plus twenty seven and a half cover twenty seven

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Speaker 8: and you can blow it. Poll goes for it with

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Speaker 8: no chance to get it on fourth and five in

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Speaker 8: their own territory. Oh my god, I cannot even stomach it.

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Speaker 8: And of course all these Alabama just gets their way

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Speaker 8: every time because I got them.

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Speaker 5: That's why I really all Department of Defense.

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Speaker 11: My ass, how do you give up seventy points to

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Speaker 11: Wake Forest? I mean, I guess they're they're the best

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Speaker 11: team in the ACC. Now it's it's just insane Army.

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Speaker 11: I don't think Army had a drive over four minutes today.

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Speaker 11: Who is this air raid Army offense? And where did

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Speaker 11: it come from?

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Speaker 2: That was that'sru said? That was the Heady kept that

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Speaker 2: I had wrong. I mean, I said that Army winna

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Speaker 2: do whatever once on offense. I didn't think that they

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Speaker 2: were gonna be able to, but I didn't think that

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Speaker 2: they were able to just throw all over the I

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Speaker 2: don't know what that game was wild. I thought Army

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Speaker 2: he could get a couple stops. Nope. I got to

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Speaker 2: give credit to Sam Hartman and those receivers. I knew

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Speaker 2: once we were at half, they just had a trade

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Speaker 2: sports and they obviously throw a pick sex on a

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Speaker 2: fake field. I don't know what they were doing there,

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Speaker 2: but I yeah, I thought they were gonna get a

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Speaker 2: stop with you. They couldn't get it. They were They

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Speaker 2: weren't getting stop the entire game, so only they got one.

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Speaker 4: No, they Wake had eleven offensive possessions, ten touchdowns, ten

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Speaker 4: touchdowns and a lot of that's like that score that

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Speaker 4: Army put up on the Houston, like the seventy point

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Speaker 4: Bowl game that they put up on.

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Speaker 2: THEMYEP over half in Houston quit in that game.

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Speaker 3: Yeah yeah, but.

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Speaker 4: Over half of Wake's drives were explosive. Uh, but you know,

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Speaker 4: you have to ask if this demon Deacons defense can

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Speaker 4: win out. I mean Army had forty two percent explosive drives.

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Speaker 4: Where did that come from? Like the national average is

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Speaker 4: thirteen percent.

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Speaker 2: They like more than Army average, like eight yards per play.

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Speaker 2: You know, say that it's for a triple option offense.

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Speaker 4: And I think that's the problem is like Army average

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Speaker 4: six point yards per rush and they were only stuffed

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Speaker 4: on sixteen and sixty nine attempts. And now you look

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Speaker 4: at wakes schedule, they get a duke team. That's actually

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Speaker 4: the only good trait they have on offense is running

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Speaker 4: the ball. You look at Clemson, what is the one

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Speaker 4: thing Clemson can do? The only redeeming quality that Dabo

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Speaker 4: has is that he can run the ball a little bit.

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Speaker 4: So Wakes kind of clear up that rush defense or

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Speaker 4: it's gonna be problems down the line.

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Speaker 2: What it's gonna happen when Wake plays Clemson. I mean

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Speaker 2: Clemson's offense against Wakes defense to something that's got to

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Speaker 2: give the boring day of Dabbo Hill.

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Speaker 3: He'll have the highest scoring day of the entire season.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, but what Pitt wins again? Now people are talking

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Speaker 2: about Pitt playoffs even though they lost to Western Michigan.

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Speaker 6: Playoffs.

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Speaker 7: Don't talk about the playoff You kidding me?

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Speaker 2: Playoff? Look like you can't. You can't have a loss

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Speaker 2: of the acc to get in this year. And look,

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Speaker 2: I love Kenny Picktt, I love this pit defense. It's

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Speaker 2: just like you Pit Pitt lost the Western Michigan at home.

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Speaker 2: Western Michigan got drilled by Toledo yesterday, like you lost

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Speaker 2: at home to a MAC team. You're not going to

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Speaker 2: get into the call coul problem. Sorry. And you could

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Speaker 2: say all these wins and like, yeah, beating Clemson like

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Speaker 2: you were favored, it's not even that big of a win.

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Speaker 2: You're favored by three and a half points, like you

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Speaker 2: were expected to win that game. It wasn't like Clemson

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Speaker 2: was number one in the country and stinks. Yeah, people,

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Speaker 2: it's so weird. People get caught in their brain that

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Speaker 2: they're like, it's hard for the process that Clemson sticks.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, Clemson had two I n t's DJ DJ had

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Speaker 4: another two ice bench gets finched.

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Speaker 3: He didn't even hit half his passes. You gotta give

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Speaker 3: credit to pit though.

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Speaker 4: I mean, they were down seven to zero and then

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Speaker 4: they fumbled and they could have been staring at a

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Speaker 4: two score deficit.

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Speaker 3: But Clemson goes punt punt punt pick six. So I

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Speaker 3: mean the Clemson team is they're so terrible, But uh yeah,

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Speaker 3: I mean we're staring at a possible pitwake force. There's

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Speaker 3: a lot to play everybody. There's a lot to play out.

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Speaker 2: So it's not gonna happen to Miami beats NC State.

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Speaker 9: The aid farming couldn't have stopped my little sister's powder

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Speaker 9: puff football team. Sucky.

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Speaker 10: Your week was a slightly losing week, but Capper Knot

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Speaker 10: and his eight and thirteen dog rerat week probably lost

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Speaker 10: followers for the entire Action Network.

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Speaker 6: Man oh man.

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Speaker 5: I remember it was about a year ago I called

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Speaker 5: in all upset over my app State plus five beat

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Speaker 5: against Costa Carolina. Costa Carolina intercepted dach Thomas at the

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Speaker 5: end of the game. Instead of taking a meal, they

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Speaker 5: ran it in. They blew the spread. Man. If this

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Speaker 5: doesn't tell you that the gambling gods don't exist, they do.

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Speaker 5: At State plus three and a half, under sixteen and

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Speaker 5: a half, it's twenty seven to twenty seven going into

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Speaker 5: the fourth quarter. This under is dead, said, and what

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Speaker 5: do you know? At State fumbles on the goal line.

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Speaker 5: You think it's deja bou all over again. But guess

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Speaker 5: what the things God come through? Hey, Triple C Dynasty

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Speaker 5: a call on these nuts.

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Speaker 3: Now. I mean we mentioned the Coastal had I had

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Speaker 3: app State that game.

