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Speaker 1: Good luck with the most beautiful game.

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Speaker 2: Do us proud read enough there for running again?

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Speaker 3: So smoothe so sweet Standard sixteen just glorious execution.

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Speaker 4: Guys, all I'm looking for is sixty percent effort four

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Speaker 4: thousand percent of the time. How shot with that?

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Speaker 2: Shop with mind?

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Speaker 1: Good buddy, and that's why you.

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Speaker 4: See your beautiful tiers.

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Speaker 2: Look at his movements the most dangerous amount of the planet.

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Speaker 1: Nobody picks them.

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Speaker 2: Shut up, I'm trying.

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Speaker 1: The one is left too, the wide eyed.

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Speaker 4: Drilled fibus how old Earth?

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Speaker 1: Pick that happens?

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Speaker 4: Hillary one and welcome back to Wondergo, the soccer betting

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Speaker 4: podcast from the Action Network, presented to you by our

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Speaker 4: friends at BET three sixty five. My name is Michael

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Speaker 4: Leebap and joining me for this hour second of two

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Speaker 4: group Stage Round two previews are Sam Ingram and Cunningham,

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Speaker 4: and together the three of us are going to go

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Speaker 4: on a little handicapping journey through the six matches coming

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Speaker 4: our way on Friday and Saturday, that's June twenty one.

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Speaker 4: In June twenty two, and we'll start with Slovakia and Ukraine. Sam,

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Speaker 4: you tweeted out a stat about Slovakia's upset at Belgium

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Speaker 4: being one of the biggest we've seen by betting odds

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Speaker 4: in euro history, and now they are a plus two

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Speaker 4: seventy underdog against the Ukraine, who they got upset themselves

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Speaker 4: by Romania. Ukraine still though the betting market relatively bullish

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Speaker 4: on them at plus one ten, the draw here is

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Speaker 4: plus two thirty. Here's my concern here for the Ukraine

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Speaker 4: is that I think that this match can look a

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Speaker 4: lot like that Romania one where they have the ball

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Speaker 4: tons of the ball, but they just can't get anything going.

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Speaker 4: So that's putting me towards the draw here. Sam, I'm

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Speaker 4: willing to hear what you have to say, because you

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Speaker 4: look from our notes it sounds like you're a little

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Speaker 4: bit more confident that Ukraine can get this one across

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Speaker 4: the line. Yeah.

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Speaker 3: I totally agree with you, Michael. To be honest, the

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Speaker 3: bet I'm going with is Ukraine double chance and most

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Speaker 3: coolners at plus one seventy five. So I'm not fully

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Speaker 3: sold on Ukraine getting the three points they desperately need here.

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Speaker 3: I'm not quite sure whether that's going to happen. If

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Speaker 3: you look at the opener against Romania, you add stanchues

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Speaker 3: strike getting the remainings off to a flyer, which was

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Speaker 3: gold of the tournaments, beautiful until Argula's effort against Georgia.

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Speaker 3: You can't really do too much about that from Ukraine's

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Speaker 3: point of view that it was a shanked clearance into

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Speaker 3: Stantu's path which was avoidable, but the finish was sublime,

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Speaker 3: and that's kind of how the game panned out. Romania

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Speaker 3: were clinical, five shots on target, three goes from one

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Speaker 3: point two zero x g and like you said, that

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Speaker 3: would be the blueprint for Slovakia if they can pin

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Speaker 3: down those types of chances. And looking at Ukraine specifically,

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Speaker 3: their attack felt disjointed. Its supposed to be their best asset,

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Speaker 3: yet it got nowhere near to firing. In the opener,

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Speaker 3: Dopic was isolated for large parts and he rarely threatened.

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Speaker 3: He had one shot twenty minutes in and that sailed

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Speaker 3: over the bar, and that was it For a man

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Speaker 3: in such good form. Ukraine couldn't get the ball to him.

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Speaker 3: Their center backs were all over Dovpic and the Romanian

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Speaker 3: center backs. Their assignment was obvious. Don't let him pet

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Speaker 3: play and there's a good chance that their keeper would

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Speaker 3: be largely untroubled. They conceded Romania conceded five goals in

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Speaker 3: ten games during qualifying and they were just one of

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Speaker 3: six nations to go unbeaten. So maybe we shouldn't be

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Speaker 3: too surprised that they handled Ukraine's frontline. Maybe you wouldn't

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Speaker 3: expected with such ease really in terms of result, but

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Speaker 3: there you go. In Ukraine versus Slovakia, I kind of

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Speaker 3: expect that forward line to liven up a little. Pseudokov

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Speaker 3: was quiet. I don't think he'll be as quiet. Madrich

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Speaker 3: and Gangkoff they didn't have the desired impact and they

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Speaker 3: will be tasked to get on the ball and make

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Speaker 3: things happen here. So I expect them to be a

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Speaker 3: little more up to it and at it against Slovakia.

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Speaker 3: They've got a point to prove now and they desperately

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Speaker 3: need the three points ahead of them, with a meeting

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Speaker 3: with Belgium on the horizon too, So I think we

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Speaker 3: should see Ukraine dominating and sitting in Slovakia's half for

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Speaker 3: large spells. A draw sends Slovakia through. A draw is

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Speaker 3: not enough for Ukraine, and to be fair for Slovakia,

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Speaker 3: maybe a loss would send them through as well. But

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Speaker 3: so the way I think it will play out is

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Speaker 3: that the metrics, corner shots, final third entries will be

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Speaker 3: in Ukraine's favor, and I think we should see the

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Speaker 3: front four utilized. They've got a ray of different capabilities

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Speaker 3: in that forward line. You've got Mudrich, which bundles of pace,

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Speaker 3: likes to hit, the byline's Gangkoff will whippalls in from

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Speaker 3: the right, and Pseudocov will likely release a fair few

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Speaker 3: of his trademark lone shots. All of them put together,

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Speaker 3: it's a recipe for on a developing corner count. So

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Speaker 3: you can get Ukraine double chance at minus three five

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Speaker 3: seven obviously not interested in that, but to drag it

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Speaker 3: up to plus one some and five by adding most

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Speaker 3: corners given the game state, I think that's something I'm

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Speaker 3: going to take on.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I could see this playing out exactly how you said.

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Speaker 4: I think there's value because of that on the draw.

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Speaker 4: I do think that Slovakia is going to be so

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Speaker 4: happy just to sit back and absorb and absorb and absorb,

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Speaker 4: knowing that, yeah, a draw gets them through a loss,

102
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Speaker 4: like you said, as long as it's respectable does as well.

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Speaker 4: I think that sets up for a pretty stodgy contest

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Speaker 4: and the type of one where if Slovakia does get

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Speaker 4: a goal early or you know, before you if they

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Speaker 4: score first here and Ukraine is then forced to just

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Speaker 4: come forward, Slovakia would just be so happy to sit

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Speaker 4: back and be like, well, you know, two to one

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Speaker 4: loss really isn't a huge deal for them, and obviously

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Speaker 4: a one to one draws would be celebrated across the

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Speaker 4: entire country.

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Speaker 2: So I think there's a lot of different.

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Speaker 4: Ways we can get to the draw here, and a

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Speaker 4: plus two thirty with the way that this stylistically sets up,

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Speaker 4: I think that's well end up. I might have a

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Speaker 4: little sprinkle on nil nil as well at plus seven

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Speaker 4: fifty PJ. What do you think here?

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Speaker 1: I actually like Slovakia plus half a gold minus one

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Speaker 1: twenty five, kind of going on the long lines of

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Speaker 1: both things, you guys are saying here. The problem with

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Speaker 1: Ukraine that you saw against Romania is it kind of

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Speaker 1: goes back to the beginning of this whole qualifying process

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Speaker 1: because Rebov wanted to turn them into solely a build

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Speaker 1: out of the back possession dominant type of team. But

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Speaker 1: what kept happening, especially against England and against Italy, is

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Speaker 1: they just kept turning the ball over in their own

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Speaker 1: final third, and like Sam mentioned, that is how the

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Speaker 1: Stantusue goal happened, because they turned it over in their

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Speaker 1: final third and gave them a chance. And even eventually

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Speaker 1: the third goal as well came off a high turnover.

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Speaker 1: They didn't create anything even though they were down three

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Speaker 1: and the onus was on them to attack. They controlled

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Speaker 1: seventy one percent of the ball, took thirteen shots, but

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Speaker 1: eight of those shots came from outside the box, and

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Speaker 1: they only created point five to five expected goals. It

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Speaker 1: kind of comes back to the point of and I

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Speaker 1: think I mentioned this in the last podcast, However, if

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Speaker 1: I didn't. Ukraine's a very talented team, there is no

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Speaker 1: doubt about that, but they have had horrible underlying numbers

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Speaker 1: for a really long time. Since September of twenty twenty one,

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Speaker 1: they actually have a negative expected goal differential. You can

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Speaker 1: have all the talent in the world, but you cannot

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Speaker 1: outrun bad underlying numbers. And the one thing that I'll

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Speaker 1: say about Slovakia is, yes, Michael, they probably will see

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Speaker 1: it deep for most of this match. But how did

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Speaker 1: they score their goal against Belgium. It's because they pressed

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Speaker 1: them high and forced eye turnover and scored so they

148
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Speaker 1: are capable of doing that, and they showed that even

149
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Speaker 1: when they played Portugal and qualifying, so they could actually

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Speaker 1: press Ukraine here and actually cause them some problems. So

151
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Speaker 1: I had this match projected pretty close to a pick them,

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Speaker 1: and given you know Ukraine's underlying numbers and how they

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Speaker 1: looked against Romania, I think that's where this should be

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Speaker 1: more price. So I like Slovakia plus half a goal

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Speaker 1: last one twenty five.

156
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Speaker 4: One of the great things about these tournaments is that

157
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Speaker 4: you can watch a team lose and come away feeling

158
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Speaker 4: better about them just overall and like the big pictures,

159
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Speaker 4: especially if that's the for if it's their first match

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Speaker 4: of the tournament. That's how I felt about Austria, who

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Speaker 4: now take on Poland. Austria's mightus one oh six on

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Speaker 4: the three way line at bet three sixty five Poland

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Speaker 4: plus two ninety. They lost to to one to the Netherlands.

