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Speaker 1: All right, welcome to Hoops to night here at the Volume.

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Speaker 1: Happy Monday, everybody. I hope all of you guys had

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Speaker 1: a great weekend. We have finally made it to the

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Speaker 1: NBA Playoffs, my favorite time of year. For basically every

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Speaker 1: night over the next two months or so, we're gonna

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Speaker 1: We're gonna get to watch the best basketball players in

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Speaker 1: the world play incredibly intense and high stakes games, which

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Speaker 1: just leads to incredible basketball and that's why I love

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Speaker 1: it so much. We have a very busy week for

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Speaker 1: those are guys who missed it. Last night, we went

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Speaker 1: forty plus minutes with Colin Coward talking some big picture

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Speaker 1: NBA Playoff topics. Today we're gonna be covering the play

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Speaker 1: in games, previewing the seven eight matchups in both conferences,

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Speaker 1: So we're gonna talk Lakers, Wolves, and Heat Hawks, and

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Speaker 1: then brief mentions of the back end of the play

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Speaker 1: in tournament. And then throughout this week, pay close attention

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Speaker 1: to the feeds because I'm gonna be really seeing eight

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Speaker 1: different videos breaking down all eight of the NBA Playoff

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Speaker 1: series on every level, the schematics, the xs and o's,

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Speaker 1: and the matchups and everything that I expect to see

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Speaker 1: on both ends of the floor in those series, just

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Speaker 1: like we did last year. And then Tuesday night we'll

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Speaker 1: be doing an instant reaction video after the two seven

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Speaker 1: eight games. Thursday, we're gonna be doing a playoff preview

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Speaker 1: episode where we talk about major big picture predictions and

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Speaker 1: storylines with Carson. And then starting Saturday, every single night

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Speaker 1: that there are games, we will be covering and breaking

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Speaker 1: down those games, and it'll be a similar cadence to

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Speaker 1: last year. At the start of the video will do

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Speaker 1: instant reactions, and then the second half of the video

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Speaker 1: will do deep dives into my film sessions from the

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Speaker 1: morning after the games, which are where I get to

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Speaker 1: learn the most about some of the schematic things that

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Speaker 1: are taking place. So this is that crazy time of year.

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Speaker 1: For the next couple of months, we're gonna have videos

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Speaker 1: coming out, sometimes multiple almost every single day, So keep

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Speaker 1: an eye on the feeds. You guys know the joke

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Speaker 1: before we get started it subscribed to the Volumes YouTube

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Speaker 1: channel so you don't miss any more of our videos.

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Speaker 1: Follow me on Twitter at underscore Jason lt so you

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Speaker 1: guys don't miss any show announcements, and for whatever reason

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Speaker 1: you guys miss one of these videos and you can't

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Speaker 1: get back over to YouTube. You can always find these

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Speaker 1: videos wherever you get your podcasts. Under Hoops Tonight, All right,

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Speaker 1: let's talk some basketball. So Wolves Lakers on Tuesday. A

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Speaker 1: couple quick notes on the game. The Lakers are a

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Speaker 1: seven and a half point favorite right now on FanDuel.

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Speaker 1: Minnesota won the season series two to one. However, the

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Speaker 1: only Lakers win was the only time post deadline that

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Speaker 1: both Lebron James and Anthony Davis played a little over

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Speaker 1: a week ago, a double digit win on the road

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Speaker 1: in Minnesota. And we found out this morning that not

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Speaker 1: only will Jaden McDaniels be out from the bizarre wall

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Speaker 1: punching situation, but Rudy Gobert will also be suspended for

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Speaker 1: just this game, expecting him to return should they lose

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Speaker 1: in the second playing game or if they win in

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Speaker 1: the seven two series, but he will not be playing

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Speaker 1: on Tuesday night in Los Angeles did not even travel

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Speaker 1: with the team. Jaden McDaniels is a massive loss. He's

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Speaker 1: one of the best perimeter defenders in the league, looking

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Speaker 1: to rest that title away from the likes of Andrew

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Speaker 1: Wiggins and Jason Tatum and some of the guys that

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Speaker 1: talked about last season, and he's been doing a number

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Speaker 1: on Stars all season long. This is crazy. In his

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Speaker 1: last matchup with Steph, he held him to twenty points

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Speaker 1: on twenty three shots, in his last matchup with Kad

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Speaker 1: he held him to sixteen points on eighteen shots, and

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Speaker 1: in his last matchup with Lebron he held him to

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Speaker 1: eighteen points on nineteen shots. So in his last three

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Speaker 1: matchups with Steph, Katie and Lebron he held him to

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Speaker 1: fifty four points on sixty shots, which is just insane

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Speaker 1: defensive effectiveness from Jade McDaniels. So taking him out of

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Speaker 1: the picture and replacing him with someone like Torrian Prince,

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Speaker 1: who's a good basketball player, but Torrian Prince is a

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Speaker 1: guy that Lebron James has consistently dominated throughout his career.

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Speaker 1: So switching from McDaniels on Lebron to Torrian Prince on Lebron,

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Speaker 1: that's a huge swing factor in a game like this.