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Speaker 4: It was really pleasant surprice heat to get up off

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Speaker 4: the mat after what happened at Louisiana. But you know,

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Speaker 4: we mentioned that Coastal had really beaten a cupcake schedule,

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Speaker 4: and we didn't know, you know, what they would do

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Speaker 4: when they stepped in in front of real competition. App

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Speaker 4: State was five point six yards per play on the ground.

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Speaker 4: They were only stuffed on nine rushing attempts. Teams that

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Speaker 4: can run the ball give Coastal Carolina big problems. And

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Speaker 4: you know, four of eleven offensive possessions were explosive by

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Speaker 4: app State. You didn't see that against Louisiana either. The

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Speaker 4: biggest stat on the sheet was app State, averaging eleven

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Speaker 4: point two yards per play in passing downs. Coastal defense

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Speaker 4: crumbled and third and second and long.

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Speaker 2: It was.

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Speaker 3: It was a sight to see people didn't expect that

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Speaker 3: our Triple.

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Speaker 2: C Dynasty guy. He dm me and said, what's the

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Speaker 2: number again? Nine? Five to nine? Bad beat, by the way,

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Speaker 2: I don't know, I don't know if he called anything

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Speaker 2: after the lost e dm me, we.

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Speaker 3: Might not be hearing from him.

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Speaker 10: Yeah, Cincinnati team total over thirty seven and a half.

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Speaker 10: What the dude, My betting card is devastated after this debacle.

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Speaker 3: Can you hook me up with a third party that

412
00:19:13,840 --> 00:19:16,400
Speaker 3: can buy kidneys or any other organs?

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Speaker 6: Because I just got smoked this weekend. I've hey, Dave

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Speaker 6: Jorans hated that.

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Speaker 4: All right, So I mean for Incy State, I mean

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Speaker 4: Dave Duran, I mean he was down by four. He

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Speaker 4: was first intend at the Miami eighteen. It eventually turns

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Speaker 4: into a fourth and fifteen and he kicks a field

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Speaker 4: goal with five minutes left. Down by four, He kicks

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Speaker 4: a field goal with four minutes left, and his decision

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Speaker 4: was based on the fact that he thinks that he

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Speaker 4: could have got Tyler Van Dyke in Miami to go

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Speaker 4: three and out and get another.

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Speaker 3: Drive within two minutes. Well he was correct, they did that.

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Speaker 4: Miami went a three and out and then INCA State

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Speaker 4: got the ball back. But with you know, they couldn't

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Speaker 4: even get a first down under three minutes to play.

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Speaker 4: They couldn't even get a first down, you know, NC State.

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Speaker 4: I mean they could beat Wake on November thirteenth. They

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Speaker 4: can still make the a SEC Championship game. But you know,

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Speaker 4: I think the more important thing from that, besides Dave

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Speaker 4: Duran kicking a field goal down by four with five

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Speaker 4: minutes of the fourth quarter, is that Tyler van Dyke

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Speaker 4: went twenty five to thirty three and had four touchdowns

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Speaker 4: and no I INT's there was no offensive turnovers. I mean,

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Speaker 4: that's what you're looking for out of Miami, right, you

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Speaker 4: want to clean stat sheet? He had six passes over

438
00:20:22,400 --> 00:20:26,240
Speaker 4: twenty yards. Hey, let's uh, let's think about betting on

439
00:20:26,280 --> 00:20:26,800
Speaker 4: Miami here.

440
00:20:27,200 --> 00:20:28,399
Speaker 2: You was back, all right?

441
00:20:28,600 --> 00:20:33,840
Speaker 10: Really minors last week just one as a plus two

442
00:20:34,040 --> 00:20:38,640
Speaker 10: twenty underdog minor mother aff Nation. We didn't even look

443
00:20:38,720 --> 00:20:42,200
Speaker 10: at the plus six and a half. Just straight money line.

444
00:20:42,600 --> 00:20:46,159
Speaker 10: Once again, Me and my friends have been swimming in

445
00:20:46,280 --> 00:20:49,960
Speaker 10: a pool of cash like Scrooge makes duck on Ducktowns. Right,

446
00:20:51,440 --> 00:20:55,240
Speaker 10: the miners are going going, our dogs are excited, and

447
00:20:56,119 --> 00:20:59,240
Speaker 10: Minor mother f Nation is going to beat meet me

448
00:21:00,080 --> 00:21:03,840
Speaker 10: and getting to the Nashon Championship picture. You guys better

449
00:21:03,920 --> 00:21:06,280
Speaker 10: come down mail pass though, because we're going to be

450
00:21:06,400 --> 00:21:10,119
Speaker 10: represent the whole mother f Ben week.

451
00:21:10,680 --> 00:21:12,199
Speaker 2: All right, Yeah, I'm going to see if we can

452
00:21:12,280 --> 00:21:15,000
Speaker 2: make that trip. By the way, when is that game?

453
00:21:15,680 --> 00:21:18,840
Speaker 3: That game is on November sixth, coming up here pretty

454
00:21:18,880 --> 00:21:24,240
Speaker 3: quick with a projected spread right now of UTSA minus

455
00:21:24,400 --> 00:21:25,520
Speaker 3: twelve on the road.

456
00:21:26,240 --> 00:21:30,400
Speaker 2: See, I gotta check flight style, Paso. So we're gonna

457
00:21:30,480 --> 00:21:33,080
Speaker 2: pit in Utah in the contwall playoff. I'm all for

458
00:21:33,240 --> 00:21:33,760
Speaker 2: it this year.

459
00:21:35,760 --> 00:21:38,760
Speaker 7: I'm at Fresno State right now. We did next cover

460
00:21:38,920 --> 00:21:42,879
Speaker 7: minus four for god knows why. But what the are

461
00:21:42,920 --> 00:21:43,720
Speaker 7: we doing here, dude?

462
00:21:44,080 --> 00:21:45,560
Speaker 5: What the actual are we doing here?

463
00:21:45,680 --> 00:21:50,879
Speaker 7: Fresno. We're for minus four and a half favorites minus

464
00:21:50,920 --> 00:21:54,440
Speaker 7: four favorites and we're coming on to the last play

465
00:21:54,480 --> 00:21:58,639
Speaker 7: against Nevada. You and are I understand great amount list

466
00:21:58,960 --> 00:22:01,960
Speaker 7: this season? And what the are we doing? What the

467
00:22:02,040 --> 00:22:03,680
Speaker 7: fuck are we doing allowing this?

468
00:22:04,600 --> 00:22:05,680
Speaker 3: It's just horrible.

469
00:22:06,400 --> 00:22:07,760
Speaker 6: What the are we doing there?

470
00:22:08,320 --> 00:22:11,560
Speaker 2: God damn it, fres though that game comes a summed

471
00:22:11,600 --> 00:22:12,880
Speaker 2: up or that. I mean you had by the spot.

