WEBVTT - The Banking Crisis, Crypto, and Amazon's Job Cuts

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<v Speaker 1>From Mark hard Of. We're Innovation, Money and Power Calve

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<v Speaker 1>in Silicon Valley, NBM. This is Bloomberg Technology with Caroline

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<v Speaker 1>Hide and Ed Ludlow. I'm Caroline Hired of Bloomberg's World

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<v Speaker 1>tadquarters in New York, and I met Ludlow in San Francisco.

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Technology coming up Financial conditions. They tighten

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<v Speaker 1>what the latest details in the banking crisis mean for

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<v Speaker 1>your tech investing. We go live outside of Suez and

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<v Speaker 1>talk first Republic stock drop, plus what the banking fallout

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<v Speaker 1>means for crypto as Bitcoin tops twenty eight thousand for

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<v Speaker 1>the first time since June amid the turmoil, and we'll

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<v Speaker 1>bring you the latest on job cuts in the world

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<v Speaker 1>of technology. Amazon announces it's laying off an additional nine

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<v Speaker 1>thousand employees. All that so much more coming up Broadly,

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<v Speaker 1>the focuses on the banking sector, right That's where the

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<v Speaker 1>feel good is. In the equity markets. You see underperformance

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<v Speaker 1>in megacaps. They had a really strong week last week

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<v Speaker 1>tech scene as a safety play. We're unraveling that this week.

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<v Speaker 1>Some megacat names down considerably. Amazon down two percent. It

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<v Speaker 1>actually paired losses on the headline nine thousand additional layoffs Caroline,

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<v Speaker 1>but now continuing to trade lower. The number that always

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<v Speaker 1>gets me is nine thousand plus eighteen thousand is twenty

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<v Speaker 1>seven thousand layoffs in total. You have to remember at

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<v Speaker 1>the end of last year they had one point five

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<v Speaker 1>four million workers globally. Yeah, to drop in the ocean,

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<v Speaker 1>it is. But remember most of those one and a

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<v Speaker 1>half million are actually contract based. So if you're looking

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<v Speaker 1>more at a corporate job, it's what, well, three hundred

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<v Speaker 1>thousand or there or thereabouts. What's interesting is, like with Meta,

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<v Speaker 1>a second key round of layoffs and like with Meta,

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<v Speaker 1>kind of drawn out, maybe not happening till April till May.

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<v Speaker 1>What does that mean for the overall job state or

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<v Speaker 1>what does that mean for the macro picture, not just

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<v Speaker 1>for technology as well. Yeah, but bloom those Mike McKee

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<v Speaker 1>says exactly that it won't show up in the day

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<v Speaker 1>until later in the year. Look at where the cuts

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<v Speaker 1>are aws recruitment. Twitch interesting there because some of those

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<v Speaker 1>are growth areas, some of them are consistent with what

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<v Speaker 1>Amazon's done already, and once again just very painful here

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<v Speaker 1>for an HR at any of these technology companies and

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<v Speaker 1>all of this, Let's set it back into the macro backdrop,

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<v Speaker 1>because this is what happens when interest rates rise. This

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<v Speaker 1>isn't a cooling of an economy. This is jobs having

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<v Speaker 1>to be sacrificed. This is also a rising interest rate

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<v Speaker 1>world means for banks, and that is what we've been

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<v Speaker 1>digesting all week long special coverage here roon Bloomberg and

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<v Speaker 1>we've got to bring you from a technology context because

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<v Speaker 1>it's been a frantic weekend. You saw Credit Suez the

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<v Speaker 1>takeover by rival UBS. What does this mean for the

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<v Speaker 1>overall investment landscape? Shnani Bassak, who's been working around the

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<v Speaker 1>clock on Sunday, in fact, outside the company's New York headquarters.

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<v Speaker 1>How does it feel, Listen, Caroline, this is really an

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<v Speaker 1>iconic moment. This is an iconic building. I'm standing in

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<v Speaker 1>front of Credit Squeeze at eleven Madison Avenue, a building

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<v Speaker 1>that they've been at since the nineteen nineties, not too

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<v Speaker 1>long ago, signing a multi decade lease, filled with people

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<v Speaker 1>and one of the biggest investment banks in the United States,

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<v Speaker 1>and now their crosstiwn V rival just less than thirty

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<v Speaker 1>blocks away. The fate of this building, the people in it,

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<v Speaker 1>there are a lot of anxieties that are under the surface.

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<v Speaker 1>Remember the UBS CEO and a memo Jess late yesterday

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<v Speaker 1>had told his staff that this is not a done

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<v Speaker 1>deal yet in the sense that it still needs to close,

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<v Speaker 1>meaning they should not be sharing information yet with their

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<v Speaker 1>rivals over at Credit sweez Swee is still indeed arrival.

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<v Speaker 1>With that said, remember before this deal was ever announced,

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<v Speaker 1>Caroline Credit Sweezes had a plan to cut about nine

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<v Speaker 1>thousand jobs over time, and UBS, while they have not

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<v Speaker 1>given that sense of how deep the headcount reductions could go,

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<v Speaker 1>there's still a plan to have about an eight billion

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<v Speaker 1>Swiss frank cost reduction plan annually through twenty twenty seven,

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<v Speaker 1>which implies significant job cuts. Now, on one hand, there

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<v Speaker 1>is some silver lining here that when folks across Wall

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<v Speaker 1>Street look at what's happening, Credit sweez has been one

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<v Speaker 1>of the top in banks in the world, it presents

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<v Speaker 1>an interesting opportunity for UBS to be getting even bigger

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<v Speaker 1>in the United States. There are some worries as they

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<v Speaker 1>roll off some of the more difficult assets in that

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<v Speaker 1>investment bank, but this is really at this moment, in

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<v Speaker 1>addition to a financial story, a very significant talent one

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<v Speaker 1>with deep history here in the United States. Yeah, the

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<v Speaker 1>repercussions are really being felt as well in the credit

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<v Speaker 1>markets and the debt markets, which I'm going to get

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<v Speaker 1>into later in the show. Bloomberctionali Bassett, thank you so much.

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<v Speaker 1>Outside Credit Swiss in New York. Now, the TERMOI in

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<v Speaker 1>the banking sector continues, but it sparked that rally in

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<v Speaker 1>bitcoin and crypto related stocks. Katy Greifeld here with more

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<v Speaker 1>and Katie, they're talking about high degree of correlation between

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<v Speaker 1>basically real rates coming down and liquidity situation. What are

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<v Speaker 1>you seeing out in the markets when it comes to crypto. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>when you look at the rally that you're seeing in bitcoin,

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<v Speaker 1>crypto broadly, but led by bitcoin, it really boils down

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<v Speaker 1>to two theories. You have the one you were just

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<v Speaker 1>talking about, which is that macro narrative that you're seeing

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<v Speaker 1>big tech rebound mightily. Maybe not today, but last week

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<v Speaker 1>it's best week of the year for the Nasdaq one hundred.

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<v Speaker 1>We could be looking at the last rate hike of

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<v Speaker 1>the FEDS tightening cycle on Wednesday. There's some talk about

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<v Speaker 1>quantitative tightening maybe not being long for this world. All

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<v Speaker 1>of that would be good for bitcoin and that's what

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<v Speaker 1>you're seeing in the price is the other theory is

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<v Speaker 1>sort of the original promise of crypto, basically that you

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<v Speaker 1>want to be your own bank, you want to get

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<v Speaker 1>away from the banking system. That is what some of

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<v Speaker 1>the bitcoin maximalists on Twitter are saying right now. But

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<v Speaker 1>you look at the performance of this asset class as

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<v Speaker 1>a whole, some of those crypto stocks as well, it

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<v Speaker 1>seems like it's leaning towards the macro narrative. Cara, I'm

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<v Speaker 1>looking at CYP cryptgo on the Bloomberg and you forget. Actually,

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<v Speaker 1>you look at all the other tokens, they're all lower,

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<v Speaker 1>they're all in the red. Bitcoin continues to climb higher.

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<v Speaker 1>That's where the focus is right now. It's the og

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<v Speaker 1>perhaps it is well, the safety trade when you're looking

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<v Speaker 1>at the world of crypto. But Katie, also, what's been

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<v Speaker 1>so interesting, We're going to dig into it in a moment,

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<v Speaker 1>is the worry about US crypto builders here in the

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<v Speaker 1>United States being forced basically to bank outside of the

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<v Speaker 1>United States, maybe even to move their entire company. It

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<v Speaker 1>was notable that over the weekend, Signature Bank, which of

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<v Speaker 1>course had been put up you know, taken over by

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<v Speaker 1>regulators was being swooped up by a comment. Well, a

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<v Speaker 1>region low bank, a community lender here in New York.

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<v Speaker 1>What are you hearing of, basically resilience of the crypto

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<v Speaker 1>market in general. Well, Caroline, that's kind of the irony

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<v Speaker 1>is that along with that maximalist theory that these crypto

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<v Speaker 1>companies they need to use the banking system. I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>you saw Silvergate Signature. Those were huge players, huge you know,

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<v Speaker 1>instances where crypto companies connected to traditional finance. And it

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<v Speaker 1>is interesting if you look at some of the stocks

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<v Speaker 1>associated with the crypto industry. I'm talking about some of

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<v Speaker 1>the miners, for example, they're actually outperforming bitcoin. It's really

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<v Speaker 1>striking to me that if you look at Marathon Digital

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<v Speaker 1>I had to check the numbers a few different times.

