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Speaker 1: What's up, guys, How are you? Good morning? Welcome to

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Speaker 1: the Tuesday morning edition of the Daily Juice Podcast. My

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Speaker 1: name is Matt Perolt. You can full let me on

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Speaker 1: Twitter at sports Talk Matt. We're here on Bettingpros dot Com.

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Speaker 1: Always being brought to you by bet MGM. Al Right,

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Speaker 1: congratulations to Alabama on the National Championship game. And while

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Speaker 1: last night was a losing night, I feel really good

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Speaker 1: about it. Now, let me explain. You might go, Matt,

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Speaker 1: you lost money. I know I lost money, but I

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Speaker 1: was able to handygap that game properly, and I just

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Speaker 1: needed to see a free throw go through. I just

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Speaker 1: needed to get one of those picks right on my

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Speaker 1: own and not have everyone tell me that I'm wrong.

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Speaker 1: And I hedged on myself. I didn't trust myself. I

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Speaker 1: know a lot of you guys reached out on Instagram,

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Speaker 1: on Twitter, on the discord chat and you were like,

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Speaker 1: stop second guessing yourself, Just go ahead and fire and

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Speaker 1: if you're wrong, don't worry about it. I agree. But

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Speaker 1: this is the thing about the podcast, and this is

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Speaker 1: what I think is really fun. And if you're new

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Speaker 1: to the podcast, I think you're gonna like this because

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Speaker 1: it's a little different than other podcasts. I'm I'm pretty real,

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Speaker 1: like you guys are gonna hear a real emotion, a

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Speaker 1: real reaction from me. So when I suck, you're gonna

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Speaker 1: hear me be kind of down. When I'm up, you're

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Speaker 1: gonna hear me be really excited. When I'm confused, I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna tell you I'm confused, and I've been confused for

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Speaker 1: about a week now, and last night kind of was

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Speaker 1: rock bottom. Last night was me finally realizing, Okay, stop it, like,

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Speaker 1: just go back to what you're good at, which is watching, evaluating, reading,

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Speaker 1: doing your homework, doing your research, and get back after it. Okay.

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Speaker 1: So I am excited about the rest of this week.

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Speaker 1: I'm excited about I got two plays in college basketball

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Speaker 1: going tonight. And look, because of the NFL playoffs, you know,

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Speaker 1: we're not gonna be heavy here. We're not gonna play

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Speaker 1: much in the NBA because the NBA might be shutting down.

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Speaker 1: The NBA is having a meeting today to determine whether

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Speaker 1: they're gonna shut down for two weeks. So I'm punting

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Speaker 1: on NBA basketball for a while. I'll look at college

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Speaker 1: basketball and then tomorrow if you are a hockey head,

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Speaker 1: a puckhead. We're gonna do an NHL preview with future

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Speaker 1: bets tomorrow. So if you haven't bet hockey before, I

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Speaker 1: got plays, I got teams I'm looking at. We got

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Speaker 1: rolling in the bubble for a while and hockey was fun.

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Speaker 1: Hockey betting is unique because of the options. We're gonna

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Speaker 1: be looking at first period unders for a couple of teams.

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Speaker 1: I can't wait to get back involved with the New

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Speaker 1: York Islanders. I can't wait to get back involved with

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Speaker 1: the Colorado Avalanche. There's just a lot of things we're

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Speaker 1: gonna come out of the gate, and we're gonna use

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Speaker 1: what we saw early in the bubble to help us

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Speaker 1: make some bets early in the NHL here as the

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Speaker 1: year begins tomorrow, so we'll have that. If you are

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Speaker 1: interested in that, get to the podcast early in the

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Speaker 1: morning tomorrow. I'm doing a lot of work. I'm interviewing

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Speaker 1: a bunch of guys on my XM show Channel two

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Speaker 1: oh four, and I'm interviewing a bunch of people on

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Speaker 1: my sports map radio show, Pushing the Odds. So I've

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Speaker 1: got a bunch of people that I want to run

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Speaker 1: some ideas by tomorrow to get ready for the NHL season.

