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Speaker 1: The most valuable commodity I know of his information. Wouldn't

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Speaker 1: you agree? Great? On five dollars? This is a raal up?

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Speaker 1: How many tackle ship one? Man? You're saying that humans

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Speaker 1: need fantasy to make life bearable. Humans need fantasy to

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Speaker 1: be my goodness I speak, I suppose the best, relentless,

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Speaker 1: refusing to give up. All right, hit that horn, baby,

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Speaker 1: let's there and welcome to the Fantasy Flex Podcast, presenter

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Speaker 1: by Prize Picks. I am your host, Chris Raybond. This

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Speaker 1: is our week number six main sleet podcast, and joining

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Speaker 1: me as always my dude, Sean Kerner. Sean, what's going on? Man?

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Speaker 1: How you feeling?

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Speaker 2: Feel a lot better? And you know, just what a

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Speaker 2: wild week five? Looking forward to week six, we finally

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Speaker 2: have some bye weeks now. It's it's nice having just

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Speaker 2: a couple less matchups than we can, you know, really

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Speaker 2: dive into the matchups we have this week. But looking

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Speaker 2: forward to two week six, how's it going with you?

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Speaker 2: How how was the Dodger game? By the way, you

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Speaker 2: went to the Dodger game last night? Yeah, Dodger game

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Speaker 2: was was fun. It was my first Dodger game, low

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Speaker 2: scoring game. Pitcher's Duel won nothing. Giants won that one,

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Speaker 2: crazy win, no doubt. I think that was a unique

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Speaker 2: aspect of the game. I mean, there was a couple

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Speaker 2: of shots that.

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Speaker 1: The Dodgers hit that looked like they were going out,

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Speaker 1: including the last out of the game that didn't. So

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Speaker 1: it was fun. You know, I'm not I'm not a

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Speaker 1: Dodgers fan, so it didn't, you know, hurt me as

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Speaker 1: much as I'm sure it hurt most of the people

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Speaker 1: in that ballpark. But I enjoyed it.

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Speaker 2: I warned you about the parking lot at Dodgers Stadium,

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Speaker 2: an absolute nightmare getting in and especially getting out. So

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Speaker 2: we should have set up prop for how long it

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Speaker 2: would take you to get out of there. Two hours

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Speaker 2: would have been the line, right, And yeah, it was

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Speaker 2: over both ways. It was an over yeah. Yeah, playoff

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Speaker 2: game versus the Giants. That's probably as packed as Dodger

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Speaker 2: Stadium will get. So yeah, over two hours was not surprising.

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Speaker 1: Yeah.

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Speaker 3: So oh no, I watched about eight hours of projection time.

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Speaker 1: So if I don't know what the hell I'm talking

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Speaker 1: about today, that's why. But let's get into Let's start

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Speaker 1: with the Thursday night showdown Slate, and we got the

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Speaker 1: Philadelphia Eagles taking on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Tom Brady

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Speaker 1: popping up on the injury report with a thumb issue,

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Speaker 1: don't expect him to sit out or anything like that,

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Speaker 1: so we're gonna assume he plays. But Sean, who do

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Speaker 1: you like kind of a you know in your captain spot?

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Speaker 1: Who are you looking at?

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Speaker 3: On this Thursday night showdown slate?

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Speaker 1: I mean, this is a good slate to be honest.

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Speaker 2: There's so many different ways you can go, Like, I'm

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Speaker 2: not worried about Brady's thumb injury, and I keep saying,

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Speaker 2: you know, would not surprise me if if he breaks

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Speaker 2: Peyton Manning's single season touchdown record. So I think Brady

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Speaker 2: and the captain slot and then playing two or three

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Speaker 2: of the Tampa Bay receivers makes sense. They'll probably be

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Speaker 2: pretty chalky or just finding one of the Tampa Bay

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Speaker 2: receivers like a Chris Godwin or Mike Evans or Antonio

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Speaker 2: Brown the captain slot, you can't go wrong with that.

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Speaker 2: But I think I will end up going Jalen Hurts

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Speaker 2: in the captain slot.

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Speaker 1: Like I always say, he.

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Speaker 2: Is the living, breathing version of a DFS cheek code.

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Speaker 2: So I like having him there and then finding one

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Speaker 2: or two stacking partners for him, and without potentially without

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Speaker 2: Dallas Goddard this week, you know, it's gonna be a

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Speaker 2: little bit narrower target tree for the Eagles. So I

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Speaker 2: think it'll be pretty easy to stack the Eagles and

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Speaker 2: then send it back with a bunch of Buccaneers on

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Speaker 2: the way back.

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Speaker 1: Yeah. I like Hurts a lot. Tampa Bay's been blitzing

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Speaker 1: a lot because they you know, the back end is

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Speaker 1: kind of shaky all these injuries, so they're kind of

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Speaker 1: taking their route of Okay, let's just blitz. You know.

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Speaker 1: They did play a little more zone against the Miami

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Speaker 1: Dolphins last year and held off, but overall they've been

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Speaker 1: the most blitz heavy team forty percent blitz. So Jalen

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Speaker 1: Hurt normally kills the blitz in his career. He's been

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Speaker 1: really good. Started slow against the Panthers last week, but

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Speaker 1: overall this is a good matchup for Hurts in Tampa Bay.

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Speaker 1: I mean, they're really struggling just because of all these injuries.

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Speaker 1: It doesn't look like they're gonna get you know, their

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Speaker 1: key guys back on defense. They're getting Winfield back, I think,

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Speaker 1: but the cornerback situation.

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Speaker 3: I think they're still down their start, all their starters.

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Speaker 1: Yeah and out too. Yeah. So it's just a you know,

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Speaker 1: containing Hurts in the run game is going to be

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Speaker 1: more difficult. Containing Hurts through the air is going to

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Speaker 1: be difficult for the Bucks. Uh. And then if you

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Speaker 1: blitz them, which they've been doing to other teams, he's

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Speaker 1: really good against the blitz. So a good matchup for

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Speaker 1: the Eagles and Jalen Hurts in this spot, I like

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Speaker 1: him in the captain spot. I like that call. Mike

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Speaker 1: Evans would be the guy of the Tampa receivers that

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Speaker 1: I would go for the most. Philadelphia, very zone heavy team.

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Speaker 1: They have that Jonathan Gannon defense, which is kind of

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Speaker 1: an offshoot of the Brandon Staley you know, the quarters coverage,

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Speaker 1: two deep safeties uses the corners, go deep, drop back

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Speaker 1: deep as well. Mike Evans leads the Bucks with twenty

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Speaker 1: two targets, sixteen receptions, and over two hundred yards against

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Speaker 1: zone coverage. So last week, if you read my matchups

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Speaker 1: column about the main slate, I said look for Antonio

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Speaker 1: Brown to go off against the Dolphins because they're a

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Speaker 1: big man coverage team. So this week, I think now

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Speaker 1: it's gonna be and of course Evans and pretty much

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Speaker 1: everyone had a good game. But you know, this week,

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Speaker 1: I think it's in Evans week. You know, it really

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Speaker 1: sets up a lot better for Evans. I know a

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Speaker 1: lot of people are gonna jump on Brown now after

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Speaker 1: the big game, and he can beat any type of coverage,

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Speaker 1: but in these type of coverages that Philly runs, I

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Speaker 1: think the most likely candidate for the Monster game is

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Speaker 1: Mike Evans, So love him. And then I think Leonard

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Speaker 1: Fournette still deserves some love. You know, anytime you have

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Speaker 1: like a mysterious injury to a star player, I think

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Speaker 1: you always have to consider what would happen if they're

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Speaker 1: kind of playing. You know, it's a Thursday game.

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Speaker 2: You're referring to Brady's dumb injury, yeah, state, Yeah, yeah, yeah.

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Speaker 1: I just think you know he's gonna play. Tom Brady's

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Speaker 1: not gonna miss a game because of a thumb injury.

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Speaker 1: But short week defense is banged up. You might see

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Speaker 1: them keeping on the ground a little more than usual,

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Speaker 1: and you have a Eagles defense, an Eagles defense that's

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Speaker 1: twenty third in run defense DVA and twenty fifth in

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Speaker 1: DVOA on targets to opposing running backs according to football Outsiders,

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Speaker 1: So they haven't really been good against the run, which is,

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Speaker 1: you know, somewhat surprising because they have a pretty good front,

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Speaker 1: but he's been better pass rushing. And then you know,

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Speaker 1: obviously Brandon Graham out, you know, hurt stat front a

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Speaker 1: little bit. So they haven't been good against running backs

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Speaker 1: or as good as they normally are. So still a

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Speaker 1: good matchup for Net who's getting about sixty percent of

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Speaker 1: the non quarter well pretty much sixty percent of the

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Speaker 1: carries because Tom Brady's not carrying the ball. Though he

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Speaker 1: did have a scramble last week. He did have a

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Speaker 1: pretty season high scramble yardage last week.

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Speaker 2: Every week he's had a pretty long scramble. It seems

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Speaker 2: he's trying to get stay over a thousand career rushing yards, right, Yeah,

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Speaker 2: I had no He refuses to take Neil downs because

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Speaker 2: he's trying to stay above. But I think he's well

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Speaker 2: above one thousand yards. Now I need a double check,

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Speaker 2: But yeah, I love the Furnette call and he's the

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Speaker 2: true workhorse back. And last week he had a sixty

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Speaker 2: percent routes run Ray and Jio Bernard was only seventeen percent.

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Speaker 2: So really the only game that we've seen Jue Bernard

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Speaker 2: really go off as a pass catcher was that trailing

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Speaker 2: game script. So it seems like whenever the Buccaneers are

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Speaker 2: playing with the lead or a close game like, Fournette's

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Speaker 2: going to be the main guy. So I certainly love

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Speaker 2: the call, Like, if you think Brady's gonna be held

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Speaker 2: back at all with this stumb injury, Fournette's a nice

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Speaker 2: pivot play there.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, And you know, between Fournette and Evans, I think

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Speaker 1: you could have it Hurts. You could really play around

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Speaker 1: with some different combinations with all of those guys in

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Speaker 1: there and even still go Brady, but just maybe not

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Speaker 1: in the captains. But maybe it's not like a five

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Speaker 1: hundred yard game this week for Brady. But what about

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Speaker 1: you know our DFS cheek CODs. You know some guys

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Speaker 1: maybe a little bit well roster percentage or you know,

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Speaker 1: pretty cheap kind of guys. Who are you looking at there?

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Speaker 2: I mean, there's so many obvious plays in this game,

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Speaker 2: So I'm just going to talk about two guys on

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Speaker 2: the Eagles I think are sneaky. The first is obviously

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Speaker 2: Quiz Watkins, Like he's an eight r touchdown waiting to happen.

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Speaker 2: So this is a matchup. I could see him going

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Speaker 2: off wonderful stacking partner with Jalen Hurts is using Quiz

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Speaker 2: Watkins potentially in the captain slot too. I might throw

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Speaker 2: one team out there with Watkins in the captain slot.

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Speaker 2: But I think the sneaky play here is Jack Stole.

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Speaker 2: You know, Dallas Godder just got placed on the COVID

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Speaker 2: list and the fact that this game is Thursday night

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Speaker 2: does not bode well for his chances to suit up.

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Speaker 2: So I think everybody is going to be on zach

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Speaker 2: Ertz and rightfully so. I mean he's my tight end

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Speaker 2: ten to open up the week. But Jack Stole will

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Speaker 2: see playing time. You know, the Eagles will still use

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Speaker 2: heavy two tight end sets, and Jack Stole's a guy.

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Speaker 2: If you're watching preseason, you got to see him in

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Speaker 2: action and he gets certainly stepped into a pass catching role.

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Speaker 2: It would not shock me if he ends up getting

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Speaker 2: you know, three to four catches here, potentially a touchdown,

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Speaker 2: low rostership percentage, I don't.

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Speaker 1: Think he'll be a popular play.

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Speaker 2: So he's a guy that I would consider a possible

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Speaker 2: cheat code for this showdown site.

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Speaker 1: If they would this, would it change your mind if

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Speaker 1: they like randomly just like brought up, elevated Richard Rodgers

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Speaker 1: or signed him.

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Speaker 3: I don't even know if he's on the practice squader. Yeah, no, Togi.

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Speaker 1: Right now, I don't know who's their tight end that

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Speaker 1: they have.

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Speaker 2: They had Tyree Jackson who looked really good in preseason,

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Speaker 2: but he's on IR. Jason Crume's on IR. So all

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Speaker 2: the guys that they potentially call up that I'd be

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Speaker 2: worried about are on IR.

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Speaker 1: Ye.

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Speaker 2: But yeah, like I don't I don't know if Richard

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Speaker 2: Rodgers is on the practice I don't even think he is.

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Speaker 1: I think it's Togy. I. I just know the Eagles,

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Speaker 1: and I feel like, if Godard's gonna miss, they'll just

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Speaker 1: signed Richard Rodgers to like a one day contract. Oh

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Speaker 1: they better not.

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Speaker 2: If they do, then obviously that's gonna six up for me.

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Speaker 2: But just just watching the preseason and hearing the coaches

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Speaker 2: talk about him, they do like him. So this is

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Speaker 2: the spot he could step up. And again, it's kind

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Speaker 2: of like Grayson last night. It would not surprise me

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Speaker 2: if he ends up with zero catches, but he should

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Speaker 2: see playing time and he has flash in preseason. So

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Speaker 2: that's why these lights are fun, because sometimes you have

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Speaker 2: to take a wild ass flier like this and for

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Speaker 2: this light, I think it's going to be Stole for me.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and again this is you know, it's a good

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Speaker 1: matchup for Hurts and a guy like Stole. All you

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Speaker 1: need is like a touchdown catch one catch for a touchdown.

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Speaker 2: You know, I would love a touchout. All you need

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Speaker 2: is like three catches for thirty yards.

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Speaker 1: Really, I mean I I just I feel like that's

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Speaker 1: harder to get than like just one catch for a yard.

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Speaker 1: That's a little play action because like Hurts, Hurts ran

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Speaker 1: it in last week. Did you see that against Carolina? Yeah,

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Speaker 1: so this week you gotta just play action. Sneak out Stole,

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Speaker 1: who's probably going to be wind up inside of Hurts,

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Speaker 1: and then you know, just wide open for the touchdown

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Speaker 1: in the end.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, just watch. It will be like busting Scott.

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Speaker 1: Oh no, don't put that out in the world. No, yeah,

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Speaker 1: that would be.

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Speaker 2: The most goals thing ever. Of course it's gonna bust

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Speaker 2: in Scott.

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Speaker 1: But no, I like I like to call I Yeah,

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Speaker 1: I doubt got her. It's gonna play uh and That's

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Speaker 1: why I really like zach Ertz. Even if Goddar plays,

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Speaker 1: I like him. I think if he plays, his Art's

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Speaker 1: roster ship is obviously going to go down. But if

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Speaker 1: he doesn't, he's a great value because guess how many

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Speaker 1: pass blocking snaps Ertz has this year? Since you're asking

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Speaker 1: that way, I'm i guessing it's low. Is it under five? Yes?

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Speaker 1: How much? Is it less than three? Yes? Is it zero?

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Speaker 1: That's not zero, it's one. It's one enough he has.

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Speaker 1: He has a single pass blocking snap. It came in

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Speaker 1: Week three against the Kansas City Chiefs. He has one

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Speaker 1: hundred and twenty let me see what that is. Three too.

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Speaker 1: He's one hundred and twenty eight routes and one pass

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Speaker 1: blocking snap this year. So if Art is in the

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Speaker 1: game and he's gonna play, he's going to play close

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Speaker 1: to a full compliment of snaps. Yeah, he'll block a

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Speaker 1: little more than like once, but he may get like

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Speaker 1: a route on like eighty percent of the dropbacks. If

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Speaker 1: you know, if he's that number one tight end and

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Speaker 1: the Eagles have played with at least one tight end

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Speaker 1: on the field pretty much every snap, so uh, this

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Speaker 1: this could just be a blow up spot. For Ertz,

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Speaker 1: this could be the Ertz of old. Uh. When you

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Speaker 1: know in terms of the game and you look at

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Speaker 1: Tampa Bay, they're gonna they're gonna have to help their cornerbacks.

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Speaker 1: You know this is Davonte Smith. This is you still

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Speaker 1: have Rager Watkins, like you said, is a big touchdown

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Speaker 1: waiting to happen. So it's not you know you're gonna

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Speaker 1: have to give up something, and it's I think it's

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Speaker 1: gonna be the tight end. Buck's allowing the sixth most

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Speaker 1: Fantasy points. Two tight ends, they're allowing the ninth most

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Speaker 1: yards and with the three hundred and twenty through five games,

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Speaker 1: and the most catches tied for the most catches thirty

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Speaker 1: six catches, uh to tight ends through five weeks. So

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Speaker 1: love arts. Same same thing goes for Stole there. And

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Speaker 1: then another guy I want to talk about real quick

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Speaker 1: is Tyrad Johnson. And that's because Chris Godwin got nicked

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Speaker 1: up in that Miami game. He was limited in practice

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Speaker 1: with knee and ankle injuries. Now again, I don't think

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Speaker 1: Godwin's gonna sit out. The fact that he was limited

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Speaker 1: tells me he's going to play. But Godwin ran around

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Speaker 1: on only seventy three percent of the dropbacks. Last week,

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Speaker 1: Johnson was up at fifty six percent. So it's a

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Speaker 1: short week knee and ankle with a wide receiver. There

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Speaker 1: are a lot of different way reasons that Godwin snaps

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Speaker 1: could be limited, whether there's just a plan to limit

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Speaker 1: him because of the injuries, whether they start blowing him

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Speaker 1: out and they take him out early, or whether you know,

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Speaker 1: he just gets more nicked up in the game. There

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Speaker 1: are a lot of different routes to him kind of

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Speaker 1: being on a bit of a snap count this week,

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Speaker 1: and you could see Johnson getting you know, upwards of

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Speaker 1: half the routes for dropback. That's big for a guy

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Speaker 1: price that well. So like Johnson, you know, he's a

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Speaker 1: talented guy. We saw him flash a couple of times

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Speaker 1: down the stretch last year. There are even times when

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Speaker 1: he was kind of overtaking Scotty Miller, who now is out.

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Speaker 1: So this could be a good game for Johnson this

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Speaker 1: week against the Eagles.

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Speaker 3: So Johnson and an Ertzemon.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I like that call as well.

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Speaker 2: I think, yeah, like you said, a lot of his

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Speaker 2: So he ran around fifty six percent at a time

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Speaker 2: that that was obviously due to the blowout, but you know,

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Speaker 2: Chris Godwin being banged up certainly played into it. But

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Speaker 2: they I think they played less two tight end sets

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Speaker 2: or they just they didn't run their tight ends out

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Speaker 2: there as much without Cronk. So maybe that sticks this

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Speaker 2: week and we could bank on Johnson to get over

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Speaker 2: you know, thirty five percent rets front. But yeah, I

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Speaker 2: love Johnson and he would be like a top two

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Speaker 2: receiver on just you know a handful of teams. It

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Speaker 2: just shows how loaded the Buccaneers hoss catchers are. But

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Speaker 2: if he were to trade be traded Lions, he would

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Speaker 2: immediately be their number one receiver. So he's very talented.

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Speaker 2: Any any spot like this where we can get some

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Speaker 2: Tyler Johnson, I'm all for it.

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Speaker 1: And I don't even know if the blowout really impacted

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Speaker 1: Godwin because Evan's played eighty eight percent of the snaps

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Speaker 1: and Evans season averages eighty eight percent, so uh, you know,

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Speaker 1: you would you would think they would take you know,

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Speaker 1: Evans out as well, but it was more it might

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Speaker 1: have just been Godwin got banged up, so we'll see. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: I we had to look.

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Speaker 2: I'm trying to say, like, did they play more four

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Speaker 2: wide receiver sets or something.

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Speaker 1: I haven't looked at the brains. So it was Evans

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Speaker 1: eighty eight percent, God Wins seventy three percent, Brown sixty seven,

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Speaker 1: Johnson fifty six. So yeah, they went their tight end.

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Speaker 1: The two tight end cents definitely went down a bit

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Speaker 1: from their normal averages. But I just don't I don't

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Speaker 1: know if it was the blowout that necessarily impacted God

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Speaker 1: or if it was the injury because Evans played his

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Speaker 1: normal snap, So yeah, it's probably a comment of both.

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Speaker 2: And you know, Scottie Miller's on IR, so Tyler Johnson's

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Speaker 2: absorbing all of those snaps as well. So yeah, Johnson's

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Speaker 2: stock has certainly gone up.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and yeah, and I mean because Jayden Mickens did

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Speaker 1: play a season high thirteen percent, so he's not usually

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Speaker 1: a guy that's going to factor in too much, So

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Speaker 1: I think that was that was probably due to the blowout.

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Speaker 1: But yeah, either way, Johnson town a guy like him.

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Speaker 1: That was our Thursday night showdown breakdown. Let's get into

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Speaker 1: the main slate, and we got the London game this week,

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Speaker 1: so that's off the main slate, and that's the Jaguar

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Speaker 1: and the Miami Dolphins. What I mean, what a fun game,

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Speaker 1: that would be. But let's get into quarterbacks. Sean, who

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Speaker 1: do you got for your top five at quarterback this week?

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Speaker 2: It's my top five right now are Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson,

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Speaker 2: Patrick Mahomes, Tom Brady, and Kyler Murray. I would say

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Speaker 2: it's like a five way tie for first. I mean,

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Speaker 2: how stacked is the top five right now? It's insane.

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Speaker 2: And that's not even including guys like Justin Herbert, Dak Prescott,

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Speaker 2: like the cream of the crop. That quarterback is so

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Speaker 2: insane right now. It makes it really tricky to like

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Speaker 2: project who's the top five? So is your top five

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Speaker 2: different than that? Or is it the same guys?

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Speaker 1: It's the same top four? Allen, Lamar, Mahomes, Brady. I

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Speaker 1: actually have Hurts a tad bit ahead of Murray for

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Speaker 1: that fifth spot.

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Speaker 3: You know it's I mean, both of those guys you

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Speaker 3: can't really hold wrong.

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Speaker 1: Cleveland was playing good defense and then Justin Herbert was

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Speaker 1: the quarterback one against them, so you know, Murray might

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Speaker 1: end up overtaking him. But this Tampa Bay defense is

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Speaker 1: just so banged up and the way they're playing, you know,

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Speaker 1: kind of plays perfectly into what Hurts does. That. You know,

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Speaker 1: I think he'll have a great game too, So you know,

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Speaker 1: it's it is, it's super stacked this week, and it's

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Speaker 1: crazy because the one guy maybe not playing as well

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Speaker 1: as the others is Patrick Mahomes So it's you know,

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Speaker 1: I mean, it's it's kind of interesting to see if

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Speaker 1: he'll were bound. I think he will. That Washington defense

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Speaker 1: has been just a nightmare against the pass.

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Speaker 2: So just the chief the Chiefs defense is such a

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Speaker 2: nightmare right now. I think that's going to just elevate

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Speaker 2: Mahomes sealing the rest of the way that they know

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Speaker 2: they have to put up like forty points now. So

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Speaker 2: just just how bad the Chiefs defense is playing means

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Speaker 2: mahomes stock is going to go up, I think.

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Speaker 1: All right. So the one guy that we didn't mention,

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Speaker 1: well we mentioned him, but he was the QB one

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Speaker 1: last week, Justin Herbert. He is the fourth highest priced

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Speaker 1: quarterback on DraftKings, seventy three hundred going against a Baltimore

378
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Speaker 1: defense on a short week that just gave up four

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Speaker 1: hundred yards to Carson went So where is Herbert in

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Speaker 1: your rankings? And is he a guy that even though

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Speaker 1: he's not in that you know, top five for you,

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Speaker 1: a guy that you would you'll be rostering in tournaments. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: so he's my QB seven on the week.

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Speaker 2: Again, nothing against Herbert, it's just everybody else's, you know,

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Speaker 2: projecting well this week. It's a little bit tougher matchup,

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Speaker 2: but Herbert is matchup proof right now. And for DFS,

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Speaker 2: this is certainly a game that we want to stack.

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Speaker 2: I think it's going to be very popular stacking this game.

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Speaker 2: But I'm at the point where you just kind of

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Speaker 2: jam Herbert in. I mean, pairing him with Mike Williams

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Speaker 2: has been money. I like Keenan Allen this week. So

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Speaker 2: it's just so easy to stack Herbert and GPPs. So

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Speaker 2: even though he's ranked seven on this week, you can't

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Speaker 2: go wrong with him. He still has a massive ceiling.

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Speaker 2: And yeah he was a QB one last week, so

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Speaker 2: you know, it's just it's hard to project him higher

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Speaker 2: than these guys because he doesn't provide mush, you know,

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Speaker 2: rushing stats. You know, a guy like Jalen Hurts or

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Speaker 2: Kyler Murray, they at least have the rushing stats to

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Speaker 2: boos Ter Florence ceilings. So that's the only knock against Herbert.

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Speaker 2: But he certainly can produce in the air. So, like

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Speaker 2: I said, just these top seven quarterbacks, you really can't

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Speaker 2: go wrong with any of them right now.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and you know the good thing about the Chargers

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Speaker 1: is they're wett and Herbert dropped back about two thirds

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Speaker 1: of the time. So even though he's not getting their

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Speaker 1: Russian stats, he's passing.

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Speaker 3: You know, they're throwing more and he's really good at throwing.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, yeah, he's you know, he's my QB seven

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Speaker 1: to and then Stafford and then Heinike, he's actually in

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Speaker 1: my top ten. So let's let's talk about some guys

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Speaker 1: we like at quarterback outside that stud tier. And I

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Speaker 1: think Hayinanke for me, is one of the first guys

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Speaker 1: I'm looking at. He's fifty eight hundred on DraftKings going

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Speaker 1: up against the Kansas City Defense, which is thirty first

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Speaker 1: in past DVOA. I don't know how they're not thirty second.

