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Speaker 1: Hello everyone, and welcome to the Open Championship preview for

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Speaker 1: betting pros. Uh excuse me, the Open Championship Preview.

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Speaker 2: I don't want to say we're gonna get You're gonna

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Speaker 2: get canceled by all the purists out there like myself

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Speaker 2: who know it as the Open or the Open Championship.

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Speaker 1: Yes, this is the the Betting Pros Open Championship Preview.

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Speaker 1: I'm Pat Fitzmorris. You can find me on Twitter at

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Speaker 1: fits underscore ff and joining me uh here to correct

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Speaker 1: me when I make these sorts of faux pause is

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Speaker 1: my esteemed colleague Bo McBrayer. He offers his PGA Tour

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Speaker 1: betting takes in a weekly Betting Pros article, and he

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Speaker 1: also is a DFS podcast on IBT Media called The

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Speaker 1: Nineteenth holl Find him on Twitter at Boa Mcbig Time BOUH.

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Speaker 1: So you know now that you're no longer aggrieved that

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Speaker 1: I refer to it as the British Open as an

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Speaker 1: uncouth American, let me ask you one thing before we

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Speaker 1: get to the betting and now says you like to cook,

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Speaker 1: you enjoy good food. Since we're talking about the Open Championship,

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Speaker 1: are there any dishes or delicacies from the UK that

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Speaker 1: you're especially fond of.

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Speaker 2: There's not many. I mean, they're not exactly known for

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Speaker 2: their cuisine over there. One good thing that has come

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Speaker 2: from colonialization, though, has been the influence of immigrants and

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Speaker 2: the cuisine to Great Britain. And so yeah, you could

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Speaker 2: pretty much say any kind of Jamaican dishes is good

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Speaker 2: and has English roots to it these days. But if

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Speaker 2: we're talking just traditional English or British, it's gonna be

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Speaker 2: a nice beer battered cod filet and with some proper chips,

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Speaker 2: some really nice pumfrey to crunchy French fries. What they

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Speaker 2: do is put a malt vinegar on it with a

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Speaker 2: squeeze of lemon juice on it. That is delectable. And

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Speaker 2: then I also am a big fan of Shepherd's pie,

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Speaker 2: and Shepherd's pie is a staple. It's more of an

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Speaker 2: Irish Irish dish, but it's it's pretty common across the

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Speaker 2: whole the whole UK.

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Speaker 1: They do fish and chips very well over there, and

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Speaker 1: I agree the malt vinegar is a great thing that

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Speaker 1: just hasn't caught on for here for some reason, I

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Speaker 1: would recommend staying away from the brown sauce. That's one

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Speaker 1: thing that they use a lot of in the UK. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: that is that is not good stuff. They also have

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Speaker 1: very good you know you you refer to it as

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Speaker 1: fish and chips. They refer to French fries as chips.

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Speaker 1: Potato chips are crisps, and they have some spectacular crisps

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Speaker 1: over there, Like they do potato chips better than we

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Speaker 1: do for some reason. Uh, sticky toffee pudding one of

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Speaker 1: the great desserts.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, that's some good stuff.

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Speaker 1: And believe it or not, bout like I love the

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Speaker 1: you know, the the Oregon stuff. I love the blood

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Speaker 1: pudding with a you know, full English breakfast. I like

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Speaker 1: Hagis at Hagis in Scotland. It's actually pretty good. So

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Speaker 1: you know that's but do not if you're in the UK,

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Speaker 1: do not get a steak. They do not know how

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Speaker 1: to butcher meat over there, and everyone I've ever seen

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Speaker 1: order steak there, including myself, has regretted it. Just get

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Speaker 1: a hamburger man, trust me on that one.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, And that's one thing that they've adopted from us

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Speaker 2: as Hamburgers are very popular in Great Britain and they

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Speaker 2: have a place in England called the It has. It's

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Speaker 2: it's a place that's down by the rail yards, but

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Speaker 2: it's called the Dulceton Dip and it's a it's a

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Speaker 2: double smashed cheeseburger, but they dip it in brown gravy.

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Speaker 2: Oh good Lord, and and it is I made it,

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Speaker 2: are recreated it here at home because I had to.

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Speaker 2: It just looked too good. And it is everything that

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Speaker 2: I could have hoped it would be.

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Speaker 1: Oh no, as long as it's the UK's brown gravy

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Speaker 1: and not there sauce, I'm good with that, man.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, brown sauce, stay away.

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Speaker 1: All right. So both the Open Championship this year is

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Speaker 1: can be held at Royal Liverpool. It's located in the

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Speaker 1: small town of Hoylake, which the course is sometimes affectionately

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Speaker 1: known as Hoylake, which is due west of Liverpool on

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Speaker 1: the Wirral Peninsula. It's a seaside links course and it

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Speaker 1: is a true links course. Players will be able to

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Speaker 1: land their approaches in front of the green and bounce

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Speaker 1: the ball onto the putting surface. Wind will be a factor.

