1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:02,559 Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It's time to place 2 00:00:02,600 --> 00:00:05,400 Speaker 1: your bets. It's me Joey p Joe Piezapa and this 3 00:00:05,680 --> 00:00:09,119 Speaker 1: is BP NFL. It's time to look ahead to Monday 4 00:00:09,240 --> 00:00:12,080 Speaker 1: Night football. And I think this one is just kind 5 00:00:12,080 --> 00:00:15,000 Speaker 1: of close your eyes and believe that the Chiefs are back. 6 00:00:15,160 --> 00:00:17,080 Speaker 1: That's the point of view I'm taking. We'll see what 7 00:00:17,120 --> 00:00:19,680 Speaker 1: point of view Scott Bogman takes on this game here, 8 00:00:19,720 --> 00:00:22,439 Speaker 1: because this is definitely a tricky one. It feels a 9 00:00:22,440 --> 00:00:24,600 Speaker 1: little trappy after the first couple of weeks of watching 10 00:00:24,680 --> 00:00:27,520 Speaker 1: the Chiefs. But regardless, we're gonna give you props, we're 11 00:00:27,520 --> 00:00:30,120 Speaker 1: gonna talk same game parlay, we're gonna talk touchdowns, do 12 00:00:30,200 --> 00:00:32,600 Speaker 1: it all. Scott Bogman, coming off a three and two 13 00:00:32,640 --> 00:00:36,839 Speaker 1: Thursday night, we shifted over the party prop when he 14 00:00:37,000 --> 00:00:40,120 Speaker 1: was out, of course, an hour after he recorded the show. 15 00:00:40,159 --> 00:00:41,920 Speaker 1: Of course, brock Perty all of a sudden popped up 16 00:00:42,000 --> 00:00:45,440 Speaker 1: is out. But mac Jones went over and Bogman alerted me, 17 00:00:45,640 --> 00:00:48,200 Speaker 1: just keep it, let it roll, he said, And damn 18 00:00:48,200 --> 00:00:52,479 Speaker 1: it it rolled. Indeed, the only thing that didn't roll, unfortunately, 19 00:00:52,840 --> 00:00:55,640 Speaker 1: was the Rams over the forty nine ers. I got 20 00:00:55,640 --> 00:00:58,800 Speaker 1: that seven yeah, woo, I could have gotten way more. 21 00:00:58,920 --> 00:01:00,560 Speaker 2: Yeah, I think you're coming out like an eight and 22 00:01:00,600 --> 00:01:02,880 Speaker 2: a half or nine and a half, Like it got 23 00:01:02,880 --> 00:01:05,160 Speaker 2: out there pretty quick after we found out that thirty 24 00:01:05,880 --> 00:01:07,080 Speaker 2: playing it. 25 00:01:07,040 --> 00:01:10,800 Speaker 1: Felt like the classic. You know, it shouldn't be The 26 00:01:10,880 --> 00:01:13,119 Speaker 1: Rams should be able to just whoop on this team 27 00:01:13,200 --> 00:01:15,880 Speaker 1: that's got, you know, falling apart at the seams health wise. 28 00:01:16,560 --> 00:01:18,679 Speaker 1: And if I've learned one thing in all my years 29 00:01:18,680 --> 00:01:20,759 Speaker 1: of watching the NFL, that's just never how it goes 30 00:01:20,880 --> 00:01:22,840 Speaker 1: like that. Script just never seems to pay this and 31 00:01:22,880 --> 00:01:23,640 Speaker 1: this is my fault. 32 00:01:23,720 --> 00:01:25,839 Speaker 2: All right, I'm gonna go ahead and take the blame 33 00:01:26,000 --> 00:01:29,920 Speaker 2: for this one. I was looking at Survivor this week 34 00:01:30,080 --> 00:01:32,640 Speaker 2: in one of my Survivor pools, and I went, I've 35 00:01:32,760 --> 00:01:35,080 Speaker 2: used a bunch of the good matchups this week. Let 36 00:01:35,120 --> 00:01:38,119 Speaker 2: me go ahead and sneak through the Rams at home 37 00:01:38,560 --> 00:01:41,839 Speaker 2: on short rest against a team without their starting quarterback, 38 00:01:42,200 --> 00:01:45,119 Speaker 2: any of their starting wide receivers, their Pro Bowl tight end. 39 00:01:45,680 --> 00:01:51,200 Speaker 2: All they have is bloodsucking Christian McCaffrey, and somehow they 40 00:01:51,240 --> 00:01:54,160 Speaker 2: still win this game. All it took was thirty eight 41 00:01:54,160 --> 00:01:57,600 Speaker 2: bananas sent to Mac Jones on the sideline, and he 42 00:01:57,760 --> 00:01:58,320 Speaker 2: was good to go. 43 00:01:58,800 --> 00:02:02,080 Speaker 1: So yeah, crazy times, but again that's in the past. 44 00:02:02,080 --> 00:02:04,200 Speaker 1: This is in the future, so again subscribe to the channel, 45 00:02:04,280 --> 00:02:07,120 Speaker 1: drop your comments below, and of course don't forget we've 46 00:02:07,120 --> 00:02:10,639 Speaker 1: got a new giveaway. It's the Nick Chubb autographed helmet. 47 00:02:10,639 --> 00:02:13,040 Speaker 1: We're giving this one away again. Curtesyre are good friends 48 00:02:13,080 --> 00:02:14,800 Speaker 1: at Pristine Auction dot com. All you need to do 49 00:02:14,840 --> 00:02:17,440 Speaker 1: is at a Betting Pros dot com slash contest complete 50 00:02:17,440 --> 00:02:19,760 Speaker 1: the format, either download the Betting Pros app, leave a 51 00:02:19,800 --> 00:02:22,080 Speaker 1: review of the Betting Pros podcasts, or subscribe to our 52 00:02:22,080 --> 00:02:25,040 Speaker 1: social media channels at Betting Pros on x on TikTok 53 00:02:25,200 --> 00:02:27,680 Speaker 1: and Betting Pros NFL on the IG. 