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Speaker 1: As a resident possible future commissioner of this string sport

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Speaker 1: of ours college football. By duty. It is my honor, Nay,

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Speaker 1: it's my privilege to welcome you to October. Do you

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Speaker 1: know where your team is? If you're old miss, You're

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Speaker 1: headed to South Carolina this Saturday. Man in Columbia, home

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Speaker 1: team off a bye week to start October. Wouldn't want

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Speaker 1: it to be me. We're jampacked high top a radiant

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Speaker 1: downtown Nashville, Tennessee, on this Tuesday night for the rest

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Speaker 1: of you October, first year of our lower twenty twenty four,

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Speaker 1: probably brought to you by Academy Sports and Outdoors. And

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Speaker 1: I have concerns, friends, I have concerns that as some

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Speaker 1: of you gird up your loins to go to your

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Speaker 1: tailgates this Saturday, you're gonna be going there as a

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Speaker 1: double digit favorite, and you're gonna be in some cases

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Speaker 1: looking to your left and right because you have big

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Speaker 1: games coming up, or you just came off a big

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Speaker 1: game and you're not focused on the here and now.

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Speaker 1: And that's the kind of weekend. And I think we

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Speaker 1: have one coming up that is memorable for all the

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Speaker 1: wrong reasons. I just want us to be careful. I

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Speaker 1: got full week six predictions, of course, on the show tonight.

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Speaker 1: That's what we do on Tuesday. I've got a brand

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Speaker 1: new JP poll to drop on you in I would

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Speaker 1: say mere moments, but it's like thirty minutes down the road,

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Speaker 1: and I've got a couple of added best bets. We've

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Speaker 1: also got a big relief effort underway for our friends

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Speaker 1: in everywhere from Florida to Virginia to the Carolinas to Tennessee.

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Speaker 1: We're paying attention. If no one else in Washington is,

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Speaker 1: we're paying attention. So I'm going to give you some

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Speaker 1: details a little bit later on about what we're actionably

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Speaker 1: doing to help there. They're watching us in Oakridge, Tennessee,

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Speaker 1: in Los Angeles, California, Lewiston, Maine, and Flynnburgh, Germany. Happy

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Speaker 1: you guys are with us? Okay, we got a lot

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Speaker 1: of different directions to go. Let's see if this makes

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Speaker 1: a sound Colin, Yeah, I think you could hear that.

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Speaker 1: That's how thick the pad of paper is tonight. So

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Speaker 1: we got a lot of different things to talk about.

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Speaker 1: And now, normally on a Tuesday show, I would just

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Speaker 1: dive right into the first game that we want to

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Speaker 1: predict like last week. Of course, we led with Georgia

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Speaker 1: Bama this week. I do want to touch on something

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Speaker 1: just momentarily before we get into all the predictions for

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Speaker 1: the week. I think a volcanic Saturday could be coming.

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Speaker 1: I really think this Saturday could be detrimental, potentially catastrophic

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Speaker 1: as sports go for a lot of you. And here's

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Speaker 1: the problem. Stat's an info AKA producer Jesse tells me

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Speaker 1: that fourteen ranked teams are facing unranked conference opponents this weekend,

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Speaker 1: either Friday or Saturday night. And I just want to

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Speaker 1: remind you in this post Kentucky versus Old Miss World

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Speaker 1: of Ours, that almost anything is possible in college football.

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Speaker 1: Not everything, but a lot of stuff can go down

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Speaker 1: the way it's not supposed to go down. And so

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Speaker 1: last weekend, how did that happen? How did we get

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Speaker 1: the whole Kentucky over Old Miss upset plopped in our lap? Well,

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Speaker 1: what we had was we had a team we thought

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Speaker 1: we knew about. I'm going to include myself in this.

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Speaker 1: We didn't even predict a game on the show last week.

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Speaker 1: That's how that it was for us. So we had

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Speaker 1: a team we thought we knew some stuff about in

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Speaker 1: Old Miss. So you spend all of the spring in

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Speaker 1: the summer in the preview magazine season, as we like

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Speaker 1: to call it, and you gather your expectations and you

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Speaker 1: define your expectation for a team. Now, if we're lucky,

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Speaker 1: that team is like Georgia, they face Clemson right out

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Speaker 1: of the gate, so we see them against quality competition

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Speaker 1: right out of the gate. But that's not always the

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Speaker 1: way it works. So in Ole Missus case, they go

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Speaker 1: week one furman of two, three, four, They face competition

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Speaker 1: to varying degrees, but none of them equal competition. And

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Speaker 1: so we get all the way to week five, and

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Speaker 1: to be honest, Kentucky still came in there as a

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Speaker 1: double digit underdog like seventeen and a half point dog.

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Speaker 1: But the athletic profile of Kentucky's team, just the caliber

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Speaker 1: of athlete they put out there alone, was a huge

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Speaker 1: step up from what Ole miss had faced so far.

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Speaker 1: So what we had was the classic metaphor of maybe

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Speaker 1: some cracks in the old damn there that had always

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Speaker 1: been there, but your previous four opponents weren't apeable of

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Speaker 1: putting the water pressure on it to expose it. And

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Speaker 1: then Kentucky did, and voile. You got an upset. That's

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Speaker 1: how it happens in college football in the first half

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Speaker 1: of the season, all the time. So let's take a

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Speaker 1: look at this Saturday. Because the casual amongst you, every

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Speaker 1: one of you's got one in your life. Unfortunately, some

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Speaker 1: of us have multiple casuals in our lives, and they

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Speaker 1: will tell you this is not the week. This is

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Speaker 1: the week to go apple picking, this is the week

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Speaker 1: to go house hunting, this is the week to hang

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Speaker 1: out at home depot. Well it's not. That's what God

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Speaker 1: made Wednesday for. Take a day off work, you know,

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Speaker 1: good and well, you got some racked up Saturday. You

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Speaker 1: need to be locked in now. I'm not telling you

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Speaker 1: that Alabama's going to Vanderbilt to lose. There's only one

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Speaker 1: person in this building who's ever predicted something that foolish,

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Speaker 1: and it was Bradley the associate and he doesn't even

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Speaker 1: work on this show anymore. True story. Bradley was with

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Speaker 1: me down in Columbus in twenty seventeen or nineteen when

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Speaker 1: the poor kid over at Vandy called out Bama and

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Speaker 1: then Bama splattered him all over Nashville. Yeah, Bradley got

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Speaker 1: to off air short time after that, So not so

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Speaker 1: much the Bama at Vanderbilt because I don't think Vanderbilt

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Speaker 1: has the athletic profile to challenge Alabama. Even if Alabama

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Speaker 1: plays down. I don't think that could be wrong. The

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Speaker 1: rest of the games on your screen here. Iowa plays

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Speaker 1: at Ohio State this Saturday. Ohio State, what do you

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Speaker 1: know about him? We're gonna predict the game a little

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Speaker 1: bit later. What do you know about him? You probably

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Speaker 1: know Jeremiah Smith and whatever your preseason predictions were for

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Speaker 1: Ohio State. Most of you, outside of being Buckeye fans,

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Speaker 1: have not watched them. Iowa, what do you know about them?

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Speaker 1: You know they can play good defense. Therefore you know

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Speaker 1: they can put themselves in games. Tennessee goes to Fayetteville.

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Speaker 1: Some call it Fayetnam, and they call it that for

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Speaker 1: a reason. I don't need to tell folks in the

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Speaker 1: South what a desperate Arkansas at home could mean. Auburn

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Speaker 1: against Georgia, Now this one's not in Jordenhare Stadium, So Georgia,

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Speaker 1: especially coming off the Bama game, back against the wall,

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Speaker 1: no more margin for air and conference games. It should

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Speaker 1: be it should be a get right week. But do

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Speaker 1: you really get right in rivalry games. Is that the

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Speaker 1: way this sport works. And also, if you listen to

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Speaker 1: Brother Freeze down there, he's not wrong. If you watch Auburn,

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Speaker 1: if you look at their team profile, it's not wrong

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Speaker 1: to say, and this is a big say, it's not

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Speaker 1: wrong to say, you know, if they could just cut

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Speaker 1: down the turnovers, that they're a pretty good team. Auburn's

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Speaker 1: a pretty good team. Auburn is a team that, if

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Speaker 1: they had a half a decent execution about themselves, could

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Speaker 1: be five and zer right now. So could Arkansas, by

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Speaker 1: the way, but they're not. But here's the problem. The

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Speaker 1: games they've lost during the rearview mirror. Those are games

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Speaker 1: that any given week or those are teams that any

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Speaker 1: given week are capable of putting a five and oh

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Speaker 1: caliber performance on the field, at which point you realize

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Speaker 1: those points spreads are a little bit too fat. Now,

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Speaker 1: Friday night, before all that happens, Michigan State goes to Oregon.

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Speaker 1: That's Jonathan Stewart's Michigan State Spartans going to Oregon. And

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Speaker 1: that's a guy he's very familiar with, Stuart versus Landing.

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Speaker 1: That's a program Oregon. He's very familiar with facing. He's

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Speaker 1: played him tough in the past. Last year they had

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Speaker 1: that game against Washington and then they're gassed, and then

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Speaker 1: they got a play Oregon on short rest, so that

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Speaker 1: one Oregon got a little margin in What did I say,

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Speaker 1: I said, Jonathan Stewart, Well, that's not the head coach

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Speaker 1: at Michigan State. Did I say it once or twice? Oh?

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Speaker 1: Please don't tell me. I said it multiple times. We

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Speaker 1: did this last year in some moment too. Anyway, you

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Speaker 1: get it. Michigan State's going to Oregon. Now UCLA's going

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Speaker 1: to Penn State. No, I don't expect it to happen.

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Speaker 1: The spreads twenty seven and a half. I don't expect

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Speaker 1: it to happen. But Miami's going to cal That's where

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Speaker 1: game day is. And that one's a little more interesting,

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Speaker 1: especially because the last time we saw Miami they won

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Speaker 1: a game against Virginia Tech that was mighty sloppy. And

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Speaker 1: also because the Calgarithm has been hard at work. They

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Speaker 1: have labeled this thing. Those of you who are let's

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Speaker 1: call it forty five and over, maybe you remember Catholics

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Speaker 1: versus convicts, You remember the whole Notre Dame versus Miami series.

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Speaker 1: The Cal folks have taken it upon themselves to label

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Speaker 1: this game against Miami woke versus Coke T shirts available.

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Speaker 1: I'm told in Berkeley right now Michigan goes to Washington.

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Speaker 1: That is your number ten Michigan Wolverines as a two

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Speaker 1: and a half point dog in Seattle. USC is less

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Speaker 1: of a favorite at Minnesota than Ole Miss is at

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Speaker 1: South Carolina. All these ranked teams eight, ten, eleven, twelve,

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Speaker 1: they're all on the road ten and a half point,

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Speaker 1: two and a half point dog, eight and a half

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Speaker 1: point favorite, nine and a half point favorite. You know

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Speaker 1: it's gonna happen. Okay, we know it's a mathematical certainty

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Speaker 1: based on college football history. It's gonna happen. Where is

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Speaker 1: it gonna happen? And it's not even over if we

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Speaker 1: just keep going. Do you realize this is the week

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Speaker 1: we were supposed to be in Tallahassee? This is the

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Speaker 1: week all due respect, I cannot wait to go to

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Speaker 1: A and M this weekend. But when I looked in

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Speaker 1: August and I looked at week six, I thought, Colin

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Speaker 1: and Jesse, I think we're gonna be in Tallahassee. Why

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Speaker 1: did I think that, well, Florida State was the preseason

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Speaker 1: favorite to win the ACC and this was the week

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Speaker 1: Clemson was coming to town. And it's still the week

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Speaker 1: Clemson's coming to town. It is not the week We're

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Speaker 1: going down there because Florida State's terrible. Clemson is a

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Speaker 1: fourteen and a half point favorite on the road. Looks

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Speaker 1: like Brock Glenn gets the start at quarterback. That's what

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Speaker 1: we think for Florida State. That's primetime game. Take that

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Speaker 1: for whatever it's worth. Is there one moment this year?

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Speaker 1: Is there one moment where Florida State just briefly plays

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Speaker 1: up to potential? And what is Florida State's potential? I

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Speaker 1: don't know. Baylor goes to Iowa State, Nope, SMU at Louisville.

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Speaker 1: Louisville kind of desperate right now. That wasn't a conference game.

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Speaker 1: They lost against Notre Dame last week. But that right there,

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Speaker 1: that's a new and Eastern kickoff on ESPN, could sneakily

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Speaker 1: be the best game of the day. And then Indiana

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Speaker 1: suspiciously only land thirteen and a half at Northwestern. The

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Speaker 1: model thinks it's wrong. I think it wrong. Producer Jesse

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Speaker 1: thinks it wrong. Kids are dressing up as cigarettes in

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Speaker 1: Indiana fandom this Halloween. That's what coach Sigg has done

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Speaker 1: to ignite the fan base, and yet they're only thirteen

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Speaker 1: and a half point favorites in Northwestern. Northwestern has been

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Speaker 1: horrific this year. Thirteen and a half. I mean, this

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Speaker 1: is top twenty fiveteen in Indiana. JP polagrees. We'll talk

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Speaker 1: about that later tonight. So all I'm saying is when

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Speaker 1: we feel a little minor tremor, when the water in

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Speaker 1: the town turns a little acidic, when it smells like sulfur,

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Speaker 1: and when we see puffs of smoke out of the mountaintop,

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Speaker 1: we should not ignore that because that is a precursor.

