1
00:00:00,400 --> 00:00:16,800
Speaker 1: Time, gentlemen, please last it's.

2
00:00:09,960 --> 00:00:15,280
Speaker 2: A little.

3
00:00:26,480 --> 00:00:30,440
Speaker 3: We'll see all fi you get all.

4
00:00:31,920 --> 00:00:34,120
Speaker 2: Sho.

5
00:00:37,360 --> 00:00:37,640
Speaker 4: Hello.

6
00:00:37,920 --> 00:00:41,400
Speaker 5: My name is Michael Lieboff, and I have the distinct

7
00:00:41,440 --> 00:00:44,879
Speaker 5: honor of welcome you to today's very special episode of

8
00:00:45,080 --> 00:00:47,280
Speaker 5: the Action Network podcast.

9
00:00:48,080 --> 00:00:48,280
Speaker 4: Now.

10
00:00:48,360 --> 00:00:50,640
Speaker 5: If you're a regular listener to the show, you will

11
00:00:50,640 --> 00:00:52,800
Speaker 5: know that a few months ago, we did a preview

12
00:00:52,800 --> 00:00:55,720
Speaker 5: pod for the European Championships, and then we followed that

13
00:00:55,840 --> 00:00:58,160
Speaker 5: up a couple of weeks later with a preview pod

14
00:00:58,240 --> 00:01:01,360
Speaker 5: of the English Premier League season. Both of those episodes

15
00:01:01,360 --> 00:01:03,920
Speaker 5: were quite well received. So I actually went into Chad

16
00:01:03,920 --> 00:01:05,480
Speaker 5: Millman's office the other day and I told them that

17
00:01:05,520 --> 00:01:08,880
Speaker 5: people want more soccer betting podcasts. He asked me when

18
00:01:08,880 --> 00:01:10,680
Speaker 5: I wanted to do the next one, and I told him,

19
00:01:10,760 --> 00:01:12,600
Speaker 5: how about a Champions League preview show?

20
00:01:13,080 --> 00:01:14,720
Speaker 4: And he said, well when would that be?

21
00:01:14,840 --> 00:01:16,800
Speaker 5: And I told him smack dab in the middle of

22
00:01:16,920 --> 00:01:19,560
Speaker 5: Week one of the NFL season, he called me a lunatic.

23
00:01:19,680 --> 00:01:22,360
Speaker 5: We got into a fistfight. I obviously won because he's

24
00:01:22,400 --> 00:01:25,319
Speaker 5: quite puny. And here we are recording a soccer podcast

25
00:01:25,319 --> 00:01:28,200
Speaker 5: the day before. Tom Brady, who plays for Tampa Bay

26
00:01:28,240 --> 00:01:31,520
Speaker 5: now opens the NFL season on Thursday night, and I

27
00:01:31,520 --> 00:01:35,240
Speaker 5: actually have Morgan's Matt Mitchell our podcasts are was so

28
00:01:35,319 --> 00:01:38,640
Speaker 5: impressed with the grassroot efforts of this podcast and its

29
00:01:38,680 --> 00:01:41,440
Speaker 5: listeners to get a soccer betting podcast up and running

30
00:01:41,480 --> 00:01:43,600
Speaker 5: that he's promised me that we would be launching an

31
00:01:43,600 --> 00:01:47,560
Speaker 5: all soccer podcast channel as soon as feasibly possible. He

32
00:01:47,680 --> 00:01:50,280
Speaker 5: told me that it will definitely come before the American

33
00:01:50,280 --> 00:01:54,360
Speaker 5: football season ends, which I'm told happens sometime in February

34
00:01:54,560 --> 00:01:56,920
Speaker 5: at the Super Bowl. So with all that out of

35
00:01:56,960 --> 00:01:59,440
Speaker 5: the way, let's get right into it. Here's a quick

36
00:01:59,480 --> 00:02:01,120
Speaker 5: overview of this show. Right, We're going to give you

37
00:02:01,160 --> 00:02:04,080
Speaker 5: a quick thirty thousand foot view of the twenty twenty

38
00:02:04,120 --> 00:02:07,160
Speaker 5: one twenty twenty two Champions League. A'll run down the odds,

39
00:02:07,200 --> 00:02:09,360
Speaker 5: and I'm going to bring in two of our best

40
00:02:09,400 --> 00:02:13,960
Speaker 5: soccer betting analysts, Anthony Debundo of Philadelphia, Pennsylvania and BJ Cunningham,

41
00:02:13,960 --> 00:02:17,399
Speaker 5: who's coming to you live from Council Bluffs, Iowa. So

42
00:02:17,680 --> 00:02:20,600
Speaker 5: before I bring those two gentlemen in, let's just look

43
00:02:20,600 --> 00:02:23,639
Speaker 5: at the odds. These odds, of course, are provided by BETMGM,

44
00:02:23,840 --> 00:02:26,720
Speaker 5: who are the official odds provider of this podcast. The

45
00:02:26,840 --> 00:02:32,720
Speaker 5: Action Network podcast PSG, who now have Leonelle Messi plus

46
00:02:32,720 --> 00:02:35,200
Speaker 5: two seventy five favorites. They're followed by Man City at

47
00:02:35,200 --> 00:02:38,600
Speaker 5: plus three fifty Byron Munich seven to one, Chelsea seven

48
00:02:38,639 --> 00:02:41,079
Speaker 5: and a half to one, Liverpool ten to one, Man

49
00:02:41,200 --> 00:02:44,880
Speaker 5: United ten to one, Real Madrid fourteen to one, Juventus

50
00:02:44,919 --> 00:02:49,200
Speaker 5: eighteen to one, Barcelona twenty to one, Atletico Madrid twenty

51
00:02:49,240 --> 00:02:51,840
Speaker 5: five to one, Brusha Dortmann sitting at twenty eight to

52
00:02:51,880 --> 00:02:57,840
Speaker 5: one Inter Milan forty to one, Adelanta Ladilla They're fifty

53
00:02:57,880 --> 00:03:01,280
Speaker 5: to one, Sevilla sixty to one, a Milan eighty to one,

54
00:03:01,520 --> 00:03:04,760
Speaker 5: IAX eighty to one. RB Leipzig coached by an American,

55
00:03:04,840 --> 00:03:07,799
Speaker 5: Jesse Marsh, They're one hundred to one, Lil one hundred

56
00:03:07,800 --> 00:03:11,040
Speaker 5: to one, Porto one, twenty five to one, Via Real

57
00:03:11,160 --> 00:03:14,680
Speaker 5: one twenty five to one, Sporting Lisbon one fifty to one.

58
00:03:14,680 --> 00:03:17,080
Speaker 5: Is then at Saint Petersburg won fifty to one, Wolfsburg,

59
00:03:17,080 --> 00:03:19,240
Speaker 5: who were off to a great start in the Bundesliga,

60
00:03:19,320 --> 00:03:22,240
Speaker 5: one fifty to one, Shock dar Dnesque one fifty to one.

61
00:03:22,480 --> 00:03:25,600
Speaker 5: Benfica won fifty to one, Salzburg two hundred to one,

62
00:03:25,800 --> 00:03:29,040
Speaker 5: Bashik Das two fifty to one Dinomo Kiev two fifty

63
00:03:29,080 --> 00:03:31,840
Speaker 5: to one Young Boys, that is a team from Switzerland

64
00:03:32,000 --> 00:03:34,680
Speaker 5: two fifty to one. Club Bruges out of Belgium five

65
00:03:34,800 --> 00:03:38,839
Speaker 5: hundred to one, Malmo, who of course were z lot

66
00:03:38,960 --> 00:03:41,880
Speaker 5: On Ibrahimovich's childhood club. They're five hundred to one. And

67
00:03:41,920 --> 00:03:46,400
Speaker 5: then our beloved Sheriff Terris Fall who come from Maldova,

68
00:03:47,240 --> 00:03:49,280
Speaker 5: actually a they're not.

69
00:03:49,240 --> 00:03:50,120
Speaker 4: Even from Moldova.

70
00:03:50,160 --> 00:03:53,800
Speaker 5: They're from like a non Moldovan part of Maldova whatever

71
00:03:53,840 --> 00:03:55,200
Speaker 5: it is, Transnistria.

72
00:03:55,320 --> 00:03:55,760
Speaker 4: They had a.

73
00:03:55,680 --> 00:03:59,960
Speaker 5: Big fight over that in after the Russians left their

74
00:04:00,040 --> 00:04:02,720
Speaker 5: one thousand and one. So there's a little geopolitical intrigue

75
00:04:02,720 --> 00:04:05,480
Speaker 5: along with all the odds, and that will bring me

76
00:04:05,720 --> 00:04:10,000
Speaker 5: to BJ Cunningham, BJ. What prices on that board do

77
00:04:10,040 --> 00:04:12,080
Speaker 5: you think are most interesting for better right now?

78
00:04:12,880 --> 00:04:15,360
Speaker 3: I honestly think it's Athletic Co Madrid right now at

79
00:04:15,360 --> 00:04:17,360
Speaker 3: twenty five to one. I mean, I love what they

80
00:04:17,360 --> 00:04:20,039
Speaker 3: did in this transfer market. They brought back Antoine Griesman

81
00:04:20,080 --> 00:04:23,839
Speaker 3: in a weird final transferred a saga with them in Barcelona.

82
00:04:23,880 --> 00:04:26,280
Speaker 3: But he's back and he adds to an already lethal

83
00:04:26,279 --> 00:04:30,039
Speaker 3: attack with Luis Suarez, Gio Felix on Hell Correa and

84
00:04:30,080 --> 00:04:33,320
Speaker 3: Diego Simon is actually kind of starting to reinvent himself

85
00:04:33,360 --> 00:04:36,640
Speaker 3: going forward. You know, for years Athletico Madrid just play

86
00:04:36,640 --> 00:04:39,480
Speaker 3: out of the four four two. They just be you know, archaic,

87
00:04:39,680 --> 00:04:43,800
Speaker 3: trying to achieve defensive perfection, just try and win one zero. Well,

88
00:04:43,800 --> 00:04:46,159
Speaker 3: he's actually kind of changing up formations a little bit.

89
00:04:46,240 --> 00:04:48,119
Speaker 3: You know, only the last season they only spent twenty

90
00:04:48,160 --> 00:04:50,120
Speaker 3: nine percent out of the four four two. He's kind

91
00:04:50,160 --> 00:04:52,200
Speaker 3: of switched to a three to one four to two,

92
00:04:52,240 --> 00:04:54,760
Speaker 3: which is kind of the similar formation. But he's he's

93
00:04:54,760 --> 00:04:56,120
Speaker 3: gone to a little bit of a three four to

94
00:04:56,120 --> 00:04:59,240
Speaker 3: two one, which is the same formation Tuchol plays at Chelsea.

95
00:04:59,320 --> 00:05:02,640
Speaker 3: So now that he has all this attacking prowess going forward,

96
00:05:02,680 --> 00:05:07,760
Speaker 3: it almost beheaves him to really push that attack forward.

97
00:05:07,880 --> 00:05:10,920
Speaker 3: So for Athletico, they are in a pretty easy group.

98
00:05:10,960 --> 00:05:13,480
Speaker 3: You know, they got Liverpool, a Simulan and Porto. They

99
00:05:13,480 --> 00:05:16,320
Speaker 3: should be able to get through that. They have faltered

100
00:05:16,320 --> 00:05:18,920
Speaker 3: in Champions League pass to Chelsea and Byrons, So we'll

101
00:05:18,920 --> 00:05:22,200
Speaker 3: see if all that attacking prowess really helps them get

102
00:05:22,279 --> 00:05:24,760
Speaker 3: take the next step. But at a price of twenty

103
00:05:24,760 --> 00:05:26,760
Speaker 3: five to one, I think they should be below twenty

104
00:05:26,760 --> 00:05:29,760
Speaker 3: to one. So I love Athletico Madrid at that price.

105
00:05:30,360 --> 00:05:31,479
Speaker 4: Anthey, you're shaking your head.

106
00:05:32,360 --> 00:05:36,360
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm not a believer in Atletico whatever. You know.

107
00:05:36,680 --> 00:05:38,560
Speaker 2: Simone is magic and I give him that. He's one

108
00:05:38,600 --> 00:05:40,039
Speaker 2: of the best managers in the world. He does a

109
00:05:40,040 --> 00:05:42,600
Speaker 2: lot with little I'm just not going to get behind

110
00:05:42,680 --> 00:05:45,719
Speaker 2: Luis Suarez at this age to carry the front line.

111
00:05:46,040 --> 00:05:49,240
Speaker 2: Griaism's a good addition, but he looked pretty cooked at Barsa.

112
00:05:49,320 --> 00:05:51,880
Speaker 2: I'm not sure what he's got left for me. I'm

113
00:05:51,880 --> 00:05:53,520
Speaker 2: actually gonna be looking to play against them. We'll get

114
00:05:53,520 --> 00:05:56,800
Speaker 2: into the groups later. But my pick was United. I

115
00:05:57,080 --> 00:05:59,479
Speaker 2: gave it out twelve to one a couple of weeks ago.

116
00:05:59,600 --> 00:06:01,680
Speaker 2: They have to sign this guy named Ronaldo in the

117
00:06:01,760 --> 00:06:04,839
Speaker 2: last two weeks, which definitely helps. Ten to one is

118
00:06:04,880 --> 00:06:08,719
Speaker 2: the current number probably going to pull like I would

119
00:06:08,760 --> 00:06:11,040
Speaker 2: maybe play that at ten to one, Probably not at

120
00:06:11,040 --> 00:06:14,239
Speaker 2: this point. That's where I looked for kind of my pick.

121
00:06:14,760 --> 00:06:17,800
Speaker 2: There's one profit that MGM, what country will lift the trophy?

122
00:06:17,839 --> 00:06:19,880
Speaker 2: England is plus one hundred for of the six best

123
00:06:19,880 --> 00:06:22,039
Speaker 2: teams in my ratings and in the world in my opinion,

124
00:06:22,360 --> 00:06:26,279
Speaker 2: play in England right now. With the top four in

125
00:06:26,320 --> 00:06:29,040
Speaker 2: England now that United have Ronaldo, so I think it's

126
00:06:29,080 --> 00:06:30,760
Speaker 2: a pretty good bet that, you know, plus one hundred,

127
00:06:30,800 --> 00:06:32,400
Speaker 2: one of those teams is probably gonna win the Champions

128
00:06:32,480 --> 00:06:34,400
Speaker 2: League and if not, it's going to probably be PSG.

129
00:06:34,560 --> 00:06:37,560
Speaker 2: So you have a pretty solid shot there to take

130
00:06:37,600 --> 00:06:39,479
Speaker 2: some England plus one hundred to win the Champions League.

131
00:06:39,480 --> 00:06:40,839
Speaker 2: I also think because of the way the money has

132
00:06:40,880 --> 00:06:43,200
Speaker 2: been distributed, they have a huge edge over the rest

133
00:06:43,200 --> 00:06:45,200
Speaker 2: of the world right now and transfer spending, and it's

134
00:06:45,240 --> 00:06:49,520
Speaker 2: really clear with how United, Chelsea and City spent money

135
00:06:49,560 --> 00:06:52,880
Speaker 2: this summer that they have the money, so it makes

136
00:06:52,880 --> 00:06:54,160
Speaker 2: a big difference going forward.

