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Speaker 1: The most valuable commandity I know of his information.

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Speaker 2: Wouldn't you agree A five dollars? This is a rat up?

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Speaker 1: How about a chaple ship one? Man, you're saying that

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Speaker 1: humans need fantasy to make life bearable, humans need fantasy

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Speaker 1: to beat human My goodness, I misspeak.

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Speaker 2: I suppose the best, relentless refusing to give up.

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Speaker 1: All right, hit that horn, very bless there.

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Speaker 2: Put up, everybody, and welcome to the week eighteen Fantasy

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Speaker 2: Flex Crops podcast presented by Prize Picks. I am your host,

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Speaker 2: Chris Raybond, joined as always by my dude, Sean Kerner, the.

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Speaker 1: Top ten most accurate analyst.

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Speaker 2: Sean Kerner, Congratulations for the first time in four years,

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Speaker 2: you dusted me like I think I had you.

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Speaker 1: No.

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Speaker 2: Two years in a row, I beat you by one

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Speaker 2: spot and this time I just got off a little

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Speaker 2: too aggressive coming down the stretch.

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Speaker 1: But you know, he went semmy wisdom.

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Speaker 2: But congratulations in this amazing in this like really difficult

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Speaker 2: season too.

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Speaker 1: It's really a great accomplishment, man.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I appreciate it. I'm glad to be back in

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Speaker 3: the Talk ten. I think it's been a couple of

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Speaker 3: years since I've been there, so it's good to remember

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Speaker 3: that my projections can be good sometimes. And yeah, I agree.

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Speaker 3: It was a really tough season. I mean, every time

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Speaker 3: we're doing this pod, we're running who's playing and all

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Speaker 3: this stuff. So a huge shout out to friend of

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Speaker 3: the pod Jeff Ratcliffe, who tack it down this year.

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Speaker 3: Just a really incredible feet. It's so hard to win,

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Speaker 3: you know, this year there was like one hundred and

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Speaker 3: seventy three, two hundred experts. Like, let me tell you people,

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Speaker 3: it's really hard to do good in this contest because

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Speaker 3: everybody in it, we all respect and you know, they

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Speaker 3: work hard. So just taking it down is just a

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Speaker 3: massive accomplishment. It's a huge shot to our boy, Jeff Ratcliffe.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, congrat Jeff. He's a great dude.

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Speaker 2: Like I got a chance to spend time with him

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Speaker 2: at you know, we used to go to those fantasy conferences.

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Speaker 2: Haven't been to one in a couple of years, you know,

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Speaker 2: get to COVID and whatnot.

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Speaker 1: But yeah, great, great dude.

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Speaker 2: Ye, But yeah, congress to you, Congress to him, Congress

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Speaker 2: to everybody else that finished you know highly and where

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Speaker 2: they wanted to for this pod. This is week seventy. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: let me SAYCD for this pod. We got a really

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Speaker 2: great pod here. So Week eighteen is one of the

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Speaker 2: best prop betting weeks, probably the best, I would say,

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Speaker 2: oh here, yeah, the best so, and that's because there

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Speaker 2: are player incentives and milestones and all these things.

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Speaker 1: So what we're gonna do is we're gonna go through

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Speaker 1: the normal pod.

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Speaker 2: We're gonna have the you know, the showdown breakdown for

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Speaker 2: Sunday Night, We're gonna have the our top ten, but

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Speaker 2: at the end we'll spend some extra time going through

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Speaker 2: some other incentives that we are in, Milestones that we're

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Speaker 2: aware of that could impact the prop betting market that

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Speaker 2: you can look out for if we didn't cover them

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Speaker 2: in our top ten. So be sure to stick around

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Speaker 2: for that because I think it's going to be valuable

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Speaker 2: information here. There's just so many moving parts and things

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Speaker 2: that could happen that you know, especially if you like

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Speaker 2: overs too, because this is you know, it's the over

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Speaker 2: week as well, because guys are aiming for those incentives.

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Speaker 1: So really really great prop betting weeks. So a lot

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Speaker 1: to cover.

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Speaker 2: Let's get into it with the showdown slate for Sunday Night.

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Speaker 2: We got the Chargers at the Raiders a battle for

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Speaker 2: the what looks like a playoff spot, and it looks

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Speaker 2: like the sole playoff spot, you know, between these two teams,

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Speaker 2: with Kansas City already in Denver, already eliminated. So but

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Speaker 2: I will say this, Sean Stuck, you put me onto

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Speaker 2: a pretty hilarious potential scenario.

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Speaker 1: So if the Colts.

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Speaker 2: Lose, I believe that the Raiders and Chargers could both

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Speaker 2: get in if they tie, regardless of what happens at

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Speaker 2: Pittsburgh Baltimore. So like there can be a situation where

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Speaker 2: if the Coats get upset, these teams could just kneel

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Speaker 2: down for sixty minutes.

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Speaker 3: That's not gonna happen. The Colts are just gonna give

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Speaker 3: Jonathan Hillery the ball until the game was sealed. Like

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Speaker 3: there's no way, right, I mean, so, so you know,

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Speaker 3: clip this later when the Colts lose because Carson wentz

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Speaker 3: through another left handed pick six or something. But yeah,

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Speaker 3: that would be hilarious though, Like the NFL would love it,

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Speaker 3: I'm sure, But I just don't think there's any way

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Speaker 3: the Colts falter here against the Jaguars. I mean, you've

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Speaker 3: been watching as many Jaguar games as me, right, Like yeah, oh,

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Speaker 3: they are just awful, So yeah, show up. I think

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Speaker 3: they'll show up this week.

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Speaker 2: I don't think this is the week with you know,

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Speaker 2: kind of off topic, but kind of on topic, I guess,

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Speaker 2: because still betting is prop betting and all that. But

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Speaker 2: like the teams with nothing to play for tend to

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Speaker 2: show up like this week.

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Speaker 1: So it's like, will the Coats cover there? What is it?

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Speaker 1: Sixteen fifteen and a half spread?

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Speaker 2: And probably not, you know, so you know it could

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Speaker 2: be tougher, but yeah, we'll talk about Taylor. But yeah,

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Speaker 2: I just wanted to throw that out there at this

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Speaker 2: cos a wonky game. But now they both of these

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Speaker 2: teams should be playing hard, should be for one playoff

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Speaker 2: spot here? So who do you like in the captain

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Speaker 2: spot so.

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Speaker 3: You know the Chargers have all the options, you know,

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Speaker 3: justin Herbert Keenan Allen. I think you know, the sneaky

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Speaker 3: play here would be Mike Williams. You know, he certainly

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Speaker 3: has more touch on upside than Keenan Allen, So one

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Speaker 3: game site like this, I think Mike Williams is probably

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Speaker 3: my captain play. Also, you know Austin Eckler, this is

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Speaker 3: a spot where they can lean on him heavily. It

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Speaker 3: seems like they've been limiting his rush attempts all season,

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Speaker 3: so this is a spot we could see fifteen plus

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Speaker 3: carries from him, and of course you know his receiving usage.

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Speaker 3: So I think Mike Williams and Austin Eckler are the

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Speaker 3: guys minchan on the charter side. And also, you know

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Speaker 3: the Raiders, they have two players I think are probably

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Speaker 3: gonna be under roster and the captain slot. The first

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Speaker 3: is Josh Jacobs. You know, this is essentially a playoff

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Speaker 3: game if you know, the Jaguars lose to the Colts,

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Speaker 3: so you know, I could see them lean on jo

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Speaker 3: Josh Jacobs heavily here. And you know the Chargers ranked

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Speaker 3: dead last and run de way, so this is a

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Speaker 3: great matchup for Jacobs. He's really the true workhorse back

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Speaker 3: for the Raiders right now. He's had four plus catches

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Speaker 3: in six of the past nine games. Uh, so there's

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Speaker 3: no reason not to like Josh Jacobs here. So I

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Speaker 3: think he could be seated the captain slot and we'll

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Speaker 3: have to see what's up with Darren Waller. He could

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Speaker 3: return here. You know, even if he's not one hundred

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Speaker 3: percent like he has you know, captain like upside, so

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Speaker 3: he could be under rostered here. So I'll be looking

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Speaker 3: at Darren Waller as well.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Waller's interesting. You know, he did come off the

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Speaker 2: COVID list. They're saying he's gonna play and gut it

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Speaker 2: out here. Maybe he's used more as a decoy, so

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Speaker 2: maybe that opens things up more for a guy like

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Speaker 2: Renfro Again.

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Speaker 1: You know, we kind of have.

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Speaker 2: To see where where Waller's healed is at, you know,

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Speaker 2: minor the practice reports. But yeah, I like the Mike

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Speaker 2: Williams call a lot because the Raiders play the most

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Speaker 2: zone defense in the league, and Mike Williams averages two

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Speaker 2: point two yards per route against zone coverage. That's actually

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Speaker 2: more than Keenan Allen, who's at one point seven.

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Speaker 1: Four are according to Pro Football Focus.

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Speaker 2: So Mike Williams in these kind of matchups cooks and

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Speaker 2: I like Herbert as well in the spot. I think

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Speaker 2: this could be a monster Herbert game. You know, he

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Speaker 2: really rips up these you know, single high safety defenses,

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Speaker 2: and and you know the Texans a couple of weeks ago,

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Speaker 2: remember they're a too high safety look, and they upset

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Speaker 2: the Chargers, and Herbert looked sloppy, but earlier in the

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Speaker 2: year they played this this Raider team, and Herbert just cooked.

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Speaker 2: I mean, I think his final stat line with the

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Speaker 2: yardage was only like two twenty two because he didn't

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Speaker 2: they didn't they got up, but he had three touchdowns.

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Speaker 1: I think he started the game on like a completion streak.

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Speaker 2: So I think Herbert shows up here, which you know

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Speaker 2: also puts Allen obviously in the mix. But yeah, I

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Speaker 2: think that Herbert Williams stack is a good one. And

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Speaker 2: for the Raiders, yeah, I agree. I think it's it's

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Speaker 2: it's Josh Jacobs. I mean, they have to lead on

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Speaker 2: him regardless. I don't think they want car throwing it

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Speaker 2: up a ton in this kind of game, just because

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Speaker 2: I think the Chargers offense is gonna have six so

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Speaker 2: they're probably gonna want to kind of womit that by

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Speaker 2: like keeping Jacobs on the field and running the ball

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Speaker 2: and bleeding the clock.

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Speaker 1: What about for you DFSG codes.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, so for the cheat coos, you know, it's gonna

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Speaker 3: be guys just slightly under the radar. So on the

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Speaker 3: charter side, I'm still trying to figure out which one

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Speaker 3: of these two will have more exposure to. But you know,

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Speaker 3: a guy like Jalen Giton or Josh Palmer, like, either

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Speaker 3: one of those guys can make a huge catch here

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Speaker 3: and break the slate, So I think those are the

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Speaker 3: guys they'll be king on it. Like you said, Justin

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Speaker 3: Herbert tears up zone. I have like in my spreadsheet

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Speaker 3: which guys excel better against manvers zone and like all

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Speaker 3: the charges are bright green, So that just tells me

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Speaker 3: that it's really Justin Herbert that tears it up. So

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Speaker 3: you know, like Giton, he's certainly benefiting matchups like this.

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Speaker 3: So I might have more shares of Guidon, but either

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Speaker 3: one of those receivers I think is in play. We'll

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Speaker 3: have to see what's up with the tight ends. But yeah,

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Speaker 3: like Jared Cook is certainly in play. But you know

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Speaker 3: these one game slates, the Trey mckitti's and Steven Anderson's

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Speaker 3: of the world are also in play, so you know

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Speaker 3: those are guys will be key.

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Speaker 1: On as well.

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Speaker 3: The Raiders. It's it's too top heavy, so you know

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Speaker 3: a guy like hunch Renfro, like like you said, if

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Speaker 3: Darren Waller is active, maybe Renfro's you know, roster ship

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Speaker 3: is down, and that's gonna, you know, be like a

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Speaker 3: Bilo opportunity on him, kind of Zay Jones loves Jay Jones.

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Speaker 3: But you know, there isn't too many under the Raider guys.

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Speaker 3: Like I said, there's both these teams are kind of

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Speaker 3: top heavy, so I'm probably just sticking with you know, Waller,

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Speaker 3: renfro Jacobs on the Raiders side. But on the Chargers side,

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Speaker 3: I think the cheek coats are these Ancillayer receivers h

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Speaker 3: Palmer and Geiton.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, and specifically Geyton, I think because so I'm looking

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Speaker 2: at the yards per route versus you know, zone versus

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Speaker 2: man this year, Geyton has one point five versus zone

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Speaker 2: and point five versus man. But Palmer he has just

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Speaker 2: azo point nine to eight versus zone, one point eight

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Speaker 2: versus man, so he's doubly good against man coverage.

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Speaker 1: So it seems like.

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Speaker 2: Geyton, you know, is that guy that when they when

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Speaker 2: they get those zone coverages, He's the guy that kind

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Speaker 2: of steps up a little more. So of those two,

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Speaker 2: I really like Geiton and then yeah, Jared Cook, I

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Speaker 2: think remember the first matchup, the Chargers so used the

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Speaker 2: tight end a ton in that match. I think I think,

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Speaker 2: like all I think they had three different tight ends

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Speaker 2: catch a touchdown, if I'm not mistaken, was one of them. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: I believe Parham, Anderson and uh and Cook each caught touchdowns.