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Speaker 1: So really excited to get to some hockey hockey podcast

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Speaker 1: coming up tomorrow. So it'll be a little bit of

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Speaker 1: a different spin. And you may go, Matt, I don't

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Speaker 1: like hockey, Well I get it, but come with us. Okay,

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Speaker 1: if you don't like hockey or you don't know much

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Speaker 1: about it, come with us. I mean it's fun, it's

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Speaker 1: a fun journey. And I know the NHL is going

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Speaker 1: to have a really funky, funky year this year. So

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Speaker 1: you know, the way the divisions are broken up, this

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Speaker 1: makes it for a very difficult betting and unique betting year.

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Speaker 1: But hockey's hockey in terms of first period, second period,

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Speaker 1: third period, and we'll run into the same problems that

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Speaker 1: we were running into last year when you know what

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Speaker 1: happens when we start hitting those first period unders and

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Speaker 1: how the books respond to it, and and uh, you know,

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Speaker 1: we had some crazy Remember when if you were an

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Speaker 1: OG back during the summertime, during the bubble for the

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Speaker 1: hockey playoffs, they were a couple of teams that like

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Speaker 1: the under one and a half goals was juiced up

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Speaker 1: to like minus two forty at times, like it was

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Speaker 1: just stupid, Like we were just betting it blindly and

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Speaker 1: we were hitting it consistently and it caused to people

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Speaker 1: to just freak out. The books were really angry about it,

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Speaker 1: and they kept on trying to get us off our spot,

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Speaker 1: and like I remember, one week, it went from like

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Speaker 1: minus one ten to minus two to ten over like

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Speaker 1: three days before the books finally were like, forget it.

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Speaker 1: The one and a half unders are now going to

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Speaker 1: be reduced at two forty because they hated what we

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Speaker 1: were doing. So that's fine. But I'm in a good

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Speaker 1: mood because I got Alabama right, all right, Alabama minus seven.

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Speaker 1: We bet that early. We got a great number, and

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Speaker 1: it was easy. Sure, the under kicked me in the nuts. Okay,

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Speaker 1: seventy six, are you freaking kidding me? Like that's just embarrassing.

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Speaker 1: I made a wager for a second half bet and

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Speaker 1: that didn't hit either. But what the teaser was right

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Speaker 1: to tease it to up to eighty one and a

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Speaker 1: half and take the under. That was right. But Ohio

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Speaker 1: State did not do what Ohio State was supposed to

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Speaker 1: have done. And look at if DeVante Smith plays in

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Speaker 1: the second half, who knows how many points Alabama puts up.

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Speaker 1: His injury changed everything for Bama in the second half

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Speaker 1: and everything else. So you know, it looked like he

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Speaker 1: was going to come back and they didn't come back.

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Speaker 1: But whatever, it's fine. We wound up up a little

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Speaker 1: bit for the year for college football, which is good,

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Speaker 1: which is what we wanted to be. We made money

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Speaker 1: in college football this year off the add up exactly

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Speaker 1: how much, but we made a little money. We lost,

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Speaker 1: you know, a unit and a half or so or

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Speaker 1: two units last night, but we were up I think

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Speaker 1: like six or seven units overall in college football. So

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Speaker 1: we wound up up for the year for college football,

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Speaker 1: which is great. And so we move on to the

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Speaker 1: NFL for the rest of the playoffs, and so this

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Speaker 1: is now. We want to get hot. I mean to

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Speaker 1: be honest, I want to hit rock bottom and I

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Speaker 1: want to rebound, rebound and come back and have a

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Speaker 1: good run here as we go into the divisional rounds,

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Speaker 1: into the championship rounds, and into the NFL. So I'm

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Speaker 1: feeling good. I'm excited for this week. I'm excited to

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Speaker 1: get back to work and to have you guys along

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Speaker 1: with us. And a couple of two guys wrote We're

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Speaker 1: in the Discord Chat for the first time last night,

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Speaker 1: and you wrote me a couple of messages like this

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Speaker 1: is the greatest thing ever. I'm telling you, if you

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Speaker 1: haven't joined the Discord Chat, it's free. I'm not selling

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Speaker 1: you things. Nobody's gonna ask you to buy anything, just

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Speaker 1: your time. But if you have the Discord app on

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Speaker 1: your phone, you can watch your fellow gamblers have all

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Speaker 1: sorts of fun sweating games, and like we had over

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Speaker 1: three hundred people in the Daily Juice channel for the

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Speaker 1: Discord Chat. We're approaching three thousand signed up users for

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Speaker 1: the Discord channel, which is awesome. That is way more

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Speaker 1: than even our YouTube channel, which is over two thousand,

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Speaker 1: which is cool, but not I mean the Discord channel.

