1 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:07,040 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:07,880 --> 00:00:10,520 Speaker 2: The European Parliament is sent to freeze ratification of its 3 00:00:10,600 --> 00:00:13,960 Speaker 2: US trade deal, the block demanding clarity after President Trump's 4 00:00:14,000 --> 00:00:15,360 Speaker 2: new fifteen percent tariff. 5 00:00:15,600 --> 00:00:17,239 Speaker 1: The move follows the Supreme Court. 6 00:00:17,120 --> 00:00:20,639 Speaker 2: Ruling limiting his emergency powers. You leaders say approval can't 7 00:00:20,680 --> 00:00:25,080 Speaker 2: move forward mid growing trade uncertainty. Let's stay on tariffs. 8 00:00:25,120 --> 00:00:28,160 Speaker 2: And I'm joined now by Missouri Representative Jason Smith, who 9 00:00:28,200 --> 00:00:30,520 Speaker 2: also serves as the chairman of the House Ways and 10 00:00:30,600 --> 00:00:33,559 Speaker 2: Means Committee, and he is the chief tax writer in Congress. 11 00:00:33,640 --> 00:00:36,240 Speaker 2: Chairman Smith, thank you so much for joining us this morning. 12 00:00:36,520 --> 00:00:38,760 Speaker 2: Let's start with the elephant in the room. The tariffs 13 00:00:39,000 --> 00:00:42,680 Speaker 2: were a big source of fiscal revenue for twenty twenty five. 14 00:00:43,120 --> 00:00:45,479 Speaker 2: Do you anticipate that that all will get refunded, and 15 00:00:45,560 --> 00:00:47,600 Speaker 2: if not all, much of it will get refunded. 16 00:00:47,640 --> 00:00:52,120 Speaker 3: Now, to say that the tariffs were a significant impact 17 00:00:52,200 --> 00:00:56,000 Speaker 3: of revenue is to say it lightly. In fact, it 18 00:00:56,040 --> 00:00:59,040 Speaker 3: has been projected by the Congressional Budget Office that the 19 00:00:59,120 --> 00:01:02,960 Speaker 3: tariffs that were in place would reduce the national deficit 20 00:01:03,040 --> 00:01:05,080 Speaker 3: by three trillion dollars, and. 21 00:01:05,040 --> 00:01:06,160 Speaker 1: That's pretty substantial. 22 00:01:07,000 --> 00:01:11,240 Speaker 3: However, the Supreme Court decision is not going to affect 23 00:01:11,640 --> 00:01:15,040 Speaker 3: the revenue that's coming in for the most part, because under. 24 00:01:14,840 --> 00:01:17,840 Speaker 1: A lot of the Federal Trade. 25 00:01:17,520 --> 00:01:21,200 Speaker 3: Statutes in regards to unfair trade, whether it's Section one, 26 00:01:21,319 --> 00:01:25,119 Speaker 3: twenty two, three oh one, or two thirty two, the 27 00:01:25,200 --> 00:01:28,280 Speaker 3: President is going to be able to levy his authority 28 00:01:28,520 --> 00:01:31,720 Speaker 3: to implement virtually the same tariffs that were in place 29 00:01:31,760 --> 00:01:34,040 Speaker 3: under IEPA that the Supreme Court throughout. 30 00:01:34,080 --> 00:01:37,840 Speaker 2: Sure, but the tariffs that were implemented through IEPA. Representative Smith, 31 00:01:38,000 --> 00:01:40,120 Speaker 2: is it your message maybe to Corporate America that if 32 00:01:40,160 --> 00:01:43,560 Speaker 2: they've joined this lawsuit, that maybe they shouldn't be expecting 33 00:01:43,600 --> 00:01:45,679 Speaker 2: the tariff free funds? How do you expect that to 34 00:01:45,720 --> 00:01:46,199 Speaker 2: play out? 35 00:01:47,160 --> 00:01:50,360 Speaker 3: You know, it's really unfortunate that the Supreme Court was 36 00:01:50,440 --> 00:01:55,480 Speaker 3: crickets when it came to their very large, their large opinion, 37 00:01:55,520 --> 00:01:57,600 Speaker 3: but they didn't even address this. So of course now 38 00:01:57,600 --> 00:02:01,000 Speaker 3: it's going to be reprimanded down to the lower courts. 