1 00:00:02,480 --> 00:00:06,160 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts. 2 00:00:05,720 --> 00:00:09,960 Speaker 2: Radio news. The CFO of Wells Fargo joins us now 3 00:00:10,000 --> 00:00:12,959 Speaker 2: on Bloomberg. Mike Senamassimo. Great to see you once again here. 4 00:00:13,160 --> 00:00:15,760 Speaker 2: A relatively upbeat quarter, at least based on the reaction 5 00:00:16,280 --> 00:00:18,800 Speaker 2: that we've seen out of investors and also by some 6 00:00:18,840 --> 00:00:21,159 Speaker 2: of the comments that you and Charlie Sharf made on 7 00:00:21,200 --> 00:00:24,400 Speaker 2: that conference call about the resiliency of the consumer. Can 8 00:00:24,440 --> 00:00:26,079 Speaker 2: you expand on that a little bit more, Mike, what 9 00:00:26,160 --> 00:00:27,080 Speaker 2: exactly are you seeing? 10 00:00:27,440 --> 00:00:29,680 Speaker 1: Yeah, well, first thanks thanks for having me again. 11 00:00:29,720 --> 00:00:31,520 Speaker 3: And you know, as you saw on the results, so 12 00:00:31,600 --> 00:00:35,680 Speaker 3: the quarter, you know, the consumer has been quite resilient 13 00:00:35,800 --> 00:00:39,440 Speaker 3: actually now for the last number of quarters. And I 14 00:00:39,440 --> 00:00:41,479 Speaker 3: think you can see that in the activity levels. You 15 00:00:41,520 --> 00:00:44,560 Speaker 3: can see that in the credit performance in the quarter, 16 00:00:45,240 --> 00:00:48,720 Speaker 3: and you can see that in the underlying deposit franchise 17 00:00:48,840 --> 00:00:51,479 Speaker 3: as well as you were just mentioning. And so when 18 00:00:51,479 --> 00:00:53,479 Speaker 3: you look just more broadly at the results, it's not 19 00:00:53,560 --> 00:00:55,800 Speaker 3: just the consumer side, it's the commercial side as well. 20 00:00:56,160 --> 00:00:58,400 Speaker 1: You know, we saw good growth across most of. 21 00:00:58,360 --> 00:01:00,760 Speaker 3: The businesses, and the FEA side we saw it and 22 00:01:00,880 --> 00:01:03,760 Speaker 3: expected decline in an interesting income. But you know, we 23 00:01:03,800 --> 00:01:06,800 Speaker 3: feel like we're likely at the trough of the NII 24 00:01:06,959 --> 00:01:09,320 Speaker 3: trend at this point. So there's a lot of good 25 00:01:09,319 --> 00:01:11,960 Speaker 3: things underneath that underpin the what you saw in the quarter. 26 00:01:12,440 --> 00:01:14,199 Speaker 2: Is there a sense I mean when you talk about 27 00:01:14,920 --> 00:01:17,600 Speaker 2: the trough potentially that we are, is that largely a 28 00:01:17,640 --> 00:01:20,200 Speaker 2: function of the move that we've seen in FED rates 29 00:01:20,280 --> 00:01:21,319 Speaker 2: or is there something more to that? 30 00:01:22,680 --> 00:01:25,520 Speaker 3: Well, I think the reduction in rates does help, right, 31 00:01:25,560 --> 00:01:28,960 Speaker 3: because we've been able to adjust client pricing as a 32 00:01:29,200 --> 00:01:32,080 Speaker 3: result of that. But you're also still seeing you know, 33 00:01:32,120 --> 00:01:34,640 Speaker 3: rates are still quite high on a releative basis over 34 00:01:34,720 --> 00:01:36,800 Speaker 3: from the last few years, have the last few years, 35 00:01:36,840 --> 00:01:39,960 Speaker 3: and so you are still seeing repricing happen on the 36 00:01:40,000 --> 00:01:43,240 Speaker 3: asset side. But in the near term, what really drive, 37 00:01:43,319 --> 00:01:45,160 Speaker 3: what really drive where we end up over the next 38 00:01:45,240 --> 