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Speaker 1: What's up, guys.

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Monday morning episode of

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Speaker 2: the Daily Juice podcast.

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Speaker 1: My name is Matt Parolt.

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Speaker 2: You guys can follow me across all of my socials

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Speaker 2: at Sports Talk Matt. We are beck in Las Vegas,

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Speaker 2: and I apologize. I'm still working out the kinks with

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Speaker 2: the video. If you're watching this video, it's a little

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Speaker 2: bit on the orange e side. We got to fix

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Speaker 2: the camera. I'm still working on it. It's a brand

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Speaker 2: new camera, so we'll get it right at some point

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Speaker 2: during the next couple of days to get this thing

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Speaker 2: set up properly.

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Speaker 1: If you're listening to the.

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Speaker 2: Audio podcast, you got no problems for same old, same

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Speaker 2: old for the audio podcast.

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Speaker 1: Unfortunately, it's same old, same old. With the losing.

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Speaker 2: It's been a pretty rough couple of weeks for me here,

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Speaker 2: including last night where the Lions blew everything up. The

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Speaker 2: Packers did too, though, so it wasn't like the Lions

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Speaker 2: were the only team that choked yesterday. The Packers also

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Speaker 2: did that. So that money line parlay see you later

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Speaker 2: look it. And this is something I'll say real quick

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Speaker 2: here at the top. I know that I preach certain

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Speaker 2: things and I don't need to be reminded for you guys.

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Speaker 2: I can't tell you how many guys were like, why

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Speaker 2: did you go back.

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Speaker 1: On all of your rules? Why would you do that?

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Speaker 1: That was a dumb look. I understand what the bet was.

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Speaker 2: Okay. It was a minus one forty loss. We lose

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Speaker 2: moneyline plays all the time. It was a four legger.

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Speaker 2: It was hard to hit, it was negative. Ev it

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Speaker 2: was a bad bet, whatever you want to describe it as.

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Speaker 2: I was playing a trend that was twenty seven and one.

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Speaker 2: I will bet most trends that are going twenty seven

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Speaker 2: to one, including I will go back and bet that

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Speaker 2: trend again next week. I will bet it again.

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Speaker 1: If there are.

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Speaker 2: Big eight point plus favorites, I'll bet it again. Okay,

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Speaker 2: It's just the way it happens, So I'm not upset

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Speaker 2: about it. It just it's the way things wind up going.

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Speaker 2: So we lose, you know that bet. The Colts got

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Speaker 2: smoked six turnovers. If they turned the bowl over at all,

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Speaker 2: they were gonna lose. They turned the ball over six

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Speaker 2: times and came crashing down as the Mike Tomlin trends

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Speaker 2: rears its head back about him, now splitting again for

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Speaker 2: the third time, being a dog and back to back

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Speaker 2: home games and then splitting winning at least one of

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Speaker 2: those games. Outright, the Lions lost to a feisty Vikings

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Speaker 2: team killed the teaser Bill's team total over we added

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Speaker 2: Seattle minus three officially on the Discord channel and on

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Speaker 2: the live stream. So we go two and three in

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Speaker 2: the day, down one point seventy five units. So not

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Speaker 2: a good week last week by any stretch of the imagination.

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Speaker 1: We start a new week here on a Monday.

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Speaker 2: We've got a Monday night football game and welcome back

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Speaker 2: college basketball, two games here in Las Vegas that are

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Speaker 2: both big.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna bet both of them.

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Speaker 2: And before you go, what look I like betting college basketball.

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Speaker 2: This podcast is about what I'm betting and what I like.

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Speaker 2: If you don't want to bet college basket, well right now,

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Speaker 2: if you want to wait and see, go right ahead. Okay,

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Speaker 2: this is what I am betting. I'm not requiring you

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Speaker 2: guys to do anything. And yes, I know it's really

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Speaker 2: early to be betting college basketball, but I love betting

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Speaker 2: college basketball. Additionally, I am not going to bet any

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Speaker 2: college basketball futures this year. I have decided to make

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Speaker 2: that I've done enough in the NBA, in the NHL

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Speaker 2: futures markets that we don't need to get.

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Speaker 1: Involved right now.

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Speaker 2: We will be involved with college basketball futures, yes, but

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Speaker 2: from a win total perspective and from a conference championship perspective,

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Speaker 2: I don't think it's necessary, and from a national championship perspective,

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Speaker 2: it's nowhere near necessary. We're going to get as good

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Speaker 2: of numbers once we see the bracket coming up in March.

