WEBVTT - Beating The Book: Guessing Lines Week 7 0:00:03.440 --> 0:00:12.799 Check it down man now down Man, Good Monday morning 0:00:12.840 --> 0:00:15.160 to you a numbers game right here at visav Sports 0:00:15.200 --> 0:00:17.759 Betting that work Serious Extempt Channel two four, Visa dot Com, 0:00:17.800 --> 0:00:20.960 the Visa app, Fubo Slinging Game Plus, How are you doing? 0:00:20.960 --> 0:00:24.560 How was your weekend betting wise and otherwise? Jason conn 0:00:24.600 --> 0:00:26.480 is here as well. How you doing, Jason Good? Good? 0:00:26.520 --> 0:00:30.240 Good morning, Um. Guessing lines today. Guessing lines in the 0:00:30.280 --> 0:00:34.080 National Football leg for week number seven. Wow, we're moving along. 0:00:34.520 --> 0:00:37.400 H Plus we'll talk about baseball the Dodgers game last night. 0:00:37.720 --> 0:00:43.680 Interesting non pitching move that wasn't mentioned during the broadcast 0:00:43.760 --> 0:00:46.120 last night, and I'm curious what people think about that. 0:00:46.600 --> 0:00:49.600 Uh Loma, Chenko and Lopez got to talk about the 0:00:49.680 --> 0:00:52.519 judging there, but let us talk week seven of the 0:00:52.600 --> 0:00:54.520 National Football League. It has always for those who are 0:00:54.520 --> 0:00:55.920 just landing on this show for the first time on 0:00:55.920 --> 0:00:58.520 Monday's during football season, You're like, what's this guessing line stuff? 0:00:58.920 --> 0:01:01.640 I'm in a cocoons it's yesterday. This is a tribute 0:01:01.640 --> 0:01:04.720 to the old Stardust radio show that Roxy Roxborough was 0:01:04.760 --> 0:01:07.440 involved in back in the day. Chrissie Andrews comes on 0:01:07.560 --> 0:01:09.880 tells me, after my guess what the line is that 0:01:09.920 --> 0:01:11.480 he's going to post right after the show at the 0:01:11.480 --> 0:01:14.800 south Point Hotel Casino, and hopefully within that exercise we 0:01:14.840 --> 0:01:18.920 find ourselves, uh the we extract some value, I should say, 0:01:18.920 --> 0:01:21.479 from the exercise itself. Let us bring in the star 0:01:21.560 --> 0:01:23.600 of the show. He is the south Point Hotel Casino 0:01:23.640 --> 0:01:26.800 sports book director my mishka Chrissie Andrews. Good morning, Chris. 0:01:28.200 --> 0:01:31.240 What's going on flew leafing through pages? What are you 0:01:31.319 --> 0:01:37.480 doing over there? No? I'm getting my notes. Words like it. 0:01:37.600 --> 0:01:42.080 I like show prep. H. Let's start with let me 0:01:42.120 --> 0:01:46.480 just real quick, uh, Survivor over at Circa Jason. Four 0:01:46.560 --> 0:01:50.200 hundred nine people submitted supposed before ten, but I think 0:01:50.200 --> 0:01:54.760 somebody forgot again. Four nine fifty six went out yesterday, 0:01:54.800 --> 0:01:57.840 fifty one of which were with the Patriots. So we 0:01:57.920 --> 0:02:02.320 are down to, by my count, three hundred fifty one, um, 0:02:02.360 --> 0:02:05.040 with the Dolphins and Colts being the big winners yesterday 0:02:05.120 --> 0:02:09.080 for survivors. Colts obviously put a scare into people, but 0:02:09.320 --> 0:02:12.519 so three left heading into tonight. I don't think anybody does. 0:02:12.639 --> 0:02:15.760 One person who has the chiefs tonight. But that's about it. Chrissy. 0:02:15.840 --> 0:02:17.760 How was your weekend as a book here at the 0:02:17.760 --> 0:02:25.359 South Point. Um, it was pretty incredible. Uh yeah, we're 0:02:25.360 --> 0:02:30.240 talking like super Bowl type winds for Sunday and Saturday 0:02:30.320 --> 0:02:32.880 was great too, pretty much one on everything. What was 0:02:32.919 --> 0:02:38.079 your biggest winner? Our biggest winner? Oh? Probably? Oh yeah, 0:02:38.080 --> 0:02:40.320 it had to be the Green Bay Campa game last night. 