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Speaker 2: Let me double check that, but yeah, it was. It

220
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Speaker 2: was a big day for their tight ends. Let's see

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Speaker 2: they had Yeah, Cook got one, Parham got one, and

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Speaker 2: oh no an Ekwa got one. So Anderson didn't get

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Speaker 2: but Anderson got a thirty four yard catch. So of

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Speaker 2: course the tight ends were heavily involved in that game

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Speaker 2: plan there. And uh, yeah, Allan only had thirty six

226
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Speaker 2: yards on seven catches and eleven targets.

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Speaker 1: Mike Williams only had.

228
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Speaker 2: One catch on a on a four targets for eleven yards.

229
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Speaker 2: I still like Williams, but yeah, it's it could be

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Speaker 2: a tight end heavy game plan for the Chargers in

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Speaker 2: this one.

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Speaker 1: So I like that one.

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Speaker 3: But about DeShawn Jackson, like it, nothing stands out here.

234
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Speaker 3: Obviously he's always in play for a big touchdown, but

235
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Speaker 3: it seems like the Chargers are more willing to concede,

236
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Speaker 3: you know, rushing yards of Josh Shakos than they are

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Speaker 3: allowing a deep ball to DeShawn Jackson. Right, this isn't

238
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Speaker 3: a good spot for him.

239
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Speaker 2: I mean, if the Charges defense looks like it had

240
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Speaker 2: some of these last few weeks, true, yeah, maybe, but

241
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Speaker 2: you know they're they're kind of their seventeenth and deep

242
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Speaker 2: past DVOA, so it's not been you know, really bad.

243
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Speaker 2: It's it's been kind of average, not as good as

244
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Speaker 2: they would like I would. I don't mind Jackson because

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Speaker 2: like you said, there aren't many options on the Raiders.

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Speaker 1: I think they will be very.

247
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Speaker 2: Popular as that kind of cheapest option on the Raiders.

248
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Speaker 2: So uh, Brian Edwards, I mean, his snaps are down,

249
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Speaker 2: you can't really trust him. They just he just doesn't

250
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Speaker 2: get separation, and so that kind of leaves Jackson as

251
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Speaker 2: the only other guy, especially if you know Waller's going

252
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Speaker 2: to come back, really gonna be able to use Foster Moreau.

253
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Speaker 2: So yeah, I think Jackson's he's that one guy any

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Speaker 2: showdown Slate, I think you can exactly Jackson yeap, and

255
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Speaker 2: who knows what his I mean he signed mid season,

256
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Speaker 2: so they're probably not but who knows what his contract

257
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Speaker 2: incentives are. I haven't seen anything, but wouldn't you know

258
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Speaker 2: veteran like that, you wouldn't be surprised if if he

259
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Speaker 2: had a Litow extra incentive there, So yeah, I like

260
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Speaker 2: that Deshaun call. All Right, let's get into our top

261
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Speaker 2: ten props of the week. Sean start us off with quarterback, so.

262
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Speaker 3: I'm sticking with my Taylor Heineke under two hundred and

263
00:12:33,760 --> 00:12:37,080
Speaker 3: a half passing yards against the Giants. You know, passing

264
00:12:37,160 --> 00:12:39,400
Speaker 3: yard props can be tricky because you know there's such

265
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Speaker 3: a wide range of outcomes compared to rushing props or

266
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Speaker 3: receiving props. So I'm looking for any edge I can.

267
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Speaker 3: And when an in game benching is a real possibility,

268
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Speaker 3: and by say real, I mean like just five to

269
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Speaker 3: ten percent chance Kyle Allen might play some in the

270
00:12:54,040 --> 00:12:57,360
Speaker 3: fourth quarter, you know that that offers some edge for

271
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Speaker 3: you know, taking the under here. And you know, even

272
00:13:00,640 --> 00:13:03,720
Speaker 3: if Heineke plays the entire game, he's gone under this

273
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Speaker 3: number in three of the past four games. You know,

274
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Speaker 3: the football team is a very run heavy team. They're

275
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Speaker 3: facing the Giants who are being forced to start Jake

276
00:13:10,920 --> 00:13:13,280
Speaker 3: from here, so Heineke might not have to throw that

277
00:13:13,360 --> 00:13:16,040
Speaker 3: much in order to win. So there's multiple angles why

278
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Speaker 3: I like this, But just the chances of Kyle Allen

279
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Speaker 3: getting some playing time in this really you know, lowers

280
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Speaker 3: his floor, but I understand there's some incentives I need

281
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Speaker 3: to worry about when it comes to Heineke.

282
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Speaker 2: Yeah, so my understanding is that if he plays sixty

283
00:13:31,440 --> 00:13:33,880
Speaker 2: percent of snaps in his game and gets a win,

284
00:13:34,679 --> 00:13:36,640
Speaker 2: he unlocks some contract incentives.

285
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Speaker 1: So I think, you know, at least he's going to

286
00:13:38,200 --> 00:13:38,960
Speaker 1: be incentivized.

287
00:13:39,320 --> 00:13:41,760
Speaker 2: Yeah, and they shouldn't have a problem winning this game,

288
00:13:41,920 --> 00:13:44,920
Speaker 2: you know, given Jake Framas starting. But it is something

289
00:13:44,960 --> 00:13:46,280
Speaker 2: to kind of keep in mind here. But you know,

290
00:13:46,400 --> 00:13:47,800
Speaker 2: they might you know, like you said, they might pull

291
00:13:47,880 --> 00:13:49,560
Speaker 2: him in the fourth. He only needs sixty percent, so

292
00:13:50,920 --> 00:13:54,000
Speaker 2: it's it's not a major concern. It's in all likelihood.

293
00:13:54,080 --> 00:13:57,120
Speaker 1: I think we do see some Kyle Outen, you know,

294
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Speaker 1: to close out the year.

295
00:13:58,440 --> 00:14:01,439
Speaker 3: Yeah, so the incentives aren't great for me. But still,

296
00:14:01,480 --> 00:14:04,680
Speaker 3: like you said, if he plays three quarters day lean on,

297
00:14:04,920 --> 00:14:08,520
Speaker 3: Antonio Gibson, Jared Patterson, you know, run heavy game plan,

298
00:14:08,600 --> 00:14:10,720
Speaker 3: they go up twenty nothing, it's the fourth quarter, Like,

299
00:14:10,760 --> 00:14:12,760
Speaker 3: I don't expect the Giants to put up many points.

300
00:14:12,800 --> 00:14:15,640
Speaker 3: Like he could hit his incentive and I hit this prop.

301
00:14:15,679 --> 00:14:17,960
Speaker 3: So I think it's it's gonna be a win win situation.

302
00:14:19,480 --> 00:14:22,800
Speaker 2: Yeah, Uh yeah, I mean this, if they don't win

303
00:14:22,840 --> 00:14:24,440
Speaker 2: the game, that would I mean it would be great,

304
00:14:24,520 --> 00:14:25,960
Speaker 2: it would that would be the only thing that would

305
00:14:26,000 --> 00:14:28,360
Speaker 2: kind of mess it up if they're like trailing, But

306
00:14:28,440 --> 00:14:32,080
Speaker 2: I I doubt that. I think they're really motivated. Yeah,

307
00:14:32,320 --> 00:14:33,680
Speaker 2: you know after Joe Judge made.

308
00:14:33,600 --> 00:14:36,640
Speaker 3: It ever, Jake Crumb got benched for Mike Lennon for

309
00:14:36,680 --> 00:14:38,320
Speaker 3: twenty four yards last week.

310
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Speaker 2: Yes, yeah, Like I saw the stat line and I

311
00:14:41,160 --> 00:14:43,680
Speaker 2: was like thinking something was missing from my data. Like

312
00:14:43,680 --> 00:14:46,000
Speaker 2: I thought, like the Giants use another quarterback for the rest,

313
00:14:46,600 --> 00:14:49,160
Speaker 2: And I was just like, wait, no, it's just it

314
00:14:49,240 --> 00:14:51,160
Speaker 2: was just all good ad it because like usually you

315
00:14:51,240 --> 00:14:52,760
Speaker 2: het like both of them come in. It's like every

316
00:14:53,000 --> 00:14:54,840
Speaker 2: I'm watching these games, and it's just like, you know,

317
00:14:54,880 --> 00:14:56,840
Speaker 2: they're both in there, and I'm like, wait, where's Jake

318
00:14:56,920 --> 00:14:57,880
Speaker 2: from game.

319
00:14:57,720 --> 00:14:59,960
Speaker 3: Wise, I did the same thing, like I was importing

320
00:15:00,120 --> 00:15:02,080
Speaker 3: data and I was like, wait, that's an error and

321
00:15:02,120 --> 00:15:05,520
Speaker 3: I looked and Nope, that's correct. Twenty seven yards. So yeah,

322
00:15:05,560 --> 00:15:07,920
Speaker 3: like the Giants could be you know, helping the football

323
00:15:07,960 --> 00:15:10,040
Speaker 3: team run out the clock too here, So that's only

324
00:15:10,000 --> 00:15:11,120
Speaker 3: gonna help the proper even more.

325
00:15:12,560 --> 00:15:14,920
Speaker 2: From my quarterback prop, I'm going with Justin Herbert over

326
00:15:14,920 --> 00:15:17,040
Speaker 2: two hundred and sixty five and a half passing yards.

327
00:15:17,200 --> 00:15:19,000
Speaker 2: I know he didn't clear it in the first matchup

328
00:15:19,000 --> 00:15:21,720
Speaker 2: against the Raiders, but he has done so in ten

329
00:15:21,760 --> 00:15:24,440
Speaker 2: of sixteen games this year. And as I mentioned, he

330
00:15:24,560 --> 00:15:28,920
Speaker 2: kills these non cover two defenses. He's great against zone defenses.

331
00:15:29,880 --> 00:15:33,880
Speaker 2: He averages over a yard per attempt more against zone defenses.

332
00:15:33,920 --> 00:15:37,040
Speaker 2: So in this you know, playoff kind of environment here,

333
00:15:37,480 --> 00:15:39,240
Speaker 2: I think he is a good bet to go over.

334
00:15:39,280 --> 00:15:41,480
Speaker 2: Just remember Keenan Allen and Mike Williams combined for just

335
00:15:41,520 --> 00:15:45,640
Speaker 2: forty seven yards in the first matchup between these two teams.

336
00:15:45,800 --> 00:15:46,960
Speaker 1: I think that's an outlier.

337
00:15:47,120 --> 00:15:49,960
Speaker 2: So you give them their normal, even anything close to

338
00:15:50,000 --> 00:15:53,120
Speaker 2: their normal averages, and I think Herbert goes over because

339
00:15:53,160 --> 00:15:55,360
Speaker 2: I think he's going to be very efficient against this

340
00:15:55,480 --> 00:15:58,120
Speaker 2: Raider d So going justin Herbert over two hundred and

341
00:15:58,120 --> 00:16:00,080
Speaker 2: sixty five and a half passing.

342
00:16:00,520 --> 00:16:02,880
Speaker 3: Yeah, this one stood out as well. Like his market

343
00:16:02,880 --> 00:16:05,360
Speaker 3: has been in this range the past couple weeks. Week sixteen,

344
00:16:06,040 --> 00:16:08,320
Speaker 3: it dropped to two sixty five because Key and Allen

345
00:16:09,000 --> 00:16:12,040
Speaker 3: was out, and then last week they were facing you know,

346
00:16:12,200 --> 00:16:14,720
Speaker 3: Drew Locke and missing two of his top receivers, so

347
00:16:14,760 --> 00:16:18,000
Speaker 3: they were favored to win that game pretty significantly, So

348
00:16:18,120 --> 00:16:20,360
Speaker 3: like this week, it should be up closer that two

349
00:16:20,400 --> 00:16:22,680
Speaker 3: seventy five two eighty yards that were used to projecting

350
00:16:22,760 --> 00:16:25,360
Speaker 3: him in a must win game. So yeah, this this

351
00:16:25,480 --> 00:16:27,160
Speaker 3: stuck out to me as well, just being too long.

352
00:16:27,160 --> 00:16:29,440
Speaker 3: I'm projecting him closer like two to eighty.

353
00:16:30,160 --> 00:16:32,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, I haven't even a little higher than that, just

354
00:16:32,200 --> 00:16:34,480
Speaker 2: just for the matchup. Yeah, but yeah, I think it's

355
00:16:34,480 --> 00:16:37,480
Speaker 2: even average about two eighty nine. So he's he's been uh,

356
00:16:37,520 --> 00:16:41,160
Speaker 2: he's been effective. Yeah, all right, we're going for your

357
00:16:41,360 --> 00:16:42,600
Speaker 2: first running back prop.

358
00:16:42,960 --> 00:16:44,680
Speaker 3: So I'm going on the other side in this game.

359
00:16:44,800 --> 00:16:47,080
Speaker 3: I'm going with Josh Jacobs over fifteen and a half

360
00:16:47,240 --> 00:16:50,480
Speaker 3: rushing yards against the Chargers. So the Chargers, you know,

361
00:16:50,520 --> 00:16:53,440
Speaker 3: the run defense ranks dead last in d DOA. They

362
00:16:53,560 --> 00:16:55,880
Speaker 3: practically invite the run. And you know, I think the

363
00:16:55,920 --> 00:16:57,960
Speaker 3: Raiders are going to lean on Josh Jacobs here because

364
00:16:58,000 --> 00:17:00,240
Speaker 3: this is essentially a playoffs game. There's no he's the

365
00:17:00,240 --> 00:17:03,320
Speaker 3: whole back right now, and you know he's been their

366
00:17:03,360 --> 00:17:05,439
Speaker 3: clear workhorse back, you.