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<v Speaker 1>It's up one hundred thirty six percent this year. Even

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<v Speaker 1>though bitcoin miners as an industry, they've really been struggling

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<v Speaker 1>with higher energy costs, lower bitcoin prices. That's really compress

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<v Speaker 1>their margins. But you're really seeing risk on across the

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<v Speaker 1>crypto space. We'll see if it lasts. We're just stepping

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<v Speaker 1>down by three quarters of a percent at pretty notable

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<v Speaker 1>that twenty eight thousand level Katie Greifeld again working throughout

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<v Speaker 1>the weekend. I think she had more source conversations than

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<v Speaker 1>she does on a daily basis. They thank her. Let's

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<v Speaker 1>morden this conversation out. Let's bring in Noel Atchison, the

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<v Speaker 1>founder of the new Zetta crypto is macro. Now you

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<v Speaker 1>have been writing on your day off over there in Spain, Noel,

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<v Speaker 1>what is the sentiment like, why do you think bitcoin's rallying?

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<v Speaker 1>To start it off? O, Caroline? It is such a

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<v Speaker 1>complicated cresting at the moment. There is so much going on.

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<v Speaker 1>Katie totally correctly identify two of the main threads that

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<v Speaker 1>are driving the Bitcoin performance. One is the macro story.

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<v Speaker 1>Bitcoin is a risk asset, has often traded like a

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<v Speaker 1>macro asset, as we know, and it is even more

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<v Speaker 1>than that though it is arguably the most sensitive asset

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<v Speaker 1>two shifts in monetary liquidity. There's also the banking crisis,

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<v Speaker 1>and Katie did mention how that ties into the crypto thesis.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, Caroline, just fourteen years ago, just over Tatoshi Nakamoto,

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<v Speaker 1>the creator of bitcoin, embedded in the very first bitcoin blog,

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<v Speaker 1>the link to the headline Chancellor on the brink of

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<v Speaker 1>second bailout of banks. So this reminds how the macrocrisis

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<v Speaker 1>leads into the banking crisis, which leads into the crypto crisis.

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<v Speaker 1>All these threads are getting very intertwined, all that they

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<v Speaker 1>are separate, and we also do have the market structure

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<v Speaker 1>thread going in here. Bitcoin's market structure is quite unusual

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<v Speaker 1>and that is one of the drivers of the speed

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<v Speaker 1>of the rally that we've seen such seventy percent so

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<v Speaker 1>far this year. And we also have the technological evolution

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<v Speaker 1>which is still going on. So so many things going

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<v Speaker 1>on at the moment driving the bitcoin's performance roative two

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<v Speaker 1>minus piers that you mentioned, and that isn't itself unusual

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<v Speaker 1>because usually in a market bitcoin underperformance ed. What's interesting

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<v Speaker 1>is this sort of narrative that's thriving out there that

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<v Speaker 1>maybe bitcoin weather's crises chaos at least sent relatively well well. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>while the logic seems to be, you look at what's

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<v Speaker 1>happening in the banking sector, right, excuse me, and then

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<v Speaker 1>we're resetting expectations for rates globally, the FED, the ECB.

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<v Speaker 1>That seems to be a part of the equation here

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<v Speaker 1>when it comes to Bitcoin in particular, and The fact

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<v Speaker 1>that there are so many parts of this equation, and

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<v Speaker 1>you're totally right, gives bitcoin a support, a floor if

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<v Speaker 1>you like, that many other risk assets don't have. When

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<v Speaker 1>it comes to the banking crisis, it is obviously a

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<v Speaker 1>factor and people paying closer attention to this, But very

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<v Speaker 1>few of us believe that bitcoin is going to replace

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<v Speaker 1>the banking. For your banking is convenient, it will recover

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<v Speaker 1>from the crisis you perhaps in some other format. But

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<v Speaker 1>what bitcoin represents from many it is it's an insurance asset.

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<v Speaker 1>It's adjusting case, it's an ability. It represents an ability

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<v Speaker 1>to transact even when the banking system isn't working. And

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<v Speaker 1>I'm not suggesting it's going to stop working, but it

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<v Speaker 1>is that insurance quality that many people are paying attention to. Now. Now, well,

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<v Speaker 1>what is the biggest headwind to bitcoin from this point? On? Regulation?

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<v Speaker 1>Regulation and the deep banking of the crypto industry which

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<v Speaker 1>you referred to earlier. The d banking is a big

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<v Speaker 1>blow to the North American trypto industry the US, I

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<v Speaker 1>should say more specifically, but it's not a death blow

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<v Speaker 1>by any means, and it's not really going to hamper

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<v Speaker 1>much of the innovation much mure, there's somebody going to

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<v Speaker 1>go elsewhere. There's another thing that's much people looked about bitcoin.

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<v Speaker 1>It's mobile. It is so mobile. It can work just

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<v Speaker 1>as well from anywhere in the world as it can

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<v Speaker 1>from say San Francisco or New York. The US will

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<v Speaker 1>lose out on a lot of talent and also investment

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<v Speaker 1>capital and also innovation potential, but it will eventually realize,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, the mistake that it's making, and come to

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<v Speaker 1>its senses and try to scramble to catch up. Meanwhile,

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<v Speaker 1>the bitcoin will continue to evolve in terms of the technology,

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<v Speaker 1>in terms of the adoption, and in terms of understanding

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<v Speaker 1>its role in the world. What about other crypto assets?

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<v Speaker 1>Are the don bitcoin or any of them in insurance

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<v Speaker 1>contract too? Not as simply as bitcoin. It's obviously DeFi

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<v Speaker 1>has shown that it can weather the mother of all

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<v Speaker 1>stress tests. It has done so many times over the

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<v Speaker 1>past few months, over the past year, arguably defy even

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<v Speaker 1>during the very dramatic weekend we had this past one,

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<v Speaker 1>but the one before with the depeg of USDC continued

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<v Speaker 1>to work just fine. USDC repegged as soon as we

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<v Speaker 1>get access to the banking rails, So defy is definitely

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<v Speaker 1>something to be looked at, but there is the regulatory overhang.

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<v Speaker 1>Ethereum is another interesting situation. We have a big upgrade

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<v Speaker 1>coming up, but again regulatory uncertainty, which is why Bitcoin's

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<v Speaker 1>outperformance in an upmarket is unusual right now. Normally it's

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<v Speaker 1>the as you mentioned, Caroline, it's the safe and big

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<v Speaker 1>air quotes there the crypto asset, it normally underperforms and

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<v Speaker 1>others totally outshine it because they are higher bolletied. But

0:11:43.440 --> 0:11:46.280
<v Speaker 1>not right now because of the regulatory uncertainty. That is

0:11:46.320 --> 0:11:49.880
<v Speaker 1>a headwind for the whole crypto market, including Bitcoin. Of

0:11:49.960 --> 0:11:53.320
<v Speaker 1>what Bitcoin's doing anyway, well, in simple times, it's the

0:11:53.360 --> 0:11:56.080
<v Speaker 1>regulation where there are still more questions to be answered.

0:11:56.120 --> 0:11:58.600
<v Speaker 1>No actress, an author of the crypto is macro now

0:11:58.880 --> 0:12:00.679
<v Speaker 1>news that are coming to us from Madrid. Thank you,

0:12:08.520 --> 0:12:11.800
<v Speaker 1>Coca Cola. It is the latest big name revealing new

0:12:11.840 --> 0:12:15.720
<v Speaker 1>AI tools today the soft drink's giant announced Create Real Magic.

0:12:15.760 --> 0:12:18.360
<v Speaker 1>It's an AI platform that lets you generate original artwork

0:12:18.559 --> 0:12:22.360
<v Speaker 1>with pretty iconic Coola visual assets. Having partnered with Open

0:12:22.400 --> 0:12:25.400
<v Speaker 1>Ai with Baine for this initiative, where therefore Rapley is

0:12:25.480 --> 0:12:29.000
<v Speaker 1>to welcome the CFO John Murphy into this discussion because

0:12:29.200 --> 0:12:32.559
<v Speaker 1>you really are the executive that focuses in on innovation

0:12:32.760 --> 0:12:35.320
<v Speaker 1>thinking about these sorts of ways in which it drives revenue.

0:12:35.360 --> 0:12:40.440
<v Speaker 1>How does a deal like this drive revenue? John, Well, thanks,

0:12:40.600 --> 0:12:43.480
<v Speaker 1>nice to be with you. First of all, we're at

0:12:43.480 --> 0:12:48.280
<v Speaker 1>the forefront of an incredible new technology and capability. We

0:12:48.960 --> 0:12:53.599
<v Speaker 1>believe it's part of our ongoing marketing agenda, the transformation

0:12:53.600 --> 0:12:59.160
<v Speaker 1>of our marketing agenda and annie new exciting engagement with

0:12:59.200 --> 0:13:04.000
<v Speaker 1>our consumer base is at the core of helping us

0:13:04.040 --> 0:13:07.600
<v Speaker 1>create new value. In fact, our own bloombag intelligence analysts

0:13:07.679 --> 0:13:10.480
<v Speaker 1>wrote that Coca Cola's forecast for generating seven to eight

0:13:10.480 --> 0:13:13.760
<v Speaker 1>percent organic revenue growth this year hinges in large part

0:13:13.960 --> 0:13:17.440
<v Speaker 1>on achieving success with the emphasis on innovation and marketing.

