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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Thursday morning episode of

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Speaker 2: the Daily Juice podcast.

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Speaker 1: My name is Matt Parolt.

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Speaker 2: You guys can follow me across all of my socials

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Speaker 2: at Sports Talk Matt, and we are back after a

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Speaker 2: slight up winning day, but back to back two and

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Speaker 2: one days. We'll take that at every turn. Look, I

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Speaker 2: know we want to go three and oh. We almost

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Speaker 2: went three and oh. If we just got the Reds

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Speaker 2: in extras to beat the Pirates, we would have gone

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Speaker 2: three and oh. Instead, Guardians continue the misery for the Tigers.

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Speaker 2: They have now passed the Tigers and they've made up

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Speaker 2: the fifteen and a half game deficit.

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Speaker 1: Unbelievable Red Sox over seven to one.

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Speaker 2: They win over the Blue Jays, but the Reds lose

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Speaker 2: an extra, so unfortunately we go down with that one

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Speaker 2: two and one up point eight nine units. Yesterday was

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Speaker 2: point nine units. So look, take two and one every

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Speaker 2: single day we win and we move on to a Thursday.

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Speaker 2: So pretty good run going here. We lost on Monday,

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Speaker 2: one on Tuesday, and one on Wednesday. As we get

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Speaker 2: to Thursday, we're back to football today with Thursday Night

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Speaker 2: Football with the Seahawks on the road up against the

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Speaker 2: Arizona Cardinals, so stay tuned coming up for that. Before

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Speaker 2: we get to the picks in the plays, let me

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Speaker 2: tell you about our friends at hard rock Bet. Now

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Speaker 2: has won seven in a row against Arizona. Yep, that's

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Speaker 2: good to come into my handicap goes back to twenty

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Speaker 2: twenty one. Seattle has won seven games in a row,

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Speaker 2: which is pretty impressive. Seahawks have won eight in a

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Speaker 2: row as road favorites. Sam Darnold has rushed for eleven

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Speaker 2: or more yards in four consecutive games against NFC West opponents.

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Speaker 2: His line's on least seven and a half rush yards

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Speaker 1: All right, let's go right into this.

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Speaker 2: So you have the stats from hard Rock Bet, I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna give you stats from what I think is the

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Speaker 2: best piece of content that comes out every single week

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Speaker 2: for the NFL, and that's Evan Abrams and his primer

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Speaker 2: for Action Network. It's it's just the best thing going,

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Speaker 2: I mean period on sports betting. And if you are

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Speaker 2: a sports gambler, I wish we would hire him at

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Speaker 2: Betting Pros because I love the guy. I think he's

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Speaker 2: incredible and I think the primary is up you have

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Speaker 2: to read before you bet. It's where I get my stats.

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Speaker 2: Like if you talk about all the ATS stuff that

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Speaker 2: I reference, it all comes from Evan. And I've told this,

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Speaker 2: I'm like, Evan, you you literally make my life so

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Speaker 2: much easier because you get it all in one place.

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Speaker 2: So we talked about the seven and zero straight up

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Speaker 2: Mark Yep. We talked to the wins in a row

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Speaker 2: on the road Yep. Kyler Murray is two and eight

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Speaker 2: straight up in three and seven ats in his career

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Speaker 2: against the Seahawks. His last win came all the way

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Speaker 2: back in twenty twenty. But there's more than this, Okay, look,

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Speaker 2: Sam Darnold's not been good in the first half ats

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Speaker 2: wise in his career, but Kyler Murray's been awful, and

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Speaker 2: I mean just like straight up awful against the NFC West.

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Speaker 2: Kyler Murray is six and twenty four against the first

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Speaker 2: half spread, including a one in fourteen first half ats

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Speaker 2: against the NFC West in his last fifteen starts, one

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Speaker 2: in fourteen. Of two hundred and forty five quarterbacks since

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Speaker 2: two thousand and five, Kyler Murray's record of six and

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Speaker 2: twenty four is the worst for any quarterback. The next

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Speaker 2: worst is Tony Romo at seventeen and thirty one.

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Speaker 1: Yikes.

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Speaker 2: The Cardinals have also lost five consecutive games outright in

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Speaker 2: the game directly following facing the forty nine, including going

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Speaker 2: four and eighteen straight up in that spot since twenty twelve.

