WEBVTT - Methane Hunters Race to Change Course of Global Warming

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carol Masser and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stanovik. We're here every day bringing

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<v Speaker 1>YouTube search Bloomberg clovel News. Well, let's not get get

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<v Speaker 1>to Dr Ian Lustbader. He joins us each and every

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<v Speaker 1>Friday right here on Bloomberg Business Week. He's clinical professor

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<v Speaker 1>of medicine at n y U Langnes Medical Center, joining

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<v Speaker 1>us on the phone today. Uh, Dr LUs Better, always

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<v Speaker 1>great to be able to check in with you. I

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<v Speaker 1>want to start by hitting on boosters because this is

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<v Speaker 1>this is the story of the day when it comes

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<v Speaker 1>to COVID. Uh are you already starting to plan for

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<v Speaker 1>your booster shot? You're a doctor at at n y U.

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<v Speaker 1>You were among the first to be able to get

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<v Speaker 1>a COVID vaccine. Are you going to get your boosters in? Yes,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm not in the absolute first group of Happy Priday,

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<v Speaker 1>by the way, Tim and Carroll's only a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>challenges out there at many levels, Delta certainly one of them. Yes,

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<v Speaker 1>I think healthcare professionals, anyone who got vaccinated eight months

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<v Speaker 1>ago will be on the list, not first on the list,

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<v Speaker 1>first on the list now. And we're already writing orders

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<v Speaker 1>for the booster shots which will begin next week for

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<v Speaker 1>solid organ transplants. And you know, suppressed patients, uh, people

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<v Speaker 1>on chemotherapy, etcetera, etcetera. And there are a number of

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<v Speaker 1>patients who feel that they are you know, compromised HIV

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<v Speaker 1>patients or diabetes or patients or the other conditions. We're

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<v Speaker 1>just gonna have to see who, um, you know, the

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<v Speaker 1>distribution of that. But September twentieth at least appears to

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<v Speaker 1>be the next traunch of people who would get vaccinated,

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<v Speaker 1>assuming all goes smoothly, uh, And those would be people

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<v Speaker 1>who are eight months out, like healthcare providers. And there's

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<v Speaker 1>definitely a lot of trouble, a lot of anxiety with

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<v Speaker 1>those doctors and colleagues some of whom have gotten breakthrough

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<v Speaker 1>delta in sections, and and people who are concerned about

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<v Speaker 1>their immunity that is beginning to drop. No, So Dr

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<v Speaker 1>LUs bader Um first all, so good to have you

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<v Speaker 1>back with us. And in terms of people who are

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<v Speaker 1>immune compromised, do they have to get a note or

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<v Speaker 1>something from the doctor in order to get to be

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<v Speaker 1>at the top of the list, at the front of

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<v Speaker 1>the line. Here when it comes to a booster, at

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<v Speaker 1>this point we have to place an order for that

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<v Speaker 1>booster or so they do. They have to request it

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<v Speaker 1>and meet certain criteria. At this point, I think by

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<v Speaker 1>September twentieth that will be you know, again, depending on

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<v Speaker 1>how it all goes another trunche of people. Now there

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<v Speaker 1>are people who do go to pharmacies and and are

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<v Speaker 1>able to get another booster shot. It's certainly not not

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<v Speaker 1>protocol uh, and there's probably no real need for that.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, the immunity doesn't drop off a cliff, it's

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<v Speaker 1>just a slow gradual decline. My my analogy is that

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<v Speaker 1>your your vaccine is like a sponge and delta COVID

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<v Speaker 1>is like a puddle, and you get splashed with this

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<v Speaker 1>puddle and the bigger your sponge is, the more likely

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<v Speaker 1>you're going to be able to sop up all of

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<v Speaker 1>that virus. Over time, your sponge shrinks a bit, And

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<v Speaker 1>what the boosters really do is make the sponge big again,

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<v Speaker 1>so that when you are exposed to DELTA or COVID

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<v Speaker 1>so far variants, it absorbs it so your body does

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<v Speaker 1>not have to fight off as big an infection, so

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<v Speaker 1>that sponge doesn't just disappear, at least in most patients.

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<v Speaker 1>So that's the rationale for why a booster is indicated

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<v Speaker 1>at this time. One thing that I've been struggling with

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<v Speaker 1>is just thinking about the that we've had here in

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<v Speaker 1>the United States getting vaccine. Wary people going to get vaccinated,

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<v Speaker 1>and even those folks who were hesitant who did get vaccinated,

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<v Speaker 1>are they going to end up getting a third shot?

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<v Speaker 1>And to what extent does that change the way that

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<v Speaker 1>the pandemic is spreading Because we have these metrics right unvaccinated,

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<v Speaker 1>vaccinated with one shot, vaccinated with two shots, And I

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<v Speaker 1>wonder how many of those folks who are vaccinated with

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<v Speaker 1>two shots are actually going to go out and get

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<v Speaker 1>that booster shot. If the CDC indeed recommends it, You're

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<v Speaker 1>you're absolutely right. I think, you know, it's a very

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<v Speaker 1>dynamic process. I think all we can do is educate people.

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<v Speaker 1>I think there is still some vaccine fear, although as

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<v Speaker 1>Delta rampages through unvaccinated people and doctors and hospitals are overwhelmed,

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<v Speaker 1>and people see that on the news, they begin to realize, say,

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<v Speaker 1>wait a minute, even though I may be young and healthy,

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<v Speaker 1>I could get Delta. And they certainly can and probably

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<v Speaker 1>will at the rate we're going. Um, So I think, um,

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<v Speaker 1>we will see more of those eighties people who are

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<v Speaker 1>eligible getting vaccines. But at the end of the day, UM,

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<v Speaker 1>you can only protect people who are willing to get protected,

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<v Speaker 1>and I think for frontline healthcare workers as one example,

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<v Speaker 1>or you know, compromise people if they're willing to take

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<v Speaker 1>a booster. I think that's reasonable to do. We've certainly

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<v Speaker 1>seen in Israel and other countries that certainly the fiser

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<v Speaker 1>shot that protection does begin to diminish, and people are

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<v Speaker 1>hospitalized who are vaccinated, and some people say, well, why

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<v Speaker 1>should I get a vaccine. You know, if it begins

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<v Speaker 1>to lose efficacy but it does provide protection, then that

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<v Speaker 1>does really reduced severe disease, and so help me out

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<v Speaker 1>some really basic questions. If I got the Fiser vaccine initially,

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<v Speaker 1>that's the booster. I have to get same thing for

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<v Speaker 1>maderna or can you mix and match? So at this point, yes,

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<v Speaker 1>you're supposed to get the same shot. We don't really

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<v Speaker 1>have a lot of data and mixing and matching. Certainly

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<v Speaker 1>with J and J, there's a lot of strong data

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<v Speaker 1>that taking the MR and a vaccine after that really

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<v Speaker 1>gives you a boost, and so I think likely any

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<v Speaker 1>vaccine would provide a significant boost. But at this point

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<v Speaker 1>the consensus is to give the same vaccine for the

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<v Speaker 1>third if you've done the MR nas can I ask

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<v Speaker 1>you also for those individuals that ultimately get hospitalized UM

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<v Speaker 1>and aren't vaccinated, are we better in terms of new

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<v Speaker 1>treatments for dealing with them? What are the treatments that

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<v Speaker 1>everybody's getting in the hospital unvaccinated but down with COVID. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>thank you for asking that. I mean, I think we

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<v Speaker 1>really should have made a better national effort for treatment.

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<v Speaker 1>We've been very focused and appropriately so an early diagnosis

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<v Speaker 1>and vaccination, but the problem is that's not ad and

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<v Speaker 1>so we are still giving people steroids and blood centers

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<v Speaker 1>and monoclonal antibodies, which do seem to help, But we

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<v Speaker 1>really should have made a better effort on anti virals

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<v Speaker 1>and other medications possible off the shelf, medications that there's

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<v Speaker 1>some studies on, and really been aggressive in doing those

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<v Speaker 1>studies so that we can or for treatment to those

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<v Speaker 1>ninety million people who are not yet vaccinated and who

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<v Speaker 1>likely will get delta. Dr los Bader. Earlier this week

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<v Speaker 1>we spoke to Dr William Haseltine. He's written many books,

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<v Speaker 1>U started companies UM and he his latest book is

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<v Speaker 1>called c v PTSD COVID related post traumatic stress Disorder.