367
00:17:05,480 --> 00:17:06,159
Speaker 1: Know, all season.

368
00:17:06,280 --> 00:17:08,240
Speaker 3: So this is a game where I would not be

369
00:17:08,320 --> 00:17:12,159
Speaker 3: surprised if he sees twenty plus rush attempts. Just fifty

370
00:17:12,280 --> 00:17:15,199
Speaker 3: yards is too low most of the time. The Chargers

371
00:17:15,200 --> 00:17:18,240
Speaker 3: have allowed sixteen different running backs this season a top

372
00:17:18,280 --> 00:17:20,240
Speaker 3: fifty yards, so this is just a no brainer bet

373
00:17:20,280 --> 00:17:23,919
Speaker 3: for me. I'm projecting Jacob's closer to sixty five, and

374
00:17:23,960 --> 00:17:25,520
Speaker 3: I just think he has really high flour here. So

375
00:17:25,600 --> 00:17:27,359
Speaker 3: Love is over fifteen and a half rushing.

376
00:17:27,119 --> 00:17:30,160
Speaker 2: Yards, yeah, I mean running backs against the Chargers. He's

377
00:17:30,160 --> 00:17:32,240
Speaker 2: just it's kind of like an auto play at this point.

378
00:17:32,760 --> 00:17:35,240
Speaker 2: The only thing that really hurt could hurt Jacobs is

379
00:17:35,280 --> 00:17:38,560
Speaker 2: if they get down in the game quickly, which you know,

380
00:17:38,560 --> 00:17:41,000
Speaker 2: always a possibility. But even with that, I mean then

381
00:17:41,080 --> 00:17:43,479
Speaker 2: he'll probably just get some some easy, like you know,

382
00:17:43,640 --> 00:17:47,240
Speaker 2: eight yard d play type situations because you know, they're

383
00:17:47,240 --> 00:17:49,520
Speaker 2: not really playing the guys behind him too much anymore.

384
00:17:49,560 --> 00:17:52,160
Speaker 1: They're giving him a lot of snaps nowadays with Drake out.

385
00:17:53,240 --> 00:17:56,200
Speaker 2: For my running back prop, let's go with my guy,

386
00:17:56,240 --> 00:17:59,760
Speaker 2: Rex Burkhead over forty and a half rushing yards against

387
00:17:59,720 --> 00:18:02,359
Speaker 2: the Titans. He's been over this in each of the

388
00:18:02,440 --> 00:18:05,800
Speaker 2: last three games, and I'm starting to think I know why.

389
00:18:06,359 --> 00:18:07,000
Speaker 1: You know, the.

390
00:18:06,920 --> 00:18:11,119
Speaker 2: Texans obviously bad team, but team with a lot of veterans,

391
00:18:11,280 --> 00:18:15,200
Speaker 2: you know, more than typical for a kind of bottom

392
00:18:15,240 --> 00:18:18,479
Speaker 2: feeding team that's in rebuild mode. Rex Burkhead being one

393
00:18:18,520 --> 00:18:21,520
Speaker 2: of those guys. He gets one hundred and twenty five

394
00:18:21,600 --> 00:18:24,960
Speaker 2: thousand dollars contract incentive. So Rex Burkhead needs one hundred

395
00:18:25,000 --> 00:18:28,240
Speaker 2: and three total yards to unlock a one to twenty

396
00:18:28,240 --> 00:18:30,800
Speaker 2: five k contract incentive. And he's also just playing for

397
00:18:30,800 --> 00:18:33,800
Speaker 2: his next contract, you know, in the week. So I

398
00:18:33,840 --> 00:18:36,960
Speaker 2: think it's no coincidence that he's gotten over this number

399
00:18:37,280 --> 00:18:39,359
Speaker 2: each of the last three games. Despite this, you know

400
00:18:39,400 --> 00:18:42,760
Speaker 2: team obviously not a very good run blocking team, you know,

401
00:18:42,840 --> 00:18:44,679
Speaker 2: but they're just kind of feeding him. And I've been

402
00:18:44,680 --> 00:18:46,400
Speaker 2: pointing that out these last few weeks on the pod,

403
00:18:46,440 --> 00:18:48,359
Speaker 2: and I think it continues here. You know, this is

404
00:18:48,400 --> 00:18:51,120
Speaker 2: Houston's Super Bowl. I think they have a good shot at,

405
00:18:51,400 --> 00:18:54,359
Speaker 2: you know, making things tough for Tennessee. Remember last year,

406
00:18:54,560 --> 00:18:57,159
Speaker 2: Tennessee had a muscle win against the Texans and Watson

407
00:18:57,240 --> 00:19:00,159
Speaker 2: I believe, was playing, and they they Texans got a

408
00:19:00,480 --> 00:19:03,080
Speaker 2: and force the Titans to kind of play comeback mode

409
00:19:03,359 --> 00:19:04,960
Speaker 2: the whole game, and it was like a forty one

410
00:19:05,000 --> 00:19:07,720
Speaker 2: to thirty eight game. So I think you could see

411
00:19:07,760 --> 00:19:10,919
Speaker 2: really crazy things happen in this Houston Tennessee matchup.

412
00:19:10,920 --> 00:19:13,720
Speaker 1: It happens every year. So either way, I think they

413
00:19:13,720 --> 00:19:15,080
Speaker 1: feed Burkhead and get him over.

414
00:19:15,520 --> 00:19:17,639
Speaker 2: Try to get him close to that one hundred and

415
00:19:17,640 --> 00:19:20,840
Speaker 2: three total yards, which means in all likelihood.

416
00:19:20,480 --> 00:19:23,280
Speaker 1: He gets over forty and a half rushing yards.

417
00:19:23,280 --> 00:19:25,960
Speaker 2: So like the Burkhead over for the four straight game,

418
00:19:26,040 --> 00:19:27,320
Speaker 2: I think he goes over this number.

419
00:19:27,960 --> 00:19:28,240
Speaker 1: Yeah.

420
00:19:28,280 --> 00:19:30,920
Speaker 3: So, I mean, you've been the Birkhead whisper for over

421
00:19:30,960 --> 00:19:33,000
Speaker 3: a month now, seams, so I'm not gonna argue here.

422
00:19:33,040 --> 00:19:34,760
Speaker 3: If he does hit this, you have to buy a

423
00:19:34,880 --> 00:19:38,000
Speaker 3: Rex Burkhead jersey with your winnings, right Like, you have

424
00:19:38,080 --> 00:19:40,240
Speaker 3: to promise me that you have to because you've been

425
00:19:40,280 --> 00:19:42,280
Speaker 3: calling it. He's been tearing it up. So yeah, I'm

426
00:19:42,280 --> 00:19:44,280
Speaker 3: not going to debate over forty and a half rushing

427
00:19:44,320 --> 00:19:47,200
Speaker 3: yard seems easy in this spot. Should be a locked

428
00:19:47,200 --> 00:19:50,040
Speaker 3: for fifteen plus carries, right Yeah at this point to

429
00:19:50,080 --> 00:19:52,280
Speaker 3: be he doesn't have to be that efficient to clear it.

430
00:19:52,320 --> 00:19:55,000
Speaker 2: So yeah, very high for I've been looking for a

431
00:19:55,000 --> 00:19:56,760
Speaker 2: new Texans jury. It's one of the few teams I

432
00:19:56,760 --> 00:19:58,439
Speaker 2: don't have a jersey for. I had my eye like

433
00:19:58,440 --> 00:20:02,159
Speaker 2: a JJ Watt, you know, but I mean, hey, you

434
00:20:02,240 --> 00:20:05,000
Speaker 2: got to go to Birthad why you could can't do

435
00:20:05,040 --> 00:20:08,639
Speaker 2: the Watson after what happened, So no you can't. I

436
00:20:08,720 --> 00:20:13,240
Speaker 2: mean you can probably can'tl them. Right, let's go it's that.

437
00:20:13,640 --> 00:20:15,160
Speaker 2: Let's your second running back prop.

438
00:20:15,480 --> 00:20:18,119
Speaker 3: So I'm going Devin Singletary over fifty nine and a

439
00:20:18,160 --> 00:20:21,200
Speaker 3: half rushing yards against the Jets, so you know he's

440
00:20:21,200 --> 00:20:23,600
Speaker 3: the clearer lead back for the Bills. He said his

441
00:20:23,680 --> 00:20:26,840
Speaker 3: career high in rush attempts in week fifteen with twenty two,

442
00:20:27,480 --> 00:20:30,000
Speaker 3: only to top that again last week with twenty three

443
00:20:30,040 --> 00:20:33,159
Speaker 3: carries against the Falcons. So they're clearly leaning on Singletary

444
00:20:33,520 --> 00:20:35,600
Speaker 3: heading into the playoffs. This is a matchup where they're

445
00:20:35,600 --> 00:20:38,040
Speaker 3: going to lean on him again against the Jets. And

446
00:20:38,119 --> 00:20:41,080
Speaker 3: I'm hearing that there could be inclement weather in Buffalo,

447
00:20:41,119 --> 00:20:43,520
Speaker 3: so I'm not factoring that in I projecting this early,

448
00:20:43,560 --> 00:20:46,000
Speaker 3: but that's only going to help. So right now, you know,

449
00:20:46,040 --> 00:20:48,920
Speaker 3: I'm projecting Singletary closer to sixty seven and a half

450
00:20:49,000 --> 00:20:51,199
Speaker 3: rushing yards, but that would only go up if you

451
00:20:51,200 --> 00:20:53,239
Speaker 3: know weather is going to be concerned and they're going

452
00:20:53,280 --> 00:20:54,800
Speaker 3: to lean on the run a bit more. They did

453
00:20:54,880 --> 00:20:57,719
Speaker 3: that last week with the snowy conditions against the Falcons.

454
00:20:57,800 --> 00:21:00,800
Speaker 3: So again, this is another great spot for Singletary to

455
00:21:00,840 --> 00:21:01,879
Speaker 3: go over as rushing.

456
00:21:01,640 --> 00:21:04,080
Speaker 1: Prope and this could be a win game.

457
00:21:04,160 --> 00:21:07,800
Speaker 2: You know, it might not end up raining, but there

458
00:21:07,880 --> 00:21:10,240
Speaker 2: looks like there could be fifteen to twenty mile prow wins.

459
00:21:10,240 --> 00:21:12,600
Speaker 2: And remember how the wind affects like that passing game.

460
00:21:12,600 --> 00:21:15,199
Speaker 2: We saw that against the Patriots. Josh Allen's outside the

461
00:21:15,200 --> 00:21:18,119
Speaker 2: top twenty and adjusted a completion percentage, so he kind

462
00:21:18,160 --> 00:21:20,280
Speaker 2: of struggles if the balls.

463
00:21:19,960 --> 00:21:22,920
Speaker 1: Can't get there where he's trying to put him. So yeah,

464
00:21:22,960 --> 00:21:24,280
Speaker 1: I do think they wait on a run. Here.

465
00:21:25,320 --> 00:21:29,520
Speaker 2: For my second running back prop, I'm going with Jonathan

466
00:21:29,560 --> 00:21:32,359
Speaker 2: Taylor over one hundred and fifteen and a half rushing

467
00:21:32,400 --> 00:21:36,560
Speaker 2: yards against the Jaguars. So Taylor needs two hundred and

468
00:21:36,560 --> 00:21:40,879
Speaker 2: sixty six for two thousand, and that's actually probably doable

469
00:21:40,920 --> 00:21:43,800
Speaker 2: for Jonathan Taylor. I mean, obviously the coach are going

470
00:21:43,880 --> 00:21:45,680
Speaker 2: to try to win the game, so you know, if

471
00:21:45,720 --> 00:21:48,760
Speaker 2: that kind of comes in between that maybe he doesn't

472
00:21:48,760 --> 00:21:51,840
Speaker 2: get it. But then winning the game is reliant on

473
00:21:51,960 --> 00:21:55,520
Speaker 2: feeding Jonathan Taylor. So the Jaguars are down at twenty

474
00:21:55,520 --> 00:21:58,440
Speaker 2: third and run defense dvaway after being pretty average most

475
00:21:58,480 --> 00:22:01,560
Speaker 2: of the year, but you know, Taylor may end up

476
00:22:01,560 --> 00:22:04,480
Speaker 2: doubling this just in pursuit of that record. He's averaging

477
00:22:04,520 --> 00:22:07,440
Speaker 2: one hundred and thirty six yards over his last eight games,

478
00:22:07,720 --> 00:22:10,359
Speaker 2: So one fifteen and a half last game of the

479
00:22:10,400 --> 00:22:13,400
Speaker 2: season outside shot at two thousand.

480
00:22:14,000 --> 00:22:15,639
Speaker 1: I think he got us bang the over here for

481
00:22:15,720 --> 00:22:17,399
Speaker 1: Johnson Taylor. Yeah, love it.

482
00:22:17,440 --> 00:22:21,480
Speaker 3: I always say bet on Jonathan Taylor over against bad teams.

483
00:22:21,520 --> 00:22:24,600
Speaker 3: And he's essentially become the new Derrick Henry over one

484
00:22:24,640 --> 00:22:27,359
Speaker 3: hundred rushing yards in each of the past four games,

485
00:22:27,400 --> 00:22:30,919
Speaker 3: with one reception total combined the past four games. So

486
00:22:31,040 --> 00:22:33,760
Speaker 3: what does Derreck Henry always do? Run all over the Jaguars?