00:01:48,200 Speaker 3: couple of quarters, is the deposit side, and we've seen 39 00:01:48,280 --> 00:01:50,880 Speaker 3: some good trends there or now over the last couple 40 00:01:50,920 --> 00:01:53,440 Speaker 3: of quarters where you've seen this this cash sorting and 41 00:01:53,480 --> 00:01:57,320 Speaker 3: the mixed different mix changes really moderate. It was the 42 00:01:57,360 --> 00:02:00,520 Speaker 3: slowest quarter where you know, so far since over the 43 00:02:00,600 --> 00:02:03,320 Speaker 3: last couple of years, you know, for that in the portfolio, 44 00:02:04,240 --> 00:02:07,160 Speaker 3: and we've been able to adjust pricing as just as 45 00:02:07,160 --> 00:02:09,200 Speaker 3: we thought we would as the rates came down, So 46 00:02:09,320 --> 00:02:11,400 Speaker 3: that'll be the that'll be the factor that really drives 47 00:02:11,480 --> 00:02:12,480 Speaker 3: near term performance. 48 00:02:13,120 --> 00:02:14,720 Speaker 4: So Mike, it's good to chat with you. 49 00:02:15,040 --> 00:02:15,519 Speaker 1: To that point. 50 00:02:15,560 --> 00:02:18,079 Speaker 4: Then, does that mean that the move into higher yielding 51 00:02:18,560 --> 00:02:21,240 Speaker 4: say CDs or money market funds, et cetera, like that's 52 00:02:21,280 --> 00:02:23,680 Speaker 4: definitely done as rates cuts tunk come down. 53 00:02:25,160 --> 00:02:27,560 Speaker 3: Well, I wouldn't say it's it's necessarily done, but I 54 00:02:27,560 --> 00:02:30,760 Speaker 3: think we saw the lowest migrate, lowest pace of migration 55 00:02:31,000 --> 00:02:35,320 Speaker 3: since rates started increasing, Alex And so I think, you know, 56 00:02:35,360 --> 00:02:37,840 Speaker 3: that's a good trend. And I think eventually what you do, 57 00:02:37,919 --> 00:02:40,800 Speaker 3: what you see generally or expect to see generally, is 58 00:02:40,840 --> 00:02:43,800 Speaker 3: that you know, what's left in checking accounts ends up 59 00:02:43,800 --> 00:02:45,680 Speaker 3: being operating cash for a lot of people. So a 60 00:02:45,720 --> 00:02:50,040 Speaker 3: lot of that shifting into other other alternatives has happened already. 61 00:02:50,240 --> 00:02:52,840 Speaker 4: Yeah, my highield savings account already coming down there. All right, 62 00:02:52,960 --> 00:02:55,600 Speaker 4: let's get to the loan part of your portfolio. When 63 00:02:55,639 --> 00:02:58,560 Speaker 4: do you think you see a really big uptake in 64 00:02:58,600 --> 00:03:00,079 Speaker 4: loan growth? What's going to be that? 65 00:03:01,919 --> 00:03:04,840 Speaker 3: Yeah, it's really hard to say exactly right, And I 66 00:03:04,840 --> 00:03:06,760 Speaker 3: think when you look at what's what we're hearing from 67 00:03:06,800 --> 00:03:09,919 Speaker 3: clients and what you're seeing, you know, rates coming down helpful, 68 00:03:10,080 --> 00:03:12,880 Speaker 3: right because borrowing costs come down. I think there's still 69 00:03:12,919 --> 00:03:16,560 Speaker 3: some uncertainty related to the election that's coming up, and 70 00:03:16,560 --> 00:03:18,880 Speaker 3: then I think people want to see this space case 71 00:03:19,120 --> 00:03:22,120 Speaker 3: kind of soft landing economic scenario play out a little 72 00:03:22,120 --> 00:03:24,760 Speaker 3: bit longer, and then I think a combination of those 73 00:03:24,800 --> 00:03:27,639 Speaker 3: things will start to build confidence. And then I think 74 00:03:27,720 --> 00:03:31,160 Speaker 3: you may start to see people either build inventories or 75 00:03:31,200 --> 00:03:34,640 Speaker 3: make additional capital expenditures that they've been holding off on 76 00:03:34,760 --> 00:03:35,640 Speaker 3: now for a little bit. 77 00:03:35,920 --> 00:03:37,440 Speaker 1: But I don't think it's just one thing. 