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Speaker 2: So I've learned a little bit here as say what

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Speaker 2: I I you know, in terms of building a portfolio,

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Speaker 2: I'm still going to do that, but I'm not going

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Speaker 2: to start doing that until we get to the year

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Speaker 2: of twenty twenty six. So nothing here as we start.

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Speaker 2: But I do have two bets on the games happening

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Speaker 2: here in Las Vegas. Before we get to the best

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Speaker 2: in the plays. Let me remind you about our friends

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Speaker 1: Tennessee, Virginia.

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Speaker 2: Okay, let's get into tonight's game with the Cowboys up

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Speaker 2: against the Cardinals. Some really interesting numbers for the Dallas Cowboys,

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Speaker 2: in particular with Dak Prescott, who has been strictly simply

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Speaker 2: dynamite and dominant in night games. He's twenty nine to

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Speaker 2: fifteen and one straight up in night games. Dak since

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Speaker 2: twenty twenty one is fourteen and seven ats in night games.

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Speaker 2: Dak has done tremendous. He's twenty five and five as

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Speaker 2: a favorite at night straight up. This is a three

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Speaker 2: point number since twenty twenty. There is an extremely high total.

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Speaker 1: Going into this game.

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Speaker 2: We haven't seen many numbers like this. We're at fifty four,

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Speaker 2: but since the start of last year. Sorry sorry, since

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Speaker 2: I was twenty twenty, Dak Prescott is thirteen and oh

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Speaker 2: straight up as a favorite at night, winning those games

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Speaker 2: by over eighteen points per game.

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Speaker 1: So while we have seen a lot of blowouts.

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Speaker 2: We've also seen a bunch of unders come in because

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Speaker 2: fifty four points or more, five games at night have

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Speaker 2: all gone under. So how many points are the Cardinals

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Speaker 2: going to score? Who knows, to be quite honest, But

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Speaker 2: the Cowboys just need to win this game. I'm not

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Speaker 2: going to play around with the total. I don't trust

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Speaker 2: the total by any stretch here. The Cardinals are a

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Speaker 2: team that's given the Cowboys fits and it's why the

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Speaker 2: number is only three, to be quite honest. Dating back

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Speaker 2: to two thousand and eight, the Cowboys are one in

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Speaker 2: seven straight up and one in seven ats against Arizona,

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Speaker 2: losing their last three games at home to the Cardinals,

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Speaker 2: both straight up and against.

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Speaker 1: The number not good.

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Speaker 2: Drew Bledsoe was the last quarterback at home to beat

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Speaker 2: Arizona in Dallas. That is a scary stat right there

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Speaker 2: for me taking the Cowboys going into this, But I

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Speaker 2: like the offense. I just think that this is a

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Speaker 2: good spot for the Cowboys, and I think the pro

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Speaker 2: money's going to keep this number down. I mean, it

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Speaker 2: might cross three, it might get over three and a half,

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Speaker 2: but I just think, you know, Kyler Murray and the

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Speaker 2: under on the road has been a very good bet.

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Speaker 2: You can bet the under in this game if you want.

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Speaker 2: I might find myself under. The under for the Cowboys

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Speaker 2: are three to zero this year to home overs. They

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Speaker 2: are fifteen and six over the last three seasons to

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Speaker 2: home overs. So you have a trend with Kyler Murray

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Speaker 2: going on the road in under, you have a Dallas

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Speaker 2: Cowboys trend at home and over. I'm just going to

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Speaker 2: stay away from this and just bet the Cowboys minus

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Speaker 2: three to find a way to win the game Dallas

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Speaker 2: minus three for one point one units. I'm gonna go

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Speaker 2: to the prop bet cheat sheet and I'm gonna jump

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Speaker 2: in on a player prop for George Pickens. George Pickens

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Speaker 2: has had a great start to the twenty twenty five

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Speaker 2: season the last three games. In six of the last

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Speaker 2: seven games, he has gone over sixty four and a

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Speaker 2: half rushing in receiving yards for the Dallas Cowboys. This

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Speaker 2: is a five star play on the prop bet cheat sheet.

