Speaker 1: Hello everyone, and welcome to the Open Championship preview for
Speaker 1: betting pros. Uh excuse me, the Open Championship Preview.
Speaker 2: I don't want to say we're gonna get You're gonna
Speaker 2: get canceled by all the purists out there like myself
Speaker 2: who know it as the Open or the Open Championship.
Speaker 1: Yes, this is the the Betting Pros Open Championship Preview.
Speaker 1: I'm Pat Fitzmorris. You can find me on Twitter at
Speaker 1: fits underscore ff and joining me uh here to correct
Speaker 1: me when I make these sorts of faux pause is
Speaker 1: my esteemed colleague Bo McBrayer. He offers his PGA Tour
Speaker 1: betting takes in a weekly Betting Pros article, and he
Speaker 1: also is a DFS podcast on IBT Media called The
Speaker 1: Nineteenth holl Find him on Twitter at Boa Mcbig Time BOUH.
Speaker 1: So you know now that you're no longer aggrieved that
Speaker 1: I refer to it as the British Open as an
Speaker 1: uncouth American, let me ask you one thing before we
Speaker 1: get to the betting and now says you like to cook,
Speaker 1: you enjoy good food. Since we're talking about the Open Championship,
Speaker 1: are there any dishes or delicacies from the UK that
Speaker 1: you're especially fond of.
Speaker 2: There's not many. I mean, they're not exactly known for
Speaker 2: their cuisine over there. One good thing that has come
Speaker 2: from colonialization, though, has been the influence of immigrants and
Speaker 2: the cuisine to Great Britain. And so yeah, you could
Speaker 2: pretty much say any kind of Jamaican dishes is good
Speaker 2: and has English roots to it these days. But if
Speaker 2: we're talking just traditional English or British, it's gonna be
Speaker 2: a nice beer battered cod filet and with some proper chips,
Speaker 2: some really nice pumfrey to crunchy French fries. What they
Speaker 2: do is put a malt vinegar on it with a
Speaker 2: squeeze of lemon juice on it. That is delectable. And
Speaker 2: then I also am a big fan of Shepherd's pie,
Speaker 2: and Shepherd's pie is a staple. It's more of an
Speaker 2: Irish Irish dish, but it's it's pretty common across the
Speaker 2: whole the whole UK.
Speaker 1: They do fish and chips very well over there, and
Speaker 1: I agree the malt vinegar is a great thing that
Speaker 1: just hasn't caught on for here for some reason, I
Speaker 1: would recommend staying away from the brown sauce. That's one
Speaker 1: thing that they use a lot of in the UK. Yeah,
Speaker 1: that is that is not good stuff. They also have
Speaker 1: very good you know you you refer to it as
Speaker 1: fish and chips. They refer to French fries as chips.
Speaker 1: Potato chips are crisps, and they have some spectacular crisps
Speaker 1: over there, Like they do potato chips better than we
Speaker 1: do for some reason. Uh, sticky toffee pudding one of
Speaker 1: the great desserts.
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's some good stuff.
Speaker 1: And believe it or not, bout like I love the
Speaker 1: you know, the the Oregon stuff. I love the blood
Speaker 1: pudding with a you know, full English breakfast. I like
Speaker 1: Hagis at Hagis in Scotland. It's actually pretty good. So
Speaker 1: you know that's but do not if you're in the UK,
Speaker 1: do not get a steak. They do not know how
Speaker 1: to butcher meat over there, and everyone I've ever seen
Speaker 1: order steak there, including myself, has regretted it. Just get
Speaker 1: a hamburger man, trust me on that one.
Speaker 2: Yeah, And that's one thing that they've adopted from us
Speaker 2: as Hamburgers are very popular in Great Britain and they
Speaker 2: have a place in England called the It has. It's
Speaker 2: it's a place that's down by the rail yards, but
Speaker 2: it's called the Dulceton Dip and it's a it's a
Speaker 2: double smashed cheeseburger, but they dip it in brown gravy.
Speaker 2: Oh good Lord, and and it is I made it,
Speaker 2: are recreated it here at home because I had to.
