WEBVTT - The Ultimate Outfield Guide (EP. 761) 0:00:06.080 --> 0:00:08.559 Welcome and everybody to Fantasy Pros. This is the Fantasy 0:00:08.560 --> 0:00:11.960 Baseball Podcast. It's meet Jill, we paid Joe Pisapia, and 0:00:12.000 --> 0:00:14.720 today we're gonna take a look at the outfielders. That's right, 0:00:14.760 --> 0:00:18.040 it's the ultimate outfield Guide. We're going to go through 0:00:18.040 --> 0:00:20.239 the outfield ones all the way to outfield five. There's 0:00:20.280 --> 0:00:22.520 gonna be some d h's in there as well, because 0:00:22.520 --> 0:00:24.959 that's how we roll. And of course helping me go 0:00:25.120 --> 0:00:27.480 all the way rolling down the hill is the Welsh, 0:00:27.760 --> 0:00:30.280 your favorite everybody. Let's hear three cheers for the Welsh. 0:00:30.360 --> 0:00:32.360 I love that there's no three cheers for anybody anything 0:00:32.440 --> 0:00:34.720 like a hip hip paraye. Yeah, like we don't get 0:00:34.720 --> 0:00:37.159 a good old three cheers for anyone. Let's bring that 0:00:37.200 --> 0:00:38.400 back this year. I'm leading off. 0:00:38.680 --> 0:00:42.520 How would we do that? We're gonna do paray, yeah, 0:00:42.560 --> 0:00:43.559 sound something or. 0:00:43.600 --> 0:00:46.080 Just cheer three times? I don't know, we'll figure that out. 0:00:46.080 --> 0:00:48.800 We've got hip hip paraye the same as three cheers. 0:00:48.920 --> 0:00:54.640 What is what would you do if you three cheered hooray, hooray, hooray. 0:00:55.000 --> 0:00:57.280 Yeah that let that does feel awkward. That wanted you 0:00:57.320 --> 0:00:58.680 to do it. I really wanted you to do it. 0:00:58.760 --> 0:01:01.200 Yeah, that was super awkward. How about just hip hit paray. 0:01:01.720 --> 0:01:04.560 What won't be awkward, of course is this show the 0:01:04.560 --> 0:01:06.640 rest of it? Well, actually no guarantees on that, but 0:01:06.680 --> 0:01:08.479 we are gonna go ahead and we're gonna talk about 0:01:08.560 --> 0:01:12.640 these outfielders, our favorite draft picks to make our tiers 0:01:12.680 --> 0:01:15.560 where we have the drop offs even within these groupings. 0:01:15.560 --> 0:01:17.360 Here of the outfielders, and again you can see all 0:01:17.360 --> 0:01:20.080 these ranks at fantasypros dot com on the MLB ranking side. 0:01:20.120 --> 0:01:23.720 Don't forget. Also, as you're drafting your teams, sink your 0:01:23.800 --> 0:01:27.199 leagues for free. Use the Fantasy Pros Baseball My Playbook. 0:01:27.480 --> 0:01:31.240 You can manage all of your fantasy baseball teams on 0:01:31.280 --> 0:01:34.080 your yahoos and your CBS's and your espns or wherever 0:01:34.120 --> 0:01:36.880 the heck you play, all in one spot, set all 0:01:36.880 --> 0:01:39.280 your lineups, look for your free agents on one app. 0:01:39.319 --> 0:01:42.960 You say yes, I say that's correct, so go do that. Also, 0:01:43.080 --> 0:01:46.080 don't forget as well. Draft Wizard is open for business 0:01:46.080 --> 0:01:49.200 Fantasypros dot Com slash mock. You can also download the 0:01:49.240 --> 0:01:51.800 Draft Wizard app as well, and of course, the Draftkit 0:01:51.960 --> 0:01:54.760 is free and available at Fantasypros dot com slash Draft 0:01:54.840 --> 0:01:57.280 Kit and remember, when you're a Premium Fantasy Pros member, 0:01:57.600 --> 0:02:01.160 you'll get upgraded tools for all of the above, including 0:02:01.160 --> 0:02:03.960 the amazing draft software, so you can never screw up 0:02:03.960 --> 0:02:07.440 a draft ever in the history of the universe. So 0:02:07.520 --> 0:02:11.160 Welsh the outfielders last year, this was a tricky group. 