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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 2: I'm just about that action also. All right, here we

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Speaker 2: go throwing in Joe. We're saying it to catch.

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Speaker 1: We'll see most gamblers when they go to gamble, they

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Speaker 1: go to wind.

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Speaker 2: That's incredible. Big bank, small bank. I like to make money.

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Speaker 2: All right? This is the ultimate Kabaki.

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Speaker 1: Want to.

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Speaker 2: And we are away.

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Speaker 1: What is going on everybody? This is the Action Network

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Speaker 1: NFL podcast. So thanks for listening. I am your host,

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Speaker 1: Chris Raybond, and in today's episode, we are going to

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Speaker 1: preview the AFC South on the AFC West from a

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Speaker 1: betting perspective. We'll talk win totals and whatever other bets

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Speaker 1: we think could be profitable. Enjoining me as always the

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Speaker 1: Prime Minister of Degenerate Nation. Stucky, stuck. We've done three.

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Speaker 1: This is the last one of the four.

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Speaker 2: How you feeling feeling great? I just put my cardinals

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Speaker 2: bet in should have came through on the network out

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Speaker 2: and we had some good disagreements on the last AFC one.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, juices are following. Man, it's great to be

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Speaker 2: talking NFL with you again.

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Speaker 1: Yes, there always a pleasure and just want to let

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Speaker 1: you guys know there are tons of NFL betting episodes

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Speaker 1: that we're gonna have on the channel weading up to

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Speaker 1: week one. We already got the two NFC preview episodes

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Speaker 1: out where we go over every NFC team's wind total,

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Speaker 1: and we have our first AFC episode that should be

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Speaker 1: up as well by the time you hear this. Our guys,

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Speaker 1: Jill's Gallant has any Time Touchdown Manifesto episode up, so

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Speaker 1: check that.

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Speaker 2: Out as well.

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Speaker 1: Let's hop right into the AFC South and we will

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Speaker 1: start with the favorite.

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Speaker 2: Which is the Indianapolis Colts.

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Speaker 1: Win total is ten, getting a slight break on the juice.

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Speaker 1: It's minus one five to the over, minus one fifteen

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Speaker 1: to the under the cold, somewhat unlucky and injury luck

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Speaker 1: last year o wine should be solid. Frank Reich's saying

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Speaker 1: he wants to throw it a little bit more than

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Speaker 1: last year. He says he feels to win, he needs

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Speaker 1: to throw it more. So that was an interesting comment.

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Speaker 2: Of course. The big news with the Coats from the.

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Speaker 1: Offseason was that Carson Wentz is no longer a Colt.

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Speaker 1: It seems like Ers couldn't get rid of him fast enough,

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Speaker 1: so now they got Matt Ryan from Atlanta. I have

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Speaker 1: the Coats favored in nine of these seventeen games. Now

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Speaker 1: this setback here at ten. They didn't get there last year.

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Speaker 1: It was the first time Frank Reich team went under

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Speaker 1: their win total.

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Speaker 2: So he's not two and one with a push.

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Speaker 1: How are you feeling about the Coats minus Wentz but

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Speaker 1: plus Matt Ryan.

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Speaker 2: I like bringing in Ryan. I think behind a solid

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Speaker 2: offensive line with Johns. I mean, if you look, what

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Speaker 2: what do you have with the Falcons? The offensive line

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Speaker 2: situation in recent years has not been good, and I

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Speaker 2: think that he's still competent enough. He's obviously passed his prime,

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Speaker 2: but I think that he can still work behind a

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Speaker 2: good offensive line and be a significant upgrade over Carson Wentz.

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Speaker 2: It helps when you have arguably the best running back

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Speaker 2: in the NFL and that good offensive line. I project

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Speaker 2: them right at ten wins, so I don't see any

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Speaker 2: value either way. It's well coached team, respect Frank right,

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Speaker 2: and yeah they don't have the Carson Wentz just giving

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Speaker 2: games away. On the defensive side of the ball, I'm curious.

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Speaker 2: I'll just go through the defense really quick. Defensively, I

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Speaker 2: like their defensive line. I mean, Davars Buckner's a stud inside.

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Speaker 2: I think Quidy pay is going to be a really

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Speaker 2: good edge rusher, and then you add in Gockway to

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Speaker 2: go on the other side. I am a bit concerned

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Speaker 2: about the cornerback situation. Now you do bring in Stefan Gilmour,

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Speaker 2: who I think is an upgrade, but he's getting up

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Speaker 2: there in age, but the secondary leaves a lot to

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Speaker 2: be desired. So you know, when you look at the

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Speaker 2: NFL these days, right, what are the our arguably that

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Speaker 2: presides a quarterback, which I think they upgraded, but the

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Speaker 2: two most important position groups are You could probably throw

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Speaker 2: offensive light in there, but just it's a passing league now,

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Speaker 2: wide receivers in the AFC if you want to make

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Speaker 2: noise wide receivers and then your secondary, and I definitely

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Speaker 2: have some questions about both for the Colts. So we'll

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Speaker 2: see what Gilmour can get them, because if he's stud

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Speaker 2: number one, that can go a long way in helping

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Speaker 2: the defense. But what is I'm curious with your thoughts

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Speaker 2: on your projections and your thoughts overall on the wide

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Speaker 2: receiver room. Is Pittman gonna flash the one with Ryan

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Speaker 2: Who's going to step up elsewhere? What are your thoughts

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Speaker 2: on their wide receiver room. So let's start with Pittman.

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Speaker 1: Pittman for anyone that doesn't know, he's excellent, like he

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Speaker 1: is a true number one. If you look at Matt

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Speaker 1: Harmon's reception perception, Pittman just killed it in pretty much

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Speaker 1: every metric. This guy gets open with the best of

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Speaker 1: them in the league. I think people don't realize that

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Speaker 1: because he is a bigger bodied guy. You kind of

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Speaker 1: type cast those guys sometimes you know they're you know,

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Speaker 1: maybe there could catch guy or whatever, but no, like

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Speaker 1: Michael Pittman could get open. So I think Matt Ryan

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Speaker 1: will do wonders for him because you know Matt Ryans

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Speaker 1: he knows how to get the guys the ball when

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Speaker 1: he had Julio Jones, Calvin Ridley. I mean, those guys

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Speaker 1: are challenging for the league lead and receiving, so you

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Speaker 1: could still get Michael Pittman out like thirty to one

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Speaker 1: to lead the league in receiving. I think he'll run

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Speaker 1: more downfield rouse this year. You know he's good on

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Speaker 1: you know, in breaking routes. He's going to outbreaking routes.

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Speaker 1: He was ninety six percentile with Harmon charted against press

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Speaker 1: coverage last year. Eighty eighth against zone seventy ninth against

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Speaker 1: straight up man coverage, so that he gets open, he

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Speaker 1: does his thing, but there is a big drop off. Obviously,

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Speaker 1: Alex Pearce is probably gonna be the other perimeter guy.

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Speaker 1: He's a rookie, he's a downfield guy, so you know

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Speaker 1: his job is going to kind of be to keep defenses. Honest,

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Speaker 1: I don't expect a ton of production. And then Paris Campbell,

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Speaker 1: I mean he's going to start in the slot. I

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Speaker 1: don't think any of Opotis is really counting on him

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Speaker 1: to play a full season. He almost never does, so

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Speaker 1: I wouldn't be surprised if you get a free agent

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Speaker 1: signing at some point with this team. You know, Ashton

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Speaker 1: Dulan's the number four, he's more of a special teamer.

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Speaker 1: And then you know they got a battle going on

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Speaker 1: for the fifth with Straightchan and Desmond Patty. So it's

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Speaker 1: an underwhelming receiving group outside of Pittman. Uh, but he's

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Speaker 1: excellent and the tight end. You know, pass catching is

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Speaker 1: not gonna be probably a strength either. I mean they

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Speaker 1: got Mooley Cox, there a couple of younger players, so.

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Speaker 2: Fi gets hurt. Yeah, every team's gonna have ten guys

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Speaker 2: in the box.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, that's the worries.

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Speaker 2: That's the worry.

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Speaker 1: But so like, I think that's a good point because

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Speaker 1: you know, I think the Cults are fairly priced, but

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Speaker 1: I do think they have some downside where it's pretty fragile,

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Speaker 1: Like you lose Pittman and it's an issue.

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Speaker 2: Now.

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Speaker 1: They got a good backup quarterback in Nick Foles and

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Speaker 1: even Sam Ellinger for three, but I think there are

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Speaker 1: depth concerns at receiver and then you know, cornerback we'll see.

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Speaker 1: You know, Kenny Moore, you got him in the slot still,

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Speaker 1: but is Ken Gilmore still play at a high level.

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Speaker 1: He has kind of been like he you know, he

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Speaker 1: thought he was gonna drop off and then he's still

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Speaker 1: pretty good last year, you know when he came back.

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Speaker 1: So I mean, but they also Shaquilla Leonard he needs

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Speaker 1: to stay healthy as well. You know, there's just a

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Speaker 1: few guys on this team, and I mean, what do

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Speaker 1: you think of the pass rush because in Gocway just

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Speaker 1: had a horrible season last year.

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Speaker 2: He just wasn't good, and.

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Speaker 1: So the coach, I mean, they were right there with

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Speaker 1: the Falcons, is you know one of those teams just

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Speaker 1: getting no pressure and I just don't think that's a

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Speaker 1: recipe for success, you know, and they obviously got a

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Speaker 1: new defensive coordinator. So what do you think of the

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Speaker 1: How do you think the pass rush is going to be?

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Speaker 1: I know, Quiddy Pay coming off an injury as.

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Speaker 2: Well in Gotway, could be that's the fears that in

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Speaker 2: Gocway is trending down in his career because he was

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Speaker 2: on a defense that had one of the best edge

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Speaker 2: rushers on the other side of him last year and

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Speaker 2: didn't have a good year. So maybe he's trending down.

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Speaker 2: But maybe it was just a flashing the fenure. But

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Speaker 2: I actually liked Pay. I thought he flashed enough and

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Speaker 2: from what I've seen that he's going to be a

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Speaker 2: solid defensive end in this league. And then it also

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Speaker 2: helps to have one the best in tier defensive tackles

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Speaker 2: in the NFL. I like their linebacker group as well,

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Speaker 2: so it's a solid defense if the corners pan out.

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Speaker 2: So I think it's a solid defense. It's a solid

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Speaker 2: offense with an underwhelming pass catching group in a very

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Speaker 2: gettable division. That's the division you want to be in

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Speaker 2: the AFC. So yeah, I nothing spectacular for this Colts team,

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Speaker 2: but they're gonna be well coached and they'll probably finish

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Speaker 2: right around that ten mark. I have them with the

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Speaker 2: twenty sixth artist schedules, like the sixth or seventh easiest

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Speaker 2: schedule in the NFL, which is awesome if you're in

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Speaker 2: the AFC.

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Speaker 1: Can we circle Week three though? As a as an

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Speaker 1: over game Dus Bradley against the Chiefs. Oh yeah, that

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Speaker 1: should be fun.

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Speaker 2: But yeah, I like, I don't.

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Speaker 1: I would not bet the Colts over because I agree,

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Speaker 1: I think there's a lot there's more downside, you know,

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Speaker 1: not only in the Coats roster. Just you know, there's

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Speaker 1: a few guys that like if they go down, that's

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Speaker 1: that's it. I mean most teams are like that, but

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Speaker 1: not every team has a win total of ten, you know,

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Speaker 1: I think Michael Pittman, the Taylor Shakuiah Leonard, the Forest Buckner,

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Speaker 1: Like it's still a top heavy team, and you know

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Speaker 1: you're kind of like, really, what you're hanging your hat

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Speaker 1: on is the week's schedule, and that's always dicey in

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Speaker 1: a situation like that. I rather buy low and on

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Speaker 1: a team with you know, middling wing total than just

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Speaker 1: kind of expect the Colts to stay healthy and everything

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Speaker 1: to go according to plan, because you know that it's

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Speaker 1: the NFL, that's not usually going to be the case.

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Speaker 1: But yeah, they're then at some key positions and they

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Speaker 1: you know, it's it's it's a little bit worry some

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Speaker 1: And we always see the Titans every year, which we

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Speaker 1: can talk about now they seem to exceed expectations. Now

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Speaker 1: I'm kind of with you. I think you know it's

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Speaker 1: going to be tougher for them this year. But I

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Speaker 1: should point out Mike Rabel is four and oho toward

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Speaker 1: the over in his four years with the Tennessee Titans,

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Speaker 1: so he's never lost one of those preseason overs.

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Speaker 2: And the Titans win totals nine.

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Speaker 1: So if they get to ten, now you're right there

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Speaker 1: at the coats and it you know that that could

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Speaker 1: be an issue. So uh, but the Titans, you know,

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Speaker 1: the O line probably take a step back. It's probably

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Speaker 1: not as good as it's been in recent years. They

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Speaker 1: were actually tenth best in terms of fewest adjusted games

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Speaker 1: lost to injury, which is kind of surprising. It just

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Speaker 1: seemed like, I guess the guys they lost were very important.

