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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into the Wednesday

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Speaker 1: morning edition of the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is

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Speaker 1: Matt Peroultz. Follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt

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Speaker 1: Instagram as well if you want. I don't know if

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Speaker 1: you want to follow my family pictures from well seeing

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Speaker 1: Santa Claus last night, but you can if you want to.

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Speaker 1: We are on bettingpros dot com and we're always being

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Speaker 1: brought to you by Bett MGM. All right, so one

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Speaker 1: in one last night we're down point zero five units,

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Speaker 1: so I guess technically it's a losing night, but not really.

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Speaker 1: We got the over in Bama Furman one hundred one

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Speaker 1: fifty zero point five and that one we got on

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Speaker 1: that number early, and I guess we saw the same

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Speaker 1: thing everybody else saw in terms of offense, and I

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Speaker 1: was going to take Alabama to cover, and I'm glad

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Speaker 1: that I did not, so we took the over instead.

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Speaker 1: Bama covers that, Firman cover that easily, so that was

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Speaker 1: a clean hit for us with a half a unit there.

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Speaker 1: And then I was I knew I was dead in

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Speaker 1: the water when I started to see some sharp people

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Speaker 1: that I follow take Kansas State against Iowa State. I

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Speaker 1: really thought the Kansas State one wasn't gonna shoot well,

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Speaker 1: and they shot I think sixty three percent in the

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Speaker 1: first half. Yuck. And then I thought Iowa State was

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Speaker 1: gonna come out and play, you know, the best game

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Speaker 1: of the year for them so far in Iowa State sucks. Okay,

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Speaker 1: that is just they are god awful at basketball this year.

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Speaker 1: It's incredible and it's gonna be tough for Hawkeye fans,

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Speaker 1: sorry for Cycling fans to watch their high Hawkeye brethren,

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Speaker 1: because Iowa is really really good, like historically good. In

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Speaker 1: Iowa State might be historically bad this year. So it's

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty. It's a weird year. But that was rough.

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Speaker 1: And look, I got a lot of flack on Twitter

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Speaker 1: last night from Iowa State fans because I don't believe

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Speaker 1: Iowa State football belongs anywhere near the top ten conversation

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Speaker 1: for college football. I Was State lost to Louisiana. Iowa

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Speaker 1: State has two losses. Okay, the Chantaliers Coastal is undefeated. Okay.

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Speaker 1: If Coastal beats Louisiana again again for a second time,

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Speaker 1: they will have beaten a team that Iowa State played

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Speaker 1: and lost to. You at home twice. How are they

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Speaker 1: not a top ten team? How is Coastal Carolina if

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Speaker 1: they win the Fun Belt and they blow out Louisiana.

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Speaker 1: Excuse me, I thought we're talking about winning games. I

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Speaker 1: thought we got rid of this FBS crap about well,

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Speaker 1: what did you look like when you won? All of

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Speaker 1: a sudden, This looks a whole hell of a lot

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Speaker 1: like the FBS. And that's not great FBS, BCS, whatever

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Speaker 1: you want to call it. Right, I'm not down with that. Okay,

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Speaker 1: Bowl Championship Series, you know, Football Bowls, you know subcommittee.

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Speaker 1: I'm just not down with watching teams have to blow

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Speaker 1: out other teams in order to impress the committee. The

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Speaker 1: answers that Gary Barta gave about direct questions about Coastal

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Speaker 1: Versus Iowa State were nonsensical. He is the athletic director

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Speaker 1: for Iowa, so I don't know if he's trying to

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Speaker 1: protect his friends over in Aims, which sounds weird because

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Speaker 1: they don't normally do that. But on what planet is

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Speaker 1: Iowa State the sixth best team in the country? Seriously,

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Speaker 1: on what planet are they number six? That is straight

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Speaker 1: up looney tunes, insane, not right, not logical, but you

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Speaker 1: could say, Matt, only the top four teams matter. Well,

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Speaker 1: yes and no, because technically, you know, if you're in

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Speaker 1: the top six, you have a chance to go to

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Speaker 1: a really good ball game, the most important ball games,

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Speaker 1: and all it can hope for is Oklahoma gonna beat

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Speaker 1: Iowa State to end this ridiculousness and will probably be

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Speaker 1: on Oklahoma coming up on Saturday. But because of the

