1
00:00:00,240 --> 00:00:04,440
Speaker 1: Welcome to the Action Network podcast, the number one show

2
00:00:04,600 --> 00:00:06,200
Speaker 1: for the invested sports fan.

3
00:00:07,920 --> 00:00:08,880
Speaker 2: All Right, here we go.

4
00:00:13,960 --> 00:00:17,720
Speaker 1: Fifteen, twenty, twenty five, thirty thirty five, forty forty five,

5
00:00:17,800 --> 00:00:25,120
Speaker 1: fifty and the Kicks Block the Comic Football Laura Study

6
00:00:25,160 --> 00:00:30,160
Speaker 1: good Bye, Oh my goodness, It's Stumble the Bubbles the

7
00:00:30,320 --> 00:00:33,520
Speaker 1: Lateral Turn a canter of the episode.

8
00:00:34,040 --> 00:00:38,920
Speaker 3: Do you the lad take it off the field to night?

9
00:00:39,440 --> 00:00:45,000
Speaker 1: By God, it's not the size of the dog in

10
00:00:45,080 --> 00:00:48,000
Speaker 1: the fight, it's the size of the fight in all

11
00:00:54,680 --> 00:00:59,800
Speaker 1: What's up, Degenerate Nation, Welcome to the Action Netflix Podcast.

12
00:01:01,120 --> 00:01:05,319
Speaker 1: This is the Conference Championship betting preview.

13
00:01:05,319 --> 00:01:09,200
Speaker 3: It's Championship weekend. Baby, I'm stucky, and with me as always,

14
00:01:09,640 --> 00:01:12,080
Speaker 3: is Colin Wilson. What's going on, Colin?

15
00:01:12,640 --> 00:01:16,640
Speaker 2: I'm swimming through Lane Kiffin rumors. I've got real estate

16
00:01:16,720 --> 00:01:20,000
Speaker 2: going up on the market. I've got coordinators flying in

17
00:01:20,040 --> 00:01:23,280
Speaker 2: and out, leaks coming from assistant coaches in Fayetteville, and

18
00:01:23,760 --> 00:01:26,000
Speaker 2: all I can think of is how much money we

19
00:01:26,080 --> 00:01:28,800
Speaker 2: have on the line, and all of these conference championship games,

20
00:01:29,120 --> 00:01:31,120
Speaker 2: and the fact that you know, Kiffin is probably gonna

21
00:01:31,120 --> 00:01:33,120
Speaker 2: have a new job the second that that Conference USA

22
00:01:33,160 --> 00:01:33,920
Speaker 2: game is over.

23
00:01:34,040 --> 00:01:36,440
Speaker 3: Look the game that I'm actually looking forward to the most.

24
00:01:36,480 --> 00:01:38,160
Speaker 3: I mean, I had Utah to win the South. I've

25
00:01:38,240 --> 00:01:41,440
Speaker 3: Utah packed twelve futures make the playoff futures. So obviously

26
00:01:41,480 --> 00:01:44,040
Speaker 3: it's Friday night. You know, we have Georgia futures as well,

27
00:01:44,080 --> 00:01:47,080
Speaker 3: and Georgia to win the SEC. That's another game I'm

28
00:01:47,120 --> 00:01:50,080
Speaker 3: interested in. But the game I really want to see,

29
00:01:50,240 --> 00:01:51,640
Speaker 3: and we'll get to it. We're going to go through

30
00:01:51,680 --> 00:01:54,240
Speaker 3: all ten conference championship games and we'll close out with

31
00:01:54,240 --> 00:01:57,360
Speaker 3: our money line underdog parlay and get you out of here.

32
00:01:57,360 --> 00:02:01,000
Speaker 3: But we can spend what six seven minutes on each

33
00:02:01,120 --> 00:02:03,240
Speaker 3: game here, maybe only two or three on the mac,

34
00:02:03,280 --> 00:02:06,520
Speaker 3: but we'll see. But Ull, so I'm thirteen to one,

35
00:02:06,560 --> 00:02:09,200
Speaker 3: eleven to one to win the conference and they're going

36
00:02:09,280 --> 00:02:10,840
Speaker 3: up against Apple State, a team that's owned them. But

37
00:02:10,840 --> 00:02:12,400
Speaker 3: I think they have a good shot. We'll get there

38
00:02:12,680 --> 00:02:15,000
Speaker 3: in a second. But what are you from a future's perspective,

39
00:02:15,000 --> 00:02:17,760
Speaker 3: what are you most interested in this weekend?

40
00:02:18,200 --> 00:02:21,480
Speaker 2: Well, obviously, Utah you saw was the largest investment on

41
00:02:21,560 --> 00:02:23,880
Speaker 2: the board in the preseason and something that we've been

42
00:02:23,919 --> 00:02:26,360
Speaker 2: talking about since the beginning of the year. You know,

43
00:02:26,400 --> 00:02:28,760
Speaker 2: you've got ull in that game against app State. I

44
00:02:28,800 --> 00:02:31,120
Speaker 2: know that I've got Oklahoma to make the playoff futures

45
00:02:31,160 --> 00:02:33,720
Speaker 2: to go in. There is a piece that we wrote

46
00:02:33,800 --> 00:02:36,680
Speaker 2: up on the AAC suggesting Memphis. I got Memphis at

47
00:02:37,000 --> 00:02:40,160
Speaker 2: four to one. Over in some Jersey books early in

48
00:02:40,200 --> 00:02:42,799
Speaker 2: the season, there's a twenty five to one I've got

49
00:02:42,800 --> 00:02:44,640
Speaker 2: on Hawaii, trying to figure out how to get out

50
00:02:44,680 --> 00:02:47,200
Speaker 2: of that one. Got a eighteen to one on Wisconsin

51
00:02:47,240 --> 00:02:49,520
Speaker 2: from the Westgate that could pay off like nine grand.

52
00:02:49,639 --> 00:02:52,160
Speaker 2: So I mean, it's just, I mean, it's all every game.

53
00:02:52,440 --> 00:02:56,000
Speaker 2: I literally have like an accountant's book in front of me,

54
00:02:56,040 --> 00:02:57,200
Speaker 2: and I'm going to be sitting in front of the

55
00:02:57,240 --> 00:03:01,280
Speaker 2: TVs just you know, taking notes live, maybe wagering live.

56
00:03:01,440 --> 00:03:03,480
Speaker 2: I mean, it's just going to be a complete day

57
00:03:03,919 --> 00:03:05,840
Speaker 2: of getting in and out of making sure that I

58
00:03:05,880 --> 00:03:07,760
Speaker 2: have profit in my pocket at the end of each game.

59
00:03:08,120 --> 00:03:10,800
Speaker 3: We'll finish up with the Pac twelve for Friday Night

60
00:03:10,919 --> 00:03:15,160
Speaker 3: lights at the end. But let's go in chronological order

61
00:03:15,600 --> 00:03:19,440
Speaker 3: throughout the day. Starting on Saturday. The game start at noon.

62
00:03:20,040 --> 00:03:23,120
Speaker 3: I think they get progressively worse as the day goes on,

63
00:03:23,240 --> 00:03:27,200
Speaker 3: especially at night. I mean, it's Clemson, Virginia, Ohio State

64
00:03:27,200 --> 00:03:30,400
Speaker 3: Wisconsin or your primetime games. I don't know if we're

65
00:03:30,440 --> 00:03:32,120
Speaker 3: going to get a good game in either one of

66
00:03:32,120 --> 00:03:34,760
Speaker 3: those two, but we'll get there. But day afternoon should

67
00:03:34,760 --> 00:03:40,560
Speaker 3: be really exciting. It starts with the Sunbelt Championship in Boone,

68
00:03:40,560 --> 00:03:45,960
Speaker 3: North Carolina, a rematch of last year's championship game where

69
00:03:46,000 --> 00:03:48,920
Speaker 3: APPS State one. They were seventeen and a half point favorites.

70
00:03:48,960 --> 00:03:52,400
Speaker 3: I believe you well, all covered and that's something that

71
00:03:52,560 --> 00:03:55,440
Speaker 3: ULL has done a lot under Billy Napier. They've just

72
00:03:55,440 --> 00:03:58,360
Speaker 3: been a covering machine the past two seasons. And this

73
00:03:58,440 --> 00:04:00,960
Speaker 3: line's sitting at app State minus six, six and a

74
00:04:01,000 --> 00:04:03,800
Speaker 3: half over under fifty six. These teams met and ap

75
00:04:03,800 --> 00:04:05,640
Speaker 3: States owned this year. I think they're seven to zero

76
00:04:06,240 --> 00:04:09,320
Speaker 3: against UL. These teams met earlier in the year and

77
00:04:10,040 --> 00:04:13,160
Speaker 3: app State was an underdog, a rare underdog in conference.

78
00:04:13,200 --> 00:04:16,200
Speaker 3: They were a one and a half to two point

79
00:04:16,320 --> 00:04:20,560
Speaker 3: underdog at UL. They ended up winning by ten, but

80
00:04:21,160 --> 00:04:23,560
Speaker 3: you know the game was very close, and there was

81
00:04:23,600 --> 00:04:27,360
Speaker 3: some questionable coaching decisions by UL. There were you know,

82
00:04:27,400 --> 00:04:29,480
Speaker 3: they were stopped at the goal line on fourth and goal,

83
00:04:29,600 --> 00:04:32,039
Speaker 3: they were zero for two on fourth down. You know,

84
00:04:32,120 --> 00:04:35,359
Speaker 3: a couple questionable penalties, so the game really was a

85
00:04:35,400 --> 00:04:37,080
Speaker 3: lot closer than you know. It was just a ten

86
00:04:37,120 --> 00:04:40,600
Speaker 3: point spread in the end. But I think ul and

87
00:04:41,080 --> 00:04:43,360
Speaker 3: keep in mind that app State they're deep at receiver,

88
00:04:43,680 --> 00:04:46,520
Speaker 3: but they will be without Sutton, one of their best

89
00:04:46,560 --> 00:04:48,200
Speaker 3: receivers and who had two catches for six of the

90
00:04:48,240 --> 00:04:50,360
Speaker 3: yards in that game, one of their most explosive playmakers.

91
00:04:50,440 --> 00:04:53,160
Speaker 3: About the out for the year with an injury. Ulll

92
00:04:53,200 --> 00:04:55,719
Speaker 3: comes in with one of the most explosive rushing attacks

93
00:04:55,720 --> 00:04:58,000
Speaker 3: in the country. APP State was able to slow them

94
00:04:58,000 --> 00:05:00,400
Speaker 3: down a little bit. They have an excellent offensive line.

95
00:05:00,440 --> 00:05:03,240
Speaker 3: I also think Levi Lewis, who had his best passing

96
00:05:03,279 --> 00:05:05,840
Speaker 3: game last year, has developed into a much better passer

97
00:05:05,839 --> 00:05:08,039
Speaker 3: than the first meeting when these two teams met. I

98
00:05:08,080 --> 00:05:10,440
Speaker 3: think that can help. I think you will has a

99
00:05:10,480 --> 00:05:13,200
Speaker 3: shot here. I think that line was about right when

100
00:05:13,200 --> 00:05:15,080
Speaker 3: they met the first time. You know, I have the

101
00:05:15,080 --> 00:05:16,880
Speaker 3: app State rated about a point or two better. So

102
00:05:16,960 --> 00:05:19,159
Speaker 3: I think that this line should be you know, maybe

103
00:05:19,160 --> 00:05:21,800
Speaker 3: around three or four, you know, four or five tops.

104
00:05:21,839 --> 00:05:23,560
Speaker 3: So I bought the seven took a little at six

105
00:05:23,600 --> 00:05:25,240
Speaker 3: and a half, but I think you all has a

106
00:05:25,279 --> 00:05:27,480
Speaker 3: real shot here. This should be a thriller. What do

107
00:05:27,560 --> 00:05:29,360
Speaker 3: you see here in the Sun Belt Championship.

108
00:05:29,720 --> 00:05:33,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, same here. I'm invested on ULL opened up at

109
00:05:33,480 --> 00:05:35,640
Speaker 2: round seven six and a half and then took a

110
00:05:35,680 --> 00:05:37,720
Speaker 2: major dip down to three and a half, opened up

111
00:05:37,800 --> 00:05:41,039
Speaker 2: at circa at six, and then everybody else decided, oh boy,

112
00:05:41,040 --> 00:05:43,599
Speaker 2: we better go back up to six six and a half.

113
00:05:43,960 --> 00:05:45,960
Speaker 2: There has been some resistance here in the last twenty

114
00:05:45,960 --> 00:05:47,960
Speaker 2: four hours, so it looks like the number could come down,

115
00:05:48,480 --> 00:05:50,200
Speaker 2: possibly do a five and a half in a five.

116
00:05:50,279 --> 00:05:52,240
Speaker 2: So we'll see what happens there. But there's just so

117
00:05:52,320 --> 00:05:54,119
Speaker 2: much going on with this game. I mean, you mentioned

118
00:05:54,160 --> 00:05:56,760
Speaker 2: what happened in the first game. I was out of

119
00:05:56,760 --> 00:06:01,320
Speaker 2: my mind upset with with my bet. In this initial game.

120
00:06:01,600 --> 00:06:04,360
Speaker 2: We had some of the craziest things happen in this game.

121
00:06:05,000 --> 00:06:08,240
Speaker 2: Billy Napier punted in the fourth quarter from fourth and

122
00:06:08,360 --> 00:06:11,880
Speaker 2: one in the midfield, down by three. App State went

123
00:06:11,960 --> 00:06:14,560
Speaker 2: on to have a nineteen play drive. I've never seen

124
00:06:14,880 --> 00:06:18,160
Speaker 2: a nineteen play drive with the sun Belt ref spotting

125
00:06:18,200 --> 00:06:22,599
Speaker 2: the ball advantageously for the Mountaineers PI flags on a

126
00:06:22,640 --> 00:06:25,279
Speaker 2: red zone player being thrown from the from an official

127
00:06:25,320 --> 00:06:27,919
Speaker 2: at the fifty yard line. I mean, it was just

128
00:06:28,000 --> 00:06:31,560
Speaker 2: suspect the entire game was suspect, So you're right. App

129
00:06:31,560 --> 00:06:33,800
Speaker 2: State has owned the series. They've won all seven games

130
00:06:33,839 --> 00:06:36,560
Speaker 2: since twenty fourteen, and how much have they owned this series?

131
00:06:36,760 --> 00:06:39,120
Speaker 2: UL has never finished in single digits in a loss,

132
00:06:39,240 --> 00:06:41,640
Speaker 2: so I think the line is inflated. I have this,

133
00:06:41,960 --> 00:06:44,039
Speaker 2: you know, line, the same as we had before. I

134
00:06:44,040 --> 00:06:45,840
Speaker 2: have an app State minus one and a half on

135
00:06:45,880 --> 00:06:48,679
Speaker 2: their own home field. SPPLUS has this at three point seven.

136
00:06:48,760 --> 00:06:52,240
Speaker 2: So the number is, you know, extremely generous for ULL

137
00:06:52,279 --> 00:06:54,440
Speaker 2: if you want to get involved on that side. I mean,

138
00:06:54,440 --> 00:06:56,919
Speaker 2: the overdarers only hit just once in this series. I

139
00:06:56,920 --> 00:07:00,320
Speaker 2: think for as much heat as the offenses can for

140
00:07:00,360 --> 00:07:02,680
Speaker 2: both of these teams. People don't realize these two teams

141
00:07:02,720 --> 00:07:04,960
Speaker 2: are really good on defense. App State's top fifteen and

142
00:07:05,040 --> 00:07:08,000
Speaker 2: success rate on defense, while ULL is more of a

143
00:07:08,040 --> 00:07:09,880
Speaker 2: bend don't break. They'll give up a lot of yards.

144
00:07:09,880 --> 00:07:13,240
Speaker 2: They're one hundred nineteenth and opponent rushing success rate, but

145
00:07:13,240 --> 00:07:15,760
Speaker 2: they're thirteenth in defensive finishing drive. So once you get

146
00:07:15,760 --> 00:07:18,400
Speaker 2: to the forty yard line, the raging Cagen's defense really

147
00:07:18,400 --> 00:07:20,760
Speaker 2: starts to stand up. App State is really good in

148
00:07:20,920 --> 00:07:23,600
Speaker 2: opponent third down conversions. They're top ten. I like the

149
00:07:23,720 --> 00:07:25,920
Speaker 2: under in this game. I like the points on Ull.

150
00:07:26,120 --> 00:07:27,320
Speaker 2: They just got to get it out of their head

151
00:07:27,320 --> 00:07:29,239
Speaker 2: that they can win this game. They can win and boom,

152
00:07:29,440 --> 00:07:31,560
Speaker 2: they can beat these guys. You know, I know it's

153
00:07:31,560 --> 00:07:33,120
Speaker 2: got to be on their minds that they've never won

154
00:07:33,160 --> 00:07:34,960
Speaker 2: this game. They never covered this game and has never

155
00:07:34,960 --> 00:07:37,120
Speaker 2: been within ten points. But hey, here we are. We're

156
00:07:37,120 --> 00:07:38,920
Speaker 2: going to take the Cajuns and I'm going to take

157
00:07:38,920 --> 00:07:40,080
Speaker 2: an under two. Look.

158
00:07:40,200 --> 00:07:45,520
Speaker 3: UL has an outstanding offense, maybe arguably the best of

159
00:07:45,600 --> 00:07:48,000
Speaker 3: all of the group of five teams. You know, Memphis

160
00:07:48,000 --> 00:07:49,920
Speaker 3: is up there and there's some other teams, but UL

161
00:07:50,000 --> 00:07:51,600
Speaker 3: is right there. I mean, this is a team that's

162
00:07:51,880 --> 00:07:54,080
Speaker 3: i think leading the nation and rushing yards per tenth

163
00:07:54,120 --> 00:07:57,200
Speaker 3: they're fifth and rushing success rate. They're also top fifteen

164
00:07:57,200 --> 00:07:59,760
Speaker 3: in passing success rate. So I mean, this offense is

165
00:07:59,800 --> 00:08:02,360
Speaker 3: really good. The app State offense is also really good.

166
00:08:02,440 --> 00:08:05,480
Speaker 3: I mean, you're talking top fifteen also in rushing, top

167
00:08:05,840 --> 00:08:08,600
Speaker 3: twenty five in passing success rate. They're gonna be able

168
00:08:08,640 --> 00:08:11,880
Speaker 3: to move the ball here against ULL's defensive line. I

169
00:08:11,880 --> 00:08:13,480
Speaker 3: think at the end of the day, what this comes

170
00:08:13,480 --> 00:08:15,400
Speaker 3: down to is app State's defense is a little better

171
00:08:15,720 --> 00:08:19,040
Speaker 3: than Ul's I think US offense is a little better

172
00:08:19,040 --> 00:08:21,640
Speaker 3: than app States. APP States should be able to move

173
00:08:21,720 --> 00:08:23,800
Speaker 3: just grind the ball down the field because the UL

174
00:08:23,880 --> 00:08:26,080
Speaker 3: defensive line is really poor. I mean you're talking one

175
00:08:26,160 --> 00:08:28,560
Speaker 3: hundred and twenty seventh in line yards. They just are

176
00:08:28,600 --> 00:08:30,760
Speaker 3: going to get pushed by the app State offensive line.

