1 00:00:05,600 --> 00:00:12,800 Speaker 1: This is Straight Fire with Jason McIntyre. It's my favorite 2 00:00:12,880 --> 00:00:16,800 Speaker 1: time of the year outside of Christmas. Hell everybody, it's 3 00:00:16,840 --> 00:00:22,880 Speaker 1: your boy. Jason McIntyre Straight Fire for Monday, March fifteenth, 4 00:00:23,000 --> 00:00:26,520 Speaker 1: we got brackets. Oh gosh, I love it. I love 5 00:00:26,600 --> 00:00:29,160 Speaker 1: March madness. One of my favorite times of your favorite 6 00:00:29,160 --> 00:00:32,599 Speaker 1: month for sports is March. Second favorite would be November 7 00:00:33,000 --> 00:00:37,200 Speaker 1: because it has NFL college football, NBA and college basketball, 8 00:00:37,440 --> 00:00:40,559 Speaker 1: and for lucky maybe the World Series Game seven. But 9 00:00:41,479 --> 00:00:43,360 Speaker 1: I figured we'd just do an all n c A 10 00:00:43,400 --> 00:00:45,880 Speaker 1: tournament podcast. That's all anybody cares about right now. Yes, 11 00:00:46,640 --> 00:00:49,080 Speaker 1: Drew Brees retiring, big story, what do we alwa say? 12 00:00:49,080 --> 00:00:51,800 Speaker 1: He's a Hall of Famer period and the story are 13 00:00:51,800 --> 00:00:55,520 Speaker 1: the Saints screwed with Taysom Hill? Probably is James Jameis 14 00:00:55,560 --> 00:00:59,840 Speaker 1: Winston gone, yeah, I would assume so. Um. There's also 15 00:00:59,880 --> 00:01:03,040 Speaker 1: a Kawaii Leonard story that popped late last night. Kawai 16 00:01:03,160 --> 00:01:08,560 Speaker 1: Leonard very concerned about the fraudulent Clippers. Go listen to 17 00:01:08,560 --> 00:01:12,280 Speaker 1: Friday's podcast if you missed it, Steve Hartman and I 18 00:01:12,360 --> 00:01:16,039 Speaker 1: Chopping up the Clippers. I say, Kawhi Leonard a whiff 19 00:01:16,040 --> 00:01:19,240 Speaker 1: of fraudulence the Clippers I'm not believers. They go out 20 00:01:19,280 --> 00:01:23,160 Speaker 1: and get smoked Sunday night by the Pelicans, and I 21 00:01:23,200 --> 00:01:25,040 Speaker 1: don't want to hear what. They didn't have Pet Beverley. 22 00:01:25,120 --> 00:01:29,679 Speaker 1: Oh really, zero time All Star Pat Beverley didn't have him? Well, cheef, 23 00:01:29,720 --> 00:01:31,640 Speaker 1: What do you want me to say? Lakers didn't have 24 00:01:31,680 --> 00:01:33,560 Speaker 1: Caruso and they're gonna lose a game, Like, come on, 25 00:01:33,720 --> 00:01:37,119 Speaker 1: stop Clippers. They got problems, but all anybody cares about 26 00:01:37,160 --> 00:01:43,000 Speaker 1: right now he is marked madness. Um A quick programming note. Okay, guys, 27 00:01:43,319 --> 00:01:46,760 Speaker 1: we're building something special here. We've got a great audience, 28 00:01:46,800 --> 00:01:49,120 Speaker 1: We've got a nice little community. We're gonna win some 29 00:01:49,160 --> 00:01:51,880 Speaker 1: money in our brackets. I'm gonna hit you with nuggets 30 00:01:51,880 --> 00:01:54,760 Speaker 1: all week. I got a great guest, Jason Lists coming 31 00:01:54,840 --> 00:01:58,280 Speaker 1: up about thirty five minutes on brackets and bets. It 32 00:01:58,320 --> 00:02:01,240 Speaker 1: doesn't get much better than this. I just want to say, 33 00:02:02,680 --> 00:02:07,200 Speaker 1: for the first time in my life, my family and 34 00:02:07,240 --> 00:02:10,080 Speaker 1: I were dogs sitting over the weekend. I did not 35 00:02:10,200 --> 00:02:13,160 Speaker 1: have a dog growing up. My brother does have a dog, 36 00:02:13,200 --> 00:02:15,320 Speaker 1: has had a dog since, like might out of college. 37 00:02:15,360 --> 00:02:18,120 Speaker 1: I guess I never had one grown up with the 38 00:02:18,160 --> 00:02:22,560 Speaker 1: fam and my wife never had a dog, and we 39 00:02:22,639 --> 00:02:24,560 Speaker 1: decided to dog sit for our friends who were out 40 00:02:24,600 --> 00:02:27,480 Speaker 1: of town, and it was very cool. I gotta say 41 00:02:27,560 --> 00:02:30,079 Speaker 1: dogs are awesome. Now, this was an older dog, so 42 00:02:31,360 --> 00:02:33,560 Speaker 1: he was very chill. He just you know, he's not 43 00:02:33,560 --> 00:02:37,640 Speaker 1: but he didn't bark once in like the fifties five 44 00:02:37,680 --> 00:02:39,720 Speaker 1: hours we had him or whatever, didn't bark once. Took 45 00:02:39,800 --> 00:02:42,840 Speaker 1: him out to dinner, took him from walks, you know. Great. 46 00:02:43,400 --> 00:02:46,079 Speaker 1: Having a dog for the weekend was awesome. And I'll 47 00:02:46,120 --> 00:02:48,320 Speaker 1: just wrap up on this before we get to the tournament. 48 00:02:48,919 --> 00:02:53,359 Speaker 1: My daughter cried for like forty five minutes after our 49 00:02:53,400 --> 00:02:55,720 Speaker 1: friends came and got their dogs. He was devastated, like 50 00:02:55,800 --> 00:02:59,160 Speaker 1: I need a dog. I missed the dog. Kind of funny. 51 00:02:59,360 --> 00:03:00,800 Speaker 1: I guess you had to be there all right. Without 52 00:03:00,840 --> 00:03:05,080 Speaker 1: further ado n c A tournament time, here's Jason Lisk 53 00:03:05,400 --> 00:03:09,440 Speaker 1: from Team Rankings dot com. Fox Sports Radio has the 54 00:03:09,480 --> 00:03:12,400 Speaker 1: best sports talk lineup in the nation. Catch all of 55 00:03:12,400 --> 00:03:15,960 Speaker 1: our shows at Fox sports Radio dot com and within 56 00:03:15,960 --> 00:03:18,440 Speaker 1: the I Heart Radio app search f s R to 57 00:03:18,600 --> 00:03:25,560 Speaker 1: listen live. Jason likes to think he knows everything when 58 00:03:25,560 --> 00:03:28,679 Speaker 1: it comes to sports. I know what sports dans want, 59 00:03:28,880 --> 00:03:31,840 Speaker 1: but for everything he doesn't. He knows A guy who does. 60 00:03:32,200 --> 00:03:35,000 Speaker 1: Let's just say I know a guy who knows a 61 00:03:35,080 --> 00:03:38,800 Speaker 1: guy he knows another guy. All right, let's welcome into 62 00:03:38,960 --> 00:03:42,160 Speaker 1: straight fire, a guy who I worked with at the 63 00:03:42,280 --> 00:03:45,080 Speaker 1: Big Lead back in the day. Yes, he's now one 64 00:03:45,120 --> 00:03:48,480 Speaker 1: of the head haunchos at Team rankings dot com. And 65 00:03:48,520 --> 00:03:50,520 Speaker 1: I know you guys know the website because they do 66 00:03:50,640 --> 00:03:54,040 Speaker 1: a lot of stuff around the n c A tournament brackets. 67 00:03:54,320 --> 00:03:57,320 Speaker 1: We're gonna help you win your bracket pool. Let's welcome 68 00:03:57,320 --> 00:04:00,720 Speaker 1: in Jason Lisk List. How are you, buddy man. I'm 69 00:04:00,760 --> 00:04:03,160 Speaker 1: doing great and and it's even better because here we 70 00:04:03,200 --> 00:04:05,400 Speaker 1: are two years and we have an n c A 71 00:04:05,480 --> 00:04:08,200 Speaker 1: tournament again. I know it was so depressing last year 72 00:04:08,880 --> 00:04:13,440 Speaker 1: in the middle of championship week, but no negativity. I'm geeked. 73 00:04:13,640 --> 00:04:16,719 Speaker 1: We have the brackets, lines are out for all the 74 00:04:16,800 --> 00:04:20,000 Speaker 1: first round games, and um, first of all, List, let 75 00:04:20,000 --> 00:04:22,920 Speaker 1: me introduce you for those who don't know List, So 76 00:04:23,720 --> 00:04:28,000 Speaker 1: here you are. Are you still in Missouri? I am 77 00:04:28,600 --> 00:04:31,760 Speaker 1: insta the area, okay, And I basically when I was 78 00:04:31,800 --> 00:04:33,960 Speaker 1: at the Big Lead, I was like looking around for 79 00:04:34,120 --> 00:04:36,960 Speaker 1: NFL guys and number of guys and I saw List 80 00:04:37,000 --> 00:04:38,840 Speaker 1: had done some stuff. I think it was for Football 81 00:04:38,880 --> 00:04:42,560 Speaker 1: Perspective Chase Stewart, is that what the site was. Actually 82 00:04:42,600 --> 00:04:44,800 Speaker 1: it was a profitball reference. But I worked with Chase. Yes, 83 00:04:45,760 --> 00:04:48,599 Speaker 1: he started a football Perspective about the same time, and 84 00:04:48,640 --> 00:04:50,640 Speaker 1: I think he popped you on social media and I 85 00:04:50,680 --> 00:04:52,560 Speaker 1: read one of your stories. I was like, damn, this 86 00:04:52,600 --> 00:04:54,680 Speaker 1: guy is good. So you know, we came on and 87 00:04:54,720 --> 00:04:56,360 Speaker 1: we were with at the Big Lead for a while. 88 00:04:56,400 --> 00:05:00,200 Speaker 1: I mean we were exchanging Christmas cards this family. Although 89 00:05:00,240 --> 00:05:03,680 Speaker 1: I've never met him, uh, like, I know, I feel 90 00:05:03,680 --> 00:05:05,719 Speaker 1: like I know the guy very well. Well, yeah, we 91 00:05:05,760 --> 00:05:11,960 Speaker 1: did work together for eight years. Eight it was the 92 00:05:12,040 --> 00:05:14,000 Speaker 1: year the Packers won the year the Packers won the 93 00:05:14,000 --> 00:05:19,600 Speaker 1: Super Bowl as a sixth seed. That was my first year. Yeah. Yeah. 94 00:05:19,680 --> 00:05:21,560 Speaker 1: Lists start out part time and then full time. And 95 00:05:21,600 --> 00:05:24,080 Speaker 1: now he's like a big numbers guy who's dominating. So 96 00:05:24,680 --> 00:05:27,719 Speaker 1: Team rankings dot Com is the website and you know 97 00:05:27,880 --> 00:05:32,200 Speaker 1: lisk a bracket guru, nose gambling nos college basketball. This 98 00:05:32,279 --> 00:05:34,800 Speaker 1: is how into it he is. I said to him. 99 00:05:34,800 --> 00:05:37,960 Speaker 1: I was like, huh, you know, um, I'm looking at it. 100 00:05:38,000 --> 00:05:40,719 Speaker 1: What I texted him, you know, teams not seeded one 101 00:05:40,760 --> 00:05:42,719 Speaker 1: through three, and he I think he mentioned b y U. 102 00:05:42,800 --> 00:05:44,880 Speaker 1: I was like, b y U. They weren't even on 103 00:05:44,960 --> 00:05:47,040 Speaker 1: my radar, and then he starts to send me these 104 00:05:47,080 --> 00:05:50,120 Speaker 1: notes about him. Oh gosh, all right, let's go. Let's 105 00:05:50,120 --> 00:05:53,719 Speaker 1: get fired. First of all, list, um, why don't we 106 00:05:53,760 --> 00:05:55,960 Speaker 1: just start with an upset? I know the is it 107 00:05:56,080 --> 00:06:00,359 Speaker 1: the twelve five? Every year or like thirty five of 108 00:06:00,440 --> 00:06:04,000 Speaker 1: the last forty years a twelve has beaten a five 109 00:06:04,279 --> 00:06:07,080 Speaker 1: and a bunch of times that's happened twice. You look 110 00:06:07,120 --> 00:06:11,360 Speaker 1: at the bracket this year, which twelve over five jumps 111 00:06:11,400 --> 00:06:13,960 Speaker 1: out at you like, hey man, you need to make 112 00:06:14,000 --> 00:06:16,279 Speaker 1: that bet or pencil them in on your in your bracket. 