472
00:22:12,960 --> 00:22:14,760
Speaker 2: I have the money line. More important, I had a

473
00:22:14,800 --> 00:22:17,680
Speaker 2: money line and ends two. But more importantly I have

474
00:22:17,760 --> 00:22:19,879
Speaker 2: them to win them Mountain West, That's what I was

475
00:22:19,960 --> 00:22:24,000
Speaker 2: more worried about. But yeah, presdos brureal, I deserve to cover.

476
00:22:23,920 --> 00:22:25,320
Speaker 6: And it didn't listen.

477
00:22:25,480 --> 00:22:27,879
Speaker 5: I got two things to go off my chest. First,

478
00:22:28,119 --> 00:22:29,240
Speaker 5: let's talk about.

479
00:22:29,000 --> 00:22:31,000
Speaker 2: This Red Raider offense.

480
00:22:32,359 --> 00:22:35,960
Speaker 8: Just abysmal team total twenty nine and a half, twenty

481
00:22:36,000 --> 00:22:37,880
Speaker 8: four points going out into.

482
00:22:37,760 --> 00:22:38,480
Speaker 2: The second half.

483
00:22:39,600 --> 00:22:45,399
Speaker 8: But next Chipplewall offense minus six and a half, looked strong,

484
00:22:45,760 --> 00:22:49,480
Speaker 8: looked amazing to the first half again, what's going to

485
00:22:49,520 --> 00:22:50,000
Speaker 8: stop them?

486
00:22:50,200 --> 00:22:54,440
Speaker 5: Play calling as it always does. Upset by Northern Illinois

487
00:22:54,480 --> 00:22:54,840
Speaker 5: at home.

488
00:22:56,160 --> 00:22:59,040
Speaker 8: Another bad Saturday in the book.

489
00:22:59,680 --> 00:23:02,480
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean Northern. The way this team every week

490
00:23:02,600 --> 00:23:05,359
Speaker 2: is getting lucky lucky, every win by one point one,

491
00:23:05,480 --> 00:23:08,359
Speaker 2: two points. It's unbelievable. We'll be able to fait them

492
00:23:08,400 --> 00:23:08,879
Speaker 2: here shortly.

493
00:23:09,760 --> 00:23:11,440
Speaker 9: I just want to say a quick view to Jack

494
00:23:11,520 --> 00:23:14,000
Speaker 9: Plumber and whoever's calling plays for Purdue and this this

495
00:23:14,119 --> 00:23:15,760
Speaker 9: is a good idea to run him out on first

496
00:23:15,800 --> 00:23:18,320
Speaker 9: down and run the option every time the second half

497
00:23:18,520 --> 00:23:20,840
Speaker 9: when you have negative twenty rushing yards on the whole day,

498
00:23:21,160 --> 00:23:23,800
Speaker 9: I just don't understand what the thought process there. You

499
00:23:23,880 --> 00:23:26,359
Speaker 9: have O'Connell who's obviously doing their receptions because he's in

500
00:23:26,400 --> 00:23:29,160
Speaker 9: third and long every time. Just doesn't make any sense.

501
00:23:30,200 --> 00:23:34,600
Speaker 9: Jack Plummer, defensive coordinator, head coach. Yeah, God damn it.

502
00:23:37,040 --> 00:23:39,320
Speaker 3: Purdue had how many turnovers of Purdue having that game?

503
00:23:39,320 --> 00:23:41,600
Speaker 4: They had five turnovers in that game, two fumbles lost,

504
00:23:41,640 --> 00:23:45,200
Speaker 4: three interceptions thrown. And now we're facing down a Wisconsin

505
00:23:45,280 --> 00:23:47,480
Speaker 4: team that's minus three and a half in the market.

506
00:23:47,760 --> 00:23:50,200
Speaker 3: Taking on Iowa. You and I have to make a

507
00:23:50,280 --> 00:23:53,520
Speaker 3: decision on this Wisconsin, Iowa after they get gifted five

508
00:23:53,640 --> 00:23:55,320
Speaker 3: turnovers and Wisconsin.

509
00:23:55,359 --> 00:23:57,399
Speaker 2: It's gonna be funny when Wisconsin wins their division the

510
00:23:57,440 --> 00:23:59,359
Speaker 2: Big Ten after everyone showed on they're gonna be favored

511
00:23:59,400 --> 00:24:01,119
Speaker 2: to do so. My favorite every game the rest of

512
00:24:01,160 --> 00:24:02,439
Speaker 2: the year. What's that line right now?

513
00:24:02,680 --> 00:24:04,040
Speaker 3: Three and a half? I mean we have to take

514
00:24:04,040 --> 00:24:05,960
Speaker 3: the under. You look at the thirteen points by Purdue,

515
00:24:06,119 --> 00:24:07,280
Speaker 3: like seven, was you over under?

516
00:24:07,720 --> 00:24:08,320
Speaker 2: Thirty five?

517
00:24:08,840 --> 00:24:13,879
Speaker 3: Thirty six and a half? Oh my god, what's the

518
00:24:13,920 --> 00:24:18,800
Speaker 3: first total going to be eighteen. Oh man, that's the

519
00:24:18,840 --> 00:24:20,119
Speaker 3: first quarter total gonna be.

520
00:24:20,600 --> 00:24:22,280
Speaker 2: I think it still goes under. You just don't. It's

521
00:24:22,320 --> 00:24:24,560
Speaker 2: gonna be like Army. You just can't have flukes you

522
00:24:24,600 --> 00:24:26,120
Speaker 2: can have I mean Army. There was a one yard

523
00:24:26,200 --> 00:24:30,040
Speaker 2: dutchdown drive on a fumble and then still went way under. Anyway, Yeah,

524
00:24:30,080 --> 00:24:31,760
Speaker 2: it was a rough weekend. I was saying this, like,

525
00:24:32,480 --> 00:24:36,879
Speaker 2: I like, I sweat and care so much more because

526
00:24:36,880 --> 00:24:39,720
Speaker 2: of you guys like I. This is once you get

527
00:24:39,800 --> 00:24:41,960
Speaker 2: past the point you know, you have like people that

528
00:24:42,080 --> 00:24:45,240
Speaker 2: follow you online. I'm posting picks for like ten, fifteen,

529
00:24:45,560 --> 00:24:48,639
Speaker 2: twenty years. Yeah, two thousand and three, I was on covers.

