1
00:00:00,280 --> 00:00:04,800
Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcast.

2
00:00:04,960 --> 00:00:05,600
Speaker 2: All right, here we.

3
00:00:05,559 --> 00:00:15,040
Speaker 1: Go spreading the corn ten seconds or maining, So just

4
00:00:15,040 --> 00:00:18,080
Speaker 1: go show under the basket, Under the basket, it's the truth.

5
00:00:18,160 --> 00:00:24,880
Speaker 3: For the wind, God make a miracle. I'm up the water.

6
00:00:26,160 --> 00:00:27,960
Speaker 2: Hit that one from the parking lot.

7
00:00:30,200 --> 00:00:32,720
Speaker 3: What's up the general nation? Welcome to the Big Bets

8
00:00:32,720 --> 00:00:37,280
Speaker 3: on Campus Podcast presented by Bett MGM. This is the

9
00:00:37,400 --> 00:00:43,440
Speaker 3: College Basketball Conference Tournament Betting Preview, Part six. I'm stuck in.

10
00:00:43,560 --> 00:00:49,120
Speaker 3: Joining me for today's episode is the one and only

11
00:00:49,159 --> 00:00:52,760
Speaker 3: Comcune from the Three Man Weave. Today we will cover

12
00:00:53,920 --> 00:00:58,240
Speaker 3: some machin the Mac, the Big East, Big West, and

13
00:00:58,280 --> 00:01:02,960
Speaker 3: the whack a lot to get to today. How's it going,

14
00:01:03,080 --> 00:01:05,000
Speaker 3: kylie enjoin the madness.

15
00:01:04,840 --> 00:01:07,839
Speaker 4: Stucky, I'm doing good. March is already mad, and yes,

16
00:01:07,920 --> 00:01:09,960
Speaker 4: of course I'm enjoying it. I can't wait for more.

17
00:01:11,160 --> 00:01:14,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, we're in the heart. Yesterday was the hell of

18
00:01:14,040 --> 00:01:20,800
Speaker 3: a day and I only anticipated getting crazier. Best time

19
00:01:20,840 --> 00:01:25,280
Speaker 3: of the year by far. Let's get right into it.

20
00:01:25,319 --> 00:01:27,959
Speaker 3: Let's start. Let's start with the Big East. Start with

21
00:01:28,000 --> 00:01:33,959
Speaker 3: the Big Boys eleven team tournament here, which will obviously

22
00:01:34,080 --> 00:01:38,959
Speaker 3: take place in the Garden kicks off on Wednesday with

23
00:01:39,240 --> 00:01:42,720
Speaker 3: three first round games Villanova to Paul to Paul Shanov.

24
00:01:42,760 --> 00:01:46,280
Speaker 3: They should have just left the Paul out, Providence Georgetown

25
00:01:47,160 --> 00:01:54,120
Speaker 3: and Butler Xavier. Top five seeds will await the winners

26
00:01:54,160 --> 00:01:55,760
Speaker 3: of those games, except for seat in All Saint John's.

27
00:01:55,760 --> 00:01:58,040
Speaker 3: That matchup is already locked in. Top five seeds get

28
00:01:58,040 --> 00:02:00,800
Speaker 3: a bye to the quarterfinals. Connecticut, we'll get the winner Xavier, Creighton,

29
00:02:00,800 --> 00:02:03,000
Speaker 3: the winner of Providence Georgetown, and Marquette the winner of

30
00:02:03,080 --> 00:02:08,360
Speaker 3: Villanova de Paul, Connecticut fresh off there beat down of

31
00:02:09,080 --> 00:02:12,959
Speaker 3: Providence is the favorite here minus one thirty five ish

32
00:02:13,960 --> 00:02:20,120
Speaker 3: to cut down the nets, and you know it's it

33
00:02:20,240 --> 00:02:23,560
Speaker 3: is worth noting that last year Marquete won this tournament.

34
00:02:24,040 --> 00:02:26,000
Speaker 3: Talk some shit, so you know, you kind of got

35
00:02:26,040 --> 00:02:29,080
Speaker 3: their national title. Obviously they want to repeat, but they

36
00:02:29,160 --> 00:02:34,320
Speaker 3: might be pretty motivated to add the biggest tournament title

37
00:02:34,680 --> 00:02:37,799
Speaker 3: to their name. Looking back, looking down and the rest

38
00:02:37,800 --> 00:02:41,560
Speaker 3: of the odds Marquette five to one, Creighton four to one,

39
00:02:41,960 --> 00:02:46,200
Speaker 3: Nova sixteen to one, Saint John's eight to one, Saint

40
00:02:46,280 --> 00:02:49,520
Speaker 3: John's eight to one, and Seating All thirty five to one.

41
00:02:49,600 --> 00:02:54,960
Speaker 3: Pretty crazy price discrepancy for two teams that we know

42
00:02:55,120 --> 00:02:58,400
Speaker 3: will play each other in that four or five game

43
00:02:59,120 --> 00:03:05,320
Speaker 3: and then have to in all likelihood face the behemoth

44
00:03:05,680 --> 00:03:08,440
Speaker 3: of Yukon and that's Saint Johnson all game. I mean

45
00:03:08,480 --> 00:03:11,560
Speaker 3: Sat John's gonna be favored. They are basically at home too,

46
00:03:11,960 --> 00:03:14,519
Speaker 3: but you know, only by a couple of buckets. I

47
00:03:14,560 --> 00:03:17,960
Speaker 3: think Saint John's is red hot, playing their best basketball

48
00:03:18,560 --> 00:03:24,440
Speaker 3: of the season. Some housekeeping here to know Tyler Kohlik

49
00:03:25,320 --> 00:03:28,959
Speaker 3: his status, I'm not sure of. If you heard anything.

50
00:03:28,760 --> 00:03:30,000
Speaker 2: There, I'm not sure.

51
00:03:30,040 --> 00:03:33,600
Speaker 4: I mean it didn't sound good positive right away from Shaka.

52
00:03:34,560 --> 00:03:36,200
Speaker 4: My assumption, if I had to guess some where or

53
00:03:36,240 --> 00:03:38,440
Speaker 4: the other is he's probably going to be out for

54
00:03:38,480 --> 00:03:41,000
Speaker 4: the conference tournament tournament.

55
00:03:41,120 --> 00:03:41,800
Speaker 2: That's what I would do.

56
00:03:41,960 --> 00:03:43,920
Speaker 4: So I Shock is a smart guy, obviously, Yeah, I

57
00:03:43,920 --> 00:03:46,000
Speaker 4: would expect him not to play. If he does, it

58
00:03:46,000 --> 00:03:47,120
Speaker 4: can't be full strength.

59
00:03:48,400 --> 00:03:52,880
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, So I think that you can't even entertain

60
00:03:53,960 --> 00:03:57,800
Speaker 3: cat and so I think that that adds some value

61
00:03:57,800 --> 00:04:00,960
Speaker 3: to create and a team that we know can beat

62
00:04:01,280 --> 00:04:04,200
Speaker 3: Yukon on their best day. Obviously they did it at home,

63
00:04:04,200 --> 00:04:07,320
Speaker 3: but I think it's a pretty good match decent matchup

64
00:04:09,080 --> 00:04:13,480
Speaker 3: for Brayton. Obviously, Ukon would be favored in that game.

65
00:04:13,520 --> 00:04:17,360
Speaker 3: But if Crayton's path is you know, the winner of Providence,

66
00:04:17,400 --> 00:04:21,520
Speaker 3: Georgetown and you And the thing with Providence is that

67
00:04:21,560 --> 00:04:25,080
Speaker 3: they just asked Carter to do so much. And I

68
00:04:25,120 --> 00:04:28,880
Speaker 3: mean injuries just killed without Hopkins. Injuries killed Providence. So

69
00:04:28,920 --> 00:04:31,240
Speaker 3: like Providence to win four games in four days with

70
00:04:31,320 --> 00:04:33,840
Speaker 3: like Carter having to do everything, it's not happening. No,

71
00:04:34,360 --> 00:04:38,239
Speaker 3: So not considering Providence, obviously, not considering Georgetown or DePaul.

72
00:04:39,279 --> 00:04:43,359
Speaker 3: Don't think Butler or Xavier can beat Connecticut and or

73
00:04:43,400 --> 00:04:45,719
Speaker 3: then win four games in four days, at least in

74
00:04:45,760 --> 00:04:49,960
Speaker 3: my opinion. The one team I'm not a personal believer

75
00:04:50,040 --> 00:04:53,400
Speaker 3: in is Villanova.

76
00:04:53,880 --> 00:04:55,920
Speaker 2: Ye who you know.

77
00:04:55,960 --> 00:04:58,760
Speaker 3: I mean, they've been running hot from three late, But

78
00:04:58,880 --> 00:05:07,359
Speaker 3: they do profile as a decent underdog in or a

79
00:05:07,360 --> 00:05:11,400
Speaker 3: long shot, I should say, in a tournament setting, you know,

80
00:05:11,440 --> 00:05:14,960
Speaker 3: and I'm seeing what I'm I'm seeing like sixteen to one,

81
00:05:15,040 --> 00:05:16,279
Speaker 3: I'd probably I need more than that.

82
00:05:16,360 --> 00:05:20,159
Speaker 2: I think twenty one there, I.

83
00:05:20,480 --> 00:05:22,960
Speaker 3: Would consider twenty to one. They'd play slow, they shoot

84
00:05:22,960 --> 00:05:25,240
Speaker 3: a ton of threes and they give up a ton

85
00:05:25,279 --> 00:05:30,240
Speaker 3: of threes, so lower possession games with a ton of

86
00:05:30,240 --> 00:05:33,520
Speaker 3: three point variants. So that's Villanova. So that's what you

87
00:05:33,600 --> 00:05:35,960
Speaker 3: want for the longest shot, and you start with the

88
00:05:36,000 --> 00:05:43,080
Speaker 3: Paul Cakewalk, and then you get Marquette presumably without Tyler Coulloch,

89
00:05:43,120 --> 00:05:44,719
Speaker 3: and then you get Creating the team that you played

90
00:05:44,839 --> 00:05:48,679
Speaker 3: basically to a draw both times. So I think Villan

91
00:05:48,720 --> 00:05:53,120
Speaker 3: Nova is you know, I would like Saint John's eight

92
00:05:53,160 --> 00:05:56,120
Speaker 3: to one like and they got to play you know,

93
00:05:56,200 --> 00:06:02,240
Speaker 3: Seaton Hall team playing for the attorney lives and then

94
00:06:02,320 --> 00:06:04,520
Speaker 3: Yukon in the second round just to get to maybe

95
00:06:04,520 --> 00:06:10,920
Speaker 3: Creighton or building over Marquette. I you know, I can't

96
00:06:11,960 --> 00:06:16,560
Speaker 3: let me see fun Well, it's just it's hard for

97
00:06:16,560 --> 00:06:19,520
Speaker 3: me to see them beating Yukon. But I don't hate

98
00:06:19,600 --> 00:06:25,520
Speaker 3: I actually don't. That's not too far away from my numbers.

99
00:06:25,560 --> 00:06:31,400
Speaker 3: But is this worth betting or is Yukon just too dominant?

100
00:06:32,200 --> 00:06:35,039
Speaker 4: I think Yukon's pretty dominant. I don't see them losing

101
00:06:35,040 --> 00:06:37,560
Speaker 4: this tournament. I'm not sure minus one thirty five or

102
00:06:37,600 --> 00:06:39,400
Speaker 4: minus one fifty what I've seen in the market is

103
00:06:39,440 --> 00:06:39,840
Speaker 4: worth it.

104
00:06:40,680 --> 00:06:43,360
Speaker 2: But I feel pretty good about them winning. I'd probably

105
00:06:43,440 --> 00:06:44,440
Speaker 2: rather have Creton at.

106
00:06:44,320 --> 00:06:46,280
Speaker 4: Four to one if you made me choose one future,

107
00:06:46,320 --> 00:06:49,240
Speaker 4: but I agree with you on Villanova at especially if

108
00:06:49,240 --> 00:06:51,400
Speaker 4: you can find twenty to one. They have the talent

109
00:06:51,480 --> 00:06:54,160
Speaker 4: that's never been the problem. I don't trust Colon Neptune still,

110
00:06:54,600 --> 00:06:57,559
Speaker 4: but you mentioned it. Yeah, you mentioned that they played

111
00:06:57,560 --> 00:07:01,120
Speaker 4: Creighton to a draw. They have shorthanded marquete, and they

112
00:07:01,120 --> 00:07:02,880
Speaker 4: have the variants. They have a three point shooting, and

113
00:07:02,880 --> 00:07:06,440
Speaker 4: they have the talent to make a miraculous stand maybe

114
00:07:06,440 --> 00:07:09,200
Speaker 4: in a championship game, maybe if ye Kon somehow gets upset.

115
00:07:09,760 --> 00:07:10,760
Speaker 2: I don't love Johnny's.

116
00:07:10,800 --> 00:07:14,160
Speaker 4: I like their Madison Square Garden, but Seaton Hall did

117
00:07:14,200 --> 00:07:17,000
Speaker 4: sweep them in the regular season, and despite the fact

118
00:07:17,000 --> 00:07:20,120
Speaker 4: that the Johnny's haven't lost since that game in mid February,

119
00:07:20,480 --> 00:07:24,200
Speaker 4: I'm not totally confident in their ability to win, you know,

120
00:07:24,240 --> 00:07:26,520
Speaker 4: game one and certainly game two against Yukon.

121
00:07:28,240 --> 00:07:31,160
Speaker 3: Yeah, the and Y'll have was a deep bench too,

122
00:07:32,360 --> 00:07:34,000
Speaker 3: which is important because they'd have to win four games

123
00:07:34,040 --> 00:07:37,640
Speaker 3: of four days, so deep bench, three point variants, play slow. Yeah,

124
00:07:37,720 --> 00:07:40,560
Speaker 3: twenty would twenty to one. I think they're the long

125
00:07:40,560 --> 00:07:45,160
Speaker 3: shot worth considering, especially with the Colick injury status. And

126
00:07:45,200 --> 00:07:47,920
Speaker 3: then yeah, I would rather have a Creton ticket to Connecticut,

127
00:07:48,000 --> 00:07:52,400
Speaker 3: but not I mean there's I don't see anybody at

128
00:07:52,440 --> 00:07:55,920
Speaker 3: four to one. I think like fair. I fare like

129
00:07:56,000 --> 00:07:58,480
Speaker 3: five to one. Maybe four to one's fair if you

130
00:07:58,520 --> 00:08:02,800
Speaker 3: consider Colic is out. But I'm not running to bet

131
00:08:02,840 --> 00:08:06,680
Speaker 3: Creighton at four to one to get in front of Connecticut.

