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Speaker 1: The volume.

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Speaker 2: What is going on everybody? How are we doing? Fired up?

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Speaker 2: Like last week, I have a some travel plans and

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Speaker 2: schedule this week that has kind of thrown everything off.

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Speaker 2: So we recorded. I'm recording this on Wednesday with Stucky

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Speaker 2: and going over all the NFL slate from a gambling perspective,

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Speaker 2: some of the big games in college football. We typically

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Speaker 2: do this on Thursday and then put it out on Friday.

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Speaker 2: We're going to day early this week. So my guy

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Speaker 2: Stucky from Action Network, he yeah, we'll sling some ideas

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Speaker 2: and take some thoughts on the different games this weekend

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Speaker 2: off each other and kind of trying to figure this

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Speaker 2: slight out, which you know, I would say is not

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Speaker 2: the greatest slate of games you'll ever see, But that's

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Speaker 2: why God made gambling, and that's why we're gonna hammer it.

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Speaker 2: We got arch Manning going to Gainesville playing Florida, who's

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Speaker 2: really good on defense. We got Florida State Miami, a

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Speaker 2: game I grew up on. Bobby Bowden against the Hurricanes

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Speaker 2: was always fantastic, and that's what we will do. So, yeah,

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Speaker 2: you guys know the drill. But before we dive into

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Speaker 2: into Stuckey, I gotta tell you about my friends, my Partners.

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Speaker 2: one of these games? I would love Florida Texas would

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Speaker 2: be pretty sweet, probably the last who Raw. So if

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Speaker 2: you live in Florida, Florida State, Miami, you want to

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Speaker 2: go to one of these games? What did I tell

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Speaker 2: wild Card Round and it's like, it's just intense. That

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Speaker 2: Red Sox Yankee game feels like an NFL game. Every

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Speaker 2: pitch matters. People are hanging on the edge of their seat,

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Speaker 2: especially in a close game late in the game, watching

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Speaker 2: Last minute tickets, lowest prices guarantee. Okay, back at it

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Speaker 2: again with my main man, Stucky from the Action Network.

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Speaker 2: You can find them Big Bets on campus the Action

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Speaker 2: Network podcast. Make sure you go subscribe for all your

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Speaker 2: gambling needs. All lines on this podcast are presented by

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Speaker 2: our friends at hard Rock Bet. We got a lot

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Speaker 2: going on, stuck you. You and I were talking before

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Speaker 2: we press record. I saw this clip of Fangio, who's

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Speaker 2: just you know, Fangio. He's super rich, he's now a

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Speaker 2: super Bowl champion. He's probably I don't watch his press

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Speaker 2: conference every week, but he's he has no filter and

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Speaker 2: he just kind of, hey, guys, do we all realize

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Speaker 2: what's going on with these kicking balls? And I don't

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Speaker 2: think most people do because everyone's just like, oh, these

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Speaker 2: kickers are crazy. You and I started watching football in

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Speaker 2: the nineties. A forty five yard field goal was considered long.

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Speaker 2: If you hit a fifty yarder, it was like the

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Speaker 2: equivalent of like, yeah, it was like a Hail Mary

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Speaker 2: on offense. It was crazy now, and even Fangio said it,

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Speaker 2: like the Kit Dallas is going to hit a seventy

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Speaker 2: yard field goal, like get ready, it's coming, and everyone

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Speaker 2: else like we prepare for sixty yard field goals. So

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Speaker 2: it's like sixty is the old fifty, you know, it's

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Speaker 2: kind of like inflation. And he was talking about the

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Speaker 2: kicking balls, but that has changed. I mean, let's face it,

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Speaker 2: we got to factor that into gambling. You know these lines.

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Speaker 2: Someone hit me up on DMS like, should a sixty

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Speaker 2: plus yard er now be worth four? And I would

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Speaker 2: say yeah, in the old world maybe, but now it's

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Speaker 2: not as long for these guys. So is it throwing

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Speaker 2: you out of whack a little bit with these field goals?

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Speaker 1: Yeah? I mean it's Tanjo pipe that up because mclaughland,

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Speaker 1: Chase McLachlan had a sixty five yarder at the end

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Speaker 1: of the half outdoors in Tampa and it had room

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Speaker 1: to spare. So yeah, that we're going to see a

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Speaker 1: seventy one soon enough. I mean we saw what was

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Speaker 1: what was.

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Speaker 2: The do you want? Did you watch the Lane dock

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Speaker 2: when he when he threw out sea bass for was

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Speaker 2: a seventy six?

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Speaker 1: Yes? That was Yeah. Cam Little hit a seventy yarder

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Speaker 1: this preseason for the Jags doesn't officially count, but he

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Speaker 1: hit it from seventy Yeah, Lane that was when seventy

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Speaker 1: six yard It was the week he got fired the

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Speaker 1: next week and it like came up like fifteen yards short.

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Speaker 1: That was that was outrageous.

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Speaker 2: So what was what was justin Tucker's in Detroit?

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Speaker 1: Like six which is the current record because cook because uh,

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Speaker 1: cam Little's in the preseason obviously doesn't count, so it

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Speaker 1: was preseason. But that's the longest it's ever been hit

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Speaker 1: in any game, preseason or regular season. But the regular

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Speaker 1: season record is sixty six Tuckers, which was indoors. But yeah,

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Speaker 1: I mean you saw Glackland Outdoors hit it from sixty

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Speaker 1: five with these last week, which is why Fangio probably

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Speaker 1: brought it up. And teams aren't able before they just

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Speaker 1: handed you three balls and then you add an hour

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Speaker 1: to prep them. Now you can, you have you can

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Speaker 1: you have a limited time to prep your balls, you know,

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Speaker 1: kind of mold them to how you want them to be,

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Speaker 1: the feel and it's obviously kickers get those balls to

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Speaker 1: how they you know, and and they get the feel

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Speaker 1: for those balls and they practice with them, and uh,

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Speaker 1: it's going to lead to longer field goals. I think

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Speaker 1: the league did it there. Maybe there was some there

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Speaker 1: was some rumors that some teams are kind of bending

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Speaker 1: the rules a little bit with that, but they want

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Speaker 1: more points and like that's that, that's what they're trying

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Speaker 1: to do. With the kickoff rule. It really impacts the

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Speaker 1: end of games, like you have to be really smart

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Speaker 1: as a coach to man like coaches botched so many

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Speaker 1: end game scenarios. But it's even more tenuous now because

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Speaker 1: you if you score with twenty seconds left, like with

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Speaker 1: a new kickoff rule, they could be starting at the

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Speaker 1: thirty five ford or forty and then with these new

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Speaker 1: cables like you could might you only need to get

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Speaker 1: one first down and then all of a sudden you're

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Speaker 1: in a field goal range.

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Speaker 2: Well, twenty years ago, the dack to ferguson to the

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Speaker 2: kicker making the whatever it was in the Giants game,

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Speaker 2: probably wouldn't have been possible. You're starting at the twenty,

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Speaker 2: you don't have much time left. You would need what.

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Speaker 1: For think it's like the thirty five, so you would

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Speaker 1: need a long way forty five yards. And now if

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Speaker 1: you're starting at the thirty five and kickers are making

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Speaker 1: them from sixty, you know you only need now twenty

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Speaker 1: like you need half the yards pretty much than what

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Speaker 1: you used to. So yeah, it's it's definitely changing the game,

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Speaker 1: and we're going to continue to see longer field goals

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Speaker 1: and the accuracy on his longer field goals continue to uptick. Fangio.

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Speaker 1: I watch a ton of pressers every week College and

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Speaker 1: NFL on like the fastest you could possibly watch them

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Speaker 1: in the background, and I'm just listening for some nuggets

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Speaker 1: here and there, injury updates, whatever. But Fanjo is one

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Speaker 1: of the ones I love listening to because he's an

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Speaker 1: open book, like he'll tell you, yeah, he'll he'll just

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Speaker 1: share like thoughts on scheme and personnel, and I love

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Speaker 1: listening to his press conferences, so wasn't shocked that he

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Speaker 1: was the one that brought that up.

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Speaker 2: He also is one of the rare guys that talks

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Speaker 2: like it's still the eighties or nineties. He'll just be like, yeah,

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Speaker 2: Jalen Carter's fat, Yeah, you know, like no other coordinator.

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Speaker 2: I mean, he's like it's not totally his fault, but yeah,

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Speaker 2: he's he needs to lose about tench Like he just

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Speaker 2: talks like a coach would talk back in the day,

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Speaker 2: and now you know, all these coaches beat around the

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Speaker 2: bush with any you know, high profile player, he gives

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Speaker 2: no shitsuh. And if if everyone did it, I mean,

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Speaker 2: all these press conferences would go so viral of just

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Speaker 2: people saying it's like the solid thing, what was your

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Speaker 2: take on one? The whole fighting thing. It's like, Robert,

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Speaker 2: you're saying you're gonna murder this guy, like you're not

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Speaker 2: gonna touch this guy, Like you're not gonna get on

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Speaker 2: a fight on the field, even though that would have

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Speaker 2: been incredible if it happened. But yeah, he walked it

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Speaker 2: back yesterday saying he truly was trying to give the

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Speaker 2: guy a compliment. Liam Cohen was clearly offended. You know,

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Speaker 2: it felt like Robert was trying to diminish. You know,

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Speaker 2: people in niner Land thought, like Saula is bitter that

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Speaker 2: he didn't get the job. I don't know. I mean,

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Speaker 2: I I just like, I this is this type story

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Speaker 2: that I the fight part was kind of entertaining, but

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Speaker 2: the whole sein stealing. Liam Cohen being bitter, it's like

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Speaker 2: he lost the game. Just go go to your locker room.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, Sala was actually like trying to give

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Speaker 1: him a compliment. But like I get why he was

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Speaker 1: salty because like he was because he mentioned like sign stealing,

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Speaker 1: but he was saying, like they have a legal system

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Speaker 1: where they're able to gain an edge. You know there

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Speaker 1: unless these two teams get to the super Bowl, Jacksonville San

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Speaker 1: Francisco is not gonna turn into anything of rivalry. So

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Speaker 1: it's not like these teams see each other often. So yeah,

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Speaker 1: it'll it'll probably die click. But it was. It was

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Speaker 1: a nice little fun moment at the end of that game.

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Speaker 1: But uh, it's I didn't take too much from it.

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Speaker 2: Okay, let's just fire in some games. We got another

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Speaker 2: international game Minnesota, who is just in shambles health wise.

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Speaker 2: I mean, their offensive line is a major problem. But

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Speaker 2: I saw this morning. We're recording this on Wednesday. Miles

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Speaker 2: did he get hurt during the game. He didn't practice

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Speaker 2: on Wednesday. He's got an ankle injury. To me, if

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Speaker 2: he's fully healthy, I mean that that would be a

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Speaker 2: major problem for them. I still like Cleveland. I also

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Speaker 2: saw that Stefanski said, you know, it just shows you

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Speaker 2: I feel bad for Dylan Gabriel, Like everyone's rooting against

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Speaker 2: him because they want to see Shador. It's like, guys,

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Speaker 2: Dylan Gabriel, I'll keep beating this drum. People act like

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Speaker 2: he came from UC Like, guys, he was just starting

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Speaker 2: in Oregon. You know, this is this is not some

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Speaker 2: and before that he was in Oklahoma, Like this isn't

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Speaker 2: some scrub. He's not my cup of tea. But I

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Speaker 2: think people are acting like he how's this guy even starting?

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Speaker 1: Well?

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Speaker 2: Shoot? Or is not even the backup? Joe Flacco is

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Speaker 2: going to be the backup? Uh, But they'll go with

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Speaker 2: the quarterback change against Minnesota and Brian Flores, which you

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Speaker 2: know could be a little difficult on the on the

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Speaker 2: little guy. But I that that offensive line. I know

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Speaker 2: Wentz put up some numbers, but TJ and company was

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Speaker 2: wrecking Havoc like that. That version of the Steelers that

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Speaker 2: we saw was like, okay, you know, physically, that's a

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Speaker 2: little bit more of what I thought we were getting

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Speaker 2: when they were up whatever the score was, like twenty

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Speaker 2: four to six or whatever early in the second half.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, has been I don't have high smith a seiers.

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Speaker 1: He's been pretty bad this year. That I think had

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Speaker 1: more to do with Minnesota and the Browns defense has

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Speaker 1: been dominant all year long against the run, against the pass,

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Speaker 1: and they did it against Burrow. They did it against

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Speaker 1: even against Detroit last week. They held that offense in check.

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Speaker 1: There was a bunch of turnovers like they had the

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Speaker 1: Lions had an interception return to the five and scored

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Speaker 1: a touchdown. And you know, they held them to under

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Speaker 1: three hundred yards, under three yards, under four yards to carry.

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Speaker 1: They held that that offense in check.

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Speaker 2: Their defense is top notch.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, so yeah, I just texted my god and he

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Speaker 1: says he thinks Garrett will play, which is big. But yeah,

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Speaker 1: that's I think it's obviously not ideal that from a

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Speaker 1: spot perspective, I did bet the Browns, but it's not

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Speaker 1: ideal that you're making the quarterback change going overseas, playing

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Speaker 1: O'Brian flores defense to a rookie for his first start

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Speaker 1: while that team's already overseas. So I don't know that's

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Speaker 1: worth like a half point right there. But yeah, I mean,

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Speaker 1: the Vikings are their offensive line. You're gonna know Brian O'Neill,

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Speaker 1: no Donovan Jackson, no Ryan Kelly, I assume. So you're

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Speaker 1: down to like Justin's school, Michael Jurgens at Senators like

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Speaker 1: a seventh round draftic at a wake Forest Blake Brandle

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Speaker 1: had left guard like it's bad, and Wentz under pressure

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Speaker 1: is bad. I mean he's has a thirty percent pressure

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Speaker 1: to sack ratio, ten percent turnover worthy play rate going

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Speaker 1: up against this Browns front which has dominated everybody. They're

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Speaker 1: number one in run block wing rate, number one and

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Speaker 1: pass block win rate. So I think that the Browns

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Speaker 1: defensive line is going to dominate this game. So what

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Speaker 1: can the Browns do? So, yeah, it's not gonna be easy,

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Speaker 1: but it looks like Van Ginkel will be out. They

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Speaker 1: also miss Blake Cashman and the Rundee, so they're like

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Speaker 1: the Vikings are twenty sixth and rush epa twentieth and

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Speaker 1: rushed success rate, so you can run on them. So

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Speaker 1: I assume that's just what Stephans is gonna do here.