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Speaker 1: And then on the go bare front again like this

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Speaker 1: is this is complicated. Gobert is a good player. As

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Speaker 1: much as we like to make fun of him, Gobert

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Speaker 1: is a good player. And obviously the Wolves are a

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Speaker 1: better team when Rudy Gobert is out there, But I

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Speaker 1: do think that the Lakers are a much better team overall,

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Speaker 1: and the Wolves need to create a weird environment, any

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Speaker 1: different type of game to win this game, and so

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Speaker 1: their best bet, in my opinion, is an unorthodox type

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Speaker 1: of game where you're doing a lot more switching, you're

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Speaker 1: playing a lot more five out offensively, in generating an

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Speaker 1: environment where Aunt can be very comfortable because their best

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Speaker 1: chance to win is just an otherworldly effort from Anthony Edwards.

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Speaker 1: So even though in like a larger sample size, I

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Speaker 1: think Gobert kind of makes you a better team in

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Speaker 1: this matchup, obviously with what he brings to the table

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Speaker 1: defensively and on the offensive glass and things along those lines.

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Speaker 1: For a one game sample against a much better team,

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Speaker 1: I actually think Gobert being out kind of creates the

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Speaker 1: type of weird environment that could cultivate an upset in

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Speaker 1: a single game sample. But Lakers are the better team.

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Speaker 1: They're much better defensive team, and they're much better offensive

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Speaker 1: team post headline, they have better superstars, they're at home,

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Speaker 1: and then without Jade McDaniels and nas Read and Go Bear,

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Speaker 1: they're just not very deep. They're not deep enough to

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Speaker 1: hang with this team. And most importantly, Lebron James and

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Speaker 1: Anthony Davis just have more big game experience. Like, yeah,

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Speaker 1: I know the Wolves have played in this type of

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Speaker 1: seven eight game and won before. They won last year,

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Speaker 1: but the Lakers did the same thing the year before,

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Speaker 1: and they've just Lebron James and Anthony Davis in their

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Speaker 1: career have just played in so many monumentally important, important games.

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Speaker 1: They're going to be the more confident, more talented, and

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Speaker 1: simply better team. So having Rudy Gobert out of the picture,

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Speaker 1: in my opinion, kind of creates that bizarre set of

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Speaker 1: circumstances that gives them actually a better chance for that

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Speaker 1: miracle type of game. And Anthony Edwards, I mean, I

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Speaker 1: thought I was so incredibly impressed by him last night.

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Speaker 1: I've always said that I view Anthony Edwards as like

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Speaker 1: guard Lebron, And the main reason that I say that

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Speaker 1: they're not the same type of player. Obviously, and Lebron

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Speaker 1: specifically as a playmaker, is just on a completely different

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Speaker 1: stratosphere than Anthony Edwards will ever be able to get

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Speaker 1: in my opinion, But where I see similarities is the

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Speaker 1: way that at their position, their physical tools can be

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Speaker 1: such a problem. There are a lot of athletic players

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Speaker 1: in the league. There are not a lot of athletic

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Speaker 1: players in the league that are as well rounded an

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Speaker 1: athlete as Anthony Edwards in terms of overall size and strength,

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Speaker 1: low center of gravity, lateral quickness, vertical pop all of

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Speaker 1: the different things that you absolutely have to have to

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Speaker 1: be a supreme athlete. Aunt Edwards is a ten out

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Speaker 1: of ten on all of those And what that means

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Speaker 1: is he's able to impact the game in a way

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Speaker 1: that goes beyond what his shot result is. And I

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Speaker 1: thought last night was a perfect example of that. Couldn't

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Speaker 1: make a jumpshot to save his life. He was turning

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Speaker 1: the basketball over. But through sheer force of will and athleticism.

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Speaker 1: And by the way, Anthony Edwards is one of the

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Speaker 1: best competitors that we have in the league right now,

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Speaker 1: just in terms of his overall attitude and approach to

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Speaker 1: the game. Just through sheer competitive will in athletic tools,

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Speaker 1: he stole that game. Brandon Ingram was amazing in that

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Speaker 1: game from the same point of polish, but Anthony Edwards

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Speaker 1: won it with just sheer force of will and athleticism.

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Speaker 1: That's been the thing that I always see get lost

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Speaker 1: when we're evaluating players. You watch a guy like Lebron

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Speaker 1: and you watch a guy like Kevin Durant. Kevin Durant's

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Speaker 1: undeniably more polished, but Lebron James has had a more

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Speaker 1: successful career because he has a more imposing competitive force

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Speaker 1: of will, and he's just a much better all around

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Speaker 1: athlete when you combine all of his attributes, and those

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Speaker 1: sorts of things just come together in this stage in

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Speaker 1: a way that's more reliable, in my opinion, than your

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Speaker 1: ability to hit a pull up jump shot. A nightmare

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Speaker 1: game for Anthony Edwards, but he made monumental defensive plays.

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Speaker 1: He had thirteen rebounds, four steals, four blocks. One of

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Speaker 1: the most incredible defensive plays I've ever seen a position

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Speaker 1: a play where he's completely out of position and CJ.