113 00:06:16,920 --> 00:06:19,720 Speaker 1: H Well, I mean, let me say that first of all, 114 00:06:19,839 --> 00:06:24,560 Speaker 1: as we talk about the twelves fives, Um, I suspect 115 00:06:24,640 --> 00:06:26,880 Speaker 1: all the fives are going to be favored, as they 116 00:06:26,880 --> 00:06:29,880 Speaker 1: typically are. But sometimes you see very short lines, and 117 00:06:29,920 --> 00:06:31,960 Speaker 1: I think I haven't seen the spreads. I know they're 118 00:06:31,960 --> 00:06:35,039 Speaker 1: probably being released right basically right about an hour in 119 00:06:35,040 --> 00:06:38,320 Speaker 1: the last hour of them, but I think there are 120 00:06:38,320 --> 00:06:41,800 Speaker 1: some situations where you're gonna have very short lines on 121 00:06:41,839 --> 00:06:45,560 Speaker 1: a lot of those teams, um, because of a variety 122 00:06:45,560 --> 00:06:48,520 Speaker 1: of reasons. And so I'll walk through all of them. 123 00:06:48,560 --> 00:06:53,600 Speaker 1: Because honestly, Um, they all. They all. If you I mean, 124 00:06:53,600 --> 00:06:55,479 Speaker 1: if you're in the right type of pool, a bigger 125 00:06:55,520 --> 00:06:58,200 Speaker 1: pool and upset pool, they all have some attractiveness. But 126 00:06:58,240 --> 00:07:01,160 Speaker 1: let's start with Georgetown. I mean, Georgetown on played lights out. 127 00:07:01,160 --> 00:07:03,560 Speaker 1: Now they're gonna be a slight underdog because Colorado has 128 00:07:03,600 --> 00:07:06,960 Speaker 1: been a pretty pretty solid team most of the year. Obviously, 129 00:07:07,000 --> 00:07:09,200 Speaker 1: Georgetown hasn't done it for long, but man, Georgetown has 130 00:07:09,240 --> 00:07:12,920 Speaker 1: been playing at a tournament level for not just the 131 00:07:12,920 --> 00:07:16,880 Speaker 1: Big East Tournament, pretty much since the end of January. 132 00:07:16,920 --> 00:07:20,360 Speaker 1: They were terrible in December. Um and Patrick Union's got 133 00:07:20,400 --> 00:07:22,520 Speaker 1: that team. You know, you never know how guys will respond. 134 00:07:22,640 --> 00:07:25,400 Speaker 1: But I don't know if um he benched, he basically 135 00:07:25,400 --> 00:07:28,920 Speaker 1: sat Javon Blair, his his leading scorer. Uh here, about 136 00:07:29,120 --> 00:07:33,800 Speaker 1: three weeks ago, benched him just zero minutes they beat 137 00:07:33,840 --> 00:07:36,000 Speaker 1: the Paul and since then they've been on fire. They've 138 00:07:36,000 --> 00:07:38,280 Speaker 1: been playing defense hard. I think that's you never know 139 00:07:38,320 --> 00:07:39,680 Speaker 1: how those things a go, but I think that's sent 140 00:07:39,760 --> 00:07:42,120 Speaker 1: a message to the team basically, I will bench anybody 141 00:07:42,680 --> 00:07:45,320 Speaker 1: and you guys should play better. And you know how 142 00:07:45,400 --> 00:07:48,600 Speaker 1: much did that play into it? Who knows, But Georgetown, 143 00:07:48,640 --> 00:07:50,960 Speaker 1: you know you could have chalked up the Villanova win 144 00:07:51,080 --> 00:07:53,640 Speaker 1: as oh, they caught Villanova at the right time. But man, 145 00:07:53,680 --> 00:07:57,880 Speaker 1: they killed Crayton and they took down Now let me 146 00:07:57,960 --> 00:08:01,679 Speaker 1: push back and now his story really list, is there 147 00:08:01,720 --> 00:08:05,040 Speaker 1: any correlation between teams that get hot and win their 148 00:08:05,560 --> 00:08:09,160 Speaker 1: their tournament UH conference tournament and then go into the 149 00:08:09,240 --> 00:08:11,160 Speaker 1: n c A Tournament and make a run, Because off 150 00:08:11,200 --> 00:08:14,080 Speaker 1: the top of my head, I feel like those teams 151 00:08:14,240 --> 00:08:17,840 Speaker 1: tend toward being public teams, but they shot their wad, 152 00:08:17,880 --> 00:08:20,200 Speaker 1: if you will, in the conference tournament. They had the 153 00:08:20,240 --> 00:08:23,160 Speaker 1: familiarity and then they come out and they don't do well. 154 00:08:23,200 --> 00:08:25,800 Speaker 1: Now I can't back that up with any hardcore data, 155 00:08:26,120 --> 00:08:28,440 Speaker 1: just as a guy who is heavy in the n 156 00:08:28,440 --> 00:08:31,680 Speaker 1: c A tournament the last you know, twenty years. For me, 157 00:08:31,800 --> 00:08:34,559 Speaker 1: I like Colorado here. I get the they get the 158 00:08:34,559 --> 00:08:37,880 Speaker 1: best guard in the court McKinley, who's money, and I 159 00:08:37,920 --> 00:08:40,400 Speaker 1: get a great free throw shooting team number two in 160 00:08:40,440 --> 00:08:43,079 Speaker 1: the country. I get the better three point shooting team. 161 00:08:43,400 --> 00:08:49,400 Speaker 1: Colorado eight wins list over tournament teams. Um, I love Georgetown. 162 00:08:49,440 --> 00:08:51,559 Speaker 1: I grew up rooting for Patrick Ewing and John Thompson. 163 00:08:52,280 --> 00:08:55,679 Speaker 1: I don't like the hoy is here. Well, first of all, 164 00:08:55,720 --> 00:08:57,880 Speaker 1: I'll agree with you. I mean, Colorado is the favorite, 165 00:08:57,920 --> 00:08:59,400 Speaker 1: and I think they should be the favorite four And 166 00:08:59,440 --> 00:09:02,120 Speaker 1: it looks like were like I would probably take George 167 00:09:02,160 --> 00:09:05,640 Speaker 1: own this points. Um. But you so you ask about that. 168 00:09:05,679 --> 00:09:07,360 Speaker 1: So I think there's a couple of things here. This 169 00:09:07,440 --> 00:09:10,440 Speaker 1: year we have to Power Conference teams on the twelve 170 00:09:10,440 --> 00:09:15,000 Speaker 1: seed line won their conference tournaments. UM, I say, I think, 171 00:09:15,040 --> 00:09:16,520 Speaker 1: and I don't have the numbers in front of you, 172 00:09:16,559 --> 00:09:19,040 Speaker 1: but if you go back, uh, if you get a 173 00:09:19,080 --> 00:09:22,200 Speaker 1: Power Conference team as a twelve, they've been very successful. 174 00:09:22,960 --> 00:09:26,360 Speaker 1: Two years ago when we had UH team rankings, I 175 00:09:26,400 --> 00:09:28,080 Speaker 1: wasn't there yet. But when they did the rankings from 176 00:09:28,080 --> 00:09:31,040 Speaker 1: the two thou nineteen tournament, uh, they basically adjusted Oregon 177 00:09:31,120 --> 00:09:34,559 Speaker 1: up in Oregon. They had Oregon as basically even with Wisconsin. 178 00:09:34,600 --> 00:09:36,560 Speaker 1: That year, if you recall, Oregon went to the Sweet 179 00:09:36,520 --> 00:09:38,720 Speaker 1: six team they were the only glow seed to make it. 180 00:09:38,920 --> 00:09:41,000 Speaker 1: And Oregon went on to run like George Towns doing. 181 00:09:41,040 --> 00:09:43,600 Speaker 1: They started playing so much better, they made lineup changes. 182 00:09:43,760 --> 00:09:46,559 Speaker 1: So I think the key is were there reasons why 183 00:09:46,760 --> 00:09:50,280 Speaker 1: or is it just random you know, performances. Um. But 184 00:09:50,360 --> 00:09:52,720 Speaker 1: a lot of times if these power conferences get teams 185 00:09:52,720 --> 00:09:55,480 Speaker 1: get to A twelve, it's because they went through a 186 00:09:56,080 --> 00:09:58,800 Speaker 1: gauntlet at the end of the season to get there. 187 00:09:58,840 --> 00:10:00,839 Speaker 1: You know, their overall resume is good enough to go higher. 188 00:10:00,920 --> 00:10:03,760 Speaker 1: They might not have gotten is at large, but they 189 00:10:03,800 --> 00:10:06,640 Speaker 1: beat teams at the end of the season. Oregan's one 190 00:10:07,480 --> 00:10:10,560 Speaker 1: I'm a Missouri grad back back in two thousand two, 191 00:10:10,559 --> 00:10:12,520 Speaker 1: Missouri was the only is the only twelve to reach 192 00:10:12,559 --> 00:10:16,560 Speaker 1: the Elite eight. That was an underperforming team all year 193 00:10:16,640 --> 00:10:19,800 Speaker 1: with Flynn Snyder. No, no, that was the uh the 194 00:10:19,880 --> 00:10:25,360 Speaker 1: rush and yes, and that team was underachieving all year 195 00:10:26,000 --> 00:10:28,600 Speaker 1: twelve and barely got in the tournament. And I think 196 00:10:28,600 --> 00:10:30,959 Speaker 1: they were like the last at large in and UH 197 00:10:31,080 --> 00:10:33,439 Speaker 1: went to the Elite eight. So I mean, first of all, 198 00:10:33,520 --> 00:10:35,319 Speaker 1: these Power Conference teams that get to A twelve have 199 00:10:35,480 --> 00:10:42,440 Speaker 1: probably played better then their overall numbers dictate again they're underdogs. Uh. 200 00:10:42,559 --> 00:10:45,040 Speaker 1: Same thing with Oregon State Tennessee. I like Tennessee probably 201 00:10:45,040 --> 00:10:48,000 Speaker 1: in that one, but watch, watch, watch the health of 202 00:10:48,000 --> 00:10:50,600 Speaker 1: Folcuson and just Tennessee has been great if they have 203 00:10:50,679 --> 00:10:54,079 Speaker 1: all their starters, but focuson took that concussion, took that hit, 204 00:10:54,200 --> 00:10:57,720 Speaker 1: that elbow in the SEC tournament and missed the missed 205 00:10:57,720 --> 00:10:59,800 Speaker 1: the game they lost, and so just keep an eye 206 00:10:59,840 --> 00:11:02,240 Speaker 1: on that, but they'll be favored. Now. One to really 207 00:11:02,280 --> 00:11:05,160 Speaker 1: watch is Villanova. I mean they got they got I've 208 00:11:05,160 --> 00:11:08,520 Speaker 1: based on reputation, I think, but that's just dangerous because 209 00:11:08,520 --> 00:11:13,400 Speaker 1: they haven't. They played two pretty mediocre games without there, 210 00:11:13,480 --> 00:11:17,320 Speaker 1: I would say below average games without he's a senior leader. 