Speaker 2: It just looked too good. And it is everything that
Speaker 2: I could have hoped it would be.
Speaker 1: Oh no, as long as it's the UK's brown gravy
Speaker 1: and not there sauce, I'm good with that, man.
Speaker 2: Yeah, brown sauce, stay away.
Speaker 1: All right. So both the Open Championship this year is
Speaker 1: can be held at Royal Liverpool. It's located in the
Speaker 1: small town of Hoylake, which the course is sometimes affectionately
Speaker 1: known as Hoylake, which is due west of Liverpool on
Speaker 1: the Wirral Peninsula. It's a seaside links course and it
Speaker 1: is a true links course. Players will be able to
Speaker 1: land their approaches in front of the green and bounce
Speaker 1: the ball onto the putting surface. Wind will be a factor.
Speaker 1: The forecast is calling for wins in the twelve to
Speaker 1: fourteen mile an hour range most days, and there's a
Speaker 1: little bit of rain in the forecast every day, not
Speaker 1: too uncommon over there. This will be the thirteenth time
Speaker 1: the Open has been played at Royal Liverpool, but only
Speaker 1: the second since nineteen sixty seven. Last time twenty fourteen,
Speaker 1: Rory McElroy wins it at minus seven teen. Ricky Fowler
Speaker 1: and Sergio Garcia finished two shots back, and in two
Speaker 1: thousand and six Tiger Woods one at Hoylake minus eighteen
Speaker 1: was the winning score. He beat Chris de Marco by
Speaker 1: two shots and different conditions for those two Open championships
Speaker 1: bow if you'll recall, Tiger sort of famously kept the
Speaker 1: driver in the bag all week in two thousand and six.
Speaker 1: It was playing firm and fast.
Speaker 2: And stingers everywhere.
Speaker 1: Yep, the lowest stingers, that's right. And then in twenty
Speaker 1: fourteen the course had gotten some rain beforehand. It was
Speaker 1: a little more driver friendly that year. And this year
Speaker 1: I'm hearing that Hoylake is sort of in between those
Speaker 1: two extremes, so you know, not ridiculously firm and fast,
Speaker 1: but you know, you can't exactly just bomb it away
Speaker 1: at will either or you might wind up in a
Speaker 1: gorse bush. So it's gonna play it seven three hundred
Speaker 1: and eighty three yards and as a par seventy one.
Speaker 1: There's been one major change to the course. They basically
Speaker 1: flipped the par three seventeenth so that it faces the
Speaker 1: opposite direction that he used to face, and that brings
Speaker 1: water into playoff the tee and presents trouble left, right
Speaker 1: and long. So the seventeenth could be a little more
Speaker 1: dramatic than it was last time we saw it, all right, bo,
Speaker 1: It's worth noting that six of the last ten Open
Speaker 1: Championship winners have been top ten in the world ranking,
Speaker 1: and Rory McElroy is our betting favorite at minus excuse
Speaker 1: me a plus six point fifty. He was plus seven
Speaker 1: hundred a couple of days ago, but then he went
Speaker 1: out and won the Scottish Open, so you know, the
Speaker 1: odds come down a little bit. Then in twenty fourteen
Speaker 1: bow Rory won the British excuse me, the Open Championship
Speaker 1: and the PGA, his third and fourth major championships on
Speaker 1: top of the world. He had just turned twenty five
Speaker 1: years old. So I wanted to asked you in twenty fourteen,
Speaker 1: after Rory had won those two majors back to back,
Speaker 1: how many more majors would Rory have in his pocket
Speaker 1: before the British Open return to Hoylake in twenty twenty three,
Speaker 1: what would you have guessed. I think my over under
Speaker 1: would have been like five and a half.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't know if I would have been that
Speaker 2: high because majors are extremely difficult to come by, as
Speaker 2: we've found out that Rory doesn't have any since then,
Speaker 2: and so I mean I would have expected at least
Speaker 2: two or three more that would be a reasonable number.
Speaker 2: It's been a long time. It's been almost a decade.