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Speaker 1: The forecast is calling for wins in the twelve to

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Speaker 1: fourteen mile an hour range most days, and there's a

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Speaker 1: little bit of rain in the forecast every day, not

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Speaker 1: too uncommon over there. This will be the thirteenth time

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Speaker 1: the Open has been played at Royal Liverpool, but only

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Speaker 1: the second since nineteen sixty seven. Last time twenty fourteen,

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Speaker 1: Rory McElroy wins it at minus seven teen. Ricky Fowler

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Speaker 1: and Sergio Garcia finished two shots back, and in two

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Speaker 1: thousand and six Tiger Woods one at Hoylake minus eighteen

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Speaker 1: was the winning score. He beat Chris de Marco by

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Speaker 1: two shots and different conditions for those two Open championships

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Speaker 1: bow if you'll recall, Tiger sort of famously kept the

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Speaker 1: driver in the bag all week in two thousand and six.

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Speaker 1: It was playing firm and fast.

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Speaker 2: And stingers everywhere.

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Speaker 1: Yep, the lowest stingers, that's right. And then in twenty

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Speaker 1: fourteen the course had gotten some rain beforehand. It was

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Speaker 1: a little more driver friendly that year. And this year

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Speaker 1: I'm hearing that Hoylake is sort of in between those

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Speaker 1: two extremes, so you know, not ridiculously firm and fast,

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Speaker 1: but you know, you can't exactly just bomb it away

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Speaker 1: at will either or you might wind up in a

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Speaker 1: gorse bush. So it's gonna play it seven three hundred

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Speaker 1: and eighty three yards and as a par seventy one.

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Speaker 1: There's been one major change to the course. They basically

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Speaker 1: flipped the par three seventeenth so that it faces the

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Speaker 1: opposite direction that he used to face, and that brings

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Speaker 1: water into playoff the tee and presents trouble left, right

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Speaker 1: and long. So the seventeenth could be a little more

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Speaker 1: dramatic than it was last time we saw it, all right, bo,

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Speaker 1: It's worth noting that six of the last ten Open

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Speaker 1: Championship winners have been top ten in the world ranking,

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Speaker 1: and Rory McElroy is our betting favorite at minus excuse

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Speaker 1: me a plus six point fifty. He was plus seven

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Speaker 1: hundred a couple of days ago, but then he went

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Speaker 1: out and won the Scottish Open, so you know, the

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Speaker 1: odds come down a little bit. Then in twenty fourteen

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Speaker 1: bow Rory won the British excuse me, the Open Championship

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Speaker 1: and the PGA, his third and fourth major championships on

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Speaker 1: top of the world. He had just turned twenty five

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Speaker 1: years old. So I wanted to asked you in twenty fourteen,

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Speaker 1: after Rory had won those two majors back to back,

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Speaker 1: how many more majors would Rory have in his pocket

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Speaker 1: before the British Open return to Hoylake in twenty twenty three,

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Speaker 1: what would you have guessed. I think my over under

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Speaker 1: would have been like five and a half.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't know if I would have been that

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Speaker 2: high because majors are extremely difficult to come by, as

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Speaker 2: we've found out that Rory doesn't have any since then,

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Speaker 2: and so I mean I would have expected at least

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Speaker 2: two or three more that would be a reasonable number.

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Speaker 2: It's been a long time. It's been almost a decade.

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Speaker 2: I know, Maze, it's crazy to think that Rory's now

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Speaker 2: in his early thirties and it's still sitting on the

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Speaker 2: same number. And I really will want to base this

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Speaker 2: going back to two thousand and six when Tiger won.

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Speaker 2: That was the first tournament he played in after the

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Speaker 2: death of Earlwood's his father, and that was an emotional

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Speaker 2: victory where he lapped the field. He absolutely obliterated everybody

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Speaker 2: in true Tiger fashion. Rory was in a dogfight with

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Speaker 2: a lot of great players in twenty fourteen, and I

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Speaker 2: think that it's gonna take a meteoric performance like Tiger

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Speaker 2: from Rory to repeat at Hoylake.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, what do you think of that at

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Speaker 1: these odds? I mean, like, we know Rory good form

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Speaker 1: lately obviously, and you know he's he's had a couple

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Speaker 1: mirror misses, played well at the US Open, coming off

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Speaker 1: and win at the Scottish. We've seen him like at

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Speaker 1: times this year be you know, get wayward all of

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Speaker 1: a sudden with his driver and the wedge play has

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Speaker 1: been really inconsistent. But one of the more creative shot

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Speaker 1: makers in the game, and I think Link's style golf

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Speaker 1: sort of helps him in that department. I don't know,

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Speaker 1: how do you how do you feel about him at

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Speaker 1: number plus six fifty?

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Speaker 2: I have mixed emotions and because how can you bet

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Speaker 2: against him with the way he just performed at scott

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Speaker 2: At the Scottish that was that was incredible. It was

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Speaker 2: it was that was vintage Rory, where the driver was

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Speaker 2: just on point, the wedges were he was he was

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Speaker 2: doing chopped down wedges, he was hitting pitching wedges over

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Speaker 2: two hundred yards with the wind. He was riding the wind,

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Speaker 2: working at left and right. That's Link style golf to

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Speaker 2: a t. And there's the reason why he performed so

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Speaker 2: well here last time at these odds at the same time,

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Speaker 2: it's really short odds, and there's a lot of great players,

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Speaker 2: a lot of great golfers that are just as good

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Speaker 2: as Rory in this kind of event that are getting

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Speaker 2: they're going to pay out a lot more. So I'm

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Speaker 2: kind of mixed on it. I haven't decided. I'm kind

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Speaker 2: of hoping that the Rory fervor kind of calms a

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Speaker 2: bit before Thursday, but I'm not gonna hold my breath.