177
00:08:30,880 --> 00:08:33,599
Speaker 3: But I do think that this UL offense, with a

178
00:08:33,679 --> 00:08:35,960
Speaker 3: more confident Lewis, can move the ball in the ground.

179
00:08:36,000 --> 00:08:38,360
Speaker 3: And then the X factor here is the special teams

180
00:08:38,360 --> 00:08:40,839
Speaker 3: where UL will have an advantage. They have the more

181
00:08:40,880 --> 00:08:44,640
Speaker 3: reliable kicker, they have a better punter, and they have

182
00:08:44,800 --> 00:08:47,200
Speaker 3: one of the most explosive kick returners, one of I

183
00:08:47,200 --> 00:08:50,240
Speaker 3: think four or five returners in the country that's averaging

184
00:08:50,280 --> 00:08:54,760
Speaker 3: over thirty yards per kick return. So special teams UL

185
00:08:54,920 --> 00:08:57,600
Speaker 3: advantage there as well. You know you have your auc

186
00:08:57,760 --> 00:09:00,240
Speaker 3: punter who can boom the ball or take he is

187
00:09:00,400 --> 00:09:02,959
Speaker 3: a very reliable kicker. Appstates kicker is a big leg,

188
00:09:03,000 --> 00:09:05,040
Speaker 3: but he'll miss a twenty five yard or a thirty yarder,

189
00:09:05,360 --> 00:09:08,160
Speaker 3: very inconsistent. So I think that that's the next factor

190
00:09:08,160 --> 00:09:10,200
Speaker 3: as well. So I think these are these two teams

191
00:09:10,200 --> 00:09:13,520
Speaker 3: are not far apart. Don't be surprised if the special

192
00:09:13,559 --> 00:09:14,480
Speaker 3: teams are a factor.

193
00:09:14,600 --> 00:09:17,520
Speaker 2: Another thing for Ulo that people don't realize they're number

194
00:09:17,559 --> 00:09:20,040
Speaker 2: one in the nation and have it allowed on offense.

195
00:09:20,400 --> 00:09:22,680
Speaker 2: They do not beat themselves. They do not give the

196
00:09:22,720 --> 00:09:24,959
Speaker 2: ball up. They do not give you gifts that we're

197
00:09:24,960 --> 00:09:27,160
Speaker 2: gonna talk about Hawaii later. You want talk about giving gifts.

198
00:09:27,320 --> 00:09:29,800
Speaker 2: They're not Hawaii. They're a solid investment. They've just got

199
00:09:29,800 --> 00:09:30,480
Speaker 2: to get it done.

200
00:09:30,760 --> 00:09:33,280
Speaker 3: And by the way, true road dogs and conference championship

201
00:09:33,320 --> 00:09:36,160
Speaker 3: games are fourteen and five against the spread, covering by

202
00:09:36,200 --> 00:09:38,760
Speaker 3: an average margin of over a touchdown since two thousand

203
00:09:38,800 --> 00:09:41,000
Speaker 3: and five. That includes Louisiana's cover last year and boon

204
00:09:41,240 --> 00:09:43,800
Speaker 3: in a straight up loss. But something that keep in

205
00:09:43,840 --> 00:09:46,439
Speaker 3: mind we mentioned Appstate hasn't turned it over. They've lost

206
00:09:46,480 --> 00:09:49,559
Speaker 3: two fumbles all year. That's it. That leads the nation,

207
00:09:49,640 --> 00:09:51,720
Speaker 3: by the way, the fewest fumbles lost all season. You

208
00:09:51,760 --> 00:09:53,480
Speaker 3: want to talk about, you know a team that's due

209
00:09:53,480 --> 00:09:56,120
Speaker 3: to lose a couple fumbles and deal with some turnover regression,

210
00:09:56,480 --> 00:09:59,560
Speaker 3: it's right here. And like I said, with billion Apier,

211
00:09:59,559 --> 00:10:02,040
Speaker 3: he's eight teen and seven against the spread, covering by

212
00:10:02,040 --> 00:10:06,120
Speaker 3: almost a touchdown per game. This Ull team just continues

213
00:10:06,320 --> 00:10:08,880
Speaker 3: to be disrespected by the market and they continue to

214
00:10:08,920 --> 00:10:10,600
Speaker 3: beat the clothes billion.

215
00:10:10,640 --> 00:10:12,360
Speaker 2: Napiers is one of those names that's on the list.

216
00:10:12,400 --> 00:10:14,480
Speaker 2: I know he's on Arkansas's short list, and so he

217
00:10:14,559 --> 00:10:17,480
Speaker 2: could be trying to add a very big bullet point

218
00:10:17,480 --> 00:10:19,600
Speaker 2: to his resume here with a victory. All right.

219
00:10:19,880 --> 00:10:24,760
Speaker 3: Also at noon on Saturday, we have the MAC Championship.

220
00:10:24,760 --> 00:10:26,200
Speaker 3: I don't know much time we're going to spend on this,

221
00:10:26,240 --> 00:10:28,559
Speaker 3: but Central Michigan is a six and a half seven

222
00:10:28,600 --> 00:10:32,000
Speaker 3: point favorite. This is in Detroit over under fifty four.

223
00:10:32,040 --> 00:10:34,040
Speaker 3: This is the first time my husben to the MAC

224
00:10:34,120 --> 00:10:36,880
Speaker 3: Championship since twenty ten. Of course it's after Gus leaves,

225
00:10:36,920 --> 00:10:39,560
Speaker 3: Poor Gus. Central Michigan first appearance in two thousand and nine.

226
00:10:39,679 --> 00:10:42,520
Speaker 3: I don't think anyone projected either one of these teams

227
00:10:42,559 --> 00:10:45,520
Speaker 3: in the MAC Championships a wide open mac heere. I mean,

228
00:10:45,559 --> 00:10:47,959
Speaker 3: Central Michigan was picked to finish last in the division,

229
00:10:48,120 --> 00:10:50,280
Speaker 3: had one win last year, winless in the MAC, and

230
00:10:50,320 --> 00:10:53,360
Speaker 3: now here they are as almost a touchdown favorite. Look,

231
00:10:53,480 --> 00:10:56,760
Speaker 3: I played this very small. I've took the RedHawks plus

232
00:10:56,800 --> 00:10:58,840
Speaker 3: seven just because I make it around four to four

233
00:10:58,840 --> 00:11:00,400
Speaker 3: and a half. They do have a big spec teams

234
00:11:00,400 --> 00:11:02,480
Speaker 3: avantage of something to keep in mind. Their special teams

235
00:11:02,480 --> 00:11:04,600
Speaker 3: have been really good. They like have won many games

236
00:11:04,880 --> 00:11:06,960
Speaker 3: that they probably shouldn't have won because of their special teams.

237
00:11:06,960 --> 00:11:09,680
Speaker 3: The Central Michigan special teams are pretty dreadful. Central Michigan

238
00:11:09,720 --> 00:11:13,439
Speaker 3: has a much better offense. These are two similarly rated defenses.

239
00:11:13,800 --> 00:11:15,439
Speaker 3: I do think that you're getting some value in the

240
00:11:15,480 --> 00:11:17,800
Speaker 3: market for how Miams Ohio finished the season just a

241
00:11:17,840 --> 00:11:19,480
Speaker 3: complete doud but you have to remember they had the

242
00:11:19,679 --> 00:11:22,200
Speaker 3: division wrapped up like the last three weeks of the year,

243
00:11:22,200 --> 00:11:24,400
Speaker 3: while Central Michigan had a win in their final game

244
00:11:24,400 --> 00:11:26,640
Speaker 3: of the season. It's the Mac. It's been the most

245
00:11:26,760 --> 00:11:29,480
Speaker 3: unpredictable MAC I can remember, so that maybe means mind

246
00:11:29,559 --> 00:11:31,400
Speaker 3: Ohio wins, but I don't know. I've been wrong on

247
00:11:31,440 --> 00:11:33,520
Speaker 3: the MAC all year. I'm so happy this is the

248
00:11:33,600 --> 00:11:36,760
Speaker 3: last MAC matchup that I can bet, so I bet

249
00:11:36,760 --> 00:11:39,319
Speaker 3: it's small. It'll probably lose, but I just bet small

250
00:11:39,320 --> 00:11:40,800
Speaker 3: in the number with Miam of Ohio.

251
00:11:41,240 --> 00:11:43,640
Speaker 2: What do you see here, I've actually only bet Akron

252
00:11:43,679 --> 00:11:48,360
Speaker 2: once cash to that ticket. I've been riding kent Stay forever,

253
00:11:48,480 --> 00:11:51,400
Speaker 2: so I've actually had a profitable year in the MAC,

254
00:11:51,640 --> 00:11:53,360
Speaker 2: which it's just hot and cold there have been years

255
00:11:53,360 --> 00:11:54,840
Speaker 2: where I haven't been able to hit the broadside of

256
00:11:54,840 --> 00:11:58,160
Speaker 2: a barn. So you're right, the number is completely inflated

257
00:11:58,200 --> 00:12:00,640
Speaker 2: in this game. It should be around three and a half.

258
00:12:00,679 --> 00:12:02,480
Speaker 2: But I mean that's a result of what's happened in

259
00:12:02,480 --> 00:12:04,920
Speaker 2: the month of November. Central Michigan has just been on

260
00:12:04,960 --> 00:12:07,840
Speaker 2: a terror lately, and you know, making their way all

261
00:12:07,880 --> 00:12:09,680
Speaker 2: the way back. I mean, you have to think about

262
00:12:10,000 --> 00:12:11,839
Speaker 2: where they were. You mentioned that they were one in

263
00:12:12,320 --> 00:12:15,839
Speaker 2: eleven last year, their sole victory was over the main

264
00:12:15,920 --> 00:12:19,120
Speaker 2: Black Bears. Last year, they go and get Jim mcawayin.

265
00:12:19,480 --> 00:12:22,600
Speaker 2: He comes in and they lose their first conference game

266
00:12:22,960 --> 00:12:25,199
Speaker 2: against Western Michigan. The fact that they're here in this

267
00:12:25,280 --> 00:12:27,800
Speaker 2: spot is amazing because they lost their very first conference

268
00:12:27,840 --> 00:12:31,480
Speaker 2: game against Western Michigan. They got beat by Wisconsin, blanked

269
00:12:31,480 --> 00:12:34,600
Speaker 2: by Wisconsin, a fifty burger, got beat by Miami Florida.

270
00:12:34,800 --> 00:12:36,960
Speaker 2: They got down to three hundred to one at the

271
00:12:37,040 --> 00:12:39,560
Speaker 2: end of September at Circus Sports, and I'm not sure

272
00:12:39,559 --> 00:12:42,280
Speaker 2: if there's a ticket floating around on that, but I mean,

273
00:12:42,559 --> 00:12:45,160
Speaker 2: this just tells you how crazy when we make these

274
00:12:45,200 --> 00:12:46,079
Speaker 2: bold predictions.

275
00:12:46,120 --> 00:12:48,160
Speaker 3: The Stock Mountain pleasant has to have one.

276
00:12:48,400 --> 00:12:50,360
Speaker 2: Somebody has to have one right. I mean, so, I

277
00:12:50,360 --> 00:12:52,480
Speaker 2: mean when stuck and I make these crazy predictions in

278
00:12:52,520 --> 00:12:55,480
Speaker 2: the MAC and the Sun Belt, when it's July and August.

279
00:12:55,480 --> 00:12:58,760
Speaker 2: It's because it's so easy to improve your team so

280
00:12:58,920 --> 00:13:02,040
Speaker 2: fast in these really bad group of five conferences. It

281
00:13:02,080 --> 00:13:04,240
Speaker 2: doesn't hurt to take a huge long shot. Now we

282
00:13:04,360 --> 00:13:06,440
Speaker 2: just I happened to whiff with Texas State. I wish

283
00:13:06,440 --> 00:13:08,400
Speaker 2: the Chips would have been on my radar. But you know,

284
00:13:08,679 --> 00:13:11,120
Speaker 2: here we are. You know, the RedHawks. Let's switch to

285
00:13:11,160 --> 00:13:13,839
Speaker 2: their side, because they've been poor over the last month.

286
00:13:13,840 --> 00:13:16,360
Speaker 2: They've been out gained in recent wins against Kent State,

287
00:13:16,600 --> 00:13:21,280
Speaker 2: Ohio bowling Green acron covered almost beat him. Brett Gabbart

288
00:13:21,360 --> 00:13:24,360
Speaker 2: is their quarterback. He was deemed more than probable by

289
00:13:24,440 --> 00:13:27,400
Speaker 2: Chuck Martin for this game, but he did suffer injury

290
00:13:27,720 --> 00:13:30,040
Speaker 2: in the last game out, so we don't know exactly

291
00:13:30,040 --> 00:13:30,760
Speaker 2: how good they're going to be.

292
00:13:30,800 --> 00:13:31,080
Speaker 3: On offense.

293
00:13:31,120 --> 00:13:32,800
Speaker 2: They're not very good anyways. They're outside the top one

294
00:13:32,840 --> 00:13:36,079
Speaker 2: hundred almost every single category. I mean some categories they're

295
00:13:36,120 --> 00:13:39,160
Speaker 2: below one hundred and twenty. So it's pretty terrible. The

296
00:13:39,240 --> 00:13:42,640
Speaker 2: number is an overreaction. Ball State came back and scored

297
00:13:42,640 --> 00:13:45,240
Speaker 2: twenty seven points to Miami Ohio was zero last week

298
00:13:45,280 --> 00:13:47,400
Speaker 2: in the second half, came back to win that game.

299
00:13:47,760 --> 00:13:50,800
Speaker 2: So it's been so long, even though the numbers inflated,

300
00:13:51,120 --> 00:13:53,600
Speaker 2: it's been so long since we've seen Miami Ohio do

301
00:13:53,679 --> 00:13:56,480
Speaker 2: anything on offense. I mean we're talking a month. The

302
00:13:56,520 --> 00:14:00,920
Speaker 2: Chips have not lost a first quarter since September. They

303
00:14:00,960 --> 00:14:03,559
Speaker 2: failed to cover just two games this year. That's how

304
00:14:03,559 --> 00:14:06,640
Speaker 2: hot they've been, so you know, forced to take a side.

305
00:14:07,120 --> 00:14:10,680
Speaker 2: I agree, Miami of Ohio. The number is inflated, and

306
00:14:10,760 --> 00:14:12,960
Speaker 2: I'm looking at sharp books right now and they're coming

307
00:14:13,000 --> 00:14:14,320
Speaker 2: down off the seven and the six and a half

308
00:14:14,360 --> 00:14:16,480
Speaker 2: they're hitting six. So I mean, I gotta respect the

309
00:14:16,520 --> 00:14:19,000
Speaker 2: money that's coming in off of Miami Ohio, but this

310
00:14:19,200 --> 00:14:22,240
Speaker 2: offense is lifeless and Central Michigan is on a heater,

311
00:14:22,600 --> 00:14:24,960
Speaker 2: So I mean, take which side that you want. But

312
00:14:25,120 --> 00:14:28,160
Speaker 2: Miami Ohio's advanced stats are terrible, and you're seeing a

313
00:14:28,160 --> 00:14:29,600
Speaker 2: reflection of that in the points spread.

314
00:14:30,000 --> 00:14:32,840
Speaker 3: I agree, it's tough to swallow, and it's purely based

315
00:14:32,840 --> 00:14:34,720
Speaker 3: on the number of their offense. As ugly as you said,

316
00:14:34,800 --> 00:14:38,800
Speaker 3: all right, let's move on here to probably you know,

317
00:14:39,120 --> 00:14:41,680
Speaker 3: my main TV will be ul at state and then

318
00:14:41,880 --> 00:14:45,000
Speaker 3: you know, on the other TVs, I'll have the mac game.

319
00:14:45,360 --> 00:14:46,880
Speaker 3: You know, maybe instead of the Macaw, I might have

320
00:14:46,960 --> 00:14:51,200
Speaker 3: Baylor Arizona, which is a noon matchup of top twenty

321
00:14:51,200 --> 00:14:54,560
Speaker 3: five college basketball teams New Eastern in Waco. But at

322
00:14:54,600 --> 00:14:58,880
Speaker 3: the same time, elsewhere in the state of Texas, their

323
00:14:58,920 --> 00:15:00,720
Speaker 3: football team is playing. I don't know who's going to

324
00:15:00,760 --> 00:15:03,640
Speaker 3: this Baylor Arizona game at an eleven am local tip

325
00:15:03,880 --> 00:15:07,200
Speaker 3: while Baylor is playing for a Big twelve championship against

326
00:15:07,240 --> 00:15:10,720
Speaker 3: Oklahoma to eleven and one fos here. They both have

327
00:15:11,240 --> 00:15:14,760
Speaker 3: playoff aspirations, Baylor probably a little more well obviously a

328
00:15:14,800 --> 00:15:17,080
Speaker 3: little more of an outside shot than Oklahoma, you know,

329
00:15:17,080 --> 00:15:19,160
Speaker 3: and all these teams. The thing is is that they're

330
00:15:19,160 --> 00:15:23,440
Speaker 3: playing you know, Baylor in Oklahoma Utah. They're all gonna

331
00:15:23,560 --> 00:15:25,600
Speaker 3: try and go out there and win, win by a lot,

332
00:15:25,640 --> 00:15:27,560
Speaker 3: and then kick back and then root for LSU at

333
00:15:27,560 --> 00:15:31,240
Speaker 3: three thirty. So we'll talk about that game later because

334
00:15:31,360 --> 00:15:33,800
Speaker 3: I think most agree if Georgia wins therein and sorry

335
00:15:33,840 --> 00:15:37,520
Speaker 3: to Oklahoma and Utah, but this game is really interesting

336
00:15:37,560 --> 00:15:40,480
Speaker 3: to me because well, what two reasons, right, This is

337
00:15:40,480 --> 00:15:44,080
Speaker 3: in Arlington at AT and T Stadium and Oklahoma is

338
00:15:44,120 --> 00:15:47,080
Speaker 3: a nine point favorite over under sixty four and a half.

339
00:15:47,080 --> 00:15:51,640
Speaker 3: You say nine point favorite, well, Oklahoma just last month

340
00:15:52,040 --> 00:15:54,240
Speaker 3: was a close to ten and a half point favorite

341
00:15:54,280 --> 00:15:57,160
Speaker 3: in Waco, and that was without Cede lamb So and

342
00:15:57,200 --> 00:16:00,120
Speaker 3: then you know, they obviously Baylor covered. Baylor was up

343
00:16:00,120 --> 00:16:02,600
Speaker 3: by twenty five points, they had a Falcons lead of

344
00:16:02,640 --> 00:16:04,920
Speaker 3: twenty eight three. They were dominating, and then it was

345
00:16:04,920 --> 00:16:07,280
Speaker 3: just a tail of two halves. Oklahoma and Lincoln Riley

346
00:16:07,360 --> 00:16:10,320
Speaker 3: changed their entire offense, especially for the second half. They

347
00:16:10,320 --> 00:16:12,840
Speaker 3: became a ball control offense. They were just running it

348
00:16:12,920 --> 00:16:17,640
Speaker 3: right down Baylor's throats, just efficiently passing Hurts with his legs.