78 00:03:37,520 --> 00:03:39,960 Speaker 3: I think you really need to see a confluence of 79 00:03:40,000 --> 00:03:41,920 Speaker 3: these things come together. And so it could take a 80 00:03:41,920 --> 00:03:45,840 Speaker 3: little bit of time for that to really materialize in borrowing. 81 00:03:46,040 --> 00:03:49,400 Speaker 2: With regards to that client activity, Mike and the election 82 00:03:49,520 --> 00:03:51,760 Speaker 2: and the idea that once we get past that maybe 83 00:03:51,800 --> 00:03:55,160 Speaker 2: we see more activity, is that irrespective of who wins 84 00:03:55,400 --> 00:03:56,800 Speaker 2: or are they trying to hedge their bets. 85 00:03:58,440 --> 00:04:01,320 Speaker 3: Well, you know, I think you know, what people don't 86 00:04:01,360 --> 00:04:03,560 Speaker 3: like is uncertainty romain and and so I think once 87 00:04:03,600 --> 00:04:06,720 Speaker 3: there's some certainty of the path and you you know, 88 00:04:06,800 --> 00:04:09,320 Speaker 3: you feel like that economic you know, outlook is going 89 00:04:09,360 --> 00:04:10,960 Speaker 3: to play out the way they think. I think those 90 00:04:10,960 --> 00:04:13,880 Speaker 3: things are going to what really matter, and then assuming 91 00:04:13,960 --> 00:04:16,560 Speaker 3: rates continue to come down and reduce barring costs. So 92 00:04:16,720 --> 00:04:18,440 Speaker 3: I really do think it's going to be a combination 93 00:04:18,480 --> 00:04:20,840 Speaker 3: of all those things. But it's the it's the it's 94 00:04:20,839 --> 00:04:24,120 Speaker 3: the uncertainty part that I think causes people to hold off. 95 00:04:24,720 --> 00:04:26,400 Speaker 2: I do want to ask you about some of the 96 00:04:26,440 --> 00:04:30,479 Speaker 2: regulatory issues that continue to hang over Wells Fargo. Last month, 97 00:04:30,480 --> 00:04:33,560 Speaker 2: Bloomberg did report that you had actually entered a new 98 00:04:33,560 --> 00:04:37,400 Speaker 2: phase here to get out from under that fed's asset cap. 99 00:04:37,720 --> 00:04:40,040 Speaker 2: I am curious as to the progress that you've made 100 00:04:40,680 --> 00:04:45,159 Speaker 2: in moving in that direction and whether you are anticipating 101 00:04:45,320 --> 00:04:47,200 Speaker 2: that cap to be removed soon. 102 00:04:49,160 --> 00:04:49,360 Speaker 1: Yeah. 103 00:04:49,440 --> 00:04:51,200 Speaker 3: I mean, as always, my answer might be a little 104 00:04:51,279 --> 00:04:53,599 Speaker 3: unfulfilling remain but but I think, you know, we we 105 00:04:53,760 --> 00:04:57,599 Speaker 3: continue to very much focus on getting the work done 106 00:04:58,320 --> 00:04:59,720 Speaker 3: that we have there, and ultimately it's going to be 107 00:04:59,760 --> 00:05:02,560 Speaker 3: up to FED to decide, you know, when they're ready. 108 00:05:02,320 --> 00:05:02,800 Speaker 1: To do that. 109 00:05:02,920 --> 00:05:05,360 Speaker 3: But you know, we we continue to feel like we're 110 00:05:05,400 --> 00:05:07,520 Speaker 3: making really good progress. We're confident we're going to get 111 00:05:07,520 --> 00:05:09,000 Speaker 3: through it, but ultimately it's going to be up to 112 00:05:09,040 --> 00:05:11,360 Speaker 3: the FED to decide the ultimate outcome there. 