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Speaker 1: Pierce Brasenen taught us a long time ago. Do not

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Speaker 1: ignore the signs or else, all of a sudden, you've

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Speaker 1: got an terruption on your hands, and then you've got

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Speaker 1: mass panic and chaos. It'll be panic and chaos no

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Speaker 1: matter what kind of preparation we undergo. But I don't

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Speaker 1: want us to be surprised when it goes down Saturday.

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Speaker 1: Don't be caught in the apple orchard with questionable cell

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Speaker 1: service trying to text your buddy and ask them, what

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Speaker 1: the South Carolina scores, what USC's doing, what at Minnesota.

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Speaker 1: Don't be that guy. We've all been there before. Don't

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Speaker 1: be that guy. Academy Sports and Outdoors opening a new

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Speaker 1: store in fact this weekend. So I do give you

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Speaker 1: permission at least Saturday morning if you're in the Raleigh

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Speaker 1: Durham market, sell them in North Carolina, to be exact,

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Speaker 1: ten to four through ten six. So this week in

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Speaker 1: grand opening, told you we're opening up new Academy Sports

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Speaker 1: and Outdoors all over the country. And you guys know

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Speaker 1: it's hunting season. Man, it's right here. It's on us now.

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Speaker 1: I talk about sporting good supplies all the time, grilling supplies,

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Speaker 1: tailgating supplies, back to school clothing. Yes, they've got all that.

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Speaker 1: Get you a bicycle over there. They will stock you

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Speaker 1: up in hunting supplies as well, which we don't talk

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Speaker 1: about a whole lot on the show. But it's not

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Speaker 1: because they don't have it. It's just been because it's

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Speaker 1: been summer and spring for the past several months. So

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Speaker 1: they've got you covered there. Five of you if you

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Speaker 1: prove that you go there, several of you will, but

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Speaker 1: five of you are going to be chosen at random

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Speaker 1: to receive Chalai of supremacy as long as you prove

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Speaker 1: to me. Take a picture in the parking lot. Take

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Speaker 1: a picture of a receipt, I don't care. Tag me

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Speaker 1: in it, and I will I will respond accordingly, because

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Speaker 1: that is how much we appreciate Academy, the presenting sponsor

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Speaker 1: of our show. All right, now, let's predict some games.

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Speaker 1: Let's get into this. Got a big live crowd. Make

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Speaker 1: sure you subscribe someone, I mean someone in the live

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Speaker 1: chat is campaigning for Jeb Bush in twenty twenty four.

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Speaker 1: And you know you know how much I love being

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Speaker 1: political on the show. But tonight I'm gonna go ahead

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Speaker 1: and put him in time out. Ah Man normally a

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Speaker 1: heavily political show, but tonight we're just gonna lean a

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Speaker 1: different way. Missouri is at Texas A and M this Saturday.

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Speaker 1: I will be there the whole New Saturday tour will

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Speaker 1: be in College Station this Saturday. Very much looking forward

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Speaker 1: to getting back because we have a love love relationship

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Speaker 1: with Texas. A lot of you are haters of Texas

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Speaker 1: A and M. Now if you're a Longhorn fan, you

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Speaker 1: get a pass. In fact, I don't really care, I mean,

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Speaker 1: these people don't need me to speak for them. I

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Speaker 1: have just told you. For a long time, I watched

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Speaker 1: Texas A and M from a distance, and then I

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Speaker 1: finally got to go out there and I kind of understood.

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Speaker 1: I used to make fun of A and M all

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Speaker 1: the time. Then I went out there and I understood.

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Speaker 1: And it's different. It's a different place. As they like

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Speaker 1: to say, if you're part of it, it doesn't need explaining,

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Speaker 1: and if you're not part of it, don't bother trying

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Speaker 1: to explain it. Perfectly said, I can add no more.

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Speaker 1: What I can do is I can tell you this

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Speaker 1: is the first time Missouri leaves home this year. They're

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Speaker 1: coming off of buy. We have gotten into that part

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Speaker 1: of the season now. A and M. To me, A

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Speaker 1: and M, what are they? They're ranked twenty fifth right now.

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Speaker 1: They seem to me like a click team. We see

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Speaker 1: them every October. It's the kind of team that has

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Speaker 1: a higher ceiling than the level they've played to so far,

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Speaker 1: and so they're the team that you look for a

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Speaker 1: little bit sort of the rubber band effect. Are they

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Speaker 1: the kind of team that's pulling the rubber band back?

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Speaker 1: And if so, when do they let it go. When

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Speaker 1: do we get that result that makes us go there

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Speaker 1: they are? Is this a there they are weekend? Or

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Speaker 1: could it be a there they are a weekend for Missouri?

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Speaker 1: Quite honestly, both of these teams kind of fit that

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Speaker 1: profile if you're a Missouri fan. By the way, can

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Speaker 1: I say this? I can say this. So powermassoo dot

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Speaker 1: Com has come into the twenty four to seven sports fold,

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Speaker 1: and I am told I have it on very good

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Speaker 1: authority that it's October first, next couple of days, seventy

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Speaker 1: five percent off signing up over there, folks in the

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Speaker 1: Missouri market. I get on that. So let's just talk

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Speaker 1: about these two teams. Are the profiles telling us the

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Speaker 1: truth here? A and M. So they've played much better competition.

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Speaker 1: A and M's played Notre Dame, they played Arkansas, Florida

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Speaker 1: Bowling Green's one of the better G five teams out there.

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Speaker 1: Missouri's played like Vandy and Boston College. So the rule

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Speaker 1: on this show is we certainly don't discount it just

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Speaker 1: because you haven't played high quality competition, but we can

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Speaker 1: be a little more skeptical at fully buying into your

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Speaker 1: stat profile. For example, so Missouri's leader Rusher has gone

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Speaker 1: over one hundred yards nine out of their last twelve

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Speaker 1: games against power for competition A and M this year

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Speaker 1: already has faced top twenty five rushing teams and they've

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Speaker 1: still got a better run defense than the pass defense.

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Speaker 1: So the first thing I'm going to want to see

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Speaker 1: Saturday as Missouri, like most teams do, try and establish

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Speaker 1: the run, is are you about to do it against

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Speaker 1: that front? Because I think you've got a tough time

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Speaker 1: on your hands, and if that game script starts to

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Speaker 1: play out, well, then I look at quarterback from Missouri,

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Speaker 1: Brady Cook, thought to be one of the strengths of

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Speaker 1: this team coming into the season, and I don't know

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Speaker 1: how much Brady Cook will need to contribute here. I

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Speaker 1: just think it'll need to be more than whatever average

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Speaker 1: has been for him so far this year. Last year,

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Speaker 1: at this time early paper Popper of A stats, last

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Speaker 1: year at this time, Missouri had the seventeenth profile in

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Speaker 1: the country in explosive pass plays seventeenth. They were moving

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Speaker 1: the ball down the field pretty well. They're one hundred

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Speaker 1: and second in that stack category. This year, just hadn't

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Speaker 1: pushed the ball down the field enough and he's been

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Speaker 1: inaccurate at times. But kind of like we said with

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Speaker 1: the whole click philosophy, the potential is there. This isn't

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Speaker 1: a team that has shown all their cards, in other words,

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Speaker 1: and they're coming out of a buy and they got

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Speaker 1: a really good offensive coaching staff. They got a really

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Speaker 1: good coaching staff period up there. So I would expect

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Speaker 1: the best game or him to be put in the

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Speaker 1: best position to play the best game he's played all year.

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Speaker 1: A and M's a really good havoc team though You've,

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Speaker 1: of course, you've got home field at your back, and

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Speaker 1: you've got a team going on the road for the

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Speaker 1: first time. But their sixteenth in takeaways is Texas A

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Speaker 1: and M's defense this year, and they're I mean, I

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Speaker 1: would almost say this is a second paper popper. They've

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Speaker 1: got three games with no giveaways and multiple takeaways this year.

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Speaker 1: Now you do that, you're gonna win Saturday. I don't

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Speaker 1: think that's breaking news. But Marcel Reid or Connor Wigman,

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Speaker 1: who do we get at quarterback for Texas A and M.

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Speaker 1: Talk to people at A and M today, let me

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Speaker 1: tell you how I feel about it. Not to old things.

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Speaker 1: Let me tell you how I feel about it. I

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Speaker 1: would say I've changed my mind on how I would

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Speaker 1: like to approach it. So the other night I kind

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Speaker 1: of flippantly said, well, if Wigman's ready to play, don't

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Speaker 1: you have to play him. Don't you have to have

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Speaker 1: the guy who can push it down the field. More

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Speaker 1: thought about that a little bit more. Here's what I think.

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Speaker 1: I don't know this, but here's what I think. I

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Speaker 1: think Wigman will be able to play Saturday. I think

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Speaker 1: I'd still roll with Marcel Reid to start the game

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Speaker 1: because I think the combination of him and Le'Veon Moss

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Speaker 1: just running the ball against Missouri gives me the best

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Speaker 1: chance and puts me in the best position to win.

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Speaker 1: Missouri is a top twenty run defense on paper. I

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Speaker 1: want to test that because if I'm A and m

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Speaker 1: I'm looking at him and I flat out don't think

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Speaker 1: they faced. I'm gonna what I'm gonna throw at him,

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Speaker 1: so to speak. And I've already got Wigman ready, so

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Speaker 1: if I need to bring him in the game, I

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Speaker 1: can bring him in the game. But I actually changed

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Speaker 1: my mind over forty eight hours ago. I think I'd

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Speaker 1: probably roll with Marcel Reid. Noah, Tom, if you want

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Speaker 1: to look at one thing that could turn this game.

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Speaker 1: Noah Thomas, his size versus these Missouri defensive backs, I

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Speaker 1: could see in a game if it's played in like

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Speaker 1: the low twenties upper teams low twenties now the over

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Speaker 1: unders forty eight and a half here, so they expect

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Speaker 1: some points to be scored. But that could be the

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Speaker 1: difference down there in the red zone. You know, one

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Speaker 1: jump ball one play or one fourth and five where

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Speaker 1: you throw a back shoulder over there, Noah Thomas grabs

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Speaker 1: it and moves the chains and you end up winning.

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Speaker 1: That could be the difference here. Colin, Let's take a

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Speaker 1: look at what the model thinks. I'm looking at A

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Speaker 1: and M minus one and a half right now at FanDuel.

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Speaker 1: The model is a little more bullish on Texas A

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Speaker 1: and M and I think because of the quality competition

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Speaker 1: they've already faced, being a little different level up and

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Speaker 1: home field at their back, and me thinking there's still

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Speaker 1: some scaling up this team can do. Even with how

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Speaker 1: much I trust Drink coming off a buy, and even

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Speaker 1: with how much I think Missouri does have the advantage

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Speaker 1: at quarterback, I think team advantage goes A and M's

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Speaker 1: way enough to where I slightly lean them to win

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Speaker 1: and cover with not a dime of money to be

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Speaker 1: wagered on this game. Right now, the odds to win

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Speaker 1: the SEC Championship, Missouri is sitting at fifth. There's a

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Speaker 1: big gap between four and five, so there's a clear

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Speaker 1: top four there of Bama, Texas, Tennessee, Georgia, but it's

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Speaker 1: Missouri fifth and then Ole, miss LSU and Texas A

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Speaker 1: and M are all tied for sixth basically, and those

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Speaker 1: numbers will certainly move based on the outcome of this game. Now,

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Speaker 1: as I said, we're headed to College Station. In fact,

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Speaker 1: we're gonna do the Thursday show a little bit early.

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Speaker 1: I'll give you those details. I think we're gonna do

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Speaker 1: it at three Jesse. Three Central time is when the

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Speaker 1: live show Thursday will air, So a lot of you

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Speaker 1: will show up at seven and you'll just see that

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Speaker 1: it's already there and you can watch the replay at

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Speaker 1: your convenience. We're gonna fly to Houston and drive over

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Speaker 1: to College Station Thursday night. Got a full day Friday.

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Speaker 1: Just make sure you're following at late kick Josh still

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Speaker 1: on Instagram, but make sure you're following. Gonna be a very,

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Speaker 1: very fun and event packed wekend out in College station.

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Speaker 1: I will let you know more when I can let

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Speaker 1: you know more. But we're headed there courtesy of Quick

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00:20:06,040 --> 00:20:08,720
Speaker 1: Trip because they fuel the entire whole New Saturday tour,

405
00:20:09,080 --> 00:20:13,040
Speaker 1: and they are fueling our gas giveaway. We've been given

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00:20:13,080 --> 00:20:16,840
Speaker 1: away tanks upon tanks upon tanks a free gas and

407
00:20:16,920 --> 00:20:19,479
Speaker 1: that's not going to stop anytime soon because as soon

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Speaker 1: as we partnered with them, I said, hey, good news everyone.

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00:20:22,720 --> 00:20:24,800
Speaker 1: They've agreed to let us give away thousands of dollars

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Speaker 1: in free gasoline. So that's not going to stop, and

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Speaker 1: we're not going to stop. We're on the road every weekend,

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Speaker 1: so we need a partner like Quick Trip, and they

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Speaker 1: have been the perfect partner. Shall we say, let's move

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Speaker 1: on more games to predict. Let's take a sip from

415
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Speaker 1: the nondescript water jug which is very clearly from publics,

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Speaker 1: and let's talk about the CBS Game of the week

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Speaker 1: Saturday at three thirty Central time or Eastern time. Colin,

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Speaker 1: I'll just say it again for you, The CBS three

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Speaker 1: thirty Eastern Game of the Week is Iowa at Ohio State.