349
00:16:17,680 --> 00:16:19,760
Speaker 3: And we've talked about this before. Baylor does a great

350
00:16:19,840 --> 00:16:23,680
Speaker 3: job of limiting explosive plays. You know, their front seven

351
00:16:23,760 --> 00:16:25,600
Speaker 3: can be exploded on the ground. They're not the most

352
00:16:25,600 --> 00:16:28,480
Speaker 3: efficient defense, and you're talking about maybe one of the

353
00:16:28,520 --> 00:16:31,080
Speaker 3: top one or two most efficient offenses in the country

354
00:16:31,080 --> 00:16:33,400
Speaker 3: in Oklahoma, and they just officially moved the ball down

355
00:16:33,400 --> 00:16:35,920
Speaker 3: the field. You know, they caused a couple turnovers in

356
00:16:35,960 --> 00:16:37,560
Speaker 3: the second half on Baylor, and then they wore the

357
00:16:37,560 --> 00:16:39,640
Speaker 3: Baylor defense out. I don't even know if the Baylor's

358
00:16:39,640 --> 00:16:41,360
Speaker 3: offense was on the field for more than ten plays

359
00:16:41,360 --> 00:16:43,360
Speaker 3: in the second half, but it was a tail of

360
00:16:43,360 --> 00:16:45,560
Speaker 3: two completely different halves. It was one of the oddest

361
00:16:45,560 --> 00:16:47,960
Speaker 3: games that you can see. But now this line is

362
00:16:48,200 --> 00:16:51,560
Speaker 3: less than what it was in Waco and Oklahoma has lamdback.

363
00:16:51,680 --> 00:16:55,760
Speaker 3: I'm curious to see what Baylor does differently on defense

364
00:16:56,280 --> 00:17:00,320
Speaker 3: to counteract you know, this Oklahoma ground game, this oklahomafficient

365
00:17:00,400 --> 00:17:03,640
Speaker 3: passing attack. Do they try and play more aggressively And

366
00:17:03,720 --> 00:17:06,680
Speaker 3: if that's the case, having lamb now in your back pocket,

367
00:17:07,000 --> 00:17:10,159
Speaker 3: that could be where Oklahoma then hits lamp deep and

368
00:17:10,320 --> 00:17:12,880
Speaker 3: opens up this game in an area where Baylor usually

369
00:17:12,960 --> 00:17:14,720
Speaker 3: excels at and limiting exposed to this On the other

370
00:17:14,760 --> 00:17:16,639
Speaker 3: side of the ball, you know, Baylor is going to

371
00:17:16,720 --> 00:17:20,000
Speaker 3: hit some exposive plays against an aggressive Oklahoma defense that

372
00:17:20,040 --> 00:17:23,159
Speaker 3: you can do that against. But you know, the Baylor

373
00:17:23,200 --> 00:17:26,720
Speaker 3: offensive line still has questions and you know the look

374
00:17:26,920 --> 00:17:28,760
Speaker 3: the two stats that I point to on the Oklahoma

375
00:17:28,760 --> 00:17:31,480
Speaker 3: side on their defenses their top twenty and sacrate and

376
00:17:31,520 --> 00:17:35,119
Speaker 3: their top twenty in creating havoc. The Baylor offense is

377
00:17:35,240 --> 00:17:37,199
Speaker 3: outside of the top one hundred in each of those

378
00:17:37,240 --> 00:17:40,360
Speaker 3: two categories. So you know, key turnovers, which we saw

379
00:17:40,680 --> 00:17:44,240
Speaker 3: play a huge role against Baylor in the first matchup,

380
00:17:44,359 --> 00:17:47,159
Speaker 3: could be the difference as well. I think Oklahoma is

381
00:17:47,160 --> 00:17:49,439
Speaker 3: a little cheap here, and they've been cheap for the

382
00:17:49,440 --> 00:17:51,600
Speaker 3: past couple weeks. We were on them against Oklahoma State

383
00:17:51,680 --> 00:17:53,880
Speaker 3: just because of a few close results that I think

384
00:17:53,880 --> 00:17:57,040
Speaker 3: we're primarily due to just bad turnover luck. And we've

385
00:17:57,040 --> 00:17:59,600
Speaker 3: talked about this countless times on the podcast, with Hurts

386
00:17:59,600 --> 00:18:01,480
Speaker 3: fumbling in the red zone and you know the pick

387
00:18:01,560 --> 00:18:05,080
Speaker 3: six against TCU when the receiver fell down. Oklahoma's a

388
00:18:05,119 --> 00:18:07,640
Speaker 3: little cheap. I know that Rule will have his team

389
00:18:07,720 --> 00:18:10,640
Speaker 3: ready for the revenge here. You know, Rule has been

390
00:18:11,200 --> 00:18:15,679
Speaker 3: a ridiculous coach against the spread as an underdog. I

391
00:18:15,720 --> 00:18:20,120
Speaker 3: mean you're talking. I think the only coach in all

392
00:18:20,160 --> 00:18:22,720
Speaker 3: of college football that's an active coach that has a

393
00:18:22,760 --> 00:18:25,000
Speaker 3: better that has been more profitable against the spread as

394
00:18:25,040 --> 00:18:28,640
Speaker 3: an underdog is Brian Kelly. That's it. So he's been

395
00:18:28,680 --> 00:18:30,240
Speaker 3: excellent against the spread. What do you see here?

396
00:18:30,520 --> 00:18:32,919
Speaker 2: If you're going to back Oklahoma, you're gonna point to

397
00:18:32,920 --> 00:18:34,400
Speaker 2: what happened in the second half, And if you're gonna

398
00:18:34,400 --> 00:18:36,080
Speaker 2: back Baylor, you're gonna point to what happened in the

399
00:18:36,080 --> 00:18:38,480
Speaker 2: first half, So let's put what Baylor did in the

400
00:18:38,480 --> 00:18:41,320
Speaker 2: first half under a bit of a microscope. Baylor scored

401
00:18:41,320 --> 00:18:43,160
Speaker 2: thirty one of their thirty four points in the first

402
00:18:43,160 --> 00:18:45,800
Speaker 2: half in the previous meeting in Waco. Those points were

403
00:18:45,800 --> 00:18:49,639
Speaker 2: a result of two OU turnovers and starting field position

404
00:18:49,720 --> 00:18:52,760
Speaker 2: at the Baylor forty six, the OU twenty seven, and

405
00:18:52,800 --> 00:18:56,000
Speaker 2: the OU nine. Baylor had just one drive go from

406
00:18:56,000 --> 00:18:59,960
Speaker 2: more than five plays and result in points the entire game.

407
00:19:00,280 --> 00:19:02,880
Speaker 2: The entire game, one drive go for more than five

408
00:19:02,880 --> 00:19:06,120
Speaker 2: plays and result in points. Turnovers are unpredictable, but if

409
00:19:06,119 --> 00:19:08,640
Speaker 2: you take out Baylor's eight plays and twenty one points,

410
00:19:08,920 --> 00:19:11,119
Speaker 2: it was just a complete domination by the Sooners. When

411
00:19:11,160 --> 00:19:13,240
Speaker 2: you factor in what happened in the second half, Oklahoma

412
00:19:13,280 --> 00:19:15,920
Speaker 2: had eight drives go for over eight plays, They had

413
00:19:15,960 --> 00:19:18,040
Speaker 2: six of their possessions, six of their eight possessions and

414
00:19:18,080 --> 00:19:19,040
Speaker 2: the second half end.

415
00:19:18,880 --> 00:19:21,520
Speaker 3: In points, and they even fumbled in ten.

416
00:19:22,240 --> 00:19:24,720
Speaker 2: They even fumbled inside the ten. The Sooners had a

417
00:19:24,840 --> 00:19:27,400
Speaker 2: ridiculous success rate of seventy one percent in the third quarter.

418
00:19:27,440 --> 00:19:29,360
Speaker 2: I don't know what happened in at halftime. I don't

419
00:19:29,359 --> 00:19:32,080
Speaker 2: know what adjustments were made, but seventy one percent success

420
00:19:32,119 --> 00:19:35,000
Speaker 2: rate in the third quarter was amazing. So to me,

421
00:19:35,200 --> 00:19:38,159
Speaker 2: the formula is simple. If Oklahoma's not forfeiting possessions on

422
00:19:38,200 --> 00:19:40,639
Speaker 2: turnovers and they're not in their own territory and they

423
00:19:40,640 --> 00:19:43,800
Speaker 2: don't give Baylor those shots again, then it's highly unlikely

424
00:19:43,880 --> 00:19:47,040
Speaker 2: that Oklahoma will find themselves in that position again. So

425
00:19:47,840 --> 00:19:51,000
Speaker 2: I think Oklahoma covers the spread. I think they know

426
00:19:51,040 --> 00:19:53,080
Speaker 2: how much they have to win by considering they'll already

427
00:19:53,080 --> 00:19:55,480
Speaker 2: know the outcome of Oregon and Utah, and I think

428
00:19:55,480 --> 00:19:58,639
Speaker 2: Lincoln O'Reilly will do everything to not just cover this spread,

429
00:19:58,840 --> 00:20:01,280
Speaker 2: but to put it on to make sure that's he's

430
00:20:01,280 --> 00:20:03,200
Speaker 2: got the team that's being talked about on Sunday.

431
00:20:03,520 --> 00:20:05,359
Speaker 3: Yeah. Yeah, I mean my thoughts are I don't know

432
00:20:05,400 --> 00:20:07,719
Speaker 3: if I'll necessarily have a pregame position because even though

433
00:20:07,760 --> 00:20:10,240
Speaker 3: I do see some value in Oklahoma, I make this

434
00:20:10,320 --> 00:20:13,040
Speaker 3: line over ten and the reason for that is I

435
00:20:13,080 --> 00:20:16,440
Speaker 3: want to see what Baylor does defensively, how they adjust,

436
00:20:16,640 --> 00:20:19,080
Speaker 3: and also there should be points in this game. So

437
00:20:19,440 --> 00:20:22,040
Speaker 3: I do think that there is a good shot that

438
00:20:22,080 --> 00:20:25,800
Speaker 3: I'll have an opportunity to potentially get Oklahoma at a

439
00:20:25,800 --> 00:20:27,840
Speaker 3: better number live if Baylor gets the ball first and

440
00:20:27,840 --> 00:20:29,639
Speaker 3: goes down the field. Like, I'm not concerned that Baylor

441
00:20:29,680 --> 00:20:31,920
Speaker 3: goes up in this game. Now, I do risk Oklahoma

442
00:20:31,960 --> 00:20:34,879
Speaker 3: coming out, going up and then getting a stop or turnover,

443
00:20:34,920 --> 00:20:37,000
Speaker 3: and then look, I might just not have a position

444
00:20:37,040 --> 00:20:40,560
Speaker 3: in the game. By the way, Rule is thirty one

445
00:20:40,560 --> 00:20:43,520
Speaker 3: and fifteen against the spread as an underdog in his career.

446
00:20:43,560 --> 00:20:46,280
Speaker 3: That's sixty seven point four percent an out of five

447
00:20:46,359 --> 00:20:49,040
Speaker 3: hundred and eleven coaches in our bet Labs database since

448
00:20:49,080 --> 00:20:51,359
Speaker 3: two thousand and five. In college football, Rule is the

449
00:20:51,440 --> 00:20:54,680
Speaker 3: fourth most profitable as an underdog, So that's a good

450
00:20:54,680 --> 00:20:56,880
Speaker 3: spot usually for him. And by the way, we have

451
00:20:57,200 --> 00:21:00,080
Speaker 3: in depth previews on all ten conference championship game. I

452
00:21:00,160 --> 00:21:02,480
Speaker 3: know you worked on them tirelessly. I worked all night

453
00:21:02,520 --> 00:21:05,480
Speaker 3: long last night, throughout the night on getting all of

454
00:21:05,520 --> 00:21:07,800
Speaker 3: them up. So they're awesome. Check them out and we

455
00:21:07,880 --> 00:21:09,919
Speaker 3: will go even more in depth than we do on

456
00:21:10,000 --> 00:21:12,720
Speaker 3: the podcast. All right, let's move on. So we have

457
00:21:12,840 --> 00:21:16,960
Speaker 3: three games kicking off at noon on Saturday and noon

458
00:21:17,000 --> 00:21:19,119
Speaker 3: Eastern that is the next game that starts will be

459
00:21:19,160 --> 00:21:22,840
Speaker 3: one thirty Eastern. UAB talked about Lane Kiff and maybe

460
00:21:22,840 --> 00:21:24,720
Speaker 3: you can touch on some of the rumors he will

461
00:21:24,720 --> 00:21:27,280
Speaker 3: be taking on. This game is in Boco Vertones, so

462
00:21:27,320 --> 00:21:29,400
Speaker 3: it's a home game for FAU. He will be taking

463
00:21:29,440 --> 00:21:33,160
Speaker 3: on UAB. FAU is it looks like FAU is starting

464
00:21:33,200 --> 00:21:35,119
Speaker 3: to take money. Maybe someone is dumby and it's in

465
00:21:35,160 --> 00:21:36,880
Speaker 3: the dead range at seven and a half, AT's see

466
00:21:36,960 --> 00:21:42,120
Speaker 3: some places at nine over under fifty. Look UAB. Their

467
00:21:42,160 --> 00:21:45,320
Speaker 3: offense is disgusting. It's better when Tyler Johnson is healthy

468
00:21:45,359 --> 00:21:47,760
Speaker 3: at quarterback, but it's really a one man band. I'm

469
00:21:47,760 --> 00:21:49,640
Speaker 3: not sure what happened to Spencer Brown or running back.

470
00:21:49,680 --> 00:21:52,320
Speaker 3: The offensive line is bad. There's a lack of weapons

471
00:21:52,359 --> 00:21:54,000
Speaker 3: on the outside. I mean, you could argue this is

472
00:21:54,000 --> 00:21:56,720
Speaker 3: a bottom twenty offense in college football. But on the

473
00:21:56,720 --> 00:21:59,080
Speaker 3: flip side, they make up for that lack of offense

474
00:21:59,119 --> 00:22:01,560
Speaker 3: with a great defense. I think that the perception out

475
00:22:01,560 --> 00:22:03,760
Speaker 3: there is FAU has a bad defense. It's not terrible,

476
00:22:04,440 --> 00:22:07,600
Speaker 3: and the FAU defense offense isn't that great. I don't

477
00:22:07,640 --> 00:22:11,359
Speaker 3: see this UAB offense doing much of anything. While on

478
00:22:11,440 --> 00:22:13,440
Speaker 3: the other side of the ball, I think that they're

479
00:22:13,560 --> 00:22:17,720
Speaker 3: front and they're outstanding against the run. UAB and I

480
00:22:17,720 --> 00:22:19,879
Speaker 3: think their top five and yards per rush. They've had

481
00:22:19,920 --> 00:22:22,240
Speaker 3: an easy schedule. But if you look at just success

482
00:22:22,359 --> 00:22:24,320
Speaker 3: rate and no matter where you look, they're great. And

483
00:22:24,359 --> 00:22:26,040
Speaker 3: they also get after the quarterbacks. So what I think

484
00:22:26,119 --> 00:22:28,080
Speaker 3: is going to happen, and the FAU offensive line is

485
00:22:28,200 --> 00:22:31,480
Speaker 3: very vulnerable, OUAV should dominate this line of scrimmage on

486
00:22:31,520 --> 00:22:33,199
Speaker 3: the defensive end, So I think they're gonna stuff the run.

487
00:22:33,200 --> 00:22:35,439
Speaker 3: They're gonna be able to get after the quarterback. So

488
00:22:35,600 --> 00:22:37,920
Speaker 3: I think this is a game that's owned by both

489
00:22:38,080 --> 00:22:41,719
Speaker 3: defensive fronts at the line of scrimmage. Points are going

490
00:22:41,800 --> 00:22:44,160
Speaker 3: to be more at a premium than this total. Assumes

491
00:22:44,200 --> 00:22:46,760
Speaker 3: I played the under in game and split it with

492
00:22:47,160 --> 00:22:50,199
Speaker 3: some first half under twenty four and a half. What

493
00:22:50,200 --> 00:22:54,160
Speaker 3: do you see here with the Blazers and the Owls.

494
00:22:54,240 --> 00:22:55,720
Speaker 3: You're Birmingham boys.

495
00:22:56,280 --> 00:22:59,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean insert jiff of Kermit sipping the tea.

496
00:22:59,680 --> 00:23:01,919
Speaker 2: Would rather have Bill Clark than Lane Kiffin. But I

497
00:23:01,920 --> 00:23:04,880
Speaker 2: mean that's not my call for the Arkansas Razorbacks. From

498
00:23:04,880 --> 00:23:07,240
Speaker 2: a personal standpoint, what Bill Clark has been able to

499
00:23:07,240 --> 00:23:10,600
Speaker 2: do with UAB has been magnificent. He's been twenty five

500
00:23:10,640 --> 00:23:13,199
Speaker 2: and thirteen and one against the spread since bringing a

501
00:23:13,400 --> 00:23:16,879
Speaker 2: zombie UAB program back from the debt. He was the

502
00:23:16,920 --> 00:23:18,960
Speaker 2: coach while they were dead for two years. He was

503
00:23:19,000 --> 00:23:20,840
Speaker 2: coached before that. He stayed around and he was still

504
00:23:20,880 --> 00:23:23,000
Speaker 2: the coach now went in the conference last year and

505
00:23:23,040 --> 00:23:24,240
Speaker 2: getting back to the game.

506
00:23:24,200 --> 00:23:25,960
Speaker 3: Eleven and two against the spread as a dog in

507
00:23:25,960 --> 00:23:29,520
Speaker 3: Conference USA, He's nine and four straight up in those

508
00:23:29,560 --> 00:23:30,400
Speaker 3: thirteen games.

509
00:23:30,880 --> 00:23:33,200
Speaker 2: I don't bet against Bill Clark. It's either a bet

510
00:23:33,240 --> 00:23:35,679
Speaker 2: on UAB or it's a pass. I mean, there's just

511
00:23:35,720 --> 00:23:37,960
Speaker 2: not a lot of weeks where I'm pounding the table

512
00:23:38,000 --> 00:23:39,879
Speaker 2: on we're going against UAB in the spot. I mean,

513
00:23:39,920 --> 00:23:41,960
Speaker 2: I had them against Tennessee, but they don't deserve to

514
00:23:41,960 --> 00:23:43,640
Speaker 2: be in this game. If you look at what UAB

515
00:23:43,720 --> 00:23:46,680
Speaker 2: had to go through this year, I mean offense, you're right, atrocious, disgusting,

516
00:23:46,720 --> 00:23:49,639
Speaker 2: maybe more, maybe worse than Miami of Ohio. For the

517
00:23:49,800 --> 00:23:52,160
Speaker 2: entire offenses of the day, this might be the worst

518
00:23:52,160 --> 00:23:55,320
Speaker 2: one one hundred and eleventh and finishing drives one hundred

519
00:23:55,320 --> 00:23:57,719
Speaker 2: and twelfth and rushing success right outside the top one

520
00:23:57,760 --> 00:24:00,640
Speaker 2: hundred and rush explosiveness. Some of these number rescued because

521
00:24:00,680 --> 00:24:02,480
Speaker 2: Tyler Johnson was out with a knee sprain for a

522
00:24:02,480 --> 00:24:03,000
Speaker 2: few weeks.