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Speaker 1: McCollum has a straight line drive going to the rim,

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Speaker 1: goes up with two hands to dunk it. Anthony Edwards

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Speaker 1: comes flying in out of the corner. His head is

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Speaker 1: above the rim as he swats CJ out of existence

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Speaker 1: and goes the other way, turns it over, but gets

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Speaker 1: to the ball back and gets an and one. Again,

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Speaker 1: just his overwhelming athletic gifts or what allow him to

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Speaker 1: be impactful on a night and night out basis in

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Speaker 1: a way that guys that are incredibly dependent on their

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Speaker 1: skill set in how they can be a little bit

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Speaker 1: more inconsistent and like again, I think he went eight

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Speaker 1: for twenty one from the field in this game, and

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Speaker 1: a big part of that was the fact that he

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Speaker 1: was able to supplement his jump shooting by getting to

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Speaker 1: the rim. I think he was three for eleven on

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Speaker 1: jump shots, but he was able to get to the

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Speaker 1: rim and make some shots, and he made some big

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Speaker 1: shots down the stretch of this game. He is the

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Speaker 1: key to them being able to win a one game

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Speaker 1: sample against a much better team like the Lakers. Have

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Speaker 1: him feel comfortable from the opening tip, have him feel

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Speaker 1: like he's got more space to get to the rim

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Speaker 1: when he starts generating drill penetration, the on ball defender

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Speaker 1: will give him more space. That makes it so that

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Speaker 1: his pull up threes are a higher quality shot. Again,

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Speaker 1: it just is a better kind of like set of

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Speaker 1: circumstances for Anthony Words to have a thirty five forty

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Speaker 1: point night, which is what they're going to need to

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Speaker 1: beat the Lakers, so that that's just basically a very

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Speaker 1: long way of me saying I actually think Rudy Gobert

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Speaker 1: being out kind of gives Minnesota a better chance in

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Speaker 1: this one game, albeit you desperately need him. Should you

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Speaker 1: win or should you get the eight seed for a

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Speaker 1: playoff series? From a matchup perspective, judging from what we

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Speaker 1: learned in that game a couple of Sundays ago or

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Speaker 1: a couple of Fridays ago, I should say we know

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Speaker 1: that with Gobert being off the floor, the Lakers are

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Speaker 1: gonna try to put Anthony Davis on Kyle Anderson. It's

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Speaker 1: gonna be their best bet to try to keep him

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Speaker 1: around the basket to spite Rudy Gobert being off the floor.

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Speaker 1: He still will be able to help there, but it's

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Speaker 1: never quite the same as when a guy's in the

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Speaker 1: dunker spot or rolling to the basket. It's easier to

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Speaker 1: linger around the rim there than it is if he's

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Speaker 1: kind of relocating around the perimeter, even if you're not

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Speaker 1: guarding him on his spot up attempts, and Kyle Anderson

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Speaker 1: can drive that close out and make little pop shots

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Speaker 1: and floaters in the lane, so like it's a better

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Speaker 1: it's a better spacing concept for Minnesota. But I do

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Speaker 1: think Anthony Davis will guard Kyle Anderson whenever he's on

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Speaker 1: the floor and linger around the basket as much as possible.

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Speaker 1: I think they'll put Lebron James on Carl Towns and

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Speaker 1: have him primarily just worry about him at the three

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Speaker 1: point line. We noticed in the second half of their

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Speaker 1: game against the Timberwolves a few fridays ago that they're

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Speaker 1: gonna put Jared Vanderbilt on Anthony Edwards as much as

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Speaker 1: they can, So wouldn't be surprised if you see Jared

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Speaker 1: Vanderbilt on Aunt from the opening tip, and then I

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Speaker 1: expect Austin Reeves to be guarding Mike Conley, and then

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Speaker 1: Dennis Roder when he checks in the game, will guard

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Speaker 1: Mike Conley. And I think they'll tuck DeAngelo Russell away

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Speaker 1: on Torrian Prince. So I think we saw some of

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Speaker 1: those matchups bear out in that second half against the Wolves. Again,

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Speaker 1: it's always a little different because that was a bench

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Speaker 1: group in that game with go bear off the floor,

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Speaker 1: whereas this will be a starting group. But I think

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Speaker 1: that's kind of the way that we're gonna see this shakedown.

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Speaker 1: On the other end of the floor, I think you'll

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Speaker 1: see Torrian Prince on Lebron James with some Kyle Anderson

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Speaker 1: on Lebron James. But my guess is they'll put Kyle

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Speaker 1: Anderson on Jared vander Built and try to get him

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Speaker 1: as the guy who's going to be the hard double guy.

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Speaker 1: Because in their last matchup, if you guys remember Anthony

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Speaker 1: Edwards or Anthony Davis, I should say just barbecued both

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Speaker 1: go bear in Carl Towns, but especially Carl Towns in

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Speaker 1: single coverage in the fourth quarter in the post, just

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Speaker 1: regular post moves just was killing him. And we've also

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Speaker 1: seen in four of Anthony Davis's last eight games him

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Speaker 1: finished with less than twenty points because of teams aggressively

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Speaker 1: doubling him and him struggling to handle that. So in

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Speaker 1: this game, I expect the Timberwolves to hard double Anthony

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Speaker 1: Davis as much as possible and do some doubling of

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Speaker 1: Lebron as well. So from a matchup standpoint, you love

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Speaker 1: to double team with length right because the way you

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Speaker 1: beat double teams is by making kickout passes to shooters,

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Speaker 1: specifically the right shooter that can beat the double team right,

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Speaker 1: and if you pressure the ball that usually what they'll

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Speaker 1: do on a double team is the guy they'll leave

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Speaker 1: open is in the week side corner. And so the

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Speaker 1: more you pressure the ball, that's a long pass. And

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Speaker 1: if that has to be a looping pass over the

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Speaker 1: top as opposed to a straight line pass in his chest,

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Speaker 1: that buys you time to rotate out to the shooter.

