WEBVTT - Part One: How Conservatism Won

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<v Speaker 1>Also media.

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<v Speaker 2>Oh, welcome back to Behind the Bastards, a podcast that

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<v Speaker 2>is just disastrously hungover. Right now, I am. I am

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<v Speaker 2>not doing well everybody. It is the day after or

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<v Speaker 2>around my birthday. Happened at some point in the last

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<v Speaker 2>forty eight hours or perhaps right now. Hello Dave, how

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<v Speaker 2>are you doing?

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<v Speaker 3>Woo?

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<v Speaker 1>Could I read the text message you set me at

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<v Speaker 1>four or five of the morning. Yeah, I have alarms,

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<v Speaker 1>but if they don't wake me, you can call me.

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<v Speaker 1>You not spelled out like you normally do, which was

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<v Speaker 1>my favorite part.

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<v Speaker 3>Was like, ewe you call.

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<v Speaker 2>We did just have another U yesterday, so that would

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<v Speaker 2>make sense.

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<v Speaker 3>I can't believe it was your birthday. Happy birthday, lovely Dave.

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<v Speaker 2>It was a birthday until I had to wake up.

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<v Speaker 3>Well yeah, I mean that's yeah, it's life, man, you know,

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<v Speaker 3>just pummeling, just pummeling us.

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<v Speaker 2>But HiT's keep coming.

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<v Speaker 3>I don't know. I'm going to celebrate today, yeah.

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<v Speaker 1>Just to say I'm really glad you were born.

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<v Speaker 2>Good job, thank you. If anyone at home wants to

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<v Speaker 2>celebrate my birthday, just uh, I don't know, send me

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<v Speaker 2>some of your fingernails. Fingernails, I want as many fingers,

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<v Speaker 2>No you're right. Someone will do that. Someone will do that.

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<v Speaker 2>We probably shouldn't, Dave.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah it bell. Yeah.

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<v Speaker 2>Oh yeah here hi co co host co impresario of

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<v Speaker 2>the Gamefully Unemployed network network, Mark my former co worker

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<v Speaker 2>at cracked dot com. Uh man about town at some

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<v Speaker 2>more news. How are you doing today, Dave?

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<v Speaker 3>I'm good. I'm living the dream. I'm wheeling and dealing.

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<v Speaker 3>I'm uh, I gotta figure out. I got to schedule colonoscopy.

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<v Speaker 2>Ooh, you're doting that just doing you.

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<v Speaker 3>Know, just doing the things, you know, just just live

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<v Speaker 3>in it, living life.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, that's good, that's good. You know, I uh do

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<v Speaker 2>you have? Is this a recreational colonoscopy or a necessary one?

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<v Speaker 3>It? Can it be both? Yeah?

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<v Speaker 2>Okay, that's fair ye fair enough. I know.

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<v Speaker 3>I mean I probably have nothing wrong with me. I

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<v Speaker 3>just uh, you know, I'm hitting forty. I I have

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<v Speaker 3>like a slight family history. And and I talked to

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<v Speaker 3>my my. I got a new I got a new doctor,

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<v Speaker 3>and I was like, what about them colonoscopies? And They're like, yeah,

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<v Speaker 3>let's do it. Let's fucking do it. And then we're

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<v Speaker 3>we're doing it, doing a colonoscopy. Yeah, excellent. Yeah, it's

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<v Speaker 3>exciting stuff. You know.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, I have not had a colonoscopy yet, although soon.

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<v Speaker 2>But you know, what is the the moral equivalent of

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<v Speaker 2>having a camera shoved up your ass?

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<v Speaker 3>Ooh what?

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<v Speaker 2>Living in the United States? Uh? In an election twenty

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<v Speaker 2>twenty four. And a big part of why it feels

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<v Speaker 2>that way is because of a little concept that you

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<v Speaker 2>might be aware of, Dave, the think tank? Ooh yeah,

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<v Speaker 2>what do you know about the think tank as a concept?

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<v Speaker 3>I mean I always picture like a SeaWorld style tank

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<v Speaker 3>filled with brine and just a giant floating brain that

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<v Speaker 3>a group of scientists sort of circle around, and that

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<v Speaker 3>brain is hooked up to computers and then the data

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<v Speaker 3>gets printed out, and they take that data and then

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<v Speaker 3>they use it or ignore it, and then they just

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<v Speaker 3>do whatever they want to do politically.

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<v Speaker 2>Wow, it's it's amazing. That's nearly the opposite of what

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<v Speaker 2>it really is. So what a think take really is

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<v Speaker 2>is a way in which to generate paper, and then

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<v Speaker 2>that paper convinces journalists that your policies are real policies,

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<v Speaker 2>and then you take over the Supreme Court. Right now,

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<v Speaker 2>I know this is going to sound convoluted. We're talking

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<v Speaker 2>about how the Republican Party kind of won and specifically

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<v Speaker 2>how they turned around the situation that existed in this

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<v Speaker 2>country in the United States, So we don't talk about much.

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<v Speaker 2>It's very especially because on the right there's this need

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<v Speaker 2>to believe that the fifties and sixties were this like

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<v Speaker 2>era where everything was better and like the whole country

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<v Speaker 2>was more conservative. And then there's this need among liberals

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<v Speaker 2>on the left to believe that like they have kind

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<v Speaker 2>of been ascendant lately and sort of the last couple

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<v Speaker 2>of years of resurgent right wing stuff has been a

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<v Speaker 2>severe disruption of the norm. And neither of this is

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<v Speaker 2>really accurate because the reality of the situation is that

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<v Speaker 2>in the fifties and sixties, basically any commentator who was

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<v Speaker 2>looking at it honestly would have told you that, like, well,

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<v Speaker 2>liberalism has clearly won, and we talk about liberalism, I'm

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<v Speaker 2>not talking about, like what the way we kind of

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<v Speaker 2>talk about liberals today, or the way liberals often like

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<v Speaker 2>to see themselves as progressives. I'm talking about like an

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<v Speaker 2>economic and kind of social set of political beliefs that

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<v Speaker 2>was the dominant way in which people viewed politics by

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<v Speaker 2>the nineteen fifties, liberal economic policy and social orthodoxy reigned

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<v Speaker 2>supreme in the post war era, and it was it

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<v Speaker 2>was like it had such a degree of capture of

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<v Speaker 2>the system that literary critic Lionel Trilling wrote in nineteen

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<v Speaker 2>fifty in the United States at this time liberalism is

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<v Speaker 2>not only the dominant, but even the sole intellectual tradition.

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<v Speaker 2>He claimed, there are no conservative or reactionary ideas in

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<v Speaker 2>general circulation only And I love this term irritable mental

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<v Speaker 2>gestures which seek to resemble ideas. Now a bunch of

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<v Speaker 2>people are going to be like thinking about all the

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<v Speaker 2>fucked up shit that they knew the government was doing

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<v Speaker 2>in the fifties and sixties, like overthrowing governments in Latin

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<v Speaker 2>America and getting it Vietnam, and being like, well, how

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<v Speaker 2>can you say that liberalism was dominant in this period?

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<v Speaker 2>And I can say that because, like what it was

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<v Speaker 2>liberals doing a lot of that, right, Like it was

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<v Speaker 2>JFK who got our asses into Vietnam, and LBJ the

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<v Speaker 2>great society guy, who accelerated it.

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<v Speaker 3>So I'm not, yeah, right, And like, I don't know

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<v Speaker 3>what's considered liberal or leftists, Yeah, you know, fifty.

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<v Speaker 2>Years not leftist, Yeah yeah, But it's.

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<v Speaker 3>Always going to be different, right, Like what you know,

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<v Speaker 3>I I you look at Star Trek, which is considered

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<v Speaker 3>pretty progressive, but then you go and look at TG

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<v Speaker 3>and you're like, man, they're almost there, but they still

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<v Speaker 3>don't quite you know, like I don't know.

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<v Speaker 2>They wouldn't let Ryker kiss a dude, right, yeah, yeah,

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<v Speaker 2>exactly like he wanted to. Jonathan Frakes was in of course.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I mean he he fucked everything and that My

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<v Speaker 3>favorite is the non binary aliens.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah yeah, where.

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<v Speaker 3>He immediately like upon meeting them, is like, oh, I

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<v Speaker 3>have to fuck one of these. I don't care which

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<v Speaker 3>I got to check off this box.

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<v Speaker 2>Mm hmm, poor Reich. But yeah, so when we're talking

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<v Speaker 2>about this, we're talking about the idea that like, and

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<v Speaker 2>it makes some sense if you think about like what

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<v Speaker 2>happened to the right is as a result of World

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<v Speaker 2>War two. Both like in the pre war period, you

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<v Speaker 2>have this kind of like isolationist, reactionary strain that really

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<v Speaker 2>has to retreat because we go to war with the

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<v Speaker 2>Nazis and they're like, oh shit, we have to we

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<v Speaker 2>have to get very careful about how we talk about

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<v Speaker 2>some of the things we believe. Suddenly so it's it's

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<v Speaker 2>just this this very like fundamentally different period. And one

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<v Speaker 2>of the few things that is kind of similar in

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<v Speaker 2>sort of how we look at liberalism from then to

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<v Speaker 2>now is that it was it was, and actually much

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<v Speaker 2>more so back then, defined by this kind of embrace

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<v Speaker 2>of public spending and huge public works projects, right, that

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<v Speaker 2>was pretty universally accepted as what the government ought to

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<v Speaker 2>be doing, to the point where I can look at

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<v Speaker 2>like Dwight D. Eisenhower, famous Republican president, builds a massive

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<v Speaker 2>interstate high system, right, which is not a thing that

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<v Speaker 2>you would you would get a Republican supporting today, like

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<v Speaker 2>a public's works project on that scale. It's it's kind

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<v Speaker 2>of inconceivable now. But that's what I'm talking about when

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<v Speaker 2>I'm talking about how like people, a lot of people

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<v Speaker 2>in public policy at the time were like, well, yeah,

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<v Speaker 2>this kind of liberal trend towards what the role of

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<v Speaker 2>the state should be in society has clearly won, and

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<v Speaker 2>there's not really any other game in town.

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<v Speaker 3>It's funny you should talk frame it this way because

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<v Speaker 3>I've actually I've talked about this with friends and stuff before,

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<v Speaker 3>and like people always frame it kind of not like, oh,

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<v Speaker 3>you know how they used to be liberal. It's more

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<v Speaker 3>of like, you know how what's considered quote unquote leftists

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<v Speaker 3>or liberal used to just be the norm. Yeah. It's like,

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<v Speaker 3>you know, we used to fix our highways up and

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<v Speaker 3>that wasn't seen as a political thing. Yeah, it was

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<v Speaker 3>just it was just a thing you have to do

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<v Speaker 3>when you run a government. Like would you would you

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<v Speaker 3>agree with that or would you say that they were

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<v Speaker 3>they were? It was seen at the time as very

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<v Speaker 3>liberal because I feel like these are things that other

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<v Speaker 3>kind do too, Yeah, that aren't seen as political leaning

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<v Speaker 3>at all.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, And part of the story today and why we

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<v Speaker 2>have think tanks is to make all that seem more

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<v Speaker 2>political than it used to. But it's also just a

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<v Speaker 2>matter of like when you're when you're looking back to

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<v Speaker 2>that period of time, you're looking at a period of

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<v Speaker 2>time in which, like the Republicans we had a very

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<v Speaker 2>strong liberal arm of the party. There were like Rockefeller

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<v Speaker 2>was a liberal Republican. There were like that was like

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<v Speaker 2>a dominant part of the Republican party. There were liberal

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<v Speaker 2>Republican presidential candidates who did pretty well, right, And that's

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<v Speaker 2>a really different situation today like now, and again I'm

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<v Speaker 2>not saying none of these people you would call like

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<v Speaker 2>a leftist, although they are all people who, if they

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<v Speaker 2>ran today, would be called leftists by Republicans.

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<v Speaker 3>Right Like. That's the thing. It's so hard to like

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<v Speaker 3>separate these words anymore.

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<v Speaker 2>Yes, yes, And I know that's a frustrating part of this.

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<v Speaker 3>I think I've I like, I don't even know what

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<v Speaker 3>to call myself. I certainly I don't think I'm a liberal.

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<v Speaker 3>I'm very left leaning and very progressive. But like, I

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<v Speaker 3>think I've accidentally called myself just a liberal because they're

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<v Speaker 3>all like like leftist, liberal, they're all l words that

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<v Speaker 3>are just like, eh, I don't know, but it's just

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<v Speaker 3>interesting because like the idea of a liberal Republican, I'm

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<v Speaker 3>just like, I don't know how that works. But then

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<v Speaker 3>I think about, like, you know, Nixon. I think it

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<v Speaker 3>was Nixon created the EPA.

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<v Speaker 2>That's a great example of how things have shifted. Were

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<v Speaker 2>like a guy like and Nixon went to China and

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<v Speaker 2>normalized relations with MAO, right Like, another thing that you

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<v Speaker 2>wouldn't really I mean, Trump kind of tried to do

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<v Speaker 2>his version of it with North Korea, but it was

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<v Speaker 2>not really the same deal, you.

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<v Speaker 3>Know, no, not at all, and like, I don't know,

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<v Speaker 3>a lot of this stuff to me just seems like

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<v Speaker 3>just things you have to do right where it's like

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<v Speaker 3>we need to protect our like forest innational parts. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 3>it doesn't feel like it needs to be political at all.

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<v Speaker 3>But it's just funny when you start trying figuring that

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<v Speaker 3>out those labels.

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<v Speaker 2>When I'm when I quote these guys from the fifties

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<v Speaker 2>and sixties saying, were like, liberalism is clearly won. That's

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<v Speaker 2>kind of what they're referring to, is right, So much

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<v Speaker 2>stuff that is now seen as political. Spending any amount

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<v Speaker 2>of public money on anything to help people is deeply political.

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<v Speaker 3>Right. It sounds like to some people it was political then,

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<v Speaker 3>So it was.

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<v Speaker 2>There was a tiny number of those people who thought

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<v Speaker 2>of it that way, and they were mostly very very

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<v Speaker 2>wealthy business owners, primarily people who had inherited businesses and

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<v Speaker 2>whatnot from their families. And they're going to be kind

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<v Speaker 2>of the folks who actually wind up creating the network

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<v Speaker 2>of think tanks like that is the story we're talking

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<v Speaker 2>about today, because this was all started as a way

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<v Speaker 2>to shift public consensus away from the idea that like,

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<v Speaker 2>the government can do things to benefit people and towards

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<v Speaker 2>the idea that like any public spending is communism, right, Like,

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<v Speaker 2>that's that's a big part of what we're talking about today.

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<v Speaker 2>And there's a number of reasons why we went from

0:11:59.200 --> 0:12:02.800
<v Speaker 2>like FDR being the most beloved president in American history

0:12:03.120 --> 0:12:06.199
<v Speaker 2>to like, I think he's still broadly people have fond

0:12:06.200 --> 0:12:09.199
<v Speaker 2>memories of him. But if anybody pushed policies today like this,

0:12:09.440 --> 0:12:13.240
<v Speaker 2>you know, like FDR did, they would be called a dictator, right, Like,

0:12:14.080 --> 0:12:18.240
<v Speaker 2>it would be like unimaginably controversial. And there's a number

0:12:18.280 --> 0:12:20.840
<v Speaker 2>of reasons why the status quo he started to change.

0:12:21.200 --> 0:12:23.400
<v Speaker 2>One of them was the Vietnam War, right, and how

0:12:23.480 --> 0:12:25.800
<v Speaker 2>much fucking money it cost. And by the time you

0:12:25.880 --> 0:12:28.720
<v Speaker 2>hit like the mid to late seventies, you've got, you know,

0:12:28.760 --> 0:12:32.000
<v Speaker 2>the economy sort of grinding to a halt, inflation rising

0:12:32.000 --> 0:12:35.720
<v Speaker 2>stuff that will never happen again. And there's there starts

0:12:35.720 --> 0:12:38.200
<v Speaker 2>to be this awareness among like public policy people in

0:12:38.240 --> 0:12:40.760
<v Speaker 2>the United States that like, oh, the unlimited money train

0:12:41.200 --> 0:12:43.440
<v Speaker 2>from after World War Two isn't going to keep going

0:12:43.440 --> 0:12:47.320
<v Speaker 2>on forever, right, And so yeah, we're going to talk

0:12:47.480 --> 0:12:50.720
<v Speaker 2>about that because like getting us from FDR to LBJA

0:12:50.880 --> 0:12:53.520
<v Speaker 2>to Ronald Reagan and then the Trump was in part

0:12:53.559 --> 0:12:56.360
<v Speaker 2>the result of a concerted effort to shift the culture

0:12:56.880 --> 0:13:00.480
<v Speaker 2>by building a robust system for generating conservative thought and

0:13:00.520 --> 0:13:03.160
<v Speaker 2>then pumping them into the culture at scale, so they

0:13:03.160 --> 0:13:07.520
<v Speaker 2>looked like they had scholarly support and public support, and

0:13:07.559 --> 0:13:10.720
<v Speaker 2>they kind of did that until they made it true.

0:13:11.120 --> 0:13:12.680
<v Speaker 2>And I think a good place to start is with

0:13:12.720 --> 0:13:15.360
<v Speaker 2>the development of the concept of the think tank. These

0:13:15.360 --> 0:13:18.760
<v Speaker 2>are not a uniquely American institution, but they are uniquely

0:13:18.760 --> 0:13:22.040
<v Speaker 2>influential and powerful in the United States. There's not any

0:13:22.040 --> 0:13:24.960
<v Speaker 2>other nation on earth that has its public policy or

0:13:24.960 --> 0:13:28.800
<v Speaker 2>political culture shaped so much by think tanks, which are

0:13:28.800 --> 0:13:33.720
<v Speaker 2>basically dark money sinks. We're intellectuals who are bribed generate

0:13:33.720 --> 0:13:37.840
<v Speaker 2>the illusion of consensus in exchange for money. Right, that's

0:13:37.880 --> 0:13:39.840
<v Speaker 2>what they are there for people.

0:13:39.640 --> 0:13:43.160
<v Speaker 3>Who don't like reality. Right, Like it's the idea of like,

0:13:43.320 --> 0:13:46.320
<v Speaker 3>I have a thing, I want to get richer doing

0:13:46.360 --> 0:13:48.640
<v Speaker 3>this thing, or I want to support these people, but

0:13:49.240 --> 0:13:52.800
<v Speaker 3>like reality, like studies and facts are showing that, like

0:13:53.040 --> 0:13:56.800
<v Speaker 3>it's bad to do this, so let's recreate studies and

0:13:56.840 --> 0:13:59.800
<v Speaker 3>facts to look like they're pushing this thing.

0:14:00.760 --> 0:14:02.480
<v Speaker 2>And one of the ways in which because you have

0:14:02.720 --> 0:14:05.920
<v Speaker 2>think tanks, that are more intellectually rigorous, and they all

0:14:06.000 --> 0:14:08.320
<v Speaker 2>charge for their shit, and a lot of the shitty

0:14:08.320 --> 0:14:09.960
<v Speaker 2>think tanks that are like funded by the oil and

0:14:10.040 --> 0:14:12.960
<v Speaker 2>gas industry give out their papers for free. So you'll

0:14:12.960 --> 0:14:16.120
<v Speaker 2>have like journalists writing articles and they're like, wow, I

0:14:16.160 --> 0:14:19.040
<v Speaker 2>need I need two different opinions on whether or not

0:14:19.080 --> 0:14:23.240
<v Speaker 2>we should frack the oil fields in fucking Texas. And

0:14:24.120 --> 0:14:26.960
<v Speaker 2>one you know think tank that actually does real research

0:14:26.960 --> 0:14:28.760
<v Speaker 2>will say you have to pay us twelve hundred dollars

0:14:28.800 --> 0:14:31.280
<v Speaker 2>for our papers on what will happen, And the Heritage

0:14:31.320 --> 0:14:33.840
<v Speaker 2>Foundation says, here you go, here's a thousand pages of

0:14:33.880 --> 0:14:36.840
<v Speaker 2>shit that you can cite in your articles and it's

0:14:36.880 --> 0:14:40.400
<v Speaker 2>all free. That's like a simplified version of the game

0:14:40.440 --> 0:14:41.440
<v Speaker 2>that's going on here.

0:14:41.600 --> 0:14:44.880
<v Speaker 3>Right. It sounds a lot like studies, Like there's study

0:14:45.320 --> 0:14:49.120
<v Speaker 3>studies where like you start looking into them and you're like, wait,

0:14:49.160 --> 0:14:51.800
<v Speaker 3>this doesn't actually say the thing that the headlines are saying.

0:14:52.400 --> 0:14:54.600
<v Speaker 3>And again sometimes it's done insidiously.

0:14:54.920 --> 0:14:55.120
<v Speaker 2>Yeah.

0:14:55.200 --> 0:14:59.000
<v Speaker 3>Sometimes I think it's just people misinterpret things or like

0:14:59.360 --> 0:15:04.000
<v Speaker 3>they're trying to like you're saying like actual, actual like

0:15:04.320 --> 0:15:08.120
<v Speaker 3>work takes money because it takes people, and that's not

0:15:08.320 --> 0:15:10.680
<v Speaker 3>very sexy no, I mean you can.

0:15:10.920 --> 0:15:13.680
<v Speaker 2>You can have a fancy name for an organization and

0:15:13.800 --> 0:15:15.880
<v Speaker 2>just put out papers that say whatever you want them

0:15:15.920 --> 0:15:17.720
<v Speaker 2>to say. And if you do it with like a

0:15:17.760 --> 0:15:20.600
<v Speaker 2>good letter ahead, people will trust that there's there's something

0:15:20.640 --> 0:15:21.680
<v Speaker 2>to what you're saying.

