WEBVTT - FantasyPros Baseball Weekly (Preview Show) - Two Players to Draft and Two to Avoid 0:00:05.960 --> 0:00:10.719 Hello everybody, Welcome into the Fantasy Pro Baseball Podcast. I 0:00:10.760 --> 0:00:13.480 am not Chris Welsh, I am not Joey P. I 0:00:13.520 --> 0:00:17.040 am Ryan Warmley that I am joined by Mike Mayer 0:00:17.120 --> 0:00:21.680 and we are bringing you a brand new weekly fantasy 0:00:21.840 --> 0:00:26.800 baseball podcast. This show will be released every Thursday all 0:00:26.840 --> 0:00:30.480 throughout the season. Mayor we have been talking about doing 0:00:30.640 --> 0:00:33.960 a baseball show together basically since we were both hired. 0:00:34.040 --> 0:00:35.919 How excited are you that we're finally going to get 0:00:35.920 --> 0:00:36.400 to do one. 0:00:36.600 --> 0:00:38.560 Very excited and speaking of since we were both hired, 0:00:38.600 --> 0:00:41.360 today is my two year anniversary, So happy anniversary to me. 0:00:41.880 --> 0:00:45.040 I did see that. Congratulations, Oh thank you. 0:00:45.320 --> 0:00:47.640 Yeah, very excited about it. There used to be like 0:00:47.680 --> 0:00:50.040 a weekly show a while back, and then that kind 0:00:50.080 --> 0:00:52.320 of transitioned into like Leading Off, which is awesome because 0:00:52.320 --> 0:00:54.600 it's a daily show, but we kind of like missed 0:00:54.680 --> 0:00:58.160 the whole, like season long look and like fantasy focused show, 0:00:58.320 --> 0:00:59.960 and so now we're finally bringing it back. 0:01:00.320 --> 0:01:02.760 Yeah, Leading Off is not going anywhere. You can still 0:01:02.760 --> 0:01:06.119 hang out on YouTube every single weekday of the entire 0:01:06.200 --> 0:01:09.800 season with Joey P and Welsh. They'll be talking bets, 0:01:09.800 --> 0:01:12.040 they'll be talking all the news and notes, stat lines 0:01:12.080 --> 0:01:15.039 from the night before, really everything that you've come to 0:01:15.120 --> 0:01:18.080 know and love from leading off throughout the years that 0:01:18.200 --> 0:01:20.280 is not going anywhere. This will be in addition to that, 0:01:20.640 --> 0:01:22.920 giving everybody kind of a chance to step back take 0:01:22.959 --> 0:01:26.440 a more macro level view of the season. Each week, 0:01:26.760 --> 0:01:29.000 we will have those guys on. Chris Welsh will be 0:01:29.040 --> 0:01:32.080 on regularly talking prospects. We will have Kelly Kirby on 0:01:32.360 --> 0:01:34.600 to give her insights and analysis. We will have Joe 0:01:34.680 --> 0:01:36.880 filling in at times. I am sure those guys will 0:01:36.880 --> 0:01:38.840 be involved with this show, but it will primarily be 0:01:39.280 --> 0:01:43.640 myself and Mayor. Like I said, released on Thursdays, So 0:01:43.640 --> 0:01:46.200 we'll be starting next week as the season gets going. 0:01:46.240 --> 0:01:48.160 Technically the season has already gotten going, but you know, 0:01:48.240 --> 0:01:50.920 for real opening day next week. Some of the stuff 0:01:50.920 --> 0:01:52.480 we'll be doing on the show, Like I said, we'll 0:01:52.480 --> 0:01:56.000 be talking prospects with Welsh, We'll be doing some bi loos, 0:01:56.080 --> 0:02:01.920 sell highs. We'll be talking top storylines each week, biggest news, injuries, 0:02:02.240 --> 0:02:04.160 like I said, prospect call ups, that sort of thing. 0:02:04.200 --> 0:02:07.120 We'll be hitting on waivers, suggestions for each you know, 0:02:07.160 --> 0:02:09.920 going into the weekend, looking ahead to start pitchers. This 0:02:09.960 --> 0:02:12.920 is the things we're most excited about each weekend, and 0:02:13.000 --> 0:02:15.679 we're gonna have some sort of contest bet between the 0:02:15.720 --> 0:02:18.360 two of us that is still being determined what exactly 0:02:18.360 --> 0:02:21.080 that will look like, but I want an opportunity to 0:02:21.120 --> 0:02:23.080 really put Mayor in his place, so we're gonna be 0:02:23.120 --> 