WEBVTT - Beating The Book: 2019 NFL MegaPod Week 15 Preview 0:00:03.400 --> 0:00:13.360 Check it on Man No Down Man Thursday morning, December twelve, nineteen, 0:00:13.800 --> 0:00:16.720 Reading of the book podcast It's the Megapod for a 0:00:16.840 --> 0:00:21.000 week number fifteen in the National Football League MAN regular 0:00:21.040 --> 0:00:24.599 season winding down. As always, we got a rotating guest 0:00:24.640 --> 0:00:27.320 coming up. But first our staples on my right from 0:00:27.320 --> 0:00:30.920 Circuits Sports, Derek Stephen's conciliary, also the vice president of operations, 0:00:30.920 --> 0:00:34.400 most importantly at Circuits Sports building the Big Shangri La 0:00:34.600 --> 0:00:38.360 Sports book, destined to be open December at the new 0:00:38.400 --> 0:00:42.280 Circuit Casino. It's Michael Palm. Hello, Michael, good morning. We're 0:00:42.280 --> 0:00:45.640 halfway there, as Derek did his press event on Monday, 0:00:46.040 --> 0:00:51.360 just one year out from Circle Wow. On schedule, on schedule, 0:00:51.560 --> 0:00:54.480 on budget, on schedule. When do you expect the contractor 0:00:54.520 --> 0:00:56.600 to be like, we can't get it in December twenty. 0:00:56.800 --> 0:00:59.920 Is that gonna happen? Well, they have. They have a 0:01:00.080 --> 0:01:03.080 lot of incentives not only to get it done on time, 0:01:03.120 --> 0:01:05.000 but incentives to get it done early. So I think 0:01:05.040 --> 0:01:07.680 it's gonna happen. Okay, alright, And on my left, uh, 0:01:07.760 --> 0:01:09.479 the one of the stars I shouldn't say these star, 0:01:09.640 --> 0:01:12.720 but one of the stars of show times. Uh. Four 0:01:12.840 --> 0:01:18.080 Part docuseries, Action Ladies and gentlemen. Everybody's lovable South Point resident. 0:01:18.360 --> 0:01:22.080 It's Todd Wishing. Hello Toddy. Hi, Dr Alexander. How are you. 0:01:22.280 --> 0:01:24.440 I'm doing very well. Um. You know, if you give 0:01:24.520 --> 0:01:26.920 me fourteen weeks of football, I will get you a 0:01:26.920 --> 0:01:30.000 clean sheet. That's what I did last week. Fourteen weeks. 0:01:30.000 --> 0:01:31.600 I promise you I will do it for it. It's 0:01:31.640 --> 0:01:33.920 all it took for me. And our guest today is 0:01:34.120 --> 0:01:36.320 back for the second time this year. He's always the 0:01:36.400 --> 0:01:38.760 leadoff hitter on the megapod. Every year he always does 0:01:38.760 --> 0:01:41.760 our first show. He's always back for another, and Week 0:01:41.840 --> 0:01:45.960 fifteen is his calling. It is Las Vegas Hilton Super 0:01:45.959 --> 0:01:49.520 Contest winner from the San Susi team that year. It's 0:01:49.560 --> 0:01:52.360 Brady Cannon. Hello, Brady, I am good. How are you? 0:01:52.520 --> 0:01:53.960 I'm doing very well. I think I might have asked 0:01:54.000 --> 0:01:56.040 you this last time. Do you like me to say 0:01:55.760 --> 0:01:58.160 twenty eleven anymore? You just like just say former, dude, 0:01:58.240 --> 0:02:00.760 just say former at this point. No, No, I mean 0:02:01.320 --> 0:02:04.360 that that was a fantastic year for me, so I'll 0:02:04.400 --> 0:02:07.520 never let it go. I mean it was. It's starting 0:02:07.520 --> 0:02:10.040 to get longer and longer ago. But hey, you're you 0:02:10.160 --> 0:02:13.480 still got the title. I remember back in the day, 0:02:13.560 --> 0:02:15.799 you know, when you first had me on after that 0:02:16.280 --> 0:02:19.880 contest victory, we were talking about, you know, the money 0:02:19.960 --> 0:02:23.360 is really nice, um, but it's really all about the title. 