WEBVTT - Garry Tan Decides Who Gets to Build the Future

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<v Speaker 1>The Builders is a production of Kaleidoscope and iHeart, presented

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<v Speaker 1>by Ramp. Ramp is a financial operations platform that helps

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<v Speaker 1>ambitious companies manage their finances so their teams can spend

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<v Speaker 1>less time chasing receipts and approvals and more time bringing

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<v Speaker 1>extraordinary ideas to life. I'm Walter Isaacson. Welcome to The Builders,

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<v Speaker 1>my series of conversations with the most consequential minds shaping

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<v Speaker 1>our future. Today, I'm speaking with Gary Tan. Y Combinator

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<v Speaker 1>has become one of the most powerful and important brands

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<v Speaker 1>in Silicon Valley. The companies that emerged from YC include Airbnb, Stripe, DoorDash,

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<v Speaker 1>and Dropbox. Together, they have transformed how we travel, spend money, work,

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<v Speaker 1>and communicate. Now Gary Tan is deciding which builders come next.

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<v Speaker 1>Gary first entered Y Combinator as a founder. He became

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<v Speaker 1>an early investor in Coinbase and Instacart. And today, he

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<v Speaker 1>leads YC itself. And so, in some ways, he's helping

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<v Speaker 1>shape those who shape the future. Here's my interview with

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<v Speaker 1>Gary Tan. Gary Tan, welcome to The Builders.

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<v Speaker 2>Thanks for having me.

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<v Speaker 1>As a leader of Y Combinator, you have to pick

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<v Speaker 1>founders who are going to make it. Do you look

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<v Speaker 1>for one particular thing or are there like 20 different

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<v Speaker 1>models of founders that can work?

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<v Speaker 3>Well, so the wild thing about Y Combinator is that

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<v Speaker 3>we got 80, maybe 90,000 applications a year now. for

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<v Speaker 3>about 800 spots. So it is less than a 1%

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<v Speaker 3>acceptance rate. Maybe 8 to 10% of those people would

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<v Speaker 3>get an interview, sometimes less now. And the wild thing

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<v Speaker 3>is we actually spend only 10 minutes with them for

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<v Speaker 3>that final stage. But the interesting thing is, Paul Graham,

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<v Speaker 3>the founder of YC, figured out that you didn't need

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<v Speaker 3>half an hour.

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<v Speaker 2>You don't need an hour.

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<v Speaker 3>You could probably actually do it in about five minutes,

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<v Speaker 3>but five minutes feels rude. So that's how YC ended

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<v Speaker 3>up at 10 minutes.

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<v Speaker 1>So what did Paul look for and what do you

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<v Speaker 1>look for in those 10 minutes?

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<v Speaker 3>I mean, it sounds almost too simple, but 10 minutes

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<v Speaker 3>is a wonderful constraint. Kind of like how 140 characters

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<v Speaker 3>for Twitter way back in the day was a wonderful constraint.

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<v Speaker 3>If you can say something very simply that hits us, like,

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<v Speaker 3>you know, here's a user, here's a real person who,

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<v Speaker 3>has a problem, and here's how the technology that we

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<v Speaker 3>build actually solves that. We just want to know what

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<v Speaker 3>it is and why it's awesome. And then if we

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<v Speaker 3>have a little bit of extra time, we want to

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<v Speaker 3>know why that founder is the person to go and

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<v Speaker 3>build that thing. And you can do all of that

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<v Speaker 3>in 10 minutes, and it's an up-down decision. Something like 10%

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<v Speaker 3>to 15% of all self-made billionaires as of present time,

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<v Speaker 3>age 50 and under, are YC alums.

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<v Speaker 1>Let me ask you a real quick question then. Suppose

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<v Speaker 1>Elon Musk walked in and you had 10 minutes with him.

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<v Speaker 1>What do you think the percentage chance is that you

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<v Speaker 1>would actually fund him?

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<v Speaker 2>Oh, 100%. I mean, in current form, 100%. No, no, no, no.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm saying you saw him. You didn't know he was successful.

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<v Speaker 1>He was a guy who'd just been, say, ousted from PayPal.

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<v Speaker 3>I mean, I had a managing partner meeting the other day,

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<v Speaker 3>and that's actually one of the example questions we ask

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<v Speaker 3>ourselves to figure out whether we're on the right track, right?

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<v Speaker 3>Like by definition, if YC is operating properly, like if

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<v Speaker 3>an Elon or a Bill Gates or a Steve Jobs or,

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<v Speaker 3>you know, a Drew Houston from Dropbox, a Brian Chesky

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<v Speaker 3>from Airbnb, Brian Armstrong from Coinbase, Tony Hsu from DoorDash.

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<v Speaker 3>Like if someone like that walks into our office, can

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<v Speaker 3>we say yes to them in 10 minutes? And if

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<v Speaker 3>that answer is no, actually, I'd have to rewrite everything.

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<v Speaker 3>I would have to retool everything, right? That is actually

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<v Speaker 3>almost the only question that really matters when it comes

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<v Speaker 3>to whether YC is doing well or not.

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<v Speaker 1>And if you had walked in years ago, would you

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<v Speaker 1>have accepted you?

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<v Speaker 2>I think so.

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<v Speaker 3>My startup, Posterous, it was Dead Simple Blogs by email.

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<v Speaker 3>And I mean, I had a pretty banger demo. So

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<v Speaker 3>we had something that I think Paul and Jessica and

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<v Speaker 3>Trevor Blackwell, the founders of YC did. really got immediately.

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<v Speaker 3>They didn't grill us at all. Like we came on

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<v Speaker 3>with a really good demo and they said, well, that

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<v Speaker 3>makes sense. And then we got funded. So sometimes it's

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<v Speaker 3>that simple though.

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<v Speaker 1>And I was creating that company, running that company for

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<v Speaker 1>a while. How fundamental was that to your ability to

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<v Speaker 1>be at Y Combinator and to be making venture capital decisions?

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<v Speaker 3>Oh, I think it's quite important. I mean, There's a

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<v Speaker 3>Jay-Z line that I love. One of his songs, he goes,

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<v Speaker 3>everybody wants to tell you how to do it, and

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<v Speaker 3>they never did it. And so, I mean, the entire

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<v Speaker 3>act of being an investor in technology is actually bewildering

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<v Speaker 3>and strange if you really think about it too long,

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<v Speaker 3>because what we're doing is selling money. Like, tech has

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<v Speaker 3>now become such a fundamental force in the financial world

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<v Speaker 3>of society that that there's way more money that wants

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<v Speaker 3>to go into tech than good opportunities.

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<v Speaker 2>And that's really what YC is.

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<v Speaker 3>And if you look at most venture capital, it's crazy

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<v Speaker 3>that it's grown so much. The S &amp; P 500

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<v Speaker 3>is almost entirely driven by tech. And then the wild

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<v Speaker 3>thing that Paul Graham figured out and Jessica Livingston figured

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<v Speaker 3>out when they first started was, when they started in 2005,

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<v Speaker 3>the type of people who would get funding, it would

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<v Speaker 3>be your buddy at Stanford Business School, your golf buddy,

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<v Speaker 3>like maybe someone who your son went to school with

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<v Speaker 3>at like some prep school at Harvard Westlake or what,

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<v Speaker 3>you know, I mean, it was like access, right?

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<v Speaker 1>As it was for a few millennia.

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<v Speaker 2>Time immemorial, right?

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<v Speaker 1>But do you all think you broke the back of

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<v Speaker 1>that or is being a startup junkie or a startup

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<v Speaker 1>entrepreneur something that you still have to be pretty privileged

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<v Speaker 1>and pretty connected to do?

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<v Speaker 3>I mean, it would be a mistake to say that

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<v Speaker 3>we were actually a meritocracy, but I will say and

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<v Speaker 3>affirm loudly that we aspire to be.

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<v Speaker 2>We will never be. You know, I think.

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<v Speaker 3>That the woke age of sort of like five or

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<v Speaker 3>10 years ago, we sort of lost sight of that,

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<v Speaker 3>that like meritocracy could never be achieved, but it is

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<v Speaker 3>a virtue to attempt to achieve it.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, the reason I ask about that in terms of

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<v Speaker 1>a startup culture, which is what you very much nurture,

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<v Speaker 1>is that it used to be somebody coming out of college,

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<v Speaker 1>take a Steve case, for example, could go work at

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<v Speaker 1>a company like a Procter &amp; Gamble and learn a business. Nowadays,

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<v Speaker 1>it's very hard to sort of get a steady job.

