1 00:00:13,840 --> 00:00:19,239 Speaker 1: Hello, and welcome to this edition of Phishology. As always, 2 00:00:19,239 --> 00:00:22,520 Speaker 1: here in Phishology, like they go in depth analysis on 3 00:00:22,760 --> 00:00:27,240 Speaker 1: advanced stats and metrics that you will not find anywhere else. 4 00:00:27,800 --> 00:00:31,680 Speaker 1: Dedicated to the Miami Marlins. As always, I am Daniel, 5 00:00:31,840 --> 00:00:35,400 Speaker 1: You're a host NAM, joined by two esteem colleagues as always, 6 00:00:35,760 --> 00:00:39,160 Speaker 1: mister Eli Sussman mister lewis HEDEO wise, how you guys 7 00:00:39,240 --> 00:00:40,400 Speaker 1: feeling for this episode. 8 00:00:41,720 --> 00:00:45,680 Speaker 2: We are at the end of by far, the most satisfying, 9 00:00:45,760 --> 00:00:50,680 Speaker 2: thrilling month of this Marlin's offseason. And yeah, so I've 10 00:00:50,720 --> 00:00:53,680 Speaker 2: been begging for this for a while to finally get 11 00:00:53,720 --> 00:00:55,840 Speaker 2: a clearer look at how this team comes together. And 12 00:00:56,080 --> 00:00:58,680 Speaker 2: as we are kind of creeping up one spring training, 13 00:00:58,760 --> 00:01:01,480 Speaker 2: we've got a very clear idea so we could go 14 00:01:01,560 --> 00:01:04,759 Speaker 2: into these final few moves about how these pieces fit 15 00:01:04,880 --> 00:01:07,520 Speaker 2: together heading into twenty twenty three. Fired Up. 16 00:01:08,319 --> 00:01:11,399 Speaker 3: Yeah, I think that narrative has definitely shifted. I think 17 00:01:11,440 --> 00:01:14,040 Speaker 3: we can all agree that where the Marlins were two 18 00:01:14,080 --> 00:01:16,880 Speaker 3: months ago, relative to the moves they made and the 19 00:01:18,319 --> 00:01:20,600 Speaker 3: pushback from a fan base that they weren't really doing 20 00:01:20,600 --> 00:01:23,520 Speaker 3: anything that, like Eli kind of prefaced, this last month 21 00:01:23,560 --> 00:01:27,880 Speaker 3: has been dizzy, busy, busy, and I definitely think Sherman 22 00:01:27,920 --> 00:01:29,720 Speaker 3: and Kim were wright when they said that the roster 23 00:01:29,800 --> 00:01:31,480 Speaker 3: would look a little bit different on opening day. But 24 00:01:31,520 --> 00:01:33,000 Speaker 3: I think it's going to look a lot different with 25 00:01:33,760 --> 00:01:35,680 Speaker 3: some of what we're going to talk about tonight. 26 00:01:36,080 --> 00:01:39,640 Speaker 2: And I guarantee you that the team will look different 27 00:01:39,880 --> 00:01:40,640 Speaker 2: on opening Day. 28 00:01:41,360 --> 00:01:43,880 Speaker 1: Yeah, and really quickly before we really get into any 29 00:01:43,959 --> 00:01:46,759 Speaker 1: of the topics, I'm announced the other day Jazz being 30 00:01:46,800 --> 00:01:48,880 Speaker 1: the cover of MLB the Show twenty three. How do 31 00:01:48,880 --> 00:01:51,040 Speaker 1: you guys feel about that? Having that noiiety to the 32 00:01:51,040 --> 00:01:53,080 Speaker 1: Marlins and having a player that's going to be seen 33 00:01:53,160 --> 00:01:53,880 Speaker 1: all over the world. 34 00:01:55,080 --> 00:01:57,640 Speaker 2: Well, lu should get into the analytical side of it 35 00:01:57,720 --> 00:02:00,880 Speaker 2: and start with the criticism. I think he's kind of 36 00:02:00,960 --> 00:02:04,440 Speaker 2: well deserved about just how his resume is a lot 37 00:02:04,520 --> 00:02:06,880 Speaker 2: shorter as a major league player compared to guys that 38 00:02:06,960 --> 00:02:09,760 Speaker 2: typically get on the cover MLB. The show has been 39 00:02:09,800 --> 00:02:13,360 Speaker 2: around since two thousand and six, and during that time 40 00:02:13,440 --> 00:02:17,280 Speaker 2: it's usually a raigning MVP or somebody that's a very 41 00:02:17,360 --> 00:02:20,840 Speaker 2: probable MVP candidate for the upcoming year. Just as an example, 42 00:02:20,840 --> 00:02:24,800 Speaker 2: the last few years show Hail Tani, Fernando Tatis Junior 43 00:02:25,919 --> 00:02:28,079 Speaker 2: Jazz as a guy in his career to this point 44 00:02:28,120 --> 00:02:31,160 Speaker 2: who's not quite yet at five wins above replacement for 45 00:02:31,200 --> 00:02:36,000 Speaker 2: his whole career, and unfortunately, in both of his full 46 00:02:36,080 --> 00:02:39,639 Speaker 2: seasons he's missed significant time due to injury, and now's 47 00:02:39,919 --> 00:02:43,280 Speaker 2: they obviously made this decision before the position switch, for 48 00:02:43,360 --> 00:02:46,760 Speaker 2: that adds even more uncertainty as to exactly what he's 49 00:02:46,800 --> 00:02:49,639 Speaker 2: going to be moving forward. This was a big lean 50 00:02:49,880 --> 00:02:53,079 Speaker 2: into his force of his personality, and that's something that's 51 00:02:53,120 --> 00:02:55,799 Speaker 2: more difficult to quantify, but I guess you could look 52 00:02:55,800 --> 00:02:57,840 Speaker 2: at the numbers on social media and the type of 53 00:02:57,919 --> 00:03:03,120 Speaker 2: engagement that he brings is really almost unrivaled, certainly by 54 00:03:03,120 --> 00:03:05,640 Speaker 2: any Marvelins player, but very few guys around the game 55 00:03:06,000 --> 00:03:09,200 Speaker 2: that have this kind of pull among the younger generation, 56 00:03:09,919 --> 00:03:15,359 Speaker 2: that are so popular among the younger generation from all backgrounds. 57 00:03:16,520 --> 00:03:18,760 Speaker 1: And I was a static. I couldn't like stop smiling, 58 00:03:18,840 --> 00:03:21,400 Speaker 1: calling my family members my love brother, especially because he 59 00:03:21,400 --> 00:03:23,520 Speaker 1: plays a video game probably just as much as I do. 60 00:03:23,600 --> 00:03:26,920 Speaker 1: So it's been a crazy couple of months. 61 00:03:27,320 --> 00:03:30,600 Speaker 2: So he's somebody that I'd be fascinated to see a 62 00:03:30,600 --> 00:03:33,160 Speaker 2: couple of months from now. Pre Orders for the game 63 00:03:33,240 --> 00:03:36,320 Speaker 2: start next week, and I think it's officially delivered to 64 00:03:36,360 --> 00:03:39,280 Speaker 2: people shortly before opening day at the end of March. 65 00:03:39,520 --> 00:03:41,680 Speaker 2: I'd be fascinating to see the numbers on the other 66 00:03:41,760 --> 00:03:43,480 Speaker 2: side of that as to how many copies of the 67 00:03:43,520 --> 00:03:46,000 Speaker 2: game get moved this year. I wouldn't be surprised if 68 00:03:46,000 --> 00:03:47,840 Speaker 2: it sells more copies than ever. 69 00:03:48,840 --> 00:03:50,240 Speaker 1: Lewis, how do you feel. I know if it is 70 00:03:50,280 --> 00:03:52,680 Speaker 1: an analytical or stat or anything, but I feel like 71 00:03:52,680 --> 00:03:56,040 Speaker 1: it's a big deal for the organization and for Jazz 72 00:03:56,080 --> 00:03:58,280 Speaker 1: to have this type of honor where it's going to 73 00:03:58,360 --> 00:04:01,200 Speaker 1: be seen for years. And Elan mentioned on a list 74 00:04:01,200 --> 00:04:05,600 Speaker 1: with guys like Judge Otani, Joe Mauer, David Ortiz, guys like. 75 00:04:05,560 --> 00:04:08,560 Speaker 3: That, David Wright too, if you really want to go 76 00:04:08,640 --> 00:04:11,720 Speaker 3: back in the history of the show, covers Andrew McCutcheon 77 00:04:11,720 --> 00:04:15,320 Speaker 3: in thirteen. Yeah, I mean, like, you know, I spoke 78 00:04:15,400 --> 00:04:18,080 Speaker 3: to somebody who kind of gave me an inkling that 79 00:04:18,200 --> 00:04:24,599 Speaker 3: this the selection for this wasn't necessarily predicated on overall 80 00:04:24,800 --> 00:04:28,479 Speaker 3: performative output, so you're not going to get somebody like 81 00:04:28,640 --> 00:04:32,480 Speaker 3: Tatis is an example, who was incredible in this season 82 00:04:32,560 --> 00:04:35,440 Speaker 3: plus or so that he had played, although again like 83 00:04:35,520 --> 00:04:39,360 Speaker 3: Jazz abbreviated before he got the cover selection, but it 84 00:04:39,440 --> 00:04:42,839 Speaker 3: was like upper echelon high end performance before he was selected, 85 00:04:42,880 --> 00:04:45,799 Speaker 3: and he had that, you know, I guess the name 86 00:04:45,920 --> 00:04:48,560 Speaker 3: and the potential attached to him. I think Jazz definitely 87 00:04:48,640 --> 00:04:52,880 Speaker 3: has you know, the potential as and that's one reason 88 00:04:52,880 --> 00:04:56,440 Speaker 3: as to why maybe he is, you know, was a 89 00:04:56,480 --> 00:04:58,839 Speaker 3: good choice at least in my approximation, to be the cover. 90 00:04:59,000 --> 00:05:01,440 Speaker 3: But he is somebody that you can mark around. Like 91 00:05:01,440 --> 00:05:03,440 Speaker 3: Eli kind of said, you're kind of going more on 92 00:05:03,520 --> 00:05:07,400 Speaker 3: personality more than you are what he's done on the field. 93 00:05:07,560 --> 00:05:11,760 Speaker 3: That being said, you know, he could come out and have, 94 00:05:11,880 --> 00:05:14,480 Speaker 3: you know, an incredible season. He could, you know, be 95 00:05:14,560 --> 00:05:17,760 Speaker 3: twenty twenty. He could you know, make another All Star 96 00:05:17,839 --> 00:05:21,000 Speaker 3: team next to get to play and people will understand this, 97 00:05:21,080 --> 00:05:23,920 Speaker 3: but he just as a personality I think is perfect. 98 00:05:24,279 --> 00:05:26,440 Speaker 3: It kind of just reiterates to let the kids play 99 00:05:26,480 --> 00:05:29,159 Speaker 3: motto where And we saw it in the marketing for 100 00:05:29,200 --> 00:05:31,200 Speaker 3: the game, where you know, the way that he grew 101 00:05:31,279 --> 00:05:34,480 Speaker 3: up playing baseball in the Bahamas, it's so different from 102 00:05:34,560 --> 00:05:36,760 Speaker 3: the way that the game's played on sandlots and just 103 00:05:36,800 --> 00:05:39,640 Speaker 3: even organized leagues over here. So it's I think that 104 00:05:39,760 --> 00:05:41,960 Speaker 3: was definitely a selling point for some fans. 105 00:05:44,520 --> 00:05:46,880 Speaker 2: When I was a little kid, we ran sandloud games 106 00:05:46,880 --> 00:05:50,520 Speaker 2: in the Bahamas, six v six, no catches, no unks, 107 00:05:50,600 --> 00:05:53,280 Speaker 2: just getting boss and having fun. 108 00:05:53,360 --> 00:05:56,200 Speaker 4: We played to play for the Marlins. 109 00:05:56,240 --> 00:05:59,880 Speaker 3: I think it gives them some nice, some nice and 110 00:06:00,160 --> 00:06:03,039 Speaker 3: race with a crowd that generally ignores them, and for 111 00:06:03,160 --> 00:06:06,520 Speaker 3: good reason. There's plenty of reasons to score in the Marlins. 112 00:06:06,160 --> 00:06:06,520 Speaker 4: I guess. 