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Speaker 1: It was Derrick Henry, and it was AJ Brown and Julio.

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Speaker 1: So you know this Titans team. I really don't like

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Speaker 1: attacking unders with this Titans team because they just seem to.

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Speaker 2: Find a way every year.

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Speaker 1: But I mean this road schedule outside of the division games.

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Speaker 1: I mean you got Buffalo in the casey, Green Bay, Philly,

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Speaker 1: the Chargers.

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Speaker 2: You know, Washington's probably winnable game.

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Speaker 1: But I think it's gonna come down to the team

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Speaker 1: being able to win on the road and if they do,

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Speaker 1: to exceed expectations again. If not, I think it'll be rough.

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Speaker 1: Because we saw Tannehill finally come back down to Earth. A. J.

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Speaker 2: Brown wasn't there.

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Speaker 1: Obviously Henry was out, but counting on Robert Woods on

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Speaker 1: Acl Burks has looked terrible. So you're gonna be starting

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Speaker 1: probably Westbrook A Kina love Kyle Philps in the slot,

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Speaker 1: but there's another team with a lot of downside. The

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Speaker 1: difference is the Titans are a little cheaper and they

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Speaker 1: tend to exceed expectations. I don't I'm not running a

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Speaker 1: better and over with them, but they are one of

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Speaker 1: the reasons I don't love the Colts, is what I'm

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Speaker 1: trying to say.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I love this under I do respect for Abel.

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Speaker 2: Look I went over on the Giants, the only team

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Speaker 2: to go under in each the past five years. So

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Speaker 2: let's let's make it a daily double and go under

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Speaker 2: on the only team that has gone over in each

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Speaker 2: of the past five years over the window, and that's

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Speaker 2: the Titans. You gotta get very well credit. It's gone

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Speaker 2: over it each year, and they won twelve games last year,

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Speaker 2: even with a number of key injuries on the offense

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Speaker 2: side of the ball. As you mentioned, however, this is

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Speaker 2: basically like a nine win team when you break it down.

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Speaker 2: I mean, let's they did this with the Steelers and

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Speaker 2: one of their unlucky lass They're only unlucky loss was

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Speaker 2: they went six and two in one possession games. One

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Speaker 2: of their only unlucky loss was against the Steelers, who

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Speaker 2: I mentioned that if you look back on teams that

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Speaker 2: have won over seventy five percent of their one possession

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Speaker 2: games in the NFL over the past thirty seasons, major

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Speaker 2: regression in general. Obviously there's exceptions, but look take a

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Speaker 2: look at what they did last year. Down fourteen in

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Speaker 2: the fourth quarter at Seattle in the fourth they come back,

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Speaker 2: tie and they win by three and overtime. Remember that phrase,

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Speaker 2: win by three and overtime again. They came back to

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Speaker 2: winning the fourth against the Bills to win by three

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Speaker 2: when Josh Allen slipped on a QB sneak inside the

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Speaker 2: five yard line in the final seconds. You want another

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Speaker 2: three point overtime win after troun on the fourth, Well,

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Speaker 2: they did that against Indianapolis. Then they beat the Rams

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Speaker 2: twenty eight sixteen. They were out gaining three forty seven

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Speaker 2: to one ninety four. They averaged three and a half

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Speaker 2: yards per play to the Rams five thanks to Stafford

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Speaker 2: just decided to throw two pick sixes fourteen three points.

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Speaker 2: How about the Saints game with Trevor Simions starting, Saints

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Speaker 2: out gained them three seventy three to two sixty four.

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Speaker 2: Six point one yards were played to four point six

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Speaker 2: Saints horrible. By the way, if you look at some

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Speaker 2: of the major blown calls, timing of turnovers, this team

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Speaker 2: was just so lucky all year long. Saints had a

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Speaker 2: two point conversion the fourth overtime final seconds, didn't get it.

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Speaker 2: How about the forty nine ers Remember that game? They

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Speaker 2: outgained the Titans three eighty nine to two seventy eight

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Speaker 2: over two yards per play. More, they lost by what

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Speaker 2: guess what? Three, and then with the top seed on

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Speaker 2: the line in the finale against the Texans. Statistically even

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Speaker 2: game they won by three, I mean they'd six wins

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Speaker 2: by a field goal or less a couple in overtime.

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Speaker 2: Sometimes it's just your year, but it's a regression candidate city.

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Speaker 2: I think they got significantly worse. I think the Jags

285
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Speaker 2: will be better. The Texans are just gonna be the Texans.

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Speaker 2: And I think the Colts got better at the quarterback

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Speaker 2: position and the AFC in general got better. Look, the

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Speaker 2: defense is solid, but it's not a defense that can

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Speaker 2: carry you to wins in the AFC without an offense.

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Speaker 2: And I think this offense will take a significant step

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Speaker 2: back into The offensive line is worse off. Their wide

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Speaker 2: receiver room is it's ugly, and then you have Derrick

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Speaker 2: Henry obviously, but he's gonna be facing all many, many

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Speaker 2: more stack boxes. There's also a lot of miles on

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Speaker 2: that truck. And if he goes down again with an injury, oh,

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Speaker 2: major regression candidate. In a loaded AFC, I think they

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Speaker 2: finally go under. It's one of my favorite windows. I

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Speaker 2: only project them eight wins and that's despite having a

299
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Speaker 2: schedule to just middle of the fourteenth hardest schedule. I'll

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Speaker 2: go under, but I'm afraid, trust me, I'm afraid to

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Speaker 2: go against fair weel, but I'm doing it. I think

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Speaker 2: I beten under it.

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Speaker 1: I don't know if it was either last year or

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Speaker 1: the year before, so maybe I'm still scarred from that.

305
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Speaker 1: I do have my throwback eddie George Jersey on but yeah,

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Speaker 1: like the other.

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Speaker 2: The other last year. I think I've just spoke on

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Speaker 2: the one of the podjasts that I've haven't lost the

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Speaker 2: wind total in the past two seasons. But I'm actually

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Speaker 2: eight one and four four pushes and that one loss

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Speaker 2: was the Titans last year.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I think so it must have been last We

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Speaker 1: were probably both on the under for the Titans. It

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Speaker 1: looks so tempting every year. I will say this, like

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Speaker 1: the one thing I feel like I say this every

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Speaker 1: time we do these pods, but don't overrate the schedule

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Speaker 1: just because you have the Jags and Texans, because, like

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Speaker 1: I know how you know it works, like every game

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Speaker 1: is a win probability, and the Jags and Texans are

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Speaker 1: going to be you know, you're gonna get real high

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Speaker 1: win probabilities, especially for the two home games against them,

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Speaker 1: But you know, you take out those two games. Like

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Speaker 1: I said, it's still tough selecting. It's still not going

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Speaker 1: to be an easy schedule. I have them only favored

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Speaker 1: in seven games. I have them essentially I pick them

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Speaker 1: in four more. But you're still gonna need that Titans luck,

327
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Speaker 1: So I respect it. You know, going under, I probably

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Speaker 1: won't be there just because this team always seems to

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Speaker 1: find a way. But you know, just on paper, it

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Speaker 1: makes sense to go under with this team just because

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Speaker 1: you know AJ Brown, Like, even if Robert Woods is

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Speaker 1: peak health, he's still not AJ Brown. And it looks

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Speaker 1: like Burke's is gonna be a lot silverer to develop

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Speaker 1: than initially thought.

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Speaker 2: So my hot take is Giants up set the Titans.

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Speaker 1: We won.

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Speaker 2: I yeah, I was looking at that.

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Speaker 1: It's one of the bigger spreads in Week one, so

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Speaker 1: I gotta I gotta look at it that a little more.

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Speaker 1: But I could see being there with you on that one.

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Speaker 1: I'm probably gonna one of our money line dogs on

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Speaker 1: the on the week one, we don't have.

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Speaker 2: Worry about the second corner spot as much for the

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Speaker 2: Giants in that game exactly.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, which most of the other weeks it is going

346
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Speaker 1: to be a concern.

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Speaker 2: All right, let's go to Jags.

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Speaker 1: They are at six and a half on the win total.

349
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Speaker 1: The over you're getting plus money at plus one ten.

350
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Speaker 1: The under is minus one thirty. You know, the on

351
00:16:02,560 --> 00:16:04,000
Speaker 1: line could be a little better, but I still don't

352
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Speaker 1: think it'll be great. I have them favored in two games,

353
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Speaker 1: but do have them with quite a few games where

354
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Speaker 1: they're within a field goal. You know, the Jet at

355
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Speaker 1: the Jets in Week sixteen, Week seventeen against the Texans,

356
00:16:18,160 --> 00:16:20,840
Speaker 1: that's pretty much a pick, but I could I actually

357
00:16:21,400 --> 00:16:23,760
Speaker 1: probably actually would favor them in that game. So yeah,

358
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Speaker 1: they you know, the favored of maybe three games, but

359
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Speaker 1: other close ones that are winnable, like at Detroit. They

360
00:16:28,920 --> 00:16:33,000
Speaker 1: always meet Indianapolis. When Indianapolis comes in to Jacksonville. Even

361
00:16:33,040 --> 00:16:35,000
Speaker 1: in Week one against the Commanders.

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Speaker 2: They're winning that game.

363
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Speaker 1: Yeah, that's that's not a game that you would just

364
00:16:38,080 --> 00:16:40,800
Speaker 1: right off that they could win. So they do have

365
00:16:40,880 --> 00:16:44,040
Speaker 1: some kind of sneaky upside here in terms of they're

366
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Speaker 1: not getting a ton of credit in the market. They

367
00:16:46,240 --> 00:16:49,080
Speaker 1: only had three point four Pythagora wins last year. Doug Peterson,

368
00:16:49,120 --> 00:16:51,800
Speaker 1: their new head coach, two and three to the over

369
00:16:52,160 --> 00:16:54,520
Speaker 1: in terms of the preseason win total with Philly. But

370
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Speaker 1: if you know, I think it comes down to can

371
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Speaker 1: Trevor Lawrence take a year two lead because he's gotta

372
00:17:00,080 --> 00:17:02,440
Speaker 1: he's still got to kind of elevate this offense. I

373
00:17:02,480 --> 00:17:06,199
Speaker 1: think it's a very mediocre roster, Like it's it's not

374
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Speaker 1: a roster that will kill you if your quarterback is

375
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Speaker 1: playing well, which you could say about a.

376
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Speaker 2: Lot of teams. But you know, I think Kirk is solid.

377
00:17:14,240 --> 00:17:16,359
Speaker 1: Marvin Jones and z Jones, I mean they're not the

378
00:17:16,400 --> 00:17:18,520
Speaker 1: worst receivers in the leagu they're not the best, and

379
00:17:18,600 --> 00:17:19,679
Speaker 1: ETN should be solid.

380
00:17:19,760 --> 00:17:21,160
Speaker 2: They got Sheriff on the interior.

381
00:17:21,480 --> 00:17:23,840
Speaker 1: You know, what are your thoughts on how Lawrence is

382
00:17:23,840 --> 00:17:25,880
Speaker 1: going to progress now that he has had a having

383
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Speaker 1: a full offseason without the shackles of Urban Meyer.

384
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Speaker 2: I actually saw. I mean statistically, there's you say, wow,

385
00:17:32,960 --> 00:17:35,040
Speaker 2: it was bad for Lawrence and the turnovers are bad,

386
00:17:35,480 --> 00:17:38,200
Speaker 2: But I think from a coaching perspective, things can get

387
00:17:38,240 --> 00:17:41,520
Speaker 2: better and I trust his pedigree and I think that

388
00:17:41,560 --> 00:17:43,040
Speaker 2: he'll have a much better year. And that's what it's

389
00:17:43,080 --> 00:17:44,680
Speaker 2: going to come down to. I think the offensive line

390
00:17:44,720 --> 00:17:48,840
Speaker 2: is okay, serviceable enough. The wide receiver room is serviceable enough,

391
00:17:49,359 --> 00:17:51,240
Speaker 2: but it has to be on Lawrence because the defense

392
00:17:51,440 --> 00:17:53,720
Speaker 2: is going to be bad. It was one of the

393
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Speaker 2: worst defenses in the NFL last year, and I mean

394
00:17:57,680 --> 00:18:01,480
Speaker 2: you had Darius Williams. If they're down near corner, Shack

395
00:18:01,520 --> 00:18:05,880
Speaker 2: Griffin at the other corner, it's just a very under

396
00:18:05,920 --> 00:18:08,760
Speaker 2: like I just look at the defense and you're very underwhelmed.

397
00:18:08,760 --> 00:18:10,840
Speaker 2: It'll be one of the worst defenses in the league.