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Speaker 4: They scored the first goal in that one, but then

165
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Speaker 4: conceded too in a row, and the draw here is

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Speaker 4: plus two fifty. I'm not too thrilled with the price

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Speaker 4: on Austria in this game BJ, but what I do,

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Speaker 4: what I am thinking here is I want to keep

169
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Speaker 4: backing the side. I don't know if it's just going

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Speaker 4: to be you know, some somehow in the futures market,

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Speaker 4: they're obviously their price is drifted a little bit from

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Speaker 4: where it was to start, but they were already a

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Speaker 4: long shot. Or if it's just I'm gonna wait until

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Speaker 4: hopefully they advance and try to take on whoever they

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Speaker 4: play in round two. I thought that they were really

176
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Speaker 4: good against France. So if you can play like that

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Speaker 4: against in France and yet like you know, tough one

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Speaker 4: nil defeat, but if you can play like that against them,

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Speaker 4: I feel pretty confident about this team going forward. And

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Speaker 4: you were on them and on Ralph Ragnik being a

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Speaker 4: pretty good fit for this for this side. So how

182
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Speaker 4: do you feel about ay their chances here and anything

183
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Speaker 4: about Austria going forward.

184
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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean I'm very encouraged by you know, what

185
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Speaker 1: I saw from France, and I thought they in the end,

186
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Speaker 1: you know a lot of France's chances came after they

187
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Speaker 1: were up one nothing, but before the own goal, I mean,

188
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Speaker 1: France was doing next to nothing in Austria was out

189
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Speaker 1: playing them. So yeah, of course, in the end, you know,

190
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Speaker 1: if you look at expected goals you'll see it was

191
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Speaker 1: you know, France had a little over two with Austria

192
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Speaker 1: at point seven eight. I think it was so in

193
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Speaker 1: the end, yes, you know, probably France deserved a a

194
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Speaker 1: one goal win, but this is going to be a

195
00:10:02,440 --> 00:10:07,000
Speaker 1: really different type of matchup. And I didn't think Poland

196
00:10:07,040 --> 00:10:11,440
Speaker 1: was that bad against the Netherlands. I thought they were

197
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Speaker 1: generally pretty decent in their defensive block. They yes, they

198
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Speaker 1: conceded a ton of shots and the Netherlands had you know,

199
00:10:18,600 --> 00:10:21,400
Speaker 1: close to a little over one expected goal at halftime,

200
00:10:21,440 --> 00:10:23,760
Speaker 1: but once we got into the second half, I mean,

201
00:10:23,880 --> 00:10:27,200
Speaker 1: Netherlands really wasn't creating much up until the Wegghorse goal,

202
00:10:27,240 --> 00:10:30,760
Speaker 1: and eventually, yes, they deserved the win. But the concern

203
00:10:30,800 --> 00:10:35,440
Speaker 1: here for Austria is, Okay, we're this really good pressing team,

204
00:10:35,920 --> 00:10:39,080
Speaker 1: like we gave France all these problems. Now we're gonna

205
00:10:39,120 --> 00:10:40,960
Speaker 1: have to face a team that is not even gonna

206
00:10:40,960 --> 00:10:42,160
Speaker 1: try and build out of the back of a team

207
00:10:42,200 --> 00:10:44,600
Speaker 1: that's going to send the ball along put the onus

208
00:10:44,640 --> 00:10:48,640
Speaker 1: on us to control possession and break them down. That

209
00:10:48,800 --> 00:10:52,560
Speaker 1: is where I'm starting to kind of not question Austria's

210
00:10:52,559 --> 00:10:56,120
Speaker 1: ability to win this match, but back them at this

211
00:10:56,240 --> 00:10:58,439
Speaker 1: low of a price because the price keeps going down, right,

212
00:10:58,480 --> 00:11:02,840
Speaker 1: They were about plus one thirty ish before the tournament started.

213
00:11:03,200 --> 00:11:05,120
Speaker 1: Now we're down to a round even money. I don't

214
00:11:05,400 --> 00:11:08,320
Speaker 1: it looks like Lewandowski's not going to play, which you know,

215
00:11:08,800 --> 00:11:11,960
Speaker 1: as we've mentioned many times on this podcast, is a blow,

216
00:11:12,000 --> 00:11:13,760
Speaker 1: but not as big of a blow as it was

217
00:11:13,800 --> 00:11:17,880
Speaker 1: in tournaments passed. So for me, I'm passing on this match.

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Speaker 1: If I was a neutral, I think there's a little

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Speaker 1: bit of value on Poland if you want to play it.

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Speaker 1: But Michael, I have too much money invested in Austria

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Speaker 1: to fade them here, so I'm just going to be

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Speaker 1: passing and hoping for an Austria win.

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Speaker 2: Sam, what do you think you.

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Speaker 3: I agree, Michael, I have Austria minus syrupunt five asion

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Speaker 3: handicapped down at even money, which is what I'm going

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Speaker 3: to put forward, but probably priced about right, I think.

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Speaker 3: And they played well against France. We said they would

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Speaker 3: pressed high up the pitch as we expected them to,

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Speaker 3: did so with some success. They had more possession, completed

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Speaker 3: more passes, and made more passes into the final third

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Speaker 3: than France did. And in Poland they come up against

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Speaker 3: the weakest team in the group. They won't dominate as

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Speaker 3: much as the ball as France would, but we saw

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Speaker 3: in the opening game that Poland are happy to get

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Speaker 3: on the ball knock it around under their new manager.

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Speaker 3: I thought they were bright in possession and although when

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Speaker 3: they're in the game amidst and injury crisis of sorts,

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Speaker 3: really at the top end of the pitch, I thought

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Speaker 3: they were right and they've got the confidence to get

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Speaker 3: on the ball and that might just play into Austria's hands.

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Speaker 3: You mentioned their Lewandowski might not feature again, and I

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Speaker 3: think Adam Busker deputized really really well up front. That

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Speaker 3: can't be easy coming out and replacing Lewandowski in the

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Speaker 3: opening game of a major tournament.

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Speaker 1: I think he did well.

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Speaker 3: We got about the pitched and he finished his effort

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Speaker 3: from the corner delightfully. Really and so here are even money,

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Speaker 3: although maybe priced about right. I think with two teams

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Speaker 3: needing to win to get out the group, with both

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Speaker 3: France and Neverland's up next, I just feel Austria have

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Speaker 3: enough to edge proceedings here. As the game might open

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Speaker 3: up and search for a goal, Poland might struggle to

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Speaker 3: keep up with the intensity that Austria brings. Just defeat

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Speaker 3: to France actually saw them fail to score in for

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Speaker 3: the first time in eighteen games. So suppose they find

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Speaker 3: the net here that might place the owners some Poland

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Speaker 3: to get on the ball in areas kind of want

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Speaker 3: them to get on the ball, and that might hurt them.

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Speaker 3: So I've got Austria down for this one minus sir

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Speaker 3: point five, so.

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Speaker 4: We remain bullish on Austria. So the next two matches

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Speaker 4: we'll talk about. You'd imagine that the first one we'll discuss,

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Speaker 4: which is Netherlands France, has the potential to be the

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Speaker 4: maybe the fixture of round two or one of them.

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Speaker 4: But I think it's actually the one that we'll talk

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Speaker 4: about on Saturday morning between Georgia and Czech Republic that

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Speaker 4: they can go absolutely in a million different directions. But

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Speaker 4: we'll get to that headliner in a second. Let's talk

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Speaker 4: Netherlands and France. Blackwork Orange plus two twenty underdogs on

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Speaker 4: the three way line, France les Bleu plus one twenty

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Speaker 4: five favorites, the draws plus two forty. Of course, there's

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Speaker 4: a big homework to do here with Killian and Babe's

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Speaker 4: status after he got banked on the nose, it's I'm

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Speaker 4: I'm assuming he's gonna like, I don't, I don't you know,

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Speaker 4: he'll he'll.

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Speaker 1: Say it sounds like he's not going to play right now.

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Speaker 1: We will see. I don't know.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna have the mask. He'll be fine.

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Speaker 1: The news, the news is kind of wonky. I mean

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Speaker 1: I've heard, like from when it first happened, it was

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Speaker 1: like he's out for the tournament, and then it was like, oh, wait,

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Speaker 1: hold on, he's not having surgery. Like I get.

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Speaker 2: I mean, I guess they want to play it safe.

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Speaker 4: But coming from the NHL and hockey like all these

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Speaker 4: coaches do is lie, So I'm always assuming someone's in

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Speaker 4: until the team sheets are handed in anyways, Uh so

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Speaker 4: just keep an eye on that. That's why I think

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Speaker 4: Netherlands has shortened a bit here, or it is why

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Speaker 4: Netherlands is shortened a bit here. I don't see too

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Speaker 4: much value here. One thing I will say is I

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Speaker 4: think this one plays out pretty similar to Austria versus France.

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Speaker 4: I don't think that there's gonna be uh, you know,

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Speaker 4: the back and forth. This is why I was kind

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Speaker 4: of juxtaposing these two matches because you'd assume with these

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Speaker 4: two heavyweights in the tournament and two teams you'd associate

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Speaker 4: with offensive firepower going at it compared to.

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Speaker 2: Czech Republic in Georgia.

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Speaker 4: Like you'd assume that this would be the match that

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Speaker 4: people would want to watch, but I'd actually say, if

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Speaker 4: you're looking at it from a neutral, the one on

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Speaker 4: Saturday morning between Georgia and Czech Republic is going to

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Speaker 4: be a lot more appealing to the eye.

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Speaker 2: I think that this one looks like an unders match

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Speaker 2: to me.

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Speaker 4: I think both teams would be super satisfied with just

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Speaker 4: getting the draw, getting out healthy, no more broken noses

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Speaker 4: for me. I mean, so whether however you want to

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Speaker 4: attack that if that means a play on the draw,

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Speaker 4: I don't hate the draw here. I don't hate once

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Speaker 4: again the nil nil at nine to one looks pretty

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Speaker 4: interesting and enticing, but it's a tough one to handicap.

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Speaker 4: I think, just generally speaking, because of the talent level

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Speaker 4: from the two sides. Then Bob a News and Sam

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Speaker 4: France looking relatively unconvincing in their opening match, and I

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Speaker 4: guess you can say similar for Netherlands. It took some

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Speaker 4: time for them to get going.

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Speaker 3: Couldn't agree more. And if there is no killing and

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Speaker 3: Bappe the Dutcher's favorite opponent. He's got six goes in

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Speaker 3: five matches against them, more so than any other nation

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Speaker 3: in his international career. So if he doesn't play, clearly

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Speaker 3: a big miss anyway, but he's quite handy against the

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Speaker 3: Dutch two. Yeah, this is a tough one to approach.

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Speaker 3: For me from a betting point of view, would be

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Speaker 3: more inclined to wait and watch the prices, watch the

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Speaker 3: markets on the ex back to the confirmation of then

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Speaker 3: being in or out, and I'm not sure that's fully

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Speaker 3: factored into the price right now. So me personally, I'd

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Speaker 3: wait it out to see what happens for the Netherlands.

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Speaker 3: It was okay showing I don't think they're the complete package.

