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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 2: I'm just about that action also.

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Speaker 3: All right here we all.

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Speaker 2: Throwing into I'm saying it to cash.

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Speaker 1: See the most gamblers when they go to gamble, they

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Speaker 1: go to win.

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Speaker 2: That's incredible.

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Speaker 3: Big bank, small bank.

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Speaker 2: I like to make money.

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Speaker 3: All right, this is just the ultimate kaba.

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Speaker 2: You want to pass and we are conderway.

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Speaker 3: What is up?

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Speaker 2: Everybody?

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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast presented by Fan Duel.

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Speaker 1: I am your host, Chris Raybon, and this is your

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Speaker 1: NFL Week eight betting preview where we talk about our

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Speaker 1: favorite totals, teasers, underdogs, and of course we build our

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Speaker 1: weekly Sunday Fix pack of best bets against the spread

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Speaker 1: with the help of my co host, the Prime Minister

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Speaker 1: of Degenerate Nation.

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Speaker 3: Stuck, he stuck, What is good? Brother?

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Speaker 2: What's going on? Brother? Coming off my first losing weekend

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Speaker 2: of the year, so I can't complain about heading into

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Speaker 2: week eight, and I certainly wasn't as good as you.

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Speaker 2: He swept the entire card from the podcast last week,

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Speaker 2: every side, total, teaser, everything. The one that hurt the

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Speaker 2: most is the but it was I consider a bad

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Speaker 2: play because I didn't beat the line. The line went

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Speaker 2: the other way. The projected final score I had was

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Speaker 2: Broncos by ten. I see that Nick Giffen and Kerner

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Speaker 2: had a Broncos by nine. In our luck rankings, Zach

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Speaker 2: Wilson was a thirty percent success rate for the second

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Speaker 2: straight week on the road and got to win. He

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Speaker 2: gets downgraded again. He's now the worst quarterback in the

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Speaker 2: NFL for my ratings set. He's dropped below Davis Mills.

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Speaker 2: The Jags a couple unlucky breaks, like fumble at the

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Speaker 2: one fourth down miss sneak. Daniel Jones was a pick

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Speaker 2: but he got hit in the head. But I made that.

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Speaker 2: Jags by two, so not a good play. I think

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Speaker 2: the Jags probably win that game more often than not,

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Speaker 2: but yeah, cover three, I don't think they should have.

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Speaker 2: The unlucky is played by far. I had the Colts

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Speaker 2: plus nine eight and a half. The close of T's

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Speaker 2: the Titans don't score an offensive touchdown horrendous offensive day again,

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Speaker 2: And at the very end they get a field goal

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Speaker 2: because Austin Hooper catches like the most miraculous catch I've

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Speaker 2: ever seen in my life. And if that doesn't happen,

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Speaker 2: then they don't caick the field goal, and the teasers

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Speaker 2: locked up, but all I was a bad week for me,

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Speaker 2: and like I said, in the good weeks, who cares

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Speaker 2: what's on to the next. But congrats to you. We

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Speaker 2: should spend more time for your for your sweep of

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Speaker 2: the board, and it's.

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Speaker 3: Been a good year. I appreciate it.

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Speaker 1: And uh, you know what we're gonna do because we

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Speaker 1: did ask people about that Giants Jags game and which

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Speaker 1: side they were on for it, and we said, we

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Speaker 1: give away a free year of Action Pro to a winner.

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Speaker 1: But we're actually gonna go big. We're gonna go with

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Speaker 1: eight winners.

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Speaker 2: So reviews, you never know what we're gonna do. Getaways, yep.

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Speaker 3: So we got eight people here.

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Speaker 1: Each of you gets a year of an Action Network

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Speaker 1: Pro subscription. So I'm gonna read these screen names off

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Speaker 1: and you can contact podcasts with an S at Actionnetwork

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Speaker 1: dot com to claim your prize. Again, that's podcast at

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Speaker 1: Action Network dot com. Number one is bTB eighty seven.

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Speaker 1: Number two is Chad Pluger, Number three is Austin XO

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Speaker 1: three four at Joel brandew five r m F T six'

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Speaker 1: nine six samp, says seventh Is drewfer and eighth IS

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Speaker 1: Et Mortgage so congrats to all of. Y'all hit uppodcast

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Speaker 1: at actionnetwork dot com to claim your prize and thank

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Speaker 1: you again for the. Review we'll try to do more

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Speaker 1: fun stuff like that going. Forward so we'll get into

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Speaker 1: The Thursday Night football preview and then we'll crack open

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Speaker 1: A sunday six. Pack just a quick heads up to our.

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Speaker 1: LISTENERS nba is. Back that means the return Of, Buckets

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Speaker 1: Action networks ball betting podcast with new episodes every weekday

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Speaker 1: THIS nba.

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Speaker 3: Season so if you want to bet.

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Speaker 1: Daily hoops like ABSOLUTE nba freaks stucky here check Out

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Speaker 1: buckets wherever you listen to. Podcasts all, right let's get

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Speaker 1: Into Thursday Night football and we got The Sampa Bay.

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Speaker 3: Bucks and Your Baltimore.

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Speaker 4: Ravens it's not the best, game but it's the only game.

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Speaker 2: Tonight let's Bet Thursday Night.

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Speaker 1: Football so the line Is bucks by one and a.

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Speaker 1: Half this line has been kind of jumping. Around The

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Speaker 1: ravens are. Favored at one, Point Mark andrews is he

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Speaker 1: gonna miss the? Game he didn't practice all. Week the

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Speaker 1: total is forty five and a. Half but what's going

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Speaker 1: on With?

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Speaker 2: Andrews, YEAH i don't. Know it's it's A wednesday for

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Speaker 2: A thursday, Game so if you go back, historically that's

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Speaker 2: not a good. Sign, YEAH i don't Mean Gus edwards is,

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Speaker 2: Questionable bateman is, Questionable stanley is. Questionable they listen, To

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Speaker 2: andrews is, Questionable Josh, Bindes Brandon, Stevens Marlin, Humphrey Marcus.

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Speaker 2: PETERS i don't. Know and then on the other side

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Speaker 2: you Have, tampa who's. GOOD i think down maybe five

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Speaker 2: potential starters on, defense like someone would start. Cornerback winfield is,

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Speaker 2: Out hicks is probably not gonna, play and then they're

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Speaker 2: you know their. Receivers you Have, gauge Get, hurt Get

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Speaker 2: deck either. Offensive lineman is. Out we don't know About.

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Speaker 2: Julio like this is just a. Mess SO i don't.

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Speaker 2: KNOW i have no without knowing who's gonna play this,

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Speaker 2: Game it's really, TOUGH i will tell. You with the

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Speaker 2: both of these teams are really. Perplexing The ravens could

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Speaker 2: easily be seven to zero right, now but their defense

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Speaker 2: is thirtieth and epa per play if you remove. Turnovers

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Speaker 2: The ravens defense is thirty and eat paper play if

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Speaker 2: you remove. Turnovers but on the flip, side like you,

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Speaker 2: know Justin houston return last week looked really. Good you're

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Speaker 2: gonna Get bowser back. Soon you guys Like Pierre paul

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Speaker 2: was not great, anymore but they just added more depth

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Speaker 2: for the pass, rush one of the biggest and then

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Speaker 2: you know they're gonna Get Marcus williams back as. Well

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Speaker 2: slot corner is still a major. ISSUE i would worry

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Speaker 2: About godwin having a big day, here and they really

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Speaker 2: Missed Kyle fuller from earlier in the. Year BUT i

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Speaker 2: actually think this is a good matchup for The ravens

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Speaker 2: defense BECAUSE i think they're outside of The godwin matchup

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Speaker 2: because The bucks cannot run. It they cannot run at

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Speaker 2: their dead last AND epa or per. Rush their offensive

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Speaker 2: line is a. Mess you, know they're also Missing brat

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Speaker 2: AND i think The ravens corners on the outside matchup

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Speaker 2: very well with The bucks receivers and you, know so

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Speaker 2: then on the other, side it's, like can The ravens

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Speaker 2: offense take advantage of this Shorthanded bucks? DEFENSE i don't.

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Speaker 2: KNOW i mean The ravens offense is now trending, down

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Speaker 2: like you Got bateman back And stanley, back, well you

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Speaker 2: think now we don't. Know tomorrow night but they've looked.

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Speaker 2: Awful they only had they all looked awful against The,

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Speaker 2: browns and they have not been the same explosive offense

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Speaker 2: that we saw earlier in the. Year and then The

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Speaker 2: bucks are just completely lost on. Offense you cannot bat

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Speaker 2: them right. NOW i would not tell anyone to bet

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Speaker 2: The bucks right now until you see some form of

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Speaker 2: life LIKE i know it's, like oh It's Tom. Brady,

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Speaker 2: no you're just throwing money. AWAY i, mean they're losing

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Speaker 2: at The steelers with all their, backups backups in their,

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Speaker 2: secondary at The panthers WITH Pj walker and backups in their,

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Speaker 2: secondary and they can't. SCORE i, Know Mike evans drops

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Speaker 2: an dr touchdowns of the, game but other than, that

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Speaker 2: THEY i, mean their offense has looked completely inept all.

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Speaker 2: Season and, YEAH i Mean Father time is still. Undefeated

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Speaker 2: now he has not been the sole culprit of. This there's,

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Speaker 2: injuries the offensive lines of, mess they can't run. At

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Speaker 2: the play calling is. Awful we'll. See, yeah it's a

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Speaker 2: short week throws a wrench into. THIS i really have no.

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Speaker 2: IDEA i really have no idea how to handicap this,

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Speaker 2: game especially because there's so much uncertainty on the injury.

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Speaker 2: FRONT i will tell you, know it's. Uh The ravens

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Speaker 2: historically and this is a really short spread in the

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Speaker 2: first half are an amazing bet generally. Speaking and they're

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Speaker 2: ow and seven this year on the fourth quarter. Spread

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Speaker 2: for what it's, Worth harball just has great game plans

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Speaker 2: and they're very well. Coached because if you look back

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Speaker 2: over the last twenty five, years you know the two

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Speaker 2: most profitable quarterbacks are against the spread in the first,

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Speaker 2: Half Joe flacco And Lamar. Jackson so common denominator there

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Speaker 2: is not, speed It's John. Harball so betting The ravens

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Speaker 2: first half gets spread is never a bad. Idea i've

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Speaker 2: learned that over the. Years BUT i don't Think i'll

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Speaker 2: be betting this, unless LIKE i get clarity on the

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Speaker 2: injury situation one way or the. Other and you know

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Speaker 2: you'll have to keep an eye on the action network.

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Speaker 2: Gap this is a mess from an injury.

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Speaker 1: Standpoint, yeah and it's weird to me that you, know

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Speaker 1: the line moved back in favor of The, bucks but

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Speaker 1: like the guy Who i'm thinking would be most responsible

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Speaker 1: for moving that line As Mark. Andrews but yet the

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Speaker 1: total is still staying at forty five and a, HALF

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Speaker 1: i would think the total would come down to half

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Speaker 1: point or. Something SO i can't even explain what's going

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Speaker 1: on with the line move at the.

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Speaker 3: Moment but, YEAH i, agree you can't back the.

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Speaker 1: BUCKS i, Mean Tom, brady this is what happens when

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Speaker 1: you're you're a forty five year old.

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Speaker 3: Quarterback but.

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Speaker 1: He's throwing short of the sticks on third down a

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Speaker 1: lot more THAN i ever remember him.

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Speaker 2: Doing AND i, right, oh yeah that. Too BUT i,

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Speaker 2: mean you, know did you see that fourth down throw

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Speaker 2: towards the end of the. Game, yeah that looks Like

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Speaker 2: wilson was out.

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Speaker 3: There it was it.

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Speaker 1: Was ugly, Man LIKE i just it's almost LIKE i

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Speaker 1: didn't recognize the. Guy sometimes it's like sometimes he looks Like.

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Speaker 1: Brady BUT i don't know if it's because he's older,

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Speaker 1: NOW i don't know if like what it, is if

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Speaker 1: it's just he's like he doesn't trust the. Line but

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Speaker 1: it's almost like he's he's like spooked in the pocket

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Speaker 1: to where he's just like it's like, third it'll be

194
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Speaker 1: like third and. Ten he'll take one step and just

195
00:09:55,040 --> 00:09:57,240
Speaker 1: dump it to four net or dump it to a

196
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Speaker 1: receiver running like a four yard in or something like,

197
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Speaker 1: that or a slam. Everything they're trying to get everything

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00:10:03,080 --> 00:10:05,960
Speaker 1: after the catch and it's not. Working so it's just

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Speaker 1: weird to me THAT i know they have issues with

200
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Speaker 1: the interior line and, whatnot but it's just weird to

201
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Speaker 1: me not Seeing brady at least hang in the pocket

202
00:10:15,160 --> 00:10:17,160
Speaker 1: a little bit to try to make something, happen because

203
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Speaker 1: it's like nothing's. Happening it's like it'd be one thing

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Speaker 1: if they were winning games and their defense was playing

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Speaker 1: well and they were still winning.

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Speaker 3: Games BUT da haven't been winning.

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Speaker 2: Games, yeah they're a mess right.

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Speaker 1: NOW i kind of gravitate toward the under you, Know Thursday.

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Speaker 1: Night it's JUST i, can't for the life of, me

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Speaker 1: explain why the total is not. Dropping If andrew's the biggest,

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Speaker 1: name like by, far this might be one you just

212
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Speaker 1: want to kind of stay away from or check the

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Speaker 1: app see if we've been any.

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Speaker 3: Props let's jump into The sunday.

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Speaker 2: Six pack Thursdayper.

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Speaker 4: Action let's crack open The sunday six.

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Speaker 1: Pack all, Right SO i think you were up heading

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Speaker 1: into the, week but the sweet putting me up by.

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Speaker 1: TWO i also have first pick this, week.

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Speaker 2: SO i Think it's twenty twenty four.

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Speaker 1: Two for my first pick of the week Eight sunday

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Speaker 1: six pack presented By Fan, DUEL i am going with

223
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Speaker 1: The Carolina panthers plus four and a half at The Atlanta.

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Speaker 3: Falcons and.

225
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Speaker 1: This Atlanta falcons, TEAM i don't even know if they

226
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Speaker 1: should be laying a field goal. Here you, know they

227
00:11:31,960 --> 00:11:34,240
Speaker 1: had a nice run six and one against the, spread

228
00:11:34,720 --> 00:11:37,679
Speaker 1: all came as an. Underdog now they're four and a

229
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Speaker 1: half point favorites against This panther. Team BUT i actually

230
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Speaker 1: think This panther team is Gonna you're gonna get a

231
00:11:43,440 --> 00:11:45,240
Speaker 1: really good effort out of This panther team for a

232
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Speaker 1: couple of. Reasons Number, one this team actually is kind

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Speaker 1: of rallying Behind wilkes and they want them to get the,

234
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Speaker 1: job so they're a motivated. Team they also they don't

235
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Speaker 1: feel like they're out of the, division especially after Beating Tampa,

236
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Speaker 1: bay so they have, confidence they're, motivated AND i think

237
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Speaker 1: they're gonna smell blood here In. Atlanta and obviously everyone's

238
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Speaker 1: gonna look at this and, say, okay but you know IT'S.

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Speaker 2: Pj.

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Speaker 1: Walker but when you look AT Pj, walker like most,

241
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Speaker 1: quarterbacks especially like most you, know second and third string.

242
00:12:16,240 --> 00:12:20,720
Speaker 1: Quarterbacks what does he struggle with? Pressure, obviously that's what

243
00:12:20,760 --> 00:12:23,679
Speaker 1: every quarterback struggles. With the lower down the depth chart you,

244
00:12:23,720 --> 00:12:25,280
Speaker 1: are the more you're likely to struggle under.

245
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Speaker 3: Pressure but This.

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Speaker 1: Falcons defense is dead last in The National Football league

247
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Speaker 1: in generating pressure on the. Quarterback twelve point seven percent

248
00:12:36,240 --> 00:12:39,800
Speaker 1: of opposing dropbacks do The falcons generate. Pressure that is dead.

249
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Speaker 1: Last so from a clean, POCKET. Pj walker has a

250
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Speaker 1: one to fifteen passer. Rating that's that's pretty. Good you,

251
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Speaker 1: Know it's just like any other starting. Quarterback SO i

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Speaker 1: don't think that The falcons defense is gonna bother This

253
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Speaker 1: carolina offense much at all and give you the BAD.

254
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Speaker 3: Pj walker.

255
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Speaker 1: Here and also The falcons now they can't cover. Either

256
00:13:04,280 --> 00:13:07,880
Speaker 1: they Lost Casey hayward and they LOST Aj terrell now,

257
00:13:07,920 --> 00:13:10,319
Speaker 1: Too So ajterrell And Casey hayle.

258
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Speaker 2: Jay hawks are starting safety as.

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Speaker 1: Well yeah, yeah but you Know hayward And. TERRELL i

260
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Speaker 1: mean that was actually. It we talked about this coming

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Speaker 1: into the, year like reasons why we liked The falcons

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Speaker 1: and we wanted to bet on, them and they probably

263
00:13:22,160 --> 00:13:23,960
Speaker 1: were gonna be feisty and cover a lot of. Spreads

264
00:13:24,040 --> 00:13:26,160
Speaker 1: because maybe they don't get, pressure but at least they

265
00:13:26,160 --> 00:13:29,480
Speaker 1: could cover on the. Outside now that's kind of. Compromised

266
00:13:29,920 --> 00:13:32,839
Speaker 1: hayward and Terrell gio up pus sixty two point seven completion.

267
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Speaker 3: Percentage and seven point nine to seven yards per.

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Speaker 1: Attempt the rest of the defense seventy nine point five

269
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Speaker 1: completion percentage eight point five yards per, attempt and those

270
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Speaker 1: two guys covered about twenty five percent of the targets

271
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Speaker 1: this year for The. Falcons so having both of them

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Speaker 1: out is a pretty big. Loss and This, falcon This carolina,

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Speaker 1: OFFENSE i think can do enough here if you're not

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Speaker 1: going to PRESSURE.

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Speaker 2: Pj.

276
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Speaker 1: Walker he's starting to form a connection with The moore

277
00:14:01,040 --> 00:14:05,040
Speaker 1: and The panthers, ALSO i, MEAN i was still impressed

278
00:14:05,080 --> 00:14:07,120
Speaker 1: with the way they were playing against That bucks. Defense

279
00:14:07,120 --> 00:14:09,280
Speaker 1: they were moving the ball on the, ground and you,

280
00:14:09,320 --> 00:14:11,920
Speaker 1: know that's still a pretty Good bucks, defense even with you,

281
00:14:11,960 --> 00:14:14,040
Speaker 1: know some guys going down in the. Game but they

282
00:14:14,040 --> 00:14:16,600
Speaker 1: went off for one hundred and seventy six yards and

283
00:14:16,679 --> 00:14:19,880
Speaker 1: a touchdown on twenty six. Carries The falcons are twenty

284
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Speaker 1: six in run DEFENSE, Dva SO i think The panthers

285
00:14:22,760 --> 00:14:24,720
Speaker 1: still be able to run the, ball AND i think

286
00:14:24,720 --> 00:14:26,200
Speaker 1: they're gonna be able to throw the ball because you're.

287
00:14:26,080 --> 00:14:27,520
Speaker 3: Not gonna get pressure On.

288
00:14:27,720 --> 00:14:31,160
Speaker 1: Walker and then on the other, side you, know The

289
00:14:31,200 --> 00:14:33,640
Speaker 1: panthers defense is better against the run in the, pass

290
00:14:33,680 --> 00:14:36,120
Speaker 1: which is always ideal when you play The. Falcons they're

291
00:14:36,160 --> 00:14:42,760
Speaker 1: thirteenth in run DEFENSE, dva and This falcons team is you,

292
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Speaker 1: know you Have Marcus. Mariota, well, okay he's not going

293
00:14:46,400 --> 00:14:50,480
Speaker 1: to really hurt you throwing the ball. Anyway But carolina

294
00:14:51,200 --> 00:14:53,480
Speaker 1: one point seven to six yards per carry allowed to.

295
00:14:53,600 --> 00:14:56,760
Speaker 1: Quarterbacks that is the lowest mark in THE. Nfl they

296
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Speaker 1: allowed just twenty one yards on ten carries To Daniel

297
00:14:59,720 --> 00:15:02,680
Speaker 1: jones In week, two just twenty six yards on twelve

298
00:15:02,760 --> 00:15:04,480
Speaker 1: carries To Kyra murray In week.

299
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Speaker 3: Four so This panthers defense shut down mobile.

300
00:15:08,680 --> 00:15:13,440
Speaker 1: Quarterbacks they're pretty good against the, run and on, offense

301
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Speaker 1: you're not gonna get pressure ON.

302
00:15:14,960 --> 00:15:15,200
Speaker 3: Pj.

303
00:15:15,320 --> 00:15:18,040
Speaker 1: WALKER i don't see how you're giving me four and

304
00:15:18,080 --> 00:15:20,320
Speaker 1: a half points. Here and on top of, that like

305
00:15:20,920 --> 00:15:23,280
Speaker 1: it's funny THAT i, THINK i really think this line

306
00:15:23,360 --> 00:15:25,360
Speaker 1: is like this just because it's like everyone THINKS. Pj

307
00:15:25,440 --> 00:15:28,360
Speaker 1: walker is the worst quarterback, ever BUT Pj walker is

308
00:15:28,360 --> 00:15:31,760
Speaker 1: actually three and one against the. Spread his average cover

309
00:15:31,880 --> 00:15:34,360
Speaker 1: is by twenty point four points a. Game last week

310
00:15:34,360 --> 00:15:37,520
Speaker 1: Against tampa plus thirteen and a, half won twenty one to.

