WEBVTT - Tuesday Best Bets | MLB Betting Picks & Top Player Props

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<v Speaker 1>Good Tuesday morning, everybody.

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<v Speaker 2>How are you welcome into a new episode of the

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<v Speaker 2>Daily Juice Podcast. My name is Matt Parult. You guys

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<v Speaker 2>can follow me across all of my socials at Sports

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<v Speaker 2>Talk Matt, and we did not bet anything yesterday. We

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<v Speaker 2>bet FUTUREHW Sorry coming down in three, two and one.

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<v Speaker 2>Good Tuesday morning, everybody, Welcome into a new episode of

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<v Speaker 2>the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is Matt Parult. You

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<v Speaker 2>guys can follow me across all of my socials at

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<v Speaker 2>Sports Talk Matt, and we did not bet anything yesterday.

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<v Speaker 2>It was all futures in college and for this Thursday's

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<v Speaker 2>Hall of Fame game. So if you want to go

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<v Speaker 2>watch yesterday's podcast, you can get some future bets. But

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<v Speaker 2>we've got plays for today one and two prop bets

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<v Speaker 2>to give you guys here, including a new little tweak

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<v Speaker 2>to the prop bit cheat sheet. One of the things

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<v Speaker 2>I love about this company is that the innovation is

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<v Speaker 2>always forward moving. There's always new things. The home run tool,

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<v Speaker 2>We've talked about that. Over the last couple of weeks,

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<v Speaker 2>the prop bit cheat sheet has added a couple or

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<v Speaker 2>one really cool feature that I'm gonna show you here

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<v Speaker 2>on the screen. In just one second from a notes

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<v Speaker 2>perspective to help you explain why we are projecting what

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<v Speaker 2>we are projecting in the five star play for a

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<v Speaker 2>prop bet that we are recommending to be bet today.

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<v Speaker 2>So got two of those coming at you today on

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<v Speaker 2>the show. But July we have to announce the winner

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<v Speaker 2>of the fifty dollars gift card to the Betting pro

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<v Speaker 2>Store and a one year subscription to Betting Pros Premium

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<v Speaker 2>and that will go to user dash C seven P

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<v Speaker 2>two G. You've won a one year subscription to Betting

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<v Speaker 2>Pros Premium and Juggator one one nine eight you've won

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<v Speaker 2>a fifty dollars store credit to the Betting Pros Store.

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<v Speaker 2>Congratulations to both of you. Please get in touch with

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<v Speaker 2>our customer support agents at mailbag at Fantasypros dot com

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<v Speaker 2>were logged in. Once we conferment, you will be sent

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<v Speaker 2>your prize again. Congrats to Juggator one one nine eight

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<v Speaker 2>and user dash C seven P two G. If you

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<v Speaker 2>would like your chance in the month of August, we

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<v Speaker 2>are going to give you a chance to win a

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<v Speaker 2>year subscription to Betting Pros Premium that is up for

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<v Speaker 2>grabs in August. All you have to do is be

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<v Speaker 2>a subscriber to the Betting Pros YouTube channel and drop

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<v Speaker 2>a comment on any of our Daily Juice videos.

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<v Speaker 1>If we like it, we pick it, you win. We'll

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<v Speaker 1>announce this coming up in.

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<v Speaker 2>September, so make sure you turn on your notifications so

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<v Speaker 2>you know when new videos are up and you will

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<v Speaker 2>know to claim your prize for this Betting Pros Premium

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<v Speaker 2>subscription for the month of August. As we head towards

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<v Speaker 2>football season, Okay, let's talk day after the All Star Sorry,

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<v Speaker 2>day after the trade, Devine, So, the Red Sox traded

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<v Speaker 2>for two players who both are hurt.

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<v Speaker 1>I actually like it.

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<v Speaker 2>So sometimes when you interject a new player into a

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<v Speaker 2>roster into a clubhouse, it can mess with the mojo.