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<v Speaker 1>And I'm wondering what you're seeing in the medical community

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<v Speaker 1>right now, what you're seeing among patients who aren't necessarily

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<v Speaker 1>haven't necessarily gotten COVID or have recovered from COVID, but

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<v Speaker 1>have some sort of PTSD related to the pandemic that

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<v Speaker 1>we've been going through since March. Him, You're completely right.

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<v Speaker 1>I think we are underestimating the troum. The two Americans

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<v Speaker 1>UM they were anxious and feeling vulnerable about DELTA and COVID,

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<v Speaker 1>initially confused about vaccinations, are hesitant. I think what's going

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<v Speaker 1>on geo politically is I'm seeing patients over the last

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<v Speaker 1>few days that are very anxious and said about global politics.

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<v Speaker 1>So I think we're seeing a lot of PTSD coming together,

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<v Speaker 1>uh and rattling a lot of America, and certainly the

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<v Speaker 1>doctors who were on the front lines in the i

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<v Speaker 1>c u S treating patients, watching them die because of

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<v Speaker 1>poor you know, treatment availability at the time, and now

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<v Speaker 1>seeing a surge of more cases. Um, everyone is really traumatized,

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<v Speaker 1>even our front line, you know, doctors and first responders

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<v Speaker 1>who you think of as calm no matter what. I

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<v Speaker 1>think everyone is having a toll taken on them and

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<v Speaker 1>I think we need to acknowledge that. And uh, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>people are for guidance and there are some conflicting data

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<v Speaker 1>and mixed messages which I think stressed people out as well. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>that's all. We definitely see it a lot within our community. Hey, Ian,

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<v Speaker 1>thank you so much. Dr Ian LUs Bet, our clinical

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<v Speaker 1>professor of Medicine at n y U Land going on

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<v Speaker 1>the phone in New York. Right now, cases are topping

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<v Speaker 1>two million globally, depths passing four point war million. You're

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<v Speaker 1>listening to Bloomberg Business Week, Carol Master, Tim Stanevik in

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<v Speaker 1>our Interactive Broker Studio. Gotta say when I saw this

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<v Speaker 1>this morning, I tweeted the story out with the line,

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<v Speaker 1>now what it is Today's Bloomberg Big Take. It's a

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<v Speaker 1>most round on the Bloomberg terminal. It is uh in

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business Week. It's about the methane hunters racing to

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<v Speaker 1>change the course tim of global warming. We'll joining us

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<v Speaker 1>now is Joel Weber, editor for Bloomberg Business Week. He's

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<v Speaker 1>on the remote from Massachusetts. Also in the studio with us,

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<v Speaker 1>Zach Myder, Projects, an investigations reporter for Bloomberg News. Joel

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<v Speaker 1>frackers in America's largest oil field. They are letting massive

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<v Speaker 1>amounts of natural gas spill into the atmosphere. But the

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<v Speaker 1>methane hunters are finding where that is leaking and helping

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<v Speaker 1>plug the potent greenhound greenhouse gas. Yeah. So to Carol's point,

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<v Speaker 1>now what, but there there's a little bit of a

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<v Speaker 1>hopeful quality to this story, um, which is that you know,

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<v Speaker 1>methane is terrible stuff, and it is leaking at unfortunate rates,

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<v Speaker 1>but we now have technology that allows us to actually

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<v Speaker 1>see where the weeks are and we can actually you know,

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<v Speaker 1>handle it, handle it and fix it. And you know,

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<v Speaker 1>if we have the willpower for this and not so long,

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<v Speaker 1>we can actually eliminate a lot of this problem. But

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<v Speaker 1>you know, there's some keywords in there, UM that you

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<v Speaker 1>know are are going to be sources of tension in

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<v Speaker 1>the years to come. UM. But all this reporting goes

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<v Speaker 1>back to Zach and in his interest in and methane. So,

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<v Speaker 1>so Zach walk us through UM how you how you

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<v Speaker 1>kind of found out about this area of coverage and

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<v Speaker 1>then how you went about telling the story. Yeah. Sure,

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<v Speaker 1>I mean what was special to me about UM that

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<v Speaker 1>this question about methane emissions is that it's really one

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<v Speaker 1>of the UM big opportunities that the world has to

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<v Speaker 1>make a difference in the pace of climate change quickly,

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<v Speaker 1>because methane is only in the air for about ten

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<v Speaker 1>years UM. And so if you were to do something

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<v Speaker 1>to radically reduce how much we're putting in the air

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<v Speaker 1>within a generation, you'd actually have a tangible effect on

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<v Speaker 1>the pace of global warming. Something like a third of

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<v Speaker 1>the warming we anticipate over the next couple of decades

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<v Speaker 1>could actually be eliminated just by dealing with the methane problem. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>so we always talking about carbon emission, so give me

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<v Speaker 1>some context, um, Zach, in terms of methane, how much

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<v Speaker 1>are we putting out there? Because as you say, ten years,

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<v Speaker 1>that to me, I can get my head around that

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<v Speaker 1>and maybe how we could get ahead of it. Give

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<v Speaker 1>me some perspective that how much we're putting out right now? Sure,

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<v Speaker 1>So carbon is the biggest cause of human cause global warming. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>it's the biggest chunk. But methane is the second biggest chunk,

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<v Speaker 1>and it's responsible for maybe a quarter of what's happened

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<v Speaker 1>so far. But so it's really significant. And um, it

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<v Speaker 1>comes from a lot of things. It's it's not like

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<v Speaker 1>carbon comes from burning stuff, which we mostly do on

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<v Speaker 1>purpose because it's useful to generate power or whatever. A

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<v Speaker 1>lot of methane is like just kind of a byproduct.

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<v Speaker 1>Cows burp it out, it comes from landfills. There's all

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<v Speaker 1>these ways that it gets in the atmosphere. And one

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<v Speaker 1>of the biggest is oil and gas. We've talked about

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<v Speaker 1>with food waste, that all of the food waste and

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<v Speaker 1>garbage dumps of that creating methane. So, Zach, what what

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<v Speaker 1>is the economic cost not just not for the climate change,

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<v Speaker 1>but the economic incentive for companies to take control of this.

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<v Speaker 1>You have companies like VP actually blogging about this, that's right.

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<v Speaker 1>So that's another exciting opportunity about methane is that um

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<v Speaker 1>in the oil and gas industry, the methane comes from

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<v Speaker 1>natural gas that just spills into their most either accidentally

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<v Speaker 1>or on purpose, and so that's a product that the

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<v Speaker 1>companies go otherwise sell. So in many cases, if they

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<v Speaker 1>plug certain leaks, they could actually get a positive return

0:12:38.040 --> 0:12:40.120
<v Speaker 1>because they could sell more gas. And so there's a

0:12:40.120 --> 0:12:42.680
<v Speaker 1>lot of opportunity there for relatively low cost or even

0:12:42.720 --> 0:12:48.200
<v Speaker 1>profitable changes to to plug the leaks. So, Zach tell

0:12:48.280 --> 0:12:51.839
<v Speaker 1>us about some of the characters that you you discovered,

0:12:52.559 --> 0:12:55.720
<v Speaker 1>methane hunters. Yeah, the methane hunters, because that that's where

0:12:55.720 --> 0:12:59.240
<v Speaker 1>it gets colorful. Yes, So I wrote around for a

0:12:59.240 --> 0:13:03.199
<v Speaker 1>few days, uh, in in West Texas with Sharon Wilson,

0:13:03.240 --> 0:13:08.200
<v Speaker 1>who's who's a true daughter of Texas and uh, you know,

0:13:08.280 --> 0:13:12.280
<v Speaker 1>she's got this hundred thousand dollar camera. She she works

0:13:12.320 --> 0:13:16.880
<v Speaker 1>for environmental activist nonprofit and she kind of drives around

0:13:16.960 --> 0:13:19.559
<v Speaker 1>looking for you know, looking for oil wells that are

0:13:19.600 --> 0:13:22.320
<v Speaker 1>that are spilling this stuff into the atmosphere, taking pictures

0:13:22.360 --> 0:13:26.760
<v Speaker 1>and and and Uh. She's she's really funny, you know.

