WEBVTT - Trump Tax Cuts Rejected by House Panel as Hardliners Dig In

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio News. This is Bloomberg business Week,

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<v Speaker 1>Daily reporting from the magazine that helps global leaders stay

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<v Speaker 1>ahead with insight on the people, companies, and trends shaping

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<v Speaker 1>today's complex economy. Plus global business finance and tech news

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<v Speaker 1>as it happens. The Bloomberg Business Week Daily Podcast with

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<v Speaker 1>Carol Masser and Tim Stenebeck on Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 2>Let's now go to Washington for the latest from the Capitol,

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<v Speaker 2>where a key House committee on Friday failed to advance

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<v Speaker 2>House Republicans massive tax and spending bill. This after hardline

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<v Speaker 2>conservatives bucked President Trump and block the bill over cost concerns.

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<v Speaker 2>We got Joe Matthew with us. He's co host of

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<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg at Balance of Power. He joins us from our

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<v Speaker 2>Washington DC Bureau. Joe Representatives Chip Roy, Ralph Norman, Josh Breacon,

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<v Speaker 2>Andrew Clyde joined Democrats to vote against this.

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<v Speaker 3>What happens now, Well, that's a great question, and that's

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<v Speaker 3>the one we're all asking.

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<v Speaker 4>This happened right around noontime. Tim. It's great to be

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<v Speaker 4>with you today, and you know you're going to hear

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<v Speaker 4>a lot.

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<v Speaker 3>Of people speculate about the fate of this bill based

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<v Speaker 3>on this failure, and I won't try to do that

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<v Speaker 3>right now. What I will tell you is this is

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<v Speaker 3>not the way it's supposed to be done. This is

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<v Speaker 3>the easy part getting through committees, like the layup the

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<v Speaker 3>rubber stamp, and it's incredibly rare to see something fail

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<v Speaker 3>on this level. The fact that the chairman, Jody Errington,

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<v Speaker 3>even brought this to a vote, clearly knowing that he

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<v Speaker 3>didn't have the numbers is remarkable.

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<v Speaker 4>You mentioned Chip Roy, Ralph Norman.

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<v Speaker 3>These are frequent critics of legislation on Capitol Hill that

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<v Speaker 3>doesn't cut spending enough, and they know what it's like

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<v Speaker 3>to get a phone.

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<v Speaker 4>Call from Donald Trump. Well, just things can happen here,

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<v Speaker 4>you know what. Yeah, he's on the plane right now,

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<v Speaker 4>by the way.

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<v Speaker 3>I don't know if he's taken a nap, tim or

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<v Speaker 3>if he's actually on the phone with them, But this

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<v Speaker 3>could be a pretty dicey weekend for these guys as

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<v Speaker 3>they try to put the pieces back together. Well, that's

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<v Speaker 3>exactly where I wanted to go, Joe, because we saw

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<v Speaker 3>what happened in the last several months when Republican members

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<v Speaker 3>of Congress have not gotten on board all it takes

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<v Speaker 3>is maybe a phone call or too from the President,

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<v Speaker 3>perhaps even maybe from some of his allies or from

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<v Speaker 3>Speaker Johnson. What's the president's next move here? What political

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<v Speaker 3>capital does he have to push these guys to get

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<v Speaker 3>on board.

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<v Speaker 4>Well, it's a great question.

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<v Speaker 3>He was on Truth Social earlier today saying stop talking

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<v Speaker 3>and get it done. He was referring to the grand

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<v Speaker 3>Standards as he likes to call them, the names that

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<v Speaker 3>we've already used here.

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<v Speaker 4>The vote was twenty one sixteen, so.

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<v Speaker 3>You've got more than a couple Republicans to convince here.

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<v Speaker 3>But there's a lot of moving parts when you're trying

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<v Speaker 3>to find balance in something like this, and the whole

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<v Speaker 3>matter of salt that we talk about a lot here

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<v Speaker 3>on Bloomberg is right in the middle of it. If

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<v Speaker 3>you're going to make the New York Republicans happy and

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<v Speaker 3>raise the cap on salt, you're going to upset other

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<v Speaker 3>people who want to see steeper cuts to make up

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<v Speaker 3>for that, And that's the balancing act the Speaker Johnson

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<v Speaker 3>is in right now. He clearly hasn't found the balance.

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<v Speaker 3>But just to give you a sense of what this means,

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<v Speaker 3>we had the Budget Committee today it was supposed to

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<v Speaker 3>go to the Rules Committee on Monday, which is kind

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<v Speaker 3>of the gatekeeper to the floor. And then as the

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<v Speaker 3>Speaker promised a vote on the floor by Memorial Day,

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<v Speaker 3>they're not going to fool around with that Memorial Day break.

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<v Speaker 4>Everyone's going home one way or the other.

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<v Speaker 3>So this whole timeline could suddenly be off the rails

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<v Speaker 3>when you consider what's coming in terms of the debt

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<v Speaker 3>limit and so forth. It could be a complicated summer

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<v Speaker 3>one that was already complicated, it could be even more so.

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<v Speaker 5>Okay, so everyone's not going to be there voting on

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<v Speaker 5>this on Memorial.

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<v Speaker 6>Day, Joe.

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<v Speaker 5>So what do we know about just exactly what happens

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<v Speaker 5>next with the timeline here.

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<v Speaker 3>Well, they'll probably get a couple of booze when they're

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<v Speaker 3>in the Memorial Day parade if people are actually paying

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<v Speaker 3>attention at home.

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<v Speaker 4>But we have to remind ourselves.

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<v Speaker 3>This is the signature piece of legislation for the Trump administration.

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<v Speaker 3>This is what he calls one big, beautiful bill. This

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<v Speaker 3>is to extend or make permanent the Trump tax cuts.

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<v Speaker 3>Think about the promises on the trail, no taxes on tips,

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<v Speaker 3>no taxes on overtime. We already went through salt. They

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<v Speaker 3>kind of have to get this done. And when we

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<v Speaker 3>find out in a couple of weeks what the real

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<v Speaker 3>x state is on the debt ceiling, that's going to

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<v Speaker 3>be maybe the gas on the fire that gets people together.

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<v Speaker 3>The fact of the matter is, though, I'll make this

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<v Speaker 3>even more difficult. Once all this is potentially done in

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<v Speaker 3>the House, it goes to the Senate and they're going

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<v Speaker 3>to rewrite the whole thing. They're going to make all

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<v Speaker 3>kinds of changes and probably turn back some of the

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<v Speaker 3>cuts that were made to Medicaid to pay for some

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<v Speaker 3>of this stuff. And all these same guys in the

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<v Speaker 3>House who didn't like this bill today will like it

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<v Speaker 3>even less then.

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<v Speaker 4>And then where are.

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<v Speaker 2>We Well, Joe, Well, you're talking to us. Kaylee's sending

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<v Speaker 2>us tweets. This one coming from NBC News reporting that

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<v Speaker 2>the House Budget Committee Republicans are going to try to

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<v Speaker 2>reconvene on Sunday at ten pm.

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<v Speaker 4>Oh, that'll go, well, what happened to account? And then

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<v Speaker 4>they don't have bedtimes.

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<v Speaker 3>They had a couple of overnight committee hearings already this week,

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<v Speaker 3>you know, like sixteen hours long. We had lawmakers fallen

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<v Speaker 3>asleep at four in the morning. They're good at this.

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<v Speaker 3>It's hydro. They'll bring in the takeout and the wine

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<v Speaker 3>and maybe the cots. Then it'll make for great TV

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<v Speaker 3>on Monday morning. Whether they can actually get anything done though,

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<v Speaker 3>we saw them bring it to a vote today without

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<v Speaker 3>being able to answer that. So what changes in the

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<v Speaker 3>next couple of days aside from aside from some arm

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<v Speaker 3>twisting from President Trump.

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<v Speaker 4>I don't know.

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<v Speaker 2>Hey, Joe, Before we let you go, we got about

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<v Speaker 2>a minute left. We wanted to talk to you also

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<v Speaker 2>about takeaways from President Trump's overseas trip four days in

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<v Speaker 2>the Middle East, the tour that really focused on making deals.

