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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you happy? Monday?

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Speaker 2: Welcome in to another episode of the Daily Juice Podcast.

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Speaker 2: Will be Matt Parolt at sports doc Matt to follow

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Speaker 2: me across all socials. This podcasts being brought to you

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Speaker 2: by our friends at Omaha Steaks dot com. You're saving

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Speaker 2: don't sugcoat. I tell you guys the truth. Good bad,

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Speaker 2: we come, and every day we're here, I face the music.

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Speaker 2: When it was a bad day, and that was a

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Speaker 2: bad day.

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Speaker 1: We are now. This is nuts.

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Speaker 2: After the weekend, I'm twenty one and twelve in college football.

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Speaker 2: I'm up seven point seven units in college football. But

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Speaker 2: at least for me, I don't know about you guys,

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Speaker 2: but every year I either have a really good college

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Speaker 2: year or a really.

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Speaker 1: Good NFL year.

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Speaker 2: I can't think of a year where I was great

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Speaker 2: in both, and the coin will flip with both. Like

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Speaker 2: I'm not going to go ohn eighteen on or own

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Speaker 2: seventeen on Wong teasers, but I'm oh and three on

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Speaker 2: wong teasers more than that in a second. That won't continue.

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Speaker 2: But I also don't think I'm going to be up

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Speaker 2: like twenty five units in college football. Maybe I will be,

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Speaker 2: but through what four weeks from up seven units, I'm

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Speaker 2: now nine to fifteen in the NFL, down six units,

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Speaker 2: So I'm up seven and two point seven down six.

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Speaker 2: I mean, it's that's not good. That is bad in

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Speaker 2: the NFL, but that will change. I'm confident that we'll

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Speaker 2: get the NFL right, and that might come at the

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Speaker 2: cost of college I don't know. But college football has

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Speaker 2: been a good start. NFL football has been not unfortunately.

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Speaker 2: Prop bets ten and eight am up point two units

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Speaker 2: on prop bets, so not great. Three and one props

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Speaker 2: Yesterday long teaser misses the Jets did not cover. It

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Speaker 2: didn't matter there because the Jaguars didn't cover either. They

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Speaker 2: lost outright, so that thing was doa dead. The real

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Speaker 2: painting neck was the Ravens because not only did they

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Speaker 2: have a kick at the end for sixty one yards

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Speaker 2: that was dead on fall short, but then they had

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Speaker 2: the football at the end of the game in a

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Speaker 2: crucial third down situation sorry fourth down situation, and a

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Speaker 2: clear pass interference penalty should have come out, and it

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Speaker 2: did not, and it blew the whole game, and the

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Speaker 2: Colts win the game. It was a bloodbath for Survivor

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Speaker 2: pools yesterday. The Jaguars took out nearly forty percent of

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Speaker 2: the circus survivor themselves. If you were left over, the

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Speaker 2: Ravens and the Cowboys took you down as well. If

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Speaker 2: you did what I I thought you should have done

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Speaker 2: and just bet the Chiefs. You were kicking your heels

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Speaker 2: up and watching Taylor Swift dance in a luxury box

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Speaker 2: with Travis Kelsey's mom because you were loving life. It

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Speaker 2: was the easiest w ever. But that was a very

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Speaker 2: predictable play. I mean, that was my play for Survivor pools.

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Speaker 2: I was saying, Okay on BVB, you know I've gone

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Speaker 2: now in three weeks, I've gone Ravens, Bills, Chiefs. I'm

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Speaker 2: taking the good teams and you go all Matt. Who's

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Speaker 2: going to be left? I don't care who's left. I

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Speaker 2: don't worry about This is my advice to anybody who's

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Speaker 2: still alive in a Survivor pool. Do not worry about

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Speaker 2: who's left and keeping somebody alive unless you're playing in

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Speaker 2: the circus Survivor when they have those wonky rules. But

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Speaker 2: just a normal survivor, just pick winners, worry about the

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Speaker 2: overall strategic approach. If you get to Halloween and you're

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Speaker 2: still alive, and we're a ways away from Halloween, so

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Speaker 2: head's up there. And then look, I don't know what

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Speaker 2: the hell happened at the end of the Vikings game.

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Speaker 2: I don't understand how that game stayed under the football.