0:13:26.880 --> 0:13:30.400
<v Speaker 1>She she loves to collect stories about her hostile encounters

0:13:30.440 --> 0:13:33.440
<v Speaker 1>with oil field workers, who she always refers to as

0:13:33.559 --> 0:13:38.360
<v Speaker 1>Jethrow um and um and uh. And then we also

0:13:38.640 --> 0:13:41.600
<v Speaker 1>spent some time with the folks at Environmental Defense Fund,

0:13:41.600 --> 0:13:45.480
<v Speaker 1>who are kind of doing something similar to what she's doing,

0:13:45.760 --> 0:13:49.280
<v Speaker 1>but they have a much more kind of cooperative view

0:13:49.360 --> 0:13:51.600
<v Speaker 1>of the of the industry. They're trying to sort of

0:13:52.160 --> 0:13:55.360
<v Speaker 1>find facts that are useful to help the oil companies

0:13:55.400 --> 0:14:01.000
<v Speaker 1>actually clean up their messes. I'm wondering about about Zach,

0:14:01.320 --> 0:14:03.439
<v Speaker 1>where the government comes into this and like what rules

0:14:03.440 --> 0:14:06.320
<v Speaker 1>and regulations are adhered to or not adhere to. What

0:14:06.480 --> 0:14:09.080
<v Speaker 1>is the regulatory environment around this. Yeah, it sounds to

0:14:09.080 --> 0:14:10.960
<v Speaker 1>me like if there were stuff spilling out into the environment,

0:14:11.000 --> 0:14:14.840
<v Speaker 1>like don't do that. Well, yeah, but there's basically not

0:14:14.920 --> 0:14:18.880
<v Speaker 1>really any relevant regulation. Um. It's kind of a new

0:14:19.680 --> 0:14:21.720
<v Speaker 1>thing just in the past ten years that people really

0:14:21.720 --> 0:14:24.880
<v Speaker 1>focused on this issue. Methane isn't poisonous, it's not gonna,

0:14:25.080 --> 0:14:27.640
<v Speaker 1>you know, kill your dog, and so you know, it

0:14:28.040 --> 0:14:29.960
<v Speaker 1>wasn't It's kind of like carbon. It's not something that

0:14:30.000 --> 0:14:33.400
<v Speaker 1>we historically thought of as a pollutant until recently, and

0:14:33.640 --> 0:14:35.960
<v Speaker 1>so all that we're seeing here, all the efforts that

0:14:35.960 --> 0:14:38.360
<v Speaker 1>we're seeing in the Permian are almost all uh, they're

0:14:38.400 --> 0:14:41.400
<v Speaker 1>private people like E. D F Mon doing the monitoring

0:14:41.400 --> 0:14:45.040
<v Speaker 1>and their companies voluntarily trying to clean stuff up. But

0:14:45.080 --> 0:14:48.640
<v Speaker 1>there it really isn't being totally driven by a government crackdown.

0:14:50.000 --> 0:14:54.360
<v Speaker 1>So um. There's an accompanying quick take video that's also um,

0:14:54.840 --> 0:14:57.080
<v Speaker 1>pretty mesmerizing stuff to watch. And one of the things

0:14:57.080 --> 0:14:59.800
<v Speaker 1>that stuff stuck out to me and that Zack was

0:15:00.040 --> 0:15:05.200
<v Speaker 1>just how much um uh communities that have fracking um

0:15:05.280 --> 0:15:08.400
<v Speaker 1>happening are affected by by methane keeping anything. And there's

0:15:08.400 --> 0:15:13.440
<v Speaker 1>this amazing shot of um, how flammable uh even even

0:15:13.560 --> 0:15:16.880
<v Speaker 1>water can be from from the sink. Um. So so

0:15:17.000 --> 0:15:19.040
<v Speaker 1>just talk to us about the collateral damage that a

0:15:19.040 --> 0:15:23.040
<v Speaker 1>lot of people end up facing with with methane links. So,

0:15:23.480 --> 0:15:26.640
<v Speaker 1>you know, methane is natural gas. Well essentially it's the

0:15:26.680 --> 0:15:30.400
<v Speaker 1>main component of natural gas. So you know, whenever we're

0:15:30.400 --> 0:15:33.000
<v Speaker 1>talking about methane emissions from the oil and gas industry,

0:15:33.040 --> 0:15:36.800
<v Speaker 1>it's you know, it's a flammable feel, you know, um

0:15:37.000 --> 0:15:40.520
<v Speaker 1>and uh. But the I think what's kind of pernicious

0:15:40.560 --> 0:15:43.560
<v Speaker 1>about methane, especially in the Permian basin, which is where

0:15:43.960 --> 0:15:47.320
<v Speaker 1>we were. It's it's this incredible source of just a

0:15:47.400 --> 0:15:49.960
<v Speaker 1>giant amount of methane. Is there really aren't a lot

0:15:50.000 --> 0:15:53.320
<v Speaker 1>of people living there, you know, um, just numbers wise,

0:15:53.840 --> 0:15:56.640
<v Speaker 1>a lot of these these events where something spewing into

0:15:56.640 --> 0:16:00.000
<v Speaker 1>the air happens miles and miles and miles away from

0:16:00.000 --> 0:16:04.200
<v Speaker 1>any humans, and so number one, it's not easy to

0:16:04.480 --> 0:16:06.760
<v Speaker 1>even for the companies who own these assets to even

0:16:06.800 --> 0:16:09.760
<v Speaker 1>know what's going on. Yeah, that's a good point. Listen,

0:16:09.800 --> 0:16:12.000
<v Speaker 1>there's so much in this story. Um, I put it

0:16:12.040 --> 0:16:13.800
<v Speaker 1>out on Twitter. I'll put it out again, or go

0:16:13.840 --> 0:16:16.160
<v Speaker 1>to Bloomberg dot com business Week dot com to check

0:16:16.160 --> 0:16:17.920
<v Speaker 1>it out. Such Minor, thank you so much. Good to

0:16:18.000 --> 0:16:20.840
<v Speaker 1>have you in studio, Projects and Investigations reporter here at

0:16:20.880 --> 0:16:23.360
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg News and our thanks to Joe Weber, editor of

0:16:23.360 --> 0:16:32.280
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business Week. You're listening to Bloomberg Business Week with

0:16:32.360 --> 0:16:37.000
<v Speaker 1>Carol Masser and Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stinovic on Bloomberg Radio.

0:16:37.800 --> 0:16:40.080
<v Speaker 1>You are listening to the Friday edgis in Bloomberg Business Week.

0:16:40.120 --> 0:16:42.600
<v Speaker 1>What a week it's been. It has been a lot

0:16:42.640 --> 0:16:46.040
<v Speaker 1>going on on certainly the geopolitical front with Afghanistan. A

0:16:46.040 --> 0:16:47.800
<v Speaker 1>lot going on in the markets, and we are continuing

0:16:47.800 --> 0:16:50.560
<v Speaker 1>to watch China. As we've been talking about. Another day,

0:16:50.560 --> 0:16:54.200
<v Speaker 1>another step in taming big tech overnight, China passing legislation

0:16:54.560 --> 0:16:57.520
<v Speaker 1>setting out tougher rules for how companies handle user data.

0:16:57.600 --> 0:17:00.120
<v Speaker 1>It's a move pushing forward its campaign to really her

0:17:00.200 --> 0:17:03.600
<v Speaker 1>big text influence. Dexter Tip Roberts is a voice we've

0:17:03.600 --> 0:17:05.840
<v Speaker 1>talked to in the past when it comes to what's

0:17:05.880 --> 0:17:08.880
<v Speaker 1>going on in China. He's Mansfield Fellow at the University

0:17:08.880 --> 0:17:12.399
<v Speaker 1>of Montana, author former Bloomberg Business Week China Bureau chief.

0:17:12.720 --> 0:17:15.000
<v Speaker 1>His book The Myth of Chinese Capitalism, The Work of

0:17:15.080 --> 0:17:16.920
<v Speaker 1>the Factory in the Future of the World. We've talked

0:17:16.960 --> 0:17:19.359
<v Speaker 1>to him about that. He joins us once again on

0:17:19.400 --> 0:17:21.919
<v Speaker 1>the phone from Montana. Hey, Tiff, so good to have

0:17:22.000 --> 0:17:26.160
<v Speaker 1>you here again on Bloomberg Radio China. Help us make

0:17:26.280 --> 0:17:31.440
<v Speaker 1>sense of the big picture here. Okay, well, Carol, it's

0:17:31.480 --> 0:17:35.359
<v Speaker 1>great to be back again. Um. So, I think what

0:17:35.440 --> 0:17:40.439
<v Speaker 1>we're seeing is obviously real efforts to reign in a

0:17:40.480 --> 0:17:45.119
<v Speaker 1>chech sector that has been relatively unregulated. So we're seeing

0:17:45.160 --> 0:17:48.800
<v Speaker 1>the efforts, as you mentioned to put new controls on

0:17:48.840 --> 0:17:53.439
<v Speaker 1>the use of data. Uh, there's anti monopoly efforts that

0:17:53.480 --> 0:17:56.240
<v Speaker 1>are happening as well. We see a tremendous amount of

0:17:56.240 --> 0:17:59.200
<v Speaker 1>power in a few corporate hands in China when you

0:17:59.200 --> 0:18:02.360
<v Speaker 1>look at the tech. But beyond that, there's a real

0:18:02.520 --> 0:18:06.560
<v Speaker 1>ideological element to what's happening. And as we've seen now

0:18:07.160 --> 0:18:11.040
<v Speaker 1>um with a with the speech that the party secretary

0:18:11.160 --> 0:18:13.600
<v Speaker 1>Jen Thing made just a few days ago, a lot

0:18:13.640 --> 0:18:15.679
<v Speaker 1>of it is tied up as well in trying to

0:18:15.760 --> 0:18:20.560
<v Speaker 1>deal with growing wealth, inequality, and almost this perception at

0:18:20.560 --> 0:18:24.120
<v Speaker 1>the top that uh having too much wealth is unseemly

0:18:24.240 --> 0:18:29.240
<v Speaker 1>in some way. What is the endgame for Jing Ping?