0:02:40.560 --> 0:02:43.040 That was the biggest game, all right. That was I 0:02:43.040 --> 0:02:45.160 went three and two in the contest three and two. 0:02:45.840 --> 0:02:48.760 Who let me down was the Ravens, which had no 0:02:48.840 --> 0:02:52.040 business losing that. That was just ridiculous. That's that's why 0:02:52.080 --> 0:02:54.919 the NFL is plink oh pre flop a t s. 0:02:55.560 --> 0:02:57.120 And then the other one that I lost on was 0:02:57.200 --> 0:02:59.080 Caroline who let me down? That was just a bad pick. 0:02:59.400 --> 0:03:01.400 But those are only those are the only two. So 0:03:01.520 --> 0:03:04.040 interesting that that was the game because I had Tampa Bay, 0:03:04.240 --> 0:03:06.280 but interesting that that was the game that was the 0:03:06.320 --> 0:03:10.799 big winner for you. Shall we begin with Thursday Night Football, Sir, 0:03:12.680 --> 0:03:18.040 Thursday Night Football Giants and the Eagles. Giants in the Eagles, 0:03:18.639 --> 0:03:20.840 I don't get any better than this kind of does 0:03:20.880 --> 0:03:24.920 Actually Giants win yesterday twenty to nineteen. Well, we're gonna 0:03:24.960 --> 0:03:29.040 talk about coaching decisions today on this show. Let's start 0:03:29.040 --> 0:03:32.000 with the Washington football team Giants beat the Washington football 0:03:32.040 --> 0:03:36.360 team twenty to nineteen when Riverboat Ron Rivera elected to 0:03:36.400 --> 0:03:40.680 go for two after the football teamers cut it to 0:03:40.760 --> 0:03:44.280 twenty to nineteen on a Kyle Allen two Simms touchdown 0:03:44.320 --> 0:03:47.280 pass with thirty six seconds left. So I don't know 0:03:47.280 --> 0:03:50.480 if this is one of these situations where Riverboat Ron 0:03:50.560 --> 0:03:53.160 felt the need to live up to his name. You know, 0:03:53.320 --> 0:03:55.920 that's that's always something that that you wonder about. You're like, 0:03:56.000 --> 0:03:58.000 you know, you don't have to be a riverboat every time. 0:03:58.760 --> 0:04:01.480 But he decided we're going for the win, even though 0:04:01.560 --> 0:04:03.960 really the only reason the Giants were up was because 0:04:04.000 --> 0:04:08.000 of an offensive turnover on the football teams part, and 0:04:08.040 --> 0:04:09.440 so it looked like they were in control of the game. 0:04:09.440 --> 0:04:11.360 But yet they went for didn't get it, and so 0:04:11.720 --> 0:04:14.120 the New York Giants off the Schneide get their first 0:04:14.120 --> 0:04:17.160 win of the year. Daniel Jones just to illustrate how 0:04:17.680 --> 0:04:21.839 you know Washington really had this game. Uh, probably the 0:04:21.839 --> 0:04:24.880 advantage in this game. Daniel Jones twelve of nineteen for 0:04:25.040 --> 0:04:28.960 one hundred twelve yards passing. He gained seventy four yards 0:04:28.960 --> 0:04:31.960 on the ground. I don't know that I recall saying 0:04:31.960 --> 0:04:34.600 a stat line like that too often. Two hundred and 0:04:34.640 --> 0:04:37.960 forty total yards for the Giants in their win against Washington. 0:04:38.080 --> 0:04:40.760 They were seven eleven on seven four eleven on third downs. 0:04:40.760 --> 0:04:43.200 At least they did that right. And then there's Philadelphia. 0:04:43.240 --> 0:04:45.680 I mentioned for those of us who had Baltimore against 0:04:45.680 --> 0:04:50.279 the spread yesterday, My goodness, what a rough, rough outcome 0:04:50.360 --> 0:04:55.000 that was. Carson Wentz was two touchdowns, note picks. He 0:04:55.080 --> 0:04:59.760 was sacked six times, but that's his final line. He 0:04:59.760 --> 0:05:04.200 would two of seven for three yards with under five 0:05:04.320 --> 0:05:06.719 minutes left in the first half, two of seven for 0:05:06.800 --> 0:05:10.039 three yards, no touchdowns, no pick, sack three times with 0:05:10.160 --> 0:05:12.320 under five minutes left in the first half. Then seven 0:05:12.320 --> 0:05:14.520 of fourteen for fifty four yards of a half. By 0:05:14.520 --> 0:05:17.640 the way, it's Gill Alexander Chrissie Andrews guessing lines right 0:05:17.680 --> 0:05:20.480 here on a numbers game at Visa the Sports betting Network. 0:05:20.720 --> 0:05:24.560 No first downs for the Eagles on their first six 0:05:24.720 --> 0:05:27.240 drives of the game. Miles Sanders did fill up the 0:05:27.240 --> 0:05:29.160 box score nine of one, eighteen had that one big 0:05:29.240 --> 0:05:31.520 run Travis Fulgum six or seventy five and a touchdown. 