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Speaker 3: Didn't think so before entering the tournament. Up top Gack

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Speaker 3: Post Seemens Dephi. They're going to cause nations problems that

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Speaker 3: they're not too bad as a front three, and Denzil

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Speaker 3: Dunfrees is influential to this side too. He gets forward

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Speaker 3: and has the nous to pick out an intelligent pass

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Speaker 3: or two. When he gets forward, Nathan ak At left

336
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Speaker 3: back pools inside to create what's essentially three central defenders

337
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Speaker 3: when in possession, so that provides a nice solid base

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Speaker 3: for Netherlands to launch attacks. And against France, I think

339
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Speaker 3: Coleman I'm not sure. I think he might look to

340
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Speaker 3: drop one of the forward lads from the front line

341
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Speaker 3: and add another central defender to maybe make five at

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Speaker 3: the back. And he's got a pick of four or

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Speaker 3: five really solid options there to do that. So we

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Speaker 3: might see Neverlands line up a little bit more defensively,

345
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Speaker 3: try and soak up France a little bit more than

346
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Speaker 3: what we saw in their approach to the game against Poland.

347
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Speaker 3: And if you couple that with Killian and Bappe being out,

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Speaker 3: and if you couple that with the two sides probably

349
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Speaker 3: happy to shake hands call it a draw progress through

350
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Speaker 3: to the knockouts, then yeah, I think I'd side with

351
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Speaker 3: Unders more than anything. But I've not got an official play,

352
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Speaker 3: but if I had to, it'll be on this on

353
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Speaker 3: the go line.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, it's it's uh, it's definitely interesting. I'm passing on

355
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Speaker 1: this match because you know, these two faced off and

356
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Speaker 1: qualifying and something that France actually did that was very impressive.

357
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Speaker 1: You know, under Deschamps they are a way more passive

358
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Speaker 1: team and you know, as you saw against Austria, they're

359
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Speaker 1: just looking for any chance they can to get in transition,

360
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Speaker 1: and they actually press the Netherlands pretty high, and they

361
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Speaker 1: forced a lot of problems in both meetings against them. Now,

362
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Speaker 1: I bet the Netherlands in both of those qualifying meetings

363
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Speaker 1: and lost. So I'm just gonna pass and let France

364
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Speaker 1: do what they do. But yeah, we'll see if in

365
00:18:36,920 --> 00:18:40,160
Speaker 1: Babe plays. I've I've heard he's out for the group stage,

366
00:18:40,200 --> 00:18:42,040
Speaker 1: he's gonna come back for the knockouts. I've heard he

367
00:18:42,160 --> 00:18:45,640
Speaker 1: might play for this match. I don't know, so we'll

368
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Speaker 1: just wait and see. But even if he does play,

369
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Speaker 1: I won't have a pick on this match.

370
00:18:50,640 --> 00:18:52,399
Speaker 3: It's just a broken nose as well.

371
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Speaker 1: Just go on with it, surely, Yeah, I mean you

372
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Speaker 1: can't breathe, but who cares. Just breathe through your mouth, right,

373
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Speaker 1: it's not a problem.

374
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Speaker 3: Just got a moscow on that, you'll be right.

375
00:18:59,440 --> 00:19:02,280
Speaker 1: Yeah, match that even prevents you from breathing even more

376
00:19:02,320 --> 00:19:03,720
Speaker 1: through your mouth, Like come on.

377
00:19:04,680 --> 00:19:10,639
Speaker 4: Teddy Sheringan would play through it, all right, And I

378
00:19:10,640 --> 00:19:13,240
Speaker 4: wasn't kidding. Like this Georgia Czech Republic match to me

379
00:19:13,600 --> 00:19:18,200
Speaker 4: is fascinating on so many levels. BJA kind of pegged

380
00:19:18,200 --> 00:19:19,879
Speaker 4: this Czech Republic team as being a little bit of

381
00:19:19,920 --> 00:19:24,800
Speaker 4: chaotic before the tournament started. That played true in their

382
00:19:25,000 --> 00:19:28,280
Speaker 4: portrait match against Portugal. Although it was neil nil at halftime,

383
00:19:28,320 --> 00:19:30,680
Speaker 4: that thing was, you know, tons of fun to watch.

384
00:19:31,400 --> 00:19:34,840
Speaker 4: Things obviously reached a fever pitch in the business end

385
00:19:34,840 --> 00:19:37,480
Speaker 4: of that contest. And now they take on a Georgia

386
00:19:37,520 --> 00:19:40,840
Speaker 4: side that perhaps played the match of the tournament. I mean,

387
00:19:40,840 --> 00:19:43,920
Speaker 4: maybe the Albania Croatia match we just watched gets close

388
00:19:43,960 --> 00:19:46,520
Speaker 4: to it, but I still think Georgia versus Turkey from

389
00:19:46,560 --> 00:19:50,000
Speaker 4: a sheer entertainment value was the best that we've seen

390
00:19:50,160 --> 00:19:53,520
Speaker 4: in this tournament. And now Georgia is plus four hundred

391
00:19:53,960 --> 00:19:57,000
Speaker 4: against the Czechs who are minus one thirty eight. The

392
00:19:57,080 --> 00:20:01,320
Speaker 4: draw here is plus two to seventy. This thing, Like

393
00:20:01,359 --> 00:20:02,760
Speaker 4: I said, I think this thing can go in so

394
00:20:02,880 --> 00:20:06,800
Speaker 4: many different directions. You'd imagine that both teams will go

395
00:20:06,920 --> 00:20:10,480
Speaker 4: for it. They both need to win. Czech Republic will

396
00:20:10,640 --> 00:20:12,959
Speaker 4: be the favorite though should be on the ball, but

397
00:20:13,000 --> 00:20:17,040
Speaker 4: Georgia showed some teeth, I guess you could say against

398
00:20:17,040 --> 00:20:19,800
Speaker 4: a Turkey side that ended up getting a three to

399
00:20:19,800 --> 00:20:22,760
Speaker 4: one win, and I guess. The way I came away

400
00:20:22,760 --> 00:20:25,679
Speaker 4: from that performance with Georgia was that a lot of

401
00:20:25,720 --> 00:20:29,480
Speaker 4: times when we see countries like this take their first

402
00:20:29,480 --> 00:20:34,120
Speaker 4: step into a major international tournament, they play things close

403
00:20:34,160 --> 00:20:37,320
Speaker 4: to the vest. So Georgia just did not do that.

404
00:20:37,359 --> 00:20:39,560
Speaker 4: They were brave. It was a lot of fun to watch.

405
00:20:42,160 --> 00:20:44,840
Speaker 4: I think, Sam, your bet here makes a lot of sense.

406
00:20:44,880 --> 00:20:48,280
Speaker 4: I would go probably build off of what you say

407
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Speaker 4: and maybe go a little bit further than what you got.

408
00:20:51,480 --> 00:20:53,920
Speaker 3: I'll just struggle to see. And this is not really

409
00:20:53,920 --> 00:20:56,000
Speaker 3: how we should better bot a struggle to see. How

410
00:20:56,040 --> 00:20:58,840
Speaker 3: you watch Georgia West Turkey and don't instantly think, no

411
00:20:58,880 --> 00:21:01,480
Speaker 3: matter who they're playing, that has to be goos in

412
00:21:01,560 --> 00:21:04,960
Speaker 3: Georgia's next game like game of the tournament. By far

413
00:21:05,040 --> 00:21:07,639
Speaker 3: from me, it was brilliant. I was on edge of

414
00:21:07,680 --> 00:21:10,960
Speaker 3: my seat throughout. And what really stood out to me

415
00:21:11,240 --> 00:21:14,840
Speaker 3: was from Georgia's point of view, was you mentioned it

416
00:21:14,840 --> 00:21:16,800
Speaker 3: there like you hit the nail on the head, like

417
00:21:17,200 --> 00:21:21,679
Speaker 3: the bravery like. Georgia's midfielders were brave and joined mccadzie

418
00:21:21,720 --> 00:21:24,960
Speaker 3: and Arrett Scalia regularly up top, progressing up the pitch.

419
00:21:25,560 --> 00:21:29,240
Speaker 3: They continued to make progressive runs all game linked really

420
00:21:29,240 --> 00:21:32,440
Speaker 3: well whenever moving forward. And yeah, the thing that really

421
00:21:32,440 --> 00:21:35,520
Speaker 3: struck me was just how efficient Georgia r when attacking.

422
00:21:35,880 --> 00:21:39,480
Speaker 3: They come forward with such conviction and quality. Turkey really

423
00:21:39,480 --> 00:21:42,199
Speaker 3: struggled to contain him, to contain them, and that was

424
00:21:42,200 --> 00:21:45,280
Speaker 3: a running theme. Georgia had fourteen shots in the match,

425
00:21:45,320 --> 00:21:47,760
Speaker 3: which was the most by a nation in their first

426
00:21:47,800 --> 00:21:50,640
Speaker 3: ever match at the European Championships since Austria in two

427
00:21:50,680 --> 00:21:53,520
Speaker 3: thousand and eight. And if you look at Czech Republic's

428
00:21:53,560 --> 00:21:57,960
Speaker 3: opening match, although obviously much different against a much better team,

429
00:21:58,320 --> 00:22:01,000
Speaker 3: they managed one shot on target which was a beautiful

430
00:22:01,040 --> 00:22:03,360
Speaker 3: effort from outside the box, but other than that, not

431
00:22:03,480 --> 00:22:07,000
Speaker 3: really anything to shout home about in terms of the

432
00:22:07,119 --> 00:22:10,159
Speaker 3: stats and like a clinical edge really zero point four

433
00:22:10,240 --> 00:22:13,080
Speaker 3: three XG from the game. Shick looks a bit off it,

434
00:22:13,119 --> 00:22:15,959
Speaker 3: but he's only started twelve matches in the Bundesliga this season.

435
00:22:16,720 --> 00:22:20,040
Speaker 3: They completed just one hundred and sixty nine passes against Portugal.

436
00:22:20,119 --> 00:22:22,120
Speaker 3: That's the fewest of any side in match Day one

437
00:22:22,280 --> 00:22:25,400
Speaker 3: at the Euros this year. So I don't think there's

438
00:22:25,440 --> 00:22:28,440
Speaker 3: too much to go off for to go off from

439
00:22:28,480 --> 00:22:31,880
Speaker 3: as betters in terms of Czech Republic. If you're attempting

440
00:22:32,080 --> 00:22:34,679
Speaker 3: to use this as a guide for the next ninety minutes.