132
00:08:08,400 --> 00:08:11,120
Speaker 3: I would much rather have a longer shot on a

133
00:08:11,120 --> 00:08:13,040
Speaker 3: team like Villanova and just hope that they get hot

134
00:08:13,120 --> 00:08:15,920
Speaker 3: from three. And then obviously the way that they play

135
00:08:16,000 --> 00:08:18,920
Speaker 3: defense schematically, teams are gonna shoot a ton of threes

136
00:08:18,960 --> 00:08:25,560
Speaker 3: against themself work both ways. Anything that you're looking at

137
00:08:25,880 --> 00:08:29,240
Speaker 3: as far as first round matchups, potential matchups down the

138
00:08:29,240 --> 00:08:31,560
Speaker 3: line that would catch your eye.

139
00:08:31,920 --> 00:08:36,160
Speaker 4: Well, Villanova should probably smoke to Paul name their numbers.

140
00:08:36,559 --> 00:08:39,400
Speaker 4: That's usually a guarantee to Paul's lost. I think man

141
00:08:39,440 --> 00:08:41,800
Speaker 4: I had the number, but maybe double digit games by

142
00:08:41,960 --> 00:08:44,960
Speaker 4: twenty plus points in Vegas play this season, like most

143
00:08:45,000 --> 00:08:47,400
Speaker 4: of the time they lose by twenty plus, So team's

144
00:08:47,840 --> 00:08:50,520
Speaker 4: a total lemon. I love that we got the Ed

145
00:08:50,600 --> 00:08:54,760
Speaker 4: Cooley matchup the Georgetown Providence in the first round. It's

146
00:08:54,760 --> 00:09:00,240
Speaker 4: a fun narrative. Hey, Georgetown could definitely pull a crazy knockoutunch.

147
00:09:00,360 --> 00:09:03,719
Speaker 4: You mentioned Devin Carter. Providence. Way to rely on him.

148
00:09:03,720 --> 00:09:06,559
Speaker 4: He's fantastic, especially down the stretch. But it's him and

149
00:09:06,600 --> 00:09:09,440
Speaker 4: it's Joshua Duro, and you're relying on only two guys,

150
00:09:09,559 --> 00:09:12,080
Speaker 4: especially in a tournament setting like this, it could it

151
00:09:12,080 --> 00:09:14,199
Speaker 4: could be an issue. I'm not saying Georgetown's gonna win.

152
00:09:14,559 --> 00:09:16,920
Speaker 4: I'm just saying I'm interested in watching that game, especially

153
00:09:16,960 --> 00:09:18,040
Speaker 4: for all the narratives around it.

154
00:09:18,440 --> 00:09:21,760
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'll be looking potentially back to Georgetown in that

155
00:09:21,880 --> 00:09:25,679
Speaker 3: game against Providence. Would love to get double dig it's

156
00:09:25,679 --> 00:09:30,040
Speaker 3: not sure if we will. And yeah, De Paul has

157
00:09:30,080 --> 00:09:35,160
Speaker 3: just been an absolute doormat. And Villanova it's got a

158
00:09:35,280 --> 00:09:41,640
Speaker 3: juice up, juice up those those ratings. So yeah, Villanova

159
00:09:41,800 --> 00:09:46,000
Speaker 3: played to Paul, I think hit him twice. They want

160
00:09:46,040 --> 00:09:48,800
Speaker 3: eighty four to forty eight and ninety four to sixty

161
00:09:48,880 --> 00:09:56,200
Speaker 3: nine not bad. And De Paul is a team that

162
00:09:56,280 --> 00:10:01,280
Speaker 3: cannot defend the perimeter worth shit. Villanova could go absolutely

163
00:10:01,360 --> 00:10:05,160
Speaker 3: nuclear from three. Yeah, I'm interested in Georgetown as well. Yeah,

164
00:10:05,200 --> 00:10:07,199
Speaker 3: Colic status looms large, but I would guess that he

165
00:10:07,240 --> 00:10:10,760
Speaker 3: doesn't play. There's just no reason to risk further injury

166
00:10:11,760 --> 00:10:17,480
Speaker 3: for this. They're the defending champs, no value whatsoever at

167
00:10:17,520 --> 00:10:20,560
Speaker 3: their price with his status up in the air, and

168
00:10:20,600 --> 00:10:22,040
Speaker 3: you know, even if he plays, like I asked him

169
00:10:22,040 --> 00:10:24,520
Speaker 3: to go back to back to back games. It's a

170
00:10:24,559 --> 00:10:28,120
Speaker 3: big ask. Yeah, no, thank you. This podcast is probably

171
00:10:28,160 --> 00:10:31,480
Speaker 3: desented by Bett MGM. He's bonus code action when signing

172
00:10:31,559 --> 00:10:33,160
Speaker 3: up to get up to one hundred and fifty eight

173
00:10:33,200 --> 00:10:35,800
Speaker 3: dollars in bonus bets when you bet five dollars for

174
00:10:35,880 --> 00:10:40,520
Speaker 3: new users in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, the Louisiana, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan,

175
00:10:40,520 --> 00:10:43,680
Speaker 3: New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia, West Virginia, and Wyoming.

176
00:10:44,000 --> 00:10:46,840
Speaker 3: Termscusis apply must be twenty one or older. Gambling problem

177
00:10:46,920 --> 00:10:50,520
Speaker 3: call one eight hundred gambler. Hey guys stuck here. You

178
00:10:50,559 --> 00:10:52,480
Speaker 3: ever wanted to try the best version of the Action

179
00:10:52,559 --> 00:10:55,679
Speaker 3: Network out well, now is the perfect opportunity to do so.

180
00:10:55,720 --> 00:10:58,280
Speaker 3: Because we have a special offer to celebrate the month

181
00:10:58,280 --> 00:11:01,560
Speaker 3: of March and the NCAA tournament. You can get pro

182
00:11:01,600 --> 00:11:04,720
Speaker 3: access for just nine to ninety nine. For the first month,

183
00:11:05,360 --> 00:11:08,520
Speaker 3: we'll give you access to things like Sean Kerner's player

184
00:11:08,600 --> 00:11:12,360
Speaker 3: prop projections and Nick Giffons, which are invaluable real time

185
00:11:12,440 --> 00:11:16,760
Speaker 3: money percentages, and our model's biggest edges and much more.

186
00:11:17,000 --> 00:11:19,600
Speaker 3: All you have to do is head over to actionnetwork

187
00:11:19,640 --> 00:11:24,120
Speaker 3: dot com slash madness. That's Action Network dot com slash madness.

188
00:11:24,120 --> 00:11:26,839
Speaker 3: Make sure you get there before the deal expires. Cheers.

189
00:11:27,120 --> 00:11:31,319
Speaker 3: All right, good stuff in the Big East. Where you

190
00:11:31,320 --> 00:11:32,760
Speaker 3: want to head next to go to the Mac.

191
00:11:33,080 --> 00:11:35,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's good some action, all right.

192
00:11:35,280 --> 00:11:39,240
Speaker 3: Let's go to the Mac. Top eight make it here, Cleveland, Ohio,

193
00:11:39,520 --> 00:11:45,040
Speaker 3: No buys, just a straight bracket Quarterfinals on Thursday, Semis

194
00:11:45,120 --> 00:11:51,840
Speaker 3: on Friday, Championship on Saturday. Akron is the favorite here

195
00:11:51,960 --> 00:11:57,360
Speaker 3: plus one sixty five, Toledo close to three to one

196
00:11:57,360 --> 00:12:03,040
Speaker 3: Ohio plus three fifty Bowling Kent State seven to one.

197
00:12:03,200 --> 00:12:05,920
Speaker 3: I'm seeing at a book out there. I don't get

198
00:12:06,360 --> 00:12:09,000
Speaker 3: that price. I can't get there because I also think

199
00:12:09,040 --> 00:12:13,640
Speaker 3: Chris Payton is out. Yeah, so no, thank you on

200
00:12:13,760 --> 00:12:18,280
Speaker 3: Kent State, Miami, Ohio eighteen to one, Central Michigan twenty

201
00:12:18,280 --> 00:12:21,760
Speaker 3: four to one. Western Michigan one of the better led

202
00:12:21,760 --> 00:12:24,800
Speaker 3: by one of the better names, the artists, White sixty

203
00:12:24,840 --> 00:12:28,480
Speaker 3: to one. Very intriguing league in the way that it

204
00:12:28,520 --> 00:12:31,560
Speaker 3: played out, I personally, when I look at this from

205
00:12:31,559 --> 00:12:35,640
Speaker 3: a surface perspective, Toledo as the best offense by far

206
00:12:35,800 --> 00:12:39,280
Speaker 3: in the usual Yeah, Yeah, and this is a team

207
00:12:39,400 --> 00:12:41,520
Speaker 3: that you know, and I look at their price. They're

208
00:12:41,520 --> 00:12:43,000
Speaker 3: gonna start with the Kent State team that I don't

209
00:12:43,000 --> 00:12:45,600
Speaker 3: think is going to have Chris Payton, and they're you know,

210
00:12:46,280 --> 00:12:49,079
Speaker 3: three to one and accords plus one sixty five plus

211
00:12:49,120 --> 00:12:51,680
Speaker 3: three fifty. They would have to play each other in

212
00:12:51,720 --> 00:12:55,040
Speaker 3: the two three game. So and I have those teams

213
00:12:55,440 --> 00:13:01,920
Speaker 3: priced rather similarly, like they're all in the ballpark. So

214
00:13:02,360 --> 00:13:06,000
Speaker 3: Toledo looking to get to its first ever NCAA Tournament

215
00:13:06,080 --> 00:13:08,880
Speaker 3: appearance since the attorney expanded. The last time they got

216
00:13:08,920 --> 00:13:10,280
Speaker 3: their eighty nineteen eighty.

217
00:13:10,559 --> 00:13:11,079
Speaker 2: That's wild.

218
00:13:12,480 --> 00:13:14,760
Speaker 3: That was the first MAC Tournament nineteen eighty. They won

219
00:13:14,840 --> 00:13:17,840
Speaker 3: it starting that what they thought was the Toledo Rain,

220
00:13:18,480 --> 00:13:20,720
Speaker 3: and they haven't won it since. Insane.

221
00:13:21,040 --> 00:13:23,880
Speaker 4: Yeah, despite winning the regular season several times under tay

222
00:13:23,920 --> 00:13:26,000
Speaker 4: Kawalchik countless times.

223
00:13:26,080 --> 00:13:30,320
Speaker 3: But yeah, their offense with Maddox, Simmons, Cochran Moss is

224
00:13:30,920 --> 00:13:37,160
Speaker 3: very very good. Defense has some issues super softed rim

225
00:13:37,360 --> 00:13:40,480
Speaker 3: in their three hundred and fifty ninth in two point defense.

226
00:13:40,920 --> 00:13:43,840
Speaker 3: They also don't have a bench, which worries me a

227
00:13:43,840 --> 00:13:48,520
Speaker 3: little bit. Three games in three days. But while they

228
00:13:48,520 --> 00:13:51,000
Speaker 3: shoot the three really well, They're not like an overly

229
00:13:51,240 --> 00:13:54,880
Speaker 3: reliant three point shooting team. I think the bottom twenty

230
00:13:55,160 --> 00:13:57,720
Speaker 3: in three point attempt to eight want to get to

231
00:13:57,760 --> 00:14:00,920
Speaker 3: the rim. So I think that they're intriguing just from

232
00:14:00,920 --> 00:14:03,360
Speaker 3: a price perspective, since they're going to get a maybe

233
00:14:03,400 --> 00:14:06,720
Speaker 3: shorthanded Kent State team, Akron Ohio got to play each other.

234
00:14:07,200 --> 00:14:12,120
Speaker 3: Akron is a very very interesting case study because I

235
00:14:12,120 --> 00:14:14,560
Speaker 3: don't know what happened to them.

236
00:14:14,840 --> 00:14:16,040
Speaker 2: This team was last tea.

237
00:14:17,559 --> 00:14:20,280
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, I mean even going back, they lost

238
00:14:20,720 --> 00:14:23,680
Speaker 3: you know, over their last they lost four of six

239
00:14:24,600 --> 00:14:27,160
Speaker 3: to close out the year. They lost at Ohio. They

240
00:14:27,200 --> 00:14:29,160
Speaker 3: lost that at Toledo. Okay, that's fine, but they lost

241
00:14:29,160 --> 00:14:36,600
Speaker 3: an EMU at home. Ye Western Michigan gave up ninety

242
00:14:37,600 --> 00:14:39,240
Speaker 3: I don't. I mean, this team is a ton of talent.

243
00:14:39,920 --> 00:14:43,000
Speaker 3: Enrique Freeman's a beast, I mean, an amazing player. If

244
00:14:43,000 --> 00:14:48,960
Speaker 3: you haven't watched him play Ali trible. I mean, they

245
00:14:49,000 --> 00:14:51,120
Speaker 3: should be really good. They're the most talent, But I

246
00:14:51,120 --> 00:14:53,520
Speaker 3: don't know what happened to them down the stretch. They

247
00:14:53,520 --> 00:14:55,800
Speaker 3: first start off with Miami Ohio. You know, Mima of

248
00:14:55,800 --> 00:14:58,840
Speaker 3: Ohio has shooters, but Akron is a good perimeter day

249
00:14:58,840 --> 00:15:01,640
Speaker 3: and Akronal should kill them on the glass. I think

250
00:15:01,640 --> 00:15:03,280
Speaker 3: they'll be like an eight or nine favorite. But I'm

251
00:15:03,320 --> 00:15:05,800
Speaker 3: not let's start there. Let's just start in the bottom half. Acron,

252
00:15:06,520 --> 00:15:08,400
Speaker 3: what happened to them? And do you trust them? Do

253
00:15:08,440 --> 00:15:09,760
Speaker 3: you think that was just like a law at the

254
00:15:09,840 --> 00:15:10,480
Speaker 3: end of the season.