311
00:15:37,560 --> 00:15:39,600
Speaker 1: Three then he had he was plus ten against The,

312
00:15:39,640 --> 00:15:40,680
Speaker 1: rams lost twenty four to.

313
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Speaker 3: Ten so that was only a four point.

314
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Speaker 1: Miss november, fourteenth twenty twenty one At arizona plus seven

315
00:15:47,680 --> 00:15:49,080
Speaker 1: The panthers win thirty four to.

316
00:15:49,120 --> 00:15:50,760
Speaker 3: Ten that's a massive.

317
00:15:50,800 --> 00:15:54,640
Speaker 1: Swing and plus three At detroit In november of twenty

318
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Speaker 1: twenty and they shut him out twenty.

319
00:15:56,640 --> 00:15:57,320
Speaker 3: Nothing SO.

320
00:15:58,440 --> 00:16:02,440
Speaker 1: Pj walker has actually been just fine against the, spread

321
00:16:02,480 --> 00:16:05,040
Speaker 1: three outright wins as an. UNDERDOG i wouldn't be surprised

322
00:16:05,080 --> 00:16:06,520
Speaker 1: if The panthers win this. GAME i think they're a

323
00:16:06,520 --> 00:16:08,600
Speaker 1: more confidence. TEAM i think they're a more motivated. Team

324
00:16:08,920 --> 00:16:11,680
Speaker 1: and with all Of atlanta's, INJURIES i Think carolina actry

325
00:16:11,760 --> 00:16:12,320
Speaker 1: might be the better.

326
00:16:12,360 --> 00:16:17,400
Speaker 2: Team so give Me. Carolina, yeah with these secondary, INJURIES i,

327
00:16:17,440 --> 00:16:19,840
Speaker 2: mean you're counting on D alford like you're hoping The

328
00:16:19,840 --> 00:16:21,840
Speaker 2: falcons are hoping D alford is healthy enough to play

329
00:16:21,840 --> 00:16:24,720
Speaker 2: with a hamstring injury at, cornerback that's not great spot

330
00:16:24,800 --> 00:16:28,040
Speaker 2: to be. In so, YEAH i don't hate. IT i

331
00:16:28,480 --> 00:16:30,200
Speaker 2: think a lot of this will cut the, game WILL

332
00:16:30,280 --> 00:16:31,480
Speaker 2: i will say that a lot of the game will

333
00:16:31,480 --> 00:16:35,200
Speaker 2: come down to. Script like The. FALCONS i know they've

334
00:16:35,200 --> 00:16:36,920
Speaker 2: gotten in the back door a couple of times, Luckily

335
00:16:37,120 --> 00:16:39,600
Speaker 2: but The falcons want to play from, ahead, right and

336
00:16:39,600 --> 00:16:41,480
Speaker 2: then they just want to run the ball and then

337
00:16:41,600 --> 00:16:44,320
Speaker 2: just kind of lean on. You if you force them

338
00:16:44,320 --> 00:16:48,040
Speaker 2: to play from, behind it's not going to end well for.

339
00:16:48,080 --> 00:16:51,480
Speaker 2: Them SO i do think that The panthers will need

340
00:16:51,520 --> 00:16:54,280
Speaker 2: to either get a leader stay in this early OTHERWISE

341
00:16:54,480 --> 00:16:57,040
Speaker 2: i think it really Favors, Atlanta and If carolina does

342
00:16:57,080 --> 00:16:59,200
Speaker 2: come out and jumps On, ATLANTA i think it really

343
00:16:59,200 --> 00:17:02,200
Speaker 2: favors The panthers than just a. Note but, NO i

344
00:17:02,200 --> 00:17:04,320
Speaker 2: don't mind this at. All the craziest thing, though is

345
00:17:04,800 --> 00:17:06,800
Speaker 2: if The ravens beat The bucks and The ravens are,

346
00:17:06,800 --> 00:17:10,320
Speaker 2: favored and The raiders beat The saints and The raiders are,

347
00:17:10,320 --> 00:17:13,800
Speaker 2: favored then The panthers will be all alone in first

348
00:17:13,840 --> 00:17:16,680
Speaker 2: place in the. Division, yeah they went On sunday solo

349
00:17:17,520 --> 00:17:22,160
Speaker 2: first place in the. Division they just fired their coach

350
00:17:22,160 --> 00:17:25,920
Speaker 2: and traded their franchise player two weeks. Ago THE nfc

351
00:17:26,600 --> 00:17:27,159
Speaker 2: is a dumpster.

352
00:17:27,200 --> 00:17:30,040
Speaker 1: Fire, yeah, MAN i really think this pantsy smoked one.

353
00:17:30,080 --> 00:17:32,520
Speaker 1: Too Like i've just been watching them like they. Have

354
00:17:32,720 --> 00:17:34,879
Speaker 1: LIKE i know you've talked about like the you, know

355
00:17:34,960 --> 00:17:37,800
Speaker 1: the interim coach kind of, bump and it usually wears,

356
00:17:37,800 --> 00:17:40,199
Speaker 1: off BUT i still see it for The panthers that

357
00:17:40,200 --> 00:17:40,880
Speaker 1: we right.

358
00:17:40,920 --> 00:17:43,320
Speaker 3: Now so, Yeah I'm i'm gonna ride them while they're,

359
00:17:43,320 --> 00:17:44,879
Speaker 3: hot all.

360
00:17:44,960 --> 00:17:47,160
Speaker 2: Right by the, Way, oh for what it's, worth riding

361
00:17:47,480 --> 00:17:51,960
Speaker 2: dogs of over a field goal this year has been

362
00:17:52,680 --> 00:17:56,639
Speaker 2: a very profitable. Strategy forty four and twenty two against

363
00:17:56,680 --> 00:17:59,600
Speaker 2: the spread underdogs of over three points this. Year part

364
00:17:59,640 --> 00:18:03,520
Speaker 2: of that is not surprising because scoring is, Down so

365
00:18:03,600 --> 00:18:07,280
Speaker 2: with scoring, down it makes it harder to build. Margin

366
00:18:07,760 --> 00:18:09,840
Speaker 2: but that is the best start for underdogs who over

367
00:18:09,880 --> 00:18:13,159
Speaker 2: a field goal through seven games in the last twenty five.

368
00:18:13,280 --> 00:18:17,480
Speaker 2: Years all, right let's move on to my first pick

369
00:18:17,480 --> 00:18:22,160
Speaker 2: in the second overall of the week Eight sunday six

370
00:18:22,240 --> 00:18:26,639
Speaker 2: pack presented By. FanDuel speaking of the Dumpster FIRE nfc

371
00:18:26,840 --> 00:18:31,800
Speaker 2: and speaking of underdogs of over a field, Goal i'm

372
00:18:31,840 --> 00:18:36,040
Speaker 2: going with The Arizona cardinals plus three and a half

373
00:18:36,119 --> 00:18:39,640
Speaker 2: at The Minnesota. Vikings this is a perception play. HERE

374
00:18:39,760 --> 00:18:43,160
Speaker 2: i think that people think that The vikings are better

375
00:18:43,200 --> 00:18:45,959
Speaker 2: than they, are and people think that The cardinals are

376
00:18:45,960 --> 00:18:47,240
Speaker 2: worse than they. Are but let's break that down a.

377
00:18:47,240 --> 00:18:48,880
Speaker 2: Little and by the, way this is the only time

378
00:18:48,920 --> 00:18:51,159
Speaker 2: you'll rera least be playing my, Boy, cliff but this

379
00:18:51,280 --> 00:18:54,679
Speaker 2: is pretty much the ideal. Time And i'll get into all.

380
00:18:54,760 --> 00:18:58,600
Speaker 2: This you Have, hopkins it's still not the second half

381
00:18:58,640 --> 00:19:02,800
Speaker 2: of the season on the road as an, underdog And

382
00:19:03,359 --> 00:19:05,880
Speaker 2: kingsbury's fifteen to three and two against the spread as

383
00:19:05,880 --> 00:19:09,080
Speaker 2: the road underdog eighty three point three, percent covering by

384
00:19:09,080 --> 00:19:13,159
Speaker 2: ten points per. Game he's won eight straight outright on

385
00:19:13,200 --> 00:19:16,120
Speaker 2: the road as an. Underdog and Then hopkins is. Back

386
00:19:16,200 --> 00:19:18,480
Speaker 2: and for what it's, Worth Kyler murray had his first

387
00:19:18,480 --> 00:19:22,080
Speaker 2: game with one hundred plus quarterback rating last week of the,

388
00:19:22,119 --> 00:19:24,440
Speaker 2: season and that was With hopkins. Back he looked. Great

389
00:19:24,440 --> 00:19:26,639
Speaker 2: maybe he targeted fourteen. Times he had ten catches for

390
00:19:26,640 --> 00:19:29,639
Speaker 2: one hundred and three. Yards mary's a completely different quarterback

391
00:19:29,640 --> 00:19:32,399
Speaker 2: with him on the. Field he opens up the, field

392
00:19:32,440 --> 00:19:34,600
Speaker 2: down the sidelines a little, bit and he's just a

393
00:19:34,640 --> 00:19:37,960
Speaker 2: reliable third down. Target murray With hopkins nine and, two

394
00:19:38,760 --> 00:19:44,080
Speaker 2: seventy one percent completion, percentage nine touched to twenty, touchdowns nine,

395
00:19:44,119 --> 00:19:48,639
Speaker 2: interceptions two hundred and seventy one yards per. Game without

396
00:19:48,720 --> 00:19:52,640
Speaker 2: Him he's three and, seven a sixty four percent completion,

397
00:19:52,720 --> 00:19:57,000
Speaker 2: percentage eleven touchdowns to six, interceptions and only two hundred

398
00:19:57,000 --> 00:20:01,160
Speaker 2: and thirty eight yards per. Game arizona overall with or Without,

399
00:20:01,240 --> 00:20:05,840
Speaker 2: murray With hopkins in twenty seven, games raveraging twenty seven

400
00:20:05,880 --> 00:20:10,240
Speaker 2: points without him and thirteen games without him eighteen point,

401
00:20:10,400 --> 00:20:13,760
Speaker 2: six almost ten points few or per. Game so you

402
00:20:13,840 --> 00:20:16,000
Speaker 2: Got hopkins in, there you Got cliff on the, road

403
00:20:16,119 --> 00:20:19,040
Speaker 2: you got no call of duty distractions For. Kyler and

404
00:20:19,119 --> 00:20:20,920
Speaker 2: if you look at both of these, teams, Look vikings

405
00:20:20,920 --> 00:20:22,520
Speaker 2: are coming off of a, BYE i get, it But

406
00:20:22,560 --> 00:20:25,240
Speaker 2: cardinals are coming off the mini bye they played On thursday.

407
00:20:25,320 --> 00:20:27,840
Speaker 2: Night kind of mitigates. That Kirk, cousins for whatever it's,

408
00:20:27,880 --> 00:20:29,840
Speaker 2: WORTH i don't know if It's meanings or, not but

409
00:20:29,880 --> 00:20:31,840
Speaker 2: it hasn't been. Great it's actually been bad off the

410
00:20:31,880 --> 00:20:34,480
Speaker 2: buy and with extended. Rest but if you look at

411
00:20:34,520 --> 00:20:37,640
Speaker 2: these two teams, profiles The, cardinals if you look at their,

412
00:20:37,640 --> 00:20:41,000
Speaker 2: defense they ranked nineteenth and epa per play on the.

413
00:20:41,040 --> 00:20:44,680
Speaker 2: Season but if you've just removed week, one, okay well

414
00:20:44,680 --> 00:20:47,080
Speaker 2: we Removed week. One well we talked about that the

415
00:20:47,200 --> 00:20:49,400
Speaker 2: game was a. Farce they were playing The chiefs number,

416
00:20:49,400 --> 00:20:53,159
Speaker 2: one and they had six starters out on, defense so

417
00:20:53,200 --> 00:20:56,680
Speaker 2: if you remove, that you know all those, injuries they're

418
00:20:56,760 --> 00:21:01,000
Speaker 2: eight eighth since week one on, defense defense is trending.

419
00:21:01,080 --> 00:21:04,000
Speaker 2: Up where are The vikings the after playing That packers,

420
00:21:04,000 --> 00:21:06,680
Speaker 2: team you, know droped the eighty order and from week two,

421
00:21:06,720 --> 00:21:09,800
Speaker 2: on where are The vikings at? Nineteenth which is where

422
00:21:09,800 --> 00:21:11,359
Speaker 2: The cardinals are for the. Season SO i think That

423
00:21:11,520 --> 00:21:14,880
Speaker 2: i'll take The cardinals defense right now over The vikings.

424
00:21:14,920 --> 00:21:19,080
Speaker 2: Defense the offense Also Nallas hopkins, back and last week

425
00:21:19,119 --> 00:21:21,639
Speaker 2: they figured out some THINGS i think on the offensive,

426
00:21:21,680 --> 00:21:25,200
Speaker 2: line Like Rodney Rodney hudson's questionable if he can't, go

427
00:21:26,000 --> 00:21:28,480
Speaker 2: they were you, know then you have pew was heard

428
00:21:28,560 --> 00:21:31,919
Speaker 2: and they had a couple of guys get. Hurt but

429
00:21:32,000 --> 00:21:35,080
Speaker 2: they put In Billy price at center And Cody ford

430
00:21:35,119 --> 00:21:38,679
Speaker 2: at left. Guard best Protection colinmary has had all. Year Sean,

431
00:21:38,720 --> 00:21:42,280
Speaker 2: harlow their backup original backup center was a, disaster lowest

432
00:21:42,320 --> 00:21:44,520
Speaker 2: rated center in the, league played like four. Games so

433
00:21:44,600 --> 00:21:47,000
Speaker 2: the protection looked a lot better against The. SAINTS i

434
00:21:47,040 --> 00:21:49,320
Speaker 2: think that even If hudson doesn't, go they're in much

435
00:21:49,359 --> 00:21:51,720
Speaker 2: better shape along the offensive. Line and then when we

436
00:21:51,720 --> 00:21:53,159
Speaker 2: look at The. VIKINGS i just think that they're a

437
00:21:53,160 --> 00:21:55,919
Speaker 2: complete paper. TIGER i, mean they're five and, one but

438
00:21:56,280 --> 00:21:59,200
Speaker 2: and they've won four in a, row all by one

439
00:21:59,200 --> 00:22:04,359
Speaker 2: possession against The, Bears, Lions, saints And. Dolphins and that

440
00:22:04,440 --> 00:22:08,520
Speaker 2: includes one backup and a third string. Quarterback miami out

441
00:22:08,560 --> 00:22:11,199
Speaker 2: gained them four fifty eight to two thirty four with

442
00:22:11,320 --> 00:22:15,120
Speaker 2: multiple backup quarterbacks six point three to four point seven

443
00:22:15,200 --> 00:22:18,680
Speaker 2: yards per. Play they lost the turnover battles oh three to,

444
00:22:18,720 --> 00:22:21,960
Speaker 2: nothing and they had one hundred penalty. Yards lions out

445
00:22:21,960 --> 00:22:24,840
Speaker 2: gained them even yards per, play a ton of penalty yards,

446
00:22:24,880 --> 00:22:29,160
Speaker 2: Too saints even yards a yard more per, play lost

447
00:22:29,160 --> 00:22:32,800
Speaker 2: the turnover battle one hundred and five penalty, Yards bears

448
00:22:32,880 --> 00:22:35,479
Speaker 2: even dead even yards per. Play these are coin, like

449
00:22:36,200 --> 00:22:38,520
Speaker 2: close to coin flip games that The vikings are winning

450
00:22:38,520 --> 00:22:42,000
Speaker 2: against backups and bad. Teams SO i think this sets

451
00:22:42,080 --> 00:22:45,920
Speaker 2: up for a really good spot for a Desperate cardinals.

452
00:22:45,920 --> 00:22:47,600
Speaker 2: Team they need this game on the road off the

453
00:22:47,640 --> 00:22:51,520
Speaker 2: mini bye With hopkins. Back defense is better than people.

454
00:22:51,600 --> 00:22:54,679
Speaker 2: Think offensive LINE i think is in a better spot

455
00:22:54,720 --> 00:22:57,560
Speaker 2: than it's. Been and this is the spot that you, Back.

456
00:22:57,600 --> 00:23:00,199
Speaker 2: Cliff give me The cardinals as a road.

457
00:23:00,280 --> 00:23:02,199
Speaker 3: Dog, YEAH i love this.

458
00:23:02,240 --> 00:23:06,240
Speaker 1: PLAY i already bet The, Cardinals so this is a

459
00:23:06,240 --> 00:23:09,320
Speaker 1: play THAT i would have drafted if you hadn't taken.

460
00:23:09,359 --> 00:23:10,880
Speaker 1: It SO i know we went head to head last,

461
00:23:10,920 --> 00:23:15,760
Speaker 1: week but this Week i'll actually just reinforce like.

462
00:23:15,920 --> 00:23:17,639
Speaker 2: That by the, WAY i only took this. FIRST i

463
00:23:17,640 --> 00:23:19,400
Speaker 2: would have taken at, second BUT i was, like Ray

464
00:23:19,400 --> 00:23:21,560
Speaker 2: bun definitely gonna take, this AND i don't take it,

465
00:23:21,600 --> 00:23:22,439
Speaker 2: first LIKE i.

466
00:23:22,480 --> 00:23:26,280
Speaker 1: Mean so The cardinals point differential with and Without hopkins

467
00:23:26,320 --> 00:23:29,920
Speaker 1: since he was acquired plus six with, him minus four

468
00:23:29,960 --> 00:23:32,080
Speaker 1: point four without, him that is a ten point four

469
00:23:32,480 --> 00:23:37,000
Speaker 1: point swing against the spread differential plus three point four With,

470
00:23:37,119 --> 00:23:40,239
Speaker 1: hopkins minus four point four Without. Hopkins that is a

471
00:23:40,400 --> 00:23:44,760
Speaker 1: seven point eight against the spread differential with and Without.

472
00:23:44,760 --> 00:23:47,159
Speaker 1: Hopkins and then you look at this matchup and The

473
00:23:47,240 --> 00:23:51,240
Speaker 1: vikens defense thirty first AND dvoa against number one, Receivers,

474
00:23:51,480 --> 00:23:54,440
Speaker 1: well who you want to Target. Hopkins they're also dead

475
00:23:54,480 --> 00:23:57,639
Speaker 1: last against tight. Ends that's For. Ertz and then on

476
00:23:57,680 --> 00:24:01,639
Speaker 1: the other, side The cardinals are three IN dvoa against

477
00:24:01,720 --> 00:24:04,480
Speaker 1: number one and number two, receivers which is exactly what

478
00:24:04,560 --> 00:24:08,040
Speaker 1: you did when you're going Against jefferson And, thilan and

479
00:24:08,359 --> 00:24:13,320
Speaker 1: they're six against the. Run so like everything from a

480
00:24:13,359 --> 00:24:17,239
Speaker 1: matchup standpoint winds up. Perfectly The cardinals have blitzed at

481
00:24:17,240 --> 00:24:21,800
Speaker 1: the second highest. Rate Kirk cousin's passer rating when he's

482
00:24:21,840 --> 00:24:26,560
Speaker 1: blitzed is only sixty eight point. Two SO i mean

483
00:24:26,600 --> 00:24:31,080
Speaker 1: everything just winds up perfectly for This cardinal team matchup,

484
00:24:31,119 --> 00:24:35,120
Speaker 1: wise like beyond just the trend of The cardinals exceeding

485
00:24:35,119 --> 00:24:35,800
Speaker 1: expectations on the.

486
00:24:35,840 --> 00:24:37,960
Speaker 3: Road SO i love. THIS i already bet. IT i

487
00:24:37,960 --> 00:24:38,560
Speaker 3: know would have taken.

488
00:24:38,560 --> 00:24:40,840
Speaker 2: It love it all.

489
00:24:40,960 --> 00:24:43,320
Speaker 3: Right for my second.

490
00:24:43,320 --> 00:24:46,200
Speaker 1: Pick and the third overall the week Eight sunday six

491
00:24:46,280 --> 00:24:51,680
Speaker 1: pack presented By Fan, DUEL i am going with The

492
00:24:51,840 --> 00:24:57,400
Speaker 1: Washington commanders plus three at The Indianapolis colts and back

493
00:24:57,440 --> 00:25:00,680
Speaker 1: to your, boys my, BOYS i told You Wentz jail

494
00:25:01,119 --> 00:25:03,440
Speaker 1: LIKE i would not bet on this team At, wentz

495
00:25:03,480 --> 00:25:05,080
Speaker 1: But i'll do it with Hein nikey all. Day but,

496
00:25:05,520 --> 00:25:08,280
Speaker 1: really this is a simple one for. ME i am

497
00:25:08,359 --> 00:25:13,920
Speaker 1: getting points with a six round pick making his first pro,

498
00:25:13,960 --> 00:25:16,200
Speaker 1: start AND i think this is WHAT i think is

499
00:25:16,200 --> 00:25:16,680
Speaker 1: happening with this.

500
00:25:16,800 --> 00:25:20,040
Speaker 3: Line i'm sure Some i'm sure there's gonna Doan.

501
00:25:20,119 --> 00:25:22,520
Speaker 2: Walker by the, way you're off the hot start. Quarterback oh,

502
00:25:22,560 --> 00:25:23,520
Speaker 2: YEAH i love. IT i love.

503
00:25:23,520 --> 00:25:28,000
Speaker 1: It but like, So i'm guessing there's probably some some

504
00:25:28,080 --> 00:25:31,400
Speaker 1: big money at hit The colts or. SOMETHING i don't,

505
00:25:31,400 --> 00:25:33,840
Speaker 1: know but here's What i'm thinking is happening with this.