39 00:02:01,080 --> 00:02:03,280 Speaker 3: They will make those decisions, but it's going to. 40 00:02:03,200 --> 00:02:03,840 Speaker 1: Be a process. 41 00:02:03,880 --> 00:02:07,360 Speaker 3: It's going to take three to four years probably before 42 00:02:07,480 --> 00:02:08,200 Speaker 3: it's addressed. 43 00:02:08,560 --> 00:02:11,720 Speaker 2: There is this question of uncertainty that's certainly one of them. 44 00:02:12,160 --> 00:02:15,040 Speaker 2: Chairman Smith, what's going to happen with the refunds. But 45 00:02:15,080 --> 00:02:17,919 Speaker 2: then there's this other lingering uncertainty of having a president 46 00:02:17,960 --> 00:02:20,760 Speaker 2: who first announced is ten percent tariffs and then fifteen 47 00:02:20,800 --> 00:02:23,040 Speaker 2: percent with Section one twenty two, which can only be 48 00:02:23,080 --> 00:02:26,200 Speaker 2: in place for a limited number of days. How is 49 00:02:26,240 --> 00:02:29,120 Speaker 2: this helping uncertainty in corporate America? Do you think that 50 00:02:29,160 --> 00:02:31,399 Speaker 2: there could have been an argument to just say, Okay, 51 00:02:31,480 --> 00:02:34,160 Speaker 2: the Supreme Court has made its decision and we carry 52 00:02:34,200 --> 00:02:34,880 Speaker 2: on as is. 53 00:02:36,040 --> 00:02:38,520 Speaker 3: You know, certainty is great for the economy. That's why 54 00:02:38,840 --> 00:02:42,119 Speaker 3: we passed the big, beautiful bill, the Working Families Tax Cut, 55 00:02:42,200 --> 00:02:46,040 Speaker 3: six months early, to give this certainty to those small businesses, 56 00:02:46,080 --> 00:02:49,960 Speaker 3: those big companies. But in regards to the tariffs, I 57 00:02:49,960 --> 00:02:52,880 Speaker 3: think it's very certain there's probably not going to be 58 00:02:52,919 --> 00:02:55,680 Speaker 3: any refunds. I don't see a pathway in Congress that 59 00:02:55,720 --> 00:02:58,800 Speaker 3: there's going to be refunds. And so you're going to 60 00:02:58,840 --> 00:03:02,600 Speaker 3: look at over so course of the President Trump's administration, 61 00:03:03,000 --> 00:03:06,560 Speaker 3: he's going to continue to use those tariff revenues to 62 00:03:06,600 --> 00:03:07,679 Speaker 3: bring down the deficit. 63 00:03:08,440 --> 00:03:11,240 Speaker 2: There is another matter to this, though, and it can 64 00:03:11,280 --> 00:03:14,280 Speaker 2: easily and many people have framed this as simply a 65 00:03:14,360 --> 00:03:18,400 Speaker 2: consumer price hike. Representative Smith, do you expect that all 66 00:03:18,440 --> 00:03:21,480 Speaker 2: of the Republicans in Congress will be behind this when 67 00:03:21,480 --> 00:03:23,800 Speaker 2: we're just three and a half months away from a 68 00:03:23,840 --> 00:03:26,840 Speaker 2: midterm election where affordability is on the ticket. 69 00:03:27,760 --> 00:03:30,520 Speaker 3: I think it's very important to understand trade policy just 70 00:03:30,560 --> 00:03:33,120 Speaker 3: as a whole of where it is with all Americans, 71 00:03:33,120 --> 00:03:36,160 Speaker 3: but also all members of Congress and the United States Senate. 72 00:03:36,360 --> 00:03:39,960 Speaker 3: It's a deeply divided issue. Whether you're Republican or whether 73 00:03:40,000 --> 00:03:43,720 Speaker 3: you're Democrat. There's not a uniform opinion of one party. 