1 00:00:04,920 --> 00:00:10,080 Speaker 1: This is WSV the Solid Verbals Friday News Broadcast. My 2 00:00:10,160 --> 00:00:12,719 Speaker 1: name is Ty hilden Brand, my co host as always 3 00:00:12,760 --> 00:00:15,280 Speaker 1: Dan Rubinstein. You give us a download, we will give 4 00:00:15,320 --> 00:00:17,599 Speaker 1: you the world. Don't forget to go on out to 5 00:00:17,680 --> 00:00:21,079 Speaker 1: our Patreon verbalers dot com. V E R B A 6 00:00:21,320 --> 00:00:23,880 Speaker 1: L L e r s dot com. Don't forget to 7 00:00:24,280 --> 00:00:27,200 Speaker 1: go to Solid Saturday dot com. Check out the live 8 00:00:27,240 --> 00:00:30,120 Speaker 1: stream that Dan and I do eleven a m. Every 9 00:00:30,560 --> 00:00:35,200 Speaker 1: Saturday morning. That's East Coast time. And finally, and last 10 00:00:35,240 --> 00:00:37,760 Speaker 1: but not least, don't forget to go on out to 11 00:00:37,800 --> 00:00:42,440 Speaker 1: wherever you listen to the Solid verbal and drop a review. Yeah, 12 00:00:42,479 --> 00:00:44,240 Speaker 1: if you like the show, Dan, how you doing today? 13 00:00:44,920 --> 00:00:48,720 Speaker 2: I'm wonderful. I just wolf down lunch and we have 14 00:00:49,479 --> 00:00:51,800 Speaker 2: I think expansion news to talk about. We have a 15 00:00:51,840 --> 00:00:54,640 Speaker 2: weekend of action with weird numbers to discuss. And of 16 00:00:54,640 --> 00:00:57,640 Speaker 2: course it's Bill Connolly. It's Bill Connolly on the show 17 00:00:57,880 --> 00:01:02,000 Speaker 2: from ESPN, The the Man s P plus he is 18 00:01:02,080 --> 00:01:04,360 Speaker 2: the man. Right before we hit record, all we did 19 00:01:04,440 --> 00:01:07,319 Speaker 2: was talk about tennis and you sort of nodded along politely. Ty, 20 00:01:07,440 --> 00:01:07,920 Speaker 2: So here we are. 21 00:01:07,959 --> 00:01:15,280 Speaker 1: Do not steal my thunder. Bill Connolly from ESPN. He 22 00:01:15,440 --> 00:01:18,440 Speaker 1: is the one big thing to know at this hour, 23 00:01:19,040 --> 00:01:21,440 Speaker 1: this Friday morning, wherever we find you, Thank you so 24 00:01:21,520 --> 00:01:24,280 Speaker 1: much for downloading, for listening, and for playing along with 25 00:01:24,440 --> 00:01:28,360 Speaker 1: our madness. Without further ado, Dan did a little intro. 26 00:01:28,440 --> 00:01:31,600 Speaker 1: I'll do more of one. It is Bill Connolly, the 27 00:01:31,640 --> 00:01:35,960 Speaker 1: wise Wizard, the sage of college football statistics out there 28 00:01:36,800 --> 00:01:39,160 Speaker 1: on ESPN dot com. Sir, how you doing? Long time, 29 00:01:39,200 --> 00:01:39,640 Speaker 1: no talk? 30 00:01:40,040 --> 00:01:43,360 Speaker 3: That's right, it's been like two whole weeks. I'm good. 31 00:01:43,360 --> 00:01:43,760 Speaker 3: How are you? 32 00:01:44,240 --> 00:01:45,520 Speaker 2: We're great, We're great. 33 00:01:46,120 --> 00:01:50,520 Speaker 1: Expansion Expansion, Expansion, I guess is the one big real 34 00:01:50,600 --> 00:01:54,639 Speaker 1: time moment from a college football standpoint. The news broke. 35 00:01:54,760 --> 00:01:58,080 Speaker 1: We are recording this on a Thursday, a little bit ago, 36 00:01:58,160 --> 00:02:02,600 Speaker 1: around ten am Eastern time, that six schools had accepted 37 00:02:02,640 --> 00:02:09,079 Speaker 1: an invite to join the American Athletic Conference, those being Florida, Atlantic, Charlotte, 38 00:02:09,120 --> 00:02:14,359 Speaker 1: North Texas, Dan's UTSA Roadrunners, of course, Mate, Rice, and 39 00:02:14,800 --> 00:02:20,480 Speaker 1: UA B. So the American is expanded up six new teams, 40 00:02:20,960 --> 00:02:24,359 Speaker 1: mister Connolly, what does your instant take on those six 41 00:02:24,400 --> 00:02:25,720 Speaker 1: new teams joining the AAC. 42 00:02:26,840 --> 00:02:30,720 Speaker 3: So my instant take is when the OU Texas news 43 00:02:30,720 --> 00:02:33,079 Speaker 3: came down in July and I wrote a big reaction 44 00:02:33,120 --> 00:02:36,280 Speaker 3: piece about it. One of the sections in there talked about, 45 00:02:36,520 --> 00:02:39,040 Speaker 3: like whatever the Big twelve does next, Like remember the 46 00:02:39,120 --> 00:02:41,760 Speaker 3: example of the sun Belt over Conference USA. So you know, 47 00:02:41,840 --> 00:02:45,079 Speaker 3: Conference USA raids all the wrong programs from Sun Belt. 48 00:02:45,600 --> 00:02:49,240 Speaker 3: Sun Belt goes and actually brings in football programs and 49 00:02:49,480 --> 00:02:52,359 Speaker 3: suddenly better than than Conference USA every single year. And 50 00:02:52,400 --> 00:02:54,919 Speaker 3: apparently now if there's more rating to be done, the 51 00:02:54,960 --> 00:02:57,480 Speaker 3: sun Belt might turn around and raid Conference USA. So 52 00:02:58,919 --> 00:03:03,000 Speaker 3: in this example, I reference that, you know, Conference USA 53 00:03:03,160 --> 00:03:07,120 Speaker 3: went after Florida Atlantic and Florida International as an approximation 54 00:03:07,200 --> 00:03:11,520 Speaker 3: of Miami, and UTSA for San Antonio, and Middle Tennessee 55 00:03:11,600 --> 00:03:14,520 Speaker 3: for Nashville, and North Texas for Dallas, even though it's 56 00:03:14,560 --> 00:03:18,359 Speaker 3: a it's a little ways up from Dallas. And you 57 00:03:18,400 --> 00:03:20,880 Speaker 3: know Charlotte had just you know, they had a startup program. 58 00:03:21,000 --> 00:03:23,240 Speaker 3: Let's add them to we got all the markets. And 59 00:03:24,560 --> 00:03:28,200 Speaker 3: the fact that one to three four of those six 60 00:03:28,240 --> 00:03:30,440 Speaker 3: teams I mentioned as a what not to do example 61 00:03:30,440 --> 00:03:34,160 Speaker 3: are now moving to the AAC. I think that's probably 62 00:03:34,480 --> 00:03:37,360 Speaker 3: my initial take on the matter. They brought in a 63 00:03:37,360 --> 00:03:39,800 Speaker 3: bunch of programs with potential. They brought in two that 64 00:03:39,840 --> 00:03:41,800 Speaker 3: are actually good at football at the moment one, for 65 00:03:41,840 --> 00:03:47,000 Speaker 3: the first time ever, they're splitting the money six extra ways. 66 00:03:47,040 --> 00:03:51,160 Speaker 2: Now, does it make the conference more interesting? Obviously losing 67 00:03:51,160 --> 00:03:53,400 Speaker 2: what they lost and adding what like, are you immediately 68 00:03:53,400 --> 00:03:56,440 Speaker 2: saying okay, I can see the potential If these programs 69 00:03:56,440 --> 00:03:59,440 Speaker 2: are these three programs whatever continue to buy in and 70 00:03:59,520 --> 00:04:02,760 Speaker 2: spend and invest, does it become not more interesting but 71 00:04:02,840 --> 00:04:05,240 Speaker 2: interesting enough to warrant these invites? 72 00:04:05,400 --> 00:04:07,600 Speaker 3: Bringing back the Memphis you Ab rivalry is great. I 73 00:04:07,600 --> 00:04:11,560 Speaker 3: mean the battle of the Bones, the rims, yeah or yeah. 74 00:04:11,560 --> 00:04:14,760 Speaker 3: And then the basketball rivalry. Obviously that's great. I'm happy 75 00:04:14,760 --> 00:04:18,239 Speaker 3: for you a B. That's the one. I'm absolutely happy 76 00:04:18,279 --> 00:04:19,719 Speaker 3: that they got to move up. I guess this is 77 00:04:19,720 --> 00:04:22,880 Speaker 3: still sort of a move up, so that's great. But 78 00:04:24,320 --> 00:04:25,919 Speaker 3: all I know is, you know, ten years ago in 79 00:04:25,960 --> 00:04:28,919 Speaker 3: Conference USA added these teams, we talked about their potential, 80 00:04:29,400 --> 00:04:32,159 Speaker 3: and ten years later we're talking about their potential. North 81 00:04:32,200 --> 00:04:35,520 Speaker 3: Texas especially. I know they've invested. I know you know 82 00:04:36,120 --> 00:04:40,200 Speaker 3: they're they're trying, but and I'd rather take the programs 83 00:04:40,240 --> 00:04:42,359 Speaker 3: that are actually good at football consistently, that we know 84 00:04:42,520 --> 00:04:45,480 Speaker 3: can be good at football consistently instead of talking about potential. 85 00:04:46,400 --> 00:04:49,760 Speaker 1: Was this expansion for the sake of expansion? Was this 86 00:04:49,839 --> 00:04:52,880 Speaker 1: expansion for the sake of what they see as survival? 87 00:04:53,520 --> 00:04:53,680 Speaker 3: Right? 88 00:04:53,760 --> 00:04:55,880 Speaker 1: What do you see as a rationale for making this 89 00:04:55,960 --> 00:04:56,680 Speaker 1: move at this time? 90 00:04:57,000 --> 00:04:59,400 Speaker 3: Well, they didn't have to add six to survive. They 91 00:04:59,480 --> 00:05:02,080 Speaker 3: needed to add you know, adding UAB made sense if 92 00:05:02,080 --> 00:05:03,960 Speaker 3: you want to strike while the iron's hot and bring 93 00:05:04,000 --> 00:05:07,280 Speaker 3: in UTSA. I mean, that's fine, but they didn't need 94 00:05:07,320 --> 00:05:12,279 Speaker 3: to add six. I don't understand how. I mean, I'm 95 00:05:12,320 --> 00:05:14,840 Speaker 3: not privy to the money conversation, so I can't tell 96 00:05:14,839 --> 00:05:17,120 Speaker 3: you for sure that they absolutely won't make as much money. 97 00:05:17,160 --> 00:05:19,360 Speaker 3: But I don't really understand how bringing in these six 98 00:05:19,680 --> 00:05:23,400 Speaker 3: and splitting the money fourteen ways was the best money 99 00:05:23,440 --> 00:05:25,559 Speaker 3: option there. So they really do seem to be betting 100 00:05:25,560 --> 00:05:29,159 Speaker 3: on potential. And like I said, I don't I don't 101 00:05:29,160 --> 00:05:29,560 Speaker 3: buy that. 102 00:05:30,000 --> 00:05:32,400 Speaker 2: Were you surprised that the Mountain West teams that were 103 00:05:32,480 --> 00:05:36,000 Speaker 2: rumored to be joining or rumored to have American interest 104 00:05:36,320 --> 00:05:40,279 Speaker 2: schools like Bois, San Diego State, whatever, We're pleased. We're 105 00:05:40,320 --> 00:05:42,359 Speaker 2: pleased with how things were going in the Mountain West 106 00:05:42,400 --> 00:05:46,960 Speaker 2: as everything was moving around in college football. Did the 107 00:05:47,000 --> 00:05:49,320 Speaker 2: sort of stationary element of things surprise you. 108 00:05:49,480 --> 00:05:52,440 Speaker 3: Well, the rumors from the start about how like Bois 109 00:05:52,480 --> 00:05:54,760 Speaker 3: in San Diego State said no real quickly because they 110 00:05:54,800 --> 00:05:57,480 Speaker 3: assumed they might have other options here in a few years. Right, 111 00:05:57,600 --> 00:05:59,960 Speaker 3: that kind of made sense. I'm still not I don't know, 112 00:06:00,000 --> 00:06:02,479 Speaker 3: so how what the Big twelve is going to be 113 00:06:02,520 --> 00:06:04,760 Speaker 3: thinking in that regard, and so we don't really know. 114 00:06:04,800 --> 00:06:07,440 Speaker 3: But if they wanted to basically, you know, stay in 115 00:06:07,480 --> 00:06:10,279 Speaker 3: their time zones and wait to see if something bigger 116 00:06:10,279 --> 00:06:12,560 Speaker 3: came along, that made sense. The Colorado Air Force thing 117 00:06:12,640 --> 00:06:15,800 Speaker 3: was confusing to me from the start, number one, because 118 00:06:15,839 --> 00:06:18,440 Speaker 3: of the same thing. Like, right, air Force is occasionally 119 00:06:18,440 --> 00:06:21,360 