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Speaker 1: Who is thirty second? Let me let's see who's thirty second.

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Speaker 1: Of course the Jaguars, of course, of course, of course,

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Speaker 1: how like that's even that's actually an absurd stat Like

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Speaker 1: how has somebody been worse than the chiefs in Batah?

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Speaker 1: That's bizarre. I mean instructing the schedule sop.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, there you go.

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Speaker 1: Uh so, yeah, the Chiefs have been bad Tarya, heinike

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Speaker 1: can move a little on the ground. Should be a

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Speaker 1: high scoring game because Washington is twenty ninth in past

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Speaker 1: defense DV aways so and Kansas City just lost it's

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Speaker 1: starting running back Clyde Edwards Lair for a few weeks.

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Speaker 1: So this is a get right game for Patrick Mahomes

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Speaker 1: is a get right game for the Chiefs, which means

430
00:20:48,320 --> 00:20:50,600
Speaker 1: it should be a high scoring one, which means Heinikee

431
00:20:51,240 --> 00:20:53,200
Speaker 1: will be leaned on it. And there I don't know

432
00:20:53,240 --> 00:20:56,520
Speaker 1: if you saw the news that Ryan Fitzpatrick's could be

433
00:20:56,560 --> 00:20:58,720
Speaker 1: back soon. So I think Heineke is gonna be He's

434
00:20:58,720 --> 00:21:00,639
Speaker 1: gonna go yolo in this one. You know, It's like

435
00:21:00,680 --> 00:21:03,320
Speaker 1: no one's expecting him to win this game. They're gonna

436
00:21:03,359 --> 00:21:05,600
Speaker 1: need to put up thirty plus points if they want

437
00:21:05,600 --> 00:21:06,919
Speaker 1: to even have a chance. They're gonna need to put

438
00:21:07,000 --> 00:21:08,800
Speaker 1: up three hundred plus yards of passing offense to have

439
00:21:08,840 --> 00:21:12,160
Speaker 1: a chance. So I just like everything for tale Heinicky

440
00:21:12,440 --> 00:21:13,000
Speaker 1: in this spot.

441
00:21:13,560 --> 00:21:15,520
Speaker 2: I am right there with you. I just wrote him

442
00:21:15,600 --> 00:21:17,960
Speaker 2: up as my top streamer play this week. It's pretty

443
00:21:17,960 --> 00:21:20,879
Speaker 2: obvious because you know he's more lined top ten and

444
00:21:20,920 --> 00:21:24,680
Speaker 2: I even mentioned that the motivating factor that Ryan Fitzpatrick

445
00:21:25,320 --> 00:21:27,719
Speaker 2: is potentially returning this week, and if if Heineke has

446
00:21:27,720 --> 00:21:30,960
Speaker 2: a good game, you know they probably won't force Fitzpatrick

447
00:21:30,960 --> 00:21:32,879
Speaker 2: out there. You know, they they already like Heinike. He

448
00:21:32,920 --> 00:21:35,120
Speaker 2: played well in the playoffs last year when they needed him,

449
00:21:35,760 --> 00:21:37,480
Speaker 2: so this is a proven spot for him. It's a

450
00:21:37,480 --> 00:21:41,040
Speaker 2: great matchup. He's only fifty six hundred. He's about as

451
00:21:41,160 --> 00:21:42,679
Speaker 2: cheap I would go. I don't think this is a

452
00:21:42,720 --> 00:21:45,919
Speaker 2: week we need to explore Jared Goff or Carson Wentz.

453
00:21:46,520 --> 00:21:49,880
Speaker 2: They're probably underpriced, but I think Heinike's the cheapest we'll

454
00:21:49,920 --> 00:21:51,560
Speaker 2: go because, like I said, you know, you can't go

455
00:21:51,600 --> 00:21:54,879
Speaker 2: wrong with these studs. So you know Heiniky certainly if

456
00:21:54,880 --> 00:21:56,520
Speaker 2: you're trying to save some money and spend up at

457
00:21:56,520 --> 00:21:59,760
Speaker 2: other positions, he is the best player quarterback this week.

458
00:22:01,000 --> 00:22:05,040
Speaker 1: Yeah, I love it. Anyone else you're looking at in

459
00:22:05,080 --> 00:22:06,600
Speaker 1: these quarterback tiers?

460
00:22:07,560 --> 00:22:09,439
Speaker 3: What do you think about Matthew Stafford this week?

461
00:22:09,880 --> 00:22:10,160
Speaker 1: Yeah?

462
00:22:10,200 --> 00:22:12,919
Speaker 2: So I wrote him down as a top play because

463
00:22:13,800 --> 00:22:16,080
Speaker 2: you know, he's pretty cheap this week sixty seven hundred.

464
00:22:16,080 --> 00:22:19,000
Speaker 2: I think people overlook him just because the Rams are

465
00:22:19,040 --> 00:22:21,679
Speaker 2: like eleven point favorites. We don't know who's sitting up

466
00:22:21,680 --> 00:22:24,640
Speaker 2: for the Giants yet, so people may shy away because

467
00:22:24,640 --> 00:22:26,879
Speaker 2: it's going to be a blowout. But he still has

468
00:22:26,920 --> 00:22:28,840
Speaker 2: a high ceiling, like he could still go off for

469
00:22:28,960 --> 00:22:32,920
Speaker 2: three hundred yards three touchdowns, so he could be kind

470
00:22:32,920 --> 00:22:35,879
Speaker 2: of a low rostered kind of contrarian play this week

471
00:22:36,000 --> 00:22:39,679
Speaker 2: and affordable, so I wouldn't sleep on him. But the

472
00:22:39,720 --> 00:22:42,639
Speaker 2: other guy at the top, like Lamar Jackson, would not

473
00:22:42,720 --> 00:22:45,040
Speaker 2: be seventy four hundred if they were to re priced

474
00:22:45,040 --> 00:22:47,960
Speaker 2: players after last night, Like he should probably be eight

475
00:22:48,040 --> 00:22:51,160
Speaker 2: k by now, because you know I mentioned it going

476
00:22:51,200 --> 00:22:53,600
Speaker 2: into last night, Like he's looked a lot more like

477
00:22:53,640 --> 00:22:57,439
Speaker 2: the twenty nineteen version of Lamar Jackson, maybe even better,

478
00:22:58,320 --> 00:23:00,560
Speaker 2: as opposed to the twenty twenty version last year where

479
00:23:00,560 --> 00:23:02,440
Speaker 2: he was kind of a bust. And he could be

480
00:23:02,520 --> 00:23:05,800
Speaker 2: giving Rashaan Bateman this week, So you know, the needles

481
00:23:05,800 --> 00:23:09,080
Speaker 2: pointing up for Lamar Jackson. This game against the Chargers

482
00:23:09,160 --> 00:23:11,399
Speaker 2: is going to be a shootout, and the Chargers have

483
00:23:11,440 --> 00:23:14,880
Speaker 2: struggled against run this year. They're thirty first in DVA,

484
00:23:15,000 --> 00:23:16,719
Speaker 2: so you know, Lamar might have a one hundred yard

485
00:23:16,800 --> 00:23:19,920
Speaker 2: rushing game, so he has the highest ceiling I think

486
00:23:20,240 --> 00:23:22,160
Speaker 2: this week, and he's only seventy four hundred, so.

487
00:23:22,960 --> 00:23:24,720
Speaker 1: He'll be popular this week. But I think I'll still

488
00:23:24,760 --> 00:23:26,560
Speaker 1: jam him in there. Yeah, I think he should be

489
00:23:26,600 --> 00:23:31,160
Speaker 1: the cash game course. Yeah, absolutely, Yeah. And it's tough

490
00:23:31,240 --> 00:23:33,800
Speaker 1: because the the Ravens used to be a team that

491
00:23:34,240 --> 00:23:35,960
Speaker 1: a team like the Chargers. You know, they're well coached

492
00:23:35,960 --> 00:23:39,399
Speaker 1: on defense, Brandon Staley, and we saw it against the Raiders,

493
00:23:39,520 --> 00:23:42,359
Speaker 1: right they decided they wanted to stop the run, and

494
00:23:42,400 --> 00:23:46,240
Speaker 1: they did it. But I think in a matchup like this,

495
00:23:46,520 --> 00:23:49,720
Speaker 1: Lamar now he's become so dangerous as a passer, and

496
00:23:49,760 --> 00:23:51,399
Speaker 1: we started to see that even in Week one, like

497
00:23:51,440 --> 00:23:53,760
Speaker 1: they just he just looked a little different as a passer,

498
00:23:53,960 --> 00:23:56,399
Speaker 1: even though the numbers weren't always there or like you know,

499
00:23:56,440 --> 00:23:58,120
Speaker 1: there were some fumbles and other things kind of getting

500
00:23:58,160 --> 00:24:00,960
Speaker 1: in the way. But now you know, he's throwing it deep.

501
00:24:01,000 --> 00:24:03,600
Speaker 1: Marku's Brown scores at least one touchdown pretty much every game.

502
00:24:03,680 --> 00:24:06,560
Speaker 1: Mark Andrews is a threat. You know. It's just like

503
00:24:07,200 --> 00:24:09,520
Speaker 1: now Lamar could throw for three hundred plus. So I

504
00:24:09,560 --> 00:24:11,560
Speaker 1: don't know if the Chargers can get out of that

505
00:24:11,640 --> 00:24:13,879
Speaker 1: too deep, you know, safety look that they like to

506
00:24:13,920 --> 00:24:17,680
Speaker 1: stay in and play the run here because they Baltimore

507
00:24:17,680 --> 00:24:18,720
Speaker 1: probably makes them pay.

508
00:24:19,240 --> 00:24:22,000
Speaker 3: This version of Baltimore. So yeah, I like Lamar is.

509
00:24:22,320 --> 00:24:25,760
Speaker 2: And imagine if imagine if Holly Brown didn't drop what

510
00:24:25,840 --> 00:24:27,840
Speaker 2: was it, two or three wide open touchdowns?

511
00:24:28,119 --> 00:24:29,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, in week three I think it was.

512
00:24:29,640 --> 00:24:32,920
Speaker 2: Imagine how good Lamar would look if you know, Brown

513
00:24:32,960 --> 00:24:36,840
Speaker 2: caught those balls. Yeah, And so what's going on this spread?

514
00:24:36,880 --> 00:24:37,080
Speaker 1: Though?

515
00:24:37,280 --> 00:24:40,359
Speaker 2: Just you know, davor a little bit here, but the

516
00:24:40,440 --> 00:24:42,680
Speaker 2: Ravens are minus street like ninety nine percent of the

517
00:24:42,720 --> 00:24:46,040
Speaker 2: money is on the Chargers, which makes.

518
00:24:45,400 --> 00:24:47,400
Speaker 1: Like, what the hell is going on here?

519
00:24:47,400 --> 00:24:51,280
Speaker 2: This is obviously a preview to you and Stucky's part tomorrow, but.

520
00:24:51,359 --> 00:24:53,639
Speaker 1: Like, is this a trap game? What's going on with

521
00:24:53,680 --> 00:24:56,640
Speaker 1: the spread? Well, Baltimore just played a long ass game

522
00:24:56,640 --> 00:24:59,280
Speaker 1: where they got down nineteen points to the colt and

523
00:24:59,320 --> 00:25:03,960
Speaker 1: they're on a short week, and again Staley good defensive coordinator.

524
00:25:04,040 --> 00:25:07,600
Speaker 1: The Chargers just outscored the Browns in Cleveland. I mean not,

525
00:25:07,640 --> 00:25:09,359
Speaker 1: let me say it again. The Chargers just put up

526
00:25:09,400 --> 00:25:12,360
Speaker 1: what pretty much fifty points on the Browns. Almost It's

527
00:25:12,480 --> 00:25:15,920
Speaker 1: you know, some conversions that been different. But uh yeah,

528
00:25:16,400 --> 00:25:18,120
Speaker 1: you know, I think early in the week that ninety

529
00:25:18,160 --> 00:25:20,679
Speaker 1: nine percent is probably just like one big bet on

530
00:25:20,760 --> 00:25:22,720
Speaker 1: the Chargers, and I think it might have been I'm

531
00:25:22,760 --> 00:25:24,920
Speaker 1: not gonna lie, it might have been at three and

532
00:25:24,960 --> 00:25:26,919
Speaker 1: a half too, right like this, the line was at

533
00:25:26,920 --> 00:25:29,320
Speaker 1: three and a half and I think it. I think

534
00:25:29,320 --> 00:25:32,119
Speaker 1: it went to three or something like that. So I

535
00:25:32,160 --> 00:25:35,120
Speaker 1: certainly get it. I think the Chargers they're gonna they're

536
00:25:35,119 --> 00:25:36,679
Speaker 1: in any any game. Chargers.

537
00:25:36,680 --> 00:25:38,800
Speaker 2: I mean, I'm I'm projecting Baltimore minus one and a

538
00:25:38,840 --> 00:25:40,800
Speaker 2: half here, what's your projection.

539
00:25:41,600 --> 00:25:43,240
Speaker 1: I've got to look at it, but I'm pretty sure

540
00:25:43,240 --> 00:25:44,879
Speaker 1: it's it's yeah, it's gonna be like one and a

541
00:25:44,920 --> 00:25:46,119
Speaker 1: half or two. I think it's not.

542
00:25:46,400 --> 00:25:50,000
Speaker 3: It's there's gonna be like there's no field goal, definitely.

543
00:25:50,640 --> 00:25:56,639
Speaker 1: So yeah, it's uh yeah, again, that's well. I mean

544
00:25:56,680 --> 00:25:58,359
Speaker 1: it could be a trap for Baltimore though, you know,

545
00:25:58,560 --> 00:26:02,440
Speaker 1: as the favorite. So it kind of worries me having

546
00:26:02,440 --> 00:26:04,560
Speaker 1: Herbert like seven, but it's like, yeah, you can't knock

547
00:26:04,760 --> 00:26:06,480
Speaker 1: Kyler down, you can't knock Hurts down.

548
00:26:07,000 --> 00:26:10,560
Speaker 3: It's tough, but yeah, that's quarterback.

549
00:26:10,880 --> 00:26:14,919
Speaker 1: Let's get a prop who's our quarterback prop this week, so.

550
00:26:15,000 --> 00:26:17,600
Speaker 2: We're sticking with this game. This is probably the best

551
00:26:17,640 --> 00:26:20,520
Speaker 2: match of the week in my mind. But so which

552
00:26:20,600 --> 00:26:24,400
Speaker 2: quarterback will have the most combined passing and rushing yards?

553
00:26:24,520 --> 00:26:26,840
Speaker 2: Justin Herbert oral Lamar Jackson.

554
00:26:29,000 --> 00:26:33,280
Speaker 1: I have Herbert at like three twenty seven and Jackson

555
00:26:33,280 --> 00:26:37,720
Speaker 1: at like three. Yeah, so I'm going Herbert here, just

556
00:26:37,720 --> 00:26:40,399
Speaker 1: because it's still easier to get passing yards. Yeah, and

557
00:26:40,840 --> 00:26:44,159
Speaker 1: Lamar was coming from behind. Now they are a favorite,

558
00:26:44,280 --> 00:26:46,840
Speaker 1: and they're a lower favorite than last week, but you

559
00:26:46,960 --> 00:26:50,320
Speaker 1: still got to say, Okay, especially after what happened last week,

560
00:26:50,840 --> 00:26:54,080
Speaker 1: they're probably going to, you know, maybe slow play this

561
00:26:54,160 --> 00:26:55,600
Speaker 1: a little bit, you know, try to get that run

562
00:26:55,640 --> 00:26:59,439
Speaker 1: game going against that defense. So I still see I

563
00:26:59,440 --> 00:27:01,800
Speaker 1: still think her just because you know, a couple of

564
00:27:01,840 --> 00:27:03,920
Speaker 1: throws to Mike Williams and he's going to run away

565
00:27:03,920 --> 00:27:04,200
Speaker 1: with it.

566
00:27:04,240 --> 00:27:06,280
Speaker 3: So yeah, yeah, I go Herbert. What do you what

567
00:27:06,280 --> 00:27:06,639
Speaker 3: about you?

568
00:27:07,040 --> 00:27:08,120
Speaker 1: Oh man, I'm right there.

569
00:27:08,200 --> 00:27:11,320
Speaker 2: So I have Lamar with just slightly more combined yards,

570
00:27:11,320 --> 00:27:14,440
Speaker 2: but I think the same way where passing yards there's

571
00:27:14,440 --> 00:27:16,520
Speaker 2: more variants, So go with the guy with the higher

572
00:27:16,600 --> 00:27:19,680
Speaker 2: projection there. So I'm going Herbert. But I'm just curious

573
00:27:19,720 --> 00:27:23,120
Speaker 2: what are you projecting for Lamar Jackson his passing yards

574
00:27:23,200 --> 00:27:23,520
Speaker 2: right now?

575
00:27:23,680 --> 00:27:26,800
Speaker 1: I have him at two fifty three with six up, Yeah,

576
00:27:26,800 --> 00:27:28,000
Speaker 1: about sixty rushing yards.

577
00:27:28,200 --> 00:27:30,440
Speaker 2: I am right there with you. I have two forty

578
00:27:30,440 --> 00:27:31,639
Speaker 2: eight passing yards for a little bit.

579
00:27:31,720 --> 00:27:32,520
Speaker 1: What do you have for Herbert?

580
00:27:32,960 --> 00:27:35,400
Speaker 2: I have so right now, I have two ninety four.

581
00:27:35,520 --> 00:27:37,679
Speaker 2: But this is earlier in the week. It would not

582
00:27:37,720 --> 00:27:39,760
Speaker 2: surprise me if it ends up being closer to three

583
00:27:39,880 --> 00:27:43,159
Speaker 2: ten through fifteen. Yeah, at three thirteen, So I can't

584
00:27:43,160 --> 00:27:45,800
Speaker 2: tell you there. Yeah, I just think that the shootout

585
00:27:45,920 --> 00:27:49,240
Speaker 2: nature in this game, you got to bump it up

586
00:27:49,280 --> 00:27:51,080
Speaker 2: a bit. But you know, the Ravens, like you said,

587
00:27:51,119 --> 00:27:53,760
Speaker 2: they might run a ton like keep away a bit,

588
00:27:53,840 --> 00:27:57,679
Speaker 2: so that that would certainly suppress Herbert's you know, passing stats.

589
00:27:57,680 --> 00:28:00,639
Speaker 2: But he's matchup proof at this point, so he seems

590
00:28:00,640 --> 00:28:02,840
Speaker 2: like a guy that I'm just automatically projecting over three

591
00:28:02,880 --> 00:28:03,960
Speaker 2: hundred yards going forward.

592
00:28:04,920 --> 00:28:08,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, it should be an interesting matchup, but obviously stay

593
00:28:08,440 --> 00:28:10,280
Speaker 1: tuned later in the week. Maybe we'll have some props

594
00:28:10,359 --> 00:28:12,160
Speaker 1: for it, you know, Stucky and I will break down

595
00:28:12,160 --> 00:28:15,399
Speaker 1: a game, see how we think about it, because this

596
00:28:15,560 --> 00:28:17,080
Speaker 1: this is gonna be a important one to get right

597
00:28:17,119 --> 00:28:19,159
Speaker 1: because there's a lot of different outcomes. Because remember that

598
00:28:19,200 --> 00:28:21,600
Speaker 1: Brown's game a couple of weeks ago where it was

599
00:28:21,600 --> 00:28:23,800
Speaker 1: like Brown's Vikings, I think, and it was like it

600
00:28:23,840 --> 00:28:25,640
Speaker 1: seemed like it was gonna be one of those great

601
00:28:25,640 --> 00:28:27,879
Speaker 1: fantasy games, and it was like fourteen seven. So like

602
00:28:27,920 --> 00:28:31,439
Speaker 1: this Brown defense has been so up and down, So

603
00:28:31,480 --> 00:28:32,919
Speaker 1: like I don't know what to make of the charges

604
00:28:32,960 --> 00:28:34,920
Speaker 1: like going crazy on him, Like is that gonna Does

605
00:28:34,920 --> 00:28:37,080
Speaker 1: that mean they're just gonna go like one hundred points

606
00:28:37,080 --> 00:28:41,160
Speaker 1: on Baltimore or you know, it's tough. So this is

607
00:28:41,200 --> 00:28:43,200
Speaker 1: an important game to get right. Let's go to running back.

608
00:28:44,120 --> 00:28:46,120
Speaker 1: Who's your top five or running back for Week six? Shaws?

609
00:28:46,120 --> 00:28:48,400
Speaker 2: So I got Derek Henry number one, he's still the king,

610
00:28:48,560 --> 00:28:51,640
Speaker 2: and then CMC at two assuming he returns this week.

611
00:28:51,680 --> 00:28:55,680
Speaker 2: Then Austin Eckler, Nausea, Harris Nick Chubb. There should be

612
00:28:55,720 --> 00:28:59,320
Speaker 2: a lot of shuffling here. It's very close outside of

613
00:28:59,360 --> 00:29:02,320
Speaker 2: the top two would say, so that could shuffle a bit,

614
00:29:02,240 --> 00:29:03,520
Speaker 2: But that's what I have right now.

615
00:29:04,400 --> 00:29:07,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, I have Henry Eckwer McCaffrey third. That's just because

616
00:29:07,440 --> 00:29:09,960
Speaker 1: I'm not projected, like I kind of raised guy's workloads

617
00:29:10,000 --> 00:29:12,000
Speaker 1: a little bit. As the week progresses and they practice

618
00:29:12,000 --> 00:29:13,520
Speaker 1: each day, I kind of, you know, give him an

619
00:29:13,520 --> 00:29:16,920
Speaker 1: extra like five percent. So McCaffrey probably ends up number two.

620
00:29:16,920 --> 00:29:19,240
Speaker 1: If he's he's a go. But right now I have

621
00:29:19,280 --> 00:29:23,600
Speaker 1: Equer number two, McCaffrey three, naj Harris four, and then

622
00:29:23,680 --> 00:29:25,600
Speaker 1: Zeke Elliott five, and that's a guy he could move

623
00:29:25,640 --> 00:29:27,920
Speaker 1: down because he's also I think he popped up on

624
00:29:27,960 --> 00:29:29,880
Speaker 1: the injury report. I know he got nicked up in

625
00:29:29,880 --> 00:29:33,040
Speaker 1: that Giants game, although he looked like he came back

626
00:29:33,040 --> 00:29:36,760
Speaker 1: in and was fine. But you know, Elliott, I think,

627
00:29:37,160 --> 00:29:40,000
Speaker 1: is you know, he the guy that if he's healthy,

628
00:29:40,560 --> 00:29:42,320
Speaker 1: he seems right back there where you know, we all

629
00:29:42,640 --> 00:29:45,640
Speaker 1: drafting him as like that RB five, and you know,

630
00:29:45,760 --> 00:29:47,320
Speaker 1: for a couple of weeks in there, it looked like,

631
00:29:47,320 --> 00:29:50,520
Speaker 1: oh no, maybe power is cutting into it. But whatever's happened,

632
00:29:50,520 --> 00:29:53,800
Speaker 1: that Dallas offense is just humming. So yeah, Joey, it's

633
00:29:53,800 --> 00:29:55,680
Speaker 1: a guy at five.

634
00:29:55,880 --> 00:29:58,360
Speaker 2: I think I know I have Chubb number five, though

635
00:29:58,440 --> 00:30:02,280
Speaker 2: my yards per carry at five point three, what's yours

636
00:30:02,360 --> 00:30:02,520
Speaker 2: is it?

637
00:30:02,960 --> 00:30:05,280
Speaker 1: Hey, let's find out. Let's find out. It's got to

638
00:30:05,280 --> 00:30:09,080
Speaker 1: be overfied by now, right, not four point seven, four

639
00:30:09,080 --> 00:30:10,960
Speaker 1: point seven. You're getting there. We're gonna get you over

640
00:30:11,000 --> 00:30:13,600
Speaker 1: five at some point. You know, give me week eight.

641
00:30:13,680 --> 00:30:17,400
Speaker 1: Every week I think it raised like you know a point. Yeah,

642
00:30:17,920 --> 00:30:20,720
Speaker 1: who is this the Arizona Arizona?

643
00:30:20,760 --> 00:30:23,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, so that has been kind of what mediocre in Rendy?

644
00:30:23,360 --> 00:30:25,400
Speaker 1: Oh so I wanted to ask real quick, is cream

645
00:30:25,480 --> 00:30:30,000
Speaker 1: Hunt inside your top twelve? Now? Twelve? Cream Hunt? Cream Hunt?

646
00:30:30,000 --> 00:30:34,400
Speaker 1: Cream Hunt? Now he's twenty third? Whoa? He's in my

647
00:30:34,480 --> 00:30:35,960
Speaker 1: top twelve? Now, holy whoa?

648
00:30:36,200 --> 00:30:39,920
Speaker 2: And like he's the guy that I've been suppressing more

649
00:30:40,000 --> 00:30:45,360
Speaker 2: than consensus. I'm always under on versus edr ecr on

650
00:30:45,440 --> 00:30:48,120
Speaker 2: Fantasy pros. But this week he's number twelve, and I

651
00:30:48,120 --> 00:30:51,160
Speaker 2: didn't really bump him up much. But he's played like

652
00:30:51,200 --> 00:30:54,000
Speaker 2: a top twelve running back. I can't remember a time

653
00:30:54,040 --> 00:30:55,960
Speaker 2: where I've had two running backs from the same team

654
00:30:56,040 --> 00:30:59,560
Speaker 2: inside the top twelve. Can you remember a time ever

655
00:30:59,720 --> 00:31:00,560
Speaker 2: where what's happened?

