Speaker 1: Check it on Man No Down Man Thursday morning, December twelve, nineteen,
Speaker 1: Reading of the book podcast It's the Megapod for a
Speaker 1: week number fifteen in the National Football League MAN regular
Speaker 1: season winding down. As always, we got a rotating guest
Speaker 1: coming up. But first our staples on my right from
Speaker 1: Circuits Sports, Derek Stephen's conciliary, also the vice president of operations,
Speaker 1: most importantly at Circuits Sports building the Big Shangri La
Speaker 1: Sports book, destined to be open December at the new
Speaker 1: Circuit Casino. It's Michael Palm. Hello, Michael, good morning. We're
Speaker 1: halfway there, as Derek did his press event on Monday,
Speaker 1: just one year out from Circle Wow. On schedule, on schedule,
Speaker 1: on budget, on schedule. When do you expect the contractor
Speaker 1: to be like, we can't get it in December twenty.
Speaker 1: Is that gonna happen? Well, they have. They have a
Speaker 1: lot of incentives not only to get it done on time,
Speaker 1: but incentives to get it done early. So I think
Speaker 1: it's gonna happen. Okay, alright, And on my left, uh,
Speaker 1: the one of the stars I shouldn't say these star,
Speaker 1: but one of the stars of show times. Uh. Four
Speaker 1: Part docuseries, Action Ladies and gentlemen. Everybody's lovable South Point resident.
Speaker 1: It's Todd Wishing. Hello Toddy. Hi, Dr Alexander. How are you.
Speaker 1: I'm doing very well. Um. You know, if you give
Speaker 1: me fourteen weeks of football, I will get you a
Speaker 1: clean sheet. That's what I did last week. Fourteen weeks.
Speaker 1: I promise you I will do it for it. It's
Speaker 1: all it took for me. And our guest today is
Speaker 1: back for the second time this year. He's always the
Speaker 1: leadoff hitter on the megapod. Every year he always does
Speaker 1: our first show. He's always back for another, and Week
Speaker 1: fifteen is his calling. It is Las Vegas Hilton Super
Speaker 1: Contest winner from the San Susi team that year. It's
Speaker 1: Brady Cannon. Hello, Brady, I am good. How are you?
Speaker 1: I'm doing very well. I think I might have asked
Speaker 1: you this last time. Do you like me to say
Speaker 1: twenty eleven anymore? You just like just say former, dude,
Speaker 1: just say former at this point. No, No, I mean
Speaker 1: that that was a fantastic year for me, so I'll
Speaker 1: never let it go. I mean it was. It's starting
Speaker 1: to get longer and longer ago. But hey, you're you
Speaker 1: still got the title. I remember back in the day,
Speaker 1: you know, when you first had me on after that
Speaker 1: contest victory, we were talking about, you know, the money
Speaker 1: is really nice, um, but it's really all about the title.
Speaker 1: And as the years have gone on, that is more
Speaker 1: and more rings true. It's about having that title. They
Speaker 1: can never take it away from you. Are you in
Speaker 1: the rings? Do they have a ring of fame there
Speaker 1: at the Westgate now with the former title holders. I
Speaker 1: don't think they have a ring of fame, but I
Speaker 1: do have a ring. There's a ring ceremony in all right. Yeah,
Speaker 1: they had that, Uh, I think they had that before
Speaker 1: the beginning of last year's contest. They invited all the
Speaker 1: former winners and handed out rings and stuff, so that
Speaker 1: that was very cool. All right. How are you doing
Speaker 1: this year? Uh? Five hundred? Not so good. We were
Speaker 1: actually uh doing pretty well and sir and you know
Speaker 1: had a chance and then uh craft the bed last week.
Speaker 1: So we're done there too. It's onto the mini contest,
Speaker 1: as I say, which begins this week. Yeah, circa I'm
Speaker 1: I guess I'm alive in the final circle quarterly, Michael,
Speaker 1: what is the update on the uh the last of
Speaker 1: the four quarter prizes. Well, remember everyone, this is a
Speaker 1: five week quarter, because there are seventeen weeks in the
Speaker 1: NFL season with buys. We have two entries, and it
Speaker 1: happened to be by the same gentleman that are at
Speaker 1: ten and old. Wow. For him, the good news is
Speaker 1: he's in good shape. But for him, the bad news
Speaker 1: is he's got three weeks to go, not to one
Speaker 1: entry at nine and a half points, and then another
Speaker 1: fourteen at nine overall, you know, overall for the season.
Speaker 1: Our friend the booty blockers UH is still in the
Speaker 1: league at forty nine and a half points. He leads
Speaker 1: m J Tad by one point and Live Odds by
Speaker 1: a point and a half, and then it's another Uh
Speaker 1: point and a half back to the next three. So uh,
Speaker 1: only only three people within actually two and a half
Speaker 1: points in the league. Those three people's lives right now
Speaker 1: are obsessed with this, like they can think of nothing
Speaker 1: else at this time of year. Well, but if your
Speaker 1: name was booty blocker, you might be thinking of other things,
Speaker 1: don't you think? Not? For for at least three weeks
Speaker 1: you're not gonna be speaking about You're not gonna be
Speaker 1: thinking about booty blog. Todd how did you do last week? Crappy?
Speaker 1: I think I think I was either three and two
Speaker 1: or two and three. I think two and three. Three
Speaker 1: and two is not crapy. So I'm three and a
Speaker 1: half back because I went two and three and then
Speaker 1: I went four oh and one last week, So many
Speaker 1: people between me and the two. Tenan knows which again
Speaker 1: he's got to. Tennan knows if he's able to keep
Speaker 1: this up for another couple of weeks, he'll come up
Speaker 1: with the strategy of those two entries to be able
Speaker 1: to ensure himself not maybe not to ensure himself victory,
Speaker 1: but to maximize his chances for winning the quarterly. That's sure.
Speaker 1: The quarterly prize that circle one thousand plus and of
Speaker 1: course the prize to win it all is right in
Speaker 1: the name of the contest, the circumillion. Before we get
Speaker 1: into our best bets boys and our final two questions
Speaker 1: at the end of course, and our teasers of the week,
Speaker 1: we always want to talk about the Thursday night game
Speaker 1: first tonight, not exactly a barn Bird. It's the Jets
Speaker 1: at the Ravens right now as we speak. By the way,
Speaker 1: the Christmas tree is lighting up and seventeens are appearing
Speaker 1: in multiple locations. Uh this was fifteen when the news
Speaker 1: came down from John Harbor that Lamar Jackson earlier in
Speaker 1: the week was day to day with a quad injury
Speaker 1: that he suffered this past weekend. But as it turns out,
Speaker 1: and by the way, it was taken down in many locations,
Speaker 1: the point spread was but now it's back up because
Speaker 1: Lamar said yesterday I'm playing and it's all the way
Speaker 1: to seventeen now. Any thoughts on this game, Brady Thursday night?
Speaker 1: Not exactly a marquee matchup. I made the number sixteen
Speaker 1: and a half originally, and that was on the assumption
Speaker 1: that uh uh Jackson was going to play. I think
Speaker 1: everybody's felt all along that he was going to play. UM,
Speaker 1: but I think it's too many points. I actually played
Speaker 1: the Jets on a teaser um when it was like
Speaker 1: fifteen and a half or something took it all the
Speaker 1: way to twenty one and a half. The Ravens have
Speaker 1: been off a couple of pretty good tests in a
Speaker 1: row against San Francisco and Buffalo, and then they've got
Speaker 1: two division games coming up, so I think this is
Speaker 1: a little bit of a hole in the schedule forum
Speaker 1: off of a short week, I see the Jets stand
Speaker 1: within the number. Mike, here, you scared it all that
Speaker 1: because of that Lamar Jackson injury. Like this could be
Speaker 1: the game where if the Ravens went up a bunch
Speaker 1: that they might just say at some point, all right,
Speaker 1: you've done enough here, Lamar, let's not mess around with
Speaker 1: the quad r G three have at it, and this
Speaker 1: could be the Todd wishnev back door special. I I
Speaker 1: actually want to go. I'm gonna use this as a
Speaker 1: best bet at seventeen. I'm gonna take Let's not forget
Speaker 1: it's not just the last two games, but it's four
Speaker 1: in a row for the Ravens Houston Big Spots, the Rams,
Speaker 1: San Francisco and then traveling to Buffalo short week, and
Speaker 1: remember the Jets are the number two rush defense, two
Speaker 1: in rushing yards per carry. I think that I think
Speaker 1: that that the Ravens are not going to be able
Speaker 1: to move the ball up and down the field that
Speaker 1: will as some may think, and this number is inflated.