523
00:24:03,440 --> 00:24:05,320
Speaker 3: I'm not sure he's fully healthy either right now.

524
00:24:05,600 --> 00:24:09,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, They needed La Tech to have their fantastic quarterback

525
00:24:09,480 --> 00:24:12,680
Speaker 2: and number one wide receiver suspended to get that game home.

526
00:24:12,720 --> 00:24:14,520
Speaker 2: I mean they still only won the game by six.

527
00:24:14,840 --> 00:24:17,040
Speaker 2: To get that game home, they had to have those suspensions.

528
00:24:17,160 --> 00:24:19,320
Speaker 2: They turn around, they go to North Texas. They were

529
00:24:19,480 --> 00:24:23,120
Speaker 2: gifted a pick six by Mason Fine, I mean gifted

530
00:24:23,160 --> 00:24:25,359
Speaker 2: at the end of the game just to get into

531
00:24:25,440 --> 00:24:27,720
Speaker 2: this spot. It's one of the least about talking about

532
00:24:27,760 --> 00:24:30,200
Speaker 2: things this entire week is that UAV shouldn't even be here.

533
00:24:30,359 --> 00:24:33,199
Speaker 2: So saying that, you know, I shouldn't be here the

534
00:24:33,200 --> 00:24:35,680
Speaker 2: point spread is correct, make it about seven and a half.

535
00:24:35,760 --> 00:24:37,960
Speaker 2: There's no way I'm going against Bill Clark. We talked

536
00:24:37,960 --> 00:24:41,080
Speaker 2: about the defense number one, rushing success rate number five,

537
00:24:41,119 --> 00:24:43,879
Speaker 2: and passing success rate on the defense top twenty, and

538
00:24:43,960 --> 00:24:46,199
Speaker 2: finishing drives. On defense, you may get the ball down

539
00:24:46,240 --> 00:24:47,919
Speaker 2: to the forty, but you're probably not going to get

540
00:24:47,920 --> 00:24:49,800
Speaker 2: any points out of it. They are number three in

541
00:24:49,840 --> 00:24:53,520
Speaker 2: the nation in defensive HAVOC. So the defense is fantastic.

542
00:24:53,800 --> 00:24:56,000
Speaker 2: So you know, like you said, you like the under.

543
00:24:56,119 --> 00:24:59,000
Speaker 2: I like the under. It's based on uab's defense. As

544
00:24:59,040 --> 00:25:02,520
Speaker 2: far as Florida Atlantic goes, there's a lot going on

545
00:25:02,560 --> 00:25:05,000
Speaker 2: in Lane Kiffin's world right now, there is talk about

546
00:25:05,080 --> 00:25:07,639
Speaker 2: him being up for the FSU job, the old miss job,

547
00:25:07,840 --> 00:25:10,000
Speaker 2: the Arkansas job, which, by the way, if you go

548
00:25:10,040 --> 00:25:12,600
Speaker 2: and get on Arkansas message boards and you look at

549
00:25:12,600 --> 00:25:14,920
Speaker 2: every beat reporter coming out of Arkansas that's been around

550
00:25:14,920 --> 00:25:17,120
Speaker 2: for thirty years, they all say it's a done deal.

551
00:25:17,359 --> 00:25:19,640
Speaker 2: News came out this is Thursday afternoon. News came out

552
00:25:19,640 --> 00:25:23,000
Speaker 2: about two hours ago that two assistant coaches, including Barry

553
00:25:23,040 --> 00:25:24,960
Speaker 2: Lenny Junior, who was the interim, was told that he

554
00:25:25,000 --> 00:25:26,520
Speaker 2: does not need to put his house up for sale.

555
00:25:26,560 --> 00:25:29,159
Speaker 2: His job has been secured, the head coach has we

556
00:25:29,200 --> 00:25:31,360
Speaker 2: have an agreement with a new head coach, and your

557
00:25:31,400 --> 00:25:33,920
Speaker 2: position on the staff has been secured. So the leaks

558
00:25:33,920 --> 00:25:36,240
Speaker 2: are everywhere, and probably by the time this comes out tomorrow,

559
00:25:36,800 --> 00:25:38,560
Speaker 2: maybe not, maybe this will be a secret until after

560
00:25:38,560 --> 00:25:40,520
Speaker 2: the game. But it looks like Lane Kiffin's on his

561
00:25:40,520 --> 00:25:42,800
Speaker 2: way to fail. I know that there is a big

562
00:25:42,840 --> 00:25:45,920
Speaker 2: pull for us to get Kendall Briles, who was Lane

563
00:25:45,960 --> 00:25:48,919
Speaker 2: Kiffin's coordinator back at twenty seventeen at FAU. I know

564
00:25:49,240 --> 00:25:50,720
Speaker 2: that there's a big pull for him to bring his

565
00:25:50,720 --> 00:25:53,960
Speaker 2: defensive coordinator, Glenn Spencer, who was fired a couple of

566
00:25:54,000 --> 00:25:56,280
Speaker 2: years ago from by Gundy at Oklahoma State, had a

567
00:25:56,280 --> 00:25:58,680
Speaker 2: magnificent year at Charlotte, and then was brought into FAU.

568
00:25:58,920 --> 00:26:01,440
Speaker 2: So there's a lot going on and Kiffin specifically, there's

569
00:26:01,680 --> 00:26:03,320
Speaker 2: been a lot of stuff I've been reading. It's I

570
00:26:03,400 --> 00:26:04,880
Speaker 2: probably got too much time to read if I'm getting

571
00:26:04,880 --> 00:26:06,840
Speaker 2: down to this kind of detail. But Kiffin took out

572
00:26:06,840 --> 00:26:08,840
Speaker 2: a two million dollar loan to buy his house down

573
00:26:08,840 --> 00:26:11,440
Speaker 2: a poker raton and he borrowed that money from FAU.

574
00:26:11,680 --> 00:26:13,240
Speaker 2: And if he stays the head coach for like another

575
00:26:13,280 --> 00:26:15,080
Speaker 2: two years, he doesn't have to pay that loan back.

576
00:26:15,400 --> 00:26:17,800
Speaker 2: So some odd funky things going on down there. But

577
00:26:18,240 --> 00:26:19,960
Speaker 2: I started to think of myself what the real estate

578
00:26:20,000 --> 00:26:22,000
Speaker 2: prices are, which I happen to be, you know, an

579
00:26:22,000 --> 00:26:24,879
Speaker 2: expert in you know, two millions are really kind of

580
00:26:24,920 --> 00:26:26,960
Speaker 2: a pot shot. That's really not much for when you

581
00:26:27,000 --> 00:26:29,840
Speaker 2: come to northwest Arkansas. So there's a lot going on

582
00:26:29,840 --> 00:26:32,000
Speaker 2: outside of Lan Kifvin's world other than this game. So

583
00:26:32,040 --> 00:26:33,760
Speaker 2: I'm not sure if that's going to serve as a distraction.

584
00:26:34,280 --> 00:26:37,040
Speaker 2: But x's and o's and on paper, the point spread

585
00:26:37,080 --> 00:26:40,240
Speaker 2: is right. The offense you said isn't tremendous. The defense

586
00:26:40,520 --> 00:26:42,320
Speaker 2: isn't as good as some of the things that are shown.

587
00:26:42,359 --> 00:26:44,600
Speaker 2: I mean, you know they're they're one hundred and fourteenthgainst

588
00:26:44,640 --> 00:26:47,480
Speaker 2: rush explosiveness, but you AB can't expose that. There're seventy

589
00:26:47,520 --> 00:26:50,199
Speaker 2: six against pass explosiveness, but you AB can't expose that.

590
00:26:50,560 --> 00:26:53,359
Speaker 2: So I expect, I don't know a game that's not

591
00:26:53,600 --> 00:26:56,520
Speaker 2: very exciting. A lot of defense, a lot of possessions,

592
00:26:57,080 --> 00:27:01,040
Speaker 2: some wind factored in, maybe some some the NILA's special teams.

593
00:27:01,119 --> 00:27:02,680
Speaker 2: I just I don't see a lot of points here,

594
00:27:02,800 --> 00:27:05,040
Speaker 2: so I'll take the under and and you know, I

595
00:27:05,400 --> 00:27:07,720
Speaker 2: might get into UAB, especially if we get up to

596
00:27:07,760 --> 00:27:09,240
Speaker 2: nine and a half or we touch ten, if some

597
00:27:09,240 --> 00:27:10,639
Speaker 2: steam comes in on the owls.

598
00:27:10,880 --> 00:27:14,760
Speaker 3: Yep, I completely agree with you. By the way, bocovertone

599
00:27:14,800 --> 00:27:17,200
Speaker 3: or raton is one of those words that I say

600
00:27:17,200 --> 00:27:18,959
Speaker 3: differently every time, and then if you ask me how

601
00:27:18,960 --> 00:27:20,640
Speaker 3: do I say it, and I'll think in my head,

602
00:27:20,640 --> 00:27:23,840
Speaker 3: do I say bocoverton, bok overtone.

603
00:27:23,280 --> 00:27:26,000
Speaker 2: Sail passo and Missouri too? Everybody loves your el Paso

604
00:27:26,080 --> 00:27:26,600
Speaker 2: and Missouri.

605
00:27:26,880 --> 00:27:29,080
Speaker 3: There should be a long oh, I believe, But all right,

606
00:27:29,119 --> 00:27:32,600
Speaker 3: let's move on to the what's what we got next

607
00:27:32,600 --> 00:27:36,560
Speaker 3: three thirty Eastern, we'll bring in a rematch of a

608
00:27:36,600 --> 00:27:40,760
Speaker 3: game last weekend, and we're talking about the AAC Championship

609
00:27:40,800 --> 00:27:43,800
Speaker 3: games Cincinnati Memphis. Cincinnati needed to did not need to

610
00:27:43,800 --> 00:27:46,280
Speaker 3: win that game. Now they still had reasons to win.

611
00:27:46,320 --> 00:27:47,960
Speaker 3: They could have hosted this game, which will be in

612
00:27:48,000 --> 00:27:50,720
Speaker 3: the Liberty Bowl in Memphis. Memphis is now, it's sitting

613
00:27:50,720 --> 00:27:52,520
Speaker 3: around eight, it's in the deadzone, around eight and a half,

614
00:27:52,640 --> 00:27:55,159
Speaker 3: eight nine point favorite over under fifty seven and a half.

615
00:27:55,359 --> 00:27:56,760
Speaker 3: You know, but Memphis had a win to get to

616
00:27:56,840 --> 00:27:59,760
Speaker 3: this game, and they did. And the interesting thing about

617
00:27:59,760 --> 00:28:02,600
Speaker 3: this is the line closed at fourteen last week, which

618
00:28:02,640 --> 00:28:05,600
Speaker 3: is closer to where I make the line, and this

619
00:28:05,640 --> 00:28:08,440
Speaker 3: week it's in the same place at the same time

620
00:28:08,480 --> 00:28:11,919
Speaker 3: I believe against the same team a week later, and

621
00:28:11,960 --> 00:28:13,560
Speaker 3: the line now sitting at eight and a half. Now,

622
00:28:13,640 --> 00:28:16,560
Speaker 3: you can say last week that since he didn't start,

623
00:28:16,680 --> 00:28:19,720
Speaker 3: Desmon Ridder their starting quarterback and they started Ben Bryant,

624
00:28:19,960 --> 00:28:22,920
Speaker 3: But I actually think, and I don't know if there's

625
00:28:22,960 --> 00:28:25,960
Speaker 3: anyone else out there that agrees with me, but I

626
00:28:26,000 --> 00:28:28,440
Speaker 3: actually think that based on what I saw from Bryant,

627
00:28:28,680 --> 00:28:31,160
Speaker 3: he brings more to the offense right now than Ritter does.

628
00:28:31,200 --> 00:28:34,479
Speaker 3: He was making throws that Ridder can. You know there

629
00:28:34,560 --> 00:28:36,760
Speaker 3: was a number of key third and long third and

630
00:28:36,800 --> 00:28:38,880
Speaker 3: medium throws that he was making over the middle to

631
00:28:38,920 --> 00:28:43,160
Speaker 3: the outside that I haven't seen Ridder make and or

632
00:28:43,160 --> 00:28:44,840
Speaker 3: think that he can wicks. And you know, Fico came

633
00:28:44,840 --> 00:28:46,520
Speaker 3: out and said he's our starting quarterback. So it looks

634
00:28:46,520 --> 00:28:48,200
Speaker 3: like he's gonna start, and he has been dealing with

635
00:28:48,280 --> 00:28:52,040
Speaker 3: a shoulder injury. In fairness, but I'm not sure this

636
00:28:52,080 --> 00:28:53,920
Speaker 3: is an upgrade. And now the line is six points fewer,

637
00:28:53,920 --> 00:28:55,960
Speaker 3: and let me just throw this out there. Ridder gets

638
00:28:56,000 --> 00:28:57,800
Speaker 3: Temple the last time out. He had one of the

639
00:28:57,800 --> 00:29:00,040
Speaker 3: worst performances we've seen from a quarterback. They're sure I

640
00:29:00,080 --> 00:29:03,320
Speaker 3: kind of twenty five for sixty two yards, no touchdowns,

641
00:29:03,360 --> 00:29:06,720
Speaker 3: three picks, and three sacks in November against four defenses

642
00:29:06,760 --> 00:29:10,840
Speaker 3: not as good as Memphis, Temple, Yukon Ecu and usf

643
00:29:11,200 --> 00:29:14,720
Speaker 3: Ritter went forty three of ninety eight, less than forty

644
00:29:14,720 --> 00:29:16,880
Speaker 3: eight percent, with three touchdowns and three picks. He averaged

645
00:29:16,960 --> 00:29:19,600
Speaker 3: less than one hundred and ten yards passing a game.

646
00:29:19,840 --> 00:29:21,680
Speaker 3: So you know, I look at this Memphis team. I

647
00:29:21,720 --> 00:29:23,280
Speaker 3: love this Memphis team. I make this line closer to

648
00:29:23,360 --> 00:29:25,480
Speaker 3: fourteen than to do seven. I'm waiting to see where

649
00:29:25,520 --> 00:29:27,320
Speaker 3: the market goes. Because it's in the dead zone. I'm

650
00:29:27,360 --> 00:29:30,200
Speaker 3: going to be on Memphis. They have a really efficient defense.

651
00:29:30,240 --> 00:29:32,080
Speaker 3: They do give up some explosive plays, but that's not

652
00:29:32,200 --> 00:29:34,960
Speaker 3: since he especially with Ritter, and their offense is awesome.

653
00:29:35,000 --> 00:29:37,600
Speaker 3: It's very explosive, and we've seen some cracks in the

654
00:29:37,640 --> 00:29:40,160
Speaker 3: sincey secondary. You know, I had times this year against

655
00:29:40,160 --> 00:29:42,880
Speaker 3: better offenses, especially away from home. Now, the one thing

656
00:29:42,880 --> 00:29:44,880
Speaker 3: that since he always does well and has done well

657
00:29:44,920 --> 00:29:48,160
Speaker 3: all year is, you know, red zone finishing drives. Their

658
00:29:48,160 --> 00:29:50,960
Speaker 3: defense really locks down. But I actually think Memphis seeing

659
00:29:50,960 --> 00:29:53,280
Speaker 3: that defense just last week will help them in that aspect.

660
00:29:53,280 --> 00:29:55,160
Speaker 3: I think they went one of four in scoring touchdowns

661
00:29:55,160 --> 00:29:56,440
Speaker 3: in the red zone last week and it really kept

662
00:29:56,440 --> 00:29:59,920
Speaker 3: since he in this game. So this line's six point

663
00:30:00,360 --> 00:30:02,040
Speaker 3: fewer than it was last weekend. I think since he

664
00:30:02,120 --> 00:30:05,080
Speaker 3: might have a downgraded quarterback, especially if he's not fully healthy,

665
00:30:05,360 --> 00:30:05,920
Speaker 3: what do you think?

666
00:30:06,160 --> 00:30:08,360
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm gonna support everything stuff just said, you know,

667
00:30:08,400 --> 00:30:10,760
Speaker 2: because my focus on this game has really been on

668
00:30:10,800 --> 00:30:13,080
Speaker 2: the total. Now, I've had a couple of people I

669
00:30:13,080 --> 00:30:14,960
Speaker 2: had to put a piece out on Action Network this morning.

670
00:30:15,320 --> 00:30:17,320
Speaker 2: It was a hedge mail bag and I got a

671
00:30:17,320 --> 00:30:19,280
Speaker 2: lot of tweets about what do we do about this

672
00:30:19,320 --> 00:30:21,440
Speaker 2: conference future? What do we do about that conference future?

673
00:30:21,680 --> 00:30:23,360
Speaker 2: And you should check it out an Action Network because

674
00:30:23,400 --> 00:30:26,360
Speaker 2: it covers whether I'm taking a pregame position, whether I'm

675
00:30:26,360 --> 00:30:29,360
Speaker 2: taking a live position. It's a parlay in there of

676
00:30:29,400 --> 00:30:32,040
Speaker 2: trusting two teams that are on the slate. But one

677
00:30:32,040 --> 00:30:34,040
Speaker 2: game that I didn't mention in there is a Cincinnati

678
00:30:34,040 --> 00:30:36,800
Speaker 2: Memphis game. Even though I have Memphis four to one tickets,

679
00:30:36,800 --> 00:30:39,640
Speaker 2: I'm not hedging whatsoever. I don't feel a need to hedge.

680
00:30:39,640 --> 00:30:41,280
Speaker 2: I think I think Memphis is not going to have

681
00:30:41,280 --> 00:30:42,880
Speaker 2: a sweat and winning this game, or maybe a sweat

682
00:30:42,880 --> 00:30:45,400
Speaker 2: and covering the spread, but I think Memphis is going

683
00:30:45,440 --> 00:30:47,920
Speaker 2: to win this game. So enough set about the side,

684
00:30:48,280 --> 00:30:50,440
Speaker 2: because I think the side is spot on. Our projection

685
00:30:50,520 --> 00:30:52,719
Speaker 2: right now is nine point seven, so it's right there

686
00:30:52,720 --> 00:30:54,680
Speaker 2: and it's going to float. But I think my focus

687
00:30:54,720 --> 00:30:56,600
Speaker 2: is going to be on the under again. So I

688
00:30:56,640 --> 00:30:58,720
Speaker 2: had the under last week on the Action app. I

689
00:30:58,720 --> 00:31:00,920
Speaker 2: had under fifty seven and a half and when you know,

690
00:31:01,040 --> 00:31:03,440
Speaker 2: this damn game finished at fifty eight and there was

691
00:31:03,480 --> 00:31:07,000
Speaker 2: a ninety four yard kickoff return to start the game

692
00:31:07,040 --> 00:31:08,120
Speaker 2: by Memphis. So that was.

693
00:31:08,120 --> 00:31:11,360
Speaker 3: The It was fifty eight and a half. I was

694
00:31:11,400 --> 00:31:11,880
Speaker 3: so mad.

