WEBVTT -  Economy of Tomorrow

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<v Speaker 1>This is Wall Street Week.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm David Weston bringing you stories of capitalism this week

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<v Speaker 2>from Detroit, the home of Henry Ford, where we travel

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<v Speaker 2>to see firsthand what President Trump's trade policies are doing

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<v Speaker 2>four and two the auto industry, and to talk with

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<v Speaker 2>Ford's CEO Jim Farley about what he calls the essential

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<v Speaker 2>economy that needs our attention. Plus, from Australia, we bring

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<v Speaker 2>you the story of a nation trying to make a

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<v Speaker 2>big transition from natural resources to innovation, and we begin

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<v Speaker 2>a three part series on AI applied to the real world.

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<v Speaker 2>We have covered the excitement about artificial intelligence and the

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<v Speaker 2>massive demands for capital and for power, but where is

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<v Speaker 2>it being used right now in ways that may justify

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<v Speaker 2>the excitement. We turn first to healthcare, where AI is

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<v Speaker 2>already helping our doctors make diagnoses and develop treatments that

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<v Speaker 2>otherwise might be beyond their reach. But we start with

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<v Speaker 2>the jobs market, where soft data are holding the Federal

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<v Speaker 2>Reserve back from cutting rates more and cutting them faster.

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<v Speaker 2>Steve Rattner is chair and CEO will It Advisors, which

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<v Speaker 2>manages the personal and philanthropic money of Michael Bloomberg, our

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<v Speaker 2>founder and majority shareholder. Steve has been watching the US

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<v Speaker 2>economy closely as an investor and gave us his outlook. Steve,

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<v Speaker 2>the labor market is really a top and center. We've

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<v Speaker 2>got a prior problem before we get to the state

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<v Speaker 2>of the labry, which is one are the numbers because

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<v Speaker 2>of the government shutdown. Why are we shutting down the government.

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<v Speaker 3>Whether it's the right strategy or not, I don't know,

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<v Speaker 3>but there's a legitimate purpose in what the Democrats are

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<v Speaker 3>trying to do, which is healthcare. What most people don't

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<v Speaker 3>understand is that in Trump one point zero, Trump tried

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<v Speaker 3>to kill Obamacare overtly through the front door, so to speak,

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<v Speaker 3>and then John McCain famously voted it down. This time around,

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<v Speaker 3>you've not heard them talk about Obamacare or the ACA

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<v Speaker 3>or any of this stuff, But the fact is they've

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<v Speaker 3>been trying to kill healthcare. There's a lot of stuff

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<v Speaker 3>in the One Big, Beautiful Bill, but there's also this

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<v Speaker 3>provision that would expire at the end of the year

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<v Speaker 3>that provides what are called enhanced premium tax credits that

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<v Speaker 3>people making less than one hundred and fifty thousand dollars

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<v Speaker 3>a year, and particularly those making less than sixty five

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<v Speaker 3>thousand dollars a year that are going to expire at

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<v Speaker 3>the end of this year. This would cost millions of

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<v Speaker 3>Americans their healthcare and it would raise premiums by eighteen

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<v Speaker 3>percent for as many as twenty million Americans who buy

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<v Speaker 3>their insurance on the exchanges.

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<v Speaker 2>As soon as you say it was enhanced premium tax credit,

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<v Speaker 2>you sort of lose me because nobody is sort of saying,

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<v Speaker 2>should we do away with Obamacare or not?

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<v Speaker 1>Well, that's exactly their strategy.

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<v Speaker 3>And the Democrats keep saying this is about healthcare, but

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<v Speaker 3>I don't think the average American really understands about healthcare.

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<v Speaker 3>There are twenty some odd million, twenty twenty two million

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<v Speaker 3>Americans who buy their insurance on the exchanges. The insurance

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<v Speaker 3>companies have already filed premium requests for next year. They

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<v Speaker 3>have to do it by October first, and they're asking

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<v Speaker 3>for an average of an eighteen percent increase in premiums

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<v Speaker 3>for people who buy that insurance because they expect so

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<v Speaker 3>many people to drop out because of the loss of

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<v Speaker 3>these credits that they raised. So people are going to

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<v Speaker 3>find this out now. Now you remember that the Medicaid

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<v Speaker 3>cuts don't take effect after the midterms. This takes effect now,

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<v Speaker 3>and so people may not appreciate it today and support

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<v Speaker 3>the Democrats for that reason, but by the end of

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<v Speaker 3>this year, they're going to find out what this all means.

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<v Speaker 2>So let's turn to the question of the labor market overall.

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<v Speaker 2>You follow this closely, where is it? Is it as

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<v Speaker 2>soft as some people think Right now?

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<v Speaker 3>It's a what people call a no hire, no fire

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<v Speaker 3>labor market. It's kind of frozen. We saw in the

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<v Speaker 3>ADP numbers this week, which are one indicator. They only

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<v Speaker 3>show you the private side of the market, but they're

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<v Speaker 3>sophisticated numbers and no reason to doubt them that hiring

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<v Speaker 3>has really really now.

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<v Speaker 1>I think for two reasons.

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<v Speaker 3>One is uncertainty about the economy and tariffs and all

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<v Speaker 3>the things we've been talking about for so long, and

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<v Speaker 3>the other, potentially is AI. We know that AI is

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<v Speaker 3>going to have a major effect. You saw Doug McMillan

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<v Speaker 3>of Walmart this week, for example. He has said privately

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<v Speaker 3>to people that he thinks of his two point one

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<v Speaker 3>or two point two million people, he might have a

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<v Speaker 3>million people working five years down the road or something

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<v Speaker 3>like that. It's going to have a major effect on

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<v Speaker 3>our country. Ultimately, I think for the better, but with

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<v Speaker 3>a lot of disruption along the way. And I think

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<v Speaker 3>we're beginning to see those signs.

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<v Speaker 2>If the labor markets are slowing at whatever rate, what

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<v Speaker 2>does that tell the BED Because given the reasons they're slowing,

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<v Speaker 2>do short term interest rates have any effect on that?

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<v Speaker 1>Well, in theory they do. It takes a while.

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<v Speaker 3>It's not the most direct transmission mechanism, but obviously if

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<v Speaker 3>you lower the cost of capital, business goes out and

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<v Speaker 3>borrows more, spends more. It's good for the stock market.

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<v Speaker 3>As we have seen. That creates a wealth effect. People

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<v Speaker 3>who have stocks spend more, and that's the whole essence

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<v Speaker 3>of monetary policy. I thought you're going to ask me

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<v Speaker 3>if you don't mind my saying, is that, as Powell

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<v Speaker 3>said in his last press conference, the problem he has

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<v Speaker 3>at the moment is he has to worry about both

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<v Speaker 3>sides of his mandate. Usually he has to worry about

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<v Speaker 3>an employment or inflation. Right now he has to worry

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<v Speaker 3>about both. We're not really in stagflation yet, but we

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<v Speaker 3>have bits of that on both sides of the mandate.

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<v Speaker 3>I think the one thing that maybe hiding in all

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<v Speaker 3>this is again AI AI has the potential and Trump,

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<v Speaker 3>of course, did nothing to enhance AI, particularly other than

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<v Speaker 3>doing a lot of press conferences with Sammulten and whatnot.

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<v Speaker 3>But AI has the potential to be a game changer.

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<v Speaker 3>If we can raise our productivity rate by half a

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<v Speaker 3>percentage point or a percentage point, it would have a

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<v Speaker 3>dramatic effect on growth. It would allow for more growth

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<v Speaker 3>without more inflation. I think that if the Fed were

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<v Speaker 3>to follow what Trump and Myron want and cut interest

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<v Speaker 3>rates by two hundred basis points, you'd see a fair

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<v Speaker 3>amount of inflation. And right now we're not even a

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<v Speaker 3>two percent, as we both know.

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<v Speaker 2>Prison Trump came to office promising to help an industry

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<v Speaker 2>you know, well, you helped restructure it under President Obama,

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<v Speaker 2>the auto industry. What has been the net effect of

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<v Speaker 2>the various policies.

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<v Speaker 3>I think if you talk to auto executives, and some

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<v Speaker 3>of them have said this more or less publicly, some

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<v Speaker 3>have said it more privately, I don't think really much

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<v Speaker 3>of anything good has come out of this, and the

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<v Speaker 3>stock market, if you look at the share prices, would

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<v Speaker 3>agree with that much of anything good has come out

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<v Speaker 3>of this.

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<v Speaker 1>For the auto industry.

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<v Speaker 3>I think Mary Barrow of GM has been reasonably candid

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<v Speaker 3>about the challenges opposes for them. As Jim farley Ford

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<v Speaker 3>has pointed out, GM imports more of its cars from

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<v Speaker 3>Mexico and Canada than FOUR does, so that is a

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<v Speaker 3>problem for them. The taxes on the import taxes on

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<v Speaker 3>auto parts is a huge problem for them. But also

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<v Speaker 3>the stop start policies on electrification and cafe standards and

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<v Speaker 3>so on, where you go from one administration to the

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<v Speaker 3>other and you're trying to make five year capital plans

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<v Speaker 3>and product plans and then suddenly there's a u turn

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<v Speaker 3>in policies that's not good for them.

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<v Speaker 2>You pointed outing is really striking. On the one hand,

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<v Speaker 2>the expiration this week, the ev tax credits in another hand,

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<v Speaker 2>the cafe say so sort of giving them the one

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<v Speaker 2>hand and taking away on the other hand. So net

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<v Speaker 2>net is that going to help the auto industry.

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<v Speaker 3>Well, but what those two things do is it drives

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<v Speaker 3>no pun intended the auto industry from producing small electric

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<v Speaker 3>electric or very fuel efficient cars for producing larger cars

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<v Speaker 3>that are less fuel efficient. So then they have to

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<v Speaker 3>retool and reorganize all their production plans. And sure, maybe

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<v Speaker 3>if those policies stay in place indefinitely, it would be

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<v Speaker 3>good for them. Bigger cars tend to have higher profit margins,

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<v Speaker 3>they're easier for us to compete against the foreign cars

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<v Speaker 3>that are where they can make smaller cars more efficiently,

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<v Speaker 3>and so on and so forth. But we will have

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<v Speaker 3>another president in three years and this may all change again,

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<v Speaker 3>and so it's it's not really great for American prosperity

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<v Speaker 3>and capitalism to have these kind of stop start policies.