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Speaker 2: I'm probably going to get a little bit of skin

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Speaker 2: in the game for Rory because I love to root

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Speaker 2: for him, but it's the odds aren't great now.

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Speaker 1: The only other player in the field with odds shorter

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Speaker 1: than ten to one are Scottie Scheffler. Is Scottie Scheffler.

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Speaker 1: He's at plus seven hundred, comes in as the world

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Speaker 1: number one, played well at in the Scottish Open, finished

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Speaker 1: at minus ten five shots backer Rory. He was twenty

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Speaker 1: first at Saint Andrews last year at the Open Championship,

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Speaker 1: in eighth at Royal Saint George's the year before and yeah,

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Speaker 1: so pretty good foreman, and showed his you know, links

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Speaker 1: medal at North Barrack this past weekend. So what do

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Speaker 1: you think about Scheffler at plus seven hundred, again.

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Speaker 2: I don't think the odds are reflective of his chance

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Speaker 2: to win. I kind of put him in more of

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Speaker 2: that ten to twelve range myself if I'm I'm handicapped

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Speaker 2: this tournament myself. Scheffler is playing at a B minus

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Speaker 2: to C plus game for him, and of course that's

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Speaker 2: still top five for the six tournaments in a row,

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Speaker 2: top twelve for the last eighteen tournaments in a row.

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Speaker 2: He's the best golfer in the world. The problem is

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Speaker 2: he isn't winning. And if I'm going to bet single

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Speaker 2: digit odds on a guy winning without a great track

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Speaker 2: record on links courses, Scotty is amazing, but his links

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Speaker 2: course history is not as good as traditional course history.

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Speaker 2: So I'm going to I'm going to fade Scotti Scheffler

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Speaker 2: at his current odds of plus seven hundred, just because

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Speaker 2: I think it's too short for him compared to again,

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Speaker 2: a number of golfers in this next tier that are

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Speaker 2: just as likely to win, if not more.

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Speaker 1: Let's talk about John Rahm for a second. Though he

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Speaker 1: is at plus twelve hundred. He has played in six

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Speaker 1: Open Championships and he has only had one top ten

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Speaker 1: finish tying a Royal St. George's in twenty twenty one.

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Speaker 1: He did finish eleventh at Royal Port Rush in twenty nineteen,

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Speaker 1: but like he has not been in real peak form lately.

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Speaker 1: In the spring he was tip top. I mean, rom

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Speaker 1: just looked nearly unbeatable. Then not so much lately. So

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Speaker 1: what do we think about him this week at Hoylak.

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Speaker 2: I think they hit my number here because twelve was

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Speaker 2: a I mean that's pretty short or pretty long for

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Speaker 2: a guy of his caliber, number two golfer in the world,

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Speaker 2: getting nearly twice the payout for a win over Scottie Scheffler.

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Speaker 2: The forum is concerning his history on link style courses

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Speaker 2: is concerning, but John Ram is John ram and I

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Speaker 2: think what we might run into is trying to fade

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Speaker 2: him as if he's like Rory, where they had kind

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Speaker 2: of the same issues the last few months before Rory

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Speaker 2: broke through. Rom is just one hot putter away from

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Speaker 2: blowing the field away at any tournament he shows up

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Speaker 2: to and a double digit John Rombett I think is perfect.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, you hope that putter gets hot, and we know

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Speaker 1: that the putting is not always that challenging it opens,

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Speaker 1: you're gonna get slower greens then you're used on the

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Speaker 1: PGA tour. They are not the lightning fast greens we

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Speaker 1: get over here in the States. And you know there's

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Speaker 1: some undulation. You'll get the occasional putts where you have

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Speaker 1: to deal with a mound in front of you or

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Speaker 1: something like that. But you know, if you're within reasonable

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Speaker 1: distance of the whole, you're usually going to have a

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Speaker 1: relatively flat putt on a lot of these greens.

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Speaker 2: So a lot of it comes down to three putt

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Speaker 2: avoidance because the size of the green complexes is massive

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Speaker 2: tree and so lag putting is very important and is

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Speaker 2: as much as we've kind of harped on rom for

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Speaker 2: not putting well recently, he's incredible latter incredible lag putter,

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Speaker 2: and it's it seems like he struggles on faster greens

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Speaker 2: and that won't be the case here. So I really

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Speaker 2: do have high hopes for John Rahm in this tournament,

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Speaker 2: despite the red flags against him, namely his shot shape.

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Speaker 2: His ball flight is a higher ball flight, and that's

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Speaker 2: the same thing working against Scotty Scheffler in this tournament

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Speaker 2: is he has to overcome his standard stock shot by

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Speaker 2: being creative like Rory was that that was the kicker.

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Speaker 2: Is Rory's one of the highest ball hitters out there,

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Speaker 2: but you saw him flight the ball down when he

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Speaker 2: had to and he was great at it. We haven't

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Speaker 2: seen Scotty or John Rom do that effectively at an

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Speaker 2: Open championship before, so that that'll be an interesting tidbit

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Speaker 2: to look for, is can they flight the ball with

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Speaker 2: the precision that Rory does?

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Speaker 1: Yeah, wind does. Wind is not your friend if you

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Speaker 1: are a high ball hitter and you know, even though

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Speaker 1: the wind is not going to be howling this week,

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Speaker 1: according to the forecast, there will be wind, So you know,

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Speaker 1: being able to hit it at a lower trajectory's key.

