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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you Welcoming to another episode? A Wednesday episode

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Speaker 2: of The Diligence Podcast with me Matt Parolt at Sports Talk.

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Speaker 2: Matt to follow me on Twitter. This podcast being brought

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Speaker 2: to you by our friends at BETMGM and the one

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Speaker 2: thousand dollars first bet offer that's available right now for

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Speaker 2: new users with the promo code Juice at betmgm dot com.

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Speaker 2: Promo code Juice for a one thousand dollars first Bet offer.

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Speaker 1: Okay to start.

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Speaker 2: Thank you, You guys were unbelievable yesterday on my birthday.

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Speaker 2: So many DMS messages, Discord channel messages, stuff on Twitter emails.

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Speaker 2: I mean, it was tremendous. Thank you to each and

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Speaker 2: every one of you. I know it didn't reply to

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Speaker 2: all of you, but I saw every message. It was

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Speaker 2: kind of a crazy day. Didn't get to everyone, so

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Speaker 2: I apolog I tried to like or comment or thank

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Speaker 2: you personally. But if I missed you, please know that

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Speaker 2: I watched it, I saw it, I read it, and

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Speaker 2: it means a ton to me.

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Speaker 1: So thank you.

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Speaker 2: I really do appreciate the messages and everything you guys wrote.

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Speaker 1: It's great to be back.

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Speaker 2: It's great to be back as being a part of

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Speaker 2: this community and it's a lot of fun. You didn't

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Speaker 2: think I was going to let me let you guys

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Speaker 2: lose money on my birthday. Did You got a little

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Speaker 2: sweaty there with Colorado in overtime, But we get one

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Speaker 2: overtime win in one overtime loss. If Vegas wins in overtime,

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Speaker 2: we sweep the board with a four and oh mark,

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Speaker 2: which would have made sense because I'm bored on four

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Speaker 2: to four, so a four and oh mark.

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Speaker 1: I tried to do that.

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Speaker 2: I tried to pull I bet four bets on April

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Speaker 2: fourth because that's my birthday. It's my forty sixth birthday,

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Speaker 2: not my forty fourth birthday. But we went three and one,

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Speaker 2: up one point seven to five unit, so we don't

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Speaker 2: get the mathematical alliteration, but we get the wins and

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Speaker 2: we're up one point seven five units, so that's good.

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Speaker 1: So we're up on the week.

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Speaker 2: Had it hitending into a Wednesday, there was a lot

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Speaker 2: of day baseball today. Okay, so you got to check

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Speaker 2: this if you're listening overnight, listening first thing in the morning,

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Speaker 2: these games are not at night.

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Speaker 1: Okay, there's two baseball bets I'm gonna.

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Speaker 2: Give you guys that are right during the day, and

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Speaker 2: I've got one hockey bet that's going to be at night.

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Speaker 2: If something goes really well, like say we go three

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Speaker 2: and oh there's a shot, I might come back with

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Speaker 2: something else. I might jump in at night with an

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Speaker 2: NBA but I will have two NBA player props for

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Speaker 2: sure for you guys to go ahead and give that

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Speaker 2: to you at some point during the day today, So

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Speaker 2: be watching for it on the Discord channel, Bettingpros dot Com,

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Speaker 2: slash chat, or a link is underneath me here on

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Speaker 2: YouTube to be able to jump in and do that.

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Speaker 2: So be watching for that. Maybe an NBA play, maybe

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Speaker 2: an additional NHL play, but probably not an additional NHL play.

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Speaker 2: I don't know because only three games on the night. Okay,

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Speaker 2: So just one bet to give you guys here in

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Speaker 2: just one second. But before we do that, let's tell

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Speaker 2: you about the one year premium upgrade that you guys

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Speaker 2: because when you do, you could win that upgrade to

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Speaker 2: Betting Pros Premium. Whether you're looking for access to exclusive picks,

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Speaker 2: top rated player props, or custom analysis of the way

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Speaker 2: you are betting in your performance. Betting Pros Premium has

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Speaker 2: the tools to help you catch more bets if you

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Speaker 2: don't want to wait, however, till the end of the

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Speaker 2: month when we're gonna pull the name. We're still waiting

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Speaker 2: on the name for March, but that's coming. You don't

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Speaker 2: want to wait, you can sign up today at bettingpros

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Speaker 2: dot com, slash upgrade and start betting smarter, not harder. Okay,

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Speaker 2: let's start with the only bet in hockey, Winnipeg Calgary.