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<v Speaker 2>So if a team is rolling, you don't want to

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<v Speaker 2>touch anything. But the Red Sox went and traded for

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<v Speaker 2>La Rushman with the Orioles give up a ton to

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<v Speaker 2>get them, but he's a switch hitting, three time All

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<v Speaker 2>Star catcher, former number one pick overall in twenty nineteen.

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<v Speaker 2>Change of scenery. Orioles are punting on their revamp that

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<v Speaker 2>happened back in twenty nineteen. Twenty twenty and they are

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<v Speaker 2>going to look to the future and try to find

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<v Speaker 2>some prospects and kids. And the Red Sox gave up

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<v Speaker 2>a couple of high level prospects to go and get Rushman.

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<v Speaker 2>But to me, I always trade prospects for talent. It's

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<v Speaker 2>just how I am. And when it comes to pro sports,

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<v Speaker 2>I don't care how good a kid wind up being. Okay,

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<v Speaker 2>you want to win right now, take advantage of today

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<v Speaker 2>and Rushman if he comes back healthy with the wrist injury,

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<v Speaker 2>and hopefully the medicals looked out right. The Red Sox

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<v Speaker 2>medical system is awful. I mean, look at the injuries

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<v Speaker 2>they've dealt with Anthony. I mean Roman Anthony has been

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<v Speaker 2>out forever. It's supposed to be two weeks. It was

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<v Speaker 2>supposed to have just been a little injury to the

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<v Speaker 2>a to the lat of Garrett Crochet, and he's been

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<v Speaker 2>gone for months. So, like the Red Sox doctors are

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<v Speaker 2>not great at the moment with injuries. But let's just

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<v Speaker 2>say Rushman comes back and is great. You have a

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<v Speaker 2>catcher who is an above average defensive catcher with makes

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<v Speaker 2>your pitching staff even better, makes your defense better, which

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<v Speaker 2>is great for the postseason, for the Red Sox. Plus

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<v Speaker 2>you have a switch hitting catcher who has pop, and

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<v Speaker 2>everyone's like, where's the right handed bat? Well, that's Rushman, Okay,

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<v Speaker 2>Like he's a guy who can come in and give

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<v Speaker 2>you some pop and help you. So I I like

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<v Speaker 2>the fact the Red Sox made a big trade, But

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<v Speaker 2>I love even more than he's not gonna play today

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<v Speaker 2>because the Red Sox get back. And I'm gonna tell

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<v Speaker 2>you again, I don't think the Red Sox are gonna

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<v Speaker 2>keep going on the road as hot as they have been. However,

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<v Speaker 2>this team is still under five hundred at Fenway Park.

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<v Speaker 2>That is not typical for a Red Sox team. And

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<v Speaker 2>when I tell you after sweeping the Dodgers, the buzz

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<v Speaker 2>coming from this clubhouse is high.

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<v Speaker 1>The vibes are high.

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<v Speaker 2>This is a team feeling very good, even with their

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<v Speaker 2>plain problems, and we saw that in social media. But

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<v Speaker 2>they had plain problems getting back from LA day off yesterday.

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<v Speaker 2>Shouldn't matter. Davis Martin goes today for the White Sox. Now,

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<v Speaker 2>Davis Martin just broke the team, broke a four game

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<v Speaker 2>losing streak with him on the mound by beating the

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<v Speaker 2>Yankees six to five in extras. But he went six innings,

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<v Speaker 2>gave up four earned runs. On the road, Martin has

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<v Speaker 2>a four point four to three ERA. He's much better

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<v Speaker 2>at home, where he's five and one with a two

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<v Speaker 2>point seven to three EER. Away from home home sixty

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<v Speaker 2>one innings worth of work, thirty earn runs, given up

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<v Speaker 2>five home runs in the opposing batting average of two

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<v Speaker 2>point eighty. That's exactly what the Red Sox want here

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<v Speaker 2>in terms of where they've been. Right handed hitters for

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<v Speaker 2>the Red up against Davis Martin about in two sixty five,

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<v Speaker 2>they've uh drove, driven in eighteen runs and given up

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<v Speaker 2>two home runs. Lefty have actually been better against the guy.