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Speaker 1: As you said, Bo, we've seen Rory do that. Whether

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Speaker 1: Rom and Scotty can do it as a different story.

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Speaker 1: All right, Before we continue, I just went to implore

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Speaker 1: all of you to download the free Betting Pros app

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00:15:21,280 --> 00:15:26,200
Speaker 1: for iOS or Android. You can follow experts, top rated betters,

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00:15:26,360 --> 00:15:30,600
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Speaker 1: new bets are placed. You can also customize your notifications

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00:15:34,400 --> 00:15:36,880
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Speaker 1: interest you. And you can even limit the alerts you

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Speaker 1: get to only the historically ROI positive markets of the

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00:15:45,600 --> 00:15:48,880
Speaker 1: betters you follow. To take advantage of these features and more,

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00:15:49,040 --> 00:15:52,520
Speaker 1: download the Betting Pros app by visiting Bettingpros dot com,

269
00:15:52,560 --> 00:15:56,840
Speaker 1: slash apps, or by searching for Betting Pros in the

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Speaker 1: app store. All right, bo, you liked Cameron Smith at

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Speaker 1: the US Open, and that was a very astute call.

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Speaker 1: He had a great week at the LA Country Club.

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Speaker 1: Cam is the defending Open champion, the world champion golfer,

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Speaker 1: having won at Saint Andrew's last year. The biggest weakness

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Speaker 1: in his game driving accuracy, and that problem should be

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Speaker 1: minimized somewhat on a roomy Links course. How do you

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Speaker 1: feel about Cam at plus sixteen hundred this week?

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Speaker 2: He's my favorite. He's very simply put, he's the favorite.

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Speaker 2: His style of play is perfectly catered for this type

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Speaker 2: of event, which is why he won last year pretty convincingly.

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Speaker 2: It's a shot maker's course. It's a course that demands creativity,

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Speaker 2: planning and an immaculate short game. Well that's Cam Smith personified.

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Speaker 2: He's as lethal of a golfer in the world. Inside

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Speaker 2: of one hundred and fifty yards through the green. If

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Speaker 2: there's a pitching wedge or a sand wedge or a

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Speaker 2: putter in this guy's hand, he is the best in

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Speaker 2: the world. So I'm going to say Cameron Smith has

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Speaker 2: a very good chance of going back to back this year,

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Speaker 2: and at sixteen to one, which is up from fourteen

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Speaker 2: to one, I will keep hitting that button because the mustachioed,

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Speaker 2: mulleted ossi is for real.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, assuming he can keep those drives out of you know,

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Speaker 1: gorse bushes and pot bonkers. I agree, It's just this.

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Speaker 1: He is built for links golf and I like him

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Speaker 1: a lot this week too. Brooks Koepka has fared well

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Speaker 1: in strokes gained metrics at the British Open lately. He

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Speaker 1: seems to have an affinity for links golf bo and

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Speaker 1: he's been a big factor in majors this year and

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Speaker 1: in recent years of course. Do you like him at

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Speaker 1: plus two thousand.

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Speaker 2: It's it's a major, right, Yes, I'm betting on Brookspect.

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Speaker 2: The dude wins at a forty percent clip in majors,

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Speaker 2: so he's got a low piercing ballflight which is unique

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Speaker 2: to him and Tiger Woods and a handful of other golfers.

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Speaker 2: It's been it's been said around golfing circles that Brooks

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Speaker 2: Koepka just has a different ballflight that can't be recreated

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Speaker 2: by most human golfers. And it's no mystery that he's

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Speaker 2: done well in an Open Championship. It's no mystery he's

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Speaker 2: done well in majors in general. He is a gamer.

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Speaker 2: He rises to the occasion. Pressure does not affect him.

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Speaker 2: That's that's all the things you look for. And a

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Speaker 2: nice twenty to one line, which is kind of I

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Speaker 2: can see a little live discount built in there where

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Speaker 2: we're getting a little softer line because he's not on

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Speaker 2: the PGA Tour. I love it. I mean, we've been

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Speaker 2: talking about this is the fourth major. We've talked about

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Speaker 2: the live discount and the betting lines, they all these.

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Speaker 2: The golfers are just as good as they were a

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Speaker 2: year and a half ago before they left the BJ Tour,

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Speaker 2: and for some reason they're getting less respect from the

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Speaker 2: casinos now.

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Speaker 1: A couple of the sharp golf punters who I follow

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Speaker 1: are keen on Victor Hoblin this week at plus two

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Speaker 1: thousand and his previous Open Championship formbo tied for fourth

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Speaker 1: at St Andrews in twenty twenty two, tied for twelfth

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Speaker 1: at Royal Saint George's in twenty twenty one. You shook

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Speaker 1: your head? Are you not as into Hoblin this week?

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Speaker 2: He's He's not the kind of golfer I'm looking for.

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Speaker 2: At those odds, I had Victor Peg just twenty five

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Speaker 2: to thirty to one. He's just too short. His ballflight

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Speaker 2: is very high, left to right soft. If there's any

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Speaker 2: wind at all in this tournament, Victor is gonna be

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Speaker 2: in the miscut vicinity because his short game, although improved,

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Speaker 2: is definitely still the weakness of his game.

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Speaker 1: Yeah all not known for sterling, not known for sterling

336
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Speaker 1: bunker play.