137
00:06:55,279 --> 00:06:57,720
Speaker 5: I have three and if you've been paying attention to

138
00:06:57,920 --> 00:07:00,080
Speaker 5: our show, we do a YouTube show every week. We

139
00:07:00,120 --> 00:07:02,240
Speaker 5: also did a Champions League reaction and all three of

140
00:07:02,279 --> 00:07:06,279
Speaker 5: these teams were mentioned by one of us on on

141
00:07:06,320 --> 00:07:08,240
Speaker 5: though that episode. You can go to our YouTube channel

142
00:07:08,279 --> 00:07:10,960
Speaker 5: to check it out. Dortmund, they're sitting as high at

143
00:07:10,960 --> 00:07:14,160
Speaker 5: thirty five to one. We all know about Earling Holland.

144
00:07:14,560 --> 00:07:17,280
Speaker 5: Marco Ross is a he seems to be a soccer genius.

145
00:07:17,320 --> 00:07:19,800
Speaker 5: Take it maybe taking a little time for them to

146
00:07:20,160 --> 00:07:22,600
Speaker 5: figure out kind of the nuts and bolts of his

147
00:07:22,720 --> 00:07:26,840
Speaker 5: system and close games out they are getting giving.

148
00:07:26,640 --> 00:07:28,520
Speaker 4: Up some leads in Bundesliga.

149
00:07:28,800 --> 00:07:31,560
Speaker 5: I like Sevilla, they were the best defensive team but

150
00:07:31,840 --> 00:07:34,480
Speaker 5: EXGI in La Liga last year and they're just a

151
00:07:34,520 --> 00:07:36,720
Speaker 5: tough team to beat. And when you get if they

152
00:07:36,760 --> 00:07:39,040
Speaker 5: can get through their group, which is pretty easy, they're

153
00:07:39,080 --> 00:07:41,360
Speaker 5: their favorite at plus one thirty in Group GI.

154
00:07:42,040 --> 00:07:45,360
Speaker 4: They should be a tough out in the notckout stages.

155
00:07:45,400 --> 00:07:46,680
Speaker 5: But by the way they play, and all three of

156
00:07:46,760 --> 00:07:49,520
Speaker 5: us I know from our conversations really like I X.

157
00:07:49,640 --> 00:07:52,440
Speaker 5: They are a very talented team. They are a team

158
00:07:52,480 --> 00:07:55,640
Speaker 5: that plays in a week domestic league, so they can

159
00:07:55,720 --> 00:07:58,320
Speaker 5: pretty much focus on the Champions.

160
00:07:57,960 --> 00:08:01,800
Speaker 4: League after they cruised through the Errativis in Holland. So

161
00:08:02,400 --> 00:08:05,160
Speaker 4: then that'll wrap up that section of the show.

162
00:08:05,200 --> 00:08:08,560
Speaker 5: Let's move into the groups, and obviously it's where we

163
00:08:08,560 --> 00:08:11,520
Speaker 5: start in alphabetical order, but it's also maybe the most

164
00:08:12,360 --> 00:08:15,760
Speaker 5: I don't know, exciting group in Champions League history, just

165
00:08:15,800 --> 00:08:17,760
Speaker 5: because of not only the teams are involved, but the

166
00:08:17,760 --> 00:08:20,680
Speaker 5: transfer activity that went down in the summer. It's Group A,

167
00:08:21,040 --> 00:08:23,240
Speaker 5: it's a group of death. It is the group of

168
00:08:23,280 --> 00:08:28,000
Speaker 5: death maybe in the history of this competition. PSG are

169
00:08:28,040 --> 00:08:30,600
Speaker 5: odds on minus one ten to win the group Manchester

170
00:08:30,680 --> 00:08:34,280
Speaker 5: City plus one ten, RB Leipzig nine to one and

171
00:08:34,360 --> 00:08:36,800
Speaker 5: Club Bruge sixty six to one. And obviously the headline

172
00:08:36,800 --> 00:08:40,640
Speaker 5: grabbers are the two clubs that are backed by countries

173
00:08:40,800 --> 00:08:44,280
Speaker 5: in the Middle East PSGRE and City by the UAE

174
00:08:44,400 --> 00:08:47,720
Speaker 5: and Qatar, and so they have, you know, just literally

175
00:08:47,840 --> 00:08:50,160
Speaker 5: country's worth of money to spend on transfers.

176
00:08:50,520 --> 00:08:52,040
Speaker 4: But RB Leipzig.

177
00:08:51,760 --> 00:08:54,680
Speaker 5: Obviously is a really really good side.

178
00:08:55,040 --> 00:08:56,920
Speaker 4: They always do well in the Bundesliga.

179
00:08:56,920 --> 00:08:59,080
Speaker 5: They're well coached, their academy is great, so they're always

180
00:08:59,120 --> 00:09:01,160
Speaker 5: feeding really good, young talented players.

181
00:09:01,440 --> 00:09:02,200
Speaker 4: I want to sleep on them.

182
00:09:02,240 --> 00:09:03,560
Speaker 5: I think nine to one is a pretty good number

183
00:09:03,600 --> 00:09:06,079
Speaker 5: actually on them to win the group, just because if

184
00:09:06,160 --> 00:09:08,240
Speaker 5: the PSG and City beat up on each other or that,

185
00:09:08,400 --> 00:09:10,200
Speaker 5: you know, if they drop points, I could see Leipzig

186
00:09:10,400 --> 00:09:13,920
Speaker 5: being able to kind of just upset the apple cart here. Anthony,

187
00:09:14,320 --> 00:09:17,360
Speaker 5: do you think that there's any reason to look away

188
00:09:17,360 --> 00:09:20,040
Speaker 5: from the top two clubs? How are you betting Groupe?

189
00:09:20,520 --> 00:09:23,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's actually really interesting because Leipzig gave PSG two

190
00:09:23,240 --> 00:09:25,800
Speaker 2: really tough games last year. They split the two games

191
00:09:26,040 --> 00:09:29,760
Speaker 2: pretty even, unexpected goals in those two and then Jesse

192
00:09:29,880 --> 00:09:33,559
Speaker 2: Marsh with Salisburg last year outperformed at Letti in that

193
00:09:33,720 --> 00:09:35,800
Speaker 2: group as well, and gave a real scare to Byron.

194
00:09:36,080 --> 00:09:38,080
Speaker 2: A couple of times they really ripped Byron apart. That

195
00:09:38,080 --> 00:09:39,880
Speaker 2: was kind of the first time people were like, wait

196
00:09:39,880 --> 00:09:43,520
Speaker 2: a second one strong with Byron. So Marsh has experienced

197
00:09:43,520 --> 00:09:45,720
Speaker 2: in the Champions League. This Leipzig team made the semifinals

198
00:09:45,760 --> 00:09:48,719
Speaker 2: two years ago, lost in the knockout stage first round

199
00:09:48,760 --> 00:09:52,400
Speaker 2: of Liverpool. Last year, they're returning most of their talent,

200
00:09:52,920 --> 00:09:55,360
Speaker 2: lost their top two center backs, but added Andre Silva

201
00:09:55,400 --> 00:09:58,839
Speaker 2: as a forward. I like Leipzig a lot, and I'm

202
00:09:58,840 --> 00:10:00,360
Speaker 2: not going to get behind them to win the group.

203
00:10:00,559 --> 00:10:03,200
Speaker 2: What I'm going to do instead is look to play

204
00:10:03,240 --> 00:10:07,400
Speaker 2: them on the chance to advance. So obviously it's tough,

205
00:10:07,720 --> 00:10:12,000
Speaker 2: right it basically requires PSG or City to falter. But

206
00:10:12,080 --> 00:10:14,199
Speaker 2: you know, in terms of a long shot to advance

207
00:10:14,400 --> 00:10:17,880
Speaker 2: plus two hundred not a terrible bet. They probably don't

208
00:10:17,880 --> 00:10:20,200
Speaker 2: advance in the end, but definitely worth a look. But

209
00:10:20,240 --> 00:10:21,959
Speaker 2: the number one play I like in this group is

210
00:10:22,000 --> 00:10:24,400
Speaker 2: City to win. The best team in the world should

211
00:10:24,440 --> 00:10:26,840
Speaker 2: not be an underdog to win their Champions League group,

212
00:10:26,960 --> 00:10:29,000
Speaker 2: and they are so plus one ten for me, it's

213
00:10:29,000 --> 00:10:31,680
Speaker 2: actually my favorite bet I've made throughout in this entire

214
00:10:31,720 --> 00:10:34,480
Speaker 2: Champions League so far in terms of the group stages.

215
00:10:35,320 --> 00:10:39,480
Speaker 2: Love that they were ridiculously good in last year's Champions League.

216
00:10:39,480 --> 00:10:41,679
Speaker 2: I mean they won every game pretty much in a

217
00:10:41,720 --> 00:10:43,960
Speaker 2: route they were allowing. I think they allowed point eight

218
00:10:44,320 --> 00:10:47,400
Speaker 2: expected goals their first three Champions League games last year

219
00:10:47,400 --> 00:10:49,719
Speaker 2: and then pretty much rolled into the final before they

220
00:10:49,720 --> 00:10:51,880
Speaker 2: met Chelsea. So City's the best team in the world.

221
00:10:52,200 --> 00:10:54,480
Speaker 2: I understand that PSG has the front three they do.

222
00:10:55,040 --> 00:10:58,720
Speaker 2: Messi still working his way into the team, and when

223
00:10:58,720 --> 00:11:01,200
Speaker 2: you look at this Manchester City team, much more cohesive,

224
00:11:01,280 --> 00:11:04,520
Speaker 2: much more returning pieces, whereas I still have major questions

225
00:11:04,520 --> 00:11:08,480
Speaker 2: about PSG's defense that look pretty lackluster thus far in Liga.

226
00:11:08,559 --> 00:11:11,280
Speaker 5: I think Lepe's say, maybe just in terms of like

227
00:11:11,480 --> 00:11:13,960
Speaker 5: how their price are the most interesting team in the tournament,

228
00:11:14,040 --> 00:11:16,400
Speaker 5: just because if they were in any other group, their

229
00:11:16,480 --> 00:11:19,720
Speaker 5: outright odds would probably slash in half, like they were

230
00:11:19,800 --> 00:11:22,000
Speaker 5: sixty to one. I think before the draw there's highest

231
00:11:22,080 --> 00:11:25,280
Speaker 5: hundred to one now. So if you are someone who

232
00:11:25,280 --> 00:11:28,880
Speaker 5: wants to bet against the big boys, definitely that's the

233
00:11:28,920 --> 00:11:29,640
Speaker 5: team to do it with.

234
00:11:30,000 --> 00:11:32,520
Speaker 4: BJ How do you see Group A shaping out.

235
00:11:33,080 --> 00:11:35,440
Speaker 3: Yeah, I agree with Anthony. I don't just like Manchester

236
00:11:35,480 --> 00:11:37,800
Speaker 3: City to win the group. I love them at plus

237
00:11:37,840 --> 00:11:39,280
Speaker 3: one ten because if we go back to the semi

238
00:11:39,360 --> 00:11:42,600
Speaker 3: final against PSG, I mean Manchester City completely dominated them.

239
00:11:42,640 --> 00:11:44,520
Speaker 3: They pinned them in for pretty much the entire two

240
00:11:44,600 --> 00:11:46,960
Speaker 3: legs and basically all PSG tried to do is what

241
00:11:47,000 --> 00:11:48,640
Speaker 3: France tried to do in the Euros and play that

242
00:11:48,640 --> 00:11:50,760
Speaker 3: little block and just send him Bope on the counter. Now,

243
00:11:50,800 --> 00:11:53,040
Speaker 3: adding Messi and name are of that mix makes it

244
00:11:53,040 --> 00:11:56,120
Speaker 3: a little more complicated for Manchester City. But you know,

245
00:11:56,360 --> 00:12:00,360
Speaker 3: like Anthony mentioned, Manchester City, they outgreated their opponents twenty

246
00:12:00,360 --> 00:12:03,000
Speaker 3: three point six one to seven point three one expected

247
00:12:03,000 --> 00:12:05,840
Speaker 3: goals during the Champions League last season, and RB Leipzig

248
00:12:05,920 --> 00:12:09,320
Speaker 3: gave PSG a lot of trouble. They won unexpected goals

249
00:12:09,320 --> 00:12:12,000
Speaker 3: over the two legs against PSG. Now Theymar and Bapei

250
00:12:12,080 --> 00:12:14,440
Speaker 3: were out for one of those matches, but you know,

251
00:12:14,559 --> 00:12:17,920
Speaker 3: PSG really didn't address the problems that they had in

252
00:12:17,920 --> 00:12:20,679
Speaker 3: the Champions League during this last transfer window. I mean

253
00:12:20,720 --> 00:12:22,720
Speaker 3: their problems were in the midfield defense. So what do

254
00:12:22,760 --> 00:12:24,520
Speaker 3: they do. They go out and get Hakimi. They go

255
00:12:24,520 --> 00:12:25,560
Speaker 3: out and get Sergio Ramos.

256
00:12:25,559 --> 00:12:25,640
Speaker 5: Well.

257
00:12:25,679 --> 00:12:28,360
Speaker 3: Akimi's fine, but he's more of a right wingback who

258
00:12:28,400 --> 00:12:30,400
Speaker 3: likes to go forward. He's not a great defender. And

259
00:12:30,440 --> 00:12:32,960
Speaker 3: Sergio Ramos is now thirty five and has been injured

260
00:12:33,000 --> 00:12:34,719
Speaker 3: for you know, half of the season last year, so

261
00:12:34,800 --> 00:12:37,440
Speaker 3: there's a lot of question marks with him. But you know,

262
00:12:37,520 --> 00:12:40,200
Speaker 3: I think that honestly, Yeah, like Anthey said, the best

263
00:12:40,200 --> 00:12:42,080
Speaker 3: team in the world should not be plus one ten

264
00:12:42,480 --> 00:12:44,640
Speaker 3: to win their group. But what I honestly bet that

265
00:12:44,640 --> 00:12:46,280
Speaker 3: I love for this because I do agree that ARB

266
00:12:46,400 --> 00:12:49,560
Speaker 3: Leipzig does have the pedigree to get through this. I mean,

267
00:12:49,600 --> 00:12:52,000
Speaker 3: they had the best expected goal differential in Germany last

268
00:12:52,040 --> 00:12:54,079
Speaker 3: year and like Anthey said, having one of the best

269
00:12:54,120 --> 00:12:57,400
Speaker 3: strikers in the Bundeslige Andre Silva, to actually cure their

270
00:12:57,400 --> 00:12:59,920
Speaker 3: problems in front of nets. So I think the bet

271
00:13:00,200 --> 00:13:03,560
Speaker 3: PSG at plus five hundred to not make it to

272
00:13:03,559 --> 00:13:05,959
Speaker 3: the round of sixteen. That's my favorite bet from this group.

273
00:13:06,040 --> 00:13:07,680
Speaker 3: I don't have a problem playing our life take at

274
00:13:07,679 --> 00:13:10,080
Speaker 3: plus two hundred. But again, the best team in the

275
00:13:10,080 --> 00:13:12,760
Speaker 3: world should not be plus one ten to win their group.