441
00:22:35,000 --> 00:22:37,240
Speaker 3: You mentioned it, Michael, this thing could go any way,

442
00:22:37,280 --> 00:22:40,520
Speaker 3: and I do agree with that. But I just think

443
00:22:40,680 --> 00:22:43,119
Speaker 3: Georgia can get something from this game if they play

444
00:22:43,320 --> 00:22:46,280
Speaker 3: like they did against Turkey. The two lads aut top

445
00:22:46,400 --> 00:22:48,720
Speaker 3: have to turn up and then a field just has

446
00:22:48,760 --> 00:22:51,800
Speaker 3: to do really what they did in the opening ninety minutes,

447
00:22:51,800 --> 00:22:53,600
Speaker 3: show that kind of desire that they did in the

448
00:22:53,600 --> 00:22:56,920
Speaker 3: opening match. And from the markets available to me now,

449
00:22:57,320 --> 00:22:59,879
Speaker 3: both teams have scored at minus one twenty looks great.

450
00:23:00,280 --> 00:23:02,360
Speaker 3: I don't really think I need to delve too much

451
00:23:02,400 --> 00:23:05,280
Speaker 3: further in it. The go line looks a player as well.

452
00:23:05,400 --> 00:23:07,639
Speaker 3: So yeah, minus one twenty, both teams to score.

453
00:23:08,280 --> 00:23:11,320
Speaker 4: Yeah, I couldn't agree more. I think that we're going

454
00:23:11,400 --> 00:23:14,439
Speaker 4: to see both teams scoring. I think that this this

455
00:23:14,480 --> 00:23:16,160
Speaker 4: has an early goal written all over it.

456
00:23:16,320 --> 00:23:17,440
Speaker 2: This back and forth.

457
00:23:17,520 --> 00:23:19,520
Speaker 4: If you are someone who wants to play some live

458
00:23:19,600 --> 00:23:22,560
Speaker 4: bets on a team, maybe that falls falls behind early

459
00:23:22,680 --> 00:23:27,119
Speaker 4: go for it. I think the alternate markets in terms

460
00:23:27,119 --> 00:23:29,600
Speaker 4: of totals are fine. Four and a half at plus

461
00:23:29,720 --> 00:23:32,640
Speaker 4: five hundred, honestly, even five and a half at twelve

462
00:23:32,720 --> 00:23:36,000
Speaker 4: to one. To me is interesting because they both need

463
00:23:36,040 --> 00:23:38,360
Speaker 4: to win, like, whoever, if if there, if we see

464
00:23:38,400 --> 00:23:42,200
Speaker 4: goals in this in this match, whoever scores that first

465
00:23:42,200 --> 00:23:46,160
Speaker 4: goal immediately the other team needs to take what should

466
00:23:46,200 --> 00:23:48,159
Speaker 4: be already a risky approach from both of them and

467
00:23:48,560 --> 00:23:52,720
Speaker 4: double down on it. So I think that at the

468
00:23:52,800 --> 00:23:54,760
Speaker 4: risk of you know someone who bets you know, nil

469
00:23:54,840 --> 00:23:57,520
Speaker 4: nils at least once a week, like and watch this

470
00:23:57,560 --> 00:24:00,320
Speaker 4: one be the nil nil I think. I think that

471
00:24:00,400 --> 00:24:03,120
Speaker 4: this thing is going to be a carnival. I can't

472
00:24:03,119 --> 00:24:04,760
Speaker 4: wait for it. I do think if you had to

473
00:24:04,760 --> 00:24:07,359
Speaker 4: pick a side, I would certainly lean with Georgia. I

474
00:24:07,400 --> 00:24:09,439
Speaker 4: think Czech Republic is getting a little bit too much

475
00:24:09,520 --> 00:24:12,560
Speaker 4: credit as a minus one thirty eight favorite. So at

476
00:24:12,680 --> 00:24:14,600
Speaker 4: four to one, heck, if you wanted to play an

477
00:24:14,640 --> 00:24:18,200
Speaker 4: alternate line, Georgia minus one and a half, don't hate

478
00:24:18,200 --> 00:24:19,400
Speaker 4: it either because of the chaos.

479
00:24:19,400 --> 00:24:21,320
Speaker 2: Play into that chaos. This is the this is the

480
00:24:21,359 --> 00:24:22,520
Speaker 2: match to do it.

481
00:24:22,520 --> 00:24:25,240
Speaker 4: It sets up for it. I would you, know, whatever

482
00:24:25,280 --> 00:24:27,720
Speaker 4: you however you want to play into it. The carnage,

483
00:24:27,720 --> 00:24:31,160
Speaker 4: the chaos, the goals, find that angle and do it beja,

484
00:24:31,200 --> 00:24:33,320
Speaker 4: because this thing should be so much fun to watch.

485
00:24:33,400 --> 00:24:35,640
Speaker 4: Nine am Eastern time on a Saturday morning for us,

486
00:24:35,920 --> 00:24:38,800
Speaker 4: a little bit later oversea over the across Upond for Sam.

487
00:24:38,840 --> 00:24:41,280
Speaker 2: But what a way to wake up. But because this thing,

488
00:24:41,520 --> 00:24:42,840
Speaker 2: you know, it'll get you hooked.

489
00:24:43,720 --> 00:24:46,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, I actually like the Czech public quite a lot

490
00:24:47,080 --> 00:24:50,360
Speaker 1: in this match. You know, their game plan against Portugal

491
00:24:50,400 --> 00:24:52,080
Speaker 1: is obviously very different than what it's going to be

492
00:24:52,119 --> 00:24:54,479
Speaker 1: in this match. Right, So there's really there's not much

493
00:24:54,520 --> 00:24:56,480
Speaker 1: I can really take away from that match that applies

494
00:24:56,520 --> 00:24:58,240
Speaker 1: to this one, because they're not gonna be sitting in

495
00:24:58,240 --> 00:25:00,280
Speaker 1: a low defensive block and like con see a ton

496
00:25:00,320 --> 00:25:04,240
Speaker 1: of possession for the whole match. But I do think

497
00:25:04,240 --> 00:25:07,399
Speaker 1: it really sets up to allow the Czech Republic to

498
00:25:07,560 --> 00:25:10,359
Speaker 1: thrive in what they do best. You know, coming in

499
00:25:10,359 --> 00:25:13,560
Speaker 1: the tournament, we said this is a very aggressive team

500
00:25:13,560 --> 00:25:15,840
Speaker 1: amount of possession. They did not show that against Portugal

501
00:25:15,880 --> 00:25:20,040
Speaker 1: because the game plan was pretty you know, simple from

502
00:25:19,880 --> 00:25:22,359
Speaker 1: the pretty clear from the beginning that we're just going

503
00:25:22,400 --> 00:25:26,359
Speaker 1: to defend deep here. I think they're going to press

504
00:25:26,400 --> 00:25:28,680
Speaker 1: Georgia and they're going to force the issue and force

505
00:25:28,720 --> 00:25:32,119
Speaker 1: Georgia to actually build out through there and be more aggressive.

506
00:25:32,960 --> 00:25:35,360
Speaker 1: Again I've said it before, but they led euro qualifying

507
00:25:35,400 --> 00:25:38,680
Speaker 1: and high recoveries. Georgia allowed the second most to high

508
00:25:38,680 --> 00:25:41,679
Speaker 1: recoveries of anybody. And what was striking about that Georgia

509
00:25:41,720 --> 00:25:43,760
Speaker 1: performance is they did not play like that at all

510
00:25:43,840 --> 00:25:47,320
Speaker 1: drough qualifying. When they played good teams like they generally

511
00:25:47,359 --> 00:25:49,160
Speaker 1: would sit deep and then they would just send long

512
00:25:49,200 --> 00:25:51,680
Speaker 1: balls up to Cabarscalia and just kind of like hope

513
00:25:51,720 --> 00:25:54,280
Speaker 1: for the best. So it was actually pretty shocking to

514
00:25:54,320 --> 00:25:56,399
Speaker 1: see them come out. And you know, some of it

515
00:25:56,440 --> 00:25:57,800
Speaker 1: may have had to do the fact that they went

516
00:25:57,840 --> 00:25:59,480
Speaker 1: down a goal and they had to be more aggressive

517
00:25:59,520 --> 00:26:01,439
Speaker 1: and the games on their favor, but even when it

518
00:26:01,480 --> 00:26:03,520
Speaker 1: was one to one, they were still playing very aggressively

519
00:26:03,760 --> 00:26:06,920
Speaker 1: and trying to go forward. I worry here though, that

520
00:26:07,800 --> 00:26:10,440
Speaker 1: if they try to do that here against the Czech Republic,

521
00:26:10,640 --> 00:26:13,360
Speaker 1: who is a very good physical pressing side, that they're

522
00:26:13,359 --> 00:26:14,959
Speaker 1: going to turn the ball over in their own end

523
00:26:15,080 --> 00:26:16,840
Speaker 1: a lot and give the check public a lot of

524
00:26:16,880 --> 00:26:22,040
Speaker 1: easy transition opportunities. Also, Turkey had nine accurate processes in

525
00:26:22,080 --> 00:26:26,000
Speaker 1: that match. Georgia through qualifying was dead last and aerial

526
00:26:26,080 --> 00:26:28,840
Speaker 1: dual win rate that is how the Czech Republic scores

527
00:26:28,880 --> 00:26:31,440
Speaker 1: most of the goals. It's off of set pieces, transition

528
00:26:31,480 --> 00:26:35,000
Speaker 1: attacks and crosses into the box. So I actually like

529
00:26:35,040 --> 00:26:37,600
Speaker 1: the check Public quite a bit. At minus one twenty five,

530
00:26:37,640 --> 00:26:39,160
Speaker 1: I think the price is kind of low. I mean

531
00:26:39,520 --> 00:26:41,760
Speaker 1: we have to remember, I know it's one match, but

532
00:26:42,359 --> 00:26:45,800
Speaker 1: throughout all of qualifying, Georgia allowed over two expected goals

533
00:26:45,800 --> 00:26:48,040
Speaker 1: per ninety minutes. Like this is still not a great

534
00:26:48,240 --> 00:26:51,399
Speaker 1: or not really that talented of a defensive side. So

535
00:26:52,560 --> 00:26:54,440
Speaker 1: I like the check Public minus one twenty five. I

536
00:26:54,480 --> 00:26:57,280
Speaker 1: think they'll be very set up very well here, both

537
00:26:57,320 --> 00:27:00,199
Speaker 1: out of possession and in possession to take advantage of

538
00:27:00,240 --> 00:27:01,160
Speaker 1: Georgia's weaknesses.

539
00:27:02,119 --> 00:27:04,080
Speaker 2: The show notes will tell the story.

540
00:27:04,080 --> 00:27:07,719
Speaker 4: But this is why I love podcasting about Benning on

541
00:27:07,720 --> 00:27:10,960
Speaker 4: soccer rather than just you know talking, yeah, you know,

542
00:27:11,600 --> 00:27:13,919
Speaker 4: narratives and such, because I think we're gonna end up

543
00:27:13,920 --> 00:27:17,360
Speaker 4: spending more time on this Georgia team than any other

544
00:27:17,400 --> 00:27:21,480
Speaker 4: team in this tournament. Because yeah, their matches, especially one

545
00:27:21,560 --> 00:27:24,320
Speaker 4: like this against a side that you know could be

546
00:27:24,320 --> 00:27:25,760
Speaker 4: a little vulnerable, are gonna be a lot of fun.

