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Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to betting bros. It's time to place

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Speaker 1: your bets. This met Joey P joe pis Apia and

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Speaker 1: this is BP NFL. It's time to talk parlays and

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Speaker 1: have some fun for week five. So let's try to

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Speaker 1: put some big plays together and see if we get

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Speaker 1: hit on this week in the NFL. Let's start with you,

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Speaker 1: Terrell Furman Junior. What do you have lined up? And

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Speaker 1: is there a theme for this week's parlay?

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Speaker 2: No? Not like last week?

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Speaker 1: No theme.

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Speaker 2: Very I decided to switch the mojo up because I

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Speaker 2: was very close to hitting last week and I was

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Speaker 2: an under away shout up and Tomlin shout to Carson

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Speaker 2: Wentz interception. So we just got player props. That's it.

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Speaker 2: And I tried to correlate them, not correlated. So let's

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Speaker 2: just start here. Justin fields over forty eight and a

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Speaker 2: half rushing yards the Dallas Cowboys struggle with the running quarterback.

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Speaker 2: This has been the things with the Cowboys defense four years.

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Speaker 2: Jalen Hurts earlier this year year burned them for sixty two.

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Speaker 2: Russ and Jordan Love, who are too not as mobile quarterbacks,

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Speaker 2: still got close to thirty yards on this team. This

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Speaker 2: is what Justin Fields does. He gets on the ground

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Speaker 2: and he's able to get moving and they're not gonna

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Speaker 2: be able to bring him down. He'll have plenty of

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Speaker 2: rushing attempts here. So I like Justin Fields go over

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Speaker 2: his forty eight and a half rushing yards behind the

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Speaker 2: third best rushing offense in the NFL. Second leg, I

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Speaker 2: will take CJ. Stroud to go over twenty two and

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Speaker 2: a two hundred and twenty two and a half I'm sorry,

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Speaker 2: two hundred and twenty two and a half passing yards

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Speaker 2: against the lowly, lowly, lowly Ravens defense that can't stop anything,

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Speaker 2: and they're beat up on both sides of the ball.

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Speaker 2: They're missing their number one pick Nate Wiggins on the outside.

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Speaker 2: That's not gonna be better. So it's gonna be Alexander Humphrey,

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Speaker 2: who I've really really been struggling this year as the

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Speaker 2: defense has overall. CJ. Stroud last game was able to

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Speaker 2: get going. He was passing and completing over seventy nine

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Speaker 2: percent of his passes in that game. So I think

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Speaker 2: this will be an opportunity where going up against yet

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Speaker 2: another bad defense, what is a revenge spot for him

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Speaker 2: in this offense looking to put some points on the

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Speaker 2: board like they couldn't do last year. I think we'll

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Speaker 2: see CJ. Stroud be able to throw the ball like

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Speaker 2: Tonico Collins and some of those other weapons on the outside.

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Speaker 2: So I like Stroud go over two hundred and twenty

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Speaker 2: two and a half passing yards and then we finished

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Speaker 2: this out with some tragic magic. Because David Montgomery, he

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Speaker 2: has been talking about it, and I'm sure a lot

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Speaker 2: of people have seen. If you haven't seen it, well

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna tell you now. He was on k Adams

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Speaker 2: and he said, this is my first time playing back

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Speaker 2: home in Cincinnati, very first time. I've been waiting for it.

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Speaker 2: I'm really excited. He has a sister who was in

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Speaker 2: a really, really bad car accident and paralyzed from the

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Speaker 2: neck down, and so this is the first time that

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Speaker 2: she will be able to see him play since that accident.

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Speaker 2: In this game, he's gonna have a whole bunch of

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Speaker 2: family there. It's gonna be a really big game. And

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Speaker 2: this is Dan Campbell. You tell Dan Campbell a story

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Speaker 2: like this, He's gonna make sure he gets you the ball.

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Speaker 2: And David Montgomery going up against the twenty six rush

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Speaker 2: DVOA defense. Absolutely, there's gonna be drives where it's not

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Speaker 2: even gonna be Gibs on the field, and it's gonna

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Speaker 2: be Montgomery from start to finish, and they're just gonna

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Speaker 2: keep giving it to give it soon, give it to them.

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Speaker 2: So I like Dave Montgomery go over fifty and a

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Speaker 2: half rushing yards. You add all three of those things together,

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Speaker 2: justin Feels over forty nine and forty eight and a

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Speaker 2: half rushing yards. CJ. Stroud over two hundred twenty two

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Speaker 2: and a half passing yards, and David Montgomery over fifty

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Speaker 2: and a half rushing yards. That will pay out a

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Speaker 2: nice pretty five eighty one.

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Speaker 1: Now, all right, five eighty one. That's a big number there.

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Speaker 1: All right, Andrew Ericson, let's talk about your picks. And

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Speaker 1: you are looks like you're sg P in it this week. Baby,

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Speaker 1: let's go.

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Speaker 3: Yes, we have been in the kitchen cooking up some sgps.

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Speaker 3: It's it's fall here in New England, it's October. My

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Speaker 3: wife is very excited about baking these fall like pastries

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Speaker 3: and things like that, and I'm just baking out these

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Speaker 3: sgps like that's what all I'm all about, baby, So

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Speaker 3: for me going with the Buccaneers and the cook himself,

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Speaker 3: Baker Mayfield on the road against Seattle Seahawks. So the

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Speaker 3: first leg here is going to be the Buccaneers to

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Speaker 3: spread at plus three and a half. This is one

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Speaker 3: of my best bets on the Week five show, but

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Speaker 3: just kind of just like as the preview for that,

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Speaker 3: I just want to bet on Baker Mayfield when he

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Speaker 3: is an underdog, like this is just one of his

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Speaker 3: prime spots. The Buccaneers are fifteen to five against the

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Speaker 3: spread on the road since twenty twenty three, they're eight

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Speaker 3: and seven straight up his road underdogs, twelve and three

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Speaker 3: against the spread eighty percent, and even after a loss,

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Speaker 3: that's where they're even better, so eleven and four against

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Speaker 3: the spread after the lost nine of their last ten.