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Speaker 2: You had two possessions, I mean I don't. I can't

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Speaker 2: figure it out. Like they had two possessions, the Chargers

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Speaker 2: to score a touchdown a field goal if they kicked

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Speaker 2: a field goal, not that they should have, but if

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Speaker 2: they did, it goes over. I mean that if you

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Speaker 2: had the under. I know Pat Fitzmorris had the under

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Speaker 2: and I tipped the cat to him. I mean that

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Speaker 2: was a very sweaty, very difficult under to hit. The

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Speaker 2: over should have hits of the over hits there. And

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Speaker 2: then if the Ravens get the call. We had the

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Speaker 2: Chiefs tease down to six and a half, that was

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Speaker 2: a walk in the park. Easy w Ravens would have

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Speaker 2: hit that. We were going to three and oh on

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Speaker 2: my own teasers, and just victim of bad calls and

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Speaker 2: victim of just not you know, executing properly, and the

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Speaker 2: Ravens not doing what they should have done. They let

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Speaker 2: the Colts stay in the game, and they should have

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Speaker 2: taken advantage of numerous opportunities that they had. Lamar Jackson

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Speaker 2: was great, but he didn't get much help. The offensive

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Speaker 2: line was bad. I knew that going and that's why

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Speaker 2: I teased it down. I just didn't think the Ravens

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Speaker 2: will lose the game outright to the Colts.

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Speaker 1: So, you know, just a bad day.

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Speaker 2: Up three point one units going into the day, lost

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Speaker 2: three point one units on Sunday. That's a flat week.

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Speaker 2: And we start again here on a Monday, and we've

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Speaker 2: got two NFL football games to tell you guys about,

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Speaker 2: and I've got two plays, one in each game.

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Speaker 1: And I've got a.

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Speaker 2: Major League Baseball bet that I'm gonna give you guys

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Speaker 2: coming up here for today. So new week, let's continue,

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Speaker 2: let's see how we go, and let's you know, let's

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Speaker 2: start a new week and see if we can get

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Speaker 2: a winning week. We lost a little the week prior,

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Speaker 2: we were pretty much flat last week. So it's been

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Speaker 2: sort of. I'll go back and recap September after this month.

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Speaker 2: I don't I think we're up for the month, just

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Speaker 2: because I think the first week of September went pretty well,

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Speaker 2: Like I think Memorial Day or sorry, Labor Day went

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Speaker 2: pretty well that week. So I'll go back and recap

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Speaker 2: at all at the end of the month and give

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Speaker 2: you guys in October the first I'll give you a

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Speaker 2: full recount, a recap of how we died, how we

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Speaker 2: did in October. But I'm pretty sure people winning week

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Speaker 2: this week. I'm pretty sure we'll have a winning month.

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Speaker 2: But if you're a losing week, we could have a

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Speaker 2: losing month. So we'll see how how it all plays out.

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Speaker 2: But College bueno, NFL, no bueno. So take these bets

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Speaker 2: and do what you want with it. Let's start here

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Speaker 2: with the Buccaneers and their game against Philadelphia. Look the Eagles,

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Speaker 2: I don't know how good they are. Okay, yes they've

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Speaker 2: won both games they've played, but I wasn't that impressed

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Speaker 2: with either one.

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Speaker 1: Were you?

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Speaker 2: And if you were, you gotta kind of tell me why.

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Speaker 2: Like the Eagles are getting chewed up through the air.

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Speaker 2: Mac Jones kind of chewed them up through the air

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Speaker 2: in Week number one. The Eagles offensively, it's been okay,

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Speaker 2: it's not been amazing. Jalen Hurts has thrown for about

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Speaker 2: four hundred yards through two games so far. They're running

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Speaker 2: the ball, but the Bucks defense can do a pretty

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Speaker 2: good job of stop in the run. On the other side,

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Speaker 2: the Buccaneers offense, I probably gonna lose that bet on

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Speaker 2: under six and a half wins for the Bucks. That

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Speaker 2: was a play that I talked out with my co

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Speaker 2: host on the Bostonian versus of the book, and both

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Speaker 2: of us kind of came around to the same opinion

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Speaker 2: that we thought the Bucks were gonna be bad with

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Speaker 2: Baker Mayfield. I like Baker a lot. I'm happy for him.

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Speaker 2: Him and Mike Evans have been money. I mean, they've

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Speaker 2: been unbelievable. They're two to oh ats so far, and

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Speaker 2: I think their defense knows what's coming here. Stop the run,

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Speaker 2: make Philly throw AJ Brown's Brown the sidelines yelling and screaming.