0:15:21.880 --> 0:15:25.160
<v Speaker 3>It's amazing how how far a good font will get.

0:15:25.320 --> 0:15:29.880
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, yeah, yeah. So the idea that like we would

0:15:29.880 --> 0:15:32.920
<v Speaker 2>have and it's kind of worth going back of it

0:15:32.960 --> 0:15:36.640
<v Speaker 2>and talking about how like the field of public policy analysis,

0:15:36.640 --> 0:15:38.720
<v Speaker 2>which is kind of where think tanks has a concept

0:15:38.760 --> 0:15:41.560
<v Speaker 2>come out of, how recent it is because for most

0:15:41.640 --> 0:15:45.160
<v Speaker 2>of the history of governments, you didn't have professional people

0:15:45.200 --> 0:15:48.960
<v Speaker 2>who like analyzed policy and looked into how it was working, right,

0:15:49.360 --> 0:15:52.760
<v Speaker 2>like progress was. Sometimes you'd get a king who was

0:15:52.840 --> 0:15:56.400
<v Speaker 2>like reasonably smart, and sometimes you'd get an inbred royal

0:15:56.520 --> 0:15:59.920
<v Speaker 2>king who would either like take things back a couple

0:15:59.960 --> 0:16:02.600
<v Speaker 2>of decades or be weak enough that like a couple

0:16:02.600 --> 0:16:06.320
<v Speaker 2>of smart guys can move things forward you get it

0:16:06.360 --> 0:16:08.480
<v Speaker 2>dead or two you get a couple of world wars.

0:16:09.040 --> 0:16:12.239
<v Speaker 2>And then in the twentieth century, after we finally invented cigarettes,

0:16:12.280 --> 0:16:15.560
<v Speaker 2>people got smart and that's when we start doing actual

0:16:15.640 --> 0:16:20.400
<v Speaker 2>policy analysis. It's really not until like the nineteen hundreds,

0:16:20.440 --> 0:16:23.680
<v Speaker 2>that we actually start in kind of a concerted way,

0:16:24.240 --> 0:16:27.520
<v Speaker 2>like looking at a lot of where you have these

0:16:27.520 --> 0:16:30.240
<v Speaker 2>guys who are like, I'm an expert in urban planning, right,

0:16:30.480 --> 0:16:34.040
<v Speaker 2>I'm an expert in like energy policy. Right. You had

0:16:34.080 --> 0:16:36.080
<v Speaker 2>like guys who were kind of doing that in the

0:16:36.120 --> 0:16:39.280
<v Speaker 2>eighteen hundreds, but it starts to actually become like systematized

0:16:39.360 --> 0:16:40.440
<v Speaker 2>in the nineteen hundreds.

0:16:40.760 --> 0:16:42.520
<v Speaker 3>Right. Yeah, it's a bunch of people who is like,

0:16:42.560 --> 0:16:46.320
<v Speaker 3>I'm a pervert for this one thing. Yes, oh, yes, yeah,

0:16:46.360 --> 0:16:49.280
<v Speaker 3>and I can exist that way. Yeah, it's like cool,

0:16:49.360 --> 0:16:51.960
<v Speaker 3>you weird little freak. That's great. Well, we'll consult you

0:16:52.040 --> 0:16:53.560
<v Speaker 3>when we need questions about that thing.

0:16:53.840 --> 0:16:57.200
<v Speaker 2>M hm. And that's kind of like that is kind

0:16:57.200 --> 0:17:00.560
<v Speaker 2>of a quietly revolutionary concept because it implied like, well,

0:17:00.600 --> 0:17:03.560
<v Speaker 2>whatever our society is doing right now might not be

0:17:03.600 --> 0:17:05.560
<v Speaker 2>the best way to do things, and so we should

0:17:05.560 --> 0:17:08.639
<v Speaker 2>always be looking at doing them differently. And most that

0:17:08.680 --> 0:17:11.520
<v Speaker 2>hasn't always been like a thing you could expect from

0:17:11.800 --> 0:17:15.879
<v Speaker 2>a society, right. And there's a really fun nineteen ninety

0:17:15.880 --> 0:17:19.800
<v Speaker 2>one doctoral dissertation by doctor Susan Marie Willis I found

0:17:19.840 --> 0:17:21.840
<v Speaker 2>that notes that in the period leading up to World

0:17:21.880 --> 0:17:24.200
<v Speaker 2>War two, there was this kind of turning point in

0:17:24.240 --> 0:17:27.679
<v Speaker 2>the federal government's willingness to solicit expert advice in solving

0:17:27.680 --> 0:17:30.880
<v Speaker 2>the nation's problems, and as a result, quote, the country's

0:17:30.880 --> 0:17:34.040
<v Speaker 2>intellectual magnet shifted from New York City to Washington, d C.

0:17:34.280 --> 0:17:37.240
<v Speaker 2>During that time. The shift is placed on reliance on

0:17:37.320 --> 0:17:40.720
<v Speaker 2>policy experts earlier during World War One, when many businessmen

0:17:40.720 --> 0:17:44.359
<v Speaker 2>and academicians played key roles in wartime management on the

0:17:44.359 --> 0:17:47.280
<v Speaker 2>War Industry's board. It is certainly true that Roosevelt had

0:17:47.280 --> 0:17:49.560
<v Speaker 2>the help of his famous Brains Trust in formulating some

0:17:49.640 --> 0:17:52.480
<v Speaker 2>new Deal policy, and also that Woodrow Wilson took selected

0:17:52.520 --> 0:17:55.800
<v Speaker 2>scholars with him to the Versailles peace Conference. In both cases,

0:17:55.840 --> 0:17:59.439
<v Speaker 2>these were individual consulting scholars and economists, many drawn from Harvard,

0:17:59.480 --> 0:18:01.840
<v Speaker 2>but not siated with any formal senses a group or

0:18:01.840 --> 0:18:05.080
<v Speaker 2>policy research body. So this is kind of when you

0:18:05.119 --> 0:18:07.600
<v Speaker 2>start to get the idea that, like, the president would

0:18:07.600 --> 0:18:11.120
<v Speaker 2>not just bring in his own people specifically, but might

0:18:11.200 --> 0:18:15.040
<v Speaker 2>like actually pick experts who were at least ostensibly independent,

0:18:15.160 --> 0:18:18.120
<v Speaker 2>and they would advise him on stuff. Right. That's when

0:18:18.160 --> 0:18:20.520
<v Speaker 2>this starts to become more common, right.

0:18:20.359 --> 0:18:23.119
<v Speaker 3>And that just seems like good leadership.

0:18:23.200 --> 0:18:26.560
<v Speaker 2>For the most it seems smart, right Yeah.

0:18:26.640 --> 0:18:29.280
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I Like I remember in film school talking about

0:18:29.359 --> 0:18:31.720
<v Speaker 3>or like being a manager, right where it's like part

0:18:31.720 --> 0:18:34.159
<v Speaker 3>of being a good manager or a director is to

0:18:34.200 --> 0:18:38.159
<v Speaker 3>consult the people who are very ultra into specific things

0:18:38.160 --> 0:18:40.800
<v Speaker 3>and hear what they have to say. I mean, now

0:18:40.840 --> 0:18:42.960
<v Speaker 3>we got Wikipedia, so yeah, well, don't.

0:18:42.800 --> 0:18:44.639
<v Speaker 2>Need any of that, but you can see how there

0:18:44.680 --> 0:18:46.320
<v Speaker 2>could be a good and a bad side, right where

0:18:46.320 --> 0:18:48.720
<v Speaker 2>if the president's trying to, like, I don't know, deal

0:18:48.760 --> 0:18:50.960
<v Speaker 2>with the aftermap of World War One, yeah, you should

0:18:50.960 --> 0:18:54.080
<v Speaker 2>probably bring an academic who knows something about like fucking

0:18:54.280 --> 0:18:58.360
<v Speaker 2>Austrio Hungary, like, and it's different political factions and whatnot.

0:18:58.440 --> 0:19:00.640
<v Speaker 2>That makes sense, seems like that guys should be there.

0:19:00.800 --> 0:19:04.240
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, but they shouldn't necessarily. I mean, it's only as

0:19:04.240 --> 0:19:07.560
<v Speaker 3>good as the person, right person. If your expert is, say,

0:19:07.720 --> 0:19:10.560
<v Speaker 3>a racist, then everything they're going to do is tinted

0:19:10.600 --> 0:19:10.960
<v Speaker 3>that way.

0:19:11.160 --> 0:19:11.400
<v Speaker 2>Yeah.

0:19:11.440 --> 0:19:14.320
<v Speaker 3>I mean, I think that's why people look to like

0:19:14.600 --> 0:19:18.080
<v Speaker 3>the idea of computers as being impartial. But then also

0:19:18.160 --> 0:19:21.640
<v Speaker 3>you need someone who has instincts on something as well,

0:19:21.920 --> 0:19:24.720
<v Speaker 3>like being an expert and something should also mean being

0:19:24.800 --> 0:19:28.359
<v Speaker 3>able to interpret that information in a good way.

0:19:28.800 --> 0:19:30.640
<v Speaker 2>And also kind of the problem with this is that

0:19:31.040 --> 0:19:33.200
<v Speaker 2>when it's just seen as like, well, yeah, we elected

0:19:33.200 --> 0:19:35.199
<v Speaker 2>this president and he and all the people in his

0:19:35.280 --> 0:19:38.879
<v Speaker 2>administration are all like, you know, members of the same team,

0:19:39.280 --> 0:19:40.760
<v Speaker 2>when you start to see like, well, no, some of

0:19:40.760 --> 0:19:43.720
<v Speaker 2>the people giving him advice are like independent experts and

0:19:43.760 --> 0:19:45.960
<v Speaker 2>they're just trying to do what's best based on the facts.

0:19:46.040 --> 0:19:47.679
<v Speaker 2>Well are they right?

0:19:47.800 --> 0:19:47.960
<v Speaker 3>Right?

0:19:48.040 --> 0:19:50.399
<v Speaker 2>Like, they won't always be. Sometimes they'll be just as

0:19:50.440 --> 0:19:52.840
<v Speaker 2>political as anybody else the president might hire. But if

0:19:52.880 --> 0:19:55.520
<v Speaker 2>you start thinking about them as like possessed of some

0:19:55.560 --> 0:19:58.760
<v Speaker 2>sort of objective wisdom that's above the fray, you can

0:19:58.800 --> 0:20:01.240
<v Speaker 2>also wind up not being critical enough of like what

0:20:01.320 --> 0:20:02.399
<v Speaker 2>they're actually doing.

0:20:02.680 --> 0:20:05.800
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, they also become it's that thing. It's we've seen

0:20:05.840 --> 0:20:10.280
<v Speaker 3>it a million times where someone's really smart about one thing. Yeah,

0:20:10.280 --> 0:20:14.119
<v Speaker 3>that doesn't mean they're smart about everything. And so like

0:20:14.240 --> 0:20:16.280
<v Speaker 3>you have to know how to use that person and

0:20:16.320 --> 0:20:19.080
<v Speaker 3>that information, yeah, and like know what to do with

0:20:19.119 --> 0:20:24.840
<v Speaker 3>that information that the broader consequences of that because experts,

0:20:25.240 --> 0:20:28.040
<v Speaker 3>I mean, there's a reason why there's that weird stereotype

0:20:28.040 --> 0:20:31.400
<v Speaker 3>of like, yeah, these snooty college type yeah, right, where

0:20:31.440 --> 0:20:33.600
<v Speaker 3>it's like, yeah, I sort of get it, like, you know,

0:20:34.160 --> 0:20:36.119
<v Speaker 3>and we get to having a lot of authority in

0:20:36.160 --> 0:20:39.800
<v Speaker 3>one thing, you start acting with that authority on everything sometimes.

0:20:40.400 --> 0:20:42.760
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, and I'm kind of on the other side of things.

0:20:42.760 --> 0:20:46.080
<v Speaker 2>If you're like some scholar who's a weird wonky expert

0:20:46.200 --> 0:20:50.359
<v Speaker 2>in different kind of obscure European political conflicts and shit,

0:20:50.920 --> 0:20:53.359
<v Speaker 2>and the president comes to ask you to help him

0:20:53.359 --> 0:20:55.680
<v Speaker 2>at a peace conference, you might just kind of try

0:20:55.680 --> 0:20:57.520
<v Speaker 2>to figure out what the president wants to hear and

0:20:57.560 --> 0:21:01.200
<v Speaker 2>tell him that, you know, because you know, it's noteworthy

0:21:01.240 --> 0:21:03.960
<v Speaker 2>that Wilson took all of these scholars with him to Versailla.

0:21:04.040 --> 0:21:05.639
<v Speaker 2>But like we all know that didn't go well. That

0:21:05.720 --> 0:21:08.320
<v Speaker 2>wasn't a good peace treaty, right, Like that was It's

0:21:08.400 --> 0:21:13.120
<v Speaker 2>like a famously bad peace treaty. So this is sort

0:21:13.119 --> 0:21:16.120
<v Speaker 2>of the prehistoric era in think tanks, if you're thinking

0:21:16.119 --> 0:21:18.439
<v Speaker 2>about like your evolutionary chart, this is when like the

0:21:18.480 --> 0:21:21.760
<v Speaker 2>fish gets on to land, right, and the fish is

0:21:21.800 --> 0:21:24.320
<v Speaker 2>eventually going to be named the Heritage Foundation.

0:21:24.400 --> 0:21:25.280
<v Speaker 3>It's a good fish name.

0:21:25.359 --> 0:21:27.800
<v Speaker 2>But this period you start in, kind of the period

0:21:27.840 --> 0:21:30.600
<v Speaker 2>after Wilson, you get this groundwork laid for what's going

0:21:30.640 --> 0:21:34.320
<v Speaker 2>to come after it becomes the norm that private economists, lawyers,

0:21:34.320 --> 0:21:37.159
<v Speaker 2>and experts will be brought in to advise presidents in

0:21:37.240 --> 0:21:41.000
<v Speaker 2>Congress about like you know, just over time during like

0:21:41.080 --> 0:21:44.239
<v Speaker 2>their entire periods in office, but also about specific issues. Right,

0:21:44.280 --> 0:21:46.600
<v Speaker 2>it becomes more normal. And again this isn't like a

0:21:46.640 --> 0:21:49.480
<v Speaker 2>clean break. You could find examples of this, you know,

0:21:49.520 --> 0:21:53.840
<v Speaker 2>in earlier decades and centuries, but it becomes normalized that like, well,

0:21:53.840 --> 0:21:56.520
<v Speaker 2>we're debating this bill on like setting up I don't know,

0:21:56.720 --> 0:21:59.320
<v Speaker 2>fucking phone infrastructure for the country. Let's bring in an

0:21:59.320 --> 0:22:02.240
<v Speaker 2>expert on that, right, like an actual like policy expert

0:22:02.400 --> 0:22:04.399
<v Speaker 2>to like talk about how this should go or what

0:22:04.440 --> 0:22:06.800
<v Speaker 2>they think will happen with this thing. And it becomes

0:22:06.840 --> 0:22:12.159
<v Speaker 2>really desirous for experts to get positions like this, and organizations,

0:22:12.160 --> 0:22:15.800
<v Speaker 2>specifically corporations who have a lot of vested interest in

0:22:15.880 --> 0:22:18.240
<v Speaker 2>some of these like different bills being put for building

0:22:18.280 --> 0:22:22.959
<v Speaker 2>infrastructure start to realize that like, well, if we fund experts,

0:22:23.160 --> 0:22:25.719
<v Speaker 2>if we like have experts that we have paid to

0:22:25.720 --> 0:22:28.840
<v Speaker 2>get to that position in society, that could really help

0:22:28.920 --> 0:22:30.720
<v Speaker 2>us out when it comes time to like we want

0:22:30.760 --> 0:22:32.320
<v Speaker 2>to make sure that these laws are written in such

0:22:32.320 --> 0:22:34.680
<v Speaker 2>a way that we get some of these government contracts, right,

0:22:35.359 --> 0:22:37.320
<v Speaker 2>you know, you get all of this happening at once.

0:22:37.400 --> 0:22:39.680
<v Speaker 2>Both this positive benefit of like, yeah, we actually have

0:22:39.720 --> 0:22:42.679
<v Speaker 2>people who know what they're doing being consulted about laws,

0:22:43.040 --> 0:22:47.240
<v Speaker 2>and also these people are often deeply corrupted because they

0:22:47.280 --> 0:22:50.119
<v Speaker 2>need money before they hit that point. And there's always

0:22:50.119 --> 0:22:54.600
<v Speaker 2>corporations willing to pay for people to become experts as

0:22:54.600 --> 0:22:57.080
<v Speaker 2>long as they know who buttered their bread.

0:22:57.440 --> 0:23:02.320
<v Speaker 3>Right, Yeah, I mean so money, money's a real problem.

0:23:02.640 --> 0:23:06.399
<v Speaker 3>Like it involved it shouldn't be involved in everything we do. No,

0:23:06.720 --> 0:23:09.119
<v Speaker 3>there should be things we do that don't have to

0:23:09.160 --> 0:23:10.320
<v Speaker 3>be motivated by money.

0:23:10.359 --> 0:23:13.320
<v Speaker 2>But you no, that's the that's the beautiful dream of

0:23:13.359 --> 0:23:16.359
<v Speaker 2>Star Trek that sometimes we could just act purely based

0:23:16.400 --> 0:23:19.000
<v Speaker 2>on whether or not Will Riker wants to fuck something.

0:23:19.000 --> 0:23:21.240
<v Speaker 2>And Will Riker always wants to fuck something.

0:23:21.440 --> 0:23:23.640
<v Speaker 3>His dick is its own currency, that's.

0:23:23.560 --> 0:23:36.480
<v Speaker 2>Right, Speaking of Riker's dick, these ads, Oh, we're back now.

0:23:36.840 --> 0:23:39.119
<v Speaker 2>Before you can have someone who's an expert in like

0:23:39.440 --> 0:23:42.800
<v Speaker 2>any kind of policy field, you have to have I mean,

0:23:42.840 --> 0:23:44.399
<v Speaker 2>I guess you don't have to have this, but it

0:23:44.440 --> 0:23:46.280
<v Speaker 2>really helps. You have to have like the ability to

0:23:46.280 --> 0:23:50.280
<v Speaker 2>get degrees and stuff like economics and political science and

0:23:50.320 --> 0:23:53.919
<v Speaker 2>that wasn't always specifically like graduate degrees, and that was

0:23:53.960 --> 0:23:56.760
<v Speaker 2>not always a thing like it was kind of a

0:23:56.840 --> 0:24:01.520
<v Speaker 2>process of consolidating these broad feelings of knowledge into discrete

0:24:01.560 --> 0:24:04.440
<v Speaker 2>fields of studies, and it was sort of a thing

0:24:04.440 --> 0:24:07.119
<v Speaker 2>that kind of happens along kind of the late eighteen

0:24:07.200 --> 0:24:09.680
<v Speaker 2>hundreds early nineteen hundreds where you actually start to get

0:24:10.000 --> 0:24:13.600
<v Speaker 2>like graduate schools and a university system that looks like

0:24:13.720 --> 0:24:16.480
<v Speaker 2>the one we have today. Right, and we'll be talking

0:24:16.520 --> 0:24:19.560
<v Speaker 2>about like what happens to the university system because this

0:24:19.680 --> 0:24:21.560
<v Speaker 2>is really going to piss off a lot of people.

0:24:22.119 --> 0:24:24.880
<v Speaker 2>But you start to get the very first like kind

0:24:24.880 --> 0:24:28.400
<v Speaker 2>of modern looking colleges that aren't just you know, among

0:24:28.440 --> 0:24:31.280
<v Speaker 2>other things, aren't just a place for rich kids to go,

0:24:31.440 --> 0:24:34.439
<v Speaker 2>right where it becomes more normal for like regular people

0:24:34.480 --> 0:24:37.000
<v Speaker 2>to go and get degrees and then they can become

0:24:37.119 --> 0:24:40.760
<v Speaker 2>experts in fields and influence public policy. And that is

0:24:40.840 --> 0:24:43.080
<v Speaker 2>kind of a quietly radical change. It has a lot

0:24:43.119 --> 0:24:45.400
<v Speaker 2>to do with why, around the time of the Great

0:24:45.440 --> 0:24:47.960
<v Speaker 2>Depression and the New Deal you get all of these

0:24:48.040 --> 0:24:51.160
<v Speaker 2>to us seemingly radical policies is because you have all

0:24:51.200 --> 0:24:53.840
<v Speaker 2>of these people who were educated at a time in

0:24:53.880 --> 0:24:58.920
<v Speaker 2>which like there wasn't really education wasn't politicized in the

0:24:59.040 --> 0:25:01.080
<v Speaker 2>kind of way that it is now. It's still obviously

0:25:01.119 --> 0:25:04.359
<v Speaker 2>had plenty of biases, right, it reflected the biases of

0:25:04.359 --> 0:25:06.439
<v Speaker 2>the culture that it was in. But you did not

0:25:06.720 --> 0:25:10.919
<v Speaker 2>have like right wing schools. You did not have like

0:25:11.720 --> 0:25:14.320
<v Speaker 2>this kind of like culture warship over schools. And so

0:25:14.400 --> 0:25:18.960
<v Speaker 2>as a result, educated experts tended to overwhelmingly be progressives.