113 00:06:06,560 --> 00:06:10,279 Speaker 3: But you know, Jazz is exciting because you know there's 114 00:06:10,279 --> 00:06:12,880 Speaker 3: a lot we haven't seen and what he already has 115 00:06:12,920 --> 00:06:15,960 Speaker 3: given us leads us to believe that there's more to come. 116 00:06:16,720 --> 00:06:20,720 Speaker 1: And on topic of Jazz, as you mentioned that there 117 00:06:20,839 --> 00:06:25,760 Speaker 1: is a positional change for chism here going from second 118 00:06:25,760 --> 00:06:29,760 Speaker 1: base to center field. We did profile Jazz and one 119 00:06:29,760 --> 00:06:32,839 Speaker 1: of our earlier episodes, one of our first episodes, talking 120 00:06:32,839 --> 00:06:36,240 Speaker 1: to him more offensively with some defensive metrics. But this 121 00:06:36,320 --> 00:06:39,880 Speaker 1: is the overall positional change, going from the infield to 122 00:06:40,040 --> 00:06:44,480 Speaker 1: arguably one of the toughest positions in baseball, center field. ELI, 123 00:06:44,920 --> 00:06:46,599 Speaker 1: how do you feel like Jazz is going to be 124 00:06:46,640 --> 00:06:51,240 Speaker 1: able to compete every day at center field position? Going 125 00:06:51,279 --> 00:06:53,520 Speaker 1: from middle infield to all the way in the back. 126 00:06:54,400 --> 00:06:59,480 Speaker 2: This is entirely new for him. One comp that comes 127 00:06:59,480 --> 00:07:02,719 Speaker 2: to mind. For me, I've been like procrastinating putting this 128 00:07:02,760 --> 00:07:04,960 Speaker 2: in an article form breaking it down a little bit. 129 00:07:06,400 --> 00:07:09,320 Speaker 2: There is not a whole lot of precedent for guys 130 00:07:10,360 --> 00:07:14,320 Speaker 2: who were signed and developed as middle infielders, debuted as 131 00:07:14,360 --> 00:07:17,680 Speaker 2: middle infielders and then switched to center field and actually 132 00:07:17,720 --> 00:07:21,040 Speaker 2: stuck in centerfield for any sort of permanent period. And 133 00:07:21,320 --> 00:07:24,880 Speaker 2: the one player that did do something very much like 134 00:07:24,960 --> 00:07:28,440 Speaker 2: that is bj Upton when he was with the Rays. 135 00:07:28,720 --> 00:07:31,120 Speaker 2: He came up through their system as one of the 136 00:07:31,160 --> 00:07:33,760 Speaker 2: very best prospects in baseball as middle infielder. He had 137 00:07:33,880 --> 00:07:36,480 Speaker 2: ups and downs with his bat, and in his early 138 00:07:36,520 --> 00:07:40,240 Speaker 2: twenties he converted to centerfield full time. He had a 139 00:07:40,320 --> 00:07:43,080 Speaker 2: really nice run over the next six years with the 140 00:07:43,160 --> 00:07:46,559 Speaker 2: Rays as their everyday center fielder. As somebody that has 141 00:07:46,800 --> 00:07:50,440 Speaker 2: a skill set that's very similar to Jazz, great raw power, 142 00:07:50,800 --> 00:07:54,840 Speaker 2: he had top of the line speed and that allowed 143 00:07:54,920 --> 00:07:58,000 Speaker 2: him to be a serviceable defensive center fielder depending on 144 00:07:58,040 --> 00:08:01,640 Speaker 2: what metrics you look at. So that's what's a little complicated, 145 00:08:01,680 --> 00:08:04,400 Speaker 2: is comparing apples to apples to oranges. Is that he 146 00:08:04,440 --> 00:08:06,840 Speaker 2: played before the stat cast era. We know he was 147 00:08:06,920 --> 00:08:09,560 Speaker 2: really fast, you know, he had good range, there's kind 148 00:08:09,560 --> 00:08:13,080 Speaker 2: of some mixed statistical feedback as to whether he was 149 00:08:13,480 --> 00:08:15,600 Speaker 2: a positive out there or whether he was maybe a 150 00:08:15,640 --> 00:08:19,320 Speaker 2: slight negative during his career. But the skill set is 151 00:08:19,320 --> 00:08:22,440 Speaker 2: what reminds me a lot between bj Upton and Jazz 152 00:08:22,520 --> 00:08:25,680 Speaker 2: Chisholm Junior. And for the most part, I mean, he 153 00:08:26,080 --> 00:08:30,280 Speaker 2: was a pretty consistently above average everyday player for that 154 00:08:30,360 --> 00:08:35,040 Speaker 2: team throughout the late two thousands and the early twenty tens, 155 00:08:35,720 --> 00:08:38,560 Speaker 2: and he didn't move back. He never moved back to 156 00:08:38,600 --> 00:08:40,319 Speaker 2: the infield, and in fact, he didn't move off of 157 00:08:40,320 --> 00:08:43,800 Speaker 2: a center field until his early thirties. At that point. 158 00:08:44,720 --> 00:08:46,720 Speaker 2: With Jazz, the upside is a little bit higher even 159 00:08:46,840 --> 00:08:48,920 Speaker 2: because we've seen the kind of power that he has 160 00:08:49,040 --> 00:08:52,080 Speaker 2: and his ability to pull the ball against even top 161 00:08:52,160 --> 00:08:54,840 Speaker 2: end velocity. So he's going to hit more home runs 162 00:08:55,080 --> 00:08:58,680 Speaker 2: than somebody like bj Upton ever did. And I think 163 00:08:58,760 --> 00:09:01,400 Speaker 2: even if he is a middle defensive player out there, 164 00:09:01,520 --> 00:09:04,719 Speaker 2: or even a slight negative out there in center fields, like, 165 00:09:04,760 --> 00:09:08,079 Speaker 2: he's still going to be an all star caliber player 166 00:09:08,080 --> 00:09:09,439 Speaker 2: in terms of total value. 167 00:09:09,760 --> 00:09:12,560 Speaker 3: So a name that I actually just came to the 168 00:09:12,559 --> 00:09:15,240 Speaker 3: the came into my head is a one that you know, 169 00:09:15,840 --> 00:09:18,520 Speaker 3: maybe hardcore baseball fans would be a bit more familiar 170 00:09:18,520 --> 00:09:21,400 Speaker 3: with and you'd really have to deep dive Larry Dobie. 171 00:09:21,520 --> 00:09:24,040 Speaker 3: So when Larry Dobee played in the Negro leagues, he 172 00:09:24,040 --> 00:09:26,920 Speaker 3: was a second baseman shortstop, and when he got to 173 00:09:26,920 --> 00:09:29,080 Speaker 3: the big leagues with Cleveland, he was obviously as we 174 00:09:29,160 --> 00:09:31,680 Speaker 3: know for those who don't know, he was the first 175 00:09:31,920 --> 00:09:33,760 Speaker 3: African American player to play in the Major League. He 176 00:09:33,840 --> 00:09:37,160 Speaker 3: debuted two months after Jackie Robinson in June of nineteen 177 00:09:37,240 --> 00:09:40,400 Speaker 3: forty seven. He was primarily a second baseman, and I 178 00:09:40,520 --> 00:09:45,600 Speaker 3: believe he converted with the help of Tris Speaker, who 179 00:09:45,640 --> 00:09:48,360 Speaker 3: was a coach at the time, to center field or 180 00:09:48,400 --> 00:09:50,839 Speaker 3: maybe in a corner outfield spot. But he was one 181 00:09:50,840 --> 00:09:55,559 Speaker 3: of those infielders who learned the outfield after primarily being 182 00:09:55,559 --> 00:09:58,120 Speaker 3: an infielder and transitioned to become a very good one. 183 00:09:58,280 --> 00:10:00,839 Speaker 3: Obviously also an incredible player whole. There's more that you 184 00:10:00,840 --> 00:10:02,719 Speaker 3: could be said. You can even you know, if you 185 00:10:02,760 --> 00:10:05,600 Speaker 3: want to do lesser examples. Ian Happ currently who was 186 00:10:06,080 --> 00:10:08,960 Speaker 3: a second basement short step prospect coming up at the CUB, 187 00:10:09,040 --> 00:10:11,760 Speaker 3: so he kind of experimented doing both. Kevin Bigio to 188 00:10:11,800 --> 00:10:14,320 Speaker 3: an extent though, that's more corner outfield. If you want 189 00:10:14,320 --> 00:10:17,400 Speaker 3: to go back to the eighties, BJ Sirhoff was a catcher. 190 00:10:17,480 --> 00:10:20,080 Speaker 3: Craig Bigio played a lot of center field, was also 191 00:10:20,120 --> 00:10:23,000 Speaker 3: a second baseman, but was a catcher originally too. Those 192 00:10:23,000 --> 00:10:25,840 Speaker 3: are comps I think, you know, Jazz, I think Upton 193 00:10:25,960 --> 00:10:29,160 Speaker 3: is probably the most the closest you're gonna get in 194 00:10:29,240 --> 00:10:33,440 Speaker 3: terms of overall production to that point, relative to what 195 00:10:33,559 --> 00:10:37,640 Speaker 3: he's done defensively and offensively and what you can maybe 196 00:10:37,720 --> 00:10:40,560 Speaker 3: project from though, like I like, I like you positive 197 00:10:40,600 --> 00:10:43,720 Speaker 3: I believe that Jazz has the potential to be a better, 198 00:10:44,280 --> 00:10:46,640 Speaker 3: you know, overall player then, and we saw that he 199 00:10:46,720 --> 00:10:49,600 Speaker 3: made those mechanical adjustments at the play, being a little 200 00:10:49,600 --> 00:10:54,160 Speaker 3: bit more selective early in the season before he got hurt. Yeah, 201 00:10:54,320 --> 00:10:58,280 Speaker 3: I think BJ Upton is probably the most apt comparison. Uh. 202 00:10:58,320 --> 00:11:01,200 Speaker 3: If I find another one later, I'm sure I'll randomly 203 00:11:01,200 --> 00:11:02,640 Speaker 3: send you guys a text at too in the morning 204 00:11:02,640 --> 00:11:04,320 Speaker 3: to say it. But as of right now, I think 205 00:11:04,360 --> 00:11:05,920 Speaker 3: I can't really think of anything better than what you 206 00:11:06,040 --> 00:11:06,400 Speaker 3: just said. 207 00:11:07,200 --> 00:11:11,360 Speaker 2: I can't believe he dropped to Larry Adobe. I didn't 208 00:11:11,400 --> 00:11:13,240 Speaker 2: know that about Larry Adobe. I thought I knew his 209 00:11:13,280 --> 00:11:15,760 Speaker 2: career pretty well. This hinges so much. I've said this 210 00:11:15,800 --> 00:11:18,680 Speaker 2: multiple times, is how much the success of this team 211 00:11:18,760 --> 00:11:21,199 Speaker 2: is going to hinge on Jazz being first of all, 212 00:11:21,200 --> 00:11:25,720 Speaker 2: being available to play, but also being available and serviceable 213 00:11:25,760 --> 00:11:29,280 Speaker 2: to play in center fields and allow the several infielders 214 00:11:29,400 --> 00:11:33,840 Speaker 2: veterans that they have who simply don't have the physical 215 00:11:34,000 --> 00:11:36,600 Speaker 2: traits to even fake it out there, allow them to 216 00:11:36,640 --> 00:11:40,680 Speaker 2: stay in the infield. And if he is a missing 217 00:11:40,720 --> 00:11:43,679 Speaker 2: piece out there, or if it's just doesn't work out 218 00:11:43,760 --> 00:11:47,240 Speaker 2: for him at all, then it has this cascading effect, 219 00:11:47,400 --> 00:11:50,400 Speaker 2: this domino effect on the risk of the roster. And 220 00:11:51,200 --> 00:11:53,520 Speaker 2: this is their solution to get as many quality bats 221 00:11:53,840 --> 00:11:58,200 Speaker 2: into the lineup as possible, and they're believing, they're hoping 222 00:11:58,360 --> 00:12:01,520 Speaker 2: that being able to do that will offset any of 223 00:12:01,559 --> 00:12:05,079 Speaker 2: the issues that come up on the defensive side. 224 00:12:05,320 --> 00:12:07,320 Speaker 3: And one more thing with Jazz too is we should 225 00:12:07,400 --> 00:12:11,040 Speaker 3: note Garrett Cooper's not a long term answer. A Rise 226 00:12:11,160 --> 00:12:13,960 Speaker 3: primarily played a lot of first base last year. If 227 00:12:14,080 --> 00:12:17,080 Speaker 3: Jazz doesn't work out in center field and internally you 228 00:12:17,120 --> 00:12:18,760 Speaker 3: want to make the move to get a Rise at 229 00:12:18,800 --> 00:12:22,080 Speaker 3: first and Cooper struggles offensively, you know there's avenues that 230 00:12:22,120 --> 00:12:22,839 Speaker 3: can present. 