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<v Speaker 2>How would you just describe for us the view of

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<v Speaker 2>this region by this administration and how it differs from

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<v Speaker 2>previous administrations.

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<v Speaker 3>You know, we talked to former Congressman Denver Riggleman about

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<v Speaker 3>that today. He joined us live on Balance of Power

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<v Speaker 3>from Dubai. He's actually founded an AI company of his own,

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<v Speaker 3>and he's in the mix over there, and he was

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<v Speaker 3>talking about this incredibly important moment as this region has

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<v Speaker 3>opened up to the likes of Nvidia, AMD on the

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<v Speaker 3>friendly list, if you will.

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<v Speaker 4>When it comes to high tech chip exports.

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<v Speaker 3>This is an incredible moment of opportunity, I think, not

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<v Speaker 3>only for the administration but for the industry here as

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<v Speaker 3>we look for options to turn away from China. Pretty

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<v Speaker 3>incredible the dollar figures that we saw announced on this trip,

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<v Speaker 3>and it's also a whole new look optically at what

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<v Speaker 3>a presidential trip could look like here leading with the

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<v Speaker 3>dollar signs and kind of backstopping with the politics.

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<v Speaker 4>I'll say one thing.

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<v Speaker 3>Though, nobody got to Turkey today named Trump or Putin

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<v Speaker 3>for Ukraine peace talks. That was something we were holding

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<v Speaker 3>out for and it's not going to happen this time.

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<v Speaker 4>That will remain on a lower level.

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<v Speaker 2>Okay, Well, thanks for the updated Joe from Washington really appreciated.

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<v Speaker 2>I want you to get some rests this week, and

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<v Speaker 2>because I know you're going to be busy following all

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<v Speaker 2>the happenings in Washington, DC. Also, don't miss Joe and

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<v Speaker 2>Kayley to the late edition of Balance of Power.

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<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week Daily podcast. Catch

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<v Speaker 2>Well, President Trump said on Thursday that India has made

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<v Speaker 2>an offer to drop tariffs on US goods, is then

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<v Speaker 2>negotiates a deal to a higher import taxes. We know

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<v Speaker 2>our next guest is watching this closely. He's featured in

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<v Speaker 2>the upcoming weekly CFO Briefing newsletter. It's written by Nina

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<v Speaker 2>Treatmanchi's Bloomberg News senior editor. You can also sign up

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<v Speaker 2>for it at Bloomberg dot com slash CFO Dash of Briefing.

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<v Speaker 2>Nina joins us now along with Kabir Ahmed Shakir, CFO

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<v Speaker 2>of Tatak Communications.

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<v Speaker 4>Nina, I want to start with you.

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<v Speaker 2>Why did you choose to feature Kabir in the upcoming

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<v Speaker 2>CFO Briefing newsletter.

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<v Speaker 7>Well, it seems as it's good timing right, India is

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<v Speaker 7>in the news. We've also seen a fair amount of

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<v Speaker 7>tensions recently in between India and Pakistan, so we're also

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<v Speaker 7>talking talked about risks to Kabir, So yeah, it seemed

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<v Speaker 7>to be a good time. Kabir, thank you very much

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<v Speaker 7>for staying up so late. It's I think around midnight

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<v Speaker 7>in Mumbai, so thank you very much for joining us.

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<v Speaker 7>We've just heard from Tim on on the outlook for

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<v Speaker 7>for India. Just wondering what that means for your business

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<v Speaker 7>as as you're growing your business at Tata.

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<v Speaker 8>Thanks Leinaim for having me on the show. Yeah, and

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<v Speaker 8>it's almost going to be midnight here, But quite excited

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<v Speaker 8>to be on the show. As we spoke you know

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<v Speaker 8>earlier as well, I'm cautiously optimistic about what the what

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<v Speaker 8>the year will unfold for us. We are working tirelessly

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<v Speaker 8>on our strategy and executing on our strategy, and and

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<v Speaker 8>of course business is not ever going to be static.

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<v Speaker 8>The environment is going to go keep throwing challenges at us.

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<v Speaker 8>But I guess we have a resilient business. We are

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<v Speaker 8>in the in the B two B space and we

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<v Speaker 8>are here to serve our customers, and our products and

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<v Speaker 8>services help our customers both on the revenue side and

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<v Speaker 8>the cost side outcome. So managing volatility, helping them grow,

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<v Speaker 8>helping them manage their their bottom line and their risk

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<v Speaker 8>is what we do day in and day out. So

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<v Speaker 8>I'm excited to continue to partner and and help our customers.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm curious about how terraiffs specifically affect you. Even though

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<v Speaker 2>you're based in any you're a global company. You essentially

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<v Speaker 2>connect eighty percent of mobile customers worldwide. You serve three

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<v Speaker 2>hundred of the Fortune five hundred companies in some way.

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<v Speaker 2>But tariffs affect products, hardware, infrastructure, technology. How would tariffs

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<v Speaker 2>affect your business? How do they affect your business?

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<v Speaker 8>Well, there are two ways in which it could affect

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<v Speaker 8>our business. One is directly, you know, because we are

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<v Speaker 8>in the telecom space and we do procure hardware equipment

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<v Speaker 8>which we deliver as part of the overall service to

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<v Speaker 8>our customers. So it does impact there, but that impact

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<v Speaker 8>is very negligible and insignificant. So I'm literally not worried

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<v Speaker 8>about the direct impact. What worries me is even so

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<v Speaker 8>much so not the tariffs but the volatility, the uncertainty

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<v Speaker 8>leading up to it. So from the time President announced

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<v Speaker 8>and then there was a pause and now there is

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<v Speaker 8>a bit of a you know of a withdraw So

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<v Speaker 8>we don't know when this turbidity is going to you know,

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<v Speaker 8>going to stop and when there's going to be more clarity.

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<v Speaker 8>So when we see this uncertainty with our customers, the

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<v Speaker 8>delay in decision making is something that is likely to

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<v Speaker 8>push you know, revenue or although as of no I

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<v Speaker 8>have not seen this in our autobook as yet. And

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<v Speaker 8>that's the reason why I use the word cautiously optimistic,

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<v Speaker 8>right that we would like to be cautious to see

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<v Speaker 8>what's that that conversation that's happening in our customer boardrooms

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<v Speaker 8>and how we can, you know, help them.

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<v Speaker 7>Maybe I can jump in here, career just thinking about

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<v Speaker 7>the relationships between India and the US. I'm wondering how

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<v Speaker 7>you're seeing additional growth opportunities for your business. I know

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<v Speaker 7>you've told me the US is an important part for

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<v Speaker 7>your business. You've done two transactions here recently. Just talk

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<v Speaker 7>to us a little bit about how you're seeing that develop.

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<v Speaker 8>Yeah, US is a very very important market for US,

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<v Speaker 8>and we want to grow US to to billion dollars

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<v Speaker 8>of our business. We are currently about little under two

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<v Speaker 8>and a half billion dollars for now and US kind

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<v Speaker 8>of totals up to around seven hundred sound fifty. So

0:11:09.400 --> 0:11:12.480
<v Speaker 8>we'd like to take it to to billion dollars in

0:11:12.520 --> 0:11:15.720
<v Speaker 8>the very near future. So we've invested both in terms

0:11:15.720 --> 0:11:20.440
<v Speaker 8>of product capabilities for the business, go to market capabilities,

0:11:20.480 --> 0:11:22.880
<v Speaker 8>feet down street and everything that we can.

0:11:22.840 --> 0:11:23.800
<v Speaker 9>Do to grow the business.

0:11:24.840 --> 0:11:29.600
<v Speaker 8>So therefore, our strategy is still steadfast and we will

0:11:29.600 --> 0:11:33.560
<v Speaker 8>look for both organic and inorganic opportunities to grow our

0:11:33.559 --> 0:11:34.679
<v Speaker 8>footprint in the US.

0:11:34.720 --> 0:11:35.719
<v Speaker 9>So we are committed to that.

0:11:36.320 --> 0:11:39.240
<v Speaker 5>Kare what is the M and A outlook like, because

0:11:39.240 --> 0:11:41.199
<v Speaker 5>at least in the US we had a pretty big

0:11:41.440 --> 0:11:45.640
<v Speaker 5>media deal announced today with Charter and cocks. Are you

0:11:45.720 --> 0:11:47.960
<v Speaker 5>looking at any potential M and A activity?