0:25:19.400 --> 0:25:21.320
<v Speaker 2>And again, these are people who, in a lot of

0:25:21.359 --> 0:25:24.719
<v Speaker 2>ways we would consider deeply reactionary today, but they were

0:25:24.760 --> 0:25:29.360
<v Speaker 2>all pretty supportive of, like widespread the idea that like, yeah,

0:25:29.359 --> 0:25:31.800
<v Speaker 2>you should use the government's money to help people, right

0:25:31.880 --> 0:25:34.760
<v Speaker 2>to do things, to have a society. You know, that

0:25:34.920 --> 0:25:37.760
<v Speaker 2>was the normal view of this kind of group of people.

0:25:38.200 --> 0:25:40.960
<v Speaker 3>I mean, yeah, it's that feels like that's the point

0:25:40.960 --> 0:25:43.760
<v Speaker 3>of a government. It's a group that basically has taken

0:25:43.800 --> 0:25:46.239
<v Speaker 3>control of land and went like, all right, we're going

0:25:46.280 --> 0:25:48.720
<v Speaker 3>to make it easy for everybody to live here, and

0:25:49.040 --> 0:25:53.200
<v Speaker 3>you know, in exchange, you won't chop our heads off.

0:25:53.320 --> 0:25:55.840
<v Speaker 2>Yeah we should have roads. Oh, everyone is starving. We

0:25:55.840 --> 0:25:58.879
<v Speaker 2>should give people jobs and just have them build stuff

0:25:58.960 --> 0:26:01.840
<v Speaker 2>for a while until this great depression thing shakes out.

0:26:02.680 --> 0:26:04.320
<v Speaker 2>I'm not trying to be like and all of the

0:26:04.400 --> 0:26:06.960
<v Speaker 2>experts were progressive, so the world was perfect because no,

0:26:07.000 --> 0:26:09.560
<v Speaker 2>everybody was still racist as hell. We did all sorts

0:26:09.560 --> 0:26:12.480
<v Speaker 2>of fucked up stuff back then. Progressive then did not

0:26:12.800 --> 0:26:15.439
<v Speaker 2>entirely mean the same thing it does today. But there

0:26:15.440 --> 0:26:18.840
<v Speaker 2>were certain things that just like weren't controversial back then, right.

0:26:19.440 --> 0:26:22.800
<v Speaker 2>And among the first great think tanks of American society

0:26:22.920 --> 0:26:26.040
<v Speaker 2>was the Russell Sage Foundation, which had been established in

0:26:26.119 --> 0:26:29.040
<v Speaker 2>nineteen oh seven from a ten million dollar donation. And

0:26:29.040 --> 0:26:30.280
<v Speaker 2>I'm going to quote from and that was a lot

0:26:30.320 --> 0:26:33.160
<v Speaker 2>of money back then. That's like in about twenty something

0:26:33.200 --> 0:26:35.280
<v Speaker 2>a year. To me, it's a lot of money for

0:26:35.359 --> 0:26:38.120
<v Speaker 2>a dude. Yeah, that's not a lot in think tank

0:26:38.280 --> 0:26:40.800
<v Speaker 2>terms back then. But I'm going to quote from Willis again.

0:26:41.320 --> 0:26:44.960
<v Speaker 2>It brought together amateur social investigators and charity volunteers with

0:26:45.000 --> 0:26:48.280
<v Speaker 2>professional social scientists for the purpose of applying new research

0:26:48.359 --> 0:26:51.680
<v Speaker 2>methods in the permanent improvement of social conditions. There was

0:26:51.720 --> 0:26:54.600
<v Speaker 2>a particular concern with child labor laws, child and family

0:26:54.640 --> 0:26:58.399
<v Speaker 2>and health services, and education. The staff of educators, sociologists,

0:26:58.400 --> 0:27:02.040
<v Speaker 2>and settlement house veterans comprised few academicians, but they compiled

0:27:02.080 --> 0:27:05.520
<v Speaker 2>statistics and other pertinent information on social problems and abuses.

0:27:05.720 --> 0:27:08.000
<v Speaker 2>These data were made available to the general public as

0:27:08.000 --> 0:27:10.040
<v Speaker 2>well as to state and local governments to guide them

0:27:10.080 --> 0:27:13.440
<v Speaker 2>in practical policy formation. This pamphlet was the most typical

0:27:13.440 --> 0:27:16.400
<v Speaker 2>publication of the Sage Foundation at the time, and traveling

0:27:16.440 --> 0:27:19.760
<v Speaker 2>exhibitions which visited county fairs and schools were also sent out.

0:27:20.400 --> 0:27:24.080
<v Speaker 2>So this is you can see some similarity in that

0:27:24.160 --> 0:27:27.160
<v Speaker 2>a lot of these today, these kind of like particularly

0:27:27.240 --> 0:27:29.480
<v Speaker 2>more political think tanks, will put out stuff that's meant

0:27:29.520 --> 0:27:33.119
<v Speaker 2>to be widely consumed, information that like you know, is

0:27:33.440 --> 0:27:37.000
<v Speaker 2>meant to be sort of disseminated via social media or whatnot,

0:27:37.040 --> 0:27:39.960
<v Speaker 2>are be like widely quoted in the news. The Russell

0:27:40.040 --> 0:27:44.000
<v Speaker 2>Sage Foundation is taking a more direct route because there's

0:27:44.040 --> 0:27:46.280
<v Speaker 2>not as many organs for people to get that kind

0:27:46.320 --> 0:27:48.440
<v Speaker 2>of stuff out, So they're just like handing out they're

0:27:48.480 --> 0:27:52.280
<v Speaker 2>looking into like, hey, how should we actually like educate children?

0:27:52.359 --> 0:27:54.480
<v Speaker 2>Is it bad for little kids to work? We put

0:27:54.520 --> 0:27:57.160
<v Speaker 2>together a pamphlet on this, like let's all look into

0:27:57.200 --> 0:28:01.040
<v Speaker 2>the And again, these people were extra And when I say,

0:28:01.119 --> 0:28:04.520
<v Speaker 2>I said earlier it wasn't really controversial to be against

0:28:04.600 --> 0:28:07.680
<v Speaker 2>child labor or be in favor of public spending. It

0:28:07.800 --> 0:28:12.480
<v Speaker 2>was among like very wealthy people. Obviously the business owners

0:28:12.520 --> 0:28:15.200
<v Speaker 2>in America are going to stage a coup against FDR

0:28:15.320 --> 0:28:18.760
<v Speaker 2>in the early thirties, right, but not among these educate

0:28:18.880 --> 0:28:20.359
<v Speaker 2>like these academics and stuff.

0:28:20.640 --> 0:28:26.600
<v Speaker 3>It's controversial, like controversy, you know, it's is the implication

0:28:26.800 --> 0:28:30.520
<v Speaker 3>that there are multiple competing views, and it's weird when

0:28:30.560 --> 0:28:34.359
<v Speaker 3>we count the views of the people who directly stand

0:28:34.359 --> 0:28:36.439
<v Speaker 3>to gain, you know, like it's weird to be like

0:28:37.320 --> 0:28:41.200
<v Speaker 3>it's it's weird to say, like there's controversy amongst like

0:28:41.320 --> 0:28:45.000
<v Speaker 3>the victims and the criminals that did this, Like like

0:28:45.040 --> 0:28:48.320
<v Speaker 3>there's controversy amongst the bank robbers and the bank.

0:28:49.440 --> 0:28:51.920
<v Speaker 2>Crime haters can't agree about on robbery.

0:28:52.160 --> 0:28:54.360
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, it's just like, I mean, it's just a group

0:28:54.400 --> 0:28:56.600
<v Speaker 3>of people doing something bad and then a group of

0:28:56.600 --> 0:28:59.040
<v Speaker 3>people saying like, yeah, what you're doing is bad, and

0:28:59.080 --> 0:29:01.880
<v Speaker 3>they're like, I just and oh, there's controversy.

0:29:02.000 --> 0:29:04.760
<v Speaker 2>We'd like to keep doing it. When it comes to

0:29:04.800 --> 0:29:07.280
<v Speaker 2>the term think tank, which again kind of the Russell

0:29:07.320 --> 0:29:10.480
<v Speaker 2>Sage Foundation is one of the first organ like institutions

0:29:10.520 --> 0:29:12.840
<v Speaker 2>you could call a think tank. They weren't using that

0:29:12.960 --> 0:29:16.080
<v Speaker 2>term back then, and I wanted to look, like try

0:29:16.080 --> 0:29:18.400
<v Speaker 2>to figure out like where the phrase comes from, because,

0:29:18.440 --> 0:29:20.560
<v Speaker 2>as you noted when we started this, it sounds like

0:29:20.920 --> 0:29:22.920
<v Speaker 2>it should be a big tank full of Brian with

0:29:22.960 --> 0:29:26.000
<v Speaker 2>a brain in it, and that's actually pretty apropos to

0:29:26.040 --> 0:29:28.680
<v Speaker 2>the history. One historian traces it back to the forties

0:29:28.720 --> 0:29:31.200
<v Speaker 2>as a just a slang term for brain, like someone

0:29:31.280 --> 0:29:33.560
<v Speaker 2>like my think tank's not ticking do well today.

0:29:34.400 --> 0:29:37.480
<v Speaker 3>That's such a good slang for brain. Yeah, but I'm

0:29:37.600 --> 0:29:40.560
<v Speaker 3>kind of mad that they took that away from us.

0:29:41.160 --> 0:29:44.200
<v Speaker 2>We can take it back, Dave, we can take it back.

0:29:44.280 --> 0:29:47.000
<v Speaker 2>Pour some poor some knowledge into your think tank, folks

0:29:47.040 --> 0:29:50.280
<v Speaker 2>with this podcast. I've heard another history and trace it

0:29:50.280 --> 0:29:52.440
<v Speaker 2>to World War Two, where it referred to like a

0:29:52.480 --> 0:29:54.840
<v Speaker 2>war room, right, like you get all of your military

0:29:54.880 --> 0:29:56.960
<v Speaker 2>experts together into your think tank and they figure out

0:29:57.000 --> 0:30:00.000
<v Speaker 2>how to do a normandy. It's like a tank for yeah,

0:30:00.280 --> 0:30:03.840
<v Speaker 2>that too. Yeah, it makes sense. And it's also possible

0:30:03.840 --> 0:30:05.760
<v Speaker 2>that it comes from a guy named Burton Pines who

0:30:05.800 --> 0:30:08.400
<v Speaker 2>was a historian who wrote about the traditionalist movement in

0:30:08.440 --> 0:30:11.960
<v Speaker 2>the early nineteen eighties, and he used the analogy gathering

0:30:12.000 --> 0:30:16.120
<v Speaker 2>different fish into a tank and concentrating the brain power, Dave.

0:30:16.280 --> 0:30:18.920
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I'm gonna go ahead and say that's that's the dumbest, right,

0:30:18.960 --> 0:30:20.160
<v Speaker 3>that the dumbest.

0:30:20.440 --> 0:30:22.720
<v Speaker 2>I wanted to try it because whenever I hear like

0:30:22.760 --> 0:30:25.760
<v Speaker 2>an insane analogy like that, like this is just a

0:30:25.800 --> 0:30:29.200
<v Speaker 2>book about like traditionalists by this historian, and I'm like,

0:30:29.440 --> 0:30:31.800
<v Speaker 2>why the fuck would you use that analogy. I haven't

0:30:31.800 --> 0:30:33.320
<v Speaker 2>been able to get a copy of the book that

0:30:33.360 --> 0:30:35.560
<v Speaker 2>he says this, and it's not like online in a

0:30:35.560 --> 0:30:37.480
<v Speaker 2>way that I was able to find it. That's like,

0:30:38.080 --> 0:30:40.120
<v Speaker 2>I don't know what the context meant here.

0:30:40.440 --> 0:30:43.520
<v Speaker 3>Was this person a child? They were they? Because that's

0:30:43.520 --> 0:30:45.040
<v Speaker 3>the sort of thing like when you're a child you

0:30:45.040 --> 0:30:47.400
<v Speaker 3>hear about like earwigs, you assume it's a wig on

0:30:47.480 --> 0:30:50.200
<v Speaker 3>an ear, Like that's that's what a child would think

0:30:50.400 --> 0:30:53.400
<v Speaker 3>when they hear think tank, It's like, oh yeah, like

0:30:53.440 --> 0:30:57.120
<v Speaker 3>a bunch of fish are thinking you need to track

0:30:57.160 --> 0:30:59.040
<v Speaker 3>down this person, Robert I do.

0:30:59.200 --> 0:31:01.320
<v Speaker 2>I kind of think maybe he was making fun of

0:31:01.360 --> 0:31:03.520
<v Speaker 2>the traditionalists by being like they're as dumb as a

0:31:03.520 --> 0:31:06.440
<v Speaker 2>bunch of fish in a tank. That's also an insane

0:31:06.480 --> 0:31:09.720
<v Speaker 2>way to call someone dumb, Like what would you do

0:31:09.760 --> 0:31:12.320
<v Speaker 2>it that way? Just say they're silly man.

0:31:12.680 --> 0:31:14.640
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, you need to track this person down and find

0:31:14.680 --> 0:31:18.200
<v Speaker 3>their family. Yeah, and have them on the show, and yeah,

0:31:18.200 --> 0:31:19.920
<v Speaker 3>make them answer for themselves.

0:31:20.520 --> 0:31:24.160
<v Speaker 2>See usually, Dave, when I suggest finding someone's family, someone

0:31:24.200 --> 0:31:27.320
<v Speaker 2>then posits something that's a crime. You're the first person

0:31:27.360 --> 0:31:28.960
<v Speaker 2>to just say we should have them on the show.

0:31:29.160 --> 0:31:31.560
<v Speaker 3>I'm appraise you could do a crime while they're on

0:31:31.640 --> 0:31:35.440
<v Speaker 3>the show. It doesn't be a crime against that, but

0:31:35.600 --> 0:31:36.960
<v Speaker 3>like they'll be crimes, you know.

0:31:37.120 --> 0:31:40.840
<v Speaker 2>See, this is why you're a pinch hitter, Dave. You're

0:31:40.880 --> 0:31:42.320
<v Speaker 2>able to swing left and right.

0:31:42.720 --> 0:31:43.200
<v Speaker 3>Yeah.

0:31:43.240 --> 0:31:45.240
<v Speaker 2>So I don't know what the fuck, Why the fuck

0:31:45.280 --> 0:31:48.480
<v Speaker 2>he used this phrase. It's baffling to me. But the

0:31:48.520 --> 0:31:51.480
<v Speaker 2>development of what become known as think tanks, you know,

0:31:51.600 --> 0:31:55.360
<v Speaker 2>really starting in the eighties, primarily happens before we have

0:31:55.440 --> 0:31:58.040
<v Speaker 2>a name for them, and a big like a guy

0:31:58.080 --> 0:32:00.680
<v Speaker 2>who's kind of influential in development of this concept is

0:32:00.720 --> 0:32:04.400
<v Speaker 2>Frederick Taylor. If you've ever heard of Taylorism. It's this

0:32:04.480 --> 0:32:07.280
<v Speaker 2>thing that in kind of the mid century is going

0:32:07.320 --> 0:32:10.480
<v Speaker 2>to become increasingly common in every different field of endeavor.

0:32:10.720 --> 0:32:13.760
<v Speaker 2>We tailorize police forces, which is we're like, well, what

0:32:13.840 --> 0:32:15.960
<v Speaker 2>if we standardize police training and what if we try

0:32:16.000 --> 0:32:18.040
<v Speaker 2>to have like metrics for police officers and see if

0:32:18.080 --> 0:32:20.240
<v Speaker 2>we can make them, you know, work better and more.

0:32:20.640 --> 0:32:22.200
<v Speaker 2>And we do the same thing with factories. We're going

0:32:22.240 --> 0:32:26.360
<v Speaker 2>to tailorize this factory. It's it's scientific management, right. Frederick

0:32:26.440 --> 0:32:27.600
<v Speaker 2>Taylor is that guy.

0:32:27.680 --> 0:32:29.080
<v Speaker 3>You're talking about standardized?

0:32:29.240 --> 0:32:33.920
<v Speaker 2>Absolutely that all is in that same tradition. Yes, yeah,

0:32:34.120 --> 0:32:39.239
<v Speaker 2>it's optimizing organizations and workflow for efficiency. Taylorism is going

0:32:39.280 --> 0:32:41.240
<v Speaker 2>to be a big deal every It's where we get

0:32:41.360 --> 0:32:44.600
<v Speaker 2>Deloitte and McKenzie, these consulting firms, right, Like, they all

0:32:44.640 --> 0:32:48.320
<v Speaker 2>have Taylorism in their DNA. And one of Robert Taylor's

0:32:48.360 --> 0:32:52.360
<v Speaker 2>friends is this guy named Robert Brookings. And does the

0:32:52.400 --> 0:32:56.320
<v Speaker 2>Brookings sound familiar to you, Dave, It does, Yeah, he's

0:32:56.360 --> 0:32:59.520
<v Speaker 2>this is the Brookings Institute guy, right, And the Brookings

0:32:59.520 --> 0:33:02.800
<v Speaker 2>Institute is from this earlier generation of think tanks that

0:33:02.880 --> 0:33:05.600
<v Speaker 2>actually think about things right. They're not just going to

0:33:05.600 --> 0:33:09.000
<v Speaker 2>put out stuff to like make one politician or the

0:33:09.040 --> 0:33:11.920
<v Speaker 2>other happy, among other things. The Brookings Institute are the

0:33:11.960 --> 0:33:14.480
<v Speaker 2>people who like help put out the Vietnam papers or

0:33:14.520 --> 0:33:18.240
<v Speaker 2>the Pentagon papers. Like they're the guys Elsberg is working with.

0:33:19.000 --> 0:33:21.400
<v Speaker 2>And that doesn't make anyone in the government very happy, right,

0:33:21.560 --> 0:33:25.120
<v Speaker 2>Like that's just actually something that needed to get out.

0:33:25.280 --> 0:33:28.440
<v Speaker 2>So we're talking kind of about like the pre evil

0:33:28.520 --> 0:33:32.880
<v Speaker 2>days here, although they're also not purely good either. Robert

0:33:32.960 --> 0:33:35.520
<v Speaker 2>Brookings had spent time in German colleges in the early

0:33:35.600 --> 0:33:38.120
<v Speaker 2>nineteen hundreds, and like a lot of Americans who did this,

0:33:38.200 --> 0:33:40.520
<v Speaker 2>he came back with a thought that those Germans are

0:33:40.520 --> 0:33:43.920
<v Speaker 2>onto something, right. Surely their mechanistic obsession with pushing the

0:33:43.960 --> 0:33:46.840
<v Speaker 2>limits of efficiency will only lead to good things for Germany.

0:33:47.040 --> 0:33:52.360
<v Speaker 2>It's nineteen thirteen, and I'm very optimistic, like.

0:33:52.320 --> 0:33:55.760
<v Speaker 3>Those Germans are doing something over there. Exactly.

0:33:58.240 --> 0:34:01.280
<v Speaker 2>So Brookings, unlike most of Americans who come back from

0:34:01.320 --> 0:34:04.880
<v Speaker 2>Germany with ideas, he just gets into the dry goods business,

0:34:05.080 --> 0:34:09.279
<v Speaker 2>and he does well enough in dry goods that he's

0:34:09.360 --> 0:34:11.360
<v Speaker 2>he becomes very rich, and he gets a position on

0:34:11.440 --> 0:34:14.680
<v Speaker 2>the war industry's board in World War One, which ironically

0:34:14.760 --> 0:34:18.960
<v Speaker 2>puts him directly opposite Germany. The whole process of having

0:34:19.200 --> 0:34:22.160
<v Speaker 2>doing a world war and of advising the government through

0:34:22.200 --> 0:34:24.520
<v Speaker 2>a world war because we had never had to mobilize

0:34:25.040 --> 0:34:27.279
<v Speaker 2>the milidy. The closest thing was like the Civil War.

0:34:27.360 --> 0:34:29.240
<v Speaker 2>But you know that had been quite a while before.

0:34:30.160 --> 0:34:32.440
<v Speaker 2>So this is like a big deal, and it convinces

0:34:32.520 --> 0:34:35.600
<v Speaker 2>him that like having the government bringing in experts like

0:34:35.760 --> 0:34:38.879
<v Speaker 2>me really helped the process of doing World War One,

0:34:38.960 --> 0:34:41.799
<v Speaker 2>So maybe we should make that normal across the board. Right,

0:34:42.160 --> 0:34:44.520
<v Speaker 2>Maybe when the government wants to face when mean, when

0:34:44.560 --> 0:34:47.520
<v Speaker 2>Congress is voting on what the national budget should look like,

0:34:47.560 --> 0:34:51.280
<v Speaker 2>they should talk to experts, right, And so he decides,

0:34:51.360 --> 0:34:53.319
<v Speaker 2>I'm going to put a bunch of my money, this

0:34:53.440 --> 0:34:56.600
<v Speaker 2>wealth that I've got into building an institution that can

0:34:56.640 --> 0:34:59.520
<v Speaker 2>provide the government with the best possible information so it

0:34:59.520 --> 0:35:00.720
<v Speaker 2>can make at our choices.

0:35:00.960 --> 0:35:01.120
<v Speaker 3>Right.