113 00:05:11,480 --> 00:05:13,640 Speaker 4: It definitely has be Mike's favorite question, I think when 114 00:05:13,680 --> 00:05:16,800 Speaker 4: it comes to our earnings and interviews. But what kind 115 00:05:16,920 --> 00:05:19,640 Speaker 4: of spend profile do you think you're going to have 116 00:05:19,680 --> 00:05:21,520 Speaker 4: one ad as a cap is removed, Like, are we 117 00:05:21,560 --> 00:05:23,160 Speaker 4: going to be like, all right, let's invest a bunch 118 00:05:23,160 --> 00:05:25,599 Speaker 4: of money, or how's the plan sorting itself out? 119 00:05:27,360 --> 00:05:30,840 Speaker 3: No, it doesn't change the strategy that we've been you know, 120 00:05:30,920 --> 00:05:32,240 Speaker 3: executing on now for the. 121 00:05:32,279 --> 00:05:33,279 Speaker 1: Last number of years. 122 00:05:33,640 --> 00:05:36,440 Speaker 3: We are already making the investments we need to make 123 00:05:36,440 --> 00:05:38,480 Speaker 3: into the businesses that grow them over a long period 124 00:05:38,520 --> 00:05:41,160 Speaker 3: of time, and we're paying for that through the efficiency 125 00:05:41,200 --> 00:05:44,039 Speaker 3: program that that we've executed now for the last you know, 126 00:05:44,080 --> 00:05:44,960 Speaker 3: four or five years. 127 00:05:45,600 --> 00:05:47,200 Speaker 1: And I think we still very much. 128 00:05:47,000 --> 00:05:48,720 Speaker 3: Feel and I think Charlie talked about it on the 129 00:05:48,720 --> 00:05:50,880 Speaker 3: call this morning, we very much feel like there's a 130 00:05:50,880 --> 00:05:53,479 Speaker 3: lot more opportunity for us to drive more efficiency and 131 00:05:53,520 --> 00:05:55,400 Speaker 3: that'll that'll allow us to continue to make. 132 00:05:55,320 --> 00:05:58,200 Speaker 1: The investments we need to make in each of the 133 00:05:58,200 --> 00:05:59,880 Speaker 1: businesses and we're going to keep doing what we've been 134 00:05:59,880 --> 00:06:01,640 Speaker 1: doing now for the last four or five years. 135 00:06:01,839 --> 00:06:05,200 Speaker 4: We talked about the election in terms of the demand profile, 136 00:06:05,279 --> 00:06:08,680 Speaker 4: What about your client activity in training, for example, like 137 00:06:08,680 --> 00:06:10,720 Speaker 4: how are your client's positioned, how are they thinking about 138 00:06:10,720 --> 00:06:11,560 Speaker 4: the next few weeks. 139 00:06:13,640 --> 00:06:15,960 Speaker 3: Well, I think, you know, most people are probably hedging 140 00:06:15,960 --> 00:06:19,440 Speaker 3: their bets a little bit right and making sure they're 141 00:06:19,480 --> 00:06:21,480 Speaker 3: not taking too much risk going into what can be 142 00:06:21,560 --> 00:06:24,760 Speaker 3: an uncertain environment. But you know, volatility, as you know, 143 00:06:25,320 --> 00:06:28,039 Speaker 3: can sometimes create opportunity for folks, and I think that 144 00:06:28,080 --> 00:06:31,840 Speaker 3: certainly creates opportunity in a trading business like ours and others. 145 00:06:32,720 --> 00:06:34,280 Speaker 1: And so we'll see how it plays out. 146 00:06:34,320 --> 00:06:36,880 Speaker 3: But I think going in, you know, we're going into 147 00:06:37,000 --> 00:06:40,960 Speaker 3: this next month or so pretty cautiously as we sort 148 00:06:41,000 --> 00:06:44,040 Speaker 3: of think about the risk we have in the trading side. 149 00:06:44,360 --> 00:06:46,520 Speaker 2: We haven't had a chance to really ask you about 150 00:06:46,560 --> 00:06:49,040 Speaker 2: the state of the commercial real estate market, at least 151 00:06:49,080 --> 00:06:52,040 Speaker 2: as it relates here to the business the Wells Fargo. 