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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcast.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go spreading in the court.

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Speaker 1: Ten seconds of matings, then just go show me up

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Speaker 1: to the basket.

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Speaker 3: Under the basket, it's the truth for the wind God,

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Speaker 3: a miracle.

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Speaker 1: Up the water.

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Speaker 2: Hit that one from the parking lot. What's up, Degenerate Nation.

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Speaker 4: Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast presented by

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Speaker 4: Bett MGM. This is your Monday college Basketball Preview. I

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Speaker 4: am not Stucky. Yes, even Stucky takes a vacation. Don't worry,

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Speaker 4: he'll be back in the host chair for Friday's episode.

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Speaker 2: I am bj Cunningham.

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Speaker 4: I'll be joined by my friends Mike Calabres and a

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Speaker 4: special guest, Anthony Dubundo. We're gonna go through the weekend

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Speaker 4: that was in college basketball, give a few rants preview

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Speaker 4: Big Monday, came this versus TCU, and then give our

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Speaker 4: best bet from Monday Slate and get out of here.

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Speaker 4: But first let me kick it to you first, Mike,

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Speaker 4: how you doing do good?

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Speaker 2: You know, survived the weekends.

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Speaker 1: You know it was up and down in terms of

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Speaker 1: my picks. But I think my main takeaway is the

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Speaker 1: nonsense of the Top sixteen reveal trying to stir up

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Speaker 1: drama Mick Cronin, Bitchin and Monan that they're eighth instead

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Speaker 1: of six. That's like snore, wake me up. When you're

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Speaker 1: debating something interesting, which I was on Vison over the

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Speaker 1: weekend talking to Jonathan van Tobol, and he brought up

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Speaker 1: an interesting ideas like why are we releasing the top

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Speaker 1: sixteen teams? Why don't they release who's currently on the

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Speaker 1: bubble and the at large resumes that they're considering, because

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Speaker 1: I think those debates are far more interesting. If you

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Speaker 1: line up North Carolina, who I believe is zero to

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Speaker 1: eight in quad one games against somebody like New Mexico,

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Speaker 1: that's a compelling argument and you can actually make an

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Speaker 1: argument on both sides. Whereas the top you know, sixteen

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Speaker 1: teams the ap pole, it's been a slaughter at the

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Speaker 1: top teams dropping left and right to unranked opponents. And

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Speaker 1: then really at this point, the only team that hasn't

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Speaker 1: lost to an unranked opponent at the top of the

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Speaker 1: sharts is Kansas and then they come in here on

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Speaker 1: Monday night as an underdog to TCUs. So there's nothing

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Speaker 1: that you can trust at this point. Eventually, you got

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Speaker 1: to put pen to paper during March Madness and put

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Speaker 1: your weight behind one of these top seeds. I don't

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Speaker 1: even know where I'm going in that direction at this point.

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Speaker 1: Maybe I'll just go contrarian and Purdue because everybody seems

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Speaker 1: to be crapping on them and their freshman guards, and

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Speaker 1: they're gonna wilt, you know, when the bright lights are

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Speaker 1: shown on them in March Madness. But in general, it's

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Speaker 1: way more fun to look at the bottom and the

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Speaker 1: back half and the at larges as opposed to these

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Speaker 1: top seeds, where you could reorganize the deck chairs on

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Speaker 1: the Titanic all you want, because a handful of them

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Speaker 1: are clearly going to lose in the first weekend of

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Speaker 1: March Madness.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, it's it's funny you mentioned the contrarian thing. I

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Speaker 4: thought about that the other day. I was like, what

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Speaker 4: if I just do a final four of like Purdue, Tennessee,

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Speaker 4: Virginia and Iowa State just as a complete contrarian and

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Speaker 4: defense wins out.

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Speaker 2: But no, Yeah, I agree with you. It's uh.

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Speaker 4: I mean, we just say it every single week, like

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Speaker 4: there's no good team in college basketball.

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Speaker 2: You know.

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Speaker 4: My big big takeaway from the weekend is like, holy

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Speaker 4: crap with a second half from Kansas.

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Speaker 2: Maybe we were a little bit wrong or wrong about them.

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Speaker 2: I don't know.

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Speaker 4: We'll obviously find out tonight against TCU And then shout

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Speaker 4: out to Jim Root second chance points three man, we

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Speaker 4: for tweeting this out, and it's very true.

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Speaker 2: You know, Alabama obviously.

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Speaker 4: Put up one hundred points over Georgia, and he said,

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Speaker 4: you know, in a year where we obviously don't have

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Speaker 4: one elite team, Alabama's best, when they're at their best,

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Speaker 4: is clearly better than everybody else in the country.

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Speaker 2: So that was my big takeaway.

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Speaker 4: I don't think Alabama is still I mean, they're the

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Speaker 4: one overall seed per bracket matrix here, so that's not

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Speaker 4: really gonna be surprised. So that was my one big takeaway.

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Speaker 4: All right, I'll kick it to you, Anthony, my good friend,

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Speaker 4: co host of the Wonder Goal podcast. Why don't you

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Speaker 4: first tell the listeners who you are, where are you from,

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Speaker 4: who you root for, and your big takeaway from the weekend.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, it's my BBOC debut, so very exciting.

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Speaker 5: Grew up on college troops in mostly the Philadelphia area

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Speaker 5: the five and went to Syracuse, so you know, sort

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Speaker 5: of root for them, I follow them, I wouldn't you know.