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<v Speaker 3>I think the government does have an important role in

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<v Speaker 3>policy where they're what they call externalities, where they're effects

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<v Speaker 3>of what a private actor does that aren't captured in

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<v Speaker 3>the price mechanism in the market. And emissions and climate

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<v Speaker 3>are the best example of that that. If you just

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<v Speaker 3>let auto companies make whatever they want, you didn't have

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<v Speaker 3>cafe standards, you didn't have ev tax credits, and so forth,

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<v Speaker 3>we have bigger polluting cars. But if I were a god,

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<v Speaker 3>I would have done this very differently. I would have

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<v Speaker 3>done it using the tax system, big tax on gasoline,

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<v Speaker 3>things like that to incentivize people and companies to move

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<v Speaker 3>in the right direction, not these sort of very Jerry

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<v Speaker 3>rig complicated, on again, off again regulatory policies. Why do

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<v Speaker 3>we do it this way? Because consumers don't see it.

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<v Speaker 3>They don't see the costs of cafe standards. It's not

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<v Speaker 3>part of the American culture.

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<v Speaker 2>To come full circle, what do these policies and policy

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<v Speaker 2>changes mean for employment in the auto industry, including the

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<v Speaker 2>parts business.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, let's just step back.

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<v Speaker 3>I think not just the policies, but the auto industry,

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<v Speaker 3>and I did spend some time in the auto industry.

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<v Speaker 3>The auto industry has some really significant challenges. When you

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<v Speaker 3>look at what the Chinese are doing, and yes, we

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<v Speaker 3>have huge tariffs on their cars, so they don't come

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<v Speaker 3>here at the moment, But when you look at what

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<v Speaker 3>they're able to do and the prices at which they're

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<v Speaker 3>able to produce and sell cars efficiently, and how good

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<v Speaker 3>the cars have become. They didn't have to make cars

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<v Speaker 3>for a long time. We kind of taught them how

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<v Speaker 3>to make cars. At the wage rates we pay. With

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<v Speaker 3>the other cost structure that we have in this country,

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<v Speaker 3>it is going to be it would be very tough

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<v Speaker 3>for us to compete on a completely level playing field.

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<v Speaker 3>So the question then becomes how much protectionism, if you will,

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<v Speaker 3>do you want to afford our auto industry, because we

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<v Speaker 3>think it's important to have an auto industry.

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<v Speaker 2>If you talk to auto executives, as I know you do,

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<v Speaker 2>they say, it's not a completely level playing field. Can

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<v Speaker 2>we out innovate China to be able to overcome whatever

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<v Speaker 2>substances being given.

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<v Speaker 3>I think even if we gave the subsidies, I think

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<v Speaker 3>you'd find that the Chinese can produce better, cheaper cars

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<v Speaker 3>than we can. I think their innovation is exceptional. I

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<v Speaker 3>think their costs of production is exceptional.

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<v Speaker 2>One of the advantages China has is a very large

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<v Speaker 2>domestic market. Are we seeing sort of an epical change actually,

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<v Speaker 2>from a world in which the United States was really

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<v Speaker 2>a leader in auto production to one where we're not

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<v Speaker 2>going to be We're going to be the equivalent of

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<v Speaker 2>a Europe.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, I think we'll be somewhere in between.

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<v Speaker 3>I think Europe's car industry has had many, many struggles,

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<v Speaker 3>and the extent they've been successful, it's heavily been the

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<v Speaker 3>German luxury cars exporting to China. Ironically, but yeah, look,

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<v Speaker 3>China does have, as you say, one point three billion people,

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<v Speaker 3>and they're increasingly prosperous and able to buy cars. You know,

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<v Speaker 3>over fifty percent of the cars sold in China now

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<v Speaker 3>are evs. I mean they are in a whole other

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<v Speaker 3>world compared to us in the transition away from internal

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<v Speaker 3>combustion engines into electrification.

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<v Speaker 2>Coming up, we continue the discussion of how the auto

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<v Speaker 2>industry is varing and what needs to be done to

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<v Speaker 2>ensure the strength of industries like it that make things

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<v Speaker 2>with Jim Farley, President and CEO of the Ford Motor Company.

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<v Speaker 2>Is a story about the essential economy. That's what Ford

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<v Speaker 2>CEO Jim Farley calls the part of the US market

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<v Speaker 2>where things get built, moved, or fixed. This week he

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<v Speaker 2>held a series of meetings at the restored Michigan Central

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<v Speaker 2>Rail station in Detroit, and we traveled there to hear

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<v Speaker 2>directly from him what needs to be done.

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<v Speaker 4>Ninety five million people huge part of our GDP that

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<v Speaker 4>basically build things.

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<v Speaker 5>Think about factory.

0:11:26.240 --> 0:11:32.000
<v Speaker 4>Workers, construction workers, the people who move things, rail workers,

0:11:32.160 --> 0:11:37.120
<v Speaker 4>truck drivers, and the people that fixed things. Think about plumbers, electricians,

0:11:37.679 --> 0:11:41.760
<v Speaker 4>people who are mechanics on your vehicle. That's the economy

0:11:41.920 --> 0:11:46.000
<v Speaker 4>is huge, and we have about a million people shortage today.

0:11:46.520 --> 0:11:49.200
<v Speaker 2>What's going on there? Why do why we short that

0:11:49.240 --> 0:11:50.360
<v Speaker 2>many essential workers.

0:11:50.920 --> 0:11:54.400
<v Speaker 4>It's a combination of things, David, But I think the

0:11:54.400 --> 0:11:58.040
<v Speaker 4>biggest thing is the societal prestige of these jobs has

0:11:58.160 --> 0:12:00.960
<v Speaker 4>changed from our parents and our grandpay parents. You know,

0:12:01.120 --> 0:12:03.200
<v Speaker 4>people all want to go to a four year degree

0:12:03.240 --> 0:12:05.400
<v Speaker 4>and then they want to go into the white collar workforce.

0:12:05.640 --> 0:12:08.920
<v Speaker 5>That's what my grandfather told me. He was a factory worker. Hey, Jim, I.

0:12:08.840 --> 0:12:11.080
<v Speaker 4>Don't want you to have to work this hard, you know,

0:12:11.160 --> 0:12:14.559
<v Speaker 4>go to college. And the irony of the irony is

0:12:14.679 --> 0:12:17.280
<v Speaker 4>we have all these data centers, all this new technology

0:12:17.480 --> 0:12:21.959
<v Speaker 4>or all out still requires electricians, construction workers, you know,

0:12:22.120 --> 0:12:25.000
<v Speaker 4>and we have this huge shortage. The second thing is

0:12:25.120 --> 0:12:29.320
<v Speaker 4>our country has really pulled back on investing in education programs,

0:12:29.360 --> 0:12:31.840
<v Speaker 4>the local college support.

0:12:31.760 --> 0:12:33.120
<v Speaker 5>For these kinds of jobs.

0:12:33.200 --> 0:12:36.120
<v Speaker 4>There's no high schools around vocational programs anymore.

0:12:36.160 --> 0:12:38.480
<v Speaker 5>That's the exception, not the rule anymore.

0:12:38.800 --> 0:12:43.360
<v Speaker 4>I think the last thing is permitting all the regulatory

0:12:43.440 --> 0:12:46.959
<v Speaker 4>requirements on these jobs is really tough, especially for small business,

0:12:47.360 --> 0:12:50.120
<v Speaker 4>and it just makes these jobs hard and complicated.

0:12:50.360 --> 0:12:53.560
<v Speaker 2>How does AI fit with the essential economy?

0:12:53.840 --> 0:12:56.360
<v Speaker 4>Well, I hope that it will be a help, but

0:12:56.480 --> 0:12:59.240
<v Speaker 4>it's hard to say that today we're going to have

0:12:59.280 --> 0:13:02.400
<v Speaker 4>a lot of wins for the essential economy of the I.

0:13:02.520 --> 0:13:05.000
<v Speaker 4>For example, we have to build all these data centers

0:13:05.040 --> 0:13:09.839
<v Speaker 4>all the transmission lines thus can require plumbers, you know, electricians,

0:13:10.320 --> 0:13:13.840
<v Speaker 4>a lot of technical people to do all that construction workers.

0:13:14.200 --> 0:13:17.360
<v Speaker 4>But on the other hand, over the last twenty years,

0:13:17.800 --> 0:13:21.679
<v Speaker 4>the essential economy productivity has actually gone down. Wise, white

0:13:21.679 --> 0:13:24.920
<v Speaker 4>collar productivity has gone up twenty to thirty percent. That's

0:13:24.960 --> 0:13:28.640
<v Speaker 4>like for the average essential worker, that's like thirty thousand

0:13:28.679 --> 0:13:32.000
<v Speaker 4>dollars a year. So we don't have a good track

0:13:32.040 --> 0:13:35.800
<v Speaker 4>wreck here here of applying new technology like AI to

0:13:35.880 --> 0:13:37.760
<v Speaker 4>make these jobs more productive.

0:13:38.280 --> 0:13:40.520
<v Speaker 5>It, you know, automation, things like that.

0:13:40.840 --> 0:13:44.360
<v Speaker 4>Those innovations really took jobs out of the job market

0:13:44.440 --> 0:13:46.640
<v Speaker 4>and out of the essential economy.

0:13:47.280 --> 0:13:48.199
<v Speaker 5>I think we'd have to.

0:13:48.480 --> 0:13:52.679
<v Speaker 4>Twist the technology through the lens of these critical jobs

0:13:52.840 --> 0:13:54.319
<v Speaker 4>for it to be the opposite.

0:13:54.559 --> 0:13:57.480
<v Speaker 2>The government plays a central role in turning around the

0:13:57.600 --> 0:14:02.120
<v Speaker 2>essential economy, with President Trump emphasize manufacturing and the need

0:14:02.200 --> 0:14:05.320
<v Speaker 2>for trade schools. What Farley has yet to see the

0:14:05.360 --> 0:14:08.640
<v Speaker 2>real results, including with those auto tariffs.

0:14:09.440 --> 0:14:10.760
<v Speaker 5>It's too early to tell.

0:14:11.000 --> 0:14:13.760
<v Speaker 4>I haven't seen a lot of new plant announcements of

0:14:13.800 --> 0:14:17.000
<v Speaker 4>my competitors who import. You know, our market is fifty

0:14:17.000 --> 0:14:20.200
<v Speaker 4>percent import So what I was looking for is how

0:14:20.240 --> 0:14:22.400
<v Speaker 4>many of those imported vehicles are now being built in

0:14:22.400 --> 0:14:25.400
<v Speaker 4>the US. We haven't seen too many announcements. What hasn't

0:14:25.480 --> 0:14:27.760
<v Speaker 4>changed is Ford's commitment to the US. We build eighty

0:14:27.800 --> 0:14:32.640
<v Speaker 4>percent of our vehicles here with the largest employer UAW workers,

0:14:32.960 --> 0:14:35.680
<v Speaker 4>and where the largest export are by far from the US.

0:14:36.520 --> 0:14:38.680
<v Speaker 5>I would say it is too early to.