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<v Speaker 1>And the economy for young people tends to depend more

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<v Speaker 1>and more on startups. And yet it seems to me

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<v Speaker 1>that unless you got a safety net, unless you're somebody

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<v Speaker 1>who doesn't have to make sure your next meal can

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<v Speaker 1>be paid for, you can't be in that game, and

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<v Speaker 1>it leaves a lot of people out.

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<v Speaker 3>I mean, that's why YC gives $ 500, 000, for instance. When

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<v Speaker 3>I did YC, it was only $ 18, 000. Like today, you

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<v Speaker 3>hear about seed funds and Stanford kids raising $ 30 million

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<v Speaker 3>on $ 300 million post-money evaluation. It's like literally, like it's

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<v Speaker 3>just an idea and one person, and the company is

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<v Speaker 3>somehow worth $ 300 million. But when we were starting many

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<v Speaker 3>years ago, It was a very small amount of money.

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<v Speaker 3>You had to show that you had something that was great.

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<v Speaker 2>And so that's why YC didn't stay.

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<v Speaker 3>And we easily could have just stayed at $ 12, 000.

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<v Speaker 2>Or $ 15, 000.

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<v Speaker 3>But I think there is a recognition that if we

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<v Speaker 3>want to be a thing that allows people to participate,

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<v Speaker 3>you don't have to have rich parents. The half a

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<v Speaker 3>million dollars getting into YC, you could just have an

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<v Speaker 3>idea and you could come in and meet us for

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<v Speaker 3>10 minutes.

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<v Speaker 1>You were one of the earliest employees at Palantir. You

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<v Speaker 1>got to see how Peter Thiel and Alex Karp in

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<v Speaker 1>particular really worked. What did you learn from their style?

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<v Speaker 3>I realize now, like, if I hadn't rage quit, I

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<v Speaker 3>would have been, you know, sort of a peer to

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<v Speaker 3>some of the, you know, real legends who really built Palantir.

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<v Speaker 3>You know, I would go on walks with Karp and

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<v Speaker 3>he would sort of, I mean, he was a philosopher.

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<v Speaker 3>You know, he was not a technologist, I would say,

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<v Speaker 3>but he was incredibly knowledgeable about the world. One time,

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<v Speaker 3>I was sent to DC to do some demos for customers.

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<v Speaker 3>And I remember being like a 25-year-old, and I was

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<v Speaker 3>in my ripped jeans and band t-shirt and getting sent

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<v Speaker 3>to stay at the Mandarin Oriental in DC. And we

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<v Speaker 3>would wonder, Alex, why are we staying at the Mandarin Oriental?

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<v Speaker 2>Look at us.

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<v Speaker 3>We're just kids. We don't have to do that. Just

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<v Speaker 3>set me up in the Motel 6.

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<v Speaker 2>We're a startup. Alex looked at.

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<v Speaker 3>Me and my other early engineers for the Palantir Finance

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<v Speaker 3>product and he said, guys, you're going to go and

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<v Speaker 3>talk to such and such general or such and such

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<v Speaker 3>VP of some Fortune 500 and you're going to show

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<v Speaker 3>this incredible software that you've built. And then as you

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<v Speaker 3>go out, you're going to make small talk and they're

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<v Speaker 3>going to ask, well, how long are you around and

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<v Speaker 3>where are you staying? And if you say Motel 6,

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<v Speaker 3>they're going to think that they're buying Motel 6 software

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<v Speaker 3>and Palantir is Mandarin-oriented software.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm like, OK, now I get it. And so, you know, yeah,

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<v Speaker 2>I don't know.

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<v Speaker 3>I think embedded in that story is just a lot

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<v Speaker 3>of different things. And I learned a lot from Alex

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<v Speaker 3>from that.

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<v Speaker 1>Don't go anywhere. There's a lot more right after this break.

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<v Speaker 1>I know you've been fighting this antitrust battle. How important

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<v Speaker 1>is that in order to keep innovation and startup culture?

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<v Speaker 3>I think true free market enterprise has never been tried.

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<v Speaker 3>I think that in tech in particular, we have very

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<v Speaker 3>short memories. I would argue that Google itself, one of

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<v Speaker 3>the big tech companies, was able to exist and thrive

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<v Speaker 3>and become a trillion-dollar company because of the actions of

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<v Speaker 3>the DOJ with the consent decree on Microsoft. Like, Microsoft

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<v Speaker 3>was ready to take over the web, and it used

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<v Speaker 3>its platform advantages in Windows to default install and take

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<v Speaker 3>over the browser market.

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<v Speaker 1>And do you think Google is now doing the same thing?

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<v Speaker 2>I would argue yes.

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<v Speaker 3>The Delaware C Corp sort of actually insists on it.

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<v Speaker 3>Like the governance structure itself actually insists on you're supposed

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<v Speaker 3>to do your duty and your duty is to maximize

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<v Speaker 3>shareholder value. So people are following the letter of the

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<v Speaker 3>law and the spirit of like their Delaware C Corp

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<v Speaker 3>to close platforms. Like it's less and less percentage of

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<v Speaker 3>the screen real estate if you do a Google search

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<v Speaker 3>is even non-Google properties, right?

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<v Speaker 2>And so that's self-preferencing.

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<v Speaker 4>So....

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<v Speaker 1>A lot of your tech bro friends are very much

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<v Speaker 1>against antitrust enforcement. How do you have a startup culture

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<v Speaker 1>if you're going to allow big companies to self-preference?

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<v Speaker 3>Well, I mean, my view is that we shouldn't allow self-preferencing.

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<v Speaker 3>And then my super pro startup stance is we should

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<v Speaker 3>stop self-preferencing. We should require open markets. Like I think

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<v Speaker 3>the DMA in Europe, for instance, is a great example

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<v Speaker 3>of forcing big tech to open its own platforms. And,

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<v Speaker 3>you know, not just data transparency and privacy, but also

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<v Speaker 3>portability and reverse engineering. Like these are sort of things

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<v Speaker 3>that allow for open markets and open access to startups.

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<v Speaker 3>And if you ask me, is big tech too powerful?

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<v Speaker 3>Like I say, absolutely. And the answer and the antidote

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<v Speaker 3>is little tech. I think it's not that unlike robber

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<v Speaker 3>baron times in that, you know, if you own the

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<v Speaker 3>railroads and there was a monopoly on the railroad and

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<v Speaker 3>you could set the price on literally everything else. And

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<v Speaker 3>so one thing would lead to another thing, and you

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<v Speaker 3>would have multiple monopolies across both commodities and the railroad

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<v Speaker 3>the commodities travel over.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, wait, let's look at AI. I'm going to push

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<v Speaker 1>back a bit. We get a whole lot of new companies, Anthropic, OpenAI,

0:12:48.940 --> 0:12:53.020
<v Speaker 1>they're all popping up. Somehow Apple wasn't able to self-preference

0:12:53.440 --> 0:12:56.740
<v Speaker 1>and embed its own system in its own phones. Even

0:12:56.820 --> 0:12:59.540
<v Speaker 1>Google is trying to do that where it almost forces

0:12:59.600 --> 0:13:03.620
<v Speaker 1>you to use Gemini when you're using Google search. And

0:13:03.679 --> 0:13:05.700
<v Speaker 1>yet these other companies are doing well.

0:13:06.520 --> 0:13:07.179
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, that's right.

0:13:07.280 --> 0:13:10.870
<v Speaker 3>I mean, I think what's funny about the AI companies

0:13:10.900 --> 0:13:12.970
<v Speaker 3>is like they're almost certainly, I mean, I think you

0:13:13.010 --> 0:13:15.270
<v Speaker 3>can fairly say that they are the new big tech.

0:13:16.170 --> 0:13:19.950
<v Speaker 3>And so I think I have concerns there as well, right?

0:13:20.610 --> 0:13:23.270
<v Speaker 3>Critics of some of the AI companies would say that

0:13:23.790 --> 0:13:27.140
<v Speaker 3>It's possible that as the AI wars progress, there might

0:13:27.200 --> 0:13:31.160
<v Speaker 3>not be open access to the latest and best frontier

0:13:31.200 --> 0:13:33.800
<v Speaker 3>models that those companies may gatekeep.

0:13:34.260 --> 0:13:37.660
<v Speaker 1>You think they should be open, that all the AI

0:13:37.730 --> 0:13:38.679
<v Speaker 1>models should be open?

0:13:39.309 --> 0:13:41.810
<v Speaker 3>I mean, that would be certainly the thing that supports

0:13:41.850 --> 0:13:44.790
<v Speaker 3>startups and the ability for new people to create new

0:13:44.870 --> 0:13:48.370
<v Speaker 3>companies and, frankly, new wealth and to give consumers choice.