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Speaker 1: way the BCS, the way the Football Playoff Committee is operating,

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Speaker 1: that's gonna be influencing one of my plays today. So

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Speaker 1: here's what the podcast is today. It's a little bit

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Speaker 1: of a different day. I've got two plays for the

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Speaker 1: weekend in college football that I want to bet now. Yes,

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Speaker 1: I know it's COVID and it's dangerous, but I think

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Speaker 1: the numbers are going to rise, and I want them

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Speaker 1: now before they go over fourteen points, which I think

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Speaker 1: is a pretty key number. And I've got one win

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Speaker 1: total in the NBA that is just kind of staring

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Speaker 1: at me and yelling at me, and I had to

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Speaker 1: bet it at one full unit because it's just too much.

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Speaker 1: I've got to take it because I can't believe where

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Speaker 1: it is. Before we do that, let me talk about

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Speaker 1: Gambling problem go one hundred and five to two forty

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Speaker 1: seven hundred in Colorado, one hundred gambler in New Jersey,

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Speaker 1: in West Virginia, or one hundred and nine with it

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Speaker 1: in Indiana. So let's start with the NBA and then

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Speaker 1: I will move into the two college football plays. I

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Speaker 1: looked at the college basketball lineup. There might be something

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Speaker 1: in the discord chat bettingpros dot Com slash chat that

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Speaker 1: I will add for tonight. That's a possibility. There may

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Speaker 1: be something that I find throughout the course of the

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Speaker 1: day that I like. But I've been waiting for a

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Speaker 1: day like this, and today's the opportunity to kind of

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Speaker 1: pause for a second. I've made three bets today, but

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Speaker 1: they're not for action going on today. We've got Thursday

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Speaker 1: night football, We've got college ball Saturday with a ton

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Speaker 1: of great games, and then we got a big weekend

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Speaker 1: of college of NFL football on Sunday, plus NFL games

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Speaker 1: on Saturday, by the way, and games on Monday. Okay,

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Speaker 1: so we've got Thursday, Saturday, Sunday, Monday NFL games, and

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Speaker 1: we've got Saturday big time games Friday too. By the way,

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Speaker 1: we'll bet on that USC game on Friday. So there's

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Speaker 1: a lot of football due to come. So I thought

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Speaker 1: today might be a good day to kind of like

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Speaker 1: pump the breaks a little bit and take a look

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Speaker 1: at some future wagers. I am getting ready to, by

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Speaker 1: the way, cash five tickets in the NFL for future wagers.

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Speaker 1: If you guys have followed me here on the Daily Juice,

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Speaker 1: if you have trailed the future bets, I have made

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Speaker 1: rams to win the West Pittsburgh to win the North

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Speaker 1: over win total for the Raiders, over win total for

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Speaker 1: tip of Bucks. That's a little bit of a question mark,

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Speaker 1: but we should get there for the Bucks over for

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Speaker 1: the Titans. Alternative win total nine and a half for

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Speaker 1: the Titans. Right, those five bets should all come in, okay,

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Speaker 1: So that's good. Right, that's all of them Raiders over

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Speaker 1: seven rams, sorry, Raiders over seven under in the Jets,

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Speaker 1: six bets sorry, six bets under in the Jets six

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Speaker 1: and a half wins. So like we've got all these

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Speaker 1: one unit bets like to cash. So like once the

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Speaker 1: NFL regular season's over, if we're right here and the

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Speaker 1: Rams is the one that's a little bit shaky, so

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Speaker 1: maybe it's a five and one mark, but we're getting

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Speaker 1: ready here to cash. So we cashed a bunch of

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Speaker 1: future tickets in baseball, including getting the American League team

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Speaker 1: right in the rais a plus one thousand, and the

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Speaker 1: Dodgers to win the World Series at plus was it

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Speaker 1: three fifty? We got it at somewhere there. So we

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Speaker 1: made money there. We're gonna make money in the NFL,

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Speaker 1: and so we're gonna come in here with wagers here

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Speaker 1: on the NBA, I pick and choose. Okay, I don't

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Speaker 1: go crazy. I don't love to bet future. It's because

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Speaker 1: I don't like having my money tied up. However, the

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Speaker 1: Golden State Warriors, this is a seventy two game season. Remember, Okay,

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Speaker 1: but the Golden State Warriors have a win total set

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Speaker 1: at thirty six and a half. Okay, shop this find

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Speaker 1: this number. There are teams like the Atlanta Hawks that

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Speaker 1: have the same number of wins being projected as the

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Speaker 1: Golden State Warriors. Here's the thing that I can't figure out.