547
00:27:25,840 --> 00:27:28,479
Speaker 2: So that's Georgia and Czech Republic.

548
00:27:28,560 --> 00:27:31,399
Speaker 4: Like I said, that's the Saturday morning kickoff June twenty

549
00:27:31,440 --> 00:27:35,680
Speaker 4: second here in Eastern Standard time, in the early afternoon.

550
00:27:35,760 --> 00:27:39,919
Speaker 4: For those of you listening over in the UK and

551
00:27:40,200 --> 00:27:44,639
Speaker 4: Europe abroad, that brings us to Turkey and Portugal. Turkey

552
00:27:44,680 --> 00:27:47,080
Speaker 4: was the other side of that Georgia match that was

553
00:27:47,119 --> 00:27:51,560
Speaker 4: a lot of fun. Arta Guhler announced himself to the

554
00:27:51,680 --> 00:27:54,880
Speaker 4: greater soccer world with his goal. They are now plus

555
00:27:54,920 --> 00:27:58,000
Speaker 4: four to fifty against Portugal, who fell behind and ended

556
00:27:58,080 --> 00:28:03,520
Speaker 4: up winning deservingly against the Checks. Portugal's minus one seventy

557
00:28:03,560 --> 00:28:06,440
Speaker 4: five here that draw is plus three thirty three.

558
00:28:06,520 --> 00:28:08,320
Speaker 2: I like Turkey, I don't.

559
00:28:08,400 --> 00:28:10,680
Speaker 4: I'm not too enamored with it, but I just think

560
00:28:10,680 --> 00:28:13,480
Speaker 4: that this Portugal side showed that they're just They're gonna

561
00:28:13,480 --> 00:28:17,440
Speaker 4: have moments of struggling defensively and if they I know that,

562
00:28:17,600 --> 00:28:19,800
Speaker 4: you know, one shot on goal then it goes in

563
00:28:19,840 --> 00:28:23,280
Speaker 4: against the Checks. It looks it's better than you know.

564
00:28:23,640 --> 00:28:26,120
Speaker 4: It is good like it was a good performance defensively

565
00:28:26,160 --> 00:28:29,440
Speaker 4: from them. I just still don't trust Roberto Martinez sending

566
00:28:29,480 --> 00:28:32,080
Speaker 4: the side up against them, a side with more attacking

567
00:28:32,480 --> 00:28:35,280
Speaker 4: panash than than the Checks. I think Turkey should be

568
00:28:35,320 --> 00:28:37,640
Speaker 4: able to get one here and put some pressure on Portugal.

569
00:28:38,400 --> 00:28:41,880
Speaker 4: I'm either gonna go down swinging and lose everything trying

570
00:28:41,880 --> 00:28:44,760
Speaker 4: to beat Roberto or you know, hopefully one of these

571
00:28:44,800 --> 00:28:46,440
Speaker 4: times I'll be able to catch them as with one

572
00:28:46,440 --> 00:28:47,400
Speaker 4: of these big underdogs.

573
00:28:47,400 --> 00:28:49,160
Speaker 2: But I would lean towards Turkey here.

574
00:28:49,200 --> 00:28:53,000
Speaker 4: I think that, yeah, they struggled in stopping Georgia, which

575
00:28:53,400 --> 00:28:56,320
Speaker 4: kind of scary considering what Portugal is gonna throw at him.

576
00:28:56,360 --> 00:28:59,959
Speaker 4: But BJ I just I can't. I just can't trust

577
00:29:00,320 --> 00:29:03,320
Speaker 4: portug going. When you can't trust a team, you're not

578
00:29:03,400 --> 00:29:06,080
Speaker 4: laying minus one seventy five against to bet them.

579
00:29:06,080 --> 00:29:07,200
Speaker 2: So give me Turkey.

580
00:29:07,280 --> 00:29:12,560
Speaker 1: I guess Roberto Martinez set up. Michael was puzzling to me,

581
00:29:12,720 --> 00:29:14,640
Speaker 1: and I get that they dominated the match, and if

582
00:29:14,640 --> 00:29:16,760
Speaker 1: you watch it, you know you're like, oh my gosh,

583
00:29:16,760 --> 00:29:18,880
Speaker 1: Portugal deserved to win in the end, Yes they did so,

584
00:29:19,680 --> 00:29:23,120
Speaker 1: But what kept happening or what he was doing, are

585
00:29:23,120 --> 00:29:26,680
Speaker 1: the guys that he put on the pitch. Bettina, Bruno,

586
00:29:26,680 --> 00:29:30,360
Speaker 1: fernanz and Bernardo Silva were all operating in the middle

587
00:29:30,400 --> 00:29:32,479
Speaker 1: of the pitch. It was like a logjam there, and

588
00:29:32,560 --> 00:29:36,080
Speaker 1: then they had jal Consalo inverting from left back, so

589
00:29:36,120 --> 00:29:37,720
Speaker 1: there were four guys in the middle of the pitch,

590
00:29:37,760 --> 00:29:39,680
Speaker 1: all playing kind of the same position, and all of

591
00:29:39,680 --> 00:29:42,920
Speaker 1: them kind of have similar traits as well. So the

592
00:29:42,960 --> 00:29:45,240
Speaker 1: first problem with that is, okay, so if you're gonna

593
00:29:45,240 --> 00:29:46,760
Speaker 1: have that many guys in the middle of the pitch,

594
00:29:46,800 --> 00:29:48,760
Speaker 1: then surely you should be able to overload it and

595
00:29:48,800 --> 00:29:51,680
Speaker 1: attack teams right through the middle. That didn't happen against

596
00:29:51,680 --> 00:29:55,000
Speaker 1: the Czech Republic. Twenty two percent of their attacks came

597
00:29:55,040 --> 00:29:57,640
Speaker 1: through the middle. The rest of them went out wide. Essentially,

598
00:29:58,520 --> 00:30:00,000
Speaker 1: they were getting the ball in the middle. They couldn't

599
00:30:00,040 --> 00:30:01,760
Speaker 1: play through the middle, so they just sent the ball

600
00:30:01,760 --> 00:30:04,040
Speaker 1: out wide and they just sent in cross after cross

601
00:30:04,080 --> 00:30:07,240
Speaker 1: after cross twenty nine crosses in total for the match.

602
00:30:07,600 --> 00:30:10,160
Speaker 1: Four of them were completed in the penalty area. That

603
00:30:10,320 --> 00:30:13,120
Speaker 1: is an incredibly low percentage, and the check PubL was

604
00:30:13,160 --> 00:30:16,360
Speaker 1: happy to just continually let them do that. The other problem,

605
00:30:16,440 --> 00:30:18,560
Speaker 1: and this is something that Turkey will be able to

606
00:30:18,560 --> 00:30:22,120
Speaker 1: take advantage of, that the Chech public wasn't because, if

607
00:30:22,160 --> 00:30:24,560
Speaker 1: we're being honest, the Czech public's transitions and it was

608
00:30:24,680 --> 00:30:27,480
Speaker 1: really rainy as well, they were just slow and they

609
00:30:27,480 --> 00:30:29,800
Speaker 1: weren't able to attack them quickly when they did win

610
00:30:29,840 --> 00:30:31,680
Speaker 1: the ball. But if you look at the setup of

611
00:30:31,760 --> 00:30:37,360
Speaker 1: Portugal starting eleven with Bettina Bruno Fernanz Jiao Canslo, Bernardo Silva.

612
00:30:37,760 --> 00:30:40,480
Speaker 1: There's no ball winning anywhere on the pitch there, so

613
00:30:40,560 --> 00:30:45,720
Speaker 1: good transition attacking teams will beat you. And there were

614
00:30:45,760 --> 00:30:48,640
Speaker 1: a lot of times when a forty one year old

615
00:30:48,680 --> 00:30:51,400
Speaker 1: Pepe was their only cover in transition if there were

616
00:30:51,440 --> 00:30:53,600
Speaker 1: going to be long balls over the top, which is

617
00:30:53,640 --> 00:30:57,040
Speaker 1: something that Turkey did really well when they beat Croatia

618
00:30:57,120 --> 00:30:59,680
Speaker 1: in qualifying. That's kind of the match that I mirror

619
00:30:59,680 --> 00:31:01,960
Speaker 1: it to, where they let Croatia have a lot of

620
00:31:01,960 --> 00:31:03,440
Speaker 1: the ball. They sat in the four to four to

621
00:31:03,440 --> 00:31:05,600
Speaker 1: two and then they look to beat them in transition

622
00:31:05,680 --> 00:31:09,520
Speaker 1: and did so very very effectively. So I really like

623
00:31:09,600 --> 00:31:12,360
Speaker 1: Turkey here. I like them plus one at minus one ten.

624
00:31:13,520 --> 00:31:17,400
Speaker 1: You know, the Czech public doesn't have the ball carrying,

625
00:31:17,440 --> 00:31:20,160
Speaker 1: the passing and the deep lying playmakers that Turkey has.

626
00:31:20,520 --> 00:31:24,280
Speaker 1: And Turkey showed that against Georgia Turkey during qualifying. If

627
00:31:24,440 --> 00:31:27,680
Speaker 1: Portugal decides to just send in a bunch of crosses again,

628
00:31:28,040 --> 00:31:30,200
Speaker 1: like it was so funny, and the announcers said it.

629
00:31:30,560 --> 00:31:31,920
Speaker 1: I don't know if they said it over in the UK,

630
00:31:32,000 --> 00:31:34,720
Speaker 1: but here in the United States about like forty minutes

631
00:31:34,760 --> 00:31:37,920
Speaker 1: in they were kind of like, well, it looks like

632
00:31:37,960 --> 00:31:40,280
Speaker 1: Portugal's all out of answers because they just keep crossing

633
00:31:40,320 --> 00:31:42,320
Speaker 1: the ball into the box and not doing anything else.

634
00:31:42,680 --> 00:31:44,920
Speaker 1: So forty minutes into a tournament, if you're all out

635
00:31:44,960 --> 00:31:47,080
Speaker 1: of answers of how to actually break down a low block,

636
00:31:47,160 --> 00:31:48,800
Speaker 1: that tends to be a little bit of a problem.

637
00:31:48,960 --> 00:31:53,320
Speaker 1: So so yeah, I really like Turkey here plus one.