0:13:48.530 --> 0:13:51.160
<v Speaker 1>So what is the role that Y Combinator wants to

0:13:51.240 --> 0:13:52.070
<v Speaker 1>play in AI?

0:13:53.809 --> 0:13:56.940
<v Speaker 3>What's funny is I think of YC almost as like

0:13:57.760 --> 0:14:01.460
<v Speaker 3>we're not a union, but we have union-like characteristics. There's

0:14:01.520 --> 0:14:05.120
<v Speaker 3>not really a group out there that can speak full-throatedly

0:14:05.480 --> 0:14:11.630
<v Speaker 3>about policies and, frankly, actions that both governments and companies

0:14:11.690 --> 0:14:14.750
<v Speaker 3>should take to make sure that the golden goose can

0:14:14.790 --> 0:14:19.810
<v Speaker 3>still exist. Whether that's the billionaire tax in California or

0:14:19.950 --> 0:14:23.750
<v Speaker 3>antitrust laws in D.C. or in Europe or we're going

0:14:23.790 --> 0:14:26.710
<v Speaker 3>to start talking about it and just having a seat

0:14:26.730 --> 0:14:28.890
<v Speaker 3>at the table. One of the things I discovered as

0:14:29.110 --> 0:14:33.450
<v Speaker 3>I started examining politics, most tech people are not interested

0:14:33.510 --> 0:14:36.710
<v Speaker 3>in politics, but politics sure is interested in us. And

0:14:36.770 --> 0:14:39.990
<v Speaker 3>so I decided like three or four years ago, like, oh, well,

0:14:40.050 --> 0:14:43.100
<v Speaker 3>I should probably spend some time and reciprocate. Like, let

0:14:43.130 --> 0:14:45.700
<v Speaker 3>me understand what's going on. And what I discovered was

0:14:45.740 --> 0:14:48.859
<v Speaker 3>pretty wild. I mean, millions of dollars in AstroTurf money,

0:14:49.570 --> 0:14:53.850
<v Speaker 3>going to groups that would take around basically almost hired actors.

0:14:54.190 --> 0:14:57.150
<v Speaker 3>They would claim to speak for small software companies or,

0:14:57.170 --> 0:15:02.030
<v Speaker 3>you know, little tech. And they were just like paid chills, actually.

0:15:02.450 --> 0:15:04.690
<v Speaker 3>And they would go to the halls of power, whether

0:15:04.710 --> 0:15:08.890
<v Speaker 3>it's Sacramento or D.C. And they would say, no, no,

0:15:08.990 --> 0:15:12.030
<v Speaker 3>like this thing that actually mainly helps big tech. We,

0:15:12.070 --> 0:15:14.490
<v Speaker 3>the little guy, really wants that. And I was like, oh, wow,

0:15:14.510 --> 0:15:16.910
<v Speaker 3>this is crazy. Like no real startups actually go out

0:15:16.950 --> 0:15:20.170
<v Speaker 3>there and talk to real people in D.C. And I

0:15:20.230 --> 0:15:23.210
<v Speaker 3>saw a system that was broken, and I wanted to

0:15:23.250 --> 0:15:25.970
<v Speaker 3>fix it. And so that, you know, we do very

0:15:26.010 --> 0:15:28.940
<v Speaker 3>little things. Like, we have a tiny budget. It's, you know,

0:15:29.380 --> 0:15:32.720
<v Speaker 3>probably one one-hundredth that of, like, even any given single

0:15:32.760 --> 0:15:36.200
<v Speaker 3>big tech firm spends on policy. We have one lone

0:15:36.240 --> 0:15:40.080
<v Speaker 3>full-time hire in D.C. in a man named Luther Lowe.

0:15:40.880 --> 0:15:42.870
<v Speaker 3>And we run it on a shoestring. But on the

0:15:42.890 --> 0:15:46.610
<v Speaker 3>other hand, like, we're people-powered. I see that like a

0:15:46.670 --> 0:15:50.890
<v Speaker 3>repeating pattern, like there are broken things in society. There

0:15:50.910 --> 0:15:53.970
<v Speaker 3>are systems out there that, you know, have money, like

0:15:54.030 --> 0:15:56.000
<v Speaker 3>just trace the money and like, you know, where's the

0:15:56.040 --> 0:15:57.900
<v Speaker 3>money coming from and who benefits, right?

0:15:58.460 --> 0:15:59.600
<v Speaker 2>And then the heartening thing.

0:16:00.060 --> 0:16:01.480
<v Speaker 3>You know, I think a lot of people talk about

0:16:01.520 --> 0:16:03.920
<v Speaker 3>social media in a very negative way. They think, you know,

0:16:03.980 --> 0:16:06.660
<v Speaker 3>it was Facebook that ruined democracy. And it's like, I

0:16:06.710 --> 0:16:09.109
<v Speaker 3>don't really, I don't think I agree. Like, I think

0:16:09.170 --> 0:16:12.350
<v Speaker 3>that It's the little guy not realizing he has a voice.

0:16:12.450 --> 0:16:14.870
<v Speaker 3>He and she do have a voice. And then, you know,

0:16:15.710 --> 0:16:18.750
<v Speaker 3>when I look at YC, like, our job one is

0:16:18.790 --> 0:16:21.930
<v Speaker 3>to find the next great founders. But I think right

0:16:21.970 --> 0:16:24.070
<v Speaker 3>under that, it's like, how do we make sure that

0:16:24.090 --> 0:16:26.790
<v Speaker 3>those people can have access to markets? How do we

0:16:27.270 --> 0:16:29.740
<v Speaker 3>help people who would not have a voice, would not

0:16:29.770 --> 0:16:32.000
<v Speaker 3>be able to go to D.C.? How do we give

0:16:32.040 --> 0:16:32.940
<v Speaker 3>them that megaphone?

0:16:33.100 --> 0:16:34.960
<v Speaker 2>And then YC itself now has a megaphone.

0:16:34.980 --> 0:16:37.680
<v Speaker 3>You know, we have more than 2 million subscribers on YouTube.

0:16:37.920 --> 0:16:41.480
<v Speaker 3>We can sort of speak in aggregates. And I'm really

0:16:41.520 --> 0:16:45.120
<v Speaker 3>excited about that because I think that that's us trying

0:16:45.180 --> 0:16:47.380
<v Speaker 3>to speak truth to power. I don't want to deny

0:16:47.420 --> 0:16:49.860
<v Speaker 3>that YC is also a power in and of itself,

0:16:50.520 --> 0:16:53.250
<v Speaker 3>but the world is full of systems. These are all

0:16:53.290 --> 0:16:56.590
<v Speaker 3>systems that were created and constructed by, as Steve said it,

0:16:56.790 --> 0:17:00.770
<v Speaker 3>people no smarter or better than you or I. And

0:17:00.970 --> 0:17:02.830
<v Speaker 3>we can mold it and change it. And once you

0:17:02.870 --> 0:17:04.600
<v Speaker 3>realize that, you'll never be the same.

0:17:05.440 --> 0:17:09.590
<v Speaker 1>You were born in Canada, Chinese background. Tell me how

0:17:09.690 --> 0:17:13.910
<v Speaker 1>important you think immigration is to the United States.

0:17:14.890 --> 0:17:18.359
<v Speaker 3>I mean, I shout to everyone who will hear that

0:17:18.560 --> 0:17:21.879
<v Speaker 3>about 50% of all the startups that really make it

0:17:22.060 --> 0:17:25.880
<v Speaker 3>have at least one immigrant co-founder. And what we realize

0:17:25.940 --> 0:17:28.780
<v Speaker 3>is that's one of the things that makes America incredibly unique.

0:17:29.320 --> 0:17:32.160
<v Speaker 3>People from around the world want to come here. And

0:17:32.260 --> 0:17:33.980
<v Speaker 3>in tech, they want to come and build the future.

0:17:34.520 --> 0:17:39.410
<v Speaker 3>That's certainly my story. My mom's family came over from Burma. refugees,

0:17:40.210 --> 0:17:43.330
<v Speaker 3>and my dad came here from Singapore.

0:17:43.550 --> 0:17:46.450
<v Speaker 1>Well, you talk about your dad, and we biographers tend

0:17:46.490 --> 0:17:50.879
<v Speaker 1>to believe it's sometimes about dad, especially when somebody's successful.

0:17:51.100 --> 0:17:53.040
<v Speaker 1>You had a pretty rough time, though. I mean, your

0:17:53.080 --> 0:17:57.560
<v Speaker 1>father was at times unemployed, at times an alcoholic. Tell

0:17:57.600 --> 0:17:59.540
<v Speaker 1>me how you had to deal with all that.