0:02:23.919 --> 0:02:26.600 And as the years have gone on, that is more 0:02:26.639 --> 0:02:29.840 and more rings true. It's about having that title. They 0:02:29.840 --> 0:02:31.440 can never take it away from you. Are you in 0:02:31.480 --> 0:02:33.320 the rings? Do they have a ring of fame there 0:02:33.360 --> 0:02:35.519 at the Westgate now with the former title holders. I 0:02:35.680 --> 0:02:37.560 don't think they have a ring of fame, but I 0:02:37.600 --> 0:02:43.120 do have a ring. There's a ring ceremony in all right. Yeah, 0:02:43.160 --> 0:02:46.480 they had that, Uh, I think they had that before 0:02:46.520 --> 0:02:50.280 the beginning of last year's contest. They invited all the 0:02:50.320 --> 0:02:53.160 former winners and handed out rings and stuff, so that 0:02:53.160 --> 0:02:55.040 that was very cool. All right. How are you doing 0:02:55.080 --> 0:02:57.520 this year? Uh? Five hundred? Not so good. We were 0:02:57.560 --> 0:03:01.280 actually uh doing pretty well and sir and you know 0:03:01.360 --> 0:03:05.000 had a chance and then uh craft the bed last week. 0:03:05.080 --> 0:03:08.200 So we're done there too. It's onto the mini contest, 0:03:08.280 --> 0:03:12.639 as I say, which begins this week. Yeah, circa I'm 0:03:13.120 --> 0:03:16.880 I guess I'm alive in the final circle quarterly, Michael, 0:03:17.200 --> 0:03:19.800 what is the update on the uh the last of 0:03:19.840 --> 0:03:23.040 the four quarter prizes. Well, remember everyone, this is a 0:03:23.080 --> 0:03:26.760 five week quarter, because there are seventeen weeks in the 0:03:26.880 --> 0:03:29.760 NFL season with buys. We have two entries, and it 0:03:29.840 --> 0:03:32.200 happened to be by the same gentleman that are at 0:03:32.280 --> 0:03:35.640 ten and old. Wow. For him, the good news is 0:03:35.640 --> 0:03:37.440 he's in good shape. But for him, the bad news 0:03:37.480 --> 0:03:42.040 is he's got three weeks to go, not to one 0:03:42.240 --> 0:03:44.920 entry at nine and a half points, and then another 0:03:45.040 --> 0:03:48.920 fourteen at nine overall, you know, overall for the season. 0:03:49.440 --> 0:03:52.440 Our friend the booty blockers UH is still in the 0:03:52.520 --> 0:03:55.480 league at forty nine and a half points. He leads 0:03:55.880 --> 0:03:59.480 m J Tad by one point and Live Odds by 0:03:59.520 --> 0:04:02.160 a point and a half, and then it's another Uh 0:04:02.280 --> 0:04:04.640 point and a half back to the next three. So uh, 0:04:05.280 --> 0:04:08.880 only only three people within actually two and a half 0:04:08.920 --> 0:04:12.640 points in the league. Those three people's lives right now 0:04:13.080 --> 0:04:17.239 are obsessed with this, like they can think of nothing 0:04:17.279 --> 0:04:19.480 else at this time of year. Well, but if your 0:04:19.560 --> 0:04:22.599 name was booty blocker, you might be thinking of other things, 0:04:22.800 --> 0:04:26.000 don't you think? Not? For for at least three weeks 0:04:26.000 --> 0:04:27.760 you're not gonna be speaking about You're not gonna be 0:04:27.800 --> 0:04:30.720 thinking about booty blog. Todd how did you do last week? Crappy? 0:04:30.800 --> 0:04:32.400 I think I think I was either three and two 0:04:32.440 --> 0:04:34.520 or two and three. I think two and three. Three 0:04:34.520 --> 0:04:36.160 and two is not crapy. So I'm three and a 0:04:36.200 --> 0:04:37.840 half back because I went two and three and then 0:04:37.839 --> 0:04:41.440 I went four oh and one last week, So many 0:04:41.520 --> 0:04:45.240 people between me and the two. Tenan knows which again 0:04:45.320 --> 0:04:47.160 he's got to. Tennan knows if he's able to keep 0:04:47.200 --> 0:04:49.520 this up for another couple of weeks, he'll come up 0:04:49.560 --> 0:04:52.919 with the strategy of those two entries to be able 0:04:52.920 --> 0:04:56.080 to ensure himself not maybe not to ensure himself victory, 0:04:56.120 --> 0:05:00.240 but to maximize his chances for winning the quarterly. That's sure. 0:05:00.279 --> 0:05:03.720 The quarterly prize that circle one thousand plus and of 0:05:03.760 --> 0:05:06.200 course the prize to win it all is right in 0:05:06.240 --> 0:05:09.080 the name of the contest, the circumillion. Before we get 0:05:09.120 --> 0:05:12.279 into our best bets boys and our final two questions 0:05:12.320 --> 0:05:14.280 at the end of course, and our teasers of the week, 0:05:14.760 --> 0:05:16.479 we always want to talk about