638
00:31:53,360 --> 00:31:56,520
Speaker 1: They're a good transition side. They allowed the third they

639
00:31:56,560 --> 00:32:00,200
Speaker 1: allowed the third lowest cross completion percentage during qualifying, So

640
00:32:01,160 --> 00:32:02,880
Speaker 1: even though it didn't look that good against Georgia, and

641
00:32:02,920 --> 00:32:05,400
Speaker 1: a lot of that was them not defending will in transition,

642
00:32:06,440 --> 00:32:08,760
Speaker 1: they're not going to be allowing a lot of transition

643
00:32:08,800 --> 00:32:10,360
Speaker 1: that at tax here against Portugal, it's gonna be a

644
00:32:10,360 --> 00:32:13,600
Speaker 1: lot of them doing the transition transitioning from deep. So

645
00:32:14,400 --> 00:32:15,720
Speaker 1: Turkey plus one at minus one.

646
00:32:15,640 --> 00:32:19,560
Speaker 3: Ten instantly from a better perspective in this game, I'm

647
00:32:19,640 --> 00:32:24,040
Speaker 3: drawn to the goals markets, but I'm also I'm trying

648
00:32:24,080 --> 00:32:26,920
Speaker 3: to be quite mindful that it could just be a

649
00:32:26,960 --> 00:32:30,000
Speaker 3: reaction to what we've seen this tournament, what we saw

650
00:32:30,120 --> 00:32:35,400
Speaker 3: in Georgia versus Turkey, for example. But there's a line

651
00:32:35,440 --> 00:32:38,080
Speaker 3: of thinking as well that maybe the longer the national

652
00:32:38,120 --> 00:32:40,800
Speaker 3: teams have with their respective managers. The more likely we

653
00:32:40,840 --> 00:32:43,720
Speaker 3: are to see teams tighten up and be more solid,

654
00:32:44,040 --> 00:32:46,680
Speaker 3: like more well driven defensively. I really hope that's not

655
00:32:46,720 --> 00:32:50,040
Speaker 3: the case, because it's been bloody brilliant. Really. What would

656
00:32:50,120 --> 00:32:52,760
Speaker 3: say which has maybe improved in recent years, and it's

657
00:32:52,760 --> 00:32:55,960
Speaker 3: hard to be sure because we've only played one match, state,

658
00:32:56,160 --> 00:32:59,200
Speaker 3: is that the lesser nations decide to maybe come through

659
00:32:59,280 --> 00:33:03,000
Speaker 3: qualification nor finished second in the group. They're really handy.

660
00:33:02,840 --> 00:33:06,120
Speaker 3: They feel like much tougher opposition than in previous years,

661
00:33:06,120 --> 00:33:09,120
Speaker 3: like the weakest sides are competitive even in defeat, and

662
00:33:09,440 --> 00:33:11,000
Speaker 3: I won't really got anything to back that up in

663
00:33:11,080 --> 00:33:14,720
Speaker 3: terms of stats, So that's just how it feels. Can't

664
00:33:14,720 --> 00:33:17,560
Speaker 3: talk Turkey score against this Portugal side. I think they

665
00:33:17,600 --> 00:33:21,240
Speaker 3: can if we break down their three goals against a

666
00:33:21,320 --> 00:33:24,040
Speaker 3: much weaker Georgia side. There was a volley outside the

667
00:33:24,040 --> 00:33:27,040
Speaker 3: box which was brilliant Goola screamer, and then a breakaway

668
00:33:27,080 --> 00:33:29,480
Speaker 3: goal against no goalkeeper, but they did rack up to

669
00:33:29,680 --> 00:33:32,840
Speaker 3: two point seven go extray. I think it was so

670
00:33:32,920 --> 00:33:35,760
Speaker 3: they had their chances too. I do think they can

671
00:33:35,800 --> 00:33:38,200
Speaker 3: score against Portugal, and I think Portugal's got more than

672
00:33:38,280 --> 00:33:40,640
Speaker 3: enough to score against them. And you know it's not

673
00:33:40,720 --> 00:33:43,960
Speaker 3: the most inventive, thrilling bet of all time. But I

674
00:33:44,000 --> 00:33:45,960
Speaker 3: think I might have to take both teams to score again,

675
00:33:46,040 --> 00:33:48,640
Speaker 3: Michael one point eighty, I've got down on the sheet pass,

676
00:33:48,800 --> 00:33:52,040
Speaker 3: but after what BJ was saying, he's kind of convinced me,

677
00:33:52,080 --> 00:33:53,680
Speaker 3: and I've kind of convinced myself, So I'm just going

678
00:33:53,720 --> 00:33:55,160
Speaker 3: to go for it and say both teams to score

679
00:33:55,160 --> 00:33:56,000
Speaker 3: at one point eight zero.

680
00:33:58,120 --> 00:34:00,800
Speaker 4: Okay, let's go into the final. We'll talk about before

681
00:34:00,800 --> 00:34:03,440
Speaker 4: giving out our best bets. But before we do that,

682
00:34:03,840 --> 00:34:05,960
Speaker 4: a reminder that wonder goal is probably presented by Bet

683
00:34:05,960 --> 00:34:08,840
Speaker 4: three six five and Bet three six five doesn't do ordinary.

684
00:34:08,840 --> 00:34:10,960
Speaker 4: That's why you get more boosts with them than anyone else.

685
00:34:11,160 --> 00:34:12,840
Speaker 4: Every day they power up the odds on hundreds of

686
00:34:12,880 --> 00:34:14,799
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687
00:34:14,800 --> 00:34:17,160
Speaker 4: three six five boost specific markets, your winnings and even

688
00:34:17,520 --> 00:34:19,480
Speaker 4: even parlays, and they don't stop there. Keep an eye

689
00:34:19,480 --> 00:34:21,280
Speaker 4: out for their biggest and best odds with the incredible

690
00:34:21,320 --> 00:34:21,840
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691
00:34:22,280 --> 00:34:23,760
Speaker 2: Check out the boost and see why it's.

692
00:34:23,640 --> 00:34:26,000
Speaker 4: Never ordinary at Bet three six five. You must be

693
00:34:26,080 --> 00:34:30,960
Speaker 4: twenty one or older at present in Arizona, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa. Louisiana,

694
00:34:31,000 --> 00:34:34,319
Speaker 4: New Jersey, North Carolina, Ohio, Virginia, or eighteen and older

695
00:34:34,320 --> 00:34:36,520
Speaker 4: in Kentucky. If you or anyone you know has a

696
00:34:36,560 --> 00:34:39,000
Speaker 4: gambling problem, please call one eight hundred gambler or one

697
00:34:39,000 --> 00:34:43,000
Speaker 4: eight hundred bets off in Iowa terms conditions and restrictions apply.

698
00:34:43,440 --> 00:34:45,880
Speaker 4: The schedule makers made me wait to do it, but

699
00:34:46,000 --> 00:34:49,279
Speaker 4: we got to talk about Romania. They're six to one

700
00:34:49,360 --> 00:34:53,520
Speaker 4: underdogs against Belgium, who are in a must win spot

701
00:34:53,560 --> 00:34:55,920
Speaker 4: that I don't think anyone saw coming. They are now

702
00:34:55,960 --> 00:34:59,200
Speaker 4: minus two twenty three against Romania, and this match plus

703
00:34:59,280 --> 00:35:02,759
Speaker 4: two fifty win the group Belgium, who were obviously a

704
00:35:02,800 --> 00:35:07,239
Speaker 4: decided favorite considering the company they're keeping here in this

705
00:35:07,840 --> 00:35:11,400
Speaker 4: set the draws plus three fifty. All three of us

706
00:35:11,440 --> 00:35:13,160
Speaker 4: had the same idea, had a feeling that this was

707
00:35:13,200 --> 00:35:18,440
Speaker 4: gonna happen. Romululukaku, someone who we were talking about as

708
00:35:18,480 --> 00:35:24,759
Speaker 4: a golden boot bet before the tournament started, doesn't score well.

709
00:35:24,800 --> 00:35:30,719
Speaker 4: He does score, but he doesn't score twice, and I

710
00:35:30,719 --> 00:35:33,319
Speaker 4: gotta say I still like the bet a lot. I

711
00:35:33,360 --> 00:35:37,920
Speaker 4: think that if you can get Lukaku golden boots, you should.

712
00:35:37,719 --> 00:35:38,520
Speaker 2: Start scooping them up.

713
00:35:38,520 --> 00:35:40,800
Speaker 4: Nobody's run away with it, yet there's been no crazy

714
00:35:40,880 --> 00:35:42,560
Speaker 4: crooked number performance from anyone.

715
00:35:43,640 --> 00:35:45,400
Speaker 2: He's obviously looked on it. He should.

716
00:35:46,000 --> 00:35:48,320
Speaker 4: The poor guy has just not been able to finish

717
00:35:48,320 --> 00:35:50,920
Speaker 4: his chances for Belgium in their last two matches. He

718
00:35:50,960 --> 00:35:53,799
Speaker 4: should have plenty of chances against Romania. This could be

719
00:35:53,840 --> 00:35:56,239
Speaker 4: a hat trick bet he's fifteen to one to do so,

720
00:35:56,560 --> 00:35:58,200
Speaker 4: twenty to one probably out there as well.

721
00:35:58,880 --> 00:35:59,920
Speaker 2: So I don't hate that.

722
00:36:00,040 --> 00:36:02,160
Speaker 4: I don't hate the two plus, I don't hate Lukaku

723
00:36:02,200 --> 00:36:05,480
Speaker 4: to score two Belgium to win, and I don't hate

724
00:36:06,080 --> 00:36:08,760
Speaker 4: the double, which is Belgium now to win the tournament

725
00:36:08,760 --> 00:36:10,640
Speaker 4: and Lukaku to win the Colden Boot, which is out

726
00:36:10,640 --> 00:36:11,640
Speaker 4: there at triple digits.

727
00:36:12,040 --> 00:36:13,440
Speaker 2: It was half the price.

728
00:36:13,719 --> 00:36:16,280
Speaker 4: So if my point is, if you like Lukaku Golden

729
00:36:16,280 --> 00:36:19,640
Speaker 4: Boot before that game, you should still and perhaps like

730
00:36:19,680 --> 00:36:21,680
Speaker 4: it even more because the price is better. Sam, So

731
00:36:22,760 --> 00:36:25,600
Speaker 4: I'm not gonna be on Romania here. They've done me

732
00:36:25,640 --> 00:36:29,640
Speaker 4: well already. I'm happy to take this match off for

733
00:36:30,040 --> 00:36:34,040
Speaker 4: my beloved Romanians and just root for Lukaku to pace

734
00:36:34,080 --> 00:36:34,480
Speaker 4: them here.

735
00:36:35,960 --> 00:36:37,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm glad you mentioned it there.