656
00:31:01,920 --> 00:31:04,400
Speaker 1: Kind of think trying. I don't think so, because that

657
00:31:04,440 --> 00:31:05,920
Speaker 1: would go that would go back to like the pre

658
00:31:06,120 --> 00:31:09,680
Speaker 1: like the yester year of the n Johnson. Yeah, Like,

659
00:31:09,720 --> 00:31:11,880
Speaker 1: and I wasn't doing these kind of projections back then,

660
00:31:11,960 --> 00:31:14,120
Speaker 1: Like we didn't have like a routes, run data, and.

661
00:31:14,120 --> 00:31:18,360
Speaker 2: Ship Fred Taylor and Jimmy Stewart. Like I'm trying to Oh,

662
00:31:18,400 --> 00:31:18,840
Speaker 2: you know, what.

663
00:31:18,800 --> 00:31:20,880
Speaker 1: Were those Carolina backs where Stewart used to get like

664
00:31:20,920 --> 00:31:21,720
Speaker 1: the NA that was.

665
00:31:21,720 --> 00:31:26,440
Speaker 2: The Yeah, he would he would vulture Fred Taylor and

666
00:31:26,440 --> 00:31:29,800
Speaker 2: then he went to Carolina. That's right, Uh, d'andrel Williams

667
00:31:29,960 --> 00:31:36,080
Speaker 2: and it was Carolina. The Panthers had D'Angel Williams.

668
00:31:35,600 --> 00:31:39,040
Speaker 3: And Stuart and start Stewart. That's a different Stewart.

669
00:31:39,080 --> 00:31:42,960
Speaker 1: I think what the point is, Yeah, it doesn't happen much.

670
00:31:43,640 --> 00:31:44,160
Speaker 3: I mean Hunt.

671
00:31:44,240 --> 00:31:47,520
Speaker 1: The thing about Hunt is his workload hasn't really been changing,

672
00:31:47,600 --> 00:31:50,880
Speaker 1: Like he's forty percent of the routes thirty seven percent

673
00:31:50,960 --> 00:31:54,280
Speaker 1: last week. And then the carries he's getting about, you know,

674
00:31:54,360 --> 00:31:57,600
Speaker 1: thirty six percent of the non quarterback carries. Uh, and

675
00:31:57,600 --> 00:31:58,240
Speaker 1: that's what he had.

676
00:31:58,120 --> 00:32:04,040
Speaker 2: To ask touchdown and uh, you know it's hard to assume,

677
00:32:04,120 --> 00:32:05,760
Speaker 2: you know, russion is going to happen when he scores

678
00:32:05,800 --> 00:32:09,200
Speaker 2: touchdowns every single week and he's just a phenomenal running back,

679
00:32:09,360 --> 00:32:11,640
Speaker 2: Like he is literally the best backup.

680
00:32:11,360 --> 00:32:12,280
Speaker 1: Running back in the league.

681
00:32:13,080 --> 00:32:15,520
Speaker 2: So you know, my my touch on projections for him

682
00:32:15,560 --> 00:32:17,840
Speaker 2: are strong, and he doesn't need that many touches to

683
00:32:18,160 --> 00:32:18,520
Speaker 2: go off.

684
00:32:18,560 --> 00:32:20,239
Speaker 1: So he's how many told the touchdowns? Do you have

685
00:32:20,640 --> 00:32:21,480
Speaker 1: for Hunt? For Hunt?

686
00:32:21,760 --> 00:32:26,200
Speaker 2: Let me see, I got him for point four rushing

687
00:32:26,240 --> 00:32:28,560
Speaker 2: and point two four receiving.

688
00:32:29,360 --> 00:32:32,680
Speaker 3: Okay, yeah, so your receiving is a lot higher than mine.

689
00:32:32,720 --> 00:32:34,920
Speaker 1: I have him for I have him for like point

690
00:32:35,360 --> 00:32:37,720
Speaker 1: twelve receiving and zero point four to eight rushing, So

691
00:32:37,720 --> 00:32:41,080
Speaker 1: I'm about point six touchdowns overall, which means he scores

692
00:32:41,120 --> 00:32:43,600
Speaker 1: a touchdown probably half the time at least. Yah know,

693
00:32:43,760 --> 00:32:47,120
Speaker 1: he played his stimulation like a hundred thousand times. Yeah,

694
00:32:47,160 --> 00:32:50,719
Speaker 1: but uh, yeah, that's interesting. His his receiving touchdowns are

695
00:32:50,720 --> 00:32:53,200
Speaker 1: just lower lower for me, has he scored a receiving

696
00:32:53,200 --> 00:32:54,920
Speaker 1: touchdown yet? This year they've been all rushing? No, I

697
00:32:54,960 --> 00:32:58,320
Speaker 1: don't think, but last year he did. Let me see.

698
00:32:58,560 --> 00:33:02,200
Speaker 2: Uh it's my model is pretty convoluted, so I can't

699
00:33:02,200 --> 00:33:04,840
Speaker 2: really back too much. But oh you know, I mean

700
00:33:04,960 --> 00:33:08,240
Speaker 2: Dalvin Cook is running back thirteen. Yeah, so if it

701
00:33:08,240 --> 00:33:10,240
Speaker 2: looks like he's gonna play, I mean, that's certainly gonna

702
00:33:10,280 --> 00:33:12,480
Speaker 2: knock Kaream Hunt outside of the top twelve. But I

703
00:33:12,520 --> 00:33:14,959
Speaker 2: just thought it was interesting. Either way, Kaream Hunt's going

704
00:33:14,960 --> 00:33:17,040
Speaker 2: to be a top fifteen back for me, and it's

705
00:33:17,080 --> 00:33:19,680
Speaker 2: just it's weird to see that happen this day and age.

706
00:33:19,680 --> 00:33:22,040
Speaker 2: You have two running backs on the same team inside

707
00:33:22,040 --> 00:33:22,720
Speaker 2: of the top fifteen.

708
00:33:22,760 --> 00:33:25,600
Speaker 1: It's just crazy. Yeah, no, yeah, I just have Yeah,

709
00:33:25,680 --> 00:33:27,880
Speaker 1: I'm looking at why I have his receiving touchdowns lower.

710
00:33:27,880 --> 00:33:30,120
Speaker 1: It's just because he's run a bunch of routes this

711
00:33:30,200 --> 00:33:33,240
Speaker 1: year and he still hasn't he has. He's had seventy

712
00:33:33,320 --> 00:33:35,360
Speaker 1: routes on a touchdown, so that's why. Yeah, fair enough,

713
00:33:35,360 --> 00:33:37,960
Speaker 1: That's just it's kind of like Michael Pittman. Now he

714
00:33:38,000 --> 00:33:40,720
Speaker 1: finally gets to move up because he's finally scored a touchdown.

715
00:33:41,720 --> 00:33:45,200
Speaker 1: So yeah, But all right, Sean, So you mentioned your

716
00:33:45,200 --> 00:33:49,120
Speaker 1: top five. A couple guys we you know, not in

717
00:33:49,160 --> 00:33:52,880
Speaker 1: that top five, and especially you know Dalvin Cook, he's

718
00:33:52,920 --> 00:33:55,640
Speaker 1: the third highest priced running back on draftings seventy seven hundred.

719
00:33:55,720 --> 00:33:57,320
Speaker 1: You have to have Aaron Jones, a guy we didn't

720
00:33:57,360 --> 00:34:02,360
Speaker 1: mention at seventy three hundred. They'll probably get lower rostership

721
00:34:02,440 --> 00:34:05,000
Speaker 1: than you know, McCaffrey, who's all the way down to

722
00:34:05,000 --> 00:34:07,000
Speaker 1: eighty one hundred, which seems like a steal if he plays,

723
00:34:07,000 --> 00:34:09,480
Speaker 1: and an Eckwer you know he's been just rising up

724
00:34:09,520 --> 00:34:12,520
Speaker 1: the rank, So yeah, Sean, what are your thoughts on

725
00:34:12,600 --> 00:34:15,520
Speaker 1: Dalvin Cook? You know he's a guy, third highest priced guy.

726
00:34:16,440 --> 00:34:18,440
Speaker 1: I think his rostership will be low just because of

727
00:34:18,440 --> 00:34:22,240
Speaker 1: the uncertainty if he plays Carolina has been decent against

728
00:34:22,239 --> 00:34:25,080
Speaker 1: the Backs for most of the year, and Aaron Jones,

729
00:34:25,080 --> 00:34:29,080
Speaker 1: the guy we really haven't mentioned going against Chicago. Any

730
00:34:29,080 --> 00:34:31,279
Speaker 1: thoughts on those guys? Are you interested in them maybe

731
00:34:31,280 --> 00:34:32,839
Speaker 1: if they have a low rostership or are you kind

732
00:34:32,840 --> 00:34:33,839
Speaker 1: of fading? Uh?

733
00:34:34,239 --> 00:34:37,080
Speaker 2: Probably fading Dalvin Cook this week? And by the way,

734
00:34:37,120 --> 00:34:40,160
Speaker 2: thanks for jamming him in on our dual lineup last week.

735
00:34:40,200 --> 00:34:43,319
Speaker 2: He didn't even play. I know, right, but it's like,

736
00:34:43,440 --> 00:34:46,799
Speaker 2: obviously we would have pivoted to Alexander Madison had we known.

737
00:34:47,560 --> 00:34:51,400
Speaker 2: I think, just given how well Alexander Maraison has played,

738
00:34:51,800 --> 00:34:54,800
Speaker 2: what's prisident if they give Cook another week off, certainly

739
00:34:54,840 --> 00:34:56,880
Speaker 2: if he's if he's healthy enough, they'll play him. But

740
00:34:57,280 --> 00:35:00,760
Speaker 2: I think we have to limit his touches until proven otherwise,

741
00:35:00,800 --> 00:35:02,840
Speaker 2: so I get the contrayer and play to kind of

742
00:35:02,880 --> 00:35:05,279
Speaker 2: like gam him in there, even though he's expensive, but

743
00:35:05,320 --> 00:35:08,040
Speaker 2: I'll probably be off him even if he does suit up,

744
00:35:08,239 --> 00:35:13,319
Speaker 2: whereas Aaron Jones. I don't know if you saw, but

745
00:35:13,320 --> 00:35:17,320
Speaker 2: but yeah, Matt Lafloor said he left the stadium yesterday

746
00:35:17,400 --> 00:35:19,439
Speaker 2: wishing he had given him the ball to AJ Dillon

747
00:35:19,520 --> 00:35:23,480
Speaker 2: more than twelve times, and you know, AJ Dillon had

748
00:35:23,480 --> 00:35:24,200
Speaker 2: four catches.

749
00:35:24,800 --> 00:35:25,719
Speaker 1: He looks really good.

750
00:35:26,040 --> 00:35:29,560
Speaker 2: You know, Aaron Jones has been in a committee almost

751
00:35:29,600 --> 00:35:32,640
Speaker 2: his entire career, so I think people might see a

752
00:35:32,719 --> 00:35:34,920
Speaker 2: quote like that and back back off of him. But

753
00:35:34,960 --> 00:35:37,600
Speaker 2: he's still my RB six, Like, he's still going to

754
00:35:37,640 --> 00:35:40,000
Speaker 2: get touches. He's still, you know, one of the most

755
00:35:40,080 --> 00:35:42,560
Speaker 2: dynamic runners in the league. So I think he could

756
00:35:42,600 --> 00:35:46,080
Speaker 2: be a nice contraering play this week. Certainly he's matchup proof,

757
00:35:46,120 --> 00:35:47,920
Speaker 2: so I'll have to kind of gauge where the public

758
00:35:48,040 --> 00:35:50,400
Speaker 2: is with him, and even if they saw these statements

759
00:35:50,400 --> 00:35:52,799
Speaker 2: by the floor on Dylan, but he's a guy where

760
00:35:53,040 --> 00:35:55,640
Speaker 2: whenever you can get him a low roster ship, I

761
00:35:55,640 --> 00:35:57,520
Speaker 2: think he's a good play just because he has that

762
00:35:57,560 --> 00:35:58,240
Speaker 2: massive ceiling.

763
00:35:59,200 --> 00:36:02,359
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, that's that is concerning for Jones. He's

764
00:36:02,400 --> 00:36:05,759
Speaker 1: my RB seven right now. But I do like to

765
00:36:05,800 --> 00:36:08,080
Speaker 1: adjust for things like that, you know when coaches say that,

766
00:36:08,239 --> 00:36:11,080
Speaker 1: so I may bump him down a couple of ticks.

767
00:36:11,800 --> 00:36:13,840
Speaker 1: You know, I do think if he's going to be

768
00:36:13,840 --> 00:36:16,400
Speaker 1: because that quote might get him like, you know, five percent,

769
00:36:16,760 --> 00:36:19,000
Speaker 1: if that if he's under five percent projection or something

770
00:36:19,080 --> 00:36:21,920
Speaker 1: like that. Check our Fantasy Labs models. Yeah, I'm interested,

771
00:36:22,000 --> 00:36:26,480
Speaker 1: but that is concerning, you know, especially against the Chicago

772
00:36:26,600 --> 00:36:29,480
Speaker 1: front that is, you know, fairly decent. You know, Green

773
00:36:29,560 --> 00:36:32,440
Speaker 1: Bay in Chicago tend to have these these lower scoring battles.

774
00:36:32,520 --> 00:36:36,480
Speaker 1: Chicago is number eleven and run defense DVOA, so they've

775
00:36:36,520 --> 00:36:37,040
Speaker 1: been solid.

776
00:36:37,560 --> 00:36:39,760
Speaker 3: So uh yeah, that that's something to monitor.

777
00:36:39,800 --> 00:36:42,120
Speaker 1: Be sure to check our rankings at Action network dot

778
00:36:42,200 --> 00:36:43,759
Speaker 1: com later in the week to see where we end

779
00:36:43,800 --> 00:36:45,839
Speaker 1: up on Jones, because that's another guy I think, Yeah, it's

780
00:36:45,840 --> 00:36:47,200
Speaker 1: gonna be pretty important to get him right.

781
00:36:48,440 --> 00:36:50,759
Speaker 3: Who are some other running backs that you like this week?

782
00:36:50,840 --> 00:36:53,200
Speaker 1: Maybe some guys with low roster ship or just guys

783
00:36:53,239 --> 00:36:57,120
Speaker 1: who project his good values relative to the salary in

784
00:36:57,200 --> 00:36:57,680
Speaker 1: terms of.

785
00:36:57,680 --> 00:36:59,719
Speaker 2: Just you know, projected to be a good value. That's

786
00:37:00,080 --> 00:37:03,040
Speaker 2: Darryl Henderson at six K. You know already mentioned the

787
00:37:03,120 --> 00:37:06,959
Speaker 2: Rams are eleven point favorites against the Giants this week,

788
00:37:07,000 --> 00:37:09,800
Speaker 2: so they may lean on the run game a bit more.

789
00:37:10,280 --> 00:37:12,800
Speaker 2: We saw Sony Michelle. You know, he had eleven carries

790
00:37:12,840 --> 00:37:15,360
Speaker 2: last week, looked pretty good, but you know that was

791
00:37:15,400 --> 00:37:18,600
Speaker 2: because Darryl Henderson had to take a quick break. He

792
00:37:18,960 --> 00:37:21,520
Speaker 2: has dealing with like a shoulder injury or something. Once

793
00:37:21,560 --> 00:37:23,120
Speaker 2: he was good to go, he came back in. So

794
00:37:23,200 --> 00:37:25,000
Speaker 2: I think, you know, we could bank on him to

795
00:37:25,040 --> 00:37:27,919
Speaker 2: be a workhorse back this week. Not too worried about

796
00:37:27,920 --> 00:37:31,279
Speaker 2: Sony Michelle eating into his workload. So love Henderson at

797
00:37:31,280 --> 00:37:34,839
Speaker 2: six K. I'm also interested in both Lions running backs.

798
00:37:34,840 --> 00:37:37,759
Speaker 2: I think people may be overlooking him this week, but

799
00:37:37,840 --> 00:37:41,000
Speaker 2: so DeAndre Swift and Jamal Williams or sneaky plays this week.

800
00:37:41,640 --> 00:37:44,520
Speaker 2: The Bengels have allowed the second most fantasy points running backs,

801
00:37:44,560 --> 00:37:48,080
Speaker 2: and that's because they've allowed some massive games through the air.

802
00:37:48,719 --> 00:37:53,480
Speaker 2: Obviously Najee Harris's fourteen reception game it was against the

803
00:37:53,520 --> 00:37:55,759
Speaker 2: Bengals that was kind of fluky. But last week God

804
00:37:55,800 --> 00:37:59,400
Speaker 2: Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon both caught four balls. And

805
00:37:59,440 --> 00:38:01,800
Speaker 2: we've seen, you know, Jared goff lean on his running

806
00:38:01,800 --> 00:38:03,719
Speaker 2: backs a ton this year, so would not surprise me

807
00:38:03,719 --> 00:38:06,560
Speaker 2: if both running backs at value again this week. So

808
00:38:06,600 --> 00:38:09,480
Speaker 2: they're kind of like a contrarying kind of play this week,

809
00:38:09,840 --> 00:38:11,040
Speaker 2: I mean last, but not least.

810
00:38:11,080 --> 00:38:12,560
Speaker 1: I think it's time to kind.

811
00:38:12,360 --> 00:38:15,480
Speaker 2: Of buy low or just get Javonte Williams before he

812
00:38:15,560 --> 00:38:19,600
Speaker 2: goes off. He's five K this week. Certainly he's still

813
00:38:19,600 --> 00:38:21,800
Speaker 2: in a fifty to fifty time share with Melvin Gordon.

814
00:38:22,239 --> 00:38:24,560
Speaker 2: But you know, every metric that is showing that he

815
00:38:24,680 --> 00:38:28,640
Speaker 2: is just playing really well right now. He ranks fourth

816
00:38:28,680 --> 00:38:33,400
Speaker 2: in PFF elusive rating. His point three five avoided tackles

817
00:38:33,440 --> 00:38:36,200
Speaker 2: per TEP is the highest rate of any running back

818
00:38:36,520 --> 00:38:39,600
Speaker 2: with over twenty five carries. So you know, he's looked

819
00:38:39,640 --> 00:38:42,920
Speaker 2: really good and I think his time is coming, and

820
00:38:43,080 --> 00:38:45,000
Speaker 2: you know, would not surprise me if that that happens

821
00:38:45,000 --> 00:38:46,319
Speaker 2: in the next couple weeks. So I kind of want

822
00:38:46,360 --> 00:38:49,120
Speaker 2: to get him before that happens. And his roster ship

823
00:38:49,200 --> 00:38:50,960
Speaker 2: is low, so I think he's a sneaky play at

824
00:38:51,040 --> 00:38:51,839
Speaker 2: five K this week.

825
00:38:52,600 --> 00:38:55,040
Speaker 1: Yeah, Jim, it's been weird because Gavonte Williams has looked

826
00:38:55,120 --> 00:38:58,280
Speaker 1: so good and they continue to go with that split

827
00:38:58,880 --> 00:39:01,480
Speaker 1: in Denver and and I don't know quite what's going

828
00:39:01,520 --> 00:39:01,879
Speaker 1: on there.

829
00:39:01,960 --> 00:39:04,040
Speaker 3: So yeah, I like the idea of buying low on him.

830
00:39:04,040 --> 00:39:05,200
Speaker 3: I think, you know, we.

831
00:39:05,120 --> 00:39:07,359
Speaker 1: Can't forget about these these rookies. You know, we've kind

832
00:39:07,400 --> 00:39:10,720
Speaker 1: of had the first wave of breakouts. Jamar Chase obviously

833
00:39:10,800 --> 00:39:13,520
Speaker 1: leading the way with the you know, rook in terms

834
00:39:13,520 --> 00:39:15,720
Speaker 1: of those rookie breakouts. But I think you're going to see,

835
00:39:15,760 --> 00:39:18,400
Speaker 1: like you know, now, Davonte Williams, guys like that that

836
00:39:18,440 --> 00:39:21,440
Speaker 1: haven't really truly broken out yet, not Trace Sermon, but

837
00:39:21,520 --> 00:39:24,000
Speaker 1: like other people, other running backs that aren't named Trace

838
00:39:24,000 --> 00:39:26,040
Speaker 1: Sermon are going to start really breaking out.

839
00:39:26,040 --> 00:39:27,080
Speaker 3: So I like Davontae and.

840
00:39:27,200 --> 00:39:28,919
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think in regards to the Lions going against

841
00:39:28,920 --> 00:39:32,040
Speaker 1: the Bengals with Swift and Williams, I mean Football Outsider's

842
00:39:32,120 --> 00:39:35,080
Speaker 1: schedule adjusts running back targets, and you know, for every

843
00:39:35,080 --> 00:39:37,759
Speaker 1: position they're targets, and the Bengals are still allowing the

844
00:39:37,800 --> 00:39:40,200
Speaker 1: most even after schedule adjusting it. There ten targets per

845
00:39:40,239 --> 00:39:43,960
Speaker 1: game to running backs. But you look at their defensive average,

846
00:39:43,960 --> 00:39:45,719
Speaker 1: you have to target, they're third in the league and

847
00:39:45,719 --> 00:39:48,000
Speaker 1: they're blitzing at the tenth lowest rate, So that means

848
00:39:48,160 --> 00:39:50,799
Speaker 1: what's happening is they're sitting back in coverage and teams

849
00:39:50,840 --> 00:39:53,960
Speaker 1: have had to dump the ball off underneath against Cincinnati.

850
00:39:54,080 --> 00:39:56,960
Speaker 1: So if you don't have a Davonte Adams, which the

851
00:39:57,000 --> 00:39:59,600
Speaker 1: Lions clearly don't. You're not really going to be able.

852
00:39:59,760 --> 00:40:02,080
Speaker 1: Team haven't been able to go down the field against

853
00:40:02,080 --> 00:40:05,279
Speaker 1: Cincinnati at will. So I think it's going to be

854
00:40:05,320 --> 00:40:07,120
Speaker 1: a pretty good week for the Lions running back. I

855
00:40:07,120 --> 00:40:10,680
Speaker 1: totally agree on that on that call. For me, I

856
00:40:10,760 --> 00:40:14,160
Speaker 1: like Jonathan Taylor. I think he's another guy that would

857
00:40:14,160 --> 00:40:16,440
Speaker 1: have been priced higher, if you know they have priced

858
00:40:16,440 --> 00:40:18,680
Speaker 1: it before the Monday night game. We have Euston that's

859
00:40:18,719 --> 00:40:23,000
Speaker 1: a run funnel defense, thirty first in Dvoa against the run,

860
00:40:23,960 --> 00:40:27,480
Speaker 1: ninth against the pass. So Taylo, I know, you know,

861
00:40:27,520 --> 00:40:29,920
Speaker 1: Marlon Mack has kind of been getting a little more

862
00:40:29,920 --> 00:40:31,879
Speaker 1: work than we'd like, but they're also looking to trade him,

863
00:40:31,880 --> 00:40:33,759
Speaker 1: so by the time you listen to this, he may

864
00:40:33,800 --> 00:40:36,319
Speaker 1: not be on the team anymore. Jordan Wilkins has been

865
00:40:36,440 --> 00:40:39,160
Speaker 1: pretty much a special teams guy for most of this year,

866
00:40:39,239 --> 00:40:42,160
Speaker 1: so I think, you know, whether Mack is active or not,

867
00:40:42,360 --> 00:40:44,000
Speaker 1: I think Taylor is still a great play against this

868
00:40:44,040 --> 00:40:44,800
Speaker 1: Houston defense.

869
00:40:45,480 --> 00:40:48,360
Speaker 3: Antonio Gibson, I mean he was.

870
00:40:48,640 --> 00:40:51,759
Speaker 1: I didn't expect much from him last week, and he's

871
00:40:51,760 --> 00:40:55,400
Speaker 1: still handled a pretty decent workload. He's getting over seventy

872
00:40:55,440 --> 00:40:58,719
Speaker 1: percent of the running back cavies for Washington this year.

873
00:40:58,800 --> 00:41:02,040
Speaker 1: He's going against the Chiefs defense that's dead last in

874
00:41:02,160 --> 00:41:05,800
Speaker 1: DVOA against a run and they're bottom five in DVOA

875
00:41:05,920 --> 00:41:09,040
Speaker 1: on targets to backs, and Gibson and machissick have been

876
00:41:09,600 --> 00:41:11,680
Speaker 1: nearly even for most of the year in terms of

877
00:41:11,719 --> 00:41:15,640
Speaker 1: their splits running routes side of the backfield. So Gibson's

878
00:41:15,680 --> 00:41:19,160
Speaker 1: at forty two percent and McKissick is at forty six percent.

879
00:41:19,280 --> 00:41:22,200
Speaker 1: So not a huge edge there for a Kissick, not

880
00:41:22,239 --> 00:41:24,920
Speaker 1: the way it was last year when Gibson wasn't running

881
00:41:24,920 --> 00:41:27,360
Speaker 1: his many routes. So he's a true Workhosse. Gibson's actually

882
00:41:27,400 --> 00:41:30,680
Speaker 1: my arby six this week, So yeah, he I think

883
00:41:30,760 --> 00:41:31,239
Speaker 1: a fault you.

884
00:41:31,320 --> 00:41:34,239
Speaker 2: I mean, it's It's a great matchup, and I love

885
00:41:34,239 --> 00:41:36,799
Speaker 2: those calls. I feel like I've been kind of saying

886
00:41:36,840 --> 00:41:39,200
Speaker 2: the bi loo on Jonathan Taylor and Antonia Gibson the

887
00:41:39,200 --> 00:41:40,959
Speaker 2: past couple weeks, and then I backed off a little

888
00:41:40,960 --> 00:41:44,640
Speaker 2: bit last week and paid dearly. Yeah, Gibson's dealing with

889
00:41:44,680 --> 00:41:47,960
Speaker 2: like a stress fracturing a shin or something, but I

890
00:41:48,000 --> 00:41:51,919
Speaker 2: mean he didn't look like it, so yeah, I'm back

891
00:41:51,920 --> 00:41:53,359
Speaker 2: there with you, but I don't have him as high

892
00:41:53,360 --> 00:41:56,520
Speaker 2: as six, So that's interesting that you have him that high.