0:05:31.680 --> 0:05:35.159 It's the Eagles worst start since so it's the one 0:05:35.200 --> 0:05:39.000 in five Giants against the one four and one Eagles, 0:05:40.480 --> 0:05:42.400 and with an Eagles win and the Cowboys lost, the 0:05:42.400 --> 0:05:51.600 Eagles could be leading the division did points they are, Yeah, which, 0:05:51.680 --> 0:05:54.080 Chrissy is another real reason. What you just said right 0:05:54.080 --> 0:05:57.560 there to me is why Washington probably shouldn't go for 0:05:57.640 --> 0:06:00.640 two there. Also, it's not like your season's over, trying 0:06:00.640 --> 0:06:04.200 to just push it in overtime. I'll say, Philly minus 0:06:04.240 --> 0:06:09.680 seven against the Giant, you're a little high. It's six 0:06:09.760 --> 0:06:14.520 and a half, which my power. Actually, I'm sorry, there's 0:06:14.560 --> 0:06:17.360 a little bit of six and almost all six, um, 0:06:17.600 --> 0:06:19.599 which is what I'm gonna open it my power. Raidings 0:06:19.640 --> 0:06:23.919 come to Eagles three without the home field advantage, and 0:06:23.960 --> 0:06:26.400 I guess we're starting to see that home field is 0:06:26.440 --> 0:06:28.840 meaning a little something. So I have no beef with 0:06:28.920 --> 0:06:31.520 the six. But two things I want to comment on. 0:06:31.960 --> 0:06:35.119 You know, what I didn't understand was the first time 0:06:35.200 --> 0:06:39.520 the Eagles went for two, they're down seven, seventeen nothing, 0:06:39.520 --> 0:06:43.960 they score, making seventeen six go for two to cut 0:06:43.960 --> 0:06:47.599 it to nine. I didn't understand that. Uh, And it 0:06:47.640 --> 0:06:50.200 seemed like they were then chasing that point the rest 0:06:50.200 --> 0:06:53.320 of the way, you know, And uh, yeah, you know, 0:06:53.400 --> 0:06:56.520 listen that I go. I know the two points, you know, 0:06:56.640 --> 0:07:00.480 evangelicals that are out there, and uh, you know it's better. 0:07:00.839 --> 0:07:02.599 I'm not sure it's better always. And I think we 0:07:02.640 --> 0:07:05.039 saw some examples of it yesterday the other day. I 0:07:05.080 --> 0:07:07.880 just want to say, and I started thinking about this yesterday. 0:07:08.000 --> 0:07:10.040 And I know I watched college football probably a lot 0:07:10.080 --> 0:07:12.960 more than you do, but I was sinking between Daniel 0:07:13.080 --> 0:07:17.880 Jones and Mitchell Trabinsky, you know, watching these guys. There 0:07:17.960 --> 0:07:20.680 was never a moment when I was in, oh my god, 0:07:20.720 --> 0:07:23.400 these guys are really going to be stars in the NFL. 0:07:24.480 --> 0:07:27.320 I gotta go after these Yet, you know, I don't 0:07:27.320 --> 0:07:30.480 know if they wiled them in the you know, in 0:07:30.520 --> 0:07:34.080 Indianapolis and you know that camp and stuff. I guess 0:07:34.160 --> 0:07:37.720 they did, but never watching them play football, were you 0:07:37.880 --> 0:07:43.240 just blown away by their incredible talents. So I don't 0:07:43.280 --> 0:07:45.400 know that that was my thought as I watching Jones 0:07:45.520 --> 0:07:47.640 yesterday with regard to your bisky, I mean, I said, 0:07:47.880 --> 0:07:50.400 I've said it a hundred times where it's like Deshaun 0:07:50.480 --> 0:07:53.800 Watson is there on display for the entire country to see, 0:07:53.880 --> 0:07:57.040 right and beats Alabama, the vaunted Alabama defense when their 0:07:57.080 --> 0:08:00.880 defense was spectacular right beats them in the National Championship. 0:08:01.120 --> 0:08:03.560 But yet you're enamored by this guy who had thirteen 0:08:03.600 --> 0:08:06.040 starts at North Carolina. Like it's the strange, it's the 0:08:06.120 --> 0:08:08.880 strangest thing in the world what people convince them of 0:08:09.400 --> 0:08:12.280 themselves of. And here's Daniel Jones, a really high draft 0:08:12.280 --> 0:08:14.280 pick for the Giants. I don't know if we're at 0:08:14.360 --> 0:08:18.560 Donald level level yet in terms of thinking to go elsewhere, 0:08:18.600 --> 0:08:23.960 but soon enough we will be if this continues. Yeah, 0:08:24.040 --> 0:08:26.760 I don't think we're a Darnald level yet, you