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Speaker 1: Welcome to The Favorites, the podcast presented by BET three

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Speaker 1: sixty five. We are part of the Volume podcast Network.

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Speaker 1: I am Chad Molement of the Action Network. I'm live

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Speaker 1: from my Tommy John home studio and I'm joined as

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Speaker 1: always by my co host, my companion, Mi Compadre, and

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Speaker 1: my bff Professional Better Simon and Hunter Etro. Simon, Chad,

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Speaker 1: how are we doing, dude? I got to share with

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Speaker 1: you my past seventeen eighteen twenty hours, uh, because it's

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Speaker 1: truly insane. I got a buddy. His name is Kenny Dictor.

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Speaker 1: Kenny is a serial, brilliant, enthusiastic, force of nature entrepreneur

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Speaker 1: who is hyper connected in sports media business. He started

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Speaker 1: a company called Wheels Up, the private jet company. Right, So,

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Speaker 1: I've gotten to know Kenny a little bit over the

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Speaker 1: past couple of years. He's starting a new business called

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Speaker 1: Real SLX, and it's all about taking his superpower, which

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Speaker 1: is creating experiences and getting people involved in these once

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Speaker 1: in a lifetime experience at really big events. The best

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Speaker 1: experiences are the best experiences, and so you know, he

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Speaker 1: did something at the Super Bowl last year with Reyo's

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Speaker 1: probably one of the best Super Bowl events I've ever

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Speaker 1: been to Simon, You and I are going to be

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Speaker 1: doing stuff there this year at the Super Bowl. So

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Speaker 1: he called me on Monday and he says, I got

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Speaker 1: tickets to the Auburn duke game Wednesday night, Auburn number two,

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Speaker 1: duke number nine, Cooper Flag all that We're going to

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Speaker 1: fly down private Wednesday afternoon. We're going to have dinner,

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Speaker 1: we're going to go to the game. We'll fly back

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Speaker 1: that night. How do you say no to that?

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Speaker 2: Right?

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Speaker 1: Like in a million years, when would I be like, Yeah,

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Speaker 1: I'm going to go down to Durham, North Carolina the

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Speaker 1: day before show and I'm gonna, you know, fly private,

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Speaker 1: go to dinner, and come back that night. But of

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Speaker 1: course I said yes, you can't not say yes to that. Dude,

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Speaker 1: flew down we land, we go to go to dinner,

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Speaker 1: go to this place called Nana's in Durham, which was ridiculous,

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Speaker 1: and then we're at the game. They were about eight

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Speaker 1: of us. Kenny had a bunch of tickets and a

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Speaker 1: bunch of guys that I know and like a lot

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Speaker 1: some guys who I've met through Kenny who worked with Kenny,

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Speaker 1: a buddy of mine, namely Fitting who I used to

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Speaker 1: work with the ESPN. Now everyone's content at WWE. The

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Speaker 1: tickets were no joke. First row, baseline, under the basket,

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Speaker 1: like feet on the floor, talking to the ref during

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Speaker 1: the breaks. My kids sending me pictures of him seeing

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Speaker 1: me on TV because every time a team is scoring,

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Speaker 1: the camera crosses my face. It was truly insane and

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Speaker 1: the game was off the hook. Like I've been to

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Speaker 1: Cameron before, it's an incredible experience. I went to Duke

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Speaker 1: UNC a couple of years ago with my younger son

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Speaker 1: and it was loud and crazy, and the Cameron crazies

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Speaker 1: really are truly insane, and it's a must do experience

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Speaker 1: for sports fans. I was sitting next to this guy

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Speaker 1: who's had these tickets for thirty years. He's a beer

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Speaker 1: distributor who supplies Cameron and the football stadium. He was

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Speaker 1: saying that that game last night was the loudest game

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Speaker 1: he's ever heard. It was ear splitting, how insane it was.

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Speaker 1: Duke Winn's great game. Get back on the plane at midnight, No,

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Speaker 1: get back on the plane at twelve forty five. I've

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Speaker 1: land in Westchester to get home at four am. Now

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Speaker 1: we're doing the show it was. It was once in

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Speaker 1: a lifetime amazing. Chad Millman is proud of himself.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, great game, cool night. I'm going to tell of

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Speaker 2: a story.

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Speaker 1: Still flying a little bit. But you know what, Simon,

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Speaker 1: no work, no perks. We got to get to work

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Speaker 1: because we got a lot to do today. As a reminder,

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Speaker 1: the Favorites podcast is presented by Bet three six y

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Speaker 1: five and now new Bet three sixty five. Customers get

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Speaker 1: one hundred and fifty dollars and bonus bets when you

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Speaker 1: bet five dollars, sign up using promo code Favorite, deposit

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Speaker 1: ten dollars. Place a bet for five dollars to get

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Speaker 1: one hundred and fifty dollars in bonus bets. Those bonus

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Speaker 1: bets can be used on spreads, totals, player props, futures,

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Speaker 1: and more. Whatever the moment, It's never ordinary. At Bet

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Speaker 1: three six five. Must be twenty one or older and

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Speaker 1: present in Arizona, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Louisiana, North Carolina, New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia,

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Speaker 1: or eighteen and older in Kentucky. Gambling problem called one

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Speaker 1: eight hundred gambler or one eight hundred bets off in Iowa, terms,

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Speaker 1: conditions restrictions apply as always on Thursdays during the season.

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Speaker 1: We do like to hear are the wise guys are

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Speaker 1: responding to our Tuesday conversation. That's how influential we are

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Speaker 1: the Lanser movement. Based in our conversations, the pros feel

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Speaker 1: compelled to weigh in on our opinions. Simon, let's do

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Speaker 1: shark calls.

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Speaker 2: Hello, who's there? I'm talking Rain.

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Speaker 1: Rain telephone range. Somebody said, maybe.

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Speaker 3: What you do man?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, let's start off with a Thursday game shocked to No.

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Speaker 2: One professionals like Green Bay. We've seen now that a

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Speaker 2: couple books have moved into three. Then they get hit

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Speaker 2: by other professionals. You bump it right back up to

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Speaker 2: three and a half. So it's obviously a game that's split,

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Speaker 2: but so far, to me, it seems like it's more

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Speaker 2: so every probably talked to likexus green Bay side for

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Speaker 2: exactly what we've talked about. So so unfortunately, it's another

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Speaker 2: Thursday we love and I feel like we're gonna nail.

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Speaker 2: Can't put in the contest, So just just another good line.

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Speaker 2: Though it's a three and a half, I still think

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Speaker 2: that's the key there. Let's go to a game that

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Speaker 2: you loved. I loved, and now we've seen this number

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Speaker 2: move a ton, right this Minnesota game. Every guy I

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Speaker 2: talked to for good reason likes the Vikings for what

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Speaker 2: we really talked about, right, it's it's a bad match

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Speaker 2: up for Kirk in that offense. We've seen now too.

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Speaker 2: Sam Darnold as bad as he was right for those

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Speaker 2: couple of weeks stretches, he's kind of go into a

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Speaker 2: little bit of a groove. Yeah, I mean he seems

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Speaker 2: like he's comfortable again. So not shocking that that number

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Speaker 2: util I gave it out. I think at five. It's

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Speaker 2: not the six at a lot of books. So, uh,

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Speaker 2: that's a game we'll definitely most likely end up with

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Speaker 2: the contest. Yeah. The the game that really jumped out

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Speaker 2: to me was just because we were at the time

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Speaker 2: on the other side was that Chiefs game. Every probably

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Speaker 2: talked to you right now really likes the chief side. It's

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Speaker 2: looking more and more like the Chargers is kind of

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Speaker 2: the Joe public side, Which isn't that shocking right now?

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Speaker 2: Mean you are on the public side on that Bear side.

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Speaker 2: Most pros I talk to have our view of it

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Speaker 2: where this is a spot to take this forty nine

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Speaker 2: Ers team. So interesting here you're reviewing this game now,

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Speaker 2: there were a couple of days later another one that

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Speaker 2: we knew that pros would beyond the Jets, mean chat,

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Speaker 2: I don't think it changes my opinion. I still like Miami.

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Speaker 2: I think they're just just keep on chasing that same

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Speaker 2: thing with this Jets team every week.

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Speaker 1: Dude, I got so many I can't wait to talk

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Speaker 1: about that game.

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Speaker 2: And then obviously a game I love. The professionals, though,

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Speaker 2: were pretty split on it. That Cleveland Brown Pittsburgh game.

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Speaker 2: All right, hit that horn, babe, let's dance. There's still

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Speaker 2: a one book in Jersey or that has a seven,

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Speaker 2: which is pretty shocking. I really thought this would be

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Speaker 2: six by today. But we get why they like Pittsburgh.

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Speaker 2: No one's denying Pittsburgh is a much better team, and

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Speaker 2: they are at home against that Cleveland team with an

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Speaker 2: inconsistent quarterback. But my argument to them is just this

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Speaker 2: number is way too big for this type of divisional matchup.

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Speaker 2: But I don't know, if you watch that AFC Hard Knocks,

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Speaker 2: this is like the perfect division to do the hard

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Speaker 2: knocks on, Like it's just all of it was just

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Speaker 2: it's just so football, like everything about it was so football,

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Speaker 2: just talking about how you kind of throw the records

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Speaker 2: out in these teams and just are so familiar with

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Speaker 2: each other. So yeah, it's been a good year to

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Speaker 2: back the dog in this division. I think the pros

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Speaker 2: are looking at this one are saying, well, it's got

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Speaker 2: to go the other way at some point. The favorites

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Speaker 2: can't all not cover in this division this whole year.

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Speaker 2: So a pretty interesting game there. And the last one aside,

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Speaker 2: I like, I like the Bills that we knew that

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Speaker 2: was gonna be heavy public side. It's interesting to hear

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Speaker 2: how many pros like the Rams here and you know,

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Speaker 2: talk to a couple of guys I really respect. They

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Speaker 2: went pretty heavy on the Rams of four and a half.

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Speaker 2: The books that took that money moved it to three

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Speaker 2: and a half. Now some other you know, Bills money

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Speaker 2: has come back in a couple of those books went

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Speaker 2: back to forth. So uh yeah, really really split weeked

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Speaker 2: with a couple of these games. Chat what some pros

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Speaker 2: just are betting the numbers here and other ones are

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Speaker 2: just taking the value and they can on certain dogs.

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Speaker 1: All right, Well, good, I'm glad because all these games

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Speaker 1: are the ones that we want to touch on, and

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Speaker 1: you know when we get for me, especially when we

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Speaker 1: get into Wednesdays and do a little more research. The

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Speaker 1: Bills Rams game definitely stuck out, Chiefs Chargers definitely stuck

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Speaker 1: out on second thoughts, especially deep into some research yesterday

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Speaker 1: and then early this morning. One final order of business

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Speaker 1: before we get into the games. Reminder, our latest Free

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Speaker 1: Favorites podcast Watch Party is happening. Got to RSVP folks Thursday,

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Speaker 1: December twelfth, one week from today. We're gonna be at

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Speaker 1: the Wicked Wolf in Center City, Philadelphia. We're gonna do

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Speaker 1: free drinks. We're gonna do like a mini show, and

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Speaker 1: so you know, it's not a show that we're gonna

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Speaker 1: be able to post. Simon and I are basically going

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Speaker 1: to do what we do in the Favorites. We're gonna

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Speaker 1: do it live. Matt Mitchell's going to be there. Evan

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Speaker 1: Abrams is going to be there. We have so much

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Speaker 1: frequenc swag to give away, favorite favorite swag, Tommy John swag.

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Speaker 1: You know we love the Tommy John swag. It's going

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Speaker 1: to be leading into the Thursday night football game between

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Speaker 1: the Rams and the Niners. We're gonna sweat together. We're

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Speaker 1: gonna bet together. We're going to have a good time.

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Speaker 1: Please RSVP to the event. Check out the link in

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Speaker 1: the podcast or YouTube episode description. RSVPs are pouring in.

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Speaker 2: Don't delay, sharpen our sword for the battle.

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Speaker 1: Let's get Roland Simon. I'm calling it right now, Miami

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Speaker 1: minus six. We're in the foxhole.

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Speaker 2: You know me, regardless of what's going on. I'm a

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Speaker 2: foxhole guy. I commit to a team, I commit to

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Speaker 2: a city. I'm a foxhole guy.

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Speaker 1: Clearly we're in the foxhole. Taking the Dolphins as six

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Speaker 1: point favorites. This is the first time that the Jets

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Speaker 1: have been underdogs since they played the Bills. I think

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Speaker 1: it was Week six in the middle of October that

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Speaker 1: included closing his favorites against Houston, Arizona, Pittsburgh. That game

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Speaker 1: against Buffalo, they the money was pouring in on the Jets.

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Speaker 1: They had closed as only one and a half point

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Speaker 1: dogs against the Bills. I don't get it, like it's

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Speaker 1: a bad team with an old quarterback who's a mobile

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Speaker 1: who now is going on you know McAfee and saying

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Speaker 1: we don't have anything to prove, as if to say

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Speaker 1: I can't be held accountable for the losses. I'm not

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Speaker 1: doing it for you guys, you're a professional better. What

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Speaker 1: is wrong with your brethren?