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Speaker 1: So doubling with a guy like Kyle Anderson, who's got

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Speaker 1: super long arms in his excellent at getting deflections, that's

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Speaker 1: the best way to try to make Lebron James and

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Speaker 1: Anthony Davis feel uncomfortable in those double teams. So I

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Speaker 1: think you'll put I think they'll end up putting Kyle

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Speaker 1: Anderson on Jared Vanderbilt and using him as the aggressive

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Speaker 1: double team guy. You'll see Torrian Prince on Lebron James,

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Speaker 1: which is a matchup I really like for Lebron, And

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Speaker 1: you'll see Carl Town's on Anthony Davis, which is a

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Speaker 1: matchup I really like for Anthony Davis. So a big

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Speaker 1: storyline in this game is going to be the ability

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Speaker 1: for the Lakers to handle double teams, particularly of Anthony Davis.

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Speaker 1: I expect Lebron James to handle it well. He has

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Speaker 1: his entire career. Honestly, That's gonna be one of the

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Speaker 1: biggest stories for the Lakers in this entire postseason run.

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Speaker 1: It's how well Anthony Davis manages double teams. There's been

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Speaker 1: a lot of thirty five and seventeen type games here

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Speaker 1: down the stretch of the season, and then there's been

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Speaker 1: a lot of like eighteen and eleven type games, And

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Speaker 1: usually the difference between those two types of games is

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Speaker 1: the way teams aggressively double team Anthony Davis in his

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Speaker 1: inability to pass them out of those double teams to

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Speaker 1: earn him single coverage opportunities. So that's the way I

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Speaker 1: see the matchups breaking down. I think you'll see Anthony

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Speaker 1: Edwards start on D'Angelo Russell he did in the last game,

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Speaker 1: and then I think you'll see Mike Conley start on

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Speaker 1: Austin Reeves again. The goal for the Lakers in this

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Speaker 1: game is going to be to keep Anthony Davis by

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Speaker 1: the rim as much as possible. Their best bet there

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Speaker 1: is Kyle Anderson that just by virtue of having Anthony

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Speaker 1: Davis around the rim, it's gonna make things so much

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Speaker 1: harder for Minnesota to score the basketball. That's one of

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Speaker 1: the reasons why this is going to be such a

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Speaker 1: tough game for the Wolves to win. I expect the

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Speaker 1: Lakers to win relatively comfortably. I think they'll be up

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Speaker 1: by about ten points throughout the game. The Lakers are

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Speaker 1: not a team that likes to put teams away. Unfortunately,

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Speaker 1: It's kind of just part of the psyche of Lebron

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Speaker 1: James and Anthony Davis. As soon as they start to

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Speaker 1: build a little bit of a margin, they relax, and unfortunately,

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Speaker 1: teams just kind of linger around and then they put

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Speaker 1: them away. And my guests, as the Lakers end up

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Speaker 1: winning this game by somewhere between like Evan in thirteen points,

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Speaker 1: you know, like hovering around ten, give or takers shot

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Speaker 1: here or there. But again, they're best chance, Minnesota's best

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Speaker 1: chance to win this game. It's just an otherworldly game

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Speaker 1: from Anthony Edwards, red hot shooting from Carl Towns, Like,

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Speaker 1: I think you need those two to combine for about

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Speaker 1: sixty in order to have a chance to win this game.

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Speaker 1: But it's certainly there, it's certainly on the table. That's

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Speaker 1: always the case in a single game when you have

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Speaker 1: a talent the likes of Anthony Edwards. But I do

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Speaker 1: like this matchup for the Lakers. I think they'll be

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Speaker 1: able to keep a d around the paint. I think

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Speaker 1: Lebron James working against Tori and Prince demanding double teams

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Speaker 1: is going to generate high quality shots all game. My

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Speaker 1: guess is they double team Anthony Davis and he struggles

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Speaker 1: with it again like he usually does. They end up

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Speaker 1: running the offense through Lebron James in the post. That's

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Speaker 1: what I expect to happen in this game. Again, single game,

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Speaker 1: anything can happen, but I think the Lakers are going

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Speaker 1: to win. All right. Let's move on to Atlanta Miami,

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Speaker 1: So a couple game notes. Miami's a five point favorite.

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Speaker 1: Miami won the season series three to one. To my knowledge,

314
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Speaker 1: I tried to look up some injury reports today, but

315
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Speaker 1: I think everyone is playing for both teams in this game.

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Speaker 1: Kyle Lowry has been back in the lineup for the

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Speaker 1: better part of a month now, and he's actually been

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Speaker 1: helping them a lot as a playmaker, and he's been

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Speaker 1: one of the plus minus heroes of the team since

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Speaker 1: he returned. But he's been coming off the bench. If

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Speaker 1: you look at the way that Miami has been building

322
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Speaker 1: their rotation out, you can bet it's like a lot

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Speaker 1: of teams that are in these middling areas of the standings,

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Speaker 1: you know, the middle ten teams of the league, they

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Speaker 1: don't really have a surefire five guys that they like

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Speaker 1: to go to. Even the Lakers, like, yeah, it's de Low,

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Speaker 1: and it's Austin, and it's Lebron Vanderbilt and a d

328
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Speaker 1: But it's like on any given night, it might be

329
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Speaker 1: Dennis instead of Delo or Dennis instead of Austin, and

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Speaker 1: it might be Ruey instead of Jared, it might instead

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Speaker 1: of Jared Vanderbilt, depending on what they need from that

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Speaker 1: specific lineup in Miami's very similar. It's gonna be Bam,

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Speaker 1: it's gonna be Jimmy, it's gonna be Tyler Harrow, and

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Speaker 1: then you're probably gonna see Caleb Martin. He's been taking

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Speaker 1: a lot of their primary point of attack assignments as

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Speaker 1: of late. I expect him to guard Trey Young from

337
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Speaker 1: the opening tip in this game, and then that fifth guy.