the Thursday night game 0:05:16.520 --> 0:05:19.680 first tonight, not exactly a barn Bird. It's the Jets 0:05:19.680 --> 0:05:21.960 at the Ravens right now as we speak. By the way, 0:05:22.200 --> 0:05:25.480 the Christmas tree is lighting up and seventeens are appearing 0:05:25.480 --> 0:05:29.240 in multiple locations. Uh this was fifteen when the news 0:05:29.279 --> 0:05:31.839 came down from John Harbor that Lamar Jackson earlier in 0:05:31.839 --> 0:05:33.920 the week was day to day with a quad injury 0:05:33.960 --> 0:05:37.680 that he suffered this past weekend. But as it turns out, 0:05:37.720 --> 0:05:40.400 and by the way, it was taken down in many locations, 0:05:40.200 --> 0:05:42.760 the point spread was but now it's back up because 0:05:42.839 --> 0:05:45.880 Lamar said yesterday I'm playing and it's all the way 0:05:45.880 --> 0:05:50.000 to seventeen now. Any thoughts on this game, Brady Thursday night? 0:05:50.040 --> 0:05:53.760 Not exactly a marquee matchup. I made the number sixteen 0:05:53.800 --> 0:05:56.880 and a half originally, and that was on the assumption 0:05:56.960 --> 0:06:01.839 that uh uh Jackson was going to play. I think 0:06:01.839 --> 0:06:05.480 everybody's felt all along that he was going to play. UM, 0:06:05.520 --> 0:06:08.960 but I think it's too many points. I actually played 0:06:08.960 --> 0:06:12.000 the Jets on a teaser um when it was like 0:06:12.120 --> 0:06:14.160 fifteen and a half or something took it all the 0:06:14.200 --> 0:06:17.160 way to twenty one and a half. The Ravens have 0:06:17.240 --> 0:06:19.719 been off a couple of pretty good tests in a 0:06:19.839 --> 0:06:23.400 row against San Francisco and Buffalo, and then they've got 0:06:23.440 --> 0:06:26.600 two division games coming up, so I think this is 0:06:26.640 --> 0:06:28.599 a little bit of a hole in the schedule forum 0:06:28.800 --> 0:06:31.799 off of a short week, I see the Jets stand 0:06:31.839 --> 0:06:34.039 within the number. Mike, here, you scared it all that 0:06:34.160 --> 0:06:36.560 because of that Lamar Jackson injury. Like this could be 0:06:36.600 --> 0:06:39.240 the game where if the Ravens went up a bunch 0:06:39.960 --> 0:06:41.920 that they might just say at some point, all right, 0:06:41.960 --> 0:06:44.400 you've done enough here, Lamar, let's not mess around with 0:06:44.440 --> 0:06:46.800 the quad r G three have at it, and this 0:06:46.880 --> 0:06:50.240 could be the Todd wishnev back door special. I I 0:06:50.279 --> 0:06:52.000 actually want to go. I'm gonna use this as a 0:06:52.080 --> 0:06:56.839 best bet at seventeen. I'm gonna take Let's not forget 0:06:57.240 --> 0:06:59.520 it's not just the last two games, but it's four 0:06:59.520 --> 0:07:03.920 in a row for the Ravens Houston Big Spots, the Rams, 0:07:04.640 --> 0:07:09.040 San Francisco and then traveling to Buffalo short week, and 0:07:09.120 --> 0:07:13.040 remember the Jets are the number two rush defense, two 0:07:13.080 --> 0:07:17.560 in rushing yards per carry. I think that I think 0:07:17.640 --> 0:07:20.560 that that the Ravens are not going to be able 0:07:20.560 --> 0:07:22.280 to move the ball up and down the field that 0:07:22.400 --> 0:07:25.520 will as some may think, and this number is inflated. 0:07:25.560 --> 0:07:28.200 I wouldn't really make this number much closer to fourteen 0:07:28.200 --> 0:07:31.840 than seventeen. I think with the questions about his quad, 0:07:31.960 --> 0:07:33.960 I don't think you're gonna see him if the game 0:07:34.040 --> 0:07:37.480 is it is a two touchdown game, where a seventeen 0:07:37.520 --> 0:07:40.120 point game in the in in late in the third quarter, 0:07:40.240 --> 0:07:42.720 you may see hardball pull him out for the fourth quarter. 0:07:42.880 --> 0:07:44.840 I just think there's a lot of reasons here why 0:07:44.840 --> 0:07:46.800 this number is is too high, and I'll make it 0:07:46.880 --> 0:07:50.360 my first best bet Jets first best bet for Mike Phone. 