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Speaker 2: Well, it is also model based, so it's the model

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Speaker 2: is not taken account that, like you just said, everything

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Speaker 2: is just so negative in that building right now, and

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Speaker 2: it shows up in the games, right A lot of

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Speaker 2: those games, you know, even when they have a lead,

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Speaker 2: they've been falling apart. And it's just not the Rogers

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Speaker 2: of old, like we talked about, just he's incredibly inconsistent,

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Speaker 2: and I think their view of it is just that

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Speaker 2: this team every week is undervalued because of that their model,

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Speaker 2: and that you know, I'll be in first to a minute,

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Speaker 2: I got burned by this team coming into the season.

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Speaker 2: I overrated them simply because of the model, Like I

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Speaker 2: had a high grade on them. And you know, it

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Speaker 2: also screwed me with the forty nine ers because the

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Speaker 2: forty niners just rolled them week one. It made me

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Speaker 2: in turn overright the forty nine ers and think, well,

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Speaker 2: this team and the Jets, they'll bounce back against these

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Speaker 2: bad teams, and they kind of did, and it made

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Speaker 2: me think, Okay, this is who I thought they were

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Speaker 2: going to be. And then they fell off a total cliff, right.

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Speaker 2: I mean they literally have three wins at this point,

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Speaker 2: like you just said. So I think that's the issue,

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Speaker 2: chat is that, you know, the professionals have loved them

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Speaker 2: all year, They've lost a ton of money, and they're

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Speaker 2: kind of chasing that money. It seems like to me.

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Speaker 2: That's that's my view of it, because I'm with you.

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Speaker 2: I don't really understand the betting here and the market,

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Speaker 2: but it's unfortunate that the books haven't shifted. Like I said,

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Speaker 2: five and a half would have been amazing if they

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Speaker 2: would just would have gave us that number. But it

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Speaker 2: seems like they're just gonna hold you at this six

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Speaker 2: right now with Miami. So I'm with you. I love

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Speaker 2: this match of Miami to an at home in this

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Speaker 2: matchup against a defense that has struggle against the pass,

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Speaker 2: and they've struggled against the run. That's what Miami wants

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Speaker 2: to do as well. They love to run the ball.

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Speaker 2: That just opens up everything obviously downfield for the pass.

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Speaker 2: And we've talked about we've seen Miami now since two

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Speaker 2: has been back, just beat up on these bad teams

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Speaker 2: and even good teams. Right, They've held into some games

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Speaker 2: like that. I wish I had taken more from that

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Speaker 2: Bills game. When Tua drove down the field, it was

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Speaker 2: like that was a big moment for him on the

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Speaker 2: road against that Bills team that didn't get enough credit

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Speaker 2: for it. And I mean we've seen they're just a

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Speaker 2: different team they were earlier in the year. So I'm

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Speaker 2: loving this as a Fox. So I just like to

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Speaker 2: be on the Jets in the spot, I mean the Miami.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, so since firing Robert Sala, the Jests are thirty

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Speaker 1: first in points allowed per possession their last and EPA

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Speaker 1: per play. Sauce Gardner might not play this weekend, not

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Speaker 1: like he tackles when he does play. That team is

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Speaker 1: in such disarraying. Look, we're talking about it so much

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Speaker 1: we just may get burned. But too in this spot,

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Speaker 1: I mentioned this on Tuesday, Miami and Tua beat up

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Speaker 1: on bad teams as favorites at home seven and one.

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Speaker 1: The Jets are a bad team, folks, There's just no

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Speaker 1: two ways about it. So the big money will pour

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Speaker 1: in on the Jets on Sunday. We've seen it every

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Speaker 1: single Sunday for the reasons. Someone just said, you make

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Speaker 1: a great point. We've talked about this a lot on

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Speaker 1: the show, like rankings are hard to completely change in

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Speaker 1: the middle of a season, right, it's gonna happen. It's

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Speaker 1: like you tightrate off of drugs, right, Like you can't

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Speaker 1: just go from fifty milligrams to zero milligrams. You gotta

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Speaker 1: go from fifty to forty to thirty to twenty to ten.

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Speaker 1: Like that's what happens with these rankings, and no one

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Speaker 1: can go fast enough to catch up with how bad

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Speaker 1: and sort of discombobulated the New York Jets are so.

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Speaker 2: Well, the fear is you overadjust Like obviously we talked

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Speaker 2: about that when we took a beating back in the

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Speaker 2: Panthers early in the year. But you're seeing why because

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Speaker 2: of what this team can be when Bryce Young is

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Speaker 2: what I thought he was going to be coming out

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Speaker 2: of the season, which is an open offense that had

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Speaker 2: been a much better team that The biggest issue I've

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Speaker 2: had definitely personally this season has just been the adjustments

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Speaker 2: to these bad teams are really bad. Right. There's just

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Speaker 2: some really poor coaching right now in the NFL, and

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Speaker 2: not just enough to injuries. Right, This Carolina team we

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Speaker 2: should have justin were in the year when they lost

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Speaker 2: a lot of their defense, Like they had major injuries

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Speaker 2: to their defense and I hadn't adjust to it. So

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Speaker 2: there are things like that. But like I said, you

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Speaker 2: don't want to overadjust because we would have missed these

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Speaker 2: last three weeks on this Panthers team, right, we would

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Speaker 2: have totally been out on them if I had over

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Speaker 2: adjusted their number and underrated the value. So the same

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Speaker 2: thing is going to hear with this Jets team. I

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Speaker 2: just think guys are stubborn dug in on the exact

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Speaker 2: number they have with this team.

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Speaker 1: Well, you mentioned Carolina. Carolina is a twelve and a

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Speaker 1: half point dog at Philly. Like it's an interesting week

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Speaker 1: for us. I feel like there are a couple of

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Speaker 1: games and we're going to talk about the other ones

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Speaker 1: in years past. They are auto plays, big number against

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Speaker 1: a super hype team, a team that we've been loving

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Speaker 1: all year. Caroline is twelve and a half at Philly,

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Speaker 1: And on Tuesday we talked about it, and we liked Philly,

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Speaker 1: we liked Carolina like or at least we're leaning that way,

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Speaker 1: but we didn't go all in. We didn't like immediately

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Speaker 1: bet it. You didn't call it assigmon says the number

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Speaker 1: had come down a little bit. There are some trends

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Speaker 1: that's sort of backfading the hot team here, but I

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Speaker 1: can't get there. Like as much as we love how

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Speaker 1: Bryce Young has improved, like this is not the Saints

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Speaker 1: or the Boxer, even the Chiefs, Like with an underperforming secondary,

315
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Speaker 1: an undermanned offense, and a terrible right tackle and left tackle,

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Speaker 1: like namely a defense you'd like to face less than

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Speaker 1: the Eagles right now. Jalen Carter and Milton Williams are

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Speaker 1: Pro Football focuses third and fourth rated defensive tackles rushing

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Speaker 1: the passer. Zach Bond the linebacker. He's the fifth highest

320
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Speaker 1: rated player in coverage, not amongst the linebackers, amongst all players,

321
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Speaker 1: and he's a freaking linebacker. Like the Eagles are given

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Speaker 1: up six point one eight yards per pass attempt, and

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Speaker 1: then the Panthers defense, while it's getting healthier, it's really

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Speaker 1: just terrible against the run, you know, basically bottom three.

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Speaker 1: And that's being generous. Like if you average every overall number,

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Speaker 1: Saquon could get two thousand yards for the season. By

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Speaker 1: the end of this game, he could have five hundred yards.

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Speaker 1: So I don't know. I think we want to bet

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Speaker 1: the Panthers based on the number, but I feel like

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Speaker 1: we're going to eat it.

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Speaker 2: That's very like just the off the field stuff though,

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Speaker 2: like the human side of it, or where this is

333
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Speaker 2: a game where they just played the Ravens. Now they're

334
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Speaker 2: playing against a three and nine Panthers team at home

335
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Speaker 2: a week before they go and play a Pittsburgh team,

336
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Speaker 2: Like this is such an in between game where it's

337
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Speaker 2: like spot it really is. It doesn't get more trapped

338
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Speaker 2: than this. That's another really glaring spot where I like it.

339
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Speaker 2: The reason I didn't really bang your head about this one,

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Speaker 2: it's just because I wanted the thirteen and I've been

341
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Speaker 2: pissed off, where like the professionals have kind of held

342
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Speaker 2: it under the thirteen, Like the highest we're getting right

343
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Speaker 2: now and most books is twelve and a half. Where

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Speaker 2: it's like, you know, no one's taking like you just said,

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Speaker 2: no one's taking Carolina. You think everyone in the world

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Speaker 2: doesn't feel the same as you. The only people I

347
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Speaker 2: know are obviously professionals taking this Carolina spot. It's just

348
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Speaker 2: it's such a spot to take them because of the

349
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Speaker 2: in between and the fact that this offense, like you

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Speaker 2: just said, Okay, they're not the best team obviously defensively,

351
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Speaker 2: but we've seen it change offensively with the passing game.

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Speaker 2: And you know, as much as I say out great,

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Speaker 2: this Seagos defense is they're young. I mean they had

354
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Speaker 2: you know, they've had a couple injuries as well to

355
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Speaker 2: this defenses as well, Iklan Ship, Brandon Graham and a

356
00:19:03,080 --> 00:19:06,040
Speaker 2: young defense that's feeling themselves right now. Where there were

357
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Speaker 2: guys open. I don't want to say Lamar lost that

358
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Speaker 2: game last week, but he did miss open receivers and

359
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Speaker 2: their kicker. If he had made those kicks, it's a

360
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Speaker 2: much different game right towards end there, Like the Eagles,

361
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Speaker 2: you know, they're up fourteen to twelve, and then Justin

362
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Speaker 2: Tucker missed that field goal the when they should ed

363
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Speaker 2: up fifteen twelve, and then because you missed it, bank

364
00:19:23,040 --> 00:19:24,919
Speaker 2: Eagles were down the red zone. Saquon ran it in

365
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Speaker 2: and it's like, okay, totally different game now, right it

366
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Speaker 2: was twenty one to twelve at that point. So I

367
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Speaker 2: do think this Eagles team is just a little overrated

368
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Speaker 2: right now, where it's like, yeah, are they very good?

369
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Speaker 2: Are they should they be said to be the best

370
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Speaker 2: team in NFC? Right now. Yeah, because they're healthy, right,

371
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Speaker 2: Detroit had so many injuries. I get the respect to him.

372
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Speaker 2: I just think it's gone through far at this point.

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Speaker 2: That's the whole point for me with this one, where

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Speaker 2: it's like the Stummer should be closer to ten. It's

375
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Speaker 2: a nice in between spot where you expect them not

376
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Speaker 2: to overlook this Panthers team, but how can they not? Right,

377
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Speaker 2: It's the human element of it, where it's like you

378
00:19:55,680 --> 00:19:57,920
Speaker 2: just took down the big bad wolf of the Ravens,

379
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Speaker 2: like a team that Lamar only in his whole career,

380
00:20:01,119 --> 00:20:03,480
Speaker 2: only lost one time to an NFC team, and you

381
00:20:03,640 --> 00:20:06,520
Speaker 2: smacked them. You're feeling good all week, you're home now

382
00:20:06,560 --> 00:20:09,440
Speaker 2: against the Panthers. You're not gonna look ahead to Pittsburgh

383
00:20:09,480 --> 00:20:11,720
Speaker 2: when you know that's literally the last tough game when

384
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Speaker 2: they're s I mean watching it's tough, obviously, but that

385
00:20:14,040 --> 00:20:17,280
Speaker 2: really is going to decide their one seed because Detroit here,

386
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Speaker 2: if they dropped us to Green Ben and they got

387
00:20:18,840 --> 00:20:21,919
Speaker 2: Buffalo next week really quickly, the Eagles could become this

388
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Speaker 2: one seed. So I feel like it's a lot to

389
00:20:24,640 --> 00:20:27,159
Speaker 2: weigh on this young team of this Philadelphia. So for

390
00:20:27,240 --> 00:20:29,240
Speaker 2: all that chat, that's the only reason I'm like, Okay,

391
00:20:29,800 --> 00:20:32,280
Speaker 2: maybe I'll commitch you comes Sunday they take this Panthers team.

392
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Speaker 2: But it's really it's about the number. It's like, if

393
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Speaker 2: I'm not getting a great number here, Okay, we want

394
00:20:37,160 --> 00:20:38,919
Speaker 2: we don't have to put it in. But if this

395
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Speaker 2: is up to thirteen and a half contest Sunday, Chad,

396
00:20:41,800 --> 00:20:43,639
Speaker 2: I'm gonna probably be an asshole and be like, we

397
00:20:43,720 --> 00:20:45,360
Speaker 2: got to put this in, blah blah blah. Yeah.

398
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Speaker 1: But by the way, I feel like the thirteen was

399
00:20:49,359 --> 00:20:51,919
Speaker 1: the line of demarcation for me, and I'm trying to

400
00:20:51,960 --> 00:20:54,879
Speaker 1: be really disciplined as we head into the end of

401
00:20:54,920 --> 00:21:01,240
Speaker 1: the year and not not chase feelings and put them

402
00:21:01,240 --> 00:21:05,960
Speaker 1: into numbers. Right, we missed the best of the number. Thirteen

403
00:21:06,040 --> 00:21:07,000
Speaker 1: feels better to me.

404
00:21:07,520 --> 00:21:09,320
Speaker 2: And we talked about so the number has not burned

405
00:21:09,359 --> 00:21:13,400
Speaker 2: us this year. The only US are three and Two's. Look,

406
00:21:13,440 --> 00:21:15,560
Speaker 2: it's been a really weird year where these big numbers

407
00:21:15,560 --> 00:21:16,199
Speaker 2: have not mattered.