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Speaker 1: It's gonna just lean on Judkins, who has look good

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Speaker 1: and he's he's done well against stack boxes too, and

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Speaker 1: then easy pass like just easy short passes, and like

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Speaker 1: Flacco has been so bad, he's not mobile either that

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Speaker 1: you can get Gaber out like some bootlegs. He can

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Speaker 1: move a little bit. And for what it's worth, Minnesota

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Speaker 1: and floors, they're gonna blitz a lot and then they

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Speaker 1: might even up their blitz rate as they as Flora's

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Speaker 1: done in the past against rookie quarterbacks, so he's had

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Speaker 1: a ton of success against But Gabriel against the blitz

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Speaker 1: in college was an absolute monster. He had sixty three

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Speaker 1: touchdowns and seven interceptions against the blitz in his college career.

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Speaker 1: It's a nine to one ratio. When he wasn't blitzed,

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Speaker 1: his ninety two touchdowns twenty five picks about three and

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Speaker 1: a half to one. So he's always been really good

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Speaker 1: against the blitz with just like the quick decision making,

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Speaker 1: quick passes, which is what I think this offen is

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Speaker 1: gonna be. They're just gonna lean on the run game,

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Speaker 1: and I think that their defense can control this game.

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Speaker 1: Like what is Wentz going to be able to do?

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Speaker 1: Not much Like they're gonna play man on the outside

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Speaker 1: and Wentz is They're not going to have time to

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Speaker 1: get open. So there's gonna be lots of negative plays here.

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Speaker 1: I wouldn't be surprised if, like Garrett strips, Wentz causes

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Speaker 1: a couple turnovers. So yeah, it's not the best spot

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Speaker 1: and there's a lot of variants because it's a rookie quarterback.

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Speaker 1: But I think the Browns rely on the run, rely

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Speaker 1: on their d This total is down to thirty six.

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Speaker 1: There's no weather, it's so low. I mean, I could

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Speaker 1: see this game, honestly, shout to all the people in London,

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Speaker 1: this is the treat we're giving you. I could see

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Speaker 1: this game ending like ten to seven, honestly. So I

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Speaker 1: had to take the points where total as low. With

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Speaker 1: the Vikings offensive line and Wentz at quarterback against this defense,

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Speaker 1: I'll take the points.

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Speaker 2: I do think the Minnesota is in a weird spot here.

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Speaker 2: You know, then they get the Eagles, then they get

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Speaker 2: at the Chargers, then they play the Lions, and then

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Speaker 2: you know, depending on when JJ's ready to come back.

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Speaker 2: If it's in that stretch, you just you can find

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Speaker 2: yourself you're back against the wall a little bit with

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Speaker 2: this completely unproven quarterback with some injuries. Season kind of

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Speaker 2: get away from you in that you realize, Yeah, so

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Speaker 2: it's like, I know the Packers are kind of struggling,

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Speaker 2: but the Lions clearly are solid, and let's face the

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Speaker 2: Bears are gonna be feisty.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, you can tick it too far by in that division,

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Speaker 1: But I do assume Garrett will play. In the past,

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Speaker 1: He's done this a bunch. He he's probably the best

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Speaker 1: defensive player and you know, throwing out him parsons, but

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Speaker 1: he just doesn't like to practice sometimes, so he'll just

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Speaker 1: say he has an injury, and then he'll like, uh,

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Speaker 1: he like drives up to like the local gas station

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Speaker 1: in Cleveland and just hangs out like eat seeds with

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Speaker 1: like people like just instead of practicing. So uh, Garrett

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Speaker 1: has done that in the past. He's just like, I

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Speaker 1: don't feel like practicing this week, and so he'll be like,

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Speaker 1: my ankle hurts. I don't know, he could have an injury.

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Speaker 2: But when you're when you're when you're that, when you're

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Speaker 2: that good, I mean, who even cares. He's he's at

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Speaker 2: like the level of like, yeah, I don't even complain.

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Speaker 2: Denver at Philly, I saw, I've seen it twice now,

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Speaker 2: the montage of the passes in the second half. I

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Speaker 2: mean it was pretty ugly. Philly's in this weird spot, right, Champs.

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Speaker 2: They just keep winning. AJ clearly is not happy. And

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Speaker 2: every week that goes by, that dude's throwing a little

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Speaker 2: gas lean on the fire. He has another week and

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Speaker 2: this is clearly gonna be a tough week. Given that

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Speaker 2: you know, Denver secondary is pretty good. I can't imagine

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Speaker 2: Jalen's just all of a sudden against this team's gonna

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Speaker 2: throw for three hundred yards, so you're gonna get Eventually

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Speaker 2: he's gonna crack and just I if I'm prognosticating, is

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Speaker 2: in like a couple of weeks he's gonna come out

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Speaker 2: and said everything Brandon Graham said last year was true.

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Speaker 2: I was forced to lie and pretend it wasn't. Like

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Speaker 2: we're a couple of weeks away from that. Denver, like,

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Speaker 2: I don't know what to really make against Cincinnati. You

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Speaker 2: talk about Minnesota's offensive line, issu's that offensive line, it's

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Speaker 2: fucking atrocious. I get Denver's got a good pass rush,

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Speaker 2: but that was it. I mean, even if you put

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Speaker 2: Burrow in that spot, he would have been I mean

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Speaker 2: there were a couple of plays where you're like, is

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Speaker 2: Brown ain't gonna be able to get up? I mean

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Speaker 2: he was getting destroyed. But I don't know, man, I mean,

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Speaker 2: how often can you play with an offense that can't

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Speaker 2: pass the ball. The pressure it's putting on the defense.

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Speaker 2: I kind of like den in the spot plus three

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Speaker 2: and a half. I actually don't really hate him just

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Speaker 2: outright in this.

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Speaker 1: Game, Yeah, I could see them winning this game now

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Speaker 1: is a short week coming across the country. But I

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Speaker 1: did play Denver. There's still four and a half I

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Speaker 1: think out there, if you shop around, I think with

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Speaker 1: maybe a four.

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Speaker 2: How does Jalen play so well in the Super Bowl

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Speaker 2: and then struggle to pass so much?

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Speaker 1: It's it's insane. It's it's an enigma. I do think

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Speaker 1: the offensive coordinator it's a huge downgrade. So you can

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Speaker 1: just see it in the play creativity. But the Eagles

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Speaker 1: are a lot worse than were last year defensively, Like

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Speaker 1: they're just they're like a mid by all of the

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Speaker 1: the metrics. They're like an average defense so far this year.

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Speaker 1: Jalen Carter might not play, that's pretty big news. Lane

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Speaker 1: Johnson might not play. That would be massive. I mean,

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Speaker 1: Lane Johnson might be their best offensive player like that,

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Speaker 1: which is crazy to say, but he's like might be,

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Speaker 1: you know, because you have Barkley Brown, but Lane Johnson

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Speaker 1: is that dominant. The Eagles are one oh five fifty

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Speaker 1: five and one with Lane Johnson. It's a sixty seven

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Speaker 1: percent win percentage. Without them, they're a fifteen to twenty

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Speaker 1: three under forty percent. They had nine plays for negative

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Speaker 1: nine yards without them. In the second half against the

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Speaker 1: Bucks last week. So yeah, but the offensive line in general,

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Speaker 1: like especially if you take Johnson out, the entire interior

392
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Speaker 1: like they're not I don't think they're fully healthy, but

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Speaker 1: the intererer is playing really poorly. Johnson is now hurt.

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Speaker 1: I mean, look at Barkley. Barkley in the second half

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Speaker 1: last year second half of games, averaged six point six

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Speaker 1: point seven yards per carry. This year, he's averaging two

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Speaker 1: point seven. So like, there's no there's no explosiveness. The

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Speaker 1: run game isn't even there, the passing game isn't there.

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Speaker 1: That bot of it, I think is the coordinator. The

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Speaker 1: offensive line has dropped off, and the defense lost a

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Speaker 1: lot of talent. So this team is getting by on

402
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Speaker 1: smoking mirrors. I mean, they beat the Rams, they were

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Speaker 1: down nineteen. They went on a block field goal. The

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00:20:47,760 --> 00:20:52,080
Speaker 1: Bucks last week they had they had negative nine yards

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Speaker 1: in the second half. Now it includes a negative thirty

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Speaker 1: yard safety. So but really they had twenty total yards

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Speaker 1: of offense, Like when twenty three plays. They don't get

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Speaker 1: a block punt in that game, and they're playing a

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Speaker 1: Bucks team that was decimated by injuries. Get fortune in

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Speaker 1: that game, like the Cowboys game could have went either way.

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Speaker 1: The Chiefs the Chiefs Kelsey drops a touchdown and turns

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Speaker 1: into an interception at the one. So like, this team

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Speaker 1: has been so lucky and now you're going up against

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Speaker 1: this Broncos defense, but with your offensive line issues, and

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Speaker 1: like the one thing that they could do is they throw,

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Speaker 1: like they either throw like a slant to Brown when

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Speaker 1: they do throw to them, or like this just like

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Speaker 1: get out of jail free, like comeback round. But you're

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Speaker 1: gonna be going against Pat certain bry the best cover corner

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Speaker 1: in the laitue, so like, good luck doing that. He

421
00:21:38,440 --> 00:21:42,679
Speaker 1: can take that away. So yeah, I think, and I

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Speaker 1: think the Eagles run dye this year is a lot worse.

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Speaker 1: I mean they're thirtieth in rush success rate. So Denver

424
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Speaker 1: can lean on its ground game here. This should be

425
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Speaker 1: a lower scoring game. There's this like the dog, it's

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Speaker 1: a dog or nothing. And I agree with you. I

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Speaker 1: did play Denver.

428
00:21:58,880 --> 00:22:01,119
Speaker 2: This's got like ten three at half and as the

429
00:22:01,119 --> 00:22:06,119
Speaker 2: Eagles are running off the field getting booed, Yeah that's

430
00:22:06,200 --> 00:22:08,800
Speaker 2: what and I'm with you, And this is I mean,

431
00:22:08,800 --> 00:22:10,920
Speaker 2: it's no slide. I mean the Eagles have created two

432
00:22:11,119 --> 00:22:14,960
Speaker 2: offensive coordinators to become head coaches. It's just hard to

433
00:22:15,000 --> 00:22:16,840
Speaker 2: replace your offensive coordinator every year.

434
00:22:17,240 --> 00:22:19,040
Speaker 1: This happened a couple of years ago, Brian Johnson. Their

435
00:22:19,080 --> 00:22:22,280
Speaker 1: offense is, yeah, a disaster, but they're the Eagles are

436
00:22:22,320 --> 00:22:25,040
Speaker 1: like the new Chiefs, like they're just they won the

437
00:22:25,119 --> 00:22:28,840
Speaker 1: Super Bowl and then it looks ugly, but they just

438
00:22:28,920 --> 00:22:32,120
Speaker 1: win somehow on like weird things by the three.

439
00:22:32,520 --> 00:22:37,359
Speaker 2: So like all your metrics, all your metrics that you're saying,

440
00:22:37,480 --> 00:22:39,480
Speaker 2: I think Eagles fans would be like, okay, well, clearly

441
00:22:39,520 --> 00:22:40,680
Speaker 2: the Chiefs are gonna be pretty good.

442
00:22:40,680 --> 00:22:40,840
Speaker 1: Now.

443
00:22:40,920 --> 00:22:42,919
Speaker 2: They beat the Chiefs and they beat two of the

444
00:22:42,960 --> 00:22:45,239
Speaker 2: best teams in the NFC, so it's like you can

445
00:22:45,280 --> 00:22:46,960
Speaker 2: say whatever you want, but we fucking won the game

446
00:22:47,000 --> 00:22:47,640
Speaker 2: they didn't.

447
00:22:47,480 --> 00:22:50,200
Speaker 1: Which is all Chiefs fans used to say. Like last

448
00:22:50,240 --> 00:22:52,399
Speaker 1: year the Chiefs won eleven, they went eleven and all

449
00:22:52,440 --> 00:22:55,040
Speaker 1: one session games, and then their offense like hurts and

450
00:22:55,080 --> 00:22:57,400
Speaker 1: they turn it on in the playoffs like they're they're

451
00:22:57,400 --> 00:22:59,960
Speaker 1: the new Chiefs. But I played the Broncos here. They're

452
00:23:00,400 --> 00:23:03,800
Speaker 1: Their defense as of right now, will be the best

453
00:23:04,560 --> 00:23:07,280
Speaker 1: union on the field. So yeah, I think in the

454
00:23:07,320 --> 00:23:09,240
Speaker 1: lower scoring game, you got to take over a field.

455
00:23:09,000 --> 00:23:11,920
Speaker 2: Goal Okay, let's talk about the AFC forty nine ers.

456
00:23:12,200 --> 00:23:16,520
Speaker 2: Your entire team is injured. Welcome to the party. And

457
00:23:17,160 --> 00:23:20,120
Speaker 2: I saw the number I think was it Monday morning

458
00:23:20,160 --> 00:23:22,959
Speaker 2: when I looked at the board that the Texans were like,

459
00:23:23,200 --> 00:23:24,840
Speaker 2: it was like plus one and a half. It is

460
00:23:24,920 --> 00:23:26,879
Speaker 2: now looking at it right now, they're minus one and

461
00:23:26,880 --> 00:23:30,080
Speaker 2: a half. All signs point to Lamar Jackson not playing

462
00:23:30,480 --> 00:23:36,359
Speaker 2: hamstring and you know, obviously that's enormous. But defensively, you know,

463
00:23:37,160 --> 00:23:39,640
Speaker 2: even if Lamar was playing, if Houston couldn't get right

464
00:23:39,680 --> 00:23:42,320
Speaker 2: against this unit, given their majority of their good players

465
00:23:42,359 --> 00:23:44,200
Speaker 2: are not gonna play, it would have been a major

466
00:23:44,200 --> 00:23:47,520
Speaker 2: red flag on the Texans. But if Lamar doesn't play

467
00:23:47,520 --> 00:23:51,359
Speaker 2: and all the defensive guys are clearly out, this Baltimore team,

468
00:23:51,720 --> 00:23:53,639
Speaker 2: it's got a little year from hell Field, doesn't it.