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Speaker 3: So this is just a spot where you want to

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Speaker 3: be back in Baker Mayfield against the number. They may

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Speaker 3: not win, but I think they can cover the three

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Speaker 3: and a half. So if it lose byfield, well we

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Speaker 3: are still good there. Now when it comes to Baker

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Speaker 3: Mayfield on field, like what he's gonna do numbers wise,

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Speaker 3: I think he's gonna make plays with his legs like

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Speaker 3: we see this a lot from quarterbacks when they're down weapons,

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Speaker 3: they call upon their legs, they run more. Baker Mayfield

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Speaker 3: on the road. His last ten road games, he has

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Speaker 3: hit the over sixteen a half rushing yards in nine

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Speaker 3: of those ten road games. He's been more mobile this

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Speaker 3: year than he has been in years past anyway, So

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Speaker 3: I think he's gonna be scrambling picking up first downs

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Speaker 3: and just being Baker Mayfield with the Moxie signaling for

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Speaker 3: first downs left and right. You know people are gonna

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Speaker 3: know when Baker Mayfield runs for a first down in

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Speaker 3: this particular matchup. So I like betting on the over

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Speaker 3: with his rushing and then when it comes to touchdowns.

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Speaker 3: Seattle Seahawks, every touchdown they have allowed on defense this

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Speaker 3: year has been through the air. So I'm gonna take

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Speaker 3: the over on Baker Mayfield one and a half passing touchdowns.

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Speaker 3: He's gone over this in four of his last five

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Speaker 3: and seven of his last ten road games played. Yes,

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Speaker 3: I know there's no Mike Evans, but he still has

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Speaker 3: like Buka he Saales, Chris Godwin and even Bucky Irving

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Speaker 3: is out set. White is a very comparable receiving back

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Speaker 3: out of the backfield. So he can also chip in

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Speaker 3: a receiving touchdown. So that's my three legger about six

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Speaker 3: to one payout for uh Baker Mayfield's SGP.

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Speaker 1: There you have it. More on Baker Mayfield in just

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Speaker 1: a moment before we get to my parlay. If you

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Speaker 1: want a chance to score the latest giveaway, the sign

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Speaker 1: Nick Jubb Brown's helmet for free courtesy of our friends

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Speaker 1: at Pristine Auction dot com. All you need to do

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Speaker 1: is head over to Betting Pros dot com slash contest,

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Speaker 1: to our social media channels at Betting Pros on x

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Speaker 1: on tiktoks and tiktoks. Kids like the tiktoks? Is that

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Speaker 1: what you likes? Do you likes the instagrams where we're

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Speaker 1: at Betting Pros NFL. That's right, old man, I've got

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Speaker 1: all the TikTok and face twitters that you can possibly imagine. Anyway,

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Speaker 1: the more actions you complete, the more injuries you'll receive,

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Speaker 1: and we'll be announcing the winner right here on the channel,

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Speaker 1: So make sure you turn on those notifications so you

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Speaker 1: for free. All right. The theme this week for my

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Speaker 1: SGP is the Butcher, the Baker, and the candlestick Maker.

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Speaker 1: Do you remember that? Do you remember the little nurse

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Speaker 1: your rhymes when you were a kid, Well, it starts

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Speaker 1: with Baker Mayfield, Right, he's the baker here in this one.

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Speaker 1: He's gonna bake up another upset because this is what

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Speaker 1: he does, all right. The underdog on the road just

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Speaker 1: slam the money down and let's go. Then you have

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Speaker 1: the butcher and the butcher here I think is going

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Speaker 1: to be the Detroit Lions offense, just kind of butchering

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Speaker 1: up whatever remains of the Cincinnati defense. I don't know,

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Speaker 1: I haven't seen much of it this year. So the

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Speaker 1: butcher's gonna be Jared goffin company. So we're gonna take

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Speaker 1: the money line on the Detroit Lions. And then the

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Speaker 1: candlestick maker, Josh Allen does one thing. He lights up

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Speaker 1: the Patriots. That's what he does. So give me the

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Speaker 1: New England Patriots to lose again to the Buffalo Bills.

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Speaker 1: As much as it pains me, I'm keeping it real

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Speaker 1: minus four thirty. That look, those are two very sure things.

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Speaker 1: So I just need these two sure things Detroit and

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Speaker 1: Buffalo to win. And if they do and you get

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Speaker 1: the upset with Baker Mayfield, you get almost three to

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Speaker 1: one plus two seventy. So I'd rather bet two units

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Speaker 1: on something I think I can control than a little

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Speaker 1: tiny half unit on something that's going to take seven

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Speaker 1: legs to hit. So the butcher, the Baker, the candlestick maker.

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Speaker 1: Hopefully everybody gets in the boat and the boat is

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Speaker 1: filled with money by the time we come back here

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Speaker 1: next week. So make sure you subscribe to the YouTube channel.

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Speaker 1: Shout out to everybody to helping us get to seventy thousand,

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Speaker 1: trying to get to one hundred. Let's keep on pushing.

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Speaker 1: So let's keep on going. Subscribe like this video right

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Speaker 1: here and drop your comments below. What's your favorite party

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Speaker 1: for Week five in the NFL. That'll do it for us,

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Speaker 1: But the story of the game goes on for Andrew Ericson,

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Speaker 1: Terrell Firman Junior. I'm Joey P. We'll see you next time. Kids.

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Speaker 4: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you

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