74 00:03:44,000 --> 00:03:46,760 Speaker 3: In fact, you have Democrats that agree with Republicans, and 75 00:03:46,840 --> 00:03:50,360 Speaker 3: Republicans agree with Democrats on various aspects of whether they're 76 00:03:50,400 --> 00:03:53,800 Speaker 3: pro tariffs or they're anti tariffs. So if something moves 77 00:03:53,800 --> 00:03:56,800 Speaker 3: forward from a legislative perspective, it will have to be 78 00:03:56,880 --> 00:04:02,400 Speaker 3: bipartisan because it is such a bipartisan division when it 79 00:04:02,480 --> 00:04:05,760 Speaker 3: comes to those different items. But let's look at what 80 00:04:05,840 --> 00:04:09,800 Speaker 3: tariffs have done. We have the lowest trade deficits since 81 00:04:09,880 --> 00:04:13,880 Speaker 3: two thousand and nine, and when you refund tariffs, you're 82 00:04:13,960 --> 00:04:19,640 Speaker 3: refunding money to corporations that benefit by purchasing products outside 83 00:04:19,640 --> 00:04:23,080 Speaker 3: of the United States. Who benefited from tariffs was the 84 00:04:23,200 --> 00:04:25,719 Speaker 3: US manufacturers and US farmers. 85 00:04:26,080 --> 00:04:28,000 Speaker 2: So to be clear, are you and your colleagues working 86 00:04:28,000 --> 00:04:30,120 Speaker 2: on legislation right now to codify tariffs. 87 00:04:31,400 --> 00:04:35,360 Speaker 3: We've been working on trade legislation throughout my three years 88 00:04:35,720 --> 00:04:38,040 Speaker 3: as Chairman of the Ways and Means. If you if 89 00:04:38,040 --> 00:04:40,760 Speaker 3: you just look at most recently in the last month, 90 00:04:41,160 --> 00:04:47,960 Speaker 3: we reinstituted and extended the Haiti and the Gooa trade 91 00:04:48,000 --> 00:04:50,240 Speaker 3: preferences programs. So we're in the middle of all the 92 00:04:50,279 --> 00:04:53,280 Speaker 3: different trading aspects. If you look at the Big Beautiful Bill, 93 00:04:53,640 --> 00:04:57,200 Speaker 3: we addressed a minimus when it came to China and 94 00:04:57,320 --> 00:04:59,040 Speaker 3: other packages coming in the United States. 95 00:04:59,080 --> 00:05:01,440 Speaker 1: We're going to continue to do so. Tariffs are not. 96 00:05:01,680 --> 00:05:04,919 Speaker 2: The debt is still exploding because in large part the 97 00:05:04,960 --> 00:05:08,840 Speaker 2: one big Beautiful Bill, Representative Smith, are we done cutting 98 00:05:08,839 --> 00:05:10,760 Speaker 2: the deficit? Is this it for now? 99 00:05:12,120 --> 00:05:14,400 Speaker 1: We can't be done cutting the deficit. 100 00:05:14,760 --> 00:05:18,680 Speaker 3: When you look at a national security threat, it's definitely 101 00:05:18,760 --> 00:05:22,080 Speaker 3: our fiscal house. When you're looking at approaching forty trillion 102 00:05:22,200 --> 00:05:25,280 Speaker 3: dollars in national debt, we have to be looking at 103 00:05:25,279 --> 00:05:27,839 Speaker 3: ways to trim the budget twenty four to seven. 104 00:05:28,520 --> 00:05:30,640 Speaker 2: So are you then, with all of this disappointed in 105 00:05:30,720 --> 00:05:33,600 Speaker 2: a lot of your Republican colleagues. There have been some 106 00:05:33,839 --> 00:05:38,719 Speaker 2: Senator Paul Representative Bacon, who publicly applauded the Supreme Court ruling. 107 00:05:38,760 --> 00:05:41,520 Speaker 2: Representative Smith, it doesn't seem like there's cohesion at this moment. 108 00:05:42,560 --> 00:05:45,719 Speaker 3: Well, Senator Paul didn't vote for the Big Beautiful Bill either. 