0:11:49.080 --> 0:11:53.880
<v Speaker 8>We are continuously scanning if I may, and there are

0:11:54.080 --> 0:11:55.280
<v Speaker 8>you know, targets.

0:11:54.800 --> 0:11:56.640
<v Speaker 9>That we will look at.

0:11:57.920 --> 0:12:00.760
<v Speaker 8>If you if you look at our business, our data

0:12:00.800 --> 0:12:03.760
<v Speaker 8>business has two chunky parts. There's a core connectivity part

0:12:03.760 --> 0:12:07.079
<v Speaker 8>of the business, our traditional telecom point to point connectivity

0:12:07.200 --> 0:12:10.240
<v Speaker 8>and you know and Ethernet and you know international these

0:12:10.320 --> 0:12:12.920
<v Speaker 8>lines and then something in cable that we that we have.

0:12:13.040 --> 0:12:17.160
<v Speaker 8>So that's you know, roughly about half of our business

0:12:17.200 --> 0:12:20.320
<v Speaker 8>and the other half is a digital portfolio which we

0:12:20.440 --> 0:12:23.800
<v Speaker 8>call the overlay services, where we use the connectivity as

0:12:23.800 --> 0:12:27.920
<v Speaker 8>a foot in the door and then provide valuated services

0:12:27.960 --> 0:12:30.439
<v Speaker 8>to our customers, whether it is whether it's the customer

0:12:30.480 --> 0:12:33.960
<v Speaker 8>interaction you know, suite offerings that we have, whether it's

0:12:34.120 --> 0:12:38.040
<v Speaker 8>IoT move cloud security, you know, and all of those

0:12:38.160 --> 0:12:39.080
<v Speaker 8>offerings that we do.

0:12:39.760 --> 0:12:42.160
<v Speaker 9>It is in that space that I would.

0:12:41.960 --> 0:12:46.480
<v Speaker 8>Be we would be really looking for any potential targets

0:12:46.520 --> 0:12:51.520
<v Speaker 8>that could either I would say, bolt on and fill

0:12:51.720 --> 0:12:55.000
<v Speaker 8>any portfolio gaps I may have in my product offering

0:12:55.760 --> 0:12:58.640
<v Speaker 8>or even help us with the go to market you

0:12:58.640 --> 0:13:01.640
<v Speaker 8>know offering. I'll give you an recent example when we

0:13:01.720 --> 0:13:05.800
<v Speaker 8>boxed Switch, and it was a primarily a US based business.

0:13:05.920 --> 0:13:07.520
<v Speaker 9>Switch gave us two capabilities.

0:13:07.960 --> 0:13:11.600
<v Speaker 8>One we were It gave us the media transmission business

0:13:11.600 --> 0:13:16.520
<v Speaker 8>in the US and that was very very important for us.

0:13:16.840 --> 0:13:20.040
<v Speaker 8>Plus it also gave us the media production you know capability,

0:13:20.080 --> 0:13:23.360
<v Speaker 8>so we could backward integrate and offer more, you know,

0:13:23.960 --> 0:13:26.720
<v Speaker 8>more product offerings to our customers, and we could take

0:13:26.800 --> 0:13:30.200
<v Speaker 8>that globally as well. So it made a lot of

0:13:30.240 --> 0:13:33.640
<v Speaker 8>sense for us to get a footprint in the US

0:13:33.679 --> 0:13:37.199
<v Speaker 8>geography and then use that capability to even go global.

0:13:37.480 --> 0:13:39.920
<v Speaker 8>So assets like that will be of interest for us,

0:13:39.920 --> 0:13:41.320
<v Speaker 8>and we continuous to scan for them.

0:13:41.720 --> 0:13:45.320
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, Kabir, just wondering based on the fact that you're

0:13:45.520 --> 0:13:49.280
<v Speaker 7>based in India. We've seen some geopolitical tensions there recently,

0:13:49.400 --> 0:13:51.439
<v Speaker 7>not the only place in the world where we're seeing

0:13:51.440 --> 0:13:54.760
<v Speaker 7>that flare up recently. Just wandering from a CFO perspective,

0:13:54.800 --> 0:13:58.440
<v Speaker 7>how do you navigate these kind of geopolitical risks and

0:13:58.480 --> 0:14:01.640
<v Speaker 7>how far has has risked management become more important to us,

0:14:01.880 --> 0:14:04.840
<v Speaker 7>to you and also sort of how does that work?

0:14:06.880 --> 0:14:09.440
<v Speaker 8>Uh you know, I mean, I would say we have

0:14:09.480 --> 0:14:12.880
<v Speaker 8>a very very robust risk management framework and today it

0:14:12.920 --> 0:14:17.000
<v Speaker 8>is geopolitical risk. Yesterday it was something called COVID pandemic,

0:14:17.320 --> 0:14:20.400
<v Speaker 8>and not more than a decade ago, it was a

0:14:20.480 --> 0:14:23.720
<v Speaker 8>Layman collapse, and you know, and the crude oil crisis.

0:14:23.760 --> 0:14:26.360
<v Speaker 9>So we've seen and every time when this event.

0:14:26.160 --> 0:14:28.400
<v Speaker 8>Happens, we call it a one off event, a black

0:14:28.400 --> 0:14:34.040
<v Speaker 8>Swan event. But I guess all organizations you know sailed

0:14:34.080 --> 0:14:38.360
<v Speaker 8>through this. They have a resilient, resilient PNDL and balance

0:14:38.400 --> 0:14:42.240
<v Speaker 8>sheet and resilient culture that helps them navigate through this.

0:14:42.840 --> 0:14:43.800
<v Speaker 9>And we are no different.

0:14:43.880 --> 0:14:46.680
<v Speaker 8>And we are a global organization, so therefore we are

0:14:46.720 --> 0:14:50.640
<v Speaker 8>not insulated to only domestic you know issues. Every morning

0:14:50.640 --> 0:14:53.600
<v Speaker 8>we wake up with something happening, you know, across the world,

0:14:53.840 --> 0:14:55.680
<v Speaker 8>the geopolitical conflict.

0:14:55.680 --> 0:14:56.280
<v Speaker 9>As when we.

0:14:56.320 --> 0:14:59.400
<v Speaker 8>Spoke and I mentioned, uh, it never has ever it

0:14:59.480 --> 0:15:02.840
<v Speaker 8>happened that we had three cable systems go down at

0:15:02.840 --> 0:15:04.680
<v Speaker 8>the same point in time in the last twenty year

0:15:04.720 --> 0:15:07.520
<v Speaker 8>history ever, which happened about nine months ago, and that's

0:15:07.560 --> 0:15:08.840
<v Speaker 8>because of the Red Sea conflict that.

0:15:08.840 --> 0:15:10.720
<v Speaker 9>You actually, you know, actually see.

0:15:10.720 --> 0:15:13.560
<v Speaker 8>So we have woken up to the reality that despite

0:15:14.040 --> 0:15:17.840
<v Speaker 8>these pressures, we need to continue to be you know,

0:15:17.960 --> 0:15:22.000
<v Speaker 8>serving our customers, providing them you know, diverse paths, giving

0:15:22.000 --> 0:15:25.360
<v Speaker 8>them alternatives so that their business you know, keeps running.

0:15:25.400 --> 0:15:27.200
<v Speaker 8>That's the reason why they come to come to us

0:15:27.200 --> 0:15:29.600
<v Speaker 8>in the first place. So when we chop out plants,

0:15:29.640 --> 0:15:32.320
<v Speaker 8>we of course look at the likelihood and the impact

0:15:32.440 --> 0:15:36.120
<v Speaker 8>of any of these events occurring, and depending on the severity,

0:15:36.320 --> 0:15:37.880
<v Speaker 8>either we are acting on them.

0:15:37.840 --> 0:15:40.080
<v Speaker 9>Right now, having a plan A plan B plan.

0:15:39.880 --> 0:15:44.320
<v Speaker 8>See ready, or or if not, you know, keep watching

0:15:44.360 --> 0:15:48.200
<v Speaker 8>that space if it develops in any way disadvantaging us

0:15:48.240 --> 0:15:50.080
<v Speaker 8>and have mitigation plans.

