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Okay, 11 00:00:35,479 --> 00:00:39,240 Speaker 1: let's get things started, all. 12 00:00:39,200 --> 00:00:40,000 Speaker 2: Right, Here we go. 13 00:00:45,040 --> 00:00:49,600 Speaker 3: Fifteen twenty twenty five, thirty thirty five, forty forty five, fifty. 14 00:00:49,360 --> 00:00:53,000 Speaker 2: And a checkers clock College Football World. 15 00:00:53,920 --> 00:00:55,440 Speaker 1: Stop dollars. 16 00:00:57,280 --> 00:00:59,960 Speaker 2: Oh my godness, please stop all that fuck. 17 00:01:01,040 --> 00:01:01,680 Speaker 1: It's a latter. 18 00:01:13,600 --> 00:01:16,480 Speaker 2: It's not the side on the dog in the fight. 19 00:01:16,840 --> 00:01:19,200 Speaker 2: It's the side of the fights the dog. 20 00:01:22,400 --> 00:01:26,120 Speaker 3: What's up, Degenerate Nation? Welcome to the Big Bets on 21 00:01:26,200 --> 00:01:29,119 Speaker 3: Campus Podcast presented by win Bet. 22 00:01:29,560 --> 00:01:33,640 Speaker 4: This is the Week seven college football betting preview. I'm 23 00:01:33,720 --> 00:01:37,960 Speaker 4: stucky with me as always? Is Colin Wilson Ready to 24 00:01:37,959 --> 00:01:38,400 Speaker 4: get into it? 25 00:01:38,440 --> 00:01:41,200 Speaker 2: Buddy, Ah I thought this would be an easy week 26 00:01:41,240 --> 00:01:44,440 Speaker 2: in handicapping, considering like the big primetime games have all 27 00:01:44,520 --> 00:01:46,959 Speaker 2: kind of fallen off the table and we got these 28 00:01:47,000 --> 00:01:50,559 Speaker 2: monster spreads, but the board is sharp. Finding some value 29 00:01:50,600 --> 00:01:51,559 Speaker 2: this week was a little tough. 30 00:01:52,040 --> 00:01:54,520 Speaker 3: Excited to dig in with you. It brought my shovel. 31 00:01:55,600 --> 00:01:57,760 Speaker 3: Let's uh, we got a lot of games to get to. 32 00:01:57,880 --> 00:02:00,240 Speaker 3: Hopefully we can get to like twenty five thirty games here. 33 00:02:00,680 --> 00:02:03,240 Speaker 4: All right, let's start where we always start, with. 34 00:02:03,640 --> 00:02:05,440 Speaker 3: Our first segment, look ahead, look. 35 00:02:05,280 --> 00:02:13,960 Speaker 4: Away, hangovers, sleepers, and the dreaded sandwich spot. Is it 36 00:02:14,080 --> 00:02:16,480 Speaker 4: time to look ahead or look away? 37 00:02:19,720 --> 00:02:23,040 Speaker 3: This is where we take a look at next week's card, 38 00:02:23,320 --> 00:02:25,919 Speaker 3: and for this week, we'll also look back at last 39 00:02:25,960 --> 00:02:29,240 Speaker 3: week and talk about a couple of hangover spots. We 40 00:02:29,240 --> 00:02:31,920 Speaker 3: try to identify. Okay, our team's gonna come out a 41 00:02:31,919 --> 00:02:34,240 Speaker 3: little flat or are they gonna get caught looking ahead? 42 00:02:34,280 --> 00:02:35,920 Speaker 3: Do they maybe not want to show much? Take out 43 00:02:35,960 --> 00:02:39,440 Speaker 3: their starters a little sooner? Go vanilla, YadA, YadA, YadA. 44 00:02:39,919 --> 00:02:45,760 Speaker 4: So let's start with the two potential look ahead spots 45 00:02:45,840 --> 00:02:50,560 Speaker 4: on the card. We'll start with Pitt at wind bet 46 00:02:51,080 --> 00:02:54,079 Speaker 4: Hit is a four and a half point favorite at 47 00:02:54,160 --> 00:02:57,600 Speaker 4: Virginia Tech over under fifty seven. I was taking a 48 00:02:57,600 --> 00:03:01,880 Speaker 4: look into some advanced met here, and the reason that 49 00:03:02,240 --> 00:03:05,359 Speaker 4: Pitt falls into here is that they have Clemson on deck. 50 00:03:05,400 --> 00:03:07,600 Speaker 4: I don't even do teams even look ahead to Clemson anymore. 51 00:03:07,600 --> 00:03:09,680 Speaker 4: I don't know, but you know, I was looking at 52 00:03:09,720 --> 00:03:10,800 Speaker 4: the metric because you could argue that. 53 00:03:10,800 --> 00:03:13,600 Speaker 3: Pitt is the best team in the ACC based on 54 00:03:14,080 --> 00:03:16,200 Speaker 3: body of work this year. I don't know that's like, 55 00:03:16,560 --> 00:03:18,320 Speaker 3: I don't know if that's saying much being the best 56 00:03:18,360 --> 00:03:21,760 Speaker 3: team in the ACC this year, but they've been pretty impressive. 