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Speaker 5: It's hard to root for them these days. I'm kind

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Speaker 5: of fair weather when it comes to the Orange. But

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Speaker 5: I live about fifteen minutes from Mike actually in Valley Forge, PA,

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Speaker 5: so you know the Philly burbs. But yeah, I just

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Speaker 5: grew up on kind of Big five hoops, So you know,

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Speaker 5: Saint Jose and not Villanova and Temple were kind of

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Speaker 5: the three pretty much that I would always root for,

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Speaker 5: and then you know who else I root for on

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Speaker 5: a year to year basis really depends. Like last year,

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Speaker 5: you find certain teams that you think are undervalued or

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Speaker 5: that you think are you know, the market is wrong

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Speaker 5: on and then you end up betting the same team

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Speaker 5: a lot for a season. It's like last year was

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Speaker 5: like Colorado State and Wyoming. This year it's been a

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Speaker 5: lot of Santa Clara and Washington State to varying degrees

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Speaker 5: of success. So it depends on the year. For me

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Speaker 5: with who I love, Virginia Tech seems to be a

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Speaker 5: team I end up on and we'll be on again

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Speaker 5: this week, So it depends really on on the on

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Speaker 5: the time of the year, and and you know who

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Speaker 5: I have money on.

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Speaker 1: As someone who bet a lot of Santa Clara basketball

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Speaker 1: this year. Can you you settle it for us here

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Speaker 1: on the podcast? How do you pronounced their their star

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Speaker 1: wing's name, pajem Ski, Like.

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Speaker 3: I think it's pajem Ski, but uh like I'm.

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Speaker 1: Probably yeah, if they make coming up a lot, so.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, they say it differently depending on which night, like

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Speaker 5: you're watching the game, it's a little like jim Ski

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Speaker 5: pajem Ski, but yeah, I mean he's been awesome when he's.

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Speaker 2: Been in the lineup.

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Speaker 5: They've been quite good and competitive in that league. So

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Speaker 5: they've had some good wins, took out Boise, rolled San Franz. Like,

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Speaker 5: They've had some pretty impressive showtings this year. Just crush

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Speaker 5: BYU last week, but couldn't quite cover that second game

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Speaker 5: for the against the Zags.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, uh yeah, Well you think they're gonna have a

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Speaker 4: chance at maybe taking out of Saint Mary's or a

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Speaker 4: Gonzag in the w CC tournament.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, they I mean, they were competitive with Mary's in

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Speaker 5: one of the meetings, the other meeting.

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Speaker 3: Not so much.

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Speaker 5: Uh So, you know, we'll see, but I think that

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Speaker 5: they match up decently well with Gonzaga because Gonzaga doesn't

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Speaker 5: really take away any of the like the most looks

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Speaker 5: they want to get. They can get to the rim

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Speaker 5: at at will, so they can kind of just keep

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Speaker 5: up with them. I think they're live to cover against

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Speaker 5: gonzag I don't know that they they'll actually win because

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Speaker 5: they're not getting many stops either, so it would be

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Speaker 5: a fun matchup. But my biggest takeaway is actually also

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Speaker 5: out west, and it's Arizona. I watched their entire game

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Speaker 5: against Colorado. I don't get to watch as much Pack

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Speaker 5: twelve because I find myself watching the Mountain West and

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Speaker 5: the West Coast a lot. I was not particularly impressed

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Speaker 5: with Arizona, like the non de Silva minutes against Colorado,

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Speaker 5: like they destroyed them, but I didn't think they were

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Speaker 5: particularly impressive when he was on the floor. Their perimeter

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Speaker 5: defense is really bad, like they leave a lot of shooters.

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Speaker 5: That's a major red flag for me come March. And

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Speaker 5: their transition defense is also quite bad. So you can

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Speaker 5: get at this Arizona team and they haven't really you know,

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Speaker 5: the back court, like obviously bollowing two bellos are very good,

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Speaker 5: but I have questions about the back court.

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Speaker 1: It's as simple as when Tubellus is in foul trouble

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Speaker 1: as he was, you know, he's sad. I think at

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Speaker 1: the ten minute mark of the first half with two fouls,

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Speaker 1: they kind of just become a slightly above average team.

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Speaker 1: Like I know that he's top ten in almost every

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Speaker 1: player efficiency metric and Bollows also top twenty five, but

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Speaker 1: he is the straw that stirs the drink. When he's

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Speaker 1: not on the floor, it just looks like growing pains.

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Speaker 1: They try to figure out who's gonna take that alpha

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Speaker 1: role offensively for them.

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Speaker 5: And I do wonder if like having both of them

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Speaker 5: on the floor at the same time, Like, yes, they're

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Speaker 5: great offensively and you really can't get anything at the rim,

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Speaker 5: but that makes them very vulnerable on the perimeter, like

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Speaker 5: Crease is not guarding. Ramy's a good individual defender, Larson's okay,

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Speaker 5: but like they just leave a lot of shooters and

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Speaker 5: Colorado doesn't shoot well. They missed every open shot and

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Speaker 5: still covered. But like a better shooting team is going

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Speaker 5: to cause a lot of problems. I think for the

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Speaker 5: for the Wildcats in March.

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Speaker 4: Well, you'll get that data on March fourth when they

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Speaker 4: travel to play UCLA. We'll see if they actually can

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Speaker 4: hold them to anything like they you know, like the

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Speaker 4: last time we usually took them out.