0:35:01.719 --> 0:35:04.239
<v Speaker 2>That's that's his dream. And that's where we get the

0:35:04.239 --> 0:35:06.279
<v Speaker 2>Brookings Institute. And he gets a bunch of his rich

0:35:06.320 --> 0:35:09.160
<v Speaker 2>friends together and he's like, put some money into this thing,

0:35:09.239 --> 0:35:11.879
<v Speaker 2>and it's important. This is going to be basically the

0:35:11.920 --> 0:35:15.000
<v Speaker 2>same way think tanks work in the modern era, where

0:35:15.000 --> 0:35:16.560
<v Speaker 2>you get all of these think tanks that are paid

0:35:16.560 --> 0:35:19.520
<v Speaker 2>by a company. Hey, we're exon Mobile. We want you

0:35:19.600 --> 0:35:22.080
<v Speaker 2>to put out a bunch of research saying that gasoline

0:35:22.120 --> 0:35:26.359
<v Speaker 2>is great for the environment. Right, The Brookings Institute looks

0:35:26.400 --> 0:35:28.840
<v Speaker 2>like the same thing. It's not quite because at this

0:35:28.920 --> 0:35:31.760
<v Speaker 2>point there is not really the expectation that by putting

0:35:31.800 --> 0:35:34.960
<v Speaker 2>money into this thing, it will only publish information you

0:35:35.000 --> 0:35:38.080
<v Speaker 2>want it to publish. That's not really the case yet,

0:35:38.320 --> 0:35:40.399
<v Speaker 2>and people are going to get pissed about this as

0:35:40.480 --> 0:35:43.160
<v Speaker 2>time goes on. But yeah, yeah, it.

0:35:43.360 --> 0:35:46.120
<v Speaker 3>Seems like, sorry, this seems like a good idea on paper, right,

0:35:46.480 --> 0:35:48.839
<v Speaker 3>and you can immediately kind of see like what if

0:35:48.840 --> 0:35:52.640
<v Speaker 3>we do this like direct channel to the government through experts,

0:35:52.719 --> 0:35:56.399
<v Speaker 3>like that won't get corrupt or like yeah go bad, right, Like, yeah,

0:35:56.480 --> 0:35:59.400
<v Speaker 3>accept the information we give them, even if the information

0:35:59.520 --> 0:36:03.320
<v Speaker 3>is like let's not do a war, like they'll listen

0:36:03.360 --> 0:36:03.759
<v Speaker 3>to us.

0:36:04.040 --> 0:36:05.799
<v Speaker 2>We keep going back to star Trek. It's kind of

0:36:05.800 --> 0:36:08.279
<v Speaker 2>like the borg, right where you shoot at them once

0:36:08.320 --> 0:36:10.160
<v Speaker 2>and you can fuck them up, but the second time

0:36:10.200 --> 0:36:13.560
<v Speaker 2>their shields will have modulated. So for a little while,

0:36:13.840 --> 0:36:16.600
<v Speaker 2>the Brookings Institute actually works the way it's supposed to.

0:36:16.840 --> 0:36:19.759
<v Speaker 2>Rich people fund it and it puts out information and

0:36:19.800 --> 0:36:23.160
<v Speaker 2>it's usually just information based on like what these experts.

0:36:23.160 --> 0:36:25.200
<v Speaker 2>They're not perfect, they make mistakes, but it's what they

0:36:25.280 --> 0:36:28.640
<v Speaker 2>actually think is best in these different fields of endeavor. Right,

0:36:29.400 --> 0:36:34.279
<v Speaker 2>it's actual like attempts at analyzing policy and impact, and

0:36:34.320 --> 0:36:36.520
<v Speaker 2>it's not Again, this is not always good. For example,

0:36:36.560 --> 0:36:39.040
<v Speaker 2>the Brooking is an institute is going to oppose much

0:36:39.040 --> 0:36:42.080
<v Speaker 2>of the new Deal because they're really market driven, and

0:36:42.200 --> 0:36:45.520
<v Speaker 2>Roosevelt is saying, we need more central planning.

0:36:45.680 --> 0:36:46.640
<v Speaker 3>Right. Oh interesting.

0:36:46.760 --> 0:36:49.359
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, but by the time Nixon's in office, you know,

0:36:49.440 --> 0:36:52.719
<v Speaker 2>they are seen and derided a lot by Republicans as

0:36:53.000 --> 0:36:55.839
<v Speaker 2>the liberal think tank. Right. And again, by the time

0:36:55.920 --> 0:36:58.239
<v Speaker 2>Nixon's in office, these are the guys who published the

0:36:58.280 --> 0:37:01.080
<v Speaker 2>Pentagon papers. So like they are this symbol of like

0:37:01.239 --> 0:37:05.839
<v Speaker 2>liberal progressive like ethos by the seventies. And the fact

0:37:05.880 --> 0:37:08.000
<v Speaker 2>that they switch like this is not because like there's

0:37:08.040 --> 0:37:11.360
<v Speaker 2>much of an ideological capture. It's that they're they're actually

0:37:11.360 --> 0:37:13.520
<v Speaker 2>the people here are actually generally trying to do what

0:37:13.560 --> 0:37:16.799
<v Speaker 2>they think is right. Again, that doesn't mean they're always right,

0:37:16.840 --> 0:37:20.040
<v Speaker 2>but like they are actually trying to analyze policy here.

0:37:20.440 --> 0:37:24.880
<v Speaker 3>For sure, there's always that like I I mean when people,

0:37:25.160 --> 0:37:28.200
<v Speaker 3>you know, there's been a big push about like you know,

0:37:28.960 --> 0:37:31.799
<v Speaker 3>colleges and schools and being liberal and stuff where it's

0:37:31.840 --> 0:37:34.799
<v Speaker 3>that weird situation where you're like defending this thing, but

0:37:34.880 --> 0:37:38.120
<v Speaker 3>you're like, I'm not saying it doesn't have problems. Yeah,

0:37:38.160 --> 0:37:41.000
<v Speaker 3>it's that weird in between where it's like, yes, it's

0:37:41.120 --> 0:37:44.560
<v Speaker 3>more just that the criticism goes so over the top

0:37:44.960 --> 0:37:47.560
<v Speaker 3>that you're is like, no, they can be criticized, just

0:37:47.560 --> 0:37:49.759
<v Speaker 3>not for this shit you're saying. Jesus.

0:37:50.120 --> 0:37:51.920
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, it's like when we talk about like, oh, the

0:37:51.960 --> 0:37:54.480
<v Speaker 2>good old days when progressives were a sin, and it's like, well,

0:37:54.800 --> 0:37:57.520
<v Speaker 2>people called Woodrow Wilson a progressive and he was like

0:37:57.640 --> 0:38:01.120
<v Speaker 2>maybe our most racist president. Yeah, we had presidents who

0:38:01.160 --> 0:38:04.080
<v Speaker 2>were slave owners, and Wilson might have been more racist,

0:38:04.440 --> 0:38:06.080
<v Speaker 2>Like he was a terrible man.

0:38:06.520 --> 0:38:09.760
<v Speaker 3>There's a lot of nuanced that gets lost in these conversations.

0:38:09.840 --> 0:38:11.960
<v Speaker 2>Yeah. Yeah, I'm not trying to paper over like oh,

0:38:12.080 --> 0:38:14.040
<v Speaker 2>to go back to the good old days of the

0:38:14.080 --> 0:38:21.239
<v Speaker 2>progressive fifties. Yeah. Yeah. Anyway, So in the UH, it's

0:38:21.280 --> 0:38:25.360
<v Speaker 2>one of those things where like the partly like after

0:38:25.400 --> 0:38:27.960
<v Speaker 2>World War Two in particular, like the Brookings Institute is

0:38:28.000 --> 0:38:29.680
<v Speaker 2>kind of a little bit more what we might call

0:38:29.880 --> 0:38:33.560
<v Speaker 2>conservative prior to World War Two. In the post war years,

0:38:34.120 --> 0:38:37.000
<v Speaker 2>like half of the world's money, literally half of all

0:38:37.040 --> 0:38:39.439
<v Speaker 2>of the wealth in the world is in the United States, right,

0:38:39.800 --> 0:38:42.840
<v Speaker 2>And so for a period of time, debates over stuff

0:38:42.880 --> 0:38:45.439
<v Speaker 2>like the budget and fiscal policy, like part of why

0:38:45.480 --> 0:38:48.680
<v Speaker 2>Eisenhower is able to do these massive public works projects.

0:38:48.840 --> 0:38:53.160
<v Speaker 2>Part of why there's not that much organized resistance to

0:38:53.200 --> 0:38:55.680
<v Speaker 2>the idea of public funding is that we have all

0:38:55.719 --> 0:38:58.360
<v Speaker 2>of the money there's ever been, right, and so stuff

0:38:58.440 --> 0:39:01.120
<v Speaker 2>like you don't get a lot of people worrying over

0:39:01.160 --> 0:39:03.960
<v Speaker 2>the budget so much in the fifties. You know, one

0:39:04.040 --> 0:39:06.080
<v Speaker 2>article I found from The Atlantic in nineteen eighty six

0:39:06.120 --> 0:39:09.439
<v Speaker 2>by Greg Easterbrook describes the economy in like the mid

0:39:09.480 --> 0:39:14.200
<v Speaker 2>century as a dead issue and writes social justice in Vietnam.

0:39:14.320 --> 0:39:17.240
<v Speaker 2>And this is by the sixties dominated the agenda. Brookings

0:39:17.280 --> 0:39:20.040
<v Speaker 2>concentrated on those fields, emerging as a chief source of

0:39:20.160 --> 0:39:22.520
<v Speaker 2>arguments in favor of the Great Society and opposed to

0:39:22.640 --> 0:39:25.759
<v Speaker 2>US involvement in Vietnam. In the Washington swirl, where few

0:39:25.760 --> 0:39:28.160
<v Speaker 2>people have the time to actually read the reports they debate,

0:39:28.440 --> 0:39:32.240
<v Speaker 2>respectability is often proportional to tonnage. The more studies someone

0:39:32.280 --> 0:39:34.160
<v Speaker 2>tosses on the table, the more likely he is to

0:39:34.160 --> 0:39:37.600
<v Speaker 2>win his point. For years, Brookings held a monopoly on tonnage.

0:39:37.680 --> 0:39:41.960
<v Speaker 2>It's paper supporting liberal positions went unchallenged by serious conservative rebuttals.

0:39:42.480 --> 0:39:44.720
<v Speaker 2>And so that's part of why there's not much counter

0:39:45.160 --> 0:39:48.720
<v Speaker 2>weight to like a lot of these liberal ideas about

0:39:48.760 --> 0:39:50.799
<v Speaker 2>like how money should be spent, is that the only

0:39:50.840 --> 0:39:54.080
<v Speaker 2>people researching them as the Brookings Institute. So if you're

0:39:54.080 --> 0:39:55.880
<v Speaker 2>going to like look at, well, what's the evidence on

0:39:55.920 --> 0:39:58.800
<v Speaker 2>whether or not we should you know, engage in this policy,

0:39:58.800 --> 0:40:00.719
<v Speaker 2>where you've got like three hundred pages of shit from

0:40:00.719 --> 0:40:04.080
<v Speaker 2>the Brookings Institute and nothing else, So I guess, I

0:40:04.080 --> 0:40:07.480
<v Speaker 2>guess it's easier to make that case right right now.

0:40:07.520 --> 0:40:09.880
<v Speaker 2>This is going to start to change by the period

0:40:09.880 --> 0:40:12.239
<v Speaker 2>of the Nixon administration. And part of what changes it

0:40:12.280 --> 0:40:15.879
<v Speaker 2>is that this first wave of think takes and expert advisors,

0:40:16.440 --> 0:40:19.520
<v Speaker 2>a decent chunk of them, had been intimately involved in

0:40:19.680 --> 0:40:22.440
<v Speaker 2>like convincing the government that it was the right time,

0:40:22.640 --> 0:40:24.680
<v Speaker 2>that Vietnam was a good thing to get into, right,

0:40:24.760 --> 0:40:26.719
<v Speaker 2>this was going to go well. And these are not

0:40:26.880 --> 0:40:30.480
<v Speaker 2>Brookings Institute people again, they're they are pretty much pretty

0:40:30.560 --> 0:40:34.120
<v Speaker 2>consistently like this is a dumb idea, we're like fucking

0:40:34.120 --> 0:40:37.239
<v Speaker 2>ourselves over by sending troops to this war. But it's

0:40:37.280 --> 0:40:39.640
<v Speaker 2>another think tank that's going to be heavily involved in

0:40:39.719 --> 0:40:41.880
<v Speaker 2>US getting into Vietnam, and that thing tank is called

0:40:42.200 --> 0:40:46.040
<v Speaker 2>the Rand Corporation. You hear these guys, these fund did

0:40:46.400 --> 0:40:47.280
<v Speaker 2>these cool guys.

0:40:48.239 --> 0:40:49.960
<v Speaker 3>Were they right? Were they right about Vietnam?

0:40:50.239 --> 0:40:50.439
<v Speaker 2>Yeah?

0:40:51.160 --> 0:40:51.359
<v Speaker 3>Really?

0:40:51.440 --> 0:40:53.800
<v Speaker 2>Well, yeah, I just read Biden just signed a treaty

0:40:53.800 --> 0:40:56.000
<v Speaker 2>with Vietnam, so it must have gone well, yeah, I

0:40:56.040 --> 0:40:58.200
<v Speaker 2>haven't this is this is the last piece of history

0:40:58.200 --> 0:41:01.319
<v Speaker 2>about Vietnam I read until a week ago. So it

0:41:01.320 --> 0:41:01.880
<v Speaker 2>seems like it.

0:41:01.880 --> 0:41:03.680
<v Speaker 3>All went well in the end, it all went well.

0:41:03.880 --> 0:41:05.799
<v Speaker 2>Why would we be at peace with them otherwise?

0:41:05.920 --> 0:41:06.680
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, exactly.

0:41:08.120 --> 0:41:10.880
<v Speaker 2>So the RAND Corporation is founded right after the big

0:41:11.000 --> 0:41:14.080
<v Speaker 2>dub dub dose, and they're like a defense industry think

0:41:14.160 --> 0:41:17.640
<v Speaker 2>tank and their initial obsession. They come out of this period.

0:41:17.640 --> 0:41:21.680
<v Speaker 2>We've just nuked Japan, the Russians shortly thereafter get their

0:41:21.719 --> 0:41:24.040
<v Speaker 2>own nukes, and we're like, we should probably have some

0:41:24.080 --> 0:41:26.920
<v Speaker 2>smart people figuring out what might happen as a result

0:41:27.000 --> 0:41:31.200
<v Speaker 2>of the fact that we all now have these these weapons. Right, Yeah,

0:41:31.280 --> 0:41:34.320
<v Speaker 2>that's a good idea. It's not it's not a bad idea.

0:41:34.400 --> 0:41:37.200
<v Speaker 3>Right, we all have doomsday devices. Maybe get some of

0:41:37.200 --> 0:41:38.200
<v Speaker 3>them brainiacs to.

0:41:38.680 --> 0:41:40.880
<v Speaker 2>Same you think about this, Is this a good idea?

0:41:41.080 --> 0:41:42.959
<v Speaker 3>And what's gonna happen is the brainy acts are gonna

0:41:42.960 --> 0:41:46.080
<v Speaker 3>be like, no, everything's bad and they're like, cool, thanks.

0:41:46.360 --> 0:41:47.959
<v Speaker 3>I mean we're not gonna do it, we're just gonna

0:41:48.040 --> 0:41:48.840
<v Speaker 3>keep them, but thanks.

0:41:48.880 --> 0:41:51.840
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, that is if they'd had This is kind of

0:41:51.880 --> 0:41:55.359
<v Speaker 2>The RAND Corporation is kind of the first really influential

0:41:55.400 --> 0:41:57.879
<v Speaker 2>think tank that is funded by a deep because they're

0:41:58.040 --> 0:42:00.799
<v Speaker 2>they're funded by the US Air Force, so they are

0:42:00.840 --> 0:42:03.120
<v Speaker 2>not in fact going to be like, perhaps we shouldn't

0:42:03.120 --> 0:42:04.400
<v Speaker 2>have these things. You know.

0:42:04.400 --> 0:42:06.839
<v Speaker 3>What this is all reminding me of is when you

0:42:06.880 --> 0:42:09.000
<v Speaker 3>go out with like friends, I'm sure you can relate

0:42:09.480 --> 0:42:12.640
<v Speaker 3>and you're making a series. You're like you're drinking or

0:42:12.640 --> 0:42:15.239
<v Speaker 3>you're doing whatever, and you're tuned too your friend and

0:42:15.280 --> 0:42:17.320
<v Speaker 3>go like, I can have more drinks, right, and the

0:42:17.320 --> 0:42:18.680
<v Speaker 3>friend goes, oh yeah, yeah, yeah.

0:42:18.760 --> 0:42:20.840
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, Well you're like good, look, you're.

0:42:20.640 --> 0:42:23.799
<v Speaker 3>Looking to someone to just justify the bad decision you

0:42:23.840 --> 0:42:26.520
<v Speaker 3>know you're gonna make. Yeah, And that's what friends are for.

0:42:26.760 --> 0:42:29.279
<v Speaker 3>And these things thinks are like they're they're good friends. Now.

0:42:29.360 --> 0:42:29.600
<v Speaker 2>Yeah.

0:42:29.719 --> 0:42:31.279
<v Speaker 3>They go to them and go like, it's fine that

0:42:31.320 --> 0:42:33.600
<v Speaker 3>we're doing this right, and the thing too is like yeah,

0:42:33.600 --> 0:42:36.080
<v Speaker 3>it's fine, man, the experts say it's fine.

0:42:36.640 --> 0:42:40.239
<v Speaker 2>Escalating our involvement in Vietnam is like me saying last night, yeah,

0:42:40.239 --> 0:42:42.080
<v Speaker 2>I can get up at ten am to do this podcast.

0:42:42.360 --> 0:42:43.160
<v Speaker 3>Yeah why not?

0:42:43.640 --> 0:42:44.319
<v Speaker 2>And you did?

0:42:44.640 --> 0:42:47.240
<v Speaker 3>You did it, So Vietnam was fine.

0:42:47.520 --> 0:42:50.520
<v Speaker 2>I have felt like this is my Vietnam since about

0:42:50.520 --> 0:42:51.840
<v Speaker 2>when I ran out of coffee.

0:42:52.320 --> 0:42:53.560
<v Speaker 3>Yeah.

0:42:53.600 --> 0:42:56.680
<v Speaker 2>So the initial obsession of the Rand Corporation is thinking

0:42:56.760 --> 0:42:59.960
<v Speaker 2>the unthinkable. That's kind of like their unofficial tagline, right,

0:43:00.600 --> 0:43:04.680
<v Speaker 2>which is planning for a nuclear war? Right, the idea here?

0:43:04.680 --> 0:43:07.879
<v Speaker 2>And it's interesting, like they're sore. They're right in near

0:43:07.920 --> 0:43:09.759
<v Speaker 2>where we used to work, Dave. They're kind of in

0:43:09.840 --> 0:43:12.120
<v Speaker 2>between like Santa Monica and Hollywood.

0:43:12.160 --> 0:43:13.680
<v Speaker 3>Oh, we should have went and seen them.

0:43:13.800 --> 0:43:15.759
<v Speaker 2>We should have gone. I don't know if they're still there,

0:43:15.800 --> 0:43:18.239
<v Speaker 2>but they were for a time. That the fact they

0:43:18.280 --> 0:43:21.719
<v Speaker 2>were across the street from Mary Pickford's beach house. And

0:43:21.920 --> 0:43:24.040
<v Speaker 2>one description I've read at the time said that they

0:43:24.120 --> 0:43:27.560
<v Speaker 2>quote did little but sit, think, talk, right, pass around memos,

0:43:27.600 --> 0:43:31.640
<v Speaker 2>and dream up new ideas about nuclear war, which sounds

0:43:31.640 --> 0:43:32.600
<v Speaker 2>like a fun life.

0:43:33.080 --> 0:43:33.959
<v Speaker 3>It kind of does.

0:43:34.680 --> 0:43:38.520
<v Speaker 2>Yeah I could do that, yes, Jerwa, bring me on, guys,

0:43:40.040 --> 0:43:43.000
<v Speaker 2>And again, like everything here, it's easy to see how

0:43:43.040 --> 0:43:45.680
<v Speaker 2>it's like, well, yeah, that could be a good idea, right,

0:43:45.680 --> 0:43:48.600
<v Speaker 2>you probably want someone thinking about this for a living.

0:43:48.840 --> 0:43:52.319
<v Speaker 3>It's yeah, there's this romantic idea of like the quote

0:43:52.400 --> 0:43:55.560
<v Speaker 3>unquote like scholars, right, this idea of like, Okay, there's

0:43:55.600 --> 0:43:57.719
<v Speaker 3>so many humans and we have so much money, and

0:43:57.760 --> 0:44:00.680
<v Speaker 3>we've built the civilization. People don't have to worry about

0:44:00.719 --> 0:44:02.960
<v Speaker 3>just how to survive day to day. Yeah, what if

0:44:02.960 --> 0:44:06.000
<v Speaker 3>we have a building where just a group of people

0:44:06.239 --> 0:44:09.799
<v Speaker 3>get together and think about stuff and just like like

0:44:09.960 --> 0:44:12.439
<v Speaker 3>read all the books and like then when we need

0:44:12.719 --> 0:44:14.480
<v Speaker 3>an expert, we go to them and go, like, what

0:44:14.520 --> 0:44:16.120
<v Speaker 3>do you think if.

0:44:15.960 --> 0:44:18.400
<v Speaker 2>We put all of the smartest boys in a room?

0:44:18.840 --> 0:44:19.080
<v Speaker 1>Yeah?

0:44:20.080 --> 0:44:20.279
<v Speaker 2>Work.

0:44:20.600 --> 0:44:23.960
<v Speaker 3>It's a romantic idea. It's just that people are always

0:44:24.000 --> 0:44:25.040
<v Speaker 3>going to be people too.