0:02:25.760 doing something like that as well. Like I mentioned Mayor, 0:02:25.800 --> 0:02:28.960 this season technically has already started, of course, but this 0:02:29.120 --> 0:02:33.240 upcoming weekend is still a major draft weekend. So we're 0:02:33.280 --> 0:02:35.200 gonna give a preview of kind of what our show's 0:02:35.240 --> 0:02:36.960 gonna look like and the type of advice we're gonna 0:02:37.000 --> 0:02:40.480 be giving with some last minute draft advice. Here, We're 0:02:40.480 --> 0:02:42.840 gonna each give you, guys, two players that we are 0:02:42.880 --> 0:02:46.079 drafting everywhere, these are our favorite targets at least at cost, 0:02:46.440 --> 0:02:49.000 and then two players that we're avoiding and maybe not 0:02:49.080 --> 0:02:51.959 drafting so much across all of our leagues, which I 0:02:51.960 --> 0:02:54.320 don't know about you. I only have one real draft 0:02:54.440 --> 0:02:58.320 left most or maybe two. It's one is still being 0:02:58.720 --> 0:03:01.760 scheduled if it's gonna happen or not, but primarily draft 0:03:01.800 --> 0:03:03.240 season is kind of done for me. What about you? 0:03:03.400 --> 0:03:05.000 I think gone in the same boat. I think I've 0:03:05.040 --> 0:03:06.560 been drafting for a couple months now. I think I 0:03:06.600 --> 0:03:09.760 still have two left. One I actually thought was Sunday night, 0:03:09.800 --> 0:03:12.200 that turns out it Saturday. So really good that I 0:03:12.200 --> 0:03:14.000 saw that text message this morning and I didn't just 0:03:14.040 --> 0:03:15.959 miss my draft. But yeah, I think I have two 0:03:16.040 --> 0:03:18.440 left this weekend. So still, you know, still a decent 0:03:18.480 --> 0:03:19.560 mom drafting left to do. 0:03:19.840 --> 0:03:23.280 I've got our big Fantasy pros work draft we have. 0:03:23.360 --> 0:03:25.160 There's too many people that play baseball, so we split 0:03:25.160 --> 0:03:27.480 it into two leagues. And I won it the first 0:03:27.520 --> 0:03:30.000 year I played, and then last year I not win it, 0:03:30.720 --> 0:03:32.640 and yeah, I had to. I have to give my 0:03:32.680 --> 0:03:34.760 bonafides to everyone to let them know why they should 0:03:34.760 --> 0:03:38.640 listen to me. But that draft is tomorrow for me, 0:03:38.720 --> 0:03:41.440 and it starts right as the NCAA tournament kick you know, 0:03:41.480 --> 0:03:44.240 tips off, So that will be super super smart timing 0:03:44.280 --> 0:03:46.640 by me. Let's have been here. Let's start with the 0:03:46.680 --> 0:03:50.000 players that we are drafting as much as we possibly can, 0:03:50.040 --> 0:03:51.040 and I'll let you go first. 0:03:51.200 --> 0:03:53.320 Sure, so I'll go first. I actually had my half 0:03:53.360 --> 0:03:55.920 of the Work League yesterday. I lost in the championship 0:03:55.960 --> 0:03:58.600 last year, so no hurt feelings on my end, but 0:03:58.640 --> 0:04:01.080 I actually drafted this player yesterday and it's not like 0:04:01.120 --> 0:04:02.680 the deepest name. It's kind of a boring name to 0:04:02.680 --> 0:04:04.600 start out with. But like like I said before, I've 0:04:04.600 --> 0:04:06.160 been drafting for a couple months and I'm drafting this 0:04:06.240 --> 0:04:10.160 guy everywhere, and it's because he's just devalued it to 0:04:10.200 --> 0:04:12.320 a point where I think, you know, it's not like 0:04:12.360 --> 0:04:15.440 you know, crazy undervalue, but like it's Xander Bogart's And 0:04:15.520 --> 0:04:17.880 what I like about him is like I like that 0:04:17.920 --> 0:04:20.279 he's boring. He's he's just going to give you that 0:04:20.360 --> 0:04:22.560 like solid floor. And the bonus this year is that 0:04:22.560 --> 0:04:24.800 he's going to add second base eligibility soon, like you know, 0:04:24.839 --> 0:04:27.720 early in the season. And like even though last year, 0:04:27.720 --> 0:04:29.240 like he's kind of like being pushed down because of 