276
00:13:12,920 --> 00:13:15,679
Speaker 5: It's funny how sometimes like we as people who love

277
00:13:15,720 --> 00:13:17,679
Speaker 5: to bet who bet everything every day like we get

278
00:13:17,760 --> 00:13:19,720
Speaker 5: in our own heads, and sometimes it's just that simple

279
00:13:19,920 --> 00:13:21,959
Speaker 5: man City. Are they a better team than PSG?

280
00:13:22,120 --> 00:13:23,560
Speaker 4: Yes? Why are they priced as the.

281
00:13:23,600 --> 00:13:26,680
Speaker 5: Underdog to advance or to win the Group Group B?

282
00:13:27,240 --> 00:13:30,040
Speaker 5: Liverpool odds on minus one oh five. They are joined

283
00:13:30,040 --> 00:13:32,920
Speaker 5: by Atletico Madrid. That's BJ's outright, pick their plus one

284
00:13:33,000 --> 00:13:37,199
Speaker 5: seventy five, AC Milan plus five fifty and then Porto

285
00:13:37,640 --> 00:13:40,280
Speaker 5: the Portuguese giants who were really impressive in the Champions

286
00:13:40,320 --> 00:13:42,800
Speaker 5: League last year made it to the quarterfinal before bowing

287
00:13:42,800 --> 00:13:47,120
Speaker 5: out to eventual champions Chelsea are eleven to one. Porto

288
00:13:47,200 --> 00:13:50,280
Speaker 5: I think might have the best kits in the entire competition.

289
00:13:50,559 --> 00:13:52,400
Speaker 5: The blue and white stripes are beautiful.

290
00:13:52,520 --> 00:13:55,080
Speaker 4: BJ talk us through Group B, Well.

291
00:13:54,920 --> 00:13:56,679
Speaker 3: Have you seen the IX third kids because those are

292
00:13:56,679 --> 00:14:01,959
Speaker 3: pretty sick. But anyway, yeahtly no, I think this is

293
00:14:02,040 --> 00:14:04,559
Speaker 3: a it's kind of a straightforward group in my opinion.

294
00:14:04,600 --> 00:14:06,760
Speaker 3: I think it's just going to be Liverpool, Athletic CO Madrid.

295
00:14:08,040 --> 00:14:10,400
Speaker 3: You know, Liverpool is a little too high for me

296
00:14:10,480 --> 00:14:12,160
Speaker 3: right now. I think we're still trying to figure out

297
00:14:12,400 --> 00:14:15,160
Speaker 3: how good Liverpool is with having their center backs finally

298
00:14:15,160 --> 00:14:18,480
Speaker 3: healthy when they weren't last year. It's kind of a

299
00:14:18,520 --> 00:14:20,120
Speaker 3: no play for me in the entire group. But I

300
00:14:20,160 --> 00:14:23,760
Speaker 3: will say from an individual game perspective, AC Milan will

301
00:14:23,760 --> 00:14:25,600
Speaker 3: be a team that I think I will be fading

302
00:14:25,840 --> 00:14:28,160
Speaker 3: quite a bit because they're going to be relying on

303
00:14:28,280 --> 00:14:32,240
Speaker 3: Zlaton and Olivier Jerud, who are both over the age

304
00:14:32,280 --> 00:14:35,400
Speaker 3: of thirty four up front. And AC Milan had a

305
00:14:35,400 --> 00:14:38,680
Speaker 3: ton of penalty luck last season. They had twenty penalties

306
00:14:38,680 --> 00:14:41,000
Speaker 3: awarded to them. That was six more than anybody else

307
00:14:41,560 --> 00:14:45,600
Speaker 3: in Europe. And Porto is quite an interesting team. I

308
00:14:45,760 --> 00:14:47,640
Speaker 3: you know, they did qualify have an easy group with

309
00:14:47,680 --> 00:14:51,440
Speaker 3: Manchester City, Olympia Coos and Marseille last season, but trying

310
00:14:51,440 --> 00:14:54,200
Speaker 3: to get past Liverpool and Athletico Madrida is a little

311
00:14:54,240 --> 00:14:56,280
Speaker 3: bit too much for them. They have a fantastic defense,

312
00:14:56,320 --> 00:14:58,200
Speaker 3: playing out of four to four to two Pepe still there.

313
00:14:58,240 --> 00:15:02,040
Speaker 3: They only allowed point eight expected goals in Portuguese top

314
00:15:02,080 --> 00:15:06,200
Speaker 3: flight last season, So from an individual game perspective, I

315
00:15:06,240 --> 00:15:08,600
Speaker 3: do think that it's just kind of a fade AC

316
00:15:08,760 --> 00:15:11,640
Speaker 3: Milan type of deal. But I think this is pretty straightforward.

317
00:15:11,640 --> 00:15:13,680
Speaker 3: It's probably just going to be Liverpool, Athletico Madrid and

318
00:15:13,680 --> 00:15:14,840
Speaker 3: group being Olivia.

319
00:15:14,960 --> 00:15:18,200
Speaker 5: Dreu probably the most handsome guy in the competition. Pepe

320
00:15:18,240 --> 00:15:21,520
Speaker 5: maybe on the opposite end of that spectrum, Anthony, are

321
00:15:21,560 --> 00:15:24,120
Speaker 5: you in agreement with BJ here? It's pretty straightforward.

322
00:15:24,400 --> 00:15:26,880
Speaker 2: Yeah. Actually, I'll recommend to play on Liverpool. I already

323
00:15:26,880 --> 00:15:29,200
Speaker 2: played it at even money. They're minus one ten right

324
00:15:29,200 --> 00:15:30,800
Speaker 2: now to win the group. I don't really see a

325
00:15:30,800 --> 00:15:33,760
Speaker 2: threat to them in this group. BJ mentioned Milan they're

326
00:15:33,760 --> 00:15:35,480
Speaker 2: on the fade list. I tried fad in them last

327
00:15:35,520 --> 00:15:38,240
Speaker 2: week against Calgilary and they scored four goals in the

328
00:15:38,240 --> 00:15:41,760
Speaker 2: first twenty minutes. But Milan this year one of the

329
00:15:41,840 --> 00:15:45,840
Speaker 2: youngest teams in all of Europe except for their striker position,

330
00:15:45,920 --> 00:15:48,600
Speaker 2: which is a weird squad mix to be in. You know,

331
00:15:48,640 --> 00:15:50,160
Speaker 2: you have a bunch of really young guys and you

332
00:15:50,160 --> 00:15:52,120
Speaker 2: have a couple of old guys kind of leading the line,

333
00:15:52,320 --> 00:15:54,840
Speaker 2: and they're really coming. I think they're on the come up.

334
00:15:54,840 --> 00:15:57,560
Speaker 2: They obviously have been down for many years now. They

335
00:15:57,560 --> 00:15:59,360
Speaker 2: have the history, but they don't have the squad right

336
00:15:59,400 --> 00:16:02,200
Speaker 2: now to compete in this group. I think Liverpool should

337
00:16:02,200 --> 00:16:05,480
Speaker 2: have really no issues. One concern, you know that I'm

338
00:16:05,480 --> 00:16:07,040
Speaker 2: starting to have now is going to be with these

339
00:16:07,040 --> 00:16:09,640
Speaker 2: international breaks because Champions League games come right after these

340
00:16:09,680 --> 00:16:12,120
Speaker 2: international breaks, and if the South American players keep going

341
00:16:12,120 --> 00:16:15,360
Speaker 2: back to South America, they're going to miss games. I Fabinho,

342
00:16:15,480 --> 00:16:18,960
Speaker 2: Allison Fermino may not play the opening game on Wednesday

343
00:16:19,000 --> 00:16:21,440
Speaker 2: against AC Milan, so that's a one concern. But I

344
00:16:21,440 --> 00:16:23,720
Speaker 2: still like Liverpool here. I think at Letti is a

345
00:16:23,720 --> 00:16:25,040
Speaker 2: good team, but I don't think they're a team that

346
00:16:25,080 --> 00:16:28,920
Speaker 2: can really threaten Liverpool over six matches. I think, you know,

347
00:16:28,960 --> 00:16:30,720
Speaker 2: in one match, we saw what at Leti can do

348
00:16:30,760 --> 00:16:33,800
Speaker 2: against Liverpool a couple of years ago. But in that situation,

349
00:16:34,240 --> 00:16:36,720
Speaker 2: I really like Liverpool to win that group. And I

350
00:16:36,800 --> 00:16:39,840
Speaker 2: think I agree with BJ that Porto is a solid team.

351
00:16:40,360 --> 00:16:43,960
Speaker 2: When Porto plays at Letti, you know that. I haven't looked,

352
00:16:43,960 --> 00:16:45,600
Speaker 2: but I believe the total is probably going to be

353
00:16:45,600 --> 00:16:51,000
Speaker 2: two minus one forty, honestly the way that I thought

354
00:16:51,000 --> 00:16:54,400
Speaker 2: it was going to be. But we're higher. Porto though,

355
00:16:55,040 --> 00:16:57,040
Speaker 2: pretty solid team. If you wanted to take a long

356
00:16:57,040 --> 00:16:58,720
Speaker 2: shot in this group, plus three hundred to advance, I

357
00:16:58,720 --> 00:17:01,400
Speaker 2: don't hate it, but for me playing the chalk Liverpool

358
00:17:01,440 --> 00:17:02,560
Speaker 2: minus one ten to advance.

359
00:17:02,960 --> 00:17:05,560
Speaker 5: Yeah, Porto and like you said, at Letty, they fit

360
00:17:05,640 --> 00:17:06,800
Speaker 5: that CVO mode.

361
00:17:06,880 --> 00:17:08,440
Speaker 4: Like I was saying before one of these.

362
00:17:08,359 --> 00:17:09,920
Speaker 5: Tournaments, I like to back teams that are hard to

363
00:17:09,960 --> 00:17:12,360
Speaker 5: beat rather than teams that are just like uber talented

364
00:17:12,359 --> 00:17:16,040
Speaker 5: and can and can win us on having better players,

365
00:17:16,080 --> 00:17:19,560
Speaker 5: like Man City, et cetera, Group C, Dortmunt they're odds

366
00:17:19,560 --> 00:17:23,240
Speaker 5: on minus one sixty i X three to one, Sporting

367
00:17:23,440 --> 00:17:26,520
Speaker 5: plus five fifty, and then the Turkish giants bashik Us

368
00:17:26,600 --> 00:17:27,160
Speaker 5: they come in.

369
00:17:27,080 --> 00:17:27,960
Speaker 4: At ten to one.

370
00:17:28,680 --> 00:17:30,919
Speaker 5: We all like the two teams at the top in

371
00:17:31,040 --> 00:17:33,879
Speaker 5: terms of just, you know, big picture future value.

372
00:17:34,040 --> 00:17:35,360
Speaker 4: But what about you know, if we.

373
00:17:35,280 --> 00:17:38,560
Speaker 5: Get a little bit more granular into the group betting market.

374
00:17:38,640 --> 00:17:41,399
Speaker 5: Do we think, Anthony, do you think there's any reason

375
00:17:41,480 --> 00:17:44,920
Speaker 5: to go against either I X or Dortmant at the top.

376
00:17:45,240 --> 00:17:47,920
Speaker 2: No, not really. I think they pretty much rolled here,

377
00:17:48,200 --> 00:17:49,879
Speaker 2: But I'm gonna take IX three to one. I'm not

378
00:17:49,920 --> 00:17:52,000
Speaker 2: convinced they're that much worse than Dormant, and the market

379
00:17:52,080 --> 00:17:54,159
Speaker 2: seems to think so. I think it's a lot closer

380
00:17:54,160 --> 00:17:57,200
Speaker 2: than that suggests. Dorman is the favorite, but not by

381
00:17:57,280 --> 00:17:59,240
Speaker 2: that much. On one seventy five is kind of steep.

382
00:17:59,600 --> 00:18:02,119
Speaker 2: We mentioned and already Dortmund having some issues, some growing

383
00:18:02,160 --> 00:18:05,400
Speaker 2: pains and the Rosa system. They have defensive personnel issues,

384
00:18:06,080 --> 00:18:10,439
Speaker 2: they have midfield personnel issues. I think right now, so

385
00:18:10,760 --> 00:18:12,960
Speaker 2: i AX is a lot of fun. They have some

386
00:18:13,040 --> 00:18:15,480
Speaker 2: really good young players. Ryan Gravinberg is one of my

387
00:18:15,480 --> 00:18:19,080
Speaker 2: favorite midfielders Dutch Dutch young lad. I think he's nineteen.

388
00:18:19,680 --> 00:18:22,280
Speaker 2: Sbashan al Aire has had a resurgence after failing at

389
00:18:22,280 --> 00:18:24,240
Speaker 2: West Ham. He's got a couple of goals already in

390
00:18:24,280 --> 00:18:25,879
Speaker 2: the busy season.

391
00:18:26,480 --> 00:18:27,240
Speaker 3: He's pretty good.

392
00:18:27,480 --> 00:18:30,719
Speaker 2: He's Ontana has been there forever. He's still productive up front.

393
00:18:31,320 --> 00:18:33,119
Speaker 2: And then my guys, you know Brian Brobby. They have

394
00:18:33,119 --> 00:18:34,479
Speaker 2: a lot of really good young talent and I love

395
00:18:34,520 --> 00:18:36,560
Speaker 2: their manager. I think they're the kind of team that

396
00:18:36,560 --> 00:18:38,880
Speaker 2: can give Dortmann some trouble when they play them, can

397
00:18:38,960 --> 00:18:41,399
Speaker 2: kind of score a couple of goals and make that

398
00:18:41,440 --> 00:18:44,080
Speaker 2: a really fun open game. And I think I actually

399
00:18:44,080 --> 00:18:45,960
Speaker 2: have no problem against the lower teams. They were very

400
00:18:46,000 --> 00:18:49,040
Speaker 2: good in their Champions League group. They outplayed Atalanta in

401
00:18:49,040 --> 00:18:51,639
Speaker 2: both legs, just couldn't find the goals played even with

402
00:18:51,680 --> 00:18:54,720
Speaker 2: Liverpool in the one in one leg, and they struggled

403
00:18:54,720 --> 00:18:57,600
Speaker 2: with Micheland. But they were pretty good and pretty unfortunate

404
00:18:57,640 --> 00:18:59,440
Speaker 2: to not go through in the end in a really

405
00:18:59,480 --> 00:19:02,159
Speaker 2: tough group last year and then really unfortunate to go

406
00:19:02,200 --> 00:19:04,200
Speaker 2: out and there Europa League Grand to sixteen to Roma.

407
00:19:04,359 --> 00:19:07,200
Speaker 2: So I, like I asks three to one, I think

408
00:19:07,240 --> 00:19:08,199
Speaker 2: they're undervalued.

409
00:19:09,440 --> 00:19:11,200
Speaker 5: Yeah, I do too it and like I said before,

410
00:19:11,200 --> 00:19:13,200
Speaker 5: I think on the on the future market to win

411
00:19:13,240 --> 00:19:15,480
Speaker 5: the whole tournament as well. Look, it's not gonna win,

412
00:19:15,520 --> 00:19:17,040
Speaker 5: but they're such a fun team to watch and to

413
00:19:17,320 --> 00:19:19,720
Speaker 5: be a part of that journey, and they've made deep

414
00:19:19,800 --> 00:19:23,280
Speaker 5: runs recently, Like it's not like it's out of the question.