109 00:05:45,839 --> 00:05:50,039 Speaker 3: So there's always division within the Republican Party. But guess what, 110 00:05:50,440 --> 00:05:54,520 Speaker 3: there's bigger division in the Democrat Party Because Hakeem Jeffries 111 00:05:54,920 --> 00:05:59,720 Speaker 3: is not even the minority leader of the House. His 112 00:05:59,760 --> 00:06:03,120 Speaker 3: lip base affects all of his policies A decisions. That's 113 00:06:03,160 --> 00:06:05,479 Speaker 3: why we're in a government shutdown right now with the 114 00:06:05,520 --> 00:06:09,080 Speaker 3: Department of Homeland Security and why they're not funding TSA 115 00:06:09,120 --> 00:06:11,919 Speaker 3: agents in the airport, why they're not funding FEMA, and 116 00:06:12,000 --> 00:06:14,239 Speaker 3: why they're not funding the US Coast Guard. 117 00:06:14,400 --> 00:06:16,880 Speaker 2: Yeah, there's a lot of backlash this weekend about a 118 00:06:16,920 --> 00:06:21,040 Speaker 2: brief decision to shut down TSA pre check. Chairman Smith, 119 00:06:21,360 --> 00:06:25,000 Speaker 2: where do we stand on funding the Department of Homeland Security? 120 00:06:25,000 --> 00:06:25,800 Speaker 1: Is there any movement? 121 00:06:26,839 --> 00:06:29,800 Speaker 3: There has been zero movement from what I have seen. 122 00:06:30,120 --> 00:06:36,040 Speaker 3: The Democrats are demanding unrealistic expectations and solutions. They're the 123 00:06:36,080 --> 00:06:38,200 Speaker 3: ones who shut down government. They need to come back 124 00:06:38,240 --> 00:06:42,520 Speaker 3: to the table and make sure those TSA agents, the Coastguard, 125 00:06:42,920 --> 00:06:45,640 Speaker 3: the Secret Service, FEMA that they have paychecks. 126 00:06:45,760 --> 00:06:48,279 Speaker 2: There still has been just mass outrage about what's happening 127 00:06:48,480 --> 00:06:53,120 Speaker 2: with immigration and with ICE. Representative Smith, Where would anyone 128 00:06:53,200 --> 00:06:55,440 Speaker 2: budge on this? How does it come to a solution? 129 00:06:56,680 --> 00:06:59,560 Speaker 3: Well, what doesn't make sense is that they say they 130 00:06:59,600 --> 00:07:03,279 Speaker 3: want to defund ICE, but guess what. ICE was funded 131 00:07:03,279 --> 00:07:06,080 Speaker 3: for four years in the One Big Beautiful Bill. 132 00:07:06,360 --> 00:07:07,679 Speaker 1: So by shutting down. 133 00:07:07,520 --> 00:07:10,960 Speaker 3: The Department of Homeland Security budget that does not affect 134 00:07:11,000 --> 00:07:14,520 Speaker 3: funding of ICE. ICE is continuing to be funded because 135 00:07:14,520 --> 00:07:17,400 Speaker 3: we did it for four years. So it is absolutely 136 00:07:17,560 --> 00:07:21,240 Speaker 3: only politics of why the Democrats are shutting down government. 137 00:07:21,320 --> 00:07:24,440 Speaker 3: They say that they're doing to defund ICE, but they 138 00:07:24,600 --> 00:07:27,560 Speaker 3: know that they're not defunding ICE by shutting down. 139 00:07:27,720 --> 00:07:29,480 Speaker 2: Pro Some of the polls, though, have moved in the 140 00:07:29,480 --> 00:07:33,560 Speaker 2: wrong direction for this administration on things the President ran 141 00:07:33,640 --> 00:07:37,640 Speaker 2: on immigration, on this economy, on affordability again, three and 142 00:07:37,680 --> 00:07:39,840 Speaker 2: a half months away from the midterms. Is this an 143 00:07:39,840 --> 00:07:44,080 Speaker 2: administration and a party a GOP that risks losing control 144 00:07:44,120 --> 00:07:44,800 Speaker 2: of the narrative. 