Speaker 3: good at football. I don't know that they draw viewers 120 00:06:21,360 --> 00:06:23,200 Speaker 3: at all, but I mean, hey, air Force Navy conference 121 00:06:23,279 --> 00:06:25,880 Speaker 3: or that's fine. Colorado State is not just another program 122 00:06:25,920 --> 00:06:29,880 Speaker 3: that's been nothing but potential for years. Beautiful stadium, lots 123 00:06:29,880 --> 00:06:32,839 Speaker 3: of great breweries, all that stuff. But I didn't really 124 00:06:32,880 --> 00:06:35,160 Speaker 3: understand that to start with. And the fact that they 125 00:06:35,279 --> 00:06:38,120 Speaker 3: looked at what the AAC might be doing and decided, 126 00:06:38,160 --> 00:06:40,640 Speaker 3: I mean, you're basically creating a Mountain West, but over there, 127 00:06:40,960 --> 00:06:43,599 Speaker 3: we'll stay over here. Like that that kind of made 128 00:06:43,600 --> 00:06:45,279 Speaker 3: sense to me too for them to pass. 129 00:06:45,520 --> 00:06:47,600 Speaker 1: Well, look a lot more to come, for sure, on 130 00:06:47,640 --> 00:06:52,279 Speaker 1: the expansion front, whether it's rumors, whether it's actual teams 131 00:06:52,360 --> 00:06:55,440 Speaker 1: moving from one conference to another, but just the latest 132 00:06:55,440 --> 00:06:58,520 Speaker 1: domino to fall here. I did want to switch up 133 00:06:58,560 --> 00:07:01,160 Speaker 1: and talk about the spplus. By the way, we got 134 00:07:01,240 --> 00:07:03,159 Speaker 1: questions what does sp plus stand for? 135 00:07:04,880 --> 00:07:08,080 Speaker 3: So in two thousand and eight, no, two thousand and seven, 136 00:07:08,160 --> 00:07:10,600 Speaker 3: when I was doing this at rockem Nation, just fiddle 137 00:07:10,600 --> 00:07:14,800 Speaker 3: in around with numbers. I everything I did at the 138 00:07:14,840 --> 00:07:19,000 Speaker 3: start of anything football analyticsy that came about was based 139 00:07:19,040 --> 00:07:24,280 Speaker 3: on baseball stats, and so I immediately said about basically 140 00:07:24,280 --> 00:07:27,600 Speaker 3: trying to create an OPS for baseball, so the on 141 00:07:27,680 --> 00:07:30,200 Speaker 3: base percentage would be success rate. So there's your ass. 142 00:07:32,200 --> 00:07:36,000 Speaker 3: My first stab at an explosiveness measure for to be 143 00:07:36,120 --> 00:07:39,120 Speaker 3: the equivalent for slugging percentage was basically called equivalent points 144 00:07:39,240 --> 00:07:43,800 Speaker 3: P points per play, and there you go success rate 145 00:07:44,080 --> 00:07:46,520 Speaker 3: and points per play. And then I had to, you know, 146 00:07:46,560 --> 00:07:49,760 Speaker 3: get rid of the ampersand after a while for reasons, 147 00:07:50,200 --> 00:07:53,120 Speaker 3: and we ended up with sp plus even though it's 148 00:07:53,920 --> 00:07:56,280 Speaker 3: like there's much more that goes into it than just that. Now, 149 00:07:56,280 --> 00:07:58,000 Speaker 3: but I'm I'm not going to change the name. 150 00:07:58,680 --> 00:08:02,320 Speaker 1: Great, you got to stick with the branding. It's served you. Well, Okay, 151 00:08:02,680 --> 00:08:07,160 Speaker 1: here is your top five right now per the sp plus. 152 00:08:07,200 --> 00:08:10,760 Speaker 1: This is after week seven. Georgia one, Ohio State two, 153 00:08:11,120 --> 00:08:15,440 Speaker 1: Bama three, Florida five, and then just kind of conspicuously 154 00:08:15,480 --> 00:08:20,920 Speaker 1: there at four, the Clemson Tigers four and two. Yeah, 155 00:08:21,400 --> 00:08:23,840 Speaker 1: I am assuming I do not know this is fact. 156 00:08:24,440 --> 00:08:29,880 Speaker 1: I am assuming you've caught hell. Because Clemson is fourth? 157 00:08:29,960 --> 00:08:30,760 Speaker 1: Why are they fourth? 158 00:08:31,560 --> 00:08:40,640 Speaker 3: Defense? Defense? And preseason projections basically the end they like, 159 00:08:40,720 --> 00:08:42,760 Speaker 3: that's the whole story. You look at the ratings, the weather, 160 00:08:43,160 --> 00:08:45,360 Speaker 3: they take shape. Georgia and Ohios date are very close. 161 00:08:45,400 --> 00:08:47,680 Speaker 3: That's P plus loves what Ohio State did to you know, 162 00:08:47,840 --> 00:08:51,160 Speaker 3: lesser teams over the last few games. And you know 163 00:08:51,520 --> 00:08:53,480 Speaker 3: we saw in twenty fourteen that that can easily be 164 00:08:53,520 --> 00:08:55,319 Speaker 3: the start of something when you play real teams. Again, 165 00:08:56,040 --> 00:08:58,760 Speaker 3: Bama's two and a half points back in third place 166 00:08:58,840 --> 00:09:03,880 Speaker 3: right now and Clemson four through whatever. Clemson's three point 167 00:09:03,880 --> 00:09:07,679 Speaker 3: eight points back of Bama, like over six points behind Georgia, 168 00:09:07,760 --> 00:09:09,760 Speaker 3: So there's a humongous gap there. And then you look 169 00:09:09,800 --> 00:09:11,920 Speaker 3: at just the kind of clustering. Four through eleven are 170 00:09:12,000 --> 00:09:16,000 Speaker 3: very close together. So I mean Clemson could easily be 171 00:09:16,160 --> 00:09:20,040 Speaker 3: seventh if I tinkered with the Knobs slightly differently, but 172 00:09:20,080 --> 00:09:22,040 Speaker 3: basically the bottom line is they were projected as a 173 00:09:22,080 --> 00:09:24,760 Speaker 3: top whatever two or three team I think to start 174 00:09:24,760 --> 00:09:27,320 Speaker 3: the season. The defenses that lived up to every bit 175 00:09:27,360 --> 00:09:31,360 Speaker 3: of whatever projections they had, and the offense has only 176 00:09:31,440 --> 00:09:34,320 Speaker 3: dropped two thirtieth because preseason projections are kind of propping 177 00:09:34,360 --> 00:09:36,400 Speaker 3: them up a little bit. So, I mean, that's it. 178 00:09:36,559 --> 00:09:39,560 Speaker 3: I out of curiosity, I looked at what the ratings 179 00:09:39,600 --> 00:09:42,480 Speaker 3: would look like with no preseason numbers whatsoever, which I 180 00:09:42,520 --> 00:09:44,600 Speaker 3: don't usually try to tweet about that or anything because 181 00:09:44,600 --> 00:09:47,199 Speaker 3: people run with that like that's the Reeld number, and 182 00:09:47,640 --> 00:09:51,040 Speaker 3: the reason I use preseason projection is much better and 183 00:09:51,120 --> 00:09:54,840 Speaker 3: more accurate to do so. But like, even without preseason numbers, 184 00:09:54,840 --> 00:09:56,720 Speaker 3: they're still like tenth or eleventh right now because the 185 00:09:56,760 --> 00:10:01,120 Speaker 3: defense is so good. The same with Wisconsin. They're sitting 186 00:10:01,120 --> 00:10:03,720 Speaker 3: there at seven just you know, yelling at me and 187 00:10:03,760 --> 00:10:05,480 Speaker 3: making fun of me every week because I have to, 188 00:10:06,000 --> 00:10:08,560 Speaker 3: you know, eyeball the ratings and think, okay, that'll make sense, 189 00:10:08,559 --> 00:10:11,160 Speaker 3: and up yep, three and three Wisconsins. I had a 190 00:10:11,400 --> 00:10:13,640 Speaker 3: you know, Michigan and whoever else, they'd be like eleven 191 00:10:13,760 --> 00:10:16,360 Speaker 3: or twelfth, right now with no preseason it's because again 192 00:10:16,400 --> 00:10:17,480 Speaker 3: their defense is that good. 193 00:10:17,960 --> 00:10:21,560 Speaker 1: But you have to have circumstances like this almost every year, 194 00:10:21,760 --> 00:10:25,040 Speaker 1: right Like Clemson obviously is pretty prominent right now given 195 00:10:25,040 --> 00:10:27,720 Speaker 1: where they've been over the last four or five years. 196 00:10:27,760 --> 00:10:31,320 Speaker 1: But I have to imagine, even if it's not top 197 00:10:31,400 --> 00:10:33,760 Speaker 1: five every year, there are stragglers who kind of work 198 00:10:33,800 --> 00:10:36,199 Speaker 1: their way in for being a half team, as Dan 199 00:10:36,240 --> 00:10:39,000 Speaker 1: and I would classify them here, right, really good one 200 00:10:39,080 --> 00:10:41,360 Speaker 1: side of the ball, maybe not as good on the other. 201 00:10:41,720 --> 00:10:46,040 Speaker 3: Right, And you know it is you know, that's the 202 00:10:46,080 --> 00:10:48,319 Speaker 3: trade off you make, Like I did, I keep the 203 00:10:48,320 --> 00:10:51,440 Speaker 3: preseason numbers in pretty like it's still fifty percent basically 204 00:10:51,559 --> 00:10:53,080 Speaker 3: right now, and even at the end of the year, 205 00:10:53,200 --> 00:10:55,320 Speaker 3: Like I had a bunch of like real math people, 206 00:10:55,640 --> 00:10:57,640 Speaker 3: you know, I talked to this like when I made 207 00:10:57,679 --> 00:10:59,520 Speaker 3: some changes a few years ago, and they said, like, 208 00:10:59,520 --> 00:11:02,880 Speaker 3: priors are good, prior, like priors, priors, priors, they make 209 00:11:02,920 --> 00:11:05,920 Speaker 3: everything more predictive. So I finally broke down because back 210 00:11:06,000 --> 00:11:07,520 Speaker 3: like a decade ago, I was trying to get rid 211 00:11:07,559 --> 00:11:10,160 Speaker 3: of the preseason numbers by like October first, basically just 212 00:11:10,200 --> 00:11:12,680 Speaker 3: like let these let the season stand on its own. 213 00:11:12,679 --> 00:11:15,680 Speaker 3: And that's fine, but it's not all that great from 214 00:11:15,679 --> 00:11:18,800 Speaker 3: a predictive standpoint to do so. But yeah, the trade 215 00:11:18,800 --> 00:11:23,319 Speaker 3: off is it makes sure that you know Ohio State, 216 00:11:23,440 --> 00:11:26,679 Speaker 3: for instance, you know, stays where they should be because again, 217 00:11:26,880 --> 00:11:29,560 Speaker 3: like Vegas will project them as a favorite against anybody 218 00:11:29,559 --> 00:11:32,480 Speaker 3: in the country besides you know Georgia right now, maybe 219 00:11:32,480 --> 00:11:35,840 Speaker 3: Alabama and and s P plus is the same. It 220 00:11:35,880 --> 00:11:38,040 Speaker 3: props teams up that should be propped up in that regard, 221 00:11:38,440 --> 00:11:40,480 Speaker 3: and then occasionally when there's just a team that it 222 00:11:40,520 --> 00:11:42,480 Speaker 3: doesn't have it even though it should have it, it 223 00:11:42,559 --> 00:11:43,360 Speaker 3: keeps them propped up. 224 00:11:43,360 --> 00:11:47,920 Speaker 2: To who are you personally most aligned with SP plus with? 225 00:11:48,440 --> 00:11:53,319 Speaker 2: Like where when your football watching eyes and brain watch 226 00:11:53,320 --> 00:11:57,000 Speaker 2: a team and watch results and see consistent patterns with 227 00:11:57,080 --> 00:12:01,079 Speaker 2: teams and sp plus sees the same thing or doesn't 228 00:12:01,080 --> 00:12:03,559 Speaker 2: see the same things. Where are you most aligned? And 229 00:12:03,679 --> 00:12:05,520 Speaker 2: obviously you know they're going to be situations like you 230 00:12:05,559 --> 00:12:07,959 Speaker 2: mentioned with Wisconsin and Clemson were like, wow, the predictive 231 00:12:08,240 --> 00:12:12,120 Speaker 2: preseason stuff is why those teams are ranked where they are. 232 00:12:12,600 --> 00:12:15,000 Speaker 2: I'm not there with them, but like number seventeen makes sense, 233 00:12:15,160 --> 00:12:17,480 Speaker 2: number of nine makes sense. Where are you guys aligned? 