0:18:00.480 --> 0:18:02.240
<v Speaker 3>I mean, it really made me who I am today.

0:18:02.260 --> 0:18:05.350
<v Speaker 3>I figured out that I can actually put myself back

0:18:05.570 --> 0:18:11.900
<v Speaker 3>into let's say 1992, I'm 11 years old. And basically,

0:18:11.920 --> 0:18:13.780
<v Speaker 3>I don't know when my dad would come home, like

0:18:13.820 --> 0:18:16.739
<v Speaker 3>maybe around five or six, but I wouldn't know how

0:18:16.760 --> 0:18:20.000
<v Speaker 3>many beers he would have already had. And I realized

0:18:20.020 --> 0:18:23.219
<v Speaker 3>there's sort of this scanner that happens where if you

0:18:23.240 --> 0:18:26.690
<v Speaker 3>don't know what father is coming home that day, then

0:18:27.450 --> 0:18:32.149
<v Speaker 3>you get very attuned to other people and their interstates.

0:18:32.310 --> 0:18:34.899
<v Speaker 3>And like, how to sort of react to that. And

0:18:34.920 --> 0:18:37.950
<v Speaker 3>then it's interesting because now I realize like that's a

0:18:37.970 --> 0:18:39.770
<v Speaker 3>scanner that I use all the time. Like I can

0:18:39.810 --> 0:18:42.830
<v Speaker 3>sort of sit down with someone and it doesn't happen

0:18:42.869 --> 0:18:45.830
<v Speaker 3>every time, but it happens relatively easily for me where

0:18:45.850 --> 0:18:48.690
<v Speaker 3>I can sit down and just kind of feel what's

0:18:48.710 --> 0:18:51.169
<v Speaker 3>going on for other people as someone who sort of

0:18:51.230 --> 0:18:55.380
<v Speaker 3>spends time with hundreds of startup founders every single year.

0:18:55.480 --> 0:18:58.300
<v Speaker 2>Like that's actually a pretty powerful superpower.

0:18:59.480 --> 0:19:01.969
<v Speaker 1>Let me talk about what may be the next step

0:19:02.109 --> 0:19:06.710
<v Speaker 1>in AI, which is AI agents. And you've said that

0:19:06.770 --> 0:19:09.810
<v Speaker 1>you don't want to fund companies that look at AI

0:19:09.930 --> 0:19:12.570
<v Speaker 1>agents as a feature. You want them to look at

0:19:12.609 --> 0:19:16.190
<v Speaker 1>it as the core operating system. Explain how you think

0:19:16.210 --> 0:19:20.020
<v Speaker 1>that changes what we think about when we talk about AI.

0:19:20.900 --> 0:19:21.740
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, absolutely.

0:19:21.820 --> 0:19:24.050
<v Speaker 3>I mean, We're going to get a little sci-fi here,

0:19:24.130 --> 0:19:26.570
<v Speaker 3>but this is something that we're starting to see ourselves,

0:19:26.590 --> 0:19:29.330
<v Speaker 3>you know, rebuilding the way we operate at YC. I

0:19:29.609 --> 0:19:32.460
<v Speaker 3>think the number one thing that people get wrong is

0:19:32.580 --> 0:19:34.520
<v Speaker 3>they just think that AI is just chat.

0:19:35.060 --> 0:19:36.900
<v Speaker 2>And then it is so much more than that.

0:19:37.119 --> 0:19:40.120
<v Speaker 3>We now have an internal AI agent, for instance, named

0:19:40.180 --> 0:19:43.670
<v Speaker 3>Straylight that kind of has a personality and then it

0:19:44.050 --> 0:19:47.530
<v Speaker 3>has a company brain. Like it actually has the total

0:19:47.570 --> 0:19:51.920
<v Speaker 3>context of every foundation we've ever backed, anyone who's ever

0:19:52.060 --> 0:19:55.140
<v Speaker 3>emailed us, like all the applications. The way I think

0:19:55.180 --> 0:19:58.520
<v Speaker 3>about it from an interesting tech perspective is like a

0:19:58.580 --> 0:20:01.810
<v Speaker 3>human can only keep track in their heads, like seven

0:20:02.070 --> 0:20:05.030
<v Speaker 3>plus or minus three things. And what an AI agent is,

0:20:05.390 --> 0:20:08.070
<v Speaker 3>is already super intelligent. It can keep, you know, I

0:20:08.090 --> 0:20:10.530
<v Speaker 3>was explaining this to my 11 year old. What an

0:20:10.650 --> 0:20:13.320
<v Speaker 3>AI can do is it can keep a stack of

0:20:13.320 --> 0:20:17.900
<v Speaker 3>1,000 pages, think like three Harry Potter books. It can

0:20:18.160 --> 0:20:21.199
<v Speaker 3>needle in a haystack any page, any fact, anything that

0:20:21.240 --> 0:20:26.850
<v Speaker 3>happened in those three Harry Potter books. It can just know, synthesize,

0:20:27.230 --> 0:20:32.209
<v Speaker 3>work with. The working memory is absolutely gigantic. The thing is,

0:20:32.350 --> 0:20:34.670
<v Speaker 3>in another year, it won't be three Harry Potter books

0:20:34.770 --> 0:20:37.869
<v Speaker 3>in the brain of an AI agent. It'll be five,

0:20:37.910 --> 0:20:40.450
<v Speaker 3>or it'll be 10, or it'll be 20. And then

0:20:40.609 --> 0:20:43.270
<v Speaker 3>the set of things that it can operate on is

0:20:43.410 --> 0:20:43.970
<v Speaker 3>even bigger.

0:20:43.990 --> 0:20:46.489
<v Speaker 1>Well, wait, give me a better example and make this

0:20:46.530 --> 0:20:50.190
<v Speaker 1>more concrete for me, because data retrieval, even from three

0:20:50.230 --> 0:20:53.720
<v Speaker 1>Howard E. Potter books, that's kind of cool, but that's not,

0:20:53.960 --> 0:20:57.780
<v Speaker 1>I mean, that's just data retrieval. What makes something an agent?

0:20:58.400 --> 0:21:01.820
<v Speaker 3>I mean, I would point to what Peter Steinberger of

0:21:02.060 --> 0:21:05.500
<v Speaker 3>OpenClaw figured out, which is if you use Claude Code

0:21:05.680 --> 0:21:09.570
<v Speaker 3>or Codex, I would say right now, They're so worried

0:21:09.609 --> 0:21:13.439
<v Speaker 3>about sort of repeatability and safety that they actually trade

0:21:13.580 --> 0:21:16.820
<v Speaker 3>off all of the beautiful parts of working with an

0:21:16.859 --> 0:21:21.179
<v Speaker 3>AI agent, which like basically can be so similar to

0:21:21.240 --> 0:21:23.950
<v Speaker 3>a human that like it sort of takes on human qualities.

0:21:24.230 --> 0:21:26.390
<v Speaker 1>So tell me what you ask your agent to do.

0:21:27.010 --> 0:21:27.490
<v Speaker 4>Oh, gosh.

0:21:27.730 --> 0:21:30.390
<v Speaker 3>I mean... One of the things I did, it's read

0:21:30.530 --> 0:21:33.560
<v Speaker 3>all of my email and all of my Dropbox. It's

0:21:33.640 --> 0:21:37.480
<v Speaker 3>read all of my Apple Notes, even my therapy notes

0:21:37.520 --> 0:21:40.240
<v Speaker 3>going back 20 years. I mean, for instance, I used

0:21:40.300 --> 0:21:41.980
<v Speaker 3>it for prep to be able to talk to you.

0:21:43.080 --> 0:21:45.040
<v Speaker 3>Not to get too meta about it, but in about

0:21:45.040 --> 0:21:48.540
<v Speaker 3>15 minutes right before this talk, it was able to

0:21:49.440 --> 0:21:53.690
<v Speaker 3>download and transcribe your top 10 podcasts you've ever done.