487
00:22:33,760 --> 00:22:36,440
Speaker 3: So love it. And some of these incentives are laughable.

488
00:22:37,280 --> 00:22:41,040
Speaker 3: And his what two hundred and sixty six yards, that's

489
00:22:41,160 --> 00:22:43,800
Speaker 3: almost laughable. But not with Jonathan Taylor. He could absolutely

490
00:22:43,840 --> 00:22:46,920
Speaker 3: do that here against the Jaguars. I could see him

491
00:22:46,920 --> 00:22:49,160
Speaker 3: breaking a couple of long runs. So yeah, one fifteen

492
00:22:49,240 --> 00:22:51,480
Speaker 3: and a half does seem a bit high, but just

493
00:22:51,520 --> 00:22:54,600
Speaker 3: given the situation, it's definitely an over bet for me

494
00:22:54,640 --> 00:22:55,000
Speaker 3: as well.

495
00:22:55,480 --> 00:23:01,160
Speaker 2: And if I remember correctly, Derrick Henry in twenty twenty

496
00:23:02,160 --> 00:23:07,720
Speaker 2: came into the final game needing, he needed to twenty

497
00:23:07,800 --> 00:23:10,879
Speaker 2: three I think to get to two thousand entering the

498
00:23:10,960 --> 00:23:15,240
Speaker 2: last game. He got to fifty last this was last year. Yeah,

499
00:23:15,640 --> 00:23:19,560
Speaker 2: and the Titans needed to win the game. So yeah,

500
00:23:19,600 --> 00:23:22,639
Speaker 2: don't discount these like kind of out there records, like

501
00:23:22,640 --> 00:23:25,040
Speaker 2: you're saying, it's laughable for most people, not for the

502
00:23:25,080 --> 00:23:25,800
Speaker 2: new Derrik Hennery.

503
00:23:25,920 --> 00:23:30,000
Speaker 1: So yeah, exactly were you going with your first receiving prop?

504
00:23:30,440 --> 00:23:33,119
Speaker 3: So I'm going Justin Jefferson over seventy five and a

505
00:23:33,160 --> 00:23:36,760
Speaker 3: half receiving yards against the Bears. You know, this is

506
00:23:36,800 --> 00:23:39,560
Speaker 3: the line he had last week with Sean Mannion under center,

507
00:23:40,160 --> 00:23:42,679
Speaker 3: But with Kirk Cousins back, this should be closer to

508
00:23:43,040 --> 00:23:46,320
Speaker 3: you know, the low nineties. You know, he's average one

509
00:23:46,400 --> 00:23:48,560
Speaker 3: hundred and two yards in a three game stretch without

510
00:23:48,560 --> 00:23:51,919
Speaker 3: Adam Feelin. So with Kirk Cousins back under center, you know,

511
00:23:51,960 --> 00:23:53,919
Speaker 3: I'm projecting him closer to eighty eight and a half.

512
00:23:54,480 --> 00:23:57,800
Speaker 3: He doesn't really have incentives, but he's Justin Jefferson could

513
00:23:57,840 --> 00:23:59,720
Speaker 3: catch a couple of deep balls here. Like this prop

514
00:23:59,800 --> 00:24:03,240
Speaker 3: is just a bit too low, and this seems like

515
00:24:03,240 --> 00:24:05,520
Speaker 3: a spillover of last week's prop with Shan Mannion. So

516
00:24:05,760 --> 00:24:07,240
Speaker 3: I don't know why they didn't adjust it up, but

517
00:24:07,560 --> 00:24:10,360
Speaker 3: this seems, you know, fifteen yards too low?

518
00:24:10,440 --> 00:24:13,720
Speaker 2: Right now, the Bear's Bay man coverage at a top

519
00:24:13,800 --> 00:24:17,960
Speaker 2: five rate. Justin Jefferson is sixth of one hundred and

520
00:24:17,960 --> 00:24:21,600
Speaker 2: three qualifiers at wide receiver with three point three five

521
00:24:21,720 --> 00:24:26,240
Speaker 2: yards per route versus man coverage. No other Vikings wide

522
00:24:26,240 --> 00:24:29,320
Speaker 2: out or tight end averages more than a yard per

523
00:24:29,400 --> 00:24:33,120
Speaker 2: route against man coverage. So Justin Jefferson averages more than

524
00:24:33,160 --> 00:24:36,160
Speaker 2: three times as many yards per route as any other

525
00:24:36,240 --> 00:24:39,080
Speaker 2: Vikings wide receiver a tight end against man coverage, which

526
00:24:39,080 --> 00:24:41,680
Speaker 2: the Bears play at the top five rate. So yeah,

527
00:24:41,720 --> 00:24:43,600
Speaker 2: this is this is this could be one of those

528
00:24:43,640 --> 00:24:46,320
Speaker 2: stat padding games, Yes, Justin Jefferson.

529
00:24:46,480 --> 00:24:46,680
Speaker 1: Yep.

530
00:24:47,520 --> 00:24:50,840
Speaker 2: For my first receiving prop talk about stat Paddy, We

531
00:24:50,920 --> 00:24:53,720
Speaker 2: got to go with Cooper Cup here over one hundred

532
00:24:53,720 --> 00:24:58,280
Speaker 2: and twenty and a half receiving yards against San Francisco. Remember,

533
00:24:58,320 --> 00:25:00,000
Speaker 2: he needs one hundred and thirty six to break Calvin

534
00:25:00,160 --> 00:25:04,040
Speaker 2: Johnson's record. I Ultimately he needs twelve receptions to break

535
00:25:04,040 --> 00:25:04,840
Speaker 2: the single.

536
00:25:04,560 --> 00:25:05,880
Speaker 1: Season Ryeah he needs eleven.

537
00:25:06,000 --> 00:25:08,880
Speaker 3: He needs eleven to tie Michael Thomas, twelve to break

538
00:25:08,880 --> 00:25:09,240
Speaker 3: break it.

539
00:25:09,320 --> 00:25:13,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, so twelve for one thirty six breaks both records,

540
00:25:14,560 --> 00:25:16,840
Speaker 2: and oh they're facing the forty nine ers, and I

541
00:25:16,920 --> 00:25:18,000
Speaker 2: like the forty nine ers in this game.

542
00:25:18,040 --> 00:25:19,679
Speaker 1: They're five, they're five for five in.

543
00:25:19,680 --> 00:25:24,240
Speaker 2: Their last five against the Rams in terms of winning

544
00:25:24,280 --> 00:25:27,760
Speaker 2: straight up. But the Niners allow the most scheduled adjusted

545
00:25:27,800 --> 00:25:31,480
Speaker 2: receiving yards per game to opposing number one wide receivers.

546
00:25:31,680 --> 00:25:36,439
Speaker 2: So this is the perfect matchup for Cooper Cup to

547
00:25:36,480 --> 00:25:39,439
Speaker 2: put up numbers. And remember in the first matchup against

548
00:25:39,440 --> 00:25:43,320
Speaker 2: the forty nine ers, he put up one hundred and

549
00:25:43,480 --> 00:25:50,200
Speaker 2: twenty two yards on eleven catches, so well with then reach,

550
00:25:50,200 --> 00:25:52,879
Speaker 2: he would literally need one more catch for fourteen yards

551
00:25:52,880 --> 00:25:54,480
Speaker 2: on top of what he did last game to bring

552
00:25:54,640 --> 00:25:59,200
Speaker 2: two records. I think that's highly doable for Cooper Cups.

553
00:25:59,200 --> 00:26:01,280
Speaker 2: So going over one hundred and twenty.

554
00:26:01,000 --> 00:26:04,159
Speaker 3: And a half, yeah, obviously you stole this one for me.

555
00:26:04,920 --> 00:26:08,040
Speaker 3: We were taking the over one thirty five and a half, yeah,

556
00:26:08,240 --> 00:26:11,160
Speaker 3: on Tuesday's pod. So yeah, this this line's too low.

557
00:26:11,640 --> 00:26:14,440
Speaker 3: It's not that ridiculous for Cup to go over one

558
00:26:14,480 --> 00:26:16,919
Speaker 3: twenty and a half, but especially when you're seeking a record.

559
00:26:17,720 --> 00:26:21,440
Speaker 3: So yeah, this is just a smash spot for Cup.

560
00:26:21,520 --> 00:26:23,800
Speaker 3: And yeah, we already said we would bet this up

561
00:26:23,800 --> 00:26:25,320
Speaker 3: to one thirty five and a half because we think

562
00:26:25,320 --> 00:26:27,680
Speaker 3: he's gonna break it. So I think you're getting at

563
00:26:27,720 --> 00:26:29,359
Speaker 3: least twenty yards of value here.

564
00:26:29,680 --> 00:26:33,640
Speaker 2: Yeah it's only well, yeah, it's only Thursday, and I've

565
00:26:33,640 --> 00:26:37,160
Speaker 2: already reached my max allotment on prize picks. Like they

566
00:26:37,200 --> 00:26:40,960
Speaker 2: literally tried to add Cup to another entry and they

567
00:26:40,960 --> 00:26:43,200
Speaker 2: were like, no, you can't win any more money than

568
00:26:43,200 --> 00:26:46,320
Speaker 2: this on any player. Like, I've already maxed out my

569
00:26:46,359 --> 00:26:50,280
Speaker 2: Cooper Cup on prize picks for the week. So, uh yeah,

570
00:26:50,359 --> 00:26:54,160
Speaker 2: that's where I'm at. Where are you going with your

571
00:26:54,200 --> 00:26:55,600
Speaker 2: second receiving prop?

572
00:26:55,920 --> 00:26:58,399
Speaker 3: So I'm going Darnell Mooney over forty nine and a

573
00:26:58,440 --> 00:27:01,920
Speaker 3: half receiving yards against the Vikings. You know, I'm projecting

574
00:27:01,960 --> 00:27:05,400
Speaker 3: this coaster to fifty eight and a half with Justin

575
00:27:05,440 --> 00:27:08,080
Speaker 3: Fields out due to COVID. You know, Andy Dalton's under center.

576
00:27:08,560 --> 00:27:11,000
Speaker 3: I'm not saying Andy Dalton's a better quarterback, but you

577
00:27:11,000 --> 00:27:12,760
Speaker 3: know they're a little bit more pass heavy with him

578
00:27:12,760 --> 00:27:14,880
Speaker 3: because you know he's not going to opt to pull

579
00:27:14,920 --> 00:27:17,240
Speaker 3: it and run and scramble. He's gonna throw it to

580
00:27:17,320 --> 00:27:20,200
Speaker 3: Darnell Mooney. So it does get Mooney maybe one or

581
00:27:20,200 --> 00:27:23,399
Speaker 3: two more chances a game with Dalton under center, and

582
00:27:23,600 --> 00:27:26,040
Speaker 3: as you'll talk about later on, he has an incentive

583
00:27:26,160 --> 00:27:29,600
Speaker 3: to get to seventy one yards. So a situation like this,

584
00:27:29,760 --> 00:27:32,640
Speaker 3: I think that definitely comes into play. So the fact

585
00:27:32,640 --> 00:27:35,359
Speaker 3: that I already like the over, Andy has the incentive,

586
00:27:36,200 --> 00:27:38,560
Speaker 3: that's that's when I lock in a bet like this.

587
00:27:38,720 --> 00:27:40,920
Speaker 3: So I love Mooney over forty and nine a half

588
00:27:40,960 --> 00:27:43,120
Speaker 3: receiving yards. And the fact that this game is being

589
00:27:43,160 --> 00:27:45,840
Speaker 3: played in Minnesota and not in Chicago means it's going

590
00:27:45,920 --> 00:27:47,600
Speaker 3: to be an indoor game, so this week we won't

591
00:27:47,600 --> 00:27:50,199
Speaker 3: have to worry about weather. So this could be you know,

592
00:27:50,280 --> 00:27:53,000
Speaker 3: sneaky shoot up between Justin Jefferson and Darnell Mooney.

593
00:27:53,119 --> 00:27:56,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, this is a you know, one of those games

594
00:27:56,200 --> 00:27:58,119
Speaker 2: where I think it's just all gonna be about stat

595
00:27:58,160 --> 00:27:59,440
Speaker 2: padding and yeah.

596
00:27:59,480 --> 00:27:59,960
Speaker 1: The biking.

597
00:28:00,200 --> 00:28:01,440
Speaker 2: You know they you know, they have a pretty good

598
00:28:01,440 --> 00:28:06,480
Speaker 2: linebacking core, good safeties. But so they're top twelve and

599
00:28:06,560 --> 00:28:09,560
Speaker 2: dvoa against backs and tight ends, but bottom twenty versus

600
00:28:09,680 --> 00:28:12,800
Speaker 2: number one receiver, number two receivers, non number one, number

601
00:28:12,840 --> 00:28:13,560
Speaker 2: two receivers.

602
00:28:14,280 --> 00:28:15,399
Speaker 1: So this is a good.