231 00:12:22,640 --> 00:12:24,839 Speaker 4: Themselves should the circumstances fall into place. 232 00:12:25,080 --> 00:12:28,080 Speaker 3: But if we want to talk about guys, even contemporary 233 00:12:28,120 --> 00:12:30,920 Speaker 3: players or players who recently who we grew up watching 234 00:12:31,360 --> 00:12:36,280 Speaker 3: that experimented playing both second base and you know, the outfield, 235 00:12:36,400 --> 00:12:38,960 Speaker 3: if not centerfield, why don't you look at the Marlins 236 00:12:39,000 --> 00:12:42,080 Speaker 3: manager himself, Skip Schumacher, a second baseman who has one 237 00:12:42,120 --> 00:12:44,679 Speaker 3: hundred and nineteen career games in centerfield. So like there's 238 00:12:44,920 --> 00:12:48,079 Speaker 3: somebody John Jay who recently just became a member of 239 00:12:48,080 --> 00:12:50,400 Speaker 3: the coaching staff, played a lot of center field during 240 00:12:50,440 --> 00:12:54,800 Speaker 3: the during his career. Also a teammate of Skips John Birdie, 241 00:12:54,800 --> 00:13:00,400 Speaker 3: who's experimented with playing everywhere from second base, shortstop to centerfield. 242 00:13:00,080 --> 00:13:01,680 Speaker 4: In corner spots as well. 243 00:13:01,760 --> 00:13:04,840 Speaker 3: So he's got I think he's got Deviating from the analytics, 244 00:13:04,880 --> 00:13:06,440 Speaker 3: I think you have a lot of voices that you 245 00:13:06,480 --> 00:13:09,160 Speaker 3: can got to go to that have done that and 246 00:13:09,200 --> 00:13:12,880 Speaker 3: that can maybe ease him into that transition. And and 247 00:13:13,160 --> 00:13:15,680 Speaker 3: you know, we'll see how that kind of mafests itself. 248 00:13:15,760 --> 00:13:18,880 Speaker 3: But I definitely think he's not going to be short 249 00:13:18,920 --> 00:13:22,760 Speaker 3: on resources. He'll have plenty of people who can definitely 250 00:13:22,800 --> 00:13:24,679 Speaker 3: help guide him in that transition. 251 00:13:24,960 --> 00:13:26,760 Speaker 4: And you know, I. 252 00:13:26,720 --> 00:13:28,800 Speaker 3: Think, honestly, like if there's young guys there that are 253 00:13:28,800 --> 00:13:31,719 Speaker 3: committed to winning long term here, that's an investment you 254 00:13:31,800 --> 00:13:33,920 Speaker 3: want to make. We know one player doesn't make the 255 00:13:34,080 --> 00:13:36,920 Speaker 3: entire difference and whether or not a team sinks or swims. 256 00:13:37,360 --> 00:13:40,760 Speaker 3: But for somebody like Jazz, who at this point is 257 00:13:40,800 --> 00:13:44,600 Speaker 3: the mark que position player in this current franchise at 258 00:13:44,600 --> 00:13:47,040 Speaker 3: the big league level, you want to make every investment 259 00:13:47,080 --> 00:13:49,840 Speaker 3: that you can in him to ensure that he performs 260 00:13:49,880 --> 00:13:52,320 Speaker 3: to the best of his abilities. And he has voices 261 00:13:52,360 --> 00:13:53,560 Speaker 3: that he can go to for shore. 262 00:13:55,720 --> 00:13:58,640 Speaker 1: With that, let's go on to our next topic, and 263 00:13:58,720 --> 00:14:02,599 Speaker 1: what was the most recent an acquisition for the Marlands, 264 00:14:02,960 --> 00:14:05,440 Speaker 1: and that is a reliever swap, and he may be 265 00:14:05,480 --> 00:14:07,959 Speaker 1: wondering who relieved which relievers will go through? Where the 266 00:14:08,000 --> 00:14:11,480 Speaker 1: Marlins acquiring Matt Barnes from the Boston Red Sox and 267 00:14:11,679 --> 00:14:18,040 Speaker 1: cash considerations for Richard Blier. For Matt Barnes, he had 268 00:14:18,080 --> 00:14:22,800 Speaker 1: a tale of two halves last season. I believe he 269 00:14:22,880 --> 00:14:25,560 Speaker 1: had around a one point five er in the second 270 00:14:25,600 --> 00:14:29,400 Speaker 1: half and had I believe all his saves in the 271 00:14:29,400 --> 00:14:32,160 Speaker 1: second half, where the first half was just a myriad 272 00:14:32,440 --> 00:14:35,160 Speaker 1: of just disaster for him. But he is a former 273 00:14:35,200 --> 00:14:38,120 Speaker 1: World Series champion, A former All Star, he had twenty 274 00:14:38,160 --> 00:14:41,120 Speaker 1: four staves, a career high in the twenty twenty one season. 275 00:14:42,080 --> 00:14:46,040 Speaker 1: Lewis react to his trade for the Marlins and how 276 00:14:46,040 --> 00:14:48,160 Speaker 1: do you think Matt Barnes can do in the N 277 00:14:48,360 --> 00:14:50,520 Speaker 1: East and a loan deep book compared to Fenway. 278 00:14:51,760 --> 00:14:54,240 Speaker 3: First of all, I am shocked to see that Boston 279 00:14:54,320 --> 00:14:58,400 Speaker 3: offloaded as much as money to Barnes as they did 280 00:14:58,440 --> 00:15:00,640 Speaker 3: to get essentially nothing out of it. But I mean 281 00:15:00,680 --> 00:15:02,680 Speaker 3: that he's been there for the better part of a 282 00:15:02,720 --> 00:15:05,520 Speaker 3: decade to move. There's like nine seasons he spent with Boston, 283 00:15:05,920 --> 00:15:07,680 Speaker 3: so it was time for them to make a move. 284 00:15:07,720 --> 00:15:09,400 Speaker 4: I mean they saw he struggled at the end of 285 00:15:09,400 --> 00:15:09,840 Speaker 4: the season. 286 00:15:10,320 --> 00:15:12,800 Speaker 3: We spoke to him on his introductory press conference and 287 00:15:12,800 --> 00:15:16,240 Speaker 3: he talked about, you know, some stuff that facilitated maybe 288 00:15:16,240 --> 00:15:18,240 Speaker 3: some struggles he had in twenty twenty one, whether that 289 00:15:18,320 --> 00:15:21,640 Speaker 3: was getting sick or overthrowing on a couple of road 290 00:15:21,640 --> 00:15:24,600 Speaker 3: trips instance on the il that cost him time. 291 00:15:25,120 --> 00:15:28,040 Speaker 5: I wasn't scared to walk a guy or two, but 292 00:15:28,040 --> 00:15:30,760 Speaker 5: I would get away with it because I could strike 293 00:15:30,760 --> 00:15:32,920 Speaker 5: a guy out and use my stuff to get out 294 00:15:32,960 --> 00:15:36,000 Speaker 5: of situations. Why didn't have that stuff at the beginning 295 00:15:36,080 --> 00:15:41,560 Speaker 5: of last year, which kind of just create a snowball effect. 296 00:15:41,720 --> 00:15:45,080 Speaker 3: But Barnes is Yeah, I mean, I definitely think Blier 297 00:15:45,520 --> 00:15:49,040 Speaker 3: will be missed to the degree that people actually like him. 298 00:15:49,640 --> 00:15:51,760 Speaker 3: And I also want to use this as an opportunity 299 00:15:51,800 --> 00:15:54,880 Speaker 3: to give Richard Blier his due. I think, for all, 300 00:15:55,400 --> 00:15:58,200 Speaker 3: you know, for all the inconsistencies that plagued him at 301 00:15:58,240 --> 00:16:01,280 Speaker 3: the outset of last season, the guy was nothing but 302 00:16:01,360 --> 00:16:03,880 Speaker 3: dependable for Miami. I mean, one hundred and twenty two innings, 303 00:16:03,920 --> 00:16:06,680 Speaker 3: a one thirty three ERA plus, a three twelve FF 304 00:16:06,760 --> 00:16:10,040 Speaker 3: a three sixteen ERA. He was tied with Jonathan LEWISEGA 305 00:16:10,320 --> 00:16:13,320 Speaker 3: for twenty second and a best adjusted the RI plus 306 00:16:13,320 --> 00:16:16,520 Speaker 3: in the big leagues. And he had a nice post 307 00:16:16,840 --> 00:16:19,440 Speaker 3: thanking the Marlins first time. And as he heads back 308 00:16:19,480 --> 00:16:20,880 Speaker 3: to the American League's in this trade. 309 00:16:20,920 --> 00:16:22,480 Speaker 4: But yeah, back to Barnes. 310 00:16:22,520 --> 00:16:25,880 Speaker 3: I think Barnes' biggest skill set is, you know, and 311 00:16:25,920 --> 00:16:28,440 Speaker 3: I tweeted about it yesterday, he just misses bats. And 312 00:16:28,520 --> 00:16:30,840 Speaker 3: he said that sometimes he's had to do that out 313 00:16:30,880 --> 00:16:34,160 Speaker 3: of necessity because he's gotten himself into jams. And we 314 00:16:34,280 --> 00:16:37,080 Speaker 3: know that he kind of creates us for himself sometimes 315 00:16:37,160 --> 00:16:40,840 Speaker 3: because he's not the best in terms of controlling base runners. 316 00:16:40,880 --> 00:16:42,400 Speaker 3: He does walk a lot of guys as a career 317 00:16:42,760 --> 00:16:45,920 Speaker 3: whip is I believe over one point three, so he 318 00:16:46,000 --> 00:16:49,680 Speaker 3: hasn't he has a propensity to allow free passes from 319 00:16:49,720 --> 00:16:52,040 Speaker 3: time to time. But I did a stat head surge 320 00:16:52,160 --> 00:16:54,920 Speaker 3: yesterday from twenty twenty eight to twenty twenty one, he's 321 00:16:54,960 --> 00:16:58,120 Speaker 3: ranked third in case burnin among relievers minimum two hundred 322 00:16:58,160 --> 00:17:00,680 Speaker 3: innings pitched with fourteen point two case nine. And then 323 00:17:00,680 --> 00:17:02,000 Speaker 3: I was like, all right, Like he had a bad 324 00:17:02,040 --> 00:17:05,520 Speaker 3: year last year, but he still put up good strikeout numbers. 325 00:17:05,800 --> 00:17:08,040 Speaker 3: I believe it was around eleven or twelve case per nine. 326 00:17:08,119 --> 00:17:09,880 Speaker 3: So I did eighteen to twenty two, and I said 327 00:17:09,880 --> 00:17:12,040 Speaker 3: the minimum at two hundred and thirty innings pitch still 328 00:17:12,080 --> 00:17:15,240 Speaker 3: ranks third with like thirteen point one strikeouts per nine. 329 00:17:15,320 --> 00:17:18,960 Speaker 3: So the guy's biggest asset is obviously the high nineties 330 00:17:19,000 --> 00:17:23,160 Speaker 3: fastball that he likes to throw up in the zone. 331 00:17:23,240 --> 00:17:25,119 Speaker 3: He talked a lot more that he started throwing a 332 00:17:25,200 --> 00:17:28,280 Speaker 3: changeup more. That facilitated his rebirth in the second half. 333 00:17:28,800 --> 00:17:31,800 Speaker 3: He just misses bats and the Marlins didn't really have it. 334 00:17:31,880 --> 00:17:35,000 Speaker 3: I mean, I think that him and Blyer can maybe 335 00:17:35,160 --> 00:17:38,240 Speaker 3: replicate on field results as far as run prevention goes, 336 00:17:38,240 --> 00:17:41,080 Speaker 3: but they're gonna get about it in different ways. Bler's 337 00:17:41,119 --> 00:17:44,680 Speaker 3: gonna get ground balls. Barnes is going to strike out 338 00:17:44,720 --> 00:17:48,359 Speaker 3: the world when he has the ability to. I think 339 00:17:48,440 --> 00:17:52,320 Speaker 3: Miami did pretty well year with regards to how they fared, 340 00:17:53,240 --> 00:17:55,520 Speaker 3: you know, not not having to pay him more than 341 00:17:55,520 --> 00:17:58,760 Speaker 3: I believe it's like three million dollars, given that Boston 342 00:17:58,760 --> 00:18:01,800 Speaker 3: shelved about five million. At eight million, he was owed 343 00:18:01,840 --> 00:18:04,840 Speaker 3: over after defaying him. But yeah, you're looking at just 344 00:18:04,880 --> 00:18:11,119 Speaker 3: a very consistent pitcher who's always underperformed his his FIP, 345 00:18:11,400 --> 00:18:13,520 Speaker 3: you know, he's always been his he has always been 346 00:18:13,600 --> 00:18:16,520 Speaker 3: higher because of the walks, and he is a little 347 00:18:16,520 --> 00:18:20,280 Speaker 3: homer happy at times. But he's just a very good reliever. 