0:07:50.360 --> 0:07:52.720 By the way, my number on guessing lines was Ravens 0:07:52.760 --> 0:07:56.280 minus fourteen on the button. Uh so I made a 0:07:56.320 --> 0:07:59.200 bet before. When the Lamar Jackson news came down, I 0:07:59.200 --> 0:08:02.200 immediately grabbed Jets a plus fifteen, thinking I can either 0:08:02.240 --> 0:08:04.720 get off it if Lamar plays, or it'll be this 0:08:04.760 --> 0:08:07.120 massive middle for me if he ends up not playing 0:08:07.120 --> 0:08:09.560 that I could that I could make IM not so sure. 0:08:09.640 --> 0:08:11.600 I don't like the Jets plus fifteen to be not 0:08:11.640 --> 0:08:13.360 a best bet for me, but that's what I have 0:08:13.440 --> 0:08:16.480 in pocket. Anyway, Todd, any thoughts here tonight. I just 0:08:16.520 --> 0:08:19.480 want to say, historically, something happened here on the Megapod 0:08:19.560 --> 0:08:22.680 this morning that has never happened before, and that is 0:08:23.440 --> 0:08:26.960 Mike Palm actually gave a pick with the correct line 0:08:27.440 --> 0:08:30.480 without having to say Todd and Gil is that the 0:08:30.560 --> 0:08:33.080 right line and getting an extra half a point? No, 0:08:33.240 --> 0:08:36.559 he actually got the seventeen. Didn't have to ask about 0:08:36.600 --> 0:08:39.520 it right, didn't try to chisel or anything. She's just 0:08:39.720 --> 0:08:44.040 gotten correct line. I gotta get a hand. I gotta 0:08:44.040 --> 0:08:46.360 give him a hand for actually coming and being a 0:08:46.400 --> 0:08:50.960 reasonable sports better. Thank you, Mikey. It's only because Gil 0:08:51.000 --> 0:08:53.280 said it touched seventeen. I didn't know. I would have 0:08:53.280 --> 0:08:55.600 had him asked, but Gill gave it away. Oh, I'm 0:08:55.640 --> 0:08:57.400 sure you would have been like he. I'm sure he 0:08:57.400 --> 0:08:59.880 would have been like Jets plus seventeen and a half. 0:09:00.800 --> 0:09:05.959 Uh Okay. I will take as far as this game. 0:09:06.000 --> 0:09:08.040 I don't want any part of it. I don't know. 0:09:08.160 --> 0:09:10.760 Maybe i'll in game it. Who knows what you're gonna 0:09:10.800 --> 0:09:13.199 get in these ridiculously large spreads. I will say that 0:09:13.240 --> 0:09:16.480 you better be up within three late because this has 0:09:16.559 --> 0:09:20.920 backdoor smelling all over it, smelling um. Maybe I'll get 0:09:20.960 --> 0:09:22.880 involved in the total. I don't know. I don't I 0:09:22.880 --> 0:09:24.600 don't have a real good feel in this game at all. 0:09:24.920 --> 0:09:27.280 Ravens nine wins in a row, longest regular season win 0:09:27.320 --> 0:09:29.840 streaking franchise history. They already clinched a playoff berth. Now 0:09:29.840 --> 0:09:32.720 they're playing for seating. They want that number one position 0:09:33.160 --> 0:09:35.160 and home field advantaged throughout the a f C playoffs. 0:09:35.200 --> 0:09:37.360 Right now they are in the number one spot. They've 0:09:37.360 --> 0:09:40.000 held eight straight opponents to twenty points or fewer. That 0:09:40.120 --> 0:09:45.319 also ties the franchise record. Last week, first nine drives, 0:09:46.200 --> 0:09:48.680 they held Buffalo to seven punts of fumble in a 0:09:48.760 --> 0:09:52.760 field goal, So that's not bad Jackson. By the way, 0:09:52.840 --> 0:09:56.960 last six games, twenty one touchdowns, one pick. Is that good? 0:09:57.520 --> 0:09:59.920 And of course, while Baltimore came off the win against Buffalo, 0:10:00.000 --> 0:10:03.080 I touchdown. Jets coming off a game where they beat 0:10:03.120 --> 0:10:05.840 the Dolphins thanks to the refs helping them out at 0:10:05.880 --> 0:10:08.679 the end, a game where ten field goals were kicked, 0:10:08.920 --> 0:10:12.760 seven by Miami's Jason Sanders, but the Jets wanted one 0:10:12.760 --> 0:10:15.640 on a forty four yarder from Sam Kicking ficking as 0:10:15.640 --> 0:10:19.760 time expired. Brady best bet number one. My friend, Hey, 0:10:19.800 --> 0:10:22.640 I want to first say I've realized something here. First 0:10:22.640 --> 0:10:26.480 of all, it's always fun and educational and an honor 0:10:26.520 --> 0:10:28.720 to be a part of the megapod, But this time around, 0:10:29.480 --> 0:10:31.400 I am in the company of the winner of the 0:10:31.440 --> 0:10:35.760 Twitter Parody Account Awards Best Supporting casino guests Mike Palm, 0:10:36.000 --> 0:10:39.200 the runner up for Best Morning Host, Jil Alexander, and 0:10:39.280 --> 0:10:42.720 a nominee for Best Supporting non casino guest Todd Wishnav. 