506
00:25:33,920 --> 00:25:36,359
Speaker 1: Line at least from my vantage, POINT i think you're

507
00:25:36,400 --> 00:25:42,480
Speaker 1: getting Some ewinger preseason inflation and you're getting Some Bailey

508
00:25:42,560 --> 00:25:43,760
Speaker 1: zappi Inflation.

509
00:25:44,480 --> 00:25:51,000
Speaker 5: Faily zappy because now that people have seen another quarterback

510
00:25:51,000 --> 00:25:52,760
Speaker 5: who started the year third on the depth chart come

511
00:25:52,760 --> 00:25:55,040
Speaker 5: in and be better or at least be.

512
00:25:54,920 --> 00:25:57,880
Speaker 1: Better for you, know look better for a few games

513
00:25:58,080 --> 00:26:00,320
Speaker 1: then the other two guys on the depth, tar NOW

514
00:26:00,359 --> 00:26:02,440
Speaker 1: i feel like people think anyone could do. That And, Ellinger,

515
00:26:02,880 --> 00:26:04,960
Speaker 1: yeah in the preseason he was twenty four to twenty,

516
00:26:05,040 --> 00:26:07,439
Speaker 1: nine two hundred and eighty four, yards four, touchdowns no,

517
00:26:07,520 --> 00:26:10,040
Speaker 1: picks and he had seventy one yards and a long

518
00:26:10,119 --> 00:26:11,040
Speaker 1: rushing touchdown as.

519
00:26:11,040 --> 00:26:11,280
Speaker 3: Well.

520
00:26:11,520 --> 00:26:14,680
Speaker 1: WELL i went back and watched every single snap and

521
00:26:15,440 --> 00:26:18,439
Speaker 1: it was essentially like him Playing madden on, Rookie like

522
00:26:18,840 --> 00:26:22,399
Speaker 1: the defenders are just leaving receivers wide. Open on his

523
00:26:22,680 --> 00:26:25,040
Speaker 1: long touchdown, run it was like they were playing man

524
00:26:25,080 --> 00:26:27,679
Speaker 1: coverage and the seas just parted and then like the

525
00:26:27,840 --> 00:26:31,119
Speaker 1: last line of defense made the dumbest attempt at tackle. Ever, like,

526
00:26:31,400 --> 00:26:34,800
Speaker 1: So i'm not reading too much into these preseason, numbers

527
00:26:35,640 --> 00:26:39,080
Speaker 1: AND i get really bad vibes from what's happening In

528
00:26:39,080 --> 00:26:43,120
Speaker 1: indianapolis because it would be one thing if they were

529
00:26:43,160 --> 00:26:49,399
Speaker 1: transitioning To, ellinger Because Frank, reich you, know kind of you,

530
00:26:49,400 --> 00:26:51,240
Speaker 1: know in the back of his, mind he was, like you,

531
00:26:51,280 --> 00:26:53,240
Speaker 1: KNOW i could probably do so much more with this

532
00:26:53,359 --> 00:26:56,320
Speaker 1: offense with a mobile, guy and you, know he had

533
00:26:56,400 --> 00:26:58,919
Speaker 1: kind of building up the ideas of how he would

534
00:26:59,280 --> 00:27:01,520
Speaker 1: switch things up and run things if you had, them

535
00:27:01,600 --> 00:27:04,080
Speaker 1: kind of Like shanahan when he Had jimmy g but he,

536
00:27:04,200 --> 00:27:07,199
Speaker 1: was you, know fantasizing about a quarterback Like. Lance but

537
00:27:08,080 --> 00:27:10,880
Speaker 1: What i'm hearing is that this was An ersay, move

538
00:27:11,720 --> 00:27:15,240
Speaker 1: And ersay was the one that essentially, said, NO i

539
00:27:15,280 --> 00:27:18,120
Speaker 1: want to we need to play this, guy And ersa

540
00:27:18,320 --> 00:27:23,080
Speaker 1: essentially drinking the preseason kool, aid and that is that

541
00:27:23,240 --> 00:27:25,720
Speaker 1: just spells disaster because now you're gonna Have now you're

542
00:27:25,760 --> 00:27:29,000
Speaker 1: just gonna get like a game plan that first of,

543
00:27:29,000 --> 00:27:30,679
Speaker 1: all we don't know if right even wants to come

544
00:27:30,720 --> 00:27:30,919
Speaker 1: up with.

545
00:27:31,000 --> 00:27:33,520
Speaker 3: It second of, all we don't know how good it's gonna.

546
00:27:33,520 --> 00:27:35,000
Speaker 1: Be A we're probably just gonna get a game plan

547
00:27:35,040 --> 00:27:39,640
Speaker 1: where you, know they're very one. Dimensional they're not really

548
00:27:39,640 --> 00:27:42,280
Speaker 1: gonna do anything down the. Field they're just gonna do

549
00:27:42,320 --> 00:27:44,240
Speaker 1: a lot of you, know a lot of. Handoffs you,

550
00:27:44,280 --> 00:27:47,800
Speaker 1: know maybe some quarterback keepers and stuff like. That but you,

551
00:27:47,840 --> 00:27:49,639
Speaker 1: KNOW i think that plays right Into washington's. HANDS i,

552
00:27:49,680 --> 00:27:52,760
Speaker 1: mean we've talked about. This washington is number four in

553
00:27:53,160 --> 00:27:55,640
Speaker 1: d V a against the. Run they're a very good run.

554
00:27:55,680 --> 00:27:59,760
Speaker 1: Defense they're allowing uh well under four yards per carry

555
00:27:59,800 --> 00:28:03,760
Speaker 1: to posing running backs over the last five, weeks and

556
00:28:04,280 --> 00:28:08,840
Speaker 1: they also get pressure at a very high. Rate so you, Know, ellener,

557
00:28:09,240 --> 00:28:13,000
Speaker 1: yes he's he can move, around but he also had

558
00:28:13,040 --> 00:28:16,080
Speaker 1: a thirty eight percent pressure To sackerate in the. Preseason

559
00:28:16,280 --> 00:28:18,760
Speaker 1: this guy goes down a lot and he's Very he

560
00:28:18,800 --> 00:28:21,480
Speaker 1: had a he had a three point two five average

561
00:28:21,520 --> 00:28:24,439
Speaker 1: time to throw three point two five second average time to.

562
00:28:24,440 --> 00:28:28,600
Speaker 1: Throw that would be longer than everybody except justin. Fields

563
00:28:28,680 --> 00:28:31,200
Speaker 1: and you, know if you hold the ball against His washington,

564
00:28:31,240 --> 00:28:33,399
Speaker 1: front they're gonna get to. You they're gonna sack. You

565
00:28:34,480 --> 00:28:35,600
Speaker 1: SO i just don't.

566
00:28:35,359 --> 00:28:37,520
Speaker 2: Think lean on.

567
00:28:37,560 --> 00:28:38,800
Speaker 3: That, Yeah SO i.

568
00:28:38,800 --> 00:28:41,040
Speaker 1: DON'T i don't think like what he did in a

569
00:28:41,080 --> 00:28:42,480
Speaker 1: preseason is sustainable at.

570
00:28:42,520 --> 00:28:42,920
Speaker 2: All it.

571
00:28:42,960 --> 00:28:45,080
Speaker 1: Was it was fun to, watch LIKE i admit, it

572
00:28:45,160 --> 00:28:47,200
Speaker 1: like And i'm kind of excited to see. Him it's

573
00:28:47,200 --> 00:28:50,200
Speaker 1: better than Watching Matt ryan out there just you, know

574
00:28:50,400 --> 00:28:54,680
Speaker 1: waste away his last few games before he justent just

575
00:28:54,720 --> 00:28:57,360
Speaker 1: like blows up and turns into a.

576
00:28:57,560 --> 00:28:59,520
Speaker 3: Rock the hype is way too much.

577
00:28:59,560 --> 00:29:02,920
Speaker 1: Here So i'm getting three points against against A day

578
00:29:02,960 --> 00:29:06,000
Speaker 1: three pick making his first. Start and by the, Way

579
00:29:06,320 --> 00:29:09,000
Speaker 1: heinikey is kind of The it's, Like, Okay washington has

580
00:29:09,000 --> 00:29:11,840
Speaker 1: a backup quarterback, too, well it's a Different this guy

581
00:29:11,880 --> 00:29:14,400
Speaker 1: is a backup quarterback who started all of last, year

582
00:29:14,840 --> 00:29:16,760
Speaker 1: a backup quarterback who started a playoff.

583
00:29:16,800 --> 00:29:18,360
Speaker 3: Game That winder is a third.

584
00:29:18,120 --> 00:29:20,800
Speaker 1: Stream guy who the owner kind of medaled in and

585
00:29:20,880 --> 00:29:23,280
Speaker 1: the coaching staff really probably hasn't even been thinking up

586
00:29:23,280 --> 00:29:23,720
Speaker 1: ways to.

587
00:29:23,800 --> 00:29:25,280
Speaker 3: Use him until like.

588
00:29:25,960 --> 00:29:30,760
Speaker 1: Now And heinicky last nine games Since november of last,

589
00:29:30,800 --> 00:29:35,480
Speaker 1: season seven and two against the. Spread one of those

590
00:29:35,480 --> 00:29:37,680
Speaker 1: against the spread losses was by a half a, point

591
00:29:37,920 --> 00:29:40,680
Speaker 1: so you, Know heinik's been doing this. Thing he threw

592
00:29:40,800 --> 00:29:43,920
Speaker 1: about seventy six percent of his passes ten yards if

593
00:29:43,920 --> 00:29:46,280
Speaker 1: he were beyond the line of scrimmage last week, well

594
00:29:46,400 --> 00:29:49,400
Speaker 1: the coach twenty six IN dva on short.

595
00:29:49,440 --> 00:29:52,200
Speaker 3: Passes SO i don't Think heinicky has to do too much.

596
00:29:52,200 --> 00:29:55,840
Speaker 1: Here washington has a lot of, guys you, Know, Gibson samuel, McLaurin,

597
00:29:56,480 --> 00:29:58,320
Speaker 1: robbins a lot of. Guys they kiss, it they can

598
00:29:58,360 --> 00:30:02,280
Speaker 1: put the ball in their, hands get, it just do enough.

599
00:30:02,560 --> 00:30:02,800
Speaker 2: Enough.

600
00:30:02,880 --> 00:30:05,000
Speaker 1: YEAR i think it's gonna kind of be like The chicago.

601
00:30:05,120 --> 00:30:07,480
Speaker 1: Game you, know Like ellen is gonna hold the ball a,

602
00:30:07,520 --> 00:30:10,160
Speaker 1: Lot he's not gonna really do, much and then you're

603
00:30:10,160 --> 00:30:13,520
Speaker 1: gonna struggle to. Run and so, YEAH i Think heineke

604
00:30:13,640 --> 00:30:17,880
Speaker 1: can do enough. Year give me The commanders plus three In.

605
00:30:17,880 --> 00:30:20,120
Speaker 1: INDIANAPOLIS i had.

606
00:30:19,960 --> 00:30:22,440
Speaker 2: No feel here AND i just can't get back up

607
00:30:22,520 --> 00:30:24,920
Speaker 2: quarterbacks right like rip. IT i know that they probably

608
00:30:24,920 --> 00:30:27,160
Speaker 2: should have. Won and ANYTIME i fade him sometimes they

609
00:30:27,200 --> 00:30:30,400
Speaker 2: get a bump on the first first time quarterback Is

610
00:30:30,440 --> 00:30:32,200
Speaker 2: so MAYBE i don't. KNOW i don't know what to

611
00:30:32,240 --> 00:30:35,280
Speaker 2: expect From. Allinger heinike is a high variants, quarterback so

612
00:30:35,400 --> 00:30:37,400
Speaker 2: like is he he might give you a pick six

613
00:30:37,440 --> 00:30:40,120
Speaker 2: here or, there and he's gonna make Some he's gonna

614
00:30:40,120 --> 00:30:43,600
Speaker 2: try to make. Plays so there's definitely some variants in his.

615
00:30:43,640 --> 00:30:46,200
Speaker 2: Game but, YEAH i don't disagree with the vibes around

616
00:30:46,240 --> 00:30:50,080
Speaker 2: The colts and it doesn't sound or feel like anything's

617
00:30:50,120 --> 00:30:52,360
Speaker 2: going right. There and, yeah if that was a nurse say,

618
00:30:52,440 --> 00:30:55,480
Speaker 2: call maybe he's back into the carrying around a briefcase

619
00:30:55,480 --> 00:30:58,920
Speaker 2: full of oxy codon and hydro codon and twenty nine

620
00:30:58,960 --> 00:30:59,640
Speaker 2: thousand dollars in.

621
00:30:59,680 --> 00:31:01,640
Speaker 1: CASH i don't, know you should give it To Matt.

622
00:31:01,680 --> 00:31:04,239
Speaker 1: Ryan he probably needs it after taking over of damn. Hit.

623
00:31:04,400 --> 00:31:06,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah the offensive line is the.

624
00:31:06,120 --> 00:31:08,920
Speaker 1: Grass it's not you tell me this like last week

625
00:31:09,000 --> 00:31:11,400
Speaker 1: you were telling, me like you, know this is absurd

626
00:31:11,440 --> 00:31:14,320
Speaker 1: That denver is you, know has this kind of line

627
00:31:14,440 --> 00:31:17,840
Speaker 1: in a situation where they were IN i mean we're

628
00:31:17,840 --> 00:31:22,040
Speaker 1: talking about we are getting points with a third string

629
00:31:22,160 --> 00:31:26,240
Speaker 1: guy who the owner. Chose LIKE i, DON'T i don't,

630
00:31:26,240 --> 00:31:28,040
Speaker 1: See LIKE i feel like you take this every, time

631
00:31:28,120 --> 00:31:30,760
Speaker 1: like IF i, LOSE i, lose it's like, fine you

632
00:31:30,840 --> 00:31:34,040
Speaker 1: got me. Pots but like we're getting points for a

633
00:31:34,160 --> 00:31:38,040
Speaker 1: day three third string, guy a third string, quarterback like you,

634
00:31:38,120 --> 00:31:40,360
Speaker 1: know like off the, brip Like i'm taking.

635
00:31:40,360 --> 00:31:42,600
Speaker 2: That, YEAH i don't know why The colts are given up,

636
00:31:42,640 --> 00:31:45,040
Speaker 2: too like THEY i, MEAN i CAN'T i can't imagine

637
00:31:45,080 --> 00:31:47,320
Speaker 2: that don't just gonna be any better Than, ryan and

638
00:31:47,400 --> 00:31:52,000
Speaker 2: like they could easily win this. Division LIKE i still

639
00:31:52,040 --> 00:31:54,520
Speaker 2: think The JAG's gonna win the. Division like The, titans

640
00:31:54,560 --> 00:31:56,880
Speaker 2: we'll talk With, mike are. HORRENDOUS i, mean they they

641
00:31:56,880 --> 00:31:58,960
Speaker 2: won another game where they couldn't score point a single

642
00:31:59,000 --> 00:32:01,720
Speaker 2: point on. Offense their schedule coming, up like they Got,

643
00:32:01,840 --> 00:32:03,840
Speaker 2: houston BUT i think they they might lose this, game

644
00:32:03,880 --> 00:32:05,440
Speaker 2: but then they go they go to The, chiefs they

645
00:32:05,480 --> 00:32:07,640
Speaker 2: got The, Broncos they're at The, packers they at The,

646
00:32:07,640 --> 00:32:12,360
Speaker 2: bengals at The, eagles at The, Chargers, cowboys at The jags,

647
00:32:12,440 --> 00:32:16,360
Speaker 2: late then you know they're only. Gimmes are like two

648
00:32:16,440 --> 00:32:19,920
Speaker 2: games Against houston the rest of the way and to

649
00:32:20,040 --> 00:32:22,880
Speaker 2: this week's not a. Gimme but you look at his,

650
00:32:22,920 --> 00:32:27,400
Speaker 2: Schedule so The titans' schedule is very. DIFFICULT i don't

651
00:32:27,440 --> 00:32:28,880
Speaker 2: know why The colts are given, up but you're gonna

652
00:32:28,880 --> 00:32:31,240
Speaker 2: Get leonard back and like just fix some. Things but

653
00:32:31,280 --> 00:32:34,400
Speaker 2: it seems like it's just like it's THE. Aa it's

654
00:32:34,480 --> 00:32:37,520
Speaker 2: you know what division you're. In you can still win this, division.

655
00:32:37,680 --> 00:32:38,080
Speaker 3: You know what it.

656
00:32:38,160 --> 00:32:44,200
Speaker 1: Is it's it's That ersae is he's emotional, now like

657
00:32:44,560 --> 00:32:48,600
Speaker 1: he was emotional since that you, know collapse last. Year but,

658
00:32:48,640 --> 00:32:51,000
Speaker 1: besides it's not just that he you, know they wanted

659
00:32:51,000 --> 00:32:53,680
Speaker 1: to beat The jaguars and do it In. Jacksonville but

660
00:32:54,200 --> 00:32:58,160
Speaker 1: his real thing is like every year he's, like we got.

661
00:32:57,960 --> 00:32:58,240
Speaker 2: To beat The.

662
00:32:58,280 --> 00:32:59,240
Speaker 3: Titans we gotta beat The.

663
00:32:59,280 --> 00:33:01,720
Speaker 1: Titans so the fact that they lost to The, titans

664
00:33:01,720 --> 00:33:04,480
Speaker 1: he just feels, Like, okay we're not good enough to

665
00:33:04,520 --> 00:33:04,720
Speaker 1: win the.

666
00:33:04,760 --> 00:33:05,880
Speaker 3: Division we don't deserve to win the.

667
00:33:05,960 --> 00:33:10,400
Speaker 1: Division now he's doing Some this is Like John marrow

668
00:33:10,400 --> 00:33:13,320
Speaker 1: when they Inserted Gino. Smith you, know it's, like you

669
00:33:13,360 --> 00:33:16,959
Speaker 1: know you're gonna regret it really. Quickly it's, like, so,

670
00:33:17,320 --> 00:33:19,400
Speaker 1: Yeah i'm Gonna i'm gonna TAKE i every one. Thing

671
00:33:19,440 --> 00:33:21,800
Speaker 1: if like he was just playing his ass off and

672
00:33:21,880 --> 00:33:23,840
Speaker 1: like right was, like you, KNOW i need a mobile.

673
00:33:23,920 --> 00:33:26,280
Speaker 1: Quarterback he's been drawing up he's been taking up plays

674
00:33:26,320 --> 00:33:28,000
Speaker 1: for you, know five weeks.

675
00:33:28,040 --> 00:33:29,080
Speaker 3: Now but that's that's not the.

676
00:33:29,080 --> 00:33:32,280
Speaker 2: Case so, yeah washed him all. Right for my second

677
00:33:32,280 --> 00:33:35,280
Speaker 2: pick and the fourth overall the week Eight sunday six,

678
00:33:35,360 --> 00:33:39,320
Speaker 2: Pack i'm going with The Detroit lions plus three and

679
00:33:39,320 --> 00:33:46,760
Speaker 2: a half at home against The Miami. Dolphins try last,

680
00:33:46,800 --> 00:33:51,080
Speaker 2: week The lions got blown out By, dallas AND i

681
00:33:51,200 --> 00:33:54,440
Speaker 2: played them plus seven and a half and plus, SEVEN

682
00:33:54,800 --> 00:33:57,480
Speaker 2: i would have made that bet, Again LIKE i think

683
00:33:57,480 --> 00:33:59,000
Speaker 2: if the project the final score was, ten even though

684
00:33:59,000 --> 00:34:00,920
Speaker 2: they turned it over five, times the yardage was, even

685
00:34:01,160 --> 00:34:02,840
Speaker 2: they were going in at the one yard line to

686
00:34:02,880 --> 00:34:04,800
Speaker 2: take the. Lead towards the end of the fourth. Quarter

687
00:34:05,360 --> 00:34:07,800
Speaker 2: swift did end up playing And Aman Ross Saint, brown

688
00:34:08,040 --> 00:34:10,120
Speaker 2: WHO i think was, like he needs to play in this,

689
00:34:10,200 --> 00:34:12,120
Speaker 2: game and he was going. To he got spotted by

690
00:34:12,160 --> 00:34:14,320
Speaker 2: one of the spotters for, concussion didn't have a concussion

691
00:34:14,480 --> 00:34:16,400
Speaker 2: and was out and looked the first play of the game.

692
00:34:16,880 --> 00:34:19,239
Speaker 2: Massive they still moved the. Ball BUT i think the

693
00:34:19,280 --> 00:34:22,440
Speaker 2: market has finally oversold The, lions like what happened To

694
00:34:22,480 --> 00:34:24,960
Speaker 2: everyone always wanted to about The lions at home as

695
00:34:25,000 --> 00:34:26,919
Speaker 2: a dog over and by the, way we got another

696
00:34:26,960 --> 00:34:29,960
Speaker 2: dog here over a field. Goal considering that, trend but

697
00:34:29,960 --> 00:34:31,360
Speaker 2: if you look at what The lions have done this,

698
00:34:31,480 --> 00:34:34,000
Speaker 2: year it's like they put up thirty five at home

699
00:34:34,040 --> 00:34:36,919
Speaker 2: on The. Eagles you, know they put up thirty six

700
00:34:37,000 --> 00:34:39,759
Speaker 2: at home on The. Commanders they should have won At.

701
00:34:39,800 --> 00:34:44,239
Speaker 2: MINNESOTA i lose on Two fluke touchdowns late because of

702
00:34:44,480 --> 00:34:47,640
Speaker 2: some fourth questionable fourth down. Decisions then they put up

703
00:34:47,680 --> 00:34:51,160
Speaker 2: forty five Against, seattle, which by the, way Without brown

704
00:34:51,200 --> 00:34:53,439
Speaker 2: and Without, swift a forty eight to forty five loss

705
00:34:53,480 --> 00:34:55,160
Speaker 2: To seattle now doesn't look.