0:44:25.280 --> 0:44:28.200
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, and that's the problem day've number one, they're funded

0:44:28.200 --> 0:44:30.520
<v Speaker 2>by the Air Force, and number two, the kind of

0:44:30.560 --> 0:44:33.600
<v Speaker 2>guys who are both interested in and able to get

0:44:33.640 --> 0:44:36.640
<v Speaker 2>a job thinking about nuclear war all day. They're the

0:44:36.719 --> 0:44:39.879
<v Speaker 2>kind of people today we would cording these people off

0:44:40.440 --> 0:44:43.000
<v Speaker 2>from the rest of society by getting them into Warhammer

0:44:43.040 --> 0:44:44.239
<v Speaker 2>forty thousand right right.

0:44:44.760 --> 0:44:47.960
<v Speaker 3>By the way. Instead of expert or enthusiasts. I often

0:44:48.000 --> 0:44:51.359
<v Speaker 3>say pervert because I think really breaks it down, which

0:44:51.400 --> 0:44:54.640
<v Speaker 3>is like they're a weird little sick freak who's into this. Yeah,

0:44:54.840 --> 0:44:58.319
<v Speaker 3>I think of there's nothing wrong with that. You just

0:44:58.320 --> 0:44:59.720
<v Speaker 3>have to remember that, right.

0:45:00.440 --> 0:45:03.120
<v Speaker 2>Yeah. I love that idea, Dave, because think of how

0:45:03.200 --> 0:45:06.640
<v Speaker 2>different decades of like nuclear weapons policy would be if

0:45:06.680 --> 0:45:08.920
<v Speaker 2>instead of bringing like nuclear weapons expert, it was like

0:45:09.000 --> 0:45:11.400
<v Speaker 2>nuclear weapons perverts on CNN.

0:45:11.680 --> 0:45:14.520
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, well, they would make a organization and thank you.

0:45:14.600 --> 0:45:16.600
<v Speaker 3>I mean, we're all aware that you're a weird pervert

0:45:16.640 --> 0:45:19.000
<v Speaker 3>about Yes, we're going to take it with a grain assault,

0:45:19.280 --> 0:45:20.640
<v Speaker 3>but thank you for your advice.

0:45:20.800 --> 0:45:23.399
<v Speaker 2>Yeah. Yeah, So the RAND guy wants to jack off

0:45:23.400 --> 0:45:26.640
<v Speaker 2>on the MORI CBMs. Let's let's now talk to him

0:45:26.719 --> 0:45:28.720
<v Speaker 2>not getting murdered experts.

0:45:28.719 --> 0:45:31.960
<v Speaker 3>Yeah exactly, No, not getting murder and murdered pervert.

0:45:31.760 --> 0:45:33.520
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, perfect pert. You're right here, right. We got to

0:45:33.520 --> 0:45:35.920
<v Speaker 2>be we gotta be consistent, Dave, otherwise we have nothing.

0:45:36.440 --> 0:45:40.680
<v Speaker 2>So the RAND guys are a bunch of their war gamers, right,

0:45:40.920 --> 0:45:42.920
<v Speaker 2>like a lot of them literally are. But that that

0:45:43.080 --> 0:45:45.399
<v Speaker 2>is the kind of guy that is drawn to this job.

0:45:45.440 --> 0:45:49.520
<v Speaker 2>These are like game theory nerds, yeah exactly, And they

0:45:49.520 --> 0:45:51.239
<v Speaker 2>didn't have anything better to do in the fifties and

0:45:51.280 --> 0:45:53.680
<v Speaker 2>sixties because there weren't many good war games then give

0:45:53.719 --> 0:45:58.319
<v Speaker 2>the president bad advice about Vietnam. Secretary of Defense and

0:45:58.440 --> 0:46:01.120
<v Speaker 2>a list war criminal Robert mac namara got most of

0:46:01.160 --> 0:46:04.360
<v Speaker 2>his top aids from the RAND Corporation, and they provided

0:46:04.400 --> 0:46:08.279
<v Speaker 2>more recommendations on US policy in Vietnam than any other organization.

0:46:08.640 --> 0:46:11.920
<v Speaker 2>In fact, RAND reports were critical in influencing every stage

0:46:11.960 --> 0:46:14.080
<v Speaker 2>of the war in Vietnam. And this is where we

0:46:14.120 --> 0:46:17.560
<v Speaker 2>really get into the think tank evil. By the mid sixties,

0:46:17.719 --> 0:46:21.040
<v Speaker 2>LBJ was trying to decide should we escalate US involvement

0:46:21.120 --> 0:46:23.880
<v Speaker 2>in the war or not At this point, like sixty

0:46:24.000 --> 0:46:26.920
<v Speaker 2>four or something like that, the US could have backed

0:46:26.920 --> 0:46:30.480
<v Speaker 2>out right, we could have left. We could have said like, sorry,

0:46:30.560 --> 0:46:33.120
<v Speaker 2>this regime is bad, we made a mistake, let's go.

0:46:33.480 --> 0:46:35.920
<v Speaker 2>And North Vietnam probably would have been like, hey, that's great.

0:46:36.000 --> 0:46:39.920
<v Speaker 2>That's all we ever wanted, Like like we're good. No,

0:46:39.920 --> 0:46:43.720
<v Speaker 2>no more conflict is necessary. This is not what happens.

0:46:43.760 --> 0:46:47.120
<v Speaker 2>Because a researcher named Leon Gower, who was a project

0:46:47.160 --> 0:46:51.280
<v Speaker 2>headed RAND, published several papers on morale among North Vietnamese

0:46:51.280 --> 0:46:54.800
<v Speaker 2>soldiers and civilians. He spends months traveling around the country

0:46:54.840 --> 0:46:59.520
<v Speaker 2>talking to captured North Vietnamese soldiers, Viet Cong militants who

0:46:59.520 --> 0:47:02.880
<v Speaker 2>had been like captured and stuff during like actions, and

0:47:03.040 --> 0:47:05.319
<v Speaker 2>also just a bunch of like villagers living in kind

0:47:05.320 --> 0:47:07.759
<v Speaker 2>of around the line of contact at the time. And

0:47:07.800 --> 0:47:11.520
<v Speaker 2>his conclusion based on these interviews is that Vietnamese morale

0:47:11.719 --> 0:47:14.239
<v Speaker 2>is right around the corner from collapsing. If we just

0:47:14.280 --> 0:47:17.759
<v Speaker 2>stick it out a couple more months, victory is inevitable.

0:47:17.960 --> 0:47:22.160
<v Speaker 2>That we've got them on the ropes now, no, weal

0:47:23.640 --> 0:47:24.240
<v Speaker 2>they talked.

0:47:24.080 --> 0:47:26.200
<v Speaker 3>To prisoners and was like, I talked to all these

0:47:26.200 --> 0:47:30.000
<v Speaker 3>people that were captured, and I predict their morale is low.

0:47:30.320 --> 0:47:32.080
<v Speaker 2>They're really sad. I think we're winning.

0:47:32.960 --> 0:47:35.160
<v Speaker 3>I talked to all the people who would be said

0:47:35.280 --> 0:47:36.960
<v Speaker 3>that's ridiculous, of course not.

0:47:37.360 --> 0:47:39.640
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, if you talk to the talk to the British

0:47:39.680 --> 0:47:42.840
<v Speaker 2>people who were captured in nineteen forty, Yeah, they're probably

0:47:42.880 --> 0:47:45.040
<v Speaker 2>pretty bummed about the way the war's going.

0:47:45.160 --> 0:47:47.920
<v Speaker 3>And this is the thing about experts or sorry perverts,

0:47:48.200 --> 0:47:51.439
<v Speaker 3>which is that like it's so tunnel vision right where

0:47:51.480 --> 0:47:54.360
<v Speaker 3>it's like it's also academic that a lot of the

0:47:54.400 --> 0:47:57.040
<v Speaker 3>time the big thing they're missing is like the big

0:47:57.160 --> 0:48:01.600
<v Speaker 3>obvious thing or the human factor, and that that happens,

0:48:01.920 --> 0:48:04.839
<v Speaker 3>you know, that's like I think a legit criticism of

0:48:05.000 --> 0:48:07.120
<v Speaker 3>like colleges and shit like that off.

0:48:07.239 --> 0:48:09.439
<v Speaker 2>Yes too, it's just a legit criticism of the way

0:48:09.520 --> 0:48:12.080
<v Speaker 2>human beings analyze. Like there's a famous study of like

0:48:12.120 --> 0:48:14.080
<v Speaker 2>World War Two. They're looking at like all of their

0:48:14.120 --> 0:48:16.720
<v Speaker 2>planes that get damaged, like where are they getting damaged?

0:48:16.800 --> 0:48:18.680
<v Speaker 2>Those are the parts of the planes we should reinforce.

0:48:18.719 --> 0:48:20.440
<v Speaker 2>You can see that diagram that's got like here are

0:48:20.440 --> 0:48:23.360
<v Speaker 2>all the areas that planes are most often damaged in.

0:48:23.440 --> 0:48:26.200
<v Speaker 2>And then they like realized later like, well, but we're

0:48:26.200 --> 0:48:28.400
<v Speaker 2>just counting the planes that actually made it back. So

0:48:28.520 --> 0:48:31.200
<v Speaker 2>actually those aren't the damage. That's not the damage to

0:48:31.320 --> 0:48:33.960
<v Speaker 2>focus on. It's the planes that went down we should

0:48:34.000 --> 0:48:35.040
<v Speaker 2>be paying attention to.

0:48:35.440 --> 0:48:37.000
<v Speaker 3>That's such a good example of me.

0:48:37.480 --> 0:48:40.680
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, that's what's going to happen with all of Vietnam.

0:48:40.760 --> 0:48:43.840
<v Speaker 2>And I'm going to quote from a report in Ramparts magazine,

0:48:44.040 --> 0:48:46.520
<v Speaker 2>which is a thing that no longer exists, but was

0:48:46.600 --> 0:48:49.320
<v Speaker 2>fucking dope for a very long time, And this is

0:48:49.360 --> 0:48:53.200
<v Speaker 2>their report on the Rand Corporation in Vietnam. It was

0:48:53.280 --> 0:48:56.600
<v Speaker 2>Gower's analyzes that provided the scientific underpinning for the light

0:48:56.680 --> 0:48:58.640
<v Speaker 2>at the end of the tunnel mentality that were so

0:48:58.760 --> 0:49:01.200
<v Speaker 2>crucial to the escalation of the war and the devastation

0:49:01.280 --> 0:49:04.440
<v Speaker 2>that followed. In nineteen sixty six, his work was identified

0:49:04.480 --> 0:49:06.680
<v Speaker 2>by Carl Rowan as the study which lies at the

0:49:06.719 --> 0:49:10.400
<v Speaker 2>heart of President Johnson's strategy. The implications of the Gower

0:49:10.480 --> 0:49:13.680
<v Speaker 2>study are profound, for they indicate yet another aspect of

0:49:13.719 --> 0:49:16.680
<v Speaker 2>the erosion of democratic decision making process that has attended

0:49:16.719 --> 0:49:19.560
<v Speaker 2>every phase of the present conflict. For both the Rand

0:49:19.640 --> 0:49:22.960
<v Speaker 2>interviews of the nlf cadra the most complete portrait available

0:49:22.960 --> 0:49:25.040
<v Speaker 2>of the other side in this war, and the reports

0:49:25.080 --> 0:49:28.279
<v Speaker 2>from Leon Gower were classified and kept securely within the

0:49:28.360 --> 0:49:32.080
<v Speaker 2>contact between the within the contract between the war bent

0:49:32.200 --> 0:49:35.680
<v Speaker 2>executive and the private corporation, and thus and thereby unavailable

0:49:35.680 --> 0:49:38.400
<v Speaker 2>to the American people. In fact, to this day, Gower's

0:49:38.400 --> 0:49:40.640
<v Speaker 2>reports are unavailable to Congress and will have to be

0:49:40.680 --> 0:49:42.719
<v Speaker 2>written and you will have to read them in ramparts.

0:49:43.320 --> 0:49:47.600
<v Speaker 2>And it's like so this is the by far, like

0:49:47.960 --> 0:49:50.520
<v Speaker 2>the best collection of information that we had at that

0:49:50.640 --> 0:49:55.200
<v Speaker 2>point on North Vietnamese people's thoughts on how the war

0:49:55.320 --> 0:49:57.920
<v Speaker 2>was going. And it was entirely filtered through the lens

0:49:58.000 --> 0:50:02.239
<v Speaker 2>of this very biased man who was being paid effectively

0:50:02.320 --> 0:50:04.360
<v Speaker 2>by the US Air force, but was in a private

0:50:04.400 --> 0:50:08.040
<v Speaker 2>corporation and so none of his worker methodology was open

0:50:08.080 --> 0:50:12.000
<v Speaker 2>to being scrutinized by the public, and his analysis that

0:50:12.040 --> 0:50:14.960
<v Speaker 2>we were right around, right around the corner from winning

0:50:15.000 --> 0:50:18.960
<v Speaker 2>in Vietnam had the biggest impact on Elbajay's decision to

0:50:19.080 --> 0:50:21.200
<v Speaker 2>escalate of any like individual factor.

0:50:21.600 --> 0:50:22.200
<v Speaker 3>That's bleak.

0:50:22.920 --> 0:50:25.319
<v Speaker 2>It's really bad, right, and you probably shouldn't do it.

0:50:25.320 --> 0:50:28.279
<v Speaker 3>Like that, Right. It's like according to this expert who

0:50:28.320 --> 0:50:31.839
<v Speaker 3>literally like it's asking an expert to look into whether

0:50:31.920 --> 0:50:34.360
<v Speaker 3>or not they should continue to pay this person, and

0:50:34.480 --> 0:50:37.200
<v Speaker 3>you should have the job too. Like it's that's like

0:50:37.320 --> 0:50:41.680
<v Speaker 3>when when one of the possibilities of like your study

0:50:41.800 --> 0:50:43.799
<v Speaker 3>means that you no longer get to do the thing

0:50:43.800 --> 0:50:47.000
<v Speaker 3>you're doing, you shouldn't get to do that study, right, Yeah. Yeah.

0:50:47.040 --> 0:50:50.040
<v Speaker 2>It's the same thing with like police departments like inspecting

0:50:50.040 --> 0:50:54.320
<v Speaker 2>each other, investigating each other over crimes. Yeah, probably shouldn't

0:50:54.360 --> 0:50:56.440
<v Speaker 2>let it because it is it is like as the

0:50:56.520 --> 0:51:00.000
<v Speaker 2>as rampartson, it's really anti democratic, right, because you've got

0:51:00.120 --> 0:51:02.000
<v Speaker 2>a bunch of people saying, I don't think we should

0:51:02.040 --> 0:51:04.680
<v Speaker 2>be involved in Vietnam, because why in the fuck are

0:51:04.719 --> 0:51:08.279
<v Speaker 2>we sending soldiers to Vietnam, and then you've got the

0:51:08.280 --> 0:51:11.040
<v Speaker 2>president saying, well, look, you're all a bunch of casuals,

0:51:11.080 --> 0:51:13.239
<v Speaker 2>a bunch of Yahoo's who don't know anything. I've talked

0:51:13.239 --> 0:51:15.560
<v Speaker 2>to the experts and they say, we're about to win.

0:51:15.960 --> 0:51:19.040
<v Speaker 3>You know. Yeah, this is it's such a tricky. This

0:51:19.080 --> 0:51:22.520
<v Speaker 3>is where nuance comes into play, because there's this idea, like,

0:51:22.719 --> 0:51:26.480
<v Speaker 3>you know, very recently we had something that happened in

0:51:26.480 --> 0:51:29.160
<v Speaker 3>this country where a bunch of experts were saying everybody

0:51:29.200 --> 0:51:32.400
<v Speaker 3>needs to do this thing, and people are like, ah,

0:51:32.440 --> 0:51:34.880
<v Speaker 3>screw the experts. Yeah, and there was sort of this

0:51:35.280 --> 0:51:38.080
<v Speaker 3>battle over it where it's like sometimes experts, like when

0:51:38.120 --> 0:51:41.719
<v Speaker 3>it's very when it's very black and white, is just like, yeah,

0:51:42.080 --> 0:51:44.560
<v Speaker 3>you know, you should probably just do what they say, right,

0:51:45.040 --> 0:51:47.879
<v Speaker 3>Like you know, if someone says, you know.

0:51:48.680 --> 0:51:51.200
<v Speaker 2>Don't lick toilet seats, wow, I probably won't.

0:51:51.360 --> 0:51:56.360
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, it's very tricky because I understand why over years

0:51:56.360 --> 0:51:58.520
<v Speaker 3>and years there are people who are like, h fuck

0:51:58.560 --> 0:52:02.680
<v Speaker 3>the experts, because then you get these cases where it's

0:52:02.760 --> 0:52:07.200
<v Speaker 3>like you're saying undemocratic, where everybody's sort of saying like

0:52:07.239 --> 0:52:09.000
<v Speaker 3>we should do these I should have the freedom to

0:52:09.000 --> 0:52:11.359
<v Speaker 3>do these things, or I believe we should do this,

0:52:11.680 --> 0:52:13.480
<v Speaker 3>and it's like, no, we're going to consult this handful

0:52:13.520 --> 0:52:17.759
<v Speaker 3>of people to make the decision. Feels very undemocratic, And

0:52:17.840 --> 0:52:21.000
<v Speaker 3>for the most part, it's just like it's there's no

0:52:21.200 --> 0:52:24.920
<v Speaker 3>right answer across the board right where it's like I

0:52:25.000 --> 0:52:28.560
<v Speaker 3>wish we were undemocratic about like climate change, Like I

0:52:28.600 --> 0:52:31.360
<v Speaker 3>wish governments would just go listen, this is what we're doing,

0:52:31.719 --> 0:52:36.600
<v Speaker 3>because otherwise we'll all die. But that's very dangerous thinking

0:52:36.640 --> 0:52:40.440
<v Speaker 3>across the board. So it really is like a case

0:52:40.480 --> 0:52:41.560
<v Speaker 3>by case situation.

0:52:42.320 --> 0:52:45.319
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I mean, the overwhelming lesson of history is that

0:52:45.360 --> 0:52:48.279
<v Speaker 2>there's actually no good way to do things. Yes, but

0:52:48.880 --> 0:52:51.640
<v Speaker 2>the right way certainly isn't the one we're doing. I

0:52:51.640 --> 0:52:53.680
<v Speaker 2>think we can all agree on that. And you know

0:52:53.719 --> 0:52:59.200
<v Speaker 2>what else we can all agree on, Dave what products

0:52:59.200 --> 0:53:10.960
<v Speaker 2>and services? Oh, we're back Dave, the Rand Corporation. When

0:53:10.960 --> 0:53:14.160
<v Speaker 2>we left them off, they had just told LBJ. Hey Man,

0:53:14.640 --> 0:53:16.239
<v Speaker 2>just a few more guys, just a few more one

0:53:16.280 --> 0:53:18.839
<v Speaker 2>hundred thousand US troops and it'll win us the war.

0:53:18.920 --> 0:53:23.160
<v Speaker 2>We're right around the corner, like the Vietnam's on the ropes.

0:53:23.200 --> 0:53:25.480
<v Speaker 2>Nor the Vietnam can't hold out much more. They're just

0:53:25.560 --> 0:53:26.960
<v Speaker 2>about to give up, right.

0:53:27.080 --> 0:53:29.040
<v Speaker 3>Right, and then we won. Yeah.

0:53:29.080 --> 0:53:31.239
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, As we all know, nineteen sixty four was the

0:53:31.320 --> 0:53:34.720
<v Speaker 2>last year of the Vietnam War before our glorious victory,

0:53:35.280 --> 0:53:39.200
<v Speaker 2>and we started air dropping McDonald's into the jungle. So

0:53:39.920 --> 0:53:42.040
<v Speaker 2>when you look at like the kind of analyzes the

0:53:42.120 --> 0:53:45.799
<v Speaker 2>RAND Corporation was providing the US government, the Johnson administration

0:53:45.920 --> 0:53:50.960
<v Speaker 2>during Vietnam, they kind of dispassionately advised this kind of ladder,

0:53:51.640 --> 0:53:54.480
<v Speaker 2>A ladder of escalation is how it's usually described, right,

0:53:54.520 --> 0:53:56.879
<v Speaker 2>where like, if the enemy does this, then you add

0:53:56.920 --> 0:53:58.600
<v Speaker 2>more troops. If the need of it is this, then

0:53:58.640 --> 0:54:00.960
<v Speaker 2>you carry out an offensive. If the enemy does this,

0:54:01.000 --> 0:54:03.080
<v Speaker 2>then we launched another bombing campaign. Right.

0:54:03.600 --> 0:54:04.920
<v Speaker 3>This was the ladder of escalation.

0:54:05.239 --> 0:54:08.799
<v Speaker 2>Yes, yes, escalator, an escalator. I don't know if they

0:54:08.840 --> 0:54:10.920
<v Speaker 2>had them back then. It was the sixties. It was

0:54:10.920 --> 0:54:13.399
<v Speaker 2>the sixties. We hadn't invented science yet.

0:54:13.600 --> 0:54:13.759
<v Speaker 3>Right.