0:13:17.640 --> 0:13:20.960
<v Speaker 1>Just tell us how this particular AI platform is going

0:13:20.960 --> 0:13:23.880
<v Speaker 1>to drive marketing In particular, what do you think this

0:13:23.920 --> 0:13:26.520
<v Speaker 1>will bring to the forefront in terms of innovation and

0:13:26.760 --> 0:13:31.439
<v Speaker 1>well engagement from your core audience and user base. Well,

0:13:32.000 --> 0:13:35.240
<v Speaker 1>marketing and innovation is really the engine that allows us

0:13:35.280 --> 0:13:38.559
<v Speaker 1>to connect with our consumer base. We are on a

0:13:38.679 --> 0:13:44.200
<v Speaker 1>journey to digitizing a lot of our interactions. We love

0:13:44.320 --> 0:13:49.160
<v Speaker 1>this new technology as a way to allow us to

0:13:49.440 --> 0:13:54.199
<v Speaker 1>engage in a very innovative and exciting way. And the

0:13:54.360 --> 0:13:56.960
<v Speaker 1>program we've just launched today goes through till the end

0:13:57.000 --> 0:14:01.199
<v Speaker 1>of March. It's an open invitation for millions of people

0:14:01.240 --> 0:14:05.160
<v Speaker 1>to co create with us, to get another brand better

0:14:05.200 --> 0:14:09.720
<v Speaker 1>and ultimately to bring awareness to the to the business

0:14:09.720 --> 0:14:13.360
<v Speaker 1>and to our portfolio. So we're really really excited with

0:14:14.520 --> 0:14:20.320
<v Speaker 1>learning and understanding how we can continue to build this

0:14:20.640 --> 0:14:23.840
<v Speaker 1>new capability into into the work we're doing going forward.

0:14:25.520 --> 0:14:29.000
<v Speaker 1>On that note, John chat gpt in and of itself

0:14:29.160 --> 0:14:32.320
<v Speaker 1>is raised concerns around accuracy about some of the responses

0:14:32.360 --> 0:14:35.520
<v Speaker 1>it's given. How closely are you looking at sort of

0:14:35.600 --> 0:14:39.280
<v Speaker 1>deepening the integration of the underlying technology the tool into

0:14:39.320 --> 0:14:44.440
<v Speaker 1>Coca Cola's business more broadly With those concerns in mind, well,

0:14:44.480 --> 0:14:50.720
<v Speaker 1>I think any new, potentially disruptive technology is going to

0:14:51.440 --> 0:14:54.640
<v Speaker 1>generate its first share of controversy, and it's really important

0:14:55.520 --> 0:14:58.840
<v Speaker 1>to scale it within an enterprise like ours. It's really

0:14:58.840 --> 0:15:04.160
<v Speaker 1>important to of good governance, good protocols, and the ability

0:15:04.200 --> 0:15:09.320
<v Speaker 1>to collaborate with the various stakeholders we have involved with us,

0:15:09.360 --> 0:15:12.360
<v Speaker 1>both internally and externally. So we're looking at this as

0:15:12.400 --> 0:15:16.080
<v Speaker 1>a bold move versus a reckless one, and we think

0:15:16.320 --> 0:15:20.480
<v Speaker 1>we have in place those protocols that will allow us

0:15:20.520 --> 0:15:26.160
<v Speaker 1>to incorporate it and advance of that scale across the company. Johnny,

0:15:26.280 --> 0:15:31.560
<v Speaker 1>is this relationship with open AI a marketing exercise in

0:15:31.600 --> 0:15:35.040
<v Speaker 1>and of itself or is it actually needle moving when

0:15:35.040 --> 0:15:40.720
<v Speaker 1>it comes to what Cooda is doing with technology. This

0:15:40.800 --> 0:15:44.800
<v Speaker 1>is a much broader relationship than just a marketing campaign.

0:15:46.360 --> 0:15:50.160
<v Speaker 1>We look at this has been an opportunity to really

0:15:50.200 --> 0:15:57.320
<v Speaker 1>take any complex business challenge and compress it into a

0:15:57.400 --> 0:16:01.480
<v Speaker 1>set of solutions that normally would take a lot longer

0:16:01.480 --> 0:16:06.400
<v Speaker 1>and a lot more energy and time to deliver. Clearly,

0:16:06.400 --> 0:16:10.320
<v Speaker 1>it's in the early stages. We have a test, learn

0:16:10.400 --> 0:16:15.200
<v Speaker 1>and scale mindset, but we see it as being pivotal

0:16:15.280 --> 0:16:21.520
<v Speaker 1>to the ongoing evolution of how we do business. Oles

0:16:21.640 --> 0:16:24.200
<v Speaker 1>CFO and President John Murphy, thank you so much for

0:16:24.280 --> 0:16:27.880
<v Speaker 1>your time, Caroline. Really interesting how we talk about innovation

0:16:28.040 --> 0:16:30.640
<v Speaker 1>in big business. Let's talk tech a little bit more.

0:16:30.640 --> 0:16:34.560
<v Speaker 1>Now see the largest Southeast Asia's internet firm and at

0:16:34.560 --> 0:16:37.160
<v Speaker 1>one point the world's best performing stock. It's emerging from

0:16:37.160 --> 0:16:39.320
<v Speaker 1>a pretty painful twenty twenty two. In a memoate of staff,

0:16:39.320 --> 0:16:42.520
<v Speaker 1>billionaire founder for US. Lee says that after months of

0:16:42.560 --> 0:16:45.120
<v Speaker 1>steep job cuts, the Asian Internet child has made changes

0:16:45.160 --> 0:16:47.440
<v Speaker 1>it needs to deliver profits over the long haul, marking

0:16:47.440 --> 0:16:49.960
<v Speaker 1>a turning point for the company. But the CEO also

0:16:50.000 --> 0:16:52.720
<v Speaker 1>warns the company it still needs to prove that it

0:16:52.720 --> 0:16:55.840
<v Speaker 1>can sustain a profit, writing quote, a job is not

0:16:55.920 --> 0:16:59.480
<v Speaker 1>done yet. Similarly, Indonesian right hailing, an e commerce provider,

0:16:59.600 --> 0:17:02.480
<v Speaker 1>go to Group, just reported a narrower adjusted loss for

0:17:02.480 --> 0:17:04.760
<v Speaker 1>the fourth quarter after extensive cost cuts. The adjust had

0:17:04.800 --> 0:17:08.640
<v Speaker 1>lost before interest, tax, depreciation and amaturization. That's a bit

0:17:08.720 --> 0:17:12.639
<v Speaker 1>dark shrank, while revenue actually tripled, highlighting resilient demand even

0:17:12.880 --> 0:17:15.040
<v Speaker 1>amid the cost of living squeeze in Southeast Asia. The

0:17:15.040 --> 0:17:18.439
<v Speaker 1>company has cut six hundred rolls from its workforce this month,

0:17:18.720 --> 0:17:21.560
<v Speaker 1>adding the one thousand, three hundred jobs it acts last year.

0:17:21.680 --> 0:17:24.000
<v Speaker 1>There is a theme here, folks. Meanwhile, let's talk chips.

0:17:24.240 --> 0:17:27.159
<v Speaker 1>Taiwan's exports of integrated circuit chips to China and Hong

0:17:27.240 --> 0:17:30.760
<v Speaker 1>Kong falling from a fourth month in a row. That's February.

0:17:31.000 --> 0:17:33.520
<v Speaker 1>As Washington Beijing tensions, they just simmer and demand for

0:17:33.560 --> 0:17:36.600
<v Speaker 1>electronics continues to drop off. Exports in fact fell thirty

0:17:36.600 --> 0:17:39.080
<v Speaker 1>one percent from a year earlier, the worst declined since

0:17:39.080 --> 0:17:41.879
<v Speaker 1>two thousand and nine. China's market share of Taiwanese i

0:17:41.920 --> 0:17:45.880
<v Speaker 1>SEE exports plunged to the lowest level since February twenty nineteen.

0:17:46.320 --> 0:17:50.240
<v Speaker 1>All according to Balloomberg Data. Read First Republic resume trading

0:17:50.640 --> 0:17:54.480
<v Speaker 1>extended its declines to forty six percent in the session.

0:17:54.520 --> 0:17:56.840
<v Speaker 1>Has been halted again, of course, a number of ratings

0:17:56.880 --> 0:18:00.800
<v Speaker 1>agencies cutting the rating on the bonds in decent hours.