530
00:24:48,680 --> 00:24:50,880
Speaker 2: I was in high school, and like, there's a point

531
00:24:50,920 --> 00:24:53,960
Speaker 2: where the trolls and like they they will get to

532
00:24:54,240 --> 00:24:56,600
Speaker 2: some people. They can never get over this, and it

533
00:24:56,680 --> 00:24:59,560
Speaker 2: actually becomes bad for your own gambling because then you

534
00:25:00,000 --> 00:25:02,480
Speaker 2: it's a form of putting you onto till and then

535
00:25:02,520 --> 00:25:05,560
Speaker 2: you start betting accordingly once you get over that. Some

536
00:25:05,640 --> 00:25:07,600
Speaker 2: people never do. So it took me a long time

537
00:25:07,640 --> 00:25:10,360
Speaker 2: to not care at all. Now we'll happily just call

538
00:25:10,440 --> 00:25:13,000
Speaker 2: out people. I will. Then it becomes just a source

539
00:25:13,040 --> 00:25:15,920
Speaker 2: of like instead of this. This makes this so I'll

540
00:25:15,960 --> 00:25:17,600
Speaker 2: never get tired of it. I love doing it. I

541
00:25:17,680 --> 00:25:19,400
Speaker 2: love sweating for all the people that I meet here,

542
00:25:20,040 --> 00:25:24,200
Speaker 2: you guys on the podcast. So I just infuriates me

543
00:25:24,280 --> 00:25:27,439
Speaker 2: when I never don't have any winning Saturdays, any winning Saturday,

544
00:25:27,440 --> 00:25:29,639
Speaker 2: I get mad for myself, for you guys. So I

545
00:25:29,720 --> 00:25:30,840
Speaker 2: just wanted to throw that out there.

546
00:25:31,200 --> 00:25:33,120
Speaker 3: I take everything that I put into the app.

547
00:25:33,440 --> 00:25:35,480
Speaker 4: Not only have I bet on, but I think we

548
00:25:35,600 --> 00:25:38,320
Speaker 4: have credibility on this podcast because we actually bet on

549
00:25:38,400 --> 00:25:40,800
Speaker 4: it and we know that people are betting on it

550
00:25:40,880 --> 00:25:43,959
Speaker 4: with us. You know, there's so many other places right

551
00:25:44,040 --> 00:25:46,520
Speaker 4: now that are offering advice on college football games. If

552
00:25:46,520 --> 00:25:49,480
Speaker 4: I got to watch another Virtual Locks on ESPN, I

553
00:25:49,560 --> 00:25:52,960
Speaker 4: might throw up. I doubt anybody else has actual money

554
00:25:53,000 --> 00:25:54,760
Speaker 4: on the game. Like, I take everything that we put

555
00:25:54,800 --> 00:25:57,000
Speaker 4: into the app very seriously, Like it's not a joke.

556
00:25:57,240 --> 00:25:59,520
Speaker 4: Like when I put in UCLA two units, there was

557
00:25:59,560 --> 00:26:01,800
Speaker 4: a comma in the wager size that I had on

558
00:26:01,920 --> 00:26:04,920
Speaker 4: UCLA and listen, Organ was the better team. You say

559
00:26:05,000 --> 00:26:07,479
Speaker 4: it came out through a couple Haymakers got up fourteen

560
00:26:07,520 --> 00:26:11,120
Speaker 4: to zero. Organ made the adjustments you see, and maybe

561
00:26:11,160 --> 00:26:12,720
Speaker 4: you say would have won that game with dtr in

562
00:26:12,760 --> 00:26:16,760
Speaker 4: the last drive. Can't have freshmen throwing side sideline outs.

563
00:26:17,040 --> 00:26:20,120
Speaker 4: That's gonna get picked every time. But you know, I mean,

564
00:26:20,640 --> 00:26:22,880
Speaker 4: who knows what would happen with DTR back in that game.

565
00:26:22,920 --> 00:26:25,440
Speaker 4: But give credit to organ for coming back. Hey, we're

566
00:26:25,560 --> 00:26:28,679
Speaker 4: with you, Like, It's not like we're just previously throwing

567
00:26:28,760 --> 00:26:31,080
Speaker 4: things into the app Like, I mean, we have a

568
00:26:31,200 --> 00:26:34,120
Speaker 4: generous size of money in there too. So live and learn,

569
00:26:34,400 --> 00:26:36,800
Speaker 4: take notes, and be better the next week and hopefully

570
00:26:36,840 --> 00:26:38,000
Speaker 4: we can figure this thing out together.

571
00:26:38,480 --> 00:26:41,760
Speaker 2: All right, let's go through the rest of Let's cover

572
00:26:41,840 --> 00:26:48,280
Speaker 2: anything we didn't. Let's see that. Let's go, well, kids, unbelievable.

573
00:26:47,880 --> 00:26:51,160
Speaker 3: Kids punned once? Can we talk about that? Kids? Punn

574
00:26:51,960 --> 00:26:53,800
Speaker 3: They averaged two more yards per play on them.

575
00:26:53,840 --> 00:26:55,960
Speaker 2: They shut out Oklahoma in the first half first time

576
00:26:56,160 --> 00:26:56,840
Speaker 2: twenty fourteen.

577
00:26:57,119 --> 00:26:59,320
Speaker 3: They have more total yards than Oklaholma the D four

578
00:26:59,400 --> 00:27:04,280
Speaker 3: or twelve totally yards. What happened? I mean, like should

579
00:27:04,320 --> 00:27:06,040
Speaker 3: we be the ones asking what happened here?

580
00:27:06,640 --> 00:27:09,159
Speaker 2: I mean, I mean Williams, are you gonna are you

581
00:27:09,200 --> 00:27:10,680
Speaker 2: gonna burn that Heinsman ticket?

582
00:27:11,440 --> 00:27:13,639
Speaker 4: Well, yeah, I mean that fifty to one that was

583
00:27:13,720 --> 00:27:15,280
Speaker 4: offered out there on him, that's going to be around

584
00:27:15,280 --> 00:27:16,919
Speaker 4: for a while unless he keeps stealing the ball from

585
00:27:16,960 --> 00:27:18,800
Speaker 4: his running backs and we're un taking it down the field.

586
00:27:18,840 --> 00:27:21,600
Speaker 4: But I mean, this Kansas team, where is this the

587
00:27:21,720 --> 00:27:24,600
Speaker 4: Kansas offer? Listen to Oklahoma defense we've known about for

588
00:27:24,640 --> 00:27:26,920
Speaker 4: a long time. I don't think there's any doubt that

589
00:27:27,000 --> 00:27:29,320
Speaker 4: we know that anybody is able to push things against them,

590
00:27:29,359 --> 00:27:32,760
Speaker 4: but I guess it includes Kansas who Kansas was able

591
00:27:32,840 --> 00:27:35,280
Speaker 4: to generate an explosive drive.