0:15:50.320 --> 0:15:54.480
<v Speaker 2>We're speaking with Kabira Ahmed Shakir, CEO of Taught Communications. Kabir,

0:15:54.800 --> 0:15:59.400
<v Speaker 2>you have this perch as CFO of the company that

0:15:59.480 --> 0:16:02.400
<v Speaker 2>operates or has business i should say, and close to

0:16:02.400 --> 0:16:05.960
<v Speaker 2>two hundred countries around the world, so you understand where

0:16:05.960 --> 0:16:09.400
<v Speaker 2>there's weakness, where there's strength. What are you hearing from

0:16:09.440 --> 0:16:12.520
<v Speaker 2>customers right now? This isn't exactly discretionary spending that they

0:16:12.560 --> 0:16:15.479
<v Speaker 2>do when it comes to it, When it comes to telecom.

0:16:15.960 --> 0:16:18.840
<v Speaker 2>But are there areas of the world where you're seeing

0:16:18.920 --> 0:16:20.880
<v Speaker 2>strength or the areas of the world where you're seeing

0:16:20.920 --> 0:16:21.800
<v Speaker 2>weakness right now?

0:16:23.040 --> 0:16:26.160
<v Speaker 8>Look when when we look at any of these things

0:16:26.200 --> 0:16:31.000
<v Speaker 8>impacting like the tariffs. Of course there's a prediction on

0:16:31.200 --> 0:16:35.560
<v Speaker 8>especially in the US, the very recent goldment As Sects

0:16:35.600 --> 0:16:40.240
<v Speaker 8>report of last month suggests that spend levels are going

0:16:40.280 --> 0:16:42.920
<v Speaker 8>to be pretty static compared to last year. So and

0:16:42.960 --> 0:16:45.720
<v Speaker 8>the probability of CAPEX coming down is at high as

0:16:45.720 --> 0:16:48.200
<v Speaker 8>forty five percent. So you see all those you know

0:16:48.280 --> 0:16:51.160
<v Speaker 8>statistics coming in and I can understand why because of

0:16:51.200 --> 0:16:54.960
<v Speaker 8>the uncertainty and if people, if customers need to rewire

0:16:55.000 --> 0:16:57.800
<v Speaker 8>their supply chains, then they would rather preserve the cash

0:16:57.880 --> 0:17:01.920
<v Speaker 8>for that than you know spending on important but non

0:17:02.080 --> 0:17:06.240
<v Speaker 8>urgent you know it spends. So that's one dilemma. The

0:17:06.560 --> 0:17:09.560
<v Speaker 8>other conundrum that they actually have is clearly there is

0:17:09.600 --> 0:17:12.800
<v Speaker 8>a pomo I mean, with the with the buzzword of

0:17:12.920 --> 0:17:16.720
<v Speaker 8>AI going through every you know, organization is also looking

0:17:16.760 --> 0:17:20.800
<v Speaker 8>at our investing in AI and our future proving our business.

0:17:21.200 --> 0:17:25.240
<v Speaker 8>So therefore not investing and not spending on that space

0:17:25.359 --> 0:17:27.720
<v Speaker 8>is not an option either. So that's the kind of

0:17:27.760 --> 0:17:31.160
<v Speaker 8>conundrum that the customers are in and and we are

0:17:31.359 --> 0:17:35.200
<v Speaker 8>helping our customers to look through this bring clarity as

0:17:35.200 --> 0:17:38.000
<v Speaker 8>soon as possible so that they do not you know,

0:17:38.160 --> 0:17:42.080
<v Speaker 8>suffer the consequences of an intercision on and not spending

0:17:42.440 --> 0:17:42.960
<v Speaker 8>in time.

0:17:43.560 --> 0:17:45.000
<v Speaker 9>So it's a it's a tricky situation.

0:17:45.080 --> 0:17:48.320
<v Speaker 8>So I'm not saying it's easy, but you see that

0:17:48.480 --> 0:17:54.119
<v Speaker 8>consistently across you know, industries quite often with network it

0:17:54.240 --> 0:17:58.400
<v Speaker 8>so happens. You know, tim is if it ain't broken,

0:17:58.480 --> 0:18:00.800
<v Speaker 8>why fix it. You know, that's the kind of attitude

0:18:00.880 --> 0:18:03.359
<v Speaker 8>you know people have. So it's very normal too to

0:18:03.359 --> 0:18:07.040
<v Speaker 8>try and push back that spend, but as I said,

0:18:07.200 --> 0:18:09.840
<v Speaker 8>with a coming in, it's very difficult for them to

0:18:10.000 --> 0:18:11.080
<v Speaker 8>push back for too long.

0:18:11.280 --> 0:18:13.000
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, certainly a theme that we saw when it came

0:18:13.040 --> 0:18:15.680
<v Speaker 2>to the most recent round of earnings reports from companies

0:18:15.720 --> 0:18:18.120
<v Speaker 2>here in the US that that AI spend is continuing.

0:18:18.200 --> 0:18:21.000
<v Speaker 2>Kabir Amtshakier, thanks so much for joining us CFO of

0:18:21.040 --> 0:18:23.600
<v Speaker 2>tak Talk Communications. Also a big thank you to Nina Trentman,

0:18:23.960 --> 0:18:27.360
<v Speaker 2>senior editor at Bloomberg News. Check out the CFO briefing

0:18:27.480 --> 0:18:30.200
<v Speaker 2>by Nina Trentman. You can sign up at Bloomberg dot

0:18:30.240 --> 0:18:32.800
<v Speaker 2>com slash newsletters, or go directly there at Bloomberg dot

0:18:32.840 --> 0:18:33.960
<v Speaker 2>com slash cf.

0:18:35.040 --> 0:18:39.200
<v Speaker 1>This is the Bloomberg Business Week Daily Podcast. Listen live

0:18:39.280 --> 0:18:42.480
<v Speaker 1>each weekday starting at two pm Eastern on Applecarplay and

0:18:42.480 --> 0:18:45.480
<v Speaker 1>Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business App. You can also

0:18:45.680 --> 0:18:49.320
<v Speaker 1>listen live on Amazon Alexa from our flagship New York station.

0:18:49.880 --> 0:18:53.560
<v Speaker 1>Just say Alexa play Bloomberg eleven thirty And we.

0:18:53.600 --> 0:18:56.520
<v Speaker 2>Got a special guest for our Drive to the Close today.

0:18:56.920 --> 0:18:59.439
<v Speaker 2>That's Craig Moffatt. He's founding partner and senior analyst at

0:18:59.440 --> 0:19:02.920
<v Speaker 2>Mofitt Nathan and he joins us from Craigs. Deal such

0:19:02.960 --> 0:19:05.960
<v Speaker 2>as this in the year twenty twenty five, could it

0:19:06.040 --> 0:19:08.119
<v Speaker 2>face regulatory scrutiny?

0:19:09.000 --> 0:19:12.160
<v Speaker 10>Hey Tim, good to be here. You know, you wouldn't

0:19:12.200 --> 0:19:17.000
<v Speaker 10>think so Cox and Charter are adjacent. They don't directly

0:19:17.040 --> 0:19:21.399
<v Speaker 10>compete with each other. Charters pricing strategies in their go

0:19:21.440 --> 0:19:25.280
<v Speaker 10>to market strategy is pro competitive and pro consumer. So

0:19:26.000 --> 0:19:28.920
<v Speaker 10>you wouldn't think that this deal would face any challenges

0:19:29.480 --> 0:19:31.600
<v Speaker 10>even at the state level, because they'll also have to

0:19:31.600 --> 0:19:34.800
<v Speaker 10>get approvals from the Public Service Commissions and public utility

0:19:34.800 --> 0:19:38.480
<v Speaker 10>commissions in the individual states involved. You wouldn't think it

0:19:38.520 --> 0:19:43.200
<v Speaker 10>would see any challenges, but again, things have been sort

0:19:43.240 --> 0:19:47.439
<v Speaker 10>of unpredictable when you get DEI considerations and things like

0:19:47.480 --> 0:19:50.600
<v Speaker 10>that that can hang up. Otherwise, big deals that are

0:19:50.640 --> 0:19:53.280
<v Speaker 10>ready for approval, you do have to be at least

0:19:53.320 --> 0:19:57.560
<v Speaker 10>some somewhat circumspect about what kind of process it will face.