0:14:38.600 --> 0:14:42.760
<v Speaker 4>Tell, but I'm seeing the tone at the top in

0:14:42.880 --> 0:14:48.920
<v Speaker 4>DC be very thoughtful about the parts tariffs, which more

0:14:48.960 --> 0:14:52.400
<v Speaker 4>than twenty percent of our tariff of our profits has

0:14:52.480 --> 0:14:52.960
<v Speaker 4>lost on.

0:14:52.920 --> 0:14:53.960
<v Speaker 5>These parts tariffs.

0:14:54.080 --> 0:14:56.560
<v Speaker 4>So yes, we make in the US, but we import

0:14:56.600 --> 0:14:59.120
<v Speaker 4>parts from all around the world because some of them,

0:14:59.160 --> 0:15:01.720
<v Speaker 4>like wiring looms, we can't even buy in the US.

0:15:02.480 --> 0:15:05.960
<v Speaker 4>The tax the tariffs on those parts, maybe twenty percent

0:15:06.040 --> 0:15:08.680
<v Speaker 4>of your F one fifty is twenty percent of our

0:15:08.720 --> 0:15:12.360
<v Speaker 4>profit gone. And I'm seeing a tone at the top

0:15:12.720 --> 0:15:16.120
<v Speaker 4>in DC where they are listening to us very carefully

0:15:16.400 --> 0:15:21.480
<v Speaker 4>because they understand long term that twenty two billion dollars

0:15:21.480 --> 0:15:24.680
<v Speaker 4>of headwind for US will not be good for the US,

0:15:24.880 --> 0:15:27.600
<v Speaker 4>especially for a company like Ford. I don't know what

0:15:27.600 --> 0:15:29.840
<v Speaker 4>they're going to do, but boy if we had a

0:15:29.840 --> 0:15:32.680
<v Speaker 4>lot of conversations with Commerce and the President about this,

0:15:33.760 --> 0:15:37.040
<v Speaker 4>and I remain very optimistic that they'll make the right adjustments.

0:15:37.240 --> 0:15:39.880
<v Speaker 4>If they make the right adjustments on tariffs, with the

0:15:39.920 --> 0:15:41.840
<v Speaker 4>EPA rule, some of the.

0:15:41.760 --> 0:15:44.840
<v Speaker 5>Tax changes like PTC, I think.

0:15:44.840 --> 0:15:47.840
<v Speaker 4>We will see a much stronger US industry in the

0:15:47.880 --> 0:15:49.880
<v Speaker 4>coming years, and I'm sure hopeful of that.

0:15:50.760 --> 0:15:53.640
<v Speaker 2>When we spoke to Farley a year ago, before President

0:15:53.680 --> 0:15:57.640
<v Speaker 2>Trump's election, the auto industry was working and investing hard

0:15:57.760 --> 0:16:01.800
<v Speaker 2>to meet government targets for electric vehicles. Since then, EB

0:16:01.960 --> 0:16:05.720
<v Speaker 2>policy has been turned on its head, making automakers' lives

0:16:05.880 --> 0:16:10.520
<v Speaker 2>dramatically more complicated. Roger Penske, founder of the Penske Corporation

0:16:10.640 --> 0:16:14.000
<v Speaker 2>and owner of IndyCar, says it's the result of ignoring

0:16:14.080 --> 0:16:15.520
<v Speaker 2>what the customer wants.

0:16:15.880 --> 0:16:18.960
<v Speaker 6>No one asked the customer what they wanted number one

0:16:18.960 --> 0:16:22.560
<v Speaker 6>and number two, we didn't have the infrastructure, and the

0:16:22.640 --> 0:16:26.880
<v Speaker 6>expectation on range wasn't there. So everything came together the

0:16:26.920 --> 0:16:31.560
<v Speaker 6>way they sold electric vehicles with government support. The seventy

0:16:31.600 --> 0:16:34.800
<v Speaker 6>five hundred dollars is going away. When you think about that,

0:16:34.800 --> 0:16:37.600
<v Speaker 6>that's fifty billion that the government is going to be

0:16:37.640 --> 0:16:40.880
<v Speaker 6>able to put, hopefully towards something that's better off for

0:16:40.960 --> 0:16:43.480
<v Speaker 6>our economy and better off for the country. But I

0:16:43.480 --> 0:16:46.520
<v Speaker 6>would say they're going through a transition, all of them,

0:16:46.680 --> 0:16:50.480
<v Speaker 6>said Barry bearra Has Farley has you know, they're moving

0:16:50.560 --> 0:16:53.000
<v Speaker 6>to lower cost EV vehicles.

0:16:53.440 --> 0:16:56.640
<v Speaker 2>You at Ford, like the other automakers, have really made

0:16:56.680 --> 0:17:00.800
<v Speaker 2>a lot of capital investment commitments for an EV. What

0:17:01.000 --> 0:17:02.240
<v Speaker 2>happens to those investments?

0:17:02.280 --> 0:17:02.560
<v Speaker 6>Now?

0:17:02.920 --> 0:17:05.760
<v Speaker 4>What's an important question for our country. First of all,

0:17:05.840 --> 0:17:10.080
<v Speaker 4>Ford never talked about an all electric Ford we always

0:17:10.080 --> 0:17:13.479
<v Speaker 4>set a customer choice. We have hybrid the f one

0:17:13.560 --> 0:17:16.320
<v Speaker 4>fifty best selling vehicle in the United States. Almost a

0:17:16.400 --> 0:17:20.119
<v Speaker 4>third is now hybrid. So we never bet the farm

0:17:20.160 --> 0:17:23.160
<v Speaker 4>on electrification, and we were a first mover. We've been

0:17:23.240 --> 0:17:25.320
<v Speaker 4>number two to TESTAF I think for three years now.

0:17:26.000 --> 0:17:30.040
<v Speaker 4>But that is the biggest next up question. How does

0:17:30.080 --> 0:17:37.200
<v Speaker 4>Ford adjustice assets from moving to making large scale battery operations.

0:17:37.240 --> 0:17:38.639
<v Speaker 5>We have three battery.

0:17:38.280 --> 0:17:41.400
<v Speaker 4>Plants in Kentucky and Tennessee, another one here in Michigan

0:17:41.480 --> 0:17:47.480
<v Speaker 4>and Marshall, so four plus two assembly plants dedicated to electrics.

0:17:47.840 --> 0:17:49.680
<v Speaker 5>You know, what do we do with those assets.

0:17:50.080 --> 0:17:51.719
<v Speaker 4>I'm not going to go into the details, but all

0:17:51.760 --> 0:17:55.000
<v Speaker 4>I say is they're some of the best factories we've

0:17:55.040 --> 0:17:59.399
<v Speaker 4>ever built. We've designed them flexibly and we'll make the

0:17:59.480 --> 0:18:00.800
<v Speaker 4>right decision for the company.

0:18:01.000 --> 0:18:02.680
<v Speaker 5>We're not going to allow.

0:18:02.400 --> 0:18:06.040
<v Speaker 4>These to be mothballed, and we have more decisions to

0:18:06.040 --> 0:18:08.280
<v Speaker 4>make on those battery plants and assembly plants in the

0:18:08.320 --> 0:18:11.640
<v Speaker 4>coming months and years with this change, because a year

0:18:11.680 --> 0:18:14.240
<v Speaker 4>ago we didn't see the customer like we do today,

0:18:14.760 --> 0:18:18.119
<v Speaker 4>and boy are we seeing customers by hybrids and partial

0:18:18.119 --> 0:18:22.280
<v Speaker 4>electric solutions. So America is moving more to low co

0:18:22.520 --> 0:18:27.960
<v Speaker 4>two footprint powertrains, but they are not accepting full electrics

0:18:28.000 --> 0:18:30.320
<v Speaker 4>anywhere near what we thought when you.

0:18:30.280 --> 0:18:32.680
<v Speaker 2>Talk about some of the policies coming out of Washington.

0:18:32.760 --> 0:18:34.399
<v Speaker 2>On the one hand, as you mentioned, there's the seventy

0:18:34.400 --> 0:18:36.320
<v Speaker 2>five hundred dollars credit, yeah, the way this way, Yes.

0:18:36.480 --> 0:18:38.560
<v Speaker 2>On the other hand, you've got the cafe Yes. So

0:18:38.720 --> 0:18:41.199
<v Speaker 2>there's some gives and takes on this. How does that

0:18:41.200 --> 0:18:42.879
<v Speaker 2>all come up for the Ford Motor Company.

0:18:43.600 --> 0:18:46.439
<v Speaker 5>Well, it's accelerating this awkward moment.

0:18:46.640 --> 0:18:49.600
<v Speaker 4>Basically, the seventy five hundred dollars, which could be up

0:18:49.680 --> 0:18:53.280
<v Speaker 4>to you know, twenty thirty percent of the purchase price

0:18:53.480 --> 0:18:56.240
<v Speaker 4>is gone and makes evs a lot more expensive.

0:18:56.440 --> 0:18:57.760
<v Speaker 1>But think about Ford.

0:18:57.520 --> 0:19:00.440
<v Speaker 4>As a global company. We're not just the most American company.

0:19:00.560 --> 0:19:03.880
<v Speaker 4>We compete around the globe. And in China.

0:19:03.640 --> 0:19:06.080
<v Speaker 5>Fifty percent of the vehicles are electric. In Europe is

0:19:06.160 --> 0:19:06.880
<v Speaker 5>thirty percent.

0:19:07.359 --> 0:19:10.000
<v Speaker 4>So we have to set up our industrial system to

0:19:10.000 --> 0:19:13.120
<v Speaker 4>compete not just in the four or five percent here

0:19:13.160 --> 0:19:16.919
<v Speaker 4>in America with maybe a higher mix of hybrids or erevs,

0:19:17.440 --> 0:19:20.679
<v Speaker 4>but in China or the rest of the world. We

0:19:20.760 --> 0:19:24.440
<v Speaker 4>still have to make this ev future profitable. To do that,

0:19:24.600 --> 0:19:26.720
<v Speaker 4>we made a big bet four years ago. We did

0:19:26.720 --> 0:19:29.040
<v Speaker 4>in secret. We came up with a small group of

0:19:29.080 --> 0:19:32.520
<v Speaker 4>people on the West Coast and we redesigned the way

0:19:32.560 --> 0:19:34.600
<v Speaker 4>we make and design a vehicle. We call it the

0:19:34.680 --> 0:19:37.119
<v Speaker 4>Universe Electric Vehicles, kind of a model t kind of

0:19:37.119 --> 0:19:39.520
<v Speaker 4>moment for the company. That vehicle will be coming out

0:19:39.520 --> 0:19:41.520
<v Speaker 4>in about a year and a half. That is our

0:19:41.640 --> 0:19:44.800
<v Speaker 4>way of competing with BYD's costs they've been added for

0:19:44.840 --> 0:19:48.199
<v Speaker 4>twenty years. These markets are huge outside the US. We

0:19:48.280 --> 0:19:52.399
<v Speaker 4>still have to be successful globally. We can't just draw

0:19:52.440 --> 0:19:54.639
<v Speaker 4>a big wall around the US and say that's what

0:19:54.760 --> 0:19:55.879
<v Speaker 4>Ford Motor Company is.