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Speaker 2: All right, let's go to.

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Speaker 4: A couple of rants. I'll start it off. I hate

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Speaker 4: Princeton for what they did to me. I tried to

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Speaker 4: bet them on a back, get Kary to catch Yale

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Speaker 4: on a back to because obviously know the IVY Leagues

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Speaker 4: are the back to back Friday night and then into Saturday.

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Speaker 4: Let me pull this up really quick. So Princeton, they're

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Speaker 4: up nineteen with eight to play, they completely melted down,

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Speaker 4: and not even that though it was in the final

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Speaker 4: few minutes. Basically, Yale just made a ton of free

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Speaker 4: throws down the stretch. I mean, Princeton even had a

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Speaker 4: three point lead with fourteen seconds left.

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Speaker 2: They foul. You know, they do the patent and you know,

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Speaker 2: foul up three.

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Speaker 4: So you know, Yale goes down, they make two free

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Speaker 4: throws and then of course this is what happens, this

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Speaker 4: is the patent and why fouling up three sometimes doesn't

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Speaker 4: work is they only make one of two and Yale

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Speaker 4: comes down, they make a layup, tie it up at seventy.

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Speaker 4: They go to overtime, and you know what already happened

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Speaker 4: to that happens there Yale one by ten, So really

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Speaker 4: didn't need that complete meltdown from Princeton there in the

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Speaker 4: second half. But whatever it happens, it's college basketball, really horrible.

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Speaker 4: But also I did it had the pall back door

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Speaker 4: was very nice. So I did get that one. So

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Speaker 4: I'll kick it to you, Mike, do you have a

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Speaker 4: rant for this week?

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Speaker 1: Just in general, I know that name brands sell ad

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Speaker 1: space and people want to talk about the Yankees and

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Speaker 1: the Lakers and you know, the Cowboys. Enough with North Carolina,

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Speaker 1: like I said, they're zero to eight against Quad one teams,

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Speaker 1: it's clear that Baycott's hurt. He's just like laboring through.

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Speaker 1: He's not as bouncy, he's not a dynamic on the glass.

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Speaker 1: They can't shoot threes. They you know, play a good

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Speaker 1: like twelve minutes against NC State and then get run

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Speaker 1: off the floor, even to the point where Keats was like,

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Speaker 1: it's not a rivalry, like he was kind of trolling

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Speaker 1: them a little bit. But in general, it's like, I'm

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Speaker 1: always an advocate for let's get more quality mid major

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Speaker 1: teams on the bubble into the tournament. I don't want

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Speaker 1: to see this North Carolina team and even the narrative

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Speaker 1: that's getting thrown around as though they can turn it on.

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Speaker 1: They're not like a Western Conference basketball team that's just

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Speaker 1: going to start playing well in the Best of the

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Speaker 1: seven series. Like that's not the case. They're not the Warriors.

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Speaker 1: They're not going to like get healthy the right time.

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Speaker 1: There's enough of you know, their resume that's been shown

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Speaker 1: through the games this year that.

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Speaker 2: We know who they are.

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Speaker 1: And to be totally honest, like I just I've had

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Speaker 1: it with this team.

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Speaker 2: I've had it with the ACC in general.

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Speaker 1: Syracuse is another team there who's on the bubble who

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Speaker 1: is winless against Quad one teams. It's like, I think

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Speaker 1: it should go both ways. You get the benefit of

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Speaker 1: the opportunity to get quality wins, and if you don't,

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Speaker 1: that should really penalize you. That should hurt you because

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Speaker 1: at the end, they're going to be like, oh, New

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Speaker 1: Mexico or some of these teams, you know, like a

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Speaker 1: Charleston if they go to their conference championship game and

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Speaker 1: don't win, like are they going to get in kind

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Speaker 1: of thing? Like absolutely, I want teams that have proven

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Speaker 1: that they have higher ceilings than these ACC Also ran

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Speaker 1: so just in general, I'm, you know, preheating the oven

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Speaker 1: for my resentment of letting in teams like North Carolina

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Speaker 1: because I think at the end of.

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Speaker 2: The day they may just sneak in and that'll piss

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Speaker 2: me off. Yeah.

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Speaker 4: Per bracket matrix, they are currently the last team out

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Speaker 4: and then teams behind them are New Mexico, Compson, Utah

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Speaker 4: State or In North Texas and Texas Tech. Yeah, I

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Speaker 4: want North Texas. Give me North Texas over and go

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Speaker 4: on for sure, exactly. Yeah, so it'll be interesting. Yeah,

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Speaker 4: preseason number one has fallen this far? Crazy, Anthony, Do

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Speaker 4: you have a rant for this weekend?

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Speaker 5: I mean, I had one of my best Saturdays of

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Speaker 5: the year, and I think it's important to remember, like

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Speaker 5: the good variance that happens. Colorado closed I think six

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Speaker 5: or seven oh in the last two minutes. Pella Larson's

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Speaker 5: like a ninety percent shooter. He missed the front end

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Speaker 5: of a one and one, and then Colorado didn't foul

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Speaker 5: down ten, which was cool. They covered for me late.

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Speaker 5: You mentioned DePaul back toward that push on a miracle.

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Speaker 5: They hit two threes in the last forty seconds when

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Speaker 5: they were down twenty, so that was cool.

