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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Monday morning episode of

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Speaker 2: the Daily Juice podcast.

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Speaker 1: Miname is Matt Paralt.

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Speaker 2: You guys can follow me across all of my socials

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Speaker 2: at Sports Talk Matt, and boy was that a sweat

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Speaker 2: of a day yesterday. So it ends up being a

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Speaker 2: slightly winning day where two to two and one, I

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Speaker 2: mean the Broncos game, are you kidding me? All that

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Speaker 2: for a push? Patriots win their game easily blowing out

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Speaker 2: the Titans. The Rams win their game easily blowing out

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Speaker 2: the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Browns won their game easily blowing

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Speaker 2: out the Dolphins, and the Vikings couldn't get us there.

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Speaker 2: The Vikings through that pick six Carson Wentz and that

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Speaker 2: was the difference in that game. But wow, the Giants

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Speaker 2: blow that thirty three points in the fourth quarter. We

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Speaker 2: didn't deserve that push, but we got it. So let

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Speaker 2: me take a quick second here because I think it's

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Speaker 2: really been interesting. So we've won for six consecutive days, okay,

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Speaker 2: six straight days of winning, so we are trending in

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Speaker 2: a very good direction. We are headed towards hopefully a

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Speaker 2: winning month. I haven't done the math yet, but last

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Speaker 2: week was a very good week. Obviously, a couple people

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Speaker 2: who decide to get into the comments section that are

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Speaker 2: pointing out the losses. Now, for one thing, if you're

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Speaker 2: the person that sees three games, being bet in two

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Speaker 2: of the games or winners, but you focus on the loss,

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Speaker 2: that's on you. You're a loser. Okay, you focus on losing.

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Speaker 2: That's a dangerous personality trait. And be careful when it

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Speaker 2: comes to gambling, because you don't actually bet to win,

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Speaker 2: you bet to lose. That's people who are addicted to

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Speaker 2: gambling are actually addicted to losing. They like it some

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Speaker 2: part of their brain. They're addicted to it. They're not

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Speaker 2: addicted to the gambling. No, the winds are far, not

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Speaker 2: anywhere near what happened. When you lose the losses as

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Speaker 2: a gambler, then you feel alive. When you lose the money,

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Speaker 2: that's when things are really bad. So an addicted gambler

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Speaker 2: is not addicted to winning or addicted to the act

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Speaker 2: of gambling. They're addicted to the act of losing. So

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Speaker 2: if you're going to come in the comment section and

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Speaker 2: say great bet matt On, say the Purdue game on Saturday,

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Speaker 2: because it was an awful bet or a bet earlier

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Speaker 2: in the week where we just were dead wrong.

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Speaker 1: It was two and one and we were way off.

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Speaker 1: If you're not looking.

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Speaker 2: At the fact that we are up for six straight days, well,

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Speaker 2: there's only two schools of thought there. One, yes, you

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Speaker 2: are a loser, or two you're a parlay player and

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Speaker 2: you parlay all of my bets and you be getting

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Speaker 2: your ass kicked by parlaying my bets. And I've been

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Speaker 2: telling you guys this forever. If you parlay my bets,

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Speaker 2: I'm glad you're losing. Okay, because you're not listening a

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Speaker 2: person who has been betting my place just straight, a

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Speaker 2: one hundred dollars player over the last week, you were

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Speaker 2: up six hundred dollars. For somebody who had parlayed every

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Speaker 2: one of my plays over the last six days, a

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Speaker 2: one hundred dollars better is down six hundred dollars.

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Speaker 1: It's that black and white.

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Speaker 2: If you need any more explanation as to why taking

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Speaker 2: these plays and parlaying them is a really bad idea,

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Speaker 2: I also want to take one quick second to remind

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Speaker 2: people of the rules. Okay, the way this podcast is

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Speaker 2: able to be free is by one participating with the sponsors.

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Speaker 1: More on them here in just one second.