234 00:12:17,520 --> 00:12:20,239 Speaker 2: When I say guys, I mean you and an algorithm. 235 00:12:20,360 --> 00:12:23,600 Speaker 3: I've always said that spplus is better at identifying overrated 236 00:12:23,600 --> 00:12:25,120 Speaker 3: teams than underrated teams. 237 00:12:25,320 --> 00:12:28,160 Speaker 2: Interesting, and so when you have. 238 00:12:28,160 --> 00:12:31,800 Speaker 3: A situation like I mean, Iowa fans just stopped yelling 239 00:12:31,840 --> 00:12:34,079 Speaker 3: at me, so I should mention their team ever again. 240 00:12:34,200 --> 00:12:38,880 Speaker 3: But I mean, when I was number two in the country, 241 00:12:38,920 --> 00:12:41,320 Speaker 3: the way they became number two in the country and 242 00:12:41,400 --> 00:12:44,120 Speaker 3: playing great on one side of the ball, but relying 243 00:12:44,200 --> 00:12:46,800 Speaker 3: so heavily on turnovers, going three and out on more 244 00:12:46,840 --> 00:12:50,480 Speaker 3: than almost anybody in college football, the numbers are going 245 00:12:50,520 --> 00:12:52,240 Speaker 3: to start screaming that they are not the number two 246 00:12:52,240 --> 00:12:54,520 Speaker 3: team in the country. And you know, they were sixteenth 247 00:12:54,600 --> 00:12:57,040 Speaker 3: last week. They lost to Purdue in a kind of 248 00:12:57,040 --> 00:12:59,800 Speaker 3: a funky turnover ish manner as well, they don't drop 249 00:12:59,800 --> 00:13:03,160 Speaker 3: the still sixteen, So I think that is definitely a 250 00:13:03,200 --> 00:13:04,959 Speaker 3: case of they are who we thought they are. And 251 00:13:05,000 --> 00:13:07,720 Speaker 3: that is something that my eye kind of catches as well, 252 00:13:07,760 --> 00:13:10,760 Speaker 3: just the teams that it's fun when they're forcing turnovers 253 00:13:10,800 --> 00:13:12,839 Speaker 3: every play, and then you remember, like no team does 254 00:13:12,880 --> 00:13:15,160 Speaker 3: that all year. No team can pick off four passes 255 00:13:15,160 --> 00:13:18,120 Speaker 3: in every single game and therefore dominate field position and 256 00:13:18,280 --> 00:13:21,720 Speaker 3: eventually win because of it. And that's certainly that's the 257 00:13:21,720 --> 00:13:23,200 Speaker 3: way it played out with Iowa at least. 258 00:13:24,040 --> 00:13:26,719 Speaker 2: Yeah, I tend to agree with that, especially looking at well, 259 00:13:26,760 --> 00:13:28,959 Speaker 2: really the two teams that Ty and I root for 260 00:13:29,080 --> 00:13:32,760 Speaker 2: with Notre Dame, whose defense has come along well, and 261 00:13:32,840 --> 00:13:35,160 Speaker 2: Notre Dame fans know that Notre Dame fans know that 262 00:13:35,200 --> 00:13:37,280 Speaker 2: the defense has gotten stronger over the course of the season, 263 00:13:37,600 --> 00:13:40,959 Speaker 2: and know that their offense has had the continued same 264 00:13:41,040 --> 00:13:43,640 Speaker 2: issues beat against some good defenses. When you look at 265 00:13:43,760 --> 00:13:48,040 Speaker 2: you know, playing Cincinnati, Perdue, Wisconsin, whatever, and Oregon keeps 266 00:13:48,080 --> 00:13:51,320 Speaker 2: getting or keeps giving points, you know, Vegas sees Oregon 267 00:13:51,400 --> 00:13:54,440 Speaker 2: as a strong team, even though Oregon fans and even 268 00:13:54,480 --> 00:13:57,000 Speaker 2: though anybody who has actually watched Oregon looks at the 269 00:13:57,080 --> 00:14:00,680 Speaker 2: Ducks and says, look, they're talented, they make plays at times, 270 00:14:00,840 --> 00:14:04,640 Speaker 2: but the underlying trends with both sides of the ball, 271 00:14:04,640 --> 00:14:06,880 Speaker 2: be it the injuries on defense and beat the inconsistencies 272 00:14:06,880 --> 00:14:08,840 Speaker 2: in the past game, say that this is not a 273 00:14:08,880 --> 00:14:12,160 Speaker 2: team that should be in a top ten and playoffish conversation. 274 00:14:12,679 --> 00:14:14,319 Speaker 3: Yeah, we are at a weird point of the year. 275 00:14:14,320 --> 00:14:16,439 Speaker 3: And this happens to some degree every year where you've 276 00:14:16,480 --> 00:14:18,520 Speaker 3: got some power conference teams that have managed to win 277 00:14:18,559 --> 00:14:21,400 Speaker 3: some close games and remain undefeated, or in an Oregon's case, 278 00:14:21,400 --> 00:14:23,840 Speaker 3: to lose once, I guess, But Oklahoma State, Wake Forest, 279 00:14:23,920 --> 00:14:29,560 Speaker 3: orgon teams that are higher ranked, then we kind of 280 00:14:29,600 --> 00:14:31,800 Speaker 3: assume their capabilities are We just kind of have to 281 00:14:32,120 --> 00:14:33,480 Speaker 3: in a lot of cases just kind of wait for 282 00:14:33,520 --> 00:14:35,600 Speaker 3: them to lose. Like we know they're probably not going 283 00:14:35,640 --> 00:14:37,680 Speaker 3: to win out Oklahoma State's probably not going to beat 284 00:14:38,040 --> 00:14:39,800 Speaker 3: Iowa State and then at the end of the year 285 00:14:39,880 --> 00:14:42,560 Speaker 3: beat Oklahoma and then beat Oklahoma again, or however that 286 00:14:42,600 --> 00:14:45,560 Speaker 3: plays out. Wake Forest, you know they actually I mean, 287 00:14:45,560 --> 00:14:47,600 Speaker 3: if they get past Army, they get Duke next. But 288 00:14:47,920 --> 00:14:50,160 Speaker 3: their last four games they're projected to lose all four 289 00:14:50,200 --> 00:14:54,920 Speaker 3: in sp plus, which hates their defense. So we are 290 00:14:54,960 --> 00:14:57,560 Speaker 3: in that weird limbo period where we have to you know, 291 00:14:57,680 --> 00:15:00,000 Speaker 3: teams haven't lost yet and therefore they get the respect 292 00:15:00,120 --> 00:15:03,280 Speaker 3: in the headlines and deservedly so, but we also know 293 00:15:03,360 --> 00:15:05,200 Speaker 3: this probably isn't going to last much longer. 294 00:15:05,600 --> 00:15:07,960 Speaker 2: Is there anybody on the flip side of that that 295 00:15:08,360 --> 00:15:11,480 Speaker 2: is performing really well but is not getting the attention 296 00:15:11,600 --> 00:15:14,640 Speaker 2: because of their record, right like a Nebraska defense. And 297 00:15:14,680 --> 00:15:16,520 Speaker 2: that's the example that I always turned to right. The 298 00:15:16,560 --> 00:15:19,160 Speaker 2: Nebraska defense is playing like a top fifteen team, but 299 00:15:19,240 --> 00:15:22,400 Speaker 2: the offense isn't closing out games. Is there a team 300 00:15:22,480 --> 00:15:26,480 Speaker 2: that s P plus has identified as being I mean 301 00:15:26,600 --> 00:15:29,240 Speaker 2: you mentioned Clemson, but like that is that their record 302 00:15:29,880 --> 00:15:32,480 Speaker 2: is not where it should be, but their performance is 303 00:15:32,520 --> 00:15:33,600 Speaker 2: actually quite impressive. 304 00:15:33,880 --> 00:15:36,640 Speaker 3: Iowa stayed out gained Iowa and Baylor by almost to 305 00:15:36,680 --> 00:15:40,440 Speaker 3: combine four hundred yards. Yeah, they never with the law. 306 00:15:40,480 --> 00:15:42,680 Speaker 3: I mean I've seen a lot of the disappointment kind 307 00:15:42,720 --> 00:15:46,680 Speaker 3: of headlines or analysis or whatever. But I mean, if 308 00:15:46,720 --> 00:15:49,080 Speaker 3: they only throw two picks against Iowa, they probably win. 309 00:15:49,160 --> 00:15:51,680 Speaker 3: If they only screw up like have a major special 310 00:15:51,720 --> 00:15:54,480 Speaker 3: team's miss qu once against Baylor, they probably win. I 311 00:15:54,560 --> 00:15:56,480 Speaker 3: took a lot for them to lose those two games. 312 00:15:56,520 --> 00:16:02,560 Speaker 3: So they're basically what three four plays, you know, catastrophic 313 00:16:02,600 --> 00:16:06,080 Speaker 3: plays away from being unbeaten, which I mean those plays happen. Therefore, 314 00:16:06,600 --> 00:16:08,120 Speaker 3: you don't get to play for the national title. And 315 00:16:08,120 --> 00:16:09,960 Speaker 3: that's fine. But their twelfth right now, and that s 316 00:16:10,000 --> 00:16:12,680 Speaker 3: P plus and I get it. Their defense is probably 317 00:16:12,720 --> 00:16:15,080 Speaker 3: even better than it was supposed to be, or at 318 00:16:15,080 --> 00:16:16,960 Speaker 3: the very least it's as good. 319 00:16:17,640 --> 00:16:20,280 Speaker 2: And also, you need a Matt Campbell addendum basically to 320 00:16:20,600 --> 00:16:22,400 Speaker 2: the Iowa State Form. You're like, well, I'm going to 321 00:16:22,440 --> 00:16:23,960 Speaker 2: work in two and a half more points because of 322 00:16:24,000 --> 00:16:25,640 Speaker 2: special teams screw up with Matt Kamis. 323 00:16:25,760 --> 00:16:28,360 Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, and you know I'm not as P plus 324 00:16:28,360 --> 00:16:31,360 Speaker 3: like their twelfth and s P plus even though he 325 00:16:31,480 --> 00:16:35,680 Speaker 3: never tries against FCS teams, like they try to win 326 00:16:35,960 --> 00:16:38,960 Speaker 3: by six points against any FCS team they play, and 327 00:16:39,000 --> 00:16:42,880 Speaker 3: they're still twelfth even though that game counted. So there 328 00:16:42,880 --> 00:16:45,320 Speaker 3: are rock solid. They're basically what they were supposed to be. 329 00:16:45,360 --> 00:16:47,880 Speaker 3: They just you know, they had a couple stupid errors 330 00:16:47,880 --> 00:16:49,400 Speaker 3: in the two biggest games they've played so far. 331 00:16:50,360 --> 00:16:52,920 Speaker 1: As we said, I think an interview or to a 332 00:16:52,960 --> 00:16:55,680 Speaker 1: go you have been trying to will two thousand and 333 00:16:55,720 --> 00:16:59,560 Speaker 1: seven back into the existence, yep, in this year twenty 334 00:16:59,600 --> 00:17:00,320 Speaker 1: twenty one. 335 00:17:00,000 --> 00:17:00,160 Speaker 3: One. 336 00:17:00,960 --> 00:17:03,800 Speaker 1: How does the seasons compare so far? Have you taken 337 00:17:03,840 --> 00:17:06,879 Speaker 1: a look at all about you know, where we stand 338 00:17:06,960 --> 00:17:08,879 Speaker 1: now relative to that crazy season. 