Speaker 2: I know, Maze, it's crazy to think that Rory's now
Speaker 2: in his early thirties and it's still sitting on the
Speaker 2: same number. And I really will want to base this
Speaker 2: going back to two thousand and six when Tiger won.
Speaker 2: That was the first tournament he played in after the
Speaker 2: death of Earlwood's his father, and that was an emotional
Speaker 2: victory where he lapped the field. He absolutely obliterated everybody
Speaker 2: in true Tiger fashion. Rory was in a dogfight with
Speaker 2: a lot of great players in twenty fourteen, and I
Speaker 2: think that it's gonna take a meteoric performance like Tiger
Speaker 2: from Rory to repeat at Hoylake.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, what do you think of that at
Speaker 1: these odds? I mean, like, we know Rory good form
Speaker 1: lately obviously, and you know he's he's had a couple
Speaker 1: mirror misses, played well at the US Open, coming off
Speaker 1: and win at the Scottish. We've seen him like at
Speaker 1: times this year be you know, get wayward all of
Speaker 1: a sudden with his driver and the wedge play has
Speaker 1: been really inconsistent. But one of the more creative shot
Speaker 1: makers in the game, and I think Link's style golf
Speaker 1: sort of helps him in that department. I don't know,
Speaker 1: how do you how do you feel about him at
Speaker 1: number plus six fifty?
Speaker 2: I have mixed emotions and because how can you bet
Speaker 2: against him with the way he just performed at scott
Speaker 2: At the Scottish that was that was incredible. It was
Speaker 2: it was that was vintage Rory, where the driver was
Speaker 2: just on point, the wedges were he was he was
Speaker 2: doing chopped down wedges, he was hitting pitching wedges over
Speaker 2: two hundred yards with the wind. He was riding the wind,
Speaker 2: working at left and right. That's Link style golf to
Speaker 2: a t. And there's the reason why he performed so
Speaker 2: well here last time at these odds at the same time,
Speaker 2: it's really short odds, and there's a lot of great players,
Speaker 2: a lot of great golfers that are just as good
Speaker 2: as Rory in this kind of event that are getting
Speaker 2: they're going to pay out a lot more. So I'm
Speaker 2: kind of mixed on it. I haven't decided. I'm kind
Speaker 2: of hoping that the Rory fervor kind of calms a
Speaker 2: bit before Thursday, but I'm not gonna hold my breath.
Speaker 2: I'm probably going to get a little bit of skin
Speaker 2: in the game for Rory because I love to root
Speaker 2: for him, but it's the odds aren't great now.
Speaker 1: The only other player in the field with odds shorter
Speaker 1: than ten to one are Scottie Scheffler. Is Scottie Scheffler.
Speaker 1: He's at plus seven hundred, comes in as the world
Speaker 1: number one, played well at in the Scottish Open, finished
Speaker 1: at minus ten five shots backer Rory. He was twenty
Speaker 1: first at Saint Andrews last year at the Open Championship,
Speaker 1: in eighth at Royal Saint George's the year before and yeah,
Speaker 1: so pretty good foreman, and showed his you know, links
Speaker 1: medal at North Barrack this past weekend. So what do
Speaker 1: you think about Scheffler at plus seven hundred, again.
Speaker 2: I don't think the odds are reflective of his chance
Speaker 2: to win. I kind of put him in more of
Speaker 2: that ten to twelve range myself if I'm I'm handicapped
Speaker 2: this tournament myself. Scheffler is playing at a B minus
Speaker 2: to C plus game for him, and of course that's
Speaker 2: still top five for the six tournaments in a row,
Speaker 2: top twelve for the last eighteen tournaments in a row.
Speaker 2: He's the best golfer in the world. The problem is
Speaker 2: he isn't winning. And if I'm going to bet single
Speaker 2: digit odds on a guy winning without a great track
Speaker 2: record on links courses, Scotty is amazing, but his links
Speaker 2: course history is not as good as traditional course history.