0:02:11.880 --> 0:02:14.600 Certainly some outfielders were very excited about, but then the 0:02:14.639 --> 0:02:16.799 bottom kind of fell off. I feel like when we're 0:02:16.800 --> 0:02:19.600 looking at this group this year, I feel a little 0:02:19.639 --> 0:02:22.160 bit better. I also feel like we're getting some youth 0:02:22.800 --> 0:02:25.400 influx here that's going to help things as the season 0:02:25.440 --> 0:02:28.280 goes on, especially some better health excuse me, from some 0:02:28.320 --> 0:02:30.960 guys like Riley Green and a few others could also 0:02:31.040 --> 0:02:33.440 be exactly what this position needs. Would you agree? 0:02:33.800 --> 0:02:37.040 Yeah, And there's there's other like little sneaky things we're 0:02:37.040 --> 0:02:39.720 not going to talk about here, but like Byron Buxton 0:02:40.160 --> 0:02:41.880 is going to be playing in the outfield this year 0:02:41.919 --> 0:02:45.720 if he plays, so he'll requalify. There's other sneaky things 0:02:45.720 --> 0:02:48.000 to look out for. It was announce over in Padres Camp. 0:02:48.160 --> 0:02:50.959 Padres have like one registered outfielder right now in Fernando 0:02:51.000 --> 0:02:55.520 Tatis Junior. That Jackson Merrill, top infield shortstop prospect is 0:02:55.520 --> 0:02:57.320 going to play in the outfield. So that's another guy 0:02:57.360 --> 0:02:59.040 that's going to play in the outfield. So it's coming 0:02:59.080 --> 0:03:02.359 back to say that like this position, it can get 0:03:02.360 --> 0:03:04.280 away from you, and that's my biggest problem with it. 0:03:04.320 --> 0:03:06.160 But there are sneaks. Stop with the Bucks and I 0:03:06.240 --> 0:03:06.480 know some. 0:03:08.200 --> 0:03:10.560 I'm not even laughing about Buckston. What I'm laughing about 0:03:11.040 --> 0:03:13.160 he said, it's only one registered outfielder. And all I 0:03:13.200 --> 0:03:14.920 can think about, does he have to go to all 0:03:14.960 --> 0:03:17.359 the other teams and tell everyone that he's a registered outfielder. 0:03:19.639 --> 0:03:22.639 Yea, they have to have a list and everything like that. Yeah, Joe, 0:03:22.680 --> 0:03:24.160 it's a great one. That's a really good one. I 0:03:24.160 --> 0:03:26.120 think he did. Then that's why they're bringing some others in. 0:03:26.200 --> 0:03:31.400 But yes, depth is the question here. Five outfielder versus 0:03:31.480 --> 0:03:34.880 three outfielder, those are the question. And will go through 0:03:34.920 --> 0:03:37.600 them because the tippy top looks great. There are some 0:03:37.680 --> 0:03:41.720 sneaky sneaks later there. But I promise you this position 0:03:41.760 --> 0:03:44.680 can get away from you in drafts because of what 0:03:44.720 --> 0:03:48.400 the entirety of this board looks like. When you attack pitchers, 0:03:48.640 --> 0:03:52.800 when you attack infield, stolen bases, you can go. You 0:03:52.840 --> 0:03:56.480 can be into like the seventh round and go, oh my, 0:03:57.400 --> 0:04:00.520 where are my outfielders? And then you're out field two 0:04:00.520 --> 0:04:03.320 and three way far behind. And you can be but 0:04:03.360 --> 0:04:06.360 you have to be behind somewhere in your positions. But 0:04:06.400 --> 0:04:08.640 it ain't great when you got five outfielders that you're 0:04:08.640 --> 0:04:09.080 dealing with. 0:04:09.240 --> 0:04:11.480 All right, let's start here before we get canceled on 0:04:11.520 --> 0:04:14.200 the show. Let's start with Ronald Acunya. I mean he 0:04:14.360 --> 0:04:17.800 is Okay, here's maybe a dumb question. Is Acunya a 0:04:17.839 --> 0:04:21.080 tier unto himself? How does forty seven question? I mean 0:04:21.240 --> 0:04:23.240 he is. Of course he is well because it was 0:04:23.240 --> 0:04:26.040 such an incredible year last year. And I mean, look 0:04:26.200 --> 0:04:28.400 when you when you make that jump, like he had 0:04:28.440 --> 0:04:30.279 forty one