WEBVTT - Election Day! 0:00:00.120 --> 0:00:02.600 All right, glad you with us this election day, eight 0:00:02.680 --> 0:00:05.559 hundred and nine four one sean, if you want to 0:00:05.559 --> 0:00:07.680 be a part of the program. What's great about our 0:00:07.720 --> 0:00:12.320 coverage today, and we'll take this straight till six o'clock Eastern, 0:00:12.640 --> 0:00:16.480 is that we have all of our friends, all of 0:00:16.480 --> 0:00:19.480 our posters, all of the people on the campaigns that 0:00:20.000 --> 0:00:24.439 are deep in the weeds in every state that matters, 0:00:24.480 --> 0:00:27.560 that are doing all the digging for us, and they're 0:00:27.560 --> 0:00:30.320 going to be sharing all that information all through out 0:00:30.440 --> 0:00:35.720 the day, including our posters. Matt Towery, John McLaughlin, Robert 0:00:35.800 --> 0:00:39.000 Kaheley is going to be with us. The Vice President 0:00:39.000 --> 0:00:43.360 will check in today, Mike Pence. We'll talk to Martha 0:00:43.440 --> 0:00:47.040 McSally out in Arizona. By the way, let me let 0:00:47.080 --> 0:00:49.720 me start with some good news. For some reason, people, 0:00:50.280 --> 0:00:54.720 when I explain and analyze what the president's path to 0:00:54.800 --> 0:00:58.880 two hundred and seventy electoral votes, you know, I maybe 0:00:58.880 --> 0:01:02.560 there are people that want me to be so overly 0:01:02.680 --> 0:01:07.560 optimistic in pollian. I'm not. I'm a realist. Get me 0:01:07.640 --> 0:01:11.160 to two seventy, get me that number. And when I 0:01:11.240 --> 0:01:14.560 hear the words, we can now project Donald J. Trump 0:01:15.200 --> 0:01:19.280 has been reelected. I am acting as though and knowing 0:01:19.319 --> 0:01:24.280 that every single solitary vote matters. What I can report 0:01:24.319 --> 0:01:28.520 to you and this is information I've been on the 0:01:28.560 --> 0:01:33.080 phone all day with people all over the country. Is 0:01:33.120 --> 0:01:37.760 every state that matters, and we've gone over them, probably 0:01:37.800 --> 0:01:44.319 at nauseum. Is showing incredible heavy turnout in Republican areas. 0:01:45.000 --> 0:01:46.480 As a matter of fact, let's just broke on the 0:01:46.520 --> 0:01:51.920 Washington Examiner's website about art. But the Trump team is saying, Wow, 0:01:52.160 --> 0:01:56.440 the twelve battleground states, our people are showing up. In 0:01:56.440 --> 0:01:59.040 other words, look, you break it into counties, you break 0:01:59.080 --> 0:02:01.520 it into towns, break it into cities, you break it 0:02:01.560 --> 0:02:05.200 into districts. And we were doing better with the get 0:02:05.200 --> 0:02:09.080 out the vote effort. While at the same time, which 0:02:09.160 --> 0:02:13.720 is pretty fascinating, is that you've got the Biden camp saying, oh, well, 0:02:13.720 --> 0:02:16.920 we can win even if we don't win Florida and Pennsylvania. Oh, 0:02:17.160 --> 0:02:19.640 is that the message that you want to send on 0:02:19.680 --> 0:02:24.239 election day? But that is exactly what they said. Who 0:02:24.320 --> 0:02:26.160 was it, I guess it was the campaign manager for 0:02:26.280 --> 0:02:30.720 Joe Biden and it literally what was the tweet that 0:02:30.760 --> 0:02:36.320 went out? It said, Oh, Biden camp manager Jen O'Malley Dillon, 0:02:36.800 --> 0:02:39.760 we continue to have multiple pathways to two hundred and 0:02:39.760 --> 0:02:43.119 seventy electoral votes, and says that they can win two 0:02:43.240 --> 0:02:48.040 hundred and seventy electoral votes even without Pennsylvania and Florida. 