0:04:29.279 --> 0:04:31.400 like what happened last year and to an extent like 0:04:31.440 --> 0:04:33.719 the year before because he's not in Fenway Park anymore, 0:04:33.880 --> 0:04:36.960 but he still went nineteen nineteen last year. And like, 0:04:37.040 --> 0:04:39.520 if that's my floor for a guy, I can move 0:04:39.560 --> 0:04:41.680 back and forth between the second base and shortstop, especially 0:04:41.680 --> 0:04:43.800 when second base, you know, it's not like the most 0:04:43.800 --> 0:04:46.280 shallow position this year, but it's you know, definitely shallower 0:04:46.320 --> 0:04:49.279 than shortstop, which is pretty deep this year. I don't know, 0:04:49.279 --> 0:04:52.120 he's just like pushed like a round or too far 0:04:52.320 --> 0:04:54.640 or in auctions, Like you know, I think I got 0:04:54.720 --> 0:04:57.000 him last weekend at an auction for like eleven dollars. 0:04:57.080 --> 0:04:59.800 I'm like, that's just too cheap, and so it's not 0:04:59.839 --> 0:05:01.320 like the most exciting name to start off with, but 0:05:01.400 --> 0:05:03.080 like I have him everywhere for that reason. 0:05:03.200 --> 0:05:05.800 Yeah, that's a really it's a really interesting name because 0:05:06.000 --> 0:05:08.159 I'm not actively avoiding him, but I also don't know 0:05:08.200 --> 0:05:10.599 that I have him anywhere, and it's less about him 0:05:10.640 --> 0:05:13.279 and more about the range that he's going in. And 0:05:13.320 --> 0:05:15.160 I just really like a lot of the other players 0:05:15.200 --> 0:05:18.080 there on Fantasy Pro's ADP, which you know, anybody can 0:05:18.120 --> 0:05:19.840 go to the site and find and pull that up, 0:05:20.360 --> 0:05:24.080 and it takes the consensus of ESPN, CBS, Yahoo, NFBC, 0:05:24.440 --> 0:05:27.000 a bunch, you know, fan tracks are all going in there. 0:05:27.279 --> 0:05:30.839 Xander Bogartz is ADP ninety one, ninety is Tristan Kassas, 0:05:30.880 --> 0:05:33.480 who I do like quite a bit. Eighty eight's Justin Steele, 0:05:33.640 --> 0:05:36.480 who I like quite a bit. Eighty nine is Juri Perez. 0:05:36.520 --> 0:05:38.440 Obviously that hasn't quite adjusted. That was a guy I 0:05:38.520 --> 0:05:41.359 liked prior to the injury quite a bit so you know, 0:05:41.400 --> 0:05:43.920 Cole Ragan's is ninety four. It's it's just a lot 0:05:43.920 --> 0:05:47.359 of guys that I'm drafting like over Bogarts, but not 0:05:47.440 --> 0:05:48.960 because I dislike Bogarts. 0:05:49.279 --> 0:05:51.760 Yeah, and I think I'm getting him later than those guys, 0:05:51.839 --> 0:05:53.560 and especially in auctions. I think I have him in 0:05:53.600 --> 0:05:55.440 a bunch of auctions just because he was going for 0:05:55.480 --> 0:05:55.960 too cheap. 0:05:56.800 --> 0:05:57.000 Yeah. 0:05:57.080 --> 0:05:58.360 No, I like, I like a lot of the guys 0:05:58.400 --> 0:06:00.560 that you know, Costas, I like Steele, I like. We'll 0:06:00.600 --> 0:06:03.880 say about the other guys, but I'll I'll. 0:06:03.680 --> 0:06:05.320 Give the first of my players here. I actually pick 0:06:05.320 --> 0:06:08.200 two players that are going much later. I considered, I 0:06:08.240 --> 0:06:10.599 will just say to mention him. I considered Michael Harris. 0:06:10.600 --> 0:06:12.960 I wanted to look further down in ADP than a 0:06:13.000 --> 0:06:15.799 guy who's going in the you know, late round three range. 0:06:16.120 --> 0:06:18.039 But just to say quickly, on Harris, I think we 0:06:18.040 --> 0:06:20.280 could get fifty combined home runs and steals and a 0:06:20.320 --> 0:06:23.360 three hundred batting average this season. He's still super young. 