469
00:23:54,760 --> 00:23:58,560
Speaker 1: Yep? Yeah, it's a mess. I mean, like, not only

470
00:23:58,680 --> 00:24:00,879
Speaker 1: is it Lamar, Like the look the AAD live for

471
00:24:00,960 --> 00:24:04,920
Speaker 1: this game is like Raven's minus ten and then there

472
00:24:05,000 --> 00:24:07,359
Speaker 1: was like seven and a half out there earlier this week,

473
00:24:08,600 --> 00:24:10,680
Speaker 1: So I made this around nine and a half ten

474
00:24:11,040 --> 00:24:12,879
Speaker 1: and it would have been a really good Raven spot.

475
00:24:13,920 --> 00:24:16,800
Speaker 1: But then with all the injuries, and I'm talking like

476
00:24:17,119 --> 00:24:19,400
Speaker 1: Ronnie Stanley's he's hurt, he's banged up. If he doesn't

477
00:24:19,400 --> 00:24:21,119
Speaker 1: play against you, you know you're going up against two of

478
00:24:21,119 --> 00:24:23,720
Speaker 1: the best edge rushers with Cooper rush back there, and

479
00:24:23,720 --> 00:24:28,200
Speaker 1: your offense changes drastically. But on defense, your whole defensive

480
00:24:28,240 --> 00:24:30,080
Speaker 1: line is hurt. Not a bouquet, your most important one

481
00:24:30,119 --> 00:24:33,320
Speaker 1: is out for the year, ropewand Smith, your best linebacker,

482
00:24:33,440 --> 00:24:37,600
Speaker 1: Kyle van Ney, Nate Wagan's, Marlon Humphrey. I mean you're talking.

483
00:24:37,600 --> 00:24:39,920
Speaker 1: I mean you're talking like seven, six, seven, eight starters,

484
00:24:40,080 --> 00:24:42,359
Speaker 1: most of them Pro Bowlers, that could be out. So

485
00:24:42,400 --> 00:24:44,040
Speaker 1: then I have to take the Ravens down a couple

486
00:24:44,000 --> 00:24:48,199
Speaker 1: of points. I would project around seven, and then you

487
00:24:48,240 --> 00:24:50,600
Speaker 1: got to take Lamar out, which he's worth probably about

488
00:24:50,640 --> 00:24:54,400
Speaker 1: a touchdown. So I make this around a pick. Am

489
00:24:54,400 --> 00:24:57,280
Speaker 1: I that confident in the number? No, Like I I'm

490
00:24:57,280 --> 00:24:59,120
Speaker 1: trying to measure the I don't know exactly who's gonna

491
00:24:59,119 --> 00:25:02,520
Speaker 1: be out either, but just the amount of plus or injuries.

492
00:25:02,520 --> 00:25:04,439
Speaker 1: This this defense right now looks like the worst defense

493
00:25:04,600 --> 00:25:06,879
Speaker 1: in the league, which makes sense if you're playing with

494
00:25:06,920 --> 00:25:09,239
Speaker 1: that five or six your whole d line and then

495
00:25:09,280 --> 00:25:11,920
Speaker 1: five or six pro Bowlers. Tell me another team in

496
00:25:11,920 --> 00:25:14,560
Speaker 1: the league that can survive that, like everyone is coming

497
00:25:14,560 --> 00:25:18,359
Speaker 1: for zach Or's head. I have no idea. Like anyone

498
00:25:18,359 --> 00:25:20,200
Speaker 1: that took the Texans with a plus sign early in

499
00:25:20,240 --> 00:25:24,480
Speaker 1: the week probably a good bet. I won't be betting this.

500
00:25:24,520 --> 00:25:29,160
Speaker 1: I have zero clue. And uh yeah, it's a shame

501
00:25:29,240 --> 00:25:31,960
Speaker 1: that you want to know, is living a charmed life?

502
00:25:32,520 --> 00:25:37,560
Speaker 1: Is the the Rams they get? Now, maybe the gods

503
00:25:37,560 --> 00:25:39,919
Speaker 1: are paying paying them back for that blocked field goal.

504
00:25:39,960 --> 00:25:42,320
Speaker 1: They should pay me back. I haven't gotten any rewards

505
00:25:42,400 --> 00:25:45,240
Speaker 1: yet from that because I lost money on that. You know,

506
00:25:45,240 --> 00:25:48,680
Speaker 1: they get the eighty Mitchell dropped touchdown at the one

507
00:25:49,480 --> 00:25:51,560
Speaker 1: which flipped that game. Then they get the forty nine

508
00:25:51,680 --> 00:25:54,800
Speaker 1: Ers who have are decimated extra rest, and then they

509
00:25:54,840 --> 00:25:57,840
Speaker 1: play the Ravens next week, who are decimated. That's supposed

510
00:25:57,840 --> 00:26:00,000
Speaker 1: to be two of their hardest games on the scale,

511
00:26:01,080 --> 00:26:04,400
Speaker 1: and they might get both teams with just a bunch

512
00:26:04,440 --> 00:26:08,040
Speaker 1: of backups, which is massive for the season. So the

513
00:26:08,160 --> 00:26:11,159
Speaker 1: Rams are running well. But you know, I think that

514
00:26:13,040 --> 00:26:16,840
Speaker 1: because the Ravens have been so bad, Like people might think, oh,

515
00:26:16,840 --> 00:26:20,639
Speaker 1: the Chiefs offenses back, I don't know. I think that

516
00:26:20,720 --> 00:26:23,879
Speaker 1: was all about the Ravens date. Look at last week

517
00:26:24,160 --> 00:26:26,359
Speaker 1: the Lions. Everyone's talking about the Oh we'll get the

518
00:26:26,359 --> 00:26:28,560
Speaker 1: Lions said to Baltimore, I mean the Chiefs put up

519
00:26:28,560 --> 00:26:32,160
Speaker 1: thirty eight. Like the Ravens defense is not bad of shape.

520
00:26:32,359 --> 00:26:34,719
Speaker 1: Which is why I had to play the Bengals this week,

521
00:26:35,960 --> 00:26:37,560
Speaker 1: because you think about it, the Lions got to play

522
00:26:37,560 --> 00:26:40,600
Speaker 1: the Bears. The Bears whole secondary was out. They played

523
00:26:40,640 --> 00:26:43,280
Speaker 1: the Ravens with all of their defensive injuries, and then

524
00:26:43,320 --> 00:26:45,040
Speaker 1: last week against the Browns, it was like the Browns

525
00:26:45,040 --> 00:26:47,000
Speaker 1: turning the ball over and they got to play at

526
00:26:47,000 --> 00:26:49,719
Speaker 1: home the Bengals at plus ten and a half at home,

527
00:26:49,760 --> 00:26:53,040
Speaker 1: I had to play. It's ugly. Who wants to play

528
00:26:53,400 --> 00:26:56,240
Speaker 1: the Bengals after what you saw last week? But Browning

529
00:26:56,320 --> 00:26:59,159
Speaker 1: has like functioned at least in the past as a

530
00:26:59,240 --> 00:27:01,680
Speaker 1: quarterback and this is I think the just the very

531
00:27:01,680 --> 00:27:05,960
Speaker 1: bottom of the market on the Bengals. They're gonna be

532
00:27:05,960 --> 00:27:07,679
Speaker 1: at home. They just had to play Flores and the

533
00:27:07,680 --> 00:27:09,960
Speaker 1: Broncos defenses on the road and two of the hardest

534
00:27:10,040 --> 00:27:12,520
Speaker 1: environments in the NFL. Now, how are they gonna get stops?

535
00:27:12,520 --> 00:27:15,040
Speaker 1: I don't know, but like ten and a half, they

536
00:27:15,040 --> 00:27:18,320
Speaker 1: can probably keep up here. I mean, this is a

537
00:27:18,400 --> 00:27:21,720
Speaker 1: Lions team. That's what they ranked twenty eighth in past

538
00:27:21,800 --> 00:27:23,560
Speaker 1: rush win rate. So it's not going to be like

539
00:27:23,640 --> 00:27:26,560
Speaker 1: everyone is in the backfield right away. Both of their

540
00:27:26,600 --> 00:27:29,240
Speaker 1: starting corners are going to be out here. Going up

541
00:27:29,280 --> 00:27:32,159
Speaker 1: against Jason Higgins, You're probably gonna have like they got

542
00:27:32,280 --> 00:27:34,280
Speaker 1: to kick their nickel out get the Rocky House. Sin

543
00:27:34,400 --> 00:27:36,159
Speaker 1: is probably gonna start at the other corner spot. You

544
00:27:36,240 --> 00:27:38,879
Speaker 1: might have to move like Branch down to nickel or

545
00:27:39,080 --> 00:27:42,600
Speaker 1: put in Devonte Maddocks, who's terrible. It's like their corners

546
00:27:42,920 --> 00:27:46,760
Speaker 1: are are going to be really bad here. So yeah,

547
00:27:46,880 --> 00:27:48,680
Speaker 1: I think this is a good by low Sell high spot.

548
00:27:48,720 --> 00:27:51,800
Speaker 1: Lions feeling good. They got the Chiefs on deck. The

549
00:27:51,840 --> 00:27:53,680
Speaker 1: Lions are blitzing at the highest right in the league

550
00:27:53,680 --> 00:27:56,520
Speaker 1: this year, and Browning actually his decent numbers against the

551
00:27:56,520 --> 00:27:58,280
Speaker 1: blitz in his career, including this year. It's like the

552
00:27:58,320 --> 00:28:01,640
Speaker 1: one thing that he's done well. And for what it's worth,

553
00:28:01,720 --> 00:28:06,000
Speaker 1: home dogs of ten plus over the last twenty years

554
00:28:06,000 --> 00:28:09,080
Speaker 1: seventy four fifty six and one fifty seven percent off

555
00:28:09,080 --> 00:28:13,040
Speaker 1: a loss of two plus touchdowns, sixty percent against the spread.

556
00:28:13,400 --> 00:28:17,800
Speaker 1: Home dogs after scoring three or fewer points again home dog.

557
00:28:18,280 --> 00:28:19,800
Speaker 1: They just scored through a three front. Who wants to

558
00:28:19,800 --> 00:28:22,720
Speaker 1: bet those teams? Well sixty one, thirty six and two

559
00:28:22,800 --> 00:28:27,560
Speaker 1: against the spread sixty three percent. So yeah, I don't

560
00:28:27,600 --> 00:28:30,040
Speaker 1: know how they're going to stop Detroit, but they can

561
00:28:30,160 --> 00:28:32,520
Speaker 1: keep up here, So I think it's a good good

562
00:28:32,520 --> 00:28:34,280
Speaker 1: time to buylo on the Bengals.

563
00:28:34,520 --> 00:28:38,680
Speaker 2: Okay, one interesting NFC game is in theory Tampa going

564
00:28:38,720 --> 00:28:41,080
Speaker 2: to Seattle. But Bull said they have so many injuries

565
00:28:41,120 --> 00:28:43,280
Speaker 2: that they had to change practice to essentially a walk

566
00:28:43,320 --> 00:28:45,760
Speaker 2: through on Wednesday. I can't imagine that gets much better

567
00:28:45,760 --> 00:28:48,440
Speaker 2: throughout the week the Tampa. I mean, we have an

568
00:28:48,480 --> 00:28:50,400
Speaker 2: injury epidemic. I mean, you and I have talked a

569
00:28:50,440 --> 00:28:52,200
Speaker 2: lot about it. I've talked a lot about on the show.

570
00:28:52,320 --> 00:28:54,440
Speaker 2: It kind of sucks. I mean there was one point

571
00:28:54,440 --> 00:28:56,600
Speaker 2: in time Sunday I looked up in the morning Slate

572
00:28:57,280 --> 00:29:00,960
Speaker 2: and there were multiple carts out on multiple games and

573
00:29:01,000 --> 00:29:03,800
Speaker 2: there were other players laying on the field. It's pretty nuts.

574
00:29:04,280 --> 00:29:06,640
Speaker 2: You know. It's not It's not even just season enders

575
00:29:06,640 --> 00:29:09,560
Speaker 2: like Tyreek Hill. It's guys limping off like Joe Ault

576
00:29:09,640 --> 00:29:12,640
Speaker 2: with high ankle spring. It's all over the league, and

577
00:29:12,920 --> 00:29:17,120
Speaker 2: it's it's October first, we got we got a long

578
00:29:17,160 --> 00:29:19,280
Speaker 2: way to go, and there's just not enough players in

579
00:29:19,320 --> 00:29:21,800
Speaker 2: the NFL. The product. I'm not trying to be a

580
00:29:21,840 --> 00:29:25,360
Speaker 2: negative Nancy here, but geez, it's just I don't know

581
00:29:25,400 --> 00:29:27,680
Speaker 2: the answer. We're never going back to like double days

582
00:29:27,680 --> 00:29:30,040
Speaker 2: in training camp and pads during the regular season. But

583
00:29:30,440 --> 00:29:33,760
Speaker 2: it is impacting these guys, the callouses on their body

584
00:29:33,800 --> 00:29:35,440
Speaker 2: like a fighter right preason.

585
00:29:36,200 --> 00:29:38,000
Speaker 1: There's a joke les preseason.

586
00:29:38,760 --> 00:29:39,440
Speaker 2: It's a joke.