211 00:11:17,400 --> 00:11:20,000 Speaker 1: Right now, Whent went through. I don't know if there's 212 00:11:20,080 --> 00:11:21,440 Speaker 1: I don't know if win them could do it. They 213 00:11:21,440 --> 00:11:23,400 Speaker 1: have one loss. They played in the Big South. Big 214 00:11:23,400 --> 00:11:28,720 Speaker 1: South is not at you, but their their point guard 215 00:11:28,800 --> 00:11:31,200 Speaker 1: is six seven and if you watch a video of him, 216 00:11:31,240 --> 00:11:33,160 Speaker 1: he makes some nice passes. But yeah, they're definitely an 217 00:11:33,240 --> 00:11:36,720 Speaker 1: underdog Villanova. You still expect him to win, but they're vulnerable. 218 00:11:36,840 --> 00:11:39,839 Speaker 1: And that is now their third game in that situation. 219 00:11:39,880 --> 00:11:41,760 Speaker 1: Now one I'll tell you to watch Force. It's not 220 00:11:41,800 --> 00:11:45,600 Speaker 1: on the twelve five line, eleven six Utah State Texas 221 00:11:45,679 --> 00:11:49,600 Speaker 1: tech Um. Just because you talk Utall State, you know 222 00:11:49,760 --> 00:11:51,360 Speaker 1: some will argue whether they should have got in, but 223 00:11:51,400 --> 00:11:53,720 Speaker 1: they've played a lot better when they have their five 224 00:11:53,760 --> 00:11:57,320 Speaker 1: starters in. Their two worst games were in November in 225 00:11:57,320 --> 00:12:00,840 Speaker 1: in that neutral um, that tournament they held in South Dakota. 226 00:12:01,200 --> 00:12:02,599 Speaker 1: I'm trying to think what it was. But there was 227 00:12:02,640 --> 00:12:06,760 Speaker 1: a tournament they lost like their first two games badly. Um, 228 00:12:06,800 --> 00:12:09,120 Speaker 1: but since they've had when they have all five starters 229 00:12:09,160 --> 00:12:11,559 Speaker 1: that started the championship game and started to win over 230 00:12:11,600 --> 00:12:15,040 Speaker 1: Colorado State. I mean, they're a legit team that can 231 00:12:15,080 --> 00:12:18,440 Speaker 1: beat a power conference team, and I suspect that's a 232 00:12:18,440 --> 00:12:21,719 Speaker 1: game where the line is going to be very short. Interesting. Now, 233 00:12:21,840 --> 00:12:25,880 Speaker 1: I really like this Texas Tech team. The things I'm 234 00:12:25,880 --> 00:12:28,160 Speaker 1: looking for, and again it's not a blanket list, but 235 00:12:28,840 --> 00:12:32,680 Speaker 1: good coach who has proven a lot Chris Beard excellent coach. Um, 236 00:12:32,800 --> 00:12:35,880 Speaker 1: good guard play. I think Texas Tech has good guard 237 00:12:35,920 --> 00:12:40,160 Speaker 1: play and you know, history, a recent history, and what 238 00:12:40,200 --> 00:12:44,480 Speaker 1: they did two years ago obviously phenomenal. I like Texas Tech. 239 00:12:44,520 --> 00:12:47,760 Speaker 1: Obviously the big kid uh Kada for Utah State is 240 00:12:47,760 --> 00:12:50,560 Speaker 1: a superstar. I don't know if they have the guard 241 00:12:50,640 --> 00:12:52,679 Speaker 1: play to hang with Texas Tech. By the way, I 242 00:12:52,720 --> 00:12:55,840 Speaker 1: did bet the under in that game. Um, it's gonna 243 00:12:55,840 --> 00:12:57,680 Speaker 1: be a rock fight, right, that will be a slugfest 244 00:12:58,120 --> 00:13:00,839 Speaker 1: probably in the fifties. Yeah, I'll just say that. You 245 00:13:00,960 --> 00:13:07,920 Speaker 1: never you know, I've done research on UH teams and 246 00:13:08,000 --> 00:13:10,960 Speaker 1: picking and coaches and success and whether you should bake 247 00:13:11,040 --> 00:13:14,920 Speaker 1: on past tournament success or failure. I guess the thought there. 248 00:13:15,000 --> 00:13:17,240 Speaker 1: I mean there's lots of great coaches. I mean Beard 249 00:13:17,240 --> 00:13:19,600 Speaker 1: took them to the final in the last tournament two nine. 250 00:13:20,200 --> 00:13:22,080 Speaker 1: But you never know, I mean Texas. This Texas tex 251 00:13:22,160 --> 00:13:25,440 Speaker 1: team has probably underachieved a little bit. They lost pretty 252 00:13:25,480 --> 00:13:27,960 Speaker 1: much every key game down the stretch. I was kind 253 00:13:27,960 --> 00:13:31,280 Speaker 1: of surprised they got a six based on their results. 254 00:13:31,320 --> 00:13:34,160 Speaker 1: Now based on quality, no, but based on their results 255 00:13:34,200 --> 00:13:37,079 Speaker 1: they had. They had lost UM pretty much every game 256 00:13:37,080 --> 00:13:40,480 Speaker 1: down the stretch to good teams. Now Ken Real Quick 257 00:13:40,520 --> 00:13:45,240 Speaker 1: Quick Ken Palm has that one UM sixty sixty three. 258 00:13:45,679 --> 00:13:48,400 Speaker 1: So a very close game, as you said, between you know, 259 00:13:48,720 --> 00:13:52,280 Speaker 1: low scoring and between you know, two really good defenses. 260 00:13:52,720 --> 00:13:55,480 Speaker 1: UM to to find the last win for Texas Tech 261 00:13:55,520 --> 00:13:59,360 Speaker 1: over a tournament team, it was Texas. Uh last month 262 00:13:59,760 --> 00:14:01,760 Speaker 1: they beat Texas, and Texas has been up and down, 263 00:14:02,040 --> 00:14:05,800 Speaker 1: but overall, I'm quickly curious when a team plays in 264 00:14:05,840 --> 00:14:08,480 Speaker 1: a good conference. I consider the Big twelve really loaded 265 00:14:08,520 --> 00:14:11,160 Speaker 1: this year. UM maybe not loaded like the Big ten, 266 00:14:11,520 --> 00:14:14,120 Speaker 1: but how much do you give that a bump up? 267 00:14:14,360 --> 00:14:16,120 Speaker 1: Because we were seeing a lot of teams. I mean, 268 00:14:16,200 --> 00:14:17,680 Speaker 1: let's go I'm going through some of these teams and 269 00:14:17,760 --> 00:14:20,840 Speaker 1: you're looking at the schedules, you're playing nobody, like the 270 00:14:20,880 --> 00:14:23,600 Speaker 1: non conference was brutal this year. How much do I 271 00:14:23,640 --> 00:14:26,280 Speaker 1: give it about Here's what I would say, I trust, 272 00:14:26,400 --> 00:14:29,560 Speaker 1: I trust the numbers when you adjust for schedule and teams. Um. 273 00:14:29,600 --> 00:14:31,480 Speaker 1: I think teams that pay in some of the big 274 00:14:31,520 --> 00:14:33,840 Speaker 1: conference can be overrated in some of those senses. You 275 00:14:33,880 --> 00:14:36,880 Speaker 1: can often find value with these teams like b YU 276 00:14:37,040 --> 00:14:40,680 Speaker 1: or San Diego State, especially because here's the thing. If 277 00:14:40,680 --> 00:14:44,640 Speaker 1: you're picking a tournament, um, So there's difference between we're 278 00:14:44,640 --> 00:14:48,040 Speaker 1: talking betting on games just straight up individual games versus 279 00:14:48,040 --> 00:14:50,040 Speaker 1: playing a bracket and bracket you want to know what 280 00:14:50,080 --> 00:14:52,560 Speaker 1: other people are picking, and if people have biases where 281 00:14:52,560 --> 00:14:55,000 Speaker 1: they favor certain name brands, and so if you want 282 00:14:55,000 --> 00:14:57,040 Speaker 1: to you want to find those teams that that maybe 283 00:14:57,200 --> 00:15:00,560 Speaker 1: the public doesn't appreciate as much. So certainly try to 284 00:15:00,560 --> 00:15:02,720 Speaker 1: get your hands on public pick infil that's one of 285 00:15:02,760 --> 00:15:05,760 Speaker 1: the things we get and we used to drive our recommendations. 286 00:15:06,040 --> 00:15:08,320 Speaker 1: We try to find where people are picking and where 287 00:15:08,320 --> 00:15:11,640 Speaker 1: there's value versus the betting market on you know, somebody 288 00:15:12,000 --> 00:15:14,200 Speaker 1: the public just doesn't know about this team whatever it 289 00:15:14,240 --> 00:15:18,040 Speaker 1: may be, Loyal or Chicago b y U, whoever it is. 290 00:15:18,080 --> 00:15:24,200 Speaker 1: That's um certainly got results that justify, you know, being 291 00:15:24,280 --> 00:15:26,040 Speaker 1: right there with the big boys, but maybe didn't play 292 00:15:26,080 --> 00:15:29,120 Speaker 1: the flashy schedule. So who would you say are some 293 00:15:29,200 --> 00:15:32,880 Speaker 1: of the more public teams coming in? Obviously Gonzaga is 294 00:15:32,880 --> 00:15:36,280 Speaker 1: going to be super public. UM. I feel like Michigan 295 00:15:36,360 --> 00:15:38,400 Speaker 1: is still gonna be public. I don't know if everybody 296 00:15:38,480 --> 00:15:43,640 Speaker 1: understands the loss of the their second lady's whore livers Um. 297 00:15:43,720 --> 00:15:47,360 Speaker 1: Without him, they looked kind of ordinary. I don't know 298 00:15:47,400 --> 00:15:49,560 Speaker 1: about that team. I know their top ten in offense 299 00:15:49,600 --> 00:15:52,560 Speaker 1: and defense for Ken Palm, and everybody loves them. Let's 300 00:15:52,640 --> 00:15:57,240 Speaker 1: where are you on Michigan right now? Uh, we are 301 00:15:57,280 --> 00:16:00,720 Speaker 1: adjusting them down right now. We've made adjustments. We were 302 00:16:00,720 --> 00:16:02,120 Speaker 1: going to adjust them up by the way, I mean, 303 00:16:02,160 --> 00:16:05,760 Speaker 1: based on their role numbers, because they had played, um, 304 00:16:05,800 --> 00:16:08,160 Speaker 1: you know, they had some of their I guess relatively 305 00:16:08,200 --> 00:16:11,920 Speaker 1: worst performances before the injury. We're back in early December, 306 00:16:11,960 --> 00:16:14,880 Speaker 1: before they really committed to Hunter Dickinson and really you know, 307 00:16:14,920 --> 00:16:17,400 Speaker 1: committed to him as a starter, and he took off 308 00:16:17,680 --> 00:16:21,200 Speaker 1: the freshman center from Michigan. Who's made them a dominant team, 309 00:16:21,280 --> 00:16:23,480 Speaker 1: but they also are not a deep team. They're like 310 00:16:23,560 --> 00:16:26,400 Speaker 1: Villanovan that since they play six, six to seven guys, 311 00:16:26,920 --> 00:16:29,920 Speaker 1: he was playing over thirty minutes. He's their most versatile defender. 