706
00:34:55,040 --> 00:34:56,400
Speaker 3: As bad Like seattle is.

707
00:34:56,880 --> 00:35:00,279
Speaker 2: Legit so then they go to The patriots out door

708
00:35:00,680 --> 00:35:04,680
Speaker 2: pumpkin golf hurt and they lose in a bad spot

709
00:35:05,280 --> 00:35:07,319
Speaker 2: Playing New england off of the, loss and blah blah,

710
00:35:07,320 --> 00:35:10,279
Speaker 2: blah that's. It like that's the one game Where i'm,

711
00:35:10,280 --> 00:35:12,799
Speaker 2: Like i'm really worried about this. Team, then you, know

712
00:35:12,840 --> 00:35:14,880
Speaker 2: against The, cowboys one of the best defenses in THE,

713
00:35:14,960 --> 00:35:17,960
Speaker 2: nfl they showed well for me after Losing brown and

714
00:35:18,000 --> 00:35:21,680
Speaker 2: not Having, swift and SO i liked them coming home.

715
00:35:21,760 --> 00:35:25,759
Speaker 2: Here AND i Assume i'm ninety nine point nine percent

716
00:35:25,800 --> 00:35:27,600
Speaker 2: sure A Monroet Saint brown will play and will be

717
00:35:27,640 --> 00:35:31,120
Speaker 2: one hundred percent. Healthy there's a really good Chance DeAndre swift,

718
00:35:31,200 --> 00:35:32,919
Speaker 2: PLAYS i don't, know really. Good, yeah he should.

719
00:35:32,920 --> 00:35:35,239
Speaker 3: Play he's he's off the injury report, completely so he.

720
00:35:35,280 --> 00:35:37,160
Speaker 2: Should BUT i thought he was going to play last year.

721
00:35:37,160 --> 00:35:38,120
Speaker 2: Weeks So i'm not going to say.

722
00:35:38,120 --> 00:35:39,160
Speaker 3: That, no that, was, no he.

723
00:35:39,239 --> 00:35:42,719
Speaker 1: Was it was it was pretty they said he was

724
00:35:42,760 --> 00:35:45,680
Speaker 1: gonna like it was pretty. Doubtful he was, practicing but

725
00:35:46,000 --> 00:35:47,440
Speaker 1: they were kind of, like we're going to continue to

726
00:35:47,440 --> 00:35:49,040
Speaker 1: hold him out to make sure he's one hundred. Percent

727
00:35:49,120 --> 00:35:50,960
Speaker 1: but this week he's not even on the injury report

728
00:35:50,960 --> 00:35:53,840
Speaker 1: On wednesday and he had a full so uh that

729
00:35:53,840 --> 00:35:55,839
Speaker 1: that he's pretty much guaranteed to be, Back like if

730
00:35:55,840 --> 00:35:57,920
Speaker 1: you take them off the injury report completely well.

731
00:35:58,080 --> 00:36:01,319
Speaker 2: Perfect so, yeah when they're, off has been fully healthy this. Year,

732
00:36:01,320 --> 00:36:06,400
Speaker 2: indoors they've destroyed AND i think that they should put

733
00:36:06,480 --> 00:36:09,279
Speaker 2: up a ton of points. Here great offensive, line we know,

734
00:36:09,400 --> 00:36:11,360
Speaker 2: that and now you're gonna have all of your weapons

735
00:36:11,640 --> 00:36:15,080
Speaker 2: against The miami secondary that is, DEPLETED i Mean Byron

736
00:36:15,160 --> 00:36:18,640
Speaker 2: jones pup. Less, still he might be off for the

737
00:36:18,719 --> 00:36:21,440
Speaker 2: year at this. Point Nick needham's ON, Ir Trul williams

738
00:36:21,560 --> 00:36:23,440
Speaker 2: is ON, ir and Then Brandon, jones who's like you

739
00:36:23,520 --> 00:36:25,880
Speaker 2: use him as like Your swiss army knife pass. Rusher

740
00:36:26,120 --> 00:36:28,560
Speaker 2: he just went TO. Ir you're like four fifth and

741
00:36:28,680 --> 00:36:31,960
Speaker 2: sixth string crossing and co do they missed last week with.

742
00:36:32,000 --> 00:36:35,359
Speaker 2: Injuries Zamian howard is not even fully healthy and he's.

743
00:36:35,360 --> 00:36:37,880
Speaker 2: Playing he's graded out. Horrendously he just doesn't look. Right

744
00:36:37,880 --> 00:36:39,520
Speaker 2: he's in and out of the lineup throughout the. Game

745
00:36:39,840 --> 00:36:42,719
Speaker 2: HE'S i think he's this eightieth rated cornerback this. Year

746
00:36:42,840 --> 00:36:44,920
Speaker 2: and then you got your, Boy big mcnogany is who

747
00:36:44,920 --> 00:36:47,200
Speaker 2: you're relying on out there on the. Outside very good

748
00:36:47,200 --> 00:36:50,799
Speaker 2: pronunciation and he's. Awful he's, like, YEAH i, mean he's

749
00:36:50,800 --> 00:36:52,600
Speaker 2: one of the worst rate of quarterbacks in THE. Nfl

750
00:36:52,719 --> 00:36:55,759
Speaker 2: so there's no reason why The lions shouldn't move the

751
00:36:55,800 --> 00:36:58,880
Speaker 2: ball will, HERE i lean over, here by the, Way

752
00:36:59,080 --> 00:37:01,760
Speaker 2: but you, know so then you look at The miami

753
00:37:01,880 --> 00:37:07,560
Speaker 2: offense and, yeah like IT'S i think that people overrate

754
00:37:07,640 --> 00:37:10,040
Speaker 2: The miami offense a little, bit Like Tyreek hill And

755
00:37:10,080 --> 00:37:13,120
Speaker 2: waddle And, tua and they've had injuries at, quarterback but

756
00:37:13,200 --> 00:37:17,120
Speaker 2: in the games That tua has, started they haven't surpassed

757
00:37:17,760 --> 00:37:19,920
Speaker 2: twenty one points in four of those five. Starts the

758
00:37:19,920 --> 00:37:21,799
Speaker 2: one that they, did they scored like twenty eight points

759
00:37:21,840 --> 00:37:25,000
Speaker 2: in the fourth quarter against The, raivens and you, know

760
00:37:25,000 --> 00:37:27,040
Speaker 2: they're four and three with miracle wins like. That they

761
00:37:27,040 --> 00:37:29,440
Speaker 2: shouldn't have against The bills and The. Raivens they could have.

762
00:37:29,520 --> 00:37:32,120
Speaker 2: Lost The steelers at home last. Week they only scored

763
00:37:32,160 --> 00:37:34,480
Speaker 2: sixteen points against that. Defense they got a couple of picks,

764
00:37:34,520 --> 00:37:36,160
Speaker 2: late but they usually could have lost The kenny pick

765
00:37:36,160 --> 00:37:37,000
Speaker 2: even though he threw three.

766
00:37:37,040 --> 00:37:39,840
Speaker 3: Picks it's just none of they not.

767
00:37:39,920 --> 00:37:43,960
Speaker 2: True there's, Something, yeah there's something off with the offense

768
00:37:44,239 --> 00:37:47,600
Speaker 2: THAT i can't put my finger. On now they're going

769
00:37:47,680 --> 00:37:50,920
Speaker 2: to have success against This lion's, defense which isn't. Good

770
00:37:51,320 --> 00:37:54,759
Speaker 2: BUT i liked WHAT i saw last week off the

771
00:37:54,800 --> 00:37:58,680
Speaker 2: buy from a number of rookies that they're now. Using

772
00:37:58,680 --> 00:38:00,799
Speaker 2: So hutchinson had the best game of his. Career he

773
00:38:00,840 --> 00:38:02,520
Speaker 2: had a couple of sacks earlier that were like scheme,

774
00:38:02,600 --> 00:38:03,919
Speaker 2: based but these were around.

775
00:38:04,080 --> 00:38:06,840
Speaker 3: Right they move him around and he like.

776
00:38:06,920 --> 00:38:09,399
Speaker 2: Beat he was taking advantage of matchups and he beat

777
00:38:09,440 --> 00:38:12,400
Speaker 2: his man for a couple of really big. Plays Kirby,

778
00:38:12,480 --> 00:38:15,200
Speaker 2: joseph their rookie, safety is playing. Well they put him

779
00:38:15,239 --> 00:38:18,480
Speaker 2: in in the last couple of. Weeks Josh. Pascal they

780
00:38:18,560 --> 00:38:22,440
Speaker 2: Used tim at defensive. Tackle he didn't have a compile

781
00:38:22,440 --> 00:38:25,319
Speaker 2: out of, staffs but was huge in that. Game went

782
00:38:25,360 --> 00:38:26,959
Speaker 2: back and watched some of that out, there reading about

783
00:38:27,040 --> 00:38:30,800
Speaker 2: him and Then Malcolm, rodriguez their other rookie. LINEBACKER i

784
00:38:30,880 --> 00:38:32,040
Speaker 2: think he's going to be a hell of a. Player

785
00:38:32,080 --> 00:38:34,200
Speaker 2: he's been playing people knowing him about, him from hard.

786
00:38:34,280 --> 00:38:36,280
Speaker 2: Knocks but they have a bunch of rookies in, here

787
00:38:36,719 --> 00:38:39,439
Speaker 2: and they were, like they looked so much better last

788
00:38:39,480 --> 00:38:41,640
Speaker 2: week on defense across the, board SO i think that

789
00:38:41,680 --> 00:38:45,920
Speaker 2: they fixed some things after the. Bye and Mister Jeff,

790
00:38:45,920 --> 00:38:48,880
Speaker 2: acuda welcome to THE, nfl had his best game of

791
00:38:49,680 --> 00:38:52,880
Speaker 2: by far as a pro last week looked really. Good

792
00:38:53,120 --> 00:38:56,080
Speaker 2: maybe he's finally starting to get it and he's trending.

793
00:38:56,160 --> 00:38:58,200
Speaker 2: UP i like the way some of the safeties are,

794
00:38:58,200 --> 00:38:59,680
Speaker 2: playing SO i don't think THAT i think that this

795
00:38:59,840 --> 00:39:03,279
Speaker 2: line defense will keep getting. Better maybe the rookies hit

796
00:39:03,320 --> 00:39:05,640
Speaker 2: a wall later in the, year BUT i don't think

797
00:39:05,640 --> 00:39:07,920
Speaker 2: that they're as bad as some of their numbers. Suggest

798
00:39:08,520 --> 00:39:11,920
Speaker 2: AND i just dophense. Offense something is just off with,

799
00:39:12,000 --> 00:39:14,600
Speaker 2: it AND i think that The lions offense will be

800
00:39:14,640 --> 00:39:18,000
Speaker 2: able to. Cook So i'll gladly take the plus three

801
00:39:18,040 --> 00:39:21,000
Speaker 2: and a half at home With detroit when everyone seems

802
00:39:21,040 --> 00:39:24,879
Speaker 2: to be jumping off the. Bandwagon they could have won

803
00:39:24,920 --> 00:39:29,200
Speaker 2: that game last week In dallas even without A monro.

804
00:39:29,360 --> 00:39:31,680
Speaker 2: Playing if they don't fumble at the one yard line

805
00:39:31,680 --> 00:39:34,680
Speaker 2: on first and, goal who, Knows dallas goes down the. Field,

806
00:39:34,719 --> 00:39:38,399
Speaker 2: Maybe but The lions off defense is playing. Well SO

807
00:39:38,480 --> 00:39:41,319
Speaker 2: i did twenty four to, six very misleading final score last.

808
00:39:41,320 --> 00:39:43,120
Speaker 2: WEEK i like The lions.

809
00:39:43,160 --> 00:39:46,080
Speaker 3: Here, Yeah, look you can't have the way to match.

810
00:39:46,160 --> 00:39:50,240
Speaker 1: Up miami likes to play man, coverage they like the blitz,

811
00:39:50,320 --> 00:39:54,960
Speaker 1: well and they're terrible in defending short. Passes they're bottom

812
00:39:55,040 --> 00:39:58,360
Speaker 1: three IN dvla against short, passes so that favors. Golf

813
00:39:58,440 --> 00:40:01,799
Speaker 1: The lions are top ten inefficiency against man, coverage but

814
00:40:02,040 --> 00:40:05,200
Speaker 1: twenty fifth against. Zone so unless The dolphins switch up

815
00:40:05,200 --> 00:40:07,440
Speaker 1: their whole, scheme that favors The lions.

816
00:40:07,480 --> 00:40:09,200
Speaker 3: Offense so, YEAH.

817
00:40:09,040 --> 00:40:10,479
Speaker 2: I got home home golf.

818
00:40:10,480 --> 00:40:13,640
Speaker 1: Indoors it's gonna Be it's probably gonna be a shootout either.

819
00:40:13,640 --> 00:40:16,160
Speaker 3: Way so, YEAH i don't mind The lions here at.

820
00:40:16,160 --> 00:40:18,239
Speaker 1: All you, know they all they did was cover until

821
00:40:18,239 --> 00:40:20,319
Speaker 1: they stop. Covering BUT i think they could get back

822
00:40:20,320 --> 00:40:20,520
Speaker 1: to it.

823
00:40:20,600 --> 00:40:27,440
Speaker 2: Here Hello, detroit you one?

824
00:40:29,440 --> 00:40:33,440
Speaker 1: Okay for my third and final, pick the fifth overall

825
00:40:33,520 --> 00:40:36,359
Speaker 1: of the week Eight sunday six, pack presented By Fan,

826
00:40:36,520 --> 00:40:39,839
Speaker 1: DUEL i am going with The San francisco forty nine

827
00:40:39,960 --> 00:40:44,239
Speaker 1: ers minus one and a half against The Los Angeles

828
00:40:44,360 --> 00:40:49,440
Speaker 1: rams IN. La and you KNOW i don't bet road

829
00:40:49,680 --> 00:40:54,960
Speaker 1: favorites very, often but EXACTLY i always make an exception

830
00:40:55,200 --> 00:40:56,719
Speaker 1: For niners Versus.

831
00:40:56,840 --> 00:40:58,600
Speaker 3: Rams i've gotten.

832
00:40:58,320 --> 00:41:00,520
Speaker 2: This the last two. Years i've got and, said, HEY

833
00:41:00,600 --> 00:41:01,920
Speaker 2: i was going to take this obviously if you.

834
00:41:01,960 --> 00:41:04,920
Speaker 3: DIDN'T i, mean let's just talk about why we love

835
00:41:05,000 --> 00:41:05,600
Speaker 3: this spot so.

836
00:41:05,680 --> 00:41:09,440
Speaker 1: Much so you Have Ta shanahan going Against sean McVay

837
00:41:09,680 --> 00:41:13,239
Speaker 1: and this he's just always had his. Number it's like

838
00:41:13,280 --> 00:41:15,560
Speaker 1: the one coach McVay can't really figure.

839
00:41:15,560 --> 00:41:16,480
Speaker 3: OUT i mean even.

840
00:41:16,480 --> 00:41:18,880
Speaker 1: Even when they finally beat him in THE Nfc championship,

841
00:41:18,920 --> 00:41:21,640
Speaker 1: game you, know they needed to drop, pick they needed

842
00:41:21,680 --> 00:41:24,400
Speaker 1: to wait, interception and they stood didn't cover the. Spread

843
00:41:24,680 --> 00:41:28,720
Speaker 1: so the forty Nine ers have now covered six straight

844
00:41:28,760 --> 00:41:32,560
Speaker 1: games against The, rams including the, postseason and all, Time

845
00:41:33,080 --> 00:41:38,400
Speaker 1: shanahan is nine to three against the spread Against sean,

846
00:41:38,480 --> 00:41:39,480
Speaker 1: McVay and.

847
00:41:39,560 --> 00:41:41,640
Speaker 2: One the two of the non covers came in when

848
00:41:41,640 --> 00:41:43,600
Speaker 2: The rams at The Super bowl back at twenty, eighteen

849
00:41:43,880 --> 00:41:47,040
Speaker 2: when The niners were terrible and had LIKE. Cj bethart at.

850
00:41:47,120 --> 00:41:49,279
Speaker 2: Quarterback for what it's, Worth, yeah like.

851
00:41:49,360 --> 00:41:53,600
Speaker 1: This current iteration of The niners pretty much is almost

852
00:41:53,600 --> 00:41:57,480
Speaker 1: the auto cover against This rams. Team and so the

853
00:41:57,520 --> 00:41:59,560
Speaker 1: THING i think when you want to handicap this is, Like,

854
00:41:59,600 --> 00:42:01,759
Speaker 1: okay they know, that you, know the trend and a

855
00:42:01,760 --> 00:42:03,439
Speaker 1: lot of people might just stop there and just, say,

856
00:42:03,440 --> 00:42:05,799
Speaker 1: okay that's the trend of betting. It but you, Know

857
00:42:05,840 --> 00:42:09,319
Speaker 1: i'm trying to look At, okay what can McVeigh do to,

858
00:42:09,360 --> 00:42:12,000
Speaker 1: adjust you, know how what what can go wrong? Here

859
00:42:12,400 --> 00:42:15,480
Speaker 1: and in THE Nfc championship, GAME i thought they did

860
00:42:15,560 --> 00:42:18,280
Speaker 1: some interesting. Things they kind OF i think they sold

861
00:42:18,280 --> 00:42:20,160
Speaker 1: out against the run a little bit. More you, know

862
00:42:20,200 --> 00:42:22,920
Speaker 1: it's not something they The rams usually, do you, know

863
00:42:23,080 --> 00:42:24,400
Speaker 1: kind of loaded boxes and things like.

864
00:42:24,400 --> 00:42:28,120
Speaker 3: That but like whatever they, did nothing carried over to this.

865
00:42:28,239 --> 00:42:30,959
Speaker 1: Year Like week, four twenty, four nine forty nine, ers

866
00:42:31,520 --> 00:42:37,359
Speaker 1: they outgained them by almost one hundred three twenty seven

867
00:42:37,440 --> 00:42:39,520
Speaker 1: or two fifty, seven so about seventy yards they outgained.

868
00:42:39,520 --> 00:42:42,160
Speaker 1: Them WHAT i think is concerning if you're The rams

869
00:42:42,239 --> 00:42:43,960
Speaker 1: is the forty nine ers didn't even have to.

870
00:42:43,920 --> 00:42:46,200
Speaker 3: Put up a huge number on the. Ground you, know

871
00:42:46,320 --> 00:42:47,359
Speaker 3: in This week four.

872
00:42:47,440 --> 00:42:50,640
Speaker 1: Win they usually kind of bludge in The rams on

873
00:42:50,680 --> 00:42:53,200
Speaker 1: the ground and they go, heavy and you, know The

874
00:42:53,280 --> 00:42:55,680
Speaker 1: rams kind of hesitate to load the box and it's

875
00:42:55,719 --> 00:42:57,680
Speaker 1: just you, know they just control the. Ball but they

876
00:42:57,680 --> 00:43:00,200
Speaker 1: didn't really have to do, That AND I i think

877
00:43:00,239 --> 00:43:04,200
Speaker 1: the issue for The rams is they're gonna lose the

878
00:43:04,239 --> 00:43:08,080
Speaker 1: matchup on both sides of the. Trenches in the, trenches

879
00:43:08,080 --> 00:43:10,280
Speaker 1: on both sides of the ball on when The rams

880
00:43:10,280 --> 00:43:15,719
Speaker 1: are on. Defense despite Having Aaron, donalds despite blitzing at

881
00:43:15,760 --> 00:43:18,880
Speaker 1: the tenth highest rate in the, league The rams have

882
00:43:18,960 --> 00:43:23,279
Speaker 1: generated pressure twelve point nine percent of the. Time if

883
00:43:23,280 --> 00:43:25,399
Speaker 1: that sounds, familiar that's because it's about point two percent

884
00:43:25,440 --> 00:43:27,880
Speaker 1: higher than The. Falcons The rams are thirty first in

885
00:43:27,920 --> 00:43:31,800
Speaker 1: the league in. Pressure so if you can't generate, pressure

886
00:43:32,480 --> 00:43:36,120
Speaker 1: then then you're not gonna stop this offense because you

887
00:43:36,200 --> 00:43:39,239
Speaker 1: have to Pressure Jimmy, garoppo make him make mistakes and

888
00:43:39,719 --> 00:43:42,280
Speaker 1: rush throws over the middle and do. Things his passer

889
00:43:42,320 --> 00:43:44,960
Speaker 1: rating under pressure is sixty point. Two the passer rating

890
00:43:45,000 --> 00:43:46,359
Speaker 1: from a clean pocket is.

891
00:43:46,320 --> 00:43:47,439
Speaker 3: One oh six point.

892
00:43:47,520 --> 00:43:50,719
Speaker 1: Two and if you just try to blitz, him, well

893
00:43:50,960 --> 00:43:53,040
Speaker 1: he's got a one h two rating when he's, blitzed

894
00:43:53,160 --> 00:43:54,920
Speaker 1: a ninety three rating when he's. Not with so he's

895
00:43:55,040 --> 00:43:56,920
Speaker 1: he's better against, them but then he has been for

896
00:43:56,960 --> 00:44:01,399
Speaker 1: a number of years. Now Uh so schematically it doesn't match.

897
00:44:01,480 --> 00:44:03,719
Speaker 1: Up they're not winning the battle in the, trenches even

898
00:44:03,760 --> 00:44:07,719
Speaker 1: with some star. Power Trent williams wasn't even in that.

899
00:44:07,840 --> 00:44:11,040
Speaker 1: Game in the first, matchup he wasn't, available and The

900
00:44:11,120 --> 00:44:13,560
Speaker 1: niners still averaged six point eight yards per.