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Speaker 1: Is this on everyone's radar? Should it be on your radar?

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Speaker 1: In this post Kentucky Ole Miss World of Ours, I

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Speaker 1: would say yes, very similar sort of point spread number

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Speaker 1: on the game, very similar profile in that you think

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Speaker 1: of team's coming in that can play fairly decent, you know,

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Speaker 1: hard nos football, but is limited in their ability to

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Speaker 1: score and they're facing a high octane offense. That's what

427
00:21:23,520 --> 00:21:27,800
Speaker 1: people said last week about Kentucky Ole Miss. Is that

428
00:21:27,880 --> 00:21:30,320
Speaker 1: a prediction for an upset here? Absolutely not. I'm just

429
00:21:30,320 --> 00:21:32,879
Speaker 1: trying to get you to tune in. How much of

430
00:21:32,920 --> 00:21:36,520
Speaker 1: America has watched this team, Ohio State? How much of

431
00:21:36,560 --> 00:21:39,400
Speaker 1: you or how many of you have watched Ohio State.

432
00:21:40,000 --> 00:21:43,360
Speaker 1: I think outside of Ohio State fans and like hardcore

433
00:21:43,400 --> 00:21:46,600
Speaker 1: Big Ten fans, most of America's impression of Ohio State

434
00:21:46,680 --> 00:21:50,040
Speaker 1: so far is you've seen some Jeremiah Smith highlights because

435
00:21:50,080 --> 00:21:53,000
Speaker 1: it's freak of nature, and then you've known what you've

436
00:21:53,080 --> 00:21:56,080
Speaker 1: expected from Ohio State and you've just kind of checked

437
00:21:56,119 --> 00:21:58,600
Speaker 1: the box every week. You didn't watch the Akron game,

438
00:21:58,840 --> 00:22:01,720
Speaker 1: you didn't watch Western Mission, you didn't watch Marshall. Most

439
00:22:01,760 --> 00:22:04,120
Speaker 1: of you probably didn't watch them at Michigan State last week.

440
00:22:04,119 --> 00:22:07,400
Speaker 1: You just know, I think Ohio State's really good so far.

441
00:22:07,560 --> 00:22:10,120
Speaker 1: The box scores look like they're really good. They've got

442
00:22:10,160 --> 00:22:14,040
Speaker 1: an incredible freshman receiver. Okay, and that's fine. It's fine

443
00:22:14,080 --> 00:22:15,840
Speaker 1: for you to feel that way. This may be the

444
00:22:15,840 --> 00:22:18,879
Speaker 1: first game you watched them this year. Under no circumstances

445
00:22:19,200 --> 00:22:22,000
Speaker 1: can IOWA allow this game to be put on the

446
00:22:22,000 --> 00:22:25,080
Speaker 1: shoulders of Cade McNamara. He is not good enough at quarterback.

447
00:22:25,440 --> 00:22:27,560
Speaker 1: I don't want to spoil this game for you. I'm

448
00:22:27,600 --> 00:22:29,800
Speaker 1: sure our folks will do a great job broadcasting it.

449
00:22:29,880 --> 00:22:32,119
Speaker 1: But one of the spoiler alerts here is they have

450
00:22:32,240 --> 00:22:34,760
Speaker 1: got to make it a quicksand special. A lot of

451
00:22:34,760 --> 00:22:36,639
Speaker 1: times in these big point spread games. What we do

452
00:22:36,680 --> 00:22:40,080
Speaker 1: in the breakdown, as we say, if the game's really close,

453
00:22:40,160 --> 00:22:42,680
Speaker 1: if an upset could happen, how would it happen? Well,

454
00:22:42,720 --> 00:22:44,560
Speaker 1: they have to turn it into what memal would call

455
00:22:44,600 --> 00:22:48,320
Speaker 1: a quicksand special. That's very, very descriptive, just a way

456
00:22:48,359 --> 00:22:51,440
Speaker 1: to limit possessions, same way Kentucky did against Ole Miss

457
00:22:51,520 --> 00:22:53,000
Speaker 1: last week. And the thing about those games is you

458
00:22:53,040 --> 00:22:55,959
Speaker 1: realize when you're getting into them, just like you realize

459
00:22:56,000 --> 00:22:59,240
Speaker 1: Hoops to amongst us hasn't found ourselves sinking in quicksand

460
00:22:59,320 --> 00:23:03,440
Speaker 1: literally or fitiguratively in life and known. I don't think

461
00:23:03,440 --> 00:23:06,520
Speaker 1: I'm in a good place, but I can't manage to

462
00:23:06,560 --> 00:23:09,760
Speaker 1: get out. It's like watching that horse and never ending story.

463
00:23:09,760 --> 00:23:12,119
Speaker 1: It's a tough tough thing to watch, just like it's

464
00:23:12,160 --> 00:23:14,800
Speaker 1: a tough tough thing to see your offense bogged down.

465
00:23:14,880 --> 00:23:17,840
Speaker 1: But it can happen. Iowa can do it, so Cad McNamara.

466
00:23:18,560 --> 00:23:21,280
Speaker 1: The whole point here is if Iowa is trying to

467
00:23:21,280 --> 00:23:24,880
Speaker 1: win this thing throwing the football. Cad McNamara versus three

468
00:23:24,920 --> 00:23:28,280
Speaker 1: FBS teams this year, averaging just over one hundred and

469
00:23:28,280 --> 00:23:32,240
Speaker 1: twelve yards passing per game, four point seven yards per

470
00:23:32,280 --> 00:23:35,960
Speaker 1: attempt passing. He's still not thrown for a touchdown. He's

471
00:23:36,000 --> 00:23:39,000
Speaker 1: thrown for two picks. It's bad. You and I know

472
00:23:39,080 --> 00:23:41,400
Speaker 1: it's bad. They know it's bad. He knows everyone knows

473
00:23:41,400 --> 00:23:44,600
Speaker 1: it's bad. So Caleb Johnson is the hope. That's the

474
00:23:44,640 --> 00:23:46,920
Speaker 1: hope here. He's averaging eight point four yards per rush.

475
00:23:47,119 --> 00:23:49,880
Speaker 1: He will not average that against Ohio State. But even

476
00:23:49,920 --> 00:23:52,960
Speaker 1: if he averages like five yards per rush, and you're

477
00:23:53,080 --> 00:23:55,840
Speaker 1: really really good defensively and can turn them over special

478
00:23:55,840 --> 00:23:58,040
Speaker 1: teams as a net win for you, yes, that could

479
00:23:58,400 --> 00:24:02,520
Speaker 1: give you a shot. Here. Number one is Caleb Johnson.

480
00:24:02,520 --> 00:24:05,360
Speaker 1: Then number two has to be let your pass defense

481
00:24:05,400 --> 00:24:09,439
Speaker 1: win the game for you. So Iowa defensively fourth against

482
00:24:09,440 --> 00:24:12,080
Speaker 1: the run. There are only sixty ninth against the pass.

483
00:24:12,119 --> 00:24:15,920
Speaker 1: So it may sound counterintuitive if I'm asking a unit

484
00:24:15,960 --> 00:24:20,040
Speaker 1: that's barely in the top seventies to win it for you. No,

485
00:24:20,119 --> 00:24:23,159
Speaker 1: it's not counterintuitive. I'm saying that's your only shot. Ohio

486
00:24:23,160 --> 00:24:25,600
Speaker 1: State's probably going to beat you either way. But your

487
00:24:25,640 --> 00:24:28,240
Speaker 1: only shot is to shut down the run, make them

488
00:24:28,240 --> 00:24:31,399
Speaker 1: throw the ball, which they'll probably do effectively, but you

489
00:24:31,440 --> 00:24:33,000
Speaker 1: got a lot better chance to turning it over if

490
00:24:33,040 --> 00:24:35,000
Speaker 1: they put it in the air. More case in point

491
00:24:35,040 --> 00:24:37,520
Speaker 1: and the b roll here Ohio State will have to

492
00:24:37,560 --> 00:24:40,359
Speaker 1: throw here that at least creates opportunity for you. Here's

493
00:24:40,400 --> 00:24:43,480
Speaker 1: the problem with using the whole Kentucky Ole Miss thing

494
00:24:43,560 --> 00:24:46,640
Speaker 1: last week. Ohio State's better than Old Miss first off,

495
00:24:46,840 --> 00:24:51,120
Speaker 1: and secondly, Kentucky's probably a little better than Iowa. So

496
00:24:51,160 --> 00:24:53,919
Speaker 1: there's probably a little more gap between these teams than

497
00:24:53,960 --> 00:24:56,359
Speaker 1: there was those teams last week. Not to mention, Ohio

498
00:24:56,400 --> 00:24:59,240
Speaker 1: State's been built a little bit differently than Ole Miss

499
00:24:59,240 --> 00:25:02,320
Speaker 1: has been built. It is a signal game for the

500
00:25:02,359 --> 00:25:05,560
Speaker 1: Ohio State offensive line. Though, this is the kind of

501
00:25:05,600 --> 00:25:08,440
Speaker 1: game where even if the home team wins, they could

502
00:25:08,440 --> 00:25:11,520
Speaker 1: win in a manner that's a little uglier than folks expected,

503
00:25:11,720 --> 00:25:14,199
Speaker 1: and there could be things exposed about the team in

504
00:25:14,320 --> 00:25:17,199
Speaker 1: a win. That happens all the time, So if that

505
00:25:17,320 --> 00:25:20,639
Speaker 1: happens with Ohio State, it would probably be offensive line

506
00:25:20,640 --> 00:25:22,960
Speaker 1: that has that happened to it. If it happens, Colin,

507
00:25:23,040 --> 00:25:25,280
Speaker 1: let's take a look at what the model thinks right now.

508
00:25:25,320 --> 00:25:28,399
Speaker 1: FanDuel's sitting at nineteen and a half Ohio State minus

509
00:25:28,560 --> 00:25:30,679
Speaker 1: nineteen and a half. The model is dead on the

510
00:25:30,680 --> 00:25:35,320
Speaker 1: money with FanDuel, we've got Ohio State minus nineteen. I

511
00:25:35,480 --> 00:25:39,880
Speaker 1: believe that there is a very very competitive game here. Well,

512
00:25:40,000 --> 00:25:41,920
Speaker 1: let me say a hard fought game. I don't think

513
00:25:41,960 --> 00:25:44,600
Speaker 1: there's going to be a long stretch in the second

514
00:25:44,680 --> 00:25:48,080
Speaker 1: half where you're scared Ohio State's gonna lose. Even if

515
00:25:48,080 --> 00:25:49,640
Speaker 1: the game could be a one or two score game,

516
00:25:50,240 --> 00:25:52,359
Speaker 1: I believe there will be a late tack on here

517
00:25:52,720 --> 00:25:54,639
Speaker 1: and Ohio State will actually find a way to win

518
00:25:54,680 --> 00:25:58,719
Speaker 1: this game and cover. But understand, twenty six to six

519
00:25:59,000 --> 00:26:01,520
Speaker 1: get you a cover here. So that's a kind of

520
00:26:01,600 --> 00:26:04,840
Speaker 1: game that's not very esthetically pleasing. In fact, I don't

521
00:26:04,880 --> 00:26:07,639
Speaker 1: know what world this game would ever be aesthetically pleasing

522
00:26:07,720 --> 00:26:11,080
Speaker 1: in give me an Ohio State win and an Ohio

523
00:26:11,080 --> 00:26:13,960
Speaker 1: State cover. I've got no money writing on this one either.

524
00:26:14,000 --> 00:26:15,719
Speaker 1: I've got very low confidence on that when I think

525
00:26:15,720 --> 00:26:17,840
Speaker 1: the number is pretty much right. They're watching us in

526
00:26:17,880 --> 00:26:24,520
Speaker 1: Hot Springs, Arkansas, Denton, Texas. They're watching us in beautiful Alabaster, Alabama.

527
00:26:25,000 --> 00:26:27,480
Speaker 1: There's some great people in Alabaster. There're some not so

528
00:26:27,600 --> 00:26:33,040
Speaker 1: great people, one in particular that I'm thinking of in Alabaster, Alabama. Huh. Anyway,

529
00:26:33,280 --> 00:26:36,640
Speaker 1: let's move on. I hold in my hand a piece

530
00:26:36,680 --> 00:26:38,800
Speaker 1: of paper that has a matchup on it that worries me.

531
00:26:39,080 --> 00:26:42,960
Speaker 1: The matchup is Tennessee at Arkansas, Saturday, seven thirty Eastern

532
00:26:42,960 --> 00:26:46,439
Speaker 1: six thirty local time, kickoff on ABC. I am scared

533
00:26:46,480 --> 00:26:49,840
Speaker 1: for Tennessee. Not too proud to admit it. I'm putting

534
00:26:49,840 --> 00:26:52,440
Speaker 1: it out there right now. I'm scared for Tennessee because

535
00:26:52,480 --> 00:26:55,480
Speaker 1: there's a real world where Arkansas's five and zero. There

536
00:26:55,520 --> 00:26:58,320
Speaker 1: is a real world where that's true. The Oklahoma State game,

537
00:26:58,359 --> 00:27:00,600
Speaker 1: I still have no idea how they lost. And they

538
00:27:00,640 --> 00:27:02,399
Speaker 1: played A and M last week and that's always a

539
00:27:02,440 --> 00:27:04,800
Speaker 1: nip and tuck, back and forth game. And they found

540
00:27:04,800 --> 00:27:06,840
Speaker 1: a way to lose that one slash A and M

541
00:27:06,880 --> 00:27:09,280
Speaker 1: found a way to win it. But what did Memo

542
00:27:09,359 --> 00:27:12,000
Speaker 1: always say? Games are not played in the rear view mirror?