587
00:29:40,000 --> 00:29:44,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, And we've talked about this before because of I

588
00:29:44,600 --> 00:29:47,000
Speaker 1: think the NFL also has to get rid of like that,

589
00:29:47,160 --> 00:29:50,680
Speaker 1: some of these turfs. But like you see after the

590
00:29:50,720 --> 00:29:55,640
Speaker 1: Giants game, there was what are we doing? But you

591
00:29:55,720 --> 00:29:59,880
Speaker 1: see this especially with offensive lines, so there's just no

592
00:30:00,000 --> 00:30:03,520
Speaker 1: So there's like the offensive line talent compared to the

593
00:30:03,560 --> 00:30:06,920
Speaker 1: defensive line town in the NFL, the offensive lines are

594
00:30:06,960 --> 00:30:09,480
Speaker 1: so far behind. A lot of it is just because

595
00:30:09,720 --> 00:30:14,840
Speaker 1: how these colleges operate offenses, and there's just a lack

596
00:30:15,240 --> 00:30:20,480
Speaker 1: of viable, starting caliber offensive line in the NFL. So

597
00:30:20,600 --> 00:30:23,880
Speaker 1: like these teams lose one or two and their offensive

598
00:30:23,880 --> 00:30:29,880
Speaker 1: line is just decrept it it's a disaster. So yeah,

599
00:30:29,880 --> 00:30:31,560
Speaker 1: I mean you're seeing that with the Bucks. Right now,

600
00:30:31,840 --> 00:30:34,600
Speaker 1: the Bucks have two backups in on the right side

601
00:30:34,600 --> 00:30:38,520
Speaker 1: of their offensive line, no Evans. It looks like no

602
00:30:38,640 --> 00:30:41,760
Speaker 1: Bucky Irving, which is massive. They have also a ton

603
00:30:41,760 --> 00:30:45,080
Speaker 1: of injuries on defense. Raddick gains Cancs out for the year,

604
00:30:45,800 --> 00:30:48,120
Speaker 1: Dean and Morrison the rookie. Morrison's looked really good, but

605
00:30:48,200 --> 00:30:51,120
Speaker 1: Dean they're starting corner, but they have corner cluster injuries,

606
00:30:52,080 --> 00:30:55,680
Speaker 1: and it looks like the Seahawks are pretty healthy outside

607
00:30:55,680 --> 00:30:57,560
Speaker 1: of Lawrence is who I have to check on this week,

608
00:30:59,320 --> 00:31:03,560
Speaker 1: and it's a good extra rest at home. They're off

609
00:31:03,560 --> 00:31:06,480
Speaker 1: the Thursday night game Tampa, coming across the country, dealing

610
00:31:06,480 --> 00:31:09,880
Speaker 1: with a lot of injuries. Practice disrupted. The way to

611
00:31:09,920 --> 00:31:13,239
Speaker 1: beat Baker and the way to beat Baker forever and

612
00:31:13,280 --> 00:31:15,320
Speaker 1: still this year. If you look at his numbers is

613
00:31:15,400 --> 00:31:19,960
Speaker 1: pressure without blitzing. If you blitz him, he's storically been

614
00:31:20,000 --> 00:31:23,680
Speaker 1: pretty good against the blitz. He'll scramble just he'll gash

615
00:31:23,720 --> 00:31:25,920
Speaker 1: you up the middle, find a lane. But if you

616
00:31:25,960 --> 00:31:28,520
Speaker 1: can get pressure quickly and then play coverage on the

617
00:31:28,520 --> 00:31:30,800
Speaker 1: back end, he's going to make some mistakes, and he's

618
00:31:30,840 --> 00:31:32,360
Speaker 1: due for some mistakes. He's had a great year and

619
00:31:32,400 --> 00:31:34,520
Speaker 1: he's had a great run in Tampa, but he has

620
00:31:34,600 --> 00:31:37,600
Speaker 1: nine touchdowns, one interception, his nine turnover where he plays

621
00:31:37,640 --> 00:31:40,480
Speaker 1: in the year, like, there's been a ton of drop picks. Well,

622
00:31:41,360 --> 00:31:44,800
Speaker 1: that's the definition of the Seattle defense. They are top

623
00:31:44,840 --> 00:31:49,080
Speaker 1: five in pressure eight bottom two and blitzerrate. They don't

624
00:31:49,080 --> 00:31:51,000
Speaker 1: blitz and they're getting a ton of pressure, and then

625
00:31:51,040 --> 00:31:54,840
Speaker 1: you have McDonald disguising coverages on the back end, and

626
00:31:55,760 --> 00:31:59,040
Speaker 1: that's a dangerous combo and it's probably gonna lead to

627
00:31:59,040 --> 00:32:02,120
Speaker 1: some Baker mistakes. Sam Donald over the last two years

628
00:32:02,280 --> 00:32:06,000
Speaker 1: is destroying the blitz. He's been so good against the

629
00:32:06,040 --> 00:32:07,840
Speaker 1: blitz it's insane if you look at his numbers, and

630
00:32:07,880 --> 00:32:10,440
Speaker 1: you're gonna get that against bulls and this is gonna

631
00:32:10,480 --> 00:32:14,320
Speaker 1: be an under man defense. So, yeah, I played the Seahawks.

632
00:32:15,360 --> 00:32:16,880
Speaker 1: Anything three or better I think is good.

633
00:32:17,440 --> 00:32:19,840
Speaker 2: Baker's only interception is the one he threw against Philly

634
00:32:19,840 --> 00:32:20,360
Speaker 2: in the end zone.

635
00:32:20,800 --> 00:32:23,120
Speaker 1: Yeah, he had like three. He's had like six or

636
00:32:23,160 --> 00:32:26,520
Speaker 1: seven drops dropped interceptions. He also has had three or

637
00:32:26,520 --> 00:32:29,560
Speaker 1: four fumbles that the Tampa all recovered. So, like, they've

638
00:32:29,600 --> 00:32:34,880
Speaker 1: been very fortunate in a lot of games. Most of

639
00:32:34,920 --> 00:32:37,040
Speaker 1: their all their wins, they could have went either way.

640
00:32:37,080 --> 00:32:40,680
Speaker 1: They went by two to two and two. I think, so, yeah,

641
00:32:40,680 --> 00:32:43,200
Speaker 1: there's some turnovers coming for this Bucks offense, and they're

642
00:32:43,240 --> 00:32:45,720
Speaker 1: just not healthy right now. He's probably gonna be under

643
00:32:45,720 --> 00:32:51,880
Speaker 1: pressure and expect McDonald to cook up some nice disguises

644
00:32:51,920 --> 00:32:53,680
Speaker 1: on the back end to get a turnover or two.

645
00:32:53,760 --> 00:32:55,320
Speaker 1: So yeah, I do like Seattle there. It's a pretty

646
00:32:55,320 --> 00:32:57,480
Speaker 1: good spot matchup, and then you throw in the injuries.

647
00:32:57,520 --> 00:33:01,320
Speaker 1: It's it's it's gonna be a tough ask for the Bucks.

648
00:33:01,760 --> 00:33:04,040
Speaker 2: Well, the comedy's got the Jade Daniels is gonna play

649
00:33:04,040 --> 00:33:07,160
Speaker 2: this week. So you got the Chargers, who are a

650
00:33:07,160 --> 00:33:08,920
Speaker 2: good example kind of like the Bucks. And like a

651
00:33:08,960 --> 00:33:11,960
Speaker 2: lot of these teams, your left tackles out, your right

652
00:33:12,000 --> 00:33:14,520
Speaker 2: tackle who's a stud, moves to left tackle. Now he's out.

653
00:33:15,160 --> 00:33:18,280
Speaker 2: Uh you just Beckton has been out. I mean you

654
00:33:18,440 --> 00:33:21,680
Speaker 2: just got There's no way to replace these holes. Like

655
00:33:21,720 --> 00:33:23,680
Speaker 2: you can put a band aid on this later thing

656
00:33:23,760 --> 00:33:26,320
Speaker 2: because of Alt, but once he disappears, I don't want

657
00:33:26,320 --> 00:33:28,280
Speaker 2: to give a shit who you are. They're just not

658
00:33:28,440 --> 00:33:32,880
Speaker 2: enough tackles in the league that are functional, and I

659
00:33:32,960 --> 00:33:33,520
Speaker 2: it can to.

660
00:33:33,640 --> 00:33:35,640
Speaker 1: Pro Bowl Calber tackles and then lose them both and

661
00:33:35,680 --> 00:33:37,120
Speaker 1: expect to be Okay.

662
00:33:36,880 --> 00:33:40,640
Speaker 2: You're completely screwed now. Luckily they're quarterbacks mobile. But like,

663
00:33:40,720 --> 00:33:43,560
Speaker 2: I just short you when that situation happens, because I

664
00:33:43,560 --> 00:33:45,160
Speaker 2: think it gets hard to function. And this is an

665
00:33:45,200 --> 00:33:48,880
Speaker 2: offensive coach in staff. I mean, Hardbot doesn't call the

666
00:33:48,880 --> 00:33:52,200
Speaker 2: plays but Roman. Ironically, they've been passing a lot more

667
00:33:52,240 --> 00:33:55,120
Speaker 2: this year, right, more than Roman ever has. But I

668
00:33:55,120 --> 00:33:57,920
Speaker 2: mean their quarterback looks like, you know, an MVP level guy,

669
00:33:58,160 --> 00:33:59,680
Speaker 2: but it's gonna be hard to drop back. I don't

670
00:33:59,720 --> 00:34:01,640
Speaker 2: care who you're playing. It could be the Broncos or

671
00:34:01,640 --> 00:34:03,200
Speaker 2: it could be the worst pass res in the league.

672
00:34:03,360 --> 00:34:06,000
Speaker 2: When you have this level of talent on the missing,

673
00:34:06,520 --> 00:34:08,560
Speaker 2: your guy's gonna be under siege. These guys are not

674
00:34:08,600 --> 00:34:11,480
Speaker 2: gonna be able to block. So I I kind of

675
00:34:11,520 --> 00:34:13,840
Speaker 2: like the comment the I almost call them the commoders

676
00:34:14,120 --> 00:34:16,279
Speaker 2: the commanders here plus two and a half.

677
00:34:17,800 --> 00:34:20,320
Speaker 1: I don't know. I can't bet this game just because

678
00:34:20,320 --> 00:34:23,400
Speaker 1: there's so much uncertainty, But yeah, the offensive line is

679
00:34:23,440 --> 00:34:26,360
Speaker 1: a mess for the Chargers, so I don't know what

680
00:34:26,360 --> 00:34:29,520
Speaker 1: they're gonna do. The fact also, Bradley Bozman, their center

681
00:34:29,560 --> 00:34:32,000
Speaker 1: has been the worst center in the league. So they

682
00:34:32,040 --> 00:34:34,560
Speaker 1: signed Andre James from the Raiders. Do they They might

683
00:34:34,600 --> 00:34:37,359
Speaker 1: go to him if backed in his back, they might

684
00:34:37,440 --> 00:34:41,040
Speaker 1: kick Salar out to left tackle. He's played there before

685
00:34:41,160 --> 00:34:43,680
Speaker 1: like a couple of times when all it was out,

686
00:34:44,760 --> 00:34:47,319
Speaker 1: But now you're like you're moving all kind there's like

687
00:34:47,400 --> 00:34:51,200
Speaker 1: no and they're in tier was already the question. So

688
00:34:51,280 --> 00:34:53,279
Speaker 1: it's a mess. I mean now, now, the Washington the

689
00:34:53,280 --> 00:34:55,520
Speaker 1: Commanders defense is not the Giants defense. They don't have

690
00:34:55,600 --> 00:34:58,800
Speaker 1: the same guys up front, but it's still could be

691
00:34:58,840 --> 00:35:00,399
Speaker 1: a disaster. But I don't know if they're to try

692
00:35:00,400 --> 00:35:03,120
Speaker 1: to run it more now, So I don't not from

693
00:35:03,200 --> 00:35:05,760
Speaker 1: a game script perspective, I don't know what the Chargers

694
00:35:05,760 --> 00:35:08,319
Speaker 1: are going to do. And then on the other side,

695
00:35:08,320 --> 00:35:11,080
Speaker 1: so I would agree with your premise that, hey, I

696
00:35:11,080 --> 00:35:14,000
Speaker 1: want to short this team, but I also don't know

697
00:35:14,440 --> 00:35:18,240
Speaker 1: if Daniels is going to be one, and like him

698
00:35:18,560 --> 00:35:21,840
Speaker 1: having his full mobility and being able to use his

699
00:35:21,920 --> 00:35:26,960
Speaker 1: legs is one of his biggest attributes. So yeah, with

700
00:35:27,000 --> 00:35:31,399
Speaker 1: the offensive line questions and then just washing his other

701
00:35:31,440 --> 00:35:36,440
Speaker 1: injuries too, like McLaurin, Yeah, that is for me a

702
00:35:36,520 --> 00:35:40,400
Speaker 1: purece die away. Only the other games that I played,

703
00:35:40,400 --> 00:35:42,400
Speaker 1: and they're gross. I played the Saints when they were

704
00:35:42,440 --> 00:35:44,880
Speaker 1: an underdog. But I think the Saints beat the Giants.

705
00:35:45,840 --> 00:35:48,799
Speaker 1: It starts first road start. Quarterbacks in their first two

706
00:35:48,800 --> 00:35:51,080
Speaker 1: starts ever in the NFL, by the way, on the

707
00:35:51,160 --> 00:35:54,680
Speaker 1: road are thirteen and thirty four straight up. There's no neighbors.

708
00:35:54,680 --> 00:35:56,000
Speaker 1: They have tape on what they want to do. The

709
00:35:56,040 --> 00:35:59,240
Speaker 1: Saints have been frisky, like they've been in games with teams.

710
00:35:59,840 --> 00:36:01,640
Speaker 1: I think they get their first win here, and their

711
00:36:01,680 --> 00:36:03,880
Speaker 1: Rundy's been good. The Giants run he has been the

712
00:36:03,880 --> 00:36:06,080
Speaker 1: worst than the league. These are two teams that want

713
00:36:06,080 --> 00:36:08,560
Speaker 1: to rely on the run. So I took the Saints.