0:18:01.600 --> 0:18:25.359
<v Speaker 1>This is bloom bag. We're talking a lot about layoffs,

0:18:25.359 --> 0:18:27.600
<v Speaker 1>those that are doing them, Amazon, those that are trying

0:18:27.680 --> 0:18:30.520
<v Speaker 1>everything to avoid them. Just take Apple, for example, pulling

0:18:30.520 --> 0:18:33.280
<v Speaker 1>every lever that it can to cut costs so it

0:18:33.320 --> 0:18:35.800
<v Speaker 1>doesn't have to lay off full time employees. Let's bring

0:18:35.800 --> 0:18:38.160
<v Speaker 1>in Mark German, who has just been writing time after

0:18:38.200 --> 0:18:40.840
<v Speaker 1>time about some of the areas that Apple is able

0:18:40.880 --> 0:18:44.920
<v Speaker 1>to compress costs on. Yeah, thank you so much both

0:18:44.960 --> 0:18:48.800
<v Speaker 1>for having me. Apple is unique amongst the biggest tech companies.

0:18:48.800 --> 0:18:52.439
<v Speaker 1>I mean, as we saw today Amazon cutting another several

0:18:52.480 --> 0:18:56.919
<v Speaker 1>thousand jobs. We've seen Meta do multiple rounds of layoffs, Microsoft, Google.

0:18:56.960 --> 0:18:59.720
<v Speaker 1>So Apple stands out, you know from that perspective. So

0:19:00.040 --> 0:19:02.000
<v Speaker 1>how are they avoiding it? Well, first of all, you

0:19:02.040 --> 0:19:05.120
<v Speaker 1>look at their cash balance. They have so much cash, right,

0:19:05.280 --> 0:19:07.960
<v Speaker 1>they have so much momentum Right now with the stock price,

0:19:08.200 --> 0:19:11.919
<v Speaker 1>sales are beginning to normalize. So from an outside perspective

0:19:12.040 --> 0:19:17.000
<v Speaker 1>plus an internal perspective, it would be truly horrific. Right.

0:19:17.040 --> 0:19:19.959
<v Speaker 1>It's horrible when other companies do layoffs, but for Apples specifically,

0:19:20.200 --> 0:19:24.040
<v Speaker 1>would be horrific given their momentum, given the strategies they

0:19:24.119 --> 0:19:25.920
<v Speaker 1>have in place, given the history they have in place

0:19:25.960 --> 0:19:27.880
<v Speaker 1>for them to do layoffs. So what are they doing?

0:19:28.240 --> 0:19:32.200
<v Speaker 1>Cutting back on travel, requiring senior vice president approval for

0:19:32.320 --> 0:19:35.960
<v Speaker 1>many budget items. They're not backfilling, so as people are

0:19:36.040 --> 0:19:39.439
<v Speaker 1>leaving in certain positions, they're not replacing them. They're not

0:19:39.520 --> 0:19:43.200
<v Speaker 1>allowing cross department transfers on the corporate side in some cases,

0:19:43.440 --> 0:19:46.720
<v Speaker 1>they're not allowing cross store transfers on the retail side.

0:19:46.720 --> 0:19:50.040
<v Speaker 1>In some cases, firings are up on the retail side,

0:19:50.160 --> 0:19:53.920
<v Speaker 1>not for layoff purposes, but your standard reasons about attendance

0:19:54.000 --> 0:19:57.119
<v Speaker 1>and maybe lying about your hours and such. Right, So

0:19:57.119 --> 0:20:00.399
<v Speaker 1>they're basically thinking of everywhere they can save money, and

0:20:00.440 --> 0:20:02.840
<v Speaker 1>they're doing it. A part of the story as well, Mark,

0:20:02.840 --> 0:20:05.119
<v Speaker 1>we just had thirty seconds is that actually throughout the

0:20:05.119 --> 0:20:09.520
<v Speaker 1>Panamic era they hired judiciously compared to their peers. Right.

0:20:10.680 --> 0:20:13.200
<v Speaker 1>They didn't do anything different during the pandemic in terms

0:20:13.200 --> 0:20:17.000
<v Speaker 1>of hiring and spending as they did before. Right, whereas

0:20:17.080 --> 0:20:19.520
<v Speaker 1>all these other tech companies they may be doubled or

0:20:19.520 --> 0:20:22.240
<v Speaker 1>tripled or hiring or r and d spending in some cases,

0:20:22.280 --> 0:20:24.800
<v Speaker 1>and now things are normalizing, they have to pull back.

0:20:24.880 --> 0:20:28.080
<v Speaker 1>So Apple stayed the course. Not much has to change now.

0:20:29.080 --> 0:20:31.960
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg's Mark German, writing in power on check it out

0:20:32.160 --> 0:20:44.000
<v Speaker 1>dot com and on the terminal, Welcome back to Bloomberg Technology.

0:20:44.000 --> 0:20:46.399
<v Speaker 1>I met Ludlow in San Francisco. It's nine thirty am

0:20:46.440 --> 0:20:49.640
<v Speaker 1>here on the West coast, but four thirty pm in London, says,

0:20:49.640 --> 0:20:51.639
<v Speaker 1>take a look at where European markets closed. In the

0:20:51.680 --> 0:20:54.640
<v Speaker 1>equity space, the stocks Europe six hundred up one percent,

0:20:54.960 --> 0:20:57.560
<v Speaker 1>volatility and meet concerns. In the banking sector, we see

0:20:57.560 --> 0:21:01.800
<v Speaker 1>a pullback modestly in the bond market. The German ten

0:21:01.920 --> 0:21:04.120
<v Speaker 1>year burned off by a single basis point two point

0:21:04.160 --> 0:21:07.440
<v Speaker 1>one percent. The concern all around credit Swiss ubs has

0:21:07.440 --> 0:21:11.680
<v Speaker 1>come in to buy credit Swiss. It's Swiss traded shares

0:21:11.720 --> 0:21:14.399
<v Speaker 1>down fifty seven percent fifty six and a half percent

0:21:14.640 --> 0:21:17.480
<v Speaker 1>in Monday session, UBS Group up one and a half

0:21:17.480 --> 0:21:20.800
<v Speaker 1>percent after doing that deal with backstop on liquidity from

0:21:20.880 --> 0:21:24.680
<v Speaker 1>central banks. The concern really is in the additional Tier

0:21:24.720 --> 0:21:27.919
<v Speaker 1>one bonds, the riskiest bank bonds where we saw a

0:21:28.000 --> 0:21:30.800
<v Speaker 1>real write down risk. This is Credit Swiss is eighty ones.

0:21:31.160 --> 0:21:34.159
<v Speaker 1>This is where the action's been throughout Monday's session. The

0:21:34.200 --> 0:21:37.720
<v Speaker 1>concern is that similar effects will creep into eighty ones

0:21:37.720 --> 0:21:40.040
<v Speaker 1>of other banks. We're seeing that play out as well.

0:21:40.160 --> 0:21:43.199
<v Speaker 1>But Caroline, we have some sort of solution in the

0:21:43.200 --> 0:21:45.760
<v Speaker 1>banking sector in Europe. The permanency of it is still

0:21:45.760 --> 0:21:48.000
<v Speaker 1>in question, and we still looked at what's happening here

0:21:48.000 --> 0:21:50.560
<v Speaker 1>in the US with First Republic Bank. We still think

0:21:50.560 --> 0:21:52.840
<v Speaker 1>about what it all means for interest rates setting of

0:21:52.840 --> 0:21:55.760
<v Speaker 1>course the FED coming on Wednesday, and we think about

0:21:55.760 --> 0:21:58.920
<v Speaker 1>what higher interest rates means for jobs too. That clear

0:21:58.960 --> 0:22:01.440
<v Speaker 1>and evident in the world of technology today, Amazon laying

0:22:01.440 --> 0:22:04.800
<v Speaker 1>off an additional nine thousand employees, adding to cuts that

0:22:04.800 --> 0:22:07.359
<v Speaker 1>were already the largest round of layoffs in the company's history.

0:22:07.560 --> 0:22:12.440
<v Speaker 1>I Spending, Bloomberg Intelligences, and Ragrana just what was interesting

0:22:12.640 --> 0:22:16.080
<v Speaker 1>about Andy Jase's own communication in the memo that Bloomberg

0:22:16.080 --> 0:22:18.760
<v Speaker 1>seemed to get just ahead of the curve was the

0:22:18.760 --> 0:22:21.040
<v Speaker 1>fact that they're focusing in on areas that really are

0:22:21.119 --> 0:22:26.159
<v Speaker 1>growth drivers aws advertising. Yeah, I think that was the

0:22:26.200 --> 0:22:28.720
<v Speaker 1>big thing. You don't want your day looking at non

0:22:28.760 --> 0:22:32.280
<v Speaker 1>retail units where the major job cuts are, you know.

0:22:32.320 --> 0:22:35.200
<v Speaker 1>For Thus this indicates that, you know, there is probably

0:22:35.880 --> 0:22:39.200
<v Speaker 1>still a downward pressure on growth rates in Amazon's cloud unit.

0:22:40.040 --> 0:22:42.399
<v Speaker 1>That has been the you know, the key story for

0:22:42.480 --> 0:22:45.320
<v Speaker 1>Amazon for some time. It is the biggest profit driver.