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Speaker 1: It's just gonna be a question. It's just gonna be

339
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Speaker 1: a question of what they need. Sometimes it's gonna be

340
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Speaker 1: Max Struce when they're doing more switching. If Trey Young

341
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Speaker 1: is trying to attack a lot in ISO, I wouldn't

342
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Speaker 1: be surprised if they go with Gabe Vincent just because

343
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Speaker 1: he's a little quicker. And then I wouldn't be surprised

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Speaker 1: if you see Kyle Lowry in there in days where

345
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Speaker 1: he's feeling well physically. It's it's gonna oscillate around. But

346
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Speaker 1: I think when the chips are down, when they need

347
00:16:24,440 --> 00:16:27,480
Speaker 1: stops in this game, down the stretch of games, it's

348
00:16:27,520 --> 00:16:29,600
Speaker 1: gonna be Bam, it's gonna be Jimmy, it's gonna be

349
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Speaker 1: Tyler Harrow, it's gonna be Caleb Martin, and then my

350
00:16:32,720 --> 00:16:35,080
Speaker 1: guests will be they'll go down with Max Struce in

351
00:16:35,120 --> 00:16:37,680
Speaker 1: a more switching approach. But we'll see they have been

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Speaker 1: going back and forth a lot in that specific situation.

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Speaker 1: Their last matchup with Atlanta, they were still playing Oladipo

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Speaker 1: down the stretch and he's kind of fallen out of

355
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Speaker 1: the crunch time rotation. So I don't expect that to

356
00:16:49,880 --> 00:16:53,120
Speaker 1: be the case. They cat Caleb Martin Johnte Murray a

357
00:16:53,160 --> 00:16:55,640
Speaker 1: little bit more because Victor Oladipo is out there, but

358
00:16:55,680 --> 00:16:57,600
Speaker 1: then down the stretch they actually switch that in Caleb

359
00:16:57,600 --> 00:17:00,280
Speaker 1: Martin guarded Trey. That's why I expect him to guard

360
00:17:00,280 --> 00:17:04,680
Speaker 1: Trey in this game. Dejontay Murray's an interesting matchup because

361
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Speaker 1: he's got a little bit of a higher release point

362
00:17:08,680 --> 00:17:10,640
Speaker 1: than a lot of than a lot of the other

363
00:17:12,119 --> 00:17:14,280
Speaker 1: like smaller guards in the league. He gets down to

364
00:17:14,320 --> 00:17:17,240
Speaker 1: that fifteen footmark and he kind of pushes his release

365
00:17:17,359 --> 00:17:20,040
Speaker 1: up higher and he can shoot over the top of teams.

366
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Speaker 1: And so I wouldn't be surprised if over the course

367
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Speaker 1: of that game, if they have to make an adjustment

368
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Speaker 1: and they have to move Caleb Martin because he's taller

369
00:17:27,320 --> 00:17:29,920
Speaker 1: and a better athlete, move him over to de Jontay

370
00:17:29,960 --> 00:17:32,240
Speaker 1: Murray and have to find somebody to guard Trey Young.

371
00:17:32,359 --> 00:17:35,040
Speaker 1: That's gonna be the trick. Now we know the way

372
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Speaker 1: that they're going to guard these Atlanta Hawks high screens,

373
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Speaker 1: and you know it's high pick and roll with Trey,

374
00:17:41,080 --> 00:17:42,880
Speaker 1: but it's a lot of dribble handoffs and other off

375
00:17:42,880 --> 00:17:46,399
Speaker 1: ball actions for dejon Day Murray. They like to aggressively switch,

376
00:17:46,880 --> 00:17:49,920
Speaker 1: so it's like it's the difference between an aggressive switch

377
00:17:49,920 --> 00:17:52,200
Speaker 1: and a passive switches. It almost looks like a blitz

378
00:17:52,280 --> 00:17:54,480
Speaker 1: right Like, It's not like, Okay, I'm guarding that guy now.

379
00:17:54,800 --> 00:17:58,240
Speaker 1: Bam wills almost close out, like hard close out to

380
00:17:58,280 --> 00:18:01,040
Speaker 1: the perimeter as Trey or dejan is coming off that screen,

381
00:18:01,400 --> 00:18:04,240
Speaker 1: which usually forces them into a retreat dribble. The advantage

382
00:18:04,280 --> 00:18:06,280
Speaker 1: there is if you can force those guards into a

383
00:18:06,359 --> 00:18:09,320
Speaker 1: retreat dribble so that they can reassess the switch, that

384
00:18:09,440 --> 00:18:11,840
Speaker 1: gives you an opportunity to set your help defense in

385
00:18:11,880 --> 00:18:15,000
Speaker 1: the background. Now. In their previous matchups this season, de

386
00:18:15,080 --> 00:18:18,400
Speaker 1: Jontay Murray's actually had a good amount of success attacking

387
00:18:18,480 --> 00:18:21,000
Speaker 1: Bam at a bio in those switches. He can beat

388
00:18:21,080 --> 00:18:23,080
Speaker 1: him off the dribble. He can knock down those pull

389
00:18:23,160 --> 00:18:25,320
Speaker 1: up jumpers over the top. Dejean Ty Murray's actually had

390
00:18:25,359 --> 00:18:30,200
Speaker 1: some success there. Trey Young Miami has consistently had his number.