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All right, box, 60 00:02:41,680 --> 00:02:43,880 Speaker 1: let's take a look at this game here on Betting Pros. 61 00:02:44,160 --> 00:02:46,680 Speaker 1: Here are the consensus lines for the Chiefs and Jags 62 00:02:46,760 --> 00:02:49,680 Speaker 1: as of recording this and hopefully Trevor Lawrence and Patrick 63 00:02:49,680 --> 00:02:51,760 Speaker 1: Mahomes will play, and we want to have a repeat 64 00:02:51,760 --> 00:02:53,560 Speaker 1: of Thursday night where we record a show and an 65 00:02:53,560 --> 00:02:56,640 Speaker 1: hour later the qub's changed. But as of right now, 66 00:02:57,400 --> 00:03:00,120 Speaker 1: you got your classic minus three Kansas City Chiefs Goo 67 00:03:00,240 --> 00:03:02,880 Speaker 1: Vegas is like, you know what, We're not gonna put 68 00:03:02,919 --> 00:03:04,679 Speaker 1: our neck out on this one very much. We're just 69 00:03:04,760 --> 00:03:06,760 Speaker 1: gonna say the Chiefs minus three, even though it's on 70 00:03:06,800 --> 00:03:09,880 Speaker 1: the road that tells you it should be a Chiefs victory. 71 00:03:09,919 --> 00:03:13,359 Speaker 1: Here Jacksonville plus three and a half right now, And look, 72 00:03:13,440 --> 00:03:15,520 Speaker 1: Jacksonville's played some good football coming off a big win 73 00:03:15,639 --> 00:03:18,320 Speaker 1: last week against the forty nine ers. Right maybe game 74 00:03:18,360 --> 00:03:20,480 Speaker 1: they should not have won. Forty six and a half 75 00:03:20,520 --> 00:03:22,000 Speaker 1: is the under. Forty five and a half is the 76 00:03:22,040 --> 00:03:24,200 Speaker 1: over minus won seventy five on the money line for 77 00:03:24,240 --> 00:03:27,240 Speaker 1: the Chiefs plus one seventy for the Jaguars. If you 78 00:03:27,360 --> 00:03:29,799 Speaker 1: like the upset, I like Kansas City with the three here. 79 00:03:29,840 --> 00:03:31,560 Speaker 1: I think they win this one by a touchdown. I 80 00:03:31,600 --> 00:03:34,239 Speaker 1: really do get to see Brian Thomas Junior do anything 81 00:03:34,280 --> 00:03:38,880 Speaker 1: here yet. I know the Jaguars defense has been opportunistic 82 00:03:39,840 --> 00:03:42,280 Speaker 1: unless BTJ really starts getting going. And this is the 83 00:03:42,320 --> 00:03:45,520 Speaker 1: game where it happens. I do think they get into 84 00:03:45,560 --> 00:03:48,000 Speaker 1: a tough spot here. I think Xavier Worthy being back 85 00:03:48,040 --> 00:03:51,360 Speaker 1: healthy is obviously huge for them. Taekwan Thornton's been emerging. 86 00:03:51,680 --> 00:03:54,400 Speaker 1: I'd love to see Bershard Smith touch the football more. 87 00:03:54,720 --> 00:03:57,160 Speaker 1: That's my love letter to you, Andy Reid this week. 88 00:03:57,440 --> 00:03:59,400 Speaker 1: He seems like the more explosive of any of the 89 00:03:59,440 --> 00:04:02,280 Speaker 1: running backs currently are working. Let's get the kid. I 90 00:04:02,280 --> 00:04:03,840 Speaker 1: don't know ten to fifteen times he. 91 00:04:03,880 --> 00:04:06,680 Speaker 3: Said they're gonna expand his role, so. 92 00:04:06,720 --> 00:04:09,280 Speaker 1: Well, it's about damn time. So let's expand the role 93 00:04:09,320 --> 00:04:12,000 Speaker 1: here and hopefully we get that. And if so, I 94 00:04:12,000 --> 00:04:14,600 Speaker 1: think this three is comfortable with the Chiefs. Again, Am 95 00:04:14,600 --> 00:04:15,720 Speaker 1: I going crazy about it? 96 00:04:15,840 --> 00:04:15,880 Speaker 2: No? 97 00:04:16,040 --> 00:04:17,919 Speaker 1: But Bogs, where's your lean here when you're looking at 98 00:04:17,960 --> 00:04:19,080 Speaker 1: Monday night football? Yeah? 99 00:04:19,120 --> 00:04:22,040 Speaker 2: I mean listen, like, the Niners screwed me over two 100 00:04:22,080 --> 00:04:24,560 Speaker 2: weeks in a row, and the Jaguars were part of 101 00:04:24,560 --> 00:04:28,760 Speaker 2: that last week, right beating the Niners on the road 102 00:04:28,760 --> 00:04:30,320 Speaker 2: all the way across the country in a game they 103 00:04:30,360 --> 00:04:33,080 Speaker 2: probably had no business winning. They just beat up the 104 00:04:33,160 --> 00:04:37,520 Speaker 2: Niners apparently. But yeah, I just I don't have a 105 00:04:37,560 --> 00:04:40,120 Speaker 2: great feel for them, and I like you the coaching 106 00:04:41,279 --> 00:04:44,000 Speaker 2: definitely goes to Andy Reid and Spagnolo on the Chiefs 107 00:04:44,000 --> 00:04:47,760 Speaker 2: side in this matchup. But Cohen has been good in 108 00:04:47,880 --> 00:04:52,280 Speaker 2: the Jaguars offense has been really running the ball well. 109 00:04:52,560 --> 00:04:54,200 Speaker 3: Like Trevor Lawrence has not played well at all. 110 00:04:55,080 --> 00:04:58,320 Speaker 2: Maybe that changes, maybe it doesn't, but the run game 111 00:04:58,360 --> 00:05:00,919 Speaker 2: has worked for them, but they we don't match up well. 112 00:05:01,240 --> 00:05:04,480 Speaker 2: This is a tough run defense and very good in coverage. 