901
00:44:13,600 --> 00:44:16,279
Speaker 3: Play Jami garoppolo did not get sacked in.

902
00:44:16,280 --> 00:44:19,320
Speaker 1: That, game and he was only pressured on ten percent

903
00:44:20,280 --> 00:44:23,320
Speaker 1: ten point seven percent of his dropbacks from McLean. Pocket

904
00:44:23,320 --> 00:44:26,840
Speaker 1: he had twenty four, attempts ten yards per, attempt, touchdown no.

905
00:44:26,960 --> 00:44:28,759
Speaker 3: Picks, uh that's what's gonna.

906
00:44:28,800 --> 00:44:32,560
Speaker 1: Happen and you, Know, Okay kyle Ust, check that's a big,

907
00:44:32,600 --> 00:44:35,120
Speaker 1: loss obviously key to a lot of things they. Do

908
00:44:35,480 --> 00:44:38,040
Speaker 1: but when you kind of contrast that With, okay well

909
00:44:38,040 --> 00:44:40,160
Speaker 1: they didn't Have Trent williams in the first matchup and

910
00:44:40,200 --> 00:44:42,719
Speaker 1: they still were fine and they had no. Issues, like

911
00:44:42,800 --> 00:44:45,000
Speaker 1: you'd much rather Have Trent williams than Use check even

912
00:44:45,000 --> 00:44:47,320
Speaker 1: though they're both great, Players williams is still going to

913
00:44:47,360 --> 00:44:51,040
Speaker 1: be more. Impactful and then, yeah so, YEAH i was

914
00:44:51,080 --> 00:44:53,279
Speaker 1: gonna get to. That So, deebo it's kind of the same.

915
00:44:53,280 --> 00:44:56,080
Speaker 1: Thing it's, Like, Okay, deebo obviously a big, loss but

916
00:44:57,280 --> 00:45:00,040
Speaker 1: you can you can now you have, McCaffrey so so

917
00:45:00,480 --> 00:45:02,799
Speaker 1: like you're just kind of swapping in another even if

918
00:45:02,840 --> 00:45:03,239
Speaker 1: you don't Have.

919
00:45:03,360 --> 00:45:05,480
Speaker 3: Debo you can do a lot of the things you

920
00:45:05,560 --> 00:45:06,600
Speaker 3: do With devo with.

921
00:45:06,840 --> 00:45:11,160
Speaker 1: McCaffrey so, like you, know, yes there are some key injuries,

922
00:45:11,160 --> 00:45:13,399
Speaker 1: here but it's not a field.

923
00:45:13,440 --> 00:45:15,360
Speaker 3: Goal it's it's a point and a. Half it's not

924
00:45:15,440 --> 00:45:15,799
Speaker 3: a road.

925
00:45:15,800 --> 00:45:19,320
Speaker 1: Game there's gonna be more red than blue and yellow

926
00:45:19,480 --> 00:45:23,520
Speaker 1: in those. Fans and you know this is a team

927
00:45:23,520 --> 00:45:25,319
Speaker 1: that just has The rams number every. Year and then

928
00:45:25,360 --> 00:45:26,640
Speaker 1: the other side of the. BALL i didn't even get

929
00:45:26,680 --> 00:45:28,760
Speaker 1: to the you, know when The rams have the, ball

930
00:45:29,320 --> 00:45:33,680
Speaker 1: they're offensive. LINE i, mean, Nope Bloom Ir, EDWARDS Ir,

931
00:45:33,760 --> 00:45:38,200
Speaker 1: Shelton Ir, ANCHORUM Ir Bruss. Ir they're gonna start their

932
00:45:38,200 --> 00:45:43,719
Speaker 1: seventh different offensive line. Combination they're facing A niners. Defense

933
00:45:43,880 --> 00:45:47,120
Speaker 1: you know That bosa is. Healthy they're second in pressure

934
00:45:47,160 --> 00:45:52,040
Speaker 1: rate at twenty seven point six, percent And Matthew stafford

935
00:45:52,520 --> 00:45:54,680
Speaker 1: he hasn't even been great from a clean pocket this,

936
00:45:54,760 --> 00:45:57,480
Speaker 1: year just the eighty nine point nine, rating but under

937
00:45:57,520 --> 00:46:00,640
Speaker 1: pressure that drops to sixty nine point. Seven The niners

938
00:46:00,640 --> 00:46:03,200
Speaker 1: don't have to blitz a ton to get their. Pressure you,

939
00:46:03,200 --> 00:46:05,000
Speaker 1: know they're just eighteenth And blitzer, rate and you Know

940
00:46:05,040 --> 00:46:07,400
Speaker 1: stafford is another one that kills the blitz one fifteen

941
00:46:07,480 --> 00:46:10,200
Speaker 1: rating when he's, blitzed but seventy five rating when he's

942
00:46:10,239 --> 00:46:13,600
Speaker 1: not so on the on the on that side of the,

943
00:46:13,600 --> 00:46:17,600
Speaker 1: ball The niners matchup well as, well and you, Know

944
00:46:17,719 --> 00:46:20,319
Speaker 1: Cooper cup he's gonna get. His BUT i don't think

945
00:46:20,320 --> 00:46:21,719
Speaker 1: The rams are gonna be able to run the, ball

946
00:46:22,280 --> 00:46:25,359
Speaker 1: averaging just zero point eighty eight yards before contact per.

947
00:46:25,400 --> 00:46:27,440
Speaker 1: Carry are The rams it's twenty ninth in THE, nfl

948
00:46:28,000 --> 00:46:31,279
Speaker 1: and The niners are number two in yards per carry

949
00:46:31,320 --> 00:46:33,919
Speaker 1: allowed to running backs at three point three. Six they're

950
00:46:34,000 --> 00:46:35,720
Speaker 1: fifteen defensive RUSHING.

951
00:46:35,760 --> 00:46:37,879
Speaker 3: Dvoa and you know the.

952
00:46:37,840 --> 00:46:40,359
Speaker 1: Only thing you can say, Is, Okay, well mcvey's coming

953
00:46:40,400 --> 00:46:41,880
Speaker 1: off of, bye but he's one and two against the

954
00:46:41,880 --> 00:46:43,920
Speaker 1: spread in his last three off of, bye so it's

955
00:46:43,960 --> 00:46:46,239
Speaker 1: Not it's not like this is some Automatic. Okay With

956
00:46:46,320 --> 00:46:50,360
Speaker 1: vea's extra time to, prepare you, know it's guaranteed. Cover so,

957
00:46:51,080 --> 00:46:53,239
Speaker 1: YEAH i still like The niners in this. Matchup i'm

958
00:46:53,280 --> 00:46:57,359
Speaker 1: going to continue to bang The niner side when they

959
00:46:57,360 --> 00:47:00,600
Speaker 1: play The rams until The rams give me a.

960
00:47:00,600 --> 00:47:00,839
Speaker 3: Reason.

961
00:47:00,840 --> 00:47:03,440
Speaker 2: Actual. Yeah the one Thing i'd be right about is

962
00:47:03,640 --> 00:47:05,640
Speaker 2: it's hard for me to rate the forty Nine ers,

963
00:47:05,719 --> 00:47:07,399
Speaker 2: defense WHICH i think is one of the top three

964
00:47:07,440 --> 00:47:09,960
Speaker 2: UNITS nfl with all these, injuries like you already have

965
00:47:10,040 --> 00:47:14,319
Speaker 2: Kin law on ir Now armstead isn't, practicing like your

966
00:47:14,360 --> 00:47:16,120
Speaker 2: depth in the in tiar is starting to get really.

967
00:47:16,160 --> 00:47:19,680
Speaker 2: Thin Ebu kom also didn't practice today with achilles. Injury

968
00:47:19,680 --> 00:47:23,200
Speaker 2: greenlawt in, practice and you know you have some secondary.

969
00:47:23,239 --> 00:47:27,880
Speaker 2: Injuries armstead's really, important especially without Kin. LAW i, mean

970
00:47:27,920 --> 00:47:30,600
Speaker 2: they moved them the defensive tackle this week last year

971
00:47:31,000 --> 00:47:35,759
Speaker 2: and they went from the fifteenth rated defense against the

972
00:47:35,840 --> 00:47:38,880
Speaker 2: run to number ONE epa per rush the rest of

973
00:47:38,920 --> 00:47:42,920
Speaker 2: the way this. Year without, him they are twenty fourth

974
00:47:43,080 --> 00:47:46,360
Speaker 2: against the, run and they are eighth with him sixty

975
00:47:46,400 --> 00:47:48,960
Speaker 2: four rushing yards per game in the three games that he's,

976
00:47:48,960 --> 00:47:52,120
Speaker 2: played only one rushing touchdown allowed one hundred and fifteen

977
00:47:52,200 --> 00:47:55,880
Speaker 2: rushing yards allowed in the four games without, them six rushing.

978
00:47:55,920 --> 00:47:58,759
Speaker 2: Touchdowns so, yeah that's the only Thing i'd be a

979
00:47:58,760 --> 00:48:00,520
Speaker 2: little bit worried. ABOUT i, mean they were watch last.

980
00:48:00,520 --> 00:48:03,040
Speaker 2: Week it was one of their worst defensive performances of

981
00:48:03,080 --> 00:48:07,880
Speaker 2: the past twenty five. Years so, yeah hopefully one or

982
00:48:07,920 --> 00:48:09,840
Speaker 2: two of those guys can, play because the death is

983
00:48:09,880 --> 00:48:12,600
Speaker 2: getting a little thin for this forty nine ers. Defense but,

984
00:48:12,840 --> 00:48:18,560
Speaker 2: yeah death taxes and shanahanover. McVay all. Right for my

985
00:48:20,280 --> 00:48:23,080
Speaker 2: third pick and the sixth overall The sunday six, Pack

986
00:48:23,800 --> 00:48:28,280
Speaker 2: i'm going with The Green Bay packers plus eleven against

987
00:48:28,360 --> 00:48:32,200
Speaker 2: The Buffalo. Bills i'm repping The packers. Shirt we're going

988
00:48:32,280 --> 00:48:36,000
Speaker 2: to try to catch the falling. Knife and for what it's,

989
00:48:36,040 --> 00:48:38,040
Speaker 2: worth what gave me a little bit more confidence in

990
00:48:38,080 --> 00:48:41,359
Speaker 2: this beat because it's, scary Is i'm seven to zero

991
00:48:41,920 --> 00:48:44,960
Speaker 2: In packers games this. Year So i'm, like all, RIGHT

992
00:48:44,960 --> 00:48:46,359
Speaker 2: i THINK i have a. READ i haven't bet him,

993
00:48:46,440 --> 00:48:50,719
Speaker 2: yet mainly been unders and fate and betting against, them

994
00:48:50,719 --> 00:48:52,840
Speaker 2: BUT i think that this is the. Spot despite the

995
00:48:52,880 --> 00:48:55,080
Speaker 2: fact that The bills are off of the, bye despite

996
00:48:55,080 --> 00:48:57,560
Speaker 2: the fact that The packers are playing their fourth stadium

997
00:48:57,600 --> 00:48:59,360
Speaker 2: in four. Weeks i'm sure you've heard this by. Now

998
00:48:59,400 --> 00:49:01,320
Speaker 2: this is the first time will be a double digit

999
00:49:01,360 --> 00:49:03,920
Speaker 2: dog in his. Career BUT i think this is a

1000
00:49:03,960 --> 00:49:07,960
Speaker 2: Perfect Bilo cell high. Spot it's with a Desperation packers

1001
00:49:07,960 --> 00:49:09,640
Speaker 2: team on the, road no one give them the. Chance

1002
00:49:09,719 --> 00:49:12,879
Speaker 2: now against you, know The. BILLS i could see them

1003
00:49:12,880 --> 00:49:14,440
Speaker 2: coming out a bit. FLAT i know it's gonna be,

1004
00:49:14,480 --> 00:49:17,439
Speaker 2: crazy but off of by playing like he just beat

1005
00:49:17,480 --> 00:49:20,880
Speaker 2: The chiefs could see this like a slow start for The.

1006
00:49:20,920 --> 00:49:23,759
Speaker 2: Bills whatever if you if you're a trends. Person three

1007
00:49:23,800 --> 00:49:26,719
Speaker 2: straight losses and non covers for The, packers even THOUGH

1008
00:49:26,719 --> 00:49:29,080
Speaker 2: i graded two of those games as, wins not last,

1009
00:49:29,080 --> 00:49:31,319
Speaker 2: week but the two previous playing a team that has

1010
00:49:31,440 --> 00:49:36,040
Speaker 2: won three straight and covered three. Straight if you go

1011
00:49:36,120 --> 00:49:39,320
Speaker 2: back past thirty five, years you're at about sixty percent

1012
00:49:39,800 --> 00:49:41,719
Speaker 2: teams just have that have lost three straight and not

1013
00:49:41,800 --> 00:49:45,399
Speaker 2: covered three, straight catching ten plus past thirty, years right

1014
00:49:45,440 --> 00:49:48,560
Speaker 2: about sixty, percent right in line with just by low

1015
00:49:48,640 --> 00:49:51,560
Speaker 2: sell high. Philosophy AND i think that this is probably

1016
00:49:51,640 --> 00:49:53,600
Speaker 2: the low point of The packers. Market let's get into

1017
00:49:53,600 --> 00:49:55,600
Speaker 2: WHY i think, that and for what it's, Worth rodgers

1018
00:49:55,920 --> 00:49:58,360
Speaker 2: is only these three to zero against the spread Catching

1019
00:49:58,400 --> 00:50:00,919
Speaker 2: this is JUST i find interesting against the spread catching

1020
00:50:00,960 --> 00:50:02,760
Speaker 2: more than six points in his career in the regular.

1021
00:50:02,800 --> 00:50:08,520
Speaker 2: Season all three came in this exact same, weekend This halloween.

1022
00:50:08,520 --> 00:50:11,000
Speaker 2: Weekend twenty last, year he beat The he beat the

1023
00:50:11,040 --> 00:50:14,359
Speaker 2: seven to O, cardinals throwing to Like, winfrey we might

1024
00:50:14,400 --> 00:50:17,440
Speaker 2: have to throw it this, week by the, way twenty,

1025
00:50:17,520 --> 00:50:20,040
Speaker 2: eighteen he went on the road against the seven and O.

1026
00:50:20,239 --> 00:50:23,200
Speaker 2: Rams we went on the one that went onto The

1027
00:50:23,200 --> 00:50:25,680
Speaker 2: Super bowl and he lost by two in a late field,

1028
00:50:25,680 --> 00:50:27,680
Speaker 2: goal and then in twenty ten he beat the six

1029
00:50:27,719 --> 00:50:29,680
Speaker 2: AND O jets nine to. NOTHING i don't know what

1030
00:50:29,719 --> 00:50:32,000
Speaker 2: went on in that. Game, look and they might have

1031
00:50:32,040 --> 00:50:34,640
Speaker 2: a receiving court this. Week that is. SCARY i mean

1032
00:50:34,640 --> 00:50:40,120
Speaker 2: it might be Hobbled Sammy, Watkins Romeo, Dubbs Amari, Rodgers winfrey,

1033
00:50:40,160 --> 00:50:42,800
Speaker 2: again Maybe. Torre, yeah probably.

1034
00:50:42,560 --> 00:50:46,440
Speaker 1: Gonna be Tore winfrey didn't get over, right but exactly,

1035
00:50:46,480 --> 00:50:48,040
Speaker 1: Practicing so that is a.

1036
00:50:48,120 --> 00:50:52,640
Speaker 2: Positive, yeah we'll. See and you know The lazard was

1037
00:50:52,640 --> 00:50:55,560
Speaker 2: in a. Sling it's, okay it's. Scary, YEAH i would

1038
00:50:55,560 --> 00:50:59,000
Speaker 2: assume he's, not BUT i actually we'll see if they

1039
00:50:59,000 --> 00:51:00,680
Speaker 2: can do. ANYTHING i think they're gonn try to run the,

1040
00:51:00,680 --> 00:51:03,040
Speaker 2: ball and they'll they'll try to throw their backs. More

1041
00:51:03,400 --> 00:51:05,600
Speaker 2: but from a matchup, perspective this is not the worst

1042
00:51:05,600 --> 00:51:08,000
Speaker 2: thing for The. Packers The bills have been a bad

1043
00:51:08,120 --> 00:51:11,480
Speaker 2: running team all. Season they are twenty EIGHT, dva twenty

1044
00:51:11,560 --> 00:51:14,560
Speaker 2: NINTH dpa per. Rush that's how everyone's just moving the

1045
00:51:14,560 --> 00:51:16,600
Speaker 2: ball on The. Bill so if The bills want to

1046
00:51:16,600 --> 00:51:18,960
Speaker 2: come out here and try to run it The, packers,

1047
00:51:19,040 --> 00:51:21,959
Speaker 2: fine you Want Josh allen not to throw. It that's,

1048
00:51:21,960 --> 00:51:23,440
Speaker 2: fine so we'll see if The bills want to do.

1049
00:51:23,480 --> 00:51:25,480
Speaker 2: That but The bills don't do. That The bills throw the.

1050
00:51:25,520 --> 00:51:27,600
Speaker 2: Ball they feel like they could throw in. Anybody The,

1051
00:51:27,680 --> 00:51:31,320
Speaker 2: packers by the, way top ten pass. Defense they're first

1052
00:51:31,320 --> 00:51:33,799
Speaker 2: at success r eight and if you look if you

1053
00:51:34,000 --> 00:51:36,680
Speaker 2: first in drive success rate on the season on, defense

1054
00:51:36,840 --> 00:51:40,480
Speaker 2: their defense is probably one of the few that you were, like,

1055
00:51:40,520 --> 00:51:44,759
Speaker 2: okay let's let's see what they got against The. Bills you,

1056
00:51:44,760 --> 00:51:47,120
Speaker 2: know one of the best lockdown corners in THE. Nfl

1057
00:51:47,440 --> 00:51:49,439
Speaker 2: they have some guys who can generate pressure With Shaun

1058
00:51:49,440 --> 00:51:51,840
Speaker 2: gary's having a hell of a, year so this is

1059
00:51:51,840 --> 00:51:54,600
Speaker 2: actually a good matchup for. Them the offensive line situation

1060
00:51:54,680 --> 00:51:57,640
Speaker 2: last week was also a. Mess you had like backdr

1061
00:51:57,760 --> 00:51:59,839
Speaker 2: get ruled out at the last, second so you hope

1062
00:51:59,840 --> 00:52:02,200
Speaker 2: that back to your's at left. Tackle jenkins is a left,

1063
00:52:02,200 --> 00:52:04,560
Speaker 2: guard which is what they think the best situation could

1064
00:52:04,600 --> 00:52:06,840
Speaker 2: be to kind of alleviate some of the Pressure rogers

1065
00:52:06,880 --> 00:52:09,480
Speaker 2: has been. On but the what are The packers have

1066
00:52:09,520 --> 00:52:14,319
Speaker 2: been doing this? Year they have no, explosiveness which everyone can.

1067
00:52:14,360 --> 00:52:19,000
Speaker 2: See they're actually sixth in success rate on, offense and

1068
00:52:19,320 --> 00:52:21,920
Speaker 2: so they're moving the ball much more people. Thinking if

1069
00:52:21,920 --> 00:52:23,399
Speaker 2: you look some of the results they have like four hundred,

1070
00:52:23,440 --> 00:52:25,160
Speaker 2: yards four and twenty yards like last week was a,

1071
00:52:25,160 --> 00:52:28,640
Speaker 2: disaster but the rest of the season there's sixth and success.

1072
00:52:28,719 --> 00:52:32,080
Speaker 2: Rate they're thirty second IN epa per play on late,

1073
00:52:32,120 --> 00:52:36,000
Speaker 2: downs which tends to be higher, variants not as predictive

1074
00:52:36,000 --> 00:52:38,560
Speaker 2: as early. Downs they're also dead last THE nfl and

1075
00:52:38,640 --> 00:52:40,920
Speaker 2: fourth down conversion, Rate SO i don't think the offense

1076
00:52:41,080 --> 00:52:43,440
Speaker 2: is as bad as everyone is making.

1077
00:52:43,480 --> 00:52:45,359
Speaker 3: It and.

1078
00:52:47,239 --> 00:52:50,160
Speaker 2: What The bills always do very well defensively is they

1079
00:52:50,239 --> 00:52:54,080
Speaker 2: take away explosive. Plays SO i just think that from

1080
00:52:54,120 --> 00:52:55,840
Speaker 2: a matchup point of, view this sets up for The

1081
00:52:55,880 --> 00:52:59,520
Speaker 2: packers hanging around. Here you, know The bills aren't a

1082
00:52:59,600 --> 00:53:03,399
Speaker 2: run To. Packers good past dy The, packers only they're

1083
00:53:03,440 --> 00:53:05,719
Speaker 2: moving the ball well and they're doing it just Like,

1084
00:53:06,200 --> 00:53:09,239
Speaker 2: rogers figuring it, out running it short passes, up so

1085
00:53:09,320 --> 00:53:11,000
Speaker 2: they're gonna have to do it and that's kind of

1086
00:53:11,000 --> 00:53:12,840
Speaker 2: how you have to move the ball against The, bills

1087
00:53:13,719 --> 00:53:16,120
Speaker 2: also against their. Pressure SO i think from a scheme,

1088
00:53:16,200 --> 00:53:20,319
Speaker 2: perspective this matchup actually works out fairly well for The.