255
00:15:11,000 --> 00:15:13,360
Speaker 4: Yeah, I lean that way. I think they should be

256
00:15:13,560 --> 00:15:15,200
Speaker 4: the favorite to win this league. I think they are

257
00:15:15,240 --> 00:15:18,560
Speaker 4: the best team. Yeah, two weird collapses obviously, but a

258
00:15:18,560 --> 00:15:22,280
Speaker 4: great defense, which I think travels in conference tournament play,

259
00:15:22,280 --> 00:15:25,080
Speaker 4: and of course an experienced roster that's literally won this

260
00:15:25,160 --> 00:15:27,840
Speaker 4: before and kind of has that mindset already, so I

261
00:15:27,920 --> 00:15:31,000
Speaker 4: like the experience. Miami Ohio did beat them this season

262
00:15:31,600 --> 00:15:33,520
Speaker 4: early on, I don't think they will again. I think

263
00:15:33,560 --> 00:15:38,840
Speaker 4: the mismatch between Gross and Steel is a chasm and

264
00:15:38,920 --> 00:15:43,840
Speaker 4: basically of coaching prowess. Yeah, but I think I like

265
00:15:43,840 --> 00:15:46,480
Speaker 4: Akron to come out of that bottom half the flyer

266
00:15:46,520 --> 00:15:50,320
Speaker 4: though Western Michigan sixty to one. I don't hate that

267
00:15:50,720 --> 00:15:54,600
Speaker 4: at all. They beat Akron and Ohio this season, and

268
00:15:54,640 --> 00:15:57,320
Speaker 4: they have a lot of talent on their team. They

269
00:15:58,480 --> 00:16:01,000
Speaker 4: have Javontae Brown, guy who played in Texas A and

270
00:16:01,120 --> 00:16:04,480
Speaker 4: M that really changed their entire complexion once he got eligible.

271
00:16:04,680 --> 00:16:06,240
Speaker 3: I don't hate them as a flyer. I mean, look

272
00:16:06,560 --> 00:16:09,440
Speaker 3: when you look at this format too, like everyone straight

273
00:16:09,480 --> 00:16:12,320
Speaker 3: up is an even playing field. Three games in three days,

274
00:16:12,360 --> 00:16:18,320
Speaker 3: there's no buys. You're in Cleveland. Yeah, Western Michigan certainly

275
00:16:18,360 --> 00:16:21,000
Speaker 3: has a lot of talent. One four of six to

276
00:16:21,120 --> 00:16:24,760
Speaker 3: close out the year. They are. One thing that scares

277
00:16:24,800 --> 00:16:27,160
Speaker 3: me about them, but again it's a lottery ticket. Is

278
00:16:27,680 --> 00:16:34,840
Speaker 3: they are un godly bad from the line, horrible, Like

279
00:16:35,520 --> 00:16:41,440
Speaker 3: I mean it is bad. Anthony Crump in particular, twenty

280
00:16:41,520 --> 00:16:43,400
Speaker 3: two of eighty six on the year.

281
00:16:43,640 --> 00:16:45,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, twenty six percent.

282
00:16:45,000 --> 00:16:47,240
Speaker 3: Line, twenty five percent.

283
00:16:47,920 --> 00:16:49,800
Speaker 2: He's his eyes closed, to be fair.

284
00:16:50,040 --> 00:16:52,680
Speaker 3: I mean that is so he's he's kind of weighing

285
00:16:52,720 --> 00:16:55,040
Speaker 3: it down. I mean their guard their guards can are

286
00:16:55,080 --> 00:16:58,480
Speaker 3: good from the line, but as a team like Titus

287
00:16:58,520 --> 00:17:02,240
Speaker 3: right is around fifty percent that scares me a bit.

288
00:17:02,680 --> 00:17:04,800
Speaker 3: But they have a pretty deep bench like won't so

289
00:17:04,920 --> 00:17:07,600
Speaker 3: fatigue won't be an issue. Really good on the offensive

290
00:17:07,680 --> 00:17:13,880
Speaker 3: glass Ohio, is you know, really good offense. Interestingly enough,

291
00:17:13,960 --> 00:17:17,200
Speaker 3: they've won ten of their last eleven league games. Their

292
00:17:17,200 --> 00:17:24,080
Speaker 3: only loss was by two at Akron. Defense is just

293
00:17:24,200 --> 00:17:29,240
Speaker 3: okay if they're not turning you over. But the offense

294
00:17:29,280 --> 00:17:32,240
Speaker 3: definitely has some talent. Did Miles Brown just sit out

295
00:17:32,240 --> 00:17:33,639
Speaker 3: to rest in the last game? He didn't play the

296
00:17:33,720 --> 00:17:34,120
Speaker 3: last game.

297
00:17:34,680 --> 00:17:36,880
Speaker 4: I'm not sure you saw a couple of teams rest

298
00:17:36,920 --> 00:17:39,040
Speaker 4: some guys. I wouldn't be surprised. Yeah, if if he

299
00:17:39,119 --> 00:17:39,639
Speaker 4: was just rest.

300
00:17:40,520 --> 00:17:45,040
Speaker 3: Yeah, but that Western Michigan could certainly beat them. But

301
00:17:45,119 --> 00:17:47,080
Speaker 3: you think Akron's getting out of.

302
00:17:47,640 --> 00:17:48,639
Speaker 2: Yeah, I do. I do.

303
00:17:48,760 --> 00:17:50,879
Speaker 4: I just trust Yeah, I trust gross in the setting,

304
00:17:50,920 --> 00:17:55,359
Speaker 4: I trust experience, I trust the guards. Enrique Freeman probably

305
00:17:55,359 --> 00:17:56,800
Speaker 4: the best player in the league, so I think they

306
00:17:56,840 --> 00:17:57,879
Speaker 4: have a lot going for him.

307
00:17:58,160 --> 00:18:01,159
Speaker 3: Yeah. Acron also super comfortable and like half court at

308
00:18:01,200 --> 00:18:03,720
Speaker 3: tourney style games, they slow the game down, grind it

309
00:18:03,720 --> 00:18:07,560
Speaker 3: to a haul. Moving to the top half of the bracket,

310
00:18:08,080 --> 00:18:11,320
Speaker 3: where Toledo is the one seed we already talked about

311
00:18:11,320 --> 00:18:14,520
Speaker 3: that they'll take on Kent State. No Peyton, I don't

312
00:18:14,520 --> 00:18:15,800
Speaker 3: think Kent State's a threat there.

313
00:18:15,880 --> 00:18:18,520
Speaker 4: Right, it's wild They're an eight seed, just what we

314
00:18:18,560 --> 00:18:20,640
Speaker 4: thought of this team preseason. But without Peyton, I think

315
00:18:20,640 --> 00:18:21,160
Speaker 4: their toast.

316
00:18:21,400 --> 00:18:25,920
Speaker 3: Yeah, I would agree, then Toledo would If they get

317
00:18:26,000 --> 00:18:28,520
Speaker 3: by Kent State, they would take on the winner of

318
00:18:28,520 --> 00:18:35,920
Speaker 3: Central Michigan. Bowling Green, Central Michigan very slow d is significant.

319
00:18:35,960 --> 00:18:39,880
Speaker 3: He's playing really well. The problem is their offense. They

320
00:18:39,880 --> 00:18:42,080
Speaker 3: don't really have any They want a ton of crazy

321
00:18:42,080 --> 00:18:45,119
Speaker 3: overtime games at a bunch of overtime parents. Bowling Green's

322
00:18:45,160 --> 00:18:48,560
Speaker 3: the opposite. Bowling Green, who's also playing better of late,

323
00:18:49,359 --> 00:18:52,879
Speaker 3: lost a bunch of overtime games, including two Central Michigan.

324
00:18:53,560 --> 00:18:55,600
Speaker 3: So they lost both. They got swept by Central Michigan

325
00:18:55,600 --> 00:18:59,360
Speaker 3: both and I think one went to double overtime. Bowling Green,

326
00:18:59,440 --> 00:19:02,840
Speaker 3: I think they were all they underachieved, but I don't know.

327
00:19:02,920 --> 00:19:05,760
Speaker 3: I think that they as a you know around if

328
00:19:05,800 --> 00:19:08,720
Speaker 3: you can, got fourteen fifteen to one. They lost a

329
00:19:08,760 --> 00:19:10,520
Speaker 3: bunch of close games. They had some bad shooting barants.

330
00:19:10,520 --> 00:19:12,040
Speaker 3: They were shooting like it went like a month where

331
00:19:12,040 --> 00:19:15,399
Speaker 3: they shot eighteen percent from three. Yeah, Marcus Hill is

332
00:19:15,440 --> 00:19:18,159
Speaker 3: a baller, and you have Trey Thomas who's back and

333
00:19:18,160 --> 00:19:23,119
Speaker 3: I think now finally healthy. They have some talent, some

334
00:19:23,200 --> 00:19:25,359
Speaker 3: guards that could take over. They asked Hill to do

335
00:19:25,400 --> 00:19:27,800
Speaker 3: a lot, which might be tough ass three games in

336
00:19:27,840 --> 00:19:33,400
Speaker 3: three days. But I would much rather have a Bowling

337
00:19:33,440 --> 00:19:35,679
Speaker 3: Green ticket than at Central Michigan. You know, Central Michigan,

338
00:19:36,520 --> 00:19:38,400
Speaker 3: you are getting a better price. I think Bowling Green

339
00:19:38,520 --> 00:19:41,400
Speaker 3: is more upside with their offense. I just don't think

340
00:19:41,440 --> 00:19:45,479
Speaker 3: Central Michigan could beat a Toledo. And then you know

341
00:19:45,520 --> 00:19:49,320
Speaker 3: an Akron with their offense, does either Bowling Green or

342
00:19:49,359 --> 00:19:50,960
Speaker 3: Central Michigan intrigue you see.

343
00:19:51,000 --> 00:19:52,719
Speaker 4: I kind of liked Central Michigan in twenty four to

344
00:19:52,720 --> 00:19:55,240
Speaker 4: one as my as my second flyer.

345
00:19:55,440 --> 00:19:57,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, they did beat Toledo this year.

346
00:19:57,320 --> 00:20:00,439
Speaker 4: Surprisingly, they have a strange way of doing but you

347
00:20:00,480 --> 00:20:04,000
Speaker 4: mentioned it their defense number one in the MAC this season. Now,

348
00:20:04,040 --> 00:20:06,359
Speaker 4: some of them might be shooting splits. A bit of

349
00:20:06,440 --> 00:20:08,359
Speaker 4: luck in there, for sure. You mentioned two and zero

350
00:20:08,359 --> 00:20:12,239
Speaker 4: against Bowling Green in overtime. But they don't have a

351
00:20:12,240 --> 00:20:14,280
Speaker 4: bad roster, and they've had guys in and out of

352
00:20:14,320 --> 00:20:17,479
Speaker 4: the lineup pretty much all season injuries at first, then

353
00:20:17,560 --> 00:20:20,600
Speaker 4: last game Barbie made the decision to rest Pritchard and

354
00:20:20,640 --> 00:20:23,520
Speaker 4: Harding at full strength. I think this team's actually pretty good,

355
00:20:23,680 --> 00:20:25,600
Speaker 4: and I think they kind of showed it down the

356
00:20:25,600 --> 00:20:29,560
Speaker 4: stretch in MAC play. They've beaten just about everybody in

357
00:20:29,600 --> 00:20:33,240
Speaker 4: this league, obviously not Akron. But you know, twenty four

358
00:20:33,240 --> 00:20:35,680
Speaker 4: to one, I don't really mind it, especially compared to

359
00:20:36,000 --> 00:20:37,400
Speaker 4: a fourteen to one for Bowling Green.

360
00:20:37,760 --> 00:20:41,240
Speaker 3: I hope that the spread's going to not be that two.

361
00:20:41,040 --> 00:20:45,080
Speaker 4: Points maybe, yeah, pick Yeah. I hope Selda wins this league.

362
00:20:45,080 --> 00:20:47,119
Speaker 4: By the way, even though I'm choosing Akron, I just

363
00:20:47,160 --> 00:20:49,239
Speaker 4: want them to get back to the dance. You know

364
00:20:49,280 --> 00:20:51,920
Speaker 4: for the first time that you mentioned eighty and Kualchik

365
00:20:51,960 --> 00:20:54,560
Speaker 4: just deserves it after so much regular season dominance over

366
00:20:54,560 --> 00:20:55,000
Speaker 4: the years.

367
00:20:55,200 --> 00:20:57,280
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean Central Michigan. Their D has been good.

368
00:20:57,280 --> 00:20:58,760
Speaker 3: I mean they'd be good against the Rim, good against

369
00:20:58,760 --> 00:21:01,240
Speaker 3: two point D. But team's shot twenty eight percent from three.

370
00:21:01,359 --> 00:21:04,240
Speaker 4: Yeah, that's outre And they allow the highest rate of

371
00:21:04,280 --> 00:21:07,440
Speaker 4: threes too in the league, So that's out lyre.

372
00:21:08,080 --> 00:21:11,480
Speaker 3: Now, the good thing for them is Bowling Green can't shoot.

373
00:21:11,520 --> 00:21:14,520
Speaker 3: I mean, Hill is shooting twenty eight percent. Who's the

374
00:21:14,600 --> 00:21:20,200
Speaker 3: best shooter, Yeah, the best shooter spersion. They're seven footer

375
00:21:20,240 --> 00:21:22,159
Speaker 3: who's shooting thirty four percent.

376
00:21:21,920 --> 00:21:23,200
Speaker 2: From Yeah, that's ugly.

377
00:21:24,320 --> 00:21:27,960
Speaker 3: All right, I'm gonna yeah, I would need with Bowling Green.

378
00:21:28,000 --> 00:21:32,359
Speaker 3: What do I make? Then, let's see Bowling Green. I

379
00:21:32,440 --> 00:21:34,520
Speaker 3: make fair around twelve to one. I'm higher on the

380
00:21:34,520 --> 00:21:37,159
Speaker 3: market than Bowling Green, so I find you like fifteen

381
00:21:37,200 --> 00:21:41,600
Speaker 3: to one, twenty to one, maybe, but my pick Toledo

382
00:21:42,080 --> 00:21:46,040
Speaker 3: breaks the streak. Toledo gets in on the backs of

383
00:21:47,200 --> 00:21:50,600
Speaker 3: their offense. Are you going with Akron as your pick?

384
00:21:51,040 --> 00:21:53,880
Speaker 2: My head goes Achron. My heart is with Toledo.

385
00:21:54,200 --> 00:21:57,880
Speaker 4: So I wouldn't mind if you won this this MAC tournament.

386
00:21:57,880 --> 00:22:00,840
Speaker 3: Also, Big East, I'm picking you on to win it.

387
00:22:01,040 --> 00:22:02,800
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm picking out on.

388
00:22:02,760 --> 00:22:06,359
Speaker 3: A mission to uh get this done. I also think

389
00:22:06,400 --> 00:22:08,520
Speaker 3: of Saint John's beats Hall. I mean St John's might

390
00:22:08,560 --> 00:22:09,080
Speaker 3: already be in.

391
00:22:10,080 --> 00:22:13,400
Speaker 4: Yeah, they're right, yeah, yeah, they're right there. It's it's

392
00:22:13,480 --> 00:22:15,880
Speaker 4: kind of rush test right now. They beat They've beaten

393
00:22:15,880 --> 00:22:18,560
Speaker 4: Seaton Hall. They're in St John's. They're in too.