695
00:31:12,520 --> 00:31:14,920
Speaker 2: So I'm going back to the well here and looking

696
00:31:14,920 --> 00:31:16,880
Speaker 2: at another under It's really for all the reasons that

697
00:31:16,920 --> 00:31:18,480
Speaker 2: I was in last week, and if you look at

698
00:31:18,520 --> 00:31:20,840
Speaker 2: the box score of last week's game, it supports that

699
00:31:20,880 --> 00:31:22,480
Speaker 2: the game should have gone under two. I know there

700
00:31:22,480 --> 00:31:25,360
Speaker 2: was a flurry of points, but once it went to halftime,

701
00:31:25,840 --> 00:31:28,320
Speaker 2: Memphis really figured it out about how to take care

702
00:31:28,760 --> 00:31:32,440
Speaker 2: of Bryant in the entire Bearcats offense. You know, in

703
00:31:32,480 --> 00:31:34,200
Speaker 2: the Bearcat's offense. In the first half they had three

704
00:31:34,280 --> 00:31:36,560
Speaker 2: jives with at least eleven plays resulting in a total

705
00:31:36,600 --> 00:31:39,800
Speaker 2: of seventeen points. The Memphis defense, they made adjustments at halftime.

706
00:31:40,120 --> 00:31:43,040
Speaker 2: They pressured Ben Bryant into multiple turnovers. That was really

707
00:31:43,040 --> 00:31:44,920
Speaker 2: the difference in the second half. And I think we're

708
00:31:44,920 --> 00:31:46,360
Speaker 2: gonna see the same thing here no matter if it's

709
00:31:46,400 --> 00:31:48,560
Speaker 2: Ridder or if it's Brian. I think the Memphis defense

710
00:31:48,600 --> 00:31:50,920
Speaker 2: is the real difference here. Now Ritter is not coming

711
00:31:50,960 --> 00:31:53,600
Speaker 2: back from injury. They've said it's an injury, but if

712
00:31:53,640 --> 00:31:56,360
Speaker 2: you've been keeping up with this Ritterer, fickle thing. It's

713
00:31:56,400 --> 00:31:58,680
Speaker 2: been more of what's been between the ears. So I

714
00:31:58,680 --> 00:32:00,640
Speaker 2: don't know if he's coming off of a you know,

715
00:32:00,720 --> 00:32:04,240
Speaker 2: the injury table, or if he's coming off a psychiatrist's couch.

716
00:32:04,680 --> 00:32:07,880
Speaker 2: But it supports the under more for me if Ritter

717
00:32:08,000 --> 00:32:10,320
Speaker 2: is playing because of how ineffective he's been. He's only

718
00:32:10,360 --> 00:32:12,680
Speaker 2: thrown for over two hundred yards just once in September.

719
00:32:12,840 --> 00:32:15,120
Speaker 3: So you know, if you take out that, Brian might

720
00:32:15,120 --> 00:32:17,080
Speaker 3: make their offense more than namic, right, even though.

721
00:32:16,920 --> 00:32:19,840
Speaker 2: He's absolutely I'm on the under because Ridder is gonna play.

722
00:32:19,880 --> 00:32:21,600
Speaker 2: I mean that, I think that helps out if you

723
00:32:21,600 --> 00:32:23,040
Speaker 2: go and you watch them. The only time the bear

724
00:32:23,080 --> 00:32:27,120
Speaker 2: Cat scores when they have long clock eating grinding drives.

725
00:32:27,480 --> 00:32:29,720
Speaker 2: That's the only time three drives in the first half

726
00:32:29,760 --> 00:32:32,680
Speaker 2: of eleven plays and seventeen points and they kill a

727
00:32:32,680 --> 00:32:34,239
Speaker 2: lot of clock, and then they didn't score it all

728
00:32:34,240 --> 00:32:36,680
Speaker 2: in the second half once the Memphis defense showed up.

729
00:32:36,680 --> 00:32:38,560
Speaker 2: And I and we do like the Memphis defense. That's

730
00:32:38,560 --> 00:32:41,560
Speaker 2: something that doesn't get talked about enough. You know, they're

731
00:32:41,880 --> 00:32:45,120
Speaker 2: what twenty fifth and defensive passing success rate. You know

732
00:32:45,160 --> 00:32:46,120
Speaker 2: they're havoc minded.

733
00:32:47,040 --> 00:32:48,640
Speaker 3: You know, I think it was a plays, but that's

734
00:32:48,640 --> 00:32:49,760
Speaker 3: not Sincy at all.

735
00:32:49,720 --> 00:32:52,080
Speaker 2: Not since he at all eighty second in passing success

736
00:32:52,120 --> 00:32:54,560
Speaker 2: and seventy ninth and passing exposed to us for Sincy

737
00:32:54,920 --> 00:32:57,360
Speaker 2: on offense and there's sixty six and rushing exposiveness. I mean,

738
00:32:57,360 --> 00:32:59,680
Speaker 2: it's just this is not the since the offense whatsoever.

739
00:32:59,760 --> 00:33:01,160
Speaker 2: So we to go on the flip side of it.

740
00:33:01,240 --> 00:33:03,640
Speaker 2: When Memphis is on offense, the high powered offense that

741
00:33:03,680 --> 00:33:06,000
Speaker 2: they have, since that is defense just isn't a pushover.

742
00:33:06,040 --> 00:33:07,120
Speaker 2: I mean, you may be able to get the ball

743
00:33:07,160 --> 00:33:09,160
Speaker 2: down the field, but the Bearcats are tenth in the

744
00:33:09,240 --> 00:33:11,720
Speaker 2: nation and defensive finishing drives. So once you hit the

745
00:33:11,720 --> 00:33:13,240
Speaker 2: forty of the you know whence s Memphis hits the

746
00:33:13,280 --> 00:33:16,280
Speaker 2: forty yard line, that's when Cincinnati titens up. So I

747
00:33:16,320 --> 00:33:17,840
Speaker 2: really like the under again. I'm gonna go back to

748
00:33:17,880 --> 00:33:20,040
Speaker 2: the well I have been sitting all week. It's not

749
00:33:20,080 --> 00:33:22,480
Speaker 2: in the action app because here we are fifty seven

750
00:33:22,520 --> 00:33:25,440
Speaker 2: and a half. One book's got fifty eight, and I'd

751
00:33:25,480 --> 00:33:26,840
Speaker 2: be damned if I'm gonna take fifty seven and a

752
00:33:26,840 --> 00:33:28,440
Speaker 2: half again. I'm gonna try to get fifty eight and

753
00:33:28,440 --> 00:33:30,240
Speaker 2: a half. I'm gonna wait this out, but I'm gonna

754
00:33:30,240 --> 00:33:31,320
Speaker 2: be on the under once again.

755
00:33:31,520 --> 00:33:34,240
Speaker 3: Fair enough, all right, let's move on. Before we get

756
00:33:34,280 --> 00:33:37,400
Speaker 3: to the big game at four o'clock between LSU and Georgia,

757
00:33:37,440 --> 00:33:39,840
Speaker 3: there is another game that kicks at four eastern, and

758
00:33:39,920 --> 00:33:43,240
Speaker 3: that is the Mountain West Championship. We won't spend much

759
00:33:43,240 --> 00:33:44,560
Speaker 3: time on this game. And by the way, we'll also

760
00:33:44,600 --> 00:33:46,640
Speaker 3: have our live show at ten thirty m Eastern on Saturday.

761
00:33:46,640 --> 00:33:49,040
Speaker 3: We'll cover all these games, updated, line moves, injuries, all

762
00:33:49,040 --> 00:33:51,880
Speaker 3: of that. This stays between Boise State and Hawaii. Boise

763
00:33:51,880 --> 00:33:54,680
Speaker 3: State will host this game on the Blue Turf four

764
00:33:54,720 --> 00:33:57,320
Speaker 3: pm Eastern on ESPN. Boise State there's a thirteen and

765
00:33:57,320 --> 00:34:00,960
Speaker 3: a half point favorite over under sixty four against Hawaii.

766
00:34:01,400 --> 00:34:04,160
Speaker 3: This line, I think they leave opened at fourteen, maybe

767
00:34:04,160 --> 00:34:05,880
Speaker 3: a little higher fourteen and a half fifteen, and has

768
00:34:05,880 --> 00:34:08,359
Speaker 3: come down across the key number. By the way, they

769
00:34:08,400 --> 00:34:11,560
Speaker 3: played mid October, Boise was a thirteen point favorite, so

770
00:34:11,640 --> 00:34:13,680
Speaker 3: the lines right around where it is now. Over under

771
00:34:13,680 --> 00:34:16,040
Speaker 3: was sixty. The final score is fifty nine to thirty seven.

772
00:34:16,239 --> 00:34:19,319
Speaker 3: Boise put up fifty nine points. Look that was when

773
00:34:19,840 --> 00:34:21,840
Speaker 3: they had I mean Henderson played a little bit. I

774
00:34:21,840 --> 00:34:24,239
Speaker 3: mean both these teams have had used multiple quarterbacks all year.

775
00:34:24,440 --> 00:34:27,080
Speaker 3: Why he's used McDonald and Cordero. Cordero left the game

776
00:34:27,160 --> 00:34:28,520
Speaker 3: last week with an injury. I don't know if it

777
00:34:28,560 --> 00:34:31,000
Speaker 3: was precautionary or what. And at Boise State has used

778
00:34:31,080 --> 00:34:33,319
Speaker 3: cord and backmir and all these guys. Now, Henderson has

779
00:34:33,360 --> 00:34:35,960
Speaker 3: come out of nowhere and their offense has been so

780
00:34:36,080 --> 00:34:39,440
Speaker 3: much more dynamic with him under center. I think the

781
00:34:39,520 --> 00:34:43,359
Speaker 3: line and total are spot on right around two touchdowns.

782
00:34:43,360 --> 00:34:45,840
Speaker 3: You know, if you want to get Hawaii, I'd tried

783
00:34:45,840 --> 00:34:47,640
Speaker 3: and get over fourteen. If you want to get Poise

784
00:34:48,040 --> 00:34:49,799
Speaker 3: under thirteen half, but I think I'd make it right

785
00:34:49,840 --> 00:34:52,120
Speaker 3: around two touchdowns. I will say if why he comes out,

786
00:34:52,120 --> 00:34:54,399
Speaker 3: the Waii defense is so bad, I don't see them

787
00:34:54,440 --> 00:34:58,080
Speaker 3: stopping Boise for sixty minutes under any circumstance. So at

788
00:34:58,120 --> 00:35:00,880
Speaker 3: Boise has come back a lot this year. So you know,

789
00:35:00,920 --> 00:35:03,360
Speaker 3: if Hawaii, with their offense, which you know is a

790
00:35:03,360 --> 00:35:06,319
Speaker 3: pretty efficient offense, it could score if they come out

791
00:35:06,360 --> 00:35:08,760
Speaker 3: and they get a lead early, even if they're especially

792
00:35:08,840 --> 00:35:10,839
Speaker 3: up at half. I may look to get Boise live

793
00:35:11,920 --> 00:35:14,160
Speaker 3: or for the second half, but if not, this is

794
00:35:14,200 --> 00:35:16,520
Speaker 3: a complete stay away from me in a game I

795
00:35:16,600 --> 00:35:17,839
Speaker 3: have no interest in betting. How about you.

796
00:35:18,000 --> 00:35:19,640
Speaker 2: What you just said is exactly the advice that I

797
00:35:19,640 --> 00:35:21,920
Speaker 2: gave the readers of the Action Network article, which is,

798
00:35:22,239 --> 00:35:24,320
Speaker 2: if you have a twenty five to one on Hawaii,

799
00:35:24,400 --> 00:35:25,920
Speaker 2: I think Hawaii is going to be able to do

800
00:35:26,040 --> 00:35:29,000
Speaker 2: enough on offense to keep it close for certain periods,

801
00:35:29,080 --> 00:35:31,440
Speaker 2: and that's going to give you a Boise State number

802
00:35:31,480 --> 00:35:32,840
Speaker 2: of a money line. The money line right now in

803
00:35:32,880 --> 00:35:35,640
Speaker 2: Boise State is minus five hundred, so you can't really

804
00:35:35,640 --> 00:35:37,359
Speaker 2: take that. I mean you could apply that to your

805
00:35:37,360 --> 00:35:40,040
Speaker 2: twenty five to one future on Hawaii, but I really

806
00:35:40,080 --> 00:35:41,960
Speaker 2: think you can get a Boise minus two to fifty

807
00:35:42,000 --> 00:35:44,800
Speaker 2: live fire hedge on that Hawaii. I think the sweet

808
00:35:44,800 --> 00:35:47,200
Speaker 2: spot here is getting Hawaii at fourteen and a half

809
00:35:47,400 --> 00:35:49,759
Speaker 2: and getting Boise State live on the money line, because

810
00:35:49,760 --> 00:35:51,279
Speaker 2: I think that's where this game is going to land.

811
00:35:51,320 --> 00:35:53,799
Speaker 2: But if you look at the last game, you know,

812
00:35:53,920 --> 00:35:56,040
Speaker 2: Hawaii this is the second time to go when they

813
00:35:56,080 --> 00:35:58,160
Speaker 2: lost fifty nine to thirty seven. But the result of

814
00:35:58,200 --> 00:36:01,080
Speaker 2: that difference is because of three fumbles in Hawaii territory.

815
00:36:01,280 --> 00:36:04,880
Speaker 2: Every single quarterback for Boise played in this game. Bachmeyer

816
00:36:04,960 --> 00:36:07,760
Speaker 2: started out got hurt, Chase Cord came in, went crazy.

817
00:36:07,840 --> 00:36:11,520
Speaker 2: Jalen Henderson came in, went crazy. I mean, everybody's getting touchdowns.

818
00:36:11,680 --> 00:36:15,240
Speaker 2: I mean, if you were in the Poise, Idaho area,

819
00:36:15,320 --> 00:36:16,799
Speaker 2: you were welcome to come down to the blue turf

820
00:36:16,800 --> 00:36:19,480
Speaker 2: and throw a touchdown against Hawaii. So I mean the

821
00:36:19,480 --> 00:36:22,960
Speaker 2: takeaway is if Hawaii can stop with the fumbles, which

822
00:36:23,239 --> 00:36:25,040
Speaker 2: you know, they're top ten in the nation and have

823
00:36:25,080 --> 00:36:27,520
Speaker 2: a cloud on offense, so it was really a little

824
00:36:27,760 --> 00:36:29,400
Speaker 2: a little strange to see them give the ball up

825
00:36:29,440 --> 00:36:32,440
Speaker 2: that many times, then they have a chance to easily

826
00:36:32,880 --> 00:36:35,680
Speaker 2: keep this game within fourteen points. You think, three fumbles

827
00:36:35,680 --> 00:36:38,000
Speaker 2: in their own territory and then only lost by twenty

828
00:36:38,000 --> 00:36:39,959
Speaker 2: two points. So I think that they have a shot

829
00:36:39,960 --> 00:36:41,560
Speaker 2: to keep this close. And I think the thing that

830
00:36:41,560 --> 00:36:44,719
Speaker 2: people need to realize about Hawaii's offensive, whether it's the seam,

831
00:36:45,040 --> 00:36:48,600
Speaker 2: the transition between Cordero and Cole McDonald has just been crazy.

832
00:36:48,640 --> 00:36:51,080
Speaker 2: It's like drive to drive, play to play like one's

833
00:36:51,080 --> 00:36:53,440
Speaker 2: in one's out, and neither of them complain about it,

834
00:36:53,440 --> 00:36:56,000
Speaker 2: and both of them are equally is effective and equally ineffective.

835
00:36:56,040 --> 00:36:59,160
Speaker 2: Sometimes one thing people need to realize about Hawaii is

836
00:36:59,200 --> 00:37:02,000
Speaker 2: that they are not a fast paced offense. And I

837
00:37:02,040 --> 00:37:04,200
Speaker 2: can see that. I know the score is fifty nine

838
00:37:04,239 --> 00:37:06,680
Speaker 2: to thirty seven, I get it, but that's not a

839
00:37:06,719 --> 00:37:09,320
Speaker 2: result of pace. Hawaii is a team that does the

840
00:37:09,360 --> 00:37:11,879
Speaker 2: run and shoot, but they will drain the clock before

841
00:37:11,920 --> 00:37:14,279
Speaker 2: they actually hike the ball. So when you see that,

842
00:37:14,400 --> 00:37:16,600
Speaker 2: you know the scores. I'm ninety six points is a

843
00:37:16,640 --> 00:37:18,839
Speaker 2: lot of points, but I wouldn't be surprised to see

844
00:37:18,840 --> 00:37:21,680
Speaker 2: this thing go under because Hawaii's only chance to win

845
00:37:21,719 --> 00:37:24,200
Speaker 2: this game is to leverage the fact that their top

846
00:37:24,239 --> 00:37:26,880
Speaker 2: ten and success rate on offense, they're six and rushing

847
00:37:26,880 --> 00:37:29,160
Speaker 2: success rate their tenth and passing success right now. They're

848
00:37:29,200 --> 00:37:32,080
Speaker 2: not explosive whatsoever, but they can move the chains and

849
00:37:32,120 --> 00:37:34,160
Speaker 2: they can slowly burn the clock. And if they can

850
00:37:34,239 --> 00:37:37,440
Speaker 2: stay within one possession or two possessions, if they can,

851
00:37:37,560 --> 00:37:39,520
Speaker 2: you know, they can get a touchdown. Every time Boys

852
00:37:39,640 --> 00:37:42,520
Speaker 2: gets a touchdown, they can keep this close. So baring

853
00:37:42,560 --> 00:37:44,840
Speaker 2: any turnovers, I think Hawaii has a good shot to

854
00:37:44,880 --> 00:37:46,279
Speaker 2: keep this within the number. And there's going to be

855
00:37:46,280 --> 00:37:47,759
Speaker 2: a period for you to hedge that twenty five to

856
00:37:47,800 --> 00:37:48,560
Speaker 2: one on the futures.

857
00:37:48,880 --> 00:37:51,160
Speaker 3: Yeah, they probably Hawaii doesn't play fast, but the problem

858
00:37:51,200 --> 00:37:53,120
Speaker 3: is the reason that they have you know these scores

859
00:37:53,120 --> 00:37:56,120
Speaker 3: of their defense is so dreadful. I mean you're talking

860
00:37:56,160 --> 00:37:59,080
Speaker 3: it's fat and fourteenth and rushing success rate one hundred

861
00:37:59,120 --> 00:38:02,640
Speaker 3: and seventeenth. Everything's outside of the top one hundred and ten,

862
00:38:02,680 --> 00:38:05,359
Speaker 3: hundred and twenty stuff right, one hundred and twenty six.