415
00:19:23,040 --> 00:19:25,680
Speaker 4: For them to do it. BJ. How are you seeing

416
00:19:25,720 --> 00:19:26,600
Speaker 4: Group C shakeout?

417
00:19:27,080 --> 00:19:28,920
Speaker 3: Yeah? I agree, I asked three one is a great

418
00:19:28,960 --> 00:19:32,199
Speaker 3: play in this group. You know, I honestly has just

419
00:19:32,240 --> 00:19:34,480
Speaker 3: as much talent and I'm maybe not, you know, close

420
00:19:34,520 --> 00:19:36,359
Speaker 3: to Doorman, but they have enough talent to compete with

421
00:19:36,400 --> 00:19:38,200
Speaker 3: them and obviously should be able to take care of

422
00:19:38,200 --> 00:19:40,720
Speaker 3: business against the other two because if we go deeper

423
00:19:40,720 --> 00:19:44,160
Speaker 3: in the group, Sporting Lisbon they were honestly a better

424
00:19:44,160 --> 00:19:46,760
Speaker 3: defensive team than Portal was last year in Portugal. They

425
00:19:46,800 --> 00:19:49,040
Speaker 3: only had point six to six expected goals, which is

426
00:19:49,320 --> 00:19:51,840
Speaker 3: incredibly impressive, but they did just sell one of their

427
00:19:51,880 --> 00:19:55,200
Speaker 3: best young players you know, Mendez to PSG, but coming

428
00:19:55,280 --> 00:19:59,280
Speaker 3: right back, Pablo Sarabia came from PSG to Sporting Listens,

429
00:19:59,359 --> 00:20:01,280
Speaker 3: so they they have problems in front of that though,

430
00:20:01,280 --> 00:20:04,960
Speaker 3: so I don't think they will make it that far. Bashitas,

431
00:20:05,480 --> 00:20:08,760
Speaker 3: they have a lot of names. You recognize Maryland Pianic

432
00:20:09,160 --> 00:20:12,000
Speaker 3: is going there now, uh Is.

433
00:20:14,160 --> 00:20:15,760
Speaker 4: Dea still there, uh.

434
00:20:17,280 --> 00:20:22,960
Speaker 3: Istanbul year yeah, and then Kyle Laren, Canadian international who

435
00:20:22,960 --> 00:20:27,760
Speaker 3: I believe just scored against the US is actually good. Yeah.

436
00:20:27,800 --> 00:20:29,400
Speaker 3: But one thing I kind of want to point out

437
00:20:29,400 --> 00:20:32,080
Speaker 3: with this group, especially out you know, throwing Sporting Lisbon

438
00:20:32,080 --> 00:20:34,000
Speaker 3: out because they're a very defensive team. This is a

439
00:20:34,000 --> 00:20:37,520
Speaker 3: big time over group because Dortmund and i As are

440
00:20:37,600 --> 00:20:41,320
Speaker 3: just high flying teams that average way over three suspected

441
00:20:41,359 --> 00:20:43,720
Speaker 3: goals for matching. Bashitas is just like that as well.

442
00:20:44,200 --> 00:20:46,960
Speaker 3: In the Turkish super League last year their matches averaged

443
00:20:47,000 --> 00:20:50,760
Speaker 3: three point nine to five expected goals, which is quite insane.

444
00:20:50,880 --> 00:20:54,120
Speaker 3: So be on the lookout for some overs in this group.

445
00:20:54,160 --> 00:20:56,680
Speaker 3: I mean the dortmant i Ax match, I mean that

446
00:20:56,760 --> 00:20:59,760
Speaker 3: over might be said at four, but but it's uh.

447
00:21:00,080 --> 00:21:01,680
Speaker 3: I think this is potential to be one of the

448
00:21:01,680 --> 00:21:05,080
Speaker 3: most fun and highest scoring groups but again it's probably

449
00:21:05,119 --> 00:21:07,480
Speaker 3: i X three to one. But you know, outrights, obviously

450
00:21:07,520 --> 00:21:09,920
Speaker 3: you both love Dortmund and i AX at those high prices.

451
00:21:09,920 --> 00:21:13,440
Speaker 3: But yeah, it seems pretty straightforward that it's either gonna

452
00:21:13,440 --> 00:21:14,920
Speaker 3: be ixal Dormant win in this group.

453
00:21:15,080 --> 00:21:18,400
Speaker 2: And PI SPI has five thirty SPI which is five

454
00:21:18,440 --> 00:21:20,520
Speaker 2: thirty eight Soccer Power Indux rating has i AX as

455
00:21:20,560 --> 00:21:25,040
Speaker 2: a better team. They tend to be a little off sometimes.

456
00:21:24,480 --> 00:21:27,840
Speaker 3: Quite times it's because IX has the best expected gold

457
00:21:27,880 --> 00:21:30,120
Speaker 3: orferential of anybody in this.

458
00:21:30,640 --> 00:21:33,320
Speaker 2: They just totally they just dominate. You're to busy, Yeah,

459
00:21:33,480 --> 00:21:37,520
Speaker 2: but even so, yeah, even so shows you how much

460
00:21:37,520 --> 00:21:39,200
Speaker 2: respect they have for i AX, the team that has

461
00:21:39,240 --> 00:21:40,640
Speaker 2: shown they can do it in Europe.

462
00:21:40,840 --> 00:21:42,480
Speaker 4: Yeah yeah, yep, they got the pedigree.

463
00:21:42,480 --> 00:21:45,560
Speaker 5: And like we just said over group also, like if

464
00:21:46,000 --> 00:21:48,240
Speaker 5: if that's the case and you want to bet Dortmund

465
00:21:48,240 --> 00:21:51,200
Speaker 5: and their big favors against Bushik Desert were sporting, then

466
00:21:51,200 --> 00:21:52,920
Speaker 5: maybe you lay the goal in a half or whatever,

467
00:21:52,960 --> 00:21:54,880
Speaker 5: because you might get a good price and it's probably

468
00:21:54,920 --> 00:21:57,080
Speaker 5: just as likely that those teams win, you know, three

469
00:21:57,200 --> 00:22:00,600
Speaker 5: nothing rather than one one mail We'll move on to

470
00:22:00,600 --> 00:22:03,520
Speaker 5: Group D, which of course is home to our beloved

471
00:22:03,880 --> 00:22:04,600
Speaker 5: C Sheriff.

472
00:22:04,640 --> 00:22:06,160
Speaker 4: They're eighty to one to win the group.

473
00:22:06,600 --> 00:22:09,960
Speaker 5: They'll be playing with Shaktar Dynetsk two or twelve to

474
00:22:10,000 --> 00:22:12,879
Speaker 5: one Inter Milan who are plus two twenty five. And

475
00:22:12,880 --> 00:22:17,119
Speaker 5: then the favorites, overwhelming favorites are Real Madrid minus two fifty.

476
00:22:17,160 --> 00:22:20,919
Speaker 5: That is actually the shortest price on the board in

477
00:22:21,000 --> 00:22:25,520
Speaker 5: terms of these these group markets. Boy, it's not gonna

478
00:22:25,560 --> 00:22:28,240
Speaker 5: be fun for FC Sheriff on paper, but they do

479
00:22:28,320 --> 00:22:30,879
Speaker 5: at least get to open with their easiest group, the

480
00:22:30,960 --> 00:22:33,879
Speaker 5: easiest match. Right, They're playing Shaktar and they're only like

481
00:22:33,880 --> 00:22:36,199
Speaker 5: plus three sixty in that match, So, I mean, I

482
00:22:36,200 --> 00:22:38,800
Speaker 5: don't really think that there's gonna be some anything crazy.

483
00:22:39,119 --> 00:22:42,240
Speaker 5: You'll always hear in Champions League about how teams hate

484
00:22:42,280 --> 00:22:44,720
Speaker 5: traveling to like either the Ukraine or Russia or wherever.

485
00:22:44,840 --> 00:22:47,600
Speaker 5: So maybe stuff, you know, some crazy stuff happens like that,

486
00:22:48,040 --> 00:22:50,399
Speaker 5: But it's just going to probably be a runaway for

487
00:22:50,520 --> 00:22:52,520
Speaker 5: Real Madrid, Is that right, BJ?

488
00:22:53,480 --> 00:22:55,399
Speaker 3: Maybe? Yeah? I think Real Madrid is probably gonna win

489
00:22:55,440 --> 00:22:57,400
Speaker 3: this group, but I'm actually gonna go to that second

490
00:22:57,400 --> 00:23:00,280
Speaker 3: place to qualify. I love Shocktart gun tests Call five.

491
00:23:00,680 --> 00:23:02,040
Speaker 3: You know they've beat really, I mean, this is the

492
00:23:02,040 --> 00:23:04,520
Speaker 3: same group as last year and Shocktar Intern Real.

493
00:23:04,400 --> 00:23:10,760
Speaker 2: Madrid no Gloadbach record. Glod Bock advance does not forget.

494
00:23:10,000 --> 00:23:12,400
Speaker 3: Gladbock and the reason, and this is kind of my point.

495
00:23:12,440 --> 00:23:15,600
Speaker 3: The reason Glodlock advance is because they beat Shaktara combined

496
00:23:15,640 --> 00:23:18,800
Speaker 3: ten to nothing over the two legs. Shakta actually beat

497
00:23:18,840 --> 00:23:21,600
Speaker 3: Real Madrid twice. In the first match, they had seven

498
00:23:21,640 --> 00:23:23,800
Speaker 3: starters out due to COVID and they still beat them

499
00:23:23,800 --> 00:23:25,680
Speaker 3: three to two. So this is a really good team

500
00:23:25,720 --> 00:23:28,680
Speaker 3: and they've even gotten better since the transfer window. They

501
00:23:28,760 --> 00:23:32,520
Speaker 3: added Paedrinho, who's a great winger from Benefica, Marlon who's

502
00:23:32,520 --> 00:23:35,440
Speaker 3: been a stable center back for Ossuolo and Siria ah

503
00:23:35,640 --> 00:23:39,800
Speaker 3: Lacina Troilre really fun winger for from iax is going

504
00:23:39,880 --> 00:23:42,879
Speaker 3: to bring that attack to be more lethal than it

505
00:23:42,960 --> 00:23:45,600
Speaker 3: was in the last Champions League. And they drew entered

506
00:23:45,600 --> 00:23:49,120
Speaker 3: both zero zero in both matches, so their problems only

507
00:23:49,119 --> 00:23:52,119
Speaker 3: camp against Cloudbach. So their odds right now are plus

508
00:23:52,160 --> 00:23:56,400
Speaker 3: one seventy five to advance. I love those odds, especially

509
00:23:56,400 --> 00:23:58,160
Speaker 3: for these teams that have to travel all the way

510
00:23:58,160 --> 00:24:01,800
Speaker 3: to Ukraine. It's going to be November December, it's going

511
00:24:01,880 --> 00:24:04,640
Speaker 3: to be cold, for the guys from Spain and Italy

512
00:24:04,680 --> 00:24:07,040
Speaker 3: trying to travel up there and play in sub sub

513
00:24:07,160 --> 00:24:10,119
Speaker 3: zero temperatures and snow. I just think this is a

514
00:24:10,119 --> 00:24:13,040
Speaker 3: situation where Shoktar can steal a few points from Inter

515
00:24:13,320 --> 00:24:17,760
Speaker 3: and Real Madrid and as far as our beloved FC

516
00:24:17,920 --> 00:24:19,919
Speaker 3: Sheriff I did, I tried to do some research on them.

517
00:24:19,960 --> 00:24:22,080
Speaker 3: I thought this was quite funny. Not a lot of

518
00:24:22,080 --> 00:24:24,679
Speaker 3: credible expected gold data coming out of Moldova, which you

519
00:24:24,720 --> 00:24:25,760
Speaker 3: know is quite shocked.

520
00:24:25,760 --> 00:24:27,960
Speaker 5: Before you say Moldova, we got to remember that this

521
00:24:28,040 --> 00:24:32,119
Speaker 5: is a it is an autonomous territorial unit that is

522
00:24:32,320 --> 00:24:33,960
Speaker 5: a part of Well, this is a breakaway state. So

523
00:24:34,000 --> 00:24:36,280
Speaker 5: we don't want to offend anybody listening. If I'm not

524
00:24:36,359 --> 00:24:38,760
Speaker 5: at Weldova or not, we apologize right away.

525
00:24:39,080 --> 00:24:41,640
Speaker 3: Listen, I'm not offending anybody. I'm more putting a PSA

526
00:24:41,720 --> 00:24:45,040
Speaker 3: out there asking somebody if they can start tracking expected

527
00:24:45,080 --> 00:24:46,840
Speaker 3: goals in Moldova for me so I can get some

528
00:24:46,880 --> 00:24:50,760
Speaker 3: credible data. That's all I'm asking. But last year they're

529
00:24:50,800 --> 00:24:53,560
Speaker 3: only there's only ten teams in the Moldovan First Division.

530
00:24:54,640 --> 00:24:56,720
Speaker 3: They played thirty six matches though, which I thought was

531
00:24:56,800 --> 00:24:59,879
Speaker 3: quite interesting. FC Sheriff went thirty two three and y

532
00:25:00,200 --> 00:25:02,320
Speaker 3: they scored one hundred and sixteen goals and only gave

533
00:25:02,400 --> 00:25:04,919
Speaker 3: up seven. So I don't know what I what to

534
00:25:04,960 --> 00:25:07,880
Speaker 3: take from that other than they're incredibly dominant.

535
00:25:07,880 --> 00:25:12,480
Speaker 2: I'm going to guess the Moldovan League is in particularly it's.

536
00:25:11,720 --> 00:25:15,000
Speaker 3: Thirty fourth INA coefficients, so you know, take that for

537
00:25:15,080 --> 00:25:17,320
Speaker 3: what it is. But I mean, they did beat Red

538
00:25:17,320 --> 00:25:20,080
Speaker 3: Star Belgrade and Dino Zagreb and qualifying you were to

539
00:25:20,240 --> 00:25:23,119
Speaker 3: Europa League. Staples and FC Sheriff has been in the

540
00:25:23,119 --> 00:25:26,080
Speaker 3: Europa League four times since twenty ten and they but

541
00:25:26,080 --> 00:25:28,159
Speaker 3: they haven't made it out of the group stage. And

542
00:25:28,200 --> 00:25:30,160
Speaker 3: one more funny thing about them are not really funny,

543
00:25:30,160 --> 00:25:32,120
Speaker 3: but more interesting thing. They have a guy named adam

544
00:25:32,119 --> 00:25:34,600
Speaker 3: Ant Treore place for them scored.

545
00:25:34,400 --> 00:25:39,080
Speaker 2: Two goals, and my guy Doma trom j J so

546
00:25:39,240 --> 00:25:41,160
Speaker 2: he scored two goals against Demo Zagreb.

547
00:25:41,280 --> 00:25:44,000
Speaker 3: So yeah, if I can't get any credible data on

548
00:25:44,080 --> 00:25:46,239
Speaker 3: these guys, I don't really know what to make of them.