394
00:22:18,680 --> 00:22:20,320
Speaker 3: Yeah. I think if San John's be Seaton Hall, they're

395
00:22:20,320 --> 00:22:23,520
Speaker 3: in a hundred percent Yeah, definitely, Yeah. I think I

396
00:22:23,560 --> 00:22:26,720
Speaker 3: think that the Johnny's won't be like in this desperation

397
00:22:26,800 --> 00:22:30,760
Speaker 3: where they need to beat Yukon. But I think Yukon

398
00:22:30,840 --> 00:22:32,720
Speaker 3: once after the last year, like they want to add this.

399
00:22:33,200 --> 00:22:37,760
Speaker 3: But my prediction, Yukon wins the Biggiaest Tournament, does not

400
00:22:37,880 --> 00:22:42,479
Speaker 3: make the final fours. Wow, Okay, it's finally March, so

401
00:22:42,520 --> 00:22:44,840
Speaker 3: you know what that means. It's time to say top

402
00:22:44,880 --> 00:22:47,560
Speaker 3: of the morning to the most famous Saint Patrick's Day.

403
00:22:47,560 --> 00:22:52,320
Speaker 3: Shamrock Shavers are new sponsor Manscaped. Don't just chase rainbows

404
00:22:52,320 --> 00:22:55,280
Speaker 3: this March. Make your own pot of gold and groom

405
00:22:55,320 --> 00:22:58,200
Speaker 3: your little leprechaun with the leaders in below the kilt

406
00:22:58,280 --> 00:23:02,320
Speaker 3: care clear your clover for with manscapes Lawnmower five point

407
00:23:02,400 --> 00:23:06,080
Speaker 3: zero and join the ten million men worldwide to trust Manscaped.

408
00:23:06,520 --> 00:23:09,960
Speaker 3: Head over to manscaped dot com and use code bboc

409
00:23:10,119 --> 00:23:13,800
Speaker 3: for twenty percent off plus free shipping. The lawnmower five

410
00:23:13,840 --> 00:23:16,440
Speaker 3: point h Ultra is your new lucky charm and it's

411
00:23:16,520 --> 00:23:19,919
Speaker 3: fully waterproof, so go add shaved by the misty moors,

412
00:23:20,359 --> 00:23:24,280
Speaker 3: shave under a waterfall shave while betting a second half total.

413
00:23:24,480 --> 00:23:28,119
Speaker 3: The world is yours. Get twenty percent off and free

414
00:23:28,119 --> 00:23:32,600
Speaker 3: shipping with code bboc at manscaped dot com. That's twenty

415
00:23:32,640 --> 00:23:36,840
Speaker 3: percent off and free shipping with code bboc at manscaped

416
00:23:37,000 --> 00:23:39,760
Speaker 3: dot com. This Saint Patrick's Day, make sure you're a

417
00:23:39,760 --> 00:23:44,240
Speaker 3: hairy little leprechaun is luckier than ever with manscaped good

418
00:23:44,280 --> 00:23:48,080
Speaker 3: stuff in the mac Let's do you want to hit

419
00:23:48,880 --> 00:23:50,879
Speaker 3: Big West or the Whack let's head out West.

420
00:23:51,119 --> 00:23:54,200
Speaker 4: Yeah, let's do Big West, since the whack is kind

421
00:23:54,240 --> 00:23:58,080
Speaker 4: of ambiguous right now on odds and in seedings and

422
00:23:58,160 --> 00:23:58,880
Speaker 4: all that stuff.

423
00:23:59,240 --> 00:24:02,720
Speaker 3: All right, big not top eight, but eight teams make

424
00:24:02,800 --> 00:24:06,760
Speaker 3: it criminally. You see San Diego ridiculous have been the

425
00:24:06,800 --> 00:24:12,240
Speaker 3: two seed is ineligible to compete. This is the most

426
00:24:12,359 --> 00:24:14,760
Speaker 3: the dumbest, most archaic. We can't even compete in the

427
00:24:14,760 --> 00:24:15,520
Speaker 3: conference tournament.

428
00:24:15,640 --> 00:24:17,159
Speaker 2: I think it's the only league that does this.

429
00:24:17,480 --> 00:24:22,760
Speaker 3: Yeah, which MAC wasn't allowed in their first year.

430
00:24:24,400 --> 00:24:25,760
Speaker 2: Yeah, exactly.

431
00:24:26,320 --> 00:24:29,120
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's won the regular season title. Couldn't like kept

432
00:24:29,680 --> 00:24:32,160
Speaker 3: what what is? What is this rule? This rule needs

433
00:24:32,160 --> 00:24:36,639
Speaker 3: to go ridiculous insane. You see San Diego super fun

434
00:24:37,359 --> 00:24:41,040
Speaker 3: offense will not be competing. You see Irvine is the

435
00:24:41,119 --> 00:24:46,120
Speaker 3: number one overall seed. Eight teams make this. This is

436
00:24:46,520 --> 00:24:48,600
Speaker 3: the opposite of the MAC. You have eight teams the

437
00:24:48,600 --> 00:24:53,080
Speaker 3: MAC all level playing field. This top two seeds double

438
00:24:53,119 --> 00:24:56,200
Speaker 3: by into the semis. You see Irvine and you see Davis.

439
00:24:56,520 --> 00:24:59,040
Speaker 3: Three and four seeds single buys into the quarters. That's

440
00:24:59,040 --> 00:25:01,600
Speaker 3: Hawaii and Long bea each in the first round. We

441
00:25:01,640 --> 00:25:05,600
Speaker 3: get two matchups. You see Riverside taking on Cal State Bakersfield,

442
00:25:06,200 --> 00:25:10,520
Speaker 3: and you see Santa Barbara taking on cal State Northridge.

443
00:25:10,520 --> 00:25:15,800
Speaker 3: We have all the U S schools. We'll play each

444
00:25:15,840 --> 00:25:19,920
Speaker 3: other in those first round games. You see Irvine, I'm

445
00:25:19,920 --> 00:25:23,680
Speaker 3: seeing a minus two hundred favorite, no, thank you, probably

446
00:25:23,720 --> 00:25:25,680
Speaker 3: only to win two games. I have them fair around

447
00:25:25,680 --> 00:25:29,440
Speaker 3: like minus one fifty. Top ten two point defense under

448
00:25:29,480 --> 00:25:32,040
Speaker 3: Russell Turner is always for UCUN eight of the past

449
00:25:32,359 --> 00:25:36,359
Speaker 3: nine seasons. Top ten two point defense. They have the

450
00:25:36,400 --> 00:25:38,199
Speaker 3: trees that they always are trees at the rim. They

451
00:25:38,240 --> 00:25:42,960
Speaker 3: have a six to eleven and a seven seven foot guy. Offensively,

452
00:25:43,040 --> 00:25:47,639
Speaker 3: they never shoot threes. They also never allow threes, so

453
00:25:47,760 --> 00:25:49,879
Speaker 3: they just funnel you. Yeah, you got to live in

454
00:25:49,880 --> 00:25:52,760
Speaker 3: the mid range against them. They are also mid range

455
00:25:52,840 --> 00:25:57,800
Speaker 3: kings on the offensive end. Post heavy offense. I think

456
00:25:57,840 --> 00:26:01,240
Speaker 3: the really good defense. They're the best defense. They just

457
00:26:01,280 --> 00:26:05,399
Speaker 3: fortuate into inefficient shots. In the league two seed U

458
00:26:05,440 --> 00:26:09,520
Speaker 3: see Davis plus plus four fifty five to one, which

459
00:26:09,520 --> 00:26:13,080
Speaker 3: I think is pretty close to fair. Super experienced team,

460
00:26:13,920 --> 00:26:16,679
Speaker 3: pick and roll heavy offense with great guards Ti Johnson,

461
00:26:16,680 --> 00:26:21,240
Speaker 3: Elijah Pepper, heavy ball pressure d They lost in overtime

462
00:26:21,280 --> 00:26:23,040
Speaker 3: at Irvine and beat them at Homes. They split in

463
00:26:23,119 --> 00:26:27,040
Speaker 3: two super super close games. So if you're gonna tell me,

464
00:26:27,080 --> 00:26:29,320
Speaker 3: do I want Irvine minus two hundred? You see Davis

465
00:26:29,359 --> 00:26:32,880
Speaker 3: five to one? I'm taking you see Davis and I

466
00:26:32,960 --> 00:26:36,200
Speaker 3: love Elijah Pepper all day. At five to one over Irvine,

467
00:26:36,200 --> 00:26:37,560
Speaker 3: would you agree at the top of the board.

468
00:26:37,800 --> 00:26:40,640
Speaker 4: Yeah, in terms of value, it's not even close for Davis.

469
00:26:41,040 --> 00:26:43,680
Speaker 4: I do think Irvine's kind of hitting shoulders about the league,

470
00:26:43,800 --> 00:26:47,160
Speaker 4: but they're not worth a minus two hundred price agreed.

471
00:26:47,240 --> 00:26:50,679
Speaker 3: Number three seed Hawaii. Keep in mind that Hawaii you

472
00:26:50,720 --> 00:26:53,840
Speaker 3: see Davis date those teams do benefit from like the

473
00:26:53,840 --> 00:26:56,600
Speaker 3: their tough trips, tough travel trips. When teams that they

474
00:26:56,640 --> 00:27:00,480
Speaker 3: go there, especially on quick turnaround, why is plus eight fifty?

475
00:27:01,119 --> 00:27:04,919
Speaker 3: Why oddly they shoot threes? They never allow them with

476
00:27:04,960 --> 00:27:08,320
Speaker 3: their deep drop d They have a ton of talent,

477
00:27:08,400 --> 00:27:11,640
Speaker 3: like they arguably like just raw talent or the most

478
00:27:11,680 --> 00:27:16,000
Speaker 3: talented team, just like if you have Coleman McClanahan, who

479
00:27:16,040 --> 00:27:19,719
Speaker 3: just came back, McCoy de silva McClanahan, I'm not sure

480
00:27:19,760 --> 00:27:21,080
Speaker 3: if he's right. I don't know what's going on with

481
00:27:21,200 --> 00:27:22,440
Speaker 3: them this year. He did just come back, but he

482
00:27:22,560 --> 00:27:24,760
Speaker 3: just died. Is he heard? Is he just what's going

483
00:27:24,800 --> 00:27:25,160
Speaker 3: on there?

484
00:27:25,280 --> 00:27:26,399
Speaker 2: Clearly not one hundred percent.

485
00:27:26,480 --> 00:27:29,720
Speaker 4: Yeah, he's he's been sporadic the last several games after

486
00:27:29,720 --> 00:27:32,160
Speaker 4: coming back from injury, clearly trying to work him back

487
00:27:32,160 --> 00:27:34,560
Speaker 4: in off the bench, but he just clearly is not

488
00:27:34,680 --> 00:27:35,400
Speaker 4: himself right now.

489
00:27:36,240 --> 00:27:40,840
Speaker 3: Yeah, I so why no benefit of the home court advantage?

490
00:27:41,480 --> 00:27:45,520
Speaker 3: They also, I just I don't like how they match

491
00:27:45,600 --> 00:27:48,320
Speaker 3: up with so they have a vibe they'll play the winner.

492
00:27:48,320 --> 00:27:54,960
Speaker 3: If you see SB Northridge and you know ucsp's twenty

493
00:27:54,960 --> 00:27:56,800
Speaker 3: to one. One of the best mid major players in

494
00:27:56,800 --> 00:27:59,800
Speaker 3: the country in aj Mitchell leads their pick and roll,

495
00:28:00,320 --> 00:28:03,840
Speaker 3: rim attacking offense. They don't take too many threes. Cole

496
00:28:03,880 --> 00:28:07,159
Speaker 3: Anderson's their shooter, but they have a really efficient offense

497
00:28:07,200 --> 00:28:08,840
Speaker 3: when they don't turn it over all the rest of

498
00:28:08,840 --> 00:28:10,520
Speaker 3: the guys that's Mitchell turn it over way too much.

499
00:28:10,560 --> 00:28:14,280
Speaker 3: But Mitchell is great. And they also just never get

500
00:28:14,320 --> 00:28:18,120
Speaker 3: offensive rebounds, but he can take over a game. Their

501
00:28:18,160 --> 00:28:20,880
Speaker 3: defense worries me a bit. They like they both take

502
00:28:20,920 --> 00:28:23,000
Speaker 3: away the three funnel you into the lane, but they

503
00:28:23,280 --> 00:28:26,560
Speaker 3: have no rim production. They never force turnovers, so they're

504
00:28:26,560 --> 00:28:29,880
Speaker 3: turning it over too much. And then they don't force

505
00:28:29,920 --> 00:28:31,720
Speaker 3: turnovers and they can't stop at the rim, which is

506
00:28:31,720 --> 00:28:33,359
Speaker 3: where they're forcing you to go. They're always losing the

507
00:28:33,359 --> 00:28:38,040
Speaker 3: possession battle, Yeah, which scares me. But UCSP starts with

508
00:28:38,080 --> 00:28:42,800
Speaker 3: the Northridge Northward sixty to one fast, a fast, fast beast,

509
00:28:42,880 --> 00:28:47,080
Speaker 3: top ten tempo attack the rim at all costs ninety

510
00:28:47,120 --> 00:28:52,600
Speaker 3: nine percentile rim attacking offense. They never shoot threes, and

511
00:28:52,640 --> 00:28:56,680
Speaker 3: it's good they don't because they can't make them. They

512
00:28:56,680 --> 00:28:59,280
Speaker 3: do have a really compact defense for you have to

513
00:28:59,280 --> 00:29:01,440
Speaker 3: beat them from the out side. They just pack everything in,

514
00:29:02,160 --> 00:29:04,280
Speaker 3: which I guess is good from a long shot, like

515
00:29:04,560 --> 00:29:07,880
Speaker 3: just increases shooting variants. But they don't shoot threes themselves.

516
00:29:08,120 --> 00:29:11,240
Speaker 3: They lost five of six to close the year. I

517
00:29:11,240 --> 00:29:16,280
Speaker 3: would think Santa Barbara wins that game, and Santa Santa

518
00:29:16,360 --> 00:29:20,760
Speaker 3: Barbara with Mitchell, he's just a nightmare for that Hawaii

519
00:29:20,800 --> 00:29:25,320
Speaker 3: defense and the deep drop. And they swept Hawaii I

520
00:29:25,360 --> 00:29:31,959
Speaker 3: believe easily this year. So if on that bottom half,

521
00:29:33,160 --> 00:29:38,200
Speaker 3: UCSB much more intriguing to me than Hawaii, even though

522
00:29:38,200 --> 00:29:39,840
Speaker 3: they don't have to win four games in four days.