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<v Speaker 2>But I'll be curious to see how the Red Sox

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<v Speaker 2>perform here during this homestand because again this team being

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<v Speaker 2>under five hundred is ridiculous. So they've won five games

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<v Speaker 2>in a row, but it's got more to do to me,

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<v Speaker 2>It's got more to do with what's happening for the

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<v Speaker 2>Red Sox at home. They are sixty and fifty one

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<v Speaker 2>now and they have a shot here with this homestand

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<v Speaker 2>they play the White Sox for three, they play the

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<v Speaker 2>A's for three six game stand before they go to Toronto.

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<v Speaker 2>They could win the majority of these games. Okay, they're

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<v Speaker 2>gonna have the pitching advantages. They've got Sandoval going today,

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<v Speaker 2>who's a lefty. He's been okay. The team has won

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<v Speaker 2>every game he has started yet so far, a four

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<v Speaker 2>to two win over the A's. In his last start,

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<v Speaker 2>he went five innings, two earn runs, a six to

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<v Speaker 2>four win over Toronto.

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<v Speaker 1>He went four and two thirds, no earn runs.

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<v Speaker 2>Got touched up against Tampa Bay at home, where he

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<v Speaker 2>went five innings, gave up four earned runs in his

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<v Speaker 2>Fenway debut.

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<v Speaker 1>That might have been nerves.

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<v Speaker 2>And then his first start was against these White Sox

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<v Speaker 2>at four and a third innings, he went one earned run.

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<v Speaker 1>The Red Sox won the game two to one.

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<v Speaker 2>It's a cheap price on the Red Sox because you

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<v Speaker 2>have a young starter or a young but inexperienced starter

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<v Speaker 2>for the Red Sox here coming up. Lefties at Fenway

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<v Speaker 2>Park sometimes struggle. But I like Boston, I think we

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<v Speaker 2>can jump on the Red Sox here to get a

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<v Speaker 2>w and to win. It's a short price Boston winning

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<v Speaker 2>five in a row. It's bet the streak with the

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<v Speaker 2>Red Sox money line at minus one twenty for one

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<v Speaker 2>point two units now two player props. I want to

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<v Speaker 2>talk to you, you guys about and let's take a look

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<v Speaker 2>at the prop bet cheat sheet in the changes we

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<v Speaker 2>have made to the prop bet cheat sheet. If you

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<v Speaker 2>are watching on YouTube, I want your eyes to go

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<v Speaker 2>to the bottom right hand corner of this slide on

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<v Speaker 2>the screen.

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<v Speaker 1>This is new.

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<v Speaker 2>Okay, really, the whole graphic is new, but the real

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<v Speaker 2>newness is the notes. So we start to tell you

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<v Speaker 2>about why the prop bet cheat sheet is picking this

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<v Speaker 2>to be a five star play. Five star bets have

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<v Speaker 2>hit at a forty eight percent clip for us this year.

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<v Speaker 2>We're talking about Bryce Terrang of the Brewers, over one

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<v Speaker 2>and a half hits runs in RBIs. This has been

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<v Speaker 2>the market where the prop bet cheat sheet really has

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<v Speaker 2>focused in on. The projection is for two point six

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<v Speaker 2>hits runs in RBIs for Bryce Terrang. He has not

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<v Speaker 2>hit this in the last two games. However, the Brewers,

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<v Speaker 2>if you start looking at where we are here in

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<v Speaker 2>terms of the numbers, the Pirates one reliever has pitched

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<v Speaker 2>at leads two straight days. That's good a seven to

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<v Speaker 2>seventy four ops against right handed pitching, eighty one points

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<v Speaker 2>above their opposing hands. So that's for the Pirates. But

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<v Speaker 2>a seven to three ops against right handed pitching sixty

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<v Speaker 2>eight points better than their opposite hands splits.

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<v Speaker 1>There's a bunch of them.