549
00:25:46,359 --> 00:25:48,800
Speaker 3: So I'm probably just gonna not even touch that eighty

550
00:25:48,840 --> 00:25:50,479
Speaker 3: to one. I know Michael will because that's just too

551
00:25:50,560 --> 00:25:53,760
Speaker 3: much fun to avoid. But yeah, I just out of

552
00:25:53,800 --> 00:25:56,480
Speaker 3: this group. I think real Madrid's roles, but I do

553
00:25:56,680 --> 00:25:59,120
Speaker 3: love shocked hard to advance at plus one seventy five

554
00:25:59,240 --> 00:26:02,359
Speaker 3: with Inter not having Romol Lucaco anymore and kind of

555
00:26:02,400 --> 00:26:03,520
Speaker 3: in a little bit of a downturn.

556
00:26:03,800 --> 00:26:05,800
Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean, I'm gonna be betting at C Sheriff. Well,

557
00:26:06,320 --> 00:26:08,760
Speaker 5: I know, every match every way I can. It's just

558
00:26:08,760 --> 00:26:11,640
Speaker 5: gonna be too much fun, Anthony. Let's get your thoughts

559
00:26:11,720 --> 00:26:12,159
Speaker 5: on Group T.

560
00:26:12,640 --> 00:26:15,359
Speaker 2: I do have some notes on Shaktar, who I agree

561
00:26:15,400 --> 00:26:19,200
Speaker 2: with BJ is undervalued here. Their new manager, Roberto Deserbi,

562
00:26:19,640 --> 00:26:22,080
Speaker 2: recently managing Cisuolo, has a lot of experience going up

563
00:26:22,080 --> 00:26:26,160
Speaker 2: against the Lazzio and Zagie team that now is Inter

564
00:26:26,280 --> 00:26:30,400
Speaker 2: Milan's manager, so someone in Zogie. Intern not quite as good.

565
00:26:30,600 --> 00:26:33,960
Speaker 2: Have not been particularly impressed by their first couple of games.

566
00:26:34,200 --> 00:26:36,560
Speaker 2: I know they rolled Genawa, who's awful, but they did

567
00:26:36,640 --> 00:26:39,760
Speaker 2: not impress me at all. Against Verona they stole that win.

568
00:26:41,040 --> 00:26:43,480
Speaker 2: Inter still good in the midfield, still probably the second

569
00:26:43,520 --> 00:26:45,960
Speaker 2: best team in this group, but we'll also be taking

570
00:26:46,000 --> 00:26:48,639
Speaker 2: some Shaktar to advance along with BJ at plus one

571
00:26:48,760 --> 00:26:51,240
Speaker 2: seventy one. Thing about this group, we don't have a

572
00:26:51,280 --> 00:26:53,440
Speaker 2: ton on the Moldovan League for Sheriff, but we do

573
00:26:53,600 --> 00:26:56,480
Speaker 2: have a good amount of their Europa League or Champions

574
00:26:56,520 --> 00:27:00,000
Speaker 2: League qualifying absolute luck box win against Red Star Belgrade

575
00:27:00,000 --> 00:27:04,680
Speaker 2: ad no business winning that they're they're not good. We'll

576
00:27:04,720 --> 00:27:06,440
Speaker 2: get to my favorite pick of the first weekend later

577
00:27:07,240 --> 00:27:09,240
Speaker 2: a first week in Champions League later, but i we'll

578
00:27:09,240 --> 00:27:11,520
Speaker 2: be looking to bet against the Sheriff team at every

579
00:27:11,960 --> 00:27:12,920
Speaker 2: possible turn.

580
00:27:15,720 --> 00:27:18,879
Speaker 1: This is Action Network podcast producer Matt Mitchell here to

581
00:27:18,920 --> 00:27:21,320
Speaker 1: tell you our friends at bet mgm have a great

582
00:27:21,400 --> 00:27:24,119
Speaker 1: news sign up offer for our listeners, a six one

583
00:27:24,200 --> 00:27:27,680
Speaker 1: hundred dollars risk free first bet. Here's how it works.

584
00:27:28,119 --> 00:27:30,399
Speaker 1: If you don't already have an account at bet mgm,

585
00:27:30,880 --> 00:27:33,320
Speaker 1: just sign up, make your first deposit and place that

586
00:27:33,480 --> 00:27:36,640
Speaker 1: initial wager. If the bet wins, you get all the money.

587
00:27:37,040 --> 00:27:40,080
Speaker 1: If it doesn't win, bet mgm will refund you in

588
00:27:40,240 --> 00:27:43,320
Speaker 1: free bets up to six hundred dollars. It's that simple.

589
00:27:43,840 --> 00:27:46,240
Speaker 1: Just click on the link in this episode description to

590
00:27:46,320 --> 00:27:49,520
Speaker 1: get started. Bet mgm has been a great podcast partner,

591
00:27:49,760 --> 00:27:52,440
Speaker 1: and they've got all the features gamblers like us love,

592
00:27:52,840 --> 00:27:56,280
Speaker 1: like live betting and daily odds boosts. Plus they're compatible

593
00:27:56,400 --> 00:27:59,320
Speaker 1: with betsync, so when you place a wager at BETMGM

594
00:27:59,720 --> 00:28:03,520
Speaker 1: that can automatically be tracked in your action. So open

595
00:28:03,560 --> 00:28:06,080
Speaker 1: an account today and make your first bet risk free

596
00:28:06,440 --> 00:28:08,800
Speaker 1: up to six hundred dollars. Just click on the link

597
00:28:08,840 --> 00:28:11,920
Speaker 1: in this episode description to get started. Must be twenty

598
00:28:11,960 --> 00:28:15,400
Speaker 1: one or older and physically located in Michigan, New Jersey, Colorado, Indiana,

599
00:28:15,480 --> 00:28:19,880
Speaker 1: West Virginia, Iowa, Virginia, Tennessee, Nevada, or Pennsylvania. Please gamble responsibly.

600
00:28:20,000 --> 00:28:21,959
Speaker 1: Gambling problem called one eight hundred and five to two

601
00:28:22,000 --> 00:28:24,399
Speaker 1: two forty seven hundred in Colorado and Nevada. One eight

602
00:28:24,520 --> 00:28:27,159
Speaker 1: hundred gambler in New Jersey, Pennsylvania in West Virginia. One

603
00:28:27,200 --> 00:28:29,359
Speaker 1: eight hundred and nine with it in Indiana. One eight

604
00:28:29,480 --> 00:28:31,400
Speaker 1: hundred and two seven zero seven to one one seven

605
00:28:31,440 --> 00:28:33,480
Speaker 1: in Michigan, one one hundred and eight nine nine seven

606
00:28:33,520 --> 00:28:35,440
Speaker 1: eight nine in Tennessee. One eight hundred bets off in

607
00:28:35,520 --> 00:28:37,600
Speaker 1: Iowa or one eight eight five three to two thirty

608
00:28:37,640 --> 00:28:41,240
Speaker 1: five hundred in Virginia. Betsink not available in Nevada. Thanks

609
00:28:41,280 --> 00:28:43,080
Speaker 1: for listening. Now back to the show.

610
00:28:45,560 --> 00:28:48,440
Speaker 4: Yeah Wow, Stop depresses the team from Moldova.

611
00:28:48,520 --> 00:28:54,680
Speaker 5: Isn't good Crewpy Bayern, Munich odds anywhere else Bayern Munich

612
00:28:54,720 --> 00:28:57,880
Speaker 5: minus one seventy five favorites Barcelona plus one eighty they

613
00:28:57,920 --> 00:29:01,760
Speaker 5: don't have Lionel Messi anymore. Benfica ten to one, Dinamo

614
00:29:01,960 --> 00:29:06,320
Speaker 5: Kiev thirty three to one. Outsiders Anthony. But this is

615
00:29:06,680 --> 00:29:08,800
Speaker 5: I think it's an intriguing group just because of who's

616
00:29:08,840 --> 00:29:11,040
Speaker 5: at the top, to two teams and people who who

617
00:29:11,200 --> 00:29:13,840
Speaker 5: are going to overthink things maybe are gonna bet against

618
00:29:13,840 --> 00:29:14,680
Speaker 5: Barcelona a lot.

619
00:29:15,120 --> 00:29:16,960
Speaker 4: How do you how do you think this one's shaking out.

620
00:29:17,000 --> 00:29:19,840
Speaker 5: Do you think that Benfico or Kiev can can come

621
00:29:19,920 --> 00:29:23,320
Speaker 5: in and maybe you know the second spot away from Barcelona.

622
00:29:22,960 --> 00:29:24,600
Speaker 4: Or is it just you know, these two teams at

623
00:29:24,600 --> 00:29:25,239
Speaker 4: the top should roll.

624
00:29:25,880 --> 00:29:27,360
Speaker 2: These two teams are the top should role. I mean,

625
00:29:27,360 --> 00:29:29,440
Speaker 2: if there's anything Barcelona and Byron have been good at

626
00:29:29,480 --> 00:29:31,040
Speaker 2: in the last two years, it's beating up on the

627
00:29:31,080 --> 00:29:34,160
Speaker 2: bottom feeders of the Champions League and of their respective leagues.

628
00:29:34,560 --> 00:29:37,360
Speaker 2: When you look at Barcelona, even last year when I

629
00:29:37,480 --> 00:29:39,760
Speaker 2: was looking to fade them, I couldn't wait for them

630
00:29:39,800 --> 00:29:41,760
Speaker 2: to play PSG and get and go against them. And

631
00:29:41,800 --> 00:29:44,760
Speaker 2: that's in that round of sixteen they still dominated French

632
00:29:44,840 --> 00:29:47,600
Speaker 2: Vaus and the other team which is blanking me at

633
00:29:47,640 --> 00:29:49,360
Speaker 2: the moment and they ended up losing the group to

634
00:29:49,400 --> 00:29:52,400
Speaker 2: you on the final day. But that's right, ki Yev.

635
00:29:52,520 --> 00:29:57,200
Speaker 2: So again, you know, dominating pretty bad teams is pretty

636
00:29:57,240 --> 00:29:59,280
Speaker 2: good and pretty much what Barcelona does, so I don't

637
00:29:59,280 --> 00:30:01,200
Speaker 2: really have any problem with them here. I think they're

638
00:30:01,280 --> 00:30:04,800
Speaker 2: right the underdogs to Byron. I actually am really intrigued

639
00:30:04,800 --> 00:30:06,760
Speaker 2: for Barcia Byron on Tuesday because I have a lot

640
00:30:06,800 --> 00:30:08,840
Speaker 2: of question marks about both teams and I think maybe

641
00:30:09,280 --> 00:30:12,560
Speaker 2: somewhat answered in that game. It's not two years ago

642
00:30:12,600 --> 00:30:15,320
Speaker 2: where Byron was an absolute truck and Barcelona was kind

643
00:30:15,360 --> 00:30:18,000
Speaker 2: of in shambles and they lost eight two and that

644
00:30:18,120 --> 00:30:19,640
Speaker 2: was lined at the same number that this one is

645
00:30:19,720 --> 00:30:22,640
Speaker 2: right now, with Barcelona or with Byron pretty much about

646
00:30:22,640 --> 00:30:25,600
Speaker 2: even money to win. So now you know, I have

647
00:30:25,760 --> 00:30:27,960
Speaker 2: questions about both teams. I'm not sure I'm going to

648
00:30:28,000 --> 00:30:29,680
Speaker 2: play that one, but I'm not probably going to play

649
00:30:29,680 --> 00:30:31,000
Speaker 2: anything in this group. I think it's kind of a

650
00:30:31,160 --> 00:30:34,200
Speaker 2: pretty straightforward group, and the numbers seams about right ja.

651
00:30:35,280 --> 00:30:37,800
Speaker 3: Yeah, I agree, it's pretty straightforward group. I was trying

652
00:30:37,840 --> 00:30:39,280
Speaker 3: to look to see, if you know, if I could

653
00:30:39,320 --> 00:30:41,720
Speaker 3: get similar odds for Barcelona not to qualify that I

654
00:30:41,760 --> 00:30:43,880
Speaker 3: word with PSG round five to one, but it's only

655
00:30:43,880 --> 00:30:45,720
Speaker 3: about plus two to fifty, which is not high enough

656
00:30:45,760 --> 00:30:48,440
Speaker 3: for me to play. Benefica is an interesting team, best

657
00:30:48,480 --> 00:30:51,960
Speaker 3: expected gold differential in Portugal last season. They have some

658
00:30:52,120 --> 00:30:55,320
Speaker 3: experienced players like Nicholas Attamendi and jen Bertanguan to former

659
00:30:55,360 --> 00:31:00,280
Speaker 3: Premier League defenders. They just signed Roman yermachek ay and

660
00:31:00,360 --> 00:31:03,320
Speaker 3: forward scored two goals in the Euros and they also

661
00:31:03,360 --> 00:31:07,080
Speaker 3: have Harris Severnovich, the Swiss international, so they have some talent.

662
00:31:07,160 --> 00:31:11,440
Speaker 3: They have some good players on their squad, but it's tough.

663
00:31:11,560 --> 00:31:14,040
Speaker 3: It's tough to get through Byron and Barcelona, and you

664
00:31:14,080 --> 00:31:16,200
Speaker 3: know Barcelona obviously they've lost the time of losing Messi,

665
00:31:16,320 --> 00:31:18,760
Speaker 3: Grizma and everybody else, but they still are one of

666
00:31:18,800 --> 00:31:21,480
Speaker 3: the best three teams in Spain, which is the second

667
00:31:21,520 --> 00:31:24,720
Speaker 3: best league YUA for coefficient. So I think this is

668
00:31:24,760 --> 00:31:28,120
Speaker 3: just Byron Barca in a route. But we'll see what

669
00:31:28,200 --> 00:31:30,640
Speaker 3: happens then opening match. If it's another Byron Munich route

670
00:31:30,680 --> 00:31:32,720
Speaker 3: eight to two, we might have a lot more question marks.

671
00:31:32,800 --> 00:31:36,760
Speaker 3: Barcelona and Benefice actually might have a shot of getting through. Yeah,

672
00:31:36,760 --> 00:31:38,000
Speaker 3: I think that's the way I was going to approach.

673
00:31:38,000 --> 00:31:41,480
Speaker 5: It is if Barcelona does get pantsed by Byron, maybe

674
00:31:41,720 --> 00:31:44,680
Speaker 5: buying low on them to advancer within the group or whatever.

675
00:31:45,160 --> 00:31:47,560
Speaker 5: Let's move on a group f Man United minus one

676
00:31:47,680 --> 00:31:52,120
Speaker 5: ninety favorites Adelante La Dilla there plus three hundred bil

677
00:31:52,200 --> 00:31:55,120
Speaker 5: Real six to one, and then young boys coming out

678
00:31:55,160 --> 00:31:56,360
Speaker 5: of Switzerland.

679
00:31:55,920 --> 00:31:57,280
Speaker 4: Are fourteen to one.

680
00:31:57,680 --> 00:32:01,240
Speaker 5: Antony, you really like Man United of winning the whole tournament.

681
00:32:01,960 --> 00:32:04,040
Speaker 5: You're a believer in this team. Do you think there's

682
00:32:04,040 --> 00:32:06,280
Speaker 5: also value in backing them to win the group or

683
00:32:06,520 --> 00:32:07,360
Speaker 5: any other way like that?