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Speaker 2: Two subscribe being to Betting Pros Premium.

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Speaker 1: And three we.

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Speaker 2: Listen and we watch, and we talk about the plays

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Speaker 2: inside our own content space, meaning we don't take the

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Speaker 2: bets and go off campus. If anyone is, if you

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Speaker 2: see anyone on a discord channel, on a Twitter account,

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Speaker 2: or any other publication taking my bets and putting them

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Speaker 2: out so people don't have to watch or don't have

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Speaker 2: to listen to this podcast, please tell me, because I

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Speaker 2: will put them on blast and we will take a

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Speaker 2: look at what action we can take to prevent that

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Speaker 2: from happening, because that is not only just nasty, it's

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Speaker 2: just wrong. This podcast is free and has been free

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Speaker 2: for five years. This podcast is up forty units in

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Speaker 2: twenty twenty five.

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Speaker 1: And the reason why it.

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Speaker 2: Is up the way that it's up, it's because it's

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Speaker 2: it's free, it's transparent, and it's available for anyone. And

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Speaker 2: all I ask is for fifteen minutes of your day.

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Speaker 2: That's all that I ask. I ask for the listen,

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Speaker 2: and I ask for the watch. If you can't give

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Speaker 2: me that, yeah, I know a lot of you guys.

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Speaker 2: Fast forward all the way through and when the stats

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Speaker 2: are wrong or the last end screen is wrong, and

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Speaker 2: you guys bet the wrong thing. Good, because that's not

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Speaker 2: what we're supposed to be doing here. Okay, I get it.

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Speaker 2: The fast forward buttons there for a reason. But if

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Speaker 2: all you're going to is the end and you miss

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Speaker 2: all of this, this whole rant, and you just fast

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Speaker 2: forward through all of it and you miss different things

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Speaker 2: that I say, good, that's on you. So you missed

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Speaker 2: the play, you are ill informed as to what we

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Speaker 2: are doing here on the Daily Juice podcast. So just

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Speaker 2: a reminder. We don't post the plays anywhere. We don't

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Speaker 2: post the plays on the Discord channel. On top of that,

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Speaker 2: before the games go off. When the games go off,

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Speaker 2: they talk about it all you want, talk about live

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Speaker 2: beds and talk about things you like and go to

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Speaker 2: a Discord channel and the Daily Juice channel and go crazy, right,

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Speaker 2: But we don't post it on the Discord channel, and

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Speaker 2: we don't take it off campus.

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Speaker 1: We don't go anywhere with it.

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Speaker 2: So if somebody does do that, or you see someone

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Speaker 2: to do that, please tell me.

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Speaker 1: I'm available.

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Speaker 2: My dms are open at sports Dock, Matt, come tell me,

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Speaker 2: because I would like to find out who is doing

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Speaker 2: those types of things, because that puts this podcast as

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Speaker 2: being a free podcast in jeopardy, because the first inclination

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Speaker 2: would be put it behind a paywall. Okay, I'm dead serious,

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Speaker 2: Like that can be that this podcast can be put

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Speaker 2: on Betting Pros Premium in a second, and I mean

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Speaker 2: a second, this thing can be put behind a paywall.

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Speaker 1: I don't want.

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Speaker 2: I've always maintained that none of my content will ever

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Speaker 2: go behind paywalls.

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Speaker 1: But I work for Betting Pros. It's their podcast.

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Speaker 2: I just record it, they own it, so just FYI,

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Speaker 2: I don't have full control over that. Okay, I am

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Speaker 2: the host, but I'm not the owner of this podcast.

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Speaker 2: With that stated, as I mentioned, way of supporting this

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Speaker 2: podcast is to support our sponsors. Today's shows being brought

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Speaker 2: to you by hard rock Bet. If you haven't tried

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Speaker 2: your first bet on hard rock Bet, there's still time

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Speaker 2: for you to get one hundred fifty dollars in bonus bets.