home runs back in twenty nineteen, right, but 0:04:30.320 --> 0:04:32.120 he has never hit thirty cents. And I know we 0:04:32.160 --> 0:04:34.479 had the COVID short year, but still, I mean, this 0:04:34.520 --> 0:04:36.680 is the guy who's batting average jumped to the highest 0:04:36.680 --> 0:04:38.960 that's ever been at three thirty eight. The stolen bases 0:04:39.920 --> 0:04:42.599 double almost anything he's ever done. Thirty seven was his 0:04:42.760 --> 0:04:45.560 previous career high. I mean that that is the one 0:04:45.560 --> 0:04:48.720 thing you ask yourself. It's like, is it repeatable and sustainable? 0:04:49.160 --> 0:04:51.880 Probably not? But if he gets ninety percent of it, 0:04:52.040 --> 0:04:54.600 He's probably still in the tier above himself right onto it. 0:04:54.640 --> 0:04:57.640 Remember, yeah, I remember that story I told where we were 0:04:57.640 --> 0:05:00.040 talking with some of the dev team about projections and 0:05:00.120 --> 0:05:02.360 it kind of became about Otani in this dynasty way 0:05:02.360 --> 0:05:04.760 and it was like, hey, you know, Otani, should he 0:05:04.800 --> 0:05:07.320 be worth this? And it's like, well, he is two players, 0:05:07.520 --> 0:05:09.520 and my argument was like, well, hey, here's what we 0:05:09.600 --> 0:05:11.919 have to do. We have to bring Otani to the 0:05:11.960 --> 0:05:16.640 same ish level as Akunya because Akunya performed like two 0:05:16.800 --> 0:05:20.280 offensive players. I mean, just we do this thing where 0:05:20.279 --> 0:05:22.240 we can cut it like I always love to do this, 0:05:22.279 --> 0:05:24.240 look at a player's performance from a year that was 0:05:24.360 --> 0:05:25.880 that was high and then say, okay, what does this 0:05:25.920 --> 0:05:27.599 guy look like if you cut off ten to fifteen 0:05:27.640 --> 0:05:29.840 percent of the production. Okay, this is the guy. Blah 0:05:29.839 --> 0:05:33.960 blah blah. You take a fifty percent of the production 0:05:34.160 --> 0:05:38.200 and it's still like thirty something stolen bases is. 0:05:38.240 --> 0:05:41.800 Something deals with twenty homers. It is fifty something RBI, 0:05:41.880 --> 0:05:44.200 but it's like c J Abrams, but it's seventy something 0:05:44.320 --> 0:05:47.440 run scored, so it's still like it is j Abrams. 0:05:47.720 --> 0:05:50.920 Yeah, it's like Abrams it's like two abrams put together. 0:05:51.000 --> 0:05:54.560 So Acunya performs at a level of like two players. 0:05:54.640 --> 0:05:57.080 You absolutely can always and you should ask can a 0:05:57.120 --> 0:05:59.280 guy repeat? But I do look at this and I go, 0:05:59.480 --> 0:06:01.400 this is who if this guy wants to be in 0:06:01.440 --> 0:06:04.279 these new rules, this is where he went, and how 0:06:04.360 --> 0:06:06.920 much production can you cut off until you find your 0:06:06.960 --> 0:06:09.680 reasoning why you wouldn't take him number one? And I 0:06:09.720 --> 0:06:13.160 think it's a big number. Acunya is the clear cut 0:06:13.279 --> 0:06:15.279 number one. I ain't trying to get cute here. He 0:06:15.360 --> 0:06:17.280 performs at two levels so much so. And I know 0:06:17.320 --> 0:06:19.280 I've said this once or twice, but he had brought 0:06:19.320 --> 0:06:22.719 up conversation where people wanted to create three third round 0:06:22.760 --> 0:06:25.360 reversals in leagues because it wasn't fair. 0:06:25.720 --> 0:06:26.559 Oh oh god. 0:06:26.600 --> 0:06:28.440 I would never do that, that's silly. But I saw 0:06:28.480 --> 0:06:29.800 that conversation popping up. 0:06:30.240 --> 0:06:32.840 I got your third round reversal right here, buddy, All right, 0:06:33.200 --> 0:06:36.360 let's go to the next grouping here. So Acunya an 0:06:36.400 --> 0:06:41.400 island after that. Julio Rodriguez, Corbyn Carroll, our Boy, Mookie Betts, 0:06:41.520 --> 0:06:45.119 Kyle Tucker, Fernando Tatis at seven. You've got Aaron Judge 0:06:45.200 --> 0:06:48.200 Jan Sota at eight Alvarez at nine and then Luis 0:06:48.279 --> 0:06:51.000 Robert at ten. To me, this is the top ten? 0:06:51.080 --> 0:06:53.160 Is that grouping two to ten? That is so if 0:06:53.160 --> 0:06:55.680 one is the superlative tier in Acunya, this is the 0:06:55.720 --> 0:06:57.800 A tier right after that? Would you agree? 