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Speaker 3: I mean, it's always nice to get those.

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Speaker 5: I'm wondering where Ed Cooley finds these guys because that

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Speaker 5: Providence Nova game, Nova played pretty poorly, like they should

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Speaker 5: have really been in it, like it was the wrong side,

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Speaker 5: but Nova was down four with like two minutes to go,

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Speaker 5: and they felt like they were very live to not

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Speaker 5: even just cover, but potentially steal that game in Providence.

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Speaker 5: And then Noah Locke and Devin Carter are hitting pull

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Speaker 5: up threes from like Hartford contested, just like no doubters.

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Speaker 5: And I'm like, like, these two guys would even really

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Speaker 5: played for Providence last year. And and you know, credit

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Speaker 5: to Coolly, I mean, he's he's really mastered the transfer portal.

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Speaker 5: They're always prepared in close games. They always win every

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Speaker 5: close game. Tuesday, I have a Creighton Big East future

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Speaker 5: and they win in double overtime. I tweeted, like, I

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Speaker 5: think Providence has played every game in double overtime for

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Speaker 5: the last year and a half, and they were like

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Speaker 5: only lost I think one of them.

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Speaker 3: So it's just crazy that the Providence continues to run

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Speaker 3: this good. It's funny.

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Speaker 5: One of my good friends is a Providence fan, and

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Speaker 5: I told him like they're better than they were last year.

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Speaker 5: They're not gonna be a better seed. They probably won't

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Speaker 5: make the Sweet sixteen again, but they're a better team

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Speaker 5: this year.

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Speaker 3: But this late.

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Speaker 5: Game, like just magic is is something else and continues

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Speaker 5: to burn me repeatedly. And so that would be my

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Speaker 5: only real complaint from what was otherwise a great Saturday

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Speaker 5: Syracuse no showing aside. I didn't have money on the game,

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Speaker 5: so I was watching as a fan and just embarrassing

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Speaker 5: to see the orange fold.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, it's funny because Providence is going to be on

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Speaker 4: a seven line.

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Speaker 3: Looks like the last year.

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Speaker 2: That's absolutely ridiculous.

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Speaker 1: They are not a seventh seed, and that's just another

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Speaker 1: you know thing, stacking up against a two seed, like

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Speaker 1: if Texas has to play them in the round of

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Speaker 1: thirty two.

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Speaker 2: I actually feel.

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Speaker 1: Bad for Texas in that situation.

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Speaker 2: That's not their fault.

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Speaker 3: Oh boy, that Providence is right around like a six for.

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Speaker 4: Me, probably right, but yeah, no, they'll then conference in

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Speaker 4: line with my Iowah Hawkeyes, Maryland, and Michigan State, so

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Speaker 4: all Big Ten teams on the seven line.

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Speaker 6: As a reminder before we go any further, college basketball

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Speaker 4: In New York, all right, let's kick it to Big Monday.

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Speaker 4: It's actually a really nice game here in the Big twelve.

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Speaker 4: Kansas travels to four wor to take on TCU. TCU

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Speaker 4: is currently at bet MGM and minus one and a

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Speaker 4: half favorite, with the total sitting at one hundred and

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Speaker 4: fifty one point five. I'll kick it to you first, Mike,

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Speaker 4: What are you what are your thoughts on this matchup.

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Speaker 2: I know that they got to go to Cowtown.

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Speaker 1: I know that TCU, potentially in their transition game, can

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Speaker 1: hurt Kansas, but I can't. At this point in the season.

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Speaker 1: We wrote off Kansas here on the podcast, and since

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Speaker 1: then they've just been on the war path. They have

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Speaker 1: played really well against ranked opponents all season long, in

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Speaker 1: my opinion at least, and I know exactly what I'm

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Speaker 1: getting in terms of their game plan with Jalen Wilson

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Speaker 1: attacking the hoop and Grady's at getting those threes up.

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Speaker 2: So I don't know. I think the line's probably.

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Speaker 1: Fair, but if I'm gonna play it, my lean is

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Speaker 1: on KU in this game. And it just seems like

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Speaker 1: we've seen this movie time and time again, where even

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Speaker 1: in the years where they're not the best team in

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Speaker 1: the Big Twelve, they're able to circle the wagons and

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Speaker 1: play their best down the stretch and grab at least

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Speaker 1: a share of the regular season title. I think it's

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Speaker 1: another one of those scenarios playing out. So I'm on,

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Speaker 1: okay you here.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm probably gonna with you here, but I'll let

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Speaker 4: you get your thoughts in here first.

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Speaker 5: Anthony oh, I just got an alert at the Action

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Speaker 5: Network this Monday morning. HEJ Cunningham added bet Kansas plus

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Speaker 5: two purpose. I guess we're going head to head here,

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Speaker 5: give me the frogs, baby, And I know I'm filling

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Speaker 5: in for Stuckey, who has hyped up TCU at every

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Speaker 5: possible turn, and I think every single episode.

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Speaker 3: But really, I mean, look, the numbers speak for themselves.

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Speaker 3: Tc didn't have Mike Miles. He was out. They were

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Speaker 3: one and five. They were really terrible. He comes back. Now,

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Speaker 3: are they going to shoot, you know, over fifty percent

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Speaker 3: from three like they did Saturday?

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Speaker 1: No?