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Speaker 2: It's not just a Kyler Murley Murray problem, It's a

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Speaker 2: franchise problem. Kyler Murray those two and six straight up

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Speaker 2: in the week immediately following a game against San Francisco.

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Speaker 2: The road at night hasn't been great for Seattle though,

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Speaker 2: dating back to twenty eighteen, they are five and nine

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Speaker 2: ats on the road in primetime. That's not good. So

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Speaker 2: who has the stats that come into play more? Well, look,

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Speaker 2: I think Seattle's pretty good, I really do. And as

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Speaker 2: a starter, Kyler Murray is eight and twenty two straight

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Speaker 2: up against the NFC West, including three and ten since

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Speaker 2: twenty twenty twenty twenty two. I'm sorry he's never finished

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Speaker 2: above five hundred against his own division in the NFL.

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Speaker 1: This is just a game that I think.

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Speaker 2: That the four, that the Seattle Seahawks are just the

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Speaker 2: better football team. I know the score of points last week,

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Speaker 2: but look, it was the Saints. I'm not going to

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Speaker 2: put a lot of stock into it. But I like

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Speaker 2: Sam Darnold, I like the fact this number is really small,

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Speaker 2: and I like the fact that, well, we don't just

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Speaker 2: have an opportunity to bet on the game for Seattle

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Speaker 2: to win the game. The first half number is too

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Speaker 2: tasty not to pass it up. It's actually plus money.

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Speaker 2: So I'm going to take them both. I'm going to

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Speaker 2: take Seattle to win the game, lay the one point,

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Speaker 2: Seahawks win the game minus one, But additionally, I'm going

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Speaker 2: to take the plus one oh five and I'm going

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Speaker 2: to take Seattle on the first half met number one

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Speaker 2: in fourteen ats speaks volumes to me as a trend better.

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Speaker 1: This is the stuff. This is the stuff I look at.

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Speaker 2: This is the stuff that makes a lot of sense

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Speaker 2: to me in terms of repeating history. And I just

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Speaker 2: think this Seahawks defense is really, really good. I think

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Speaker 2: Darnald One have to do very much. I don't want

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Speaker 2: to touch the total. I think that's kind of a

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Speaker 2: difficult prediction to make here as to what's going to happen.

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Speaker 2: But I just I haven't liked Kyler Murray in the

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Speaker 2: NFL on Thursday. I haven't liked Kyler Murray. I just small, small,

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Speaker 2: favorite small dog. It doesn't really matter Kyler.

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Speaker 1: Murray is, though.

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Speaker 2: If you want to put overs at home, Kyler Murray

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Speaker 2: is twenty six and eighteen to the over since he

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Speaker 2: was drafted. That's the fourth best mark of one hundred

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Speaker 2: and twenty quarterbacks who have come into the league since

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Speaker 2: Kyler Murray has been drafted. So he is an over

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Speaker 2: team at home. But it's Thursday night football. Yeah, I

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Speaker 2: don't know. I don't know how quickly I'm jumping on

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Speaker 2: the over today or even teasing this game. I'm just

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Speaker 2: gonna go ahead and lay the one with Seattle for

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Speaker 2: the game and take the plus one h five at

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Speaker 2: a half a unit. They must be winning by any denomination,

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Speaker 2: but Seattle winning at halftime in the first half at

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Speaker 2: plus money. So are two bets on the game coming

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Speaker 2: up here for today. Seattle minus one for the game,

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Speaker 2: Seahawks minus half a point for the first half. Now

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Speaker 2: sea site for details. Okay, one major League Baseball game

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Speaker 2: to get into, and I'm going to go back here

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Speaker 2: and maybe I'm.

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Speaker 1: You know, a glutton for punishment.

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Speaker 2: But it's Nick Lidolo on the mound for the Reds.

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Speaker 2: His wins seven to four over the Cubs, three to

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Speaker 2: two over the Cubs, five to nothing over Washington, eight

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Speaker 2: to four over the Mets, six nothing over Washington. Now

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Speaker 2: he has lost four games as well, seven four, four, three,

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Speaker 2: five to five to four in that same timeframe. But

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Speaker 2: I can't see the Reds getting swept by the Pirates.

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Speaker 2: I just can't see it. Okay, their whole years.

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Speaker 1: On the line.