Speaker 2: So I'm going to I'm going to fade Scotti Scheffler
Speaker 2: at his current odds of plus seven hundred, just because
Speaker 2: I think it's too short for him compared to again,
Speaker 2: a number of golfers in this next tier that are
Speaker 2: just as likely to win, if not more.
Speaker 1: Let's talk about John Rahm for a second. Though he
Speaker 1: is at plus twelve hundred. He has played in six
Speaker 1: Open Championships and he has only had one top ten
Speaker 1: finish tying a Royal St. George's in twenty twenty one.
Speaker 1: He did finish eleventh at Royal Port Rush in twenty nineteen,
Speaker 1: but like he has not been in real peak form lately.
Speaker 1: In the spring he was tip top. I mean, rom
Speaker 1: just looked nearly unbeatable. Then not so much lately. So
Speaker 1: what do we think about him this week at Hoylak.
Speaker 2: I think they hit my number here because twelve was
Speaker 2: a I mean that's pretty short or pretty long for
Speaker 2: a guy of his caliber, number two golfer in the world,
Speaker 2: getting nearly twice the payout for a win over Scottie Scheffler.
Speaker 2: The forum is concerning his history on link style courses
Speaker 2: is concerning, but John Ram is John ram and I
Speaker 2: think what we might run into is trying to fade
Speaker 2: him as if he's like Rory, where they had kind
Speaker 2: of the same issues the last few months before Rory
Speaker 2: broke through. Rom is just one hot putter away from
Speaker 2: blowing the field away at any tournament he shows up
Speaker 2: to and a double digit John Rombett I think is perfect.
Speaker 1: Yeah, you hope that putter gets hot, and we know
Speaker 1: that the putting is not always that challenging it opens,
Speaker 1: you're gonna get slower greens then you're used on the
Speaker 1: PGA tour. They are not the lightning fast greens we
Speaker 1: get over here in the States. And you know there's
Speaker 1: some undulation. You'll get the occasional putts where you have
Speaker 1: to deal with a mound in front of you or
Speaker 1: something like that. But you know, if you're within reasonable
Speaker 1: distance of the whole, you're usually going to have a
Speaker 1: relatively flat putt on a lot of these greens.
Speaker 2: So a lot of it comes down to three putt
Speaker 2: avoidance because the size of the green complexes is massive
Speaker 2: tree and so lag putting is very important and is
Speaker 2: as much as we've kind of harped on rom for
Speaker 2: not putting well recently, he's incredible latter incredible lag putter,
Speaker 2: and it's it seems like he struggles on faster greens
Speaker 2: and that won't be the case here. So I really
Speaker 2: do have high hopes for John Rahm in this tournament,
Speaker 2: despite the red flags against him, namely his shot shape.
Speaker 2: His ball flight is a higher ball flight, and that's
Speaker 2: the same thing working against Scotty Scheffler in this tournament
Speaker 2: is he has to overcome his standard stock shot by
Speaker 2: being creative like Rory was that that was the kicker.
Speaker 2: Is Rory's one of the highest ball hitters out there,
Speaker 2: but you saw him flight the ball down when he
Speaker 2: had to and he was great at it. We haven't
Speaker 2: seen Scotty or John Rom do that effectively at an
Speaker 2: Open championship before, so that that'll be an interesting tidbit
Speaker 2: to look for, is can they flight the ball with
Speaker 2: the precision that Rory does?
Speaker 1: Yeah, wind does. Wind is not your friend if you
Speaker 1: are a high ball hitter and you know, even though
Speaker 1: the wind is not going to be howling this week,
Speaker 1: according to the forecast, there will be wind, So you know,
Speaker 1: being able to hit it at a lower trajectory's key.
Speaker 1: As you said, Bo, we've seen Rory do that. Whether
Speaker 1: Rom and Scotty can do it as a different story.
Speaker 1: All right, Before we continue, I just went to implore
Speaker 1: all of you to download the free Betting Pros app
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Speaker 1: slash apps, or by searching for Betting Pros in the
Speaker 1: app store. All right, bo, you liked Cameron Smith at
Speaker 1: the US Open, and that was a very astute call.