312 00:16:30,160 --> 00:16:34,240 Speaker 1: He's their best outside shooter along with Wagner. Um. So 313 00:16:34,320 --> 00:16:37,840 Speaker 1: I mean they are a risk now they could they've 314 00:16:37,840 --> 00:16:40,840 Speaker 1: got I mean, there's three really good players on that team. Still, 315 00:16:40,880 --> 00:16:43,160 Speaker 1: It's not like they can't do it. But they are 316 00:16:43,160 --> 00:16:45,520 Speaker 1: not the team that got the one seed right and 317 00:16:45,520 --> 00:16:48,920 Speaker 1: and and and I mean for Jawe Howard, I don't 318 00:16:48,920 --> 00:16:51,320 Speaker 1: think he's ever coached in see a tournament game. Um, 319 00:16:51,400 --> 00:16:53,160 Speaker 1: does that factor in it all? Or? Can? You could? 320 00:16:53,200 --> 00:16:54,920 Speaker 1: Can you bump them up or down because of that? 321 00:16:55,480 --> 00:16:58,720 Speaker 1: You know, I'm not you never know how those things go. 322 00:16:58,880 --> 00:17:03,520 Speaker 1: I don't know, because I mean I can probably point 323 00:17:03,560 --> 00:17:06,960 Speaker 1: to uh had Kevin Ollie, how much did he coach 324 00:17:07,000 --> 00:17:09,120 Speaker 1: before they went on their turney round? Great point? Yeah, 325 00:17:09,480 --> 00:17:13,000 Speaker 1: I don't know. Yeah, that's a good one. So I 326 00:17:13,040 --> 00:17:15,040 Speaker 1: mean who knows on that? But I think it's more 327 00:17:15,119 --> 00:17:17,120 Speaker 1: just a concern that you know, they don't have the 328 00:17:17,119 --> 00:17:20,320 Speaker 1: there's a team with short short depth at least who 329 00:17:20,320 --> 00:17:23,840 Speaker 1: they've chosen to play, and uh, we don't know how 330 00:17:23,880 --> 00:17:25,800 Speaker 1: it impacts them. They played what a half or a 331 00:17:25,800 --> 00:17:27,879 Speaker 1: game one? Yeah? I think I think a game in 332 00:17:28,080 --> 00:17:31,280 Speaker 1: a little bit. Yeah yeah. And so, um, if you're 333 00:17:31,280 --> 00:17:33,680 Speaker 1: in a bracket, I suspect the public isn't gonna be 334 00:17:33,760 --> 00:17:35,640 Speaker 1: fully on board, like you said. I bet their pick 335 00:17:35,720 --> 00:17:38,240 Speaker 1: rate is gonna be higher than their odds if you 336 00:17:38,359 --> 00:17:41,120 Speaker 1: really tried to handicap how it is. All right, Well, 337 00:17:41,160 --> 00:17:43,040 Speaker 1: well let me ask you. Then look at that quadrant. 338 00:17:43,040 --> 00:17:45,760 Speaker 1: Michigan is the one, then L s U and the 339 00:17:45,800 --> 00:17:48,679 Speaker 1: Bonnies are eight nine. That's a close game. I like 340 00:17:48,880 --> 00:17:50,880 Speaker 1: L s U a lot as a team. I don't 341 00:17:50,880 --> 00:17:53,680 Speaker 1: know about in that one Colorado Georgetown F. S U. 342 00:17:54,560 --> 00:17:58,280 Speaker 1: Greensboro of that quadrant. If if you're gonna win your bracket, 343 00:17:58,359 --> 00:18:00,960 Speaker 1: there will be some chalk elsewhere. What do you think 344 00:18:01,040 --> 00:18:05,159 Speaker 1: is the smart play there? Uh, well, it depends on 345 00:18:05,240 --> 00:18:07,879 Speaker 1: what kind of brackets you're in. Um, but that that 346 00:18:08,040 --> 00:18:11,080 Speaker 1: eastern that East region, that Michigan is the one seed 347 00:18:11,119 --> 00:18:13,639 Speaker 1: in that quadrant, and then the other half of that 348 00:18:13,720 --> 00:18:17,640 Speaker 1: region is probably the most balanced region where it would 349 00:18:17,680 --> 00:18:21,160 Speaker 1: not surprise me if some teams outside the top two 350 00:18:21,240 --> 00:18:24,240 Speaker 1: or three emerged and went on a run, and there's 351 00:18:24,359 --> 00:18:27,159 Speaker 1: there's several reasons for that. Now, Michigan has the advantage 352 00:18:27,280 --> 00:18:30,200 Speaker 1: and Alabama have the advantage in that they get a 353 00:18:30,240 --> 00:18:32,400 Speaker 1: weak opponent to start off, so they don't they aren't 354 00:18:32,560 --> 00:18:34,920 Speaker 1: risk right L s U. You gotta get through St 355 00:18:34,920 --> 00:18:38,000 Speaker 1: bonifican l s you can beat Michigan, but they could 356 00:18:38,000 --> 00:18:41,600 Speaker 1: also get knocked off by a a decent St. Bonificial 357 00:18:41,640 --> 00:18:43,199 Speaker 1: team that has played better down the stret Now I 358 00:18:43,240 --> 00:18:45,240 Speaker 1: favor l s U in that game, but you know 359 00:18:45,280 --> 00:18:48,399 Speaker 1: an upset could happen there, which then hurts you and 360 00:18:48,400 --> 00:18:50,760 Speaker 1: trying to project LSU to go deeper. So so you 361 00:18:50,800 --> 00:18:53,040 Speaker 1: gotta balance risk. If you're in a small pool, you 362 00:18:53,080 --> 00:18:55,280 Speaker 1: want to you wanna probably stay chalky, but as you 363 00:18:55,320 --> 00:18:58,080 Speaker 1: get you know, if you're playing in a large pool, UM, 364 00:18:58,119 --> 00:19:00,679 Speaker 1: I see value on l s U, I see value 365 00:19:00,800 --> 00:19:03,760 Speaker 1: on Yukon. On the other side, uk has played great 366 00:19:04,359 --> 00:19:07,040 Speaker 1: with James big Knight. When he was out he missed 367 00:19:07,080 --> 00:19:09,440 Speaker 1: eight games. There were four and four and that that's 368 00:19:09,440 --> 00:19:12,080 Speaker 1: why they were seven seed because the games he missed, 369 00:19:12,359 --> 00:19:15,480 Speaker 1: they've played like a top ten team UM with him, 370 00:19:15,600 --> 00:19:18,440 Speaker 1: and so that's a that's a fantastic matchup in the 371 00:19:18,440 --> 00:19:20,080 Speaker 1: second round on that side of the bracket. Let me 372 00:19:20,800 --> 00:19:24,359 Speaker 1: quickly go back to L. S u UM. It looks 373 00:19:24,440 --> 00:19:29,960 Speaker 1: like they're favored by two, and Ken Palm has St. 374 00:19:30,040 --> 00:19:35,400 Speaker 1: Bonaventure winning, So some of the numbers favored the Bonnies, 375 00:19:36,040 --> 00:19:38,080 Speaker 1: but L s U is a slight favorite. I'm assuming 376 00:19:38,119 --> 00:19:40,399 Speaker 1: that's because the public probably won't be coming in on 377 00:19:40,440 --> 00:19:42,800 Speaker 1: the bodies. And a lot of people just watched that L. 378 00:19:42,920 --> 00:19:47,360 Speaker 1: S u UM Alabama game on Selection Sunday. People who 379 00:19:47,359 --> 00:19:49,520 Speaker 1: haven't watched L s U at all probably watched that 380 00:19:49,600 --> 00:19:51,520 Speaker 1: game and they're like, damn, L s You's got a 381 00:19:51,560 --> 00:19:53,520 Speaker 1: lottery pick in Cam Thomas and a couple other guys 382 00:19:53,560 --> 00:19:57,120 Speaker 1: who can get buckets. I like L s U. You know, well, 383 00:19:57,200 --> 00:19:59,040 Speaker 1: i'ld say. One of the things we do at team 384 00:19:59,119 --> 00:20:02,560 Speaker 1: rankings is we uh That's what I've been doing for 385 00:20:02,600 --> 00:20:04,399 Speaker 1: the last weekend. When I was just working on tonight, 386 00:20:04,920 --> 00:20:07,280 Speaker 1: we went, we dug through all sixty eight teams. You know, 387 00:20:07,359 --> 00:20:09,240 Speaker 1: I could project who most of them would be coming 388 00:20:09,240 --> 00:20:12,280 Speaker 1: into today, so I had them prepped. Um, we dig 389 00:20:12,359 --> 00:20:14,440 Speaker 1: in and so like when kim Pom, when you say 390 00:20:14,480 --> 00:20:17,359 Speaker 1: kim Pom has them seventy three whatever, that's based on 391 00:20:17,400 --> 00:20:20,560 Speaker 1: the full season, every game counting the name, right, But 392 00:20:20,640 --> 00:20:23,160 Speaker 1: if you dig in and you look at l s U, 393 00:20:23,240 --> 00:20:26,280 Speaker 1: they've had some injuries that have impacted them more so 394 00:20:26,359 --> 00:20:29,320 Speaker 1: than the bodies. They've had, things like where their overall 395 00:20:29,440 --> 00:20:31,879 Speaker 1: rating maybe a little lower than their true quality because 396 00:20:31,880 --> 00:20:35,200 Speaker 1: of things that have impacted them. And so when they 397 00:20:35,200 --> 00:20:39,040 Speaker 1: have their full complement of starters, they're the better team 398 00:20:39,200 --> 00:20:41,360 Speaker 1: that we We are adjusting l s u's rating up 399 00:20:41,359 --> 00:20:44,400 Speaker 1: because of looking at their results with all their starters 400 00:20:44,440 --> 00:20:46,720 Speaker 1: playing versus some games where they had some guys out. 401 00:20:47,240 --> 00:20:49,760 Speaker 1: And so that's why we have l s U above 402 00:20:50,400 --> 00:20:52,399 Speaker 1: and we'll be projecting them as as a team, and 403 00:20:52,400 --> 00:20:54,720 Speaker 1: I suspect that's why the betting market does as well. Yes, 404 00:20:54,880 --> 00:20:57,480 Speaker 1: I would agree. Now Florida State real quick, just to 405 00:20:57,480 --> 00:21:00,720 Speaker 1: wrap up that quadrant. Any thoughts on the seven Knowles who? 406 00:21:01,160 --> 00:21:04,200 Speaker 1: I thought they were a little disappointing in the SEC tournament, 407 00:21:04,240 --> 00:21:07,199 Speaker 1: but it was disjointed, you know, there was the COVID stuff. 408 00:21:07,720 --> 00:21:11,040 Speaker 1: Um F s U has been pretty good the last 409 00:21:11,080 --> 00:21:13,919 Speaker 1: few years. I don't really know what to make of 410 00:21:13,920 --> 00:21:16,040 Speaker 1: this team, confession I I don't I don't get this 411 00:21:16,119 --> 00:21:19,560 Speaker 1: FSU team. Yeah. This, uh, well, first of all, so 412 00:21:19,600 --> 00:21:21,119 Speaker 1: I don't know you could take anything out of the 413 00:21:21,119 --> 00:21:24,520 Speaker 1: a SEC tournament. Florida State gotta buy then beating North 414 00:21:24,560 --> 00:21:27,320 Speaker 1: Carolina and then Georgia Tech got a day off and 415 00:21:27,359 --> 00:21:30,040 Speaker 1: played Florida State. I mean it was so disjointed in 416 00:21:30,760 --> 00:21:33,119 Speaker 1: you know, the SEC tournament. I don't know how much 417 00:21:33,160 --> 00:21:35,640 Speaker 1: you take just from those uh, their first round game. 418 00:21:35,680 --> 00:21:37,680 Speaker 1: I mean Florida State here, here's what they've got going 419 00:21:37,680 --> 00:21:40,680 Speaker 1: for him there deep, they don't rely on any one 420 00:21:40,680 --> 00:21:45,399 Speaker 1: particular player. They've been somewhat inconsistent, so you may they 421 00:21:45,440 --> 00:21:47,440 Speaker 1: could play at a high level with anybody, I think, 422 00:21:47,720 --> 00:21:50,920 Speaker 1: but they also, um, I've been in consistent that first 423 00:21:51,000 --> 00:21:54,640 Speaker 1: round game. I Saiah Miller UNC Greensboro great guard penetrator. 