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Speaker 2: It has a sixty six percent cover probability and a

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Speaker 2: plus twenty three percent expected value. I just think when

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Speaker 2: you have Cdee Lamb and you have a defense that

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Speaker 2: has coming into the season was expected to do big things,

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Speaker 2: but even against good coverage against good defense. Dak Prescott

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Speaker 2: and George Pickens have a really good rotation going on

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Speaker 2: six of seven.

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Speaker 1: Three in a row, will go George.

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Speaker 2: Pickens over sixty four and a half rushing and receiving yards.

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Speaker 2: In case they wind up throwing a you know, a

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Speaker 2: sweep in there for George Pickens, I'm not sure why

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Speaker 2: the prop bet, the prop bet cheat sheet likes the

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Speaker 2: the extra option of the rush. We don't get very

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Speaker 2: many of them, but Pickens to go just receiving over

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Speaker 2: sixty four and a half yards receiving easily at minus

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Speaker 2: one fifteen. So two bets both of the Cowboys coming

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Speaker 2: up here tonight from Monday Night Football, Dallas laying the

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Speaker 2: three points in George Pickens over sixty four and a

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Speaker 2: half rushing and receiving yards coming up here tonight for

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Speaker 2: the Dallas Cowboys. Now we have two games in college

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Speaker 2: basketball here in Las Vegas for one of the pre

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Speaker 2: conference tournaments that gets rolling. Before I give you the bets,

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Speaker 2: there a reminder about the prop bet cheat sheet. If

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Speaker 2: you want to go check it out yourself, you can

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Speaker 2: go and do so pretty easily with the prop bet

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Speaker 2: cheat sheet. This is something that's available right now if

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Speaker 2: you want to go and jump in on it, and

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Speaker 2: I would recommend it if you like betting props, this

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Speaker 2: is pretty cool. Prop bet cheat sheet shows you the

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Speaker 2: best value plays every day. Get daily prop bet value

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Speaker 2: rankings based on projections. Find the best props for all

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Speaker 2: major passing, rushing, and receiving stats for.

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Speaker 1: The game coming up tonight.

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Speaker 2: Use it now at bettingpros dot com slash props, or

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Speaker 2: go to the Betting Pros app and use the prop

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Speaker 2: bet sheet sheet. Okay, let's start with Florida and Arizona

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Speaker 2: numbers three. Florida went eleven and three last year on

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Speaker 2: neutral side games. This is all about Todd Golden, the

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Speaker 2: head coach and now the National Championship winning head coach

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Speaker 2: for the Florida Gators. They're taking on an Arizona team

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Speaker 2: that is a very good Arizona team and could be

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Speaker 2: very good, but a lot of new pieces for Arizona.

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Speaker 2: There are some pretty There's three members of the national

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Speaker 2: championship team coming back for Florida and that's why they

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Speaker 2: are preseason ranked in the top three. This is a

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Speaker 2: culture play for me. Okay, this is Todd Golden back

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Speaker 2: for his fourth season. This is a guy who was

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Speaker 2: a tremendous bet on last year for what he did

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Speaker 2: with the Gators.

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Speaker 1: They came out of the gate really good last year.

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Speaker 2: They went five and three against the number in the

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Speaker 2: month of November, so he had his players locked in

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Speaker 2: and focused and good to go. I think Florida is

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Speaker 2: going to go try to do a bit more on

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Speaker 2: the up tempo side here for this.

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Speaker 1: But I mean this number being three.

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Speaker 2: Kempom has it as a five point win for Florida.

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Speaker 2: Wild Catch are ranked thirteenth in the polls, and you

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Speaker 2: know that they were twenty three and thirteen last year.

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Speaker 2: But they have so many new faces coming in here

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Speaker 2: that it's hard to know what you're gonna get out

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Speaker 2: of Arizona. This is just another one of these teams

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Speaker 2: that just has so many new faces and so many

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Speaker 2: players that you're not exactly sure what the culture is

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Speaker 2: going on, even though it is obviously the same coaching

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Speaker 2: staff for Arizona.

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Speaker 1: I'll lay you the three points here.

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Speaker 2: I think there could be a pretty decent sized Gator

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Speaker 2: contingency coming out just because football has gone so sideways

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Speaker 2: after firing Billy Napier that folks in Gainesville can't wait

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Speaker 2: to get talking about basketball and rolling over here. So

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Speaker 2: I think that's big to have the Gators. You know,

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Speaker 2: a team that fans want to travel and support, teams

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Speaker 2: that they want to be backing. I'll come in and

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Speaker 2: lay it. Let's go with a short number here Florida

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Speaker 2: minus three. At here in Vegas up against Arizona for

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Speaker 2: one point one units, and finally it's BYU and Villanova.