145 00:07:46,000 --> 00:07:48,960 Speaker 3: Anyone can find a poll that favors their narrative, There's 146 00:07:48,960 --> 00:07:52,720 Speaker 3: no question about it. What I will say is is 147 00:07:52,800 --> 00:07:55,640 Speaker 3: I was back home in my Congressional district. All last 148 00:07:55,680 --> 00:07:59,280 Speaker 3: week traveling throughout my twenty eight counties, and people were 149 00:07:59,480 --> 00:08:04,360 Speaker 3: very portive of the President's immigration policies and securing the border, 150 00:08:04,560 --> 00:08:08,680 Speaker 3: and the fact that three million people have illegals have 151 00:08:08,920 --> 00:08:11,920 Speaker 3: been deported or voluntarily left. 152 00:08:12,800 --> 00:08:15,120 Speaker 2: I still think some of the images coming out have 153 00:08:15,200 --> 00:08:18,640 Speaker 2: shocked people. But all this said, Representative Smith, there are 154 00:08:18,680 --> 00:08:21,800 Speaker 2: a lot of issues that this administration now needs to tackle, 155 00:08:21,920 --> 00:08:25,200 Speaker 2: especially in light of Friday's ruling. What are you expecting 156 00:08:25,480 --> 00:08:27,520 Speaker 2: for the president State of the Union address tomorrow? 157 00:08:28,640 --> 00:08:31,320 Speaker 3: I think the President's going to highlight what he's done 158 00:08:31,320 --> 00:08:33,560 Speaker 3: in his first year in office, which I believe what 159 00:08:33,679 --> 00:08:36,320 Speaker 3: President Trump has done in his first year of office 160 00:08:36,600 --> 00:08:39,520 Speaker 3: is more than what most presidents do in eight years, 161 00:08:39,760 --> 00:08:43,000 Speaker 3: when you look at securing the border, which we just discussed, 162 00:08:43,320 --> 00:08:47,079 Speaker 3: creating the largest tax cut in US history, and fulfilling 163 00:08:47,120 --> 00:08:50,240 Speaker 3: his campaign promises of no tax on tips, no tax 164 00:08:50,280 --> 00:08:54,440 Speaker 3: on overtime, tax relief for seniors, increasing the child tax credit, 165 00:08:54,720 --> 00:08:59,600 Speaker 3: creating the Trump Investment Accounts, making one hundred percent expensing 166 00:08:59,679 --> 00:09:03,200 Speaker 3: of new factories. You've seen more than ten trillion dollars 167 00:09:03,240 --> 00:09:06,880 Speaker 3: of investment come back into the United States. We have 168 00:09:06,920 --> 00:09:10,360 Speaker 3: the lowest interest rate in five years, the lowest gas 169 00:09:10,400 --> 00:09:14,040 Speaker 3: prices in five years, and guess what, the murder rate 170 00:09:14,080 --> 00:09:17,480 Speaker 3: in the United States is the lowest since nineteen hundred. 171 00:09:17,720 --> 00:09:20,480 Speaker 3: These are huge successes. But when you look on the 172 00:09:20,559 --> 00:09:27,000 Speaker 3: foreign stage, the president has eliminated eight different conflicts, so 173 00:09:27,120 --> 00:09:29,800 Speaker 3: I think that's a lot of success that some presidents 174 00:09:29,800 --> 00:09:31,720 Speaker 3: would be begging for, although. 175 00:09:31,400 --> 00:09:33,920 Speaker 2: There might be another conflicts brewing with a run or 176 00:09:33,920 --> 00:09:36,280 Speaker 2: at least an escalation, which also might un do some 177 00:09:36,320 --> 00:09:38,600 Speaker 2: of the work in gas and oil prices. Representative Smith, 178 00:09:38,600 --> 00:09:39,719 Speaker 2: we're going to have to leave it there. Thank you 179 00:09:39,800 --> 00:09:43,160 Speaker 2: for joining us. Representative Jason Smith, Chairman of the House 180 00:09:43,240 --> 00:09:44,600 Speaker 2: Ways and Means Committee,