Speaker 1: He had a great week at the LA Country Club.
Speaker 1: Cam is the defending Open champion, the world champion golfer,
Speaker 1: having won at Saint Andrew's last year. The biggest weakness
Speaker 1: in his game driving accuracy, and that problem should be
Speaker 1: minimized somewhat on a roomy Links course. How do you
Speaker 1: feel about Cam at plus sixteen hundred this week?
Speaker 2: He's my favorite. He's very simply put, he's the favorite.
Speaker 2: His style of play is perfectly catered for this type
Speaker 2: of event, which is why he won last year pretty convincingly.
Speaker 2: It's a shot maker's course. It's a course that demands creativity,
Speaker 2: planning and an immaculate short game. Well that's Cam Smith personified.
Speaker 2: He's as lethal of a golfer in the world. Inside
Speaker 2: of one hundred and fifty yards through the green. If
Speaker 2: there's a pitching wedge or a sand wedge or a
Speaker 2: putter in this guy's hand, he is the best in
Speaker 2: the world. So I'm going to say Cameron Smith has
Speaker 2: a very good chance of going back to back this year,
Speaker 2: and at sixteen to one, which is up from fourteen
Speaker 2: to one, I will keep hitting that button because the mustachioed,
Speaker 2: mulleted ossi is for real.
Speaker 1: Yeah, assuming he can keep those drives out of you know,
Speaker 1: gorse bushes and pot bonkers. I agree, It's just this.
Speaker 1: He is built for links golf and I like him
Speaker 1: a lot this week too. Brooks Koepka has fared well
Speaker 1: in strokes gained metrics at the British Open lately. He
Speaker 1: seems to have an affinity for links golf bo and
Speaker 1: he's been a big factor in majors this year and
Speaker 1: in recent years of course. Do you like him at
Speaker 1: plus two thousand.
Speaker 2: It's it's a major, right, Yes, I'm betting on Brookspect.
Speaker 2: The dude wins at a forty percent clip in majors,
Speaker 2: so he's got a low piercing ballflight which is unique
Speaker 2: to him and Tiger Woods and a handful of other golfers.
Speaker 2: It's been it's been said around golfing circles that Brooks
Speaker 2: Koepka just has a different ballflight that can't be recreated
Speaker 2: by most human golfers. And it's no mystery that he's
Speaker 2: done well in an Open Championship. It's no mystery he's
Speaker 2: done well in majors in general. He is a gamer.
Speaker 2: He rises to the occasion. Pressure does not affect him.
Speaker 2: That's that's all the things you look for. And a
Speaker 2: nice twenty to one line, which is kind of I
Speaker 2: can see a little live discount built in there where
Speaker 2: we're getting a little softer line because he's not on
Speaker 2: the PGA Tour. I love it. I mean, we've been
Speaker 2: talking about this is the fourth major. We've talked about
Speaker 2: the live discount and the betting lines, they all these.
Speaker 2: The golfers are just as good as they were a
Speaker 2: year and a half ago before they left the BJ Tour,
Speaker 2: and for some reason they're getting less respect from the
Speaker 2: casinos now.
Speaker 1: A couple of the sharp golf punters who I follow
Speaker 1: are keen on Victor Hoblin this week at plus two
Speaker 1: thousand and his previous Open Championship formbo tied for fourth
Speaker 1: at St Andrews in twenty twenty two, tied for twelfth
Speaker 1: at Royal Saint George's in twenty twenty one. You shook
Speaker 1: your head? Are you not as into Hoblin this week?
Speaker 2: He's He's not the kind of golfer I'm looking for.
Speaker 2: At those odds, I had Victor Peg just twenty five
Speaker 2: to thirty to one. He's just too short. His ballflight
Speaker 2: is very high, left to right soft. If there's any
Speaker 2: wind at all in this tournament, Victor is gonna be
Speaker 2: in the miscut vicinity because his short game, although improved,
Speaker 2: is definitely still the weakness of his game.
Speaker 1: Yeah all not known for sterling, not known for sterling
Speaker 1: bunker play.