348 00:18:20,400 --> 00:18:22,520 Speaker 3: I think I would wouldn't say very good, but he's 349 00:18:22,720 --> 00:18:26,639 Speaker 3: above average to where you know, he gives you something 350 00:18:26,680 --> 00:18:29,280 Speaker 3: that was largely lacking, and that's the ability to miss bats. 351 00:18:29,280 --> 00:18:32,960 Speaker 3: And I think that'll definitely aid Miami as we go 352 00:18:33,000 --> 00:18:33,679 Speaker 3: into the season. 353 00:18:34,119 --> 00:18:37,480 Speaker 2: Yeah, I'll start with where Lewis finished there, what he 354 00:18:37,560 --> 00:18:41,199 Speaker 2: mentioned about how I like this trade as well, Like, 355 00:18:41,240 --> 00:18:43,560 Speaker 2: I think this is a very appropriate deal to get 356 00:18:43,560 --> 00:18:46,480 Speaker 2: somebody that has the potential to miss bats for your 357 00:18:46,560 --> 00:18:50,119 Speaker 2: bullpen that I guess among the returning pitchers you had 358 00:18:50,200 --> 00:18:52,320 Speaker 2: big questions about that. And some of the only guys 359 00:18:52,320 --> 00:18:55,000 Speaker 2: that do miss bats in this bullpen have even worse 360 00:18:55,400 --> 00:18:59,320 Speaker 2: control issues than Barnes does. Barnes could be the best 361 00:18:59,320 --> 00:19:03,359 Speaker 2: reliever in this pen conceivably this year. But rewinding what 362 00:19:03,440 --> 00:19:07,000 Speaker 2: Lewis also pointed out about what Barnes told us as 363 00:19:07,080 --> 00:19:10,199 Speaker 2: the media is that he gave us this very specific 364 00:19:10,359 --> 00:19:12,879 Speaker 2: inflection point in his career, which was the middle of 365 00:19:12,880 --> 00:19:15,080 Speaker 2: that twenty twenty one season, and I looked it up. 366 00:19:15,119 --> 00:19:17,040 Speaker 2: It was this road trip in Spronzo that was actually 367 00:19:17,040 --> 00:19:22,800 Speaker 2: fairly late in August of twenty twenty one. And as 368 00:19:22,960 --> 00:19:26,240 Speaker 2: Daniel pointed out at the top, he described twenty twenty 369 00:19:26,280 --> 00:19:28,720 Speaker 2: two as a tale of two halves, and I think 370 00:19:28,760 --> 00:19:31,560 Speaker 2: that's an oversimplification now that we've heard from him. This 371 00:19:31,640 --> 00:19:34,639 Speaker 2: is really a larger trends where you go back to 372 00:19:34,920 --> 00:19:38,040 Speaker 2: late twenty twenty one and since that point, that's when 373 00:19:38,080 --> 00:19:42,040 Speaker 2: the strikeout rate really fell precipitously from being elites of 374 00:19:42,080 --> 00:19:46,000 Speaker 2: the elite to being league average ish even below a 375 00:19:46,119 --> 00:19:48,919 Speaker 2: league average. If you go back to that point, in 376 00:19:48,960 --> 00:19:54,119 Speaker 2: twenty twenty one. That's why the Red Sox were willing 377 00:19:54,160 --> 00:19:56,479 Speaker 2: to pitch in as much money as they had to 378 00:19:56,480 --> 00:19:59,959 Speaker 2: to offload him. And that's why from Boston's perspective, they 379 00:20:00,000 --> 00:20:02,280 Speaker 2: they don't know if Barnes is going to be any 380 00:20:02,280 --> 00:20:05,959 Speaker 2: better than Blair is moving forward, because this has been 381 00:20:06,000 --> 00:20:08,960 Speaker 2: a pretty significant stretch now going back parts of two 382 00:20:09,000 --> 00:20:12,159 Speaker 2: seasons where it's not missing bats the same way you 383 00:20:12,240 --> 00:20:14,679 Speaker 2: mentioned his fastball. I think it's even more so to 384 00:20:14,720 --> 00:20:18,440 Speaker 2: do with his curveball. Like by run value on Baseball Savants, 385 00:20:19,119 --> 00:20:22,080 Speaker 2: that pitch in twenty eighteen, twenty nineteen, twenty twenty one, 386 00:20:22,480 --> 00:20:26,040 Speaker 2: it was a great pitch by run value is about 387 00:20:26,080 --> 00:20:28,639 Speaker 2: ten runs better than a league average in each of 388 00:20:28,640 --> 00:20:31,719 Speaker 2: those years, and then in twenty twenty two it was 389 00:20:32,240 --> 00:20:36,360 Speaker 2: a zero. It was just league average by all results 390 00:20:36,400 --> 00:20:38,560 Speaker 2: in terms of whenever he threw it at any point 391 00:20:38,600 --> 00:20:41,480 Speaker 2: in any played appearance, it wasn't missing as many bats 392 00:20:41,520 --> 00:20:44,760 Speaker 2: as before, he wasn't commanding it the same way, and 393 00:20:44,840 --> 00:20:48,000 Speaker 2: even when he came back down the stretch, the peripherals 394 00:20:48,000 --> 00:20:51,440 Speaker 2: were not as sexy as that era was with him. 395 00:20:51,480 --> 00:20:55,080 Speaker 2: There's a lot of risk here. He kind of acknowledged 396 00:20:55,119 --> 00:20:58,639 Speaker 2: that the changeup will be a more significant part of 397 00:20:58,640 --> 00:21:00,520 Speaker 2: his pitch mix than it used to be by my 398 00:21:00,680 --> 00:21:04,160 Speaker 2: eye test, So this is straying away from our fundamentals. 399 00:21:04,160 --> 00:21:06,160 Speaker 2: By my eye test, his change up does not look 400 00:21:06,280 --> 00:21:09,359 Speaker 2: very good to me. It does not have a whole 401 00:21:09,400 --> 00:21:11,679 Speaker 2: lot of late break on it. I don't see it 402 00:21:11,760 --> 00:21:15,880 Speaker 2: being missing bats and I don't really see him commanding 403 00:21:15,920 --> 00:21:17,640 Speaker 2: it that well in the small sample that I saw 404 00:21:17,640 --> 00:21:20,679 Speaker 2: from last year. Either it's a work in progress, and 405 00:21:20,760 --> 00:21:23,960 Speaker 2: at age thirty two, is it's suddenly going to improve 406 00:21:24,160 --> 00:21:27,680 Speaker 2: more so than ever it could because the Marlins are 407 00:21:28,280 --> 00:21:33,240 Speaker 2: an amazing lab of pitching developments, especially when it comes 408 00:21:33,280 --> 00:21:35,679 Speaker 2: to change ups. So I'll just say he's coming to 409 00:21:35,720 --> 00:21:37,800 Speaker 2: the right place at the right time in his career. 410 00:21:39,359 --> 00:21:43,560 Speaker 2: I think the circumstances of this trade should temper expectations. 411 00:21:43,560 --> 00:21:45,879 Speaker 2: I think you should make it clear why it is 412 00:21:46,240 --> 00:21:47,960 Speaker 2: that the Red Sox were willing to part with him, 413 00:21:48,040 --> 00:21:50,119 Speaker 2: because there is risk that he doesn't get back to 414 00:21:50,119 --> 00:21:53,760 Speaker 2: who he used to be, and how much. 415 00:21:54,000 --> 00:21:56,560 Speaker 1: If his I believe he has a club option for 416 00:21:56,640 --> 00:21:59,679 Speaker 1: the following year, and it's I think he mentioned it 417 00:21:59,760 --> 00:22:03,200 Speaker 1: was a large amount compared to what he is currently 418 00:22:03,320 --> 00:22:05,919 Speaker 1: or what even was that we happen to have that 419 00:22:06,040 --> 00:22:07,000 Speaker 1: number just in case. 420 00:22:07,600 --> 00:22:10,119 Speaker 2: It's going to be a minimum of eight million on 421 00:22:10,200 --> 00:22:12,280 Speaker 2: a club option for next year, and it could go 422 00:22:12,359 --> 00:22:14,400 Speaker 2: up a little bit if he ends up actually finishing 423 00:22:14,440 --> 00:22:17,480 Speaker 2: games and staying healthy this year. There are some bonuses 424 00:22:17,800 --> 00:22:20,360 Speaker 2: in there, So that's one that they're unlikely to pick 425 00:22:20,400 --> 00:22:23,239 Speaker 2: it up unless he fully bounces back. Unless he has 426 00:22:23,280 --> 00:22:26,159 Speaker 2: a vintage Matt Barnes season. I don't see them paying 427 00:22:26,600 --> 00:22:31,640 Speaker 2: eight plus million dollars a season for any particular individual reliever. 428 00:22:32,160 --> 00:22:35,520 Speaker 2: I do think I'll just reinforce again that I think 429 00:22:35,560 --> 00:22:37,480 Speaker 2: this was the right decision to make at this time, 430 00:22:37,600 --> 00:22:39,920 Speaker 2: and that was a good gamble to take. You look 431 00:22:39,960 --> 00:22:43,879 Speaker 2: at free agency and there are other very middling relievers 432 00:22:43,880 --> 00:22:48,119 Speaker 2: that get eight million dollars annual value on a multi 433 00:22:48,200 --> 00:22:50,760 Speaker 2: year deal. You know, relative to the market, this really 434 00:22:50,840 --> 00:22:54,840 Speaker 2: isn't that bad. It would just be kind of uncharted 435 00:22:54,960 --> 00:22:57,679 Speaker 2: territory for this front office. This front office with the 436 00:22:57,720 --> 00:23:01,439 Speaker 2: Marlins in recent years, has as far as possible to 437 00:23:01,560 --> 00:23:04,400 Speaker 2: not invest at all in their bullpen. They just don't 438 00:23:04,400 --> 00:23:09,320 Speaker 2: believe in alec cord aloclading resources toward proven veteran believers, 439 00:23:09,560 --> 00:23:11,800 Speaker 2: So it'd be at a character to pick that up. 440 00:23:13,280 --> 00:23:15,399 Speaker 2: At the end of the day, I think the position 441 00:23:15,480 --> 00:23:17,560 Speaker 2: that they were in that this is a better fit 442 00:23:17,720 --> 00:23:21,879 Speaker 2: than Blaier was moving forward, and so I think the 443 00:23:21,960 --> 00:23:25,520 Speaker 2: question the rest of this offseason is potentially whether they 444 00:23:25,640 --> 00:23:28,280 Speaker 2: pick up one more arm like this. There's a few 445 00:23:28,320 --> 00:23:30,880 Speaker 2: still left in free agency. I think that's more likely 446 00:23:30,920 --> 00:23:33,800 Speaker 2: than trade. I don't think I'm alone in saying that 447 00:23:33,840 --> 00:23:37,480 Speaker 2: they could use one more pitcher kind of with this 448 00:23:37,680 --> 00:23:40,959 Speaker 2: type of upside to really make you feel confident in 449 00:23:41,000 --> 00:23:42,000 Speaker 2: the unit as a whole. 450 00:23:42,560 --> 00:23:45,359 Speaker 3: I'm shocked they haven't taken a shot on Andrew Chathan 451 00:23:45,440 --> 00:23:48,280 Speaker 3: and I talked about him in our off season shopping series. 