0:10:43.040 --> 0:10:46.079 This is Beast and Royalty here, gentlemen, Mike. Mike takes 0:10:46.120 --> 0:10:48.880 these polls very seriously, don't you, Mike Brady. I'm gonna 0:10:48.920 --> 0:10:51.680 win my second Golden Mike today is Derrick Stevens and 0:10:51.720 --> 0:10:55.000 I are over as best. My guys in the Desert 0:10:55.120 --> 0:11:03.240 side Piece. Oh my goodness. I thought side Pieces was 0:11:03.280 --> 0:11:06.760 like a sexual thing. That's exactly what it is. Taught. Yes, 0:11:07.040 --> 0:11:09.200 I know that it's a joke. I was making a 0:11:09.280 --> 0:11:11.480 joke as well. Thank you, Gil. It sounded like you 0:11:11.480 --> 0:11:14.200 were actually for actual clarification, That's what it sounds like. 0:11:14.400 --> 0:11:17.280 I'm pretty stoked to be uh in the presence of 0:11:17.400 --> 0:11:20.720 you award winning folks. Thank you, Thank you so much. 0:11:21.120 --> 0:11:23.120 Only Mikey can really say that he took the crown 0:11:23.280 --> 0:11:26.080 on these pools. Let's not. Let's not gloss over the 0:11:26.120 --> 0:11:29.160 margin of victory over John Murray, who gets much more 0:11:29.280 --> 0:11:33.360 visa airtime. John Murray is co hosting with Parles on 0:11:33.440 --> 0:11:36.160 Monday and Tuesday. He gets to go on Brent Show 0:11:36.280 --> 0:11:39.120 for half hour on Wednesday. He has his own show 0:11:39.160 --> 0:11:41.560 with j VT and Humans on Sunday night, and I 0:11:41.600 --> 0:11:43.920 can barely get on the freaking network. And I took 0:11:44.000 --> 0:11:47.320 him out in a body bag. Okay, what do you 0:11:47.320 --> 0:11:49.320 what do you think is the most impressive result on that? 0:11:49.360 --> 0:11:51.320 Do you think if it was a parody account for 0:11:51.440 --> 0:11:55.000 I don't know, Mike me, how much percent do you 0:11:55.040 --> 0:11:57.559 think I would get over the other candidates in my category? 0:11:57.720 --> 0:11:59.920 I don't know, but I think that I think Gil, 0:12:00.040 --> 0:12:02.839 that you would have had a real live shot of 0:12:03.240 --> 0:12:07.480 winning that category, except I think your power raiding went 0:12:07.480 --> 0:12:11.880 down with these Wednesday shows. I'll be honest. I think 0:12:11.920 --> 0:12:14.959 Bill could have Bill could have totally. That's hysterical, Mike, 0:12:14.960 --> 0:12:18.200 you just hysterically. UM, I would have. I would have 0:12:18.240 --> 0:12:21.000 thought that Gil could definitely beat the racing car show 0:12:21.040 --> 0:12:24.920 guy for sure. He was I don't believe he was 0:12:24.960 --> 0:12:28.880 mentioned in the poll. Probably could have been him. All right, Brady, 0:12:28.920 --> 0:12:32.560 I'm sorry, We're just we went all right now. I 0:12:32.280 --> 0:12:36.440 I started that. I apologize. My first play. Gil is 0:12:36.480 --> 0:12:38.760 going to be on the Atlanta Falcons getting ten and 0:12:38.800 --> 0:12:42.400 a half or eleven points at San Francisco. Um, this 0:12:42.440 --> 0:12:45.959 is similar to the situation the Texans faced last week. 0:12:46.400 --> 0:12:48.760 They came off of games against the Ravens and the 0:12:48.840 --> 0:12:52.800 Colts and the Patriots with a division opponent in Tennessee 0:12:52.840 --> 0:12:56.959 on deck. The forty Niners are coming off of Green Bay, 0:12:57.240 --> 0:13:00.240 Baltimore and New Orleans, and of course that last one 0:13:00.280 --> 0:13:03.000 was a huge victory over the Saints, just like Houston 0:13:03.600 --> 0:13:06.040 had a huge win in their last game at that 0:13:06.160 --> 0:13:09.720 Trio over New England. And then big division tests on 0:13:09.840 --> 0:13:13.199 deck for the Niners too with the Rams and the Seahawks. 0:13:13.280 --> 0:13:16.400 So just like Denver was a little hole in the 0:13:16.440 --> 0:13:19.240 schedule for the Texans last week, so are the Falcons 0:13:19.280 --> 0:13:23.160 for the Niners. And not only are these two setups 0:13:23.280 --> 0:13:27.920 very similar, but it was also two straight grueling weeks 0:13:27.960 --> 0:13:31.200 against the Ravens and the Saints for the Niners. And 0:13:31.280 --> 0:13:34.440 now to come back home off of that and after 0:13:34.720 --> 0:13:38.120 and have to cover eleven points, I just think it's 0:13:38.160 --> 0:13:41.319 too much to ask. And the Falcons on their side, 0:13:41.320 --> 0:13:43.560 they come into this game having gone three and two 0:13:43.559 --> 0:13:47.280 in their last five and they've outyarded their opponent in 0:13:47.400 --> 0:13:50.720 four out of the last five. I also like you 0:13:50.760 --> 0:13:52.679 have to go back a little ways on this one. 0:13:52.760 --> 0:13:55.760 But I like that these organizations are pretty familiar with 0:13:55.800 --> 0:14:00.000 one another. They were division opponents for over thirty years, 0:14:00.960 --> 0:14:04.600 and more recently you have the Shanahan connection. They've met 0:14:04.600 --> 0:14:07.640 in the playoffs a couple of times. Um. I think 0:14:07.679 --> 0:14:11.080 the fact that they have that close knit history, I 0:14:11.120 --> 0:14:14.160 think that also helps Atlanta. It's kind of like their 0:14:14.360 --> 0:14:19.640 quasi division opponents. Now. I know San Francisco has success 0:14:19.640 --> 0:14:22.880 against non mobile quarterbacks, and certainly Matt Ryan is that. 0:14:23.640 --> 0:14:25.720 But again, I think the number of points is a 0:14:25.800 --> 0:14:28.960 little strong. I made it eight, so I'll gladly take 0:14:29.000 --> 0:14:31.520 it on the other side of a key number like ten. Yeah, 0:14:31.560 --> 0:14:34.080 and uh, but they beat the They beat the Saints 0:14:34.080 --> 0:14:35.640 a couple of weeks ago, so you know they could 0:14:35.800 --> 0:14:37.920 beat a good team. Yeah, we'll give you eleven here 0:14:38.120 --> 0:14:40.760 to Brady. Eleven, I think is the consensus on this now, 0:14:40.800 --> 0:14:43.880 so you get the full eleven on the Falcons. Falcons 0:14:43.920 --> 0:14:46.720 coming off win where they beat the Panthers, they doubled 0:14:46.760 --> 0:14:49.920 them up for sixty one total yards of offense in 0:14:49.960 --> 0:14:52.640 that game. Of course, the Niners the much more more 0:14:52.720 --> 0:14:56.280 key forty six win over the Saints, where they amassed 0:14:56.320 --> 0:14:59.480 five hundred sixty and total yards of offense Niners like 0:14:59.560 --> 0:15:02.200 the rave Ends in the previous example, trying to get 0:15:02.240 --> 0:15:06.360 home field throughout the NFC playoffs in their case eleven 0:15:06.400 --> 0:15:08.720 and two right now. But eleven points is eleven points, 0:15:08.720 --> 0:15:12.040 so you're banking on the Falcons covering that number. Mikey, 0:15:12.080 --> 0:15:17.000 we already have yours. You're on the Jets plus seventeen Yes, yes, correct, alright, 0:15:17.040 --> 0:15:20.080 And Todd, he's the seventeen and a half. Seen it 0:15:20.160 --> 0:15:22.320 might change by the end of the show, Todd, can 0:15:22.360 --> 0:15:24.320 I can I tell people what your best bet is 0:15:24.360 --> 0:15:27.000 gonna be? I can almost guess it. Go ahead, Tampa 0:15:27.040 --> 0:15:31.960 Bay over Gilly Alexander coming up big. That's why they 0:15:32.000 --> 0:15:36.160 call him Gilly. I Tampa Bay over. I believe I 0:15:36.200 --> 0:15:38.160 can get forty five and a half or forty six? 0:15:38.200 --> 0:15:41.560 Which do you? Which do you say, sir? Forty six? Sorry, okay, 0:15:41.640 --> 0:15:46.040 I'll take Tampa Bay over. I don't know if you've 0:15:46.040 --> 0:15:49.040 ever heard me talk about the Tampa Bay Buccaneers before, 0:15:49.560 --> 0:15:54.760 but you've listened to any megapod or any fantastic Wednesdays 0:15:54.760 --> 0:15:57.400 on a numbers game. Even though Mike likes Monday, Tuesday, 0:15:57.440 --> 0:16:01.440 Thursday and Friday better, um, I talk a lot about 0:16:01.480 --> 0:16:06.200 the Tampa Bay Buccaneers being the overbetter's dream team. They're 0:16:06.200 --> 0:16:10.280 the um you know, they're the They're just the best. 0:16:10.520 --> 0:16:13.440 What can I say? They don't play defense, they are 0:16:13.600 --> 0:16:17.360 very explosive offensively, and Jamis can always throw you a 0:16:17.400 --> 0:16:20.400 pick six in for good measure. Last week and and 0:16:20.440 --> 0:16:23.080 you know what, tell the Sharps to go jam it 0:16:23.160 --> 0:16:28.040 up their sharp asses because they bet they betted down 0:16:28.560 --> 0:16:31.120 from like fifty down to forty six and a half 0:16:31.120 --> 0:16:33.520 in the indie game. And I said, are these people 0:16:33.560 --> 0:16:36.840 out of their effing minds? This game is going over, 0:16:36.880 --> 0:16:39.680 and it's going over huge it. I think it almost 0:16:39.680 --> 0:16:42.280 went over in the first half. It was ridiculous. It 0:16:42.360 --> 0:16:45.120 was the same old story. The other team, if they're 0:16:45.160 --> 0:16:47.880 halfway decent, can move it on Tampa. Tampa can move 0:16:47.880 --> 0:16:50.480 it on them. And then you even had a Jamis pixix. 0:16:50.600 --> 0:16:53.280 You had everything you want in a Tampa Bay over 0:16:53.360 --> 0:16:57.080 final score. Now, I know Mr Mike Evans is not out, 0:16:57.520 --> 0:16:59.720 I mean is out for the season, but they still 0:16:59.760 --> 0:17:01.520 have an off weapons, so I'm not worried about that. 0:17:01.760 --> 0:17:04.320 I know Detroit has a backup quarterback, but he's gonna 0:17:04.320 --> 0:17:06.360 be at home, so it's gonna be easier for him 0:17:06.359 --> 0:17:09.239 to move the ball, So I'm not worried. Give me 0:17:09.320 --> 0:17:14.080 the forty six over, and if it ain't broke, fix it. 0:17:14.320 --> 0:17:16.280 The one week I told you not to bet it, 0:17:16.280 --> 0:17:19.760 it went under. So let's go over, baby over forty 0:17:19.840 --> 0:17:22.480 six Tampa Bay, Thank you, Hey Todd. What's the difference 0:17:22.520 --> 0:17:27.040 between jam and jelly? Oh? Boy? Did I tell you 0:17:27.080 --> 0:17:30.160 that one? Gil? No, I've heard this long ago Todd answer. 0:17:30.760 --> 0:17:34.280 You can't jelly it up their sharp passes. Well, well, 0:17:34.640 --> 0:17:41.480 well maybe you can. Tampa Bay winners of Todd the 0:17:41.600 --> 0:17:44.399 arbiter of humor, does not get that. Tampa Bay winners 0:17:44.440 --> 0:17:46.080 of three in a row, four of their last five. 0:17:46.400 --> 0:17:48.280 And you're right. It was the most jamis of all 0:17:48.359 --> 0:17:50.560 jamis games. Last week they were down fourteen where the 0:17:50.560 --> 0:17:53.399 Bucks late in the third quarter they come back storm 0:17:53.440 --> 0:17:56.720 back against the Colts Winston the most jamis of all 0:17:56.840 --> 0:18:00.600 lines thirty three or forty five for four fifty six, 0:18:01.240 --> 0:18:06.440 four touchdowns, three picks, God love it, two total yards 0:18:06.440 --> 0:18:09.119 of offense for the Bucks, a game they won while 0:18:09.160 --> 0:18:13.159 being minus three in turnovers. So Bucks Lions, by the 0:18:13.200 --> 0:18:17.560 way six game losing streak were starts. First game last 0:18:17.560 --> 0:18:19.520 week where they didn't hold a lead against the Vikings, 0:18:19.920 --> 0:18:22.600 but the numbers forty six, Todd's going over. It's the Buccaneers. 0:18:22.640 --> 0:18:24.600 Just a reflex, now, Todd, do you tell everybody what 0:18:24.720 --> 0:18:28.560 my first best bet is gonna be? The Myami Dolphins? 0:18:29.119 --> 0:18:35.480 My mom it dophens mymmon Dolphins plus three and a half. 0:18:35.880 --> 0:18:37.879 That's exactly right. You know what bothers me about that? 0:18:37.920 --> 0:18:40.360 You never go for the high notes on that line though, 0:18:40.520 --> 0:18:42.560 You always chintz out at the end to use your 0:18:42.600 --> 0:18:47.240 expressions because I'm not. I'm not really a talent um musically. 0:18:47.280 --> 0:18:50.480 I'm more of a just a cerebral type of guy. 0:18:50.640 --> 0:18:58.280 Mathematics and charisma, Oh, math and charisma. What can I 0:18:58.320 --> 0:19:02.000 tell you, Mike, He's Ready's right. Charismatics, I believe we 0:19:02.040 --> 0:19:04.080 call that when we put them both together. I think 0:19:04.160 --> 0:19:07.520 also I've proven to be athletically inclined as well. Some 0:19:07.560 --> 0:19:11.200 tennis matches might say something to that effect. Here we go. 0:19:12.040 --> 0:19:14.879 I'm taking the Dolphins every week for guessing lines. For 0:19:14.880 --> 0:19:17.359 those who listen to guessing lines, you know my story 0:19:17.400 --> 0:19:20.720 with the Dolphins ever since that Miami Pittsburgh game, which 0:19:20.760 --> 0:19:24.040 was the farthest off guests in guessing lines history, I 0:19:24.080 --> 0:19:27.400 guessed seven and a half. It ended up being fourteen 0:19:27.480 --> 0:19:30.440 or fourteen and a half in favor of the Steelers Dolphins, 0:19:30.440 --> 0:19:32.560 by the way, proving me right. It's been the case 0:19:32.600 --> 0:19:34.399 with the Dolphins every week, with the exception of one 0:19:34.440 --> 0:19:36.560 game a couple of weeks ago. Every week I have 0:19:36.680 --> 0:19:39.280 to tell him in guessing lines, I make a line 0:19:39.320 --> 0:19:41.760 for what I believe it should be versus what I 0:19:41.920 --> 0:19:45.600 know now. The market will probably make it. And in 0:19:45.600 --> 0:19:48.320 this particular case, I said, this should be a pick 0:19:48.400 --> 0:19:51.280 um to me Miami at the Giants. But knowing what 0:19:51.359 --> 0:19:53.520 I know about the market and how it treats the Dolphins, 0:19:53.680 --> 0:19:56.160 I'll say it's the Giants two and a half or three. 0:19:56.600 --> 0:19:58.600 And Chrissie comes back and he told and he tells me, 0:19:59.040 --> 0:20:01.360 guess what, it's three and a half in some spots, 0:20:01.560 --> 0:20:03.720 and it's three and a half everywhere. Why did the 0:20:03.760 --> 0:20:06.040 Giants get a hook in this? Are you kidding me? 0:20:06.640 --> 0:20:10.000 Auto play the Dolphins with Ryan Fitzpatrick. We've said it 0:20:10.040 --> 0:20:14.960 a thousand times. They're not horrible when Ryan Fitzpatrick is 0:20:14.960 --> 0:20:17.520 the starting quarterback. What have the Giants done? By the way, 0:20:17.560 --> 0:20:20.119 Eli was good for a half last week Monday Night 0:20:20.119 --> 0:20:23.320 against the Eagles and then nothing after that. But the 0:20:23.440 --> 0:20:26.600 Giants shouldn't be three and a hook against I don't know, 0:20:26.640 --> 0:20:30.960 maybe anybody give me the Dolphins, rinse and repeat second verse, 0:20:31.000 --> 0:20:33.720 same as the first Dolphins plus the three and a half, 0:20:33.760 --> 0:20:35.879 Thank you very much. By the way, they should have 0:20:35.880 --> 0:20:38.359 won out right against the Jets last week. Dolphins, my 0:20:38.440 --> 0:20:40.919 first best been so todd and I broken records. But 0:20:40.960 --> 0:20:42.480 it keeps working for us. By the way, did I 0:20:42.480 --> 0:20:44.560 mention I was three and oh finally last week with 0:20:44.600 --> 0:20:47.080 a teaser that actually won. I don't know if I 0:20:47.119 --> 0:20:50.879 mentioned that, Brady your number two. Hey, I gotta mention 0:20:50.960 --> 0:20:53.760 real quick here on the Dolphins, I actually guess the 0:20:53.880 --> 0:20:56.520 same number as you. That week with the Steelers, I 0:20:56.520 --> 0:20:58.600 I guess seven and a half as well. That was 0:20:58.640 --> 0:21:01.680 the line I made, unbelieve, and this week I make Yeah, 0:21:01.720 --> 0:21:04.480 And this week I make the line Giants minus one. 0:21:05.080 --> 0:21:07.919 So I agree with you. I I do have a 0:21:07.960 --> 0:21:11.280