0:18:29.680 --> 0:18:32.159
<v Speaker 1>What is he and what does he want the Chinese

0:18:32.160 --> 0:18:36.399
<v Speaker 1>Communist Party to accomplish? Here? Well, I think it's a

0:18:36.480 --> 0:18:42.320
<v Speaker 1>tremendously ambitious plan to really create a new I would

0:18:42.320 --> 0:18:44.879
<v Speaker 1>call it a new economic model what I've been calling

0:18:45.520 --> 0:18:49.760
<v Speaker 1>politics and command economy in a nod back in the

0:18:49.800 --> 0:18:52.760
<v Speaker 1>mal days who came up with politics in command, they

0:18:52.840 --> 0:18:58.040
<v Speaker 1>really UH envision an economy which is much more government

0:18:58.119 --> 0:19:01.720
<v Speaker 1>directed and supported, one in which the private sector is

0:19:02.040 --> 0:19:06.280
<v Speaker 1>far more answerable to the state. And Uh, yes, the

0:19:06.720 --> 0:19:09.879
<v Speaker 1>goes about trying to make money and earn profits and

0:19:10.000 --> 0:19:12.600
<v Speaker 1>satisfy shareholders like in the rest of the world, but

0:19:12.680 --> 0:19:16.720
<v Speaker 1>also very importantly has a key role to play in

0:19:16.720 --> 0:19:21.320
<v Speaker 1>the society, including by the way, supporting the Chinese Communist Party.

0:19:21.480 --> 0:19:23.040
<v Speaker 1>How do they do that, Tiff? I mean, how do

0:19:23.119 --> 0:19:27.399
<v Speaker 1>they a private sector far more answerable to the state.

0:19:27.640 --> 0:19:29.879
<v Speaker 1>Got that, it's clear, But how do you do that

0:19:29.920 --> 0:19:33.399
<v Speaker 1>and then keep investors interested and comfortable about investing in

0:19:33.480 --> 0:19:36.600
<v Speaker 1>China entities? Chinese entities, We've seen Chinese A d R

0:19:36.680 --> 0:19:38.440
<v Speaker 1>s pull back in a big way. Here in the

0:19:38.560 --> 0:19:40.879
<v Speaker 1>United States, we see Hong Kong in a bear market.

0:19:41.160 --> 0:19:43.520
<v Speaker 1>How do you how do you do both of those

0:19:43.560 --> 0:19:47.280
<v Speaker 1>and do them well? Well? I think the the easy

0:19:47.320 --> 0:19:50.240
<v Speaker 1>answer is, uh, there is no answer. We I mean,

0:19:50.520 --> 0:19:53.240
<v Speaker 1>it's entirely possible that they can't pull this off. I

0:19:53.280 --> 0:19:58.280
<v Speaker 1>believe um as you say, there's huge concern already in

0:19:58.320 --> 0:20:01.320
<v Speaker 1>the markets about what they're doing. We've seen a whole

0:20:01.680 --> 0:20:05.600
<v Speaker 1>series of founders of these tech companies resign in the

0:20:05.680 --> 0:20:10.120
<v Speaker 1>last few months. We've seen obviously the markets inside China

0:20:10.160 --> 0:20:13.640
<v Speaker 1>as well take a serious battering. Uh So the big

0:20:13.760 --> 0:20:16.359
<v Speaker 1>question is, yeah, how do you how do you continue

0:20:16.400 --> 0:20:19.120
<v Speaker 1>to how do you continue to push that much more

0:20:19.160 --> 0:20:22.920
<v Speaker 1>ideological control over the the economy, and at the same

0:20:22.960 --> 0:20:26.240
<v Speaker 1>time still have investors who want to put money in,

0:20:26.440 --> 0:20:31.760
<v Speaker 1>and at the same time have innovative entrepreneurial companies that

0:20:31.760 --> 0:20:34.840
<v Speaker 1>that feel confident, you know, we're working on trying to

0:20:34.840 --> 0:20:39.280
<v Speaker 1>grow their companies. Does it seem like the Chinese Communist

0:20:39.280 --> 0:20:43.040
<v Speaker 1>Party actually cares whether or not Chinese A d R

0:20:43.119 --> 0:20:46.320
<v Speaker 1>s do well in the stock market or Chinese companies

0:20:46.480 --> 0:20:51.440
<v Speaker 1>are valued highly by shareholders. Well, it does matter, because

0:20:51.680 --> 0:20:54.919
<v Speaker 1>they continue to see the importance of the private sector.

0:20:55.200 --> 0:20:58.000
<v Speaker 1>And and of course the big technology companies are a

0:20:58.000 --> 0:21:00.840
<v Speaker 1>big part of that in supporting the economy. They are

0:21:00.880 --> 0:21:06.240
<v Speaker 1>the biggest job creators and employers already, um they should be,

0:21:06.280 --> 0:21:09.000
<v Speaker 1>and they have been the biggest source of innovation. So

0:21:09.119 --> 0:21:12.879
<v Speaker 1>Beijing really does still want to They don't want to.

0:21:12.920 --> 0:21:15.720
<v Speaker 1>They don't want to spook global capital, they don't want

0:21:15.760 --> 0:21:18.320
<v Speaker 1>to spook their own entrepreneurs too much. But at the

0:21:18.359 --> 0:21:21.359
<v Speaker 1>same time, as I said, they have this very you know,

0:21:21.440 --> 0:21:25.760
<v Speaker 1>seemingly contradictory plan to try to make them far more

0:21:25.800 --> 0:21:28.280
<v Speaker 1>answerable to the state. So I think they do care,

0:21:28.320 --> 0:21:30.880
<v Speaker 1>but it's not it's not going to be easy. Tiff So,

0:21:31.600 --> 0:21:33.920
<v Speaker 1>as we mentioned Bloomberg Business Week, China be your chief.

0:21:33.920 --> 0:21:38.880
<v Speaker 1>You understand this country so well through its transitions, UM

0:21:39.240 --> 0:21:41.840
<v Speaker 1>and you know from from having their front seat to

0:21:41.920 --> 0:21:44.600
<v Speaker 1>it all. I always think about our audience, UM and

0:21:44.640 --> 0:21:46.960
<v Speaker 1>the investors that are out there. So so what does

0:21:46.960 --> 0:21:49.280
<v Speaker 1>that mean? How do we need to be thinking about China?