523
00:29:39,840 --> 00:29:42,400
Speaker 3: What do you see in the rest of the bottom

524
00:29:42,400 --> 00:29:44,160
Speaker 3: half with Hawaii, UCSB and North.

525
00:29:44,040 --> 00:29:47,840
Speaker 4: Rich Yeah, and Barbara's been frustrating this year. You keep

526
00:29:47,840 --> 00:29:50,440
Speaker 4: expecting them to show up preseason. I think their favorites

527
00:29:50,440 --> 00:29:53,200
Speaker 4: in this conference, along with Irvine, and the defense has

528
00:29:53,240 --> 00:29:56,440
Speaker 4: been just as a disaster. It makes no sense with Mitchell,

529
00:29:56,520 --> 00:29:59,120
Speaker 4: with with Peter Louis, with Trior. I mean, that's a

530
00:29:59,200 --> 00:30:01,320
Speaker 4: really talented time three. It's probably the best three in

531
00:30:01,320 --> 00:30:04,239
Speaker 4: the conference in terms of pure talent, but they just

532
00:30:04,240 --> 00:30:06,480
Speaker 4: have not been good. Northward scares me a little bit

533
00:30:06,520 --> 00:30:09,840
Speaker 4: against them because Andy Newman is such a great coach.

534
00:30:10,120 --> 00:30:12,760
Speaker 4: In my opinion, I do expect bav to get past them.

535
00:30:13,120 --> 00:30:14,880
Speaker 4: I expect them to get past Hawaii as well. You

536
00:30:14,920 --> 00:30:16,680
Speaker 4: mentioned two and oh, Hawaii is not a good matchup

537
00:30:16,680 --> 00:30:19,560
Speaker 4: for them. Despite Hawaii being pretty hot right now. They've

538
00:30:19,600 --> 00:30:22,440
Speaker 4: they've won seven to nine, nine and three since January

539
00:30:22,480 --> 00:30:25,200
Speaker 4: twenty fifth. I just don't think they match up well

540
00:30:25,200 --> 00:30:27,880
Speaker 4: with Barbara. So expect you see Santa Barbara to come

541
00:30:27,880 --> 00:30:31,000
Speaker 4: out of that half. Now you see Davis who knows

542
00:30:31,200 --> 00:30:33,480
Speaker 4: it seems like you see Santa Barbara forgets every time

543
00:30:33,560 --> 00:30:37,360
Speaker 4: that they should be stopping Eli Pepper. And if that's

544
00:30:37,400 --> 00:30:40,240
Speaker 4: the case again, Davis will probably beat them. But I

545
00:30:40,320 --> 00:30:42,040
Speaker 4: think they can make it a game for sure, especially

546
00:30:42,040 --> 00:30:43,840
Speaker 4: if they actually game plan for this one.

547
00:30:44,400 --> 00:30:46,440
Speaker 3: Yeah, Davis kind of.

548
00:30:46,360 --> 00:30:49,280
Speaker 2: Owned the in the season. Yeah.

549
00:30:49,400 --> 00:30:53,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, they swept Barbara. They won by fourteen at home,

550
00:30:54,200 --> 00:30:57,600
Speaker 3: they won by ten on the road. Yeah, they did

551
00:30:57,680 --> 00:31:00,160
Speaker 3: split with Hawaii. But I also think that you know,

552
00:31:00,280 --> 00:31:03,440
Speaker 3: UC Davis with Pepper and Johnson, they can do the

553
00:31:03,440 --> 00:31:05,800
Speaker 3: same things to Hawaii that Mitchell could do. I just

554
00:31:05,840 --> 00:31:07,479
Speaker 3: don't think this is a good And also think of

555
00:31:07,480 --> 00:31:11,080
Speaker 3: Hawaii gets to the championship, it's they can't beat Irvine,

556
00:31:11,120 --> 00:31:14,440
Speaker 3: I don't think. And they like they want to shoot

557
00:31:14,480 --> 00:31:16,960
Speaker 3: a ton of threes. Irvine doesn't let you do that.

558
00:31:17,440 --> 00:31:21,440
Speaker 3: Hawaii takes away threes, Irvine doesn't care. Yep, you have

559
00:31:21,480 --> 00:31:24,520
Speaker 3: to beat Hawaii in the mid range. That's where Irvine lives.

560
00:31:25,160 --> 00:31:27,560
Speaker 3: So like Irvine is just a terrible matchup for what

561
00:31:27,800 --> 00:31:31,160
Speaker 3: Sowaii just has all these bad matchups all along the way.

562
00:31:31,560 --> 00:31:34,440
Speaker 3: They just don't play like the ideal defense for some

563
00:31:34,480 --> 00:31:36,080
Speaker 3: of the teams that they face in this league. In

564
00:31:36,080 --> 00:31:36,920
Speaker 3: my opinion, would you.

565
00:31:36,920 --> 00:31:38,640
Speaker 2: Agree with that? I do agree.

566
00:31:38,720 --> 00:31:41,640
Speaker 4: Yeah, their kryptonite is basically the entire bottom half of

567
00:31:41,680 --> 00:31:43,960
Speaker 4: the bracket. So it was a tough drap for Hawaii

568
00:31:44,000 --> 00:31:44,760
Speaker 4: in this in this kind.

569
00:31:44,600 --> 00:31:46,560
Speaker 3: Of beore, they even get to Irvine before.

570
00:31:46,320 --> 00:31:47,160
Speaker 2: They even get to Irvine.

571
00:31:47,200 --> 00:31:49,120
Speaker 4: Yeah, and Urban beat him by twenty five last game,

572
00:31:49,240 --> 00:31:51,760
Speaker 4: so it's it's a tough matchup all round.

573
00:31:51,960 --> 00:31:56,160
Speaker 3: They lost to Irvine by ten at home, which is telling,

574
00:31:56,200 --> 00:32:00,400
Speaker 3: and then twenty five on the road. So are you

575
00:32:00,400 --> 00:32:01,880
Speaker 3: saying any die if you had to take one team,

576
00:32:02,160 --> 00:32:05,000
Speaker 3: are you taking Davis five to one or Barbara twenty

577
00:32:05,000 --> 00:32:05,280
Speaker 3: to one?

578
00:32:05,680 --> 00:32:07,000
Speaker 2: I prefer Barber twenty to one.

579
00:32:07,480 --> 00:32:09,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'd agree. In the top half of the bracket.

580
00:32:09,400 --> 00:32:15,200
Speaker 3: Already mentioned Irvine, they are the favorite. They also would

581
00:32:15,280 --> 00:32:18,000
Speaker 3: have an it's worth mentioning the would all have an

582
00:32:18,000 --> 00:32:21,320
Speaker 3: easier semi final game. You know, if you see Davis

583
00:32:21,320 --> 00:32:25,160
Speaker 3: has to play Hawaii or Barbara, I think that's a

584
00:32:25,200 --> 00:32:29,040
Speaker 3: tougher matchup than what Irvine will get in. If the Chalcols,

585
00:32:29,080 --> 00:32:31,840
Speaker 3: it would be Long Beach State the four seed. They're

586
00:32:31,880 --> 00:32:36,280
Speaker 3: eleven to one. They are they lost five straight to

587
00:32:36,280 --> 00:32:36,960
Speaker 3: close out the years.

588
00:32:37,120 --> 00:32:39,360
Speaker 2: Yeah, stumbling, stumbling.

589
00:32:39,480 --> 00:32:42,440
Speaker 3: They're fast. They want to play fast. They want to

590
00:32:42,520 --> 00:32:46,400
Speaker 3: run ninety nine percent dial transition rate. They run a

591
00:32:46,480 --> 00:32:50,920
Speaker 3: you know, months of runs, a zone press defense, force

592
00:32:50,960 --> 00:32:54,760
Speaker 3: a lot of turnovers, but they give up a ton

593
00:32:54,800 --> 00:32:56,800
Speaker 3: of threes, a ton of open looks in the perimeter.

594
00:32:57,280 --> 00:33:00,760
Speaker 3: If you don't turn it over, you can score on them.

595
00:33:01,640 --> 00:33:07,840
Speaker 3: And they also can't shoot, so that's problematic. I guess,

596
00:33:07,880 --> 00:33:10,560
Speaker 3: you know, giving up a ton of threes, maybe it

597
00:33:10,640 --> 00:33:13,000
Speaker 3: increases your varants a little bit, but they can't shoot

598
00:33:13,040 --> 00:33:16,760
Speaker 3: stumbling down the stretch. I can't make a case for

599
00:33:17,360 --> 00:33:19,680
Speaker 3: Beach at this price, could.

600
00:33:19,520 --> 00:33:24,320
Speaker 4: You, No, No, Irvine brushed them both games. I don't

601
00:33:24,360 --> 00:33:26,600
Speaker 4: see them getting passed there. I think Beach is a

602
00:33:26,640 --> 00:33:30,240
Speaker 4: pretty good matchup for Riverside. Riverside wants to shoot, but

603
00:33:30,280 --> 00:33:33,600
Speaker 4: they really can't, so Beach is fine with them taking threes,

604
00:33:33,640 --> 00:33:36,920
Speaker 4: and you know, they agree to disagree or both both

605
00:33:36,960 --> 00:33:39,800
Speaker 4: sides want to do or do what the other wants

606
00:33:39,800 --> 00:33:41,959
Speaker 4: them to do. The problem is Riverside can't really shoot,

607
00:33:42,280 --> 00:33:44,800
Speaker 4: and Beach beat them twice pretty easily during the regular season,

608
00:33:44,880 --> 00:33:47,880
Speaker 4: so I don't think they're worth it. I think Irvine

609
00:33:48,120 --> 00:33:50,800
Speaker 4: kind of walks Waltz's to the championship game.

610
00:33:51,000 --> 00:33:52,720
Speaker 3: Yeah, I wasn't gonna bring up Riverside. You bring up

611
00:33:52,720 --> 00:33:56,040
Speaker 3: a good point Riverside forty five to one, really improved.

612
00:33:55,880 --> 00:33:58,840
Speaker 2: Team and a great coach too, Pie, a great coach.

613
00:34:00,080 --> 00:34:07,000
Speaker 3: Know over the past. I mean the check since so

614
00:34:07,120 --> 00:34:10,440
Speaker 3: you go to Torvik, you can you can filter for

615
00:34:10,680 --> 00:34:14,560
Speaker 3: split difference since February first, So the games after February first,

616
00:34:14,600 --> 00:34:17,080
Speaker 3: if you compare them to all the games after, you know,

617
00:34:17,120 --> 00:34:23,280
Speaker 3: the most improved teams in the country at post February first,

618
00:34:24,040 --> 00:34:26,799
Speaker 3: Little Rock, you know, they got Mitchell and we saw

619
00:34:26,800 --> 00:34:30,600
Speaker 3: them make a run to the Conference Mountain UNBC. It

620
00:34:30,719 --> 00:34:34,319
Speaker 3: should have beat UMass Lowell U t Arlington. We'll talk

621
00:34:34,320 --> 00:34:38,880
Speaker 3: about with the Whack and then Riverside. So Riverside is

622
00:34:39,760 --> 00:34:43,279
Speaker 3: since February first, sixteenth and adjusted offensive efficiency.

623
00:34:43,600 --> 00:34:43,920
Speaker 2: Wow.

624
00:34:45,000 --> 00:34:47,440
Speaker 3: They so they're they're definitely improved. They don't they don't

625
00:34:47,480 --> 00:34:50,160
Speaker 3: turn it over, which is good against Beach. Kyle Owens

626
00:34:50,280 --> 00:34:52,520
Speaker 3: is also hurt. I don't I don't know his status.

627
00:34:54,000 --> 00:34:56,120
Speaker 3: They do clean up to get the glass. They're deep,

628
00:34:56,160 --> 00:35:01,759
Speaker 3: they have lots of size inside to burn. But they yeah,

629
00:35:01,800 --> 00:35:06,360
Speaker 3: you mentioned that. I'm looking at their matchups against Long Beach.

630
00:35:07,480 --> 00:35:11,960
Speaker 3: They lost by eight and lost by twelve at home

631
00:35:12,640 --> 00:35:15,479
Speaker 3: because they're jump shooters, the jump shooting offense. They can't

632
00:35:15,480 --> 00:35:19,520
Speaker 3: score inside, but they're not efficient shooters. So while they

633
00:35:19,520 --> 00:35:22,319
Speaker 3: don't turn it over, it's not the best matchup for them.

634
00:35:22,320 --> 00:35:25,000
Speaker 3: Even though they're they're really improved, so like from a

635
00:35:25,040 --> 00:35:28,920
Speaker 3: flyer perspective, because they shoot a ton of threes and

636
00:35:28,920 --> 00:35:31,560
Speaker 3: they are playing better, they're well coached. Maybe you've find

637
00:35:31,560 --> 00:35:34,840
Speaker 3: like a fifty to one just couch change. But that beach,

638
00:35:34,960 --> 00:35:36,680
Speaker 3: you got, a good beach is in a good matchup.

639
00:35:37,280 --> 00:35:39,680
Speaker 3: Irvine is a jugger.

640
00:35:39,360 --> 00:35:43,600
Speaker 4: Not once, but still, yeah, I don't expect them to

641
00:35:43,600 --> 00:35:44,040
Speaker 4: do it again.

642
00:35:44,640 --> 00:35:51,560
Speaker 3: Then Bakersfield fifty to one. No, I'll I hate I

643
00:35:51,680 --> 00:35:57,400
Speaker 3: hate Bakersfield, rod Rod Barnes. Uh, they're first of all,

644
00:35:57,440 --> 00:35:59,440
Speaker 3: there are a snail, so they're super slow, which is

645
00:35:59,440 --> 00:36:01,520
Speaker 3: I guess a good thing for a long shot. They

646
00:36:01,520 --> 00:36:03,480
Speaker 3: want to brian the game down to all. The bad

647
00:36:03,520 --> 00:36:05,480
Speaker 3: thing is you're not gonna get any three point variants

648
00:36:05,520 --> 00:36:09,879
Speaker 3: because they never zero ever shoot threes. They just try

649
00:36:09,920 --> 00:36:12,800
Speaker 3: to live on the offensive glass. Can't really say anything

650
00:36:12,840 --> 00:36:14,839
Speaker 3: much else great about Bakersfield.

651
00:36:14,920 --> 00:36:17,359
Speaker 2: No interest in them, right, zero, absolutely zero.

652
00:36:18,040 --> 00:36:20,640
Speaker 3: My pick to win this. I'm going my guy Elijah

653
00:36:20,680 --> 00:36:21,279
Speaker 3: Pepper and.