339 00:17:09,320 --> 00:17:11,720 Speaker 3: Here's where it gets hard, because I mean in terms 340 00:17:11,720 --> 00:17:14,359 Speaker 3: of ranked teams losing, I think twenty twenty one is 341 00:17:14,359 --> 00:17:16,080 Speaker 3: still ahead of the rest of the pack, ahead of 342 00:17:16,080 --> 00:17:18,080 Speaker 3: two thousand and seven and everything else. Like there's been 343 00:17:18,160 --> 00:17:20,200 Speaker 3: a ton of movement. And as I wrote last week 344 00:17:20,480 --> 00:17:27,359 Speaker 3: for I think my Friday ESPN column, there was once 345 00:17:27,400 --> 00:17:29,960 Speaker 3: you have that first layer of chaos, once Ohio State's 346 00:17:29,960 --> 00:17:32,520 Speaker 3: lost and Clemson is not what they're supposed to be 347 00:17:32,560 --> 00:17:35,280 Speaker 3: an Alabama's lost, then it becomes really easy to keep 348 00:17:35,280 --> 00:17:38,280 Speaker 3: the chaos going because then I was ranked second, and 349 00:17:38,600 --> 00:17:40,240 Speaker 3: you have a bunch of teams that are way out 350 00:17:40,359 --> 00:17:43,639 Speaker 3: over their skis in terms of what they're supposed to 351 00:17:43,640 --> 00:17:45,840 Speaker 3: do on paper versus what their record is and what 352 00:17:45,880 --> 00:17:48,640 Speaker 3: their ranking is, and those teams lose because they're projected 353 00:17:48,640 --> 00:17:50,960 Speaker 3: to lose, and it goes down as an upset and 354 00:17:51,000 --> 00:17:53,080 Speaker 3: all the chaos continues. So we've gotten the hard part 355 00:17:53,080 --> 00:17:57,560 Speaker 3: out of the way. It is. It's kind of a 356 00:17:57,640 --> 00:17:59,840 Speaker 3: lull this week for sure. Like if we're gonna have 357 00:17:59,880 --> 00:18:01,560 Speaker 3: an other top two team lose this week, it has 358 00:18:01,640 --> 00:18:05,160 Speaker 3: to be Cincinnati losing to Navy, which feels very Stanford 359 00:18:05,280 --> 00:18:08,159 Speaker 3: USC like at that point, like I'm not really holding 360 00:18:08,200 --> 00:18:10,240 Speaker 3: my breath on that one. Plus I want Cincinnati to 361 00:18:10,240 --> 00:18:13,320 Speaker 3: finish unbeaten just to see how that plays out. But 362 00:18:14,160 --> 00:18:17,199 Speaker 3: like so far it really has kind of matched up. 363 00:18:17,200 --> 00:18:21,600 Speaker 3: It's just November is where most of the genuinely, just 364 00:18:21,760 --> 00:18:24,320 Speaker 3: the week to week chaos really started picking up steam 365 00:18:24,359 --> 00:18:26,480 Speaker 3: in two thousand and seven. So the bar keeps getting 366 00:18:26,560 --> 00:18:28,679 Speaker 3: higher as we go along here and we'll see. 367 00:18:28,480 --> 00:18:30,520 Speaker 1: Well, and that was gonna be my next question. What 368 00:18:30,640 --> 00:18:33,160 Speaker 1: kind of chaos do you potentially see on the horizon 369 00:18:33,200 --> 00:18:34,720 Speaker 1: based on your numbers? 370 00:18:35,000 --> 00:18:36,560 Speaker 2: Are the agents of chaos too? 371 00:18:36,720 --> 00:18:36,880 Speaker 3: Yeah? 372 00:18:36,920 --> 00:18:40,840 Speaker 2: Who's like, who is the granule of sand inside the 373 00:18:40,840 --> 00:18:43,199 Speaker 2: shell to get our chaotic pearl? 374 00:18:43,720 --> 00:18:46,119 Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean Tennessee chaotic pearl? 375 00:18:47,680 --> 00:18:48,560 Speaker 2: Very strange, you should know. 376 00:18:48,640 --> 00:18:52,800 Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, So so, yeah, Tennessee I thought had some 377 00:18:52,840 --> 00:18:55,879 Speaker 3: potential in that regard. Obviously, Ole miss isn't a title contender, 378 00:18:55,920 --> 00:18:57,440 Speaker 3: so the fact that they lost last week wasn't a 379 00:18:57,440 --> 00:19:00,960 Speaker 3: big deal. But they still get obviously they get Alabama, 380 00:19:01,119 --> 00:19:04,880 Speaker 3: they get Georgia. A couple of weeks after that, they 381 00:19:04,880 --> 00:19:08,200 Speaker 3: had Kentucky. But that's that's a non story, I guess anymore. 382 00:19:08,240 --> 00:19:10,240 Speaker 3: But they were one option. I think the biggest chaos 383 00:19:10,359 --> 00:19:12,879 Speaker 3: right now is if everybody in the big ten East 384 00:19:13,280 --> 00:19:17,760 Speaker 3: destroys each other enough, and you know, the everybody in 385 00:19:17,800 --> 00:19:19,760 Speaker 3: that conference ends up with two losses, that's kind of 386 00:19:19,760 --> 00:19:22,200 Speaker 3: the biggest source. Because I mean, the PAC twelve is 387 00:19:22,200 --> 00:19:25,840 Speaker 3: already kind of kind of chaos itself out to a degree. Obviously, 388 00:19:25,880 --> 00:19:28,480 Speaker 3: if UCLA beats organ this weekend, that could go even further. 389 00:19:28,560 --> 00:19:31,879 Speaker 3: But I think we're kind of like that's by the wayside. 390 00:19:31,920 --> 00:19:33,800 Speaker 3: I assume the ACC will kind of take care of 391 00:19:33,840 --> 00:19:36,919 Speaker 3: itself a little bit. Maybe Pitt can keep this up 392 00:19:37,720 --> 00:19:39,840 Speaker 3: a little while, and we have to schedule an emergency 393 00:19:39,880 --> 00:19:41,840 Speaker 3: game with West Virginia at the end of the year 394 00:19:41,880 --> 00:19:44,280 Speaker 3: for them. We must, we must West Virginia to get 395 00:19:44,320 --> 00:19:47,879 Speaker 3: revenge for two thousand and seven. But you know that 396 00:19:48,560 --> 00:19:51,480 Speaker 3: it's hard unless Pitt really does beat Clempson and run 397 00:19:51,520 --> 00:19:53,880 Speaker 3: the table, it's kind of hard to see them really 398 00:19:53,920 --> 00:19:55,760 Speaker 3: having a contender at the end of the day. Sorry, weak, 399 00:19:56,280 --> 00:20:00,639 Speaker 3: but so we're already down to three power conferences in Cincinnati. Basically, 400 00:20:02,200 --> 00:20:04,520 Speaker 3: I mean, if SEC teams wanted to really pick up 401 00:20:04,520 --> 00:20:07,080 Speaker 3: the slack here, if Tennessee finally wanted to beat Alabama 402 00:20:07,080 --> 00:20:09,240 Speaker 3: for the first time in fifteen years, I'm you know, 403 00:20:09,320 --> 00:20:12,440 Speaker 3: let's do it. Let's keep that train going. But otherwise 404 00:20:12,440 --> 00:20:14,240 Speaker 3: I think it's going to come down to the Big Ten. 405 00:20:14,400 --> 00:20:17,800 Speaker 3: Big twelve has potential with Oklahoma having already survived thirty 406 00:20:17,840 --> 00:20:22,320 Speaker 3: eight one score games. But yeah, with Michigan, Michigan State, 407 00:20:22,359 --> 00:20:24,640 Speaker 3: Penn State, and Ohio State all having to play each other, 408 00:20:25,400 --> 00:20:27,680 Speaker 3: there's a chance that they all beat each other up 409 00:20:27,680 --> 00:20:29,560 Speaker 3: and the Big Ten doesn't get a team in the playoff. 410 00:20:29,960 --> 00:20:32,440 Speaker 1: Wow, that would be crazy. That that's one of those 411 00:20:32,560 --> 00:20:34,600 Speaker 1: chaos scenarios that people ask us about. 412 00:20:34,880 --> 00:20:37,240 Speaker 3: And sorry, like you know, I think I'll State probably 413 00:20:37,280 --> 00:20:38,880 Speaker 3: went out and makes it like that's probably the most 414 00:20:38,880 --> 00:20:41,399 Speaker 3: likely scenario right now. But it's absolutely on the table 415 00:20:41,400 --> 00:20:42,920 Speaker 3: that weird stuff happens there. 416 00:20:42,840 --> 00:20:45,639 Speaker 1: And it will I think shift a lot in the 417 00:20:45,680 --> 00:20:48,359 Speaker 1: top ten because by virtue of the fact that we 418 00:20:48,359 --> 00:20:51,400 Speaker 1: have so many Big ten teams up there. Yeah, it's 419 00:20:51,440 --> 00:20:53,760 Speaker 1: inevitable that we'll see a lot of it. You mentioned, Pitt. 420 00:20:53,760 --> 00:20:55,560 Speaker 1: I just want to come back to that, who do 421 00:20:55,600 --> 00:20:58,480 Speaker 1: you like in the acc like legitimately, like if you 422 00:20:58,760 --> 00:20:59,920 Speaker 1: had a gun to your head and you had to 423 00:21:00,040 --> 00:21:02,639 Speaker 1: pick someone to I don't know, run the table or 424 00:21:02,760 --> 00:21:03,680 Speaker 1: just win the conference. 425 00:21:03,760 --> 00:21:05,240 Speaker 2: I mean it's sort of pit n C State is 426 00:21:05,280 --> 00:21:06,760 Speaker 2: the conversation, which is very strange. 427 00:21:06,800 --> 00:21:08,880 Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, I mean would you pick either of those 428 00:21:08,880 --> 00:21:10,520 Speaker 1: teams or some of those. 429 00:21:10,359 --> 00:21:13,800 Speaker 3: Two I mean these words like kind of get stuck. 430 00:21:13,840 --> 00:21:18,960 Speaker 3: But like I think I trust Pit the most, like 431 00:21:19,119 --> 00:21:22,720 Speaker 3: n C State so far this year has laid a 432 00:21:22,720 --> 00:21:27,480 Speaker 3: big fat egg at Mississippi State, beaten, Clemson tried really 433 00:21:27,520 --> 00:21:30,080 Speaker 3: really hard to lose to Louisiana Tech, who is another 434 00:21:30,119 --> 00:21:33,160 Speaker 3: team that only plays well and barely loses to good 435 00:21:33,200 --> 00:21:36,280 Speaker 3: teams or try barely went beats bad teams. And then 436 00:21:36,280 --> 00:21:38,320 Speaker 3: they pummeled Boston College, who it seemed like was at 437 00:21:38,400 --> 00:21:41,320 Speaker 3: least a pretty solid team. So I mean, I do 438 00:21:41,400 --> 00:21:43,040 Speaker 3: not trust the n C State at all. They can 439 00:21:43,080 --> 00:21:45,159 Speaker 3: lose that at Miami and it won't surprise me in 440 00:21:45,200 --> 00:21:47,560 Speaker 3: the least. They clearly have upside, but I don't. I 441 00:21:47,560 --> 00:21:49,840 Speaker 3: don't trust those for me though, I just I need 442 00:21:49,920 --> 00:21:51,840 Speaker 3: to see Clemson lose to Pit like that. That's what 443 00:21:51,920 --> 00:21:54,879 Speaker 3: it comes down to. I need to see Pitt actually score, 444 00:21:54,960 --> 00:21:59,639 Speaker 3: come through laid beat Clemson as a favorite, as the 445 00:21:59,760 --> 00:22:03,240 Speaker 3: rank team in the matchup and a favorite, and as 446 00:22:03,320 --> 00:22:06,120 Speaker 3: a potential national title contender. I need to see Pitt 447 00:22:06,160 --> 00:22:08,280 Speaker 3: win that game. And if they do, then they're I 448 00:22:08,280 --> 00:22:10,479 Speaker 3: think they're the easy pick at that point, even if 449 00:22:10,560 --> 00:22:12,159 Speaker 3: NC State still has a shot. 450 00:22:13,359 --> 00:22:16,080 Speaker 2: Who are the great overachievers, either to your eyes or 451 00:22:16,119 --> 00:22:18,360 Speaker 2: to sp plus the great overachiever. I mean we saw 452 00:22:18,400 --> 00:22:21,760 Speaker 2: Purdue come in already playing good defense and sort of 453 00:22:21,800 --> 00:22:24,720 Speaker 2: emphatically play good defense against Iowa in that big upset. 454 00:22:25,000 --> 00:22:26,920 Speaker 2: But across the sport there are a number of teams 455 00:22:26,920 --> 00:22:29,280 Speaker 2: it seems like I don't think expectations were super high 456 00:22:29,320 --> 00:22:31,040 Speaker 2: for Baylor, and they seem to be operating at an 457 00:22:31,080 --> 00:22:36,240 Speaker 2: impressive clip. Same can be said about I mean Pitt 458 00:22:36,280 --> 00:22:38,760 Speaker 2: of course that we just mentioned, but even in the SEC. 459 00:22:38,800 --> 00:22:40,680 Speaker 2: I don't think a lot of people saw this Kentucky 460 00:22:40,720 --> 00:22:43,159 Speaker 2: team coming in this Kentucky season coming. So who are 461 00:22:43,200 --> 00:22:45,639 Speaker 2: the great overachievers almost through October? 462 00:22:46,520 --> 00:22:48,159 Speaker 3: I mean Baylor is a good one. I think the 463 00:22:48,200 --> 00:22:50,159 Speaker 3: list has to start with Michigan State, right, I mean 464 00:22:50,320 --> 00:22:54,240 Speaker 3: that's absolutely you know, They're It's funny they I love 465 00:22:54,280 --> 00:22:56,360 Speaker 3: their often so much. They got three guys who can 466 00:22:56,400 --> 00:22:59,320 Speaker 3: score on a nine yard run or pass at any 467 00:22:59,359 --> 00:23:01,280 Speaker 3: given moment. Well, man, I guess you have to be. 468 00:23:01,200 --> 00:23:03,680 Speaker 2: At the one or playing Nebraska in the second half 469 00:23:03,760 --> 00:23:06,680 Speaker 2: in Nebraska, but I mean they're still only like forty 470 00:23:06,720 --> 00:23:09,840 Speaker 2: eight then offensive spplus because their efficiency numbers are so bad, 471 00:23:09,840 --> 00:23:10,679 Speaker 2: but their defense. 