0:21:49.600 --> 0:21:53.320
<v Speaker 1>Who is a country that does long term plans? So

0:21:53.400 --> 0:21:57.280
<v Speaker 1>what is the future China? Yeah? Well, I think first

0:21:57.280 --> 0:22:00.200
<v Speaker 1>of all, uh, you know you anyone who has him,

0:22:00.200 --> 0:22:02.800
<v Speaker 1>is that this is a short term effort mainly focused

0:22:02.800 --> 0:22:09.000
<v Speaker 1>on regulating uh and as all until now, uh you

0:22:09.040 --> 0:22:13.359
<v Speaker 1>know I not adequately regulated tech sector is in for

0:22:13.440 --> 0:22:16.240
<v Speaker 1>a reude surprise. This is gonna keep going. Uh. We

0:22:16.280 --> 0:22:19.800
<v Speaker 1>will continue to see surprises that you know, moves that,

0:22:20.119 --> 0:22:23.160
<v Speaker 1>at least in our perspective, our anti market and could

0:22:23.240 --> 0:22:27.000
<v Speaker 1>hurt the Chinese economy. Uh. So I think I think

0:22:27.040 --> 0:22:30.040
<v Speaker 1>we can expect this to keep on going. I think

0:22:30.119 --> 0:22:34.160
<v Speaker 1>for international investors, it's clear that there's certain sectors that

0:22:34.720 --> 0:22:38.919
<v Speaker 1>UM are probably not going to be as aren't going

0:22:38.960 --> 0:22:41.280
<v Speaker 1>to do. They shouldn't be focusing our efforts. They're going

0:22:41.320 --> 0:22:44.320
<v Speaker 1>forward given what the Chinese government has told us. So obviously,

0:22:44.480 --> 0:22:49.400
<v Speaker 1>private education probably private healthcare, real estate possibly is going

0:22:49.440 --> 0:22:52.960
<v Speaker 1>to be ranged in as well. I think instead companies

0:22:53.000 --> 0:22:55.960
<v Speaker 1>should be looking at those areas that are clearly top

0:22:56.000 --> 0:22:58.439
<v Speaker 1>priorities for the party in the government, so you know,

0:22:58.480 --> 0:23:03.200
<v Speaker 1>green energy uh uh and right uh, you know, modernizing

0:23:03.240 --> 0:23:06.800
<v Speaker 1>agriculture tip, and these various areas that are very important

0:23:06.800 --> 0:23:09.399
<v Speaker 1>to that. Tiff, really quick twenty seconds. Does this slow

0:23:09.480 --> 0:23:13.840
<v Speaker 1>the rise of China as we've known it? I really

0:23:13.880 --> 0:23:15.960
<v Speaker 1>do think that it does slow the rise of China.

0:23:16.040 --> 0:23:19.879
<v Speaker 1>They're they're also facing huge demographic headwinds, it's going to

0:23:19.960 --> 0:23:22.480
<v Speaker 1>get much worse than the coming years, and just cracking

0:23:22.520 --> 0:23:24.800
<v Speaker 1>down on the private sector at the same time, it's

0:23:24.840 --> 0:23:27.320
<v Speaker 1>just gonna make things tougher and will slow the economy.

0:23:27.440 --> 0:23:29.399
<v Speaker 1>Thank you, Thank you. We have been looking forward to

0:23:29.680 --> 0:23:31.720
<v Speaker 1>getting some time with you, uh and getting you to

0:23:31.720 --> 0:23:33.280
<v Speaker 1>weigh in on all of this, and hopefully you'll come

0:23:33.320 --> 0:23:36.920
<v Speaker 1>back real soon. Tiff Roberts Mansfield Fellow at the University

0:23:36.920 --> 0:23:40.119
<v Speaker 1>of Montana, former Bloomberg Business Week China Bureau chief. His

0:23:40.200 --> 0:23:43.240
<v Speaker 1>book The Myth of Chinese Capitalism. Highly recommend that you

0:23:43.680 --> 0:23:47.359
<v Speaker 1>check it out. This is Bloomberg Business Week with Carol

0:23:47.400 --> 0:23:51.760
<v Speaker 1>Masser and Bloomberg quick takes. Tim Stinovic from Bloomberg Radio.

0:23:52.359 --> 0:23:54.560
<v Speaker 1>We have been keeping an eye on Tesla. We did

0:23:54.560 --> 0:23:57.280
<v Speaker 1>see an earlier rally in the shares today and I

0:23:57.320 --> 0:23:58.800
<v Speaker 1>just want to pull it up because I think they

0:23:58.880 --> 0:24:00.399
<v Speaker 1>pretty much run out of steam. I think it was

0:24:00.440 --> 0:24:02.160
<v Speaker 1>only oh, it's back up of that one point one

0:24:02.200 --> 0:24:05.560
<v Speaker 1>percent here. Um. This was following the company's AI Day

0:24:05.560 --> 0:24:10.520
<v Speaker 1>where Elon muskinville a humanoid robot to take over boring work. Yes, folks,

0:24:10.520 --> 0:24:13.680
<v Speaker 1>it's Elon's world that we're definitely living in. It was it, though,

0:24:13.720 --> 0:24:17.000
<v Speaker 1>an actual humanoid robot. It wasn't well. Joining us now

0:24:17.040 --> 0:24:19.440
<v Speaker 1>to give us all the details from AI day and

0:24:19.680 --> 0:24:21.720
<v Speaker 1>why Tesla is doing this and also what Tesla is

0:24:21.720 --> 0:24:23.520
<v Speaker 1>thinking about when it comes to chips is Dana Hole,

0:24:23.560 --> 0:24:26.040
<v Speaker 1>technology reporter for Bloomberg News. She joins us on the

0:24:26.040 --> 0:24:28.760
<v Speaker 1>phone from San Francisco. Dan, it's always great to talk

0:24:28.800 --> 0:24:30.719
<v Speaker 1>with you, especially when we get to talk about Tesla.

0:24:31.160 --> 0:24:33.439
<v Speaker 1>Let's just lead with with Optimus here, because I think

0:24:33.480 --> 0:24:36.399
<v Speaker 1>that's what everybody is talking about today. This is a

0:24:36.480 --> 0:24:39.720
<v Speaker 1>humanoid robot. What does Elon musk say it can do?

0:24:39.960 --> 0:24:42.720
<v Speaker 1>Even though he didn't show off a real version or

0:24:42.760 --> 0:24:46.160
<v Speaker 1>even prototype of it right. I mean, to de clear,

0:24:46.200 --> 0:24:49.239
<v Speaker 1>there was like a human dress a roo. I mean,

0:24:49.240 --> 0:24:54.040
<v Speaker 1>it's kind of hilarious robot. Um, you must need some

0:24:54.320 --> 0:24:56.800
<v Speaker 1>need some points about, you know, the need for universal

0:24:56.800 --> 0:25:00.200
<v Speaker 1>basic income, the future of labor, how the robot could

0:25:00.240 --> 0:25:04.520
<v Speaker 1>be trained to do sort of menial, boring tasks. UM.

0:25:04.560 --> 0:25:06.840
<v Speaker 1>I mean my my thought was like, Okay, he's designing

0:25:06.920 --> 0:25:08.960
<v Speaker 1>robots so that he can like displace all of his

0:25:09.040 --> 0:25:10.879
<v Speaker 1>workers at his factor pace. I you know, you know,

0:25:11.600 --> 0:25:14.359
<v Speaker 1>it wasn't entirely clear how the robots fits into the

0:25:14.359 --> 0:25:19.119
<v Speaker 1>company's clean energy mission. But you know, this is clearly

0:25:19.160 --> 0:25:21.760
<v Speaker 1>a recruiting event, and you know he's trying to make

0:25:21.800 --> 0:25:23.359
<v Speaker 1>the point that we're not just a car company now,

0:25:23.400 --> 0:25:25.440
<v Speaker 1>we're also a robotics company. Down I have to say,

0:25:25.440 --> 0:25:27.879
<v Speaker 1>we're showing the video for our YouTube channel so they

0:25:27.920 --> 0:25:30.360
<v Speaker 1>can all see it as well. Um, it looks more

0:25:30.440 --> 0:25:33.359
<v Speaker 1>like he's auditioning for all that jazz or something like.

0:25:33.440 --> 0:25:38.679
<v Speaker 1>It's just it's bizarre world, is it not. Yeah, And

0:25:38.720 --> 0:25:41.600
<v Speaker 1>I think what's sort of sad is that. Um. I

0:25:41.640 --> 0:25:44.560
<v Speaker 1>mean as a as an event, you know, the event

0:25:44.680 --> 0:25:47.320
<v Speaker 1>was actually very technical and it really cltured all of

0:25:47.359 --> 0:25:50.160
<v Speaker 1>these engineers who were on has of Lotto Pilots team

0:25:50.280 --> 0:25:53.400
<v Speaker 1>talking about what they've learned as they tried to improve

0:25:53.480 --> 0:25:56.439
<v Speaker 1>their self driving software and the challenges that they faced,

0:25:56.560 --> 0:25:59.320
<v Speaker 1>and their efforts to kind of design a new ship

0:25:59.400 --> 0:26:01.640
<v Speaker 1>and a super computer, and how they're training their neural

0:26:01.720 --> 0:26:05.520
<v Speaker 1>networks and using simulation and have a thousand pots and strong,

0:26:05.760 --> 0:26:08.560
<v Speaker 1>you know, dated labeling team, and they really they had

0:26:08.560 --> 0:26:11.359
<v Speaker 1>all these other people who were not Elon speaking and

0:26:12.000 --> 0:26:13.920
<v Speaker 1>it was really kind of a cool thing to see,

0:26:14.119 --> 0:26:17.040
<v Speaker 1>you know, other people on stage talking vary in depth