0:06:23.440 --> 0:06:25.520 I wish he hit higher in the Braves lineup, but 0:06:25.800 --> 0:06:27.680 outside of that, like, I have no complaints with what 0:06:27.680 --> 0:06:29.599 we've seen from him his first two seasons. So he's 0:06:29.680 --> 0:06:31.560 he's a guy I really quite like where he's going, 0:06:32.000 --> 0:06:33.880 but I wanted to go further down. So the first 0:06:33.920 --> 0:06:35.880 one I have here is I'm not sure if I'm 0:06:35.880 --> 0:06:38.599 getting the like true like like foreign pronunciation right, But 0:06:38.800 --> 0:06:44.240 Eduard Julienne I believe is the proper Canadian French pronunciation. 0:06:44.520 --> 0:06:47.960 His ADP's two ten. This was somebody that I liked 0:06:48.040 --> 0:06:50.400 a lot last year in like my Dynasty League, somebody 0:06:50.400 --> 0:06:54.000 I was trying to acquire. He was really bad against lefties. 0:06:54.040 --> 0:06:56.120 He spent a lot of time this offseason working on 0:06:56.200 --> 0:06:57.919 hitting lefties. He also spent a lot of time on 0:06:57.960 --> 0:06:59.719 his defense, which I think is going to keep him 0:06:59.839 --> 0:07:02.880 in the lineup as an everyday non platoon player like 0:07:02.920 --> 0:07:05.360 he was last year. Rocko Baldelli has talked about how 0:07:05.400 --> 0:07:09.760 impressed he is with Julian's defense. Great, great batting eye. 0:07:10.000 --> 0:07:12.800 His OBP was in the three eighties last year as 0:07:12.800 --> 0:07:15.400 a rookie. I think we're gonna see more power develop 0:07:15.480 --> 0:07:17.440 with more playing time, which again I think he should 0:07:17.480 --> 0:07:19.920 have this year. He had an eight thirty nine OPS 0:07:19.920 --> 0:07:21.880 in twenty twenty three. It was over a thousand in 0:07:21.920 --> 0:07:24.560 the postseason. I just think he's a guy who who 0:07:24.600 --> 0:07:26.920 because of the glove who because of the walks, will 0:07:26.960 --> 0:07:28.800 just have a consistently high floor of being in the 0:07:28.840 --> 0:07:31.640 lineup and being somewhat productive. And I think the room 0:07:31.840 --> 0:07:33.760 is there for even more growth in terms of the 0:07:33.800 --> 0:07:36.320 power as well. So again, this is not a guy 0:07:36.360 --> 0:07:38.360 that's going to be an anchor of my team, but 0:07:38.560 --> 0:07:40.320 at a position where I'm liking a lot of the 0:07:40.400 --> 0:07:43.760 late round sleepers going after pick two hundred, He's one 0:07:43.800 --> 0:07:44.440 of my favorites. 0:07:44.560 --> 0:07:46.240 Yeah, I'm a big fan of his as well, And 0:07:46.280 --> 0:07:48.360 like you mentioned, dynasty, I have him in a bunch 0:07:48.400 --> 0:07:51.160 of dynasty leagues and for that reason because they're obp 0:07:51.360 --> 0:07:53.720 leagues and so like his Like you said, his batting 0:07:53.720 --> 0:07:57.960 eye is phenomenal. He's over fifteen percent walk grate last 0:07:58.040 --> 0:07:59.720 year and throughout the minor leagues it was like a 0:07:59.760 --> 0:08:02.240 round twenty he did. He hasn't really stolen a lot 0:08:02.240 --> 0:08:03.960 of bases at the miner at the major league level, 0:08:04.000 --> 0:08:05.960 but he did steal a little bit in the minor 0:08:06.000 --> 0:08:08.320 so there's still like some room for growth there, especially 0:08:08.360 --> 0:08:10.360 you know, he only had three stolen bases in one 0:08:10.400 --> 0:08:13.040 hundred and nine games in the majors last year, but 0:08:13.160 --> 0:08:15.640 like in twenty twenty two, and one hundred and thirteen 0:08:15.640 --> 0:08:18.200 games in double A stole nineteen bases, and in low A. 0:08:18.360 --> 0:08:20.160 You know, he can't really compare loway stats, but he 0:08:20.200 --> 0:08:22.559 stole twenty one, so he was running, so like, maybe 0:08:22.560 --> 0:08:24.760 you can get ten stolen bases out of him. And 0:08:24.840 --> 0:08:28.440 I do think the defense and the plate approach are 0:08:28.480 --> 0:08:29.840 going to keep him in the lineup, and I think 0:08:29.960 --> 0:08:32.160 he should beat fairly high highly in the lineup too. 0:08:32.600 --> 0:08:34.000 Definitely, who's your next guy? 0:08:34.160 --> 0:08:36.520 My next guy is a little bit further down, but 0:08:37.320 --> 0:08:40.880 