391
00:18:30,240 --> 00:18:32,520
Speaker 1: He's shooting thirty six percent from the field against them

392
00:18:32,520 --> 00:18:36,000
Speaker 1: this season, averaging over five turnovers per game. He usually

393
00:18:36,000 --> 00:18:39,960
Speaker 1: struggles with those aggressive switches from bad But I think

394
00:18:40,400 --> 00:18:42,000
Speaker 1: I think you're gonna see a lot of a lot

395
00:18:42,040 --> 00:18:43,639
Speaker 1: of switching. I think you're gonna see a little bit

396
00:18:43,640 --> 00:18:46,120
Speaker 1: more max strus because of the switching and his ability

397
00:18:46,160 --> 00:18:48,240
Speaker 1: with his lower center of gravity and his big, strong

398
00:18:48,320 --> 00:18:51,840
Speaker 1: size to box out guys like DeAndre Hunter, John Collins,

399
00:18:51,880 --> 00:18:56,639
Speaker 1: and and Clint Capella. The more interesting thing to me

400
00:18:56,920 --> 00:18:59,520
Speaker 1: is on the other end of the floor, how at

401
00:18:59,600 --> 00:19:02,720
Speaker 1: Lanta is gonna guard Miami because we can count on

402
00:19:02,920 --> 00:19:04,800
Speaker 1: we can count on Miami to figure it out. They've

403
00:19:04,800 --> 00:19:07,399
Speaker 1: given Trey Young issues. Like we talked about, Spoilster is

404
00:19:07,400 --> 00:19:11,199
Speaker 1: gonna mix in zone with his aggressive pick and roll coverages, right,

405
00:19:11,240 --> 00:19:14,160
Speaker 1: so you're gonna see, You're gonna see like like they

406
00:19:14,240 --> 00:19:16,320
Speaker 1: ran I think nine possessions the zone the last time

407
00:19:16,359 --> 00:19:18,440
Speaker 1: they played the Hawks, and the Hawks actually played pretty

408
00:19:18,480 --> 00:19:20,520
Speaker 1: well against their zone in that game. But it's more

409
00:19:20,600 --> 00:19:22,520
Speaker 1: it's more of a rhythm disruptor. You just throw it

410
00:19:22,560 --> 00:19:24,440
Speaker 1: in every once in a while and it just kind

411
00:19:24,440 --> 00:19:26,400
Speaker 1: of gets you out of your groove that you're in.

412
00:19:26,720 --> 00:19:28,840
Speaker 1: And with those aggressive switches, they kind of take them

413
00:19:28,840 --> 00:19:30,280
Speaker 1: out of their pick and roll game and turn them

414
00:19:30,280 --> 00:19:32,600
Speaker 1: into an ISO team. I think Miami's gonna have some

415
00:19:32,640 --> 00:19:35,520
Speaker 1: success obviously with a team like Atlanta. They have so

416
00:19:35,640 --> 00:19:39,399
Speaker 1: much offensive firepower that if they shoot well, obviously they

417
00:19:39,440 --> 00:19:41,520
Speaker 1: can win. It's not that they don't have a chance.

418
00:19:41,520 --> 00:19:43,600
Speaker 1: In fact, I think Atlanta has a much better chance

419
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Speaker 1: against Miami than Minnesota does against the Lakers. I don't

420
00:19:46,000 --> 00:19:47,720
Speaker 1: think that's much of a hot take, but I do

421
00:19:47,840 --> 00:19:50,440
Speaker 1: think that it's advantaged Miami on the defensive end of

422
00:19:50,480 --> 00:19:52,840
Speaker 1: the floor against Atlanta on the other end of the floor.

423
00:19:53,640 --> 00:19:56,080
Speaker 1: The way that they guarded Miami last time is they

424
00:19:56,119 --> 00:19:59,119
Speaker 1: tucked Trey Young on Tyler Harrow, which is kind of

425
00:19:59,119 --> 00:20:03,560
Speaker 1: an interesting choice, right. They put DeAndre Hunter on Jimmy Butler,

426
00:20:03,680 --> 00:20:05,560
Speaker 1: and they put Clint Capella on bam at a bio

427
00:20:05,640 --> 00:20:08,160
Speaker 1: and they run drop coverage and they had a lot

428
00:20:08,160 --> 00:20:10,320
Speaker 1: of success getting Jimmy Butler down in this. In the

429
00:20:10,640 --> 00:20:12,480
Speaker 1: last matchup against each other, the game was actually tied

430
00:20:12,520 --> 00:20:14,359
Speaker 1: at one thirteen in the middle of the fourth quarter,

431
00:20:14,680 --> 00:20:17,280
Speaker 1: and it was Jimmy pick and roll kick for three,

432
00:20:17,560 --> 00:20:19,760
Speaker 1: Jimmy pick and roll kick for three, Jimmy pick and

433
00:20:19,840 --> 00:20:21,960
Speaker 1: roll pull up jump shot, and the game was basically over.