152 00:06:52,120 --> 00:06:54,479 Speaker 2: Does you clearly have some insights into that, Mic, and 153 00:06:54,839 --> 00:06:57,560 Speaker 2: I am curious as to whether you've seen or seen 154 00:06:57,640 --> 00:07:00,760 Speaker 2: anything resembling a troth in what has been ailing that space, 155 00:07:00,800 --> 00:07:01,960 Speaker 2: particularly in the office space. 156 00:07:03,400 --> 00:07:05,920 Speaker 3: Yeah, well, I think, you know, broadly, commercial real estate's 157 00:07:05,960 --> 00:07:09,120 Speaker 3: doing quite well. It's really an office story, you know, 158 00:07:09,160 --> 00:07:11,320 Speaker 3: where you see the most stress, and so I think 159 00:07:11,360 --> 00:07:14,280 Speaker 3: in the other asset classes, you continue to see a 160 00:07:14,280 --> 00:07:17,560 Speaker 3: lot of activity. You can see the CNBS market, h 161 00:07:17,680 --> 00:07:20,720 Speaker 3: you know, securitization market, pretty pretty active in other asset 162 00:07:20,720 --> 00:07:21,920 Speaker 3: classes like multifamily. 163 00:07:22,360 --> 00:07:23,680 Speaker 1: So really that stress is. 164 00:07:23,640 --> 00:07:26,520 Speaker 3: In the office space and I can and it's really 165 00:07:26,520 --> 00:07:28,680 Speaker 3: going to take some time to play out, you know, 166 00:07:28,840 --> 00:07:31,480 Speaker 3: you know, we're not quite done working through you know, 167 00:07:31,560 --> 00:07:34,480 Speaker 3: those issues, and it's hard to call whether it's at 168 00:07:34,520 --> 00:07:36,520 Speaker 3: a trough or a bottom you know, in that market 169 00:07:36,560 --> 00:07:37,200 Speaker 3: at this point. 170 00:07:37,760 --> 00:07:39,840 Speaker 1: And it's still the same trends though that we're seeing. 171 00:07:39,880 --> 00:07:42,120 Speaker 3: You know, Newer buildings in the right places are doing 172 00:07:42,200 --> 00:07:46,040 Speaker 3: just fine. Older buildings are are not doing fine. It's 173 00:07:46,040 --> 00:07:48,360 Speaker 3: pretty consistent across the US, and it's going to take 174 00:07:48,400 --> 00:07:50,080 Speaker 3: a while to play out. I don't it's not going 175 00:07:50,160 --> 00:07:52,480 Speaker 3: to be done in the next quarter or two. And 176 00:07:52,560 --> 00:07:54,280 Speaker 3: for us, you know, we've got you know, we've got 177 00:07:54,440 --> 00:07:57,800 Speaker 3: a high allowance for coverage you know, coverage ratio in 178 00:07:57,840 --> 00:08:00,920 Speaker 3: the credit book there in the in those institutions office properties, 179 00:08:01,200 --> 00:08:03,600 Speaker 3: so we're really prepared for it. And it's for the 180 00:08:03,640 --> 00:08:06,240 Speaker 3: most part, i'd say, kind of within the expectations that 181 00:08:06,280 --> 00:08:09,720 Speaker 3: we had for it, but it's still it's still not 182 00:08:09,840 --> 00:08:12,560 Speaker 3: quite turning yet in terms of getting better for the 183 00:08:12,600 --> 00:08:13,880 Speaker 3: properties that are most stressed. 184 00:08:14,240 --> 00:08:15,760 Speaker 4: And Mike, we really appreciate it. It was fun to 185 00:08:15,760 --> 00:08:17,680 Speaker 4: get your time today. Thank you so much. We'll get 186 00:08:17,680 --> 00:08:19,720 Speaker 4: you on the next quarter on Mike. Santa Messimo, a 187 00:08:19,840 --> 00:08:21,680 Speaker 4: CFO over at Wells Fargo,