592
00:27:35,440 --> 00:27:38,080
Speaker 3: They got sixty percent of available yards, twenty percent more

593
00:27:38,119 --> 00:27:39,040
Speaker 3: in the national average.

594
00:27:39,520 --> 00:27:43,800
Speaker 4: Kansas got seventy eight percent two plus first downs. They

595
00:27:43,920 --> 00:27:48,639
Speaker 4: had sustained drives in almost all nine possessions, only nine possessions.

596
00:27:48,760 --> 00:27:49,520
Speaker 4: I mean, there's oklo.

597
00:27:49,560 --> 00:27:53,240
Speaker 3: There was many chances for Oklahoma to score. It's pretty

598
00:27:53,320 --> 00:27:53,919
Speaker 3: pretty crazy.

599
00:27:54,960 --> 00:27:57,200
Speaker 2: San Diego State gets to win, by the way to

600
00:27:57,280 --> 00:28:00,000
Speaker 2: stand defeed it. So it looks like Cole Kawall plowff,

601
00:28:00,560 --> 00:28:05,919
Speaker 2: San Diego State pit utap the Georgia that's the playoff

602
00:28:06,000 --> 00:28:09,040
Speaker 2: I want. I just don't want Alabama, Georgia, Ohio State

603
00:28:09,080 --> 00:28:12,359
Speaker 2: and Oklahoma again. Oh my god, not this year. Alabama's

604
00:28:12,400 --> 00:28:16,480
Speaker 2: defense again they get ripped apart. It's not an elite team,

605
00:28:16,840 --> 00:28:19,840
Speaker 2: you know, Oklahoma we've seen. They're not elite, but you

606
00:28:20,280 --> 00:28:24,639
Speaker 2: hold on to beat Kansas, right, Yeah, yeah, I assure you.

607
00:28:25,280 --> 00:28:27,400
Speaker 2: I don't think they'll be Georgia, but they could win out,

608
00:28:27,600 --> 00:28:28,600
Speaker 2: and if they do, they're going to go to the

609
00:28:28,600 --> 00:28:32,200
Speaker 2: Gajoa Playoff with Georgia, and then if Ohio State wins out,

610
00:28:32,280 --> 00:28:34,359
Speaker 2: as they should, High of State I think should be there,

611
00:28:34,400 --> 00:28:37,160
Speaker 2: actually Ohio State and Georgia. I want to see those

612
00:28:37,160 --> 00:28:40,400
Speaker 2: two teams in there, and uh, the rest I could

613
00:28:40,440 --> 00:28:42,320
Speaker 2: do without give me some fresh faces.

614
00:28:42,760 --> 00:28:45,120
Speaker 4: I don't know if Indiana is a true barometer if

615
00:28:45,160 --> 00:28:48,080
Speaker 4: the Ohio State defense is back, considering Tuttles out there,

616
00:28:48,320 --> 00:28:50,840
Speaker 4: Penix has heard, like there's just there's so many injuries

617
00:28:50,880 --> 00:28:53,800
Speaker 4: on the Indiana side, and they weren't that great even

618
00:28:53,840 --> 00:28:54,680
Speaker 4: before the injuries.

619
00:28:54,760 --> 00:28:57,160
Speaker 3: So we'll have to see what happens with Penn State.

620
00:28:57,320 --> 00:28:59,560
Speaker 2: The offense is that offense. I want to see that offense.

621
00:28:59,560 --> 00:29:04,640
Speaker 3: But Georgia defense, Yeah, yeah, absolutely, But the other I mean,

622
00:29:05,040 --> 00:29:06,880
Speaker 3: we'll see, We'll see what happens here.

623
00:29:07,080 --> 00:29:08,520
Speaker 2: I got a long way to go into it. Yeah,

624
00:29:09,320 --> 00:29:10,640
Speaker 2: all right, before we get out of here, let's go

625
00:29:10,840 --> 00:29:11,320
Speaker 2: three and out.

626
00:29:11,960 --> 00:29:15,440
Speaker 3: Oh, let's make it a quick three and out.

627
00:29:17,360 --> 00:29:21,640
Speaker 2: All right, Let's look at some weekday lines here. First down,

628
00:29:22,800 --> 00:29:23,480
Speaker 2: why wait.

629
00:29:23,360 --> 00:29:26,600
Speaker 8: For the weekend, Strap in your fun belts and get

630
00:29:26,760 --> 00:29:27,680
Speaker 8: ready for maction.

631
00:29:28,400 --> 00:29:29,880
Speaker 9: It's midweek madness.

632
00:29:31,800 --> 00:29:35,640
Speaker 2: By the way, Maxin is coming our love, O love.

633
00:29:36,880 --> 00:29:39,160
Speaker 2: We're gonna have Tuesday and Wednesday and night football soon.

634
00:29:39,480 --> 00:29:42,600
Speaker 2: Can't wait for November. We gotta close up October first,

635
00:29:43,680 --> 00:29:46,200
Speaker 2: Thursday night football. We have two games on Thursday night

636
00:29:46,880 --> 00:29:50,560
Speaker 2: and they're not what you call the most appetizing games,

637
00:29:50,640 --> 00:29:55,520
Speaker 2: but maybe there's some value. Troy travels to Coastal Carolina,

638
00:29:56,320 --> 00:29:58,680
Speaker 2: good call, eighteen and a half point favorites over under

639
00:29:58,680 --> 00:30:03,520
Speaker 2: fifty two and a half. And South Florida. Nah, that

640
00:30:03,760 --> 00:30:06,959
Speaker 2: game open goes to East Carolina. It's not November yet.

641
00:30:07,000 --> 00:30:09,560
Speaker 2: For hole dollars East Carolina open, I think six and

642
00:30:09,600 --> 00:30:11,080
Speaker 2: a half within if that's up to nine and a

643
00:30:11,080 --> 00:30:13,560
Speaker 2: half over under fifty eight. Anything in either of these

644
00:30:13,600 --> 00:30:14,440
Speaker 2: two games, what do you got?

645
00:30:14,720 --> 00:30:18,800
Speaker 3: Well? First off, geographically, they're both going to get dumped.

646
00:30:19,000 --> 00:30:20,959
Speaker 3: Have have rain. They have rain, heavy rain in the forecast.

647
00:30:21,040 --> 00:30:22,960
Speaker 4: There's a lot of rain for the Troy Coastal game,

648
00:30:23,440 --> 00:30:25,640
Speaker 4: a little bit less rain but more win for East

649
00:30:25,680 --> 00:30:26,840
Speaker 4: Carolina and South Florida.