113 00:05:04,480 --> 00:05:08,080 Speaker 2: The Chiefs are very good in coverage, right. I do 114 00:05:08,200 --> 00:05:12,040 Speaker 2: think that on the offensive side for the Chiefs, they 115 00:05:12,080 --> 00:05:16,240 Speaker 2: also match up better against the Jaguars. They can pass 116 00:05:16,279 --> 00:05:18,760 Speaker 2: the ball. The secondary is still kind of weak. Run 117 00:05:18,800 --> 00:05:22,600 Speaker 2: defense has been good for Jacksonville, but I think they 118 00:05:22,600 --> 00:05:27,440 Speaker 2: can get beat specifically deep. So yeah, I just I 119 00:05:27,560 --> 00:05:29,680 Speaker 2: like the Jacksonville's at home, But that's about the only 120 00:05:29,680 --> 00:05:31,560 Speaker 2: advantage I feel like they have in this one. 121 00:05:32,320 --> 00:05:34,200 Speaker 1: You know what we do want. We want you to 122 00:05:34,360 --> 00:05:36,600 Speaker 1: download the hard Rock Bet app. That's what we want. 123 00:05:36,600 --> 00:05:38,760 Speaker 1: How about that for a segue? 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Must be twenty one 155 00:07:00,000 --> 00:07:03,880 Speaker 1: physically president in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, 156 00:07:03,960 --> 00:07:06,400 Speaker 1: or Virginia to play. Terms and conditions apply. Concerned about 157 00:07:06,440 --> 00:07:08,960 Speaker 1: gambling in Florida called one eight eight eight admit it. 158 00:07:09,000 --> 00:07:10,680 Speaker 1: In Indiana. If you are something you know has a 159 00:07:10,720 --> 00:07:13,040 Speaker 1: gambling problem and wants help, call one eight hundred and 160 00:07:13,120 --> 00:07:16,840 Speaker 1: nine with it gambling problem called one hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, 161 00:07:16,840 --> 00:07:19,120 Speaker 1: in New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia. All right, let's talk 162 00:07:19,120 --> 00:07:21,000 Speaker 1: about Trevor Lawrence here. Let's start with two twenty and 163 00:07:21,080 --> 00:07:24,280 Speaker 1: a half. This is immediately where I went to. This 164 00:07:24,320 --> 00:07:27,400 Speaker 1: is I think the safest and probably best bet you 165 00:07:27,400 --> 00:07:29,360 Speaker 1: can make on the prop side here. I do think 166 00:07:29,360 --> 00:07:31,720 Speaker 1: he is. He looks he's been struggling Bogs. You like 167 00:07:31,760 --> 00:07:34,000 Speaker 1: the under here. I like the under here too, want 168 00:07:34,040 --> 00:07:35,520 Speaker 1: you to continue to break down a little bit of 169 00:07:35,600 --> 00:07:38,280 Speaker 1: the why too, because again, the strengths of the Kansas 170 00:07:38,320 --> 00:07:40,760 Speaker 1: City is the fact that they've been tough there on 171 00:07:40,800 --> 00:07:41,920 Speaker 1: these teams throw in the football. 172 00:07:42,080 --> 00:07:45,680 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean I think I think this is just 173 00:07:45,800 --> 00:07:47,720 Speaker 2: not a great matchup for Trevor Lawrence. And also his 174 00:07:47,720 --> 00:07:52,000 Speaker 2: completion percentage has been garbage this year, specifically to BTJ. Right, 175 00:07:52,560 --> 00:07:55,240 Speaker 2: we know that, so two and two this season, two 176 00:07:55,240 --> 00:07:57,000 Speaker 2: this total, it's two hundred and twenty and a half. 177 00:07:57,040 --> 00:07:59,400 Speaker 2: I'm going to take the under. The Chiefs are thirtieth 178 00:07:59,400 --> 00:08:03,600 Speaker 2: in RUNDE defense grade, first in coverage grade, so you 179 00:08:03,640 --> 00:08:06,000 Speaker 2: know they can be physical against the run. They haven't 180 00:08:06,000 --> 00:08:08,880 Speaker 2: been good this year, but I just think that this 181 00:08:09,000 --> 00:08:11,560 Speaker 2: is why I like ETN and I don't particularly like 182 00:08:11,640 --> 00:08:14,760 Speaker 2: Trevor Lawrence or the pass catches this week, so statistically 183 00:08:14,880 --> 00:08:18,280 Speaker 2: Casey is eighth against the pass as well. I just 184 00:08:18,320 --> 00:08:22,920 Speaker 2: think they tamp down this already kind of weak Jacksonville 185 00:08:23,720 --> 00:08:26,880 Speaker 2: passing game. So I'm gonna go with the under on 186 00:08:26,960 --> 00:08:31,480 Speaker 2: this even I think maybe they are playing catchup in 187 00:08:31,520 --> 00:08:34,960 Speaker 2: this game a little bit. But Jacksonville's nineteenth and pass 188 00:08:35,000 --> 00:08:37,440 Speaker 2: play percentage, Like I said, the run has been working. 