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Speaker 2: I should know he's on my fans team. Everyone knows this, right,

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Speaker 2: You've got AJ Brown on your fans team. You're like,

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Speaker 2: what is going on? Not great vikings were pathetic last

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Speaker 2: week with turning the ball over. We saw how pathetic

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Speaker 2: they were this week. I mean, you know with what

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Speaker 2: happened with the Vikings this week, Vikings are row and three.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, you beat the Vikings and you beat the Patriots. Okay,

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Speaker 2: can you beat Tampa?

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Speaker 1: I don't know.

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Speaker 2: I don't know, but the number is five. I don't

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Speaker 2: think we're gonna see many points being scored in this game.

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Speaker 2: So I'm gonna same game tease this. Okay, I've been

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Speaker 2: pretty good hitting these I'm gonna give the Bucks eleven points.

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Speaker 2: They are five point dogs right now. I'm gonna give

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Speaker 2: them six points. I'm gonna go Buccaneers plus eleven, and

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Speaker 2: I think it's a low scoring game. So I'm just

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Speaker 2: gonna take the forty five and put it up to

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Speaker 2: fifty one and go under under fifty one. I mean

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Speaker 2: we've seen I mean even the Vikings game almost went

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Speaker 2: under fifty one, right, we hit fifty two.

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Speaker 1: So it's hard in the NFL.

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Speaker 2: When you get around fifty two, fifty three, fifty four,

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Speaker 2: it's hard to have games go over. It's happened. I

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Speaker 2: mean Chargers and the Dolphins. The Dolphins yesterday when they

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Speaker 2: hang hunk seventy they went over by themselves scored seventy points.

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Speaker 1: I mean, the.

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Speaker 2: Chiefs did what they did, so like, you have that

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Speaker 2: type of offensive explosion against really bad defenses. But neither

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Speaker 2: team has a bad defense here in this game, now not.

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Speaker 2: I mean, Todd Bowles is a defensive minded coach. He's

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Speaker 2: gonna know what's coming from the Eagles perspective, and stopping

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Speaker 2: Jalen Hurts is hard. But can the Eagles win by

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Speaker 2: fourteen points?

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Speaker 1: I don't know. I'm gonna say no.

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Speaker 2: One point two units minus one twenty same game teaser

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Speaker 2: bucks plus eleven under fifty one for one point two units.

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Speaker 2: Second play rams in the Bengals. This game opened up,

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Speaker 2: look with the idea that Joe Burrow was going to play.

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Speaker 2: Number was seven and a half. The line tells the story. Okay,

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Speaker 2: there are already certain books, some of our friends down

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Speaker 2: south have already gone to one and a half. What

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Speaker 2: does that tell us that Joe Burrow's not playing? Okay,

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Speaker 2: and the kid that's going to start is a guy

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Speaker 2: in Jake Browning who has no NFL experience. I mean,

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Speaker 2: this is not a guy you want to ride with. Okay,

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Speaker 2: So what will the Bengals do the Bengals will look

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Speaker 2: to run the football. Why the Rams have one of

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Speaker 2: the worst rush defenses in the NFL. They're averaging five

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Speaker 2: point three yards per rush given up. That's thirty first,

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Speaker 2: second last in the NFL. They're giving up one hundred

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Speaker 2: and twenty yards on the ground. That's twenty fourth in

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Speaker 2: the NFL. The Bengals four point zero yards per rush

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Speaker 2: is seventeenth best in the NFL. They're going to run

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Speaker 2: the ball, you know, eighty ninety yards on most days

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Speaker 2: because they've got a great passing attack and they're gonna

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Speaker 2: throw the ball. But Joe Burrow hasn't done anything because

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Speaker 2: Joe Burrow's not healthy, and I don't think Joe Burrow

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Speaker 2: is gonna play. I think the Bengals are gonna fall

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Speaker 2: to zero to three, and I think the Rams, who

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Speaker 2: have been very good out of the gate. The Rams

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Speaker 2: are one in one, but they're two in oats Rams

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Speaker 2: plus two. I think you can take the money line here.

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Speaker 2: I like what Matthew Stafford's looking like. I think Sean

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Speaker 2: McVay is kind of sneaky in this, like underdog. No

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Speaker 2: one thinks they're any good type of role.

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Speaker 1: You have.

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Speaker 2: Aaron Donald still on that defensive side of the football,

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Speaker 2: up against a quarterback who's never played against Aaron Donald's.