0:19:57.640 --> 0:19:59.960
<v Speaker 2>Okay, that's a deep tease for the Horizon Frontier conmerce

0:20:00.240 --> 0:20:01.960
<v Speaker 2>we're going to have in a few minutes. But we

0:20:02.000 --> 0:20:04.080
<v Speaker 2>want to stick on Charter and Cox right now because

0:20:04.080 --> 0:20:05.679
<v Speaker 2>that is the big deal of the day, right.

0:20:05.560 --> 0:20:08.600
<v Speaker 5>And Craig, so you joined the show in January. I

0:20:08.640 --> 0:20:10.840
<v Speaker 5>think Carol Masser was here. It wasn't me. I'm filling

0:20:10.840 --> 0:20:13.439
<v Speaker 5>in for her. But your top pick for twenty twenty

0:20:13.440 --> 0:20:17.520
<v Speaker 5>five was Charter Communications. So I'm wondering, how has your

0:20:17.640 --> 0:20:21.919
<v Speaker 5>view changed on the company in light of today's deal news.

0:20:22.600 --> 0:20:27.240
<v Speaker 10>Well, you know, nice to see, Emily. I think it's

0:20:27.280 --> 0:20:31.440
<v Speaker 10>actually not changed at all. And in fact, I suspect

0:20:31.560 --> 0:20:34.919
<v Speaker 10>that the reason that Cox was finally willing to agree

0:20:34.920 --> 0:20:38.040
<v Speaker 10>to a merger after twenty years of being asked, or really,

0:20:38.080 --> 0:20:40.360
<v Speaker 10>I guess almost twenty years of being asked, they went

0:20:40.760 --> 0:20:42.440
<v Speaker 10>private back in two thousand and eight.

0:20:42.440 --> 0:20:45.440
<v Speaker 9>If I recall is that.

0:20:46.840 --> 0:20:51.639
<v Speaker 10>The Charter momentum, and in particular the Charter momentum in

0:20:51.680 --> 0:20:55.679
<v Speaker 10>wireless and the converged offering of wireless and broadband together

0:20:56.520 --> 0:21:01.200
<v Speaker 10>was so compelling that I think Cox probably said we're

0:21:01.240 --> 0:21:05.680
<v Speaker 10>better off to be part of the Charter family. After

0:21:05.840 --> 0:21:09.240
<v Speaker 10>saying no to mergers for twenty years, maybe it's finally time.

0:21:09.520 --> 0:21:10.119
<v Speaker 4>Is it time?

0:21:10.200 --> 0:21:14.000
<v Speaker 2>Because of what has happened in this industry over the

0:21:14.040 --> 0:21:18.800
<v Speaker 2>last twenty years, the rise of streaming, the cord cutting

0:21:18.800 --> 0:21:22.439
<v Speaker 2>that we're seeing, the decline of the secular decline of

0:21:22.920 --> 0:21:24.920
<v Speaker 2>you know, what's known as the cable bundle, and just

0:21:24.960 --> 0:21:28.119
<v Speaker 2>the disruption that we've seen, I mean in your career

0:21:28.160 --> 0:21:29.359
<v Speaker 2>has been pretty remarkable.

0:21:30.560 --> 0:21:33.080
<v Speaker 10>It has, but I don't think that's really behind it.

0:21:33.160 --> 0:21:39.040
<v Speaker 10>You know, it's easy to probably the younger listeners don't

0:21:39.080 --> 0:21:43.840
<v Speaker 10>remember when when cable was about video. Cable's core product

0:21:43.920 --> 0:21:48.560
<v Speaker 10>hasn't really been video for fifteen years. Cable's core product

0:21:48.760 --> 0:21:52.679
<v Speaker 10>has been broadband for at least fifteen years, and so

0:21:52.760 --> 0:21:57.680
<v Speaker 10>it's really all about broadband. What's changed is that we're

0:21:57.720 --> 0:22:02.840
<v Speaker 10>now seeing broadband and mobile service being offered together in

0:22:02.880 --> 0:22:06.959
<v Speaker 10>this kind of what is typically called within the industry convergence.

0:22:07.000 --> 0:22:09.600
<v Speaker 10>But which they're trying to sell to customers is just

0:22:09.640 --> 0:22:13.919
<v Speaker 10>sort of connectivity everywhere. The CEO of Charter was speaking

0:22:13.920 --> 0:22:17.199
<v Speaker 10>at the Mouffet Nathanson Conference for US yesterday and was

0:22:17.240 --> 0:22:22.080
<v Speaker 10>saying that he thinks when a customer pulls out of

0:22:22.119 --> 0:22:26.119
<v Speaker 10>their driveway, they don't really care who's providing the service

0:22:26.160 --> 0:22:28.480
<v Speaker 10>in the driveway, who's providing the service in the house,

0:22:28.480 --> 0:22:30.960
<v Speaker 10>and who's providing the service outside of the house. They

0:22:31.000 --> 0:22:33.119
<v Speaker 10>just want to make sure it works in all those places.

0:22:33.240 --> 0:22:37.800
<v Speaker 10>And so what they're trying to do is convince customers

0:22:37.840 --> 0:22:40.520
<v Speaker 10>that we can give you a better deal at a

0:22:40.600 --> 0:22:43.879
<v Speaker 10>much lower price and give you the best connectivity everywhere.

0:22:44.359 --> 0:22:47.240
<v Speaker 10>And it's working for Charter, and that's I think why

0:22:47.280 --> 0:22:49.920
<v Speaker 10>the stock is up almost sixty percent year to date,

0:22:51.040 --> 0:22:53.960
<v Speaker 10>it's been over the past twelve months. I think it's

0:22:54.040 --> 0:22:58.080
<v Speaker 10>just people are starting to see the fruits of that strategy.

0:22:58.680 --> 0:23:02.400
<v Speaker 10>And I think that's again precisely what Cox saw. And

0:23:02.600 --> 0:23:08.200
<v Speaker 10>Cox has an agreement with Verizon for carrying wireless traffic

0:23:08.320 --> 0:23:10.600
<v Speaker 10>that they are not able to put over Wi Fi

0:23:10.800 --> 0:23:14.280
<v Speaker 10>over over their own network the same as Charter does,

0:23:14.320 --> 0:23:16.080
<v Speaker 10>but it's not as good a deal. And so I

0:23:16.080 --> 0:23:18.080
<v Speaker 10>think A lot of this was driven by we want

0:23:18.080 --> 0:23:21.400
<v Speaker 10>to be on the Charter deal that has better economics

0:23:21.440 --> 0:23:24.120
<v Speaker 10>and better terms than the deal that we have with Verizon.

0:23:24.320 --> 0:23:27.440
<v Speaker 2>Is this going to keep working for Charter Communications given

0:23:27.520 --> 0:23:31.720
<v Speaker 2>the competition that they're seeing from the wireless companies that

0:23:31.760 --> 0:23:35.639
<v Speaker 2>are now doing broadband into homes. I mean, I have

0:23:35.800 --> 0:23:38.520
<v Speaker 2>Verizon or Charter offered where I live, and I can

0:23:38.560 --> 0:23:40.920
<v Speaker 2>get FiOS for forty bucks a month for a really

0:23:41.000 --> 0:23:44.240
<v Speaker 2>fast connection because it competes with Charter right there.