472 00:23:10,480 --> 00:23:12,679 Speaker 3: Is still top fifteen. Like they had to lean on 473 00:23:12,680 --> 00:23:15,520 Speaker 3: their defense last week and it worked. So the fact 474 00:23:15,520 --> 00:23:17,239 Speaker 3: that they're still unbeaten, and the fact that, I mean 475 00:23:17,240 --> 00:23:20,639 Speaker 3: they're of the four teams in the Big ten East 476 00:23:20,880 --> 00:23:25,200 Speaker 3: like competition right now, they're the least reliable, I would say, 477 00:23:25,200 --> 00:23:27,720 Speaker 3: but they're all like they're in the conversation, they're legit 478 00:23:27,760 --> 00:23:31,399 Speaker 3: top twenty or twenty five. So that leads the I know, 479 00:23:31,440 --> 00:23:33,280 Speaker 3: Bud Elliott, I know some people were pretty high on 480 00:23:33,320 --> 00:23:34,600 Speaker 3: them coming into the year. I don't know if they 481 00:23:34,600 --> 00:23:38,280 Speaker 3: were this high on them, and I still didn't trust 482 00:23:38,320 --> 00:23:40,520 Speaker 3: them at all. So so kudos to them for sure. 483 00:23:42,640 --> 00:23:45,040 Speaker 3: You know, it's hard to say Arizona State at this 484 00:23:45,080 --> 00:23:49,199 Speaker 3: point because they're so glitchy, but their upside is pretty definitive, 485 00:23:49,320 --> 00:23:51,800 Speaker 3: I think, and I like them a good amount, but 486 00:23:51,840 --> 00:23:53,640 Speaker 3: they probably haven't won enough. All Miss is a team 487 00:23:53,680 --> 00:23:56,840 Speaker 3: that you know, I said all preseason, like all they 488 00:23:56,880 --> 00:23:58,880 Speaker 3: got to do is be competent on defense, and they're 489 00:23:58,960 --> 00:24:04,040 Speaker 3: kind of pushing it starts. They're towing that line. They're 490 00:24:04,520 --> 00:24:07,679 Speaker 3: sixty six right now in my in defensive sp plus 491 00:24:07,720 --> 00:24:11,800 Speaker 3: and that's borderline competent for a Power five team, I guess. 492 00:24:11,880 --> 00:24:16,240 Speaker 3: But that their offense is awesome and they have shown 493 00:24:16,280 --> 00:24:19,240 Speaker 3: they can pretty much beat anybody, like I'm sure they'd 494 00:24:19,240 --> 00:24:22,280 Speaker 3: like that Alabama game back, but I mean they have 495 00:24:22,320 --> 00:24:24,840 Speaker 3: the upside to touch to beat anybody left on their 496 00:24:24,880 --> 00:24:27,679 Speaker 3: schedule for sure, so they could wouldn't really surprise anybody 497 00:24:27,720 --> 00:24:29,440 Speaker 3: if they finished ten and two or eleven to one. 498 00:24:29,520 --> 00:24:32,719 Speaker 3: So that's that's not what we necessarily expect from ole 499 00:24:32,800 --> 00:24:34,840 Speaker 3: Miss on a year to year basis, So I put 500 00:24:34,840 --> 00:24:35,720 Speaker 3: them pretty high too. 501 00:24:36,600 --> 00:24:38,680 Speaker 2: We don't have them playing a big game this week, 502 00:24:38,720 --> 00:24:42,760 Speaker 2: but in a couple of weeks they are playing Michigan State. Michigan. 503 00:24:42,920 --> 00:24:48,080 Speaker 2: Michigan is sort of your I don't know. I think 504 00:24:48,080 --> 00:24:51,400 Speaker 2: it's more the most emotional fan base in terms of 505 00:24:51,520 --> 00:24:54,040 Speaker 2: what sp plus thinks. They hate it when it's good. 506 00:24:54,040 --> 00:24:56,720 Speaker 2: They don't understand it when they perceive Michigan to be 507 00:24:56,760 --> 00:25:00,600 Speaker 2: excellent and they're not getting enough attention. What is your 508 00:25:00,600 --> 00:25:03,240 Speaker 2: current temperature check with the Wolverines? A couple not to 509 00:25:03,400 --> 00:25:06,960 Speaker 2: disrespect Northwestern, but you should disrespect this year's version of Northwestern? 510 00:25:08,160 --> 00:25:11,080 Speaker 2: What what is the current temperature check the barometer with 511 00:25:11,119 --> 00:25:14,000 Speaker 2: the Michigan Wolverines A couple weeks ahead of their first 512 00:25:14,320 --> 00:25:16,760 Speaker 2: really big, big Ten East matchup. 513 00:25:16,960 --> 00:25:18,560 Speaker 3: Yeah, they're the one team where if I start saying 514 00:25:18,600 --> 00:25:23,840 Speaker 3: negative things, their fans are like relieved. Goodness. I do 515 00:25:23,960 --> 00:25:28,960 Speaker 3: not want my hopes up right now. Yeah, so I'm 516 00:25:29,000 --> 00:25:31,919 Speaker 3: a little concerned about Michigan right now. And this is 517 00:25:31,960 --> 00:25:34,920 Speaker 3: a very numbers base thing. So that postgame win expectancy 518 00:25:35,000 --> 00:25:37,600 Speaker 3: number that I talk about from time to time a 519 00:25:37,640 --> 00:25:39,760 Speaker 3: lot on Twitter, just about you know, you take all 520 00:25:39,760 --> 00:25:42,720 Speaker 3: the stats from the game, not not like prediction stats, 521 00:25:42,760 --> 00:25:46,040 Speaker 3: but the game, the stats that the game actually generated, 522 00:25:46,080 --> 00:25:47,480 Speaker 3: and you know, you toss them up in the air 523 00:25:47,520 --> 00:25:50,240 Speaker 3: and it basically says, you know, with these, with you know, 524 00:25:50,400 --> 00:25:52,720 Speaker 3: this success rate in this category, and blah blah blah, 525 00:25:52,760 --> 00:25:55,280 Speaker 3: you could have expected to win this game this percentage 526 00:25:55,280 --> 00:25:59,000 Speaker 3: of the time Western Michigan first week hundred percent. Obviously, 527 00:25:59,760 --> 00:26:03,439 Speaker 3: Washington's second week ninety five percent. No NIU obviously one 528 00:26:03,480 --> 00:26:06,000 Speaker 3: hundred percent. There. So they, I mean, they were genuinely 529 00:26:06,000 --> 00:26:09,399 Speaker 3: dominated at the beginning of the year. Rutgers thirty six percent, 530 00:26:11,680 --> 00:26:15,680 Speaker 3: at Wisconsin, fifty six percent, at Nebraska forty four percent. 531 00:26:16,119 --> 00:26:19,080 Speaker 3: Like some of those predictive stats that were loving Michigan 532 00:26:19,080 --> 00:26:20,960 Speaker 3: earlier in the year, it's kind they're kind of breaking 533 00:26:21,000 --> 00:26:23,520 Speaker 3: even right now. And they had a bye week, and 534 00:26:23,560 --> 00:26:24,840 Speaker 3: I mean two of those games are on the road, 535 00:26:24,840 --> 00:26:28,199 Speaker 3: they have a bye week, like maybe they're full on 536 00:26:28,320 --> 00:26:30,879 Speaker 3: Michigan again moving forward, But that was that wasn't the 537 00:26:30,920 --> 00:26:34,840 Speaker 3: most encouraging thing that I've seen, Like they really to 538 00:26:34,880 --> 00:26:36,680 Speaker 3: get the stats all the way back on their side, 539 00:26:36,720 --> 00:26:39,960 Speaker 3: so to speak. They need to probably you know, manhandle 540 00:26:40,000 --> 00:26:43,000 Speaker 3: Northwestern and in Indiana beat Michigan State as they're projected 541 00:26:43,040 --> 00:26:46,040 Speaker 3: to do, although he ever knows about that game. So 542 00:26:46,080 --> 00:26:47,919 Speaker 3: that's kind of a dicey one just from a if 543 00:26:47,920 --> 00:26:49,919 Speaker 3: you're if you're using if you're trying to read the 544 00:26:49,960 --> 00:26:51,920 Speaker 3: tea leaves, that's that's one that could be a little 545 00:26:51,920 --> 00:26:54,960 Speaker 3: dicey there. But there's still eighth in SP plus there's 546 00:26:54,960 --> 00:26:57,959 Speaker 3: still second in special teams, ninth on defense, and eighteenth 547 00:26:58,040 --> 00:26:59,960 Speaker 3: on offense. So that's clearly the ceiling's high. 548 00:27:00,160 --> 00:27:03,480 Speaker 2: Least I can tell you anecdotally because as most people 549 00:27:03,600 --> 00:27:06,360 Speaker 2: have in the greater Chicagoland area, I have, well I'm 550 00:27:06,359 --> 00:27:09,040 Speaker 2: married to a Michigan alum, but I'm surrounded by Michigan 551 00:27:09,080 --> 00:27:12,199 Speaker 2: and Wisconsin and Illinois people whatever. And I made a 552 00:27:12,200 --> 00:27:14,880 Speaker 2: pizza for a neighbor who's a diehard Michigan fan came 553 00:27:14,920 --> 00:27:17,320 Speaker 2: over wearing like a Michigan fleece or something like that, 554 00:27:17,640 --> 00:27:19,720 Speaker 2: and he was asking about college football season and he 555 00:27:19,760 --> 00:27:21,920 Speaker 2: doesn't really watch much beyond Michigan. And I said, hey, 556 00:27:21,920 --> 00:27:24,480 Speaker 2: Michigan's pretty good this year. That's good. It's nice little turnaround. 557 00:27:24,880 --> 00:27:27,520 Speaker 2: And he just looked at me and said, let me 558 00:27:27,520 --> 00:27:28,720 Speaker 2: tell you how the rest of the season is going 559 00:27:28,760 --> 00:27:31,959 Speaker 2: to be. Let me walk you through it. Like sometimes 560 00:27:32,000 --> 00:27:34,760 Speaker 2: there are new episodes and sometimes there are reruns, and 561 00:27:34,840 --> 00:27:37,240 Speaker 2: at a certain point you know which are which. You 562 00:27:37,280 --> 00:27:39,720 Speaker 2: turn on TBS and there's a Seinfeld episode, You're like, ah, 563 00:27:39,760 --> 00:27:42,480 Speaker 2: this is not new. And so I can tell you 564 00:27:42,560 --> 00:27:46,800 Speaker 2: that fatalistic impulse exists. I'm confirming everything that you've already said. 565 00:27:47,240 --> 00:27:49,679 Speaker 2: But he was very clear that, look, they're going to 566 00:27:49,840 --> 00:27:52,359 Speaker 2: be competitive and lose to Michigan State, They're probably going 567 00:27:52,400 --> 00:27:54,000 Speaker 2: to lose to Penn State, and they're gonna get killed 568 00:27:54,000 --> 00:27:55,840 Speaker 2: by Ohio State. And I said, I don't have a 569 00:27:55,840 --> 00:27:58,720 Speaker 2: good argument against you, right, but I think they're pretty good. 570 00:27:58,960 --> 00:28:02,640 Speaker 3: Yeah, And if we don't, even if we're we ignore 571 00:28:02,720 --> 00:28:05,240 Speaker 3: recent history and just look at what they are so 572 00:28:05,320 --> 00:28:07,280 Speaker 3: far this year in the schedule. They're still projected to 573 00:28:07,320 --> 00:28:09,199 Speaker 3: lose at Penn State, they're still projected to lose to 574 00:28:09,240 --> 00:28:12,080 Speaker 3: Ohio State, you know, at Michigan State, and hell like 575 00:28:12,200 --> 00:28:14,720 Speaker 3: at Maryland they're only like a six point favorite, you know, 576 00:28:14,880 --> 00:28:18,560 Speaker 3: just a normal team without knowing anything about Maryland's history, 577 00:28:18,760 --> 00:28:20,440 Speaker 3: you probably look at that and think, oh, it's pretty 578 00:28:20,440 --> 00:28:23,120 Speaker 3: solid ten and too right there, right, And that's I mean, 579 00:28:23,160 --> 00:28:25,800 Speaker 3: that's that's what the odds kind of favor right now. 580 00:28:25,840 --> 00:28:30,360 Speaker 3: So the only reason we're we're a thinking of more 581 00:28:30,400 --> 00:28:33,800 Speaker 3: than that, but then b thinking that the bar should 582 00:28:33,800 --> 00:28:35,119 Speaker 3: be high and they won't clear it and all that 583 00:28:35,160 --> 00:28:37,280 Speaker 3: other stuff is because we know their recent history. Just 584 00:28:37,520 --> 00:28:39,920 Speaker 3: a normal team with that is ranked eight and playing 585 00:28:40,000 --> 00:28:42,120 Speaker 3: these teams would probably finish about ten and. 586 00:28:42,040 --> 00:28:44,320 Speaker 2: Two before we wrap. Then, I know Tie has a 587 00:28:44,320 --> 00:28:46,320 Speaker 2: couple more questions, but I'm curious because we had a 588 00:28:46,400 --> 00:28:49,840 Speaker 2: question in our Q and A show about SMU running 589 00:28:49,880 --> 00:28:52,600 Speaker 2: the table versus Cincinnati running the table and the different 590 00:28:52,640 --> 00:28:56,000 Speaker 2: perceptions of each. Obviously, SMU has a decent Power five 591 00:28:56,040 --> 00:28:58,959 Speaker 2: win over TCU, but some close wins against less than 592 00:28:58,960 --> 00:29:05,000 Speaker 2: stellar competitions. Cincinnati's has looked more impressive, especially lately. Who 593 00:29:05,080 --> 00:29:09,040 Speaker 2: is the second most impressive G five team right now 594 00:29:09,080 --> 00:29:11,640 Speaker 2: after Cincinnati, to you, is it SMU? 595 00:29:11,920 --> 00:29:12,160 Speaker 1: Is it? 596 00:29:12,240 --> 00:29:13,920 Speaker 2: I mean San Diego State has been winning ugly and 597 00:29:13,920 --> 00:29:16,520 Speaker 2: Nevada has been pretty impressive like there have been. It's 598 00:29:16,560 --> 00:29:19,920 Speaker 2: been actually a really cool year in the G five ranks. 