0:02:48.760 --> 0:02:54.600 Not exactly the most optimistic measure, but so as I've 0:02:54.720 --> 0:02:58.840 added totally, and you'll hear from people on the ground 0:02:58.840 --> 0:03:02.640 that no Florida on the ground, that no Georgia on 0:03:02.680 --> 0:03:05.960 the ground, that no Ohio on the ground, that no 0:03:05.960 --> 0:03:11.160 North Carolina on the ground, that no Iowa. Arizona is 0:03:11.200 --> 0:03:14.959 a becoming a very critical state here, as is Nevada, 0:03:15.200 --> 0:03:17.640 as we now have a poll out today that actually 0:03:17.639 --> 0:03:20.160 shows Donald Trump, and this could be very crucial, very 0:03:20.240 --> 0:03:25.640 key as it relates to Nevada as as sort of 0:03:25.680 --> 0:03:28.720 like the Plan B if if Plan A didn't work 0:03:28.720 --> 0:03:30.720 out the way that you would want it to work 0:03:30.720 --> 0:03:34.720 out of the Trump campaign. So my mind is focused 0:03:34.800 --> 0:03:40.800 on the actual wins, electoral votes, the voting turnout. And 0:03:40.880 --> 0:03:44.000 the one thing I can absolutely tell you is that 0:03:44.120 --> 0:03:46.760 all of the states that I have been mentioning and 0:03:46.880 --> 0:03:52.840 keep mentioning are absolutely as of three eleven, three twelve 0:03:52.920 --> 0:03:57.640 Eastern time, and that would be twelve, well thirteen minutes 0:03:57.640 --> 0:04:01.560 after twelve noon on the West Coast. This is an 0:04:01.760 --> 0:04:07.400 absolutely winnable race for Donald J. Trump, And more importantly, 0:04:07.400 --> 0:04:09.520 I'd even say that he's the favorite based on what 0:04:09.600 --> 0:04:13.400 I'm hearing and seeing as of now. It means nothing 0:04:13.600 --> 0:04:16.279 if you take it for granted and you don't do 0:04:16.440 --> 0:04:20.240 your part. If you don't want what Joe and Kamala 0:04:20.279 --> 0:04:24.640 Harris are offering, and you don't want socialism in America, 0:04:24.760 --> 0:04:29.240 and you don't want amnesty, open borders, higher taxes, the 0:04:29.440 --> 0:04:33.800 end of fossil fuels and fracking and coal and oil 0:04:33.880 --> 0:04:38.279 exploration and the destruction of the energy sector, then you 0:04:38.320 --> 0:04:40.320 know what you gotta do. You gotta do your part. 0:04:40.920 --> 0:04:43.919 You know, Russia's one vote, I'm one vote, Mark Levin's 0:04:43.960 --> 0:04:47.240 one vote. You know, those of us that have an 0:04:47.240 --> 0:04:51.400 opinion that's conservative on Fox, We're only one vote. And 0:04:51.440 --> 0:04:54.039 it really, as I've been saying, is you are the 0:04:54.160 --> 0:04:57.240 ultimate jury, and this is the ultimate day. Now. One 0:04:57.279 --> 0:04:59.320 other thing that I've got to point out about election 0:04:59.440 --> 0:05:04.960 Day is that it is critical day of voting for Republicans. 0:05:05.560 --> 0:05:09.400 Even with you know, the banking of nearly one hundred 0:05:09.440 --> 0:05:14.160 million ballots before today, it is critical day of voting 0:05:14.279 --> 0:05:16.719 for Republicans and every one of the states that matter. 0:05:17.360 --> 0:05:19.960 Now the states will be paying the most attention to 0:05:20.320 --> 0:05:24.440 is well, the state of Florida, obviously, Donald Trump needs 0:05:24.520 --> 0:05:27.520 to win now his new home state of Florida. The 0:05:27.880 --> 0:05:32.080 state of Georgia is critical. It was a lot closer 0:05:32.120 --> 0:05:34.039 in the governor's race. What's why a lot of people 0:05:34.040 --> 0:05:38.359 have paid attention to it. What I'm hearing in terms 0:05:38.360 --> 0:05:41.320 anecdotally out of Georgia today is nothing but good news. 0:05:41.320 --> 0:05:44.040 Matt Towery knows Georgia better than anybody else. He'll give 0:05:44.120 --> 0:05:47.520 us a report what he's hearing on the ground in 0:05:47.560 --> 0:05:51.479 real time throughout the program today, our good friend Billy 0:05:51.520 --> 0:05:54.920 Cunningham giving me good reports out in the great state 0:05:54.960 --> 0:05:57.960 of Ohio and the Buckeye State. No Republicans made it 0:05:57.960 --> 0:06:01.960 to the White House without winning Ohio. North Carolina was 0:06:02.000 --> 0:06:05.880 a little closer, little worrisome with early voting. That seems 0:06:05.920 --> 0:06:09.200 to that trend is now reversed. But very important that 0:06:09.240 --> 0:06:11.600 the people in North Carolina that you get out, get 0:06:11.600 --> 0:06:15.160 in line, wait vote, and do your part. And the 0:06:15.240 --> 0:06:20.599 same therefore goes for Iowa, the same goes for Arizona, 0:06:20.720 --> 0:06:23.839 the same goes for Nevada. Now and then then we 0:06:24.040 --> 0:06:27.120 get to the states that okay, become more difficult. But 0:06:27.240 --> 0:06:28.880 this is what made the difference. Now you got to 0:06:28.920 --> 0:06:34.520 remember