1 00:00:01,280 --> 00:00:03,520 Speaker 1: This episode is brought to you by P and C Bank. 2 00:00:03,920 --> 00:00:06,680 Speaker 1: A lot of people think podcasts about work are boring, 3 00:00:06,880 --> 00:00:10,719 Speaker 1: and sure they definitely can be, but understanding of professionals 4 00:00:10,800 --> 00:00:14,040 Speaker 1: routine shows us how they achieve their success little by little, 5 00:00:14,440 --> 00:00:18,079 Speaker 1: day after day. It's like banking with P and C Bank. 6 00:00:18,560 --> 00:00:21,360 Speaker 1: It might seem boring to save, plan and make calculated 7 00:00:21,400 --> 00:00:24,479 Speaker 1: decisions with your bank, but keeping your money boring is 8 00:00:24,520 --> 00:00:27,840 Speaker 1: what helps you live or more happily fulfilled life. P 9 00:00:27,960 --> 00:00:32,800 Speaker 1: and C Bank Brilliantly Boring since eighteen sixty five. Brilliantly 10 00:00:32,840 --> 00:00:35,479 Speaker 1: Boring since eighteen sixty five is a service mark of 11 00:00:35,520 --> 00:00:38,760 Speaker 1: the PNC Financial Service Group, Inc. P and C Bank 12 00:00:39,159 --> 00:00:41,360 Speaker 1: National Association Member FDIC. 13 00:00:43,960 --> 00:00:49,239 Speaker 2: It's been a very rocky road so far for healthcare stocks, 14 00:00:50,240 --> 00:00:53,360 Speaker 2: so do you think that the sector will perform better 15 00:00:53,960 --> 00:00:56,680 Speaker 2: next year? We can talk about the teriffs in phases. 16 00:00:56,720 --> 00:01:00,320 Speaker 2: I know that's overseas pharmaceuticals is one of the things 17 00:01:00,360 --> 00:01:05,360 Speaker 2: that Trump put tariffs on, so I believe it's fifty 18 00:01:06,000 --> 00:01:10,360 Speaker 2: on overseas pharmaceutical one hundred hundred, one hundred percent of 19 00:01:10,400 --> 00:01:14,720 Speaker 2: overseas pharmaceutical and then of course the Olympic lawsuit, so 20 00:01:14,720 --> 00:01:16,679 Speaker 2: there's been a lot of hot profile things that have 21 00:01:16,800 --> 00:01:20,800 Speaker 2: hurt healthcare stocks. Don't talk about Eli Lily a lot, 22 00:01:21,480 --> 00:01:26,440 Speaker 2: but uh yeah, what's the what's the forward projection for 23 00:01:26,840 --> 00:01:27,840 Speaker 2: healthcare stocks? 24 00:01:28,520 --> 00:01:32,640 Speaker 3: I think the healthcare sector will be okay, but one 25 00:01:32,720 --> 00:01:36,560 Speaker 3: of the biggest mistakes was the sector trying to price 26 00:01:36,600 --> 00:01:41,720 Speaker 3: in healthcare returns to match tech returns. So if you 27 00:01:41,760 --> 00:01:45,000 Speaker 3: look even Atli Lily from twenty twenty one, which is 28 00:01:45,040 --> 00:01:47,600 Speaker 3: at two oh one seventy eight, it ballooned up to 29 00:01:47,720 --> 00:01:49,920 Speaker 3: nine seventy two fifty three. 30 00:01:50,040 --> 00:01:52,400 Speaker 4: I love Lily dearly. I think it's one of the 31 00:01:52,440 --> 00:01:53,480 Speaker 4: most important companies in. 32 00:01:53,480 --> 00:01:56,600 Speaker 3: Healthcare, but if I had to ask you, just okay, 33 00:01:56,680 --> 00:01:59,280 Speaker 3: is it more important than the video, Microsoft and Meta? 34 00:02:00,680 --> 00:02:03,000 Speaker 3: The price gaps became too wide, and I think they 35 00:02:03,160 --> 00:02:05,760 Speaker 3: began to adjust to prices where they should be. 36 00:02:06,240 --> 00:02:07,640 Speaker 4: Novos had their issues. 