0:19:56.440 --> 0:19:58.840
<v Speaker 2>Another subject we discussed a year ago was China, Yes,

0:19:58.880 --> 0:20:02.199
<v Speaker 2>and what's going on? Bring us forward one year? For

0:20:02.240 --> 0:20:03.159
<v Speaker 2>example with BYD.

0:20:03.640 --> 0:20:06.520
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, I mean a year ago, Tessa was the number

0:20:06.520 --> 0:20:10.240
<v Speaker 4>one seller globally electric vehicles and VW was a top

0:20:10.320 --> 0:20:13.320
<v Speaker 4>rand in China. The world's biggest market is almost twenty

0:20:13.359 --> 0:20:16.480
<v Speaker 4>seven million. The US is sixteen. Maybe on a good

0:20:16.520 --> 0:20:17.960
<v Speaker 4>day you imagine.

0:20:17.520 --> 0:20:18.280
<v Speaker 1>How big that is.

0:20:18.400 --> 0:20:20.880
<v Speaker 5>It's not twice as big, but it's a big market.

0:20:21.680 --> 0:20:25.160
<v Speaker 4>Now BOID is not only out selling Volkswagen, they're now

0:20:25.200 --> 0:20:28.240
<v Speaker 4>the number one electric player in the world. A year later,

0:20:28.800 --> 0:20:32.240
<v Speaker 4>very powerful company, vertically integrated like Henry Ford did in

0:20:32.280 --> 0:20:32.880
<v Speaker 4>the thirties.

0:20:33.440 --> 0:20:35.240
<v Speaker 5>We're very humble, but it's the same token.

0:20:35.400 --> 0:20:38.840
<v Speaker 4>Ford has announced our Universe Electric platform to be built

0:20:38.840 --> 0:20:42.320
<v Speaker 4>in Louisville, Kentucky, and we think it's basically a wash

0:20:42.480 --> 0:20:46.600
<v Speaker 4>with BYD made in Mexico because we've thrown innovation at it.

0:20:47.800 --> 0:20:50.080
<v Speaker 5>So a lot has changed, and we've.

0:20:49.920 --> 0:20:56.720
<v Speaker 4>Seen Europe it's been really the battleground for globally for

0:20:56.800 --> 0:21:00.320
<v Speaker 4>the Chinese. Now it looks like this month, I bet

0:21:00.359 --> 0:21:02.280
<v Speaker 4>you the Chinese will be close to ten percent of

0:21:02.280 --> 0:21:05.840
<v Speaker 4>the European EV market. Many of the brands weren't even

0:21:05.840 --> 0:21:10.640
<v Speaker 4>on sale a year ago, mg G Le others. Now

0:21:10.640 --> 0:21:14.879
<v Speaker 4>they're very successful like BID in Europe. It's really a moment,

0:21:15.640 --> 0:21:19.119
<v Speaker 4>a transitional moment for our industry where everyone used to

0:21:19.160 --> 0:21:22.520
<v Speaker 4>talk about South Korea or Japan. In my eyes as

0:21:22.560 --> 0:21:26.160
<v Speaker 4>the CEO, China is the place where the most fit

0:21:26.240 --> 0:21:29.600
<v Speaker 4>industrial systems are getting created, not just for electric vehicles,

0:21:29.800 --> 0:21:33.520
<v Speaker 4>but for internal combustion vehicles. And without projects like UEV,

0:21:34.440 --> 0:21:37.679
<v Speaker 4>companies will will be under thread of existence.

0:21:38.280 --> 0:21:42.159
<v Speaker 2>You were on the front lines when Japanese manufacturers are

0:21:42.160 --> 0:21:44.119
<v Speaker 2>going to stole market share they I'd say, yes. But

0:21:44.200 --> 0:21:48.240
<v Speaker 2>bringing forward to today, there is a different economic structure in China.

0:21:49.040 --> 0:21:50.920
<v Speaker 1>There is subsidies, yes there is.

0:21:51.200 --> 0:21:56.320
<v Speaker 2>Can the American auto industry outcompete those subsidies, out innovate

0:21:56.359 --> 0:21:57.160
<v Speaker 2>those subsidies.

0:21:57.720 --> 0:22:01.639
<v Speaker 4>That's a very difficult answer to to give you right now.

0:22:01.720 --> 0:22:04.640
<v Speaker 4>I think it's too really to answer your question because

0:22:04.680 --> 0:22:07.600
<v Speaker 4>we're only in the second inning of these pure electric vehicles,

0:22:07.920 --> 0:22:11.479
<v Speaker 4>and the innovation cycles so fast we could be talking

0:22:11.480 --> 0:22:13.200
<v Speaker 4>in a year or two of a whole new battery

0:22:13.240 --> 0:22:17.000
<v Speaker 4>technology that could either change that equation. But I will

0:22:17.040 --> 0:22:21.280
<v Speaker 4>say at this point they have a big lead. When

0:22:21.320 --> 0:22:24.480
<v Speaker 4>you look at a BYD, we think on average four

0:22:24.520 --> 0:22:27.960
<v Speaker 4>to five thousand dollars a vehicle of direct support from

0:22:27.960 --> 0:22:31.840
<v Speaker 4>the Chinese government that's exported to Europe and New Mexico

0:22:31.920 --> 0:22:32.679
<v Speaker 4>and places like that.

0:22:33.760 --> 0:22:35.200
<v Speaker 5>Can we make up for that.

0:22:35.680 --> 0:22:39.320
<v Speaker 4>Plus their scale, their industrial scale of being ten times

0:22:39.320 --> 0:22:41.919
<v Speaker 4>bigger than the US, I'd say it's pretty difficult at

0:22:41.920 --> 0:22:44.520
<v Speaker 4>this point. I will tell you the level of risk

0:22:44.560 --> 0:22:47.960
<v Speaker 4>that we've had to take on UEV on the execution side,

0:22:48.119 --> 0:22:50.960
<v Speaker 4>large unit castings, building a vehicle in a way we've

0:22:51.000 --> 0:22:51.879
<v Speaker 4>never built before.

0:22:52.440 --> 0:22:54.400
<v Speaker 5>It's not a guaranteed project.

0:22:54.400 --> 0:22:56.440
<v Speaker 4>This is all going to come together just like we thought,

0:22:56.800 --> 0:22:59.359
<v Speaker 4>and so we think we're even with them right now.

0:22:59.480 --> 0:23:03.320
<v Speaker 5>But this bead of innovation we're seeing is very humbling

0:23:03.359 --> 0:23:03.639
<v Speaker 5>for me.

0:23:04.119 --> 0:23:06.760
<v Speaker 4>Even if we have a stable platform on cost today,

0:23:07.200 --> 0:23:09.840
<v Speaker 4>will that platform be competitive in five years when the

0:23:09.880 --> 0:23:12.880
<v Speaker 4>battery tech does another full cycle of innovation.

0:23:13.359 --> 0:23:14.040
<v Speaker 5>Hard to say.

0:23:14.600 --> 0:23:18.760
<v Speaker 4>I'm thinking about twenty thirty two right now. That's to

0:23:18.800 --> 0:23:21.280
<v Speaker 4>answer your question. I'm there. I have to make those

0:23:21.280 --> 0:23:24.080
<v Speaker 4>capital choices now for twenty thirty two. To answer your

0:23:24.119 --> 0:23:27.680
<v Speaker 4>question right now, I think there's a chance. But without

0:23:28.119 --> 0:23:32.160
<v Speaker 4>huge support where it's more of a level of playing field,

0:23:32.720 --> 0:23:36.560
<v Speaker 4>where it isn't in Europe, I think it's gonna be

0:23:36.640 --> 0:23:39.760
<v Speaker 4>really tough, maybe the toughest battle of my career.

0:23:42.080 --> 0:23:42.600
<v Speaker 1>Up next.

0:23:42.760 --> 0:23:46.240
<v Speaker 2>The Australian economy has been powered for three decades by

0:23:46.280 --> 0:23:49.879
<v Speaker 2>its rich natural resources. We travel down Under to see

0:23:49.920 --> 0:23:53.639
<v Speaker 2>firsthand its efforts to diversify into new and more cutting

0:23:53.720 --> 0:24:05.520
<v Speaker 2>edge areas of growth. This is a story about the

0:24:05.640 --> 0:24:09.400
<v Speaker 2>need to be good as well as lucky. Australia has

0:24:09.440 --> 0:24:12.280
<v Speaker 2>been lucky in the natural resources that have been driving

0:24:12.320 --> 0:24:16.240
<v Speaker 2>its uninterrupted growth for three decades, but now it needs

0:24:16.280 --> 0:24:19.080
<v Speaker 2>to be good in innovation and investing to keep that

0:24:19.200 --> 0:24:24.200
<v Speaker 2>growth going. As our colleague Heidie stroud Watt reports from Sydney.

0:24:26.640 --> 0:24:29.720
<v Speaker 7>Australia has long been known as the lucky country, a

0:24:29.800 --> 0:24:34.000
<v Speaker 7>land of sun, surf and abundant resources. For those looking

0:24:34.040 --> 0:24:37.560
<v Speaker 7>to drive its future, fortune has been harder to find.

0:24:38.160 --> 0:24:40.680
<v Speaker 8>We now find ourselves at a place where there is

0:24:40.800 --> 0:24:45.480
<v Speaker 8>basically no interested growth capital in Australia. Our last round,

0:24:45.800 --> 0:24:49.119
<v Speaker 8>which was a world record setting Series B, eighty percent

0:24:49.160 --> 0:24:53.359
<v Speaker 8>of the funds inbound were foreign direct investment. Only three

0:24:53.520 --> 0:24:57.240
<v Speaker 8>out of twenty investors who joined us were from Australia,

0:24:57.720 --> 0:25:01.440
<v Speaker 8>so we are obligated to look outside. It's the lack

0:25:01.480 --> 0:25:02.359
<v Speaker 8>of familiarity.

0:25:02.960 --> 0:25:06.160
<v Speaker 7>Michael Biersuk is a founder and CEO of q Control,

0:25:06.320 --> 0:25:08.480
<v Speaker 7>a quantum tech startup based in Sydney.

0:25:09.040 --> 0:25:12.000
<v Speaker 8>It's not about loyalty to Australia or disloyalty. It's about

0:25:12.000 --> 0:25:15.199
<v Speaker 8>economic opportunity. The US and the UK right now are

0:25:15.240 --> 0:25:18.240
<v Speaker 8>making massive investments from the public sector and of course

0:25:18.280 --> 0:25:22.440
<v Speaker 8>the private sector in advancing this technology for sovereign capability.