650
00:30:26,880 --> 00:30:27,720
Speaker 3: So keep that in mind.

651
00:30:28,000 --> 00:30:29,440
Speaker 4: You know, when it comes to Troy and Coastal, there's

652
00:30:29,480 --> 00:30:31,920
Speaker 4: twelve days off here for Troy, and a win here

653
00:30:32,080 --> 00:30:34,320
Speaker 4: keeps him in the hunt with app State for the division.

654
00:30:34,960 --> 00:30:37,640
Speaker 4: I project Coastal about fifteen. It came out a little

655
00:30:37,640 --> 00:30:40,560
Speaker 4: bit higher, no Shock, around eighteen and a half nineteen

656
00:30:40,600 --> 00:30:42,840
Speaker 4: today as we record, and you know, the way to

657
00:30:42,920 --> 00:30:45,760
Speaker 4: beat the chance is to have a solid run game.

658
00:30:46,480 --> 00:30:47,400
Speaker 3: Troy doesn't have that.

659
00:30:47,680 --> 00:30:50,560
Speaker 4: Outside the top one hundred in line yards, one hundred

660
00:30:50,560 --> 00:30:53,239
Speaker 4: and eighteenth in offensive finishing drives, it's going to make

661
00:30:53,280 --> 00:30:56,200
Speaker 4: this a really tough get against Coastal. Troy's d though,

662
00:30:56,320 --> 00:30:58,600
Speaker 4: is number one in havoc in the nation, and they're

663
00:30:58,640 --> 00:31:00,960
Speaker 4: eighth in lineyards on defense. It's good numbers against a

664
00:31:00,960 --> 00:31:02,720
Speaker 4: Coastal team that rushes sixty two percent.

665
00:31:03,440 --> 00:31:05,320
Speaker 3: I think the under is worth a look here. Coastal

666
00:31:05,400 --> 00:31:08,040
Speaker 3: may have some long sustaining.

667
00:31:07,640 --> 00:31:09,920
Speaker 4: Drives like they usually do, but if Troy gets the

668
00:31:09,960 --> 00:31:11,440
Speaker 4: ball back, they're not gonna be able to do anything.

669
00:31:11,920 --> 00:31:15,120
Speaker 3: Showers and thunderstorms sixteen miles an hour wins. I think

670
00:31:15,120 --> 00:31:16,480
Speaker 3: the under's gonna be worth a look here. Now it

671
00:31:16,600 --> 00:31:17,560
Speaker 3: is out at fifty two.

672
00:31:17,880 --> 00:31:20,920
Speaker 4: It's something that I projected at fifty six, so I

673
00:31:20,960 --> 00:31:23,320
Speaker 4: mean fifty five and fifty one are key, So we'll

674
00:31:23,320 --> 00:31:25,240
Speaker 4: see which way the number is gonna take. This essentially,

675
00:31:25,280 --> 00:31:27,280
Speaker 4: fifty two and a half as we record is kind

676
00:31:27,280 --> 00:31:29,040
Speaker 4: of a dead number, so I'll be watching it, but

677
00:31:29,120 --> 00:31:31,080
Speaker 4: the under is the way I want to go. As

678
00:31:31,200 --> 00:31:34,080
Speaker 4: for South Florida and ECU, also a chance of storms.

679
00:31:35,520 --> 00:31:37,680
Speaker 4: You know, what is the fatigue level of this Eastern

680
00:31:37,720 --> 00:31:40,200
Speaker 4: Carolina team? They travel to Houston game gets in a

681
00:31:40,280 --> 00:31:44,120
Speaker 4: long delay, overtime loss. So you know, I projected at

682
00:31:44,200 --> 00:31:46,920
Speaker 4: ten and a half in favor of the Pirates. Currently

683
00:31:46,960 --> 00:31:49,000
Speaker 4: out right now as I'm talking, it's moved from eight

684
00:31:49,000 --> 00:31:50,920
Speaker 4: and a half up to nine. Looks like it's going

685
00:31:50,960 --> 00:31:54,680
Speaker 4: to go towards the projection. You know, you can't make

686
00:31:54,680 --> 00:31:56,920
Speaker 4: a statistical case for South Florida in this game. They're

687
00:31:56,960 --> 00:31:59,440
Speaker 4: god awful, but both of these teams are outside the

688
00:31:59,480 --> 00:32:03,080
Speaker 4: top one hund offensive finishing drives. So look at the

689
00:32:03,240 --> 00:32:05,360
Speaker 4: under or the first half under because it's a short

690
00:32:05,400 --> 00:32:07,760
Speaker 4: week and ECU may be on some sort of fatigue

691
00:32:07,760 --> 00:32:09,920
Speaker 4: with overtime and a delay. That's the way I'm going

692
00:32:09,960 --> 00:32:12,120
Speaker 4: to look there too, So two unders, maybe a first

693
00:32:12,120 --> 00:32:15,080
Speaker 4: half under on they ECU USF and keep your eyes.

694
00:32:14,960 --> 00:32:20,480
Speaker 2: On the weather, all right for on a second down,

695
00:32:20,920 --> 00:32:23,480
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712
00:33:05,440 --> 00:33:07,920
Speaker 2: We're recording this on Sunday afternoons. We do have some

713
00:33:08,000 --> 00:33:11,400
Speaker 2: look ats to next Saturday. I have a dug in

714
00:33:11,480 --> 00:33:13,000
Speaker 2: too deep. So what's sticking out to you?

715
00:33:13,440 --> 00:33:15,800
Speaker 4: Yeah, Wyoming was a team we mentioned how horrible they were,

716
00:33:15,920 --> 00:33:18,920
Speaker 4: but they have some extreme advantages on the ground against

717
00:33:18,920 --> 00:33:21,720
Speaker 4: the San Jose State team. I project Wyoming to be

718
00:33:21,760 --> 00:33:23,560
Speaker 4: a small favorite, and right now you can get them

719
00:33:23,560 --> 00:33:24,880
Speaker 4: plus three and a half in the market.

720
00:33:24,880 --> 00:33:27,880
Speaker 3: I've already bought in on that. Tulsa against Navy.

721
00:33:27,920 --> 00:33:32,600
Speaker 4: Tulsa has some extremely strong metrics against the Rush, including

722
00:33:32,680 --> 00:33:35,320
Speaker 4: top ten and stuff rate. That's a number that should

723
00:33:35,360 --> 00:33:37,400
Speaker 4: get up into the double digits. I believe nine and

724
00:33:37,440 --> 00:33:39,440
Speaker 4: a half is where I got it. I expect that

725
00:33:39,600 --> 00:33:40,160
Speaker 4: to move.