714
00:36:08,600 --> 00:36:12,640
Speaker 1: I did take the Jets against the Cowboys. Cowboys off

715
00:36:12,640 --> 00:36:16,680
Speaker 1: an overtime game, like just training game. Jets have been

716
00:36:16,680 --> 00:36:18,440
Speaker 1: really unlucky in a couple of games this year. I

717
00:36:18,440 --> 00:36:20,840
Speaker 1: think they're going to beat the Cowboys. And then I

718
00:36:20,880 --> 00:36:22,760
Speaker 1: played the Panthers, and I think a good spot against

719
00:36:22,760 --> 00:36:24,719
Speaker 1: the Dolphins. Those are the other Yeah, if you could tell,

720
00:36:24,719 --> 00:36:26,200
Speaker 1: I've got a lot of great teams this week.

721
00:36:26,719 --> 00:36:30,360
Speaker 2: Okay, I mean it's it's not a great it's not

722
00:36:30,400 --> 00:36:34,240
Speaker 2: a great slate. The New England Buffalo game in theory

723
00:36:34,280 --> 00:36:37,320
Speaker 2: is interesting Sunday night. I don't quite know what to

724
00:36:37,360 --> 00:36:40,000
Speaker 2: make in New England. I mean, you Curb stomped the Panthers.

725
00:36:41,080 --> 00:36:43,080
Speaker 2: Are they good? And you know you beat Miami in

726
00:36:43,120 --> 00:36:46,279
Speaker 2: a weird game the Buffalo you know you nailed that

727
00:36:46,360 --> 00:36:48,399
Speaker 2: last week against the Saints. I mean that was what

728
00:36:48,440 --> 00:36:50,360
Speaker 2: was that? Plus? Was a fifteen and a half? Is

729
00:36:50,360 --> 00:36:50,960
Speaker 2: that what the game.

730
00:36:50,880 --> 00:36:53,040
Speaker 1: Ended at the Saints? We're in that like that?

731
00:36:52,800 --> 00:36:55,520
Speaker 2: That was close? The game was closed? I agree, Uh,

732
00:36:55,719 --> 00:36:57,720
Speaker 2: this is a game that you know, I would imagine

733
00:36:57,760 --> 00:37:02,640
Speaker 2: Buffalo's had complete ownership over this. A vision, I don't know.

734
00:37:02,760 --> 00:37:05,840
Speaker 2: I mean, I I eight points a lot. But to me,

735
00:37:05,880 --> 00:37:08,359
Speaker 2: if I'm betting this game, I'm taking Buffalo on the points.

736
00:37:08,960 --> 00:37:11,360
Speaker 1: Yeah, I gotta wait on injuries here. So the Bill's

737
00:37:11,400 --> 00:37:14,680
Speaker 1: defense right now is a mess, and part of that

738
00:37:15,640 --> 00:37:21,440
Speaker 1: is injuries. Milano and at Oliver, their best defensive linemen

739
00:37:21,920 --> 00:37:23,879
Speaker 1: have been hurt and have been out, and they can't

740
00:37:23,880 --> 00:37:25,759
Speaker 1: stop the run. But the Patriots can't run the ball.

741
00:37:25,920 --> 00:37:28,120
Speaker 1: This year, Drake may has been good, even though his

742
00:37:28,160 --> 00:37:30,480
Speaker 1: protection's been bad and his receivers aren't great from a

743
00:37:30,480 --> 00:37:33,520
Speaker 1: separation standpoint, but he's actually looked pretty good. But he's

744
00:37:33,560 --> 00:37:36,600
Speaker 1: like taking too many sacks and the Bills are getting

745
00:37:36,600 --> 00:37:38,239
Speaker 1: still getting a ton of pressure. They're one of the

746
00:37:38,280 --> 00:37:41,680
Speaker 1: top pressure right teams in the league, so there could

747
00:37:41,719 --> 00:37:43,640
Speaker 1: be a lot of negative plays here to kill drives,

748
00:37:43,640 --> 00:37:46,000
Speaker 1: and the Patriots aren't going to get as much pressure,

749
00:37:47,480 --> 00:37:51,200
Speaker 1: so Alan is most likely here going to just abuse

750
00:37:51,320 --> 00:37:54,759
Speaker 1: the middle of the field. The Patriots probably have their

751
00:37:54,760 --> 00:37:57,600
Speaker 1: safeties are struggling, and they probably had the worst coverage

752
00:37:57,640 --> 00:38:01,399
Speaker 1: linebackers in the league by a wide margin. Like over

753
00:38:01,440 --> 00:38:04,839
Speaker 1: the middle of the field. Alan can probably carve them up,

754
00:38:05,600 --> 00:38:07,359
Speaker 1: but I gotta wait on the injuries. Spencer Brown, their

755
00:38:07,440 --> 00:38:11,880
Speaker 1: right tackle. Will he go Milano and Oliver So I

756
00:38:11,880 --> 00:38:16,000
Speaker 1: haven't done anything with that, but it does. It also

757
00:38:16,040 --> 00:38:18,000
Speaker 1: feels like the pitches could be down fourteen and then

758
00:38:18,280 --> 00:38:19,839
Speaker 1: have a chance to get a back door, which may

759
00:38:19,840 --> 00:38:23,480
Speaker 1: has done a bunch, but there's injuries on the Bills.

760
00:38:23,600 --> 00:38:25,320
Speaker 1: That's that's who you need to monitor, because their d

761
00:38:25,440 --> 00:38:29,120
Speaker 1: has been really, really bad. I mean they the Saints

762
00:38:29,120 --> 00:38:31,960
Speaker 1: average like six yards per carry on like I don't know,

763
00:38:32,000 --> 00:38:34,640
Speaker 1: thirty five forty carries last week. They were going up

764
00:38:34,640 --> 00:38:36,719
Speaker 1: and down the field. If they didn't throw a pick

765
00:38:36,760 --> 00:38:40,320
Speaker 1: on a Philly special and you know, drop a touchdown

766
00:38:40,320 --> 00:38:41,920
Speaker 1: like they could have won that game, and it was

767
00:38:41,960 --> 00:38:44,800
Speaker 1: because the Bills defense could not get off the field.

768
00:38:46,120 --> 00:38:49,200
Speaker 1: So yeah, I have no strong feel now waiting on

769
00:38:49,200 --> 00:38:50,200
Speaker 1: some key injuries there.

770
00:38:50,880 --> 00:38:54,640
Speaker 2: Okay, let's get to the Monday night game because you go, well,

771
00:38:54,800 --> 00:38:57,480
Speaker 2: three and a half feels, you know the Chiefs. I

772
00:38:57,560 --> 00:38:59,160
Speaker 2: like Chiefs in the spot Mys three and a half.

773
00:38:59,160 --> 00:39:01,680
Speaker 2: Here's the thing, Jackson was good on defense. They're creating

774
00:39:01,719 --> 00:39:04,520
Speaker 2: a ton of turnovers. They scored twenty six points last week.

775
00:39:04,800 --> 00:39:07,520
Speaker 2: Seven of them came on a punt return, three more

776
00:39:07,560 --> 00:39:11,799
Speaker 2: came on a terrible kickoff coverage. Again, the forty nine

777
00:39:11,840 --> 00:39:13,399
Speaker 2: ers are off on special teams. They get a field

778
00:39:13,400 --> 00:39:17,320
Speaker 2: goal that's ten points. Etn touchdown came on a fumble

779
00:39:17,320 --> 00:39:20,200
Speaker 2: and he immediately scores on a long touchdown. So it's

780
00:39:20,200 --> 00:39:22,879
Speaker 2: not like their offense is putting together these long drives.

781
00:39:22,880 --> 00:39:25,759
Speaker 2: I don't think Trevor Lawrence is good. Brian Thomas has

782
00:39:25,760 --> 00:39:28,239
Speaker 2: had issues with like I don't know, not being into it,

783
00:39:28,280 --> 00:39:32,000
Speaker 2: slash kind of banged up. Travis Hunter's just not done anything.

784
00:39:33,160 --> 00:39:36,760
Speaker 2: So to me, I just like the Chiefs in this spot.

785
00:39:37,880 --> 00:39:39,440
Speaker 1: I disagree with you. So this is the first time

786
00:39:39,440 --> 00:39:42,600
Speaker 1: I'm going to disagree this week I played the Jags.

787
00:39:43,320 --> 00:39:46,680
Speaker 1: Any I think anything about three or cheap three is good.

788
00:39:46,760 --> 00:39:50,040
Speaker 1: Like I'm not buying into the like worthy helps, but

789
00:39:50,120 --> 00:39:54,400
Speaker 1: they still can't run the ball. Mahomes should have a

790
00:39:54,440 --> 00:39:57,040
Speaker 1: bunch more turnovers. This offensive line isn't solved. Like there's

791
00:39:57,080 --> 00:39:58,960
Speaker 1: been some drop picks. He's dropped, he's had a couple

792
00:39:59,000 --> 00:40:02,200
Speaker 1: of fumbles throwing it backwards, and they've been pretty lucky

793
00:40:02,239 --> 00:40:04,520
Speaker 1: in that department. But so I'm not sold the offensive

794
00:40:04,520 --> 00:40:06,400
Speaker 1: six because last week, again, I think it was all

795
00:40:06,440 --> 00:40:08,399
Speaker 1: about the Ravens date, like you were playing a bunch

796
00:40:08,440 --> 00:40:14,680
Speaker 1: of backups. This Jaguars team is so improved from a

797
00:40:14,719 --> 00:40:18,160
Speaker 1: coaching standpoint. It's on both sides of the ball. Their defense,

798
00:40:18,320 --> 00:40:21,719
Speaker 1: they're actually playing more coverages that suit their the back end,

799
00:40:21,960 --> 00:40:23,440
Speaker 1: their front seven is good.

800
00:40:23,800 --> 00:40:25,480
Speaker 2: The D is good. Their D is good.

801
00:40:25,600 --> 00:40:27,400
Speaker 1: Yeah, the D is one of the most improved in

802
00:40:27,400 --> 00:40:28,720
Speaker 1: the league, and they have one of the best special

803
00:40:28,760 --> 00:40:32,840
Speaker 1: teams units in the league. But yes, there is some

804
00:40:32,840 --> 00:40:36,759
Speaker 1: some turnover regression because they've forced four turn They've they

805
00:40:36,800 --> 00:40:40,040
Speaker 1: forced at least three turnovers in all four games. They

806
00:40:40,040 --> 00:40:43,960
Speaker 1: have thirteen takeaways on the year. Last year they had

807
00:40:44,120 --> 00:40:48,200
Speaker 1: nine total for the entire season, so you can talk

808
00:40:48,200 --> 00:40:50,560
Speaker 1: about regression. They were due, but they're probably now due

809
00:40:50,600 --> 00:40:52,360
Speaker 1: to They're not going to continue to get that. So

810
00:40:52,400 --> 00:40:55,640
Speaker 1: the offense Cohen is putting him into, like their offense

811
00:40:55,760 --> 00:40:58,520
Speaker 1: is so well schemed, like their running game, Like their

812
00:40:58,560 --> 00:40:59,960
Speaker 1: offensive line is bad. They don't have a ton of

813
00:41:00,080 --> 00:41:03,560
Speaker 1: that talent, but they're still able to put up points.

814
00:41:03,560 --> 00:41:05,839
Speaker 1: They should be putting up more if they had more talent,

815
00:41:05,880 --> 00:41:08,160
Speaker 1: And like they weren't dropping. They lead the league in drops.

816
00:41:09,440 --> 00:41:11,359
Speaker 1: They have like sixteen drops on the year. The next

817
00:41:11,520 --> 00:41:14,520
Speaker 1: most I think is the Jets with nine, so drops

818
00:41:14,520 --> 00:41:18,520
Speaker 1: have been killing them and then like just Lawrence making

819
00:41:18,560 --> 00:41:22,359
Speaker 1: some dumb throws. But like the screen game, the running game,

820
00:41:22,440 --> 00:41:26,120
Speaker 1: like everything is so well schooled. So I'm not all

821
00:41:26,120 --> 00:41:29,680
Speaker 1: the way in on this Chiefs offense being backed. Now

822
00:41:29,680 --> 00:41:31,920
Speaker 1: when they get Rice back, it could be scary, but

823
00:41:31,920 --> 00:41:33,600
Speaker 1: they still can't run the ball. The offensive line still

824
00:41:33,640 --> 00:41:36,560
Speaker 1: has issues. I think this Jags team is still undervalued

825
00:41:36,600 --> 00:41:38,759
Speaker 1: a bit. I get that you might be a little

826
00:41:38,800 --> 00:41:40,920
Speaker 1: salty after they beat your your forty nine ers and

827
00:41:40,920 --> 00:41:42,279
Speaker 1: they definitely didn't look it mean they won the turn

828
00:41:42,280 --> 00:41:48,160
Speaker 1: of a battle four nothing, But I yeah, I took

829
00:41:48,200 --> 00:41:49,680
Speaker 1: the Jags as a home dog should be a good

830
00:41:49,680 --> 00:41:51,279
Speaker 1: one there. I can see people making the case for

831
00:41:51,360 --> 00:41:52,760
Speaker 1: the for the Chiefs for sure, though.

832
00:41:53,040 --> 00:41:56,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's actually if you would have said Jaguars Monday

833
00:41:56,320 --> 00:41:58,760
Speaker 2: Night football, you'd be like, oh, but this is actually

834
00:41:58,760 --> 00:42:02,880
Speaker 2: a pretty good mondayn football game. I'm pretty excited, especially

835
00:42:02,920 --> 00:42:19,839
Speaker 2: coming off what we just witnessed sit on a couple

836
00:42:19,840 --> 00:42:24,200
Speaker 2: of college games. We'd kind of have this thing circled

837
00:42:24,239 --> 00:42:26,440
Speaker 2: at the beginning of the season when we thought Florida

838
00:42:26,520 --> 00:42:29,399
Speaker 2: was gonna be feisty. Obviously their coach is gonna get

839
00:42:29,400 --> 00:42:32,239
Speaker 2: fired and their team isn't very good, but I do

840
00:42:32,320 --> 00:42:38,040
Speaker 2: think that defensively, they've obviously been awesome. Even if guys

841
00:42:38,080 --> 00:42:40,080
Speaker 2: were about ready to check out and get ready to

842
00:42:40,160 --> 00:42:43,000
Speaker 2: hit the transfer portal when he does eventually get fired.