0:06:58.120 --> 0:07:02.599 Yes? But as my teas work, could I see myself 0:07:02.640 --> 0:07:06.360 taking je Soto in any scenario over Julio Rodriguez. It's 0:07:06.480 --> 0:07:09.960 way closer than what we did in the Ultimate Infield Guide, 0:07:10.000 --> 0:07:11.960 which you guys can go check out on podcasts or 0:07:11.960 --> 0:07:15.560 YouTube right now. Go do that. It's way closer. But 0:07:15.640 --> 0:07:18.480 the answer is no. So in that these are this core, 0:07:18.800 --> 0:07:22.400 Julio Carrol and Bets are their own tier. In my mind, 0:07:22.720 --> 0:07:26.120 I don't deviate from those three. It is always those three. 0:07:26.320 --> 0:07:31.520 So it's Julio Carrol, Bets, and then it's Tucker Tatis, 0:07:31.880 --> 0:07:35.800 Judge Soto that's the next tier, and then it goes 0:07:35.840 --> 0:07:38.160 to the other guys you mentioned. But like these are 0:07:38.160 --> 0:07:40.480 the names, there isn't I'm not taking a guy off 0:07:40.520 --> 0:07:43.080 and I'm not gonna but that's how I break them apart. 0:07:43.120 --> 0:07:44.200 But these are the dudes. 0:07:44.560 --> 0:07:48.120 I already have bet Julio Drigez for ALMVP again just 0:07:48.120 --> 0:07:50.960 like I did last year, I anticipated Showeotana getting traded, 0:07:51.000 --> 0:07:54.080 and I still hold true. If Otani did get traded 0:07:54.160 --> 0:07:57.200 like you should have, I think Julio second half would 0:07:57.200 --> 0:07:59.840 have spoken volumes. It would have a very interesting conversation. 0:08:00.080 --> 0:08:02.280 But I don't think we've seen the best out of 0:08:02.320 --> 0:08:04.280 Julio Rodriguez yet, which is scary for the rest of 0:08:04.280 --> 0:08:07.080 the league. So obviously this group is great. These are 0:08:07.120 --> 0:08:09.760 all first round picks basically, So I mean, we can't 0:08:09.760 --> 0:08:12.400 split hairs over either of them because I don't have 0:08:12.440 --> 0:08:15.280 any hairs to split anymore literally, but you still you 0:08:15.320 --> 0:08:17.280 have plenty. Let's take a quick break in the action 0:08:17.400 --> 0:08:20.200 to tell you about fan Tracks, the most customizable fantasy 0:08:20.200 --> 0:08:24.440 platform in the industry, offering the greatest fantasy experience for 0:08:24.560 --> 0:08:28.360 your dynasty keeper, redraft and best ball leagues. 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Michael Harris comes in eleven, 0:09:36.240 --> 0:09:39.280 Randy Rose arena at twelve. So between those two guys, 0:09:39.320 --> 0:09:41.320 who are you taking Harris or a Rose Arena? 0:09:41.760 --> 0:09:44.960 Michael Harris, he is one of my draft day targets. 0:09:45.080 --> 0:09:47.760 I absolutely love him. The only thing that gets me 0:09:47.840 --> 0:09:50.120 off of him. Is if I like went in a 0:09:50.120 --> 0:09:53.000 different territory like pitching, pitching third round pitching in fifteen 0:09:53.000 --> 0:09:54.800 team leagues is ten tends to be where I want 0:09:54.800 --> 0:09:57.440 to go. But I do want Michael Harris. We talked 0:09:57.440 --> 0:10:00.240 about it with Ario Cohen on the ATC Projection Show 0:10:00.280 --> 0:10:04.680 here that he performs at essentially a first round value. 