189 00:08:37,600 --> 00:08:39,760 Speaker 3: They want to run the ball should work. 190 00:08:39,600 --> 00:08:43,280 Speaker 2: Better than the pass against the Chiefs, So I think 191 00:08:43,360 --> 00:08:46,760 Speaker 2: that's gonna be the game plan going in all. 192 00:08:46,720 --> 00:08:48,560 Speaker 1: Right, So we're in agreement on this one for sure. 193 00:08:48,800 --> 00:08:51,240 Speaker 1: Let's say the next one of Travis ATN sixty one 194 00:08:51,280 --> 00:08:54,040 Speaker 1: and a half rushing yards now looking over at betting 195 00:08:54,080 --> 00:08:55,960 Speaker 1: pros too, He's hit this in three the last four weeks, 196 00:08:56,000 --> 00:08:58,760 Speaker 1: so that is huge. So Travis ATN, look he's the 197 00:08:58,840 --> 00:09:02,120 Speaker 1: lead guy. Tooton's gonna get his as well. But it's 198 00:09:02,200 --> 00:09:04,680 Speaker 1: really been I'm again, I kept coming back to this 199 00:09:04,720 --> 00:09:06,559 Speaker 1: and people in the fantasy space did not want to 200 00:09:06,600 --> 00:09:08,520 Speaker 1: hear me. I'm like, this guy was RB three two 201 00:09:08,559 --> 00:09:09,959 Speaker 1: years ago. We just want to throw that out the 202 00:09:10,000 --> 00:09:12,600 Speaker 1: window and not pay attention to that. He was basically 203 00:09:12,600 --> 00:09:14,120 Speaker 1: a free square running back and he's gotten off to 204 00:09:14,160 --> 00:09:15,400 Speaker 1: a good start so far this year. 205 00:09:15,520 --> 00:09:17,120 Speaker 2: Yeah, I just think sixty one and a half is 206 00:09:17,160 --> 00:09:19,640 Speaker 2: too low for him. And I agree specifically with the 207 00:09:19,720 --> 00:09:23,360 Speaker 2: Chiefs Rundee struggling recently. The only I mean they were 208 00:09:23,400 --> 00:09:26,160 Speaker 2: okay against the Eagles, right, like we saw, Chris Jones, 209 00:09:26,160 --> 00:09:28,320 Speaker 2: you didn't even get a hundred yards or whatever, you know. 210 00:09:28,640 --> 00:09:30,200 Speaker 1: But we wanted to get. 211 00:09:30,600 --> 00:09:31,600 Speaker 3: Yeah, we won the game. 212 00:09:32,120 --> 00:09:36,160 Speaker 1: Yeah, so and then aj Brown came over. No, he 213 00:09:36,200 --> 00:09:40,800 Speaker 1: didn't get a hundred yards. You're right, you're right, Chris Jones. 214 00:09:41,080 --> 00:09:43,360 Speaker 2: But I mean, Travis Etn is averaging sixteen and a 215 00:09:43,400 --> 00:09:46,760 Speaker 2: half rushing attempts per game right now, so if he's 216 00:09:46,800 --> 00:09:49,040 Speaker 2: going to get that in this game. And we talked 217 00:09:49,040 --> 00:09:52,400 Speaker 2: about how this team is a below average passing team 218 00:09:52,440 --> 00:09:55,360 Speaker 2: in terms of attempts, they run the ball at a 219 00:09:55,559 --> 00:09:59,360 Speaker 2: much higher percentage than most teams. So I think Etn 220 00:09:59,480 --> 00:10:02,800 Speaker 2: is going to have seventeen to twenty carries in this 221 00:10:02,880 --> 00:10:05,920 Speaker 2: game like he typically does, and I think he's gonna 222 00:10:06,240 --> 00:10:09,240 Speaker 2: have at least a couple big rips. So I think 223 00:10:09,240 --> 00:10:11,720 Speaker 2: he can get to this fairly easily. This was but 224 00:10:11,840 --> 00:10:15,000 Speaker 2: this was my Kyron Williams from Thursday, which I saw 225 00:10:15,080 --> 00:10:17,480 Speaker 2: him get and then lose, and then get and then 226 00:10:17,520 --> 00:10:20,080 Speaker 2: fumble away. His total was sixty seven and a half 227 00:10:20,120 --> 00:10:21,520 Speaker 2: and he ended up with sixty six. 228 00:10:23,800 --> 00:10:27,760 Speaker 1: Brutal, absolutely brutal. Also, Brian Robinson, what it does too. 229 00:10:27,800 --> 00:10:29,160 Speaker 1: I don't know. We have to get for and over 230 00:10:29,200 --> 00:10:31,800 Speaker 1: for him. Yeah, but Chris McCaffrey might not make it 231 00:10:31,800 --> 00:10:32,920 Speaker 1: to week seven at this point. 232 00:10:32,960 --> 00:10:34,680 Speaker 3: I mean, what were they doing? 233 00:10:35,880 --> 00:10:37,600 Speaker 1: Why'd you acquire the guy if you're not gonna use 234 00:10:37,640 --> 00:10:39,360 Speaker 1: I mean specifically. 235 00:10:38,640 --> 00:10:41,760 Speaker 2: In that drive right after the half when you're up 236 00:10:41,880 --> 00:10:45,000 Speaker 2: two scores, right, like, run your guy? 237 00:10:45,080 --> 00:10:45,760 Speaker 3: What are you doing? 238 00:10:45,840 --> 00:10:46,040 Speaker 1: Bud? 239 00:10:46,200 --> 00:10:48,920 Speaker 2: That's so complain about that later? 240 00:10:49,080 --> 00:10:51,720 Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, let's talk about Xavier Worthy. He returned 241 00:10:51,760 --> 00:10:54,760 Speaker 1: and had a big splash game here last week. So 242 00:10:54,840 --> 00:10:58,079 Speaker 1: the number is sixty seven and a half for the rushing, 243 00:10:58,080 --> 00:11:00,400 Speaker 1: slash receiving yards, which is interesting here as you could 244 00:11:00,400 --> 00:11:02,640 Speaker 1: take this one and cover yourself if they get him 245 00:11:02,679 --> 00:11:05,120 Speaker 1: on those jets sweeps moving around a little bit, and 246 00:11:05,160 --> 00:11:06,880 Speaker 1: we know Andy Reid does like to be clever when 247 00:11:06,880 --> 00:11:08,040 Speaker 1: it comes to worthyse usage. 