something else, and people seem to forget. In twenty sixteen, 0:06:35.160 --> 0:06:38.760 Donald Trump won the state of Michigan. He didn't win it, 0:06:39.120 --> 0:06:41.720 you know, he won it, but by ten thousand and 0:06:41.800 --> 0:06:46.159 seven hundred votes. That's why I am talking about this 0:06:46.880 --> 0:06:51.440 in terms of just how critical and how important this 0:06:52.720 --> 0:06:56.479 every single vote is, and that you do your part. 0:06:57.080 --> 0:07:00.520 We got close in Minnesota last time. It seems that 0:07:00.600 --> 0:07:06.440 Kanye West is According to our friend at Robert Kuhailey, 0:07:06.520 --> 0:07:09.640 he's saying, you know, if Kanye West wasn't on the 0:07:09.680 --> 0:07:13.760 ballot in Minnesota, Donald Trump would have a better than 0:07:14.000 --> 0:07:17.119 you know, fifty fifty shot of winning Minnesota. This time. 0:07:18.120 --> 0:07:20.520 Getting good reports out of Wisconsin. I just got off 0:07:20.560 --> 0:07:23.200 the phone with Rink's previous He'll be sending me information 0:07:23.240 --> 0:07:28.280 throughout the program as well. But we only won Michigan 0:07:28.320 --> 0:07:31.480 by ten thousand, seven hundred votes, about twenty two three 0:07:31.520 --> 0:07:34.920 thousand in the state of Wisconsin, that's how close it 0:07:35.040 --> 0:07:37.880 was there, and forty four thousand votes in the state 0:07:37.920 --> 0:07:41.480 of Pennsylvania. Worried about the court ruling. Obviously in Pennsylvania, 0:07:41.520 --> 0:07:44.280 I would expect at some point in the next twenty 0:07:44.320 --> 0:07:46.560 four hours is going to be some legal challenge with 0:07:46.760 --> 0:07:49.920 something to do with Pennsylvania in some way, shape, matter, 0:07:50.000 --> 0:07:53.480 or form. Which is why every single vote in every 0:07:53.480 --> 0:07:56.920 one of these states that I have just mentioned absolutely 0:07:57.000 --> 0:08:01.520 positively matters. You know, Democrat start, They've got all the 0:08:01.800 --> 0:08:05.000 fifty what five electoral votes out of California, they got 0:08:05.080 --> 0:08:08.200 New York, they got New Jersey, They've got Illinois, they 0:08:08.200 --> 0:08:10.480 got Oregon, they got the state of Washington. That's a 0:08:10.680 --> 0:08:15.160 that's a pretty big advantage going into election day. I'm 0:08:15.200 --> 0:08:19.800 told Texas turnout Republican counties as massive. Not that worried 0:08:20.120 --> 0:08:23.760 about Texas as other people have been, but these are 0:08:23.760 --> 0:08:27.400 the states that matter and the magic numbers two hundred 0:08:27.400 --> 0:08:30.720 and seventy. You know, there are scenarios. For example, if 0:08:30.760 --> 0:08:35.160 the president would have win Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, Ohio, 0:08:35.880 --> 0:08:41.240 and Pennsylvania, Okay, but lose Arizona, We're only a two 0:08:41.280 --> 0:08:44.040 hundred and sixty eight votes. How many times have you 0:08:44.120 --> 0:08:48.240 heard me mentioned main second congressional district that is a 0:08:48.360 --> 0:08:51.360 separate that is one electoral vote that gets you to 0:08:51.440 --> 0:08:54.560 two six nine, two sixty nine. At that point it 0:08:54.600 --> 0:08:57.520 goes to Congress and then the states all get a vote, 0:08:57.520 --> 0:09:00.680 which means that the Republicans would win. Believe it or not, 0:09:00.720 --> 0:09:04.560 we'd lose. I think Montana's a state. That's why. You know, 0:09:04.679 --> 0:09:10.640 Nebraska the second congressional district, there also is one electoral vote. 0:09:11.200 --> 0:09:14.080 You know, you could literally have a scenario, and that 0:09:14.080 --> 0:09:16.520 that scenario would be the president wins all the states. 0:09:16.559 --> 0:09:19.760 I've been telling you he needs to win, wins Pennsylvania, 0:09:19.840 --> 0:09:24.320 but loses, say God forbid Arizona. At that point, if 0:09:24.320 --> 0:09:27.040 he got the two electoral votes one from Nebraska to 0:09:27.240 --> 0:09:29.120 one from Maine two, then he would he would be 0:09:29.160 --> 0:09:31.400 at the magic number two hundred and seventy votes. So 0:09:31.800 --> 0:09:35.560 you know, I'm looking at this really this is mathematical, 0:09:36.240 --> 0:09:40.040 but more importantly, this is about you. This is your day. 0:09:40.559 --> 0:09:44.400 You have the power. It's not all these forces that 0:09:44.480 --> 0:09:48.200 have so aligned against this president for the last four 0:09:48.320 --> 0:09:54.520 years desperately want to defeat him. These are powerful institutional forces. 