452 00:23:48,560 --> 00:23:50,680 Speaker 3: The guy's been nothing but consistent in the past couple 453 00:23:50,680 --> 00:23:52,360 Speaker 3: of years. I believe the opted out of his deal 454 00:23:52,400 --> 00:23:56,879 Speaker 3: with Detroit after another relatively solid season. I mean, he's 455 00:23:56,920 --> 00:24:00,639 Speaker 3: a soft tossing lefty relative to but he gives you 456 00:24:00,680 --> 00:24:04,280 Speaker 3: a contrast to Steven Oker, who, as you talked about 457 00:24:04,320 --> 00:24:07,359 Speaker 3: relievers that currently kind of coexist now with Barnes on 458 00:24:07,359 --> 00:24:11,080 Speaker 3: this roster that have suspect control. Chafin's one of those 459 00:24:11,080 --> 00:24:14,160 Speaker 3: guys who is good at just placing them. He's very 460 00:24:14,160 --> 00:24:16,280 Speaker 3: good at locating his stuff. He's got very good command 461 00:24:16,320 --> 00:24:18,080 Speaker 3: of his stuff. He doesn't throw all that hard, so 462 00:24:18,160 --> 00:24:18,800 Speaker 3: he's able to do. 463 00:24:18,800 --> 00:24:19,200 Speaker 1: What he can. 464 00:24:19,760 --> 00:24:22,240 Speaker 3: And I'm sure his price tag has fallen after maybe 465 00:24:22,280 --> 00:24:24,080 Speaker 3: not getting the offers that he thought he would. At 466 00:24:24,119 --> 00:24:26,640 Speaker 3: the outset of this offseason, somebody I think Miami could 467 00:24:26,720 --> 00:24:30,880 Speaker 3: definitely use gives them a different look than that bullpen too. Yeah, 468 00:24:30,880 --> 00:24:32,920 Speaker 3: I'm still I mean, even with the additional Barnes, I 469 00:24:32,960 --> 00:24:35,320 Speaker 3: would still say that there's a level of concern with 470 00:24:35,440 --> 00:24:40,520 Speaker 3: the overall effectiveness that this bulpen will have at some 471 00:24:40,560 --> 00:24:43,360 Speaker 3: point in twenty twenty three. But I definitely think he's 472 00:24:43,359 --> 00:24:46,639 Speaker 3: a marginal upgrade as was Jean Segirl when the Marlins 473 00:24:46,640 --> 00:24:51,000 Speaker 3: signed to play third base. I think, you know, Barnes 474 00:24:51,000 --> 00:24:53,280 Speaker 3: presents that, but the peripherals say that he's going to 475 00:24:53,320 --> 00:24:55,359 Speaker 3: be much better. And you know, I think the Marlins 476 00:24:55,359 --> 00:24:58,880 Speaker 3: have maybe become the modern day Pittsburgh Pirates, who at 477 00:24:58,880 --> 00:25:01,679 Speaker 3: the start of the twenty tens when they had Ray 478 00:25:01,760 --> 00:25:03,639 Speaker 3: Sierridge and they were kind of just able to rehab 479 00:25:03,640 --> 00:25:07,680 Speaker 3: guys Atison Vocez, Francisco Ariano jy hap, they just kind 480 00:25:07,680 --> 00:25:10,920 Speaker 3: of fix guys they fixed, Okre, I mean, you want 481 00:25:10,920 --> 00:25:12,600 Speaker 3: to go back a decade. They fixed Chad Qualls for 482 00:25:12,600 --> 00:25:17,400 Speaker 3: a little bit. So the Marlins, Yeah, they with Stottameyer, 483 00:25:17,560 --> 00:25:18,560 Speaker 3: you know, now locked. 484 00:25:18,400 --> 00:25:21,880 Speaker 4: Up long term. You know, new manager and everything. 485 00:25:22,560 --> 00:25:24,560 Speaker 3: I think, you know, this is a good situation for Barnes, 486 00:25:24,600 --> 00:25:27,760 Speaker 3: who also makes his home in Fort Myers. It'll it'll 487 00:25:27,800 --> 00:25:29,720 Speaker 3: make for I think it'll make for a nice pairing. 488 00:25:29,880 --> 00:25:32,000 Speaker 3: And you know, whether or not he even lasts the 489 00:25:32,000 --> 00:25:33,800 Speaker 3: season with the team remains to be seen. But if 490 00:25:33,800 --> 00:25:35,600 Speaker 3: they can fix him, I mean, that's just a that's 491 00:25:35,640 --> 00:25:38,400 Speaker 3: just another feather in the team's cap to what they've 492 00:25:38,400 --> 00:25:39,560 Speaker 3: done on the pitching side of things. 493 00:25:39,560 --> 00:25:40,960 Speaker 4: Like you attested to Eli. 494 00:25:41,480 --> 00:25:44,440 Speaker 1: So you guys think, let's say he has a first 495 00:25:44,480 --> 00:25:46,600 Speaker 1: half this season like he had in the second half 496 00:25:46,640 --> 00:25:49,400 Speaker 1: of last season. Could he even be a trade candidate 497 00:25:49,680 --> 00:25:52,520 Speaker 1: because you mentioned they don't want to pay these relievers, 498 00:25:52,600 --> 00:25:56,560 Speaker 1: especially an eight million dollars potentially plus price tag. Could 499 00:25:56,560 --> 00:25:58,720 Speaker 1: they flip him for something at the deadline? Is that 500 00:25:58,760 --> 00:25:59,760 Speaker 1: even a possibility? 501 00:26:01,080 --> 00:26:04,560 Speaker 2: Of course, I mean, relievers are made to be traded, 502 00:26:04,720 --> 00:26:08,760 Speaker 2: especially veteran relievers. That that's a reality that he has 503 00:26:08,800 --> 00:26:10,719 Speaker 2: to deal with at this stage of his career. It's 504 00:26:10,760 --> 00:26:12,679 Speaker 2: always going to be short term contracts and that the 505 00:26:12,680 --> 00:26:16,119 Speaker 2: team itself is not competitive or not close enough to 506 00:26:16,119 --> 00:26:19,199 Speaker 2: being competitive, or if they just feel super confident in 507 00:26:19,240 --> 00:26:22,960 Speaker 2: all these other young relievers that are all the forty 508 00:26:23,000 --> 00:26:26,840 Speaker 2: man roster. It's a weird roster composition with Marlon see 509 00:26:26,920 --> 00:26:29,399 Speaker 2: where they've allocated a lot of spots on their forty 510 00:26:29,400 --> 00:26:33,040 Speaker 2: man so guys that are relief only types. And I 511 00:26:33,080 --> 00:26:35,919 Speaker 2: don't know how to feel about it exactly, but it 512 00:26:36,000 --> 00:26:40,000 Speaker 2: means that even the veteran guys like Barns, like Dylan Floro, 513 00:26:40,280 --> 00:26:42,480 Speaker 2: and even the ones going year to year in arbitration 514 00:26:42,680 --> 00:26:47,800 Speaker 2: like Tanner Scott, nobody is completely safe, especially if the 515 00:26:47,880 --> 00:26:52,440 Speaker 2: team is disappointing again for like a third straight year. 516 00:26:53,160 --> 00:26:55,000 Speaker 2: A lot of it has to do with the context 517 00:26:55,000 --> 00:26:58,359 Speaker 2: of the team as a whole, and they bring this 518 00:26:58,400 --> 00:27:00,960 Speaker 2: guy in because of the upside, because he's one of 519 00:27:01,000 --> 00:27:04,080 Speaker 2: the few relievers that they could obtain that maybe does 520 00:27:04,680 --> 00:27:07,040 Speaker 2: at least in terms of win probability added if they 521 00:27:07,080 --> 00:27:08,920 Speaker 2: put him in the right spots, and it comes through 522 00:27:08,920 --> 00:27:11,639 Speaker 2: in those situations like that's a guy that could swing 523 00:27:11,840 --> 00:27:15,239 Speaker 2: multiple games even within one half of one season if 524 00:27:15,320 --> 00:27:18,439 Speaker 2: he's thriving in those high leverage situations, and that's the 525 00:27:18,520 --> 00:27:21,520 Speaker 2: difference you need if you're a team with slightly below 526 00:27:21,560 --> 00:27:25,800 Speaker 2: average talent overall. That's difference between being where they were 527 00:27:25,880 --> 00:27:28,399 Speaker 2: exactly last year at the trade deadline and being a 528 00:27:28,480 --> 00:27:32,840 Speaker 2: team that could be standing pad or buying at this deadline. 529 00:27:32,880 --> 00:27:36,080 Speaker 2: You want to shoot for volatility if your organization in 530 00:27:36,119 --> 00:27:36,960 Speaker 2: the Marlins position. 531 00:27:39,119 --> 00:27:42,440 Speaker 1: Yeah, So we go from that acquisition of Matt Barnes 532 00:27:42,560 --> 00:27:46,840 Speaker 1: and in Richard Bleier to probably the biggest one this 533 00:27:47,000 --> 00:27:50,080 Speaker 1: offseason that we still have yet to talk about here 534 00:27:50,160 --> 00:27:54,440 Speaker 1: on Phisiology, and that is the Pablo Lopez for Luis 535 00:27:54,480 --> 00:28:00,760 Speaker 1: Arayas trade involving Jose Salas and Byron Curio, one of 536 00:28:00,760 --> 00:28:04,040 Speaker 1: his biggest trades and Marlins have made in a recent time, 537 00:28:04,440 --> 00:28:08,399 Speaker 1: getting the batting tamp, silver Slugger, all that from the 538 00:28:08,440 --> 00:28:13,160 Speaker 1: Minnesota Twins. Lewis, talk to me, what do Marlon's fans 539 00:28:13,760 --> 00:28:16,560 Speaker 1: what should we expect from Ariah Is coming into this 540 00:28:16,680 --> 00:28:18,760 Speaker 1: season and a new ballpark, new team. 541 00:28:20,040 --> 00:28:22,719 Speaker 3: Well, historically, I think if you look at park factors, 542 00:28:22,760 --> 00:28:24,800 Speaker 3: you'll see that there's not that much of a difference 543 00:28:24,840 --> 00:28:28,600 Speaker 3: in terms of perspective on ballparks from target Field to 544 00:28:28,760 --> 00:28:32,880 Speaker 3: Lone Depot. They're relatively pitcher friendly. But Arise is kind 545 00:28:32,880 --> 00:28:34,720 Speaker 3: of just one of those guys that Eli kind of 546 00:28:34,760 --> 00:28:38,719 Speaker 3: stated on Grant's State of the Fish spaces on Twitter yesterday. 547 00:28:39,120 --> 00:28:42,040 Speaker 3: You can bet on him being consistent. I think Ben 548 00:28:42,080 --> 00:28:44,800 Speaker 3: Clemons of Fangraft said it best too, though I think 549 00:28:44,840 --> 00:28:46,920 Speaker 3: his words of age a little poorly. As we've a 550 00:28:46,920 --> 00:28:48,680 Speaker 3: lot of us have seen to come around on this trade. 551 00:28:48,720 --> 00:28:51,880 Speaker 3: Given what Miami initially gave up. I think they went 552 00:28:51,880 --> 00:28:54,760 Speaker 3: out and they acquired batting average, they didn't acquire a 553 00:28:54,800 --> 00:28:57,840 Speaker 3: premium defender. And he's going to be playing a position 554 00:28:58,040 --> 00:29:03,160 Speaker 3: that generally most he may not be the most adept at, 555 00:29:03,320 --> 00:29:06,800 Speaker 3: but you know, you're kind of just foregoing that in 556 00:29:06,840 --> 00:29:10,640 Speaker 3: a Josel two day lightway where you're just gonna sacrifice 557 00:29:10,640 --> 00:29:12,400 Speaker 3: the defense for the bat and I think that's what 558 00:29:12,440 --> 00:29:15,440 Speaker 3: you're gonna get. And plus, you know, for a lineup 559 00:29:15,520 --> 00:29:17,680 Speaker 3: that struck out as much as it did and is 560 00:29:17,720 --> 00:29:22,840 Speaker 3: going to hoist guys like a so Layer, a God 561 00:29:23,120 --> 00:29:27,200 Speaker 3: even Jazz two points obviously al Garcia to a lighters 562 00:29:27,240 --> 00:29:30,920 Speaker 3: think Gary Cooper, Guys that you know you may see 563 00:29:30,920 --> 00:29:34,040 Speaker 3: strikeout one hundred plus times a season, though that's not 564 00:29:34,760 --> 00:29:37,200 Speaker 3: that foreign a concept, now it's good to get guys 565 00:29:37,200 --> 00:29:41,440 Speaker 3: like a Sigura and now an Arise who can and 566 00:29:41,600 --> 00:29:44,120 Speaker 3: have the aptitude to put the ball in play. And 567 00:29:44,280 --> 00:29:47,040 Speaker 3: that's something that I think that you like and you 568 00:29:47,320 --> 00:29:49,880 Speaker 3: like the fact that he is an aggressive hit or 569 00:29:49,920 --> 00:29:53,760 Speaker 3: I compared him and and it's maybe hyperbole to a 570 00:29:53,800 --> 00:29:56,479 Speaker 3: young Tony Gwynn because there's splits very early in their 571 00:29:56,480 --> 00:30:01,120 Speaker 3: career are incredibly similar, you know, as far as Ops 572 00:30:01,120 --> 00:30:04,520 Speaker 3: goes batting average all, you know, kind of like the 573 00:30:04,560 --> 00:30:07,000 Speaker 3: things from a triple slash line perspective, you kind of say, 574 00:30:07,400 --> 00:30:11,080 Speaker 3: slightly similar player. I think a Rise is going to 575 00:30:11,160 --> 00:30:14,360 Speaker 3: be it'll it's kind of like when they acquire Dee Gordon. 