408
00:21:16,480 --> 00:21:18,560
Speaker 1: Old habits die hard and for.

409
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Speaker 2: Justin for this season, I agree with you. But for

410
00:21:21,400 --> 00:21:23,240
Speaker 2: this season it's just been twos and threes that have

411
00:21:23,320 --> 00:21:25,920
Speaker 2: really matter. Everything else not so much.

412
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Speaker 1: Look, it's it's funny you say that, Like you can

413
00:21:29,040 --> 00:21:30,560
Speaker 1: look in the Action app and there's a really cool

414
00:21:30,600 --> 00:21:33,439
Speaker 1: feature that tells you your sort of performance against the

415
00:21:33,440 --> 00:21:37,520
Speaker 1: closing line value and your ROI against the closing line value,

416
00:21:37,720 --> 00:21:42,159
Speaker 1: and like it's it comes into play so infrequently, but

417
00:21:42,280 --> 00:21:45,119
Speaker 1: you still want it, Like, yeah, you don't want to

418
00:21:45,160 --> 00:21:47,199
Speaker 1: buy high and sell low. You want to get the

419
00:21:47,200 --> 00:21:48,679
Speaker 1: best of the number. You want to feel better on

420
00:21:48,720 --> 00:21:50,399
Speaker 1: Sunday morning. I want to see in the app that

421
00:21:50,400 --> 00:21:51,960
Speaker 1: I've got it at thirteen and a half and now

422
00:21:51,960 --> 00:21:54,200
Speaker 1: it's at twelve and a half and all those kinds

423
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Speaker 1: of things I.

424
00:21:54,720 --> 00:21:56,480
Speaker 2: Told you, stuper gamling of ass. When you lose a

425
00:21:56,520 --> 00:21:57,919
Speaker 2: Betty go, well, at least I had the best of

426
00:21:57,960 --> 00:21:59,840
Speaker 2: the number. It's that's that's the main part of it.

427
00:22:00,080 --> 00:22:02,760
Speaker 1: Yeah, by the way, I've never said that in my life.

428
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Speaker 1: When I lose a game, I'm like, are you fucking

429
00:22:06,359 --> 00:22:08,480
Speaker 1: kidding me? Why did I even care about this number?

430
00:22:08,600 --> 00:22:11,200
Speaker 1: Why did I like race to bet this to beat

431
00:22:11,240 --> 00:22:15,040
Speaker 1: the move when it didn't even matter. I don't disagree

432
00:22:15,040 --> 00:22:20,280
Speaker 1: with anything you're saying. I feel skittish about I think

433
00:22:20,320 --> 00:22:22,480
Speaker 1: this Eagles team, and I felt this way last week.

434
00:22:23,040 --> 00:22:25,520
Speaker 1: I think it's on an upward trajectory. I think the

435
00:22:25,600 --> 00:22:28,960
Speaker 1: way they're playing minimizes their weaknesses, which is really Jalen

436
00:22:29,040 --> 00:22:32,719
Speaker 1: Hurts as a passer. I think their defensive line is

437
00:22:32,760 --> 00:22:37,280
Speaker 1: so good that that minimizes the emotional up and down

438
00:22:37,320 --> 00:22:39,760
Speaker 1: because when you're playing physical, you're playing physical, right, That's

439
00:22:39,800 --> 00:22:41,640
Speaker 1: not about what happens on the edge. And I think

440
00:22:42,359 --> 00:22:45,960
Speaker 1: I think skilled players, to me are more inclined to

441
00:22:46,080 --> 00:22:51,040
Speaker 1: be prone to emotional roller coaster mistakes than players are

442
00:22:51,080 --> 00:22:53,680
Speaker 1: the defensive line, and their defensive line is just so good.

443
00:22:53,840 --> 00:22:56,320
Speaker 1: So that's my fear. But look, we'll talk about it

444
00:22:56,400 --> 00:22:59,720
Speaker 1: on Sunday. We'll see where we land. Atlanta at Minnesota.

445
00:23:00,200 --> 00:23:04,320
Speaker 1: My exec decision. I did it with clarity and confidence.

446
00:23:04,400 --> 00:23:06,959
Speaker 1: If I recall, and as you know, as you've said,

447
00:23:07,119 --> 00:23:09,359
Speaker 1: the wise guys are with me. It's moved up since

448
00:23:09,400 --> 00:23:12,439
Speaker 1: the show, in fact, as the show is happening at

449
00:23:12,520 --> 00:23:14,480
Speaker 1: moved from five to five and a half. It is

450
00:23:14,520 --> 00:23:18,160
Speaker 1: a pros Joe split tickets on the Falcons money on Minnesota.

451
00:23:18,359 --> 00:23:21,720
Speaker 1: I guess, as you've noted, the public is buying into

452
00:23:21,760 --> 00:23:31,400
Speaker 1: the very lazy, fascile Kirk Cousins revenge narrative. We disagree, Yeah,

453
00:23:31,440 --> 00:23:32,320
Speaker 1: we know that it would.

454
00:23:32,080 --> 00:23:34,040
Speaker 2: Though, it's just it's the lowest of hanging fruit and

455
00:23:34,040 --> 00:23:38,000
Speaker 2: that's the easiest fruit to grab. So yeah, yeah, this

456
00:23:38,160 --> 00:23:40,000
Speaker 2: one's shocking to me because I really didn't think it

457
00:23:40,040 --> 00:23:42,720
Speaker 2: would get back to six, especially where you know you're

458
00:23:42,760 --> 00:23:44,080
Speaker 2: able to get four and a half when you were

459
00:23:44,080 --> 00:23:46,520
Speaker 2: talking about on Tuesday, like that's that's a great number now,

460
00:23:46,600 --> 00:23:48,360
Speaker 2: especially now that it is touching six and a lot

461
00:23:48,359 --> 00:23:53,760
Speaker 2: of books, and you know, for me, this matchup, it's

462
00:23:53,840 --> 00:23:56,240
Speaker 2: it's really all about, like we just said, the defense

463
00:23:56,280 --> 00:24:00,720
Speaker 2: here where I do have faith now in this Viking offenses.

464
00:24:01,760 --> 00:24:04,040
Speaker 2: Sam Darnold's got more comfortable, but this defense I just

465
00:24:04,040 --> 00:24:05,359
Speaker 2: can't get it out of my head where it's like,

466
00:24:05,880 --> 00:24:08,359
Speaker 2: isn't this the perfect matchup for them against Kirk, I

467
00:24:08,400 --> 00:24:11,800
Speaker 2: guy they know in their style is what gives him fits.

468
00:24:12,080 --> 00:24:14,199
Speaker 2: It just feels like it's that's the fear is it

469
00:24:14,200 --> 00:24:17,040
Speaker 2: feels too easy chat because it's like five and a

470
00:24:17,040 --> 00:24:19,720
Speaker 2: half stilled a lot of books. It feels like a

471
00:24:19,760 --> 00:24:21,480
Speaker 2: gift like we always talk about where it's like it's

472
00:24:21,480 --> 00:24:25,840
Speaker 2: still blow this key number of six, you know, them

473
00:24:25,920 --> 00:24:28,879
Speaker 2: rolling them, blowing them out, or this coming down to

474
00:24:29,040 --> 00:24:32,520
Speaker 2: they're up fourteen and Kirk gets the late touchdown and

475
00:24:32,520 --> 00:24:34,600
Speaker 2: they get the two pointer and it Land's right on six.

476
00:24:35,280 --> 00:24:37,000
Speaker 2: That sounds about right. So that's why I think the

477
00:24:37,080 --> 00:24:39,679
Speaker 2: number should be six. It's like, that's that's where this

478
00:24:39,720 --> 00:24:43,480
Speaker 2: game's gonna go. So yeah, if you if you took

479
00:24:44,320 --> 00:24:46,080
Speaker 2: like I threw a little in Atlanto. I mean there

480
00:24:46,119 --> 00:24:49,280
Speaker 2: was one book that had the six last Sunday when

481
00:24:49,280 --> 00:24:52,000
Speaker 2: we talked about it. Obviously my bets have dwarfed that

482
00:24:52,119 --> 00:24:55,840
Speaker 2: for this Minnesota side. If you were stubborn you do,

483
00:24:56,000 --> 00:24:59,280
Speaker 2: like Atlanta, I would just wait like every product talk

484
00:24:59,480 --> 00:25:02,000
Speaker 2: was coming in on this Viking side for the most part.

485
00:25:02,040 --> 00:25:04,880
Speaker 2: So it's like if they're gonna keep taking respected money,

486
00:25:04,880 --> 00:25:08,400
Speaker 2: they'll keep bumping it up, and you know the public,

487
00:25:08,440 --> 00:25:10,960
Speaker 2: they'll come in on their teasers. Right, this is like

488
00:25:11,000 --> 00:25:13,040
Speaker 2: this in Miami. It's gonna be a big tease team.

489
00:25:13,080 --> 00:25:15,679
Speaker 2: They're both at six. Everyone's gonna take it down to

490
00:25:15,720 --> 00:25:17,320
Speaker 2: a pick. That's just what people like to do on

491
00:25:17,359 --> 00:25:20,399
Speaker 2: their teasers. So this could easily keep going up. So

492
00:25:20,480 --> 00:25:22,960
Speaker 2: if you're like me and chatty, like Minnesota, grab the

493
00:25:23,000 --> 00:25:24,439
Speaker 2: five and a half while you still can, if you

494
00:25:24,440 --> 00:25:25,120
Speaker 2: haven't already.

495
00:25:25,480 --> 00:25:30,200
Speaker 1: Yeah, the things that Kirk cousins struggles against the most

496
00:25:30,760 --> 00:25:34,200
Speaker 1: pressure in the pocket are what the Vikings excel at.

497
00:25:34,320 --> 00:25:37,400
Speaker 1: Right He's facing a defense that is fourth in sacks,

498
00:25:37,600 --> 00:25:42,280
Speaker 1: third in QB pressures, second in blitz rate, also the

499
00:25:42,320 --> 00:25:47,240
Speaker 1: top ranked defense for rushing efficiency defending rushers inside the tackles,

500
00:25:47,560 --> 00:25:52,040
Speaker 1: number two outside the tackles. The most effective weapon the

501
00:25:52,080 --> 00:25:56,359
Speaker 1: Falcons actually have right now isn't Kirk Cousins, isn't Drake London.

502
00:25:56,520 --> 00:26:01,520
Speaker 1: Definitely isn't Kyle Pitts. It's John Robinson playing like a

503
00:26:01,520 --> 00:26:04,320
Speaker 1: pro bowler. But that also plays with the Viking strengths.

504
00:26:04,480 --> 00:26:06,240
Speaker 1: And I think that the wise guy. See what we

505
00:26:06,320 --> 00:26:10,760
Speaker 1: see about Kirk is how terrible he was against the

506
00:26:10,880 --> 00:26:15,000
Speaker 1: Chargers when they really weren't getting any pressure, and that

507
00:26:15,760 --> 00:26:18,560
Speaker 1: unless he's playing the Bucks, he's kind of having a

508
00:26:18,640 --> 00:26:21,920
Speaker 1: terrible year. And so this is a I am a

509
00:26:21,920 --> 00:26:24,520
Speaker 1: little bit worried. It's funny, you know, I said, I'm

510
00:26:24,560 --> 00:26:29,240
Speaker 1: trying to be more disciplined. I'm also trying to be

511
00:26:29,320 --> 00:26:32,439
Speaker 1: more disciplined with the bank roll. And I got this

512
00:26:32,520 --> 00:26:35,399
Speaker 1: at five, but I didn't put I know, I got

513
00:26:35,400 --> 00:26:37,439
Speaker 1: it a five and a half. I didn't put a

514
00:26:37,440 --> 00:26:38,880
Speaker 1: ton on because I was kind of hoping it would

515
00:26:38,920 --> 00:26:41,239
Speaker 1: come down to five. And now I got to make

516
00:26:41,240 --> 00:26:44,280
Speaker 1: a decision. Do I just increase the amount of money

517
00:26:44,320 --> 00:26:45,640
Speaker 1: I'm putting on at a five and a half, which

518
00:26:45,680 --> 00:26:48,160
Speaker 1: I'm going to because I wanted to get a little

519
00:26:48,200 --> 00:26:51,119
Speaker 1: bit better number. I'm not going to get it. I'm

520
00:26:51,119 --> 00:26:52,440
Speaker 1: going to have to live with the five and a half.

521
00:26:53,359 --> 00:26:58,159
Speaker 2: Yeah, And with Kirk, I'll just say whatever's gone along.

522
00:26:58,280 --> 00:27:01,240
Speaker 2: He has been awful the last three weeks, even after

523
00:27:01,280 --> 00:27:04,760
Speaker 2: coming out of that bio. I mean he you know,

524
00:27:04,920 --> 00:27:09,840
Speaker 2: no touchdowns, no touchdowns, six picks, six picks, just been

525
00:27:10,040 --> 00:27:14,720
Speaker 2: a disaster. And you know, you think only it's only

526
00:27:14,720 --> 00:27:17,480
Speaker 2: the people in media saying Michael Pennox's name, Like there's

527
00:27:17,520 --> 00:27:19,480
Speaker 2: obviously gonna be whispers in that locker room. That's someone

528
00:27:19,480 --> 00:27:22,000
Speaker 2: they see every day in practice, that apparently has looked

529
00:27:22,000 --> 00:27:24,440
Speaker 2: pretty good all year in practice and even coming to

530
00:27:24,440 --> 00:27:27,119
Speaker 2: the year. Remember they sat him, Yeah, it was the

531
00:27:27,200 --> 00:27:30,560
Speaker 2: second week of August because there was obviously a fear

532
00:27:30,600 --> 00:27:33,440
Speaker 2: even then with Kirk coming back from this injury, and

533
00:27:33,520 --> 00:27:36,399
Speaker 2: it's just different, like he just does not have the step,

534
00:27:36,440 --> 00:27:38,040
Speaker 2: he doesn't step in the throw the same zip on

535
00:27:38,080 --> 00:27:41,520
Speaker 2: the ball, with everything that goes into it. So, yeah, Chad,

536
00:27:41,560 --> 00:27:43,720
Speaker 2: this is one I can guarantee people is gonna be

537
00:27:43,720 --> 00:27:45,240
Speaker 2: in our contestespecially a five and a half.