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<v Speaker 2>Okay, I can't scroll and showed you all these, but

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<v Speaker 2>it's a way of seeing some extra information as to

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<v Speaker 2>why the prop bet cheat sheet is liking Bryce terrang

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<v Speaker 2>to go over one and a half, hits, runs and RBIs.

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<v Speaker 2>I like the market because it gives you multiple ways

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<v Speaker 2>to win, and a guy could even just walk a

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<v Speaker 2>couple times. If he scores two runs, it goes over,

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<v Speaker 2>so it eliminates that total basis problem when it comes

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<v Speaker 2>to walks, which is great. So if it's a high

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<v Speaker 2>scoring game and the guys on base a ton, he

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<v Speaker 2>scores two times were good.

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<v Speaker 1>So I like the hits, runs and RBI market.

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<v Speaker 2>Here yesterday a four to three win over the Pirates,

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<v Speaker 2>I don't hate.

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<v Speaker 1>I thought about betting the under in this game.

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<v Speaker 2>I came close to betting the under in this game,

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<v Speaker 2>but I kind of backed away from it looking at

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<v Speaker 2>some of the prop bet cheat sheets. Jared Jones on

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<v Speaker 2>the MA has been pretty good, but the bullpen again

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<v Speaker 2>not great. We don't need a high scoring game for

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<v Speaker 2>Bryce Terrang to have a to have a good night,

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<v Speaker 2>but Jared Jones two and two of a three point

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<v Speaker 2>eight to one ERA. The team has lost three of

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<v Speaker 2>the last four starts for Jared Jones three to nothing,

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<v Speaker 2>three to two, seven to one, three nothing. The final

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<v Speaker 2>scores over the last four games, three of those four

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<v Speaker 2>have gone under. But given the fact that the Brewers

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<v Speaker 2>have a much better offense at home, I think it

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<v Speaker 2>might counteract the fact that Jared Jones has a three

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<v Speaker 2>point four to three ERA on the road two in

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<v Speaker 2>one mark posting matting average two twenty five. I like

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<v Speaker 2>Bryce Terrang. I took it Bryce Terrang to go over

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<v Speaker 2>one and a half hits runs in RBIs today minus

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<v Speaker 2>one ten is the best price you can get on that.

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<v Speaker 2>I think it's a good coin flip situation, coin flip

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<v Speaker 2>price with a bit more of a more likelihood of

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<v Speaker 2>a coin flip productions two point six for the prop

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<v Speaker 2>bet cheat sheet.

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<v Speaker 1>Now for bet.

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<v Speaker 2>Number three for US, we're going Brandon mar same market

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<v Speaker 2>over one and a half hits runs and RBIs. The

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<v Speaker 2>Washington Nationals are playing in Philadelphia. We know the bank

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<v Speaker 2>is a launching pad, and again you start looking at

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<v Speaker 2>the notes. You start reading through the notes, you know

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<v Speaker 2>where this team is averaging five point eight runs over

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<v Speaker 2>the last five games. That's thirty two percent above their average,

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<v Speaker 2>which is great. Philadelphia had was won for the last

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<v Speaker 2>five matchups against the Nationals in two of the last three

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<v Speaker 2>games have gone over for Brandon Marsh for he did

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<v Speaker 2>not get it yesterday, but over one and a half

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<v Speaker 2>hits runs and RBIs projection is for two point five.

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<v Speaker 2>The consensus number is one and a half. DraftKings has

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<v Speaker 2>us at mach one twenty five. So you can go

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<v Speaker 2>into my shop other books as well coming up on this.

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<v Speaker 1>These again are markets.