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Speaker 2: This is a playoff game, I mean, straight up playoff game,

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Speaker 2: thirty six, twenty seven and fifteen, Calgary on the road

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Speaker 2: against Winnipeg, who's forty three thirty one in three. Calgary

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Speaker 2: has fifteen overtime losses. If you cut that in half,

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Speaker 2: Calgary's in the playoffs easily. But Calgary just lost last

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Speaker 2: night to the Chicago Blackhawks. What I mean, You just

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Speaker 2: can't do that, not when you're trying to win a playoffs.

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Speaker 2: You cannot do that at all. Horrible loss for the

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Speaker 2: Calgary Flames, who had won four straight games going into

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Speaker 2: that they got a little too high on the horse.

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Speaker 2: They thought they were going to roll in here. Four

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Speaker 2: goals they lose to Chicago. They're up, it was two

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Speaker 2: to two going into the third period. They lost four

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Speaker 2: to three. Now Winnipeg has won two games in a

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Speaker 2: row six to one, six to two, both at home,

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Speaker 2: scoring well on the road. Lost three nothing to the Sharks,

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Speaker 2: four to one to the La Kings in three to

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Speaker 2: two Anaheim. The victory against the Anaheim Ducks three two

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Speaker 2: three two was the score in the first two matchups.

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Speaker 2: But the numbers are pointing towards the over. Six goals here,

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Speaker 2: Winnipeg is twenty three thirteen and three to the under

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Speaker 2: at home. We've been riding this a lot, however, They're

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Speaker 2: six and four to the over over their last ten.

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Speaker 2: Calgary is seven and three to the over on the

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Speaker 2: road and twenty one seventeen and one overall this year,

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Speaker 2: four and one over their last five. Mark Strom is

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Speaker 2: up against Hellabuck Okay again three two three two. The

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Speaker 2: first two matchups they've split. This home team has won

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Speaker 2: both games, so I lean towards the Jets here, but

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Speaker 2: I think Calgary is going to come out with their

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Speaker 2: hair on fire. No pun intended after losing last night,

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Speaker 2: but they're on a back to back, so it's hard

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Speaker 2: to back a team that's on a back to back,

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Speaker 2: just given the fact they lost to the Blackhawks. Now,

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Speaker 2: maybe that's an anomaly, Maybe that's just a fluky thing

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Speaker 2: and the Jets come in here, but I think we're

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Speaker 2: gonna get at minimum a push, but there's a decent

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Speaker 2: shot we get a four to three final here with

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Speaker 2: this one. Calgary has eighty seven points, the Jets have

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Speaker 2: eighty nine points, and I know the thought is going

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Speaker 2: to be, well, it's going to be a playoff game, Matt,

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Speaker 2: this is going to be another three to two final.

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Speaker 1: I don't think so.

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Speaker 2: Not with the Flames playing the way that they're playing,

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Speaker 2: not with the Jets scoring the way that they're scoring.

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Speaker 2: It's a little weird to look at Calgary. I mean, sorry,

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Speaker 2: look at look at Winnipeg and the way their games

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Speaker 2: have gone. Calgary five, three, eight and seven goals scored

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Speaker 2: over their last four games. It's not really what we expect.

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Speaker 2: Like the two to one against the Coyotes, that's what

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Speaker 2: we expect, not the six to two against the Red

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Speaker 2: Wings or the six to one against the Devils.

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Speaker 1: That's a little odd.

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Speaker 2: So I'm gonna take a shot here knowing it's six,

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Speaker 2: and I don't want to get beat with an open

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Speaker 2: net goal, all right, I don't want to.

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Speaker 1: There's a push potential here.

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Speaker 2: Yes, five goals could very well be the number, Okay,

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Speaker 2: but I think given its juice to the over slightly,

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Speaker 2: I think we take a shot with the old philosophy

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Speaker 2: that you we have six, we bet over just in case.

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Speaker 1: Okay, this is a tough game to bet.