684
00:32:08,360 --> 00:32:11,600
Speaker 2: I know I don't love this group. I mean I

685
00:32:11,720 --> 00:32:14,880
Speaker 2: love this group from a fan perspective. I cannot wait.

686
00:32:15,360 --> 00:32:18,080
Speaker 2: There are there's i mean, very contrasting styles here. Right,

687
00:32:18,120 --> 00:32:22,360
Speaker 2: You've got the high pressing you know, bass of the

688
00:32:22,400 --> 00:32:27,040
Speaker 2: wall attack Atalanta against the very defensive, very negative, very

689
00:32:27,440 --> 00:32:30,080
Speaker 2: very passive Unai Emery. And then you've got the elite

690
00:32:30,120 --> 00:32:33,600
Speaker 2: counter attacking United team that has struggles breaking down low

691
00:32:33,680 --> 00:32:37,080
Speaker 2: blocks and that really you don't know what you're going

692
00:32:37,120 --> 00:32:38,520
Speaker 2: to get on a game to game basis, and they

693
00:32:38,560 --> 00:32:40,400
Speaker 2: show that last year in the Champions League when they

694
00:32:40,440 --> 00:32:44,320
Speaker 2: beat PSG and Leipzig by a combined seven to one

695
00:32:44,360 --> 00:32:46,280
Speaker 2: in their first two games and then did not qualify

696
00:32:46,760 --> 00:32:48,880
Speaker 2: because they lost a PSG Leipzig and the stand Bull

697
00:32:48,920 --> 00:32:53,520
Speaker 2: in the last three games. So I am really excited

698
00:32:53,600 --> 00:32:55,800
Speaker 2: for this group in terms of betting it, though I

699
00:32:55,960 --> 00:32:59,360
Speaker 2: don't really love anything, you know, I feel like I'm

700
00:32:59,440 --> 00:33:02,080
Speaker 2: contractually obligated to mention that I love Atalanta as a

701
00:33:02,160 --> 00:33:04,040
Speaker 2: team and three to one is probably a decent number

702
00:33:04,080 --> 00:33:05,800
Speaker 2: on them. I bet them all the time and I

703
00:33:05,880 --> 00:33:08,680
Speaker 2: love them. Don't love the matchup with United though. I

704
00:33:08,720 --> 00:33:11,560
Speaker 2: think it's a pretty dangerous one one where, you know,

705
00:33:12,880 --> 00:33:14,640
Speaker 2: similar to how Liverpool kind of ripped them apart in

706
00:33:14,720 --> 00:33:17,400
Speaker 2: Space last year, it could get ugly for Atalanta when

707
00:33:17,440 --> 00:33:19,960
Speaker 2: they go to United. That being said, I think Billa

708
00:33:20,000 --> 00:33:22,000
Speaker 2: Real can cause a lot of problems for Man United

709
00:33:22,040 --> 00:33:24,160
Speaker 2: as they did in the Europa League Final, as they

710
00:33:24,280 --> 00:33:28,120
Speaker 2: do against everybody they play. People continue to underrate Unai

711
00:33:28,200 --> 00:33:34,120
Speaker 2: Emory in tournaments for some reason, Arsenal fan BJ Cunningham

712
00:33:34,160 --> 00:33:40,160
Speaker 2: regretting the sacking of Uni Emory potentially. But yeah, but yeah,

713
00:33:40,200 --> 00:33:41,360
Speaker 2: I don't have the three to ones the only thing

714
00:33:41,400 --> 00:33:43,800
Speaker 2: I'd even consider playing in this group. Otherwise I'm staying away.

715
00:33:44,400 --> 00:33:46,760
Speaker 2: I'll betting the individual games. I'm really excited for it.

716
00:33:47,280 --> 00:33:50,080
Speaker 2: So contrasting styles is what makes this tournament really fun,

717
00:33:50,200 --> 00:33:52,320
Speaker 2: and it's going to make this group really fun. Yeah,

718
00:33:52,520 --> 00:33:56,560
Speaker 2: we see young boys, young boys, some talent. They are

719
00:33:56,600 --> 00:33:58,600
Speaker 2: a fun team. They score a lot, they give up

720
00:33:58,640 --> 00:34:02,520
Speaker 2: a lot of goals. Their their their qualifying games were

721
00:34:02,560 --> 00:34:07,520
Speaker 2: absolutely bonkers. So you know they have they have the

722
00:34:07,560 --> 00:34:11,319
Speaker 2: firepower to maybe stun Bill a real team or an

723
00:34:11,320 --> 00:34:14,360
Speaker 2: Atalanta team who gets caught out. Uh and so it

724
00:34:14,400 --> 00:34:16,480
Speaker 2: could be a really fun group and I'm excited for it,

725
00:34:16,920 --> 00:34:18,440
Speaker 2: but for betting it not much.

726
00:34:18,800 --> 00:34:21,960
Speaker 5: I like we see Man United always tear Leeds United

727
00:34:22,000 --> 00:34:25,600
Speaker 5: apart in the Premier League because they love to hit

728
00:34:25,680 --> 00:34:26,560
Speaker 5: back on the counter.

729
00:34:26,360 --> 00:34:27,040
Speaker 4: Against teams like that.

730
00:34:27,400 --> 00:34:29,200
Speaker 5: That's what I'm kind of thinking about here when they

731
00:34:29,200 --> 00:34:32,120
Speaker 5: play Atlanta, and then the opposite when they played vi Real,

732
00:34:32,280 --> 00:34:34,839
Speaker 5: like they have trouble breaking down low block. So when

733
00:34:34,960 --> 00:34:37,160
Speaker 5: Viorel plays Man United, I'm going to be looking to

734
00:34:37,239 --> 00:34:40,400
Speaker 5: back the Yellow Submarine. I actually think the v A

735
00:34:40,480 --> 00:34:42,360
Speaker 5: Real and Emory at six to one is a pretty

736
00:34:42,400 --> 00:34:44,839
Speaker 5: decent bet to win the Group BJ.

737
00:34:45,320 --> 00:34:46,520
Speaker 4: What about you for Group Beth.

738
00:34:47,000 --> 00:34:49,600
Speaker 3: Yeah, I actually kind of like Atalanta at three to one.

739
00:34:49,680 --> 00:34:52,360
Speaker 3: I mean, they obviously they sold Christian Romero and Galie

740
00:34:52,440 --> 00:34:55,160
Speaker 3: their keeper, but they brought in Demorel from Juventus, and

741
00:34:55,239 --> 00:34:59,480
Speaker 3: they brought in Russo from to be between the pipes.

742
00:35:00,080 --> 00:35:04,279
Speaker 3: And you know, obviously Atlanta's like the hipster analytics team

743
00:35:04,320 --> 00:35:06,200
Speaker 3: that everybody loves, which I think me and Anthony and

744
00:35:06,200 --> 00:35:09,120
Speaker 3: are both members of. But it's honestly just a really

745
00:35:09,160 --> 00:35:10,960
Speaker 3: fun team that can give Man United a lot of

746
00:35:11,040 --> 00:35:12,480
Speaker 3: problems and they should be able to take care of

747
00:35:12,560 --> 00:35:14,719
Speaker 3: business against young boys in Via Real and they should be.

748
00:35:14,760 --> 00:35:17,160
Speaker 3: I mean they they're gonna, you know, veer out. I mean,

749
00:35:17,239 --> 00:35:19,160
Speaker 3: they might only have like four or five shots in

750
00:35:19,239 --> 00:35:20,680
Speaker 3: that match. I mean they might be high quality, but

751
00:35:21,080 --> 00:35:22,560
Speaker 3: I mean they're just gonna sit back in that low

752
00:35:22,640 --> 00:35:26,120
Speaker 3: block and just for pretty much the entire game. But

753
00:35:26,320 --> 00:35:28,080
Speaker 3: you know, really fun team who had the second best

754
00:35:28,120 --> 00:35:30,480
Speaker 3: expected goal of the Frenchial in Italy last season. They

755
00:35:30,560 --> 00:35:34,080
Speaker 3: have talent going forward, Zapata and Murrayal. I thought it

756
00:35:34,160 --> 00:35:37,200
Speaker 3: was interesting Murrayal had a one point zero five expectable

757
00:35:37,239 --> 00:35:38,760
Speaker 3: per ninety minutes scoring right last.

758
00:35:38,640 --> 00:35:41,600
Speaker 2: Season in Syria in the best in the top five leagues,

759
00:35:41,840 --> 00:35:43,440
Speaker 2: exactly best in the top five leagues.

760
00:35:43,640 --> 00:35:47,680
Speaker 3: So really really good attack going forward, and they replaced

761
00:35:47,719 --> 00:35:50,719
Speaker 3: the pieces that they lost in the transfer window, so

762
00:35:50,760 --> 00:35:52,600
Speaker 3: I think they should be able to give Manchester United

763
00:35:52,680 --> 00:35:56,240
Speaker 3: some problems. And then yeah, young boys managed by American

764
00:35:56,719 --> 00:36:00,239
Speaker 3: manager David Wagner, a former Huddersfield manager for a few

765
00:36:00,320 --> 00:36:04,080
Speaker 3: years there in the Premier League. Like, yeah, they're they're

766
00:36:04,120 --> 00:36:08,759
Speaker 3: an overteam three point two nine expected goals averaged in

767
00:36:08,880 --> 00:36:12,000
Speaker 3: their matches in the Swiss Super League last season, so

768
00:36:12,719 --> 00:36:15,080
Speaker 3: be on the lookout for them, especially when they play Atlanta.

769
00:36:15,200 --> 00:36:17,560
Speaker 3: That's another one that the total might be set for.

770
00:36:18,160 --> 00:36:20,239
Speaker 5: Yeah, it turns out that group Beth, you know when

771
00:36:20,400 --> 00:36:22,160
Speaker 5: just listening to you guys talk about it couldn't end

772
00:36:22,239 --> 00:36:25,160
Speaker 5: up being like the most underrated group in terms of

773
00:36:26,200 --> 00:36:29,240
Speaker 5: neutral value, Group G the only group without an odds

774
00:36:29,239 --> 00:36:31,960
Speaker 5: out favorite Sevilla plus one thirty. I already talked about

775
00:36:32,120 --> 00:36:34,040
Speaker 5: how I like them to win the whole tournament at

776
00:36:34,080 --> 00:36:36,759
Speaker 5: sixty six to one, LEL coming off the league home

777
00:36:36,840 --> 00:36:40,800
Speaker 5: championship there plus two fifty Wolfsburg three to one, and

778
00:36:40,880 --> 00:36:44,319
Speaker 5: then SC Salzburg six to one. The not a lot

779
00:36:44,360 --> 00:36:46,600
Speaker 5: of travel in this group, probably the closest in terms

780
00:36:46,680 --> 00:36:52,040
Speaker 5: of location. I don't particularly think the price on Sevilla

781
00:36:52,160 --> 00:36:53,880
Speaker 5: in terms of like the group market is good, but

782
00:36:53,920 --> 00:36:55,880
Speaker 5: like I said, I really do think that they're a

783
00:36:55,960 --> 00:36:57,719
Speaker 5: tournament team, a team that's really tough to beat in

784
00:36:57,800 --> 00:37:01,600
Speaker 5: one off matches, So I like them long term. In

785
00:37:01,719 --> 00:37:03,879
Speaker 5: terms of the group though, I think the only one

786
00:37:03,920 --> 00:37:07,359
Speaker 5: that I'd actually be interested in backing to win would

787
00:37:07,360 --> 00:37:09,600
Speaker 5: be Salisburg at six to one, just because I think

788
00:37:09,640 --> 00:37:11,600
Speaker 5: this group is wide open and you just never know

789
00:37:11,680 --> 00:37:15,760
Speaker 5: when chaos like that gets thrown into a four team league. Basically,

790
00:37:15,840 --> 00:37:18,560
Speaker 5: that's what you're looking at. Variants can run wild, good

791
00:37:18,680 --> 00:37:22,000
Speaker 5: enough to pull some upsets. They're good enough to just

792
00:37:22,080 --> 00:37:24,719
Speaker 5: dominate the Austrian Bundesliga, so you just if they get

793
00:37:24,800 --> 00:37:27,640
Speaker 5: underestimated and without a true giant in the group, I

794
00:37:27,719 --> 00:37:30,880
Speaker 5: think that six to one is a decent price, Anthony.

795
00:37:31,120 --> 00:37:33,840
Speaker 5: Anything you think is worth betting in group g.

796
00:37:34,920 --> 00:37:37,400
Speaker 2: Now outrights for me. In terms of group winner or

797
00:37:37,520 --> 00:37:41,640
Speaker 2: group second place, I think it's pretty balanced one to four.

798
00:37:41,719 --> 00:37:43,560
Speaker 2: That by far the most balanced one to four because

799
00:37:43,560 --> 00:37:45,840
Speaker 2: there is no dominant team, there's no terrible team. I

800
00:37:45,920 --> 00:37:47,680
Speaker 2: have a lot of question marks about Leal kind of

801
00:37:47,800 --> 00:37:49,400
Speaker 2: luck their way into a title, and they have so

802
00:37:49,520 --> 00:37:53,440
Speaker 2: much turnover. New manager, lost multiple key starters, Tim Weia,

803
00:37:53,680 --> 00:37:55,400
Speaker 2: who is injured right now. But it's a lot of

804
00:37:55,440 --> 00:37:59,080
Speaker 2: fun if you're looking to get behind some Americans. There's

805
00:37:59,120 --> 00:38:01,160
Speaker 2: a lot of American which maybe we should touch on

806
00:38:01,239 --> 00:38:03,160
Speaker 2: where they are if you're a neutral looking to watch

807
00:38:03,200 --> 00:38:06,719
Speaker 2: the Champions League and root for some Americans. But Salisburg

808
00:38:06,840 --> 00:38:09,239
Speaker 2: formerly had an American manager, now has an American star

809
00:38:09,360 --> 00:38:12,520
Speaker 2: and Brendan Arrington as a central attack of midfielder. So

810
00:38:12,920 --> 00:38:15,440
Speaker 2: and Wolfsburg has John Brooks who's a center back. So

811
00:38:15,880 --> 00:38:18,359
Speaker 2: a good group for the Americans, but not a great

812
00:38:18,360 --> 00:38:20,440
Speaker 2: group in terms of betting wise. I don't hate the

813
00:38:20,480 --> 00:38:22,360
Speaker 2: Salisburg play. They were really good last year in the

814
00:38:22,440 --> 00:38:25,000
Speaker 2: Champions League, better than Adlet. You should have went through

815
00:38:25,239 --> 00:38:29,960
Speaker 2: didn't on some variants like you mentioned, But for me passing,

816
00:38:30,400 --> 00:38:32,560
Speaker 2: I think Syvia probably wins it. And then it's a

817
00:38:32,600 --> 00:38:34,520
Speaker 2: Wolfsburg Salzburg toss up for a second.

818
00:38:35,200 --> 00:38:37,080
Speaker 4: Bej what about you do you think? Are you getting

819
00:38:37,120 --> 00:38:38,359
Speaker 4: on the FC Salzburg train.