0:11:46.720 --> 0:11:48.480
<v Speaker 2>We start looking at where we are with the prop

0:11:48.480 --> 0:11:50.880
<v Speaker 2>bet Chies sheet and opposing pictures, and where we are

0:11:51.040 --> 0:11:53.960
<v Speaker 2>from a Brandon Marsh perspective. I like this a lot,

0:11:54.000 --> 0:11:57.320
<v Speaker 2>and you start, you know to see, you know, this

0:11:57.400 --> 0:11:59.960
<v Speaker 2>time of the year, we have a lot of data

0:12:00.040 --> 0:12:01.880
<v Speaker 2>to start to go with. The Phillies have won three

0:12:01.960 --> 0:12:05.079
<v Speaker 2>games in a row. Zach Little is going Hotel is

0:12:05.120 --> 0:12:07.520
<v Speaker 2>going on the other side. He on the road has

0:12:07.559 --> 0:12:10.360
<v Speaker 2>a five point three to one ERA, a three and

0:12:10.480 --> 0:12:12.920
<v Speaker 2>three mark, opposing batting average of two fifty two is

0:12:12.920 --> 0:12:15.679
<v Speaker 2>giving up twenty four earned runs in forty and two

0:12:15.760 --> 0:12:19.120
<v Speaker 2>thirds innings worth of work, and the Washington Nationals have

0:12:19.360 --> 0:12:23.320
<v Speaker 2>lost five consecutive games in eight of the last nine

0:12:23.720 --> 0:12:26.440
<v Speaker 2>win Little Lettel has been on the mound for the

0:12:26.559 --> 0:12:30.560
<v Speaker 2>Washington Nationals five two, three, two, fifteen one, five three

0:12:30.679 --> 0:12:34.080
<v Speaker 2>and seven to one. He has given up eleven earned

0:12:34.160 --> 0:12:36.400
<v Speaker 2>runs in twenty five and two thirds innings worth of

0:12:36.600 --> 0:12:38.640
<v Speaker 2>work in the month of July. That's a three point

0:12:38.679 --> 0:12:42.120
<v Speaker 2>eight six ERA. He had a six ERA in the

0:12:42.160 --> 0:12:44.480
<v Speaker 2>month of June, so he's been given up a bunch

0:12:44.480 --> 0:12:46.480
<v Speaker 2>of runs. His ERA on the year is four point

0:12:46.640 --> 0:12:50.640
<v Speaker 2>nine four. We got a good shot here. The Marsch

0:12:50.679 --> 0:12:52.760
<v Speaker 2>can get a double, Marsh can can go ahead and

0:12:53.160 --> 0:12:55.160
<v Speaker 2>you know, get on base score a couple of runs,

0:12:55.240 --> 0:12:57.800
<v Speaker 2>drive a run in over one and a half for

0:12:57.880 --> 0:13:01.720
<v Speaker 2>Brandon Marsh today four the prop Bet, for the prop

0:13:01.720 --> 0:13:04.840
<v Speaker 2>bet cheat sheet and for our plays coming up here

0:13:05.000 --> 0:13:08.920
<v Speaker 2>for today Red Sox money Line minus one twenty Bryce

0:13:09.000 --> 0:13:11.600
<v Speaker 2>Terrag over one and a half hitch runs and RBIs

0:13:11.840 --> 0:13:15.720
<v Speaker 2>Brandon Marsh over one and a half hitch runs and ourbis.

0:13:15.840 --> 0:13:18.480
<v Speaker 2>The Dailyly Juice podcast is being brought to you by

0:13:18.520 --> 0:13:21.480
<v Speaker 2>our friends at hard Rock Bet.

0:13:21.679 --> 0:13:23.840
<v Speaker 1>Now it is the summer.

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<v Speaker 2>cost on winter spreads and over under pregame bets, same bet,

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<v Speaker 2>just better odds can be found at hard Rock Bets.

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0:14:10.640 --> 0:14:13.400
<v Speaker 2>excusing This is going to be an interesting couple of

0:14:13.440 --> 0:14:16.560
<v Speaker 2>days in the wake of the trades that went down

0:14:16.600 --> 0:14:19.680
<v Speaker 2>for the trade deadline. Yes, schoolbl pitches today for the Dodgers,

0:14:19.720 --> 0:14:21.600
<v Speaker 2>so we'll see what he looks like coming up here

0:14:21.640 --> 0:14:24.080
<v Speaker 2>for today. Other pitchers are making their debuts as well,

0:14:24.200 --> 0:14:26.600
<v Speaker 2>who are traded either right before the deadline or on

0:14:26.680 --> 0:14:29.360
<v Speaker 2>the deadline. Some relievers coming over that could get some

0:14:29.400 --> 0:14:32.000
<v Speaker 2>action here as well, So it's always interesting to see

0:14:32.000 --> 0:14:33.240
<v Speaker 2>how things play out.