1089
00:53:20,360 --> 00:53:23,879
Speaker 2: Packers also think we're buying low on them here and

1090
00:53:23,920 --> 00:53:25,920
Speaker 2: The bills have been greatest Favorites allen is twelve five

1091
00:53:25,920 --> 00:53:28,359
Speaker 2: and two And lang more than six. Points but that's

1092
00:53:28,360 --> 00:53:31,759
Speaker 2: hard to do this. Year, remember scoring environment is. Down

1093
00:53:32,080 --> 00:53:34,560
Speaker 2: dogs of four plus points are thirty seven and eighteen

1094
00:53:35,040 --> 00:53:38,480
Speaker 2: this year against the spread sixty seven. Percent So i'll

1095
00:53:38,520 --> 00:53:42,319
Speaker 2: go to battle With rogers catching eleven here on the

1096
00:53:42,400 --> 00:53:45,720
Speaker 2: road in WHAT i think is not the worst matchup

1097
00:53:45,760 --> 00:53:48,600
Speaker 2: in the world for The, packers who also haven't been

1098
00:53:48,760 --> 00:53:52,359
Speaker 2: as bad as they've looked at. Times so give Me Green.

1099
00:53:52,400 --> 00:53:54,840
Speaker 3: Bay, YEAH i mean there's a lot to. Unpack no

1100
00:53:54,920 --> 00:53:55,520
Speaker 3: point intended.

1101
00:53:55,560 --> 00:53:58,960
Speaker 1: Here first of, ALL i can't believe you just went

1102
00:53:58,960 --> 00:54:03,319
Speaker 1: into a rant about out The packer defense when, like if.

1103
00:54:03,239 --> 00:54:04,600
Speaker 3: Dude if we were on the other side of, this

1104
00:54:04,600 --> 00:54:05,960
Speaker 3: he would have been, like, yo but.

1105
00:54:05,880 --> 00:54:09,760
Speaker 1: Look who they, Faced Justin, Fields Daniel, jones The New england.

1106
00:54:09,840 --> 00:54:12,520
Speaker 3: Backups we did we not think?

1107
00:54:12,560 --> 00:54:15,880
Speaker 2: That do we not think The packers pass team was

1108
00:54:15,880 --> 00:54:16,400
Speaker 2: gonna be good this?

1109
00:54:16,520 --> 00:54:17,520
Speaker 3: Year? No, no we.

1110
00:54:17,520 --> 00:54:17,800
Speaker 2: Did we.

1111
00:54:17,840 --> 00:54:21,279
Speaker 1: Did BUT i have seven trends against the spread supporting The,

1112
00:54:21,320 --> 00:54:24,239
Speaker 1: packers uh popping up for being an action. Lab so,

1113
00:54:24,280 --> 00:54:27,239
Speaker 1: like it's definitely one of these spots where it's like

1114
00:54:27,560 --> 00:54:30,560
Speaker 1: it's an uncomfortable Play, uh it's probably the right, play

1115
00:54:32,120 --> 00:54:34,759
Speaker 1: but it you, know at the same, time there are

1116
00:54:34,840 --> 00:54:37,160
Speaker 1: there are some Things i'm concerned. With number, one was

1117
00:54:37,280 --> 00:54:37,960
Speaker 1: you just Mentioned.

1118
00:54:38,000 --> 00:54:40,759
Speaker 2: Alexander there are a lot of boy, dogs there are

1119
00:54:40,800 --> 00:54:42,839
Speaker 2: there definitely should be some things that we should be concerned. About.

1120
00:54:42,960 --> 00:54:47,080
Speaker 1: No, NO i, mean like So, Alexander, LIKE i don't

1121
00:54:47,080 --> 00:54:49,600
Speaker 1: know what's going on with, him because you, know he's

1122
00:54:49,600 --> 00:54:49,840
Speaker 1: got this.

1123
00:54:49,920 --> 00:54:51,480
Speaker 3: Reputation we all love, him we think he's.

1124
00:54:51,480 --> 00:54:54,319
Speaker 1: Great he got paid, obviously but every time we see

1125
00:54:54,400 --> 00:54:57,520
Speaker 1: him against the team with a great number one, receiver

1126
00:54:57,800 --> 00:55:00,719
Speaker 1: things are not going. Well like first it was like

1127
00:55:00,760 --> 00:55:05,000
Speaker 1: that they didn't shadow him in the opening game And

1128
00:55:05,080 --> 00:55:07,759
Speaker 1: Jessein jefferson goes. Crazy and then last week he does

1129
00:55:07,800 --> 00:55:11,800
Speaker 1: Shadow terry McLaurin and McLaren cat catches the go ahead,

1130
00:55:11,840 --> 00:55:15,760
Speaker 1: touchdown he catches the game ceiling catch like those.

1131
00:55:16,080 --> 00:55:18,160
Speaker 2: Ridiculous throat like fluky. Throws come.

1132
00:55:18,200 --> 00:55:19,600
Speaker 1: ON i, Mean i'm just, SAYING i don't know If

1133
00:55:19,600 --> 00:55:25,319
Speaker 1: gyan is gonna like do anything Against. Diggs AND i

1134
00:55:25,360 --> 00:55:28,319
Speaker 1: also like This packer's off.

1135
00:55:28,320 --> 00:55:29,759
Speaker 3: IT i, mean the trend is.

1136
00:55:29,880 --> 00:55:32,719
Speaker 1: Disturbing, like, yeah they have decent metrics on the, year

1137
00:55:33,239 --> 00:55:35,200
Speaker 1: but like just listen to it because you mentioned you're, like,

1138
00:55:35,200 --> 00:55:36,000
Speaker 1: okay they're still getting.

1139
00:55:36,040 --> 00:55:39,560
Speaker 3: Yards well let's start With New england in week.

1140
00:55:39,880 --> 00:55:42,879
Speaker 1: Four, okay four hundred and forty three, yards next week

1141
00:55:42,880 --> 00:55:45,560
Speaker 1: against The giants three oh, one next week against The

1142
00:55:45,600 --> 00:55:48,800
Speaker 1: jets two seventy, eight next week against The commanders two thirty.

1143
00:55:48,800 --> 00:55:53,160
Speaker 1: Two so like that is a very disturbing downward trend, Here.

1144
00:55:53,719 --> 00:55:56,200
Speaker 3: So like you, KNOW i get. It it's it's it's

1145
00:55:56,280 --> 00:55:58,799
Speaker 3: you can't bet the bills in this. Spot but, YEAH

1146
00:55:58,840 --> 00:56:00,080
Speaker 3: i don't THINK i.

1147
00:56:00,080 --> 00:56:03,120
Speaker 2: Well you said they've been trending. Down i'm trying to

1148
00:56:03,160 --> 00:56:05,919
Speaker 2: catch the falling. KNIFE i could be. Wrong we gave

1149
00:56:05,920 --> 00:56:08,239
Speaker 2: me confidence Because i've had a good read on them all,

1150
00:56:08,320 --> 00:56:10,360
Speaker 2: year AND i went back and looked AT i was

1151
00:56:10,400 --> 00:56:12,520
Speaker 2: seven and zero in their, games so hopefully we can

1152
00:56:12,560 --> 00:56:14,680
Speaker 2: go to eight. Now so we'll say let's go, pack go,

1153
00:56:14,800 --> 00:56:16,040
Speaker 2: pack go all.

1154
00:56:16,160 --> 00:56:19,440
Speaker 1: Right that is going to wrap it up for our

1155
00:56:19,480 --> 00:56:23,000
Speaker 1: week Eight sunday six. Pack and you kind of saved

1156
00:56:23,040 --> 00:56:25,319
Speaker 1: us with the The Aaron rodgers here because we had, well,

1157
00:56:25,400 --> 00:56:28,719
Speaker 1: yeah you Had kyro two And Jared goff and THEN

1158
00:56:28,760 --> 00:56:32,680
Speaker 1: i HAD. Pj, Walker heinike And jimmy. G so, yeah

1159
00:56:32,920 --> 00:56:34,600
Speaker 1: if you're not if not For rogers And, GOD i

1160
00:56:34,600 --> 00:56:36,840
Speaker 1: MEAN i SHOULD i should just say how is probably

1161
00:56:36,880 --> 00:56:38,200
Speaker 1: the best quarterback.

1162
00:56:38,400 --> 00:56:40,480
Speaker 3: That we have here at this.

1163
00:56:40,560 --> 00:56:43,200
Speaker 1: Point so you Have arizona plus three and a, Half

1164
00:56:43,200 --> 00:56:45,839
Speaker 1: Green bay plus ten and a, Half detroit plus three

1165
00:56:45,840 --> 00:56:48,279
Speaker 1: and a, HALF i Have carolina plus four and a,

1166
00:56:48,320 --> 00:56:52,080
Speaker 1: Half washington plus, three and Then niners minus one and a.

1167
00:56:52,120 --> 00:56:55,520
Speaker 3: Half now it is time for The week eight coaches pep.

1168
00:56:55,600 --> 00:56:58,560
Speaker 2: Talk this is. Unbelievable oh who the fuck are? You

1169
00:56:58,920 --> 00:57:00,680
Speaker 2: i'm the guy who does this. Job you must be

1170
00:57:00,719 --> 00:57:01,239
Speaker 2: the other, guy.

1171
00:57:01,840 --> 00:57:04,640
Speaker 1: MAN i, mean there's so many coaches that need a

1172
00:57:04,680 --> 00:57:08,000
Speaker 1: pep talk this. Week do we want to go With Todd?

1173
00:57:08,040 --> 00:57:10,200
Speaker 1: Bowles do we want to go With Frank? Wright do

1174
00:57:10,239 --> 00:57:12,840
Speaker 1: we want to go with The. FLOOR i, mean there's

1175
00:57:13,000 --> 00:57:13,680
Speaker 1: like endless.

1176
00:57:13,680 --> 00:57:17,160
Speaker 2: Options let's go to the. Floor get The boar is

1177
00:57:17,200 --> 00:57:17,640
Speaker 2: a cover this.

1178
00:57:17,720 --> 00:57:20,320
Speaker 1: Week this week's coach is pep talk comes to us

1179
00:57:20,320 --> 00:57:23,480
Speaker 1: from Al pacino in the nineteen ninety Film Dick, tracy

1180
00:57:23,560 --> 00:57:24,680
Speaker 1: and we are dedicating it.

1181
00:57:25,120 --> 00:57:27,120
Speaker 3: Too Matt lafloor.

1182
00:57:27,800 --> 00:57:28,959
Speaker 2: Doesn't go work mean, Anything.

1183
00:57:29,000 --> 00:57:31,720
Speaker 3: Pannibre have you no sense of pride?

1184
00:57:31,800 --> 00:57:33,400
Speaker 2: Here what's you? Do no sense of?

1185
00:57:33,520 --> 00:57:38,160
Speaker 3: Donate no Sense Yesterday i'm looking for. Genoff what DO

1186
00:57:38,280 --> 00:57:39,320
Speaker 3: i god Foot?

1187
00:57:39,360 --> 00:57:42,640
Speaker 1: Soldiers all, right, now let's get into our favorite total

1188
00:57:42,840 --> 00:57:43,400
Speaker 1: of the.

1189
00:57:43,600 --> 00:57:45,160
Speaker 3: Week all, right where are you?

1190
00:57:45,160 --> 00:57:48,960
Speaker 2: Going i'm gonna Go Patriots jets under forty and a.

1191
00:57:49,000 --> 00:57:52,320
Speaker 2: Half divisional unders this, SEASON i think are forty and

1192
00:57:52,440 --> 00:57:56,680
Speaker 2: fifteen something. Ridiculous we always like divisional unders regardless of

1193
00:57:56,680 --> 00:57:59,240
Speaker 2: this time of, year but this, year in this lower scoring,

1194
00:57:59,280 --> 00:58:02,840
Speaker 2: environment with the two, offenses like there's all the controversy

1195
00:58:02,840 --> 00:58:06,240
Speaker 2: Around Mac, Jones Bailey, Zappi. Bailllyy zappi's my. GUY i

1196
00:58:06,240 --> 00:58:08,320
Speaker 2: think he's going to be. Good he got to play

1197
00:58:08,360 --> 00:58:10,520
Speaker 2: two of the, best the worst defenses in the. League

1198
00:58:10,640 --> 00:58:12,480
Speaker 2: he's still got some work to. Do Matt jones has been.

1199
00:58:12,520 --> 00:58:14,680
Speaker 2: LOST i, Mean Billy zappy's been much better than this.

1200
00:58:14,800 --> 00:58:17,160
Speaker 2: Year he still might have Some russ coming. Back he

1201
00:58:17,200 --> 00:58:18,920
Speaker 2: didn't get the and The jets defense has been very.

1202
00:58:18,960 --> 00:58:21,640
Speaker 2: Good and have we forgotten that Like zappi Or jones

1203
00:58:21,680 --> 00:58:24,080
Speaker 2: are working with a very limited wide receiver. Room this

1204
00:58:24,120 --> 00:58:26,640
Speaker 2: isn't a great offense that The patriots. Have the other,

1205
00:58:26,680 --> 00:58:30,640
Speaker 2: side The jets offense is lost. Lost this is a

1206
00:58:30,680 --> 00:58:34,240
Speaker 2: horrifying offense that now doesn't have another offensive line who got,

1207
00:58:34,320 --> 00:58:36,760
Speaker 2: hurt and now you don't Have Breise hall like you're

1208
00:58:37,160 --> 00:58:40,360
Speaker 2: only promising player because who cares you have a, receiver

1209
00:58:40,720 --> 00:58:42,600
Speaker 2: because you have a quarterback who cannot get you the.

1210
00:58:42,640 --> 00:58:45,240
Speaker 2: Ball Zach wilson has now dropped to thirty fifth out

1211
00:58:45,240 --> 00:58:49,160
Speaker 2: of thirty six qualified quarterbacks IN epa per PLUS cpoe

1212
00:58:49,600 --> 00:58:52,840
Speaker 2: that's completion percentage of expectation. Composite only him And Baker

1213
00:58:52,880 --> 00:58:56,800
Speaker 2: mayfield are negative in that. Statistic on the, year he

1214
00:58:56,880 --> 00:58:59,480
Speaker 2: had a twenty nine percent success right these are poverty

1215
00:58:59,560 --> 00:59:02,200
Speaker 2: success rights for a quarterback in THE. Nfl thirty two

1216
00:59:02,240 --> 00:59:06,640
Speaker 2: percent the past two. Weeks he's, awful. Horrendous he's going

1217
00:59:06,720 --> 00:59:09,560
Speaker 2: to be seeing. Ghosts patriots have on twelve straight in the.

1218
00:59:09,600 --> 00:59:12,080
Speaker 2: Series by the, way and for what it's, Worth Bill

1219
00:59:12,120 --> 00:59:14,280
Speaker 2: belichick is thirty nine to seven and one against the

1220
00:59:14,320 --> 00:59:17,680
Speaker 2: spread eighty four point one percent after a loss as

1221
00:59:17,720 --> 00:59:21,360
Speaker 2: a dog or favorite of under seven, points thirty nine

1222
00:59:21,560 --> 00:59:24,400
Speaker 2: seven and one against the spread after a loss is

1223
00:59:24,400 --> 00:59:26,280
Speaker 2: a dog or favorite under some, points how about on

1224
00:59:26,280 --> 00:59:29,640
Speaker 2: the road in that, situation BECAUSE i bet them twice

1225
00:59:29,680 --> 00:59:31,240
Speaker 2: on the road in that situation this. Year they've covered

1226
00:59:31,280 --> 00:59:35,400
Speaker 2: them both twenty six three and one ninety, percent covering

1227
00:59:35,440 --> 00:59:37,960
Speaker 2: by ten points per. Game you want to talk about the,

1228
00:59:38,000 --> 00:59:41,880
Speaker 2: game think That i've had enough of that. Insanity and

1229
00:59:41,960 --> 00:59:43,800
Speaker 2: as it all been With brady's With, castle it's been

1230
00:59:43,800 --> 00:59:46,320
Speaker 2: twice this. Year SO i think The patriots get it

1231
00:59:46,360 --> 00:59:47,840
Speaker 2: done in the. Air but it's going to be low,

1232
00:59:47,880 --> 00:59:50,440
Speaker 2: Score it's going to be. Ugly it wouldn't surprise me

1233
00:59:50,480 --> 00:59:53,880
Speaker 2: The jets pull Another if The jets pull out another

1234
00:59:54,240 --> 00:59:57,280
Speaker 2: luck box at, whatever they are going to get boat

1235
00:59:57,400 --> 01:00:00,240
Speaker 2: raced by The buffalo next week Because Zach wilson in

1236
01:00:00,320 --> 01:00:02,880
Speaker 2: capable of keep them up with a competent, offense and

1237
01:00:02,880 --> 01:00:04,840
Speaker 2: The patriots aren't a competent offense right, now and The

1238
01:00:04,920 --> 01:00:08,760
Speaker 2: jets haven't faced the competent offense besides The ravens and

1239
01:00:08,760 --> 01:00:10,960
Speaker 2: The bengals who blew them. Out they face nothing but

1240
01:00:11,040 --> 01:00:14,320
Speaker 2: backup quarterbacks the entire, year and you could argue that

1241
01:00:14,320 --> 01:00:16,720
Speaker 2: they're fathal face a backup quarterback matter who plays to

1242
01:00:16,760 --> 01:00:19,919
Speaker 2: The patriots this. Week so, yeah this will be, ugly hard.

1243
01:00:20,000 --> 01:00:24,760
Speaker 2: Fought patriots defense bounces back, here low, scoring low low.

1244
01:00:24,800 --> 01:00:27,720
Speaker 2: Scoring you just got to hope for no flute defensive

1245
01:00:27,720 --> 01:00:29,040
Speaker 2: and special teams. Touchdowns get it the.

1246
01:00:29,080 --> 01:00:33,000
Speaker 1: Under, YEAH i, Mean, JESUS i, go we go head

1247
01:00:33,040 --> 01:00:35,800
Speaker 1: to head last, WEEK i end up coming out on

1248
01:00:35,800 --> 01:00:37,760
Speaker 1: the right, side and then you steal two of the

1249
01:00:37,760 --> 01:00:40,600
Speaker 1: plays THAT i wanted for the, show BECAUSE i definitely

1250
01:00:40,640 --> 01:00:43,600
Speaker 1: wanted this under as. WELL i, Mean Breese hall is

1251
01:00:43,640 --> 01:00:46,200
Speaker 1: just a massive. Loss he's averaging five point eight yards

1252
01:00:46,240 --> 01:00:48,880
Speaker 1: per carrying a fifty one percent success. Rate Michael carter

1253
01:00:48,960 --> 01:00:51,440
Speaker 1: three point four yards per carry forty five percent success.

1254
01:00:51,480 --> 01:00:53,200
Speaker 3: Rate what does that? Mean they're gonna be.

1255
01:00:53,200 --> 01:00:55,960
Speaker 1: In a ton of thirdy and longs And Zach. Wilson

1256
01:00:56,320 --> 01:00:58,600
Speaker 1: first of, all they're averaging seven point six yard to

1257
01:00:58,600 --> 01:01:00,920
Speaker 1: go on third down With wilson and which would rank

1258
01:01:01,520 --> 01:01:05,240
Speaker 1: like tied for second longest over the full. Year the

1259
01:01:05,360 --> 01:01:08,360
Speaker 1: third down conversion rate is bottom. Five when he's, pressured

1260
01:01:09,000 --> 01:01:11,840
Speaker 1: his passer rating is twelve point. Seven The patriots are

1261
01:01:11,840 --> 01:01:14,920
Speaker 1: a top twelve team and, pressure And wilson is averaging

1262
01:01:14,920 --> 01:01:17,080
Speaker 1: only one point seven yards per ten under. Pressure so

1263
01:01:17,160 --> 01:01:19,680
Speaker 1: like people would, think, like, okay well look What chicago.

1264
01:01:19,720 --> 01:01:21,480
Speaker 3: Did, well that's a different.

1265
01:01:21,480 --> 01:01:24,280
Speaker 1: Offense like under, Pressure Justin fields will take a lot of,

1266
01:01:24,320 --> 01:01:26,720
Speaker 1: sacks but he also averages eight point one yards per

1267
01:01:26,800 --> 01:01:28,640
Speaker 1: pass at ten when he actually gets a pass off

1268
01:01:29,080 --> 01:01:32,200
Speaker 1: under pressure and he scrambles about twenty eight percent of the.

1269
01:01:32,240 --> 01:01:36,400
Speaker 1: Time wilson scrambles seven percent of the. Time so like field, fields.

1270
01:01:36,160 --> 01:01:38,760
Speaker 2: Is also a lot faster Than, yeah it's just a

1271
01:01:38,800 --> 01:01:39,600
Speaker 2: it's just a much.

1272
01:01:39,440 --> 01:01:44,000
Speaker 1: More dangerous like high variants offense in you, know Those Chicago.

1273
01:01:44,000 --> 01:01:46,280
Speaker 1: Bears even when you're you, know kind of playing it,

1274
01:01:46,360 --> 01:01:48,960
Speaker 1: right things can still break. Down where This jets, team,

1275
01:01:49,480 --> 01:01:52,400
Speaker 1: uh you, know, yeah it's it's not gonna. Happen so,

1276
01:01:52,440 --> 01:01:55,400
Speaker 1: Yeah i'll be on this. One this is this is

1277
01:01:55,440 --> 01:01:59,080
Speaker 1: actually my favorite total of the week. Two SO i

1278
01:01:59,120 --> 01:02:03,439
Speaker 1: am actually going to ask your help here because there's

1279
01:02:03,440 --> 01:02:05,520
Speaker 1: a couple of totals That i'm thinking about going with

1280
01:02:06,080 --> 01:02:08,200
Speaker 1: AND i want to hear your opinion on. Him so

1281
01:02:09,280 --> 01:02:12,680
Speaker 1: the first one Is Giants seattle under forty four and a.

1282
01:02:12,680 --> 01:02:15,640
Speaker 1: Half basically to think in the air you could get some.