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Speaker 2: I'm not going to deny, okay, but I think six

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Speaker 2: is a good number to fire on this simply because

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Speaker 2: both Calgary and Winnipeg have been scoring a lot more

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Speaker 2: and I'm not in love with the goaltenders the way

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Speaker 2: they're playing right now. Over six Winnipeg Calgary minus one fifteen.

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Speaker 2: Now to baseball, it's Patrick Corbin day. The Nationals are

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Speaker 2: playing the Rays. There's like a million ways to bet this.

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Speaker 2: You can bet the Rays on the money line, you

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Speaker 2: can bet the Rays here to you know, in the

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Speaker 2: over over for the game if you want, Corbyn's gonna

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Speaker 2: give up some runs. It's really wild to look at

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Speaker 2: the offense right now here for the Rays, they're pounding

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Speaker 2: the baseball in this series, in particular, they've been pounding

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Speaker 2: the baseball. Yesterday Tampa Bay getting a really nice big

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Speaker 2: win and scoring you know, ten runs against Washington they

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Speaker 2: scored ten.

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Speaker 1: So here they are.

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Speaker 2: It's an early start time, okay, so again we're gonna

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Speaker 2: be watching these start times. It's a ten oh five

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Speaker 2: Pacific time one oh five Eastern time start for the

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Speaker 2: Rays at the Nationals. But it's McClanahan against Patrick Corbyn.

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Speaker 2: We fitted him already once this year, era of six.

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Speaker 2: They pulled him quickly. Hopefully the Natch will leave him

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Speaker 2: in the game longer than when they did the first

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Speaker 2: In the first game they let them, you know, they

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Speaker 2: pulled him faster three innings. Razers scored six runs and

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Speaker 2: ten runs in the first two games. Team total at

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Speaker 2: BETMGM for the Rays is four and a half. Now

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Speaker 2: it's juiced to minus one thirty. But I feel pretty

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Speaker 2: good here that either we get the runs off Patrick

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Speaker 2: Corbyn or we get the runs off the bullpen. This

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Speaker 2: is the same bet that we made an opening Day

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Speaker 2: when we bet who did we bet against Corbyn on

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Speaker 2: their team total? The Braves? It's Braves team total at

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Speaker 2: four and a half we bet the over. Now we

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Speaker 2: went to the ninth inning to get it. But it's

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Speaker 2: the same bet. I'm making the same play. I think

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Speaker 2: it's a smart bet to make here up against Patrick Corbyn.

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Speaker 2: I think mcclanahan's going to be dominant. It's expensive. It's

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Speaker 2: minus two to sixty on the money line. It's minus like,

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Speaker 2: what's the final number? Here was minus two on the

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Speaker 2: run line. If you want Patrick Corbyn, it is minus

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Speaker 2: one forty on the run line. I'm not laying that

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Speaker 2: to get one and a half runs, no, thank you.

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Speaker 2: I just want to go with the team total for

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Speaker 2: the Raids. Shrink it down, smaller targets, one point three

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Speaker 2: units down over four and a half runs. Ray's team

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Speaker 2: total against Patrick Corbin over four and a half at

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Speaker 2: bet MGM is minus one thirty here tonight, now de

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Speaker 2: gram is pitching.

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Speaker 1: The Rangers are up against the Orioles. I don't know

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Speaker 1: what to do with.

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Speaker 2: This because the Orioles are expected to throw a rookie

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Speaker 2: named Grayson Rodriguez, one of their top pitching prospects. They

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Speaker 2: were supposed to throw Kyle Bradish, but he left yesterday

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Speaker 2: with a foot injury, and that got Tyler wells up.

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Speaker 2: He had to pitch, so Kyle Gibson might be taking

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Speaker 2: the ball here to the who pitched Kyle Gibson pitched

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Speaker 2: last night got shelled. So I don't know what to

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Speaker 2: do exactly here with this. A part of me says,

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Speaker 2: go ahead and take the Rangers on the run line

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Speaker 2: at plus one fifteen. I don't hate that, just not

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Speaker 2: in love with it, given the fact that de gram

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Speaker 2: got hit pretty hard in his first outing. Now normally

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Speaker 2: from outing one downing two. Look what happened in the

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Speaker 2: first outing for al Contra, who gave up three runs.