726
00:33:40,440 --> 00:33:46,200
Speaker 3: Another Western Kentucky is around twenty in the market, and

727
00:33:46,280 --> 00:33:48,720
Speaker 3: I know Charlotte has got awful, but we project them

728
00:33:48,760 --> 00:33:51,400
Speaker 3: down at around thirteen and a half, and I think

729
00:33:51,400 --> 00:33:52,920
Speaker 3: I've got to do a little bit of research about

730
00:33:52,920 --> 00:33:54,320
Speaker 3: what Charlotte's secondary is doing.

731
00:33:54,400 --> 00:33:57,360
Speaker 4: I know that there's some injuries a club lit, but

732
00:33:57,480 --> 00:34:00,959
Speaker 4: that number is completely inflated. Also so Hawaii, I mean

733
00:34:01,000 --> 00:34:02,400
Speaker 4: that's a number that I make a pick. They were

734
00:34:02,440 --> 00:34:04,360
Speaker 4: plus seven. I've already seen it take action down to

735
00:34:04,400 --> 00:34:06,880
Speaker 4: plus six and a half. So hopefully a seven, six

736
00:34:06,920 --> 00:34:08,400
Speaker 4: and a half or six is in the market by

737
00:34:08,440 --> 00:34:11,640
Speaker 4: the time this gets published Against Utah State, Hawaii is

738
00:34:11,680 --> 00:34:13,920
Speaker 4: one of the best teams in the nation in coverage rankings,

739
00:34:13,960 --> 00:34:16,239
Speaker 4: and that's going to be needed against Logan Bonner and

740
00:34:16,320 --> 00:34:18,000
Speaker 4: a Blake Anderson run offense.

741
00:34:18,440 --> 00:34:20,279
Speaker 2: I don't know Michigan Michigan State. By the way, what

742
00:34:20,360 --> 00:34:22,400
Speaker 2: Michigan's want three and a half wood Road favor.

743
00:34:22,560 --> 00:34:24,560
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean as far as Michigan Michigan State goes,

744
00:34:24,600 --> 00:34:26,480
Speaker 4: I mean I make the number right on four. Now,

745
00:34:26,520 --> 00:34:29,080
Speaker 4: there's not much value from a numbers perspective, but when

746
00:34:29,120 --> 00:34:31,680
Speaker 4: you look at Michigan State's defense sixty eighth and rushing

747
00:34:31,719 --> 00:34:34,360
Speaker 4: success rate, that's extremely important. Against a Michigan team that

748
00:34:34,440 --> 00:34:37,440
Speaker 4: runs sixty seven percent of the time and they're thirteenth

749
00:34:37,480 --> 00:34:39,799
Speaker 4: in the nation and rushing success rate on offense, They're

750
00:34:39,840 --> 00:34:42,279
Speaker 4: just going to shove it down your throat. Now, what

751
00:34:42,360 --> 00:34:44,479
Speaker 4: scares me about Michigan State and why I probably should

752
00:34:44,480 --> 00:34:45,799
Speaker 4: be putting a Michigan bed in right now.

753
00:34:46,360 --> 00:34:48,960
Speaker 3: Spartans are one hundred and eleventh on defense and stuff. Right,

754
00:34:49,320 --> 00:34:50,000
Speaker 3: I'm not sure.

755
00:34:49,880 --> 00:34:51,719
Speaker 4: If Mission is going to have to use their quarterback.

756
00:34:52,160 --> 00:34:55,160
Speaker 4: They have extreme advantages here on the ground. When you

757
00:34:55,200 --> 00:34:57,600
Speaker 4: look at Michigan State's defense, I mean they're they're great

758
00:34:57,640 --> 00:34:59,880
Speaker 4: at a pass rush. They're top twenty five in coverage,

759
00:35:00,280 --> 00:35:02,839
Speaker 4: and you know their thirteenth and finishing drives, but none

760
00:35:02,880 --> 00:35:05,640
Speaker 4: of that covers the rush. So Michigans can get everything

761
00:35:05,760 --> 00:35:07,560
Speaker 4: want on the ground. Now, if you, you know, turn

762
00:35:07,600 --> 00:35:10,200
Speaker 4: to the other side of the ball, there's a lot

763
00:35:10,239 --> 00:35:12,600
Speaker 4: of explosive plays that Spartan's been able to pull off.

764
00:35:13,400 --> 00:35:14,960
Speaker 4: We've you know, kind of made fun of their schedule

765
00:35:15,000 --> 00:35:17,839
Speaker 4: for a little bit, but you know, Michigan hasn't given

766
00:35:17,960 --> 00:35:20,200
Speaker 4: up anything this year. Their top twenty and big play

767
00:35:20,280 --> 00:35:23,520
Speaker 4: rate on defense, There's sixteenth in covers, there's seventh in

768
00:35:23,560 --> 00:35:24,640
Speaker 4: defensive finishing drives.

769
00:35:24,719 --> 00:35:25,600
Speaker 3: That is a huge issue.

770
00:35:25,640 --> 00:35:28,080
Speaker 4: Now, I mentioned finishing drives because remember we did a

771
00:35:28,120 --> 00:35:30,320
Speaker 4: study before the season that said success rate in finishing

772
00:35:30,400 --> 00:35:33,800
Speaker 4: drives are the biggest indicators of covering the spread. Michigan

773
00:35:33,880 --> 00:35:36,200
Speaker 4: has a huge, extreme advantage here when it comes to

774
00:35:36,280 --> 00:35:39,120
Speaker 4: Michigan State trying to score points, and they're gonna be

775
00:35:39,120 --> 00:35:40,520
Speaker 4: able to take care of those explosive plays.

776
00:35:40,560 --> 00:35:42,719
Speaker 3: So I think I like Michigan. I probably end up

777
00:35:42,719 --> 00:35:44,080
Speaker 3: betting it and start writing it up tonight.

778
00:35:45,520 --> 00:35:48,880
Speaker 2: We will talk about that game in much greater detail

779
00:35:48,960 --> 00:35:51,839
Speaker 2: later in the week on our Week nine Cough four

780
00:35:51,880 --> 00:35:54,200
Speaker 2: betting preview, which will be out late night Thursday night.

781
00:35:54,960 --> 00:35:59,360
Speaker 2: Before we get out of here. Third down, Just one question,

782
00:36:00,320 --> 00:36:04,960
Speaker 2: Wisconsin Iowa. Wisconsin's a three point home favorite over Iowa.

783
00:36:05,960 --> 00:36:08,200
Speaker 2: Are we betting the under thirty six and a half?