1283
01:02:15,800 --> 01:02:19,959
Speaker 1: Rain The giants have not allowed more than twenty three

1284
01:02:20,000 --> 01:02:22,120
Speaker 1: points all year And seattle has no.

1285
01:02:22,240 --> 01:02:24,600
Speaker 2: Metcalf Pete carroll saying today and the press or that

1286
01:02:24,600 --> 01:02:26,520
Speaker 2: he might. Play he's not going to, practice but he might.

1287
01:02:26,560 --> 01:02:29,960
Speaker 2: Play maybe it's just. Deploy but he didn't have a

1288
01:02:30,000 --> 01:02:32,000
Speaker 2: tourn acl which is what many thoughts so he's definitely

1289
01:02:32,000 --> 01:02:33,880
Speaker 2: not out for the, year which is big for that.

1290
01:02:34,000 --> 01:02:36,280
Speaker 2: GAME i guess we can cover that game right. Now

1291
01:02:36,440 --> 01:02:39,760
Speaker 2: i'll say no on that. One well maybe tendedly, no

1292
01:02:39,880 --> 01:02:42,360
Speaker 2: because The giants the floodgates are About like The giants

1293
01:02:42,360 --> 01:02:44,160
Speaker 2: have been, good their top TEN dva on, offense but,

1294
01:02:44,360 --> 01:02:46,080
Speaker 2: YEAH i mean now they lost another offensive line and

1295
01:02:46,160 --> 01:02:50,240
Speaker 2: they lose the tight End. Boulenger, yeah but, yeah and

1296
01:02:50,280 --> 01:02:53,720
Speaker 2: The seahawks' defense has been the last two, weeks the

1297
01:02:53,840 --> 01:02:56,120
Speaker 2: weeks one through five or thirty FIRST dva last two

1298
01:02:56,160 --> 01:02:59,800
Speaker 2: weeks number, one number one in THE nfl against The

1299
01:03:00,040 --> 01:03:01,680
Speaker 2: chargers and The.

1300
01:03:01,720 --> 01:03:04,320
Speaker 1: Cardinals talking about that that last, week REMEMBER i was,

1301
01:03:04,320 --> 01:03:05,800
Speaker 1: saying you, know this is the time of year when

1302
01:03:06,000 --> 01:03:07,920
Speaker 1: like you have to kind of Watch you can't just

1303
01:03:07,960 --> 01:03:10,000
Speaker 1: look at post season, metrics like you have to kind

1304
01:03:10,000 --> 01:03:12,680
Speaker 1: of look at the like the schematic changes and, things

1305
01:03:12,840 --> 01:03:15,600
Speaker 1: and and LIKE i think just getting that like more,

1306
01:03:15,680 --> 01:03:17,800
Speaker 1: coverage guys on the field playing more.

1307
01:03:17,680 --> 01:03:20,680
Speaker 2: Of like well, yeah but also they HAVE i mean

1308
01:03:21,280 --> 01:03:24,000
Speaker 2: everyone talks About Sauce. Gardner do you want to talk

1309
01:03:24,040 --> 01:03:26,520
Speaker 2: about THE i think the twelfth and the fifteenth, Corners

1310
01:03:26,560 --> 01:03:29,040
Speaker 2: Kobe bryant that THE sap But Tyrik woollen has been

1311
01:03:29,480 --> 01:03:34,680
Speaker 2: a shutdown corner for The, seahawks especially of. Late Just

1312
01:03:34,680 --> 01:03:37,640
Speaker 2: Justin herber wouldn't even throw at, them and he's been

1313
01:03:37,680 --> 01:03:39,880
Speaker 2: one of the best corners in THE. Nfl he's like

1314
01:03:40,280 --> 01:03:43,960
Speaker 2: built with the same kind Of Pete carroll's always liked these,

1315
01:03:43,960 --> 01:03:47,440
Speaker 2: long rangy cornerbacks kind of says Like Richard sherman vibes

1316
01:03:47,520 --> 01:03:49,480
Speaker 2: and the way that he's built in these, long long,

1317
01:03:49,600 --> 01:03:51,800
Speaker 2: arms and so he might be a. Player so their

1318
01:03:51,800 --> 01:03:55,000
Speaker 2: secondary is playing a lot. Better but The giants floodgates

1319
01:03:55,000 --> 01:03:57,960
Speaker 2: are about to break on, Defense like their defense is really,

1320
01:03:58,000 --> 01:04:00,480
Speaker 2: bad and LIKE i think they're like last week they

1321
01:04:00,480 --> 01:04:02,960
Speaker 2: get up seven yards per play to The jacks who

1322
01:04:03,000 --> 01:04:08,880
Speaker 2: scored only seven point seventeen. Points they're getting very. Fortunate

1323
01:04:10,200 --> 01:04:11,680
Speaker 2: SO i don't know a teneteve on that. ONE i

1324
01:04:11,680 --> 01:04:14,000
Speaker 2: actually kind of like The seahawks in this, game but

1325
01:04:14,080 --> 01:04:16,320
Speaker 2: Maybe i'll just play in first half because The giants

1326
01:04:16,600 --> 01:04:19,280
Speaker 2: won their sixth straight game coming back by one possession

1327
01:04:19,320 --> 01:04:21,280
Speaker 2: in the fourth. Quarter SO i don't. Know but the

1328
01:04:21,320 --> 01:04:23,880
Speaker 2: lion's probably not. Right if you got to blow, free

1329
01:04:24,120 --> 01:04:25,360
Speaker 2: that was Probably what's the other.

1330
01:04:25,400 --> 01:04:26,440
Speaker 3: One so there are a couple.

1331
01:04:26,520 --> 01:04:32,120
Speaker 1: Others the first one was The Denver Jaguar london, game

1332
01:04:32,640 --> 01:04:35,760
Speaker 1: just Because, denver you, KNOW i think the pressure that

1333
01:04:35,760 --> 01:04:37,920
Speaker 1: they're gonna be able to get is gonna be a

1334
01:04:37,920 --> 01:04:40,440
Speaker 1: lot of trouble for For Trevor. Lawrence and THEN i

1335
01:04:40,480 --> 01:04:43,080
Speaker 1: still Don't i'm not Buying denver's. Offense and then the

1336
01:04:43,080 --> 01:04:46,080
Speaker 1: other one was The Houston tennessee. Game the only Thing

1337
01:04:46,080 --> 01:04:49,000
Speaker 1: i'm concerned with Is houston is dead last in run DEFENSE.

1338
01:04:49,360 --> 01:04:53,360
Speaker 1: Dvoa but like you keep Mentioning, tennessee really they. Don't

1339
01:04:53,480 --> 01:04:56,000
Speaker 1: they're good in the red, zone but that's gonna, regress

1340
01:04:56,000 --> 01:04:57,960
Speaker 1: but they barely get to the red zone like they

1341
01:04:58,000 --> 01:05:01,360
Speaker 1: can they can go a whole game without scorings on

1342
01:05:01,440 --> 01:05:02,560
Speaker 1: offense like they did last.

1343
01:05:02,560 --> 01:05:05,040
Speaker 3: Week so those are THAT a. TWO i was thinking, About, well.

1344
01:05:05,040 --> 01:05:08,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah But Malik willis might. START i don't. KNOW

1345
01:05:08,840 --> 01:05:11,520
Speaker 2: i would Assume tannehill, goes but their schedule is brutal coming.

1346
01:05:11,600 --> 01:05:13,919
Speaker 2: Up we got The chiefs next, week so maybe it's

1347
01:05:13,920 --> 01:05:15,520
Speaker 2: like an ankle spray and he's out of his. Boot

1348
01:05:15,640 --> 01:05:18,000
Speaker 2: But milik Wils woud just introduced a lot more. Variance

1349
01:05:18,040 --> 01:05:20,120
Speaker 2: BUT i think their offense would go in a tank

1350
01:05:20,200 --> 01:05:22,320
Speaker 2: Like tannehill has been executing some good throws in play.

1351
01:05:22,320 --> 01:05:24,919
Speaker 2: Action they have the worst receiving Room i've ever seen

1352
01:05:24,960 --> 01:05:27,480
Speaker 2: in my. Life like they're starting Like Robert woods is

1353
01:05:27,520 --> 01:05:29,400
Speaker 2: the star of the. Show then it's like A keena

1354
01:05:29,520 --> 01:05:31,840
Speaker 2: and then they just put The Mason kinsey start like

1355
01:05:31,840 --> 01:05:34,920
Speaker 2: their wide receiver room is a. Joke they just scored

1356
01:05:34,960 --> 01:05:36,720
Speaker 2: their first points in the fourth quarter on a field

1357
01:05:36,720 --> 01:05:39,960
Speaker 2: goal last. WEEK i don't mind That Broncos jaggs for

1358
01:05:39,960 --> 01:05:43,040
Speaker 2: whatever recent games go over In, london There's Russell wilson.

1359
01:05:43,120 --> 01:05:45,520
Speaker 2: UNCERTAINTY i Think Russell wilson has proven now that he

1360
01:05:45,600 --> 01:05:49,439
Speaker 2: will be an upgrade if he's healthy Over Brett, rippon

1361
01:05:49,480 --> 01:05:51,200
Speaker 2: who was bad last. Week he actually was lower in

1362
01:05:51,240 --> 01:05:53,720
Speaker 2: ePaper played the two worst quarterbacks in the league last

1363
01:05:53,720 --> 01:05:56,400
Speaker 2: week The ePaper played Were Zach wilson And Brett. RIPPON

1364
01:05:56,800 --> 01:05:59,800
Speaker 2: i Think Texans division that feels more like. You and

1365
01:05:59,840 --> 01:06:01,720
Speaker 2: then If Milik wills, GOES i think it's worse for the.

1366
01:06:01,800 --> 01:06:05,440
Speaker 2: Offense that offense now is all about execution and, Timing

1367
01:06:05,520 --> 01:06:07,400
Speaker 2: like it's not like if anyone is going to help

1368
01:06:07,440 --> 01:06:10,720
Speaker 2: them make plays on the, outside and he hasn't gotten

1369
01:06:10,720 --> 01:06:14,200
Speaker 2: a lot of reps and the receivers aren't, good Like

1370
01:06:14,360 --> 01:06:16,480
Speaker 2: tannehl has been really good this year given what he's.

1371
01:06:16,520 --> 01:06:20,200
Speaker 2: Got SO i think that If tannel doesn't, PLAY i

1372
01:06:20,240 --> 01:06:21,800
Speaker 2: think it helps the under. Two AND i don't mind

1373
01:06:21,840 --> 01:06:25,320
Speaker 2: the under, anyway and it's divisional. UNDER i Think Titans

1374
01:06:25,360 --> 01:06:27,240
Speaker 2: texans is more year VIBE i.

1375
01:06:27,240 --> 01:06:29,720
Speaker 1: Mean OR i MEAN i could also Go Commander's colts,

1376
01:06:29,800 --> 01:06:31,320
Speaker 1: under BUT i hate going like.

1377
01:06:31,600 --> 01:06:34,560
Speaker 2: Multiple. Well the other thing with This titans Tight texans

1378
01:06:34,640 --> 01:06:37,760
Speaker 2: under those Like Davis. Mills at, home he has sixteen,

1379
01:06:37,800 --> 01:06:41,600
Speaker 2: touchdowns three, interceptions seven point seven yards per, attempt two

1380
01:06:41,640 --> 01:06:44,120
Speaker 2: hundred fifty yards per, game seventy percent completion percentage in

1381
01:06:44,200 --> 01:06:47,480
Speaker 2: nine home, games ten road, games seven, touchdown twelve, picks

1382
01:06:48,080 --> 01:06:50,600
Speaker 2: five and five point eight yards per, attempt one hundred

1383
01:06:50,600 --> 01:06:52,840
Speaker 2: and eighty yards per, game sixty two percent of police.

1384
01:06:52,880 --> 01:06:56,080
Speaker 2: Percentage he's a complete different quarterback at. Home But Brandon

1385
01:06:56,120 --> 01:06:58,600
Speaker 2: cooks might get, Traded Nico collins is, hurt so like

1386
01:06:58,720 --> 01:07:05,160
Speaker 2: they're receiving or against The. Titans pasty is, horrendous by the,

1387
01:07:05,200 --> 01:07:07,320
Speaker 2: way and The titans are running really, good like eighty

1388
01:07:07,320 --> 01:07:11,640
Speaker 2: percent red zone touch. Episodes that's gonna regress. There, Yeah

1389
01:07:11,760 --> 01:07:16,600
Speaker 2: so like if you remove, turnovers The titans are the

1390
01:07:16,640 --> 01:07:20,760
Speaker 2: worst past defense in THE. Nfl if you Don't Matt

1391
01:07:20,880 --> 01:07:22,280
Speaker 2: ryan the pumpkin just throwing them the.

1392
01:07:22,320 --> 01:07:24,360
Speaker 3: Ball, yeah, yeah let's Go Titans.

1393
01:07:24,360 --> 01:07:28,200
Speaker 1: Texans but make sure you check the app Because i'm

1394
01:07:28,240 --> 01:07:31,560
Speaker 1: not completely one hundred percent sold on made this pick

1395
01:07:31,600 --> 01:07:34,400
Speaker 1: on the, fly but, Yeah i'm leaning that Way Titans

1396
01:07:34,440 --> 01:07:37,240
Speaker 1: texans BECAUSE i think you might get some value there

1397
01:07:37,520 --> 01:07:38,400
Speaker 1: With tannaho banged.

1398
01:07:38,480 --> 01:07:41,680
Speaker 3: Up all, right let's move on to our.

1399
01:07:42,320 --> 01:07:46,920
Speaker 2: Teasers oh, yeah six point.

1400
01:07:47,080 --> 01:08:02,080
Speaker 4: Teasers don't tease, me, Please, yeah let's keep it.

1401
01:08:02,120 --> 01:08:06,400
Speaker 2: Simple let's Go Broncos Broncos. Country let's ride IT'S i

1402
01:08:06,440 --> 01:08:08,280
Speaker 2: don't even care who starts a. Quarterback i'm not going

1403
01:08:08,320 --> 01:08:10,680
Speaker 2: to bet them, here but it's really hard to blow

1404
01:08:10,720 --> 01:08:13,120
Speaker 2: this team out just because their defense is so damn

1405
01:08:13,160 --> 01:08:16,360
Speaker 2: good and it's a low scoring. Game we both would

1406
01:08:16,439 --> 01:08:19,439
Speaker 2: lean towards the, under AND i can get through three

1407
01:08:19,520 --> 01:08:22,920
Speaker 2: and seven pretty much the only Thing i'm handicappin. There

1408
01:08:22,960 --> 01:08:26,599
Speaker 2: have no interest in the side in that game other than,

1409
01:08:26,680 --> 01:08:32,360
Speaker 2: that and then we'll pair them with a similar spot

1410
01:08:32,439 --> 01:08:34,559
Speaker 2: in the game we just talked, about with the another

1411
01:08:34,680 --> 01:08:36,639
Speaker 2: under in a low total that we, like and we'll

1412
01:08:36,680 --> 01:08:40,080
Speaker 2: pair them with The texans teasing up over a touchdown

1413
01:08:40,240 --> 01:08:44,679
Speaker 2: in a low scoring. Game titans have been so. FORTUNATE

1414
01:08:44,760 --> 01:08:47,080
Speaker 2: i mean they are averaging nineteen points per game and

1415
01:08:47,240 --> 01:08:50,680
Speaker 2: allowing twenty. One their wins have come against The commanders

1416
01:08:50,800 --> 01:08:54,840
Speaker 2: they were dominated and The raiders they were. Outplayed in

1417
01:08:55,400 --> 01:08:58,640
Speaker 2: The colts, twice they were out, gained outyard, everything just

1418
01:08:58,760 --> 01:09:02,200
Speaker 2: got turnovers and couldn't even defensive, touchdowns you name. It

1419
01:09:02,479 --> 01:09:05,960
Speaker 2: this team can't get margin against. Anybody so. Yeah and

1420
01:09:06,000 --> 01:09:07,840
Speaker 2: by the, way The, titans three of their wins have

1421
01:09:07,960 --> 01:09:11,000
Speaker 2: they now come against bench. QUARTERBACKS a lot of aggression

1422
01:09:11,040 --> 01:09:12,680
Speaker 2: coming for This titans. Team so, YEAH i think The

1423
01:09:12,720 --> 01:09:14,920
Speaker 2: texans who have played this game closeness a bad spot

1424
01:09:14,960 --> 01:09:17,920
Speaker 2: for The. Titans like hard fought win over The. Colts

1425
01:09:18,120 --> 01:09:20,920
Speaker 2: you're just sitting pretty in the division, now and, UH

1426
01:09:21,240 --> 01:09:23,040
Speaker 2: i think you're buying low on The texans. Here And

1427
01:09:23,200 --> 01:09:25,600
Speaker 2: Davis mills plays better at, Home so, yeah give Me

1428
01:09:25,720 --> 01:09:30,240
Speaker 2: texans and The broncos teasing them both up through three

1429
01:09:30,280 --> 01:09:31,160
Speaker 2: and seven in low scoring.

1430
01:09:31,240 --> 01:09:33,280
Speaker 3: GAMES i definitely want to go with The. BRONCOS i

1431
01:09:33,320 --> 01:09:36,200
Speaker 3: don't think they've lost by what is their biggest losing.

1432
01:09:36,040 --> 01:09:40,960
Speaker 2: Marks once they lost once by fit like eleven The.

1433
01:09:41,080 --> 01:09:45,120
Speaker 2: Raiders yeah, yeah but that also that game changed on

1434
01:09:45,280 --> 01:09:50,040
Speaker 2: a fumble return for a touchdown On Melvin, gordon like fumbled,

1435
01:09:50,080 --> 01:09:52,120
Speaker 2: it coughed it, up and then The raiders returned it

1436
01:09:52,200 --> 01:09:55,320
Speaker 2: like eighty. Yards flipped that game. Around without that, again

1437
01:09:55,360 --> 01:09:57,599
Speaker 2: they have another game that's not sided more than. Seven,

1438
01:09:59,200 --> 01:09:59,880
Speaker 2: YEAH i Think.

1439
01:10:00,000 --> 01:10:03,120
Speaker 1: I'm actually gonna. Go let's, See, Yeah i'm. Going i'm

1440
01:10:03,160 --> 01:10:05,479
Speaker 1: gonna go with with The broncos And i'll, Go i'll Go.

1441
01:10:05,600 --> 01:10:08,519
Speaker 1: SAINTS i Go saints up to seven and a, Half

1442
01:10:08,720 --> 01:10:11,880
Speaker 1: broncos up to eight and a, half SAYING i think

1443
01:10:11,920 --> 01:10:14,800
Speaker 1: The saints game kind of could go either. Way they

1444
01:10:14,800 --> 01:10:18,280
Speaker 1: could easily win this. Game raider team is not super, scary.

1445
01:10:18,360 --> 01:10:21,519
Speaker 1: HOPEFULLY i, mean The saints get some guys. Back it's

1446
01:10:22,080 --> 01:10:24,439
Speaker 1: it's just kind of ridiculous how they've been struggling through.

1447
01:10:24,479 --> 01:10:27,640
Speaker 1: Injuries BUT i think it's gonna be kind of a,

1448
01:10:27,680 --> 01:10:29,800
Speaker 1: shootout back and forth. GAME i can see The saints

1449
01:10:29,960 --> 01:10:32,200
Speaker 1: maybe losing like what they did to The bengals thirty twenty,

1450
01:10:32,240 --> 01:10:35,040
Speaker 1: six which would which would still cover a couple of weeks.

1451
01:10:35,040 --> 01:10:38,000
Speaker 1: Ago so give Me New orleans plus seven and a

1452
01:10:38,040 --> 01:10:41,800
Speaker 1: half with The. Broncos so you Got Broncos texans both

1453
01:10:41,880 --> 01:10:43,400
Speaker 1: up to eight and a. HALF i Got broncos eight

1454
01:10:43,439 --> 01:10:46,439
Speaker 1: and a half and The saints seven and a. Half

1455
01:10:47,360 --> 01:10:50,880
Speaker 1: now let's go to our money line Underdog parley.

1456
01:10:53,760 --> 01:10:58,640
Speaker 4: Turning good weekends into great. Weekends it's time for the

1457
01:10:58,840 --> 01:10:59,479
Speaker 4: money line.

1458
01:10:59,560 --> 01:11:03,120
Speaker 1: Parlor all, right did not hit last?

1459
01:11:03,160 --> 01:11:05,920
Speaker 3: Week niners got blown, out The lions got blown.

1460
01:11:05,960 --> 01:11:08,120
Speaker 2: Out that's our first non Non.

1461
01:11:08,720 --> 01:11:11,160
Speaker 3: Yeah neither of us. Hit, yeah all, right so we

1462
01:11:11,200 --> 01:11:12,360
Speaker 3: gotta get back on the track where you're.

1463
01:11:12,400 --> 01:11:16,160
Speaker 2: Going give me The saints. Here Jameis WINSTON i think

1464
01:11:16,240 --> 01:11:19,320
Speaker 2: has a good shot to, play BUT i who. Knows

1465
01:11:19,360 --> 01:11:21,519
Speaker 2: even if It's Andy, DALTON i toils stink it's. Fine

1466
01:11:21,520 --> 01:11:23,760
Speaker 2: but if It's winston you get a little more variants in,

1467
01:11:23,840 --> 01:11:25,720
Speaker 2: there WHICH i. Like then he's been good as a,

1468
01:11:25,800 --> 01:11:28,160
Speaker 2: dog which receivers are gonna end up, playing or the

1469
01:11:28,360 --> 01:11:30,120
Speaker 2: guys in their. Secondary The saints are really beat, up

1470
01:11:30,120 --> 01:11:32,479
Speaker 2: but they've still been pretty efficient on both sides of

1471
01:11:32,520 --> 01:11:36,400
Speaker 2: the ball, regardless just been really unlucky in. Turnovers so you,

1472
01:11:36,479 --> 01:11:40,120
Speaker 2: know the Their rundy's been really good and The raiders

1473
01:11:40,160 --> 01:11:42,120
Speaker 2: have been relying a lot On jacob's AND i think

1474
01:11:42,160 --> 01:11:45,040
Speaker 2: this game is a true coin. Flip So i'll take

1475
01:11:45,080 --> 01:11:49,920
Speaker 2: The saints at home off the little mini bi and

1476
01:11:50,240 --> 01:11:52,400
Speaker 2: If jamis, GOES i like it even more BECAUSE i

1477
01:11:52,520 --> 01:11:54,679
Speaker 2: like my money on dogs to have some increased, variants

1478
01:11:54,720 --> 01:11:55,880
Speaker 2: And jamis will certainly bring.