0:23:45.400 --> 0:23:49.080
<v Speaker 10>Yeah, you're exactly right, Tim. That's why you've seen pressure

0:23:49.119 --> 0:23:54.840
<v Speaker 10>on the broadband subscriber numbers from Charter and Comcast and

0:23:54.920 --> 0:23:57.960
<v Speaker 10>the rest of the cable industry. The answer to that

0:23:57.960 --> 0:24:02.199
<v Speaker 10>that the cable operators have been pushed is, well, a

0:24:02.240 --> 0:24:07.280
<v Speaker 10>broadband competitor may be able to save you twenty dollars

0:24:07.280 --> 0:24:11.199
<v Speaker 10>a month on your on your broadband subscription, but we

0:24:11.280 --> 0:24:13.679
<v Speaker 10>can save you seventy five dollars a month on your

0:24:13.680 --> 0:24:17.560
<v Speaker 10>wireless subscription if you take it all together, and you

0:24:17.600 --> 0:24:20.640
<v Speaker 10>will end up being much better off financially and have

0:24:20.680 --> 0:24:26.200
<v Speaker 10>a better product. And that's a wireless service that actually

0:24:26.640 --> 0:24:30.320
<v Speaker 10>while the cellular portion runs over the Verizon network, it

0:24:30.400 --> 0:24:35.440
<v Speaker 10>actually beats Verizon in network testing results because the time

0:24:35.480 --> 0:24:38.320
<v Speaker 10>that it's not on the Verizon network is actually running

0:24:38.359 --> 0:24:43.239
<v Speaker 10>faster than the Verizon network does. And so it is

0:24:43.320 --> 0:24:48.959
<v Speaker 10>by far the best, the lowest price deal available to customers.

0:24:49.000 --> 0:24:51.600
<v Speaker 10>And that's what the cable operators are leaning into.

0:24:52.359 --> 0:24:57.000
<v Speaker 5>So what's the plan here for infrastructure and building out

0:24:57.400 --> 0:25:02.000
<v Speaker 5>just more infrastructure for Internet the home. Are the combined

0:25:02.040 --> 0:25:04.840
<v Speaker 5>companies now chartering cocks going to be building out more fiber?

0:25:04.920 --> 0:25:09.080
<v Speaker 5>That's kind of the infrastructure that delivers the fastest connection here, right.

0:25:10.359 --> 0:25:13.879
<v Speaker 10>Well, then there's a narrative that that fiber to the

0:25:13.920 --> 0:25:17.560
<v Speaker 10>home or what the industry is called FTTCH is better

0:25:17.680 --> 0:25:21.439
<v Speaker 10>than cable infrastructure. It's not really. They are largely the same.

0:25:22.359 --> 0:25:25.800
<v Speaker 10>In fact, overseas, there have been all these cases that

0:25:25.840 --> 0:25:29.280
<v Speaker 10>have demonstrated that cable actually has more fiber than fiber

0:25:29.320 --> 0:25:32.640
<v Speaker 10>to the home does. That is, a packet is delivered

0:25:32.680 --> 0:25:35.200
<v Speaker 10>over cable spends more time on fiber than it does

0:25:35.240 --> 0:25:37.560
<v Speaker 10>even on a fiber to the home network. So the

0:25:38.359 --> 0:25:43.479
<v Speaker 10>networks are largely interchangeable today. There simply isn't really an

0:25:43.520 --> 0:25:48.360
<v Speaker 10>advantage to having something that's called fiber over something that's

0:25:48.400 --> 0:25:53.159
<v Speaker 10>called a cable network. So it really comes down to price,

0:25:53.359 --> 0:25:56.440
<v Speaker 10>and the most differentiated part of the offer is actually

0:25:56.480 --> 0:25:57.720
<v Speaker 10>in the mobility side.

0:25:57.840 --> 0:25:59.800
<v Speaker 2>Hey, Craig, before we let you go, promise we do

0:25:59.840 --> 0:26:02.840
<v Speaker 2>the thirty seconds at least on Verizon winning FCC approval

0:26:02.880 --> 0:26:05.720
<v Speaker 2>for its nine point six billion dollar acquisition of Frontier

0:26:06.200 --> 0:26:09.679
<v Speaker 2>Communications Parent Inc. Why do in your view did this

0:26:09.720 --> 0:26:10.320
<v Speaker 2>deal go through?

0:26:11.680 --> 0:26:14.639
<v Speaker 10>Well, I think it's pretty clear it went through because

0:26:14.680 --> 0:26:18.000
<v Speaker 10>they agreed to end all their DEI programs at Verizon

0:26:18.080 --> 0:26:22.520
<v Speaker 10>and the deal was approved minutes after that and so,

0:26:22.920 --> 0:26:24.960
<v Speaker 10>and that had been the hang up that the FCC

0:26:25.520 --> 0:26:27.480
<v Speaker 10>had had.

0:26:27.280 --> 0:26:27.920
<v Speaker 4>With the deal.

0:26:30.600 --> 0:26:33.960
<v Speaker 10>But it's also that deal is interesting because why is

0:26:34.040 --> 0:26:39.280
<v Speaker 10>Verizon buying Frontier. They're buying Frontier because they want a

0:26:39.320 --> 0:26:40.800
<v Speaker 10>bigger wireline footprint.

0:26:40.800 --> 0:26:41.440
<v Speaker 9>Remember they were.

0:26:41.359 --> 0:26:44.000
<v Speaker 2>Craig unfortunately got to leave it there. Craig Moffatt over

0:26:44.040 --> 0:26:45.080
<v Speaker 2>at mafat Nathansen.

0:26:45.760 --> 0:26:49.600
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week Daily Podcast. Catch

0:26:49.680 --> 0:26:52.840
<v Speaker 1>us live weekday afternoons from two to five eastering. Listen

0:26:52.920 --> 0:26:56.520
<v Speaker 1>on Apple Karplay and Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business app,

0:26:56.680 --> 0:26:59.240
<v Speaker 1>or watch us live on YouTube.

0:27:00.119 --> 0:27:02.560
<v Speaker 2>All right, well, we are watching all the economic data

0:27:02.680 --> 0:27:06.000
<v Speaker 2>that we are getting very closely, including real estate data.

0:27:06.480 --> 0:27:08.760
<v Speaker 2>Housing starts increased in April, as a pickup in multi

0:27:08.800 --> 0:27:11.600
<v Speaker 2>family home construction more than offseted decline in single family

0:27:11.680 --> 0:27:15.400
<v Speaker 2>dwellings caused by elevated inventory. Back with us as Katie Hubbard,

0:27:15.560 --> 0:27:18.960
<v Speaker 2>she's executive vice president of Capital Markets at Walton Global.

0:27:18.960 --> 0:27:22.080
<v Speaker 2>It's the privately owned asset and real estate investment company.

0:27:22.080 --> 0:27:24.720
<v Speaker 2>It's got about four point four billion dollars in nearly

0:27:24.760 --> 0:27:28.960
<v Speaker 2>eighty one thousand acres of land under management in the US. Katie,

0:27:29.000 --> 0:27:32.040
<v Speaker 2>always good to have you on the program. If you

0:27:32.040 --> 0:27:34.199
<v Speaker 2>think about where we are right now versus where we

0:27:34.240 --> 0:27:36.520
<v Speaker 2>are when we last spoke to you back in March,

0:27:37.080 --> 0:27:39.720
<v Speaker 2>what is the biggest shift that's taken place from your perch?

0:27:40.920 --> 0:27:42.760
<v Speaker 11>Yeah, Tim, thanks so much for having me. I would

0:27:42.800 --> 0:27:45.840
<v Speaker 11>say the biggest shift is just weak spring selling season.

0:27:46.480 --> 0:27:50.080
<v Speaker 11>Typically thirty seven percent of all sales by public homebuilders

0:27:50.119 --> 0:27:52.520
<v Speaker 11>are made in February through May, and they just have

0:27:52.640 --> 0:27:55.320
<v Speaker 11>not had the traffic. And it's really because of elevated

0:27:55.359 --> 0:27:58.640
<v Speaker 11>borrowing costs that we're seeing. Mortgage rates are still high,

0:27:58.680 --> 0:28:02.080
<v Speaker 11>and then the uncertainty and the is keeping people from shopping.

0:28:03.040 --> 0:28:06.240
<v Speaker 5>Katie, I want to get your take on the economic

0:28:06.359 --> 0:28:10.240
<v Speaker 5>data that we got out today housing starts, because I'm

0:28:10.240 --> 0:28:12.840
<v Speaker 5>looking at it, we have multi family home construction like

0:28:12.880 --> 0:28:17.960
<v Speaker 5>apartment buildings jumped, but then single family home construction decreased.