0:25:22.600 --> 0:25:26.440
<v Speaker 8>Australia has not yet done that, and we're looking forward to.

0:25:26.400 --> 0:25:27.800
<v Speaker 1>That kind of investment in the future.

0:25:27.920 --> 0:25:31.920
<v Speaker 8>This is a real map of data coming from commercial airplanes.

0:25:32.080 --> 0:25:34.879
<v Speaker 8>At q Control, we focus on this new field of

0:25:34.920 --> 0:25:38.840
<v Speaker 8>quantum technology and our specialty is building new kinds of

0:25:38.880 --> 0:25:42.879
<v Speaker 8>AI that make this emerging technology area actually useful for

0:25:43.119 --> 0:25:46.640
<v Speaker 8>end applications. One of the core areas that we've invested

0:25:46.640 --> 0:25:50.120
<v Speaker 8>in is helping navigate when there is no GPS. Now,

0:25:50.200 --> 0:25:54.640
<v Speaker 8>on a daily basis, GPS completely governs our lives. Unfortunately,

0:25:55.160 --> 0:25:59.560
<v Speaker 8>the reliability of GPS has diminished tremendously just in the

0:25:59.600 --> 0:26:03.160
<v Speaker 8>last year. Since March of twenty twenty four, we've seen

0:26:03.200 --> 0:26:07.560
<v Speaker 8>almost one thousand flights a day commercial aviation flights disrupted

0:26:07.600 --> 0:26:11.680
<v Speaker 8>by deliberate GPS jamming. This is emerging as a major

0:26:11.720 --> 0:26:14.359
<v Speaker 8>threat and it's not just in commercial aviation. Defense sees

0:26:14.440 --> 0:26:17.959
<v Speaker 8>exactly the same challenges. We set out to try and

0:26:18.000 --> 0:26:20.639
<v Speaker 8>fix this through our work in quantum sensing, and we

0:26:20.800 --> 0:26:25.440
<v Speaker 8>built a new technology that lets us navigate with our GPS.

0:26:25.880 --> 0:26:29.160
<v Speaker 7>It's a business of tomorrow, the kind many believes should

0:26:29.160 --> 0:26:33.040
<v Speaker 7>play a far greater role in shaping Australia's economy of tomorrow.

0:26:33.480 --> 0:26:35.600
<v Speaker 9>Well, we've won the risk of falling behind. I mean,

0:26:35.640 --> 0:26:38.800
<v Speaker 9>there's no question about that. You've got you know, you've

0:26:38.880 --> 0:26:40.639
<v Speaker 9>got to stay at the head, at the front of

0:26:40.680 --> 0:26:45.119
<v Speaker 9>the pack. And to do that you have to you know,

0:26:45.160 --> 0:26:47.640
<v Speaker 9>you've got to keep innovating. You've got to keep asking

0:26:47.800 --> 0:26:51.280
<v Speaker 9>every day. Our our policy is working. Complacency is a

0:26:51.359 --> 0:26:55.080
<v Speaker 9>killer in politics and government, as in business.

0:26:55.880 --> 0:26:59.320
<v Speaker 7>But before examining the Australian economy of tomorrow, it's worth

0:26:59.320 --> 0:27:03.320
<v Speaker 7>explaining the economy of today. It was nineteen sixty four

0:27:03.320 --> 0:27:06.560
<v Speaker 7>when the author Donald Horn famously took aim at Australia,

0:27:06.960 --> 0:27:10.200
<v Speaker 7>calling it a lucky country run mainly by second rate

0:27:10.240 --> 0:27:13.440
<v Speaker 7>people who share its luck. It was a job at

0:27:13.480 --> 0:27:17.359
<v Speaker 7>its complacency, a country whose wealth, he argued, came not

0:27:17.400 --> 0:27:23.879
<v Speaker 7>from innovation or ingenuity, but from its abundant natural resources iron, ore, coal, gold.

0:27:24.280 --> 0:27:25.159
<v Speaker 7>The list goes on.

0:27:25.680 --> 0:27:28.920
<v Speaker 10>There's no doubt that the economy has a pretty narrow base.

0:27:29.480 --> 0:27:32.960
<v Speaker 7>Jennifer Westercott is a senior advisor at KPMG and a

0:27:33.040 --> 0:27:36.840
<v Speaker 7>former CEO of the Australian Business Council. She says that

0:27:36.880 --> 0:27:40.480
<v Speaker 7>although the country's economy might not be highly diversified, it's

0:27:40.600 --> 0:27:42.720
<v Speaker 7>proven to be very lucrative so far.

0:27:43.200 --> 0:27:46.520
<v Speaker 10>I think the economy still has incredible kind of foundations

0:27:46.560 --> 0:27:48.920
<v Speaker 10>in mining and resources, and there's still a long long

0:27:48.960 --> 0:27:50.240
<v Speaker 10>way to go in resources.

0:27:50.880 --> 0:27:54.280
<v Speaker 7>Australia ranked second in the world for median wealth per capita,

0:27:54.560 --> 0:27:58.560
<v Speaker 7>but its narrow base is showing fragility. Commodity earnings are

0:27:58.600 --> 0:28:01.080
<v Speaker 7>expected to fall to two hundred than seventy one billion

0:28:01.160 --> 0:28:04.000
<v Speaker 7>US dollars this year about three hundred and eighty five

0:28:04.000 --> 0:28:07.240
<v Speaker 7>billion Australian dollars and continue to drop over the next

0:28:07.280 --> 0:28:12.280
<v Speaker 7>two years on folding prices and an uncertain global economy. Well,

0:28:12.320 --> 0:28:15.600
<v Speaker 7>the Reserve Bank of Australia recently slashed it's forecasts for

0:28:15.680 --> 0:28:17.440
<v Speaker 7>economic growth and productivity.

0:28:17.800 --> 0:28:20.240
<v Speaker 10>So I think you know that the first thing we

0:28:20.280 --> 0:28:22.879
<v Speaker 10>need to do is make sure that we protect and

0:28:22.960 --> 0:28:27.120
<v Speaker 10>strengthen that incredible base that's propped up living standards for many,

0:28:27.160 --> 0:28:33.000
<v Speaker 10>many years and has made the country extremely prosperous and

0:28:33.040 --> 0:28:35.840
<v Speaker 10>so there's lots of ways of diversifying the economy and

0:28:35.960 --> 0:28:39.080
<v Speaker 10>driving greater innovation in the economy. The first is to

0:28:39.160 --> 0:28:42.880
<v Speaker 10>drive higher levels of investment, and investment as a share

0:28:42.920 --> 0:28:46.160
<v Speaker 10>of GDP is around the same level was in the

0:28:46.240 --> 0:28:48.960
<v Speaker 10>nineteen ninety so we need to get investment happening. That's

0:28:49.000 --> 0:28:52.000
<v Speaker 10>about lower taxes or on more competitive tax system. It's

0:28:52.040 --> 0:28:55.840
<v Speaker 10>also about reducing regulation. We've also got to drive more innovation.

0:28:56.000 --> 0:29:00.000
<v Speaker 10>That's about skilling our population, making sure that we draw

0:29:00.360 --> 0:29:03.040
<v Speaker 10>the new skills the future in racing things like AI

0:29:03.800 --> 0:29:06.920
<v Speaker 10>and going with sectors of the economy that are in

0:29:06.960 --> 0:29:10.160
<v Speaker 10>our comparative advantage and things that we can scale on.

0:29:11.440 --> 0:29:15.120
<v Speaker 7>And the economy's fragility places even more importance on setting

0:29:15.160 --> 0:29:18.800
<v Speaker 7>up its future. Australia, for all its wealth, spends just

0:29:18.880 --> 0:29:21.960
<v Speaker 7>one point seven percent of GDP on research and development,

0:29:22.440 --> 0:29:25.760
<v Speaker 7>well below the OECD average of two point seven percent.

0:29:26.440 --> 0:29:29.560
<v Speaker 7>Malcolm Turnbull was the Prime Minister of Australia between twenty

0:29:29.640 --> 0:29:34.040
<v Speaker 7>fifteen and twenty eighteen, and before that ran Goldman Sachs Australia.

0:29:34.720 --> 0:29:37.400
<v Speaker 9>At the level of the economy, the big priority has

0:29:37.440 --> 0:29:41.880
<v Speaker 9>always got to be productivity and that is driven by innovation.

0:29:42.080 --> 0:29:45.760
<v Speaker 9>So you've got to You've got, at one level get

0:29:45.840 --> 0:29:49.080
<v Speaker 9>rid of as much regulation and red tape as you can.

0:29:49.200 --> 0:29:52.400
<v Speaker 9>At the same time you've really got to supercharge innovation.

0:29:52.960 --> 0:29:55.320
<v Speaker 9>This was a really important part of my time as

0:29:55.400 --> 0:30:00.080
<v Speaker 9>PMS by Big first Big Economic Agenda, the National Innovation

0:30:00.200 --> 0:30:05.840
<v Speaker 9>and Science Agenda in twenty fifteen that gave tech, R

0:30:05.880 --> 0:30:10.680
<v Speaker 9>and D, investment, venture capital a huge lift and which

0:30:10.800 --> 0:30:12.280
<v Speaker 9>they're still benefiting from.

0:30:12.440 --> 0:30:14.120
<v Speaker 1>But you've got to do it again.

0:30:14.240 --> 0:30:16.720
<v Speaker 9>You know, you can't just do it once and put

0:30:16.720 --> 0:30:18.200
<v Speaker 9>it aside and say that's it.

0:30:18.320 --> 0:30:20.800
<v Speaker 7>How do you characterize the environment when it comes to

0:30:20.800 --> 0:30:24.000
<v Speaker 7>tech an innovation. Do you think it's not getting as

0:30:24.080 --> 0:30:26.880
<v Speaker 7>much attention or as credit as it should be or

0:30:26.920 --> 0:30:29.400
<v Speaker 7>do you think that progress has stalled?

0:30:30.000 --> 0:30:34.680
<v Speaker 9>Well, look, Australia does not spend enough on research and development. False,

0:30:34.720 --> 0:30:38.120
<v Speaker 9>Australian business doesn't and we're not spending enough in the

0:30:38.480 --> 0:30:43.960
<v Speaker 9>pure research primary research realm of universities and research institutions

0:30:44.000 --> 0:30:46.360
<v Speaker 9>are so that needs more encouragement.

0:30:47.240 --> 0:30:50.800
<v Speaker 7>As a result, Australia's foreign direct investment is still heavily

0:30:50.840 --> 0:30:55.360
<v Speaker 7>skewed towards mining, forcing companies like que Control to look

0:30:55.400 --> 0:30:56.760
<v Speaker 7>overseas for investment.