1479
01:11:55,960 --> 01:12:00,800
Speaker 1: That i'm gonna go with The Arizona cardinals SINCE i

1480
01:12:00,880 --> 01:12:04,640
Speaker 1: did not take them in the six, Pack i'll roll

1481
01:12:04,680 --> 01:12:06,880
Speaker 1: with them. Here AND i think you mentioned, it But

1482
01:12:07,040 --> 01:12:11,400
Speaker 1: cliff as a money line road dog thirteen and seven

1483
01:12:11,600 --> 01:12:15,560
Speaker 1: straight up sixty five percent with The Arizona, Cardinals SO

1484
01:12:16,320 --> 01:12:18,679
Speaker 1: i think you have a good shot at The cardinals

1485
01:12:18,680 --> 01:12:20,599
Speaker 1: winning this. Game we kind of both talked about how

1486
01:12:20,840 --> 01:12:23,880
Speaker 1: they match up very well With. Minnesota, yeah so here's

1487
01:12:23,920 --> 01:12:27,559
Speaker 1: a crazy stat Under Quiff. Kingsbury when The cardinals are

1488
01:12:27,720 --> 01:12:31,640
Speaker 1: a money line dog on the, road they have one

1489
01:12:31,680 --> 01:12:35,200
Speaker 1: outright in each of their last eight. Games they have

1490
01:12:35,240 --> 01:12:37,880
Speaker 1: an eight and oh winning streak as a as an.

1491
01:12:38,000 --> 01:12:41,360
Speaker 2: Underdog listening to me, EARLIER i already said, That, OH i,

1492
01:12:42,000 --> 01:12:44,120
Speaker 2: THOUGHT i know you tuned me. OUT i know most

1493
01:12:44,120 --> 01:12:46,560
Speaker 2: people to me, out SO i.

1494
01:12:47,040 --> 01:12:49,320
Speaker 1: DIDN'T i didn't really say that exact. Stat give me

1495
01:12:49,360 --> 01:12:53,880
Speaker 1: The cardinals plus one forty. Eight you have The saints

1496
01:12:53,920 --> 01:12:57,680
Speaker 1: plus one, eight one Hundred bucks gets you just over four,

1497
01:12:57,760 --> 01:12:58,680
Speaker 1: hundred gets you about four.

1498
01:12:58,800 --> 01:13:01,720
Speaker 3: Fifteen so hopefully we get back on the right.

1499
01:13:01,840 --> 01:13:04,479
Speaker 1: Track and finally we've got best of the rest the

1500
01:13:04,600 --> 01:13:08,840
Speaker 1: games we haven't covered in any other, segment but are,

1501
01:13:09,000 --> 01:13:14,280
Speaker 1: still as they, say meaningful to Some that's gonna be a,

1502
01:13:14,400 --> 01:13:16,280
Speaker 1: touchdown but that may be meaningful to some.

1503
01:13:16,400 --> 01:13:16,559
Speaker 2: Of, you.

1504
01:13:18,080 --> 01:13:18,519
Speaker 5: You know WHAT i.

1505
01:13:18,640 --> 01:13:22,080
Speaker 1: Mean all, right let's start with The battle Of. Pennsylvania

1506
01:13:22,160 --> 01:13:26,800
Speaker 1: we got The steelers going To. Philly plus ten and

1507
01:13:26,840 --> 01:13:29,240
Speaker 1: a half are The steelers In, philly and the total

1508
01:13:29,400 --> 01:13:33,160
Speaker 1: is forty three and a half Lean steelers, here JUST.

1509
01:13:33,240 --> 01:13:36,240
Speaker 2: I, mean, look total of forty three serious defense been

1510
01:13:36,280 --> 01:13:39,479
Speaker 2: playing better despite some of the. Injuries they're getting. Healthier

1511
01:13:40,120 --> 01:13:42,000
Speaker 2: but there's a battle. Here AND i don't know what

1512
01:13:42,600 --> 01:13:44,720
Speaker 2: means what like one of My tomlin is a dog

1513
01:13:45,160 --> 01:13:46,920
Speaker 2: in a RA ra. Spot he's awful LOSS i would

1514
01:13:46,920 --> 01:13:48,759
Speaker 2: consider as A rara spot against the Undefeated.

1515
01:13:48,800 --> 01:13:51,120
Speaker 1: Eagles i'm gonna look at you real close, today see

1516
01:13:51,120 --> 01:13:53,559
Speaker 1: if you highly conditioned it ready to, go and if you're,

1517
01:13:53,560 --> 01:13:54,360
Speaker 1: Not i'm gonna put you in the.

1518
01:13:54,439 --> 01:13:56,800
Speaker 2: News he's thirty nine to fifteen to one against the

1519
01:13:56,800 --> 01:13:58,599
Speaker 2: spread as a dog after a week five seventy. Two

1520
01:13:59,240 --> 01:14:01,479
Speaker 2: he's also thirty one thirteen and one against the spread

1521
01:14:01,479 --> 01:14:04,120
Speaker 2: as a dog against a winning, team that's seventy and

1522
01:14:04,160 --> 01:14:07,800
Speaker 2: a half. Percent but there's this trend that rarely comes,

1523
01:14:07,880 --> 01:14:10,080
Speaker 2: up but it comes up like the average of once

1524
01:14:10,120 --> 01:14:15,880
Speaker 2: a year undefeated teams favorite at home off of a,

1525
01:14:16,000 --> 01:14:18,640
Speaker 2: Bye AND i think it has some merit because it's, like,

1526
01:14:18,800 --> 01:14:24,600
Speaker 2: oh we're. Undefeated there's so much positive mojo and enthusiasm

1527
01:14:24,680 --> 01:14:27,160
Speaker 2: around the team that you take those two weeks so

1528
01:14:27,320 --> 01:14:29,800
Speaker 2: serious and you come out at home in front of the.

1529
01:14:29,880 --> 01:14:32,799
Speaker 2: Crowd the crowd is also extra like we're still undefeated

1530
01:14:32,880 --> 01:14:35,840
Speaker 2: off of a, bye and you just took everyone's taken

1531
01:14:35,880 --> 01:14:38,479
Speaker 2: those two weeks so. Seriously if you look back over

1532
01:14:38,479 --> 01:14:42,280
Speaker 2: the last twenty years since two thousand and, one undefeated

1533
01:14:42,320 --> 01:14:45,240
Speaker 2: home favorites off of a bye or eighteen and one straight,

1534
01:14:45,320 --> 01:14:48,719
Speaker 2: up seventeen and two against the, spread covering by eleven

1535
01:14:48,800 --> 01:14:54,720
Speaker 2: points per. Game so what? GIVES i don't. Know this,

1536
01:14:54,960 --> 01:14:57,519
Speaker 2: Year i'd probably side with just give me the ten

1537
01:14:57,560 --> 01:14:59,960
Speaker 2: and a. Half there's gonna be some variant here With Kenny.

1538
01:15:00,040 --> 01:15:01,400
Speaker 2: Peck it is going to try to make some, plays

1539
01:15:01,439 --> 01:15:02,800
Speaker 2: but he's showing the propensity to throw some.

1540
01:15:02,880 --> 01:15:04,840
Speaker 3: Picks you, know he didn't urinate down his.

1541
01:15:04,920 --> 01:15:06,920
Speaker 2: Leg, man that's a great place to. BEGIN i don't

1542
01:15:06,920 --> 01:15:09,040
Speaker 2: Think watt's gonna, play which is still really big for

1543
01:15:09,760 --> 01:15:12,519
Speaker 2: The steelers. DEFENSE i don't. Know it's probably about. RIGHT

1544
01:15:12,600 --> 01:15:14,559
Speaker 2: i got. AHEAD i play The, steelers but nothing here

1545
01:15:14,560 --> 01:15:15,000
Speaker 2: for me as of.

1546
01:15:15,080 --> 01:15:17,240
Speaker 1: Now it's probably a stay away from me BECAUSE i

1547
01:15:17,680 --> 01:15:20,040
Speaker 1: actually think The eagles can get it done. HERE i,

1548
01:15:20,120 --> 01:15:23,160
Speaker 1: mean like The steers aren't getting enough, pressure AND i

1549
01:15:23,200 --> 01:15:26,160
Speaker 1: Mean jalen. Hurts when he's from a clean, pocket he

1550
01:15:26,240 --> 01:15:29,719
Speaker 1: can throw the. Ball eagles are top three in efficiency

1551
01:15:29,760 --> 01:15:32,160
Speaker 1: against man. Coverage The steelers like to play they're playing

1552
01:15:32,200 --> 01:15:34,439
Speaker 1: the fifth most. Man maybe they don't because there's a mobile,

1553
01:15:34,520 --> 01:15:37,639
Speaker 1: quarterback but uh, YEAH i think this could get ugly

1554
01:15:38,200 --> 01:15:40,320
Speaker 1: for The. Steelers AND i MEAN i like pick, it

1555
01:15:40,439 --> 01:15:42,800
Speaker 1: but he just he's got to like take that next.

1556
01:15:42,840 --> 01:15:45,280
Speaker 1: Step LIKE i hated that throw that That picky threw

1557
01:15:45,320 --> 01:15:48,320
Speaker 1: at the end In miami Against, Miami like throw it

1558
01:15:48,360 --> 01:15:50,240
Speaker 1: at the bounds live see another, day run out of,

1559
01:15:50,320 --> 01:15:50,960
Speaker 1: bounds like do.

1560
01:15:51,120 --> 01:15:51,760
Speaker 3: Anything not.

1561
01:15:51,920 --> 01:15:55,640
Speaker 2: That it also looks Like Lane johnson, is which is.

1562
01:15:55,680 --> 01:15:58,439
Speaker 2: Big he's supposed to play stoken cusher. Protocol but the

1563
01:15:58,520 --> 01:16:01,120
Speaker 2: report was two hours. Ago he was supposed to. Play

1564
01:16:01,400 --> 01:16:03,840
Speaker 2: if Like Lane johnson was out AND. Tj watt was,

1565
01:16:03,880 --> 01:16:05,800
Speaker 2: Playing i'd be on The steelers for.

1566
01:16:05,880 --> 01:16:09,280
Speaker 1: Sure chicago At. Dallas dallas is a nine and a

1567
01:16:09,280 --> 01:16:11,559
Speaker 1: half point. Favorite the totals forty two and a. Half

1568
01:16:11,760 --> 01:16:12,479
Speaker 1: what do you think about that?

1569
01:16:12,560 --> 01:16:15,160
Speaker 2: ONE i would Lean dallas. HERE i think it's probably

1570
01:16:15,320 --> 01:16:17,519
Speaker 2: IF i had to play a favorite this, week it

1571
01:16:17,560 --> 01:16:19,720
Speaker 2: would Be. Dallas just it's a tough spot for The

1572
01:16:19,760 --> 01:16:23,080
Speaker 2: bears on a short week after an upset road. Win,

1573
01:16:23,280 --> 01:16:26,200
Speaker 2: historically this is if you, look if you're Into trent's

1574
01:16:26,240 --> 01:16:28,240
Speaker 2: this is not a great spot for The. BEARS i

1575
01:16:28,320 --> 01:16:31,280
Speaker 2: also think that The dallas you Got dak back when

1576
01:16:31,280 --> 01:16:33,040
Speaker 2: we saw this last. Year one of the REASONS i

1577
01:16:33,160 --> 01:16:36,000
Speaker 2: liked The bronco The. Lions last, Week dak struggled in

1578
01:16:36,080 --> 01:16:38,200
Speaker 2: his first game back against The. Broncos expected, right there

1579
01:16:38,280 --> 01:16:40,680
Speaker 2: was some rust and you have to take some time

1580
01:16:40,720 --> 01:16:43,479
Speaker 2: to develop the. Timing SO i think the offense will

1581
01:16:43,479 --> 01:16:45,799
Speaker 2: look better this. WEEK i just think that The dallas

1582
01:16:45,920 --> 01:16:50,080
Speaker 2: defense can wreck complete havoc on The bears. Offense it's

1583
01:16:50,160 --> 01:16:54,000
Speaker 2: like this defensive front generating pressure against this offensive, line

1584
01:16:54,240 --> 01:16:58,880
Speaker 2: and unlike The patriots the. Lot The cowboys have so much,

1585
01:16:59,040 --> 01:17:04,080
Speaker 2: speed Like Michael parsons can like chase down, fields and

1586
01:17:04,160 --> 01:17:06,800
Speaker 2: they can come at fields for multiple angles and just

1587
01:17:06,960 --> 01:17:10,840
Speaker 2: blow up this offensive. Line SO i like what The

1588
01:17:11,040 --> 01:17:14,559
Speaker 2: bears did With fields running him a little bit more last.

1589
01:17:14,600 --> 01:17:16,960
Speaker 2: Week The cowboys have obviously seen. That but you just

1590
01:17:17,000 --> 01:17:19,000
Speaker 2: don't want to play This cowboys team with an offensive

1591
01:17:19,040 --> 01:17:21,519
Speaker 2: line like The bears. Have AND i think The cowboys

1592
01:17:22,080 --> 01:17:27,160
Speaker 2: offense will look better this, week SO i think ACTUALLY

1593
01:17:27,200 --> 01:17:27,960
Speaker 2: i would Lean dallas.

1594
01:17:28,000 --> 01:17:31,680
Speaker 3: Here, YEAH i, mean here's a crazy. Trend Dak prescott

1595
01:17:32,120 --> 01:17:34,559
Speaker 3: going up against a sub five hundred.

1596
01:17:34,640 --> 01:17:36,760
Speaker 2: Team is he's been.

1597
01:17:36,840 --> 01:17:38,759
Speaker 3: Money, yeah twenty two.

1598
01:17:38,800 --> 01:17:42,920
Speaker 1: Eight and two against the, spread including seventeen to five

1599
01:17:43,000 --> 01:17:45,400
Speaker 1: and two as a. Favorite that would have gives you

1600
01:17:45,600 --> 01:17:49,200
Speaker 1: a forty six point eight PERCENT roi and he's. One

1601
01:17:49,360 --> 01:17:51,400
Speaker 1: he's covered his last six in a row in that.

1602
01:17:51,479 --> 01:17:55,560
Speaker 1: Spot so, yeah he's been money in these. Spots AND i.

1603
01:17:55,680 --> 01:17:58,160
Speaker 1: AGREE i just think that that pressure For, DAWAS i

1604
01:17:58,240 --> 01:18:01,320
Speaker 1: mean The, BEARS i mean they could approach double digit

1605
01:18:01,400 --> 01:18:03,440
Speaker 1: sacks in this game if everything.

1606
01:18:03,200 --> 01:18:05,680
Speaker 2: Goes, yeah this was before last. Week this was a

1607
01:18:06,040 --> 01:18:11,479
Speaker 2: historically Bad bears offense that you couldn't you couldn't go,

1608
01:18:11,600 --> 01:18:14,519
Speaker 2: back you, know twenty years to find some of the

1609
01:18:14,760 --> 01:18:18,000
Speaker 2: futility that they've. Had and they broke out last week

1610
01:18:18,040 --> 01:18:21,600
Speaker 2: because the field's running. Ability but now they could be

1611
01:18:21,640 --> 01:18:22,120
Speaker 2: in for a long.

1612
01:18:22,200 --> 01:18:25,120
Speaker 1: Day Brad rogers is going to be the official game

1613
01:18:25,160 --> 01:18:27,880
Speaker 1: will probably go. Over his games always go. OVER i

1614
01:18:27,920 --> 01:18:30,840
Speaker 1: got knocked out Of survivor, too so we don't really

1615
01:18:30,880 --> 01:18:33,240
Speaker 1: have A survivor To did you Have New england but

1616
01:18:33,560 --> 01:18:35,280
Speaker 1: A New england in some spots And tampa band some.

1617
01:18:35,360 --> 01:18:39,760
Speaker 2: Spots SO i, told, YEAH i don't think we have

1618
01:18:39,840 --> 01:18:41,600
Speaker 2: to Cover survivor anymore BECAUSE i think anyone that's in

1619
01:18:41,640 --> 01:18:44,200
Speaker 2: it it's smart enough to not need. Us there's like

1620
01:18:44,360 --> 01:18:47,360
Speaker 2: ten people in any. League by the, WAY i don't

1621
01:18:47,360 --> 01:18:49,680
Speaker 2: know If i'm allowed to tell you. This, WELL i

1622
01:18:49,720 --> 01:18:52,920
Speaker 2: GUESS i already brought, up SO i have. To But Christina,

1623
01:18:53,960 --> 01:18:55,680
Speaker 2: chory who aren't on our video team and they do

1624
01:18:55,760 --> 01:18:57,599
Speaker 2: a great, job she messed. Me she's, LIKE i gotta

1625
01:18:57,640 --> 01:19:00,320
Speaker 2: Beat raybahn And. Survivor what SHOULD i? Use AND i

1626
01:19:00,439 --> 01:19:02,560
Speaker 2: just told her to use The dolphins so that she.

1627
01:19:02,680 --> 01:19:06,400
Speaker 1: WIN i guess she must have either that or it's

1628
01:19:06,439 --> 01:19:08,160
Speaker 1: just her and like one other. Person but it was

1629
01:19:08,200 --> 01:19:09,880
Speaker 1: down to four of. Us but, yeah, no that's a Good,

1630
01:19:09,960 --> 01:19:11,800
Speaker 1: uh that's a good. CALL i should have just used.

1631
01:19:11,800 --> 01:19:14,360
Speaker 2: It i'm. Great i'm great at survivor After i'm. Eliminated. Uh,

1632
01:19:14,640 --> 01:19:18,160
Speaker 2: right by the, way the last Thing i'll Mentioned boger For,

1633
01:19:18,320 --> 01:19:25,120
Speaker 2: Giants seahawks, Hockey lely Is Panthers, Falcons shephers Is Ravens,

1634
01:19:25,160 --> 01:19:27,439
Speaker 2: Bucks shephers is the morn like, god damn. It so

1635
01:19:27,640 --> 01:19:30,160
Speaker 2: those are the three worst reps in THE. Nfl are

1636
01:19:30,160 --> 01:19:30,800
Speaker 2: there any trends with?

1637
01:19:30,840 --> 01:19:32,960
Speaker 3: Them like Is boger He's is he an under guy

1638
01:19:33,000 --> 01:19:33,280
Speaker 3: or an over?

1639
01:19:33,360 --> 01:19:36,479
Speaker 2: Guy they're just incompetent. Guys they just they don't just

1640
01:19:36,560 --> 01:19:38,720
Speaker 2: there's just they're they're high vary. Size, well those are

1641
01:19:38,760 --> 01:19:42,200
Speaker 2: the three refs that throw the most flags every. Year

1642
01:19:42,840 --> 01:19:45,880
Speaker 2: so it depends on like, it there's it's hard to

1643
01:19:45,960 --> 01:19:48,559
Speaker 2: draw any. Trends but there's just increased variants because there

1644
01:19:48,560 --> 01:19:51,840
Speaker 2: will be more flags and more personal roughings and SO

1645
01:19:51,960 --> 01:19:54,920
Speaker 2: i genuinely hate that in their, games but it is

1646
01:19:54,960 --> 01:19:57,080
Speaker 2: what it. Is let's. Sleep let's, uh how about HOW

1647
01:19:57,120 --> 01:19:59,120
Speaker 2: i join? Him we sweep the board this. Week let's do,

1648
01:19:59,200 --> 01:20:00,840
Speaker 2: it do, it, Man let's get this.

1649
01:20:01,040 --> 01:20:03,160
Speaker 1: Money let's go out with a bang and come back

1650
01:20:03,200 --> 01:20:06,519
Speaker 1: next week hopefully we got six six or.

1651
01:20:06,520 --> 01:20:08,200
Speaker 3: Six in the six pack and all of our other

1652
01:20:08,240 --> 01:20:08,720
Speaker 3: stuff as.

1653
01:20:08,840 --> 01:20:11,840
Speaker 1: Well if you're looking to Follow, stucky you can find

1654
01:20:11,880 --> 01:20:13,080
Speaker 1: them On twitter At stucky.

1655
01:20:13,120 --> 01:20:14,599
Speaker 3: Too you can find me At Chris.

1656
01:20:14,720 --> 01:20:17,120
Speaker 1: Raybond you can find us at those same handles on a,

1657
01:20:17,200 --> 01:20:18,920
Speaker 1: free award Winning Action network.

1658
01:20:18,600 --> 01:20:22,200
Speaker 3: App where you can track your bets and follow ours as.

1659
01:20:22,280 --> 01:20:25,240
Speaker 1: Well actionnetwork Dot com for all of our betting as

1660
01:20:25,280 --> 01:20:29,360
Speaker 1: well as our fantasy football, content and fantasywabs dot com

1661
01:20:29,439 --> 01:20:30,960
Speaker 1: for A dfs tools and.

1662
01:20:31,280 --> 01:20:35,800
Speaker 3: Models until next, time let's get this, money go back

1663
01:20:35,880 --> 01:20:36,000
Speaker 3: up