576 00:30:14,440 --> 00:30:16,440 Speaker 3: You know, a guy who is he not in a 577 00:30:16,480 --> 00:30:18,760 Speaker 3: speed sense, but he kind of just has a knack 578 00:30:18,800 --> 00:30:23,360 Speaker 3: for finding holes getting on base, being the aggressive hitter 579 00:30:23,440 --> 00:30:25,120 Speaker 3: that he is, and you know, finding the holes that 580 00:30:25,160 --> 00:30:27,160 Speaker 3: he does. I think, you know it's he's going to 581 00:30:27,200 --> 00:30:29,120 Speaker 3: be welcome and I think he'll definitely be a fan 582 00:30:29,240 --> 00:30:31,760 Speaker 3: favorite here because he's given us very little to think 583 00:30:31,800 --> 00:30:34,640 Speaker 3: that he won't produce in Miami. You're not going to 584 00:30:34,680 --> 00:30:37,720 Speaker 3: get power, but you're gonna get consistent contact and you're 585 00:30:37,760 --> 00:30:41,360 Speaker 3: gonna get, you know, betting averages flirting around three hundred 586 00:30:41,400 --> 00:30:42,920 Speaker 3: on a consistent basis, and I think that's what the 587 00:30:42,960 --> 00:30:45,800 Speaker 3: Marlins went and did here. As far as what they 588 00:30:46,000 --> 00:30:48,560 Speaker 3: gave up, I'll leave that to Eli before I interject, 589 00:30:49,160 --> 00:30:53,240 Speaker 3: you know, as to whether or not they overpaid, I 590 00:30:53,280 --> 00:30:57,160 Speaker 3: think the more this kind of develops itself, and Eli 591 00:30:57,200 --> 00:31:00,480 Speaker 3: made a good point, you really need to evaluate where 592 00:31:00,480 --> 00:31:03,040 Speaker 3: you're acquiring. In this case, what we feel is a 593 00:31:03,080 --> 00:31:07,840 Speaker 3: markedukey player for premium talent that could manifest itself in 594 00:31:07,880 --> 00:31:10,240 Speaker 3: the future. You kind of have to wait a couple 595 00:31:10,240 --> 00:31:12,680 Speaker 3: of years and see how this plays out. Give a 596 00:31:12,800 --> 00:31:16,120 Speaker 3: Rise the three years in Miami that he has under 597 00:31:16,120 --> 00:31:19,440 Speaker 3: club control, and give you know, Pablo Lopez his time 598 00:31:19,480 --> 00:31:22,680 Speaker 3: in Minnesota, and the prospects to further develop for us 599 00:31:22,720 --> 00:31:25,280 Speaker 3: to really come to a conclusion as to who really 600 00:31:25,360 --> 00:31:27,400 Speaker 3: won this trade. But Eli, I want to leave that 601 00:31:27,400 --> 00:31:29,040 Speaker 3: to you because I feel like you can provide some 602 00:31:29,320 --> 00:31:32,600 Speaker 3: additional innsign on that that our users may find valuable. 603 00:31:32,600 --> 00:31:33,160 Speaker 4: Our listeners. 604 00:31:33,320 --> 00:31:36,720 Speaker 2: Apologies, this feels a little bit premature, but almost as 605 00:31:36,760 --> 00:31:40,120 Speaker 2: soon as they required a rise, Jeff McNeil signed an 606 00:31:40,120 --> 00:31:42,640 Speaker 2: extension with the Mets and McNeil is one of the 607 00:31:42,680 --> 00:31:46,160 Speaker 2: few active players that is pretty comparable to Arise in 608 00:31:46,200 --> 00:31:50,200 Speaker 2: terms of what they do offensively. It's not hard quality 609 00:31:50,240 --> 00:31:53,440 Speaker 2: of contact especially, but it's probably harder than you think 610 00:31:53,440 --> 00:31:57,000 Speaker 2: it is. And the key is just so many line drives. 611 00:31:57,320 --> 00:32:00,320 Speaker 2: He's somebody that you just do not shift to against, 612 00:32:00,400 --> 00:32:02,800 Speaker 2: even when you were allowed to do so, and it 613 00:32:02,840 --> 00:32:06,280 Speaker 2: didn't matter because he's not a He probably gets a 614 00:32:06,560 --> 00:32:09,760 Speaker 2: misconception as being like this ground ball hit him where 615 00:32:09,800 --> 00:32:13,520 Speaker 2: they ain't, but he's really just an absolute master of 616 00:32:13,560 --> 00:32:17,040 Speaker 2: the craft of finding those gaps between the outfielders and 617 00:32:17,080 --> 00:32:20,240 Speaker 2: the infielders and hitting those line drives mostly for singles 618 00:32:21,160 --> 00:32:23,560 Speaker 2: at a rate that is as good as anybody in 619 00:32:23,600 --> 00:32:26,000 Speaker 2: the game, which just goes through his batting average. He 620 00:32:26,200 --> 00:32:29,920 Speaker 2: is he has solved as much as you can defensive 621 00:32:29,960 --> 00:32:33,320 Speaker 2: alignment and finding those holes. And the key is the 622 00:32:33,320 --> 00:32:36,320 Speaker 2: line drives. The thirty percent line drive rate, whereas the 623 00:32:36,440 --> 00:32:39,440 Speaker 2: MLB average is like twenty five percent. And the reason 624 00:32:39,440 --> 00:32:42,040 Speaker 2: why he's able to get pitches to hit line drives 625 00:32:42,440 --> 00:32:45,400 Speaker 2: is because he does not swing and miss. He has 626 00:32:45,480 --> 00:32:49,080 Speaker 2: a contact percentage every year right around ninety percent. It 627 00:32:49,120 --> 00:32:52,720 Speaker 2: was at like ninety three percent last year, just so 628 00:32:52,880 --> 00:32:55,960 Speaker 2: everyone's clear. That means when he swings the bat, ninety 629 00:32:56,000 --> 00:32:58,640 Speaker 2: three percent of the time there's some sort of contact made, 630 00:32:58,680 --> 00:33:00,800 Speaker 2: whether it's a ball and play or a foul ball, 631 00:33:01,200 --> 00:33:04,040 Speaker 2: and the league average is like three quarters, like seventy five. 632 00:33:04,200 --> 00:33:08,640 Speaker 2: It is a huge difference that you'll notice immediately when 633 00:33:08,680 --> 00:33:11,400 Speaker 2: he doesn't get balls to hit, he fouls the ball off. 634 00:33:11,440 --> 00:33:14,000 Speaker 2: He works deep, counts more than four pitches per plate 635 00:33:14,040 --> 00:33:17,120 Speaker 2: appearance in the league average like three point nine, and 636 00:33:17,160 --> 00:33:19,480 Speaker 2: he usually takes the first pitch of his at bats 637 00:33:19,560 --> 00:33:23,760 Speaker 2: as well. It's it's it's somebody that just has this 638 00:33:24,000 --> 00:33:28,920 Speaker 2: very particular style that I don't see aging poorly anytime soon. 639 00:33:29,200 --> 00:33:32,080 Speaker 2: And that's why I brought up McNeil. Where a big 640 00:33:32,160 --> 00:33:35,440 Speaker 2: factor in assessing this deal is on one hand, seeing 641 00:33:35,480 --> 00:33:38,920 Speaker 2: how Pablo progresses with the twins, whether it's possible that 642 00:33:39,000 --> 00:33:41,280 Speaker 2: he has his best seasons yet still ahead of him 643 00:33:41,520 --> 00:33:44,440 Speaker 2: and the entire careers of Hose Salas and Byron Tchurio 644 00:33:44,480 --> 00:33:47,880 Speaker 2: are still ahead of them. But you know that's not 645 00:33:48,280 --> 00:33:51,120 Speaker 2: doesn't really matter as much if arises a long term 646 00:33:51,160 --> 00:33:53,240 Speaker 2: piece of this marl and see he has three years 647 00:33:53,240 --> 00:33:57,040 Speaker 2: of club control remaining and the McNeil extension sets a 648 00:33:57,080 --> 00:34:00,680 Speaker 2: precedent for adding on a couple extra years of control 649 00:34:01,000 --> 00:34:04,760 Speaker 2: while only spending maybe ten eleven twelve million per year 650 00:34:04,960 --> 00:34:07,760 Speaker 2: on an annual basis for a player like this that 651 00:34:07,920 --> 00:34:10,319 Speaker 2: is in the context of Major League Baseball right now, 652 00:34:10,480 --> 00:34:13,240 Speaker 2: to get an every day, a very good, everyday caliber 653 00:34:13,280 --> 00:34:17,759 Speaker 2: player long term for that type of price would be 654 00:34:17,880 --> 00:34:21,360 Speaker 2: an absolute steal. With him. He is such a safe player, 655 00:34:21,880 --> 00:34:24,560 Speaker 2: and he's the reason why the Marlins targeted him in 656 00:34:24,600 --> 00:34:28,400 Speaker 2: particular is because the floor is so high. He is 657 00:34:29,640 --> 00:34:32,520 Speaker 2: just doing his thing. He is dancing to the beat 658 00:34:32,560 --> 00:34:35,440 Speaker 2: of his own drum. He is playing in his own league. 659 00:34:35,520 --> 00:34:38,520 Speaker 2: It doesn't really matter what anybody else does, because he 660 00:34:38,600 --> 00:34:43,240 Speaker 2: is so skilled at making contact and at making contact 661 00:34:43,320 --> 00:34:46,440 Speaker 2: at the particular angle off the bat that it's so 662 00:34:46,600 --> 00:34:50,000 Speaker 2: hard to defend that he's going to be a big 663 00:34:50,040 --> 00:34:54,320 Speaker 2: asset to this offense. There are the limitations you mentioned already, 664 00:34:55,080 --> 00:34:57,960 Speaker 2: as well as the limitations as a base runner, some 665 00:34:58,160 --> 00:35:02,240 Speaker 2: concerns about his durability as somebody who has had several 666 00:35:02,320 --> 00:35:04,840 Speaker 2: knee issues and leg issues during his career, even a 667 00:35:04,920 --> 00:35:08,160 Speaker 2: torn acl going all the way back to the miners. 668 00:35:08,880 --> 00:35:11,960 Speaker 2: As with anybody, availability is the most important thing, and 669 00:35:12,080 --> 00:35:15,880 Speaker 2: he's not a lock to be available, even as somebody 670 00:35:15,880 --> 00:35:19,000 Speaker 2: that is still so relatively young entering his age twenty 671 00:35:19,080 --> 00:35:24,319 Speaker 2: six season. So I understand the deal. Yeah, My big 672 00:35:24,360 --> 00:35:26,799 Speaker 2: issue was just looking at the total value that they 673 00:35:26,840 --> 00:35:29,560 Speaker 2: gave up and understanding that this is not a contender yet. 674 00:35:30,160 --> 00:35:32,279 Speaker 2: Somebody like a host A Salas could have been a 675 00:35:32,280 --> 00:35:36,600 Speaker 2: big piece of another deal to address another need for 676 00:35:36,680 --> 00:35:39,480 Speaker 2: a team that is still more than one piece away 677 00:35:39,680 --> 00:35:43,600 Speaker 2: from being a true contender, especially in their current division. 