893
00:41:56,560 --> 00:41:59,160
Speaker 1: But I mean his workload didn't change. His workload didn't

894
00:41:59,200 --> 00:42:01,960
Speaker 1: change last week. So she's seventy two percent of the

895
00:42:02,520 --> 00:42:06,080
Speaker 1: non quarterback carries and forty two percent of the routes

896
00:42:06,160 --> 00:42:09,000
Speaker 1: run out of the backfield. That's what I haven't projected

897
00:42:09,040 --> 00:42:11,640
Speaker 1: for this week. And yeah, he's RB six, And you know,

898
00:42:12,040 --> 00:42:14,280
Speaker 1: after I adjust forra Aaron Jones, who's my RB seven,

899
00:42:14,960 --> 00:42:17,799
Speaker 1: you know somebody else, you know, it gets does not

900
00:42:17,840 --> 00:42:21,839
Speaker 1: really in danger of falling that far down because it's

901
00:42:21,880 --> 00:42:24,160
Speaker 1: just more of a pain tolerance thing. So I mean

902
00:42:24,200 --> 00:42:26,160
Speaker 1: maybe you could say his injury risk is a little higher,

903
00:42:26,200 --> 00:42:28,720
Speaker 1: so maybe that knocks him down. But yeah, he's pretty

904
00:42:28,719 --> 00:42:30,279
Speaker 1: he's more locked in than Jones, I think, in that

905
00:42:30,360 --> 00:42:33,040
Speaker 1: top seven for me. So yeah, I really like him

906
00:42:33,360 --> 00:42:36,640
Speaker 1: this week, and I think the price is good, all right, John.

907
00:42:36,760 --> 00:42:39,399
Speaker 1: So another guy that I'm kind of curious to hear

908
00:42:39,440 --> 00:42:43,000
Speaker 1: your opinion on because I think he might have a

909
00:42:43,080 --> 00:42:45,680
Speaker 1: lower roster ship this week, and that's Damian Williams. We'll

910
00:42:45,719 --> 00:42:49,720
Speaker 1: talk about Darryl in a bit too, but Damian Williams

911
00:42:49,760 --> 00:42:51,960
Speaker 1: going against the Green Bay defense that's bottom four and

912
00:42:52,000 --> 00:42:56,400
Speaker 1: run defense DVA twenty fourth in DVA on targets to backs.

913
00:42:57,360 --> 00:43:01,480
Speaker 1: This could be a good matchup for Chicago in the backfield.

914
00:43:02,120 --> 00:43:04,799
Speaker 1: And I'm thinking that people may be super low on

915
00:43:04,880 --> 00:43:08,680
Speaker 1: Damien because Herbert got eighteen carries last week, but Damien

916
00:43:08,760 --> 00:43:11,120
Speaker 1: still got the majority of the pass down work. It's

917
00:43:11,160 --> 00:43:14,839
Speaker 1: a good pass down kind of game, passing script game

918
00:43:15,400 --> 00:43:19,120
Speaker 1: for them. And you know, I still think Damien got

919
00:43:19,160 --> 00:43:22,279
Speaker 1: his workload kind of scaled back because number one, he

920
00:43:22,320 --> 00:43:24,160
Speaker 1: was little banged up earlier in the week. Number two,

921
00:43:24,440 --> 00:43:28,080
Speaker 1: Chicago was controlling that game from start to finish. So

922
00:43:28,560 --> 00:43:30,640
Speaker 1: I still have it more like a you know, sixty

923
00:43:30,719 --> 00:43:34,360
Speaker 1: forty sixty five thirty five split between Williams and Herbert.

924
00:43:34,920 --> 00:43:38,160
Speaker 1: So what do you think of Damien this week? Yeah,

925
00:43:38,200 --> 00:43:39,160
Speaker 1: so I love this call.

926
00:43:39,400 --> 00:43:43,160
Speaker 2: As I talked on our Waivers pod yesterday, you know,

927
00:43:43,200 --> 00:43:46,560
Speaker 2: Herbert saw eighteen carries for seventy five yards, so I

928
00:43:46,560 --> 00:43:48,400
Speaker 2: think people are gonna be flocking to him this week.

929
00:43:48,719 --> 00:43:51,080
Speaker 2: But that was because you know, the Bears were in

930
00:43:51,120 --> 00:43:53,480
Speaker 2: control of that game. They won twenty to nine. But

931
00:43:53,520 --> 00:43:55,400
Speaker 2: I watched most of the game. They were in control

932
00:43:56,040 --> 00:43:58,120
Speaker 2: the majority of the games, So that was a great

933
00:43:58,160 --> 00:44:00,920
Speaker 2: game script for Herbert. And you know, when the game

934
00:44:00,960 --> 00:44:04,000
Speaker 2: was close, they were treating Damian Williams like workhorse back.

935
00:44:04,360 --> 00:44:07,000
Speaker 2: So I think going in a matchup against the Packers,

936
00:44:07,000 --> 00:44:10,840
Speaker 2: I think certainly we can project Damian Williams as you

937
00:44:10,880 --> 00:44:13,040
Speaker 2: know mid range RB two. So I do like it,

938
00:44:13,080 --> 00:44:15,319
Speaker 2: and I think the market, like you said, will kind

939
00:44:15,320 --> 00:44:18,839
Speaker 2: of overreact and kind of be off of Damien here

940
00:44:18,880 --> 00:44:21,839
Speaker 2: and be on Herbert. So it is a good BILO opportunity.

941
00:44:22,360 --> 00:44:26,880
Speaker 2: And like the next four games, actually they play the Packers, Buccaneers,

942
00:44:26,960 --> 00:44:29,040
Speaker 2: forty Niners, and Steelers, so we're probably not going to

943
00:44:29,080 --> 00:44:32,440
Speaker 2: see many positive game scripts and that plays right into

944
00:44:32,560 --> 00:44:34,880
Speaker 2: Damian Williams, you know his playing style.

945
00:44:35,840 --> 00:44:37,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, and he'd be he could probably you know,

946
00:44:38,520 --> 00:44:41,239
Speaker 1: a contrarian play against the Buccaneers because we saw a

947
00:44:41,320 --> 00:44:44,040
Speaker 1: Gaskin did pretty much all through the air. So it's

948
00:44:44,120 --> 00:44:45,719
Speaker 1: you know, that's something we have to kind of watch

949
00:44:45,760 --> 00:44:48,600
Speaker 1: out for too. Is that you kind of you know,

950
00:44:48,960 --> 00:44:50,959
Speaker 1: you want to fade these guys. Maybe you just fade

951
00:44:50,960 --> 00:44:53,320
Speaker 1: their rushing props against the Bucks, you know, in the

952
00:44:53,360 --> 00:44:56,040
Speaker 1: betting markets, but in DFS we did see a guy,

953
00:44:56,080 --> 00:44:58,080
Speaker 1: you know they can be had through the air.

954
00:44:58,200 --> 00:44:59,879
Speaker 3: So, yeah, Damien's another guy.

955
00:45:00,000 --> 00:45:03,040
Speaker 1: I think check our projected roster ship for him, but

956
00:45:03,560 --> 00:45:06,479
Speaker 1: he could be an interesting play. And let's talk about

957
00:45:06,520 --> 00:45:11,040
Speaker 1: Daryl Williams and Jarret McKinnon. So Daryl Williams played thirty

958
00:45:11,080 --> 00:45:14,800
Speaker 1: seven of the non quiet EDWARDSI Laire snaps and McKinnon

959
00:45:14,800 --> 00:45:17,319
Speaker 1: played twenty seven. So it's about another one of those

960
00:45:17,320 --> 00:45:21,719
Speaker 1: like sixty forty splits in favor of Daryl Williams. But

961
00:45:22,080 --> 00:45:25,320
Speaker 1: it was almost even in terms of the passing down usage.

962
00:45:25,960 --> 00:45:29,760
Speaker 1: Washington is number nine in run defense DVAA. They're pretty

963
00:45:29,800 --> 00:45:33,000
Speaker 1: bad against the past. So is this a situation where

964
00:45:33,000 --> 00:45:35,480
Speaker 1: they might cancel each other out or how are you

965
00:45:35,520 --> 00:45:38,320
Speaker 1: projecting Daryl Williams versus Jerreck McKinnon.

966
00:45:38,880 --> 00:45:42,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, so I think Daryl Williams is the lead back here.

967
00:45:43,280 --> 00:45:46,080
Speaker 2: He's a low end RB two. I think he's going

968
00:45:46,120 --> 00:45:51,560
Speaker 2: to dominate the rushing opportunities, certainly the goaling opportunities. He's

969
00:45:51,560 --> 00:45:54,640
Speaker 2: had three rush attempts inside the five yard line, converting

970
00:45:54,680 --> 00:45:56,800
Speaker 2: two of them in touchdowns. They certainly trust him there.

971
00:45:57,120 --> 00:45:59,560
Speaker 2: That's a valuable role on the Chiefs. But the other

972
00:45:59,640 --> 00:46:01,799
Speaker 2: valuable role for a Chiefs back is being involved in

973
00:46:01,800 --> 00:46:04,359
Speaker 2: the passing game, and unfortunately, it does look like they're

974
00:46:04,360 --> 00:46:06,720
Speaker 2: gonna split that work just based on how they handle

975
00:46:06,800 --> 00:46:10,440
Speaker 2: it last week after Edwards Tilair went out, So unfortunately

976
00:46:10,480 --> 00:46:14,000
Speaker 2: that does sort of cap Williams upside. But you know,

977
00:46:14,120 --> 00:46:18,000
Speaker 2: he was you know, splitting work with Hi Edwards Hilaire

978
00:46:18,080 --> 00:46:20,080
Speaker 2: last year, especially you know, heading in the Super Bowl,

979
00:46:20,120 --> 00:46:22,239
Speaker 2: so maybe they do lean on him a bit more

980
00:46:22,320 --> 00:46:25,920
Speaker 2: this week. So I still like Williams, but McKinnon's presence

981
00:46:26,600 --> 00:46:29,440
Speaker 2: does bring down his ceiling. I'm not interested in McKinnon

982
00:46:29,520 --> 00:46:32,279
Speaker 2: until we see, you know, something out of him. But

983
00:46:32,360 --> 00:46:36,360
Speaker 2: I think just McKinnon's presence lowers williams ceiling just a tad.

984
00:46:36,400 --> 00:46:37,919
Speaker 2: But I still think he's a low on RB two

985
00:46:37,920 --> 00:46:40,239
Speaker 2: this week and certainly a good play in DFS. I

986
00:46:40,239 --> 00:46:43,080
Speaker 2: don't think he's priced up enough. I believe he's forty

987
00:46:43,160 --> 00:46:45,640
Speaker 2: nine hundred this week, so he seems like a really

988
00:46:45,680 --> 00:46:47,920
Speaker 2: good play based on price this week.

989
00:46:48,280 --> 00:46:51,359
Speaker 1: Yeah, probably not a guy I trusted in cash games

990
00:46:51,400 --> 00:46:53,560
Speaker 1: at this point, just because I don't I don't quite

991
00:46:53,600 --> 00:46:55,960
Speaker 1: know where Kansas City is in their offense. I think

992
00:46:56,000 --> 00:46:57,840
Speaker 1: they're going to just air it out. Against Washington and

993
00:46:57,920 --> 00:46:59,800
Speaker 1: certainly kind of you know, makes sense for them to

994
00:46:59,840 --> 00:47:02,919
Speaker 1: do that. So I have Williams as the RB twenty one.

995
00:47:03,320 --> 00:47:06,040
Speaker 1: I have mckiddon thirty six, So yeah, McKinnon's kind of

996
00:47:06,080 --> 00:47:09,680
Speaker 1: outside that startable range. I have him splitting pass down snaps,

997
00:47:09,680 --> 00:47:11,560
Speaker 1: but I do have Williams getting the majority of the carries.

998
00:47:11,600 --> 00:47:13,680
Speaker 1: He got eighty percent of the carries between him and

999
00:47:13,719 --> 00:47:18,160
Speaker 1: McKinnon last week. But the Williams thirty eight percent of

1000
00:47:18,200 --> 00:47:21,239
Speaker 1: the routes run, McKinnon thirty five percent. So it was

1001
00:47:21,280 --> 00:47:23,080
Speaker 1: pretty close, you know, if they get into a passing

1002
00:47:23,080 --> 00:47:25,560
Speaker 1: script or they just want to throw, I think there's

1003
00:47:25,560 --> 00:47:27,239
Speaker 1: it's gonna be closer to a fifty to fifty split.

1004
00:47:28,160 --> 00:47:30,239
Speaker 1: Williams should get most of the carries, should get the

1005
00:47:30,239 --> 00:47:32,239
Speaker 1: goal on work, and I'm guessing they bring up a

1006
00:47:32,280 --> 00:47:35,320
Speaker 1: guy like Elijah McGuire to be that third back, probably

1007
00:47:35,320 --> 00:47:40,520
Speaker 1: doesn't play much either way. And all right, a guy

1008
00:47:40,520 --> 00:47:42,520
Speaker 1: who I think is probably a little bit safer than

1009
00:47:42,560 --> 00:47:46,360
Speaker 1: Williams at this point, and that's Devonte Booker. And that's

1010
00:47:46,400 --> 00:47:50,319
Speaker 1: because he played sixty of sixty six or ninety one

1011
00:47:50,320 --> 00:47:54,000
Speaker 1: percent of the non Saquon Barkley running back snaps for

1012
00:47:54,040 --> 00:47:57,840
Speaker 1: the Giants last week. Elijah Penny has been that backup

1013
00:47:57,880 --> 00:47:59,880
Speaker 1: half back he used to be a fullback. He's he

1014
00:48:00,160 --> 00:48:03,440
Speaker 1: only mixed in for a handful of snaps, and Gary Brightwell,

1015
00:48:03,440 --> 00:48:06,800
Speaker 1: the rookie, didn't really play at all. So Booker pretty

1016
00:48:06,880 --> 00:48:09,080
Speaker 1: much was in that Saquon bark we workload.

1017
00:48:09,360 --> 00:48:09,520
Speaker 3: Now.

1018
00:48:09,520 --> 00:48:12,440
Speaker 1: I don't necessarily think he's going to be a eighty

1019
00:48:12,520 --> 00:48:14,680
Speaker 1: five percent guy, but that is his ceiling, you know,

1020
00:48:14,719 --> 00:48:17,640
Speaker 1: being an eighty five ninety percent snap back. But either way,

1021
00:48:17,640 --> 00:48:20,279
Speaker 1: I think he's going to be somewhere in that what

1022
00:48:20,360 --> 00:48:22,759
Speaker 1: you expect from a normal you know, RB one, which

1023
00:48:22,800 --> 00:48:25,040
Speaker 1: is about two thirds of the carries two thirds of

1024
00:48:25,080 --> 00:48:28,160
Speaker 1: the snaps out of the backfield, so about sixty five

1025
00:48:28,200 --> 00:48:31,640
Speaker 1: to seventy percent. I think that's a conservative projection for Booker,

1026
00:48:31,960 --> 00:48:33,719
Speaker 1: and that makes him a little different from a guy

1027
00:48:33,760 --> 00:48:36,040
Speaker 1: like Williams, who could it could be closer to fifty

1028
00:48:36,040 --> 00:48:38,480
Speaker 1: to fifty both Williams really, you know, we don't. There's

1029
00:48:38,480 --> 00:48:40,759
Speaker 1: a little more uncertainty there with both of those guys,

1030
00:48:40,800 --> 00:48:43,920
Speaker 1: and there is with Booker. So against the rams A

1031
00:48:43,960 --> 00:48:47,840
Speaker 1: team that what do they do two safeties deep? Please

1032
00:48:47,920 --> 00:48:50,040
Speaker 1: run the ball on us, throw it to your back.

1033
00:48:50,520 --> 00:48:52,600
Speaker 1: That's what the Rams want you to do. So I

1034
00:48:52,600 --> 00:48:55,279
Speaker 1: think Booker can have a good game. Even though we

1035
00:48:55,440 --> 00:48:57,960
Speaker 1: don't usually like to play backs who are big underdogs.

1036
00:48:58,400 --> 00:48:59,960
Speaker 1: I think this is a decent spot for Booker.

1037
00:49:00,800 --> 00:49:04,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree, and that that was the most important

1038
00:49:04,280 --> 00:49:07,680
Speaker 2: takeaway last week as well. There was two is Gary

1039
00:49:07,680 --> 00:49:10,560
Speaker 2: Brightwell did not see a single touch after Barkley went down,

1040
00:49:10,640 --> 00:49:14,319
Speaker 2: so clearly the Giants are viewing Booker as a work

1041
00:49:14,320 --> 00:49:17,160
Speaker 2: horse back. He showed last year on The Raiders that

1042
00:49:17,239 --> 00:49:19,839
Speaker 2: he could step up be a wark course back. When

1043
00:49:20,400 --> 00:49:22,239
Speaker 2: Josh Shacobs went down, he stepped up. He was an

1044
00:49:22,280 --> 00:49:26,080
Speaker 2: RB two, so his Bookers seventy one percent routes run

1045
00:49:26,160 --> 00:49:28,799
Speaker 2: rate last week was encouraging going into a matchup where

1046
00:49:28,800 --> 00:49:31,319
Speaker 2: they're eleven point underdog, so I think we could bank

1047
00:49:31,320 --> 00:49:35,080
Speaker 2: on him potentially getting four plus catches in a negative

1048
00:49:35,080 --> 00:49:38,239
Speaker 2: game script, So do like Booker this week as well?

1049
00:49:38,640 --> 00:49:41,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, they gave him a two year deal worth five

1050
00:49:41,040 --> 00:49:44,520
Speaker 1: point five mili with two male guaranteed, So that's I mean,

1051
00:49:44,600 --> 00:49:47,839
Speaker 1: that's not chump change for like your backup running back,

1052
00:49:47,880 --> 00:49:50,520
Speaker 1: you know what I mean. Yeah, So I think they're

1053
00:49:50,560 --> 00:49:52,839
Speaker 1: gonna they're gonna use him quite a bit here. Would

1054
00:49:52,840 --> 00:49:54,440
Speaker 1: I would expect bright Way to get a handful of

1055
00:49:54,440 --> 00:49:55,719
Speaker 1: snaps this we I don't know if he could shut.

1056
00:49:56,600 --> 00:49:58,319
Speaker 2: Isn't he more of a bruiser, Like he's not a

1057
00:49:58,440 --> 00:50:00,399
Speaker 2: he's not a pass catching back. He would be sort

1058
00:50:00,440 --> 00:50:02,520
Speaker 2: of the Clil Herbert role if the Giants were to

1059
00:50:02,560 --> 00:50:05,759
Speaker 2: get a ten point lead on the Rams, very unlikely.

1060
00:50:06,040 --> 00:50:07,960
Speaker 2: I think that's all we would see Gary Brightwell, but

1061
00:50:08,040 --> 00:50:10,719
Speaker 2: in a negative game script. I don't think that's his skill.

1062
00:50:10,520 --> 00:50:15,879
Speaker 1: Set, right, Yeah, he's him and Collen Gilaspia, who's there

1063
00:50:16,680 --> 00:50:19,720
Speaker 1: full back. Those guys are gonna play secial teams mostly,

1064
00:50:19,760 --> 00:50:23,000
Speaker 1: They're like, they're gonna play special teams and short yardage.

1065
00:50:23,200 --> 00:50:26,520
Speaker 1: Yeah if that you know? So yeah Booker, and then

1066
00:50:26,520 --> 00:50:28,960
Speaker 1: I would again, i'd probably expect Euypenny to be that

1067
00:50:29,080 --> 00:50:33,680
Speaker 1: RB two over Brightwell. So yeah, that's that's a guy

1068
00:50:33,800 --> 00:50:36,359
Speaker 1: like Devontae Booker. Let's get to the running back prop.

1069
00:50:37,440 --> 00:50:38,960
Speaker 2: So we already talked about these two guys, so this

1070
00:50:38,960 --> 00:50:41,320
Speaker 2: should be pretty quick. But I think it's key this week,

1071
00:50:42,000 --> 00:50:45,440
Speaker 2: especially on DraftKings, because these guys are priced very similarly.

1072
00:50:45,440 --> 00:50:49,160
Speaker 2: But who will score more DK points this week? Darryl

1073
00:50:49,200 --> 00:50:50,720
Speaker 2: Williams or DeVante Booker.

1074
00:50:51,520 --> 00:50:55,560
Speaker 1: I got Booker about six six ranking spots ahead of him,

1075
00:50:55,600 --> 00:50:57,920
Speaker 1: so it's clearly Booker for me. Again, I just think

1076
00:50:58,480 --> 00:51:00,560
Speaker 1: you have to lock him into a much higher floor

1077
00:51:00,600 --> 00:51:03,040
Speaker 1: of snaps in both the run and the pass game

1078
00:51:03,600 --> 00:51:07,279
Speaker 1: then Williams, who you know, there's just a little more

1079
00:51:07,320 --> 00:51:09,759
Speaker 1: uncertainty there because he didn't blow mckidden out of the

1080
00:51:09,800 --> 00:51:12,040
Speaker 1: water in terms of snaps. You know, it was more

1081
00:51:12,120 --> 00:51:14,719
Speaker 1: like a sixty forty thing, whereas Booker played you know,

1082
00:51:14,800 --> 00:51:17,000
Speaker 1: over ninety percent of the non saquon snap.

1083
00:51:17,080 --> 00:51:19,840
Speaker 2: So queery Booker from me, what about you? Yeah, so

1084
00:51:19,920 --> 00:51:21,719
Speaker 2: I have him projected about the same. That's why I

1085
00:51:21,719 --> 00:51:24,000
Speaker 2: thought this is a good prop. But I think Booker

1086
00:51:24,040 --> 00:51:25,919
Speaker 2: has the higher floor just because I think we could

1087
00:51:25,920 --> 00:51:29,080
Speaker 2: bake on his receiving usage in a negative game script.

1088
00:51:29,239 --> 00:51:32,520
Speaker 2: But Williams might have the higher ceiling just because playing

1089
00:51:32,520 --> 00:51:35,960
Speaker 2: for the Chiefs, he has two touchdown upside and certainly

1090
00:51:36,000 --> 00:51:37,880
Speaker 2: if they were to just use him as a workhorse

1091
00:51:37,920 --> 00:51:41,080
Speaker 2: back and just use Jack McKinnon as a you know,

1092
00:51:41,120 --> 00:51:44,000
Speaker 2: a change of pace back, then Williams has you know,

1093
00:51:44,239 --> 00:51:46,839
Speaker 2: RB one upside. So that's why I think Williams may

1094
00:51:46,880 --> 00:51:49,960
Speaker 2: have the higher ceiling maybe better for tournaments, but Booker

1095
00:51:50,080 --> 00:51:51,799
Speaker 2: certainly has the higher floor, so that's why I would

1096
00:51:51,800 --> 00:51:52,439
Speaker 2: go with him here.

1097
00:51:52,960 --> 00:51:54,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think that's the perfect way to put it.

1098
00:51:54,480 --> 00:51:57,640
Speaker 1: Booker would be a guy you know, less uping changes

1099
00:51:57,680 --> 00:52:00,160
Speaker 1: and a bunch of value opens up. I could see

1100
00:52:00,200 --> 00:52:04,040
Speaker 1: myself playing Booker in cash games, whereas Williams just because

1101
00:52:04,080 --> 00:52:06,000
Speaker 1: of snaps, I think he's a guy I want tournaments,

1102
00:52:06,000 --> 00:52:07,759
Speaker 1: you know, for that upset, I don't really I think

1103
00:52:07,760 --> 00:52:10,279
Speaker 1: his floor is a lot lower. So all right, now

1104
00:52:10,320 --> 00:52:12,919
Speaker 1: it's time for a little segment here on the pod

1105
00:52:13,000 --> 00:52:16,160
Speaker 1: that we call Prize Picks, a leit entry where Sean

1106
00:52:16,239 --> 00:52:19,799
Speaker 1: and I compare our projections to the lines in the

1107
00:52:19,840 --> 00:52:24,279
Speaker 1: Prize Picks app to build some entries. Every week on

1108
00:52:24,320 --> 00:52:26,800
Speaker 1: this show we do running back, so do two running

1109
00:52:26,840 --> 00:52:30,600
Speaker 1: back picks each. Sean start us off, who is your

1110
00:52:31,080 --> 00:52:34,520
Speaker 1: top running back? Prize pick A wed entry play for

1111
00:52:34,920 --> 00:52:36,399
Speaker 1: week number.

1112
00:52:36,360 --> 00:52:39,400
Speaker 2: Six, So my first play here is a Thursday night

1113
00:52:39,440 --> 00:52:41,879
Speaker 2: football prop. I love giving at least one of these

1114
00:52:41,880 --> 00:52:45,680
Speaker 2: out every week, but that's Miles Sanders to get less

1115
00:52:45,719 --> 00:52:49,920
Speaker 2: than three and a half receptions this week against the Buccaneers. Certainly,

1116
00:52:50,000 --> 00:52:53,399
Speaker 2: we don't like going over on the rushing props against

1117
00:52:53,400 --> 00:52:55,040
Speaker 2: the Buccaneers. But I think this is a good spot

1118
00:52:55,960 --> 00:52:59,359
Speaker 2: to go against Sanders on his receiving prop and I'm

1119
00:52:59,360 --> 00:53:02,319
Speaker 2: projecting this call sure three point one receptions this week.