0:21:54.350 --> 0:21:57.170
<v Speaker 3>And then it actually diarized them. So, you know, it

0:21:57.210 --> 0:22:00.129
<v Speaker 3>had an LLM go like line by line, timestamp by

0:22:00.170 --> 0:22:04.129
<v Speaker 3>timestamp to pull out like major themes. And that was

0:22:04.190 --> 0:22:06.090
<v Speaker 3>really helpful for me. But to be able to do

0:22:06.130 --> 0:22:10.480
<v Speaker 3>that for like almost anything that you do in your

0:22:10.520 --> 0:22:12.260
<v Speaker 3>day to day life and for it to do it

0:22:12.520 --> 0:22:16.560
<v Speaker 3>like somewhat more autonomously. And so it seems inevitable in

0:22:16.600 --> 0:22:19.580
<v Speaker 3>about two to three years, I would say. Everyone's going

0:22:19.600 --> 0:22:21.960
<v Speaker 3>to do it, and it's going to feel awesome. Think

0:22:22.000 --> 0:22:24.780
<v Speaker 3>of it as a Jiminy Cricket on your shoulder at

0:22:24.859 --> 0:22:28.680
<v Speaker 3>all times. Almost anything you want to do, it knows you,

0:22:28.820 --> 0:22:31.460
<v Speaker 3>and it's there to help. And it will actually sort

0:22:31.500 --> 0:22:34.800
<v Speaker 3>of run ahead and say, what about this? Or it'll

0:22:34.820 --> 0:22:37.660
<v Speaker 3>help you see around corners. And the reason why it's

0:22:37.720 --> 0:22:40.910
<v Speaker 3>too expensive right now, I mean, it's just literally too expensive.

0:22:41.810 --> 0:22:43.830
<v Speaker 2>In order to have this experience, I.

0:22:43.790 --> 0:22:45.330
<v Speaker 3>Spend about maybe $ 100, 000 to $ 200, 000 a year on tokens.

0:22:48.510 --> 0:22:51.670
<v Speaker 3>And so I realized that's a crazy privilege that not

0:22:51.710 --> 0:22:54.370
<v Speaker 3>everyone can do that. You know, a lot of like

0:22:54.390 --> 0:22:57.889
<v Speaker 3>CEOs that I know are doing it and they have wings.

0:22:58.550 --> 0:23:02.790
<v Speaker 1>Do you think that AI, especially the agents you've been describing,

0:23:03.550 --> 0:23:07.150
<v Speaker 1>will end up destroying jobs or will it end up

0:23:07.250 --> 0:23:10.820
<v Speaker 1>increasing enormously the number of jobs in society?

0:23:11.710 --> 0:23:14.320
<v Speaker 3>My hope, I mean, I don't know for certain and,

0:23:14.340 --> 0:23:17.740
<v Speaker 3>you know, I'm not clairvoyant, but I, you know, I

0:23:17.800 --> 0:23:22.159
<v Speaker 3>do believe that technology is over vilified. I think that

0:23:22.240 --> 0:23:26.060
<v Speaker 3>it does have problems. And AI safety is something that

0:23:26.100 --> 0:23:28.699
<v Speaker 3>we need to be concerned about. But the way to

0:23:28.800 --> 0:23:32.960
<v Speaker 3>fix that is not to stop the technology from even happening.

0:23:33.619 --> 0:23:37.380
<v Speaker 3>It is actually going after the abuses of people when

0:23:37.460 --> 0:23:40.700
<v Speaker 3>people actually use or misuse the tech.

0:23:41.020 --> 0:23:43.780
<v Speaker 1>But do you think it'll create jobs? There'll be more

0:23:43.840 --> 0:23:45.000
<v Speaker 1>jobs because of AI?

0:23:45.650 --> 0:23:48.070
<v Speaker 3>That's certainly my hope, right? In the short term, it

0:23:48.130 --> 0:23:50.990
<v Speaker 3>may not. And, you know, that's quite frustrating. So some

0:23:51.040 --> 0:23:52.859
<v Speaker 3>of the reason why I've been working on open source

0:23:52.910 --> 0:23:55.620
<v Speaker 3>and trying to teach people how to use AI, like

0:23:55.760 --> 0:24:00.020
<v Speaker 3>my open source project, GStack, is literally working backwards from

0:24:00.700 --> 0:24:02.800
<v Speaker 3>if I were trying to teach YC founders how to

0:24:02.900 --> 0:24:05.460
<v Speaker 3>use cloud code and get 400 times the amount of

0:24:05.540 --> 0:24:08.780
<v Speaker 3>output that they had before, that was like a project

0:24:08.800 --> 0:24:10.740
<v Speaker 3>that they could just drop into cloud code and get

0:24:11.140 --> 0:24:14.280
<v Speaker 3>exactly the stack that I use to get that. I

0:24:14.320 --> 0:24:17.570
<v Speaker 3>think things like that are necessary in order to teach

0:24:17.609 --> 0:24:21.910
<v Speaker 3>people how to use the tools properly. And there will

0:24:21.930 --> 0:24:26.570
<v Speaker 3>be people who lose their jobs because AI will have, like,

0:24:26.609 --> 0:24:30.120
<v Speaker 3>sort of made that position redundant. And then, you know,

0:24:30.150 --> 0:24:33.580
<v Speaker 3>I think there's a big retraining issue here. But, you know,

0:24:33.760 --> 0:24:37.340
<v Speaker 3>I think something like GSTACK or lots of other efforts

0:24:37.400 --> 0:24:41.200
<v Speaker 3>out there could solve that, right? If you have that context,

0:24:41.260 --> 0:24:43.340
<v Speaker 3>if you were doing job X, like, let's say you're

0:24:43.359 --> 0:24:48.750
<v Speaker 3>a medical biller, like, What I want is for someone

0:24:48.790 --> 0:24:50.950
<v Speaker 3>like that to maybe be able to pair up with

0:24:50.990 --> 0:24:56.570
<v Speaker 3>a 22-year-old. And they have domain expertise and someone who really,

0:24:56.609 --> 0:24:59.690
<v Speaker 3>really knows how to make 400 times the amount of

0:24:59.730 --> 0:25:04.410
<v Speaker 3>software that you could before. And maybe that person who

0:25:04.970 --> 0:25:09.410
<v Speaker 3>knows that space inside out plus... someone younger or even themselves,

0:25:09.450 --> 0:25:11.470
<v Speaker 3>like train yourself to do it. I want them to

0:25:11.490 --> 0:25:14.010
<v Speaker 3>be able to start a company in that space. And

0:25:14.210 --> 0:25:16.730
<v Speaker 3>maybe it's exactly what they did before. Maybe it's something

0:25:17.170 --> 0:25:20.840
<v Speaker 3>two clicks away, but either way, it requires an increase

0:25:20.920 --> 0:25:23.780
<v Speaker 3>in the amount of agency. What we want people to

0:25:23.840 --> 0:25:26.600
<v Speaker 3>do is go into their own history and their own lives.

0:25:26.619 --> 0:25:29.690
<v Speaker 3>And it's like, what do you uniquely know? What life

0:25:29.730 --> 0:25:32.390
<v Speaker 3>did you live? What obscure hobbies do you have? Like,

0:25:32.810 --> 0:25:35.369
<v Speaker 3>what have you seen that nobody else has seen? And

0:25:35.410 --> 0:25:39.110
<v Speaker 3>then pair that with this incredible ability, like not just

0:25:39.130 --> 0:25:43.680
<v Speaker 3>to code, but to think, to reason. And so I

0:25:43.700 --> 0:25:46.399
<v Speaker 3>think that's like raising the floor. And then on the

0:25:46.440 --> 0:25:48.720
<v Speaker 3>flip side, like the ceiling is sky high. Like I

0:25:48.760 --> 0:25:54.240
<v Speaker 3>think that the responsibility for CEOs and people who have

0:25:54.260 --> 0:25:59.200
<v Speaker 3>a lot of privilege is not to cost cut. Like

0:25:59.240 --> 0:26:02.350
<v Speaker 3>that is the easy way. And the thing is, like,

0:26:02.710 --> 0:26:06.830
<v Speaker 3>that can result in, like, a sort of dystopian moment where,

0:26:07.369 --> 0:26:11.860
<v Speaker 3>you know, capital accumulates more and more wealth and we're

0:26:11.880 --> 0:26:12.850
<v Speaker 3>not sharing it.

0:26:14.740 --> 0:26:31.970
<v Speaker 1>We'll be right back after this quick break. You say

0:26:32.010 --> 0:26:37.040
<v Speaker 1>you push back against people who obviously vilify AI, but

0:26:37.080 --> 0:26:41.220
<v Speaker 1>those who are very pessimistic about it. When you're looking

0:26:41.300 --> 0:26:45.460
<v Speaker 1>at companies to back or fund or encourage, do you

0:26:45.520 --> 0:26:49.680
<v Speaker 1>consider an ethical component, whether what they're going to do

0:26:50.280 --> 0:26:52.960
<v Speaker 1>is going to be driven by being good for society?

0:26:53.920 --> 0:26:54.400
<v Speaker 2>Absolutely.

0:26:54.609 --> 0:26:56.410
<v Speaker 3>I mean, we have so many examples at YC where

0:26:56.430 --> 0:27:00.780
<v Speaker 3>a team would come in and It was pretty clear

0:27:00.800 --> 0:27:02.120
<v Speaker 3>that it was going to make a lot of money.