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Speaker 2: Second start, complete games, shutout, one nothing, we went We've

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Speaker 2: been under seven one nothing final. I mean, that's as

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Speaker 2: beautiful as an under bet you're ever gonna get one

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Speaker 2: nothing win for the Marlins up against a pretty feisty

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Speaker 2: Twins team that was hitting the ball pretty well. So

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Speaker 2: al Contre was tremendous. So he got that done. One

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Speaker 2: nothing to win there. So I don't know what to

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Speaker 2: do with this. Seven and a half is the total

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Speaker 2: I want to bet under. Three and a half is

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Speaker 2: the first five under I want to bet under. But

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Speaker 2: this rookie makes this game unplayable. I just can't play it.

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Speaker 2: I don't know what to make of it. Maybe a

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Speaker 2: strikeout prop for de Gram if you like, but I

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Speaker 2: don't know what to do. It makes it almost unplayable

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Speaker 2: for me right now because this rookie is starting for

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Speaker 2: the Orioles.

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Speaker 1: It's too much of an unknown.

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Speaker 2: So Atani day show, Hay's pitching show, Hey is just ridiculous.

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Speaker 2: They gave him no help on opening day. First pitcher

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Speaker 2: ever to have ten k's an opening day and lose

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Speaker 2: the baseball game. Atani on the mound, the Angels are

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Speaker 2: playing the Mariners. Kris Chris Flexen is getting this start.

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Speaker 2: Robbie Ray was supposed to start, but Chris Flexen's in

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Speaker 2: this place. Could Robber Rigg get hurt Flexen? We don't

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Speaker 2: know how long he's gonna go for three innings, four innings,

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Speaker 2: five innings. This feels like a bullpen game up against

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Speaker 2: shoe Hey Otani with a Wednesday getaway start time of

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Speaker 2: one ten Pacific four to ten Eastern. It's plus money

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Speaker 2: on Otani on the run line. I don't know how

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Speaker 2: you don't do this. There's three wins on the year

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Speaker 2: right now for the Angels and all three have been

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Speaker 2: on the run line thirteen to one, six nothing, seven

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Speaker 2: to three. Their losses were eleven to two yesterday to

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Speaker 2: the Mariners and two to one to the A's an

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Speaker 2: opening day. I can't see them losing the first two

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Speaker 2: starts for Otani. I mean it's they're gonna win every

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Speaker 2: start basically he pitches after. I mean, they lost an

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Speaker 2: opening day, but they need to win as many games

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Speaker 2: as possible with a Tani pitching on top of the

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Speaker 2: fact that they got shelled yesterday. And I don't know

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Speaker 2: what to make a Chris Flexen, to be quite honest,

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Speaker 2: and I think this bullpen for the Mariners on a getaway.

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Speaker 2: I think it's okay. Angels run line is plus money.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna jump in here with Otani. Hopefully he gets,

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Speaker 2: you know, more than six innings. Here goes seven innings

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Speaker 2: or so. He let him stretch out just a little

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Speaker 2: bit and the offense comes to life and they power

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Speaker 2: and then you know, it's five to nothing or something,

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Speaker 2: and we're roll in here with the Angels. I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: lay the one and a half runs Angels plus one

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Speaker 2: fifteen on the run line with Atani pitching against the

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Speaker 2: Mariners here for one unit, Okay, so one point one

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Speaker 2: five units down on the over six for Winnipeg and Calgary.

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Speaker 2: We're going with one point three units down for the

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Speaker 2: for the Raised team total against the Nationals over four

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Speaker 2: and a half runs scored and the run line for

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Speaker 2: the Angels up against the Mariners at plus one fifteen,

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Speaker 2: so one unit down on that. So right now we've

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Speaker 2: got about one three point four to five units out

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Speaker 2: in play. There will be two NBA player props that

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Speaker 2: will jump in later today, okay, so that will round

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Speaker 2: out the card about four units or so. And play

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Speaker 2: for the card here on a Wednesday. If I want

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Speaker 2: to add anything at nights, I will do so on

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Speaker 2: the Discord channel, bettingpros dot Com, slash Chat, or the

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Speaker 2: link is underneath me here on YouTube. Min's Matt Parole's

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Speaker 2: following me on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt. Every morning

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Speaker 2: it is the Diligence Podcast being brought to you by

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Speaker 2: Bedam Jam