0:30:57.360 --> 0:31:01.480
<v Speaker 8>We have not seen the same level of major tech successes,

0:31:01.920 --> 0:31:07.400
<v Speaker 8>minting billionaires building generational technology businesses in Australia as we've

0:31:07.440 --> 0:31:09.800
<v Speaker 8>seen in the United States, and as a result, I

0:31:09.800 --> 0:31:13.920
<v Speaker 8>think that lack of familiarity has made people just less

0:31:13.960 --> 0:31:17.479
<v Speaker 8>willing to take some bets. And our objective, frankly, is

0:31:17.560 --> 0:31:19.840
<v Speaker 8>to show by example, whether you're in government or a

0:31:19.880 --> 0:31:23.920
<v Speaker 8>local investor base, that the upsides are enormous and real

0:31:24.160 --> 0:31:27.400
<v Speaker 8>and we're just trying with everything we can to deliver

0:31:27.440 --> 0:31:28.320
<v Speaker 8>on that opportunity.

0:31:28.920 --> 0:31:32.400
<v Speaker 11>Could there be that kind of transformative sort of movement

0:31:32.520 --> 0:31:36.000
<v Speaker 11>in Australia And if so, what are the policy measures,

0:31:36.040 --> 0:31:38.880
<v Speaker 11>what are the things in terms of supporting that possibility

0:31:38.920 --> 0:31:39.560
<v Speaker 11>that you see.

0:31:39.800 --> 0:31:41.959
<v Speaker 8>I think there's no question that the opportunity is there.

0:31:42.160 --> 0:31:44.920
<v Speaker 8>I came to Australia from the United States because the

0:31:45.080 --> 0:31:47.120
<v Speaker 8>research community was so strong when I was an academic

0:31:47.160 --> 0:31:47.320
<v Speaker 8>at the.

0:31:47.320 --> 0:31:48.200
<v Speaker 2>University of Sydney.

0:31:48.720 --> 0:31:54.520
<v Speaker 8>The bigger challenge has been building an industry base around

0:31:54.600 --> 0:31:58.720
<v Speaker 8>the transition from basic science over it to industrial applications

0:31:59.760 --> 0:32:02.600
<v Speaker 8>in Australia has been lagging. That we were the first

0:32:02.680 --> 0:32:06.280
<v Speaker 8>venture back company in the field in Australia. The challenges

0:32:06.280 --> 0:32:09.560
<v Speaker 8>we haven't seen that many more in the last seven years.

0:32:10.120 --> 0:32:14.000
<v Speaker 7>Westerncott, who also serves as Chancellor of Western Sydney University,

0:32:14.320 --> 0:32:17.640
<v Speaker 7>believes Australia should be capitalizing on funding cuts to US

0:32:17.840 --> 0:32:21.000
<v Speaker 7>universities to attract talent and drive innovation.

0:32:21.600 --> 0:32:23.360
<v Speaker 10>I think the first thing that we need to do is,

0:32:23.400 --> 0:32:26.600
<v Speaker 10>of course, continue to invest in our universities, continue to

0:32:26.680 --> 0:32:30.080
<v Speaker 10>invest in research and development. But we also need to

0:32:30.160 --> 0:32:33.480
<v Speaker 10>send very consistent and clear policy signals that we're open

0:32:33.800 --> 0:32:36.640
<v Speaker 10>for international students. Now we have a cap on international

0:32:36.680 --> 0:32:40.360
<v Speaker 10>students at the moment, which is very controversial in Australia.

0:32:40.400 --> 0:32:43.160
<v Speaker 10>We need to send that message that we want international

0:32:43.200 --> 0:32:46.320
<v Speaker 10>students one of our biggest exports. We also need to

0:32:46.320 --> 0:32:51.200
<v Speaker 10>make sure that we are encouraging skilled migration from young people.

0:32:52.000 --> 0:32:54.520
<v Speaker 10>You know, KPMG did a study several years ago which

0:32:54.520 --> 0:32:56.800
<v Speaker 10>showed that we'd add thirty billion dollars to the economy

0:32:56.800 --> 0:33:00.400
<v Speaker 10>by targeting those highly skilled young people. When I run

0:33:00.440 --> 0:33:03.480
<v Speaker 10>the Business Council of Australia, the key message that big

0:33:03.480 --> 0:33:06.200
<v Speaker 10>employers will give to me is that they want more skill,

0:33:06.480 --> 0:33:10.360
<v Speaker 10>very specialized skills. So we should be really targeting those

0:33:10.400 --> 0:33:12.840
<v Speaker 10>young people from the United States, common and even work

0:33:12.880 --> 0:33:16.720
<v Speaker 10>in Australia greatest country on Earth and really targeting those

0:33:16.800 --> 0:33:20.200
<v Speaker 10>super skills. So it's an opportunity, but we can't just

0:33:20.360 --> 0:33:22.520
<v Speaker 10>kind of sit back and expect it to happen. We're

0:33:22.560 --> 0:33:25.480
<v Speaker 10>going to have to have deliberate and purposeful policies and

0:33:25.560 --> 0:33:28.600
<v Speaker 10>actions to encourage those people to come to Australia.

0:33:28.680 --> 0:33:31.520
<v Speaker 9>We have a huge opportunity in terms of talent. And

0:33:32.000 --> 0:33:36.000
<v Speaker 9>while no one, no Australian government wants to go out

0:33:36.040 --> 0:33:41.120
<v Speaker 9>there and say to talented people in other countries, you're

0:33:41.160 --> 0:33:43.440
<v Speaker 9>living in a terrible country, come and live in our house.

0:33:43.520 --> 0:33:44.880
<v Speaker 1>You've got to be tactful about this.

0:33:45.400 --> 0:33:48.840
<v Speaker 9>But let's face it, there is a war for talent

0:33:49.160 --> 0:33:53.479
<v Speaker 9>human talent, and we have some very attractive things going on,

0:33:53.520 --> 0:33:55.120
<v Speaker 9>which is why, by the way, we need to be

0:33:55.160 --> 0:34:00.760
<v Speaker 9>putting more money into research because those scientists and technologists

0:34:00.800 --> 0:34:02.760
<v Speaker 9>will want to come here and work with it. But

0:34:02.880 --> 0:34:05.920
<v Speaker 9>you think about the livability of our cities for example,

0:34:06.440 --> 0:34:08.880
<v Speaker 9>you know we have some of the most livable cities

0:34:08.880 --> 0:34:09.400
<v Speaker 9>in the world.

0:34:09.960 --> 0:34:14.160
<v Speaker 7>Ultimately, lifestyle can only take you so far. If Australia

0:34:14.200 --> 0:34:16.920
<v Speaker 7>wants to remain competitive, it needs to be more than

0:34:17.000 --> 0:34:19.640
<v Speaker 7>just a great place to surf. It needs to be

0:34:19.680 --> 0:34:22.920
<v Speaker 7>a great place to invest. It's luck may not be

0:34:23.000 --> 0:34:26.360
<v Speaker 7>running out entirely, but to get the economy humming and

0:34:26.440 --> 0:34:30.759
<v Speaker 7>needs investment and innovation, it needs to be good as

0:34:30.800 --> 0:34:32.040
<v Speaker 7>well as lucky.

0:34:32.480 --> 0:34:34.879
<v Speaker 9>I think Australia is lucky, but we've made a lot

0:34:34.880 --> 0:34:39.239
<v Speaker 9>of our own luck too, so I'm very optimistic about Australia's.

0:34:38.680 --> 0:34:44.080
<v Speaker 2>Future coming up. AI may already be playing a big

0:34:44.200 --> 0:34:46.960
<v Speaker 2>role in your next visit to the doctor without your

0:34:47.040 --> 0:34:50.000
<v Speaker 2>even knowing about it. We tell the story of artificial

0:34:50.040 --> 0:35:05.480
<v Speaker 2>intelligence in healthcare next. This is not yet another story

0:35:05.520 --> 0:35:08.640
<v Speaker 2>about the promise of artificial intelligence. It's the first in

0:35:08.680 --> 0:35:11.439
<v Speaker 2>a series of stories that go beyond the hope and

0:35:11.680 --> 0:35:14.399
<v Speaker 2>the hype to see where AI is making a real

0:35:14.440 --> 0:35:18.759
<v Speaker 2>difference today. Starting with something important to us. All our

0:35:18.840 --> 0:35:19.560
<v Speaker 2>medical care.

0:35:21.120 --> 0:35:23.000
<v Speaker 4>Yes, yeah, good morning.

0:35:23.239 --> 0:35:27.840
<v Speaker 2>On any given day Tennessee, based on coologists Samyukta Mulanghi

0:35:28.320 --> 0:35:30.919
<v Speaker 2>could see as many as twenty five patients.

0:35:31.360 --> 0:35:35.560
<v Speaker 12>Medical oncologists like me are pressed for time and we're

0:35:35.560 --> 0:35:38.360
<v Speaker 12>overwhelmed with sort of clinical duties, trying to do that

0:35:38.480 --> 0:35:42.600
<v Speaker 12>work of charting in ahead of time, seeing the patient,

0:35:42.880 --> 0:35:47.520
<v Speaker 12>documenting after the fact, and also now trying to squeeze

0:35:47.560 --> 0:35:49.759
<v Speaker 12>in record retrieval in the middle of everything is just

0:35:49.920 --> 0:35:53.840
<v Speaker 12>very impossible, and so you have the concept of pajama

0:35:53.920 --> 0:35:56.680
<v Speaker 12>time where oncologists and other physicians are just sort of

0:35:56.719 --> 0:35:59.640
<v Speaker 12>finishing up their daily work at home after you know,

0:35:59.680 --> 0:36:01.520
<v Speaker 12>the kids are put to bed and after dinner, and

0:36:01.560 --> 0:36:05.400
<v Speaker 12>it just contributes to a lot of provider burnout.

0:36:05.600 --> 0:36:09.840
<v Speaker 2>Doctor Mulongi is not alone. All across the country, doctors

0:36:09.880 --> 0:36:13.920
<v Speaker 2>in all specialties are often stretched thin. The American Medical

0:36:13.960 --> 0:36:17.600
<v Speaker 2>Association found that almost half of US physicians experienced at

0:36:17.719 --> 0:36:21.239
<v Speaker 2>least one symptom of burnout. It's a little wonder that

0:36:21.280 --> 0:36:24.239
<v Speaker 2>our doctors are feeling the burden given the explosion of

0:36:24.320 --> 0:36:28.480
<v Speaker 2>medical research. So Daniel Nadler decided to do something about it.