398
00:18:10,880 --> 00:18:13,080
Speaker 2: So it comes down to Lawrence and coaching up Gred

399
00:18:13,080 --> 00:18:14,639
Speaker 2: and I think they'll be improved. I project them like

400
00:18:14,680 --> 00:18:16,840
Speaker 2: six point three wins. I don't see any value with them,

401
00:18:16,880 --> 00:18:19,639
Speaker 2: but I think that there is some downside. I mentioned

402
00:18:19,720 --> 00:18:22,280
Speaker 2: downside risk with the Colts, and I'm really low on

403
00:18:22,440 --> 00:18:25,240
Speaker 2: the Titans. By the way, my prediction Jags beat the

404
00:18:25,240 --> 00:18:28,399
Speaker 2: Titans in Week seventeen. If the Titans need it, Jags

405
00:18:28,400 --> 00:18:30,639
Speaker 2: always win that game and usually to get the Colts.

406
00:18:31,240 --> 00:18:32,840
Speaker 2: Colts fan should be happy they're not playing the Jags

407
00:18:32,880 --> 00:18:35,720
Speaker 2: week eighteen, I should say so. Yeah, maybe jag take

408
00:18:35,720 --> 00:18:37,600
Speaker 2: a fly on the Jags to win the division or

409
00:18:37,640 --> 00:18:39,720
Speaker 2: even to make the playoffs. I think that's the bat.

410
00:18:39,720 --> 00:18:42,439
Speaker 2: Maybe Jags to win the playoffs because I think that this.

411
00:18:43,040 --> 00:18:44,920
Speaker 2: You have to win this division to get to the playoffs.

412
00:18:45,000 --> 00:18:47,720
Speaker 2: There's not a wildcard team from this division in the NFC. Yeah,

413
00:18:47,720 --> 00:18:49,480
Speaker 2: the Jags are probably better. They'll have a better price

414
00:18:49,480 --> 00:18:51,560
Speaker 2: to win the division. So because there is a chance

415
00:18:51,560 --> 00:18:53,200
Speaker 2: that you could, So I wouldn't wory about. I wouldn't

416
00:18:53,200 --> 00:18:54,720
Speaker 2: bet them win make the playoffs. Would bet them win

417
00:18:54,760 --> 00:18:57,480
Speaker 2: the division as a long shot. I'm personally not but

418
00:18:57,560 --> 00:18:58,360
Speaker 2: I don't hate it.

419
00:18:58,800 --> 00:19:01,480
Speaker 1: That's for plus four to fifty to make the playoffs,

420
00:19:01,480 --> 00:19:03,440
Speaker 1: plus seven fifty to win the AFC South.

421
00:19:03,800 --> 00:19:06,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's not even a consideration. It's plus you bet

422
00:19:06,840 --> 00:19:08,960
Speaker 2: that plus seven fifty. I can't see the Jags making

423
00:19:09,000 --> 00:19:11,040
Speaker 2: as a wild card in the AFC. Just division is

424
00:19:11,040 --> 00:19:13,480
Speaker 2: punching one ticket. So yeah, I think that they'll be better,

425
00:19:13,480 --> 00:19:15,040
Speaker 2: The'll be more competitive. I'll probably be on the week

426
00:19:15,080 --> 00:19:17,840
Speaker 2: one against Washington and uh, if you want to take

427
00:19:17,840 --> 00:19:19,640
Speaker 2: a fly and then the win division plus seven to fifty,

428
00:19:19,680 --> 00:19:21,879
Speaker 2: don't hate it. Maybe maybe I will throw change on it.

429
00:19:21,920 --> 00:19:23,879
Speaker 2: We'll say what do you play? By the way, all

430
00:19:23,880 --> 00:19:26,919
Speaker 2: the receivers, whatever happened to the labiscus chanal all? Remember

431
00:19:26,920 --> 00:19:27,880
Speaker 2: all the love for labiscus?

432
00:19:28,280 --> 00:19:32,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, so I think Doug Peterson played fantasy and he

433
00:19:32,920 --> 00:19:35,080
Speaker 1: was mad, so he just dumped him down a fifth

434
00:19:35,080 --> 00:19:35,680
Speaker 1: on the depth charts.

435
00:19:35,720 --> 00:19:38,159
Speaker 2: What seems to be going on? And uh, from what

436
00:19:38,200 --> 00:19:40,480
Speaker 2: I say, the detection, Yeah, from.

437
00:19:40,320 --> 00:19:42,160
Speaker 1: What I'm hearing, yeah, he's been on the on the

438
00:19:42,240 --> 00:19:43,160
Speaker 1: on the trade block, but.

439
00:19:43,800 --> 00:19:46,720
Speaker 2: Number one revenge games. We're gonna have two revenge games.

440
00:19:46,800 --> 00:19:47,040
Speaker 2: I mean.

441
00:19:47,119 --> 00:19:48,320
Speaker 1: The only thing is, I don't know if you trade

442
00:19:48,359 --> 00:19:49,000
Speaker 1: him in the division.

443
00:19:49,320 --> 00:19:51,480
Speaker 2: You know that that's but I was hearing Texans Saday

444
00:19:51,480 --> 00:19:52,920
Speaker 2: for some reason. I was like, that's here.

445
00:19:53,240 --> 00:19:55,880
Speaker 1: It's uh, it's it's but it's not encouraging that he's

446
00:19:55,880 --> 00:19:57,960
Speaker 1: been on the block for a while reportedly, and it

447
00:19:58,119 --> 00:20:01,080
Speaker 1: just not much interest maybe outside of the text. I mean,

448
00:20:01,359 --> 00:20:03,159
Speaker 1: half the teams and pretty much every team in this

449
00:20:03,160 --> 00:20:05,440
Speaker 1: division needs a receiver more than almost any other team

450
00:20:05,600 --> 00:20:06,480
Speaker 1: outside of this division.

451
00:20:06,520 --> 00:20:08,760
Speaker 2: So maybe that's why they haven't been able to move him.

452
00:20:09,119 --> 00:20:14,119
Speaker 2: But not Ravens Ravens All, I feel like.

453
00:20:15,800 --> 00:20:18,960
Speaker 1: No, absolutely, I just I mean I liked him coming out,

454
00:20:19,000 --> 00:20:22,160
Speaker 1: but I think he's he's kind of you would hope

455
00:20:22,160 --> 00:20:24,080
Speaker 1: he can turn into like a cord All Patterson. I

456
00:20:24,080 --> 00:20:26,000
Speaker 1: think he's more of a gadget guy. So I think

457
00:20:26,000 --> 00:20:28,160
Speaker 1: the Ravens need more more of a true outside receiver.

458
00:20:28,200 --> 00:20:29,680
Speaker 1: That's why I wouldn't say him to the Ravens. I

459
00:20:29,720 --> 00:20:32,000
Speaker 1: think they an outside guy. But we digress.

460
00:20:32,160 --> 00:20:32,920
Speaker 2: I agree. I think the.

461
00:20:32,880 --> 00:20:35,240
Speaker 1: Defense there's there's just a lot of holes for this

462
00:20:35,320 --> 00:20:37,960
Speaker 1: Jags team. That's where it's not like, oh, there there

463
00:20:38,000 --> 00:20:39,840
Speaker 1: is dar Wing six and a half when you know

464
00:20:39,920 --> 00:20:41,879
Speaker 1: it's bet the over, you know, could they get to

465
00:20:41,880 --> 00:20:43,840
Speaker 1: seven wins because they win the division? Absolutely, I think

466
00:20:43,840 --> 00:20:46,240
Speaker 1: it's an upside team if you if you are, you know,

467
00:20:46,560 --> 00:20:47,400
Speaker 1: kind of betting on them.

468
00:20:47,440 --> 00:20:49,720
Speaker 2: But it's also you know, just kind of like the

469
00:20:49,760 --> 00:20:51,080
Speaker 2: Coast and the Titans.

470
00:20:51,080 --> 00:20:53,880
Speaker 1: I mean, it's they're kind of teetering on the edge

471
00:20:53,920 --> 00:20:56,719
Speaker 1: of it could also be just disastrous if, like if

472
00:20:56,800 --> 00:20:59,159
Speaker 1: Lawrence just doesn't take a step or you know, they

473
00:20:59,440 --> 00:21:00,240
Speaker 1: loses like a stuck.

474
00:21:00,280 --> 00:21:03,560
Speaker 2: It will be because their defenses can't win any games.

475
00:21:03,720 --> 00:21:05,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, or they lose like one of you know, let's

476
00:21:05,600 --> 00:21:08,240
Speaker 1: say Kirk or Etn or Sheriff, like go any one

477
00:21:08,280 --> 00:21:11,040
Speaker 1: of their impact players on offense. I mean, yeah, They're

478
00:21:11,080 --> 00:21:12,280
Speaker 1: defense is not gonna win them any games. In the

479
00:21:12,280 --> 00:21:15,080
Speaker 1: offenses like very mediocre, and even if Lawrence took a

480
00:21:15,080 --> 00:21:17,680
Speaker 1: step forward. It will probably be mediocre at best.

481
00:21:17,720 --> 00:21:20,680
Speaker 2: So yeah, not rushing out. You know, maybe maybe they'll

482
00:21:20,680 --> 00:21:21,159
Speaker 2: get to love me.

483
00:21:21,280 --> 00:21:23,520
Speaker 1: If it got up to seven, I might think about,

484
00:21:23,560 --> 00:21:25,080
Speaker 1: you know, coming back on the on the under.

485
00:21:25,119 --> 00:21:27,320
Speaker 2: But right now, yeah, I don't see any value.

486
00:21:27,320 --> 00:21:30,199
Speaker 1: I don't only have them favored in three games, so

487
00:21:30,760 --> 00:21:33,200
Speaker 1: you know, they're they're, like I said, small dogs and

488
00:21:33,440 --> 00:21:36,000
Speaker 1: a lot of others. But it's kind of I think

489
00:21:36,000 --> 00:21:37,760
Speaker 1: the market's kind of on.

490
00:21:37,760 --> 00:21:38,480
Speaker 2: Point with them.

491
00:21:38,960 --> 00:21:42,040
Speaker 1: The Texans four and a half should be one of

492
00:21:42,080 --> 00:21:43,960
Speaker 1: the worst teams in the league. They're plus one hundred

493
00:21:44,040 --> 00:21:46,760
Speaker 1: to the over. I don't have them favored in any games.

494
00:21:46,760 --> 00:21:48,680
Speaker 1: I do have them actually no, yeah, I don't have

495
00:21:48,680 --> 00:21:51,520
Speaker 1: them favor in any game. So that's and they're and

496
00:21:51,560 --> 00:21:54,399
Speaker 1: they're I have them as touchdown or more underdogs in

497
00:21:54,520 --> 00:21:57,440
Speaker 1: over half of their games. So this it's gonna be

498
00:21:57,520 --> 00:21:59,680
Speaker 1: ugly for the Texans. They only had four point one

499
00:22:00,080 --> 00:22:03,560
Speaker 1: ptagaran wins last year, and I mean, outside of Damian

500
00:22:03,600 --> 00:22:04,040
Speaker 1: Pierce that.

501
00:22:04,000 --> 00:22:05,840
Speaker 2: Are running back, they're probably worse.

502
00:22:06,640 --> 00:22:11,200
Speaker 1: So I really don't have any confidence in this Texas team.

503
00:22:11,240 --> 00:22:13,040
Speaker 2: What do you think, Yeah, we don't need to spend

504
00:22:13,080 --> 00:22:15,399
Speaker 2: time on the Texans. They stink. I project four four

505
00:22:15,520 --> 00:22:17,840
Speaker 2: three four four. It's really tough for me to go

506
00:22:17,920 --> 00:22:20,040
Speaker 2: under four and a half. In the NFL, they get

507
00:22:20,080 --> 00:22:22,000
Speaker 2: I mean, they're winnable games, are you. Look and it's

508
00:22:22,080 --> 00:22:25,200
Speaker 2: like Cleveland, Like I could see them winning that game.

509
00:22:25,240 --> 00:22:28,560
Speaker 2: Now Watson's first game back, if he's like stream ross,

510
00:22:28,640 --> 00:22:31,520
Speaker 2: the team, whole team gets up for that. Maybe they

511
00:22:31,560 --> 00:22:33,399
Speaker 2: steal that game. You know, you get the Jags at

512
00:22:33,440 --> 00:22:36,240
Speaker 2: home late in the year, you got the Commanders at home,

513
00:22:36,760 --> 00:22:39,720
Speaker 2: you know, the Titans at home, like these divisional home games,

514
00:22:39,840 --> 00:22:42,359
Speaker 2: and said, like, I could see them getting four or five.

515
00:22:42,440 --> 00:22:44,080
Speaker 2: Like the NFL, you're gonna there's gonna be like an

516
00:22:44,160 --> 00:22:46,879
Speaker 2: upset or two. So yeah, I think the numbers about right.

517
00:22:46,880 --> 00:22:48,320
Speaker 2: This team stinks. And like Love, I'm not a fan

518
00:22:48,359 --> 00:22:51,320
Speaker 2: of Love the Lovey Smith higher and Davis Mills quarterback.

519
00:22:51,359 --> 00:22:54,480
Speaker 2: It's okay, this roster's awful. The team's awful. I'll probably

520
00:22:54,520 --> 00:22:57,280
Speaker 2: be on them too many times this year betting them all.