603
00:28:15,240 --> 00:28:17,800
Speaker 2: Spot and Moody, it's not an incentive per se it's

604
00:28:17,800 --> 00:28:20,199
Speaker 2: just a milestone. He would get to one thousand with

605
00:28:20,359 --> 00:28:23,240
Speaker 2: seventy one yards. Yeah, so there's a yeah, summer milestone,

606
00:28:23,280 --> 00:28:26,919
Speaker 2: summer incentives. But for a young player, this will be

607
00:28:26,920 --> 00:28:30,160
Speaker 2: his first one thousand yard season, so I think that's

608
00:28:30,200 --> 00:28:34,160
Speaker 2: going to be reasonably important to him, especially he's already

609
00:28:34,200 --> 00:28:37,120
Speaker 2: they're number one receiver at this point, so I think

610
00:28:37,119 --> 00:28:38,800
Speaker 2: it's gonna be doable to to kind of try to

611
00:28:38,800 --> 00:28:41,480
Speaker 2: get him there. So yeah, I like love this, love

612
00:28:41,520 --> 00:28:43,800
Speaker 2: this over. I've already put this in a few entries

613
00:28:43,800 --> 00:28:49,360
Speaker 2: as well. All Right, my second receiving prop, let's go

614
00:28:49,440 --> 00:28:52,280
Speaker 2: for another record. Mark Andrews over sixty nine and a

615
00:28:52,320 --> 00:28:54,920
Speaker 2: half receiving yards against the Steelers.

616
00:28:55,280 --> 00:28:56,680
Speaker 1: He needs one hundred and forty one to break the

617
00:28:56,720 --> 00:28:58,080
Speaker 1: single season tight end record.

618
00:28:58,520 --> 00:29:02,280
Speaker 2: So you know, this game, you know, regardless of who wins,

619
00:29:02,320 --> 00:29:05,840
Speaker 2: it might be moot in terms of playoffs, in terms

620
00:29:05,880 --> 00:29:08,920
Speaker 2: of the playoffs if the Colts can win. So I

621
00:29:08,920 --> 00:29:10,320
Speaker 2: still think there's gonna be a little bit of that

622
00:29:10,400 --> 00:29:13,840
Speaker 2: element of kind of, you know, Ben's last game, potentially

623
00:29:14,240 --> 00:29:16,440
Speaker 2: Andrews could get a record. I think you might see

624
00:29:16,440 --> 00:29:19,680
Speaker 2: some some moose, some moose playing here between these two teams.

625
00:29:19,680 --> 00:29:22,360
Speaker 2: So like Andrews to go over this number. I mean,

626
00:29:22,360 --> 00:29:25,240
Speaker 2: he's gone over it in last four games, one.

627
00:29:27,280 --> 00:29:27,840
Speaker 1: Eighty nine.

628
00:29:28,560 --> 00:29:30,400
Speaker 2: Uh, so I think he has a good shot to

629
00:29:30,480 --> 00:29:33,760
Speaker 2: keep it going here. And when you look at the

630
00:29:33,800 --> 00:29:40,120
Speaker 2: Pittsburgh Steelers, their weakest position in terms of DVOA is

631
00:29:40,160 --> 00:29:41,120
Speaker 2: the tight end position.

632
00:29:41,120 --> 00:29:41,920
Speaker 1: They're seventeens.

633
00:29:42,000 --> 00:29:45,040
Speaker 2: You know, they're pretty solid across the board, the top

634
00:29:45,040 --> 00:29:48,320
Speaker 2: ten against top two receiver spots. But their weakest position,

635
00:29:48,360 --> 00:29:51,120
Speaker 2: the only position they are below average against, is the

636
00:29:51,160 --> 00:29:54,000
Speaker 2: tight end position. So this sets up really well for

637
00:29:54,160 --> 00:29:55,000
Speaker 2: Mark Andrews there.

638
00:29:55,320 --> 00:29:57,480
Speaker 3: Yeah, and you know if Lamar is held out again

639
00:29:57,520 --> 00:30:01,560
Speaker 3: as Tyler Huntley, you know, yeah, it's good. I'm gonna

640
00:30:01,800 --> 00:30:04,600
Speaker 3: raise my production for Andrews. So love this. And you

641
00:30:04,640 --> 00:30:07,360
Speaker 3: know last season, when you know I didn't finish in

642
00:30:07,400 --> 00:30:09,640
Speaker 3: the top ten for the Fantasy Pros contest, I blamed

643
00:30:10,040 --> 00:30:14,480
Speaker 3: it on constantly having Ryan Tannehill ranked too low. This year,

644
00:30:15,160 --> 00:30:17,880
Speaker 3: the reason I didn't finish first, I'm blaming myself ranking

645
00:30:18,080 --> 00:30:20,480
Speaker 3: Mark Mark Andrews too low almost every other you know,

646
00:30:20,560 --> 00:30:24,640
Speaker 3: every week once Lamar went down, I dropped him outside

647
00:30:24,680 --> 00:30:28,240
Speaker 3: my top five. Whatever. So I'm done underrating Mark Andrews.

648
00:30:28,240 --> 00:30:29,320
Speaker 3: Give me the over here as well.

649
00:30:30,080 --> 00:30:32,160
Speaker 2: All right, that is gonna do it for the props,

650
00:30:32,160 --> 00:30:33,320
Speaker 2: and remember stick around.

651
00:30:33,320 --> 00:30:34,840
Speaker 1: We'll talk about some more incentives.

652
00:30:34,840 --> 00:30:38,720
Speaker 2: But just to recap the props, Sean is going with

653
00:30:39,280 --> 00:30:43,680
Speaker 2: Tara Heinicky under two hundred and a half passing yards

654
00:30:43,680 --> 00:30:46,880
Speaker 2: and you didn't say Tyler Heinekey all podcasts, So congratulations

655
00:30:46,920 --> 00:30:47,120
Speaker 2: on that.

656
00:30:47,680 --> 00:30:51,600
Speaker 3: Yeah, that was obviously I know his name. I have

657
00:30:51,720 --> 00:30:52,840
Speaker 3: too many thoughts in my head.

658
00:30:54,520 --> 00:30:56,720
Speaker 2: Josh Jacobs over fifty and a half rushing yards against

659
00:30:56,720 --> 00:30:59,480
Speaker 2: the Chargers, Devin Singletary over fifty nine and a half

660
00:30:59,520 --> 00:31:03,280
Speaker 2: rushing yard against the Jets, Justin Jefferson over seventy five

661
00:31:03,280 --> 00:31:06,080
Speaker 2: and a half receiving yards against the Bears, and Darnel

662
00:31:06,120 --> 00:31:09,080
Speaker 2: Mooney over forty nine and a half receiving yards against

663
00:31:09,120 --> 00:31:11,920
Speaker 2: the Vikings. I'm going Justin Herbert over two hundred and

664
00:31:11,920 --> 00:31:14,600
Speaker 2: sixty five and a half passing yards against the Raiders.

665
00:31:14,920 --> 00:31:17,760
Speaker 2: Rex burkehead my guy over forty and a half rushing

666
00:31:17,800 --> 00:31:21,200
Speaker 2: yards against the Titans, Jonathan Taylor over one hundred and

667
00:31:21,200 --> 00:31:23,959
Speaker 2: fifteen and a half rushing yards against the Jags. Cooper

668
00:31:24,000 --> 00:31:26,480
Speaker 2: Cup over one hundred and twenty and a half receiving

669
00:31:26,560 --> 00:31:30,240
Speaker 2: yards against the Niners and Mark Andrews over sixty nine

670
00:31:30,280 --> 00:31:34,440
Speaker 2: and a half receiving yards against Pittsburgh. Next up here

671
00:31:34,440 --> 00:31:37,120
Speaker 2: on the Fantasy Flex is a segment we call Elite entries,

672
00:31:37,160 --> 00:31:39,520
Speaker 2: where Sean and I dive into the prize picks half

673
00:31:39,640 --> 00:31:42,360
Speaker 2: and compare our player projections to the props to build

674
00:31:42,440 --> 00:31:45,920
Speaker 2: some entries. Sean, what's your first prize picks weit entry

675
00:31:45,960 --> 00:31:46,480
Speaker 2: for today?

676
00:31:47,040 --> 00:31:49,320
Speaker 3: So I'm going with Josh Jacobs over fifty and a

677
00:31:49,360 --> 00:31:53,520
Speaker 3: half rushing yards against the Chargers. The Chargers ranked dead

678
00:31:53,560 --> 00:31:56,400
Speaker 3: last in run defense DV away. This is a great

679
00:31:56,440 --> 00:31:59,520
Speaker 3: spot for Josh Jacobs, and this is essentially a playoff game,

680
00:32:00,120 --> 00:32:02,400
Speaker 3: so win and you're in kind of situation. So I

681
00:32:02,400 --> 00:32:03,360
Speaker 3: think they're going to lean on.

682
00:32:03,320 --> 00:32:05,000
Speaker 1: Josh Jacobs heavily here.

683
00:32:05,080 --> 00:32:07,000
Speaker 3: I would not be surprised if you see these twenty

684
00:32:07,000 --> 00:32:10,280
Speaker 3: plus carries, So I'm projecting him for around sixteen seventeen

685
00:32:10,360 --> 00:32:12,880
Speaker 3: rush attempts for sixty five yards here. So I think

686
00:32:12,920 --> 00:32:15,720
Speaker 3: this prop is about fifteen yards too low, So give

687
00:32:15,760 --> 00:32:18,200
Speaker 3: me the over fifty and a half rushing yards for

688
00:32:18,280 --> 00:32:19,480
Speaker 3: Josh Jacobs.

689
00:32:19,920 --> 00:32:22,520
Speaker 2: My first prize pickoleeed entry four Today, I'm going with

690
00:32:22,800 --> 00:32:25,160
Speaker 2: Cooper Cup over one hundred and twenty and a half

691
00:32:25,400 --> 00:32:29,840
Speaker 2: receiving yards against the San Francisco forty nine Ers. As

692
00:32:29,880 --> 00:32:32,640
Speaker 2: you may know, Cup needs one hundred and thirty six

693
00:32:32,680 --> 00:32:36,120
Speaker 2: receiving yards to break the record. The forty nine Ers

694
00:32:36,120 --> 00:32:40,400
Speaker 2: allow the most scheduled adjusted receiving yards per game to

695
00:32:40,640 --> 00:32:44,600
Speaker 2: opposing number one wide receivers, and Cup went for eleven

696
00:32:44,640 --> 00:32:48,400
Speaker 2: for one two in the first matchup between these two teams,

697
00:32:48,400 --> 00:32:52,000
Speaker 2: So this is a very doable prop to go over.

698
00:32:52,600 --> 00:32:53,840
Speaker 2: I think he gets to the record.

699
00:32:53,920 --> 00:32:54,480
Speaker 1: So I think this is.

700
00:32:54,480 --> 00:32:59,480
Speaker 2: At least sixteen yards to short hear for Cooper Cup

701
00:32:59,680 --> 00:33:02,280
Speaker 2: to break that all time record set by Calvin Johnson.

702
00:33:02,320 --> 00:33:04,920
Speaker 2: So Cooper Cup over one hundred and twenty and a

703
00:33:04,960 --> 00:33:07,560
Speaker 2: half receiving yards. Sean, where are you going with your

704
00:33:07,600 --> 00:33:10,360
Speaker 2: second prize? Pick the lead entry for today?

705
00:33:10,680 --> 00:33:13,280
Speaker 3: So I'm going with Darnell Mooney over forty nine and

706
00:33:13,360 --> 00:33:16,120
Speaker 3: a half receiving yards against the Vikings. I'm projecting the

707
00:33:16,200 --> 00:33:18,600
Speaker 3: closure to fifty eight and a half and that's before

708
00:33:18,720 --> 00:33:21,760
Speaker 3: even factory in. He has the incentive to hit seventy

709
00:33:21,800 --> 00:33:25,520
Speaker 3: one receiving yards. To hit one thousand yards, which is

710
00:33:25,560 --> 00:33:27,560
Speaker 3: a pretty big milestone for receiver. This would be the

711
00:33:27,560 --> 00:33:29,720
Speaker 3: first time he's done it in his career, so I

712
00:33:29,760 --> 00:33:32,400
Speaker 3: think he tries to get there justin fields has been

713
00:33:32,480 --> 00:33:35,080
Speaker 3: ruled out with COVID and when that typically happens, Andy

714
00:33:35,160 --> 00:33:38,680
Speaker 3: Dalton does boost my passing yard projection for the Bears.

715
00:33:39,080 --> 00:33:40,720
Speaker 3: Not that he's a better quarterback, but you know he's

716
00:33:40,760 --> 00:33:42,520
Speaker 3: gonna scramble less, so we're going to see a couple

717
00:33:42,520 --> 00:33:45,280
Speaker 3: more pass attempts. That only benefits Mooney. And this is

718
00:33:45,320 --> 00:33:48,800
Speaker 3: an indoors game. This isn't in Chicago or we're not

719
00:33:48,880 --> 00:33:50,880
Speaker 3: gonna have to like deal with the weather, So I

720
00:33:50,880 --> 00:33:53,200
Speaker 3: think that helps him as well. So love the over

721
00:33:53,320 --> 00:33:56,680
Speaker 3: forty nine and a half receiving yards for Darnell Mooney.

722
00:33:56,720 --> 00:33:59,160
Speaker 2: My second prize picks the lead entry for today. I'm

723
00:33:59,160 --> 00:34:01,360
Speaker 2: going with Jonathan's tay over one hundred and fifteen and

724
00:34:01,440 --> 00:34:02,760
Speaker 2: a half rushing.

725
00:34:02,480 --> 00:34:04,160
Speaker 1: Yards against the Jaguars.