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Speaker 5: But I think this is a decent matchup for them

382
00:16:46,200 --> 00:16:49,400
Speaker 5: because Kansas's defense and transition is still pretty vulnerable. He

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00:16:49,440 --> 00:16:52,240
Speaker 5: doesn't grade out at an elite level, and that's where

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Speaker 5: TCU really exposed them in the first meeting. Now, this

385
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Speaker 5: is a good live betting game, I think because of

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Speaker 5: the way just how TCU plays, you're gonna get runs

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Speaker 5: back and forth. Like when Kansas is hitting our shots

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00:17:00,040 --> 00:17:02,080
Speaker 5: and tc has to play in the half court. It's

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00:17:02,120 --> 00:17:04,680
Speaker 5: not necessarily a great half court offense. But when they're

390
00:17:04,720 --> 00:17:06,920
Speaker 5: able to run off Kansas misses like the first meeting,

391
00:17:07,359 --> 00:17:09,680
Speaker 5: they're going to be able to find some success. I

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Speaker 5: don't think there's a huge difference between these two teams

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Speaker 5: when they're both fully healthy. TCU is a little bit

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Speaker 5: deflated in the you know, the advance and underlying metrics.

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Speaker 5: I think because of Miles and Lampkin being out for

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Speaker 5: like they were. But with them in the lineup, I

397
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Speaker 5: actually think it's a decent matchup, and I'm comfortable laying

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Speaker 5: the point in half. With the Frogs, I will say

399
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Speaker 5: I'm a little more skeptical on them as like a

400
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Speaker 5: true like everybody has picked them, you know, Jim root

401
00:17:36,480 --> 00:17:38,959
Speaker 5: Stucky on this show. Every episode we talk like TCU,

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00:17:39,000 --> 00:17:41,679
Speaker 5: this TCU that I'd have to go back through. I

403
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Speaker 5: don't know that there's ever a team in the modern

404
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Speaker 5: college basketball era that's won the national title shooting thirty

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Speaker 5: percent or worse from three, like in the you know,

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00:17:49,640 --> 00:17:52,960
Speaker 5: it's just such a three point liant sport, and that's

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00:17:52,960 --> 00:17:55,080
Speaker 5: to just creates such a math problem for them. We

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Speaker 5: will see in March, you know, I just think there's

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Speaker 5: going to be a game where they shoot eighteen percent

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Speaker 5: from three and like they just kind of go out.

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Speaker 5: But the Frogs are fun. I love when you know,

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Speaker 5: one of my favorite things about college basketball is it's

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Speaker 5: just like the contrasts of styles and matchups and stuff

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Speaker 5: that you just don't really see in like the NBA. Well,

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Speaker 5: in this situation, TCU is like such a fun team

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Speaker 5: to profile, like they're going to be underseedd for sure,

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Speaker 5: Like they're not actually a six five seed. I think

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Speaker 5: they're in the top ten to fifteen. But I just

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Speaker 5: don't know you can win a national title shooting that poorly.

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Speaker 5: I love to see them try, so it'll be fun.

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Speaker 5: But I like the Frogs at home tonight, even though,

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Speaker 5: like the Bill self, roade dog numbers are what they are.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I love Kansas in the spot and I understand

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Speaker 4: that they've won four straight.

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Speaker 2: But what I love.

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Speaker 4: About what Kansas has done and kind of the reason

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Speaker 4: why we wrote them off heres because they were such

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Speaker 4: a streaky three point shooting team. They're so reliant on

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Speaker 4: Grady Dick from outside the arc. But over this four

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Speaker 4: game win streak, they one hundred and sixty six of

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Speaker 4: their three hundred and forty points have come at the rim.

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Speaker 4: That's forty nine percent of their points. They're not relying

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Speaker 4: on three point shooting anymore. I mean they put up

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Speaker 4: eighty eight points against Texas, they made just two three pointers.

435
00:19:05,520 --> 00:19:08,440
Speaker 4: Even against Baylor this past weekend, they shot just six

436
00:19:08,480 --> 00:19:10,200
Speaker 4: of twenty one from beyond the arc, but still put

437
00:19:10,280 --> 00:19:12,359
Speaker 4: up one point three points for a possession. And the

438
00:19:12,400 --> 00:19:15,119
Speaker 4: last time they faced TCU, only twenty two of their

439
00:19:15,160 --> 00:19:17,239
Speaker 4: sixty points came at the room. If you look at

440
00:19:17,240 --> 00:19:19,320
Speaker 4: shot qualling numbers, they should have had more at the room.

441
00:19:19,320 --> 00:19:21,760
Speaker 4: So clearly Bill Soeffis said, stop shooting so many three

442
00:19:21,760 --> 00:19:24,320
Speaker 4: point shots, get the ball inside of Jalen Wilson and

443
00:19:24,359 --> 00:19:25,280
Speaker 4: start scoring.

444
00:19:25,000 --> 00:19:25,640
Speaker 2: At the rim more.