0:10:04.840 --> 0:10:06.840 We did that thing where I broke it down guys 0:10:06.840 --> 0:10:08.960 that hit two eighty go twenty twenty in the outfield. 0:10:09.080 --> 0:10:10.959 There were four that did it last year. The other 0:10:11.040 --> 0:10:13.640 three we already talked about in the outfield. Michael Harris 0:10:13.720 --> 0:10:15.640 is the fourth. I think he's going to bounce back 0:10:15.679 --> 0:10:17.800 even bigger this year. I love the team to run 0:10:18.120 --> 0:10:20.400 ballpark factor is great. Harris is going to hit a 0:10:20.400 --> 0:10:21.760 little bit higher in the lineup than some of the 0:10:21.800 --> 0:10:24.360 other guys, like the I talked about Jared Kellnick in 0:10:24.400 --> 0:10:26.400 an episode that I think he's going to bounce back 0:10:26.480 --> 0:10:30.120 up that. I love Michael Harris. I'd love to target him. 0:10:30.160 --> 0:10:32.079 I love to get a value on him. And the 0:10:32.160 --> 0:10:34.640 high batting average really gives him a floor that he 0:10:34.720 --> 0:10:35.680 just doesn't hurt you anywhere. 0:10:35.760 --> 0:10:37.920 Now forty point different than batting average between Harris and 0:10:38.000 --> 0:10:40.520 rose A Raina, I begrudgingly agree with you, but you 0:10:40.559 --> 0:10:43.000 know I love Randy Roseraina. He's just fun. Next one 0:10:43.120 --> 0:10:46.400 at at least is gonna see at thirteen, Nolan Jones 0:10:46.400 --> 0:10:50.840 at fourteen, Mike Trout at fifteen. Let's stop here, Mike Trout. 0:10:51.280 --> 0:10:54.760 Welch's it's come to this. I feel like this is 0:10:54.760 --> 0:10:57.680 where we are. So last year only played eighty two games. 0:10:57.720 --> 0:11:01.160 When he did play on the field, you know, eighteen homers, 0:11:01.200 --> 0:11:04.360 forty four ribbies, fifty four run score to sixty three 0:11:04.360 --> 0:11:07.360 batting average of the fast Bros. Projections right now on 0:11:07.520 --> 0:11:10.360 FP have him at eighty eight runs, thirty four homers, 0:11:10.360 --> 0:11:12.719 eighty seven RBI. We know the stone bases are gone 0:11:12.800 --> 0:11:15.760 hitting two sixty three. Where are you at with Trout? 0:11:15.800 --> 0:11:17.520 Is Trout somebody you think like this is a good 0:11:17.559 --> 0:11:19.880 value for him? Or is Trout somebody where you're just saying, 0:11:19.920 --> 0:11:21.920 you know what, I just can't take this roller coaster 0:11:21.960 --> 0:11:26.079 anymore with the injuries, and now he is like a 0:11:26.200 --> 0:11:28.560 Kunya on island, unto himself, but not in a good way, 0:11:28.600 --> 0:11:31.160 because the rest of this Angels team is not good. Welsh. 0:11:31.240 --> 0:11:33.199 I know a lot of people He's kind of become 0:11:33.320 --> 0:11:35.800 like the Degram of hitters in some degree where people 0:11:35.840 --> 0:11:38.240 are like, I just can't do it. When he's on 0:11:38.360 --> 0:11:40.320 and when he plays, he performs at a high level, 0:11:40.360 --> 0:11:42.240 and I hate doing this because like I tend to 0:11:42.240 --> 0:11:43.960 defend de Grom and then he gets hurt, and it's 0:11:44.040 --> 0:11:46.920 everything that everybody said, I'm right because he's the best 0:11:46.920 --> 0:11:48.960 player on the planet when he's playing, and then he 0:11:49.000 --> 0:11:52.520 gets hurt, like everybody said, So this just leads back 0:11:52.559 --> 0:11:54.400 to like, yeah, I'm of course I'm going to be 0:11:54.440 --> 0:11:56.319 back on Mike Trout. This is the cheapest you have 0:11:56.440 --> 0:11:59.040 ever gotten Mike Trout outside of like, you know, the 0:11:59.400 --> 0:12:00.640 rookie year when he was saying. 0:12:00.520 --> 0:12:03.559 I'm a tempted, Like that's how cheap I'm a tempted. 