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Speaker 1: As we go to the playoffs here, as we've got

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Speaker 1: games on Saturday and Sunday coming up this weekend, and

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Speaker 1: then the championship games for Sunday and then the Super Bowl.

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Speaker 1: I mean just really cool stuff. I mean really fun,

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Speaker 1: really cool, really exciting, and I'm very interested and very

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Speaker 1: motivated to grow all of these things here in twenty

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Speaker 1: twenty one, so it's a long year. We got off

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Speaker 1: to a rough start here in twenty twenty one, So what,

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Speaker 1: We're gonna be here every day. This is why I

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Speaker 1: preach bank roll management. This is why I think you

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Speaker 1: have to control your spending, what you're buying, how much

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Speaker 1: you're betting, and just have fun with it and know

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Speaker 1: when to say when, know when to take a day off.

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Speaker 1: Listen to the podcast. You don't have to bet, you

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Speaker 1: don't have to just watch. You know, people will get

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Speaker 1: all frustrated. I'm seeing the board horribly. Sure we all do, right,

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Speaker 1: we all struggle. I struggle. I'm real. I'm not some

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Speaker 1: fake scandy capper. Okay, I'm not someone trying to steal

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Speaker 1: your money. I'm not somebody proclaiming that I hit seventy

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Speaker 1: five percent and I'm gonna kill your bookie. Like. I

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Speaker 1: don't do any of that crap. Okay, I don't believe

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Speaker 1: in buying picks for that very reason. All right, are

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Speaker 1: there people in this industry better at picking games than me? Yes? Yes,

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Speaker 1: not debating that there are people way better than picking

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Speaker 1: games than me. But what they aren't as good at,

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Speaker 1: in my mind, is relating to you guys and having

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Speaker 1: a good time. Okay, nobody has more fun at this

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Speaker 1: than me. Okay, nobody does Okay, nobody enjoys this more

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Speaker 1: than me. Nobody has more fun. And I just find

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Speaker 1: this to be hyper entertaining. This is the most entertaining

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Speaker 1: thing I have ever done. I think the Lucky Stars

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Speaker 1: every day that I have a job in the sports

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Speaker 1: gambling industry. I have a radio show on serious satellite radio.

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Speaker 1: I have a nationally syndicated sports talk show. I have

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Speaker 1: a highly successful, fast growing podcast that is on bettingpros

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Speaker 1: dot com. I have I have the pleasure of working

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Speaker 1: with people like Dan Harris and his great staff at

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Speaker 1: Fantasy Pros. I mean, it's it's just awesome, man, It's

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Speaker 1: it's really cool. And and somebody wrote to me on

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Speaker 1: Discord saying, Matt, you're all in your feelings tonight, and

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Speaker 1: I was like, yeah, you know. But at the end

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Speaker 1: of things, I do like to reflect and I do

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Speaker 1: like to look back, and holy crap, guys, we got

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Speaker 1: through the college season, Like, how the hell did we

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Speaker 1: do that? We got through the college football season. Now

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Speaker 1: we don't know the long term health implications to COVID.

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Speaker 1: I don't know my own long term health implications from

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Speaker 1: getting COVID. Okay, we don't know, but hopefully you know

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Speaker 1: it's not going to be serious, and hopefully the kids

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Speaker 1: are going to be fine who contracted COVID nineteen while

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Speaker 1: playing college football. And hopefully at some point this coming fall,

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Speaker 1: we all get to go back to stands and watching games.

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Speaker 1: And I can go back to watching UFC events and

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Speaker 1: college football. And I can go to the Raiders new stadium,

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Speaker 1: which I haven't been inside of yet, looking forward to

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Speaker 1: doing that. I can go to a Golden Knights game.