434
00:20:22,040 --> 00:20:24,480
Speaker 1: So they just spammed pick and roll and Lana was

435
00:20:24,520 --> 00:20:27,640
Speaker 1: hesitant to switch, which Will allowed Jimmy Butler to get

436
00:20:27,680 --> 00:20:30,600
Speaker 1: downhill against Clint Capella dropping way far back in his

437
00:20:30,680 --> 00:20:33,760
Speaker 1: drop and then he's just making decisions because as Jimmy

438
00:20:33,760 --> 00:20:36,679
Speaker 1: gets downhill like that, it's a natural inclination of the

439
00:20:36,720 --> 00:20:39,120
Speaker 1: defense to kind of suck in, and that's when those

440
00:20:39,119 --> 00:20:41,640
Speaker 1: shooting opportunities are there. As is the case with Miami

441
00:20:41,680 --> 00:20:44,679
Speaker 1: a lot, their spot up shooting kind of dictates their outcomes.

442
00:20:44,680 --> 00:20:48,240
Speaker 1: That if guys like Caleb Martin and Max Struce and

443
00:20:48,280 --> 00:20:50,800
Speaker 1: Tyler Harre are hitting their threes, they can look like

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00:20:50,800 --> 00:20:53,800
Speaker 1: a dynamic offensive team behind the shot creation of Jimmy Butler.

445
00:20:53,840 --> 00:20:56,000
Speaker 1: But you know, those guys can run hot and cold

446
00:20:56,040 --> 00:20:59,800
Speaker 1: sometimes and that can be an issue for them. I

447
00:21:00,119 --> 00:21:02,680
Speaker 1: would say the line feels right to me. Miami minus

448
00:21:02,680 --> 00:21:07,479
Speaker 1: five feels right again. Atlanta has enough offensive firepower that

449
00:21:07,520 --> 00:21:10,040
Speaker 1: if they shoot well, they can win. But Miami has

450
00:21:10,080 --> 00:21:12,760
Speaker 1: the best player and Jimmy Butler. They have the best coach,

451
00:21:13,480 --> 00:21:16,920
Speaker 1: buy a Mile and Eric Spoelstra, and I it's not

452
00:21:17,760 --> 00:21:21,320
Speaker 1: the Quinn Snyder thing. I want to I want to

453
00:21:21,359 --> 00:21:23,760
Speaker 1: see what he looks like when they overturn the roster

454
00:21:23,880 --> 00:21:28,080
Speaker 1: this summer and they make some changes and have a

455
00:21:28,080 --> 00:21:31,560
Speaker 1: whole training camp to institute stuff. I believe in Quinn

456
00:21:31,600 --> 00:21:35,239
Speaker 1: Snyder and his in the way that he's optimizing these

457
00:21:35,320 --> 00:21:39,400
Speaker 1: guys offensively by prioritizing spacing. But in this matchup, you're

458
00:21:39,400 --> 00:21:42,000
Speaker 1: taking Eric Spolstra. He's gonna be better with the schematics,

459
00:21:42,200 --> 00:21:45,240
Speaker 1: the adjustments, and understand how to win this one game

460
00:21:45,560 --> 00:21:50,480
Speaker 1: sample size. Miami's also at home, and they fared well

461
00:21:50,520 --> 00:21:52,960
Speaker 1: in this matchup for a while now, and so I

462
00:21:53,000 --> 00:21:55,960
Speaker 1: think Miami will feel the most confident. So again, Atlanta

463
00:21:55,960 --> 00:21:57,440
Speaker 1: has a better chance to win this game than say

464
00:21:57,440 --> 00:22:00,000
Speaker 1: Minnesota does against the Lakers. But I think Miami makes sense.

465
00:22:00,000 --> 00:22:01,560
Speaker 1: This is a five point favorite, and I believe they

466
00:22:01,600 --> 00:22:04,239
Speaker 1: will win on their way to a series against the

467
00:22:04,280 --> 00:22:08,080
Speaker 1: Boston Celtics. I'm not gonna dive too deep into the

468
00:22:08,160 --> 00:22:10,560
Speaker 1: lower level playing games again, it's really this simple. I

469
00:22:10,640 --> 00:22:12,880
Speaker 1: have to do eight series previews this week, so I've

470
00:22:12,880 --> 00:22:14,520
Speaker 1: got a lot of film to watch, and I'm not

471
00:22:14,560 --> 00:22:17,480
Speaker 1: gonna waste a bunch of time watching Thunder and Pelicans

472
00:22:17,520 --> 00:22:21,359
Speaker 1: film when I don't think they're gonna factor in a

473
00:22:21,440 --> 00:22:24,200
Speaker 1: big way into this playoff run. Right Like, I think

474
00:22:24,200 --> 00:22:28,520
Speaker 1: I'd rather watch lots of footage on you know, Nick's

475
00:22:28,600 --> 00:22:31,600
Speaker 1: calves for instance. Right, So, but my best guess is

476
00:22:31,640 --> 00:22:34,000
Speaker 1: I think Toronto beat Chicago. Chicago's defense is awesome, but

477
00:22:34,000 --> 00:22:35,840
Speaker 1: They're a little bit undersized on the perimeter. They're a

478
00:22:35,840 --> 00:22:39,159
Speaker 1: perimeter defense, ball contained defense. In Toronto's a team that