57 00:03:22,000 --> 00:03:23,920 Speaker 3: You know, a win at Tennessee now looks better and 58 00:03:23,960 --> 00:03:28,480 Speaker 3: better with each passing week. Virginia Tech disappointing loss against 59 00:03:28,720 --> 00:03:31,200 Speaker 3: Notre Dame in a game that they had in their 60 00:03:31,200 --> 00:03:33,600 Speaker 3: grasp or Meister got hurt in the second half. They 61 00:03:33,600 --> 00:03:36,440 Speaker 3: also lost their backup quarterback for the year to injury. 62 00:03:36,760 --> 00:03:40,880 Speaker 3: My problem here with Virginia Tech and looking to fade Pitt. 63 00:03:41,320 --> 00:03:41,800 Speaker 4: The way to. 64 00:03:41,760 --> 00:03:45,360 Speaker 3: Beat Pitt and their aggressive defense this year seems to 65 00:03:45,360 --> 00:03:49,360 Speaker 3: be explosive plays on the outside. I mean, they always 66 00:03:49,360 --> 00:03:53,040 Speaker 3: are going to play you know, man island meant they're 67 00:03:53,040 --> 00:03:55,280 Speaker 3: gonna leave their corners on islands and play an aggressive 68 00:03:55,280 --> 00:03:59,520 Speaker 3: style of defense. I'm not sure Virginia Tech has the 69 00:03:59,640 --> 00:04:03,280 Speaker 3: horses to take advantage. What do you see here pit 70 00:04:03,520 --> 00:04:04,400 Speaker 3: at Virginia Tech. 71 00:04:04,640 --> 00:04:07,200 Speaker 2: Well, there's a really strong disagreement between a lot of 72 00:04:07,200 --> 00:04:09,520 Speaker 2: power ratings, a lot of respective power ratings out there, 73 00:04:09,520 --> 00:04:12,640 Speaker 2: and it's really how much do you value strength of schedule? Right? 74 00:04:12,680 --> 00:04:14,960 Speaker 2: If you look at pitt they've got you know, U Mass, 75 00:04:15,360 --> 00:04:17,560 Speaker 2: Western Michigan, New Hampshire, Georgia Tech. 76 00:04:17,720 --> 00:04:19,520 Speaker 4: Sorry, U Mass is on a one game winning. 77 00:04:19,320 --> 00:04:22,320 Speaker 2: Streak and they're on a whole bit bunch of covering streaks, 78 00:04:22,320 --> 00:04:24,919 Speaker 2: so that's always good for us. But I mean you 79 00:04:24,920 --> 00:04:26,960 Speaker 2: have to take that into account when you say things 80 00:04:27,000 --> 00:04:29,400 Speaker 2: like this team is first in the nation and offensive 81 00:04:29,440 --> 00:04:33,040 Speaker 2: finishing drives and their sixth in passing success, right, I mean, 82 00:04:33,080 --> 00:04:35,680 Speaker 2: come on, New Hampshire, U Mass. I mean you can't 83 00:04:35,720 --> 00:04:37,880 Speaker 2: say that with a straight face. And I feel like 84 00:04:37,920 --> 00:04:39,720 Speaker 2: we need like a carnival sound every time we talk 85 00:04:39,760 --> 00:04:41,839 Speaker 2: about trying to predict the ACC, because it's just up 86 00:04:41,880 --> 00:04:45,800 Speaker 2: and down every week. The ACC back on their bullsh 87 00:04:46,320 --> 00:04:49,160 Speaker 2: But Virginia Tech's already had two tight losses against Notre 88 00:04:49,240 --> 00:04:52,280 Speaker 2: Dame in West Virginia. They beat North Carolina in the openers. 89 00:04:52,320 --> 00:04:55,960 Speaker 2: So there's certainly plenty more respect that I have in 90 00:04:56,000 --> 00:04:58,320 Speaker 2: the numbers as far as what Virginia Tech has than 91 00:04:58,360 --> 00:05:01,680 Speaker 2: what Pitt has. Hokies are top fifteen defensively in passing 92 00:05:01,720 --> 00:05:06,039 Speaker 2: success rate, the thirtieth and finishing drives. They should have 93 00:05:06,040 --> 00:05:07,600 Speaker 2: beat that. They should have won that game against Notre 94 00:05:07,680 --> 00:05:09,559 Speaker 2: Dame in my opinion. But you know, the biggest difference 95 00:05:09,560 --> 00:05:12,919 Speaker 2: between those two defenses is tackling. That twenty third. That 96 00:05:13,000 --> 00:05:15,360 Speaker 2: rank of twenty third by Virginia Tech is legit. They've 97 00:05:15,360 --> 00:05:18,720 Speaker 2: played a legit schedule pit against that schedule of New 98 00:05:18,720 --> 00:05:21,640 Speaker 2: Hampshire and Western Michigan and UMass. There are one hundred 99 00:05:21,680 --> 