37 00:02:08,639 --> 00:02:12,359 Speaker 3: We've always talked about it investing into stocks that are 38 00:02:12,400 --> 00:02:14,120 Speaker 3: domestic and not international first. 39 00:02:14,240 --> 00:02:17,480 Speaker 4: So I think as a result, the sector will be fine. 40 00:02:17,520 --> 00:02:20,560 Speaker 3: But if you're looking for high price returns, the only 41 00:02:20,600 --> 00:02:23,920 Speaker 3: places you really can turn to are bitcoin, which is 42 00:02:23,919 --> 00:02:27,440 Speaker 3: a tech, and then tech sectors and maybe some energy 43 00:02:27,520 --> 00:02:30,040 Speaker 3: trow We can talk about Apple loving later, but I 44 00:02:30,080 --> 00:02:34,400 Speaker 3: think all in all, even with like United Healthcare, the 45 00:02:34,480 --> 00:02:40,079 Speaker 3: margin structures are dramatically different than a tech company. So 46 00:02:40,160 --> 00:02:42,240 Speaker 3: I think it's a mistake at times to try and 47 00:02:42,240 --> 00:02:44,919 Speaker 3: get the same kind of returns that that sector. 48 00:02:45,080 --> 00:02:46,119 Speaker 4: Normally does not give. 49 00:02:46,200 --> 00:02:48,680 Speaker 3: Well, next year be a little bit better, yes, but 50 00:02:48,720 --> 00:02:50,760 Speaker 3: I don't think you should expect thirty five to forty 51 00:02:50,760 --> 00:02:53,640 Speaker 3: five percent return and healthcare at all. 52 00:02:54,080 --> 00:02:56,160 Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't think you should ever expect that type 53 00:02:56,160 --> 00:02:58,440 Speaker 1: of return. If you're in the right place at the 54 00:02:58,480 --> 00:03:01,639 Speaker 1: right time, it can happen. Healthcare is interesting. I think 55 00:03:01,680 --> 00:03:03,920 Speaker 1: it's kind of one of these things where you have 56 00:03:03,960 --> 00:03:05,960 Speaker 1: to see a breakthrough and it has to be something 57 00:03:06,000 --> 00:03:10,239 Speaker 1: that has strong right, it has to be something with 58 00:03:10,680 --> 00:03:14,480 Speaker 1: strong policy behind it. There's a lot of different variations 59 00:03:14,480 --> 00:03:18,000 Speaker 1: of factors that go into making a healthcare stop something 60 00:03:18,000 --> 00:03:19,280 Speaker 1: that is worth investing in. 61 00:03:20,200 --> 00:03:21,720 Speaker 4: The interesting part is that. 62 00:03:23,960 --> 00:03:28,040 Speaker 1: AI is going to disrupt health care, and so there 63 00:03:28,160 --> 00:03:30,880 Speaker 1: could be right it could help it at scale, and 64 00:03:30,919 --> 00:03:33,840 Speaker 1: so we could see innovations in biotech. I think we're 65 00:03:33,880 --> 00:03:36,200 Speaker 1: not We're not far from that, right. Like I talked 66 00:03:36,200 --> 00:03:39,839 Speaker 1: about this yesterday where Latinet was saying that ten years ago, 67 00:03:39,920 --> 00:03:42,240 Speaker 1: every company on the stock market is a tech company 68 00:03:42,280 --> 00:03:43,440 Speaker 1: because it needs a tech component. 