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Speaker 1: Look at no more neptune. He's gone.

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Speaker 2: This is Kevin Willard now. But here's the problem. This

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Speaker 2: might be the best BYU basketball team in forever. They

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Speaker 2: have the number one ranked recruit overall. Kem Pom has

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Speaker 2: them ranked eighteenth, which is somewhat surprising, and kem Pom

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Speaker 2: has this as a five point win for BYU over

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Speaker 2: a Villanova. But look, Kevin Willard's a good coach. He's

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Speaker 2: bringing over a couple of role players from Maryland. I

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Speaker 2: don't know what to make of Nova coming out here

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Speaker 2: to Las Vegas with Kevin Willard, where it's going to

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Speaker 2: be a road game for Villanova, I mean BYU. There

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Speaker 2: is so much hype for this BYU roster, and rightfully so,

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Speaker 2: given how talented this team might wind up being and

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Speaker 2: Vegas is a BYU town. There's a lot of people

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Speaker 2: who went to BYU who live here. There's a lot

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Speaker 2: of people who would travel here from Utah to be

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Speaker 2: a part of it. That this is the marquee game

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Speaker 2: of this two game set. This is the marquee team

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Speaker 2: of this two game set. And I just I think

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Speaker 2: from a BYU perspective, this is Kevin Young's got a

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Speaker 2: ton of attention and he's got a ton of pressure on him.

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Speaker 2: But if this was you know, a Jay Wright Villanova team,

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Speaker 2: even a Kyle Neptune team where it was established, I

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Speaker 2: might say that defensively Villanova's would be given some fits.

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Speaker 1: But I don't know what Novah's gonna look like under

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Speaker 1: Kevin Willard. I don't.

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Speaker 2: I mean, I'm not. I can't trust it. The number

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Speaker 2: is huge, but I just think it's justified given how

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Speaker 2: deep and talented this BYU team is.

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Speaker 1: I don't know.

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Speaker 2: I think this is going to be a really tough

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Speaker 2: night here in the desert for Villanova. I think it's BYU,

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Speaker 2: and it's BYU big. I'll lay the eight and a

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Speaker 2: half points BYU minus eight and a half in Las

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Speaker 2: Vegas up against a maybe a team in Nova that

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Speaker 2: down the road might be okay in the Big East,

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Speaker 2: but not out of the gate, not against BYU, not

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Speaker 2: with this crowd. This is a showcase. BYU minus eight

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Speaker 2: and a half now plays for today Cowboys minus three

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Speaker 2: George Pickens over sixty four and a half rushing and receiving.

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Speaker 2: Florida minus three up against Arizona in college basketball in

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Speaker 2: BYU laying eight and a half, same place at Tmobile

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Speaker 2: Arena for them up against Villa Nova.

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Speaker 1: Now, if you guys want to hear more.

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Speaker 2: Breakdown about what's happening for tonight's Monday night football game.

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Speaker 2: Also NBA and NHL previews. There's a couple of NHL

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Speaker 2: bets I'm eyeballing that I want to get into. You

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Speaker 2: can join me at one o'clock Eastern time on my

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Speaker 2: other show, The Bostonian Versus.

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Speaker 1: The book we call it BVB.

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Speaker 2: Search at Boston Versus, the book on Twitter or x

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Speaker 2: at Boston Versus, the book on YouTube or at Boston Versus,

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Speaker 2: the book on any audio platform for you guys to

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Speaker 2: go get the podcast. We break down and recap everything

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Speaker 2: that happened over the weekend, and then preview Monday Night

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Speaker 2: football Cowboys Cardinals, plus talk about the NBA. College basketball

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Speaker 2: obviously will be a big factor. We'll take a look

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Speaker 2: at some team's paths to winning a national championship in

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Speaker 2: college hoops. It's all coming up at one pm Eastern

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Speaker 2: time on the Bustonian Versus the Book YouTube channel at

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Speaker 2: Boston Versus the Book we stream it on Twitter x

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Speaker 2: as well. For at Boston Versus the Book, Mina's Matt Parolt.

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Speaker 2: You guys can follow me across all my socials at

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Speaker 2: Sports Talk Matt every morning wherever you guys get your podcasts.

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Speaker 1: It is the Daily Juice