Speaker 1: I wouldn't really make this number much closer to fourteen
Speaker 1: than seventeen. I think with the questions about his quad,
Speaker 1: I don't think you're gonna see him if the game
Speaker 1: is it is a two touchdown game, where a seventeen
Speaker 1: point game in the in in late in the third quarter,
Speaker 1: you may see hardball pull him out for the fourth quarter.
Speaker 1: I just think there's a lot of reasons here why
Speaker 1: this number is is too high, and I'll make it
Speaker 1: my first best bet Jets first best bet for Mike Phone.
Speaker 1: By the way, my number on guessing lines was Ravens
Speaker 1: minus fourteen on the button. Uh so I made a
Speaker 1: bet before. When the Lamar Jackson news came down, I
Speaker 1: immediately grabbed Jets a plus fifteen, thinking I can either
Speaker 1: get off it if Lamar plays, or it'll be this
Speaker 1: massive middle for me if he ends up not playing
Speaker 1: that I could that I could make IM not so sure.
Speaker 1: I don't like the Jets plus fifteen to be not
Speaker 1: a best bet for me, but that's what I have
Speaker 1: in pocket. Anyway, Todd, any thoughts here tonight. I just
Speaker 1: want to say, historically, something happened here on the Megapod
Speaker 1: this morning that has never happened before, and that is
Speaker 1: Mike Palm actually gave a pick with the correct line
Speaker 1: without having to say Todd and Gil is that the
Speaker 1: right line and getting an extra half a point? No,
Speaker 1: he actually got the seventeen. Didn't have to ask about
Speaker 1: it right, didn't try to chisel or anything. She's just
Speaker 1: gotten correct line. I gotta get a hand. I gotta
Speaker 1: give him a hand for actually coming and being a
Speaker 1: reasonable sports better. Thank you, Mikey. It's only because Gil
Speaker 1: said it touched seventeen. I didn't know. I would have
Speaker 1: had him asked, but Gill gave it away. Oh, I'm
Speaker 1: sure you would have been like he. I'm sure he
Speaker 1: would have been like Jets plus seventeen and a half.
Speaker 1: Uh Okay. I will take as far as this game.
Speaker 1: I don't want any part of it. I don't know.
Speaker 1: Maybe i'll in game it. Who knows what you're gonna
Speaker 1: get in these ridiculously large spreads. I will say that
Speaker 1: you better be up within three late because this has
Speaker 1: backdoor smelling all over it, smelling um. Maybe I'll get
Speaker 1: involved in the total. I don't know. I don't I
Speaker 1: don't have a real good feel in this game at all.
Speaker 1: Ravens nine wins in a row, longest regular season win
Speaker 1: streaking franchise history. They already clinched a playoff berth. Now
Speaker 1: they're playing for seating. They want that number one position
Speaker 1: and home field advantaged throughout the a f C playoffs.
Speaker 1: Right now they are in the number one spot. They've
Speaker 1: held eight straight opponents to twenty points or fewer. That
Speaker 1: also ties the franchise record. Last week, first nine drives,
Speaker 1: they held Buffalo to seven punts of fumble in a
Speaker 1: field goal, So that's not bad Jackson. By the way,
Speaker 1: last six games, twenty one touchdowns, one pick. Is that good?
Speaker 1: And of course, while Baltimore came off the win against Buffalo,
Speaker 1: I touchdown. Jets coming off a game where they beat
Speaker 1: the Dolphins thanks to the refs helping them out at
Speaker 1: the end, a game where ten field goals were kicked,
Speaker 1: seven by Miami's Jason Sanders, but the Jets wanted one
Speaker 1: on a forty four yarder from Sam Kicking ficking as
Speaker 1: time expired. Brady best bet number one. My friend, Hey,
Speaker 1: I want to first say I've realized something here. First
Speaker 1: of all, it's always fun and educational and an honor
Speaker 1: to be a part of the megapod, But this time around,
Speaker 1: I am in the company of the winner of the
Speaker 1: Twitter Parody Account Awards Best Supporting casino guests Mike Palm,
Speaker 1: the runner up for Best Morning Host, Jil Alexander, and
Speaker 1: a nominee for Best Supporting non casino guest Todd Wishnav.
Speaker 1: This is Beast and Royalty here, gentlemen, Mike. Mike takes
Speaker 1: these polls very seriously, don't you, Mike Brady. I'm gonna
Speaker 1: win my second Golden Mike today is Derrick Stevens and
Speaker 1: I are over as best. My guys in the Desert
Speaker 1: side Piece. Oh my goodness. I thought side Pieces was
Speaker 1: like a sexual thing. That's exactly what it is. Taught. Yes,
Speaker 1: I know that it's a joke. I was making a
Speaker 1: joke as well. Thank you, Gil. It sounded like you
Speaker 1: were actually for actual clarification, That's what it sounds like.
Speaker 1: I'm pretty stoked to be uh in the presence of
Speaker 1: you award winning folks. Thank you, Thank you so much.
Speaker 1: Only Mikey can really say that he took the crown
Speaker 1: on these pools. Let's not. Let's not gloss over the
Speaker 1: margin of victory over John Murray, who gets much more
Speaker 1: visa airtime. John Murray is co hosting with Parles on
Speaker 1: Monday and Tuesday. He gets to go on Brent Show
Speaker 1: for half hour on Wednesday. He has his own show
Speaker 1: with j VT and Humans on Sunday night, and I
Speaker 1: can barely get on the freaking network. And I took
Speaker 1: him out in a body bag. Okay, what do you
Speaker 1: what do you think is the most impressive result on that?
Speaker 1: Do you think if it was a parody account for
Speaker 1: I don't know, Mike me, how much percent do you
Speaker 1: think I would get over the other candidates in my category?
Speaker 1: I don't know, but I think that I think Gil,
Speaker 1: that you would have had a real live shot of
Speaker 1: winning that category, except I think your power raiding went
Speaker 1: down with these Wednesday shows. I'll be honest. I think
Speaker 1: Bill could have Bill could have totally. That's hysterical, Mike,
Speaker 1: you just hysterically. UM, I would have. I would have
Speaker 1: thought that Gil could definitely beat the racing car show
Speaker 1: guy for sure. He was I don't believe he was
Speaker 1: mentioned in the poll. Probably could have been him. All right, Brady,
Speaker 1: I'm sorry, We're just we went all right now. I
Speaker 1: I started that. I apologize. My first play. Gil is
Speaker 1: going to be on the Atlanta Falcons getting ten and
Speaker 1: a half or eleven points at San Francisco. Um, this
Speaker 1: is similar to the situation the Texans faced last week.
Speaker 1: They came off of games against the Ravens and the
Speaker 1: Colts and the Patriots with a division opponent in Tennessee
Speaker 1: on deck. The forty Niners are coming off of Green Bay,
Speaker 1: Baltimore and New Orleans, and of course that last one
Speaker 1: was a huge victory over the Saints, just like Houston
Speaker 1: had a huge win in their last game at that
Speaker 1: Trio over New England. And then big division tests on
Speaker 1: deck for the Niners too with the Rams and the Seahawks.
Speaker 1: So just like Denver was a little hole in the
Speaker 1: schedule for the Texans last week, so are the Falcons
Speaker 1: for the Niners. And not only are these two setups
Speaker 1: very similar, but it was also two straight grueling weeks
Speaker 1: against the Ravens and the Saints for the Niners. And
Speaker 1: now to come back home off of that and after
Speaker 1: and have to cover eleven points, I just think it's
Speaker 1: too much to ask. And the Falcons on their side,
Speaker 1: they come into this game having gone three and two
Speaker 1: in their last five and they've outyarded their opponent in
Speaker 1: four out of the last five. I also like you
Speaker 1: have to go back a little ways on this one.
Speaker 1: But I like that these organizations are pretty familiar with
Speaker 1: one another. They were division opponents for over thirty years,
Speaker 1: and more recently you have the Shanahan connection. They've met
Speaker 1: in the playoffs a couple of times. Um. I think
Speaker 1: the fact that they have that close knit history, I
Speaker 1: think that also helps Atlanta. It's kind of like their
Speaker 1: quasi division opponents. Now. I know San Francisco has success
Speaker 1: against non mobile quarterbacks, and certainly Matt Ryan is that.
Speaker 1: But again, I think the number of points is a
Speaker 1: little strong. I made it eight, so I'll gladly take
Speaker 1: it on the other side of a key number like ten. Yeah,
Speaker 1: and uh, but they beat the They beat the Saints
Speaker 1: a couple of weeks ago, so you know they could
Speaker 1: beat a good team. Yeah, we'll give you eleven here
Speaker 1: to Brady. Eleven, I think is the consensus on this now,
Speaker 1: so you get the full eleven on the Falcons. Falcons
Speaker 1: coming off win where they beat the Panthers, they doubled
Speaker 1: them up for sixty one total yards of offense in
Speaker 1: that game. Of course, the Niners the much more more
Speaker 1: key forty six win over the Saints, where they amassed
Speaker 1: five hundred sixty and total yards of offense Niners like
Speaker 1: the rave Ends in the previous example, trying to get
Speaker 1: home field throughout the NFC playoffs in their case eleven
Speaker 1: and two right now. But eleven points is eleven points,
Speaker 1: so you're banking on the Falcons covering that number. Mikey,
Speaker 1: we already have yours. You're on the Jets plus seventeen Yes, yes, correct, alright,
Speaker 1: And Todd, he's the seventeen and a half. Seen it
Speaker 1: might change by the end of the show, Todd, can
Speaker 1: I can I tell people what your best bet is
Speaker 1: gonna be? I can almost guess it. Go ahead, Tampa
Speaker 1: Bay over Gilly Alexander coming up big. That's why they
Speaker 1: call him Gilly. I Tampa Bay over. I believe I
Speaker 1: can get forty five and a half or forty six?
Speaker 1: Which do you? Which do you say, sir? Forty six? Sorry, okay,
Speaker 1: I'll take Tampa Bay over. I don't know if you've
Speaker 1: ever heard me talk about the Tampa Bay Buccaneers before,
Speaker 1: but you've listened to any megapod or any fantastic Wednesdays
Speaker 1: on a numbers game. Even though Mike likes Monday, Tuesday,
Speaker 1: Thursday and Friday better, um, I talk a lot about
Speaker 1: the Tampa Bay Buccaneers being the overbetter's dream team. They're
Speaker 1: the um you know, they're the They're just the best.
Speaker 1: What can I say? They don't play defense, they are
Speaker 1: very explosive offensively, and Jamis can always throw you a
Speaker 1: pick six in for good measure. Last week and and
Speaker 1: you know what, tell the Sharps to go jam it
Speaker 1: up their sharp asses because they bet they betted down
Speaker 1: from like fifty down to forty six and a half
Speaker 1: in the indie game. And I said, are these people
Speaker 1: out of their effing minds? This game is going over,
Speaker 1: and it's going over huge it. I think it almost
Speaker 1: went over in the first half. It was ridiculous. It
Speaker 1: was the same old story. The other team, if they're
Speaker 1: halfway decent, can move it on Tampa. Tampa can move
Speaker 1: it on them. And then you even had a Jamis pixix.
Speaker 1: You had everything you want in a Tampa Bay over
Speaker 1: final score. Now, I know Mr Mike Evans is not out,
Speaker 1: I mean is out for the season, but they still
Speaker 1: have an off weapons, so I'm not worried about that.
Speaker 1: I know Detroit has a backup quarterback, but he's gonna
Speaker 1: be at home, so it's gonna be easier for him
Speaker 1: to move the ball, So I'm not worried. Give me
Speaker 1: the forty six over, and if it ain't broke, fix it.
Speaker 1: The one week I told you not to bet it,
Speaker 1: it went under. So let's go over, baby over forty
Speaker 1: six Tampa Bay, Thank you, Hey Todd. What's the difference
Speaker 1: between jam and jelly? Oh? Boy? Did I tell you
Speaker 1: that one? Gil? No, I've heard this long ago Todd answer.
Speaker 1: You can't jelly it up their sharp passes. Well, well,
Speaker 1: well maybe you can. Tampa Bay winners of Todd the
Speaker 1: arbiter of humor, does not get that. Tampa Bay winners
Speaker 1: of three in a row, four of their last five.
Speaker 1: And you're right. It was the most jamis of all
Speaker 1: jamis games. Last week they were down fourteen where the
Speaker 1: Bucks late in the third quarter they come back storm
Speaker 1: back against the Colts Winston the most jamis of all
Speaker 1: lines thirty three or forty five for four fifty six,
Speaker 1: four touchdowns, three picks, God love it, two total yards
Speaker 1: of offense for the Bucks, a game they won while
Speaker 1: being minus three in turnovers. So Bucks Lions, by the
Speaker 1: way six game losing streak were starts. First game last
Speaker 1: week where they didn't hold a lead against the Vikings,
Speaker 1: but the numbers forty six, Todd's going over. It's the Buccaneers.
Speaker 1: Just a reflex, now, Todd, do you tell everybody what
Speaker 1: my first best bet is gonna be? The Myami Dolphins?
Speaker 1: My mom it dophens mymmon Dolphins plus three and a half.
Speaker 1: That's exactly right. You know what bothers me about that?
Speaker 1: You never go for the high notes on that line though,
Speaker 1: You always chintz out at the end to use your
Speaker 1: expressions because I'm not. I'm not really a talent um musically.
Speaker 1: I'm more of a just a cerebral type of guy.
Speaker 1: Mathematics and charisma, Oh, math and charisma. What can I
Speaker 1: tell you, Mike, He's Ready's right. Charismatics, I believe we
Speaker 1: call that when we put them both together. I think
Speaker 1: also I've proven to be athletically inclined as well. Some
Speaker 1: tennis matches might say something to that effect. Here we go.
Speaker 1: I'm taking the Dolphins every week for guessing lines. For
Speaker 1: those who listen to guessing lines, you know my story
Speaker 1: with the Dolphins ever since that Miami Pittsburgh game, which
Speaker 1: was the farthest off guests in guessing lines history, I
Speaker 1: guessed seven and a half. It ended up being fourteen
Speaker 1: or fourteen and a half in favor of the Steelers Dolphins,
Speaker 1: by the way, proving me right. It's been the case
Speaker 1: with the Dolphins every week, with the exception of one
Speaker 1: game a couple of weeks ago. Every week I have
Speaker 1: to tell him in guessing lines, I make a line
Speaker 1: for what I believe it should be versus what I
Speaker 1: know now. The market will probably make it. And in
Speaker 1: this particular case, I said, this should be a pick
Speaker 1: um to me Miami at the Giants. But knowing what
Speaker 1: I know about the market and how it treats the Dolphins,
Speaker 1: I'll say it's the Giants two and a half or three.
Speaker 1: And Chrissie comes back and he told and he tells me,
Speaker 1: guess what, it's three and a half in some spots,
Speaker 1: and it's three and a half everywhere. Why did the
Speaker 1: Giants get a hook in this? Are you kidding me?
Speaker 1: Auto play the Dolphins with Ryan Fitzpatrick. We've said it
Speaker 1: a thousand times. They're not horrible when Ryan Fitzpatrick is
Speaker 1: the starting quarterback. What have the Giants done? By the way,
Speaker 1: Eli was good for a half last week Monday Night
Speaker 1: against the Eagles and then nothing after that. But the
Speaker 1: Giants shouldn't be three and a hook against I don't know,
Speaker 1: maybe anybody give me the Dolphins, rinse and repeat second verse,
Speaker 1: same as the first Dolphins plus the three and a half,
Speaker 1: Thank you very much. By the way, they should have
Speaker 1: won out right against the Jets last week. Dolphins, my
Speaker 1: first best been so todd and I broken records. But
Speaker 1: it keeps working for us. By the way, did I
Speaker 1: mention I was three and oh finally last week with
Speaker 1: a teaser that actually won. I don't know if I
Speaker 1: mentioned that, Brady your number two. Hey, I gotta mention
Speaker 1: real quick here on the Dolphins, I actually guess the
Speaker 1: same number as you. That week with the Steelers, I
Speaker 1: I guess seven and a half as well. That was
Speaker 1: the line I made, unbelieve, and this week I make Yeah,
Speaker 1: And this week I make the line Giants minus one.
Speaker 1: So I agree with you. I I do have a
Speaker 1: play on the Dolphins. My best bet though, I am
Speaker 1: going with the Denver Broncos getting nine or nine and
Speaker 1: a half and it was Atlanta. Yeah, didn't you want
Speaker 1: my second second one? Oh? He's calling it second best.
Speaker 1: I didn't understand. Sorry, Todd, is this your first podcast
Speaker 1: with us? No? I didn't hear him say second best bet?
Speaker 1: My fault. Sorry, Brady, I apologize. Well, you did ask
Speaker 1: me for my second correct host Gilt, Yes I did, Yes,
Speaker 1: I did. Todd doesn't listen. He just thinks about the
Speaker 1: next thing he's going to say. I am going with
Speaker 1: the Denver Broncos getting nine or nine and a half
Speaker 1: of Kansas City and uh, the last two. The last
Speaker 1: time these two teams met, the Chiefs one in Denver
Speaker 1: thirty to six. And I believe that that, plus the
Speaker 1: way Kansas City comes into this game, has inflated the
Speaker 1: point spread. The Chiefs have won three games in a row,
Speaker 1: they hammer of the Raiders and they one at Foxborough,
Speaker 1: which is a very big deal. And in that game,
Speaker 1: the general betting public was all over Kansas City. So
Speaker 1: I think it's possible that the books have bumped this
Speaker 1: up a little bit because they know that the masses
Speaker 1: are in love with Kansas City again. Now the Broncos,
Speaker 1: they have won two in a row, they've covered three
Speaker 1: out of their last four. I like the rushing attack
Speaker 1: of Royce Freeman and Philip Lindsay and they will be
Speaker 1: facing the twenty eight ranked rushing defense in the league.
Speaker 1: And I gotta tell you, guys, I like Drew Lock
Speaker 1: what I've seen out of this guy. I think he
Speaker 1: has really looked sharp and he's made some very big
Speaker 1: boy NFL throws in his two games. Um, the Chiefs
Speaker 1: past defense is solid, but if Denver can establish success
Speaker 1: on the ground, I think Locks should be able to
Speaker 1: make a few throws. Now, obviously this is also a
Speaker 1: division game, uh, Denver. You know, if you go back
Speaker 1: and look through the alls of point spread history, they
Speaker 1: haven't been catching this uh, this many points against the
Speaker 1: Chiefs in this series in over forty years, and they've
Speaker 1: never been a double digit underdog to Kansas City. Uh,
Speaker 1: it's very difficult to sweep the season series against the
Speaker 1: division opponent. So the Broncos, of course, they're looking to
Speaker 1: avenge that loss they took to Kansas City earlier this
Speaker 1: season at home. Mind you, Um, I made this number
Speaker 1: seven and it opened up ten and a half and
Speaker 1: there were even some elevens. And let's also remember the
Speaker 1: Chiefs have lost three out of their last four home games,
Speaker 1: so maybe there's too much home field advantage being built
Speaker 1: into this line here as well. I don't know, but
Speaker 1: I just think it's too many points to give the Broncos.
Speaker 1: Nine and a half is what you get. The Broncos
Speaker 1: at Broncos thirty one points in the first half last week.
Speaker 1: They hadn't had a game with twenty five all year
Speaker 1: thirty one in the first half. Drew Lock twenty two
Speaker 1: of twenty seven for three oh nine three touchdowns pick
Speaker 1: He was sacked once. Kansas City did clinch their fourth
Speaker 1: straight a f C West title, nine plus wins now
Speaker 1: in all seven seasons under Andy Reid for the Chiefs.
Speaker 1: Brady on the Broncos and Todd you started off wishing
Speaker 1: to have Wednesday grievances by saying, maybe we owe Vic
Speaker 1: Fangio and apology. Huh. Yes. I was shocked that Mr
Speaker 1: vic Flaccio Fangio was actually getting his team in order
Speaker 1: after burning all my money early in the season, and
Speaker 1: he's been much better. I mean, you know, they almost
Speaker 1: had Minnesota beat on the road and then they thrashed
Speaker 1: uh Houston on the road. Now, Drew Lock, by the way,
Speaker 1: he in college, he reminded me of Jeff George, an
Speaker 1: amazing talent at arm not exactly a talent at head,
Speaker 1: So I'll have to, you know, be proven wrong before
Speaker 1: I get too excited about Drew lock. But I have
Speaker 1: to agree with with Brady's pick because you know that
Speaker 1: can't be defense aimed special anyways, not exactly a talented head.
Speaker 1: Mike number two. I agree with you, Gil, Uh, this
Speaker 1: is actually best bet, but I had to give the
Speaker 1: Jets first because of the chronology of the show. Dolphins
Speaker 1: plus three and a half. I've actually taken them plus
Speaker 1: one sixty five on the money line here. Uh, let's
Speaker 1: be honest. You know, if Todd Wish Division two Basketball
Speaker 1: never was was covering Darius Slayton Monday Night instead of
Speaker 1: Ronald Darby. I think the Giants come away with six
Speaker 1: points max in that game. All Right, we are all
Speaker 1: in love with the ELI storyline, and maybe that affects
Speaker 1: this point spread. The Dolphins are a better team than
Speaker 1: the Giants. They're better coach, they have a better quarterback,
Speaker 1: and they've been outside of one game, they've been at
Speaker 1: worst a mediocre NFL team the last seven weeks. I'll
Speaker 1: take three and a half all day. Is that gonna
Speaker 1: be three and a half? In circle? You think you
Speaker 1: think they're gonna Shade. Well, I don't know. It doesn't
Speaker 1: seem to be coming off this number, so I don't
Speaker 1: think we want to try to avoid the flat threes
Speaker 1: because of all the pushes. So I think they'll stay
Speaker 1: with three and a half. Yeah, that's gonna I think
Speaker 1: that's gonna be the number one pick. That would be
Speaker 1: I guess I have Mikey down. Is Miami plus four? Yes? Yes,
Speaker 1: my death for whatever number you want to concoct, Todd,
Speaker 1: what's your number two? Man? Well, I was gonna go
Speaker 1: Miami too. I'm getting a little nervous that everybody likes
Speaker 1: Miami so much, so I'll give you my my third
Speaker 1: pick before my second pick, which was gonna be Miami.
Speaker 1: Um wait wait, so is Miami your second pick? No,
Speaker 1: I'm deciding whether I want to make it my third
Speaker 1: pick now, and I have another ten minutes to decide.
Speaker 1: So calm down. I won't take the Bears. I'll be
Speaker 1: sure to relax. Yes, Chicago Bears, you've heard of this.
Speaker 1: You're Chicago Bears with Mitchell Trabisky at the quarterback position
Speaker 1: plus the four. Now I know people are staying to
Speaker 1: themselves right now, Are you crazy? Mitchell Trabisky are you
Speaker 1: out of your mind. Uh maybe maybe I am out
Speaker 1: of my mind, but that's probably for other reasons. The
Speaker 1: Mitchell Tropis Ski has sort of and I don't want
Speaker 1: to go too crazy here, but has sort of gone
Speaker 1: back to the road of last year a little bit,
Speaker 1: using his legs a little more somehow, actually doing something
Speaker 1: good offensively every once in a while, and not making
Speaker 1: too many mistakes. The Green Bay Packers, on the other hand,
Speaker 1: have not shown me anything special for five weeks. They
Speaker 1: got blown out in San Diego or l A or
Speaker 1: wherever those games are played. They got blown out over there.
Speaker 1: They played a couple of other teams. That one team
Speaker 1: that they beat the big deal. So they beat the Giants,
Speaker 1: Give me a break that that doesn't impress me at all.
Speaker 1: And there are other win was against Clem Haskins where
Speaker 1: they barely were able to squeak out a win in
Speaker 1: that one. So give me a break. What's wrong with
Speaker 1: the Green Bay Packers don't look like a healthy you
Speaker 1: know juggernaut. Oh they got blown out against San Francisco.
Speaker 1: They barely beat Caroline in a in a in a
Speaker 1: in a winter storm. I mean agreement to Packers don't
Speaker 1: impress me. It's a division game, as Brady has said,
Speaker 1: and he is right on. It's a division game. That's
Speaker 1: another reason. And I'm getting four points in an NFL
Speaker 1: football game if Mitchell Robinski doesn't blow up as he
Speaker 1: is so wont to do. Often times, I think somehow
Speaker 1: I squeak out to win plus four. Aaron Jones last
Speaker 1: week sixteen carries one thirty four to touchdown six catches
Speaker 1: for fifty eight against Dwayne Haskins Jr. And the Redskins.
Speaker 1: Todd refuses to call him Dayne Haskins. He calls him
Speaker 1: Clem Haskins, former Washington Bullet, former Golden Gophers head coach
Speaker 1: in the basketball arena um and Matt Lafleur first Packers
Speaker 1: coach ever to win ten plus games in the first season.
Speaker 1: Not Vince Lombardi, not Bart Star, not Forest greg not
Speaker 1: Mike McCarthy. Matt Lafleur formerly on the staffs four teen
Speaker 1: game schedule, Right, that is correct in the case of
Speaker 1: the Lombardies in the Forest Gregg's and the bart Stars
Speaker 1: of the world. Yes, that would be true. That is
Speaker 1: a very good point, young Todd. My number two pick
Speaker 1: would be, you know, it's a low total in that
Speaker 1: Green Bay game. It's uh, it's fourty and a half.
Speaker 1: But there's one game that's lower than that. In fact,
Speaker 1: it's the lowest total in any NFL game this season,
Speaker 1: Buffalo in Pittsburgh Sunday Night Football. And I'm not playing
Speaker 1: the total. I'm playing the Buffalo Bills catching one and
Speaker 1: a half. Buffalo Bills catching one and a half against
Speaker 1: the Pittsburgh Steelers. This is more of a fate of
Speaker 1: the Steelers than it is a backing of the Bills.
Speaker 1: Quite frankly, I like the Bills. Um. They did allow
Speaker 1: a season high six sacks to the Ravens last week,
Speaker 1: when they had only allowed four in the previous four games.
Speaker 1: But this is about Pittsburgh to me. Pittsburgh, who give
Speaker 1: Mike Tomlin all the credit in the world, started one
Speaker 1: and four. They've won seven of eight since. By the way,
Speaker 1: we just talked about Matt lafloor Stad eight plus wins
Speaker 1: in all thirteen seasons under Mike Tomlin. That's impressive, dude, Like,
Speaker 1: I don't I don't think people think of Mike Tomlin
Speaker 1: that way. Yes, he's had big bend the whole way,
Speaker 1: and he's had stars like Levian Bell, and Antonio Brown.
Speaker 1: This is his best job ever. Eight wins already for
Speaker 1: the Steelers, they're eight and five now. But here's the deal.
Speaker 1: They have won two of their last three games on
Speaker 1: basically one big James Washington play, and both of them
Speaker 1: were kind of flukey in both of those games. And
Speaker 1: then last week against the Cardinals they went in large
Speaker 1: part because Deante Johnson returns a punt to the house.
Speaker 1: By the way, he was good uh as a pass
Speaker 1: catcher two six or sixty from Duck Hodges for a touchdown.
Speaker 1: I think this Buffalo Bills defense if they can't stop
Speaker 1: Duck Hodges and the Pittsburgh Steelers, who have really no
Speaker 1: reliable don't. Here's the deal. The Steelers are getting James
Speaker 1: Conner and ju Ju back, so Duck will have them
Speaker 1: at his disposal. However, Duck was what sixteen of nineteen
Speaker 1: last week in the game against the Cardinals, the Bills
Speaker 1: defense rears its head. The totals thirty six. This is
Speaker 1: gonna be a fun defensive struggle to watch. But give
Speaker 1: me the Bills at Pittsburgh on Sunday night catching the
Speaker 1: one and a half. The Bills and Steelers both in
Speaker 1: playoff position, in right now, but the Steelers right now
Speaker 1: teetering there in the number six spot. So uh, the
Speaker 1: proverbial must win situation, not really it must win, but
Speaker 1: big game for both ball clubs. Buffalo chasing the Patriots
Speaker 1: still in the a f C East. Just one back there,
Speaker 1: Buffalo pick number two US. The injurs don't like you
Speaker 1: picking against the Pittsburgh Stolers because we got a great
Speaker 1: coach and we got a quarterback from that quarterback machine
Speaker 1: Sandford Dot Hodges. That's where all your great quarterbacks come from, Sandford.
Speaker 1: Don't you know anything, gil Go Stollers As a Steelers fan,
Speaker 1: how do you feel about that game? I'm worried. Okay,
Speaker 1: that's all I needed. Brady pick number three the Monday
Speaker 1: Night Er. I like the Indianapolis Colts getting nine points
Speaker 1: at New Orleans against the Saints. The natural reaction here,
Speaker 1: guys might be to think that the Saints will bounce
Speaker 1: back after that tough loss to San Francisco last week.
Speaker 1: But I actually think that loss was so tough on
Speaker 1: the Saints, you know, to have lost that back and
Speaker 1: forth shootout game in the final seconds, I think it
Speaker 1: was more than tough. I think that was brutal, and
Speaker 1: to ask them to get back up off the mat
Speaker 1: and lay nearly double digits under the right Monday night lights,
Speaker 1: I think that is a very tall task. And look
Speaker 1: at this trend here. New Orleans is seven and seventeen
Speaker 1: against the spread as a home favorite coming off of
Speaker 1: a home loss. Okay, and they are oh and seven
Speaker 1: against the spread when laying more than a touchdown in
Speaker 1: that same scenario. So that speaks exactly to what I'm
Speaker 1: saying here. When you suffer a heartbreaking loss at home,
Speaker 1: I think it's even tougher to come back at home
Speaker 1: again and have to rise above and beyond the occasion,
Speaker 1: in other words, to have to cover a very large spread.
Speaker 1: I think it would be better for the Saints that
Speaker 1: that loss had been suffered on the road, or if
Speaker 1: they were getting out on the road this week. I
Speaker 1: think that would be more likely of a bounce back
Speaker 1: spot then. But this having all gone down in their
Speaker 1: own building, I think it's tough for them to get
Speaker 1: back up for this game. Now. Both teams run and
Speaker 1: defend the ball very well. Um, the Saints are clearly
Speaker 1: the better passing offense, but defending the past is the
Speaker 1: strength of the Colts defense, Uh, Indianapolis. They blew that
Speaker 1: game last week in Tampa Bay. But I think getting
Speaker 1: the national spotlight will be something that will be a
Speaker 1: boost for them. I think they'll be fired up for
Speaker 1: this game. And let's remember the last time we saw
Speaker 1: the Colts on prime time they upset the Chiefs, winning
Speaker 1: outright as eleven point dogs and guys. That was off
Speaker 1: of a loss too. I made this line seven. It's
Speaker 1: now nine. I think it might close at seven or
Speaker 1: seven and a half. I am seeing some eight and
Speaker 1: a half now. The Super Contest I know, came out
Speaker 1: with eight for their static line. I think the Colts
Speaker 1: at eight and a half are better. Is a good play.
Speaker 1: I made it eight and a half. It is nine.
Speaker 1: Nine is the number you will get, sir, h You'll
Speaker 1: get the Colts plus nine here. Uh, Saints coming off
Speaker 1: that forty to forty six heartbreaker for them. They've scored
Speaker 1: thirty plus points in eight different games this season. That's
Speaker 1: the most in the NFL. They had four hundred sixty
Speaker 1: five total yards of offense and defeat. But they couldn't
Speaker 1: double cover George Kittle apparently, um that was their big mistake,
Speaker 1: and Kittle in one of the big plays of the
Speaker 1: NFL season while his face mask was getting tugged at
Speaker 1: all the way downfield converts a fourth and two and
Speaker 1: puts the Niners in field goal position, and the Niners
Speaker 1: end up kicking the game winner and win it. Robbie Gould, Niners,
Speaker 1: you'll get the full nine there, young Brady for the Colts,
Speaker 1: who are now two games out behind both the Titans
Speaker 1: and the Texans in the a f C South. Six
Speaker 1: and seven are the Colts, Mikey number three. All right,
Speaker 1: let me give you a couple of pieces of information
Speaker 1: here please uh it's circuit numbers are out, okay, Dolphins
Speaker 1: are getting three and a half. Love it, thank you,
Speaker 1: you love it. Also, the Colts are getting eight and
Speaker 1: a half, not eight it like the west Gate and
Speaker 1: the Bears Todd are getting four and a half in
Speaker 1: the concast. So you'll like that. Thank you for that.
Speaker 1: On the spot up my final best bet and I
Speaker 1: bet this plus one and a half. Sunday, it's gone
Speaker 1: the other way. I'm gonna play against the Cowboys and
Speaker 1: take the Los Angeles Rayams laying one and a half.
Speaker 1: I think this. You know, none of these games mean
Speaker 1: anything for Dallas if you look at this race, because
Speaker 1: they're they're they're four no in conference. They just have
Speaker 1: to beat Philadelphia and Washington the last two weeks, which
Speaker 1: I'm not convinced they're gonna do. But uh, this team
Speaker 1: is totally quit. That effort on Thursday night in Chicago
Speaker 1: was amongst the worst I've seen. The tackling. They know
Speaker 1: this coach is a lane duck. He's gone. Jerry won't
Speaker 1: make the change till after the season, and he will
Speaker 1: because they're not going anywhere. If they do make the playoffs,
Speaker 1: they're gonna get beat by Seattle or San Francisco in
Speaker 1: the first round. Hosting a game, I just I'm very
Speaker 1: impressed at the bounce. If you looked at that game,
Speaker 1: you know, we all, we all kicked dirt on mcvain
Speaker 1: and the Rams after Baltimore winning there and scored touchdowns
Speaker 1: their first seven drives. But they really bounced back nicely,
Speaker 1: really shutting down Kyler Murray and Arizona giving them no
Speaker 1: breath at all in that game and then that and
Speaker 1: really controlling Russell Wilson. I think their d line has
Speaker 1: really played well. They put a lot of pressure on
Speaker 1: Will since Seattle really wasn't able to run the ball
Speaker 1: as they had been so so well against the Eagles
Speaker 1: and and against Minnesota on Monday night. I think you're
Speaker 1: getting the better team in the better mental spot. They
Speaker 1: have to continue to win to have a shot. And hey, look,
Speaker 1: the Vikings are going on the road to play the Chargers,
Speaker 1: and we know Kirk Cousins struggles on the road. So
Speaker 1: Rams still alive for a playoff spot. I think they
Speaker 1: win this game, and they win it rather convincingly. Yeah,
Speaker 1: Rams are one game behind those Vikings for the NFC's
Speaker 1: sixth playoff position. You're right about the Cowboys. I had
Speaker 1: him against the Bears. Not an official pick, but I
Speaker 1: played them. And you know, Aaron Shots was on a
Speaker 1: numbers game at Easton on the show this week, began
Speaker 1: analytics guy obviously from Football Outsiders, and he was like, yeah,
Speaker 1: all the numbers point to the Cowboys and all of
Speaker 1: these games, but they just don't get it done. And
Speaker 1: they were awful that night. Rams, and they win against
Speaker 1: the Seahawks on Sunday night. Fo total yards of offense?
Speaker 1: What do you make of a Todd Girley thing? Though? Mike, Like,
Speaker 1: do you think we've ever gotten a real explanation on this,
Speaker 1: Like all of a sudden, now girls back in everything
Speaker 1: that he always was. What happened, Well, I don't know.
Speaker 1: Mcvais says, you know, I messed it up. I didn't
Speaker 1: use girly, I didn't establish girly, and then golf comes on.
Speaker 1: We're a different tame when we run girly. First. Well,
Speaker 1: I mean I thought he was injured, that's why they
Speaker 1: weren't trying to feature five times the game. But apparently
Speaker 1: he's been healthy all along. The weirdest thing, one of
Speaker 1: the one of the least like, it's just not explained.
Speaker 1: I don't think we ever got an explanation on it.
Speaker 1: Todd number three. I just like to give a little
Speaker 1: shout out to people who use what I call the
Speaker 1: gohou Losh model because that the Dallas Cowboys. I believe
Speaker 1: people keep saying that Dallas Cowboys have the number one
Speaker 1: yards per play in the NFL. Is that correct? Yes?
Speaker 1: For the season? That is correct? Yeah? Okay, So so folks,
Speaker 1: if you're just doing a numbers model with no googlesh
Speaker 1: of watching games and and putting in a little eye test,
Speaker 1: you're not going to be right. You better mix in
Speaker 1: some google losh and it cannot be just numbers based.
Speaker 1: I love the numbers. I'm not against the modeling, but
Speaker 1: you cannot be only numbers based and modeling. This is
Speaker 1: a perfect example. The Patriots have been a perfect example
Speaker 1: over the years. Do not look good at analytics wise,
Speaker 1: but cover spread after spread after spread. The Cowboys are
Speaker 1: the opposite. They look great on the analytics, but of
Speaker 1: course they cannot cover a damn game. Have you ever
Speaker 1: eaten a goolash for real? Yes, I've had googlosh. I
Speaker 1: believe googlesh is like a stew right. I believe. I
Speaker 1: was gonna ask you what exactly what does one find
Speaker 1: in a goulash? Well, you've got some analytics numbers and
Speaker 1: a googlesh, and then you've also got some watching games
Speaker 1: and a googlash. You mix it all up with some
Speaker 1: tomato sauce. You got yourself a still. I thought it
Speaker 1: was a Russian prison. Oh yeah, it could be that too.
Speaker 1: My third pick love I love Gorky Park. That's the
Speaker 1: difference between having Mike Palm on the show and and
Speaker 1: just a mere mortal Mike can go with anything. Well,
Speaker 1: I'm just I'm just making a point that art and
Speaker 1: science have to be mix together in sports betting because
Speaker 1: it's not purely a numbers game, even though the show
Speaker 1: is called a numbers game. Thank you. Um Now, I
Speaker 1: would like to make my third pick. I unfortunately like
Speaker 1: the Miami Dolphins too, which means we're all going down
Speaker 1: in a a in a heap. Uh yeah, it's going
Speaker 1: to be a horrible mess. But I have to take
Speaker 1: the Dolphins. I mean we've gone ad nauseum over this.
Speaker 1: It's a different team with Mr Fitzpatrick. I love the
Speaker 1: coach doing the little fancy trick play to get the
Speaker 1: touchdown the other day. You know, we've talked enough about this.
Speaker 1: Just give me Miami plus three and a half against
Speaker 1: the most floundering of floundering organizations. Then New York g Men,
Speaker 1: and hopefully I can get a w Yeah. Pat Shermer
Speaker 1: on his last couple of weeks, here's a Giant's coach,
Speaker 1: Matt Rule from Baylor, rumored to UH to have that
Speaker 1: job if he wants it in New York. I hate
Speaker 1: my third pick. Can I just preface it by saying
Speaker 1: I hate my third pick, but yet it has to
Speaker 1: be my pick. I have a season long thing that
Speaker 1: I do off the grids sort of like a stock thing.
Speaker 1: If people have listened to this show long enough, they
Speaker 1: know my secret off the grid stock market thing that
Speaker 1: I'm involved in with football teams, and I'm I'm a
Speaker 1: big seller of the Oakland Raiders. However, I have to
Speaker 1: play Oakland here giving six and a half against Jacksonville.
Speaker 1: This is the final game at the Oakland Alameda County Colisseum.
Speaker 1: You've heard that before. We have We heard that before
Speaker 1: last year. That's right, we have heard it before. But this,
Speaker 1: for real is the last game at the Oakland Alameda
Speaker 1: County Coliseum. Because if you've driven on the freeway here
Speaker 1: in Las Vegas, you see that that stadium will absolutely
Speaker 1: be ready. But the reason that I'm playing the Raiders
Speaker 1: here is because it's it's south of seven points, it's
Speaker 1: just six and a half, and it's against Jacksonville. And
Speaker 1: as bad as the Raiders have played, the Jacksonville Jaguars
Speaker 1: have five straight losses by seventeen plus points. Five straight
Speaker 1: losses by seventeen plus points. That ties the longest streak
Speaker 1: in franchise history. Of that nine plus losses, by the
Speaker 1: way for the Jaguars franchise for the eighth time in
Speaker 1: nine seasons. Think about that they have that one year
Speaker 1: where they almost beat the Patriots in the playoffs. Every
Speaker 1: other year they suck ass and they're really sucking now.
Speaker 1: And it doesn't matter that it's Gardner Minshew. So Jacksonville
Speaker 1: is just playing awful football. And although it goes against
Speaker 1: my every instinct and other things that I'm involved in,
Speaker 1: And although Oakland has been outscored themselves one s thirty
Speaker 1: three the last three weeks, each by twenty plus points,
Speaker 1: by the way in those games outscored twenty one nothing
Speaker 1: in the second half against the Titans at home last week,
Speaker 1: they gave up five fifty to total yards of the Titans.
Speaker 1: I'll give the six and a half here and I'll
Speaker 1: take a big swallow. And uh, I don't know. I
Speaker 1: have competing interests here financially, but Oakland is by the number,
Speaker 1: my number three pick here in week fifteen. As always, guys,
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Speaker 1: regret it betting the only way I know how, the
Speaker 1: indispensable Bookmaker dot eu. Teaser time, Boys, I'm playing through
Speaker 1: teaser victory last week, Brady, what's your two teams six
Speaker 1: point teaser the week? I like taking the Bills. You
Speaker 1: obviously have a best bet on the Bills. I like
Speaker 1: taking them up to eight or eight and a half
Speaker 1: with the UH Redskins up to ten and a half.
Speaker 1: I actually have the Bills teased with the Rams, one
Speaker 1: of Mike Palm's best bets, but that was before the
Speaker 1: Rams moved to the favorite. And I don't like teasing
Speaker 1: through the zero. So I'm gonna pair the Bills with Washington.
Speaker 1: I made the Bills a one point favorite at Pittsburgh
Speaker 1: and I make the Redskins a three point dog at
Speaker 1: home to Philly. So you're getting through some key numbers
Speaker 1: on both of these and I'm getting a touchdown more
Speaker 1: than what I made my line. So I like it.
Speaker 1: That's my teaser Bills and Skins bill seven and a
Speaker 1: half for a bookkeeping purposes. For young Brady, they're getting six.
Speaker 1: And what about Washington? What number we're giving him in Washington?
Speaker 1: Give him even maybe a ten, because I mean it
Speaker 1: depends on where you look. I don't know if there's
Speaker 1: any four and a half's left out there that there are.
Speaker 1: Some of these numbers have just changed this morning. Yeah,
Speaker 1: Penny's still got a four and a half and been
Speaker 1: online does, but mostly fours everywhere. So ten for young problem,
Speaker 1: I'll take seven and a half and ten. That's just fine.
Speaker 1: I'm with Brady with the Bills. I think they're actually
Speaker 1: gonna win that game. Hey, they defended Lamar Jackson as
Speaker 1: well as anybody has all year. We've sin they're actually
Speaker 1: their defense is actually better on the road we've seen
Speaker 1: them be very, very good on the road. I know
Speaker 1: that the Duck Hodges is in there because he's not
Speaker 1: gonna ask Tomins said, he's not going to kill us, right,
Speaker 1: He's not going to make the big mistakes and and
Speaker 1: throw the interceptions. He's going to manage the game. But
Speaker 1: I think this plays right into the Bill's hands. I
Speaker 1: like Allan's ability to run the ball when he needs to,
Speaker 1: So we'll take that up to seven and a half.
Speaker 1: And then I'm torn on this. I'm really horn on this.
Speaker 1: The other one here, Uh you're by the way, you're
Speaker 1: mimicking exactly my thoughts. Bills are absolutely one leg. And
Speaker 1: then it's like a it's a it's a choice on
Speaker 1: number two. I think I gotta take a take. Uh well, boy,
Speaker 1: I don't know I'm gonna be. I'm gonna be with
Speaker 1: Brady's pick and I'm gonna take I'm gonna take the
Speaker 1: uh the Broncos up the fifteen and a half. I
Speaker 1: know it's not the you know, it's not the Stanford
Speaker 1: Long model, but I think that Derek, they could keep
Speaker 1: this game with it too. They've played awfully well. I mean,
Speaker 1: look at the bad beats they've had and the games
Speaker 1: they blew, and I mean, this could have been a
Speaker 1: playoff team when we when we all said, oh, how right,
Speaker 1: we all said how awful Bangio was and they had
Speaker 1: no quarterback and their defense was a fraud and all
Speaker 1: of that. So I'll take Bill's Broncos, Bills Broncos, So
Speaker 1: Bill's Redskins followed by Bill's Broncos. Todd, I'm taking Bills too,
Speaker 1: and um the other one, I'm gonna go with the
Speaker 1: Dolphins because I just don't see Giants beating anybody by
Speaker 1: more than nine and a half points. I know, again
Speaker 1: it's probably not the best, umatically, but I'll just take
Speaker 1: the Dolphins the nine and a half and Buffalo plus
Speaker 1: the seven and a half. Well, it makes perfect sense
Speaker 1: for me to take Bills Dolphins too, because after all,
Speaker 1: those were my two, uh my first two best bets.
Speaker 1: So it is Bills Dolphins for me. I will tell
Speaker 1: you that the other ones I was considering to pair
Speaker 1: with the Bills. One of them was Tonight's New York
Speaker 1: Jets catching twenty three Like that was that was in
Speaker 1: a consideration because, for God's sakes, it's twenty three for
Speaker 1: no other reason, Uh, then that's just a mess of points.
Speaker 1: But for my for me, officially, it's the Bills and
Speaker 1: the Dolphins of Todd. We end up landing on the
Speaker 1: exact same teaser. So I can't pick up any ground
Speaker 1: on you there this week. But that's what I will
Speaker 1: go with some guys to give my ten point teaser
Speaker 1: because I've been hitting these three team ten point teasers. Lease,
Speaker 1: you don't have them ready until Sunday morning, but I'm
Speaker 1: considering New England just to win the game, Buffalo plus
Speaker 1: eleven and a half and Lands just to win the
Speaker 1: game for people who are interested in the ten point users,
Speaker 1: not the Jets plus twenty seven. No, I'm just worried
Speaker 1: they might lose. Uh, you know, I understand. It's a
Speaker 1: definitely consideration. You know. I want to tip my hat
Speaker 1: to Todd for actually letting the public know something he's
Speaker 1: gonna play right other than the Tampa Bay over everything
Speaker 1: else is in this supposition, here's actually something to eat bets,
Speaker 1: So good for you. Well, you know what, that's really funny.
Speaker 1: That's funny that you say that, Mikey, because I've been
Speaker 1: putting up my in game picks every day on Twitter
Speaker 1: and bashing the hell out of college basketball. So there,
Speaker 1: Mr Palmist. These people are given enough for their life
Speaker 1: to listen. Oh on the megapod, Paterson, don't be Paterson. Well,
Speaker 1: here's the if I could get an extra half point,
Speaker 1: it's not available anywhere in any market. Of course, I'd
Speaker 1: be betting all these NFL games as well like you.
Speaker 1: But um, yeah, the NFL, the NFL pregames are very difficult,
Speaker 1: and I say you better be careful and play it
Speaker 1: in game because they're just dangerous. We all know that.
Speaker 1: I mean, I don't think I'm saying anything that's out
Speaker 1: of line, am I. Gil. The correct word is pre flop.
Speaker 1: That was what you were most out of line about, Todd,
Speaker 1: correct word? Alright, Final two questions, boys, Final two questions,
Speaker 1: And no, Todd, you weren't out of line. Final two questions.
Speaker 1: I have been playing Tampa Bay over so, Mike. You know,
Speaker 1: I know you ran out of the picture. But I
Speaker 1: have been playing Tampa Bay over so go to hell, Mike. Derrick.
Speaker 1: Derrick came in. He thought, Derek thought I read it
Speaker 1: might be in trouble. He heard all the screaming and
Speaker 1: he didn't know what was going on. So I I
Speaker 1: love when we have actual casino moguls reacting to the
Speaker 1: screaming on our podcast. Um Alright, final two questions, boys,
Speaker 1: These have been the final two questions for years they
Speaker 1: remain so. First one, which of the big favorites do
Speaker 1: you believe is the most likely to lose? Out right?
Speaker 1: Here are your candidates, Kamala Harris, no kidding. Baltimore minus
Speaker 1: seventeen against the Jets Thursday night. That's the biggest spread
Speaker 1: on the board. Kansas City nine and a half point
Speaker 1: favorites against division rivals the Denver Broncos Um New England
Speaker 1: nine and a half point favorites on the road against Cincinnata.
Speaker 1: Should I put the two? Well, San Francisco ten and
Speaker 1: a half point favorites or eleven eleven? It is at
Speaker 1: home against Atlanta. God, these are big numbers. And then
Speaker 1: there's New Orleans nine point favorites. All call it eight
Speaker 1: and a half nine it's nine nine point favorites at
Speaker 1: home against Indianapolis. I guess I don't have to include these, uh,
Speaker 1: six and six and a half. So those are all
Speaker 1: double digits, which is the most likely of all of
Speaker 1: those who lose. Outright, There's a nine and a half
Speaker 1: in there too, But which of those, Brady, Well, you know,
Speaker 1: these are two of my bets, the Broncos and the Colts,
Speaker 1: and I really think they both have opponents that come
Speaker 1: into these games with tough situations, and I think both
Speaker 1: could be beaten out right. I think one of the
Speaker 1: two will hit, and I wouldn't be surprised if they
Speaker 1: both did. Broncos and Colts, both of them. For me, Wow,
Speaker 1: wouldn't be surprised if both the Chiefs and the Saints
Speaker 1: went down. Yeah, those are both a tick below double digits. Mike,
Speaker 1: same question. Yeah, I gotta land on the Broncos here. Um,
Speaker 1: they've played much better tough spot, Chiefs, Chez. If we
Speaker 1: had told ourselves and like, if we go back to
Speaker 1: our week four selves and tell us we'll be saying
Speaker 1: these things about the Broncos, we would laugh at our
Speaker 1: at ourselves today. But yet that's where we are with
Speaker 1: the Broncos. Todd. I like Brady's Atlanta story. Atlanta went
Speaker 1: into New Orleans and won that shocker. They still have
Speaker 1: a lot of talent. They are Gilly Ice, I mean,
Speaker 1: Maddie Ice, a team with no mental fortitude. But you
Speaker 1: never know. Once in a while, you know they could,
Speaker 1: they could win one. I wouldn't be shocked if Atlanta
Speaker 1: UH beat San Francisco. I happen to have a Colts
Speaker 1: season under eight games winning ticket, and I'm very nervous
Speaker 1: about the Colts beating New Orleans as well as I
Speaker 1: think Brady's onto something there as well. It makes me
Speaker 1: very nervous. I think it's the Colts. I think I
Speaker 1: think it's the Saints. I think that's the one for me,
Speaker 1: because all the others, like Baltimore is not losing to
Speaker 1: the Jets. Listen, I get it about Denver, it's division rivals,
Speaker 1: but it's still Drew Lock. And in Kansas City is
Speaker 1: just there's too much offense there for the Broncos. In
Speaker 1: my humble opinion, New England is not going to lose
Speaker 1: to the Bengals. They're just not, whether they're on the
Speaker 1: road or not. And then San Francisco to me, is
Speaker 1: too good. I think it's the Colts. I think that's
Speaker 1: the one sort of sneaky team. It's a very by low,
Speaker 1: as we like to say on the Colts. They haven't
Speaker 1: looked that good, but they squandered that fourteen point lead
Speaker 1: at Tampa Bay. UH they've got it in them. And
Speaker 1: I think, uh, you know a lot of these teams
Speaker 1: in the NFC, which we've alluded to, the Packers being
Speaker 1: one of them at ten and three, I think some
Speaker 1: of these records are a little more gaudy than is
Speaker 1: actually reflected in the skill set. So for me, it
Speaker 1: would be New Orleans most likely the big favorites to
Speaker 1: lose outright. That's a Monday night game and then the
Speaker 1: final questions. We live in a bizarro world. No buys
Speaker 1: their sixteen games. You're forced to bet aside Brady on
Speaker 1: every single one of these, but you're allowed one free
Speaker 1: pass on the side. What's the game you want? No
Speaker 1: part of the Vikings at the Chargers. My friend I made.
Speaker 1: I made Minnesota three point favorite, and I know it's
Speaker 1: two and a half now, um, but I don't know
Speaker 1: which team is gonna show up for either side. I
Speaker 1: really like the Vikings against Seattle two weeks ago, and
Speaker 1: their defense was awful in that game. Um, I think
Speaker 1: Minnesota is the better team here. But we saw the
Speaker 1: Chargers explode last week. Like Todd mentioned, we saw them
Speaker 1: completely dominate Green Day. I could easily see Los Angeles
Speaker 1: winning this game. I could easily see the Vikings just
Speaker 1: rolling this team. I have no idea what's gonna happen.
Speaker 1: I'm not getting involved. Yeah, we should almost name this question.
Speaker 1: We should be sponsored by the Chargers. It's almost like
Speaker 1: it's almost like they're the short list of possible answers
Speaker 1: every week. Mikey, I'm gonna go with the fighting Kitchens
Speaker 1: against the fighting Kingsbury's. I don't know what to make it.
Speaker 1: Cleveland we the week. I don't know if the Cardinals
Speaker 1: are we might have overvalued them a little bit because
Speaker 1: of their run in the middle. No interested betting, no
Speaker 1: interested in watching it. That is my answer to if
Speaker 1: I may step in Cleveland, Arizona, I have no clue.
Speaker 1: Kyler Murray scares me just enough, and Freddy Kitchens is
Speaker 1: a buffoon. Dodd Dallas and the Rams. I don't know
Speaker 1: what's going on with this Dallas team. Are they the
Speaker 1: analytic Darling? Are they the garbage team we've seen the
Speaker 1: last couple of weeks. The Rams played really well the
Speaker 1: last couple of weeks, but prior to that they were horrible.
Speaker 1: I don't know about this these teams, so you know,
Speaker 1: I don't want any part of it. I'm sure I'll
Speaker 1: bet it in game. Alright, boys, we've done all we
Speaker 1: can do. What is the distance in our overall records?
Speaker 1: How far behind you guys? Am? I? Well, here you go.
Speaker 1: You've got coming in. You've got Gil at eighteen twenty
Speaker 1: three and one with a three and eleven teasers mark,
Speaker 1: mikey eighteen and three in the lead with a five
Speaker 1: eight and one teaser mark, and me at ninth teen
Speaker 1: twenty two and one with a five and nine teaser marks.
Speaker 1: So we're quite far behind Mr Michael with not many
Speaker 1: weeks left, girls, so we have to make it up. Well,
Speaker 1: no we're not. We're only like I'm the distance between
Speaker 1: Mike and me is what three and a half games
Speaker 1: in the whole thing on the lost column? But but
Speaker 1: but three and a half overall? Yeah, he went lost
Speaker 1: column on me? And what again? What are your teaser numbers? Again?
Speaker 1: The teasers are five eight and one from Mike, five
Speaker 1: and nine for me and three and eleven for you. God,
Speaker 1: our teasers have been horrible, like the one thing that
Speaker 1: is usually just the easiest. What a year for Stanford
Speaker 1: while and teasers? All right, that's still very much in
Speaker 1: contention to three weeks left in the regular season and
Speaker 1: then the playoffs. Can't wait for that. Brady, Thank you.
Speaker 1: Brady Cannon staple on the megapod year after year, always
Speaker 1: the leadoff guy and the twenty eleven Las Vegas Hilton
Speaker 1: Super Contest winner with Santacy. Thank you as always Brady
Speaker 1: appreciated man. By the way, how many people were thank you? Uh?
Speaker 1: Five hundred and seven and team It was kind of
Speaker 1: the first year todd of of like a decent amount
Speaker 1: of people. Uh, it's really kind of when the the
Speaker 1: Contest really started to gain some popularity. Prior to that,
Speaker 1: it was in the three hundreds and stuff. We got
Speaker 1: up to five hundred and seventeen. And it was right
Speaker 1: after that Contest victory that we had that Jake Cornegie
Speaker 1: and I put our heads together and started Super Contest
Speaker 1: Weekend and that's been running for like eight years now
Speaker 1: or whatever, and the Contest has just grown exponentially ever since.
Speaker 1: I think the next year it went to about seven
Speaker 1: fifty and then it was eleven hundred and bang, here
Speaker 1: we are at what what is it this year? Thirty
Speaker 1: or something like that. Wow, do you miss the panels
Speaker 1: for Super Contest Weekend? Brady, do you wish we had
Speaker 1: those bas I do, yeah. I I think Decon should
Speaker 1: be uh more involved, like largely more involved. I think,
Speaker 1: you know, they should be there like around the clock
Speaker 1: with program amming it, you know, the Saturday of Super
Speaker 1: Contest weekend. And again, I'm sure I'll get with Jake
Speaker 1: Hornegie here pretty soon and start talking about our plans
Speaker 1: for next year. The Saturdays is good. You have the
Speaker 1: golf tournament and then all the giveaways and the raffles
Speaker 1: and all that stuff. That's fun, but the Friday has
Speaker 1: started to die down, and I really enjoy the get
Speaker 1: together in the camaraderie and seeing all these people that
Speaker 1: I typically only see once a year that weekend around
Speaker 1: the bar there at the Westgate and whatnot. But there
Speaker 1: needs to be more. There needs to be a draw,
Speaker 1: and that draw used to be the panel. Uh it
Speaker 1: doesn't necessarily have to be a panel, but I think
Speaker 1: Visa it needs to get involved in this discussion and
Speaker 1: we need to throw, uh, you know, an event in
Speaker 1: that Friday that makes it more attractive. We always talk
Speaker 1: about you winning the Westgates Super Contest or the or
Speaker 1: the Hilton Supercontess at the time Brady, and that obviously
Speaker 1: I bury the headline. You are a visa host as well.
Speaker 1: People should know you host the Green Zone on Sirius
Speaker 1: XM channel two oh four. Uh. And you do so
Speaker 1: six pm Pacific, nine pm Eastern. What days are you on, Brady?
Speaker 1: I will be on there tonight. My week starts tonight.
Speaker 1: I am Thursday and Friday at six pm. Saturday and
Speaker 1: Sundays I do midday around two pm, and these are
Speaker 1: Pacific times, and then I wrap around and come back
Speaker 1: on Monday at six pm. So I'm off on Tuesdays
Speaker 1: and Thursdays. Excuse me Tuesdays and Wednesdays. Forgive me for
Speaker 1: having buried that headline. And of course for all your
Speaker 1: golf needs in Las Vegas. For you and your buddies
Speaker 1: are your bachelor parties. Brady's your guy at Tea Times USA.
Speaker 1: How about that, Brady, We got that in there too. Yeah.
Speaker 1: When I'm not, you know, babbling on visa and I'm
Speaker 1: booking Tea Times. I try to hold down a couple
Speaker 1: of jobs these days, babbling and booking Brady, That's what
Speaker 1: we call him. Thank you, Brady, appreciate it. Man, Mikey Todd,
Speaker 1: thank you. Thank you guys talking with all you guys.
Speaker 1: Thank you guys for holding off the bickering to the
Speaker 1: forty five minute mark but then really getting into it.
Speaker 1: I appreciate that that's the hallmark this show this year.
Speaker 1: Thank you, gentlemen. I was thinking that, you know, Brady
Speaker 1: said he wants to make Fridays bigger at the weekend.
Speaker 1: Maybe they could do a segment like an hour and
Speaker 1: a half where Mike explains how to change the TV
Speaker 1: channel as an active content manager at the bar at
Speaker 1: the d So that would be very interesting. Here we go.
Speaker 1: I'm not gonna vote for Pocahontas. You're not going to
Speaker 1: vote for the wild tax. And on that note, thank
Speaker 1: you Orange, Mike Palm, thank you Orange Pom. Good luck
Speaker 1: with all your Week fifteen pets in the NFL.