654
00:36:21,239 --> 00:36:25,759
Speaker 4: You see Davis, Okay, nice, I'm going to Irvine. I'm

655
00:36:25,760 --> 00:36:28,399
Speaker 4: going to Irvine, and I expect them the to give

656
00:36:28,440 --> 00:36:30,719
Speaker 4: a five seed a real challenge in the tournament too.

657
00:36:30,960 --> 00:36:34,040
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, with the way that Irvine plays defense. I

658
00:36:34,080 --> 00:36:37,440
Speaker 3: remember I love them against Kansas State.

659
00:36:37,560 --> 00:36:40,359
Speaker 4: Right, yeah, yeah State, that's right, Yeah yeah, I get

660
00:36:40,360 --> 00:36:42,320
Speaker 4: didn't Barbara confuse in the tournament a lot.

661
00:36:42,640 --> 00:36:45,600
Speaker 3: And it was just a dream matchup against Kansas State.

662
00:36:45,800 --> 00:36:48,560
Speaker 3: The thing with with Irvine, like the teams that can

663
00:36:48,600 --> 00:36:52,640
Speaker 3: beat Irvine are like you see Santa Barbara. They just

664
00:36:52,680 --> 00:36:54,760
Speaker 3: didn't compete them this year. But a guy like Mitchell

665
00:36:56,680 --> 00:36:58,759
Speaker 3: and then you see datas they have, you know, the

666
00:36:58,800 --> 00:37:01,960
Speaker 3: guards in Johnson and Pepper in their pick and roll

667
00:37:02,000 --> 00:37:04,200
Speaker 3: and living in the mid range, like that's what you need.

668
00:37:05,280 --> 00:37:07,400
Speaker 3: You can't be three point reliant. You can't be a

669
00:37:07,440 --> 00:37:09,439
Speaker 3: team that work, tries to work in the post or

670
00:37:09,480 --> 00:37:11,560
Speaker 3: work at the rim. So the I think the only

671
00:37:11,560 --> 00:37:13,719
Speaker 3: real teams that could beat Uci Ravine or you see

672
00:37:13,800 --> 00:37:16,600
Speaker 3: Davis and you see Santa Barbara. I agree with that.

673
00:37:16,640 --> 00:37:18,359
Speaker 2: I agree absolutely, All.

674
00:37:18,400 --> 00:37:23,680
Speaker 3: Right, good stuff the Big West one Final League to

675
00:37:23,719 --> 00:37:26,360
Speaker 3: get to them, we're gonna go to the Whacky Whack.

676
00:37:26,840 --> 00:37:33,560
Speaker 3: This is a fascinating league because the conference seedings are

677
00:37:34,000 --> 00:37:35,600
Speaker 3: so the teams that the way that it works is

678
00:37:36,280 --> 00:37:38,799
Speaker 3: the teams that make it are based on the standards,

679
00:37:39,200 --> 00:37:42,879
Speaker 3: but the way that they seed them is based on

680
00:37:42,920 --> 00:37:47,160
Speaker 3: their resume seating system, So if Seattle had won at Tarleton,

681
00:37:47,600 --> 00:37:50,359
Speaker 3: Seattle would have been the three seed even though they

682
00:37:50,400 --> 00:37:53,160
Speaker 3: got swept by Arlington, and Arlington would have felt the

683
00:37:53,160 --> 00:37:56,440
Speaker 3: four and finished a game behind them, which is pretty wild.

684
00:37:56,960 --> 00:38:02,000
Speaker 3: But eight make it Wednesday to Saturday tournament. This benefits

685
00:38:02,000 --> 00:38:06,200
Speaker 3: the top seeds again, just like the Big West the

686
00:38:06,239 --> 00:38:09,160
Speaker 3: whack out West. Top two seeds get double buys of

687
00:38:09,200 --> 00:38:12,040
Speaker 3: the semis. That's Grand Canyon and Tarleton. Three and four

688
00:38:12,080 --> 00:38:15,680
Speaker 3: seeds Seattle and ut Arlington buys to the quarters first

689
00:38:15,760 --> 00:38:20,640
Speaker 3: round games Utah Valley, Cal Baptist and Steven F. Austin

690
00:38:21,160 --> 00:38:26,279
Speaker 3: Aveline Christian. No odds out here yet, what really some

691
00:38:26,880 --> 00:38:30,160
Speaker 3: housekeeping here? One side of the bracket. The bottom half

692
00:38:30,160 --> 00:38:33,640
Speaker 3: of the bracket is all Texas schools, You're right, And

693
00:38:33,719 --> 00:38:36,120
Speaker 3: the top half the bracket is all the non Texas schools.

694
00:38:36,239 --> 00:38:38,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, crazy, is bizarre.

695
00:38:38,640 --> 00:38:42,440
Speaker 3: This is a defensive league run by defenses. Five of

696
00:38:42,480 --> 00:38:45,960
Speaker 3: the eight teams or top hundred fish just the defenses.

697
00:38:46,560 --> 00:38:50,000
Speaker 3: Every team is rated higher in adjust the defensive efficiency

698
00:38:50,040 --> 00:38:53,080
Speaker 3: than offensiveficiency, except Tarleton, which is like even at around

699
00:38:53,120 --> 00:38:56,880
Speaker 3: one fifty. Yeah, the good offense is Grand Canyon or

700
00:38:56,880 --> 00:38:58,960
Speaker 3: the one seed. They'll be the favorite here. They have

701
00:38:59,000 --> 00:39:02,000
Speaker 3: the best offense, pick and roll ISO heavy with Foster

702
00:39:02,080 --> 00:39:05,759
Speaker 3: and Harrison, a gloffin can shoot. They're the best team

703
00:39:05,800 --> 00:39:09,000
Speaker 3: by far. Grand Foster's a beast. They take away the

704
00:39:09,040 --> 00:39:13,160
Speaker 3: three on d either switching a lot dropping. They do

705
00:39:13,239 --> 00:39:16,080
Speaker 3: allow a ton of the rim, but they're elite defending there.

706
00:39:16,800 --> 00:39:18,600
Speaker 3: I think that they should be about even money when

707
00:39:18,600 --> 00:39:22,239
Speaker 3: odds come out to win this. Maybe minus one ten

708
00:39:22,280 --> 00:39:24,279
Speaker 3: minus one, that's what fair is. I don't they might

709
00:39:24,320 --> 00:39:27,640
Speaker 3: be like minus one fifty. Yeah, it's probably what I

710
00:39:27,680 --> 00:39:29,000
Speaker 3: think they will be. But I make them around like

711
00:39:29,040 --> 00:39:33,680
Speaker 3: minus one ten ish. They're the best team. Let's start

712
00:39:33,680 --> 00:39:37,000
Speaker 3: in the top half. You The intriguing team to me

713
00:39:37,719 --> 00:39:41,680
Speaker 3: is Seattle, which is the four seed. Now I need

714
00:39:41,680 --> 00:39:43,799
Speaker 3: like ten to at least ten to one. Would want

715
00:39:43,800 --> 00:39:45,719
Speaker 3: more than ten to one in Seattle. I don't think

716
00:39:45,760 --> 00:39:47,719
Speaker 3: we'll get it, but probably be like eight to one.

717
00:39:48,120 --> 00:39:51,359
Speaker 3: The reason I like Seattle is, I mean, they skid

718
00:39:51,440 --> 00:39:54,080
Speaker 3: it down the stretch, but they match up well with

719
00:39:54,200 --> 00:39:56,920
Speaker 3: Grand Ken. Why because they could defend. They can defend

720
00:39:56,920 --> 00:39:59,520
Speaker 3: at the rim. They have you know, shoemaker who can

721
00:39:59,680 --> 00:40:04,000
Speaker 3: defend Harrison. He always just frustrates him. They defend well

722
00:40:04,000 --> 00:40:07,000
Speaker 3: in isolation. Grand Canyon runs a lot of They defend

723
00:40:07,040 --> 00:40:09,480
Speaker 3: well pick and roll. Grand Canyon runs a lot of

724
00:40:09,840 --> 00:40:12,480
Speaker 3: and if you look, you know all their meetings last

725
00:40:12,520 --> 00:40:15,239
Speaker 3: couple of years. They play them very tough. This year

726
00:40:15,800 --> 00:40:18,080
Speaker 3: they beat them at home one and then went to

727
00:40:18,160 --> 00:40:22,279
Speaker 3: overtime at Grand Cannon, ye, which is not easy to do.

728
00:40:22,480 --> 00:40:25,200
Speaker 3: They do have turnover issues on offense. It's a jump

729
00:40:25,200 --> 00:40:28,640
Speaker 3: shooting team led by Cam Tyson. They were a bit unlucky.

730
00:40:28,640 --> 00:40:30,440
Speaker 3: They were four and seven in games decided by five

731
00:40:30,440 --> 00:40:32,680
Speaker 3: points or less and league play zero to three in overtime.

732
00:40:32,880 --> 00:40:35,520
Speaker 3: They also lost both games that Tyson missed. But just

733
00:40:35,560 --> 00:40:37,560
Speaker 3: a very good defense. They have a ton of good

734
00:40:37,560 --> 00:40:41,640
Speaker 3: individual defenders. You have Chatfield, the six to ten anchor

735
00:40:42,040 --> 00:40:45,120
Speaker 3: in the middle, but if their jump shots are actually falling,

736
00:40:45,680 --> 00:40:47,640
Speaker 3: you know, Tyson can take over a game. They match

737
00:40:47,719 --> 00:40:49,840
Speaker 3: up well with Grand Canyon. You can give me like

738
00:40:49,880 --> 00:40:53,120
Speaker 3: ten to one or better. Seattle intrigues me. I think

739
00:40:53,120 --> 00:40:55,160
Speaker 3: they underachieved, especially down the stretch.

740
00:40:55,600 --> 00:40:58,040
Speaker 4: Yeah, there's lots of like they're well coach number one.

741
00:40:58,239 --> 00:41:01,160
Speaker 4: They really compete in the non conto. They almost beat

742
00:41:01,200 --> 00:41:03,360
Speaker 4: VC on the road, they almost beat San Francisco on

743
00:41:03,440 --> 00:41:06,120
Speaker 4: the road, they lost to Washington and overtime they beat

744
00:41:06,200 --> 00:41:09,080
Speaker 4: LA Tech. They beat UC San Diego, who we just

745
00:41:09,160 --> 00:41:10,960
Speaker 4: kind of talked about in the in the in the

746
00:41:10,960 --> 00:41:14,200
Speaker 4: Big West. They're a really really good team, top four

747
00:41:14,280 --> 00:41:18,040
Speaker 4: both ends in the whack offense and defense balanced and

748
00:41:18,120 --> 00:41:20,520
Speaker 4: like you said, Cameron Tyson, he's a guy that can

749
00:41:20,560 --> 00:41:22,360
Speaker 4: take over in a tournament setting. You always kind of

750
00:41:22,360 --> 00:41:24,440
Speaker 4: want to guard that can create his own offense, be

751
00:41:24,520 --> 00:41:26,880
Speaker 4: sort of a game breaker in late game situations, and

752
00:41:27,040 --> 00:41:28,320
Speaker 4: they definitely have that with Tyson.

753
00:41:28,440 --> 00:41:29,279
Speaker 2: So Seattle is not.

754
00:41:29,239 --> 00:41:32,000
Speaker 4: A bad choice if you want to, you know, take

755
00:41:32,120 --> 00:41:34,759
Speaker 4: a team other than Grand Canyon in this league.

756
00:41:34,680 --> 00:41:38,080
Speaker 3: Ye, Seattle will face the winner of Utah Valley cal Baptist.

757
00:41:38,920 --> 00:41:40,960
Speaker 3: Try to so you inform you guys a little bit

758
00:41:40,960 --> 00:41:43,279
Speaker 3: about all of these teams to help you handicap the games.

759
00:41:43,400 --> 00:41:47,880
Speaker 3: Utah Valley defense playing at an incredible level. One of

760
00:41:47,960 --> 00:41:50,239
Speaker 3: the crazy things about this tournament that makes it so

761
00:41:50,360 --> 00:41:53,200
Speaker 3: intriguing is if you look, if you look at that

762
00:41:53,520 --> 00:41:56,840
Speaker 3: split filter I talked about on Tourvick since February first,

763
00:41:56,960 --> 00:41:59,600
Speaker 3: and it shows which teams have improved the most or

764
00:42:00,239 --> 00:42:03,040
Speaker 3: vice versa. Three of the top fift teams in the

765
00:42:03,080 --> 00:42:09,879
Speaker 3: country in the whack, Tarleton, Utah Valley, and Arlington, Utah

766
00:42:10,000 --> 00:42:14,279
Speaker 3: Valley has significantly improved. Their offense is still ugly. They

767
00:42:14,280 --> 00:42:17,480
Speaker 3: can't shoot, but they don't turn it over. But still

768
00:42:17,640 --> 00:42:20,600
Speaker 3: they have trouble putting the ball in the net, which

769
00:42:20,640 --> 00:42:22,680
Speaker 3: is problematic. But they won seven of eight to close

770
00:42:22,719 --> 00:42:25,279
Speaker 3: the year. There were three hundred and fifty fourth in

771
00:42:25,320 --> 00:42:27,880
Speaker 3: minutes continuity, so like took them on. I think it

772
00:42:27,920 --> 00:42:30,000
Speaker 3: took them a while. But their defense is playing really well.

773
00:42:30,000 --> 00:42:34,160
Speaker 3: They'll start out with cal Baptist. Cal Baptist snails, complete snail,

774
00:42:35,280 --> 00:42:39,920
Speaker 3: super super slow. They're rebounders, like that's what cal Baptist does,

775
00:42:39,960 --> 00:42:42,719
Speaker 3: and they need to get to the line. They try to.

776
00:42:42,800 --> 00:42:43,040
Speaker 2: They go.

777
00:42:43,080 --> 00:42:46,600
Speaker 3: Everything's at the rim with them twenty ninth in near

778
00:42:46,719 --> 00:42:49,839
Speaker 3: proximity at Temporate three hundred and fifty ninth in near

779
00:42:50,040 --> 00:42:51,920
Speaker 3: proximity percentage. So they try to get to the rim

780
00:42:51,960 --> 00:42:53,960
Speaker 3: and they just can't make anything. They've lost eight of

781
00:42:54,040 --> 00:42:56,919
Speaker 3: nine to close the year, which coincided with their point

782
00:42:56,920 --> 00:43:01,120
Speaker 3: guard Dominic Daniels being out. Yep, he's watchable every game.

783
00:43:01,200 --> 00:43:04,520
Speaker 3: It's hard to get info on cal Baptist. It's not

784
00:43:04,600 --> 00:43:08,160
Speaker 3: like there's beat writers knocking down the doors cover Baptists basketball.