726
00:34:04,400 --> 00:34:07,160
Speaker 2: He's averaging one hundred and thirty six over his last

727
00:34:07,200 --> 00:34:11,560
Speaker 2: eight games. They are more than two touchdown favorites against

728
00:34:11,600 --> 00:34:14,680
Speaker 2: the Jaguars, and he has an outside shot at getting

729
00:34:14,680 --> 00:34:17,280
Speaker 2: to two thousand if he gets two hundred and sixty

730
00:34:17,320 --> 00:34:22,040
Speaker 2: six rushing yards here. So I think that for various reasons,

731
00:34:22,640 --> 00:34:25,400
Speaker 2: he's gonna have a very very good chance at clearing

732
00:34:25,440 --> 00:34:28,400
Speaker 2: this number here. So Jonathan Taylor over one hundred and

733
00:34:28,440 --> 00:34:32,040
Speaker 2: fifteen and a half rushing yards against the Jaguars, that

734
00:34:32,239 --> 00:34:34,920
Speaker 2: is going to do it for our elite entry for today.

735
00:34:35,000 --> 00:34:38,800
Speaker 2: As a recap, Shawn's going with Josh Jacobs over fifty

736
00:34:38,840 --> 00:34:41,840
Speaker 2: and a half rushing yards against the Chargers and Darnell

737
00:34:42,040 --> 00:34:45,000
Speaker 2: Mooney over forty nine and a half receiving yards against

738
00:34:45,120 --> 00:34:47,839
Speaker 2: the Vikings. I'm going with Cooper Cup over one hundred

739
00:34:47,840 --> 00:34:50,360
Speaker 2: and twenty and a half receiving yards against the Niners

740
00:34:50,520 --> 00:34:52,600
Speaker 2: and Jonathan Taylor over one hundred and fifteen and a

741
00:34:52,640 --> 00:34:56,560
Speaker 2: half rushing yards against the Jaguars. As a reminder, Price

742
00:34:56,640 --> 00:34:58,839
Speaker 2: Picks markets do move, so you want to get on

743
00:34:59,040 --> 00:35:01,960
Speaker 2: the numbers quick in order to lock in the best lines.

744
00:35:02,000 --> 00:35:04,480
Speaker 2: If you haven't created a Prize Pick account yet, check

745
00:35:04,480 --> 00:35:06,719
Speaker 2: out the link in our episode description and they'll match

746
00:35:06,760 --> 00:35:10,319
Speaker 2: your first deposit up to one hundred dollars. Or visit

747
00:35:10,400 --> 00:35:13,680
Speaker 2: prize picks dot com and use the promo code Action ten.

748
00:35:14,000 --> 00:35:18,239
Speaker 1: That's act Io N one zero. All right, now back

749
00:35:18,239 --> 00:35:18,640
Speaker 1: to the show.

750
00:35:19,800 --> 00:35:22,560
Speaker 2: So before we get out of here, I just want

751
00:35:22,600 --> 00:35:25,880
Speaker 2: to talk about some more incentives. You can kind of

752
00:35:25,880 --> 00:35:28,120
Speaker 2: give me your opinion whether you think you know they'll

753
00:35:28,120 --> 00:35:30,160
Speaker 2: get this if there's a way to attack it in

754
00:35:30,280 --> 00:35:33,239
Speaker 2: the in the proper market. So the first one that

755
00:35:33,320 --> 00:35:38,719
Speaker 2: really stands out to me is Rob Gronkowski needs seven catches,

756
00:35:39,120 --> 00:35:44,560
Speaker 2: eighty five yards and three touchdowns to reach three different escalators.

757
00:35:44,600 --> 00:35:46,800
Speaker 2: So I think the seven for eighty five is almost

758
00:35:46,800 --> 00:35:49,160
Speaker 2: in the bag. Like, I think that's like a that's

759
00:35:49,160 --> 00:35:49,800
Speaker 2: like his floor.

760
00:35:49,840 --> 00:35:50,120
Speaker 1: Now.

761
00:35:50,440 --> 00:35:53,160
Speaker 2: Knowing that, I think they might even try to get

762
00:35:53,239 --> 00:35:55,680
Speaker 2: him the three touchdowns, but that's obviously a lot more difficult.

763
00:35:55,680 --> 00:35:58,200
Speaker 2: But what do you think about seven catches or eighty

764
00:35:58,200 --> 00:36:01,280
Speaker 2: five yards ford, because that should be higher than whatever

765
00:36:01,320 --> 00:36:02,080
Speaker 2: the book's post.

766
00:36:03,120 --> 00:36:03,800
Speaker 1: Yeah, exactly.

767
00:36:03,840 --> 00:36:06,640
Speaker 3: I think seven catches for eighty five is reasonable and

768
00:36:06,840 --> 00:36:10,600
Speaker 3: three seems unreasonable. But it is Gronk that we're talking about.

769
00:36:11,680 --> 00:36:14,040
Speaker 3: I just worry about the Buccaneers' ability to move the

770
00:36:14,120 --> 00:36:17,080
Speaker 3: ball to get him in scoring position. But yeah, this

771
00:36:17,160 --> 00:36:20,520
Speaker 3: is a situation where I'd be buying into it. Especially

772
00:36:20,520 --> 00:36:23,960
Speaker 3: his receiving yard prop will probably be what around.

773
00:36:23,640 --> 00:36:24,720
Speaker 1: Fifty again this week?

774
00:36:24,920 --> 00:36:29,480
Speaker 3: Yeah, so I agree, I think that a realistic production

775
00:36:29,520 --> 00:36:32,480
Speaker 3: would be closer to like seventy when you're factoring something

776
00:36:32,520 --> 00:36:34,719
Speaker 3: like this, and it doesn't mean he's guaranteed to get it,

777
00:36:35,160 --> 00:36:37,840
Speaker 3: but it's an incentive, right, so he's going to try

778
00:36:38,480 --> 00:36:40,640
Speaker 3: to get there. So yeah, like I'll be looking for

779
00:36:40,680 --> 00:36:43,120
Speaker 3: his prop to be in the low to mid fifties

780
00:36:43,680 --> 00:36:46,760
Speaker 3: and definitely be taking me over here and probably.

781
00:36:46,800 --> 00:36:49,480
Speaker 2: I mean, I think anytime touchdowns not a bad bet

782
00:36:49,520 --> 00:36:51,480
Speaker 2: for him either, Like, yeah, might not get three, but

783
00:36:51,520 --> 00:36:53,279
Speaker 2: you can get Brady's going to try to get him

784
00:36:53,520 --> 00:36:54,399
Speaker 2: at least started off.

785
00:36:54,440 --> 00:36:56,160
Speaker 1: You know, I could think on the red zone, why not,

786
00:36:56,560 --> 00:36:57,200
Speaker 1: that's a good point.

787
00:36:57,280 --> 00:36:59,800
Speaker 3: Yeah, maybe he won't get three touchdowns, but they'll certainly

788
00:36:59,800 --> 00:37:02,480
Speaker 3: be you know, forcing it to more than they normally do.

789
00:37:03,400 --> 00:37:05,640
Speaker 3: So yeah, I'm going to write that down Gronk. Anytime

790
00:37:05,680 --> 00:37:06,839
Speaker 3: touchdowns definitely in play.

791
00:37:07,680 --> 00:37:08,799
Speaker 1: Sticking in that same game.

792
00:37:08,960 --> 00:37:10,960
Speaker 2: This one you can't do as much with because I

793
00:37:10,960 --> 00:37:13,640
Speaker 2: think Evans, you know, his prop will usually be around

794
00:37:13,680 --> 00:37:16,800
Speaker 2: this number or higher anyway, especially now with Brown gone.

795
00:37:16,800 --> 00:37:19,839
Speaker 2: But he needs fifty four receiving yards for his eighth

796
00:37:19,880 --> 00:37:23,240
Speaker 2: straight one thousand yard season, so I think that's kind.

797
00:37:23,080 --> 00:37:25,040
Speaker 1: Of his floor in this game. So I mean, what

798
00:37:25,080 --> 00:37:25,719
Speaker 1: do you think you think?

799
00:37:25,800 --> 00:37:27,239
Speaker 2: I mean, if they post the line what it would

800
00:37:27,239 --> 00:37:29,520
Speaker 2: be probably closer to like sixty five anyway right forever.

801
00:37:29,760 --> 00:37:31,719
Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't know if you can do anything with this,

802
00:37:31,920 --> 00:37:35,200
Speaker 3: especially if you're already betting on Gronk's overs, you probably

803
00:37:35,200 --> 00:37:37,239
Speaker 3: don't want to invest in this one as well, because

804
00:37:37,280 --> 00:37:39,520
Speaker 3: I agree this is sort of in line with what

805
00:37:39,560 --> 00:37:42,600
Speaker 3: we'd expect anyway. So I would be just more willing

806
00:37:42,680 --> 00:37:44,440
Speaker 3: to just go at the Gronk problem because that is

807
00:37:44,640 --> 00:37:47,719
Speaker 3: that is certainly extending what we're normally projecting from That's

808
00:37:47,840 --> 00:37:50,640
Speaker 3: that's kind of what we're looking for for this week

809
00:37:50,719 --> 00:37:52,000
Speaker 3: eighteen kind of pop betting.

810
00:37:53,200 --> 00:37:54,480
Speaker 1: Okay, here's an interesting one.

811
00:37:54,520 --> 00:38:00,200
Speaker 2: Aj Green needs ten catches and seventy five yards to

812
00:38:00,280 --> 00:38:04,000
Speaker 2: hit two different escalators. He has kind of escalating things.

813
00:38:04,080 --> 00:38:05,759
Speaker 2: He's already hit a bunch for you know, six seven

814
00:38:05,760 --> 00:38:08,160
Speaker 2: to eight hundred yards. Now he's at eight twenty five,

815
00:38:08,239 --> 00:38:10,400
Speaker 2: so you get to another escalator for the nine hundred

816
00:38:11,320 --> 00:38:14,440
Speaker 2: and you know, fifty sixty seventy eighty catches as well.

817
00:38:14,640 --> 00:38:16,799
Speaker 2: So he's got fifty not going to get you know,

818
00:38:16,880 --> 00:38:19,600
Speaker 2: to seventy, but sixty ten catches. I mean, it's not

819
00:38:19,640 --> 00:38:23,600
Speaker 2: the craziest thing. So they're facing the Seahawks. The Seahawks

820
00:38:23,640 --> 00:38:27,520
Speaker 2: are the second most zone heavy team in the league,

821
00:38:27,560 --> 00:38:31,279
Speaker 2: and aj Green among the receivers that the Cardinals will

822
00:38:31,320 --> 00:38:35,600
Speaker 2: have active, AJ Green leads all Cardinal active pass catchers

823
00:38:35,640 --> 00:38:39,800
Speaker 2: with two point three two yards per route against zone coverage.

824
00:38:39,840 --> 00:38:42,200
Speaker 1: So this is an AJ Green type of game.

825
00:38:42,239 --> 00:38:45,839
Speaker 2: I mean ten for seventy five probably, you know, his

826
00:38:45,880 --> 00:38:47,600
Speaker 2: reception prop will what be like three and a half.

827
00:38:47,640 --> 00:38:49,600
Speaker 1: In his yards prop will be in the forties.

828
00:38:50,480 --> 00:38:53,760
Speaker 3: Yeah, his reception prop will probably like four and a half,

829
00:38:53,800 --> 00:38:56,040
Speaker 3: but the under you know, might be like minus one

830
00:38:56,239 --> 00:38:59,359
Speaker 3: forty or something like that. So yeah, I would look

831
00:38:59,360 --> 00:39:02,960
Speaker 3: at the reception prop and yeah, seventy five yards that's

832
00:39:03,000 --> 00:39:04,880
Speaker 3: certainly doable. Like he said, this is a great spot

833
00:39:04,880 --> 00:39:08,960
Speaker 3: for him regardless, So his receiving yard prop would probably

834
00:39:08,960 --> 00:39:12,960
Speaker 3: be in the fifties, right, So yeah, this is definitely

835
00:39:13,000 --> 00:39:15,280
Speaker 3: one that I'm buying in and on, Like, I'm totally

836
00:39:15,400 --> 00:39:18,440
Speaker 3: behind this because of the matchup. I'm probably already projecting

837
00:39:18,480 --> 00:39:21,400
Speaker 3: him over anyway, and he has this sort of incentive,

838
00:39:21,480 --> 00:39:23,319
Speaker 3: So yeah, this is what I'm gonna be on as well.

839
00:39:23,760 --> 00:39:27,319
Speaker 2: I think so Kyle Pitts, now he's banged up, might

840
00:39:27,360 --> 00:39:30,040
Speaker 2: not play, but fifty nine yards for the rookie tight

841
00:39:30,120 --> 00:39:33,040
Speaker 2: end record. If he plays, his problem might be in

842
00:39:33,040 --> 00:39:33,760
Speaker 2: this range.

843
00:39:35,239 --> 00:39:36,200
Speaker 1: Do you risk it with it?

844
00:39:36,280 --> 00:39:37,960
Speaker 2: If he suits up and he's not you know, we

845
00:39:38,040 --> 00:39:39,560
Speaker 2: know he's probably not one hundred percent.