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Speaker 1: I can go back to UNLV basketball games. I mean,

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Speaker 1: all the things that I want to get doing. You know,

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Speaker 1: One little glimmer of hope which kind of shocks me

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Speaker 1: a little bit, is that UNLV my class starts next

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Speaker 1: week and I'm in person learn I'm in person teaching

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Speaker 1: my college class. The entire class. Last semester was virtual,

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Speaker 1: and I met my class twice in the entire semester

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Speaker 1: in person. Now it's going to be actually in person

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Speaker 1: the entire semester, which I was kind of like, really,

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Speaker 1: but okay, I mean that's all right, So we're gonna

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Speaker 1: do that. So maybe there's some hope that we're going

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Speaker 1: to begin to get back to some sense of normalcy

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Speaker 1: in twenty twenty one. So let's get to the picks

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Speaker 1: before that. You guys know about the bet MGM offer.

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Speaker 1: We have it for the upcoming playoffs, where you bet

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Speaker 1: one dollar on any money line using the promo code

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Speaker 1: Juice one hundred, and you win one hundred dollars in

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Speaker 1: free bets thanks to bet MGM if either team scores

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Speaker 1: a touchdown. Now, I do want to say one quick

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Speaker 1: thing about that, because somebody had a little bit of

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Speaker 1: an issue in Colorado where they tried to use the

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Speaker 1: Juice one hundred promo code and it didn't work. They

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Speaker 1: gave them the free bet one hundred dollars in free

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Speaker 1: wagers regardless, but it was a little bit of a

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Speaker 1: fight to get it. So if you're having any issues

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Speaker 1: with Colorado for the bet MGM Juice one hundred promo code,

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Speaker 1: let me know so we can address that and have

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Speaker 1: a conversation conversation with them. Because all new states are

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Speaker 1: coming on like crazy. Okay, but this is supposed to

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Speaker 1: be valid in New Jersey, Colorado, Indiana, Tennessee, Iowa, and

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Speaker 1: West Virginia for the NFL playoff offer with BETMGM. Now

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Speaker 1: it's not available in Pennsylvania and it is also in

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Speaker 1: one hundred percent deposit match, which is up to five

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Speaker 1: hundred dollars. So that's just in the state of Iowa.

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Speaker 1: But that's a touchdown scored one dollar money line. You

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Speaker 1: win one hundred dollars in free bets thanks to BETMGM.

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Speaker 1: You must be twenty one years or older. You must

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Speaker 1: be physically located in New Jersey, Colorado, Indiana, Tennessee, Iowa,

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Speaker 1: and West Virginia. Go to betmgm dot com for terms

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Speaker 1: and conditions. If you have a gambling problem, please call

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Speaker 1: one hundred five to two two forty seven hundred in Colorado,

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Speaker 1: one hard gambler in New Jersey or West Virginia, or

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Speaker 1: one hundred and nine with it in Indiana. All right,

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Speaker 1: two college basketball games, and let's start with the Alabama

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Speaker 1: Crimson Tide roll Tide, right, So big win for Bama.

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Speaker 1: They looked incredible. DeVante Smith, what an amazing game. Mac Jones,

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Speaker 1: great throwing, I mean incredible. I was so jealous of

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Speaker 1: the offshore market last night. It's just the US betting

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Speaker 1: markets got to wake up. It looked FanDuel and and

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Speaker 1: DraftKings and the East Coast books had a tremendous menu

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Speaker 1: compared to what we had in Vegas. But like I

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Speaker 1: saw one person tweeting, and I tweeted about it myself

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Speaker 1: that you know, they had mac Jones all the way

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Speaker 1: up to four hundred and fifty five yards passing you

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Speaker 1: could bet it in like fifty yard increments over over

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Speaker 1: over over over, and this person ran through all of

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Speaker 1: them and hit them all And I was very very

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Speaker 1: jealous of them. Amazing, amazing bet we would never have that,

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Speaker 1: we'd have one Mac Jones over under his passing tolls,

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Speaker 1: which was three hundred and sixty five I believe it was.