538
00:27:45,400 --> 00:27:48,120
Speaker 1: Well, look, if you're also watching Caleb Williams the last

539
00:27:48,119 --> 00:27:53,600
Speaker 1: three games really developing, if you've seen Jayden Daniels playing well,

540
00:27:53,960 --> 00:27:57,199
Speaker 1: if you've seen Drake may ballin, if you've seen bo

541
00:27:57,400 --> 00:28:03,040
Speaker 1: Nicks playing like a pro like truly developing, You're gonna

542
00:28:03,040 --> 00:28:05,760
Speaker 1: be like, if the rookie quarterbacks are this developed and

543
00:28:05,840 --> 00:28:09,040
Speaker 1: Michael Pennix is on that plane, we want to know,

544
00:28:09,080 --> 00:28:10,600
Speaker 1: we want to see it, we want to take advantage

545
00:28:10,600 --> 00:28:14,000
Speaker 1: of it. And by the way, the next offensive coordinator,

546
00:28:14,040 --> 00:28:16,200
Speaker 1: head coach at quarterback who can figure out how to

547
00:28:16,280 --> 00:28:18,000
Speaker 1: use Kyle Pitts might go into the Hall of Fame

548
00:28:18,040 --> 00:28:22,080
Speaker 1: because he's now going through multiple levels of coaches, quarterbacks

549
00:28:22,119 --> 00:28:24,920
Speaker 1: and coordinators who cannot figure out how to get him

550
00:28:24,920 --> 00:28:25,720
Speaker 1: involved in the offense.

551
00:28:26,160 --> 00:28:29,000
Speaker 2: So do you think we ever see any teams ever

552
00:28:29,200 --> 00:28:32,040
Speaker 2: after Aaron Rodgers and Kirk Cousins coming back from their

553
00:28:32,080 --> 00:28:34,960
Speaker 2: achilles ever give money to a quarterback after the edge

554
00:28:34,960 --> 00:28:37,320
Speaker 2: of what thirty five thirty six with a coming off

555
00:28:37,359 --> 00:28:37,920
Speaker 2: an achilles?

556
00:28:38,320 --> 00:28:41,840
Speaker 1: Of course we will, we one hundred percent will because

557
00:28:41,920 --> 00:28:45,720
Speaker 1: everyone believes they can be the one to turn it around.

558
00:28:46,040 --> 00:28:50,000
Speaker 1: Everyone's got a god complex, everyone is hoping, everyone is

559
00:28:50,040 --> 00:28:52,960
Speaker 1: looking for the handrail on the roller coaster. Of course

560
00:28:52,960 --> 00:28:54,680
Speaker 1: we're going to do it. There's not a question in

561
00:28:54,720 --> 00:28:59,840
Speaker 1: my mind. Past glory will always remain Chicago, San Francisco.

562
00:29:00,040 --> 00:29:04,120
Speaker 1: It's interesting you say the Bears are four point dogs

563
00:29:04,120 --> 00:29:07,680
Speaker 1: here and better number than we got on Tuesday. So

564
00:29:08,000 --> 00:29:10,240
Speaker 1: the wise gun money has come in on the Niners.

565
00:29:10,480 --> 00:29:10,800
Speaker 2: Yeah.

566
00:29:10,840 --> 00:29:13,480
Speaker 1: We actually asked on Tuesday is the value on the Niners?

567
00:29:14,920 --> 00:29:18,000
Speaker 1: And you said that it's feeling very public. The Bears

568
00:29:18,000 --> 00:29:20,240
Speaker 1: and the Seahawks are shaping up to be the biggest

569
00:29:20,280 --> 00:29:23,440
Speaker 1: public dogs of the week. If you're looking at the splits,

570
00:29:23,920 --> 00:29:27,160
Speaker 1: seventy three percent of the tickets on the Bears, sixty

571
00:29:27,160 --> 00:29:33,400
Speaker 1: percent of the money on the Niners. Like, I think

572
00:29:33,400 --> 00:29:39,320
Speaker 1: the Niners are in real trouble physically, and I still

573
00:29:39,320 --> 00:29:40,480
Speaker 1: think I like the Bears.

574
00:29:41,600 --> 00:29:43,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, And I'm letting you kind of drive this boney

575
00:29:43,280 --> 00:29:46,040
Speaker 2: where I was just happy to sit this on out

576
00:29:46,040 --> 00:29:47,640
Speaker 2: because it's like, I want to be with you on

577
00:29:47,680 --> 00:29:50,080
Speaker 2: the Bears. But when I'm talking to every guy who's

578
00:29:50,400 --> 00:29:53,720
Speaker 2: saying exactly what I said, which is in my lifetime.

579
00:29:53,800 --> 00:29:56,760
Speaker 2: This is a spot I hammer this forty nine ers

580
00:29:56,800 --> 00:29:58,800
Speaker 2: team like this is always a spot I take this team,

581
00:29:58,880 --> 00:30:02,960
Speaker 2: especially at this number. But my pause is what we

582
00:30:03,080 --> 00:30:05,760
Speaker 2: talked about. The Foyners have so much bullshit going on

583
00:30:05,840 --> 00:30:09,320
Speaker 2: off the field outside their injuries. You know, this the

584
00:30:09,400 --> 00:30:11,720
Speaker 2: turmoil of the drama right now. I mean their media

585
00:30:12,160 --> 00:30:15,800
Speaker 2: falling along and seeing everything going on, the conversations being had,

586
00:30:16,520 --> 00:30:19,200
Speaker 2: even Kyle Shannon's demeanor. It's like, this is the team

587
00:30:19,200 --> 00:30:20,640
Speaker 2: that went to the super Bowl last year. They just

588
00:30:20,680 --> 00:30:24,760
Speaker 2: feel like everything's totally different this year. Confidence is totally

589
00:30:24,840 --> 00:30:28,880
Speaker 2: gone by Shanahan m Purdy. The biggest one to me

590
00:30:28,960 --> 00:30:30,479
Speaker 2: is what me and you talked about, which just this

591
00:30:30,560 --> 00:30:33,120
Speaker 2: Barriers team. It feels like they really fucking hated eber

592
00:30:33,200 --> 00:30:37,240
Speaker 2: Through like he's gone, like the ding Dong the Witch

593
00:30:37,280 --> 00:30:39,840
Speaker 2: is dead. It seems like that to me is the

594
00:30:39,880 --> 00:30:42,160
Speaker 2: biggest thing where it's like, are we reading too much

595
00:30:42,160 --> 00:30:44,920
Speaker 2: into it, betting too much on a team that we

596
00:30:45,000 --> 00:30:48,360
Speaker 2: expect will come out here and play hard together as

597
00:30:48,400 --> 00:30:51,560
Speaker 2: a unit and play for something where I still don't

598
00:30:51,560 --> 00:30:52,840
Speaker 2: know what the Foyers are playing for. People are like, well,

599
00:30:52,840 --> 00:30:55,280
Speaker 2: they're playing for a playoff spot. They've been playing for

600
00:30:55,320 --> 00:30:58,640
Speaker 2: that all season. Like I hate that where it's like

601
00:30:59,160 --> 00:31:00,760
Speaker 2: I don't think they have it in them, Like they

602
00:31:00,800 --> 00:31:02,320
Speaker 2: just don't seem like they have a dog in the fight.

603
00:31:02,360 --> 00:31:06,840
Speaker 2: But yeah, obviously we expect this is their last ditch effort.

604
00:31:06,840 --> 00:31:09,400
Speaker 2: This is gonna be their everything game. I get why

605
00:31:09,440 --> 00:31:11,520
Speaker 2: the professionals are coming on the forty niner side, but

606
00:31:11,960 --> 00:31:13,400
Speaker 2: I just can't get out of what we talked about

607
00:31:13,400 --> 00:31:15,520
Speaker 2: how much it seemed like that Bears team hated their

608
00:31:15,520 --> 00:31:18,440
Speaker 2: head coach. He's gone. We've seen it before in these

609
00:31:18,440 --> 00:31:21,600
Speaker 2: exact spots where teams just play hard for their interim coach.

610
00:31:21,680 --> 00:31:24,320
Speaker 2: And I just don't think the Bears are that bad,

611
00:31:24,560 --> 00:31:27,720
Speaker 2: Like I feel like, no, no, like they really aren't.

612
00:31:27,720 --> 00:31:29,840
Speaker 2: Like they have talent on both sides of the ball,

613
00:31:29,840 --> 00:31:31,360
Speaker 2: and we've kind of seen that play out this year

614
00:31:31,360 --> 00:31:33,880
Speaker 2: where you know they have covered in what three four

615
00:31:33,920 --> 00:31:38,280
Speaker 2: straight weeks and crazy back door you could say, flukey covers.

616
00:31:38,920 --> 00:31:41,440
Speaker 2: But it's what we talked about. Kayleb Williams, He's a

617
00:31:41,480 --> 00:31:43,680
Speaker 2: guy that never gives up, could push the ball downfield,

618
00:31:43,680 --> 00:31:46,080
Speaker 2: and you've seen that now after the Minnesota game where

619
00:31:46,080 --> 00:31:48,560
Speaker 2: he came back and that game against Green Bay, Ree

620
00:31:48,680 --> 00:31:51,600
Speaker 2: came back in that game against Detroit. At the end

621
00:31:51,600 --> 00:31:53,560
Speaker 2: of the day, those games they probably should have won,

622
00:31:53,800 --> 00:31:56,760
Speaker 2: maybe came down to the coaching. They've just been playing

623
00:31:56,760 --> 00:31:58,360
Speaker 2: so much better these last couple of weeks since Fort

624
00:31:58,400 --> 00:32:01,320
Speaker 2: n iras team. So not go bullyis Chad, I'll stick

625
00:32:01,360 --> 00:32:03,880
Speaker 2: with you. I'll grab the plus four with Chicago.

626
00:32:04,280 --> 00:32:06,240
Speaker 1: Yeah, I guess at the end of the day, if

627
00:32:06,240 --> 00:32:11,000
Speaker 1: we're talking about we always like playing teams when they're

628
00:32:11,040 --> 00:32:15,680
Speaker 1: dogs and they have a new coach, and that we've

629
00:32:15,720 --> 00:32:18,360
Speaker 1: we've seen that win consistently. We saw it happen again

630
00:32:18,440 --> 00:32:20,600
Speaker 1: this year with New Orleans, right, and New Orleans has

631
00:32:20,680 --> 00:32:26,760
Speaker 1: less talent than the Bears. I think there's a lightness

632
00:32:27,320 --> 00:32:33,120
Speaker 1: in that locker room and relief for that team and joy.

633
00:32:33,400 --> 00:32:39,640
Speaker 1: They'll just play with, you know, unabandoned joy, knowing that

634
00:32:39,720 --> 00:32:42,680
Speaker 1: they don't have to worry about earber Fluse fucking it

635
00:32:42,800 --> 00:32:44,480
Speaker 1: up at the end of the game.

636
00:32:44,480 --> 00:32:45,880
Speaker 2: More than they probably want to show that he was

637
00:32:45,880 --> 00:32:50,160
Speaker 2: the problem. Right, Oh for sure. Yeah, also for that

638
00:32:50,200 --> 00:32:52,040
Speaker 2: hell Mary, and think how long ago that was?

639
00:32:52,360 --> 00:32:56,240
Speaker 1: Will they hold They've been they've been snatching losses from

640
00:32:56,280 --> 00:33:02,560
Speaker 1: the jaws of victory. For a month in the most crazy, awkward,

641
00:33:03,080 --> 00:33:06,120
Speaker 1: inane ways. So the Bills will be on the list.

642
00:33:06,160 --> 00:33:10,240
Speaker 1: I mean, what's scary right now, Simon, is We've got

643
00:33:10,520 --> 00:33:16,880
Speaker 1: on our list two you know, mid sized favorites in

644
00:33:16,960 --> 00:33:23,280
Speaker 1: Minnesota and Miami. So we're playing with fire a little

645
00:33:23,320 --> 00:33:26,680
Speaker 1: bit here, especially since one of the other games we

646
00:33:26,840 --> 00:33:29,560
Speaker 1: like the other day, Buffalo is a four point favorite

647
00:33:29,560 --> 00:33:31,520
Speaker 1: at the RAMS. I gotta tell you what. We talked

648
00:33:31,560 --> 00:33:36,280
Speaker 1: about it on Tuesday. I felt pretty confident. By the

649
00:33:36,360 --> 00:33:42,400
Speaker 1: time I closed my computer yesterday, much less confident. The

650
00:33:42,440 --> 00:33:47,160
Speaker 1: line had moved in the Rams direction all of a sudden.