678 00:35:43,680 --> 00:35:47,680 Speaker 2: That was my main issue with what they did here 679 00:35:47,840 --> 00:35:51,960 Speaker 2: is that they by standing firmer to what would have 680 00:35:51,960 --> 00:35:54,680 Speaker 2: been a fair market value to acquire a Rise, they'd 681 00:35:54,760 --> 00:35:58,360 Speaker 2: leave themselves in position to make other subsequent moves to 682 00:35:58,440 --> 00:36:04,920 Speaker 2: put this whole team together. So I'm still in that 683 00:36:04,960 --> 00:36:07,680 Speaker 2: position where I'm not going to back off of that stance, 684 00:36:07,760 --> 00:36:10,279 Speaker 2: and I still had my concerns about how this whole 685 00:36:10,320 --> 00:36:14,319 Speaker 2: team comes together. This guy is still going to be 686 00:36:14,440 --> 00:36:19,480 Speaker 2: extremely compelling to watch, and I think he's just a 687 00:36:19,600 --> 00:36:22,680 Speaker 2: very safe player. This is a team, this is a franchise, 688 00:36:23,120 --> 00:36:27,719 Speaker 2: especially as we saw this past offseason where they've made 689 00:36:27,760 --> 00:36:31,920 Speaker 2: big splashes and those splashes have not moved the needle whatsoever. 690 00:36:32,080 --> 00:36:35,160 Speaker 2: In a couple of cases that's beending going either way 691 00:36:35,200 --> 00:36:39,880 Speaker 2: to acquire players that actually become net negatives and make 692 00:36:39,920 --> 00:36:42,520 Speaker 2: the team worse. And with a Rise, that's where he 693 00:36:42,800 --> 00:36:46,000 Speaker 2: I feel is so much different than these other veteran acquisitions, 694 00:36:46,080 --> 00:36:48,520 Speaker 2: is that no matter what, he's going to make the 695 00:36:48,520 --> 00:36:51,200 Speaker 2: team better. He is that safe. I'm going to put 696 00:36:51,200 --> 00:36:55,120 Speaker 2: it on him to I can guarantee it that this 697 00:36:55,200 --> 00:36:58,360 Speaker 2: offense is going to be better this upcoming season and 698 00:36:58,400 --> 00:36:59,799 Speaker 2: that a Rise is going to be a big part 699 00:36:59,800 --> 00:37:00,120 Speaker 2: of it. 700 00:37:01,320 --> 00:37:04,200 Speaker 1: Yeah. And with the Rise, I'm just looking up some 701 00:37:04,239 --> 00:37:07,600 Speaker 1: of the stats. Just someone that doesn't strike out. You 702 00:37:07,600 --> 00:37:11,400 Speaker 1: look at last season fifty walks to only forty three strikeouts, 703 00:37:11,520 --> 00:37:14,320 Speaker 1: and I think that's something that the Marlins desperately needed. 704 00:37:14,640 --> 00:37:16,480 Speaker 1: Someone who's not going to strike out, someone who can 705 00:37:16,480 --> 00:37:19,239 Speaker 1: get on base walk Well, we've seen the struggles with 706 00:37:19,360 --> 00:37:24,160 Speaker 1: Jazz his strikeouts, so layer guys like that who strike 707 00:37:24,239 --> 00:37:26,640 Speaker 1: out maybe a bit too much. It's good to have 708 00:37:26,760 --> 00:37:30,799 Speaker 1: someone like Areas who definitely probably be leadoff man just 709 00:37:30,880 --> 00:37:34,440 Speaker 1: getting out of base setting the tone for everyone else. 710 00:37:34,600 --> 00:37:37,200 Speaker 1: And Lewis, I want to get your opinion on just 711 00:37:37,280 --> 00:37:42,320 Speaker 1: how Arise impacts maybe the offense aside from his batting average, 712 00:37:43,360 --> 00:37:47,040 Speaker 1: just talk to me how he also impacts that offense. Well. 713 00:37:47,080 --> 00:37:50,959 Speaker 3: I definitely think he's going to create more run scoring opportunities. 714 00:37:51,000 --> 00:37:53,279 Speaker 3: I mean, if you insert a three seventy five on 715 00:37:53,360 --> 00:37:55,520 Speaker 3: base I believe he had three seventy four last year 716 00:37:55,560 --> 00:37:58,719 Speaker 3: into your lineup or something close to that. You know, 717 00:37:58,920 --> 00:38:01,640 Speaker 3: inherently you think that the team is going to do 718 00:38:01,760 --> 00:38:04,040 Speaker 3: better by effect. It's just a cause and effect kind 719 00:38:04,080 --> 00:38:08,279 Speaker 3: of thing, you know, just the ability to constantly make 720 00:38:08,360 --> 00:38:10,600 Speaker 3: more happen and the shit and the you know, the 721 00:38:10,680 --> 00:38:12,640 Speaker 3: changes in the shift. I won't get too much into that, 722 00:38:14,080 --> 00:38:18,200 Speaker 3: but I do think that obviously positioning being limited now 723 00:38:18,200 --> 00:38:21,000 Speaker 3: as far as how teams can manage their defenses, will 724 00:38:21,080 --> 00:38:24,040 Speaker 3: I think help him too, because I think teams who 725 00:38:24,120 --> 00:38:28,000 Speaker 3: are able to fake defenders who are otherwise not great 726 00:38:28,160 --> 00:38:31,960 Speaker 3: at certain positions but were able to perform better relative 727 00:38:32,600 --> 00:38:36,920 Speaker 3: to what shifts allowed them to do. I think that 728 00:38:36,960 --> 00:38:39,480 Speaker 3: will definitely help Arise because I think it'll expose some 729 00:38:40,000 --> 00:38:43,400 Speaker 3: worse defenders on the opposite end of the spectrum. 730 00:38:43,440 --> 00:38:44,879 Speaker 4: And again it may expose. 731 00:38:44,600 --> 00:38:47,960 Speaker 3: Him too, But I definitely think that he will help 732 00:38:48,000 --> 00:38:50,480 Speaker 3: produce more runs for the Marlins. 733 00:38:50,520 --> 00:38:52,800 Speaker 4: Then say, you know, John. 734 00:38:52,600 --> 00:38:55,320 Speaker 3: Bardy would have given he was playing on an extended basis, 735 00:38:55,320 --> 00:38:58,000 Speaker 3: and we saw what that looked like. Though he added 736 00:38:58,040 --> 00:39:00,800 Speaker 3: his own flashes of production. But I think a Rise 737 00:39:01,040 --> 00:39:03,279 Speaker 3: in his own right is, yeah, he's just gonna make 738 00:39:03,320 --> 00:39:04,520 Speaker 3: that team a whole lot better. 739 00:39:04,840 --> 00:39:07,479 Speaker 4: You know, him and Segura are gonna give that. 740 00:39:07,960 --> 00:39:11,000 Speaker 3: It's gonna definitely take away from that one dimensional dynamic 741 00:39:11,080 --> 00:39:13,319 Speaker 3: of the Marlins, where it's like they have guys who 742 00:39:13,320 --> 00:39:15,200 Speaker 3: can hit for a little bit of power, but they 743 00:39:15,320 --> 00:39:18,120 Speaker 3: just don't have the most discipline of hitters. And now, 744 00:39:18,200 --> 00:39:20,759 Speaker 3: you know, a Rise, though he is a little he's aggressive. 745 00:39:20,880 --> 00:39:23,200 Speaker 3: He's aggressive to an extent like he had noted with 746 00:39:23,239 --> 00:39:26,200 Speaker 3: his contact right, it works like he you know, he 747 00:39:26,200 --> 00:39:27,759 Speaker 3: he just has a knack for putting back to the 748 00:39:27,840 --> 00:39:31,560 Speaker 3: ball and that's something that is so hard to find 749 00:39:31,640 --> 00:39:35,200 Speaker 3: nowadays when everybody is so focused on kind of like 750 00:39:35,320 --> 00:39:37,439 Speaker 3: just launch angle and you know, kind of trying to 751 00:39:37,600 --> 00:39:39,239 Speaker 3: hit the ball as far and as high as you 752 00:39:39,280 --> 00:39:42,719 Speaker 3: possibly can and attempts to hit home runs. I think he, 753 00:39:43,080 --> 00:39:45,319 Speaker 3: you know, he's kind of playing out of the era. 754 00:39:45,480 --> 00:39:48,400 Speaker 3: I feel like this is like Juan Pierre or Louis 755 00:39:48,400 --> 00:39:53,680 Speaker 3: Castillo transposed to you know, ten, fifteen, twenty years later, 756 00:39:53,840 --> 00:39:58,560 Speaker 3: where it's like that skill set it's not as you know, 757 00:40:00,400 --> 00:40:03,759 Speaker 3: not going as strong as it was, you know, back 758 00:40:03,800 --> 00:40:06,200 Speaker 3: in the days of like Kenny Laughton, you know, the 759 00:40:06,239 --> 00:40:09,359 Speaker 3: two names that I mentioned prior. But Arise is kind 760 00:40:09,360 --> 00:40:13,240 Speaker 3: of Hallmark. He's a guy playing in the wrong period, 761 00:40:13,320 --> 00:40:17,560 Speaker 3: but he's and he's thriving doing it. So yeah, I 762 00:40:18,160 --> 00:40:21,239 Speaker 3: definitely think he makes the team better. How how much 763 00:40:21,239 --> 00:40:23,719 Speaker 3: better it remains to be seen. It's you know, the 764 00:40:23,719 --> 00:40:27,720 Speaker 3: Marlins didn't necessarily do all that great with runners scoring position. 765 00:40:28,760 --> 00:40:30,200 Speaker 3: He's going to be a guy who's gonna get on 766 00:40:30,239 --> 00:40:32,640 Speaker 3: base a lot, so they you know, he'll be a 767 00:40:32,640 --> 00:40:33,520 Speaker 3: table setter. 768 00:40:33,360 --> 00:40:34,600 Speaker 4: And I think that's his job. 769 00:40:34,920 --> 00:40:36,520 Speaker 3: He's not going to be expected to drive in one 770 00:40:36,560 --> 00:40:40,880 Speaker 3: hundred runs, but the guys who maybe have have the 771 00:40:40,920 --> 00:40:45,160 Speaker 3: potential to do that may be tasked with more because 772 00:40:45,160 --> 00:40:46,120 Speaker 3: he's going to provide. 773 00:40:45,840 --> 00:40:49,080 Speaker 4: Them more opportunities to drive men in. And again, we'll 774 00:40:49,080 --> 00:40:50,440 Speaker 4: see how that manifests itself. 775 00:40:50,480 --> 00:40:53,279 Speaker 3: But I'm you know, I'm incredibly excited to see what 776 00:40:53,360 --> 00:40:55,120 Speaker 3: a full season of him in Miami looks like. 777 00:40:56,280 --> 00:41:00,080 Speaker 1: Yeah, And on the last topic of discussion, keeping with 778 00:41:00,120 --> 00:41:05,600 Speaker 1: arias I want to get where he's also with this 779 00:41:05,680 --> 00:41:08,640 Speaker 1: team defensively as he's coming in. Kim announced that he's 780 00:41:08,680 --> 00:41:11,160 Speaker 1: going to be the starting second basement, Jazz going to center, 781 00:41:11,239 --> 00:41:13,400 Speaker 1: looks like Garrett Cooper is going to be first, and 782 00:41:13,440 --> 00:41:19,000 Speaker 1: then Wende short Sigura at their For Ariahs last season, 783 00:41:19,080 --> 00:41:22,040 Speaker 1: he played sixty sixty five games at first, but in 784 00:41:22,080 --> 00:41:25,040 Speaker 1: his entire career, the most amount of appearances he has 785 00:41:25,120 --> 00:41:27,960 Speaker 1: is won sixty nine at second base and then seventy 786 00:41:28,040 --> 00:41:32,960 Speaker 1: nine appearances in third base. Whoever wants to tackle this first, 787 00:41:33,000 --> 00:41:37,440 Speaker 1: Eli Lewis, how do you feel like his defensive metrics 788 00:41:38,560 --> 00:41:41,319 Speaker 1: are really compared to him in Miami? And Howard looks 789 00:41:41,400 --> 00:41:44,960 Speaker 1: like he will fare defensively in second base? Maybe him 790 00:41:45,360 --> 00:41:47,840 Speaker 1: compared to Jazz even like was that the right decision 791 00:41:48,120 --> 00:41:50,839 Speaker 1: to have him at second and not first and move 792 00:41:50,960 --> 00:41:56,280 Speaker 1: Jazz or everything? Just how Ariahs impacts the team defensively. 