you know, not crazy far down. But Christian Xavier and 0:08:40.920 --> 0:08:44.360 I wrote him up in an article a few weeks 0:08:44.400 --> 0:08:47.120 ago as kind of like someone you know, like a 0:08:47.240 --> 0:08:48.960 must have or like a by Low just because the 0:08:48.960 --> 0:08:51.480 price has gone too far. Christian Navia is going outside 0:08:51.520 --> 0:08:53.080 of the top one sixty right now because he had 0:08:53.120 --> 0:08:56.600 a bad twenty twenty three, But he's only really being 0:08:56.640 --> 0:08:58.600 priced based on that twenty twenty three and not how 0:08:58.600 --> 0:09:00.640 good he was in twenty twenty two. Obviously you don't 0:09:00.640 --> 0:09:03.240 want to buy that ceiling, which I think a lot 0:09:03.280 --> 0:09:05.680 of people probably did last year, and that's why there's 0:09:05.679 --> 0:09:08.360 so much like buyer's remorse for him this year. So 0:09:08.600 --> 0:09:11.920 people are avoiding him. But this is a guy in 0:09:11.920 --> 0:09:14.280 twenty twenty two who ind he threw one hundred and 0:09:14.280 --> 0:09:16.000 forty eight innings and struck out one hundred and ninety 0:09:16.000 --> 0:09:17.520 four guys with a two point five four ear RA, 0:09:17.920 --> 0:09:20.280 and his expected metrics were a little bit higher than that. 0:09:20.320 --> 0:09:22.240 And last year he had a four point five sixty RA, 0:09:22.360 --> 0:09:24.440 which did look like it was earned. Like his expected 0:09:24.480 --> 0:09:27.200 numbers were all right around there too, But his weight 0:09:27.280 --> 0:09:30.120 is down. He's been working on controlling base runners, and 0:09:30.200 --> 0:09:34.280 I just think he's so cheap that he's going far 0:09:34.400 --> 0:09:37.560 enough in this, like you know, the starting pitching market 0:09:37.600 --> 0:09:39.960 in drafts that like, I'm willing to like roll the 0:09:39.960 --> 0:09:42.040 dice on him because he has a very high ceiling 0:09:42.080 --> 0:09:43.680 on a good team, especially if you're in a league 0:09:43.679 --> 0:09:46.640 that counts wins, And I just think, you know, he's 0:09:46.640 --> 0:09:49.079 an incredible value going outside the top one sixty right now. 0:09:49.120 --> 0:09:51.760 Yeah, even just looking at like just strictly like the 0:09:51.800 --> 0:09:53.920 strikeout numbers. You know, in twenty twenty one he had 0:09:53.960 --> 0:09:56.720 one hundred and thirty and one hundred and one innings. Obviously, 0:09:56.720 --> 0:09:58.800 twenty twenty two he had one hundred and ninety four 0:09:58.840 --> 0:10:00.640 and one hundred and forty eight innings. Last year, he 0:10:00.679 --> 0:10:03.800 had fewer strikeouts than innings pitch that that's the outlier 0:10:03.840 --> 0:10:04.880 of the last three years. 0:10:04.960 --> 0:10:07.360 So but still close to like nine, you know, like 0:10:07.400 --> 0:10:08.600 still close to one per inning. 0:10:08.840 --> 0:10:13.199 Yes, yes, just barely under a strikeout peranning. The next 0:10:13.240 --> 0:10:15.640 guy that I'm gonna bring up is a pitcher as well. 0:10:15.760 --> 0:10:19.560 He's going even further down ADP of two thirty eight. 0:10:19.920 --> 0:10:25.080 It's Kyle Harrison, Top Giants prospect, best pitching prospect according 0:10:25.120 --> 0:10:27.599 to them, you know, you know, for the Giants since Bumgardner, 0:10:27.640 --> 0:10:30.360 I've heard him, you know, referred to as MLB pipeline 0:10:30.360 --> 0:10:33.360 gives him a seventy fastball, fifty five slider, fifty five 0:10:33.480 --> 0:10:35.800 change up that's on the twenty to eighty scouting scale. 0:10:35.840 --> 0:10:38.200 Of course, only made seven starts to the big leagues 0:10:38.280 --> 0:10:40.480 last year. He had a lot of control issues. That's 0:10:40.679 --> 0:10:43.560 been his bugaboo in the minors, and it was you 0:10:43.600 --> 0:10:46.160 know also as well in you know, in his first 0:10:46.200 --> 0:10:48.319 for into the big leagues. But the stuff is great. 