843
00:42:43,040 --> 00:42:45,160
Speaker 2: Here either this, you know, during the season or at

844
00:42:45,160 --> 00:42:47,720
Speaker 2: the end of the year. This is an easy one

845
00:42:47,840 --> 00:42:51,279
Speaker 2: because it's like, if you're the defensive coordinator, we get

846
00:42:51,320 --> 00:42:53,040
Speaker 2: to play arch manning. And so if you do want

847
00:42:53,040 --> 00:42:54,279
Speaker 2: to make a lot of money, a lot of people

848
00:42:54,320 --> 00:42:56,120
Speaker 2: are going to be paying attention to this game, So

849
00:42:56,239 --> 00:42:58,440
Speaker 2: let's go kick his ass. Like this is just I

850
00:42:58,719 --> 00:43:01,319
Speaker 2: don't know, I mean Texas has played nobody since that

851
00:43:01,400 --> 00:43:04,440
Speaker 2: first game. Arch has been horrendous. No one can get

852
00:43:04,480 --> 00:43:06,840
Speaker 2: to the bottom of if he's injured. They keep pushing

853
00:43:06,880 --> 00:43:11,680
Speaker 2: back everyone that knows anything about throwing mechanics slash. It's like,

854
00:43:11,719 --> 00:43:14,799
Speaker 2: this doesn't make any sense. Something's gotta be like, they're

855
00:43:14,800 --> 00:43:17,800
Speaker 2: gonna be out for blood. Defensively, now offensively they've blown

856
00:43:18,080 --> 00:43:20,839
Speaker 2: we know Texas go. I'm not saying that Florida's winning

857
00:43:20,880 --> 00:43:24,560
Speaker 2: this game, but is Arch' gonna be able to throw

858
00:43:24,560 --> 00:43:26,120
Speaker 2: for one hundred and fifty? Are they gonna be able

859
00:43:26,120 --> 00:43:28,440
Speaker 2: to move the ball against this team if they try again?

860
00:43:28,480 --> 00:43:32,200
Speaker 2: The trifactor makes me a little nervous. But young kids,

861
00:43:32,200 --> 00:43:35,319
Speaker 2: it's still early October. This is their last two raw

862
00:43:35,719 --> 00:43:38,239
Speaker 2: throw everything you got, maybe lose the game like ten

863
00:43:38,239 --> 00:43:40,120
Speaker 2: to six, and then mail it in for the season.

864
00:43:40,160 --> 00:43:43,719
Speaker 2: But I do think Florida's defense will look like the

865
00:43:43,760 --> 00:43:47,160
Speaker 2: defense we've been seeing flying around, specifically for this game

866
00:43:47,200 --> 00:43:49,560
Speaker 2: and this quarterback. So I like Florida plus six and

867
00:43:49,560 --> 00:43:49,879
Speaker 2: a half.

868
00:43:50,520 --> 00:43:53,200
Speaker 1: Yeah, I especially if you get a seven. But at six,

869
00:43:53,360 --> 00:43:54,680
Speaker 1: I think you got to take the points here. I mean,

870
00:43:54,680 --> 00:43:58,080
Speaker 1: this total is forty one. It's insane. You said that

871
00:43:58,160 --> 00:44:02,640
Speaker 1: before the year versus Arch in the totals forty one.

872
00:44:02,719 --> 00:44:06,319
Speaker 1: That's how bad these offenses have been. But yeah, I mean,

873
00:44:06,360 --> 00:44:08,920
Speaker 1: hou's Florida gonna move the ball well? First of all,

874
00:44:09,200 --> 00:44:10,680
Speaker 1: Texican toa move ball, I don't know. I mean Texas

875
00:44:10,680 --> 00:44:13,440
Speaker 1: couldn't move it against Utap like they Arch was like

876
00:44:13,480 --> 00:44:15,480
Speaker 1: eleven of twenty five for one hundred and thirty four yards.

877
00:44:15,640 --> 00:44:19,680
Speaker 1: Now both teams are got a buye. So like who fixed?

878
00:44:19,760 --> 00:44:22,480
Speaker 1: What was there something to fix? I will say like

879
00:44:22,520 --> 00:44:25,319
Speaker 1: Lagway didn't work with he was hurt in the offseason,

880
00:44:26,040 --> 00:44:29,279
Speaker 1: so and he was dealing with some injuries. Maybe he's

881
00:44:29,280 --> 00:44:31,160
Speaker 1: gonna look healthier and he got some timing down with

882
00:44:31,200 --> 00:44:35,960
Speaker 1: his receivers. There is a name to know which could

883
00:44:36,080 --> 00:44:39,160
Speaker 1: change their offense because somehow Lagway was known for deep passing,

884
00:44:39,239 --> 00:44:41,640
Speaker 1: was the best deep ball passer in college football last year.

885
00:44:41,840 --> 00:44:45,120
Speaker 1: They have no passes over twenty yards this year, not zero.

886
00:44:45,239 --> 00:44:47,920
Speaker 1: They think they're the only team without any that was

887
00:44:47,920 --> 00:44:49,880
Speaker 1: supposed to be like they were supposed to be one

888
00:44:49,920 --> 00:44:51,719
Speaker 1: of the best doing that. But there's a kid who's

889
00:44:51,719 --> 00:44:54,280
Speaker 1: gonna make his debut. He's supposed to be their best receiver.

890
00:44:54,320 --> 00:44:56,800
Speaker 1: He's a five star freshman Dallas Wilson. It looks like

891
00:44:56,840 --> 00:44:59,960
Speaker 1: he's gonna play this week in the spring game against

892
00:45:00,239 --> 00:45:02,480
Speaker 1: what we're seeing is a really good Florida defense. He

893
00:45:02,560 --> 00:45:04,319
Speaker 1: had ten catches for one hundred and ninety five yards

894
00:45:04,360 --> 00:45:08,560
Speaker 1: and two touchdowns, so h he's an absolute stud. So

895
00:45:08,719 --> 00:45:10,400
Speaker 1: it looks like he's gonna play. We'll see if that

896
00:45:10,440 --> 00:45:14,520
Speaker 1: can unlock some deep shots. But yeah, I think Florida

897
00:45:14,560 --> 00:45:17,080
Speaker 1: will care here at home against Texas, Like you know,

898
00:45:17,520 --> 00:45:19,359
Speaker 1: you're gonna get a top ten team like this is

899
00:45:19,400 --> 00:45:23,120
Speaker 1: off of the buy that still lot some juice. The

900
00:45:23,160 --> 00:45:26,680
Speaker 1: swamp will have some juice. So and look they everyone

901
00:45:26,680 --> 00:45:28,560
Speaker 1: thought they were gonna quit last year under Napier and

902
00:45:29,320 --> 00:45:32,640
Speaker 1: they still came out and fought every week. So yeah,

903
00:45:32,680 --> 00:45:33,960
Speaker 1: I think you got to take the points with just

904
00:45:34,000 --> 00:45:37,320
Speaker 1: all the uncertain that you can't trust this Texas offense

905
00:45:37,400 --> 00:45:42,320
Speaker 1: right now laying points against what looks like an elite defense,

906
00:45:43,160 --> 00:45:45,520
Speaker 1: and they're doing with that getting like they're not getting

907
00:45:45,560 --> 00:45:50,719
Speaker 1: much pressure and they're just fundamentally sound. They're not gonna

908
00:45:50,760 --> 00:45:53,880
Speaker 1: let Arch scramble, which is like what his best attribute

909
00:45:53,960 --> 00:45:55,360
Speaker 1: is right now, So yeah, I think you got to

910
00:45:55,400 --> 00:45:57,799
Speaker 1: take the points there. Uh, like look out for keep

911
00:45:57,800 --> 00:45:59,880
Speaker 1: an eye on Them for Dallas Wilson.

912
00:46:00,760 --> 00:46:03,799
Speaker 2: One of the great rivalries in college football. I had

913
00:46:03,840 --> 00:46:05,880
Speaker 2: gone to the Ryder Cup and had a few cocktails,

914
00:46:05,920 --> 00:46:07,520
Speaker 2: and then we got back I had a few more.

915
00:46:07,840 --> 00:46:09,520
Speaker 2: One thing I noticed about in New York City it's

916
00:46:09,560 --> 00:46:11,759
Speaker 2: not I would say, it's not college football heavy. We

917
00:46:11,800 --> 00:46:15,319
Speaker 2: went to multiple bars, baseball's everywhere. There's some boxing on,

918
00:46:15,920 --> 00:46:18,000
Speaker 2: you know. It's just it's like, I'm not gonna bother

919
00:46:18,120 --> 00:46:20,440
Speaker 2: these people to try to put on Florida State Miami.

920
00:46:21,520 --> 00:46:23,520
Speaker 2: We ended up going to dinner. So I really didn't

921
00:46:23,560 --> 00:46:25,680
Speaker 2: see much of this game. I didn't see any of

922
00:46:25,719 --> 00:46:29,319
Speaker 2: it really. I just saw the outcome, which clearly was

923
00:46:29,320 --> 00:46:30,880
Speaker 2: a pretty big deal for the universe. So it was

924
00:46:30,920 --> 00:46:34,720
Speaker 2: Florida State, you know, cause you look back, I did watch,

925
00:46:35,000 --> 00:46:38,600
Speaker 2: like everyone Bama Georgia, and you god, they beat this team.

926
00:46:39,080 --> 00:46:42,760
Speaker 2: That's that's pretty impressive. Now, clearly Bama looks dramatically different.

927
00:46:42,760 --> 00:46:45,160
Speaker 2: A month later. I would imagine if they played again,

928
00:46:45,280 --> 00:46:48,239
Speaker 2: I think we'd all like Alabama in that spot. Yeah,

929
00:46:48,640 --> 00:46:51,080
Speaker 2: Tys Simpson looks fancy. I thought it was incredible in

930
00:46:51,120 --> 00:46:54,120
Speaker 2: that game relative to what I thought of him, you know,

931
00:46:54,160 --> 00:46:56,920
Speaker 2: a month ago. But you know this is a spot

932
00:46:56,920 --> 00:46:58,960
Speaker 2: for Florida State. It is Florida State good. I don't know.

933
00:46:59,040 --> 00:47:03,040
Speaker 2: We all agree Miami's freaking load, especially defensively their defensive line.

934
00:47:04,040 --> 00:47:06,399
Speaker 2: I guess you just take Miami minus four and a half.

935
00:47:06,400 --> 00:47:09,080
Speaker 2: It isn't Florida State that that tomahawk chop gets going.

936
00:47:09,520 --> 00:47:12,200
Speaker 2: But what do you make were they looking ahead against Virginia?

937
00:47:12,320 --> 00:47:14,040
Speaker 2: Is Virginia a little better than we think?

938
00:47:14,560 --> 00:47:19,120
Speaker 1: Virginia's offense is definitely good. Channla Morris is playing really well.

939
00:47:19,120 --> 00:47:21,000
Speaker 1: They hit some guys in the portal like they went

940
00:47:21,000 --> 00:47:23,320
Speaker 1: out and spend a ton of money, So their offense

941
00:47:23,360 --> 00:47:27,279
Speaker 1: does look legit. Yeah, they might have been peeking ahead

942
00:47:27,280 --> 00:47:30,080
Speaker 1: a bit, feeling themselves a little bit. I do like

943
00:47:30,120 --> 00:47:34,360
Speaker 1: the Costianos and that like they can he is mobile

944
00:47:34,360 --> 00:47:35,839
Speaker 1: and they're gonna run at a ton and they can

945
00:47:35,880 --> 00:47:40,279
Speaker 1: put those defensive ends in conflict. And so I think

946
00:47:40,280 --> 00:47:43,360
Speaker 1: Florida State can move the ball here. And you know,

947
00:47:43,400 --> 00:47:45,879
Speaker 1: whenever these Florida teams play like all these Florida kids,

948
00:47:45,880 --> 00:47:50,200
Speaker 1: I'm always inclined to take the points. But you know,

949
00:47:50,239 --> 00:47:53,879
Speaker 1: because if you look what Miami has done this year,

950
00:47:55,040 --> 00:47:57,919
Speaker 1: like the Notre Dame defense, hasn't been as good as

951
00:47:57,920 --> 00:48:02,120
Speaker 1: we thought. It's been actually pretty bad up and up

952
00:48:02,200 --> 00:48:06,600
Speaker 1: until last week. They got South Florida in a dream spot,

953
00:48:06,840 --> 00:48:11,360
Speaker 1: like an absolute nightmare spot for South Florida, who was

954
00:48:11,440 --> 00:48:16,360
Speaker 1: coming off two rank wins. Uh, Which when does that?

955
00:48:16,560 --> 00:48:18,160
Speaker 1: When is South Florida that ev in South Florida and

956
00:48:18,200 --> 00:48:20,400
Speaker 1: then they're playing their third straight ranked team and Miami

957
00:48:20,480 --> 00:48:24,560
Speaker 1: was coming off of a bye, and then Miami played

958
00:48:24,560 --> 00:48:29,680
Speaker 1: this broken Florida team and you know that didn't do much.

959
00:48:29,760 --> 00:48:31,840
Speaker 1: I mean, he threw for one hundred and fifty yards,

960
00:48:31,880 --> 00:48:35,279
Speaker 1: the only average four yards per carries. So maybe we

961
00:48:36,360 --> 00:48:39,880
Speaker 1: overrated this Miami offense a little bit, which is a

962
00:48:39,880 --> 00:48:44,719
Speaker 1: thought that I've had. So I expect Florida State to

963
00:48:44,760 --> 00:48:47,240
Speaker 1: bounce back. I think that this offense can have success

964
00:48:47,280 --> 00:48:51,040
Speaker 1: against this Miami defense with the way that they use

965
00:48:51,200 --> 00:48:54,879
Speaker 1: Costianus's legs. But I do think Miami is the best

966
00:48:54,880 --> 00:48:57,960
Speaker 1: team in the country in the trenches on both sides

967
00:48:58,000 --> 00:49:00,440
Speaker 1: of the ball. That matters a lot, and that that

968
00:49:00,480 --> 00:49:03,799
Speaker 1: could get them far in the College Football Playoff and

969
00:49:04,000 --> 00:49:06,440
Speaker 1: just this season in general. So I don't have a

970
00:49:06,480 --> 00:49:08,640
Speaker 1: strong feel yet. My first I have to break that

971
00:49:08,680 --> 00:49:11,759
Speaker 1: one down some more. If you are into college, will

972
00:49:11,760 --> 00:49:14,040
Speaker 1: break down that game in depth in the entire slate

973
00:49:14,080 --> 00:49:16,400
Speaker 1: on Big Bets on Campus Regulus to the podcast. My

974
00:49:16,560 --> 00:49:20,120
Speaker 1: first inclination is to take the points, but I don't

975
00:49:20,160 --> 00:49:23,200
Speaker 1: have a strong feeling yet and I have not put

976
00:49:23,239 --> 00:49:24,320
Speaker 1: any money down on that game.