820
00:38:38,520 --> 00:38:40,120
Speaker 3: No, I can't get on that train. And they just

821
00:38:40,320 --> 00:38:42,279
Speaker 3: they just sold their best two players during the last

822
00:38:42,320 --> 00:38:46,319
Speaker 3: trans window. This sold Daca to Lester and my guy

823
00:38:46,560 --> 00:38:49,760
Speaker 3: Enoch and Waipu to Brighton. So I can't get behind

824
00:38:49,840 --> 00:38:52,200
Speaker 3: the team that just sold their best two players. I

825
00:38:52,239 --> 00:38:54,640
Speaker 3: actually do like Sylvia plus one thirty to win this group.

826
00:38:54,719 --> 00:38:56,680
Speaker 3: I mean, in the last Champions League they got put

827
00:38:56,719 --> 00:38:59,520
Speaker 3: in a group with Chelsea Krassador and Renes and they

828
00:38:59,640 --> 00:39:02,279
Speaker 3: just took care of business Against Renes and Krasendor, They

829
00:39:02,440 --> 00:39:05,800
Speaker 3: just completely dominated them. And despite a bunch of interest

830
00:39:05,880 --> 00:39:08,239
Speaker 3: for their basically their best two defenders Jules Conde and

831
00:39:08,520 --> 00:39:12,320
Speaker 3: Diego Carlos, they kept them together through the transfer window.

832
00:39:12,400 --> 00:39:16,279
Speaker 3: And like you mentioned, Michael best expected goals record as

833
00:39:16,320 --> 00:39:18,839
Speaker 3: far as defense in La Ligo only allowed point nine

834
00:39:18,880 --> 00:39:21,480
Speaker 3: expected goals per match. In a group like this, which

835
00:39:21,520 --> 00:39:23,480
Speaker 3: is very favorable to them, They're going to be favored

836
00:39:23,560 --> 00:39:26,040
Speaker 3: in four of their six matches at a price of

837
00:39:26,120 --> 00:39:30,040
Speaker 3: plus one point thirty. I absolutely love anything plus money because, yeah,

838
00:39:30,080 --> 00:39:33,520
Speaker 3: like Anthony mentioned, Lil losing their manager, starting goalkeeper and

839
00:39:33,560 --> 00:39:35,719
Speaker 3: a lot of turnover, They've looked horrible through their first

840
00:39:35,800 --> 00:39:38,759
Speaker 3: four matches in league. Uh Reneto Sanchez is hurt for

841
00:39:39,239 --> 00:39:41,480
Speaker 3: maybe a couple months now, one of their best players.

842
00:39:42,000 --> 00:39:43,759
Speaker 3: And I think we should touch on it because Lil

843
00:39:43,880 --> 00:39:47,160
Speaker 3: basically is an incredible defensive team. Last year they were

844
00:39:47,200 --> 00:39:48,840
Speaker 3: the best defensive team in all of Europe. It's the

845
00:39:48,880 --> 00:39:51,759
Speaker 3: reason they won the French First Flight only point six

846
00:39:51,880 --> 00:39:55,359
Speaker 3: expected goals allowed per match, but they were ninth best

847
00:39:55,440 --> 00:39:59,000
Speaker 3: in France in terms of expected goals created. Laurent Nantes

848
00:39:59,160 --> 00:40:02,000
Speaker 3: and Strasbourg all created more expected goals in them and

849
00:40:02,000 --> 00:40:04,800
Speaker 3: they finished in the bottom five of the league. So

850
00:40:05,040 --> 00:40:06,560
Speaker 3: they're gonna be one of the biggest fade teams for

851
00:40:06,680 --> 00:40:08,560
Speaker 3: me going into this given all that turnover and then

852
00:40:08,560 --> 00:40:11,640
Speaker 3: their offensive ineptness. So I do think there's some value

853
00:40:11,680 --> 00:40:14,640
Speaker 3: on Wolfsburg at plus one ten to qualify for the group.

854
00:40:14,680 --> 00:40:16,160
Speaker 3: So I got two bets in this group. You know,

855
00:40:16,200 --> 00:40:18,840
Speaker 3: Wolfsburg looked great to their first three matches. You know,

856
00:40:18,960 --> 00:40:21,200
Speaker 3: they kind of overachieved a little bit last season, but

857
00:40:21,239 --> 00:40:23,160
Speaker 3: they kept their entire squad together and they added some

858
00:40:23,360 --> 00:40:26,279
Speaker 3: depth through the transfer market. So it's a really nice team.

859
00:40:26,320 --> 00:40:28,000
Speaker 3: And honestly it's more of a play on a fade

860
00:40:28,200 --> 00:40:31,719
Speaker 3: of lil and honestly, Yeah, and Salzburg fun team, but

861
00:40:32,239 --> 00:40:33,759
Speaker 3: I can't get behind the team who just sold their

862
00:40:33,760 --> 00:40:34,400
Speaker 3: best two players.

863
00:40:34,560 --> 00:40:37,360
Speaker 5: Yeah, Little could be a good team to if you

864
00:40:37,400 --> 00:40:40,279
Speaker 5: can find to finish last in the group, bet out there.

865
00:40:40,600 --> 00:40:43,600
Speaker 5: They could be a decent price group. Bach the final group,

866
00:40:44,760 --> 00:40:47,879
Speaker 5: defending champions Chelsea odds on at minus went sixty five

867
00:40:48,280 --> 00:40:50,799
Speaker 5: event this plus one forty five, then a big jump

868
00:40:51,360 --> 00:40:54,239
Speaker 5: to the Russians Senate St. Petersburg sixty to one and

869
00:40:54,400 --> 00:40:56,560
Speaker 5: Malmo out of Sweden fifty to one.

870
00:40:56,960 --> 00:40:57,800
Speaker 4: I'm going to bet.

871
00:40:57,680 --> 00:40:59,560
Speaker 5: Malmo fifty to one to win the group just because

872
00:40:59,760 --> 00:41:02,520
Speaker 5: you crazy stuff can happen. I'm not gonna it's not

873
00:41:02,560 --> 00:41:04,239
Speaker 5: a big bet. It's going to lose, but it's fun.

874
00:41:04,480 --> 00:41:07,919
Speaker 5: Betting is supposed to be fun, so why not. Other

875
00:41:08,000 --> 00:41:11,719
Speaker 5: than that, though it's as odds makers are showing, it

876
00:41:11,800 --> 00:41:14,959
Speaker 5: seems pretty straightforward, Anthony, do have any reason to believe

877
00:41:15,000 --> 00:41:18,319
Speaker 5: that it won't be what everybody expects Chelsea and Uvey

878
00:41:18,560 --> 00:41:21,960
Speaker 5: just to breeze through now, I think it'll.

879
00:41:21,719 --> 00:41:25,400
Speaker 2: Be pretty much that. You know, they group these up

880
00:41:25,800 --> 00:41:27,600
Speaker 2: so that EFG and H play on the same day,

881
00:41:27,719 --> 00:41:29,480
Speaker 2: and thank god, because I do not want to watch

882
00:41:29,520 --> 00:41:33,000
Speaker 2: any of the games in this group. Juventus is in

883
00:41:33,120 --> 00:41:35,640
Speaker 2: a transitionary period where they're kind of got some young

884
00:41:35,760 --> 00:41:38,520
Speaker 2: talent coming through, but they don't really have an identity

885
00:41:38,560 --> 00:41:43,480
Speaker 2: at the moment. The managerial situation with their new manager

886
00:41:43,520 --> 00:41:45,920
Speaker 2: coming in. You know, we'll see how it goes. It

887
00:41:46,000 --> 00:41:48,920
Speaker 2: has not been a good start. They lost emply already

888
00:41:49,000 --> 00:41:53,120
Speaker 2: in the league, which is not great. They drew UDNESSI

889
00:41:53,200 --> 00:41:56,040
Speaker 2: on the first day allege. You know it's gonna take

890
00:41:56,080 --> 00:41:59,520
Speaker 2: him some time. So Chelsea wins the group going away

891
00:41:59,560 --> 00:42:02,239
Speaker 2: for me and then you know, I'll be tuned into

892
00:42:02,280 --> 00:42:03,960
Speaker 2: the group off in Group G on those days and

893
00:42:04,040 --> 00:42:07,680
Speaker 2: watching those matches instead of suffering through Chelsea winning two

894
00:42:07,760 --> 00:42:11,000
Speaker 2: nail against Zenate and three nil against Malmo, and you

895
00:42:11,080 --> 00:42:13,360
Speaker 2: know there'll probably be a one to one draw somewhere

896
00:42:13,719 --> 00:42:15,319
Speaker 2: and that will be that. But they'll win the group.

897
00:42:15,480 --> 00:42:17,799
Speaker 5: So that's why I think, actually, like I'm a little

898
00:42:17,800 --> 00:42:20,359
Speaker 5: bit more intrigued by Mamo then just saying like, oh,

899
00:42:20,400 --> 00:42:22,680
Speaker 5: I'm just betting it because it's a huge price. It's like, look,

900
00:42:22,760 --> 00:42:25,239
Speaker 5: Juventus is, like you said in a weird spot, where

901
00:42:25,600 --> 00:42:27,920
Speaker 5: they had a Legry coaching them for what a decade

902
00:42:28,000 --> 00:42:30,799
Speaker 5: He won the Scadeto every year, then he left, they

903
00:42:30,840 --> 00:42:34,080
Speaker 5: go through two managers. He's basically now working with the

904
00:42:34,160 --> 00:42:36,520
Speaker 5: same club but with different players. So who knows how

905
00:42:36,840 --> 00:42:39,680
Speaker 5: how their season is going to shake out. Malmo, can

906
00:42:39,719 --> 00:42:42,320
Speaker 5: they pull off an upset against zen It maybe twice

907
00:42:42,520 --> 00:42:44,400
Speaker 5: They'll probably need to obviously to win the group, and

908
00:42:44,400 --> 00:42:46,799
Speaker 5: then they got to get very very very very very

909
00:42:46,920 --> 00:42:49,480
Speaker 5: lucky against Chelsea and Juventus. But whatever, fifty to one,

910
00:42:49,520 --> 00:42:51,479
Speaker 5: that's fun BJ group.

911
00:42:51,680 --> 00:42:55,160
Speaker 3: H Yeah, I think there might be some value on

912
00:42:55,280 --> 00:42:57,800
Speaker 3: Chelsea at minus one sixty five. I mean, Uventus obviously

913
00:42:57,920 --> 00:42:59,600
Speaker 3: is still a very talented team. They still have a

914
00:42:59,640 --> 00:43:03,640
Speaker 3: great defense with Chilanium, Banucci and Delick back there, so

915
00:43:04,680 --> 00:43:06,840
Speaker 3: there will be a tough team to score on. What

916
00:43:07,160 --> 00:43:10,000
Speaker 3: I was doing the research, I thought was very funny

917
00:43:10,040 --> 00:43:13,040
Speaker 3: and I wish they gave us golden boots for Champions League.

918
00:43:13,040 --> 00:43:14,920
Speaker 3: But Alpha Morata is the main guy up front for

919
00:43:15,080 --> 00:43:17,240
Speaker 3: Juventus and we all saw how that went during the Euros.

920
00:43:18,640 --> 00:43:20,759
Speaker 3: But you know, at that price of one sixty five,

921
00:43:20,840 --> 00:43:23,479
Speaker 3: it's still a tad high. I maybe rather just play

922
00:43:23,719 --> 00:43:26,040
Speaker 3: Chelsea when they do play Uvents on the road rather

923
00:43:26,120 --> 00:43:28,840
Speaker 3: than or even at home, taking them minus one in

924
00:43:28,920 --> 00:43:31,279
Speaker 3: that type of situation. The bottom two teams in the

925
00:43:31,320 --> 00:43:33,960
Speaker 3: groups is en It. Last season the Champions League, it

926
00:43:34,000 --> 00:43:38,759
Speaker 3: was not good, went one and five negative five point

927
00:43:38,840 --> 00:43:41,880
Speaker 3: five expected gold differential. They do have the big man

928
00:43:42,000 --> 00:43:45,200
Speaker 3: up front, Artem Zuba, who we saw for Russia, so

929
00:43:45,440 --> 00:43:48,120
Speaker 3: maybe he'll be able to give some you know, smaller

930
00:43:48,160 --> 00:43:50,960
Speaker 3: defenders some problems better than that, and that was in

931
00:43:50,960 --> 00:43:53,359
Speaker 3: a pretty easy group too last season, so not much

932
00:43:53,400 --> 00:43:56,680
Speaker 3: for them Malmo. I don't have a problem playing them

933
00:43:56,760 --> 00:44:00,440
Speaker 3: to qualify at seven to one. You know, the Swedish

934
00:44:01,200 --> 00:44:04,040
Speaker 3: season ends on December fifth because it gets too cold

935
00:44:04,400 --> 00:44:06,719
Speaker 3: for them to play during the winter, so be on

936
00:44:06,760 --> 00:44:09,759
Speaker 3: the lookout for that in case, you know, we come

937
00:44:09,840 --> 00:44:14,319
Speaker 3: down to that final week and Malmo basically has their

938
00:44:14,480 --> 00:44:18,000
Speaker 3: season all wrapped up or they're fighting for a Swedish title.

939
00:44:18,040 --> 00:44:20,880
Speaker 3: They might you know, not give too much attention to

940
00:44:20,880 --> 00:44:24,560
Speaker 3: the Champions League, but second lowest transfer market value behind

941
00:44:24,719 --> 00:44:27,920
Speaker 3: FC Sheriff and the Champions League, so not much on

942
00:44:28,000 --> 00:44:30,160
Speaker 3: this group. Was kind of looking at Chelsea at minus

943
00:44:30,239 --> 00:44:32,880
Speaker 3: one sixty five to win the group, but other than that,

944
00:44:33,120 --> 00:44:36,200
Speaker 3: it's kind of just a complete stay away from me Nomo.

945
00:44:36,400 --> 00:44:38,400
Speaker 5: I mean, you got to go back about half a century,

946
00:44:38,480 --> 00:44:42,239
Speaker 5: but they did. They have had success in the European Cup,

947
00:44:42,520 --> 00:44:44,759
Speaker 5: which is now the Champions League, so it is not

948
00:44:45,000 --> 00:44:47,000
Speaker 5: out of the question. All right, So that will wrap

949
00:44:47,120 --> 00:44:49,560
Speaker 5: up the groups. We hope you have a pen and paper,

950
00:44:49,800 --> 00:44:52,719
Speaker 5: because we did give out a ton of bets. We

951
00:44:53,280 --> 00:44:56,319
Speaker 5: are all business here on the soccer episodes. So let's

952
00:44:56,320 --> 00:44:59,960
Speaker 5: move into the first group matches. The group stays matt

953
00:45:00,239 --> 00:45:05,120
Speaker 5: which will take place on Tuesday, September fourteenth and Wednesday,

954
00:45:05,200 --> 00:45:07,320
Speaker 5: September fifteenth in the afternoon.

955
00:45:07,400 --> 00:45:10,040
Speaker 4: There will be on Paramount plus I believe all of them,

956
00:45:10,880 --> 00:45:12,960
Speaker 4: so that's how you'll be able to tune in and bet.