651
00:33:47,160 --> 00:33:50,280
Speaker 1: I was just feeling like, are we at the peak

652
00:33:50,280 --> 00:33:52,640
Speaker 1: of the Bills market. I know we'd like them to

653
00:33:52,680 --> 00:33:54,920
Speaker 1: win in these spots, and that they do tend to

654
00:33:54,960 --> 00:33:57,760
Speaker 1: cover in these spots, but they just came off a

655
00:33:57,760 --> 00:34:00,680
Speaker 1: stretch where they had like statement wins against the teams

656
00:34:00,680 --> 00:34:04,000
Speaker 1: they have to be in the Niners and the Chiefs

657
00:34:04,640 --> 00:34:07,760
Speaker 1: and the Rams are in a knife fight to win

658
00:34:07,800 --> 00:34:11,880
Speaker 1: their division and still think they can do it. The

659
00:34:11,960 --> 00:34:14,480
Speaker 1: move is on the Rams right now. And you even

660
00:34:14,520 --> 00:34:16,640
Speaker 1: said it in sort of sharp calls.

661
00:34:17,480 --> 00:34:18,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, I was shocked to talk to a lot of

662
00:34:18,920 --> 00:34:22,120
Speaker 2: guys like even yesterday, I'm in the book and talking

663
00:34:22,160 --> 00:34:24,239
Speaker 2: a couple of guys who I really respect, and they're

664
00:34:24,239 --> 00:34:26,239
Speaker 2: both like, this is our favorite bets of the week

665
00:34:26,360 --> 00:34:28,640
Speaker 2: is Rams, And all I could say was like, I've

666
00:34:28,680 --> 00:34:31,160
Speaker 2: been there, been there this season where I love the

667
00:34:31,239 --> 00:34:33,080
Speaker 2: Rams in this exact spot too, and it's just been

668
00:34:33,080 --> 00:34:36,120
Speaker 2: burning me. So they could be right, like you could

669
00:34:36,120 --> 00:34:38,279
Speaker 2: be right as well, where it's like, isn't this the

670
00:34:38,320 --> 00:34:41,960
Speaker 2: spot to sell this Bills team, especially you know, huge

671
00:34:41,960 --> 00:34:44,319
Speaker 2: win last week and they're heading to Detroit after this

672
00:34:44,400 --> 00:34:47,960
Speaker 2: game like this, yeah, there, this is the brutal stretcher.

673
00:34:48,040 --> 00:34:50,560
Speaker 2: But I can't get out of my mind, Chad, just

674
00:34:50,640 --> 00:34:54,200
Speaker 2: that this is Josh Allen's world and we're living in

675
00:34:54,239 --> 00:34:56,960
Speaker 2: it right now, and he's kind of broken a lot

676
00:34:57,000 --> 00:35:00,760
Speaker 2: of the rules this season. And he was someone where,

677
00:35:01,280 --> 00:35:03,200
Speaker 2: you know, I'll be the first to admit it, I

678
00:35:03,200 --> 00:35:04,840
Speaker 2: thought we had a pattern growing with him where he

679
00:35:04,920 --> 00:35:08,839
Speaker 2: was just going to be the team that beats up

680
00:35:08,880 --> 00:35:11,400
Speaker 2: on bad teams and then struggles against the playoff teams.

681
00:35:11,840 --> 00:35:14,440
Speaker 2: But that Chiefs game really changed my mind with that

682
00:35:14,480 --> 00:35:17,600
Speaker 2: where like, you know, no one beats my homes by

683
00:35:18,040 --> 00:35:20,640
Speaker 2: more than seven points, Like they really beat the hell

684
00:35:20,680 --> 00:35:22,600
Speaker 2: out of that Chiefs team. And even when I say

685
00:35:22,600 --> 00:35:24,480
Speaker 2: the Chiefs teams is not that good, this is a

686
00:35:24,560 --> 00:35:27,360
Speaker 2: Bills team that lost twenty to twenty three to that

687
00:35:27,400 --> 00:35:29,200
Speaker 2: Houston team. Right, they were down twenty to three at

688
00:35:29,200 --> 00:35:30,879
Speaker 2: one point in that game, and the week before that

689
00:35:31,320 --> 00:35:34,600
Speaker 2: they got demolished by that Ravens team thirty five to ten.

690
00:35:34,719 --> 00:35:36,960
Speaker 2: So it was like we had reasons to question this

691
00:35:37,040 --> 00:35:40,520
Speaker 2: Bills team since then. I mean, like you just talked about,

692
00:35:40,520 --> 00:35:42,759
Speaker 2: they've been one of the best best teams all football. Mean,

693
00:35:42,760 --> 00:35:44,719
Speaker 2: their only close game really was that Miami game, right,

694
00:35:44,760 --> 00:35:48,120
Speaker 2: they won what was it thirty to twenty seven something

695
00:35:48,200 --> 00:35:50,880
Speaker 2: like that, where it was like Tool had the Miami

696
00:35:50,880 --> 00:35:54,840
Speaker 2: in that game. So okay, maybe they still aren't the

697
00:35:54,920 --> 00:35:57,319
Speaker 2: best team against playoff teams. This Rams team is not

698
00:35:57,360 --> 00:35:59,239
Speaker 2: a playoff team. I mean we can both agree with that.

699
00:35:59,280 --> 00:36:01,360
Speaker 2: They're they are just lucky to be at six and

700
00:36:01,400 --> 00:36:04,480
Speaker 2: six right now. And yeah, okay, you don't want to

701
00:36:04,480 --> 00:36:05,959
Speaker 2: put this one in because it is it does feel

702
00:36:05,960 --> 00:36:07,880
Speaker 2: a little trappy. How am I not gonna agree with

703
00:36:07,880 --> 00:36:10,439
Speaker 2: you my whole life. I'm always on this other side

704
00:36:10,520 --> 00:36:13,040
Speaker 2: with this Rams team. I do just think it's just

705
00:36:13,160 --> 00:36:17,160
Speaker 2: Josh Allen's different. I'm confident in them, believe in them,

706
00:36:17,760 --> 00:36:19,440
Speaker 2: love the matchup for the run game though. That's the

707
00:36:19,480 --> 00:36:21,319
Speaker 2: biggest thing for me is this Rams team. We've seen

708
00:36:21,360 --> 00:36:23,319
Speaker 2: it now. You know, if Taysom Hill didn't go buy

709
00:36:23,320 --> 00:36:25,000
Speaker 2: of that game, I don't know if they're gonna come

710
00:36:25,040 --> 00:36:27,600
Speaker 2: back against that Saints team. Like it feels like the

711
00:36:27,640 --> 00:36:29,640
Speaker 2: Saints are kind of finding a groove there moving the ball.

712
00:36:30,560 --> 00:36:32,400
Speaker 2: Same with this Bills team. It's like, how do the

713
00:36:32,400 --> 00:36:34,400
Speaker 2: Bills not just run for one point fifty against this

714
00:36:34,480 --> 00:36:37,799
Speaker 2: Rams defense? I literally cannot stop the run, Like they

715
00:36:37,840 --> 00:36:40,600
Speaker 2: have no guys up front that can plug gaps and

716
00:36:40,640 --> 00:36:44,000
Speaker 2: really stop stuff. So all right, Chad, if youn't want

717
00:36:44,000 --> 00:36:45,440
Speaker 2: to put it in, I totally get it because it

718
00:36:45,520 --> 00:36:48,120
Speaker 2: is not a spot we usually take. But it's it's

719
00:36:48,560 --> 00:36:49,880
Speaker 2: all right, give me three and a half what the

720
00:36:49,880 --> 00:36:52,160
Speaker 2: professionals bet. I'll be the sucker. I'll be like the

721
00:36:52,200 --> 00:36:54,960
Speaker 2: Joe public here and I'll take the three and watching

722
00:36:55,040 --> 00:36:56,800
Speaker 2: Land right on three and me losing my three and

723
00:36:56,800 --> 00:36:58,480
Speaker 2: a half. But I can't help myself here. I'm just

724
00:36:58,640 --> 00:37:00,399
Speaker 2: I just love this Bills team and how are playing

725
00:37:00,480 --> 00:37:00,879
Speaker 2: right now?

726
00:37:01,120 --> 00:37:02,759
Speaker 1: Well, look, we can keep it on the list. It's

727
00:37:02,760 --> 00:37:05,279
Speaker 1: not like we have fifteen games.

728
00:37:05,840 --> 00:37:07,319
Speaker 2: You're like, am I really gonna make chap of four

729
00:37:07,320 --> 00:37:11,600
Speaker 2: favorites in? Look, here's I get it. I get it.

730
00:37:11,800 --> 00:37:14,960
Speaker 1: And not just that we're the next game we're going

731
00:37:15,000 --> 00:37:16,680
Speaker 1: to talk about which is our big balls. So we

732
00:37:16,719 --> 00:37:20,000
Speaker 1: know it's going to go in will be the third

733
00:37:20,040 --> 00:37:23,680
Speaker 1: game in a row that is going completely against what

734
00:37:23,719 --> 00:37:26,879
Speaker 1: we normally do. So let's let's talk about these as

735
00:37:26,880 --> 00:37:30,080
Speaker 1: a package instead of sort of trying to talk about

736
00:37:30,080 --> 00:37:34,840
Speaker 1: them individually. But it is time to talk about our

737
00:37:35,400 --> 00:37:41,640
Speaker 1: big balls better than we presented by Tommy Jo. If

738
00:37:41,680 --> 00:37:45,080
Speaker 1: you've got the balls, Tommy John has the support. Great

739
00:37:45,160 --> 00:37:50,880
Speaker 1: games start with great underwear. Tommy John makes the greatest

740
00:37:51,320 --> 00:37:58,200
Speaker 1: okay La Chargers four point dogs at Kansas City. Simon,

741
00:37:59,560 --> 00:38:03,560
Speaker 1: this is a game that is testing us, testing our faith,

742
00:38:04,440 --> 00:38:09,319
Speaker 1: it's testing our fidelity, it's testing our biases because at

743
00:38:09,360 --> 00:38:16,120
Speaker 1: first glance, we should love the Chargers, love them physical team,

744
00:38:16,880 --> 00:38:22,600
Speaker 1: a good coach, an elite quarterback who doesn't make mistakes.

745
00:38:22,800 --> 00:38:26,520
Speaker 1: Since Justin Herbert got healthy, they have been running more

746
00:38:26,520 --> 00:38:30,560
Speaker 1: play action, which is getting him much more many more

747
00:38:30,560 --> 00:38:34,400
Speaker 1: windows to throw downfield against the Blicks. His QBR has

748
00:38:34,400 --> 00:38:39,239
Speaker 1: improved from sixty three to eighty six. But then on Tuesday,

749
00:38:39,800 --> 00:38:43,520
Speaker 1: like during the show again in a conversation you and

750
00:38:43,560 --> 00:38:47,440
Speaker 1: I had like before the air, before we came on

751
00:38:47,520 --> 00:38:50,719
Speaker 1: the air, we couldn't get there. And like for me,

752
00:38:50,840 --> 00:38:53,040
Speaker 1: we talked about it on Tuesday. It's really about the injuries.

753
00:38:53,520 --> 00:38:55,480
Speaker 1: This team could not move the ball on the ground

754
00:38:55,480 --> 00:38:58,279
Speaker 1: after JK. Dobbins went out against the Ravens a couple

755
00:38:58,280 --> 00:39:02,040
Speaker 1: weeks ago, and they weren't any better against the Falcons,

756
00:39:02,120 --> 00:39:06,120
Speaker 1: like gaining only fifty six yards rushing. Ladd McConkie is

757
00:39:06,160 --> 00:39:09,440
Speaker 1: the only receiver who's been doing anything. He's been banged up,

758
00:39:09,520 --> 00:39:13,040
Speaker 1: limited in practice, has had shoulder issues all season. Now

759
00:39:13,040 --> 00:39:17,879
Speaker 1: he's got a knee injury that's newly diagnosed. We got

760
00:39:17,920 --> 00:39:18,600
Speaker 1: to go with the Chiefs.

761
00:39:20,680 --> 00:39:22,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, and it's it really is. The thing we talked

762
00:39:22,640 --> 00:39:24,640
Speaker 2: about the Chargers team was really me and you having

763
00:39:24,680 --> 00:39:27,240
Speaker 2: a little bit of like we always backed the Chargers

764
00:39:27,239 --> 00:39:28,960
Speaker 2: at this number, even earlier this year we took the

765
00:39:29,000 --> 00:39:30,080
Speaker 2: seven and a half where.

766
00:39:29,920 --> 00:39:31,640
Speaker 1: And always fade the Chiefs at this number.

767
00:39:31,880 --> 00:39:33,879
Speaker 2: Right, And it's because it's been good to us, Right,

768
00:39:33,880 --> 00:39:35,600
Speaker 2: you're going back. I'm in the action app right, now

769
00:39:35,600 --> 00:39:38,480
Speaker 2: you look back in twenty two, they had two matchups.