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Speaker 1: Did Steph Curry forget how to shoot a basketball? Because

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Speaker 1: if Steph Curry is even remotely on the court healthy,

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Speaker 1: the Warriors are going to win a bunch of games

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Speaker 1: all of a sudden. Draymond Green's washed up. I know

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Speaker 1: the Clay Thompson injury is significant, and I know that

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Speaker 1: they're not going to be a contending team in the West,

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Speaker 1: and I know the West is going to be very,

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Speaker 1: very difficult, But it's still Steph Curry. I mean, this

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Speaker 1: is a guy who shoots over forty three percent from

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Speaker 1: behind the arc. I mean, what do we do? I

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Speaker 1: am blown away by this number. I don't understand this

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Speaker 1: I this is fifty to fifty. This is to go

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Speaker 1: five hundred essentially, right, I mean they can win forty games.

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Speaker 1: Come on, you're telling me they can't go forty and

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Speaker 1: thirty two. They can't have a winning record. They can't

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Speaker 1: find a way to use Kelly Ubre, they can't find

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Speaker 1: a way to trade Andrew Wiggins. You know, they can't

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Speaker 1: find a way to get James Wiseman into the rotation

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Speaker 1: to help them with some depth. You're telling me that

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Speaker 1: Draymond Green is just gonna be awful, that he can't

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Speaker 1: do anything for this team. I mean, what are we

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Speaker 1: I don't know. Look, there's been some rookie big men

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Speaker 1: that have come in and they have helped, right. I mean, look,

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Speaker 1: I'm not saying that James Wiseman's going to be Anthony

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Speaker 1: Davis or he's going to be this gigantic stretch four, right,

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Speaker 1: but he does add some length, he does have some athleticism,

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Speaker 1: and he should be able to help them defensively around

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Speaker 1: the rim. So you got Draymond, You've got Steve Kerr,

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Speaker 1: and you've got Steph Curry. If Steph Curry stays healthy,

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Speaker 1: and this bet is riding on Steph Curry to stay healthy.

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Speaker 1: I cannot see the Warriors punting on another season just

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Speaker 1: because Klay Thompson got hurt. So I know it significant

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Speaker 1: that the injury sucks, But Steve Curry is playing in

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Speaker 1: a brand new building in downtown San Francisco, and at

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Speaker 1: some point during the basketball season, at some point, fans

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Speaker 1: are coming back into that building for the first time, really,

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Speaker 1: and fans have been paying a ton of money for

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Speaker 1: the most expensive tickets in basketball. They cannot punt on

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Speaker 1: this season. They have to win. They did it last year,

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Speaker 1: they got the number two pick in the draft. They

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Speaker 1: can't do that again. Now. They may not contend, they

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Speaker 1: may not be a playoff team, but they're going to

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Speaker 1: be a team that's going to win more games than

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Speaker 1: they lose. Thirty six and a half is the number

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Speaker 1: that I got. We're going over Warriors thirty six and

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Speaker 1: a half win total for the twenty twenty twenty one

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Speaker 1: season at one unit. I again, I pick and choose.

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Speaker 1: I try to find my spots. I think that's a

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Speaker 1: spot that we have to roll with. I can't believe

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Speaker 1: the Warriors. That number seems criminally low for the Warriors

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Speaker 1: at thirty six and a half. We are taking the

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Speaker 1: over there for Warriors and their win total. All right,

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Speaker 1: two plays for college football coming up on Saturday. I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna have a lot going on the championship games, and

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Speaker 1: I'll tell you right now, I'm gonna be laying a

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Speaker 1: lot of lumber coming up here on Saturday. Here's my philosophy.