977
00:49:25,160 --> 00:49:26,960
Speaker 2: The ure LSU ticket to win the Natty.

978
00:49:27,520 --> 00:49:31,120
Speaker 1: That's done. You think they're done, They're done. They don't

979
00:49:31,160 --> 00:49:35,800
Speaker 1: have an offensive line, their offensive line. They the hope

980
00:49:35,840 --> 00:49:38,000
Speaker 1: was this brand new offensive line they couldn't run the

981
00:49:38,040 --> 00:49:40,120
Speaker 1: ball last year, was gonna be able to gel and

982
00:49:40,120 --> 00:49:42,520
Speaker 1: they would have a run game and they didn't have

983
00:49:42,560 --> 00:49:44,720
Speaker 1: any run game last year, and then that could provide

984
00:49:44,719 --> 00:49:46,799
Speaker 1: balance to the But they don't have a run game,

985
00:49:46,840 --> 00:49:52,239
Speaker 1: and they can't protect. They can't protect their quarterback. I

986
00:49:52,239 --> 00:49:55,000
Speaker 1: can't even think of his name, Smyer, who people are

987
00:49:55,000 --> 00:49:56,960
Speaker 1: saying now he might be hurt. There's rumors that he

988
00:49:57,040 --> 00:50:01,960
Speaker 1: might be hurt now for the year. So their defense

989
00:50:02,040 --> 00:50:05,240
Speaker 1: is really good, but I don't think there. Their offense

990
00:50:05,280 --> 00:50:07,200
Speaker 1: has their offensive line has it. The end the SEC

991
00:50:07,280 --> 00:50:09,360
Speaker 1: is just way too difficult. They needed to get that

992
00:50:09,400 --> 00:50:12,799
Speaker 1: old Miss game. So I mean they could still make

993
00:50:12,840 --> 00:50:14,319
Speaker 1: a run, but I don't see it with the way

994
00:50:14,360 --> 00:50:16,440
Speaker 1: that their offense looks and and by the way you

995
00:50:16,440 --> 00:50:22,319
Speaker 1: have to look back, their data points now age much

996
00:50:22,360 --> 00:50:26,400
Speaker 1: worse because they beat Clemson. Clemson is a disaster, so

997
00:50:26,440 --> 00:50:30,600
Speaker 1: they beat that, that win looks much worse. Everyone's beating Clemson.

998
00:50:30,600 --> 00:50:33,040
Speaker 1: I mean, Sarahcuse is beating Clemson at Clemson. And then

999
00:50:33,080 --> 00:50:37,080
Speaker 1: they beat Florida, but I mean, blag way through five picks,

1000
00:50:37,080 --> 00:50:38,879
Speaker 1: they still only one by ten and Florida has been

1001
00:50:38,880 --> 00:50:42,000
Speaker 1: a mess. So like those two wins that look great

1002
00:50:42,640 --> 00:50:44,719
Speaker 1: don't look as right now. And then I just think

1003
00:50:44,719 --> 00:50:49,560
Speaker 1: the offensive line has too many issues. So yeah, I

1004
00:50:49,600 --> 00:50:52,200
Speaker 1: don't see it happening. I'll be rooting for it, but

1005
00:50:52,400 --> 00:50:54,040
Speaker 1: as of right now, I can't see it with the

1006
00:50:54,040 --> 00:50:57,399
Speaker 1: state of state of that offensive line. Still no run game,

1007
00:50:57,440 --> 00:51:00,320
Speaker 1: and now the pass protection is worse because now have

1008
00:51:00,320 --> 00:51:01,840
Speaker 1: four NFL guys, four guys that are now in the

1009
00:51:01,960 --> 00:51:02,799
Speaker 1: NFL protecting you.

1010
00:51:03,520 --> 00:51:07,480
Speaker 2: Someone sent me a clip of an Oregon like fan

1011
00:51:07,600 --> 00:51:11,600
Speaker 2: page put together this like montage of people talking shit.

1012
00:51:11,960 --> 00:51:12,839
Speaker 1: I think I was on that.

1013
00:51:13,080 --> 00:51:15,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, you were, you were he never more had never

1014
00:51:15,719 --> 00:51:19,120
Speaker 2: played in a big game, which was factually true, and uh,

1015
00:51:19,360 --> 00:51:22,520
Speaker 2: you know, it's crazy Oregon. I mean they have you know,

1016
00:51:22,600 --> 00:51:25,439
Speaker 2: coward who's from the Northwest as always said, like they

1017
00:51:25,480 --> 00:51:28,960
Speaker 2: are the one brand new team to college football and

1018
00:51:29,040 --> 00:51:32,680
Speaker 2: the internet age, Like Miami's been around forever, right, Ohio

1019
00:51:32,719 --> 00:51:36,400
Speaker 2: State's been around forever, George Alabama long history. It's like

1020
00:51:36,600 --> 00:51:39,759
Speaker 2: Oregon's history started. Is by far the newest team because

1021
00:51:39,760 --> 00:51:43,279
Speaker 2: of Phil Knight and Nike, and they are just like

1022
00:51:43,840 --> 00:51:46,319
Speaker 2: you could tell, like I love that jersey scheme. When

1023
00:51:46,320 --> 00:51:48,279
Speaker 2: they came out and those I was like, damn, they

1024
00:51:48,320 --> 00:51:50,719
Speaker 2: look pretty sweet. That tight ends a monster and that

1025
00:51:50,800 --> 00:51:53,239
Speaker 2: quarterback like five star guy, like you said, you never

1026
00:51:53,280 --> 00:51:55,160
Speaker 2: know how these guys are going to react, but he's

1027
00:51:55,160 --> 00:51:57,000
Speaker 2: way better than the other guy. And it's like I

1028
00:51:57,520 --> 00:52:00,239
Speaker 2: wanted to like aler you and I pounded the able

1029
00:52:00,239 --> 00:52:02,239
Speaker 2: to get this new offensive coordinator, like I'm sorry, I'm out,

1030
00:52:02,320 --> 00:52:04,759
Speaker 2: like you, you can't win and who knows they can

1031
00:52:04,800 --> 00:52:07,600
Speaker 2: still make the playoffs or whatever like that, there's no chance,

1032
00:52:07,640 --> 00:52:10,279
Speaker 2: Like no, I don't even think he's beating anyone good

1033
00:52:10,320 --> 00:52:15,200
Speaker 2: in the playoffs. So it's just now I think, you know, Miami,

1034
00:52:15,600 --> 00:52:19,920
Speaker 2: Ohio State, Georgia, Bama, Oregon, like we're starting to get

1035
00:52:19,960 --> 00:52:22,879
Speaker 2: a little separation. I think would would you throw ole

1036
00:52:22,960 --> 00:52:25,759
Speaker 2: miss in there, or it's just they're not quite on

1037
00:52:25,800 --> 00:52:26,560
Speaker 2: that level now.

1038
00:52:26,719 --> 00:52:29,800
Speaker 1: Their offensive line is bad, their defense is still really bad.

1039
00:52:29,840 --> 00:52:32,600
Speaker 1: They I don't think they could put together any type

1040
00:52:32,600 --> 00:52:36,840
Speaker 1: of deep run. Uh. You know my and I was,

1041
00:52:36,920 --> 00:52:38,560
Speaker 1: I was dead wrong on Oregon. I had a lot

1042
00:52:38,560 --> 00:52:40,640
Speaker 1: of money on Penn State minus three getting a close

1043
00:52:40,719 --> 00:52:42,040
Speaker 1: like four or four and a half. The market agree

1044
00:52:42,080 --> 00:52:44,120
Speaker 1: with me, but theyally the market was wrong. I was wrong.

1045
00:52:45,600 --> 00:52:48,160
Speaker 1: I wanted to see more in those freshmen in a

1046
00:52:48,280 --> 00:52:51,120
Speaker 1: huge environment and they were they they did it, and

1047
00:52:51,120 --> 00:52:54,520
Speaker 1: I thought Penn State was holding was they had at

1048
00:52:54,560 --> 00:52:57,359
Speaker 1: buy they were not showing anything. Well, here's the here's

1049
00:52:57,480 --> 00:53:00,360
Speaker 1: what the side of that game. You know, aller wasn't great,

1050
00:53:00,760 --> 00:53:03,960
Speaker 1: but the Oregon beat the shit out of them on

1051
00:53:04,040 --> 00:53:06,719
Speaker 1: the offensive line on both sides of the ball. And

1052
00:53:06,760 --> 00:53:10,120
Speaker 1: Oregon have a rebuilt offense line and rebuilt like the

1053
00:53:10,200 --> 00:53:12,120
Speaker 1: recruits that they've got on the defensive line. They're all

1054
00:53:12,160 --> 00:53:14,759
Speaker 1: young too, they're gonna be around for another year. Like

1055
00:53:14,840 --> 00:53:17,560
Speaker 1: they dominated that game with the line of scrimmage and

1056
00:53:17,680 --> 00:53:19,880
Speaker 1: more than make any mistakes. And yeah, they deserve to

1057
00:53:19,880 --> 00:53:22,240
Speaker 1: win that game. They didn't even deserve to go to overtime.

1058
00:53:23,360 --> 00:53:24,920
Speaker 1: You know, Penn State got pretty lucky that it went

1059
00:53:24,920 --> 00:53:28,759
Speaker 1: to overtime, So yeah, they look very good. If I

1060
00:53:28,760 --> 00:53:34,000
Speaker 1: had to throw another team in the mix, I would

1061
00:53:35,520 --> 00:53:43,840
Speaker 1: probably throw in Texas A and M. I think Elko

1062
00:53:44,000 --> 00:53:46,440
Speaker 1: is starting to get that defense rounded in the form

1063
00:53:46,440 --> 00:53:50,680
Speaker 1: he's that's was basically his primary job this offseason. And

1064
00:53:50,719 --> 00:53:54,320
Speaker 1: their offense looks really explosive with they have two really

1065
00:53:54,400 --> 00:53:57,000
Speaker 1: I mean, they're receivers Craver and concepsi own and they

1066
00:53:57,040 --> 00:53:59,120
Speaker 1: have one of the best offensive lines in college football,

1067
00:53:59,120 --> 00:54:00,680
Speaker 1: one of the best running I mean, they have like

1068
00:54:00,719 --> 00:54:02,480
Speaker 1: a thre ed of monster in the backfield led by

1069
00:54:02,960 --> 00:54:06,200
Speaker 1: Le'Veon Moss, a mobile quarterback Marcel Reed. Looks to be

1070
00:54:06,200 --> 00:54:08,640
Speaker 1: getting better. You might say, oh, they only beat Auburn

1071
00:54:08,800 --> 00:54:12,560
Speaker 1: sixteen to ten. They out gained them four fifteen to

1072
00:54:12,600 --> 00:54:17,760
Speaker 1: one seventy like just a completely fluky game. They dominated

1073
00:54:17,760 --> 00:54:21,680
Speaker 1: that game. They went, you know, they won at Notre Dame. Already,

1074
00:54:22,680 --> 00:54:25,160
Speaker 1: they're fourteen and a half point favorites against Mississippi State

1075
00:54:25,200 --> 00:54:27,120
Speaker 1: this week. Then they're gonna get Florida. They go to

1076
00:54:27,280 --> 00:54:31,800
Speaker 1: Arkansas like this is a team that's probably gonna be

1077
00:54:32,480 --> 00:54:35,000
Speaker 1: seven and oh, then they go to LSU, who might

1078
00:54:35,120 --> 00:54:39,799
Speaker 1: be broken. They have South Carolina Stamford at home, They're

1079
00:54:39,840 --> 00:54:41,680
Speaker 1: at Missouri. It was pretty good, but they could win

1080
00:54:41,719 --> 00:54:44,000
Speaker 1: that game. And then they closed the season at Texas.

1081
00:54:44,800 --> 00:54:46,359
Speaker 1: I'll tell you right now, I want to I'd take

1082
00:54:46,400 --> 00:54:48,279
Speaker 1: Texas a and I remember Texas right now unless I

1083
00:54:48,400 --> 00:54:51,279
Speaker 1: see anything more from March. So this is a team

1084
00:54:51,320 --> 00:54:53,040
Speaker 1: that could if they go ten to two, they're going

1085
00:54:53,080 --> 00:54:55,719
Speaker 1: to the College Wall playoff. I mean, especially with a

1086
00:54:55,760 --> 00:54:57,520
Speaker 1: win an SEC team, and they have a win at

1087
00:54:57,520 --> 00:55:00,120
Speaker 1: Notre Dame, one of the best non conference wins of

1088
00:55:00,120 --> 00:55:02,800
Speaker 1: the season. But there's a chance they could go eleven

1089
00:55:02,800 --> 00:55:05,480
Speaker 1: and one. But I think they have a really good

1090
00:55:05,520 --> 00:55:08,200
Speaker 1: chot to ten to two. And if Elco starts to

1091
00:55:08,320 --> 00:55:10,080
Speaker 1: round this defense in the form and it looked that

1092
00:55:10,320 --> 00:55:13,600
Speaker 1: to be the case last week against Auburn. Their offense

1093
00:55:13,680 --> 00:55:16,080
Speaker 1: looks electric and they have that they have the offensive line,

1094
00:55:16,200 --> 00:55:21,080
Speaker 1: I like their coach, their running game, the receivers. That's

1095
00:55:21,080 --> 00:55:25,200
Speaker 1: a team that could be one that makes a run

1096
00:55:25,239 --> 00:55:26,400
Speaker 1: that not many are talking about.