Speaker 2: As good as a ball striker as he is, he
Speaker 2: will contend if the condition stayed tame. But it's England.
Speaker 2: It's the weather, especially Liverpool, England on the west coast
Speaker 2: of England. It's the weather can change in an instant
Speaker 2: and that twelve minle hour win could turn into thirty
Speaker 2: in just a matter of a half hour, and I
Speaker 2: think if that happens, Victor Hovlin is going to be
Speaker 2: in dire straits now.
Speaker 1: Ricky Foller is plus twenty two hundred. He finished tied
Speaker 1: for second behind Rory Back at Hoylake in twenty twenty
Speaker 1: four or excuse me twenty fourteen, and yeah, I mean
Speaker 1: Fowler was sitting at plus eighteen hundred odds just a
Speaker 1: few days ago. Then he closed with a four over
Speaker 1: par seventy four at the Scottish Open and his odds
Speaker 1: balloon to plus twenty two hundred. So a little extra
Speaker 1: value there about is that. Yeah, so you're intrigued, you
Speaker 1: might be buying the dip on Ricky.
Speaker 2: I'm more than intrigued. I was more than willing to
Speaker 2: bet him at eighteen and now I'm ecstatic to bet
Speaker 2: him at twenty two. Again, low ballflight, can shape the
Speaker 2: ball right to left, left to right, an immaculate approach player.
Speaker 2: His putting, his lag putting specifically is spot on. This
Speaker 2: is exactly who you're looking for in this range and
Speaker 2: his course history really is just icing on the cake.
Speaker 1: Let's talk about a group at plus twenty two hundred.
Speaker 1: Also Xander Schoffley, Tyrrell Hatton, Patrick Cantlay, Tommy Fleetwood all right,
Speaker 1: can't lay. Terrific player. Not the best track record recently
Speaker 1: in Open championships. Xander Schoffley in five previous Open Championships
Speaker 1: twenty six they're better four times, highlighted by a tie
Speaker 1: for second at Carnoustie in twenty eighteen. So of Shoffley, Hatton,
Speaker 1: can't lay Fleetwood, Are any of these guys appealing to you? Bo?
Speaker 2: All of them except for Can'tley are. This is a
Speaker 2: loaded part of the betting slip. This is there. I
Speaker 2: don't love Can't Lay on any Link style course or
Speaker 2: Open championship. His game just doesn't fit it. He's great,
Speaker 2: he's an outstanding golfer, but this is just it flies
Speaker 2: in the face of his style, and we've seen that
Speaker 2: bear out in the results. But Fleetwood, Englishman, Tyrol Hatton Englishman,
Speaker 2: both with perfect game setups for this exact event. Xander
Speaker 2: is kind of a throwback. He's kind of that same
Speaker 2: mold of golfer, just from southern California. He just happens
Speaker 2: to have a game that is similar to Fleetwood and Hatton.
Speaker 2: So I really like him too. But Tyroll Hatton, I
Speaker 2: just have this weird feeling that Terrel Hatton is going
Speaker 2: to blow his top, but in a good way. I
Speaker 2: think he's because his third round, his third round at
Speaker 2: the Scottish was incredible and you saw him hit some
Speaker 2: really amazing shots and his Sunday wasn't good enough to
Speaker 2: push through for the wind. But he was knocking on
Speaker 2: the door this last week and I think that he's
Speaker 2: just right there on the doorstep of winning a major.
Speaker 1: Yeah, you said blow his top in a good way.
Speaker 1: We've seen Yrol Hatton blow his top in not such
Speaker 1: good ways many times before. That's what that's my hang
Speaker 1: up with him, though. I don't know if I can
Speaker 1: take him in a major with his demeanor. He's just
Speaker 1: too easily rattled, it seems like.
Speaker 2: So it's usually with himself.