543
00:27:12,280 --> 00:27:14,920
Speaker 1: So don't let a team that has five and zero

544
00:27:14,960 --> 00:27:18,600
Speaker 1: potential about itself fool you into thinking they're just an

545
00:27:18,600 --> 00:27:23,760
Speaker 1: above five hundred team any given night, especially with home

546
00:27:23,800 --> 00:27:25,800
Speaker 1: crowd at your back. I mean, you know, Herbstreet and

547
00:27:25,840 --> 00:27:28,240
Speaker 1: Fowler are calling this game. It's getting the primetime treatment.

548
00:27:29,640 --> 00:27:34,760
Speaker 1: I am very very concerned. Okay, not scared. Maybe I'm

549
00:27:34,760 --> 00:27:36,840
Speaker 1: a little bit scared too. Tennessee's coming off a bye.

550
00:27:36,920 --> 00:27:39,119
Speaker 1: I'm just saying, you need to treat this thing like

551
00:27:39,160 --> 00:27:41,280
Speaker 1: it's a marquee game. I don't think they'll overlook this

552
00:27:41,320 --> 00:27:43,840
Speaker 1: at all. I'm just I'm mainly talking to people in

553
00:27:43,880 --> 00:27:46,960
Speaker 1: my social circle who I know good and well are

554
00:27:47,000 --> 00:27:49,320
Speaker 1: already talking about the Bama game in two weeks, and

555
00:27:49,359 --> 00:27:52,600
Speaker 1: I'm like, they'll play Arkansas and Florida, don't you, boy,

556
00:27:52,640 --> 00:27:54,400
Speaker 1: wouldn't it make their season to take a bite out

557
00:27:54,400 --> 00:27:56,639
Speaker 1: of you. Don't let it happen, guys. Tennessee is not

558
00:27:56,760 --> 00:27:59,080
Speaker 1: established enough where they can afford to start thinking that way.

559
00:27:59,560 --> 00:28:01,640
Speaker 1: I know it's fun to bathe in that orange kool aid,

560
00:28:01,640 --> 00:28:02,920
Speaker 1: but I mean you got to dry off for just

561
00:28:03,000 --> 00:28:08,280
Speaker 1: a second eventually. Two things that need to be corrected here. Now,

562
00:28:08,359 --> 00:28:11,320
Speaker 1: let's talk about how Arkansas actually does it. So Taylor

563
00:28:11,359 --> 00:28:14,080
Speaker 1: Green versus Texas A and M. So the Arkansas quarterback

564
00:28:14,160 --> 00:28:17,960
Speaker 1: last year or last week versus A and M. This

565
00:28:18,040 --> 00:28:20,879
Speaker 1: is not a typo. Jesse thirteen carries for six yards,

566
00:28:21,040 --> 00:28:24,400
Speaker 1: even with the sack yardage factored into college football. That's

567
00:28:24,440 --> 00:28:27,320
Speaker 1: not good enough. Absolutely not good enough. Da Quentinnin Jackson

568
00:28:27,359 --> 00:28:30,280
Speaker 1: ten carries for thirty seven yards. That's not good enough.

569
00:28:30,480 --> 00:28:33,480
Speaker 1: So one thing for certain, if that's the profile of

570
00:28:33,480 --> 00:28:36,760
Speaker 1: this Arkansas offense this Saturday night, it's a really, really

571
00:28:36,800 --> 00:28:40,080
Speaker 1: good and comfortable night for Tennessee. This has to be

572
00:28:40,600 --> 00:28:44,560
Speaker 1: a huge, one night only kind of energy game for Arkansas.

573
00:28:44,600 --> 00:28:46,680
Speaker 1: And if you don't know what I mean by that,

574
00:28:46,840 --> 00:28:48,720
Speaker 1: you really do. You just never heard it phrase that

575
00:28:48,760 --> 00:28:52,640
Speaker 1: way every week in this sport, much less every season.

576
00:28:53,040 --> 00:28:55,960
Speaker 1: Every week in this sport, you turn on a game

577
00:28:56,640 --> 00:28:59,400
Speaker 1: and there's a result slapping you in the face and

578
00:28:59,440 --> 00:29:02,520
Speaker 1: you're saying, where has this team been all year, or

579
00:29:02,520 --> 00:29:05,400
Speaker 1: you're saying, wow, that's actually what I kind of expected,

580
00:29:05,480 --> 00:29:08,600
Speaker 1: or you're saying, boy, I knew if this guy or

581
00:29:08,640 --> 00:29:11,400
Speaker 1: this unit played up to their potential, this was possible.

582
00:29:12,040 --> 00:29:15,160
Speaker 1: That's one night only energy. Most teams don't possess the

583
00:29:15,200 --> 00:29:17,640
Speaker 1: ability to play at a high level every week. Most

584
00:29:17,640 --> 00:29:21,200
Speaker 1: of them don't. There are some of them who play

585
00:29:21,360 --> 00:29:23,520
Speaker 1: at a high level four or five times a year.

586
00:29:23,920 --> 00:29:27,000
Speaker 1: There's this huge glob of teams, though, that are going

587
00:29:27,040 --> 00:29:29,040
Speaker 1: to turn in a random, a minus to a plus

588
00:29:29,080 --> 00:29:31,360
Speaker 1: performance on you, like once or twice a year, and

589
00:29:31,400 --> 00:29:33,840
Speaker 1: they're gonna pull a big upset. They'll go right back

590
00:29:33,880 --> 00:29:37,040
Speaker 1: to losing the next week. So at the very least,

591
00:29:37,480 --> 00:29:40,800
Speaker 1: we need one night only energy from Arkansas here, preferably more.

592
00:29:41,000 --> 00:29:43,000
Speaker 1: Here's what concerns me, Colin. You got that quote from

593
00:29:43,040 --> 00:29:46,440
Speaker 1: Sam Pittman earlier in the week. So at his press conference,

594
00:29:46,440 --> 00:29:50,200
Speaker 1: which was yesterday. As I'm looking at it, Sam Pittman

595
00:29:50,320 --> 00:29:52,800
Speaker 1: not one to beat around the bush. He's talking about

596
00:29:52,840 --> 00:29:55,440
Speaker 1: his offense. He says, we got a confidence problem. We

597
00:29:55,520 --> 00:29:58,320
Speaker 1: have a quarterback that's not confident. There's times when he

598
00:29:58,320 --> 00:30:00,880
Speaker 1: can stand in the pocket and and there's one there,

599
00:30:00,920 --> 00:30:02,960
Speaker 1: and there's times when he stays in the pocket and

600
00:30:03,000 --> 00:30:05,760
Speaker 1: he gets hit, so probably in between, and we tried

601
00:30:05,840 --> 00:30:08,520
Speaker 1: a lot of quick passing game as well. It's talking

602
00:30:08,520 --> 00:30:13,200
Speaker 1: about last game. So basically, there's really no consistency or

603
00:30:13,240 --> 00:30:16,640
Speaker 1: confidence in what Taylor Green is feeling or seeing right now.

604
00:30:17,440 --> 00:30:20,440
Speaker 1: So that's where we are. If we're Arkansas. Tennessee eighth

605
00:30:20,560 --> 00:30:25,560
Speaker 1: in the country in defensive pressure rate. Arkansas might as

606
00:30:25,600 --> 00:30:28,560
Speaker 1: well pop the paper on this one. Tennessee eighth best

607
00:30:28,560 --> 00:30:30,560
Speaker 1: in the country at pressure in the quarterback Arkansas one

608
00:30:30,600 --> 00:30:33,480
Speaker 1: hundred and third in sacks allowed. Offensive line's not good

609
00:30:33,560 --> 00:30:35,640
Speaker 1: and they've been banged up, so they're really not good.

610
00:30:35,880 --> 00:30:39,240
Speaker 1: Tennessee's got a good run defense. They will force Arkansas

611
00:30:39,280 --> 00:30:41,120
Speaker 1: to throw the ball, and at that point, no one

612
00:30:41,160 --> 00:30:43,680
Speaker 1: has any idea what's going to happen. It could be great,

613
00:30:43,920 --> 00:30:47,320
Speaker 1: it could be horrific. That's Arkansas offense right now. Tennessee.

614
00:30:47,960 --> 00:30:51,800
Speaker 1: I will say this, if if you find Arkansas making

615
00:30:51,840 --> 00:30:55,800
Speaker 1: plays through the air, it's because Tennessee secondary is still

616
00:30:55,800 --> 00:30:59,240
Speaker 1: not been tested. We still think there could be vulnerability

617
00:30:59,280 --> 00:31:01,640
Speaker 1: back there, and we don't know because they hadn't faced

618
00:31:01,640 --> 00:31:05,040
Speaker 1: anyone including Oklahoma, that had any kind of capability of

619
00:31:05,080 --> 00:31:07,840
Speaker 1: testing it out. Now, we could be wrong about that.

620
00:31:07,840 --> 00:31:11,360
Speaker 1: That's the whole point in finding out about the structural

621
00:31:11,400 --> 00:31:14,360
Speaker 1: integrity of the dam. They got to have the water

622
00:31:14,560 --> 00:31:17,640
Speaker 1: pushed against it first. Sometimes it holds up, hopefully it

623
00:31:17,640 --> 00:31:19,920
Speaker 1: always does, but we have at least got to have

624
00:31:20,000 --> 00:31:23,480
Speaker 1: a competent guy throwing the ball against the secondary, and

625
00:31:23,560 --> 00:31:25,760
Speaker 1: we haven't had that so far. So this is the

626
00:31:25,840 --> 00:31:27,600
Speaker 1: kind of game where you make Nico throw it to win,

627
00:31:28,200 --> 00:31:31,040
Speaker 1: and there is a big chance that if you make

628
00:31:31,120 --> 00:31:34,200
Speaker 1: him throw it, he does beat you. But statistically, you

629
00:31:34,240 --> 00:31:36,880
Speaker 1: put yourself in a better position than just letting Tennessee

630
00:31:36,960 --> 00:31:38,880
Speaker 1: run it down your throat all night. You got to

631
00:31:38,920 --> 00:31:41,320
Speaker 1: count on that. Plus you got to count on what

632
00:31:41,320 --> 00:31:44,160
Speaker 1: we like to call some good old fashioned Petrino magic.

633
00:31:44,520 --> 00:31:47,280
Speaker 1: And if you look that up in Webster's trust me,

634
00:31:47,600 --> 00:31:51,120
Speaker 1: it has many, many different meanings. But on this night,

635
00:31:51,680 --> 00:31:53,600
Speaker 1: we just want to limit it to the football field.

636
00:31:54,040 --> 00:31:56,200
Speaker 1: Is it too much to ask? Let's take a look

637
00:31:56,200 --> 00:31:58,880
Speaker 1: at what the model thinks. The FanDuel number is pretty

638
00:31:58,920 --> 00:32:00,960
Speaker 1: big right now, especially to be going on the road.

639
00:32:01,240 --> 00:32:04,880
Speaker 1: FanDuel has Tennessee minus thirteen and a half. The Pate

640
00:32:04,920 --> 00:32:07,960
Speaker 1: State model only has Tennessee minus eleven and a half.

641
00:32:08,000 --> 00:32:10,800
Speaker 1: Now here's my thinking on this. There is a thing

642
00:32:10,880 --> 00:32:14,320
Speaker 1: called BVS in the Internet world that stands for a

643
00:32:14,320 --> 00:32:18,000
Speaker 1: battered Vall syndrome, and that is basically any Tennessee fan

644
00:32:18,080 --> 00:32:20,640
Speaker 1: that is of age who has lived through the past

645
00:32:20,680 --> 00:32:24,800
Speaker 1: twenty years, who understands how it feels emotionally to just

646
00:32:24,840 --> 00:32:28,800
Speaker 1: have your dreams dashed year after year after year, and

647
00:32:28,840 --> 00:32:34,520
Speaker 1: there is no uptick, just all bad, just terrible. That

648
00:32:34,800 --> 00:32:39,400
Speaker 1: part of your heart and your psyche does not go away.