736
00:36:37,480 --> 00:36:39,120
Speaker 3: I thought we were just going to gloss over the

737
00:36:39,160 --> 00:36:44,880
Speaker 3: fact that you were eulogizing about Romania pre that opening round,

738
00:36:45,719 --> 00:36:49,759
Speaker 3: opening match days, so put on the bat to you mate. Yeah,

739
00:36:50,040 --> 00:36:52,640
Speaker 3: former lu Lukaki. I just feel so sorry for him,

740
00:36:52,719 --> 00:36:57,680
Speaker 3: like we've seen time on time again that Belgium's chance

741
00:36:57,760 --> 00:37:00,799
Speaker 3: creation ends up at his feet and up in good

742
00:37:00,880 --> 00:37:04,000
Speaker 3: areas in qualifying. He made that count again and again

743
00:37:04,719 --> 00:37:08,200
Speaker 3: and here, just so unlucky on that second go not

744
00:37:08,320 --> 00:37:11,560
Speaker 3: to not to get that as is first of the tournament.

745
00:37:11,560 --> 00:37:14,759
Speaker 3: Obviously the first one was rightly ruled out, but the

746
00:37:14,840 --> 00:37:17,960
Speaker 3: second one, I'm not so sure. In the States, did

747
00:37:18,000 --> 00:37:20,080
Speaker 3: you have that snick of meter that popped up like

748
00:37:20,160 --> 00:37:22,359
Speaker 3: they're doing cricket? Did you see that.

749
00:37:22,560 --> 00:37:26,719
Speaker 1: The ultra edge? Yeah? Is that like a worldwide thing?

750
00:37:26,840 --> 00:37:27,280
Speaker 2: Yeah?

751
00:37:27,840 --> 00:37:28,239
Speaker 1: I think it.

752
00:37:28,880 --> 00:37:31,719
Speaker 4: Wasn't on our broadcast, I don't think. But it made

753
00:37:31,760 --> 00:37:32,840
Speaker 4: its rounds.

754
00:37:33,280 --> 00:37:36,000
Speaker 1: It did for the first time here I remember that. Yeah,

755
00:37:36,239 --> 00:37:38,120
Speaker 1: it did. The handball, it definitely did.

756
00:37:38,280 --> 00:37:38,840
Speaker 2: It was great.

757
00:37:38,880 --> 00:37:41,080
Speaker 4: It was great to see because you know, as a

758
00:37:41,080 --> 00:37:44,320
Speaker 4: as a cricket loser, I was cracking up to see it.

759
00:37:44,760 --> 00:37:48,000
Speaker 4: The ultra edge pop up. Now it's going mainstream, baby.

760
00:37:48,280 --> 00:37:51,440
Speaker 4: The best between tennis and cricket, they have the they

761
00:37:51,440 --> 00:37:53,319
Speaker 4: go back and forth to me, who has the best

762
00:37:53,360 --> 00:37:57,040
Speaker 4: review system. But we're if we're getting if we're moving

763
00:37:57,080 --> 00:37:59,000
Speaker 4: soccer closer to cricket, that's better for me.

764
00:37:59,120 --> 00:38:00,120
Speaker 2: So yeah, we saw.

765
00:38:01,280 --> 00:38:05,560
Speaker 3: And poor Maybe maybe I shouldn't bring it up, chatted

766
00:38:05,560 --> 00:38:08,839
Speaker 3: about on the Better Expert podcast earlier, like I just

767
00:38:08,880 --> 00:38:10,960
Speaker 3: don't think I'm having it, Like if you've got to

768
00:38:11,000 --> 00:38:13,839
Speaker 3: get one of like a snicker meter up to see

769
00:38:13,880 --> 00:38:17,640
Speaker 3: if a lad's flicked it with like one of his fingers,

770
00:38:17,719 --> 00:38:19,520
Speaker 3: like thirty yards from god to.

771
00:38:20,080 --> 00:38:21,920
Speaker 4: Trying to walk away from that. It's so it's so

772
00:38:22,000 --> 00:38:23,719
Speaker 4: good that they it's going.

773
00:38:23,840 --> 00:38:26,440
Speaker 3: It's just anyway, let's move on, because I could honestly

774
00:38:27,280 --> 00:38:29,959
Speaker 3: the game's go. Yeah it really I could talk about

775
00:38:30,000 --> 00:38:30,359
Speaker 3: that all day.

776
00:38:30,800 --> 00:38:31,359
Speaker 1: Best move on.

777
00:38:32,640 --> 00:38:35,359
Speaker 3: Yeah, let's start with carrasco it left back in a

778
00:38:35,360 --> 00:38:37,840
Speaker 3: flat back four, Like I'm not sure what's going on

779
00:38:37,880 --> 00:38:41,960
Speaker 3: there either, Like he didn't look assured there his link

780
00:38:42,000 --> 00:38:44,360
Speaker 3: up play with Trussard wasn't too sure about that either.

781
00:38:45,000 --> 00:38:48,719
Speaker 3: Slovakia's high press in the first half. Bjay mentioned it

782
00:38:49,120 --> 00:38:52,120
Speaker 3: and right in the corner Jeremy docker give the ball

783
00:38:52,160 --> 00:38:55,200
Speaker 3: away and that was their game plan before the game.

784
00:38:55,320 --> 00:38:59,760
Speaker 3: Cal Zona, Slovakia head coach not an Italian dish said.

785
00:39:00,239 --> 00:39:03,880
Speaker 3: Belgium a good in transition and on the counter attack,

786
00:39:03,920 --> 00:39:05,680
Speaker 3: but we have our own way of playing. When you

787
00:39:05,719 --> 00:39:07,919
Speaker 3: press well it can be an advantage, but if you don't,

788
00:39:07,920 --> 00:39:10,399
Speaker 3: then you leave more space. So it was always part

789
00:39:10,400 --> 00:39:12,680
Speaker 3: of the plan. Press high, try their luck and fight

790
00:39:12,760 --> 00:39:15,040
Speaker 3: within an inch of their lives if they managed to

791
00:39:15,120 --> 00:39:17,600
Speaker 3: nick an advantage in the game. So yeah, Docu being

792
00:39:17,640 --> 00:39:20,200
Speaker 3: squeezed over by the corner flag. That was no fluke.

793
00:39:20,800 --> 00:39:23,520
Speaker 3: And the big talking point obviously from the game is

794
00:39:23,920 --> 00:39:28,280
Speaker 3: Lukaki's two. This allowed goes. But before that, before before

795
00:39:28,280 --> 00:39:30,759
Speaker 3: the Slovakia go, he missed a sitter from about five

796
00:39:30,840 --> 00:39:33,400
Speaker 3: yards out. He's got to do better there, and then

797
00:39:33,440 --> 00:39:35,360
Speaker 3: Slovakia has gone up the other end of the pitch

798
00:39:35,480 --> 00:39:37,919
Speaker 3: and scored. So on another day this could have been

799
00:39:38,320 --> 00:39:41,840
Speaker 3: two three four one full nil to Belgium, but it

800
00:39:41,920 --> 00:39:45,040
Speaker 3: just didn't go that way. So I expect to see

801
00:39:45,880 --> 00:39:49,600
Speaker 3: maybe a similar performance, but just hopefully with more of

802
00:39:49,640 --> 00:39:52,359
Speaker 3: a clinical edge from Belgium and from Lukaku. And that's

803
00:39:52,400 --> 00:39:56,200
Speaker 3: why at plus one hundred, Lukaku anytime go scorer like

804
00:39:56,200 --> 00:39:58,480
Speaker 3: he cannot be that unlucky again, I'm sure of it.

805
00:39:58,560 --> 00:39:59,719
Speaker 3: So let's hope he gets on the score.

806
00:39:59,760 --> 00:40:04,120
Speaker 1: Shoot, yeah, I was on Lukaku anytime goals score against Slovakia,

807
00:40:04,360 --> 00:40:07,200
Speaker 1: and I gotta say it was maybe the most fun

808
00:40:07,239 --> 00:40:09,120
Speaker 1: I've had in a really long time. I felt every

809
00:40:09,160 --> 00:40:15,120
Speaker 1: single emotion. I felt pain, I felt joy, I felt heartache,

810
00:40:15,719 --> 00:40:18,360
Speaker 1: I felt everything. It was. It was truly I felt

811
00:40:18,400 --> 00:40:19,920
Speaker 1: you know, you know, I felt it was. It was

812
00:40:20,000 --> 00:40:23,759
Speaker 1: pure comedy, the whole thing. So this is from philosophy.

813
00:40:23,960 --> 00:40:27,640
Speaker 1: Lukaku had zero goals off of point ninety five expected

814
00:40:27,640 --> 00:40:29,640
Speaker 1: in the match, and the two goals that were varred

815
00:40:29,680 --> 00:40:34,680
Speaker 1: off at an extruating of one point two three, which

816
00:40:34,719 --> 00:40:36,880
Speaker 1: is crazy. I mean, I don't I can't remember what

817
00:40:36,880 --> 00:40:39,240
Speaker 1: his exact x she was from that match against Croatia

818
00:40:39,280 --> 00:40:42,279
Speaker 1: at the World Cup. But yeah, I mean this is

819
00:40:42,280 --> 00:40:44,560
Speaker 1: a similar situation, right, Like Romania is going to play

820
00:40:44,560 --> 00:40:49,359
Speaker 1: a very similar structured Slovakia. They're gonna sit deep. But

821
00:40:49,400 --> 00:40:53,440
Speaker 1: the beauty of Lukaku is that he is just like

822
00:40:53,520 --> 00:40:56,239
Speaker 1: the perfect all around striker if you could build one,

823
00:40:56,320 --> 00:40:59,000
Speaker 1: because you know, if Romania is gonna sit deep in

824
00:40:59,080 --> 00:41:02,360
Speaker 1: Belgium's going to be ended up sending a lot of crosses. Well,

825
00:41:03,239 --> 00:41:06,040
Speaker 1: he's great as an aerial threat. He's incredible at penning

826
00:41:06,040 --> 00:41:08,319
Speaker 1: defenders on his back. He's great in the half space,

827
00:41:08,360 --> 00:41:10,799
Speaker 1: he's wonderful at making runs off the back line like

828
00:41:10,840 --> 00:41:16,040
Speaker 1: he's he's an all around great striker except for maybe finishing,

829
00:41:16,239 --> 00:41:20,080
Speaker 1: I guess. But the thing about it is as well,

830
00:41:20,120 --> 00:41:22,120
Speaker 1: it's like, you know, you can make the argument and say, well,

831
00:41:22,920 --> 00:41:24,759
Speaker 1: you know, Dove Bik is a similar striker and he

832
00:41:24,800 --> 00:41:28,480
Speaker 1: got no service. Well, Belgium's got much better playmakers and

833
00:41:28,520 --> 00:41:30,880
Speaker 1: guys to get Lukaku the ball than Ukraine does. So

834
00:41:31,920 --> 00:41:34,080
Speaker 1: I think we'll see Belgium dominate out of the ball.