0:54:14.080 --> 0:54:16.400
<v Speaker 2>They were throwing spears out of planes. That's how the

0:54:16.440 --> 0:54:19.080
<v Speaker 2>air force worked. Yeah, and all of this this like

0:54:19.160 --> 0:54:22.520
<v Speaker 2>ladder of escalation that RAND advises, it's based off of

0:54:22.600 --> 0:54:27.279
<v Speaker 2>their belief about what Vietnam would do in response to

0:54:27.360 --> 0:54:30.680
<v Speaker 2>US ordering a bombing campaign right of the north through

0:54:30.680 --> 0:54:34.160
<v Speaker 2>of like you know, of their capital, right, and it

0:54:34.239 --> 0:54:36.040
<v Speaker 2>was based on their understanding that this is what an

0:54:36.080 --> 0:54:40.200
<v Speaker 2>opposing government would do in this situation. So they're thinking,

0:54:40.560 --> 0:54:44.239
<v Speaker 2>if our capital was bombed, how would we act, Right, Well,

0:54:44.239 --> 0:54:47.640
<v Speaker 2>we would probably seek to super peace or whatever, because

0:54:47.680 --> 0:54:50.360
<v Speaker 2>like Americans would not put up with the capital being bombed.

0:54:50.719 --> 0:54:52.400
<v Speaker 2>You know, there would be a real issue for us.

0:54:52.480 --> 0:54:55.680
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, we'd freak out, we'd call French fries freedom fries.

0:54:55.840 --> 0:54:58.520
<v Speaker 2>Yes, we would lose our minds.

0:54:58.600 --> 0:55:00.880
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, things would get very yea.

0:55:00.960 --> 0:55:03.279
<v Speaker 2>Yeah. The I actually, I mean the idea was that

0:55:03.360 --> 0:55:06.200
<v Speaker 2>I think you've actually you've actually predicted what happened here,

0:55:06.200 --> 0:55:08.400
<v Speaker 2>which is that like, well, when they bombed our capital,

0:55:08.440 --> 0:55:10.719
<v Speaker 2>we went insane. We didn't, we didn't seem to. We

0:55:10.760 --> 0:55:13.919
<v Speaker 2>didn't go for negotiations. But the RAM Corporation is like, well,

0:55:14.160 --> 0:55:17.120
<v Speaker 2>if we bomb the capital Vietna, North Vietnam will want

0:55:17.120 --> 0:55:20.000
<v Speaker 2>to come to the negotiating table. They'll make concessions to us.

0:55:20.040 --> 0:55:22.759
<v Speaker 3>Then, right, Yeah, it feels like we were we were

0:55:22.840 --> 0:55:27.960
<v Speaker 3>riding high on nukes, which is that, like I get why, Like, well,

0:55:28.080 --> 0:55:30.760
<v Speaker 3>I mean Japan had already surrendered, right, I'm pretty sure

0:55:30.880 --> 0:55:32.439
<v Speaker 3>or like no, no.

0:55:31.960 --> 0:55:36.280
<v Speaker 2>No, I mean that's that's a whole separate.

0:55:37.640 --> 0:55:40.040
<v Speaker 3>But like it's all to say that, like nukes was

0:55:40.080 --> 0:55:42.160
<v Speaker 3>a new thing, and so seeing a new and not

0:55:42.239 --> 0:55:45.440
<v Speaker 3>knowing what it is, I can imagine the government being like, oh, okay,

0:55:45.480 --> 0:55:47.879
<v Speaker 3>we're done here, you know, like I don't know what

0:55:47.960 --> 0:55:48.400
<v Speaker 3>that is.

0:55:48.840 --> 0:55:53.440
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, it because like the nukes are such a you know,

0:55:53.800 --> 0:55:56.480
<v Speaker 2>we dropped two nukes on Japan and the government sues

0:55:56.520 --> 0:56:00.399
<v Speaker 2>for peace. Right, that's the reality of what was going

0:56:00.400 --> 0:56:03.800
<v Speaker 2>on is a bit more complicated than that. But because

0:56:03.920 --> 0:56:07.680
<v Speaker 2>that's like kind of the last thing that happens, you

0:56:07.719 --> 0:56:10.120
<v Speaker 2>do get this attitude that like, well, we can bomb

0:56:10.120 --> 0:56:13.120
<v Speaker 2>our problems away with enough bombs, and the reality is that, yeah,

0:56:13.160 --> 0:56:15.120
<v Speaker 2>we bomb the shit out of Japan prior to that,

0:56:15.160 --> 0:56:17.879
<v Speaker 2>and they didn't surrender until the nukes, And we bomb

0:56:17.920 --> 0:56:20.400
<v Speaker 2>the shit out of Germany and they didn't surrender because

0:56:20.400 --> 0:56:24.200
<v Speaker 2>of the bombing. Right, Bombing doesn't make people surrender usually,

0:56:24.480 --> 0:56:27.200
<v Speaker 2>and it doesn't in the case of Vietnam. Right, the

0:56:27.280 --> 0:56:31.799
<v Speaker 2>RAND Corporation has utterly misread North Vietnam, like they are

0:56:31.840 --> 0:56:34.480
<v Speaker 2>not going to respond to the latter of escalation the

0:56:34.480 --> 0:56:37.600
<v Speaker 2>way we expect they are. As David Landau wrote in ramparts.

0:56:38.280 --> 0:56:40.320
<v Speaker 2>Underlying almost all of Rand's work on the war in

0:56:40.360 --> 0:56:42.880
<v Speaker 2>the late sixties and early seventies was the unquestioned assumption

0:56:42.920 --> 0:56:45.439
<v Speaker 2>that the enemy in Vietnam would behave just like any

0:56:45.440 --> 0:56:48.240
<v Speaker 2>other sovereign power at war, that he could be lured

0:56:48.239 --> 0:56:51.560
<v Speaker 2>by attractive negotiating offers which fell short of his stated position,

0:56:51.719 --> 0:56:54.000
<v Speaker 2>or that refusing to negotiate, he could be brought to

0:56:54.000 --> 0:56:56.000
<v Speaker 2>the peace table with the threat and use of force.

0:56:56.280 --> 0:56:59.000
<v Speaker 2>It was a universal failure to grasp the unique nature

0:56:59.040 --> 0:57:02.400
<v Speaker 2>of the insurgency Vietnam. In other words, the kind of

0:57:02.440 --> 0:57:05.800
<v Speaker 2>guys who work at RAND, who are like war gamers,

0:57:05.880 --> 0:57:09.279
<v Speaker 2>who were obsessed with their own careers and like rational thought,

0:57:09.840 --> 0:57:13.080
<v Speaker 2>could not accept that, like, well, there's people over there

0:57:13.080 --> 0:57:15.719
<v Speaker 2>that believe in things, right, The people running the war

0:57:15.719 --> 0:57:18.320
<v Speaker 2>effort in North Vietnam might not just come to the

0:57:18.360 --> 0:57:21.440
<v Speaker 2>table because they get scared because of a bombing. They

0:57:21.520 --> 0:57:24.680
<v Speaker 2>might actually have principles that they're holding too, you know.

0:57:24.880 --> 0:57:28.400
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, that seems like an oversight that's common, which is

0:57:28.520 --> 0:57:32.200
<v Speaker 3>like looking at them like NPCs, you know, where it's like,

0:57:32.320 --> 0:57:34.720
<v Speaker 3>if we do this, then they'll get scared. Yeah, it's

0:57:34.760 --> 0:57:38.280
<v Speaker 3>dehumanizing the enemy, right, and the thing about doing that

0:57:38.360 --> 0:57:41.760
<v Speaker 3>is it often screws yourself over where it's like if

0:57:41.760 --> 0:57:44.960
<v Speaker 3>you're not thinking about them like human beings, yeah, then

0:57:45.560 --> 0:57:48.680
<v Speaker 3>you don't actually know how to deal with them.

0:57:49.000 --> 0:57:51.240
<v Speaker 2>That's exactly it. And it's the same thing you get

0:57:51.280 --> 0:57:53.320
<v Speaker 2>with like we're seeing with the houthis right now right

0:57:53.320 --> 0:57:55.920
<v Speaker 2>where it's like, Okay, well we sent we started bombing them.

0:57:56.360 --> 0:57:58.880
<v Speaker 2>Oh that hasn't changed what they're doing. They're still still

0:57:58.880 --> 0:58:00.400
<v Speaker 2>throwing cruise missiles at ships.

0:58:00.560 --> 0:58:00.800
<v Speaker 3>Yeah.

0:58:01.160 --> 0:58:03.480
<v Speaker 2>I also as if yeah, yeah, no, you.

0:58:03.440 --> 0:58:06.520
<v Speaker 3>Could even scale it down, Like I think like that

0:58:06.520 --> 0:58:10.120
<v Speaker 3>that whole Libs of TikTok interview where she just froze

0:58:10.200 --> 0:58:13.520
<v Speaker 3>up to me has that stinks of like, yeah, they

0:58:13.560 --> 0:58:17.160
<v Speaker 3>have this idea in their head of like a liberal journalist,

0:58:17.640 --> 0:58:20.160
<v Speaker 3>this straw man, and then when you actually sit down

0:58:20.160 --> 0:58:22.919
<v Speaker 3>with these people or like Elon Muskin don Lemon, where

0:58:22.920 --> 0:58:26.240
<v Speaker 3>it's like then you realize like, oh, they're completely unprepared

0:58:26.280 --> 0:58:29.560
<v Speaker 3>for this situation because they had this straw man in

0:58:29.600 --> 0:58:32.720
<v Speaker 3>their head that they thought like, oh, this will be easy.

0:58:32.960 --> 0:58:36.240
<v Speaker 3>And then so like it's this, yeah, you can scale

0:58:36.280 --> 0:58:37.919
<v Speaker 3>it up. It's a war too, where it's.

0:58:37.880 --> 0:58:41.840
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, it is like the same psychological like the Rand

0:58:41.880 --> 0:58:44.680
<v Speaker 2>Corporation in Vietnam are in the same position as like, yeah,

0:58:44.720 --> 0:58:47.680
<v Speaker 2>Elon Musk in that interview, or the libs of TikTok

0:58:47.760 --> 0:58:51.080
<v Speaker 2>lady when she get like this happens repeatedly. I mean

0:58:51.080 --> 0:58:53.600
<v Speaker 2>it's the same. You could go back to like Nazi

0:58:53.680 --> 0:58:57.000
<v Speaker 2>Germany right when they invade Russia, being like, because they're

0:58:57.160 --> 0:58:59.320
<v Speaker 2>very much if you look at like the Rand Corporation

0:58:59.400 --> 0:59:02.160
<v Speaker 2>is telling ob they're right around the corner from collapse.

0:59:02.280 --> 0:59:04.680
<v Speaker 2>Just push a little harder and they'll fall apart. Hitler

0:59:04.720 --> 0:59:07.320
<v Speaker 2>invades the USSR being like, yeah, if we just kick

0:59:07.360 --> 0:59:09.520
<v Speaker 2>in the door, everything's going to collapse. It's like, now,

0:59:10.080 --> 0:59:12.480
<v Speaker 2>it never quite works that way, does it, Guys.

0:59:13.680 --> 0:59:14.040
<v Speaker 3>Russia?

0:59:14.560 --> 0:59:16.880
<v Speaker 2>Anytime you're true And you should think about this when

0:59:16.920 --> 0:59:19.720
<v Speaker 2>people talk about like, oh, you know, the Republicans, you know,

0:59:19.760 --> 0:59:22.520
<v Speaker 2>don't have any real strip, Like we outnumber them by

0:59:22.560 --> 0:59:24.880
<v Speaker 2>so much. You know, Trump is on the ropes, right,

0:59:24.920 --> 0:59:26.440
<v Speaker 2>All we have to do is push a little harder

0:59:26.480 --> 0:59:29.320
<v Speaker 2>and we'll beat them forever. Yeah, anytime anyone's telling you

0:59:29.440 --> 0:59:33.200
<v Speaker 2>that about your enemy. No, people believe in things. It's

0:59:33.240 --> 0:59:35.640
<v Speaker 2>hard to actually win a fight like this.

0:59:35.960 --> 0:59:39.200
<v Speaker 3>It's wild how we keep doing it. Because like this

0:59:39.800 --> 0:59:43.240
<v Speaker 3>not to deviate too far, but like the Oscars this year,

0:59:43.280 --> 0:59:45.640
<v Speaker 3>they like read a Trump tweet on stage and everybody

0:59:45.680 --> 0:59:49.320
<v Speaker 3>had a good laugh, and it's like a member like

0:59:49.480 --> 0:59:52.919
<v Speaker 3>the static election, Like you guys gotta start like they're

0:59:53.000 --> 0:59:56.960
<v Speaker 3>such humorous and it's like when does this ever worked

0:59:56.960 --> 0:59:58.520
<v Speaker 3>out for you? Jesus Christ.

0:59:58.760 --> 1:00:02.000
<v Speaker 2>Part of it this reveals something like fundamentally like kind

1:00:02.080 --> 1:00:04.880
<v Speaker 2>of horrible at the center of a lot of the

1:00:04.960 --> 1:00:07.560
<v Speaker 2>human experience, which is that a huge number of people

1:00:08.160 --> 1:00:10.920
<v Speaker 2>don't want to think that there can be other people

1:00:10.960 --> 1:00:15.200
<v Speaker 2>who believe wildly different things from them and really believe it.

1:00:15.520 --> 1:00:17.800
<v Speaker 2>They're just like doing it to be like evil or

1:00:17.840 --> 1:00:21.200
<v Speaker 2>like try to like get but like actually have are

1:00:21.280 --> 1:00:23.240
<v Speaker 2>like that is the center of their being. Like the

1:00:23.520 --> 1:00:26.800
<v Speaker 2>idea to a lot of these guys, the idea that like, yeah,

1:00:26.840 --> 1:00:32.439
<v Speaker 2>in Vietnam, there are actual committed communists nationalists who are

1:00:32.520 --> 1:00:37.160
<v Speaker 2>willing to die, lots of them for a cause and

1:00:37.240 --> 1:00:41.200
<v Speaker 2>are not willing to compromise on that cause. Right, Yeah,

1:00:41.520 --> 1:00:44.280
<v Speaker 2>you almost can't believe that because then you have to

1:00:44.360 --> 1:00:46.720
<v Speaker 2>kind of accept that, like people can live in a

1:00:46.720 --> 1:00:49.080
<v Speaker 2>way that is wildly different from how I do, and

1:00:49.120 --> 1:00:53.520
<v Speaker 2>there's they're just as much people they're not like brainwashed

1:00:53.600 --> 1:00:55.960
<v Speaker 2>or anything like. This is actually just a deeply held

1:00:56.120 --> 1:00:57.400
<v Speaker 2>set of beliefs.

1:00:57.040 --> 1:00:59.080
<v Speaker 3>Right right, And even if you think they're doing it,

1:00:59.120 --> 1:01:00.960
<v Speaker 3>like they don't fully belie leave it or they're doing

1:01:01.000 --> 1:01:03.920
<v Speaker 3>it in mouth. I mean, we have like what sunken cost

1:01:03.960 --> 1:01:06.760
<v Speaker 3>fallony or a fallacy, or I call it being pot committed,

1:01:07.000 --> 1:01:09.000
<v Speaker 3>which is like that idea that when you've put so

1:01:09.160 --> 1:01:11.480
<v Speaker 3>much into it, you're not going to back out.

1:01:11.840 --> 1:01:16.320
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, And that's that's really where we're headed here, because

1:01:16.360 --> 1:01:19.640
<v Speaker 2>the Rand Corporation is very, very much integral in the

1:01:19.720 --> 1:01:24.040
<v Speaker 2>US getting pot committed to Vietnam. Obviously, you can trace

1:01:24.160 --> 1:01:26.840
<v Speaker 2>a lot of people's deaths back to the Rand Corporation's

1:01:26.880 --> 1:01:29.840
<v Speaker 2>work there. And this has two major effects on domestic

1:01:30.160 --> 1:01:33.680
<v Speaker 2>politics in the United States. One is that think tanks

1:01:33.680 --> 1:01:37.000
<v Speaker 2>and experts, the concept of expertise you brought up sort

1:01:37.000 --> 1:01:38.560
<v Speaker 2>of like the way in which everyone a lot of

1:01:38.600 --> 1:01:40.960
<v Speaker 2>people reacted to experts talking about like what we should

1:01:40.960 --> 1:01:43.959
<v Speaker 2>do with COVID. A big part of why there's such

1:01:43.960 --> 1:01:47.080
<v Speaker 2>a rapid backlash to like very basic public health shit.

1:01:47.360 --> 1:01:50.760
<v Speaker 2>It all kind of starts with the backlash to Vietnam.

1:01:51.240 --> 1:01:54.439
<v Speaker 2>All of the experts say we're about to win, throw

1:01:54.520 --> 1:01:56.760
<v Speaker 2>some more shit in here, right, throw some more money

1:01:56.800 --> 1:02:00.560
<v Speaker 2>behind it, and they're horribly wrong. And that kind of

1:02:01.040 --> 1:02:05.280
<v Speaker 2>that helps sort of fuel this anti expertise backlash in

1:02:05.360 --> 1:02:08.560
<v Speaker 2>American popular culture, right, and it is you have to

1:02:08.560 --> 1:02:11.120
<v Speaker 2>say that this is a big part of conservatism today.

1:02:11.640 --> 1:02:14.760
<v Speaker 2>It's not wrong for there to be that backlash, right,

1:02:15.160 --> 1:02:18.360
<v Speaker 2>You should be really skeptical about people who claim to

1:02:18.680 --> 1:02:19.800
<v Speaker 2>expertise in this shit.

1:02:20.080 --> 1:02:23.800
<v Speaker 3>Absolutely, yes, yeah, but yeah, it's yeah, all about the

1:02:23.880 --> 1:02:26.360
<v Speaker 3>nuance where it's like, yeah, being able to think critically

1:02:26.400 --> 1:02:30.280
<v Speaker 3>about these things is a good idea. Yeah, it's just

1:02:30.280 --> 1:02:33.000
<v Speaker 3>that that's not often what people do.

1:02:33.400 --> 1:02:35.840
<v Speaker 2>Yeah. Unfortunately, the response for some people is like, well,

1:02:35.880 --> 1:02:37.680
<v Speaker 2>since all the experts are crooks, I'm just going to

1:02:37.960 --> 1:02:41.040
<v Speaker 2>vote for the angriest man I've ever seen. You know, Well,

1:02:41.080 --> 1:02:45.400
<v Speaker 2>that's not really a good idea either. The other equally

1:02:45.440 --> 1:02:48.080
<v Speaker 2>important takeaway, though, and this is kind of it might

1:02:48.120 --> 1:02:50.280
<v Speaker 2>seem like it's separate, but a lot of people recognize

1:02:50.280 --> 1:02:53.439
<v Speaker 2>both these things is that think tanks have power. Right.