770
00:39:38,560 --> 00:39:41,560
Speaker 2: Both times the Chiefs were favorites greater than three and

771
00:39:41,600 --> 00:39:45,120
Speaker 2: a half both times. Herbert Backdoor that covered like he

772
00:39:45,200 --> 00:39:48,000
Speaker 2: covered it both times, and that was obviously really good

773
00:39:48,000 --> 00:39:50,160
Speaker 2: to us. Now last year you kind of can throw

774
00:39:50,200 --> 00:39:52,600
Speaker 2: it out, right, the Chargers had a bunch of injuries

775
00:39:53,000 --> 00:39:54,799
Speaker 2: and then the final game of the year. I think

776
00:39:54,840 --> 00:39:57,480
Speaker 2: it was the backup playing for the Chiefs and same

777
00:39:57,520 --> 00:40:01,440
Speaker 2: for the Chargers, so you know, don't have much go

778
00:40:01,520 --> 00:40:03,440
Speaker 2: off that. But this year we've seen it now where

779
00:40:05,040 --> 00:40:08,920
Speaker 2: this this Chief's team. Chat to me, they looked burned out.

780
00:40:08,960 --> 00:40:10,319
Speaker 2: I don't know about you, but I felt like they

781
00:40:10,360 --> 00:40:13,799
Speaker 2: were burned out. And I read a really interesting article

782
00:40:13,840 --> 00:40:16,200
Speaker 2: the other day about Andy re giving them a little

783
00:40:16,239 --> 00:40:19,040
Speaker 2: mini bye week. Right, they had the Friday game and

784
00:40:19,040 --> 00:40:21,560
Speaker 2: they gave him off the weekend, had a couple of

785
00:40:21,560 --> 00:40:24,560
Speaker 2: guys come in Monday, obviously, but like overall, it seemed

786
00:40:24,600 --> 00:40:26,080
Speaker 2: like it was a nice thing to let that team

787
00:40:26,120 --> 00:40:27,880
Speaker 2: get away from it because they just look, you know,

788
00:40:28,000 --> 00:40:31,279
Speaker 2: beat like that defense getting rolled. It's just not something

789
00:40:31,280 --> 00:40:35,040
Speaker 2: we're used to with Spags And like you talked about,

790
00:40:35,320 --> 00:40:37,359
Speaker 2: the big thing to me, this Chargers team is out

791
00:40:37,360 --> 00:40:39,920
Speaker 2: loss of JK. Dobbins, they had no run game, and

792
00:40:39,960 --> 00:40:43,200
Speaker 2: I felt like they had no like I don't know,

793
00:40:43,320 --> 00:40:46,000
Speaker 2: not that they've been lucky this year, but they've been

794
00:40:46,040 --> 00:40:47,600
Speaker 2: a team that this year have just been able to

795
00:40:47,640 --> 00:40:50,640
Speaker 2: run the ball. Like you say, after they can run

796
00:40:50,680 --> 00:40:53,040
Speaker 2: it justin Herbert gets the open easy reads because of

797
00:40:53,040 --> 00:40:55,160
Speaker 2: the play action pass, and when you take that away,

798
00:40:55,280 --> 00:40:59,759
Speaker 2: it just looks so complicated and just awful, and he

799
00:41:00,000 --> 00:41:02,719
Speaker 2: looked uncomfortable. And again, this is against a Atlanta team

800
00:41:02,719 --> 00:41:06,240
Speaker 2: that's not that great at anything defensively, where this Chiefs

801
00:41:06,239 --> 00:41:08,880
Speaker 2: team we've seen as bad as they looked, you know

802
00:41:09,200 --> 00:41:11,760
Speaker 2: before that before they started playing bad these last couple weeks,

803
00:41:11,960 --> 00:41:14,319
Speaker 2: this is a defense that is really tough to run

804
00:41:14,360 --> 00:41:18,000
Speaker 2: on and has a pretty good secondary overall. So yeah,

805
00:41:18,040 --> 00:41:20,759
Speaker 2: this really is about playing this matchup and trying not

806
00:41:20,800 --> 00:41:24,040
Speaker 2: to overthinking where it's like, Okay, is this the lowest

807
00:41:24,040 --> 00:41:25,760
Speaker 2: we can buy right now? In the Chiefs this season,

808
00:41:25,800 --> 00:41:28,479
Speaker 2: it kind of feels like it would have been great

809
00:41:28,480 --> 00:41:31,359
Speaker 2: if this number got the three. Thought the professionals were

810
00:41:31,400 --> 00:41:33,319
Speaker 2: coming on the Chargers, but I told you each other

811
00:41:33,360 --> 00:41:35,120
Speaker 2: way most pros I've talked to you at this point

812
00:41:35,120 --> 00:41:37,920
Speaker 2: of coming on this Chiefs team. I get their viewpoint,

813
00:41:37,920 --> 00:41:39,439
Speaker 2: I get where they're coming from, and it I feel

814
00:41:39,520 --> 00:41:42,000
Speaker 2: like in agreeance with them that, Okay, the number moved

815
00:41:42,000 --> 00:41:44,000
Speaker 2: too much. If if it isn't three and a half

816
00:41:44,040 --> 00:41:45,400
Speaker 2: in contest chat and you don't want to put in

817
00:41:45,440 --> 00:41:47,520
Speaker 2: it because it's not three and a half, I get it,

818
00:41:47,560 --> 00:41:49,520
Speaker 2: because it's four and a half, it's obviously not ideal.

819
00:41:49,600 --> 00:41:51,360
Speaker 2: But I feel like at three and a half, we

820
00:41:51,480 --> 00:41:53,319
Speaker 2: might have to put this one in another favor. I

821
00:41:53,360 --> 00:41:56,160
Speaker 2: know it's crazy, but it's really all about buying in

822
00:41:56,200 --> 00:41:57,680
Speaker 2: these spots on these teams that I feel like the

823
00:41:57,680 --> 00:41:59,560
Speaker 2: public is underrating a little bit.

824
00:42:00,320 --> 00:42:02,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree with you, and I think if you

825
00:42:02,520 --> 00:42:05,200
Speaker 1: look at the Chief's injury report for the week, which

826
00:42:05,239 --> 00:42:09,000
Speaker 1: I did this morning, there's three guys on it. All

827
00:42:09,080 --> 00:42:14,000
Speaker 1: three of them were full participants in practice yesterday. Isaiah

828
00:42:14,000 --> 00:42:16,360
Speaker 1: Pacheco's not even on it. You know, he came back.

829
00:42:16,840 --> 00:42:23,080
Speaker 1: And expectation. Andy Reid is teasing that DJ Humphrey is

830
00:42:23,120 --> 00:42:26,840
Speaker 1: going to be starting at tackle left tackle for the

831
00:42:26,920 --> 00:42:29,480
Speaker 1: Chiefs and their biggest issue, and we could see it

832
00:42:29,800 --> 00:42:32,000
Speaker 1: in the game the other day, even on the touchdown

833
00:42:32,040 --> 00:42:35,719
Speaker 1: pass that Patrick Mahomes threw in the second quarter that

834
00:42:35,840 --> 00:42:38,399
Speaker 1: sort of awkward pass where he got hit and bent

835
00:42:38,480 --> 00:42:43,320
Speaker 1: over like he was yelling at the offensive line about

836
00:42:43,960 --> 00:42:47,439
Speaker 1: protecting him on a touchdown pass and yelling at Andy

837
00:42:47,480 --> 00:42:50,319
Speaker 1: Reid to get some of these guys to get that

838
00:42:50,560 --> 00:42:54,440
Speaker 1: right tackle out of the game. So and Juwan Taylor

839
00:42:54,680 --> 00:42:59,120
Speaker 1: constantly getting the same penalty over and over and over again.

840
00:42:59,600 --> 00:43:03,720
Speaker 1: So I think they're between the rest between DJ Humphrey

841
00:43:03,800 --> 00:43:08,120
Speaker 1: playing Andy Reid has been teasing it, the injuries dissipating.

842
00:43:08,960 --> 00:43:11,760
Speaker 1: I think it's the exact right spot. So I'm excited

843
00:43:12,040 --> 00:43:13,600
Speaker 1: that we kind of agreed on it. When we were

844
00:43:13,640 --> 00:43:15,759
Speaker 1: slacking this morning, I'm like, is he telling me he

845
00:43:15,800 --> 00:43:17,520
Speaker 1: doesn't like the Chiefs? Because now I'm in love with

846
00:43:17,560 --> 00:43:21,320
Speaker 1: the Chiefs. So I'm glad we could find a mind meld.

847
00:43:21,960 --> 00:43:23,880
Speaker 2: Offered up the Chiefs and the Panthers, and you were like,

848
00:43:24,120 --> 00:43:25,759
Speaker 2: do you like the Chiefs? Here he goes, yeah, why

849
00:43:25,760 --> 00:43:27,239
Speaker 2: would I say them? I didn't know what helly you

850
00:43:27,239 --> 00:43:28,080
Speaker 2: were even talking about.

851
00:43:28,320 --> 00:43:31,960
Speaker 1: Well, I just got confused because I'm like, I don't know.

852
00:43:32,280 --> 00:43:35,920
Speaker 2: Listen, dude, I'm like, I get it, I get it.

853
00:43:36,120 --> 00:43:38,960
Speaker 1: I'm want three hours asleep. Yeah, I'm trying to do

854
00:43:39,000 --> 00:43:41,279
Speaker 1: the job. I'm trying to do it well, but I

855
00:43:41,320 --> 00:43:45,160
Speaker 1: got to live my life. Okay, Listen, I can't be

856
00:43:45,200 --> 00:43:48,560
Speaker 1: getting up, taking care of kids and doing this job

857
00:43:49,120 --> 00:43:53,800
Speaker 1: while I'm out jetting around. Simon. We can hear the bells,

858
00:43:53,840 --> 00:43:57,719
Speaker 1: we can smell the gingerbread. The holiday season is upon us,

859
00:43:58,239 --> 00:44:03,360
Speaker 1: and with over twenty million pairs sold and thousands of

860
00:44:03,480 --> 00:44:06,799
Speaker 1: five star reviews, let's make the Gift of Tommy John

861
00:44:07,400 --> 00:44:11,000
Speaker 1: our newest holiday tradition. It always feels good to give

862
00:44:11,000 --> 00:44:14,359
Speaker 1: a thoughtful gift, but it feels great to give Tommy John.

863
00:44:14,600 --> 00:44:17,799
Speaker 1: You'll feel the warm glow of upgrading someone's life, and

864
00:44:17,880 --> 00:44:23,920
Speaker 1: with breathable comfort, they'll feel those special cringle tingles all

865
00:44:24,040 --> 00:44:28,280
Speaker 1: year long. Simon, why will you be giving the gift

866
00:44:28,360 --> 00:44:30,560
Speaker 1: of Tommy John this season? Oh?

867
00:44:30,600 --> 00:44:32,839
Speaker 2: We love Tommy John, Chadat, I'm giving it because it's

868
00:44:32,840 --> 00:44:34,280
Speaker 2: the gift that last.

869
00:44:34,440 --> 00:44:38,080
Speaker 1: Shop Tommy John dot com slash favorites right now for

870
00:44:38,120 --> 00:44:42,799
Speaker 1: the holidays and get thirty percent off site wide. Save

871
00:44:42,880 --> 00:44:46,840
Speaker 1: thirty percent off Tommy John dot com slash Favorites Tommy

872
00:44:46,920 --> 00:44:50,040
Speaker 1: John dot com slash Favorites. I gotta think that we're

873
00:44:50,120 --> 00:44:54,200
Speaker 1: responsible for at least half of those twenty million pairs sold.

874
00:44:55,080 --> 00:44:56,920
Speaker 1: The last game I want to talk about before we

875
00:44:57,440 --> 00:45:01,000
Speaker 1: dig into some round robins and get to evan Is,

876
00:45:01,520 --> 00:45:05,000
Speaker 1: Cleveland and Pittsburgh. So this was Simon says, very much

877
00:45:05,239 --> 00:45:07,880
Speaker 1: a cell high on Pittsburgh, right. We would do that

878
00:45:07,960 --> 00:45:11,680
Speaker 1: even if the other divisional and Tomlin factors didn't exist.

879
00:45:12,040 --> 00:45:13,960
Speaker 2: We're gonna go in a tack mode. We will not

880
00:45:14,040 --> 00:45:16,520
Speaker 2: go gently. We're gonna unleash he out here in December

881
00:45:16,880 --> 00:45:18,920
Speaker 2: because we have to, because that's what's required.

882
00:45:19,360 --> 00:45:23,040
Speaker 1: But teams in the Steelers current position, like the Eagles,

883
00:45:23,040 --> 00:45:25,840
Speaker 1: who are covering by five points per game, just forty

884
00:45:25,840 --> 00:45:29,759
Speaker 1: four percent against the spread against teams with winning percentages

885
00:45:29,800 --> 00:45:32,640
Speaker 1: of sixty percent or less, which is what thet with

886
00:45:32,760 --> 00:45:36,480
Speaker 1: the Browns have. And then there are Tomlin spots Is

887
00:45:36,520 --> 00:45:41,480
Speaker 1: a favorite, you know, in a variety of categories, all

888
00:45:41,560 --> 00:45:44,360
Speaker 1: of which have him covering less than forty five percent.

889
00:45:45,280 --> 00:45:48,040
Speaker 1: You know, we don't want to back Jamis after he wins.

890
00:45:48,080 --> 00:45:51,000
Speaker 1: We do want to back Jamis after he loses. Anything

891
00:45:51,080 --> 00:45:51,920
Speaker 1: change for you here.