0:26:17.080 --> 0:26:18.760
<v Speaker 1>about what they're working on. But then you had this

0:26:18.920 --> 0:26:22.520
<v Speaker 1>robot come out or this you know, fake probot come

0:26:22.560 --> 0:26:24.679
<v Speaker 1>out that kind of sole the show. And so now

0:26:24.760 --> 0:26:28.440
<v Speaker 1>everyone's talking about this you know, robot prototype and not

0:26:28.680 --> 0:26:31.720
<v Speaker 1>the presentation. And I think he really shot himself on

0:26:31.760 --> 0:26:33.280
<v Speaker 1>the foot. I mean, it's just just supposed to be

0:26:33.320 --> 0:26:36.600
<v Speaker 1>the one more thing thing. It kind of took the

0:26:36.680 --> 0:26:39.359
<v Speaker 1>thunder out of what they actually talked about during the

0:26:39.440 --> 0:26:42.000
<v Speaker 1>technical presentation. Well, let's talk about some of that stuff, Danna,

0:26:42.040 --> 0:26:43.800
<v Speaker 1>because as you and Ludlow right over the course of

0:26:43.800 --> 0:26:46.480
<v Speaker 1>several presentations, Tesla highlighted the progress that it's making on

0:26:46.640 --> 0:26:49.200
<v Speaker 1>semiconductors that have been designed in house to power the

0:26:49.280 --> 0:26:52.320
<v Speaker 1>brains used for its advanced driver assistance features. You guys

0:26:52.359 --> 0:26:55.120
<v Speaker 1>write that if Tesla follows through on this and licensing

0:26:55.160 --> 0:26:56.920
<v Speaker 1>it's tech, it could end up competing with the likes

0:26:56.920 --> 0:26:59.560
<v Speaker 1>of Nvidia and other suppliers of chips to the auto industry.

0:26:59.640 --> 0:27:02.600
<v Speaker 1>What's the timeline look like on something like this as

0:27:03.040 --> 0:27:06.280
<v Speaker 1>auto manufacturers, in addition many other companies struggle to get

0:27:06.320 --> 0:27:09.640
<v Speaker 1>their hands on chips. Yeah, well, I mean, there wasn't

0:27:09.800 --> 0:27:12.400
<v Speaker 1>there wasn't a firm timeline. Um. But but I think

0:27:12.440 --> 0:27:15.560
<v Speaker 1>it's just part of Testa's overall strategy of bringing everything

0:27:15.600 --> 0:27:17.679
<v Speaker 1>in house. You know. I think that, you know, instead

0:27:17.680 --> 0:27:20.520
<v Speaker 1>of relying on suppliers for chips, they're trying to make

0:27:20.600 --> 0:27:23.600
<v Speaker 1>their own. And they said, you know, and and it's still,

0:27:23.920 --> 0:27:27.000
<v Speaker 1>you know, far away from actually being in high volume production.

0:27:27.119 --> 0:27:29.440
<v Speaker 1>It's not clear he's fabricating it. But just the fact

0:27:29.480 --> 0:27:31.960
<v Speaker 1>that they're even doing it, I think is exciting the people.

0:27:32.200 --> 0:27:36.560
<v Speaker 1>And you know, and I mean, again, everything the Testa does,

0:27:36.680 --> 0:27:39.520
<v Speaker 1>you know, Musk always kind of sets out aggressive timelines

0:27:39.560 --> 0:27:41.239
<v Speaker 1>and it takes a while for them to actually come

0:27:41.280 --> 0:27:43.639
<v Speaker 1>to fruition. But you know, I think they were just

0:27:43.720 --> 0:27:45.880
<v Speaker 1>trying to give a flavor to people that like, listen,

0:27:46.000 --> 0:27:48.920
<v Speaker 1>we're really we're trying to bring all this hardware in

0:27:49.000 --> 0:27:51.560
<v Speaker 1>house and do it on our own. Danna, how do

0:27:51.720 --> 0:27:53.639
<v Speaker 1>you you know this company so well? You know Elon

0:27:53.720 --> 0:27:56.840
<v Speaker 1>must so well, and you've seen the promises, the things

0:27:56.880 --> 0:27:59.640
<v Speaker 1>that don't happen or the timeline that changes. Then ultimately

0:28:00.000 --> 0:28:03.080
<v Speaker 1>am you know this is a car company that everybody

0:28:03.160 --> 0:28:05.720
<v Speaker 1>else in the industry has been looking at, uh and

0:28:06.000 --> 0:28:09.200
<v Speaker 1>upping their game as a result. How do you kind

0:28:09.240 --> 0:28:12.440
<v Speaker 1>of strategize or think about the news and that AI

0:28:12.520 --> 0:28:16.000
<v Speaker 1>event yesterday into terms of what it will ultimately really

0:28:16.080 --> 0:28:20.320
<v Speaker 1>mean for tests the longer term. I mean, I think

0:28:20.359 --> 0:28:24.920
<v Speaker 1>that you know, Testless mission is to accelerate the advent

0:28:25.119 --> 0:28:28.080
<v Speaker 1>of sustainable energy, and they have clearly done that on

0:28:28.160 --> 0:28:31.320
<v Speaker 1>the car side, because they are very well known for

0:28:31.440 --> 0:28:34.000
<v Speaker 1>making electric cars. They pushed everyone else to the auto

0:28:34.040 --> 0:28:36.720
<v Speaker 1>industry to make electric cars. But now they've kind of

0:28:36.800 --> 0:28:40.280
<v Speaker 1>got mission creep where you know, they've got these energy

0:28:40.360 --> 0:28:42.720
<v Speaker 1>products that they don't talk about that much, including the

0:28:42.760 --> 0:28:46.400
<v Speaker 1>solar roof and of the megapac and auto build Auto

0:28:46.480 --> 0:28:49.560
<v Speaker 1>bit or um. You know, the company's corporate website now

0:28:49.680 --> 0:28:54.600
<v Speaker 1>features the big batteries for utilities. But then lastly they're like, oh,

0:28:54.840 --> 0:28:57.440
<v Speaker 1>and we're also a robotics company. So I just feel

0:28:57.440 --> 0:28:59.200
<v Speaker 1>like you want us trying to capture the best of

0:28:59.240 --> 0:29:02.680
<v Speaker 1>the brightest talents, and he's like an octopus who has

0:29:02.720 --> 0:29:05.040
<v Speaker 1>the tentacles and many many things. I think the question

0:29:05.200 --> 0:29:07.680
<v Speaker 1>is can they keep can they keep working on these

0:29:07.680 --> 0:29:10.480
<v Speaker 1>additional projects while executing on the main projects they have.

0:29:10.640 --> 0:29:11.959
<v Speaker 1>They have a lot going on right now with these

0:29:12.000 --> 0:29:16.480
<v Speaker 1>additional factories and Austin and Berlin and these products like

0:29:16.640 --> 0:29:19.040
<v Speaker 1>the cyber truck and the Suni truck that have not

0:29:19.200 --> 0:29:22.640
<v Speaker 1>come out yet, and so you know, is showing the

0:29:22.720 --> 0:29:25.280
<v Speaker 1>world that you also have a robotic unit. I mean

0:29:25.640 --> 0:29:28.520
<v Speaker 1>that's cool, but like, what does that mean for the cars?

0:29:28.600 --> 0:29:30.880
<v Speaker 1>I mean I didn't I felt like what was missing

0:29:31.000 --> 0:29:33.040
<v Speaker 1>with some time with all together. I guess he did

0:29:33.120 --> 0:29:34.640
<v Speaker 1>say that when needs you point out in the story

0:29:34.760 --> 0:29:36.680
<v Speaker 1>that uses the eight cameras that are used in the

0:29:36.720 --> 0:29:39.920
<v Speaker 1>full self driving to conduct itself right, just in the

0:29:40.000 --> 0:29:43.520
<v Speaker 1>last ten seconds we have right, Yes, there there is

0:29:43.560 --> 0:29:44.880
<v Speaker 1>a bigger vision there. I just don't know if it

0:29:44.960 --> 0:29:48.240
<v Speaker 1>was super articulating. Right, totally makes sense. Danna Hoole technology

0:29:48.280 --> 0:29:50.560
<v Speaker 1>reporter for Bloomberg News joining us on the phone from

0:29:50.600 --> 0:29:53.760
<v Speaker 1>San Francisco. You can follow her on Twitter at Dana

0:29:53.840 --> 0:30:02.800
<v Speaker 1>Hole as well. Yeah but you let me drive? No no,

0:30:03.000 --> 0:30:09.960
<v Speaker 1>no home an please, I'll drivel. I want to drive,

0:30:12.960 --> 0:30:26.479
<v Speaker 1>drive baby question. This is the drive to the globe.