957
00:45:14,040 --> 00:45:16,120
Speaker 5: I'm going to start because I'm afraid one of you

958
00:45:16,120 --> 00:45:18,560
Speaker 5: guys would take it, just because of our conversation, But

959
00:45:18,560 --> 00:45:21,239
Speaker 5: I like Wolfsburg plus one eighty five as my.

960
00:45:21,320 --> 00:45:24,200
Speaker 4: Favorite bet for the first round of matches. They're traveling

961
00:45:24,239 --> 00:45:24,680
Speaker 4: to Lil.

962
00:45:25,400 --> 00:45:28,000
Speaker 5: Like we said, I think betting against Lil is going

963
00:45:28,040 --> 00:45:29,719
Speaker 5: to be a good way to pad your bank roll

964
00:45:29,800 --> 00:45:32,719
Speaker 5: throughout this tournament. So I'll take a team that's in

965
00:45:32,800 --> 00:45:36,759
Speaker 5: great form right now traveling not too far against a

966
00:45:36,800 --> 00:45:41,040
Speaker 5: team that probably is overvalued. I think that Wolfsburg should

967
00:45:41,040 --> 00:45:43,719
Speaker 5: be priced ahead of them in the group, so I

968
00:45:43,920 --> 00:45:47,400
Speaker 5: like the number on Wolfsburg at you know, one seventy

969
00:45:47,440 --> 00:45:49,640
Speaker 5: I think or better is how low i'd go.

970
00:45:50,120 --> 00:45:51,319
Speaker 4: Anthony, what are you looking at?

971
00:45:52,400 --> 00:45:54,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, we're going to be fading Sheriff. I mentioned it earlier.

972
00:45:55,120 --> 00:45:57,640
Speaker 2: I'm doing it, shocked to our moneyline minus on twenty

973
00:45:57,680 --> 00:46:02,120
Speaker 2: five crazy though Schi Cars the experience team. They have

974
00:46:02,600 --> 00:46:05,120
Speaker 2: the Champions League experience, they have Europa League experience. They

975
00:46:05,160 --> 00:46:09,120
Speaker 2: are frequently in this tournament. Sheriff, like I mentioned before,

976
00:46:09,320 --> 00:46:12,799
Speaker 2: very lucky to qualify. Good win against Zagreb a three

977
00:46:12,920 --> 00:46:17,600
Speaker 2: zero with a Dama Trioria scoring twice. But the other

978
00:46:17,680 --> 00:46:20,040
Speaker 2: three games that they really needed to get into qualifying

979
00:46:20,280 --> 00:46:23,840
Speaker 2: out played on XTG not very good, got lucky and

980
00:46:24,200 --> 00:46:25,719
Speaker 2: look luck runs out at the end. So I'm going

981
00:46:25,760 --> 00:46:28,560
Speaker 2: to be looking to play against them probably almost every game,

982
00:46:29,360 --> 00:46:30,920
Speaker 2: and we're going to start in the first game. I

983
00:46:31,000 --> 00:46:32,799
Speaker 2: also agree with you on Wolfsburg. That was then when

984
00:46:32,840 --> 00:46:35,839
Speaker 2: I have a circle all them, I can't wait the game.

985
00:46:35,880 --> 00:46:38,160
Speaker 2: I'm already you know, I've had it circled since the

986
00:46:38,280 --> 00:46:42,120
Speaker 2: minute the group came out Byron Barcelona on Tuesdays my

987
00:46:42,160 --> 00:46:44,200
Speaker 2: game of the day, and then Wednesday we get City Leipzig.

988
00:46:44,280 --> 00:46:45,920
Speaker 2: So it's gonna be a fun couple of days. They

989
00:46:45,960 --> 00:46:49,359
Speaker 2: also have a Goalazo channel, which is like the Red

990
00:46:49,480 --> 00:46:52,080
Speaker 2: Zone NFL Red Zone of Champions League, and it's so

991
00:46:52,239 --> 00:46:54,520
Speaker 2: much fun because they you know, there's two guys in

992
00:46:54,560 --> 00:46:56,520
Speaker 2: the studio and they just go to all the matches.

993
00:46:56,520 --> 00:46:58,800
Speaker 2: There's eight matches, so they just cut cut away the

994
00:46:58,840 --> 00:47:01,080
Speaker 2: matches and you see all the chance is so I'll

995
00:47:01,120 --> 00:47:03,280
Speaker 2: have one screen on the Galasso and then one screen

996
00:47:03,360 --> 00:47:06,360
Speaker 2: on the game of the day. So I'm excited.

997
00:47:06,920 --> 00:47:08,200
Speaker 4: I mean in England, if you I think it's a

998
00:47:08,280 --> 00:47:10,080
Speaker 4: Sky Sports, they have like a similar channel.

999
00:47:10,080 --> 00:47:12,480
Speaker 5: But it's just a guy reacting to it. There's no

1000
00:47:12,560 --> 00:47:16,040
Speaker 5: they don't show. Yeah, it's a wonderful thing. I think

1001
00:47:16,080 --> 00:47:18,480
Speaker 5: they should bring that over to America. Great for the NFL.

1002
00:47:18,560 --> 00:47:20,839
Speaker 5: If you could hear whatever the guy's name on red

1003
00:47:20,880 --> 00:47:24,040
Speaker 5: Zone is just Scott losing his mind over a touchdown.

1004
00:47:24,040 --> 00:47:24,640
Speaker 4: Scott Hanson.

1005
00:47:24,719 --> 00:47:27,000
Speaker 5: Yeah you can't see it. Yeah, you can't see it.

1006
00:47:27,320 --> 00:47:31,600
Speaker 5: Scott Hanson. BJ Cunningham. Your favorite bets of match Week

1007
00:47:31,760 --> 00:47:32,919
Speaker 5: one for the Champions League.

1008
00:47:33,040 --> 00:47:35,000
Speaker 3: Well, first off, that's gonna be a short trip for

1009
00:47:35,320 --> 00:47:38,480
Speaker 3: Shaktar to Maldova because a little geography lesson those two

1010
00:47:38,480 --> 00:47:40,719
Speaker 3: countries border each other. But I'm stay in the same

1011
00:47:40,760 --> 00:47:42,719
Speaker 3: Wolfsburg Lil matches you. I love the under two and

1012
00:47:42,719 --> 00:47:44,839
Speaker 3: a half goals at minus one twenty. These were two

1013
00:47:44,840 --> 00:47:46,879
Speaker 3: of the best defensive teams in all of Europe last season.

1014
00:47:46,880 --> 00:47:49,239
Speaker 3: Like I already mentioned Lil points sixty seven expected goals

1015
00:47:49,239 --> 00:47:51,920
Speaker 3: allowed per match. Well, Wolfsburg, in a very high scoring

1016
00:47:51,960 --> 00:47:55,399
Speaker 3: Bundesliga only allowed one point one five expected goals per match,

1017
00:47:55,400 --> 00:47:58,239
Speaker 3: which was the second best mark in the Bundesliga behind

1018
00:47:58,360 --> 00:48:01,600
Speaker 3: ARBI Leipzig. And like I to mention, Lil completely inept

1019
00:48:01,680 --> 00:48:04,480
Speaker 3: offensively though those things are gonna those problems are going

1020
00:48:04,560 --> 00:48:07,360
Speaker 3: to get fixed anytime soon. Wolfsburg is due for some

1021
00:48:07,440 --> 00:48:09,879
Speaker 3: negative aggression when it comes to offense. They had ten

1022
00:48:10,000 --> 00:48:13,160
Speaker 3: more actual goals than what they were expected goals were

1023
00:48:13,280 --> 00:48:15,240
Speaker 3: last season, and Lil plays out of a very defensive

1024
00:48:15,280 --> 00:48:16,919
Speaker 3: four to four to two formation. They're going to close

1025
00:48:16,960 --> 00:48:18,840
Speaker 3: off the middle of the pitch and not allow Wolfsbord

1026
00:48:18,880 --> 00:48:21,839
Speaker 3: through there. So I think this one has either maybe

1027
00:48:21,840 --> 00:48:24,160
Speaker 3: a Wolfsburg one mil for you, Michael, maybe a zero

1028
00:48:24,280 --> 00:48:26,200
Speaker 3: zero one to one draw just ridden all over it.

1029
00:48:26,280 --> 00:48:29,600
Speaker 3: I only have one point eighty three goals projected for

1030
00:48:29,719 --> 00:48:32,719
Speaker 3: this match, so I love under two goals at minus

1031
00:48:32,760 --> 00:48:34,560
Speaker 3: one twenty and I'd play it up to minus one thirty.

1032
00:48:35,800 --> 00:48:38,120
Speaker 4: That's a beautiful, beautiful bet.

1033
00:48:38,560 --> 00:48:41,680
Speaker 5: Just a nice under two to get your Champions League

1034
00:48:41,960 --> 00:48:45,359
Speaker 5: betting season started. Before we say goodbye, We're gonna yes,

1035
00:48:45,480 --> 00:48:49,800
Speaker 5: we're gonna We're going to give into Anthony's nationalistic tendency

1036
00:48:49,920 --> 00:48:51,239
Speaker 5: here and he's going to This is.

1037
00:48:51,239 --> 00:48:53,520
Speaker 3: The most international podcast, Anthony.

1038
00:48:53,600 --> 00:48:56,279
Speaker 2: Best Americans we've ever had in the Champions League. We're

1039
00:48:56,320 --> 00:48:58,400
Speaker 2: going to talk about them because we have to. Man

1040
00:48:58,440 --> 00:49:00,799
Speaker 2: City's backup keeper is Zach Stepfan. He may get more

1041
00:49:00,800 --> 00:49:05,400
Speaker 2: playing time than expected because Edison international breaks equals quarantine

1042
00:49:05,400 --> 00:49:09,080
Speaker 2: equals he can't play. So Stephan from Manchester City has

1043
00:49:09,120 --> 00:49:11,000
Speaker 2: COVID right now. Though he does have COVID right now,

1044
00:49:11,040 --> 00:49:13,000
Speaker 2: so he's eligible for the first game, but he you know,

1045
00:49:13,120 --> 00:49:18,000
Speaker 2: there's five more after that. Leipzig Tyler Adams starting center midfielder,

1046
00:49:18,040 --> 00:49:19,319
Speaker 2: had a good start to the season for them.

1047
00:49:19,640 --> 00:49:20,359
Speaker 3: He's one to watch.

1048
00:49:20,400 --> 00:49:24,680
Speaker 2: Club Bruges have my guy owton O and Otassawi, who's

1049
00:49:24,719 --> 00:49:27,520
Speaker 2: a youngster from Wolves who just transferred there. He's a

1050
00:49:27,560 --> 00:49:29,399
Speaker 2: lot of fun to watch. And you get down into

1051
00:49:29,440 --> 00:49:32,600
Speaker 2: the next group Group B not a ton of Americans there,

1052
00:49:32,680 --> 00:49:35,640
Speaker 2: but Group C has Giorna and Dortmann. He just got

1053
00:49:35,760 --> 00:49:37,080
Speaker 2: hurt so he might be out for a little while,

1054
00:49:37,120 --> 00:49:40,120
Speaker 2: but he's a regular starter for them. You get down

1055
00:49:40,239 --> 00:49:44,920
Speaker 2: into Group D, nobody Americans there, but group he has Barcelona,

1056
00:49:44,960 --> 00:49:47,040
Speaker 2: which is Heergenio Desk who plays right back for them,

1057
00:49:47,840 --> 00:49:50,000
Speaker 2: a lot of fun, really great player, probably one of

1058
00:49:50,080 --> 00:49:53,759
Speaker 2: our best American. And then young boys have Jordan PuF

1059
00:49:53,840 --> 00:49:56,440
Speaker 2: Fock who's a striker for them. Scored three goals already

1060
00:49:56,520 --> 00:49:59,680
Speaker 2: in the Switcherland Super League, so good star for him.

1061
00:50:00,239 --> 00:50:02,880
Speaker 2: G has John Brooks center back. I mentioned him. They

1062
00:50:02,960 --> 00:50:05,240
Speaker 2: have Brendan Aronson at Salzburg, one of their best players

1063
00:50:05,280 --> 00:50:08,839
Speaker 2: now that they've sold, and Webrew and Daca, and Neil

1064
00:50:08,920 --> 00:50:11,080
Speaker 2: has Tim Weya who's injured right now but will be

1065
00:50:11,400 --> 00:50:14,759
Speaker 2: a key feature. Byron has Chris Richards, so you know

1066
00:50:14,880 --> 00:50:16,960
Speaker 2: there's a lot of guys and I meant, and then

1067
00:50:17,080 --> 00:50:19,719
Speaker 2: getting into the last group of course Christian Pulisic for

1068
00:50:19,880 --> 00:50:22,919
Speaker 2: Chelsea and Weston McKenney, who is in some hot water

1069
00:50:23,000 --> 00:50:26,359
Speaker 2: right now for his actions off the field. But we'll

1070
00:50:26,400 --> 00:50:28,440
Speaker 2: be a regular starter for you Uventis when the time comes.

1071
00:50:28,600 --> 00:50:32,719
Speaker 2: So twelve Americans in the Champions League, most you've ever had,

1072
00:50:33,239 --> 00:50:36,360
Speaker 2: very exciting. Those are some players to root for and

1073
00:50:36,680 --> 00:50:37,840
Speaker 2: hope everybody has fun betting it.

1074
00:50:38,120 --> 00:50:40,600
Speaker 4: And they still can't find a way to make it

1075
00:50:41,000 --> 00:50:43,279
Speaker 4: an easy qualifying through Conka kef.

1076
00:50:43,880 --> 00:50:44,440
Speaker 3: So that'll do it.

1077
00:50:45,200 --> 00:50:46,760
Speaker 4: We thank you for listening.

1078
00:50:47,239 --> 00:50:49,960
Speaker 5: We're very excited about the success of the soccer pods

1079
00:50:50,040 --> 00:50:52,200
Speaker 5: and we'll be hearing more from us. Make sure to

1080
00:50:52,280 --> 00:50:54,719
Speaker 5: check out the Action network dot com soccer page. We

1081
00:50:54,880 --> 00:50:57,560
Speaker 5: cover every Premier League match, we cover all the big

1082
00:50:57,640 --> 00:50:59,839
Speaker 5: matches across the European leagues, and then check out are

1083
00:50:59,840 --> 00:51:03,040
Speaker 5: YouTube channel because we do do weekly betting previews for

1084
00:51:03,120 --> 00:51:07,680
Speaker 5: every match week across Europe. So once again, we appreciate

1085
00:51:07,719 --> 00:51:10,600
Speaker 5: you guys listening. We appreciate you guys tweeting at Chad

1086
00:51:10,640 --> 00:51:13,680
Speaker 5: Millman and Matt Mitchell. Don't stop doing that because maybe

1087
00:51:13,719 --> 00:51:15,719
Speaker 5: that will speed up the process on getting us our

1088
00:51:15,760 --> 00:51:20,120
Speaker 5: own channel. So for BJ Cunningham of Council Bluffs, Iowa,

1089
00:51:20,160 --> 00:51:23,239
Speaker 5: Anthony Debundo of Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, I'm Michael Leebuff coming to

1090
00:51:23,280 --> 00:51:24,600
Speaker 5: you from Long Island, New York.

1091
00:51:24,920 --> 00:51:26,440
Speaker 4: We really appreciate you guys listening.