599 00:29:19,960 --> 00:29:22,320 Speaker 2: So who to you is that that that silver medallist 600 00:29:22,400 --> 00:29:22,720 Speaker 2: right now? 601 00:29:26,400 --> 00:29:29,200 Speaker 3: I mean, obviously I would have said Coastal before right 602 00:29:29,240 --> 00:29:31,280 Speaker 3: we have last night before Wednesday that was I mean, 603 00:29:31,440 --> 00:29:35,320 Speaker 3: losing that app is not a shame byans, but it's 604 00:29:35,360 --> 00:29:38,000 Speaker 3: still yeah, kind of a dings them a little bit. 605 00:29:39,960 --> 00:29:42,680 Speaker 3: I really, I think Fresno State has a lot of potential, 606 00:29:42,680 --> 00:29:44,640 Speaker 3: but they've kind of, you know, they've messed around a 607 00:29:44,680 --> 00:29:48,200 Speaker 3: little bit and and maybe that I'll I guess SMU. 608 00:29:48,920 --> 00:29:51,120 Speaker 3: San Diego State is another one where we've seen this 609 00:29:51,200 --> 00:29:55,600 Speaker 3: episode of Their defense is incredible again, like Rocky Long 610 00:29:55,920 --> 00:29:58,000 Speaker 3: left two years ago, it's still a Rocky Long defense 611 00:29:58,040 --> 00:30:00,760 Speaker 3: doing Rocky Long thing. It's amazing. And their offense is 612 00:30:00,760 --> 00:30:02,920 Speaker 3: still one hundred and seventeenth on offensive. Its people US. 613 00:30:02,960 --> 00:30:04,920 Speaker 3: So that's just they're going to go as far as 614 00:30:04,960 --> 00:30:07,719 Speaker 3: they're the Mountain West Iowa. They're going to go as 615 00:30:07,720 --> 00:30:10,880 Speaker 3: far as they can without moving the football. And I 616 00:30:10,880 --> 00:30:13,080 Speaker 3: mean that's pretty far. They'll probably went nine or ten games. Yeah, 617 00:30:13,080 --> 00:30:13,680 Speaker 3: I guess give me. 618 00:30:13,800 --> 00:30:17,480 Speaker 1: Smu Okay, Bill, I wanted to close out by asking 619 00:30:17,480 --> 00:30:19,560 Speaker 1: you about two teams in the state of Texas, because 620 00:30:19,600 --> 00:30:22,320 Speaker 1: we get a lot of questions about Baylor in Texas. 621 00:30:23,600 --> 00:30:27,200 Speaker 1: Let me start with Baylor. Dave Randa, I guess, now 622 00:30:27,400 --> 00:30:29,680 Speaker 1: his first full season, year two, if you want to 623 00:30:29,680 --> 00:30:31,920 Speaker 1: call it that year one, if you count year zero, 624 00:30:33,000 --> 00:30:35,280 Speaker 1: it does seem as if Baylor has been really solid. 625 00:30:35,440 --> 00:30:37,600 Speaker 1: When Dan and I talk separately, not even so much 626 00:30:37,600 --> 00:30:40,400 Speaker 1: on the podcast about Baylor, the word that comes up 627 00:30:40,440 --> 00:30:44,200 Speaker 1: is solid. They're just consistent. They're solid from a stats 628 00:30:44,360 --> 00:30:46,680 Speaker 1: standpoint when you go in there and you pour over 629 00:30:46,720 --> 00:30:50,640 Speaker 1: your numbers. What does it say about Baylor that Bears 630 00:30:50,680 --> 00:30:51,560 Speaker 1: fans might want to hear? 631 00:30:53,920 --> 00:30:57,600 Speaker 3: The offense is awesome. I expect it. I guess really 632 00:30:57,640 --> 00:31:01,240 Speaker 3: the defense might still be ahead of the offense overall. 633 00:31:01,280 --> 00:31:03,240 Speaker 3: I know it is from an s P plus standpoint, 634 00:31:03,280 --> 00:31:08,200 Speaker 3: but you know the new changes that what's his name 635 00:31:08,240 --> 00:31:10,080 Speaker 3: Grimes brought to the offense, I mean, I think they've 636 00:31:10,120 --> 00:31:12,960 Speaker 3: taken They run the ball really really well, and they 637 00:31:13,000 --> 00:31:15,120 Speaker 3: got you know, at least two good running backs. They've 638 00:31:15,160 --> 00:31:19,320 Speaker 3: got at least two good pass targets. They the Oklahoma 639 00:31:19,320 --> 00:31:21,479 Speaker 3: State game was really disappointing. They just just that just 640 00:31:21,640 --> 00:31:25,640 Speaker 3: wasn't a good performance, you know, not that losing at 641 00:31:25,640 --> 00:31:27,880 Speaker 3: Oklahoma State is you know, shameful biting means they just 642 00:31:27,880 --> 00:31:33,000 Speaker 3: didn't play well. But they're very well rounded. They you know, 643 00:31:33,240 --> 00:31:36,440 Speaker 3: scrolling through here like you know, twelfth in points per drive, 644 00:31:36,560 --> 00:31:39,440 Speaker 3: thirtieth in points per drive allowed, tenth, and success rate 645 00:31:39,480 --> 00:31:41,920 Speaker 3: twenty ninth and success rate allowed like across the board, 646 00:31:42,000 --> 00:31:44,680 Speaker 3: very few weaknesses. And I think that's pretty awesome because 647 00:31:44,720 --> 00:31:47,760 Speaker 3: it was easy to like last year, you know, year zero, 648 00:31:47,920 --> 00:31:50,800 Speaker 3: he kind of openly admitted he got the offensive hires 649 00:31:50,800 --> 00:31:52,800 Speaker 3: wrong out of the gates and had to try again, 650 00:31:52,840 --> 00:31:55,400 Speaker 3: which happens sometimes to first time head coaches for sure. 651 00:31:56,400 --> 00:31:59,240 Speaker 3: But it really seems like this is a team that 652 00:31:59,320 --> 00:32:02,960 Speaker 3: he this is the team he intended to craft, and 653 00:32:03,000 --> 00:32:07,720 Speaker 3: it's looking really good. I saw. I can't decide that 654 00:32:08,000 --> 00:32:12,120 Speaker 3: if the I know, you know, the LSU jobs open now, 655 00:32:12,120 --> 00:32:14,560 Speaker 3: and I've seen you know, people on Twitter trying to 656 00:32:14,560 --> 00:32:17,120 Speaker 3: get you know, Baylor fans worried about that and everything. 657 00:32:17,160 --> 00:32:21,440 Speaker 3: I don't I assume that LSU will aim hire from 658 00:32:21,480 --> 00:32:27,400 Speaker 3: just a head coach experience standpoint right then probably probably, 659 00:32:27,800 --> 00:32:28,760 Speaker 3: but the. 660 00:32:28,720 --> 00:32:31,680 Speaker 2: Early returns are so like so, the fact is he's 661 00:32:31,680 --> 00:32:34,280 Speaker 2: a defensive coach. It doesn't work out an offense ere one. 662 00:32:34,320 --> 00:32:38,680 Speaker 2: He immediately cuts ties with Larry Fedora, offensive coordinator, who 663 00:32:39,120 --> 00:32:41,080 Speaker 2: I'm sure on some level he was seduced by his 664 00:32:41,080 --> 00:32:42,680 Speaker 2: history and he's a name and whatever and like that, 665 00:32:42,720 --> 00:32:47,040 Speaker 2: and that pops in Texas given his success, and I'm 666 00:32:47,040 --> 00:32:49,040 Speaker 2: sure his hands are just off of the offense. Right. 667 00:32:49,400 --> 00:32:52,720 Speaker 2: You see defensive coordinators become head coaches and say, oh, 668 00:32:52,720 --> 00:32:54,880 Speaker 2: I want ball control, I want you to service the defense. 669 00:32:54,920 --> 00:32:56,840 Speaker 2: And then he just says, do your thing. You're great 670 00:32:56,880 --> 00:32:59,960 Speaker 2: at BYU and Baylor's doing their thing. They don't bail, 671 00:33:00,080 --> 00:33:03,840 Speaker 2: doesn't seem to do anything poorly. David Randa handles himself 672 00:33:03,880 --> 00:33:07,040 Speaker 2: really impressive, like just even behind a microphone. Like That's 673 00:33:07,040 --> 00:33:09,560 Speaker 2: why I think there's potential for him. I don't know 674 00:33:09,560 --> 00:33:13,880 Speaker 2: if it's LSU, but a big job soon, a big er. 675 00:33:14,240 --> 00:33:16,600 Speaker 3: Yeah, it is. It's funny every time a new crew 676 00:33:16,800 --> 00:33:19,160 Speaker 3: does a Baylor game, you know, they come into town 677 00:33:19,160 --> 00:33:21,760 Speaker 3: and they talk to the coaches on Thursday Friday whenever, 678 00:33:22,360 --> 00:33:23,720 Speaker 3: every single one of them goes out of the way 679 00:33:23,760 --> 00:33:28,280 Speaker 3: during that broadcast, say, man, this guy's impressive. They're just 680 00:33:28,360 --> 00:33:30,840 Speaker 3: surprised because he's so different in the way he carries 681 00:33:30,920 --> 00:33:33,960 Speaker 3: himself and everything else. They're just like they just seem stunned, 682 00:33:33,960 --> 00:33:36,360 Speaker 3: and they have to say something about it, like like 683 00:33:36,440 --> 00:33:38,640 Speaker 3: no one else ever has and everybody says the same thing, 684 00:33:38,720 --> 00:33:42,680 Speaker 3: but correct, No, he's a unique guy. And I'm I'm 685 00:33:42,760 --> 00:33:44,000 Speaker 3: very impressed with what they're doing this. 686 00:33:44,040 --> 00:33:50,520 Speaker 1: Year and the Texas Longhorns. So Texas is what a 687 00:33:50,520 --> 00:33:52,800 Speaker 1: different kind of half team though, right Ty, different kind 688 00:33:52,840 --> 00:33:55,200 Speaker 1: of half half team, not just only offense, only defense. 689 00:33:55,200 --> 00:33:57,160 Speaker 2: They just they play really well right away. 690 00:33:57,280 --> 00:34:01,680 Speaker 1: They play really really well right away for three new coach. 691 00:34:03,320 --> 00:34:06,920 Speaker 1: You know, expectations are always high at Texas. That's kind 692 00:34:06,960 --> 00:34:09,239 Speaker 1: of a given. Sark is a first year guy, so 693 00:34:09,280 --> 00:34:11,040 Speaker 1: it's going to take some time, I think, to settle in. 694 00:34:11,120 --> 00:34:14,520 Speaker 1: But I know from some of the comments and from 695 00:34:14,560 --> 00:34:17,400 Speaker 1: some of the voice messages that we received, there was 696 00:34:17,480 --> 00:34:20,040 Speaker 1: a lot of oh, it's the same old Texas, right, 697 00:34:20,200 --> 00:34:24,359 Speaker 1: same old tewl never changed, the same old Texas. Talk 698 00:34:24,400 --> 00:34:27,320 Speaker 1: to me thirty thousand foot view, What the hell is 699 00:34:27,360 --> 00:34:28,560 Speaker 1: going on at Texas? 