0:09:55.120 --> 0:09:58.880 You know. There's Jim come eat mister higher honor himself 0:09:58.960 --> 0:10:03.360 that signed the phone any FISA warrants that had Russian 0:10:03.520 --> 0:10:08.440 misinformation and disinformation and then he signed three of them. 0:10:08.440 --> 0:10:10.959 Mister higher honor, you know it is out there tweeting 0:10:10.960 --> 0:10:15.240 with his Biden Harris shirt on. Really that arrogant, Jim. 0:10:15.320 --> 0:10:18.440 Unbelievable when you should be going back to the FISA 0:10:18.520 --> 0:10:21.440 court correcting the lies that you told the court, which 0:10:21.480 --> 0:10:22.959 is part of with the law, and that's what the 0:10:23.040 --> 0:10:25.800 law calls for. By the way, all the deep state 0:10:25.880 --> 0:10:29.480 investigations will die if Donald Trump, god forbid ever lost 0:10:29.480 --> 0:10:33.880 this election. But there's so much at stake, and there's 0:10:33.920 --> 0:10:38.480 so much on the line. It is the what's so 0:10:38.559 --> 0:10:41.320 different about this election is beyond the fact that they 0:10:41.320 --> 0:10:45.679 were running somebody that everybody's covering for that we all 0:10:45.760 --> 0:10:49.960 know is is just cognitively out of it. Joe Biden, 0:10:51.800 --> 0:10:55.160 it is, and they're just that it's the great at 0:10:55.160 --> 0:10:58.679 that in and of itself is a are you kidding me? 0:10:59.280 --> 0:11:02.280 But you got big tech, the ninety nine percent of 0:11:02.320 --> 0:11:05.360 the media, all these social media companies on top of it, 0:11:05.840 --> 0:11:11.480 the Democratic Party establishment, week, Rhino Republicans. You know. Rush 0:11:11.640 --> 0:11:14.160 was asked about this on Fox and Friends today and 0:11:14.240 --> 0:11:17.079 I was watching this morning. He had the best answer. 0:11:17.760 --> 0:11:19.959 He goes, you know, all these all these people that 0:11:20.360 --> 0:11:26.000 claim to be the intellectual powerhouses of conservative thought and 0:11:26.080 --> 0:11:30.479 conservative leadership. And they take people on these expensive cruises 0:11:30.559 --> 0:11:33.120 every year because they were all making a fortune on it. 0:11:33.480 --> 0:11:35.280 How many times I've been offered to Hannity do a 0:11:35.360 --> 0:11:39.199 Hannity cruise ship, which I don't like cruising, but no, no, no, 0:11:39.280 --> 0:11:41.160 you can get a free trip out of it and everything. 0:11:41.200 --> 0:11:43.600 I'm like, I don't want to free crip on a cruise. 0:11:43.600 --> 0:11:45.760 I don't want to be on a boat stuck unless 0:11:45.760 --> 0:11:49.480 I'm out in the bearing Sea and deadliest catch. I 0:11:49.520 --> 0:11:51.800 want to go out with those guys or the Wikatuna guys. 0:11:53.160 --> 0:11:57.800 But in all seriousness, and now they'll support Biden. They 0:11:57.840 --> 0:12:00.160 were never conservatives and we know what it is. He 0:12:00.240 --> 0:12:03.680 said it. They're jealous because they've got everything they ever 0:12:03.720 --> 0:12:07.440 want as conservatives with Donald Trump, and yet they don't 0:12:07.440 --> 0:12:10.920 support them and they work actively against them. It's unbelievable. 0:12:11.280 --> 0:12:13.400 All Right, a lot of ground to cover. We're covering 0:12:13.400 --> 0:12:17.520 the entire country. Here's my main message to all of you. 0:12:18.440 --> 0:12:22.560 Get it out and vote and do your part. And 0:12:22.679 --> 0:12:26.240 if you have to wait, wait, dress warmly if it's 0:12:26.280 --> 0:12:31.080 cold where you are, and put in the time. If 0:12:31.080 --> 0:12:35.520 you want to stop the most radical agenda and defeat 0:12:35.600 --> 0:12:39.160 these powerful institutional forces that don't really think too much 0:12:39.200 --> 0:12:44.479 of us. Were chumps, irredeemable, deplorable, smelly Walmart Trump