248 00:11:08,200 --> 00:11:10,199 Speaker 2: Yeah, and I think it would be a good thing 249 00:11:10,280 --> 00:11:13,839 Speaker 2: to do against this front that has been good is 250 00:11:13,840 --> 00:11:17,400 Speaker 2: to motion a little bit right. Maybe no walker in 251 00:11:17,440 --> 00:11:20,800 Speaker 2: this game for Jacksonville, which would be nice for Kansas 252 00:11:20,800 --> 00:11:23,679 Speaker 2: City's front, But I think with a front that has 253 00:11:23,679 --> 00:11:27,640 Speaker 2: been beating people like Jacksonville has, I think it'd be 254 00:11:27,679 --> 00:11:29,439 Speaker 2: good to do a couple of those shifts and motions, 255 00:11:29,480 --> 00:11:31,800 Speaker 2: and he had thirty eight rushing yards on two attempts 256 00:11:31,880 --> 00:11:34,600 Speaker 2: last week, so and that was with only playing fifty 257 00:11:34,640 --> 00:11:36,920 Speaker 2: nine percent of snaps. Now, you know they were beating 258 00:11:36,920 --> 00:11:38,760 Speaker 2: the brakes off Baltimore at the end of that game, 259 00:11:38,920 --> 00:11:41,400 Speaker 2: so I think that that was probably part of it. 260 00:11:41,440 --> 00:11:44,800 Speaker 2: But Jacksonville's twenty four statistically against the past their third 261 00:11:44,800 --> 00:11:48,679 Speaker 2: and coverage grade. But digging deeper, you see that they 262 00:11:48,800 --> 00:11:52,520 Speaker 2: faced Bryce Young, and they injured Joe Burrow, c. J 263 00:11:52,640 --> 00:11:55,040 Speaker 2: Stroud and perty off of turf toe, so it's not 264 00:11:55,080 --> 00:11:59,160 Speaker 2: like they've really been challenged. So Andy Reid is a challenge. 265 00:11:59,400 --> 00:12:02,320 Speaker 2: Xavier Worth is a challenge, specifically now that he's healthy. 266 00:12:02,400 --> 00:12:05,000 Speaker 2: So I think sixty seven and a half. I think 267 00:12:05,040 --> 00:12:08,079 Speaker 2: he gets the majority of this, probably on a big play, 268 00:12:08,640 --> 00:12:11,240 Speaker 2: so like thirty or forty yards on one big one 269 00:12:11,440 --> 00:12:13,280 Speaker 2: and then you're just hoping for four or five other 270 00:12:13,320 --> 00:12:15,719 Speaker 2: catches and he's gonna sail way past this, and if 271 00:12:15,720 --> 00:12:19,120 Speaker 2: he snaps off one of those jet sweeps, that's gonna 272 00:12:19,120 --> 00:12:21,240 Speaker 2: be a big chunk of this too. So Worthy can 273 00:12:21,280 --> 00:12:23,720 Speaker 2: do this with volume or on a big play. So 274 00:12:23,840 --> 00:12:25,840 Speaker 2: this is probably my favorite play out of this game. 275 00:12:26,800 --> 00:12:29,040 Speaker 1: All right, we got another one here lined up after 276 00:12:29,320 --> 00:12:31,600 Speaker 1: you have say, if you're worthy, we'll talk about Patrick 277 00:12:31,600 --> 00:12:34,240 Speaker 1: Mahomes over thirty five and a half pass attempts. This 278 00:12:34,320 --> 00:12:36,920 Speaker 1: ones at minus one oh eight. Again, he sit this 279 00:12:36,960 --> 00:12:39,520 Speaker 1: three the last four weeks, So this is I think 280 00:12:39,520 --> 00:12:40,400 Speaker 1: a pretty good bet. 281 00:12:40,280 --> 00:12:42,360 Speaker 3: Here, and the under is juiced. 282 00:12:42,880 --> 00:12:46,760 Speaker 2: It's wages, yes, so that kind of shades you towards 283 00:12:46,760 --> 00:12:51,199 Speaker 2: the over also. But Jacksonville opponents this season, they're attempts 284 00:12:51,240 --> 00:12:53,640 Speaker 2: thirty five, forty five, thirty eight, thirty eight. They have 285 00:12:53,720 --> 00:12:57,839 Speaker 2: the fifth highest opponents attempts per game against, and they 286 00:12:57,880 --> 00:13:02,600 Speaker 2: have the second highest opposite position passing play percentage. So 287 00:13:02,880 --> 00:13:06,040 Speaker 2: Jacksonville has been winning a lot of games. So that's 288 00:13:06,120 --> 00:13:08,839 Speaker 2: part of it. But I also think that the secondary 289 00:13:08,920 --> 00:13:11,280 Speaker 2: is weaker than the front. So like we talked about, 290 00:13:11,520 --> 00:13:13,800 Speaker 2: you do those jet motions, you do some quick outs. 291 00:13:14,120 --> 00:13:16,160 Speaker 2: That gives you a little bit more time to build 292 00:13:16,200 --> 00:13:18,520 Speaker 2: for that deep ball a little bit later in the game. 293 00:13:18,640 --> 00:13:20,719 Speaker 2: So yeah, I just think that Mahomes is going to 294 00:13:20,800 --> 00:13:24,319 Speaker 2: have a lot of short, easy completions, specifically because the 295 00:13:24,440 --> 00:13:27,120 Speaker 2: stupid run game has not been working for Kansas City 296 00:13:27,160 --> 00:13:29,760 Speaker 2: at all. Like you said, give me Brishard Smith. None 297 00:13:29,800 --> 00:13:31,040 Speaker 2: of these losers have been working. 298 00:13:32,120 --> 00:13:34,240 Speaker 1: Speaking of the stupid run game, let's talk about I 299 00:13:34,240 --> 00:13:37,840 Speaker 1: say a pacheco forty and a half rushing slash receiving yards. 