1097
00:55:26,880 --> 00:55:28,719
Speaker 2: And I would say Oklahoma. I mean that news on

1098
00:55:28,760 --> 00:55:31,439
Speaker 2: the quarterback is just I mean three weeks sounds best

1099
00:55:31,480 --> 00:55:33,520
Speaker 2: cases is throwing hand to grip the ball. I mean

1100
00:55:33,560 --> 00:55:35,080
Speaker 2: that's pretty fucking devastating.

1101
00:55:35,680 --> 00:55:39,719
Speaker 1: Yeah, well the problem for Oklahoma is that and then

1102
00:55:39,760 --> 00:55:42,240
Speaker 1: their schedule, like I just mentioned Texas, A and M schedule

1103
00:55:42,400 --> 00:55:50,320
Speaker 1: pretty reasonable for a SEC team, but like Oklahoma still

1104
00:55:51,239 --> 00:55:55,239
Speaker 1: has what they have Texas on the neutral they have

1105
00:55:55,440 --> 00:55:56,680
Speaker 1: Ole mess But how do.

1106
00:55:56,719 --> 00:55:58,440
Speaker 2: They win that game with a backup quarterback?

1107
00:55:58,840 --> 00:56:01,439
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's gonna be tough. Well, it's their defense if

1108
00:56:01,520 --> 00:56:04,200
Speaker 1: Arch is a disaster. He just went it in thirteen ten. Yeah,

1109
00:56:04,480 --> 00:56:07,600
Speaker 1: but that they're at Tennessee, They're at Alabama, and then

1110
00:56:07,640 --> 00:56:12,080
Speaker 1: they close with Missouri and LSU. So their schedule is

1111
00:56:12,200 --> 00:56:16,040
Speaker 1: brutal and uh yeah, the injury throws a wrench into that.

1112
00:56:16,200 --> 00:56:18,480
Speaker 1: So we'll see when the teer can come back. But

1113
00:56:18,960 --> 00:56:21,239
Speaker 1: it's gonna be tough if they're not fully healthy and

1114
00:56:22,000 --> 00:56:24,240
Speaker 1: they have one of the toughest remaining schedules in the country.

1115
00:56:24,520 --> 00:56:26,239
Speaker 2: You know what I'm happy for is Kailin de Boor

1116
00:56:26,360 --> 00:56:29,000
Speaker 2: because that Florida State game, which was jarring to watch

1117
00:56:30,239 --> 00:56:32,520
Speaker 2: his body of work, like he just that that was

1118
00:56:32,560 --> 00:56:35,880
Speaker 2: an outlier game of his career. He beat Kirby twice.

1119
00:56:36,320 --> 00:56:39,040
Speaker 2: I mean, their team's rolling right now. And Ryan Williams

1120
00:56:39,080 --> 00:56:41,520
Speaker 2: isn't even good, you know. I mean Ryan Williams like,

1121
00:56:42,040 --> 00:56:44,239
Speaker 2: you get some people. I've heard some Bama people like

1122
00:56:44,880 --> 00:56:48,759
Speaker 2: bench them, let's get this guy. We don't even need him.

1123
00:56:48,880 --> 00:56:51,320
Speaker 2: And what he's doing with Ty Simpson is like Canada

1124
00:56:51,320 --> 00:56:54,680
Speaker 2: bor is pretty freaking good. And I would say Alabama's

1125
00:56:54,680 --> 00:56:55,680
Speaker 2: on the come right now.

1126
00:56:56,680 --> 00:57:00,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, the Boor's like he's won wherever he's gone. He

1127
00:57:00,960 --> 00:57:03,759
Speaker 1: out coached Kirby early. Like the way I thought about

1128
00:57:03,760 --> 00:57:05,560
Speaker 1: that game is I wanted to bet Georgia live because

1129
00:57:05,560 --> 00:57:06,799
Speaker 1: I figured that the bor Is gonna have a really

1130
00:57:06,840 --> 00:57:10,239
Speaker 1: good plan and I mean Kirby's when he's probably the

1131
00:57:10,280 --> 00:57:12,600
Speaker 1: best in game adjuster. And that's what happened. But Albama

1132
00:57:12,680 --> 00:57:14,160
Speaker 1: was able to hold on. I mean, i'ven't didn't score

1133
00:57:14,200 --> 00:57:17,560
Speaker 1: in the second half. But Simpson looks much more comfortable.

1134
00:57:17,960 --> 00:57:21,720
Speaker 1: De Bor's biggest problem has been which is very shocking

1135
00:57:21,760 --> 00:57:24,200
Speaker 1: for coach, one of the best coaches in coage football.

1136
00:57:24,240 --> 00:57:26,360
Speaker 1: He's had a couple of games where they're like big

1137
00:57:26,400 --> 00:57:29,600
Speaker 1: favorites and they show up and they look like they're

1138
00:57:29,600 --> 00:57:33,360
Speaker 1: not prepared and they kind of like take the opponent. Lately.

1139
00:57:33,680 --> 00:57:35,760
Speaker 1: We saw that last year against like Oklahoma, Michigan in

1140
00:57:35,800 --> 00:57:39,880
Speaker 1: the bowl game, Vanderbilt Florida State earlier this year, and

1141
00:57:40,000 --> 00:57:42,840
Speaker 1: Alabama still and this goes back to the saving days,

1142
00:57:42,840 --> 00:57:45,440
Speaker 1: but so they struggle with mobile quarterbacks and that's what

1143
00:57:45,480 --> 00:57:47,960
Speaker 1: they're going to see this week with Diego Pavia and

1144
00:57:48,040 --> 00:57:50,880
Speaker 1: this Vanderbilt offense, which is a wagon right now. I

1145
00:57:50,880 --> 00:57:53,600
Speaker 1: mean their offense is you look at like a adjusted

1146
00:57:53,640 --> 00:57:56,720
Speaker 1: for opponent. They them in USC have the two best

1147
00:57:56,720 --> 00:57:59,640
Speaker 1: offense in the country talking passing and rushing offenses. They

1148
00:57:59,640 --> 00:58:03,720
Speaker 1: are have been unbelievable. Their defense isn't that good. They're

1149
00:58:03,720 --> 00:58:06,200
Speaker 1: probably not gonna get that many stops. I don't hate

1150
00:58:06,240 --> 00:58:11,680
Speaker 1: the over in this game. It's yeah, ten and a half.

1151
00:58:11,720 --> 00:58:14,880
Speaker 1: I won't bet against Vandy as their coaching staff is

1152
00:58:14,880 --> 00:58:17,520
Speaker 1: awesome too. I won't bet against Bobby as a dog.

1153
00:58:17,640 --> 00:58:22,160
Speaker 1: I mean he is at at Bandy. He's ten and

1154
00:58:22,200 --> 00:58:25,320
Speaker 1: two against the spread as an underdog with seven outright

1155
00:58:25,360 --> 00:58:27,720
Speaker 1: wins and most of those I mean, he's winning games

1156
00:58:27,720 --> 00:58:30,560
Speaker 1: when he's like twenty one twenty four point underdog's twenty seven,

1157
00:58:30,920 --> 00:58:34,640
Speaker 1: like it's insane. But I don't know if I'm gonna

1158
00:58:34,640 --> 00:58:37,080
Speaker 1: bet Bandy, so I kind of might. I like the

1159
00:58:37,120 --> 00:58:39,800
Speaker 1: over because I Bamo will be ready for this like

1160
00:58:39,840 --> 00:58:43,080
Speaker 1: they're they were embarrassed last year. They've had this circled,

1161
00:58:43,840 --> 00:58:45,480
Speaker 1: so it's not like they're gonna be hungover from the

1162
00:58:45,520 --> 00:58:50,200
Speaker 1: Georgia game if Bama goes up early, so I think

1163
00:58:50,240 --> 00:58:52,640
Speaker 1: they're probably gonna have a real like some wrinkles early

1164
00:58:52,760 --> 00:58:54,760
Speaker 1: they I could see it being starting like the Georgia game.

1165
00:58:54,760 --> 00:58:59,919
Speaker 1: I'll probably look to bet Vandy live and Bama doesn't

1166
00:58:59,920 --> 00:59:02,240
Speaker 1: know a great running game, which might hurt them late,

1167
00:59:02,240 --> 00:59:03,960
Speaker 1: but they might just want to keep pouring it on here,

1168
00:59:03,960 --> 00:59:06,360
Speaker 1: so I don't hate the over. I won't bet against

1169
00:59:06,360 --> 00:59:09,560
Speaker 1: Bobby as a dog, but Bama wants this, so I

1170
00:59:09,600 --> 00:59:11,440
Speaker 1: could see I make it ten and a half as

1171
00:59:11,480 --> 00:59:13,840
Speaker 1: my projection, so I'm right on the market. I could

1172
00:59:13,880 --> 00:59:15,760
Speaker 1: see you can make a case for either side here.

1173
00:59:16,280 --> 00:59:18,120
Speaker 1: I think the fun way to play it and the

1174
00:59:18,120 --> 00:59:19,800
Speaker 1: way that I would look. Fifty five is a key

1175
00:59:19,880 --> 00:59:21,960
Speaker 1: number in college football. Keep that in mind and you're

1176
00:59:21,960 --> 00:59:24,480
Speaker 1: betting totals. But I could see this being an over again.

1177
00:59:24,480 --> 00:59:28,400
Speaker 1: The Dandy offenser now is electric, and I don't I

1178
00:59:28,400 --> 00:59:30,560
Speaker 1: can't see them slowing down Bama too many times, and

1179
00:59:31,480 --> 00:59:35,080
Speaker 1: Dandy will fight to the death and I'm sure Debor

1180
00:59:35,160 --> 00:59:38,960
Speaker 1: and company want to. If they can, they might put

1181
00:59:38,960 --> 00:59:42,040
Speaker 1: in an extra score or too. For what happened last year.

1182
00:59:43,360 --> 00:59:45,520
Speaker 2: Who would have thought about five ten years ago that

1183
00:59:45,800 --> 00:59:48,480
Speaker 2: Vandy Bama would have been much must watch at twelve

1184
00:59:48,560 --> 00:59:54,120
Speaker 2: thirty or twelve thirty Pacific Scenter time on a random Saturday.

1185
00:59:54,240 --> 00:59:57,040
Speaker 1: Andandy's gonna have now Vandy hosts like Dandy's gonna have

1186
00:59:57,040 --> 00:59:58,760
Speaker 1: a say in the College Walk Playoff. I mean, maybe

1187
00:59:58,760 --> 01:00:00,400
Speaker 1: they could make it, but I doubt what they're schedule.

1188
01:00:00,440 --> 01:00:03,320
Speaker 1: But all these SEC teams that want to get there,

1189
01:00:04,080 --> 01:00:06,280
Speaker 1: Like if Alabama lose this game, they're they're in doubt.

1190
01:00:06,320 --> 01:00:10,320
Speaker 1: They're in jeopardy of missing the Collegeuall Playoff. They host

1191
01:00:10,440 --> 01:00:13,760
Speaker 1: LSU next week, they could knock out LSU. They host

1192
01:00:13,800 --> 01:00:16,880
Speaker 1: Missouri the week after that, they could knock They could

1193
01:00:17,000 --> 01:00:21,360
Speaker 1: help knock down Missouri. They're at Texas, they could eliminate

1194
01:00:21,400 --> 01:00:24,000
Speaker 1: Texas if they have another loss. Then they're home against

1195
01:00:24,000 --> 01:00:26,920
Speaker 1: Auburn and then they close the ear at Tennessee. Like,

1196
01:00:27,440 --> 01:00:30,640
Speaker 1: first of all, that schedule is ridiculous, but they're gonna

1197
01:00:30,640 --> 01:00:32,360
Speaker 1: have to say and they're probably gonna pull an upset

1198
01:00:32,440 --> 01:00:40,360
Speaker 1: or two off as they've done throughout Pavia's career. So yeah, well,

1199
01:00:40,440 --> 01:00:42,200
Speaker 1: uh and then and then they hope they host Auburn

1200
01:00:42,320 --> 01:00:45,800
Speaker 1: and he Pavia owns Hugh Freeze going back to Liberty

1201
01:00:45,840 --> 01:00:47,640
Speaker 1: New Mexico State when he beat him as a three

1202
01:00:47,680 --> 01:00:48,560
Speaker 1: touchdown underdog.

1203
01:00:50,000 --> 01:00:51,760
Speaker 2: What if they go ten and too? Why why why

1204
01:00:51,800 --> 01:00:52,680
Speaker 2: couldn't they make it?

1205
01:00:53,720 --> 01:00:56,560
Speaker 1: Uh? They who? And Andy? Yeah, yeah they could, but

1206
01:00:56,600 --> 01:00:58,280
Speaker 1: they'd have to go like ten and ten and two?

1207
01:00:59,160 --> 01:01:00,840
Speaker 1: Are they gonna win? Like they're not gonna win all

1208
01:01:00,840 --> 01:01:04,600
Speaker 1: these games? But uh like LSU looks like they have issues.

1209
01:01:04,640 --> 01:01:06,800
Speaker 1: Texas might have issues, So like maybe some of those

1210
01:01:06,840 --> 01:01:10,640
Speaker 1: games get easier than they thought. And if they win

1211
01:01:10,680 --> 01:01:12,320
Speaker 1: this game, yeah, they're in. They're in the discussion.

1212
01:01:13,280 --> 01:01:16,000
Speaker 2: Vandy almost beat Texas last year. I remember watching that game.

1213
01:01:16,160 --> 01:01:19,080
Speaker 2: I was like, God, Vandy's better than I thought. Texas

1214
01:01:19,120 --> 01:01:21,560
Speaker 2: was laying an egg now looking back, actually Vandy's not terrible.

1215
01:01:21,960 --> 01:01:26,240
Speaker 2: You know, appreciate you, Stucky, have a good week, and

1216
01:01:26,440 --> 01:01:28,919
Speaker 2: uh we we will check in with you next week.

1217
01:01:28,920 --> 01:01:34,480
Speaker 1: Absolutely, I have a good one over. Thanks the volume