00:05:24,840 Speaker 2: and sixteenth in tackling. I mean, Virginia Tech has been 100 00:05:24,880 --> 00:05:28,000 Speaker 2: atrocious on offense, especially running the ball. Hokies are bottom 101 00:05:28,080 --> 00:05:31,240 Speaker 2: ten and stuff rushing attempts. So I don't have a 102 00:05:31,279 --> 00:05:34,080 Speaker 2: whole bunch of love here. But Virginia Tech has decided 103 00:05:34,320 --> 00:05:35,800 Speaker 2: there's just a type of war going on in this 104 00:05:35,880 --> 00:05:39,480 Speaker 2: neutral number. Because you know, there is an sp plus 105 00:05:39,640 --> 00:05:41,760 Speaker 2: rating that says this should be eight. There is a 106 00:05:41,800 --> 00:05:44,840 Speaker 2: saggerin rating that says this should be three. There's action 107 00:05:44,920 --> 00:05:46,680 Speaker 2: network says this should be four and a half. So 108 00:05:46,760 --> 00:05:49,039 Speaker 2: I mean, I mean, there is a very wide variety 109 00:05:49,080 --> 00:05:50,800 Speaker 2: all around the seven year. I'm not sure where it's 110 00:05:50,839 --> 00:05:52,960 Speaker 2: going to go, but in my opinion, Virginia Tech at 111 00:05:53,040 --> 00:05:55,160 Speaker 2: least has a more proven resume. I can't sit here 112 00:05:55,160 --> 00:05:56,760 Speaker 2: and believe any of the numbers I see in pitt 113 00:05:56,839 --> 00:06:00,760 Speaker 2: And I know you mentioned Tennessee, but that was Joe Milton, right, 114 00:06:00,839 --> 00:06:04,320 Speaker 2: That wasn't our beloved tended hooker Tennessee. So for me, 115 00:06:04,440 --> 00:06:06,800 Speaker 2: Virginia Texas side. But I'd rather see it move off 116 00:06:06,839 --> 00:06:07,440 Speaker 2: of dead number. 117 00:06:08,640 --> 00:06:10,839 Speaker 3: Yeah, I think this is ultimately a pass for me. 118 00:06:11,360 --> 00:06:13,840 Speaker 3: All right, let's move on to our second and only 119 00:06:13,920 --> 00:06:15,799 Speaker 3: other look ahead spot before we get into a couple 120 00:06:16,040 --> 00:06:19,520 Speaker 3: potential hangovers. Wasn't a big week for lookheads if you 121 00:06:19,560 --> 00:06:22,159 Speaker 3: look at next week slate, but one that did fit 122 00:06:22,200 --> 00:06:26,080 Speaker 3: the bill. UCLA is a one point underdog at winning 123 00:06:26,080 --> 00:06:29,200 Speaker 3: bet over under fifty five and a half traveling to Washington. 124 00:06:29,640 --> 00:06:30,919 Speaker 3: They have Oregon on deck. 125 00:06:31,240 --> 00:06:35,400 Speaker 5: Good situational spot here for Washington coming off of a bye, 126 00:06:35,760 --> 00:06:39,280 Speaker 5: you know, catching UCLA off of the game at Arizona 127 00:06:39,560 --> 00:06:41,120 Speaker 5: that I believe was tied at the half and the 128 00:06:41,160 --> 00:06:44,440 Speaker 5: heat down there, you know, now they travel to Washington 129 00:06:45,000 --> 00:06:45,480 Speaker 5: with a. 130 00:06:45,440 --> 00:06:50,520 Speaker 3: Date with the Ducks on deck. Washington getting a little 131 00:06:50,560 --> 00:06:54,320 Speaker 3: healthier at receiver. You know, the first game of the year, 132 00:06:54,320 --> 00:06:56,320 Speaker 3: all three of their starting receivers are out. They should 133 00:06:56,360 --> 00:07:00,599 Speaker 3: all be back here. One of their best defenders, zts Zion, 134 00:07:00,680 --> 00:07:02,599 Speaker 3: he's should. I don't know if he's going to be 135 00:07:02,600 --> 00:07:03,880 Speaker 3: back or how much is going to play, but he's 136 00:07:03,920 --> 00:07:06,800 Speaker 3: been practicing and cleared. He was projected to be one 137 00:07:06,839 --> 00:07:10,720 Speaker 3: of their best defenders this year. UCLA does a lot 138 00:07:10,720 --> 00:07:13,520 Speaker 3: of things well and a lot of things poorly. If 139 00:07:13,520 --> 00:07:18,000 Speaker 3: you look at their resume so far and statistical profile, 140 00:07:18,480 --> 00:07:22,000 Speaker 3: leaning the Huskies here and it scares me trying to 141 00:07:22,040 --> 00:07:25,000 Speaker 3: back that offense. But it should look a lot after 142 00:07:25,440 --> 00:07:27,000 Speaker 3: I feel like they would have figured some things out.