424 00:21:55,119 --> 00:21:58,520 Speaker 1: I just worry, uh with that matchup, Florida State's length 425 00:21:58,600 --> 00:22:01,719 Speaker 1: and depth, sucker will eat him up. I do know 426 00:22:01,840 --> 00:22:04,560 Speaker 1: M J. Walker, I've been I followed his career, UM 427 00:22:04,640 --> 00:22:08,080 Speaker 1: because it's a great matchup for UNC Greensboro. Yeah, I 428 00:22:08,080 --> 00:22:11,040 Speaker 1: would agree, So I I'm with you. I like f 429 00:22:11,119 --> 00:22:13,480 Speaker 1: SU there. But if again, if you're in a small 430 00:22:13,520 --> 00:22:17,240 Speaker 1: bracket contest, you know, thirty guys hunterdbucks of bracket, I 431 00:22:18,240 --> 00:22:20,680 Speaker 1: think there's probably some value on f s you coming 432 00:22:20,720 --> 00:22:23,520 Speaker 1: out of that bracket or that quade, I should say, 433 00:22:23,560 --> 00:22:26,520 Speaker 1: I think that might. We're gonna see our our numbers 434 00:22:26,560 --> 00:22:28,680 Speaker 1: when we run them all, because sometimes you can't think 435 00:22:28,680 --> 00:22:31,919 Speaker 1: through all the possibilities, right, because they get UNC Greensboro 436 00:22:32,880 --> 00:22:36,560 Speaker 1: versus Colorado getting Georgetown. I know you like Colorado that game, 437 00:22:36,600 --> 00:22:38,960 Speaker 1: but there's more risk there, right, Colorado is more likely 438 00:22:39,000 --> 00:22:42,160 Speaker 1: to lose, which which opens up Florida State's path more 439 00:22:42,240 --> 00:22:45,240 Speaker 1: than vice versa. All right, let's well, let's stick there 440 00:22:45,280 --> 00:22:47,399 Speaker 1: and let me ask you about this Michigan State U 441 00:22:47,400 --> 00:22:49,160 Speaker 1: c l A game, which is gonna get a lot 442 00:22:49,240 --> 00:22:53,240 Speaker 1: of bets simply because of the name brand quality list. 443 00:22:53,280 --> 00:22:55,440 Speaker 1: I was poking around on these teams. Bottom line, they 444 00:22:55,440 --> 00:22:58,679 Speaker 1: both stink. I mean I watched a lot of U 445 00:22:58,680 --> 00:22:59,760 Speaker 1: c l A out here. I know some of the 446 00:22:59,760 --> 00:23:02,640 Speaker 1: guys on the team, given some friends I got out here. 447 00:23:02,680 --> 00:23:06,280 Speaker 1: They're just not that good. They're just not I would 448 00:23:06,320 --> 00:23:10,480 Speaker 1: I would um disagree. Well, yeah, U c l A. 449 00:23:10,560 --> 00:23:13,040 Speaker 1: I I honestly had him as the last team in 450 00:23:13,520 --> 00:23:16,080 Speaker 1: and thought when when the Brackett was being revealed, when 451 00:23:16,119 --> 00:23:19,040 Speaker 1: you saw Witch Tall and State and Drake up, and 452 00:23:19,080 --> 00:23:22,240 Speaker 1: then we saw Utah State make it. I was thinking 453 00:23:22,280 --> 00:23:24,360 Speaker 1: us Shell lee A was the team out because they've 454 00:23:24,359 --> 00:23:29,160 Speaker 1: only beat one tournament team, Colorado at home. I thought 455 00:23:29,160 --> 00:23:31,159 Speaker 1: they were out because they let Oregon State win the 456 00:23:31,160 --> 00:23:34,080 Speaker 1: auto bid and blew it for themselves. I honestly did. Um. 457 00:23:34,119 --> 00:23:36,920 Speaker 1: And then it was Louisville who was out instead. So usual. 458 00:23:37,200 --> 00:23:41,679 Speaker 1: I like Michigan State uh in this game, um, because 459 00:23:41,720 --> 00:23:44,080 Speaker 1: they've been inconsistent, but at least they beat They played 460 00:23:44,119 --> 00:23:48,120 Speaker 1: better recently their form uh. You know, they were wrecked 461 00:23:48,160 --> 00:23:53,320 Speaker 1: by covid Izo had it missed the preseason, um, you know, 462 00:23:53,359 --> 00:23:55,960 Speaker 1: and then they had a pause and they they came 463 00:23:55,960 --> 00:23:59,200 Speaker 1: back from their first game from covid pause uh and 464 00:23:59,480 --> 00:24:03,280 Speaker 1: scored third seven points against records. And so that's pulling 465 00:24:03,280 --> 00:24:06,080 Speaker 1: their numbers down. That was a thirty point loss. They're 466 00:24:06,119 --> 00:24:08,560 Speaker 1: playing better since then. They beat They beat three teams 467 00:24:08,560 --> 00:24:10,320 Speaker 1: that are on the two seed line or one seed 468 00:24:10,320 --> 00:24:14,640 Speaker 1: line in the last what month? So I mean usually 469 00:24:14,680 --> 00:24:16,679 Speaker 1: had some injuries. Who who was their point guard? They 470 00:24:16,720 --> 00:24:19,360 Speaker 1: lost somebody early in the year, right, Um, yeah they did. 471 00:24:19,400 --> 00:24:21,640 Speaker 1: They did lose. Um. Let me see, let me pull 472 00:24:21,720 --> 00:24:25,080 Speaker 1: up his name. Uh it was a singleton, no Christmas 473 00:24:26,000 --> 00:24:29,840 Speaker 1: Christmas Smith. Okay, Smith is a big guy. Yeah, and 474 00:24:29,840 --> 00:24:32,800 Speaker 1: then they've had a couple of injuries. You're right, Cody 475 00:24:32,920 --> 00:24:35,359 Speaker 1: Riley did miss a game, but he's back, and Johnny 476 00:24:35,440 --> 00:24:37,879 Speaker 1: Jase has been out. Um, I mean they they've just 477 00:24:37,880 --> 00:24:41,320 Speaker 1: been inconsistent. They've they've certainly not not finished strongly. Of 478 00:24:41,359 --> 00:24:44,399 Speaker 1: course it's us. I mean, I think it's name Brandon 479 00:24:44,440 --> 00:24:47,280 Speaker 1: McK mccronin. I think he's a good coach Historically, what 480 00:24:47,400 --> 00:24:51,639 Speaker 1: was he at Cincinnati and he did some he always won, right, 481 00:24:51,800 --> 00:24:55,600 Speaker 1: I felt like he over delivered with inferior talent at 482 00:24:55,640 --> 00:24:57,960 Speaker 1: Cincinnati in the tournament. Every year they'd win like one 483 00:24:58,080 --> 00:25:00,960 Speaker 1: game they shouldn't have won. At least it felt that way. Um, 484 00:25:00,960 --> 00:25:03,000 Speaker 1: but I'm with you. I go is oh here, But 485 00:25:03,080 --> 00:25:05,160 Speaker 1: then you know, b y use the team you mentioned 486 00:25:05,160 --> 00:25:08,200 Speaker 1: to be over text, sell, sell the audience on b 487 00:25:08,440 --> 00:25:13,560 Speaker 1: Y you making a run. Um. So here's here's the 488 00:25:13,600 --> 00:25:16,640 Speaker 1: main thing. There's really not that much difference in power 489 00:25:16,680 --> 00:25:19,000 Speaker 1: rating that we have between them in Texas. I think 490 00:25:19,000 --> 00:25:21,879 Speaker 1: Texas slightly had it would be a slide upset. And 491 00:25:22,080 --> 00:25:24,560 Speaker 1: obviously b y U has the tougher first round draw, 492 00:25:24,760 --> 00:25:28,040 Speaker 1: so their their chances of getting through or a little 493 00:25:28,119 --> 00:25:29,840 Speaker 1: less because of that, and so there's it's a little 494 00:25:29,840 --> 00:25:32,320 Speaker 1: more risk. Um. And so in the in a small pool, 495 00:25:32,320 --> 00:25:34,560 Speaker 1: maybe you don't take that risk, but again in a 496 00:25:34,600 --> 00:25:36,800 Speaker 1: bigger bracket pool it might be one want to consider. 497 00:25:36,840 --> 00:25:39,399 Speaker 1: Here's why b y U, though, is rated almost nearly 498 00:25:39,440 --> 00:25:42,000 Speaker 1: as good they. I mean, hey, they played a tough 499 00:25:42,000 --> 00:25:45,320 Speaker 1: schedule and by overall numbers they're in the top twenty 500 00:25:45,359 --> 00:25:49,119 Speaker 1: on kim palm uh in our ratings and on the 501 00:25:49,160 --> 00:25:52,200 Speaker 1: net and all that stuff. But they played better since 502 00:25:52,240 --> 00:25:55,400 Speaker 1: they've basically made some adjustments. Um Getty and George moved 503 00:25:55,400 --> 00:25:58,480 Speaker 1: into the lineup about in mid January, and then a 504 00:25:58,640 --> 00:26:01,639 Speaker 1: freshman named Caleb Blowner who really an offensive rebounding machine. 505 00:26:01,640 --> 00:26:05,240 Speaker 1: So they have linked up front. Played Matt Harms, the 506 00:26:05,359 --> 00:26:09,120 Speaker 1: transfer from Purdue Ivan Drago. Everybody knows him, Yes, he's 507 00:26:09,200 --> 00:26:11,439 Speaker 1: and he's played more minutes lately, and he is a 508 00:26:11,480 --> 00:26:14,080 Speaker 1: shot blocker. Now, um, so this is b y U 509 00:26:14,160 --> 00:26:18,399 Speaker 1: team unlike most you teams are just shooters. Yeah, you 510 00:26:18,440 --> 00:26:22,159 Speaker 1: know obviously that the only child's and he was solid 511 00:26:22,160 --> 00:26:25,040 Speaker 1: post player. But Harms brings a shot blocking element that 512 00:26:25,080 --> 00:26:28,639 Speaker 1: b y U doesn't usually have. And uh Loner is 513 00:26:28,680 --> 00:26:32,639 Speaker 1: a defensive rebounding machine. And so they have that defensive 514 00:26:32,680 --> 00:26:35,880 Speaker 1: toughness and shot blocking and limiting teams. And to go 515 00:26:36,040 --> 00:26:38,760 Speaker 1: with the great shooters, they can put around those guys 516 00:26:38,760 --> 00:26:41,320 Speaker 1: at guard. And so I mean, this is a team 517 00:26:41,359 --> 00:26:44,720 Speaker 1: that legit can compete with the big boys. Okay, so 518 00:26:45,119 --> 00:26:47,800 Speaker 1: let me let me give you my Texas spiel. Okay, 519 00:26:47,840 --> 00:26:51,440 Speaker 1: Shaka Smart, we know what he's done at VCU. Good coach. 