700 00:34:29,560 --> 00:34:32,680 Speaker 3: Thirty thousand foot view is, you know, the Arkansas game 701 00:34:32,760 --> 00:34:35,400 Speaker 3: was bad. They played a good Oklahoma team to a 702 00:34:35,400 --> 00:34:39,600 Speaker 3: toss up. They post win a game, postgame win expectancy 703 00:34:39,600 --> 00:34:43,120 Speaker 3: against Oklahoma State last week's seventy six percent more like 704 00:34:43,160 --> 00:34:45,880 Speaker 3: a seven point Texas win than an eight point loss. 705 00:34:47,040 --> 00:34:49,279 Speaker 3: And obviously the game was really weird. I su ended 706 00:34:49,360 --> 00:34:51,719 Speaker 3: up with you know, twenty whatever more plays than they did, 707 00:34:52,160 --> 00:34:54,840 Speaker 3: but you know, per play, they were kind of the 708 00:34:54,840 --> 00:34:57,000 Speaker 3: better team. It kind of looked that way. You know, 709 00:34:57,320 --> 00:35:00,839 Speaker 3: they they were up big, you know, five minutes into 710 00:35:00,840 --> 00:35:04,200 Speaker 3: the second half, So like that was if you just again, 711 00:35:04,239 --> 00:35:06,160 Speaker 3: if we play the Michigan game where you ignore everything 712 00:35:06,200 --> 00:35:07,839 Speaker 3: you know about Texas and you just kind of look 713 00:35:07,880 --> 00:35:10,240 Speaker 3: at a team with you know, top ten or fifteen 714 00:35:10,280 --> 00:35:13,480 Speaker 3: recruiting and clear upside on offense, lots of big plays 715 00:35:13,520 --> 00:35:16,799 Speaker 3: on offense, decent efficiency numbers. They do go three and out. 716 00:35:16,880 --> 00:35:19,279 Speaker 3: It's it's it's one of those little funny splits where 717 00:35:19,280 --> 00:35:21,359 Speaker 3: they're forty first in success, right, but they go three 718 00:35:21,440 --> 00:35:23,040 Speaker 3: and out thirty two percent of the time, which is 719 00:35:23,160 --> 00:35:25,160 Speaker 3: ninety second. So it's kind of one of those like 720 00:35:25,360 --> 00:35:27,239 Speaker 3: once you get the first first down, you're going to score. 721 00:35:27,360 --> 00:35:30,200 Speaker 3: Kind of situations, but they don't always get rolling. We 722 00:35:30,280 --> 00:35:31,960 Speaker 3: certainly see that in the second half of the last 723 00:35:31,960 --> 00:35:35,680 Speaker 3: couple of games. I don't see anything to worry about 724 00:35:35,680 --> 00:35:38,759 Speaker 3: from a thirty thousand foot view if you strip all 725 00:35:38,800 --> 00:35:41,359 Speaker 3: the history and the context away. Their team that has 726 00:35:41,440 --> 00:35:45,000 Speaker 3: obvious upside. They're a team that's stunk on defense for 727 00:35:45,040 --> 00:35:46,839 Speaker 3: most of the last two or three years. They're worse 728 00:35:46,880 --> 00:35:49,120 Speaker 3: now than they were last year, which isn't great, but 729 00:35:49,760 --> 00:35:52,120 Speaker 3: you know, it's still you know, he's an offensive coach. 730 00:35:52,120 --> 00:35:55,480 Speaker 3: He's quickly found when he needs offensively the defense. You know, 731 00:35:55,600 --> 00:35:58,120 Speaker 3: if maybe he'll pull an Aranda if creet Cows didn't 732 00:35:58,120 --> 00:36:00,120 Speaker 3: work out, start over, try again next year. I don't know, 733 00:36:00,600 --> 00:36:03,520 Speaker 3: but I don't there's still twenty fourth and spplus. They're 734 00:36:03,520 --> 00:36:06,680 Speaker 3: still favored at least three of their last five games. 735 00:36:06,719 --> 00:36:08,680 Speaker 3: Wouldn't surprise me. If they got to eight and four, 736 00:36:11,360 --> 00:36:15,400 Speaker 3: that's fine. It's not terrible. There's much worse than that 737 00:36:15,520 --> 00:36:17,719 Speaker 3: out there, and so yeah, I mean, I would say 738 00:36:17,760 --> 00:36:19,480 Speaker 3: he at least passes a test, even if it's like 739 00:36:19,520 --> 00:36:20,319 Speaker 3: a seed this year. 740 00:36:20,920 --> 00:36:23,000 Speaker 2: Final question, the one I guess we've all been just 741 00:36:23,120 --> 00:36:24,640 Speaker 2: leading up to, and it's the one that I know 742 00:36:24,719 --> 00:36:26,120 Speaker 2: is on the back of everybody's mind. 743 00:36:26,160 --> 00:36:27,200 Speaker 3: Andy Murray's first serve. 744 00:36:27,680 --> 00:36:31,600 Speaker 2: I was going to ask about as we get into 745 00:36:32,520 --> 00:36:35,760 Speaker 2: the meat of the indoor season on the ATP tool, 746 00:36:35,920 --> 00:36:38,040 Speaker 2: I know you were high on seb Coorida, but lately 747 00:36:38,239 --> 00:36:42,400 Speaker 2: Jensen Brooksby, isn't it good? That's the name, So I guess, 748 00:36:42,440 --> 00:36:45,920 Speaker 2: give me the finale of this ATP tour season and 749 00:36:45,960 --> 00:36:49,120 Speaker 2: the name internationally and domestically that you've been paying most 750 00:36:49,160 --> 00:36:49,680 Speaker 2: attention to. 751 00:36:49,880 --> 00:36:52,759 Speaker 3: Man. So I've talked to Brad Gilbert once in my 752 00:36:52,800 --> 00:36:55,240 Speaker 3: time at ESPN here story about the future of men's 753 00:36:55,239 --> 00:37:00,160 Speaker 3: tennis in June. I guess he's a guy right, Well 754 00:37:00,160 --> 00:37:02,319 Speaker 3: he was, Yeah, he was right after a Quorda had 755 00:37:02,400 --> 00:37:05,080 Speaker 3: had done well at the French and was looking like 756 00:37:05,120 --> 00:37:07,000 Speaker 3: the future, and so we talked about him, and that 757 00:37:07,120 --> 00:37:10,520 Speaker 3: was the article was based mainly around him and and 758 00:37:11,440 --> 00:37:13,759 Speaker 3: Opelka and some of the other guys that were already 759 00:37:13,840 --> 00:37:15,560 Speaker 3: up there. I didn't put it in the article, and 760 00:37:15,560 --> 00:37:17,360 Speaker 3: I should have because it would have made him look brilliant. 761 00:37:17,600 --> 00:37:19,960 Speaker 3: I think I tweeted about it later on, like just 762 00:37:20,040 --> 00:37:21,960 Speaker 3: in a sidebar. He's like, you know, actually another guy 763 00:37:21,960 --> 00:37:24,160 Speaker 3: you should pay attention to he's not up yet, he's 764 00:37:24,200 --> 00:37:26,960 Speaker 3: coming back from injury. This Jens and Brooksby guy is amazing. 765 00:37:27,120 --> 00:37:29,520 Speaker 3: He's going to be so good, and he moves so well, 766 00:37:29,520 --> 00:37:32,520 Speaker 3: and he's so just an interesting and then dude just 767 00:37:32,560 --> 00:37:35,200 Speaker 3: took off. Like the moment Gilbert said his name, Brooksby 768 00:37:35,239 --> 00:37:38,160 Speaker 3: has just been on a straight upwards trajectory since. So 769 00:37:39,200 --> 00:37:43,239 Speaker 3: he's our Medvedev. Right, he's the weirdo. Just nothing he 770 00:37:43,280 --> 00:37:48,200 Speaker 3: does is normal. Every shot he hits kind of unexpected, 771 00:37:48,239 --> 00:37:50,160 Speaker 3: and that's a lot of fun. I still think Quarter 772 00:37:50,280 --> 00:37:54,120 Speaker 3: might have the most upside, sure, but yeah, Brooksby. 773 00:37:54,040 --> 00:37:55,640 Speaker 2: How old is quarda? Though? At this point you got 774 00:37:55,680 --> 00:37:56,560 Speaker 2: to show a little. 775 00:37:56,280 --> 00:38:02,600 Speaker 3: More, don't you twenty Let's see Cord looks he's twenty 776 00:38:02,600 --> 00:38:03,839 Speaker 3: one now he did turn twenty one. 777 00:38:04,080 --> 00:38:05,360 Speaker 2: Yeah, you got to show a little bit more. I 778 00:38:05,360 --> 00:38:07,440 Speaker 2: know TI has been back and forth about Riley Opelka, 779 00:38:07,440 --> 00:38:09,600 Speaker 2: and he's like a fun stories you know, the service 780 00:38:09,719 --> 00:38:13,319 Speaker 2: robot whatever. But also at the same time, I need 781 00:38:13,360 --> 00:38:14,160 Speaker 2: an all court game. 782 00:38:15,960 --> 00:38:19,760 Speaker 3: I mean, you know, that's that's fine, he didn't have anyone. 783 00:38:19,760 --> 00:38:21,520 Speaker 2: I like Riley Opelk a lot, but like I think 784 00:38:21,520 --> 00:38:22,240 Speaker 2: he has a ceiling. 785 00:38:22,560 --> 00:38:25,320 Speaker 3: Yeah, well yeah, and you know that that amazing interview 786 00:38:25,400 --> 00:38:27,440 Speaker 3: he gave a couple of weeks ago just where he 787 00:38:27,520 --> 00:38:30,239 Speaker 3: you know, whipped all of the tennis media and just 788 00:38:30,320 --> 00:38:34,319 Speaker 3: spoke his mind. Oh right. He also mentioned too that 789 00:38:34,360 --> 00:38:35,799 Speaker 3: he's like, well, if I win ninety five percent of 790 00:38:35,800 --> 00:38:37,680 Speaker 3: my service games, nothing else matters. On top eight in 791 00:38:37,680 --> 00:38:40,000 Speaker 3: the world or something. I'm like, yeah, I mean ay, 792 00:38:40,360 --> 00:38:46,960 Speaker 3: like true, ye bo. I don't know how these guys practice. 793 00:38:47,000 --> 00:38:49,040 Speaker 3: It's not like he doesn't practice returning serves, so. 794 00:38:49,040 --> 00:38:52,680 Speaker 2: I can't say, like also ten, like you're just limited 795 00:38:52,680 --> 00:38:55,319 Speaker 2: on a certain level physically moving, you know, having an 796 00:38:55,360 --> 00:38:57,719 Speaker 2: all court game. I think he's great. I love watching him. 797 00:38:57,719 --> 00:39:00,520 Speaker 2: I love his giant kickserve Ty has talked about comparing 798 00:39:00,560 --> 00:39:03,239 Speaker 2: him to Isner, and I like watching Opelca more than 799 00:39:03,280 --> 00:39:04,080 Speaker 2: I like watching Isner. 800 00:39:04,080 --> 00:39:05,760 Speaker 1: I love the kicks, love the kickser. 801 00:39:06,520 --> 00:39:10,120 Speaker 2: But yeah, Brooksby, I think is the current hotness. There 802 00:39:10,160 --> 00:39:12,719 Speaker 2: you go, Ty, did you have a USMNTA question? Well, 803 00:39:12,719 --> 00:39:16,480 Speaker 2: I have to ask now we each need our our 804 00:39:16,560 --> 00:39:18,800 Speaker 2: variety and not a variety, but our vanity. Question. 805 00:39:18,960 --> 00:39:22,200 Speaker 1: Yeah, last I saw Bill, I think the US men's 806 00:39:22,280 --> 00:39:27,600 Speaker 1: national team is something a hair over ninety percent when 807 00:39:27,600 --> 00:39:31,840 Speaker 1: it comes to chances of qualifying for the World after 808 00:39:31,920 --> 00:39:36,799 Speaker 1: some very early scares with two draws in the opening Stanza, 809 00:39:37,080 --> 00:39:38,960 Speaker 1: seems like they got a little bit back on track. 810 00:39:39,840 --> 00:39:43,600 Speaker 1: It Do you feel relieved at all or are you 811 00:39:43,680 --> 00:39:47,239 Speaker 1: still like we said the word fatalist a few times here? 812 00:39:47,320 --> 00:39:51,480 Speaker 1: Now there is that quality to us soccer fans. How 813 00:39:51,560 --> 00:39:53,719 Speaker 1: did you feel watching that last round of qualifying. 814 00:39:53,960 --> 00:39:56,000 Speaker 3: Well, it's one of those things where like this was 815 00:39:56,000 --> 00:39:59,640 Speaker 3: an opportunity to truly just like get everybody really excited 816 00:39:59,680 --> 00:40:04,680 Speaker 3: again and they're just going to kind of qualify like 817 00:40:05,200 --> 00:40:07,200 Speaker 3: they I mean, both of these windows now, both of 818 00:40:07,239 --> 00:40:10,840 Speaker 3: these three match windows, they had basically must win matches 819 00:40:10,880 --> 00:40:16,520 Speaker 3: because of disappointments and weird you know, lineup selections and 820 00:40:16,560 --> 00:40:18,799 Speaker 3: everything else. They had to win the third match of 821 00:40:18,840 --> 00:40:21,440 Speaker 3: both of these little windows. But they did so therefore 822 00:40:21,480 --> 00:40:23,239 Speaker 3: they're probably fine. And they got kind of lucky that 823 00:40:23,320 --> 00:40:26,520 Speaker 3: kaylern Aavas was hurt for the second half against Costa 824 00:40:26,600 --> 00:40:29,520 Speaker 3: Rica and they kind of sneaked in a pretty creddy 825 00:40:29,600 --> 00:40:32,040 Speaker 3: goal there. But I mean, they were the better team 826 00:40:32,160 --> 00:40:34,520 Speaker 3: and their stats overall. That was one thing I wrote 827 00:40:34,520 --> 00:40:37,960 Speaker 3: about last week was like match to match, you can 828 00:40:38,040 --> 00:40:40,600 Speaker 3: really get kind of sucked into all the changes that happening. 