649
00:32:39,880 --> 00:32:42,680
Speaker 1: Director Colin will tell you, big Tennessee guy, it doesn't

650
00:32:42,720 --> 00:32:45,840
Speaker 1: go away. And so no matter how good you feel,

651
00:32:46,240 --> 00:32:48,520
Speaker 1: no matter how great it felt that you did what

652
00:32:48,560 --> 00:32:50,160
Speaker 1: you did against Oklahoma and then you go to the

653
00:32:50,160 --> 00:32:52,240
Speaker 1: Morgan Wallen concert and then you got a bye week,

654
00:32:52,320 --> 00:32:55,280
Speaker 1: no matter how good you feel, it only takes a

655
00:32:55,280 --> 00:32:58,720
Speaker 1: few minutes for a good old fashioned BVS to creep

656
00:32:58,760 --> 00:33:00,440
Speaker 1: in the back of your mind. No, I didn't grow

657
00:33:00,480 --> 00:33:02,320
Speaker 1: up a Tennessee fan, so I don't have to deal

658
00:33:02,360 --> 00:33:05,000
Speaker 1: with it. I just picked Tennessee and if they lose,

659
00:33:05,040 --> 00:33:09,080
Speaker 1: I move on. But I think very highly of Tennessee

660
00:33:09,080 --> 00:33:11,440
Speaker 1: this year, and I think Arkansas is head of the

661
00:33:11,480 --> 00:33:16,280
Speaker 1: wrong direction. So if I'm right about Tennessee, then battered

662
00:33:16,320 --> 00:33:19,400
Speaker 1: vall syndrome shouldn't matter. If we're right about them being

663
00:33:19,440 --> 00:33:23,240
Speaker 1: a legit SEC and national title contender, then that means

664
00:33:23,240 --> 00:33:25,640
Speaker 1: this team's different than all the other teams that gave

665
00:33:25,680 --> 00:33:28,960
Speaker 1: you battered vall syndrome to begin with. So what we

666
00:33:29,080 --> 00:33:31,040
Speaker 1: have to do here is we have to see a

667
00:33:31,080 --> 00:33:34,040
Speaker 1: team go into an extremely hostile environment and have it

668
00:33:34,120 --> 00:33:37,080
Speaker 1: be hostile and have them take the opponent's best shot,

669
00:33:37,280 --> 00:33:38,600
Speaker 1: kind of like you did in Norman a couple of

670
00:33:38,640 --> 00:33:42,040
Speaker 1: weeks ago, and you just withstand it. Anyway. It's not easy,

671
00:33:42,120 --> 00:33:44,320
Speaker 1: in fact, it will be very hard immunity, but you

672
00:33:44,400 --> 00:33:46,560
Speaker 1: withstand it, and then in the fourth quarter you pull

673
00:33:46,600 --> 00:33:49,120
Speaker 1: away and you win it by seventeen twenty points something

674
00:33:49,160 --> 00:33:51,400
Speaker 1: like that, and then you move on because that's what

675
00:33:51,520 --> 00:33:54,959
Speaker 1: really really good to great teams do. As much as

676
00:33:54,960 --> 00:33:58,640
Speaker 1: I'm sitting here warning everyone who will listen that I

677
00:33:58,680 --> 00:34:01,400
Speaker 1: think this week could be a vaultcan panic weekend, I

678
00:34:01,480 --> 00:34:04,680
Speaker 1: am going to pick Tennessee not to be victimized. I

679
00:34:04,720 --> 00:34:06,880
Speaker 1: think they'll win, and coming out of the by I

680
00:34:06,920 --> 00:34:08,719
Speaker 1: think they'll find a way to cover this number. And

681
00:34:08,760 --> 00:34:12,680
Speaker 1: that's a big number. And I am worried, but I'm

682
00:34:12,719 --> 00:34:15,279
Speaker 1: not scared. I'm not so scared that I'm gonna let

683
00:34:15,280 --> 00:34:16,759
Speaker 1: it talk me off of what I think is gonna

684
00:34:16,760 --> 00:34:18,520
Speaker 1: happen in this game. Give me Tennessee to win, give

685
00:34:18,520 --> 00:34:21,680
Speaker 1: me Tennessee to cover. Now you may hate that prediction,

686
00:34:22,040 --> 00:34:25,839
Speaker 1: but on a much more serious note, we're going to

687
00:34:25,880 --> 00:34:28,560
Speaker 1: do something here. So I told you Sunday night. I

688
00:34:28,560 --> 00:34:31,040
Speaker 1: don't have to tell you. Anyone who's looked at any

689
00:34:31,120 --> 00:34:33,359
Speaker 1: kind of news out of Appalachia, which is a very,

690
00:34:33,440 --> 00:34:36,440
Speaker 1: very large geographic area, knows that they were devastated by

691
00:34:36,480 --> 00:34:39,440
Speaker 1: the remnants of hurricane and then tropical storm and then

692
00:34:39,440 --> 00:34:42,680
Speaker 1: tropical depression Helene. It's been a disaster there. It's been

693
00:34:42,719 --> 00:34:45,640
Speaker 1: nothing less than their Hurricane Katrina. So those of you

694
00:34:45,719 --> 00:34:48,360
Speaker 1: in New Orleans, note that still lingers with you. Now.

695
00:34:48,800 --> 00:34:51,200
Speaker 1: Anyone who grew up on the coast down in Mississippi

696
00:34:51,200 --> 00:34:53,680
Speaker 1: and Louisiana, you know that still lingers with you. Now.

697
00:34:54,120 --> 00:34:56,120
Speaker 1: If you go through there and you know what you're

698
00:34:56,120 --> 00:34:59,320
Speaker 1: looking at, you can still see the effects of Katrina

699
00:34:59,360 --> 00:35:02,520
Speaker 1: on the Gulf Coat today. That's the way it'll be

700
00:35:03,040 --> 00:35:07,160
Speaker 1: in East Tennessee and portions of Florida and far East Georgia,

701
00:35:07,239 --> 00:35:10,640
Speaker 1: but especially Virginia, the mountains of North Carolina, South Carolina,

702
00:35:10,840 --> 00:35:14,000
Speaker 1: they're going through it right now. So we're going to

703
00:35:14,040 --> 00:35:16,719
Speaker 1: try and help out as best we can. Now. I

704
00:35:16,800 --> 00:35:20,120
Speaker 1: encourage you guys who are able to personally find ways

705
00:35:20,120 --> 00:35:22,239
Speaker 1: to help out here. The way we're doing it is

706
00:35:22,400 --> 00:35:24,320
Speaker 1: if you go to the Peate State store right now.

707
00:35:24,800 --> 00:35:27,680
Speaker 1: We've got I think three shirts already up. We're putting

708
00:35:27,680 --> 00:35:30,279
Speaker 1: two more up because we've been designing these today. One

709
00:35:30,360 --> 00:35:32,560
Speaker 1: hundred percent of the proceeds from those shirts are going

710
00:35:32,600 --> 00:35:34,799
Speaker 1: to disaster relief, so we're not keeping a penny from it.

711
00:35:35,160 --> 00:35:39,160
Speaker 1: And we've made one for Tennessee, Florida, South Carolina, North Carolina,

712
00:35:39,160 --> 00:35:42,279
Speaker 1: and Virginia. We've expedited those those are in there now,

713
00:35:42,360 --> 00:35:45,160
Speaker 1: peytstatematerial dot Com, all the other stuff that you can

714
00:35:45,239 --> 00:35:47,920
Speaker 1: normally buys there, but we're not prioritizing that right now.

715
00:35:47,960 --> 00:35:49,840
Speaker 1: So we've bumped this right up to the top and

716
00:35:49,920 --> 00:35:52,640
Speaker 1: we're doing as much as we possibly can for a

717
00:35:52,640 --> 00:35:55,440
Speaker 1: lot of our friends who've been longtime viewers of the show,

718
00:35:55,480 --> 00:35:58,399
Speaker 1: but just citizens over there in general, because I think

719
00:35:58,400 --> 00:36:01,960
Speaker 1: the response has been piss poor and so we will

720
00:36:02,120 --> 00:36:03,880
Speaker 1: not so much complain about that because it's out of

721
00:36:03,880 --> 00:36:06,120
Speaker 1: our control. We will do whatever we can to help.

722
00:36:06,200 --> 00:36:09,480
Speaker 1: So peystatematerial dot com. Those shirts are there now. One

723
00:36:09,560 --> 00:36:13,000
Speaker 1: hundred percent of the proceeds, one hundred cents on every

724
00:36:13,040 --> 00:36:16,080
Speaker 1: dollar we'll go to disaster relief. All right, let's move

725
00:36:16,120 --> 00:36:18,640
Speaker 1: it on. Hate to have to talk about that, but

726
00:36:18,840 --> 00:36:23,560
Speaker 1: we've got to. Someone's got to JP Pole, brand new

727
00:36:23,640 --> 00:36:25,880
Speaker 1: JP Pole has dropped tonight. Here we are on a

728
00:36:25,920 --> 00:36:28,200
Speaker 1: Tuesday night in week six. What do we think, Well,

729
00:36:28,200 --> 00:36:30,960
Speaker 1: we know what the AP thinks. But these are not rankings.

730
00:36:31,080 --> 00:36:34,680
Speaker 1: These are power ratings. These are neutral field favorability numbers

731
00:36:34,680 --> 00:36:37,560
Speaker 1: that are spit at us by the model. And this

732
00:36:37,680 --> 00:36:40,160
Speaker 1: is just how we would stack teams up based on

733
00:36:40,200 --> 00:36:42,880
Speaker 1: how the model thinks they would be favored on a

734
00:36:42,920 --> 00:36:45,359
Speaker 1: neutral field if they played tomorrow. And I can tell

735
00:36:45,400 --> 00:36:47,520
Speaker 1: you controversy is about to unfold right here in the

736
00:36:47,560 --> 00:36:50,920
Speaker 1: top five. We've got a new number one team, but

737
00:36:51,040 --> 00:36:54,719
Speaker 1: it's not Alabama. We've got Ohio State at number one.

738
00:36:54,840 --> 00:36:58,799
Speaker 1: Georgia is still at number two. Alabama has bumped up

739
00:36:58,840 --> 00:37:02,319
Speaker 1: but only one spot. Alabama's at number three, Texas is

740
00:37:02,360 --> 00:37:05,399
Speaker 1: at four now, and Oregon's at five. Couple of things

741
00:37:05,440 --> 00:37:09,480
Speaker 1: you need to know. There is a four point gap

742
00:37:10,000 --> 00:37:14,000
Speaker 1: between these teams right now, very small gap. What we

743
00:37:14,239 --> 00:37:17,480
Speaker 1: just had is we just had a Georgia team that

744
00:37:17,640 --> 00:37:19,319
Speaker 1: was favored by about one or one and a half

745
00:37:19,320 --> 00:37:23,640
Speaker 1: points go to Alabama and they lost, and that implied

746
00:37:23,680 --> 00:37:25,560
Speaker 1: that they'd be about a four and a half point

747
00:37:25,600 --> 00:37:28,640
Speaker 1: favorite on a neutral field. That outcome did not shift

748
00:37:28,680 --> 00:37:30,840
Speaker 1: the gap between those teams four and a half points.

749
00:37:31,000 --> 00:37:33,080
Speaker 1: So Georgia wild still be a slight favorite over Alabama

750
00:37:33,080 --> 00:37:35,400
Speaker 1: on a neutral field today. They may play on a

751
00:37:35,440 --> 00:37:37,680
Speaker 1: neutral field down the road, so we'll see if the

752
00:37:37,680 --> 00:37:41,640
Speaker 1: time comes. Texas at four is interesting because they didn't

753
00:37:41,719 --> 00:37:44,960
Speaker 1: really drop in their power rating at all. Bama and

754
00:37:45,040 --> 00:37:48,040
Speaker 1: Georgia are just above them, like they just bumped up

755
00:37:48,040 --> 00:37:52,800
Speaker 1: a little bit. So Oregans at five they're virtually unchanged.

756
00:37:52,800 --> 00:37:56,040
Speaker 1: Tennessee's at six, nothing really changed on the power rating there.

757
00:37:56,160 --> 00:37:58,200
Speaker 1: I mean, I know good and well, Jesse, you know goodwell.

758
00:37:58,239 --> 00:38:00,239
Speaker 1: Someone's going to come in the comments section and say,

759
00:38:00,239 --> 00:38:02,640
Speaker 1: how could we drop when we didn't play. The answer is,

760
00:38:02,680 --> 00:38:04,799
Speaker 1: you didn't. Your ratings the exact same as it was

761
00:38:04,880 --> 00:38:07,440
Speaker 1: last week. We just had movement around you. Miami's at

762
00:38:07,440 --> 00:38:15,560
Speaker 1: seven unchanged? Is the model in the tank for Miami?

763
00:38:15,760 --> 00:38:17,360
Speaker 1: Do we want to talk about that? Like, do we

764
00:38:17,400 --> 00:38:20,520
Speaker 1: want to start a conversation? Because I watched Miami the

765
00:38:20,600 --> 00:38:24,640
Speaker 1: other night. Now I was wholly unimpressed. Now, we do

766
00:38:24,800 --> 00:38:27,680
Speaker 1: know that everyone's got to play their worst game of

767
00:38:27,719 --> 00:38:31,360
Speaker 1: the year at some point, right, Maybe that was Miami's.

768
00:38:31,600 --> 00:38:34,400
Speaker 1: Maybe they overlook Virginia Tech. Maybe all these things are true.

769
00:38:35,000 --> 00:38:38,000
Speaker 1: If that's true, we will see them shine on Saturday

770
00:38:38,239 --> 00:38:41,799
Speaker 1: against Cal in what is a conference game? Mind you,

771
00:38:42,200 --> 00:38:45,239
Speaker 1: We've got a team in Coral Gables, Florida, traveling to

772
00:38:45,280 --> 00:38:47,960
Speaker 1: Berkeley to play in a conference game. Fun times here

773
00:38:47,960 --> 00:38:50,399
Speaker 1: in college football. It's all for the kids, though, it's

774
00:38:50,440 --> 00:38:53,520
Speaker 1: all for the kids. So USC's up three spots to

775
00:38:53,600 --> 00:38:56,879
Speaker 1: number eight, Clemson's at nine, Penn State is at ten.