0:12:03.440 --> 0:12:05.560 But like as you should be, because he is a 0:12:05.760 --> 0:12:08.520 high thirty to forty home run hitter. Even with bad 0:12:08.559 --> 0:12:12.079 players around him, he can pull ninety ninety. He doesn't 0:12:12.120 --> 0:12:14.240 run anymore. That's gone, and I think the average can 0:12:14.280 --> 0:12:16.120 improve a little bit. I think he might be a 0:12:16.120 --> 0:12:19.240 little less swing heavy, but it's the playing time and 0:12:19.240 --> 0:12:20.920 that's what you're gonna have to come to terms with. 0:12:21.160 --> 0:12:23.160 If I took Ellie de la Cruz and I had 0:12:23.240 --> 0:12:25.480 Jazz Chisholm. I don't think I'm gonna take Mike Trout. 0:12:25.600 --> 0:12:27.440 But if I had a lot of safe options, if 0:12:27.480 --> 0:12:29.400 I took the Freddy free like I took Freddy Freeman 0:12:29.440 --> 0:12:31.240 in the first and I took you know whatever, Bryce 0:12:31.280 --> 0:12:32.880 Harper in the second, or I guess I wouldn't take 0:12:32.880 --> 0:12:35.640 two first basemen Raphael Devers in the second. I'm the 0:12:35.640 --> 0:12:38.280 little depleted of stolen bases. Hopefully i'd make it up earlier, 0:12:38.320 --> 0:12:41.720 but like I could, I think it's calculated risks with players. 0:12:41.840 --> 0:12:44.760 To me, Mike Trout is worth a calculated risk. It's 0:12:44.880 --> 0:12:48.440 just is that at the expense of other worthwhile risks. 0:12:48.640 --> 0:12:50.840 You'll already I think you'll already know the bats that 0:12:50.920 --> 0:12:52.920 are risky by the time you get to Trout, to 0:12:52.920 --> 0:12:56.120 know if you can do it, then it may becomes trump. 0:12:56.200 --> 0:12:58.520 That makes a difference. I would say this too, and 0:12:58.520 --> 0:12:59.839 I can't believe I'm going to say these words, and 0:12:59.840 --> 0:13:02.960 I'm might live to regret them. In roto leagues. I 0:13:02.960 --> 0:13:06.320 can't justify taking Trout over Chisholm. I just can't do it. Yeah, 0:13:06.400 --> 0:13:08.360 too much, I think those are right the batting average 0:13:08.400 --> 0:13:10.440 is not going to be that far apart. They both 0:13:10.440 --> 0:13:14.120 are huge injury risks. One is much younger. I just 0:13:14.240 --> 0:13:17.680 I can't. I can't justify it, and I know that might. 0:13:17.600 --> 0:13:19.079 Be for the stolen bases. I get it. 0:13:19.160 --> 0:13:21.040 Yeah, I get Like I said, because roto leagues, I 0:13:21.080 --> 0:13:24.000 can't head to head or season along. I can't justify 0:13:24.400 --> 0:13:28.000 Trout over Chisholm. I can justify Trout Sam Bellinger that 0:13:28.040 --> 0:13:29.960 I can do a little bit easier. Who's next on 0:13:29.960 --> 0:13:32.640 this list at seventeen? Christian Yelich at eighteen, coming off 0:13:32.679 --> 0:13:35.839 a year where he was nineteen homers twenty eight stolen bases, 0:13:35.920 --> 0:13:38.400 hit two seventy eight, so a bounce back year for him, 0:13:38.920 --> 0:13:40.839 no doubt, and it's been a while, like this is 0:13:40.920 --> 0:13:43.600 his best season since twenty nineteen. Are you buying Yelich's 0:13:43.640 --> 0:13:44.200 bounce back? 0:13:44.720 --> 0:13:46.800 I guess I wouldn't say buying because if I were buying, 0:13:46.840 --> 0:13:49.200 I think I would be like hyper aggressive on Yelich, 0:13:49.200 --> 0:13:52.920 and I don't feel hyper aggressive. I mean, seventeen stolen 0:13:52.920 --> 0:13:56.120 bases are seventeen homers twenty three stolen bases is the 0:13:56.160 --> 0:14:00.000 projection on the bat X, which of single aggregate pretty 0:14:00.000 --> 0:14:03.360 inctions was the highest ranked according to Fantasy pros last year, 0:14:03.679 --> 0:14:07.080 so those aren't extreme numbers. I think the batting average 0:14:07.080 --> 0:14:09.000 could dip. I actually think the stolen bases might dip 0:14:09.000 --> 0:14:10.559 a