863
00:38:05,480 --> 00:38:07,680
Speaker 3: Zack grate one hundred and twenty seven. So boys, you

864
00:38:07,680 --> 00:38:09,480
Speaker 3: will be able to just line up. They almost had

865
00:38:09,520 --> 00:38:11,880
Speaker 3: seven yards per play score at will and Hawaii is

866
00:38:11,880 --> 00:38:14,200
Speaker 3: a good offense, but Boise has a much better defense,

867
00:38:14,239 --> 00:38:15,640
Speaker 3: so I think at the end of the day they'll

868
00:38:15,680 --> 00:38:17,240
Speaker 3: be able to get more stops and then the kicker

869
00:38:17,360 --> 00:38:21,960
Speaker 3: is Hawaii special teams are also just dreadful. While State

870
00:38:22,000 --> 00:38:25,080
Speaker 3: has pretty decent, especially at Boise's offensive numbers, I think

871
00:38:25,120 --> 00:38:27,560
Speaker 3: are a little skewed because I think they're better than

872
00:38:27,600 --> 00:38:30,680
Speaker 3: some of their numbers indicate. With Henderson now under center,

873
00:38:30,680 --> 00:38:31,880
Speaker 3: their offense is looked on at it. But if you

874
00:38:31,880 --> 00:38:34,040
Speaker 3: just look at Hawaii scores, they got thirty eight to Arizona,

875
00:38:34,280 --> 00:38:37,800
Speaker 3: fifty two to Washington, forty to San Jose State. I mean,

876
00:38:38,160 --> 00:38:40,720
Speaker 3: any offense with a pulse is getting to forty on Hawaii,

877
00:38:40,719 --> 00:38:43,240
Speaker 3: which would be this, which would be the only worry

878
00:38:43,320 --> 00:38:45,359
Speaker 3: with the under I think yeah.

879
00:38:45,360 --> 00:38:47,319
Speaker 2: And I think another worry with them too, is this

880
00:38:47,360 --> 00:38:49,760
Speaker 2: is their sixth trip to the mainland. There's sixth different

881
00:38:49,840 --> 00:38:52,680
Speaker 2: trip and I think in the past eleven ten weeks

882
00:38:52,920 --> 00:38:54,839
Speaker 2: to the mainland and so, and you know, this isn't

883
00:38:54,880 --> 00:38:56,320
Speaker 2: a night game for them. This is this would be

884
00:38:56,400 --> 00:38:59,319
Speaker 2: like a nine am kick to their to their local time.

885
00:38:59,480 --> 00:39:01,600
Speaker 2: That's one thing to take into effect. But I mean

886
00:39:01,800 --> 00:39:03,880
Speaker 2: I wondered with the San Diego State game if they

887
00:39:03,880 --> 00:39:06,600
Speaker 2: were starting to wear out because the scoring had just

888
00:39:06,640 --> 00:39:09,319
Speaker 2: gone down tremendously against some of these terrible Mountain West teams.

889
00:39:09,400 --> 00:39:10,480
Speaker 2: So we'll see how they come out here.

890
00:39:10,800 --> 00:39:12,880
Speaker 3: Yeah, maybe there's some fatigue and there's some elevation in

891
00:39:12,960 --> 00:39:15,440
Speaker 3: Boise as well for the second half. But all right,

892
00:39:15,520 --> 00:39:18,799
Speaker 3: let's move on to the SEC championship game, which is

893
00:39:18,960 --> 00:39:23,000
Speaker 3: the game of the weekend. And the reason is it

894
00:39:23,040 --> 00:39:26,000
Speaker 3: is I think everyone would agree a playing game.

895
00:39:26,200 --> 00:39:28,440
Speaker 2: There's no question about it. Let's go beyond.

896
00:39:29,920 --> 00:39:33,960
Speaker 3: It's essentially a quarterfinal for one team, maybe for the other.

897
00:39:34,040 --> 00:39:36,520
Speaker 3: But I think even if LSU loses, they are still

898
00:39:36,560 --> 00:39:38,520
Speaker 3: in the College ball playoff, and it might depend on

899
00:39:38,840 --> 00:39:41,759
Speaker 3: what else happens. But I think if LSU does lose

900
00:39:41,760 --> 00:39:45,239
Speaker 3: the Georgia. Georgia n LSU are still both in. If

901
00:39:45,239 --> 00:39:48,160
Speaker 3: Georgia wins, I think everyone agrees they're in. If they lose,

902
00:39:48,200 --> 00:39:51,120
Speaker 3: everyone agrees that they're out. Right now, this line is

903
00:39:51,160 --> 00:39:54,759
Speaker 3: sitting at Georgia plus seven over under fifty four and

904
00:39:54,800 --> 00:39:56,840
Speaker 3: a half. I could tell you that I took some

905
00:39:57,120 --> 00:40:01,080
Speaker 3: under fifty five, some under in the first half as well.

906
00:40:01,120 --> 00:40:03,080
Speaker 3: Fifty five you can try to get it, get it

907
00:40:03,719 --> 00:40:06,080
Speaker 3: key number in college football. I also took a little

908
00:40:06,120 --> 00:40:08,000
Speaker 3: piece of Georgia. I mean, I make this line around

909
00:40:08,120 --> 00:40:12,360
Speaker 3: five ish. But look what this comes down to to me,

910
00:40:12,880 --> 00:40:15,120
Speaker 3: and George has been waiting for this game since last year,

911
00:40:15,600 --> 00:40:18,200
Speaker 3: is I believe in the Georgia defense, and you know,

912
00:40:18,239 --> 00:40:20,759
Speaker 3: it's arguably the most efficient defense in the country. They

913
00:40:20,800 --> 00:40:23,040
Speaker 3: don't create a lot of havoc, but they have a

914
00:40:23,120 --> 00:40:26,200
Speaker 3: secondary that can match up with LSU, and their defense

915
00:40:26,280 --> 00:40:29,399
Speaker 3: is just solid front lines to the secondary. They don't

916
00:40:29,400 --> 00:40:32,360
Speaker 3: give up a ton of exposive plays. They're awesome in

917
00:40:32,400 --> 00:40:36,359
Speaker 3: the red zone. They're well coached, well disciplined, and I

918
00:40:36,400 --> 00:40:39,200
Speaker 3: believe in this defense that can at least slow down LSU.

919
00:40:39,400 --> 00:40:42,960
Speaker 3: Having said that, I don't believe in the Georgia offense,

920
00:40:43,320 --> 00:40:45,799
Speaker 3: which will be without its two top receivers at least

921
00:40:45,800 --> 00:40:48,120
Speaker 3: for the first half, with one of them suspended for

922
00:40:48,120 --> 00:40:50,360
Speaker 3: getting in a fight against Georgia Tech and a fifty

923
00:40:50,400 --> 00:40:54,200
Speaker 3: point game, So that leaves their leading receiver and the

924
00:40:54,320 --> 00:40:56,000
Speaker 3: game is going to be like.

925
00:40:56,000 --> 00:40:56,680
Speaker 2: For the first half.

926
00:40:56,719 --> 00:41:00,720
Speaker 3: Their leading receiver, I believe has two hundred dominic playlock

927
00:41:00,760 --> 00:41:02,799
Speaker 3: is two hundred nine nine yards receiving on the year,

928
00:41:03,080 --> 00:41:06,000
Speaker 3: is the most receiving yards. That'll be their top wide

929
00:41:06,000 --> 00:41:07,879
Speaker 3: out in the first half. So I think LSU can

930
00:41:07,920 --> 00:41:13,040
Speaker 3: focus on and look the defense. We've given them some criticism,

931
00:41:13,040 --> 00:41:16,319
Speaker 3: but it's mainly in giving up explosive plays. That's not Georgia.

932
00:41:16,400 --> 00:41:20,040
Speaker 3: Georgia's offense is the opposite of explosive. We were talking

933
00:41:20,040 --> 00:41:23,840
Speaker 3: about one hundred and sixteenth in rushing explosiveness. They're sixty

934
00:41:23,840 --> 00:41:25,920
Speaker 3: first in passing exposes. But they won't have kjer and

935
00:41:25,920 --> 00:41:28,960
Speaker 3: they won't have pickings. So LSU, whose defense I think

936
00:41:28,960 --> 00:41:31,480
Speaker 3: could take a lot out of that dominant effort against

937
00:41:31,520 --> 00:41:33,560
Speaker 3: Texas A and M last week, can focus on the

938
00:41:33,640 --> 00:41:37,200
Speaker 3: run here. Their defensive front is solid and Georgia is

939
00:41:37,239 --> 00:41:39,960
Speaker 3: just going to have to play slow, grind the clock,

940
00:41:40,520 --> 00:41:42,360
Speaker 3: keep the LSU offense off the field. I think the

941
00:41:42,360 --> 00:41:45,399
Speaker 3: game script is going to be slow, snail pace, run

942
00:41:45,440 --> 00:41:47,960
Speaker 3: it it some play action. But I think their defense

943
00:41:48,000 --> 00:41:50,640
Speaker 3: can compete, and I think this game goes you know,

944
00:41:50,719 --> 00:41:52,640
Speaker 3: I mean, all of Georgia struggled to get to twenty

945
00:41:52,880 --> 00:41:55,280
Speaker 3: four against any team with a pulse that they played

946
00:41:55,280 --> 00:41:58,000
Speaker 3: all year, you know, and their defense is also stepped

947
00:41:58,080 --> 00:41:59,759
Speaker 3: up against all the teams with a pulse that they

948
00:41:59,760 --> 00:42:02,359
Speaker 3: played all year. So I think this game stays in

949
00:42:02,400 --> 00:42:05,920
Speaker 3: the twenties and doesn't get to the thirties, which it

950
00:42:06,000 --> 00:42:07,560
Speaker 3: would require for it to go over.

951
00:42:07,920 --> 00:42:10,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree with you because my BET's going into

952
00:42:10,239 --> 00:42:12,600
Speaker 2: this game, and let's not We'll just keep the Georgia

953
00:42:12,680 --> 00:42:14,279
Speaker 2: twelve to one future that you and I have. We'll

954
00:42:14,320 --> 00:42:16,799
Speaker 2: just keep that on the outside. And as far as

955
00:42:16,800 --> 00:42:19,320
Speaker 2: the bets on this game, I have an LSU first

956
00:42:19,320 --> 00:42:22,680
Speaker 2: half money line under in the first half. And for

957
00:42:22,760 --> 00:42:24,880
Speaker 2: everything that we were talking about, I mean, the focus

958
00:42:24,880 --> 00:42:26,560
Speaker 2: of this game will be the two best units in

959
00:42:26,600 --> 00:42:29,640
Speaker 2: college football, the LSU offense and the Georgia defense. Bulldogs,

960
00:42:29,760 --> 00:42:31,560
Speaker 2: They're gonna be the stiffest test that Joe Burrow has

961
00:42:31,600 --> 00:42:32,200
Speaker 2: seen all season.

962
00:42:32,440 --> 00:42:34,560
Speaker 3: Joe Burrow is a fucking dog man.

963
00:42:35,000 --> 00:42:38,239
Speaker 2: He ain't no puppy. He's a fucking dog And what

964
00:42:38,560 --> 00:42:41,040
Speaker 2: like a treat, Just like as a fan of college

965
00:42:41,080 --> 00:42:44,239
Speaker 2: football to see passing game coordinator Joe Brady go up

966
00:42:44,280 --> 00:42:47,040
Speaker 2: against Kirby Smart, who's arguably the best defensive mind in

967
00:42:47,080 --> 00:42:49,839
Speaker 2: college football. So it's just gonna be a chess match.

968
00:42:50,080 --> 00:42:51,680
Speaker 2: George is gonna be in a dime. They're gonna be

969
00:42:51,680 --> 00:42:53,960
Speaker 2: in a nickel. They're gonna they're gonna bring pressure from

970
00:42:54,000 --> 00:42:55,480
Speaker 2: the left, from the right, they're gonna they're gonna be

971
00:42:55,480 --> 00:42:58,240
Speaker 2: in so many different formations trying to confuse Joe Burrow

972
00:42:58,560 --> 00:43:00,600
Speaker 2: and trying to limit how many times he checks down

973
00:43:00,600 --> 00:43:02,080
Speaker 2: to a running back. It's just it's going to be

974
00:43:02,080 --> 00:43:04,800
Speaker 2: a fascinating watch. You know, the Bulldogs are first of

975
00:43:04,880 --> 00:43:08,200
Speaker 2: the nation and defensive finishing drives. They only allow three

976
00:43:08,200 --> 00:43:11,040
Speaker 2: point five to five points for each opponent who visits

977
00:43:11,040 --> 00:43:14,080
Speaker 2: the red zone. Georgia's top ten opponent third down conversion.

978
00:43:14,160 --> 00:43:16,919
Speaker 2: So this is, you know, the biggest game that Joe

979
00:43:16,920 --> 00:43:19,520
Speaker 2: Burrow will have the entire season. So I think the

980
00:43:19,560 --> 00:43:21,160
Speaker 2: game is actually going to be decided on the other

981
00:43:21,200 --> 00:43:23,040
Speaker 2: side of the ball. I think it's just good on

982
00:43:23,120 --> 00:43:25,200
Speaker 2: good with the Georgia defense and the LSU offense, and

983
00:43:25,239 --> 00:43:27,879
Speaker 2: it's really the other side which has me intrigued, because

984
00:43:27,880 --> 00:43:30,399
Speaker 2: you have LSU who has just seemed to regroup and

985
00:43:30,480 --> 00:43:33,160
Speaker 2: on the defensive side of the ball, holding Arkansas, Texas

986
00:43:33,200 --> 00:43:35,280
Speaker 2: A and m and Ole miss to just thirteen points

987
00:43:35,320 --> 00:43:37,919
Speaker 2: combined in the first half. I'm not counting second half.

988
00:43:38,200 --> 00:43:40,479
Speaker 2: LSU had those games out of hand, their top twenty

989
00:43:40,520 --> 00:43:43,400
Speaker 2: and success rate defensively, and they're complimented by fourteenth in

990
00:43:43,440 --> 00:43:46,279
Speaker 2: defensive havoc and nineteenth in opponent red zone scoring. I'm

991
00:43:46,280 --> 00:43:49,760
Speaker 2: worried about this Georgia offense. You mentioned the loss of Pickens.

992
00:43:50,160 --> 00:43:53,200
Speaker 2: Cad will not be playing. DeAndre Swift had an injury

993
00:43:53,200 --> 00:43:56,000
Speaker 2: this week. Kirby Smart said after the game last week

994
00:43:56,040 --> 00:43:58,839
Speaker 2: in Storgia Tech that he would be fine. He backtracked

995
00:43:58,880 --> 00:44:01,560
Speaker 2: on Monday and said, well, we just hope that he's

996
00:44:01,600 --> 00:44:04,400
Speaker 2: going to be okay to go on Saturday, which is

997
00:44:04,920 --> 00:44:07,080
Speaker 2: just a different tune than he was singing forty eight

998
00:44:07,080 --> 00:44:08,880
Speaker 2: hours earlier when they came off the field. I'm not

999
00:44:08,880 --> 00:44:11,800
Speaker 2: really worried about George's depth at running back. They're loaded

1000
00:44:11,800 --> 00:44:14,839
Speaker 2: with blue chip talent all through the backfield. So I

1001
00:44:14,880 --> 00:44:17,200
Speaker 2: hate to say, like, you know, treat Swift like he's

1002
00:44:17,239 --> 00:44:20,160
Speaker 2: a replaceable player. But if there's one stable of running

1003
00:44:20,160 --> 00:44:21,960
Speaker 2: backs that can do it, it's going to be Georgia

1004
00:44:22,120 --> 00:44:23,480
Speaker 2: as far as the talent goes. But I mean, this

1005
00:44:23,520 --> 00:44:26,839
Speaker 2: is all about familiarity and rhythm for Jake from I mean,

1006
00:44:26,880 --> 00:44:29,239
Speaker 2: who is he going to hit that he's comfortable throwing to.

1007
00:44:29,880 --> 00:44:32,320
Speaker 2: There's been some talk about Georgia possibly lining up in

1008
00:44:32,360 --> 00:44:34,640
Speaker 2: a two and three tight end set. They're going to

1009
00:44:34,680 --> 00:44:36,920
Speaker 2: try to do what Alabama did, which was attack the middle.

1010
00:44:37,440 --> 00:44:39,920
Speaker 2: That's where the LSU defense was soft. With the loss

1011
00:44:39,920 --> 00:44:42,640
Speaker 2: of Michael Divinity, Grant Delpit has been hurt for a while.

1012
00:44:42,640 --> 00:44:45,239
Speaker 2: I think there's been some shuffling up positions. I like

1013
00:44:45,280 --> 00:44:47,560
Speaker 2: Georgia to cover the number here. I love their defense.

1014
00:44:48,080 --> 00:44:49,560
Speaker 2: I think they're the ones that keep it close. I

1015
00:44:49,560 --> 00:44:51,200
Speaker 2: would scoop the seven and a halves that I see

1016
00:44:51,239 --> 00:44:52,920
Speaker 2: in the Martyr right now. I would take those. I

1017
00:44:52,960 --> 00:44:55,080
Speaker 2: would take the seven. I would stop at six and

1018
00:44:55,120 --> 00:44:56,879
Speaker 2: a half. And I will say this about me taking

1019
00:44:57,000 --> 00:44:58,640
Speaker 2: LSU in the money line in the first half. If

1020
00:44:58,680 --> 00:45:02,360
Speaker 2: that bet loses, then I'm fine letting my Georgia twelve

1021
00:45:02,360 --> 00:45:05,200
Speaker 2: to one ride because if Georgia has this lead at halftime,

1022
00:45:05,400 --> 00:45:07,840
Speaker 2: they're gonna win the game. Kirby Smart has proven to

1023
00:45:07,880 --> 00:45:11,680
Speaker 2: be the best head coach in halftime adjustments, the best

1024
00:45:11,680 --> 00:45:14,319
Speaker 2: and third quarter success rate since he became a head

1025
00:45:14,320 --> 00:45:15,680
Speaker 2: coach at Georgiah.

1026
00:45:15,719 --> 00:45:17,520
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean I took a small position on plus seven.

1027
00:45:17,560 --> 00:45:19,239
Speaker 3: I would have taken more if not for something that

1028
00:45:19,280 --> 00:45:20,719
Speaker 3: you just brought up. So I'll piggyback up what you

1029
00:45:20,719 --> 00:45:23,239
Speaker 3: said the second half adjustments and Kirby Smart, and then

1030
00:45:23,280 --> 00:45:25,360
Speaker 3: you know they're getting pickings back for the second half.

1031
00:45:25,760 --> 00:45:28,240
Speaker 3: So you know, if I can get a better number

1032
00:45:28,280 --> 00:45:30,319
Speaker 3: than seven and Georgia is still in it, you know,

1033
00:45:30,360 --> 00:45:33,280
Speaker 3: maybe down forward to seven points in the first half,

1034
00:45:33,320 --> 00:45:36,600
Speaker 3: then I will look to add to the Georgia position.

1035
00:45:36,680 --> 00:45:38,800
Speaker 3: As of now, I don't think I'm going I don't know.