892
00:45:52,920 --> 00:45:55,680
Speaker 2: No, And even if Jamis had won last week and

893
00:45:55,760 --> 00:45:57,520
Speaker 2: this was still the number, I still think I'd be

894
00:45:57,560 --> 00:45:59,879
Speaker 2: able to talk abutself, you know, just because how can

895
00:45:59,920 --> 00:46:02,080
Speaker 2: you make a number this big in this division? It's

896
00:46:02,320 --> 00:46:05,160
Speaker 2: it's so rare in the AFC North, the blow teams out,

897
00:46:05,400 --> 00:46:08,120
Speaker 2: like you really have to be a really good team

898
00:46:08,120 --> 00:46:10,200
Speaker 2: playing against a team that simply gives up midway through

899
00:46:10,200 --> 00:46:12,680
Speaker 2: the game, Like could that happen here with Cleveland? Check?

900
00:46:12,719 --> 00:46:15,560
Speaker 2: Can we get caught? Sure? Right, that's always possibility. But

901
00:46:16,480 --> 00:46:18,799
Speaker 2: it feels like James has brought something to this team

902
00:46:18,840 --> 00:46:22,240
Speaker 2: that they were lacking. And you've seen in the plane

903
00:46:22,280 --> 00:46:24,640
Speaker 2: right the offense looks so much more open and fast,

904
00:46:24,719 --> 00:46:27,600
Speaker 2: and they just need the defense to catch up to them.

905
00:46:27,640 --> 00:46:29,239
Speaker 2: We know the defense has not been good this year,

906
00:46:29,280 --> 00:46:31,839
Speaker 2: and we talked coming in the year that defense from

907
00:46:31,880 --> 00:46:34,279
Speaker 2: you hear does not translating Jim Schwartz. I mean we

908
00:46:34,320 --> 00:46:37,000
Speaker 2: have history now data back it up. His splits from

909
00:46:37,080 --> 00:46:39,040
Speaker 2: year to year are incredible, like he either has a

910
00:46:39,120 --> 00:46:42,720
Speaker 2: top two, top three defense or a bottom ten, bottom

911
00:46:42,800 --> 00:46:45,560
Speaker 2: five defense. Even last week I was shocking. They talked

912
00:46:45,600 --> 00:46:47,680
Speaker 2: about they only had two interceptions or two takeaways on

913
00:46:47,760 --> 00:46:50,880
Speaker 2: defense all year before Bonnicks kind of threw a couple up.

914
00:46:51,000 --> 00:46:54,279
Speaker 2: So this is a Browns team that I understand why

915
00:46:54,280 --> 00:46:56,319
Speaker 2: no one's betting them, right, I think in the action

916
00:46:56,400 --> 00:46:58,320
Speaker 2: app right now, with all the money, all the tickets

917
00:46:58,400 --> 00:47:01,239
Speaker 2: right now ron Pittsburgh, I expect them to be the

918
00:47:01,239 --> 00:47:03,919
Speaker 2: biggest public side. No one's gonna believe that Cleveland's gonna

919
00:47:03,920 --> 00:47:06,799
Speaker 2: beat this team twice. That's how this division is. Though.

920
00:47:06,840 --> 00:47:09,800
Speaker 2: Pittsburgh could easily win this division and sweep the Ravens

921
00:47:09,800 --> 00:47:13,080
Speaker 2: Cincinnati and then somehow gets swept by Cleveland, who maybe

922
00:47:13,080 --> 00:47:14,800
Speaker 2: only has four or five wins come to the season.

923
00:47:14,840 --> 00:47:17,440
Speaker 2: Like that happens all the time this division. It's just

924
00:47:17,480 --> 00:47:20,040
Speaker 2: a very weird, wonky way that it plays out. So

925
00:47:20,640 --> 00:47:23,320
Speaker 2: I'm I can't help it. Like I love this number

926
00:47:23,440 --> 00:47:25,239
Speaker 2: six and a half. Like I said, there's still a

927
00:47:25,239 --> 00:47:27,480
Speaker 2: book in Jersey, where as a seven, which is incredible.

928
00:47:27,560 --> 00:47:31,560
Speaker 2: So this is another number that I think professional money

929
00:47:31,600 --> 00:47:33,160
Speaker 2: will come in. I think I'll be driven down. I

930
00:47:33,160 --> 00:47:35,719
Speaker 2: could easily see this being six being one of the

931
00:47:35,719 --> 00:47:38,239
Speaker 2: bigger sides when of the bigger parlays. And I can't

932
00:47:38,239 --> 00:47:39,719
Speaker 2: wait to put an arm money line on a Robin.

933
00:47:39,760 --> 00:47:41,799
Speaker 2: I just love this for an upset for this Cleveland team,

934
00:47:41,880 --> 00:47:44,719
Speaker 2: especially like we just talked about, like this Pittsburgh team,

935
00:47:45,239 --> 00:47:49,080
Speaker 2: you know, not that we're trying to sell high on them.

936
00:47:49,080 --> 00:47:51,440
Speaker 2: But it's just like I talked about it last week,

937
00:47:51,640 --> 00:47:53,759
Speaker 2: how many of these fifty fifty balls is Russell's gonna

938
00:47:53,800 --> 00:47:56,200
Speaker 2: keep getting away with It's been incredible. They just keep

939
00:47:56,239 --> 00:47:58,880
Speaker 2: all connecting. It's gonna catch up to them. It's just

940
00:47:58,920 --> 00:48:02,160
Speaker 2: a matter of the very So yeah, Chad, I love

941
00:48:02,200 --> 00:48:03,239
Speaker 2: the Browns as you can tell.

942
00:48:03,640 --> 00:48:08,840
Speaker 1: Look AFC, north Hatfield, McCoy's, MONTAGUESE and Capulets like it.

943
00:48:09,120 --> 00:48:11,920
Speaker 1: Just it's going to be close. We're on the Browns.

944
00:48:12,239 --> 00:48:14,640
Speaker 1: I feel better because at least now we know we're

945
00:48:14,640 --> 00:48:20,879
Speaker 1: gonna have a couple of a couple of underdogs potentially

946
00:48:20,520 --> 00:48:21,279
Speaker 1: in five.

947
00:48:21,320 --> 00:48:23,279
Speaker 2: I had written down before it came on. Obviously I

948
00:48:23,280 --> 00:48:25,480
Speaker 2: get where you're coming on the Panthers. Was Cleveland and

949
00:48:25,520 --> 00:48:27,759
Speaker 2: the Panthers, and then the three favorites we like. I

950
00:48:27,840 --> 00:48:31,279
Speaker 2: like Miami, Vikings and the Chiefs. So if people don't

951
00:48:31,280 --> 00:48:34,280
Speaker 2: be shocked, if that's our five, if Chad somehow knocks

952
00:48:34,320 --> 00:48:36,160
Speaker 2: me out and I wake up in Chicago's in there

953
00:48:36,239 --> 00:48:38,440
Speaker 2: or the Seahawks are in there, also want to be

954
00:48:38,480 --> 00:48:40,120
Speaker 2: shocked either, because I get what you're saying. Those are

955
00:48:40,160 --> 00:48:43,160
Speaker 2: the more public sides. But obviously. I like those numbers.

956
00:48:43,320 --> 00:48:50,120
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think we're exactly aligned. I had Minnesota, I

957
00:48:50,120 --> 00:48:53,600
Speaker 1: had Miami, I had Kansas City, I had Cleveland, and

958
00:48:53,640 --> 00:48:59,920
Speaker 1: my next in was between actually the Rams, the Panther

959
00:49:00,320 --> 00:49:03,279
Speaker 1: and the Bears. So we'll, you know, we'll hash it out,

960
00:49:03,360 --> 00:49:05,560
Speaker 1: we'll see what happens, and we'll do something today and

961
00:49:05,560 --> 00:49:07,640
Speaker 1: it could change on Sunday as it did last week,

962
00:49:07,680 --> 00:49:10,120
Speaker 1: and you know, and it might not even matter because

963
00:49:10,160 --> 00:49:11,720
Speaker 1: we'll end up in the set at the same spot,

964
00:49:12,000 --> 00:49:17,239
Speaker 1: because that's what karma is. Simon, can you name the

965
00:49:17,280 --> 00:49:20,240
Speaker 1: best ticketing app in the United States?

966
00:49:20,840 --> 00:49:21,640
Speaker 2: Game Time?

967
00:49:22,000 --> 00:49:25,440
Speaker 1: That's right, it's our beloved sponsor, game Time. As Simon

968
00:49:25,480 --> 00:49:29,239
Speaker 1: and I and all of our listeners know, I love

969
00:49:30,080 --> 00:49:34,880
Speaker 1: going to live games, NFL, NBA, college football, college basketball.

970
00:49:35,280 --> 00:49:37,200
Speaker 1: I just got back from the Duke game last night,

971
00:49:37,600 --> 00:49:40,719
Speaker 1: as you've heard. In fact, when I did my three

972
00:49:40,760 --> 00:49:45,400
Speaker 1: game three Nights Spectacular with my son last month, I

973
00:49:45,520 --> 00:49:50,120
Speaker 1: used game Time to buy tickets for all three games.

974
00:49:50,200 --> 00:49:53,719
Speaker 1: I don't listen. I'm I'm like everybody. I go to

975
00:49:53,800 --> 00:49:56,360
Speaker 1: game Time. I buy my freaking tickets just because they

976
00:49:56,440 --> 00:49:58,960
Speaker 1: sponsored the show. I go in and I use the product.

977
00:49:59,200 --> 00:50:02,120
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978
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979
00:50:06,239 --> 00:50:10,120
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980
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981
00:50:15,800 --> 00:50:18,879
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982
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983
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984
00:50:27,160 --> 00:50:29,439
Speaker 1: I'm going to open the game Time app right now

985
00:50:29,480 --> 00:50:35,240
Speaker 1: from my house here in Connecticut's I see the super

986
00:50:35,239 --> 00:50:41,640
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987
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988
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989
00:50:48,920 --> 00:50:51,680
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990
00:50:51,719 --> 00:50:54,799
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991
00:50:54,920 --> 00:50:57,359
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992
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993
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994
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995
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996
00:51:12,480 --> 00:51:13,520
Speaker 2: Game Time?

997
00:51:14,680 --> 00:51:16,399
Speaker 1: We got to give out our two team money line

998
00:51:16,480 --> 00:51:20,200
Speaker 1: Underdog Parlay bet three six five is going to boost

999
00:51:20,200 --> 00:51:22,759
Speaker 1: the odds highlight it on their site all weekend under

1000
00:51:22,760 --> 00:51:25,680
Speaker 1: both game pages. And remember both games are eligible for

1001
00:51:25,760 --> 00:51:29,360
Speaker 1: bet three six five's early payout promo, where your money

1002
00:51:29,360 --> 00:51:31,719
Speaker 1: line pick gets marked as a win if they take

1003
00:51:31,719 --> 00:51:34,279
Speaker 1: a seventeen point lead, even if they lose. So if

1004
00:51:34,320 --> 00:51:36,399
Speaker 1: you want to bet this, bet it at bet three

1005
00:51:36,440 --> 00:51:41,759
Speaker 1: sixty five. The boosted parlay is Bears and Seahawks. Find

1006
00:51:41,800 --> 00:51:44,680
Speaker 1: the boost under either the Bears or Seahawks game pages

1007
00:51:44,680 --> 00:51:48,680
Speaker 1: on bet three sixty five our money line underdog Round Robin.

1008
00:51:50,960 --> 00:51:52,440
Speaker 2: There will come up payday.

1009
00:51:52,600 --> 00:51:54,480
Speaker 3: Hallelu y'all wanna pay day.

1010
00:51:54,920 --> 00:51:57,400
Speaker 2: There will come up payday someday.

1011
00:51:57,600 --> 00:51:59,880
Speaker 3: Someday, there will come up.

1012
00:52:02,320 --> 00:52:05,960
Speaker 1: Day, will come up payday someday.

1013
00:52:07,160 --> 00:52:10,440
Speaker 2: We unfortunately we don't do the Thursdays for our best

1014
00:52:10,480 --> 00:52:12,400
Speaker 2: three sixty five money lamb parlay because we want as

1015
00:52:12,440 --> 00:52:14,279
Speaker 2: many people have to get in on it. If you

1016
00:52:14,320 --> 00:52:17,560
Speaker 2: want to do a parlay with like green Bay and

1017
00:52:17,719 --> 00:52:21,680
Speaker 2: Cleveland or something like that, I also love that moneylam parlay.

1018
00:52:21,680 --> 00:52:23,160
Speaker 2: I know we don't get the boost of dodds, but

1019
00:52:24,120 --> 00:52:26,000
Speaker 2: I just I mean, I think Chadzy agreens me. I

1020
00:52:26,080 --> 00:52:28,520
Speaker 2: do think Green Bay is a Live Dog tonight to

1021
00:52:28,520 --> 00:52:31,359
Speaker 2: pull the off set up on money Line around Robin Chad.

1022
00:52:31,400 --> 00:52:35,400
Speaker 2: We went with Seattle, Chicago, Cleveland. Chad got the l

1023
00:52:35,440 --> 00:52:39,080
Speaker 2: A Rams in there, you sick go and the sickest

1024
00:52:39,080 --> 00:52:43,000
Speaker 2: one of all can't quit it going the Giants at

1025
00:52:43,040 --> 00:52:43,879
Speaker 2: the finish it off.

1026
00:52:44,040 --> 00:52:47,120
Speaker 1: Here's my thing. I think I'm on the right side here.

1027
00:52:47,560 --> 00:52:50,080
Speaker 1: I know you don't agree with me, but the money

1028
00:52:50,120 --> 00:52:52,080
Speaker 1: has come in on the Giants, I.

1029
00:52:52,040 --> 00:52:54,200
Speaker 2: Know, just scare the dexter Lawrence think scares the shit

1030
00:52:54,239 --> 00:52:54,560
Speaker 2: out of me.