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Speaker 1: He went well over that. But that's all I had

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Speaker 1: to bet on for, you know, even a fan duel.

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Speaker 1: That's all I offered. But hopefully our betting markets become

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Speaker 1: more mature. But I bring up Alabama because they are

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Speaker 1: on the road at so preseason. If you remember I

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Speaker 1: I talked about the fact that I loved Alabama, that

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Speaker 1: I wasn't so high on Iowa, but I was very

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Speaker 1: high on Alabama, was very high on U and LV.

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Speaker 1: Now that's kind of wishy washy on the UNLV thing

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Speaker 1: with their COVID problems. But they played really hard. Lost

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Speaker 1: both games by three points last time out against Cutall State,

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Speaker 1: but they got a couple of Division two teams are

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Speaker 1: playing now to get some games in to get their

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Speaker 1: legs back before they play the rest of the Mountain

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Speaker 1: West Conference schedule. But you know there are certain teams.

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Speaker 1: I'm a big Creighton Blue Jay guy, right so I'm

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Speaker 1: really high in the Blue Jays. I think the Jays

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Speaker 1: are an auto fire right now until they lose. Creighton's

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Speaker 1: a team we're gonna bet automatically. So Alabama is starting

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Speaker 1: to play really well. Naate Oates's team is starting to

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Speaker 1: figure things out. Over the last five games, Alabama has

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Speaker 1: covered every single game. Okay, they covered against East Tennessee State,

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Speaker 1: they covered against Ole Miss, they covered against Tennessee, they

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Speaker 1: covered against Florida, they covered it against Auburn, all wins.

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Speaker 1: They have won five straight games in a row. Kentucky

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Speaker 1: is kind of the opposite, Okay, Kentucky is up and

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Speaker 1: down and they're all over the place. They got beat

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Speaker 1: by twelve points by North Carolina. They lost to Louisville.

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Speaker 1: Alabama is starting to look like a team that could

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Speaker 1: make a serious, serious run. And I am starting to

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Speaker 1: really like the way that they are shooting the rock

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Speaker 1: and the way that they're scoring the basketball. Alabama's scoring

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Speaker 1: nearly seventy nine points per game, they're giving up about

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Speaker 1: seventy one points per game, but Kentucky's only scoring about

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Speaker 1: sixty eight points per game. Coach Callus talked about this

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Speaker 1: about this team, this schedule that he had his team

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Speaker 1: go ahead and play. It's been really, really hard. They're

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Speaker 1: four and six now, they've won three games in a row. Okay,

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Speaker 1: so you can say, oh, maybe they've changed that they've

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Speaker 1: turned the corner. Yeah, not against this team though, not

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Speaker 1: against this Alabama team. They're nine to three. Yucky is

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Speaker 1: favored by two points, and I think the only reason

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Speaker 1: what Kentucky is favored by two points is because of

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Speaker 1: rup It's at Rupp Arena, But I don't think that

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Speaker 1: matter is without fans really being there. Home court is

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Speaker 1: kind of out the window here. I think Alabama's the

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Speaker 1: better team. If you want to bet Bama on the

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Speaker 1: money line, don't. I don't think it's that big of

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Speaker 1: a deal. I think Bama wins the game outright. But

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Speaker 1: I took the two points. I took Alabama plus the

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Speaker 1: two to win basically the game, but insurance here take

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Speaker 1: two points. With Alabama against Kentucky. I think the game

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Speaker 1: will go off with BEMA as a favorite. I think

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Speaker 1: the line's moving towards Alabama here because I think people

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Speaker 1: are starting to pay attention more to what Bama looks like.

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Speaker 1: But I'm taking Alabama for a half a unit. Crimson

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Speaker 1: tied plus two on the road here at Kentucky. Other

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Speaker 1: half unit. Other game on the road that I want

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Speaker 1: to talk about is Kansas at Oklahoma State. So everyone

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Speaker 1: loves Cad Cunningham, right, this is a five star, tremendous,

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Speaker 1: maybe number one pick in the draft. This kid's incredible.