0:28:18.320 --> 0:28:20.480
<v Speaker 5>What do you make of this divergence? What is it

0:28:20.560 --> 0:28:25.479
<v Speaker 5>telling us about the overall housing economy right now?

0:28:25.840 --> 0:28:29.080
<v Speaker 11>Yes, I mean the public homebuilders are really doing what

0:28:29.119 --> 0:28:31.639
<v Speaker 11>they can to protect their balance sheets, so they're not

0:28:31.760 --> 0:28:34.920
<v Speaker 11>wanting to overbuild with the weak spring season, so they've

0:28:34.960 --> 0:28:38.000
<v Speaker 11>really pulled back on their housing starts. Typically they're going

0:28:38.080 --> 0:28:41.760
<v Speaker 11>to be starting about three homes per community across the nation,

0:28:41.880 --> 0:28:45.240
<v Speaker 11>and you're at less than two point seven homes per community,

0:28:45.320 --> 0:28:47.280
<v Speaker 11>So they're just building less because they don't want to

0:28:47.280 --> 0:28:49.800
<v Speaker 11>be stuck with inventory that they can't sell. Because when

0:28:49.800 --> 0:28:53.000
<v Speaker 11>they have inventory sitting there, they're having to slash prices

0:28:53.040 --> 0:28:55.720
<v Speaker 11>to keep the units going. And then there just continues

0:28:55.760 --> 0:28:58.200
<v Speaker 11>to be a pent up demand in the rental market

0:28:58.280 --> 0:29:01.240
<v Speaker 11>because of the lack of affordability in the single family market.

0:29:01.240 --> 0:29:07.120
<v Speaker 6>It's keeping the developers hungry to build. And on the multifamily.

0:29:06.760 --> 0:29:08.720
<v Speaker 2>Katie, let's go a big picture and talk about a

0:29:08.760 --> 0:29:10.640
<v Speaker 2>theme that has emerged over the last few years and

0:29:10.720 --> 0:29:14.160
<v Speaker 2>especially emerged during this last presidential election cycle, and that

0:29:14.240 --> 0:29:17.200
<v Speaker 2>has to do with housing affordability. Housing availability touched on

0:29:17.240 --> 0:29:20.440
<v Speaker 2>it when you talked about rental and home prices as well.

0:29:21.240 --> 0:29:24.280
<v Speaker 2>Are these homes going to get built in places where

0:29:24.440 --> 0:29:27.880
<v Speaker 2>homes don't traditionally get built. I mean, that was one

0:29:27.880 --> 0:29:30.680
<v Speaker 2>of the ideas that was presented during the campaign by

0:29:30.800 --> 0:29:33.760
<v Speaker 2>Vice President and then candidate Jade Vance was building on

0:29:33.840 --> 0:29:36.560
<v Speaker 2>federal lands. In your view, is that how the US

0:29:36.640 --> 0:29:38.320
<v Speaker 2>is going to tackle this housing problem?

0:29:39.880 --> 0:29:40.880
<v Speaker 6>That is a great question.

0:29:40.960 --> 0:29:43.520
<v Speaker 11>So we're just coming off of the ULI conference where

0:29:43.520 --> 0:29:45.720
<v Speaker 11>they're talking a lot about affordability and how we're going

0:29:45.800 --> 0:29:48.440
<v Speaker 11>to be able to build homes that not only are affordable,

0:29:48.480 --> 0:29:50.880
<v Speaker 11>but also attainable for people that aren't looking for, you know,

0:29:50.920 --> 0:29:55.800
<v Speaker 11>affordable homes with government assistants. Really what's happening is developers

0:29:55.800 --> 0:29:59.080
<v Speaker 11>are moving out into like further out into the suburbs

0:29:59.240 --> 0:30:01.720
<v Speaker 11>where they can build and the land is more affordable.

0:30:01.960 --> 0:30:03.880
<v Speaker 11>The challenge then, of course, then you don't have the

0:30:04.000 --> 0:30:07.560
<v Speaker 11>utilities availabilities, you don't have water sewer to be able

0:30:07.600 --> 0:30:10.520
<v Speaker 11>to build big master planned communities here and lies the

0:30:10.560 --> 0:30:13.320
<v Speaker 11>problem with the government. Yes, does own five hundred million

0:30:13.360 --> 0:30:15.880
<v Speaker 11>acres of land that they could just say, hey, you

0:30:15.880 --> 0:30:17.480
<v Speaker 11>can build on this, But then you have to have

0:30:17.560 --> 0:30:20.120
<v Speaker 11>public private partnerships and it has to be a win

0:30:20.160 --> 0:30:22.880
<v Speaker 11>win where everybody along the value chain can make money.

0:30:23.200 --> 0:30:24.680
<v Speaker 11>And then if you look at the land that the

0:30:24.680 --> 0:30:27.240
<v Speaker 11>government owns, it's the wrong land and the wrong location

0:30:27.400 --> 0:30:30.920
<v Speaker 11>without the availability to actually build on it.

0:30:31.000 --> 0:30:32.240
<v Speaker 6>Physically, you can't build.

0:30:32.520 --> 0:30:35.880
<v Speaker 11>And then the people who would be potentially living in

0:30:35.920 --> 0:30:38.800
<v Speaker 11>places where the government owns land, we're talking you know,

0:30:39.200 --> 0:30:41.360
<v Speaker 11>the desert, the mountains, there's no jobs there.

0:30:41.400 --> 0:30:43.280
<v Speaker 6>So that just it sounds good, but it's just not

0:30:43.320 --> 0:30:43.960
<v Speaker 6>a viable option.

0:30:44.120 --> 0:30:46.000
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I heard there are three things that are important

0:30:46.000 --> 0:30:50.040
<v Speaker 2>when it comes to real estate. Location, location, location, I've

0:30:50.040 --> 0:30:53.160
<v Speaker 2>heard that before. So then is the answer in up

0:30:53.280 --> 0:30:56.760
<v Speaker 2>zoning or rezoning? Is the answer in changing local laws

0:30:57.440 --> 0:31:01.120
<v Speaker 2>in municipalities to allow more dense home homes and perhaps

0:31:01.160 --> 0:31:04.720
<v Speaker 2>getting rid of parking requirements and really concentrating on areas

0:31:04.760 --> 0:31:07.920
<v Speaker 2>where the economic activity is and making sure that people

0:31:08.000 --> 0:31:10.720
<v Speaker 2>can find available housing in these areas. Is that the

0:31:10.800 --> 0:31:12.680
<v Speaker 2>key that really is.

0:31:12.600 --> 0:31:16.640
<v Speaker 11>We need deregulation to make permitting easier, to make the

0:31:16.800 --> 0:31:19.640
<v Speaker 11>densities better for developers so that they can make their

0:31:19.720 --> 0:31:23.200
<v Speaker 11>numbers pencil. The challenges just in those core in those

0:31:23.280 --> 0:31:25.680
<v Speaker 11>urban core areas where that we're talking about, there's not

0:31:25.760 --> 0:31:28.239
<v Speaker 11>a lot of availability of land. And I'm sure if

0:31:28.240 --> 0:31:31.120
<v Speaker 11>somebody came, you know, I wanted to build an affordable

0:31:31.400 --> 0:31:33.480
<v Speaker 11>multi family development on a park in.

0:31:33.400 --> 0:31:34.800
<v Speaker 6>Your neighborhood, you wouldn't want that.

0:31:34.880 --> 0:31:37.320
<v Speaker 11>So you've got, you know, the not mind backyard mentality

0:31:37.680 --> 0:31:40.200
<v Speaker 11>at Uli they were talking about, now they've got a

0:31:40.320 --> 0:31:43.760
<v Speaker 11>yigbee yes, and God's backyard where they're actually looking at

0:31:44.000 --> 0:31:47.920
<v Speaker 11>taking religious institutions that maybe are abandoned, are not being utilized,

0:31:48.200 --> 0:31:50.680
<v Speaker 11>and putting affordable housing in there. So there's a lot

0:31:50.680 --> 0:31:53.440
<v Speaker 11>of you know, discussion about ways to make it work,

0:31:53.520 --> 0:31:56.680
<v Speaker 11>and one of the ways is through just engineering. Being

0:31:56.680 --> 0:32:00.600
<v Speaker 11>able to build homes at a faster pace through through engineering.