520 00:26:51,480 --> 00:26:53,240 Speaker 1: He struggled to Texas the last couple of years, but 521 00:26:53,400 --> 00:26:58,000 Speaker 1: a big adjustment. Um I look at their backcourt. Obviously 522 00:26:58,080 --> 00:27:02,080 Speaker 1: Jones is great and Coleman is outstanding. You've got two 523 00:27:02,400 --> 00:27:05,639 Speaker 1: lottery picks in Greg Brown and uh Kai Jones. And 524 00:27:05,640 --> 00:27:08,840 Speaker 1: then the kid Jericho Sims. Who I mean, do you 525 00:27:08,880 --> 00:27:10,800 Speaker 1: see him and you're like, what, man, my gosh, what 526 00:27:11,000 --> 00:27:13,399 Speaker 1: what is that? He's an animal? Guy's huge. He was 527 00:27:13,440 --> 00:27:17,119 Speaker 1: a monster in the you know, the Big twelve tournament. 528 00:27:17,600 --> 00:27:21,680 Speaker 1: I like the talent on this team, but maybe I'm 529 00:27:21,720 --> 00:27:25,480 Speaker 1: missing something like Brown barely played in their final game 530 00:27:26,520 --> 00:27:30,480 Speaker 1: against Oklahoma State simply because of matchups. Um So I 531 00:27:30,760 --> 00:27:32,840 Speaker 1: don't know, tell me where are you on Texas? Because 532 00:27:32,880 --> 00:27:35,600 Speaker 1: I feel like this is a team I fully could 533 00:27:35,760 --> 00:27:38,560 Speaker 1: confess I'm a multiple bracket guy. I'm a twenty bracket 534 00:27:38,560 --> 00:27:41,440 Speaker 1: guy and put him in many many contests. People mock 535 00:27:41,560 --> 00:27:44,600 Speaker 1: that that's fine, but list I guarantee you I'll have 536 00:27:44,640 --> 00:27:46,560 Speaker 1: Texas winning the title and making the final four. And 537 00:27:46,560 --> 00:27:49,040 Speaker 1: like my brackets, h I would suggest that that's a 538 00:27:49,080 --> 00:27:52,159 Speaker 1: bit of a bold move. I would suggest we probably 539 00:27:52,160 --> 00:27:54,520 Speaker 1: aren't giving out Texas as a as a recommendation in 540 00:27:54,600 --> 00:27:58,760 Speaker 1: our pools. Um. I mean Texas is a good team. 541 00:27:59,040 --> 00:28:02,040 Speaker 1: Don't get me wrong, I don't they can. They can 542 00:28:02,080 --> 00:28:03,680 Speaker 1: make the final four out of this region, just like 543 00:28:03,720 --> 00:28:05,560 Speaker 1: I think a lot of other teams in this region 544 00:28:05,560 --> 00:28:09,280 Speaker 1: can because Michigan is diminished with the injury U and 545 00:28:09,400 --> 00:28:11,360 Speaker 1: so I think that opens the door for a lot 546 00:28:11,359 --> 00:28:13,800 Speaker 1: of teams that are pretty solid, and Texas has been that. 547 00:28:14,160 --> 00:28:17,119 Speaker 1: Texas has been like you can need your Maylox if 548 00:28:17,119 --> 00:28:18,920 Speaker 1: you watch them. By the way, I think every game 549 00:28:18,960 --> 00:28:22,359 Speaker 1: with Texas comes down to like the final minute, every 550 00:28:22,400 --> 00:28:25,200 Speaker 1: single game. Just look back at all their results, close 551 00:28:25,240 --> 00:28:28,600 Speaker 1: game anytime they play another tournament team, whether that somebody 552 00:28:28,840 --> 00:28:30,960 Speaker 1: gets a big lead, that it gets close. So they 553 00:28:31,000 --> 00:28:33,399 Speaker 1: aren't a dominant team that's blowing the doors off of 554 00:28:33,400 --> 00:28:35,680 Speaker 1: other tournament teams. It's going to be a close game 555 00:28:35,760 --> 00:28:37,560 Speaker 1: one way or the other, and so they're gonna have 556 00:28:37,560 --> 00:28:41,080 Speaker 1: to survive a bunch of those. All right, So we've 557 00:28:41,080 --> 00:28:44,120 Speaker 1: basically broken down that bracket. Alan. We didn't touch on 558 00:28:44,160 --> 00:28:47,400 Speaker 1: Alabama or Yukon Maryland. Uh. You mentioned the kid at 559 00:28:47,680 --> 00:28:51,520 Speaker 1: book night at Yukon can turn it on and you know, 560 00:28:51,560 --> 00:28:54,840 Speaker 1: pump in thirty five and carry Connecticut. But Alabama is 561 00:28:54,960 --> 00:28:58,920 Speaker 1: really good, man, they are. I know they're a football school, 562 00:28:58,920 --> 00:29:01,000 Speaker 1: and it was like, Alabama, don't know. I'm just they 563 00:29:01,040 --> 00:29:06,240 Speaker 1: have like six guys that are just flexible. Yes, it 564 00:29:06,520 --> 00:29:08,880 Speaker 1: lights out that that when they get hot, they are 565 00:29:08,920 --> 00:29:11,800 Speaker 1: tough to beat. The teams that beat him. By the way, 566 00:29:11,800 --> 00:29:13,760 Speaker 1: this isn't our notes, I said. I was preparing if 567 00:29:13,800 --> 00:29:16,120 Speaker 1: if you, if you're a subscriber to team rankings, not 568 00:29:16,160 --> 00:29:19,480 Speaker 1: only do you get your your picks and recommendations, but 569 00:29:19,520 --> 00:29:21,640 Speaker 1: you get access to all the notes I've been working on. 570 00:29:21,720 --> 00:29:24,600 Speaker 1: And Uh, with Alabama, the teams that beat them, I 571 00:29:24,600 --> 00:29:26,960 Speaker 1: think they have six losses. It hasn't been because they've 572 00:29:27,000 --> 00:29:30,120 Speaker 1: given up threes, and it hasn't necessarily been because they 573 00:29:30,160 --> 00:29:32,000 Speaker 1: shot poorly from outside. The teams that have beat them 574 00:29:32,000 --> 00:29:34,080 Speaker 1: have been all teams that can beat them up inside 575 00:29:34,800 --> 00:29:37,840 Speaker 1: by driving and by getting points in the paint. They 576 00:29:37,880 --> 00:29:39,920 Speaker 1: have been I think they've only given up average of 577 00:29:40,240 --> 00:29:42,600 Speaker 1: like five threes in the games they've lost. That's not 578 00:29:42,640 --> 00:29:45,760 Speaker 1: a lot. Usually teams that lose it's because teams get hot, 579 00:29:45,800 --> 00:29:48,480 Speaker 1: they beat them, you know from outside, uh, teams that 580 00:29:48,560 --> 00:29:51,320 Speaker 1: have beaten Alabama. The formula is to beat them up 581 00:29:51,320 --> 00:29:53,280 Speaker 1: in the paint. And so if they face any of 582 00:29:53,280 --> 00:29:55,480 Speaker 1: those matchups, I think, and because they are a team 583 00:29:55,520 --> 00:29:57,000 Speaker 1: that relies on the three point shot, if they go 584 00:29:57,080 --> 00:30:02,920 Speaker 1: cold so real quick, Connecticut, Maryland, no bigs there. Texas 585 00:30:03,080 --> 00:30:05,280 Speaker 1: would be a problem obviously. The big kid at Michigan 586 00:30:05,280 --> 00:30:08,880 Speaker 1: a problem. Um Alabama not a bad option to get 587 00:30:08,880 --> 00:30:10,480 Speaker 1: out of there, all right, Which brackor do you want 588 00:30:10,480 --> 00:30:12,000 Speaker 1: to go to next? I feel like we don't even 589 00:30:12,040 --> 00:30:17,560 Speaker 1: need to touch on Gonzagas list. I mean, I can't 590 00:30:17,600 --> 00:30:19,720 Speaker 1: even I'm struggling to make a case, but I will 591 00:30:19,800 --> 00:30:24,400 Speaker 1: say that Brackett also has the most opportunities for double 592 00:30:24,440 --> 00:30:27,160 Speaker 1: digit seeds to pull upsets. I like Drake to beat 593 00:30:27,160 --> 00:30:30,440 Speaker 1: Wichita and then Draco push USC. I think Ohio over 594 00:30:30,520 --> 00:30:36,840 Speaker 1: Virginia and UCSB over Craighton. Do you like any of those. Uh, Drake, Drake, 595 00:30:36,960 --> 00:30:39,680 Speaker 1: you knew who's available Himphil and pen have been out. 596 00:30:39,720 --> 00:30:43,920 Speaker 1: I think there Honestly, their resume put them in, but 597 00:30:44,760 --> 00:30:47,120 Speaker 1: I'm not sure there's a tournament team with the injuries. Yeah, 598 00:30:47,160 --> 00:30:50,360 Speaker 1: ok if Mpill's back. They made noises like he could 599 00:30:50,360 --> 00:30:52,479 Speaker 1: be back. He's the leading scorer and and he missed 600 00:30:52,960 --> 00:30:56,480 Speaker 1: I think the last month. Um, yeah, I'm in Miszoograd. 601 00:30:56,520 --> 00:30:58,160 Speaker 1: By the way, they're the nine seed in that region 602 00:30:58,160 --> 00:31:00,720 Speaker 1: with Oklahoma, they are not beating Gonzaga. I'll just go 603 00:31:00,720 --> 00:31:05,080 Speaker 1: ahead and stake my wait, do they beat in Oklahoma? Um? 604 00:31:05,080 --> 00:31:07,800 Speaker 1: Maybe because Oklahoma has been playing poorly too. I mean 605 00:31:07,880 --> 00:31:11,080 Speaker 1: Oklahoma is not playing well, and so I honestly I 606 00:31:11,080 --> 00:31:13,480 Speaker 1: think not only is Gonzaga the favorite. I'll just say 607 00:31:13,520 --> 00:31:16,920 Speaker 1: this right now. If you if you said which eight 608 00:31:17,000 --> 00:31:19,520 Speaker 1: nine matchup would you want in your region? If I 609 00:31:19,560 --> 00:31:22,520 Speaker 1: was a one seed, I would want Oklahoma Missouri winner 610 00:31:22,680 --> 00:31:26,040 Speaker 1: versus say, well, who's barely got North Carolina and uh 611 00:31:26,400 --> 00:31:29,440 Speaker 1: Wisconsin Scott. Yeah, I would not want that the winner 612 00:31:29,560 --> 00:31:31,360 Speaker 1: whoever came out of that game. I wouldn't want to 613 00:31:32,200 --> 00:31:37,360 Speaker 1: Illinois has Igo. If I was Illinois, Yeah, well, Chicago's 614 00:31:37,440 --> 00:31:39,640 Speaker 1: legit team. They obviously we know they made a run 615 00:31:40,320 --> 00:31:42,200 Speaker 1: three years ago when they were last in the tournament. 