Speaker 1: Yeah he is, uh, you know, he'll, he'll. He's always
Speaker 1: second guessing the role of Potts. I would not want
Speaker 1: to be Yroll Hatton's caddy. Put it that way. One
Speaker 1: more guid to my real quick bo Jordan speF plus
Speaker 1: three thousand has not been in great form as of light,
Speaker 1: and missed the cut at the Scottish Open, which you
Speaker 1: don't like to see, but his British Open track record
Speaker 1: is pretty impressive. He won at Royal Birkdale in twenty eighteen,
Speaker 1: was second at Royal St George's in twenty twenty one.
Speaker 1: He's finished top ten in five of his nine Open
Speaker 1: Championship appearances, and his worst finish is forty fourth. What
Speaker 1: do you think about speed?
Speaker 2: That's a really nice soft line for a guy of
Speaker 2: his caliber, especially a guy who when he's stateside can't
Speaker 2: find the fairway with the map. But these fairways are
Speaker 2: fifty sixty yards wide. Even Jordan Speith can find the
Speaker 2: fairway here, and and that lines up really well for
Speaker 2: his world class short game, world class on short approach,
Speaker 2: and of course a very good live cutter. I think
Speaker 2: Jordan Speith will contend here in thirty to one is
Speaker 2: a little softer than I expected.
Speaker 1: All right, before we go on, I just want to
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Speaker 1: bo A couple more guys to talk about. I'm interested
Speaker 1: in DJ Dustin Johnson at plus three thousand five top
Speaker 1: ten finishes at the Open. He was tied for six
Speaker 1: at St Andrews last year and tied for eighth at
Speaker 1: Royal St George's in twenty twenty one. Hits it a
Speaker 1: long way and a really nice short game, really nice
Speaker 1: touch around the greens. What do you think about DJ?
Speaker 2: DJ is the same prototype player as Rory, almost exactly
Speaker 2: the same in every way, except he's getting three times
Speaker 2: softer odds because of his status on the Live tour.
Speaker 2: This is the smash bet of the tournament because you
Speaker 2: don't have to put as much money. You don't have
Speaker 2: to lay down as much money to get a good
Speaker 2: return on an outright bet for DJ. A top five
Speaker 2: or top ten, those are all sporting very good odds.
Speaker 2: So I would be betting a trifecta with DJ this
Speaker 2: week with an outright top five and top ten bets.
Speaker 1: Wyndham Clark defending US Open champion ball plus forty five hundred.
Speaker 1: Decent showing at the Scottish His first Open championship, though,
Speaker 1: was just last year at Saint Andrews and he finished
Speaker 1: seventy six. Any hope of Wyndham Clark going back to
Speaker 1: back in majors.
Speaker 2: No, this as good as a scrambler as he is,
Speaker 2: as good as he's been this season. I think he's
Speaker 2: just going to have one of those off weeks. This
Speaker 2: is just forty five, is right, It's the right number
Speaker 2: for him. I just don't see it fitting with the
Speaker 2: field here being so strong, with the field here mostly
Speaker 2: having more experience at Royal Liverpool itself, this is a
Speaker 2: very experienced field. Lots of these guys both played in
Speaker 2: six and fourteen. There's a dozen players in this field
Speaker 2: that played in both of the Open Championships since two
Speaker 2: thousand and six at Royal Liverpool. So this is a
Speaker 2: very sage field and Wyndham Clark's inexperience at this exact
Speaker 2: type of event is not going to bode well for him,
Speaker 2: especially when he has that high ball flight type thing
Speaker 2: where he's relying a lot on his driving and his putting,
Speaker 2: but his approach game has been erratic.
Speaker 1: Are there any long shots or longer shots you like?
Speaker 1: Ball on? I'm just gonna mention one and maybe you
Speaker 1: can comment on. Adam Scott finished tants at Hoylake in
Speaker 1: both two thousand and six and twenty fourteen, and he
Speaker 1: just seems to be a, you know, a factor in
Speaker 1: a lot of open championships. Like he's not a top
Speaker 1: player anymore, but he's still involved, Like he's still a
Speaker 1: high profile player, I guess, And I'm kind of intrigued
Speaker 1: by him this week at plus eight thousand, that just
Speaker 1: seems like inviting odds to take a long shot on
Speaker 1: a guy with this much pedigree.