1036
00:45:38,840 --> 00:45:41,960
Speaker 3: I don't think I'm gonna hedge anything of Utah, Georgia

1037
00:45:42,120 --> 00:45:45,440
Speaker 3: or Louisiana. But I'll have my decision on the live

1038
00:45:45,440 --> 00:45:48,120
Speaker 3: show on Saturday. All right, let's move on here. Like

1039
00:45:48,160 --> 00:45:50,000
Speaker 3: I said, well, much more on the previews on the

1040
00:45:50,000 --> 00:45:52,600
Speaker 3: Action app in Action network dot com, But let's move

1041
00:45:52,640 --> 00:45:56,799
Speaker 3: on to the primetime slate. And if you have to,

1042
00:45:57,480 --> 00:45:59,840
Speaker 3: you know, if you owe your girl a date on

1043
00:45:59,840 --> 00:46:02,239
Speaker 3: a Saturday night, this might be the one. And you

1044
00:46:02,239 --> 00:46:05,120
Speaker 3: could be like, look, it's conference Championship Saturday, and we're

1045
00:46:05,160 --> 00:46:07,279
Speaker 3: going on a date. Because the games are pretty bad

1046
00:46:07,320 --> 00:46:09,200
Speaker 3: on paper. Now, it doesn't mean they won't be close,

1047
00:46:09,280 --> 00:46:12,480
Speaker 3: but we'll start at seven thirty Eastern on ABC, Virginia

1048
00:46:12,560 --> 00:46:13,200
Speaker 3: at Clemson.

1049
00:46:13,320 --> 00:46:15,200
Speaker 2: How can you say Clemson is not worth a watch

1050
00:46:15,239 --> 00:46:17,279
Speaker 2: on TV? Dad was sweety told me this week that

1051
00:46:17,320 --> 00:46:19,400
Speaker 2: all the media is against Clemson and that they're a

1052
00:46:19,480 --> 00:46:21,200
Speaker 2: terrible team and that we're looking to drop them to

1053
00:46:21,280 --> 00:46:24,520
Speaker 2: number twenty. I mean, you just can't have anything negative

1054
00:46:24,520 --> 00:46:26,399
Speaker 2: around this clibs of team right now. He has done

1055
00:46:26,520 --> 00:46:31,280
Speaker 2: a masterful job of turning personalities in the media around

1056
00:46:31,480 --> 00:46:34,600
Speaker 2: and giving it as motivation to his players and his

1057
00:46:34,680 --> 00:46:37,400
Speaker 2: program to be fired up against a Virginia team and

1058
00:46:37,400 --> 00:46:39,880
Speaker 2: then to head into the college football Playoff feeling like

1059
00:46:39,920 --> 00:46:42,360
Speaker 2: an underdog, although he may not be an underdog in

1060
00:46:42,400 --> 00:46:42,719
Speaker 2: the game.

1061
00:46:42,960 --> 00:46:44,920
Speaker 3: Yeah yeah, but I'm still waiting for Dago to quit.

1062
00:46:44,920 --> 00:46:46,359
Speaker 3: By the way, he said he's gonna quit once college

1063
00:46:46,360 --> 00:46:50,040
Speaker 3: players start getting paid while he's making tens of millions

1064
00:46:50,080 --> 00:46:52,080
Speaker 3: of dollars. I don't think he's quitting, by the way,

1065
00:46:52,280 --> 00:46:54,200
Speaker 3: So yeah, he's done a great job. Veibles has done

1066
00:46:54,239 --> 00:46:58,960
Speaker 3: a spectacular job with that defense and transforming into Isaiah Simmons,

1067
00:46:58,960 --> 00:47:00,880
Speaker 3: a stud But the whole defense lost so much talent.

1068
00:47:00,920 --> 00:47:04,080
Speaker 3: They you know, switched schemes and they're still just dominant.

1069
00:47:04,120 --> 00:47:05,960
Speaker 3: They haven't played anyone all year. I mean, just to

1070
00:47:06,080 --> 00:47:08,360
Speaker 3: show you some but you I mean, with all the

1071
00:47:08,400 --> 00:47:11,160
Speaker 3: talent they're coaching, this is one of the top three

1072
00:47:11,200 --> 00:47:12,880
Speaker 3: teams in the country. But just to show you how

1073
00:47:12,920 --> 00:47:15,839
Speaker 3: funny this is, there are twenty eight and a half

1074
00:47:15,920 --> 00:47:19,759
Speaker 3: point favorites here over Under is taking some money and

1075
00:47:19,920 --> 00:47:22,640
Speaker 3: you know it's blasted through fifty five a key numbers

1076
00:47:22,680 --> 00:47:25,440
Speaker 3: up of fifty seven and a half. But just to

1077
00:47:25,920 --> 00:47:29,799
Speaker 3: show you how ridiculous this club'son'd schedule has been, they

1078
00:47:29,840 --> 00:47:32,560
Speaker 3: were favored by at least twenty four points in all

1079
00:47:32,560 --> 00:47:35,319
Speaker 3: but one game, and that game that they weren't they

1080
00:47:35,320 --> 00:47:37,600
Speaker 3: were favored by sixteen and a half seventeen at home

1081
00:47:37,600 --> 00:47:39,560
Speaker 3: against Texas A and M. That means they were favored

1082
00:47:39,560 --> 00:47:42,320
Speaker 3: by an average of thirty just under thirty two points

1083
00:47:42,360 --> 00:47:45,120
Speaker 3: in twelve regular season games this year and now they're

1084
00:47:45,160 --> 00:47:47,759
Speaker 3: almost favored by that in the conference championship, but still

1085
00:47:47,800 --> 00:47:51,840
Speaker 3: we are both believers. In Clemson, they've especially turned it on.

1086
00:47:51,960 --> 00:47:54,080
Speaker 3: I mean, look, I think that there was some struggles

1087
00:47:54,080 --> 00:47:56,320
Speaker 3: early on in the year on the offense with Trevor Lawrence,

1088
00:47:56,360 --> 00:47:58,920
Speaker 3: and he was missing Renfro, he was forcing some throws.

1089
00:47:58,960 --> 00:48:01,080
Speaker 3: The receivers weren't all the way healthy as well. But

1090
00:48:01,160 --> 00:48:03,080
Speaker 3: they've turned it on late in the year. Lawrence is

1091
00:48:03,080 --> 00:48:05,280
Speaker 3: on fire. A little too late for your Heisman ticket.

1092
00:48:05,320 --> 00:48:07,560
Speaker 3: But you know, they've won their last seven by an

1093
00:48:07,600 --> 00:48:11,400
Speaker 3: average margin of forty and none fewer than thirty one points,

1094
00:48:11,440 --> 00:48:13,040
Speaker 3: which is what you need them to do to cover

1095
00:48:13,120 --> 00:48:15,160
Speaker 3: this number. You know, I look at this matchup and

1096
00:48:15,200 --> 00:48:18,680
Speaker 3: I say, I, actually, you know, make it closer to twenty.

1097
00:48:18,760 --> 00:48:21,480
Speaker 3: I mean, some numbers out there, these people project the

1098
00:48:21,560 --> 00:48:23,200
Speaker 3: numbers for this are all over the place. I think

1099
00:48:23,200 --> 00:48:24,840
Speaker 3: you make it thirty. Is that correct?

1100
00:48:25,160 --> 00:48:25,800
Speaker 2: Yeah? Thirty.

1101
00:48:26,560 --> 00:48:28,600
Speaker 3: I've seen something that would ask makes a twenty. I

1102
00:48:28,640 --> 00:48:31,359
Speaker 3: make it around twenty five. So at twenty and a half,

1103
00:48:31,560 --> 00:48:35,680
Speaker 3: maybe there's some value in Virginia, But nope, I just

1104
00:48:35,680 --> 00:48:38,799
Speaker 3: don't see anything. Like I don't understand how First of all,

1105
00:48:38,840 --> 00:48:41,640
Speaker 3: their defense, their metrics are a lot worse than what

1106
00:48:41,680 --> 00:48:43,799
Speaker 3: you see for the full season because their secondary has

1107
00:48:43,800 --> 00:48:46,000
Speaker 3: been a mess and it just allows a ton of

1108
00:48:46,000 --> 00:48:48,319
Speaker 3: explosive passing plays down the field. And you know, they've

1109
00:48:48,360 --> 00:48:50,360
Speaker 3: been hurt and they really miss an All American corner

1110
00:48:50,360 --> 00:48:52,080
Speaker 3: in Bryce Hall. Their defense just hasn't been the same

1111
00:48:52,320 --> 00:48:56,560
Speaker 3: since he went down. So Clemson could perfectly exploit that.

1112
00:48:56,600 --> 00:48:58,560
Speaker 3: They also should dominate the line of scrimmage and be

1113
00:48:58,600 --> 00:48:59,920
Speaker 3: able to run the ball and the other side of

1114
00:48:59,960 --> 00:49:02,960
Speaker 3: the ball. This Virginia offense, it's really just a one

1115
00:49:03,000 --> 00:49:05,880
Speaker 3: man show. It's a one man ban with Bryce Perkins.

1116
00:49:06,080 --> 00:49:08,879
Speaker 3: Clemson's defense. Whenever they faced a mobile quarterback this year,

1117
00:49:09,600 --> 00:49:13,840
Speaker 3: they've completely shut them down. Venables just has to scheme up. Okay,

1118
00:49:13,880 --> 00:49:16,399
Speaker 3: how can we contain Bryce Perkins. They can't really run

1119
00:49:16,440 --> 00:49:18,960
Speaker 3: the ball. It's not an efficient offense. They can't really

1120
00:49:19,000 --> 00:49:22,680
Speaker 3: throw the ball down the field. They do play really slow,

1121
00:49:23,280 --> 00:49:26,080
Speaker 3: and that's what they're gonna have to do here, play

1122
00:49:26,120 --> 00:49:28,000
Speaker 3: extremely slow. But I just don't know if they can

1123
00:49:28,040 --> 00:49:31,839
Speaker 3: move the sticks consistently to you know, keep Clemson off

1124
00:49:31,840 --> 00:49:33,880
Speaker 3: the field. And I don't know if they can stop

1125
00:49:33,920 --> 00:49:36,880
Speaker 3: Clemson with their secondary issues. The one advantage they have

1126
00:49:37,000 --> 00:49:38,920
Speaker 3: is on special teams. But if you're relying on just

1127
00:49:39,000 --> 00:49:43,080
Speaker 3: special teams to cover twenty eight against Clemson, you might

1128
00:49:43,120 --> 00:49:45,040
Speaker 3: be in trouble. I mean, Virginia leads the nation and

1129
00:49:45,120 --> 00:49:49,640
Speaker 3: kick return yardage, but Clemson also leads the NCAA and touchbacks,

1130
00:49:49,640 --> 00:49:50,759
Speaker 3: so part of that because they score a lot, but

1131
00:49:50,800 --> 00:49:52,560
Speaker 3: they do get a lot of touchbacks. But I mean

1132
00:49:52,680 --> 00:49:55,920
Speaker 3: Clemsons special teams stink. That's about it. Everything else is elite.

1133
00:49:56,800 --> 00:49:59,680
Speaker 3: So that's not enough for me to back Virginia. Maybe

1134
00:49:59,719 --> 00:50:02,520
Speaker 3: Bryce Perkins has some magic. Maybe Clemson goes up and

1135
00:50:02,560 --> 00:50:04,319
Speaker 3: they say, look, we have bigger fish to fry. Let's

1136
00:50:04,320 --> 00:50:06,359
Speaker 3: get the backups in. We don't care about running this up,

1137
00:50:06,440 --> 00:50:08,600
Speaker 3: and they get super conservative and then Virginia gets in

1138
00:50:08,600 --> 00:50:11,680
Speaker 3: the back door. But this line around twenty eight, unless

1139
00:50:11,719 --> 00:50:15,040
Speaker 3: it gets the thirty one, no thank you, I will

1140
00:50:15,040 --> 00:50:17,320
Speaker 3: be passing. If they over under keeps going up, I

1141
00:50:17,400 --> 00:50:19,840
Speaker 3: might back play the under because I don't see Virginia

1142
00:50:19,880 --> 00:50:23,120
Speaker 3: really doing much of anything, and they'll be playing slow

1143
00:50:23,160 --> 00:50:25,680
Speaker 3: while doing it, and Clemson eventually will take their foot

1144
00:50:25,680 --> 00:50:26,160
Speaker 3: off the gas.

1145
00:50:26,200 --> 00:50:28,359
Speaker 2: There's just so many things. I mean, it was brought

1146
00:50:28,360 --> 00:50:30,360
Speaker 2: to my attention that SPPLUS was like twenty one and

1147
00:50:30,360 --> 00:50:32,240
Speaker 2: a half or eighteen and a half or some crazy

1148
00:50:32,320 --> 00:50:34,239
Speaker 2: number way off what we have, you know, and my

1149
00:50:34,360 --> 00:50:36,960
Speaker 2: number is just like what two points off of the

1150
00:50:37,000 --> 00:50:39,279
Speaker 2: current market right now. But if you look into the

1151
00:50:39,320 --> 00:50:43,800
Speaker 2: advanced stats, it's ugly for Virginia. Right So Clemson's defense

1152
00:50:43,880 --> 00:50:46,680
Speaker 2: is second in the nation at sacrate, Virginia's offensive line

1153
00:50:46,680 --> 00:50:49,200
Speaker 2: is one hundred and fifth. And protecting Bryce Perkins, that's

1154
00:50:49,239 --> 00:50:53,320
Speaker 2: not good, you know, Clemson's eleventh and defending pass explosiveness

1155
00:50:53,680 --> 00:50:55,880
Speaker 2: Bryce Perkins does that have eighty pass exposons one of

1156
00:50:55,880 --> 00:50:58,719
Speaker 2: the worst in the nation. So, you know, if you

1157
00:50:58,719 --> 00:51:00,839
Speaker 2: try to look through Clemson's schedule, and you're right, they

1158
00:51:00,840 --> 00:51:02,520
Speaker 2: haven't played anybody, and you try to find some dual

1159
00:51:02,560 --> 00:51:05,600
Speaker 2: threat quarterbacks Kellen mand from Texas A and m maybe

1160
00:51:05,600 --> 00:51:08,960
Speaker 2: Michael Cunningham Louisville. You know, Perkins is better than those guys.

1161
00:51:08,960 --> 00:51:10,680
Speaker 2: But those guys didn't do anything. They didn't rush for

1162
00:51:10,719 --> 00:51:14,080
Speaker 2: any yards, they didn't add I mean QB ratings that

1163
00:51:14,160 --> 00:51:16,080
Speaker 2: were just you know, the worst of the season for

1164
00:51:16,120 --> 00:51:21,240
Speaker 2: those individual quarterbacks. I think the factor that you mentioned

1165
00:51:21,320 --> 00:51:23,560
Speaker 2: is the biggest aspect of this game, which is the

1166
00:51:23,640 --> 00:51:27,760
Speaker 2: Virginia secondary. You know, Virginia seventy fourth and opponent pass explosiveness.

1167
00:51:28,120 --> 00:51:31,560
Speaker 2: That's not good against the Trevor Lawrence that is hitting

1168
00:51:31,680 --> 00:51:34,359
Speaker 2: justin Ross and t Higgins in stride.

1169
00:51:34,040 --> 00:51:36,400
Speaker 3: That's with it, Bryce Hall and their fully healthy secondary

1170
00:51:36,400 --> 00:51:37,759
Speaker 3: all year, which they don't have now.

1171
00:51:37,840 --> 00:51:40,840
Speaker 2: Yes, yes, And so if the secondary is ranking seventy

1172
00:51:40,840 --> 00:51:43,920
Speaker 2: fourth against pass explosiveness, I don't see how in the

1173
00:51:43,920 --> 00:51:47,360
Speaker 2: world you could back of Virginia ticket here. And I

1174
00:51:47,360 --> 00:51:49,239
Speaker 2: mean it's no disrespect. They're a really good team, good

1175
00:51:49,280 --> 00:51:52,040
Speaker 2: job winning the Coastal. They're going to give, you know,

1176
00:51:52,040 --> 00:51:55,000
Speaker 2: give Bryce Perkins some sleep, give him three weeks arrest

1177
00:51:55,080 --> 00:51:56,360
Speaker 2: to come in a bowl game, and he's going to

1178
00:51:56,400 --> 00:51:57,719
Speaker 2: be a lot of fun to watch against a week

1179
00:51:57,760 --> 00:52:01,040
Speaker 2: front seven. But this is not the spot. And if

1180
00:52:01,080 --> 00:52:02,960
Speaker 2: Clemson is sitting around at the end of the night,

1181
00:52:03,000 --> 00:52:05,520
Speaker 2: they're going to see every other game come to an end,

1182
00:52:05,800 --> 00:52:08,400
Speaker 2: and you know they're gonna you know, they're gonna be

1183
00:52:08,400 --> 00:52:10,560
Speaker 2: able to, I think, dictate the score. The way Dabo

1184
00:52:10,560 --> 00:52:12,800
Speaker 2: has been acting with the media and the way Dabo

1185
00:52:12,840 --> 00:52:14,880
Speaker 2: has been talking to his players and the administration and

1186
00:52:14,920 --> 00:52:18,160
Speaker 2: the way he's handling everything, I just can't see him

1187
00:52:18,200 --> 00:52:20,400
Speaker 2: getting to twenty one and saying, now we're up by enough.

1188
00:52:20,520 --> 00:52:23,319
Speaker 2: That's good. Everybody take off, right. I just I don't

1189
00:52:23,360 --> 00:52:23,680
Speaker 2: see it.

1190
00:52:23,760 --> 00:52:26,479
Speaker 3: You do have to worry about your health at some point.

1191
00:52:26,600 --> 00:52:28,720
Speaker 3: That's That's all I'm saying. With the backdoor chance, because

1192
00:52:28,920 --> 00:52:30,400
Speaker 3: they're going to college, well.

1193
00:52:30,400 --> 00:52:31,919
Speaker 2: The players are not going to see the field again

1194
00:52:31,920 --> 00:52:34,160
Speaker 2: for three weeks, so I mean there is something about

1195
00:52:34,200 --> 00:52:35,640
Speaker 2: keep them in there just because they're not going to

1196
00:52:35,640 --> 00:52:36,719
Speaker 2: see a field for a long time.

1197
00:52:36,960 --> 00:52:39,200
Speaker 3: That's fair. Will you wager that? I say now I

1198
00:52:39,239 --> 00:52:42,160
Speaker 3: will be rooting for Virginia. I don't have any Clemson

1199
00:52:42,239 --> 00:52:45,520
Speaker 3: futures like last year, and I have other futures of teams.

1200
00:52:45,960 --> 00:52:48,640
Speaker 3: Maybe we can get Michigan in there somehow. But if

1201
00:52:48,800 --> 00:52:53,080
Speaker 3: I'm gonna I'm saying, if I have a showan singletary

1202
00:52:53,160 --> 00:52:55,160
Speaker 3: jersey from way back in the de Dewey Beach days,

1203
00:52:55,200 --> 00:52:57,560
Speaker 3: maybe I'll wear it. It wouldn't fit into it, Maybe

1204
00:52:57,560 --> 00:53:02,399
Speaker 3: I'll just wear it on my shoulder. What I'm saying,

1205
00:53:02,400 --> 00:53:05,000
Speaker 3: if Clemson loses this game, they're done. They're not in

1206
00:53:05,000 --> 00:53:05,920
Speaker 3: the College twelve playoff.

1207
00:53:05,960 --> 00:53:08,239
Speaker 2: You agree or disagree, I agree one hund percent.