1:02:53.920 --> 1:02:57.720
<v Speaker 2>A bunch of eggheads writing policy papers helped provide support

1:02:57.840 --> 1:03:01.960
<v Speaker 2>for an insane escalation v Vietnam, and that means there's

1:03:02.000 --> 1:03:05.800
<v Speaker 2>a lot of power in having eggheads write policy papers, right,

1:03:06.080 --> 1:03:09.280
<v Speaker 2>and if you pay for those policy papers, maybe you

1:03:09.360 --> 1:03:13.120
<v Speaker 2>can get eggheads to support any insane policy you want

1:03:13.120 --> 1:03:17.040
<v Speaker 2>to push an American society, right, And this is deeply

1:03:17.080 --> 1:03:21.040
<v Speaker 2>attractive to the oligarchs who had fought like hyenas against

1:03:21.080 --> 1:03:24.120
<v Speaker 2>the New Deal. These people had been infuriated by the

1:03:24.120 --> 1:03:28.040
<v Speaker 2>Great Society as well. That's lbj's right. Alongside escalation of Vietnam,

1:03:28.160 --> 1:03:32.000
<v Speaker 2>LBJ is pushing some of the most like substantial social

1:03:32.000 --> 1:03:35.480
<v Speaker 2>welfare programs in the history of our country. And these

1:03:35.520 --> 1:03:37.640
<v Speaker 2>people who had kind of who had fought against the

1:03:37.680 --> 1:03:40.040
<v Speaker 2>New Deal but had given up, were like feeling kind

1:03:40.080 --> 1:03:42.760
<v Speaker 2>of hopeless at like we can't stop the anti war

1:03:42.840 --> 1:03:45.440
<v Speaker 2>movement from rising. That's continuing to frustrate them in like

1:03:45.480 --> 1:03:49.360
<v Speaker 2>the mid sixties, and also we couldn't stop this raft

1:03:49.480 --> 1:03:52.760
<v Speaker 2>of social reforms from going through. But what they sort

1:03:52.800 --> 1:03:57.320
<v Speaker 2>of start to realize is that because the liberal establishment

1:03:57.400 --> 1:04:00.360
<v Speaker 2>has gotten so in bed in Vietnam and with this

1:04:00.480 --> 1:04:04.320
<v Speaker 2>kind of like cadre of experts who backed their stupid

1:04:04.400 --> 1:04:07.800
<v Speaker 2>ideas for what to do, there there was an opportunity, right,

1:04:07.880 --> 1:04:11.840
<v Speaker 2>an opportunity to actually reverse this kind of feeling that

1:04:11.880 --> 1:04:15.200
<v Speaker 2>conservatism is always on the back foot and start taking

1:04:15.240 --> 1:04:18.959
<v Speaker 2>strides forward to become the dominant ideology in the country. Right,

1:04:20.000 --> 1:04:21.840
<v Speaker 2>this is like the thing that's starting to happen in

1:04:21.880 --> 1:04:24.640
<v Speaker 2>the mid sixties. You could be forgiven if you had

1:04:24.680 --> 1:04:29.800
<v Speaker 2>thought that like the ideological battle between conservatism and like

1:04:30.000 --> 1:04:32.520
<v Speaker 2>liberalism was still had still been won by liberals in

1:04:32.560 --> 1:04:34.400
<v Speaker 2>the sixties, it would have looked that way, because nineteen

1:04:34.440 --> 1:04:37.080
<v Speaker 2>sixty four is when we get the candidacy of Barry Goldwater,

1:04:37.720 --> 1:04:41.080
<v Speaker 2>and Goldwater is he's like the craziest person anybody has

1:04:41.080 --> 1:04:44.720
<v Speaker 2>ever seen in nineteen sixty four in politics I talk

1:04:44.760 --> 1:04:47.120
<v Speaker 2>about people will always point out on the subreddit, well,

1:04:47.160 --> 1:04:49.880
<v Speaker 2>actually he was like pretty pretty moderate on a lot

1:04:49.880 --> 1:04:51.280
<v Speaker 2>of things. By the end of his life. He was

1:04:51.280 --> 1:04:54.040
<v Speaker 2>like pro gay marriage and pro weed and stuff, and

1:04:54.120 --> 1:04:56.520
<v Speaker 2>like all of that's true. But in nineteen sixty four

1:04:56.600 --> 1:04:58.360
<v Speaker 2>he is the guy who is He's coming up on

1:04:58.480 --> 1:05:01.760
<v Speaker 2>stage and he's saying, like, extreamism and defensive liberty is

1:05:01.840 --> 1:05:04.880
<v Speaker 2>no vice. Let's lab a nuclear bomb into the men's

1:05:04.960 --> 1:05:07.960
<v Speaker 2>room at the Kremlin. Lazy dole. Happy people want to

1:05:07.960 --> 1:05:10.800
<v Speaker 2>feed on the fruits of somebody else's labor right. He

1:05:10.880 --> 1:05:13.840
<v Speaker 2>comes up when he gives his speech at the RNC

1:05:14.160 --> 1:05:17.800
<v Speaker 2>in sixty four. He talks about how like the Democratic

1:05:17.880 --> 1:05:20.720
<v Speaker 2>Party and the network news programs are into the direction

1:05:20.800 --> 1:05:25.320
<v Speaker 2>of Marxist ballet dancers, that like their god is Mammon, right,

1:05:25.480 --> 1:05:28.120
<v Speaker 2>like who is money? Like money is the god of

1:05:28.160 --> 1:05:32.560
<v Speaker 2>the liberal establishment. He is kind of a maniac, right, Yeah,

1:05:32.600 --> 1:05:36.480
<v Speaker 2>he's very reasonable compared to like modern Republicans. But this

1:05:36.520 --> 1:05:39.760
<v Speaker 2>is how people think about him at the time, and

1:05:39.880 --> 1:05:43.040
<v Speaker 2>Goldwater like, this is a very scary moment for anyone

1:05:43.080 --> 1:05:46.400
<v Speaker 2>paying attention because what they'll notice, people who are at

1:05:46.440 --> 1:05:48.200
<v Speaker 2>the Cow Palace, which is like the place in San

1:05:48.240 --> 1:05:50.680
<v Speaker 2>Francisco where the RNC is happening, then will note that

1:05:50.760 --> 1:05:56.320
<v Speaker 2>like his followers are, they're proto trumpists, right, They are

1:05:56.480 --> 1:05:58.800
<v Speaker 2>into him and excited about him in a way that

1:05:59.120 --> 1:06:02.680
<v Speaker 2>nobody was for p Residence, right, Like it was like

1:06:02.760 --> 1:06:06.600
<v Speaker 2>this weird hitlarian kind of cult of personality that he had,

1:06:06.640 --> 1:06:10.040
<v Speaker 2>and it was small, but the extremism with which he

1:06:10.200 --> 1:06:12.520
<v Speaker 2>was embraced by these kind of what will become known

1:06:12.520 --> 1:06:15.320
<v Speaker 2>as the new Right was really concerning to a lot

1:06:15.320 --> 1:06:18.360
<v Speaker 2>of people for good reason. And it might have looked

1:06:18.360 --> 1:06:22.320
<v Speaker 2>because Goldwater loses badly. LBJ gets sixty one percent of

1:06:22.360 --> 1:06:25.280
<v Speaker 2>the popular vote. So you can see how you some

1:06:25.360 --> 1:06:28.440
<v Speaker 2>conservatives were like, well, this means we're fucked forever, right,

1:06:28.480 --> 1:06:31.760
<v Speaker 2>this guy Goldwater has set us back generations. You know,

1:06:32.040 --> 1:06:35.280
<v Speaker 2>we we went too hard, too fast, and we lost badly,

1:06:35.360 --> 1:06:37.840
<v Speaker 2>and like we we have to go to the middle. Right.

1:06:38.040 --> 1:06:40.280
<v Speaker 2>That's certainly what like if this were reversed, if you

1:06:40.360 --> 1:06:45.720
<v Speaker 2>had an actual like hardcore leftist presidential candidate get defeated

1:06:45.760 --> 1:06:48.600
<v Speaker 2>that badly, the Democratic Party's lesson would be we can

1:06:48.680 --> 1:06:51.000
<v Speaker 2>never ever do anything again, right, Like.

1:06:51.560 --> 1:06:54.400
<v Speaker 3>It's back to the future. I guess you guys aren't

1:06:54.400 --> 1:06:55.160
<v Speaker 3>ready for that yet.

1:06:55.240 --> 1:06:59.360
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I guess that is what happens here. Yeah, exactly.

1:06:59.520 --> 1:07:02.280
<v Speaker 3>I mean this this plays into like I've talked to

1:07:02.440 --> 1:07:05.800
<v Speaker 3>like punks who were sentient in the eighties when Reagan

1:07:05.880 --> 1:07:08.480
<v Speaker 3>was elected, and they talk about this idea of like,

1:07:08.600 --> 1:07:11.040
<v Speaker 3>when Reagan got elected, I thought, oh, the world's gonna end,

1:07:11.520 --> 1:07:13.200
<v Speaker 3>and then it didn't. And this is kind of what

1:07:13.240 --> 1:07:16.480
<v Speaker 3>they did that movie Oppenheimer, that idea of like, yeah,

1:07:16.520 --> 1:07:18.800
<v Speaker 3>it kind of did. Like That's the thing we don't

1:07:18.800 --> 1:07:21.440
<v Speaker 3>realize is when we say, like, oh, Trump's gonna fucking

1:07:21.480 --> 1:07:24.960
<v Speaker 3>destroy the world or whatever. It's like, not immediately. It's

1:07:25.000 --> 1:07:27.720
<v Speaker 3>more about the fact that these people are going to

1:07:28.520 --> 1:07:31.520
<v Speaker 3>set us into this direction that's just going to keep

1:07:31.760 --> 1:07:37.680
<v Speaker 3>snowballing where we've now said, oh, it's okay for this person, yeah,

1:07:37.720 --> 1:07:41.040
<v Speaker 3>to have to even run, even just running for president.

1:07:41.240 --> 1:07:44.800
<v Speaker 3>We're basically saying like we're now entertaining this idea and

1:07:44.840 --> 1:07:47.560
<v Speaker 3>maybe it wasn't maybe people didn't go for it this time,

1:07:48.040 --> 1:07:50.640
<v Speaker 3>but okay, let's just slowly roll it out a little

1:07:50.640 --> 1:07:51.520
<v Speaker 3>slower next time.

1:07:51.600 --> 1:07:53.760
<v Speaker 2>You know, there's some people on the left who are

1:07:53.800 --> 1:07:56.600
<v Speaker 2>like actual, like like Lewis Lapham of Harper's when we're

1:07:56.680 --> 1:08:00.520
<v Speaker 2>to quote from seems to recognize what goldwater means. Yeah,

1:08:00.560 --> 1:08:02.000
<v Speaker 2>you know, you get a bit of that. Hunter S.

1:08:02.040 --> 1:08:03.840
<v Speaker 2>Thompson is kind of one of the people who sees

1:08:04.080 --> 1:08:07.600
<v Speaker 2>Goldwater and is like oh fuck, oh fuck, because he's

1:08:07.680 --> 1:08:10.680
<v Speaker 2>just got a pretty good understanding of like American culture

1:08:10.800 --> 1:08:13.040
<v Speaker 2>and like, Okay, this is going to keep being a thing.

1:08:13.080 --> 1:08:15.200
<v Speaker 2>It's only going to get bigger. A lot of the

1:08:15.200 --> 1:08:17.479
<v Speaker 2>people who had been Goldwater backers, a lot of these

1:08:17.600 --> 1:08:20.479
<v Speaker 2>these guys were talking about this cadra of like super

1:08:20.479 --> 1:08:24.559
<v Speaker 2>conservative multi millionaires most of them who had inherited their money.

1:08:25.120 --> 1:08:28.639
<v Speaker 2>They are like they kind of have this brief flash

1:08:28.640 --> 1:08:31.200
<v Speaker 2>of hope, a lot of them for Goldwater, but there's

1:08:31.240 --> 1:08:35.960
<v Speaker 2>also like this deep crashing, like frustration when he fails

1:08:36.040 --> 1:08:38.280
<v Speaker 2>in this sense that like, well, we've lost forever. We

1:08:38.520 --> 1:08:40.840
<v Speaker 2>just can't We're not gonna be able to stop communism

1:08:40.880 --> 1:08:43.479
<v Speaker 2>for taking over the country. And in his article for

1:08:43.600 --> 1:08:46.599
<v Speaker 2>Harper's Lewis Lapham describes a meeting of these guys at

1:08:46.640 --> 1:08:50.519
<v Speaker 2>Bohemian Grove in nineteen sixty eight, which sets the mood

1:08:50.600 --> 1:08:53.479
<v Speaker 2>of this particular cast well. In the hearts of the

1:08:53.520 --> 1:08:56.640
<v Speaker 2>corporate chieftains wandering around the redwood trees and the Bohemian

1:08:56.680 --> 1:08:59.439
<v Speaker 2>Grove in July nineteen sixty eight, the fear was palpable

1:08:59.479 --> 1:09:02.439
<v Speaker 2>and genuine. The croquet lawns seemed to be sliding away

1:09:02.439 --> 1:09:04.519
<v Speaker 2>beneath their feet, and although they knew they were in trouble,

1:09:04.560 --> 1:09:07.760
<v Speaker 2>they didn't know why. Ideas apparently mattered, and words were

1:09:07.760 --> 1:09:10.920
<v Speaker 2>maybe more important than they had guessed. Unfortunately they didn't

1:09:10.920 --> 1:09:13.880
<v Speaker 2>have any. The American property holding classes tended to be

1:09:13.920 --> 1:09:17.040
<v Speaker 2>embarrassingly ill at ease with concepts that don't translate promptly

1:09:17.080 --> 1:09:19.960
<v Speaker 2>into money, and the beacons of conservative light shining through

1:09:20.000 --> 1:09:22.640
<v Speaker 2>the liberal fog of the late nineteen sixties didn't come

1:09:22.680 --> 1:09:25.519
<v Speaker 2>up to the number of clubs in Arnold Palmer's golf bag.

1:09:25.960 --> 1:09:28.559
<v Speaker 2>The Company of the Commercial Faithful, gathered on the banks

1:09:28.560 --> 1:09:31.760
<v Speaker 2>of California's Russian River could look for Sucker to Goldwater's

1:09:31.800 --> 1:09:35.400
<v Speaker 2>autobiography The Conscience of a Conservative, to William F. Buckley's

1:09:35.479 --> 1:09:38.840
<v Speaker 2>editorials in National Review, to the novels of Iron Rand.

1:09:39.240 --> 1:09:41.400
<v Speaker 2>But that was kind of all they had, right, was

1:09:41.720 --> 1:09:46.599
<v Speaker 2>this kind of like utopian conservative fiction, because it seemed

1:09:46.680 --> 1:09:50.720
<v Speaker 2>like the situation was so bleak, but salvation was not

1:09:50.920 --> 1:09:56.160
<v Speaker 2>far away. Nixon is going to win, right, Sure, yeah,

1:09:56.520 --> 1:09:59.680
<v Speaker 2>he's going to become the president, and that's going to

1:09:59.720 --> 1:10:02.960
<v Speaker 2>be like kind of a fucking disaster. But they couldn't

1:10:02.960 --> 1:10:06.160
<v Speaker 2>really see that coming. It didn't seem likely until a

1:10:06.200 --> 1:10:08.639
<v Speaker 2>bunch of other shit falls into place later that year.

1:10:09.000 --> 1:10:12.280
<v Speaker 2>So it's a desperate time for these guys, obviously, though

1:10:12.360 --> 1:10:15.200
<v Speaker 2>shit starts to go their way pretty soon after this moment.

1:10:15.439 --> 1:10:18.280
<v Speaker 2>In nineteen seventy one, a Richmond corporate lawyer named Lewis

1:10:18.320 --> 1:10:22.280
<v Speaker 2>Powell wrote a confidential memorandum. He had been an intelligence

1:10:22.280 --> 1:10:24.679
<v Speaker 2>guy in World War two. His whole thing. In World

1:10:24.680 --> 1:10:27.200
<v Speaker 2>War Two, Lewis Powell had been like he'd written loughingly

1:10:27.240 --> 1:10:29.360
<v Speaker 2>about the bombing of Dresden, like this is we did

1:10:29.400 --> 1:10:31.720
<v Speaker 2>a great job with Dresden. This is really like the

1:10:31.720 --> 1:10:35.200
<v Speaker 2>finest hour of our air power, you know, really murdering

1:10:35.240 --> 1:10:38.280
<v Speaker 2>all of these civilians and not getting the Germans to surrender.

1:10:38.720 --> 1:10:41.439
<v Speaker 2>After the war, he'd chaired the Richmond School Board where

1:10:41.439 --> 1:10:44.000
<v Speaker 2>he Richmond, Virginia, where he had fought like hell against

1:10:44.080 --> 1:10:47.519
<v Speaker 2>the attempts to desegregate public schools. And then once he

1:10:47.560 --> 1:10:50.479
<v Speaker 2>failed at stopping schools from desegregating, he took a job

1:10:50.560 --> 1:10:53.639
<v Speaker 2>representing the Tobacco Institute during the height of its evil.

1:10:53.680 --> 1:10:55.519
<v Speaker 2>So this is like a guy, this is a man

1:10:55.560 --> 1:10:57.679
<v Speaker 2>whose business is being the devil, right.

1:10:58.560 --> 1:10:59.760
<v Speaker 3>That's what do you do. And he's like, you know,

1:10:59.840 --> 1:11:01.160
<v Speaker 3>like evil stuff, I mean.

1:11:01.600 --> 1:11:06.519
<v Speaker 2>General evil, Yeah, yeah, sundry evil. So this is like

1:11:06.840 --> 1:11:11.960
<v Speaker 2>a pretty pretty impressive bastard memorandum. And so after Nixon

1:11:12.160 --> 1:11:14.280
<v Speaker 2>gets into office, you know, a couple of years in

1:11:15.200 --> 1:11:18.760
<v Speaker 2>conservatives are like happy about some things, but there's also like,

1:11:18.840 --> 1:11:22.280
<v Speaker 2>especially the hard right, the Goldwater right, doesn't really trust

1:11:22.400 --> 1:11:24.840
<v Speaker 2>Nixon because even though he made his bones as an

1:11:24.840 --> 1:11:27.840
<v Speaker 2>anti communist, he's like going to be friends with Mao,

1:11:28.000 --> 1:11:31.240
<v Speaker 2>you know, he establishes the EPA. So there's still this

1:11:31.320 --> 1:11:34.280
<v Speaker 2>feeling that like, even though this guy's a Republican, we're

1:11:34.320 --> 1:11:37.439
<v Speaker 2>still losing the ideological war. If a Republican is doing

1:11:37.439 --> 1:11:40.680
<v Speaker 2>all this stuff, right, we need to get a real dick.

1:11:40.800 --> 1:11:43.120
<v Speaker 2>Nixon is too sane and even handed. We need a

1:11:43.160 --> 1:11:44.400
<v Speaker 2>real maniac in there.

1:11:44.479 --> 1:11:44.880
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, you know.

1:11:46.360 --> 1:11:49.240
<v Speaker 2>And so Lewis Powell in nineteen seventy one writes what

1:11:49.280 --> 1:11:56.439
<v Speaker 2>becomes known as the Powell Memorandum. So this is to

1:11:56.520 --> 1:11:59.920
<v Speaker 2>kind of provide some additional context. Powell is this He's

1:12:00.000 --> 1:12:02.960
<v Speaker 2>it's a very prominent lawyer. He gets asked by Nixon

1:12:03.000 --> 1:12:05.240
<v Speaker 2>in sixty nine to join the Supreme Court, and he's like,

1:12:05.320 --> 1:12:07.320
<v Speaker 2>I don't really want to be in the Supreme Court, right,

1:12:07.920 --> 1:12:10.479
<v Speaker 2>And so a couple of years later Nixon asks again,

1:12:10.720 --> 1:12:13.559
<v Speaker 2>and in seventy one pala is like, yeah, I'll join

1:12:13.600 --> 1:12:16.880
<v Speaker 2>the Supreme Court. And in kind of the period before

1:12:16.920 --> 1:12:19.880
<v Speaker 2>he actually takes that job, one of his friends, who's

1:12:19.920 --> 1:12:22.559
<v Speaker 2>the education director of the Chamber of Commerce, is like, Hey,

1:12:22.560 --> 1:12:25.559
<v Speaker 2>before you become a Supreme Court justice, I need you

1:12:25.600 --> 1:12:28.439
<v Speaker 2>to like write a memorandum on how we can win

1:12:28.479 --> 1:12:31.400
<v Speaker 2>the culture war in the United States. And so Powell

1:12:31.439 --> 1:12:34.879
<v Speaker 2>writes this thing titled attack on the American Free Enterprise

1:12:34.920 --> 1:12:37.960
<v Speaker 2>System that gets distributed to the Chamber of Commerce is

1:12:38.040 --> 1:12:41.080
<v Speaker 2>like the body and the government that interfaces with all

1:12:41.120 --> 1:12:43.880
<v Speaker 2>of the corporations, Right, that's the basic idea of what

1:12:43.920 --> 1:12:46.400
<v Speaker 2>the Chamber of Commerce is. So he writes this memo

1:12:46.560 --> 1:12:48.719
<v Speaker 2>and it goes out to all of the people running

1:12:48.840 --> 1:12:51.280
<v Speaker 2>the biggest companies in the United States. This memo from

1:12:51.280 --> 1:12:53.519
<v Speaker 2>this guy who's going to become a Supreme Court justice,

1:12:53.560 --> 1:12:55.759
<v Speaker 2>and he is not going to disclose that he's written

1:12:55.800 --> 1:12:58.599
<v Speaker 2>this mimo when he's being confirmed to Supreme Court justice

1:12:58.760 --> 1:13:01.040
<v Speaker 2>because of as I just describe the memo, it will

1:13:01.040 --> 1:13:03.080
<v Speaker 2>become obvious why he didn't want to talk about this.

1:13:03.280 --> 1:13:06.120
<v Speaker 3>Wait, so nobody knows he wrote it or he.

1:13:06.080 --> 1:13:08.720
<v Speaker 2>Just the rich people know. He'd forget it.

1:13:08.800 --> 1:13:12.840
<v Speaker 3>That's a public doesn't Jerry maguire all the rich people?

1:13:12.920 --> 1:13:16.040
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, yeah, yeah. So the memo starts with him talking

1:13:16.040 --> 1:13:18.920
<v Speaker 2>about like Ralph Nader, you know, as this like boogey man.

1:13:18.960 --> 1:13:21.320
<v Speaker 2>He's like, we have a bunch of demons stalking the

1:13:21.360 --> 1:13:23.840
<v Speaker 2>property in classes in America, and chief among them is

1:13:23.960 --> 1:13:27.920
<v Speaker 2>Ralph Nader because in sixty five, Nator had published this

1:13:27.960 --> 1:13:31.360
<v Speaker 2>book called Unsafe at Any Speed, which forced the automotive

1:13:31.360 --> 1:13:33.920
<v Speaker 2>industry to include seat belts and shit. Right, Like, he

1:13:33.960 --> 1:13:37.000
<v Speaker 2>writes this book, everyone is dying in their cars. There

1:13:37.040 --> 1:13:39.960
<v Speaker 2>are no safety features, and everyone has one. We should

1:13:40.000 --> 1:13:43.360
<v Speaker 2>probably make it mandatory that there be safety features in cars.

1:13:43.640 --> 1:13:45.679
<v Speaker 3>This seems to be what he was known for, yes

1:13:45.920 --> 1:13:48.200
<v Speaker 3>before he ran for presidente.

1:13:49.960 --> 1:13:52.200
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, and it was a great thing to do. And

1:13:52.240 --> 1:13:54.680
<v Speaker 2>it's this is part of this whole like sense of

1:13:54.720 --> 1:13:58.519
<v Speaker 2>doom they have that there's no stopping progressivism because this

1:13:58.680 --> 1:14:02.200
<v Speaker 2>book comes out in immediately, like there's not like this

1:14:02.360 --> 1:14:05.080
<v Speaker 2>massive counter punch to it where people are like, we

1:14:05.120 --> 1:14:07.920
<v Speaker 2>need to cancel Natter for being too woke. Everyone's like, oh, yeah,

1:14:07.920 --> 1:14:10.479
<v Speaker 2>we should have seat belts. That seems like a good idea,

1:14:10.920 --> 1:14:13.640
<v Speaker 2>and automotive companies are like, but this is going to

1:14:13.720 --> 1:14:16.559
<v Speaker 2>cost us a lot of money, right, And powell Is

1:14:16.840 --> 1:14:20.200
<v Speaker 2>describes himself as terrified about the reaction to Nator's work

1:14:20.280 --> 1:14:22.720
<v Speaker 2>because he sees it as like evidence that socialism is

1:14:22.760 --> 1:14:26.439
<v Speaker 2>inevitably taking over the country. Right. The first thing's corporate

1:14:26.560 --> 1:14:30.800
<v Speaker 2>power is a pillar holding up American greatness, and they're

1:14:30.800 --> 1:14:33.200
<v Speaker 2>eroding it. You know, that's how he describes it.