300 00:13:37,920 --> 00:13:41,120 Speaker 1: I assume if we again believe Andy Reid and he's 301 00:13:41,120 --> 00:13:43,840 Speaker 1: telling us the truth and they are gonna get Richard 302 00:13:43,880 --> 00:13:47,360 Speaker 1: Smith more action, shouldn't that mean theoretically we're an under 303 00:13:47,400 --> 00:13:48,400 Speaker 1: on this Pacheco number. 304 00:13:48,520 --> 00:13:51,160 Speaker 2: Yeah, forty and a half and this is total yards. 305 00:13:51,240 --> 00:13:54,040 Speaker 2: Like you know, I understand this is a low number, 306 00:13:54,120 --> 00:13:56,280 Speaker 2: but this dude was down to thirty seven percent of 307 00:13:56,320 --> 00:14:00,720 Speaker 2: snaps and only nine touches last week. So Jacksonville front 308 00:14:00,800 --> 00:14:03,880 Speaker 2: has been good against the rush, ninth in rushing yards 309 00:14:04,800 --> 00:14:07,840 Speaker 2: yards allowed per attempt three point nine. Rishard Smith, like 310 00:14:07,840 --> 00:14:13,120 Speaker 2: you said, is expected to have a more expanded role 311 00:14:13,200 --> 00:14:17,240 Speaker 2: or more touches at least this week. And I think 312 00:14:17,520 --> 00:14:20,120 Speaker 2: that Mahomes is going to be over on these pass attempts. 313 00:14:20,160 --> 00:14:22,920 Speaker 2: So the run game just has not been working for 314 00:14:23,040 --> 00:14:25,560 Speaker 2: Kansas City yet. And when they get to the goal line, too, 315 00:14:25,640 --> 00:14:28,640 Speaker 2: it's a lot of Kareem Hunt on short yard It's 316 00:14:28,640 --> 00:14:31,000 Speaker 2: specifically later in the game because I've been waiting on 317 00:14:31,000 --> 00:14:33,640 Speaker 2: those pachecos. Over All, year and they haven't hit because 318 00:14:33,680 --> 00:14:36,480 Speaker 2: stupid Kareem Hunt has been in the game late. So 319 00:14:36,800 --> 00:14:39,760 Speaker 2: I think let's just take the under and hope this 320 00:14:39,840 --> 00:14:42,680 Speaker 2: isn't the Pacheco breakout game, because I don't know. I 321 00:14:43,160 --> 00:14:45,600 Speaker 2: don't think he's going to break out. I think he's 322 00:14:45,640 --> 00:14:49,120 Speaker 2: still running slow off of that fractured leg from last year. 323 00:14:49,520 --> 00:14:51,560 Speaker 1: All right, Remember, if you need more help with your 324 00:14:51,600 --> 00:14:53,800 Speaker 1: prop betting, go to prop bet cheat sheet on the 325 00:14:53,840 --> 00:14:56,040 Speaker 1: Betting pros app or just go to bettingpros dot com 326 00:14:56,040 --> 00:14:59,160 Speaker 1: slash props. Use it again. All the passing, the rushing, 327 00:14:59,200 --> 00:15:01,480 Speaker 1: the receiving, stack categories are all in there. I was 328 00:15:01,520 --> 00:15:04,040 Speaker 1: going through it today trying to get my favorite bets, 329 00:15:04,040 --> 00:15:06,120 Speaker 1: and there's a great thing there because again, if you're 330 00:15:06,160 --> 00:15:07,840 Speaker 1: new to this here or you're watching us for the 331 00:15:07,840 --> 00:15:11,680 Speaker 1: first time, you get the opportunity to look at the projections. 332 00:15:12,080 --> 00:15:13,960 Speaker 1: You're looking at the numbers, then you're looking at the 333 00:15:13,960 --> 00:15:15,920 Speaker 1: best lines, and then you can bet them. So sink 334 00:15:15,960 --> 00:15:18,680 Speaker 1: your sports books for free. Use the Betting pros app 335 00:15:18,800 --> 00:15:22,320 Speaker 1: bets smarter, not harder. Don't be a tool, use the tools. 336 00:15:22,400 --> 00:15:24,480 Speaker 1: Let us help you. Prop betche sheet is one of 337 00:15:24,520 --> 00:15:26,320 Speaker 1: the best in the business. If not the best. I 338 00:15:26,360 --> 00:15:28,720 Speaker 1: love it. I love it for baseball, specially during the 339 00:15:28,800 --> 00:15:32,400 Speaker 1: MLB season. All right, let's get to the SG JOEP again. 340 00:15:32,520 --> 00:15:36,400 Speaker 1: Missed it by another one. DeVante Adams no touchdown there. 341 00:15:36,440 --> 00:15:38,560 Speaker 1: So it's funny because I thought about the kiren just 342 00:15:38,560 --> 00:15:41,240 Speaker 1: putting him instead of DeVante and just you know, making 343 00:15:41,240 --> 00:15:43,880 Speaker 1: it less sexy. But I thought, nah, DeVante Adams could 344 00:15:43,880 --> 00:15:47,600 Speaker 1: get it done. He couldn't. So again, we're gonna trim 345 00:15:47,640 --> 00:15:49,240 Speaker 1: down from the three to the two legs here. I 346 00:15:49,320 --> 00:15:51,360 Speaker 1: want to come out with a victory this week. All right, 347 00:15:51,440 --> 00:15:55,040 Speaker 1: So let's get Week five here off on a good foot, 348 00:15:55,120 --> 00:15:56,920 Speaker 1: and let's get or should I say, leave it on 349 00:15:56,960 --> 00:16:00,000 Speaker 1: a good foot. Let's get to Cancery Chiefs minus three 350 00:16:00,120 --> 00:16:01,960 Speaker 1: and the Trevor Lawrence under two twelve and a half. 351 00:16:02,000 --> 00:16:04,080 