785
00:43:08,840 --> 00:43:11,160
Speaker 3: But if he returns, I don't know. I don't know

786
00:43:11,160 --> 00:43:12,400
Speaker 3: if he will or how much you give him the

787
00:43:12,440 --> 00:43:15,719
Speaker 3: first game back, but he's important to them, obviously we've

788
00:43:15,760 --> 00:43:19,239
Speaker 3: seen that. Any thoughts on Utah Valley or.

789
00:43:19,160 --> 00:43:21,400
Speaker 2: Cal Baptist, Utah Valley wins.

790
00:43:21,560 --> 00:43:24,120
Speaker 4: I don't think they're much of a I don't think

791
00:43:24,120 --> 00:43:26,200
Speaker 4: cal Baptis is much of a threat to Utah Valley.

792
00:43:26,560 --> 00:43:29,359
Speaker 4: They take away the three above all else, and Utah

793
00:43:29,440 --> 00:43:32,319
Speaker 4: Valley doesn't care. That's just fine with Utah Valley. And

794
00:43:32,960 --> 00:43:35,680
Speaker 4: I think the defense that you've seen down the stretch

795
00:43:36,080 --> 00:43:39,360
Speaker 4: from them is for real and seven to one obviously

796
00:43:39,400 --> 00:43:41,040
Speaker 4: straight up, since you know.

797
00:43:41,000 --> 00:43:42,799
Speaker 2: February eighth is pretty darn good.

798
00:43:43,480 --> 00:43:45,360
Speaker 4: I think Todd Phillips, a good coach, took over for

799
00:43:45,480 --> 00:43:49,040
Speaker 4: Mark Mattson, he was on his staff previously. I do

800
00:43:49,120 --> 00:43:52,520
Speaker 4: think they are categorically better than cal Baptists.

801
00:43:52,520 --> 00:43:55,480
Speaker 2: Now. I don't expect them to beat Seattle, but I

802
00:43:55,520 --> 00:43:55,960
Speaker 2: do like them.

803
00:43:55,960 --> 00:43:59,600
Speaker 3: In the first round matchup, Yeah, Utah Valley, they did

804
00:43:59,680 --> 00:44:02,400
Speaker 3: split with Seattle, and that's probably one.

805
00:44:02,239 --> 00:44:03,839
Speaker 2: That's yeah, played him close. For sure.

806
00:44:04,000 --> 00:44:08,239
Speaker 3: Yeah, Seattle just finds itself in close games all the time.

807
00:44:09,680 --> 00:44:11,279
Speaker 3: I would agree there, and I don't. I just don't

808
00:44:11,280 --> 00:44:14,000
Speaker 3: think that Utah Valley, which is they shoot twenty eight

809
00:44:14,040 --> 00:44:14,959
Speaker 3: percent from three.

810
00:44:15,200 --> 00:44:16,000
Speaker 2: It's a problem.

811
00:44:16,080 --> 00:44:18,760
Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't think that they have the offensive upside.

812
00:44:18,800 --> 00:44:21,279
Speaker 3: And by the way Daniels he is, I just don't

813
00:44:21,280 --> 00:44:24,319
Speaker 3: think if he does play, he does give cal bapt

814
00:44:24,400 --> 00:44:28,560
Speaker 3: He's their best offense player far by far. So it

815
00:44:28,600 --> 00:44:30,640
Speaker 3: would be a little tougher but asked. But I don't

816
00:44:30,640 --> 00:44:31,799
Speaker 3: think either of those teams can win.

817
00:44:31,719 --> 00:44:34,239
Speaker 2: This thing, right, No, Nope, Okay.

818
00:44:34,160 --> 00:44:36,239
Speaker 3: So not even worth considering a long shot there. I

819
00:44:36,239 --> 00:44:38,399
Speaker 3: think Seattle's and I don't see it. You don't see

820
00:44:38,400 --> 00:44:40,920
Speaker 3: any Do you see any value in grand canon if

821
00:44:40,960 --> 00:44:45,759
Speaker 3: they were let's say minus one fifty.

822
00:44:46,440 --> 00:44:48,960
Speaker 4: I don't think it's worth taking that price. No, they

823
00:44:48,960 --> 00:44:50,600
Speaker 4: are by far the best team in this league though,

824
00:44:50,719 --> 00:44:54,080
Speaker 4: top three of the top five players. And remember joe

825
00:44:54,160 --> 00:44:56,680
Speaker 4: An Blacksheer comes off the bench right now, and he

826
00:44:56,760 --> 00:44:59,040
Speaker 4: was their best player for like three years. It's it's

827
00:44:59,040 --> 00:44:59,960
Speaker 4: crazy how good this team.

828
00:45:00,840 --> 00:45:02,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, but the one team that probably matches up best

829
00:45:02,960 --> 00:45:05,359
Speaker 3: of them is Seattle, and that's the that's the four

830
00:45:05,440 --> 00:45:06,319
Speaker 3: they got and.

831
00:45:06,280 --> 00:45:09,280
Speaker 4: The bottom half of the bracket is an absolute nightmare,

832
00:45:09,320 --> 00:45:11,040
Speaker 4: so avoiding that is key.

833
00:45:11,440 --> 00:45:13,719
Speaker 3: Yeah, all right, bottom half, Let's go to the bottom half.

834
00:45:13,760 --> 00:45:17,000
Speaker 3: Charlatan State. They've really turned on an inter interim coach,

835
00:45:17,960 --> 00:45:22,320
Speaker 3: Joseph Jones. They've won eleven of twelve. There's a reason

836
00:45:22,400 --> 00:45:25,760
Speaker 3: for their improvement. They have like a juco backcourt Musa

837
00:45:25,800 --> 00:45:28,759
Speaker 3: and Barnes. They've been playing much better. One of the

838
00:45:28,800 --> 00:45:31,600
Speaker 3: two missed a bunch of games or was at Algeborough

839
00:45:31,640 --> 00:45:34,600
Speaker 3: in the season two. They don't beat themselves. They don't

840
00:45:34,640 --> 00:45:37,680
Speaker 3: turn it over to Corey Smith's a beast. But they

841
00:45:37,680 --> 00:45:40,680
Speaker 3: were really lucky during the year. I mean they gotta

842
00:45:40,719 --> 00:45:42,400
Speaker 3: be let me see ken Bomba. They number one. They

843
00:45:42,400 --> 00:45:43,640
Speaker 3: have to be number one in luck ranking.

844
00:45:44,600 --> 00:45:45,319
Speaker 2: They're number one.

845
00:45:45,960 --> 00:45:51,120
Speaker 3: Yeah. They They went ten and two in games decided

846
00:45:51,160 --> 00:45:53,640
Speaker 3: by five points or less in league play, six to

847
00:45:53,719 --> 00:45:57,279
Speaker 3: one possession wins. They think. They even have like a

848
00:45:57,360 --> 00:46:01,880
Speaker 3: crazy buzzer beater against UTRVV. I don't love their offense.

849
00:46:02,600 --> 00:46:04,960
Speaker 3: They had like some they were benefiting from extreme shooting

850
00:46:05,040 --> 00:46:09,080
Speaker 3: luck for a shooting Barians for a while. I would

851
00:46:09,160 --> 00:46:12,120
Speaker 3: imagine Tarleton if I had to guess the price on them,

852
00:46:13,200 --> 00:46:17,319
Speaker 3: They'll probably be like five to one. I guess no.

853
00:46:17,400 --> 00:46:18,239
Speaker 3: I have no interest in.

854
00:46:18,200 --> 00:46:22,240
Speaker 4: Charlton, absolute zero. The players love the interim coach Jones.

855
00:46:22,560 --> 00:46:27,120
Speaker 4: It's interesting though, after Billy Gillespie was announced with an extension,

856
00:46:27,680 --> 00:46:32,320
Speaker 4: I you know, conspiracy theory. Me thinks that might have

857
00:46:32,360 --> 00:46:34,399
Speaker 4: affected the locker room a bit. They lost to Utah

858
00:46:34,520 --> 00:46:36,920
Speaker 4: Valley right after that, played a close game with Seattle

859
00:46:36,960 --> 00:46:40,280
Speaker 4: right after that. I think that is maybe it's a

860
00:46:40,320 --> 00:46:42,520
Speaker 4: bit of an issue in the back of their minds.

861
00:46:43,360 --> 00:46:45,280
Speaker 2: Maybe not. They're ineligible for the tournament.

862
00:46:45,360 --> 00:46:48,120
Speaker 4: It's maybe if you're one of those type of people

863
00:46:48,160 --> 00:46:51,160
Speaker 4: that think this is their everything, the super Bowl, winning

864
00:46:51,320 --> 00:46:53,520
Speaker 4: the Whack Tournament, that's a point in their favor. But

865
00:46:54,120 --> 00:46:56,600
Speaker 4: I don't think their defense is good enough to win

866
00:46:57,200 --> 00:47:00,719
Speaker 4: the conference tournament. And I'm scared of you Arlington. I'm

867
00:47:00,719 --> 00:47:01,920
Speaker 4: scared of Stephen F. Austin.

868
00:47:02,480 --> 00:47:04,080
Speaker 2: That's a really tough half of the bracket.

869
00:47:04,480 --> 00:47:07,560
Speaker 3: Yeah, we'll get to those teams if Yeah, it's worth

870
00:47:07,600 --> 00:47:12,560
Speaker 3: mentioning that if the Chalk holds, if Tarleton wins, Grand

871
00:47:12,560 --> 00:47:15,280
Speaker 3: Canyon goes to the dance, no matter what. YEP, doesn't

872
00:47:15,320 --> 00:47:18,000
Speaker 3: matter if Seattle beats Grand Canyon, it goes to the

873
00:47:18,080 --> 00:47:20,960
Speaker 3: highest seed. Different tournaments to it different. I think in

874
00:47:21,000 --> 00:47:23,920
Speaker 3: like the NEC then it would have been the loser

875
00:47:23,960 --> 00:47:27,840
Speaker 3: of the conference championship game if who wasn't eligible in.

876
00:47:27,800 --> 00:47:32,080
Speaker 4: The NECT oh oh this year. Yeah, yeah, because Merrimac

877
00:47:32,120 --> 00:47:35,399
Speaker 4: beat FDU last year. But they also won the league

878
00:47:35,440 --> 00:47:36,759
Speaker 4: I think, so it was kind of either way.

879
00:47:37,080 --> 00:47:39,439
Speaker 3: Yeah, So that is worth noting for the championship game

880
00:47:39,680 --> 00:47:44,120
Speaker 3: that if Tarleton's there, the team they play is already

881
00:47:44,200 --> 00:47:46,960
Speaker 3: in They'll still be incentivized to win a conference tournament.

882
00:47:47,000 --> 00:47:49,920
Speaker 3: But like it's worth noting. But in the bottom half

883
00:47:50,000 --> 00:47:53,120
Speaker 3: you have Tarleton is the two Sea Beach. I have

884
00:47:53,160 --> 00:47:56,120
Speaker 3: no interest in them. Some other interesting teams. The three

885
00:47:56,120 --> 00:47:59,400
Speaker 3: seed is ut Arlington, one of the most improved teams

886
00:47:59,680 --> 00:48:05,799
Speaker 3: in the country. There, they finished nine and two eightieth

887
00:48:06,000 --> 00:48:10,919
Speaker 3: an adjusted overall efficiency since February first for comparison, Grand

888
00:48:11,000 --> 00:48:14,000
Speaker 3: Canyons sixty fifth, so they were playing not too far

889
00:48:14,480 --> 00:48:18,160
Speaker 3: behind Grand Canyon's level eleven and two over the last thirteen.

890
00:48:18,760 --> 00:48:22,080
Speaker 3: Their two losses were by combined three points. They also

891
00:48:22,080 --> 00:48:24,440
Speaker 3: went up to Seattle and beat the shit out of

892
00:48:24,880 --> 00:48:30,880
Speaker 3: Seattle during that stretch. Like you know, it has Russell

893
00:48:31,160 --> 00:48:34,560
Speaker 3: there because their point guard play was problematic early in

894
00:48:34,600 --> 00:48:37,880
Speaker 3: the year. Desimo transfer has been huge. He missed the

895
00:48:37,880 --> 00:48:41,279
Speaker 3: first nine games, he missed two others in league play.

896
00:48:41,360 --> 00:48:43,239
Speaker 3: He made all the difference in the world that for

897
00:48:43,560 --> 00:48:45,480
Speaker 3: what it's worth, they want to run, they play fast.

898
00:48:45,920 --> 00:48:49,800
Speaker 3: They do have turnover issues, so they theoretically could really

899
00:48:49,840 --> 00:48:53,720
Speaker 3: struggle with the winner of Steven f Austin Aballene Christian,

900
00:48:53,760 --> 00:48:57,200
Speaker 3: which we'll get to in a second. But jivity thoughts

901
00:48:57,200 --> 00:48:59,239
Speaker 3: on Arlington and why they've improved so much.

902
00:48:59,680 --> 00:49:02,520
Speaker 4: Yeah, Russell is a big reason why he's a stud.

903
00:49:03,400 --> 00:49:05,640
Speaker 4: They do have a top three offense and defense in

904
00:49:05,680 --> 00:49:08,240
Speaker 4: the conference, and I like them in a tournament setting

905
00:49:08,400 --> 00:49:11,040
Speaker 4: because they shoot the three so well. They're the number

906
00:49:11,080 --> 00:49:13,600
Speaker 4: one three point shooting team in the conference both rate

907
00:49:13,640 --> 00:49:17,640
Speaker 4: and percentage this season, and I think that's obviously huge

908
00:49:18,320 --> 00:49:20,280
Speaker 4: in the conference tournament setting. And I trust their guards.

909
00:49:20,320 --> 00:49:23,520
Speaker 4: I know they have they do have turnover issues. They

910
00:49:23,520 --> 00:49:26,320
Speaker 4: do start, you know, a freshman ball handler and Williams,

911
00:49:26,560 --> 00:49:28,800
Speaker 4: but I think Russell really helps that and kind of

912
00:49:28,840 --> 00:49:31,680
Speaker 4: stabilizes things in the backcourt. So I would expect the

913
00:49:31,680 --> 00:49:33,680
Speaker 4: ball in his hands a little bit more during the

914
00:49:33,800 --> 00:49:36,400
Speaker 4: end of games. So I do like Arlington, but I

915
00:49:36,480 --> 00:49:37,919
Speaker 4: might like s f A a little bit more.