0:14:33.320 --> 0:14:35.600
<v Speaker 1>But we've got football on Thursday.

0:14:35.800 --> 0:14:38.840
<v Speaker 2>In a quick scheduling note, I will be doing the

0:14:38.920 --> 0:14:43.280
<v Speaker 2>Daily Juice podcast tomorrow Wednesday morning, like usual, nine am

0:14:43.400 --> 0:14:45.880
<v Speaker 2>or so Eastern time, when it will come out. Then

0:14:46.680 --> 0:14:49.280
<v Speaker 2>I get on a plane and I'm in Vegas for

0:14:49.360 --> 0:14:53.440
<v Speaker 2>an event in Las Vegas on Wednesday night and Thursday night,

0:14:53.560 --> 0:14:56.280
<v Speaker 2>and on Friday I'm on our red eye back to

0:14:57.480 --> 0:15:02.280
<v Speaker 2>back here to Boston. So there's going to be a

0:15:02.320 --> 0:15:05.280
<v Speaker 2>little bit of a scheduling change. So most likely you're

0:15:05.280 --> 0:15:08.320
<v Speaker 2>gonna get the same schedule today obviously Wednesday, but then

0:15:08.640 --> 0:15:13.240
<v Speaker 2>Wednesday night overnight. I'm not sure when the Juice comes

0:15:13.240 --> 0:15:15.760
<v Speaker 2>out for Thursday. We got to figure that out. Most

0:15:15.960 --> 0:15:18.680
<v Speaker 2>likely I'm gonna tape it from the either the airport

0:15:18.840 --> 0:15:21.080
<v Speaker 2>or when I'm in Baltimore on a layover.

0:15:21.200 --> 0:15:22.760
<v Speaker 1>I don't know, So we'll figure that out.

0:15:22.800 --> 0:15:26.160
<v Speaker 2>But we're going to have the Thursday Daily Juice podcast

0:15:26.240 --> 0:15:28.840
<v Speaker 2>will be getting taped. It's probably my gut tells me

0:15:28.960 --> 0:15:31.800
<v Speaker 2>Thursday's podcast will be get another futures where we'll go

0:15:31.800 --> 0:15:32.680
<v Speaker 2>ahead and give.

0:15:32.560 --> 0:15:35.600
<v Speaker 1>You some more college and pro football bets that I like.

0:15:36.520 --> 0:15:40.680
<v Speaker 2>So we'll do that and then we will get there,

0:15:40.920 --> 0:15:44.800
<v Speaker 2>probably tape Thursday night overnight for Friday, and Friday night

0:15:44.880 --> 0:15:47.280
<v Speaker 2>overnight for Saturday for the show.

0:15:47.360 --> 0:15:48.480
<v Speaker 1>Just to give you a little bit of schedule.

0:15:48.600 --> 0:15:49.920
<v Speaker 2>I know you guys like to see when it's like,

0:15:50.600 --> 0:15:53.160
<v Speaker 2>what's going on, where's the podcast? So just a little

0:15:53.200 --> 0:15:54.880
<v Speaker 2>bit of a hook because I'm headed back to Vegas

0:15:55.080 --> 0:15:58.280
<v Speaker 2>for a couple of days for an event, So just

0:15:58.320 --> 0:15:59.960
<v Speaker 2>heads up on that. My name's Mat Parotch. You got

0:16:00.040 --> 0:16:02.040
<v Speaker 2>and following me across all my socials at Sports Talk

0:16:02.120 --> 0:16:04.560
<v Speaker 2>Matt every morning wherever you guys get your podcasts.

0:16:04.680 --> 0:16:17.320
<v Speaker 1>It is the Daily Juice.