69 00:03:43,800 --> 00:03:44,000 Speaker 4: Yep. 70 00:03:44,280 --> 00:03:47,240 Speaker 1: And last week he said every company is going to 71 00:03:47,280 --> 00:03:49,200 Speaker 1: be an AI company because it has to have an 72 00:03:49,240 --> 00:03:53,520 Speaker 1: AI component, and healthcare is not excluded from that. So 73 00:03:53,640 --> 00:03:58,080 Speaker 1: innovation will happen how fast? I think it can happen quickly, 74 00:03:58,880 --> 00:04:01,400 Speaker 1: And if you look at what this administration, especially when 75 00:04:01,440 --> 00:04:03,840 Speaker 1: when you talk about tariffs, and that's even an interesting 76 00:04:03,920 --> 00:04:07,200 Speaker 1: proposition in itself, right, Like the tariffs only go into 77 00:04:07,240 --> 00:04:10,960 Speaker 1: effect at one hundred percent if you're not building a 78 00:04:11,000 --> 00:04:13,960 Speaker 1: plant inside of the United States, and so that's like, 79 00:04:14,720 --> 00:04:17,200 Speaker 1: I mean, you're trying to incentivize people to build infrastructure 80 00:04:17,200 --> 00:04:20,160 Speaker 1: here from the pharmacide. But if they do, then there 81 00:04:20,160 --> 00:04:23,280 Speaker 1: are no tariffs, right for those companies. I think you 82 00:04:23,440 --> 00:04:27,200 Speaker 1: focus on if you're investing in healthcare. I think you're 83 00:04:27,240 --> 00:04:32,080 Speaker 1: focusing on the American companies that have been leading, starting 84 00:04:32,120 --> 00:04:35,240 Speaker 1: with Lily Johnson and Johnson. I think the best thing 85 00:04:35,279 --> 00:04:36,920 Speaker 1: to do, right, and we talked about it last week, 86 00:04:36,960 --> 00:04:39,120 Speaker 1: is go look up these these healthcare ETFs and see 87 00:04:39,120 --> 00:04:42,560 Speaker 1: what the allocation. Yeah, right, if we look at the Spiderfund XLV, 88 00:04:43,240 --> 00:04:47,440 Speaker 1: Lily Johnson and Johnson, ABBV, United Health, ADVOD, MERK I 89 00:04:47,520 --> 00:04:49,400 Speaker 1: used to talk about Thermo official all the time during 90 00:04:49,400 --> 00:04:52,159 Speaker 1: the pandemic. We're talking about how we're going to get 91 00:04:52,480 --> 00:04:56,000 Speaker 1: vaccines and that business is going out the window. Right. 92 00:04:56,000 --> 00:04:58,080 Speaker 1: We talked about what happened. What's happened to Mark you 93 00:04:58,120 --> 00:05:04,880 Speaker 1: can see as well. Yeah, American companies. If that is 94 00:05:04,920 --> 00:05:07,000 Speaker 1: what the administration is leaning towards. To me, like I said, 95 00:05:07,040 --> 00:05:09,960 Speaker 1: you have to have strong policy behind you, I would 96 00:05:10,000 --> 00:05:13,359 Speaker 1: keep an eye on the top five in XLV uh 97 00:05:13,440 --> 00:05:16,200 Speaker 1: and and put on my watch list. I definitely any Striker. 98 00:05:16,400 --> 00:05:17,960 Speaker 1: I think we can put Striker in there, right, Yeah, 99 00:05:17,960 --> 00:05:20,440 Speaker 1: that's always being of my favorites in terms of healthcare, 100 00:05:20,800 --> 00:05:23,559 Speaker 1: Lily for sure. But keep them on your watch list, Lily. 101 00:05:23,600 --> 00:05:26,320 Speaker 1: Obviously it will be the leader. And that has a 102 00:05:26,360 --> 00:05:30,120 Speaker 1: lot to do with not just the the weight loss drugs, 103 00:05:30,240 --> 00:05:33,479 Speaker 1: I mean their entire portfolio. But be mindful of the 104 00:05:33,480 --> 00:05:34,840 Speaker 1: ones that are getting policy behind you. 105 00:05:35,400 --> 00:05:38,479 Speaker 3: The only three I like in the space. You know, Lily, 106 00:05:38,520 --> 00:05:44,240 Speaker 3: of course, ABBV and Striker. You're not You're not a 107 00:05:44,279 --> 00:05:47,560 Speaker 3: healthcare until I get a new CEO and this trial 108 00:05:47,640 --> 00:05:48,039 Speaker 3: is over with. 109 00:05:50,839 --> 00:05:51,440 Speaker 4: Oh that's trial. 