337
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Speaker 2: As good as a ball striker as he is, he

338
00:20:11,200 --> 00:20:15,960
Speaker 2: will contend if the condition stayed tame. But it's England.

339
00:20:16,400 --> 00:20:19,520
Speaker 2: It's the weather, especially Liverpool, England on the west coast

340
00:20:19,560 --> 00:20:22,800
Speaker 2: of England. It's the weather can change in an instant

341
00:20:23,359 --> 00:20:26,000
Speaker 2: and that twelve minle hour win could turn into thirty

342
00:20:26,119 --> 00:20:29,040
Speaker 2: in just a matter of a half hour, and I

343
00:20:29,080 --> 00:20:31,879
Speaker 2: think if that happens, Victor Hovlin is going to be

344
00:20:32,359 --> 00:20:34,480
Speaker 2: in dire straits now.

345
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Speaker 1: Ricky Foller is plus twenty two hundred. He finished tied

346
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Speaker 1: for second behind Rory Back at Hoylake in twenty twenty

347
00:20:42,880 --> 00:20:47,720
Speaker 1: four or excuse me twenty fourteen, and yeah, I mean

348
00:20:48,640 --> 00:20:53,080
Speaker 1: Fowler was sitting at plus eighteen hundred odds just a

349
00:20:53,119 --> 00:20:56,720
Speaker 1: few days ago. Then he closed with a four over

350
00:20:56,880 --> 00:21:01,480
Speaker 1: par seventy four at the Scottish Open and his odds

351
00:21:01,520 --> 00:21:04,560
Speaker 1: balloon to plus twenty two hundred. So a little extra

352
00:21:04,720 --> 00:21:10,159
Speaker 1: value there about is that. Yeah, so you're intrigued, you

353
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Speaker 1: might be buying the dip on Ricky.

354
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Speaker 2: I'm more than intrigued. I was more than willing to

355
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Speaker 2: bet him at eighteen and now I'm ecstatic to bet

356
00:21:18,960 --> 00:21:22,679
Speaker 2: him at twenty two. Again, low ballflight, can shape the

357
00:21:22,680 --> 00:21:26,679
Speaker 2: ball right to left, left to right, an immaculate approach player.

358
00:21:26,760 --> 00:21:31,960
Speaker 2: His putting, his lag putting specifically is spot on. This

359
00:21:32,000 --> 00:21:35,360
Speaker 2: is exactly who you're looking for in this range and

360
00:21:35,480 --> 00:21:38,040
Speaker 2: his course history really is just icing on the cake.

361
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Speaker 1: Let's talk about a group at plus twenty two hundred.

362
00:21:44,280 --> 00:21:51,479
Speaker 1: Also Xander Schoffley, Tyrrell Hatton, Patrick Cantlay, Tommy Fleetwood all right,

363
00:21:51,560 --> 00:21:56,280
Speaker 1: can't lay. Terrific player. Not the best track record recently

364
00:21:56,320 --> 00:22:00,840
Speaker 1: in Open championships. Xander Schoffley in five previous Open Championships

365
00:22:01,440 --> 00:22:04,560
Speaker 1: twenty six they're better four times, highlighted by a tie

366
00:22:04,600 --> 00:22:09,679
Speaker 1: for second at Carnoustie in twenty eighteen. So of Shoffley, Hatton,

367
00:22:09,840 --> 00:22:13,800
Speaker 1: can't lay Fleetwood, Are any of these guys appealing to you? Bo?

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00:22:15,240 --> 00:22:18,000
Speaker 2: All of them except for Can'tley are. This is a

369
00:22:18,200 --> 00:22:23,080
Speaker 2: loaded part of the betting slip. This is there. I

370
00:22:23,080 --> 00:22:25,439
Speaker 2: don't love Can't Lay on any Link style course or

371
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Speaker 2: Open championship. His game just doesn't fit it. He's great,

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Speaker 2: he's an outstanding golfer, but this is just it flies

373
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Speaker 2: in the face of his style, and we've seen that

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Speaker 2: bear out in the results. But Fleetwood, Englishman, Tyrol Hatton Englishman,

375
00:22:40,400 --> 00:22:45,200
Speaker 2: both with perfect game setups for this exact event. Xander

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00:22:45,320 --> 00:22:47,680
Speaker 2: is kind of a throwback. He's kind of that same

377
00:22:47,760 --> 00:22:51,920
Speaker 2: mold of golfer, just from southern California. He just happens

378
00:22:51,960 --> 00:22:55,240
Speaker 2: to have a game that is similar to Fleetwood and Hatton.

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Speaker 2: So I really like him too. But Tyroll Hatton, I

380
00:22:59,160 --> 00:23:01,800
Speaker 2: just have this weird feeling that Terrel Hatton is going

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Speaker 2: to blow his top, but in a good way. I

382
00:23:06,359 --> 00:23:10,320
Speaker 2: think he's because his third round, his third round at

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Speaker 2: the Scottish was incredible and you saw him hit some

384
00:23:13,800 --> 00:23:18,399
Speaker 2: really amazing shots and his Sunday wasn't good enough to

385
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Speaker 2: push through for the wind. But he was knocking on

386
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Speaker 2: the door this last week and I think that he's

387
00:23:23,840 --> 00:23:26,560
Speaker 2: just right there on the doorstep of winning a major.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, you said blow his top in a good way.