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Speaker 1: In my theory, if we bet the majority of these games,

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Speaker 1: one or two of them are not gonna hit, all right,

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Speaker 1: But if we have four or five and we're gonna

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Speaker 1: lay big numbers in four or five of them, well,

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Speaker 1: I think we're gonna hit the majority. I think we're

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Speaker 1: gonna gonna come out on top because there are some

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Speaker 1: big mismatches. Okay, I haven't bet Ohio State Northwestern yet,

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Speaker 1: but I will. Northwestern's gonna get killed. I haven't bet

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Speaker 1: against I haven't bet against Oklahoma with Oklahoma Iowa State,

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Speaker 1: but I'm probably gonna bet on Oklahoma. Here. The number

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Speaker 1: is coming down a little bit. It's five and a

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Speaker 1: half now for Oklahoma, which I like. There's Iowa State

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Speaker 1: money coming in, beautiful, let's go here, we go, keep

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Speaker 1: it rolling fine. I think Notre Dame is gonna be

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Speaker 1: in trouble against Clemson, and I think Alabama's gonna absolutely

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Speaker 1: curb stomp Florida. That will be probably a first half play,

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Speaker 1: it probably will be a game play. There's just gonna

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Speaker 1: be a lot going in here. I don't know what

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Speaker 1: I'll do with Tulsa and Cincinnati, but I'm probably gonna

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Speaker 1: be on Cincinnati here to cover the fourteen point line.

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Speaker 1: But there's one game in particular that I want to

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Speaker 1: hop on early, and it's Texas A and M at Tennessee.

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Speaker 1: So here's my thinking. So this game kicks off at noon,

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Speaker 1: nine am Pacific time. This game kicks off against Tennessee,

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Speaker 1: a three win football team, right before all the other

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Speaker 1: games get going. So the game time I think is

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Speaker 1: important here because I think Jimbo Fisher understands they have

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Speaker 1: one loss, and that one loss is to Alabama. They're

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Speaker 1: sitting there at number five, and if they see any slippage,

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Speaker 1: they'll have a real good case to get into the playoffs.

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Speaker 1: So if Alabama destroys Florida, if Clemson cleans the clock

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Speaker 1: of Notre Dame, and I'm talking like a sixty to

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Speaker 1: six final, like something stupid, where Clemson just absolutely with

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Speaker 1: Trevor Lawrence lights the Irish defense on fire. If that happens,

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Speaker 1: the team sitting there to get into the postseason, the

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Speaker 1: team that's got to have a resume worthy is Texas

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Speaker 1: A and M and Jimbo Fisher is going to have

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Speaker 1: to leave his starters into the game into the fourth quarter,

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Speaker 1: and he's gonna have to lay a huge number on Tennessee.

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Speaker 1: He's gonna have to just apologize to the volunteers afterwards.

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Speaker 1: Why did you run the score up, Why did you

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Speaker 1: beat us forty five? Nothing? Why did you keep on

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Speaker 1: throwing when you were up big? Because that's what they

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Speaker 1: have to do here to get the attention of the

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Speaker 1: committee before the other games get going. Now, Northwestern Ohio State,

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Speaker 1: that game will play at the same time, But in

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Speaker 1: terms of the other big games with teams that may

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Speaker 1: or may not be in the conversation, they all will

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Speaker 1: kick off later after that game goes off. Okay, Florida

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Speaker 1: Alabama is at eight pm. All right, You've got Iowa

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Speaker 1: stay in Oklahoma at the same time. I understand that,

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Speaker 1: But I just think personally, Clemson Notre Dame happening later,

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Speaker 1: happening by the time Clemson kicks off against Notre Dame

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Speaker 1: they're gonna know what Texa, A and M did to Tennessee.

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Speaker 1: They need a number. They got to control the narrative.

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Speaker 1: They got to put it up. And the number is fourteen.

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Speaker 1: I don't want that to go to fourteen and a half, okay,

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Speaker 1: and I don't want to have to buy the half

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Speaker 1: a point either. A and M's already had their COVID problems,

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Speaker 1: so I feel pretty confident that they're not gonna have

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Speaker 1: COVID problems before this game. Now, the volunteers might have

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Speaker 1: COVID problems, the A and M's already had their problems

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Speaker 1: inside their program for COVID. I'm laying the fourteen with

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Speaker 1: Texas A and M to put up a monster number

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Speaker 1: on Tennessee and to win that game in Knoxville going away.

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Speaker 1: There'll be some fans there, but I don't really care.

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Speaker 1: A and M. Big laying the fourteen points and just

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Speaker 1: get ready for some serious lumber. I'm gonna lay a

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Speaker 1: lot of it coming up, and then one more game

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Speaker 1: to talk about. I said this early. This game's on Friday.