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Speaker 2: If you win just pays five dollars, and if you hit,

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Speaker 2: you no only get your winnings, but also one hundred

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Speaker 2: dollars in extra bonus bets. Download the hard rock Bet

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Speaker 2: app and make your first deposit today. So we have

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Speaker 2: two Monday night football games and the game seven tonight.

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Speaker 2: Not betting baseball, okay, it's Game seven. Home teams are

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Speaker 2: barely over five hundred in Game seven, so you think, okay,

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Speaker 2: Toronto wins. I don't know. The Mariners are due. They

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Speaker 2: lost Game six, Okay, they won Game five. They lost

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Speaker 2: Game six. They lost games three and four, but they

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Speaker 2: won game one and two. That's how we're here with

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Speaker 2: a Game seven. They got Kirby on the mound, which

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Speaker 2: is good. You got Bibro on the mouth for the

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Speaker 2: Blue Jays. That's why they picked them up for a

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Speaker 2: game like this. Vlad has gone deep six times here

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Speaker 2: in the playoffs and was hot last night on the

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Speaker 2: bits pass and everything else.

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Speaker 1: So do I lean Toronto? Yes? Do I lean towards

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Speaker 1: the under? Yes? Am I betting any of it? No?

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Speaker 2: Just gonna watch Game seven. Okay, there are two Monday

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Speaker 2: night football games, but I'm gonna focus here on the

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Speaker 2: Bucks and the Lions. There are some very interesting trends

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Speaker 2: going on here. So two teams averaging twenty seven points

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Speaker 2: or more, which is what we have here with the

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Speaker 2: Bucks and the Lions, with a total of fifty three,

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Speaker 2: it's fifty two and a half right now, from Week

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Speaker 2: seven on. There's only been three of these games over

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Speaker 2: the last four years, and of course they've all involved

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Speaker 2: the Lions. Two went over and Detroit lost all three

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Speaker 2: games outright. With the three games averaging sixty points combined,

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Speaker 2: this total is fifty two and a half. Jared Goff

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Speaker 2: is three and oh this year straight up and against

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Speaker 2: the number as a favorite.

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Speaker 1: He's been tremendous.

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Speaker 2: Best mark of any quarterback as a favorite over the

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Speaker 2: last three years. Jared Goff is twenty five ten and one,

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Speaker 2: which is pretty impressive. Jared Goff and Dan Campbell at

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Speaker 2: night have been tremendous. They're twenty three sorry, twelve and

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Speaker 2: three straight up, including seven and one in night games

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Speaker 2: since the start of last season. During the regular season,

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Speaker 2: Jared Goff is nineteen and three straight up as a

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Speaker 2: favorite in night games, including he's never lost at night

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Speaker 2: as a favorite with the Lions. He's nine and oh.

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Speaker 2: But this is Bigger Mayfield. This is Baker as a dog.

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Speaker 2: What do we do? We bet Baker as a dog?

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Speaker 2: He's eighteen and six against sorry, sixteen and eight against

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Speaker 2: the number as a dog when Baker starts. The Bucks

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Speaker 2: are twenty two and two in a six point teaser

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Speaker 2: when listed as the underdog. So with all of that stated,

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Speaker 2: what are we doing. Well, One, we're betting the over. Okay,

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Speaker 2: fifty two and a half. Duh, Like that's just automatic.

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Speaker 2: It's just like the Cowboys game yesterday. If you were

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Speaker 2: with us on a live stream when Pat fist Morrison,

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Speaker 2: I did it on Sunday, I told you take the Lions, sorry,

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Speaker 2: take the Cowboys and Washington over.

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Speaker 1: That game was a walk. Easiest bet of the day

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Speaker 1: was that over. I don't know if this is as good.

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Speaker 2: We're getting sixty five seventy points in this game, but

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Speaker 2: I think we very easily could. I mean, the Lions

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Speaker 2: secondary is banged up, they got problems. This is Baker

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Speaker 2: getting Mike Evans back. It looks like Abuka's gonna play.