know, 0:08:26.880 --> 0:08:29.800 but you know we need to see some improvement. I 0:08:29.840 --> 0:08:31.680 can tell you that. Yeah, so six and a half 0:08:31.840 --> 0:08:36.360 and I haven't seen any signs of it. Six six, Okay, 0:08:36.480 --> 0:08:38.960 I haven't seen any signs either. And I'm with you. 0:08:39.160 --> 0:08:41.960 Just to comment on your on your remark about, you know, 0:08:42.000 --> 0:08:46.240 the Eagles going for going for two early. I just think, 0:08:46.280 --> 0:08:48.440 and I've said this on this show before too, which is, 0:08:49.720 --> 0:08:53.360 coaches seem with the exception of one or two of them, 0:08:53.360 --> 0:08:56.520 which will talk about later, because they're just so leaps 0:08:56.559 --> 0:08:59.480 and bounds above the rest of their coaching cohorts. But 0:08:59.679 --> 0:09:02.280 most of these coaches seem to now it's it's gotten 0:09:02.280 --> 0:09:04.840 into their brain. It's almost like they're like, okay, am 0:09:04.840 --> 0:09:06.520 I supposed to do? What if I do? What do 0:09:06.559 --> 0:09:08.960 I do here? I know I want to sound smart, 0:09:09.000 --> 0:09:10.480 I want to look smart. I don't want to be, 0:09:10.880 --> 0:09:13.319 you know, skewered in the press tomorrow. So I think 0:09:13.360 --> 0:09:14.920 I'm supposed to go for two here. So that's what 0:09:14.920 --> 0:09:17.360 we're gonna do. Like it just seems that arbitrary. Sometimes 0:09:17.640 --> 0:09:20.720 it's like the black jack player was, you know, It's 0:09:20.720 --> 0:09:22.640 like if you have the sixteen, you know how some 0:09:22.920 --> 0:09:25.080 there are some black jack players who are like, this 0:09:25.120 --> 0:09:27.320 time I'm gonna hit. This time, I'm gonna just you know, 0:09:27.360 --> 0:09:29.720 I'm gonna sit on it. It's like, at least be 0:09:29.880 --> 0:09:34.040 consistent through, right, Like just give me that much. But 0:09:34.040 --> 0:09:36.400 you don't see that with these coaches. They'll they'll just 0:09:36.400 --> 0:09:39.360 sort of do what they want to on a whim. Um. 0:09:39.400 --> 0:09:41.560 So I didn't think, yeah, I'm I didn't think that 0:09:41.559 --> 0:09:44.160 that was necessarily the way to play it. And I 0:09:44.200 --> 0:09:46.640 certainly didn't think Riverboat Ron should have gone for it there. 0:09:46.800 --> 0:09:49.600 But eagles six is what you're gonna put up. I 0:09:49.679 --> 0:09:53.600 had seven, Yeah, you know, I wouldn't want to go 0:09:53.640 --> 0:09:55.800 too high with anything on either one of these teams. 0:09:55.840 --> 0:09:58.520 You know, it just looks all right. I don't know, 0:09:58.559 --> 0:10:02.040 but seven would be a out. It's Chris Andrew's at 0:10:02.080 --> 0:10:04.280 Andrew's Sports. By the way, we rarely say your Twitter 0:10:04.360 --> 0:10:08.199 Crizzy at Andrew's Sports, author of then one Day available 0:10:08.200 --> 0:10:11.480 where all books are sold, including Amazon of course. How Sunday, 0:10:11.520 --> 0:10:13.680 how many afternoon games are we doing the two afternoon 0:10:13.720 --> 0:10:17.800 game thing again this week? Uh? To? We have three 0:10:18.160 --> 0:10:21.520 one to three yellow three afternoon games. Jason four, Jason's 0:10:21.559 --> 0:10:24.840 have four to so yeah, I'm sorry, Jason's right, it 0:10:24.920 --> 0:10:27.000 is four. I missed the CRDS, all right. I like 0:10:27.120 --> 0:10:32.400 that distribution, all right? What's first on Sunday morning? Cleveland 0:10:32.559 --> 0:10:36.599 at Cincinnati. Cleveland at Cincinnati and FS excuse me a 0:10:36.720 --> 0:10:39.920 f C North. Cleveland loses, and I do mean lose 0:10:40.120 --> 0:10:44.840 badly to the Pittsburgh Steelers. Cleveland loses that game by 0:10:44.880 --> 0:10:49.680 the score of thirty eight to seven as three point dogs. 0:10:49.720 --> 0:10:52.400 Money came in on Cleveland as game time approach. They 0:10:52.440 --> 0:10:56.080 lose thirty eight to seven. Baker Mayfield ten of eighteen 0:10:56.160 --> 0:11:00.000 for one nineteen, one touchdown, two picks at four times 0:11:00.000 --> 0:11:03.040 times he was taken out of the game for case Keenum. 