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Speaker 1: I said this early in the season. I said Buffalo

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Speaker 1: is the best team in the MAC and it's not close.

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Speaker 1: It's true. Buffalo's the best team in the MAC. I

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Speaker 1: like Ball States offense. I do. The line is creeping up,

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Speaker 1: getting close to fourteen, and I saw it at thirteen

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Speaker 1: and I jumped on it. I just think Ball States

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Speaker 1: defense is gonna get destroyed. I mean, ball State's allowing

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Speaker 1: one hundred and forty seven yards rushing per game. The

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Speaker 1: Bulls are running on everyone to the tune of three

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Speaker 1: hundred and forty four yards per game. Okay, Jared Patterson's

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Speaker 1: psychotic eighteen touchdowns one hundred and twenty three carries one

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Speaker 1: twenty five yards already here in this game. Over five games,

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Speaker 1: over one thousand yards for Jared Patterson. I don't think

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Speaker 1: ball State can keep up with this offense. Okay. Three

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Speaker 1: hundred and forty four yards rushing is incredible, and look

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Speaker 1: they're throwing. I get it. You look at the passing

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Speaker 1: yards for ball State two hundred and seventy nine yards.

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Speaker 1: I mean their quarterback has been pretty good this year.

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Speaker 1: Drew Blitt has got thirteen touchdowns to five to five

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Speaker 1: picks and over sixteen hundred yards throwing the football. Buffalo's

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Speaker 1: defense is okay. I wouldn't say it's great. It's averaging,

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Speaker 1: giving up about three hundred and sixty seven yards per game,

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Speaker 1: including one hundred and sixty yards on the ground, but

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Speaker 1: most of that's in mop up duty because they got

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Speaker 1: big numbers, right. I mean, this team has scored seventy

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Speaker 1: on Kent State, they scored fifty six on Akron, they

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Speaker 1: scored forty two Bowling Green, they scored forty two in

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Speaker 1: Miami of Ohio, forty nine on Northern Illinois. Ball State's

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Speaker 1: gonna get crushed here. I just I don't want this

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Speaker 1: thing to go to fourteen. It's under thirteen right now.

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Speaker 1: I found it at thirteen. I'm taking the bulls. I

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Speaker 1: should never have stopped betting them. I should never bet

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Speaker 1: against them. I did that once. I'm gonna ride Buffalo

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Speaker 1: here in the MAC Championship game. Great season for Ball States.

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Speaker 1: You're not getting in front of this team. Their defense

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Speaker 1: is good, Buffalo's running game is elite, and I think

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Speaker 1: Patterson goes crazy here in the MAC Championship game. It

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Speaker 1: is all Buffalo coming up on Friday night. I think

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Speaker 1: I think I said the game was Saturday, so it's Fridays.

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Speaker 1: But I don't want that thing to get to fourteen.

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Speaker 1: So it's creeping up I'm taking it now for US

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Speaker 1: SO three plays for US one, NBA future one game

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Speaker 1: on Friday, one game on Saturday, future wager over Warriors

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Speaker 1: thirty six and a half wins over one unit tex

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Speaker 1: A and M minus fourteen on the road on set

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Speaker 1: at Tennessee. One unit laying it in Buffalo Mac Championship game,

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Speaker 1: laying thirteen at Ball States. We're going Buffalo Bulls football

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Speaker 1: here for one units Thursday Night football tomorrow, prop bets

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Speaker 1: and plays Chargers in the Raiders here in Las Vegas.

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Speaker 1: Looking forward to seeing if the books here put up

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Speaker 1: a better prop menu than what we normally get because

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Speaker 1: the game will be here, so hopefully we see a

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Speaker 1: better prop menu for me to bet on. If that happens,

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Speaker 1: we'll have some prop bets tomorrow. We'll bet some sides

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Speaker 1: and totals. Tomorrow. We'll have a lot going on tomorrow

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Speaker 1: for a Thursday night football game in the NFL, one

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Speaker 1: of the last Thursday night football games. We got to

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Speaker 1: get active and got to get into it, so that's

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Speaker 1: coming up tomorrow. My name is Matt Paroltz. Follow me

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Speaker 1: on Twitter at sports Talk Map. Every single morning, it's

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Speaker 1: the Daily Juice podcast brought to you by BETMGM. Always

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Speaker 1: found on bettingpros dot com.