0:32:00.720 --> 0:32:02.760
<v Speaker 11>So there's that is coming in. I would say, if

0:32:02.800 --> 0:32:05.520
<v Speaker 11>you've looked at Boxable, that's you know what you can

0:32:05.560 --> 0:32:07.120
<v Speaker 11>like unfold the house in three days.

0:32:07.360 --> 0:32:09.440
<v Speaker 6>Doing that on a larger scale with bigger buildings.

0:32:10.280 --> 0:32:15.360
<v Speaker 5>I'm wondering how tariffs and the trade war impact that.

0:32:15.560 --> 0:32:18.600
<v Speaker 5>What you're talking about specifically, like the speed at which

0:32:18.960 --> 0:32:22.640
<v Speaker 5>home builders can actually build and source raw materials, what

0:32:22.680 --> 0:32:25.440
<v Speaker 5>are you seeing right now about how tariffs are impacting

0:32:25.480 --> 0:32:26.720
<v Speaker 5>the housing supply chain?

0:32:27.000 --> 0:32:30.240
<v Speaker 11>Yeah, so today it's actually better than we thought. The

0:32:30.320 --> 0:32:35.040
<v Speaker 11>pause on the tariffs has helped right now, you're looking

0:32:35.080 --> 0:32:38.280
<v Speaker 11>at about two to four percent that has actually impacted

0:32:38.320 --> 0:32:41.960
<v Speaker 11>the building costs today and homebuilders just are not passing

0:32:41.960 --> 0:32:44.480
<v Speaker 11>that on to the end users. They were anticipating a

0:32:44.520 --> 0:32:47.120
<v Speaker 11>six point eight percent increase in materials this year, but

0:32:47.160 --> 0:32:48.840
<v Speaker 11>it's actually been less than expected.

0:32:49.200 --> 0:32:52.400
<v Speaker 2>What's the what's the biggest issue? Is it lumber from Canada?

0:32:52.480 --> 0:32:54.480
<v Speaker 2>Is it gypsum from Mexico?

0:32:54.560 --> 0:32:55.000
<v Speaker 4>What is it?

0:32:55.800 --> 0:32:57.880
<v Speaker 6>You know, it's really it's all of the above.

0:32:58.040 --> 0:33:01.520
<v Speaker 11>It's you know, you've got steel, you've got appliances coming

0:33:01.520 --> 0:33:04.320
<v Speaker 11>from China is a big one. The houses that they're

0:33:04.320 --> 0:33:07.200
<v Speaker 11>building today, they have purchased materials in the past, so

0:33:07.240 --> 0:33:09.800
<v Speaker 11>it's really looking forward. And that's another reason why they've

0:33:09.800 --> 0:33:12.640
<v Speaker 11>slowed down their starts, is because they don't really know

0:33:12.840 --> 0:33:14.520
<v Speaker 11>what the prices of those goods are going to be

0:33:14.520 --> 0:33:16.800
<v Speaker 11>for those future homes, and we really need that to

0:33:16.880 --> 0:33:18.400
<v Speaker 11>stabilize across the board.

0:33:18.400 --> 0:33:20.120
<v Speaker 6>But yes, it's all the things that you mentioned.

0:33:19.920 --> 0:33:21.120
<v Speaker 4>Him, Katie, What have you heard?

0:33:21.320 --> 0:33:22.840
<v Speaker 2>And you know, we talked about this a few months ago,

0:33:22.880 --> 0:33:24.200
<v Speaker 2>but I want to get an update from you on this.

0:33:24.320 --> 0:33:27.680
<v Speaker 2>What have you heard recently from the home builders about labor,

0:33:28.200 --> 0:33:30.840
<v Speaker 2>especially with regard to the immigration crackdown that we've seen

0:33:30.840 --> 0:33:33.720
<v Speaker 2>in the US. Our home builders finding enough people to

0:33:33.800 --> 0:33:36.640
<v Speaker 2>work for them, and then are their sub contractors finding

0:33:36.640 --> 0:33:37.280
<v Speaker 2>those folks too.

0:33:38.960 --> 0:33:41.360
<v Speaker 11>Yeah, what's interesting is that they're not really reporting a

0:33:41.360 --> 0:33:44.120
<v Speaker 11>shortage in labor. They're actually having some of their trades

0:33:44.160 --> 0:33:47.160
<v Speaker 11>contact them and asking for more work just because there

0:33:47.160 --> 0:33:49.920
<v Speaker 11>has been a slow down in construction across the board,

0:33:49.960 --> 0:33:52.440
<v Speaker 11>So that has not really affected them that much.

0:33:52.520 --> 0:33:53.840
<v Speaker 6>Yet. What where you're going.

0:33:53.760 --> 0:33:56.480
<v Speaker 11>To see that affect the market the most is in

0:33:56.560 --> 0:34:00.760
<v Speaker 11>the fifty unit in below multifamily market because the people

0:34:00.800 --> 0:34:03.360
<v Speaker 11>that are now not immigrating to the US or have

0:34:03.480 --> 0:34:06.480
<v Speaker 11>left are typically the renters that are renting those those

0:34:06.480 --> 0:34:08.319
<v Speaker 11>smaller multifamily houses.

0:34:09.080 --> 0:34:11.520
<v Speaker 5>Before we let you go, we have just about a

0:34:11.560 --> 0:34:14.200
<v Speaker 5>minute left, but I have to ask about mortgage rates

0:34:14.280 --> 0:34:17.640
<v Speaker 5>because Trump has been pressuring the Federal Reserve to cut

0:34:17.719 --> 0:34:22.480
<v Speaker 5>rates faster. Does the housing market need an acceleration in

0:34:22.520 --> 0:34:25.920
<v Speaker 5>the path of cutting rates? How much do we have

0:34:25.960 --> 0:34:27.799
<v Speaker 5>to see rates come down?

0:34:28.560 --> 0:34:31.840
<v Speaker 11>I mean, definitely the sweet spot is sub six percent.

0:34:31.880 --> 0:34:34.040
<v Speaker 11>There's so many people that are on the sidelines, you know,

0:34:34.080 --> 0:34:37.000
<v Speaker 11>waiting and hoping hearing that rates are coming down. Even

0:34:37.040 --> 0:34:39.840
<v Speaker 11>when the Fed does cut rates, though that doesn't typically

0:34:39.840 --> 0:34:42.200
<v Speaker 11>affect the thirty year fix. It's really tied to the

0:34:42.239 --> 0:34:45.600
<v Speaker 11>tenure treasury, and that is really tied to inflation. So

0:34:45.680 --> 0:34:48.879
<v Speaker 11>sticky inflation is keeping the tenure high. At six point

0:34:48.920 --> 0:34:51.560
<v Speaker 11>sevent eight is the thirty year fix today. We really

0:34:51.600 --> 0:34:53.640
<v Speaker 11>need the tenure to get down to about three point

0:34:53.719 --> 0:34:56.160
<v Speaker 11>seventy eight for the rates to hit below six. So

0:34:56.200 --> 0:34:58.359
<v Speaker 11>we don't see that happening this year or next year,

0:34:58.520 --> 0:34:59.920
<v Speaker 11>but that would definitely help.

0:35:00.640 --> 0:35:02.840
<v Speaker 2>Katie always good to check in with you. Appreciate you

0:35:02.880 --> 0:35:04.840
<v Speaker 2>taking the time and joining us on this Friday afternoon.

0:35:04.920 --> 0:35:08.320
<v Speaker 2>Katie Hubbard, she's executive a vice president of capital markets

0:35:08.320 --> 0:35:11.000
<v Speaker 2>over at a Walton Global. A reminder, they've got about

0:35:11.000 --> 0:35:13.680
<v Speaker 2>four point four billion dollars and eighty one thousand acres

0:35:13.680 --> 0:35:16.320
<v Speaker 2>in land throughout the US under management.

0:35:17.360 --> 0:35:22.040
<v Speaker 1>This is the Bloomberg Business Weekdaily podcast, available on Apple,

0:35:22.200 --> 0:35:26.560
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0:35:26.640 --> 0:35:30.480
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