1:14:33.560 --> 1:14:38.360
<v Speaker 3>It's wild this attitude we have about corporations that we

1:14:38.479 --> 1:14:41.960
<v Speaker 3>see them as like a deity, because this idea of saying,

1:14:42.360 --> 1:14:44.800
<v Speaker 3>you've made something that's unsafe, we need you to make

1:14:44.840 --> 1:14:47.760
<v Speaker 3>it more safe, and then corporations go, but that's going

1:14:47.840 --> 1:14:50.240
<v Speaker 3>to cost us a lot of money. The proper reply

1:14:50.400 --> 1:14:52.520
<v Speaker 3>to that is okay.

1:14:52.840 --> 1:14:55.360
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, like Vine would still have to.

1:14:55.560 --> 1:14:59.280
<v Speaker 3>Do it, Like we're still gonna make you do it.

1:14:59.360 --> 1:15:03.519
<v Speaker 3>You know, you don't really have a choice. You're making

1:15:03.520 --> 1:15:06.000
<v Speaker 3>a product that's going out into the public. It needs

1:15:06.040 --> 1:15:08.559
<v Speaker 3>to be it has to meet these standards that we've

1:15:08.560 --> 1:15:11.720
<v Speaker 3>deemed safe. That's it, end of discussion. And so it's

1:15:11.720 --> 1:15:14.800
<v Speaker 3>wild that there's an entire political party who's like, no,

1:15:14.840 --> 1:15:16.960
<v Speaker 3>we can't do that to corporations.

1:15:17.360 --> 1:15:20.160
<v Speaker 2>Well, and that's a And these guys up to this point,

1:15:20.240 --> 1:15:22.519
<v Speaker 2>they still they had felt that way the whole time.

1:15:22.640 --> 1:15:24.519
<v Speaker 2>Is the New Deal and Great Society and all this

1:15:24.560 --> 1:15:26.960
<v Speaker 2>shit is going on, they had felt like, we shouldn't

1:15:27.000 --> 1:15:29.599
<v Speaker 2>let them do this to us in our sweet, sweet money.

1:15:29.960 --> 1:15:33.519
<v Speaker 2>But they didn't have a concerted way to counterattack, right.

1:15:33.560 --> 1:15:36.200
<v Speaker 2>And what Powell says in this memo is like, we

1:15:36.479 --> 1:15:40.720
<v Speaker 2>the corporate class in America, the people with money who

1:15:40.840 --> 1:15:44.720
<v Speaker 2>run our businesses, need to be attacking people like nat

1:15:44.920 --> 1:15:47.599
<v Speaker 2>We need to build a mechanism to go to war

1:15:47.920 --> 1:15:52.519
<v Speaker 2>with Ralph Nader, right, otherwise they're going to inevitably bring

1:15:52.560 --> 1:15:55.720
<v Speaker 2>this country to communism, right right. Another guy that he

1:15:55.840 --> 1:15:59.320
<v Speaker 2>rails against is William Kunzler, who's a civil rights lawyer.

1:15:59.360 --> 1:16:01.320
<v Speaker 2>He had a hand in everything from the Freedom Writers

1:16:01.320 --> 1:16:05.400
<v Speaker 2>to Wounded Knee, very influential guy. And guys like Kunsler

1:16:05.520 --> 1:16:09.080
<v Speaker 2>and Nator are the enemy, right, They're these sinister forces

1:16:09.120 --> 1:16:11.040
<v Speaker 2>aligned to create a world in which people have access

1:16:11.080 --> 1:16:14.479
<v Speaker 2>to food and medicine against such foul enemies. The only

1:16:14.600 --> 1:16:18.120
<v Speaker 2>response Powell wrote was the ideological equivalent to war. And

1:16:18.160 --> 1:16:20.640
<v Speaker 2>I'm going to read a summary of his memorandum from

1:16:20.680 --> 1:16:23.559
<v Speaker 2>a speech in the Senate by Sheldon Whitehouse of Rhode Island.

1:16:24.160 --> 1:16:27.160
<v Speaker 2>The language in the Powell report is the language of battle, attack,

1:16:27.280 --> 1:16:31.800
<v Speaker 2>frontal assault, rifle shots, warfare. The recommendations are to endcompromise

1:16:31.840 --> 1:16:35.439
<v Speaker 2>and appeasement. His words compromise and appeasement to understand that,

1:16:35.560 --> 1:16:38.040
<v Speaker 2>as he said, the ultimate issue may be survival, and

1:16:38.080 --> 1:16:40.640
<v Speaker 2>he underline the word survival in his report and to

1:16:40.720 --> 1:16:44.160
<v Speaker 2>call for the wisdom, ingenuity, and resources of American business

1:16:44.200 --> 1:16:46.760
<v Speaker 2>to be marshaled against those who would destroy it.

1:16:47.680 --> 1:16:51.559
<v Speaker 3>Man, there's something about when we talk about all these

1:16:51.560 --> 1:16:54.680
<v Speaker 3>think takes and experts and stuff, I really think for

1:16:55.080 --> 1:17:00.400
<v Speaker 3>the average person, the best metric really is like who's

1:17:00.400 --> 1:17:03.719
<v Speaker 3>always wrong or who's always right? What is actually the result?

1:17:04.000 --> 1:17:04.200
<v Speaker 2>You know?

1:17:04.360 --> 1:17:06.400
<v Speaker 3>Like this thing take with the Vietnam stuff, It's like,

1:17:06.439 --> 1:17:09.760
<v Speaker 3>how did that work out? Does someone consistently and so

1:17:09.840 --> 1:17:13.160
<v Speaker 3>with this stuff, it's just like we did we slide

1:17:13.160 --> 1:17:17.280
<v Speaker 3>into communism to have seatbelts? Did this cause? Like? What

1:17:17.760 --> 1:17:20.439
<v Speaker 3>is actually going on right now? Do you think do

1:17:20.479 --> 1:17:26.000
<v Speaker 3>you think you know, deregulating everything and making corporations get

1:17:26.040 --> 1:17:28.200
<v Speaker 3>to do whatever they want? Has that made things better?

1:17:28.439 --> 1:17:31.880
<v Speaker 3>Are products better? Do things cost? Perhaps a lot?

1:17:32.200 --> 1:17:32.360
<v Speaker 2>Is it?

1:17:33.200 --> 1:17:36.080
<v Speaker 3>You know? Like look at today and be like what

1:17:36.200 --> 1:17:39.200
<v Speaker 3>is the problems today? What do you think caused that?

1:17:39.600 --> 1:17:42.560
<v Speaker 3>And then perhaps should we listen to the people or

1:17:42.600 --> 1:17:47.000
<v Speaker 3>the institutions that caused that problem and continue to cause problems?

1:17:47.720 --> 1:17:50.559
<v Speaker 3>It's just so obvious, that's all. Yes, it's very silly.

1:17:50.760 --> 1:17:54.000
<v Speaker 2>It ought to be but you know the thing is,

1:17:53.640 --> 1:17:56.479
<v Speaker 2>it's silly to like pretend that this is good for

1:17:56.520 --> 1:17:59.240
<v Speaker 2>anyone but the people with money. But power isn't doing that.

1:17:59.280 --> 1:18:03.000
<v Speaker 2>Power is saying, hey, people with money, you are a

1:18:03.160 --> 1:18:06.680
<v Speaker 2>threatened class in America and we have to organize to

1:18:06.760 --> 1:18:10.120
<v Speaker 2>destroy the majority of the country who wants your money

1:18:10.120 --> 1:18:11.720
<v Speaker 2>to buy medicine, which we.

1:18:11.680 --> 1:18:15.880
<v Speaker 3>Still we see this today, right that the billionaires is

1:18:15.920 --> 1:18:16.600
<v Speaker 3>a slur.

1:18:16.479 --> 1:18:19.320
<v Speaker 2>Or something like that, exactly exactly.

1:18:19.200 --> 1:18:21.519
<v Speaker 3>Or it's just weird that there is. It's not just

1:18:21.560 --> 1:18:23.760
<v Speaker 3>a class, but it's like a weird culture right where

1:18:23.800 --> 1:18:27.479
<v Speaker 3>we're rooting for corporations, we're rooting for rich people, where

1:18:27.520 --> 1:18:30.880
<v Speaker 3>like Elon Musk is a figurehead, or like people go

1:18:31.000 --> 1:18:34.839
<v Speaker 3>like Yo Disney versus Sony, and it's like, fuck all.

1:18:34.680 --> 1:18:39.519
<v Speaker 2>Of that you're talking about, Dave, is the result, like

1:18:39.560 --> 1:18:41.719
<v Speaker 2>that state of affairs is the result of the Powell

1:18:41.720 --> 1:18:45.439
<v Speaker 2>memorandums success because he is laying out a battle plan

1:18:45.840 --> 1:18:48.200
<v Speaker 2>for these guys, for these rich fail suns and the

1:18:48.240 --> 1:18:51.880
<v Speaker 2>companies that they run. And Palell's vision here is nothing

1:18:51.960 --> 1:18:54.360
<v Speaker 2>less than a plot to take over the US government

1:18:54.360 --> 1:18:57.640
<v Speaker 2>from the inside, to damage its institutions so severely that

1:18:57.720 --> 1:18:59.400
<v Speaker 2>no one would ever be able to take them back.

1:19:00.000 --> 1:19:03.320
<v Speaker 2>He directed this letter at the oligarchs in American society,

1:19:03.320 --> 1:19:05.400
<v Speaker 2>people who are frightened of any limit to their wealth

1:19:05.400 --> 1:19:08.720
<v Speaker 2>and power. He wrote to them, strength lies in organization

1:19:09.120 --> 1:19:12.840
<v Speaker 2>and careful long range planning and implementation, and consistency of

1:19:12.880 --> 1:19:15.799
<v Speaker 2>action over an indefinite period of years, and the scale

1:19:15.800 --> 1:19:18.720
<v Speaker 2>of financing available only through joint effort, and in the

1:19:18.760 --> 1:19:24.000
<v Speaker 2>political power available only through united action and national organizations. Right.

1:19:24.680 --> 1:19:27.760
<v Speaker 2>And his attitude is it's the job of men like him,

1:19:27.800 --> 1:19:30.439
<v Speaker 2>like me as as the thinker here, My job is

1:19:30.439 --> 1:19:32.719
<v Speaker 2>to be like the Rand Corporation in Vietnam, to plot

1:19:32.760 --> 1:19:36.719
<v Speaker 2>out a path to victory. Right, it's the job of you, guys,

1:19:36.760 --> 1:19:39.200
<v Speaker 2>the people with money. All you need to do is

1:19:39.320 --> 1:19:42.040
<v Speaker 2>put money in my pocket and the pocket of other

1:19:42.120 --> 1:19:46.320
<v Speaker 2>people like us. Right, and we will finance. Like if

1:19:46.360 --> 1:19:49.200
<v Speaker 2>you finance think tanks and like pay for intellectuals for

1:19:49.280 --> 1:19:52.360
<v Speaker 2>lawyers like us, we will put out public policy and

1:19:52.400 --> 1:19:55.000
<v Speaker 2>will get judges in place. And what of Powell's big

1:19:55.040 --> 1:19:56.960
<v Speaker 2>insights is like, because again he's about to become a

1:19:56.960 --> 1:20:00.560
<v Speaker 2>Supreme Court justice, his attitude is like, conservative need to

1:20:00.600 --> 1:20:03.840
<v Speaker 2>take over the courts. Right, that's the best way to

1:20:03.880 --> 1:20:07.920
<v Speaker 2>shift policy because these are lifetime appointments. The more conservatives

1:20:07.920 --> 1:20:10.280
<v Speaker 2>we get in the courts, we can actually take the

1:20:10.320 --> 1:20:11.920
<v Speaker 2>reins of culture and steer them.

1:20:12.000 --> 1:20:13.240
<v Speaker 3>Right, it's not wrong.

1:20:13.560 --> 1:20:16.240
<v Speaker 2>He is not at all wrong. He's very smart.

1:20:16.479 --> 1:20:18.919
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, it's almost as if we designed it badly.

1:20:19.280 --> 1:20:21.320
<v Speaker 2>Yes, yes, it is where it's weird that.

1:20:21.280 --> 1:20:23.519
<v Speaker 3>We were like, Okay, we'll have this branch to government,

1:20:23.560 --> 1:20:25.160
<v Speaker 3>this branch and they get you know, it's like every

1:20:25.200 --> 1:20:28.400
<v Speaker 3>few years, and then we'll have these like lifetime kings.

1:20:28.439 --> 1:20:30.840
<v Speaker 2>We should have some god kings. Probably some godkings. Yeah,

1:20:30.880 --> 1:20:32.800
<v Speaker 2>definitely want a couple of god kings in there.

1:20:32.960 --> 1:20:34.240
<v Speaker 3>Would we do that?

1:20:34.240 --> 1:20:38.599
<v Speaker 2>That's so I don't think we need godkings. Pal's attitude

1:20:38.600 --> 1:20:41.080
<v Speaker 2>is that every American business should donate ten percent of

1:20:41.120 --> 1:20:45.799
<v Speaker 2>their advertising budget towards propaganda, towards think tanks, towards funding

1:20:45.840 --> 1:20:49.720
<v Speaker 2>this stuff. Right, Like every corporation, Exxon and whatnot, they

1:20:49.720 --> 1:20:53.160
<v Speaker 2>should all be putting money into think tanks and consider

1:20:53.240 --> 1:20:57.040
<v Speaker 2>that advertising right to lobby the government and publish papers

1:20:57.040 --> 1:21:00.519
<v Speaker 2>that push their agenda right, right, which is you know

1:21:01.280 --> 1:21:04.920
<v Speaker 2>what happened. A big central part of his obsession is textbooks.

1:21:05.080 --> 1:21:07.360
<v Speaker 2>One thing he wanted is he wanted oligarchs to pay

1:21:07.439 --> 1:21:10.679
<v Speaker 2>right wing pundits to critique and attack textbooks for being

1:21:10.680 --> 1:21:14.280
<v Speaker 2>insufficiently pro capitalist. He wanted to pay for there to

1:21:14.320 --> 1:21:17.640
<v Speaker 2>be organizations to monitor TV networks. He believed that like

1:21:17.720 --> 1:21:20.080
<v Speaker 2>television should quote be monitored in the same way that

1:21:20.120 --> 1:21:23.439
<v Speaker 2>textbooks should be kept under constant surveillance. The goal of

1:21:23.479 --> 1:21:25.679
<v Speaker 2>all this was to make sure that corporate America got

1:21:25.680 --> 1:21:28.960
<v Speaker 2>equal time with like, you know, the interests of human beings.

1:21:29.680 --> 1:21:31.600
<v Speaker 2>He's basically saying, the next time a guy that like

1:21:31.680 --> 1:21:34.280
<v Speaker 2>Ralph Nader publishes a book about how cars are killing people,

1:21:34.680 --> 1:21:37.360
<v Speaker 2>we need to make sure every news agency gives equal

1:21:37.360 --> 1:21:39.559
<v Speaker 2>time to the car companies, saying, but we don't want

1:21:39.560 --> 1:21:42.880
<v Speaker 2>to put seat belts in cars, it'll make them too expensive.

1:21:43.600 --> 1:21:45.240
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, both sides.

1:21:45.920 --> 1:21:50.880
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, it's really good stuff here. And it's like, there's

1:21:50.920 --> 1:21:53.439
<v Speaker 2>a lot of very modern stuff here, right Like. Powell

1:21:53.439 --> 1:21:56.280
<v Speaker 2>writes that like business owners should use political influence and

1:21:56.360 --> 1:21:59.679
<v Speaker 2>money to stem quote the stampedes by politicians to support

1:21:59.720 --> 1:22:03.920
<v Speaker 2>any legislation related to consumerism or to the environment, and

1:22:03.960 --> 1:22:08.920
<v Speaker 2>he puts the environment in quotation marks political power is necessary,

1:22:08.960 --> 1:22:12.519
<v Speaker 2>it must be assiduously cultivated, and when necessary, must be

1:22:12.640 --> 1:22:16.400
<v Speaker 2>used aggressively and with determination. It is essential to be

1:22:16.479 --> 1:22:19.360
<v Speaker 2>far more aggressive than in the past, with no hesitation

1:22:19.439 --> 1:22:22.439
<v Speaker 2>to attack, not the slightest hesitation to press vigorously in

1:22:22.479 --> 1:22:26.840
<v Speaker 2>all political arenas, and no reluctance to penalize politically those

1:22:26.840 --> 1:22:33.559
<v Speaker 2>who oppose corporate efforts. So you know, not great, not great,

1:22:33.840 --> 1:22:34.919
<v Speaker 2>but it all happens.

1:22:35.080 --> 1:22:38.080
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, oh yeah, no, they get it. You're right. Yeah,

1:22:38.120 --> 1:22:43.440
<v Speaker 3>we're now in a situation where it's not even like abnormal.

1:22:43.520 --> 1:22:46.280
<v Speaker 3>We don't think of it as weird like it it's

1:22:46.520 --> 1:22:50.320
<v Speaker 3>it's it's weird that like these things have to be

1:22:50.360 --> 1:22:56.200
<v Speaker 3>debated or explained. They have divulged the conversation successful.

1:22:55.800 --> 1:23:01.200
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, you know where like they follow Powell's march, Yeah.

1:23:01.080 --> 1:23:03.880
<v Speaker 3>Right where we're we're getting people who are saying, like

1:23:05.200 --> 1:23:08.080
<v Speaker 3>you know, who are who are just publicly like this

1:23:08.120 --> 1:23:11.879
<v Speaker 3>is gonna hurt corporations and that's gonna hurt you the worker,

1:23:12.360 --> 1:23:17.040
<v Speaker 3>and people are just believing it. Uh, it's kind of wild,

1:23:17.280 --> 1:23:20.280
<v Speaker 3>Like it's wild that trickle down is a thing that's like,

1:23:20.360 --> 1:23:23.679
<v Speaker 3>oh yeah, it'll get to you. And why would anybody

1:23:23.760 --> 1:23:26.760
<v Speaker 3>vote for that, Why would anybody an average person go like,

1:23:26.840 --> 1:23:29.720
<v Speaker 3>you know, we should we should totally. Just let it

1:23:29.800 --> 1:23:31.679
<v Speaker 3>go to the rich people and then it'll get around

1:23:31.680 --> 1:23:35.559
<v Speaker 3>to us. It'll trickle down to us like piss Like.

1:23:35.640 --> 1:23:39.120
<v Speaker 3>It's just like, that's so weird that we that people

1:23:39.120 --> 1:23:43.000
<v Speaker 3>were able to sell this idea that the upper class,

1:23:43.000 --> 1:23:46.800
<v Speaker 3>that the corporate owners are people that need to be

1:23:46.840 --> 1:23:49.320
<v Speaker 3>protected or need to be represented politically.

1:23:50.200 --> 1:23:53.040
<v Speaker 2>Dave, I love so much that you brought up trickle

1:23:53.040 --> 1:23:56.040
<v Speaker 2>down economics, because that's where we're heading in part two

1:23:58.960 --> 1:24:03.719
<v Speaker 2>right now, let's trickle down your plug aubles to our audience.

1:24:04.280 --> 1:24:09.000
<v Speaker 3>Mmmmm I can? I mean you mentioned Gamefully Unemployed g

1:24:09.120 --> 1:24:11.960
<v Speaker 3>A M E f U l O Y Unemployed. That's

1:24:11.960 --> 1:24:14.960
<v Speaker 3>a podcast network I do with Tom Ryman where we

1:24:15.000 --> 1:24:20.680
<v Speaker 3>talk about movies. Mostly we do reviews and we talk

1:24:20.720 --> 1:24:23.479
<v Speaker 3>about movie news, so and and so forth. We have

1:24:23.520 --> 1:24:25.680
<v Speaker 3>a Patreon you can check out, and then I am

1:24:25.720 --> 1:24:28.599
<v Speaker 3>the head writer for Some More News, which is a

1:24:28.640 --> 1:24:30.920
<v Speaker 3>political show that I'm sure a lot of people are

1:24:30.960 --> 1:24:34.080
<v Speaker 3>aware of if they're listening to this, but if you're not,

1:24:34.479 --> 1:24:36.559
<v Speaker 3>you should google it. I don't know when this is

1:24:36.560 --> 1:24:38.439
<v Speaker 3>coming out, but we just did a two parter on

1:24:38.600 --> 1:24:41.320
<v Speaker 3>Lady Ballers. You know, the important stuff.

1:24:42.439 --> 1:24:46.720
<v Speaker 2>Hell yeah, Well everybody this has been a podcast I

1:24:46.800 --> 1:24:50.840
<v Speaker 2>have been Robert Evans. Lady Ballers has been a bad movie,

1:24:50.880 --> 1:24:54.880
<v Speaker 2>but listen to what Dave thinks about it and go

1:24:55.000 --> 1:24:56.120
<v Speaker 2>to hell. I love you.

1:25:00.240 --> 1:25:02.680
<v Speaker 1>Through. This is a production of cool Zone Media. For

1:25:02.800 --> 1:25:06.839
<v Speaker 1>more from cool Zone Media, visit our website coolzonemedia dot com,

1:25:06.960 --> 1:25:10.200
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1:25:10.280 --> 1:25:11.800
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