supporting shoppers, 0:12:44.520 --> 0:12:48.680 and of course bitter Americans clinging to God. Our Second 0:12:48.720 --> 0:12:52.160 Amendment rights are Bibles and religion, which is what they 0:12:52.240 --> 0:12:55.920 really also hate us. Putting that aside, all right, twenty 0:12:55.920 --> 0:12:58.040 five till the top of the hour, let me give 0:12:58.040 --> 0:13:01.079 you some information that we are getting as of an 0:13:01.120 --> 0:13:05.960 hour ago in Florida. Now, this was very very interesting 0:13:05.960 --> 0:13:10.640 because election day votes in Plorida immediately within like minutes 0:13:11.040 --> 0:13:17.120 had canceled out the Democratic lead. Republicans in Florida outvoted 0:13:17.320 --> 0:13:21.280 Democrats by twenty thousand votes as of seven twenty am. 0:13:21.360 --> 0:13:24.800 Before the Panhandle. Remember they get an extra hour to vote. 0:13:24.840 --> 0:13:28.440 Those of you in the Panhandle destined Fort Walton, Beach, 0:13:28.480 --> 0:13:32.439 et cetera. Are very very important that you get online 0:13:32.600 --> 0:13:37.520 in time, that they keep propoles open out voting member 0:13:37.520 --> 0:13:40.960 in Penellis County, which is crucial in the I four corridor, 0:13:42.120 --> 0:13:46.439 Republicans have been showing up a massive numbers out out 0:13:46.520 --> 0:13:52.000 voting Democrats there and again anecdotally, but as of about 0:13:52.040 --> 0:13:57.679 an hour ago one hundred and fifty seven thousand plus Republicans. 0:13:57.880 --> 0:14:00.720 Now what that means is if you you know, go 0:14:00.800 --> 0:14:05.880 back just you know, four years ago the Republicans won 0:14:08.040 --> 0:14:10.560 by by far less margin, by about I think it 0:14:10.559 --> 0:14:12.720 was one hundred and seven thousand. One hundred and thirteen 0:14:12.760 --> 0:14:16.559 thousand votes. Is the number for the Biden campaign manager 0:14:16.600 --> 0:14:19.080 to say, we continue to have multiple pathways to two 0:14:19.200 --> 0:14:22.280 hundred and seventy electoral votes and then say, well, we 0:14:22.320 --> 0:14:25.200 can get to two seventy even without Pennsylvania and Florida. 0:14:25.240 --> 0:14:27.720 Who would say that the day of if you're with 0:14:27.760 --> 0:14:33.240 a campaign. But we're getting updates, especially in very key states. 0:14:33.280 --> 0:14:35.400 I got a very good report. We'll get a more 0:14:35.400 --> 0:14:37.440 detailed report, though, I want to give you up to 0:14:38.280 --> 0:14:42.480 up to date numbers from Ryan's previous in Wisconsin, where 0:14:42.600 --> 0:14:46.200 in Republican counties he said the turnout is remarkable. The 0:14:46.360 --> 0:14:51.960 Philly GOP said, people are showing up for Donald Trump 0:14:52.360 --> 0:14:56.280 in this four hour wait in these heavily Republican areas 0:14:56.400 --> 0:15:01.400 and turn out Montgomery County for example, and you know, 0:15:01.600 --> 0:15:06.120 turnout is way more than anticipated at this rate. You know, 0:15:06.200 --> 0:15:10.000 Donald Trump will be announced the winner tonight in Philadelphia, 0:15:10.000 --> 0:15:12.120 which I don't think is going to happen. Based on 0:15:12.160 --> 0:15:17.640 the words of the Attorney General in the state of Pennsylvania, well, 0:15:17.680 --> 0:15:20.920 we'll be counting votes on Friday, although it was the 0:15:20.960 --> 0:15:24.480 Lieutenant governor in Pennsylvania saying, excuse me, are you looking 0:15:24.480 --> 0:15:28.480 at these crowds. These are not photoshopped. These are real 0:15:28.560 --> 0:15:33.720 crowds all over Pennsylvania. So we're watching that very closely 0:15:33.760 --> 0:15:37.760 today as as well. But it looks these every one 0:15:37.800 --> 0:15:41.560 of these individual states that we mentioned as we get 0:15:41.560 --> 0:15:44.200 to a pathway to two hundred and seventy electoral votes 0:15:44.960 --> 0:15:49.040 matter every single one of them. You know, of course, 0:15:49.200 --> 0:15:52.240 you know, we know the Biden strategy with his six 0:15:52.360 --> 0:15:56.320 hundred attorneys and the advice from Hillary Clinton. Under those circumstances, 0:15:56.400 --> 0:15:59.960 do you concede we know the mob and the meeting. 