389
00:23:29,440 --> 00:23:32,000
Speaker 1: We've seen Yrol Hatton blow his top in not such

390
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Speaker 1: good ways many times before. That's what that's my hang

391
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Speaker 1: up with him, though. I don't know if I can

392
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Speaker 1: take him in a major with his demeanor. He's just

393
00:23:41,119 --> 00:23:44,320
Speaker 1: too easily rattled, it seems like.

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Speaker 2: So it's usually with himself.

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Speaker 1: Yeah he is, uh, you know, he'll, he'll. He's always

396
00:23:52,240 --> 00:23:55,320
Speaker 1: second guessing the role of Potts. I would not want

397
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Speaker 1: to be Yroll Hatton's caddy. Put it that way. One

398
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Speaker 1: more guid to my real quick bo Jordan speF plus

399
00:24:03,119 --> 00:24:05,879
Speaker 1: three thousand has not been in great form as of light,

400
00:24:05,960 --> 00:24:07,840
Speaker 1: and missed the cut at the Scottish Open, which you

401
00:24:07,880 --> 00:24:10,840
Speaker 1: don't like to see, but his British Open track record

402
00:24:10,880 --> 00:24:14,160
Speaker 1: is pretty impressive. He won at Royal Birkdale in twenty eighteen,

403
00:24:14,680 --> 00:24:17,240
Speaker 1: was second at Royal St George's in twenty twenty one.

404
00:24:17,480 --> 00:24:20,399
Speaker 1: He's finished top ten in five of his nine Open

405
00:24:20,480 --> 00:24:25,080
Speaker 1: Championship appearances, and his worst finish is forty fourth. What

406
00:24:25,119 --> 00:24:26,040
Speaker 1: do you think about speed?

407
00:24:26,400 --> 00:24:28,520
Speaker 2: That's a really nice soft line for a guy of

408
00:24:28,520 --> 00:24:32,360
Speaker 2: his caliber, especially a guy who when he's stateside can't

409
00:24:32,400 --> 00:24:34,719
Speaker 2: find the fairway with the map. But these fairways are

410
00:24:34,720 --> 00:24:37,760
Speaker 2: fifty sixty yards wide. Even Jordan Speith can find the

411
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Speaker 2: fairway here, and and that lines up really well for

412
00:24:41,400 --> 00:24:46,320
Speaker 2: his world class short game, world class on short approach,

413
00:24:46,440 --> 00:24:49,920
Speaker 2: and of course a very good live cutter. I think

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Speaker 2: Jordan Speith will contend here in thirty to one is

415
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Speaker 2: a little softer than I expected.

416
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Speaker 1: All right, before we go on, I just want to

417
00:24:58,960 --> 00:25:00,800
Speaker 1: ask all of you too, so subscribe to the Betting

418
00:25:00,840 --> 00:25:04,080
Speaker 1: Pros YouTube channel and comment below on this video, because

419
00:25:04,119 --> 00:25:06,480
Speaker 1: when you do, you could win a free upgrade to

420
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Speaker 1: Betting Pros Premium. Whether you're looking for access to exclusive picks,

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Speaker 1: top rated player props, or custom analysis of your own

422
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Speaker 1: betting performance, Betting Pros Premium has the tools to help

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Speaker 1: you cash more bats, plain and simple. Don't want to

424
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Speaker 1: wait for the giveaway. Sign up today at bettingpros dot com,

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Speaker 1: slash upgrade and start betting smarter, not harder, all right,

426
00:25:29,200 --> 00:25:32,159
Speaker 1: bo A couple more guys to talk about. I'm interested

427
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Speaker 1: in DJ Dustin Johnson at plus three thousand five top

428
00:25:36,480 --> 00:25:39,080
Speaker 1: ten finishes at the Open. He was tied for six

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00:25:39,119 --> 00:25:41,360
Speaker 1: at St Andrews last year and tied for eighth at

430
00:25:41,440 --> 00:25:45,240
Speaker 1: Royal St George's in twenty twenty one. Hits it a

431
00:25:45,240 --> 00:25:49,480
Speaker 1: long way and a really nice short game, really nice

432
00:25:49,480 --> 00:25:51,680
Speaker 1: touch around the greens. What do you think about DJ?

433
00:25:53,040 --> 00:25:58,320
Speaker 2: DJ is the same prototype player as Rory, almost exactly

434
00:25:58,400 --> 00:26:02,200
Speaker 2: the same in every way, except he's getting three times

435
00:26:02,280 --> 00:26:05,800
Speaker 2: softer odds because of his status on the Live tour.

436
00:26:06,720 --> 00:26:10,240
Speaker 2: This is the smash bet of the tournament because you

437
00:26:10,280 --> 00:26:12,000
Speaker 2: don't have to put as much money. You don't have

438
00:26:12,000 --> 00:26:14,160
Speaker 2: to lay down as much money to get a good

439
00:26:14,200 --> 00:26:17,960
Speaker 2: return on an outright bet for DJ. A top five

440
00:26:18,080 --> 00:26:21,400
Speaker 2: or top ten, those are all sporting very good odds.

441
00:26:21,720 --> 00:26:24,840
Speaker 2: So I would be betting a trifecta with DJ this

442
00:26:24,920 --> 00:26:28,040
Speaker 2: week with an outright top five and top ten bets.

443
00:26:29,880 --> 00:26:35,879
Speaker 1: Wyndham Clark defending US Open champion ball plus forty five hundred.