846
00:39:40,120 --> 00:39:42,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think the only reason they would suit him

847
00:39:42,120 --> 00:39:44,560
Speaker 3: up is to go for this, right. Yeah, he did

848
00:39:44,640 --> 00:39:47,200
Speaker 3: look like he pulled his handy pretty bad. They have

849
00:39:47,239 --> 00:39:50,120
Speaker 3: to start playing for twenty twenty two. But if he

850
00:39:50,200 --> 00:39:53,080
Speaker 3: injuces his hammy even more, he'll probably fine for the

851
00:39:53,120 --> 00:39:56,239
Speaker 3: start next season. So if if he's active, I will

852
00:39:56,280 --> 00:39:59,200
Speaker 3: be taking the over on this as well. This is

853
00:39:59,239 --> 00:40:02,359
Speaker 3: a pretty significan uh prop. And we were talking about

854
00:40:02,360 --> 00:40:05,720
Speaker 3: this before the season, like in order for him his ADP,

855
00:40:05,840 --> 00:40:09,600
Speaker 3: he essentially has to break the rookie record for tight

856
00:40:09,680 --> 00:40:11,640
Speaker 3: end and he might do it. So yeah, this is

857
00:40:11,680 --> 00:40:14,080
Speaker 3: a significant one. N if he is acted, I probably

858
00:40:14,080 --> 00:40:16,279
Speaker 3: will be taking us over here.

859
00:40:16,520 --> 00:40:19,440
Speaker 2: People were taking him over Mark Andrews though, like that

860
00:40:19,440 --> 00:40:21,160
Speaker 2: that kind of you know, Oh, that's why, that's why

861
00:40:21,360 --> 00:40:21,920
Speaker 2: no one's.

862
00:40:21,719 --> 00:40:23,360
Speaker 1: Really happy with Kyle Pitts.

863
00:40:23,400 --> 00:40:27,520
Speaker 2: You know, it's like one touchdown, one touchdown, that's the killer.

864
00:40:28,719 --> 00:40:31,640
Speaker 2: So it you know, the numbers look good, but I

865
00:40:31,960 --> 00:40:33,799
Speaker 2: know it was probably a frustrating season for a lot

866
00:40:33,840 --> 00:40:34,200
Speaker 2: of people.

867
00:40:34,400 --> 00:40:36,719
Speaker 1: Yeah, and that took him Me and Coude.

868
00:40:36,760 --> 00:40:38,120
Speaker 2: I had him. I had him in some spots, you know,

869
00:40:38,120 --> 00:40:41,880
Speaker 2: once his ADP started to drop a little bit. Jamar

870
00:40:41,960 --> 00:40:45,280
Speaker 2: Chase forty five receiving yards for the rookie receiving record.

871
00:40:45,400 --> 00:40:47,880
Speaker 2: Now this is interesting because it almost seems like you

872
00:40:47,920 --> 00:40:51,720
Speaker 2: could go the reverse because Chase is receiving props usually,

873
00:40:51,960 --> 00:40:55,880
Speaker 2: I mean, especially after last week, and you know that

874
00:40:55,920 --> 00:40:57,920
Speaker 2: you do have Kyle Allen, so maybe it's lower, but

875
00:40:58,000 --> 00:41:00,920
Speaker 2: I mean I would imagine Chase's prop is like maybe

876
00:41:00,960 --> 00:41:03,799
Speaker 2: twenty yards higher than this. Do they just play him

877
00:41:03,840 --> 00:41:05,279
Speaker 2: to get the record? And it like do you take

878
00:41:05,280 --> 00:41:07,239
Speaker 2: a chance on the underyear? Do you still go over?

879
00:41:07,320 --> 00:41:08,239
Speaker 2: Do you do nothing with it?

880
00:41:08,840 --> 00:41:11,359
Speaker 3: This is one I'm probably not gonna touch. There might

881
00:41:11,400 --> 00:41:13,680
Speaker 3: not be a prop for him, if I'm being honest,

882
00:41:13,719 --> 00:41:17,600
Speaker 3: because it looks like Burrow's gonna miss Mixing's out. The

883
00:41:17,640 --> 00:41:20,080
Speaker 3: Bengals really have no reason to send him out there

884
00:41:20,600 --> 00:41:23,360
Speaker 3: right now. I'm projecting the Bengals the players starters, you know,

885
00:41:23,400 --> 00:41:26,000
Speaker 3: like Higgins chasing Boyd for just like a quarter maybe,

886
00:41:26,640 --> 00:41:29,440
Speaker 3: which is enough time for Chase to get this number.

887
00:41:29,560 --> 00:41:32,480
Speaker 3: So I think he still could get it in just

888
00:41:32,520 --> 00:41:34,719
Speaker 3: a quarter. But I just don't think books will offer

889
00:41:34,760 --> 00:41:35,480
Speaker 3: a prop for this.

890
00:41:35,760 --> 00:41:38,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, but if he played, he's getting it like they're

891
00:41:38,120 --> 00:41:40,840
Speaker 2: getting five forty five yards.

892
00:41:40,960 --> 00:41:43,680
Speaker 3: But like if books offer, like, I just don't think

893
00:41:43,680 --> 00:41:45,719
Speaker 3: they're going to offer proplem is that I'm getting up.

894
00:41:45,760 --> 00:41:48,360
Speaker 3: But I can't imagine they're gonna float like a seventy

895
00:41:48,400 --> 00:41:50,680
Speaker 3: five out there or something. I would go the under,

896
00:41:51,440 --> 00:41:53,600
Speaker 3: but I think there's gonna be no prop for him,

897
00:41:53,680 --> 00:41:56,839
Speaker 3: and he barely goes over. Essentially, when he goes over

898
00:41:56,920 --> 00:41:58,920
Speaker 3: this prop, that's when they'll just pull him from the

899
00:41:58,960 --> 00:42:01,280
Speaker 3: game like that. That's how this is going to get handled.

900
00:42:01,880 --> 00:42:03,960
Speaker 1: Uh Okay, a couple other ones.

901
00:42:04,080 --> 00:42:07,239
Speaker 2: So DK Metcalf needs ninety one yards for his second

902
00:42:07,280 --> 00:42:10,440
Speaker 2: straight one thousand yard season. He's been kind of frustrated,

903
00:42:10,440 --> 00:42:12,759
Speaker 2: a little squeaky wheel, So I think they get him this.

904
00:42:13,040 --> 00:42:15,320
Speaker 2: He was limited in practice Wednesday with a foot injury,

905
00:42:15,320 --> 00:42:17,080
Speaker 2: but I mean if you're limited, I mean I think

906
00:42:17,080 --> 00:42:19,759
Speaker 2: he'll be fine for Sundays. So I mean ninety one

907
00:42:19,840 --> 00:42:21,640
Speaker 2: yard that's going to be higher than the books posting

908
00:42:21,640 --> 00:42:21,960
Speaker 2: for him.

909
00:42:22,040 --> 00:42:24,440
Speaker 1: Almost certainly. I like this one.

910
00:42:24,680 --> 00:42:26,919
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, this is going too. It's it would be over,

911
00:42:27,280 --> 00:42:29,360
Speaker 3: you know, either an over or a pass for me.

912
00:42:30,160 --> 00:42:31,960
Speaker 3: But he is banged up. I don't know if he

913
00:42:32,040 --> 00:42:35,640
Speaker 3: cares for his second thousand yard season. And this might

914
00:42:35,680 --> 00:42:38,399
Speaker 3: conflict with the Russell Wilson one that you're gonna mention later,

915
00:42:38,920 --> 00:42:40,920
Speaker 3: where he has to get over a sixty six percent

916
00:42:41,000 --> 00:42:43,480
Speaker 3: completion percentage. So maybe he just doesn't chuck it up

917
00:42:43,840 --> 00:42:46,279
Speaker 3: to DK Metcalf to try to get his Maybe Russ

918
00:42:46,320 --> 00:42:48,120
Speaker 3: is a little bit selfish. So that's kind of a

919
00:42:48,800 --> 00:42:52,680
Speaker 3: you know, a reverse correlation play here. But certainly, you know,

920
00:42:52,760 --> 00:42:54,600
Speaker 3: Metcalf the last game of the season, I wouldn't be

921
00:42:54,640 --> 00:42:56,920
Speaker 3: surprised if he goes off, But I'll have to think

922
00:42:56,960 --> 00:42:58,000
Speaker 3: about this one a little bit more.

923
00:42:58,040 --> 00:43:00,120
Speaker 2: Yeah, I like it because Seattle has nothing to play for,

924
00:43:00,719 --> 00:43:04,800
Speaker 2: and we've seen Metcalf kind of been forced the ball

925
00:43:05,040 --> 00:43:07,960
Speaker 2: in the past when he's you know, kind of unhappy,

926
00:43:08,600 --> 00:43:10,640
Speaker 2: and so I think a thousand yards he's already got

927
00:43:10,680 --> 00:43:13,000
Speaker 2: what twelve touchdowns. I think that looks a lot better

928
00:43:13,040 --> 00:43:16,040
Speaker 2: than like nine hundred and eighty, you know what I mean.

929
00:43:16,120 --> 00:43:18,600
Speaker 2: I think they're gonna want to go to him in

930
00:43:18,640 --> 00:43:20,600
Speaker 2: his spot and a matchup is actually good.

931
00:43:20,719 --> 00:43:22,080
Speaker 1: He winds up on the left side.

932
00:43:22,200 --> 00:43:24,480
Speaker 2: The Cardinals are a top three pass defense in DVOA,

933
00:43:24,760 --> 00:43:27,320
Speaker 2: but they're twenty second on passes to the offensive left.

934
00:43:27,400 --> 00:43:29,600
Speaker 2: So this is kind of it's kind of tailor made

935
00:43:29,600 --> 00:43:31,400
Speaker 2: for Metcalf to.

936
00:43:30,840 --> 00:43:31,560
Speaker 1: Tight off here.

937
00:43:31,640 --> 00:43:34,000
Speaker 3: I agree, And you said something really important, he said,

938
00:43:34,040 --> 00:43:37,200
Speaker 3: this game doesn't mean anything. That's that's when I factor

939
00:43:37,320 --> 00:43:39,319
Speaker 3: these in a little bit more. If it was like

940
00:43:39,360 --> 00:43:42,520
Speaker 3: the Chargers Raider game, which is essentially a playoff game,

941
00:43:42,800 --> 00:43:45,719
Speaker 3: if Mike Williams needed ninety eight yards or something, I

942
00:43:45,719 --> 00:43:47,960
Speaker 3: almost would in factor it in because he's gonna have

943
00:43:48,000 --> 00:43:49,960
Speaker 3: to get the ninety eight yards within the game plan

944
00:43:50,520 --> 00:43:53,279
Speaker 3: that they put together to win the game. Whereas, like

945
00:43:53,320 --> 00:43:55,560
Speaker 3: you said, the Seahawks have nothing to play for, so

946
00:43:55,600 --> 00:43:57,840
Speaker 3: if they just ball out to get DK a thousand

947
00:43:57,880 --> 00:44:01,439
Speaker 3: yards that that could absolutely happen. So these games where

948
00:44:01,440 --> 00:44:04,560
Speaker 3: it's meaningless Butler's incentives, that's when I factor them in

949
00:44:04,680 --> 00:44:05,239
Speaker 3: even more.

950
00:44:05,960 --> 00:44:08,319
Speaker 2: Yeah, Like I mean, I think it's you know, it's like,

951
00:44:08,400 --> 00:44:10,640
Speaker 2: for example, Cup I think the reason he's just got

952
00:44:10,640 --> 00:44:13,000
Speaker 2: a great matchup and quit, like he's like so close

953
00:44:13,000 --> 00:44:13,560
Speaker 2: to doing it with.

954
00:44:13,560 --> 00:44:15,480
Speaker 1: His media anyway that I like it.

955
00:44:15,840 --> 00:44:18,239
Speaker 2: And then Gronk, I think just because he's Brady's guy,

956
00:44:18,239 --> 00:44:20,640
Speaker 2: and they really I mean, yeah, they're they're playing for something.

957
00:44:20,680 --> 00:44:22,719
Speaker 2: But you know, Brady can kind of do that for

958
00:44:22,800 --> 00:44:26,200
Speaker 2: these guys. So like it kind of goes by a

959
00:44:26,280 --> 00:44:28,279
Speaker 2: case by case, but I agree, I think this is

960
00:44:28,320 --> 00:44:31,560
Speaker 2: the optimal scenario. It's just like they're completely out of it.

961
00:44:31,719 --> 00:44:36,719
Speaker 2: He's got a perfectly within reach milestone or incentive or

962
00:44:36,719 --> 00:44:39,120
Speaker 2: whatever it is, and I think that's where you get it. So, yeah,

963
00:44:39,160 --> 00:44:42,400
Speaker 2: Moody and Metcalfs really stand out amongst those guys that aren't,

964
00:44:42,440 --> 00:44:46,120
Speaker 2: you know, non Cooper cup, Don Taylor, George Kittle needs

965
00:44:46,120 --> 00:44:48,880
Speaker 2: a hundred for a thousand. That's one where it's the opposite.

966
00:44:48,880 --> 00:44:51,279
Speaker 2: It's like that might be hard to do, you know,

967
00:44:51,360 --> 00:44:53,439
Speaker 2: with the Niners trying to win the game.

968
00:44:53,560 --> 00:44:55,439
Speaker 1: So I mean that's I mean, I don't think he cares.

969
00:44:55,440 --> 00:44:56,200
Speaker 1: I mean he's had.

970
00:44:56,080 --> 00:44:59,400
Speaker 3: With under center too right right, that hurts.

971
00:45:00,440 --> 00:45:03,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't think Kitto is in play here.