616 00:31:42,200 --> 00:31:45,160 Speaker 1: And they are a hard nosed defensive team, the kind 617 00:31:45,200 --> 00:31:49,600 Speaker 1: that can frustrate you. Um, you know. Uh. And Michigan 618 00:31:49,600 --> 00:31:52,320 Speaker 1: has l s U lurking in their bracket. I mean, 619 00:31:54,000 --> 00:31:56,160 Speaker 1: not only best team, but they have a good draw. 620 00:31:56,480 --> 00:31:59,080 Speaker 1: Let me at conspiracy theorist. Did the n c A 621 00:31:59,360 --> 00:32:02,960 Speaker 1: set it up? Gonzaga can win a couple be undefeated 622 00:32:03,280 --> 00:32:05,960 Speaker 1: you No, I guess at this point and let the 623 00:32:06,040 --> 00:32:09,160 Speaker 1: hype build. Will this be the first unbeaten because Sweet 624 00:32:09,160 --> 00:32:13,800 Speaker 1: sixteen list, I mean Craighton, UCSB, Virginia, Ohio, none of 625 00:32:13,800 --> 00:32:18,800 Speaker 1: them are coming within ten points of Gonzaga. Um no, 626 00:32:18,880 --> 00:32:21,840 Speaker 1: I mean, I'm not a conspiracy theory guy. Um, I 627 00:32:22,160 --> 00:32:25,080 Speaker 1: think they ended up with that because who knows. I mean, 628 00:32:25,760 --> 00:32:27,760 Speaker 1: they're they're they're They're not in the Power Conference. So 629 00:32:27,800 --> 00:32:29,320 Speaker 1: you get it. You get an SEC team in a 630 00:32:29,320 --> 00:32:32,360 Speaker 1: Big twelve team that gets to come in your quarter. Um, 631 00:32:32,440 --> 00:32:35,000 Speaker 1: I guess. But yeah, they got a great draw. I 632 00:32:35,040 --> 00:32:36,880 Speaker 1: mean I think they put I think they did put 633 00:32:36,920 --> 00:32:40,520 Speaker 1: Virginia there, and Kansas is the four seeds on that side, 634 00:32:40,560 --> 00:32:43,040 Speaker 1: because that's the that's the side of the bracket that's 635 00:32:43,080 --> 00:32:46,560 Speaker 1: gonna play on Saturday. Monday. They gave. They basically gave 636 00:32:46,640 --> 00:32:48,480 Speaker 1: an extra day. So that's how Virginia end up was 637 00:32:48,520 --> 00:32:51,520 Speaker 1: their four seed. I think, um, so, if you want 638 00:32:51,560 --> 00:32:53,360 Speaker 1: to think there's a conspiration on that, I mean, there's 639 00:32:53,360 --> 00:32:55,920 Speaker 1: a possibility Virginia didn't show up, by the way, right, yeah, 640 00:32:56,080 --> 00:32:58,040 Speaker 1: I think you do. You're the one who texted me 641 00:32:58,080 --> 00:33:01,200 Speaker 1: that they're not practicing until Thursday. I think somebody was 642 00:33:01,200 --> 00:33:04,480 Speaker 1: tweeting about that and they said yeah. Um and so, 643 00:33:05,160 --> 00:33:08,320 Speaker 1: I mean, gosh, imagine if Virginia gets replaced by Louisville 644 00:33:08,360 --> 00:33:11,120 Speaker 1: in that region. I don't know if Louisville is even good. 645 00:33:11,120 --> 00:33:12,280 Speaker 1: Are they Well, I guess they'd have to do that 646 00:33:12,280 --> 00:33:14,239 Speaker 1: by Tuesday night. Louisville is the first team out. They 647 00:33:14,240 --> 00:33:16,560 Speaker 1: would be the team that replaces somebody by Tuesday night 648 00:33:16,560 --> 00:33:18,840 Speaker 1: if a team has to pull out. Okay, let me 649 00:33:18,880 --> 00:33:22,600 Speaker 1: ask you, Iowa Hawkeyes uh to me to my naked eye, 650 00:33:22,720 --> 00:33:26,800 Speaker 1: my uh, my weak eye. I think this is the 651 00:33:26,800 --> 00:33:29,440 Speaker 1: weakest number two seed in the tournament. I'm not buying them. 652 00:33:29,480 --> 00:33:32,600 Speaker 1: I think Oregon gets them in game two. Your thoughts 653 00:33:32,600 --> 00:33:37,200 Speaker 1: on Iowa Iowa and I mean, obviously anything can happen, 654 00:33:37,240 --> 00:33:44,280 Speaker 1: but uh, Iowa has shooters. Um, they have played better 655 00:33:44,320 --> 00:33:47,640 Speaker 1: defensively lately. I was gonna be probably the fourth or 656 00:33:47,680 --> 00:33:50,920 Speaker 1: fifth highest power rated team in this in this field, 657 00:33:51,640 --> 00:33:55,000 Speaker 1: but if you go by the power ratings and Oregans 658 00:33:55,000 --> 00:33:57,240 Speaker 1: played better. Don't don't get me wrong, Oregan is getting 659 00:33:57,240 --> 00:33:59,640 Speaker 1: a bump in our rating. They played better since Duarte 660 00:33:59,680 --> 00:34:02,040 Speaker 1: came back because they went since they went to a 661 00:34:02,080 --> 00:34:04,480 Speaker 1: lineup where they basically have all shooters on the court. 662 00:34:05,040 --> 00:34:07,400 Speaker 1: And obviously they got tripped up by Oregon State, but 663 00:34:07,400 --> 00:34:12,080 Speaker 1: they they're a better team than they were in early January. Yeah, 664 00:34:12,120 --> 00:34:14,759 Speaker 1: so so you still like Iowa the last I feel 665 00:34:14,800 --> 00:34:16,680 Speaker 1: like the last couple of weeks I've watched them, the 666 00:34:16,719 --> 00:34:19,480 Speaker 1: bloom is off the rows. It just looks like it's 667 00:34:19,560 --> 00:34:23,719 Speaker 1: Luca Garza and a bunch of guys who have not 668 00:34:23,840 --> 00:34:26,640 Speaker 1: played well. And what am I missing well? And they've 669 00:34:26,680 --> 00:34:30,879 Speaker 1: had some injuries, They've had some guys out, Uh you know, so, um, 670 00:34:31,120 --> 00:34:34,120 Speaker 1: I'm trying to think of the forward uh C J. 671 00:34:34,200 --> 00:34:37,200 Speaker 1: Frederick was battled to knee injury and that impacted him. 672 00:34:37,960 --> 00:34:41,200 Speaker 1: I mean they've also played they didn't they beat Ohio 673 00:34:41,280 --> 00:34:44,000 Speaker 1: State they do have some quality with but defending the 674 00:34:44,120 --> 00:34:48,319 Speaker 1: three is one of their big weaknesses. And Oregon is 675 00:34:48,400 --> 00:34:50,879 Speaker 1: top twenty in the country making threes. Like you said, 676 00:34:51,440 --> 00:34:55,640 Speaker 1: from a matchup perspective, to me, you get Oregon, Dana Altman, 677 00:34:55,680 --> 00:34:58,200 Speaker 1: who's I think the last three times they've been in 678 00:34:58,200 --> 00:35:02,560 Speaker 1: the tournament where like Sweet sixteen, final four. Like Oregon 679 00:35:02,560 --> 00:35:04,479 Speaker 1: as a team personally, I don't know how they lost 680 00:35:04,480 --> 00:35:07,560 Speaker 1: Oregon State. I did not watch that tournament game. Uh, 681 00:35:07,600 --> 00:35:10,080 Speaker 1: they had beaten them uh in the regular season and 682 00:35:10,080 --> 00:35:12,839 Speaker 1: then I don't know what happened. But Oregon Iowa? Does 683 00:35:12,880 --> 00:35:18,120 Speaker 1: that interest you? Um? Yeah, I mean Oregon absolutely could 684 00:35:18,120 --> 00:35:19,960 Speaker 1: pull up. So they're good seven seed. I would say 685 00:35:20,000 --> 00:35:21,959 Speaker 1: they're an above average seven seed for sure. They could. 686 00:35:21,960 --> 00:35:24,520 Speaker 1: They could certainly have gotten seed higher. I didn't think 687 00:35:24,640 --> 00:35:28,640 Speaker 1: I was. I mean I was a really good team 688 00:35:28,640 --> 00:35:30,959 Speaker 1: on offense. I mean you talked about the three points, 689 00:35:31,120 --> 00:35:34,160 Speaker 1: but they can carve people up. Um, they've been the 690 00:35:34,239 --> 00:35:36,640 Speaker 1: only team they couldn't compete with it was GONZAA and 691 00:35:36,800 --> 00:35:40,040 Speaker 1: that's the region. They're understandable. Alright. What does team rankings 692 00:35:40,040 --> 00:35:45,120 Speaker 1: say about Baylor's bracket? Uh? U n C Wisconsin feels 693 00:35:45,239 --> 00:35:47,799 Speaker 1: kind of like a slug fest. Um, I feel like 694 00:35:47,880 --> 00:35:49,839 Speaker 1: UNC beats them up inside and then it has kind 695 00:35:49,880 --> 00:35:53,280 Speaker 1: of a chance against Baylor, which is then inside for sure. 696 00:35:53,440 --> 00:35:55,400 Speaker 1: I mean Baylor hadn't been playing their best, but there. 697 00:35:55,440 --> 00:35:57,200 Speaker 1: I mean, I'd still favor them. I wouldn't. I would 698 00:35:57,200 --> 00:36:00,120 Speaker 1: not pick that in the Practeta Bowl, Um, individual Lee, 699 00:36:00,239 --> 00:36:06,879 Speaker 1: I would take UM. You know, let's see North Carolina 700 00:36:07,480 --> 00:36:16,680 Speaker 1: versus I mean, I guess i'd lean on Wisconsin obviously. 701 00:36:17,080 --> 00:36:19,920 Speaker 1: Here here's the thing about Wisconsin. Uh, the rate higherly 702 00:36:19,960 --> 00:36:22,239 Speaker 1: in kim palm. I think it's probably a little too high. 703 00:36:22,640 --> 00:36:25,239 Speaker 1: They blew out because part of it, they blew out 704 00:36:25,239 --> 00:36:27,200 Speaker 1: Louisville when Louisville is coming off COVID pause and playing 705 00:36:27,200 --> 00:36:31,040 Speaker 1: without Carly Jones. Wisconsin doesn't beat teams by forty five 706 00:36:31,360 --> 00:36:33,719 Speaker 1: like that. There's a reason for it, and that's that's 707 00:36:33,760 --> 00:36:37,600 Speaker 1: pulled their rating up at Wisconsin also, UH struggled, I 708 00:36:37,640 --> 00:36:39,920 Speaker 1: won't say struggled. They played close, but they could not 709 00:36:40,000 --> 00:36:42,120 Speaker 1: beat the big boys in the Big Ten. They lost 710 00:36:42,120 --> 00:36:45,000 Speaker 1: pretty much every game against him down the stretch. Uh. 711 00:36:45,040 --> 00:36:48,240 Speaker 1: So there's two schools out there in Wisconsin's kind of variable. Um, 712 00:36:48,360 --> 00:36:51,960 Speaker 1: they could get out of Big Ten conference play and 713 00:36:52,000 --> 00:36:54,480 Speaker 1: suddenly find new life because they've been getting beat up 714 00:36:54,600 --> 00:36:57,319 Speaker 1: by all the teams that are one seed, or they could, 715 00:36:57,760 --> 00:36:59,719 Speaker 1: you know, be a team that's probably a little over 716 00:36:59,719 --> 00:37:02,640 Speaker 1: about it. But I would take Wisconsin in this one. 717 00:37:02,719 --> 00:37:05,279 Speaker 1: But I could, I mean North Carolina's front line if 718 00:37:05,360 --> 00:37:09,359 Speaker 1: if Wisconsin doesn't keep up the boards. All right, let's 719 00:37:09,360 --> 00:37:13,320 Speaker 1: wrap up with one more team. Cave Cunningham and Oklahoma State. 