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Speaker 2: Good luck to that that's brood in primetime. On top

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Speaker 2: of that, Rams are scoring twenty six point five points

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Speaker 2: per game. That's tenth best, sorry, it's ninth best IN'SO

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Speaker 2: the top ten in the NFL. They're not running the

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Speaker 2: ball a lick, but they're throwing well, six point eight

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Speaker 2: yards is the top ten. They're throwing forty six passes

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Speaker 2: a game that's number two in the NFL. Three hundred

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Speaker 2: and fifteen and a half yards passing per game. That's

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Speaker 2: third best in the NFL. And the Bengals pass defense

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Speaker 2: is very good. I'm not saying that it's going to

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Speaker 2: be a blowout or you know it's going to be,

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Speaker 2: you know, a lopsided game. But I think with an

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Speaker 2: unproven quarterback going up against this defense, I'm going to

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Speaker 2: take Matthew Stafford in company. I'm going to take this

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Speaker 2: new look passing a tech even without Cooper Cup the

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Speaker 2: Rams are surprising some people. Rams plus two here for

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Speaker 2: one point one units. If you want to play money

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Speaker 2: line and just forget it, go right ahead, take money

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Speaker 2: line if you want. I'm not going to be, you know,

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Speaker 2: against it at all. Shop around, try to find some

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Speaker 2: value on moneyline here for that. But it's not it's

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Speaker 2: not a bad bet at all. I mean to go

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Speaker 2: ahead and say, let me see what the latest money

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Speaker 2: line price is here. It is plus anywhere from plus

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Speaker 2: one fifteen down to plus one oh five on the

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Speaker 2: money line, so you get a little plus money. Nothing

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Speaker 2: too crazy. In Vegas. It's mostly plus one ten across

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Speaker 2: the board. Circus at plus one fifteen plus one Caesars

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Speaker 2: is plus one fifteen draftckings. This is a lower plus

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Speaker 2: one oh five, so you can play moneyline if you want.

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Speaker 2: I'm just gonna take the two points because I've been

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Speaker 2: burned Falcons. I laid two points of the Falcons and

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Speaker 2: they won by one. So maybe the Bengals win by

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Speaker 2: one and I want those two points. I want that cushion,

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Speaker 2: so I'm gonna take it. Rams plus two for one

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Speaker 2: point one units, all right. Third and final bet Rangers

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Speaker 2: taking on the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim. John Gray

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Speaker 2: up against Patrick Sandeval. The Rangers just swept the Mariners.

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Speaker 2: They have a two and a half game lead in

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Speaker 2: the division. This is unreal. You want to talk about

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Speaker 2: coming out of nowhere.

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Speaker 1: The Rangers.

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Speaker 2: Three weeks ago, the Rangers were dead. I mean absolutely

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Speaker 2: one hundred percent dead. If you're a baseball fan and

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Speaker 2: I am, this is gonna be an unbelievable race the

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Speaker 2: wild card. In the American League, the Mariners start the

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Speaker 2: day a half a game behind the Astros. Guess who

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Speaker 2: they're playing, the Astros. You want a game to watch

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Speaker 2: if you don't like the football games, Astros, Mariners, Castillo

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Speaker 2: up against Verlander. That's a playoff game. Okay, total of

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Speaker 2: seven Aileen Mariners. But I'm gonna look to IND game.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna watch that. I'm gonna look to dgame.

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Speaker 1: Bet that on that. The Mariners are desperate.

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Speaker 2: But the Astros have lost three games in a row

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Speaker 2: as well, and they don't look right.

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Speaker 1: The Astros just do not look right.

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Speaker 2: The Mariners may just run into a really hot team

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Speaker 2: in the Rangers, but the Astros don't look right. In

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Speaker 2: the National League, the Marlins are a game out. The

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Speaker 2: Cubs are are in a spot to make the playoffs.

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Speaker 2: Cubs a two and seventy four Marlins eighty one and

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Speaker 2: seventy five will cash the over seventy six and a

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Speaker 2: half for the Marlins.

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Speaker 1: D Backs are half a.

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Speaker 2: Game up on the Cubs, game and a half up

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Speaker 2: on the Diamondbacks. Phillies aren't comfortably in position to make

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Speaker 2: a wild card berth at eighty seven and sixty nine,

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Speaker 2: but I mean Reds are going two and a half

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Speaker 2: games back. Reds, Marlins, Cubs, d Backs four teams for

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Speaker 2: two spots in the National League. Rangers up two and

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Speaker 2: a half games eighty seven and sixty eight.

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Speaker 1: They have a three game lead in.