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Speaker 2: They're one game out of a wild card spot like

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Speaker 2: this is. They have to win this game. They have

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Speaker 2: no choice. They're at home. They've lost the first two

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Speaker 2: games to the Pirates. Amazingly enough, I don't think Nick

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Speaker 2: Lodolo in the Pirates. Are Nick in the Redgs lose

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Speaker 2: to the Pirates. Braxton Ashcroft is going for the Pirates.

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Speaker 2: He has a two point two to three ERA and

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Speaker 2: a one to one record. Okay, twenty five year old

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Speaker 2: kid hasn't been pitching in a ton of the big leagues.

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Speaker 1: But for this team.

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Speaker 2: Two nothing went over the A's, four nothing lost to

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Speaker 2: the Cubs, and a three to two loss to the

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Speaker 2: Orioles on the road. He did beat the Dodgers three nothing,

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Speaker 2: although he went three innings.

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Speaker 1: The team won game.

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Speaker 2: I just can't see the Reds not scoring here against

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Speaker 2: a bullpen. This is no longer schemes. I mean, they

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Speaker 2: had numerous chances to win the game in extras, they

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Speaker 2: got skins out of the game and they just couldn't

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Speaker 2: win the game.

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Speaker 1: Was kind of annoying.

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Speaker 2: And then a top of the eleven run for the

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Speaker 2: Pirates and then win the game four to three. I

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Speaker 2: just can't see the Reds losing it again. So I

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Speaker 2: don't want to lay one sixty. So I'll just take

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Speaker 2: a shot on the run line. Here, Reds on the

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Speaker 2: run line to win the game. Lay the one and

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Speaker 2: a half, just because I can't see them losing another game.

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Speaker 1: I can't.

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Speaker 2: They may win by one, I lose the bet. But

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Speaker 2: at plus one thirty four, I think it's too tasty

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Speaker 2: for a Reds team. It's the first game of the day,

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Speaker 2: it's really early day game, warm temperatures, ball is gonna fly.

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Speaker 2: I think the Reds score a bunch of runs. The

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Speaker 2: Reds on the run line at plus one thirty four

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Speaker 2: for one unit, all right, so two football plays in

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Speaker 2: one baseball play. I looked at the prop betche sheet

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Speaker 2: and I really tried to find props for this game tonight.

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Speaker 1: There's nothing I really like.

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Speaker 2: I mean, you can do a trade McBride anytime touchdown

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Speaker 2: if you want. You can talk about, you know, the

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Speaker 2: running game for the Seattle Seahawks not being very good

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Speaker 2: in fade Kenneth Walker the third if you want. But

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Speaker 2: there was nothing that, you know, Sam Darnold maybe throw

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Speaker 2: a pick. There was nothing that like jumped out at me.

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Speaker 2: Those are all plays on the propet cheat sheet of

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Speaker 2: the prop beet cheat sheet las as five star plays,

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Speaker 2: and we've been hitting about sixty two percent on the

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Speaker 2: five star plays on the prop bet cheat sheet. I

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Speaker 2: just I can't bring myself to bette. There's there's nothing

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Speaker 2: there that screams bet bet bet.

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Speaker 1: So I don't know.

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Speaker 2: Maybe by the time I'm done with BVB I will

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Speaker 2: have changed my mind.

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Speaker 1: What is BVB? If you guys haven't checked up my.

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Speaker 2: Other show one o'clock pm Eastern Time on the YouTube

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Speaker 2: channel for The Bostonian Versus the Book, I'm the Bostonian

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Speaker 2: at Boston Versus the Book.

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Speaker 1: That's the handle on X and on YouTube.

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Speaker 2: We are live at one pm Eastern time to break

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Speaker 2: down Arizona and Seattle for the third to night football game.

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Speaker 2: If there's anything extra, maybe I'll come around do it.

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Speaker 2: At some point point, I'll find a play that I

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Speaker 2: like from a prop bet perspective, but for right now,

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Speaker 2: there are no prop bets I like. But we will

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Speaker 2: talk about this game and all the pennant chases as well,

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Speaker 2: coming up one pm Eastern time on our YouTube channel

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Speaker 2: at Boston Versus. The book streamed on x as well

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Speaker 2: at one pm Eastern time.

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Speaker 1: My name is Matt Parol.

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Speaker 2: You guys can follow me across all my socials at

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Speaker 2: sports Doc Matt.

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Speaker 1: Every morning wherever you guys get your podcasts. It is

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Speaker 1: the Daily Juice