720 00:37:13,920 --> 00:37:16,320 Speaker 1: I feel like they got jobbed getting a four seed. 721 00:37:16,680 --> 00:37:21,319 Speaker 1: The bracket is lethal. I mean, Illinois Loyola is, you know, 722 00:37:21,360 --> 00:37:24,759 Speaker 1: the best eight seed according to all the stats, and 723 00:37:24,760 --> 00:37:26,719 Speaker 1: then Tennessee is pretty good in an Oregon state, as 724 00:37:26,760 --> 00:37:29,960 Speaker 1: you said, But Cave Cunningham, any shot, we see a 725 00:37:30,080 --> 00:37:34,239 Speaker 1: Kemba Walker Danny Manning type one man show. Oklahoma State 726 00:37:34,280 --> 00:37:38,279 Speaker 1: has guys, but everything flows through Cunningham. Of course there's 727 00:37:38,280 --> 00:37:42,480 Speaker 1: a shot um because they've they've played better lately. Uh. 728 00:37:42,640 --> 00:37:44,560 Speaker 1: First of all, I would say, I do think they 729 00:37:44,600 --> 00:37:48,160 Speaker 1: got jobbed on the seeding. I mean, just look at 730 00:37:48,160 --> 00:37:52,239 Speaker 1: that region. West Virginia is the three seed. Oklahoma State 731 00:37:52,239 --> 00:37:55,040 Speaker 1: has the better record. In the last three weeks, Oklahoma 732 00:37:55,040 --> 00:37:57,600 Speaker 1: State is beat West Virginia twice, including on the road, 733 00:37:57,640 --> 00:38:01,960 Speaker 1: without Cunningham and then Oklahoma State beat Baylor. And Oklahoma 734 00:38:01,960 --> 00:38:04,080 Speaker 1: State played Baylor three times this year. West Virginia only 735 00:38:04,120 --> 00:38:06,360 Speaker 1: had to play on once. I mean, I don't know 736 00:38:06,360 --> 00:38:11,319 Speaker 1: how the committee simply ceded West Virginia. It's it's one 737 00:38:11,320 --> 00:38:14,239 Speaker 1: thing to compare different conferences, but how did they put 738 00:38:14,320 --> 00:38:17,080 Speaker 1: West Virginia above Oklahoma State? I don't know. Is this 739 00:38:17,160 --> 00:38:20,240 Speaker 1: another conspiracy theory? Oklahoma State was supposed to be on probation, 740 00:38:20,320 --> 00:38:23,000 Speaker 1: was it not? They were, they were, and they appealed, 741 00:38:23,040 --> 00:38:25,120 Speaker 1: and so that they're in the tournament because they got 742 00:38:25,400 --> 00:38:28,239 Speaker 1: cutting game. Yes, yes, and then they stuck it to him. 743 00:38:28,239 --> 00:38:30,239 Speaker 1: All right. Well, so so here's what I would say. 744 00:38:30,280 --> 00:38:33,120 Speaker 1: I think there's about when I look at this bracket, 745 00:38:33,640 --> 00:38:36,959 Speaker 1: I suspect the public I haven't. We'll see the data 746 00:38:37,040 --> 00:38:40,000 Speaker 1: later tonight, middle of the night. I suspect the public 747 00:38:40,040 --> 00:38:42,719 Speaker 1: is gonna be heavy on Oklahoma State more so than 748 00:38:42,719 --> 00:38:45,120 Speaker 1: their power eating because they see the potential for a 749 00:38:45,120 --> 00:38:48,640 Speaker 1: Connecticut type run with Kimba Walker. That's what That's what 750 00:38:48,760 --> 00:38:50,719 Speaker 1: I think, you know, And there is that potential. They 751 00:38:50,800 --> 00:38:54,720 Speaker 1: played better, they beat Baylor, They've they've they've made lineup changes. 752 00:38:55,200 --> 00:39:00,560 Speaker 1: They're an improving young team Tennessee is a inconsistant team 753 00:39:00,600 --> 00:39:03,360 Speaker 1: but also very good when everybody's on. Tennessee is the 754 00:39:03,360 --> 00:39:05,440 Speaker 1: type of team that could be a sleeper. And because 755 00:39:05,520 --> 00:39:07,399 Speaker 1: loc Almo states in that region, I think there's there 756 00:39:07,440 --> 00:39:13,080 Speaker 1: might be some contrarian value in going with Tennessee. Alright, So, UM, 757 00:39:13,280 --> 00:39:14,719 Speaker 1: I want you, I want you to get people. So 758 00:39:15,000 --> 00:39:20,600 Speaker 1: if I go to Team Rankings tonight to sign up, Um, yeah, 759 00:39:21,239 --> 00:39:23,120 Speaker 1: I'm on the site now. It's it's pretty it's pretty 760 00:39:23,120 --> 00:39:26,879 Speaker 1: easy to navigate. Sign up, you get the bracket picks predictions. 761 00:39:27,120 --> 00:39:29,480 Speaker 1: It will help the gambling. This is great stuff list. 762 00:39:30,560 --> 00:39:32,080 Speaker 1: So yeah, you get in there. What what you what 763 00:39:32,120 --> 00:39:36,440 Speaker 1: you do is uh I mean pulpitsscriptions. Um, you can 764 00:39:36,760 --> 00:39:39,319 Speaker 1: there's there's probably some discounts there you can get signed up. 765 00:39:39,360 --> 00:39:41,440 Speaker 1: You get you can either get Match Madness picks alone, 766 00:39:41,760 --> 00:39:44,080 Speaker 1: or we do football picks a full season past all 767 00:39:44,120 --> 00:39:47,160 Speaker 1: that stuff. We do, survivor pools, we do everything. We 768 00:39:47,239 --> 00:39:51,840 Speaker 1: do college bull pools, um. And so with March Madness Picks, 769 00:39:51,880 --> 00:39:54,680 Speaker 1: you know you can go in as a cool feature 770 00:39:54,719 --> 00:39:57,520 Speaker 1: where you can load any number of pools. You sign up. 771 00:39:57,560 --> 00:40:00,520 Speaker 1: You tell us, I'm how many people are playing, what 772 00:40:00,600 --> 00:40:02,799 Speaker 1: your rules are? What the scoring system is, if you 773 00:40:02,800 --> 00:40:05,799 Speaker 1: get upset bonuses, all that stuff, and then we simulate 774 00:40:05,840 --> 00:40:07,879 Speaker 1: and we run it through and we say, given your 775 00:40:07,920 --> 00:40:11,080 Speaker 1: pool and your size, and how many price spots there are, 776 00:40:11,160 --> 00:40:13,719 Speaker 1: because you're gonna play it differently. If say you you 777 00:40:13,719 --> 00:40:16,000 Speaker 1: can finish in the top ten and get money versus 778 00:40:16,040 --> 00:40:17,640 Speaker 1: you've got to be a winner. You know, you have 779 00:40:17,719 --> 00:40:19,560 Speaker 1: to take different risks depending on what you can win. 780 00:40:19,840 --> 00:40:22,040 Speaker 1: We take all that into account, We give you customized, 781 00:40:22,440 --> 00:40:26,279 Speaker 1: customized advice for your pool settings and so um that's 782 00:40:26,280 --> 00:40:30,040 Speaker 1: in there. UM check it out. We will overnight be 783 00:40:30,160 --> 00:40:33,080 Speaker 1: running the simulations. We have like a bunch of seventeen 784 00:40:33,120 --> 00:40:37,400 Speaker 1: servers running right now. They will be running all the 785 00:40:37,440 --> 00:40:40,239 Speaker 1: simulations and they'll kick out percentages versus the and we'll 786 00:40:40,239 --> 00:40:42,120 Speaker 1: see the public pick data and we'll see where the 787 00:40:42,200 --> 00:40:46,759 Speaker 1: values are. And sometimes crazy stuff happens with these picks, like, 788 00:40:46,800 --> 00:40:50,279 Speaker 1: for example, if we have a lot of value else where, 789 00:40:50,280 --> 00:40:52,200 Speaker 1: we may be recommending good zaga. I don't know that 790 00:40:52,239 --> 00:40:55,120 Speaker 1: we are, I don't know where will be um, but 791 00:40:55,239 --> 00:40:58,359 Speaker 1: by by tomorrow morning, um or by later this week. 792 00:40:58,840 --> 00:41:01,839 Speaker 1: But if you value, if you're a better picker than 793 00:41:01,880 --> 00:41:06,479 Speaker 1: others in some other areas, then actually having the team 794 00:41:06,520 --> 00:41:10,359 Speaker 1: like Gonzaga as you're as the most likely champion. Um, 795 00:41:10,440 --> 00:41:12,480 Speaker 1: if you think you can beat people elsewhere, you might 796 00:41:12,760 --> 00:41:14,880 Speaker 1: be better off than say, picking a team that has 797 00:41:14,920 --> 00:41:16,760 Speaker 1: a five to ten percent chance to win the title, 798 00:41:17,280 --> 00:41:20,040 Speaker 1: because I mean the reason why people say don't do 799 00:41:20,080 --> 00:41:22,480 Speaker 1: that is well, then I'm competing with more people to 800 00:41:22,560 --> 00:41:25,040 Speaker 1: win even if Gonzaga wins. Well, if you're better than 801 00:41:25,080 --> 00:41:27,719 Speaker 1: those people, if you win more first round games, if 802 00:41:27,719 --> 00:41:30,200 Speaker 1: you get the eight nine games right more consistently, if 803 00:41:30,239 --> 00:41:32,480 Speaker 1: you get the seven ten games right, and if you 804 00:41:32,520 --> 00:41:34,800 Speaker 1: get the teams that are slightly undervalue to reach this 805 00:41:34,920 --> 00:41:38,000 Speaker 1: Week sixteen or the Elite eight. Um doesn't have to 806 00:41:38,000 --> 00:41:40,120 Speaker 1: be huge swings. It can be something like Texas over 807 00:41:40,120 --> 00:41:43,040 Speaker 1: Alabama or something like that, right, I mean the types 808 00:41:43,080 --> 00:41:46,080 Speaker 1: of calls that you gotta make. UM, you can you 809 00:41:46,080 --> 00:41:48,759 Speaker 1: can win those pools and maybe have edge even by 810 00:41:48,800 --> 00:41:51,560 Speaker 1: taking popular teams. So check in and see where we are. 811 00:41:51,600 --> 00:41:53,720 Speaker 1: My guess is Gonzaga is not going to be super 812 00:41:53,760 --> 00:41:56,000 Speaker 1: popular because they don't have the brand name. Now that'd 813 00:41:56,040 --> 00:41:58,160 Speaker 1: be the most popular team, but will they be so 814 00:41:58,800 --> 00:42:02,160 Speaker 1: immensely popular. This isn't gonna be Kentucky two thousand fifteen, 815 00:42:02,640 --> 00:42:06,919 Speaker 1: Kentucky was undefeated. I think people were picking Kentucky. We're 816 00:42:06,960 --> 00:42:09,719 Speaker 1: gonna see that this year. Uh. My guess is you're 817 00:42:09,719 --> 00:42:13,759 Speaker 1: gonna have plenty of people picking Illinois, Michigan, Baylor, plus 818 00:42:13,800 --> 00:42:16,200 Speaker 1: some of the two Steeds and maybe teams like Oklahoma 819 00:42:16,239 --> 00:42:18,800 Speaker 1: State and some of those, and it's gonna be spread 820 00:42:18,800 --> 00:42:21,520 Speaker 1: out more so. Anyways, Like, Illinois is gonna get a 821 00:42:21,640 --> 00:42:24,680 Speaker 1: lot of love, and I think they should. I think they. 822 00:42:24,760 --> 00:42:27,239 Speaker 1: If I were to pick a second favorite, Illinois would 823 00:42:27,239 --> 00:42:30,640 Speaker 1: probably be it. Huh. And I like Michigan's issues and 824 00:42:30,680 --> 00:42:33,360 Speaker 1: how Illinois finished the year. I like on team rankings 825 00:42:33,360 --> 00:42:36,200 Speaker 1: you have most likely upsets, money line picks. There's great 826 00:42:36,200 --> 00:42:39,239 Speaker 1: stuff here, so you guys need to definitely check it out. Uh. 827 00:42:39,280 --> 00:42:43,240 Speaker 1: You can follow him on a social media Jason lisk Um. 828 00:42:43,280 --> 00:42:45,680 Speaker 1: He's a Missouri guy, so route for Missouri. Right. Uh, 829 00:42:46,000 --> 00:42:47,520 Speaker 1: have you put any money on Missouri to win this 830 00:42:47,600 --> 00:42:51,879 Speaker 1: or no? Heck no? Alright, let's thanks for the time 831 00:42:51,920 --> 00:42:53,880 Speaker 1: and keep up the good work man. Ma