0:27:02.400 --> 0:27:05.340
<v Speaker 3>The most extreme version of this, I remember, was, you know,

0:27:05.359 --> 0:27:07.260
<v Speaker 3>this was not when I was back at YC, but

0:27:07.300 --> 0:27:09.840
<v Speaker 3>I have to call out my partner, Gustav Alströmer. He

0:27:09.880 --> 0:27:11.929
<v Speaker 3>was head of growth at Airbnb for many years, and

0:27:11.950 --> 0:27:15.490
<v Speaker 3>then he became a partner here at YC. And, you know,

0:27:15.550 --> 0:27:18.730
<v Speaker 3>a company that was focused on ADHD meds for kids

0:27:18.850 --> 0:27:22.820
<v Speaker 3>came through, and they applied, and it was a remarkable

0:27:23.320 --> 0:27:27.320
<v Speaker 3>set of founders. But the idea was tantamount to, like,

0:27:28.460 --> 0:27:33.179
<v Speaker 3>increasing the distribution of ADHD meds to a society that,

0:27:33.359 --> 0:27:37.220
<v Speaker 3>you know, we couldn't tell if, like, that was a need, right? Like,

0:27:38.119 --> 0:27:40.320
<v Speaker 3>it was definitely going to make money. And in the end,

0:27:40.440 --> 0:27:42.960
<v Speaker 3>that company did get sanctioned by the FDA, and it

0:27:43.000 --> 0:27:46.160
<v Speaker 3>shut down. And I even believe that there were potentially

0:27:46.200 --> 0:27:49.629
<v Speaker 3>criminal charges about that. I hadn't checked recently, but that

0:27:49.650 --> 0:27:52.350
<v Speaker 3>was a bullet dodged, right? And I'm very proud that

0:27:52.490 --> 0:27:56.130
<v Speaker 3>YC is an institution where that kind of thing can happen. Like,

0:27:57.060 --> 0:28:00.620
<v Speaker 3>We not only need to make money, really we have

0:28:02.000 --> 0:28:06.650
<v Speaker 3>the responsibility to fund the things and the futures that

0:28:06.710 --> 0:28:07.450
<v Speaker 3>we want to live in.

0:28:07.690 --> 0:28:09.930
<v Speaker 1>Give me an example of a couple things that would

0:28:09.970 --> 0:28:11.679
<v Speaker 1>fund the future we want to live in.

0:28:12.609 --> 0:28:14.130
<v Speaker 2>I mean, let's see.

0:28:14.150 --> 0:28:20.020
<v Speaker 3>I mean, the hard part is like it's almost anything

0:28:20.080 --> 0:28:21.040
<v Speaker 3>that we actually fund.

0:28:21.060 --> 0:28:24.340
<v Speaker 1>Well, I'll give you one, which is have social media

0:28:24.359 --> 0:28:28.890
<v Speaker 1>companies that instead of dividing us and enrages us, helps

0:28:28.970 --> 0:28:30.850
<v Speaker 1>us be stronger as a society?

0:28:31.970 --> 0:28:33.290
<v Speaker 2>I think that's entirely possible.

0:28:33.310 --> 0:28:36.390
<v Speaker 3>And actually, this idea of personal agents is actually, I think,

0:28:36.470 --> 0:28:40.140
<v Speaker 3>very directly a way to do it. Going back to meta, right? Like,

0:28:40.160 --> 0:28:43.500
<v Speaker 3>this is a huge company that controls the algorithm. And

0:28:43.640 --> 0:28:46.380
<v Speaker 3>we all wish that they didn't at some level. And

0:28:46.560 --> 0:28:49.570
<v Speaker 3>now they might not have to. So you could imagine

0:28:49.590 --> 0:28:53.890
<v Speaker 3>a personal AI that you control, that you program, You

0:28:53.910 --> 0:28:57.890
<v Speaker 3>don't download the Facebook app or the Instagram app.

0:28:58.690 --> 0:28:59.980
<v Speaker 2>That's just an API.

0:29:00.870 --> 0:29:03.030
<v Speaker 3>And you do have a social network, but the social

0:29:03.070 --> 0:29:07.450
<v Speaker 3>network is mediated through your own cognitive filter. You figure

0:29:07.490 --> 0:29:09.690
<v Speaker 3>out what you want to see, and then you put

0:29:09.730 --> 0:29:12.880
<v Speaker 3>that in there. And maybe that could even be programmed

0:29:12.950 --> 0:29:15.940
<v Speaker 3>by not just you, but the people who are closest

0:29:15.960 --> 0:29:19.540
<v Speaker 3>to you. I think that that's one example of actually

0:29:19.580 --> 0:29:22.860
<v Speaker 3>being able to put control of what goes in your

0:29:22.900 --> 0:29:28.340
<v Speaker 3>brain And that's something that, you know, before wasn't really possible. Like,

0:29:28.820 --> 0:29:31.500
<v Speaker 3>even the idea of like, could a normal human being

0:29:31.540 --> 0:29:36.010
<v Speaker 3>sit there and program their own algorithm that is beneficial

0:29:36.170 --> 0:29:38.510
<v Speaker 3>directly for them? Well, A, they don't know how to

0:29:38.550 --> 0:29:39.970
<v Speaker 3>program and B, like, they don't know how to program.

0:29:40.200 --> 0:29:42.780
<v Speaker 3>what would that even look like? It's so complicated. But

0:29:42.820 --> 0:29:45.660
<v Speaker 3>with the advent of AI agents and AI agents that

0:29:45.700 --> 0:29:49.150
<v Speaker 3>can code, it'll know you, it'll know what your goals are.

0:29:49.650 --> 0:29:52.230
<v Speaker 3>Like right now, my year right now, I just want

0:29:52.250 --> 0:29:55.670
<v Speaker 3>to focus on improving myself. I don't want to see

0:29:55.710 --> 0:29:59.480
<v Speaker 3>anything about national politics. I might only care about local

0:29:59.520 --> 0:30:00.260
<v Speaker 3>city politics.

0:30:00.360 --> 0:30:02.780
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, but we've had things like that in the past.

0:30:03.340 --> 0:30:09.010
<v Speaker 1>We've had personalized social media, and yet the algorithms have

0:30:09.050 --> 0:30:12.450
<v Speaker 1>a business model that works best when they enrage or

0:30:12.470 --> 0:30:13.070
<v Speaker 1>divide us.

0:30:13.730 --> 0:30:16.310
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, and the business model is hosted by someone else,

0:30:16.390 --> 0:30:19.070
<v Speaker 3>by a big tech company, and then that's their control

0:30:19.130 --> 0:30:21.670
<v Speaker 3>and that's their power. And so what personal AI is,

0:30:21.810 --> 0:30:24.560
<v Speaker 3>what I hope happens is sort of more like the

0:30:24.620 --> 0:30:28.190
<v Speaker 3>personal computer revolution, kind of what Steve Jobs did in 1984.

0:30:28.180 --> 0:30:31.900
<v Speaker 3>If you remember the original Mac commercial, 1984 doesn't have

0:30:31.920 --> 0:30:35.620
<v Speaker 3>to be like 1984. Big Blue, IBM, does not have

0:30:35.660 --> 0:30:38.590
<v Speaker 3>to win the whole thing. And I think next year

0:30:38.630 --> 0:30:40.790
<v Speaker 3>will be one of the defining years where there's the

0:30:40.830 --> 0:30:43.250
<v Speaker 3>next browser war. And I think it's going to be,

0:30:43.750 --> 0:30:47.270
<v Speaker 3>whose AI agent do you use? And I think it'll

0:30:47.290 --> 0:30:50.130
<v Speaker 3>go similar to operating systems. I think there will probably

0:30:50.190 --> 0:30:52.910
<v Speaker 3>be a Mac. There will probably be a PC.

0:30:53.600 --> 0:30:58.580
<v Speaker 1>So you're saying all these anthropics, open AI, Gemini, it'll

0:30:58.620 --> 0:31:01.940
<v Speaker 1>consolidate to just two or three? Wouldn't that be pretty horrible?

0:31:02.060 --> 0:31:03.260
<v Speaker 2>I mean, I think we're already there.

0:31:03.600 --> 0:31:06.160
<v Speaker 3>And, you know, I think last year, you know, our

0:31:06.480 --> 0:31:09.530
<v Speaker 3>friends inside some of the AI labs talk about the

0:31:09.570 --> 0:31:13.090
<v Speaker 3>five kings, which is actually a pretty astonishing vision where

0:31:13.110 --> 0:31:16.630
<v Speaker 3>a light cone of all future value, literally like all commercial,

0:31:17.210 --> 0:31:21.010
<v Speaker 3>anything that a business would do could potentially collapse into

0:31:21.190 --> 0:31:21.810
<v Speaker 3>five kings.