784
00:36:08,840 --> 00:36:12,399
Speaker 2: What do you think? I say, yes, I say we're

785
00:36:12,400 --> 00:36:14,399
Speaker 2: gonna end up doing it. I gotta dig a little more.

786
00:36:14,440 --> 00:36:17,480
Speaker 2: But who's scoring in that game? And how it's just

787
00:36:17,560 --> 00:36:19,959
Speaker 2: like to me it's army Wisconsin all over again.

788
00:36:20,120 --> 00:36:24,960
Speaker 4: Well, first off, Iowa's best offensive rank and I'm not

789
00:36:25,040 --> 00:36:25,600
Speaker 4: kidding about this.

790
00:36:25,680 --> 00:36:27,520
Speaker 3: I'm staring at all of them and they're all updated.

791
00:36:28,000 --> 00:36:30,200
Speaker 3: They're one hundred and eight and pass blocking that's the

792
00:36:30,400 --> 00:36:34,120
Speaker 3: best stat you can name any other split They're not there,

793
00:36:34,280 --> 00:36:38,399
Speaker 3: one hundred and twenty fifth and offensive stuff rate everybody's behind.

794
00:36:38,800 --> 00:36:40,600
Speaker 3: By the way, Wisconsin is the best in the nation

795
00:36:40,680 --> 00:36:43,520
Speaker 3: of getting behind the line of scrimmage, So I was

796
00:36:43,600 --> 00:36:45,279
Speaker 3: not going to be able to run. They're a one

797
00:36:45,320 --> 00:36:49,000
Speaker 3: hundred and nine, one hundred and ninth in offensive finishing

798
00:36:49,080 --> 00:36:51,560
Speaker 3: drives even if they get down to the forty yard line.

799
00:36:51,600 --> 00:36:54,600
Speaker 3: What are they going to do? Riley Moss is out.

800
00:36:55,120 --> 00:36:56,439
Speaker 3: You know, that's the one thing I think.

801
00:36:56,320 --> 00:36:58,480
Speaker 2: It doesn't matter. Wisconsin can't throw, so that doesn't matter.

802
00:36:58,600 --> 00:36:59,800
Speaker 3: And that's the whole thing I was gonna flip to

803
00:36:59,840 --> 00:37:01,320
Speaker 3: the other side of the ball. Do we look at it?

804
00:37:01,480 --> 00:37:03,040
Speaker 4: Is graham MERT's going to try to air it out?

805
00:37:03,080 --> 00:37:04,839
Speaker 4: I mean, they do run the ball sixty seven percent

806
00:37:04,840 --> 00:37:06,640
Speaker 4: of the time. But is Chez Malusy just going to

807
00:37:06,680 --> 00:37:08,040
Speaker 4: try to bull rush everybody?

808
00:37:08,080 --> 00:37:13,000
Speaker 2: I don't chutch Graham Mertz couldn't air it out against Army,

809
00:37:13,520 --> 00:37:17,600
Speaker 2: who just gave up seven trillion yards to wake Forest

810
00:37:17,680 --> 00:37:20,200
Speaker 2: through the air. Think about that they go out. Wisconsin

811
00:37:20,200 --> 00:37:21,760
Speaker 2: couldn't throw it against Army. Secondary.

812
00:37:22,040 --> 00:37:23,759
Speaker 3: Do you know what a key number in college football is?

813
00:37:23,960 --> 00:37:25,960
Speaker 4: I'm looking at the key numbers and the like the

814
00:37:26,040 --> 00:37:27,920
Speaker 4: best key number in totals, you and I are going

815
00:37:28,000 --> 00:37:29,640
Speaker 4: to try to take the total right. The best key

816
00:37:29,719 --> 00:37:32,680
Speaker 4: number in totals is fifty five. It hits three point

817
00:37:32,719 --> 00:37:34,160
Speaker 4: three percent of the time. And this is in a

818
00:37:34,239 --> 00:37:36,879
Speaker 4: database that goes back like twenty years I'm sorry, twelve

819
00:37:36,920 --> 00:37:37,239
Speaker 4: year span.

820
00:37:37,280 --> 00:37:40,759
Speaker 3: I'm looking at it, and so I think, let me

821
00:37:40,840 --> 00:37:42,200
Speaker 3: look count on one, two, through five.

822
00:37:42,600 --> 00:37:45,799
Speaker 2: There's probably not enough data for a key number. Well

823
00:37:46,000 --> 00:37:48,200
Speaker 2: as far as key totals, like a key number down

824
00:37:48,239 --> 00:37:52,040
Speaker 2: here would probably be thirty, thirty four, and thirty seven.

825
00:37:52,480 --> 00:37:55,919
Speaker 4: The eleventh highest of all key totals is thirty seven,

826
00:37:56,360 --> 00:37:59,080
Speaker 4: and then after that thirty eight comes a couple little

827
00:37:59,120 --> 00:38:01,879
Speaker 4: bit after that, thirty four after that. So if it's

828
00:38:01,880 --> 00:38:03,680
Speaker 4: sitting thirty six and a half and thirty five, those

829
00:38:03,719 --> 00:38:06,839
Speaker 4: aren't even key. So boy, if you get under thirty seven,

830
00:38:06,960 --> 00:38:08,840
Speaker 4: that's uh, we have to.

831
00:38:08,880 --> 00:38:11,759
Speaker 2: Get thirty I know, I wanted to get thirty seven

832
00:38:11,800 --> 00:38:13,839
Speaker 2: and a half. I was surprised to open that. It's

833
00:38:13,880 --> 00:38:17,160
Speaker 2: a sharper open. Usually these totals that are really low,

834
00:38:17,200 --> 00:38:19,719
Speaker 2: they usually open and then just get bet down right away.

835
00:38:20,480 --> 00:38:23,080
Speaker 2: Uh yeah, we'll look into the thirty six and a half.

836
00:38:23,400 --> 00:38:25,160
Speaker 2: If you're listening to this and there's a thirty seven

837
00:38:25,200 --> 00:38:28,120
Speaker 2: at any point during the week, I'm hitting it all right.

838
00:38:28,360 --> 00:38:30,560
Speaker 2: That'll do it for us. Appreciate all of you listening,

839
00:38:30,840 --> 00:38:33,279
Speaker 2: thanks as always calling for joining me. It's time for

840
00:38:33,400 --> 00:38:35,120
Speaker 2: us to go find some winners. It's time for all

841
00:38:35,120 --> 00:38:36,840
Speaker 2: of us to get red hot and close out this

842
00:38:37,000 --> 00:38:39,319
Speaker 2: year on fire. We'll catch you all later. In the week.

843
00:38:40,440 --> 00:38:41,640
Speaker 2: Cheers peace Out,