Speaker 1: I think those two things together. Again, it's only plus 352 00:16:04,080 --> 00:16:06,960 Speaker 1: one eighty four, but I'd rather bet two units on 353 00:16:07,000 --> 00:16:10,600 Speaker 1: something that I think is more controllable than one and 354 00:16:10,720 --> 00:16:12,480 Speaker 1: just kind of pissed the money away. So I don't 355 00:16:12,480 --> 00:16:14,680 Speaker 1: want to do that. I'm not gonna take any chances here. 356 00:16:14,680 --> 00:16:17,000 Speaker 1: It's Monday night. I'm gonna keep it simple, stupid, and 357 00:16:17,040 --> 00:16:19,000 Speaker 1: I'm gonna go ahead and take the canceling Chiefs minus 358 00:16:19,000 --> 00:16:20,560 Speaker 1: three and Trevor Lawrence with the two twelve and a 359 00:16:20,600 --> 00:16:23,800 Speaker 1: half passing yards again, that's plus one eighty four bogs. 360 00:16:23,960 --> 00:16:26,560 Speaker 1: I was struggling here with touchdown calls, I'll be honest 361 00:16:26,560 --> 00:16:28,560 Speaker 1: with you, So I just threw one out there for 362 00:16:28,600 --> 00:16:30,760 Speaker 1: Taekwon Thornton at plus four hundred because he's been a 363 00:16:30,800 --> 00:16:33,040 Speaker 1: guy that they look at for the big plays and 364 00:16:33,120 --> 00:16:35,560 Speaker 1: it's such a big return steal a plus four hundred. 365 00:16:35,600 --> 00:16:38,840 Speaker 1: Then I'm like, why not? I mean, Kelsey doesn't make 366 00:16:38,880 --> 00:16:41,800 Speaker 1: me feel warm and fuzzy at Pacheco again, I don't 367 00:16:41,840 --> 00:16:44,520 Speaker 1: know where we're going with that one. You could look 368 00:16:44,520 --> 00:16:46,960 Speaker 1: at Kareem Hunt, but again, does that make me feel great? 369 00:16:47,200 --> 00:16:50,480 Speaker 1: I feel like it's Taekwon Thornton. It's Noah Gret. I'm 370 00:16:50,480 --> 00:16:53,800 Speaker 1: looking for the weird Patrick Mahomes finds the open guy 371 00:16:53,880 --> 00:16:55,840 Speaker 1: touchdowns in the red zone. That's what it feels like 372 00:16:55,920 --> 00:16:59,320 Speaker 1: to me anyway. But again, how are you approaching touchdowns? 373 00:16:59,360 --> 00:17:00,880 Speaker 1: You're just keeping Yeah, I'm. 374 00:17:00,720 --> 00:17:03,080 Speaker 2: Gonna get I'm going to use the kiss method, as 375 00:17:03,120 --> 00:17:05,399 Speaker 2: you mentioned before, they keep it simple, stupid. I'm just 376 00:17:05,440 --> 00:17:09,320 Speaker 2: going to take Travis Etn and take him at minus 377 00:17:09,320 --> 00:17:12,760 Speaker 2: one fifteen. Now I actually did take him at You 378 00:17:12,800 --> 00:17:15,439 Speaker 2: can see how much influence I have on the market, clearly, 379 00:17:15,680 --> 00:17:19,320 Speaker 2: because I have a whole one unit bet on ETN 380 00:17:19,400 --> 00:17:21,359 Speaker 2: to score touchdown already and I got it at plus 381 00:17:21,359 --> 00:17:25,800 Speaker 2: one forty five. But it's now down to minus one fifteen. Clearly, 382 00:17:26,119 --> 00:17:29,520 Speaker 2: my one unit bet shifted the entire market here. But no, 383 00:17:29,640 --> 00:17:32,520 Speaker 2: I think that's uh, it's just the easiest one to 384 00:17:32,600 --> 00:17:34,800 Speaker 2: pick this week. I mean, Kansas City scores with all 385 00:17:34,880 --> 00:17:38,040 Speaker 2: kinds of different guys. Juju scored a couple of weeks ago. 386 00:17:38,119 --> 00:17:43,160 Speaker 2: Sometimes it's cream hunt, sometimes it's the checko. So taekwon Thornton, Like, hey, 387 00:17:43,440 --> 00:17:45,720 Speaker 2: let's take him on a deep hitter for plus four hundred. 388 00:17:45,720 --> 00:17:46,200 Speaker 3: That's fine. 389 00:17:47,320 --> 00:17:49,120 Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm just going to do the kiss and say 390 00:17:49,200 --> 00:17:52,800 Speaker 2: ETN minus one fifteen seems like seems like the most 391 00:17:52,880 --> 00:17:53,480 Speaker 2: likely call. 392 00:17:53,400 --> 00:17:54,040 Speaker 3: In this game. 393 00:17:55,000 --> 00:17:57,240 Speaker 1: All right, well, let's learn something here today. At the 394 00:17:57,280 --> 00:17:58,800 Speaker 1: end of the show. Kids, you remember our g I 395 00:17:58,920 --> 00:18:00,400 Speaker 1: Joe back in the day, he used to do that thing, 396 00:18:00,760 --> 00:18:01,639 Speaker 1: would teach you something. 397 00:18:01,880 --> 00:18:08,520 Speaker 3: Yeah, I want to do that. 398 00:18:05,760 --> 00:18:09,280 Speaker 1: Right, you know the battle don't leave that fire hydrant on, Timmy. 399 00:18:09,440 --> 00:18:11,800 Speaker 1: You know the fire Department's gonna come on and they're 400 00:18:11,880 --> 00:18:13,520 Speaker 1: not gonna have any water to put out that fire 401 00:18:13,520 --> 00:18:16,440 Speaker 1: in your house, and everyone's gonna die a horrible death. 