0:30:27.680 --> 0:30:31.400
<v Speaker 1>Thanks well, dry us Dawn on Bloomberg Radio. It's definitely

0:30:31.400 --> 0:30:33.480
<v Speaker 1>a wacky Friday. And tim months it wasn't. I didn't

0:30:33.480 --> 0:30:36.840
<v Speaker 1>even know what month it is, you know, like counting

0:30:36.880 --> 0:30:39.360
<v Speaker 1>on fingers where it's August twenty, we are counting. Who

0:30:39.400 --> 0:30:42.000
<v Speaker 1>needs a calculator? We're counting on fake fingers. Um, if

0:30:42.080 --> 0:30:45.040
<v Speaker 1>I count on my fingers, I would have to count

0:30:45.120 --> 0:30:47.320
<v Speaker 1>higher in terms of those major market averages, we're Doug,

0:30:47.360 --> 0:30:49.640
<v Speaker 1>just talk about it. We are tim near our best

0:30:49.760 --> 0:30:52.000
<v Speaker 1>levels of the session. We certainly are. Let's get right

0:30:52.040 --> 0:30:54.040
<v Speaker 1>to the drive to the clothes with probably Ram portfolio

0:30:54.120 --> 0:30:58.160
<v Speaker 1>manager at American Century Investments. It has two forty billion

0:30:58.200 --> 0:31:01.320
<v Speaker 1>dollars in assets under management. Probably, it's great to have

0:31:01.400 --> 0:31:04.440
<v Speaker 1>you back on the show. How are you doing well?

0:31:04.880 --> 0:31:07.400
<v Speaker 1>Thanks for having me help us make sense of the week.

0:31:07.520 --> 0:31:09.440
<v Speaker 1>That was because if we take a look at where

0:31:09.480 --> 0:31:12.320
<v Speaker 1>we are today, even though and we just heard from Doug.

0:31:12.400 --> 0:31:15.120
<v Speaker 1>The do, the SMP, and the NASTAC are all in

0:31:15.240 --> 0:31:17.200
<v Speaker 1>the green and NASTAC you've been hired to the tune

0:31:17.200 --> 0:31:19.160
<v Speaker 1>at one point two percent. If we looked at the

0:31:19.200 --> 0:31:21.840
<v Speaker 1>last five days, we're in the red. The dolls down

0:31:21.880 --> 0:31:23.640
<v Speaker 1>more than one percent, the SMP, fivn or down more

0:31:23.640 --> 0:31:25.800
<v Speaker 1>than half a percentage point. How would you characterize the

0:31:25.960 --> 0:31:30.120
<v Speaker 1>volatility that we saw? You know, um, and I'm going

0:31:30.160 --> 0:31:34.760
<v Speaker 1>to point to the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment.

0:31:35.360 --> 0:31:38.479
<v Speaker 1>Now that was a tough number. It was down thirteen

0:31:38.520 --> 0:31:41.640
<v Speaker 1>and a half percent month on month and actually looked

0:31:41.680 --> 0:31:44.720
<v Speaker 1>the same as April twenty, when we were right in

0:31:44.840 --> 0:31:48.240
<v Speaker 1>the thick of COVID and before anybody had been vaccinated.

0:31:48.880 --> 0:31:52.200
<v Speaker 1>And I'd like to borrow something the chief economist of

0:31:52.280 --> 0:31:55.280
<v Speaker 1>the New Michigan Survey had to say, which is he

0:31:55.400 --> 0:31:59.760
<v Speaker 1>called it a mix of reason and emotion. Reason because yes,

0:32:00.080 --> 0:32:04.640
<v Speaker 1>the data variant has been a concern and what should

0:32:04.640 --> 0:32:07.560
<v Speaker 1>have been a robust reopening has slowed down some on

0:32:07.640 --> 0:32:10.720
<v Speaker 1>the margin, and so we're seeing some of that in

0:32:10.800 --> 0:32:13.600
<v Speaker 1>the numbers. And then of course on the supply side,

0:32:13.640 --> 0:32:16.960
<v Speaker 1>we have the chip shortages, labor shortages, we can talk

0:32:17.040 --> 0:32:20.160
<v Speaker 1>about all those and then the emotion aspect of it.

0:32:20.320 --> 0:32:23.120
<v Speaker 1>People were exuberant about being able to get out and

0:32:23.240 --> 0:32:26.560
<v Speaker 1>do their things, get back into offices, and that balloon

0:32:26.640 --> 0:32:29.320
<v Speaker 1>has been popped a little bit. So I would call

0:32:29.480 --> 0:32:33.000
<v Speaker 1>this week, you know, similar to what Richard Curtain called it,

0:32:33.080 --> 0:32:36.160
<v Speaker 1>which is a mix of reason and emotion. You know,

0:32:37.120 --> 0:32:40.960
<v Speaker 1>people see the numbers. It's obviously not peak COVID, but

0:32:41.240 --> 0:32:43.200
<v Speaker 1>you know, there are some concerns on the edge to

0:32:43.560 --> 0:32:45.840
<v Speaker 1>feel like probably there is Main Street and then there's

0:32:45.840 --> 0:32:47.920
<v Speaker 1>Wall Street. Because here we are at our hears of

0:32:47.960 --> 0:32:49.760
<v Speaker 1>the session and it feels like we are shrugging off

0:32:49.880 --> 0:32:52.560
<v Speaker 1>so much. Once again we have said, man, I wish

0:32:52.560 --> 0:32:54.000
<v Speaker 1>I had a buck for every time we said dip

0:32:54.040 --> 0:33:00.440
<v Speaker 1>fires today and yesterday. So how do you rash realies

0:33:01.240 --> 0:33:04.600
<v Speaker 1>that gap between what some people are feeling on on

0:33:04.760 --> 0:33:09.000
<v Speaker 1>Wall Street versus what some are feeling on Main Street. Um,

0:33:09.320 --> 0:33:11.080
<v Speaker 1>you know, I mean I would like to go back

0:33:11.160 --> 0:33:14.720
<v Speaker 1>to kind of the reason with its emotional discussion here

0:33:14.760 --> 0:33:18.440
<v Speaker 1>as well. Right, So if you you know, step back,

0:33:18.880 --> 0:33:22.680
<v Speaker 1>Carol and look at the numbers. There's been so much

0:33:22.720 --> 0:33:24.760
<v Speaker 1>stimulus in the system in the last year and a

0:33:24.840 --> 0:33:28.480
<v Speaker 1>half that GDP is back to pre COVID levels, even

0:33:28.560 --> 0:33:32.080
<v Speaker 1>though that's variable, right, different parts of the economy look

0:33:32.120 --> 0:33:34.920
<v Speaker 1>a little bit different. But then we've done that with

0:33:35.200 --> 0:33:39.040
<v Speaker 1>five point seven million lesser jobs. Now for the people

0:33:39.120 --> 0:33:42.960
<v Speaker 1>that are that had to step away from the job market,

0:33:43.040 --> 0:33:47.680
<v Speaker 1>that's a negative. But then somehow, you know, we've increased productivity.

0:33:47.800 --> 0:33:50.640
<v Speaker 1>Maybe we just work better from home. Who even knows.

0:33:51.120 --> 0:33:55.680
<v Speaker 1>But what has happened is, you know, the economy is

0:33:55.840 --> 0:33:59.320
<v Speaker 1>back at the levels of pre COVID and it continues

0:33:59.400 --> 0:34:02.840
<v Speaker 1>to march wrongly, especially because of the productivity gains we're

0:34:02.840 --> 0:34:06.560
<v Speaker 1>seeing with the digital transformation and everybody has embraced it,

0:34:06.720 --> 0:34:09.759
<v Speaker 1>and that's probably what you're seeing. The two sides of

0:34:09.840 --> 0:34:11.440
<v Speaker 1>the coin, if you will, Well, one thing, I just

0:34:11.600 --> 0:34:13.759
<v Speaker 1>say that to me like it's blowing my mind. Right,

0:34:13.920 --> 0:34:17.239
<v Speaker 1>we are back to pre COURVID GDP levels with five

0:34:17.280 --> 0:34:21.320
<v Speaker 1>point seven million fewer workers. So it makes me wonder

0:34:21.640 --> 0:34:25.839
<v Speaker 1>our company is reassessing do we really need these workers? Well,

0:34:25.960 --> 0:34:28.480
<v Speaker 1>that is a concern. What here's the thing, right, So

0:34:28.600 --> 0:34:32.200
<v Speaker 1>if you assume a growing economy, then we are going

0:34:32.320 --> 0:34:37.000
<v Speaker 1>to need people. Now. The other side is productivity means

0:34:37.480 --> 0:34:42.000
<v Speaker 1>doing more with less, and that's less resources, including people,

0:34:42.560 --> 0:34:46.600
<v Speaker 1>but a growing economy will absorb workers, and we are

0:34:46.719 --> 0:34:49.320
<v Speaker 1>seeing that this is variable. If you are a tech worker,

0:34:49.400 --> 0:34:53.560
<v Speaker 1>they just cannot find enough experts and AI your machine learning.