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Speaker 2: This is going to be an absolute barn burner of

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Speaker 2: a football game. I can't wait to watch this. Give

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Speaker 2: me the over fifty two and a half here for

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Speaker 2: the Lions and the Bucks. But I'm not done. I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna give Baker Mayfield twelve points. All right, Baker as

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Speaker 2: a dog has been so good and I cannot help

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Speaker 2: but think this game comes down to a last second drive.

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Speaker 2: I mean, maybe it's a seven point win for the

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Speaker 2: Lions and the Bucks are charging and trying to get

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Speaker 2: themselves in overtime. But I just think eleven points double digits,

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Speaker 2: twelve points double digits, I mean, come on, I just

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Speaker 2: can't see it. I just can't see absolute shell lacking

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Speaker 2: with the Lions. Take the Bucks behind the woodsit and

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Speaker 2: blow the doors off of them. If it does, the

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Speaker 2: over hits, and then we wind up with a wash

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Speaker 2: pretty much down a little bit with the juice in this.

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Speaker 2: I haven't done the same game teaser in a while.

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Speaker 2: You guys have been asking me why I haven't been

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Speaker 2: doing it well because I've been winning. I mean, look,

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Speaker 2: straight bets, we've been doing well. Why play around with it?

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Speaker 2: You know, look at the teaser yesterday the Patriots was easy.

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Speaker 2: If we just bet the Patriots straight, that would have

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Speaker 2: been simple. Instead, we teased both games down and get

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Speaker 2: a push out of it. Because the Broncos had the

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Speaker 2: most insane thirty three point fourth quarter, I mean, ridiculous

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Speaker 2: come from behind victory, and we only pushed we need

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Speaker 2: to win. We pushed on that so like that stinks.

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Speaker 2: So I've been doing a lot of straight bets. But

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Speaker 2: for this, let's do it.

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Speaker 1: Same game. Tease it. Let's go bucks plus twelve and

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Speaker 1: the over.

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Speaker 2: Pull it from fifty two and a half down to

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Speaker 2: forty six and a half and we'll play over for

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Speaker 2: one point two five.

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Speaker 1: Units worth of action.

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Speaker 2: Two full unit plays going into this one, but high scoring,

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Speaker 2: back and forth battle. Awesome game. Can't wait to watch it.

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Speaker 2: But let's go Baker. I would love to see Baker

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Speaker 2: Mayfield win this game outright. It would be such a

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Speaker 2: Baker Mayfield thing to do to beat the Lions on

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Speaker 2: Monday night in front of the world. If he does, it,

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Speaker 2: only cements who I think is the MVP. Dak played

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Speaker 2: great yesterday. But if Baker beats the Lions on the road, yeah,

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Speaker 2: we will have a front runner in my opinion, even

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Speaker 2: with Mahomes and what he did to the Raiders. But

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Speaker 2: it's the Raiders, so this is a different level of

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Speaker 2: competition here tonight for Baker Mayfield and the Lions. The

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Speaker 2: second game is putting the Seattle Seahawks at home against

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Speaker 2: the Houston Texans. Now, this is a different game, so

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Speaker 2: why can't Seattle win at home. What's the deal with

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Speaker 2: Mike McDonald. At home, he's ten and one straight up.

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Speaker 2: On the road, he's seven to three and one against

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Speaker 2: the number on the road, but at home he's four

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Speaker 2: and eight straight up and three and nine against the number.

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Speaker 2: Brian Callahan, who got fired, was the only coach to

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Speaker 2: have a worse record against the number currently coaching in

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Speaker 2: the NFL, and he's unemployed. Texans are a defensive strong

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Speaker 2: team now the offense has gotten.

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Speaker 1: Progressively worse. CJ. Stroud really has not made big, big strides.