0:16:01.880 --> 0:16:04.400 You're going to see something tonight that you've never seen 0:16:04.480 --> 0:16:08.240 on election night, and that is a media that is 0:16:08.280 --> 0:16:16.360 suppressed and won't want to declare clear victories in individual states. Let's, 0:16:16.440 --> 0:16:18.440 of course a benefit of Joe Biden, and I'm sure 0:16:18.440 --> 0:16:21.680 they'd be glad to Axios has a report that Joe 0:16:21.720 --> 0:16:25.600 Biden is counting on the mob not to pronounce Trump 0:16:25.600 --> 0:16:29.760 the winner tonight under any circumstances. This is scary stuff. 0:16:30.680 --> 0:16:33.840 But anyway, the Biden campaign's preparing for a long election night, 0:16:34.400 --> 0:16:38.240 warning the country the media to ignore any victory declaration 0:16:38.360 --> 0:16:42.040 from President Trump before all the ballots are counted, because 0:16:42.040 --> 0:16:43.600 we have to figure out how many we need to 0:16:43.640 --> 0:16:48.200 manufacture a lot of pole watchers, a lot of reports. 0:16:48.360 --> 0:16:52.560 Is one on saying that there's been some campaigning at 0:16:52.560 --> 0:16:57.480 different poll areas in Pennsylvania. Pole watchers have been denied access. 0:16:57.480 --> 0:17:00.800 We're hearing reports of that happening. We're watching that very closely. 0:17:02.200 --> 0:17:06.240 Biden now putting out will assert control and to begin 0:17:06.359 --> 0:17:11.760 to form a government if the media declare him the winner. Wow, 0:17:12.040 --> 0:17:15.960 that's pretty arrogant on his part. So this is probably 0:17:15.960 --> 0:17:21.960 gonna be this. We're entering uncharted waters here. Fascinating to 0:17:22.000 --> 0:17:27.440 watch the polsters from Investors Business Daily and the Tip 0:17:27.520 --> 0:17:32.400 Pole to Marist and the NBC poll. You know, all 0:17:32.440 --> 0:17:35.040 of a sudden in the last forty eight hours, Boy, 0:17:35.119 --> 0:17:38.720 this got awfully close. You know, Nate Silver, who's been 0:17:38.760 --> 0:17:41.520 out there, the founder of five thirty eight, you know, 0:17:41.640 --> 0:17:45.119 saying that just because we're giving Biden a ninety percent 0:17:45.200 --> 0:17:49.280 likelihood of winning, doesn't mean that Trump can't win well. 0:17:49.400 --> 0:17:54.280 In their final polling analysis and their national forecast, they 0:17:54.320 --> 0:17:57.080 made a last minute adjustment to their prediction of a 0:17:57.600 --> 0:18:01.200 Biden victory. They dropped from nine to eighty nine point 0:18:01.240 --> 0:18:08.399 two percent, So he's favored rather than clearly favored. I 0:18:08.440 --> 0:18:11.560 guess that means if we get it wrong again like 0:18:11.640 --> 0:18:14.120 we did in twenty sixteen, I guess that means our 0:18:14.160 --> 0:18:19.879 business is probably going to collapse. The Marist NBC polls showed, 0:18:19.960 --> 0:18:24.840 literally their words, the collapsing of Biden's lead in states 0:18:24.840 --> 0:18:30.240 like Pennsylvania and Arizona. Again anecdotally, we're hearing from all 0:18:30.280 --> 0:18:39.080 these states that I keep mentioning Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Arizona, 0:18:39.240 --> 0:18:42.959 that there are in Republican areas heavy turnout. So if 0:18:42.960 --> 0:18:46.320 you're going to be voting, you know, please, if you're online, 0:18:46.400 --> 0:18:48.880 please don't say, oh, this is gonna take too long. 0:18:48.880 --> 0:18:52.680 Your vote is necessary. Every vote matters. Remember, only seventy 0:18:52.720 --> 0:18:56.959 eight thousand votes led Donald Trump to victory in the 0:18:57.000 --> 0:19:01.480 state of Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan combine. Mind anyway, our 0:19:01.520 --> 0:19:05.720 posters are with us. Matt towery insider advantage. John McLaughlin 0:19:05.880 --> 0:19:12.560 is with us. Kens I'm sorry, kiss Craigi he and 0:19:12.640 --> 0:19:16.880 I said, Cossician, there you go. Sorry, Craig is with us. Matt. 0:19:16.960 --> 0:19:20.920 Let's start with you. Uh, you know Florida, you know Georgia, 0:19:21.000 --> 0:19:23.479 you know North Carolina as well as anybody. Those are 0:19:23.520 --> 0:19:26.400 three states that you're really the expert