1208
00:53:08,760 --> 00:53:11,880
Speaker 3: Okay, So if you're team chaos. You have a reason

1209
00:53:11,880 --> 00:53:14,040
Speaker 3: to sit down at night and then just root for

1210
00:53:14,120 --> 00:53:16,240
Speaker 3: Virginia from the start. All right, let's get to another

1211
00:53:16,320 --> 00:53:20,239
Speaker 3: game Saturday night Primetime, another big spread, this time a

1212
00:53:20,840 --> 00:53:23,600
Speaker 3: rematch of a game earlier this year. Now this line

1213
00:53:23,640 --> 00:53:26,480
Speaker 3: is fascinating to me because Wisconsin. We're talking about Wisconsin,

1214
00:53:26,480 --> 00:53:29,600
Speaker 3: Ohio States the Big Ten Championship in lucaswil Stadium in Indianapolis,

1215
00:53:30,000 --> 00:53:31,960
Speaker 3: Ohio State. It's a fifteen and a half point favorite

1216
00:53:31,960 --> 00:53:34,960
Speaker 3: over under fifty seven. This over under took off. But

1217
00:53:35,040 --> 00:53:37,879
Speaker 3: the reason this is an interesting number is because these

1218
00:53:37,920 --> 00:53:40,359
Speaker 3: two teams met early in the year in late October,

1219
00:53:40,520 --> 00:53:42,640
Speaker 3: closed to fourteen and a half with an over under

1220
00:53:42,680 --> 00:53:45,800
Speaker 3: of forty seven. And that was in Columbus at the Shoe.

1221
00:53:46,239 --> 00:53:49,800
Speaker 3: So now the line is even higher on a neutral field. Now,

1222
00:53:49,840 --> 00:53:52,440
Speaker 3: to be fair, that was played on a sloppy track,

1223
00:53:52,560 --> 00:53:55,040
Speaker 3: bad weather conditions, so with which you would think would

1224
00:53:55,040 --> 00:53:57,840
Speaker 3: favor Wisconsin. They still lost thirty eight to seven. I

1225
00:53:57,880 --> 00:54:01,000
Speaker 3: actually make this number around a little under two touchdowns.

1226
00:54:01,160 --> 00:54:03,920
Speaker 3: I've lost money this year playing against Ohio State just

1227
00:54:03,960 --> 00:54:05,800
Speaker 3: based on the number. If this does get the seventeen,

1228
00:54:06,000 --> 00:54:08,560
Speaker 3: I have to look at Wisconsin. If not I want

1229
00:54:08,600 --> 00:54:10,960
Speaker 3: no part of this game. I will say the two

1230
00:54:10,960 --> 00:54:13,799
Speaker 3: weaknesses we always talk about with Ohio State is their

1231
00:54:13,880 --> 00:54:17,839
Speaker 3: lack of defending rush explosiveness. But look, they've been even

1232
00:54:17,880 --> 00:54:20,480
Speaker 3: better than I thought in that department, and Wisconsin just

1233
00:54:20,560 --> 00:54:22,120
Speaker 3: isn't explosive running the ball. And if you look at

1234
00:54:22,120 --> 00:54:24,160
Speaker 3: the first match up, Jonathan Taylor only ran a twenty

1235
00:54:24,160 --> 00:54:26,600
Speaker 3: times for fifty two yards, so nothing there. They don't

1236
00:54:26,640 --> 00:54:29,200
Speaker 3: worry about Wisconsin's aerial attack. And then the other thing

1237
00:54:29,200 --> 00:54:32,000
Speaker 3: you have to worry about with Ohio State is they're

1238
00:54:32,520 --> 00:54:36,080
Speaker 3: allowing pressure and their sac rate which is I think

1239
00:54:36,239 --> 00:54:39,239
Speaker 3: ninety six in the country. Wisconsin is third in the

1240
00:54:39,320 --> 00:54:41,040
Speaker 3: nation on defensive sacrate. They do get a lot of

1241
00:54:41,040 --> 00:54:43,560
Speaker 3: pressure with their linebackers. Now if justin fields who holds

1242
00:54:43,560 --> 00:54:45,879
Speaker 3: onto the ball a little too long is hampered by

1243
00:54:45,880 --> 00:54:49,120
Speaker 3: that injury with a brace, maybe Wisconsin can call some

1244
00:54:49,160 --> 00:54:51,799
Speaker 3: havoc in that aspect casts some turnovers. That's the only

1245
00:54:51,800 --> 00:54:53,200
Speaker 3: way I think they could stay this game. Because the

1246
00:54:53,200 --> 00:54:56,640
Speaker 3: other factor here is the stadium. The first time they

1247
00:54:56,680 --> 00:55:00,359
Speaker 3: played the speed different showed the athleticism advantage. For now,

1248
00:55:00,400 --> 00:55:03,239
Speaker 3: this is gonna be in Lucas Oil Stateium in perfect conditions.

1249
00:55:03,320 --> 00:55:05,200
Speaker 3: You know, maybe the number as value. If this gets

1250
00:55:05,239 --> 00:55:07,399
Speaker 3: to seventeen, the public steams it up, and if it's

1251
00:55:07,400 --> 00:55:09,400
Speaker 3: seventeen and a half, maybe I'll look at Wisconsin. But

1252
00:55:09,600 --> 00:55:12,000
Speaker 3: there's not a lot to like, what do you see?

1253
00:55:12,160 --> 00:55:14,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's what you're waiting for. If you're gonna play Wisconsin,

1254
00:55:14,200 --> 00:55:16,240
Speaker 2: you're gonna wait for it to get to seventeen seventeen

1255
00:55:16,280 --> 00:55:19,319
Speaker 2: and a half. But for me, this is an overplay,

1256
00:55:19,400 --> 00:55:21,560
Speaker 2: and there's a lot of factors in this game that

1257
00:55:22,239 --> 00:55:25,359
Speaker 2: I understand why the total took a jump. There's three

1258
00:55:25,360 --> 00:55:29,160
Speaker 2: different aspects that I think that led to this going over,

1259
00:55:29,280 --> 00:55:31,279
Speaker 2: or at least the money the steam is all coming

1260
00:55:31,280 --> 00:55:33,640
Speaker 2: in on the over on the total. One of them

1261
00:55:33,719 --> 00:55:35,799
Speaker 2: is this isn't being played in crappy weather. The other

1262
00:55:35,840 --> 00:55:38,480
Speaker 2: aspect of this is Justin Field's having a hurt knee.

1263
00:55:38,480 --> 00:55:40,320
Speaker 2: He's got the brace on. He made a comment in

1264
00:55:40,360 --> 00:55:42,759
Speaker 2: the media that he's in a lot of pain, but

1265
00:55:42,800 --> 00:55:44,279
Speaker 2: he's going to play through it and he doesn't care.

1266
00:55:44,680 --> 00:55:46,560
Speaker 2: What that tells me is that, yes, they are going

1267
00:55:46,640 --> 00:55:50,520
Speaker 2: to hand off to JK. Dobbins plenty. But I think

1268
00:55:50,840 --> 00:55:53,080
Speaker 2: Justin Field's passing attempts and passing downs are gonna be

1269
00:55:53,160 --> 00:55:56,040
Speaker 2: quick routes, and I wouldn't be surprised to see if

1270
00:55:56,080 --> 00:55:58,480
Speaker 2: this is just three step drops or if this is

1271
00:55:58,600 --> 00:56:02,280
Speaker 2: shotgun and throw. I just expect to be a much

1272
00:56:02,719 --> 00:56:05,120
Speaker 2: faster paced game because they want to do everything they

1273
00:56:05,160 --> 00:56:07,880
Speaker 2: can to keep a sacarate of Wisconsin that ranks what

1274
00:56:07,960 --> 00:56:09,719
Speaker 2: third in the nation. You know, they know that the

1275
00:56:09,760 --> 00:56:13,480
Speaker 2: depth behind Justin fields is zero. They're not winning anything

1276
00:56:13,520 --> 00:56:16,600
Speaker 2: if Justin fields it gets hurt. So you know it's

1277
00:56:16,600 --> 00:56:18,319
Speaker 2: in their best interest to either hand the ball off

1278
00:56:18,360 --> 00:56:21,239
Speaker 2: to Dobbins or to get justin fields to throw in

1279
00:56:21,280 --> 00:56:24,200
Speaker 2: a quick pass. Now Wisconsin outside the top one hundred

1280
00:56:24,200 --> 00:56:27,360
Speaker 2: against rush explosiveness. Against JK. Dobbins and the Ohio State offense,

1281
00:56:27,560 --> 00:56:30,680
Speaker 2: they're going to break some. So that is a supporter

1282
00:56:30,800 --> 00:56:32,880
Speaker 2: of the over two. So besides that, if you go

1283
00:56:32,920 --> 00:56:34,719
Speaker 2: to the other side of the ball, I started doing

1284
00:56:34,719 --> 00:56:37,960
Speaker 2: a little box score dump. I thought to myself, it

1285
00:56:38,000 --> 00:56:40,839
Speaker 2: seems like Wisconsin's changed the last couple of weeks. They

1286
00:56:40,880 --> 00:56:44,400
Speaker 2: threw a whole ton against Minnesota in extremely bad weather.

1287
00:56:44,760 --> 00:56:47,080
Speaker 2: It seems like teams are throwing against Ohio State a

1288
00:56:47,080 --> 00:56:48,839
Speaker 2: lot more. Michigan found a way to throw on them

1289
00:56:48,880 --> 00:56:51,920
Speaker 2: and score points. Rutgers found a way to have an

1290
00:56:52,000 --> 00:56:55,560
Speaker 2: explosive passing touchdown, you know, and get twenty one points

1291
00:56:55,600 --> 00:56:57,839
Speaker 2: up on the board against Ohio State. So Ohio State

1292
00:56:57,880 --> 00:57:00,000
Speaker 2: has been given up points lately. So I went by

1293
00:57:00,280 --> 00:57:03,360
Speaker 2: looked and Wisconsin threw seventeen times against Ohio State in

1294
00:57:03,360 --> 00:57:05,799
Speaker 2: the initial meeting with thirty four rush, so only thirty

1295
00:57:05,800 --> 00:57:07,680
Speaker 2: three percent of the time did they drop back and pass.

1296
00:57:07,960 --> 00:57:10,879
Speaker 2: After that, Wisconsin had twenty eight passes against Iowa, more

1297
00:57:10,920 --> 00:57:14,320
Speaker 2: than they rushed, twenty one passes against Nebraska, nineteen against

1298
00:57:14,320 --> 00:57:16,640
Speaker 2: Perdue in a slow game, and twenty two passes last

1299
00:57:16,640 --> 00:57:19,120
Speaker 2: week against Minnesota, so they've been over twenty passing attempts

1300
00:57:19,440 --> 00:57:22,320
Speaker 2: since their game against Ohio State. The one thing that

1301
00:57:22,440 --> 00:57:26,160
Speaker 2: changed last week is that Wisconsin is passing in standard downs.

1302
00:57:26,320 --> 00:57:29,840
Speaker 2: They are now passing on first and ten, second and five.

1303
00:57:30,240 --> 00:57:32,920
Speaker 2: They hadn't done that before this entire season. If they

1304
00:57:32,920 --> 00:57:35,080
Speaker 2: can beat teams at the line of scrimmage rushing the

1305
00:57:35,120 --> 00:57:38,760
Speaker 2: ball against teams like Purdue, against teams like Nebraska, then

1306
00:57:38,800 --> 00:57:40,360
Speaker 2: that's what they've been doing. They've been rushing the ball

1307
00:57:40,360 --> 00:57:43,800
Speaker 2: fifty times a game, taking advantage, grinding the game, slowing

1308
00:57:43,800 --> 00:57:46,560
Speaker 2: it down letting Jonathan Taylor handle the business. But in

1309
00:57:46,640 --> 00:57:49,320
Speaker 2: games where they are outmatched in the trench, they're throwing

1310
00:57:49,320 --> 00:57:50,720
Speaker 2: the ball a lot more, and they're throwing the ball

1311
00:57:50,760 --> 00:57:53,400
Speaker 2: on standard downs and not just passing downs. So I

1312
00:57:53,480 --> 00:57:55,160
Speaker 2: love the over end this game for the fact that

1313
00:57:55,160 --> 00:57:56,520
Speaker 2: we're going to see a whole bunch more passing than

1314
00:57:56,560 --> 00:57:58,240
Speaker 2: we did in the first time when that game ended

1315
00:57:58,240 --> 00:58:00,680
Speaker 2: at what forty five points? I think there's gonna be

1316
00:58:00,680 --> 00:58:01,680
Speaker 2: a lot in the air here and a lot of

1317
00:58:01,680 --> 00:58:02,920
Speaker 2: explosive running from honest state.

1318
00:58:03,240 --> 00:58:04,960
Speaker 3: All right, before we get out of here, let's go

1319
00:58:05,040 --> 00:58:08,000
Speaker 3: three and out quickly. Let's start with the PAC twelve

1320
00:58:08,120 --> 00:58:10,680
Speaker 3: championship game on Friday night. Column we'll have we'll cover

1321
00:58:10,760 --> 00:58:13,200
Speaker 3: this game in depth on the Action app Inaction network

1322
00:58:13,240 --> 00:58:15,919
Speaker 3: dot com, but just give me your initial thoughts here.

1323
00:58:16,080 --> 00:58:18,360
Speaker 2: I'm gonna take Oregon plus I added at plus seven

1324
00:58:18,400 --> 00:58:20,960
Speaker 2: pay for the juice. If you have Utah futures, I

1325
00:58:21,000 --> 00:58:23,280
Speaker 2: suggest you do the same Oregon organ on the money line,

1326
00:58:23,320 --> 00:58:25,600
Speaker 2: but at least gets your initial investment back that you

1327
00:58:25,680 --> 00:58:27,920
Speaker 2: put down on Utah. I think Utah is going to win,

1328
00:58:27,960 --> 00:58:29,600
Speaker 2: but they're only going to do it by six or less.

1329
00:58:29,880 --> 00:58:32,040
Speaker 3: Yeah, I went with first half under it's a good look.

1330
00:58:32,120 --> 00:58:36,000
Speaker 3: Windy conditions, rain, sloppy track on a sloppy field, especially

1331
00:58:36,000 --> 00:58:37,920
Speaker 3: in the first half. Uta has been slow starting. There

1332
00:58:37,920 --> 00:58:39,800
Speaker 3: are I think sixty six in the country and first

1333
00:58:39,880 --> 00:58:42,080
Speaker 3: quarter points. They start to wear on you as the

1334
00:58:42,120 --> 00:58:46,600
Speaker 3: game progresses. And look, as you know, if you look,

1335
00:58:46,600 --> 00:58:48,720
Speaker 3: they're second the nation in time possession of the second

1336
00:58:48,760 --> 00:58:51,919
Speaker 3: half halftime adjustments. I favor Utah. Oregon I think could

1337
00:58:51,920 --> 00:58:53,760
Speaker 3: come out play a little looser and freer. And then

1338
00:58:53,800 --> 00:58:55,440
Speaker 3: also keep in mind that Utah has to run up

1339
00:58:55,480 --> 00:58:57,560
Speaker 3: to score for the College wall playoffs, so does Oklahoma,

1340
00:58:57,640 --> 00:58:59,320
Speaker 3: So I feel more comfortable taking the first half. I

1341
00:58:59,320 --> 00:59:02,440
Speaker 3: think Oregon's little undervalued here. I do think you times

1342
00:59:02,480 --> 00:59:03,880
Speaker 3: up winning the game, but I think this is close

1343
00:59:03,920 --> 00:59:06,360
Speaker 3: and low scoring in the first half at least.

1344
00:59:06,560 --> 00:59:09,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, Utah's outscored opponents one hundred ninety three to sixty

1345
00:59:09,040 --> 00:59:10,840
Speaker 2: one in the second half of the season, so I mean

1346
00:59:10,880 --> 00:59:12,560
Speaker 2: it's definitely an Oregon first half.

1347
00:59:12,720 --> 00:59:14,440
Speaker 3: If you're gonna play it, you talks covered eight in

1348
00:59:14,480 --> 00:59:16,280
Speaker 3: a row. It's the longest against the spread winning streak

1349
00:59:16,320 --> 00:59:18,959
Speaker 3: for a team going into a conference championship since two

1350
00:59:18,960 --> 00:59:21,600
Speaker 3: thousand and five. At least all right, second down, let's

1351
00:59:21,600 --> 00:59:23,920
Speaker 3: talk about our favorite overdog, which is our favorite favorite.

1352
00:59:23,920 --> 00:59:25,400
Speaker 3: And by the way, someone that fills me on Twitter

1353
00:59:25,400 --> 00:59:28,200
Speaker 3: said sent me a link. Overdog's actually a word nineteen

1354
00:59:28,240 --> 00:59:30,080
Speaker 3: oh eight. It was the first known use, and it's

1355
00:59:30,080 --> 00:59:33,120
Speaker 3: one that is dominant or victorious. It's used somewhere. So

1356
00:59:33,160 --> 00:59:35,360
Speaker 3: I apologize to the guy who said it as a favorite.

1357
00:59:35,360 --> 00:59:35,960
Speaker 3: It is a favorite.

1358
00:59:36,000 --> 00:59:37,000
Speaker 2: It's called the overdog.

1359
00:59:37,080 --> 00:59:39,040
Speaker 3: Parlay who's your favorite favorite this weekend?

1360
00:59:39,160 --> 00:59:41,080
Speaker 2: Clemson? You know it. They got to ax to grind.

1361
00:59:41,080 --> 00:59:42,720
Speaker 2: They're gonna take it out on a bad secondary.

1362
00:59:43,160 --> 00:59:45,560
Speaker 3: I'm going Memphis. Like I said before, this line's almost

1363
00:59:45,560 --> 00:59:47,680
Speaker 3: six points lower than it closed out last week, same place,

1364
00:59:47,720 --> 00:59:49,680
Speaker 3: same timing, at the same team. And I think since

1365
00:59:49,680 --> 00:59:52,600
Speaker 3: you might have a worse quarterback situation, lay with Memphis

1366
00:59:52,640 --> 00:59:55,120
Speaker 3: and third down is their underdog money line. Parlay who

1367
00:59:55,200 --> 00:59:55,680
Speaker 3: you got.

1368
00:59:55,880 --> 00:59:58,120
Speaker 2: You're gonna take? Ll right, I'll go with Georgia.

1369
00:59:58,160 --> 01:00:00,560
Speaker 3: All right, there we go Georgia and you Hello, Thanks

1370
01:00:00,560 --> 01:00:04,920
Speaker 3: for listening. Make sure that you subscribe. Unsubscribed, leave a

1371
01:00:04,960 --> 01:00:08,600
Speaker 3: review for subpotential shot at swag. Tell a friend telling

1372
01:00:08,680 --> 01:00:10,160
Speaker 3: enemy you know the drill. We'll catch you on the

1373
01:00:10,160 --> 01:00:13,440
Speaker 3: live show. Ten thirty am Eastern on Saturday. Thanks for

1374
01:00:13,520 --> 01:00:16,120
Speaker 3: joining me, Colin, and good luck everyone this weekend. Enjoyed

1375
01:00:16,160 --> 01:00:29,520
Speaker 3: Championship weekend. Cheers out. We're finished talking.