0:11:03.080 --> 0:11:05.199 In this one case Keenum was five for ten for 0:11:05.200 --> 0:11:08.040 forty six, but the Browns were one of twelve on 0:11:08.240 --> 0:11:11.480 third downs, they were oh for three on fourth down. 0:11:11.520 --> 0:11:14.600 They only had two hundred twenty total yards of offense. 0:11:14.920 --> 0:11:17.240 They were minus two in turnovers. Just a recipe for 0:11:17.320 --> 0:11:21.240 disaster h Pittsburgh was one of mine. Yesterday, Sitton Senata 0:11:21.880 --> 0:11:24.560 was up on the Colts twenty one to nothing. And 0:11:24.600 --> 0:11:26.400 for those of us who have the Dolphins and Survivor, 0:11:26.520 --> 0:11:28.520 this was a tough one to watch the Colts come 0:11:28.520 --> 0:11:30.280 back because a lot of people have the Colts and Survivor. 0:11:30.559 --> 0:11:33.640 Joe Burrow future Hall of Famer, twenty five thirty nine, 0:11:33.640 --> 0:11:36.120 that's my buddy. Matt Brown calls him uh on Primetime 0:11:36.160 --> 0:11:39.040 Action twenty five of thirty nine for three thirteen, no touchdowns, 0:11:39.080 --> 0:11:42.559 one pick, two sacks. Uh Tee Higgins biggest target once again, 0:11:42.600 --> 0:11:45.079 six for one twenty five. Bengals were eight of seventeen 0:11:45.120 --> 0:11:48.040 on third down, two of two on fourth down. They're 0:11:48.040 --> 0:11:51.160 O sixteen and one in their last seventeen road games. 0:11:51.200 --> 0:11:54.120 For those who like UH longer stats from even before 0:11:54.200 --> 0:11:56.240 Joe Burrow was around with the Bengals, Oh sixteen and 0:11:56.240 --> 0:11:59.920 one last seventeen road games. That's their third loss this season. 0:12:00.160 --> 0:12:03.400 The Bengals third loss this season by five points are 0:12:03.520 --> 0:12:07.800 fewer and under Zach Taylor. Now they're three eighteen and one, 0:12:09.200 --> 0:12:12.360 three eighteen and one, outscored by the Colts thirty one 0:12:12.360 --> 0:12:14.199 to six after leading twenty one and nothing. As I 0:12:14.240 --> 0:12:18.040 said yesterday, I will say Cleveland is a It's not 0:12:18.080 --> 0:12:21.679 going to be that high. I'll say Cleveland minus three. 0:12:22.000 --> 0:12:28.400 At Cincinnati, it's three and a half. See two places 0:12:28.480 --> 0:12:33.280 three with juice on the Browns. I'm gonna open three 0:12:33.320 --> 0:12:34.960 and after. You know, Gil, if you remember at the 0:12:35.000 --> 0:12:37.319 beginning of the year, I said not that Cincinnati is 0:12:37.320 --> 0:12:38.800 gonna win a lot of games, but they're going to 0:12:38.960 --> 0:12:41.040 cover a lot of numbers as a dog. And they 0:12:41.040 --> 0:12:44.400 did yesterday. That staff that you threw out earlier about 0:12:44.440 --> 0:12:47.640 their losses by five points or less, I think that 0:12:47.720 --> 0:12:50.800 goes to prove it. Uh, my power ratings come to 0:12:51.080 --> 0:12:56.120 five on Cleveland again without the home field advantage. Um, 0:12:56.280 --> 0:12:58.880 how give sense much? But you know, I think three 0:12:58.880 --> 0:13:01.240 and a half like folk hat to start with. But 0:13:01.320 --> 0:13:04.559 you know, you look back at Baker Mayfield, still incredibly 0:13:04.640 --> 0:13:09.960 inconsistent and Joe Burrow at seventy nine point three was 0:13:10.000 --> 0:13:13.160 his qb R yesterday. So you know, they blew that game. 0:13:13.960 --> 0:13:16.120 You know, I'm still not sure a boy Taylor as 0:13:16.160 --> 0:13:19.640 a coach, but they blew that game. But it was 0:13:19.720 --> 0:13:22.560 not Joe Burrow's fault in anyway he played. I thought 0:13:22.600 --> 0:13:26.199 he played really well, certainly enough well enough for them 0:13:26.200 --> 0:13:29.640 to win that game. Three and a half. I think 0:13:29.640 --> 0:13:31.880 I'd probably be looking at dog in this game. But 0:13:31.960 --> 0:13:33.680 you know, I know if I opened three, they'll just 0:13:34.440 --> 0:13:36.320 you know, flood me with the minus streets. I'm an 0:13:36.360 --> 0:13:37.800 open three and half to keep an eye on it. 0:13:38.200 --> 0:13:39.880 I think three is probably a little bit of a 0:13:39.880 --> 0:13:41.640 better number