0:36:29.280 --> 0:36:32.040
<v Speaker 13>The rate of doubling of medical knowledge in nineteen fifty

0:36:32.120 --> 0:36:35.719
<v Speaker 13>was roughly every fifty years. In twenty twenty five, they're

0:36:35.760 --> 0:36:40.239
<v Speaker 13>different estimates and they're different numbers. In a study in

0:36:40.440 --> 0:36:43.080
<v Speaker 13>the British Medical Journal and another study in Nature, they

0:36:43.120 --> 0:36:45.440
<v Speaker 13>found that the rate of doubling of medical knowledge was

0:36:45.520 --> 0:36:46.719
<v Speaker 13>seventy three days.

0:36:47.160 --> 0:36:51.839
<v Speaker 2>Nadler's PhD thesis from Harvard was on analyzing derivatives, which

0:36:51.880 --> 0:36:55.680
<v Speaker 2>he turned into a startup using machine learning for financial analysis.

0:36:56.160 --> 0:36:59.080
<v Speaker 2>After selling that company for half a billion dollars, he

0:36:59.160 --> 0:37:02.040
<v Speaker 2>turned his attention to helping doctors make sense of the

0:37:02.080 --> 0:37:05.319
<v Speaker 2>tsunami of medical research coming their way.

0:37:05.360 --> 0:37:07.960
<v Speaker 13>We looked at this and we did another analysis, and

0:37:07.960 --> 0:37:10.600
<v Speaker 13>we said, let's ignore the doubling for a second and

0:37:10.800 --> 0:37:15.000
<v Speaker 13>just ask the question if you had to read just

0:37:15.120 --> 0:37:18.839
<v Speaker 13>the top third of peer reviewed medical literature just within

0:37:18.880 --> 0:37:21.640
<v Speaker 13>your specialty, which is not ideal. Right, that means no

0:37:21.719 --> 0:37:24.319
<v Speaker 13>cardiologist is reading anything in neurology and vice versa, which

0:37:24.360 --> 0:37:26.200
<v Speaker 13>is not ideal. But even if you just said that,

0:37:27.200 --> 0:37:31.040
<v Speaker 13>how long would it take every day for a specialist

0:37:31.200 --> 0:37:33.760
<v Speaker 13>to just read the top third of peer reviewed medical

0:37:33.760 --> 0:37:37.239
<v Speaker 13>literature just within their specialty? And the answer turned out

0:37:37.239 --> 0:37:41.000
<v Speaker 13>to be something about something like nine hours. So practically

0:37:41.000 --> 0:37:43.560
<v Speaker 13>that's obviously impossible. They would never see patients, or never

0:37:43.600 --> 0:37:45.759
<v Speaker 13>see their family, or they would never sleep.

0:37:46.040 --> 0:37:49.000
<v Speaker 2>And that led Nadler to found Open Evidence in twenty

0:37:49.040 --> 0:37:49.560
<v Speaker 2>twenty two.

0:37:50.040 --> 0:37:53.239
<v Speaker 13>Open Evidence is designed to do for physicians what the

0:37:53.280 --> 0:37:56.560
<v Speaker 13>advent of computer systems, let's call it that on Wall

0:37:56.600 --> 0:37:59.080
<v Speaker 13>Street achieved for Wall Street knowledge workers.

0:38:00.239 --> 0:38:04.320
<v Speaker 2>Evidence is an AI model trained on medical literature, carefully

0:38:04.400 --> 0:38:07.600
<v Speaker 2>curated to ensure high quality results for.

0:38:07.600 --> 0:38:09.680
<v Speaker 13>The first time in the last let's call it three

0:38:10.000 --> 0:38:13.520
<v Speaker 13>four five years maximum, we've reached a point in the

0:38:13.560 --> 0:38:18.279
<v Speaker 13>sophistication of artificial intelligence of computers broadly that they can

0:38:18.280 --> 0:38:20.839
<v Speaker 13>store not just the right letters and the right words

0:38:20.880 --> 0:38:22.759
<v Speaker 13>and the right order, but they can understand the semantic

0:38:22.880 --> 0:38:26.800
<v Speaker 13>meaning of the findings of these studies. So Open Evidence

0:38:27.120 --> 0:38:30.400
<v Speaker 13>is an artificial intelligence. It's a computer system that's able

0:38:30.480 --> 0:38:34.560
<v Speaker 13>to understand the semantic meaning of the findings of these

0:38:34.600 --> 0:38:37.320
<v Speaker 13>studies so that it can act as a brain extender

0:38:37.600 --> 0:38:40.359
<v Speaker 13>to physicians who have even in the best and most

0:38:40.400 --> 0:38:43.680
<v Speaker 13>generous reading of what they have to do as a

0:38:43.680 --> 0:38:45.480
<v Speaker 13>physician in terms of keeping up with the pace of

0:38:45.520 --> 0:38:48.000
<v Speaker 13>medical knowledge, such that they don't have to spend nine

0:38:48.040 --> 0:38:50.480
<v Speaker 13>hours a day just reading the top third of pure

0:38:50.560 --> 0:38:52.400
<v Speaker 13>viewed medical journals.

0:38:53.080 --> 0:38:56.359
<v Speaker 2>Doctors are piling into the platform, which says it has

0:38:56.400 --> 0:38:59.360
<v Speaker 2>signed up around fifty percent of all doctors in America

0:38:59.719 --> 0:39:04.400
<v Speaker 2>and adding sixty five thousand every month. Investors are piling

0:39:04.440 --> 0:39:07.719
<v Speaker 2>in two Its latest funding round valued the company at

0:39:07.840 --> 0:39:12.080
<v Speaker 2>three point five billion dollars. What is it that Open

0:39:12.160 --> 0:39:14.880
<v Speaker 2>Evidence should be relied upon to do and what do

0:39:14.920 --> 0:39:17.759
<v Speaker 2>we still need the physician to do. For example, can

0:39:17.840 --> 0:39:19.960
<v Speaker 2>open evidence diagnose no?

0:39:20.440 --> 0:39:24.480
<v Speaker 13>So the physician is still relied upon to do everything

0:39:24.480 --> 0:39:28.160
<v Speaker 13>that a physician was always relied upon to do. I

0:39:28.200 --> 0:39:33.359
<v Speaker 13>see open evidence as a continuum or a continuation of

0:39:33.400 --> 0:39:39.160
<v Speaker 13>a very traditional technology called search. Right, So historically physicians

0:39:40.120 --> 0:39:42.920
<v Speaker 13>needed to search for findings and medical journals. That's not

0:39:42.960 --> 0:39:46.200
<v Speaker 13>a new behavior. They've been doing that for years and

0:39:46.280 --> 0:39:48.960
<v Speaker 13>years and years. One way to think about this is

0:39:49.640 --> 0:39:52.600
<v Speaker 13>we spend a lot of time as a society celebrating

0:39:52.640 --> 0:39:56.320
<v Speaker 13>the golden age of biotechnology, and we should. Right, every

0:39:56.800 --> 0:39:59.960
<v Speaker 13>metric and proxy you look at in the data shows

0:40:00.080 --> 0:40:03.760
<v Speaker 13>that we are accelerating the rate of drug discovery, including

0:40:03.800 --> 0:40:07.320
<v Speaker 13>using artificial intelligence. We're accelerating the rate of drug development,

0:40:07.560 --> 0:40:09.959
<v Speaker 13>and so we celebrate that we're in this golden age

0:40:10.000 --> 0:40:13.080
<v Speaker 13>and it's amazing, this golden age of biotechnology. But what's

0:40:13.120 --> 0:40:16.680
<v Speaker 13>not talked about a lot or enough is that this

0:40:17.000 --> 0:40:20.319
<v Speaker 13>golden age of biotechnology is really the dark ages for

0:40:20.320 --> 0:40:24.239
<v Speaker 13>physicians in terms of burnout. We expect that almost all

0:40:24.239 --> 0:40:27.240
<v Speaker 13>physicians in the United States will be on the platform

0:40:27.360 --> 0:40:28.640
<v Speaker 13>within the next year.

0:40:29.480 --> 0:40:32.880
<v Speaker 2>Doctor David Reich is President and chief Clinical Officer for

0:40:33.040 --> 0:40:36.840
<v Speaker 2>Mount Sinai Health System in New York. He uses Open Evidence,

0:40:37.080 --> 0:40:39.760
<v Speaker 2>but as part of a larger range of AI models

0:40:39.800 --> 0:40:41.799
<v Speaker 2>they are integrating into their hospitals.

0:40:42.160 --> 0:40:44.759
<v Speaker 14>I have the app on my phone and it's available

0:40:44.920 --> 0:40:48.800
<v Speaker 14>through our medical school library, and people do use it. However,

0:40:49.000 --> 0:40:52.520
<v Speaker 14>we do also work with chat GPT, and they've created

0:40:52.560 --> 0:40:56.080
<v Speaker 14>an environment where we can have our medical students ask

0:40:56.239 --> 0:41:00.000
<v Speaker 14>questions that contain protected health information, and that protected health

0:41:00.040 --> 0:41:04.480
<v Speaker 14>health information stays within the CyberSecure.

0:41:04.040 --> 0:41:07.720
<v Speaker 3>Environment that we work so hard to maintain.

0:41:08.120 --> 0:41:12.520
<v Speaker 14>And so I think cybersecurity remains a key consideration in

0:41:12.600 --> 0:41:16.160
<v Speaker 14>any tools that are a great assistance to us, and

0:41:16.239 --> 0:41:19.040
<v Speaker 14>I'm sure that Open Evidence will work very hard to

0:41:19.640 --> 0:41:21.000
<v Speaker 14>address that along with others.

0:41:21.000 --> 0:41:22.840
<v Speaker 1>But I'm very enthusiastic about it.

0:41:22.920 --> 0:41:23.879
<v Speaker 14>I think it's a great tool.

0:41:24.560 --> 0:41:27.400
<v Speaker 2>One of the reasons Open Evidence has become so popular

0:41:27.440 --> 0:41:30.840
<v Speaker 2>with doctors so quickly is that it licenses the best

0:41:30.920 --> 0:41:35.320
<v Speaker 2>medical literature from trusted sources, and it's free to doctors,

0:41:35.440 --> 0:41:37.839
<v Speaker 2>relying on advertising for its revenue.

0:41:38.239 --> 0:41:45.360
<v Speaker 13>We write from the start licensed content, licensed journals, licensed information,

0:41:45.920 --> 0:41:50.160
<v Speaker 13>medical information from the relevant copyright holders. So we have

0:41:50.440 --> 0:41:55.360
<v Speaker 13>a agreement with the Massachusetts Medical Society, which owns the

0:41:55.400 --> 0:41:58.280
<v Speaker 13>new maudral Medicine. It's a nonprofit. We have a licensing

0:41:58.320 --> 0:42:01.960
<v Speaker 13>agreement with the American Medicalists Asociation. Again it's a nonprofit,

0:42:01.960 --> 0:42:04.719
<v Speaker 13>but it owns the journal of the American Medical Association

0:42:05.120 --> 0:42:09.319
<v Speaker 13>as well as all the specialty journals JAMMA Oncology, JAMMA Neurology,

0:42:09.600 --> 0:42:11.000
<v Speaker 13>and so on and so on and so on, not

0:42:11.400 --> 0:42:15.520
<v Speaker 13>just those. So we took a very different approach to copyright,

0:42:15.600 --> 0:42:19.800
<v Speaker 13>to licensing, to all of this, and we're extremely proud

0:42:19.840 --> 0:42:22.840
<v Speaker 13>of the fact that we're probably the only PUREI company

0:42:23.440 --> 0:42:26.560
<v Speaker 13>in America that is not currently being sued for copyright violations.