Speaker 2: It's the same Adam Scott that's been on the PGA
Speaker 2: Tour for twenty two straight years. Yeah, I think I
Speaker 2: think that's a great, great call. Yea, how hard it
Speaker 2: is to stay on pg tour status along that that's
Speaker 2: pedigree beyond pedigree. So yes, Adam Scott, that at those
Speaker 2: odds is it's a very smart bet.
Speaker 1: Any other long shots you.
Speaker 2: Like Jason Days at ninety to one, I'll kind of
Speaker 2: glaze over him. But if the conditions get really difficult,
Speaker 2: Kirk Kittyama at won eighty to one, he buckles down.
Speaker 2: I don't think he can hang with the with the
Speaker 2: winning score if the conditions are team. But if the
Speaker 2: conditions get really nasty. Kirk Kittyama is a grinder that
Speaker 2: can really put the clamps down and make a lot
Speaker 2: of pars. And then my deep deep shot. You're gonna
Speaker 2: love this one at three hundred and fifty to one
Speaker 2: the German Yanick Paul. This guy's game is very underrated.
Speaker 1: Yanick Paul. Interesting. How old is Yanick Paul? The young guy?
Speaker 2: Younger? Oh yes, all right?
Speaker 1: Interesting, all right, I'm gonna have to do a little more.
Speaker 2: Finished very well at the Scottish you might have seen
Speaker 2: him right at the top of the leaderboard.
Speaker 1: All right, plus three fifty like three hundred and fifty thousand. Interesting,
Speaker 1: all right, both betting cards. What do you got on yours?
Speaker 1: Right now? Let's run through both of ours?
Speaker 2: All right? So my favorite cam Smith, my mid range
Speaker 2: DJ thirty to one that's smash, and then I'm going
Speaker 2: with a little bit of a touch play on. See.
Speaker 2: I'm kind of back and forth here because there's such
Speaker 2: a big group here. I like, I'm gonna go and
Speaker 2: just call it right now. I'll probably changed my mind.
Speaker 2: But Yrrell Hatton Wow. And then Jason Day in ninety
Speaker 2: to one.
Speaker 1: Interesting, Yeah, I don't I don't have anything on Rory.
Speaker 1: I don't have anything on Scottie. I don't have anything
Speaker 1: on rom right now, but I do have that's to
Speaker 1: win on Cam Smith at plus sixteen hundred, Brooks keep
Speaker 1: get at plus two thousand, Ricky Fowler plus twenty two hundred.
Speaker 1: It's been such a nice build up for Fowler this
Speaker 1: season and this would be just a perfect capstone for
Speaker 1: his comeback season. And I love his solid track record
Speaker 1: at Open Championships, his affinity for links golf, Jordan Speith
Speaker 1: at plus three thousand, DJ, who we both talked about before,
Speaker 1: and Adam Scott. So yeah, I like all those guys.
Speaker 1: And I also want to bet. Uh want to bet
Speaker 1: speed top ten as well, DJ top five, Fowler top
Speaker 1: five on top of that, and you know there's a
Speaker 1: chance I'll put down a small bet on a long
Speaker 1: shot or two. I haven't id'd anyone just yet. One
Speaker 1: more time about what's the name of this German fella
Speaker 1: I should be looking into. Paul Janick, Paul perhaps the
Speaker 1: next Bernhard longer we're talking about.
Speaker 2: Hey, I never know.
Speaker 1: And that's gonna do it for the Betting Pros Open
Speaker 1: Championship preview, see bow, I got that one right, Open
Speaker 1: not British Open.
Speaker 2: I want to thank you the Ohio State University.
Speaker 1: Uh BO. I want to thank you for joining me
Speaker 1: once again. Be sure to follow bow mcbraer on Twitter
Speaker 1: for all sorts of golf wagering wisdom. His handle is
Speaker 1: at bo mc big Time. I'm Pat fitz Morris. You
Speaker 1: can find me on Twitter at fits underscore FF. Enjoy
Speaker 1: the Open Championship, everyone,