1120
00:53:02,560 --> 00:53:04,880
Speaker 2: You know, last week he didn't see a spike in

1121
00:53:04,960 --> 00:53:07,480
Speaker 2: terms of routes run. He had a sixty eight percent

1122
00:53:07,560 --> 00:53:11,080
Speaker 2: routes run share, ended up catching five balls for six guards,

1123
00:53:11,080 --> 00:53:13,560
Speaker 2: so he wasn't that efficient. But that was a close game,

1124
00:53:13,880 --> 00:53:17,040
Speaker 2: and we've seen Miles Sanders heavily involved in close game scripts.

1125
00:53:17,520 --> 00:53:19,480
Speaker 2: But when it comes to trailing game scripts, which we

1126
00:53:19,480 --> 00:53:22,920
Speaker 2: should see Thursday night against the Buccaneers, that's when they

1127
00:53:22,960 --> 00:53:25,000
Speaker 2: like to use tenneth gainwell a bit more. So I

1128
00:53:25,000 --> 00:53:27,440
Speaker 2: think he could see more playing time at the expense

1129
00:53:27,840 --> 00:53:29,480
Speaker 2: of Miles Sanders. And at the end of the day,

1130
00:53:29,800 --> 00:53:31,840
Speaker 2: Jalen Hurts loves to pull it down and run. He

1131
00:53:31,840 --> 00:53:34,439
Speaker 2: doesn't like dumping it off his running back. So Miles

1132
00:53:34,480 --> 00:53:37,920
Speaker 2: Sanders has only seen a fourteen point seven target rate

1133
00:53:38,000 --> 00:53:40,680
Speaker 2: on his ruts run. So that's why I'm projecting this

1134
00:53:40,760 --> 00:53:43,040
Speaker 2: closer to three. I think the under three and a

1135
00:53:43,080 --> 00:53:45,359
Speaker 2: half has quite a bit of value here.

1136
00:53:45,520 --> 00:53:48,680
Speaker 1: Yeah, it was a pretty disappointing week for Gainwoll overall,

1137
00:53:49,160 --> 00:53:51,160
Speaker 1: but long term, I still think he's the guy that's

1138
00:53:51,160 --> 00:53:52,160
Speaker 1: going to be cutting into.

1139
00:53:51,960 --> 00:53:53,959
Speaker 3: Sanders work quote more and more.

1140
00:53:54,000 --> 00:53:56,600
Speaker 1: So I like that, and I like it so much

1141
00:53:56,600 --> 00:53:59,200
Speaker 1: that I'm also going I am going under on Miles

1142
00:53:59,200 --> 00:54:03,320
Speaker 1: Sanders rushing under thirty and a half at Prize Picks.

1143
00:54:03,719 --> 00:54:08,799
Speaker 1: Last week Miami, Miles Gaskin, the starter put up a

1144
00:54:08,800 --> 00:54:12,360
Speaker 1: monster Fantasy day. He gets five carries for twenty five yards.

1145
00:54:12,600 --> 00:54:15,640
Speaker 1: Savon Ahmed had two carries for five yards. The week

1146
00:54:15,719 --> 00:54:22,200
Speaker 1: before that, Brandon Bolden, Damien Harris, and JJ Taylor combined

1147
00:54:22,480 --> 00:54:27,160
Speaker 1: for six carries for negative four yards. So that's thirteen

1148
00:54:27,280 --> 00:54:30,440
Speaker 1: carries for twenty six yards over the last two weeks.

1149
00:54:31,040 --> 00:54:33,480
Speaker 1: The Tampa Bay defense over the last two weeks has

1150
00:54:33,520 --> 00:54:37,360
Speaker 1: about thirteen yards per game from running backs. They have

1151
00:54:37,360 --> 00:54:41,080
Speaker 1: about two yards per carry. Two running backs, Miles Sanders

1152
00:54:41,160 --> 00:54:44,440
Speaker 1: averaging only nine point six carries per game. So even

1153
00:54:44,440 --> 00:54:46,560
Speaker 1: if you're give him three yards a carry, he pulls

1154
00:54:46,640 --> 00:54:50,480
Speaker 1: short of this number. And that's not necessarily a given

1155
00:54:50,520 --> 00:54:54,080
Speaker 1: here against this defense who have shut down pretty much everyone.

1156
00:54:54,800 --> 00:54:56,920
Speaker 1: But you also look at Sanders and as you mentioned,

1157
00:54:57,080 --> 00:54:59,839
Speaker 1: the game kind of dictates it. The matchup dictates it.

1158
00:55:00,760 --> 00:55:03,080
Speaker 1: You know, he had he has had a game where

1159
00:55:03,080 --> 00:55:05,880
Speaker 1: he's had two carries. He's had a game where he's

1160
00:55:05,880 --> 00:55:08,120
Speaker 1: had seven carries. Both of those games came in the

1161
00:55:08,160 --> 00:55:12,640
Speaker 1: last three weeks. So Miles Sanders has been under this

1162
00:55:12,719 --> 00:55:15,360
Speaker 1: number in two of the last three weeks, including a

1163
00:55:15,640 --> 00:55:18,640
Speaker 1: even even in a cake matchup against Kansas City. Why

1164
00:55:18,719 --> 00:55:21,520
Speaker 1: because they were in a trailing game. Script. So he's

1165
00:55:21,560 --> 00:55:23,640
Speaker 1: only been over that three and a half reception number

1166
00:55:23,640 --> 00:55:25,680
Speaker 1: once in the past three weeks. He's only been over

1167
00:55:25,719 --> 00:55:27,879
Speaker 1: the thirty and a half rushing once in the last

1168
00:55:27,880 --> 00:55:28,480
Speaker 1: three weeks.

1169
00:55:28,680 --> 00:55:31,480
Speaker 3: This is not the matchup for him to do either.

1170
00:55:31,680 --> 00:55:35,200
Speaker 1: I think so love Miles Sanders under thirty and a

1171
00:55:35,200 --> 00:55:38,600
Speaker 1: half rushing yards, which is Miles Sanders fade. Yeah, Miles

1172
00:55:38,600 --> 00:55:39,879
Speaker 1: Sanders fade. I'm with you here.

1173
00:55:39,880 --> 00:55:43,240
Speaker 2: And remember this time last week, I had Malcolm Brown

1174
00:55:43,800 --> 00:55:46,200
Speaker 2: under twenty seven and a half rushing yards against the

1175
00:55:46,239 --> 00:55:49,840
Speaker 2: same defense and he finished with zero zero rushing yards.

1176
00:55:49,960 --> 00:55:52,319
Speaker 1: Yeah. I like that so much. I like that so

1177
00:55:52,400 --> 00:55:54,360
Speaker 1: much that I use it on our live show. Convinced

1178
00:55:54,360 --> 00:55:56,680
Speaker 1: me when I was at twenty and a half. Yeah,

1179
00:55:56,840 --> 00:55:58,480
Speaker 1: and I still bet it, which is why I have

1180
00:55:58,680 --> 00:55:59,680
Speaker 1: utmost confidence.

1181
00:56:00,400 --> 00:56:03,319
Speaker 3: How Sanders under thirty and a half this week?

1182
00:56:03,600 --> 00:56:04,080
Speaker 1: Yeah, I love it.

1183
00:56:04,120 --> 00:56:07,240
Speaker 2: I mean, Jalen Hurts may go over his rushing prop,

1184
00:56:07,320 --> 00:56:09,759
Speaker 2: but you know he's I would never go against him,

1185
00:56:09,760 --> 00:56:11,840
Speaker 2: but he should be able to air it out and

1186
00:56:11,880 --> 00:56:13,359
Speaker 2: they can move the ball through the air and it's

1187
00:56:13,520 --> 00:56:16,080
Speaker 2: just gonna be a negative game script. So yeah, we're

1188
00:56:16,120 --> 00:56:19,320
Speaker 2: not surprising if Sanders has fewer than seven carriers.

1189
00:56:19,400 --> 00:56:22,160
Speaker 1: This week with very little efficiency. So love this call

1190
00:56:22,160 --> 00:56:24,279
Speaker 1: as well. Yeah, and that's why you have to filter out.

1191
00:56:24,360 --> 00:56:27,799
Speaker 1: I think you know the brushing against the running backs

1192
00:56:27,800 --> 00:56:29,920
Speaker 1: from the quarterback because it's one thing you know, you

1193
00:56:29,960 --> 00:56:32,160
Speaker 1: see a guy get a handoff the linebackers can fire

1194
00:56:32,200 --> 00:56:34,799
Speaker 1: downhill versus when a quarterback's running on in a lot

1195
00:56:34,800 --> 00:56:37,120
Speaker 1: of times they come on scrambles things like that. It's

1196
00:56:37,120 --> 00:56:40,520
Speaker 1: a totally different environment, and you know what goes into

1197
00:56:40,520 --> 00:56:42,920
Speaker 1: stopping the run of a guy like Hurts and a

1198
00:56:42,920 --> 00:56:46,239
Speaker 1: guy like Sanders. So, Faden Sanders, where are you going

1199
00:56:46,280 --> 00:56:50,680
Speaker 1: for your prize? Pick oweight entry running back prop number two?

1200
00:56:51,680 --> 00:56:54,920
Speaker 2: So I'm getting gutsy here, just like my Terry kill

1201
00:56:55,000 --> 00:56:58,360
Speaker 2: under last week, I'm going I'm fading the best running

1202
00:56:58,360 --> 00:57:01,240
Speaker 2: back in football right now, and that is Derrick Henry

1203
00:57:01,280 --> 00:57:03,960
Speaker 2: to go under one hundred and five and a half

1204
00:57:04,120 --> 00:57:07,480
Speaker 2: rushing yards. You know, I've been on his over the

1205
00:57:07,520 --> 00:57:10,520
Speaker 2: past couple of weeks and hit but like I mentioned,

1206
00:57:10,640 --> 00:57:15,280
Speaker 2: dating back to last season, he's averaging ninety five rushing

1207
00:57:15,320 --> 00:57:18,160
Speaker 2: yards and losses and one hundred and forty three rushing

1208
00:57:18,240 --> 00:57:21,480
Speaker 2: yards and wins. So this week, you know, they're plus

1209
00:57:21,480 --> 00:57:24,400
Speaker 2: five and a half against the Bills, so this is

1210
00:57:24,440 --> 00:57:27,280
Speaker 2: potentially a negative game script. You know, obviously they're gonna

1211
00:57:27,320 --> 00:57:29,640
Speaker 2: lean on Henry a ton, but the Bills defense has

1212
00:57:29,680 --> 00:57:33,200
Speaker 2: been unreal this year. They ranked first in passing dv

1213
00:57:33,320 --> 00:57:36,680
Speaker 2: A and they ranked first in rushing DVA. So this

1214
00:57:36,760 --> 00:57:39,360
Speaker 2: is a tough matchup for Henry. You know, I'm projecting

1215
00:57:39,400 --> 00:57:42,120
Speaker 2: him closer to about ninety seven yards here, but I

1216
00:57:42,160 --> 00:57:44,280
Speaker 2: think the play here is to go under one hundred

1217
00:57:44,280 --> 00:57:45,560
Speaker 2: and five and a half rushing yards.

1218
00:57:46,560 --> 00:57:48,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm right on this line. So you know, I

1219
00:57:49,160 --> 00:57:51,439
Speaker 1: have been quite under No, I don't blame me, but yeah,

1220
00:57:51,560 --> 00:57:53,720
Speaker 1: I don't think Derrick Henry and under like they just

1221
00:57:53,720 --> 00:57:58,920
Speaker 1: don't go in my vocabulary together. I consider myself the

1222
00:57:58,960 --> 00:57:59,960
Speaker 1: Derrick Henry whisper.

1223
00:58:00,920 --> 00:58:02,880
Speaker 2: So like dating Batchell last year, I'm three and oh

1224
00:58:03,760 --> 00:58:06,280
Speaker 2: when fading him and I think like five and oh

1225
00:58:06,400 --> 00:58:07,120
Speaker 2: taking us over.

1226
00:58:07,240 --> 00:58:08,439
Speaker 1: So just trust me on this one.

1227
00:58:08,600 --> 00:58:11,760
Speaker 2: It seems scary, but you gotta trust the process here,

1228
00:58:12,040 --> 00:58:12,360
Speaker 2: all right.

1229
00:58:12,480 --> 00:58:13,960
Speaker 1: No, but I'll hate it. I mean, if you're the

1230
00:58:14,000 --> 00:58:17,280
Speaker 1: Derrick Henry Whisper, then I can't go against you on

1231
00:58:17,320 --> 00:58:19,280
Speaker 1: that one. It is. It is a tough match up.

1232
00:58:19,320 --> 00:58:21,120
Speaker 1: The Bills have been so much better against the run

1233
00:58:21,680 --> 00:58:24,800
Speaker 1: this year. To close it out, I am going to

1234
00:58:24,840 --> 00:58:30,479
Speaker 1: go with Antonio Gibson over sixty and a half rushing yards. Again. Again,

1235
00:58:30,520 --> 00:58:33,560
Speaker 1: Gibson's playing a Chiefs defense that's ranked dead last in

1236
00:58:33,640 --> 00:58:37,800
Speaker 1: rushing DDA that is schedule adjusted, so you know, just

1237
00:58:37,840 --> 00:58:40,320
Speaker 1: in case you still they faced maybe some great backs,

1238
00:58:40,480 --> 00:58:44,600
Speaker 1: they haven't, Gibson is that. And Gibson's getting over seventy

1239
00:58:44,640 --> 00:58:48,080
Speaker 1: percent of the backfield carries this year.

1240
00:58:48,200 --> 00:58:50,800
Speaker 3: So in this matchup, I think Gibson.

1241
00:58:51,120 --> 00:58:53,480
Speaker 1: You know, obviously the Kiefs are gonna put up some

1242
00:58:53,520 --> 00:58:56,240
Speaker 1: points here, but this hasn't stopped the Chiefs and giving

1243
00:58:56,360 --> 00:58:59,000
Speaker 1: up a ton of production at running backs. So I

1244
00:58:59,040 --> 00:59:01,480
Speaker 1: think Gibson goes over with this number just on the

1245
00:59:01,520 --> 00:59:03,880
Speaker 1: account of how many snaps he's playing even well hurt,

1246
00:59:04,360 --> 00:59:06,440
Speaker 1: you know, he's still up there and snaps. Okay. So

1247
00:59:06,480 --> 00:59:08,720
Speaker 1: he's gone over this number in three out of five weeks,

1248
00:59:08,760 --> 00:59:11,760
Speaker 1: and last week he's still had twenty for sixty versus

1249
00:59:11,800 --> 00:59:16,160
Speaker 1: a really tough Saints defense that he averaged only three

1250
00:59:17,160 --> 00:59:20,400
Speaker 1: yards per carry. Again, so for the Chiefs defense, you know,

1251
00:59:21,000 --> 00:59:23,560
Speaker 1: ranked dead last and rushing dboa, they're gonna give up

1252
00:59:23,600 --> 00:59:26,480
Speaker 1: a lot more than that. So I think Gibson goes

1253
00:59:26,520 --> 00:59:29,760
Speaker 1: over for the fourth time in six weeks this week

1254
00:59:29,800 --> 00:59:33,560
Speaker 1: against the Chiefs. Even though I do expect some production

1255
00:59:33,640 --> 00:59:36,160
Speaker 1: in the passing game from Heineke, I still think this

1256
00:59:36,280 --> 00:59:39,240
Speaker 1: is a Gibson spot over sixty and a half rushing

1257
00:59:39,280 --> 00:59:42,040
Speaker 1: yards for Antonio Gibson. Yeah, I'm with you here.

1258
00:59:42,080 --> 00:59:44,439
Speaker 2: And like I said earlier we were talking about running backs,

1259
00:59:44,480 --> 00:59:47,720
Speaker 2: I made the mistake of fading Gibson. That's that's rare

1260
00:59:47,760 --> 00:59:49,200
Speaker 2: for me. I had him all the way down to

1261
00:59:49,280 --> 00:59:51,760
Speaker 2: RB twenty four last week. I was I was worried

1262
00:59:51,760 --> 00:59:55,320
Speaker 2: about his injury and the matchup against the Saints, and

1263
00:59:55,400 --> 00:59:58,720
Speaker 2: he crushed expectations. So I'm never doing that again. Like

1264
00:59:58,840 --> 01:00:01,240
Speaker 2: I always say, you know, he's still learning how to

1265
01:00:01,240 --> 01:00:04,439
Speaker 2: be a running back. You know, heading into his rookie

1266
01:00:04,480 --> 01:00:07,200
Speaker 2: season last year he was a wide receiver converting to

1267
01:00:07,320 --> 01:00:09,800
Speaker 2: running backs. So he's looked a lot better this year.

1268
01:00:09,840 --> 01:00:11,760
Speaker 2: He's only going to get better. So I'm a big

1269
01:00:11,800 --> 01:00:15,000
Speaker 2: fan of just investing in Gibson whenever possible right now.

1270
01:00:15,520 --> 01:00:17,840
Speaker 2: So yeah, this mashup's way easier this week, and I'm

1271
01:00:17,840 --> 01:00:20,640
Speaker 2: projecting him at sixty five rushing yards, so I like

1272
01:00:20,680 --> 01:00:21,320
Speaker 2: the over as well.

1273
01:00:21,320 --> 01:00:24,600
Speaker 1: Here, twenty carries twice all of last year. Twenty carries

1274
01:00:24,600 --> 01:00:28,160
Speaker 1: already twice in five games this year, So Antonio Gibson

1275
01:00:28,320 --> 01:00:31,400
Speaker 1: over sixty and a half. That is going to wrap

1276
01:00:31,400 --> 01:00:34,680
Speaker 1: it up for our Prize Picks Elite entry segments to

1277
01:00:35,680 --> 01:00:39,600
Speaker 1: recap Sean going Miles Sanders under three and a half

1278
01:00:39,680 --> 01:00:44,240
Speaker 1: receptions against the Buccaneers and Derek Henry under one hundred

1279
01:00:44,360 --> 01:00:47,720
Speaker 1: five and a half rushing yards against the Bills on

1280
01:00:47,880 --> 01:00:51,080
Speaker 1: Monday night. I'm going with Miles Standers under thirty and

1281
01:00:51,120 --> 01:00:53,920
Speaker 1: a half rushing yards against the Bucks on Thursday, and

1282
01:00:53,960 --> 01:00:58,040
Speaker 1: Antonio Gibson over sixty and a half rushing yards against

1283
01:00:58,080 --> 01:01:02,920
Speaker 1: the Chiefs this Sunday. Remember, Prize Picks markets do move,

1284
01:01:03,040 --> 01:01:05,880
Speaker 1: so you want to hop one these lines quick before

1285
01:01:06,080 --> 01:01:09,000
Speaker 1: the number moved. If you haven't created a Prize Picks

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01:01:09,000 --> 01:01:11,560
Speaker 1: account yet, check out the link in our episode description

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01:01:11,800 --> 01:01:14,760
Speaker 1: and they'll match your first deposit up to one hundred dollars.

1288
01:01:14,960 --> 01:01:17,120
Speaker 1: Or visit prize picks dot com and use the promo

1289
01:01:17,160 --> 01:01:23,280
Speaker 1: code Action ten. That's Action one zero. Now back to

1290
01:01:23,360 --> 01:01:29,720
Speaker 1: the Fantasy flex. All right, let's go to the wide receivers. Sean,

1291
01:01:29,960 --> 01:01:33,520
Speaker 1: who are your top five at wide out for week six?

1292
01:01:34,680 --> 01:01:35,160
Speaker 1: Let's see.

1293
01:01:35,160 --> 01:01:38,800
Speaker 2: So I got Davante Adams most prize there, then terryk Hill,

1294
01:01:39,080 --> 01:01:43,120
Speaker 2: Cooper Cup, Stefan Diggs, and then Mike Williams.

1295
01:01:43,240 --> 01:01:47,160
Speaker 1: Welcome to the top five. Ah, so, so I know

1296
01:01:47,200 --> 01:01:49,959
Speaker 1: you had DJ Moore there a few hours ago.

1297
01:01:50,440 --> 01:01:52,600
Speaker 2: I did some well, you know, it's early in the week,

1298
01:01:52,640 --> 01:01:56,160
Speaker 2: we're getting data, we're tweaking projections. It didn't take much,

1299
01:01:56,280 --> 01:02:00,440
Speaker 2: but Mike Williams has passed up DJ Moore slightly to

1300
01:02:00,960 --> 01:02:02,080
Speaker 2: move up into my top five.

1301
01:02:03,200 --> 01:02:07,800
Speaker 1: Yeah, I have. I got Adam's number one, Tyreek number two,

1302
01:02:07,840 --> 01:02:11,000
Speaker 1: cut number three, so we're, uh, we're saying we're the same. There.

1303
01:02:11,200 --> 01:02:14,880
Speaker 1: I have Terry McLaurin number four, and we talk about it.

1304
01:02:14,920 --> 01:02:20,240
Speaker 1: Welcome to the top five, Jamar Chase and early projections

1305
01:02:20,560 --> 01:02:25,240
Speaker 1: and listen, I mean the routes run five five catches

1306
01:02:25,240 --> 01:02:28,080
Speaker 1: every game as a rookie, he's good. I mean, and

1307
01:02:28,120 --> 01:02:30,760
Speaker 1: they're you know, they're playing the Lions. Name a cornerback

1308
01:02:30,800 --> 01:02:36,080
Speaker 1: on the Lions exactly, so you know McLaurin going against

1309
01:02:36,080 --> 01:02:37,960
Speaker 1: the Chiefs. We talked about heinike. That's why I kind

1310
01:02:37,960 --> 01:02:41,320
Speaker 1: of like him there and Chasing, and like Diggs, I'm

1311
01:02:41,360 --> 01:02:44,120
Speaker 1: curious for you know, for Digs, because I you know,

1312
01:02:44,360 --> 01:02:47,600
Speaker 1: I was high on Digs last week, high on him

1313
01:02:47,960 --> 01:02:51,000
Speaker 1: usually every week. But I have noticed he's getting Maybe

1314
01:02:51,040 --> 01:02:54,720
Speaker 1: it's because the Bills are blowing teams out, but his

1315
01:02:54,880 --> 01:02:57,360
Speaker 1: routes run for drop back hasn't exceeded eighty two percent

1316
01:02:57,680 --> 01:03:00,960
Speaker 1: since week two. Are you you kind of still do

1317
01:03:00,960 --> 01:03:02,720
Speaker 1: you still have been that ninety percent range or are

1318
01:03:02,760 --> 01:03:03,920
Speaker 1: you knocking him down a little bit?

1319
01:03:05,760 --> 01:03:07,600
Speaker 2: Well, it's a bit early in the week to be

1320
01:03:07,640 --> 01:03:10,200
Speaker 2: going in those projections, but yeah, I probably still haven't

1321
01:03:10,240 --> 01:03:13,280
Speaker 2: at ninety percent. I'm not worried about Diggs. If anything,

1322
01:03:13,320 --> 01:03:16,600
Speaker 2: it just shows how good Dawson Knox has been. Yeah,

1323
01:03:16,680 --> 01:03:19,960
Speaker 2: he's really eating into the targets. But I think Diggs

1324
01:03:20,000 --> 01:03:22,760
Speaker 2: he's due for a blow up game, and certainly against

1325
01:03:22,800 --> 01:03:25,080
Speaker 2: the Titans, I could see that happening. But even a

1326
01:03:25,120 --> 01:03:27,840
Speaker 2: guy like Cole Beasley is due for a bounce back game.

1327
01:03:27,960 --> 01:03:29,960
Speaker 2: So it's just the Bills are a lot trickier to

1328
01:03:30,000 --> 01:03:32,280
Speaker 2: project this year than they were last year, just because

1329
01:03:32,280 --> 01:03:35,760
Speaker 2: of a guy like Dawson Knox, you know, seeing a

1330
01:03:35,760 --> 01:03:38,320
Speaker 2: lot more targets. So at the end of the week,

1331
01:03:38,520 --> 01:03:40,400
Speaker 2: I think Diggs will still be in my top five,

1332
01:03:40,440 --> 01:03:43,040
Speaker 2: but I can't say for certain, but I'm jealous of

1333
01:03:43,040 --> 01:03:46,280
Speaker 2: your top five. Like having McLaurin and Jumar Chase just

1334
01:03:46,320 --> 01:03:49,919
Speaker 2: sounds more fun having a guy likes the same old

1335
01:03:49,960 --> 01:03:53,360
Speaker 2: thing Stefon Diggs. But love that you have the bold

1336
01:03:53,480 --> 01:03:55,320
Speaker 2: ranking of Jamar Chase in the top five.

1337
01:03:55,480 --> 01:03:58,440
Speaker 1: Love it, Yeah, I mean I hey, I like I again.

1338
01:03:58,520 --> 01:04:00,000
Speaker 1: I think you got to go on the data, right.

1339
01:04:00,080 --> 01:04:01,760
Speaker 1: It's like when we had nothing to go off of,

1340
01:04:01,840 --> 01:04:04,720
Speaker 1: but the fact that he was dropping everything in camp,

1341
01:04:04,760 --> 01:04:06,800
Speaker 1: it was like, all right, I'm gonna be low on him,

1342
01:04:06,800 --> 01:04:08,560
Speaker 1: but you know, seeing what I've seen out of him

1343
01:04:08,600 --> 01:04:11,080
Speaker 1: and just you know how good he's been down the field.

1344
01:04:11,440 --> 01:04:13,760
Speaker 1: How now, if Joe Burrow for some reason is out,

1345
01:04:13,760 --> 01:04:15,040
Speaker 1: and I think he'll be fine because he came back

1346
01:04:15,040 --> 01:04:16,560
Speaker 1: in the game. But if he's out, I know he's

1347
01:04:16,560 --> 01:04:19,640
Speaker 1: listed as questionable. If he's out, that obviously changes the rank.