in this game. Three and a half to 0:13:41.720 --> 0:13:44.800 me would be uh take or pass for sure? With 0:13:45.160 --> 0:13:48.920 Cleveland cincinematic. Yeah, so I see it. Were you surprised 0:13:48.960 --> 0:13:54.079 by your Steelers yesterday? Yeah? You know what you gave 0:13:54.160 --> 0:13:56.480 the staff? What was Cleveland on third down? And you know, 0:13:56.520 --> 0:13:58.439 I board did I hear it from Steeler fans this 0:13:58.559 --> 0:14:01.600 last week? If I'm not a defense that I didn't 0:14:01.600 --> 0:14:03.640 like the way they're playing, and the guys have given 0:14:03.679 --> 0:14:06.360 me all these statistics, but I know what I was seeing. 0:14:06.400 --> 0:14:08.719 They weren't making a lot of big plays when they 0:14:08.720 --> 0:14:11.080 needed to. And I don't have the number right in 0:14:11.080 --> 0:14:14.000 front of me, but their third down conversion rate as 0:14:14.040 --> 0:14:16.440 the defense was not very good, and that's probably what 0:14:16.600 --> 0:14:19.280 they came into my mind. I'm looking to get them 0:14:19.680 --> 0:14:22.160 get the opposition off the field. They weren't always doing that, 0:14:22.200 --> 0:14:25.560 but they certainly did that yesterday. You know, mankup Fitzpatrick, 0:14:25.640 --> 0:14:27.800 which I never had much doubt, but like a lot 0:14:27.800 --> 0:14:30.000 of guys were saying, he wasn't playing that well this year, 0:14:30.000 --> 0:14:33.280 and he had the big interception returned for a touchdown 0:14:33.560 --> 0:14:36.040 that really kind of set the tone for the game. 0:14:36.680 --> 0:14:40.240 And I didn't make as terrific myself, so I think 0:14:40.240 --> 0:14:42.880 he was well worth trading a number one draft choice for. 0:14:43.120 --> 0:14:46.240 So I heard it by by a lot of steel offense. 0:14:46.320 --> 0:14:48.680 But they did shut down Cleveland on third down and 0:14:48.720 --> 0:14:51.920 that was the most impressive thing about that about their 0:14:51.920 --> 0:14:55.320 defense yesterday, Very very consistent, and they really bottled up 0:14:55.320 --> 0:14:58.680 Mayfield pretty good. Did Minka turned his career around like 0:14:58.760 --> 0:15:00.880 immediately after that, right as soon as he put on 0:15:00.920 --> 0:15:04.320 a Steeler's uniform one for just to repeat Cleveland one 0:15:04.360 --> 0:15:06.800 of twelve on third downs yesterday, and oh for three 0:15:06.800 --> 0:15:09.800 on fourth and again third down conversion rates both offensively. 0:15:09.840 --> 0:15:13.600 In terms of defensive prevention of it probably more a 0:15:13.680 --> 0:15:17.280 thing that regresses to a mean than necessarily predictive. By 0:15:17.280 --> 0:15:20.640 the way, Cincinnati just repeat their stat third loss this 0:15:20.720 --> 0:15:23.600 season by five points are fewer there, one, four, and one, 0:15:23.800 --> 0:15:26.480 but three of those four losses by five points are fewer. 0:15:26.520 --> 0:15:29.760 And then obviously the tie as well. Let's do one 0:15:29.760 --> 0:15:36.600 more here, one more Dallas against your Washington football team, 0:15:36.840 --> 0:15:39.840 Dallas at Washington. Dallas hasn't played, uh, and they will 0:15:39.840 --> 0:15:42.200 play tonight. By the way, two games tonight, of course, 0:15:42.240 --> 0:15:46.320 I should say one game this afternoon, really uh Pacific time. 0:15:46.760 --> 0:15:50.280 It's a It's a five pm Eastern two pm Pacific 0:15:50.360 --> 0:15:54.040 start between the Chiefs and the Bills. What an awkward time. 0:15:54.520 --> 0:15:56.680 Awkward just in terms of a time. We're not used 0:15:56.720 --> 0:15:59.600 to having a game start on a Monday, five pm Eastern, 0:15:59.600 --> 0:16:02.440 two pm Pacific between Kansas City and Buffalo. The Chiefs 0:16:02.480 --> 0:16:04.720 are five and a half point favorites in the first 0:16:04.720 --> 0:16:06.600 of two tonight in the National Football need to close 0:16:06.600 --> 0:16:09.920 out Week six, and then it's Arizona Dallas. Uh. The 0:16:09.960 --> 0:16:14.160 originally scheduled Monday night I remember Kansas City Buffalo postponed 0:16:14.200 --> 0:16:18.920 because Buffalo Tennessee UM had to get postponed. And then 0:16:18.920 --> 0:16:22.480 it's just the whole Domino effect UM Arizona Dallas tonight. 