at. Let's start 0:19:26.440 --> 0:19:30.240 with you. Well, I can update those numbers in Florida 0:19:30.240 --> 0:19:32.080 a little bit. The Republicans are now up to one 0:19:32.160 --> 0:19:36.840 hundred and sixty two thousand ballot advantage in from what 0:19:36.920 --> 0:19:39.919 I'm hearing. If they can get to above two hundred 0:19:39.960 --> 0:19:43.520 thousand to two fifty, then Florida is not obtainable by 0:19:43.560 --> 0:19:48.080 the Democrats regardless, which means this Republican turnout, which which 0:19:48.119 --> 0:19:51.520 Marco Rubio just tweeted out is going to be historic, 0:19:51.560 --> 0:19:54.879 apparently has to continue throughout the day. But based on 0:19:54.920 --> 0:19:57.480 the trends we see, if that continues, Florida is going 0:19:57.520 --> 0:20:01.640 to go for Donald Trump. In Georgia, again, the turnout 0:20:01.640 --> 0:20:04.200 model right now is not working out for the Democrats. 0:20:04.280 --> 0:20:07.199 They needed an African American turnout of somewhere around thirty 0:20:07.240 --> 0:20:10.840 one to thirty two percent, even today the same day voting, 0:20:10.840 --> 0:20:13.280 it's sitting at where it was last night, which is 0:20:13.520 --> 0:20:17.240 twenty seven point seven of overall vote. You know, that 0:20:17.400 --> 0:20:19.840 is if Georgia continues to vote, and the pattern it 0:20:19.960 --> 0:20:22.200 is so Republicans will have to continue to turn out 0:20:22.280 --> 0:20:24.680 the levels they are. But from the reports i'm seeing 0:20:24.800 --> 0:20:27.480 both of those states, those are two by the way, 0:20:27.520 --> 0:20:30.639 and Nate Silver's model that you just mentioned that he 0:20:30.960 --> 0:20:33.960 shades as blue on a pathway to two seventy for 0:20:34.040 --> 0:20:36.359 Donald Trump. You take those two states out of the 0:20:36.359 --> 0:20:38.560 equation and put them in the red, and his eighty 0:20:38.640 --> 0:20:42.200 nine percent starts to collapse. It begins to melt. And 0:20:42.240 --> 0:20:44.400 there just aren't that many other states that Trump has 0:20:44.440 --> 0:20:47.560 to take, but they're critical ones. North Carolina, we think 0:20:47.560 --> 0:20:50.800 that's going to be close, although the insiders there say 0:20:50.840 --> 0:20:53.240 they think it's going to go Trump, and our pole 0:20:53.280 --> 0:20:55.280 had a going Trump. So all three of those states 0:20:55.320 --> 0:20:57.080 right now are looking good at the moment. If the 0:20:57.119 --> 0:21:00.680 Republican trend lines continue in terms of their vote, which 0:21:00.720 --> 0:21:04.440 seems to be much stronger today than the Democrats. They're 0:21:04.480 --> 0:21:07.600 saying from the Trump campaign that the turnout is exceeding 0:21:07.640 --> 0:21:13.840 twenty sixteen levels in Florida, Texas, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Georgia. 0:21:13.880 --> 0:21:16.560 Which are the ones and we're looking at those early. 0:21:17.359 --> 0:21:19.439 John McLaughlin, you've been doing a lot of polling for 0:21:19.480 --> 0:21:21.639 the campaign. Where do you see it as of now 0:21:22.480 --> 0:21:26.679 three forty four Eastern time. You know, this is like 0:21:26.800 --> 0:21:30.040 deja vu all over again. Four years ago we were 0:21:30.040 --> 0:21:32.240 saying we had to drive the vote on election day 0:21:32.240 --> 0:21:35.440 on your program, on your program, and we did because 0:21:35.480 --> 0:21:39.560 we couldn't take any vote for granted. And the president won, 0:21:39.800 --> 0:21:42.119 thank god, by seventy eight thousand votes over one hundred 0:21:42.119 --> 0:21:44.040 and thirty nine million. Kiss. Now it's going to break 0:21:44.080 --> 0:21:46.920 that record. And when you think it's seven o'clock, most 0:21:47.000 --> 0:21:50.240 of Florida is closing. So we're running by them right 0:21:50.240 --> 0:21:52.000 now in the number of vote totals, but we still 0:21:52.040 --> 0:21:54.479 need more. Georgia is the same thing. They closed at 0:21:54.520 --> 0:21:56.920 seven o'clock. Our voters are getting out there. We're doing 0:21:57.040 --> 0:21:59.679 very well in the rural areas, the whole county. They 0:21:59.800 --> 0:22:02.119 come