1348
01:04:19,680 --> 01:04:22,400
Speaker 1: And then because Diggs is my wide receiver six, I

1349
01:04:22,400 --> 01:04:25,160
Speaker 1: think mclauren stays four for me just because I mean

1350
01:04:25,160 --> 01:04:27,080
Speaker 1: we talked that nauseam about how much we like Heineke

1351
01:04:27,200 --> 01:04:27,880
Speaker 1: in this matchup.

1352
01:04:28,720 --> 01:04:31,960
Speaker 3: So, and I mean, there's no Washington pass catchers.

1353
01:04:31,880 --> 01:04:37,400
Speaker 1: Right, especially because mckissic's not really getting that workload over Gibson.

1354
01:04:37,520 --> 01:04:41,280
Speaker 1: It's they're they're just going with this Motley cool of receivers.

1355
01:04:41,320 --> 01:04:44,240
Speaker 1: So and mclauren's I think he's played every snap in

1356
01:04:44,280 --> 01:04:46,120
Speaker 1: like a couple of the games. He's like ninety seven

1357
01:04:46,120 --> 01:04:49,160
Speaker 1: percent for the year. So yeah, he's probably staying for

1358
01:04:49,680 --> 01:04:52,760
Speaker 1: maybe chasing Dig's flip flop if Burrow is limited in

1359
01:04:52,800 --> 01:04:53,160
Speaker 1: any way.

1360
01:04:53,200 --> 01:04:55,919
Speaker 2: But I have been I love it, and I could

1361
01:04:55,920 --> 01:04:59,360
Speaker 2: already see in my head not one, but two times

1362
01:04:59,360 --> 01:05:03,160
Speaker 2: where ter mcle learn gets past Daniel Swarnsen for a

1363
01:05:03,200 --> 01:05:05,800
Speaker 2: long touchdown, Like you can already visualize it. It's not

1364
01:05:05,920 --> 01:05:08,960
Speaker 2: it's not that crazy to think that Terry mccorran is

1365
01:05:08,960 --> 01:05:11,120
Speaker 2: gonna have a massive game this week and you know,

1366
01:05:11,240 --> 01:05:14,880
Speaker 2: Churis Samuel's out. It seems like Logan Thomas is obviously out,

1367
01:05:15,000 --> 01:05:17,480
Speaker 2: so Heinik's is going to be forcing it to mccorn.

1368
01:05:17,600 --> 01:05:20,439
Speaker 1: I don't think the Chiefs can stop him either. I'm

1369
01:05:20,480 --> 01:05:23,800
Speaker 1: trying to see. I mean, we'll do the lineup at

1370
01:05:23,840 --> 01:05:26,120
Speaker 1: the end, but I'm trying to figure out a way

1371
01:05:26,120 --> 01:05:29,360
Speaker 1: to get Tyreek Hill and Terry McLaurin into the same lineup.

1372
01:05:29,400 --> 01:05:31,720
Speaker 1: Fight you can make it work. Yeah, you gotta go

1373
01:05:31,760 --> 01:05:35,959
Speaker 1: Heinicky McLaurin, Tyree Like that's that's that's the nut right there.

1374
01:05:37,200 --> 01:05:40,880
Speaker 1: All right. So another guy who's in the top five

1375
01:05:40,960 --> 01:05:45,600
Speaker 1: of pricing that we haven't mentioned is DeAndre Hopkins, and

1376
01:05:45,720 --> 01:05:48,120
Speaker 1: we tend to discuss him on the show because his

1377
01:05:48,200 --> 01:05:50,840
Speaker 1: ranking has been a lot more volatile. I think this

1378
01:05:50,960 --> 01:05:54,040
Speaker 1: year his performance has been a little more volatile because

1379
01:05:54,160 --> 01:05:56,600
Speaker 1: Arizona is looking to kind of spread the ball around

1380
01:05:57,360 --> 01:06:01,120
Speaker 1: a bit more and that's it's working. So so, you know,

1381
01:06:01,200 --> 01:06:04,320
Speaker 1: Hopkins six catches eighty seven yards a highlight reel touchdown

1382
01:06:04,600 --> 01:06:10,120
Speaker 1: against San Francisco last week. Uh, where are you on him? Now?

1383
01:06:10,160 --> 01:06:12,200
Speaker 1: I know you've been kind of low on him. He's

1384
01:06:12,240 --> 01:06:14,640
Speaker 1: still in the top five of pricing, which I still

1385
01:06:14,680 --> 01:06:16,440
Speaker 1: think is a little too high. I think I have

1386
01:06:16,520 --> 01:06:18,480
Speaker 1: him ranked, you know, in that more of like a

1387
01:06:18,520 --> 01:06:21,040
Speaker 1: border wide wide receiver one two. But where are you

1388
01:06:21,080 --> 01:06:24,520
Speaker 1: on Hopkins and you know, paying for him in DFS

1389
01:06:24,560 --> 01:06:25,200
Speaker 1: at this price.

1390
01:06:25,080 --> 01:06:29,160
Speaker 2: Tag same as last week, Like he's like you said,

1391
01:06:29,200 --> 01:06:32,360
Speaker 2: he's a he's a fringe wide receiver one two. I

1392
01:06:32,360 --> 01:06:35,439
Speaker 2: would still consider him possibly to be a top five

1393
01:06:35,480 --> 01:06:37,120
Speaker 2: wide receiver in the game. I don't think it has

1394
01:06:37,200 --> 01:06:40,640
Speaker 2: anything to do with his talent level by any means.

1395
01:06:40,640 --> 01:06:42,760
Speaker 2: But it's like you said, they're just spreading it around.

1396
01:06:43,840 --> 01:06:47,160
Speaker 2: So unless one of these four receivers go down, like

1397
01:06:47,880 --> 01:06:49,440
Speaker 2: it's gonna be hard to project these guys a week

1398
01:06:49,480 --> 01:06:51,400
Speaker 2: to week, I think they're all going to be inconsistent.

1399
01:06:51,440 --> 01:06:55,400
Speaker 2: So that's why I'm not interested in spinning up for Hopkins.

1400
01:06:55,400 --> 01:06:57,640
Speaker 2: You obviously call it last week. You said he's a

1401
01:06:57,640 --> 01:07:00,400
Speaker 2: good contray and play in that hit and I I said,

1402
01:07:00,400 --> 01:07:02,160
Speaker 2: Mike Williams, yeah, playpit.

1403
01:07:02,280 --> 01:07:05,400
Speaker 1: So we both kind of hit. But I'll give you.

1404
01:07:05,440 --> 01:07:08,080
Speaker 1: I'll give you the Mike Williams like, I'm not taking

1405
01:07:08,120 --> 01:07:10,600
Speaker 1: anything away from your Mike Williams calls like this is

1406
01:07:10,960 --> 01:07:13,560
Speaker 1: just enjoy that because I think Mike Williams is having

1407
01:07:13,640 --> 01:07:17,280
Speaker 1: a season, man, Yeah, no.

1408
01:07:16,680 --> 01:07:19,640
Speaker 2: No kidding, So I think I'd still rather spend up

1409
01:07:19,640 --> 01:07:22,760
Speaker 2: for him. But you know, it's never gonna surprise me.

1410
01:07:22,800 --> 01:07:25,080
Speaker 2: And Hopkins has a good game, but still he's just

1411
01:07:25,080 --> 01:07:27,800
Speaker 2: when it comes to my projection for him, he's still overpriced,

1412
01:07:28,640 --> 01:07:30,320
Speaker 2: so I think he's still a pass for me.

1413
01:07:31,080 --> 01:07:35,080
Speaker 1: So yeah, So my thing with Hopkins is Cleveland. And

1414
01:07:35,120 --> 01:07:36,760
Speaker 1: this is where the numbers get tricky, because you know,

1415
01:07:36,760 --> 01:07:38,960
Speaker 1: football outsiders have Cleveland is you know, giving up the

1416
01:07:38,960 --> 01:07:41,880
Speaker 1: most yards to wide receiver one. But if you look

1417
01:07:41,880 --> 01:07:44,760
Speaker 1: a little closer, they're thirty second in DVOA to the

1418
01:07:44,840 --> 01:07:47,120
Speaker 1: right side of the of the offensive right side of

1419
01:07:47,120 --> 01:07:51,160
Speaker 1: the field against the pass, and they're number seven to

1420
01:07:51,200 --> 01:07:53,640
Speaker 1: the left. So it's more so that they've just happened

1421
01:07:53,640 --> 01:07:57,080
Speaker 1: to face, you know, hop wide receivers that have wind up,

1422
01:07:57,160 --> 01:08:01,240
Speaker 1: you know, on the right side. More well, Hopkins always

1423
01:08:01,280 --> 01:08:03,440
Speaker 1: winds up on the left, and they've been really good

1424
01:08:03,480 --> 01:08:05,680
Speaker 1: on the west side of the field. So I tend

1425
01:08:05,720 --> 01:08:08,000
Speaker 1: to go with the directional you know, because Cleveland plays

1426
01:08:08,040 --> 01:08:10,840
Speaker 1: a ton of zone coverage right, so I tend to

1427
01:08:10,880 --> 01:08:13,480
Speaker 1: look at the directional rankings versus teams like that play

1428
01:08:13,640 --> 01:08:17,160
Speaker 1: more zone, which most teams do, but Cleveland is pretty

1429
01:08:17,200 --> 01:08:19,800
Speaker 1: high on that list. So this is this is up

1430
01:08:19,880 --> 01:08:22,320
Speaker 1: is another AJ Green game, Like this is a the

1431
01:08:22,360 --> 01:08:25,240
Speaker 1: AJ Green game And I kind of talked about it

1432
01:08:25,280 --> 01:08:26,920
Speaker 1: last week. Christian Kirk has been a guy they don't

1433
01:08:26,920 --> 01:08:29,680
Speaker 1: really use much against zone coverage. San Francisco thought they

1434
01:08:29,680 --> 01:08:31,760
Speaker 1: would play about his own Kirk snaps went down a

1435
01:08:31,760 --> 01:08:34,679
Speaker 1: fifty three percent a route front per drop back. He's

1436
01:08:34,720 --> 01:08:37,840
Speaker 1: been there least targeted guy versus zone out of you

1437
01:08:37,840 --> 01:08:40,400
Speaker 1: know all, you know, even with Williams even had like

1438
01:08:40,439 --> 01:08:43,439
Speaker 1: twice as many targets against zone before going down.

1439
01:08:43,520 --> 01:08:45,160
Speaker 3: Cleven's another zone heavy team.

1440
01:08:45,720 --> 01:08:48,800
Speaker 1: So I don't know if Kirk like gets knocked down,

1441
01:08:48,960 --> 01:08:51,280
Speaker 1: especially with Williams out, but I do think, you know,

1442
01:08:51,320 --> 01:08:55,640
Speaker 1: Green had been the guy against zone coverage, and you know,

1443
01:08:55,920 --> 01:08:58,160
Speaker 1: that's kind of how they're using him this year. They've

1444
01:08:58,160 --> 01:09:00,519
Speaker 1: it's been working, you know, they've last year, I think,

1445
01:09:00,560 --> 01:09:03,200
Speaker 1: you know, couldn't really beat man coverage as much, but

1446
01:09:03,439 --> 01:09:05,920
Speaker 1: when teams are playing zone, AJ Green is still a

1447
01:09:05,920 --> 01:09:08,120
Speaker 1: good receiver, still knows what to do, and I thought

1448
01:09:08,160 --> 01:09:10,879
Speaker 1: he might be washed, but at least again zone coverage,

1449
01:09:10,880 --> 01:09:13,120
Speaker 1: he's been you know he's been productive in this offense

1450
01:09:13,120 --> 01:09:15,240
Speaker 1: because you've got so many other guys to worry about.

1451
01:09:15,280 --> 01:09:18,280
Speaker 1: So yeah, I think it's I'm less excited about Hopkins

1452
01:09:18,320 --> 01:09:21,679
Speaker 1: this week. He's my wide receiver twelve. But AJ Green

1453
01:09:21,760 --> 01:09:24,160
Speaker 1: is a guy who's inching up there. He's he's right

1454
01:09:24,439 --> 01:09:26,599
Speaker 1: at my top forty now, you know. So that's that's

1455
01:09:26,600 --> 01:09:29,000
Speaker 1: come He's come a long way from where he was.

1456
01:09:29,040 --> 01:09:35,240
Speaker 1: So like AJ Green as a cardinal play. But who

1457
01:09:35,280 --> 01:09:38,320
Speaker 1: are some cheek codes you like here wide out for

1458
01:09:38,360 --> 01:09:38,800
Speaker 1: week six?

1459
01:09:40,120 --> 01:09:43,360
Speaker 2: So going up and down unst here, I think Keenan, Allen,

1460
01:09:43,439 --> 01:09:47,280
Speaker 2: Robert Woods in that low six k range seem like

1461
01:09:47,280 --> 01:09:49,800
Speaker 2: good value. They're always pretty high four plays. I would

1462
01:09:49,840 --> 01:09:54,519
Speaker 2: consider them cash plays this week. And then I think

1463
01:09:54,600 --> 01:09:58,599
Speaker 2: T Higgins at fifty three hundred. I know, I mean

1464
01:09:58,720 --> 01:10:02,040
Speaker 2: I am high on Chase as well, but T Higgins

1465
01:10:02,120 --> 01:10:05,320
Speaker 2: might be under the radar this week, especially against the Lions.

1466
01:10:05,920 --> 01:10:08,160
Speaker 2: So he returned last week from injury, had a pretty

1467
01:10:08,240 --> 01:10:11,120
Speaker 2: quiet game, going for five catches for thirty two yards.

1468
01:10:11,160 --> 01:10:14,920
Speaker 2: But any given week he is still capable of blowing up.

1469
01:10:14,920 --> 01:10:17,240
Speaker 2: So I think we could get him at low roster

1470
01:10:17,320 --> 01:10:21,320
Speaker 2: ship at a pretty cheap price. So certainly love t

1471
01:10:21,520 --> 01:10:25,280
Speaker 2: Higgins for tournaments. And then some of the two cheaper

1472
01:10:25,320 --> 01:10:27,679
Speaker 2: guys that I do like is Van Jefferson at thirty

1473
01:10:27,680 --> 01:10:31,400
Speaker 2: four hundred. He's still playing a ton of snaps. You know,

1474
01:10:31,439 --> 01:10:35,400
Speaker 2: he dropped a touchdown on was it Monday Football? He

1475
01:10:35,640 --> 01:10:37,479
Speaker 2: just missed a deep ball, so you know the players

1476
01:10:37,479 --> 01:10:39,720
Speaker 2: are there. He could go off at that price, so

1477
01:10:39,760 --> 01:10:41,880
Speaker 2: I liked him as a cheap player. And then John

1478
01:10:41,960 --> 01:10:44,040
Speaker 2: Ross at three thousand, Like, we'll have to see what

1479
01:10:44,120 --> 01:10:47,280
Speaker 2: happens with all of the Giants receivers, but he may

1480
01:10:47,360 --> 01:10:49,400
Speaker 2: end up being the last man standing and then he'll

1481
01:10:49,439 --> 01:10:52,920
Speaker 2: probably be a free square at three k. So he's

1482
01:10:52,960 --> 01:10:55,599
Speaker 2: another cheap guy I league like potentially this week.

1483
01:10:55,960 --> 01:10:57,639
Speaker 1: Yeah, oh, I mean the Giants are just a nightmare

1484
01:10:57,680 --> 01:11:01,360
Speaker 1: projector yeah, you know, even Tony is banged up.

1485
01:11:01,760 --> 01:11:03,679
Speaker 3: Yeah, what are your thoughts on Tony? I mean, while

1486
01:11:03,680 --> 01:11:05,120
Speaker 3: we're on the subject.

1487
01:11:04,880 --> 01:11:07,960
Speaker 1: Because he's not ruled out, but he's popping up on

1488
01:11:08,000 --> 01:11:10,640
Speaker 1: an injury report now, so he's now like he's just

1489
01:11:10,680 --> 01:11:13,920
Speaker 1: in that is he just kind of like if he's healthy,

1490
01:11:14,400 --> 01:11:15,679
Speaker 1: where are you on Tony?

1491
01:11:15,800 --> 01:11:20,000
Speaker 2: I guess yeah, Like if he plays, he's a top

1492
01:11:20,080 --> 01:11:24,240
Speaker 2: thirty receiver. This week for me, assuming one or two

1493
01:11:24,280 --> 01:11:27,559
Speaker 2: of these guys are out, but even once everybody's healthy

1494
01:11:27,640 --> 01:11:29,880
Speaker 2: and Tony's healthy, of course, I think they have to

1495
01:11:29,880 --> 01:11:33,479
Speaker 2: get him involved. He looked amazing this weekend. He and

1496
01:11:33,600 --> 01:11:36,880
Speaker 2: Rondell Moore. Every time I see he or Rondeale Moore

1497
01:11:36,880 --> 01:11:40,719
Speaker 2: get targeted, I'm just amazed. So I love Tony going forward.

1498
01:11:40,800 --> 01:11:43,679
Speaker 2: I think this week I'm hoping he suits up and

1499
01:11:43,800 --> 01:11:47,559
Speaker 2: you know he can see ten plus targets like I

1500
01:11:47,600 --> 01:11:51,120
Speaker 2: think he deserves that. And he did all this in

1501
01:11:51,200 --> 01:11:54,280
Speaker 2: just fifty nine percent of routes run last week. So

1502
01:11:54,360 --> 01:11:57,080
Speaker 2: this guy's limit. With Tony, I love him. Hopefully he'll

1503
01:11:57,120 --> 01:11:59,559
Speaker 2: be able to play, but you know he'll be inside

1504
01:11:59,560 --> 01:12:00,160
Speaker 2: my top five.

1505
01:12:00,200 --> 01:12:05,519
Speaker 1: If he seats up for me, Jamar Chase, I already

1506
01:12:05,600 --> 01:12:07,920
Speaker 1: mentioned him. He's sixty seven hundred. I think he's way

1507
01:12:07,960 --> 01:12:10,840
Speaker 1: too cheap, twenty five percent target market share. The Lions

1508
01:12:10,840 --> 01:12:13,640
Speaker 1: are number twenty seven in pass defense DVOA.

1509
01:12:14,120 --> 01:12:15,880
Speaker 3: It'll probably be in all my cash game lives.

1510
01:12:15,920 --> 01:12:18,760
Speaker 1: We love the te Higgins called too, because I think he's

1511
01:12:18,800 --> 01:12:20,720
Speaker 1: his price has just come down way too far. He's

1512
01:12:20,720 --> 01:12:22,400
Speaker 1: still get it, you know, get it the same amount

1513
01:12:22,439 --> 01:12:24,519
Speaker 1: routes he's been a little banged up, so I wouldn't

1514
01:12:24,560 --> 01:12:27,200
Speaker 1: hesitate to play Higgins, especially because I think Chase will

1515
01:12:27,240 --> 01:12:30,680
Speaker 1: be one of the most highly rostered wide receivers percentage

1516
01:12:30,680 --> 01:12:34,679
Speaker 1: wise on the suite just because of his price tag.

1517
01:12:35,120 --> 01:12:37,160
Speaker 1: So I think it makes a lot of sense to

1518
01:12:37,200 --> 01:12:40,559
Speaker 1: pivot to Higgins and tournaments away from Chase, or play

1519
01:12:40,560 --> 01:12:43,240
Speaker 1: both of them, or something like that. Tymer Boyd obviously

1520
01:12:43,280 --> 01:12:46,479
Speaker 1: also an option, but for cash games. You know, Chase

1521
01:12:46,479 --> 01:12:48,800
Speaker 1: hasn't let us down yet. You know, just if you

1522
01:12:48,840 --> 01:12:51,479
Speaker 1: look at his game loges, they're all double digits, So

1523
01:12:52,439 --> 01:12:54,320
Speaker 1: we're not going away from from Jamar Chase. In a

1524
01:12:54,400 --> 01:12:59,040
Speaker 1: dream matchup Brandon Cooks, I think it's time to buy low.

1525
01:12:59,200 --> 01:13:02,000
Speaker 1: By the dip on Brad and Cooks fifty eight hundred

1526
01:13:02,000 --> 01:13:04,920
Speaker 1: and thirty four percent target markets. Here, Davis Mills looked

1527
01:13:05,640 --> 01:13:09,479
Speaker 1: somewhat competent against a Belichick defense, so you know, I

1528
01:13:09,520 --> 01:13:14,559
Speaker 1: think that's that's promising. The Colts' seventh most Fantasy points

1529
01:13:14,600 --> 01:13:17,040
Speaker 1: allowed to wide receivers, and what really sticks out to

1530
01:13:17,080 --> 01:13:20,320
Speaker 1: me about the Colts is their number thirty one, second

1531
01:13:20,320 --> 01:13:25,559
Speaker 1: to last in DVOA on deep passes, so that passes

1532
01:13:25,840 --> 01:13:28,639
Speaker 1: sixteen or more yards beyond the line of scrimmage. According

1533
01:13:28,680 --> 01:13:31,760
Speaker 1: to football outsiders, this matchup just sets up really well

1534
01:13:31,760 --> 01:13:33,880
Speaker 1: for Cooks. It was kind of predictable for him to

1535
01:13:33,920 --> 01:13:37,880
Speaker 1: have a slow week against Belichick's defense, even though you

1536
01:13:37,920 --> 01:13:41,800
Speaker 1: know Houston overall had some big plays. But I think

1537
01:13:41,840 --> 01:13:44,799
Speaker 1: now you expect the rebound because it's just been pretty

1538
01:13:44,840 --> 01:13:47,040
Speaker 1: much only him in the past game. And if Houston

1539
01:13:47,080 --> 01:13:49,400
Speaker 1: had a bunch of fluky pass you know, long completions

1540
01:13:49,400 --> 01:13:51,559
Speaker 1: where last week where if they don't, I think you

1541
01:13:51,600 --> 01:13:55,320
Speaker 1: see more production from Cooks. So, like Cooks already mentioned

1542
01:13:55,360 --> 01:13:57,840
Speaker 1: AJ Green, I think he's the guy against the defense

1543
01:13:57,920 --> 01:14:00,960
Speaker 1: like Cleveland. It's could be a shootout type of game script.

1544
01:14:01,000 --> 01:14:04,040
Speaker 1: And yeah, Canarius Tony a guy we talked about as well.

1545
01:14:04,040 --> 01:14:05,720
Speaker 1: If he's healthy, I think I think you play him.

1546
01:14:05,760 --> 01:14:07,760
Speaker 1: But yeah, Brandon Cooks is kind of an under the

1547
01:14:07,840 --> 01:14:10,400
Speaker 1: radar guy that people might be ado off after after

1548
01:14:10,479 --> 01:14:10,920
Speaker 1: last week.

1549
01:14:12,080 --> 01:14:14,559
Speaker 2: Yeah, I love that Cooks call. Like you said, I mean,

1550
01:14:14,600 --> 01:14:17,160
Speaker 2: he had two tough matchups against the Bills and then Pats.

1551
01:14:17,200 --> 01:14:21,439
Speaker 2: We know Belichick is a master at elimiting the top threat,

1552
01:14:21,479 --> 01:14:22,599
Speaker 2: and that's that's all the.

1553
01:14:22,520 --> 01:14:23,519
Speaker 1: Texans have right now.

1554
01:14:23,560 --> 01:14:26,280
Speaker 2: So yeah, love Cooks in the bounce back spot, and

1555
01:14:26,320 --> 01:14:29,800
Speaker 2: I second Chase, Like, obviously I'm playing Higgins because he's

1556
01:14:29,840 --> 01:14:31,880
Speaker 2: gonna be a low roster, But I mean, how good

1557
01:14:31,920 --> 01:14:32,559
Speaker 2: is Jamar Chase.

1558
01:14:32,560 --> 01:14:33,920
Speaker 1: He's only twenty one years old.

1559
01:14:34,800 --> 01:14:36,639
Speaker 2: It would not surprise me if he ends up being,

1560
01:14:37,080 --> 01:14:39,000
Speaker 2: you know, ranked in the top three heading in the

1561
01:14:39,000 --> 01:14:39,439
Speaker 2: next year.

1562
01:14:40,000 --> 01:14:42,479
Speaker 1: We're not crazy, Yeah we're next week.

1563
01:14:42,560 --> 01:14:45,160
Speaker 3: Yeah, let me get it out of myself playing the Lions.

1564
01:14:45,200 --> 01:14:47,040
Speaker 1: But he's he's not even.

1565
01:14:46,960 --> 01:14:49,920
Speaker 2: Close to his prime, like in three years from now,

1566
01:14:49,960 --> 01:14:52,920
Speaker 2: Like it's gonna be so fun to watch Jamar Chase.

1567
01:14:53,080 --> 01:14:56,680
Speaker 2: He's already a top five receiver exactly. So yeah, this

1568
01:14:56,760 --> 01:14:59,840
Speaker 2: guy's just think back to Week one. Remember I was

1569
01:14:59,880 --> 01:15:01,360
Speaker 2: a other people too that I was kind of worried

1570
01:15:01,360 --> 01:15:03,519
Speaker 2: about the drops and you know, the white stripe out

1571
01:15:03,520 --> 01:15:05,840
Speaker 2: of football. But once his prop got to forty and

1572
01:15:05,880 --> 01:15:08,800
Speaker 2: a half, I said, this is ridiculous, Like, let's let's

1573
01:15:08,800 --> 01:15:10,960
Speaker 2: take the over forty and a half receiving yards and

1574
01:15:11,080 --> 01:15:13,000
Speaker 2: that might be the last time I will ever get

1575
01:15:13,000 --> 01:15:18,000
Speaker 2: a Jamar Chase prop under sixty ever, let alone forty.