829 00:40:40,680 --> 00:40:42,239 Speaker 3: I mean, every single match in the US has looked 830 00:40:42,280 --> 00:40:44,600 Speaker 3: like a different team. You look at their six match averages, 831 00:40:44,600 --> 00:40:47,000 Speaker 3: it's basically exactly what you would expect for the US 832 00:40:47,040 --> 00:40:50,279 Speaker 3: team that wants to possess the ball and you know, 833 00:40:50,760 --> 00:40:52,600 Speaker 3: all the things they're trying to do it kind of it. 834 00:40:53,200 --> 00:40:55,200 Speaker 3: It made me feel a little bit better that over 835 00:40:55,239 --> 00:40:57,880 Speaker 3: these six matches they've basically done what was they were 836 00:40:57,880 --> 00:41:00,360 Speaker 3: supposed to do. It was just there have been a 837 00:41:00,360 --> 00:41:02,239 Speaker 3: lot of weird little twists along the way here that 838 00:41:02,239 --> 00:41:05,160 Speaker 3: don't make you just incredibly And I don't think anybody 839 00:41:05,200 --> 00:41:07,920 Speaker 3: is going to be totally one hundred percent comfortable until 840 00:41:07,920 --> 00:41:11,920 Speaker 3: they officially qualify, which they'll probably do. 841 00:41:12,239 --> 00:41:13,960 Speaker 2: They will probably can tell you, by the way, with 842 00:41:14,080 --> 00:41:18,800 Speaker 2: Tye and the men's national team specifically, is his college 843 00:41:18,840 --> 00:41:22,840 Speaker 2: football brain and his international soccer brain are merging into one. 844 00:41:23,200 --> 00:41:26,440 Speaker 2: I will get texts at like three am, and it 845 00:41:26,480 --> 00:41:29,920 Speaker 2: will It's It's the equivalent of somebody being extremely excited 846 00:41:29,920 --> 00:41:32,160 Speaker 2: about a recruit, right like, this guy is the future, 847 00:41:32,200 --> 00:41:35,000 Speaker 2: This four star quarterback is the one who is going 848 00:41:35,040 --> 00:41:37,319 Speaker 2: to be Just wait for him, Just be patient, wait 849 00:41:37,360 --> 00:41:39,600 Speaker 2: for this guy and I'll just get these three am 850 00:41:39,640 --> 00:41:42,000 Speaker 2: texts like this guy's a dual national with El Salvador. 851 00:41:42,640 --> 00:41:45,000 Speaker 1: I'm trying to get him on the Ricardo Pepe and 852 00:41:45,640 --> 00:41:46,680 Speaker 1: Unus Musa trains. 853 00:41:47,360 --> 00:41:49,080 Speaker 3: Man, it's hard not to be on the Musa train 854 00:41:49,080 --> 00:41:50,760 Speaker 3: all of a sudden after these last three games. 855 00:41:50,760 --> 00:41:53,200 Speaker 2: But I know, right, I love the receiving the texts. 856 00:41:53,239 --> 00:41:55,480 Speaker 2: I only really watch the bigger matches in the world. 857 00:41:55,920 --> 00:41:57,919 Speaker 2: That's kind of why I lousiasm. That's why I'm rooting 858 00:41:57,920 --> 00:41:59,880 Speaker 2: for L. Salvador right now too, not that it matters 859 00:42:00,080 --> 00:42:00,959 Speaker 2: this window. 860 00:42:00,680 --> 00:42:04,840 Speaker 3: But that basically half of their team is on the 861 00:42:04,960 --> 00:42:07,439 Speaker 3: roster because a guy I think it was he lives 862 00:42:07,480 --> 00:42:11,279 Speaker 3: in like California or did, was just like obsessantly obsessively 863 00:42:11,320 --> 00:42:14,160 Speaker 3: searching the internet for anybody with a Salvador and sounding 864 00:42:14,280 --> 00:42:16,560 Speaker 3: name if they could figure out how he had ties 865 00:42:16,560 --> 00:42:19,920 Speaker 3: to L. Salvador, and he would personally contact him without 866 00:42:19,960 --> 00:42:21,959 Speaker 3: being it tied to the national team in any way 867 00:42:22,160 --> 00:42:23,799 Speaker 3: and basically say have you have you thought about playing 868 00:42:23,800 --> 00:42:26,560 Speaker 3: for L Salvador and like they have more talent now 869 00:42:26,560 --> 00:42:28,200 Speaker 3: than they have in a while. I love that story, 870 00:42:28,239 --> 00:42:30,399 Speaker 3: and they finally, I think the national team actually hired 871 00:42:30,480 --> 00:42:31,120 Speaker 3: him a while back. 872 00:42:31,840 --> 00:42:35,920 Speaker 1: Amazing. All right, well again, his name is Bill Connolly 873 00:42:36,000 --> 00:42:39,799 Speaker 1: from ESPN. Sir, it is always our pleasure to have 874 00:42:39,880 --> 00:42:43,120 Speaker 1: you on and we will most certainly talk soon. Absolutely 875 00:42:43,760 --> 00:42:48,160 Speaker 1: all right again, that is Bill Connolly SPN dot com, 876 00:42:48,160 --> 00:42:51,879 Speaker 1: the purveyor of one sp plus success rate. And what 877 00:42:51,920 --> 00:42:52,880 Speaker 1: was the second thing. 878 00:42:52,960 --> 00:42:57,440 Speaker 2: Points per play. That's the Yeah, that was his initial 879 00:42:57,560 --> 00:42:59,360 Speaker 2: I mean points per play is pretty good just in 880 00:42:59,440 --> 00:43:02,239 Speaker 2: terms of looking at how quickly teams can score. So 881 00:43:02,280 --> 00:43:04,719 Speaker 2: that does point to explosion. But yeah, he has thus 882 00:43:04,840 --> 00:43:06,040 Speaker 2: tweaked and added to that. 883 00:43:14,840 --> 00:43:17,279 Speaker 1: Don't forget to go to our website, solidverbal dot com. 884 00:43:17,280 --> 00:43:19,960 Speaker 1: That's where you can find out all the articles that 885 00:43:20,000 --> 00:43:21,880 Speaker 1: we do during the course of a week, where you 886 00:43:21,920 --> 00:43:25,799 Speaker 1: can figure out how to follow along slash subscribe to 887 00:43:25,840 --> 00:43:29,680 Speaker 1: this here college football podcast. We put out three episodes 888 00:43:29,719 --> 00:43:32,160 Speaker 1: a week. Bonus content available if you go on out 889 00:43:32,200 --> 00:43:35,919 Speaker 1: to Verballers dot com. That's our Patreon and look, even 890 00:43:35,960 --> 00:43:39,080 Speaker 1: if you're not a Patreon subscriber, go on out to 891 00:43:39,120 --> 00:43:41,680 Speaker 1: wherever you get this podcast, leave us a star rating 892 00:43:41,719 --> 00:43:42,280 Speaker 1: and a review. 893 00:43:42,880 --> 00:43:43,440 Speaker 2: It helps. 894 00:43:43,880 --> 00:43:46,479 Speaker 1: Also check out solid Saturday dot com for our live 895 00:43:46,520 --> 00:43:50,640 Speaker 1: stream on Saturday morning. And I think that's it. 896 00:43:50,760 --> 00:43:53,120 Speaker 2: Dan That's it. That's all I have. I mean, what 897 00:43:53,120 --> 00:43:55,120 Speaker 2: more can you ask for if you're getting college football 898 00:43:55,239 --> 00:43:59,960 Speaker 2: both on field and analysis thereof via numbers and then 899 00:44:00,239 --> 00:44:04,080 Speaker 2: Brooksby and I already forget the name of the soccer 900 00:44:04,120 --> 00:44:04,879 Speaker 2: player you guys are about. 901 00:44:06,080 --> 00:44:07,680 Speaker 1: Eunice Moosa Moose? 902 00:44:07,760 --> 00:44:09,400 Speaker 2: Excuse me? Is he the one? 903 00:44:09,520 --> 00:44:09,799 Speaker 1: Is he? 904 00:44:09,920 --> 00:44:12,160 Speaker 2: Where is he from? Is he from here? Is he 905 00:44:12,200 --> 00:44:15,160 Speaker 2: from the United States? And has dual citizenship? 906 00:44:15,239 --> 00:44:17,920 Speaker 1: He could he could play for any number of different countries. 907 00:44:17,960 --> 00:44:18,720 Speaker 2: He is that true? 908 00:44:18,840 --> 00:44:21,080 Speaker 1: Yep, yep, and he chose the United States. 909 00:44:21,560 --> 00:44:22,120 Speaker 2: What position? 910 00:44:22,920 --> 00:44:23,200 Speaker 3: Uh? 911 00:44:23,239 --> 00:44:26,319 Speaker 1: You can play him in midfield, that's where Burhalter has 912 00:44:26,360 --> 00:44:28,160 Speaker 1: played him for the US team. You can also play 913 00:44:28,239 --> 00:44:29,719 Speaker 1: him out wide, I think on his club team he 914 00:44:29,760 --> 00:44:31,000 Speaker 1: plays a little bit more out wide. 915 00:44:31,040 --> 00:44:33,719 Speaker 2: So interesting, bigger guy, smaller like Pulistic. 916 00:44:33,760 --> 00:44:38,480 Speaker 1: What is he's eighteen? He's bigger than Polistic. He's definitely 917 00:44:38,560 --> 00:44:42,720 Speaker 1: a little bit more solidly built. His game is different. 918 00:44:42,760 --> 00:44:46,359 Speaker 1: Polistic's more of a quick, jitterbug type that'll cut in. 919 00:44:46,480 --> 00:44:49,160 Speaker 1: He has all the skill moves. Moose has got moves, 920 00:44:49,200 --> 00:44:51,120 Speaker 1: but Moos is a little bit more of a physical 921 00:44:51,640 --> 00:44:53,960 Speaker 1: ball control presence in the center of the field. Gives 922 00:44:54,200 --> 00:44:57,800 Speaker 1: the US some directness, which is something that they've struggled 923 00:44:57,800 --> 00:45:00,440 Speaker 1: with in the past. So he had three really good 924 00:45:00,480 --> 00:45:04,000 Speaker 1: games in this past qualifying window. Be it Travion Henderson 925 00:45:04,080 --> 00:45:06,359 Speaker 1: type A little bit, A little bit, Yeah, you. 926 00:45:06,280 --> 00:45:09,600 Speaker 2: Can count on him. He's versatile physically, really in a 927 00:45:09,640 --> 00:45:11,040 Speaker 2: good place for being so young. 928 00:45:11,000 --> 00:45:13,000 Speaker 1: And also a freshman at the start of this campaign, 929 00:45:13,040 --> 00:45:15,880 Speaker 1: if we're being honest, because we were pretty excited to 930 00:45:15,920 --> 00:45:18,880 Speaker 1: get Musa to get his commitment for the national team, 931 00:45:19,400 --> 00:45:21,239 Speaker 1: but didn't really know what we were going to get 932 00:45:21,239 --> 00:45:23,960 Speaker 1: out of him. Looked a little raw first few times 933 00:45:24,000 --> 00:45:25,560 Speaker 1: we saw him out there, but in the last window 934 00:45:25,600 --> 00:45:26,880 Speaker 1: he looked superb. 935 00:45:27,320 --> 00:45:28,880 Speaker 2: Future is bright. I like to hear it. 936 00:45:29,120 --> 00:45:31,400 Speaker 1: For that guy over there, my good friend Dan Rubinstein, 937 00:45:31,440 --> 00:45:33,960 Speaker 1: and for our guest of honor, one Bill Connolly from 938 00:45:34,160 --> 00:45:37,120 Speaker 1: ESPN dot com. We appreciate your time. Thanks so much 939 00:45:37,120 --> 00:45:39,200 Speaker 1: for downloading, for listening, for playing a long at home. 940 00:45:39,640 --> 00:45:43,319 Speaker 1: We will be back to talk more about what transpires 941 00:45:43,360 --> 00:45:47,239 Speaker 1: in week eight, either on Sunday for our patreons, either 942 00:45:47,280 --> 00:45:50,960 Speaker 1: on Sunday for our Patreon subscribers, or on Monday for 943 00:45:51,160 --> 00:45:54,360 Speaker 1: the general public. Dan Rubinstein, stay solid, Peace,