521
00:22:57,320 --> 00:23:00,720
Speaker 1: I was jumped to the loaded AFC will start with

522
00:23:00,760 --> 00:23:04,000
Speaker 1: the Chiefs. They win totals ten and a half minus,

523
00:23:04,040 --> 00:23:06,639
Speaker 1: won twenty to the over, brust one hundred to the under.

524
00:23:07,119 --> 00:23:09,760
Speaker 1: They were the luckiest team in terms of miss games

525
00:23:09,840 --> 00:23:11,520
Speaker 1: due to injury last year, which.

526
00:23:11,359 --> 00:23:13,080
Speaker 2: Is interesting in every department.

527
00:23:13,200 --> 00:23:16,399
Speaker 1: Yeah, which is interesting because it was also the first

528
00:23:16,400 --> 00:23:18,920
Speaker 1: time in nine years as head coach of the Chiefs

529
00:23:19,359 --> 00:23:21,879
Speaker 1: that Andy Reid did not lead this team over their

530
00:23:21,920 --> 00:23:25,960
Speaker 1: preseason win totals. So now the division's obviously loaded. You

531
00:23:26,000 --> 00:23:28,439
Speaker 1: add in Russell Wilson. I think the Raiders are going

532
00:23:28,480 --> 00:23:30,040
Speaker 1: to be better than people expect. We can talk about

533
00:23:30,040 --> 00:23:30,560
Speaker 1: that in a bit.

534
00:23:31,240 --> 00:23:31,919
Speaker 2: I still have the.

535
00:23:31,960 --> 00:23:35,040
Speaker 1: Chiefs favored in ten or eleven games, but there's a

536
00:23:35,080 --> 00:23:37,119
Speaker 1: lot of close ones there, so that could kind of

537
00:23:37,160 --> 00:23:39,920
Speaker 1: go either way. They had eleven point two Pythagora wins

538
00:23:39,960 --> 00:23:42,400
Speaker 1: last year, So what do you think of the Chiefs?

539
00:23:42,440 --> 00:23:44,359
Speaker 1: You know, some people will say, you know, Andy rid

540
00:23:44,359 --> 00:23:46,919
Speaker 1: always goes over and they just kind of bet them

541
00:23:47,000 --> 00:23:48,959
Speaker 1: for that reason. But how do you think they're going

542
00:23:49,000 --> 00:23:50,640
Speaker 1: to adjust to life after Tyreek.

543
00:23:51,359 --> 00:23:53,920
Speaker 2: It'll be interesting to see how they had and looked.

544
00:23:54,040 --> 00:23:56,240
Speaker 2: It felt like they were unlucky with turnovers earlier in

545
00:23:56,280 --> 00:24:00,760
Speaker 2: the year. Yeah, they definitely got health, they were injury luck.

546
00:24:01,119 --> 00:24:04,320
Speaker 2: They enjoyed some injury luck for sure, which they can't

547
00:24:04,320 --> 00:24:07,399
Speaker 2: afford to have. But it's a they're well coached, and

548
00:24:07,920 --> 00:24:10,480
Speaker 2: I expect the Chiefs to make some adjustments offensive that

549
00:24:10,560 --> 00:24:12,600
Speaker 2: the league is kind of adjusted them. My home is

550
00:24:12,640 --> 00:24:15,840
Speaker 2: still arguably the best quarterback league. If not, you can't

551
00:24:16,000 --> 00:24:18,399
Speaker 2: argue it's not top three, and the statistics were that

552
00:24:18,400 --> 00:24:20,080
Speaker 2: out last you know, there were some struggles. The league

553
00:24:20,119 --> 00:24:21,639
Speaker 2: is kind of adjusted. Now you don't have to Tyreek

554
00:24:21,680 --> 00:24:24,840
Speaker 2: Hill to kind of take the top off. But we'll

555
00:24:24,880 --> 00:24:27,159
Speaker 2: see what Scantling can do. And then you know, you

556
00:24:27,200 --> 00:24:31,360
Speaker 2: added sky More in the draft, so juju, it's yeah, juju,

557
00:24:31,400 --> 00:24:34,520
Speaker 2: you add So there's these receivers that have potential, but

558
00:24:34,560 --> 00:24:36,960
Speaker 2: there's more question marks. So we see. Obviously you still

559
00:24:36,960 --> 00:24:39,320
Speaker 2: have Kelsey. You got to really love the offensive line.

560
00:24:39,880 --> 00:24:42,120
Speaker 2: They just had some excellent draft picks with some young guys.

561
00:24:42,160 --> 00:24:44,959
Speaker 2: Should only get better. And then Orlando Brown at left tackle,

562
00:24:45,200 --> 00:24:48,160
Speaker 2: he only started to get better after coming over from Baltimore,

563
00:24:48,200 --> 00:24:51,440
Speaker 2: then adjusting kind of the scheme change. So yeah, it

564
00:24:51,440 --> 00:24:53,520
Speaker 2: should be one of the best offenses in the NFL.

565
00:24:53,720 --> 00:25:00,119
Speaker 2: Once again, the questions for me all come on the

566
00:25:00,160 --> 00:25:03,399
Speaker 2: defensive side of the ball. As always, What did they

567
00:25:03,480 --> 00:25:07,040
Speaker 2: really do to address the defense? Nothing? You know you're

568
00:25:07,080 --> 00:25:10,080
Speaker 2: gonna be hoping a rookie can help you at corner said,

569
00:25:10,119 --> 00:25:12,960
Speaker 2: luck you lose Honey Badger. It's just so important to

570
00:25:13,000 --> 00:25:15,760
Speaker 2: them in so many ways. At least Sorenson won't be

571
00:25:15,760 --> 00:25:18,119
Speaker 2: on the field anymore. And I guess that's the only

572
00:25:18,200 --> 00:25:21,359
Speaker 2: positive I can give. But how's this team getting pressure?

573
00:25:21,400 --> 00:25:23,760
Speaker 2: How are they stopping to run? The secondary? Is worse?

574
00:25:24,320 --> 00:25:24,760
Speaker 2: You like this?

575
00:25:24,880 --> 00:25:25,120
Speaker 1: Stay?

576
00:25:25,600 --> 00:25:26,320
Speaker 2: No, I was gonna say.

577
00:25:26,400 --> 00:25:28,480
Speaker 1: I mean, I think they have at least some upside

578
00:25:28,480 --> 00:25:31,760
Speaker 1: in terms of the pressure department. You know, they got Dunwab,

579
00:25:32,200 --> 00:25:35,560
Speaker 1: they got car Loftis. You know, they still have Jones

580
00:25:35,560 --> 00:25:38,560
Speaker 1: on the inside. You know, Clark obviously needs to step

581
00:25:38,560 --> 00:25:38,760
Speaker 1: it up.

582
00:25:39,080 --> 00:25:43,200
Speaker 2: Clark is awful. Yeah's people he's done. Yeah, he doesn't

583
00:25:43,200 --> 00:25:44,560
Speaker 2: do anything. But but I mean, now you've got a

584
00:25:44,600 --> 00:25:45,600
Speaker 2: couple of flash plays.

585
00:25:45,640 --> 00:25:48,320
Speaker 1: But now you have done lot, which you know, I

586
00:25:48,320 --> 00:25:49,760
Speaker 1: think there is a few years in there when the

587
00:25:49,800 --> 00:25:50,679
Speaker 1: linebackers were awful.

588
00:25:50,760 --> 00:25:52,640
Speaker 2: I think it'll be a little better. I like Gay.

589
00:25:53,080 --> 00:25:55,640
Speaker 1: I like oh jerryus Snead too as well.

590
00:25:55,720 --> 00:25:58,800
Speaker 2: So I think I like, I get you lost Ward,

591
00:25:58,840 --> 00:26:03,640
Speaker 2: you lost Honey Badgers. Yeah, and then you're talking about

592
00:26:03,640 --> 00:26:06,160
Speaker 2: guys you kind of like. I agree. I like Gay

593
00:26:06,720 --> 00:26:09,240
Speaker 2: and I actually like thorn Hill and Snead. But it's

594
00:26:09,320 --> 00:26:13,120
Speaker 2: like you're replacing Honey Badger with Justin Reid. You're replacing

595
00:26:13,119 --> 00:26:16,040
Speaker 2: Ward with a rookie. This defense is gonna be bad again.

596
00:26:16,160 --> 00:26:17,520
Speaker 2: Doesn't mean they can't win a lot of games, but

597
00:26:17,560 --> 00:26:20,359
Speaker 2: the AFC is tougher, and I have the Chiefs with

598
00:26:20,520 --> 00:26:25,880
Speaker 2: the hardest schedule in the NFL. I project them ten

599
00:26:25,960 --> 00:26:28,479
Speaker 2: point three, but their defense might be worse than I think.

600
00:26:28,560 --> 00:26:31,000
Speaker 2: I'm it might end up being closer to ten. I

601
00:26:31,200 --> 00:26:33,480
Speaker 2: got to take a deeper dive look into their defense.

602
00:26:33,520 --> 00:26:35,760
Speaker 2: But I would lean under now enough to play it.

603
00:26:36,119 --> 00:26:40,000
Speaker 2: I do think that there's value in oh, p checko.

604
00:26:40,119 --> 00:26:41,560
Speaker 2: You've maybe you got a mench of check though maybe

605
00:26:41,560 --> 00:26:44,640
Speaker 2: he looks has looked awesome, the Rutgers boy. But yeah,

606
00:26:44,640 --> 00:26:46,480
Speaker 2: I mean I would lean under here. But I'm going

607
00:26:46,520 --> 00:26:50,560
Speaker 2: to attack the Chiefs in another way. And I mean

608
00:26:50,600 --> 00:26:53,159
Speaker 2: first of all, that their division is loaded, and I

609
00:26:53,160 --> 00:26:56,600
Speaker 2: think the Chiefs probably got a little worse and they

610
00:26:56,760 --> 00:26:59,120
Speaker 2: might have some negative aggression coming. So I think their

611
00:26:59,160 --> 00:27:01,480
Speaker 2: defense got worse. And you lose Tyreek kill, yeah, and

612
00:27:01,480 --> 00:27:03,040
Speaker 2: then you don't get the two free wins, and then

613
00:27:03,119 --> 00:27:07,480
Speaker 2: fifty three points in both games against the Raiders this year. Yeah,

614
00:27:07,920 --> 00:27:10,440
Speaker 2: with their coaching changes, but you know, you start out

615
00:27:10,480 --> 00:27:13,440
Speaker 2: at Arizona. I actually like them in that game. Talk

616
00:27:13,480 --> 00:27:16,840
Speaker 2: about a coaching mismatch. I mean, just this schedule and

617
00:27:17,280 --> 00:27:21,880
Speaker 2: Chargers at Colts at Bucks home against the Raiders, home

618
00:27:21,920 --> 00:27:26,320
Speaker 2: against the Bills, at Sant Fran home against the Titans,

619
00:27:26,320 --> 00:27:28,040
Speaker 2: home against the Jags. There's a little break and then

620
00:27:28,080 --> 00:27:32,240
Speaker 2: it's at Chargers, Rams, at Bengals at Broncos. Yeah, it's

621
00:27:33,240 --> 00:27:36,080
Speaker 2: non stop. At the back end of the schedule. You know,

622
00:27:36,080 --> 00:27:38,879
Speaker 2: you get the Texans and Seahawks, but is it's the

623
00:27:38,920 --> 00:27:41,159
Speaker 2: hardest schedule in the NFL. It's loaded and you're in

624
00:27:41,200 --> 00:27:43,280
Speaker 2: the AFC. The defense is gonna be bad. They're gonna

625
00:27:43,280 --> 00:27:47,440
Speaker 2: have to win shootouts and stay healthy on the offensive

626
00:27:47,440 --> 00:27:49,760
Speaker 2: side of the wall. But I actually like the I

627
00:27:49,760 --> 00:27:52,960
Speaker 2: actually think the Chargers have a better overall roster. Now

628
00:27:53,320 --> 00:27:55,760
Speaker 2: they have an easier schedule. They don't have quite as

629
00:27:56,440 --> 00:27:58,959
Speaker 2: good of a home field advantage. But I actually think

630
00:27:58,960 --> 00:28:01,480
Speaker 2: there's value in the Chargers the division. Yeah, the Chiefs.

631
00:28:01,480 --> 00:28:04,199
Speaker 1: I mean, like you pointed out, they have three gimmes

632
00:28:04,359 --> 00:28:06,920
Speaker 1: on the schedule this year. Versus Jacksonville in Week ten,

633
00:28:07,440 --> 00:28:11,600
Speaker 1: at Houston in Week fifteen and versus Seattle in Week sixteen.