0:31:22.490 --> 0:31:24.650
<v Speaker 1>So what can you do to disrupt that?

0:31:25.470 --> 0:31:26.760
<v Speaker 2>We're trying every day, right?

0:31:26.820 --> 0:31:30.340
<v Speaker 3>So whether it's policy, whether it's directly being the funding

0:31:30.400 --> 0:31:34.000
<v Speaker 3>vehicle to find the next generation of talent, to help

0:31:34.060 --> 0:31:36.220
<v Speaker 3>them thrive, to make sure that the markets are open

0:31:36.260 --> 0:31:40.420
<v Speaker 3>for them, to make sure that there's open source, to find...

0:31:40.140 --> 0:31:43.950
<v Speaker 3>I mean, what I want is there to be Linux, right,

0:31:44.010 --> 0:31:44.910
<v Speaker 3>for personal AI.

0:31:45.370 --> 0:31:48.810
<v Speaker 1>Basically an open source operating system? Yeah.

0:31:48.870 --> 0:31:50.450
<v Speaker 3>And it just has to be easy enough to use

0:31:50.510 --> 0:31:53.330
<v Speaker 3>and cheap enough to use that everyone chooses it. And

0:31:53.550 --> 0:31:54.470
<v Speaker 3>I think that's possible.

0:31:54.770 --> 0:31:58.120
<v Speaker 1>Do you think we should have regulation then that pushes

0:31:58.160 --> 0:32:01.120
<v Speaker 1>in that direction or is that an impossible dream?

0:32:01.740 --> 0:32:03.720
<v Speaker 2>I wouldn't say anything is impossible, right?

0:32:04.020 --> 0:32:06.280
<v Speaker 3>And, you know, I think that that might actually be

0:32:06.340 --> 0:32:08.900
<v Speaker 3>a preferable outcome to some of the other things that

0:32:09.580 --> 0:32:11.540
<v Speaker 3>some of the politicians are putting out there. You know,

0:32:11.580 --> 0:32:15.680
<v Speaker 3>Bernie Sanders wants to sort of seize assets and speaking

0:32:15.800 --> 0:32:18.800
<v Speaker 3>as an immigrant and children of immigrants who came to

0:32:18.860 --> 0:32:23.110
<v Speaker 3>America to flee asset seizure, that, you know, we want prosperity.

0:32:23.130 --> 0:32:25.370
<v Speaker 3>We want the ability for people to start new businesses

0:32:25.410 --> 0:32:29.070
<v Speaker 3>to proceed and continue. And that's one of the defining

0:32:29.110 --> 0:32:29.870
<v Speaker 3>traits of America.

0:32:29.910 --> 0:32:30.170
<v Speaker 2>It's like.

0:32:30.370 --> 0:32:32.810
<v Speaker 1>But so what would smart regulation look like?

0:32:33.800 --> 0:32:36.080
<v Speaker 3>I think it basically just looks like the Open App

0:32:36.180 --> 0:32:39.980
<v Speaker 3>Markets Act, like being able to create an app, that

0:32:40.160 --> 0:32:42.860
<v Speaker 3>actually operates on your iMessages, for instance.

0:32:42.940 --> 0:32:44.740
<v Speaker 2>Like, AI can't touch your iMessages.

0:32:44.860 --> 0:32:47.380
<v Speaker 3>And what Apple says is, like, we're the only ones

0:32:47.440 --> 0:32:50.520
<v Speaker 3>who could possibly be safe enough for you. And I

0:32:50.540 --> 0:32:53.140
<v Speaker 3>think that that's just not actually true. We shouldn't allow

0:32:53.160 --> 0:32:55.960
<v Speaker 3>them to say that, like, nobody else could possibly do this.

0:32:56.160 --> 0:32:59.320
<v Speaker 3>And that's just a smokescreen for, A, their own market

0:32:59.360 --> 0:33:03.060
<v Speaker 3>power and making money through their own modes, but also, B, like,

0:33:03.200 --> 0:33:06.590
<v Speaker 3>it actually just kills markets. And, you know, the next

0:33:06.680 --> 0:33:10.340
<v Speaker 3>Apple can't emerge, right? If Google, Apple, and all the

0:33:10.380 --> 0:33:15.200
<v Speaker 3>trillion-dollar companies don't open a lane and create markets, we

0:33:15.240 --> 0:33:19.120
<v Speaker 3>will live in a world where there aren't startups. That's

0:33:19.340 --> 0:33:22.000
<v Speaker 3>a bit of a nightmare scenario for me. I think

0:33:22.040 --> 0:33:26.680
<v Speaker 3>that this is the counterweight against tyranny and, frankly, mismanagement

0:33:26.900 --> 0:33:27.760
<v Speaker 3>in big tech.

0:33:27.800 --> 0:33:29.080
<v Speaker 2>You need to have alternatives.

0:33:29.740 --> 0:33:32.000
<v Speaker 3>And so to the extent that the government can create

0:33:32.060 --> 0:33:36.060
<v Speaker 3>regulation that makes sure that these markets are open, at

0:33:36.080 --> 0:33:39.580
<v Speaker 3>the extreme, I would even say, looking at how open

0:33:39.620 --> 0:33:43.590
<v Speaker 3>source models are progressing now, we are just handing Chinese

0:33:43.650 --> 0:33:49.330
<v Speaker 3>model companies a massive advantage. There's zero open source AI

0:33:49.410 --> 0:33:52.070
<v Speaker 3>companies in the United States. And it doesn't have to

0:33:52.110 --> 0:33:56.820
<v Speaker 3>be that way. There are probably regulations that could allow distillation,

0:33:57.320 --> 0:34:01.200
<v Speaker 3>which is the exact advantage that Chinese companies have for

0:34:01.280 --> 0:34:05.560
<v Speaker 3>American and European companies. And we can have a vibrant ecosystem.

0:34:06.560 --> 0:34:08.319
<v Speaker 3>Some of these things being too big, like I think

0:34:08.360 --> 0:34:11.319
<v Speaker 3>that's real and that's correct. And, you know, if you

0:34:11.340 --> 0:34:15.120
<v Speaker 3>go all the way back to Brandeis and trust busting, right,

0:34:15.219 --> 0:34:17.520
<v Speaker 3>like we live in a better world when there isn't

0:34:17.580 --> 0:34:20.980
<v Speaker 3>concentration in markets and that there isn't self-preferencing. And I

0:34:21.000 --> 0:34:23.320
<v Speaker 3>think that that is more true than ever when it

0:34:23.360 --> 0:34:24.819
<v Speaker 3>comes to tech and startups.

0:34:25.090 --> 0:34:27.890
<v Speaker 1>Well, in some ways, you're really going back when you

0:34:27.910 --> 0:34:31.710
<v Speaker 1>talk about Louis Brandeis and you talk about the railway companies.

0:34:32.290 --> 0:34:35.379
<v Speaker 1>You're really saying that we've been through this before. which

0:34:35.430 --> 0:34:39.280
<v Speaker 1>is the 1890s. An explosion of technology is even greater

0:34:39.580 --> 0:34:43.580
<v Speaker 1>than we have today. And then you create these great

0:34:43.700 --> 0:34:47.680
<v Speaker 1>robber barons that control it. And then you have a period,

0:34:48.170 --> 0:34:52.330
<v Speaker 1>whether it be Teddy Roosevelt or Louis Brandeis, that take

0:34:52.350 --> 0:34:55.509
<v Speaker 1>on Standard Oil or take on the railways and say,

0:34:55.530 --> 0:34:57.690
<v Speaker 1>you got to open up. You got to allow everybody

0:34:57.750 --> 0:35:01.200
<v Speaker 1>else to ride your rails. You think we could just say, hey,

0:35:01.460 --> 0:35:03.339
<v Speaker 1>let's learn from history and apply it now?

0:35:04.480 --> 0:35:04.980
<v Speaker 2>I think so.

0:35:05.100 --> 0:35:07.120
<v Speaker 3>I think we have to learn from history in two

0:35:07.160 --> 0:35:09.430
<v Speaker 3>different ways. I mean, I think when you look at

0:35:09.469 --> 0:35:12.890
<v Speaker 3>the Sanders and AOC end of things, or in San Francisco,

0:35:12.910 --> 0:35:16.230
<v Speaker 3>Saikat Chakrabarty, or even what Tom Steyer was saying in

0:35:16.270 --> 0:35:19.770
<v Speaker 3>his failed bid for governor in California, I think you're

0:35:19.790 --> 0:35:22.170
<v Speaker 3>starting to see a thing that is, to me, like

0:35:22.230 --> 0:35:23.390
<v Speaker 3>fundamentally un-American.