0:16:22.560 --> 0:16:24.720 Dallas is a one and a half point favorite. So 0:16:24.800 --> 0:16:26.880 we get to see Andy Dalton start here. Not we 0:16:26.960 --> 0:16:29.760 get to but sadly we see Andy Dalton start because 0:16:29.760 --> 0:16:33.120 of Dak Prescott's season ending injury. So we don't know 0:16:33.160 --> 0:16:35.880 about Dallas. We do know, as we just mentioned about 0:16:36.120 --> 0:16:40.760 Washington yesterday, losing to the Giants, had the chance to 0:16:40.960 --> 0:16:44.200 tie it and force what probably would have been overtime. Instead, 0:16:44.240 --> 0:16:46.200 they go for two and they miss, and so Washington's 0:16:46.200 --> 0:16:49.480 one in five. Dallas leads the NFCS that two and 0:16:49.680 --> 0:16:52.520 three headed into tonight's game. By the way, Kyle Allen 0:16:52.600 --> 0:16:55.400 yesterday for Washington thirty one of forty two for two, 0:16:55.400 --> 0:16:59.240 eighty two touchdowns, one pick, sack three times. Terry McLaurin 0:16:59.440 --> 0:17:02.520 always need to mention for any Washington box score, seven catches, 0:17:02.560 --> 0:17:05.520 seventy four yards, I'll say a site unseen for the 0:17:05.520 --> 0:17:12.040 Cowboys tonight, I'll say it's Dallas minus four. Chrissie. There 0:17:12.080 --> 0:17:15.280 a lot of numbers out there, a low of three 0:17:15.480 --> 0:17:18.359 with some juice on the favorite and a high of four. 0:17:19.280 --> 0:17:21.240 I see it all over the place now, you know, 0:17:21.560 --> 0:17:24.399 if anybody was listening last week, I told everybody I 0:17:24.440 --> 0:17:27.400 loved the Cowboys this week, Uh they were a two 0:17:27.440 --> 0:17:30.880 point dog. They've not one. I'm still running one at 0:17:30.920 --> 0:17:33.960 the south point, just one or one and a half. 0:17:34.640 --> 0:17:36.680 So pretty big turnaround as far as the number goes. 0:17:36.920 --> 0:17:40.680 But I expect Dallas to play well tonight. But still 0:17:40.800 --> 0:17:45.480 my numbers only come to a four point differential, again 0:17:45.520 --> 0:17:48.119 with no home field advantage, and I'm not sure Washington 0:17:48.800 --> 0:17:52.359 has ever had a home field hand with that new stage. Yeah, 0:17:52.400 --> 0:17:55.960 I mean their their home field is essentially zero. But 0:17:56.119 --> 0:17:58.320 as a placeholder, I'm gonna open it three and a half. 0:17:58.359 --> 0:18:01.560 See how that goes. Um. I think that that's an 0:18:01.560 --> 0:18:04.800 okay starting point. But we'll see how Dallas plays that. 0:18:04.840 --> 0:18:06.760 But like I said, I expect Dallas to play Weldon Man. 0:18:06.840 --> 0:18:10.520 I think Andy Dalton is gonna be a very capable 0:18:10.600 --> 0:18:14.200 substitute for Dak Prescott. I can't imagine. Again, we don't 0:18:14.240 --> 0:18:16.280 know what's gonna happen with the Cowboys tonight. God forbid, 0:18:16.320 --> 0:18:18.040 there's any more injuries for them. But I'm just saying 0:18:18.119 --> 0:18:21.480 Dallas minus three. If that's what some have out there 0:18:21.480 --> 0:18:25.480 against Washington, seems like an auto auto play on Dallas. 0:18:25.520 --> 0:18:28.040 To man, I know, Dallas's defense is terrible, but it's 0:18:28.080 --> 0:18:30.560 not like that's the thing. It's not like Washington has 0:18:30.600 --> 0:18:33.960 the offense to exploit that though, you know. So it's 0:18:34.000 --> 0:18:37.000 it's sort of weakness against weakness. And then if you 0:18:37.040 --> 0:18:38.680 look at the other side of the ball, I'll take 0:18:38.960 --> 0:18:43.720 I'll take Dallas's offense, despite how good Washington's defensive front 0:18:43.760 --> 0:18:47.000 can be. I'll take Dallas's offense, and that so Dallas 0:18:47.680 --> 0:18:49.400 you're putting up minus three and a half, he said, 0:18:50.760 --> 0:18:52.920 I'm using three and a half, but I would I 0:18:52.920 --> 0:18:54.679 would take a little bit of issue with Dad. I 0:18:54.720 --> 0:18:59.560 think Dallas's defense is just so bad and Washington, you know, 0:18:59.600 --> 0:19:02.440 I mean, these guys are still professional athletes that were 0:19:02.800 --> 0:19:05.840 stars through high school and college. You know, his face 0:19:05.920 --> 0:19:08.840 and defense as bad as Dallas has been, and it's 0:19:08.880 --> 0:19:11.320 been bad, I think they can put up some points. 