0:42:26.640 --> 0:42:29.520
<v Speaker 13>Our business model is the exact same as Google, which

0:42:29.560 --> 0:42:32.600
<v Speaker 13>is I think it's public. Google is one of our

0:42:32.680 --> 0:42:36.200
<v Speaker 13>largest investors and has been an enormous patron to the

0:42:36.239 --> 0:42:38.839
<v Speaker 13>company in many ways. So you can build very successful

0:42:39.640 --> 0:42:43.279
<v Speaker 13>software's of service companies, and there are many examples of

0:42:43.719 --> 0:42:47.600
<v Speaker 13>ten twenty thirty forty fifty one hundred billion dollars market

0:42:47.600 --> 0:42:50.600
<v Speaker 13>cap software's to service companies. But once you start getting

0:42:50.640 --> 0:42:54.000
<v Speaker 13>into the rare air of multi trillion market cap companies,

0:42:54.320 --> 0:42:56.759
<v Speaker 13>it's notable that they are that almost all of them,

0:42:57.200 --> 0:43:00.600
<v Speaker 13>again excepting Nvidia and Apple, are either primarily the advertising

0:43:00.640 --> 0:43:03.600
<v Speaker 13>business models or have advertising as a significant component of

0:43:03.600 --> 0:43:05.880
<v Speaker 13>what they do. And I think the explanation there is

0:43:06.560 --> 0:43:09.440
<v Speaker 13>it is the business model that most aligns the incentives

0:43:09.480 --> 0:43:12.680
<v Speaker 13>of the platform and the users to make sure you're

0:43:12.680 --> 0:43:16.760
<v Speaker 13>delivering to your users the highest quality product possible, because

0:43:16.760 --> 0:43:20.680
<v Speaker 13>your incentive is not reducing cost. Your incentive is attracting

0:43:20.680 --> 0:43:22.640
<v Speaker 13>more users and increasing your engagement.

0:43:23.080 --> 0:43:26.680
<v Speaker 2>AI tools like open Evidence are already providing much needed

0:43:26.719 --> 0:43:29.839
<v Speaker 2>help to physicians who must focus on their patients even

0:43:29.880 --> 0:43:32.160
<v Speaker 2>as they need to keep up with the deluge of

0:43:32.200 --> 0:43:35.680
<v Speaker 2>new research. But for AI to realize it's full potential

0:43:35.680 --> 0:43:39.160
<v Speaker 2>in healthcare, doctor Reich says it needs to become fully

0:43:39.239 --> 0:43:41.040
<v Speaker 2>integrated into the workflow.

0:43:41.200 --> 0:43:46.600
<v Speaker 14>But Mount Sinai is doing the genetic information analysis on

0:43:46.960 --> 0:43:51.120
<v Speaker 14>up to a million patients in partnership with Regeneron, and

0:43:51.360 --> 0:43:54.680
<v Speaker 14>we're several hundred thousand patients into this, and we have

0:43:54.760 --> 0:44:00.200
<v Speaker 14>a vast trove of information on patient medical images. We

0:44:00.280 --> 0:44:04.200
<v Speaker 14>have incredible information in our electronic health record. Now, when

0:44:04.239 --> 0:44:07.440
<v Speaker 14>we start to marry all of those data sources together

0:44:08.080 --> 0:44:10.759
<v Speaker 14>and follow the promise of AI in the not too

0:44:10.840 --> 0:44:13.400
<v Speaker 14>distant future, I should be able to say to you

0:44:13.480 --> 0:44:16.560
<v Speaker 14>when you come in not only did I screen you

0:44:16.600 --> 0:44:17.960
<v Speaker 14>and I found particular risks.

0:44:18.000 --> 0:44:19.160
<v Speaker 1>Not only do I have.

0:44:19.480 --> 0:44:22.719
<v Speaker 14>Care pathways which suggest how I should go forward, but

0:44:22.840 --> 0:44:26.960
<v Speaker 14>it's specific to you, to your family history, to your

0:44:27.000 --> 0:44:30.759
<v Speaker 14>genetic markers, and hopefully the giving you the best and

0:44:30.800 --> 0:44:35.360
<v Speaker 14>safest possible experience. So think of the future as being

0:44:35.480 --> 0:44:40.799
<v Speaker 14>much more personalized. And the advance of technology is so

0:44:41.080 --> 0:44:44.800
<v Speaker 14>inspiring right now that I think that what I've witnessed

0:44:44.800 --> 0:44:48.000
<v Speaker 14>over several decades of medicine could vastly change in the

0:44:48.040 --> 0:44:52.120
<v Speaker 14>next several years, as long as we learn the lessons

0:44:52.200 --> 0:44:56.440
<v Speaker 14>of past mistakes of being maybe too exuberant about technology

0:44:56.960 --> 0:45:01.400
<v Speaker 14>and making sure that people who are truly in touch

0:45:01.520 --> 0:45:06.560
<v Speaker 14>with that social contract between patients in this nation and

0:45:06.719 --> 0:45:10.560
<v Speaker 14>the payers and the government and the providers, that we

0:45:10.640 --> 0:45:12.200
<v Speaker 14>actually find really good solutions.

0:45:12.440 --> 0:45:15.760
<v Speaker 2>Where doctor Reich emphasizes the integration of all the data

0:45:15.840 --> 0:45:19.600
<v Speaker 2>into a single workflow, Daniel Nadler envisions a world connecting

0:45:19.640 --> 0:45:22.759
<v Speaker 2>physicians with others around the world who are working on

0:45:22.800 --> 0:45:25.040
<v Speaker 2>the same clinical challenges.

0:45:24.960 --> 0:45:27.319
<v Speaker 13>As open evidence develops. If we go back to my

0:45:27.400 --> 0:45:30.080
<v Speaker 13>metaphor of the sort of nineteen forties World War two

0:45:30.120 --> 0:45:35.400
<v Speaker 13>telephone operator who's routing and connecting a human to another

0:45:35.480 --> 0:45:38.920
<v Speaker 13>human on a battlefield. In this case, it might actually

0:45:40.239 --> 0:45:42.279
<v Speaker 13>end up in a world where the AI is the

0:45:42.360 --> 0:45:46.400
<v Speaker 13>least interesting part of the technology, and what's really happening

0:45:46.719 --> 0:45:49.960
<v Speaker 13>is the AI is serving as connective tissue between a

0:45:50.040 --> 0:45:54.080
<v Speaker 13>human and a human, between a human physician presenting some

0:45:55.000 --> 0:45:59.840
<v Speaker 13>atypical combination of symptoms and another human somewhere in the

0:45:59.880 --> 0:46:03.279
<v Speaker 13>country that is an expert on that and where the

0:46:03.400 --> 0:46:06.600
<v Speaker 13>job of the AI is as far as possible from

0:46:06.640 --> 0:46:09.239
<v Speaker 13>answering the question and as much more about getting out

0:46:09.239 --> 0:46:11.160
<v Speaker 13>of the way as quickly as possible and connecting that

0:46:11.200 --> 0:46:14.600
<v Speaker 13>one human to another human. And that's a very wonderful

0:46:14.600 --> 0:46:17.840
<v Speaker 13>and sort of optimistic vision for what the future of

0:46:17.880 --> 0:46:21.000
<v Speaker 13>AI can be. You know, most scenarios for the future

0:46:21.040 --> 0:46:24.080
<v Speaker 13>of AI, or many are very dystopian. I can't common

0:46:24.120 --> 0:46:26.080
<v Speaker 13>on what happens outside of medicine, but in medicine, I

0:46:26.080 --> 0:46:29.400
<v Speaker 13>think you have a very beautiful possibility where the technology

0:46:29.560 --> 0:46:32.200
<v Speaker 13>ends up serving as connective tissue between a human and

0:46:32.200 --> 0:46:32.600
<v Speaker 13>a human.

0:46:33.680 --> 0:46:36.440
<v Speaker 2>But whether it's connecting the doctor with the data or

0:46:36.480 --> 0:46:39.640
<v Speaker 2>the human with the human. Right now, AI products like

0:46:39.680 --> 0:46:43.600
<v Speaker 2>open Evidence are providing much needed relief for practicing physicians

0:46:43.920 --> 0:46:45.120
<v Speaker 2>like Sam Mulanghi.

0:46:45.560 --> 0:46:48.000
<v Speaker 12>I would say that for me, open evidence solves like

0:46:48.280 --> 0:46:54.520
<v Speaker 12>two rather unrelated but maybe orthogonal problems. One is that

0:46:55.080 --> 0:46:58.200
<v Speaker 12>actually open evidence taps into the entire medical corpus of

0:46:58.239 --> 0:47:02.000
<v Speaker 12>academic literature, which actually, for the most part, tends to

0:47:02.000 --> 0:47:04.399
<v Speaker 12>be paywalled. The second thing that it does, I think

0:47:04.520 --> 0:47:07.160
<v Speaker 12>is just sort of marrying the best of current AI

0:47:07.200 --> 0:47:11.719
<v Speaker 12>capabilities around natural language processing and reasoning to try and

0:47:11.760 --> 0:47:15.600
<v Speaker 12>interpret my requests and retrieve records easily in a very

0:47:15.680 --> 0:47:19.400
<v Speaker 12>time efficient manner. So having sort of smart AI tooling

0:47:19.480 --> 0:47:24.279
<v Speaker 12>that is able to provide fast queries has just been

0:47:24.320 --> 0:47:26.719
<v Speaker 12>really been a game changer for me, and that is.

0:47:26.719 --> 0:47:30.200
<v Speaker 2>One application of artificial intelligence that is making a real

0:47:30.239 --> 0:47:35.880
<v Speaker 2>difference in the here and now. Next week will continue

0:47:35.920 --> 0:47:38.759
<v Speaker 2>our exploration of where AI is already being put to

0:47:38.800 --> 0:47:43.000
<v Speaker 2>good use, this time when it comes to education that

0:47:43.040 --> 0:47:44.960
<v Speaker 2>does it for us Here at Wall Street Week, I'm

0:47:45.040 --> 0:48:00.239
<v Speaker 2>David Weston. See you next week for more stories of capitalism.