110 00:05:51,720 --> 00:05:59,160 Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, that's right, Yeah. 111 00:05:56,880 --> 00:05:59,320 Speaker 4: Yeah, rabbit hole, you know. 112 00:06:02,800 --> 00:06:04,320 Speaker 3: You trying to get canceled this weekend or no, we 113 00:06:04,400 --> 00:06:05,920 Speaker 3: go deep down the rabbit hole and wrap it up. 114 00:06:07,320 --> 00:06:10,919 Speaker 3: Got you, Okay, I'm always down to get canceled. Hello, 115 00:06:12,440 --> 00:06:14,120 Speaker 3: when you invest well investment in Vesco? 116 00:06:16,160 --> 00:06:20,520 Speaker 2: M hm, you're not getting canceled. 117 00:06:20,560 --> 00:06:23,600 Speaker 4: What are you doing? We can crash out day whenever 118 00:06:23,640 --> 00:06:24,000 Speaker 4: you want to. 119 00:06:25,800 --> 00:06:29,960 Speaker 2: I'm always down for a crash out, She said, what 120 00:06:30,000 --> 00:06:30,719 Speaker 2: about CVS. 121 00:06:31,040 --> 00:06:33,960 Speaker 1: I've spoken highly about CVS, and if you've invested in CVS, 122 00:06:34,000 --> 00:06:35,480 Speaker 1: you've so great returns on that as well. 123 00:06:35,600 --> 00:06:36,719 Speaker 4: I like CVS too. 124 00:06:37,279 --> 00:06:40,760 Speaker 2: So for people that you know. Obviously, healthcare is the 125 00:06:40,880 --> 00:06:44,840 Speaker 2: number one expenditure of the United States government, essentially the 126 00:06:44,839 --> 00:06:48,680 Speaker 2: biggest industry in the world. Should people have healthcare as 127 00:06:48,680 --> 00:06:49,760 Speaker 2: part of their portfolio? 128 00:06:50,720 --> 00:06:53,000 Speaker 4: Yeah, only literally, abbv Instrucker. 129 00:06:53,920 --> 00:06:56,400 Speaker 3: The other part that's unfortunate is that we spend all 130 00:06:56,440 --> 00:06:59,159 Speaker 3: this money on healthcare, but we are one of the 131 00:06:59,279 --> 00:07:04,440 Speaker 3: sicker major countries in the world, so it's not for 132 00:07:04,560 --> 00:07:06,600 Speaker 3: our benefit per se. 133 00:07:08,920 --> 00:07:11,720 Speaker 4: Do I think there's great leadership Lily, yes, Abbv Yes. 134 00:07:11,960 --> 00:07:15,040 Speaker 3: Striker, Yes, I think even United Healthcare has a chance 135 00:07:15,080 --> 00:07:19,720 Speaker 3: to turn itself around. But the mistake was because at 136 00:07:19,760 --> 00:07:24,400 Speaker 3: one point when Novo was taken off, The thought was 137 00:07:24,520 --> 00:07:27,080 Speaker 3: what if we can get healthcare returns to look like tech. 138 00:07:28,000 --> 00:07:31,760 Speaker 3: And that's when you started putting our drugs and overqualifying 139 00:07:31,800 --> 00:07:34,440 Speaker 3: them and overstating with the benefits who could be we're 140 00:07:34,480 --> 00:07:35,080 Speaker 3: out looking at the. 141 00:07:35,120 --> 00:07:37,280 Speaker 4: Risk and that destroyed Novo's business. 142 00:07:37,320 --> 00:07:42,360 Speaker 3: So exposure is great for sure, but those are the 143 00:07:42,360 --> 00:07:44,840 Speaker 3: freak three that I will leave into ernest. 144 00:07:44,880 --> 00:07:45,520 Speaker 4: What's up? Look? 145 00:07:45,560 --> 00:07:48,720 Speaker 1: This episode is brought to you by Square Banking. 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