776
00:38:57,719 --> 00:39:01,600
Speaker 1: The big takeaway from here is Clemson is now in

777
00:39:01,640 --> 00:39:04,600
Speaker 1: the aggregate about a point better than we had them

778
00:39:04,600 --> 00:39:08,000
Speaker 1: in the preseason. And remember they've got a huge loss,

779
00:39:08,040 --> 00:39:11,880
Speaker 1: a blowout loss baked into that now, So good on Dabbo,

780
00:39:11,960 --> 00:39:15,760
Speaker 1: Good on Clemson. Maybe not going away so easily. Number

781
00:39:15,760 --> 00:39:19,520
Speaker 1: eleven through fifteen. I still think Notre Dame's a little high.

782
00:39:19,920 --> 00:39:22,640
Speaker 1: But the models got them at eleven. Ole Miss dropped

783
00:39:22,719 --> 00:39:26,879
Speaker 1: four spots to twelve. LSU is still thirteenth. Ole Miss

784
00:39:26,920 --> 00:39:29,000
Speaker 1: goes to LSU in a few weeks. By the way,

785
00:39:29,160 --> 00:39:32,840
Speaker 1: Kansas State is up two spots to fourteen. I like

786
00:39:32,880 --> 00:39:35,560
Speaker 1: where Kansas State is right now as a team. Louisville's fifteen.

787
00:39:35,640 --> 00:39:39,400
Speaker 1: They are unchanged now at sixteen, probably the most important

788
00:39:39,400 --> 00:39:41,400
Speaker 1: team in the country because it may very well be

789
00:39:41,440 --> 00:39:45,360
Speaker 1: your Big twelve champ. Nothing's wrong with the audio. I

790
00:39:45,400 --> 00:39:49,000
Speaker 1: just want to pause for effect. Iowa State potential future

791
00:39:49,000 --> 00:39:50,960
Speaker 1: Big twelve champ. I think I may have said big ten.

792
00:39:51,000 --> 00:39:55,720
Speaker 1: Big twelve champ is at sixteen. Kentucky is a massive riser.

793
00:39:56,040 --> 00:40:00,440
Speaker 1: Kentucky jumped nine spots to number seventeen. We've got the

794
00:40:00,480 --> 00:40:03,319
Speaker 1: Georgia game, which wasn't an anomaly because now we got

795
00:40:03,320 --> 00:40:05,840
Speaker 1: the old miss game baked in as well. And Kentucky's

796
00:40:05,880 --> 00:40:09,359
Speaker 1: all the way up to number seventeen. Iowa is right there.

797
00:40:09,400 --> 00:40:12,120
Speaker 1: They're at eighteen A and M and Missouri nineteen and

798
00:40:12,200 --> 00:40:16,279
Speaker 1: twenty and they play each other this week, and so

799
00:40:17,680 --> 00:40:19,880
Speaker 1: what should we expect there? Well, as I told you,

800
00:40:20,000 --> 00:40:23,120
Speaker 1: the model thinks it's razor tight. We've got we got

801
00:40:23,160 --> 00:40:25,160
Speaker 1: a and m and Missouri right there next to each other.

802
00:40:25,160 --> 00:40:26,879
Speaker 1: We had a couple of matchups like that last week.

803
00:40:27,120 --> 00:40:30,000
Speaker 1: How about twenty one through twenty five, Utah is down

804
00:40:30,040 --> 00:40:33,120
Speaker 1: seven spots. Is Cam Rising alive? We don't know, will

805
00:40:33,160 --> 00:40:35,600
Speaker 1: he ever play again? We don't know. We cannot get

806
00:40:35,680 --> 00:40:40,200
Speaker 1: dependable quarterback information out of Salt Lake City, so we

807
00:40:40,239 --> 00:40:43,160
Speaker 1: have I mean, we have inserted the backup into the

808
00:40:43,160 --> 00:40:46,520
Speaker 1: profile of Utah right now. When Cam Rising gets back,

809
00:40:46,960 --> 00:40:49,760
Speaker 1: Utah would be bumped up, but we had to manually

810
00:40:49,760 --> 00:40:53,120
Speaker 1: downgrade because we don't know when the starting quarterback is

811
00:40:53,120 --> 00:40:57,239
Speaker 1: going to be back. Indiana coach sig got him at

812
00:40:57,280 --> 00:41:02,719
Speaker 1: number twenty two. Oklahoma unchanged at twenty three. Rutgers the

813
00:41:02,760 --> 00:41:06,080
Speaker 1: AP is cowards. They will not rank Rutgers, but we

814
00:41:06,120 --> 00:41:08,160
Speaker 1: don't want either because these aren't rankings. But we will

815
00:41:08,200 --> 00:41:14,320
Speaker 1: power rate Rutgers number twenty four and any is everyone

816
00:41:14,400 --> 00:41:17,560
Speaker 1: listening to me, and I especially Colin unprofessionally, I want

817
00:41:17,560 --> 00:41:19,720
Speaker 1: to touch the mic there. I want to make sure

818
00:41:20,120 --> 00:41:23,920
Speaker 1: that certain interests, certain people out there are listening to me.

819
00:41:26,640 --> 00:41:29,080
Speaker 1: We've got Boise State in the top twenty five. Mister

820
00:41:29,160 --> 00:41:32,640
Speaker 1: antig five over here has Boise in the top twenty five,

821
00:41:33,040 --> 00:41:36,120
Speaker 1: and you know what, good for us for being brave

822
00:41:36,239 --> 00:41:38,520
Speaker 1: enough to put the Broncos in the top twenty five.

823
00:41:39,239 --> 00:41:41,960
Speaker 1: There is to me, by far, the biggest takeaway on

824
00:41:42,000 --> 00:41:44,120
Speaker 1: this whole thing is there is not a lot of

825
00:41:44,160 --> 00:41:48,879
Speaker 1: separation in the top six. Really, Ohio to Ohio, State

826
00:41:48,920 --> 00:41:51,160
Speaker 1: to Tennessee. Not a lot of separation. So if you're

827
00:41:51,160 --> 00:41:55,240
Speaker 1: sitting here arguing someone's two spots lower, two spots too high,

828
00:41:55,719 --> 00:41:58,360
Speaker 1: there is no separation. In fact, if it makes you

829
00:41:58,400 --> 00:42:01,759
Speaker 1: feel any better, put Bama ahead of Georgia or put

830
00:42:01,800 --> 00:42:03,880
Speaker 1: Texas ahead of both of them. There's not much separation

831
00:42:04,000 --> 00:42:08,760
Speaker 1: at all. Home field in the top six, home field

832
00:42:09,040 --> 00:42:12,200
Speaker 1: would make any of those teams a favorite over the other.

833
00:42:12,800 --> 00:42:15,440
Speaker 1: Let me put it that way. Now, I do think

834
00:42:15,560 --> 00:42:17,560
Speaker 1: that the odds market is going to disagree with me

835
00:42:17,640 --> 00:42:20,319
Speaker 1: on that. Like I think at FanDuel right now, you

836
00:42:20,360 --> 00:42:23,600
Speaker 1: could go look at Bama, Tennessee, Bama, even at Kneeland

837
00:42:24,320 --> 00:42:28,400
Speaker 1: slight favorite. The model may disagree with that. And you

838
00:42:28,480 --> 00:42:30,160
Speaker 1: know what, in a couple of weeks, the time will

839
00:42:30,200 --> 00:42:32,280
Speaker 1: come for us to break that game down. In the meantime,

840
00:42:32,719 --> 00:42:35,239
Speaker 1: let's get right back to business as it relates to

841
00:42:35,360 --> 00:42:40,160
Speaker 1: this week. Ole Miss is going to South Carolina to

842
00:42:40,239 --> 00:42:43,360
Speaker 1: open October. Can you think of a worse place to

843
00:42:43,400 --> 00:42:47,600
Speaker 1: be desperation mode? You just lost to Kentucky. The calendar

844
00:42:47,640 --> 00:42:51,560
Speaker 1: has flipped from September to October, which is just a

845
00:42:51,680 --> 00:42:54,120
Speaker 1: nightmare to have to go into WILLIAMS. Brice Stadium during

846
00:42:54,239 --> 00:42:57,239
Speaker 1: And then on top of all that, South Carolina is

847
00:42:57,280 --> 00:43:00,319
Speaker 1: off a buy. So it looks like all of the

848
00:43:00,400 --> 00:43:04,080
Speaker 1: signs are there, all of the hallmarks are there for

849
00:43:04,120 --> 00:43:09,120
Speaker 1: an upset, except that maybe they're not. What a tease.

850
00:43:09,160 --> 00:43:12,200
Speaker 1: By the way, Ole miss stat profile just shattered last week.

851
00:43:12,600 --> 00:43:14,759
Speaker 1: It's not the craziest concept in the world to think

852
00:43:14,800 --> 00:43:16,960
Speaker 1: that a team looked really good on paper, but they

853
00:43:17,000 --> 00:43:20,239
Speaker 1: hadn't played anyone. So they played semi quality competition and

854
00:43:20,280 --> 00:43:24,000
Speaker 1: got exposed a little bit. That's happened before. Okay, so

855
00:43:24,120 --> 00:43:26,440
Speaker 1: everything plummeted. They were four sixteen on third down, they

856
00:43:26,480 --> 00:43:29,360
Speaker 1: allowed four sacks, three point two yards per rush. Just

857
00:43:30,080 --> 00:43:33,479
Speaker 1: they were bad and Kentucky was the reason they were bad.

858
00:43:33,760 --> 00:43:36,959
Speaker 1: So Ole Miss I think now goes on the road,

859
00:43:37,800 --> 00:43:39,880
Speaker 1: and it's the first true road environment they will have

860
00:43:39,920 --> 00:43:43,319
Speaker 1: been in. All due respect to Wake Forest, I mean

861
00:43:43,480 --> 00:43:48,040
Speaker 1: all due respect, They're going on They're going into Williams

862
00:43:48,040 --> 00:43:50,279
Speaker 1: Brice this weekend. It's a three thirty game, so people

863
00:43:50,280 --> 00:43:52,239
Speaker 1: will be fired up. This is the best pass rush

864
00:43:52,280 --> 00:43:53,880
Speaker 1: they will have faced, So we get to see ole

865
00:43:53,920 --> 00:43:57,360
Speaker 1: Miss's offensive line, hostile environment, best pass rush they faced.

866
00:43:58,120 --> 00:44:01,000
Speaker 1: That's one thing. The next thing is South Carolina has

867
00:44:01,040 --> 00:44:02,919
Speaker 1: to run the ball, and ole Miss has the number

868
00:44:02,920 --> 00:44:04,600
Speaker 1: one run defense in the country. And this is where

869
00:44:04,640 --> 00:44:06,319
Speaker 1: this game could get out of whack in favor of

870
00:44:06,320 --> 00:44:10,080
Speaker 1: the Rebels, because if South Carolina can't run the ball

871
00:44:10,120 --> 00:44:14,520
Speaker 1: effectively here they are one hundred and twenty sixth in

872
00:44:14,640 --> 00:44:17,200
Speaker 1: sacks allowed, and ole Miss is number two in the

873
00:44:17,239 --> 00:44:20,839
Speaker 1: country at garnering sacks. So as much as we may

874
00:44:20,960 --> 00:44:25,000
Speaker 1: focus rightfully so on South Carolina's pass rush, Ole Miss

875
00:44:25,120 --> 00:44:27,239
Speaker 1: pretty good at getting the quarterback as well. Now the

876
00:44:27,280 --> 00:44:31,719
Speaker 1: flip side of that is, Josh, maybe just maybe they've

877
00:44:31,719 --> 00:44:36,520
Speaker 1: gotten to the quarterback against inferior teams as well. Maybe

878
00:44:37,000 --> 00:44:40,719
Speaker 1: that's that's why we play the games, obviously, but I

879
00:44:40,760 --> 00:44:42,799
Speaker 1: think there are plays to be made against that ole Miss.

880
00:44:42,880 --> 00:44:46,279
Speaker 1: Secondary question becomes what do we have at quarterback with

881
00:44:46,320 --> 00:44:50,080
Speaker 1: South Carolina Leonora Sellers his help is still a matter

882
00:44:50,160 --> 00:44:52,399
Speaker 1: of great concern around there. You know, the last time

883
00:44:52,400 --> 00:44:54,040
Speaker 1: you saw him, he was hurt and he was out,

884
00:44:54,120 --> 00:44:56,399
Speaker 1: and then they had the bye week. Will he be back?

885
00:44:57,480 --> 00:45:00,680
Speaker 1: Sounds kind of like yes from Shane Beemer, but we

886
00:45:00,760 --> 00:45:03,120
Speaker 1: don't know for sure, and also how good is he

887
00:45:03,560 --> 00:45:06,319
Speaker 1: when we get him back? Rocket Sanders running back. They're

888
00:45:06,360 --> 00:45:08,879
Speaker 1: also kind of in wait and see mode on him

889
00:45:08,920 --> 00:45:12,320
Speaker 1: as well, So I think the ole Miss defense matches

890
00:45:12,400 --> 00:45:15,719
Speaker 1: up well here. I actually like the matchup for ole Miss.

891
00:45:15,800 --> 00:45:17,200
Speaker 1: There's a reason why they're a nine and a half

892
00:45:17,200 --> 00:45:20,120
Speaker 1: point favorite here. They need to spread the ball around.