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Speaker 2: The lost column between the Astros and the Mariners six

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Speaker 2: and four over the last ten. But they've won five

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Speaker 2: games in a row and the Rangers right now are

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Speaker 2: in prime position to win the American League West. Every

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Speaker 2: one of these games are super important for them. They

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Speaker 2: will wind up being the two seed and they'll get

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Speaker 2: a buye. I mean, that's nuts, given where they were

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Speaker 2: with Max. Max Schus are getting hurt and you know, obviously,

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Speaker 2: you know all the injuries pitching wise that they've suffered

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Speaker 2: through here this season.

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Speaker 1: Them winning the West unreal.

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Speaker 2: So Rangers are thirty six, thirty six and two to

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Speaker 2: the over flat on the road, but overall they're eighty three.

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Speaker 1: Sixty four and eight to the over. They're an over team.

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Speaker 2: The Angels are thirty seven, thirty six and two at home,

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Speaker 2: but on the year seventy nine sixty seven and one.

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Speaker 2: They are overall in over team. Gray on the mound

301
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Speaker 2: for the Rangers three point six to one Roady Ray.

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Speaker 2: He's given up three to three and five runs over

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Speaker 2: his last three road starts up against Sandoval, who is

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Speaker 2: a four point sixty six ERA at home. His last

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Speaker 2: three games in which he pitched at home ten to three,

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Speaker 2: eighteen four, eight to three. All those games have gone over.

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Speaker 2: In the three games in Anaheim between the Rangers and

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Speaker 2: the Angels, the combined total scores have been nine, eleven

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Speaker 2: and twenty four. So we're two to zero to one

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Speaker 2: to the total of nine here. I'm betting over Rangers

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Speaker 2: and the Angels over nine at minus one ten, let's

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Speaker 2: see runs being scored. I do lean towards the Rangers,

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Speaker 2: but I mean they've won five games in a row.

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Speaker 2: The Angels like playing spoiler. They've only won two of

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Speaker 2: their last eight. But the price is really expensive to

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Speaker 2: come in here on the Rangers. I mean it's minus

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Speaker 2: two oh five at latest. Look, let's it was two

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Speaker 2: oh five about an hour ago. Let's give you an

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Speaker 2: upd date number as to where we are here for

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Speaker 2: this game and this very small number of baseball games

321
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Speaker 2: to be played coming up here. The number is yeah,

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Speaker 2: I mean it's minus two hundred minus two five, minus

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Speaker 2: two ten. I mean it's yeah. I mean it's it's

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Speaker 2: a lot to go ahead and to jump in with that.

325
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Speaker 2: And you could say, well, Matt, why don't you just

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Speaker 2: bet the run line? Well, look, you're still laying juice

327
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Speaker 2: on the run line. I don't want to have a

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Speaker 2: five to four game, or a six to four game

329
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Speaker 2: or six y five game. Rather and the game goes

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Speaker 2: over and we lose because we're laying minus one twenty

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Speaker 2: on minus one and a half runs. I don't want

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Speaker 2: to do that, right, Just sit back and play the

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Speaker 2: over and not sweat that through. Over nine Rangers Angels

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Speaker 2: one point one units. Okay, three bets for us on

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Speaker 2: a Monday here on week number one, our day number

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Speaker 2: one of the week. Buccaneers plus eleven under fifty one

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Speaker 2: same game teaser at minus one twenty one point two

338
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Speaker 2: units down, Rams plus two one point one units down.

339
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Speaker 2: Rangers over nine against the Angels one point one units down,

340
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Speaker 2: so three point four units in play for us here

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Speaker 2: on a Monday. Let's go off to a good start here.

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Speaker 2: We've had kind of an up and down, bad break.

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Speaker 2: The coin's gonna flip here. Although we swept on Friday,

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Speaker 2: which was really nice. One on Saturday, but we could

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Speaker 2: have had a monster day if that could have been

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Speaker 2: a four and one day on Saturday, and that would

347
00:17:31,960 --> 00:17:33,639
Speaker 2: have been awesome, but we didn't get there, and then

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Speaker 2: bad breaks on Sunday cut up with us, and we

349
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Speaker 2: had a really rough day on Sunday. So flat week

350
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Speaker 2: last week. Let's get some big breaks, some good breaks

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Speaker 2: to go our way. Coming up this week here on

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Speaker 2: a Monday, and as Matt Parol's follow me across all

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Speaker 2: socials at Sports Talk Matt. Each and every morning, it

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Speaker 2: is the Diligence Podcast being brought to you by Omaha

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