793 00:41:56,040 --> 00:42:00,200 Speaker 2: It's an interesting stylistic contrast between Ariz and Jazz, Like 794 00:42:01,239 --> 00:42:05,640 Speaker 2: Arise is a very vanilla defender. The athleticism difference between 795 00:42:05,719 --> 00:42:08,120 Speaker 2: him the Jazz is night and day between the two, 796 00:42:08,480 --> 00:42:10,960 Speaker 2: and I think overall, Jazz is still the better option. 797 00:42:11,000 --> 00:42:14,759 Speaker 2: There to give it short, I'm still wondering whether the 798 00:42:14,800 --> 00:42:19,719 Speaker 2: optimal defensive arrangement would be having Sigura at second and 799 00:42:19,760 --> 00:42:22,319 Speaker 2: having Arise at third, where you mentioned he still has 800 00:42:22,600 --> 00:42:25,040 Speaker 2: some experience. Because Sigura is the one I think we've 801 00:42:25,080 --> 00:42:27,319 Speaker 2: covered this in a previous episode. He's the one that 802 00:42:27,520 --> 00:42:30,480 Speaker 2: he has a potential plus defensive second base when he's 803 00:42:30,520 --> 00:42:33,239 Speaker 2: playing second days about as well as he ever had 804 00:42:33,280 --> 00:42:37,240 Speaker 2: this past season with the Phillies. Even though he's older 805 00:42:37,320 --> 00:42:41,480 Speaker 2: than Arise, He's he is the more well rounded, the 806 00:42:41,480 --> 00:42:45,000 Speaker 2: more his his mechanics as a second baseman are smoother. 807 00:42:45,480 --> 00:42:49,240 Speaker 2: He checks boxes in a greater variety of aspects of defense, 808 00:42:49,280 --> 00:42:53,920 Speaker 2: but in terms of his turning double plays, in terms 809 00:42:53,920 --> 00:42:57,080 Speaker 2: of applying tags, all those little things that add up, 810 00:42:57,160 --> 00:43:00,759 Speaker 2: and even his his his athletics, as I said, it's 811 00:43:00,760 --> 00:43:03,839 Speaker 2: still a little bit better than Arises is. So I'll 812 00:43:03,840 --> 00:43:05,440 Speaker 2: stop there. I don't think a Rise is going to 813 00:43:05,520 --> 00:43:10,239 Speaker 2: really hurt them that much at seconds. One question is 814 00:43:10,360 --> 00:43:13,640 Speaker 2: physically whether he's able to hold up at playing second 815 00:43:13,640 --> 00:43:16,160 Speaker 2: every day or whether he'll need occasional first base and 816 00:43:16,280 --> 00:43:20,719 Speaker 2: DH time no matter what. And I know what they're 817 00:43:20,719 --> 00:43:24,520 Speaker 2: doing with Segura and allowing his good arm to play 818 00:43:24,520 --> 00:43:27,640 Speaker 2: at third base. I don't think there's not a perfect solution. 819 00:43:27,760 --> 00:43:30,360 Speaker 2: I mean, the way that they mushed this together to 820 00:43:30,360 --> 00:43:32,600 Speaker 2: get as much offense as possible onto the team is 821 00:43:32,640 --> 00:43:38,719 Speaker 2: there's no ideal solution. But yeah, I'm kind of I'm 822 00:43:38,800 --> 00:43:42,120 Speaker 2: questioning exactly what they're what they're doing, like I think, 823 00:43:43,200 --> 00:43:46,200 Speaker 2: because Ariz is not going to hurt you there. If 824 00:43:46,200 --> 00:43:49,279 Speaker 2: he's comfortable there, I guess that's great. I think this 825 00:43:49,360 --> 00:43:53,200 Speaker 2: is going to My prediction is that this alignment is 826 00:43:53,200 --> 00:43:55,840 Speaker 2: going to get scrambled pretty early on in the season, 827 00:43:55,880 --> 00:43:58,719 Speaker 2: and that ultimately that's why they got these guys in 828 00:43:58,719 --> 00:44:01,040 Speaker 2: the first place, is because they can move around a 829 00:44:01,080 --> 00:44:04,279 Speaker 2: little bit to make it work and address whatever needs 830 00:44:04,280 --> 00:44:06,040 Speaker 2: that the roster has at a particular time. 831 00:44:08,440 --> 00:44:10,759 Speaker 3: Yeah, and I think, you know, Arise playing a lot 832 00:44:10,760 --> 00:44:13,600 Speaker 3: of first base, which I think will only increase his value, 833 00:44:13,840 --> 00:44:17,359 Speaker 3: even if you're he's not an excellent defender at either 834 00:44:17,400 --> 00:44:21,080 Speaker 3: one of the three positions he's gonna primarily man will 835 00:44:21,080 --> 00:44:24,160 Speaker 3: only make him more valuable in the short term. Uh, 836 00:44:24,560 --> 00:44:26,560 Speaker 3: and and not even too like you know, he'd have 837 00:44:26,600 --> 00:44:28,560 Speaker 3: to play first base because we know the concerns with 838 00:44:28,640 --> 00:44:31,760 Speaker 3: Cooper and his durability. I was just looking at Arise 839 00:44:31,800 --> 00:44:34,840 Speaker 3: as like shift data as a second baseman, and he 840 00:44:34,960 --> 00:44:38,480 Speaker 3: tends to play closer to the bag than a lot 841 00:44:38,480 --> 00:44:41,120 Speaker 3: of other second basemen that I've seen. I don't know 842 00:44:41,160 --> 00:44:43,600 Speaker 3: with the shift bans how that's going to affect his defense. 843 00:44:43,640 --> 00:44:44,399 Speaker 4: He's kind of been. 844 00:44:44,320 --> 00:44:47,799 Speaker 3: About an average second baseman when it comes to out 845 00:44:47,840 --> 00:44:51,759 Speaker 3: above average and you know, slightly below average on a 846 00:44:51,800 --> 00:44:54,560 Speaker 3: first base side of things. But yeah, I mean, I 847 00:44:54,560 --> 00:44:58,200 Speaker 3: think definitely you'll see sometimes in the season where you know, 848 00:44:58,520 --> 00:45:02,040 Speaker 3: Wendel's gonna play second and Segura is going to move 849 00:45:02,160 --> 00:45:04,520 Speaker 3: to second, and there's just going to be a shuffling 850 00:45:04,560 --> 00:45:07,920 Speaker 3: of things. We may even see Segura play some shortstop, 851 00:45:09,560 --> 00:45:11,920 Speaker 3: a rise will have to move around to facilitate Cooper's 852 00:45:11,920 --> 00:45:12,560 Speaker 3: rest days, et. 853 00:45:12,560 --> 00:45:13,240 Speaker 4: Cetera, et cetera. 854 00:45:13,440 --> 00:45:16,839 Speaker 3: But I think, you know, the one glimpse of hope 855 00:45:16,840 --> 00:45:19,279 Speaker 3: that I do have, and I think Jazz maybe did 856 00:45:19,320 --> 00:45:21,960 Speaker 3: a little bit better with this as far as defensive 857 00:45:22,000 --> 00:45:25,319 Speaker 3: metrics go. Because of the kind of athlete he is, 858 00:45:25,719 --> 00:45:28,560 Speaker 3: Jazz is known not to have the strongest arm. I 859 00:45:28,560 --> 00:45:30,360 Speaker 3: believe a couple of years ago he was in about 860 00:45:30,360 --> 00:45:33,879 Speaker 3: the twenty fifth percentile and overall arm strength, and if 861 00:45:33,920 --> 00:45:35,719 Speaker 3: you look at a rise in the as far as 862 00:45:35,800 --> 00:45:38,600 Speaker 3: arm strength goes for a first basement, he was in 863 00:45:38,640 --> 00:45:42,319 Speaker 3: about the thirty fifth percentile according to Savant, which for 864 00:45:42,360 --> 00:45:45,480 Speaker 3: a first basement isn't that bad. But you're also not 865 00:45:45,560 --> 00:45:48,680 Speaker 3: expected to be throwing the ball that much. I think 866 00:45:48,719 --> 00:45:54,080 Speaker 3: maybe that would offset his abilities his deficiencies at the 867 00:45:54,120 --> 00:45:57,480 Speaker 3: position a little bit, because the throw from second base 868 00:45:57,719 --> 00:46:01,359 Speaker 3: isn't as strenuous on you know, the throwing arm, as 869 00:46:01,400 --> 00:46:03,719 Speaker 3: it would be from say third or short stop. It's 870 00:46:03,760 --> 00:46:08,080 Speaker 3: just it's generally a shorter distance. I think maybe in 871 00:46:08,120 --> 00:46:10,759 Speaker 3: that regard, I think the lack of arm strength will 872 00:46:10,760 --> 00:46:13,000 Speaker 3: be helped by the fact that he's not gonna have 873 00:46:13,080 --> 00:46:16,240 Speaker 3: to make a lot of long throws to first space 874 00:46:16,280 --> 00:46:19,000 Speaker 3: most of the time. How he looks turning the double play, 875 00:46:19,040 --> 00:46:21,040 Speaker 3: I think is where I have the most concern, because 876 00:46:21,400 --> 00:46:23,799 Speaker 3: you know, he's despite the fact that he's not tall, 877 00:46:23,880 --> 00:46:27,160 Speaker 3: he's he's a little he's he's bulkier, he's for a 878 00:46:27,200 --> 00:46:31,000 Speaker 3: guy playing that position primarily, so his athleticism I think 879 00:46:31,080 --> 00:46:35,880 Speaker 3: may be affected in that regard. But given what he's 880 00:46:35,960 --> 00:46:38,839 Speaker 3: done on the field in the batter's box, I think 881 00:46:38,880 --> 00:46:43,040 Speaker 3: if he could even just be an average defensive second baseman, 882 00:46:43,400 --> 00:46:45,920 Speaker 3: and that I personally, I think that's the one hundred 883 00:46:46,040 --> 00:46:50,879 Speaker 3: percent projection for him is like the best as far 884 00:46:50,880 --> 00:46:53,040 Speaker 3: as like one hundred percent best outcome. I think if 885 00:46:53,040 --> 00:46:55,319 Speaker 3: he's an average second baseman with the bat that we 886 00:46:55,400 --> 00:46:58,160 Speaker 3: think he's gonna give you, then there's no reason to 887 00:46:58,320 --> 00:47:00,319 Speaker 3: not want to like you. I said, explore the idea 888 00:47:00,360 --> 00:47:02,160 Speaker 3: of locking him up long term, but I think his 889 00:47:02,320 --> 00:47:04,239 Speaker 3: versatility is still gonna have to be something that he 890 00:47:04,280 --> 00:47:07,680 Speaker 3: employs because you know, the ability to move around with 891 00:47:07,800 --> 00:47:09,920 Speaker 3: that bat, the way that the Dodgers can kind of 892 00:47:09,960 --> 00:47:12,160 Speaker 3: do it with guys who play all over but they 893 00:47:12,160 --> 00:47:15,320 Speaker 3: also produce at an above average offensive level will only 894 00:47:15,320 --> 00:47:17,759 Speaker 3: help that team in more ways than one. 895 00:47:18,800 --> 00:47:20,359 Speaker 4: Yeah, So with. 896 00:47:20,280 --> 00:47:23,480 Speaker 1: That, I think that's gonna be our episode of Phishology, 897 00:47:23,960 --> 00:47:27,120 Speaker 1: talking of things, Jazz being on the cover centerfield Luis 898 00:47:27,160 --> 00:47:32,080 Speaker 1: arayas Richard Blier for Matt Barnes. That whole deal really 899 00:47:32,120 --> 00:47:34,600 Speaker 1: a wild week week and a half for the Marlins 900 00:47:34,640 --> 00:47:38,320 Speaker 1: in terms of news, and hopefully there is more coming soon, 901 00:47:38,680 --> 00:47:40,680 Speaker 1: but if there is, we'll make sure to record a 902 00:47:40,719 --> 00:47:45,280 Speaker 1: physiology episode asaps bringing out to you guys but for myself, Daniel, 903 00:47:45,320 --> 00:47:48,120 Speaker 1: for Eli, for Lewis, we're to thank you for tuning 904 00:47:48,160 --> 00:48:00,480 Speaker 1: in and always go fish.