0:34:53.920 --> 0:34:57.880
<v Speaker 1>But then there are other parts of the economy, especially

0:34:58.000 --> 0:35:00.840
<v Speaker 1>lower weight jobs, that are struggle thing. And then the

0:35:00.960 --> 0:35:03.319
<v Speaker 1>other thing, Carol, that you know, you and I can

0:35:03.400 --> 0:35:08.120
<v Speaker 1>appreciate is uh, school openings are variable. Right, it's go

0:35:08.239 --> 0:35:10.520
<v Speaker 1>back to school, But then what happens is once they

0:35:10.560 --> 0:35:14.720
<v Speaker 1>get there, if there is one COVID patient in the school,

0:35:14.800 --> 0:35:17.480
<v Speaker 1>then the school shuts down. And that has become a problem,

0:35:17.600 --> 0:35:21.000
<v Speaker 1>especially for women getting back in the workforce, and a

0:35:21.080 --> 0:35:23.399
<v Speaker 1>lot of them have just sat out. You know, it's

0:35:23.400 --> 0:35:27.320
<v Speaker 1>a labor participation problem more than because there are plenty

0:35:27.360 --> 0:35:31.279
<v Speaker 1>of jobs people companies are looking for people. It's just

0:35:31.480 --> 0:35:34.480
<v Speaker 1>you know, some people cannot get into some reason, and

0:35:34.640 --> 0:35:37.680
<v Speaker 1>some people are just not today not qualified. They probably

0:35:37.760 --> 0:35:39.560
<v Speaker 1>want to go from macro to micro and get some

0:35:39.600 --> 0:35:41.600
<v Speaker 1>of the stocks that you're keeping a close eye on,

0:35:41.680 --> 0:35:44.160
<v Speaker 1>and why you are bullish on those. Let's start with Square,

0:35:44.200 --> 0:35:46.760
<v Speaker 1>the company just weeks ago announcing that it would acquire

0:35:46.840 --> 0:35:51.879
<v Speaker 1>After Pay for thirty three billion dollars. Why Square, well

0:35:52.040 --> 0:35:55.360
<v Speaker 1>in the square has been one of those stocks that

0:35:55.520 --> 0:36:00.520
<v Speaker 1>has two distinct ecosystems and they just have a product

0:36:00.640 --> 0:36:06.160
<v Speaker 1>design ethos that somehow elevates products into not just network effects,

0:36:06.200 --> 0:36:08.000
<v Speaker 1>you know, which we've come to expect in tech, but

0:36:08.200 --> 0:36:12.359
<v Speaker 1>almost vitality. And why after pay they pay thirty three

0:36:12.400 --> 0:36:17.359
<v Speaker 1>billion dollars for this Australia based business, more global now

0:36:17.560 --> 0:36:19.879
<v Speaker 1>by now pay later, which is you know, pay back

0:36:19.960 --> 0:36:24.600
<v Speaker 1>in four installments of six installments for installments. And here's

0:36:24.760 --> 0:36:28.279
<v Speaker 1>the attraction, right, there are two distinct ecosystems, very successful,

0:36:28.320 --> 0:36:30.760
<v Speaker 1>each on their own right, the seller and the cash

0:36:31.120 --> 0:36:34.680
<v Speaker 1>app ecosystem, and this gives them a way to bridge

0:36:34.760 --> 0:36:38.120
<v Speaker 1>the two um and the way and why why after

0:36:38.239 --> 0:36:42.279
<v Speaker 1>pay and after pay you know, just we're serves the

0:36:42.400 --> 0:36:46.319
<v Speaker 1>younger demographic pointed out that the average age is thirty three.

0:36:46.400 --> 0:36:49.760
<v Speaker 1>It's mostly feebale. And then they are also a marketing

0:36:49.920 --> 0:36:52.680
<v Speaker 1>lead mechanism. So one of the stats that I saw

0:36:52.800 --> 0:36:55.839
<v Speaker 1>that blew my mind away is that you when someone

0:36:55.920 --> 0:36:59.160
<v Speaker 1>comes into the after pay app, the seller can expect

0:36:59.280 --> 0:37:02.759
<v Speaker 1>eight times lead conversion um, you know, compared to a

0:37:02.880 --> 0:37:06.520
<v Speaker 1>Google Search lead. And then there's no credit risk to

0:37:06.600 --> 0:37:10.759
<v Speaker 1>the seller and then they get a list in lift

0:37:10.800 --> 0:37:15.320
<v Speaker 1>in average value. So and then the consumers like it

0:37:15.400 --> 0:37:17.840
<v Speaker 1>too because it's an app that opens up new merchants

0:37:17.880 --> 0:37:20.719
<v Speaker 1>to them. So it's completely complimentary as well. You know,

0:37:20.840 --> 0:37:24.400
<v Speaker 1>get squared to go more international, more quickly, and more importantly,

0:37:24.520 --> 0:37:28.160
<v Speaker 1>bring the two ecosystems together. And with companies you know

0:37:28.280 --> 0:37:31.400
<v Speaker 1>that have a data d n A, that's just huge

0:37:31.560 --> 0:37:34.640
<v Speaker 1>because they see every transaction and you know, there are

0:37:34.680 --> 0:37:36.680
<v Speaker 1>so many other products that they can sell into. This

0:37:38.000 --> 0:37:40.640
<v Speaker 1>just got about twenty seconds here. You also like Nike,

0:37:40.800 --> 0:37:42.960
<v Speaker 1>well known brand, it's a eighteen percent so far this year.

0:37:43.040 --> 0:37:47.360
<v Speaker 1>Just quickly, what's your thesis here, Nike? You know, just

0:37:47.520 --> 0:37:53.239
<v Speaker 1>a very misunderstood digital transformation play. And they picked up

0:37:53.320 --> 0:37:56.959
<v Speaker 1>what's called a triple double in seventeen and it sounds

0:37:57.000 --> 0:38:00.520
<v Speaker 1>like an NBA game. So if they sit two types innovation,

0:38:00.680 --> 0:38:03.840
<v Speaker 1>two times to speed, two times direct to consumer. So

0:38:04.000 --> 0:38:07.560
<v Speaker 1>this is basically an app play of company that has

0:38:07.640 --> 0:38:10.840
<v Speaker 1>gone from selling through department stores to selling direct to

0:38:10.920 --> 0:38:14.400
<v Speaker 1>their consumer and then having it so well done that

0:38:15.000 --> 0:38:18.200
<v Speaker 1>most of the they've really cut out the middlemanute percent

0:38:18.280 --> 0:38:20.319
<v Speaker 1>of I mean a tot of their business. So that's

0:38:20.320 --> 0:38:22.600
<v Speaker 1>the story there, and that's whys of feeling well two

0:38:22.719 --> 0:38:24.840
<v Speaker 1>names that are certainly familiar to our audience. Great to

0:38:24.840 --> 0:38:26.279
<v Speaker 1>break it down with you and also talk some of

0:38:26.320 --> 0:38:30.000
<v Speaker 1>the macro macro outlook here Proba rom She's portfolio manager

0:38:30.000 --> 0:38:33.600
<v Speaker 1>of American Century Investments and her fund, the Century American

0:38:33.640 --> 0:38:37.040
<v Speaker 1>Century Focused Dynamic Growth Fund, is up just about in

0:38:37.040 --> 0:38:40.399
<v Speaker 1>the past past one year, and it is consistently beat

0:38:40.440 --> 0:38:43.319
<v Speaker 1>most of its peers in the past five years. Thanks

0:38:43.360 --> 0:38:47.200
<v Speaker 1>for listening to Bloomberg Business Week. Download the podcast on iTunes, SoundCloud,

0:38:47.360 --> 0:38:49.480
<v Speaker 1>or Bloomberg dot com, and you can also listen to

0:38:49.520 --> 0:38:52.080
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0:38:52.239 --> 0:38:54.959
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