0:19:11.320 --> 0:19:14.359 So I'm not sure I automatically laid three, but the 0:19:14.400 --> 0:19:18.520 public might, especially if Dallas looks good tonight. Um, let's 0:19:18.520 --> 0:19:26.000 try one more here, Okay, Detroit and Atlanta. Detroit at Atlanta. 0:19:26.480 --> 0:19:29.320 Detroit beats Jacksonville yesterday at the game that I probably 0:19:29.359 --> 0:19:33.080 saw three plays of, Detroit beat some thirty four to sixteen. 0:19:33.080 --> 0:19:35.280 They crushed him as three point favorites. A lot of 0:19:35.320 --> 0:19:38.080 turnovers for Jacksonville. Are a lot of big turnovers in 0:19:38.119 --> 0:19:43.440 that game. Um, let's see here. Detroit at Jacksonville detroited 0:19:43.480 --> 0:19:48.800 Atlanta is the so Detroit yesterday. Stafford Stafford nineteen twenty three, 0:19:48.800 --> 0:19:53.160 one touchdown, one pick, sacked zero times. DeAndre Swift greatest 0:19:53.240 --> 0:19:57.160 name ever fourteen for one, sixteen on the ground, two touchdowns, 0:19:57.200 --> 0:19:59.800 Golladay four for one oh five. Detroit's time of his 0:20:00.080 --> 0:20:03.240 in advantage over Jacksonville thirty five fifty seven to twenty 0:20:03.240 --> 0:20:05.760 four oh three. Consecutive road wins for the first time 0:20:05.760 --> 0:20:11.000 since November twenty seventeen for the Detroit Lions. Congratulations to them. 0:20:11.240 --> 0:20:13.320 And then there's Atlanta, which got off the schnight. Atlanta 0:20:13.359 --> 0:20:15.960 with their first win of the year. They crushed Minnesota 0:20:16.000 --> 0:20:19.359 forty to twenty three. Uh Matt Ryan thirty of forty 0:20:19.520 --> 0:20:22.320 three seventy one, four touchdowns, no picks, sack two times, 0:20:22.359 --> 0:20:25.199 Julio Jones eight for one, thirty seven, two touchdowns. They 0:20:25.200 --> 0:20:27.320 were nine of seventeen on third down, three for three 0:20:27.359 --> 0:20:30.000 on four four sixty two total yards. They were plus 0:20:30.000 --> 0:20:32.440 two in turnovers, and they had the ball for over 0:20:32.520 --> 0:20:36.040 forty minutes versus the Vikings forty oh seven to nineteen 0:20:36.119 --> 0:20:41.680 fifty three. And I said, Atlanta minus four, what say you, 0:20:41.680 --> 0:20:45.399 you're a little high. It's almost a blanket three. I 0:20:45.400 --> 0:20:47.119 see it a little bit of three with some juice 0:20:47.160 --> 0:20:49.840 on the favorite. I gotta say I like that number better. 0:20:50.000 --> 0:20:53.679 My my, my numbers have these two teams at exactly 0:20:53.760 --> 0:20:56.840 even if we're gonna look at yesterday's game, you know, 0:20:56.880 --> 0:20:59.000 I thought Stafford looked really good. In a matter of fact, 0:20:59.000 --> 0:21:02.840 the whole deep the Detroit teams, particularly their offense, I 0:21:02.920 --> 0:21:06.080 thought look really good. But they played a very bad 0:21:06.240 --> 0:21:10.200 Jacksonville team I think all of us had earmarked is 0:21:10.280 --> 0:21:13.320 the worst team in the league before the season started. 0:21:13.400 --> 0:21:15.600 Of course, the Jets of blowing them away as far 0:21:15.600 --> 0:21:18.240 as that goes. But I think you also look at 0:21:18.240 --> 0:21:22.800 Atlanta against Minnesota, and again their offense looked great, but 0:21:22.840 --> 0:21:25.320 it's looked great pretty much all year. First game of 0:21:25.440 --> 0:21:27.760 the Raheem Morris is their head coach, so I think 0:21:27.800 --> 0:21:30.720 that probably gave him a little bit of a psychological edge. 0:21:30.920 --> 0:21:34.840 But also as Minnesota any good, I think we're conditioned 0:21:34.840 --> 0:21:36.920 to think that they are, but I don't. I don't 0:21:36.960 --> 0:21:40.199 think they aren't. I think that's been certainly one of 0:21:40.280 --> 0:21:43.800