893
00:45:20,320 --> 00:45:24,400
Speaker 1: Like they're passing profile heavily tilted towards one player, so

894
00:45:24,480 --> 00:45:26,279
Speaker 1: they need to spread it around a little bit more.

895
00:45:26,640 --> 00:45:30,440
Speaker 1: Lsu threw the ball fairly effectively against South Carolina, so

896
00:45:30,640 --> 00:45:33,160
Speaker 1: they need to do the same here. Colin, let's take

897
00:45:33,160 --> 00:45:36,040
Speaker 1: a look at what the model thinks. The fan dual

898
00:45:36,120 --> 00:45:38,840
Speaker 1: number right now is ole Miss minus nine and a half.

899
00:45:39,680 --> 00:45:42,440
Speaker 1: The model has ole Miss minus nine and a half.

900
00:45:43,680 --> 00:45:47,680
Speaker 1: You know the immense amounts of respect in admiration I

901
00:45:47,680 --> 00:45:51,239
Speaker 1: have for South Carolina football, But during October, even if

902
00:45:51,280 --> 00:45:53,040
Speaker 1: you hate him, you know they're not to be trifled with.

903
00:45:54,160 --> 00:45:56,160
Speaker 1: But I think somehow Ole Miss is going to find

904
00:45:56,160 --> 00:45:57,680
Speaker 1: a way to go in here and win. I'm talking

905
00:45:57,719 --> 00:45:59,719
Speaker 1: about a nine and a half point favorite in these terms,

906
00:45:59,760 --> 00:46:04,160
Speaker 1: some way lankiff and can't lose this game. Old Miss,

907
00:46:04,200 --> 00:46:07,479
Speaker 1: can't lose this game. Just walk yourself down that road

908
00:46:07,480 --> 00:46:11,360
Speaker 1: for a second. This is a team in Oxford that

909
00:46:11,480 --> 00:46:14,280
Speaker 1: thinks it's the best version of itself they've had in forever.

910
00:46:14,880 --> 00:46:19,960
Speaker 1: This was a team with SEC championship playoff contention, consideration

911
00:46:20,000 --> 00:46:23,399
Speaker 1: about itself, all that stuff. Colin, you got, you got

912
00:46:23,400 --> 00:46:25,200
Speaker 1: Old Miss a schedule. I think you probably already threw

913
00:46:25,239 --> 00:46:28,440
Speaker 1: it up. Yeah, do you understand? Let me just remind you, guys,

914
00:46:29,480 --> 00:46:33,319
Speaker 1: nothing's changed about the expectation there. So in August, the

915
00:46:33,400 --> 00:46:35,640
Speaker 1: way you looked at this, you know you did. You

916
00:46:35,680 --> 00:46:38,439
Speaker 1: looked and said, all right, Furman, Middle Tennessee. Wait, Georgia Southern,

917
00:46:38,480 --> 00:46:41,080
Speaker 1: that's four. O. Kentucky at home now that's five. And

918
00:46:41,120 --> 00:46:43,640
Speaker 1: oh they go to South Carolina. That's already middle of

919
00:46:43,680 --> 00:46:45,680
Speaker 1: the season. South Carolina didn't have the depth. That's six,

920
00:46:45,719 --> 00:46:48,960
Speaker 1: and oh that first test will be at LSU. That's

921
00:46:49,000 --> 00:46:52,560
Speaker 1: the way you looked at it. If they've already got

922
00:46:52,560 --> 00:46:56,799
Speaker 1: two conference losses before they go to LSU, and that

923
00:46:56,840 --> 00:46:59,040
Speaker 1: game at LSU, let me remind you, is their seventh

924
00:46:59,080 --> 00:47:02,320
Speaker 1: consecutive game, and LSU will be coming off a buye

925
00:47:02,440 --> 00:47:05,880
Speaker 1: at home to welcome them in. They would be in

926
00:47:05,920 --> 00:47:09,399
Speaker 1: a position no one thought that'd bem. They can't lose

927
00:47:09,440 --> 00:47:11,120
Speaker 1: this game. Ole Miss is going to find a way

928
00:47:11,160 --> 00:47:12,719
Speaker 1: to win it. I think South Carolina will keep it

929
00:47:12,719 --> 00:47:14,960
Speaker 1: close enough to cover. I think ole Miss will find

930
00:47:15,000 --> 00:47:18,520
Speaker 1: a way to win it. You can right now go

931
00:47:18,560 --> 00:47:21,560
Speaker 1: to FanDuel and you can wager on that game. If

932
00:47:21,600 --> 00:47:23,560
Speaker 1: it is legal where you live, then you can go

933
00:47:23,600 --> 00:47:25,560
Speaker 1: there and you can wager on that game if you

934
00:47:25,680 --> 00:47:28,160
Speaker 1: believe in the power of October. I don't know that

935
00:47:28,440 --> 00:47:31,439
Speaker 1: the folks over at FanDuel have what we would call

936
00:47:31,600 --> 00:47:36,240
Speaker 1: in the betting world a October surprise, which closely aligns

937
00:47:36,280 --> 00:47:38,680
Speaker 1: with what the October surprise would be in the political world.

938
00:47:38,920 --> 00:47:40,719
Speaker 1: But if they had a prop bet over there, that's

939
00:47:40,760 --> 00:47:42,560
Speaker 1: what they should call it. And that's free advice for

940
00:47:42,600 --> 00:47:45,680
Speaker 1: you guys. So here's the QR code. I'm about to

941
00:47:45,680 --> 00:47:47,640
Speaker 1: give you two added best bets on the Roman Noudle

942
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943
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944
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945
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946
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947
00:48:01,239 --> 00:48:03,680
Speaker 1: So you know, we're already on Wake Forest plus five

948
00:48:03,680 --> 00:48:05,800
Speaker 1: and a half. That was our first best bet of

949
00:48:05,800 --> 00:48:08,279
Speaker 1: the week. I'm going to add two more of them

950
00:48:08,520 --> 00:48:11,760
Speaker 1: right now. And for some reason, we are focusing heavily

951
00:48:12,040 --> 00:48:14,160
Speaker 1: on like one part of the country here. So Wake

952
00:48:14,200 --> 00:48:17,240
Speaker 1: plus five and a half against NC State, We're taking

953
00:48:17,360 --> 00:48:20,120
Speaker 1: Virginia on the money line. You can get Virginia money

954
00:48:20,120 --> 00:48:22,319
Speaker 1: line at minus one ten or one eleven juice there

955
00:48:22,360 --> 00:48:26,120
Speaker 1: right now. So we're taking Virginia straight up against Boston College.

956
00:48:26,719 --> 00:48:29,920
Speaker 1: And we're taking ECU East Carolina minus eight and a

957
00:48:30,000 --> 00:48:35,080
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958
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960
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961
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962
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963
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965
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968
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970
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971
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972
00:49:30,280 --> 00:49:33,880
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973
00:49:35,440 --> 00:49:38,480
Speaker 1: Final game that I want to break down for you tonight,

974
00:49:38,800 --> 00:49:40,680
Speaker 1: and then I'm gonna I'm gonna get into the Auburn,

975
00:49:40,719 --> 00:49:43,839
Speaker 1: Georgia situation on Thursday. Don't think for a second I'm

976
00:49:43,840 --> 00:49:46,400
Speaker 1: overlooking that one. But we're not a very SEC centric

977
00:49:46,480 --> 00:49:49,320
Speaker 1: show here, as you guys know, so we mostly focus

978
00:49:49,520 --> 00:49:52,600
Speaker 1: outside of the South. I'm saying that mockingly. Let me

979
00:49:52,640 --> 00:49:56,759
Speaker 1: address something. This is going to be very unprofessional. So

980
00:49:58,120 --> 00:50:01,000
Speaker 1: you guys know what happened last weekend. Last weekend, we

981
00:50:01,160 --> 00:50:03,640
Speaker 1: had what was called a main event card, and in

982
00:50:03,640 --> 00:50:05,759
Speaker 1: pro wrestling, that means the main event is the only

983
00:50:05,800 --> 00:50:08,160
Speaker 1: good match, and the rest of the undercard is kind

984
00:50:08,160 --> 00:50:11,200
Speaker 1: of it. Last week in college football terms, that's what

985
00:50:11,239 --> 00:50:14,440
Speaker 1: we had. We had a marquee mega main event. It

986
00:50:14,480 --> 00:50:17,920
Speaker 1: was Georgia versus Alabama. And for those of us who

987
00:50:17,920 --> 00:50:20,080
Speaker 1: are diehard fans of the sport, of course we cared

988
00:50:20,120 --> 00:50:22,879
Speaker 1: about all the other games, but a more casual mind,

989
00:50:22,880 --> 00:50:25,160
Speaker 1: at a P two P three style fam to use

990
00:50:25,160 --> 00:50:29,000
Speaker 1: industry terminology, they cared about Georgia Obama. The next biggest

991
00:50:29,080 --> 00:50:31,600
Speaker 1: story in the sport last weekend, I would say it

992
00:50:31,600 --> 00:50:35,840
Speaker 1: was probably Kentucky over ol Miss. So I did the

993
00:50:35,880 --> 00:50:38,239
Speaker 1: show Sunday night. I gave a good twenty five to

994
00:50:38,239 --> 00:50:42,240
Speaker 1: thirty minutes to Georgia Alabama. Our audience retention never stopped rising,

995
00:50:42,680 --> 00:50:46,120
Speaker 1: which is just indicative and reaffirms that we did it

996
00:50:46,120 --> 00:50:50,560
Speaker 1: the right way. Then I did not even put Kentucky

997
00:50:50,560 --> 00:50:54,319
Speaker 1: Ole Miss second. I put UCF in Colorado second. So

998
00:50:54,360 --> 00:50:56,480
Speaker 1: because I'm thinking to myself, I don't want to stack

999
00:50:56,520 --> 00:50:57,920
Speaker 1: the first forty five minute of the show with all

1000
00:50:58,000 --> 00:51:00,000
Speaker 1: SEC even though technically those are the two best stories.

1001
00:51:00,120 --> 00:51:03,720
Speaker 1: So I even anti SEC the show. Well, it didn't matter.

1002
00:51:04,200 --> 00:51:07,440
Speaker 1: Some people complained. Some people said, man, this it's too SEC.

1003
00:51:07,640 --> 00:51:10,400
Speaker 1: Heavy tonight and you put Oklahoma Auburn in there like

1004
00:51:10,400 --> 00:51:15,520
Speaker 1: it's too sec heavy and so friendly. But sternly I responded,

1005
00:51:16,200 --> 00:51:18,960
Speaker 1: how would you have stacked the show? Let's just pretend

1006
00:51:19,000 --> 00:51:22,279
Speaker 1: you got yourself a national college football show and it's

1007
00:51:22,320 --> 00:51:24,359
Speaker 1: not a charity, it's a business, so you actually want

1008
00:51:24,360 --> 00:51:26,880
Speaker 1: to keep people tuned in? How would you have stacked

1009
00:51:26,880 --> 00:51:29,319
Speaker 1: the show? So I'll ask any any one of you

1010
00:51:29,560 --> 00:51:31,879
Speaker 1: who complained about that. I haven't responded to all of them,

1011
00:51:32,200 --> 00:51:34,600
Speaker 1: how would you have stacked that show? Folks thought you

1012
00:51:34,640 --> 00:51:37,640
Speaker 1: took talk a little too long about Georgia Obama. It

1013
00:51:37,719 --> 00:51:41,720
Speaker 1: was the game of the year, the game of several years.

1014
00:51:41,920 --> 00:51:44,560
Speaker 1: How do you not go long winded on Georgia Obama?

1015
00:51:45,320 --> 00:51:49,640
Speaker 1: What it's not. I'm trying to be mature about this.

1016
00:51:50,520 --> 00:51:52,680
Speaker 1: We didn't handle that the wrong way. That's what I'm

1017
00:51:52,719 --> 00:51:55,640
Speaker 1: trying to tell you. Now, there is going to be

1018
00:51:55,719 --> 00:51:57,720
Speaker 1: a reality that a lot of us have to face.

1019
00:51:58,400 --> 00:51:59,839
Speaker 1: And you can believe me or not when I tell

1020
00:51:59,840 --> 00:52:02,120
Speaker 1: you that I don't like stacking a ton of sec

1021
00:52:02,200 --> 00:52:04,759
Speaker 1: stuff in the show, but there is a reality, and

1022
00:52:04,800 --> 00:52:06,880
Speaker 1: to a certain extent, the Big Ten as well. And

1023
00:52:06,920 --> 00:52:10,560
Speaker 1: that is the way the sport's constructed right now. It's

1024
00:52:10,680 --> 00:52:14,720
Speaker 1: gonna be SEC heavy, and it's gonna be Big ten heavy.

1025
00:52:14,920 --> 00:52:18,040
Speaker 1: Anybody who's doing national content on this stuff is gonna

1026
00:52:18,040 --> 00:52:21,200
Speaker 1: have a disproportionate lean towards SEC and Big ten content.