little bit. I think Yelich is coming to the 0:14:10.600 --> 0:14:12.800 point where he does need to pick a side. He 0:14:12.840 --> 0:14:14.840 needs to pick a side. Is he gonna is the 0:14:14.840 --> 0:14:16.839 power gonna go and he's gonna work it through the 0:14:16.920 --> 0:14:19.440 legs and be a higher batting average guy, or are 0:14:19.480 --> 0:14:21.680 the legs gonna go and he's gonna work on this 0:14:21.760 --> 0:14:24.080 side of being a bigger power hitter and maybe selling 0:14:24.080 --> 0:14:27.280 out a little bit more. And I think that deficiency 0:14:27.320 --> 0:14:29.240 with the injury stuff might be a problem. I'm fine. 0:14:29.280 --> 0:14:31.960 I really am indifferent about Yelich. Like if I come 0:14:32.000 --> 0:14:34.400 into a spot and he's fallen a little bit, I 0:14:34.440 --> 0:14:36.720 kind of want a value on him, and he makes 0:14:36.760 --> 0:14:39.280 sense for the roster construction, I'll do it. He's definitely 0:14:39.280 --> 0:14:40.800 not a drafted target for me, though. 0:14:40.640 --> 0:14:43.640 I'll tell you what. I like him at this ADP 0:14:44.440 --> 0:14:47.920 And in some ways I actually feel better about him 0:14:48.000 --> 0:14:50.520 than I do about chishm or Trout because he did 0:14:50.520 --> 0:14:52.400 play one hundred and forty four games last year, undred 0:14:52.400 --> 0:14:55.200 and fifty four last the year before, and you know 0:14:55.320 --> 0:14:57.360 in both of them, you know did show stolen base 0:14:57.400 --> 0:15:00.960 potential nineteen seals in twenty twenty two twenty eight last year, 0:15:01.360 --> 0:15:04.520 the batting average did make some progress there. So I 0:15:04.880 --> 0:15:07.680 think Yelich is just fine. In fact, this is another 0:15:07.720 --> 0:15:10.520 guy too that I feel like in those salary cap 0:15:10.600 --> 0:15:13.560 leagues that he's kind of going to be undervalued, and 0:15:13.600 --> 0:15:15.840 I think he'll come at a really nice return on investment. 0:15:15.880 --> 0:15:18.600 Like you're looking for a solid I think you can 0:15:18.760 --> 0:15:21.520 pay for number three outfielder price and get Yellich as 0:15:21.520 --> 0:15:23.200 your second outfielder, if that makes sense. I think that's 0:15:23.240 --> 0:15:23.920 what I'm getting at. 0:15:24.120 --> 0:15:25.840 If you could get a burger today and pay for 0:15:25.880 --> 0:15:26.400 it tomorrow. 0:15:26.680 --> 0:15:31.440 Yes again, Josh Lowe at nineteen. Kyle Schwarber, who defies 0:15:31.480 --> 0:15:34.440 gravity too. I mean, how this guy hits a buck 0:15:34.560 --> 0:15:37.400 ninety and still can put up you know, one hundred 0:15:37.480 --> 0:15:38.800 hundred and forty bi. 0:15:39.080 --> 0:15:41.040 I don't know it wasn't he the first player to 0:15:41.120 --> 0:15:44.800 like hit forty under two, under hit undertwo something like. 0:15:44.680 --> 0:15:47.960 That, one ninety seven? But how how he scored one 0:15:48.040 --> 0:15:50.440 hundred and eight runs? I mean, I know you have 0:15:50.520 --> 0:15:52.640 forty seven homers while there you go, there's fifty percent 0:15:52.680 --> 0:15:54.600 of them right now, but that's it, Like he is 0:15:54.880 --> 0:15:56.920 those true outcomes. So he is one of those dangers 0:15:56.960 --> 0:15:59.680 of roster construction. You just have to account for it. 0:15:59.720 --> 0:16:04.080 After Schwarber continuing on our list here, Brian Reynolds, Nick Casiano, 0:16:04.200 --> 0:16:08.320 Saya Suzuki, and George Springer close out outfield too. So 0:16:08.560 --> 0:16:12.320 of this grouping from Garcia to Springer, who's your favorite 0:16:12.320 --> 0:16:13.320 guy in this tier? 0:16:13.800 --> 0:16:17.240 Probably? Oh, you added Adalise. 