1031
00:52:54,680 --> 00:52:58,760
Speaker 1: Well, look, I'm a believer. I think the Saints shouldn't

1032
00:52:58,800 --> 00:53:01,200
Speaker 1: be five and a half five. It's favorites against anybody.

1033
00:53:01,520 --> 00:53:04,160
Speaker 1: Agree Wise, guys agree with me. They've moved the number

1034
00:53:04,200 --> 00:53:06,680
Speaker 1: down from five to four and a half. So I'm

1035
00:53:06,680 --> 00:53:10,200
Speaker 1: putting them in there because you gotta believe in the

1036
00:53:10,239 --> 00:53:15,360
Speaker 1: New York pretending to play football Giants hashtag haptip. Thank you,

1037
00:53:15,440 --> 00:53:16,080
Speaker 1: Chris Raybaum.

1038
00:53:19,040 --> 00:53:20,839
Speaker 2: I just want to say, but people understand what I'm

1039
00:53:20,840 --> 00:53:22,760
Speaker 2: working with the I'm looking at our text, Shane exactly

1040
00:53:22,960 --> 00:53:25,520
Speaker 2: this Chad under saying if I liked the Chiefs, my

1041
00:53:25,640 --> 00:53:30,040
Speaker 2: text was Panthers or Chiefs for big balls. How could

1042
00:53:30,040 --> 00:53:36,319
Speaker 2: I be more clear you're a crazy person, because I

1043
00:53:36,400 --> 00:53:38,200
Speaker 2: was like, maybe I worried weird. Now I'm looking at

1044
00:53:38,239 --> 00:53:39,400
Speaker 2: I'm like, how did he not? How could I?

1045
00:53:39,480 --> 00:53:41,840
Speaker 1: Do you want a question mark? Was there a question

1046
00:53:41,920 --> 00:53:42,959
Speaker 1: mark at all?

1047
00:53:43,560 --> 00:53:44,320
Speaker 2: You're hilarious.

1048
00:53:44,800 --> 00:53:47,880
Speaker 1: I like, you know what, that's so funny? Oh you

1049
00:53:47,960 --> 00:53:52,879
Speaker 1: said you did Panthers or Chiefs for big balls question mark.

1050
00:53:53,480 --> 00:53:56,400
Speaker 1: I don't know why I interpreted that as you thinking

1051
00:53:56,560 --> 00:53:57,880
Speaker 1: you know what it was because you were so on

1052
00:53:57,920 --> 00:54:02,600
Speaker 1: the Chargers on Tuesday and I was too, and now

1053
00:54:02,600 --> 00:54:05,640
Speaker 1: I'm on the Chiefs. I'm like, did we come to

1054
00:54:05,680 --> 00:54:08,120
Speaker 1: a mind meld? So I was just that that's really

1055
00:54:08,160 --> 00:54:10,360
Speaker 1: what it was, and I was so excited, Simon, what

1056
00:54:10,400 --> 00:54:11,520
Speaker 1: are your biggest bets right now?

1057
00:54:12,239 --> 00:54:16,680
Speaker 2: Minnesota, Miami? Right now? Jump off the top? You know,

1058
00:54:16,920 --> 00:54:18,840
Speaker 2: if you could get the plus seven with Cleveland with me,

1059
00:54:18,920 --> 00:54:20,239
Speaker 2: like I've just been hammering that. As soon as we

1060
00:54:20,280 --> 00:54:23,239
Speaker 2: get done this call, I'm literally going to Pa with

1061
00:54:23,360 --> 00:54:25,200
Speaker 2: my aunt from England. We're making a quick stop at

1062
00:54:25,239 --> 00:54:27,680
Speaker 2: a sports book, giving her the whole experience. When I'm

1063
00:54:27,719 --> 00:54:29,719
Speaker 2: carting around a book bag full of cash and I'm

1064
00:54:29,800 --> 00:54:32,239
Speaker 2: hitting that last book that stills a seven over in Pa.

1065
00:54:32,440 --> 00:54:36,400
Speaker 2: So yeah, heavy right now at Cleveland, Minnesota, Miami.

1066
00:54:37,120 --> 00:54:41,440
Speaker 1: Listen, the family the bets together. I want you to

1067
00:54:42,120 --> 00:54:46,440
Speaker 1: give your aunt a very hearty English hello. Hello, Auntie,

1068
00:54:46,680 --> 00:54:49,240
Speaker 1: Scoots Roulette. Who is your Scoot Roulette?

1069
00:54:49,239 --> 00:54:49,399
Speaker 2: Pick?

1070
00:54:49,440 --> 00:54:49,799
Speaker 1: This week?

1071
00:54:51,360 --> 00:54:54,440
Speaker 3: When all hope is lost, all this left is relief,

1072
00:54:56,120 --> 00:54:58,800
Speaker 3: Let's play Scoots Roulette.

1073
00:55:00,960 --> 00:55:02,240
Speaker 2: Did you not win last week?

1074
00:55:02,920 --> 00:55:06,480
Speaker 1: I had Denver and I think you go first, but

1075
00:55:06,520 --> 00:55:07,520
Speaker 1: I think you had Green Bay.

1076
00:55:07,760 --> 00:55:10,000
Speaker 2: Yeah yeah, but you're coming off you had won the

1077
00:55:10,000 --> 00:55:12,279
Speaker 2: week before. All right, I'm just trying to keep it fair.

1078
00:55:12,680 --> 00:55:14,520
Speaker 1: I appreciate that I'm going to Cleveland.

1079
00:55:14,880 --> 00:55:18,680
Speaker 2: You show a bitch. Yeah. As soon as I said, sorry,

1080
00:55:18,719 --> 00:55:20,680
Speaker 2: well let's flip it, then I'll go. I'll take your Vikings.

1081
00:55:20,719 --> 00:55:22,000
Speaker 2: I'll go five and a half vikings.

1082
00:55:23,160 --> 00:55:25,080
Speaker 1: I was trying to figure out what exactly is he

1083
00:55:25,160 --> 00:55:26,800
Speaker 1: going to say when I say I'm going with Cleveland.

1084
00:55:27,080 --> 00:55:30,840
Speaker 1: I thought you'd say it like you Listen. Before we

1085
00:55:30,840 --> 00:55:32,280
Speaker 1: get out of here, we got to bring in director

1086
00:55:32,280 --> 00:55:36,040
Speaker 1: of Research, Evan Abrams, for the final word. You better

1087
00:55:36,080 --> 00:55:37,360
Speaker 1: make us feel good, Evan.

1088
00:55:37,920 --> 00:55:42,760
Speaker 2: The last word with Evan Abrams, we're finished talking.

1089
00:55:43,520 --> 00:55:46,319
Speaker 3: We're going to start off talking about mister Enigma. That's

1090
00:55:46,320 --> 00:55:48,040
Speaker 3: where we're going to start off talking about if you

1091
00:55:48,040 --> 00:55:49,799
Speaker 3: know what I'm talking about, then you know if you've

1092
00:55:49,800 --> 00:55:52,800
Speaker 3: seen the Netflix documentary. Of course, I'm talking about Aaron Rodgers.

1093
00:55:53,080 --> 00:55:56,840
Speaker 3: He had said this week that he is reinventing redoing

1094
00:55:57,080 --> 00:55:59,080
Speaker 3: his home in New Jersey. So it sounds like he's

1095
00:55:59,200 --> 00:56:02,040
Speaker 3: very comfortable and and he's not comfortable in the road.

1096
00:56:02,080 --> 00:56:04,080
Speaker 3: And that's actually showed up in his status this year.

1097
00:56:04,160 --> 00:56:07,520
Speaker 3: So at home, his passer rating twenty points higher than

1098
00:56:07,560 --> 00:56:11,919
Speaker 3: the road, his completion percentage seven points higher home versus road.

1099
00:56:12,280 --> 00:56:14,959
Speaker 3: He has ten more twenty plus yard plays at home

1100
00:56:15,120 --> 00:56:17,239
Speaker 3: than he does on the road. On the road this year,

1101
00:56:17,320 --> 00:56:20,600
Speaker 3: rodgers Is completion percentage over expected is the worst of

1102
00:56:20,600 --> 00:56:25,800
Speaker 3: any quarterback in the NFL any quarterback hole. And Rogers's

1103
00:56:25,800 --> 00:56:28,680
Speaker 3: three total covers this year, opponents have only scored thirty

1104
00:56:28,680 --> 00:56:32,840
Speaker 3: three total combined points in those games. So if Miami

1105
00:56:32,880 --> 00:56:35,080
Speaker 3: can put points on the board, I'm not exactly sure

1106
00:56:35,080 --> 00:56:37,560
Speaker 3: how the Jets are going to stay there. Now, I'll

1107
00:56:37,560 --> 00:56:39,600
Speaker 3: give you this as well. So Sunday night Miami was

1108
00:56:39,640 --> 00:56:42,800
Speaker 3: minus seven. Of course, now it's down to five and

1109
00:56:42,840 --> 00:56:45,200
Speaker 3: a half. Here we go again. Every single week the

1110
00:56:45,239 --> 00:56:48,439
Speaker 3: Jets are getting action. Only two games have seen action

1111
00:56:48,560 --> 00:56:52,359
Speaker 3: on the board. As of this morning, the Jets and

1112
00:56:53,040 --> 00:56:55,560
Speaker 3: the Rams Bills are down to three and a half.

1113
00:56:55,760 --> 00:56:56,879
Speaker 3: Jets are getting money again.

1114
00:56:57,160 --> 00:56:58,239
Speaker 2: I don't know what to do, but.

1115
00:56:58,760 --> 00:56:59,839
Speaker 1: This is ridiculous.

1116
00:57:00,000 --> 00:57:01,520
Speaker 3: It seems like we're just going through the same thing.

1117
00:57:01,960 --> 00:57:03,600
Speaker 3: And I got one more for you. And this is

1118
00:57:04,520 --> 00:57:06,319
Speaker 3: this is right up your alley. You're gonna love it

1119
00:57:06,400 --> 00:57:08,319
Speaker 3: because I knew what you guys were gonna take today.

1120
00:57:08,320 --> 00:57:10,560
Speaker 3: We looked back at the Tuesday rundown. I was like,

1121
00:57:10,560 --> 00:57:13,840
Speaker 3: this one's a hammer trivia time. Guess the quarterback with

1122
00:57:13,880 --> 00:57:17,680
Speaker 3: the most turnover worthy throws this season, and he guesses.

1123
00:57:18,320 --> 00:57:23,000
Speaker 3: Cousins nailed it. Cousins with no way two more than

1124
00:57:23,040 --> 00:57:26,320
Speaker 3: any other quarterback. The next closest would be Gina Smith.

1125
00:57:26,680 --> 00:57:30,920
Speaker 3: Now he doesn't just have bad bros. He's also really

1126
00:57:30,960 --> 00:57:34,480
Speaker 3: crappy with pressure too. Cousins has faced four teams with

1127
00:57:34,520 --> 00:57:38,000
Speaker 3: a four plus percent sack percentage. Now that is opponent

1128
00:57:38,360 --> 00:57:40,960
Speaker 3: percentage of plays that ends in a sack, very simple.

1129
00:57:41,120 --> 00:57:44,000
Speaker 3: In those games, zero to four against the spread this

1130
00:57:44,080 --> 00:57:48,560
Speaker 3: year the worst of his entire career. So off the surgery,

1131
00:57:48,800 --> 00:57:52,520
Speaker 3: off the injury, with the offensive line just not dealing

1132
00:57:52,520 --> 00:57:55,000
Speaker 3: well with pressure and he's throwing the ball at the

1133
00:57:55,000 --> 00:57:57,080
Speaker 3: other team. I don't know what to say other than

1134
00:57:57,080 --> 00:57:59,720
Speaker 3: you know he's facing Minnesota, which you know, not only

1135
00:57:59,760 --> 00:58:02,160
Speaker 3: the best Stephens in the league, but also a team

1136
00:58:02,200 --> 00:58:05,920
Speaker 3: with best blitz percentage, Like second most pressures should be

1137
00:58:05,920 --> 00:58:06,440
Speaker 3: a fun day.

1138
00:58:07,320 --> 00:58:08,840
Speaker 1: I don't know how we got to this place that

1139
00:58:08,880 --> 00:58:12,160
Speaker 1: we love too six to five and a half to

1140
00:58:12,200 --> 00:58:14,760
Speaker 1: six and a half point favorites, But here we are.

1141
00:58:15,840 --> 00:58:19,280
Speaker 1: We're betting what we see, which is fading Kirk Cousins

1142
00:58:19,280 --> 00:58:23,360
Speaker 1: and Aaron Rodgers and aged quarterbacks who come off Achilles injuries.

1143
00:58:24,240 --> 00:58:27,040
Speaker 1: Thank you Evan as a reminder of the Favorites. Podcast

1144
00:58:27,080 --> 00:58:29,600
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1157
00:59:08,680 --> 00:59:10,880
Speaker 1: episode of the Favorites on the Action Network YouTube page

1158
00:59:10,920 --> 00:59:16,200
Speaker 1: Sunday night, seven thirty pm Eastern to recap NFL week fourteen.

1159
00:59:16,280 --> 00:59:20,480
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1160
00:59:20,760 --> 00:59:23,080
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1161
00:59:23,080 --> 00:59:36,960
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1162
00:59:37,000 --> 00:59:40,840
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00:59:40,880 --> 00:59:44,000
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