1027
00:52:21,680 --> 00:52:25,360
Speaker 1: I actually don't like it. I don't like it, but

1028
00:52:25,600 --> 00:52:26,879
Speaker 1: as sure as you can say, well, if you don't

1029
00:52:26,920 --> 00:52:29,040
Speaker 1: like it, do something about it, I also am going

1030
00:52:29,120 --> 00:52:32,640
Speaker 1: to do what you tell me to do, and with

1031
00:52:32,760 --> 00:52:36,160
Speaker 1: your viewership habits, you guys, tell us plain as day

1032
00:52:36,400 --> 00:52:38,799
Speaker 1: what you're interested in and what you're not interested in.

1033
00:52:39,320 --> 00:52:44,080
Speaker 1: The data is totally incontrovertible. Sometimes I will go against

1034
00:52:44,120 --> 00:52:45,839
Speaker 1: the grain on it, like you better believe. If Iowa

1035
00:52:45,920 --> 00:52:49,200
Speaker 1: State wins the Big twelve championship, dude, we will have

1036
00:52:49,320 --> 00:52:52,120
Speaker 1: a marathon about Iowa State. And I don't care if

1037
00:52:52,160 --> 00:52:54,160
Speaker 1: any of you watch it or not, because that's just

1038
00:52:54,560 --> 00:52:57,960
Speaker 1: selfish me looking out for me. But outside of that,

1039
00:52:58,000 --> 00:52:59,360
Speaker 1: I'm kind of looking out for you guys and what

1040
00:52:59,400 --> 00:53:01,280
Speaker 1: you tell me you want want with your viewership habits.

1041
00:53:01,480 --> 00:53:05,319
Speaker 1: So that explains why we stacked the Sunday show the

1042
00:53:05,360 --> 00:53:09,520
Speaker 1: way we did. I am told there's a week coming

1043
00:53:09,600 --> 00:53:13,799
Speaker 1: up pretty soon where Ohio State plays Oregon on the

1044
00:53:13,840 --> 00:53:18,279
Speaker 1: same night as Penn State plays USC and I just

1045
00:53:18,400 --> 00:53:21,520
Speaker 1: have a sneaking suspicion that it'll be a big ten

1046
00:53:21,600 --> 00:53:25,040
Speaker 1: heavy show the next Sunday. Just a guess. I could

1047
00:53:25,040 --> 00:53:30,640
Speaker 1: be wrong, just to guess. Michigan at Washington this Saturday, well, well,

1048
00:53:30,680 --> 00:53:34,480
Speaker 1: well seven thirty East Coast time, four thirty local kick

1049
00:53:34,480 --> 00:53:38,000
Speaker 1: on NBC. I got flooded with a request about this game.

1050
00:53:38,239 --> 00:53:40,520
Speaker 1: I got flooded with questions about the game. Here's the question.

1051
00:53:40,680 --> 00:53:44,640
Speaker 1: Sounds a little something like this, why are we an

1052
00:53:44,719 --> 00:53:49,560
Speaker 1: underdog at Washington? Yes, yes, that's right. Washington is a

1053
00:53:49,560 --> 00:53:53,760
Speaker 1: two and a half point favorite at home against Michigan.

1054
00:53:54,920 --> 00:53:59,560
Speaker 1: Some people call this a National Championship game rematch. In

1055
00:53:59,640 --> 00:54:02,480
Speaker 1: terms of logos, it is virtually none of the players

1056
00:54:02,480 --> 00:54:05,000
Speaker 1: and coaches are still there. So I didn't even think

1057
00:54:05,000 --> 00:54:07,359
Speaker 1: of this game as a National title game rematch until

1058
00:54:07,400 --> 00:54:10,600
Speaker 1: I was doing a NHQ hit today and Amanda Garris said, Hey,

1059
00:54:11,000 --> 00:54:14,040
Speaker 1: national title rematch, and I was like, oh, that's right. Wow.

1060
00:54:16,120 --> 00:54:19,000
Speaker 1: How are you a dog to Washington? Is what my

1061
00:54:19,000 --> 00:54:21,880
Speaker 1: Michigan folks are asking. Well, i'll tell you will Rogers

1062
00:54:22,000 --> 00:54:24,840
Speaker 1: is kind of sort of back the quarterback that you

1063
00:54:25,040 --> 00:54:28,840
Speaker 1: probably last remember as being at Mississippi State under the

1064
00:54:28,920 --> 00:54:33,040
Speaker 1: late Mike Leach. He didn't disappear. He's at Washington and

1065
00:54:33,080 --> 00:54:36,399
Speaker 1: he's playing pretty good this year. Seventy four percent completion guy,

1066
00:54:36,760 --> 00:54:39,480
Speaker 1: averaging two hundred and seventy pass yards per game, nine

1067
00:54:39,520 --> 00:54:43,840
Speaker 1: point two per attempt, ten touchdown passes, no interceptions. The

1068
00:54:43,960 --> 00:54:47,680
Speaker 1: problem is they are twenty first in yards per game.

1069
00:54:47,800 --> 00:54:49,759
Speaker 1: Now that doesn't sound like a problem. It's not. I'm

1070
00:54:49,800 --> 00:54:52,560
Speaker 1: not done. They're twenty first in yards per game. They're

1071
00:54:52,560 --> 00:54:56,560
Speaker 1: eighty ninth in scoring. Washington can't finish the drill. They

1072
00:54:56,560 --> 00:54:59,160
Speaker 1: can't finish drives. They're eighty second in the country on

1073
00:54:59,200 --> 00:55:02,840
Speaker 1: third down convert they're one hundred and sixteenth in fourth

1074
00:55:02,880 --> 00:55:05,919
Speaker 1: down conversion. So they can get to the door. They

1075
00:55:06,040 --> 00:55:08,480
Speaker 1: just can't kick it in or they haven't they haven't

1076
00:55:08,560 --> 00:55:14,080
Speaker 1: well enough. That's Michigan's route. That's it. That's it. Let

1077
00:55:14,160 --> 00:55:16,400
Speaker 1: them do whatever they want to between the twenties, but

1078
00:55:16,440 --> 00:55:18,319
Speaker 1: you get them down there and you turn them over

1079
00:55:18,360 --> 00:55:21,120
Speaker 1: a couple of times on downs. They're not good kicking either,

1080
00:55:21,440 --> 00:55:23,680
Speaker 1: and that's your route to win here. If you do it,

1081
00:55:23,719 --> 00:55:28,400
Speaker 1: you'll win. Alex Orgy quarterback there at Michigan thirty two

1082
00:55:28,440 --> 00:55:31,960
Speaker 1: pass yards versus USC eighty six, so he more than

1083
00:55:32,040 --> 00:55:34,640
Speaker 1: doubled the output against the USC last week and still

1084
00:55:34,640 --> 00:55:37,760
Speaker 1: did at top one hundred yards against Minnesota. They cannot

1085
00:55:37,840 --> 00:55:42,759
Speaker 1: let Washington flip the script here. Okay, Colston Lovelan is

1086
00:55:42,840 --> 00:55:46,480
Speaker 1: Michigan's leading receiver, He's their tight end. This is a

1087
00:55:46,880 --> 00:55:49,920
Speaker 1: mind blowing, bonkers level number that I'm about to give you,

1088
00:55:51,080 --> 00:55:56,720
Speaker 1: but it's true. Colston Loveland tight end for Michigan, more

1089
00:55:56,800 --> 00:56:00,799
Speaker 1: receiving yards than the next four guys combined, and he's

1090
00:56:00,880 --> 00:56:03,839
Speaker 1: missed one and a half games. So when I tell

1091
00:56:03,920 --> 00:56:06,520
Speaker 1: you it's Colston Loveland or just run it and hope

1092
00:56:06,520 --> 00:56:09,000
Speaker 1: for the best, I really mean there is no other

1093
00:56:09,080 --> 00:56:12,439
Speaker 1: option here. Washington struggled against the run. That's really good

1094
00:56:12,440 --> 00:56:15,680
Speaker 1: news for Michigan. Rutgers ran it for one hundred and

1095
00:56:15,719 --> 00:56:18,399
Speaker 1: eighty four on them. The game plan from Michigan would

1096
00:56:18,400 --> 00:56:21,759
Speaker 1: be very similar here to what Rutgers did. Washington has

1097
00:56:21,800 --> 00:56:26,400
Speaker 1: allowed nine runs of twenty plus yards. So Khalil Mullins,

1098
00:56:26,440 --> 00:56:28,440
Speaker 1: who is the best tailback on that team for Michigan,

1099
00:56:28,440 --> 00:56:30,319
Speaker 1: he has been all year. This has got to be

1100
00:56:30,360 --> 00:56:33,600
Speaker 1: his game. It's got to be Michigan red zone defense.

1101
00:56:33,600 --> 00:56:35,239
Speaker 1: It's got to be that kind of day for him.

1102
00:56:35,560 --> 00:56:38,000
Speaker 1: Special teams edge Michigan, it's got to be that kind

1103
00:56:38,040 --> 00:56:41,359
Speaker 1: of day. This is Michigan's first time leaving home under

1104
00:56:41,400 --> 00:56:44,160
Speaker 1: this new coaching staff, first time this year leaving home

1105
00:56:44,480 --> 00:56:47,600
Speaker 1: cross country flight. I don't know what that actually matters,

1106
00:56:47,640 --> 00:56:50,759
Speaker 1: but I'm just gonna say it because it's a reality.

1107
00:56:50,880 --> 00:56:55,320
Speaker 1: Here's the thing. All this stuff about not finishing drives

1108
00:56:56,120 --> 00:56:59,400
Speaker 1: that matters until it doesn't. So again, the college football

1109
00:56:59,480 --> 00:57:01,919
Speaker 1: rule is, you're looking for the snap week, You're looking

1110
00:57:01,960 --> 00:57:05,040
Speaker 1: for the click week. And Washington has been doing a

1111
00:57:05,080 --> 00:57:08,359
Speaker 1: lot of good things. When it finally snaps into place,

1112
00:57:08,440 --> 00:57:10,800
Speaker 1: and it could happen against Michigan when it finally snaps

1113
00:57:10,800 --> 00:57:13,880
Speaker 1: into place. They don't need to score forty five, you know,

1114
00:57:13,920 --> 00:57:17,520
Speaker 1: if you can, if you can guarantee twenty four offensive points,

1115
00:57:17,760 --> 00:57:20,640
Speaker 1: you take those odds. If you're Washington, Colin, Let's take

1116
00:57:20,680 --> 00:57:23,000
Speaker 1: a look at what the model thinks, Fandel right now,

1117
00:57:23,040 --> 00:57:25,640
Speaker 1: is Washington minus two and a half? Model agrees, we

1118
00:57:25,760 --> 00:57:29,240
Speaker 1: got Washington winning the game by two. I think they're

1119
00:57:29,240 --> 00:57:31,360
Speaker 1: gonna find a way to win the game. It would

1120
00:57:31,680 --> 00:57:33,760
Speaker 1: look like an upset, but it would not be an

1121
00:57:33,840 --> 00:57:37,000
Speaker 1: upset number ten team in the country against unranked Washington.

1122
00:57:37,240 --> 00:57:41,600
Speaker 1: They're a dog, and depending on game script here, obviously

1123
00:57:41,640 --> 00:57:43,840
Speaker 1: this could shift violently one way or the other. I

1124
00:57:43,840 --> 00:57:46,960
Speaker 1: think Will Rogers is gonna find enough, and I think

1125
00:57:47,000 --> 00:57:48,440
Speaker 1: that they're gonna find a way to win this game

1126
00:57:48,480 --> 00:57:49,960
Speaker 1: in home field is going to matter, and that is

1127
00:57:50,000 --> 00:57:53,040
Speaker 1: the most them in South Carolina, two of the most

1128
00:57:53,120 --> 00:57:56,680
Speaker 1: underrated home fields in the country, and Michigan still got

1129
00:57:56,680 --> 00:57:59,480
Speaker 1: the fifth best odds to win the Big Ten. I

1130
00:57:59,520 --> 00:58:02,080
Speaker 1: think that inverts a little bit. Not that Washington's going

1131
00:58:02,160 --> 00:58:05,600
Speaker 1: to challenge for this thing, but I think if if

1132
00:58:05,680 --> 00:58:08,960
Speaker 1: Will Rogers can just give me enough, I think somehow,

1133
00:58:08,960 --> 00:58:11,200
Speaker 1: some way, Washington finds a way to win that thing

1134
00:58:11,320 --> 00:58:14,840
Speaker 1: and cover all right. Hopefully we didn't whiff on every

1135
00:58:14,840 --> 00:58:17,280
Speaker 1: one of those, but I do think a volcanic Saturday

1136
00:58:17,560 --> 00:58:19,120
Speaker 1: is on the horizon. Do me a favor, Do me

1137
00:58:19,160 --> 00:58:21,680
Speaker 1: a quick favor here. Tune in Live. Got like forty

1138
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Speaker 1: five hundred of you steal Tune in Live. Make sure

1139
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Speaker 1: you're subscribed to the channel. Some of you think you are,

1140
00:58:26,920 --> 00:58:29,800
Speaker 1: but you're not. I know this because every week when

1141
00:58:29,840 --> 00:58:31,360
Speaker 1: I ask you to do this, we have a huge

1142
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Speaker 1: spike in subs, so humbly respectfully, whether you're listing on

1143
00:58:36,040 --> 00:58:38,440
Speaker 1: card or you're watching on YouTube, just make sure you're subscribed.

1144
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Speaker 1: That's it. It doesn't cost you a thing, it just

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Speaker 1: helps us. And then go recruit five of your friends

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Speaker 1: legal chat so for direct colin from suggesting, I'm Josh

1149
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