444
00:26:36,280 --> 00:26:41,640
Speaker 1: Decent showing at the Scottish His first Open championship, though,

445
00:26:41,760 --> 00:26:44,360
Speaker 1: was just last year at Saint Andrews and he finished

446
00:26:44,359 --> 00:26:48,439
Speaker 1: seventy six. Any hope of Wyndham Clark going back to

447
00:26:48,480 --> 00:26:49,720
Speaker 1: back in majors.

448
00:26:50,359 --> 00:26:54,159
Speaker 2: No, this as good as a scrambler as he is,

449
00:26:54,560 --> 00:26:58,080
Speaker 2: as good as he's been this season. I think he's

450
00:26:58,160 --> 00:27:00,479
Speaker 2: just going to have one of those off weeks. This

451
00:27:00,560 --> 00:27:04,080
Speaker 2: is just forty five, is right, It's the right number

452
00:27:04,080 --> 00:27:07,440
Speaker 2: for him. I just don't see it fitting with the

453
00:27:07,480 --> 00:27:12,120
Speaker 2: field here being so strong, with the field here mostly

454
00:27:12,160 --> 00:27:16,280
Speaker 2: having more experience at Royal Liverpool itself, this is a

455
00:27:16,400 --> 00:27:19,800
Speaker 2: very experienced field. Lots of these guys both played in

456
00:27:20,080 --> 00:27:24,119
Speaker 2: six and fourteen. There's a dozen players in this field

457
00:27:24,119 --> 00:27:28,040
Speaker 2: that played in both of the Open Championships since two

458
00:27:28,080 --> 00:27:31,119
Speaker 2: thousand and six at Royal Liverpool. So this is a

459
00:27:31,280 --> 00:27:36,440
Speaker 2: very sage field and Wyndham Clark's inexperience at this exact

460
00:27:36,480 --> 00:27:39,480
Speaker 2: type of event is not going to bode well for him,

461
00:27:39,560 --> 00:27:42,880
Speaker 2: especially when he has that high ball flight type thing

462
00:27:42,920 --> 00:27:48,840
Speaker 2: where he's relying a lot on his driving and his putting,

463
00:27:49,200 --> 00:27:51,320
Speaker 2: but his approach game has been erratic.

464
00:27:51,960 --> 00:27:56,159
Speaker 1: Are there any long shots or longer shots you like?

465
00:27:56,280 --> 00:27:58,960
Speaker 1: Ball on? I'm just gonna mention one and maybe you

466
00:27:58,960 --> 00:28:05,080
Speaker 1: can comment on. Adam Scott finished tants at Hoylake in

467
00:28:05,119 --> 00:28:09,359
Speaker 1: both two thousand and six and twenty fourteen, and he

468
00:28:10,000 --> 00:28:13,240
Speaker 1: just seems to be a, you know, a factor in

469
00:28:13,280 --> 00:28:18,920
Speaker 1: a lot of open championships. Like he's not a top

470
00:28:18,960 --> 00:28:23,600
Speaker 1: player anymore, but he's still involved, Like he's still a

471
00:28:23,680 --> 00:28:27,840
Speaker 1: high profile player, I guess, And I'm kind of intrigued

472
00:28:27,880 --> 00:28:31,000
Speaker 1: by him this week at plus eight thousand, that just

473
00:28:31,040 --> 00:28:35,480
Speaker 1: seems like inviting odds to take a long shot on

474
00:28:35,520 --> 00:28:36,920
Speaker 1: a guy with this much pedigree.

475
00:28:37,119 --> 00:28:39,400
Speaker 2: It's the same Adam Scott that's been on the PGA

476
00:28:39,480 --> 00:28:43,280
Speaker 2: Tour for twenty two straight years. Yeah, I think I

477
00:28:43,280 --> 00:28:47,280
Speaker 2: think that's a great, great call. Yea, how hard it

478
00:28:47,320 --> 00:28:51,600
Speaker 2: is to stay on pg tour status along that that's

479
00:28:51,720 --> 00:28:55,240
Speaker 2: pedigree beyond pedigree. So yes, Adam Scott, that at those

480
00:28:55,280 --> 00:28:57,960
Speaker 2: odds is it's a very smart bet.

481
00:28:58,400 --> 00:28:59,560
Speaker 1: Any other long shots you.

482
00:28:59,680 --> 00:29:03,200
Speaker 2: Like Jason Days at ninety to one, I'll kind of

483
00:29:03,200 --> 00:29:06,840
Speaker 2: glaze over him. But if the conditions get really difficult,

484
00:29:06,960 --> 00:29:11,080
Speaker 2: Kirk Kittyama at won eighty to one, he buckles down.

485
00:29:11,560 --> 00:29:13,560
Speaker 2: I don't think he can hang with the with the

486
00:29:13,600 --> 00:29:16,480
Speaker 2: winning score if the conditions are team. But if the

487
00:29:16,520 --> 00:29:20,080
Speaker 2: conditions get really nasty. Kirk Kittyama is a grinder that

488
00:29:20,200 --> 00:29:23,760
Speaker 2: can really put the clamps down and make a lot

489
00:29:23,760 --> 00:29:27,360
Speaker 2: of pars. And then my deep deep shot. You're gonna

490
00:29:27,400 --> 00:29:30,840
Speaker 2: love this one at three hundred and fifty to one

491
00:29:31,400 --> 00:29:37,240
Speaker 2: the German Yanick Paul. This guy's game is very underrated.