445
00:19:26,080 --> 00:19:28,800
Speaker 4: TCU was one hundred and thirty third nationally in points

446
00:19:28,800 --> 00:19:30,560
Speaker 4: for possession allowed at the rim. And if you look

447
00:19:30,560 --> 00:19:35,120
Speaker 4: through TCU's metrics, it's basically just finishing at the rim

448
00:19:35,160 --> 00:19:38,720
Speaker 4: and transition. Everything else is average to below average. And

449
00:19:38,760 --> 00:19:41,240
Speaker 4: even the last game against Kansas, all of their metrics

450
00:19:41,320 --> 00:19:43,439
Speaker 4: were just very below average. Other than that, and then

451
00:19:43,440 --> 00:19:45,919
Speaker 4: they shot, Like you mentioned, Anthony, they shot over fifty

452
00:19:45,920 --> 00:19:49,960
Speaker 4: percent from outside the arc. Kansas is a top fifty

453
00:19:50,000 --> 00:19:51,720
Speaker 4: team at defending the rim. Yes, they are bad in

454
00:19:51,760 --> 00:19:53,920
Speaker 4: transition and that is a worry here, but the flip

455
00:19:53,960 --> 00:19:56,600
Speaker 4: side is Kansas offensively is a top ten frequency team

456
00:19:56,800 --> 00:19:59,280
Speaker 4: in terms of utilizing the pick and roll, tc is

457
00:19:59,280 --> 00:20:01,280
Speaker 4: two hundred and six than points for possession allowed off

458
00:20:01,280 --> 00:20:03,639
Speaker 4: the pick and roll. So even though Kansas has won

459
00:20:03,680 --> 00:20:05,760
Speaker 4: a ton straight, this is a huge revenge spot for

460
00:20:05,840 --> 00:20:08,240
Speaker 4: them as well. And they you know, obviously this game

461
00:20:08,280 --> 00:20:11,320
Speaker 4: is huge for their potentially winning the Big twelve regular season.

462
00:20:11,440 --> 00:20:13,720
Speaker 2: So I love Kansas plus two.

463
00:20:13,800 --> 00:20:16,159
Speaker 4: I think it's I think it's a great great spot

464
00:20:16,160 --> 00:20:19,399
Speaker 4: for them and a good revenge to beat TCU. And again,

465
00:20:19,440 --> 00:20:22,120
Speaker 4: if TCU doesn't you fifty percent from three point range,

466
00:20:22,400 --> 00:20:26,120
Speaker 4: what happens. So I think you're gonna get an overinflated

467
00:20:26,200 --> 00:20:29,040
Speaker 4: TCU team with Mike Miles back. So give me the

468
00:20:29,160 --> 00:20:32,399
Speaker 4: Jayhawks at plus two. I guess we're going head to head, Anthony,

469
00:20:32,480 --> 00:20:32,960
Speaker 4: that's okay.

470
00:20:33,520 --> 00:20:35,800
Speaker 3: Mike Miles is worth ten points to the spread, I.

471
00:20:35,720 --> 00:20:39,320
Speaker 2: Know, right, yeah, I know. If he has Stucky, it's fifteen.

472
00:20:39,960 --> 00:20:40,400
Speaker 2: All right.

473
00:20:40,440 --> 00:20:42,920
Speaker 4: All right, let's close it out here with some best bets.

474
00:20:42,920 --> 00:20:44,520
Speaker 4: I'll get to you first night. What's your best bet

475
00:20:44,560 --> 00:20:45,359
Speaker 4: from the Monday slate?

476
00:20:45,600 --> 00:20:47,760
Speaker 1: So for my best bet here, I'm gonna go Big

477
00:20:47,800 --> 00:20:49,960
Speaker 1: West play one of the teams I really like, and

478
00:20:50,080 --> 00:20:52,399
Speaker 1: I think it's Kismet that you two guys are in

479
00:20:52,720 --> 00:20:56,000
Speaker 1: soccer experts. I'm going to go with an international superstar,

480
00:20:56,080 --> 00:21:00,200
Speaker 1: aj Mitchell coming in from Belgium. His favorite Premiere Legue

481
00:21:00,200 --> 00:21:01,920
Speaker 1: team is Liverpool. I don't know what that means. You

482
00:21:01,960 --> 00:21:02,919
Speaker 1: guys can inform me.

483
00:21:03,040 --> 00:21:06,080
Speaker 2: Suck Okay, so in general.

484
00:21:05,720 --> 00:21:08,040
Speaker 1: He'll turn down you know, not Riches, but he could

485
00:21:08,080 --> 00:21:10,399
Speaker 1: have made a pretty penny right away. As you know,

486
00:21:10,440 --> 00:21:13,119
Speaker 1: a seventeen eighteen year old playing you know, in Europe

487
00:21:13,440 --> 00:21:15,879
Speaker 1: decides to come and play for the Gauch shows and

488
00:21:16,000 --> 00:21:17,880
Speaker 1: overall when he plays well, this.

489
00:21:17,920 --> 00:21:19,600
Speaker 2: Is one of the best teams in the Big West.

490
00:21:19,600 --> 00:21:21,800
Speaker 1: They're certainly going to buy for the regular season title

491
00:21:21,840 --> 00:21:23,639
Speaker 1: with five games left, and I think this is a

492
00:21:23,720 --> 00:21:25,920
Speaker 1: nice Bilo spot. You know, they've lost too in a row,

493
00:21:26,000 --> 00:21:28,359
Speaker 1: Fullerton coming in having one four in a row. But

494
00:21:28,440 --> 00:21:31,640
Speaker 1: what I love is the contrast in styles. What they

495
00:21:31,640 --> 00:21:34,360
Speaker 1: do is they slow down, they play a half court game.