835
00:41:34,120 --> 00:41:37,800
Speaker 1: But yeah, Lukaku any time goalscorer. Mainly just for the content,

836
00:41:38,280 --> 00:41:41,319
Speaker 1: you know, as one of our just Mark gall yeah,

837
00:41:41,360 --> 00:41:43,399
Speaker 1: one of our one of our longtime listeners, his name

838
00:41:43,480 --> 00:41:46,640
Speaker 1: is Charlie put in our discord that the bet was

839
00:41:46,680 --> 00:41:49,560
Speaker 1: just tremendous content, and that's going for here again, just

840
00:41:49,719 --> 00:41:52,399
Speaker 1: more tremendous content. Hopefully puts the ball on the back

841
00:41:52,440 --> 00:41:54,080
Speaker 1: of the end and it doesn't get vard off. But yeah,

842
00:41:54,160 --> 00:41:57,600
Speaker 1: Lukoko anytime goalscorer. You know how this ends, right, I

843
00:41:57,640 --> 00:41:59,040
Speaker 1: know it ends, But I'm gonna have a lot of

844
00:41:59,040 --> 00:42:01,839
Speaker 1: fun with I'll tell you how it ends. Lukaku third

845
00:42:01,960 --> 00:42:04,839
Speaker 1: minute red card, that would be great.

846
00:42:05,040 --> 00:42:05,719
Speaker 2: That's what's like.

847
00:42:05,960 --> 00:42:08,279
Speaker 4: I honestly, it's the only way I could see him

848
00:42:08,320 --> 00:42:09,479
Speaker 4: not scoring in this match.

849
00:42:09,760 --> 00:42:10,600
Speaker 2: He gets set off.

850
00:42:11,880 --> 00:42:15,840
Speaker 4: It's crazy, it's it's it's so good, all right, So

851
00:42:15,920 --> 00:42:19,319
Speaker 4: all of us are on the same side there. We'll

852
00:42:19,320 --> 00:42:21,360
Speaker 4: be back on Romania, I'm sure for their their for

853
00:42:21,560 --> 00:42:25,719
Speaker 4: group stage finale, uh against Slovakia, and.

854
00:42:25,719 --> 00:42:27,600
Speaker 1: It's gonna be a huge match. It's god.

855
00:42:28,040 --> 00:42:31,040
Speaker 4: Yeah. I mean that this tournament is really so well

856
00:42:31,080 --> 00:42:34,640
Speaker 4: poised for matches like these these there's not gonna be

857
00:42:34,680 --> 00:42:38,279
Speaker 4: many dead rubber matches in that that third round. And

858
00:42:38,680 --> 00:42:40,759
Speaker 4: I know that the tournaments set up with twenty four

859
00:42:40,760 --> 00:42:44,440
Speaker 4: teams at sixteen getting through came under a lot of criticism,

860
00:42:44,440 --> 00:42:46,719
Speaker 4: and deservingly so I think for that first time that

861
00:42:46,760 --> 00:42:50,239
Speaker 4: they they brought introduced this format. But this is I

862
00:42:50,280 --> 00:42:53,319
Speaker 4: think why it does make some sense and it's just

863
00:42:53,360 --> 00:42:55,680
Speaker 4: gonna be a lot of fun from here on out,

864
00:42:55,680 --> 00:43:00,280
Speaker 4: as if it hasn't already been. Okay for our favorite

865
00:43:00,320 --> 00:43:04,360
Speaker 4: bets for these six matches coming your way the second

866
00:43:04,520 --> 00:43:09,080
Speaker 4: half of Group stage Round two, starting with Friday, June

867
00:43:09,120 --> 00:43:12,040
Speaker 4: twenty first, and going through the afternoon on Saturday, BJ,

868
00:43:12,239 --> 00:43:12,960
Speaker 4: what do you got.

869
00:43:13,280 --> 00:43:17,320
Speaker 1: Check Republic minus one twenty five against Georgia. Although Georgia

870
00:43:17,360 --> 00:43:20,920
Speaker 1: played more aggressively than in their first match against Turkey

871
00:43:20,960 --> 00:43:23,719
Speaker 1: than they did in qualifying, it kind of sets up

872
00:43:23,760 --> 00:43:26,920
Speaker 1: poorly here against the Czech Republic because they wanted to

873
00:43:26,960 --> 00:43:28,960
Speaker 1: play more in transition try and get the ball at

874
00:43:28,960 --> 00:43:32,480
Speaker 1: their own final third quickly. It's going to give check

875
00:43:32,520 --> 00:43:34,520
Speaker 1: Public a lot of opportunities to take the ball away

876
00:43:34,520 --> 00:43:39,200
Speaker 1: from them. Check Public led euroqualifying and high recoveries. Georgia

877
00:43:39,239 --> 00:43:42,080
Speaker 1: allowed the second most high recoveries, especially when they played

878
00:43:42,080 --> 00:43:44,440
Speaker 1: Spain and Spain counterpress them. They struggled to get the

879
00:43:44,480 --> 00:43:46,960
Speaker 1: ball out of their own final third. And they're also

880
00:43:47,160 --> 00:43:50,560
Speaker 1: really bad at winning aerial duels and defending crosses, which

881
00:43:50,600 --> 00:43:54,000
Speaker 1: are the two areas that to the check Public absolutely thrives.

882
00:43:54,000 --> 00:43:55,880
Speaker 1: And so I think the matchup actually sets up pretty

883
00:43:55,880 --> 00:43:57,879
Speaker 1: well for the Czech Republic here, and I like them

884
00:43:57,880 --> 00:43:59,400
Speaker 1: on the money line of minus one twenty.

885
00:43:59,160 --> 00:44:01,080
Speaker 2: Five, I'll do it.

886
00:44:01,120 --> 00:44:05,879
Speaker 4: I'll go with Romululukaku to score twice at five to one,

887
00:44:06,040 --> 00:44:08,279
Speaker 4: we're on the anytime goal scorer. I think that this

888
00:44:08,320 --> 00:44:12,560
Speaker 4: could be a Lukaku master class as long as he

889
00:44:12,600 --> 00:44:15,279
Speaker 4: doesn't get sent off early. I think Belgium should have

890
00:44:15,280 --> 00:44:17,640
Speaker 4: plenty of opportunities. He'll want to make do or make

891
00:44:17,880 --> 00:44:21,160
Speaker 4: amends for what we saw against Slovakia. And I do think,

892
00:44:21,480 --> 00:44:23,879
Speaker 4: as I mentioned that if you were someone who wanted

893
00:44:23,920 --> 00:44:26,640
Speaker 4: to bet Lukaku to win the Golden Boot, maybe the

894
00:44:26,640 --> 00:44:28,279
Speaker 4: price shortened on you before you got there, or you

895
00:44:28,360 --> 00:44:31,440
Speaker 4: were someone who was like wavering on it. If you

896
00:44:31,480 --> 00:44:33,120
Speaker 4: had any conviction of it, I would get in.

897
00:44:33,200 --> 00:44:33,399
Speaker 2: Now.

898
00:44:33,600 --> 00:44:36,400
Speaker 4: I think that he didn't do anything besides not score

899
00:44:37,000 --> 00:44:39,520
Speaker 4: to keep you off of that. So but my favorite bet,

900
00:44:39,560 --> 00:44:41,920
Speaker 4: I'll go Lukaku two plus five to one.

901
00:44:42,000 --> 00:44:43,760
Speaker 2: Sam. What do you get both.

902
00:44:43,600 --> 00:44:46,279
Speaker 3: Team to score? In Chet Republic versus Georgia. We might

903
00:44:46,320 --> 00:44:49,040
Speaker 3: not see a game mirror in that of Turkey versus Georgia,

904
00:44:49,080 --> 00:44:52,120
Speaker 3: which was excellent, but that opening day runout should have

905
00:44:52,160 --> 00:44:54,760
Speaker 3: equipped the Georgians with the belief that they can stride

906
00:44:54,800 --> 00:44:56,560
Speaker 3: into this match with their chest out will give it

907
00:44:56,600 --> 00:44:59,560
Speaker 3: a really good goal. They're efficient when moving through the thirds,

908
00:44:59,560 --> 00:45:01,880
Speaker 3: They've got intricate builder play and their locker in and

909
00:45:01,880 --> 00:45:04,279
Speaker 3: around the box, and their midfield has that level of

910
00:45:04,280 --> 00:45:07,239
Speaker 3: attack intent needed to ruffle a few feathers in your

911
00:45:07,280 --> 00:45:10,759
Speaker 3: opponent's defensive third. They'll get forward and support Mcitadzi and

912
00:45:10,800 --> 00:45:13,799
Speaker 3: Karas Scalia and at one minus one twenty, it's not

913
00:45:13,840 --> 00:45:15,759
Speaker 3: the biggest price in the world, but it's one that

914
00:45:15,800 --> 00:45:18,719
Speaker 3: should come close. With the need for three points in

915
00:45:18,800 --> 00:45:21,640
Speaker 3: either camp of their remaining two games, this is the

916
00:45:21,680 --> 00:45:24,080
Speaker 3: match where both nations will be targeting a win and

917
00:45:24,360 --> 00:45:26,399
Speaker 3: that could lead to a bit of a shootout as

918
00:45:26,400 --> 00:45:27,840
Speaker 3: we approached a lot of stages.

919
00:45:28,080 --> 00:45:30,320
Speaker 2: Perfect, Okay, that does it for this episode.

920
00:45:30,680 --> 00:45:34,200
Speaker 4: We'll be back for the first half of the third

921
00:45:34,400 --> 00:45:37,320
Speaker 4: round of the group stage. We're gonna record that on Friday.

922
00:45:37,400 --> 00:45:38,839
Speaker 4: Get you set up for the matches on the other

923
00:45:38,880 --> 00:45:41,080
Speaker 4: side of the weekend, and then we'll be back once

924
00:45:41,080 --> 00:45:42,959
Speaker 4: again and a couple days later for the second half,

925
00:45:42,960 --> 00:45:46,360
Speaker 4: and then we're into the knockout stages already for Bjay

926
00:45:46,400 --> 00:45:47,160
Speaker 4: and Sam and Michael.

927
00:45:47,200 --> 00:45:49,200
Speaker 2: Thank you to our producer Noah. Thank you to our

928
00:45:49,239 --> 00:45:50,319
Speaker 2: sponsor's bet three six five.

929
00:45:50,360 --> 00:45:53,960
Speaker 4: Best of luck to everybody over the weekend, especially Ramulu Lukaku.

930
00:46:01,760 --> 00:46:05,200
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

931
00:46:05,600 --> 00:46:08,400
Speaker 3: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem.

932
00:46:08,719 --> 00:46:11,359
Speaker 3: Help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

933
00:46:11,440 --> 00:46:12,240
Speaker 3: hundred gambler