1576
01:15:18,080 --> 01:15:20,760
Speaker 1: So it was fun. Well it lasted. Yeah, this is

1577
01:15:21,760 --> 01:15:24,360
Speaker 1: I mean, he's already he's well on his way he's

1578
01:15:24,360 --> 01:15:26,679
Speaker 1: probably he's the head of guys, like you know, Ceede Lamb,

1579
01:15:26,680 --> 01:15:30,280
Speaker 1: even him, and like Lamb was putting up consistent production

1580
01:15:30,320 --> 01:15:32,000
Speaker 1: to start last year. But I mean the way Chase

1581
01:15:32,080 --> 01:15:34,920
Speaker 1: is gone, he's already ahead of Lamb in the rankings

1582
01:15:34,920 --> 01:15:37,240
Speaker 1: and all that. So yeah, all right, let's go to

1583
01:15:37,280 --> 01:15:38,720
Speaker 1: the prop wide receivers.

1584
01:15:39,040 --> 01:15:41,040
Speaker 2: So this is first signment football. I just thought this,

1585
01:15:41,040 --> 01:15:44,479
Speaker 2: this would be a fun one. And that's DK Metcalf

1586
01:15:44,720 --> 01:15:49,599
Speaker 2: total receiving yards at Pittsburgh without Russell Wilson, which this

1587
01:15:49,680 --> 01:15:52,000
Speaker 2: is the first game ever DK Metcalf has had to

1588
01:15:52,040 --> 01:15:55,000
Speaker 2: play without Russell Wilson, I believe. So where do you

1589
01:15:55,080 --> 01:15:57,760
Speaker 2: haven't projected? I have the lines set at sixty and

1590
01:15:57,800 --> 01:16:00,280
Speaker 2: a half receiving yards. I've Metcalf right at.

1591
01:16:00,200 --> 01:16:03,400
Speaker 1: Sixty yards for median projection, so I'll go right under.

1592
01:16:03,439 --> 01:16:06,240
Speaker 1: I think that's a great line. It's just really tough

1593
01:16:06,240 --> 01:16:08,840
Speaker 1: to have confidence. He's my wide receiver thirty, which is

1594
01:16:09,280 --> 01:16:13,040
Speaker 1: like that's you know, in Rockett's thirty two. So it's

1595
01:16:13,080 --> 01:16:17,040
Speaker 1: not just Gino Smith who looked good. But this is

1596
01:16:17,040 --> 01:16:20,479
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh's defense, and this is is kind of why I

1597
01:16:20,560 --> 01:16:22,040
Speaker 1: you know, went back to the well and bet on

1598
01:16:22,080 --> 01:16:25,080
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh last week against Denver and their defense kind of

1599
01:16:25,120 --> 01:16:27,280
Speaker 1: comes up big and ends up getting the game seiling interception,

1600
01:16:27,439 --> 01:16:30,320
Speaker 1: seals the cover and all that. But you know, this

1601
01:16:30,360 --> 01:16:32,200
Speaker 1: is still a good defense. This is a defense that

1602
01:16:33,000 --> 01:16:35,439
Speaker 1: blow down the Buffalo Bills, who have been on a

1603
01:16:35,520 --> 01:16:39,720
Speaker 1: rampage ever since. So I'm just you know, I mean,

1604
01:16:39,720 --> 01:16:42,360
Speaker 1: the numbers kind of back it up, but it's like

1605
01:16:42,800 --> 01:16:45,200
Speaker 1: even stepping back and just using our common sense, It's

1606
01:16:45,240 --> 01:16:49,720
Speaker 1: like Gino Smith throwing the DK Metcalf against the Pittsburgh's

1607
01:16:49,720 --> 01:16:54,720
Speaker 1: defense in Pittsburgh. Right, it's in Pittsburgh. Yep. Yeah, that's

1608
01:16:54,760 --> 01:16:57,960
Speaker 1: no bueno. And it's just no bueno for Metcalf. So

1609
01:16:57,960 --> 01:17:01,320
Speaker 1: I mean, sixty yards is still like, that's still good

1610
01:17:01,360 --> 01:17:04,920
Speaker 1: for a receiver. But if I'm in a league that,

1611
01:17:05,000 --> 01:17:07,040
Speaker 1: for example, only starts two wide receivers, I mean, I

1612
01:17:07,040 --> 01:17:09,559
Speaker 1: don't know what weeks ago does that, but there's probably

1613
01:17:09,560 --> 01:17:11,760
Speaker 1: a guy invention that this week. You know he's he's

1614
01:17:11,760 --> 01:17:13,840
Speaker 1: a flex option at best. I think, I don't don't

1615
01:17:13,880 --> 01:17:16,760
Speaker 1: you know, wide receiver three if you need it, but

1616
01:17:17,800 --> 01:17:19,600
Speaker 1: I'd be looking for other options and just trying to

1617
01:17:19,680 --> 01:17:23,360
Speaker 1: do in a wait and see week. Obviously, in showdown slates,

1618
01:17:23,400 --> 01:17:25,720
Speaker 1: you know, the Sunday night. We'll talk about that on

1619
01:17:25,800 --> 01:17:30,440
Speaker 1: Friday show. But that's where I think you invest in him.

1620
01:17:30,479 --> 01:17:32,479
Speaker 1: Not confident at all. Otherwise, I just think I just

1621
01:17:32,520 --> 01:17:35,439
Speaker 1: think it's a tough matchup. Is Tyler Lockett outside your

1622
01:17:35,479 --> 01:17:36,920
Speaker 1: top thirty six? Where do you have him?

1623
01:17:36,960 --> 01:17:40,679
Speaker 3: Thirty two? We're thirty and thirty two? Oh, okay, thirty

1624
01:17:40,720 --> 01:17:41,360
Speaker 3: for metcal.

1625
01:17:41,280 --> 01:17:43,200
Speaker 2: I have I have lock Do you think they're both

1626
01:17:43,240 --> 01:17:45,160
Speaker 2: equally impacted or do you think one is going to

1627
01:17:45,240 --> 01:17:49,080
Speaker 2: be more impacted by Wilson being out? I have to

1628
01:17:50,400 --> 01:17:52,280
Speaker 2: I just think Dk is the kind of guy that

1629
01:17:52,479 --> 01:17:54,679
Speaker 2: Gino can just like throw it up to and he'll

1630
01:17:54,680 --> 01:17:57,840
Speaker 2: figure it out where his Lockett probably needs a guy

1631
01:17:57,880 --> 01:18:00,760
Speaker 2: like Wilson a bit more so, I I am. I'm

1632
01:18:00,800 --> 01:18:04,559
Speaker 2: downgrading Lockett quite a bit this week compared to Metcalf.

1633
01:18:05,120 --> 01:18:07,360
Speaker 1: Well, the thing is, Pittsburgh kind of sits back. They

1634
01:18:07,360 --> 01:18:11,040
Speaker 1: don't really blitz a ton, they'll play coverage. So I

1635
01:18:11,680 --> 01:18:13,599
Speaker 1: just worry that they can take out both of those guys.

1636
01:18:13,640 --> 01:18:16,040
Speaker 1: You know, yeah, I think Metcalf and the thing is,

1637
01:18:16,400 --> 01:18:18,439
Speaker 1: you know, it makes some sense, but it's all like

1638
01:18:18,520 --> 01:18:22,760
Speaker 1: Metcalf is also kind of the the defense's priority every week.

1639
01:18:22,800 --> 01:18:25,080
Speaker 1: I think, you know, maybe Lockett shifted that a little bit,

1640
01:18:25,080 --> 01:18:28,160
Speaker 1: but It's tough for me to separate them. I'm not

1641
01:18:28,200 --> 01:18:30,080
Speaker 1: going to kind of go in and do too much

1642
01:18:30,120 --> 01:18:31,920
Speaker 1: manually and kind of adjust one more than the other.

1643
01:18:32,520 --> 01:18:36,320
Speaker 1: They just both go down because Gino passing numbers are

1644
01:18:36,320 --> 01:18:39,599
Speaker 1: nowhere near Russ's. So yeah, wide receiver three for both

1645
01:18:39,640 --> 01:18:42,959
Speaker 1: those guys. For me, let's go to tight end. Who

1646
01:18:43,280 --> 01:18:46,000
Speaker 1: is your top five for tight end in week six?

1647
01:18:47,400 --> 01:18:51,320
Speaker 2: So I have Travis Kelce, Darren Waller, Mark Andrews And

1648
01:18:51,360 --> 01:18:53,680
Speaker 2: then it gets kind of dicey. Right now, I have

1649
01:18:53,800 --> 01:18:56,200
Speaker 2: TJ Hawkins and I Noah Fan, but it would not

1650
01:18:56,280 --> 01:18:58,639
Speaker 2: surprise me if that coulds shuffled up quite a bit.

1651
01:18:59,040 --> 01:19:01,599
Speaker 2: It's pretty tight that range. So where do you have

1652
01:19:02,200 --> 01:19:03,240
Speaker 2: your top five right now?

1653
01:19:03,560 --> 01:19:08,040
Speaker 1: Yeah? Exactly, his name Kelsey Waller. You know a guy

1654
01:19:08,080 --> 01:19:10,599
Speaker 1: who's righting the cuss. Two guys riding the cuss, Mike

1655
01:19:10,640 --> 01:19:13,760
Speaker 1: is SICKI Dawson Knox. Dawson Knox ran a route on

1656
01:19:13,840 --> 01:19:16,720
Speaker 1: ninety percent of the dropbacks last week. I don't have

1657
01:19:16,800 --> 01:19:19,120
Speaker 1: n't projected quite that high because they actually had even

1658
01:19:19,200 --> 01:19:22,160
Speaker 1: more you know, big heavy personnel than they usually do.

1659
01:19:22,720 --> 01:19:25,519
Speaker 1: Something we kind of alluded to it talking about Stefan Diggs,

1660
01:19:26,160 --> 01:19:28,760
Speaker 1: but Knox could be a guy that ends up being

1661
01:19:28,760 --> 01:19:31,200
Speaker 1: that that fifth guy. For me, I think this is

1662
01:19:31,240 --> 01:19:35,320
Speaker 1: a great matchup for fan against a Vegas defense that

1663
01:19:35,760 --> 01:19:38,719
Speaker 1: I mean for obvious reasons. You know, the whole team's

1664
01:19:38,760 --> 01:19:41,800
Speaker 1: probably a bit distracted right now, in a bit of

1665
01:19:41,800 --> 01:19:47,160
Speaker 1: a shambles, but Vegas has been twenty fifth in DVOA

1666
01:19:47,320 --> 01:19:50,960
Speaker 1: against the tight end position. Still know Jerry Judy still

1667
01:19:51,000 --> 01:19:54,840
Speaker 1: no kJ Hamler for the Broncos, so uh no offense,

1668
01:19:54,880 --> 01:19:56,680
Speaker 1: I think we see him have a big game. His

1669
01:19:56,800 --> 01:19:58,920
Speaker 1: routes run for dropback I've been near the top of

1670
01:19:58,920 --> 01:19:59,920
Speaker 1: the league.

1671
01:20:00,080 --> 01:20:02,160
Speaker 3: Position as well, so I don't think you can go

1672
01:20:02,200 --> 01:20:02,840
Speaker 3: wrong with him.

1673
01:20:03,479 --> 01:20:05,920
Speaker 1: Uh. You know GASICKI against the Jaguars, I mean, the

1674
01:20:05,960 --> 01:20:09,879
Speaker 1: one team worse than the Chiefs and in in past defense,

1675
01:20:10,280 --> 01:20:13,800
Speaker 1: I think that's always promising. So and Jacoby Brisset has

1676
01:20:13,800 --> 01:20:16,479
Speaker 1: been targeting Kasiki more than than Tua did, so that's

1677
01:20:16,520 --> 01:20:20,919
Speaker 1: something to watch too. If two is back and he's starting,

1678
01:20:21,160 --> 01:20:23,960
Speaker 1: then it's probably gonna stay fan. But maybe Kasiki has

1679
01:20:23,960 --> 01:20:27,519
Speaker 1: a chance to jump into that top five if let's start.

1680
01:20:27,680 --> 01:20:29,400
Speaker 2: That's a great point with the change of quarterback. I

1681
01:20:29,439 --> 01:20:32,559
Speaker 2: hadn't fact that in yet, but did you mention Schultz?

1682
01:20:32,640 --> 01:20:35,120
Speaker 2: Is he just outside your Is he your tight ends eight?

1683
01:20:35,280 --> 01:20:38,360
Speaker 2: Right now, let's see what is Schultz? I think he's nine.

1684
01:20:39,120 --> 01:20:42,200
Speaker 2: He's my tight end six. That's how far I've come

1685
01:20:42,240 --> 01:20:44,240
Speaker 2: on Belton Schultz in the past few weeks.

1686
01:20:44,880 --> 01:20:47,240
Speaker 1: Oh no, he's he's actually down to my tight end.

1687
01:20:47,880 --> 01:20:51,000
Speaker 1: He's my tight end nine. So he's not you know,

1688
01:20:51,000 --> 01:20:53,160
Speaker 1: he's inside the top ten. I think for the second

1689
01:20:53,160 --> 01:20:56,360
Speaker 1: straight week, seventy five percent of the routes to Blake

1690
01:20:56,400 --> 01:20:59,160
Speaker 1: Jarwin's twenty eight percent last week, So that was the

1691
01:20:59,200 --> 01:21:02,439
Speaker 1: biggest dispatch already of the season. The week before it

1692
01:21:02,439 --> 01:21:05,360
Speaker 1: was seventy six percent for Shultz thirty six percent for Jarwin.

1693
01:21:05,880 --> 01:21:08,160
Speaker 1: So I think it kind of evens out somewhere in

1694
01:21:08,200 --> 01:21:11,040
Speaker 1: between those two. Schaltz should be on the field running

1695
01:21:11,080 --> 01:21:13,880
Speaker 1: around about three fourths at the time, which is another

1696
01:21:14,000 --> 01:21:15,120
Speaker 1: really good number for tight ends.

1697
01:21:15,120 --> 01:21:16,840
Speaker 3: So yeah, I haven't been sat. He's inside the top ten.

1698
01:21:16,880 --> 01:21:19,759
Speaker 1: Maybe he jumps up another spot or two, but definitely

1699
01:21:19,760 --> 01:21:23,960
Speaker 1: a guy that's uh, you're confident starting uh until further notice,

1700
01:21:24,000 --> 01:21:24,720
Speaker 1: pretty much, you know.

1701
01:21:24,760 --> 01:21:28,799
Speaker 2: Yeah, and he's seeing a target on twenty five percent

1702
01:21:29,520 --> 01:21:32,840
Speaker 2: of those routes run and you know, ceedee, Lamb's at

1703
01:21:32,840 --> 01:21:36,479
Speaker 2: twenty two percent, Cooper's at twenty point five. So Schultz

1704
01:21:36,640 --> 01:21:40,080
Speaker 2: is essentially dark Prescott's number one target right now. So

1705
01:21:41,040 --> 01:21:42,760
Speaker 2: he is all the way up to tight End six

1706
01:21:42,800 --> 01:21:43,519
Speaker 2: for me this week.

1707
01:21:44,520 --> 01:21:47,759
Speaker 1: Yeah, and knowing Bill Belichick, he's gonna say, yeah, please

1708
01:21:47,760 --> 01:21:51,240
Speaker 1: throw the ball at Dalton Sheltz. Yeah, you gotta stop

1709
01:21:51,360 --> 01:21:55,800
Speaker 1: Lamb and Cooper. So it could be, yeah, another big week.

1710
01:21:56,240 --> 01:21:58,360
Speaker 1: And Patriots have been, you know, they've been kind of

1711
01:21:58,439 --> 01:22:00,240
Speaker 1: that's been their weakness. You know, I think they even

1712
01:22:00,680 --> 01:22:03,160
Speaker 1: shake against the run and some of those you know,

1713
01:22:03,280 --> 01:22:06,240
Speaker 1: Wesser targets, you know, beating them last week for Uston

1714
01:22:06,280 --> 01:22:09,040
Speaker 1: it was the wide receivers on the outside. But again

1715
01:22:09,120 --> 01:22:11,759
Speaker 1: I think that's the product of the coverages and Schultz,

1716
01:22:11,760 --> 01:22:13,120
Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know, I still don't think he

1717
01:22:13,160 --> 01:22:16,479
Speaker 1: commands more coverage than guys like Lamb Cooper. So it's

1718
01:22:16,479 --> 01:22:19,080
Speaker 1: gonna it's gonna be tough, tough matchup for the Patriots,

1719
01:22:19,120 --> 01:22:22,200
Speaker 1: But yeah, Schultz is startable from here on out.

1720
01:22:23,120 --> 01:22:25,280
Speaker 3: Who are some other guys and cheat codes at tight

1721
01:22:25,360 --> 01:22:25,960
Speaker 3: end that you like?

1722
01:22:26,880 --> 01:22:27,439
Speaker 1: For this week.

1723
01:22:28,280 --> 01:22:30,560
Speaker 2: Well, first off, I think you know Mark Andrews is

1724
01:22:30,560 --> 01:22:34,040
Speaker 2: probably a no brainer at fifty two hundred. Another guy

1725
01:22:34,080 --> 01:22:37,000
Speaker 2: where you know, if he was priced after the Mona

1726
01:22:37,120 --> 01:22:40,200
Speaker 2: football game, he'd be much higher, probably closer to six k,

1727
01:22:40,640 --> 01:22:43,320
Speaker 2: I would imagine. So he's a great player. This week

1728
01:22:43,400 --> 01:22:46,240
Speaker 2: probably gonna be very popular. And the Chargers have been

1729
01:22:47,040 --> 01:22:49,759
Speaker 2: pretty bad against tight ends. They've led the third most

1730
01:22:50,000 --> 01:22:52,559
Speaker 2: fancy points of tight ends. They just allowed a seven

1731
01:22:52,680 --> 01:22:54,879
Speaker 2: catch for one hundred and forty nine yards and touchdown

1732
01:22:55,000 --> 01:22:58,080
Speaker 2: to David and Joku, So this will blow up spot

1733
01:22:58,080 --> 01:23:01,120
Speaker 2: for Andrews again, like a tournament, you want to be contrarion.

1734
01:23:01,880 --> 01:23:04,000
Speaker 2: You can fade him, but that's that's scary to do.

1735
01:23:04,160 --> 01:23:07,040
Speaker 2: He he has one of the highest ceilings on this

1736
01:23:07,240 --> 01:23:10,280
Speaker 2: entire slate, so love him. And then our boy Ricky

1737
01:23:10,280 --> 01:23:13,559
Speaker 2: Seals Jones at three k. If if you like Tayler Hennikey,

1738
01:23:13,680 --> 01:23:16,920
Speaker 2: Taylor Hennikey this week, Ricky Seals Jones needs to be

1739
01:23:16,960 --> 01:23:19,240
Speaker 2: in some lineups. He had a decent game, you know,

1740
01:23:19,320 --> 01:23:22,840
Speaker 2: five catches for forty one yards. No touchdown though, but

1741
01:23:22,920 --> 01:23:26,959
Speaker 2: he ran her out on eighty eight percent of Heineke's dropbacks.

1742
01:23:27,000 --> 01:23:31,960
Speaker 2: That's essentially inheriting the full Logan Thomas role. So love

1743
01:23:32,200 --> 01:23:34,479
Speaker 2: Seals Jones flour end ceiling this week, and it would

1744
01:23:34,479 --> 01:23:37,200
Speaker 2: not surprise me if we see a touchdown added on

1745
01:23:37,240 --> 01:23:39,920
Speaker 2: to the stout line this week. So great matchup again

1746
01:23:40,000 --> 01:23:42,360
Speaker 2: curis Anels out so it could be, uh, you know,

1747
01:23:42,400 --> 01:23:44,280
Speaker 2: a big game for Seals Jones this week.

1748
01:23:45,360 --> 01:23:47,479
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean I love it. First of all, I

1749
01:23:47,520 --> 01:23:48,320
Speaker 3: love Andrews too.

1750
01:23:48,360 --> 01:23:51,320
Speaker 1: I think against that charge of DTAs twenty ninth and DVOA,

1751
01:23:51,439 --> 01:23:56,160
Speaker 1: that's just a smash spot. Seales Jones is another guy fan.

1752
01:23:56,960 --> 01:23:59,400
Speaker 1: I love him, you know, that's why he's in the

1753
01:23:59,479 --> 01:24:01,200
Speaker 1: top five. I think he's at a good price. And

1754
01:24:01,400 --> 01:24:04,400
Speaker 1: one more guy I'll mention that we haven't really talked about.

1755
01:24:04,400 --> 01:24:05,840
Speaker 1: This is more of a dart throw. You know. I

1756
01:24:05,840 --> 01:24:08,720
Speaker 1: wouldn't be surprised if he gets like one catch or

1757
01:24:08,760 --> 01:24:09,360
Speaker 1: no catches.

1758
01:24:10,040 --> 01:24:11,479
Speaker 3: But CJ.

1759
01:24:11,640 --> 01:24:15,240
Speaker 1: Yousoma is going against the Lions defense that ranks dead

1760
01:24:15,320 --> 01:24:20,160
Speaker 1: last in DVOA against tight ends, and Yousoma is running

1761
01:24:20,160 --> 01:24:23,840
Speaker 1: a route on seventy seven percent of dropbacks, which again

1762
01:24:23,880 --> 01:24:26,200
Speaker 1: is one of the top marks four tight ends in

1763
01:24:26,240 --> 01:24:28,839
Speaker 1: the league. Once you get you know, anywhere above seventy

1764
01:24:28,880 --> 01:24:32,839
Speaker 1: percent and which you could have here is a leverage

1765
01:24:32,880 --> 01:24:36,479
Speaker 1: play on a number of guys. First on Seals Jones,

1766
01:24:36,640 --> 01:24:38,720
Speaker 1: who's one hundred dollars cheaper and I'm sure will be

1767
01:24:38,720 --> 01:24:42,120
Speaker 1: a lot more popular, and then Jamar Chase, who's going

1768
01:24:42,200 --> 01:24:45,320
Speaker 1: to be extremely popular. Te Higgins probably is extremely popular

1769
01:24:45,400 --> 01:24:49,200
Speaker 1: because of the price. So I love you Sooma as

1770
01:24:49,240 --> 01:24:52,080
Speaker 1: a leverage play or you know a guy you include

1771
01:24:52,160 --> 01:24:54,680
Speaker 1: to kind of differentiate your lineups when you're rostering a

1772
01:24:54,760 --> 01:24:57,760
Speaker 1: Chase or a Higgins. Soysoma would be that kind of

1773
01:24:57,760 --> 01:25:00,280
Speaker 1: off the radar guy that I get in and wine

1774
01:25:00,320 --> 01:25:03,479
Speaker 1: ups this. I love the Ouzoma call. You know.

1775
01:25:03,520 --> 01:25:05,720
Speaker 2: I'm looking at one of the gpvs last week and

1776
01:25:05,840 --> 01:25:07,800
Speaker 2: he was roster around four percent of teams and that

1777
01:25:07,920 --> 01:25:11,360
Speaker 2: was after that just monster two touchdown game. So I

1778
01:25:11,360 --> 01:25:13,320
Speaker 2: think people are going to be sleeping on him. But

1779
01:25:13,520 --> 01:25:16,360
Speaker 2: like you said, the underlying usage is there any tight

1780
01:25:16,479 --> 01:25:18,880
Speaker 2: end running a route close to eighty percent of the

1781
01:25:18,920 --> 01:25:23,000
Speaker 2: time piques my interest? So he'll have, you know, some duds,

1782
01:25:23,040 --> 01:25:26,200
Speaker 2: but he's certainly capable a boat game this week against

1783
01:25:26,200 --> 01:25:26,679
Speaker 2: the Lions.

1784
01:25:26,680 --> 01:25:29,120
Speaker 1: So love that call as well. He's my tight end

1785
01:25:29,160 --> 01:25:31,800
Speaker 1: thirteen this week and his his targets per route run

1786
01:25:31,880 --> 01:25:33,800
Speaker 1: is very low. It's like eleven percent. But it's the

1787
01:25:33,800 --> 01:25:36,240
Speaker 1: perfect variance because you have you have a guy with

1788
01:25:36,320 --> 01:25:38,639
Speaker 1: a lot of routes that usually doesn't see a lot

1789
01:25:38,640 --> 01:25:40,559
Speaker 1: of targets. The routes are going to stay. You know,

1790
01:25:40,640 --> 01:25:43,080
Speaker 1: that's not going to move. So if anything moves, the

1791
01:25:43,120 --> 01:25:45,160
Speaker 1: targets are going to regress a little closer to the mean,

1792
01:25:45,960 --> 01:25:49,200
Speaker 1: which we uh so yeah it, you know, wouldn't be

1793
01:25:49,240 --> 01:25:50,880
Speaker 1: so again, wouldn't be surprised if be Veagos don't go

1794
01:25:50,920 --> 01:25:53,040
Speaker 1: all in on him. But if you have him like

1795
01:25:53,080 --> 01:25:56,679
Speaker 1: twenty percent and the field has him like three percent

1796
01:25:57,479 --> 01:26:01,599
Speaker 1: and he gets a touchdown, you're in good shape, all right.

1797
01:26:01,640 --> 01:26:05,680
Speaker 2: Who's our tight end prop? So it's our tight end

1798
01:26:05,720 --> 01:26:09,840
Speaker 2: four and that's TJ. Hawkinson. Price Picks has a prop

1799
01:26:09,960 --> 01:26:13,160
Speaker 2: up right now for his receiving yards and it's fifty two.

1800
01:26:13,080 --> 01:26:13,639
Speaker 1: And a half.

1801
01:26:14,640 --> 01:26:16,800
Speaker 2: I'll let you go first. Are you over under that?