0:22:45.440 --> 0:22:47.480
<v Speaker 1>In fact, last year it was the only profit driver

0:22:47.600 --> 0:22:49.959
<v Speaker 1>for the company. And I think it, you know, just

0:22:50.040 --> 0:22:54.080
<v Speaker 1>shows that the cloud consumption still remains under pressure and

0:22:54.200 --> 0:22:56.920
<v Speaker 1>a ragin. In his statement, Andy Jase was talking about

0:22:57.000 --> 0:23:00.159
<v Speaker 1>uncertainty in the economy, the need to be lean the

0:23:00.200 --> 0:23:03.080
<v Speaker 1>rest of the years nine thousand additional LAYOFS twenty seven

0:23:03.080 --> 0:23:06.120
<v Speaker 1>thousand in total. What Caroline and I have been discussing

0:23:06.520 --> 0:23:08.080
<v Speaker 1>is that there at the end of last year one

0:23:08.119 --> 0:23:11.399
<v Speaker 1>point five four million work is globally three hundred thousand

0:23:11.400 --> 0:23:14.159
<v Speaker 1>corporate jobs. It seems like a drop in the ocean.

0:23:14.720 --> 0:23:16.480
<v Speaker 1>Do you think that they would need to cut deeper

0:23:16.560 --> 0:23:19.960
<v Speaker 1>later on? So the four The number you want to

0:23:19.960 --> 0:23:21.959
<v Speaker 1>focus on is that three hundred and fifty thousand that

0:23:22.000 --> 0:23:25.200
<v Speaker 1>we read at you know, Matt's piece in January. Those

0:23:25.240 --> 0:23:27.160
<v Speaker 1>are the high paying jobs. Those are the ones that's

0:23:27.160 --> 0:23:29.639
<v Speaker 1>more focused. I don't look at the other ones, the

0:23:29.680 --> 0:23:33.199
<v Speaker 1>retail jobs, as much. But but you know, these numbers

0:23:33.240 --> 0:23:36.920
<v Speaker 1>do matter because if you were to take per head

0:23:36.960 --> 0:23:40.040
<v Speaker 1>costs for this, it's pretty high. Margins for awers have

0:23:40.119 --> 0:23:43.479
<v Speaker 1>been declining over the past two to three quarters because

0:23:43.520 --> 0:23:47.200
<v Speaker 1>of age inflation, because of higher energy costs. I think

0:23:47.240 --> 0:23:49.359
<v Speaker 1>this is just one way for them to get those

0:23:49.359 --> 0:23:53.680
<v Speaker 1>costs back in order. Limberg Intelligence is Anna Igrana. Thank

0:23:53.680 --> 0:23:56.359
<v Speaker 1>you for your analysis. Let's stick with the story and

0:23:56.480 --> 0:24:01.600
<v Speaker 1>bring in Kara Brennan, Chief people Officer over Latise. Kara,

0:24:01.960 --> 0:24:06.359
<v Speaker 1>it's a big headline and it's a week after meta.

0:24:06.600 --> 0:24:09.359
<v Speaker 1>What is your assessment at the level of layoffs that

0:24:09.440 --> 0:24:12.840
<v Speaker 1>we're seeing right now in this technology industry? You know,

0:24:12.960 --> 0:24:17.000
<v Speaker 1>as mentioned, we all know the rational thought here is

0:24:17.040 --> 0:24:20.080
<v Speaker 1>that this is similar to what happened a few years ago.

0:24:20.920 --> 0:24:24.240
<v Speaker 1>Technically it should be perceived as a drop in the

0:24:24.280 --> 0:24:27.200
<v Speaker 1>bucket compared to the total employment that we have here

0:24:27.240 --> 0:24:31.240
<v Speaker 1>in Silicon Valley and in our tech companies overall. But man,

0:24:31.240 --> 0:24:34.800
<v Speaker 1>it sure doesn't feel that way. After the weeks that

0:24:34.840 --> 0:24:38.960
<v Speaker 1>we've had recently with Silicon Valley Bank now First Republic Bank.

0:24:40.200 --> 0:24:45.040
<v Speaker 1>We at Lattis and our five thousand customers are having

0:24:45.040 --> 0:24:48.760
<v Speaker 1>a lot of conversations about how to keep employees engaged,

0:24:48.800 --> 0:24:53.240
<v Speaker 1>how to keep morale at a functional level. While everyone's

0:24:53.240 --> 0:24:57.800
<v Speaker 1>facing these challenges, Caroline, we should point out that these layoffs,

0:24:57.800 --> 0:25:01.320
<v Speaker 1>this latest round, won't happen until mid April, and if

0:25:01.320 --> 0:25:04.400
<v Speaker 1>there will be separation packages of course, but morale right now,

0:25:04.440 --> 0:25:06.840
<v Speaker 1>what I'm hearing, at least within Meta, I'm sure in

0:25:06.920 --> 0:25:10.440
<v Speaker 1>Amazon as well, is low. Yeah, a meta I'm sure

0:25:10.440 --> 0:25:12.440
<v Speaker 1>now at Amazon. The feeling that it's not going to

0:25:12.480 --> 0:25:17.840
<v Speaker 1>be happening overnight. You are a people driven business at

0:25:17.880 --> 0:25:21.560
<v Speaker 1>Lattice CAA. What could be being done differently? Do you

0:25:21.560 --> 0:25:25.560
<v Speaker 1>think in terms of communication? So much of this is

0:25:25.640 --> 0:25:28.919
<v Speaker 1>about proactive communication as much as it is about reactive

0:25:29.000 --> 0:25:32.400
<v Speaker 1>And you saw in Jesse's memo that he's talking about

0:25:32.400 --> 0:25:36.360
<v Speaker 1>trying to contain this conversation within the conversation the context

0:25:36.400 --> 0:25:39.359
<v Speaker 1>of the larger planning for the organization, trying to double

0:25:39.400 --> 0:25:43.440
<v Speaker 1>down on the thoughtfulness that came with these decisions around

0:25:43.440 --> 0:25:46.199
<v Speaker 1>the job cuts. What we know from being on the

0:25:46.240 --> 0:25:50.359
<v Speaker 1>ground is that we have a number of organizations where

0:25:50.400 --> 0:25:53.440
<v Speaker 1>people don't understand why the cuts were made where they were.

0:25:54.640 --> 0:25:57.120
<v Speaker 1>We know on the HR side that it makes sense

0:25:57.160 --> 0:26:01.000
<v Speaker 1>to during these times to cut recruiters, to cut some

0:26:01.080 --> 0:26:05.280
<v Speaker 1>other administrative functions. We're hearing now we're learning more about

0:26:05.359 --> 0:26:08.840
<v Speaker 1>what's happening on the cloud side of the businesses within Amazon.

0:26:09.200 --> 0:26:11.920
<v Speaker 1>But that's the real question. People want to understand, why

0:26:11.920 --> 0:26:14.760
<v Speaker 1>are these decisions made? Why was I affected? Why was

0:26:14.800 --> 0:26:18.720
<v Speaker 1>my coworker affected? And that's what our companies are asking

0:26:19.440 --> 0:26:23.399
<v Speaker 1>asking for information about. How do we proactively communicate so

0:26:23.480 --> 0:26:26.360
<v Speaker 1>we don't create more noise than necessary? And when you're

0:26:26.359 --> 0:26:29.960
<v Speaker 1>a chief people officer of a company like Lattice, is

0:26:29.960 --> 0:26:32.919
<v Speaker 1>it reality that then there's a lot of talent that

0:26:33.040 --> 0:26:35.240
<v Speaker 1>you could hire up if you were in that stage.

0:26:35.280 --> 0:26:38.000
<v Speaker 1>I know a lot of companies aren't, or are people

0:26:38.320 --> 0:26:40.280
<v Speaker 1>when they're not being made off till April till May.

0:26:40.640 --> 0:26:43.000
<v Speaker 1>When does that actually become a reality? This talent that

0:26:43.080 --> 0:26:45.720
<v Speaker 1>suddenly people can get for perhaps a little bit cheaper

0:26:45.720 --> 0:26:49.400
<v Speaker 1>than previously. On the chief people officers side, there's lots

0:26:49.440 --> 0:26:52.880
<v Speaker 1>of there's definitely conversations within our networks about what will

0:26:52.920 --> 0:26:56.320
<v Speaker 1>the impact of this be in the broader marketplace. And

0:26:56.600 --> 0:27:00.159
<v Speaker 1>we are starting to see the impact of the of

0:27:00.200 --> 0:27:02.640
<v Speaker 1>the layoffs that were happening in the fall, and it's

0:27:02.640 --> 0:27:05.160
<v Speaker 1>probably going to be at least a quarter post layoff

0:27:05.440 --> 0:27:08.159
<v Speaker 1>before we'll see these people ready to turn back into

0:27:08.600 --> 0:27:12.040
<v Speaker 1>the market and look for their next jobs. We are

0:27:12.280 --> 0:27:16.040
<v Speaker 1>challenged with really wonderful exit packages from a lot of

0:27:16.040 --> 0:27:18.840
<v Speaker 1>these companies when you're trying to rehire these folks quickly.

0:27:19.280 --> 0:27:21.280
<v Speaker 1>But I'll tell you, as a chieve people's officer and

0:27:21.320 --> 0:27:23.280
<v Speaker 1>someone who really cares about that side of the business,

0:27:23.359 --> 0:27:27.520
<v Speaker 1>I'll take that any day. Kara Lattice is a people

0:27:27.560 --> 0:27:31.679
<v Speaker 1>management platform, right. It also includes an element of performance review.