0:10:48.559 --> 0:10:51.520 He is I think gonna be like their number two 0:10:51.920 --> 0:10:56.040 starter like this season. I mean he's he's he's done 0:10:56.080 --> 0:10:57.840 so little that it seems weird to say that, but 0:10:57.840 --> 0:10:59.560 that seems to be how they're lining things up good 0:10:59.559 --> 0:11:02.120 home ball park. He only gave up more than three 0:11:02.160 --> 0:11:04.480 earned runs in one of those seven starts last year, 0:11:04.520 --> 0:11:06.760 even with the control issues. He of course had that 0:11:06.800 --> 0:11:09.520 elite outing against the Reds where he had eleven strikeouts 0:11:09.559 --> 0:11:11.199 as well. So we've seen this sort of the high 0:11:11.280 --> 0:11:13.640 end performance at the big league level, at least in 0:11:13.679 --> 0:11:17.840 a small sample size. He's somebody who has the prospect pedigree, 0:11:18.200 --> 0:11:20.720 has gotten sort of his feet wet at the big leagues, 0:11:21.160 --> 0:11:24.680 has the stuff. I mean, it's it's really he's a 0:11:24.679 --> 0:11:29.400 fun guy to watch and is one sort of improvement away, 0:11:29.440 --> 0:11:31.920 the improvement being control from I think being a really 0:11:31.920 --> 0:11:33.640 good picture. And again you're getting him at eight with 0:11:33.679 --> 0:11:36.040 ADP two thirty eight. I almost wonder if I'm missing 0:11:36.040 --> 0:11:38.720 something on that, because I just think the upside is 0:11:38.760 --> 0:11:40.400 there and it's really hard to find pictures it's the 0:11:40.440 --> 0:11:44.080 upside now. It's really there's so much pitching just kind 0:11:44.080 --> 0:11:45.719 of in the middle. I know, like Scott White of 0:11:45.760 --> 0:11:48.920 CBS calls it like the glob and that is that 0:11:49.040 --> 0:11:52.360 is like such a big section of the starting pitching 0:11:52.400 --> 0:11:53.800 rank gigs that if I can get a guy that 0:11:53.960 --> 0:11:56.079 late who has that kind of upside, I'm really happy 0:11:56.080 --> 0:11:56.440 about it. 0:11:56.559 --> 0:12:00.520 Yeah, I have concerns, but I see the appeal, especially 0:12:00.600 --> 0:12:01.959 like you know the stuff that you mentioned. If you 0:12:01.960 --> 0:12:03.840 look at like his numbers throughout the miners, like his 0:12:03.960 --> 0:12:06.520 era isn't like pristine, you you know, what you kind 0:12:06.520 --> 0:12:08.079 of would want, Like you want to see a guy 0:12:08.080 --> 0:12:10.199 like really dominating the miners. What you do see is 0:12:10.200 --> 0:12:13.720 AKPRA nine in the teens, which is pretty exciting. And 0:12:13.760 --> 0:12:14.600 so I get that. 0:12:14.840 --> 0:12:16.600 Yeah, of course, and you know if his if his 0:12:16.640 --> 0:12:18.600 ADP was one hundred spots higher, I'd feel a lot 0:12:18.600 --> 0:12:19.360 differently about it. 0:12:19.400 --> 0:12:21.760 But where he's going, Yeah, where he's going and that, 0:12:21.920 --> 0:12:24.760 Like I was just working on my cheat sheet earlier 0:12:24.760 --> 0:12:27.199 today and I kind of made that argument where I 0:12:27.240 --> 0:12:29.079 was talking about, you know, there are certain you want 0:12:29.160 --> 0:12:30.880 to take some risks cause in you're drafted, but you 0:12:30.880 --> 0:12:32.679 would prefer to take those risks late, Like you don't 0:12:32.679 --> 0:12:34.720 want to build your team with early risks, even if 0:12:34.720 --> 0:12:36.880 they have high ceilings, because you know you have the 0:12:36.880 --> 0:12:40.280 potential disaster. But like outside the top two hundred to fifty, like, yeah, 0:12:40.400 --> 0:12:42.120 take a throw a dart at that guy. My other 0:12:42.160 --> 0:12:43.720 concern would be like, how many innings is it's going 0:12:43.800 --> 0:12:46.000 to throw, because that's fair. He threw less than one 0:12:46.040 --> 0:12:48.320 hundred innings or maybe like exactly one hundred innings right 0:12:48.360 --> 0:12:50.360 right around one hundred innings last year between Triple A 0:12:50.600 --> 0:12:53.920 and the Majors. It looks like a right around one hundred, 0:12:54.360 --> 0:12:56.240 and so like, is he going to throw one fifty 0:12:56.480 --> 0:12:58.200 or are they going to tap him at like one twenty? 0:12:58.360 --> 0:13:00.200 Do like they spread him out a little bit or 0:13:00.240 --> 0:13:03.680 you know, it could matter, especially like later in the season, 0:13:03.720 --> 0:13:05.360 depending on your format, you know, you might not like 0:13:05.400 --> 0:13:06.600 have this guy for the playoffs. 0:13:07.080 --> 0:13:10.880 Yeah, I think that's a totally fair concern. I can 0:13:10.920 --> 0:13:13.000 already tell that this is going to be consistent theme 0:13:13.040 --> 0:13:14.880 with us going long for what's supposed to be a 0:13:14.960 --> 0:13:17.199 micro cast. So let's quickly move to the players we're 0:13:17.240 --> 0:13:19.400 avoiding here. Who's your first one. 0:13:19.720 --> 0:13:21.679 I was just looking at the time as you said that, 0:13:21.720 --> 0:13:22.920 and I was like, oh, yeah, well this was supposed 0:13:22.920 --> 0:13:24.840 to be over by now, and we still have four 0:13:24.840 --> 0:13:27.679 more names against it. I'll go quick with this one. 0:13:27.720 --> 0:13:30.360 It's a pretty easy reason to you know, and not 0:13:30.400 --> 0:13:32.160 an easy name to avoid. But like you can see 0:13:32.200 --> 0:13:34.200 why I'm avoiding this guy and it's Cody Balinger, and 0:13:34.240 --> 0:13:37.679 it's just because like we've seen the pumpkin before, right, 0:13:37.720 --> 0:13:39.720 Like we've seen like I don't want to add his 0:13:39.760 --> 0:13:42.400 current ADP. I don't want to pay for the glass slip, 0:13:42.800 --> 0:13:45.360 the glass slipper and the carriage when like we've seen 0:13:45.440 --> 0:13:47.120 what he can be before, and he was bad for 0:13:47.160 --> 0:13:48.920 a while. It wasn't like he had like one bad year. 0:13:48.960 --> 0:13:50.400 He was bad for like two or three two and 0:13:50.400 --> 0:13:52.120 a half years, and then last year he kind of 0:13:52.200 --> 0:13:54.640 put it all together. But now like you're paying his ADP, 0:13:54.800 --> 0:13:56.600 like he's just going to do that again. I don't 0:13:56.600 --> 0:13:57.240 know that he is. 0:13:57.840 --> 0:13:59.920 Mayor you You asked me who I was picking, so 0:14:00.040 --> 0:14:01.640 wouldn't pick any of the same ones, and I said, 0:14:01.679 --> 0:14:03.600 it'll be more fun and have the element of surprise, 0:14:03.840 --> 0:14:05.480 And then we both picked Cody Vellinger. 0:14:06.520 --> 0:14:09.199 Well perfect, we're running a long on time anyways, that's perfect. 0:14:09.040 --> 0:14:11.400 Yes, yes, exactly. Just to rehiorate. I mean he was 0:14:11.480 --> 0:14:13.760 left for dead for Fantasy after three like like not 0:14:13.920 --> 0:14:16.480 just like down seasons, but like truly like abysmal seasons. 0:14:16.480 --> 0:14:18.880 Hadn't even reached twenty home runs in a year since 0:14:18.920 --> 0:14:21.760 twenty nineteen, legitimately awesome last year, super fun guy. When 0:14:21.760 --> 0:14:23.720 he first came up. I would like to be wrong 0:14:23.760 --> 0:14:25.880 on him, but I'm just not the guy who's going 0:14:25.960 --> 0:14:28.200 to spend a top sixty pick on a guy who 0:14:28.280 --> 0:14:31.640 has had one good year one not terrible year in 0:14:31.680 --> 0:14:35.040 the last four seasons. So I'm with you on there. 0:14:35.600 --> 0:14:37.120 I'll just jump to my other one. I will say 0:14:37.120 --> 0:14:40.840 I considered Yamamoto, but the only reason I didn't pick 0:14:40.880 --> 0:14:41.920 I mean, you know, he's never thrown a pitch in 0:14:41.960 --> 0:14:43.320 the big leagues. I know he got a big contract 0:14:43.440 --> 0:14:45.280 on the Dodgers, a lot to be excited about. He's 0:14:45.280 --> 0:14:48.120 going as like starting pitcher six in drafts right now. 0:14:48.600 --> 0:14:50.840 The main reason I didn't pick him is because by 0:14:50.880 --> 0:14:52.960 the time this episode's released, he will have pitched in 0:14:53.040 --> 0:14:55.600 this you know, career series, and I don't want to 0:14:55.760 --> 0:14:58.040 get burned before the first episode's even released. So I 0:14:58.360 --> 0:15:00.200 want to record that I'm not picking Yamamoto, but I 0:15:00.240 --> 0:15:00.920 did consider him. 0:15:01.320 --> 0:15:04.000 We could also lose like four more starting pictures between 0:15:04.000 --> 0:15:05.880 now and when it's released, so he could be like 0:15:06.080 --> 0:15:06.520 sp two. 0:15:06.880 --> 0:15:09.960 Yes, it's very possible. So the guy that the other 0:15:09.960 --> 0:15:14.280 guy that I picked besides Bellinger is to show how 0:15:14.360 --> 0:15:17.880 much of a not homer I am. I'm picking Adley Rutchman. 0:15:18.320 --> 0:15:20.800 I'm just not interested in taking a catcher that's going 0:15:20.840 --> 0:15:24.240 in the top fifty picks. I think importantly they're going 0:15:24.320 --> 0:15:26.680 to rest him more this season. I mean, he had 0:15:26.680 --> 0:15:28.640 almost six hundred at bats last year he played. It 0:15:28.680 --> 0:15:31.360 wasn't at the catcher position. He played in like one 0:15:31.440 --> 0:15:33.520 hundred and fifty four games last year. I think it was. 0:15:34.120 --> 0:15:36.520 This lineup is so loaded with young talent. They can 0:15:36.600 --> 0:15:39.080 afford to rest him more this year, I think, and 0:15:39.320 --> 0:15:41.440 I think they want to, and so when a lot 0:15:41.440 --> 0:15:43.280 of his value is coming from the fact that he 0:15:43.360 --> 0:15:46.800 is in the lineup every single day and accruing those 0:15:46.840 --> 0:15:49.480 counting stats. If he's not doing that, I think he's 0:15:49.480 --> 0:15:53.080 going to be even better in terms of the power numbers. 0:15:53.080 --> 0:15:55.120 And I think he might even walk more this year. 0:15:55.160 --> 0:15:57.240 Like I think there is another level for him to 0:15:57.240 --> 0:15:59.400 step up his game. He is a little bit older 0:15:59.440 --> 0:16:02.200 for a guy who only you know has as limited 0:16:02.240 --> 0:16:04.400 major league experience as he does. But I think that 0:16:04.400 --> 0:16:07.280 the less volume he's going to be getting is going 0:16:07.320 --> 0:16:09.680 to be is going to make an impact on the 0:16:09.800 --> 0:16:11.920 counting stats. And again I think I think he's the 0:16:11.920 --> 0:16:14.360 best catcher in fantasy and the best catcher in baseball. 0:16:14.840 --> 0:16:16.720 I love him. He should be the first catcher off 0:16:16.720 --> 0:16:19.040 the board. I don't think the value gap between him 0:16:19.080 --> 0:16:22.120 and the next guys at the position justify a top 0:16:22.200 --> 0:16:25.240 fifty pick. And he's going ADP forty four, even if 0:16:25.240 --> 0:16:27.640 he takes another step forward this year, I just don't. 0:16:27.680 --> 0:16:29.240 I just think it's too rich for my blood. 0:16:29.320 --> 0:16:31.080 Yeah, I would agree with you there. I love the player, 0:16:31.240 --> 0:16:34.720 don't love drafting a catcher that high in that work league. 0:16:34.760 --> 0:16:36.840 We were just talking about the auction I had yesterday. 0:16:37.160 --> 0:16:38.920 You know, I usually like to take my catcher for 0:16:39.080 --> 0:16:43.200 like a dollar two dollars, like maybe especially like in 0:16:43.200 --> 0:16:45.560 a one catcher league. Maybe you know, like in years past, 0:16:45.600 --> 0:16:48.720 you know, you spend ten dollars for real Muto or 0:16:49.040 --> 0:16:51.440 or you know, like someone like Rutchman. You know, maybe 0:16:51.600 --> 0:16:53.400 maybe you do spend ten dollars. He went for over 0:16:53.440 --> 0:16:56.440 twenty dollars in our our our auction. I'm just not 0:16:56.520 --> 0:16:58.360