492
00:29:37,880 --> 00:29:42,880
Speaker 1: Yanick Paul. Interesting. How old is Yanick Paul? The young guy?

493
00:29:43,120 --> 00:29:47,000
Speaker 2: Younger? Oh yes, all right?

494
00:29:47,200 --> 00:29:49,640
Speaker 1: Interesting, all right, I'm gonna have to do a little more.

495
00:29:49,840 --> 00:29:53,080
Speaker 2: Finished very well at the Scottish you might have seen

496
00:29:53,120 --> 00:29:55,000
Speaker 2: him right at the top of the leaderboard.

497
00:29:55,360 --> 00:30:00,720
Speaker 1: All right, plus three fifty like three hundred and fifty thousand. Interesting,

498
00:30:01,120 --> 00:30:04,040
Speaker 1: all right, both betting cards. What do you got on yours?

499
00:30:04,120 --> 00:30:06,760
Speaker 1: Right now? Let's run through both of ours?

500
00:30:07,080 --> 00:30:13,000
Speaker 2: All right? So my favorite cam Smith, my mid range

501
00:30:13,280 --> 00:30:17,920
Speaker 2: DJ thirty to one that's smash, and then I'm going

502
00:30:18,000 --> 00:30:24,760
Speaker 2: with a little bit of a touch play on. See.

503
00:30:24,760 --> 00:30:28,640
Speaker 2: I'm kind of back and forth here because there's such

504
00:30:28,640 --> 00:30:32,920
Speaker 2: a big group here. I like, I'm gonna go and

505
00:30:33,120 --> 00:30:36,680
Speaker 2: just call it right now. I'll probably changed my mind.

506
00:30:37,240 --> 00:30:43,640
Speaker 2: But Yrrell Hatton Wow. And then Jason Day in ninety

507
00:30:43,680 --> 00:30:43,960
Speaker 2: to one.

508
00:30:44,840 --> 00:30:48,280
Speaker 1: Interesting, Yeah, I don't I don't have anything on Rory.

509
00:30:48,880 --> 00:30:51,160
Speaker 1: I don't have anything on Scottie. I don't have anything

510
00:30:51,200 --> 00:30:53,600
Speaker 1: on rom right now, but I do have that's to

511
00:30:53,720 --> 00:30:56,680
Speaker 1: win on Cam Smith at plus sixteen hundred, Brooks keep

512
00:30:56,760 --> 00:31:01,200
Speaker 1: get at plus two thousand, Ricky Fowler plus twenty two hundred.

513
00:31:01,280 --> 00:31:03,320
Speaker 1: It's been such a nice build up for Fowler this

514
00:31:03,400 --> 00:31:06,760
Speaker 1: season and this would be just a perfect capstone for

515
00:31:06,920 --> 00:31:10,760
Speaker 1: his comeback season. And I love his solid track record

516
00:31:10,800 --> 00:31:15,600
Speaker 1: at Open Championships, his affinity for links golf, Jordan Speith

517
00:31:16,040 --> 00:31:20,200
Speaker 1: at plus three thousand, DJ, who we both talked about before,

518
00:31:20,280 --> 00:31:23,040
Speaker 1: and Adam Scott. So yeah, I like all those guys.

519
00:31:23,040 --> 00:31:25,200
Speaker 1: And I also want to bet. Uh want to bet

520
00:31:25,280 --> 00:31:29,320
Speaker 1: speed top ten as well, DJ top five, Fowler top

521
00:31:29,400 --> 00:31:33,320
Speaker 1: five on top of that, and you know there's a

522
00:31:33,440 --> 00:31:35,800
Speaker 1: chance I'll put down a small bet on a long

523
00:31:35,800 --> 00:31:38,720
Speaker 1: shot or two. I haven't id'd anyone just yet. One

524
00:31:38,760 --> 00:31:40,680
Speaker 1: more time about what's the name of this German fella

525
00:31:40,760 --> 00:31:46,800
Speaker 1: I should be looking into. Paul Janick, Paul perhaps the

526
00:31:46,840 --> 00:31:49,440
Speaker 1: next Bernhard longer we're talking about.

527
00:31:49,440 --> 00:31:50,440
Speaker 2: Hey, I never know.

528
00:31:51,560 --> 00:31:54,320
Speaker 1: And that's gonna do it for the Betting Pros Open

529
00:31:54,800 --> 00:31:58,680
Speaker 1: Championship preview, see bow, I got that one right, Open

530
00:31:59,440 --> 00:32:00,400
Speaker 1: not British Open.

531
00:32:00,880 --> 00:32:06,720
Speaker 2: I want to thank you the Ohio State University.

532
00:32:06,120 --> 00:32:08,240
Speaker 1: Uh BO. I want to thank you for joining me

533
00:32:08,480 --> 00:32:10,880
Speaker 1: once again. Be sure to follow bow mcbraer on Twitter

534
00:32:10,920 --> 00:32:14,239
Speaker 1: for all sorts of golf wagering wisdom. His handle is

535
00:32:14,440 --> 00:32:17,120
Speaker 1: at bo mc big Time. I'm Pat fitz Morris. You

536
00:32:17,120 --> 00:32:20,400
Speaker 1: can find me on Twitter at fits underscore FF. Enjoy

537
00:32:20,480 --> 00:32:22,520
Speaker 1: the Open Championship, everyone,