972
00:45:04,320 --> 00:45:06,600
Speaker 3: Who else Although that line, that line a few weeks

973
00:45:06,640 --> 00:45:11,080
Speaker 3: ago would have been close. What was it week ten

974
00:45:11,200 --> 00:45:13,680
Speaker 3: to twelve, Yeah, clus one hundred yards three games in

975
00:45:13,680 --> 00:45:16,320
Speaker 3: a row. But again that was Jimmy G healthy. Jimmy

976
00:45:16,320 --> 00:45:19,200
Speaker 3: G under center. But yeah, just this spot, this is

977
00:45:19,280 --> 00:45:21,640
Speaker 3: this isn't a prop that I think I'm gonna be touching.

978
00:45:22,160 --> 00:45:24,319
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, and Garoppol is back in practice. He

979
00:45:24,360 --> 00:45:26,279
Speaker 2: says it's just a pain towerance things, so he may

980
00:45:26,320 --> 00:45:30,080
Speaker 2: go if he does, that's big because the Rams play

981
00:45:30,120 --> 00:45:33,480
Speaker 2: the second most zone, I believe it is, and Kittle

982
00:45:33,480 --> 00:45:36,160
Speaker 2: weeds all tight ends in yards paraut against own coverage.

983
00:45:36,400 --> 00:45:39,640
Speaker 2: So that's it would be doable if Jimmy G's bear definitely.

984
00:45:40,640 --> 00:45:43,040
Speaker 2: I already mentioned Burkhead and Taylor running back, So yeah,

985
00:45:43,560 --> 00:45:46,080
Speaker 2: quarterback and these are tough. I mean, I don't really

986
00:45:46,120 --> 00:45:49,000
Speaker 2: think he can do much with with quarterback prop, just

987
00:45:49,000 --> 00:45:51,720
Speaker 2: because they're usually so efficient in terms of the market anyway.

988
00:45:51,760 --> 00:45:55,640
Speaker 2: But Russell Wilson gets an incentive if he finishes with

989
00:45:55,760 --> 00:45:58,760
Speaker 2: a sixty six percent completion rate. So he's a little

990
00:45:58,800 --> 00:46:03,600
Speaker 2: below that now, So but it's certainly possible. That could

991
00:46:03,600 --> 00:46:05,080
Speaker 2: mean a lot of you know, maybe you go over

992
00:46:05,160 --> 00:46:07,120
Speaker 2: his completion prop. Maybe throws like a lot of high

993
00:46:07,160 --> 00:46:09,440
Speaker 2: percentage looks. But that doesn't seem like Russ. So I

994
00:46:09,440 --> 00:46:11,560
Speaker 2: don't know if this I don't really know if that's

995
00:46:11,600 --> 00:46:16,120
Speaker 2: something that's gonna the matter. Aaron Rodgers if he finishes

996
00:46:16,160 --> 00:46:19,000
Speaker 2: top three and completion rate. But so that means he

997
00:46:19,000 --> 00:46:20,719
Speaker 2: may actually play. If he goes eight for eight and

998
00:46:20,800 --> 00:46:24,239
Speaker 2: Kyler doesn't improve, he would he could jump Kyler. So

999
00:46:24,280 --> 00:46:25,719
Speaker 2: that's also one of those things. I don't think it

1000
00:46:25,719 --> 00:46:29,719
Speaker 2: really matters either. What about Tom Brady for eighty eight

1001
00:46:29,760 --> 00:46:31,640
Speaker 2: to break the all time passing record, that's that's in

1002
00:46:31,680 --> 00:46:33,879
Speaker 2: the bag right when he's easily getting forty eight.

1003
00:46:34,320 --> 00:46:37,440
Speaker 3: Well, I mean, he already has incentive for Gronk and

1004
00:46:37,520 --> 00:46:39,920
Speaker 3: Evans to have a big game, so they could just

1005
00:46:39,920 --> 00:46:42,319
Speaker 3: meet before and be like, let's let's all go for

1006
00:46:42,400 --> 00:46:45,719
Speaker 3: this together. So I wouldn't put it past Brady. It'd

1007
00:46:45,760 --> 00:46:47,560
Speaker 3: be nice if he had Antonio Brown to help him

1008
00:46:47,560 --> 00:46:51,120
Speaker 3: out with this. But yeah, it's Tom Brady. If you

1009
00:46:51,120 --> 00:46:53,400
Speaker 3: don't think he's thinking about this, you're crazy. So I

1010
00:46:53,400 --> 00:46:55,440
Speaker 3: think he'll give it a shot. It's not the greatest

1011
00:46:55,440 --> 00:46:58,920
Speaker 3: matchup to have to get nearly five hundred yards, but

1012
00:46:59,200 --> 00:47:01,120
Speaker 3: I don't know, maybe last week he was trying to

1013
00:47:01,120 --> 00:47:03,600
Speaker 3: set up, you know, like a chance. This week he

1014
00:47:03,640 --> 00:47:05,560
Speaker 3: had four hundred and ten yards against the Jets. They

1015
00:47:05,560 --> 00:47:08,120
Speaker 3: had that trailing game script almost the entire game, the

1016
00:47:08,160 --> 00:47:10,720
Speaker 3: crazy game, So yeah, he might give it a shot.

1017
00:47:10,800 --> 00:47:13,400
Speaker 3: So I think his his passing yard prop will be

1018
00:47:13,440 --> 00:47:16,799
Speaker 3: in play. It should be close to like what two ninety. Yeah,

1019
00:47:16,880 --> 00:47:19,240
Speaker 3: that's an over you got to Yeah, I would. Yeah,

1020
00:47:19,400 --> 00:47:21,560
Speaker 3: he might not get this, but I think he will

1021
00:47:21,560 --> 00:47:24,719
Speaker 3: go over whatever the passing prop is because he'll give

1022
00:47:24,719 --> 00:47:25,640
Speaker 3: it a shot.

1023
00:47:25,480 --> 00:47:28,120
Speaker 2: And they might just come out passing every play because

1024
00:47:28,440 --> 00:47:30,520
Speaker 2: remember that Backfieit is a little I mean, Vaughn is

1025
00:47:30,520 --> 00:47:32,520
Speaker 2: going to play. It looks like, but you know Jones's

1026
00:47:32,520 --> 00:47:35,560
Speaker 2: ban Jones is out, looks like and Fournette's been out.

1027
00:47:36,239 --> 00:47:38,719
Speaker 2: So it's not like you just want to kind of

1028
00:47:39,480 --> 00:47:41,800
Speaker 2: overuse Keshawn Vaughn here just in case, you know, you

1029
00:47:41,840 --> 00:47:43,360
Speaker 2: don't want to have you don't have to buy.

1030
00:47:43,360 --> 00:47:44,440
Speaker 1: So it's not like you're.

1031
00:47:46,640 --> 00:47:49,120
Speaker 2: You're you're going to be able to have that extra

1032
00:47:49,120 --> 00:47:51,360
Speaker 2: week there, So you don't want to come into the

1033
00:47:51,120 --> 00:47:52,200
Speaker 2: the first week with.

1034
00:47:52,120 --> 00:47:54,640
Speaker 1: Like all three running backs potentially out.

1035
00:47:54,920 --> 00:47:58,360
Speaker 3: So yeah, yeah, get Leveon Bell involved here in the

1036
00:47:58,400 --> 00:48:00,200
Speaker 3: passing game. You know they're using them like the Joe

1037
00:48:00,239 --> 00:48:03,240
Speaker 3: Bernard roll. So yeah, I could see just them abandoning

1038
00:48:03,239 --> 00:48:06,400
Speaker 3: the run out the gate, especially if Ronald Jones is out,

1039
00:48:06,440 --> 00:48:09,360
Speaker 3: like you know, definitely has a shot to clear this.

1040
00:48:10,200 --> 00:48:12,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, so that's uh, yeah, that's about it. You know,

1041
00:48:12,920 --> 00:48:15,320
Speaker 2: there's nothing, not much you can do with these. Maybe

1042
00:48:15,360 --> 00:48:18,640
Speaker 2: some sites you may have sacks, but Chris Jones needs

1043
00:48:18,640 --> 00:48:21,479
Speaker 2: a sack for for ten for an incentive. Jandevian needs

1044
00:48:21,520 --> 00:48:24,920
Speaker 2: two sacks to reach an incentive. Hassan Redick needs to

1045
00:48:25,000 --> 00:48:27,120
Speaker 2: Kalayis Campbell. We need four and a half. That's not

1046
00:48:27,160 --> 00:48:31,520
Speaker 2: gonna happen. Marcus Golden needs to Preston Smith one, three

1047
00:48:31,520 --> 00:48:35,439
Speaker 2: and five unlock escalators in terms of sacks for him.

1048
00:48:35,760 --> 00:48:38,080
Speaker 2: Dante Fowler a half a sack two and a half

1049
00:48:39,200 --> 00:48:41,080
Speaker 2: would also unlock on sent incentive.

1050
00:48:41,160 --> 00:48:42,920
Speaker 1: So I mean maybe if you want to bet.

1051
00:48:42,840 --> 00:48:45,560
Speaker 2: The overs on the team, sack totals in these are Yeah,

1052
00:48:45,600 --> 00:48:48,120
Speaker 2: some sites I think Price Picks does post if I'm

1053
00:48:48,160 --> 00:48:49,759
Speaker 2: not mistaken, maybe a sack or two.

1054
00:48:50,160 --> 00:48:53,919
Speaker 3: Well they have like like defense, like fantasy points. Yeah, yeah,

1055
00:48:54,080 --> 00:48:57,080
Speaker 3: things like that that you know, Well, these players trying

1056
00:48:57,120 --> 00:49:00,120
Speaker 3: extra hard to get sacks can only help. And j

1057
00:49:00,280 --> 00:49:03,680
Speaker 3: Watt he's one and a half sacks away from breaking

1058
00:49:03,760 --> 00:49:06,200
Speaker 3: straight hand single season record. So that's another one. But

1059
00:49:06,239 --> 00:49:09,000
Speaker 3: that that might be more well known. Were these these

1060
00:49:09,080 --> 00:49:11,279
Speaker 3: under the radar ones. You'd be surprised how much like

1061
00:49:11,560 --> 00:49:13,920
Speaker 3: books don't don't really factor that in, so there's probably

1062
00:49:13,920 --> 00:49:17,600
Speaker 3: more of an edge. Yeah, attacking these where where you can, right,

1063
00:49:17,680 --> 00:49:19,560
Speaker 3: So yeah, and it's you know, also notable.

1064
00:49:19,600 --> 00:49:21,880
Speaker 2: And if you're playing DFS, you know, maybe that kind of

1065
00:49:22,080 --> 00:49:25,200
Speaker 2: tiebreaker if you're deciding between some defenses, you know, maybe

1066
00:49:25,200 --> 00:49:28,400
Speaker 2: a defense you wouldn't normally look at, you know, the Cardinals,

1067
00:49:28,600 --> 00:49:31,600
Speaker 2: you know have a guy or to the you know, Browns.

1068
00:49:31,840 --> 00:49:33,720
Speaker 2: I mean that game is gonna be a shit show anyway.

1069
00:49:34,239 --> 00:49:36,680
Speaker 2: If Clown's going for like two sacks, that could be

1070
00:49:36,719 --> 00:49:40,440
Speaker 2: interesting if if he suits up. Yeah, so yeah, that's

1071
00:49:40,480 --> 00:49:43,040
Speaker 2: gonna do it. For our week eight Team Props pod

1072
00:49:43,120 --> 00:49:45,160
Speaker 2: ran a little long because we just you know, it's great.

1073
00:49:45,239 --> 00:49:48,520
Speaker 2: This is props week essentially uh in the betting market,

1074
00:49:48,520 --> 00:49:50,800
Speaker 2: so I wanted to make sure to cover everything.

1075
00:49:51,880 --> 00:49:52,320
Speaker 1: Obviously.

1076
00:49:52,440 --> 00:49:55,839
Speaker 2: Check out our content at actionnetwork dot com and fantasywabs

1077
00:49:55,880 --> 00:49:59,040
Speaker 2: dot com. Follow us in the Action Network app, Shawn's

1078
00:49:59,040 --> 00:50:02,440
Speaker 2: that at the undersc or odds maker at Chris Raybon.

1079
00:50:03,040 --> 00:50:05,640
Speaker 2: You can follow our prop bets as we bet them.

1080
00:50:05,680 --> 00:50:08,040
Speaker 2: You can track your own. Our Twitter handles are also

1081
00:50:08,120 --> 00:50:11,360
Speaker 2: the same, so be sure to follow us there as well,

1082
00:50:11,719 --> 00:50:14,760
Speaker 2: and be sure to leave us a five star review

1083
00:50:14,800 --> 00:50:18,719
Speaker 2: on Apple or Spotify. And one more thing, so we

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00:50:18,920 --> 00:50:23,040
Speaker 2: don't have any more Monday Pods because there's no more

1085
00:50:23,040 --> 00:50:27,080
Speaker 2: Monday Night Football, no more waivers, So we'll be back

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00:50:27,160 --> 00:50:31,240
Speaker 2: with the main Slate pod, you know, for the start

1087
00:50:31,239 --> 00:50:33,160
Speaker 2: of the playoffs, and then we'll still do the props

1088
00:50:33,200 --> 00:50:36,200
Speaker 2: episode on Friday, So no Monday Pod this week, but

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Speaker 2: still doing.

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00:50:37,280 --> 00:50:40,320
Speaker 1: The other two episodes as usual.

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Speaker 2: So so next time, let's get this monkey