479
00:22:39,200 --> 00:22:41,280
Speaker 1: likes to ram it down your throat with big forwards

480
00:22:41,320 --> 00:22:43,399
Speaker 1: to target your smaller guards. So I like that matchup

481
00:22:43,400 --> 00:22:45,760
Speaker 1: for them in Toronto's at home, I do think Atlanta

482
00:22:45,800 --> 00:22:47,680
Speaker 1: beats Toronto, though they've had their number all seasons, so

483
00:22:47,720 --> 00:22:50,960
Speaker 1: I think we'll end up seeing Atlanta be that eight

484
00:22:51,000 --> 00:22:52,880
Speaker 1: seed and then out West. I think the Pelicans win

485
00:22:53,000 --> 00:22:55,480
Speaker 1: comfortably against okay See, they're good at home. They're just

486
00:22:55,800 --> 00:22:58,679
Speaker 1: okay see, is another you know team that has a

487
00:22:58,680 --> 00:23:01,000
Speaker 1: lot of ball handling and shooting. Like it's kind of

488
00:23:01,040 --> 00:23:05,280
Speaker 1: like this shot creation contest right between Josh Giddy, Jalen

489
00:23:05,359 --> 00:23:09,440
Speaker 1: Williams and Shay Gilders, Alexander versus Brandon Ingram CJ McCollum

490
00:23:09,560 --> 00:23:13,119
Speaker 1: and Trey Murphy, right, And I just give a slight

491
00:23:13,240 --> 00:23:16,840
Speaker 1: nod right now, especially with the length and athleticism they

492
00:23:16,880 --> 00:23:19,480
Speaker 1: have defensively, I give a slight nod to the Pelicans,

493
00:23:19,600 --> 00:23:22,920
Speaker 1: especially at home. Not to mention the Jonas valanciness element.

494
00:23:22,920 --> 00:23:26,000
Speaker 1: He's gonna be able to generate some advantages inside against

495
00:23:26,080 --> 00:23:28,440
Speaker 1: jay Lynn Williams he's gonna be the biggest player on

496
00:23:28,480 --> 00:23:30,000
Speaker 1: the floor by a mile in this game. So I

497
00:23:30,040 --> 00:23:33,080
Speaker 1: think the Pelicans went comfortably against Okay see. And then

498
00:23:33,080 --> 00:23:36,119
Speaker 1: it's another coin flip game against Minnesota, and I think

499
00:23:36,200 --> 00:23:38,640
Speaker 1: Aunt actually might be better than Ingram right now. Again,

500
00:23:38,680 --> 00:23:41,000
Speaker 1: I know it sounds crazy to say, but especially in

501
00:23:41,040 --> 00:23:44,680
Speaker 1: this type of game where the physicality and athleticism plays

502
00:23:44,680 --> 00:23:47,480
Speaker 1: a bigger role, I actually like Aunt as the best

503
00:23:47,480 --> 00:23:49,080
Speaker 1: player on the floor in this game. So I just

504
00:23:49,119 --> 00:23:51,480
Speaker 1: give a slight nod to Minnesota. So my best guest

505
00:23:51,600 --> 00:23:53,480
Speaker 1: right now, as I think the Lakers are gonna be

506
00:23:53,480 --> 00:23:55,080
Speaker 1: the seventh seed in the West and the Wolves will

507
00:23:55,080 --> 00:23:57,399
Speaker 1: be the eighth seed, and the Hawks will be the

508
00:23:57,400 --> 00:23:59,120
Speaker 1: eight seed in the East, and the Heat will be

509
00:23:59,280 --> 00:24:01,879
Speaker 1: the sevens. But again, these are single game samples. In

510
00:24:01,880 --> 00:24:04,440
Speaker 1: a playoff series, you have much more time for your

511
00:24:04,440 --> 00:24:07,000
Speaker 1: advantages to bear out in a single game. It could

512
00:24:07,000 --> 00:24:08,880
Speaker 1: be foul trouble, it could be shot making, it could

513
00:24:08,880 --> 00:24:11,639
Speaker 1: be officiating. There's so many different things that can go

514
00:24:11,760 --> 00:24:14,000
Speaker 1: one way or another to swing a game, so anything

515
00:24:14,040 --> 00:24:16,600
Speaker 1: can happen. But those are just my best guests for

516
00:24:16,720 --> 00:24:18,200
Speaker 1: right now. All right, guys, that's all I have for today,

517
00:24:18,200 --> 00:24:20,359
Speaker 1: I remember to keep an eye on the feeds so

518
00:24:20,440 --> 00:24:22,840
Speaker 1: that you guys can see all the season previews. Don't

519
00:24:22,880 --> 00:24:25,199
Speaker 1: forget to check out our series previews. Don't forget to

520
00:24:25,240 --> 00:24:28,119
Speaker 1: check out my show with Colin from last night. Thursday night,

521
00:24:28,160 --> 00:24:31,439
Speaker 1: we'll be going with Carson Tuesday night, Instant reaction to

522
00:24:31,440 --> 00:24:33,639
Speaker 1: the seven eight games, and then we're into the playoff

523
00:24:33,640 --> 00:24:36,320
Speaker 1: grind starting Saturday. As always, I appreciate you guys. I'm

524
00:24:36,320 --> 00:24:38,280
Speaker 1: excited for this run. It's going to be a good

525
00:24:38,280 --> 00:25:02,880
Speaker 1: time and I will see you guys tomorrow. The volume