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Speaker 2: It's been bad for the offensive side of things, but

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Speaker 2: the defense has been great. Defenses Texans are allowing twelve

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Speaker 2: point two points per game IFEWSS in the NFL, They've

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Speaker 2: been awesome. Here's a crazy stat, though, and Sam Donald's

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Speaker 2: career facing defense is allowing twenty points or less.

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Speaker 1: He's fourteen and.

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Speaker 2: Seven straight up, thirteen six and two against the number,

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Speaker 2: and when teams are allowing eighteen points or less, he's

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Speaker 2: seven and two against the number. In his career since

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Speaker 2: twenty nineteen, Sam Donald is fourteen and four straight up

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Speaker 2: when facing a defense allowing twenty points or less. The

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Speaker 2: losses are to goff Brady Lamar and Philip Rivers. We're

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Speaker 2: not putting C. J. Stroud in that category in that company.

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Speaker 2: I think this defense plays well. I think Jackson Smith

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Speaker 2: and Jigma continues to have a tremendous year. He is

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Speaker 2: leading the NFL in receiving yards by eighty yards going

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Speaker 2: into the week. He's been tremendous for a weapon for

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Speaker 2: Sam Donald. I think that continues here today.

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Speaker 1: I think they.

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Speaker 2: Protect Donald well enough and don't allow the defensive pass

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Speaker 2: rush for the Texans to get there. I expect a

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Speaker 2: pretty low scoring game, and I have had my problems

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Speaker 2: betting against the Texans, I will admit it, but I'm

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Speaker 2: taking Seattle. I'll lay the three points with the Seahawks

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Speaker 2: for one point one units, so plays for today over

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Speaker 2: fifty two and a half for the Lions and the Bucks.

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Speaker 2: Bucks plus twelve over forty six and a half in

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Speaker 2: Seattle minus three. If you guys want prop bets for tonight,

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Speaker 2: it's greed very easy to go to our propbit cheat sheets.

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Speaker 2: This for two games tonight. The NFL prop bet cheat

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Speaker 2: sheet will show you the best value on plays.

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Speaker 1: Every day.

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Speaker 2: You get daily prop bet value rankings based on projections.

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Speaker 2: You'll find the best props for all major passing, rushing,

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Speaker 2: and receiving stack categories. Use it now at bettingpros dot

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Speaker 2: com slash props or on the Betting Pros app If

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Speaker 2: you want props for tonight, the propbt cheat sheet is

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Speaker 2: an awesome.

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Speaker 1: Place to go and get it.

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Speaker 2: Go over to Bettingpros dot com slash props to pick

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Speaker 2: it up if you want more breakdown, including what happened

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Speaker 2: this past weekend, I'll breakdown every game in the NFL,

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Speaker 2: will preview the two games tonight even more, and we'll

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Speaker 2: take a look at Game seven tonight. Maybe even a

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Speaker 2: little hockey coming up as well. One o'clock Eastern time

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Speaker 2: on the Bostonian Versus the Book YouTube page. That is

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Speaker 2: where you'll find me for an hour plus streaming live.

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Speaker 2: There's an audio podcast that will drop after we go

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Speaker 2: live at Boston Versus the Book on Twitter x just

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Speaker 2: stream that or on YouTube at Boston Versus the Book.

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Speaker 2: We will also be replayed on Sports Grid Television at

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Speaker 2: ten pm Pacific one pm Eastern time for the show

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Speaker 2: for you late night owls. We will do a lot

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Speaker 2: coming up on both games, including the Lions and the

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Speaker 2: Bucks coming up starting at one pm Eastern Time on

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Speaker 2: YouTube and Twitter at Boston Versus the Book.

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Speaker 1: But Na, it's Matt Parolz.

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Speaker 2: You guys can follow me across all my socials at

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Speaker 2: Sports Talc Matt every morning, wherever you guys get your podcasts.

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Speaker 1: It is the Daily Juice

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Speaker 2: Present represent the fan and present, present and present of