0:16:17.000 --> 0:16:18.960 Well at least was at thirteen. So if you want 0:16:18.960 --> 0:16:20.760 to like I say, no, I want the premium guy. 0:16:20.760 --> 0:16:22.920 I'm not gonna wait. Like you basically have two ways 0:16:22.960 --> 0:16:24.200 to go about this. You can go ahead with the 0:16:24.200 --> 0:16:26.320 premium guy in Garcia. You can go in the mid 0:16:26.440 --> 0:16:28.360 range with Yelich and just kind of get by, which 0:16:28.440 --> 0:16:31.480 is understandable. Or you go to that next grouping here 0:16:31.840 --> 0:16:35.000 towards the end and say, okay, Casianos, excuse me, Brian 0:16:35.040 --> 0:16:38.040 Reynolds and those guys are serviceable outfield twos. 0:16:38.880 --> 0:16:40.720 So there's two guys that I like, and I probably 0:16:40.800 --> 0:16:44.320 pair them together and they're probably the targets. It's my trout, 0:16:44.440 --> 0:16:48.120 like I mentioned risky in my words. And then the 0:16:48.120 --> 0:16:50.760 opposite of that, Brian Reynolds. I have Brian Reynolds. I 0:16:50.760 --> 0:16:53.120 think on every roster construction I've done so far, as 0:16:53.120 --> 0:16:56.600 far as NFBC, like DC's and fifties go, Brian Reynolds 0:16:56.640 --> 0:16:58.720 has been like a major target of mine because that 0:16:58.880 --> 0:17:01.200 is a floor out fielder who does a little bit 0:17:01.240 --> 0:17:02.840 of everything, a little bit of runs, a little bit 0:17:02.840 --> 0:17:06.200 of RBI, good batting average, twenty plus homers, ten plus 0:17:06.200 --> 0:17:09.800 stolen bases, not as sexy as some of these other guys, 0:17:10.160 --> 0:17:12.960 but it mitigates some of the risk. Most likely, if 0:17:12.960 --> 0:17:16.640 you've been listening, you can tell at some point, I'm 0:17:16.720 --> 0:17:19.320 gonna take a shot. I'm gonna take a risk somewhere. 0:17:19.480 --> 0:17:21.879 It could be a picture, it could be Trout, it 0:17:21.880 --> 0:17:24.720 could be an led La Cruz. I'm gonna take it somewhere. 0:17:24.880 --> 0:17:26.440 So you've got to have your back up in my mind, 0:17:26.440 --> 0:17:28.199 you have to have your backup plan of who are 0:17:28.240 --> 0:17:30.960 the safe options that help that. There are some pictures 0:17:31.040 --> 0:17:33.959 that we'll talk about in the next episode, and there's hitters, 0:17:34.080 --> 0:17:36.200 and Brian Reynolds, to me is one of those hitters. 0:17:36.359 --> 0:17:39.240 That's a good like all right, I can take a breath. 0:17:39.480 --> 0:17:42.200 This guy's gonna help fix some of the problems if 0:17:42.240 --> 0:17:44.600 things don't work out with what identify I took Kyle 0:17:44.600 --> 0:17:46.520 Schwarber and all that. By the way, if Kyle shr 0:17:46.520 --> 0:17:48.560 if you didn't look at his batting average, Kyle Schwarber 0:17:48.880 --> 0:17:51.919 was an elite three category player. Elite elie I mean 0:17:52.160 --> 0:17:52.960 we talked about. 0:17:52.960 --> 0:17:55.320 Last was such a deficit, you know when he doesn't 0:17:55.320 --> 0:17:56.760 steal bases really so you know. 0:17:57.480 --> 0:17:59.280 You know what he is. He's the power hitting version 0:17:59.400 --> 0:18:01.919 of kind of like Nico Horner where I was. I 0:18:01.960 --> 0:18:04.920 admit in the last episode, Nico Horner is not quite 0:18:04.960 --> 0:18:07.600 elite in three categories, but he's high up. He's like 0:18:07.640 --> 0:18:10.879 elite stolen bases, really good batting average and maybe elite runs. 0:18:11.280 --> 0:18:14.880 And that's three categories. The other stink, Well that's Kyle Schwarber, 0:18:15.200 --> 0:18:18.400 and he stinks stolen bases and stinks in batting average. 0:18:18.680 --> 0:18:20.800 But if I were to take one of those type 0:18:20.800 --> 0:18:24.600 of guys, specifically Shorber, Brian Reynolds is a great backbone 0:18:24.600 --> 0:18:26.320