916
00:49:38,239 --> 00:49:42,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, Williams and you know, earlier in the year, Douglass

917
00:49:43,560 --> 00:49:46,600
Speaker 3: they were just turning Williams still does. I mean Williams

918
00:49:46,680 --> 00:49:49,920
Speaker 3: turns it over way too much. So getting Russell to

919
00:49:50,040 --> 00:49:54,520
Speaker 3: run things in that backcourt, which was just really bad

920
00:49:54,560 --> 00:49:59,759
Speaker 3: without him, has has been huge. Aaron Cash also much

921
00:49:59,800 --> 00:50:02,879
Speaker 3: help year now, which has been big. But if you look,

922
00:50:02,920 --> 00:50:06,640
Speaker 3: they'll take they're the three seed. And for what it's worth,

923
00:50:06,680 --> 00:50:09,440
Speaker 3: they did lose. They got swept by Tarleton, but guess what,

924
00:50:09,520 --> 00:50:12,560
Speaker 3: they lost both games by two, like they do, like

925
00:50:12,680 --> 00:50:15,960
Speaker 3: Tarleton did all year. If Arlington gets to Tarleton, I'm

926
00:50:15,960 --> 00:50:20,960
Speaker 3: playing Arlington too, I'll tell you that. But Arlington would

927
00:50:21,480 --> 00:50:25,920
Speaker 3: first have to get by the winner of Steven F.

928
00:50:25,960 --> 00:50:34,000
Speaker 3: Austin Abilene Christian And during the regular season Arlington.

929
00:50:34,520 --> 00:50:36,600
Speaker 2: Split with both slip Yeah, with both.

930
00:50:37,760 --> 00:50:42,759
Speaker 3: But their turner issues could be a problem because Stephen F.

931
00:50:42,800 --> 00:50:46,720
Speaker 3: Austin they are you know, they're the best offensive rebounding

932
00:50:46,760 --> 00:50:48,239
Speaker 3: team in the league. They get to the line a ton,

933
00:50:48,440 --> 00:50:50,400
Speaker 3: they all they are. They're a weird team. I love

934
00:50:50,440 --> 00:50:54,240
Speaker 3: looking at their profile. They have extreme turnover issues. Themselves

935
00:50:54,880 --> 00:50:56,719
Speaker 3: the three hundred and fifty seventh in turnover rate, but

936
00:50:56,760 --> 00:51:00,600
Speaker 3: they also forced turnovers at the seventh highest rate. Deep team,

937
00:51:00,680 --> 00:51:03,600
Speaker 3: deep bench, so like the gotta win four games in

938
00:51:03,600 --> 00:51:07,719
Speaker 3: four days, they are deep elite pressure defense all over

939
00:51:07,760 --> 00:51:11,280
Speaker 3: the core. They want to force turnovers, rim attacking offense.

940
00:51:11,320 --> 00:51:14,719
Speaker 3: They can't shoot, can't shoot for shit. Elite RIM defense

941
00:51:14,760 --> 00:51:17,960
Speaker 3: top fifteen to two point percentage defense ninety nine percentile

942
00:51:18,000 --> 00:51:20,839
Speaker 3: at the rim. You can hit outside shots for them

943
00:51:21,080 --> 00:51:24,880
Speaker 3: if you don't turn it over. They also did just

944
00:51:24,920 --> 00:51:30,960
Speaker 3: get aj coujuiced back, which is worth noting. But this

945
00:51:31,080 --> 00:51:33,319
Speaker 3: is a team that can turn you over. Kind of

946
00:51:33,360 --> 00:51:35,799
Speaker 3: just create a chaotic game. They're going to turn it

947
00:51:35,800 --> 00:51:39,239
Speaker 3: over a bunch. You do need to pitch shots against them,

948
00:51:39,239 --> 00:51:42,480
Speaker 3: so like Arlington can do that, but Arlington's turnover issues

949
00:51:42,520 --> 00:51:45,560
Speaker 3: could creep up. Steven of Austin will take on Abilene

950
00:51:45,640 --> 00:51:49,040
Speaker 3: Christian in the first matchup. Ablin Christian another team that

951
00:51:49,080 --> 00:51:51,440
Speaker 3: got hot here. They won seven of eight to close

952
00:51:51,480 --> 00:51:55,080
Speaker 3: the year, including a win over Grand Canyon. They never

953
00:51:55,120 --> 00:51:59,359
Speaker 3: shoot threes ever, and they're three hundred and thirty ninth

954
00:51:59,360 --> 00:52:01,640
Speaker 3: and two point five percentage offense. I hate their offense.

955
00:52:02,239 --> 00:52:04,719
Speaker 3: They're super small. They run everything through the post with

956
00:52:05,719 --> 00:52:10,160
Speaker 3: Simmons was six to six, Betty all six eight. But

957
00:52:10,280 --> 00:52:12,880
Speaker 3: they are heavy pressure defense, top twenty five turn of

958
00:52:12,920 --> 00:52:17,560
Speaker 3: a rate nationally. So like the Nabline, Christian can't shoot,

959
00:52:17,760 --> 00:52:23,839
Speaker 3: which is problematic against Steven F. Austin, especially because they're

960
00:52:23,880 --> 00:52:27,560
Speaker 3: gonna turn it over a bunch that did that. Steven

961
00:52:28,120 --> 00:52:30,280
Speaker 3: helped me make sense of that. Steven F. Austin Aveline

962
00:52:30,320 --> 00:52:31,919
Speaker 3: Christian game. That's a crazy game.

963
00:52:32,080 --> 00:52:34,480
Speaker 4: Yeah, it's gonna be a ton of turnovers. I think

964
00:52:34,520 --> 00:52:37,880
Speaker 4: they I believe they split during the year they did. Yeah,

965
00:52:37,920 --> 00:52:41,440
Speaker 4: but I had the game. One was fifty one turnovers combined.

966
00:52:42,280 --> 00:52:44,919
Speaker 4: It's gonna be absolutely insane over time.

967
00:52:45,040 --> 00:52:46,840
Speaker 3: And one with the Margins.

968
00:52:47,000 --> 00:52:48,719
Speaker 4: Yeah, it's gonna be insane. But I think A Juice

969
00:52:48,800 --> 00:52:51,080
Speaker 4: being back really helps. He is their point guard. Steven F.

970
00:52:51,080 --> 00:52:54,160
Speaker 4: Austin's point guard. Been back two games. They smoked both

971
00:52:54,160 --> 00:52:58,359
Speaker 4: teams since he came back. I just like their aggressiveness. Yeah,

972
00:52:58,400 --> 00:53:00,600
Speaker 4: best offensive rebound team to whack, best free throw rate

973
00:53:00,600 --> 00:53:04,000
Speaker 4: in the whack. They do allow the highest rate and

974
00:53:04,080 --> 00:53:07,280
Speaker 4: percentage of threes. Like you said, that's worrisome, not against

975
00:53:07,320 --> 00:53:10,319
Speaker 4: dabileing in my opinion, but maybe going forward, but it

976
00:53:10,400 --> 00:53:13,600
Speaker 4: is the third worst efficiency league in the entire nation,

977
00:53:13,719 --> 00:53:15,680
Speaker 4: so maybe it doesn't matter that much. And I like

978
00:53:15,760 --> 00:53:18,840
Speaker 4: Kyle Keller. He's a very experienced coach in this conference tournament.

979
00:53:19,160 --> 00:53:21,040
Speaker 4: So I do think they can make a bit of

980
00:53:21,040 --> 00:53:23,880
Speaker 4: a run here. I'd be intrigued to see what the

981
00:53:23,920 --> 00:53:26,880
Speaker 4: number is against Arlington in round two, assuming they get

982
00:53:26,920 --> 00:53:27,560
Speaker 4: past Dabling.

983
00:53:28,320 --> 00:53:33,960
Speaker 3: Uh Abilene, let me see what I have Ellen, Stephen F. Austin, Yeah,

984
00:53:33,960 --> 00:53:35,640
Speaker 3: I mean Stephen F. Austin will be favored in that

985
00:53:35,680 --> 00:53:43,200
Speaker 3: game against Arlington. I mean Arlington is and they're so improved. Yeah,

986
00:53:43,520 --> 00:53:45,440
Speaker 3: I'll be tempted by Steven F. Austin in that game

987
00:53:45,480 --> 00:53:50,920
Speaker 3: as well. I feel like books Ken Palm, you no

988
00:53:50,960 --> 00:53:53,319
Speaker 3: one knows the seeds they're out there. You just gotta like,

989
00:53:53,320 --> 00:53:58,080
Speaker 3: there's no odds for this. Kembob was in with the matchups, cryptic.

990
00:53:58,160 --> 00:54:03,279
Speaker 3: It's weird, very odd. So in that bottom half, if

991
00:54:03,280 --> 00:54:05,880
Speaker 3: you had to take a flyer, so we're avoiding we

992
00:54:05,920 --> 00:54:09,239
Speaker 3: think Tartan's vulnerable. Yep. So I think that's going to

993
00:54:09,320 --> 00:54:17,200
Speaker 3: create potentially some value with either Arlington or Steven F. Austin.

994
00:54:18,360 --> 00:54:22,160
Speaker 3: If I got like seven eight to one with Arlington, Yep,

995
00:54:22,640 --> 00:54:25,480
Speaker 3: I would take it. I would need like thirty to

996
00:54:25,520 --> 00:54:27,720
Speaker 3: one with Stephen F. Austin.

997
00:54:28,640 --> 00:54:28,839
Speaker 2: Yeah.

998
00:54:28,840 --> 00:54:31,160
Speaker 4: I think either of those is worth a flyer, depending

999
00:54:31,200 --> 00:54:34,360
Speaker 4: on price. And I expect one of those two teams

1000
00:54:34,360 --> 00:54:36,240
Speaker 4: to come out instead of our, instead of Charleston.

1001
00:54:36,760 --> 00:54:38,880
Speaker 3: Yep. I'll be looking the bet against Soarton in the

1002
00:54:38,880 --> 00:54:43,120
Speaker 3: Semis for sure winner. I'll say, who have I said

1003
00:54:43,120 --> 00:54:47,040
Speaker 3: so far? We said a lot of chalk. I'll go Seattle.

1004
00:54:47,480 --> 00:54:53,040
Speaker 3: Seattle pulls off the stunner against Grand Canyon, and now

1005
00:54:53,040 --> 00:54:56,560
Speaker 3: you know what, I'm gonna go, Arlington, Arlington. I'm going Arlington,

1006
00:54:56,640 --> 00:54:58,160
Speaker 3: and I think there's a chance. And part of that

1007
00:54:58,239 --> 00:55:00,600
Speaker 3: is I think that there's a chance see could beat

1008
00:55:00,600 --> 00:55:02,480
Speaker 3: Grand Canyon kind of the best team, and I hope

1009
00:55:02,480 --> 00:55:05,360
Speaker 3: Grank Kenny gets in, yeah, because they're the only threat

1010
00:55:05,680 --> 00:55:08,320
Speaker 3: and they would be a tough out. But there's just

1011
00:55:08,360 --> 00:55:12,040
Speaker 3: a lot of crazy teams and Grant Kenyon got the bad,

1012
00:55:12,239 --> 00:55:15,200
Speaker 3: bad potential matchup if Seattle gets there with a lot

1013
00:55:15,200 --> 00:55:17,320
Speaker 3: of potential. But yeah, I mean, yeah, Seattle, I like

1014
00:55:17,320 --> 00:55:19,520
Speaker 3: I've seen, Like I said, I've Seattle minus won ten

1015
00:55:19,560 --> 00:55:21,560
Speaker 3: to win this, so they should and they're the best

1016
00:55:21,560 --> 00:55:23,960
Speaker 3: team by far. But I'll go a little chaos here,

1017
00:55:24,040 --> 00:55:24,520
Speaker 3: how about you?

1018
00:55:25,120 --> 00:55:27,680
Speaker 4: And I'm being born. I'm going GCU again. I'm intrigued

1019
00:55:27,719 --> 00:55:29,920
Speaker 4: to see what the committee does. If GCU gets the

1020
00:55:30,000 --> 00:55:33,000
Speaker 4: championship game, they would have twenty eight wins. They'd be

1021
00:55:33,040 --> 00:55:35,279
Speaker 4: twenty eight and five if they lost in the championship.

1022
00:55:35,320 --> 00:55:36,920
Speaker 4: I don't think a team with twenty eight wins that

1023
00:55:36,960 --> 00:55:39,200
Speaker 4: have been left out. Had to correct me if I'm wrong.

1024
00:55:39,239 --> 00:55:41,000
Speaker 4: I think Utah State that one year got close.

1025
00:55:41,080 --> 00:55:44,240
Speaker 2: But it'll be interesting. You too, could have one, Jamie

1026
00:55:44,280 --> 00:55:44,600
Speaker 2: as well.

1027
00:55:44,680 --> 00:55:47,360
Speaker 4: Yeah, and Grand Canyon actually beat you know, San Diego

1028
00:55:47,360 --> 00:55:49,839
Speaker 4: State and San Francisco and the non cony. They don't

1029
00:55:49,880 --> 00:55:51,880
Speaker 4: have a horrible residme right now, it'll be interesting.

1030
00:55:52,680 --> 00:55:55,759
Speaker 3: Yeah. Well the other thing is Grant Grand Canny could

1031
00:55:55,840 --> 00:55:59,600
Speaker 3: just have Tarleton in one game, true, and then that's it.

1032
00:55:59,600 --> 00:56:02,480
Speaker 3: They're in no matter what. Yeah, sure, all right, good stuff.

1033
00:56:02,600 --> 00:56:06,439
Speaker 3: That'll do it for us. Always pleasure talking ball with you, guy,

1034
00:56:06,960 --> 00:56:11,600
Speaker 3: Mac Biggie's Big West Whack four leagues down. So thanks

1035
00:56:11,920 --> 00:56:13,680
Speaker 3: Hi again for joining me. Thanks to our producer on

1036
00:56:13,719 --> 00:56:16,000
Speaker 3: the back end. Most spoiler, thanks to all of you

1037
00:56:16,040 --> 00:56:20,440
Speaker 3: for tuning in appreciate all of you. Make sure you subscribe, unsubscribe,

1038
00:56:20,480 --> 00:56:23,200
Speaker 3: subscribe to a friend, tell an enemy, leave five star review.

1039
00:56:23,200 --> 00:56:24,839
Speaker 3: Those really help us. Ott'll do some get away soon.

1040
00:56:25,640 --> 00:56:28,600
Speaker 3: Good luck with all your wagers today, tomorrow and throughout March.

1041
00:56:28,760 --> 00:56:31,200
Speaker 3: Enjoy the madness. Make sure you check out all the

1042
00:56:31,239 --> 00:56:34,120
Speaker 3: three Man We's content as well, and we'll catch you

1043
00:56:34,120 --> 00:56:46,680
Speaker 3: all labor cheers.

1044
00:56:48,360 --> 00:56:52,880
Speaker 2: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

1045
00:56:52,920 --> 00:56:55,680
Speaker 2: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

1046
00:56:55,719 --> 00:56:58,880
Speaker 2: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred gambler