out, but we have to drive out some more. 0:22:02.440 --> 0:22:05.720 And eight o'clock to Painhandle in Florida closes and that's 0:22:05.720 --> 0:22:09.680 where Republicans and President Trump won two to one last time, 0:22:09.880 --> 0:22:13.040 and that's what's making the Democrats are very nervous. But 0:22:13.119 --> 0:22:15.800 you also get at eight o'clock, you get Michigan closing 0:22:15.840 --> 0:22:18.920 the east eastern part of that state. The eight o'clock 0:22:19.240 --> 0:22:22.840 polls closed in Pennsylvania where they had a silver alert today, 0:22:22.840 --> 0:22:25.200 you know, in Delaware and ninety five. Joe Biden got 0:22:25.200 --> 0:22:27.240 out of the basement. He drove up by ninety five 0:22:28.080 --> 0:22:31.680 to look at the empty polling places in the Democrat 0:22:31.760 --> 0:22:36.600 areas in Pennsylvania. But in Pennsylvania, the Republicans are coming 0:22:36.640 --> 0:22:38.840 out in the small towns, in the rural areas, and 0:22:38.880 --> 0:22:40.800 we got to get enough in there because they've got 0:22:40.840 --> 0:22:44.280 a lot of mail in ballots that they're closing. So 0:22:44.440 --> 0:22:46.720 our troops still have to come out and vote. They 0:22:46.760 --> 0:22:48.560 still have to get out and vote for President Trump 0:22:48.640 --> 0:22:51.040 today and if they do, we will win. But we 0:22:51.119 --> 0:22:53.200 still have time where they got to go out and vote. 0:22:54.080 --> 0:22:56.640 This is where I am the realist. This is where 0:22:56.680 --> 0:23:00.520 I like to, you know, create the reality, which is 0:23:00.520 --> 0:23:04.000 where I refused to be pollyannish. This is where I 0:23:04.080 --> 0:23:07.359 refused to get into the prediction model business because the 0:23:07.440 --> 0:23:11.960 reality is is that everybody, if everybody does their part, 0:23:12.080 --> 0:23:16.560 if if if then, absolutely Donald Trump will get reelected, 0:23:16.840 --> 0:23:19.480 and it's got to happen in these very specific states, 0:23:19.520 --> 0:23:24.160 which is why I keep mentioning them. Craig, Well, Sean, 0:23:24.240 --> 0:23:27.480 you're absolutely right. My old boss in the White House, 0:23:28.400 --> 0:23:32.159 the President's poster doctor Dick Worthland always told me, Craig. 0:23:32.280 --> 0:23:35.439 He always said, we have to run a race like 0:23:35.640 --> 0:23:39.840 ver five points down, and that needs to be reiterated 0:23:40.359 --> 0:23:44.040 time and time again. With all that said, I have 0:23:44.160 --> 0:23:47.159 to also I have to mention with clarity that the 0:23:47.359 --> 0:23:50.840 Trump rally numbers are astounding. And since I worked in 0:23:50.840 --> 0:23:53.119 the Reagan White House along with a few other folks, 0:23:53.160 --> 0:23:56.120 you do know well we never saw crowds like this 0:23:56.600 --> 0:24:00.879 spontaneously raised within twenty four hours. So my theory and 0:24:00.880 --> 0:24:04.159 when I'm calling this is the Iceberg election. What you 0:24:04.200 --> 0:24:07.359 see above the waves are people who are crying out 0:24:07.440 --> 0:24:12.919 and showing expressing their distaste for lockdowns and economic stagnation 0:24:13.080 --> 0:24:16.880 under under the COVID harsh rules of these governors imposts. 0:24:16.880 --> 0:24:20.040 But what's happening underneath the waves, the fact that there 0:24:20.080 --> 0:24:23.160 are silent Americans who really want to express their frustration 0:24:23.200 --> 0:24:26.199 at the ballot box. That is what I expect to 0:24:26.200 --> 0:24:28.919 come out today, and they need to come out today, 0:24:29.119 --> 0:24:31.280 and they need to come out strongly in the Midwest 0:24:31.680 --> 0:24:34.560 because I think that's where the nitty gritty of this 0:24:34.680 --> 0:24:37.640 race truly lies. I think the South, I am confident 0:24:37.680 --> 0:24:40.679 that will pick up the whole Texas issue of that 0:24:40.760 --> 0:24:45.840 being a battleground is absolutely nonsense. But you know, Michigan, Ohio, 0:24:46.359 --> 0:24:51.400 especially Pennsylvania, especially Wisconsin are are still very I think 0:24:52.600 --> 0:24:55.919 are very much at risk on the bubble. That we 0:24:55.960 --> 0:24:58.080