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Speaker 1: Here's the thing when teams like Oklahoma State, when they

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Speaker 1: get players like Caid Cunningham, everyone thinks that they're gonna

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Speaker 1: become like Carmelo Anthony at Syracuse, where like the entire

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Speaker 1: team's gonna jump on his back and he's gonna take

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Speaker 1: him on a run. Now, that might happen in March,

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Speaker 1: but in Big Twelve play, it used to be called

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Speaker 1: Big Monday and Super Tuesday. I don't know if ESPN

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Speaker 1: does that anymore, but these used to be the games

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Speaker 1: on Tuesday in the Big twelve, where you get a

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Speaker 1: lot of eyeballs, there's no football going on, and everybody

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Speaker 1: kind of closes the book on college football now and

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Speaker 1: they start paying attention to college basketball. Kansas is on

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Speaker 1: the road. The line opened at three, it was bet

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Speaker 1: up to three and a half. Kansas is five and

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Speaker 1: six to the number this year. Oklahoma State's pretty good.

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Speaker 1: They're six and five to the number. However, I think

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Speaker 1: Kansas can take care of Oklahoma State and stop Caid Cunningham,

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Speaker 1: and then you're gonna rely on a lot of youngsters

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Speaker 1: to try to put the ball in the basket against Kansas.

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Speaker 1: And I think KU is played pretty well this year defensively,

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Speaker 1: and I've liked what they've looked like on the road,

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Speaker 1: in particular on the road against TCU Kansas. Last time

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Speaker 1: they played, we were on him at six and a

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Speaker 1: half point favorites. They won by twenty nine. Road game

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Speaker 1: before that against Sexast Tech, they were catching three and

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Speaker 1: a half and they won by one. They've only played

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Speaker 1: two games on the road. They're two and zher and

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Speaker 1: two and oh against the spread. This game's on the

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Speaker 1: road again against Oklahoma State. And these are the games

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Speaker 1: that kids will go to Kansas live for because they

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Speaker 1: know they're supposed to go and dominate. This is where kay, you,

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Speaker 1: I think will show. I think Garrett plays really well

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Speaker 1: for Kansas coming up tonight, Defensive player of the year

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Speaker 1: last year. I think you stick him on Kate Cunningham,

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Speaker 1: try to take him or limit him down. And I

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Speaker 1: think KU's starting to come around here. You know, they're

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Speaker 1: starting to shoot well from behind the arc. They're starting

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Speaker 1: to find their legs a little bit. They were a

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Speaker 1: young team not playing well early. But the line was

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Speaker 1: three and a half. I bought it down to three

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Speaker 1: because I've been birds enough, so I'm gonna lay them

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Speaker 1: as one twenty five that I got it at. If

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Speaker 1: you can find it at three, take it at three

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Speaker 1: Ku minus three on the road at Oklahoma State. But

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna go ahead in me by the half a

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Speaker 1: point three and a half to three. Kansas laying three

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Speaker 1: at Okie State at minus one twenty five. So two

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Speaker 1: plays going one unit in play half at unit each.

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Speaker 1: Alabama plus two at Kentucky and Kansas minus three at

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Speaker 1: Oklahoma State tonight. For college basketball, We're back tomorrow with

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Speaker 1: an NHL Hockey preview with some future wagers in the NHL.

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Speaker 1: We've done very well in the futures markets. We'll have

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Speaker 1: a couple of plays going for hockey and then we

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Speaker 1: will turn our attention to the NFL playoffs coming up.

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Speaker 1: And like I said, we're gonna pause on the NBA

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Speaker 1: til they figure out what's going on with COVID for

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Speaker 1: them keep on going with college basketball. Then the NHL

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Speaker 1: comes in and we start getting on the NHL looking

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Speaker 1: forward to some hockey. We talk futures and plays coming

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Speaker 1: up for the opening night for hockey on Wednesday night.

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Speaker 1: Miname is Matt Paroltz. Follow me on Twitter at Sports

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Speaker 1: Talk Maatt. Get into discord Chat Bettingpros dot com slash

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Speaker 1: chat to get that link to get into the discord chat.

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Speaker 1: You should be in it. It's a ton of fun

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Speaker 1: every morning. It's the Daily Juice podcast right here on

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Speaker 1: Bettingpros dot Com, brought you by BETAMGM