0:35:23.430 --> 0:35:25.520
<v Speaker 1>But wait, let me ask you, what are you more

0:35:25.580 --> 0:35:29.040
<v Speaker 1>worried about? That a populace on the left are going

0:35:29.060 --> 0:35:32.600
<v Speaker 1>to have some socialist system, or that we are going

0:35:32.640 --> 0:35:37.190
<v Speaker 1>to have a technology system that gets too controlled by

0:35:37.390 --> 0:35:41.130
<v Speaker 1>too few people, and it's not democratizing and it doesn't

0:35:41.210 --> 0:35:42.270
<v Speaker 1>incent startups?

0:35:43.450 --> 0:35:46.669
<v Speaker 3>I mean, honestly, both scenarios are terrible. And I would

0:35:46.690 --> 0:35:49.359
<v Speaker 3>stand against both of those scenarios. And I think that

0:35:49.380 --> 0:35:51.540
<v Speaker 3>there has to be a middle way. I think that

0:35:51.640 --> 0:35:55.780
<v Speaker 3>we should follow American history. And how do we create markets?

0:35:55.840 --> 0:35:59.620
<v Speaker 3>How do we not make it illegal to create prosperity

0:35:59.719 --> 0:36:02.710
<v Speaker 3>and wealth? I don't begrudge Google. I think there are

0:36:02.750 --> 0:36:06.169
<v Speaker 3>people on the hard left, for instance, that would say, like,

0:36:06.210 --> 0:36:09.509
<v Speaker 3>Google should not exist. And we want more Googles. We

0:36:09.530 --> 0:36:11.840
<v Speaker 3>actually want more, you know, OpenAI was a spin-out of

0:36:11.960 --> 0:36:16.279
<v Speaker 3>Y Combinator. Sam Altman sat in my seat and said,

0:36:17.180 --> 0:36:19.520
<v Speaker 3>you know, he got to see the front row of

0:36:20.180 --> 0:36:23.180
<v Speaker 3>all the builders, all the young people with crazy ideas.

0:36:23.540 --> 0:36:29.660
<v Speaker 3>And he and Ilya Suskovor and Greg Brockman They sat

0:36:29.700 --> 0:36:32.680
<v Speaker 3>in a room and created YC Research that became OpenAI

0:36:32.900 --> 0:36:33.540
<v Speaker 3>with Elon.

0:36:34.910 --> 0:36:36.589
<v Speaker 2>And now we live on their timeline, right?

0:36:36.730 --> 0:36:39.790
<v Speaker 3>Now we live on an accelerated timeline where the age

0:36:39.810 --> 0:36:44.009
<v Speaker 3>of intelligence is much closer. And so I don't think

0:36:44.030 --> 0:36:46.969
<v Speaker 3>that's a bad thing. But, you know, AOC and a

0:36:47.030 --> 0:36:52.660
<v Speaker 3>great many Americans today unconscionably believe that all billionaires are ill-begotten.

0:36:52.900 --> 0:36:56.060
<v Speaker 3>And when people say that billionaires shouldn't exist, they're also

0:36:56.120 --> 0:37:00.220
<v Speaker 3>saying that society should ossify, that LLM should not exist.

0:37:00.500 --> 0:37:03.310
<v Speaker 3>It also is saying that things like Google that, you know,

0:37:03.450 --> 0:37:08.069
<v Speaker 3>organize the world's information that shouldn't exist. And to that,

0:37:08.110 --> 0:37:10.529
<v Speaker 3>I say, like, I, you know, I disagree, you know, like,

0:37:10.590 --> 0:37:13.670
<v Speaker 3>we should have more billionaires, we want more choice, we

0:37:13.710 --> 0:37:16.950
<v Speaker 3>want more prosperity, we want more jobs, there is a

0:37:17.540 --> 0:37:20.719
<v Speaker 3>middle way, it doesn't have to be big tech oligarchy.

0:37:20.960 --> 0:37:24.140
<v Speaker 3>But it also doesn't have to be mass asset seizure. Like,

0:37:24.160 --> 0:37:27.339
<v Speaker 3>I think there's a middle American way. And That's what

0:37:27.360 --> 0:37:29.420
<v Speaker 3>we very much will fight for and hope for.

0:37:29.440 --> 0:37:33.080
<v Speaker 1>Gary Tan, thank you so much for being part of

0:37:33.100 --> 0:37:33.660
<v Speaker 1>the Builders.

0:37:33.960 --> 0:37:35.040
<v Speaker 2>Thank you so much for having me.

0:37:40.880 --> 0:37:45.040
<v Speaker 1>Silicon Valley is very good at finding people who think differently.

0:37:45.540 --> 0:37:50.850
<v Speaker 1>It rewards ambition, competitiveness, and ideas that can scale. But

0:37:50.890 --> 0:37:53.649
<v Speaker 1>the interview made me think about the fact that so

0:37:53.790 --> 0:37:58.589
<v Speaker 1>much of Y Combinator's energy is focused on AI. The

0:37:58.630 --> 0:38:02.270
<v Speaker 1>biggest opportunity isn't simply to build what the market will reward.

0:38:02.690 --> 0:38:06.790
<v Speaker 1>It's to build what humanity actually needs. And if AI

0:38:06.850 --> 0:38:11.120
<v Speaker 1>could focus more on helping humanity cure cancer, fight climate change,

0:38:11.180 --> 0:38:15.000
<v Speaker 1>rather than just making chatbots and threatening our jobs, there

0:38:15.020 --> 0:38:18.120
<v Speaker 1>would be a lot less backlash against what the industry

0:38:18.200 --> 0:38:21.279
<v Speaker 1>is doing. So I'm curious to watch how Gary and

0:38:21.469 --> 0:38:24.290
<v Speaker 1>Y Combinator will place their bets. Because when you get

0:38:24.350 --> 0:38:28.239
<v Speaker 1>to choose who builds the future, You have some responsibility

0:38:28.739 --> 0:38:35.299
<v Speaker 1>for the future they build. That's it for today's episode.

0:38:35.440 --> 0:38:38.810
<v Speaker 1>I'm Walter Isaacson. We'll see you next time on The Builders.

0:38:44.270 --> 0:38:47.470
<v Speaker 4>The Builders is a Kaleidoscope and iHeart production. This series

0:38:47.550 --> 0:38:50.940
<v Speaker 4>is hosted by Walter Isaacson. It's executive produced for Kaleidoscope

0:38:50.980 --> 0:38:55.660
<v Speaker 4>by Oswald Lishan, David Weisbord, and Mungesh Atifudur. Sheena Ozaki

0:38:55.700 --> 0:38:59.800
<v Speaker 4>is the producer. Julia Nutter is supervising producer. Eva Zorich

0:38:59.820 --> 0:39:04.339
<v Speaker 4>is our consulting producer. Fact-checking by Eamon Whalen. Research by

0:39:04.380 --> 0:39:08.390
<v Speaker 4>Gloria Teal. Maria Paz Mendez-Hodes is head of video. Marketing

0:39:08.450 --> 0:39:12.610
<v Speaker 4>by Christy Mirabal and Elle Liu. Production support by Dara

0:39:12.630 --> 0:39:17.410
<v Speaker 4>Look Potts. Music for the series was created by Spencer Stevenson, a.k.a. Botany,

0:39:17.650 --> 0:39:20.489
<v Speaker 4>and it was mixed by Steve Bone. From iHeart, the

0:39:20.530 --> 0:39:24.010
<v Speaker 4>series is EP'd by Allie Perry and Katrina Norvell. Special

0:39:24.070 --> 0:39:28.030
<v Speaker 4>thanks to Bob Pittman, Conal Byrne, Will Pearson, John Sykes,

0:39:28.230 --> 0:39:22.089
<v Speaker 4>Nikki Etor, Carrie Lieberman, For more from Walter Isaacson, be

0:39:22.110 --> 0:39:24.729
<v Speaker 4>sure to check out his newest paperback, The Innovators, how

0:39:24.750 --> 0:39:28.960
<v Speaker 4>a group of hackers, geniuses, and geeks created the digital revolution.

0:39:28.980 --> 0:39:48.790
<v Speaker 4>It's available wherever fine books are sold. And for more

0:39:48.870 --> 0:39:52.129
<v Speaker 4>videos and podcasts from the frontiers of discovery, be sure

0:39:52.170 --> 0:39:53.710
<v Speaker 4>to check out kaleidoscope.nyc.