0:27:31.960 --> 0:27:34.200
<v Speaker 1>What are you seeing in the data? What are you

0:27:34.280 --> 0:27:38.160
<v Speaker 1>learning about how companies are going about drawing up these lists?

0:27:38.280 --> 0:27:40.679
<v Speaker 1>Because they have to draw up lists, right. You know,

0:27:40.720 --> 0:27:43.800
<v Speaker 1>in some cases I've reported in Meta for example, there

0:27:43.800 --> 0:27:46.440
<v Speaker 1>had been some kind of more widespread layoffs that were

0:27:46.480 --> 0:27:49.359
<v Speaker 1>done with a sledgehammer rather than a scalpel. But how

0:27:49.400 --> 0:27:53.000
<v Speaker 1>do you make the decision? Well, each company is different.

0:27:53.480 --> 0:27:55.919
<v Speaker 1>The best way to make the decision is to be

0:27:55.960 --> 0:27:59.600
<v Speaker 1>extremely thoughtful and as you mentioned, use a scalpel and yeah,

0:27:59.600 --> 0:28:02.840
<v Speaker 1>people are coming to our platform. We're seeing usage numbers

0:28:02.840 --> 0:28:07.520
<v Speaker 1>increase because the organizations that really care about driving the

0:28:07.640 --> 0:28:10.200
<v Speaker 1>right outcomes for the business, or organizations that are turning

0:28:10.200 --> 0:28:13.840
<v Speaker 1>back into what we know are really good practices performance management,

0:28:13.960 --> 0:28:20.440
<v Speaker 1>talent reviews, engagement measurement from a surveying perspective, those are

0:28:20.440 --> 0:28:23.720
<v Speaker 1>all things that we provide through the platform. That being said,

0:28:24.240 --> 0:28:26.840
<v Speaker 1>those are the companies that are going to weather this storm,

0:28:27.000 --> 0:28:28.840
<v Speaker 1>that are going to make the right decisions if in

0:28:28.880 --> 0:28:31.120
<v Speaker 1>the worst case scenario they have to make a decision

0:28:31.200 --> 0:28:33.960
<v Speaker 1>about exits, and they're going to be on the other

0:28:34.000 --> 0:28:39.080
<v Speaker 1>side having made really strategic, thoughtful choices. Layoffs are never

0:28:39.160 --> 0:28:41.959
<v Speaker 1>pleasant to talk about, but we are learning about how

0:28:42.000 --> 0:28:44.560
<v Speaker 1>these are going about. Car Brennan of Lattice, thank you

0:28:44.600 --> 0:28:47.720
<v Speaker 1>for your time. Now, coming up, we'll unpack the ongoing

0:28:47.760 --> 0:28:50.680
<v Speaker 1>banking crisis and the impact on the VC landscape of

0:28:50.760 --> 0:28:54.040
<v Speaker 1>specially when it comes to tech with Kyle York, CEO

0:28:54.360 --> 0:28:57.320
<v Speaker 1>of your Kaie. Caroline and what has been the banking

0:28:57.360 --> 0:29:01.640
<v Speaker 1>crisis impact on crypto It is had if ahenomenal run

0:29:01.920 --> 0:29:04.320
<v Speaker 1>up twenty five of the course of a week or so.

0:29:04.640 --> 0:29:08.120
<v Speaker 1>Today we pull back slightly, maybe some relief after credits

0:29:08.160 --> 0:29:11.000
<v Speaker 1>we's being brought by ubs. We're seeing the bank stocks rise,

0:29:11.120 --> 0:29:13.520
<v Speaker 1>micro strategy down. Of course, a key cups are related

0:29:13.560 --> 0:29:16.440
<v Speaker 1>stock Bitcoin of by eight tenths percent. Still now that

0:29:16.600 --> 0:29:28.560
<v Speaker 1>twenty eight thousand level, this is grimmer. I believe in

0:29:29.200 --> 0:29:32.400
<v Speaker 1>a few months, three to six months, business will be

0:29:32.560 --> 0:29:36.520
<v Speaker 1>back to normal. We of course encouraged our founders to

0:29:36.720 --> 0:29:40.959
<v Speaker 1>leave everything by three months of money. Yeah, in Silicon

0:29:41.080 --> 0:29:44.840
<v Speaker 1>Valley bank have three months worth of cash outside, so

0:29:44.880 --> 0:29:47.440
<v Speaker 1>we didn't want to cause a bank run. At this point,

0:29:47.960 --> 0:29:51.560
<v Speaker 1>FDIC money is safe. We encouraging our founders to put

0:29:51.600 --> 0:29:56.800
<v Speaker 1>money back in SBB. That was venowed Coast, the founder

0:29:56.840 --> 0:29:59.680
<v Speaker 1>of Coast of Measures, on his predictions about how long

0:29:59.680 --> 0:30:02.600
<v Speaker 1>we can expect the banking crisis to impact startups, Caroline

0:30:02.880 --> 0:30:05.840
<v Speaker 1>one view, But I would say an informed and experienced view,

0:30:06.240 --> 0:30:07.960
<v Speaker 1>which is that it's going to take a few months

0:30:07.960 --> 0:30:11.120
<v Speaker 1>to unravel. We asked our audience what they thought. The

0:30:11.160 --> 0:30:14.120
<v Speaker 1>answer is kind of consistent with that. Yeah, it feels

0:30:14.200 --> 0:30:17.760
<v Speaker 1>that hope is there that months. Coast is right forty percent,

0:30:17.920 --> 0:30:21.440
<v Speaker 1>but it's pretty evenly split and still to have almost

0:30:21.480 --> 0:30:23.600
<v Speaker 1>a quarter saying it's going to take years. This is

0:30:23.600 --> 0:30:26.360
<v Speaker 1>a major impact, and this is still playing out. Look,

0:30:26.400 --> 0:30:28.880
<v Speaker 1>there are many still wandering about their banking relationships or

0:30:28.920 --> 0:30:31.240
<v Speaker 1>First Republic, even though we've got thirty billion coming to

0:30:31.240 --> 0:30:34.960
<v Speaker 1>them in terms of deposits from their own rivals. We

0:30:35.080 --> 0:30:37.719
<v Speaker 1>reported on this program how quickly founders were able to

0:30:37.720 --> 0:30:41.000
<v Speaker 1>diversify their banking and in some cases, like Rippling Right,

0:30:41.160 --> 0:30:44.080
<v Speaker 1>raise money in just three days. On the other hand,

0:30:44.080 --> 0:30:47.280
<v Speaker 1>there is nervous this there about how psychologically this is

0:30:47.360 --> 0:30:50.360
<v Speaker 1>ult momentum in the private markets. Yeah, and we can

0:30:50.520 --> 0:30:54.000
<v Speaker 1>talk about that sort of sentiment. And at the moment,

0:30:54.040 --> 0:30:57.520
<v Speaker 1>we're seeing financial conditions basically Titan get worse. We're worried

0:30:57.560 --> 0:30:59.520
<v Speaker 1>about access to finance, and certainly there's going to be

0:30:59.520 --> 0:31:01.800
<v Speaker 1>a lot of war founders out there who just don't

0:31:01.800 --> 0:31:03.240
<v Speaker 1>know where the next check is coming. Then when do

0:31:03.320 --> 0:31:04.960
<v Speaker 1>we see their force and the big tech companies doing

0:31:05.040 --> 0:31:07.400
<v Speaker 1>layoffs like we do today. Yeah, Well, let's keep it going.

0:31:07.480 --> 0:31:10.760
<v Speaker 1>Kyle York's CEO, co founder and managing partner of york

0:31:10.760 --> 0:31:13.840
<v Speaker 1>Ie the investment firm, was out with this tweet last Friday.

0:31:14.120 --> 0:31:17.800
<v Speaker 1>The business is built to help companies grow, are actually

0:31:17.840 --> 0:31:21.000
<v Speaker 1>failing them. That was the York take, Kyle, What did

0:31:21.000 --> 0:31:25.440
<v Speaker 1>you mean by that? Listen? I think fundamentally the venture

0:31:25.480 --> 0:31:30.600
<v Speaker 1>capital industry that's been around for forty years has gotten

0:31:30.680 --> 0:31:33.200
<v Speaker 1>kind of almost too big to fail and others sulf Right.

0:31:33.280 --> 0:31:35.440
<v Speaker 1>If you think about the mantra of nine of ten

0:31:35.920 --> 0:31:39.280
<v Speaker 1>startups fail, how is that good for the entrepreneur or

0:31:39.320 --> 0:31:42.560
<v Speaker 1>the founder or the economy if the client or venture

0:31:42.560 --> 0:31:45.560
<v Speaker 1>capital firm is their limited partners and their investors and

0:31:45.680 --> 0:31:48.080
<v Speaker 1>not necessarily the companies and the people that they're back

0:31:48.120 --> 0:31:52.320
<v Speaker 1>in Carrow on the last seven days of programs, every

0:31:52.400 --> 0:31:55.000
<v Speaker 1>venture capitalist that's been on the show had a different strategy. Right.