496
00:21:34,400 --> 00:21:36,399
Speaker 1: They're the slowest team in the Big West, and then

497
00:21:36,440 --> 00:21:38,200
Speaker 1: they go ahead and they nail their shots.

498
00:21:38,200 --> 00:21:39,719
Speaker 2: They're eleventh and shooting percentage.

499
00:21:39,840 --> 00:21:41,919
Speaker 1: So I think this is an opportunity to take a

500
00:21:41,960 --> 00:21:44,399
Speaker 1: team that clearly still has everything in front of them.

501
00:21:44,400 --> 00:21:46,960
Speaker 1: They're only a game back in the Big West Conference

502
00:21:47,000 --> 00:21:48,639
Speaker 1: title race, so I think you're going to get their

503
00:21:48,640 --> 00:21:50,960
Speaker 1: best performance at home. They're a very strong home team,

504
00:21:51,080 --> 00:21:53,160
Speaker 1: where Fullerton's kind of, you know, middle of the road

505
00:21:53,200 --> 00:21:55,920
Speaker 1: in that regard. Overall, I just think that the Big

506
00:21:55,960 --> 00:21:58,359
Speaker 1: West Tournament is going to be really interesting. It's going

507
00:21:58,440 --> 00:22:00,720
Speaker 1: to be a fun one to handicap some as I

508
00:22:00,760 --> 00:22:03,359
Speaker 1: mentioned contrasts of styles in the way that these teams play,

509
00:22:03,600 --> 00:22:05,520
Speaker 1: but the fact that you get Mitchell who's a star

510
00:22:05,600 --> 00:22:08,280
Speaker 1: on the wing, and Norris, who arguably is the best

511
00:22:08,280 --> 00:22:11,160
Speaker 1: big in the Big West at this point, I really

512
00:22:11,240 --> 00:22:12,840
Speaker 1: like what they bring to the table. It's a team

513
00:22:12,880 --> 00:22:14,720
Speaker 1: that I've only bet a few times this year, but

514
00:22:14,760 --> 00:22:16,520
Speaker 1: I think the fact that they're only laying five and

515
00:22:16,520 --> 00:22:18,520
Speaker 1: a half a team that I want to say. They

516
00:22:18,560 --> 00:22:21,520
Speaker 1: beat Fullerton by twelve at their place last time they played.

517
00:22:21,640 --> 00:22:23,359
Speaker 1: I think there's plenty of value there, and I think

518
00:22:23,400 --> 00:22:26,040
Speaker 1: the market's over corrected based on you know, the recency

519
00:22:26,040 --> 00:22:26,600
Speaker 1: bias here.

520
00:22:26,920 --> 00:22:29,600
Speaker 2: That was my best bet as well.

521
00:22:29,600 --> 00:22:32,480
Speaker 4: WHOA all right, we're gonna be joining you. I'll add

522
00:22:32,480 --> 00:22:35,119
Speaker 4: on a couple of things here. So you mentioned this

523
00:22:35,200 --> 00:22:38,240
Speaker 4: slow pace. Obviously, they played primarily in the half court

524
00:22:38,520 --> 00:22:40,879
Speaker 4: Fullerton's two hundred and seventh and points possession allowed in

525
00:22:40,880 --> 00:22:44,640
Speaker 4: the half court and Santa Barbara is actually a top

526
00:22:44,640 --> 00:22:46,720
Speaker 4: fifty team in terms of points possession allowed in half

527
00:22:46,720 --> 00:22:49,160
Speaker 4: court offense, and Fullerton as well plays a very very

528
00:22:49,160 --> 00:22:52,360
Speaker 4: slow pace. They're just a really streaky three point shooting team,

529
00:22:52,359 --> 00:22:54,280
Speaker 4: like they're shooting thirty eight percent from behind the arc

530
00:22:54,320 --> 00:22:56,720
Speaker 4: and conference play, but a few get their shot quality numbers.

531
00:22:56,760 --> 00:22:58,320
Speaker 2: It should be thirty five percent or.

532
00:22:58,359 --> 00:23:01,080
Speaker 4: Around there, So they're bound to cool off a little

533
00:23:01,119 --> 00:23:05,200
Speaker 4: bit here. And Santa Barbara top five frequency team in

534
00:23:05,280 --> 00:23:08,120
Speaker 4: terms of ulizing pick and roll cal Stay Forwards's two

535
00:23:08,200 --> 00:23:10,359
Speaker 4: hundred and thirty ninth in points through possessional out on

536
00:23:10,400 --> 00:23:14,480
Speaker 4: pick and rolls and also Santa Barbara's top forty team

537
00:23:14,480 --> 00:23:17,439
Speaker 4: in finishing at the rim cal State Forwards in one

538
00:23:17,520 --> 00:23:19,520
Speaker 4: hundred and ninetieth and points possessional out at the RIM.

539
00:23:19,640 --> 00:23:21,960
Speaker 4: So I agree with you, really good, really good bilo

540
00:23:22,040 --> 00:23:24,280
Speaker 4: spot here for Santa Barbara coming off two straight losses.

541
00:23:24,320 --> 00:23:25,359
Speaker 2: So I'm with you.

542
00:23:25,400 --> 00:23:28,760
Speaker 4: Santa Barbara minus five and a half, Anthony, are you

543
00:23:28,920 --> 00:23:30,240
Speaker 4: going to make it three for three or do you

544
00:23:30,280 --> 00:23:31,080
Speaker 4: have another best bet?

545
00:23:31,600 --> 00:23:34,439
Speaker 5: I'm going to stick in the Big Twelve West Virginia

546
00:23:34,480 --> 00:23:36,719
Speaker 5: Oklahoma State under one forty five and a half.

547
00:23:37,440 --> 00:23:39,159
Speaker 3: This is surprisingly high for me.

548
00:23:39,960 --> 00:23:42,199
Speaker 5: The first meeting, I bet the under at one forty

549
00:23:42,800 --> 00:23:46,639
Speaker 5: it sailed under at one twenty seven. West Virginia's perimeter

550
00:23:46,760 --> 00:23:48,639
Speaker 5: defense has been really bad in the conference. They have

551
00:23:48,680 --> 00:23:52,119
Speaker 5: the worst three point shooting defense allowed percentage wise. I

552
00:23:52,160 --> 00:23:55,399
Speaker 5: tend to think that that will ultimately regress back toward means,

553
00:23:55,480 --> 00:23:58,080
Speaker 5: and that this perimeter defense isn't great. It's not as

554
00:23:58,119 --> 00:23:59,960
Speaker 5: good as the rest of the Big Ten or Big twelve,

555
00:24:00,000 --> 00:24:02,280
Speaker 5: but it's not as bad as as that number suggests.

556
00:24:02,440 --> 00:24:05,280
Speaker 5: And Oklahoma State is certainly not the team that's going

557
00:24:05,320 --> 00:24:08,080
Speaker 5: to really take advantage of that. With their very or

558
00:24:08,240 --> 00:24:10,600
Speaker 5: perimeter shooting. They shoot thirty two percent from three to

559
00:24:10,640 --> 00:24:12,920
Speaker 5: thirty two and a half percent, So I think it's

560
00:24:12,920 --> 00:24:15,840
Speaker 5: going to be harder for Oklahoma State to really exploit

561
00:24:15,840 --> 00:24:19,120
Speaker 5: this perimeter weakness. And West Virginia is going up against

562
00:24:19,119 --> 00:24:21,120
Speaker 5: a defense that doesn't let you get anything at the rim,

563
00:24:21,640 --> 00:24:23,679
Speaker 5: and I think that's going to be, you know, another

564
00:24:23,720 --> 00:24:25,159
Speaker 5: reason why they're going to have to shoot from the

565
00:24:25,200 --> 00:24:26,040
Speaker 5: outside to get going.

566
00:24:26,080 --> 00:24:29,280
Speaker 3: They can shoot pretty effectively, but they haven't been great

567
00:24:29,320 --> 00:24:29,840
Speaker 3: in conference play.

568
00:24:29,840 --> 00:24:32,360
Speaker 5: They're're shooting around thirty three percent too, So I think

569
00:24:32,400 --> 00:24:34,280
Speaker 5: with the defense in West Virginia that's not going to

570
00:24:34,320 --> 00:24:38,959
Speaker 5: get exploited at the perimeter and potentially Oklahoma State, you know,

571
00:24:38,960 --> 00:24:40,720
Speaker 5: taking away the rim for West Virginia, which is where

572
00:24:40,720 --> 00:24:41,840
Speaker 5: they like to get most of their offense.

573
00:24:42,560 --> 00:24:43,680
Speaker 3: This is an under for me at one.

574
00:24:43,680 --> 00:24:44,480
Speaker 2: Forty five and a half.

575
00:24:44,520 --> 00:24:47,119
Speaker 5: It actually got ticked up a couple of points this morning,

576
00:24:47,119 --> 00:24:48,639
Speaker 5: so I'm happy to play against that team.

577
00:24:48,800 --> 00:24:50,600
Speaker 3: Take the under one forty five and a half. West

578
00:24:50,680 --> 00:24:52,040
Speaker 3: Virginia Oklahoma State.

579
00:24:53,000 --> 00:24:55,000
Speaker 4: All right, that I'll do it for this Monday episode

580
00:24:55,000 --> 00:24:56,280
Speaker 4: of Big Bets on Campus.

581
00:24:56,480 --> 00:24:57,919
Speaker 2: Thank you to Anthony and Michael.

582
00:24:58,000 --> 00:25:01,399
Speaker 4: Thank you to all our video and audio teams on

583
00:25:01,440 --> 00:25:05,280
Speaker 4: the back end. Thank you to bet mgm our sponsor Stuck.

584
00:25:05,320 --> 00:25:07,520
Speaker 4: We'll be back in the host chair on Friday, don't

585
00:25:07,520 --> 00:25:10,240
Speaker 4: you worry everybody out there, and I'm not taking over,

586
00:25:10,880 --> 00:25:13,080
Speaker 4: So make sure you check out the guys from the

587
00:25:13,080 --> 00:25:17,080
Speaker 4: Three Man Weave as always, subscribe unsubscribed, subscribe you know

588
00:25:17,119 --> 00:25:18,879
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589
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590
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591
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592
00:25:25,359 --> 00:25:28,760
Speaker 4: guys again on Friday morning again. Make sure to check

593
00:25:28,760 --> 00:25:30,760
Speaker 4: out the guys from Three Men Weave and luck on

594
00:25:30,800 --> 00:25:31,400
Speaker 4: all your wagers.

595
00:25:31,640 --> 00:25:49,399
Speaker 5: Jeers Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you

596
00:25:49,680 --> 00:25:52,400
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597
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598
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