1802
01:26:16,880 --> 01:26:19,080
Speaker 2: And what's going on with TJ. Hawkinson right now?

1803
01:26:20,200 --> 01:26:22,479
Speaker 1: I am under that. I am at fifty yards even.

1804
01:26:23,840 --> 01:26:26,120
Speaker 1: I think what's going on with TJ. Hockinson is the

1805
01:26:26,200 --> 01:26:29,320
Speaker 1: fact that you know, we saw to start the season

1806
01:26:29,360 --> 01:26:33,040
Speaker 1: a couple of big games and defenses are you know,

1807
01:26:33,080 --> 01:26:36,040
Speaker 1: more and more treating him like the number one wide

1808
01:26:36,080 --> 01:26:39,240
Speaker 1: receiver because he's still running a route on eighty six

1809
01:26:39,320 --> 01:26:42,720
Speaker 1: percent of Jared Goff dropback. So this is not a

1810
01:26:42,760 --> 01:26:46,200
Speaker 1: situation where you know he's blocking or he's doing you know,

1811
01:26:46,240 --> 01:26:49,880
Speaker 1: he's doing things that sometimes cut into tight ends productions.

1812
01:26:50,479 --> 01:26:53,120
Speaker 1: I think this is just a matter of over the

1813
01:26:53,200 --> 01:26:57,040
Speaker 1: last few weeks. You know, Baltimore, they got ravaged by

1814
01:26:57,080 --> 01:26:58,880
Speaker 1: tight ends in the first couple weeks. Could have teached it.

1815
01:26:58,920 --> 01:27:00,600
Speaker 1: That was their whole game plan. You just need to

1816
01:27:00,600 --> 01:27:03,600
Speaker 1: slow down TJ Hockinson. Then you played the Bears. He

1817
01:27:03,680 --> 01:27:06,599
Speaker 1: got eight targets against the Bears, but the Bears they've

1818
01:27:06,720 --> 01:27:08,599
Speaker 1: continued to be a pretty good defense. So he only

1819
01:27:08,640 --> 01:27:11,160
Speaker 1: caught four balls, didn't break a big play, ended with

1820
01:27:11,200 --> 01:27:13,360
Speaker 1: forty two yards last week. He did come into the

1821
01:27:13,400 --> 01:27:16,200
Speaker 1: Minnesota game a little bit banged up, so maybe that

1822
01:27:16,240 --> 01:27:19,000
Speaker 1: contributed to it. But Mike Zimmer also a pretty sharp

1823
01:27:19,680 --> 01:27:23,439
Speaker 1: defensive mind. So you know, just twenty two yards three

1824
01:27:23,479 --> 01:27:27,240
Speaker 1: targets for Hockinson in that one. Now, so Cincinnati I

1825
01:27:27,280 --> 01:27:29,599
Speaker 1: think kind of falls somewhere in the middle. They've been

1826
01:27:29,640 --> 01:27:32,479
Speaker 1: above average overall in pass defense, but they're actually just

1827
01:27:32,520 --> 01:27:34,439
Speaker 1: eighteenth in DVOA against tight ends.

1828
01:27:34,680 --> 01:27:37,200
Speaker 3: Now they're underlying numbers look good.

1829
01:27:37,240 --> 01:27:40,240
Speaker 1: You know, they're allowing just thirty three point seven schedule

1830
01:27:40,280 --> 01:27:43,240
Speaker 1: adjusted yards, so they have been good. But I think

1831
01:27:43,640 --> 01:27:45,719
Speaker 1: when you see they haven't really seen like a high

1832
01:27:45,800 --> 01:27:50,040
Speaker 1: volume tight end of Hockinson's ILK. So I think this

1833
01:27:50,040 --> 01:27:52,200
Speaker 1: could be a bit of a bounce back spot for him.

1834
01:27:52,560 --> 01:27:57,439
Speaker 1: But still just not too thrilled with this lion's passing game,

1835
01:27:58,479 --> 01:28:01,240
Speaker 1: you know, moving wide receivers left and right. Not a

1836
01:28:01,280 --> 01:28:03,320
Speaker 1: spot I'm thrilled with here. You know, his tight end

1837
01:28:03,360 --> 01:28:06,320
Speaker 1: four rankings speaks to the fact that it's still kind

1838
01:28:06,360 --> 01:28:08,360
Speaker 1: of a little bit messy, you know, as you go

1839
01:28:08,400 --> 01:28:09,000
Speaker 1: down the list.

1840
01:28:09,160 --> 01:28:11,200
Speaker 3: But yeah, I haven't met fifty yards even some a

1841
01:28:11,200 --> 01:28:12,360
Speaker 3: few you guys wonder what about you.

1842
01:28:12,800 --> 01:28:15,559
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm even lower. I met forty two and a half.

1843
01:28:15,760 --> 01:28:19,040
Speaker 2: Oh for his median. For his median, I'm projecting about

1844
01:28:19,680 --> 01:28:24,200
Speaker 2: forty six yards, that's his average, but his media is

1845
01:28:24,200 --> 01:28:26,040
Speaker 2: gonna be closer to forty two and a half. And

1846
01:28:26,120 --> 01:28:28,760
Speaker 2: even with that projection, that low projection, I might add,

1847
01:28:28,760 --> 01:28:29,920
Speaker 2: he's still my tight end four.

1848
01:28:30,840 --> 01:28:31,840
Speaker 1: And you hit the nail on the head.

1849
01:28:31,840 --> 01:28:34,439
Speaker 2: It just once you get outside of the Kelsey's, the

1850
01:28:34,439 --> 01:28:37,479
Speaker 2: Wallers and now the Mark Andrews of the world. It's

1851
01:28:37,520 --> 01:28:39,680
Speaker 2: pretty close and it doesn't take much to get in

1852
01:28:39,720 --> 01:28:42,000
Speaker 2: the top five at tight end right now. So I

1853
01:28:42,000 --> 01:28:44,200
Speaker 2: think he's going to bounce back. Like you said, defenses

1854
01:28:44,240 --> 01:28:48,599
Speaker 2: have been double teaming him at times. I think amon

1855
01:28:48,720 --> 01:28:52,280
Speaker 2: Ra Saint Brown has stepped up, but you know, he's

1856
01:28:52,360 --> 01:28:54,720
Speaker 2: too good and he's going to bounce back. And when

1857
01:28:54,760 --> 01:28:57,040
Speaker 2: you look at the tight ends the Bengals have faced,

1858
01:28:57,040 --> 01:29:00,240
Speaker 2: they haven't faced anybody nearly as close to t. J.

1859
01:29:00,360 --> 01:29:02,559
Speaker 2: Hawkinson's skill set. So I think he'll have a good

1860
01:29:02,560 --> 01:29:05,600
Speaker 2: game here. But you know, I'm still going with the

1861
01:29:05,640 --> 01:29:07,599
Speaker 2: under fifty two and a half prop here.

1862
01:29:08,560 --> 01:29:11,800
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's it's it's a little Bessie at tight end.

1863
01:29:11,920 --> 01:29:15,479
Speaker 1: You know, anytime you're talking about Dalton Schultz and cj

1864
01:29:15,640 --> 01:29:19,280
Speaker 1: U Soma and Ricky Seals Jones in twenty twenty one,

1865
01:29:19,360 --> 01:29:22,200
Speaker 1: I don't know, Dalton Chultz is pretty good. Yeah, yeah, yeah,

1866
01:29:22,320 --> 01:29:24,280
Speaker 1: it's not taking tap to him being a good tight

1867
01:29:24,400 --> 01:29:26,799
Speaker 1: end is what's going to have to happen, right It's

1868
01:29:26,840 --> 01:29:28,920
Speaker 1: still nuts. I mean it's still because Dalton Schultz was like,

1869
01:29:28,960 --> 01:29:31,439
Speaker 1: they're blocking tight end a couple, you know what I mean, Like, well,

1870
01:29:31,479 --> 01:29:33,760
Speaker 1: he came a long way. He did he finish as

1871
01:29:33,800 --> 01:29:36,240
Speaker 1: a top ten tight end last year. I mean, right, no,

1872
01:29:36,320 --> 01:29:37,920
Speaker 1: he's come a long way, but that but that was

1873
01:29:37,960 --> 01:29:40,920
Speaker 1: also he was like playing, he was like the guy

1874
01:29:41,080 --> 01:29:43,599
Speaker 1: like they weren't really like a jar when and Darvin

1875
01:29:43,640 --> 01:29:47,400
Speaker 1: Snaps have gone down and down and so no shouts Schultz. Again,

1876
01:29:47,600 --> 01:29:50,120
Speaker 1: I'm happy for him. He's got to get paid after this,

1877
01:29:50,280 --> 01:29:52,560
Speaker 1: right right, Yeah, he's got to be getting himself a

1878
01:29:52,600 --> 01:29:54,240
Speaker 1: contract that I don't even know if he thought he'd

1879
01:29:54,280 --> 01:29:58,040
Speaker 1: get in the NFL. So I'm happy for him. All right,

1880
01:29:58,120 --> 01:30:00,840
Speaker 1: Let's close the Week six show by building a main

1881
01:30:00,880 --> 01:30:05,680
Speaker 1: slate lineup for Week six on draftings. You went first

1882
01:30:05,760 --> 01:30:08,439
Speaker 1: last week, Sean, so I'll go first this week. A

1883
01:30:08,479 --> 01:30:11,600
Speaker 1: guy I'm gonna go first with here is kind of

1884
01:30:12,040 --> 01:30:14,040
Speaker 1: a guy who I think was under the radar, who

1885
01:30:14,120 --> 01:30:17,960
Speaker 1: I've been fading somewhat, you know, most of the season.

1886
01:30:18,040 --> 01:30:21,479
Speaker 1: But aj Green, coming off a bad game where we

1887
01:30:21,520 --> 01:30:24,280
Speaker 1: only had two targets last week, I think in this

1888
01:30:24,400 --> 01:30:28,519
Speaker 1: game it favors you know, him getting some zone coverage.

1889
01:30:28,640 --> 01:30:30,720
Speaker 1: I don't think Cleveland's gonna be held to you know,

1890
01:30:30,840 --> 01:30:34,080
Speaker 1: ten points like the Niners last week. So I'm begging

1891
01:30:34,120 --> 01:30:36,720
Speaker 1: on a bounce back back game from AJ Green. So

1892
01:30:36,720 --> 01:30:38,800
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go little off the map here and lock

1893
01:30:38,880 --> 01:30:42,000
Speaker 1: him in first for our lineup forty nine hundred.

1894
01:30:42,800 --> 01:30:47,479
Speaker 2: All right, Then I will do the honors of making

1895
01:30:47,600 --> 01:30:51,160
Speaker 2: Taylor Heineke our quarterback and allowing you to do this

1896
01:30:51,400 --> 01:30:54,479
Speaker 2: stack that you talked about. Oh yeah, okay, let's do it.

1897
01:30:54,520 --> 01:30:57,400
Speaker 2: So we'll work together on this. But I'm going heinikey

1898
01:30:58,200 --> 01:30:58,960
Speaker 2: all right, let's do.

1899
01:30:59,360 --> 01:31:02,320
Speaker 1: Let's lock you in Scary Terry Terry McLarin at seventy

1900
01:31:02,360 --> 01:31:05,120
Speaker 1: one hundred here, so we got Heinek get fifty eight hundred,

1901
01:31:05,200 --> 01:31:08,200
Speaker 1: McLaren seventy one hundred as a stack with AJ Green

1902
01:31:08,560 --> 01:31:11,439
Speaker 1: at forty nine hundred as our wide receiver.

1903
01:31:11,520 --> 01:31:18,160
Speaker 2: Twos love it, all right, I'm gonna I'm gonna add

1904
01:31:18,360 --> 01:31:20,880
Speaker 2: the cheek code I think at running back this week.

1905
01:31:20,880 --> 01:31:25,840
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go with Darryl Henderson. All right. Henderson is

1906
01:31:27,080 --> 01:31:31,680
Speaker 1: six k even. So we got four slots filled, we

1907
01:31:31,760 --> 01:31:35,759
Speaker 1: have an average of fifty to forty for the remaining five.

1908
01:31:36,280 --> 01:31:38,320
Speaker 1: I'll go ahead and because since we're gonna have to

1909
01:31:38,360 --> 01:31:41,200
Speaker 1: figure out some cheap guys, later, I'll go ahead and

1910
01:31:41,240 --> 01:31:44,479
Speaker 1: go Tyreek Hilling go back in so that you know

1911
01:31:44,479 --> 01:31:46,160
Speaker 1: we're gonna we're gonna be cutting it close. So we're

1912
01:31:46,160 --> 01:31:47,960
Speaker 1: gonna have to get some value here. But we do

1913
01:31:48,040 --> 01:31:52,200
Speaker 1: have a running back an tight end, so Tyreek Hill

1914
01:31:52,640 --> 01:31:55,400
Speaker 1: eighty five hundred. So now we have Hill as our

1915
01:31:55,400 --> 01:31:58,759
Speaker 1: wide receiver, one McLaurin wide receiver, two Green wide receiver.

1916
01:31:58,840 --> 01:32:02,439
Speaker 1: Three Henderson's are back, and Heinike at quarterback.

1917
01:32:02,840 --> 01:32:05,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, and he'll you know, he banged up his knee

1918
01:32:06,240 --> 01:32:08,519
Speaker 2: last week, but he's he's expected to play, So I

1919
01:32:08,560 --> 01:32:11,519
Speaker 2: don't think we're gonna have a Dalvin Cook situation again here.

1920
01:32:11,880 --> 01:32:13,720
Speaker 2: And by the way, don't let me overspend on a

1921
01:32:13,800 --> 01:32:16,360
Speaker 2: defense that was my bad.

1922
01:32:17,400 --> 01:32:22,800
Speaker 1: Let's see. So we're good on wide receiver. We need

1923
01:32:22,800 --> 01:32:26,200
Speaker 1: a running back. We have forty four twenty five on

1924
01:32:26,240 --> 01:32:28,160
Speaker 1: average for four players. We need a running back, a

1925
01:32:28,240 --> 01:32:31,040
Speaker 1: tight end, a flex in the defense. Let's go with

1926
01:32:31,120 --> 01:32:36,280
Speaker 1: Javonte Williams. I think this will be be. Yeah, he's

1927
01:32:36,280 --> 01:32:41,040
Speaker 1: gonna be a little probably will more low roster than.

1928
01:32:41,880 --> 01:32:45,599
Speaker 2: It's one of those things where you know, Melvin Gordon

1929
01:32:45,680 --> 01:32:50,080
Speaker 2: isn't immune to an end game setback or injury. So

1930
01:32:50,240 --> 01:32:53,800
Speaker 2: if a situation like that happens, you know Williams is

1931
01:32:53,800 --> 01:32:56,559
Speaker 2: going to be a million maaker winner. So I just

1932
01:32:56,880 --> 01:32:59,960
Speaker 2: I like getting him before someone like that happens.

1933
01:33:00,080 --> 01:33:02,240
Speaker 1: So going with Williams here, all right, we got forty

1934
01:33:02,240 --> 01:33:05,000
Speaker 1: two to thirty three for to go cheap, then flex

1935
01:33:05,080 --> 01:33:08,080
Speaker 1: and D. So if this was not a Heinikey lineup,

1936
01:33:08,479 --> 01:33:11,559
Speaker 1: I would probably pivot to yu Sooma at thirty one hundred.

1937
01:33:11,640 --> 01:33:14,200
Speaker 1: But since this is a hideky lineup, let's go ahead

1938
01:33:14,240 --> 01:33:16,599
Speaker 1: and do the double stack and get it for us. Jones. Yeah,

1939
01:33:16,600 --> 01:33:18,800
Speaker 1: we got so we got Jones, McLaren and Heineke with

1940
01:33:18,880 --> 01:33:22,200
Speaker 1: Tyreek Hill coming back the other way. So now we

1941
01:33:22,240 --> 01:33:25,800
Speaker 1: actually have some some cash left over forty eight to

1942
01:33:25,800 --> 01:33:28,559
Speaker 1: fifty for two spots, and one of them is defense,

1943
01:33:28,600 --> 01:33:30,599
Speaker 1: the other's a flex, so we actually have some some

1944
01:33:30,840 --> 01:33:31,559
Speaker 1: money to play with.

1945
01:33:32,680 --> 01:33:35,040
Speaker 2: I don't want to be the one to ruin defense

1946
01:33:35,080 --> 01:33:38,639
Speaker 2: this week, so let's see what about Vikings at Carolina?

1947
01:33:38,720 --> 01:33:42,280
Speaker 2: You think Donald has another three interception game in him

1948
01:33:42,520 --> 01:33:45,080
Speaker 2: or do you see any other defense.

1949
01:33:44,640 --> 01:33:47,479
Speaker 1: That you like? I mean, Sam Donald always has a

1950
01:33:47,479 --> 01:33:51,519
Speaker 1: three interception, gave it him. I actually love Minnesota because

1951
01:33:52,080 --> 01:33:54,200
Speaker 1: there's second in pressure rate this season at thirty one

1952
01:33:54,240 --> 01:33:59,000
Speaker 1: point seven percent according to Pro Football Reference Advanced Stats

1953
01:33:59,200 --> 01:34:04,599
Speaker 1: and listen, defenses are crap shoot most weeks, and so

1954
01:34:04,600 --> 01:34:06,000
Speaker 1: one of the things I look for is pressure rate

1955
01:34:06,040 --> 01:34:09,280
Speaker 1: because pressure rate is actually more predictive of future sacks

1956
01:34:09,760 --> 01:34:12,080
Speaker 1: than is you know, prior sacks. You know.

1957
01:34:12,160 --> 01:34:14,200
Speaker 3: So it's a great metric to look at.

1958
01:34:14,800 --> 01:34:17,160
Speaker 1: And both of these teams are one and two, so hey,

1959
01:34:17,160 --> 01:34:18,840
Speaker 1: you can make a case for the Carolina defense. I

1960
01:34:18,880 --> 01:34:22,000
Speaker 1: think Cousin Cousins gets the ball out quicker and it's

1961
01:34:22,040 --> 01:34:24,320
Speaker 1: less of a stake prone than Darnold. So yeah, I

1962
01:34:24,360 --> 01:34:26,719
Speaker 1: like the Vikings. Then, listen, I went Vikings in Cash

1963
01:34:26,800 --> 01:34:28,800
Speaker 1: last week and it looked good for about fifty nine

1964
01:34:28,800 --> 01:34:32,040
Speaker 1: minutes of that game and then you know, everything kind

1965
01:34:32,040 --> 01:34:36,000
Speaker 1: of went crazy, you know. Yeah, I like going back

1966
01:34:36,000 --> 01:34:37,000
Speaker 1: to the well here with the Viking.

1967
01:34:37,240 --> 01:34:39,720
Speaker 2: Yeah, and they're they're cheap enough where they stand out

1968
01:34:40,240 --> 01:34:43,799
Speaker 2: as a good play. It looks like Michael Pierce is

1969
01:34:43,840 --> 01:34:45,840
Speaker 2: he's possibly going to return, so this might be the

1970
01:34:45,840 --> 01:34:50,519
Speaker 2: first time all year they have their entire starting lineup intact.

1971
01:34:51,280 --> 01:34:54,040
Speaker 2: And like I said, Sam Darnold, he's throwing five interceptions

1972
01:34:54,080 --> 01:34:56,360
Speaker 2: the last two games. Can't say we're too surprised about that.

1973
01:34:57,400 --> 01:34:59,519
Speaker 2: So if he continues to struggle, this could be a

1974
01:34:59,520 --> 01:35:00,960
Speaker 2: good spot for the Vikings defense.

1975
01:35:01,400 --> 01:35:06,120
Speaker 1: All right, so we have sixty eight hundred nice options,

1976
01:35:06,240 --> 01:35:10,799
Speaker 1: yeah for a flex play. And let's see, so Jonathan

1977
01:35:10,880 --> 01:35:13,680
Speaker 1: Taylor is an option. We think he's going to be

1978
01:35:13,720 --> 01:35:16,479
Speaker 1: somewhat high rostered though, right, Yeah.

1979
01:35:16,240 --> 01:35:20,160
Speaker 2: But I think we have a like contrarian enough team

1980
01:35:20,240 --> 01:35:22,640
Speaker 2: where I would just go for the projection right here.

1981
01:35:22,640 --> 01:35:25,200
Speaker 2: I wouldn't worry about that too much. And I know

1982
01:35:25,240 --> 01:35:27,040
Speaker 2: you like to leave, you like to leave a couple

1983
01:35:27,160 --> 01:35:28,720
Speaker 2: hundred on the table. I think that would be two

1984
01:35:28,800 --> 01:35:32,920
Speaker 2: hundred yep, left over, Yeah, I mean.

1985
01:35:33,160 --> 01:35:37,559
Speaker 1: But I didn't go you Selma. We could go John

1986
01:35:37,600 --> 01:35:42,280
Speaker 1: Wack Chase here. Oh yeah, that would leave that would

1987
01:35:42,320 --> 01:35:46,759
Speaker 1: leave one hundred on the table. Gibson at sixty five hundred.

1988
01:35:46,760 --> 01:35:49,599
Speaker 1: But we already have enough Washington players, so yeah, yeah,

1989
01:35:49,640 --> 01:35:53,599
Speaker 1: that's about that's too much. We could we, oh, we

1990
01:35:53,640 --> 01:35:53,880
Speaker 1: could we.

1991
01:35:54,479 --> 01:35:56,000
Speaker 3: We could be four injured on the table and go

1992
01:35:56,080 --> 01:35:56,759
Speaker 3: Keenan Allen.

1993
01:35:57,640 --> 01:35:59,800
Speaker 2: I mean, Chase has Out of all those guys, Chase

1994
01:35:59,800 --> 01:36:01,240
Speaker 2: probably has the highest ceiling.

1995
01:36:01,520 --> 01:36:04,360
Speaker 1: All right, let's do what you say. You mentioned it's

1996
01:36:04,400 --> 01:36:06,840
Speaker 1: fun to rank Jamar Chase the top five. It's fun

1997
01:36:06,840 --> 01:36:09,120
Speaker 1: to play Jamar Chase in your flex. You know, sometimes

1998
01:36:09,160 --> 01:36:10,840
Speaker 1: you just got to have fun. Let's have some fun.

1999
01:36:11,200 --> 01:36:13,400
Speaker 1: And this is a full circle lineup because if you

2000
01:36:13,439 --> 01:36:16,640
Speaker 1: have Jamar Chase and AJ Green, so you have the

2001
01:36:16,680 --> 01:36:19,880
Speaker 1: successor wow, oh I love it. You have to.

2002
01:36:20,479 --> 01:36:22,719
Speaker 2: I was going to make a case for Jonathan Taylor saying,

2003
01:36:22,720 --> 01:36:25,960
Speaker 2: you know, Braden Smith might return this week, but screw it,

2004
01:36:26,160 --> 01:36:29,880
Speaker 2: go go Jamar Chase, AJ Green, just do it.

2005
01:36:30,320 --> 01:36:33,519
Speaker 1: Lock it in. So we got Taylor Heinike a quarterback

2006
01:36:33,520 --> 01:36:36,920
Speaker 1: at fifty eight hundred, Darryl Henderson Junior at running back

2007
01:36:36,920 --> 01:36:40,080
Speaker 1: at six K, Javonte Williams at five K in the

2008
01:36:40,200 --> 01:36:45,280
Speaker 1: RB two slot. The wide receivers Tyreek Hill eighty five hundred,

2009
01:36:45,320 --> 01:36:48,799
Speaker 1: Terry McLaurin at seventy one hundred, Jamar Chase sixty seven hundred,

2010
01:36:48,840 --> 01:36:52,840
Speaker 1: AJ Green forty nine hundred as a flex, Ricky Seals

2011
01:36:52,880 --> 01:36:57,320
Speaker 1: Jones three k at tight end, the Vikings D twenty

2012
01:36:57,400 --> 01:37:01,160
Speaker 1: nine hundred for the defense, and then we have one

2013
01:37:01,240 --> 01:37:04,519
Speaker 1: hundred left over. So as mentioned, you know, Chase was

2014
01:37:04,520 --> 01:37:06,120
Speaker 1: actually the last guy we walked in. But there's some

2015
01:37:06,160 --> 01:37:10,599
Speaker 1: interesting flex options there and if you're swapping out aj Green.

2016
01:37:11,080 --> 01:37:13,360
Speaker 1: There's also some interesting you know, you could go one

2017
01:37:13,400 --> 01:37:17,080
Speaker 1: of those cheap running backs as well, so there's definitely

2018
01:37:17,120 --> 01:37:20,479
Speaker 1: some options here. But yeah, we'll see what happens with

2019
01:37:20,600 --> 01:37:22,639
Speaker 1: this week. I'll throw it in the in the Millie

2020
01:37:23,160 --> 01:37:25,960
Speaker 1: and that's gonna do it for our episode this week.

2021
01:37:26,200 --> 01:37:28,920
Speaker 1: Be sure to follow Sean Kerner on Twitter at the

2022
01:37:29,040 --> 01:37:32,679
Speaker 1: Underscore Odds Maker and me at Chris Raybon. You can

2023
01:37:32,960 --> 01:37:36,040
Speaker 1: follow us at those same handles in the free award

2024
01:37:36,080 --> 01:37:38,679
Speaker 1: winning Action Network at where you can follow our bets

2025
01:37:38,800 --> 01:37:41,400
Speaker 1: or track yours for free. We sure to check out

2026
01:37:41,439 --> 01:37:45,320
Speaker 1: actionnetwork dot com for fancy football projections and rankings and

2027
01:37:45,400 --> 01:37:49,719
Speaker 1: Fantasy Labs dot com for our DFS tools and models.

2028
01:37:50,080 --> 01:37:56,240
Speaker 1: Until next time, let's get this money.