0:31:55.040 --> 0:31:58.120
<v Speaker 1>In Vinokosa's case, he went into his own pockets and

0:31:58.200 --> 0:32:01.320
<v Speaker 1>made loans to portfolio company out of his own funds,

0:32:01.480 --> 0:32:04.479
<v Speaker 1>not the firm's funds. Everyone did it differently. Yeah, we had,

0:32:04.640 --> 0:32:07.120
<v Speaker 1>of course have founders fund joined us last week after

0:32:07.240 --> 0:32:11.120
<v Speaker 1>many had said, well, maybe they had antagonized some of

0:32:11.120 --> 0:32:15.160
<v Speaker 1>the concerns, particularly in social media, by the media finding

0:32:15.160 --> 0:32:17.160
<v Speaker 1>out that they were advising their port photo companies to

0:32:17.280 --> 0:32:19.200
<v Speaker 1>pull money. Kyle, what did you do in this situation

0:32:19.280 --> 0:32:23.600
<v Speaker 1>for those port photo companies that had money in SPV, Well, listen,

0:32:23.640 --> 0:32:26.400
<v Speaker 1>if you're an operator, every single day is hard. And

0:32:26.480 --> 0:32:29.880
<v Speaker 1>if you have lived through the last few years of COVID,

0:32:30.080 --> 0:32:33.320
<v Speaker 1>in the global pandemic, and now the banking crisis that

0:32:33.360 --> 0:32:37.000
<v Speaker 1>we're dealing with in technology and startups, you really just

0:32:37.080 --> 0:32:38.760
<v Speaker 1>need a warm blanket around you, and you need a

0:32:38.800 --> 0:32:41.320
<v Speaker 1>helping hand, and you need to triage. You can go

0:32:41.320 --> 0:32:44.520
<v Speaker 1>in the triage mode. This is wartime for startups. They

0:32:44.560 --> 0:32:48.320
<v Speaker 1>need to know that they have investors and they have advisors,

0:32:48.320 --> 0:32:50.720
<v Speaker 1>and they have people around them that can help them

0:32:50.800 --> 0:32:53.880
<v Speaker 1>figure out what to do during these times. Thankfully, a

0:32:53.920 --> 0:32:56.680
<v Speaker 1>lot of our companies that are very very early stage,

0:32:57.160 --> 0:32:59.760
<v Speaker 1>a lot of them have multiple banking relationships so ended

0:32:59.840 --> 0:33:02.920
<v Speaker 1>up either local or regional banks married with a Silicon

0:33:03.000 --> 0:33:05.840
<v Speaker 1>Valley bank or a First Republic or a Chase Bank.

0:33:06.280 --> 0:33:09.000
<v Speaker 1>Had some diversity, so it enabled them to move funds

0:33:09.920 --> 0:33:13.240
<v Speaker 1>thoughtfully and collaboratively during the process. And you know, we

0:33:13.360 --> 0:33:16.120
<v Speaker 1>just kind of warned our founders. You know, even though

0:33:16.120 --> 0:33:18.400
<v Speaker 1>it's real nice ending to a movie in the Titanic,

0:33:18.440 --> 0:33:21.440
<v Speaker 1>when the gentlemen are playing the violin on the end

0:33:21.480 --> 0:33:24.680
<v Speaker 1>of the ship, there really was no reward necessarily to

0:33:24.760 --> 0:33:28.280
<v Speaker 1>be that musician on that ship. So I would just

0:33:28.320 --> 0:33:30.160
<v Speaker 1>be very thoughtful and pragmatic. I think it's going to

0:33:30.200 --> 0:33:35.040
<v Speaker 1>fundamentally shift how companies manage money moving forward. What about

0:33:35.200 --> 0:33:38.440
<v Speaker 1>managing business? Did you call have to think, Okay, who

0:33:38.480 --> 0:33:41.440
<v Speaker 1>are winners here? Who do we choose to back to

0:33:41.520 --> 0:33:45.240
<v Speaker 1>offer support to or could you do it for all? Well?

0:33:45.280 --> 0:33:46.560
<v Speaker 1>I think at the end of the day, the way

0:33:46.560 --> 0:33:48.760
<v Speaker 1>our model works, we invest in B to B software,

0:33:48.800 --> 0:33:53.360
<v Speaker 1>so recurring revenue subscription businesses. Again, we're really really early stage,

0:33:53.560 --> 0:33:58.040
<v Speaker 1>and we're always, unfortunately needing to bucket companies into different categories.

0:33:58.080 --> 0:34:01.240
<v Speaker 1>You have your high flyers, you have your stable growers,

0:34:01.560 --> 0:34:04.120
<v Speaker 1>you have the ones that are struggling. You know, but

0:34:04.240 --> 0:34:06.320
<v Speaker 1>at this point in time, to be honest with you,

0:34:06.320 --> 0:34:08.040
<v Speaker 1>you know, it was such the throes of war and

0:34:08.680 --> 0:34:10.880
<v Speaker 1>you need to just react and sort of support everyone

0:34:11.280 --> 0:34:13.719
<v Speaker 1>on the backside of it. Though, Carolina and Ed were

0:34:13.760 --> 0:34:16.719
<v Speaker 1>definitely focused on, you know, what to do now? Right

0:34:16.800 --> 0:34:19.200
<v Speaker 1>the funding markets. Over the last couple of years, you've

0:34:19.200 --> 0:34:24.439
<v Speaker 1>seen valuations constrain. You've seen later stage markets of course,

0:34:24.480 --> 0:34:27.680
<v Speaker 1>the IPO market, public tech market come down. This is

0:34:27.760 --> 0:34:30.160
<v Speaker 1>only good for B to B software because there's no

0:34:30.239 --> 0:34:33.600
<v Speaker 1>denying that more and more applications are using a cloud,

0:34:34.160 --> 0:34:37.160
<v Speaker 1>and more automation and AI is needed, but you know

0:34:37.239 --> 0:34:39.040
<v Speaker 1>how long is it going to take for it to settle?

0:34:39.320 --> 0:34:41.719
<v Speaker 1>The market needed a correction though, right, I mean the

0:34:41.840 --> 0:34:45.200
<v Speaker 1>multiples were far too great. Companies doing a million of

0:34:45.239 --> 0:34:48.040
<v Speaker 1>revenue or being valued over one hundred million dollars that

0:34:48.200 --> 0:34:51.120
<v Speaker 1>was just not sustainable and you can't play power law

0:34:51.160 --> 0:34:53.399
<v Speaker 1>that long or if you start out founders. Well, I mean,

0:34:53.440 --> 0:34:55.920
<v Speaker 1>the only area that people seem to feel that they

0:34:55.960 --> 0:34:58.120
<v Speaker 1>do want to write checks at the moment, maybe rippling

0:34:58.160 --> 0:35:01.440
<v Speaker 1>aside is artificial intelligence, right, and I wonder if the

0:35:01.520 --> 0:35:03.799
<v Speaker 1>checks get smaller or larger and as we could think

0:35:03.800 --> 0:35:07.600
<v Speaker 1>about that. Yeah, I think you're just going to see

0:35:07.680 --> 0:35:10.799
<v Speaker 1>valuations that are more sane, right, I mean, I think

0:35:11.120 --> 0:35:13.640
<v Speaker 1>we all know what a good company should be valued out,

0:35:13.640 --> 0:35:16.520
<v Speaker 1>whether in the public markets to the private markets, and

0:35:16.600 --> 0:35:19.880
<v Speaker 1>there's just been so much, so many tailwinds in the

0:35:19.960 --> 0:35:24.000
<v Speaker 1>last several years that have made those valuations skyrocket. Companies

0:35:24.239 --> 0:35:28.440
<v Speaker 1>Investors want to invest in good, sustainable, long term businesses

0:35:28.520 --> 0:35:31.200
<v Speaker 1>has always been the fundamental approach of your KYE. I

0:35:31.239 --> 0:35:32.920
<v Speaker 1>think you're just going to see a lot more pragmatism

0:35:33.000 --> 0:35:34.920
<v Speaker 1>come to the market, which, in the end, I actually

0:35:34.960 --> 0:35:38.920
<v Speaker 1>think it's going to be a good thing for entrepreneurs everywhere. Kyle,

0:35:39.000 --> 0:35:41.759
<v Speaker 1>there were big themes and ideas for twenty twenty three

0:35:41.800 --> 0:35:44.640
<v Speaker 1>that we were discussing even as recently as the night

0:35:44.719 --> 0:35:49.080
<v Speaker 1>before SBBs collapse. Right about the idea of probably fewer

0:35:49.160 --> 0:35:51.879
<v Speaker 1>checks being written, the sizes of checks at the start

0:35:51.880 --> 0:35:53.520
<v Speaker 1>of this year being different to what they were in

0:35:53.520 --> 0:35:56.400
<v Speaker 1>twenty twenty two and twenty twenty one. You're doing twelve

0:35:56.440 --> 0:35:59.600
<v Speaker 1>to twenty deals a year, seed stage up, What is

0:35:59.600 --> 0:36:03.239
<v Speaker 1>business slight for you this year? What kind of transactions

0:36:03.239 --> 0:36:06.280
<v Speaker 1>will you be doing in at what cadence? It's honestly

0:36:06.400 --> 0:36:09.600
<v Speaker 1>never been better for us. Again, we are very early stage.