634
00:28:11,680 --> 00:28:15,119
Speaker 1: Outside of that, I mean, every game is going to

635
00:28:15,200 --> 00:28:17,439
Speaker 1: be tough. You know, the Chiefs are obviously have one

636
00:28:17,440 --> 00:28:19,800
Speaker 1: of the best quarterbacks and coaches in the league, but

637
00:28:20,440 --> 00:28:23,239
Speaker 1: you're talking about essentially coin flip games versus a lot

638
00:28:23,280 --> 00:28:25,320
Speaker 1: of quality teams or just you know in the division,

639
00:28:25,320 --> 00:28:27,760
Speaker 1: even the Raiders, who are the you know, projected to

640
00:28:27,760 --> 00:28:29,720
Speaker 1: be the worst team in the division. They're not easy

641
00:28:29,720 --> 00:28:32,879
Speaker 1: out anymore for the Chiefs, especially as you mentioned, without

642
00:28:32,920 --> 00:28:35,720
Speaker 1: Gus Bradley, just you know, playing that same exact cover

643
00:28:35,800 --> 00:28:37,480
Speaker 1: three every.

644
00:28:37,160 --> 00:28:38,920
Speaker 2: Single time that the Chiefs just eat up.

645
00:28:39,000 --> 00:28:41,000
Speaker 1: So you know, I know Andy Reed does this every

646
00:28:41,080 --> 00:28:43,280
Speaker 1: year and the total has come down, but I think

647
00:28:43,320 --> 00:28:46,880
Speaker 1: it's rightfully come down. Just a lot of variants in

648
00:28:46,960 --> 00:28:49,120
Speaker 1: terms of you know, the Chiefs will be good, but

649
00:28:49,160 --> 00:28:51,800
Speaker 1: that doesn't mean they win eleven games. That doesn't mean

650
00:28:51,840 --> 00:28:53,320
Speaker 1: they win twelve games. They know they could be good

651
00:28:53,320 --> 00:28:55,520
Speaker 1: and still end up unlucky, end up with like a

652
00:28:55,640 --> 00:28:58,280
Speaker 1: nine to eight record. So I wouldn't touch the over

653
00:28:58,400 --> 00:29:01,960
Speaker 1: for them. About the Chargers, they won total's ten. It's

654
00:29:02,040 --> 00:29:04,360
Speaker 1: juice to the over a minus one forty, So you're

655
00:29:04,400 --> 00:29:06,960
Speaker 1: talking more like ten to three. This is a team

656
00:29:07,000 --> 00:29:09,720
Speaker 1: that I have favorite. I just about the same amount

657
00:29:09,760 --> 00:29:12,160
Speaker 1: of games as the Chiefs, but same thing. I have

658
00:29:12,200 --> 00:29:16,000
Speaker 1: eleven games where they are you know, they have a

659
00:29:16,000 --> 00:29:18,480
Speaker 1: field goaler less spread and their favorite. I have a

660
00:29:18,520 --> 00:29:21,120
Speaker 1: favorite in seven of those games. I pick them in

661
00:29:21,160 --> 00:29:23,520
Speaker 1: three more. You know, talk about their roster because I know,

662
00:29:23,520 --> 00:29:25,960
Speaker 1: I know Jackson now is gonna miss maybe maybe the

663
00:29:26,000 --> 00:29:27,280
Speaker 1: opener in a couple of weeks.

664
00:29:27,320 --> 00:29:29,520
Speaker 2: But I did like what they did getting Jacks.

665
00:29:29,520 --> 00:29:31,800
Speaker 1: I think he's such an impact player, was so massive

666
00:29:31,840 --> 00:29:34,280
Speaker 1: to what New England was able to do on defense.

667
00:29:34,280 --> 00:29:36,960
Speaker 1: And you get Khalil Mack. You know the offense, we

668
00:29:37,000 --> 00:29:38,920
Speaker 1: know they're gonna be good. The line should be good.

669
00:29:39,000 --> 00:29:41,040
Speaker 1: So how do you like this Charger team so much?

670
00:29:41,360 --> 00:29:42,840
Speaker 2: Yeah? I love this team. You can make the case

671
00:29:42,840 --> 00:29:45,960
Speaker 2: that they have the best roster in the NFL. We'll

672
00:29:45,960 --> 00:29:47,680
Speaker 2: say that there's some pieces that have to come together,

673
00:29:48,040 --> 00:29:50,240
Speaker 2: so they're not as I think the Bills are more

674
00:29:50,240 --> 00:29:53,239
Speaker 2: of a known commodity. But what the Chargers did and

675
00:29:53,280 --> 00:29:55,239
Speaker 2: what they flashed last year, and they were a bit

676
00:29:55,320 --> 00:29:57,680
Speaker 2: unlucky overall. They went out and they signed twelve free

677
00:29:57,680 --> 00:30:00,360
Speaker 2: agents to contracts worth over one hundred and fifty million

678
00:30:01,040 --> 00:30:02,600
Speaker 2: to address some of the holes on the roster. Then

679
00:30:02,640 --> 00:30:05,640
Speaker 2: they traded for Khalil Mack and then drafted Zion Johnson

680
00:30:05,680 --> 00:30:07,920
Speaker 2: has looked great to address one of the guard positions.

681
00:30:07,920 --> 00:30:10,840
Speaker 2: Offensive line has been a major weakness now not the case.

682
00:30:10,920 --> 00:30:13,479
Speaker 2: The only real weakness. I mean, if you look at this,

683
00:30:13,680 --> 00:30:19,440
Speaker 2: the defense last year was the problem. The defensive line

684
00:30:19,640 --> 00:30:23,360
Speaker 2: you still have some questions about in the interior, but

685
00:30:23,880 --> 00:30:27,680
Speaker 2: everywhere else you have to love what they did. Adding

686
00:30:27,760 --> 00:30:31,480
Speaker 2: j C. Jackson is enormous, and you know, you add

687
00:30:31,480 --> 00:30:34,600
Speaker 2: Bryce Callahan and the slot you have Derwin James, one

688
00:30:34,640 --> 00:30:36,720
Speaker 2: of the best safeties in the NFL. There's you know,

689
00:30:36,760 --> 00:30:39,760
Speaker 2: you added Khalil Mack to help off with the edge

690
00:30:40,040 --> 00:30:43,800
Speaker 2: by the way of Joey Bosa still there. So they

691
00:30:43,920 --> 00:30:47,600
Speaker 2: really short up the defense. I think the offensive line

692
00:30:47,600 --> 00:30:50,680
Speaker 2: will be a lot better, and you know, I think

693
00:30:50,720 --> 00:30:53,640
Speaker 2: they upgraded at tight end. Herbert should only continue to

694
00:30:53,640 --> 00:30:57,000
Speaker 2: get better. The only weakness on this roster defensive line

695
00:30:57,320 --> 00:30:59,960
Speaker 2: something to monitor, and the run defense has really been

696
00:31:00,400 --> 00:31:04,000
Speaker 2: an issue. But the right tackle and I mean Storm

697
00:31:04,000 --> 00:31:05,960
Speaker 2: Norton stinks. I hope Trey Pipkins. I think they're gonna

698
00:31:06,000 --> 00:31:07,600
Speaker 2: name a starter there and soon. I hope he wins

699
00:31:07,600 --> 00:31:09,880
Speaker 2: the jobs. I think he has better upside. They've been

700
00:31:09,880 --> 00:31:13,160
Speaker 2: splitting reps, but yeah, they've really gone out and I

701
00:31:13,160 --> 00:31:16,200
Speaker 2: mean Rayshawan Slater is a stud at left tackle, and

702
00:31:16,440 --> 00:31:18,560
Speaker 2: they've addressed a lot of the holes on this roster.

703
00:31:18,880 --> 00:31:21,960
Speaker 2: I think it's arguably the best overall roster in the NFL.

704
00:31:22,800 --> 00:31:25,480
Speaker 2: And I like them. I don't think that they should

705
00:31:25,680 --> 00:31:28,080
Speaker 2: there should be that much of a discrepancy as there

706
00:31:28,120 --> 00:31:31,000
Speaker 2: is in the division compared to the Chiefs. I actually

707
00:31:31,000 --> 00:31:33,960
Speaker 2: have them. Let's see. I project the Chargers, yeah, to

708
00:31:34,000 --> 00:31:36,400
Speaker 2: win more games they have. They still have a hard schedule,

709
00:31:36,400 --> 00:31:38,200
Speaker 2: but they had like the eighth hardest schedule instead of

710
00:31:38,200 --> 00:31:40,440
Speaker 2: the Chiefs, which is the first. I project the Chargers

711
00:31:40,440 --> 00:31:43,280
Speaker 2: to win more games, even with a depressed home field advantage,

712
00:31:43,280 --> 00:31:46,320
Speaker 2: which is dwindling across the board anyway. But yeah, I

713
00:31:46,360 --> 00:31:48,320
Speaker 2: think that there's some value in the Chargers to win

714
00:31:48,760 --> 00:31:50,479
Speaker 2: the division. I threw a little bit on it. I'm

715
00:31:50,480 --> 00:31:54,320
Speaker 2: a little fit afraid of the cannibalization in the division.

716
00:31:55,080 --> 00:31:57,360
Speaker 2: It's just so brutal, But yeah, I think the Chargers

717
00:31:57,400 --> 00:31:58,680
Speaker 2: actions should be favorite. Yeah.

718
00:31:58,720 --> 00:32:00,920
Speaker 1: The plus two twenty you know, I think it's just

719
00:32:01,000 --> 00:32:04,240
Speaker 1: a it's such a loaded division that it personally, I

720
00:32:04,240 --> 00:32:06,320
Speaker 1: prefer like a team like the Vikings or the Eagles

721
00:32:06,360 --> 00:32:08,440
Speaker 1: that you know, they're kind of in that same range,

722
00:32:08,480 --> 00:32:10,680
Speaker 1: but uh, it's kind of more of a two man race.

723
00:32:10,960 --> 00:32:14,000
Speaker 1: The downside with the charges is it's I think it's

724
00:32:14,040 --> 00:32:15,080
Speaker 1: actually a four team race.

725
00:32:15,200 --> 00:32:17,600
Speaker 2: But I love the roster. I think Herbert is an

726
00:32:17,600 --> 00:32:18,320
Speaker 2: absolute study.

727
00:32:18,480 --> 00:32:22,160
Speaker 1: I think Staley is not going to always get you know,

728
00:32:22,360 --> 00:32:24,400
Speaker 1: credit by the media depending where you fall on like

729
00:32:24,440 --> 00:32:25,480
Speaker 1: the analytic spectrum.

730
00:32:25,520 --> 00:32:28,320
Speaker 2: But you know, he's adding win probability with a lot.

731
00:32:28,200 --> 00:32:30,760
Speaker 1: Of the decisions he's making on the offensive side of

732
00:32:30,760 --> 00:32:32,160
Speaker 1: the ball for and that's great.

733
00:32:32,800 --> 00:32:33,040
Speaker 2: Yeah.

734
00:32:33,120 --> 00:32:35,560
Speaker 1: Yeah, So it's it's it's a good team real quick,

735
00:32:35,600 --> 00:32:37,440
Speaker 1: because I know people listening are probably gonna ask this

736
00:32:37,520 --> 00:32:40,200
Speaker 1: this on Twitter, what are you going into Week one

737
00:32:40,600 --> 00:32:44,320
Speaker 1: with your baseline home field advantage because you mentioned it

738
00:32:44,320 --> 00:32:46,000
Speaker 1: it's dwindling, and I know people are going to be like,

739
00:32:46,280 --> 00:32:47,360
Speaker 1: you know, have questions about that.

740
00:32:47,880 --> 00:32:50,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, I still might be too high, but my overall

741
00:32:50,560 --> 00:32:55,320
Speaker 2: average is just over one, like one one one point

742
00:32:55,360 --> 00:32:58,120
Speaker 2: one yeah, points for home field. Of that, now, I

743
00:32:58,120 --> 00:33:01,600
Speaker 2: should mention there are times this is more situational, but

744
00:33:01,960 --> 00:33:04,120
Speaker 2: home field avents does not mean as much in division

745
00:33:04,160 --> 00:33:07,160
Speaker 2: games historically, so it's I have an adjustment for that.

746
00:33:07,200 --> 00:33:10,240
Speaker 2: Teams are more familiar with where they're playing, where they're

747
00:33:10,240 --> 00:33:13,120
Speaker 2: traveling to, which matters, and then you obviously do it

748
00:33:13,120 --> 00:33:17,040
Speaker 2: every year and familiar with those teams travel also impacts it.

749
00:33:17,080 --> 00:33:20,520
Speaker 2: And then there's obviously different range of home field advantages

750
00:33:20,600 --> 00:33:23,840
Speaker 2: with like the you know, you're gonna have the Saints

751
00:33:23,880 --> 00:33:26,640
Speaker 2: and the Chiefs and the Seahawks, and then obviously the

752
00:33:26,640 --> 00:33:29,640
Speaker 2: Broncos have the highest because the altitude are up over

753
00:33:29,720 --> 00:33:32,160
Speaker 2: one and a half, and then you have teams like

754
00:33:32,360 --> 00:33:38,720
Speaker 2: the you know, Washington the Chargers, which are under one.

755
00:33:39,520 --> 00:33:42,040
Speaker 1: Yeah, okay, cool, thanks. I just wanted to make sure

756
00:33:42,720 --> 00:33:43,840
Speaker 1: we get that in there because I know.

757
00:33:43,840 --> 00:33:45,800
Speaker 2: People, it's hary. It's hard to figure. It's hard to

758
00:33:45,840 --> 00:33:49,120
Speaker 2: adjust those things because it's like there's so much noise. Yeah,

759
00:33:49,120 --> 00:33:51,720
Speaker 2: and those results and you have the COVID year and there.

760
00:33:51,720 --> 00:33:53,320
Speaker 1: Yes, I was just going to say that the COVID

761
00:33:53,400 --> 00:33:55,280
Speaker 1: year was crazy just from like a lot of different

762
00:33:55,600 --> 00:33:58,920
Speaker 1: perspectives to where you almost have to like not throw

763
00:33:58,960 --> 00:34:01,160
Speaker 1: it out in the sense of like you know, the players,

764
00:34:01,160 --> 00:34:03,960
Speaker 1: but some of the baselines, like just completely changed. There's

765
00:34:03,960 --> 00:34:07,280
Speaker 1: so much more offense that year totals went went crazy,

766
00:34:07,400 --> 00:34:10,200
Speaker 1: Like yeah, it was it was a It just makes sense.

767
00:34:10,600 --> 00:34:13,320
Speaker 2: Basically, what I'm doing is just monitoring all the data

768
00:34:13,360 --> 00:34:16,840
Speaker 2: and then I've been slowly reducing home field advantage across

769
00:34:16,840 --> 00:34:19,680
Speaker 2: the board each year, and sometimes I think I'm not

770
00:34:19,719 --> 00:34:23,439
Speaker 2: doing it aggressively enough, But that's the approach I'm taking

771
00:34:23,440 --> 00:34:25,560
Speaker 2: in and I value I'll actually take a look before

772
00:34:25,600 --> 00:34:27,719
Speaker 2: the season again a deeper dive, but that's where I'm

773
00:34:27,760 --> 00:34:28,279
Speaker 2: at right now.

774
00:34:28,400 --> 00:34:30,319
Speaker 1: No, I mean, that's generally the range I'm into. You know,

775
00:34:30,360 --> 00:34:32,680
Speaker 1: it's it's not much higher than one anymore. It used

776
00:34:32,719 --> 00:34:35,040
Speaker 1: to be, you know, closer to you know, high ones two,

777
00:34:35,880 --> 00:34:37,839
Speaker 1: and then it's really come down with these last few years.

778
00:34:37,840 --> 00:34:39,600
Speaker 2: But let's uh, let's.

779
00:34:39,400 --> 00:34:40,960
Speaker 1: Finish it out. We got the Broncos and a Raiders

780
00:34:40,960 --> 00:34:44,600
Speaker 1: to talk about. Broncos win to it was ten minus

781
00:34:44,600 --> 00:34:47,200
Speaker 1: one ten on both sides of that. They were unlucky

782
00:34:47,200 --> 00:34:51,120
Speaker 1: with injuries last year, fifth most games lost adjusted according

783
00:34:51,120 --> 00:34:52,239
Speaker 1: to Football Outsiders.

784
00:34:52,520 --> 00:34:56,200
Speaker 2: They get Russell Wilson Broncos Country. Let's rob it.

785
00:34:56,120 --> 00:34:59,719
Speaker 1: Works, not only because you're massive upgraded quarterback, but I think,

786
00:35:00,080 --> 00:35:02,600
Speaker 1: and in particular needs a quarterback Mike Wilson. So it's

787
00:35:02,600 --> 00:35:05,160
Speaker 1: good to hear that they're having a good camp, you know,

788
00:35:05,200 --> 00:35:09,000
Speaker 1: in terms of their chemistry that's building. I only have

789
00:35:09,040 --> 00:35:12,759
Speaker 1: them favored in nine games. I have another four as

790
00:35:12,920 --> 00:35:14,680
Speaker 1: a pick them and then you know there's obviously some

791
00:35:14,719 --> 00:35:17,919
Speaker 1: close games even in the nine, so you know it's

792
00:35:17,960 --> 00:35:21,960
Speaker 1: a tough division where they're probably the third best team realistically.

793
00:35:22,200 --> 00:35:24,120
Speaker 1: I think their roster is pretty strong as well, but

794
00:35:24,920 --> 00:35:26,120
Speaker 1: these teams are really going to beat.

795
00:35:26,040 --> 00:35:26,640
Speaker 2: Up on each other.

796
00:35:26,719 --> 00:35:30,239
Speaker 1: So I'm not going under on the Broncos, but I

797
00:35:30,239 --> 00:35:32,440
Speaker 1: would not go over either. But what are your thoughts

798
00:35:32,520 --> 00:35:34,800
Speaker 1: with this with Russ Intel.

799
00:35:34,680 --> 00:35:36,799
Speaker 2: There's still some questions on this roster. I still have

800
00:35:36,880 --> 00:35:41,960
Speaker 2: questions about the offensive line. On defense, the cornerback situation

801
00:35:42,200 --> 00:35:46,560
Speaker 2: is fairly underwhelming. I did like the addition of Randy

802
00:35:46,560 --> 00:35:51,600
Speaker 2: Gregory up front, but there's you know, some potential holes

803
00:35:51,600 --> 00:35:55,840
Speaker 2: on this defense and along the offensive line. Really good team, obviously,

804
00:35:55,880 --> 00:35:59,440
Speaker 2: really tough schedule. It's it's gonna come down to what

805
00:35:59,520 --> 00:36:02,680
Speaker 2: Russ can provide. That's that's kind of the I project

806
00:36:02,760 --> 00:36:05,080
Speaker 2: him at right at ten wins. I think what's there

807
00:36:05,120 --> 00:36:07,319
Speaker 2: implied nine to eight ninety nine, So I don't see

808
00:36:07,320 --> 00:36:09,560
Speaker 2: any value either way. I do think that they're the

809
00:36:09,600 --> 00:36:11,439
Speaker 2: third best team in the division, that's Rovin Power. They're

810
00:36:11,440 --> 00:36:14,400
Speaker 2: a step behind the Chiefs and Chargers. I'm curious to

811
00:36:14,400 --> 00:36:17,480
Speaker 2: get your thoughts done. I don't I keep I'm flaky

812
00:36:17,560 --> 00:36:19,960
Speaker 2: with this, but it depends on which side of the

813
00:36:19,960 --> 00:36:22,480
Speaker 2: bet I wake up on. But with Russell Wilson, he

814
00:36:22,680 --> 00:36:25,520
Speaker 2: obviously last year, you know, he has a thumb injury,

815
00:36:25,520 --> 00:36:28,439
Speaker 2: and then it obviously appeared like he came back way

816
00:36:28,480 --> 00:36:31,120
Speaker 2: too early and he was awful, and then he kind

817
00:36:31,120 --> 00:36:34,040
Speaker 2: of looked like himself right before the end of the year.

818
00:36:34,600 --> 00:36:39,280
Speaker 2: But he's gonna be thirty four this year, and he's

819
00:36:39,320 --> 00:36:43,520
Speaker 2: different than like Brady right in the sense that he's

820
00:36:43,560 --> 00:36:46,279
Speaker 2: not just taking a snap and then sitting in the

821
00:36:46,320 --> 00:36:50,640
Speaker 2: pocket and working. Like the reason why Russell Wilson probably

822
00:36:50,680 --> 00:36:53,719
Speaker 2: won't age as well. It's always been probably one of

823
00:36:53,719 --> 00:36:56,719
Speaker 2: the best, most accurate peoples in NFL history. But he

824
00:36:56,800 --> 00:37:00,359
Speaker 2: also his legs have always been in his creativity. Part

825
00:37:00,400 --> 00:37:01,719
Speaker 2: of that has to do with his size, but he

826
00:37:01,760 --> 00:37:04,360
Speaker 2: also just is extremely athletic. It can use that to

827
00:37:04,360 --> 00:37:08,160
Speaker 2: his advantage. So that is going to start to diminish

828
00:37:08,600 --> 00:37:12,319
Speaker 2: at some point. So when do we start to see that?

829
00:37:12,440 --> 00:37:14,359
Speaker 2: So last year was that just all injury? And now

830
00:37:14,440 --> 00:37:16,480
Speaker 2: he's healthy, and then like I just assume that we're

831
00:37:16,480 --> 00:37:20,279
Speaker 2: getting we're still at peak ross from two years ago

832
00:37:20,320 --> 00:37:23,240
Speaker 2: and the rust that we've seen forever, or like should

833
00:37:23,239 --> 00:37:26,080
Speaker 2: I build in Like, all right, he's still obviously an

834
00:37:26,200 --> 00:37:29,080
Speaker 2: enormous upgrade over what the Denver quarterback situation has been.

835
00:37:29,520 --> 00:37:32,160
Speaker 2: But that's kind of the that'll maybe be the difference

836
00:37:32,160 --> 00:37:35,360
Speaker 2: between Denver potentially missing the playoffs, like they're gonna be

837
00:37:35,400 --> 00:37:37,840
Speaker 2: really good regardless, but the AFC would ten games to

838
00:37:37,840 --> 00:37:39,839
Speaker 2: miss the plaus this year or being a legit Super

839
00:37:39,880 --> 00:37:42,160
Speaker 2: Bowl threat? Is that Russ ceiling still where it was?

840
00:37:42,239 --> 00:37:43,879
Speaker 2: You have any thoughts on that? It's a hard question.

841
00:37:44,239 --> 00:37:45,120
Speaker 2: I think it is.

842
00:37:45,560 --> 00:37:48,879
Speaker 1: You know, just historically quarterback aging curves, they're a lot

843
00:37:48,920 --> 00:37:52,000
Speaker 1: more gradual than obviously you can't really compare anyone to

844
00:37:52,000 --> 00:37:55,160
Speaker 1: Tom Brady, but you know, he's still averaged eight point

845
00:37:55,200 --> 00:37:58,040
Speaker 1: four adjusted yards per attempt last year that was you know,

846
00:37:58,080 --> 00:38:02,040
Speaker 1: that's actually point two of his career average of eight

847
00:38:02,040 --> 00:38:04,839
Speaker 1: point two. And I really think that he was held

848
00:38:04,880 --> 00:38:08,520
Speaker 1: back in that scheme in Seattle, you know, by the play, yeah,

849
00:38:08,520 --> 00:38:10,640
Speaker 1: by the play can because it's you know, not even

850
00:38:10,719 --> 00:38:13,120
Speaker 1: just the offensive coordinators. Obviously they had different ones that

851
00:38:13,200 --> 00:38:15,880
Speaker 1: all came under fire. But Pete Carroll just you know,

852
00:38:15,920 --> 00:38:19,000
Speaker 1: he's a run first coach. That's what his philosophy is.

853
00:38:19,000 --> 00:38:20,759
Speaker 1: And a lot of times what you would see with

854
00:38:20,920 --> 00:38:24,200
Speaker 1: Wilson is he would just feel like he had to

855
00:38:24,239 --> 00:38:28,120
Speaker 1: maximize every opportunity that he had to pass. So he

856
00:38:28,160 --> 00:38:30,160
Speaker 1: would you know, he's the best deep off throw in

857
00:38:30,160 --> 00:38:32,680
Speaker 1: the league arguably, but he would still you know, there'd

858
00:38:32,719 --> 00:38:35,319
Speaker 1: be some ill advised decisions there. You know, he'd be

859
00:38:35,400 --> 00:38:38,760
Speaker 1: chucking it deep on third and five after two runs, and.

860
00:38:39,040 --> 00:38:40,760
Speaker 2: It just it wasn't a good situation.

861
00:38:40,920 --> 00:38:42,680
Speaker 1: So you know, he kind of now he's at a

862
00:38:42,680 --> 00:38:46,000
Speaker 1: destination where I'm sure you know, in acquiring him, they

863
00:38:46,040 --> 00:38:48,200
Speaker 1: kind of gave him some assurances that they're gonna run

864
00:38:48,239 --> 00:38:50,840
Speaker 1: offense a little bit more to how he would like

865
00:38:50,920 --> 00:38:54,120
Speaker 1: to run offense. And you also look at Seattle's you know,

866
00:38:54,280 --> 00:38:56,480
Speaker 1: and this has been a trend with them. They're blocking

867
00:38:56,480 --> 00:38:58,640
Speaker 1: their old one hasn't been good. They were seventh the

868
00:38:58,719 --> 00:39:01,200
Speaker 1: great up seventh worst last year. Denver graded up ninth

869
00:39:01,280 --> 00:39:04,200
Speaker 1: best and just looking at the line, I mean, you

870
00:39:04,239 --> 00:39:07,320
Speaker 1: know it should be solid across the boards. It's not spectacular,

871
00:39:07,719 --> 00:39:10,000
Speaker 1: but you know, I think he's gonna get better protection,

872
00:39:10,760 --> 00:39:13,720
Speaker 1: a downgrade at wide receiver unless you know, Judy really

873
00:39:13,719 --> 00:39:16,279
Speaker 1: breaks out and Sutton returns the form. But I think

874
00:39:16,520 --> 00:39:19,000
Speaker 1: he fits really well with Sutton. I like this rookie

875
00:39:19,200 --> 00:39:22,160
Speaker 1: kid Washington. I think he ends up winning that job

876
00:39:22,200 --> 00:39:26,120
Speaker 1: in the slot over kJ Hammler and uh yeah, it's

877
00:39:26,200 --> 00:39:28,279
Speaker 1: this team. I think Russ is gonna be fine, is

878
00:39:28,320 --> 00:39:30,240
Speaker 1: what I'm saying. I don't think he'll be the reason

879
00:39:30,280 --> 00:39:32,680
Speaker 1: why Denver doesn't go as far as they could go

880
00:39:32,719 --> 00:39:34,520
Speaker 1: this year. I think, like you said, it probably will

881
00:39:34,600 --> 00:39:36,719
Speaker 1: more have to do with you know, can can then

882
00:39:36,719 --> 00:39:39,560
Speaker 1: the defense stay healthy, can can chub you know, stay

883
00:39:39,600 --> 00:39:42,120
Speaker 1: healthy to form a pair with with Gregory? You know,

884
00:39:42,800 --> 00:39:45,399
Speaker 1: what are you gonna get out of the cornerbacks? Uh?

885
00:39:45,440 --> 00:39:47,920
Speaker 1: You know, we know certain is probably gonna gonna be good,

886
00:39:47,920 --> 00:39:49,399
Speaker 1: But what can you get out of.

887
00:39:49,160 --> 00:39:50,360
Speaker 2: Darby and Williams?

888
00:39:50,360 --> 00:39:52,719
Speaker 1: So I think that's really the questions more so than

889
00:39:52,880 --> 00:39:55,120
Speaker 1: than Russ. I think I think Russ will be final

890
00:39:55,160 --> 00:39:57,000
Speaker 1: though the death that receiver is getting a lit within

891
00:39:57,120 --> 00:39:59,839
Speaker 1: now with you know no Tim Patrick, but like I said,

892
00:40:00,120 --> 00:40:02,160
Speaker 1: I do like Okaweb when I'm one of the in

893
00:40:02,200 --> 00:40:05,040
Speaker 1: terms of tight ends gets targeted. It was targeting about

894
00:40:05,040 --> 00:40:06,680
Speaker 1: twenty four percent of his route last year, so he

895
00:40:06,719 --> 00:40:08,880
Speaker 1: gets open at that position. And like I said, I

896
00:40:08,920 --> 00:40:11,920
Speaker 1: think this kid Washington Montreal Washington is actually going to

897
00:40:12,000 --> 00:40:14,680
Speaker 1: give them another element. And people probably don't know much

898
00:40:14,680 --> 00:40:16,719
Speaker 1: about him, but I think he's gonna play well. So

899
00:40:16,760 --> 00:40:18,760
Speaker 1: as long if they can keep Judy and sutt and healthy,

900
00:40:18,800 --> 00:40:20,440
Speaker 1: I think they'll be fine. The running game should be

901
00:40:20,480 --> 00:40:24,239
Speaker 1: good with Javonte Williams and Melvin Gordon, so you have

902
00:40:24,280 --> 00:40:26,560
Speaker 1: everything kind of in place for Russ to have success.

903
00:40:26,680 --> 00:40:29,640
Speaker 1: On offense, I think it's you know, defense without Fangio.

904
00:40:29,920 --> 00:40:32,440
Speaker 1: How high is the ceiling now? I think that's really

905
00:40:32,480 --> 00:40:33,680
Speaker 1: more of the question.

906
00:40:33,960 --> 00:40:36,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think the defense definitely takes step back. By

907
00:40:36,000 --> 00:40:38,319
Speaker 2: the way, that was very well pronounced by you, I'm

908
00:40:38,360 --> 00:40:41,239
Speaker 2: not even gonna try because I always just say. And

909
00:40:41,280 --> 00:40:43,080
Speaker 2: by the way I earlier, I think I might have

910
00:40:43,160 --> 00:40:46,160
Speaker 2: said Darius Leonard, it's Shaquille now. Yeah, it's Sequille now,

911
00:40:46,200 --> 00:40:49,080
Speaker 2: and which like no one knew, he said he didn't

912
00:40:49,080 --> 00:40:50,640
Speaker 2: even want, never wanted to bring it up the other week.

913
00:40:50,680 --> 00:40:52,799
Speaker 2: He said, you know, it's been five years for someone's

914
00:40:52,800 --> 00:40:54,880
Speaker 2: spring up. I think it's his middle name. But I

915
00:40:54,960 --> 00:40:57,600
Speaker 2: was looking at the when I started my NFL prep,

916
00:40:57,800 --> 00:41:00,480
Speaker 2: I was pulling up all the depth charts and I'm like,

917
00:41:00,680 --> 00:41:02,600
Speaker 2: who the fuck is Shaq Leonard? I was like, what

918
00:41:02,680 --> 00:41:06,000
Speaker 2: happened to Daris Lennard. I'm looking and I'm like, supposed

919
00:41:06,000 --> 00:41:09,239
Speaker 2: to say Shaq Thompson, Like what? I was so confused

920
00:41:09,880 --> 00:41:12,399
Speaker 2: for like two minutes, and I was like, oh wait, yeah,

921
00:41:12,400 --> 00:41:15,400
Speaker 2: I forgot. I read that he now goes by Shaquille Leonard.

922
00:41:15,480 --> 00:41:19,160
Speaker 2: But there's got because there's another guy named Shaquille linebacker

923
00:41:19,239 --> 00:41:22,200
Speaker 2: the NFL. And then I'm like Leonard. I'm like, did

924
00:41:22,280 --> 00:41:24,880
Speaker 2: Darius Leonard get? Did I miss Daris Leonard getting traded?

925
00:41:25,200 --> 00:41:27,719
Speaker 2: Did he retire? I was like, what the hell? What?

926
00:41:27,840 --> 00:41:30,520
Speaker 2: What I was in my mind was just couldn't wrap

927
00:41:30,560 --> 00:41:33,279
Speaker 2: around looking at that name. Obviously, I was like my

928
00:41:33,360 --> 00:41:36,719
Speaker 2: first day of cracking the NFL books back open too.

929
00:41:36,840 --> 00:41:39,480
Speaker 2: But yeah, that was funny but well pronounced on Alberta.

930
00:41:39,920 --> 00:41:41,839
Speaker 1: Thank you, thank you sir, and uh if you had

931
00:41:41,880 --> 00:41:44,359
Speaker 1: if you had trouble with Leonard, don't uh don't look

932
00:41:44,360 --> 00:41:46,600
Speaker 1: at the Saints wide receiver depth shock because they got

933
00:41:46,640 --> 00:41:49,399
Speaker 1: some guy named Deontay Hardy now who was formerly known

934
00:41:49,400 --> 00:41:51,920
Speaker 1: as Deontay Harris. So we got, when's the last time

935
00:41:51,920 --> 00:41:52,560
Speaker 1: you had two nos?

936
00:41:52,640 --> 00:41:52,920
Speaker 2: Really?

937
00:41:53,280 --> 00:41:56,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, Deontay Harris is Deontay Hardy. Robbie Anderson is now

938
00:41:56,719 --> 00:41:58,239
Speaker 1: R O B B I E instead of R O.

939
00:41:58,440 --> 00:41:59,000
Speaker 2: I saw that.

940
00:41:59,200 --> 00:42:01,239
Speaker 1: So it's like if you if you have spreadsheets where

941
00:42:01,239 --> 00:42:02,719
Speaker 1: you're like you do look ups, which I have a

942
00:42:02,760 --> 00:42:07,319
Speaker 1: ton of specious murder is it's just not ideal. But

943
00:42:08,080 --> 00:42:10,959
Speaker 1: let's let's talk with Raiders real quick, because my whole

944
00:42:11,280 --> 00:42:14,520
Speaker 1: kind of philosophy with this loaded AFC West is that

945
00:42:14,960 --> 00:42:16,680
Speaker 1: you kind of mentioned. I think it's a lot closer

946
00:42:16,680 --> 00:42:19,239
Speaker 1: than people think. The Raiders are actually my favorite team

947
00:42:19,239 --> 00:42:21,880
Speaker 1: if you're going to invest in the AFC West, because

948
00:42:21,920 --> 00:42:23,640
Speaker 1: I just I think they are going to be a

949
00:42:23,719 --> 00:42:26,560
Speaker 1: quality team. You know, adding Devontae Adams, you know, adding

950
00:42:26,640 --> 00:42:29,719
Speaker 1: Josh McDaniels a head coach. You know, they were pretty

951
00:42:29,800 --> 00:42:31,480
Speaker 1: unlucky in terms of the injury. I still the old

952
00:42:31,520 --> 00:42:35,279
Speaker 1: line obviously is still a concern, which is why they're

953
00:42:35,400 --> 00:42:38,320
Speaker 1: in the seller. But you know, I have the Raiders

954
00:42:38,719 --> 00:42:42,120
Speaker 1: favored in nine games, and you know that's already over

955
00:42:42,120 --> 00:42:43,839
Speaker 1: there their win total, and then I have them pick

956
00:42:43,880 --> 00:42:46,919
Speaker 1: them in two more so, But at the same time,

957
00:42:46,960 --> 00:42:48,839
Speaker 1: I'm curious as your thoughts on this. You know, they

958
00:42:48,840 --> 00:42:52,279
Speaker 1: have that red flag of major aggression candidate. You know,

959
00:42:52,320 --> 00:42:54,600
Speaker 1: they only had six point nine Patagren wins last year.

960
00:42:54,680 --> 00:42:56,480
Speaker 1: It won ten games, they got into the playoffs. So

961
00:42:56,719 --> 00:42:59,759
Speaker 1: it's like, I have these kind of competing notions of

962
00:42:59,880 --> 00:43:00,440
Speaker 1: the Raiders.

963
00:43:00,440 --> 00:43:01,840
Speaker 2: But I look at you know, I look at the roster.

964
00:43:01,920 --> 00:43:03,960
Speaker 1: I like the fact that they should be able to

965
00:43:03,960 --> 00:43:06,799
Speaker 1: throw the ball regardless of the offensive line. I think

966
00:43:06,800 --> 00:43:08,600
Speaker 1: they got a good group of running backs, but Daniels

967
00:43:08,600 --> 00:43:12,520
Speaker 1: is always using his backs, and I think, you know,

968
00:43:12,560 --> 00:43:14,680
Speaker 1: on defense, they're gonna be able to rush the passer.

969
00:43:14,760 --> 00:43:17,120
Speaker 1: You know, you got Crosby and Chandler Jones. That's always

970
00:43:17,120 --> 00:43:19,720
Speaker 1: a plus. And then you know Rocky Scene is actually

971
00:43:19,800 --> 00:43:22,000
Speaker 1: one of the better corners in the league last year,

972
00:43:22,200 --> 00:43:24,560
Speaker 1: Hobbs is one of the better swat corners in the league.

973
00:43:24,760 --> 00:43:27,359
Speaker 1: So and now and now you don't have Gus Bradley there,

974
00:43:27,360 --> 00:43:29,279
Speaker 1: who's just gonna play the scheme that like certain teams

975
00:43:29,280 --> 00:43:30,680
Speaker 1: are just gonna obliterate.

976
00:43:30,719 --> 00:43:31,719
Speaker 2: So like I don't know.

977
00:43:31,760 --> 00:43:35,000
Speaker 1: I like the Raiders, but you know, obviously in this

978
00:43:35,040 --> 00:43:38,520
Speaker 1: division and then you know the regression thing, it's kind

979
00:43:38,560 --> 00:43:39,560
Speaker 1: of I don't know, what do you what do you

980
00:43:39,560 --> 00:43:40,439
Speaker 1: think of the Raiders?

981
00:43:40,480 --> 00:43:44,000
Speaker 2: I'm not crazy or is is this team? Yeah? I

982
00:43:44,080 --> 00:43:47,040
Speaker 2: think so. I mean you got too out of two

983
00:43:47,320 --> 00:43:49,320
Speaker 2: star players really have been tacking both sides of the

984
00:43:49,320 --> 00:43:52,600
Speaker 2: ball in Chunes and Adams, which is obviously gonna impact,

985
00:43:52,640 --> 00:43:56,000
Speaker 2: but like rushing the passer and throwing the ball like,

986
00:43:56,040 --> 00:43:58,279
Speaker 2: weren't really the weaknesses of this team. So I'm still

987
00:43:58,560 --> 00:44:03,319
Speaker 2: the offensive line, the secondary linebacking room is still a

988
00:44:03,360 --> 00:44:07,520
Speaker 2: major conservaive man. Yeah, you mentioned it. They were extremely

989
00:44:07,640 --> 00:44:11,359
Speaker 2: lucky all of last year and if you just look

990
00:44:11,640 --> 00:44:13,880
Speaker 2: at what seven to two and one score games, you

991
00:44:13,880 --> 00:44:18,240
Speaker 2: know they but they also played the Covid Browns roster.

992
00:44:18,600 --> 00:44:22,200
Speaker 2: Remember that game they played I think Wentz had Covid

993
00:44:22,520 --> 00:44:26,320
Speaker 2: when they played him, They played per Set, they played

994
00:44:26,400 --> 00:44:29,560
Speaker 2: Drew Locke and yeah, Nick Mullen when he was on

995
00:44:29,600 --> 00:44:33,239
Speaker 2: the Browns, so they played a number of different backups

996
00:44:33,320 --> 00:44:35,520
Speaker 2: as well. They were just lucky across the where they

997
00:44:35,560 --> 00:44:38,920
Speaker 2: won three more games than they were I mean their

998
00:44:38,960 --> 00:44:41,800
Speaker 2: Pythagora wins plan I mean, so if you look historically,

999
00:44:41,840 --> 00:44:45,440
Speaker 2: that is bad news. And the division got better, The

1000
00:44:45,560 --> 00:44:48,279
Speaker 2: Charters got better. The Chiefs are going to be close.

1001
00:44:48,360 --> 00:44:50,920
Speaker 2: I think they got a little worse, but the Broncos

1002
00:44:50,960 --> 00:44:55,080
Speaker 2: got better. The AFC overall is better, and I had

1003
00:44:55,160 --> 00:44:58,400
Speaker 2: them with the third hardest schedule in the NFL, So

1004
00:44:58,440 --> 00:45:01,160
Speaker 2: I project them at eight seven. I don't hate you

1005
00:45:01,280 --> 00:45:03,400
Speaker 2: taking a fly on them that win the division because, like,

1006
00:45:03,719 --> 00:45:07,200
Speaker 2: if you know, the coaching upgrades I think might be

1007
00:45:07,320 --> 00:45:10,799
Speaker 2: not incorporated to the market here with from a scheme perspective,

1008
00:45:10,800 --> 00:45:12,759
Speaker 2: and then you know, if Jones and Adams just have

1009
00:45:12,880 --> 00:45:15,640
Speaker 2: monster years, this team could actually be better than last year,

1010
00:45:16,239 --> 00:45:18,319
Speaker 2: even though if they have some negative regression. Just because

1011
00:45:18,320 --> 00:45:19,840
Speaker 2: you have you were lucky that year, doesn't mean you

1012
00:45:19,840 --> 00:45:21,319
Speaker 2: can't be lucky again this year, or it doesn't mean

1013
00:45:21,360 --> 00:45:23,719
Speaker 2: you're gonna be unlucky. Just throw that out there. But

1014
00:45:23,760 --> 00:45:25,239
Speaker 2: the reason that I do kind of like it to

1015
00:45:25,280 --> 00:45:26,800
Speaker 2: win the division is that there is a chance that

1016
00:45:26,880 --> 00:45:29,600
Speaker 2: this division is just eating each other. Yeah, just get

1017
00:45:29,680 --> 00:45:32,480
Speaker 2: the canimalization. Then it's just like the race to like

1018
00:45:33,120 --> 00:45:35,400
Speaker 2: ten wins to win it. Yeah, that's kind of what

1019
00:45:35,440 --> 00:45:35,880
Speaker 2: I'm thinking.

1020
00:45:35,920 --> 00:45:38,360
Speaker 1: You know, Like, obviously the Raiders are you'd have to

1021
00:45:38,400 --> 00:45:41,160
Speaker 1: say that the fourth best team in the division or

1022
00:45:41,200 --> 00:45:43,360
Speaker 1: the worst put another way, but I don't think the

1023
00:45:43,400 --> 00:45:45,719
Speaker 1: gap is quite as large. I think, you know, just

1024
00:45:45,760 --> 00:45:47,239
Speaker 1: like all these other teams. I think, you know, the

1025
00:45:47,719 --> 00:45:50,000
Speaker 1: Raiders have their strengths and weaknesses, and you know, being

1026
00:45:50,000 --> 00:45:53,080
Speaker 1: able to throw the ball and being able to pass rush.

1027
00:45:53,520 --> 00:45:55,480
Speaker 1: I think, you know, if you've had to choose some strengths,

1028
00:45:55,640 --> 00:45:56,880
Speaker 1: those would be the ones you choose.

1029
00:45:56,920 --> 00:45:59,440
Speaker 2: I think their secondary will be better, you know.

1030
00:45:59,480 --> 00:46:02,080
Speaker 1: Obviously abram At, you know, we'll see how if they

1031
00:46:02,120 --> 00:46:04,920
Speaker 1: can get more out of him. Well, you know, Morrigg

1032
00:46:04,960 --> 00:46:07,960
Speaker 1: has turned into a pretty good safety. Like I said,

1033
00:46:08,040 --> 00:46:10,239
Speaker 1: Rocky Scene has been one of the better corners in

1034
00:46:10,239 --> 00:46:12,040
Speaker 1: the weegue, and Hobbs was very good last year. So

1035
00:46:12,320 --> 00:46:14,239
Speaker 1: I don't think it's like bottom five.

1036
00:46:14,760 --> 00:46:16,280
Speaker 2: You've seen a little bit too much credit.

1037
00:46:16,360 --> 00:46:19,120
Speaker 1: But I mean we'll see, you know, he's he's uh,

1038
00:46:19,800 --> 00:46:21,600
Speaker 1: it's funny they kind of flip floped with the coats,

1039
00:46:21,600 --> 00:46:23,319
Speaker 1: but yeah, I mean he's been up and down. But

1040
00:46:23,360 --> 00:46:25,160
Speaker 1: if you can if you can build on what he's done,

1041
00:46:25,239 --> 00:46:26,879
Speaker 1: how he played last year, I think I think he'll

1042
00:46:26,920 --> 00:46:29,000
Speaker 1: be good. You know, obviously he was a lot worse

1043
00:46:29,040 --> 00:46:31,560
Speaker 1: in twenty twenty, and he was pretty solid in twenty nineteen.

1044
00:46:31,640 --> 00:46:35,279
Speaker 1: So but regardless, I do think there's some upside. So

1045
00:46:35,280 --> 00:46:37,640
Speaker 1: that's that's how it would attack this division. Everyone's gonna

1046
00:46:37,680 --> 00:46:41,080
Speaker 1: kind of make their case for who the best team

1047
00:46:41,080 --> 00:46:43,600
Speaker 1: in this division. Is why you should bet the over

1048
00:46:43,719 --> 00:46:46,160
Speaker 1: for the Chiefs, so the Chargers of the Broncos, whoever

1049
00:46:46,200 --> 00:46:49,480
Speaker 1: it might be. But I'd rather just take a flyer

1050
00:46:49,960 --> 00:46:52,000
Speaker 1: on the Raiders to win at six and a half

1051
00:46:52,000 --> 00:46:53,960
Speaker 1: to one. You could get some BLUs seven hundred out

1052
00:46:54,000 --> 00:46:57,040
Speaker 1: there as well, and hope that all these teams just

1053
00:46:57,120 --> 00:46:59,000
Speaker 1: kind of beat each other up, maybe get some injury luck.

1054
00:46:59,680 --> 00:47:02,839
Speaker 1: But that's how I kind of attack this I don't hate.

1055
00:47:02,880 --> 00:47:04,920
Speaker 2: I just wouldn't bet. I wouldn't bet the Chiefs. And

1056
00:47:04,960 --> 00:47:06,360
Speaker 2: it's not even I'm hating on the Chiefs. The division

1057
00:47:06,360 --> 00:47:07,719
Speaker 2: is so good, I wouldn't take the favorite, and I

1058
00:47:07,719 --> 00:47:10,040
Speaker 2: think that they're not heading shoulders well, and I don't

1059
00:47:10,040 --> 00:47:12,200
Speaker 2: think they're better than the Chargers, and Chargers out there

1060
00:47:12,200 --> 00:47:13,680
Speaker 2: like that you can find like plus two fifty, that's

1061
00:47:13,840 --> 00:47:17,560
Speaker 2: plus two twenty right closer to right, But actually the

1062
00:47:17,640 --> 00:47:19,319
Speaker 2: Chargers should have better odds. But I don't hate the

1063
00:47:19,520 --> 00:47:21,960
Speaker 2: if I were, if I didn't bet the Chargers, I

1064
00:47:22,000 --> 00:47:25,040
Speaker 2: can't close on taking a shot on the Raiders for

1065
00:47:25,080 --> 00:47:25,560
Speaker 2: our recap.

1066
00:47:25,600 --> 00:47:27,560
Speaker 1: That's really the only bet that I I don't really

1067
00:47:27,640 --> 00:47:29,279
Speaker 1: like any of these, you know, in the AFC West,

1068
00:47:29,280 --> 00:47:31,160
Speaker 1: I mean, it's just gonna be it's gonna be a gauntlet,

1069
00:47:31,160 --> 00:47:33,719
Speaker 1: So I don't I don't really want win totals in

1070
00:47:33,760 --> 00:47:36,160
Speaker 1: the AFC West, And then I'm just not I'm just

1071
00:47:36,200 --> 00:47:38,480
Speaker 1: not there with the Titans under But what do you

1072
00:47:38,480 --> 00:47:39,520
Speaker 1: what do you got for your plays?

1073
00:47:39,560 --> 00:47:43,560
Speaker 2: For this one? We'll start in the AFC South. I

1074
00:47:43,719 --> 00:47:47,960
Speaker 2: like the Titans under going against history here. I know

1075
00:47:48,080 --> 00:47:50,600
Speaker 2: Vrabel has gone well. The Titans the only team to

1076
00:47:50,600 --> 00:47:52,960
Speaker 2: go over the win total in each the past five years,

1077
00:47:53,000 --> 00:47:54,680
Speaker 2: but I have them projected closer to eight wins. I

1078
00:47:54,719 --> 00:47:57,560
Speaker 2: think the offense is significantly worse a receiver, offensive line.

1079
00:47:57,840 --> 00:48:00,000
Speaker 2: The defense will be solid, but not enough to carry

1080
00:48:00,080 --> 00:48:03,520
Speaker 2: this team in a loaded AFC in the division that

1081
00:48:03,560 --> 00:48:05,839
Speaker 2: I think got better overall, while the Titans got worse.

1082
00:48:05,880 --> 00:48:08,440
Speaker 2: One of the luckiest teams in the NFL last year.

1083
00:48:08,440 --> 00:48:10,400
Speaker 2: I think there's some regression coming and this roster just

1084
00:48:10,440 --> 00:48:14,520
Speaker 2: got worse. So give me the Titans under and I

1085
00:48:14,640 --> 00:48:16,880
Speaker 2: might take a flyer on the Jags. I'm lower on

1086
00:48:16,920 --> 00:48:18,919
Speaker 2: the Titans in the market. There is some downside risks

1087
00:48:18,920 --> 00:48:21,600
Speaker 2: with the Colts. If Lawrence can take that next step,

1088
00:48:21,760 --> 00:48:24,520
Speaker 2: maybe the defense is so bad. Still A decided on

1089
00:48:24,560 --> 00:48:28,440
Speaker 2: that one. And then in the AFC West, I agree

1090
00:48:28,480 --> 00:48:31,160
Speaker 2: with you. I staying far away from any wind total.

1091
00:48:31,200 --> 00:48:34,000
Speaker 2: I don't hate your Raiders start, but I think the

1092
00:48:34,200 --> 00:48:38,520
Speaker 2: Chargers might have the best roster in the NFL this year.

1093
00:48:38,920 --> 00:48:41,439
Speaker 2: I like the Chargers to win the division right around

1094
00:48:41,880 --> 00:48:44,480
Speaker 2: fine plus two fifty. Make sure you shop around, all right,

1095
00:48:44,560 --> 00:48:45,759
Speaker 2: that is gonna do it now.

1096
00:48:45,800 --> 00:48:50,160
Speaker 1: We have got through all four of our preview episodes,

1097
00:48:50,200 --> 00:48:52,920
Speaker 1: so be sure to check out the other three, and

1098
00:48:53,400 --> 00:48:56,520
Speaker 1: I hope you guys enjoyed this one. If you are

1099
00:48:56,840 --> 00:48:58,960
Speaker 1: looking to track your bets or follow ours, you can

1100
00:48:59,000 --> 00:49:02,560
Speaker 1: download the free award winning Action Network app. Also, be

1101
00:49:02,560 --> 00:49:05,040
Speaker 1: sure to check out all of our betting fantasy football

1102
00:49:05,080 --> 00:49:09,680
Speaker 1: content on actionnetwork dot com. And remember, we got a

1103
00:49:09,680 --> 00:49:12,200
Speaker 1: ton of episodes leading up to Week one, and we'll

1104
00:49:12,239 --> 00:49:14,560
Speaker 1: be here every you know, during the season, every week

1105
00:49:14,560 --> 00:49:16,600
Speaker 1: as well doing a Sunday six pack and all of

1106
00:49:16,600 --> 00:49:19,839
Speaker 1: our other favorite totals teasers, all that good stuff. Our guy,

1107
00:49:20,200 --> 00:49:23,759
Speaker 1: Jill's Gallant, has his Anytime Touchdown Manifesto episode up to

1108
00:49:23,840 --> 00:49:27,439
Speaker 1: check that out as well. And until next time, let's

1109
00:49:27,440 --> 00:49:42,600
Speaker 1: get this money.