402 00:18:16,960 --> 00:18:22,480 Speaker 1: So people pronounce jaguar as jaguar due to folk etymology 403 00:18:22,720 --> 00:18:27,560 Speaker 1: and the naturals. From my entomology, You got your entomology on, 404 00:18:28,200 --> 00:18:30,560 Speaker 1: So here's what you get. The word jaguar comes from 405 00:18:30,560 --> 00:18:34,640 Speaker 1: the indigenous Amazonian language via Portuguese, so I obviously much 406 00:18:34,640 --> 00:18:38,399 Speaker 1: more of the Amazonian uh and Portuguese side of things. 407 00:18:38,680 --> 00:18:41,560 Speaker 1: And then you are much more of the English sounding 408 00:18:41,680 --> 00:18:46,040 Speaker 1: leading to the word jaguar. So there from Dutch Guiana. 409 00:18:46,200 --> 00:18:48,879 Speaker 1: But and I'm obviously much more smarty than you. So 410 00:18:49,520 --> 00:18:52,480 Speaker 1: there you have everybody. Now we've settled that debate once 411 00:18:52,520 --> 00:18:55,040 Speaker 1: and for all, and everybody has learned something called. 412 00:18:54,760 --> 00:18:57,080 Speaker 3: The London Monarchs. In a couple of years when. 413 00:18:57,000 --> 00:19:02,199 Speaker 1: Con moves, maybe that'll help taking these jaguars out of 414 00:19:02,240 --> 00:19:05,440 Speaker 1: my country. You get, you get the hell out. You 415 00:19:05,520 --> 00:19:10,560 Speaker 1: can't win no games, hey man, We're gonna see it. 416 00:19:10,680 --> 00:19:11,600 Speaker 1: I mean it's. 417 00:19:11,400 --> 00:19:15,760 Speaker 2: Becoming south of half your games you're played in London. 418 00:19:16,680 --> 00:19:18,080 Speaker 1: Do you think the players hate it? Do you think 419 00:19:18,119 --> 00:19:19,080 Speaker 1: they hate going over there? 420 00:19:19,160 --> 00:19:20,639 Speaker 3: Yes? I listen. 421 00:19:20,720 --> 00:19:23,399 Speaker 1: I think that's completely routine. They're such crazy, that's it. 422 00:19:23,480 --> 00:19:25,439 Speaker 2: I don't think they hate the country or the people 423 00:19:25,480 --> 00:19:27,440 Speaker 2: of the fans, but I love the experience. 424 00:19:27,800 --> 00:19:29,080 Speaker 1: But they hate being out of the routine. 425 00:19:29,119 --> 00:19:31,159 Speaker 2: But I mean, how would you like to take your 426 00:19:31,240 --> 00:19:33,679 Speaker 2: everything that you do all week for your work and 427 00:19:33,800 --> 00:19:35,960 Speaker 2: have to do it in a different country in an 428 00:19:35,960 --> 00:19:38,080 Speaker 2: away game Like that just doesn't. 429 00:19:37,760 --> 00:19:39,840 Speaker 1: Seem like a lot of that kind of money. 430 00:19:39,840 --> 00:19:42,840 Speaker 2: I think, yes, I agree with that, Like you can't 431 00:19:42,880 --> 00:19:46,320 Speaker 2: complain about it. But that's what even call them jaguars 432 00:19:46,560 --> 00:19:49,040 Speaker 2: to that. It's like this job, Like you know, someone's like, hey, 433 00:19:49,080 --> 00:19:51,479 Speaker 2: can you fill in the shift. I'm never like, oh no, 434 00:19:51,600 --> 00:19:53,120 Speaker 2: I can't do that. I don't want to work. I'm 435 00:19:53,119 --> 00:19:56,000 Speaker 2: always like yes or no, because we ain't thinking ditches, 436 00:19:56,000 --> 00:19:56,960 Speaker 2: we're just talking football. 437 00:19:57,000 --> 00:19:58,360 Speaker 1: This is fun. This is a good time. 438 00:19:58,400 --> 00:19:58,760 Speaker 3: That's right. 439 00:19:58,760 --> 00:20:01,560 Speaker 1: It's fun and we've earned this position here, all right. 440 00:20:01,600 --> 00:20:03,880 Speaker 1: So again, make sure you download the bang pros app, 441 00:20:03,880 --> 00:20:06,080 Speaker 1: make sure you subscribe to the channel. Again. Shout out 442 00:20:06,080 --> 00:20:08,120 Speaker 1: to everybody helping us get to seventy thousand this week. 443 00:20:08,200 --> 00:20:10,639 Speaker 1: Very exciting. Let's get to eighty thousand, Let's get to ninety. 444 00:20:10,840 --> 00:20:13,639 Speaker 1: Let's get to one hundred babay, so let's go, so 445 00:20:13,720 --> 00:20:15,919 Speaker 1: subscribe to the YouTube channel. Drop your comments below. What 446 00:20:15,920 --> 00:20:18,240 Speaker 1: are your favorite picks from Monday Night Football? That'll do 447 00:20:18,280 --> 00:20:19,760 Speaker 1: it for us, but the story of the game goes 448 00:20:19,760 --> 00:20:22,159 Speaker 1: on For Scott Bogman, I'm Joey P. We'll see you 449 00:20:22,160 --> 00:20:22,920 Speaker 1: next time. Kids. 450 00:20:23,359 --> 00:20:26,440 Speaker 4: Thanks for listening to the Fantasy Pros Fantasy Football Podcast. 451 00:20:26,600 --> 00:20:28,760 Speaker 4: If you love the show, the best free way to 452 00:20:28,760 --> 00:20:31,600 Speaker 4: support us is by leaving a positive review on Apple 453 00:20:31,640 --> 00:20:35,679 Speaker 4: podcasts at Fantasypros dot com, slash review or on Spotify. 454 00:20:36,000 --> 00:20:37,160 Speaker 1: Follow us on x. 455 00:20:37,240 --> 00:20:40,560 Speaker 4: Instagram and TikTok at Fantasy Pros, and subscribe to our 456 00:20:40,600 --> 00:21:02,520 Speaker 4: YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Fantasypros. 457 00:21:02,560 --> 00:21:02,679 Speaker 1: Jo