0:36:10.320 --> 0:36:12.880
<v Speaker 1>It's one nice thing to be a newer fund where

0:36:13.080 --> 0:36:16.000
<v Speaker 1>we have actual capital constraints to how much capital we

0:36:16.000 --> 0:36:19.560
<v Speaker 1>can deploy per year. Think about how large the largest

0:36:19.600 --> 0:36:22.560
<v Speaker 1>funds in the world have gotten. Think about how large

0:36:22.600 --> 0:36:25.799
<v Speaker 1>the funding rounds for those companies that they're investing in

0:36:25.840 --> 0:36:27.680
<v Speaker 1>ore and how big their checks need to be to

0:36:27.719 --> 0:36:31.600
<v Speaker 1>deploy a billion dollars two billion dollars. That's kind of

0:36:31.640 --> 0:36:35.040
<v Speaker 1>played its way into into this market problem where so

0:36:35.160 --> 0:36:38.480
<v Speaker 1>much capital needed to be deployed, and that the valuation

0:36:38.560 --> 0:36:42.120
<v Speaker 1>sensitivity and the pragmatism around the business fundamentals mattered a

0:36:42.160 --> 0:36:45.240
<v Speaker 1>little less for us. We're kind of staying the course

0:36:45.280 --> 0:36:48.640
<v Speaker 1>at this early stage, seed stage. There's more and more

0:36:48.680 --> 0:36:53.120
<v Speaker 1>industries now right for disruption, including banking that we're going

0:36:53.160 --> 0:36:55.400
<v Speaker 1>to look at a lot of vertical applications and different

0:36:55.440 --> 0:36:57.960
<v Speaker 1>things that we think have a lot of momentum out

0:36:58.040 --> 0:37:01.840
<v Speaker 1>in the backs of COVID, the pandemic digital health thanking

0:37:02.400 --> 0:37:05.560
<v Speaker 1>I said, management of a sex of Thanks Kyle, great

0:37:05.600 --> 0:37:07.359
<v Speaker 1>to have some time with you. Thank you, Kyl york

0:37:07.960 --> 0:37:10.000
<v Speaker 1>seemingly picking the right end of the spectrum to be

0:37:10.040 --> 0:37:12.160
<v Speaker 1>on at the moment. The CEO and founder a managing

0:37:12.200 --> 0:37:14.759
<v Speaker 1>partner of york I E. Meanwhile, coming up, we've got

0:37:14.760 --> 0:37:17.440
<v Speaker 1>to talk TikTok. The CEO is about to get grilled

0:37:17.440 --> 0:37:19.439
<v Speaker 1>on the hill later this week. This is the app

0:37:19.560 --> 0:37:22.800
<v Speaker 1>is on the increasing pressure politically speaking, here's what Coasla

0:37:22.840 --> 0:37:24.880
<v Speaker 1>found of an old Coosler also had to say about that.

0:37:28.440 --> 0:37:31.720
<v Speaker 1>I think in general TikTok has been used for spying

0:37:31.719 --> 0:37:36.080
<v Speaker 1>on US citizens. So if that's true, and I don't

0:37:36.160 --> 0:37:40.400
<v Speaker 1>have as much information as the administration does, then we

0:37:40.480 --> 0:37:59.760
<v Speaker 1>clearly should penalize that kind of behavior. Let's get to TikTok.

0:37:59.840 --> 0:38:02.759
<v Speaker 1>The company CEO, Show Chew will have to testify before

0:38:02.800 --> 0:38:05.719
<v Speaker 1>the House Energy and Commerce Committee this week, bringing in

0:38:05.760 --> 0:38:08.440
<v Speaker 1>Bloombo's k lines out of DC. This is a pretty

0:38:08.520 --> 0:38:12.719
<v Speaker 1>highly anticipated appearance, isn't it. It is because it's the

0:38:12.760 --> 0:38:15.080
<v Speaker 1>first time he will testify in front of a congressional

0:38:15.080 --> 0:38:17.520
<v Speaker 1>committee here in the US. This hearing is on Thursday

0:38:17.600 --> 0:38:20.080
<v Speaker 1>at ten am, and according to the statement from the committee,

0:38:20.080 --> 0:38:23.240
<v Speaker 1>it is going to be testimony centered around TikTok's consumer

0:38:23.280 --> 0:38:26.480
<v Speaker 1>privacy and data security practices, the impact on kids, as

0:38:26.480 --> 0:38:29.440
<v Speaker 1>well as the relationship with the Chinese Communist Party. We

0:38:29.480 --> 0:38:31.200
<v Speaker 1>know at in Caroline that this has long been the

0:38:31.200 --> 0:38:34.040
<v Speaker 1>concern of US lawmakers and authorities, the idea that TikTok

0:38:34.120 --> 0:38:36.560
<v Speaker 1>is owned by byte Dance, a Chinese company, and that

0:38:36.600 --> 0:38:38.880
<v Speaker 1>the data that it collects on tens of millions of

0:38:38.920 --> 0:38:41.880
<v Speaker 1>active users here in the US could be inappropriately shared

0:38:42.160 --> 0:38:45.120
<v Speaker 1>with the Chinese government. Now, of course, TikTok has repeatedly

0:38:45.120 --> 0:38:47.799
<v Speaker 1>set it operates independently and protects US data through an

0:38:47.800 --> 0:38:50.319
<v Speaker 1>alliance with Oracle. I would imagine we are going to

0:38:50.360 --> 0:38:53.840
<v Speaker 1>hear that line multiple times in the hearings on Thursday.

0:38:53.840 --> 0:38:56.040
<v Speaker 1>But we could get a great deal of pushback from

0:38:56.120 --> 0:38:59.000
<v Speaker 1>US lawmakers in that regard. And who are the lawmakers

0:38:59.360 --> 0:39:02.040
<v Speaker 1>listening to this instance, We were speaking to then Koslo,

0:39:02.080 --> 0:39:03.719
<v Speaker 1>who we understand is going to be having a dinner

0:39:03.800 --> 0:39:06.200
<v Speaker 1>in Washington ahead of this, but also are they listening

0:39:06.239 --> 0:39:08.919
<v Speaker 1>to well, the young pod of that constituency who really

0:39:08.960 --> 0:39:12.839
<v Speaker 1>light the app. Well, yeah, there's political difficulty here right

0:39:12.880 --> 0:39:15.520
<v Speaker 1>when younger voters who you need in order to get

0:39:16.040 --> 0:39:19.440
<v Speaker 1>seek and win reelection, are heavily the ones that are

0:39:19.520 --> 0:39:21.799
<v Speaker 1>using this app. That does make this difficult, But it

0:39:21.840 --> 0:39:24.080
<v Speaker 1>does seem by and large the narrative is that national

0:39:24.120 --> 0:39:26.680
<v Speaker 1>security concerns top that. And I would note that this

0:39:26.800 --> 0:39:29.239
<v Speaker 1>isn't just on the part of Congress. The Biden administration

0:39:29.560 --> 0:39:32.000
<v Speaker 1>is looking at this as well. Bloomberger's supporting last week

0:39:32.040 --> 0:39:35.800
<v Speaker 1>that the administration is pushing Byte Dance to sell TikTok

0:39:35.880 --> 0:39:38.560
<v Speaker 1>or risk being banned here in the US, and TikTok

0:39:38.600 --> 0:39:40.920
<v Speaker 1>has come back and staid a divestiture would not actually

0:39:40.960 --> 0:39:44.360
<v Speaker 1>solve those national security issues. That simply changing ownership doesn't

0:39:44.800 --> 0:39:48.200
<v Speaker 1>change the rules under which data is collected and used.

0:39:48.200 --> 0:39:50.960
<v Speaker 1>So This is an ongoing conversation, but yes, one that

0:39:51.000 --> 0:39:53.920
<v Speaker 1>does bring great political difficulty when it comes to gen

0:39:54.040 --> 0:39:57.080
<v Speaker 1>Z and young voters. Katie Nine's keeping us on us

0:39:57.080 --> 0:39:59.440
<v Speaker 1>them all things happening on the hill, of course, as

0:39:59.440 --> 0:40:02.680
<v Speaker 1>we built towards that Thursday meeting. Now does it? Meanwhile,

0:40:02.760 --> 0:40:05.399
<v Speaker 1>for this edition of Bloomberg Technology, you do not want

0:40:05.400 --> 0:40:07.839
<v Speaker 1>to miss tomorrow ed We've got Kathy Wood of our

0:40:07.880 --> 0:40:10.000
<v Speaker 1>convest joining the show. It's going to be a key

0:40:10.000 --> 0:40:14.839
<v Speaker 1>conversation across AI, a coross crypto, across markets, a bank crisis. Yeah,

0:40:14.880 --> 0:40:16.520
<v Speaker 1>and I know that she's keen to get back to

0:40:16.520 --> 0:40:20.560
<v Speaker 1>the discussion around technology. Don't forget recap this show on

0:40:20.560 --> 0:40:22.400
<v Speaker 1>our podcast. You can find it wherever you get your

0:40:22.760 --> 0:40:27.200
<v Speaker 1>podcast apples, Spotify, iHeart And of course on Bloomberg, Day

0:40:27.200 --> 0:40:29.600
<v Speaker 1>one of a busy week, Caroline, lots more to come.

0:40:29.760 --> 0:40:30.640
<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg